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Originally Processed With FOIA(s): FOIA Number: 1998-0004-F[1]; 1998-0251-F S FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential Library Staff. Record Group/Collection: George H.W. Bush Presidential Records Collection/Office of Origin: Chief of Staff, White House Office of Series: Sununu, John, Files Subseries: Issues Files OA/ID Number: 29140 Folder ID Number: 29140-006 Folder Title: Budget [1990] - Press Report #2 [2] Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: G 15 24 6 6 The Washington Times THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1990 Conservatives, mad at Sununu, still value him By Ralph Z. Hallow don't want to lose Mr. Sununu. THE WASHINGTON TIMES "Conservatives will be making a huge mistake if they participate in Republicans in both houses of the effort to bodily wound or oust Congress say they know White John Sununu," says Mr. Weber. He is House Chief of Staff John Sununu among a large group on the right and he's no Jim Baker - or Don Re- who believe you could shoot a can- gan, for that matter. nonball through the Bush White Mr. Sununu, the former anti-tax House and not hit a conservative - governor of the anti-tax state of New unless Mr. Sununu happened to be in Hampshire, had the building. NEWS to swallow hard "He's better than either Baker or last week - hard Regan when they were chief of staff ANALYSIS enough to get to Reagan," says Mr. Humphrey. "At down a $134 bil- least Sununu's a real conservative on lion tax increase signed by his boss, most issues." President Bush. Then why is he hard-balling con- The jowly chief of staff got nasty servatives on tax increases and what with a lot of GOP lawmakers for gag- they suspect are phony domestic ging on the tax-increase compro- spending cuts? mise. It failed. The president was "I can't explain it, but John is ob- embarrassed and Mr. Sununu's own viously saluting and following or- folks in Congress were hopping mad ders," says Mr. Humphrey. at him for for his tactics. "The old John Sununu has become "I was elected by 2.6 million; who the new Jim Baker," says Rep. Jim elected him?" said Sen. Trent Lott, Leach, a moderate-to-liberal Repub- Mississippi Republican and a con- lican from Iowa. "Sununu has be- servative not to be trifled with. come the symbol of making the When Mr. Lott who, unlike Mr. tough choices for a party of gover- Sununu, does not get paid to eat the nance." president's words, refused to swal- Conservatives like to point that low the tax increase. Mr. Sununu's any Republican who incorporates response was: Sen. Lott has become "tough choices" in his vocabulary is an insignificant figure in this pro- likely to be one who also supported cess. the $134 billion tax increase in last This led other Republicans to con- week's budget compromise. trast Mr. Sununu with Secretary of Unphased, Mr. Leach says, "By State James A. Baker III. When he definition, tough choices inevitably was White House chief of staff in alienate a chief of staff from move- President Reagan's first term, Mr. ment Republicans. It's counterfeit Baker was often accused by such conservatism not to be concerned conservative GOP congressmen as about the deficit, and Sununu has Jack Kemp of New York and Newt tough historical conservative roots, Gingrich of Georgia of "not letting which means concern for a balanced Reagan be Reagan." budget rather than the political Now Republicans of the Gingrich- gains of the me-generation move- Kemp stripe are complaining that ment in Republican politics." Mr. Sununu's problem is that he is Rep. Bob Walker of Pennsylvania "letting Bush be Bush." says fellow conservatives should "I am as bitterly at odds with understand Mr. Sununu has carried Sununu on the budget as anyone else a big load for them at the White in Congress," says Rep. Vin Weber, a House on many issues. "Some peple conservative Minnesota Republi- on Capitol Hill are using the budget can. "Everybody thought Don Regan circus as an excuse to bring out the was aloof and arrogant. John long knives." he says. Sununu would help himself if he Mr. Humphrey couldn't agree were a bit more aloof." more. "John is conservative not only And less arrogant? "You said in fiscal matters - as were Baker that." says Mr. Weber. and Regan - but on social issues, "Sununu has been downright ob- like aboriton." he says. "He is cer- noxious in dealing with Congress in tainly more conservative than the this budget debate." says Gordon president and is willing to play hard- Humphrey, a conservative from Mr. ball for conservative causes." Sununu's home state. "His strong- "When you have Sununu on your arm tactics. his outbursts, those are side, he is tough-minded, hard- unacceptable and counter-pro- duc- headed and effective. and when he's tive when used against his own al- against you, you say he is ruthless, lies." ham-handed and arrogant," says Mr. But even injured conservatives Weber: The Washington Times THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1990 President waffles again on tax swaps By Paul Bedard THE WASHINGTON TIMES ATLANTA - The White House House GOP leaders, Republican continued to send confusing signals members of the Ways and Means to Congress yesterday on its willing- Committee and the 71 Republicans ness to accept higher tax rates for who voted 'for the initial budget deal that went down in flames. the rich in return for a cut in the capital gains tax. The president, who met briefly Just one day after they appeared yesterday morning with House Ways to back off such a deal under con- and Means Committee Chairman gressional GOP pressure, adminis- Dan Rostenkowski, will begin tration officials said the proposals smoothing out relations with House are once again "on the table." Republicans today at morning, noon At campaign appearances here, in and evening meetings. Raleigh, N.C., and St. Petersburg, At 9:30 a.m., he meets with rank- Fla., President Bush sidestepped the ing GOP members of each House issue, instead blaming Congress for committee. At 1:30 p.m., he has in- the budget stalemate and calling for vited Republican members of the a budget deal similar to the one that Ways and Means-Committee to the House conservative Republicans White House. And at 5:30 p.m. there and angry Democrats torpedoed last will be a reception for some mem- week. bers of Congress - but no guest list On Tuesday, Mr. Bush told report- was released. ers that raising tax rates was "on the Mr. Bush will "listen, listen pa- table, that's been talked about, and if tiently" to the GOP proposals, said it's proper, if it can be worked in Mr. Fitzwater. He added that this is proper balance between the capital all the president did in Tuesday's gains rate and income tax changes, meeting with Mr. Packwood and fine." other GOP senators. But hours later, outraged Repub- At his first campaign stop yester- licans told the president at a White day, in Raleigh for Sen. Jesse Helms, House meeting that they wouldn't Mr. Bush said voters are "sick and support such a deal. Sen. Robert tired of this smoke-and-mirrors ap- Packwood of Oregon, the senior Re- proach to the fiscal policy of the publican on the Finance Committee, United States." said Mr. Bush "just acquiesced" to the Republicans' demand that he Hours later at an outdoor rally for Florida Gov. Bob Martinez, Mr. Bush drop the deal. said he wanted a budget deal "which Mr. Bush refused to clarify his po- spurs growth, opportunity and pros- sition yesterday, telling reporters perity - GOP - that has a nice during a jog at a St. Petersburg base- ring." ball park to "read my hips." Earlier he had called on Congress While Mr. Bush said he didn't to clear up the confusion on income want to "assign blame" for the bud- tax increases and cuts in the capital get mess, he said voters "know that gains tax rate: Congress has the responsibility to Spokesman Marlin Fitzwater pass a budget and it's about time that later said that "everything is on the they met that responsibility." table" but he, too, then backtracked. His criticism of Congress was Asked to clarify the conflicting greeted with applause. comments from Mr. Bush, Mr. Pack- wood and other senior officials, Mr. Fitzwater told reporters aboard Air Force One: "I want to bob and weave on this today. People are going to be claiming all kinds of statements and attitudes, and we just want to try to be careful and let the Congress come up with a package." Making Congress fully responsi- ble for coming up with a budget deal appears to be the latest White House strategy. Today Mr. Bush will meet with top The Washington Times THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1990 Deficit battle isolates Bush By Frank J. Murray THE WASHINGTON TIMES George Bush found himself both That 3.5 percent difference was Hindsight makes the dramatic rained on and isolated yesterday portrayed as the clincher that killed change look less spontaneous. While after the worst political thrashing of the deal, but a lobbyist who tracked Mr. Packwood let the cat out of the his presidency. budget negotiations said the White bag to reporters, 40 business lobby- Even friends who still support his House simply missed the message ists huddled in the Roosevelt Room objectives wondered at "mixed mes- that Republicans wouldn't buy any with Mr. Sununu, Economic Adviser sages from the White House" and income tax increase. Michael Boskin, Domestic Policy said Mr. Bush increasingly appears "Either the White House staff did Adviser Roger Porter and Deputy uncertain and indecisive. The presi- not properly read what the Senate Budget Director William Diefender- dent tried to laugh it off. Republicans were saying to them or fer, who was Mr. Packwood's chief "Read my hips," he told reporters they just did not tell the president," aide on the Senate Finance Commit- who had asked if he had thrown in the lobbyist said. tee. the towel on his On rare occasions when wires "The swap is out," the lobbyists NEWS campaign pledge crossed in the past, Mr. Bush ap- were told. to cut taxes on peared a victim of miscalculation by Yesterday, after House Ways and ANALYSIS capital gains. He an earnest but generally inexperi- Means Committee Chairman Dan punctuated the enced domestic staff. Rostenkowski met Mr. Bush for cof- jibe by pointing to his left buttock as This time, Mr. Bush seemed to fee at the White House, his commit- he jogged with his son Jeb under make big mistakes personally. Vot- tee produced a bare-bones proposal gathering clouds at St. Petersburg, ers heard commentators emphasize similar to the Sept. 30 bipartisan Fla., but the storm broke and that as NBC's Andrea Mitchell did in deal with no tax-rate changes. It also drenched him. reporting his latest flip-flop on had no growth incentives for busi- It's been that kind of week. swapping capital gains tax cuts for ness and carried a raft of luxury and The president's puzzling tactics raising top marginal income tax sin taxes. throughout the deficit crisis have rates: The Democrats feel very While work on the Hill moved on, undermined his Republican power much tricked As I started calling administration communications re- base, insulted those who resisted, them, they said, 'You're kidding, he mained mixed and Mr. Bush was splintered conservatives who march couldnt have said that.' campaigning yesterday for Sen. with Rep. Newt Gingrich, eroded "This is an extraordinary episode Jesse Helms, who opposed him on super-high public popularity and in leadership or lack of it," a business the budget. dissolved a coalition with Demo- lobbyist said. "They don't do the crats he courted fleetingly in a des- easy things well in the way the Rea- perate attempt to look like a winner. gan administration could." Although Mr. Bush's penchant for miracles may still produce a budget One Midwestern Republican sen- package he can look in the eye, his ator said Mr. Bush's press confer- self-styled "Mr. Smooth" image has ence promise on Tuesday to compro- mise on tax rates, a 180-degree suffered. In the Los Angeles Times-Mirror change from the GOP stance in bud- poll, 55 percent approved of the job get negotiations, left his party no he is doing, down from 68 percent in room to negotiate. September and 76 percent in Au- Six hours later Mr. Bush reversed gust. An ABC-Washington Post poll himself and ruled out such a com- taken days earlier gave Mr. Bush a promise. job rating of 65 percent, down from The bipartisan deal Mr. Bush en- 76 percent in August, but pres- dorsed Sept. 30 would raise other idential advisers point out that the taxes by $134 billion, but the White same poll said most Americans House calls that consistent because blame the budget mess on Congress. Mr. Bush long ago abandoned his In his shifting policy and off-the- "Read my lips: No new taxes!" cuff remarks, Mr. Bush seems al- pledge. most to be writing political ads for The deal he liked went down in Democrats seeking to block GOP flames. Rank-and-file Republicans gains in Congress on Nov. 6 and with longer memories and elections those who will lay plans for a pres- four weeks away revolted against the idential contest in 1992 if they can higher taxes. Non-leadership Demo- only find a candidate. crats balked at hitting the poor with "The Democrats are playing this a $60 billion swipe at Medicare and whole thing like a violin," said one higher taxes on on home heating oil. Washington anti-tax activist close to the budget debate. Now the original deal, with some Senate Majority Leader George tweaking to help Democrats swallow Mitchell, who has goaded Mr. Bush it, lives again in the strategy of White with some success, made sure ev- House Chief of Staff John Sununu eryone got the point yesterday. and Budget Director Richard Dar- "In view of the apparent reversal man. They reacted quickly when of position by the president, we will ranking Republicans on 14 Senate now have to reconsider," Mr. Mitchell committees rebelled. Led by. Sen. said. "We thought until last night Bob Packwood of the Finance Com- that the [plan] would be acceptable." mittee, the GOP senators came in Not all the confusion could be laid force to the White House and de- on the White House doorstep. A Sen- manded Mr. Bush stop all talk of a ate Finance Committee aide mud- swap. died the waters by saying the Demo- Depending on whom you trust, crats' capital gains cut used "the Mr. Bush instantly "acquiesced" or president's proposal." It indeed ap- "agreed" or said nothing. Unac- plied a 30 percent reduction, but to countably, whatever he did was done a proposed 33 percent top marginal on the spot without clearing the rate instead of the real effective rate move with loyal House Republican of 28 percent. That would tax invest- leader Bob Michel or courtesy calls ment profits at 23.1 percent, not 19.6 to House Speaker Thomas Foley or percent as Mr. Bush proposed. Senate Majority Leader Mitchell. The Washington Times THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1990 Larry, Curly and Moe' struggle with budget By Karen Riley and Major Garrett 1:1E WASHINGTON TIMES party caucuses after President Bush's tax flip-flop. Congressional tax-writers were in Finance Committee chairman disarray yesterday as Republicans Lloyd Bentsen, Texas Democrat, had and Democrats struggled to resolve prepared a plan that would raise the bitter differences over increased tax individual top tax rate to 33 percent rates amid confusion over President in exchange for a capital gains tax Bush's position on higher taxes. cut. Mr. Bush flip-flopped Tuesday, "I had the deal all worked out until saying first he would support higher the president changed his position taxes on the wealthy in exchange for on taxes," said Mr. Bentsen. a lower capital gains tax. But GOP Democrats in the Senate claim senators and officials said later the they have been trying to craft a pack- president had rejected the tradeoff. age that not only reduces the deficit The House Ways and Means Com- by $500 billion over five years but mittee sought a safe political middle also makes the wealthy pay a larger ground yesterday, passing by voice share of the nation's tax burden. vote and with little enthusiasm a But Senate Minority Leader Rob- "bare bones" tax and spending bill ert Dole of Kansas said Democrats for 1991 that skirts the issue. are pushing for higher taxes rates It cuts out things that were "to- "because they want more money to tally obnoxious" in the budget sum- spend." He said both a lower capital mit agreement, said committee gains tax and higher rates on the chairman, Rep. Dan Rostenkowski, wealthy should be excluded from the Illinois Democrat. package. The Ways and Means proposal "They've become sort of a tar now goes to the House Budget Com- baby," he said. mittee where it will be reconciled Mr. Bush tried to divorce himself with proposals from 13 other com- from the Capitol Hill squabbles yes- mittees before the final package terday. goes to the House floor. "Let Congress clear it up," he told Ways and Means members also reporters. agreed that Democrats and Republi- But Mr. Bush still kept a hand in cans would be able to propose sep- behind-the-scenes negotiations, con- arate tax packages on the floor. sulting with key members of the The committee's bill thus would Ways and Means panel. be a fallback provision if the Demo- He talked on the phone Tuesday cratic and Republican versions should fail. night with Rep. Bill Archer, the ranking Ways and Means Republi- "It's Larry, Curly and Moe," said can, and met early yesterday for cof- Rep. Thomas Downey, New York fee with Mr. Rostenkowski, before Democrat. departing on a campaign trip to House Democrats said their pack- North Carolina and Florida. age likely would contain both lower "We're delighted to have White taxes on capital gains - a center- House input," said Rep. Mickey Ed- piece of Mr. Bush's 1988 campaign wards, Oklahoma Republican and a - and a top tax rate of 33 percent. leader of the GOP conservatives. House Republicans rallied "We're not looking to the White around an alternate budget package House for leadership." that slashes capital gains taxes, The Ways and Means bill em- raises income taxes on the wealthy, braces most of the tax and spending and seeks deeper cuts in social proposals in the bipartisan budget spending. deal rejected by the House last Fri- The plan seeks to reduce capital day. It scaled back Medicare spend- gains taxes from 33 percent to 15 ing reductions from $60 billion to percent and raise income tax rates $50 billion, scrapped the 2-cent tax for upper-income Americans from on home heating oil, required a two- 28 percent to 31 percent. It also week delay for unemployment eliminates the gasoline tax and the checks and provided $12 billion in 2-cent tax on home heating oil. economic incentives for business. Retained from the bipartisan bud- Rep. John Kasich, Ohio Republi- get deal are higher taxes on ciga- can and co-author of the proposal, rettes, beer, wine, and distilled spir- said Vice President Dan Quayle, its, and a 10 percent tax on luxury Budget Director Richard Darman goods. and White House Chief of Staff John The proposed tax increase on mo- Sununu voiced their "strong sup- tor fuel would be 9-cents-a-gallon port." after July 1 of next year, a penny less Meanwhile, the Senate Finance than offered in the previous budget Committee cancelled a scheduled package. closed-door drafting session yester- Both panels are working against day and met to regroup in late night an October 19th deadline set by a stopgap emergency funding bill en- acted early Monday. The Washington Times THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1990 Budget bill wordsmiths face weekend duty By Major Garrett "You probably won't be able to lift least one Republican alternative. THE WASHINGTON TIMES the whole thing," said one committee Oct. 17-19: Following House ac- staffer. tion, the Senate debates the budget Congress is playing beat the clock Of all the committees, the House reconciliation bill. Senate rules al- with the federal budget. Ways and Means Committee has the low 20 hours of debate split equally Committees are hustling to draft most influence and power. It has ju- between Democrats and Republi- the bills that will put bite in the here- risdiction over tax policy and domes- cans. It also allows amendments, as tofore toothless budget agreement tic entitlements, such as Medicare. long as they don't cut spending more and help transform it into law. Chairman Dan Rostenkowski, Illi- than the bill calls for or raise taxes In all likelihood, "sin" and energy nois Democrat, met with President above the bill's agreed-upon levels. taxes will be raised and such entitle- Bush yesterday to discuss the bill. ments as Medicare and farm sub- Details of the session were not re- Several amendments could be of- sidies will be cut. Maybe marginal vealed. fered, delaying consideration. If the income tax rates will be raised and Here's a rough outline of the re- bill is changed, it must go to a House- capital gains taxes will be cut. maining legislative schedule for the Senate conference committee to It's a mystery until the commit- national budget: work out the differences. If the con- tees finish. Oct. 12-15: House committees ference reaches agreement and both The bills have to be drafted over draft bills implementing the budget chambers approve, the bill goes to the weekend to meet a tentative resolution. President Bush, becoming law when schedule outlined by Rep. Leon Oct. 15: House Budget Committee he signs it. Panetta, California Democrat and begins bundling the 13 spending Without a budget reconciliation chairman of the Budget Committee. bills into the budget reconciliation, bill, more than $105 billion in across- He has asked all committees to fin- including a bill to extend the long- the-board government spending ish work on their bills by Friday, but term debt ceiling, which expires cuts take effect at 12:01 a.m. on Oct. will accept them as late as Monday, Oct. 19. a spokesman said. 20. The nation's air transportation Oct. 15 or 16: Budget reconcili- system clogs, health services are de- Once that's done, the Budget Com- ation bill moved to Rules Committee layed, some law enforcement per- mittee then bundles all 13 bills into and, possibly, to the House floor. sonnel are idled and a sizable num- a behemoth omnibus spending bill, Oct. 16-19: House floor debate on called a budget reconciliation bill. ber of meat inspectors are kept off the committee bill and probably at the job. The Washington Times THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1990 The 103 percent problem ive months and scores of missed budget dead- the Japanese, throwing elderly folks into the snow and F lines since President Bush first began nudging basically bringing Life As We Know It to an end. The lawmakers toward a budget agreement, Con- administration, unfortunately, has busily played up this gress is right back where it started. Demo- sky-is-falling scenario. cratic Party committee leaders, charged with finding But as any housewife could tell her lawmaker, as- ways to extract more money from taxpayers as part of suming he would actually listen to a constituent, the yet another midnight budget deal, must now do in 10 choice is not higher taxes or Chicken Little. Families days what they haven't been able to do since April. in fiscal straits try spending less or at least not quite Brace yourself for "hard choices," Beltway-style. "Tonight we reap the bitter harvest of 10 years of so much. A Heritage Foundation "4 percent solution," backed by Rep. Dick Armey and some 40 co-sponsors self-indulgence," intoned Senate Majority Leader in the House and by Montana Republican Conrad George Mitchell. The senator was no doubt referring to Reagan administration attempts to reduce individ- Burns in the Senate, would do just that. By holding non-defense domestic spending to 4 percent annual ual tax burdens. When all else fails, blame the tax cuts. increases, roughly the rate of inflation, and defense to But we have a different sort of "self-indulgence" in no increase, says Heritage analyst Scott A. Hodge, the mind, one that can also be measured over a 10-year federal budget could be balanced by 1994 without any period. In 1980, U.S. taxpayers forked over $517.1 bil- increase in taxes at all. Some programs could get lion to the federal government, a figure that more than doubled to an estimated $1.073 trillion in 1990. Trouble bigger increases, some could get correspondingly smaller ones, as long as the overall rate was 4 percent is, federal spending rose from $590.9 billion in 1980 to or less. Lawmakers could make those hard choices. an estimated $1.197 trillion this year. That's a 103 per- Democratic Rep. Charles Stenholm has floated an un- cent increase in outlays. It took Congress 200-odd years related 4 percent plan that would cap discretionary to get to $590 billion and just 10 more to double it. A businessman who continually outspent his rev- domestic spending programs in conjunction with some tax hikes. enues. would end up in jail or the poorhouse. A law- maker who does so ends up making the rounds of TV Unfortunately, neither congressional leaders nor talk shows, swapping sound bites about "hard choices" the administration has yet signed on to these plans. with Beltway pundits. Indeed, even as congressional Nor, under the current summit blueprint, does it ap- budgeteers chat about the need for budget discipline, pear they will. But locking out common-sense spend- the Democratic budget now taking shape would raise ing limitations and locking in tax hikes has its risks, federal spending in the current fiscal year an esti- both to Mr. Bush's plummeting popularity ratings and mated $70 billion over the last. Only in Washington to congressional re-election campaigns. Voters may could this be considered discipline. But the alternative, find that hard choices Nov. 6 are really pretty easy we are told, is selling off the Washington Monument to after all. The Washington Time THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1990 WARREN BROOKES Why the tax revolt lives hen President W Bush discovered ashington pundits who what a turkey his budget advisers W depend on big govern- ment for their livelihood had cooked up for tend to scorn that mes- him, he should sage, arguing that most federal have sent it back to the kitchen. In- spending is on publicly popular pro- stead, he went on national television grams that can't be cut. to invite taxpayers to dine with him While there is some truth to that and call their congressmen. argument it should come as no sur- Capitol Hill was so besieged with prise that a very large share of gov- negative phone calls, at least one ma- ernment spending does not go for jor phone system was temporarily benefits but for overhead. How gridlocked. That outpouring of tax- much? payer fury over $178 billion in higher Rep. Lamar Smith, a Republican taxes and fees fueled the stunning from San Antonio, Texas, decided to 75-vote margin of rejection last Fri- try and find out. It wasn't easy. "The 1990 1989 1987 1985 1981 1977 1973 day morning. information is available," he told us, After more than a year of self- "but it is not published anywhere in delusion about America's alleged a form that we can make use of it. So willingness to accept higher taxes in we assigned two staff aides to go return for fiscal sanity, Washington over to the Office of Management woke up to discover a truth: The tax and Budget. They spent a month or revolt is alive and well and not just more combing all of the accounts in Massachusetts or New Jersey. that go into general overhead ex- Even though the U.S. tax burden, penses, agency by agency. the total of both federal and other "We found that indirect costs, taxes, has remained remarkably those incurred in things like agency constant at about 38 percent of in- Source: Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis 1973-1990 INCOME travel and transportation, rental and come over the last 20 years or so and is in fact fractionally lower in 1990 lease payments, communications than it was in 1981 (Table I), the pub- (telephones, faxes, etc.), utilities and lic perception is of a government out miscellaneous, printing and repro- of control. The $150 billion savings- duction of documents, office sup- and-loan scandal and other assorted plies and materials, altogether insults have reinforced that image. added up to nearly $270 billion, not It does no good for Washington's counting research and develop- 23.92 23.64 24.13 24.45 25.36 23.89 23.94 Percent Federal ment." denizens in media and government TAX BURDEN ON U.S. PERSONAL to rail against the "selfishness" of That's about a 25 percent over- American taxpayers. It is very clear head cost, which Mr. Smith argues that those taxpayers think 38 per- should not be difficult or painful to cent of their income going to taxes the public to cut by 10 percent, and The Washington Times 38.24 37.79 38.78 38.22 38.76 38.36 38.09 Percent Total is entirely enough, thank you. They thus save $27 billion a year, or about also understand that even with the $135 billion over five years. so-called "deficit reduction," federal "Ironically, and we didn't plan it spending will grow another $225 bil- that way, that turns out to be the size lion or so by 1995. of the tax increase rejected. last This is why there is growing sup- week," which Mr. Smith (a stalwart port for something called "Taxpay- Bush supporter) voted against. er's Action Day," on Oct. 27, spon- Mr. Smith has tried unsuccess- sored by the Council for Citizens fully to get the Office of Manage- Against Government Waste, an out- ment and Budget and various bud- growth of the Grace Commission, get conferees to consider his headed by Alan Keyes, a former proposal, which would involve es- deputy secretary of state in the Rea- sentially telling every government gan administration and a Maryland agency to take somewhat fewer nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1988. trips, print slightly fewer doc- Mr. Keyes has gained the support uments, make fewer phone calls and of the National Association of Radio mailings. Talk Show Hosts, with cooperating programs in at least 28 major mar- "So far, we have had real interest kets, including Detroit, Los Angeles, but no real takers." Mr. Smith admit- Chicago, Washington, San Fran- ted. In other words, cutting waste in cisco, Portland, Boston, Dállas, Mi- this way is not seen as useful be- ami, Baltimore, St Louis, Denver, cause it does not inflict pain. It is Cleveland, New Orleans and Pitts- therefore irrelevant to a Washington burgh, all pushing the theme "It's establishment that has decided to in- Time For a Clean Sweep." flict pain in order to make its point about the need for higher taxes. This drive in turn is an outgrowth of the battle against the congres- That's why we probably need a "Taxpayer's Action Day." sional pay raise in 1989. It will urge taxpayers not only to vote against taxer and spenders but to take to the streets with brooms and placards to produce a visual demonstration for television. While the goal is a media event, the underlying message is anything but frivolous: Government wastes too much money to be given a carte blanche, i.e. a tax increase to waste still more. The Washington Times THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1990 CAL THOMAS Trying leadership potential. Confrontation is what Ronald Reagan did effec- tively. Reagan didn't avoid confron- too hard tation; he sought it." In combat, as in politics, the troops must have a commander will- ing to fight. But time and time again, to please the president seemed to take tough stands, only to negotiate away a win- ning position when he faced strong opposition. Instead of blaming Con- he fiasco over the budget gress for the impasse and calling on T and the rising level of invec- the people to help him, as Mr. Rea- tive against government offi- gan did, Mr. Bush backpedals and cials at all levels are proof invites his ideological enemies in for that President Bush's strategy of coffee. conciliation, compromise, kindness Three months into the Bush pres- and gentleness has failed. idency, commentator William As he watches his once vaunted Schneider wrote, "Being seen as a popularity decline (a CNN-Time great compromiser tends to dimin- Magazine poll showed it dropping ish a president's stature. He may be from a high of 74 percent in August respected for his achievements, but to 61 percent this week), Mr. Bush he loses his standing as a popular might consider a lesson from the hero who inspires loyalty." first Republican to live in the White Mr. Schneider accurately pre- House. dicted, "It cannot be said with any Abraham Lincoln said, "If once certainty that conservatives will be you forfeit the confidence of your there for Bush when his back is to fellow citizens, you can never regain the wall - as they were for Reagan their respect and esteem. It is true during the 1982 recession and the that you can fool all of the people Iran-Contra scandal." some of the time; you can even fool Massachusetts Democrat Sen. some of the people all of the time; Edward Kennedy was right when he but you can't fool all of the people all told a Yale University audience in of the time." March 1989, "Ronald Reagan was a Addressing the nation on televi- successful candidate and an effec- sion last week, Mr. Bush said, "This tive president above all else because is the first time in my presidency he stood for a set of ideas. He stated that I have made an appeal like this them in 1980 - and it turned out that to you, the American people. Tell he meant them - and he wrote most your congressmen and senators you of them not only into public law, but support this [budget] agreement." into the national consciousness." The calls came in, but they were Mr. Bush is no Ronald Reagan. As calls of protest, and this is where Mr. a New York Times article noted last Bush's strategy, so different from spring, "People, not ideas, drive Ronald Reagan's, proved flawed. The [President Bush]." But ideas drive pro-abortionists who were to be at- people, and Mr. Bush is seen by tracted into the new Republican "big many conservatives to have aban- tent" didn't rush to help the pres- doned a core set of principles that ident. Neither did the recipients of are necessary to win their support. National Endowment for the Arts Public disapproval of Congress is SO grants that Mr. Bush vowed to con- high that a popular president ought tinue. to be able to make political chopped Reaganite conservatives who had liver out of members. Properly con- supported Mr. Bush because he ducted, an anti-Congress campaign talked tough on crime, gun control, by the president could benefit Re- reduced government and other is- publican conservatives and perhaps sues dear to their hearts did not re- win back a majority in one or both spond either, except in derision. houses. Failure to launch such a Conservative fund-raiser Richard campaign means that Mr. Bush will Viguerie, who has been persona non be set upon by the anti-government grata at the Bush White House, de- angel of death about to swoop down nounced the now-defunct budget on all of Washington. agreement between Congress and To avoid the public's wrath, Mr. the White House in a letter to GOP Bush must quickly undergo a com- maverick Rep. Newt Gingrich of plete transformation. He must aban- Georgia: "The conservative move- don the politics of conciliation, ment is the adversary of anyone, in which have failed and haul out the Congress or the White House, who heavy guns. He succeeded with such would skewer the American people a strategy in 1988 and he can suc- with higher taxes. We will not affil- ceed again, but there is precious lit- iate ourselves with tax collectors for tle time. the welfare state." If he should begin such a cam- paign, he must this time convince Republican Sen. William Arm- the American people that he means strong of Colorado told me that "by what he says, because the voters are trying to avoid confrontation, Pres- going to want to read something ident Bush undermined his own more substantial than the presi- dent's sometimes quivering lips. The Washington Times THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1990 MAX LERNER Budget When Mr. Lewis used a recent ar- impasse ticle of Mr. Kennedy's to push his "decline thesis" on the current Gulf crisis, an op-ed piece by Joseph Nye Jr. deftly undercut him. puzzle There is a whole new school of young American political thinkers - Mr. Nye foremost among them - who point out that "hard" military OW does it happen that this and economic power (and America H vaunted American sys- has a measure of both) are today in tem of ours has brought a mix with "soft" power. Mr. Nye on a characteristic do- defines soft power as "the ability to mestic fiscal crisis at the very mo- co-opt rather than command." Mr. ment when American world leader- Lewis now is citing the budget crisis ship is being displayed as rarely as further proof that a declining before? America is not in a position for The tempting, but silly, thing is to "soundly addressing" (Mr. Nye's resort to corridor gossip and media phrase) the domestic issues that we politico-babble, and put the blame on are all wrestling with. the "rudeness" of White House Chief I share Mr. Nye's view of hard and of Staff John Sununu, or the "in- soft power and America's possession triguing" of Budget Director Rich- of both. But we are all in danger of ard Darman, or upon any of the chief omitting from our political/eco- actors in the summit party "coali- nomic discourse the seismic tion." It diminishes the central im- changes in science and technology portance of the process itself to ask that are transforming the world's (as the talk shows do) who "won" and landscape and that furnish the real "lost," from President Bush down. driving force of our new era. But the personal whodunits of the As it happens a fresh book minimalists, which trivialize the ("Powershift" by Alvin Toffler, ex- whole problem, come side-by-side cerpted in Newsweek) sheds more with the laments of the maximalists, light on our economic and political convulsions - domestic and global - than either the minimalists or maximalists. The new The information revolution he techno-forces are continues to explore in his books is clearly leading to a decentralizing of disintegrative. More political power, as it is also doing to wealth production, product distribu- than ever we need a tion, "niche markets" and media new political communication. We can apply some of his leads to discourse on what will what is happening to the political process, including budget-making. again enable America A strong science-driven informa- tion/media revolution has laid bare to cohere. the skeleton of our already powerful interest and pressure groups, and sheds an intense light on the posi- who inflate a budget impasse into a tions their senators, congressmen crisis of "decline" for the entire and president take on what affects American civilization. them most. More than anything, it is I cite Anthony Lewis, able and their "niche" claims for power- learned commentator, who sees in sharing in the budget process that the budget melee nothing less than have brought it to a sharp halt. And the validation of Paul Kennedy's alas, they found in America's age-old hefty tome on "The Rise and Fall of system of divided presidential/ the Great Powers" and his thesis of congressional powers an ally for America's "imperial overstretch." their power bid. The phrase, incidentally, goes This doesn't mean we must scrap back to Walter Lippmann. It had real the system for an even faultier "par- meaning when applied to Lyndon liamentary" one that would move Johnson's disastrous effort to arrest even further toward what alienates the "falling dominoes" in Vietnam the people from government. It does and the Pacific Rim. But even then, mean that the new techno-forces are the folly of the overstretch did not lie anti-cohesive and disintegrative. in America's lack of an economic More than ever we need a new politi- base for the Viet Nam War. There cal discourse on what will again en- able America to cohere. was economic strength enough for both guns and butter. The fatal weak- ness lay in the lack of a base in America's ethos, with a resulting po- Max Lerner is a nationally syndi- rous home-front support for the men cated columnist. who faced death. The New York Times THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1990 Bush, Leaving G.O.P. Rift in Capital, Begins a Campaign Swing in South By MAUREEN DOWD chairman of the House Ways and such confusion, "Confused?" Special to The New York Times Means Committee. When Mr. Bush is under pressure, it, ATLANTA, Oct. 10 - Jesse Helms Marlin Fitzwater, Mr. Bush's spokes- is often reflected in a Presidential syn- has not been very supportive of his man, said the President did more tax more fractured than usual. At the President this year. The conservative fence-mending on Tuesday night, call- Martinez rally, Mr. Bush offered this Republican Senator has crossed ing Representative Bill Archer of explanation of what he had done sofar: swords with President Bush on an Texas, the ranking Republican on the "Last Friday night, with no budget education bill, a textile bill, the Clean Ways and Means panel, after his frac- agreement, I vetoed that thing - they Air Act, a hate-crimes bill and several tious session with Republican Senators. call it the continuing resolution. And foreign service appointments. Mr. Bush made no note, in his that keeps the Government - to go if On Monday, Mr. Helms voted against speeches, of the chaos he had left in they signed that, and I had signed it, the budget outline that cleared the way Washington by his reversal on taxes, or that would have just kept the operating for the President to sign a stopgap fi- of the rupture in the Republican Party. of the Government just day in and day nancing measure to reopen the Gov- Rather, he acted as though everything out the same old way. Well, I vetoed ernment. The Senator called the meas- was grand in the party. that. The veto was sustained, and I kept ure "a turkey," noting acerbically that "If recent events have shown any- the pressure on. And to make the point, he was "opposed to any - read my thing at all, it is that we need more Re- no more business as usual." lips: any - tax increase.' publicans in Congress," he said at the Giving up the elliptical President, re- Mr. Helms was also present at the Helms fund-raising breakfast. porters pressed Mr. Fitzwater, Mr. meeting of Republican Senators at the Later, at a rally in St. Petersburg, Bush's spokesman, to clarify the Presi- White House on Tuesday afternoon, Fla., for Gov. Bob Martinez, Mr. Bush dent's shift, which sent an aftershock where Mr. Bush was told to stop wob- said he hoped Congress sent him a through Republicans in Congress al- bling on taxes. On Wednesday Mr. Bush budget agreement "which spurs ready reeling from the budget debacle. said for the first time that he might growth, opportunity, and prosperity - First, Mr. Fitzwater replied: "As agree to an increase in income tax G.O.P. that has a nice ring." they say at the State Department, I rates for wealthy Americans as part of Although Mr. Bush knows that polls have nothing for you on that." a budget compromise, but he later Pressed for an answer, he said: abandoned that position under strong "We're looking for a common ground. pressure from Republican senators. It's up to the committees. We're not But politics is politics. And even Helms's attacks taking a position on any specific item though Mr. Bush has just suffered the except to say the original budget pack- most humiliating week of his Presi- don't keep Bush age is what we preferred. We think it's dency because of the defection of law- a good one." makers in his own party, he hit the trail He said that Republican Senators today to praise the North Carolinian as from stumping. told Mr. Bush on Tuesday that they well as other Republican candidates in thought they could come up with a new Georgia and Florida. deal "pretty close" to the one that was In Praise of Helms defeated. show the public is disgusted with the White House officials said on Tues- At a fund-raising breakfast today in President and Congress, he tried to nudge some more of the blame over to day that Mr. Bush had silently acqui- Raleigh, N.C., before a polite but sub- Capital Hill. esced in the assessment of Republican; dued audience, the President called Mr. Helms "a champion of conviction." At the Martinez rally at Vinoy Park, Senators, that he must drop any idea of he said it was "about time" that Con- a trade on the top tax rate in return for He praised his "true grit," "independ- ence," "candor," "courage," "tenaci- gress "met that responsibility" to pass a cut in capital gains. But today, Mr. a budget. His tone was one of outrage, Fitzwater did more elaborate bobbing ty," "compassion," "commitment" and "mainstream values." He called but it sounded somewhat forced, as it and weaving that showed that no one seemed to know where the President him the embodiment of "God-fearing often did during his own campaign. good citizens who believe, as I do, in re- "I got a little heat for closing the stood - and if the President did, he Washington Monument," he said. "And was not saying. The spokesman turning voluntary prayer to our na- I would apologize if there are any of reversed the White House position and tion's classrooms." those Boy Scouts or Girl Scouts here said that the President just listened to For his part, Mr. Helms, in a tight race against the Democratic chal- from Florida that went up there. But I the Senators and did not necessarily lenger, Mayor Harvey Gantt of Char- know that if I hadn't taken that action, acquiese. lotte, called Mr. Bush "a thoroughbred Congressmen would have all headed "Everything is on the table," the gentleman." It was the best he could do home, marched out in the front of the spokesman said, talking to reporters in under the circumstances. Columbus Day parade all over the St. Petersburg. A moment later, he country, telling people what good they backtracked, observing, "I'm not say- What was not clear was how much were doing, instead of staying in Wash- ing where it is." Alluding to Congress, lobbying Mr. Bush was doing on the ington and solving the deficit prob- he said, "It's their shot." telephone and behind the scenes as he caromed around the South. lem." In his final appearance of the day, Conservatives are in a fury over Mr. Bush spoke at a fund-raising recep- Churning Up Confusion tion for Johnny Isakson, the Republi- what they call the politics of appease- The White House continued in its can candidate for Governor of Georgia, ment practiced by Mr. Bush and his inarticulate and confused mode. in Atlanta. chief of staff. John H. Sununu, once but Asked, when he arrived in St. Peters- "Right now, the Federal budget pro- no longer the trusted messenger to the burg, if he could clear up the confusion cess is like a huge Rube Goldberg ma- right. An opinion poll published today in over his wavering position on taxes, the chine, out of control - producing noise, The News and Observer of Raleigh, President replied shortly, "Let Con- smoke, heat and no light," Mr. Bush gress clear it up." said. N:C., said that a majority of North Carolina voters gave the President low Later, jogging in the rain at the Al "We've had a few days for the smoke marks on domestic issues, with 52 per- Lang Baseball Park, where the St. to clear. Now it's time to move for- cent rating his performance "fair" or Louis Cardinals conduct spring train- ward." ing, Mr. Bush was asked if he was "poor." The staunchly Republican crowd ready to throw in the towel on a capital- that gathered to meet Mr. Bush recep- Campaign Swing in South gains tax cut. "Read my hips," the tion expressed steadfast support for Before he left for his three-state President said, pointing to that portion the President. Southern swing today, Mr. Bush of his anatomy. "In my book, he's 100 percent on both squeezed in a 15-minute meeting in the Asked, as he continued to jog, about the budget and Iraq," said Gordon Oval Office with Representative Dan raising taxes on the wealthy, he said, Sawyer, an advertising company exec- Rostenkowski. Democrat of Illinois, the seeming grimly pleased about causing utive from Gainesville, Ga. IMPASSE CONTINUES Tuesday Meeting Pivotal Then, on Tuesday afternoon, the next week under a rule that would President met with Republican sena- allow two amendments, one to be de- tors. Afterward, Senator Bob Pack- vised by Democrats and the other.by wood of Oregon announced that Mr. Republicans. Big Battles Seem Likely Bush agreed with the senators that tax The Capital Gains Factor rates should not be increased at any The Democratic amendment would in House and Senate price. almost certainly raise the tax rate-on Asked about that, Marlin Fitzwater, wealthiest Americans at least to 33 the President's spokesman, said, "It's percent. Whether it would give a break Over Capital Gains fair to say he acquiesced in their to capital gains is unclear. views." The Republican amendment would Tuesday night, John H. Sununu, the surely contain a lower capital gains President's chief of staff, told about 40 tax. Whether it would also raise the top By DAVID E. ROSENBAUM lobbyists for corporations and trade as- income tax rate is not certain. Special to The New York Times sociations at the White House that a Since Democrats control the House WASHINGTON, Oct. 10 - The White combination of lower capital gains by a 3-to-2 margin, their amendment House shifted course again today on taxes and higher income taxes on the will probably be adopted and become tax policy, baffling the Congressional wealthy would be opposed by the Presi- part of the bill that will be sent to the dent, according to one of the lobbyists, Senate. tax committees and leaving Congres- Alan Kranowitz of the National Associ- The issue between Republicans and sional leaders confused about which ation of Wholesaler-Distributors. Democrats turns on this: Democrats way to turn. This morning, however, Mr. Bush believe the top tax rate needs to be With legions of lobbyists clogging the met with Representative Dan Rosten- higher so that the wealthy would bear hallways, key lawmakers met in closed kowski of Illinois, the influential chair- more of the burden of deficit reduction sessions throughout the Capitol in an man of the Ways and Means Commit- and the poor and middle class less. Re- effort to make sense of the President's tee, and afterward Mr. Fitzwater said: publicans maintain that a low top rate position and to attempt to write the "Publicly, we're not taking a position and a lower capital gains tax, while di- on any specific items." rectly most beneficial to the wealthy, most important deficit-reduction legis- lation in history. Ten days into the new The situation was complicated by a: would help all Americans by improving fiscal year, the Government remained split between Republicans in the Sen-; the state of the economy. without a detailed budget plan. ate and House. Senate Republicans do Even the most sophisticated students not want to cut the capital gains rate if of Congress are unwilling to predict The latest developments left frozen the price is a higher top income tax how all this will work out. If, as seems the issue that has divided the President rate. House Republicans would accept probable, Congress approves a tax- and Congress all year: whether capital a higher top rate in return for a lower and-spending bill Mr. Bush does not gains taxes should be lowered in ex- capital gains rate. like, there are two possibilities. change for a higher income tax rate on The confusion today was such that He could sign the bill and then blame the wealthiest taxpayers. At this point, Senator Bentsen canceled the meeting the Democrats in the remaining days the issue of capital gains is likely to end at which his Finance Committee was to before the Nov. 6 election for raising begin voting on a tax plan he offered taxes and approving a budget with?in- up as a free-for-all debate on the House Tuesday that would have raised the top sufficient incentives for economic and Senate floors. growth. He could also use that argu- The House Ways and Means Com- ment to deflect blame to Democrats in mittee ducked that issue today, approv- the event of an economic recession. ing a budget plan that left capital gains Congressional Or, he could veto the measure and unaddressed. The plan would raise the force Congress to reconvene after the gasoline tax and Medicare premiums, election in a lame-duck session to but in a way that seemed more palata- tax panels are tackle deficit reduction once again. ble to the rank and file than the deficit- baffled. Who Will Be Helped? reduction deal that the House rejected Some Democrats, including the last week. House majority leader, Richard A. On the Campaign Trail income tax rate to 33 percent from 28 Gephardt of Missouri, believe the parti- The bill was similar to one Senator percent and lowered the capital gains san nature of the budget battle will help rate to 23 percent from 28 percent. The Democrats in the election, enabling Lloyd Bentsen, chairman of the Fi- plan also would have raised the mini- them to claim to be the party support- nance Committee, suggested Tuesday mum tax paid by the very wealthy to 25 ing fairness in the tax system. but withdrew today because of the con- percent from the current 21 percent. But others, including Representative fusion over President Bush's position. "Frankly, I was ready to proceed Robert T. Matsui of California, fear the As uncertainty over Mr. Bush's shift- this morning," Senator Bentsen said. fight plays into the Republicans' hands ing position on higher taxes slowed ef- "But once they changed their position by letting them portray themselves as forts to work out a new budget agree- on this, we had to redo our package." the party of prosperity and the Demo- crats as the party of higher taxes. ment, the President hit the campaign Democrats Chart Course The measure approved by the House trail for a series of events in behalf of The Senate Democratic leader, Ways and Means Committee this after- Republican candidates in Raleigh, George J. Mitchell of Maine, said after noon followed the same framework as N.C., St. Petersburg, Fla., and Atianta. talking with Mr. Bentsen, "In view of the agreement announced by President [Page D22.] the apparent reversal of position by the Bush and Congressional leaders Sept. By tonight, the White House stance President, we will now have to recon- 30 and rejected last week by the House was that President Bush had no public sider what the appropriate course of of Representatives. position on whether taxes on the action will be." But the Rostenkowski bill stripped wealthy should be raised in return for a A spokesman for Mr. Bentsen said from the agreement elements that the the chairman was meeting tonight with chairman said were "totally obnoxious lower capital gains rate, and that he Democratic colleagues and might put to members on the floor of the House of was willing to leaveithe matter to Con- forth a new proposal Thursday. Representatives." Among the eie- gress to decide. For his part, Mr. Rostenkowski ments were these: That represents a full-circle progres- pushed through his committee today a 4A much higher monthly premium sion from where the President stood bill that was almost identical to the-one and annual deductible for medical in early Tuesday, when Congress ap- Mr. Bentsen offered Tuesday, with one surance covering doctors' bills under proved the broad outlines of a five-year main exception: it did not mention Medicare. Federal budget. capital gains, income tax rates or the 9A two-week waiting period before a minimum income tax. Later Tuesday morning, Mr. Bush person could receive unemployment Both the Bentsen and the Rostenkow- benefits. told a news conference that if Congress ski bills would raise the gasoline; in- Nearly $20 billion worth of tax agreed to the reduction in capital gains crease taxes on alcoholic beverages, breaks for small businesses. taxes he has long sought, he would con- tobacco and luxury items; raise the CA 2-cent-a-galion tax on home heat- sider higher income tax rates on the premium and the deductible for Medi- ing oil. wealthy. It was the first time he had care insurance, and over all cut the The bill difiers slightly from the one been other than inflexibly opposed to deficit by $40 billion this year and $500 Senator Bentsen offered Tuesday higher rates. billion over five years. Mr. Rostenkowski's intention is, to bring this core bill to the House floor Bush's Tax Stumble: The Capital Can Hardly Believe Its Eyes By R. W. APPLE Jr. Special to The New York Times WASHINGTON, Oct. 10 - The head- far, but now he runs the risk that the President's said, "The next lines around the country today used evenhandedness that once looked like thing you words like "flip-flop," "waffle," professionalism will look more like know, they'll be saying Bush has been "blink," "retreat," "zigzag" and "fick- weakness. Carterized." He argued that like le" to describe George Bush's erratic In addition, the Republican unity nur- Jimmy Carter on his doomed energy course on taxes none of tured by Mr. Reagan has been frac- bill, "our man hasn't told the American tured in little more than a week. As of people why deficits matter, and re- News them exactly calculated to tonight, Representative Bill Archer of member they've been conditioned by Analysis please the President, who Texas, the top Republican on the House eight years of Ronald Reagan to think is as eager as his prede- Ways and Means Committee, was they don't matter, and they basically cessors to be seen as a backing a deal in which a cut in the still think that." strong leader. capital gains tax would be paired with With no real support from the public, But the comments in the Washington higher income tax rates for the the friend said, Mr. Bush is twisting political community were even tough- wealthiest Americans, and Senator and turning in search of some formula er. A Republican strategist, as reluc- Bob Packwood, the top Republican on that will solve an important problem, tant as other party leaders to be quoted: the Senate Finance Commitee, was op- but doing so in a way that makes him posing it. look like "the king of expediency." at a time when the party line looks more like a doodle, said, "We're really Even with the President's energetic, Robert S. Strauss, the Texas Demo- getting slaughtered, because the Presi- help, the Republican Congressional crat who has formally or informally dent looks indecisive and the Adminis- leadership could not deliver a majority advised the last three Presidents, said in the House last week for Mr. Bush's Mr. Bush's problems began when he al- tration looks rudderless." original budget package. Representa- lowed Mr. Gingrich to escape without Thomas Mann, a political scientist at tive Newt Gingrich of Georgia, the Re- penalty. "Presidents who let key peo- the Brookings Institution, said the Bush publican whip, defied the President ple in their own parties go into business Presidency was "threatening to disin- with impunity. And Patrick J. Buchan- for themselves look like nice guys, but tegrate before our very eyes, because an, a leading spokesman for Republi- they eventually suffer a heavy penalty he has completely abdicated his lead- can right wing, announced in his syndi- for it," Mr. Strauss said. ership responsibilities." cated column today that "Mr. Bush no longer seems a sure bet for 1992." "Now the President has major, That Word Is Back major problems," he went on, "and Nor does there seem to be much John Sununu, who's a very able man in By giving the impression that he unity in the White House. A former aide many ways, doesn't know how to fix could easily be pushed around - agree- to Mr. Reagan said todav. "Thev're them for him." ing with one group one minute, another setting a world record for mixed sig- nals over at that building," and one of the next - Mr. Bush revived talk of the best-informed Republican lawmak- him as a political wimp, a description ers said he had not the slightest idea he seemed to have shaken two years what Mr. Bush really wanted. ago. Mr. Packwood insisted Tuesday Shocked by what they are seeing and night that the President had rejected hearing, politicians here offer a spec- the deal on capital gains and income trum of explanations for what nearly taxes that he seemed to embrace that all see as a major stumble by a Presi- morning, and the White House chief of dent who had been highly successful: A staff, John H. Sununu, told a group of thin White House staff, with a weak lobbyists the same thing. Bob Dole of political operation and a dubious Capi- Kansas, the Republican leader in the Senate, said Mr. Bush had ruled noth- tol Hill liaison team, that has neither ing out, and Marlin Fitzwater, the provided good information nor spoken White House spokesman, who; had with one voice. A President more com- echoed Mr. Packwood on Tuesday, fortable with foreign affairs than with sounded a lot like MrsDole on Wednes- the nitty-gritty of domestic policy. An day. Administration with no clear idea of AS his credibility trickled away in Washington, the President was cam- where it wants to go and, as several paigning in North Carolina for Senator people suggested, an attack of feckless- Jesse Helms, who had called the origi- ness at a crucial time. nal Bush budget deal "a turkey." And "There's no plan," said Edward J. when reporters asked him while he was Rollins, co-chairman of the National jogging what he planned to do to sort Republican Congressional Committee. out the mess, Mr. Bush replied, "Read "They just wish this would go away SO my hips." they could deal with something easy Stephen Hess, who has written two like Saddam Hussein. But with four books about the Presidency, said ne- weeks left until Election Day, they're gotiating with Congress on domestic eroding the Republican voting base." issues "was never going to be George No Sun in the Bunker Bush's forte, and it was never safe ground for him." Mr. Hess once Hunkered down at the worst moment worked for Richard M. Nixon, and he of the Bush Presidency, White House said Mr. Bush resembled Mr. Nixon in aides seemed too stunned to explain his distaste for the complexity of do- what had gone wrong, but many freely mestic policy. acknowledged their predicament. "Not a' sunny day in the bunker," one of 'King of Expediency' them said. "You get an international problem, All of this is potentially much more you call in three people - Cheney, damaging to this President than it Scowcroft, Baker, said Mr. Hess. might have been to a Ronald Reagan or "Budget problems, the table gets too a Lyndon B. Johnson, because the pub- large; things slip out of the President's lic tends to identify Mr. Bush with control. You don't like that, unless pragmatism rather than policies. Suc- you're basically a Capitol Hill man, a cess has bred success for Mr. Bush so compromiser like Lyndon Johnson." A close Republican friend of the Face Up to the Fairness Issue ignore at their peril the frustrated By Jim Leach demands for fairer burden sharing by G.O.P. hurts low- and middle-income Americans WASHINGTON on whom they depend for support. he American people Naïvely, White House operatives T voted in 1988 for a re- itself - and left the President vulnerable to the duction in the rate of Bush. fairness challenge by standing stub- growth of government bornly by the views of legislators who and taxes. They did not would not stand by the President. vote to mortgage their Given conservative obduracy and future to the whims of undisciplined the resulting political gridlock, the politicians. They did not vote for os- that is, interest on the national debt? President has little choice but to seek trich politics and depression-inducing In the savings and loan debacle, a governing coalition with the Demo- economics. Congress learned that refusal to deal crats in Congress, one in which cen- At the root of the constitutional with insolvency problems early cost trist Republicans can be utilized to crisis that is gripping Congress is a far more later. The same with budget avoid a stampede to the left. A center- new "duck test" on fairness. While deficits. The fairest budget of all Democrat coalition has the potential conservatives object to anything that would appear to be a balanced to save Republicans from themselves quacks like a tax, liberals sense the one. on fairness issues, even though it outrage of the public and demand Twelve-figure deficits simply have could lead to a deficit package with sacrifices from the wealthy in any no place on the economic agenda of fewer new tax deductions and slightly package that cuts benefits for the either a true liberal or a true conser- poor. vative. Just as it is counterfeit liber- greater spending authorizations. The internal priorities of a five- In a Congress of little leadership alism to devalue the currency with year, $500 billion deficit reduction and less followership, the left and living-for-the-moment spending, it is counterfeit conservatism to object to package are less important than its right are mugging the middle, raising the question whether the center can deficit reduction of the nature framework. The country cannot contemplated in the bipartisan stand the panic that would follow a hold, whether government can gov- ern. package. significant rundown in the stock mar- Ironically, by refusing to engage ket, run-away from Treasury bills Amid the questions of fairness that arose over the details of the budget constructively in the budget summit runup of interest rates. package, largely overlooked were the process and objecting bellicosely to Deficits of the current gargantuan unfair consequences that would re- the initial agreement, conservatives magnitude are sinkholes in the road opted out of the governing coalition to economic recovery. They jeopar- sult if Congress failed to enact a and ceded their seats at the bargain- dize the President's program and the deficit reduction package. Would it be fair, for instance, to the ing table to their adversaries. Their Presidency itself. young of America to add $300 billion ideological rejection of the initial Credible deficit reduction can only to the national debt? package may have been good short- be achieved if the politics of fear give Would it be fair to the elderly who term politics, but it guaranteed the way to the recognition that what is would have to pay more for food and passage of a more liberal alternative, micro-politically jeopardizing for in- medicine because of a refusal of Con- jeopardizing the Reagan revolution. dividual politicians is macro-econom- gress to curb inflation? By refusing to contemplate a ically sound for the country; if liber- Would it be fair to taxpayers who change in the tax code to put high- als develop a functioning spleen to go would have to pay more for nothing, income citizens in the same tax with their heart; if conservatives re- bracket as middle-class taxpayers flect a greater judgment and sense of Jim Leach. Republican of Iowa, is a (breaking the so-called "bubble"), equity to temper their convictions. member of the House Banking Com- even in exchange for capital gains Me-generation citizens cannot af- mittee. reform, Congressional Republicans ford me-generation politicians. The New York Times A Tax Cut That Deserves to Die President Bush's obsessive campaign to cut the economy doesn't amount to very much. But even capital gains tax may finally have been buried by $12 billion is a wildly inflated estimate. his fellow Republicans. Alan Auerbach, an economist at the University He remains somewhere between flip and flop. of Pennsylvania, provided Congress with compel- First, he signaled Congress he would swallow a ling evidence that the Administration plan would deficit reduction package that linked a higher in- cause output to rise by at most a billion a year and come tax rate for the rich to a cut in the tax on might well cause output to fall. A tax cut could spur capital gains. The concession sent the Democratic the economy only if it led to increased rates of chairmen of the House and Senate tax-writing com- capital investment. And that would happen only if mittees off to work out a detailed proposal. the tax cut caused savings to rise. Then, only hours later and after heavy lobbying Yet the tax cut would not affect foreign invest- by House and Senate Republicans, Mr. Bush re- ors or pension funds and other tax-exempt savers. versed himself by agreeing to no such deal. Yester- So the entire burst of savings would have to come day he denied coming to any conclusion. from domestic taxpayers who, according to Dr. Whatever the reason for the President's flip- Auerbach's estimate, would have to boost their flops, the deal has been at least temporarily de- savings by a preposterous 25 percent. railed. That's welcome because it would have The Administration's case is weaker still. The wrecked the tax code and harmed the economy. It tax cut would eventually widen the Federal deficit. deserved to be buried, once and for all. That means saving would fall, dragging down in- The idea looks equitable. Capital gains are vestment and productivity. overwhelmingly earned by families with annual The White House and its supporters have ar- incomes above $150,000. By raising the top income gued that a lower capital gains tax would free tax rate and cutting the tax on capital gains, the rich investors to sell old investments and reinvest. May- pay for their own tax shelter. But the appearance is be, but merely shuffling old assets creates nothing. deceiving. At tax rates close to the levels Congress In short, it is hard to take the Administration's has in mind, the wealthy would come out way ahead. claims seriously. If growth were really the goal, Mr. Fairness is not the only problem. The Bush Bush would have restricted his proposed cut to new Administration has persistently exaggerated the investment. By including old assets, he rewards his potential benefits of cutting the capital gains rate political supporters, not the economy. below 20 percent, contending that economic output The President scuttled the deal at least for now would rise by $12 billion a year for the first five because of a benighted campaign pledge not to raise years. Frankly, a $12 billion boost to a $6 trillion income taxes. Wrong reason. Right outcome. The Washington Post THURSDAY. OCTOBER 11. 1990 THE WASHINGTON POST to me that it's the worst misjudg- President's Stance ment of his presidency, and he's created a brand new opening for the Democrats." Seen Hurting GOP Mann, a specialist on Congress and congressional elections, added: Perceived Sympathy Toward Rich "Until this week, I thought Democrats would be afraid that if Said to Put House Seats at Risk there was no budget deal before the election, they'd pay a price, because voters would say, 'A pox By Paul Taylor on everybody's house,' and there Washington Post Staff Writer are more Democratic incumbents than Republican. Now, I think With fears of a recession growing, the widespread they can play their 'fairness card' media portrayal of President Bush as having sided with and talk about how they couldn't the wealthy in his budget negotiations with Congress led election analysts yesterday to downgrade Repub- get a deal because they are trying .o get the president to tax the lican prospects in next month's midterm elections. "It's unfortunate tactically in terms of how this budget rich and spare the elderly." story has been played in the media that you have George The headlines Mann referred to Bush clinging to a capital gains tax cut and seeming to summarized news reports that favor the rich," said Bill McInturff, a Republican poll- Bush had sent out conflicting sig- ster. "That's not the hook you want on the story." nals about whether he would sup- "I'm afraid we're in a free fall," said a top GOP cam- port an upper-income bracket tax paign strategist who asked not to be identified. "With rate increase as part of a budget the president waffling on the tax issue, our base is erod- deal that would also lower capital ing and the Democrats' base, especially among senior gains taxes. They included the citizens, has a real chance to firm up." lead front page headline in Wed- For most of the year, pollsters have been warning of nesday's USA Today that read, voter frustration at politics as usual, but until now most "Bush: Yes, then no on taxing had concluded that the discontent had a bipartisan cast. rich." In the Evening Sun of Bal- But two polls released this week before the confusion timore, it was, "Bush Flips, then over Bush's position on taxes suggest that Republicans Flops on Tax Rates for Rich." In may be more at risk. The Washington Post it was, According to a survey taken by the Wirthlin Group "Bush Wavers on Taxing Rich as for the National Republican Congressional Committee Senators Protest." In Hot Springs, (NRCC), by 69 to 25 percent voters think the country is Ark., the headline said he "Re- heading in the wrong direction. Another survey for the cants," in Hudson County, N.J., he Los Angeles Times showed that Bush's approval rating "Blinks," in Sioux Falls, S.D., he is down to 55 percent, the lowest level of his presidency "Backs Off." and 21 points below where it had been in mid-August. Mann said that before this week The Wirthlin Group's "right direction/wrong track" numbers are the lowest since the last months of Jimmy he had been guessing that Repub- Carter's presidency, when the Iran hostage crisis and licans would lose only five seats in runaway inflation and interest rates darkened the public the House next month and per- mood and helped elect Ronald Reagan. haps gain a seat or two in the Sen- ate, an excellent projected mid- "When the numbers get to these term showing for the party of an levels, of course you're concerned," incumbent administration. Now, said Marc Nuttle, political director Mann predicted, unless Bush can of the NRCC. "It's not the sort of regain control of the chaotic bud- environment where you want to be get process, "Republicans could identified with the administration in lose as many as 15 to 20 House power." seats." That would mark their Many analysts said these risks worst congressional showing for Republicans could be com- since since 1982 when, in the bounded by news reports of a midst of a recession, the GOP lost GOP president seeming to waffle 26 seats in the House. on the issue of higher taxes for Democrats delighted in the the rich. opening provided by Bush's per- "The headlines around the formance on the tax issue. country today are devastating for "George Bush has two Achilles' Bush-I'm really stunned by the heels-'rich' and 'wimp'-and he way the president has handled managed to expose both of them this," agreed Thomas E. Mann, on the same day," Democratic director of government studies at pollster Harrison Hickman said. Brookings Institution. "It seems Fed Board Wavers prices begin to spread into the econ- omy, inflating wages and prices of other goods, the sources said. On Interest Rate Cuts Several members of the commit- tee questioned whether it would be appropriate to try to use monetary policy to try to offset the economic By John M. Berry impact of a classic supply shock-an Washington Post Staff Writer actual or feared shortage of oil-to Federal Reserve policy makers agreed last week to the economy. cut short-term interest rates slightly in response to a For one thing, the group argued, budget agreement, but they balked at commiting them- the full impact of earlier cuts in selves now to another cut to counteract any further dete- short-term rates, some of which are rioration in the economy, according to well-informed nearly 2 percentage points lower sources. than they were in the spring of The caution within by the Federal Open Market Com- 1988, has yet to show up in the mittee (FOMC), the central bank's secretive top policy- economy. The Fed last cut rates by making body, not only underscored a deep concern about a quarter of a point in mid-July. a stubborn inflation rate but also reflected basic doubts Other members were also worried about how effective the Fed can be in reversing the cur- that a drop in rates could further un- rent economic slowdown by reducing interest rates. dermine the value of the dollar, which this week fell to a record low The Bush administration, its own hands tied by the compared with the German mark budget deficit, has been calling on the Fed to cut interest and is down more than 15 percent in rates to avoid further economic damage. recent months against the Japanese Two days after the $500 billion federal budget deficit yen. A cheaper dollar can help sales package was reached last week, the members of the of U.S. goods and services abroad, FOMC agreed that the measures should trigger a cut of but it also makes imported goods a quarter of a percentage point in short-term rates as more expensive and can add to infla- soon as it became law, according to the sources. tion. Although there are growing signs of weakness in the Balanced against these views is U.S. economy, the FOMC did not go along with a sug- the belief of many private econo- gestion by Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan that it also ap: mists that the economy is in a reces- prove a second cut linked to signs of sion-that is, that the nation's pro- a further economic weakening, the duction of goods and services is sources said. declining significantly-and that it will continue to decline for some As it happened, because the origi- time to come. nal deal was defeated, the promised; initial rate cut also remains on hold. Most of the recession forecasters; Its implementation likely will depend and many other economists who are on how close the terms of any future predicting very weak growth but not deal are to the defeated measure. an actual recession want the Fed to With consumer and business confi- cut interest rates to boost the econ- dence slumping and with higher oil omy. prices cutting into spending power, The day following the closed the FOMC members doubted that meeting, Greenspan endorsed the lower short-term interest rates would pending budget deal, saying it "ap- actually give the economy much of an pears to be a credible, enforceable immediate boost. On the other hand, reduction in the budget deficit, pushing more money into the nation's stretching over a number of years. banking system at this point could Failure to enact the agreement worsen inflation later. would, in my estimation, be a grave Most of the committee expressed mistake." concern that a poorly timed cut Members of the FOMC, who in- could backfire if it increased investor clude Greenspan and the other five worries about future inflation. members of the Fed board as well as If inflation expectations rose, five presidents of regional Fed long-term interest rates-which af- banks, did not believe that the deal lect such key sectors as housing and would produce anything like the business investment-likely would claimed cumulative $500 billion re- go up. The Fed has little control duction in the deficit over the next over these rates. five years, the sources said. The committee majority, deeply Too much of the savings appeared concerned about an inflation rate to be due to projections of rosy eco- that appeared to have been headed nomic growth and falling inflation well above 5 percent even before and interest rates in the later years. the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, does But committee members still felt not want to pump so much money in- that many of the spending cuts and to the economy that escalating oil tax and fee increases would help re- duce future deficits significantly and therefore were prepared to cut rates once the package passed. House Member Backs S&L's Cause After Contributions By Joël Glenn Brenner the way these mortgages are record- Washington Post Staff Writer ed on the S&L's books, making Stan- dard Federal insolvent. Officials of one of Maryland's larg- Annunzio has said the regulations est savings and loans, facing a pro- would be a burden on the S&L indus- posed federal rule that could force their S&L out of business, contribut- try because it would push thrifts "that much closer to destruction." The ed $12,000 to a senior Democrat on the House Banking Committee, who FDIC says the change in accounting is later became the champion of their needed to protect the insurance fund cause in opposing the rule. against the risks associated with The contributions by 14 officials of mortgage servicing. Gaithersburg-based Standard Federal Shortly after the FDIC proposed Savings Bank, the state's third-larg- the rule, Standard Federal officials est S&L, were made in February, began donating money to Annunzio, March and April to Rep. Frank An- the banking committee's No. 2 Demo- nunzio (D-III.), who later called a crat and chairman of the House bank- hearing on the proposed rule, spoke ing subcommittee that oversees fi- out against it and asked for a General nancial institution regulation. Accounting Office inquiry into the During February and March, four rule's effects. Standard Federal officials, including Annunzio did not initially disclose Chairman Allan Lang and his son the connection between the contribu- Marvin, who is vice chairman, gave tors and the S&L in his campaign fi- $1,000 apiece to Annunzio's reelec- nancing reports. Under federal law, a tion effort. Annunzio's reports to the congressional campaign is expected FEC provided some information on to disclose the occupation and em- the donors' occupations, but none of ployer of anyone who gives more than them was identified as working for $200 in an election cycle. Standard Federal. Annunzio said he is amending his In contrast, when Marvin Lang filings to reflect the occupations of contributed to other campaigns this the Standard Federal officials. The year, including donations to Rep. Jim Federal Election Commission (FEC) Saxton (R-N.J.) and Rep. Steny Hoyer is questioning Annunzio's initial lack (D-Md.), he was identified in cam- of disclosure, which was first report- paign reports as a Standard Federal ed by the National Journal. employee. It's unclear whether Lang According to FEC reports, a dozen identified himself or whether those other S&L executives also donated fund-raisers sought out his affiliation. money to Annunzio in the first half of At about the same time as the the year. The contributions come at a time when many in Congress are re- Langs' contributions, Annunzio's fusing to accept money from S&Ls- campaign received separate $200 and when some are even giving con- contributions from 10 other Standard tributions back-because of the per- Federal officials and their spouses. The 20 contributors, who included ception that S&L campaign contribu- Standard Federal's president Emmett tions helped create the current sav- ings and loan debacle by influencing R. Garlock and many of the S&L's congressional decisions that were top-level managers, gave another part of a faulty regulatory environ- round of $200 contributions in April. In reports to the FEC, Annunzio list- ment. The proposed rule, which has ed the donors' occupations as "un- caused an uproar in the mortgage in- known, to be obtained." The Standard dustry, would place new restrictions Federal officials were the only individ- on S&Ls that service home mortgag- ual contributors not identified by An- es-that is, transferring monthly nunzio in his FEC reports. mortgage payments from homeown- Following the initial campaign con- ers to their lenders and handling oth- tributions, a Standard Federal execu- er administrative chores associated tive also met with Curtis Prins, chief with mortgage lending, such as pay- counsel to Annunzio's subcommittee, ments of property tax and insurance. to discuss the rule. And another Stan- Standard Federal services more dard Federal executive testified mortgages than any other thrift in the against the rule at a March 28 hear- nation, with $25.6 billion of mortgag- ing before Annunzio's subcommittee. es as of June 30. But the proposed rule being considered by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. would alter Standard Federal officials declined to one batch of which arrived prior to ment in equipment and manpower return repeated telephone calls. March 30 and the second of which ar- needed to service large mortgage Prins said he became concerned rived April 11-were made for a portfolios. about mortgage servicing before he fund-raising dinner held April 23 at The FDIC says the new restric- met with Standard Federal's vice the National Democratic Club. tions on capital will protect the FDIC chairman Marvin Lang. He said Lang Tynan said it wasn't unusual for fund against these risks. was one of a number of thrift execu- the 20 checks to arrive all on the But if the new rule goes into effect tives who had expressed concern over same day. as proposed, Standard Federal would the proposal-concern that had been "It could be that one person or a need to raise more than $100 million similarly expressed by other mem- couple of people were gathering them in cash to continue operating its huge bers of Congress, particularly Rep. and bundling them and sending them mortgage servicing business. The Barney Frank (D-Mass.). The Resolu- to us," he said. Maryland S&L already has been clas- tion Trust Corp., the agency handling Tynan said the missing identifica- sified by thrift regulators as a "trou- the cleanup of failed S&Ls, also has tion of the donors "wasn't caught" by bled institution" because it falls $54 come out against the rule, saying it campaign workers until the day the million short of the current minimum would render $130 billion of mort- FEC filings were due. He said that capital requirements, and it is operat- gage servicing contracts held by the letters were subsequently sent to ing under a supervisory agreement RTC worthless overnight. each of the individuals to ascertain with S&L regulators. "Long before any of these [thrift their occupations and that Annunzio's In its 1990 annual report, Standard executives] came in, we had estab- FEC filings are being amended to re- Federal said it is "uncertain what im- lished this was one of the areas we flect the contributors' association pact any final amendment [to the wanted to look into," Prins said. with Standard Federal. rule] might have on the savings He said the hearing on mortgage Standard Federal has been lobby- bank's future operations or its capital servicing was requested by Frank and ing intensely against the FDIC pro- position." other members of Congress, and was posal, which was prompted by last Federal regulators, who declined to set up long before Phillip Bracken, a year's savings and loan cleanup bill be identified, said the rules would hit Standard Federal senior vice presi- that mandated new restrictions on an Standard Federal hard, forcing the dent, expressed interest in testifying. S&L's capital-the amount of money S&L into insolvency. Federal regula- Bracken was asked by a group of that thrift owners must reserve on tors could then take control of the thrift executives who have been lob- the books to protect the FDIC fund thrift or close it. bying against the rule to speak at the from potential losses. "This ruling represents a life or hearing on their behalf, Prins said. The proposed rule would allow the death situation for them," said an "Had the campaign contributions value of mortgage servicing contracts FDIC attorney who asked not be iden- been made or not made, it wouldn't to count for only 25 percent of capi- tified. "They've built their entire busi- have affected the decision to hold tal. In the past, S&Ls faced no such ness around this-and quite frankly, these hearings at all," Prins said. "I restrictions and counted the entire that's exactly the kind of thing that didn't even realize that Bracken was value of the contracts toward mini- worries us." affiliated with [Standard Federal]." mum capital requirements. The FDIC was supposed to make a Prins also said he did not know that But many questions have been final ruling on its proposal in July. Lang and other Standard Federal ex- raised about the actual market value However, the enormous debate sur- ecutives had contributed to Annun- of mortgage servicing contracts. In rounding the proposal has forced it to zio's campaign. addition, there are a number of risks delay the decision until the end of the Kevin Tynan, Annunzio's campaign associated with mortgage servicing, year. Public comment on the rule is manager, said the $200 donations— including the risk of the large invest- being extended through Nov. 13. Uncertainty at White House Leaves Tax Writers Confused By John E. Yang terday, Bush said, "The clock is run- ident pulls his party together and Washington Post Staff Writer ning and it's going to keep on run- speaks with one voice, it's very, very ning and I'll veto it again if we don't hard to do what we must do for the Uncertainty over whether President Bush will accept get a satisfactory deal." sake of the country." a higher income tax rate for the wealthiest Americans The president had appeared to Republicans, meanwhile, sought in exchange for cutting capital gains taxes threw con- clear the way to a quick agreement to turn the tables on the Demo- gressional tax writers into confusion yesterday, seri- Tuesday by saying he would be will- crats, who have argued that tax ously diminishing prospects for a quick solution to the ing to give up one 1988 campaign rates for the wealthiest would have months-long fiscal impasse. promise, not to raise income tax to be increased to offset the benefit The House Ways and Means Committee approved a rates, in order to win another, cut- of a capital gains tax cut. "Some stripped-down, five-year $145 billion tax package that ting capital gains taxes. House Democrats are now trying to force puts off fights over higher income tax rates, capital Ways and Means Committee Chair- us to take capital gains in order to gains tax cuts and tax breaks for other investments. man Dan Rostenkowski (D-III.) and get more money by raising tax Administration officials, meanwhile, spent much of Senate Finance Committee Chair- rates," said Senate Minority Leader yesterday shuttling across the Capitol, meeting with man Lloyd Bentsen (D-Tex.) each Robert J. Dole (R-Kan.). anxious House and Senate Republicans in an attempt to planned to propose both higher in- calm them and clarify the president's position. Bush set come taxes on the rich and lower Treasury Secretary Nicholas F. Brady and Office of Management off the controversy Tuesday by first publicly suggesting capital gains taxes, which in general benefit the rich. and Budget Director Richard G. his willingness to accept a capital gains cut-income tax Darman met with House and Senate rate exchange and then giving a group of protesting After a White House meeting with GOP senators the impression he was backing off that Bush early yesterday morning, Ros- Republicans in the Capitol. Sources said some House Republicans feel position. tenkowski devised a strategy of ap- the administration has not given Campaigning for Republican candidates in three proving a bare-bones package of tax them adequate attention through- southern states yesterday, the president steadfastly increases and benefit program sav- out this process. Rep. Mickey Ed- refused to clear up the confusion. Asked in St. Peters- ings and then fighting out such issues wards (Okla.), chairman of the burg, Fla., if he would clarify his position on the tax as higher taxes on the rich, lower House Republican Policy Commit- issue, Bush said, "Let Congress clear it up." taxes on capital gains and Medicare tee, arrived at the meeting room White House press secretary Marlin Fitzwater made savings on the House floor, accord- just as Darman did. Edwards put an effort to put a lid on the controversy, refusing to ing to committee aides. One Dem- out his hand and said, "Hi, I'm Mick- clarify Bush's remarks, explain them or withdraw them. ocrat on the committee called the ey Edwards. Pleased to meet you." By early last night, after being pressed a half-dozen scheme "punting on first down." House Republicans are expected times on Bush's current position, Fitzwater said, "I Meanwhile, the Senate Finance to meet today with Bush at the want to bob and weave on this today." Committee twice postponed and then White House. Asked why, he said, "Because we want Congress to canceled a meeting yesterday. "I had The package the House Ways and the deal all worked out until the Means Committee approved by come up with a package. We don't president changed his position," voice vote after meeting behind want to signal on any specific pro- Bentsen said. Panel Democrats met closed doors for nearly five hours vision." into last night trying to figure out closely follows the tax and benefit The disarray in the administration how to proceed. program provisions of the failed and on Capitol Hill makes it increas- Bentsen said he will meet with the budget summit agreement. ingly unlikely that lawmakers will be full committee today to outline his It would drop all the tax breaks, able to meet their self-imposed dead- plans. "We've got good options," he including the contentious package of line of Oct. 19 to settle details of tax said. Asked if a capital gains tax cut breaks for investments in new small increases and spending cuts to meet and income tax rate hike for the rich companies, that were contained in the budget resolution's goal of saving would be among them, he said, the original and rejected budget plan. $500 billion over five years, $40.1 "That'll be one of the options." The new plan also would raise fed- billion of it in the fiscal year that be- Democrats seized on the confusion eral taxes on gasoline from 9 cents a gan Oct. 1. in an attempt to blame Republicans gallon to 20 cents a gallon, rather "It's not impossible," said House for what could be an extension of the than 21 cents a gallon as envisioned Budget Committee Chairman Leon already protracted budget deadlock. in the budget agreement. It would E. Panetta (D-Calif.). "But it will "We Democrats are still trying to exempt home heating oil from the take a hell of a lot of cooperation." negotiate, but we don't know who to proposed 2-cents-a-gallon tax on re- Bush has said he will not sign leg- negotiate with," said Sen. Wyche fined petroleum products. islation that would continue to fund Fowler Jr. (D-Ga.). "Until the pres- After heavy lobbying by the truck- the government on a short-term ba- ing industry, the plan also would ap- sis beyond Oct. 19 unless lawmakers ply a 9-cents-a-gallon fuel tax to rail- have fully implemented the deficit- roads, the first time that industry has cutting deal by then. In Atlanta yes- been covered by such a tax. Rostenkowski also restored the The Washington Post THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1990 Years Late, U.S. Apology Is Still Sweet By Carlos Sanchez Washington Post Staff Writer The beam from the policeman's flashlight awak- REPARATIONS, From D1 The young Okura couple, along ened K. Patrick Okura in his bedroom and made with their mothers and siblings- Okura and his wife, Lily, both him realize, on that December night 49 years ago, the fathers remained separated retired, spent most of their first that his American citizenship meant nothing. from them for three years-lived in year of marriage living in a tempo- His father was arrested that night; Okura and horse stables for the next nine rary internment camp on the his new bride were spared. months, witnessing the arrival of grounds of Santa Anita raceway, : Earlier that day, Japanese war planes had at- 19,000 others in that location near Los Angeles. tacked Pearl Harbor, drawing the United States Okura, the highest-ranking Jap- alone, and experiencing one of the into World War II and ushering in an era of preju- most blatant breaches of civil lib- anese American working for the dice and hysteria against people of Japanese de- City of Los Angeles, was accused of erties in U.S. history. scent. plotting against the government. "It was a very sad time," Okura "It was terrifying," Okura said of the period be- A syndicated newspaper columnist said, describing an encampment ing recalled this week as the U.S. government be- said the American-born psychologist, where he and his wife lived in an 8- gins fulfilling its commitment under the 1988 Civil who earned a master's degree at by-8-foot tack room that smelled of Liberties Act-to officially apologize to more than UCLA, was trying to pass as Irish by horses. They considered themselves 60,000 surviving Japanese-Americans who were spelling his name O'Kura. lucky because they had privacy. interned during the war. The column said Okura had re- Okura and his wife were allowed An estimated 3,000 of the 5,000 Japanese cruited 50 Japanese Americans into to leave the internment camp when Americans living in the Washington metropolitan city service, and was leading a plot a Catholic priest in Omaha spon- area were taken from their homes, and qualify to to sabotage the city's water and sored them and six other families receive a monetary award. power plants. Twice, the mayor for jobs in the Boys Town youth Okura, 79, of Bethesda, recalled that the hys- asked him to resign after the false home. One of his younger brothers teria against his people began almost immediately allegation was published and twice got out of the camp by volunteering on the day of the attack, Dec. 7, 1941. The FBI, he refused, Okura said. for the all Japanese American aided by federally deputized police officers, ar- Years later, after requesting his 442nd Regimental Combat team, rested more than 2,000 community leaders of Jap- FBI file through the Freedom of and was killed in action. anese descent along the West Coast-including Information Act, Okura found out "This is a very significant histor- Okura's father and fäther-in-law. the mayor had labeled him the most ical event in our lives," Okura said For Okura, among the first group of 23,000 dangerous Japanese in the city, and of the reparation program, the cul- Japanese Americans scheduled to receive a ordered the police department to mination of more than a dozen years $20,000 check and a written apology from Pres- investigate him. of heated lobbying efforts. Okura ident Bush, this federal atonement is a long- Okura and his family were among and his wife said they intend to do- awaited validation that democracy works. the first 7,000 Japanese Americans nate their $40,000 to the Okura "Despite the injustices that may exist in our to receive notices from the War De- Trust Fund. which he established system of democracy, if you stick to it, if the cause partment in March 1942 that they with $25,000 two years ago. The is right, then you do have a chance of righting the were being interned as threats to fund gives stipends to Asian Amer- wrong," he said. national security. They were ordered icans for leadership training in the This redress, estimated to cost $1.25 billion, to report to the race track for a two- human services field. comes 48 years after President Roosevelt signed to three-week stay, until permanent Despite the indignities he expe- Executive Order 9066, which resulted in the in- facilities were built in remote sites in rienced, Okura said he is not bitter. ternment of more than 120,000 Japanese Amer- 11 states. Not a single incident of "How one handles hardships makes sicans, 70 percent of whom were U.S. citizens. espionage involving Japanese Amer- "Not only the authorities. but the public was un- you a better person," he said. "You icans was ever documented. friendly. Hostile. Nasty," he said. accept it and make the best of it." See REPARATIONS, D5, Col. 1 Senate Shelves Cuts In Social Security Tax Moynihan Bill Scuttled by GOP Maneuver Moynihan created a stir late last By Helen Dewar Washington Post Staff Writer year when he proposed the Social Security tax rollback as a way of The Senate yesterday shelved a eliminating huge surpluses in the proposal by Sen. Daniel Patrick retirement trust fund that he said Moynihan (D-N.Y.) to cut Social Se- were being used to mask the true curity payroll tax rates after Repub- size of the federal budget deficit. licans succeeded in blocking consid- In a modified version of the pro- eration of the measure on grounds posal, Moynihan recommended it violated congressional rules scaling back the payroll tax for So- against budget-busting. cial Security, exclusive of Medicare, The Senate voted 54 to 44 in fa- from 6.2 percent to 5.1 percent vor of the waiving the rules, falling over the next six years. For the short of the 60 votes needed to con- same period, he proposed to in- sider a bill that exceeds revenue or crease the amount of wages subject spending limits. The vote apparent- to the tax, raising the wage level to ly doomed the proposal for this $85,500 by 1996 instead of: year. $70,500. Scuttled along with Moynihan's In invoking budget rules to block proposal were amendments to re- consideration of the proposal, Sen. peal the current limitation on earn- Ted Stevens (R-Alaska) contended ings by Social Security recipients that proposing such a tax rollback and to increase payments to Social without saying how it would be paid Security beneficiaries born between for amounted to "demagoguery." Ei- 1917 and 1926, the so-called "notch ther the Social Security trust fund babies" for whom benefits were re- would be undermined or other taxes duced in a 1977 formula change. would have to be increased, he ar- Altogether, the proposals would gued. have cost nearly $170 billion over Claiming a moral victory because five years, threatening to put a big a majority of the Senate indicated hole in the five-year, $500 billion approval of his proposal, Moynihan deficit-reduction package that Con- vowed to bring it up for a vote ev- gress is attempting to pass before it ery year until it passes. adjourns this month. Election-year Sens. Paul S. Sarbanes (D-Md.) politics appeared to play as big a and Barbara A. Mikulski (D-Md.) role as budget considerations in the voted to waive the budget rules to outcome, as Republicans scrambled allow consideration of the bill, while: to find a way to scuttle the measure Sens. Charles S. Robb (D-Va.) and without having to vote directly John W. Warner (R-Va.) voted against it. against doing so. Tax Confusion and a Party Divided Amid Conflicting Strategies, Many in GOP Still Unsure of Bush's Aims By Dan Balz proper, if it can be worked in proper lican senators, aided by anonymous Washington Post Staff Writer balance between the capital gains White House aides, to slam it shut rate and income tax changes, fine." hours later after a meeting at the The confusion over President Watching the performance on White House. Bush's stand on higher tax rates for television, one administration offi- Yesterday morning, after seeing wealthy taxpayers, which played cial said, "I almost fell off my chair" the portraits of confusion on tele- out Tuesday in an embarrassing and because what Bush said "went well vision and in the newspapers, Re- politically damaging sequence, re- beyond what we thought was the publicans attempted a partial re- flects deep divisions inside the ad- position." treat from the apparent flip-flop. ministration over budget strategy A senior administration official "He didn't make any decisions and sharply conflicting approaches said the confusing events that fol- [Tuesday]," Senate Minority Lead- favored by House and Senate Re- lowed were "just a replay of the ar- er Robert J. Dole (R-Kan.) said of publicans. gument we have been having within Bush's reaction to the GOP sena- Scrambling to maintain Repub- the administration for the past 36 tors' recommendation that he take lican unity in the face of the Dem- hours." the issue off the table. "He listened ocratic majority in Congress, the Sununu, Darman and Treasury to us. He didn't announce his posi- White House has found itself mired Secretary Nicholas F. Brady "want tion at all. He didn't acquiesce." in disagreement with no clear way to close the deal and believe any Seventeen senators visited the out. Many loyal Republicans, in and reopening of these problems you White House late Tuesday after- out of the administration, say they couldn't solve over weeks and noon. There are conflicting reports are uncertain what the administra- weeks will make sure you can't about how they ended up there. tion is trying to do now. Bush said it close the deal at all unless it is on One account said Dole and Pack- was up to Congress to clear up the straight. Democratic terms," the wood decided they wanted Bush to confusion. official added. know of opposition among Senate Bush reportedly was not happy But complicating White House Republicans. Another account said with the way events unfolded Tues- strategy-making was the conflict that Sununu and Darman, knowing day. But White House Chief of Staff between senior Senate Republicans, the senators' views, wanted Bush to John H. Sununu and Office of Man- who fear Bush cannot strike a good hear them firsthand in an effort to agement and Budget Director Rich- deal with the Democrats, and many push him back from his morning ard G. Darman continued to work to House Republicans, who once op- statement. block any new agreement that posed increasing tax rates but are Some White House aides backed strays too far from the package now talking about being willing to up Packwood's statement, with soundly rejected by the House last do so. Sununu telling a business group week. What happened Tuesday? The that higher rates were off the table. White House officials said they simplest explanation may be that The White House divisions, had agreed that Bush's message Bush went farther than intended which are more tactical than ideo- during his news conference Tues- during his news conference and logical, grow out of the administra- day was that he was not ruling out then backed off less than Sen. Bob tion's desire to bring back into the or in any specific provision and that Packwood (R-Ore.) suggested when fold House Republicans who voted all issues were on the table in the he told reporters that Bush had "ac- against Bush and the package last new round of budget negotiations quiesced" to the Senate Republi- week. What has astounded White with Congress. Instead, when asked cans. House officials is that many of those if he were now willing to accept Bush opened the door to a rate same Republicans, including House higher rates to get a capital gains hike in exchange for a cut in capital Minority Whip Newt Gingrich (R- cut, he replied: "That's on the table. gains taxes Tuesday morning, then Ga.), have been talking up a new That's been talked about. And if it's appeared to allow a group of Repub- compromise that would include higher rates in exchange for capital gains. One official said that those who now favor striking a deal believe that the top rate on the richiest tax- payers eventually will be increased and that it behooves the Republi- cans to get something for it, such as capital gains tax cuts, when they can. Vice President Quayle in partic- ular has sided with House Repub- licans, largely to build unity.' But the administration now faces a difficult strategic decision. Senate Republicans, because of their num- bers, are a potent force in the ne- gotiations. They have the votes to sustain a presidential veto of any final package that Bush dislikes. House Republicans, far more a mi- nority, are seeking a role in the ac- tion in the House, which is domi- nated by Democrats. One Democrat said Bush's only real hope is to negotiate with Dem- ocrats in the House and a bipartisan coalition in the Senate. White House officials also fear that some of the House Republicans now favoring a deal on higher rates may be using it to appear reason- able but ultimately want to derail the negotiations and turn the fight into a partisan battle. Bush has said privately that he still fears political damage if he bows to higher rates, although po- litical advisers have told him "it's no big deal." He also has been told that the Democrats already have won the argument because the president is now seen as defending the rich. The current Sununu-Darman strategy appears to be aimed at persuading House Republicans, who have been invited to the White House today in waves, to abandon their talk of raising tax rates in or- der to unify the party in both cham- bers and then hang tough. What was unclear yesterday was where Bush now stands. Michael Kinsley Capital Gains Dementia We have reached a nadir of dishonesty in vestments held when you die escape tax the budget debate when some Republicans completely-a $5 billion annual loophole. justify their opposition to cuts in Medicare To index capital gains for inflation-another benefits by defining such cuts as a "tax frequent suggestion-would increase the bias increase on the elderly." We also have against other forms of investment. Like a capi- reached a nadir of illogic when Democrats tal gain, interest income is partly compensation propose to exchange higher top-bracket tax for the erosion of your principal. And if you rates for a cut in the capital gains tax. start indexing the tax on profits, you also should Although the rich should certainly pay more index the deduction for borrowing costs. Part of taxes, there is nothing wonderful about higher the interest paid on debts also merely compen- tax rates as such. Higher tax rates do discour- sates for the erosion of principal. If people can age economic activity. There are plenty of borrow money and deduct all the interest, then ways to sock the rich without raising marginal invest it but pay tax only on the profit above rates-by closing loopholes instead. Sen. Lloyd inflation, they are going to screw up the econo- Bentsen's idea of raising the "alternative mini- my and the federal treasury but good. mum tax"-the tax you pay if you take too Some people-most notably the editors of many deductions-is a good technique for The Wall Street Journal-argue that the limit doing this through the back door. on deducting capital losses makes the tax on To raise marginal rates and then give back capital gains unfair. Here we reach the farthest the money through a capital gains break is shores of capital gains dementia. Watch closely. doubly crazy. Fairness aside, the problem Capital losses are fully deductible each year with a capital gains break is that it violates against capital gains of the same year. Beyond the principle of tax neutrality: letting the that, you can deduct up to $3,000 a year of market, rather than tax considerations, dic- capital losses against your ordinary income. tate economic decisions. Neutrality is a good And you can "carry forward" any losses beyond capitalist notion: it holds that the free market $3,000 for use in future years. knows better than the government how re- So ask yourself: Who is hurt by the limit on sources can be used most efficiently. capital losses? Two groups come to mind. First there are those who, year after year, Raising the ordinary tax rate while cutting lose more than $3,000 on their investments. the capital gains rate makes the distortion Such people are surely to be pitied. But they even worse. The bigger the gap, the bigger are hardly the key to a thriving economy. And the opportunity to create tax shelters. Many the capital loss obsessives seem remarkably of the Democratic Party's contributors and well-dressed to pass for such losers. fundraisers are in exactly the lines of busi- In truth the capital loss limitation affects a ness-real estate, oil and gas, entertain- ment-that would benefit most from the larger and more prosperous group: those who can arrange their affairs to generate capital combination of a higher top tax rate and a losses while actually doing quite well, thank new capital gains break. I say no more. you. The key point about capital gains and The New York Times advocates "a tax cut losses is that you can choose when to take that is limited to new investment in venture them. With no limit on capital losses, it would capital and other risky start-up companies." be easy to create transactions that generate Many others are tempted by the idea of huge gains and losses in roughly equal sorting out the "new" or "risky" investments amounts. You take the loss (thereby reducing and only giving a tax break to these. But the the tax on your other income) and postpone problems of definition-and the certainty that the gain-perhaps indefinitely. Et voila! clever lawyers will bend them out of shape- In one of its recent screeds on this subject, merely illustrate the conceptual fallacy. Why The Journal gave this game away. "If you give a break to a new company but not to an allowed full deduction of losses, the capital established firm that wishes to branch out gains tax probably wouldn't raise any revenue into a new product line? And so on. and might as well be abolished," it sneered. The tax code already gives a big break to But surely The Journal does not envision an capital gains compared with other forms of economy with no net capital profits. That investment income. Capital gains accrue tax- would be an ironic result of taking. The Wall free until you choose to liquidate the invest- Street Journal's advice. What The Journal ment. By contrast, you pay tax on interest actually envisions is an economy with lots of income every year. For an investment yield- profits, but no tax on them. There's nothing ing 10 percent annually and held for 20 years, wrong with profits, but there's nothing wrong the after-tax profit on a capital gain is almost with taxing them either. 50 percent larger. And capital gains on in- © 1990. UFS/The New Republic Inc. George F. Will Deals and Delusions This was the week when the real George plank (assuming billions to be gained from Bush stood up, and a bipartisan chorus told improved enforcement of the revenue him to sit down until he has learned his code;) and some Republican socialism (tax lines. shelters called "incentives" to subsidize in- One morning he said trading higher taxes vestment in certain supposedly private en- on the rich for a lower capital gains tax rate terprises). might be "fine." That afternoon, after some The proposed 1991 tax increases and Republican senators told him otherwise, he spending cuts amounted to only 0.7 percent indicated he would not touch such a smelly of GNP; all the taxes would have reduced trade with tongs. An impertinent Democrat Americans' after-tax income about one per- wondered what Bush would think on the cent. And the stumbling block in the budget morrow; some Republican senators said he negotiations has been the Republican insis- had not said what some other Republicans tence on a capital-gains cut that the presi- said he said. dent's own economists predict would in- Does it matter? It is all only words, and in crease the annual growth rate just 0.06 Washington today words are like chips in a percent. That amount is too tiny to forecast casino-plastic parts of a game. meaningfully. Evidence that Washington is, strictly speaking, deranged-literally disconnected BUDGET When numbers, supposedly instruments of precision, are instead used for propagan- from reality-includes Richard Darman's da, then the cavalier use of words, as in statement on Sunday television that Bush Darman's gloss on Bush's speech, is unsur- did not do what the nation saw him do. prising. If all this were purely cynical, it Darman, the budget director, said the presi- would be less alarming than the weird dent, in his television speech concerning sincerity of people who have been striking the budget deal, "wasn't actually asking the deals with each other for so long they really public to support this." think deals determine reality. They think This is what Bush said: "Tell your con- the meaning of numbers and words is "on gressman and senators you support this. the table," part of the "package." Partisan Urge them to stand with the president. meanings are asserted, differences get split Urge them to do what the bipartisan and reality is expected to conform to the leadership has done. Urge them to "deal." stand with their congressional leaders. Participants in the budget marathon are BY ELEANOR MILL Ask them to fight for the future of your kids exhausted and genuinely indignant when it by supporting this budget agreement. is suggested that the numbers they are Darman insists the president actually wanted to be left alone and elected just the dealing with are small compared to the said "in effect, to congressmen, not the president to perform that nonfunction, a problem as it already is, before recession. American people, to congressmen, 'I'm tell- president who believes in bipartisanship, The best face that can be put on all this is ing your constituents this is a hard vote for put by Sen. Phil Gramm (R-Tex.), who says you.' Oh. The president goes on three domestic summits, the blurring of party this: differences. networks to address 535 people 16 blocks The day Gramm-Rudman was passed, away? Apparently even when using the But now, out of the blue, as it were, he federal spending was 23.9 percent of GNP. mass media, Washington talks only to itself. tells the nation that if we go on piling up Today it is 22.6 percent. If something with This is Washington solipsism: Nothing but deficits as we have done during the 10 the net configuration of the deal just reject- us exists. Reagan-Bush years, we will not "survive," ed is finally adopted and enforced, then five Trying to trigger public support, the because deficits are like "cancer." However, years from now spending will be 18.3 per- president on TV triggered the public's op- this life-threatening disease calls for noth- cent of GNP. The only new entitlement position, and this question: How can a ing radical-no political equivalent of sur- enacted in the Gramm-Rudman era was the president so popular be so powerless? The gery, chemotherapy, radiation. More like catastrophic health insurance program, answer is lurking in the question: He is half an aspirin. which was a political catastrophe because popular because he makes minimal use of The rejected summit package was a pas- people hate socialism that comes with a power. tiche of cooked assumptions (about growth price tag. He ran a blue-skies campaign and even and interest rates), dribs and drabs of little So, chuckleheaded as everyone here may just 8 1/2 months ago said he saw in the sky a taxes (a tax code painted by Jackson Pol- seem to everyone out there, it is possible to deficit (now projected at about $300 billion) lock;) spending "caps" that may be only as believe that progress is being made. But the of only $64 billion. After the polarizing binding as the Gramm-Rudman deficit-re- way it is being made is deepening the conflicts of the Reagan years. the country duction requirements, a Dukakis campaign public's misanthropic mood. Republicans us. Republicans N THE budget, the daily shifts and convul- leaders also lost in the House last week. To sions within the Republican Party are create the kinder, gentler budget they think can more interesting and probably more im- pass, they have decided to ease the cuts that they portant than the related feuding between the and the president were supporting in Medicare Republicans and Democrats. Rarely does it hap- and agriculture, abandon the ghoulish idea of pen that an otherwise popular president is twice limiting unemployment compensation on the eve shot down by members of his own party on more of a recession and reduce the energy tax increas- or less the same major issue but from different es to which they had earlier agreed. directions in less than a week. But on the defining To finance this they suggested they would drop question of taxes, President Bush was first re- some business tax incentives on which the admin- buffed last week by House Republicans when he istration had earlier insisted and set up a front- proposed to zig, then coshed again the other day loaded trade of a higher top income tax rate for a by Senate Republicans when he proposed to zag. cut in the tax on capital gains. The higher rate The party looks to be foundering, and in a would be felt well in advance of the gains cut. sense it is. The elastic math of the past 10 years That is the deal toward which the president has finally caught up with it. No, you cannot cut seemed to be slipping at his news conference taxes yet balance the budget if you are no more Tuesday morning-he'd make the trade if there willing or able than the Democrats even to name, could be a "proper balance" between the increase let alone subscribe to, the specific spending cuts and the cut-and from which the Senate Republi- that those contradictory goals require. But it's cans unceremoniously pulled him back Tuesday possible to argue-we would-that for the Re- afternoon. No rate increase, they said. publicans and the country generally this could be But that doesn't take the talks all the way back at least as much a liberating as a crippling set of to their starting point. The arguments now have events. The president seems to be trying to to do not with whether to raise taxes or cut move himself and the party back from fiscal entitlements but with which taxes and which Disneyland to fiscal reality. The process isn't entitlements. A lot of steps that a few months pretty, but that doesn't mean it is unhealthy. ago were politically unthinkable have been legiti- The budget talks may also be in a healthier mized by leaders on both sides, and both parties state than current rhetoric suggests. though here now have a political investment in deficit reduc- we are not so optimistic; the pattern in recent tion that they did not before. There's still a years has been to disappoint. The Democratic chance. THE SUN THURSDAY OCTOBER 11, 1990 Bush's shifts leave budg in confusion The finance panel's counterpart. Congress befuddled turned increasingly to the Democrats the House Ways and Means Commit- to provide him his margin of victory. by vacillations tee, found its job similarly complicat- Aides say the president has ed by the president's vacillations. adopted the pragmatic view that on tax provisions Chairman Dan Rostenkowski, D- with only three weeks remaining be- III., also had planned to propose a cut fore the fall elections, the objective is in the tax rate imposed on profits to come up with tax and spending By Karen Hosler from the sale of such assets as legislation that accomplishes his and Peter Osterlund stocks, bonds and real estate - basic goal of cutting the deficit but Washington Bureau of The Sun known as capital gains. Mr. Rosten- still attracts enough support to pass. skowski's version would have ex- "We are seeing the price we pay WASHINGTON - President empted from taxation that part of an for divided government." observed Bush continued yesterday to send asset's increased value caused by an Sen. Warren B. Rudman, R-N.H. He conflicting signals on whether he increase in inflation. He had intend- warned that, despite the Democratic would accept an income tax rate in- ed to couple that change with an in- majority in Congress, Mr. Bush crease for high-income Americans, crease in the top tax rate. doesn't dare turn his back on his further befuddling lawmakers trying After meeting with Mr. Bush yes- own party interests without risking to draft into law the provisions of last terday morning, however, Mr. Ros- his re-election prospects in 1992. weekend's budget agreement. tenkowski dropped all mention of Mr. Bush, who said Tuesday capital gains and income tax rates. morning that he might agree to such Instead, he drafted a "bare-bones" an increase in return for a tax break tax plan that resembled parts of the on capital gains - only to back original budget summit agreement away from that stand later in the day rejected last week by the House and - refused to clarify his position eliminated some of the original when quizzed yesterday morning. agreement's elements. "Let Congress clear It up," he told The Rostenkowski plan. which reporters while on a campaign swing the full Ways and Means Committee through the South. agreed last night to send on to the Meanwhile, presidential aides, Budget Committee for further action, who initially confirmed reports from would reduce cuts in Medicare bene- Republican senators claiming to fits to about $50 billion. from the have persuaded Mr. Bush on Tues- S60 billion proposed in the summit day afternoon not to support any agreement. rate increase. reversed themselves It also would exempt home heat- as well. ing oil, manufacturing processes that use petroleum as well as petro- "Our position is we're looking for leum used in the production of live- common ground.' White House press stock feed from the proposed 2 per- secretary Marlin Fitzwater told re- cent tax on refined petroleum prod- porters traveling with the president ucts. aboard Air Force One. "We're talking It would trim the proposed gaso- to various members (of Congress]. line tax rise to 9 cents per gallon We aren't going to say what our posi- from 10 cents. And the list of luxury tion is on any specific item." items to be subjected to a 10 percent The president's public indecisive- surtax would be expanded to include ness clearly irritated Democratic airplanes. leaders - and even left a few Re- In order to make up the loss of publicans privately rolling their eyes. revenue from these changes, the "We don't know who to deal Ways and Means Committee plan with." said Sen. Wyche Fowler Jr., would drop the business tax incen- D-Ga., referring to the Democrats tives that had been the president's now hastily trying to fashion tax and favorite part of the package. spending bills that can be enacted In the midst of the general confu- into law by Oct. 19. sion yesterday, some observers said "Until the president pulls his they were astonished by the presi- party together. it's going to be very dent's inability to get his message difficult to do anything," he said. across. The Senate Finance Committee A lobbyist with close ties to the canceled yesterday's session when White House said that the vivid im- its reportedly furious chairman, Sen. age of a gang that couldn't talk Lloyd Bentsen, D-Texas, tried to fig- straight "looks awful." ure out what to do next. He had de- "This town can stand scoundrels cided to scrap plans to increase the and thieves, but it can't stand in- top tax rate in exchange for a cut in competence," he said. the capital gains tax rate - but little After being rebuffed by House Re- else, it seemed, was certain. publicans on the initial budget agree- "I had the deal all worked out un- ment the president reached with til the president changed his position congressional leaders, Mr. Bush has on this," said an obviously irritated Mr. Bentsen. Diagnosing Cancer, Dr. Bush Prescribes an Aspirin Washington. ing billions to be gained from im- E VIDENCE that Washington is, proved enforcement of the revenue strictly speaking, deranged code); and some Republican social- literally disconnected from re- ism (tax shelters, called "incen- ality - includes Richard Darman's tives," to subsidize investment in statement on Sunday television that certain supposedly private enter- President Bush did not do what the prises). nation saw him do. Mr. Darman, The proposed 1991 tax increases the budget director, said the presi- and spending cuts amounted to only 0.7 percent of GNP; all the taxes would have reduced Americans' af- By George F. Will ter-tax income about 1 percent. And the stumbling block in the budget negotiations has been the Republi- dent, in his television speech con- can insistence on a capital-gains cut cerning the budget deal, "wasn't ac- which the president's own econo- tually asking the public to support mists predict would Increase the an- this: nual growth rate just 0.06 percent. This is what Mr. Bush said: "Tell That amount is too tiny to forecast your congressman and senators you meaningfully. support this. Urge them to stand When numbers, supposedly in- with the president. Urge them to struments of precision, are instead do what the bipartisan leadership used for propaganda, then the cava- has done. Urge them to stand lier use of words, as in Mr. Dar- with their congressional leaders. man's gloss on President Bush's Ask them to fight for the future of speech, is unsurprising. If all this your kids by supporting this budget were purely cynical, It would be less agreement. alarming than the weird sincerity of Mr. Darman insists the president people who have been striking deals actually said "in effect. to congress- with each other for so long they men, not the American people, to really think deals determine reality. congressmen, T'm telling your con- They think the meaning of numbers stituents this is a hard vote for and words is "on the table," part of you. Oh. The president goes on three networks to address 535 peo- ple 16 blocks away? Apparently even when using the mass media, Pure cynicism would Washington talks only to Itself. This Is Washington solipsism: Nothing be less alarming than but us exists. Trying to trigger public support, the weird sincerity of the president on television triggered the public's opposition, and this people who expect re- question: How can a president so popular be SO powerless? The an- ality to bow to a 'deal.' swer is lurking in the question: He is popular because he makes minimal use of power. He ran a blue-skies campaign the "package." Partisan meanings and even just eight and a half are asserted, differences get split, months ago said he saw in the sky a and reality is expected to conform to deficit (now projected at about $300 the "deal." billion) of only $64 billion. After the Participants in the budget mara- polarizing conflicts of the Reagan thon are exhausted and genuinely years, the country wanted to be left indignant when it is suggested that alone and elected just the president the numbers they are dealing with to perform that nonfunction, a pres- are small compared to the problem ident who believes in bipartisan- as it already is, before recession. ship, domestic summits, the blur- The best face that can be put on all ring of party differences. this is put by Sen. Phil Gramm, R- But now, out of the blue, as It Texas, who says this: were, he tells the nation that If we The day Gramm-Rudman was go on piling up deficits as we have passed, federal spending was 23.9 done during the ten Reagan-Bush percent of GNP. Today it is 22.6 per- years, we will not "survive" be- cent. If something with the net con- cause deficits are like "cancer." figuration of the deal just rejected Is However, this life-threatening dis- finally adopted and enforced. then ease calls for nothing radical - no five years from now spending will political equivalent of surgery, be 18.3 percent of GNP. The only chemotherapy, radiation. More like new entitlement enacted in the half an aspirin. Gramm-Rudman era was the cata- The rejected summit package strophic health-insurance program, was a pastiche of cooked assump- which was a political catastrophe tions (about growth and interest because people hate socialism that rates). dribs and drabs of little taxes comes with a price tag. (a tax code painted by Jackson Pol- So, chuckleheaded as everyone lock); spending "caps" that may be here may seem to everyone out only as binding as the Gramm-Rud- there, It is possible to believe that man deficit-reduction requirements; progress is being made. But the way a Dukakis campaign plank (assum- it is being made is deepening the public's misanthropic mood. Debate centers on wisdom of bursting the tax 'bubble' Knight-Ridder News Service In 1990, for example, the 15 per- WASHINGTON - The tax "bub- cent rate applies to the first $19,450 ble," one of the more exquisitely con- of income for single filers and the voluted provisions of the income tax first $32,450 for a married couple code, has suddenly taken center filing jointly. stage in the budget debate. After the benefit of the lower rate Democrats and some Republicans is "recaptured" by the bubble at the seeking a budget compromise have 33 percent rate, the rate drops back proposed eliminating the bubble in to 28 percent. The effect of the bub- exchange for a capital gains tax cut. ble is to tax all income of taxpayers For a while, It looked as though Pres- in that bracket at 28 percent. ident Bush might go along with the In 1990, a married couple filing idea. jointly would enter the 33 percent Is the bubble, as some Democrats bubble at $78,400 of income, ac- claim, a loophole benefiting the rich? cording to the Internal Revenue Or as Sen. Bob Dole. R-Kan., says, Service. Their tax rate would drop are complaints about its lack of fair- back to 28 percent after $185,730. ness "a bubble of hot air?" Single filers would enter the bub- Here is how "the bubble" works: ble at $47,050 of income. Their rate The bubble is a 5 percent surtax would drop back to 28 percent after on higher-income taxpayers that $109,100. looks like a step up and down in tax "Many people believe - incor- rates when displayed in a graph. rectly - that taxpayers [now] sub- Those taxpayers who are "in the ject to the 33 percent rate are being bubble" pay a 33 percent rate on the treated unfairly compared to higher- portion of their income that falls income taxpayers whose top margin- within a set range. al rate is 28 percent," said Sen. Bill The 1986 tax reform established Bradley, D-N.J., who helped write two basic income tax rates - one at the bubble into law. 15 percent. the other at 28 percent "In fact." he added, "the bubble that one pays on income above a does not reward the rich. It enhances set level. the tax system's progressivity." The bubble was designed to elimi- Democratic proposals to eliminate nate the benefit that wealthier tax- the bubble would extend the 33 per- payers would get from paying the 15 cent rate beyond the point where percent rate on the first part of their now drops back to 28 percent. That income and to strip away the benefit would increase taxes paid by the na- of the personal exemption for those tion's 600,000 richest taxpayers. taxpayers. Since the budget summit agree. ment included hefty excise tax in creases that hit the lower and middle classes disproportionately hard." Democrats argue that It is only fatr to raise income taxes on the rich. Said Mr. Dole: "The bubble may be the first major tax provision ever repealed because people don't under- stand it." 'Stand firm' on the budget, Bush tells GOP President tours South for candidates ST. PETERSBURG. Fla. (AP) - President Bush urged Republicans to "stand firm for the best budget deal possible" as he campaigned yester- day for Southern GOP candidates, dismissing differences with one of them on that very issue. The president said he wielded the appropriations veto that led to a par- tial government shutdown because Congress would otherwise have tak- en last weekend off. "I kept the pressure on, and to make the point - no more business as usual," Mr. Bush told a rally for Florida Gov. Bob Martinez. "I didn't come down here to assign blame. but you know, I've seen these surveys," Mr. Bush said. "The Ameri- can people are pretty smart. They know where the action is. And they know that Congress has the respon- sibility to pass a budget. And it's about time that they met that re- sponsibility." Earlier. Mr. Bush said in Raleigh, N.C., that if the rest of Congress were: as careful with federal spending as Sen. Jesse Helms. there wouldn't be a budget crisis to begin with. Mr. Helms denounced one budget deal Mr. Bush endorsed and voted against a temporary settlement the Senate finally approved to avertvan governmental shutdown Tuesday "Of course there are going to be differences." Mr. Bush said at ascam paign breakfast for Mr. Helms, add- ing that differences with the North Carolina senator "on one issue or an- other" were beside the point. "The point is that If we had more senators like him, we wouldn't be trying to solve some of these prob. lems that should have been solved months ago, years ago," Mr. Bush said. Republican defections, especially in the House, have been a major problem for the president and con- gressional leaders in their efforts to strike a budget deal to cut the deficit by $40 billion this year and by a total of $500 billion over the next five years. Mr. Bush's final campaign stop of the day was in Atlanta, home territo- ry of Representative Newt Gingrich, the leader of conservatives who re- belled against the budget deal. The president was appearing there to raise campaign funds for Johnny Isakson. the Republican candidate for governor of Georgia. Mr. Isakson is rated a long shot against Democratic Lt. Gov. Zell- Miller. "Right now, the federal budget process is like a huge Rube Goldberg machine, out of control - producing noise, smoke, heat and no light," Mr. Bush said at a fund-raising reception for Mr. Isakson. "Sucking up more and more tax dollars on one end and churning, them into spending programs with- out end." But he said he is confident Con- gress can pass a sound budget. "We've had a few days now./for the smoke to clear," President Bush said. "Now it's time to move forward. LOS ANGELES TIMES THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1990 Congress Starts Again on Budget By WILLIAM J. EATON and DAVID LAUTER, TIMES STAFF WRITERS WASHINGTON-Jolted by President Bush's puzzling remarks about a budget trade-off involving capital gains and a top-bracket rate increase, Congress began work Wednesday on crafting a new $500-billion deficit reduction package to replace a summit agreement that was repudiated by the House. Acting by voice vote, the House legislation that would continue to support for a budget trade-off that Ways and Means Committee fund the government on a short- would include his cherished capital cleared a package of tax increases term basis beyond Oct. 19 unless gains tax cut touched off a storm of and spending cuts that would jetti- lawmakers have fully implemented criticism from Democrats and son some of the most unpopular the deficit-cutting deal by then. forced recalculations by key com- "The clock is running and it's going mittees. provisions of the original budget accord and lower red-ink spending to keep on running and I'll veto it Without the President's support, by $197 billion over the next five again if we don't get a satisfactory the trade-off appeared dead, even deal," he said. though White House Press Secre- years. This bare-bones package, how- But the President reached out to tary Marlin Fitzwater told report- ever, is not expected to survive Republican supporters in the ers aboard Air Force One that the House in preparation for a new President's mind was not com- intact, since Democratic and Re- publican leaders are likely to draft round in the budget crisis, schedul- pletely closed on the issue. substitute packages with additional ing three separate meetings today Senate Majority Leader George revenue-losing "sweeteners," then with GOP congressional leaders, J. Mitchell (D-Me.) said the Presi- GOP members of the Ways and dent's turnabout would make it fight it out on the House floor. Other committees will propose Means Committee and the 71 Re- more difficult to put together a spending reductions for defense, publicans who voted early last budget package that would get federal benefit programs and sav- Friday for the package that had bipartisan backing. ings on interest to bring total been crafted by congressional Sen. Lloyd Bentsen (D-Tex.), savings to $500 billion. leaders and White House officials. chairman of the Finance Commit- The House, already in disarray, In another development, the tee, had planned to include an seemed to unravel even a bit more House GOP Policy Committee en- as the complexities of revising the dorsed an alternative deficit-cut- increase in top tax rates and a reduction in capital gains taxes as summit agreement became more ting package that would make part of his revised budget package, apparent. Instead of presenting a bigger cuts in domestic programs, but Bush's reversal sent him back united front on the difficult deficit reduce the capital gains tax and to the drafting table. reduction issue, leaders of both eliminate proposed taxes on gaso- "I had the deal all worked out parties virtually gave up on a line and refined petroleum prod- until the President changed his bipartisan approach, and, at least in ucts. This proposal also would. the House, a sharp confrontation reduce Medicare cuts to $50 billion position on taxes," Bentsen said. Democrats on the Finance panel along political lines appeared ever instead of the original agreement met privately most of Wednesday more likely. for $60 billion and would raise the afternoon to revise Bentsen's origi- In the Senate, Finance Commit- top-bracket rate to 31% from the nal plan in view of the President's tee members met behind closed current 28%. House Majority Leader Richard announced opposition after he met doors to draft a new plan in the with a group of Senate Republi- wake of Bush's apparent retreat Gephardt (D-Mo.) told report- cans. from a compromise that would ers that Democrats may have to The Ways and Means Commit- have cut the capital gains tax in provide the majority of votes for a exchange for an increase in the top $econd-time-around budget pack- tee, meeting behind closed doors, sent its package of tax increases to income tax rates. age that may or may not include the House Budget Committee. Al- Bush, who triggered a wave of the capital gains compromise. though the measure was consid- Democratic criticism for backing "I think we're going to get a ered to be largely a "plug" to meet away from his news conference package done," Gephardt said. the panel's obligations, Democrats remarks that he might accept the Asked whether any such legisla- and Republicans were likely to use capital gains compromise, re- tion could get House approval so many of its provisions as building mained silent about the apparent close to the November elections, blocks in drafting their own alter- reversal on a campaign swing in however, he replied: "I don't-know natives before a House showdown, the answer right now. the South. possibly as early as next week. "Things are still in a state of flux "Let Congress clear it up," the after what the President said. At The committee's package, how- President snapped to reporters as this point it's impossible to say ever, dropped several parts of the he entered his limousine in St. whether we can get a majority in Petersburg, Fla. both houses and have the Presi- And Wednesday night at a polit- dent sign the bill." ical fund-raiser in Atlanta, Bush Bush's apparent agreement to declared that he will not sign withdraw his statement of possible budget agreement worked out by icare issue, the Ways and Means. White House and congressional package would soften the impact negotiators and rejected by the on elderly beneficiaries. House last week. Rep. Dan Rosten- For example, the committee kowski (D-III.), chairman of the package would raise the Part B panel, said the dropped provisions insurance premium for doctor bills were "totally obnoxious" to the from the current $28.60 a month to House. $32.40 next year, and to a high of Dropped were a 2-cent-per-gal- $46.50 in 1995. By contrast, the lon tax on home heating oil, a plan budget deal worked out by the to make jobless people wait an White House and congressional extra week for unemployment negotiators would have raised the benefits, a $12-billion package of premium to $33.50 next year and a incentives for investment in new peak of $54.30 five years from now. small businesses and other reve- The committee package also nue-losing tax breaks for business. proposed a Part B deductible of A proposed 10-cent-a-gallon in- $100 in 1991 and $125 thereafter, crease in gasoline taxes was re- compared to the earlier proposal's duced to 9 cents in the committee plan for raising the current $75 package, but other recommended deductible to $100 next year, $125 levies on alcohol, beer, wine, ciga- in 1991 and $150 after 1993. rettes and luxury goods were re- Opposition to the proposed $60- tained. billion cut in Medicare in the In another change clearly aimed original package was regarded as a at Senate Minority Leader Bob key factor in its defeat by a Dole (R-Kan.), the committee combination of conservative Re- added a luxury tax on private publicans and liberal Democrats on airplanes costing more than a 254-179 roll-call vote, despite the $100,000-a provision that would best efforts of the President and pick up $800 million in revenue bipartisan leaders in the House. between now and 1995. Dole, Since the accord failed, however, whose district includes private air- there have been strong differences plane manufacturers, had a similar among Republican and Democratic provision removed from the reject- leaders on how to revise the sum- ed agreement. mit agreement to get enough votes On the politically sensitive Med- to pass it. WAFFLE: Bush Lacked Fallback Position Bush's Waffling Reflects Lack of Fallback Stance By DAVID LAUTER TIMES STAFF WRITER Wednesday at least for a while the White House tried to By contrast, most Senate Repub- licans are traditional fiscal conser- ATLANTA-President once more, sending vatives, who dislike high taxes but Bush's conspicuous waf- word that Bush still had an open think high deficits are worse. (In fling over tax issues this. mind on the issue. "I'm leaving the House, a large- percentage of week reflects two funda- everybody's comments out there," the GOP caucus, led by Rep. Newt mental problems: Press Secretary Marlin Fitzwater Gingrich (R-Ga.), is made up of First, there are sharply Haid We're not taking a position believers in supply-side theories, conflicting pressures on any specific item." who say deficits are not nearly as the chief executive in this By midday, Bush seemed to have bad for the economy as high taxes.) area, even from his own given entirely. "Let Congress party. clear it up, he said. T he problem may be compound- Second, the White House At the root of the confusion is ed by a fact that Bush admitted has not staked out any real the defeat last week of the biparti- during his press conference Tues- fallback position in the san budget agreement that Bush's day that he is not particularly wake of Congress' rejection advisers-Budget Director Richard interested in the entire issue of of the bipartisan budget G. Darman and Chief of Staff John economic policy, preferring instead agreement that negotiators H. Sununu-had negotiated during to concentrate on foreign affairs. worked out during 41/2 months of talks with congressional "When you get a problem with months of talks. leaders at a so-called budget sum- the complexities that the Middle "Confused?" the Presi- mit. East has now and the [Persian] dent asked reporters as he Darman had devised the summit Gulf has now, I enjoy" working on took a midafternoon jog approach following the conven- that, Bush said. after a campaign rally in tional wisdom in Washington that "I can't say I just rejoice every St. Petersburg, Fla., for no budget agreement could ever be time I go up and talk to Danny Florida Gov. Bob Martinez, reached in public because, by defi- Rostenkowski, my dear friend, what appeared to be as much an nition, cutting the deficit requires about what he's going to do on answer as it was a question. politically unpopular tax increases taxes," he said, referring to the The zigzagging has been a boon and spending cuts. Illinois Democrat who chairs the to Democratic congressional lead- If the leaders of both parties- House Ways and Means Commit- the President and Congress- tee. ers, who lost no time in declaring that in view of the President's agreed on a deal, Darman believed, reversals, they now see no need to everyone would be given enough make difficult decisions of their political cover for the accord to own until Bush makes clear what pass. he wants. But Darman and Sununu had And it has highlighted the sharp placed such faith in that theory divisions within the GOP between that they had neglected to prepare those such as Senate Republicans, a fallback plan. When conservative who want foremost to reduce the Republicans turned against the deficit, and those who believe that deal and liberal Democrats joined the party can make hay by oppos- them, Bush was left twisting, figu- ing all tax increases-blaming the ratively, in the wind. -deficit on the Democrats later. Since that defeat, last Friday, he confusion became vividly Senate Republican leaders, joined T public Tuesday and Wednes- by Sununu and Darman, have ad- vocated essentially resuscitating day on a key budget question- the bipartisan agreement. whether. Bush would accept a trade-off that would give him the Their hope, Sen. Bob Packwood (R-Ore.) said, is that members of reduction he has been seeking in Congress, having had a chance to tax rates on capital gains in return vote against the plan once, now for a Democrat-sponsored tax hike will vote for a close replica, seizing on wealthy Americans. on whatever small changes are Throughout September and into the first week of this month, Bush made around the margins to justify and his advisers said he would not their change in position. House Republican conserva- accept a trade. Tuesday morning, at a press conference, Bush tives, joined by Vice President Dan changed his mind, saying that the Quayle and other Bush advisers idea of tax-rate trade-off was on who disliked the summit agree- ment from the start, argue that the table Then, after protests from Senate Bush should drop the bipartisan Republicans who opposed the approach and move to unite his trade, Bushinvited the senators to party by turning the budget into a the White House for a meeting and partisan issue. told them that he was taking the Idea off the table again. COLUMN RIGHT/ CAL THOMAS Bush Didn't Learn From the Master: Reagan In combat, as in politics, the troops must have a commander willing to fight. W hat good is it having a Republican President when he caves in to de- mands by Democrats and allows them to write a new budget in committees con- trolled by their party? We can count on the "Bush budget" resembling a Michael Du- kakis budget, with the twin monsters of higher taxes and higher spending imposed on a population tired of both. As he watches his popularity decline, (a Times Mirror poll showed it dropping from a high of 76% in August to 55% this week), Bush might consider a lesson from Abra- ham Lincoln: "If once you forfeit the confidence of your fellow citizens, you can never regain their respect and esteem." Addressing the nation on television last week, Bush said: "This is the first time in my presidency that I have made an appeal like this to you, the American people. Tell your congressmen and senators you sup- port this [budget] agreement." The calls came in, but they were calls of protest, and this is where Bush's strategy, so different from Ronald Reagan's, proved flawed. The pro-abortionists who were to be attracted into the new Republican "big tent" didn't rush to help the President. Reaganite conservatives who had sup- ported Bush because he talked tough on crime, gun control, reduced government and other issues dear to their hearts did not respond either, except in derision. Conser- vative fund-raiser Richard Viguerie, who is persona non grata at the Bush White House, denounced the now-defunct budget agreement in a letter to GOP maverick Rep. Newt Gingrich of Georgia: "The conservative movement is the adversary of anyone, in Congress or the White House, who would skewer the American people with higher taxes. We will not affiliate ourselves with tax collectors for the wel- fare state." Sen. William Armstrong (R-Colo.) told me that "by trying to avoid confrontation, President Bush undermined his own lead- ership potential. Confrontation is what Ronald Reagan did effectively. Reagan didn't avoid confrontation, he sought it." In combat, as in politics, the troops must have a commander willing to fight. But time and time again, the President seemed to take tough stands, only to negotiate away a winning position when he faced strong opposition. Instead of blaming Con- gress for the impasse and calling on the people to help him, as Reagan did, Bush backpedals and invites his ideological ene- mies in for coffee. Many conservatives believe Bush aban- doned a core set of principles necessary to win their support. Public disapproval of Congress is so high that a popular Presi- dent ought to be able to make political chopped liver out of its members. Properly conducted, an anti-Congress campaign by the President could benefit Republican conservatives and perhaps win back a majority in one or both houses. Failure to launch such a campaign means that Bush will be set upon by the anti-government angel of death about to swoop down on all of Washington. Cal Thomas writes a syndicated column in Washington. ANOTHER VIEWPOINT/ GEORGE F. WILL T he proposed 1991 tax increases and spending cuts amounted to only 0.7% of gross national product; all the taxes would have reduced Americans' after-tax income about 1%. And the stumbling block in the budget negotiations has been the Republican insistence on a capital-gains cut that the President's own economists predict would increase the annual growth rate just .06%. That amount is too tiny to forecast meaningfully. When numbers, supposedly instruments of precision, are instead used for propagan- da, then the cavalier use of words is unsurprising. If all this were purely cyni- cal, it would be less alarming. Witness the weird sincerity of people who have been striking deals with each other for so long they really think deals determine reality. They think the meaning of numbers and words is "on the table," part of the "package." Partisan meanings are assert- ed, differences get split, and reality is expected to conform to the "deal." Participants in the budget marathon are exhausted and genuinely indignant when it is suggested that the numbers they are dealing with are small compared to the problem as it already is, before recession. Sen. Phil Gramm (R-Tex.), who puts the best face that can be put on all this, says: The day the Gramm-Rudman spending limit passed, federal spending was 23.9% of GNP. Today it is 22.6%. If something with the net configuration of the deal just rejected is finally adopted and enforced, then five years from now spending will be 18.3% of GNP. (The only new entitlement enacted in the Gramm-Rudman era was the catastrophic health-insurance pro- gram, a political catastrophe because peo- ple hate socialism with a price tag.) So, chuckleheaded as everyone in Washington may seem to everyone out there, it is possible to believe progress is being made. But the way it is being made is deepening the public's misanthropic mood. -From George F. Will's syndicated Washington column. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1990 The Tax vs. Expenditure Flap is no reason in that case to prefer an in- ture programs give that power and some of this taking is probably also bad, depend- crease in Medicare premiums, which is an do not. ing on the conditions. But what matters is expenditure cut. over an increase in the For example, the nearly $200 billion a not whether the government is taking or tax on beer. Suppose that your objective is year, about 15% of total expenditures, that paying, but what the conditions are. To put to reduce the excessive allocation of the goes for interest on the debt does not give all tax increases in one pot as bad and all gross national product to medical care. that power. But neither do other programs, expenditure cuts in one pot as good makes There is no reason to prefer to do that by like Social Security and Medicare, that ac- no sense. raising the Medicare deductible, which is count for large chunks of the budget and At least. it makes no sense objectively an expenditure reduction, than by limiting that provide for a very broad distribution speaking. If you are the member of a the deductibility of medical benefits pro- of benefits, small for each recipient but en- small minority that finds itself in danger of vided by employers to their workers, ormous in total, according to highly objec- having its taxes raised, it is probably bet- which is a tax increase. tive rules. ter tactics to ally yourself with the slogan (I don't want to be interpreted as de- The authority to buy, say, $20 billion of of no tax increase at all rather than to ar- fending Medicare benefits. I am in favor of military aircraft gives the government gue for your special immunity from taxa- tion. This may explain why people who have high incomes argue against all taxes, Board of Contributors including taxes on a plebeian item like beer. In our current efforts to draft a budget Opposition to tax increases is often identified as a plan there are three main requirements. National consumption should be reduced, "pro-growth" position. But can that explain opposition to because the purpose of deficit reduction is increasing the taxes on beer and cigarettes? to increase national saving, and this should be achieved with as little impact as possi- ble on very poor people and as little ad- cutting them as an unnecessary subsidy power to reward or punish Long Island or verse effect as possible on economic incen- for people who are not poor. They are just Southern California, Company X or Com- tives and efficiency. an especially clear example of the irrele- pany Y. The authority to pay 10 times as Spending and Consumption vance of the distinction between cutting much in Social Security benefits does not Most of the consumption in this country expenditures and raising taxes.) give anything like that power. Similarly, is private, some of it is done by state and Opposition to tax increases is often tax systems that involve fine distinctions local governments, and a small fraction is based on the proposition that taxes have among taxpayers, and discretion in choos- done by the federal government. Standard adverse effects on incentives to work, save ing which taxpayers to audit, give power to national accounting usually considers de- and invest. But is that a reason to oppose government, whereas more general and fense expenditures to be "consumption," a an increase in the taxes on beer and ciga- transparent systems do not. The important rather misleading classification in my rettes? Opposition to tax increases is often difference is not between taxing and spend- opinion. Federal consumption other than identified as a "pro-growth" position. But ing but between generality, objectivity and for defense probably amounts to about 1% can that explain opposition to increasing openness on the one hand and discrimina- of GNP, the biggest item being direct the taxes on beer and cigarettes? Can any- tion, discretion and covertness on the health expenditures, as for veterans hospi- one confidently say that the Rube Goldberg other. tals and medical research. Most federal plan for throwing money at investors in I believe that many people who have an spending goes to finance private consump- "small" corporations, considered a tax re- allergic reaction to the idea of government tion or investment, through transfer pay- duction in the failed budget package, spending think the government runs along ments and interest payments. would do more for growth than increasing the lines of President Reagan's favorite I can understand someone's having a government expenditures on roads or edu- story about the employee in the Bureau of preference for reducing federal consump- cation or research? Indian Affairs. The employee is seen with tion rather than private consumption, al- Then there is the idea of being against his head on his desk, sobbing uncontrolla- though that seems another irrelevant dis- tax increases and for expenditure reduc- bly. When asked why, he says that his In- tinction to me. But that would not be a tions in order to limit the power of govern- dian has died. The picture is of enormous reason for preferring expenditure cuts to ment and preserve the freedom of individ- numbers of federal employees doing un- tax increases, because most expenditure uals. But the power of government and necessary work very inefficiently and be- cuts outside the field of defense are, like its ability to limit the freedom of individ- ing paid excessively for it. tax increases, ways of reducing private uals is not measured by the total of expen- But that is not what the federal govern- consumption. The division of a budget plan ditures but depends on the character of the ment is mainly about. The federal govern- between tax increases and expenditure re- expenditures. ment is mainly a vast machine for paying ductions throws no light on the appropri- Governments derive power from pro- out money to private people on some gen- ateness of the plan for meeting any real grams, whether expenditure programs or eral conditions, like their age, marital objectives. tax programs, that give them the ability to status and incomes, and taking money discriminate among individuals and from private people on some general con- groups. rewarding some and punishing oth- ditions, like their incomes, marital status A former chairman of the president's ers, especially if the discrimination can be and age. Some of this paying, depending Council of Economic Advisers, Mr. Stein is done out of the public eye. Some expendi- on the conditions. is probably bad. Some an American Enterprise Institute fellow. Senate Panel Clears Spending Measures Totaling Over $217 Billion for Fiscal '91 By DAVID ROGERS held in an effort to advance peace negotia- Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL tions. WASHINGTON-The Senate Appropria- Concessions to Israel would permit the tions Committee approved a rush of fiscal Jerusalem government to draw down 1991 spending bills totaling more than S217 quickly on most of its $1.8 billion in prom- billion and reallocating funds for foreign ised military aid, and the bill effectively aid and six major departments in line with doubles to $200 million the level of U.S. re- the proposed budget agreement. serve military stocks available for transfer The action touched an array of interests to Israel this year. from crop insurance for farmers to the The third and largest of the measures treatment of AIDS patients. This domestic allocates as much as $183 billion for the debate was set against a background of Labor, Education, and Health and Human new international commitments reflecting Services departments. But it provoked an the tension in the Mideast and including in- emotional debate over the fate of a newly creased contributions to the United Nations authorized program of federal aid to cities, and the forgiveness of Egypt's $6.7 billion such as New York and San Francisco, that military debt to the U.S. have been hardest hit by the acquired im- An estimated $19.37 billion was allo- mune deficiency syndrome epidemic. cated to the Commerce, Justice and State Adopted this summer, the program promised $150 million to ease the strain on departments. U.S. contributions to interna- tional organizations and peacekeeping urban hospitals and public-health facilities, but no new funding was provided when the forces would grow to $902.6 million, an al- most 30% increase from fiscal 1990, which appropriations bill was first approved by a subcommittee last month. ended Sept. 30. New restrictions would bar exports of The decision touched off a strong lobby- ing campaign by gay activists and other supercomputer technology to nations such as Brazil that are linked to the continued advocates of the program. But when propo- transfer of technical assistance to Iraq's nents sought to find money by trimming other accounts, that provoked a counterat- weapons industry. And in a slap at Jordan, tack by traditional allies in the health and the committee let stand an amendment that would withhold U.S. aid from any na- education community. "All the sympathy doesn't go to AIDS patients," said Sen. tion that fails to comply with the trade em- Harry Reid (D., Nev.). Alaska Sen. Ted bargo against Baghdad. Stevens, a senior Republican on the full A total of $14.7 billion is provided in the committee, likened the across-the-board foreign-aid bill, which poses a series of ob- stacles for the Bush administration even cut to taking "a little piece off every kid who's in the hospital." though it promises the president the au- thority he wants to cancel Egypt's military Under the reallocations yesterday, an debt. The measure denies any funding to estimated $27 million in direct spending was found for the program. But the debate anti-Communist insurgents in Cambodia and requires that 50% of any future U.S. dramatized the choices facing the panel within the limits set by the budget on do- military assistance to El Salvador be with- mestic spending. Midwestern senators wor- ried aloud about cuts threatening the crop- insurance program; adding to the tension is the fact that the same agreement is seen as increasing the funds available for the military. The action by the full committee came as the Senate Defense Appropriations sub- committee approved more than $268.2 bil- lion for the Pentagon, including continued funding for the production of the B-2 Stealth bomber. No money is provided for the Milstar satellite program. in line with the recommendations of the Senate Armed Services Committee. and the bill would ter- minate the Army's Air Defense Antitank System being developed by Martin Mari- etta Corp. In secret accounts for the Central Intel- ligence Agency. the bill provides continued military aid for anti-government forces in Afghanistan but at the reduced level of about S200 million annually. Half of this sum would be withheld until further approval by the committee. President's Hedging Over Budget Issue Is Hurting Image * * * 'Let Congress Clear It Up,' Says Bush on Question Of Tax Rate Trade-Offs By DAVID WESSEL And GERALD F. SEIB Staff Reporters of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL happy-and. frankly, a touch cynical." President Bush, struggling to bridge dif- The confusion over the president's posi- ferences among Republican lawmakers as tion reflects the administration's continu- well as his own advisers over taxes. is ing difficulty in devising a budget strat- jeopardizing his new-found image as a de- egy. cisive leader. Several of Mr. Bush's top advisers, in- Mr. Bush himself did nothing yesterday cluding Mr. Sununu, Budget Director Rich- to clear up lingering confusion over the ad- ard Darman and Treasury Secretary Nich- ministration's stance on trading higher in- olas Brady, have been arguing internally come-tax rates for a cut in taxes on capital that it is impossible to find the combina- gains as Democrats and some Republicans tion of lower capital-gains tax rates and propose. "Let Congress clear it up," he higher income-tax rates that both parties said. can support, administration officials said. And as the president was jogging in the But Mr. Bush also has been talking to rain in St. Petersburg, Fla., a reporter others-from Sen. Bentsen to Vice Presi- shouted: "Are you ready to throw in the dent Quayle-who see the possibility for towel on capital gains?" Mr. Bush replied: such a trade. One reason that the president "Read my hips." is attracted to the exchange is that it On Tuesday, Mr. Bush said at a morn- might bring House Republicans who de- ing news conference that he was willing to serted him last week back to his side. raise tax rates to get a capital-gains tax Allies of Republican Whip Newt Gin- break if "a proper balance" was struck. grich of Georgia, previously foes of any Republican senators protested and, after a rate increase, favor raising the marginal late afternoon meeting with the senators, tax rate on the rich, now at 28%, to 31% or administration officials and some senators 32% in exchange for the capital-gains tax said the president had closed the door. cut they want SO badly. White House offi- But Senate Republican Leader Robert cials figure that combination will never get Dole of Kansas said yesterday that Mr. Democratic backing. Bush simply listened. "He didn't announce Mr. Bush, hoping to find the bipartisan his position at all," Sen. Dole insisted. middle ground. seems to be wavering. "My And White House spokesman Marlin guess is that the president and Republi- Fitzwater last night clouded the adminis- cans. in general. have been torn. even in tration's position. declaring that every- their own minds," said Sen. John Danforth thing is still on the table. "I want to bob (R., Mo. ), the only Republican senator who and weave on this today," he said. Asked told the president yesterday he was willing why, he replied that "we want Congress to to make the trade. come up with a package. We don't want to "There are Republicans in both the signal on any specific provision." House and the Senate who believe that we But the damage had been done. The should draw extremely clear lines on the flip-flop has dented the shiny public image basis of party doctrine." Sen. Danforth that Mr. Bush has created with his tough said. "I don't think there is any political stand against Iraq's Saddam Hussein. "It's advantage in dressing up in a clown suit perfect ammunition for those who had said just to give a clear image of yourself." he for some time that they wonder precisely said. what this president feels strongly about," Mr. Bush plans three more meetings said Republican pollster Richard Reed of today with Republican House members to Market Opinion Research. discuss the budget. Meanwhile. he expli- Mr. Reed said that public confidence in citly threatened in a speech at a political Congress has been eroding to the point fund-raiser in Atlanta last night to veto a where anti-incumbent sentiment might stopgap spending bill. as he did before. if it help Republicans in elections this fall- isn't accompanied with a broader budget both because the GOP remains a minority plan that adheres to the themes of the in Congress and because the public hadn't failed budget deal he negotiated with Dem- previously targeted Mr. Bush. "I'm not ocratic leaders. sure that president remains as isolated now," Mr. Reed said. Even some Bush backers were uncom- fortable. After White House Chief of Staff John Sununu assured a group of business lobbyists that Mr. Bush wasn't going to- raise tax rates, Alan Kranowitz of the Na- tional Association of Wholesaler-Distribu- tors pronounced himself as "confused but All told, the bill discarded $19 billion of $100,000 and jewelry and furs that cost House Panel proposed tax breaks over five years. These more than $5,000. Unlike the levy provided included preferences for oil production and for in the summit agreement, the tax gasohol; credits for research spending and would hit planes that cost more than $100,- Approves Huge low-income housing development; and tax 000, an apparent swipe at Senate Minority exemptions for businesses that locate in Leader Robert Dole (R., Kan. ). Many such economically depressed areas. planes are manufactured in his home The debate about linking an increase in Tax Rise Plan state. The tax would be applied to prices the top personal rate on wealthy individ- over the threshold amounts. uals with a capital-gains tax cut has a tor- -Disallowing the deduction for interest tured history. On Tuesday, President Bush paid to the Internal Revenue Service at- at first accepted such a trade-off, and then Outline Shuns Rate Change; rejected it after Senate Republicans com- tributable to underpayment of corporate taxes, beginning after Dec. 31, 1990. This Democrats Are Likely plained that raising the rate was too high a price to pay for what they expected to be a provision, much criticized by corporations, To Propose Amendment relatively shallow capital-gains reduction would raise $3.9 billion over five years. by the Democrats. The president and his -Increasing taxes on the life insurance industry by $8 billion over five years. The spokesman continued sending ambiguous chronic split between stock and mutual in- signals yesterday. By JEFFREY H. BIRNBAUM The same issue will arise in the Senate, surance companies is a major cause of the Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL substantial increase. WASHINGTON House Ways and although the Finance Committee post- The proposed limit on itemized deduc- poned until at least today a scheduled Means Committee passed a huge tax-in- tions, which was part of the budget summit drafting session on its version of the tax crease bill that would raise levies on gaso- agreement, would work this way: A couple bill. Chairman Lloyd Bentsen (D., Texas) line. cigarettes and alcoholic beverages with an income of $200,000 wouldn't be per- had said he would propose an increase to and limit most itemized deductions for mitted to deduct the first $3,000 (3% of the 33% from 28% in the top nominal tax rate wealthy taxpayers. difference between $200,000 and $100,000 of on individuals and would effectively cut The bill. put forward by Chairman Dan their deductions. If their deductions the capital-gains tax to 23.1% for assets Rostenkowski (D., Ill. 1, would produce a amounted to $50,000, they would be permit- held three years. net tax increase of about S145 billion over ted to deduct $47,000. But he and the Democrats on his panel five years. making it one of the largest tax In tallying deductions for this purpose, were rethinking that plan yesterday in the increases in history. taxpayers wouldn't have to include medi- face of President Bush's ambivalence. Sen. The measure shuns any changes in tax cal expenses or investment-related interest Bentsen said yesterday that he will present rates, reflecting a bitter debate between payments. No taxpayer would lose more his committee with the option of cutting the political parties over whether to raise than 80% of his or her total. deductions capital-gains taxes. the top tax rate on the nation's wealthiest under the plan. In the House, Democratic leaders were individuals. But Democrats said they are By dropping tax breaks. the Wavs and hoping to amend the Ways and Means bill likely to propose an amendment on the with a plan that hits the wealthy, probably Means Committee made the net tax ni House floor to raise the top rate and per- by raising the top personal rate. That ef- crease on upper-income individuals higher haps to cut capital-gains taxes. fort, which will probably occurlater on the than in the summit accord. And by reduc- The bill approved yesterday adheres House floor, could be coupled with a capi- ing the gasoline tax increase by one cent closely to the tax proposals contained in tal-gains cut to tempt the support of Re- compared with the pact, the committee re- the bipartisan budget accord reached a publicans and President Bush. duced the size of the tax increase on lower- week and a half ago by White House and The major tax increases in the commit- income people. congressional negotiators. But it dropped tee bill, which resemble provisions pro- Still, the results didn't satisfy many all of the accord's revenue-losing provis- posed Tuesday by Sen. Bentsen. include: Democrats, who had hoped to shift a ions except one that benefited the poorest -Increasing the motor-fuels tax by five greater tax burden to the wealthy. The taxpayers. The committee cleared the bill on a voice vote but without a recommen- cents a gallon on Dec. 1 and by four more largest tax increase in percentage terms dation. cents next July 1. That alone would raise would fall on taxpayers who earn less than "We've improved the base and moved it $40.9 billion over five years. An additional $10,000 a year-6.9%, according to congres- along," said Rep. Sander Levin (D., two-cent-a-gallon tax on all refined petro- sional estimates. By contrast, the tax in- Mich. 1. "But we'd like to improve it some leum products would be imposed, but prod- crease on Americans earning $200,000 a ucts used for home heating oil, manufac- year and over would be 2.4% more." The Ways and Means bill softened some turing and feedstocks would be exempt. of the most controversial elements of the The panel yesterday approved an amend- budget summit agreement. It exempted ment by Rep. Rod Chandler (R., Wash. ) to home heating oil from any tax increase; apply the nine-cent motor-fuels tax in- crease to railroad fuels. dropped a five-year. $12 billion group of small-business incentives: and eliminated -Requiring state and local employees a two-week delay before workers could re- to pay Social Security and Medicare pay- roll taxes to raise about $17.9 billion over ceive unemployment compensation. But the measure also included some five years. contentious tax increases. Likethe original -Increasing beer. wine and liquor accord. the package would raise $18 billion taxes to raise $9.9 billion over five years. over five years by limiting itemized deduc- Beer taxes would be doubled to 32 cents a tions for individuals or couples with in- six-pack. Table-wine taxes would be in- comes above $100,000. Under that plan, in- creased by 22 cents a bottle to 25 cents. dividuals and couples would reduce their And whiskey taxes would be increased by deductions by $300 for every $10,000 in ad- $1.50 a proof gallon to $14. A proof gallon justed gross income over $100,000, begin- contains 50% alcohol by volume. Small ning in 1991. The limits would cover mort- breweries and wineries were exempted gage interest costs, charitable contribu- from the increase. tions and tax payments to state and local -Increasing tobacco taxes, now 16 governments. The legislation also would cents a pack of cigarettes, by four cents a raise the federal tax on gasoline by a total pack in 1991 and another four cents in 1993 of 11 cents a gallon from the current nine to raise $6 billion over five years. cents. A new tax on luxury items. The 10% levy would apply to cars that cost more than $30,000, boats that cost more than Medicare Plan Cleared by House Panel Would Save $50 Billion Over 5 Years ratory costs, currently provided free under By KENNETH H. BACON Medicare. The Ways and Means Commit- Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL tee dropped this idea from the earlier $60 WASHINGTON-The House Ways and billion savings proposal. In addition, some Means Committee approved Medicare senators were proposing income-related changes that would save about $50 billion premiums that would be higher for over five years and would raise the 33 mil- wealthy beneficiaries. Many Democrats, lion beneficiaries' costs by about $7 billion fearing opposition from well-organized se- more than senior citizen groups have said niors, object to this idea. they can accept. In its meeting yesterday, the Ways and The plan would raise the current $75 an- Means panel adopted a $50 billion plan nual deductible for doctors' services to crafted by Chairman Dan Rostenkowski $100 next year and $125 in 1992 and would (D., III. ) rather than a $40 billion proposal increase the $28.60 monthly premium to the senior citizen groups had rallied $32.40 on Jan. 1 and to $46.50 by 1995. around. The $40 billion plan, by Rep. Fort- In addition, the committee proposed to ney Stark (D., Calif. ), would have raised collect $13 billion in additional revenue the deductible by $25 next year instead of over five years by raising to $73,000 from $50 over two years and figured premium $51,300 the amount of salary on which the increases in a way that would have cost se- hospital insurance payroll tax is imposed. niors about $7 billion over five years. The The tax is 1.45% each on workers and em- premium increases adopted by the com- ployers. mittee will cost seniors $12.6 billion. The proposed five-year savings of about The Stark proposal would have kept $50 billion is smaller than the $60 billion premiums at 25% of the cost of Medicare savings-$30 billion in higher payments by Part B, which covers doctor bills. By con- beneficiaries and $30 billion in lower Medi- trast, the committee set specific pre- care payments to hospitals and doctors- miums, some of which will be higher than provided for in a budget plan that Con- 25% of Part B costs. gress rejected last week in the face of Overall, the Stark proposal would have strong opposition from elderly citizens. increased beneficiary payments by about The new plan, however, doesn't meet the $10 billion, compared with $17.2 billion in demands by a coalition of 30 senior citizen the version the committee is sending to groups, who insisted that Congress shrink the House floor. the earlier package by $20 billion. As Congress struggles to produce a Thus, the Medicare plan is likely to face budget, the House Energy and Commerce continuing opposition as it goes to the full Committee is considering proposals to House as part of a five-year plan to cut the soften the blow of the premium increases federal deficit by $500 billion. In addition, for beneficiaries near the poverty level. the House plan could differ significantly The budget agreement allocates $2 billion from the Senate's Medicare plan. As of last for such income protection. However, the night, Republicans on the Senate Finance Senate Finance Committee is considering a Committee were insisting on a package proposal that would water down the in- that would cost seniors more than the come-protection measure by diverting House measure. some of the money to raise the amount So- Senate Republicans are considering re- cial Security beneficiaries can earn with- quiring a 20% copayment on clinical labo- out losing some of their benefits. A change in the so-called Social Security retirement test would tend to benefit affluent se- niors. DAILY NEWS Thursday, October 11, 1990 Bush flip a flop with pols By JEROME CAHILL to pay for a modified capital News Washington Bureau gains tax cut with revenue to WASHINGTON - Presi- spare. dent Bush's apparent flip- Without the extra revenue flop on a tax rate increase for collected by bursting the top America's wealthiest families rate "bubble," sources said yesterday sent lawmakers the lawmakers might have to scurrying for other sources of take another look at propos- revenue and revived fears als to restrict tax deductions. that tax deductions impor- The House Wavs and tant to New Yorkers may be Means Committee yesterday cut back. was working on a draft tax "We're redoing the pack- bill that would put new limits age," said Sen. Lloyd Bentsen on deductions for state and (D-Tex.), chairman of the local taxes paid by high-in- Senate Finance Committee. come people. Similar limits On Tuesday, Bentsen un- were part of the White veiled a plan to repeal the so- House-Congress budget called tax rate bubble that agreement defeated last taxes the super-rich at a 28% week. rate while others with less in- come pay at a 33% rate. Bush That proposal, denounced indicated at a nationally tele- by Gov. Cuomo and the New vised news conference he York congressional delega- might accept the higher rate tion, would take away deduc- in return for a cut in the capi- tions amounting to 3% of a tal gains tax. But Republican taxpayer's income over senators, led by Oregon's Bob $100,000. For example, a tax- Packwood, said Bush re- payer with $150,000 in in- versed himself after they ob- come would lose $1,500 in de- jected to the arrangement. ductions. The confusion deepened Brad Johnson, Cuomo's yesterday when Senate Mi- Washington representative, nority Leader Bob Dole (R- said, "It would be a tragedy if Kan.) contradicted Packwood the President's flip-flop re- and said Bush had not ruled sults in a partial repeal of de- out a tax rate raise. ductions." He urged Demo- Bush yesterday did little to crats to ignore the White set matters straight as he House and draw up their own campaigned for GOP candi- tax bill. "The Republicans dates in the South, saying, don't know what they are do- "Let Congress clear it up." ing," he said. The confusion slowed ef- forts on Capitol Hill to flesh out a budget agreement call- ing for $500 billion in tax in- creases and spending cuts over five years. Bentsen's plan would hit the nation's wealthiest tax- payers with a $50 billion tax boost over five years, enough Senate KOs Social Security tax cut By SUSAN MILLIGAN bill taken off the floor on procedural News Washington Bureau grounds. A vote for the measure would have WASHINGTON - The Senate yesterday meant finding money to make up for the shot down a proposal by Sen. Daniel Moy- revenue loss. Any senator voting against nihan (D-N.Y.) to cut Social Security taxes. the measure would be on record opposing Moynihan said his proposal would save a a tax cut. worker as much as $76 a year in 1991 and The Senate refused to waive a budget $775 a year by 1996. law requiring that any tax cut be offset by Opponents said the bill would add $150 spending reductions or an increase in oth- billion to the federal deficit over five years er taxes. The 54-to-44 vote refusing the and would force Congress to raise other waiver put the Moynihan bill on ice. taxes to make up for it. One of Moynihan's aims was to eliminate "This is just another excuse to tax, tax, the big surplus in Social Security funds tax and spend, spend, spend," shouted that, he said, is being used to obscure the Sen. Ted Stevens (R-Alaska), who got the true size of the federal deficit. NATION'S NEWSPAPER USA TODAY PUBLISHED GANNETT THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11, 1990 Confusion clouds work on tax deal By Richard Wolf USA TODAY Congress began searching for an elusive consensus on whose taxes to raise and whose to cut - with just nine days be- fore its next deadline. But faced with conflicting signals from the White House, lawmakers went off in differ- ent directions. Democrats revised plans to trade higher income taxes on the rich for lower taxes on cap- ital gains - toward a plan President Bush could accept. House Republicans unveiled their own version of a trade. Bush endorsed, then backed away Tuesday from accepting the swap. On Wednesday, how- ever, Republicans said it was still on the table. "He didn't make any deci- sion," said Senate Minority Leader Robert Dole, R-Kan. Bush, on a campaign swing, did little to end the confusion: "Let Congress clear it up." Said Senate Majority Leader George Mitchell, D-Maine: "We will now have to reconsid- er what the appropriate course of action will be." Democrats postponed ef- forts to extend the top tax rate to 33% for the wealthy and cut the top capital gains rate to 23.1%, but didn't rule out such a deal by next week. Congress' fiscal committees worked on alternate plans in- tended to cut the deficit by $500 billion over five years: The House Ways and Means Committee reported out a version cutting Medicare by $50 billion - instead of $60 bil- lion - and dropping provisions Chairman Dan Rostenkowski, D-III., calls "totally obnoxious." Among them: about $15 bil- lion in business tax breaks, a 2 cents-per-gallon hike on home heating oil and a two-week de- lay in unemployment benefits. Democrats on the Senate Finance Committee crafted a package that omits the trade. Flap over "Our uniform position was that we will not go up on the rates, no matter what," flip-flop may said Packwood, ranking Republican on the Senate Finance Committee. Did Bush then flip-flop - acquiesce to the pressure, and drop the tax idea? hurt in '92 Packwood and others say yes. But on the day after, some Republi- cans wonder whether Bush really closed the door on an income tax hike. 'It hurts us By Richard Benedetto Senate Minority Leader Robert Dole, USA TODAY R-Kan., says Bush listened, but never said all to have where he stands. And GOP National "Flip-flop." Committee spokesman Charles Black weak and An apt phrase when you're says the tax question is "on the table." talking about hooked fish, Asked to explain. White House press wavering flapjacks or gymnastics. secretary Marlin Fitzwater said, "I want But when a politician does leadership in a to bob and weave on this today." it, as President Bush did Tues- Such exchanges sound to friends and day on tax hikes for the budget crisis' critics uncomfortably close to the budget wealthy, disaster can follow. script played out melodramatically in Bush had to look no further Congress this month - a budget show than Wednesday's headlines that was not funny to voters. to realize his meeting with Senate Republicans has bought Now Bush's role in the budget brouha- political trouble: ha has people talking about what only "Democrats offer trade on taxes; Bush flip-flops" - two months ago was considered a fore- The Boston Globe. gone conclusion - his chances for re- "Bush: Yes, then no, on taxing rich" - USA TODAY. election in 1992. "Bush switches sides on tax tradeoff - twice" - The Some conservative Republicans, feel- Kansas City Star. ing abandoned on the tax issue, are even "Bush alters tax stand, backs off" - Los Angeles making noises about putting someone up Times. against Bush in the primaries. Republican Party leaders began damage control - call- "Looking down the road, it makes ing it "sensational reporting" - even denying Bush had Bush enormously vulnerable in 1992," folded to senators opposed to higher taxes for the rich. says Democratic National Committee But the White House did little to clear up the confusion. chairman Ron Brown. By the end of the day, the most widely quoted soundbite Wishful thinking, says Charles Black: was Bush's joke while jogging: "Read my hips," he said, "Bush's fortunes depend on what ulti- when asked where he stood on taxes. mately comes out of the budget package. That left media and analysts sticking to the theme The goal is to get a fair agreement with Wednesday: The president was firmly a player in the bi- enforceable deficit reduction. In the zarre budget soap opera he and aides had been trying fever- short term, if he gets that, he's vindicat- ishly to blame on Democrats in Congress. ed. And in the long term, if the econo- Even Republicans spoke out: "I wish my's healthy, the president's healthy." he'd stuck by his guns and said 'read my The gulf crisis, so far a plus for the ad- lips again, no new taxes,' says Sen. Jesse ministration, has begun to sap some of Helms, a Republican for whom Bush was Bush's strength in the polls. The outcome campaigning in North Carolina. in the gulf, all agree, will likely overshad- It's been that kind of month for Bush. OW any budget story now, particularly if His political stock has been falling fast- the result is a negotiated settlement or er than the stock market since attention quick military victory. turned from the Persian Gulf to the budg- "Before Iraq invaded Kuwait, all for- et crisis. Polls that showed near 80% ap- eign policy news was a plus for Bush, and proval in mid-August - the height of the it still could come back and boost him," gulf crisis - now find him in the 55% to says analyst Merle Black. 65% range. Nonetheless, Bush's setbacks in the His TV plea for public support on the budget fight have many wondering if the painful budget deal he hammered out man who was called a "wimp" during the with the Democratic congressional lead- 1988 presidential camapign is beginning ership went unheeded. He was even un- to emerge again. able to rally support for the deal from "He seems to be following, or at best members of his own party. participating, rather than leading," says Bush has suffered a rapid-fire series of Stephen Wayne, Georgetown University public-relations disasters on the budget presidential scholar. that has raised old questions about his The derision has caused some to ask if strength, forcefulness and ability to lead. Bush could have avoided all this if he had And it comes at a time when even the his street-smart, hard-nosed strategist, perception of a weakened Bush at home Lee Atwater, at his side. Atwater, the could undercut the strong stance he's tak- GOP National Committee chairman who en abroad during the Persian Gulf crisis. help engineer Bush's 1988 victory, is "We're seeing a president scramble. fighting a brain tumor. He's looking a little bit like the George Atwater is said to be talking daily by Bush who campaigned in Iowa in 1988," phone with White House operatives and says Merle Black, Emory University po- frequently with Bush. However, some litical scientist. Republican operatives admit privately "Nobody's going to make the mistake that they miss Atwater's "gut feel" for of calling him 'Mr. October,' says Dem- day-to-day politics. ocratic pollster Peter Hart. Recovery is possible, most analysts The perception of a bleeding Bush has agree. GOP strategist Eddie Mahe Jr. of- Democrats on Capitol Hill sensing fers a formula heard often Wednesday: they're back in the driver's seat. "Bush has to be typical Bush. Very "I'm having trouble reading his lips open, very upfront. He's got to say what these days," says Sen. Albert Gore Jr., D- he will do, and what he won't do, and Tenn. "It hurts us all to have weak and then stay there." wavering leadership in a budget crisis." But Republicans - many still smart- Contributing: Jessica Lee and Lee Mi- ing from Bush's abandonment last June chael Katz of his no-new-taxes pledge - are giving the president the hardest time. It was Sen. Robert Packwood, R-Ore., who triggered the flip-flop reports. He led GOP senators to the White House to pro- test Bush's apparent willingness to bar- gain away long-held opposition to a hike in income tax rates for the wealthy in ex- change for a capital gains cut. Deficit plans proliferate; support is sparse By Richard Wolf USA TODAY Nearly everyone in Con- gress has a plan for cutting the deficit. But virtually no one has a plan that can pass. That was the key concern expressed Wednesday as fiscal committees began piecing to- gether unpopular tax increases and spending cuts. "We're trying to find where the center of gravity is," said Rep. Robert Matsui, D-Calif. "Neither party wants to raise taxes by themselves." when Committee The House dilemma Ways Chairman was and exposed Means Dan Rostenkowski, proposals rates of each position President a veto. house also on may Getting raises the to Bush's D-III., override emerge. key the two-thirds amorphous issue said possibility him of three tax of is next to impossible. "There isn't going to be any taxes raised in this country without the signature of the president," said House Speaker Thomas Foley, D-Wash. Wednesday's action: The Ways and Means Committee reported "without recommendation" a revised budget plan that restores $10 billion to Medicare, raises gas- oline taxes by 9 cents, not 10 cents, and eliminates business tax breaks, home heating oil tax boosts and a two-week de- lay in unemployment benefits. Chances: Fair; but Demo- crats lean toward taxing the wealthy, Republicans want to provide growth-oriented tax in- centives for business. The Senate Finance Com- mittee postponed acting on a plan by chairman Lloyd Bent- sen, D-Texas, to raise the top income tax rate from 28% to 33% in trade for Bush's propos- al to cut the average tax rate on capital gains - profits on sale of assets, like property or stocks - from 28% to 19.6%. Chances: Poor, unless Bush again reverses himself on the trade and agrees to consider it. Democrats, who control the panel 11-9, may lack the votes to send it to the Senate. House Republicans want to freeze domestic spending, have no gas tax hike, and trade a 31% top income tax rate for a 15% capital gains tax rate. Chances: Negligible; GOP is outnumbered 258-176 in the House and 55-45 in the Senate. "As I look to the future," said Rep. Thomas Downey, D-N.Y., "there is only darkness at the end of this tunnel." Make budget pact fair for everyone The USA has to balance its books, and everyone has to help shoulder the load. For a decade. that load has fallen too heavily on the poor- est 20% among us. And it's rested too lightly on the top 5%. For a few hours Tuesday, it looked like President Bush was ready to distribute the load more fairly. After signing a budget agreement wrung out in the wee small hours, Bush said that he might be willing to raise income taxes on the top tier in exchange for a capital gains tax cut. The mood passed quickly. A few balky Republican sena- tors sought to persuade Bush that any tax hike on even the richest taxpayers was unthinkable. They vowed "no deal" if raising that tax was part of it. So much for compromise. This is no time for any of our leaders to bei saying "no deals" on the deficit. Especially if they're talking about rais- ing the top tax rate. That deal has been too sweet for the well-to-do for way too long. It works by taxing the wealthiest at a lower marginal rate than the not-wealthy. So, a person with a $1 million income who was lucky enough to win a $10,000 lottery would pay $2,800 in addi- tional federal income tax - a 28% tax rate. Someone earn- ing $50,000 wouldn't be quite SO lucky - he or she would pay $3,300 on that $10,000, a 33% rate. This sweet deal has helped widen the chasm between rich and poor. It's helped the wealthiest 10% pay $93 billion less in taxes this past year than they would have in 1978, even though everybody else pays more, according to Citi- zens for Tax Justice. So much for fairness. People like the writer across the page apparently believe that the rich make such a valuable contribution to our econ- omy that they shouldn't be restrained by paying any more income taxes. And he wants to give them another break by lowering the capital gains tax rate. In these troubled times, it's troubling to be talking about letting the wealthiest off the hook. But doing what's neces- sary to cut the deficit will hurt all of us. Drivers should have to ride out a hike in the gas tax. Smokers should have to inhale more cigarette taxes. Drinkers should have to swallow higher alcohol taxes. Those who buy yachts and other big-ticket items should have to luxuriate in higher taxes on those, too. The spending cuts that must be part of any responsible deficit-reduction package will hurt many of our nation's poor, aged and middle class. Raising the top tax rate must be part of that package, too. It would bring in billions, and we need the money. And we need to make the tax system fairer. Giving investors a break on capital gains isn't a bad idea, but too many proposals have been badly conceived - full of gimmicks that make them look like they'll diminish the deficit when they'll actually add to it, too generous to people who already escape their fair share of the tax burden. Bringing the federal deficit down is a heavy job. It's a job that needs the hearts and hands of every citizen to get done. Rich as well as poor. DAVID HOBBS An opposing view This budget 'fairness' will hurt everyone LEWISVILLE, Texas - A self-granted two-week reprieve has yet to bring Congress any closer to real spending cuts, but it has resurrected a seemingly appealing compromise to trade higher personal income tax rates for a lower capital gains tax rate. This idea had to originate in Washington, the only place where trading something good for the nation for something bad constitutes a good deal. Purveyors of the myth that a lower capital gains rate is a tax break for the rich ignore the increased income earned by lower and middle-class workers and the wealth of jobs created because more capital is available for investment. A study by the Institute for Policy Innovation shows that the capital gains proposal that passed the House last year would have cre- ated an additional 750,000 new jobs, over five years. The empirical evidence is also clear: Since 1922, raising the capital gains rate has reduced federal revenue and low- ering the rate has increased revenue. Since a higher capital gains rate flunks the test of economic prudence - it costs jobs, reduces federal revenues and impedes economic growth - what about the test of David Hobbs is fairness? Nearly 80% of all capital gains are president of the the result of inflation. Every year, one out of Institute for Poli- three elderly Americans realizes a capital cy Innovation. gain. Is it fair for them to pay higher taxes on the inflated value of their retirement savings? Should the mid- dle-aged pay higher taxes on the inflated value of their home or for cashing in investments to send their children to college? In our current slow-growth environment, is it fair to sacrifice jobs for misleading but politically appealing sound bites? This trade-off is even more troubling when the true costs of raising the personal income tax rate are considered. Raising the top personal tax rate from 28% to 33% would have an adverse effect on economic growth, the average taxpayer's pocketbook and federal revenues. Even though Congress and the administra- tion have concocted an accounting system that assumes that peo- ple won't change their behavior if taxes are raised, rational indi- viduals and businesses aren't likely to abide by these rigid and historically inaccurate assumptions. Another of our reports examined the consequences of increas- ing the top tax rate to 33%, factoring in behavioral responses to increased taxes. It concluded that over 10 years this tax increase would cost $518 billion in lost economic growth and 377,000 jobs. Because it reduces economic growth, it would also cause com- bined federal, state and local tax revenues to be hundreds of bil- lions of dollars less than Congress' projections. Lowering the capital gains rate is a good idea that would benefit everyone. Those who would tie this pro-growth policy to a wither- ing tax increase are selling the nation and the economy short. On economic and fairness grounds, this seemingly appealing political compromise is a raw deal for everyone. DIANE C. ARKINS Guest columnist But my capital is not gaining OLYMPIA VILLAGE, III. - I'm a trifle con- "six-week recess," the Cap- cerned about how the '90s are shaping up for the itol Hill clan should reac- average American's pocketbook. quaint itself with some old- We're only 10 months into this new decade fashioned, tried-and-true and already gas station attendants have forsak- spending concepts like en the catch phrase, "Fill 'er up?" in favor of, "common sense" and "ac- "Stick 'em up!" In addition to producing mam- countability." moth IOUs, the savings and loan crisis has You'd have thought the spawned spot shortages of mattresses and piggy feds would have learned banks. And when the economists cry "Depres- Diane C. Ar- everything they needed to sion!" they're quite accurately echoing the way I kins is a free- know about balancing feel these days when I see the bottom line of my lance writer. budgets in the financier's bank account. Any way you look at it, my capital version of kindergarten - is definitely not gaining. Economics 101. For those with short memories, Sometimes it seems that running the U.S. gov- here's a quick refresher course: ernment is far too important to be left to the rep- Look before you leap. Before the pols ax resentatives we've duly elected to do the job. Af- any programs of human relevance, let's check to ter all, these are the very same folks who felt see if we're still generously funding research that the federal coffers could better withstand projects like "The Effects of Elvis Sightings on the recent short-lived layoffs of $5-per-hour the Mating Habits of Gerbils." Smithsonian guards whilst keeping $45.65-per- There is no such thing as a free lunch. hour congresspersons ever active on the payroll. Here's my vote for supplying every politician I just don't think the politicians have captured with a bumper sticker that reads, "How Am I the essence of how I'd like my hard-earned tax Spending?" along with his/her mother's tele- dollars to be spent when they make use of a gen- phone number. erous postage allowance to flood my mailbox You can't have your cake and eat it, too. with photo features of their meeting with the lo- The flashy appeal of any out-of-this-world, star- cal Boy Scout troop on its trip to Washington. wars-type budget commitment needs to wait un- In lieu of relying on congressional cliches like til things balance out first here at ground level. VOICES/Who do you blame for the budget deficit? Arthur Laffer, 50 Betty P. Stephenson, 63 Edward Goldman, 44 Paula J. Macllwaine, 49 Former pres. adviser Anesthesiologist Machinist County commissioner San Diego, Calif. Houston, Texas Long Branch, N.J. Dayton, Ohio The budget deficit is I don't think you can I blame Congress. The American people not the problem. The place the blame on any They're giving each oth- are to blame because problem is taxes and the one entity. This is some- er pay raises and don't we've gotten so accus- inability to control spend- thing that we've gotten care about the people. tomed to being a credit- ing. I have never heard ourselves into - sort of The president shares card society. We don't of a country that can tax the pie in the sky that's some of the blame, but want to pay our bills, and itself into prosperity, and catching up with us, and not as much as Congress. when they're due, we it just makes no sense we're figuring out how I can't afford to pay any look to blame someone. what Congress is propos- we're going to pay for it. more taxes. The whole We've worked ourselves ing with the budget. What Physicians and every cit- country is going to have into this mess, and we're I would like to do is cred- izen have a responsibility to tighten its belt and say either going to have to be it Newt Gingrich on his to do what we can to re- "no" to a lot of the extra more realistic or, next courage. duce the deficit. things. year, it will be the same. Trudi Norquist, 50 Eric Burden, 42 Payroll technician Service technician Issaquah, Wash. Alexandria, Va. Some of the blame I blame those people should go to us voters be- that we voted into office. cause no one goes out to Taxpayers would not vote out incumbents who mind tax increases if are in these positions for- they could see the bene- ever and ever. Maybe fits from the extra taxes. people feel that their But instead of applying vote doesn't make a dif- those taxes directly to the ference, but in a lot of in- deficit, they're spending stances, one vote has them. It bothers me that made a difference. they can manipulate That's the only way we money that eventually can get them out. gets lost in the shuffle. QUOTELINES "We will not go up on the rates, no matter what." - Sen. Bob Packwood, R-Ore. "Obviously, we're trying to get to where we don't hit the average-income people so much." - Sen. Lloyd Bentsen, D-Texas "Stop trying to buy us off with capital gains." - Sen. Ted Stevens, R-Alaska "Vote aye for the United States, vote aye for the senior citizens, the farmers, the children, the grandchildren." - Sen. Bob Dole. R-Kan. "Some cling to the unrealistic dream that you can ac- complish what you want without spending any money." - Rep. Sherwood Boehlert, R-N.Y. The Philadelphia Inquirer Thursday. October 11. 1990 Bush flip-flop on taxes reflects GOP divisions By Dan Balz Washington Post WASHINGTON - The confusion over President Bush's stand on What happened Tuesday? The sim- plest explanation might be that Bush One Democrat said Bush's only higher tax rates for wealthy taxpay- went farther than intended during real hope is to negotiate with Demo- ers, which played out Tuesday in an embarrassing and politically damag- his news conference and then crats in the House and a bipartisan ing sequence, reflects deep divisions backed off less than Sen. Bob Pack- coalition in the Senate. wood (R., Ore.) suggested when he White House officials also fear that inside the administration over told reporters that Bush had "acqui- some of the House Republicans now budget strategy and sharply conflict- esced" to the Senate Republicans. favoring a deal on higher rates may ing approaches favored by House and Senate Republicans. Bush opened the door to a rate be using it to appear reasonable but Scrambling to maintain Republi- increase in exchange for a cut in ultimately want to derail the negotia- can unity in the face of the Demo- capital gains taxes Tuesday morning, tions and turn the fight into a parti- cratic majority in Congress, the then appeared to allow a group of san battle. Republican senators, aided by anony- Bush has said privately that he still White House finds itself mired in mous White House aides, to slam it fears political damage if he bows to disagreement with no clear way out. shut hours later after a meeting at higher rates, although political ad- Many loyal Republicans, in and out the White House. visers have told him "it's no big of the administration, said they were Yesterday morning, after seeing deal." He also has been told that the uncertain what the administration the portraits of confusion on televi- Democrats already have won the ar- was trying to do. Bush said it was up sion and in the newspapers, Republi- gument because the President is now to Congress to clear up the confu- cans attempted a partial retreat from seen as defending the rich. sion. the apparent flip-flop. The current Sununu-Darman strat- Bush reportedly was not happy "He didn't make any decisions egy appears to be aimed at persuad- with the way events unfolded Tues- [Tuesday]," Senate Minority Leader ing House Republicans, who have day. But White House chief of staff Bob Dole (R., Kansas) said of Bush's been invited to the White House to- John H. Sununu and budget director reaction to the GOP senators' recom- day in waves, to abandon their talk Richard G. Darman continued to mendation that he take the issue off of raising tax rates in order to unify work to block any new agreement the table. "He listened to us. He the party in both chambers and then that strays too far from the package didn't announce his position at all. hang tough. What was unclear yes- soundly rejected by the House last He didn't acquiesce." terday was where Bush now stands. week. Seventeen senators visited the White House officials said they had White House late Tuesday afternoon. agreed that Bush's message during There are conflicting reports about his news conference Tuesday was how they ended up there. One account that he was not ruling out or in any said Dole and Packwood decided they specific provision and that all issues wanted Bush to know of opposition were on the table in the new round among Senate Republicans. Another account said that Sununu and Dar- of budget negotiations with Con- man, knowing the senators' views, gress. wanted Bush to hear them firsthand Instead, when asked whether he were now willing to accept higher in an effort to push him back from his morning statement. rates to get a capital gains cut, he Some White House aides backed up replied: "That's on the table. That's Packwood's statement, with Sununu been talked about. And if it's proper, telling a business group later that if it can be worked in proper balance higher rates were off the table. between the capital gains rate and The White House divisions, which income tax changes, fine." are more tactical than ideological, Watching the performance on tele- grow out of the administration's de- vision, one administration official sire to bring back into the fold the said, "I almost fell off my chair House Republicans who voted against because what Bush said "went well beyond what we thought was the Bush and the package last week. What position." has astounded White House officials is A senior administration official that many of those same Republicans, said the confusing events that fol- including House Minority Whip Newt lowed were "just a replay of the Gingrich (R., Ga.), have been talking argument we have been having up a new compromise that would in- within the administration for the clude higher rates in exchange for past 36 hours." capital gains. Sununu, Darman and Treasury Sec- One official said that those who retary Nicholas F. Brady "want to now favor striking a deal believe close the deal and believe any re- that the top rate on the richest tax- opening of these problems you payers eventually will be increased couldn't solve over weeks and weeks and that it behooves the Republicans will make sure you can't close the to get something for it, such as capi- deal at all unless it is on straight tal gains-tax cuts, when they can. Democratic terms," the official said. Vice President Quayle in particu- But complicating White House lar has sided with House Republi- strategy-making was the conflict be- cans, largely to build unity. tween senior Senate Republicans, The administration now faces a dif- who fear that Bush cannot strike a ficult strategic decision. Senate Re- good deal with the Democrats, and publicans, because of their numbers, many House Republicans, who once are a potent force in the negotia- opposed increasing tax rates but are tions. They have the votes to sustain now talking about being willing to a presidential veto of any final pack- do so. age that Bush dislikes. House Repub- licans, far more a minority, are seek- ing a role in the action in the House, which is dominated by Democrats. Budget Members of the tax-writing com- mittee were divided on the plan's plan is chances of passage in the House. "It lacks sex appeal," said Rep. E. Clay Shaw Jr. (R., Fla.) "[but) we've taken the fishhooks out of the sum- mit agreement." softened Asked why the House should pass it, Shaw said: "Congress is getting beat up all across the country. People think we can't govern. Even a hard Panel eases cuts, political choice has more appeal at this time than voting no or taking a tax increases walk." A similar plan is being pushed by By R. A. Zaldivar Senate Republicans with the backing and Charles Green of the Bush administration. Rosten- Inquirer Washington Bureau kowski and Bush met briefly yester- WASHINGTON - The House Ways day to discuss his committee's plan. and Means Committee cleared a five- The President's turnabout on the year deficit-cutting package yester- tax issue Tuesday left many in Con- day, making a handful of changes to gress confused and angry. Democrats placate members who defeated a sim- and many Republicans were incredu- ilar plan on the House floor last lous that Bush could signal a willing- week. ness to consider higher income taxes The committee was groping for a on the rich in return for a cut in the way to resolve the budget problem. a capital gains tax, only to reverse task made more difficult by Presi- himself hours later. dent Bush's flip-flop Tuesday on "We have to see what position the swapping capital gains-tax cuts for President takes this morning," said higher income tax rates for the rich. Senate Majority Leader George J. But committee members said they Mitchell (D., Maine). expected alternative proposals - "More and more, the President one from each party - to be offered seems like a man with both feet on the House floor, in which the firmly planted on two separate capital gains-income tax swap proba- stools, with the stools moving apart," bly would be resurrected. said Rep. Charles E. Schumer (D., Adding to the confusion in Con- N.Y.). gress, some congressional Republi- Bush, campaigning in the South cans said yesterday that Bush had for Republican candidates, avoided not ruled out trading a capital-gains the issue. tax cut for higher income tax rates. Sen. Lloyd Bentsen (D., Texas), What Bush had actually said and chairman of the tax-writing Finance done on Tuesday was the subject of much debate. Committee, said he postponed a com- mittee meeting yesterday at which Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole he was going to offer a capital gains- (R., Kan.) said that Bush had not for-rates trade so he could rethink agreed to anything at the Tuesday the situation. Bentsen said he had meeting with Republican senators. not ruled out offering such a swap. "He didn't make any decision," In an unusual move, the Ways and Dole said. Means Committee cleared its plan Dole said Bush was the victim of a yesterday without a recorded vote media disinformation campaign, and and without a recommendation to that Democrats were trying to force the full House. Republicans to accept a capital gains- The potential for competing pro- tax cut so they could raise income posals from the committee and the taxes and get "more walking-around two parties reflects the deep dis- money." agreements over the budget that Said Dole: "Let's get away from this have yet to be bridged. And the Ways argument of rich (versus) poor. We and Means Committee essentially de- all want fairness in the tax code." ferred the partisan debate to the But Rep. Raymond J. McGrath (R., House floor. N.Y.), a member of the Ways and "It's a classic debate between what the parties stand for," said Rep. Bri- Means Committee, described the pre- an Donnelly (D., Mass.). "That's what dicament of House Republicans. this place is all about." McGrath said he and his GOP col- Congress and the administration leagues had pledged their support have until Oct. 19 to agree on a for a swap at a closed session of the budget or once again face shutting committee Tuesday evening. In the down the government. The two sides midst of the meeting, a note was are seeking a five-year deal to cut the sent in informing the members that deficit by $500 billion. White House chief of staff John H. Ways and Means chairman Dan Sununu had gotten the deal Rostenkowski (D., III.) told reporters quashed. the committee plan reflected "a "I thought it was a pretty good great deal of the measures" in the trade," McGrath said. budget summit agreement the House The Ways and Means plan would rejected early Friday. limit cuts in Medicare to $50 billion However, Rostenkowski said the over five years, as opposed to the $60 committee removed or softened billion called for in the summit "what was totally obnoxious to mem- agreement. Providers would shoul- bers on the floor of the House of der $32 billion in cuts, and beneficia- Representatives." ries $18 billion. Dubbed the "bare-bones" plan, the The monthly premium for Part B committee's measure would soften coverage of doctor visits would rise the Medicare cuts, shave the pro- to $46.50 by 1995, as opposed to $54.30 posed gasoline tax increase by a' called for in the summit agreement. penny to 9 cents, eliminate a series of The annual deductible would rise to energy and business tax breaks, drop $125 instead of $150. the 2-cent-a-gallon tax on home heat- A proposal to require beneficiar:es ing oil, and discard a proposal to to pay 20 percent of laboratory costs delay unemployment benefits by two would be dropped. weeks. Bush's poll standing falls fast amid crises By W. Dale Nelson addition, 38 percent said they knew Associated Press that a gasoline tax increase might be WASHINGTON - President Bush's part of the budget deal, and 40 per- approval rating has plummeted in cent knew that alcohol tax increases the last two months as the Persian were under consideration. Gulf crisis dragged on, gasoline Among people under age 30, only prices soared and the budget stale- 20 percent said they were following mate led to a partial government the budget news closely. The per- shutdown, a polling group reported centage increased with age and yesterday. reached 46 percent among people age The Times Mirror Center for Peo- 50 and older. ple & the Press, a news industry The results were based on tele- group that monitors public reaction phone interviews of 1,213 adults con- to news, reported that 55 percent of ducted under the direction of those responding to its monthly sur- Princeton Survey Research Asso- vey said they approved of the way Bush is handling his job as Presi- ciates by the Gallup Organization in dent. Lincoln, Neb. Times Mirror said it was 95 percent certain that the re- Bush's approval rating was 68 per- sults could be off 3 percentage points cent in the September poll, 76 per- either way because of sampling and cent in the August survey. Indeed, other random effects. the latest figure is the lowest of any poll since Bush's election in Novem ber 1988. Surveys by various polling groups have generally shown his approval rating between 70 percent and 80 percent. In February 1989, shortly after he took office, it was 61 percent. The President's highest rating - 80 percent - came in surveys taken in January after the U.S. invasion of Panama. In the latest survey, conducted by telephone last Thursday through Sunday, 28 percent said they disap- proved of Bush's conduct of the pres- idency; 17 percent said they did not know whether they approved or dis- approved. The center said 68 percent of Amer- icans surveyed rated developments in the Persian Gulf as the most im- portant news of September. The survey said that 63 percent of respondents, the same as in August, were paying very close attention to news of the U.S. military deployment in Saudi Arabia and other events in the aftermath of Iraq's Aug. 2 occupa- tion of Kuwait. The percentage paying close atten- tion to rising gasoline prices, which have soared since the invasion, rose from 56 percent to 62 percent. The percentage paying close attention to stories about hostages held in Iraq and Kuwait declined from 57 percent to 47 percent. Although the latest poll was taken during the period in which budget negotiations broke down and Bush ordered the shutdown, which lasted three days, only 34 percent said they were closely following news about efforts to resolve the impasse. Despite this, 45 percent said they were aware that gasoline tax in- creases were being considered. In THE BOSTON HERALD. WEDNESDAY. OCTOBER 10. 1990 'Tip' knocks Foley on fed budget talks By ALAN LEVIN down as speaker in 1986, out from the state of Wash- had called the press confer- ington and he's not affected Former House Speaker ence yesterday to support by this," said O'Neill. Thomas "Tip" O'Neill Jr. Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.), But the ex-legislator did yesterday blasted current but he strayed to other to- not stop at specific criticis- Speaker Thomas Foley's pics under questioning mof Foley's compromise leadership in federal bud- from reporters. on the budget package. get talks and said he never When asked about the He charged the speaker would have agreed to the budget compromise that had let President Bush get compromise plan that fell was soundly defeated last off easy in his first two on its face last week. Friday, despite the backing years in office. "Now, if I were there and of Foley and other top O'Neill said Foley and I was the speaker, I never Democrats, O'Neill said he the Democratic leadership would have made the deal would have voted against "didn't go after" Bush on is- that Foley made," O'Neill it. sues such as the Exxon said in a wide-ranging "There never would have Valdez Alaska oil spill, the press conference at his been the original deal" if he savings and loan crisis, and Boston office. "No way had had his way, he said. gun control. would we have come up "I couldn't take that 2- He said he backed Bush with a conference (agree- ment) of that type." cent oil tax and I couldn't on foreign policy matters, take the (decrease) in Me- but said the president is Attacking Republicans dicare," he said. "doing a horrible job with and Democrats alike for regard to national issues the current budget prob- The plan would have and the budget." lems, O'Neill called Presi- tacked a 2-cent per gallon Like many congress dent Bush's decision to tax on home heating oil, members in the wake of close national parks "ridi- which O'Neill said would presidential arm-twisting culous." have unfairly hit the North- on the budget. he criticized cast. The white-haired former Bush Chief of Staff John legislator. who stepped "But Foley, Foley comes Sununu. THE PLAIN DEALER, WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 10, 1990 Bush shifts twice on tax deal By DAVID LAUTER and WILLIAM J. EATON LOS ANGELES TIMES WASHINGTON - President capital gains - profits from the Bush. still seeking a way out of the sale of stocks or other assets - to budget crisis, reversed position 23%. from the current 28%, while twice yesterday on whether he raising income tax rates for those would agree to raise income tax earning $200,000 or more to 33%, rates for the rich as Congress began from 28% now. work on a new budget package that In another proposed change. may not be finished until after the Bentsen would raise the alternative election. minimum tax paid by some wealthy During a news conference yester- taxpayers from 21% to 25%. day morning. Bush appeared to sig- While Bentsen's House nal he might be willing to accept a counterpart, tradeoff with Democrats that would Rep. Dan Rostenkowski, D-III., chairman of reduce taxes on capital gains while the House Ways and Means raising tax rates for wealthy taxpay- ers. committee, has not expressed his views on a second-time-around tax Only a few hours later, however, package, the two powerful chair- during a meeting with 16 Senate men met yesterday to discuss how Republican leaders who opposed to break the budget deadlock. any such agreement, Bush report- The combination of devel- edly switched positions again, re- opments left the budget situation jecting any talk of such a deal, par- confused again. Both sides are in- ticipants in the session said. creasingly skeptical that the law- "He asked us what we thought," makers will be able to put together said Sen. Bob Packwood, R-Ore., an acceptable budget plan before the senior Republican on the tax- the Nov. 6 elections, pointing to a writing Senate Finance Committee. possible lame-duck session this fall. "It was unanimous. We all put up During weeks of budget summit our hands and said, 'no deal. If the talks, White House negotiators re- price of a capital gains cut is going peatedly had rejected any sort of up on on the rates, then no deal." tradeoff involving capital gains B1 Cit "agreed with that concept." taxes and tax increases for the rich. said Sen. Ted Stevens, R-Alaska, Yet, Bush indicated yesterday "it's done, there's no way. morning he would accept it, after it The apparently conflicting posi- was endorsed by House Republi- tions came as, separately, Senate cans. Finance Committee chairman But he apparently reversed him- Lloyd Bentsen. D-Texas, unveiled self in the afternoon after talking his own plan for such a tradeoff with Senate Republican leaders. that paralleled what Bush had said While Bush was meeting with the earlier he might endorse. senators, his chief of staff, John H. Sununu, told businessmen who had Bentsen's plan. to be presented lobbied for the capital gains cut to his panel today, also proposes re- that the idea was now dead. ducing the 10-cents-a-gallon gaso- "He (Sununu) was pretty hard on line tax contained in the old bipar- that line," an administration offi- cial said. tisan budget accord to 9 cents a gallon and eliminating a proposed House Republicans have said 2-cents-a-gallon tax on home heat- they would support the tradeoff that Bush and the Senate Repub- ing oil. licans have rejected. Sunday, in a It also would ease the proposed straw poll at a party caucus, increases in Medicare costs to the roughly two-thirds of the 176 GOP elderly by limiting the increase in the deductible to $100, instead of members in the House voted to sup- $150. as proposed before (it is now port such a plan. $75) and trimming back the pro- The flurry of contradictory events underlines the disarray into which posed rise in Medicare premiums. the White House and the GOP have "Obviously, we're trying to get to plunged in the wake of the collapse where we don't hit the average- of last week's budget agreement. income person so much." Bentsen On the one hand, Bush and many said. other Republicans believe that cut- The tradeoff that Bentsen is ting taxes on capital gains proposing would reduce the tax on income from the sale of invest- ments ---- would spur economic growth and would help them politi- cally. But Democrats have insisted that the cut, which would primarily ben- efit wealthy Americans. must be balanced by increased taxes on the wealthy. Congress unlikely to OK higher taxes for wealthy By TOM DIEMER Americans have borne a heavier writing Ways and Means Com- PD BUREAU federal tax load since World War II, mittee. But "for the Republican ac- mostly due to inflation what used tivists and theoreticians, lower WASHINGTON - Even with a to be called "bracket creep" - and rates have always been an article of president's reluctant backing, get- a climbing Social Security with- faith." ting a personal income tax rate in- holding tax. After peaking at 92% for Ameri- crease passed in Congress would be "Before 1981, tax brackets were can households earning more than an extraordinary political break- not indexed for inflation and there- $400,000 in 1952, top rates gradually through. It has not happened since fore people kept moving up into came down to 70% in 1965, and to the Korean War. higher and higher brackets," said 50% in 1982 - the famous Ronald Despite the perception that taxes Rep. Donald J. Pease, D-13, of Reagan tax cut, that also indexed are constantly going up, individual Oberlin. "If inflation went up 5% rates - and finally to 28% in 1986. income tax rates have not risen in and their income went up 5%, they A guns and butter surtax during the nearly 40 years. In fact. a study of were not any better off but they Vietnam War briefly took top mar- historical trends indicates the would move up into one of those 12 ginal rates as high as 77% in 1969, opposite has occurred: a steady or 14 brackets." but that temporary levy was downward drift in marginal rates dropped two years later. Yet rates - set at 15% and 28% in from a high of 92% in 1953 to the Don Korb, a Cleveland tax lawyer present top marginal rate of 28%, or 1986 - have become Capitol Hill's and an architect of the 1986 tax re- for some unfortunate in- sacred cow. form act when he worked as an In- betweeners, 33%. "Rates that are too high are de- ternal Revenue Service analyst. has "The notion that government is structive of economic activity." said studied the historical trends and always raising your taxes is for the Pam Pecarich, director of tax policy thinks Congress will take heed. most part not true,' said Joseph J. for Coopers and Lybrand's Wash- "I think it is going to make them Minarik, executive director of the ington office. "The politicians lis- all the more gun shy (about raising Joint Ecomomic Committee. tened and learned, and over time taxes) once they realize what they have done everything they could to are doing here," Korb said of the The prospect of raising rates on the rich picked up steam yesterday bring rates down." post-war reluctance to hike rates. "I when President Bush suggested he Too much, in the view of some think this is a very significant point that has probably been over- was willing to bargain on the issue, like Pease, who want to raise rates looked." probably in exchange for a reduc- on the wealthiest Americans by 5%. The main objective of Pease and tion in capital gains taxes. But later "What happens is that tax rates allies such. as Sen. Howard M. yesterday, Bush backed away from have gone down so much in the last Metzenbaum, D-O., is to eliminate the idea under pressure from Re- 10 years that sending them back up the so-called bubble, a phantom publican senators. at the high end is not going to cause third rate which imposes a 33% While Congress has been loathe apoplexy for the average citizen," marginal rate on upper-middle to tamper with marginal rates, said Pease, a member of the tax- class taxpavers. The rate, an anomaly, is levied on joint filers making between $78,400 and $185,730, as a means of pulling their average overall rates to 28%. Income above $185,730 is again taxed at 28%, meaning upper mid- dle income taxpayers have a higher marginal rate than the very wealthy - though both groups pay the same effective, or average rate. Pease and Metzenbaum want to establish a firm 33% bracket for those making more than $200,000 annually - a historic tax rate in- crease that Metzenbaum estimates would add $45 billion to the trea- sury in five years and flatten the bubble. "The determining factor is really George Bush," Pease said yester- day. "A lot of Republicans said over the weekend. let's burst the bubble and get on with the show." Unhappy Americans want the old Bush back By TERENCE HUNT ANALYSIS ASSOCIATED PRESS Bush badly misread WASHINGTON - "The jury's On the critical budget vote. Bush still out," President Bush says, but congressional could not muster half of the GOP in reality he's been badly bloodied members of the House. Even most Republicans and the by the budget turmoil. of the Republican leadership aban- The president's poll ratings have American public about doned him. slipped, his leadership abilities are For Bush, it was a crushing dis- whether they would being questioned, his own Republi- appointment on an issue that he cans are in revolt, and he has support a painful had described as the biggest test of thrown away his no-new-tax trump his presidency in the domestic prescription that card. field. Bush may be enjoying still- would boost taxes on All this, and still no budget high popularity ratings, but what's agreement. it worth if it doesn't get him the re- gasoline, alcohol and After five months of wrangling. sults he wants? Congress has given Bush only a cigarettes and raise What Americans seemed to want vague budget agreement along with was the old Bush - the feel-good health-care costs promises to fill in the blanks later leader who promised not to raise under Medicare. with tax increases and spending their taxes. Many GOP politicians, cuts. To get even this much, Bush facing the voters in November, also had to shut down the government in liked the old Bush better. Bush says he has full confidence an embarrassing spectacle. The president made it easy for in his staff. "And when the passions At a news conference yesterday, Republicans to defect. He promised get high," Bush said. "I understand Bush acknowledged that Americans there wouldn't be any penalty for a that there's bound to be a little bro- might justifiably wonder about the no vote. He's even going out cam- ken china up there." He said the ability of the president and Con- paigning for turncoats. beginning complainers are just "squeaky gress to govern. "I can understand with Sen. Jesse Helms, R-N.C., wheels." the frustration," he said. "I feel it today. "The news of course is man bites myself at times." Despite Bush's collegial attitude. dog. Republican goes after Repub- Bush badly misread congres- there are bad feelings between the lican." sional Republicans and the Ameri- White House and congressional Re- can public about whether they publicans over the budget negoti- In less than a month. Bush's pop- would support a painful prescrip- ations. ularity rating has dropped 10 per- tion that would boost taxes on Bush's strong-willed chief of centage points to 65%. according to gasoline, alcohol and cigarettes and staff, John Sununu, and his budget a Washington Post-ABC News Poll. raise health-care costs under Medi- director, Richard Darman, were ac- A CBS News poll measured the care. cused by some lawmakers of acting erosion at 14 percentage points and The voters spurned the appeal arrogantly and treating them with pegged his approval rating at 62%. for sacrifice. Instead, they called disrespect. In one instance, Sununu "I guess I learned that you can't lawmakers to demand that they dismissed Sen. Trent Lott. R-Miss. do it exactly my way when we get vote against the president. And as "insignificant" when he said he down on something like the that's exactly what Congress did. would vote against Bush's budget. deficit." Bush said. Frustrated Bush irked by budget, Hussein that penalizes two-earner middle- class families earning between $50,000 and $150,000. SCRIPPS HOWARD Bush defended the work of his WASHINGTON - An impatient top aides. chief of staff John Sun- unu and budget director Richard President Bush yesterday ex- Darman. from attacks by Republi- pressed frustration with the budget cans and Democrats that the two process, critics of his top aides and Saddam Hussein for destroying Ku- were arrogant and had extended the painful. embarrassing budget wait. But he took comfort in polls process by pushing legislators around. showing Americans support him on Sununu infuriated many Repub- foreign affairs and blame Congress more than they blame him for the licans by suggesting Bush might not campaign for those who didn't go budget mess. In a news conference in the along with the $134 billion in tax hikes and the $30 billion cut in White House, Bush hinted he may Medicare benefits he signed onto accept a higher income tax rate on the wealthy in exchange for a capi- with Democratic leaders. Yesterday tal gains tax cut. "If it can be Bush insisted he would campaign for deserters from the fold. but he worked in proper balance between the capital gains rate and income also firmly hailed Sununu and Dar- man as first-class aides in whom he tax changes, fine," he said. He refused to be more specific, has full confidence. clinging to his months-old logic that "When people get tired and stay negotiators work best when they up 'til 3 o'clock in the morning, ev- ery morning, why, there's bound to work in secret. Shortly before 7 a.m. EDT, Bush be tensions," Bush said about con- signed 12th-hour legislation re- gressional criticism of Sununu and opening the federal government for Darman. Sununu looked on with a business as usual after closing it for grin. the three-day Columbus Day holi- "Calm them, calm it down and try day weekend for lack of a budget. to go forward. That's my approach He then admonished Congress it to it," Bush added. had until Oct. 19 to implement a Asked about Iraqi President budget resolution by settling what Saddam Hussein's intention to taxes to raise and what programs to obliterate any trace of Kuwait as an cut in order to pare the expected independent country, Bush said deficit of nearly $300 billion in 1991 such reported Iraqi actions as pull- by $40 billion. If no final budget ing Kuwaitis off of dialysis ma- package is agreed upon in nine chines and heaving babies out of days, the government shuts down incubators to send the equipment to Baghdad are "sickening." again. Democrats on Capitol Hill hailed Bush said he can't give an answer Bush's statement on tax rates. Last on how long he'd let such actions go Friday Democratic leaders said the on without military response, but it best hope for compromise was to is a "new equation in the last three make the wealthiest taxpayers pay weeks, the systematic dismantling a 33% top rate on the last dollars of of Kuwait that concerns us enor- earnings, just as middle-class tax- mously." payers do, instead of a 28% rate. His patience "is wearing very This would eliminate the "bubble" thin on that account," Bush said. THE BOSTON GLOBE WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 10, 1990 The perils of Bush's stumbling at home ade SO that "this aggression doesn't of staff, John H. Sununu, who is By Stephen Kurkjian succeed." viewed as more conservative than GLOBE STAFF Bush showed foreign policy deft- Bush and, as the budget debacle has WASHINGTON - Having won ness once more in the hours after shown, far less adept in handling the the presidency on the pledge that he the press conference. His adminis- sensitivities of congressmen. would never raise taxes, George tration put forward a strongly word- "He has no domestic agenda and News Bush wavered yes- ed resolution at the United Nations no passion when it comes to domes- terday on increas- condemning ,Israel for its bloody tic issues, SO he handles these things Analysis ing income tax crackdown Monday on Palestinians, on a crisis basis," said Doug Bailey, a rates. Having which threatened to disrupt US at- Republican political consultant. worked hard to convince civil rights tempts to unify Arab support for the Bailey's assessment was under- leaders that he is sympathetic to US response to Iraq's invasion of scored by Bush's decision, after their causes, the president today will Kuwait. meeting with Republican senators campaign on behalf of Sen. Jesse But as his defeat on the budget later yesterday, to back away from Helms, who has arguably the worst agreement last week showed, Bush his press conference statement that civil rights record in the Senate. has been far less successful on do- he would be willing to consider a tax President Bush is stumbling bad- mestic issues. "I can't say I just re- increase on the wealthy to achieve a ly on domestic policy. And in the joice every time I go up and talk to budget agreement. "When issues are process, he is alienating many of the Danny Rostenkowski, my dear dealt with on a crisis basis, a presi- political coalitions that put him in of- friend, about what he's going to do dent will usually look for the fastest, fice and that look to him for leader- on taxes," Bush said, referring to the easiest solution at hand, and SO the ship on key domestic issues. strong-willed Illinois Democrat who public comes away without a clear In his press conference yester- heads the House Ways and Means sense of where the President is lead- day, Bush conceded that he greatly Committee, which handles tax laws. ing it," Bailey said. prefers dealing with foreign policy Bush told reporters that the matters to handling domestic ones. problems are more institutional and Bush has perhaps his cloudiest It was not an extraordinary conces- stem from having to deal with a record on civil rights issues. While Democratic-controlled Congress. he promised a "kinder, gentler" sion for someone whose record high favorability rating from his handling "People really basically want to sup- presidency, his follow-through has of the Persian Gulf crisis began to port the president on foreign affairs, been limited to inviting a number of plummet as the budget crisis contin- and partisanship does, in a sense, black leaders to the White House stop at the water's edge," Bush said. who have argued for the civil rights ued and the public's confidence in his "Whereas on domestic policy, here I bill that Bush's top aides say he is handling of the economy deteriorat- ed. am with Democratic majorities in still intent on vetoing. Today, Bush In contrast to his work on foreign the Senate and Democratic major- travels to North Carolina to cam- ities in the House, having to try to paign for Helms, the conservative policy issues, Bush said, he is not having much "fun" dealing with the persuade them to do what I think is Republican who has opposed every best." major civil rights measure since he budget crisis. He said he enjoyed working on the gulf crisis, putting Others said Bush's view reflects arriving in the Senate in 1972: his ambivalence toward domestic is- Helms is opposed for reelection by together the international coalition to condemn Iraq's invasion of Ku- sues and his inclination to depend on Harvey Gantt, the former mayor of wait and building an economic block- the advice of the White House chief Charlotte. Gantt is black. Although a majority of the public has been found to believe that the Congress and not Bush is at fault for the failure to pass a budget package, Bailey said the defeat of it last week contained a strong message for the president. "Every poll that has been done in recent years has stated that the American people would be willing to accept higher taxes as long as it brought them better schools, cleaner environment, better health care," Bailey said. "If he had an agenda that was committed to those issues, people would have been more than willing to accept higher taxes." THE BOSTON GLOBE WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 10, 1990 An embarrassingly vivid contrast for the Republicans THOMAS OLIPHANT get summit deal last week. mond of South Carolina - the Dr. No The rejectionism of the Newt of more than a generation - votes for Gingrich-misled House crowd effec- WASHINGTON - From the a budget bill and declares from the tively dealt it out of the game; the slime pits Friday morning in the floor that "the American people want wise gesture of the Senate Republi- action." House, Republicans ascended the cans dealt them in. high ground yesterday morning in In the days ahead, the Republi- On Sunday, the House GOP was the Senate. cans have tough choices to make, SO tied up by its no-tax ostriches that "For heaven's sake, you're grown and privately acknowledge their not a single Republican bothered to men and women; why can't you solve rough contours. If they truly want a show up at the conference with Sen- the problem?" was how retiring Sen. lower rate for capital gains, they ate leaders of both parties that nego- James McClure of Idaho aptly sum- must accept a higher top rate on or- tiated the final form of the budget marized the public's damning ques- dinary income; if they want to join resolution. tion. He then answered it: "We can if Democrats in easing the budget's The contrast with the Senate Re- we tell the truth. Quit the postur- impact on Medicare, new tax breaks publicans was embarrassingly vivid. for business must be resisted; and if ing." With the climactic round of budget- According to this principled con- they want a lower or different tax on writing just beginning, the Senate servative, a fundamental verity gasoline or energy, they are prob- GOP quickly won concessions in the about governmental gridlock is that ably looking at deeper cuts in de- temporary measure allowing the fense. "neither party wants to admit what government to reopen yesterday, their agenda is"; and the reason is Thanks to major leaguers such as which the House's Democratic ma- that neither is confident enough James McClure, the Republicans can jority had rejected on Sunday. In about the appeal of its agenda to be shape those choices; if President one, symbolic and real spending cuts candid about it. Bush wakes up, he can play, too. were made part of the stop-gap The Democrats, McClure said, funding bill; in another, nonbinding want government to do more. and fa- but clear instructions were given to vor higher taxes to pay the cost. The Republicans want government to do complete the detailed budget-writing by the end of this week. less and tax less, and favor cutting domestic programs. Far more important, by choosing In politics, however, the Demo- participation rather than pouting, crats are afraid to make a direct case the Republicans earned the right to for higher taxes, while the Republi- wag a warning finger at the numeri- cans are afraid to make a direct case cally superior Democrats. That task for specific cutbacks in programs. was handled by veteran deficit-fight- The result is that the Democrats er Pete Domenici (R-N.M.), the sen- succeed in protecting programs, ior GOP man on the budget commit- while the Republicans succeed in re- tee. No budgetary funny business, straining taxes, each satisfying the he warned; no smoke and mirrors, public's conflicting impulses while and nothing less than $500 billion in nearly wrecking the country's fi- genuine multiyear savings, with pre- cise enforcement mechanisms, or the nances. Republicans walk. The only way out of gridlock, Mc- Clure said, is a simple statement, The Republicans' decision came which he made to the Senate's hard. At a closed-door meeting Mon- Democratic majority before voting day - Senate Minority Leader Bob for the 1991 budget resolution: "All Dole called it the raucous caucus - right, I'll meet you halfway." tempers flared. Dole, however, was More than half of McClure's Re- able to produce a majority of his par- publican colleagues joined him, in ty for the budget resolution, led by contrast to the House GOPs rejec- nearly all his senior people. You tion of President Bush and his bud- know that the antigridlock move- ment is cooking when Strom Thur- Democrats offer trade on taxes; Bush flip-flops By Peter G. Gosselin GLOBE STAFF portedly switched again and opposed enues over the next five years. any trade, according to participants Democratic negotiators have re- WASHINGTON - Senate Democrat- in the session. peatedly sought the rate increase to ic leaders yesterday tried to revive Bush reportedly asked the GOP correct what they say is an unfair stalled budget talks by offering to trade leaders what they thought of the shifting of the tax burden to middle- a capital gains tax cut for higher income idea, according to Sen. Bob Pack- class and lower-income taxpayers. taxes on wealthy Americans, but the wood, an Oregon Republican. "We just put our hands up and said, 'No Democrats have previously label- White House flip-flopped on the idea, leaving prospects for a budget settle- deal on rates at all' and he just ac- ed the capital gains tax cut a give- ment as muddled as ever. quiesced in it," Packwood said after away to the rich; the administration President Bush said early yesterday the session. has said it would spur growth. that he was ready to drop his longstand- Packwood said Bush also asked The capital gains tax cut would ing opposition to an income tax hike for the leaders if they would hold fast to reduce federal tax revenues by $9.8 the rich in return for a long-sought cut in their opposition. "And to a man, in billion over the next five years, ac- the capital gains tax rate. But late in the the room, every single person said cording to committee staffers. day, the president apparently reversed we will support that" position, Pack- Besides the tax trade, the com- himself under pressure from Senate Re- wood said. mittee plans that Bentsen is expect- publicans. Some press accounts quoted an ed to introduce today will junk a con- The reversal revealed anew deep fis- unnamed White House official as troversial proposal to impose a 2- sures among congressional Republicans saying the president then said, cent-a-gallon tax on home heating and suggested just how hard it will be "Fine, we don't need either one of oil. Bentsen had previously cham- for lawmakers to hammer out a five- them," referring to income tax in- pioned the proposal, which was year, $500 billion deficit reduction plan creases and capital gains tax cuts. strongly opposed by New England as called for by the stopgap tax-and- While Bush met with the sena- lawmakers. spending plan approved by Congress tors, the White House chief of staff, Other elements of the committee and signed by Bush early yesterday John Sununu, was reportedly telling plan include: morning. business executives who had lobbied Easing highly unpopular Medi- The two sides have until Oct. 19 to for the capital gains cut that the idea care cuts that led many lawmakers, work out a deal or face the drastic cuts in was dead. to oppose the first deficit reduction federal operations that were narrowly The White House refused to deal. Staffers said Medicare would averted yesterday. comment either on Bush's meeting be cut about $43 billion; previously it Before Bush's sudden change of with the Senate Republicans or on was to have been cut $60 billion. heart, it appeared that the White House Sununu's remarks. Bentsen, who is Elimination of plans to save and congressional negotiators were on expected to propose the tax trade-off $4.6 billion by delaying the start of the way toward a budget compromise. to the Finance Commmittee this unemployment insurance for two Aides to Senate Finance Com- morning, could not be reached for weeks after workers lose their jobs. mittee Chairman Lloyd Bentsen said comment last night. A slight drop in a proposed tax the Texas Democrat was ready to The events yesterday left the increase in gasoline from 10 cents support a cut in the capital gains budget situation as confused as it per gallon to 9 cents. rate, which would chiefly benefit the has been since late last week, when, New taxes on beer, wine, li- wealthy, from 28 percent to about 23 despite strident calls by Bush and quor, tobacco and luxuries such as percent in return for boosting the in- Democratic leaders for passage of a expensive cars, boats, jewelry and come tax rate for the wealthiest deficit reduction plan more than five furs. from 28 to 33 percent. The aides said months in the making, the House Bentsen's proposal had been crafted overwhelmingly defeated the mea- in consultation with another power- sure. ful Democrat, Rep. Dan Rosten- The defeat pushed the federal kowski of Illinois, chairman of the government within a hair's breath of House Ways and Means Committee, full shutdown. The two sides averted a shutdown early yesterday by put- suggesting that the trade-off might ting off the most controversial deci- help break the impasse over the bud- sions about how to change the re- get. Bush started the day by praising jected plan. Yesterday's events left many the idea of a trade, which he had pre- wondering whether the bargainers viously opposed. can hammer out a deal in the 10 days "That's on the table; that's been before the next crisis. talked about," he said at a morning The tax trade-off is at the center news conference. "If it's proper, if it of the Senate Finance Committee can be worked in proper balance be- plan to break the impasse and is tween the capital gains rate and in- likely to guide Democratic negotia- come tax changes, fine." tors in the coming weeks, according However, by late afternoon, to committee staffers who briefed when Bush met with 16 Senate Re- reporters yesterday. publicans who oppose any such Under the plan, according to agreement, the president had re- staffers, tax rates for couples mak- ing more than $217,500 in income would be raised from 28 percent to 33 percent. The increase would raise an additional $40 billion in tax rev- THE BOSTON HERALD, WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 10, 1990 Sununu gets vote of confidence By JOE BATTENFELD WASHINGTON - President Bush yesterday defended his beleaguered chief of staff, saying he has "full confi- dence" in John Sununu's ability to deal with Congress. "When the passions get Bush's strong endorsement came high, I understand that there is as many lawmakers - particularly bound to be a little broken Republicans - blamed Sununu for china up there," Bush said. "So I don't worry about that." jeopardizing budget negotia- Bush attributed the attacks tions with his heavy-handed on Sununu to a few unhappy tactics. members. "What you hear is the "Anytime you have a diffi- squeaking wheel," he said, ad- cult road like this, there's ding that Republicans such as bound to be some griping about Senate Minority Leader Robert it," Bush said at a White House Dole and House Minority press conference, with a smil- Leader Robert Michel are sa- ing Sununu at his side. tisfied with Sununu. "I have total confidence in Sununu himself stepped for- our team," the president added. ward yesterday to deny reports "I think they did a first class that he told GOP House mem- job." bers that Bush would come to Along with budget director their home districts and chal- Richard Darman, the former lenge them to explain their New Hampshire governor has budget votes. become a lightning rod for cri- "No, I didn't," Sununu said. ticism by lawmakers in the on- "What I said was, the president going budget saga on Capitol wants your support on the Hill. budget. He's going to look you The list of his reported put- in the eye sometime and ask downs and four-letter outbursts you to do it, and I hope that you against congressional leaders supported him, because if he has grown daily here. looks you in the eye and asks you to do it on the campaign, it Rep. Joseph Moakley (D- might be a little embarrass- South Boston), chairman of the ing." House Rules Committee, has When asked whether he openly predicted Sununu will went "too far" in pushing some be forced out of the White Congress members, Sununu re- House. sponded, "I don't think SO. We But other observers said got a budget agreement. didn't Sununu's job appears secure we?" because of Bush's strong sense Some lawmakers, however, of loyalty. noted Sununu was kept away Bush, in fact. attempted yes- from the Capitol while the terday to take the heat off his House and Senate debated the chief of staff. latest budget agreement. When asked whether he had chewed out Sununu, Bush re- plied testily, "Absolutely not." He insisted that no long- term damage had been inflict- ed by Sununu and Darman on the often fragile egos on the House and Senate floors. THE SUN WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 10, 1990 Bush says he may back rise in top tax rate "I think people want a chance But aides later say against the incumbents up there on the Hill," said Mr. Bush, who has he won't, rejecting complained repeatedly about having capital gains trade to deal with a Democratic majority in Congress that is dominated by well- entrenched leaders. By Karen Hosler California and Colorado, two states where Mr. Bush is expected to Washington Bureau of The Sun campaign before the Nov. 6 election, WASHINGTON - President both have term-limit questions on the ballot. The California referen- Bush said yesterday he may agree to raise income tax rates for the dum applies only to state legislators, but its success is thought likely to wealthiest Americans in exchange have at least an attitudinal impact for more favorable treatment on cap- on Congress. ital gains, signaling a willingness to On the tax issue, the president go beyond what his negotiators have indicated for the first time yesterday proposed in budget talks. that he may be willing to completely "That's on the table," Mr. Bush eliminate the so-called "bubble" that said at a White House news confer- gives the wealthiest Americans à ence. "If it can be worked out in a marginal tax rate of 28 percent while proper balance between the capital taxing those with upper-middle in- gains rate and income tax changes, comes at the top rate of 33 percent. fine." For a married couple filing jointly But hours later, aides said the in 1990. the 33 percent rate applies president had been convinced during to adjusted gross incomes between a meeting with Republican senators $78,400 and $162,077. Couples re- not to consider such a trade because porting higher incomes would pay at the Democrats probably would get the rate of 28 percent. the better end of the bargain. White House spokesman Marlin "They said we're never going to Fitzwater cautioned that such an in- get the balance we want with capital crease in the income tax rates would gains, so let's forget it." deputy White have to be offset by a deep cut in the House press secretary Alixe Glen re- capital gains rate, to perhaps 15 per- ported. "The president told them, cent. Capital gains, earned from the 'OK. if that's what you want.' sale of assets, are currently taxed at Mr. Bush's seemingly speedy the same rate as earned income. turn-about illustrated the volatility of At his meeting with the Republi- an issue that has been at the heart of can senators yesterday afternoon, the budget-cutting debate since talks Mr. Bush was warned that the Dem- began earlier this year. ocrats who control the tax-writing By publicly dropping the adminis- committees were never going to re- tration's resistance to an increase in duce the capital gains rate enough to the personal income tax rates, the make the trade-off worthwhile. president appeared to abandon the last vestige of his "no new taxes" But Mr. Bush, who told reporters pledge of the 1988 campaign. he has been "pulling and tugging" to His comments were taken as a get a budget agreement for nearly five months, said, "I want to get sign by lawmakers now working to something done in these committees. come up with details of the $500 bil- I don't think It would be helpful to lion, five-year budget plan adopted draw a line in the sand." early yesterday that Mr. Bush is In announcing the budget agree- open to any reasonable offer in ment he reached with congressional hopes of making a substantial cut in leaders last week, the president pro- the nation's soaring budget deficit. claimed that, despite its calls for "What struck me as most impor- higher gasoline, cigarette, alcohol tant was the atmosphere of his re- and luxury taxes, the package could marks." said a staff alde to the tax- claim the virtue of leaving the per- writing House Ways and Means sonal income tax rates intact. Committee, which is expected short- Mr. Bush acknowledged yester- ly to consider a proposal along the day that his previous resistance to lines of what Mr. Bush was discuss- such tax increases - particularly ing. "He was saying. 'Let's all get to- his "read my lips" anti-tax pledge gether and work something out. "makes It more difficult" for fellow But at the same time. the presi- Republicans who supported him dent said he might enlist in the anti- then to join him now that he's will- incumbent campaign now building ing to raise taxes in order to cut the around the country by speaking out budget deficit. on the stump during the next few But the president said he has no weeks in favor of limiting congres- regrets, noting that "changed eco- sional terms. nomics" since the campaign have convinced him to "go forward from here." Congress faces mass of details in next 10 days By Peter Osterlund Washington Bureau of The Sun WASHINGTON - Now comes the It was not clear whether that hard part. pairing would meet with the approv- After nearly six months of tortu- al of the White House, not to mention ous negotiation. lawmakers have congressional Republicans. Until signed off on a broad spending plan yesterday. President Bush had long that purports to slash S500 billion maintained opposition to an increase off the federal budget deficit during in income tax rates, although his ne- the next five years. But they have gotiators did advance a proposal to given themselves just 10 days to raise upper-income taxes in ex- write in the thousands of details change for a capital gains tax cut needed to make the plan a reality. toward the end of the budget summit "It's going to be murder," said talks. Republicans in Congress have Representative Robert T. Matsui. D- maintained similarly staunch oppo- Calif.. a member of the tax-writing sition to income tax increases. House Ways and Means Committee. But last week. in a closed meeting Yesterday, as lawmakers contem- of House Republicans, two-thirds of plated the deadline they put before those present voted in a straw-poll to themselves. the Ways and Means support an increase in high-end in- panel and its counterpart on the oth- come taxes in exchange for a cut in er side of Capitol Hill, the Senate Fl- the capital gains tax. nance Committee, began to meet be- - And yesterday. the president said hind closed doors to try to figure out publicly for the first time that he just what some of those specifics could support such a trade-off. might be. But later in the day. Sen. Robert Throughout the day. the reports O. Packwood, R-Ore., emerged from trickled out. A two-penny tax on a White House meeting with Mr. home heating oil and a two-week de- Bush and key congressional Republi- lay in unemployment benefits - cans saying that "our uniform posi- deficit-cutting proposals from the tion was that we will not go up on now-defunct budget summit agree- the [income tax) rates, no matter ment - will probably not become what." On Capitol Hill. meanwhile, law. The S60 billion in Medicare cuts White House lobbyists put out the advanced by the original budget ac- word that the significance of the cord will almost certainly be scaled president's remarks had somehow back to a reduction in the neighbor- been exaggerated by the news me- hood of $40 billion to 845 billion. dia. Higher "sin" taxes on beer. wine, Whatever the truth, It is supposed liquor and cigarettes appear inevita- to be hammered into legislation by ble, although the actual increases Oct. 19, at which point another may differ from those proposed in shutdown of the federal government the summit agreement. A 10 percent is threatened If Congress and the tax on high-price luxury goods such president have not settled on the fine as yachts, furs and jewelry looks as if points of the budget plan. Those fine It will survive the collapse of the orig- points are to be put into writing by inal compromise plan. Gasoline tax- more than a dozen congressional es appear certain to jump from the committees, populated with lawmak- current 9 cents-a-gallon rate. but not ers whose nerves have been rubbed by the 12-cent increment originally raw by the budgetary clashes of the suggested by congressional and past few weeks. White House negotiators. The task before them promises to Senate Finance Committee staff stretch patience further. The new aides yesterday said that the panel's plan requires lawmakers to assign chairman, Sen. Lloyd Bentsen. D- cuts to specific programs, a grim Texas, would endorse a doubling of task in the best of times. Agriculture, the current tax on gasoline. some- for example, stands to lose $13 bil- thing of a concession from a law- lion over the next five years. federal maker who had opposed a gasoline retirees have been targeted for an 88 tax rise in favor of an oil import fee, billion reduction. and the Guaran- which would have provided a wind- teed Student Loan program appears fall for Texas oil producers. headed for S2 billion in cuts. Committee aides also said the Then there's the defense budget. chairman would support a cut in the The budget pact, which would trim tax levied on capital gains. currently $40.1 billion out of the current fiscal taxed at the same rate as earned in- year's deficit, called for a $10 billion come, in exchange for an increase in reduction in this year's military al- the tax rate imposed on the highest lowance, bringing defense spending income earners. to about $296 billion. But liberals Mr. Bentsen would increase the have said they would like to pare the income tax paid by individuals earn- Pentagon's budget further. ing over $113,640 a year and cou- Yesterday. the House Appropria- pies earning in excess of $217,510 tions Committee approved a S297 annually from 28 percent to 33 per- billion defense bill that would elimi- cent. That rise, projected to affect nate 77,000 troops and slash Mr. 600,000 taxpayers and add more Bush's request for strategic weap- than $40 billion to federal coffers ons. over five years, would be coupled "As it sits here today, it's veto with a reduction to 19.6 percent in balt." said Representative Joseph the tax rate imposed on income de- McDade of Pennsylvania, ranking rived from the sale of such assets as GOP member of the Appropriations stocks. bonds and real estate. subcommittee an defense. Back to Budget Bargaining In the end, whatever Congress produces in the higher income tax rates are negotiable, a stance way of a budget deal will have to be judged against resisted by his own party in the House. But he also the bipartisan leadership package it rejected. Right says they must be "worked in proper balance" with now, nothing of substance is on the table - only capital gain taxes - a potential sticking point in a vague expression of intent that American voters bargaining with liberal Democrats. should regard with great skepticism. Problems could abound in finding substitutes One of the ornaments of the original plan ham- for other features in the bipartisan package reject- mered out by President Bush and the combined ed by election-wary incumbents. If New England is congressional leadership was its adherence (with to be placated by scrapping a small tax on heating one major flaw in tax breaks for start-up compa- oil, if the gray-power lobby is to be assuaged on nies) to the 1986 tax reform principle of treating Medicare costs, if a proposed hike in gasoline taxes all kinds of income equally: The ill-starred agree- is to be reduced and farm subsidies pared down ment rejected the Republican demand for a prefer- only modestly, Congress will have to compensate ential tax rate on capital gains and the Democratic in other areas to reach the goal of a five-year, $500 clamor to burst the "bubble" that gives the wealthy billion reduction in projected deficits. + a lower marginal tax rate than the upper middle These problems are back in the laps of legisla- class SO that effective tax rates come out evenly. tive committees that could not handle them in the With the bipartisan package sidetracked, the first place. Can they reach an agreement by Oct. 1986 reform statute is again in trouble. Democrats 20? Is It possible to concoct an agreement that is are back to bubble-bursting. all in the name of simultaneously palatable to Congress and sub- making the tax code more progressive (although stantive in reducing national indebtedness? Are some experts say the reverse might be true if capi- the left and right fringes reconcilable? Could an- tal gains rates are cut). Conversely, President Bush other federal shutdown threaten? again sees a chance to revive capital gains tax cuts Washington's lack of courage, cohesiveness to encourage investment and growth, a concept as and conviction provide scant room for optimism. debatable as whether the Treasury would come There remains the danger that all decisions will be out a long-term winner or loser. put off until the post-election deliberations of a Mr. Bush for the first time has conceded that lame-duck Congress. The Atlanta Junirual AND CONSTITUTION TUES., OCTOBER 9, 1990 THE ATLANTA CONSTITUTION For 122 Years the South's Standard Newspaper Jay Smith Ron Martin Publisher Editor Dennis Berry John W. Walter Jr. Tom Teepen President Managing Editor Editorial Page Editor James M. Cox, Chairman 1950-57 James M. Cox Jr., Chairman 1957-74 Deficit madness must stop now For months, budget negotiators in Con- won't be known until later this month when gress acted like a bunch of teenagers getting the general resolution is put into binding leg- ready to write a term paper. The legislators islation. Such legislation will have to be rolled up their sleeves, sharpened their pen- nailed down in the very congressional com- cils, adjusted the lights, shuffled papers, got mittees that have been unable to get the job coffee - did everything but the task itself. done in the first place. Finally last week, leaders of Congress and President Bush were able to cobble to- In all likelihood, the compromise will not gether a package of tax hikes and spending reduce the deficit as much as the original cuts that would have made a $500 billion dent plan. On the plus side, it will be a fairer docu- in the nation's enormous budget deficit. But ment if it does include an income tax hike for neither the Republican nor the Democratic the wealthiest Americans, who had their leaders were able to control their party mem- rates slashed during the Reagan years. bers well enough to get the accord approved. At this time, it is unclear how Mr. Bush As a result, Americans got a taste of what views the compromise. If he uses his veto, governmental gridlock can do. On one of the there is no indication he can find a majority last warm weekends of the year, national even in his own party to support a viable al- parks and museums had to shut down be- ternative. cause Uncle Sam was broke. Over the week- end, Mr. Bush refused to approve stopgap However the matter is settled, one lesson funding to keep government functioning. He is clear: Even in a time of national emergen- was wise to stand firm and keep the pressure cy, even when our troops are facing a fierce on Congress to reach another agreement. enemy in the Persian Gulf, politicians cannot Now a new compromise has been ham- find a way to work together for the common mered out. Sort of. good. This is not a pretty spectacle. The revised resolution, approved by the For a decade, leaders in Washington have House in Monday's wee hours and by the Sen- been pretending that it was possible to slash ate in the evening, unfortunately has far few- taxes while greatly increasing spending for er specifics on cuts and taxes. It appears to the military. The results were predictable. retreat from some of the previously proposed When President Reagan came into office in reductions in Medicare benefits; that's rea- 1981, the national debt limit was $935 billion. sonable. It also seems to open the door to By the time the Great Spender left office, it higher income taxes for the wealthy and low- was $2.8 trillion. Now it is rising to $3.44 tril- er capital gains tax rates, and that's support- lion. Even as the national debt rises, the an- able too. nual deficits continue out of control. Of course no one really knows what the new budget will do because Congress again At some point, this madness must stop. If has decided to delay any tough decisions. the budget committees stick to its outlines, this bill offers a a fair package of taxes and The true content of the compromise spending cuts. TUES., OCTOBER 9, 1990 The Atlanta Juurnal AND CONSTITUTION THE GINGRICH FACTOR GOP whip gambles with political future Is Newt Gingrich as smart as a whip after all? Or is he self-destructing before our Tom fascinated eyes? Either way, Mr. Gingrich's Teepen political Perils of Pauline ad- ventures have become an in- triguing subplot to the budget crisis. As whip - that is, the sec- measure of Mr. Gingrich's ond-ranking member of Re- artful dodging that, so far at publican Party leadership in least, his fellow GOP leaders the U.S. House of Representa- and even President Bush ap- tives - it's Mr. Gingrich's job parently feel they must con- to keep the party's troops on tinue trying to deal with him. the battlefield and following party orders, especially those To be sort of fair about of their party's president. this, Mr. Gingrich has a point Instead, without yielding in his current position. If we his general's stars, the Geor- aren't in a recession, we teeter gia Republican has been lead- on one's edge. This is a bad ing a revolt in GOP ranks, re- time to raise taxes. The gov- sisting any increase in taxes ernment should be either low- as part of the solution to the ering them or increasing nation's budget deficits. spending, to goose the econo- Or, at least, that is his lat- my along. est position. The problem is that Presi- Mr. Gingrich has sur- dents Reagan and Bush have rounded the tax issue over re- presided over such large tax cent months, at one time or an- giveaways and deficits so hor- other occupying just about ev- rendous it is no longer possi- ery possible position. And, ble to put off the day of reck- typical of him, each time he oning. At least the Democratic has pressed his position as the plan includes some offsetting only patriotic one, denouncing growth policies, as the com- all others in the kind of ulti- promise also did. mate terms that have made But Mr. Gingrich is not him such an infamous politi- commanded by such fine cal slanderer. points. He has a weather eye When President Bush first cocked to his own political put his lips in reverse, Mr. prospects - first to his re- Gingrich disagreed, holding election (opposing taxes, even out against taxes. Later, he irresponsibly, never hurts) came around, joining the GOP and to his ambition to become leadership team that worked the king of the Republican with Democratic leaders to right. produce the compromise that Conservative Dan Quayle, he then, once again changing who ought to rule the right by sides, helped to defeat. dint of office, has all the pros- And by last weekend, Mr. pects of a turkey on Thanks- Gingrich, fresh from stabbing giving eve. Jack Kemp is his president in the back, was mired in the gritty business of in the well of the House accus- the Department of Housing ing Democrats of disloyalty to and Urban Development. Bob the president by passing a def- Dole in the Senate is old hat icit-reduction plan of their and compromised. own. It was like Brutus scold- Newt Gingrich is, as al- ing an anti-Caesar heckler. ways, playing political hard- In almost any other politi- ball with his opponents of cal operator, that kind of reli- choice, but this time he is able duplicity would have its playing hardball with his own practitioner in mortal political future, too. danger from all of the quar- Mr. Teepen is editor of The ters he had betrayed. It is a Constitution's editorial pages. The Dallas Morning News Tuesday, October 9, 1990 Congress moves to avert shutdown By Robert Dodge wine, liquor and cigarettes all will and Susan Feeney be decided by congressional tax- writing committees. Final decisions Washington Bureau of The Dallas Morning News about cuts in defense spending and WASHINGTON - A massive shut- major domestic programs like Medi- down of the federal government care also remain to be decided. appeared to have been averted Likewise, a controversial pack- early Tuesday as Congress inched age of business investment incen- toward drafting a $500 billion defi- tives and enticements for energy cit-reduction package. production also will be reconsidred Shortly after midnight Monday, by Senate and House tax writers. the Senate approved by a wide mar- gin a tax-and-spending plan that Amendments in the Senate's ver- was approved by the House in the sion of the temporary appropriation early hours of the day. measure would extend funding through Oct. 19. But as a concession All that remained was for the House to ratify Senate amendments to Republicans and the president, it froze spending at 1990 levels. in a temporary spending measure 'I think it is good symbolism to that is expected to be signed by hold spending at last year's levels," President Bush. The president Mr. Gramm said. vetoed a similar short-term funding The Senate also set out a sched- plan on Saturday to pressure Con- ule that calls for congressional com- gress into making progress on writ- mittees to finish their work on the ing a budget. budget by Oct. 12. The House and "The American people want lead- Senate budget committees are sup- ership, not speeches," said Senate posed to stitch together the tax-and- Minority Leader Bob Dole of Kan- spending packages by Oct. 12 so a fi- sas, urging his colleagues to ap- nal budget can be approved by Oct. prove the budget. 19. "If we do not act now, when?" he Mr. Bush, who asked Americans asked rhetorically. "If we arenot ca- to understand the inconvenience of pable, who is going to act?" the government shutdown, felt the And Senate Majority Leader pinch himself during the long George Mitchell of Maine added, weekend. 'We simply must pass this resolu- To save money, he declined to tion." take his helicopter or limousine to Texas' senators split on the plan, the presidential retreat at Camp Da- with Democrat Lloyd Bentsen vot- vid, Md. - a decision that left him ing for it and Republican Phil stalled in a four-wheel-drive truck Gramm opposing the plan. in Washington traffic on the return Lawmakers met again late into trip Monday. Along the way, a tire the night in hopes of averting a cri- blew out on the accompanying Se- sis that would virtually shut down cret Service "war wagon." Agents the entire government. While cer- toting machine guns jumped out of tain safety services would continue, the heavily fortified station wagon a shutdown would suspend many vi- and commandeered a Park Service tal services and leave most of the 2.4 police car to rejoin the 11-vehicle million federal employees without motorcade. work. The budget crunch also put a The budget approved by the both damper on the swearing-in cere- chambers is a simplified version of mony for Supreme Court Justice Da- an earlier tax-and-spending pack- vid Souter. Mr. Bush warned guests age the House rejected Thursday. at a reception not to expect "lar- gesse" because the White House was The latest package calls for $500 operating with a limited staff. billion in deficit reduction in five years, with $40 billion of that in fis- Senate leaders spent much of Monday wrangling over whether cal 1991. But the package soothed the strongest objections by delaying they had enough support from the some of the most difficult decisions rank-and-file to approve the budget resolution. on tax and spending. Earlier proposals to raise taxes Although the package does not discuss cuts in Medicare benefits, on gasoline, home heating oil, beer, key Democrats said they intend to scale back the $60 billion in reduc- tions outlined in the first budget plan to $42 billion. The latest package also requires committees to find another $20 bil- lion in spending cuts or tax in- creases. "It is a promise to deal with the deficit in the sweet by-and-by," said Mr. Gramm, criticizing the plan as spending package earlier this year. short on specifics and saying it in- Although the White House has tended to give Democrats a free kept a low profile since Thursday, hand to raise taxes in committees. Mr. Bush has been calling senators "I am concerned we are buying in recent days - including Texans Mr. Bentsen and Mr. Gramm. two days of relief with a month of Mr. Gramm talked with the pres- misery by not being specific and will create more problems that will ident about the budget Sunday come back on us in a month," the night while Mr. Bush was at Camp David. senator added. But Mr. Bentsen said, "Ameri- "I told him we have a lot of cans are tired of hearing politicians heavy lifting, and I do not think we in Washington argue about the are headed in the right direction," Mr. Gramm said. budget and expect them to deal with it." Mr. Bentsen used his time with The division between the two the president on Saturday to discuss Texans illustrated the split between proposals to include a reduction in the two parties. the capital gains tax in the budget. Democrats seemed substantially Mr. Bentsen, who wants to offset more confident of producing a ma- the cut by raising the income taxes jority of votes to approve the pack- of the most wealthy, said he age. But, despite the endorsement received "no commitments" from of Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole the president. of Kansas and other GOP leaders, it Mr. Bentsen also told reporters was uncertain until early Tuesday that a package of incentives to en- whether enough Republicans courage energy production is in would support the plan. jeopardy. Those provisions were in "It's all smoke and mirrors," said the earlier budget proposal but Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz. "Before, were not in the version approved it was outrageous. Now it's ob- by the House. scene." It will be up to Mr. Bentsen, Noting the difficulty Republi- chairman of the tax-writing Senate cans faced in approving the pack- Finance Committee, to get the in- age, Sen. Patrick Leahy, D-Vt., said, centives back into tax legislation "We're past the time for rhetoric, his panel must draft as part of the and we're moving toward reality, budget process. and reality hurts like hell." "When you have 100,000 troops The budget resolution, which in the Middle East," Mr. Bentsen Congress normally is supposed to noted, "there is justification" for finish by mid-April, does not re- the energy provisions. quire the president's signature. In- stead, it is designed to instruct con- gressional committees to draft legis- lation to implement tax and spending policies. After the House rejected a budget resolution Thursday pro- duced by the bipartisan budget summit, congressional leaders charged that the White House should not be involved in the ini- tial negotiating process. Now, Sen- ate and House leaders are preparing to return the budget to the same congressional committees that were unable to write a tax-and- The Dallas Morning News Tuesday, October 9, 1990 Lawmakers find humor amid tedium of budget process By Susan Feeney Washington Bureau of The Dallas Morning News When House leaders needed a WASHINGTON - Most of the long-winded soul to orate until the (pause) break. new budget plan could be brought We shout and jeer and fuss and time, the 11th-hour budget proceed- ings on Capitol Hill were an odd to the floor late Sunday night, they bark. mix of lawmaking and hi-jinks. turned to a reliable source: Rep. We blame each other in the As the government lurched Kika de la Garza, D-Mission. dark. Mr. de la Garza rose to deliver a And now we have run out of time. toward a possible massive shut- so-called "one minute" - the 60-sec- And that, dear friends, is our own down - which appeared likely to ond messages that members may de- crime. be averted in the wee hours Tues- day morning - the combination of liver each day on any topic. The government - it has shut high pressure and high stakes pro- Rep. Dick Armey, R-Euless, asked down. duced the best and worst Congress if it would be a "Texas" one minute. And we're the only game in town. Let's work to get this budget has to offer. Indeed, it was. Clashing agendas, colliding egos Mr. de la Garza, chairman of the through. and pure election politics brought House Agriculture Committee, of- And get these tourists to the zoo. heated exchanges, occasional ac- fered a roughly 30-minute "one commodations and sometimes minute" on farm policy, complete And this is how I end my poem: zingers that made even the fiercest with charts and graphs. Let's pass something and go ho- combatants laugh in unison. In the Senate on Monday, Sen. em. Take all that and add the inten- Dale Bumpers, D-Ark., took on the sity of condensing six months of time-absorbing duties. budget work into hours or days and For 48 minutes, he filled the Sen- As House Republicans tried to working sometimes as late as 4 a.m. ate's pale yellow chamber with sandbag the new Democratic To illustrate their points, ruminations on the budget deficit, budget accord Sunday night, they lawmakers took to quoting the likes the Civil War, World War II, Mars, started questioning the new plan's of Christopher Columbus, the the Superconducting Super Collider effect on Operation Desert Shield, Founding Fathers, Woodrow Wil- and poultry, among other things. the U.S. military deployment in the son, the late Rep. Claude Pepper of Persian Gulf. Florida and Garfield. The cat. But before GOP lawmakers could Rep. Charles Stenholm, D-Stam- The White House pulled out all invoke the Stars and Stripes to se- ford, trying to persuade his col- the stops last week to persuade rious effect, Mr. de la Garza stepped leagues to approve the new budget House members to vote for the orig- in. resolution early Monday morning, inal budget hatched in the summit Moving to the well of the House, reached for the words of the car- between the Bush administration he scolded the Republicans, saying toon fat cat. and Congress. they had "no right" to raise such "When you find yourself in a "First I got a call from George concerns. hole," Mr. Stenholm said, "the first Bush," explained Rep. Ed Jenkins, a His son, Navy Lt. Cmdr. Jorge de rule of thumb is to quit digging." conservative Democrat from la Garza, was over there, the con- Sen. Phil Gramm, R-Texas, look- Georgia. "Then I got a call from gressman said. And if he was satis- ing back on the weekend's legisla- Jerry Ford. Then I got a call from fied that the new budget plan did tive drama, said, "That's not the Richard Nixon." no harm to the deployment, they'd Then the phone rang again. better be, too. "First I got a call from "I said, 'Who is it now, Abraham House Republicans switched Lincoln?' George Bush. Then I got gears and moved on to other, ulti- mately unsuccessful, tactics. a call from Jerry Ford. Throughout the process, one of Then I got a call from the most animated lawmakers was Without a word, Rep. Jack Richard Nixon. I said, the silver-haired, silver-tongued Buechner, R-Mo., aired his feelings Rep. Silvio Conte, R-Mass. At 1:05 'Who is it now, about the marathon proceedings. a.m. Monday on the House floor - He wore a navy blue tiè with the Abraham Lincoln?' " when nerves were shot and tempers likeness of Mickey Mouse dancing flared - Mr. Conte brought comic across it. - Rep. Ed Jenkins relief in the form of a poem he Georgia Democrat wrote. A sample: kind of American democracy I read We scream and moan and boo about in history books as a child." and hiss. We don't have time to take a One challenge was filling time while lawmakers work behind closed doors on the real business at hand. THE DETROITNEWS TUESDAY, OCTOBER 9, 1990 Keep Their Feet to the Fire President Bush during the weekend recovered nues from existing taxes are scheduled to rise $80 some political ground in the budget mess by veto- billion this year, while the deficit must be cut only ing Congress' effort to obtain temporary funding to $50 billion. Is it too much to ask Congress and the keep the government running. By holding Con- government to live with the kind of belt-tightening gress' feet to the fire and threatening a shutdown, that goes on in American households nearly every he stands a better chance of getting spending re- day? straint without big tax increases. If Mr. Bush gives As the country heads into a recession, raising in now - as it appeared last night he might - he taxes is a particularly dumb idea. The left, still could be in for bigger trouble later. bogged down in 1960s-style class warfare, is espe- The House budget resolution approved yester- cially intent on soaking the rich. But even if you day calls for slightly less in spending cuts and more confiscated the entire income of the rich, it in taxes then the package that went down in flames wouldn't run the government for more than a few last week. But it really is no more but a scrap of pa- days. And pretty soon the politicians would be per. The real work would fall to the Democratic coming after the middle class. The money wouldn't control committees. And they will push Mr. Bush be used to reduce the deficit, of course. It would be into accepting deficit measures far worst for the used to fuel more spending. country then the automatic budget cuts provided The only real way to cut the deficit is to cut for under the Gramm-Rudman Deficit Reduction spending, or at least to hold spending below the Act. rate of inflation, and promote economic growth. It is the threat of these cutbacks - and only this That's what Ronald Reagan persuaded Congress to threat - that gave Congress an incentive to deal do in the 1980s, and it reduced the deficit steadily promptly and seriously with the budget. If the to 2.5 percent of gross national product from nearly president had threatened Congress with Gramm- 6 percent of GNP after the last recession. It wasn't Rudman from the start, he would be a lot better off flashy, but it worked - and with a minimum of today. He would have gotten serious budget re- pain. straint without tax increases. And that wouldn't The country has already seen the results of try- have been nearly as traumatic as many in Congress ing to negotiate with the taxers-and-spenders in and the media would like you to believe. Congress - and it didn't like what it saw. The In order to meet this year's deficit target, after president lost a golden opportunity to gain real all, the federal government would only have to hold control of the budget process by using the tools down the projected increases in spending. Reve- available to him. It may have been his last chance. Chicago Sun-Times TUESDAY, OCTOBER 9, 1990 Bush, Congress act to avert shutdown By Jerome Idaszak Washington Bureau / Chicago Sun-Times WASHINGTON-Prodded by the fear of a broad government shutdown, congressional leaders and $100,000 than the first package, President Bush agreed Monday night to short-term and that cuts in farm subsidies would be shifted to soften the business. funding that would allow agencies to open today for impact on dairy farmers, among others. The Senate passed the measure on a voice vote, and House passage later in evening was expected. Sen. Bob Graham (D-Fla.) said Under the agreement, the government would oper- the changes in Medicare and more ate at normal levels through Oct. 19. Congressional even distribution of tax increases leaders hope all budget work under a companion persuaded him to vote for the budget measure passed by the House will be com- budget plan. pleted by then. Senate passage of the budget mea- Left unsolved was how to meet sure was expected by early today. the promise that the package "Out in the country, they don't think we look like would lower the budget by $500 heroes. They think we look like jerks," said Sen. billion. Some Democrats suggest- William L. Armstrong (R-Colo.) about the arguing ed "unspecified savings" while others said the money would be that's gone on for the past week. raised through new taxes. Senate leaders predicted a narrow victory in a vote "I see it raising $165 billion in after midnight on a budget that would seek $500 taxes," said Sen. Connie Mack (R- billion in higher taxes and less spending over the Fla.), who opposed the plan. next five years. "What's really wrong with this Because of a dispute over details of the budget. package is not that it's too severe, Congress had authorized no money for the federal too Draconian. It's too little, too government for the fiscal year that began Oct. 1. late," Armstrong said. It was the vague qualities that To keep the pressure on Congress to pass a budget. caused only 32 of 168 House Re- Bush last Saturday vetoed a bill to keep the govern- publicans to vote for the plan and ment open for a week while debate over the budget many Senate Republicans to blast continued. it, too. That veto drew attention with the closing of "This process has gone from Yosemite Park and other national campgrounds and outrageous to obscene,' said Sen. the shutdown of national muse- John McCain (R-Ariz.). ums and monuments here. "By adopting a budget which Urging approval of the budget basically makes undefined prom- pact Monday, Sen. Alan J. Dixon ises, we are making a job harder to (D-III.) called a federal shutdown do and more likely a job that will not be achieved," said Sen. Phil "a frightful alternative" that Gramm (R-Texas), who backed would cut air travel. bridge repair and purchase of defense material. the first budget plan because of its details. among other things. The Republican fear is that be- "This is not just the bear at the 200, the Washington Monument cause Democrats control a major- ity of both bodies they'll craft or the park you can't go into next weekend." Dixon said. "This is changes to fit their spending and taxing priorities. very, very serious stuff." But Senate Democratic leaders The budget agreement before the Senate was a revision passed walked their own tightrope, know- after midnight Sunday by the ing that if the changes differ too House, 250-164, with the major much from the first package, Bush will veto the effort. change of lower fees on the 33 "If the president of the U.S. million elderly in the Medicare doesn't like what we produce here program. While the new budget lacks de- then he can simply veto it and send it back to us," said Senate tails, House Democrats said their Budget Committee Chairman Jim goal is an increase of about $15 Sasser (D-Term.). billion or $20 billion in Medicare VE Bush, returning to the= White fees instead of the original $30 billion. That would mean a de- House Moriday avoided e public ductible rising from $75 to $100 role as Senate debate began. instead of $150. and monthly pre- mium increases less steep than under the first budget plan. which would almost double them after five years. House Democrats also suggested that higher taxes would tilt more toward those earning above Rosty is king of the Hill as budget war rolls on By Basil Talbott Budget revamp divides pire, were omitted from the bud- Washington Bureau / Chicago Sun-Times battle turf; Page 24 get summit plan, which cut out Rostenkowski in the final weeks. WASHINGTON-Poised to Peter Dwars, director of the Illi- preside as king of Capitol Hill III.), a member of Ways and nois Housing Development Au- during the final stage of the bud- Means and a Rostenkowski prote- thority, last week lobbied Rosten- get war is Rep. Dan Rostenkowski ge. "And if you cross Danny, kowski here to keep the housing (D-III.), the committee chairman there's a price to be paid." bond program. The Illinois Devel- who came out of the Chicago In its latest version of the bud- opment Finance Authority wants school of Democratic ward poli- get resolution, Congress will have to keep the other program that tics. leeway that was not given in the was due to expire. Rostenkowski's Ways and proposal coming out of the budget The Ways and Means Commit- Means Committee is slated to summit. The budget summit, com- tee staff has been working on Ros- handle the most costly and con- prised of top legislative and White tenkowski's recommendation for tentious elements of the budget House aides, sought to limit Ros- some time. It will represent Ros- agreement Congress has been tenkowski's options by specifying tenkowski's best reading of what working to produce. what taxes should be raised and his committee of 23 Democrats For the next couple of weeks, by how much. The new version and 13 Republicans will accept. Rostenkowski will be the most eliminated the limits. Rostenkowski's job brings risks important man in Washington. The same tax issues will come as well as opportunity. "The lobbyists and the media up in the Senate before the Fi- In 1981, Rostenkowski tried to will suffer lots of bruises elbowing nance Committee headed by Sen. wrestle the tax bill from President each other to get to Danny Ros- Lloyd Bentsen (D-Texas,, but Ronald Reagan but lost out when tenkowski's door," said Rep. Hen- Rostenkowski has the edge. The the president outbid him. Only ry J. Hyde (R-Ill.). Constitution gives the House first last. year, Rostenkowski was re- When Congress and President crack at money bills. buffed by his committee when he Bush finally agree on a budget A Rostenkowski aide said the opposed a break in the capital resolution, Rostenkowski's tax- two chairmen huddled privately to gains tax, which he then recom- writing committee will have to make a joint recommendation, but mended. choose and scale the taxes needed haven't been able to agree. Committee sources said his new as well as decide where to make Regional differences between proposal, which he is ready to the cuts in Medicare. the Chicagoan and the Texan and make quickly, will likely include a His close relationship with the makeup of their respective capital gains break as well as a Bush. his skills as a tough negotia- panels make an accord difficult. change in the tax rates to hit the tor and his reputation for deci- The House Ways and Means wealthy harder. siveness are among his assets. Committee is heavily urban in Rostenkowski's great triumph His assertive brusqueness was character, with members from was the 1986 tax reform bill, illustrated early Friday when he Chicago, New York, Boston. Balti- which did away with many tax delivered a rock 'em. sock em more. Cleveland. Los Angeles and shelters. floor speech criticizing the budget San Francisco-Oakland. Bentsen's His staff said the current chal- summit convened among Bush panel is largely rural in character. lenge is greater, however. It must and congressional leaders. That Sources close to Rostenkowski be done is a shorter period, and it group produced an agreement re- predicted that his proposal, re- will be the largest deficit reduc- jected last week by the House. ferred to as "the chairman's tion plan in the nation's history. Rostenkowski promised in his mark," will include goodies for speech to fix it in his committee. Chicago and other urban commu- He took a slap at presidential nities. These were lacking in the aides who have become unpopular budget summit's proposal, which because of their budget dealings, listed in Texas' direction. saying his committee members Two examples of the likely ad- would not be "rubber stamps." ditions are extension of a housing House Speaker Thomas S. Foley revenue bond program for first- (D-Wash) "is not somebody who time homeowners and an industri- likes conflict. Danny is not a guy al development bond program for who's willing to step back from a companies that want to add a fight," said Rep. Marty Russo (D- plant. Both programs, due to ex- THE BOSTON GLOBE TUESDAY, OCTOBER 9, 1990 Decisions at cliffside It is unfortunate that the problem besetting Bush exhibited some of the same characteris- Congress and President Bush over the deficit re- tics. By simply threatening to withhold approval of duction package has been cast most vividly in the a short postponement of the shutdown, required context of shutting down government. That danger under terms of the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings defi- is real enough, and has already inconvenienced cit reduction act, Bush encouraged everyone else some Americans, but the larger issue is much to play the dangerous game of my-way-or-no-way. more important. Congress and the president came This danger of paralysis in the legislative pro- close to a flawed but tolerable package that would cess should not be taken lightly - as anyone watch- at last have established a timetable for reducing ing Massachusetts political events for the past two the federal deficit. years could easily testify. Coalitions of support for Shutting down government represents a crisis any package on Beacon Hill were impossible to as- - a short-term upheaval that could not last for semble for month after month. The Massachusetts long. The deficit problem is a chronic disease that Legislature has 200 members in the House and over a long period has cost the nation dearly in Senate. Congress has 535 members, from far more both its domestic and international economic af- scattered political and geographic backgrounds. fairs. Disposing of the crisis without addressing Massachusetts has been struggling over its basic the long-term ailment dooms the country to persis- tax and spending structures. Congress has been tent economic disability. fussing at the fringes - and has demonstrated that When the House last Friday rejected the com- it is willing to create chaos in the process. promise measure put together by congressional The politics of compromise is often messy busi- and administration representatives, some of its ness and no joy to ideological purists. Results may members argued that they could not tolerate this be unsatisfactory to nearly everyone, but they do or that element of the package. Democrats largely keep the system moving and edging toward pro- opposed some program cuts and the emphasis on gress. Congress and Bush have shown, by rushing consumption taxes to raise revenues. Most Repub- headlong toward last-second budget and tax deci- licans were still wedded to President Bush's no- sions, that they are willing to deprive the nation of new-taxes campaign slogan. Both were clearly will- the kind of fiscal stability it needs to resume eco- ing to risk paralysis rather than accept what were nomic growth. Unintentionally, they have also giv- for the most part minor adjustments in basic tax en an indication that Massachusetts is still a trend- and spending policies and programs. setter on the political front. The Evening Sun Baltimore, Tuesday, October 9, 1990 Tiny compromise is poor weapon in war on calamity T HE GREAT Compromise dealt Not surprisingly, politicians dis- tional calamity - loss of Number with slavery and was SO impor- covered the wisdom of giving the Oneness, for heaven's sake! - the tant that history books still write it in voters more while fighting all ef- taxes involved were too slight to capital letters. Now we have the forts to pay for the new boons with constitute even a good soaking. It small compromise, and small is al- real money. was only a dunking. most too big a word for it. Needing a philosophy to justify Sure, the poorer classes would Some might call it tiny, consider- themselves, the politicians were continue to bear the heaviest tax ing all the somber talk in the air about blessed by the arrival of the Reagan burden, as in the Reagan years, but impending na- economists bearing a theory worthy it was more accurate to call it a tional calamity. of the Wizard of Oz. dunk-the-poor budget. Russell People fac- The way to fill the Treasury to You might have expected conser- ing calamity overflowing, they said, was not by vative Republicans to congratulate Baker surely want raising taxes, but - get this, folks! the president for his cunning in per- their leaders to - by cutting taxes. a. suading the Democrats to join him in do something This would free so much money this assault on their natural constitu- more dynamic than raising the price for the private market that business ency. But no. of beer, cigarettes, gasoline and would boom and tax collections rise The ineffable Newt Gingrich, health insurance. despite lowered rates. House Republican whip and the very Yet that's about all that was con- Here was a politician's dream of embodiment of "Representation tained in the budget deal between Paradise. Despite the much-bally- With No Taxation Whatsoever," President Bush and the Democratic hooed impending calamity, politi- promptly said he and all who still leaders. cians still cannot give it up. cherished the old Reagan way Yes, there were also new taxes on Nor can you blame them. Though thought the president had gone too furs and cars in the $30,000 price many may now privately concede far. And so they voted against him. range, but still - this is war on ca- that the theory didn't work, the pub- Perhaps the conservative defec- lamity? lic still seems to detest returning to tion will have long-term benefit for The peril is economic. Awareness the old idea that when governments the country. of it is what's behind the whining distribute boons somebody has to Suppose it persuades Bush that about Japan's supremacy and what pay. nothing he does will ever win him makes best sellers of pamphleteers' Chief among those determined to conservative support. warnings that it's all up with the keep shunning reality has been Bush. Gosh, it might persuade him to U.S.A. In 1980, before becoming give the country a break by dropping What to do? The obvious answer: Reagan's vice president, Bush de- the conservative Dan Quayle from Get out:of debt. scribed the Reagan argument that the ticket in 1992. You usually get out of dept by' tax cuts would enrich the nation as cutting costs, increasing income and: "voodoo economics." using the savings and added revenue Eight years later, though, Ameri- to pay the bill collector. Government, however, can't do it cans were SO wedded to the get-rich- by-cutting-taxes theory that he of- this way anymore. Why? Because of the politicians' fered them his "read my lips" pledge of "no new taxes" as assurance that he terror of raising the taxes needed to would never abandon the tried and be- pay for all the things taxpayers de- loved old policy simply because it had mand. In the 1980s taxes became po- failed. litical death. The Republic, which was born Earlier this year, finally con- crying "No taxation without repre- fronting the potential calamity, he sentation," began demanding "Rep- agreed to consider tax increases. resentation without taxation." The deal defeated last week - Politicians who opposed the lat- the tiny compromise, if you like - est increase in Social Security bene- was the result. It was denounced by fits were doomed just as surely as some Democrats às a soak-the-poor politicians who proposed new taxes budget, but this overstates the case. to pay for it. Weighed against the potential na- Chicago Tribune, Tuesday, October 9, 1990 Bush, Congress OK plan to avert federal shutdown Gramm (R-Texas). By Elaine S. Povich House Speaker Thomas Foley Chicago Tribune (D-Wash.) said the fiscal bills WASHINGTON-The Senate should be passed to end "this un- late Monday approved a new necessary and artificial crisis" budget package, averting a major crippling government functioning. nationwide government shut- The House approved the new down that could have caused budget plan, which is aimed at chaos for federal workers and saving $500 billion over the next many citizens alike. five years, early Monday morning In a fast-moving evening of with mostly Democrats backing closed-door negotiations, Senate the package. The proposal was ex- Democratic and Republican tremely vague, and congressional leaders agreed on a continuing leaders said the details would be resolution that would keep the filled in later. federal government in operation Specifically, they said there as well as a broad new budget would be fewer cuts in Medicare package. than the original budget The continuing resolution was agreeement between Congress and passed shortly before 10 p.m. Bush, which was rejected by the CDT. The House was expected House, and that the burden on to go along with the Senate ver- Medicare recipients would be sion, and President Bush ordered eased. that he be awakened when the In the tax area, leaders said the work was complete so he could House Ways and Means Commit- sign the resolution. tee and the Senate Finance Com- The last-minute action by the mittee would be given flexibility to Senate brought to a temporary act. end one of the most disjointed Emerging from private caucuses periods in governmental man- on Monday, senators from both agement in recent memory. parties predicted that a cut in the With Congress and the White capital gains tax-the levy on sales House stymied over the budget of such assets as stocks and and the money running out, bonds-would become part of the such government services as new budget, along with higher tax museums and parks were closed rates for the wealthy. over the long Columbus Day Democrats have insisted that weekend. any cut in the capital gains tax, But the full impact of a gov- which they view as a tax break for ernment shutdown was not felt, the wealthy, must be accompanied since most federal employees by a commensurate increase in were not scheduled to return to rates for upper-income taxpayers. work until Tuesday morning. Specifically, they have suggested bursting the so-called "bubble" in The budget agreement calls for the tax code which results in very details of spending cuts and tax wealthy taxpayers paying a top in- increases to be worked out by come tax rate of 28 percent while Oct. 19. If Congress and the upper-middle-class earners pay a president fail to agree on the de- top rate of 33 percent. tails, a similar fiscal crisis could "I think it will. be part of the occur. trade," said Sen. Lloyd Bentsen There were signs that one (D-Texas), chairman of the Fi- issue that had held up a budget nance Committee. "If we had a agreement for months-a cut in capital gains tax cut, the same the capital gains tax, sought by people that would benefit from it Bush, and higher income taxes on will have to pay for it by an in- the rich, sought by the Demo- crease in the [income tax] rates." crats-might again become part of A Republican on Bentsen's com- a deficit-cutting plan. mittee, Sen. John Chafee of Rhode While the new budget doesn't Island, agreed that the tradeoff specifically call for the politically was probable. dicey tradeoff, it provides flexibili- "Some like myself think an in- ty in choosing taxes, and congres- crease in rates is a perfectly justifi- sional leaders said the issue was able price to pay for [a cut in] likely to come up again as Con- capital gains," he said, "though gress implements details of the I've never been keen on capital new plan in the next two weeks. gains anyway." Senate Budget Committee Chair- Rep. Dan Rostenkowski (D-III.), man James Sasser (D-Tenn.) chairman of the Ways and Means Monday night urged approval of Committee, was readying a tax the budget to end this "govern- proposal to bring before his com- mental chaos and public frustra- mittee Tuesday. While details were tion. still being worked on, aides to "The American people are say- Rostenkowski said his proposal ing simply, 'Fix it. Do what you're would resemble the one he made paid to do. Make decisions. Legis- in March. That proposal called for late. Keep the government func- an end to the tax bubble, which he tioning,' Sasser said. said would raise $44.3 billion over But several senators said the the next five years. budget plan was so broadly written that real policy decisions about taxes and spending were being put off. "This says we will make deficit reduction in the sweet bye-and- bye," complained Sen. Phil BOSTON HERALD Tuesday, October 9, 1990 Senate leaders push for budget resolution By ANDREW MIGA WASHINGTON - With the federal ministration officials tele- government lurching. toward a full- phoned wavering GOP scale shutdown, Senate leaders last senators to urge them to back the revised plan, ac- night pressed for quick passage of a cording to a United Press revised budget blueprint to avert a International report. crisis. The president has said "Failure to adopt this resolution he would not support an- will deepen the crisis which now ex- other stopgap bill unless Congress passes a budget ists," warned Senate Majority Leader resolution that cuts George Mitchell (D-Maine). spending $40 billion the Mitchell's Republican counterpart, first year and $500 billion over five years. The re- Kansas Sen. Robert Dole, said he sup- vised plan includes those ported the new five-year, $500 billion target figures. plan pushed through the House early Bush had also wanted yesterday by Democrats on a largely any stopgap bill to include Gramm-Rudman style partisan vote. across-the-board spend- "I want the process to move ahead," ing cuts. Such reductions said Dole. were not included in the plan before the Senate Among leaders in both parties, sen- last night. timent was strong that the revised Should Bush veto or re- pact stood as the last, best hope for a fuse to sign a stopgap budget deal. measure passed by Gon- ... The strain of the week-old budget gress, hundreds of thou- sands of federal workers debacle was evident as both sides would be sent home today. jockeyed for advantage in a what has the first working day emerged as a bare-bones game of po- when the full effects of the litical brinksmanship. government shutdown would be felt. "This process has gone from outra- Stripped of all the high- geous to obscene," said Republican blown rhetoric and politi- Arizona Sen. John McCain. cal posturing, the budget The Senate was expected to vote stalemate has come to re- semble a high-stakes late last night game of political chicken. on the revised budget ac- Bush warned that with- cord as well as a House- out a budget from Con- approved emergency gress, he would close funding bill that would down the government. keep the government run- After the House last week ning until Oct. 20, the date Congress plans to adjourn rejected the budget sum- for mid-term elections. mit pact last Friday, President Bush, whose Bush made good on his threat. veto of an earlier stopgap House Democrats bill was upheld by the House Saturday, has not quickly responded with a plan that would use the indicated whether he summit's spending and would support either mea- reduction targets, but let sure. the heads of Democratic- But there was one sign controlled committees of White House backing pencil in the specifics on yesterday. Vice President taxes and cuts. Dan Quayle and other ad- Many Republicans view Bush's support of the Democratic plan as tanta- mount to political suicide because it cedes broad discretionary budgetary powers to Democrats. This process But the cost for Bush to reject such a measure is has gone from to continue both the gov- outrageous to ernment shutdown and the political stalemate. obscene. The Democratic plan could also leave Bush - Sen. McCain faced with a difficult veto decision on- the budget late in October, close to Many Republicans in Election Day. both chambers, fearful of The revised budget ac- being shunted to the bud- getary sidelines, balk at cord draws heavily from granting such powers to the defict reduction pact Democratic-dominated cobbled together by White panels. House and congressional "I'm not going to sign negotiators during 20 onto this fill-in-the-blanks weeks of secretive budget package," said Sen. Phil summit talks. The sum- Gramm (R-Texas), a bud- mit pact was rejected by get summit member. the House early Friday, The sniping over the 254-179. budget has brought into The new accord passed sharp relief the deep yesterday by the House partisan fault lines that was deliberately vague, define debate on Capitol similar to normal budget Hill. resolutions that leave Democrats generally blank tax and spending want to ease the deficit by levels further taxing the rich, The $60 billion in Medi- this despite evidence that care cuts called for in the substantial revenues can summit pact, a major only be raised by tapping sticking point in the the huge middle class House, would be scaled Most Republica back to $48 billion in the meanwhile, favor spend- revised plan. A 2-cent-per- ing cuts with no new gallon home heating oil taxes. but they have yet to tax would be scuttled in find enough reductions to committee. according to make a meaningful differ. congressional sources. ence in the budget. The measure would also The jousting. however, grant broad latitude to has also spurred fresh de. the Democratic-con- bate on an old issue, capi- trolled House Ways and tal gains. Both sides now Means and Senate finance envision a tradeoff wher- committees to determine eby Democrats agree to specific tax and spending capital gains tax cuts fa- levels. vored by Republicans in exchange for higher tax rates on the rich. Los Angeles Times MONDAY, OCTOBER 8, 1990 Budget Fight Tests Speaker's Mettle Politics: Thomas S. Foley has been the jugular-were cited as just the qualities needed to rescue the House from the partisan wrangling into architect of consensus in the House. Now, which it had plunged under his predecessor, former some colleagues wonder if he is tough Rep. Jim Wright (D-Tex.). Foley, a lawyer, was assistant attorney general of enough to handle the deficit crisis. the state of Washington before he came to the nation's capital in 1961 as an aide to the late Sen. Henry M. By RONALD J. OSTROW and PAUL HOUSTON (Scoop) Jackson (D-Wash.). TIMES STAFF WRITERS In 1964, helped by the landslide election of President Lyndon B. Johnson, Foley narrowly beat an 11-term WASHINGTON-He stands out among the 435 Republican congressman to win the right to represent members of the House of Representatives-a brainy, his conservative district in eastern Washington. undeniably decent man who is liked by almost He later honored the man he had defeated, Rep. everyone, Republicans and Democrats alike. Walt Horan, at a reception. Yet Rep. Thomas S. Foley (D-Wash.), after 16 A decade later, Foley reluctantly accepted the months as Speaker of the House, is facing the most nomination of his fellow Democrats to replace Rep. W. serious political test of his career. R. Poage (D-Tex.) as chairman of the House Agricul- The stunning defeat of the bipartisan accord on ture Committee-at the time part of a move to limit budget deficit reduction last week has placed Foley on the authority of conservatives who had dominated the firing line and raised a new question in the capital: House committees. Can this man really lead? Foley immediately named Poage vice chairman. : Foley showed a rare flash of aggressiveness Sunday Former Speaker Thomas P. (Tip) O'Neill Jr. when he criticized President Bush for shutting down (D-Mass.) brought Foley into the House leadership in federal government services in the face of the budget 1980 by naming him to the third-ranking post of whip. crisis. Still, characteristically, he did not question the "Tom Foley sees three sides to everything," O'Neill President's motives. said at the time. "If there was any criticism of the Speaker, it is that he ought to be tougher toward the President," liberal W hen Foley was elected Speaker, Rep. Leon E. Rep. Sam Gejdenson (D-Conn.) said as he emerged Panetta (D-Carmel Valley), current chairman Sunday from the House Democratic Caucus, where the of the House Budget Committee, hailed the choice as outlines of a new budget proposal were discussed. the perfect one to help reunify the House. "If there's one man who can repair the damage, it's Tom Foley," "I think Tom has done an excellent job," Rep. W.G. he said when Foley took the job. (Bill) Hefner (D-N.C.), a conservative, said as But critics fret that the same traits that have made he left the caucus. "I'd just like to see him meaner, but Foley so effective could prove to be liabilities when it that's not his nature. I'd like to see him be more comes to resuscitating the budget package. Will he vicious. But that's why he's Speaker and I'm not." now be able to take off the kid gloves and take a more Foley is clearly under pressure now. It was he who bare-knuckle approach? put together-and shepherded for 4½ months-the Still, on Sunday, there was some evidence that negotiations between the White House and Congress Foley may be about to change-to move "left with the that produced the plan that his fellow House members [budget] deal," as Rep. Charles Wilson (D-Tex.) put it, rejected last week-in part, they said later, because in order to bring more Democrats on board. they believed they had been shut out of the process. In the battle between Congress and the Bush How Republicans, who balked at the tax proposals in Administration over the weekend, it was Foley who the first package, might be persuaded to go along with a more liberal version remains to be seen. spoke for the lawmakers on the TV interview shows. Now it is he who must patch things up-first among Foley has made it clear that he has little hope of Democrats, then between Congress and President turning around Rep. Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.), the Bush. minority whip, who led the opposition to the budget The son of a judge who himself had judicial compromise. ambitions early on, 61-year-old Thomas Stephen "I'm not sure that we will get Mr. Gingrich's support Foley has been a consensus-builder for much of his 26 for any plan," Foley said on NBC-TV's "Meet the years in Congress. Press" on Sunday. "I certainly would not make an Indeed, Foley's passion for consensus and compro- assertion that any plan, any reasonable plan, would mise-and his absence of the instinct to go for the have to have Mr. Gingrich's support." Los Angeles Times MONDAY, OCTOBER 8, 1990 Why the Mess? Lawmakers Go Their Own Ways On the Democratic side, one group insists that the deficit is all billion this year. the fault of former President Ron- By TOM REDBURN Interest soon could be the largest ald Reagan and that the principal TIMES STAFF WRITER component of the budget-exceed- cure should be to reverse the 1980s ing the allowance for the Pentagon WASHINGTON-Why can't the and raise taxes on the wealthy. and Social Security. federal government clean up its Meanwhile, another group of Congress and the White House budget mess? Democrats argues that the deficit have tried almost everything in an At the heart of the fiscal gridlock really is not much of a problem. effort to get the deficit under that has paralyzed Washington They suggest that it is time to control: this weekend is a cruel fact: To the spend more freely on domestic -They reformed the budget average voter, the benefits of re- problems that have festered over the last decade. process more than 15 years ago. ducing the deficit lie somewhere in -Five years ago-convinced the uncertain future, while the On the Republican side, one that the only way to force action group agrees that the deficit is a was to hold a gun to their own NEWS ANALYSIS problem but blames Democrats for heads-lawmakers created the not being willing to cut spending. doomsday machinery of the costs are visible and painful to the But there is just as much convic- Gramm-Rudman deficit reduction public right now. tion among a large core of conser- law. The law requires Congress to And in an era when political vatives that the deficit is not parties have lost their influence set yearly targets for reducing the responsible for any economic ills over voters-and members of Con- budget deficit and mandates auto- and that the solution to the current gress must stand or fall as individ- matic across-the-board cuts in slowdown is to cut taxes even uals on Election Day-a large ma- federal spending if the lawmakers more. fail to meet them. jority of lawmakers found it far That doesn't leave much room in safer politically to pick the $500- -This year, they isolated a few the middle for the Establishment top officials in a room for 4½ billion budget compromise apart Democrats and Republicans, who than to support it. months-and the House promptly recognize that the federal govern- "I'm not elected by the Presi- rejected the result that the negoti- ment's well-entrenched benefit ators produced. dent," said Rep. Lynn Martin (R- programs for the elderly-which "The fact that you had the elite III.), an outspoken opponent of the now make up roughly half of all going off talking to the elite and budget package who is engaged in. federal spending outside of interest a tough election battle to oust Sen. protecting the elite really hurt any on government borrowing-are Paul Simon (D-III.). "I'm elected serious consideration of the plan," threatening to devour the rest of Rep. Thomas J. Downey (D-N.Y.) by my district-and my district the budget. argued. thinks I've done the right thing." "Folks, if we cannot make any Everything has failed. As a result, practically the only savings in the entitlement pro- At the same time, however, the thing upon which lawmakers can grams at this time, I do not know agree today is that they disagree economic collapse that so many where we are going to be in a with each other. experts predicted if the federal generation," House Minority Lead- "It's not that the center didn't government did not curb its appe- er Robert H. Michel (R-III.) plead- hold," says Brookings Institution tite for borrowing did not material- ed Thursday night just before the ize, either. scholar Joseph White, co-author of budget compromise was rejected. "The Deficit and the Public Inter- "If there were any justice in the "We are not going to have any est." "It's that there isn't any world, there would be a dramatic pie to distribute in a few years center left any more." end to the deficit story," says Paul because entitlements are driving For almost a decade, the battle Krugman, a former Council of discretionary spending down," over the deficit has eclipsed almost Economic Advisers staffer who Michel said. The Medicare pro- everything else in domestic policy now is a sadder and wiser econo- gram, for example, now costs the and left the government divided- mist at the Massachusetts Institute public more than $100 billion a between an unruly Democratic of Technology. year and is rising at more than 12% Congress, often beholden to special "The adverse consequences of a year. interests, and a conservative White the deficit would become spectacu- But when budget negotiators House driven by ideological pas- larly apparent in an economic crisis sought to raise that part of Medi- sions. and the public would rise up and President Bush's decision to care paid by the elderly to help throw the rascals out," Krugman abandon his no-new-taxes pledge finance the program's skyrocket- says. and negotiate a compromise with ing costs, lawmakers gagged. "But of course," he adds, "there middle-of-the-road congressional "What are we socking it to the isn't any justice in the world." leaders was supposed to have elderly for?" asked Rep. Silvio O. changed all that. Conte (R-Mass.). "Where are they going to get the money?" B ut Bush may have waited too Where they are getting it from long. Today, Congress is split now is future generations, who will into at least four camps, with many be asked to bear the swelling members holding strong beliefs on burden of federal borrowing used the best way to close the budget to cover the gap between revenues gap. and expenditures. "The passions are intense-the Interest payments on the federal issues are of enormous concern to debt, which now are higher as a everybody," Richard G. Darman, proportion of the total economy director of the White House Office than at any other time in history, of Management and Budget, said are expected to reach almost $260 Sunday on CBS' "Face the Nation" program. "It's the good of the country that's at stake, but it's also people's ability to get themselves reelected." Los Angeles Times MONDAY, OCTOBER 8, 1990 Support Grows for a Tax Trade By PAUL HOUSTON and TOM REDBURN, TIMES STAFF WRITERS WASHINGTON-With much of the government shut down for lack of funds, congressional leaders struggled through the day Sunday to win bipartisan support for a new deficit reduction package to replace the $500-billion plan that was rejected by the House on Friday. In a development that could break the budget logjam and re- open government offices, House President Bush successfully ve- Republicans overwhelmingly en- toed a similar stopgap measure on dorsed suggestions for a compro- Saturday and selectively closed mise that would raise income taxes down a number of government on the very rich in exchange for a operations, saying that he wanted reduction in capital gains tax rates. to keep the heat on Congress to The straw vote-which came in approve a new deficit-reduction a closed caucus called to explore plan. GOP sentiment for striking a new His action ignited partisan war- budget deal with the Democrats- fare on Capitol Hill, as the House marked a stunning reversal of the failed by six votes to override the hard-line approach that GOP lead- veto. ers had taken at the negotiations that produced the earlier budget F oley, who pleaded with Bush pact. not to force a confrontation It was not immediately clear, that might destroy chances for a however, how quickly any such new bipartisan budget, vented un- compromise could be put together. characteristic fury over the veto Democratic leaders said consider- Sunday, even as he sought to reach ation of such a tax trade-off would a new compromise with Republi- cans. have to wait until congressional committees take up details of any He accused Bush of "creating a new package later in the week. crisis that is totally artificial," In the meantime, the Democrats charging that "We're injuring in- pushed a new plan of their own nocent people" affected by the shutdown. aimed at softening proposed Medi- care cuts and shifting tax increases "It's like saying we ought to rebuild the fiscal house of this more toward the wealthy. But they said their own proposal would country and he sets the House on contain few specifics, leaving de- fire for awhile to get our atten- tails for congressional committees tion," Foley complained. to work out. Foley also sought to assuage rank-and-file Democratic law- The Democratic plan also would makers, who had been angered by reduce the extra share of Medicare the fact that they were left out of costs that the program's beneficia- the 4½-month-long negotiations ries would have to pay to only $12 between congressional leaders and billion over five years instead of top Bush Administration officials. $30 billion-a move designed to Meeting with reporters in an gain crucial support of the elderly, ornate lobby off the House floor, he who had protested the earlier plan. Lawmakers on both sides of the pointedly noted that the new pack- aisle had been especially leery age was being drafted without any about angering senior citizens, who formal negotiations with White constitute a potent bloc of voters in House officials-though he con- congressional elections, now less ceded that they were being kept up than a month away. Last week's to date informally. plan sparked a barrage of phone He also insisted that the Demo- calls and telegrams from the elder- crats' new budget plan is aimed at ly. "appealing to members of both House Speaker Thomas S. Foley parties. It reduces the increased (D-Wash.) expressed hope that a cost in the Medicare program and new budget outline would be ready provides a more equitable and fair for action by the House late Sun- distribution of taxes." day, in time to go to the Senate for He said the plan would contain a vote today. aggregate figures for reducing If a new package is adopted. the spending and increasing taxes but leaders then will seek to pass a details would be left up to commit- separate stopgap funding measure, tees-mainly the House Ways and needed to reopen government Means Committee and the Senate agencies before Tuesday, when Finance Committee. workers end a long Columbus Day "There's not a dime's worth of weekend. Without such a resolu- tax increases-not 10 cents' worth tion, most federal workers would of cuts in the budget resolution," be sent home. he said. "It allows the committees to consider these issues." B ut that is just the thing that Senate Majority Leader George J. appears to concern Republi- Mitchell of Maine with Senate cans the most. Many minority par- budget negotiators from both par- ty members voiced fears Sunday ties, but that no House Republican that if the details of the plan are had shown up. left to Democratic-controlled com- "I hope that someone would mittees, the final package will not come from your side," Gephardt curb spending enough to keep tax told GOP members, "so that what increases to the bare minimum. the President has asked us to do for "I've got reservations about re- five months [and] yesterday and ferring details to my committee," today-to get a budget resolution" said Rep. Bill Archer (R-Tex.). can be done. top-ranking Republican on the At their own caucus Sunday, tax-writing Ways and Means pan- Republicans debated whether to el. "We're out-numbered, 23 to continue seeking a compromise 12." with the Democrats or instead to Added Rep. Jack Buechner (R- adopt a strategy of confrontation, Mo.): "We may get a bone out of seeking to force Congress to enact the Democrats but certainly not a deep spending cuts by persuading five-course meal." Bush to veto appropriations bills As behind-the-scenes negotia- deemed excessive. tions wore on Sunday night with- House Minority Leader Robert out any sign of agreement. Minori- H. Michel (R-III.), one of those ty Whip Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) favoring a new bipartisan accord, pressed for a stopgap spending bill asked for a show of hands on a that would impose $40.1 billion in proposal to cut the tax on capital across-the-board cuts until Con- gains to 20%-from 33% now-in gress can produce a permanent exchange for boosting the ordinary budget. income tax rate on the wealthy to Normally mild-mannered, Foley 32% from 28%. erupted in fury at Gingrich's sug- gestion that Congress was blocking R epublican leaders said the a deal that would allow govern- plan-which they said would ment operations to resume by re- reduce the deficit by $13 billion fusing to cooperate with the White over five years-drew surprising House. support. "Of all the people in this House, "There was at least a two-thirds in this country, that has little claim majority for it," Rep. Jim Leach to cooperating with his President, (R-Iowa) told reporters later. it is the gentleman from Georgia," In recent days, even conserva- Foley declared to cheers and ap- tive Republicans such as Gingrich, plause from fellow Democrats. who originally opposed income tax Within minutes, House Majority hikes, have shown a willingness to Leader Richard A. Gephardt (D- consider such a tax swap in hopes Mo.) stormed onto the floor to that lower capital gains rates announce that he had been waiting would help stimulate the ailing for the last six hours in the office of economy. However, White House Chief of Staff John H. Sununu said Sunday that the Administration still oppos- es raising the top income tax rate. Sununu, obviously rankled that Gingrich had led a House GOP rebellion that helped sink the orig- inal budget compromise, noted that it was Gingrich and other Republi- cans who had insisted earlier on holding fast against any change in income tax rates. Robert Akerman The Atlanta Junirnal AND CONSTITUTION George Bush tried his 'riverboat gamble,' and lost They called Ronald Reagan's tax cut plan pledge under which he was elected, and said nomic ideas. a "riverboat gamble"- but it worked, politi- he would put "revenue increases" on the ta- I think that to get out of this mess now the cally and economically, for a decade. ble at a budget summit. starting point has to be to take the current George Bush, who once I wrote then that only a very good deal, in budget - the one for the fiscal year just end- called Mr. Reagan's ideas terms of immediate spending cuts and long- ed - and use the "flexible freeze" approach "voodoo economics" and term procedures to get federal spending un- to adapt it for the new year. Even without then professed to accept der control, would redeem his abandonment new taxes, the deficit looks much different if them for that decade, has of that pledge. we think in terms of continuing current tried his own "riverboat He didn't get a good deal. He got such a spending instead of projecting from a base gamble," and lost. bad one that both Democrats and Republi- that includes built-in increases. Fiscal 1990 As 1990 wore on, the rate of increase in govern- cans rebelled against the congressional lead- spending would provide the 1991 budget ment revenue began to de- ers who had negotiated it. ceiling; funds from those items which can be cut below this year's spending can be trans- cline, presaging a greater Where do we go from here? President ferred to those which absolutely must be in- increase in the deficit than Bush already is on record as saying that the MON., OCTOBER 8, 1990 creased. And, in the end, we might find that President Bush's own economists, voodoo or budget agreement he got was the best one new taxes this year aren't really necessary otherwise, had prophesied in January. That possible at present. Presumably he does not after all. decline was in itself a sign that a recession have much to offer at this point. Those who had begun. opposed his deal, especially those on the Re- George Bush lost his budget battle, but he Neither the liberal economics of John publican side who had the instinct to know doesn't have to lose the economic war. If we Maynard Keynes nor the doctrines of the that it was not good economics, may be able can stave off the recession that his proposed supply-siders advocate a tax increase in a re- to come up with a better plan. But whether budget could only have worsened, he may yet cession. But President Bush gambled any- many Democrats will go along with them is come out of the political war strong enough way. He abandoned the "no new taxes" doubtful, since they don't have the same eco- to fight another day. Newsday October 8, 1990 Refusing to do the right thing tirely different reasons, of course. Bush had MARY McGRORY pleaded with them on television and in person for help on a "bipartisan budget." His chief of WASHINGTON - Can Congress come staff, John Sununu, got out his truncheon and back? Can President Bush? laid about in a way that made some nostalgic The executive and legislative branches for "the good old days of Donald Regan." joined hands and jumped into a sea of raging The president, who has had such phenom- public disapproval of government. Bush made enal luck with Francois and Margaret and the mistake of thinking he could govern with Helmut on the perilous matter of the Persian slogans as easily as he had campaigned on Gulf, could not persuade Newt Gingrich, his them. Members of Congress feared the elec- party whip in the House, to give him a vote. torate would never forgive them for exercising Too late the House leaders saw the folly of common sense, although poll after poll had told them that voters would accept higher tax- their ways and put out word that they, too, es if they were applied to deficit reduction. hated the budget agreement. They passed a continuing resolution, one that would have at Contempt for Congress could be read in least kept the machinery of government roll- the reproachful stares of the tourists who sat ing. Bush promptly and righteously vetoed it. in the House and Senate galleries because Not for him "business as usual," although it they were locked out of other public buildings. was his studied ignoring of the deficit and his Congress' failure to pass a budget resolu- religious crusade against new taxes that had tion was the problem, White House operators done so much to fashion the crisis. told callers. Pictures of tots sobbing at the The mortified Democrats tried to override White House gates and Boy Scouts frowning at the base of the off-limits Washington Monu- his veto and spent Saturday raucously failing. ment make Congress look bad. But Bush, who The tourists took it all in. On a sparkling vetoed a continuing resolution to keep the gov- Sunday afternoon, Bill Erickson, an engineer ernment going, didn't look much better. from Chicago, while wife Betty nodded vigor- Democratic leaders of the House, for rea- ously in agreement, passed judgment on the architects of the debacle. sons they have yet to explain, accepted a bud- get agreement that offended the party's major "I watched the House yesterday, and they were like a crew of kids out of control. I went constituencies. Their troops in the House rebelled. Bitter to the Senate and they had five people on the things were said about Speaker Tom Foley. floor - they don't even come to hear each other Liberals compared him to the British colonel speak," he said. "If this is normal, maybe we in "The Bridge on the River Kwai," the Alec should do something different and elect people Guinness character who got SO carried away who care about their jobs." by the process that he failed to realize he was While the Ericksons were assessing their collaborating with the enemy. leaders, the Democrats were regrouping. Rep. Last Thursday, liberal Democrats joined Sam Gejdenson of Connecticut said, "We de- right-wing Republicans, who also abandoned cided to be Democrats." On the backs of enve- their leader in voting against the bill - for en- lopes they jotted down a few thoughts about reducing Medicare costs and raising the taxes of the rich. Foley presented the sketch to the caucus. Huzzahs followed, and Foley smiled for the first time in four days. The new budget passed at dawn. The whole problem was trundled over to the Senate, where it was as if none of the ag- ony, embarrassment, disruption and yawning chaos had ever been. The Democrats quavered and havered in their caucus. Some incumbents with House challengers lamented that they might have to vote against the new budget because their ri- vals had. They wanted assurance that Republi- cans would support it, SO they would not be naked to a charge by Bush that they had once again passed a tax-increase measure over his protest. Republicans hung back from doing the right thing. It is as if Alice Roosevelt's cynical dictum; "No good deed goes unpunished" had become the law of the land. Mary McGrory is a syndicated coiumnist Bush's Big Lie For years he derided taxes. No wonder people rejected his call to accept them now. The budget impasse is a colossal failure of George Bush's leadership. For the past decade, Bush was first cheer- leader, then head coach, of a Republican team that kept on winning largely because it told the public it wouldn't have to pay more taxes to reduce the deficit. No wonder that when Bush finally went on television last week to tell Americans, essentially, that he had lied, they cried foul. He hadn't prepared them for the truth. And the outpouring of negative phone calls from voters to House members - standing for re-election next month - shut the coffin on the bipartisan budget deal. But the unfortunate part about it is that the void created by the House's rejection of the pact - and Bush's petty, partisan effort to shift responsibility for the entire affair to Cap- itol Hill - is apparently going to be filled with something that could turn out to be worse. The new idea is a budget cut and pasted together by congressional committees, the very fiefdoms that SO far have displayed as much political cowardice in earlier deficit-re- duction efforts as the White House. It's true that one of the many reasons for the budget agreement's demise is that powerful committee chairmen felt their toes were crushed when administration officials and congressional leaders settled in private on a distasteful deal, then tried to ram it through Congress. Handing the job back to congres- sional committees - the course about to be taken - is a welcome dose of democracy. But the danger is that real deficit reduction will again be lost to fiscal gimmickry. For all the unfairness in the doomed pact Bush and congressional leaders crafted, it did provide for real tax hikes and real spending cuts. Year after year, Congress has settled for phantom savings that fell short of deficit-cutting goals. That must be the prerequisite for a new deal. Not only should it meet the original pact's deficit reduction of $40 billion this year and $500 billion over five years. it must achieve these reductions in fact - not on paper. If a new budget agreement isn't credible, the Fed- eral Reserve won't lower interest rates and the nation will slip into recession. The rejected agreement should be changed in two key ways, to make it fairer but still effective in stanching the red ink. It must roll back the odious increases in payments that Medicare participants must make. And it should end the hoax that income-tax rates can't or shouldn't be raised. Even in their hu- miliation, Bush and his top advisers cling to this idea - oblivious to the fact, that their insistence on excise taxes that hit the poor and middle class harder than the rich was a key reason Congress, and the public. turned down the first deal. Higher tax rates for the wealthy are eco- nomically and politically appropriate - and the price Bush has to pay for a decade of lies. CHICAGO SUN-TIMES, MONDAY, OCTOBER 8. 1990 Budget-pact loss widens GOP split aving suffered the most hu- acting "like a bunch of thugs." in miliating defeat in Con- the words of one lame-duck GOP gress by any Republican congressman. to win House ap- president in recent history. George proval. There was no laughter Bush in a morning-after reflex when reports hit the Republican reached for more of the previous cloakroom of a threatened Sununu night's poison, by seeking to re- visit to confront Rep. Robert negotiate the flawed budget agree- Walker, a chief deputy party ment-with Democrats. whip. in his Pennsylvania district. After a White House strategy Gingrich and fellow House GOP meeting. President Bush's main leader, Rep. Vin Weber. sought to operatives traveled to Capitol Hill avert defeat until the 11th hour to meet Speaker Thursday. They Thomas Foley, met with a fre- Senate Majority quent antagonist, Leader George Senate Republican Mitchell and Leader Robert J. House Majority Dole, and tenta- Leader Richard tively mapped a Gephardt. Repub- plan that would lican congressional resurrect the cap- leaders who had ital gains cut but supported the raise the top indi- budget pact were vidual income tax absent. No wonder Rowland Evans & rate. Thumbs then that House down from the Robert Novak Minority Whip White House. Newt Gingrich, Instead, Foley who led the GOP was sent out of an rebellion, was a pariah cut off Oval Office meeting Thursday to from presidential contact. publicly reassure Congress that Even to critical insiders at the the agreement would be fine- White House, the course taken by tuned in House committees. Since the president and his men seemed those committees are Democratic- suicidal. Instead of trying to close controlled, the speaker's mild the party's self-inflicted budget words chilled Republicans. wounds, the White House was That led to GOP defections be- venting its anger against rebel Re- vond White House expectations. publicans. Never during nearly When it then became clear that two years of budgetary infighting the budget would lose, Foley could with Democrats was so much ven- not deliver Democratic votes. om displayed by the Bush team as Not before and not after Gin- on Friday after the great defeat. grich mobilized his House Repub- These are the pitfalls of biparti- lican whip organization to sustain sanship run amok. In their search the president's veto of the stopgap for deficit reduction. Bush and spending measure Saturdav was chief of staff John Sununu aban- he in touch with the White House. doned their party's principles and The once-intimate relationship welfare. between Gingrich and Sununu is To Bush's agents inured to now in ruins. Democratic demands during five Republicans supported the veto months of haggling. the deal even though they question Bush's seemed pretty good. But Republi- tactics. "I guess he's embittered." cans across the country were said Rep. Henry Hyde. a widely stunned. On the heels of the presi- respected Republican lovalist. dent's retreat from his no-new- "If Bush really shuts down the taxes pledge and the collapse of government." said Democrat Ru-- his efforts to get capital gains tax sell Hemenway of the National cuts. the imai proposal befouled Committee for an Effective Con- Republican sensibilities: a new tax gress. "then we'll win some seats shelter that could benefit tast- [in Congress]-a lot of seats." buck operators, one of the biggest tax increases in history. no real Evans & Nocak are nationalis constraint on domestic spending. syndicated columnists of the Chi- What followed WAS Bush aide- cago Sun- Times. Gingrich's gotta go The budget reduction package is back on track today after hav- ing been briefly derailed chiefly by Newt Gingrich, the Georgia Republican congressman who is a leading practitioner of scorched-earth politics. Appearing on ABC-TV's "Nightline" early this morning, Gin- grich looked a little like the cat who had swallowed the canary. But before it's over, we predict with some confidence, he will look more like the snake who swallowed the pig, because in the "end Gingrich is going to have to swallow a much more distasteful hudget compromise, from his point of view, than the one he scuttled last week, to the great embarrassment of his president. The final package most likely will include a trade-off of a capital gains tax reduction in return for a higher marginal income tax rate -on the wealthiest - the very package which the Democratic ne- gotiators proposed throughout the four months of difficult negoti- ations which Gingrich wrecked in one night. in If this dismal exercise in governmental irresponsibility has "proved nothing else, it has proved that Newt Gingrich is simply unfit for leadership in a political system where separated power "rèquires compromise. He may be of some value as a gadfly who sharpens public debate, but he will never be a leader. It's time to relegate Gingrich to the back bench where he belongs. Gridlock: Can democracy work? Y OUR PEOPLE, sir, are a great others will pass some sort of com- there is a time for a politician to rise beast!' That was Alexander Ham- promise to keep the government go- above his principles. That now has ilton's supposed response to the idea ing while he opposes any such deal to become the definition of statesman- of government by the people. It does great popular acclaim. But there are ship, and George Bush has met it. So sound just like him, even if historians so many cagey pols in Washington have a few Democratic leaders - have never been able to verify the that compromise didn't stand a Speaker Tom Foley, Chairman Dan comment. At this juncture in the histo- chance first time out. What we have Rostenkowski of Ways and Means, ry of the Republic that Colonel Hamil- here is a profile in something other and even Richard Gephardt, who is ton helped than courage. now a former populist. But only a shape, such a few politicians may be capable of Paul description The critics of this plan do have a meeting such a standard. Ideologues would be all too point: Almost anybody could have on the right are outraged and in re- Greenberg accurate. Wres- drawn up a better deal - if the object volt. The ones on the left are no tling with the were to serve only one's own interests. more pleased with the Democratic country's rapa- Or satisfy only one's own judgment. leadership. And when the ideologues cious deficits, its few leaders finally For my part, slicing the defense budg- are joined by the opportunists and et just when an armed confrontation patched together a compromise for careerists of both parties in Con- looms abroad sounds reckless, if not Congress to rip apart. And beyond gress, the combination may prove ludicrous. I also have doubts about Washington, the writhing has just be- unbeatable. That is how democracy whether this deficit reduction plan gun. This beast has a thousand deadlocks. That is how phrases like will reduce the deficit any more than heads, each with a hungry mouth, "the general welfare" and "the com- the previous ones approved with great and each capable of the most pierc- mon weal" acquire a quaint, even fanfare during the Reagan adminis- ing screams if denied a single mor- negative, connotation in this age of tration. But could anyone have drawn sel. Seldom has democracy ap- me and mine. up a better deal if the object was tou peared, alas, 80 democratic. Like many another argument over control the deficit and still promote money, this one is about more than The easiest position to take on this the general welfare? money. It is about whether the gener- plan to reduce the deficit was: Hell, Was this compromise fair? Well, al welfare will come before parochial no. In principle, all may be willing to what is fair? Would it be better to interests and prejudices. It is about sacrifice for the common good. In pol- give every interest its fair share of whether the system can still work, itics, each felt it was being singled out an ever failing economy? Then all whether leadership can still lead, as a victim. That is how democracy is could sit back as interest rates whether the two parties can do any- disrupted, the center shrinks and the soared, confidence in the country thing more than check each other system stalls. waned, recession gave way to de- and whither this republic is tending. The professionals who minister to pression and be assured that this We will see. Very shortly. The clock is this great beast called Demos - they creeping chaos was perfectly fair. ticking. That may be the only thing are called politicians - busied them- A cynical witticism holds that moving in Washington. selves running for cover. Newt Gin- grich, a Georgia firebrand who is now supposed to be a Republican leader, fairly sprinted. Dale Bumpers, the Ar- kansas statesman and orator, though not necessarily in that order, slipped into his populist mode. This budget deal, he said, "looks like it's calculated to devastate a state like Arkansas." Now there's a good, sound, responsible term: devastate. The secret of the successful dem- agogue is not just to echo the fears of the beast but magnify them. To defend this compromise would have required a measure of courage, real- ity, even risk to one's political ca- reer. Naturally a majority of the House of Representatives voted against it. The really cagey pol will still hope for the best of both worlds: that SUNDAY Los Angeles Times OCTOBER 7. 1990 Ax Gramm-Rudman-Hollings? POLITICAL Martin Anderson, senior fellow. FORECAST Hoover Institution at Stanford University: The Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Act aims There is only one way out of this to curb the federal deficit by forcing deadly economic trap that our congressional and White House negotiators budget generals have fought their to come up with a budget plan or face deep way into. We need to adopt the cuts in government programs. No matter "Lithuanian Solution"- sus- what happens to the latest plan, was pend Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Gramm-Rudman u positive or negative for a year. Instead of raising taxes force in bringing it about? Should it be and plunging this economy into a retained? The Times asked seven economic recession that will create a deficit analysts: that really is dangerous, we should live with our relatively small defi- William E. Simon, secretary of the cit a while longer, defeat Saddam Treasury in the Nixon and Ford administra- Hussein and resolve the gulf crisis, control spending as much as we tions: can, enjoy Christmas and see how The Gramm-Rudman process is a things look in 1991. workable instrument to impose a degree of fiscal discipline on the Congress. The Robert J. Kuttner, author of the Congress tried its best to evade the law's forthcoming book, "The End of Lais- (deficit-reduction] targets by raising the sez-Faire": spending limits each year when it became apparent that the required belt-tighten- There was a point in time, circa 1985, when it made sense to enact ing would be too painful. Despite congres- sional manipulation, the process did serve something like Gramm-Rudman as as a restraint on spending. a way to hold Reagan's feet to the fire, to force him to choose be- The fact is that our deficit problem lies tween his military buildup and his in the Congress itself, not in the Gramm- tax policy. But Gramm-Rudman Rudman process or in various gimmicks has become a chronic way of designed to restrain the Congress' insati- paralyzing government. It's been able appetite to spend taxpayers' dollars. overtaken by events. Members of Congress are driven by one The whole budget is now SO. overwhelming objective: their own re- totally out of whack and the num- election. Everything else-including the bers are SO big-and they keep integrity of our currency or the long- changing Gramm-Rudman, any- term health of our economy-takes a way-that it's become, on balance. back seat. more of a negative. I think they Congress hen discovered long ago that should scrap it. they get re-elected by redistributing The only way the budget is ever taxpayer funds to interest groups that will going to get back into balance is by support their next campaign. Since virtu- restoring the tax rates on rich ally all 535 members of Congress behave people to what they were pre-1981. this way, the result is absolute fiscal Gramm-Rudman. coupled with the chaos in Washington, and we have to go Administration's refusal to enter- to the brink of financial ruin before tain taxes on the rich, turns it into a Congress will act. chronic game of pass the buck. I I have long believed that one solution think it would be ridiculous to lies in fixing clear limitations on congres- extend it, and tinker with it. one sional terms of office. This would force more time. It's like a mirage in the our representatives to consult the long- desert. It's always 20 miles away term interests of our nation and put an from you. end to the idea that a politician can use the federal budget to ensure his re-elec- Kathryn Eickhoff, former chief tion term after term after term economist. Office of Management In short. the Gramm-Rudman process and Budget during the Reagan Ad- should be retained as a measure to ministration: restrain spending. but it must be under- Gramm-Rudman has performed girded by other disciplining measures a useful function in the four years such as congressional term limitations since its enactment in 1986. Eleven and a presidential line-item veto. billion dollars in true savings re- I don't think it's Gramm-Rud- sulted from the first sequester. The man that's essentially put our feet brief sequester forced by [OMB to the fire. Effectively, we've al- Director Richard] Darman early in ready scrapped Gramm-Rudman. fiscal 1990 also produced savings. It It's a perfect example of why a is doubtful that savings in other constitutional amendment to bal- years were greater than what ance the budget doesn't work, would have been achieved in because the people running the Gramm-Rudman's absence. country who make laws cannot By shifting budget ground rules, make laws. All they did was keep Gramm-Rudman has produced the budget imbalance from getting new opportunities for "smoke and as bad as it would have been mirrors." It has also provided a without Gramm-Rudman. needed discipline to the budget process. However, in and of itself, Claude Barfield, resident fellow, it has not been able to solve the American Enterprise Institute: budget crisis nor prevent it from I think that Gramm-Rudman, on getting much worse. balance, has been a very positive If Gramm-Rudman is to contin- force over the last few years and ue, the targets must once again be was a force in getting the Adminis- amended. The budget compromise tration and the Congress to get proposal is a step in this regard. together. The people who often If there were no Gramm-Rud- criticize Gramm-Rudman say that man, it would have to be invented it represents a bankruptcy of the to give the budget committees the political process, that it's throwing clout they need to enforce the decision-making to some kind of budget resolution. It is better to institutional gimmick. The problem improve the Gramm-Rudman that with that is it gets it backward. The we know than try to get along political process was bankrupt in without it. the first place, and therefore turned to something like Gramm- Lester Thurow, dean of the Rudman. Sloan School of Management at It's like a killer who writes on a Massachusetts Institute of Technol- mirror, "Stop me before I kill ogy: again." And that's what Congress Under Gramm-Rudman-Holl- did, in effect, when it passed ings as passed, we're already sup- Gramm-Rudman. posed to have balanced the budget. The Congress does need And, in fact, the budget deficit in some form of discipline, because I 1992, even with a budget package, see no signs that it will discipline is going to be bigger than it was in itself. 1991. It's like canoeing very rapid- ly up a river that's running very Arthur Laffer, former economic fast so that you're actually going consultant for President Reagan: backward, even though you're Real or perceived deadlines only paddling like crazy. encourage bad decisions. Gramm- I think the event that makes the Rudman has, for several years [budget negotiators] more serious now, introduced an artificial dead- this time is that the Germans and line with a national threat-the Japanese have basically been sequester of enormous sums of funding the deficit, and the Ger- government spending. The stock- mans have notified the world that market crash of 1987 was a direct they're not going to be lending consequence of Gramm-Rudman. money to the rest of the world. The deleterious implications, how- They're going to be borrowing ever, are nowhere more apparent money and putting their money, than they are with the recent plus the borrowed money, into East budget compromise. The Gramm- Germany. Rudman deadline forced polariza- Because of the events in the tion within the legislative and Tokyo stock market, as well as the executive branches and tried to interest in building more housing achieve its resolution by confron- in Japan, it seems highly likely that tation. not by reason. the Japanese are also going to be The political dynamics are lending less money to the world in bad enough under normal times, the future. That basically makes it but with Gramm-Rudman they are impossible to evade [the deficit] in catastrophic. Gramm- Rudman the way in which we've evaded it should be legislated out of exist- in the past. ence. ST.LOUIS POST-DISPATCH SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7, 1990 Budget Brinkmanship Because the American political system seems to cludes seeking partisan advantage by holding the be incapable of functioning, the U.S. government basic operations of government - and its benefi- may be incapable of carrying out its responsibil- ciaries - hostage. Accordingly, a resolution to ities. How did this sorry state of affairs come about? delay draconian Gramm-Rudman cuts is essential. The nation itself, and its president and Congress, in What should the budget look like? Ideally, it that order, virtually asked for it. should cut military spending much more than the When voters reward politicians who promise document just rejected. The Cold War is over; benefits without costs, they virtually guarantee the significant reductions are possible. Ideally, income failure of leadership that led to last week's budget tax rates should be raised, particularly for wealthy crisis. That failure of leadership is principally Pres- Americans. A credible deficit-reduction package ident Bush's. He refused to prepare the nation for demands major new revenue. Increasing income the sacrifices that sensible deficit reduction re- taxes is fairer than hiking excise taxes because the quires - and delayed the budget process itself by former better reflect the taxpayer's ability to pay. insisting for too long on a wrongheaded cut in Finally, spending cuts should be spread more even- capital-gains taxes. But Congress must accept a ly among the budget's beneficiaries; Medicare re- large share of the blame, too. Many of its members cipients were asked to pay more than their fair showed themselves unwilling last week to vote for share in the budget rejected early Friday morning. any pain and sacrifice, despite the greater good. But in the real world of deadlocked government, What now? Members of Congress need time to something less than perfection must be accepted. negotiate among themselves about a budget, since Those who don't like new taxes must face the need they rejected the compromise agreed to by their for at least some of them. Those who don't want leaders. They cannot adjourn without doing so. But spending cuts must accept that some are essential. President Bush is wrong to force them to deliberate And all must accept pain - both office-holders and under the pressure of either a government shut- their constituents. There just isn't enough waste in down or across-the-board spending cuts. government to make all the cuts completely pain- Government is a public trust. That trust pre- less. That point, above all, must be accepted. THE BOSTON SUNDAY GLOBE OCTOBER 7, 1990 Boston Sunday Blobe Founded 1872 WILLIAM 0. TAYLOR, Chairman of the Board and Publisher JOHN P. GIUGGIO, Vice Chairman JOHN S. DRISCOLL Editor RICHARD C. OCKERBLOOM. President BENJAMIN B. TAYLOR, Executive Editor MARTIN F. NOLAN. Editor, Editorial Page DAVID STANGER. Executive VP & General Manager HELEN W. DONOVAN. Managing Editor Sunday ARTHUR KINGSBURY, Vice President ALFRED S. LARKIN JR., Managing Editor Administration WILLIAM B. HUFF, Treasurer THOMAS F. MULVOY JR., Managing Editor / Daily FRANK E. GRUNDSTROM JR., VP Human Resources KIRK SCHARFENBERG, Deputy Managing Editor STEPHEN E. TAYLOR. Business Manager H.D.S. GREENWAY. Associate Editor GREGORY L. THORNTON. VP Employee Relations LORETTA McLAUGHLIN, Deputy Editor, Editorial Page Publishers CHARLES H. TAYLOR, 1873-1922 WILLIAM 0. TAYLOR. 1922-1955 WM. DAVIS TAYLOR, 1955-1977 President Editor Editor JOHN I. TAYLOR. 1963-1975 L.L. WINSHIP, 1955-1965 THOMAS WINSHIP, 1965-1984 Budgetary shenanigans The disorder of government in Massachusetts Appalled by the senseless guidelines that Du- is nearly complete. An incredible breakdown is oc- kakis and Lashman dished up, these executives re- curring among the leadership at the State House. fuse to end rent subsidies and evict working-poor Announcements by Governor Dukakis of fund- tenants onto the street. They refuse to turn out the ing cuts are now issued willy-nilly with little re- worn-out veterans who get room and board for a gard for their effect on recipients of service. Worse pittance at the soldiers' homes. No one can coun- yet, the announcements are not even valid - made tenance taking bread-and-soup money away from one day only to be rescinded the next. St. Francis House or closing 400 shelter beds. Major facilities, such as the Chelsea Soldiers But where is the money to come from? Does Home, the Holyoke Soldiers Home and St. Francis the governor really expect the treasurer, attorney House in Boston, the largest feeding station for general and secretary of state to fork over more of the homeless and hungry in the state, are told that their shrinking piece of the budgetary pie - the they must start closing down for lack of funds. latest strategy to emerge from the Dukakis camp? Within a week, they are told that it was all a mis- Voters are onto these budgetary shenanigans. take; money will be found. They disbelieve that the cuts are sincere and are Operations are in a shambles. Cabinet-level ex- convinced the announcements are scare tactics. ecutives of huge state departments are saying no Dukakis' on-again, off-again cuts now cruelly to the man who appointed them. They refuse to fuel support for the tax-rollback referendum. Ad- accept the governor's latest round of $310 million ministrative chaos fans the fire. The governor in budget cuts - cuts designed by Edward Lash- should withdraw and let those entrusted with run- man, the administration and finance chief. ning the services salvage as much as they can. Sunday Gazette-Mail October 7, 1990 $1.00 The Sunday Newspaper of West Virginia T HE 1991 FEDERAL budget plan President Reagan and Democratic lead- smashingly defeated by a ers in Congress, who did not know or rebellious House of did not care, staged a tax-slashing, de- Representatives in the pre-dawn hours regulating, wild spending spree, with Friday had many flaws and little to higher outlays and less revenue - one recommend it. The package was a series of the uglier examples of irresponsibili- of bad compromises to get something - ty at both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue. anything - before Congress so it could A cure for the spend-but-don't-tax close shop and head home for the fall addiction appeared in the Gramm-Rud- campaign. man Act, which dictated cutbacks in all An elite bipartisan group haggled for government operations (and a halt for weeks before cobbling it together at the some), unless the small band of negotia- very last moment. The result affronted tors for the executive and legislative nearly everyone. branches reached agreement before fis- Liberals ripped into reductions in cal New Year's Day - Oct. 1 of each Medicare services and increases in year. Medicare premiums, higher gasoline This year's down-to-the-wire, last- taxes, unfair new levies on alcohol and minute agreement gave Congress a tobacco products (since the affluent can take-it-or-leave-it choice. Congress de- afford them far better than the poor cided not to take it. House members can), and failure to raise taxes for the knew that their rejection would create a very well-to-do. crisis. That didn't stop them. Conservatives liked Bush's cut in cap- "The (budget-making) process ital gains taxes (scuttled in the final amounts to government by cabal," The draft), and disliked higher Social Securi- New York Times commented. House ty payments by the upper middle class, members rejected the cabal's recom- and the failure to meet spending-cut mendation. goals in full. They groused that the deal Budget reform, so promising in the would stifle, not stimulate, economic Ford-Carter years, vanished in the growth. 1980s. It is absolutely essential to Further negotiations, now mandated, re-reform the process and get back to may not produce anything fairer or the sensible, unpleasant process of bal- better. ancing needs versus income. President Bush is on the spot. So is Con- If not, a dreary repeat of this year's gress. Bush vetoed a stopgap step to defer dimly understood compromise next imposition of Gramm-Rudman spending cuts but he boldly told members of both year, and the next, and the next, is a virtual certainty. parties, worried about voter reaction back home, to "blame the president." President Bush, House Speaker Tom It shouldn't be that way. Foley, and Senate Majority Leader George Mitchell have been sent back to Congress adopted a rational, sensible, the drawing board. If and when they easy-to-understand budget process in find a plan Congress will accept, they 1974. It took budget-making away from should immediately begin seeking con- Capitol Hill powerhouses who chaired sensus on re-reform, a better method to key committees, who got signals from manage the country's bank account. the White House. Instead, budget com- The old Saturday matinee movie se- mittees were created in each house to ries ended each episode with the hero or decide the eternal question of providing heroine facing a seemingly inescapable necessary programs with adequate funds - not in the inner recesses of the disaster. That was fine for film thrills, Capitol, but in open public forums. but it's unacceptable as the annual cri- sis in fiscal policies of the world's That lasted until the 1980s, when greatest nation. 2H 10/7 William Dean Singleton, THE Chairman of the Board Donald F. Hunt, Publisher DENVER F. Gilman Spencer, Editor Chuck Green, Editorial Page Editor POST Gay Cook, Managing Editor William H. Hornby, Senior Editor "There is no hope for the satisfied man' - F.G. Bonfils, Publisher, 1895-1933 Budget nonsense OMMON sense took a triple- ament defies easy resolution. gainer dive off the high board But not all the blame can be of reality last week when the U.S. foisted on the politicians: Ameri- House nixed the spit-and-glue can voters themselves are unwill- budget agreement cooked up by ing to make the sacrifices needed President Bush and a handful of to solve the problem. congressmen. Airplane owners howl about The agreement was absurd, higher luxury taxes being placed both in content and in the way it on the purchases of aircraft, but was put together. But it was simultaneously scream if the gov- equally absurd for members of ernment tries to scale back ser- Congress to oppose the budget vices such as aviation weather re- pact on grounds that certain spe- ports or airport expansions. cial-interest groups didn't want to Senior citizens whine that they pay their share of the bills. shouldn't have to forgo Medicare Depending on whose calcula- benefits, ignoring the reality that tions you use, the federal debt their selfishness subtracts from stands at more than $3 trillion. their grandchildren's future eco- Since there's not enough cash in nomic security. the public till to pay this IOU, Un- Every year, Congress autho- cle Sam has to borrow more mon- rizes programs that it can't pay ey to pay off the bills he already for, and it delays any meaningful has accumulated. discussion about trimming feder- That means he's competing al spending until late fall, when with priväte enterprise for a lim- the Gramm-Rudman law threat- ited supply of new credit. Interest ens to impose draconian cuts. rates go up and businesses get Then, in a self-deluding dance fewer dollars with which to cre- of the absurd, congressional lead- ate new jobs. In this and other ers and the president rush a jury- ways, the federal debt is a mas- rigged compromise through the sive drain on the U.S. economy. two houses, leaving all the hard Simply put, the United States questions for the next year. The has to get its bad spending habits trouble is, they don't tackle the under control. hard questions the following year, The federal government should either. have been paying its bills during The government's way of put- the past decade, when the longest ting together budgets must be peacetime expansion in Ameri- changed. No amount of superfi- can history created an economy cial tinkering can fix the underly- strong enough to withstand tax in- ing problem. A realistic budget creases. But the opportunity was must be constructed at the start lost under the no-new-taxes ideol- of each fiscal year, rather than at ogy of Presidents Reagan and the end of the 12-month period Bush, coupled with an irresponsi- when legislative panic ensues. ble Congress that was unaccount- Uncle Sam must, in a reasoned able to anyone. and orderly fashion, raise taxes Now the nation is sliding into across the board and cut back on recession, which is the worst time popular programs. The alterna- to raise taxes. The trouble is. the tive is to weaken America's eco- debt is an even bigger drag on the nomic base SO much that the economy, SO it has to be taken United States eventually will sink care of soon. This terrible predic- into financial despair. THE PLAIN DEALER, SATURDAY, OCTOBER 6, 1990 The budget breakdown G overnment at its worst: That's the sorry spec- Yet special interests and special pleaders - tacle America's voters saw yesterday. including Pentagon contractors. upper-income The astonishing defeat of the last-minute fed- investors and scaremongers among the affluent eral deficit-reduction package - just hours be- elderly - denounced even the slightest sug- fore the onset of irrational. across-the-board gestion that they must make sacrifices in the na- spending cuts - marked the triumph of short- tional interest. The president's nationwide tele- sighted absolutism over the long-term national vised address backfired: Instead of rallying his interest. As renegade right-wingers joined la- supporters, the president evoked a chorus of, menting liberals to defeat the accord in the "Cut everybody else - but not me." House of Representatives, 254-179, the obstruc- Ironically, President Bush is now suffering the tionists sent a message that should shake this Re- delayed consequences of the "Don't worry, be public to its foundations: Perhaps the United States lacks the maturity to govern itself. happy" theme of his 1988 campaign: Having The nation now faces a constitutional crisis. failed to tell voters that deficits are undermining the nation's long-term prosperity, he finds it hard Congress cannot craft a budget, the president threatens not to accept an interim compromise to suddenly mobilize support now. If he deplores and the public awaits the doomsday alternative: the far-right House Republicans who denounced the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings scythe. If this were his proposal's acceptance of tax increases, he a parliamentary system, this week's "vote of no should look in the mirror: They are only parrot- confidence" would have brought down the admin- ing the simplistic anti-tax slogans Bush himself istration and cleared the way for a new coalition. peddled just two years ago. Instead. Americans must spend this weekend wondering if their government will open for busi- It will not be easy to resurrect a workable anti- ness next week. deficit package. The leaders of the Republican This week's budget breakdown revealed the White House and the Democratic Congress are failure. not just of political leadership, but of na- tinkering with the budget formula - increasing tional followership. All of Washington's top-rank- the cut from the Pentagon here. reducing the ing leaders - the president, the leaders of both trims of Medicare there, scrambling for broad- houses of Congress and both parties, even the based revenue increases everywhere - yet they chairman of the Federal Reserve Board - endorsed the five-year anti-deficit package. This seem to lack a majority for any sort of budget modest accord would have reduced the federal compromise. deficit by a mere $35 billion next year - far less The gravity of this crisis is not lost on the vot- than the $50 billion originally promised. After a ers. Cynicism about this deadlock of democracy decade of ritual denunciations of "blue smoke is irresistible, threatening to undermine their and mirrors" evasions, voters should have been faith in their governing institutions. Yet voters ready to accept the inevitable: a bipartisan com- must exhort Washington to keep trying to reach a promise that would trim some benefits and raise compromise. promoting budget thrift over contin- some taxes. ued self-indulgence. THE MIAMI HERALD. SATURDAY. OCTOBER 6. 1990 The Miami Herald JOHNS KNIGHT JAMES L. KNIGHT. Chairman Emeritus DAVID LAWRENCE JR., Publisher and Chairman ROBERTOS AREZ JIMHAMPTON JANET HUSMIR Editor Executive Editor #0ANN ADWRAGG PETE WEITZEL hat:- Managine Editor Budgetary DTs I' IS cold-turkey time in Washington. Painful. abrupt withdrawal is not the HANG TOUGH, MR. PRESIDENT best way to end an addiction, but some- times it is the only way. ity Whip Newt Gingrich of Georgia - defied their President and voted 105-71 President Bush failed to persuade a majority of his own Republican members of against his compromise with the Demo- the House to follow his retreat from the cratic leadership. The Nays included South "read-my-lips, no-new-taxes" philosophy Florida Reps. Tom Lewis of West Palm Beach and Ileana Ros-Lehtinen of Miami. that he inherited from his predecessor. Spurning his pleas, House members early Moderate Democrats such as Rep. Larry yesterday rejected the compromise budget Smith of Hollywood and Harry Johnston of proposal 254-179. He now has no responsi- West Palm Beach then bolted, too, refusing ble choice but to stick by his threat to veto to expose themselves to campaign dema- any evasive action on Capitol Hill that would goguery on behalf of a lost cause. Of 257 continue Federal business as usual without House Democrats, 149 voted No. a deficit-reducing budget agreement. The compromise was itself a sham that put the entire Persian Gulf expedition and Five years ago, at the beginning of the the massive S&L bailout "off budget," thus second Reagan Administration, the Govern- masking a real deficit far higher than the ment tried to wean itself from dangerous Gramm-Rudman target of $64 billion. But deficit; spending and an unprecedented even so, it entailed more discipline than the growth in total national debt abroad. Des- House could muster. Collectively, the perate, it adopted the fiscal equivalent of House could not swallow $134 billion in new the alcoholic's Antabus. Some recovering gasoline, cigarette, alcohol, airline, and drunks take Antabus as a deterrent to other taxes. Especially painful in Florida, relapses because its presence in the body where half of all hospital days are funded by causes a violent physical reaction to alcohol. Medicare, the compromise would cut $60 It is an attempt to protect oneself against billion from medical care for retirees. The one's own weakness. House also could not take tax breaks for Congress called its Antabus the Gramm- investment in new businesses, a trade-off Rudman-Hollings Deficit-Reduction Act. It for forgoing a cut in the capital-gains tax. prescribed a series of budget goals. such as The spectacle in Washington yesterday reducing the annual Federal deficit to $64 and today resembles nothing more than the billion for Fiscal Year 1991. which began on sight of a relapsed drunk on Antabus, still Monday. There is a $10-billion cushion. If a grasping his bottle even as he retches into a goal is not met, the law induces a violent toilet. It is an ugly sight, and a terrifying budgetary convulsion called "sequestra- posture for the Government of a super- tion." It whacks $105 billion from the bud- power that is on the brink of war in the Per- get overnight. across'the board. with about sian Gulf and entering a recession at home. one-fourth from defense. The temptation is great for President Little is spared besides Social Security Bush to relent. to allow the suffering Con- checks. Head Start loses funding for gress a quick snort in the form of a continu- 150.000 children. More than one million ing budget resolution or an amendment to college students lose their Pell grants. Fed- Gramm-Rudman in order to delay the day of eral housing subsidies vanish. Veterans' reckoning. He must resist it. The Govern- care diminishes. Mail service is curtailed. ment has had its second chance, and third. Many of the Government employees who fourth. fifth. ad nauseam. are off on Monday for Columbus Day will Five years of collective irresponsibility not return on Tuesday. by Presidents and Congress, Republicans In spite of the human pain and economic and Democrats, have frittered away the damage that this slasher scenario will right to another chance. It's cold-turkey inflict. House Republicans - led by Minor- time at last. THE TAMPA TRIBUNE H. DOYLE HARVILL Chairman and Publisher October 6, 1990 EDWIN A. ROBERTS, JR. LAWRENCE L. McCONNELL Editorial Page Editor Managing Editor Published by The Tribune Company JACK BUTCHER W. SCOTT TRUNDLE 202 South Parker Street Vice President Vice President Tampa, Florida 33606 and Business Manager FOUNDED IN 1895 JAMES F. URBANSKI President and General Manager EDITORIALS Defeat of deficit-cutting bill opens way for a smarter plan Rarely, in the history of the United States, has capital gains. And even liberal economists agree a piece of fiscal legislation gone down the tubes that reducing the capital-gains tax would be a for such good reason. The "deficit-reduction" bill welcome economic stimulant, although they hate so theatrically hammered out by the White the idea of giving investors, including middle- House and congressional leaders, and so roundly class folk who are selling their homes, farms or defeated by the House of Representatives in the small businesss, a break. wee hours of yesterday morning, was a prescrip- So what now? Gramm-Rudmann? The nation tion for disaster. could handle such a sequester for a time, be- After the House vote, Rep. Dan Rostenkowski, cause Social Security, Medicaid, food stamps, and chairman of the Way and Means Committee, de- the Women, Infants and Children program are clared: "This is a sad night for the House, for our excluded from the across-the-board cuts - and political system and for America." Congress has the power to rearrange spending to With respect, Rosty is full of baloney. The make sure that air traffic controllers and health $135.3 billion of tax increases, particularly con- inspectors are not affected. sidering the economy's delicate condition, would But there's a better way - the 4-percent solu- have shoved the nation "back to recession, back tion, which requires no new taxes and no pro- to high interest rates, back to double-digit infla- gram cuts. It would permit spending to rise by 4 tion, back to malaise," according to Rep. Dana percent annually - about the rate of inflation. Rohrbacher, a California Republican. Rohrbach- The result? A balanced budget by 1994. Unfortu- er is right on all counts. nately, that plan would probably be demagoged Many pundits see the collapse of the budget to death by congressional liberals, even if it were compromise as a defeat for President Bush, but combined with a freeze on defense spending at as Edward L. Hudgins of the Heritage Foundation levels acceptable to the White House and Capitol notes, it wasn't the House vote but the measure Hill. itself that was a defeat for the President. Mr. Anyhow. the good news is the awful deficit- Bush retracted his promise not to raise taxes and cutting scheme is dead, and the nation now has a abandoned his long-time effort to cut the levy on chance to do something wise instead of wacky. The Tampa Tribune, Saturday, October 6, 1990 If key senators can't figure deficit how can anyone? Wild-eyed and wondering about its fate on the eve prospective pain of emphysema and lung cancer) will of "Armageddon" (the Gramm-Rudman sequesters pay $14.80 more next year - not nearly enough to pay that, predictably, did not happen), Washington read a the social costs of smoking. Yo, you three-beers-a-night New York Times jeremiad about the coming chaos. guys, brace yourselves for paying an extra $29.20 a Cuts in the weather service would mean the "accuracy year. Call it Pain Lite. of weather forecasts might deteriorate." Gosh. The surtax on automobiles costing more than But in the nick of time, the budgeteers nicked the $30,000 is backdoor protectionism. The bulk of those deficit just enough to justify the real purpose of the cars are foreign. The surtax is actually a tariff against exercise, another change of what are smilingly called Germany (Mercedes, BMW, Porsche) and Britain (Jag- the "requirements" of the Gramm-Rudman (more uar). smiles) "law." The target for fiscal 1991 was $64 billion But even if the filthy rich do not buy jets or yachts, in cuts. During the dickering about this deal, the offi- they do not escape unnicked. For someone earning cial estimate of the budget deficit was increased by $200,000, the reduction of the value of itemized deduc- about that much, to $293.7 billion. tions will be equivalent to an increase in the top in- But before believing that number, bear in mind that come-tax rate - here we tiptoe to the pain threshold - two Sundays ago two intelligent senators, Democrat from 28 to 28.8 percent. And you thought bolshevism Fritz Hollings of South Carolina and Republican Phil was dead. Gramm of Texas, were asked on television a rudimen- Of the five-year increase of $134 billion in tax reve- tary (you might have thought) question: How big is the nues, more than half, $74 billion, comes from regres- deficit? That is, what is the relevant number for the sive consumer excise taxes. The gas tax alone - the difference between the inflow and outgo of government tax consumers have the least chance to minimize - money? will raise $45 billion, which is 24 times as much as all Gramm said $250 billion (this was before the latest the taxes on yachts and jets and other toys for the filthy upward revision of projections). Hollings said that coun- rich. ting the year's costs of the savings-and-loan bailout and Conservatives are cast down and rising in revolt subtracting the funds from the Social Security and oth- because the capital-gains rate will not be cut. (That cut is the only grand passion of a President enjoying strato- GEORGE F. WILL spheric approval ratings. So much for the Imperial Presidency.) But conservatives have this consolation: The conservative aim has been to scrub America clean of the last trace of liberalism, and this deficit-reduction er trust funds, the number $427 billion was about right. deal does it. So two experienced senators were apart by $177 billion This package and its implications should immunize in defining the problem. And $177 billion is more than Democrats against the dread charge that they even re- quadruple the $40 billion that the budgeteers propose member anything about liberalism. But, then, perhaps (God and Newt Gingrich willing) to nibble from the Republicans have - not difficult, this - outsmarted deficit. themselves. The (definite article: "the") Republican Originally they set for themselves the modest goal idea is to call opponents liberals. Republicans no longer of cutting $50 billion. (Political rhythms run counter to can do that, without laughing, now that Democrats are economic cycles: When the economy is expanding, the preening like this: political class says we will grow to a balanced budget; when the economy is squishy, the political class says We Democrats are proud because we have not cuts will bring on a contraction. Besides, serious cutting made life more regressive by cutting capital-gains is impossible in an election year or the year before rates. That is the (definite article: "the") Democratic one.) But while the deficit projection was being in- idea: opposition to capital-gains cuts. creased by $60 billion, the deficit-cutting goal was being Democratic liberalism having been validated by shrunk to $40 billion. That is, $40 billion not counting that victory, Democrats are now free to reject Sen. the cost of the Persian Gulf operation. Moynihan's proposal to cut the regressive Social Securi- It is an iron law of our politics: Inflation of language ty tax which, for 74 percent of taxpayers, is a bigger accompanies contraction of political perspective. The burden than the income tax. most frequently used word concerning the deficit-cut- Liberalism's service to those 74 percent is this warn- ting package is "pain." ing: Stay away from yacht salesmen. A pack-a-day smoker (someone not deterred by the FALO NEWS Saturday, October 6, 1990 House rejects tax plan with 1,000 points of spite WASHINGTON - Would this be the night to cork up the bubbly, forget the new mink coat and cancel that order for a Mercedes-Benz 560SL? Would the Reagan Revolution come to a close, not with a whimper but a bang? After 10 years of the Gipper's don't- worry-be-happy orgy that ran up $300 billion deficits, Congress grimly faced By SANDY GRADY canceling America's credit card. Goodbye champagne, hello castor oil. pressured, nervous Honorables began jug- Could it do the nastiest, guttiest, most gling the tax-raise hand grenade. But omi- unpopular thing in a politician's lexicon nously, liberal Democrats led the rebel- - raise (ugh) taxes? lion. No wonder the Honorables took up "George Bush made sure people mak- the tax hatchet in the middle of the night. ing over $200.000 don't get hit." pro- They hoped Bubba and Mrs. Bubba were tested respected Rep. Dave Obey. D-Wis. snoring or watching baseball playoffs on "My people who drive trucks and are TV. on Medicare get hurt while the Trumps It wasn't pretty to watch, this noisy, and Helmsleys get a break," said Rep. exhausting, sloppy, bitter brawl. As one Bob Wise, D-W.Va. congressman said of the struggle over Wild man Jim Traficant. D-Ohio, bel- George Bush's budget deal (higher costs lowed: "Today we voted a death penalty for gas, beer, cigarettes, posh cars and for anybody who kills a congressman. If Medicare), "They sound like pigs caught we pass this bill, that may not be a deter- in a gate." rent. I say, shut the government down!" The day began with a Blare-In. Anger from Republican conservatives Incited by demonstrators holding boiled. "I didn't slosh through the snows signs, "Honk If You Hate Taxes," a jam of New Hampshire electing George Bush of cars, taxis and trucks set up a hooting to abandon his no-tax pledge." said Tom din that vibrated the White House win- DeLay, R-Texas. dows like hammers of hell. Desperately. the big artillery was Then came telephone bedlam. From wheeled out. Minority Leader Bob Mich- Hoboken to San Jose, constituents el, R-Ill., the Republicans' fiercest orator. bombed congressional offices with a 10- said, "You can pick this apart with 1,000 to-1 fury against taxes. Irked by the 12- points of spite. But folks. we're in debt. cent gas hike and Medicare rise, they We've got to ante up." screamed, "It stinks!" Applause rolled when bull-like Dan "I'd like to fast-forward all calls to the Rostenkowski. D-III.. vowed his Ways White House," sighed Rep. Tim Penny, and Means panel would knock out tax- D-Minn. shelter scams. "We won't be a rubber But Bush was also working the phones stamp." roared Rosty. madly. The read-my-lips president ironi- House Speaker Tom Foley closed with cally was lobbying for $134 billion in new taxes. The president's big guns, Dan a last plea for the deficit-buster: "If not now. when? If not us. who?" Quayle, John Sununu and Dick Darman, beamed their "stand-by-your-man" argu- A few minutes after 1 a.m., they began ments on Republican right-wingers. voting. At first it looked close. Then In a poignant touch. Republican Chair- members gaped at the blinking tote board man Lee Atwater, fighting a brain tumor. in somber disbelief. sent a note to Hill friends: "Please do not Bush was losing. Republicans - Bush turn your back on the president. Lec." only got 71 out of 170 votes - detected Bush knew it would be a tight gamble. in droves. Then Democrats. fearing to go! "We're 11 Republican votes short.' he whipsawed in a lost. unpopular cause. was told early in the evening. With their panicked. By 238-171. Bush's "last. best voters squawking angrily and 435 Honor- hope" of beating the deficit flopped. ables facing elections in five weeks. Bush It was a low. glum moment. Everyone told them, in effect: Look. you've got slunk quietly into the night. The Honor- wiggle-room to fix this deal later in com- ables had a chance for bravery. And the mittees. blew it. Finally at 10:40 p.m., fatigue-fogged. Philadelphia Daily News THE BUFFALO NEWS Saturday, October 6, 1990 An unbudgeted disaster Defeat of compromise leaves outlook glum HE FEDERAL budget compromise opponents shoulder a special responsibility T worked out by President Bush and con- for patching together not only an alternative gressional leaders was far from perfect. of equal quality, but one that will win But it didn't deserve the quick and re- majority approval in House and Senate. sounding defeat it got in the House of Rep- Objections to the package have centered resentatives. on consumer tax increases and boosts in Nor does the nation deserve the confu- Medicare costs. Imperfect as it was, howev- sion and tension visited upon it by this er, the compromise did spread the pain. No failure of a skittish rank-and-file to follow group got hit with the entire burden. the advice of its party leaders on the thresh- A former director of the Congressional old of an already extended budget deadline. Budget Office, Rudolph Penner, said the The big deficit-reduction bill was ham- proposed tax increases "are very small, only mered together during months of negotia- 2 or 3 percent in the overall burden." A tions. It was a compromise, which by defini- liberal analyst, Isabel Sawhill of the Urban tion means that no party achieved Institute, estimated that a simple transfer of everything it wanted. only $75 from lowest to highest income But this agreement would have deflated groups would equalize these burdens. the federal budget deficit by an estimated Higher-income people, she said, would pay $40 billion for the current new fiscal year more than critics contended because they and by $500 billion over the next five years. buy far more of the luxuries on which excise Painful and tough? Yes, of course, largely taxes were introduced. because Washington has been playing cute With defeat of the package, the alterna- fiscal games for years and now the time of tives look unrelievedly grim. reckoning has arrived. But this was real To do nothing, which many might prefer, deficit reduction. would, Bush says, cause a deficit of $300 And Alan Greenspan, chairman of the billion in the current budget year. Gim- Federal Reserve Board, which manages micks would be fun and politically safe but credit policies, had indicated that adoption would solve nothing. of this "credible" package would bring lower The automatic cuts in across-the-board interest rates for millions of Americans. spending under the Gramm-Rudman law Measured against what must, in the long could hack up to $100 billion from spending run, be done to significantly bring down the alone in a single year, a brutal step that is deficits, this program was timid. despite all still preferable to a failure of congressional the congressional screaming. But it was, action. Brutal or not, this is the result of very significantly, a start. long-established procedures legislated by Too few in Congress dared take any Congress. chances with an unpopular vote - even for An annual deficit of a nearly third of a the good of the country - only a month or trillion dollars, and its chaotic conse- so before the November elections. Now the quences, would be totally unacceptable. The Atlanta Zournal October 5, 1990 James J. Kilpatrick Compromise budget plan is nothing but spinach WASHINGTON - One of the Members should not be in- all-time great cartoons in The timidated by talk of imaginary New Yorker appeared in 1928. It horrors. Pull the trigger! Let us depicted a mother trying to pull a paraphrase the ancient Romans' con job at the dinner table. fearless defense of justice: Fiat "It's broccoli, dear," says the sequestra; ruat caelum. Let se- mother to her rebellious child. questration be done, though the "I say it's spinach," says the heavens fall. For the heavens kid, "and I say the hell with it." would not fall. The president re- The budget agreement that tains authority to exempt such was reached on Sunday, after essential services as meat in- four months of tedious negotia- spection and air traffic control. A tions, should be greeted in the federal government suddenly same way. Yes, the agreement stripped of non-essential ser- contains a few useful provisions. vices could function indefinitely. Taken by its four corners, the It would be a better government. scheme is a stinker. The Andrews agreement errs Looking at this document, one in every way. A sensible package searches for the most appropri- would have included significant ate adjective. The word that reduction in the tax on capital comes instantly to mind is "dis- gains. Bush has been right in ad- graceful." President Bush began vocating this long-range stimu- the process on Jan. 29. He sent lus to entrepreneurial invest- up a budget purporting to reduce ment. He let himself be swindled the deficit to $63.1 billion in fis- out of it by Democrats who de- cal 1991. That deficit now is esti- magogued the idea to death. mated at $293.7 billion. Under the agreement, gas Budget Director Richard taxes would go up - but the add- Darman described the presi- ed revenue would not go for dent's January budget as "seri- needed work on our highways. ous." He said it contained no Similarly, the pact would drain gimmicks. In fact, the budget off new funds that are desperate- document was a farce. ly needed for airports. It is fine to Thus encouraged to behave boost taxes on wine, beer, ciga- irresponsibly, Congress rose rettes and expensive cars, but magnificently to the challenge. this is nickel and dime stuff. The two chambers proceeded to The agreement's greatest miss every deadline contained in failure lies in its failure to curb the budget act. On Monday, when spending. Here the principles of the fiscal year began, the Senate representative government have had passed only four of the 13 been superbly upheld. The peo- regular appropriation acts. Not a ple are as irresponsible as their single one of these key bills had members of Congress. The peo- gone to the White House. ple want a trillion dollars worth Instead of an orderly legisla- of goodies a year. But don't make tive process, characterized by us pay! Congress will oblige. public debate and thorough con- An example: Among this sideration, congressional leaders year's spending bills is a bill for presented the country with a water and sewer projects. The contemporary version of the town of Turbeville, S.C., stands smoke-filled room. Ambassadors to receive a grant of $1.5 million. from the White House huddled at Is this a federal responsibility? Andrews Air Force Base with a Of course not. But when Sen. Er- dozen key members of Congress. nest Hollings was asked about it, In a repudiation of the whole he explained that if Turbeville process of representative gov- didn't get the money, some other ernment, they cobbled together a town would. He had to stand by compromise. At the last possible his constituents. Statesmanship minute they unloaded their be damned. Build the sewers. agreement. If the pact is not ac- The agreement may be the cepted on the Hill in the next two best that could be achieved, but weeks. a horrible thing will hap- it's a bummer. It isn't broccoli. It pen: The blunderbuss cuts re- isn't fresh asparagus or Boston quired under the Gramm-Rud- lettuce. It's spinach. The kid had man Act will be triggered. the right idea.-(c1990.) Jim Wooten Insider George Bush has been rolled by Democrats Blame me, says George Bush. OK, let's. rage that Mr. Bush's surrender prompts is have evaporated. Genial George has been snookered, rolled, not directed at the nickle-and-dime taxes. Mr. Bush had a chance. He swore to a and bamboozled by the Democrats. It's the unconditional surrender of any principle that would force Congress to make Once again, voters are management tool to control federal spend- choices to live within its means. hoodwinked. Jimmy Carter ing. And not only has he surrendered, but Instead, the consummate Washington in- The Atlanta Zournal sold himself to the country Democrats have stripped him of all principle sider rolls over. He is left with an emasculat- as the Washington outsider and assigned him the humiliating task of fac- ed presidency without values, meaning or who would change the sys- ing the American people to front the deal. purpose - the kind of president who should October 5, 1990 tem. That was talk. His pol- Spending is on the runaway course now never commit this country to war. icies were spending as that it was last year or the year before. This usual. deal does nothing to alter that. The nation had this kind of leadership in Then came Ronald Rea- The head of the General Accounting Of- the Vietnam era - presidents who would put gan, who fought the system young men's lives on the line and then fice, Comptroller General Charles Bowsher, change the rules and the objectives. for two years and snoozed told a Senate panel Wednesday that this bud- for six, while spending con- get deal won't produce the $500 billion in I don't mind higher taxes, nor do I object tinued unabated. Federal spending has not deficit reductions promised over five years. to soaking the rich, if need be, or eliminating declined a single year since 1965. And, he said, more tax increases will be my mortgage deduction or any other middle And now comes the genial insider George class benefit. It's not the taxes that bother needed in one to three years. me. It's the deceit. Bush, who vows to impose discipline on the We'll get the taxes. But even while negoti- federal budget. His method: no new taxes. ators were behind closed doors smoking and Americans have been saying for the last Overnight, though, he's flipped. joking until the Oct. 1 crisis developed, the three presidents that they wanted to change The no-new-taxes pledge, combined with House and Senate continued to pass bills the system. Instead, the system changes Gramm-Rudman, was a management tool mandating new and higher spending. presidents. that could have forced Congress to discipline Five years from now the taxes will re- The surprise is that in George Bush's itself in the face of special interests. The out- main, but the spending "savings" will long case, he flipped for SO little. THE CINCINNATI ENQUIRER FRIDAY, OCTOBER 5, 1990 Genuine deficit compromise WASHINGTON: The howls of campaign in the sense that Presi- outrage from right and left are the Germond dent Bush should be precluded clearest evidence imaginable that from attacks on the Democratic the budget agreement between & Witcover congressional leadership on the the White House and congression- spending question while the Dem- al leaders is both a genuine com- ocrats are similarly precluded promise and an attack on the from stinging him on the tax issue. deficit problem that is more than He has swallowed some taxes; gimmicks that nibble around the they have swallowed some real edges. The fate of the compro- ductions in Medicare benefits ac- spending cuts. mise in Congress now represents companied by increases in Medi- But the task for both Bush and a significant test of the political care taxes. the Democratic leaders is still system. But the context in which the It may be argued that there are formidable. The president has to decisions will be made also is serious flaws in the package. A deliver half the Republicans in colored by the pervasive suspicion strong case can be made that the both houses of Congress as his in the electorate that the politi- defense budget could be cut more part of the agreement, and that cians are both unresponsive and deeply than it provides. It remains may be difficult in the House, incapable of confronting serious hard to defend a system of in- problems in a serious way. That where the minority whip, Rep. come-tax rates that tax the suc- suspicion is the underlying basis of Newt Gingrich, is not above cessful at 33% and the truly afflu- the strong sentiment among the playing dog in the manger. The ent at 28%. The increases in voters for limitations on the num- Democrats may have a similar excise taxes are inherently re- ber of terms state legislators and problem with both House mem- bers and senators on the far left of gressive. congressmen can serve. So the The package alone will not critical question is whether Con- the party, particularly on the solve the deficit problem. Nor will gress can afford not to approve Medicare plan. And there will be it prevent the economy from slip- the package or some reasonable regional reactions that cross party ping into recession. facsimile of it in the next three lines - for example, protests But the operative point is that weeks. from western delegations that the the negotiators behaved as serious The political equities at this gasoline-tax increases are particu- people on both sides. Anyone who point are a mixed bag. For Presi- larly burdensome to those who has examined the deficit problem dent Bush, there is some obvious must routinely drive much longer as it has grown in severity over value in being seen as a leader distances than are required in the the last five years has recognized willing to confront and deal with Northeast. that any solution, even a partial the most complex issue on the The bottom line, then, is that one, would involve real pain for national agenda. On the other the compromise is only a first step some taxpayers and beneficiaries hand, the president has been in what promises to be an awk- of social services. This one in- obliged to renege on his promise ward negotiation to pass legisla- volves real pain, not just account- of "no new taxes" and to abandon tion to accomplish its purposes. ing gimmicks and one-time de- his insistence on reductions in But it is also an opportunity for vices. capital-gains taxes. the incumbents in Congress to The climate in which Congress But the Democrats have been demonstrate that, contrary to the now must address the compro- forced to yield, as well, on a basic popular opinion at the moment, mise is politically difficult. An element of their original plan - they are capable of doing their election is a month away, so in- some change in the income-tax jobs. cumbents have a totally under- rates to make them more progres- standable fear that their challeng- sive. ers - with no responsibility of Depending on how the issue their own to vote - will attack plays out on Capitol Hill, the Jack Germond and Jules Wit- them on such things as the 12c agreement may take the deficit cover are Washington-based. na- increase in gasoline taxes and re- issue effectively out of the 1990 tionally syndicated columnists. CHATTANOOGA NEWS-FREE PRESS ROY McDONALD FRANK McDONALD LEE ANDERSON Founder and Publisher Chairman of the Board Publisher 1936-1990 and President and Editor Friday, October 5, 1990 Even Congress Can't Stand It For a long time. the American So the package failed. people have been showing an increas- Congress deserves blame for the ing lack of confidence in Congress. And whole thing - but not alone. Remem- now. by its vote to turn down its lead- ber, we got into this mess because ers' own so-called "deficit reduction" members of Congress found they could plan. the House of Representatives has get elected by promising us voters said in effect that it has lost confidence costly handouts and favors without in itself. taxing us to pay for them. We, the peo- The rejected plan is bad and SO are ple, sold out. Congress did what was the alternatives - all because Con- financially wrong to appeal to us. gress is irresponsible in buying votes Now what? There must be cuts in by spending more than is coming in spending and we, the people. must pay and passing the difference on to pres- for whatever spending continues. And ent and future generations to deal with that will still leave our children and somehow - never saving how. our grandchildren mortgaged over Conservatives and liberals. Repub- their heads for goodies we have licans and Democrats. joined forces to received and left them to pay for. Is doom the "compromise" plan that that the kind of heritage we want to Democratic and Republican congres- leave our loved ones? sional leaders had put together at the As bad as the rejected deal urging of President George Bush. The appeared to be, it was probably worse. rejection vote was 254 to 179. despite The reason is that it was only an out- the lobbying and begging of the presi- line of taxes and cuts. Each individual dent and House leaders to take the item still would have had to be taken package as an admitted bad deal but up by congressional committees for 'the best we can do at this time." separate decisions. And there was ev- The whole thing was a fraud per- ery reason to believe meddling with petrated to try to cover up gross irre- the bad package to do special favors sponsibility now and over many past would have made it even more un- years. sound. The stated purpose was to "cut the But what now? deficit." The package was supposed to Will there be some quick juggling reduce red ink over five years by $500 to make up another plan? billion. But even if approved and car- Will the president and congression- ried out, the plan would still have al- al leaders let the government grind to lowed a new $1 trillion in deficits to be a halt so furloughing federal employ- added to the current $3.2 trillion na- ees and cutting federal services will tional debt. create chaos to force the people to The plan called for raising taxes make Congress devise some new ("No new taxes" was forgotten) by $134 makeshift scheme? billion over five years (gasoline, ciga- Will the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings rettes. beer, liquor, wine and fees being deficit-reduction law force across-the- the main sources), along with $119 bil- board cuts in defense and domestic lion in benefit cuts, among other programs (Social Security and some things. entitlements being exempted) to bring But when the scheme was re- the deficit down? vealed, citizens across the country be- Or what? gan to condemn the tax levies and to We are in a situation of serious cri- scream against the proposed benefit sis - brought about by many years of cuts, particularly those involving Congress' failure to meet its responsi- Medicare. House members, all of them bilities, as it has bought our votes by up for re-election Nov. 6, were irresponsible spending. spooked. They didn't want to go home Whatever happens won't be good. and defend a vote for such a package The question is just how bad a harvest that imposed pain and yet did not real- we will have from the seeds of finan- ly address the overall problem of gov- cial folly that have been planted and ernmental overspending. now have matured. Cuts? (Not Really) As the nation watches and wond- ing would have totaled $222 billion ers about what comes next in the budg- more than 1990 spending. et-deficit crisis. one thing should be After the supposed $1.3 billion made clear. The réjected plan was ad- "cut" in farm handouts, spending vertised as providing for "cuts" in would have been $700 million higher. spending. That is not true. After the supposed $4.6 billion Under the plan, spending would Medicare "cut," spending would have still rise! The cuts were only in the been $4.4 billion higher. growth of spending. The whole deal is a fraud. The proposed 1991 budget - with The best solution is to freeze all the "cuts" - would have been $55 bil- spending - and then cut or eliminate lion more than the 1990 budget. every function and department not es- The rejected plan was supposed to sential for national security, basic gov- run five years. But the "cuts" were not ernmental operations, or life, food and real because the proposed 1995 spend- shelter for our people. San Francisco Examiner Thursday, October 4, 1990 Soak the middle class Although the deficit deal is a necessary evil, it still contains some of that old voodoo economics RESIDENT BUSH and But people with incomes of between P the Democratic leader- $20,000 and $50,000 will be hardest hit. ship are right, of course. If this sounds familiar, it is. Remember We should all beat the trickle down? Reaganomics? (Once decried drums for the deficit re- by George Bush as "voodoo.") "No parallel duction plan. It may be upsurge of riches has been seen since the an ugly child but it's the late 19th Century," writes conservative only child we've got. Its terrible beauty is commentator Kevin Phillips about the that everyone shares the pain. Reagan decade. The beat goes on. Even Newt Gingrich and the right wing And the enemy is us. In our headlong of the Republican Party don't figure to rush to emulate Tom Wolfe's masters of undo the deal. We must cut the deficit -otherwise we're headed for Recession the universe, we've looked the other way City and worse. Elements of the plan-tax while the Republicans played reverse Robin increases on gas, cigarettes, beer and liquor Hood, redistributing the wealth from the -support good public policy by getting poor and middle classes to the rich. Here's people out of their cars and discouraging how: The typical poor family pays 14 per- them from killing themselves quite so cent more now than it would have under quickly. the more progressive 1977 tax code, accord- But one facet of the plan is bad news. It ing to one analysis. The typical middle class hurts the poor more than the rich. True, it family will pay 7 percent more. But the largely spares the poorest citizens, but it richest one percent pay 36 percent less soaks the middle class. Families earning today than under the 1977 rates. $40,000 a year will kick in six times as high But we still don't get it: Republican is the a share of their income as wealthy families. party of the rich. Not the wannabe rich. Sure, there are new luxury taxes on yachts, The rich. Until the middle class opens its expensive cars and fur coats. And there's a eyes to its own self-interest, it deserves to deductions "floor" for wealthy taxpayers. be soaked. Rocky Mountain News Fri., Oct. 4, 1990 Rocky Mountain News Back to the drawing board THE ISSUE: T he tipoff might have means. As former budget director James been when President Miller pointed out the other day, "the taxes The new budget Bush warned that a re- raised by the agreement would be used to 'solution' seeks cession would result finance spending, not reduce the deficit." supporters In should Congress vote The fact is, the budget agreement itself: Congress. down his tax-boosting acknowledges this intent, according to budget plan. As colum- Miller. It stipulates a 7.1% rise in revenue OUR VIEW: nist Tom Wicker (by no for 1991 and a 8.6% rise in spending. Only the insen- means a friend of small What Miller is saying - and he isn't sate would kiss government) pointed out alone - is that this entire package is a this frog on national television a sham. To which we respond: History re- few weeks ago, raising peats itself! taxes is not the way to ward off a looming We're thinking, specifically, of a similar recession. Instead, it is somewhat similar to situation a few years back. Ronald Reagan, using blood as a shark repellant. on the ropes for several of his missteps, That's not the only reason to suspect agreed to a grand compromise in which that this was a bum deal, despite its biparti- Congress was to cut $2 of spending for san embrace. A cursory look at the sup- every $1 it took in in new taxes. Reagan, posed "cuts" in domestic spending finds who really did trust people more than the that they have a very high smoke content. evidence would allow, seems to have be- Some $4 billion of the $12.1 billion in lieved Congress would keep its word. He "cuts" are actually new user fees, hiding was, to be sure, eternally naive. behind the name of "negative outlays." When the final tally was taken, Congress Only in Washington and Orwell would a fee, had indeed raised the taxes, but spending or tax, be called a cut. Another billion in also rose by $1.50 for every $1 taxed. This "cuts" would replace a lump-sum payment is one of those diversions that somehow to civil-service employees with an annuity. never earned itself a congressional inquiry. This is so phony as to be beyond the scope President Bush and the congressional of euphemism: leadership say this package is the best they Meanwhile, spending "caps" were could come up with, and we must believe stitched with plenty of holes in them. Revi- that they're telling the truth, at least for sions are possible throughout the life of the argument's sake. But the fact that this is agreement if the president and the best they could come up with is no congressional leaders seek them; those reason to buy it. Our advice to Congress: caps can always be waived by a three-fifths Don't kiss this frog. Put it in the blender vote in both houses. You know what that and try again. THE PROVIDENCE JOURNAL-BULLETIN FRIDAY OCTOBER 5. 1990 In whose interest? Whatever the national interest may be, it good one, but would play in Peoria, too. Yet is not especially popular in Washington these packages such as this are not SQ quickly di- days. The first serious, bipartisan effort in a gested, and neither the President nor the con- decade to cut the growing federal deficit, re- gressional leadership have had a real chance duce government spending, and raise new to try their hand at salesmanship. Before the revenues is now imperiled by the worst sort debate has gotten underway, lobbyists, fear- of special interest politics we've witnessed mongers and special interest groups have de- since the 'reform' of the tax code in the mid- scended on the Capitol in righteous indigna- dle 1980s. New Englanders are angry at Tex- tion. And some members of Congress - in- ans; pensioners are peeved; the left wing cluding our own Claiborne Pell, Ronald wants to soak the rich; the right wing seeks Machtley and Claudine Schneider - have to starve the Treasury. And the pressures on chosen to put their own political fortunes Congress are growing, not diminishing. ahead of principle on this issue. As we have said before, while the bipar- Too bad. And too bad that President Bush tisan budget deal is by no means the best - must gaze upon the efforts of such congress- that is inevitable in the spirit of compromise ional party 'leaders' as House Minority Whip - it's a pretty good deal for American tax- Newt Gingrich. It must be disconcerting to a payers. No segment of the population is sud- Republican President to know that the House denly vulnerable, and no quarter is exempt member charged with marshalling GOP from paying its fair share. Yes, the East will troops is campaigning publicly to undermine feel the pinch on heating oil, but the West his chief. If Mr. Gingrich considers his per- will pay more for gasoline, too. sonal ideology to be more important than the It could be argued that an income tax in- fortunes of his President, that is fine; but he crease might be marginally more progressive ought to resign his post in the House leader- than this package - and we have supported ship. With friends like Newt Gingrich the principle of such an increase in the past Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Green- - but an income tax increase is politically span has declared that budget negotiators impossible in Washington at this time. In- seem to have "crafted what appears to be a stead, taxes are raised where they should be credible, enforceable reduction in the budget increased - on alcohol and tobacco con- deficit stretching over a number of years. sumption, and the purchase of luxury items That suggests two things. First, that an - and important reductions in agricultural agreement would probably drive down inter- subsidies and defense appropriations will est rates: Good news on the brink of reces- make a real,difference. sion; and second, that failure to reach agree- Unfortunately, Congress waited a very ment could send financial markets in a tail- long time to come to an agreement. Members spin: Bad news on the brink of recession. of the House, where the deal is in trouble, In our view, the benefits of agreement face the electorate in four weeks. We happen are real and substantial - and infinitely less to think that this agreement is not only a dangerous than the risks of a deadlock. San Francisco Chronicle THE VOICE OF THE WEST THURSDAY, OCTOBER 4, 1990 EDITORIALS Deficit Package Merits Approval P RESIDENT BUSH laid it on the line in his speech from the Oval Office: "This deficit agreement is tough, and so are the times. "This is the first time in my presidency that I've made an appeal like this to you the Ameri- can people. With your help, we can put this budget crisis behind us and face the challenges that lie ahead." It is tough. Both sides - Democratic and Republican - have had to make conces- We have got sions to face up to the to put this exigencies of the mo- ment. The president budget has had to abandon his long-cherished crisis and basically con- structive proposal for behind us reducing the tax on capital gains. And, while there will be no increase in income taxes, the T-word has not been completely avoided. The Democrats would have preferred a pro- gram that bit more deeply into the wealthy and carried less potential burden for the elderly. But sacrifice - from politician and citizen alike - is the only way we are going to be able to get at the deficit cancer that eats at our financial vitals. The urgency of the situation is quite clear. The latest Gallup Poll, for instance, shows a sharp increase in worries among Amer- icans about the state of the economy. THIS IS AN agreement intended to give small businesses a shot in the arm, and, as the president said, such enterprises are "America's best job creators." It is also meant to lower interest rates - meaning savings for consum- ers and more investment to produce more jobs. Congress should move with alacrity to ap- prove what is a sound and absolutely vital defi- cit reduction package. THE CINCINNAT ENQUIRER Wednesday, October 3. 1990 THE CINCINNATI ENQUIRER OCTRER WILLIAM J. KEATING Chairman and Publisher GEORGE R. BLAKE Editor, Vice President THOMAS E. DUNNING Managing Editor THOMAS S. GEPHARDT Associate Editor DARRYL W. EVERETT Vice President, Advertising A Gannett Newspaper WILLIAM R. JOHNSTON Vice President, Circulation MARK S. MIKOLAJCZYK Vice President, Production JAMES A. SCHWARTZ Vice President, Finance GERALD T. SILVERS Vice President, Marketing Services The deficit Congress must satisfy itself about the budget compromise Like most compromises, the budget that a realistic attack on the deficit plan hammered out by congressional required additional revenue. Mr. Bush and White House negotiators is thor- has determined to focus on policies oughly acceptable to no one. That's that will generate economic growth. why neither Democrats nor Republi- He believes the formula agreed upon cans on Capitol Hill are likely to last weekend will do so. swallow the recommendations of the Some of his party stalwarts are not budget summit without a whimper. so certain. They think that the nation The fact is that the budget confer- needs anything but higher taxes when ees professed to be concerned only the economy is tottering on the brink about the budget deficit and the ur- of a recession, and orthodox economic gency of removing a cloud over the principles suggest they are right. nation's economic future by trimming But orthodox economic principles it. But in an unspoken sense they perhaps do not apply when the coun- were really concerned about the phi- try labors under the weight of crush- losophy that is to guide the federal ing budget deficits. government for the next few years, Within hours of the the agree- and about who - the legislative ment's unveiling, it was clear that branch or the executive - is going to Congress has some dissenters who be in charge. will insist on being heard. They will On the surface. congressional Dem- take a long, hard look at what the ocrats have agreed to cuts in some compromisers are proposing. Most popular domestic programs. which Americans will share their determina- they were reluctant to do. And the tion to find out. if they can, whether president has agreed to higher taxes the package presented to the nation for cigarettes, gasoline. alcohol and last weekend will do all that its spon- some luxury items: the president has sors say it will do. Nothing is more also abandoned his longstanding ap- important than trimming the deficit: peal for a reduction in the rate for nothing could be more harmful than taxing capital gains. using the prospect of new revenue to Democrats have insisted all along avoid the hard choices. Dayton Daily News Tues. Oct. 2. 1990 Dayton Daily News Gramm-Rudman doesn't cut debt But things might be even worse without its threats A few years ago Congress was passed the Gramm-Rudman def- NEVER MIND icit-reduction law. The law held WHERE TO CUT. FIRST LETS SEE that the deficit would be reduced IF THERE'S A SNOOZE ALARM... every year by a specified amount, until it was finally eliminated. If an annual target was not met, automatic cuts would go into place. Those cuts would be dra- conian if the target was missed by a lot. It seemed to make GRAMM sense, on paper. CONGRESS BOMB But now, somehow, the deficit SQUAD is in danger of becoming bigger BUDGET than ever. The leaders of the two-parties in Washington have been forced to develop another deficit- Why couldn't that have been done a reduction five-year plan. month or two ago? So much for the case for Gramm-Rud- The answer apparently is that only if man. Well. not quite. Somehow the an- the alternative was immediate chaos in nual deadlines in Gramm-Rudman have the delivery of governmental services at least spurred action in Washington; were the negotiators willing to be seen as not necessarily responsible action. but giving up on Gramm-Rudman. More im- at least action. portantly. only under the threat of chaos This year. most particularly. the were they willing to be seen by their con- Gramm-Rudman deadline served as a stituents as caving in on some of their deadline for negotiators. This seems a demands. little odd. because one of the things the In the absence of Gramm-Rudman or negotiators decided was to give up try- something like it. what would have cre- ing to comply with Gramm-Rudman. ated that necessary willingness to cave?