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Weekly Briefing Notes, 8/11/1975
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36714167
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Weekly Briefing Notes, 8/11/1975
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William J. Baroody Files (Ford Administration)
William Baroody's Copies of "Weekly Briefing Notes on U.S. Domestic Developments"
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Environmental Protection Agency. 12/2/1970-
Crime
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1975-08-31
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1975
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1975
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The original documents are located in Box 37, folder "Weekly Briefing Notes, 8/11/1975" of the William J. Baroody Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Copyright Notice The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Gerald R. Ford donated to the United States of America his copyrights in all of his unpublished writings in National Archives collections. Works prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public domain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to remain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid copyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Digitized from Box 37 of the William J. Baroody Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library * * * 73 * * 4 * * = * OFFICE OF THE VICE PRESIDENT WASHINGTON August 14, 1975 Mr. Baroody: Here is this week's copy of the Weekly Briefing Notes prepared for the President and the Vice President. FORD ; LIBRARY 078830 Och Dick Allison WEEKLY BRIEFING NOTES ON U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS Prepared for the President and the Vice - President FORD & LIBRARY GERALD AUGUST 11, 1975 COMPILED BY THE FEDERAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM Coordinated by the Bureau of the Census at the request of the Statistical Policy Division, Office of Management and Budget Vincent P. Barabba, Director Joseph W. Duncan, Bureau of the Census Deputy Associate Director for Statistical Policy Office of Management and Budget SOURCES OF DATA Productivity Indexes U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Productivity: An International Perspective" U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics Raw Steel Production American Iron and Steel Institute, "Production of Iron and Steel" Assembly and Sales of Motor Vehicles "Ward's Automotive Reports" Retail Sales U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "Monthly Retail Trade Report" Wholesale Trade U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "Monthly Wholesale Trade Report" Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders of Durable Goods U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census "Manufacturers" Export Sales and Orders of Durable Goods" Wholesale Price Index U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Wholesale Price Index" Consumer Credit Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Statistical Release G.19, "Con- sumer Credit" Common Stock Prices Standard and Poor's, "Standard and Poor's Stock Price Index" Interest Rates Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Statistical Release H.9, "Weekly Summary of Banking and Credit Measures" Spanish Population U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "Current Population Reports," Series P-20 (Forthcoming) FORD if LIBRARY GERALD Week of August 11, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION A-General Economic Indicators Part 1-National Income and Product A.1.1 Gross National Product X A.1.2 Personal Income X A.1.3 Corporate Profits X A.1.4 Federal Receipts and Expenditures X A.1.5 Business Investment X Part 2-Employment and Unemployment A.2.1 Unemployment Rate X A.2.2 Duration of Unemployment X A.2.3 Unemployment Insurance X A.2.4 Labor Turnover X A.2.5 Help Wanted Index X Part 3-Hours, Earnings and Productivity A.3.1 Average Workweek, Manufacturing X A.3.2 Compensation Per Man-hour X A.3.3 Productivity Indexes X A.3.4 Real Earnings X A.3.5 Work Stoppages X Part 4-Production and Trade A.4.1 Industrial Production Index X A.4.2' Production of Primary Metals X A.4.3 Assembly of Cars and Trucks X A.4.4 Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders X A.4.5 Capacity Utilization X A.4.6 Retail Sales X A.4.7 Wholesale Trade: Sales and Inventories X A.4.8 Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales X A.4.9 Manufacturers' Evaluation of Their Inventories X Part 5-Foreign Trade and Balance of Payments GERALD FORD LIBRARY A.5.1 Exports and Imports X A.5.2 Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders of Durable Goods X A.5.3 Balance of Payments X A.5.4 Foreign Travel X Part 6-Prices A.6.1 Consumer Price Index X A.6.2 Wholesale Price Index X A.6.3 Tuesday Spot Market Price Index X Week of August 11, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION A-General Economic Indicators (Continued) Part 7-Construction A.7.1 Housing Construction X A.7.2 Value of New Construction Work Done X Part 8-Energy, Raw Materials, and Commodities A.8.1 Distribution of Electric Power X A.8.2 Production and Consumption of Fossil Fuels X Part 9-Agriculture A.9.1 Farm Income and Expenses X Part 10-Money and Credit A.10.1 Money Stock Measures X A.10.2 Bank Reserves X A.10.3 Consumer Credit X A.10.4 Common Stock Prices X A.10.5 U.S. Government Securities X A.10.6 Business Credit X A.10.7 Interest Rates Part 11-Indicators of Business Activity A.11.1 Composite Index of Leading Indicators A.11.2 Number of New Business Incorporations X X X A.11.3 Number of Business Failures SECTION B-General Social Indicators GERALD FOR LIBRARY Part 1-Population B.1.1 Population Estimates - Total Population X - Total Population by Age, Sex, and Race - Rate of Growth - Components of Change (Births, Deaths, Net Immigration) - Population Projections - Abortion B.1.2 Population Distribution X X X X X X X - Population by Size of Place - Population in Rural and Urban Areas B.1.3 Migration - Recent Movers X - Migration by Region X Week of August 11, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION B-General Social Indicators (Continued) Part 2-The Family B.2.1 Living Arrangements, Selected Characteristics - Age, Sex, and Race X - Single Person Households X - Children Living With Single Parents X - Average Family Size X B.2.2 Family Formation and Dissolution - Marital Status of the Population X - Marriage and Divorce Rates X - Marriages Ending in Divorce X B.2.3 Attitudes Towards Family Life X Part 3-Health B.3.1 Life Expectancy - At Birth X - At Selected Ages X - Death Rates by Cause X X - Leading Causes of Death X - Infant Mortality X X B.3.2 Disability - Days of Disability by Type X - Institutionalized Population X - Disability by Degree of Limitation and Cause X - Short-Term Disability X B.3.3 Morbidity - Communicable Diseases - Acute Illness GERALE FORD X B3.4 Health Status - Nutrition Dietary Intake X Clinical Measurements X - Obesity X - Drugs Drug Deaths X Drug Abuse Episodes X Liquor Consumption X - Smoking X - Physical Fitness X - Perceived Health Status X Week of August 11, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION B-General Social Indicators (Continued) B.3.5 Health Care Delivery - Physician and Dental Visits X - Costs and Expenditures X - Facilities X - Personnel X - Attitudes Towards Health Care X Part 4-Education B.4.1 Educational Achievement by Sex, Race, Socioeconomic Status, Region - Math, Science, Reading, Writing X - Music, Art, Literature, Citizenship X B.4.2 Attainment - High School Graduation Rate X - The High School Educated Population by Race and Sex X - College Educated Population by Race and Sex X B.4.3 School Enrollment - Primary and Secondary School X - Preprimary by Age, Race, Income X - Modal Age Enrollment by Sex, Race X - High School Students Expecting to go to College X - College Entrance Rates by Sex, Race, Socioeconomic Status X - College Enrollment X - Participation in Adult Education X B.4.4 Educational Facilities and Personnel - Schools, Classrooms X - Teachers, Administrative, Others X 8.4.5 Costs and Expenditures - Expected Student Expenses, Higher Education X - Expenditures by Level of Government X Part 5-Work B.5.1 Labor Force, Employment and Unemployment - Labor Force Participation, Selected Characteristics X - Part-time, Part-year Workers, Selected Characteristics X - Employment by Occupation, Selected Characteristics X - Unemployment, Selected Characteristics X X - Discouraged Workers X B.5.2 Earnings - Median Earnings, Selected Characteristics X Week of August 11, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION B-General Social Indicators (Continued) B.5.3 Working Conditions - Regular and Overtime Hours, Selected Characteristics X - Work Injuries by Occupation X - Time, Distance, and Mode Transportation to Work X B.5.4 Benefits - Vacations, Holidays X - Benefit Plans X B.5.5 Retirement - Persons Retiring From Work X - Work-Life Expectancy X - Retirement Benefits X Part 6-Income, Consumption, and Wealth B.6.1 Income Levels - Median Family Income X - Composition of Family Income X - Per Capita Income X B.6.2 Distribution of Income - Age, Race, and Sex X - Regional Differences X B.6.3 Poverty X B.6.4 Consumption - Personal Consumption Expenditures X - Consumption of Durable Goods GEBALD ORD LIBRARY X B.6.5 Wealth - Net Worth of Consumer Units X - Composition of Wealth X B.6.6 Consumer Borrowing and Debt - Amount of Debt Outstanding X - Debt/Income Ratio X B.6.7 Consumer Attitudes X Part 7-Housing B.7.1 Housing Conditions - Average Size of Households X - Households Lacking Selected Facilities, by Size, Race, Tenure, and Location X - Average Persons Per Room X Week of August 11, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION B-Socioeconomic Series (Continued) B.7.2 Home Tenure - Single Family Dwellings X - Mobile Homes X - Condominiums and Other Multi-Unit Structures X - Vacation Homes X B.7.3 Cost and Expenditures - Average Mortgage Payments X - Upkeep and Maintenance X - Average Rental Payments X B.7.4 Attitudes Towards Housing and the Community X Part 8-Leisure and Recreation B.8.1 Use of Leisure Time X B.8.2 Recreation - Outdoor (Social, Active Sports, etc) X - Indoor (Television, Visiting, Other) X X Part 9-Public Safety B.9.1 Crimes Known to Police - Violent X X - Property X X B.9.2 Victims of Crime, Selected Characteristics - Violent X - Property X B.9.3 Fear of Crime, Selected Characteristics X B.9.4 Police Activity - Persons Arrested by Charge X - Offenses Cleared X B.9.5 Judicial Activity - Persons Sentenced for Federal Crimes X B.9.6 Prisoners, Adults and Juveniles - Prisoners by Sentence X - Average Length of Sentence X - Persons Executed and Sentenced to Death X - Average Prison Population X B.9.7 Expenditures for Administration of Criminal Justice X Week of August 11, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION C-Government Activity Part 1-Social Welfare and Security C.1.1 Social Security (OASDHI) - Current Beneficiaries X - New Beneficiaries X - Average Payment X C.1.2 Old Age Assistance - Benefits Paid X - Recipients X C.1.3 Aid to the Disabled - Blind X - Deaf X - Other X C.1.4 Aid to Families With Dependent Children - Recipients X - Benefits X C.1.5 Unemployment Insurance Coverage - Benefits Paid X - Recipients X C.1.6 Housing Assistance - Recipients X - Benefits X C.1.7 Food Stamps - Recipients X - Benefits X C.1.8 Aid to Disaster Victims - Recipients X - Benefits X C.1.9 Veterans Benefits 1080 - Recipients X - Benefits X LIBRARY Part 2-Equal Opportunity C.2.1 Equal Employment Opportunity - Minority Employment X - Earnings, Promotions, etc. X C.2.2 School Desegregation - Students Attending Predominantly Minority Schools X - Public/Private Enrollment, and Control X Week of August 11, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION C-Government Activity (Continued) Part 3-Government Operation C.3.1 Federal Employment - Employees X - Payroll X C.3.2 State and Local Employment - Employees X - Payroll X SECTION D-Environment, Science, Culture Part 1-Environment D.1.1 Air Quality - Amount of Pollutants Released Into the Atmosphere X - Ambient Air Quality-National, Major Cities X - Perceived Quality X D.1.2 Water Quality - Miles of Streams Meeting EPA Standards X - Oil Spills, Fish Kills X D.1.3 Hazardous Substances - Estimated Amounts Produced X - Concentration in Biosphere X D.1.4 Ecological Balances - Endangered Species (Plant and Animal) X - Critical Areas (Coastal Zones) X - Land/People Density X Part 2-Science D.2.1 Professionals in Basic Research - By Specialty X - Person Years of Scientists, Engineers Engaged in R&D X D.2.2 Expenditures for Research and Development - Private Industry X - Government X D.2.3 Science Achievement in Schools - Secondary Schools X - Higher Education X Week of August 11, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION D-Environment, Science, Culture D.2.4 Public Attitudes Towards Science and Technology X Part 3-Culture D.3.1 Persons Employed in Artistic Professions - By Type X D.3.2 Children's Skill and Appreciation of Literature Arts, Music X D.3.3 Participation in Cultural Activities - Voluntary Organizations X - Travel X - Hobbies, Sports, Music, etc. X D.3.4 Attendance at Cultural Events - Plays, Galleries, Motion Pictures X - Concerts, Museums, etc. X SECTION E-Selected Subjects DERALD FORD LIGRARY A.3.3 - Index of Unit Labor Costs (1967=100) THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TOTAL PRIVATE ECONOMY- - - 159.6 1.3% 10.8% INDEX INDEX 165 165 160 160 155 155 150 150 145 145 140 140 135 135 130 130 125 125 GERALD LIBRARY 120 120 115 115 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 11 AUGUST 1975 A.3.3 - Indexes of Unit Labor Costs Selected Components (1967=100) THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO PRIVATE NONFARM 159.2 1.0% 10.3% MANUFACTURING 141.0 2.3% 14.8% INDEX INDEX 160 160 150 150 140 140 130 130 120 120 110 110 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 11 AUGUST 1975 Unit Labor Costs in the Total Private Economy rose at a 5.2 percent annual rate, compared with a 10.7 percent annual rate increase one quarter earlier. In the Private Nonfarm Sector, Unit Labor Costs increased at a 3.9 percent annual rate. Slower rate of increase than in the first quarter, when these costs rose at an 11.4 percent annual rate. In the Manufacturing Sector, Unit Labor Costs rose at an annualized rate of 9.7 percent. Increase was considerably smaller than the first quarter annual increase of 23.6 percent. Smallest increase since the second quarter of 1974. FORD is LIBRARY GERALD A.4.2 - Weekly Production of Raw Steel Not Seasonally Adjusted THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO THOUSANDS PRODUCTION OF RAW STEEL 1,944 0.2% -28,5% THOUSANDS OF TONS OF TONS 3500 3500 3000 3000 2500 2500 2000 2000 1500 1500 1000 GERALD R. FORD 1000 500 500 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE 11 AUGUST 1975 Steel Production increased 1.7 percent for the four-week period ended August 2. The largest weekly increase in twenty-seven weeks occurred during the week ended July 19-Production up 3.0 percent. Production down 30.2 percent from 1975 high of 2,785 thousands of tons. FORD & LIBRARY GERALD A.4.3 - Retail Unit Sales of New Passenger Cars Seasonally Adjusted at Annual Rates THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TOTAL 9.1 7.1% -6.2% DOMESTIC 7.4 7.2% -11,9% MILLIONS IMPORTS 1.7 0.0% 21.4% MILLIONS OF UNITS OF UNITS 13.5 13.5 12.5 12.5 11.5 11.5 10.5 10.5 9.5 9.5 8.5 8.5 7.5 7.5 6.5 6.5 5.5 5.5 4.5 4.5 3.5 3.5 2.5 NEW ALD R. FORD IBRARD 2.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 11 AUGUST 1975 A.4.3 - Market Shares of Total New Car Sales Seasonally Adjusted at Annual Rates THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO DOMESTIC SHARE 81.3 1.6% -6.1% IMPORT SHARE 18,7 -6,5% +29,9% PERCENT PERCENT 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 11 AUGUST 1975 The July Sales of Total Retail Passenger Cars increased to an annual rate of 9.1 million cars, the highest since February 1975. The Sales Rate of Domestic Cars stood at 7.4 million, its highest point since last September. Meanwhile, Import Sales remained at the May level after increasing 13.3 percent in May. The Sales of Domestic Cars increased Domestic Share to 81.3 percent. Although up 1.6 percent over June, down 6.1 percent from a year ago. The Import Sales Share of 18.7 percent was the lowest share of the current year. FORD i LIBRARY 976839 Down 6.5 percent from June and up 30 percent from last year. A.4.6 - Monthly Retail Sales June Preliminary THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TOTAL RETAIL SALES $48.8 1.3% 9.3% TOTAL, EXCLUDING AUTOMOTIVE $40.1 0.5% 9.1% NONDURABLE GOODS $33.6 0.3% 9,9% BILLIONS DURABLE GOODS - - - $15.2 3.6% 8.1% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 50 50 45 45 40 40 35 35 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 GERALD FORD 10 LIBRARY 5 5 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 11 AUGUST 1975 A.4.6 - Monthly Retail Sales - Automotive Dealers THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO BILLIONS AUTOMOTIVE DEALERS, TOTAL $8.7 5.4% 1. 10,6% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 9.5 9.5 9.0 9.0 8.5 8.5 8.0 8.0 7.5 7.5 7.0 7.0 6.5 6.5 6.0 6.0 5.5 5.5 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 11 AUGUST 1975 Preliminary estimates for June showed Retail Sales rose 1.3 percent from May. Increase was due almost entirely to a 5.4 percent rise in Sales of Automotive Dealers. All other retail groups remained close to May levels. FORD & LIBRARY GERALD A.4.6 - Retail Sales for Selected Metropolitan Areas (Billions of Dollars) JUNE 1974 JUNE 1975 1.74 1.68 1.67 1.57 1.56 1.54 0.93 0.91 0.73 0.66 CHICAGO LOS ANGELES NEW YORK DETROIT SAN FRANCISCO ILL. LONG BEACH N.Y. MICH. CALIF. CALIF SOURCE: Bureau of the Census 11 AUGUST 1975 FORD & LIBRARY DERALD A.4.6 - Retail Sales of Chain Stores (Eleven or More Stores) THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO CHAIN STORES, TOTAL $15.3 1.2% 9.6% GENERAL MERCHANDISE, TOTAL $6.4 0.6% 8,5% BILLIONS GROCERY STORES - - - $5.7 1.9% 11.2% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 16 16 14 14 12 12 10 10 8 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 11 AUGUST 1975 Among the major metropolitan areas, San Francisco had the largest over-the-year increase, followed by Los Angeles. New York posted the only decrease. San Fransicso up 11.1 percent. Los Angeles-Long Beach up 8.6 percent. Chicago up 3.9 percent. Detroit up 1.5 percent. New York down 0.6 percent. FORD & LIBRARY OFRALD Chain Stores sales moved up for the second consecutive month. Grocery chains up 1.9 percent. A.4.7 - Sales of Merchant Wholesalers THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TOTAL $36.2 2.1% -3.0% NONDURABLE GOODS $21.2 3.6% 4.5% BILLIONS DURABLE GOODS $15.0 0.0% -11.8% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 40 40 35 35 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 RALD HERALD R. OR LIBRARY 5 5 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 11 AUGUST 1975 A.4.7 - Inventories of Merchant Wholesalers THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TOTAL $44.6 0.2% 5.4% DURABLE GOODS $27.6 -0.4% 12.5% BILLIONS NONDURABLE GOODS $17.1 1.1% -4.3% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 11 AUGUST 1975 Sales of Merchant Wholesalers continued the trend that was established in May. Total Sales increased for the second consecutive month, up 2.1 percent. Sales of Nondurable Goods, which accounted for almost the entire gain in Total June Sales, rose for the second month in a row. Sales of Durable Goods remained at the May level of $15.0 million. Total Inventories were valued at $44.3 billion at the end of June, virtually unchanged from May. First time Total Inventories had not decreased since February. Durable Goods stocks decreased 0.4 percent, up 12.5 percent from last year. Nondurable Goods showed a 1.1 percent increase, the first since February 1975. FORD & LIBRARY CERALD A.5.2 - Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders of Durable Goods THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TOTAL SALES $4,576 8.3% 23.1% TOTAL NEW ORDERS EXCLUDING $3,531 2.5% 19.3% MOTOR VEHICLES AND PARTS - TOTAL SALES EXCLUDING $3,665 5.6% 18.9% MILLIONS MOTOR VEHICLES AND PARTS MILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 5000 5000 4500 4500 4000 4000 3500 3500 3000 3000 2500 2500 2000 2000 1500 1500 GERALD R. FORD 1000 1000 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 11 AUGUST 1975 A.5.2 - Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders Machinery, Electrical and Nonelectrical THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO NEW ORDERS $2,190 12.2% 23.7% MILLIONS SALES - - - $2,267 10.9% 35.1% MILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 2500 2500 2200 2200 1900 1900 1600 1600 1300 1300 1000 1000 700 700 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 11 AUGUST 1975 Export New Orders placed with Durable Goods Manufacturers Excluding Motor Vehicle and Parts increased $85 million (2.5 percent). Second consecutive monthly increase. Total Export Sales rose $352 million from the revised May level. The increases in Machinery Sales and Orders accounted for the gains in this sector of the export market. Machinery Sales represented almost two-thirds of Total Sales. A $238 million increase in Machinery Orders substantially offset a $105 million decline in Aircraft Orders. FORD & LIBRARY GERALD A.6.2 - Wholesale Price Index (1967=100) THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO FARM PRODUCTS 193.7 6.6% 7.1% PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS 183.9 3.3% 10.2% ALL COMMODITIES 174.8 1.2% 8.7% INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES - 170,7 0.4% 8.5% INDEX INDEX 220 220 210 210 200 200 190 190 180 180 170 170 160 160 150 150 140 140 130 130 120 120 110 110 100 100 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 GERALD LIBRARY SOURCE:BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 11 AUGUST 1975 A.6.2 - Wholesale Price Index - Selected Farm Products THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO FRESH AND DRIED FRIUTS 205.5 7.8% 11.6% AND VEGETABLES GRAINS 225,8 10,6% -11,3% INDEX INDEX 300 300 275 275 250 250 225 225 200 200 175 175 150 150 125 125 100 100 75 75 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 11 AUGUST 1975 All Commodities rose 1.2 percent in July after a small decline in June. Industrial Commodities increased slightly in July. Have not shown a decline since February, 1971. Higher prices for Farm Products, Processed Foods and Feeds continue to dominate the pattern of change. Fresh and Dried Fruit and Vegetables up 7.8 percent. Grains up 10.6 percent. FORD & LIBRARY GERALD A.6.2 - Wholesale Price Index - Selected Processed Foods and Feeds THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO REFINED VEGETABLE OILS 216.2 22.8% -18.4% ANIMAL FATS AND OILS 427.1 45.3% 48.6% INDEX INDEX 500 500 450 450 400 400 350 350 300 300 250 250 200 200 150 150 100 100 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO SUGAR AND CONFECTIONERY 227.3 6.1% -7.4% MEATS, POULTRY, AND FISH - 203.0 3.0% 25.4% INDEX INDEX 500 500 450 450 400 400 350 350 300 300 250 250 200 200 150 150 FORD 100 100 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 GERAL, RARI SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 11 AUGUST 1975 A.6.2 - Wholesale Price Index - Selected Industrial Commodities THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO FUELS AND POWER 246.6 1,5% 11.2% HIDES, SKINS, LEATHER AND 149.3 0.4% 1.8% RELATED PRODUCTS INDEX INDEX 300 300 275 275 250 250 225 225 200 200 175 175 150 150 125 125 100 100 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 11 AUGUST 1975 The sharpest increases in Processed Foods and Feeds were Animal Fats and Oils, and Refined Vegetable Oils, up 45 percent and 23 percent respectively. Sugar and Confectionery up 6.1 percent from June, but down 7.4 percent from July 1974. First increase since November 1974 peak level of 422.8. Meats, Poultry, and Fish were up 25 percent from July, 1974. Fuels and related products and power were chiefly responsible for the July increase in Industrial Commodities. FORD is LIBRARY DERALD A.10.3 - Net Change in Consumer Credit Outstanding Total Credit THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO BILLIONS TOTAL $0.5 N/A N/A BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 -0.5 -0.5 -1.0 -1.0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 Installment and Noninstallment Credit THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO INSTALLMENT CREDIT $0.422 N/A N/A BILLIONS NONINSTALLMENT CREDIT $0.123 N/A N/A BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 -0.5 -0.5 ORD -1.0 1.0 1971 1972 RAL 1973 1974 1975 PRARI SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 11 AUGUST 1975 A.10.3 - Net Change in Consumer Credit Outstanding Components of Installment Credit THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO PERSONAL LOANS - - - $0,206 N/A N/A BILLIONS GOODS EXCEPT AUTOS $0.177 N/A N/A BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 -0.3 -0.3 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 11 AUGUST 1975 Consumers added $545 million to their outstanding credit in June, a sharp gain from May's $72 million increase. Noninstallment Credit rose $123 million, a narrower margin than the May net change of $197 million. Installment Credit Outstanding advanced by $422 million in June, after declining in six of the preceding seven months. The advance in Installment Credit reflected gains in Consumer Goods Except Automobiles and Personal Loans. Nonauto Consumer Installment Credit expanded $177 million accounting for 42.0 percent of the total gain in Installment Credit. Personal Loans rose $206 million, the largest increase since August 1974. FORD & LIBRARY GERALD A.10.3 - Consumer Installment Credit Extensions and Repayments THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO EXTENSIONS - $14.0 6.2% -2.9% BILLIONS REPAYMENTS $13.5 2.0% 2.1% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 15 15 14 14 13 13 12 12 11 11 10 10 9 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 GERA R. THEY 9 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 11 AUGUST 1975 A.10.3 - Consumer Installment Credit Extensions and Repayments Other Financial Lenders THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO EXTENSIONS - - - $2.1 5.4% 5.0% BILLIONS REPAYMENTS $1.8 -4.7% -1,6% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 2.50 2.50 2.25 2.25 2.00 2.00 1.75 1.75 1.50 1.50 1.25 1.25 1.00 1.00 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 11 AUGUST 1975 Both Extensions and Repayments of Consumer Installment Credit rose in June, although Extensions increased at a faster rate than Repayments. Extensions totaled $13.96 billion, up $810 million from the $13.15 billion volume in May. Repayments of Installment Debt reached a new high of $13.54 billion in June, an increase of $263 million from May. $21 million above the previous high of $13.52 billion in December 1974. Other Financial Lenders Credit Outstanding, which accounted for more than three-fourths of the increase in Personal Loans, totaled $335 million. FORD i LIBRARY 07V830 A.10.4 - Standard and Poor's Stock Price Indexes (1941-43=10) Not Seasonally Adjusted THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO 425 INDUSTRIALS 99.68 -1.5% 11.6% COMPOSITE-500 COMPANIES 88.83 -1.5% 12.0% INDEX INDEX 140 140 130 130 120 120 110 110 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 50 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: STANDARD AND POOR'S FORD & LIBRARY 9ERALD 11 AUGUST 1975 A.10.4 - Standard and Poor's Stock Price Indexes (1941-43=10) THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO UTILITIES 42.30 -1.9% 21.4% RAILROADS 36.26 -0.5% 1.0% INDEX INDEX 70 70 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: STANDARD AND POOR'S 11 AUGUST 1975 All four selected groups showed declines over the four-week period ended July 30. Standard and Poor's Composite Index of 500 Companies down 5.7 percent. 425 Industrials down 5.8 percent. Utilities down 4.3 percent. Railroads down 7.6 percent. Fourth consecutive weekly decline. The sharpest decline for all four groups occurred during the week ended July 23. FORD & LIBRANI GERALD A.10.7 - Short-Term Interest Rates Not Seasonally Adjusted THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO 3-MONTH TREASURY BILLS 6.28% 0.2% -19.9% PERCENT FEDERAL FUNDS 6.09% -2.6% -49.6% PERCENT PER ANNUM PER ANNUM 15 15 14 14 13 13 12 12 11 11 10 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 GERALD LIBRARY SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 11 AUGUST 1975 A.10.7 - Average Yield on 20-Year U.S. Government Bonds Not Seasonally Adjusted THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO PERCENT 20-YEAR U.S. GOVERNMENT BONDS 8.41% 2.4% -1.2% PERCENT PER ANNUM PER ANNUM 9.0 9.0 8.5 8.5 8.0 8.0 7.5 7.5 7.0 7.0 6.5 6.5 6.0 6.0 5.5 5.5 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNOR OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 11 AUGUST 1975 Interest Rates on 3-Month Treasury Bills posted a 5.0 percent increase over the four-week period ending August 2. Up 25.6 percent from the 1975 low of 5.00. The Federal Funds Rate dropped 4.0 percent during the week ended July 9, from a level of 6.31 to 6.06; but has increased 0.5 percent overall for the four-week period ended August 6. Up 18.7 percent from the 1975 low of 5.13. Long-Term Interest Rates (20-Year U.S. Government Bonds) up 3.7 percent for the five-week period ended August 6. FORD & LIBRARY GERALD E.1.1 - Number of Persons of Spanish Origin March 1975 Millions of Persons 12 11.20 11 10 9 8 7 6.69 6 5 4 3 2 1.67 143 1 0.74 067 0 Total Mexican Puerto Cuban Central Other Spanish Rican or South Spanish Origin American Source: Bureau of the Census 11 AUGUST 1975 FORD & LIBRARY GERALD In March 1975 there were 11.2 million persons in the United States who reported they were of Spanish origin. Most of these persons, about 6.7 million, or 60 percent, were of Mexican origin. Persons of Puerto Rican origin constituted about 1.7 million, or 15 percent of the Spanish origin population. In addition, there were 750 thousand persons of Cuban origin, 700 thousand of Central or South American origin, and 1.4 million of other Spanish origin. / - FORD & LIBRARY GERALD E.1.1 - Income Distribution of Families (All Families and Families of Spanish Origin, 1974) Percent Under $2,000 Percent $25,000 or Over 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 All 2.6% Families 11.5% Total 3.9% Spanish 4.8% Origin 4.3% Mexican 3.7% 3.2% Puerto Rican 2.5% Other 3.3% Spanish 8.9% Source: Bureau of the Census 11 AUGUST 1975 FORD & LIBRARI ERALD Family income in 1974 was lower for Spanish origin families than for all families in the Nation. The median family income in 1974 of Spanish origin families was $9,559, compared with $12,836 for all families. Only 5 percent of Spanish origin families had incomes over $25,000, but 12 percent of all families in the population had incomes over $25,000. FORD is LIBRAR 07V83 E.1.1 - Persons 25 Years Old and Over With 4 Years of High School or More (All Persons and Persons of Spanish Origin, March 1975) All Persons 62.6% Total Spanish Origin 379% Mexican 310% Puerto Rican 287% Cuban 51% Other Spanish 580% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Percent Source: Bureau of the Census 11 AUGUST 1975 FORD & LIBRARY GERALD Persons of Spanish origin lag behind the overall population in educational attainment. In March 1975 only 38 percent of the adults of Spanish origin were high school graduates, while 63 percent of all adults had completed high school. However, educational attainment gains are being made by younger persons of Spanish origin. FORD is LIBRARY GERALD