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Originally Processed With FOIA(s): FOIA Number: 2005-0995-F 2005-0995-F FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential Library Staff. Record Group/Collection: George H.W. Bush Presidential Records Collection/Office of Origin: National Security Council Series: Latin American Affairs Directorate Files Subseries: Subject Files 1989 OA/ID Number: CF00194 Folder ID Number: CF00194-004 Folder Title: Cuba 1988 Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: V 7 1 2 Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Doc. No. / Type Subject/Title Date Restriction Classification 01. Memo From Officer for Latin America Re: [Interagency meeting on 07/10/89 (b)(1) S Cuba] (4 pp.) 02. Memo From Jorge Mas, Armando Valladares to Vice President Quayle 07/14/89 (b)(1) Re: [Cuba] [annotated] (1 pp.) 03. Analysis Re: Cuba [pages 6-7 only] (2 pp.) 07/09/89 (b)(1) TS 04a. Note To David Pacelli Re: [Cuba] (1 pp.) 07/12/89 (b)(1) C 04b. Report Re: [Cuba] (5 pp.) 07/12/89 (b)(1) C 05a. Note From David A. Pacelli to Ted Re: Kimmitt wants NSC n.d. (b)(1) concurrence (1 pp.) 05b. Memo From Robert B. Morley to R. Richard Newcomb Re: Broadcast 06/27/89 (b)(1) Rights for the 1991 Pan American Games (1 pp.) 05c. Memo From R. Richard Newcomb to Paul Wisgerhof Re: Broadcast 04/27/89 (b)(1) Rights for the 1991 Pan American Games (1 pp.) 06. Report Re: [Havana] (2 pp.) 06/01/89 (b)(1) 07. Report Re: Cuba (1 pp.) 04/01/89 (b)(1) TS Page 1 of 2 Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: National Security Council Series: Latin American Affairs Directorate Files Subseries: Subject Files 1989 WHORM Cat.: File Location: Cuba -1988 Pinksheet Number: SS255 OA/ID Number: CF00194-004 Date Closed: 6/9/2010 FOIA/Sys Case #: 2005-0995-F Re-review Case #: P-2/P-5 Review Case #: Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Doc. No. / Type Subject/Title Date Restriction Classification 08. Report Re: [Fidel Castro's Statements] (1 pp.) n.d. (b)(1) Page 2 of 2 Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: National Security Council Series: Latin American Affairs Directorate Files Subseries: Subject Files 1989 WHORM Cat.: File Location: Cuba -1988 Pinksheet Number: SS255 OA/ID Number: CF00194-004 Date Closed: 6/9/2010 FOIA/Sys Case #: 2005-0995-F Re-review Case #: P-2/P-5 Review Case #: Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type 01. Memo From Officer for Latin America Re: [Interagency meeting on 07/10/89 (b)(1) S Cuba] (4 pp.) Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: National Security Council Series: Latin American Affairs Directorate Files Subseries: Subject Files 1989 WHORM Cat.: File Location: Cuba -1988 Date Closed: 6/9/2010 OA/ID Number: CF00194-02 FOIA/SYS Case #: 2005-0995-F Appeal Case #: Re-review Case #: Appeal Disposition: P-2/P-5 Review Case #: Disposition Date: AR Case #: MR Case #: AR Disposition: MR Disposition: AR Disposition Date: MR Disposition Date: RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRAJ (b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information PRM. Removed as a personal record misfile. UNCLASSIFIED CLASSIFICATION CIRCLE ONE BELOW MODE PAGES 2 IMMEDIATE SECURE FAX # DTG 202158Z PRIORITY ADMIN FAX # 266 RELEASER ROUTINE FROM/LOCATION 1. Jackie Tillman TO/LOCATION/TIME OF RECEIPT 1. Ambassador Ted Briggs 2. 3. 4. TOR: ZOZZO4Z Joly89 5. 6. 7. INFORMATION ADDEES/LOCATION/TIME OF RECEIPT 1. 2. SITUATION ROOM PO : & 08 02 700 88 HOUSE SPECIAL INSTRUCTIONS/REMARKS: UNCLASSIFIED CLASSIFICATION JUL-20-'89 THU 17:59 ID:C.A.N.F WASHINGTON TEL NO 202-338-0308 #059 P01 THE CUBAN AMERICAN NATIONAL FOUNDATION 1000 Thomas Jefferson Street, N.W., Suite 601 Washington, D.C. 20007 (202)265-2822 PLEASE DELIVER THE FOLLOWING TO: NAME: amb Ked Briggs LOCATION: NSC - Latin america Directorate FROM: Jackie Fillman # OF PAGES: 2 (incl. cover letter) DATE: 7-20-89 TIME: COMMENTS: Someone 6 showing leadership! Bush Library Photocopy Proservation IF YOU DO NOT RECEIVE ALL PAGES PLEASE CALL BACK AS SOON AS POSSIBLE PHONE: (202) 265-2822 RETURN FAX #: (202) 338-0308 PRESS RELEASE NOTA DE PRENSA June 20, 1989 IMMEDIATE DISTRIBUTION Contact: Jacqueline Tillman (202)265-2822 SENATE INCREASES ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL PRESSURE ON CASTRO Two important pieces of legislation sponsored by SENATOR CONNIE MACK (R-FL) regarding Cuba were passed by overwhelming vote on the floor of the U.S. Senate this week. Earlier today, an amendment to the state department authorization bill which eliminats certain loopholes in the U.S embargo against Cuba passed by an 87-13 vote. The amendment effectively closes loopholes created by a 1975 reform of the trade embargo which allowed foreign subsidiaries of U.S. companies to trade with Cuba. This business amounts to $300 million each year, and represents 47% of Cuba's trade with the West. Just this month, during the unprecedented show-trial of General Arnaldo Ochoa, Cuba revealed for the first time the existence of the MC Division within the Ministry of Interior whose sole mission was to circumvent the U.S. trade embargo against Cuba. The Cuban government confirmed that it used various front companies and other means to circumvent the embargo. Yesterday, the Senate passed by a unanimous 99-0 vote a strongly worded resolution condemning Fidel Castro's 30 year rule of Cuba and asking for a free and fair national plebiscite, by secret yes/no ballot to approve or reject his rule The amendment set certain conditions for a truly free vote including the release of political prisoners and allowing international observers to monitor the electoral process. Jorge Mas, Chairman of the Cuban American National Foundation declared: "The United States Senate has acted with wisdom and foresight with these two votes. It has shown the exemplary leadership required in light of the current crisis in Cuba. These actions promote freedom and human rights in Cuba/ we applaud them." Mr. Mas added, "I am sure the entire Cuban American community feels an enormous sense of gratitude to Senator Connie Mack for his role in these efforts." #### Bush Library Photocopy Preservation The Cuban American National Foundation 1000 Thomas Jefferson Street, N.W. Suite 601 Washington, D.C. 20007 JUL 20 '89 22:01 C.A.N.F WASHINGTON PAGE. 002 File: WTF CUBA THE CUBAN AMERICAN NATIONAL FOUNDATION 1000 Thomas Jefferson Street, N.W., Suite 601 DAP Washington, D.C. 20007 (202) 265-2822 July 14, 1989 This is rat MEMORANDUM FOR THE VICE PRESIDENT FROM: JORGE MAS mas a Valladares ARMANDO VALLADARES gorge was C. SUBJECT: CUBA--DRUGS AND THE PURGE left the am w/ eloquent The active involvement of Cuba in narcotrafficking has been request pervasive and well-documented over the last decade. But this is not the central issue behind the purge and executions currently underway in Cuba. Castro is dealing with regime for USG stability and is using the drug issue to distract from his vor to serious problems and to assure that his involvement in drug all trafficking is not revealed. We respectfully request that the Bush Administration, at a time when Castro's power is threatened internally and abroad, take over the offensive and formulate a strong, coherent policy to prevent Castro from escaping the consequences of his alleged decade-long involvement in narcotrafficking and the serious stability issues he is experiencing. We would recommend the following steps: billingues 1) A full interagency review of U.S. Cuba policy and the development and implementation of a policy for Cuba that is to coop dues. a premised on promoting democracy in Cuba and exploiting Castro's vulnerabilities. Instad, 2) Declassification and full public disclosure of the vast information, including videotapes, available from all the V.P. way relevant agencies of the U.S. government about Cuba's active role in narcotrafficking. USIA must make a major international effort to expose and inform the world about Cuba's drug related obestion expens activities. Revealing this information at an appropriate international forum would serve to empahasize U.S. concern with Cuban involvement with narcotrafficking. point 3) The U.S. government should publicly and officially demand that Cuban government officials under indictment in the to fustures 40C U.S ---including Admiral Aldo Santamaria, Chief of the Cuban in Navy; Fernando Ravelo, former Cuban Ambassador to Colombia and currently serving as Cuban Ambassador to Nicaragua; Gonzalo in his Bassols, Minister Counselor at the Embassy in Bogota, and Rene Rodriguez Cruz, President of the Cuban Institute of Friendship with the Peoples---as well as Robert Vesco, who lives in Cuba July19 and is also under indictment in the United States, be turned over to U.S. courts for trial. gital by Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type 03. Analysis Re: Cuba [pages 6-7 only] (2 pp.) 07/09/89 (b)(1) TS Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: National Security Council Series: Latin American Affairs Directorate Files Subseries: Subject Files 1989 WHORM Cat.: File Location: Cuba -1988 Date Closed: 6/9/2010 OA/ID Number: CF00194-02 FOIA/SYS Case #: 2005-0995-F Appeal Case #: Re-review Case #: Appeal Disposition: P-2/P-5 Review Case #: Disposition Date: AR Case #: MR Case #: AR Disposition: MR Disposition: AR Disposition Date: MR Disposition Date: RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] (b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information PRM. Removed as a personal record misfile. DATE TRANSMITTAL SLIP 12 Jul 89 TO: David Pacelli ROOM NO. BUILDING 392 010 EOB REMARKS: FROM: C/ALA/MCD ROOM NO. BUILDING EXTENSION 4F29 Hqs 4825806 FORM NO. REPLACES FORM 36-8 1 FEB 56 241 (47) WHICH MAY BE USED. Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type 04a. Note To David Pacelli Re: [Cuba] (1 pp.) 07/12/89 (b)(1) C Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: National Security Council Series: Latin American Affairs Directorate Files Subseries: Subject Files 1989 WHORM Cat.: File Location: Cuba 1988 Date Closed: 6/9/2010 OA/ID Number: CF00194-02 FOIA/SYS Case #: 2005-0995-F Appeal Case #: Re-review Case #: Appeal Disposition: P-2/P-5 Review Case #: Disposition Date: AR Case #: MR Case #: AR Disposition: MR Disposition: AR Disposition Date: MR Disposition Date: RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - 15 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] (b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA) (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRAJ agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information |(a)(4) of the PRA] (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information PRM Removed as a personal record misfile Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type 04b. Report Re: [Cuba] (5 pp.) 07/12/89 (b)(1) C Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: National Security Council Series: Latin American Affairs Directorate Files Subseries: Subject Files 1989 WHORM Cat.: File Location: Cuba -1988 Date Closed: 6/9/2010 OA/ID Number: CF00194-02 FOIA/SYS Case #: 2005-0995-F Appeal Case #: Re-review Case #: Appeal Disposition: P-2/P-5 Review Case #: Disposition Date: AR Case #: MR Case #: AR Disposition: MR Disposition: AR Disposition Date: MR Disposition Date: RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] (b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA) (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information PRM. Removed as a personal record misfile. file Caba For Official Use Only FOREIGN BROADCAST 1 May 1989 INFORMATION SERVICE Survey of the Cuban Press: A Reference Aid The following is a survey of the most authoritative and widely disseminated Cuban periodicals. Titles are arranged in alphabetical order and are followed by a description of the targeted audience. Names of a periodical's management are provided when available. Descriptions and evaluations are based on long- range patterns of reporting and are offered as road maps for locating and assessing information in the Cuban press. The Cuban press consists of government-controlled publications destined for specific audiences. The targeted audience determines the overall focus of each publication; however, there is little variation in format and content. For example, TRABAJADORES, the labor daily, and JUVENTUD REBELDE, the youth daily, cover similar topics, share lookalike layouts and have the same number of pages. Journalists are not necessarily confined to one publication. The same bylines found in GRANMA may also appear in BOHEMIA. Little open source information is available on specific writers and editors. BASTION Manuel Gonzalez Bello, Argelio Santiesteban, Carlos (Armed Forces Daily Organ) Pineiro Loreda, and Felix Guerra. Ilse Bulit covers human interest stories. BOHEMIA's first section Director: Lieutenant Colonel Frank Aguero Gomez reviews art, movies, television, and books. This is Assistant Director: Armando Boudet Gomez followed by "Archipelago," a section covering domestic issues. This section begins with an editorial, BASTION, the newspaper of the Revolutionary Armed Forces [FAR] Ministry, is usually four pages long. The front page generally reports any activity of Fidel or Raul Castro in connection with the FAR. The last page carries selected international news. Bohemia Other features include human interest stories about EN EL ANIVERSARIO OCHENTA troops in Angola, interviews with soldiers expressing TURISMO, pride in being members of the military, and articles TE llaman VARADERO on sports, culture, and scientific endeavors within the military. Except for reporting on Cuito Cuanavale during the first months of 1988, there is generally no detailed reporting on ongoing military activity. BOHEMIA (Weekly Magazine) - Director: Magdali Garcia More BOHEMIA, a news magazine, is aimed at the more sophisticated reader. Featured writers include Cover of BOHEMIA promotes the potential for tourism Juan Sanchez, Luis Sexto, Alberto Pozo, Ilse Bulit, on Cuba's beaches. For Official Use Only For Official Use Only TRABA JADORES verd Cumplen plan de pasta dental ESTRO AMIGO 4 Son 20 los cargadores frontales Asiste Fidel a boda colectiva terminados hasta ahora 30 en el Hospital Miguel Enríquez to, Front page of TRABAJADORES. Main headline sold celebrates fulfillment of toothpaste production plan, clón while photo shows Fidel Castro attending a "collective wedding" in Miguel Enriquez Hospital. Cover of VERDE OLIVO. Smiling recruits look on their "teacher and friend,' " the training sergeant. VERDE OLIVO (Monthly Military Magazine) VERDE OLIVO, a publication of the The Provincial Press Revolutionary Armed Forces, carries feature stories rather than news. The stories focus on FAR recruitment and training, as well as the correct Twelve provincial daily newspapers are political orientation of a good FAR soldier. published in Cuba, one for each of the country's Interviews with soldiers who tell of their love of the provinces and for the Isle of Youth. These military life and articles that describe training papers report almost exclusively on such items exercises are included. These articles are written in a of local interest as the accomplishments of vague and general manner and lack hard military agricultural and construction brigades, information. For example, there are no details on community-level defense exercises, problems of where an exercise takes place or how many troops are inefficiency in local enterprises, the vagaries of involved. Historical pieces, on topics such as the local sports teams, etc. An example is Sierra Maestra campaign, are also included. Poems, TRIBUNA DE LA HABANA, which devotes crosswords, and centerfolds of Cuban military most of its coverage to local events in Havana equipment are regularly featured. City in addition to games, puzzles, and some reporting on international news. Any articles dealing with significant Information compiled by Sara Mathis and political, economic, or social developments at Amy Rollins. Questions or comments may be either the national or provincial level appear addressed to Martin Gurri, Chief, Central initially in GRANMA, the PCC organ, before America/Caribbean Section (733-6295). being picked up by the provincial press. For Official Use Only Ted insure age Kimmett wants NSC this (an to desk). David Nalan concernence on on phone Cata The memo. - - ABC I agree has a with tenta to Cabe the It should deal for to park clusive & gmillum rights. USE in be - They still a con-exclusive buy DAS vasis. akixed by footage Tile: Cuba United States Department of State Washington, D.C. 20520 June 27, 1989 MEMORANDUM TO: Mr. R. Richard Newcomb, Director Office of Foreign Assets Control Department of the Treasury FROM: Robert B. Morley Coordinator for Cuban Affairs SUBJECT: Broadcast Rights for the 1991 Pan American Games REF: OFAC Memorandum No. 111774 of April 27, 1989 This is in response to your memorandum of April 27, 1989 requesting Department of State views on the application by Trans World International, Inc. (TWI) to act as an agent for the Government of Cuba (GOC) with regard to broadcast rights to the 1991 Pan American Games and the application by ABC Sports for the purchase of the U.S. rights. The Pan American Sports Organization (PASO) chose Cuba as the site for the 1991 games with the knowledge that the U.S. maintains a comprehensive economic embargo on that country. The United States is not obliged to change its foreign policy due to the action of a private organization such as PASO. The Department recommends that the licenses for TWI and ABC be denied in order to prevent Cuba from earning significant amounts of hard currency and to protect the integrity of the embargo. Due to the latter consideration, the Department would recommend denial even if payments to Cuba were to be made into blocked accounts. The Department would have no objection on foreign policy grounds to U.S. broadcasters covering the games as a news event, provided no payments are made to Cuba. The Department would also have no objection to U.S. firms acquiring film/tape footage of the games for rebroadcast in the United States under the informational materials exception to the embargo. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY WASHINGTON FAC No. 111774 APR 27 1989 MEMORANDUM FOR PAUL WISGERHOF DEPARTMENT OF STATE/EB/EWT FROM: R. RICHARD NEWCOMB DIRECTOR OFFICE OF FOREIGN ASSETS CONTROL SUBJECT: Broadcast Rights for the 1991 Pan American Games (Our Reference: C-12960) We have received an application from Trans World International, Inc. ("TWI") requesting a license to enter into an agreement with Cimesports S.A. and Empressa Cubana de Radio y Television regarding the development of financial, technical, and physical arrangements for the radio and television broadcast- ing of the 11th Pan American Sports Games of 1991 to be held in Havana, Cuba. Under the agreement, TWI would provide worldwide comprehensive marketing, negotiating, promotional, and sale services and representation regarding broadcast rights to the games on behalf of the Cuban entities. Included with TWI's application is an application of ABC Sports for the purchase of the U.S. broadcast rights. As you know, the Cuban Assets Control Regulations, 31 C.F.R. Part 515 ("the Regulations"), prohibit all unlicensed economic transactions in which Cuba has an interest. Although, pursuant to subsection 515.543 (c) of the Regulations, specific licenses may be issued on a case-by-case basis for communications-related transactions, the undertaking for which TWI is requesting a license is beyond the scope of subsection 515.543 (c), and this office would not favor granting TWI's application, as it would produce significant hard currency earnings for Cuba. Regarding ABC Sports' application for a license allowing it to purchase U.S. broadcast rights, similar policy reasons apply against granting a license. In this case, however, an alternative option of placing the purchase price in a blocked account may be offered to ABC, although is it questionable if this would be acceptable to Cuba. Given the potential foreign relations implication as well as domestic public interest regarding these applications, the views of the Department of State are requested before a licensing decision is made. My staff and I are available to discuss this matter with you and other appropriate offices of your Department at your convenience. Attachment FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY FBIS TRENDS 1 June 1989 Fde cuba Cuba-U.S. Havana Threatens New Round of Confrontation With U.S. Havana's sharp criticism of President Bush's recent policy statement on Cuba signals an end to its courtship of the new administration. While it has not ruled out an improvement in relations-as it has done with previous administrations-it appears to be gearing up for a new period of confrontation. Havana responded authoritatively to the President's 22 May statement on Cuba in a strongly worded editorial carried on the front page of the party paper Granma on 24 May and reported the same day by its radio and television network, Tele-Rebelde. The editorial rejected what it described as the "list of demands" put forward by the President in a meeting with a group of Cuban-Americans, which called on Havana to change its policies and behavior-hold free and fair elections, respect human rights, allow unrestricted emigration, and stop meddling in the internal affairs of other countries-as a first step toward improved relations with the United States. Reflecting Havana's longstanding sensitivity to any U.S. questioning of the legitimacy of the Castro regime, the editorial took particular umbrage at the President's call for a plebiscite in Cuba. After questioning the President's right to "give recipes" to Cuba, it went on to stress that the Cuban people have "irreversibly opted for Marxism and Leninism." And in an apparent critical allusion to the political and economic reforms being implemented in the Soviet Union, the editorial said that the President "will not see capitalist renovations wearing a socialist disguise" in Cuba. Suggesting that Havana has cast aside any expectation of a near-term improvement in U.S.-Cuban relations, the editorial did not express any interest in opening a dialogue with the administration, as President Castro had done in December.¹ Instead, it made it clear that Havana is prepared to maintain a confrontational stance toward the United States rather than submit to what it depicted as the President's "threats to make Cuba change its behavior." 1 See the Trends of 14 December 1988, page 36. 29 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY FBIS TRENDS FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 1 June 1989 Specter of Another Noting that President Bush has challenged the Castro "Mariel" regime to allow the unrestricted emigration of Cubans, the editorial seemed to threaten another mass exodus of malcontents similar to that from the port of Mariel nine years ago. Thus, it asked rhetorically whether "the United States Government wants migration terms like those of 1980." The editorial went on to blame the United States for hindering the Cuban people's right to emigrate, saying Washington, in "blatant violation" of the immigration accords signed by the two countries in 1987, has granted only "a few hundred" of the 20,000 visas it agreed to issue per year. TV Marti The Granma editorial also warned that Cuba will Broadcasts retaliate if the United States carries out its plan to beam television broadcasts to Cuba. It noted pointedly that such broadcasts, which "violate" international law and Cuban "sovereignty," will "unavoidably lead to the poisoning of the international atmosphere to limits that George Bush himself cannot imagine." While the editorial did not indicate what specific steps Havana would take against TV Marti, Vice President Carlos Rafael Rodriguez took a tough line, saying in an interview reported by Radio Rebelde on 19 April that Cuba is "willing to take the necessary measures" and asserting that it "has the resources and means to confront this reactionary mission." Similarly, Jorge Gomez Barata, Central Committee member and section chief of that body's Revolutionary Orientation Department, implied that Cuba could begin counterbroadcasts to the United States. According to the Mexican news agency Notimex on 16 May, he said that Havana intends to respond to TV Marti "with all available means: political, diplomatic, and technical." Although Havana also threatened to take countermeasures against Radio Marti, which began broadcasting to Cuba in May 1986, it has thus far refrained from disrupting the frequencies of U.S. radio stations on a sustained basis. It has, however, demonstrated on several occasions since 1982 that it has the technical capacity to transmit high-powered broadcasts that interfere with a number of U.S. radio- stations. For example, Radio Taino, using a high- powered transmitter that broadcasts in Spanish and English and that Havana claims is intended for tourists in Cuba, has periodically interfered with U.S. stations by remaining on the air past its normal signoff. 30 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY FBIS TRENDS 1 June 1989 Outlook Despite its condemnation of President Bush's policy statement on Cuba, Havana seems reluctant to slam the door on the possibility of improved relations with Washington. Although Castro has made several speeches since the President's 22 May statement, he has, thus far refrained from joining in the media campaign against the President, leaving it to lower level Cuban officials and the media to condemn him by name. In an apparent allusion to the President's statement, Castro, in remarks to a group of students on 25 May, limited himself to saying that while Cuba "will do everything possible to prevent war, there is a limit that one cannot go beyond" (Tele-Rebelde, 26 May). In the past, Castro took it upon himself to denounce, in harsh terms, policy statements issued by new U.S. administrations on relations with Cuba. In light of Castro's restraint, Havana may view the scheduled TV Marti broadcasts, which are slated to begin this fall, as the acid test of the administration's intentions toward Cuba. Suggesting that the regime still hopes to avoid a confrontation with Washington over this issue, the Cuban delegation to the recent conference of the International Telecommunications Union was cited. by Tele-Rebelde on 31 May as expressing Havana's willingness to negotiate with Washington to "solve their differences." At the same time, the delegation made a point of noting that Cuba is "capable of responding to aggression" and that it "will hold the United States responsible for the consequences." 31 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY FBIS TRENDS FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY 1 June 1989 CEMA CEMA Inner Group Seen as Way Out of Reform Stalemate The apparent failure of the most recent CEMA Executive Committee meeting to make any progress toward resolving the longstanding problems blocking CEMA integration has given rise to proposals that, if implemented, could weaken that already moribund organization. The proposals would shift responsibility for reforming international economic ties from CEMA as a whole to bilateral and multilateral groups of countries, an arrangement that would circumvent the existing CEMA bureaucracy and render meaningless the CEMA organization as a whole. Statements by participants following the 16-18 May Moscow meeting of the CEMA Executive Committee (deputy premiers of the member-states) suggest that efforts to reform economic relations within the bloc remain stalled, prompting calls for the formation of an inner group of countries that would not wait for consensus to be achieved before going ahead with reforms.¹ The communique of the meeting indicated that reform of "price formation in mutual trade" and of "the international currency and financial mechanism"- two of the chief stumbling blocks to economic integration in CEMA-are "still slow in being carried out" (Pravda, 19 May). Although the primary purpose of the meeting was to prepare for the meeting of the premiers of the CEMA countries scheduled for June in Sofia, Polish Deputy Premier Sekula complained that the working group drafting decisions for the Sofia meeting has made insufficient progress. He attributed the working group's failure to "the vast differences between the views of the individual countries" concerning reform (Trybuna Ludu, 19 May). Executive Committee chairman Lukanov of Bulgaria also held out little hope that an expected CEMA summit of heads of state would be held in the foreseeable future, despite his assertion that "only a meeting at the highest level" could resolve the existing differences (Rude Pravo, 19 May). 1 The "interested party" principle in CEMA decisionmaking rules stipulates that an agreement is binding only on those members who declare an interest in it. Among those who declare an interest, however, decisionmaking must be unanimous. A member can thus exercise a veto over any agreement by declaring its interest and then voting against the agreement. 32 FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type 07. Report Re: Cuba (1 pp.) 04/01/89 (b)(1) TS Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: National Security Council Series: Latin American Affairs Directorate Files Subseries: Subject Files 1989 WHORM Cat.: File Location: Cuba -1988 Date Closed: 6/9/2010 OA/ID Number: CF00194-02 FOIA/SYS Case #: 2005-0995-F Appeal Case #: Re-review Case #: Appeal Disposition: P-2/P-5 Review Case #: Disposition Date: AR Case #: MR Case #: AR Disposition: MR Disposition: AR Disposition Date: MR Disposition Date: RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] (b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information PRM. Removed as a personal record misfile. Fre Fidel Castro's Statements Cuba on Glasnost, Perestroika, and Secretary General Gorbachov - Castro summoned his top party officials to a closed meeting on November 15, 1988. He spoke for three hours and said Cuba was the last bastion of true Marxism and called the Moscow News, a Soviet weekly in the glasnost mode, more counterrevolutionary than Radio Marti. - On December 5th, he made a fiery speech before 400,000 Cubans, adivising Third Washington. World nations to be wary of the new climate of detente Moscow was creating with - Castro has become increasingly critical of Gorbachev's program of perestroika, or restructuring, in speeches during the past six months, dismissing them last July as "methods that reek of capitalism." In December, he criticized Moscow by warning of "difficulties that may come from the camp of our own friends." On Jan. 1, he provocatively contrasted his self-proclaimed ideological purity with Gorbachev's new openness by proclaiming "Marxism-Leninism or death." - "We must not play or flirt with capitalist things," he told the Cuban people.Cuba has its own problems and requires "a different course," Castro said in a three-hour speech marking the 35th anniversary of the start of the revolution that brought him to power in 1959. He disdained the sorts of initiatives advanced by Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev to promote decentralization and a freer marketplace and warned the crowd of more than 100,000 in the city of Santiago that, ultimately, Cuba must be responsible for itself. "If the U.S. imperialists attack us, who will defend us? No one," he exclaimed. "We will defend ourselves. Our revolution is 10,000 kilometers from the Soviet Union." American Review INSTITUTE FOR AMERICAN STUDIES RAND AFRIKAANS UNIVERSITY DIENS DEUR KENNIS 1989 Tenth Anniversary Edition Cuba-Africa: Quo Vadis ? SOUTHERN AFRICA Uganda Kenya Gabon Rwanda Congo Zaire Burundi Tanzania Angola Malawi Mozambique Zambia South West Zimbabwe Africa/Namibia Botswana INDIAN Swaziland OCEAN Lesotho ATLANTIC Rep. of South Africa OCEAN Key: Major railways ++++++ IAS American Review SPECIAL EDITION 1989 INSTITUTE FOR AMERICAN STUDIES ISBN 0257-862X RAND AFRIKAANS UNIVERSITY This special edition of AMERICAN REVIEW commem- orates the establishment of the Institute for American Editor: Carl F Nöffke Studies on June 1, 1979. The IAS devotes this special issue Deputy Editor: Fienie Janse van Rensburg to Cuba and its political, economic, military and ideologi- Contributing Editor: Sanet Wessels Glatt- cal role. The papers reproduced in this special edition are haar Production Editor: James Mitchell based on presentations at a symposium held by the Institute Research Consultant: Rentia M Seeber in Pretoria on November 25, 1988 on the theme: "Cuba- Administrative Manager: Marie Venter Africa: Quo Vadis?" The papers by Dr Goure, Mr Morris and Prof Nöffke were rewritten, taking into account the latest developments. EDITORIAL ADVISORY BOARD: Proff TH Greene (Univ Southern Califor- nia, Los Angeles), C A Woodward (Val- dosta State College, Georgia), G N Barrie CONTENTS (Rand Afrikaans Univ), PH Kapp (Univ of Stellenbosch), D T Künert (Univ of the Witwatersrand) and C F Nöffke (Rand Afrikaans Univ). 2 CUBA AS AN INSTRUMENT OF SOVIET INTERNATIONAL POLICY by Leon Goure Dr Goure is Director of the Center for Soviet Studies at McLean, MANAGEMENT COMMITTEE: Chairman: Prof C F Crouse (Rector); Virginia, USA. Born in the USSR, he was educated in Gemany, members: Proff J Poolman (Vice-Rector), France and the USA. He is an outstanding Sovietologist and a CF Nöffke (Director), O P F Horwood, renowned expert on Cuban foreign affairs. G N Barrie, J C Kok, S Super and Mr MT de Waal. Secretary: Mrs F Janse van 10 CASTRO'S CUBA: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONDITIONS Rensburg. by Vladimir Ramirez Dr Ramirez is a psycholigist and former Cuban political prisoner. Prior to his defection to the USA in 1987, he conducted extensive ADVISORY COMMITTEE: research at various prison institutions in Havana, Cuba. He is at Chairman: Prof C F Crouse (Rector); present Executive Director of the Latin American Study Center in members: Proff ) Poolman (Vice-Rector), Miami, Florida. PMS von Staden (Dean Faculty of Arts and Philosophy), C F Nöffke (Director), 17 CUBA'S INTERNATIONAL ADVENTURES Messrs R Meyer, N. P van Heerden, S by Eric Morris Mulholland, H H Schwarz, D B Sole, J F Clarke, Drs B G Fourie, H de Loor, LGC Mr Morris, an established author of more than a dozen books in Scheepers, Gen H de V du Toit, Proff I P the field of international politics and military history, is a strategist de Lange, O P F Horwood, G N Barrie, TE and consultant political analyst based in the United Kingdom. He is Beukes, W de Klerk, G L de Wet, P G W du Plessis, I C Kok, D J Kotzé, J M Sche- a graduate of the University of Wales and Leicester, where he pers, H J van Aswegen, DJ Geldenhuys, A specialised in defence studies. He lectured at the Universities of I van der Westhuizen and JJ Snyman. Sec- Liverpool and Wales before joining the faculty staff of the Royal retary: Mrs F Janse van Rensburg. Military Academy at Sandhurst. 20 CASTRO'S SELF-IMAGE AND HIS GEO-POLITICAL VISION OF AFRICA. by Alberto Coll Institute for American Studies Rand Afrikaans University PO Box 524 Dr Coll is Professor of Strategy and International Law at the US Johannesburg 2000 Naval War College at Newport, Rhode Island. Dr Coll was born and Telephone: (011) 489-2460 raised in Cuba. He has specialised in international politics, law and Telex: 424526 organisation; national security affairs; and Latin America and the Fax: (011) 489-2797, 726-8373 & 726-7723 Soviet Union. 27 SOUTHWESTERN AFRICA: MYTHS AND REALITIES by Carl Nöffke The views in AMERICAN REVIEW are those of the authors. They do not neces- Professor Nöffke heads the Institute for American Studies at the sarily reflect the views of the Institute for Rand Afrikaans University. He edited a daily newspaper and American Studies. headed the South African public information programme in the United States, before accepting his current position during 1984. Goure Cuba as an Instrument of Soviet International Policy Although it may seem that the "golden age of Fidel Castro's adventurism" may be over, at least for the time being, as the Soviet Union tries another policy line, the duration of this shift is quite uncertain. Those who believe the talks about an "his- toric opportunity" to settle all major political world problems forget the lessons of history as well as the inevitability of social, political, and economic change and the impact of what the Soviets call the "scientific-technological revolution." A mong the Communist states which make up of a traditional communist party to serve as the the so-called "socialist fraternity" headed by vanguard of the revolutionary struggle. the Soviet Union, Cuba has played and con- tinues to play a unique role as Moscow's most politi- Second, Cuba was the first communist state to be cally militant and militarily active proxy. From the established in an area not contiguous to, and geo- Soviet Union's perspective, this has made Cuba a graphically remote from, the Soviet Union. Fur- highly valued instrument of Soviet expansionist thèrmore, it was the first communist state to policies, especially in the Third World. This does not appear in the Western Hemisphere where Mos- mean, however, that there have not been times when COW had believed this to be impossible because of Fidel Castro's agenda and ambitions conflicted with anticipated resistance by the United States. Break- the interest and policy lines of the Soviet Union. ing this so-called "geographic fatalism," which had Indeed, Fidel Castro seeks to be Moscow's consci- been thought to characterise the Western Hemi- ence in the matter of the Soviet commitment to sup- sphere, was a major triumph not only for Fidel Cas- port of the revolutionary and "liberation" struggle in tro, but also for the Soviet Union and the interna- the Third World, that is, primarily in Africa and Latin tional communist movement. America. But while there have been temporary dis- agreements over policy between Havana and Mos- Third, unlike most other Soviet satellite states, cow, this has not led Fidel Castro to waver in his close revolutionary Cuba actively sought Moscow's alliance with the Soviet Union and his support of embrace and support as a prerequisite for ensur- Soviet interests throughout the world. Undoubtedly, ing the island's security and economic develop- Gorbachev's policies and restructuring of Soviet ment and for allowing Fidel Castro to play a larger priorities will place new strains on this alliance, but it role in the global promotion of revolution and "na- will survive. Cuba is firmly anchored in the Soviet tional liberation." camp even when Fidel Castro pouts and chides Mos- COW for being less than totally committed to "proleta- Fourth, unlike other communist countries, Fidel rian internationalism." Castro's contol of Cuba does not rest primarily with the communist party. The Cuban Communist Party (PCC) which Fidel Castro inaugurated in 1965 is largely his own creation and only one among several instruments of his control over the island. Cuba was the first communist state to be Indeed, one of his key power bases is the Cuban established in an area not contiguous to, Revolutionary Armed Forces (FAR), headed by his and geographically remote from, the brother, Raúl Castro. Soviet Union. Given Cuba's exposed position only 90 miles from the United States, Fidel Castro's anti-American. stance, and Cuba's impoverished economy, it is not surprising that Castro had to seek out the Soviet Union Cuba's peculiar characteristics as Cuba's patron and protector. Moscow in turn was delighted with the opportunity of having a friendly There are many factors which make Cuba so and dependent communist state in what it called the unique in the constellation of Soviet satellites: "backyard" of the United States. Consequently Fidel Castro has been able to extract an enormous amount First, it is a country where a self-proclaimed of economic and military assistance from the Soviet Marxist-Leninist regime came to power by means Union. Thus, Soviet economic aid and subsidies of armed struggle and did so without direct Soviet amounted to some $6,75 billion in the period 1961- assistance and guidance and without the existence 1975 and $26,5 billion in the period 1975-1983, the 2 American Review increase corresponding to Cuba's military involve- Cuba as a proxy of the Soviet Union ment in Angola and Ethiopia. At present, the Soviet Union gives Cuba annually some $4-$5 billion in The Soviet-Cuban axis undoubtedly makes for economic assistance and in addition, has provided what may be called an "odd couple." It is an active the island since 1961 with more than $7 billion-worth partnership between a giant and a "pygmy," as Castro of modern weapons and military equipment, mostly has referred to Cuba: it is also a partnership between free of charge. It should also be noted that Cuba's a highly structured, bureaucratised, professional, debt to the Soviet Union and other communist coun- coldly calculating leadership of Soviet "apparatchiks" tries exceeds $22 billion, with an additional $3,5 bil- and probably the one and only romantic communist lion owed the West in hard currency. Consequently, firebrand in power - Fidel Castro - who fantasises while unlike the Eastern European states, Cuba is too leading the revolutionary transformation of the Third far from the Soviet Union to be controlled by a possi- World. When Castro's ambition and Soviet interests ble threat of Soviet military intervention, as hap- coincide, as they did especially in the 1975 to 1985 pened in Czechoslovakia, Hungary, and Poland, period, Moscow is only too willing to let Cuba take Cuba is economically and militarily critically depen- the risks and lumps it so eagerly seeks. During such dent on the Soviet Union, thus providing Moscow periods, the Soviets are particularly lavish in their with a great deal of effective control. praise of their Cuban partner. For example, the recently dismissed Soviet Politburo member Solo- mentsev said in Havana in 1985 that: "Cuba's fraternal aid to Angola and Ethiopia, its The "internationalist" mission of Cuba is a unselfish aid to Arab peoples, and many other key element of its foreign policy. international actions have won Cuba apprecia- tion of all those fighting for freedom, indepen- dence, and social progress." What is so unique about Cuba, however, is Fidel Castro's desire to be more than the leader of a Carib- Cuban soldiers are sufficiently varied in bean Bulgaria. He wants to play a leading role in the colour and looks to make them appear Third World's "anti-imperialist national liberation more acceptable to Third World coun- struggle," to internationalise Cuba's revolutionary tries. experience and be a driving force behind the rise of radical-left and Marxist-Leninist regimes in Africa and Latin America. He wants to be an historic figure on the world stage. This, in turn, lends greater legiti- macy to his revolution in Cuba and enhances the But while Cuba receives praise for its military and Cuban people's pride in the island's stature in world technical assistance to various Third World countries affairs. Of course, by focusing on the United States'as and increases in Soviet economic aid, it is the Soviet Cuba's nemesis and as the leader of the "imperialist Union which, in the end, acquires such countries as camp," Castro is also able to maintain Cuba in a state its own clients and incorporates them in its sphere of of permanent war mobilisation and to justify domes- influence. From Moscow's perspective, there are tic economic failures by blaming the United States. many advantages in letting Cuban troops, advisers, and civilian instructors serve as proxies of the Soviet Union: The "internationalist" mission of Cuba is a key ele- First, there is a happy coincidence between what ment of its foreign policy. Thus, the Cuban Com- both countries have most readily available for munist Party's platform on the "Principles and Objec- export, i.e. military and civilian manpower in the tives of Foreign Policy," which was adopted at the case of Cuba and weapons and military equipment third PCC Congress on February 7, 1986, states that in the case of the Soviet Union. Consequently, the "Our Party and people will continue to fulfill honor- Cubans can do the fighting and the Soviet Union ably their international duties, exercising solidarity provides their logistic support. with the peoples who are struggling for their inde- pendence and national liberation." As to Fidel Cas- Second, the use of Cuban troops and other per- tro, he has proclaimed that "there is no greater hon- sonnel in other countries is far less provocative our for the record of a citizen of this country than to than a similar use of Soviet personnel. A "progres- have completed an internationalist mission, either sive" regime can be saved or supported in power civilian or military." Indeed, Fidel Castro has been by Cuban troops and still keep the conflict volunteering his citizens as combat soldiers, military localised or regionalised, whereas the use of advisers, as well as doctors, teachers, and technicians Soviet troops would internationalise the conflict to more than 30 countries, 25 of them in Africa, which and increase the likelihood of a dangerous con- is an astonishing accomplishment for a poor, rela- frontation with the United States or, at the very tively small island with a population only approach- least, cause a major international crisis. ing 10 million. Consider that in the case of Angola alone, since 1975, over 200 Cubans have served in Third, given that Cuba is a small Third World coun- that country at least one 2-year tour of duty and many try and disclaims any ambition to impose its own have done so more than once. controls on the recipient of its assistance, the pre- American Review 3 sence of Cuban troops is less frightening to the men on active duty and over 135 000 trained reser- host country and its neighbours. Cuba does not vists, many of whom have seen service in Angola and carry the historic stigma of Western - including elsewhere abroad, as well as some 1,5 million serving Soviet "colonialism." in the Territorial Militia Troops (MTT), 10 in civil defence, and so on. A 1982 book, entitled Courage Fourth, Cuban soldiers are sufficiently varied in and Brotherhood, prepared jointly by the Institute of colour and looks to make them appear more Military History of the USSR Ministry of Defence and acceptable to Third World countries. the Centre for Military History of the Cuban Armed Forces solemnly states that: Fifth, the Cuban Armed Forces are equipped entirely with Soviet weapons and material, thus "The history of the formation of a new type of reducing the need for Soviet instructors to teach army in Cuba is the history of the birth and their use to recipients of Soviet military assistance. development of brotherly Soviet-Cuban friend- ship, the history of their combat collaboration; Finally, the dependence of the Cuban expedition- it is one of the most brilliant pages in the practi- ary forces on Soviet logistic support gives Moscow cal implementation of proletarian international- effective control over them and, therefore, also ism." over Cuban decisions to send such forces. Furthermore, it is said that the strengthening of FAR makes "an important contribution to the strengthening of the countries of the socialist frater- nity. Naturally, Fidel Castro like the leaders of Of special significance are the close ties other Soviet-satellite states - has repeatedly pro- between Cuba's Revolutionary Forces, or claimed Cuba's readiness to fight in defence of the Soviet Union. a major part at least of the Cuban officer corps, and the Soviet Armed Forces. Of special significance are the close ties between the FAR (or a major part, at least, of the Cuban officer corps) and the Soviet Armed Forces. Thousands of Cuban officers and technicians have attended Soviet There are, of course, other advantages as well to military schools, including the Frunze Academy and the Soviet Union's effective control over Cuba. The the Voroshilov General Staff Academy; many more island is an outpost and springboard for Soviet influ- thousands have been instructed and trained by the ence and presence in Central and South America and 2 500 to 3 000 Soviet military instructors and advisers because of Cuba's role, in the non-aligned move- in Cuba. The chief of the Soviet military advisers is ment, Cuba acts as a political proxy for Moscow in usually a Colonel General who serves as adviser to that movement. Cuba provides an important base for the Cuban Ministry of Defence and General Staff and Soviet intelligence operations, with some 2 100 tech- personally to Raúl Castro, the Minister of Defence. nicians and intelligence analysts operating an elabo- Raúl Castro is considered to be strongly pro-Soviet rate electronic listening and monitoring facility on and is held in high regard by the Soviet Union. Cuban soil, defended by a Soviet mechanised infan- try brigade of some 800 men. This, by the way, is the In the instruction and training of Cuban soldiers, furthest deployment of a Soviet combat unit from the great emphasis is placed on Cuba's close ties with the Soviet Union. Airfields on the island allow the Soviets Soviet Union. Indeed, it is said that "great attention is to make round-trip flights from the Soviet Union with paid to the education of Cuban soldiers in the spirit of BEAR-D naval reconnaissance aircraft and BEAR-F proletarian internationalism, and combat fraternity anti-submarine patrol aircraft and thereby cover the with the Armed Forces of the Soviet Union and of entire length of the east coast of the United States. other fraternal socialist countries." Raúl Castro, who Soviet warships are periodically deployed to Cuba is a great admirer of the Soviet Armed Forces, claims and conduct joint exercises with the Cuban navy and that FAR has been learning "the art of winning from monitor maritime traffic in the Caribbean, Panama their brothers-in-arms," the Soviet Armed Forces. If Canal and Gulf of Mexico regions. In addition, the this is so, FAR has not learned this art very well, given KGB. essentially controls Cuba's Intelligence Service its past combat performance. 'But then again, the (DGI) which provides valuable, worldwide support to Soviet Armed Forces also appear to have forgotten Soviet intelligence and subversive operations. their "art of winning" in Afghanistán, which is the only instance of combat employment of significant Soviet-Cuban military relations Soviet military forces since World War II. There is another area relevant to Cuba's use of Thus the close ties between the Cuban and Soviet military forces as proxies for Soviet expansionist Armed Forces are another factor making Cuba a will- policies and that is Soviet influence on Cuba's ing instrument of Soviet foreign policy interests. The Revolutionary Forces (FAR). FAR is a Soviet creation Cuban Armed Forces should not be expected to which transformed a victorious, ragtag guerrilla army oppose Fidel Castro's international ambitions or to of a few thousand men into one of the most powerful resist demands to make sacrifices in the interest of modern armed forces in Central and Latin America. It Soviet expansion. Of course, for all his flamboyance has allowed Fidel Castro to militarise Cuba's society and daring, Fidel Castro has been trying to achieve to the highest degree anywhere in the world. At pre- his objectives with relatively low risks to his troops. sent, the Cuban Armed Forces have some 162 000 Thus, the offical Cuban line concerning the role of 4 American Review Cuban forces in Ethiopia and Angola has been that of Angola," now even Angola's security and the inde- Cuban troops are not there to help the communist pendence of Namibia did not suffice. According to governments of these countries fight native rebel- Castro, "Namibia's independence is important and lions, but to protect them against "foreign aggres- just. But today, the end of apartheid is more impor- sion." Nevertheless, Cuban casualties have kept tant, just and decisive because everything depends mounting; furthermore, after the repeated failures of on it - the future, security, and independence of native communist armed forces to crush rebellions in Southern Africa." Castro had insisted that Cuban their countries, pressure has mounted for Cuban forces will remain in Angola only as long as the MPLA forces to take an increasingly active combat role. The government wishes them to stay. At the same time, problem for Fidel Castro is that while initial Cuban however, he stated that: military successes, as in the case of Angola in 1975, rebound to his stature and Cuba's national pride, as long as apartheid exists, Namibia's inde- major military defeats could have a profound, pendence, if it is achieved, would only be a fic- adverse effect on Fidel Castro's own prestige and on titious independence; that brother country Cuban domestic support for foreign adventures. would have no safety. As long as apartheid exists, there will be no safety for any southern African country, neither for Lesotho, Botswana, Mozambique, Zambia, nor Tanzania, because apartheid's arm is a long one It is capable of As Havana and Moscow see it, the stakes conspiring against any black African country in Angola are especially high; indeed, far There will be no security for any black African country as long as apartheid exists." higher than in Ethiopia. Consequently, Fidel Castro has claimed that "our people's and Party's wish is that Cuban inter- nationalist troops remain in Angola as long as apart- Cuba and Angola heid exists." Both Fidel and Raúl Castro have declared that, if necessary, Cuban forces were pre- Despatching a Cuban Expeditionary Force to pared to remain in Angola for another 10, 15 or even Angola in 1975 was not the first Cuban venture in 30 years. Such statements were obviously intended to sending troops to assist leftist regimes in the Third serve psychological warfare purposes and to signal World. For example, in 1963, Fidel Castro sent 2 000 Cuba's rejection of a solution of the Namibian prob- soldiers to Algeria to help the Ben Bella regime repel lem which would require as a quid pro quo the prior a Moroccan invasion. Even so, and despite the fact withdrawal of Cuban forces from Angola. This was that Cuba has sent thousands of military advisers, also a position endorsed by Moscow. technicians, and pilots to various African, Middle Eastern, and Latin American countries, Cuban The problem for Cuba was that after more than ten involvement in Angola represents the high point of years of involvement in Angola, no "victory" had Cuba's exercise in "proletarian internationalism" and been achieved. Yet Fidel Castro needed such a "vic- of its attempt to play a large role in global affairs. It tory" to justify Cuban losses in Angola and to has also brought about a period of very close col- enhance Cuba's influence in Africa. His instinct had laboration between Havana and Moscow. been to look to a long-term military solution not only to the UNITA problem but to the Namibian-South As Havana, and Moscow as well, see it, the stakes in African problem. This, however, could expose the Angola are especially high; indeed, far higher than in Cuban forces to greater risks, especially if the Soviet Ethiopia. In the latter case, Cuba sent troops to assist Union preferred to avoid damaging its own improving a client of the Soviet Union to help defeat an invasion relations with Western Europe and the United States. by a Third World and former Soviet client-state - Nevertheless, Castro signalled his resolve again in Somalia. The Cuban forces fought under the direct 1987 when, after the failure of the offensive against command of a Soviet General and his staff. Following UNITA, Cuba significantly increased the size of its the defeat of Somalia, Cuban forces in Ethiopia have forces in Angola and moved large units to the south- been reduced from some 12 000 to approximately ern part of the country. 3 000 to 5 000 and they do not actively participate in Ethiopia's war against the Eritrean rebels. In the case Although the continuing presence of Cuban troops of Angola, however, Fidel Castro saw four intercon- in Angola contributes to Cuban domestic problems, so nected objectives: 1) to help ensure the survival of would the return of the Cuban Expeditionary Forces. the MPLA regime; 2) to strike a blow at the United When implementing his "internationalist" policy, States and South Africa by helping to defeat their Fidel Castro had offered incentives to Cubans who client, UNITA; 3) to help create a situation which performed what he called their "internationalist would lead the Republic of South Africa to give up duty." First, Cuban conscripts in Angola and Ethiopia control of Namibia; and 4) to lend support to the served only two years in the armed forces as against struggle against apartheid in South Africa and three years for those who remained on the island. thereby to its revolutionary transformation. Con- Second, veterans of service abroad were promised sequently, Castro had insisted that all four objec- housing, a university education, preference in better tives must be gained before the Cuban forces are employment, and a more rapid acceptance into the withdrawn from Angola. For example, in a speech in Party. In fact, however, many of those sent to Angola Luanda in September 1986, Castro said that while have been reservists, and they have shown an Cuban forces initially came to "reinforce the defence increasing disinclination to serve additional service American Review 5 tours abroad. Meanwhile, given that there are over cutting principle must be introduced in policy 200 veterans of such service, the Cuban Govern- also." ment has had to renege on its promises to give them special benefits because of the burden this would More specifically, Shevardnadze argued that: place on the Cuban economy. Yet the export of sol- diers and civilians has also become a necessity for "The main thing is that the country not incur additional expenses in connection with the Cuba, given the surplus of officers and of doctors, need to maintain its defences and protect its teachers, and so on and as a form of repayment for legitimate foreign policy interest. This means Soviet economic help. The economics of Cuba's we must seek ways to limit and reduce military involvement in Angola were also helped by requiring rivalry, eliminate confrontational features in the Angolan Government to pay in hard currency for relations with other states, and suppress con- each Cuban serving there. The return of the Cuban flict and crisis situations." Expeditionary Forces may, therefore, add to Cuba's domestic problems and increase dissatisfaction Other Soviet elaborations of the meaning of "new among veterans, especially in the officer corps. thinking" in Soviet foreign policy push three lines: 1) the danger of nuclear war between the superpowers must be averted, and their military competition must A new stage in Soviet-Cuban relations? be controlled, presumably so as not to burden the Soviet economy which is poorly placed to engage in Soviet foreign policy appears to have entered a uncontrolled competition with the United States in new stage since Gorbachev became General Secre- advanced military technology systems; 2) in order to tary of the CPSU in 1985. This new stage is the result enhance the Soviet Union's security and to gain of the Soviet leadership's emphasis on domestic access to foreign technology and credits, it is neces- affairs, which includes extensive reforms in the sary to reassure the Free World about Soviet inten- Soviet economic and political systems of manage- tions; 3) and a re-examination of Soviet foreign policy ment. Gorbachev's so-called perestroika and shows that the Soviet Union can achieve less risky economic "acceleration" policies face formidable and better foreign gains by political means than by difficulties and, consequently, are absorbing the the use of force or in various instances the support of main attention and energies of the Soviet leadership. the use of force by its proxies. While the policy of glasnost or "openness" is beginning to threaten the communist party's tradi- tional controls at home, perestroika has yet to bring Fidel Castro has found a good deal to be any improvement to the Soviet economy that is not just stagnant but actually becoming worse, especially unhappy about with Gorbachev's new in the areas of inflation, food supply, consumer goods policy lines. and housing for the Soviet population. According to US estimates, the Soviet economy in 1987 grew by less than one per cent and is expected to grow only by 1,5 per Indeed, some of the fundamental tenets of Marx- cent in 1988. Obviously, given the apathy of the Soviet ism-Leninism are being officially dropped so as to population and the resistance of the governmental, lend greater credibility to the new Soviet foreign pol- economic and party bureaucracies which need to be icy. For example, Shevardnadze told correspondents overcome if perestroika is to have some chance of suc- of the French newspaper Le Figaro in January 1989 cess, the Soviet leadership would like to reduce the that: drain on the economy due to the need to support a number of impoverished client-states. Furthermore, The class struggle is an internal problem for the new Soviet leadership is not anxious, at this time, to each people and each state. When ideological factors interfere in international relations and acquire new impoverished clients. Indeed, accord- sometimes gain the upper hand, mankind's ing to Gorbachev, what the Soviet Union needs is a common ideals are relegated to second place. period of peace and stability, with increased Soviet However, our new political thinking proclaims access to Western technologies and credits. Hence, freedom of choice. Each people chooses the the Soviet line of new thinking" in international rela- system which suits it best, the system which cor- tions which seeks an abatement in conflict and con- responds to its development and maturity. frontation and increased East-West cooperation; hence also Moscow's avowed willingness to discuss In addition to proclaiming that "class struggle" no and seek the settlement of regional conflicts in longer applies to Soviet relations with the Free Afghanistan, Cambodia and southern Africa. In a World, Soviet political and economic analysts have speech in Moscow on June 27, 1987, the USSR Minis- been publicly questioning the validity of the thesis ter of Foreign Affairs, Eduard Shevardnadze, proclaimed by Khrushchev, and which has guided explained that the Soviet Union now must be guided Soviet foreign policy in the 1960s and 1970s, to the by cost-benefit considerations in its foreign policy. effect that with the help of communist states Third According to him: World countries could skip the capitalist stage of development, and, instead, progress directly from "We must increase the profitability of our underdevelopment to true socialism. In effect these foreign policy and try to reach a situation where Soviet analysts suggest that Soviet expansionism in interrelations among states encumber our eco- the Third World has been strategically a wrong pol- nomy as little as possible and create a stable icy, that it has failed to achieve its objectives, and that psychological atmosphere in which the Soviet it has caused the Soviet Union to waste a great deal of people can work peacefully And a cost- resources which were needed at home. 6 American Review While it is certainly premature to accept Soviet "It is essential either to convince the neo- "new thinking" at face value, it is undeniable that colonialists that it is necessary to change or Gorbachev has been and continues to be engaged in defeat their policy through struggle; this, and a very forceful and on the whole, largely successful none other, is the problem as we in the Third campaign to persuade the Free World that Soviet World view situations that arise here. The forces policies have indeed changed. Gorbachev's visit to we represent are part of this universal torrent." New York in December 1988 and his announcement there of large unilateral reductions in the Soviet While Castro endorsed the Soviet Union's arms armed forces was a dramatic example of this. Of control policy, he wanted the monies saved to be course, the current Soviet foreign policy offensive used for the economic development. of the Third may be all the more dynamic because Gorbachev may World rather than that of the Soviet Union. Con- see a need to preempt any Western exploitation of sequently, he warned that "to think of peace without the Soviet Union's domestic weaknesses. Further- development would lack realism" and that unless more, while calling for peaceful relations and greater inequalities were eliminated, "our planet will not be economic cooperation the Soviet Union appears to free of violent social explosion." be trying to break up US-supported alliances and iso- late the United States. Although Fidel Castro had somewhat reluctantly endorsed the Soviet Union's invasion of Afghanistan, All this, however, signals that, at least for the pre- he was obviously dismayed at the Soviet agreement sent, that the role and utility of Cuba in Soviet foreign to withdraw its forces from that country and seem- policy are on the decline. Instead of being a valuable ingly allow the emergence of a government of "na- Soviet proxy, Fidel Castro's Cuba appears to be tional reconciliation" which might not be Marxist- increasingly perceived by Moscow as more of an irri- Leninist in character. He has been equally unhappy tant and an unwelcome drain on Soviet resources. with Soviet-supported Vietnamese plans to withdraw Fidel Castro's foreign ambitions and erratic Vietnamese forces from Kampuchea and leave the economic management at home are out of line with formation of a government of "national reconcilia- Gorbachev's policy objectives and priorities. tion" to negotiations among the communist and non- communist Cambodian factions. Furthermore, he For his part, Fidel Castro has found a good deal to has rejected the application of Gorbachev's reform be unhappy about with Gorbachev's new policy policies to Cuba. As he insisted in July 1988, "the out- lines. Thus, at the 27th CPSU Congress in February- standing characteristic of this (i.e., Cuban) revolution March 1986, Gorbachev made no mention of the trad- is that it has not copied, it has created." Defending itional Soviet pledge to support "wars of national lib- this position, Raúl Castro has argued that Gorbachev eration." This was the first time such a Soviet pledge had agreed that there were various paths to by a General Secretary was omitted in more than 30 socialism. "Unity does not imply similarity and years. This omission has persisted ever since in Gor- uniformity," he said. bachev's pronouncements. Naturally, at the Con- gress, Fidel Castro attempted to lobby for greater Rather than adopt a form of Gorbachev's reform Soviet support for the Third World. In his speech to programme, Fidel Castro launched in 1986 a "rectifica- the Congress, he reminded it that the "national liber- tion" programme of the Cuban economic system. The ation" struggle in "Vietnam, Nicaragua, El Salvador, programme has been a failure. Indeed, in 1987 there Angola, Namibia, South Africa, Western Sahara, was a 3,5 per cent decline in Cuba's total output of Palestine, Afghanistan, and Kampuchea" demanded goods. Even worse, according to the Cuban National support and sacrifice. He pleaded that "the fruit of the Bank, the Soviet Union reduced its overall trade with blood and lives of many of our people's best sons" Cuba in the first quarter of 1988 by 12 per cent, includ- not be reduced to "so-called low-level conflicts." ing a drop in Cuba's imports from the Soviet's by 8 per cent. This has undoubtedly contributed to Fidel Cas- tro's testiness toward Gorbachev's policies. On the eve But Moscow has been cutting back on its overt role of Gorbachev's scheduled visit to Havana on Decem- in support of these "national liberation" struggles. To ber 9, 1988, which was then postponed because of the Cuba's great disappointment, the Soviet Union did Armenian earthquake, Fidel Castro told a press con- nothing in response to US military intervention in ference that his talks with Gorbachev would focus Grenada, which had been Cuba's client, nor respond primarily on international relations. At a meeting of to the US air strikes on Libya. Instead, the Gorbachev top Cuban party officials in November 1988, however, global political and diplomatic offensive has Fidel Castro is reported to have railed against Gor- excluded Castro's radicalism. bachev's domestic and foreign policies and to have said that Cuba was the last bastion of true Marxism. In Fidel Castro tried again in Moscow in November a speech on December 5 1988, he advised Third World 1987 on the occasion of the 70th anniversary celebra- countries to be wary of the detente in US-Soviet rela- tion of the Bolshevik Revolution. In order to express tions. There were many indications that during Gor- his displeasure with Gorbachev's policies, he arrived bachev's planned visit to Havana, Fidel Castro late to the celebration and in his speech on Novem- ber 5, 1987, did not follow the usual protocol for intended to make him well aware of his unhappiness with Soviet policies. other communist leaders of uncritical praise for the Soviet Union and its leadership. Instead, he com- plained that the Third World "is not yet the battle of Yet despite Fidel Castro's pouting and show of irri- tation, the Cuban leadership has gone out of its way socialism," and, as a self-proclaimed spokesman for to repeatedly deny the existence of any break in the Third World, went on to say that: Cuban-Soviet relations. As Raúl Castro put it, "there American Review 7 is not even the slightest breach in the communist Obviously, what was viewed as a shift in Soviet pol- principles between Cuba and the Soviet Union, and icy required clarification. According to the official there never will be." Indeed, Moscow has shown Soviet news agency TASS (October 12, 1988): much patience with Fidel Castro and Gorbachev has "Strange as it may seem, perestroika has somewhat exercised a good deal of his charm on him. For exam- changed our (i.e., the Soviet Union's) attitudes ple, in November 1987, while Fidel Castro came toward the South African realities." To the questions home from Moscow empty-handed as far as a greater as to how the new policy "tallies with the struggle Soviet committment to support the "national libera- against apartheid and racism" and "peoples' right to tion struggle" was concerned, Castro reported that a liberation war," TASS replied that realistically, as Gorbachev had "treated me with deference, interest, long as apartheid existed, there could be no com- and friendliness that might be described as excep- prehensive, settlement in southern Africa. However, tional." In his turn, Fidel Castro praised Gorbachev's "untangling the Angolan-Namibian knot will un- December 7, 1988 speech at the United Nations for doubtedly create more favourable conditions for the his leadership in the pursuit of world-wide peace and struggle against apartheid." Consequently, by sup- justice and for his proposals for relieving Third World porting a political settlement in that region, "the countries of their debt burdens. Yet he also warned Soviet Union does not 'turn away' from the develop- of the persistant US threat to Nicaragua and Cuba and ing countries, as some claim." reminded the Soviet Union of Cuba's need to chan- nel a major part of its economic resources into defence, which it now needs to strengthen even further. Gorbachev delayed visiting Cuba until April 1989. As It is true that the Angolan Agreement con- a substitute, he sent Politburo member V I Vorotnikov tains a major loophole which may allow there in early January 1989 to discuss, among other Cuban forces to fail to implement the pro- topics, Soviet assistance to Cuba's economic develop- visions for their withdrawal. ment. This was followed by a visit to Havana in February by the commander-in-chief of the Soviet Navy and deputy USSR Minister of Defence Admiral of the Fleet V N Chernavin. Of course, neither visit made up for Gorbachev's failure to come to Cuba in December The agreements signed by South Africa, Angola 1988. Indeed, given that Vorotnikov had suffered a and Cuba on December 22, 1988, provided for a demotion in September 1988 and was widely believed phased withdrawal of all Cuban troops from Angola to be slated for retirement from the Politburo in the over a period of 27 months, along with a phased rede- near future, his selection to visit Cuba could be per- ployment of these forces to northern Angola by ceived as a deliberate Soviet slap at Castro during a October 31, 1989. At the same time, South Africa crucial stage. would begin the withdrawal of its armed forces from Namibia on April 1, 1989 which would gain its inde- Gorbachev, Castro, and Southern Africa pendence after a UN-supervised election. The Soviet Union has expressed itself to be well satisfied with It seems quite obvious that the quadripartite the agreement; which it helped to achieve. Soviet negotiations on Namibia have not been much to Fidel Deputy Foreign Minister, Adamishin asserted on Castro's liking, even while the Soviet Union and the December 16, 1988 that "we backed the stand of our Angolan Government favour it. One of the things Angolan and Cuban friends, including their desire to Havana worried about was the Soviet-American talks see the United States acting as a go-between in the aimed at working out a deal without Cuba's participa- talks, without feeling envy on this account." Again tion. Surely the statements of Deputy USSR Foreign speaking at the UN on December 22, 1988, he Minister Anatoly L, Adamishin, who led the Soviet declared that "I am instructed to say that the Soviet delegation, did not bring happy news to Castro's Union hails the productive and successful culmina- ears. In an interview on Radio Moscow on August 20, tion of the arduous and difficult negotiations." As to 1988, Adamshin said: Gorbachev, he sent congratulatory messages to Angola's Eduardo dos Santos, Fidel Castro and Sam "The conflict in southern Africa is one of the Nujoma of SWAPO in which he praised them for their most deeply rooted ones, and it was thought long and successful struggle. He noted that in the that a solution could be achieved only with great new "international climate" being presumably fos- difficulty. However, it seems that the general tered by the Soviet Union, it has become possible to atmosphere in the world has changed to a great solve politically the most complex issues "on the extent. Our interaction with the United States in basis of a balance of interest." In his message to Cas- favour of settling conflicts is working in the tro, Gorbachev called the agreements a "first but very same direction important step toward peace and security in the southern African region." He also apparently tried to One November is the date when Resolution salve Castro's unhappiness by asserting that the 435 on granting independence to Namibia agreements "became possible due to Cuba's years- should begin to be implemented. The military long and heroic assistance in Angola's struggle for disengagement of the sides is taking place. A independence and freedom." mutually acceptable timetable should be pre- sented for the total withdrawal of Cuban inter- Fidel Castro also tried to put the best face on the nationalists from Angola." agreements by attributing their successful negotia- 8 American Review tion to Cuba's military successes in Angola. Thus, the fate of the present Soviet reform programmes, and, speaking at a public rally on January 2, 1989, he indeed, Gorbachev's own. Fidel Castro may hope, claimed that the "victory of Cuban internationalist therefore, to outwait Gorbachev's new policy lines. troops in Cuito Cuanavale directly contributed to No doubt, Gorbachev's foreign political, diplomatic the reading of the agreements." The agreements also and propaganda offensive has been remarkably suc- allow Fidel Castro to pose as a "victor" because the cessful, far more so than his domestic reforms. But Cuban troop withdrawal will take 27 months and, the widespread belief that the world is about to enter therefore, Cuban forces will remain in Angola after a new era of peace and stability is most likely prema- the withdrawal of South African troops from ture. The Soviet Union can be just as dangerous when Namibia. This will permit Castro to make the Cuban it is weakened by domestic problems as it has been withdrawal appear contingent on the effective when it appeared to be strong. More to the point, implementation by South Africa of the other provi- political, economic and local instabilities, especially sions of the agreement. It will also allow the Cuban in the Third World, will persist and can easily draw forces to continue to protect the dos Santos regime the Soviet Union and other states into their vortex. In against UNITA. this respect, Fidel Castro may be a greater realist, if he doubts the feasibility of long-term US-Soviet cooper- It is true that the Angolan Agreement contains a ation and amiable relations. Furthermore, reversals major loophole which may allow Cuban forces to fail in Gorbachev's domestic policies, a return to greater to implement the provisions for their withdrawal. repression and an active programme of further mod- Article II of the agreement gives Cuba and Angola the ernisation of the Soviet military forces may greatly right to "modify or alter" the redeployment and with- alter for the worst the new international atmosphere drawal schedule of Cuban troops in the event of a and again intensify worldwide competition between "blatant breach of the Tripartite Agreement occurs." the Soviet Union and the United States. What may constitute such a "breach" is open to their interpretation. The Angolan Government has already Even though it appears that Moscow wishes to begun to complain about alleged South African mili- reduce the burden and risks of its support of various tary incursions into Angola. But the real issue appears Third World client states and revolutionary move- to be the question of future foreign support of ments and is prompting the concept of peaceful solu- UNITA. The Angolan Government insists that South tions to various regional conflicts, the Soviet Union is Africa must cease all such support. However, Presi- not abandoning its friends nor giving up its desire to dent Bush has announced that the United States will play a large political role in the Third World. Although continue to aid UNITA until the MPLA agrees to a gov- Moscow is promoting a new detente policy and a ernment of "national reconciliation" which would political settlement in southern Africa, Soviet include UNITA. A continuation of the civil war in spokesmen claim that one of the cornerstones of Angola would engender uncertainty about the ulti- Moscow's new policy in Africa remains "solidarity mate implementation of the total withdrawal of with and support for the peoples in their struggle for Cuban troops from that country. At the present time, national liberation and, consequently, against however, Gorbachev's apparent willingness to sup- racism." The Soviet Union hopes to maintain strong port the concept of governments of national recon- ties with Angola and proclaims its willingness to assist ciliation for Afghanistan and Cambodia, suggests that a SWAPO regime in Namibia, although with reduced he is likely to prefer a political solution to the MPLA- means. It has promised to continue aid to Mozam- UNITA problem to the costs and uncertain outcome bique including military assistance. In other words, of a continuing military struggle. Even so, the threat Moscow's influence in Africa is not on the wane and to "modify or alter" the agreement by Cuba and it expects to be able to continue to play a significant Angola could be used to pressure the United States to role in the region. In the longer term, Soviet policies abandon its support of UNITA. and actions will depend on the Soviet Union's capabilities and on opportunities to achieve gains at It may appear at this time that the "golden age" of acceptable costs and risks. Gorbachev's present Fidel Castro's foreign adventurism and of his close foreign policy strategy make it desirable for Moscow collaboration with Moscow in promoting Soviet to restrain Castro's ambitions and adventurism. But expansionism in the Third World is over. Castro may this could change. It would be premature, therefore, openly criticise Gorbachev's new foreign policy to relax our vigilance. Behind Gorbachev's smiles, strategy and priorities, but Cuba remains not only geniality and professions of peaceful intention, he firmly committed to an alliance with the Soviet has, as the recently retired old member of the Polit- Union, but is more than ever dependent on it for buro observed, "iron teeth." We may therefore, not economic and military assistance. Of course, future have seen the last of Cuban troops serving as proxies trends in Soviet policies remain uncertain as is also for Moscow's foreign amibitions. American Review 9 Castro's Vladimar Ramirez Cuba: Socio-Economic Conditions As a Cuban, as a revolutionary, as a Socialist / think it is important for you to know the sources, the origin, the theoretical or informational basis which underlie my lecture's conclusions and ideas. In short, what intellectual authority / have in order to talk to you as to the Cuban process and Fidel Castro's international pol- icy.' D ealing with Cuba, with the Cuban issue, al- veys and Professor Moreno's psychodrama were my ways presents a serious communication prob- research tools. lem. Cuban realities - the circumstances in which the Revolution has developed - are so specific In a Western European country my life would have and singular that when they are presented in a short been like that of so many Western researchers, pro- synthesis one always runs the risk of deforming them fessors and scientists. But in Cuba, morning found out of simplification or erroneous extrapolations. people murdered on the streets, tortured by police, and children died of parasitical infections out of lack Yet this aspiration to objectivity and clarity is com- of medical care. My vocation was science, but my mon to all intellectuals. And it is also a problem for all sense of humanity made me a militant in the July 26th sociologists to wish to set aside the mist of human Movement. passions that masks and falsifies the real dynamics of a revolution. As a Cuban, as a revolutionary, as a Socialist, it is important for the reader to know the sources, the origin, the theoretical or informational basis which underlie my conclusions and ideas. In As a researcher / had all the means, all the short, what kind of intellectual authority I have in order to examine the Cuban process and Fidel Cas- resources, I was part of the power struc- tro's international policy. That is why I feel bound to ture, / was on the side of the winners. But inform you about the beginnings of, and direction the leadership changed course the taken, by my research. shadows of Russian Stalinism began to When in 1957 1 met Professor Erick Fromm in per- darken the tropical clarity of the Cuban son in Mexico, I was preparing my doctoral thesis. I Revolution. had become interested in the research on a group of homicidal children, twelve in total, who had been locked up in the Torrens National Prison for Minors, an infernal place where they were supposed to be re- educated. When I was explaining to Dr Fromm the As a researcher I would think, auscultate and mea- research technique I was using, he asked me why I sure the realities around me. As a soldier of the had become interested on that topic. I answered that Revolution I struggled to remove the obstacles that in my country children had never been involved in prevented the development of my society. The date crimes of violence and much less in murders, and the of January 1, 1959 found me immersed in that dou- fact that in the previous eighteen months twelve ble role of clandestine fighter and man of science. In homicides committed by minors under 14 years of discharging that double task I went on to direct the age had taken place and caused considerable alarm. Military Psychology Department of the Chiefs of Staff I have never forgotten Dr Fromm's answer: of the Bjército Rebelde (Rebel Army), the Staff Selection Department of the new and upcoming Yes, the children's diagnosis is important, but Cuban Security Police, and the Havana Behavioral the diagnosis of the society that caused them to Clinic. kill is even more important still. As a researcher I had all the means, all the I have never forgotten that answer because it gave resources, I was part of the power structure, I was on a direction to my scientific activity and marked my life the side of the winners. But the leadership changed forever. Up to that moment, as a clinical course. The persecuted of yore became the perse- psychologist, my formation had been fundamentally cutors, the Communists from the "Old Guard" psychoanalytical; it was in that year I had started my imposed their archaic Stalinistic dogmas on the direc- "training analysis." But upon my return to Cuba I tion culture should take, the Soviet consultants started to carry out field research. The works of Mar- started to arrive, and the shadows of Russian garet Mead, Kardiner and especially Fromm made up Stalinism began to darken the tropical clarity of the my theoretical basis. Psychometric techniques, sur- Cuban Revolution. 10 American Review No honest scientist can accept the return to the had penetrated their homes and was destroying Middle Ages, the imprisonment of thinking by the them. bounds of police dogma, the conditioning of truth to official propaganda, the use of education and culture As of that moment I started to seekt out contacts as instruments of disinforming manipulation. with former combatants in Angola, who because of different reasons had been demobilised. As was to be No clearheaded revolutionary, with a modicum of expected, this was no longer seen with indifference political formation, can become an accomplice to by State Security. The pressures and harassment initiate in his country a sociopolitical model which started, and in January 1978 I was arrested again and has proved to be failure time and time again wherever sent to prison. it has been tried. The formula of building democracy by means of repression, and of achieving economic For seven years I remained at the Combinado del development through nationalisation and violence, Este Prison in East Havana. For seven years I per- is not only deeply counter-revolutionary but totally formed interviews, tests, psychodramas, and opinion irrational. surveys in a penal population of ten thousand inmates. I encountered South Africa again, encoun- These realities led again to confrontation, again to tered Savimbi's guerrillas, in short, encountered the war, again to prison. Towards the end of the year 1960 Angolan War through the Cuban soldiers and officers I was detained and sent to the Isle of Pines Prison. For who had been demobilised and who, due to the dis- eleven years I was an inmate in several prisons in the country. For eleven years I directed the psychiatric orders caused by the war in them, had gone to aliena- tion first and on to crime later. assistance teams of those prisons, and together with a group of physician and psychiatrist inmates, I car- ried out sociopolitical research among the thousands These socially and humanly destroyed men taught of men from all social strata, from all regions of the me more about the African adventure by Fidel Castro country, from all creeds, and from the ideologies and than all the "intelligence reports" by the Cuban DGI militancies which went through those prisons. When or by the CIA. in 1972 I was transferred to open prisons and came in direct contact with the population, I had the When I finished my sentence in 1985 and was methodological tools ready and a long experience in released, I continued my sociopolitical research and field work, in sociopolitical surveys and evaluations my surveys among Cuban ex-combatants. Taking of levels of social moral awareness. more precautions, knowing that I was touching on very sensitive areas, but with the advantage of a Until the year 1978, when was arrested again, I was weakened State Security, cut off from its base of able to combine my professional practice as a clinical popular support, and with some former comrades, psychologist with these investigations, to which for a who - now totally disappointed with Castroism - long time the Cuban State Security did not attach any looked this time with sympathy on one whom they importance or danger. To them they were the obses- had once considered a traitor. sions of a madman who spent all his time doing pro- jection tests, giving questionnaires which never men- In September 1987 I left Cuba for the United States. tioned politics or asked about military bases or statis- In February of this year, with the help of the same tics about sugar cane harvest figures. doctors who co-operated with me in the research car- ried out in the 60s, while prisoners in Cuba, ] founded in Miami the Center for Latin American Studies. With a small station monitoring Cuban radio and television broadcasts, the analysis of the Cuban These socially and humanly destroyed press, and the surveys and interviews of those return- ing or arriving daily from Cuba we keep up the men taught me more about the African analysis of the Cuban situation with techniques and adventure by Fidel Castro than all the "in- criteria that have shown their efficacy during the last telligence reports" by the Cuban DGI or twenty years. by the CIA. It is about this experience and based on this infor- mation that I base this report. The names and masks with which the Cuban leadership has labelled itself, taken out of outdated In 1976 1 started to work as supervisor in the conceptual arsenals, are only disguises imposed by Psychodiagnostic Centre of the Ministry of Public that power group's ignorance, lack of creativity and Health in Havana. There I had my first encounter with circumstantial needs. South Africa, with the realities of the war in Angola. There were no soldiers there, but instead the wives The following facts: external supply and revolutio- and children of men who were fighting in Angola, or nary magnitude, must be the starting points of every who had died, or who had returned to Cuba seriously analysis of the "Cuban Case." Soviet aid, known by affected. I would not interview them, but the con- everyone and labeled according to each person's sequences of the war reached those human beings sympathies, has not been evaluated from a strictly who had never set foot on the battle front. The war sociological point of view. American Review 11 History knows of groups, parties and even govern- It is only by taking this reality as a starting point that ments that have been subsidised by foreign powers. the Cuban Revolution must be evaluated. Only a just But never, until 1965, had it ever happened that a consideration of the meaning and consequences of whole society, a whole country, was totally sustained the parasitic nature of its economy can sustain an by another during a quarter of a century. This fact objective evaluation of the Revolution: conditions all the peculiarities and exceptions of the Cuban process. The objective and subjective conditions of the The Economy Cuban Society at the beginning of the Revolution. Castro's personality and character. Cuba-US relations and their context in the conti- The subject of the Cuban economy can only be nent. broached in terms of the Soviet subsidy. This assis- Circumstantial factors related to the East-West tance amounts to $40 billion between the years 1960 confrontation in the international area. and 1985, which does not include military expenses. Several Western authors.agre on this figure, but the source I use is the JUCEPLAN, (the Spanish acronym These constitute analysis vectors which can only be for Cuba's "Central Planning Committee," i.e. Junta evaluated in full by taking the Cuban process's Central de Planificación de Cuba). The discrepancy techno-economic parasitism.as a starting point. between official statements and the actual facts regarding the Cuban economy is so large that believ- ing one or the other is in most cases a political choice. But on a strictly academic level attention must be paid The "American mediation" would see to it to two series of facts which tend to lend acceptance to the data by this group of Cuban economists. that it was the worst who would come to power. The only quality that American 1. Cuban economic realities in all sectors of pro- diplomacy looked for in my country's duction and services. leaders and officers was obedience to the 2. The repeated statements, by Fidel Castro him- orders coming from Washington. self, on the non-profitability of certain state firms. In the last statement, in February 1987, he said that no firm in the country was profitable. This time he told the truth, (Bohemia Magazine, Havana, Cuba). A common error is to believe the Cuban Revolu- tion started on January 1st, 1959, or on July 26th, 1953 Official figures in 1985 mentioned a GNP of with the assault on the Moncada Army Headquarters 14 779 700 with a per capita income of 2 690 in Santiago de Cuba. The Cuban Revolution began on pesos. (E.C.L.A.). According to the JUCEPLAN September 4th, 1933, and was started by a dark- economists, the 1985 GNP did not surpass the figures skinned sergeant in the National Army, of peasant of 8 billion pesos. Each peso produced cost 1,15 on a origins, whose name was Fulgencio Batista. The national average, having sectors such as tourism in "sergeants" coup d'etat" headed by Batista, the firsti which each peso earned cost 1,45. There was also the history, changed the Cuban Army's entire class com- sugar industry, where each pound of sugar costs bet- position, raising to the highest ranks in the army and ween 15 and 18 cents to produce, while it is sold in the in the institutions of the country soldiers and people international market at a loss of between 12 and 15 of peasant extraction, who in order to leave behind cents per pound. abject poverty had enrolled in the army. All officers were deposed, with the result that the latter, the According to the same group, the only activity that Independentist patricians and the members of the yields profits to the Cuban Government is the war social and financial aristocracy of the country, lost and the export of services. In that same year Cuba control of the fundamental instrument of govern- received from Angola some $500 million on account ment in Latin American societies: the use of force. of "military services." In the political sphere a new generation made its All this is irrational from the strictly economic point appearance, assuming control of the government. of view, but totally comprehensible on a sociopoliti- Originating from the petit bourgeoisie, intellectuals, cal level. The USSR gives Cuba around $3 million a physicians and attorneys without clientele, adventur- day for strictly political reasons. The Cuban Govern- ers and dreamers who found nothing more interest- ment subsidizes labour activities, spends 2,9 billion ing or lucrative to do, devoted themselves to politics. in education and public health, 23,9 per cent of the The living ties that bound government and society national budget, and another billion in housing and had been broken forever. As of that moment, the community services, also for strictly political reasons. economically impoverished classes of the country would attempt to govern it through intermediaries. The debt to the USSR has now reached the figure of 12 billion. The USSR is not applying any pressure to The "American mediation" would see to it that it collect, so the debt will go on increasing, solely for was the worst who would come to power. The only political reasons. This makes it impossible to form a quality that American diplomacy looked for in my strictly economic approximation regarding "the country's rulers and officers was obedience to the Cuban Case." orders coming from Washington. 12 American Review Only by keeping in mind the changes in the com- Cuban Revolution and of the decisions by its position of the classes at the political and military Maximum Leader if the sociopolitical background of leadership that took place during that first stage of the process is not known, if only by and large. Let us the Cuban Revolution can we understand the events review Castro's twenty-five years of government, in that took place on that First of January of 1959. order to later evaluate his international policy. On January 1, 1959 Fidel-Castro was the leader of Between 1959 and 1965 Castro consolidated his the entire country, of all classes. Of the rich landow- internal power with the support of 80 per cent of the ners who financed his Movement, of the middle clas- country's population. The year 1965 marked the ses who made up the leadership and members of the beginning of unipersonal tyranny, the loss of support 26th of July Movement, of agricultural labourers, and from the majority of the people and the beginning of of urban workers. Of these who had everything and his total dependency on the Soviet subsidy. wanted. more, and of those who had nothing and needed something. The destruction of the Cuban economy by this time was complete. Since 1965 Cuba was no longer a pro- The Cuban Revolution was the consequence of the fitable country. The government and the entire soci- half a century of American paternalism in Cuba. ety subsisted by virtue of the Russian umbilical cord. Americans intervened in 1898 in the Cuban War of Independence against Spain, frustrating a war of 30 Between 1965 and 1970 the rift deepened between years' duration and all of the hopes and aspirations of the Cuban leadership and the people, going from the Cuban Nation. The Treaty of Paris of 1899 bet- populistic manipulation to the repressive control of ween Spain and the US, by guaranteeing Spanish the whole society. The failure of the drive for the "10 interests in Cuba, delivered a deadly blow to the Million Ton Sugar Cane Harvest" gave rise to the Independentist patricians by leaving in Spanish awareness on the part of the incipient government hands all assets confiscated from Cubans during 30 technocratic staffs, which together with criticism on years of war. This not only caused a deep resentment the part of the Soviets started to exert pressure in the against the United States, but also weakened the direction of the institutionalisation of the country: economic basis of the social class that was called that is, to attempt to limit the chaotic and unipersonal upon to build a democratic republic. leadership of Fidel Castro. The year 1970 may also be labeled as the moment in which Castro-Stalinism The events of January 1, 1959 were not the work of emerged as the Commander-in-Chief's style of per- Cuban Communists (a small minority in disrepute formance. because of its complicity with the Batista regime and its opposition to insurrection), or of Soviet subver- sion and their espionage agencies. They were the result of 60 years of American colonial policy in Cuba and of the struggle and sacrifice of us, a young gener- ation (Castro was 33 years old), who believed naively Meanwhile Castro, completely devoted to and irrationally that with good will, honesty and cour- international politics, became the leader age we would be able to build a freer, more just soci- ety. of the Third World, using all of his time "playing war" directing the battles in The 28 months between January 1, 1959 and April Angola, Ethiopia and Nicaragua from the 16th, 1961 provide the framework for a series of erroneous measures by the American Administration Revolutionary Armed Forces Chief of which consolidated Castro's prestige in the interna- Staff's Communication Room. tional arena and mainly in Latin America: The humiliation suffered by Castro in his first trip to the US. The oil embargo. The suspension of the sugar purchase quota. Between 1970 and 1975 the rise in the price of sugar and the increase of Soviet assistance created a trium- The protection given to Batista's henchmen, phalist euphoria which inclined Castro to devote including known murderers and torturers. himself completely to foreign policy (which from the The press campaign against the Cuban Revolution. Training an invading army, where side-by-side beginning was his genuine interest) and to accept with true patriots they included known Batista Soviet and Cuban suggestions towards organising henchmen, even torturers and murderers. the economy and institutionalising the country. Dur- ing this period Fidel Castro fitted "harmonically" in the foreign policy of the Soviet Union. They allowed Castro not only to consolidate inter- nally by crushing all opposition arising from the Government functions, which had always been a revolutionary ranks, but to become the Latin Ameri- heavy burden for the Cuban leader, who liked to give can David confronting the Yankee Imperialist orders but not to.run a government, were transferred Goliath. by him to his brother Raúl (who among other things was an excellent administrator). Raúl, who is not a The rest is world history. It is not possible to under- stand the present and much less the future of the genius but is instead very sensible, sensibly decided first to fly to the USSR and ask what he should do. American Review 13 Upon his return he called on Humberto Pérez and his And the Farabundo Marti guerrillas became consoli- group, who directed the Planning Committee, and dated in El Salvador. But the triumphalist intoxication they started to organise the economy in a serious and the isolation from domestic realities led Castro manner, something that Castro had never allowed. to make a mistake which marked the beginning of the Why? Because the consolidation of the Revolution irreversible deterioration of his influence in Cuba: meant the limitation of unipersonal power. Castro, in the opening of the country to visits by the Cubans order to be unsubstitutable, had also to be indispen- who had left in the 60s. sible. For the first time the political leadership of the The First Congress of the Cuban Communist Party Party confronted Fidel Castro collectively in regard to institutionalised the government and the new a decision made by him. For seven hours the national economic orientation - material incentives, manage- ranks of the Communist Party argued with Castro, rial autonomy, administrative decentralisation, attempting to make him understand that the coun- economic controls - in short, some rationality in the try's sociopolitical conditions did not allow for mas- midst of Castroist chaos. sive contact with Cubans residing abroad, and that the consequences of this would be very serious for the Revolution. Castro did not want to understand anything; he screamed, yelled insults and, like always, imposed his opinion. The triumphalist intoxication and the iso- It was not necessary to wait long for the conse- lation from domestic realities lead Castro quences to appear. During March 1980, when the to make a mistake which marks the begin- government carried out one of its many intimidation schemes - this time against the Peruvian Embassy in ning of the irreversible deterioration of his Havana in a few hours more than five thousand influence in Cuba: the opening. of the Havanians entered the premises of the embassy country to visits by the Cubans who had requesting political asylum and the right to leave the left in the 60s. country. What followed, the Mariel Boatlift, is widely known: 120 left the island for the United States. What the international press did not divulge is the following: Meanwhile Castro, completely devoted to interna- Over a million people expressed their willingness tional politics, became the leader of the Third World, to leave the country. using all his time "playing war," directing the battles The average age of those who left was between 18 in Angola, Ethiopia and Nicaragua from the Revolu- and 25. tionary Armed Forces Chief of Staff's Communication Among the first three thousand Havana residents Room. He remained ignorant of the organisational who sought asylum, at the Peruvian Embassy there progress, of the increase in production and produc- were 450 government officials - members of the tivity in the whole country and especially of the big middle stratum of Socialist technocrats - all of leap in quality taken by agricultural production and whom were members of the Communist Party. distribution. For the first time since the triumph of the Revolution, the population was actually receiving What the Western mass media did not highlight the preset rationing quotas and furthermore they either is that the Mariel Exodus was a lot more than were able to acquire agricultural and agro-industrial the popular expression of rejection of the system. It products at the free peasant markets, and at the so- was the surfacing of the muffled but deep gap bet- called parallel markets at prices that were indeed ween the new generations and the generation that high, but without the anguish of the black market. fought in the original Revolution a rift reaching from the people all the way up to the political and The Non-Aligned Nations Summit Conference in administrative leadership. Havana marked Castro's zenith, the highest point in his political career. As of that moment the deteriora- What is now called the Gorbachev trend, opposing tion of his power at a national level began to become Castro's personalism, experienced its baptism of fire visible, while at the international one his influence when the leadership of the Party, publicly and collec- started increasing as his revolutionary charismas tively, opposed Castro's projects in regard to the decreased. To the world it became evident that he Cuban Community abroad. who aspired to become the leader of the Third World had come to be a representative of the geopolitical When the events brought about by the Mariel Boat- interests of the Kremlin. Cuban armies support lift demonstrated to everyone in Cuba that Castro did unpopular regimes in Angola and Ethiopia, and are at not only make mistakes in economics, but also in present involved in 17 countries in the area. Mean- politics, this invertebrate group, diluted in the while, Castro undertook international trips and enormous bureaucracy of the country, became "played the chess game" of world politics. aware of itself and its own identity before the eyes of the entire nation. As of that moment the dynamics of In Latin America, after ten years of failures in the Cuban process changed totally. And only in terms exporting guerrillas and subversion, Sandinistas took of it, does the analysis of that reality become possi- over in Nicaragua, turning it into a Cuban satellite. ble. 14 American Review Castro-Stalinism rationality's checks and balances, changed. Instead of the vulgar daily tasks of administrating, of govern- Leon Trotsky used to comment that while Louis XIV ment Castro was free to devote himself completely to had expressed monarchic absolutism is his statement "world revolution." "L'etat c'est moi," Stalin could say: 'La sociètè c'est moi." Cuba became some type of a private farm in which Castro would idle away his time, feed his omnipo- Sociologically, it is totally comprehensible that the tence and gratify his distributional paternalism: a greater the concentration of economic factors under gigantic "nursery," an experimental farm and military State control, the greater the political power in the school-headquarters, the ideal rear-guard for a mes- hands of those in government. But the heterogeneity siah turned into a god of armies. Never has any per- of races, languages, cultures and levels of develop- son concentrated so much power in his hands or ment, plus the territorial extension of the Russian exercised such an absolute control over an entire domains, limited the Kremlin's centralising decisions country: while financial rationality, the internal logic of mate- rial production - in short, the compulsive economic Cuba's territorial and demographical smallness, its needs placed limits to Stalin's personality cult vol- sociocultural homogeneity, together with the means untarism and imposed a measure of sanity on his of communication, transportation and processing, messianic authoritarianism. endowed Fidel Castro with attributes ascribed by the ancients to their gods: omnipresence and omnisci- ence. Castro, in Cuba, may anywhere at any time get to Cuba became some type of a private farm know almost everything about almost every thing tak- in which Castro would idle away his time, ing place in the country. Fidel Castro has structured feed his omnipotence and gratify his dis- an enormous intelligence and repression machinery, which, in relation to the dimensions of the country, is tributional paternalism. the largest in the world. To this capacity for "social control" must be added the assistance and education plans: disproportion- ate, chaotic, unaffordable for a Cuba reduced to its The wish for changes and the speed of the limited resources, but very efficient as instruments socio-economic transformations were conditioned by for collective manipulation and as propagandistic material production, by the scientific and technical scenography at an international level. This manipula- development of the country itself. This kept chaos, tion made it easier for the power structure to guaran- arbitrariness, the traditional mad disorderliness of tee at all times aside from the disasters brought the Russian bureaucracy, and Stalin himself within about by his economic management-t satisfaction parameters and directions, which, though they did of the vital needs of the whole population. destroy individuals, increased the suffering by the people and delayed the development of the country, would never question the viability of the system. Never has any person concentrated so Quite another was Cuba's situation. The revolutio- nary process developed, until 1962, with the national much power in his hands or exercised peculiarities but within the classic patterns of the such an absolute control over an entire Continent. But with the "Missile Crisis" the massive country. Soviet aid changed all the sociodynamic parameters of the Revolution. Castro's personality was typically "Ceasar-like" (which is anyway common in Latin America). At this time he had all political power and was the leader of All the manipulative capacity, all the political ability shown by Castro for the past thirty years, has been the majority of the country. He saw himself pro- jected, by virtue of the danger of nuclear war, on to made possible, due not only to his political genius, which is undeniable, but to the fact that he has been an apocalyptical situation. able to count on resources separate from the produc- tive capacity of the country, and independent of its From a guerrilla fighter without battles to a world administrative efficacy. personality, Castro's ego swelled beyond his own expectations. His messianic megalomania, having Any tin-pot Latin American dictator who had at his objective confirmation, overrode his reason to disposal unlimited resources of repression and sup- become subjected to his wildest dreams. ply, would remain indefinitely in power. Any ruler of a small country, who would have used the resources Soviet supplies, by disconnecting the function of handed over by the USSR to Cuba during 28 years government from any imperative to produce, freed (some $40 billion), by using a minimum of financial Castro from any organisational efficiency, from any political realism. His personality, without economic sensibility, would have secured the prosperity and development of his people. Without the massive American Review, 15 Soviet assistance Castro would have lost power in lically would Castro's power survive a defeat in Africa. 1965. Castro's prestige in Cuba is experiencing today its lowest level. From 1980 to 1985 Castro has suffered a Castro-Stalinism is the maximum expression of the series of domestic and international failures which personality cult absolutism known by history. It have undermined his influence within the govern- arises out of the circumstantial combination of the ment's own rank and file: messianic vocation of a brilliant man and the hege- monical interests of a superpower growing on the The Mariel Exodus. propitious grounds of a continental revolution with The defeat of Granada. an ecumenical vocation. Fidel Castro's "Inter- The deterioration of the situation in Angola. nationalism" is not simply a pretext by the Cuban The awareness on the part of Cuban public opin- leader to keep his internal power, although in fact he ion as to the huge loss of life and the realities of does keep it. It is the mise-en-scène of his genuine war. vocation, of his metalogical constant. The internal struggle by Fidel Castro against the JUCEPLAN (Planning Committee), the only group in Castro's obsession to bask in the role of the main the Cuban leadership that had managed to character, and his messianic and power needs, grew organise the economy. to the point of delusion when his rule and his The defections by Manuel Sánchez Pérez, a top charisma turned into instruments of Soviet economic executive, and by General Rafael Del imperialism. Pino, an Army hero. The emergence in Cuba of a strong Gorbachevist But it is important to understand that Castro trend born as a consequence of the confrontation doesn't have armies in Africa so that the USSR can between Fidel Castro and the Soviet leader's policy keep him in power in Cuba. Rather he tries to keep of openness. his power in Cuba to be able to keep armies in Africa The generation gap between the population under (between January and March 1959, as a Cuban intelli- 40 and the so-called Generation of the Centennial. gence officer, I assisted in the preparation of four expeditions to countries in the area: Santo Domingo, Haiti, Dominican Republic). Castro loves power. He needs power like the All of the above makes Angola the base of addict needs his drug. But power to Castro is not an support and the Achilles' heel of Fidel end in itself, it is an instrument, a weapon to fulfill his Messianism and etch his place in history. This is what Castro. makes a leader out of Castro and endows him with his charm and his charisma and also with his destruc- tiveness. He believes in himself; he believes in his conduct's ethical validity. All of the above make Angola the base of support The option of self-centeredness changes the most and the Achilles' heel of Fidel Castro. The Cuban machiavellian schemes into high political moves, val- technocracy wants to consolidate the system in order idated by the mystique of higher objectives. to make the Cuban Revolution viable. Castro knows that any financial rationality will undermine his Because of the above we can be sure Castro will unipersonal power once it manages to make him never give up his presence in Africa. Neither cease to be indispensible. psychologically nor politically can he give up what has always been the meaning of his life and which The interests of the country, of the Cuban Revolu- constitutes at present his only way to stay in power in tion, collide with Fidel Castro's messianic interests Cuba. and with the use of Cuba simply as a platform for his international manoeuvres. The Cuban people and a Without the military services he provides in Africa, good part of the country's leadership oppose having subsidies received by Cuba would decrease (bet- Cuban soldiers die in order to support Castro's mes- ween 1960 and 1975, Cuba received $7 billion, not sianism and Russian imperialistic interests. 01 counting military expenses. As of 1976, Cuba received $10 billion in only 4 years), turning Castro To put an end to the war in Angola, to return Cuban into a very vulnerable figure internally. troops to their fatherland, represents my people's dearest wish, and the fundamental condition needed The repatriation of the armies in Angola would for us Cuban revolutionaries to put an end to Castro- pose unsurmountable social and political problems Stalinism, rebuild the economy and consolidate a at the present time. Neither psychologically nor polit- socialist democracy in Cuba. 16 American Review Eric Morris uba's International Adventures: Economic and Military Implications in southern Africa Cuba has been involved militarily in Africa to the early 1960s and before but it is in Angola and Ethiopia that Cuban support and commitment have been seen at their most overt and striking. Mr Morris argues that Cuba is no pawn of the Kremlin and that Moscow does not dictate Cuba's foreign policy. Diplomatic sources suggest that Fidel Castro regards not merely Savimbi as an obstacle to peace but Dos Santos as well and also that the Cubans intend to retain a permanent presence in Angola. Despite Cuban machinations and impressive Soviet/Cuban air defences the critical forces remain those of South Africa. Nothing has changed. South Africa remains the regional superpower. C uba has often been described as a small nation have emerged victorious in March 1976, but it is also with a big power's foreign policy. Though her the case that more than eleven years later Cuban prominence in the world is not a new troops in even greater numbers are still necessary to phenomenon, the expansion in diplomatic contacts ensure the survival of the Marxist regime in Luanda. began in earnest after 1970, as the country began to emerge from the isolation caused by Washington's intense though unnecessary efforts to isolate the The Moscow-Havana Axis nation and topple its leader. It is frequently the case that Cuba is simply dismis- It is important to note that Cuba's active policy in sed as a satellite surrogate or proxy for the Soviet Africa did not begin with the Angolan Civil War - Union. It always strikes me that there is insufficient though this certainly marked a large escalation but evidence to support the surrogate thesis, although it can be traced back to the early 1960s and before. Even can of course be a contested proposition that influ- before diplomatic links had been established with ence can only be identified in observable behaviour. Moscow, Cuba sent military support and medical It should be remembered that we are dealing with supplies to the Algerian Liberation Front (FLN). In the two states which are communist. Communication mid-sixties Castro was attempting to export revolu- within and between Soviet-type political systems, to tion to Africa. Che Guevara led some 200 Cubans into the great frustration of Western politicians and scho- combat against Moise Tshombe in Congo-Brazzaville lars, is conducted in considerable secrecy. It is thus in 1965. often impossible to be absolutely certain that we understand the motivations and goals of their policies and actions. We are left with no alternative, when dealing with such secret societies, but to use Communication within and between our judgment when comparing the little information we have with the behaviour we observe. Soviet-type political systems, to the great frustration of Western politicians and It is my contention that Cuba is no pawn of the scholars, is conducted in considerable Kremlin. Despite obvious disparities in power bet- ween the two countries and Cuba's continued secrecy. economic dependence on the Soviets, Moscow does not dictate Cuba's foreign policy. In any case, economic dependence does not neatly translate into political influence for the benefactor in the patron- Cuban military expertise has since been passed on to many different African and Middle Eastern coun- client relationship. It is my experience in the study of tries including Libya, Syria and South Yemen. But it is interstate relations that dependence on one side in Angola and Ethiopia that Cuban support and com- does not automatically mean an equivalent degree of influence for the other. mitment have been seen at their most overt and strik- ing. Operation Carlotta November 1975-March 1976 For an under-developed Caribbean island with a population of only 10 million this global activism is The first contingent of Cuban troops set sail for quite remarkable. Indeed it is unprecedented in Angola in September 1975. They comprised 480 mili- international politics. Neither can its impact be un- tary specialists, vehicles, communications equip- derestimated. Without the direct participation of ment and doctors. One month after this contingent Cuban combat troops during the height of the Ango- arrived, South African troops crossed the border into lan civil war 1974/76 the MPLA would certainly not Angola. American Review 17 In November the Cubans began an airlift of troops. southern third of the country and conducting opera- They used old Cuban converted freighters and obso- tions in the majority of Angola's 18 provinces. lete commercial aircraft which required refuelling rights in the Caribbean. They had airlifted some 6 000 Between 1985/88 the MPLA Government (nomi- troops by January 1976. nally) and Soviet commanders directed the Angolan Army in a series of offensives aimed at capturing the The US put pressure on Barbados and other Carib- UNITA "capital" at Jamba. In 1987 the campaign was bean states to deny refuelling rights and this brought under the personal supervision of General Konstan- Soviet transport aircraft and ships into the operation. tin Shaganovitch, reputedly the highest ranking These Soviet airlifts and ships, involving 20 ship tran- Soviet officer ever to be posted outside Europe or sits and 70 flights by March 1976, brought an esti- Afghanistan. He was assisted by General Mikhail Pet- mated 20 000 Cuban troops into Angola along five rov, supposedly one of the Kremlin's top specialists separate supply routes. Soviet AN-22 transport air- in counter insurgency warfare. craft flew to Maya Maya, near Brazzaville in the Congo (materials were trans-shipped to MPLA strongholds north of Luanda). AN-22s flew direct from airfields in the southern USSR to Luanda or Hen- rique de Carvalho (refuelling in Guinea, Algeria or At the root of Castro's present dilemma is Mali), and Soviet freighters delivered small arms to the need to justify 14 years of warfare Dar es Salaam in Tanzania, Pointe Noire in Congo or involving more than 300 000 troops serv- to Guinea, which were then ferried to collection points in territory controlled by the MPLA. ing in Angola. Although Cuban manpower and Soviet Their military campaign, like the previous two, was a disaster for the Angolan Army, Cuban advisers and military support were instrumental in sec- Soviet patrons: the combined socialist forces, were uring the MPLA's control of the capital routed. Luanda, and of the vital oil producing After 1987 the military campaigns were increasingly Cabinda enclave, it has been unable to a reflection of the complex diplomacy involving secure success in its struggle to defeat Angola, South Africa, Cuba and a number of interna- Jonas Savimbi's UNITA forces. tional actors. In 1988 Castro changed the ground rules governing engagement without apparently pay- ing very much heed to the dictates of Moscow or the needs of Luanda. The Battle of Cuito Cuanavale assumed pivotal importance. Subsequently there The logistic, diplomatic and military dimensions of was a significant build-up of Cuban forces which also the joint Soviet/Cuban operation Carlotta required led to a move into southern Angola. excellent planning and execution and considerable co-ordination. Cuba's Dilemma The Soviet weaponry and Cuban military allowed At the root of Castro's present dilemma is the need the MPLA to outgun the rival forces. The rival FNLA to justify 14 years of warfare involving more than was completely demoralised and ceased to be a fac- 300 000 troops serving in Angola. Cuban losses are tor in the civil war. Jonas Savimbi's UNITA forces supposedly secret, but are thought to be about 10 000 retreated in good order to camps in the tribal home- dead and wounded. Throughout the island there are, lands of Ovamboland in south eastern Angola where families mourning sons, buried in Angolan grave- they have until recently drawn on South African pat- yards. The war is not popular in Cuba, neither is this ronage in the Caprivi Strip. South African forces, hav- helped by returning veterans complaining they were ing reached to within 150 miles of Luanda, retreated not welcome in Angola. south into Namibia. The MPLA was recognised as the legitimate government of Angola by the United An increasing number may soon not be welcome Nations. back in Cuba. Reports speak of a rising incidence of AIDS among Cuban troops caught from Angolan Subsequent Cuban Involvement women. Already stringent precautions have been introduced. Soldiers are quarantined until confirmed Although Cuban manpower and Soviet military clear and supplies of blood for battlefield trans- support were instrumental in securing the MPLA's fusions are now flown in from Cuba and Eastern control of the capital Luanda, and of the vital oil- producing Cabinda Enclave, it has been unable to Europe for the exclusive use of Cuban and Bloc per- sonnel. secure success in its struggle to defeat Jonas Savimbi's UNITA forces. The bulk of the Cuban military bill is met by the Soviets. Castro's financial "indebtedness" to the Under South African tutelage UNITA had by the Kremlin must be enormous, burdensome and an earlier 80s become the single most-decisive factor in encumbrance but neither can he readily absorb Angola politics, at one time controlling much of the 40 000 plus military into the civilian economy. 18 American Review Castro's Blueprint and stay on as "civilians". This is bound to have appeal, being at least better than returning to the The preliminary accord at the Peace Conference austerity of Cuba and in any case, the prime objective and the subsequent withdrawal of South African of many Cubans is to get to Miami - paradoxically it troops behind the Angola/Namibian border has may be easier to reach from Angola than from Cuba. allowed Castro the luxury of a more pragmatic approach. It would indeed appear that he has devised There is a supposedly "secret" agreement between a bold long term strategy. Cuba and the Congo People's Republic under which Cuban troops may be deployed on leaving Angola. They are apparently to be based at Kimongo, close to Congo's border with the Angolan enclave of Cuba's Vital Statistics* Cabinda. There is a large military base at Kimongo, which includes an airstrip; the base is apparently being cleaned up and expanded. Population: 10 334 000 Manpower available for 1 594 000 Military and Economic Implications Military Service years) The first economic implication is for Cuba. It does need to be borne in mind that the Cuban economy Total Armed Forces: would experience severe strain if it had to absorb such Active: 180 500 (79 500 a large number of soldiers discharged from Angolan conscripts) commitments and seeking employment in the civil sec- Reserves: 130 000 tor. Army: 145 000 (60 000 conscripts) UNITA is likely to remain a threat to the Luanda Navy: 135 000 (8 500 Government and because of its recent redeployment conscripts) poses an even greater threat to the oil rich resources Air Force: 22 000 (11 000 of the Cabinda Enclave. Thus it is likely that the corre- conscripts) lation of economic, military and political forces in the Forces Abroad region remains as confusing as ever. The US Adminis- tration, while chairing the peace talks, is providing Angola: 50 000 military + 8 000 military support to UNITA to attack Cabinda. Ameri- civilian advisers can and Western Oil Companies in Cabinda will be Congo: 500 protected by a largely Cuban garrison, while royalties Ethiopia: 2 800 and income levied from the oil companies will be Mozambique: 600 used by the Luanda Government to foot the bill - or South Yemen: 500 at best part of it. Nicaragua: 4 000 (incl. 3 500 civilians) The weakness of the pact made in South- * Source: Military Balance 1988-89, IISS London. West Africa/Namibia and Angola is that it is a house of cards. The points upon which the agreements have been reached are so delicately balanced against each other Diplomatic sources suggest that the Cuban leader regards not merely Savimbi as an obstacle to peace that it could fall at any time. but Angola's President Eduardo Dos Santos as well. Dos Santos is viewed as an incompetent recluse who rarely ventures from his guarded palace. Neither of course does Dos Santos have the status of a tribal In the meantime war and politics have all but chieftain to both add prestige to his office or cushion destroyed Angola. It is vast, empty and fertile with the threat of a possible coup. Savimbi is seen by many coffee on the bushes, diamonds in the hills, gold in as fatally compromised by his lengthy connection the rivers and oil beneath the sea. Other than oil most with South Africa, a move which has proved a peren- of the assets lie unused, while civil war rages. nial source of friction if not open dissent among the UNITA high command. The statistics are horrendous. It is estimated that since 1875 nearly 50 per cent of Angola's 8,5 million There has been speculation from diplomatic people have been uprooted by war. In the last two sources that Castro will seek to find a Luanda politi- years a further 700 000 have left the countryside to swell cian who would be acceptable to both the MPLA and the jobless vagabond population in the urban ghettos. UNITA to form a provisional government of unity. These deslocados- about 1:10 of the rural population, together with the two million urban dwellers, will The Cubans intend to retain a permanent presence remain overwhelmingly dependent upon food from in Angola. The widely leaked plot is for Cuban sol- abroad. There are nearly half a million Angolan diers to take their discharge, marry Angolan women refugees in neighbouring countries. American Review 19 Conclusions Moscow on the lower slopes of the Summit. How- ever, comparisons with Afghanistan are quite erro- Much will depend upon the complicated and inter- neous. related timetable which links Cuban withdrawal to Namibian self-determination and majority rule. The Presumably a peace agreement in Angola will mean Cuban timetable is phased over 30 months with a that the internationalism of the region will be consid- limited presence, at a very early stage, south of the erably reduced. This means the withdrawal of Soviet 13th parallel- "front loading". and East Bloc Advisers and the end of the sanctuary for terrorist organisations such as the ANC. The Peace Accord must be seen as a "house of cards". But peace in Angola would suit its The lesson of Angola is the clear precedent to neighbours, some of whom increasingly believe that southern Africa Black and White - of the price that the Cubans no longer have any business to be there can be paid when disputes and conflicts are inter- now that South Africa has withdrawn. nationalised. This takes me back to the point with which I began Despite Cuban machinations and impressive - Cuba Quo Vadis? Soviet/Cuban air defences the critical forces remain those of South Africa. Nothing has changed; South Cuba relies heavily upon the Soviet Union for Africa remains the regional super power. The weak- economic assistance to ensure viability, and for mili- ness of the pact made in South-West Africa/Namibia tary supplies to ensure its security. These are the two and Angola is that it is a house of cards. The points core interests of any state in the international system, upon which the agreements have been reached are and without the Soviet Union it is difficult to envisage so delicately balanced against each other that it could how Cuba could possibly survive and maintain its fall at any time. form of government. Soviet withdrawal from the southern African scene, coupled to a reduced Cuban The Kremlin and Washington are particularly anx- commitment, is bound to influence the relationship ious for a settlement. Their officials discussed it in between Cuba and the Soviet Union. Alberto Coll T aking "Übermenschen" Seriously: Castro's Self-image and his Geopolitical Vision of Africa In Castro's life and personality the intense consciousness of a historical mission has gone hand in hand with two other character traits that have shaped consider- ably the particular expressions this consciousness has evinced. Those traits are a glorification of military violence, and an obsession with revolutionas the all-con- suming end of political life. n spite of its small size and population, Cuba has The chief, though by no means the only factor been one of the leading extra-continental military and diplomatic powers in Africa over the last fif- behind Cuba's activism is the peculiar personality, teen years. The Cuban economy is comparable in self-image, and geopolitical vision of its dictator for output and technological backwardness to that of thirty years, Fidel Castro. Other factors include the Jordan or Colombia. Yet Cuba wields considerable convergence between Cuban policies and the larger political influence and has an extensive network of strategic objectives of the Soviet Union, and the diplomatic and military ties with numerous states domestic political instability and economic back- throughout the African continent far out of propor- wardness of many African nations which render them tion to what one could expect of a state with its vulnerable to civil strife, left-wing authoritarian meagre resources and capabilities. regimes, and Soviet bloc intervention. 20 American Review Next to North Korea's Kim-li-Sung, Fidel Castro is ensued, Castro's personal objectives, while con- the longest surviving dictator in today's world. At a gruent with Soviet strategy, have acquired a life of vigorous 63 years of age, Castro easily could hold on their own and have propelled the Cuban-Soviet to power for another two decades, and is therefore alliance towards a more extensive intervention than likely to remain for the foreseeable future a major perhaps Moscow would have been willing or able to international player with whom to reckon seriously. pursue on its own. Castro has survived in the face of the determined opposition of his powerful neighbour 90 miles away, It is not only that the Cubans provide combat and in pursuit of an activist foreign policy coupled troops and are prepared to serve as cultural and racial with numerous risky military adventures throughout intermediaries between the Soviet empire and black Africa, the Middle East and Latin America, facts that Africa, thus enhancing considerably the USSR's should serve as clues to his remarkable political capabilities for intervention in the continent. An prowess and cunning. equally critical factor has been Castro's determina- tion to play an historic role in Africa, which has Castro's significance to Soviet strategy increased significantly the political will and persis- tence behind Cuban-Soviet efforts. This has been no It is difficult for many international relations small factor in Angola, where the Cubans and the analysts to take Fidel Castro seriously. Cuba's ob- Soviets have been mired in a 13-year struggle of attri- vious weaknesses and Castro's inflated rhetoric lend tion against the South Africans and Jonas Savimbi's themselves to parody if not outright condescension. UNITA. If instead of Castro, a different Communist Western conservative critics have difficulty conced- leader in the mould of an inward-looking Voijech ing to a Caribbean dictator the status of a significant Jaruzelski or a technocratic Janos Kadar were in. world figure. Liberal critics, on the other hand, are power in Havana today, the Cubans' role in what Paul too historically and culturally narrow to conceive of a Seabury has called "the international Soviet proxy dedicated Marxist-Leninist who believes in his ideol- network" would be far more modest in scope and ogy and his self-image as a great man of history. It is less military in character than it is today. Without Cas- easier to see Castro as the mouse that roared, the tro's political will and the expanded capabilities for aspiring Third World "caudillo" whose grandiose intervention offered to the USSR by the Cubans, the ambitions far outstrip the puny size of the historical USSR might have decided one or two years ago to stage to which he has been relegated to play his prod the Luanda regime into a political settlement antics. Analysts who grapple with Cuba's interven- with UNITA as a means of facilitating a more or less tionism in Africa often see it, therefore, as the simple graceful disengagement. by-product of Cuba's faithful tutelage to, and depen- dence on, the USSR. According to this view, Cuba The critical nature of the Cuban role in the Cuban- intervenes when and where the USSR wants it to Soviet partnership, and the independent significance intervene, and only after Moscow has determined of Castro's own political and strategic agenda in that such intervention is in its interests. southern Africa can be gleaned from a few illustra- tions from events in the past three years. The first has to do with the nature of the Havana-Luanda relation- ship. Repeatedly, the Cubans have had to exert them- selves rather forcefully to prevent Luanda from mak- Without Castro's political will and the ing greater concessions to Pretoria and to UNITA expanded capabilities for intervention than Castro considers compatible with Cuban pres- offered to the USSR by the Cubans, the tige and the long-term Cuban objective of securing a complete victory in Angola. Havana has so little confi- USSR might have decided one or two dence in Luanda's ability to resist tempting possi- years ago to prod the Luanda regime into a bilities dangled before it by its adversaries that early political settlement with UNITA as a on in the recent negotiations sponsored by the means of facilitating a more or less grace- United States it attached the ubiquitous Jorge Ris- quet, one of the highest-ranking members of the ful disengagement. Cuban Politburo, to the talks in order to stiffen the MLPA's diplomatic resolve and make sure that Luanda's obvious desire for a cessation of hostilities did not weaken its bargaining position. While such a simple view contains many elements One also can look at the Cuban-Soviet relationship of truth, it also misses some essential subtleties. It is itself for further evidence of Cuba's weight. Between true that without massive Soviet economic and mili- 1984 and late 1987 the Soviet Union called the shots tary support Cuba could not carry out its African over the issue of the strategic direction of the Ango- adventures, and that nowhere in the continent the lan war. Under Soviet direction, MPLA forces with Cubans have acted contrary to Soviet interests. Yet Cuban and Soviet support carried out several offen- there is more to the story. On many occasions such as sives aimed at destroying Jonas Savimbi's strong- in Angola in 1975, the impetus for particular inter- holds east and southeast of Cuito Cuanavale in ventions has originated with the Cubans, who after Angola's southeastern quadrant. The offensives taking the initiative have persuaded Moscow to com- failed, largely because of South Africa's ability to back mit its own political prestige and military resources to UNITA with air force and artillery support at critical bolster and sustain the Cuban effort. In the war that moments. By late 1987, as the much-heralded Soviet- American Review 21 Cuban-MPLA offensive against Savimbi's positions in effect because they had been concerned about the Mavinga was routed disastrously through the com- political and military risks entailed in such escalation, bined action of South African and UNITA forces, it and besides they had been confident that they could was increasingly clear that the war was in a stalemate. strangle UNITA without resorting to a direct push Meanwhile, the United States was putting diplomatic against the South Africans. By late 1987, however, it and political pressure on Luanda to arrive at a settle- was obvious to the Soviets that their strategy had ment involving the withdrawal of Cuban troops, and failed and that a bolder approach was necessary to Gorbachev was indicating a greater Soviet willing- break the stalemate. That they decided to go ahead ness to settle through political and diplomatic means with the Cuban strategy is both evidence of their some of the so-called "regional conflicts" around the appreciation of the Cuban's pivotal role, and of the world so as to liquidate some of the USSR's costly Soviet leadership's hesitation to liquidate the Ango- Third World military ventures. Thus, neither the lan venture on terms humiliating to the USSR. military nor the diplomatic fronts looked promising for the Cubans. The Cuban-inspired offensive of early 1988 was a military and, perhaps more importantly, a political success. After the halt and defeat of their offensive in the latter part of 1987, the Cuban-MPLA forces had South African underestimation of Fidel withdrawn to the town of Cuito Cuanavale. South Castro is nothing new, and it is perhaps African and UNITA forces moved towards Cuito, hop- ing to encircle it and inflict on the Cubans a defeat of understandable. Dien Bien Phu proportions. It was at this time that Castro threatened to send more reinforcements directly from Cuba, a warning to which many South African military officials reacted sceptically. In Within Cuba itself, dissatisfaction with the Angolan January, with Soviet logistical support, Castro began morass was mounting. In May 1987, Brigadier Gen- transporting by air some 9 000 10 000 of his elite eral Rafael Diaz del Pino, former chief of staff of the troops from Cuba directly into southern Angola and Cuban Air Force and a man who had played a critical Cuito, increasing the total number of Cuban forces in role in the Angolan war by coordinating Cuban air Angola to some 55 000 men. Several hundred of force and anti-aircraft forces operations there, Cuba's finest pilots were brought in as well. The defected to the United States. His revelations, broad- Soviets flew in massive quantities of military cast to the Cuban people through the United States hardware, including surface-to-air missiles in an Information Agency's Radio Marti, confirmed what effort to neutralise the South African Air Force, anti- many Cubans already suspected, namely, that the tank artillery, and a large number of the most sophis- war in Angola was not going well, that thousands of ticated fighter jets in the Soviet arsenal, the Mig-23s, Cubans had died there for what seemed by 1987 to be to be piloted by Cubans. a futile neo-colonial venture, and that thousands more would likely die in the future for the sake of Predictably, Castro's moves in southern Africa in upholding objectives solely related to Fidel Castro's early 1988 caught by surprise most observers, includ- personal prestige and geopolitical dreams and having ing the South Africans themselves, who perhaps little to do with Cuba's genuine national interests. should have known better but who, like almost Since its establishment in May 1985 Radio Marti everyone else, have tended to underrate his political had been broadcasting the names of Cubans killed in will, tenacity, and extraordinary flair for boldness. combat in Angola, information which the Castro regime had kept and continues to keep secret. Radio Early intimations Marti also had broken the news over the growing South African underestimation of Fidel Castro is AIDS epidemic in Cuba tracing it to soldiers who had nothing new, and it is perhaps understandable. In a acquired the virus in Angola and had brought it to 1966 visit to South Africa a prominent anti-Castro Cuba upon their return. Its hand forced by Radio Cuban exile, Luis V Manrara, held a long conversa- Marti, the Castro regime admitted the existence of an tion with a former high ranking South African intelli- AIDS problem in Cuba, though it never has acknow- gence and security official, concerning Soviet ledged the connection between AIDS and the Ango- hegemonial aspirations and the likelihood of inaction lan war. Yet most Cubans, on the basis of either their on the part of Washington to deter effectively such own intuition or Radio Marti's broadcasts, know the moves. The timing could not have been more connection exists, and this has contributed to the appropriate. Castro had just hosted in Havana earlier war's unpopularity. that year the "Tri-Continental Conference" for the purpose of co-ordinating political and military By late 1987, Castro knew he had to act energeti- strategy among the numerous Third World "national cally if he was to reverse the military and political liberation" movements then in operation, many of trends that were threatening to turn the Angolan them of a decidedly Marxist-Leninist and pro-Soviet stalemate into a political blow to his international and bent. Top leaders and representatives from guerrilla domestic credibility. He persuaded the Soviets to groups in Latin America, Africa, and Asia (the "three allow him to pursue the strategy he had been pres- continents") were in attendance, including insurgent sing on them for a while: to escalate the war by factions that would later come to power in the 1970s engaging in an all-out direct offensive against the in Nicaragua, Angola, Mozambique and Guinea- South African forces in southern Angola. The Soviets Bissau. Ignored by the Western media, the "Tri- previously had resisted Cuban entreaties to this Continental" signalled Castro's intention to step up 22 American Review his support for, and play a future leadership role in, personality and his immense political gifts. The most Third World revolutionary movements. significant dimension of Castro's personality is his consciously nurtured self-image as a great man of his- From Castro's viewpoint, the conference was tory, as a Hegelian "world-historical figure" with an highly successful. He gained considerable prestige appointed task of truly historical and universal pro- and political leverage among many of the groups in portions. question as a result of his political support and encouragement to them, and impressed on many of This task, as in Hegel's "great individual" or their leaders the need for long-term strategic plan- Nietzsche's "übermensch", is no less than the ning and trans-national co-operation. It is no exag- actualisation of his own will in history as a means to geration to say that at the conference the foundations the unfolding of the historical process itself. Castro were laid for the Third World components of the believes that the realisation of his will in the stage of emerging international Soviet proxy network, even international politics, and fulfillment and worldwide though at the time the Soviets were myopically scep- acknowledgement of his greatness, are mandated by tical of the conference's usefulness to their interests history. History supposedly will use his force of will and did not foresee its potentialities to the same and his greatness to bring about its own objectives. degree Castro did. Many political and ideological Thus, whatever promotes Fidel Castro's own objec- links among the various revolutionary groups were tives and his greater glory is also conducive to the ful- first established at the conference, and they would fillment of history itself. make an important contribution a decade later to the growth of that Soviet proxy network through which pro-Soviet regimes were installed and strengthened in Grenada, Nicaragua, Yemen, Ethiopia, Vietnam, Angola and Mozambique. In June of 1958, months before he seized Cuba also emerged as a future provider of political power, Castro wrote to his close friend support and ideological and military training to many of the groups, and its status as an intermediary bet- Celia Sanchez a long letter, preserved to ween them and the USSR began to acquire focus, this day in Havana's Museum of the even if at the time it is not clear that the Soviets them- Revolution, confiding that after the selves recognised fully such a development and all of its implications for their future successes in the Third expected triumph of the revolution he World. The Soviet Union, then as now, realised that would begin an historic task of even its aspirations to gaining recognition from the West greater magnitude and longer duration: a as a legitimate superpower and a respectable member of the international system required it to war to expel the Americans from "the downplay any direct connections with radical nation- Americas". al liberation movements. The Cubans emerged as ideal intermediaries, even if it took Castro some time to persuade the full Soviet leadership of the value to them of such an arrangement. The Cubans could speak the political rhetoric of Third World violent The two overriding aims in Castro's life which he radicalism, and in many places their greater cultural perceives as being closely tied to the fulfilment of his and ethnic affinity with Third World peoples made own greatness and to the larger purposes of the his- them far more useful advocates for the benefits of torical process are the Cuban-led emancipation of membership in the Soviet sphere of influence than Latin America from United States domination, and the Soviets themselves could ever hope to be, sad- the liberation of the Third World from American and died as they were with notions of Russian cultural and Western hegemony through a violent paroxysm of racial superiority over "backward" peoples. At the unceasing revolutionary struggle to which Cuba will same time, whenever it was tactically convenient, the make a critical contribution. Historians have traced Cubans could be disavowed or even reined in if they the enmity towards the United States to Castro's threatened to getiout of hand or cause unintentional upbringing as the son of a disgruntled Spanish sol- damage to the USSR's long-term political interests. dier who resented American intervention in Cuba's By the early 1970's, Leonid Brezhnev and his col- war of independence from Spain in 1898, and from leagues had fully accepted Castro's viewpoint, and whom Castro imbibed strong doses of virulent anti- they perceived the political brilliance inherent in Cas- Americanism since his earliest days. In June of 1958, tro's vision of Cuba as both an intermediary and a months before he seized power, Castro wrote to his magnet to draw Third World regimes and "liberation close friend Celia Sanchez a long letter, preserved to movements" into the Soviet orbit. this day in Havana's Museum of the Revolution, con- fiding that after the expected triumph of the revolu- Fidel Castro as "Übermensch" tion he would begin an historic task of even greater magnitude and longer duration: a war to expel the An enormously egoistical tyrant, Fidel Castro will Americans from "the Americas." Besides discrediting rank someday as one of the twentieth century's most the once fashionable theory that the United States was formidable political figures. The imagination staggers responsible for pushing Castro into his pro-Soviet, as one ponders the "might-have-beens" of history anti-American policies, the letter sheds light on Cas- had Fidel Castro had at his disposal a stage larger than tro's intense self-consciousness and his belief that he that of Cuba in which to play out his powerful will and had been fated to play a world-historical role. American Review 23 The profound disappointments he encountered in alters its course. Castro also may have read and been his unsuccessful efforts through the early sixties to inspired by Hitler's Mein Kampf. What is clear is that "liberate" Latin America moved Castro towards an Castro's intellectual roots were not Marxist, but fas- increasingly more global conception of Cuban cist and Nietzschean. If he eventually became a Marx- involvement. Africa, suffering from the remnants of ist it was because in the late twentieth century and in colonialism, and full of revolutionary expectations the context of Cuba's peculiar geopolitical circum- and instability, was an ideal theatre for amplifying stances, Marxism was the only viable ideology that and realizing Castro's unfulfilled visions of leading an enabled him to be what he was first and foremost, a historic liberation struggle against the American- violent revolutionary. Thus, he was not a Marxist who dominated global western "imperium". turned to violent revolution as the best path to fulfill the Marxist vision, but a revolutionary who turned to The Cubans had supported the FLNA in the closing Marxism as the means to actualise his inner longings stages of Algeria's bloody civil war, and by the end of for violent struggle. Castro's glorification of violence the decade of the sixties, especially after the impetus during his guerrilla war against Batista was attractive provided by the "Tri-Continental" Conference, they to American liberals such as the influential New York were heavily involved throughout Africa. An interest- Times journalist Herbert Matthews who were capti- ing and largely unexpected turn of events unfolded. vated by Castro's bold brand of Latin "machismo". After the death of Che Guevara in the Bolivian jungles Despite Castro's early tergiversations for the benefit in 1967, Cuban activities in Latin America slowed of his domestic bourgeois sympathisers and the down for a decade and did not pick up again until the foreign media, his revolution was conceived in vio- Sandinistas began to gain momentum in their war lence, established and perpetuated by force of arms, against Somoza in 1978. Yet, during all this time the and continues to derive whatever ideological fervor tempo of Cuban involvement in Africa never slowed and sense of popular legitimacy it has left from its down, and it accelerated sharply following the disin- worship of violence and force as the ultimate arbiters tegration of the Portuguese empire in 1974 and the of history. collapse of American will brought about by the traumas of Watergate and defeat in Southeast Asia. The same can be said of Castro's obsession with the primacy of revolution as an end in itself, his belief in Thus, Castro's early failures and frustrations in revolution as the great and only significant force of Latin America only served to broaden his self-defined history in the late twentieth century the inevitable historical mission to include Africa, an intellectual and never-ending process by which societies around and psychological task in which he was confirmed by the globe will be liberated and set upon the road of the successes he had in the mid-seventies. By the constructing socialism. Only Cubans who have en- time he was elected leader of the non-aligned move- dured for three decades Castro's interminable ment in 1979, Castro saw himself no longer as a purely speeches and his wearisome efforts to build a Latin American figure, but as a Third World leader of revolutionary "man of the twenty-first century", and global stature, the undisputed champion of world- perhaps those mothers who have lost'sons in the far- wide revolutionary struggle who might justly aspire away jungles of Angola, can appreciate the almost to greater historical recognition for his impact on the pathological quality of this obsession. Again, the African stage than even any individual African revo- comparison with Hitler may be enlightening, if for no lutionary could claim. other purpose than to force skeptical Western analysts into taking seriously the authentic character In Castro's life and personality the intense con- of Castro's personality and belief-system, and the sciousness of an historic mission has gone hand in degree to which these, in spite of their apparent irra- hand with two other character traits that have shaped tionality or impracticality, shape his policies and considerably the particular expressions this con- those of the nation he rules. A belief in the primacy of sciousness has evinced. Those traits are a glorifica- revolution is for Castro what anti-semitism was for tion of military violence, and an obsession with Hitler: a highly irrational, impractical ideology which revolution as the all-consuming end of political life. may get in the way of the nation's true interests objec- As Irving Louis Horowitz and others have noted, tively considered, but which provides the Maximum militarism has been an essential component of Cas- Leader with the spiritual energy and sense of purpose tro's personality and ideology. The beliefs that law necessary for the fulfillment of his own greatness. If and politics grow out of the barrel of a gun, and that the Caribbean Sysiphus has been far more pragmatic all the critical factors of political life, either at the than the Nazi in the pursuit of his ideological dreams, domestic or the international level, are determined it is not because his vision is less-embracing but by the correlation of military forces and the will to use perhaps because Germany had just sufficient power them are among Castro's most deeply held convic- to tempt Hitler into believing that he could succeed. tions. As a young university student, he quickly Castro, with far greater constraints and highly depen- gained recognition for his skills as one of the leaders dent on his Soviet patrons, has to engage continu- of the gangster-like student gangs which roamed ously in the humbling process of adjusting his grand Havana's streets in the second half of the 1940s. He is designs to his limited capabilities. also known to have read the works of the Spanish falangist Jose Antonio Primo de Rivera, and it was While Castro's compulsive personality and beliefs through the latter that he may have come in contact have found a magnificent stage for their exhibition with Hegelian and Nietzschean notions of the "great and realisation in the disordered condition of the historical individual" who by the force of his will African continent over the last two decades, he has becomes an instrument of history and in so doing been driven there too by the internal necessities of 24 American Review maintaining his rule over Cuba. Revolutions need the oppressed people of southern Africa that Castro myths on which to run, and their dictators a grand can maintain, in his own mind and in that of his "raison" to provide them with the requisite legiti- people, that he is still historically necessary, that macy. Cuba still needs him in order to carry out the vital his- toric mission to which he has forced it to devote so By its nature, the Revolution can never stop. Were much of its energies and blood. That the USSR has it to stop, the great revolutionary leader would no supported him in this task, and has found him enor- longer have a reason for being, nor would his people mously useful for the furtherance of its long-term need him. The Revolution, and the leader with which strategic objectives, there is no doubt. It is even likely it has become synonymous in one of the most per- that in places like Ethiopia Castro's decision to send sonalistic political cults of the twentieth century, combat troops was in response to a Soviet request must be forever in motion. The problem is that, once that he do so. Yet, the dictator's peculiar sense of his again, the Cuban stage is too constricted and rickety historical role, his cult of violence and revolution, for the leader's dynamic energies. A moribund and the necessities of preserving a personalistic economy that is as dependent today as it was in 1959 regime founded on such values go far towards ex- on the export of sugar to a superpower (81 per cent of plaining the strategic impetus and operational total exports); chronic bureaucratic inefficiency, cor- dynamics of Cuba's African interventions. Castro's ruption and an ever thriving black market; large geopolitical vision of Africa, then, is that of a vast reservoirs of apathy, disillusionment and outright stage in which to demonstrate, to a degree denied to cynicism among the younger generation that was him in his own continent, his character as one of the supposed to herald the coming of a new revolution- great historical individuals of this century. ary man (45 per cent of Cuba's population is under 21); and a general sense that the country is falling rapidly behind the cultural and technological Future prospects advances of the civilised world, and even of such Socialist countries as Hungary; this is hardly the stuff The diplomatic accord reached among the govern- with which to keep alive the Revolution and its ments of Angola, Cuba, South Africa and the United mythology. States on November 15, 1988 raises the question of Castro's future moves in southern Africa. It is possi- Even the Latin American stage, while larger than ble to see this accord as a successful manoeuvre on Cuba's in its geopolitical space, appears equally the part of the United States to achieve the goal it has unpromising. With a few exceptions such as the San- long sought- to get the Cuban troops out of southern dinistas and various small radical groups, the bulk of Africa. If, as prescribed by the agreement's terms, Latin America's left, while still outwardly adoring of Cuba withdraws its combat forces within the next 27 Castro and awed by his powers of resistance and months, leaving in Angola only small contingents of political imagination, no longer looks to Cuba as a trainers and advisors, South Africa's future security model of development. This is especially the case of options will have been enhanced. Pretoria's decision the new generation of Latin American social demo- in the spring of 1988 not to escalate the conflict by crats who have come to power in Brazil, Argentina, responding to Castro's forceful military moves in Peru and Venezuela, and who in various ways have southern Angola would then be seen in retrospect as made their peace, however grudgingly, with the politically wise; by allowing the Cubans to claim a superpower to the north. For all their Third World military victory of sorts, Pretoria made it possible for rhetoric, they have decided that their countries' Castro to leave Angola. He would not have agreed to future lies with the capitalist West and its economic withdraw his combat forces in a situation where he and political arrangements rather than with the would have appeared as having sustained a humiliat- unpromising path of revolutionary violence and per- ing defeat. The Cubans are now free to claim that they petual struggle offered by Castro. While they treat "defeated" the South African Defence Force and con- Castro with respect and a degree of sympathy, they tributed to Namibia's "liberation", but all the same consider him essentially an anchronism, and a some- the reality is that their combat troops will be going what dangerous one at that. home, leaving South Africa more secure militarily than if they remained in the region. Thus, the Maximum Leader has had to look beyond his own country and beyond the hemisphere whose Undoubtedly, Castro will remain militarily liberation he swore to carry out as part of his histori- involved in the area. He will continue to post advisers cal mandate, in order to find a credible setting in and trainers in Angola, as he does now in several which to legitimate his role as the Revolution's guar- other African nations. If SWAPO comes to power in dian and justify the indispensability of his continued Namibia, the Cubans also will try to gain influence rule over his native land. The Revolution, initially a over the new regime by offering their assistance in Cuban and later a Latin American affair, has been the training of a SWAPO army. It is difficult to predict transmuted into a global cause as its original how far the Cubans will succeed in this effort. There intended beneficiaries have grown indifferent to it or are elements within SWAPO which are well aware of become skeptical of the need for its perpetuation. Namibia's economic dependence on South Africa, And once again, the African continent has been the and who realise that economic and political co- sole stage where this role has proven feasible. It is operation between both countries will be essential to there that Castro can claim that the Revolution, or at Namibia's future economic development. If preva- least its dimension of military violence and struggle, lent within a SWAPO government, such elements still lives. It is by portraying himself as a liberator of would discourage any excessively close ties with the American Review 25 Cubans that might alienate Pretoria. Certainly, one open to discussion, it is difficult to predict what Cas- can expect South Africa to use its considerable tro's response to such developments would be. As I economic and diplomatic leverage over Namibia to have argued, there are powerful forces within him- discourage a large Cuban military presence there. self and within the very structure of his regime pro- pelling him towards political and military involve- Many analysts suggest that the Soviet Union is ment in African affairs, even if in the future the levels apparently undergoing a slow but perceptible re- and scope of that involvement are somewhat cur- orientation of its foreign and economic policies that tailed. As of late 1988, political shrewdness, military may put pressure on Castro to liquidate much of his preparedness, and readiness to anticipate future involvement in Africa and settle down to increase the bold moves on his part remain far better guides to efficiency of the ailing Cuban economy. Even if such policy when dealing with Fidel Castro than any pre- apparent tendencies in Soviet policy were to coalesce mature expectations of his withdrawal from the stage into a definitive trend, something which in itself is of African, or for that matter, world politics. Cunene River ANGOLA ZAMBIA Ruacana Katima Mulilo Oshakati Ondangwa Caprivi Rundu Kaokoveld Ovambo Kavango Skeleton Coast Tsumeb Grootfontein Bushmanland Damaraland SOUTH WEST AFRICA/NAMIBIA Okahandja Rössing Swakopmund Gobabis Windhoek Walvis Bay (South Africa) Rehoboth Gebiet Rehoboth Tswanaland Desert Namin BOTSWANA Gibeon Namaland ATIANTIC Lüderitz Keetmanshoop OCEAN River REPUBLIC OF Oranjemund Orange SOUTH AFRICA IAS 26 merican Review Carl Nöffke outhwestern Africa the Myths and the Realities The question could be asked why the Institute for American Studies arranged a special symposium on Cuba's role in Africa and now devotes a special edition of this quarterly to the issue. The answer is clear. The Institute analyses issues and developments in North America and the Caribbean which could influence events in southern Africa. The peace initiative in south-western Africa in which the United States, the USSR and Cuba played important roles is of interest to the Institute and also of the utmost importance to the subcontinent of southern Africa. S outhwestern Africa is, hopefully, moving to April 1: D-day for SWA/Namibia with the United wards peace. However, because of a skilful Nations General Assembly formally accepting a reso- programme of disinformation, the realities of lution providing for the implementation of the peace the political road ahead and the disastrous Cuban plan. UN Resolution 435 of 1978 becomes operative. military involvement in Angola remain obscure. There is a formal cessation of hostilities by South Africa and Swapo with both forces restricted to their Our Institute for American Studies analyses issues bases-although a de facto ceasefire has been in exis- and developments in North America and the Carib- tence for some time. The UN Special Representative bean which could have an influence of southern and his staff arrive in Windhoek, UN military person- Africa. nel (UNTAG) start monitoring military and police activ- ity inside SWA/Namibia and possible infiltration from The peace initiative in southwestern Africa in across the Angolan border. The Special Representative which the United States, the USSR and Cuba played starts liaising with neighbouring governments about important roles is of interest to our Institute and of transitional procedures. All political prisoners and the utmost importance to the subcontinent of south- detainees are released, ern Africa. May 13: South African military forces are reduced Cuba has been actively involved in Africa for more to 12 000 men, still confined to bases. The UN Com- than two decades. During 1962 and 1963 Che Guevara missioner for Refugees begins implementing con- and Raúl Castro, brother of Fidel, initially involved tingency plans to assist exiles wishing to return to Cuba in Congo Brazzaville. Since that period Cuba SWA/Namibia. All remaining discriminatory laws and has been involved in more than 15 countries in Africa, restrictive measures are repealed. including Nigeria, Chad, Guinea, Libya, Mali, Al- geria, Tunisia, Tanzania, Uganda, Ethiopia, Egypt, Zambia, Angola and Mozambique. Despite the peace process underway, US Cuban soldiers arrived in Angola 15 years ago. In intelligence sources indicate that Cuba fact, they arrived seven months before South Africa came to the rescue of UNITA when the MPLA dis- has shipped chemical weapons to Angola. carded the Alvor agreement which provided for the MPLA, UNITA and the FNLA to form a joint govern- mental structure before free elections. The ideal of free elections was never pursued. The original force June 3: The repatriation of exiles-including Swapo level of a small number of military advisors in 1974 soldiers-starts under UN supervision.through desig- had increased to more than 50 000 at the end of 1988. nated entry points into SWA/Namibia. The present peace initiative will, hopefully, end the June 24: South African forces are reduced to 1 500 conflict in Angola and create an independent South men confined to bases at Oshivello and Grootfon- West.Africa/Namibia. tein. All military installations on the SWA/Angola bor- der should by now either be deactivated or put under UN Security Council Resolution 435, which pro- civilian control under UN supervision. The military vides for the independence of South West Africa/ section of UNTAG should by now be fully deployed Namibia, includes constitutional guidelines. The and have assumed responsibility for hospitals, power Angolan peace agreement requires South Africa to stations and other installations previously protected begin implementing Resolution 435 on April 1, 1989. by the South African military. In terms of the agreement the peace plan will be June 25: The election process in SWA/Namibia implemented as follows: starts. Meanwhile, across the border in Angola, a American Review 27 ANGOLA: AIRCRAFT DELIVERIES VS. LOSSES PERIOD 1984-88 97 77 100 87 80 66 34 60 40 26 20 0 IAS Other types Fighters Helicopters Total losses Total deliveries parallel process of disengagement involving Cuban Despite the peace process, US intelligence sources forces is also underway. From April 1 Cuban forces indicate that Cuba has shipped chemical weapons to should have been departing for Havana at the rate of Angola, apparently to help the MPLA regime repel 3 500 a month. By August 1 the reamining Cubans attacks by UNITA forces after the withdrawal of should be moved. north of the 15th parallel - a line Cuban forces. The chemical weapons, believed to about 350 km north of the Namibian border,running include the lethal agents Soman, Sarin and Tabun, roughly from the harbour town of Namibe across are being stored in Luanda. Lubango to Cuito Cuanavale. Moreover, the massive concentration of Angolan November 1: Election day in SWA/Namibia. The troops and military equipment in south-east Angola Cuban forces should by now be reduced by half (at suggests that an offensive against UNITA may be least 25 000 should have left Angola already). The rest launched shortly. Informed sources in the Angolan should be confined to bases north of the 13th parallel capital believe that if offers of amnesty are rejected by - about 550 km from the SWA/Namibian border and UNITA, the MPLA regime will attempt to destroy north of the Benguela railway line. UNITA once and for all. US officials have time and time again praised the The total number of FAPLA troops known to USSR for helping in bringing about the peace deal. US State Department officials believe the Soviet have been killed during the 1987 and 1988 Union will exert pressure on the MPLA to deal a involvement of South African forces in death-blow to UNITA. Angola is 4 768. In the same period South Among the influential Americans expressing con- Africa lost 31 men. cern in one way or another has been Dr Henry Kis- singer, former US Secretary of State. He has called for a watertight verification agreement to ensure all November 8: The South African administration of Cuban troops leaving Angola, while warning against SWA/Namibia is formally ended and a Constituent American euphoria at Soviet President Mikhail Gor- Assembly of those elected is convened. bachev's "new thinking". Drawing on his experi- ences in trying to settle the Vietnam conflict, he said April 1990: 75 per cent of the Cuban military in the Communist members of the verification panel Angola has left. would never find a violation of the agreement, no matter how obvious. July 1, 1991: All Cuban personnel and equipment must be out of Angola. The United States administration has made it clear 28 American Review that it expects United Nations officials monitoring the 1 ZSU-23-4 23 mm multiple anti-aircraft gun Cuban troop withdrawal from Angola to do their job 5 bunker vehicles (supplier) properly. The US statement came after the warning 4 radio vehicles issued by Mr R F Botha, South Africa's Minister of 5 radar systems. Foreign Affairs, that the entire series of inter-locking peace agreements reached between South Africa, Experts estimate that hidden costs, such as actual Angola and Cuba could be endangered if any of the running costs and the training and deployment of parties did not fulfil their commitments. Mr Botha's new troops, will eventually amount to the entire warning followed a reported comment by Brigadier- MPLA military budget for 1988-1989. General Pericles Ferreira Gomes, the UN Chief Mili- tary Observer in Luanda, that the UN verification mis- Four basic considerations prompted South Africa sion would rely on the word of Angola and Cuba. to become involved during 1987 and 1988 in Angola: Cuban sources have argued repeatedly that the (a) the importance of supporting UNITA as part of peace agreement follows Cuban military successes in South Africa's strategy for the protection of its Angola. own interests in a regional context; Facts, however, dispute this assertion. (b) the continued terrorist threat which SWAPO, Since the phase of the Angolan Civil War which actively supported by FAPLA, could exert on began in May 1987, South Africa's involvement in Kavango and the Caprivi if given free reign in Angola remained supportive of UNITA and was Angola's Sixth Military Region in the South; strictly limited and controlled. (c) the direct terrorist threat posed to the South West In contrast to the vast Cuban and FAPLA forces, African/Namibia population and the infrastructure there were never, during that period, more than in Kavango and the Caprivi; and 3 000 South African troops in Angola. (d) opposition to the establishment of ANC camps The total number of FAPLA troops known to have and terrorist training facilities in the south of been killed during the 1987 and 1988 involvement of Angola which would facilitate incursions into South African forces in Angola totals 4 768. South Africa; and South Africa's responsibility as a regional power to stem the tide of southward In the same period South Africa lost 31 men. Soviet expansionism from its Angolan stronghold. As early as March 1987 it was clear FAPLA intended South Africa also lost three tanks, four infantry launching an offensive into Angolan territory under combat vehicles, one fighter aircraft and one light air- UNITA control. The FAPLA/Cuban/Soviet alliance had craft in operations in South-East Angola. been stockpiling arms and equipment in the Sixth Military Region, which has as its headquarters FAPLA's losses were: Menongue, the Three military region with its head- quarters at Luena. Alarming quantities of new and 4 MiG-21 aircraft sophisticated Soviet military hardware were also 8 MiG-23 aircraft arriving on an almost daily basis at Luanda harbour. 2 Su-22 aircraft Moreover, there had been substantial troop move- 8 helicopters ments in these regions. 94 tanks 2 BTS-4 armoured personnel carriers 9 BMP-1 infantry fighting vehicles 32 BRDM-2 reconnaissance vehicles 65 BTR-60 armoured personnel carriers The FAPLA campaign against Mavinga was 3 BM-14 140 mm multiple rocket launchers 33 BM-21 122 mm multiple rocket launchers a total failure. 3 B-10 82 mm recoilless rifles 2 120 mm mortars 4 60 mm mortars 7 AGS-17 30 mm grenade launchers 3 GRAD I-P 122 mm single tube rockets It became apparent that FAPLA would launch two 7 TMM bridges (vehicle-mounted) independent, but concurrent and supporting offen- 372 logistics vehicles sives in these two regions. In the eastern sector of 7 SA-8 mobile missile systems (with radar) Three Military Region the town of Lucusse was 3 SA-9 mobile missiles (no radar) developed as the primary base for the launching of a 5 SA-13 mobile missiles with radar (upgraded) two-pronged offensive into Cassamba and Can- 33 SA 14/16 shoulder-launched surface-to-air gamba. missiles 11 D-30 122 mm howitzers This was done in an attempt to occupy fully the 4 M-46 130 mm field guns attention of UNITA troops in the area. This, believed 20 ZU-23 23 mm anti-aircraft guns FAPLA, would prevent the UNITA forces in the area American Review 29 from being re-deployed to help counter the main The next phase was a planned march on and cap- FAPLA offensive against Mavinga. ture of Mavinga, which was to be followed by an offensive against the UNITA stronghold at Jamba. The campaign was a total failure. UNITA elements penetrated to the rear of the advancing columns where they harassed logistics, while others effec- At least one platoon; of Cuban soldiers was tively engaged the advancing columns with light artil- attached to each FAPL brigade used in the offensive described above. lery, forcing both columns to retreat to Lucusse. Further south, in the Sixth Military Region, Cuito Operation Modular Cuanavale was developed as the base for the launch of the main offensive eastwards towards Mavinga. The South African Defence Force (SADF) did not The deployment was completed by August 14, 1987. support UNITA in Three Military Region (Luena). UNTAG DEPLOYMENTS IN SOUTH WEST AFRICA/NAMIBIA Mpacha/ Katima Mulilo 40 40 Ruacana TRANS 40 Ondangwa 70 70 Rundu 70 Opuwo 40 150 Grootfontein 70 550 (-) TRANS 100 CIV C 135 SPT 50 Swakopmund 20 EMI SPT 75 Windhoek MP 22 750 (+) 200 Walvis Bay O 12 TRANS 50 Mudicidi TRANS 50 TRANS 20 6 75 540 I 100 120 I 135 600 40 MP 5 20 220 ADM 80 5 MP 5 MP 10 SPT 200 1 4 8 H 230 I 2 IT 80 Keetmanshoop 230 IAS 30 However it was decided that should UNITA request Accordingly during August and September it was help in that area, SADF liaison teams would be sent to decided that long-range artillery would be deployed evaluate the situation. to give UNITA added fire support, and a mechanised element would assist in stopping the advancing 47th According to instructions received from the Chief FAPLA Brigade south of the Lomba river. As a result 47 of the SADF, it was decided that the SADF would sup- Brigade was prevented from establishing a bridge- port UNITA in the development of an anti-tank plan head for the other brigades. to neutralise the FAPLA armoured fighting vehicles and, if necessary, SA Air Force assistance would be The FAPLA forces were however, still in a position sought. to threaten Mavinga. Various attempts were made to build bridges over the Lomba river but none of these The FAPLA offensive was launched on August 14, were successful because of the rout of 47 Brigade. 1987, following a dramatic increase in air transport The FAPLA elements and equipment which was used missions to Cuito Cuanavale during the preceding in these attempts were decimated by UNITA, SADF months. and SWA Territory Force elements. The single FAPLA brigade which was lodged east of the Cuito River at Tumpo was reinforced by deploy- ment of a further four brigades. The FAPLA bridge- head at the Cuito River was extended at the rate of The offensive was halted on October 3, several kilometres a day, while Cuito Cuanavale was 1987. By then remnants of 47 Brigade had re-activated as a Frontline Command Post. fled northwards under cover of darkness At this stage, following UNITA'S request; the SADF and linked up with 59 Brigade, leaving all deployed a limited amount of artillery south of the their equipment behind in abandoned Lomba River to supply added fire support to the positions. UNITA soldiers. By now, UNITA had both regular and semi-regular battalions deployed East of Cuito Cuanavale. The FAPLA forces were uncertain exactly where and On September 13 and 14 six fierce battles took how much support the SADF would give UNITA. The place during which a FAPLA tactical group was put to long logistical lines and a badly damaged infrastruc- flight, 382 FAPLA soldiers killed, six tanks and a vari- ture as a result of prolonged UNITA actions were ety of other vehicles and weapons captured. another problem area, and most worrisome was a marked decline in the motivation and morale of In these engagements the SADF and SWA Territory FAPLA forces, a situation which was to deteriorate Force lost six men, three armoured personnel car- even further when Cuban and Russian elements were riers. An additional two armoured personnel carriers seen to be evacuating the battle area. were damaged. UNITA and the SADF also faced long logistical lines The offensive was halted on October 3, 1987. By to support the limited SADF involvement, with the then remnants of 47 Brigade had fled northwards area of operations far removed from SADF bases. under cover of darkness and linked up with 59 Brigade, leaving all their equipment behind in aban- doned positions. During the initial stages of the conflict in the Sixth Military Region, FAPLA forces were close to their sup- The FAPLA forces thus lost an additional 250 troops ply and air bases and they could therefore choose the and the following equipment was destroyed or cap- most advantageous time to initiate an advance. tured: UNITA, on the other hand, was and is well 120 logistical vehicles acquainted with the area and the terrain, and they 18 tanks had been able to prepare the battlefield by, for exam- 16 armoured personnel carriers ple, laying mines. This task was further aided by the 6 122 mm artillery guns fact that due to various reasons including water 5 armoured reconnaissance vehicles supplies, FAPLA was limited to certain routes of 3 anti-aircraft batteries advance. UNITA was also able to limit the effective- 3 infantry combat vehicles ness of the Angolan Air Force with their anti-aircraft 1 anti-aircraft surface-to-air missile system weapons. Their troops were extremely well moti- (SAM-8 System consisting of 3 vehicles) vated and this situation continued to improve as the 2 anti-aircraft surface-to-air missile systems war progressed. (SA-9 systems) As the FAPLA forces continued to advance the real FAPLA was thus forced to retreat and regrouped extent of their sophisticated weaponry, which close to the original positions from which the included artillery and tanks, was revealed. They were advance had started. also bringing in reinforcements. It became increas- ingly clear that added reinforcements for UNITA The 21st and 16th Brigades were deployed at the were necessary. source of the Chambinga River, while 59 Brigade and American Review 31 a tactical group were based between the Vimpulo and been given orders tobegin a process of tactical disen- Mianei rivers. In the battles which preceded this mass gagement. retreat, one of the critical factors proved to be South Africa's G-5 155 mm gun/howitzer and the profes- The disengagement was taking place under opera- sionalism of the gunners. tional circumstances which meant that the forces involved had to be continuously mindful of the on- By mid-October, the long-distance G-5 guns, going conflict in the area. The South African Minister which have a maximum range of 39 km, were bom- of Defence, General Magnus Malan, added at the barding military targets in Cuito Cuanavale and the time that this withdrawal could include offensive vital FAPLA airstrip was rendered useless. action, as detailed above. At about the same time, South African tanks were Extreme care had to be taken to ensure the safety of ordered into action and became the first to be used the soldiers involved, and to ensure that UNITA was operationally since World War Two. in a position to maintain the objectives which it had been helped to secure. Between 9 and 16 November 1987, South African forces in support of UNITA were involved in further action against FAPLA forces at the source of the "This being an ongoing military operation, the Chambinga and Hube rivers. In the fierce fighting untimely release of information which the enemy which ensued, 525 FAPLA troops were killed while could use, like time scales, can jeopardise the safety South Africa lost 16 men. After the FAPLA forces were of our forces," General Malan said. "Concern for the forced to retreat, UNITA/SA troops captured or soldiers involved and the maintenance of that which destroyed the following: has been achieved is of primary importance in this process, so much so that the Chief of the Defence 33 tanks Force, Chief of the Army, the Surgeon-General and 15 armoured personnel carriers other senior officers regularly visit the area to satisfy 111 logistical vehicles themselves that all is going according to plan," Gen- 3 SA-13 surface-to-air missile systems (SAM's). eral Malan added. Operation Hooper I have briefly sketched the background to some of the most recent battles in Angola. It should be By mid-December 1987 FAPLA was still sending emphasised that South Africa has never, since 1974, reinforcements - including Cuban troops and T62 utilised its immense military power, backed up by a tanks - to the front, concentrating them in the Cuito sophisticated industrial base, in southern Africa. Cuanavale area. The question now is simply Cuba - Africa: Quo One of the positive effects of this move for UNITA Vadis? We know that Cuba has virtually insurmount- and South Africa was that it made the G-5 artillery able economic difficulties and is suffering from what bombardments on the area far more effective, and' appears to be a grave unemployment problem. Will desperate enemy attempts were made to locate the Cuba be able to accept the return of 50 000-plus sites of the guns which were inflicting such heavy troops without catastrophic political repercussions? losses. Hopefully the adventurism of President Fidel Cas- Operation Hooper was designed and aimed at tro has come to an end with the signing of the South- assisting UNITA in clearing the area between the west-African Peace Accord. Cuatir II and the Chambinga rivers of remaining FAPLA forces, thereby preventing a repetition of the Hopefully he has learnt the lessons of the past, offensive. namely that nations only go to military means when their own interests are at stake. Clearly the aggres- A series of attacks followed during which FAPLA siveness and preposterousness of President Castro is lost an estimated 480 men and a large portion of their totally out of touch with the global mood in the final military equipment while South Africa lost seven year of the eighties. In a speech on January 4, 1989, crewmen and some equipment. honouring the 30th anniversary of the Cuban revolu- tion, President Castro softened his earlier blunt criti- Meanwhile UNITA had been maintaining relentless; cisms of the Soviet Union by accusing the United pressure on FAPLA strongholds elsewhere in Angola. States of undermining the December 22, 1988 Brazza- Several towns, including strategic points along the ville Accords for the independence of SWA/Namibia. vital Benguela railway line, had been secured by The United States had taken the lead in an initiative in UNITA during the past few months. This strategy is the United Nations to reduce its peace-keeping clearly paying handsome dividends for UNITA. force: Dr Castro said US backing for the reduction proposal should prompt Third World nations to Tactical Disengagement begin a movement to reform the structure of the United Nations to boost their influence. His state- In the meantime the overall situation was such that ments appear to indicate an unwillingness to accept on December 5, 1987, the Chief of the SADF, General the status quo. Jannie Geldenhuys, was able to announce that mem- bers of the SADF and the SWA Territory Force had Finally, Cuba- Africa: Quo Vadis? 32 American Review ANGOLA: MILITARY DEPLOYMENT CABINDA 2 ZAIRE Soyo 10 1 18 Uige 10 8 9 Luanda Malanje Saurimo 7 Waco Kungo 13°S 4 2 Lobito Luena 19 Benguela Munhango 14 4 Lucusse Huambo 14 Bie 3 ATLANTIC OCEAN 11 Lubango Menongue 15°S Namibe 5 Cuito Cuanavale ZAMBIA 6 SOUTH WEST AFRICA/NAMIBIA Key: Fapla brigades Cuban regiments IAS INSTITUTE FOR AMERICAN STUDIES RAND AFRIKAANS UNIVERSITY The Institute for American Studies at the Rand Afrikaans University functions on an inter- and multi-disciplinary basis. The aim is to provide South Africans with in-depth knowledge and understanding of American Policy, Gov- ernment, Business and Society in general. 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