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1553556
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October 13, 1976 - Scowcroft, Ambassador Anthony D. Marshall (Kenya)
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1553556
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document
title
October 13, 1976 - Scowcroft, Ambassador Anthony D. Marshall (Kenya)
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Memoranda of Conversations (Nixon and Ford Administrations)
Ford Administration Memoranda of Conversations
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Kenya
Uganda
Foreign aid
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1553556
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13
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1976-10-13
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10
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1976
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13
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1976-10-13
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10
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1976
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File scanned from the National Security Adviser's Memoranda of Conversation Collection at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library la NATIONAL ARCHIVES AND RECORDS ADMINISTRATION Presidential Libraries Withdrawal Sheet WITHDRAWAL ID 018469 REASON FOR WITHDRAWAL National security restriction TYPE OF MATERIAL Memorandum of Conversation TITLE Scowcroft, Ambassador Anthony D. Marshall (Kenya) CREATION DATE 10/13/1976 VOLUME 3 pages COLLECTION/SERIES/FOLDER ID 031400987 COLLECTION TITLE National Security Adviser. Memoranda of Conversations BOX NUMBER 21 FOLDER TITLE October 13, 1976 - Scowcroft, Ambassador Anthony D. Marshall (Kenya) DATE WITHDRAWN 08/02/2004 WITHDRAWING ARCHIVIST GG Saintzal 12/6/04 Approved For Release 2004/12/06 : NLF-MUC-21-5-1-8 1a NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL 5766 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20506 GONFIDENTIAL/GDS MEMORANDUM OF CONVERSATION PARTICIPANTS: Brent Scowcroft Ambassador Anthony D. Marshall Robert S. Smith DATE & TIME: Wednesday - October 13, 1976 5:45 p.m. PLACE: Scowcroft's Office SUBJECT: Current Situation in Kenya Ambassador Marshall summarized the present security and political situation in Kenya. The GOK very much appreciated our moral support during the Uganda crisis. They believe this brought the Ugandans to the conference table. Ambassador Marshall remains pessimistic, however, about Uganda's capacity for destabilizing Kenya. He does not expect an invasion, but he does see the continu- ation and increase of terrorist activities from Uganda. Nevertheless, he thinks that the ultimate threat to Kenya comes from Somalawith Soviet support. He also sees Tanzania's economic difficulties and political policies affecting Kenya. Ambassador Marshall believes that our interests in Kenya are to see the country remain stable. Military and economic aid and political reassurances from us can help. He sees Kenya as a buffer among the East African states and a means of slowing down Soviet penetra- tion in East Africa. He believes that continuing stability in Kenya might even turn some of the other countries in the region to Kenya's way of thinking. [Note: Unfortunately, African rations do not learn economic stability from one another. Ambassador Marshall said we have excellent bilateral relations with Kenyatta. Kenyatta is very pleased to be receiving our arms aid CONFIDENTIAL/GDS Presidential Library Review of NSC and DOS Equities is Requ DECLASSIFIED, ith portions exempt AUTHORITY RAC deview 12/6/04; state visit 3/13/04 BY las NLF, DATE 4/19/07 Approved For Release 2004/12/06 : NLF-MOC-21-5-1-8 CONFIDENTIAL - 2 - even though we are one of several suppliers. We have stressed the defensive purpose of our arms aid. Ambassador Marshall turned over to General Scowcroft a letter from President Kenyatta to President Ford. It covers two principal issues. One is the possibility that the U.S. will provide a "fly past'' in Kenya on December 12, Kenya's independence day. This was discussed by Secretary Kissinger when he was in Nairobi in September. General Scowcroft knew of the proposal but did not know whether there would be an aircraft carrier available in the area at the time. If not, he said the planes could be ferried down. The second important issue in the letter is Kenyatta's prospective visit to the United States. Unfortunately, according to Ambassador Marshall, although Kenyatta knew about the trip in advance of Secre- tary Kissinger's visit, he had not told his staff about it. The room was full of people when Secretary Kissinger brought it up and the invitation for November 10 drew a laugh from staff members who could not understand the implications of a date which followed our elections. Kenyatta himself did not understand that, in the event that President Ford was defeated, he would still be in office until late January. General Scowcroft inquired as to Kenyatta's health and the prospect that he could really travel to the U.S. Ambassador Marshall explained that Kenyatta has a blood dot which occasionally causes total uncon- sciousness for periods up to one and a half days. This has occurred three times in the past year. The rest of the time Kenyatta is in good health for a man of 84. Ambassador Marshall noted that a move to change the constitutional provision for a 90-day Vice Presidential succession when the President dies was squashed. Nevertheless, said Marshall, we should not put all our eggs in Vice President Moi's basket. There are other potential candidates and so far Kenyatta has not named anyone. [Note: There are indications Kenyatta does not favor Moi. Marshall said that party elections which are expected in early 1977 (for the first time since 1966) may fill three senior vacancies and thus be a clue to the succession. As to the post-Kenyatta era, Marshall sees the continuation of civilian government, slightly to the left of the present government. There would be tribal disturbances but the situation would remain stable. There is a good civil service and the Kenyans are interested in main- taining foreign investment and a sound economy. CONFIDENTIAL Approved For Release 2004/12/06 : NLF-MUC-21-5-1-8 CONFIDENTIAL - 3 - General Scowcroft asked about the status of whites in Kenya and 2 Ambassador Marshall replied that they flourish. Scowcroft was impressed. General Scowcroft asked about the status of the MAP program and Ambassador Marshall said that it was on schedule and the Kenyans were highly satisfied. We have requested the Kenyans to accept a U.S. Defense Attache but we are not pushing it. General Scowcroft agreed that we should not push. There was a brief discussion of the Seychelles, to which Ambassador Marshall is also accredited. The Ambassador referred to the im- portance of tourism to those islands. KN 25 We are concerned that the Prime Minister, Mancham, 18 flirting with the Communists. CONFIDENTIAL ib D MEMORANDUM wet NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL 5766 CONFIDENTIAL/GDS ACTION October 15, 1976 MEMORANDUM FOR: BRENT SCOWCROFT FROM: Robert S. Smith SUBJECT: Memorandum of Your Conversation with U.S. Ambassador to Kenya, Anthony D. Marshall The attached draft summary of your October 13 meeting with Ambassador Marshall is forwarded for your approval and decision on appropriate distribution. okps Attachment FORD & CONFIDENTIAL/GDS wh 7/30/04 GERALD IC DOC RECD LOG NUM R MO DA MO DA HR INITIAL ACTION o NSC CORRESPONDENCE PROFILE 10/15/10/611 7605766 TO: PRES FROM: SECSTATE S/S UNCLAS LOG IN/ OUT SCOWCROFT X SECDEF LOU NO FORN NODIS HYLAND DCI X REF EYES ONLY EXDIS DAVIS CODEWORD SOURCE/CLASS/DESCRIPTION STATE OTHER EXSEC Smith $ TS SENSITIVE SUBJECT: Memcon of Scowaft mtg w/ US and to Kenya Marshall on 13 OCT INTERNAL ROUTING AND DISTRIBUTION REC ACTION REQUIRED ACTION CONCUR- COOR- INFO CY RENCE DINATE ADV. CYS S'CROFT/ WGH FOR MEMO FOR SCOWCROFT ( STAFF SECRETARY MEMO FOR PRES ( CONGRESSIONAL REPLY FOR ECONOMIC DISTRIBUTION/INITIAL ACTION ASGMT APPROPRIATE ACTION - EUR/ CANADA/ OCEANS MEMO TO 4 FAR EAST PRC RECOMMENDATIONS 1 INTELLIGENCE JOINT MEMO I LATIN AMERICA REFER TO FOR: 1 MID EAST/ NO. AFRICA ANY ACTION NECESSARY? ( NSC PLANNING CONCURRENCE PROGRAM ANALYSIS DUE DATE: SCIENTIFIC COMMENTS: INCLUDING SPECIAL INSTRUCTIONS SUB-SAH/ AFRICA/ UN & DATE FROM TO STATUS SUBSEQUENT ACTION REQUIRED (OR TAKENI: DUE CY TO 10/16 Scurt x 10/18 NSHS C) SUBSEQUENT ROUTING/ACTIONS droft Decision apponed Memeon 10/22 DISPATCH NOTIFY MICROFILM & FILE ROMTS NSC/S DISP INSTR 1 SPECIAL DISPOSITION: OCT 26 1976 BY SPECIAL INDEXING: OPEN CRT ID: KES NS DY WH 6A FP CLOSE PA SUSPENSE CY ATTACHED NSC 76-21 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE - 599-022 - 1976 599-022