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Pakistan - Prime Minister Bhutto (3)
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1555843
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Pakistan - Prime Minister Bhutto (3)
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Presidential Correspondence with Foreign Leaders (Ford Administration)
Presidential Correspondence with Foreign Leaders
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1976-04-30
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1975-10-01
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The original documents are located in Box 3, folder "Pakistan - Prime Minister Bhutto (3)" of the National Security Adviser's Presidential Correspondence with Foreign Leaders Collection at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Copyright Notice The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Gerald Ford donated to the United States of America his copyrights in all of his unpublished writings in National Archives collections. Works prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public domain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to remain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid copyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Digitized from Box 3 of the NSA Presidential Correspondence with Foreign Leaders Collection at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library / MEMORANDUM NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL 5743 Add-on #3 SECRET/NODIS (GDS) ACTION MEMORANDUM FOR: SECRETARY KISSINGER HAK October thinkson 15, 1975 FROM: ROBERT B. OAKLEY TO SUBJECT: Presidential Reply to Letter of August 17 from Prime Minister Bhutto of Pakistan You will recall Prime Minister Bhutto's messages to the President and you of June 13 following your meeting with Aziz Ahmed in Ankara [Tab II]. You replied to both of these via a message to Bhutto and oral instructions to Ambassador Byroade, which Byroade noted, effectively closed out the June 13 messages [Tab III]. In your message to Bhutto, you also acknowledged his new letter to the President of August 17, indicating that the President would respond after you had a chance to discuss it with him following your return from the Middle East. The President has now seen Aziz Ahmed but he still owes Bhutto a reply to the August 17 letter. At Tab I is a memo transmitting that letter and proposing a reply. The suggested reply has been developed from a State draft and coordinated here, revised to reflect the fact of the Presidential meeting last week. RECOMMENDATION: That you forward the memo at Tab I to the President seeking his signature on a letter of reply to Bhutto. APPROVE APPROVE AS AMENDED Concurrence in Presidential reply: Messrs. Solomon, Clift Repe Peper MICROFILM DATA DO NOV 11 1975 Subject to GDS of E.O. 11652 TO ) Automatically Downgraded at Two WHO Year Intervals and Declassified on SUBF December 31, 1983. FORD SECRET/NODIS (GDS) a labs 3/9/04 GERALD LIBRARY MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON 5743 - Add-on #3 ACTION SECRET/NODIS (GDS) MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: HENRY A. KISSINGER SUBJECT: Reply to Letter from Prime Minister Bhutto of Pakistan At Tab B is a letter to you from Prime Minister Bhutto expressing his concern over the direction of Soviet policies in South Asia. These con- cerns are not new but they have been heightened by recent events such as the Helsinki Summit--which Bhutto thinks will permit the Soviets to devote even more time to their ambitions in South Asia--and statements allegedly made recently by the Soviet representative in Kabul implying sympathy for Afghan designs on Pak territory. Bhutto does not make explicit new appeals to you for greater political and material support but does state that Soviet aggressive designs on Pakistan are encouraged by the lack of "credible evidence of support from the US. 11 Bhutto's letter is a further attempt to keep his security concerns before you and to elicit your personal reassurance and support. Aziz Ahmed followed the same themes in his talks with you here and with me in New York. Within the framework of our current policy toward South Asia and our interest in avoiding any destabilizing moves, we are doing about as much as we can for Pakistan, including economic assistance, PL-480 and military sales programs. You and I have made this clear to Aziz Ahmed. If only for reasons of courtesy, I believe that you should send a written reply to Bhutto, giving broad reassurance on the issues he raises, although you have said as much to Aziz Ahmed. FURD A RECOMMENDATION: That you sign the letter to Prime Minister Bhutto at Tab A. (The text GERALD has been cleared with Paul Theis.) Subject to GDS of E. O. 11652 SECRET/NODIS (GDS) Automatically Downgraded at Two Wh 3/9/04 Year Intervals and Declassified on December 31, 1983. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Dear Mr. Prime Minister: Thank you for your letter of August 17. It is important that we maintain the close personal dialogue which we so effectively began in our very constructive meetings of last February. I know that Secretary of State Kissinger has also been in touch with you, and both of us have now had the opportunity to exchange views with your Minister of State, Aziz Ahmed. Let me assure you at the outset there is no question that the integrity and independence of Pakistan are important to the United States and essential to the stability of South Asia. In a period in which we are working to lessen tensions between the major powers while safeguarding our vital security interests and those of our friends, my Government remains fully cognizant of its responsibility to insure that an easing of tensions in one area does not create opportunities for exploitation elsewhere. Nor can it in any way impact adversely on our relations with other countries in our objectives of regional stability and world peace. We have, therefore, made clear to the Soviet leadership that our continuing attention to improved relations between the United States and the Soviet Union is heavily conditioned by developments in other parts of the world. I believe this position is well understood and will continue to benefit your Nation's security and inde- pendence. Let me emphasize that there will be no lessening of our resolve to help our friends in South Asia. Secretary Kissinger has already made clear our appreciation for Pakistan's concerns. These have been the subject of continuing attention in the United States Government for some time, as you know from our discussions here last February and as you have certainly heard from Aziz Ahmed and your Ambassador in Washington. I believe we have taken significant steps to help Pakistan, both through the lifting of the arms embargo and in our on-going economic assistance programs. In the months ahead there will be visible results, as we respond to specific requests for arms purchases and as we reach new agreements on various economic development programs. We admire the progress you have stimulated in the process of normalization of relations among the countries of South Asia and we intend to continue to offer maximum encourage- ment to your efforts. In closing, I want to reiterate my strong wish to visit Pakistan at an early date and to meet with you again. It now appears that my schedule through the remainder of this year will make it impossible for me to accept your warm hospitality at this time. As you know, I do plan to visit the People's Republic of China fairly soon. I intend to discuss with the Chinese leaders our common interests in promoting stability in South Asia and your important contribution to that end. I look forward to accepting your hospitality at a mutually convenient time. In the meantime, I remain grateful for and committed to the further strength- ening of the close relations between our two countries. With best personal wishes, Sincerely, His Excellency Zulfikar Ali Bhutto Prime Minister of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan Islamabad Islamabad, August 17, 1975. PRIME MINISTER Dear Mr. President, I am writing to share with you our apprehensions over the likely Soviet role in Asia after the Helsinki Summit, particularly following recent developments in our region. 2. We feel deeply disturbed over the establishment of an authoritarion system in India on the one hand, and the growing hostility of an unstable Afghan regime towards Pakistan on the other. Our fears are heightened by our perception of the increasing dependence of these two regimes in our immediate neighbourhood on the Soviet Union with which they are allied and which is enabled by the Helsinki accord to pay greater attention to our region in pursuance of its historic objectives and global ambitions. We foresee that, assured of security in Europe, the Soviet Union will relentlessly exert pressures on the smaller states of Asia and on Pakistan in particular, with a view to achieving its purpose of establishing an unchallengable sphere of influence in this continent. 3. Situated as we are, we cannot but be conscious of Soviet designs and the nature of Soviet ambitions in Asia, and what these portend for us. Despite the Soviet Union's role in the dismemberment of our country in 1971, we have, within the framework of our principles and policies, 2- DECLASSIFIED B.O. 12938, Sec. 3.5 State Dept. Guidelines Stateleview 9/17/03 By , NARA, Date 3/9/04 Page- 2 PRIME MINISTER left no stone unturned to improve our relations with it in order to reduce its hostility towards Pakistan which, rightly or wrongly, it has regarded as an obstacle in the path of its ambitions in Asia. This above all was the purpose of my visit to Moscow in March 1972 and again in October last year. 4. Soviet goals and ambitions are inflexible and hardly amenable to any basic change as a result of the efforts of a small country such as ours, which in the interest of the preservation of its own sovereignty, national independence and territorial integrity, has stoutly declined to toe the Soviet line. The passage of time makes clearer both the ever-growing threat to our existence from Moscow's expansionist policies and the woeful inadequacy of our resources to meet this threat. 5. The Soviet Union is determined to subject us to intensified pressures while continuing to be outwardly affable. The most recent and disturbing illustration of this came during recent exchanges between our diplomats and their Soviet counter parts in Kabul. Our Minister was asked by his Soviet counter part whether Pakistan would agree to cede some territory to Afghanistan. On receiving a firm reply in the negative the Soviet Minister threw up his hands and said, "Then God alone knows what will happen. When our Ambassador sought clarification of the Soviet attitude from the Soviet Ambassador, the latter not only accused Pakistan of not wanting SERALO to improve relations with Afghanistan but went so far as to assert that the Durand Agreement - defining the international frontier between Afghanistan and Page- 3 PRIME MINISTER Pakistan - was a legacy of the colonial times which Pakistan should not try to defend and that the Durand Line had been foisted upon the Afghans, since no nation would, according to the Soviet Ambassador, "willingly agree to have its own people divided into two parts." The Soviet Ambassador concluded by saying that the Asian Security Pact was the real and the only answer for establishing peace and security in Asia. 6. I have no doubt that the United States is cognizant of the Soviet threat to the countries of this region and in particular to Pakistan which has so far stood its ground. We greatly appreciate the various statements of political support to Pakistan which were given to us by the United States at the highest level to counter the Soviet threat. The fact, however, needs to be registered that these declarations, valuable though they are, seem to have made little impact on Soviet expansionism. Soviet policies continue to be stridently asserted and Soviet purposes aggressively reiterated. 7. In these circumstances, our ability to resist Soviet pressures will depend not so much on the reliance we place on the American political assurances as on the credibility the Soviet Union attaches to them. The lack of a credible evidence of support from the U.S. encourages the Soviet Union to expect that the security requirements of Pakistan would compel us to make readjustments demanded by the changing power equilibrium in our region. Page -4 PRIME MINISTER 8. I need hardly assure you, Mr. President, of how much we cherish our relations with the United States. We sincerely hope that they will continue to expand and gain strength in the coming months and will be sustained by our commitments to the goals and objectives of peace and stability which we share. 9. With my best wishes and warmest personal regards, Yours sincerely, Zulfilen ui Illunts (Zulfikar Ali Bhutto) His Excellency Mr. Gerald R. Ford, President of the United States of America, WASHINGTON D.C. Prime Minister House Rawalpindi Tab 4 13 June 1975 TAB II My de r Dr. Kissinger, As you are aware, we have done, and will continue to do, Jar utmost to normalize our relations with India in accor ince with the Simla Agreement. Nevertheless, we are seriou ly concerned over the probability of India deciding to launch it war against Pakistan in which Afghanistan will also join a: both will have the full backing of the Soviet Union. Such a war ould come at any time the Soviet Union should judge the situati to be ripe. It is our assessment that it could be unleashed within two years, before we have had the time adequately to .strengthen our defence capability. India could contrive a pretext on the basis of its brazen claim to Jammu and Kashmir being an integral part of India and Pakistan being in control of a part of the State. Against this background, I was relieved to hear leview Guidelines state 9/17/13 from Mr. Aziz Ahmed what you had told Gromyko and what you planned to tell the Chinese about the action the United States DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 State Dept. 3/9/04 would take if the Soviet Union attacked China for coming to NARA, Date Pakistan's assistance in the event of an Indian attack on Pakistan. This latter assurance could have a most vital bearing on the balance of power in Asia and fortify peace and FORD stability in this critical region. I consider it to be the most & GERALD effective counter yet to the Soviet ambitions to extend hegemony over the region comprising the Persian Gulf and the sub-continent. -2- To Pakistan, which is the immediate target of these ambitions, it come ; as a refreshing indication of a new determination in the United States Administration to safeguard peace and stability in South ;ia. I should also add that this assurance is another manifestation of the far-sighted statesmanship and clarity of vision which I, like many others, have always admired in you. Only SU h a perception of lurking dangers and the undistracted will to avert them can transform the fears of today into the hopes of tome row. May I suggest that the question of Chinese assistance to Pakistan in the event of an Indian attack may be taken up with the Chinese leaders while they are still considering the issue. It could help them materially to decide what China could do in that contingency. Mr. Aziz Ahmed took up the matter of the Chinese press attacks on the United States with the Chinese Ambassador along the lines indicated by you soon after his return from Ankara. With warm personal regards, Yours sincerely, Zurs hn hi Shinado Zulfikar Ali Bhutto His Excellency Dr. Henry A. Kissinger, Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs, GERALD a LIBRARY FORD Washington D.C. PRIME MINISTER Prime Minister's House Rawalpindi 13 June 1975 Dear Mr. President, I have been wanting to write to you on a matter of vital interest both to the security of Pakistan and to the peace and stability of our vast and populous region. However, since you have been preoccupied with momentous issues relating to Europe and the Middle East, I thought it better to wait until you returned home and had time to address your attention to other matters of importance to world peace. On May 22, Secretary Kissinger and my Minister of State for Defence and Foreign Affairs, Mr. Aziz Ahmed, met in Ankara. In the course of that meeting, Dr. Kissinger informed Mr. Ahmed that he had spoken to Soviet Foreign Minister Gromyko in very strong terms to the effect that an Indian attack on Pakistan with Soviet equipment would invite a response from the United 9/17/03 States. It is an established fact that practically all of DECLASSIMED State E.O. Dept. Guidelines state leview India's armed forces are equipped with Soviet weapons. NARA, Date 3/9/04 her esvcr, wisw 19 the Inde-Soviei Treaty of 1971, an armed 12958, Sec. 3.5 attack on Pakistan by India would necessarily carry Soviet approval and, indeed, direct involvement. As you are aware, Mr. President, my Government is determined to further the process of normalization of relations with India in accordance with the Simla Agreement. We will sustain this policy as long as it is reciprocated by India. PRIME MINISTER -2- Nevertheless, our considered assessment of the situation, as Mr. Ahmed conveyed to Dr. Kissinger, is that war could come at any time the Soviet Union wanted it, as India would have no difficulty in contriving an excuse for starting one. For instance, India could brazenly assert its spurious claim to the whole of the State of Jammu and Kashmir as an integral part of India and prepare the stage for an invasion of Azad Kashmir on the pretext that it sought to release it from Pakistan's control. All-out hostilities would be ineluctable result. Dr. Kissinger asked what China would do in the event of an Indian attack on Pakistan. We had put precisely the same question to the Chinese Vice-Premier when he visited Pakistan recently. The Chinese Government are considering this question but have given us no answer so far. Their decision in this regard cannot but be influenced by the existence of the Indo-Soviet Treaty. The constraint on China's freedom to act as a result of this Treaty was tragically demonstrated when India attacked Pakistan in 1971. China was hamstrung while Pakistan was dismembered with Soviet instigation and support. Dr. Kissinger then enquired whether he could ask China what exactly it would do if India attacked Pakistan and added that, if China posed the counter-question as to what the United States would do in such an event, it would be informed that if India attacked Pakistan and China came to its help and if in consequence the Soviet Union attacked China, the United States would not be able to stay out of that situation. PRIME MINISTER -3- To Pakistan, confronted with an overwhelming military threat from India and Afghanistan, both armed and backed by the Soviet Union, this forthright enunciation of the determination of the United States to ward off a, danger of vast and incalculable proportions comes as most welcome news. I am deeply impressed, Mr. President, by the clarity with which your Administration has perceived the implications of an attack on Pakistan for the peace and stability of this strategic area. This unclouded approach envisages, for the first time, a concrete step which could restore the power equilibrium in this region. This could operate as a decisive factor in maintaining peace, defending freedom and protecting the vital interests of the United States in South Asia. If the shadow of blackmail and the spectre of war which darken the horizons of this strife-torn subcontinent were removed from it, a turning point would be reached in its history. The global balance of power would gain reality and the structure of peace in our critical region could become truly inviolable. With best wishes and warm regards, Yours sincerely, July Jun his Shunks Zulfikar Ali Bhutto \ His Excellency Mr. Gerald R. Ford, President of the United States of America White House, Washington D.C. COPY 9 OF 15 COPIES Palastan TABITI DEPARTMENT OF STATE 30 AUG 75Z 10 06 12 Department of State 008449 AMERICA SECRET N00658 TELEGRAM PAGE 19 SECTO 10198 01 OF 02 300946Z 21 ACTION NODS-00 INFO OCT-01 ISO-00 1001 W 030931 0 3009132 AUG 75 ZFF-6 FM USDEL SECRETARY IN ALEXANDRIA TO AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD NIACT IMMEDIATE INFO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE SECRE T SECTION 1 OF 2 SECTO 10198 NODIS FOR THE AMBASSADOR FROM THE SECRETARY Reply to Bhutto's ED. 11652: XGDS-3 Messages of June3 TAGS: PFOR, PK, US SUBJECT: MESSAGE FOR PRIME MINISTER BHUTTO to President and REF: STATE 202508 TOSEC 100162 Secretary 1. PLEASE TRANSMIT FOLLOWING FROM ME TO PRIME MINISTER BHUTTO, 2, BEGIN MESSAGE: DEAR MR. PRIME MINISTER: SINCE I UNDERSTAND THAT YOU PLAN TO VIST SAUDI ARABIA THIS COMING MONDAY, I THOUGHT IT MIGHT BE HELPFUL TO GIVE 0 YOU A BRIEF REPORT ON THE CURRENT STATUS OF THE MIDDLE EAST NEGOTIATIONS. SINCE COMING TO THE AREA, I HAVE BEEN ENGAGED IN THE INTENSIVE NEGOTIATIONS IN AN EFFORT TO HELP EGYPT AND ISRAEL ACHIEVE A FURTHER INTERIM AGREEMENT WHICH WOULD, IN OUR added by Sec. VIEW, CONSTITUTE A SIGNIFICANT STEP TOWARD THE JUST AND LASTING PEACE IN THE MIDDLE EAST WHICH REMAINS OUR OVERRIDING OBJECTIVE. THE NEGOTIATIONS HAVE BEEN DIFFICULT. THE ISRAELIS ARE CONCERNED ABOUT THE MILITARY AND STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS OF WITHDRAWAL FROM THE PASSES AND OIL FIELDS IN SINAI IN CIR- SECRET FORD ? DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 We GERALD LIBRARY State Dept. Guidelines State Review 9/17/03 , NARA, Date 3/9/04 NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETA DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED AMERICA TELEGRAM STATES OF SECRET PAGE #2 SECTO 10198 01 OF 02 300946Z CUMSTANCES WHERE AN END TO BELLIGERENCY AND PEACE STIL LIE IN THE FUTURE. THE EGYPTIANS, FOR THEIR PART, ARE CONCERNED ABOUT ENTERING POLITICAL UNDERTAKINGS THAT ARE OF SIGNIFICANCE TO THE ARAB WORLD GENERALLY IN CIRCUMSTANCES WHERE MUCH OF THEIR AND OTHER ARAB TERRITORY REMAINS OCCUPIED AND THE LEGITIMATE INTERESTS OF Tnc PALESTINIANS REMAIN UNFULFILLED. DESPITE THESE POLITICAL CONSTRAINTS ON BOTH SIDES, 1 BELIEVE WE HAVE MADE CONSIDERABLE PROGRESS AND THAT THE CHANCES FOR ACHIEVING THIS AGREEMENT ARE GOOD EVEN THOUGH A NUMBER OF OBSTACLES REMAIN TO BE OVERCOME AND A SUCCESSFUL CONCLUSION IS NOT YET FULLY ASSURED. I WANT TO EMPHASIZE IN PARTICULAR THAT PRESIDENT SADAT HAS APPROACHED THE NEGOTIATIONS WITH GENUINE STATESMANSHIP, AND THAT WE HAVE HAD HEARTENING SUPPORT FROM OUR SAUDI FRIENDS, I RECOGNIZE THAT THERE IS CONCERN IN THE ARAB WORLD THAT THIS AGREEMENT, If ACHIEVED, WILL LEAD TO DIMINISHED INTEREST IN FURTHER NEGOTIATIONS FOR AN OVERALL SETTLEMENT OF ALL ASPECTS OF THE ARAB ISKAELI PROBLE, IT IS OUR FIRM IN- TENTION, HOREVER, THAT THERE MUST BE ON-GOING NEGOTIATIONS -- HOWEVER DIFFICULT THEY WILL BE AND HOWEVER MUCH TIME THEY MAY TAKE -- WITH RESPECT TO THE SYRIAN AND OTHER ASPECTS OF THE PROBLEM. OUR NATIONAL INTERESTS REQUIRE NOTHING LESS. I AM CERTAIN THAT THE SAUDI LEADERS WOULD BE RE- ASSURED BY ANY ENCOURAGEMENT YOU COULD GIVE THEM. THE PRESIDENT AND I ARE DETERMINED TO PURSUE THIS EFFORT AND, DESPITE SOME OF THE DIFFICULTIES WE ARE EXPERIENCING AT HOME, I AM CONFIDENT THAT THE AMERICAN CONGRESS AND EPOPLE HILL SUPPORT OUR PEACE EFFORTS AND OUR POLICIES OF STRENGTHENING RELATIONS WITH OUR ARAB FRIENDS. THE VERY ACHIEVEMENT OF A NEW AGREEMENT SHOULD HAVE A POSITIVE EFFECT UN THE PSYCHOLOGICAL ATMOSPHERE AND, IF IT IS SCRUPULOUSLY IMPLEMENTED AND OBSERVED, CAN BROADEN THE BAIS OF CONFIDENCE WHICH IS NEEDED FOR BUTH SIDES TO TAKE THE HARD POLITICAL DECISIONS THAT WILL BE REQUIRED AS THE NEGOTIATNG PROCESS GOES FORWARD IN THE MONTHS AHEAD. I WOULD ALSO LIKE TO TAKE ThIS OCCASION, MR. PRIME MINISTER, TO TELL YOU HOW PLEASED THE PRESIDENT AND I State WERE TO HEAR FROM YOU IN YOUR LETTERS OF JUNE 13 REGARDING YOU CONCERNS FOR PAKISTANIS SECURITY, I REGRET THAT part SECRET FORD WITH & LIBRARY mine CLAALD revisic NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETAR DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED AMERICA TELEGRA STATES OF SECRET PAGE 03 SECTO 10198 01 OF 02 3009462 THE DEMANDS OF THE MIDDLE EAST NEGOTIATIONS HAVE DELAYED MY SENDING YOU A CONSIDERED RESPONSE BEFORE THIS. 1 HAVE DISCUSSED YOUR LETTERS IN DETAIL WITH THE PRESIDENT AND ME HAS ASKED ME TO ASSURE YOU THAT WE ARE DEEPLY SYMPATHETIC TO YOUR CONCEERNS. IT WAS HITH THESE IN MIND THAT THE PRESIDENT ORDERED THE LIFTING OF ThE EMBARGO ON ARMS SALES TO PAKISTAN LAST FEBRUARY. WE ARE ALSO COMMITTED TO DO WHAT AC CAN TO HELP MEET YOUR FOOD AND ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE REQUIREMENTS IN THE YEAR AMEAD, THIS IS AN INTEGRAL PART OF OUR EFFORTS TO ASSURE PAKISTANIS CONTINUED SECURITY AND wELL WELL-BEING. I HAVE ALSO ASKED AMBASSADOR BYROADE TO CONVEY OUR VIEWS UN VARIOUS SPECIFIC POINTS YOU RAISED IN YOU EARLIER LETTER, Since MY DEPARTURE FOR THE MIDDLE EAST, THE PRESIDENT HARED WITH ME YOUR AUGUST 17 LETTER TO HIM, RE EMPHASIZING YOUR CONCERNS IN THE CONTEXT OF RECENT CONVERSATION BETWEEN YOUR REPRESENTATIVES AND SOVIET DIPLOMATS IN KABUL. UPON MY RETURN TO WASHINGTON, I WILLDISCUSS THIS SUBJECT WITH THE PRESIDENT, AND HE WILL, or COURSE, BE RESPONDING TO YOU. MEANNAILE, I UNDERSTAND YOU ARE SEEKING CLARIFICATION FROM THE SOVIET GOVERNMENT OF THE SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STATEMENTS MADE BY ITS OFFICIALS IN KABUL, AND I HOPE YOU WILL KEEP AMBASSADUR BYROADE INFORMED, WARM REGARDS, HENRY A. KISSINGER END MESSAGE 3, IN CONVEYING THE ABOVE MESSAGE TO PRIME MINISTER BHUTTO, DEPARTMENT OF STATE 30 AUG 75Z 10 12 008450 Department of State UNITED AMERICA SECRET NOD660 TELEGRAM D STATES OF PAGE 01 SECTO 10198 02 OF 02 301007Z 12 ACTION NODS-00 S INFO OCT-01 IS0-00 /001 W 031197 0 300913Z AUG 75 ZFF-6 FM USDEL SECRETARY IN ALEXANDRIA TO AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD NIACT IMMEDIATE INFO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE N SECRET SECTION 2 OF 2 SECTO 10198 NODIS 0 FOR THE AMBASSADOR FROM THE SECRETARY D YOU SHOULD MAKE THE FOLLOWING POINTS: WE WERE PLEASED TO NOTE THE PRIME MINISTER'S EX- PRESSION, IN nIS JUNE LETTERS, OF CONTINUING SUPPORT FOR THE SIMLA PROCESS. WE HAVE ALSO NOTED THE WISE POLICIES S OF CAUTION AND RESTRAINT SHOWN BY THE GOP DURING ThIS DELICATE PERIOD OF DIFFICULTIES IN INDIA. IT IS OUR VIEW THAT CONTINUED PROGRESS UNDER THE SIMLA PROCESS WILL REDUCE THE POSSIBILITY OF RENEWED HOSTILITIES ON THE SUBCONTINENT. THE IMMEDIATE INTEREST OF THE UNITED STATES, AND ONE WHICH wt FULLY SHARE WITH PAKISTAN, IS TO AVERT SUCH AN EVENTUALITY. IT WAS WITH THIS OBJECTIVE IN MIND THAT THE SECRETARY CONVEYED TO FOREIGN MINISTER GRUMYKO IN MAY THE SERIOUSNESS WITH WHICH THE UNITED STATES KOULD REGARD AN INDICAN ATTACK AGAINST PAKISTAN. ER Rt N TL BELIEVE THAT THE SOVIET LEADERSHIP MAS FULLY UNDERSTOOD THE POSITION OF THE UNITED STATES ON THIS QUESTION. DIRECT INVOLVEMENT BY THE SOVIET UNION AND CHINA IN A SOUTH ASIAN CONFLICT WOULD, OF COURSE, HAVE IMPLICATIONS OF THE GRAVEST NATURE AND WOULD BE OF GREAT CONCERN TO FORD THE UNITED STATES. THE RESPONSE UF THE UNITED STATES S WOULD BE A MATTER FOR CONSIDERATION BY THE EXECUTIVE SECRET GENATE NOI TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZ ATION OF THE ENECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED AMERICA TELEGRAM SECRET STATES OF PAGE 02 SECTO 10198 62 OF 02 301007Z BRANCH IN CLOSE CONSULTATION WITH THE CONGRESS IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE REQUIREMENTS OF OUR CONSTITUTION AND OUR OBLIGATIONS UNDER THE 1959 MUTUAL COOPERATION AGREEMENT WITH PAKISTAN. THE PRESIDENT AND THE SECRETARY ARE HOPEFUL THAT THEY HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO HOLD TALKS IN PEKING WITH WILL LEADERS OF THE PEOPLETS REPUBLIC OF CHINA LATER THIS THE YEAR, THESE TALKS WOULD PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY TO DISCUSS FULL COUNTRIES AND PAKISTAN, AND WAYS IN WHICH OUR GOVERNMENT RANGE OF SECURITY ISSUES AFFECTING RELATIONS BETWEEN OUR MIGHT CONTINUE TO ASSIST PAKISTAN IN ITS EFFORTS TO MAINTAIN ITS SECURITY. THE AHMED HAS COMMUNICATED TO THE CHINESE OUR CONCERN ABOUT SECRETARY WAS MOST APPRECIATIVE THAT MR. AZIZ THE FFECT WHICH THEIR PROPAGANDA HAS ON OUR ABILITY TO MOBILIZE DOMESTIC SUPPORT FOR THE PRC'S SECURITY. DISCUSSNG YOUR LETTERS IN WASHINGTON, I FOUND A DEEP IN AND CONTINUING INTEREST IN THE ADMINISTRATION IN PAKISTAN'S SECURITY AND WELFARE, AND A STRONG DESIRE TO BE HELPFUL IN WAYS THAT ARE IN ACCORDANCE WITH OUR OWN LEGISLATIVE AND CONSTITUTIONAL REQUIREMENTS. I KNOW YOU ARE AWARE FROM YOU UWN DISCUSSIONS WITH AS AMERICAN LEADERS, INCLUDING SENATORS AND CONGRESSMEN, THE UNITED STATES IS NOT AULE TO UNDERTAKE ADDITIONAL OF FORMAL SECURITY COMMITMENTS, OUTSIDE THE FRAMEWORK OUR FORMAL TREATIES AND EXECUTIVE AGREEMENTS, REGARD TO THE RECENT STATEMENTS MADE BY SOVIET WITH representatives TO PAKISTANI OFFICIALS IN KABUL CONCERNING THE SOVIET POLICY TOWARD PAKISTAN, WE WOULD OF COURSE VIEW DURAND LINE, IF THESE IN FACT REPRESENT A CHANGE IN THEM WITH GRAVE CONCERN. WE THE SOVIET POSITION, FOLLOWING YOUR FURTHER CONVERSATIONS WILL BE INTERESTED TO HAVE YOUR FURTHER VIEWS ON WITH SOVIET REPRESENTATIVES. SECRET BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETAR OF STATE Department of State UNITED AMERICA TELEGRAM STATES OF SECRET PAGE 23 SECTO 16196 02 of 02 3616072 4, IN ADDITION TO THE SUBSTANTIVE POINTS ABOVE, YOU SHOULD SEEK TU CORRECT THE DIFFERENCES WHICH EXIST BETWEEN WHAT I SAID TO AZIZ AHMED IN ANKARA ON MAY 22 AND THE INTERPRETATION OF THESE REMARKS CONTAINED IN BHUTTO'S LETTERS OF JUNE 13. THE FULLOWING POINTS SHOULD BE MADE SO THAT THE RECORD WILL BE CLEAR: DURING MY WASHINGTON CONSULTATIONS, I REVIEWED THE N MINUTES OF THE CONVERSATION BETWEEN MINISTER AZIZ AHMED AND SECRETARY KISSINGER, OUR RECORD CONTAINS SOME IMPORTANT NUANCES WHICH, IF NOT PRECISELY GRASPED, COULD LEAD TO MISUNDERSTANDINGS WHICH WE BOTH WANT TO AVOID, THE SECRETARY INFORMED AZIZ AHMED HE HAD TOLD THE SOVIETS THAT WE WOULD HOLD THEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE USE MADE OF THEIR EQUIPMENT ANYWHERE, AND ESPECIALLY IN PAKISTAN. (BHUTTO'S LETTER TO THE PRESIDENT STATES: "DR. KISSINGER INFORMED MR. AMMED THAT ME HAD SPOKEN TO GROMYKO IN VERY STRNG TERMS TO THE EFFECT THAT AN INDIAN ATTACK ON PAKISTAN WITH SOVIET EQUIPMENT WOULD INVITE A RESPONSE FROM THE UNITED STATES. THE SECRETARY ASKED AZIZ AHMED IF WE COULD ASK THE CHINESE WHAT THEIR RESPONSE WOULD BE IF PAKISTAN IS ATTACKED. THE SECRETARY ALSO INDICATED THAT A GENERAL WAR FOLLOWING AN INDIAN ATTACK ON PAKISTAN AND INVOLVING THE SUVIETS AND CHINESE WOULD HAVE THE GRAVEST IMPLICATIONS FOR THE WHOLE OF ASIA AND FOR U.S. POLICY IN THE AREA. 0 (BHUTTO'S LETTER TO THE SECRETARY STATES: " I WAS RELIEVED TO PEAR FROM MR. AZIZ ARMED HAT YOU PLANNED TO TELL THE CHINESE ABOUT THE ACTION THE UNITED STATES WOULD TAKE IF THE SOVIET UNION ATTACKED CHINA FOR COMING TO PAKISTANIS ASSISTANCE IN THE EVENT OF AN INDIAN ATTACK ON PAKISTAN. BHUTTO'S LETTER TO THE PRESIDENT STATES: "DR. KISSINGER ADDED THAT, IF CHINA POSED THE COUNTERQUESTION AS TO WHAT THE UNITED STATES WOULD DO IN SUCH AN EVENT AN INDIAN ATTACK ON PAKISTAN), IT WOULD BE INFORMED THAT IF INDIA ATTACKED PAKISTAN AND CHINA CAME TO ITS HELP AND IF IN CONSEQUENCE THE SOVIET UNION ATTACKED CHINA, THE SECRET NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY ^^ 1 UNITED DEPARTMENT OF BA STATE Department of State TELEGRAM STATES OF SECKET PAGE 04 SECTO 10198 02 OF 02 3010072 UNITED STATES WOULD NOT BE ABLE TO STAY OUT OF THAT SITUATION. ) KISSINGER N ZOP D SECRET THE AITHORIZATION OF TYF EXECUTIVE SECRETARY or STATE Pakistan Department of State THE my TELEGRAM STATES OF SECRE 2244 PAGE 01 ISLAMA 98056 0217392 AFR/UN EUR/CAN A3 FE ACTION SS-25 LA INFO OCT-01 IS0-00 1026 W D/DT NEA/SA 059650 3 PRC SEA R 0217312 SEP 75 ZOK NSC/PLNS FM AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD Secretary's reply closes PGM/ANL TO SECSTATE WASHDC 1835 SCI/ENV SECRET ISLAMARAD 8056 out June 13 messages ECON OPIIL OPIL/INT (ace to Byroade -par 5->) SS/PR FXDIS CONGR F.O. 11652: GDS TAGS: PFOR, PK, US SURJ: BHUTTO INFORMED OF USG POSITION CONCERNING POINTS RAISED IN HIS LETTERS TO PRESIDENT AND SECRETARY REF: SECTO 10198 !. I SAW BHUTTO IN KARACHI ON THE EVE OF HIS DEPARTURE FOR SAUDI ARABTA ON THE SUBJECT OF REFTEL CONTAINING YOUR LETTER TO HTM AND INSTRUCTIONS REGARDING MY ORAL REMARKS IN CONNECTION WITH PAST LETTERS FROM HIM TO von AND THE PRESIDENT BHUTTO WAS OBVIOUSLY PLEASED TO RECEIVE THIS DIRECT COMMUNICATION FROM YOU IN THE MIDDLE EAST, AND THE OPPORTUNITY IT GAVE HIM TO BE UP-TO-DATE AND IN TOUCH WITH YOU JUST BEFORE VISITING SAUDI ARABIA. DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 State Dept. Guidelines stateleview NARA, Date 3/9/04 E ?. AFTER HTS REMARKS TO ME ON THE MIDDLE EAST, WHICH HAVE BEEN REPORTED SEPARATELY, I TOLD HIM THAT I WAS UNDER INSTRUCTIONS TO MAKE A NUMBER OF POINTS TO HIM TN CONNECTION WITH THESE EXCHANGES UF CORRESPONDENCE. T SAID THE EXACT PHRASEOLOGY OF THF POINTS I WAS INSTRUCTED TO MAKE HAD BEEN WORKED OUT VERY CAREFULLY AND THAT SOME OF THE POINTS TO BE COVERED WERE COMPLEX, CONTAINING IMPORTANT NUANCES. 1 SAID THAT IN THE INTEREST OF COMPLETE UNDERSTANDING, AND AS A KINDNESS TO HIM, : MIGHT BE REST THAT BE READ THE TEXT OF THESE POINTS PA HER THAN JUST LISTEN TO AN ORAL PRESENTATION FROM ME. NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY SECRET or STATE Department of State Curred STATES / TELEGRAM OF SECRET PAGE 02 ISLAMA 08056 0217392 3. BHUTTO READ CAREFULLY MY PREPARED TEXT WHICH HAD BEFN EXTRACTED VERRATIM FROM ABOVE REFTEL. WHEN HE FINISHED, HE TOLD ME THAT HE UNDERSTOOD COMPLETELY AND WAS GLAD TO HAVE THIS MATTER SETTLED so THAT NO FURTHER CONVERSATION ON THIS SUBJECT BETWEEN US WOULD BE NECESSARY HE SAID AGAIN HE REGRETTED HAVING ACCEPTED BAD ADVICE ON His LETTERS TO YOU AND THE PRESIDENT GROWING OUT ! np YOUR TALK WITH AZIZ AHMED IN ANKARA 1 HAVE NO попвт BUT THAT HE UNDERSTOND COMPLETELY THAT I WAS IN THE PROCESS OF A NECESSARY CORRECTION OF THE RECORD. A. BHUTTO ASKED IF HE COULD KEEP THE COPY OF MY ADDITIONAL POINTS THAT HE HAD READ. WHILE I OBVIOUSLY DO NOT WANT TO BECOME A PARTY IN HIS FRICTIONS WITH 12"2 AHMED, I GAVE HIM MY PERMISSION TO DO SO THINKING THAT THIS WOULD HELP TO SERVE TO MAKE THE RECORD COMPLETELY CLEAR FOR OUR OWN PURPOSES. THERE WAS NO DOUBT BUT THAT HE PLANNED SERIOUS DISCUSSION WITH BOTH AZ-Z AHMED AND AGHA SHAHI ON THE PLANE TO SAUDI ARABIA ON BOTH YOUR LETTER AND MY ADDITIONAL POINTS. 5. YOU MAY RFST ASSURED, HOWEVER, THAT BHUTTO HOLDS NO RESENTMENT AT US ON THE ISSUES INVOLVED. IT IS A COMPLETELY CLOSED SUBJECT AND BEST NOT REFERRED TO X AGAIN ON ANY LEVEL. BYROADE NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY SECRET STATE Pakistan 10 (?) Department of State TELEGRAM / OF SECRET 1827 PAGE 01 ISLAMA 08047 0211367 EN A6 ACTION SS-25 INFO OCT-01 ISO-90 1026 W $/05/20 054797 AFR/UN R 0245277 SEP 75 EUR/CAN FN AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD FE TO SECSTATE WASHDC 1831 LA INFO AMEMBASSY KABUL b NEA/SA AMEMBASSY MOSCOW PRC AMEMBASSY TEHRAN SEA NSC/PLNG SECRET ISLAMABAD 8047 PGM/ANL SCI/ENV EXPIS ECON OPNL/INT F.O. 116521 GDS SS/PR TAGS: PFOR, PK, AF, UR CONGR SUBJECT: PAK-SOVIET RELATIONS: PM BHUTTO'S COMMENTS REF: ISLAMABAD 7507 AND 7433 1. IN A DISCUSSION ON OTHER MATTERS WITH BHUTTO IN KARACHI, AUGUST 31. HE DIGRESSED TO GIVE ME WHAT HE SATD HE ACCEPTED AS THE FINAL SOVIET POSITION ON THE ALTEGED PULICY REMARKS OF THE SOVIET AMBASSADOR IN KARUL RE THE DURAND LINE AND OTHER MATTERS, AND THEIR SUBSEQUENT DOWNGRADING BY SOVIET AMBASSADOR HERE CAND T SUSPECT TN MOSCOW). HE SAID THF SOVIET POSITION WAS THAT THEIR POLICY RE PAKISTAN REMAINED AS SET FORTH IN THEIR JOINT COMMUNIQUE AT THE TIME OF HIS VISIT TO MOSCOW YN OCTOBER 1970 TELCATTO ACCORDING TO THE SOVIETS, WAS THEREFORE NECESSARY ASREGARDS ANY ALLEGED REMARKS OF SOVIET AMBASSADOR. 0. BHUTTO SAID HE HAD PERSONALLY TALKEN TO HIS AMBASSADOR KARUL AND THAT HE BELIEVES THE ALLEGED REMARKS WERE TRUTHFULLY AND ACCURATELY REPORTED. HE SAID IT APPARENT DECLASSIFIED THAT OUR JOINT SPECULATION ON THIS MATTER (REFTELS) WAS B.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 Dept. Guidelines state Review 9/17/03 NARA, Date 3/9/04 PROBABLY CORRECT. RUT HE SAID HE HAD GIVEN UP ON ANY State FFFORT TO GET ANY PUBLIC REASSURANCE FROM THE SOVIETS TO NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUTSHE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY OF Department of State STATES or AMERICA TELEGRAM SECRET PARE 02 ISLAMA 08047 0211362 COMPENSATE FOR THE DISQUIETING MANOUVER ON THEIR PART AS TOO MANY THINGS HAD HAPPENED IN THE INTERVAL (AN OBVIOUS REFERENCE, AMONG OTHER THINGS, TO BANGLADESH) AN HE WAS CERTAIN THEY WOULDN'T DO IT. BYRDADE or NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUISE BEAUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY IT OF OF STATE Pakistan Department of State GRUIN AMERICA COPY OF 13 COPIES STATES OF SECRET N00987 PAGE 01 ISLAMA 08041 0108272 20 ACTION NODS-00 INFO OCT-01 IS0-00 /001 iN 045140 0 72 6447 SEP. 75 FM AMERICASSY ISLAMABAD TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 1829 $ E CRE T ISLAMABAD 8041 NODIS/CHEROKEE FOR THE SECRETARY FROM THE AMBASSADOR E.O. 11652: XGDS-3 TAGS: PFCR, PK, US, XF SUBJ: BHUTTO'S COMMENTS ON THE MIDDLE EAST REF: SECTO 10198 1, I SAW BHUTTO IN KARACHI ON THE EVE OF HIS DEPART- URE FOR SAUDI ARABIA ON THE SUBJECT OF REFTEL CONTAIN- ING YOUR LETTER TO HIM AND INSTRUCTIONS REGARDING MY ORAL REMANKS IN CONNECTION RITH PAST LETTERS FROM HIM TO YOU AND THE PRESIDENT. THIS MESSAGE WILL COVER ONLY HIS REMARKS ON THE MIDDLE EAST PORTION OF YOUR LETTER. 2. BHUTTO SAID Ht WOULD BE MOST HAPPY TO PUT ACROSS TO THE SAUDIS THE POSITIVE VIEWS YOU EXPRESSED IN YOUR LETTER. ME WAS HIMSELF IMMENSELY PLEASED TO NOTE YOUR EMPHASIS THAT OTHER MOVES SUCH AS ON THE SYRIAN PROBLEM AND THE PALESTINIANS NEEDED TO BE TACKLED, AND THE DETER- MINATION OF BOTH YOURSELF AND THE PRESIDENT THAT IT HAD DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 State Dept. Guidelines ew 9/17/03 NARA, Date 3/9/04 TO BE SO. Mt HAD NO DOUBLT WHATSOEVER THAT YOU BOTH MEANT THIS AND WOULD LEAVE NO STONE UNTURNED, AND AT WHAT- EVER ENERGY AND EFFORT REQUIRED, TO MAKE IT SO, 3. HAVING SAID THIS, HE THOUGHT THAT OUT OF OUR FRIEND- SHIP HE WOULD TELL US THAT HE DIDN'T THINK THINGS WOULD By SECKET NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY OF STATE Department of State AMERICA STATES OF SECRET PAGE p2 ISLAMA 08641 0108272 WORK OUT AS WE WISHED AND THAT THE NEXT STEP, ASSUMING YOUR PRESENT EFFORT SUCCEEDS AS REGARDS THE EGYPTIAN FRONT, WOULD LEAD TO AN IMPASSE. HE SAID HE AAS SPEAKING AS UNE 4:10 CONSIDERED RELATIONS WITH THE US AS VITAL AND WHO BELIEVED THAT ANY SETBACK IN THEM WOULD ot DISASTROUS FOR PAKISTAN. IN THIS CONTEXT HE THOUGHT YOU AND THE PRESIDENT WOULD MANT TO CONSIDER ALL FACETS OF EVERY PRO-LEN IN ThE MIDDLE EAST AND PERMAPS HIS OWN PESSI- MISTIC FEELINGS ACCUT THE FUTURE, 4, BHUTTO SAID THAT, WHILE HE WOULD NOT MENTION IT IN CONNECTION WITH ANY OF THE SPECIFICS HE WAS ABOUT TO TELL ME, AN UNDERLYING FACTOR IN HIS THINKING WAS THE UNFOR- TUNATE TIMING or OUR COMING ELECTIONS AS FAR AS THE MIDDLE EAST WAS CONCERNED. HE SAID HL WAS FIRST AND FOREMOST A POLITICIAN, AND KNEW FIRST HAND THAT THE EMOTIONS OF PEOPLE HAD A POWER OF THEIR OWN THAT COULD NOT BE IG- NORED, PARTICULARLY IN A DEMOCRACY SUCH AS OURS. 5. BHUTTO SAID HE HAD HIGH REGARD FOR SADAR AND THOUGHT THAT HE HAD BEEN VERY ACCOMMODATING. BUT ME SAID HE WOULD NOT NECESSARILY DESCRIBE THE CONCESSIONS HE HAD MADE AS STATESMANSHIP BUT MORE AS AN ACCOMMODATION. HE SAID (1) ME THOUGHT THE EGYPTIAN MILITARY HAD LOST THIER WILL TO FIGHT AND SAUAT HAS HAD TO TAKE THIS INTO ACCOUNTT, ANU (2) THAT SADAT HAS STAKING EVERYTHING, ON BOTH HIS FIRST AND SECOND AGREEMENTS THROUGHT YOUR GOOD EFFORTS, TO MAKE POSSIBLE AN ECONOMIC BOOM TO TURN ATTENTIONS AWAY FROM THE ISHAELI PROBLEM. HE SAID (1) ABOVE HAD INHERENT IN IT THE DANGER THAT SADAT COULD BE OVERTHROWN. AS REGARDS (2) ABOVE, BHUTTO REMINDED ME THAT ME WAS FROM AN UNDERDEVELOPED COUNTRY AND HE KNEW THAT THE ECONOMIC MIRACLES SADAT WAS HOPING FOR JUST DIDN'T HAPPEN OVER- NIGHT, WHETHER IN A VERY RICH UNDERDEVELOPED COUNTRY LIKE IRAN OR A VERY POOR COUNTRY. 50 THERE WOULD BE NO GREAT QUICK CHANGE FROM POVERTY FOR THE EGYPTIANS. AFTER A PERIOD OF GREAT EXPECTATIONS AND BUDYANCY, IN WHICH THE PUBLIC POSTURE OF EGYPT MIGHT APPEAR TO TURN BELLICOSE OR EVEN CHAUVANISTIC, THE LETDOWN WHICH WOULD COME WOULD ALSO ENDANGER SADAT. IF HE TRIED TO RECOUP BY BOLDNESS AGAIN ON THE ISRAELI FRONT HIS MILITARY MIGHT GET RID OF HIM AS SECRET NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY IMENT OF STATE Department. of State OMINA AMERICA STATES OF SECRET PAGE 03 ISLAMA 08041 0108272 A PRETEXT FOR NOT FIGHTING AGAIN, 6. AS A COROLLARY TO ThIS SCE ARIO HE SEES THE ISRAELIS SAYING "BAS" (ARABIC AND URDU FOR ENOUGH OR STOP) AS REGARDS FORTMER MOVES RE SYKIA, THE PALESTINIANS, ETC, (ME HAS PULITE ENOUGH NOT TO SAY 50 BUT I THINK BE HAD OUR ELECTIONS IN MIND). THEN HE SAID THERE WOULD BE A DIVISIVE EFFECT AMONG THE ARABS. ht THOUGHT SAUDI ARABIA AND The GULF STATES WOULD TOLERATE A STATUS QUO FOR AWHILE AND POSSIBLY TUNISIA. MOROCCO MAYBE AND SUDAN PERMAPS. LIBYA WOULD DENOUNCE AND ALGERIA (UNLESS NE ARE MAKING MORE INROADS THAN Ht KNOWS THERE). IRAQ OF COURSE KOLLD BE IN THIS CAMP. SYRIA, AND ASSAD IN PARTICULAR, WOULD BE INTENSELY TROUBLED, CHINAFOULDNIT LIKE IT--AND IT ThE SOVIETS WOULD DE AROUND SMILING LIKE CHESHIRE CATS! 7. BHUTTO RETURNED TO HIS EARLIER REMARK THAT HIS OWN PREDICTIONS WOULD IN NO WAY AFFECT SUPPORTING YOUR VIEWS IN YOUR LETTER AND YOUR OBVIOUS DETERMINATIONM ME SAID HE EARNESTLY HOPED IS PREDICTIONS WERE WORNG, AS PEACE IN THE MIDDLE EAST WAS SO VITAL TO US, AND INDEED TO PAKISTAN AS WELL. BUT HE SAID HE COULD NOT GO BEYOND THE ROLE OF TRYING TO BE HELPFUL AS PAKISTAN WAS MUSLIMN BUT NOT AKABIC, AND THE ARABS HAD TO MAKE THEIR OWN POLICY, BE IT WAR OR NEGOTIATIONS, STEP BY STEP OR GENEVA, PEACE OK CAPITULATION. 8. I SAID I WAS ENCOURAGED BY YOUR LETTER AND ITS OBVIOUS STRESS UN NECESSARY NEXT STEPS, HE AGREED BUT REMINDED ME AS A LAST THOUGHT THAT THE ISRAELIS WERE VERY SMART PEOPLE. 1 SAID I SUSPECTED YOU KNEW THEM PRETTY KELL YOURSELF BY NOW. 9. MY CONVERSATIONS WITH BHUTTO ON THE LETTERS TO YOU AND THE PRESIDENT FOLLOWING YOUR TALK WITH AZIZ AHMED WENT wtil. IN VIEW OF PAST TALKS WITH BHUTTO BY BOTH YAQUB AND MYSELF, TMIS IS NO LONGEK A LIVING SUBJECT HERE. MY NEXT MESSAGE WILL THEREFORE BE PRIMARILY TO COMPLETED AND CLOSE THE RECORD ON THIS SUBJECT. BYROADE SECRET LICRARY NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY S STATE Pakestan Lar 12 U Department of State THE D E AMERICA STATES OF #5 TELEGINA TABIV S CONE N00444 2420. PAGE 01 STATE 193876 51 ORIGIN NODS-00 INFO DCT-01 ISO-00 /001 R DRAFTED BY NEA/PABIRAPECK:LAB 0 APPROVED BY THE SECRETARY PIJJSISCO NSC:ROAKLEY (DRAFT) NEAISSUBER S/S at MR. ORTIZ 081429 P 15 51eZ AUG 75 ZFF4 FM SECSTATE WASHOR SD TO AMEMBASSY ISLAMABAD PRIORITY G 0 N F I E HTIAL STATE 193875 NODIS E,O, 116521 GDS WORD TAGS: PFOR, PK, US 0 SUBJECT: MESSAGE FOR PRIME MINISTER BHUTTO D REF $ ISLAMABAD 7272 FOR AMBASSADOR FROM THE SECRETARY 1, PLEASE CONVEY THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE TO PRIME MINISTER BRUITO: QUOTE: DEAR MR. PRIME MINISTER: I AMBASSADOR BYROADE MAS TOLD ME OF YOUR DEEP PERSONAL DESIRE THAT PRESIDENT FORD VISIT PAKISTAN THIS YEAR. I HAVE DISCUSSED WITH THE PRESIDENT YOUR CONCERNS AND THE HIGH INFORTANCE BUTH OUR GOVERNMENTS ATTACH TO THIS VISIT T.U PAKISTAN AS A SYMBOL DF OUR CLOSE BILATERAL RELATION- NOT 10 BE REPRODUCED WITH BULING AUTHORIZATION Of THE EXECUTIVE SECRE Gh 3/9/04 or SCATE Department of State UNITED STATES of AMERICA TELEGRA CONF IDENTIAL PAGE 02 STATE 193676 SHIP. WE ARE STILL IN THE MIDST OF WORKING OUT A SCREDULE FOR POSSIBLE FOREIGN TRAVEL BY THE PRESIDENT DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE YEAR. AS YOU KNOW, WE ARE STILL HOPEFUL THAT THE PRESIDENT WILL BE ABLE TO VISIT CHINA BEFORE THE END OF THE YEAR, BUT THE SCHEDULE IS STILL UNCERTAIN AND NO DECISIONS HAVE BEEN MADE ON THE POSSIBILITY OF VISITING OTHER COUNTRIES ON THE SAME TRIP. THUS THE TIMING OF A VISIT TO PAKISTAN REMAINS UNSETTLED, BUT THE PRESIDENT HAS ASKED ME TO ASSURE YOU THAT HE REMAINS MOST ANXIOUS TO VISIT YOUR COUNTRY AT THE EARLIEST OPPORTUNITY, IF NOT THIS YEAR AT LEAST NEXT YEAR, IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR INVITATION. WE HILL BE IN TOUCH WITH YOU AGAIN AS SOON AS NE HAVE A S MORE DEFINITE VIEW OF THE PRESIDENT'S SCHEDULE IN THE MONTHS AHEAD, WITH WARM PERSONAL REGARDS, HENRY A. KISSINGER. END QUOTE. 2. FYI: ABOVE MESSAGE IS INTENDED TO ASSURE BHUTTO THAT THIS MATTER IS INDEED RECEIVING THE MOST CAREFUL ATTENTION, BUT ALSO TO CONVEY THOUGHT THAT THERE IS LIKELY 10 BE SLIPPAGE IN PRESIDENT'S TRAVEL TO PAKISTAN. KISSINGER CONF IDENTIAL NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRE THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DECLASSIFIED SECRET/NODIS (GDS) E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 MEMORANDUM OF CONVERSATION BY NSC MEMO, labs 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES State Review 9/17/03 , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 PARTICIPANTS: Pakistan Aziz Ahmed, Minister of State for Foreign Affairs Yaqub Khan, Ambassador to the US Iqbal Riza, Minister, Pakistan Embassy Iqbal Akhund, Permanent Representative to the UN United States Henry A. Kissinger, Secretary of State and Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs Alfred L. Atherton, Jr., Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern & South Asian Affairs Robert B. Oakley, NSC Staff DATE AND TIME: Tuesday, September 30, 1975 11:30 a.m. - 12:15 p.m. PLACE: Suite 34-A, Waldorf Towers New York, New York Ahmed: Congratulations on your success in the Middle East. It must have been tough. Kissinger: It was rough but not nearly as rough as since I came back. We are in a nihilistic phase of Congressional behaviour. Of course, they are hurting themselves by this since the really damaging thing politically would be to attack the Administration on domestic policy rather than foreign policy. What do they think they are doing? In any event, I am relaxed since this cannot last. Ahmed: Look at the investigation of the CIA and everything elsc. Subject to GDS of E. O. 11652 SECRET/NODIS (GDS) Automatically Downgraded at Two Year Intervals and Declassified on December 31, 1983. SECRET/ NODIS (GDS) Page 2 Kissinger: It is typical of this stage of nihilism. I have refused to allow them to call up Foreign Service Officers to testify on what their policy recommendations were. This would be like the McCarthy period. My decision will cause a tremendous brawl. Ahmed: We have submitted to you two lists of arms we need. Kissinger: I hope the nuclear weapons are on the second list. Ahmed: They are on the third list; we have the Pershing on the second list. Kissinger: The Pershing issue is a big fraud. We never had any intention of giving it to Israel in any foreseeable time frame. The people who are pushing all this are the pro-Israelis who want to lock us into commitments to Israel. But you didn't want it anyway. Ahmed: No, only the nuclear weapons. Kissinger: The 1960 models are in surplus now so we should be able to give you some--but I had better watch what I say since there is no telling what you might report back to Bhutto. Ahmed: We are being modest and restrained in handling the arms question. Kissinger: Do you have the money yet? Ahmed: We will find it from Saudi Arabia. But we think it will be easicr to get answers first from you on just what is available and how much it costs. Then we can go to the Saudis. Kissinger: I can inform you that we have approval to supply you with 24 TOW launchers and 450 missiles. You can get started on a training program while awaiting delivery of the rest. It is our intention to start slowly on our new military relationship with you, concentrating on defensive weapons, and get it going well before it can SECRET / NODIS (GDS) SECRET/NODIS (GDS) Page 3 Kissinger: be disrupted. So let us not give any publicity to (Continuing) the TOW's or the invitation we are extending to your Air Marshal. Let us build up slowly but steadily--with maybe some artillery next--weapons that can reasonably be described as defensive. Ahmed: We have been very careful in compiling our lists. Kissinger: If you narrow the gap with India to 1 to 10 you will be in good shape. Seriously, we want you strong enough so that India will be afraid to attack. Ahmed: We want A-7 and other weapons in a hurry. India might well attack us the 2nd or 3rd week of November in Kashmir. Kissinger: Can they really attack there? I thought the terrain was too rugged, and it would seem as aggression anyway. Ahmed: According to the Indian Constitution, all of Kashmir is part of India. We can take them on in Kashmir but they will fight us all along the border. We cannot be certain but we think this will happen and we must look out for it. If it happens, it will be a two-front war with Afghanistan joining in any time there is war with India. But we can handle this with the A-7. Kissinger: It has very long range and is an attack plane, isn't it? Ahmed: Yes. Are you saying it is not considered defensive? It is a fighter as well. Kissinger: I am simply stating facts about the plane. Ahmed: We have been very interested in this plane for a long time. We want about 110 of them. We also need weapons in a short time frame since ordinary delivery will never get them in our hands before the war in November. We will do our best by ourselves but we need arms. It all depends on the USSR. The Indians cannot move without Soviet approval because of their treaty which obliges the USSR to help India. SEGRET/NODIS (GDS) SECRET/NODIS (GDS) Page 4 Kissinger: The treaty is not so binding. Ahmed: Yes it is since if India is attacked, the USSR is obliged to come in until the threat is removed. Really, this would bring the Soviets in even if India went first and we hit back. So whenever India wants to start something, she must have Soviet support. We think India will probably start a war. Mid-November to mid-December is the probable time. This year is unlikely, but we must be watchful, and next year is more certain. If we seem to be in trouble, the Afghans will join in. We have told our chaps to be ready to do their best on two fronts and not to expect anyone to come to their help. Outside help is a bonus and they should not count upon it. Iran could stop the Afghans by moving some of its units up to the borders but it would not do so for fear of the USSR. So what they will really do to help us is questionable. Nor have we been able to get China to assure us of support. That is why we need weapons off the shelf. Kissinger: We have serious problems with our own army on rapid delivery. Don't you have a team coming soon? We can discuss all this when they come in October. Ahmed: Thank you. That is the best approach. Also, con- cerning the Soviet threat, you know about the Soviet Ambassador in Kabul. When Bhutto had the Soviet Ambassador in Islamabad in to ask about this, he had us all present. The Soviet Ambassador said he would report immediately to Moscow and was sure it would be cleared up soon. He would let us know. But he has never returned. When our Ambassador to Moscow took it up there, the Foreign Ministry expressed surprise that we would credit any such statement. But when our Ambassador asked the Soviets about the Durand line, they said they were "not empowered" to discuss borders. It is not conclusive but it is very worrisome and worthy of note. We have informed you and the Iranians and the Chinese. SECRET/NODIS (GDS) SECRET/ NODIS (GDS) Page 5 Kissinger: As I told you in Ankara, we would take a grave view of Soviet machinations and you can be certain that the Soviets understand that. The Indian Foreign Minister will be in Washington next week and I will tell him that any Indian pressure on Pakistan will ruin Indian efforts at friendlier relations with the United States. They are trying hard to improve their relations with us at the present time, due to their internal developments. It is nothing spectacular, but it is interesting. Ahmed: Will there be a Communique in connection with Chavan's visit? Kissinger: An agreed minute of the Joint Commission meeting, words but no real substance. The biggest question concerning the visit is whether I will be able to survive a dinner given by Ambassador Yaqub's colleague, Ambassador Kaul. He insists upon making some sort of comment about each of his guests after dinner, and since he takes at least half a minute for at least forty guests, that is already twenty minutes and then he gives a long toast in which he attacks United States policy. It is very boring. The last time I was at one of his affairs he gave a toast saying that some nations like economic power and some like military power but India likes spiritual power. I replied that I was surprised that he came out with spiritual power since I had expected him to say India has chosen nuclear power. In Bhutto's recent letter to President Ford he said that Pakistan may have to adjust its policy to meet the political realities in the area. What does that mean? Ahmed: There will be no change in our relationship with you or with the Chinese, you can be sure of that. Kissinger: What is the Chinese mood? Ahmed: We hope we can get more support from them. They have been hard to pin down. They defer to you so I hope that you will talk to them about Pakistan when you go to China. SECRET (GDS) SECRET NODIS (GDS) Page 6 Kissinger: What is their attitude toward the United States? Ahmed: Last night, Chou gave me the impression that it is about time something happened as a follow-up by you to the Shanghai Communique. As you know, they have been very cautious and patient on this issue but for the first time I detected a bit of impatience. In the past he has always said he appreciates the problems of the United States. This time he did not say that and he hinted that China is impatient. But they clearly want to continue to have good relations with you. Kissinger: I will get eager on October 17 or 18. Ahmed: Will you also visit Pakistan? Kissinger: I simply do not have the time although I would love it. On this subject, I notice that your Prime Minister is excited over the visit by President Ford. You know we never set a date for the visit and whether or not President Ford visits Pakistan is not dependent upon what he does with India. We have a special relationship. Ahmed: Can he come in connection with his visit to China? Kissinger: This was never planned and I cannot imagine how anyone got this idea. You know how the Chinese are. Certainly we would never consider going to India or even to Pakistan in connection with a visit to China. It has always been seen as a separate trip. The President may visit Southeast Asia after China, perhaps the Philippines. They need to be shored up after what happened in Indo- China. Is it true that you are. buying arms from North Vietnam? Ahmed: We have made some inquiries but there is nothing definite. The article in Newsweck saying we are interested in buying arms from North Vietnam upset them very much although the leak did not come from us. We have no details of what they can supply and we have made no decision but we are checking. It appears that almost everything belongs to South Vietnam. We shall have to see what happens. SECRET/ (GDS) SECRET/NODIS (GDS) Page 7 Kissinger: I do not know what they have to sell. Some things in some categories but I do not believe they have large overall totals. Also, I do not know what kind of shape it is in. Ahmed: We are having more trouble with the Tarbela Dam. Last year we had to empty the reservoir in order to repair damage to the tunnels. This has been fixed but it now turns out that the river bed has been scarred by closing the tunnels and this must be repaired. This means a delay in refilling the reservoir with a subsequent loss of water for irrigation. We had been counting on a good crop this year, especially for wheat, in 1976 but it now looks as if we shall have to wait for another year. Can you help us with more PL 480 wheat? Kissinger: What do we have already planned? Atherton: 500,, 000 tons in the planning figure. The same as for India. Ahmed: We needed at least one million before learning of the Tarbela problem. Now we need more. Kissinger: We shall review the problem and see what can be done. Who built the dam with which you are having so much trouble? Repairing a big dam is a very tricky problem. Ahmed: It was a French, Italian construction with some parti- cipation by the United States. It is the biggest dam in the world and they may have taken on more than they could handle. Kissinger: We shall see what we can do with PL 480. FORD GERALO /NODIS (GDS) 2 Sent 3/19/76 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL PA March 18, 1976 Brent: The Paks and French are within a few days of making a public announcement of the conclusion of the arrangements for the reprocessing deal. It will be even more difficult to get Bhutto to consider backing away after that occurs. State therefore requests urgent action on this package. They would like to cable the President's letter Friday or Saturday if possible. DE E David Elliott MEMORANDUM ACTION - 1625 Joseped a It NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL SEGRET March 18, 1976 MEMORANDUM FOR: BRENT SCOWCROFT FROM: DAVID ELLIOTT D.E. ROBERT OAKLEY SUBJECT: Presidential Letter to Bhutto on Pakistani Nuclear Issues HAK has requested the President to send a letter to Bhutto asking him to forego acquisition of a chemical reprocessing plant from France and a heavy water production facility from the FRG (Tab B). Neither of these facilities has any economic justification since Pakistan has only one uranium natural reactor and that does not use plutonium fuel. The purpose of these facilities almost certainly is to put Pakistan in an independent position eventually leading to the capability to produce nuclear weapons. We have much less leverage with Pakistan than we had with Korea, and unless we are prepared to withhold conventional arms and economic assistance, we probably will be unsuccessful in halting Pakistan's acquisition of a nuclear weapon capability. State might consider such pressure or Congress might mandate it, but before we get to that point we should exhaust the diplomatic possibilities. HAK previously asked Sauvagnargues and Genscher not to supply Pakistan with these nuclear facilities. The Germans have held up to watch devel- opments but the French gave us a cold no. HAK's talk with Bhutto in New York last month also elicited a flat rejection and Pak Ambassador Yaqub has reported to Bhutto that, in his judgment, the U.S. will not apply economic or military leverage on this matter. The proposed letter from the President to Bhutto is our best diplomatic try and should be taken before we consider other possibilities. RECOMMENDATION: That you initial the memorandum to the President at Tab I, recommending that he sign the letter to Bhutto at Tab A. SECRET DECLASSIFIED NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES state Review 9/17/03 E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 FORD LIDRABY is OTVHED BY Wa , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 you Gen S:wgh: 18 Mar 76 (retyped) # 1625 - Tab A - - Page 1 Dear Mr. Prime Minister: I am writing to you in the spirit of friendship and mutual understanding which has traditionally characterized exchanges between our two Governments. During your visit to Washington last year, we held very productive discussions and reached broad areas of understanding on matters of mutual interest. I am encouraged by the openness of our relationship to approach you quite candidly on Pakistan's plans to acquire certain sensitive nuclear facilities, a matter which is of deep concern to my Government. I know from my discussions with you that you share our fear over the threat to the general peace posed by the un- restrained spread of nuclear explosives technology. My Government has welcomed your forthright assurances that Pakistan will not divert its civil nuclear development efforts into an explosives program, and that Pakistan's nuclear activities will be devoted exclusively to peaceful purposes. You should be aware, however, that there is considerable apprehension in this country and elsewhere over the spread on a national basis of the nuclear technology associated with the development of nuclear explosives -- specifically, uranium enrichment, heavy water production and chemical reprocessing. Secretary Kissinger stated at the UN General Assembly last September the view of this Government that the further spread of nuclear reprocessing facilities under national control would seriously aggravate the problem of nuclear proliferation. For this reason we welcomed Korea's decision to forego acquisition of a national reprocessing plant. For the same a FORD the LIBRARY reason I am now writing to you to ask that you give serious consideration to the broader implications of this matter for stability both in your region and in the world. At this juncture, #/625 - 3 - I believe that I understand the difficulties that my request to you will present to your Government. I would not raise this matter with you, however, if I did not consider it to be of the utmost importance. I would be grateful if you would let me have your views on the points I have raised. Sincerely, His Excellency Zulfikar Ali Bhutto Prime Minister of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan Islamabad Retyped page 3:GRF:BS:feg:3/19/76 FORD LIBRARY & 2d THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Dear Mr. Prime Minister: I am writing to you in the spirit of friendship and mutual understanding which has traditionally characterized the exchanges between our two Governments. During your visit to Washington last year, we held very productive discussions and reached broad areas of understanding on matters of mutual interest. I am encouraged by the openness of our relationship to approach you quite candidly on Pakistan's plans to acquire certain sensitive nuclear facilities, a matter which is of deep concern to my Government. I know from my discussions with you that you share our fear over the threat to the general peace posed by un- restrained spread of nuclear explosives technology. My Government has welcomed your forthright assurances that Pakistan will not divert its civil nuclear development efforts into an explosives program, and that Pakistan's nuclear activities will be devoted exclusively to peaceful purposes. You should be aware, however, that there is considerable apprehension in this country and elsewhere over the spread on a national basis of the nuclear technology associated with the development of nuclear explosives specifically, uranium enrichment heavy water production and chemical reprocessing. In fact, Secretary Kissinger stated at the UN General Assembly last September the view of this Government that the further spread of nuclear reprocessing facilities under national control would will seriously aggravate the problem of nuclear proliferation. For this reason we welcomed Korea's decision to forego acquisition of a national reprocessing plant. For the same reason I am now writing to you to ask that you give serious consideration to the broader implications of this matter for stability both in your region and in the world. At this juncture, - 3 - I believe that I understand the difficulties that my request to you will present to your Government. I would not raise this matter with you, however, if I did not consider it to be of the utmost importance. I would be grateful if you would let me have your views on the points I have raised. Personal regards, His Excellency Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, Prime Minister of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan 3A THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON March 19, 1976 Dear Mr. Prime Minister: I am writing to you in the spirit of friendship and mutual understanding which has traditionally characterized exchanges between our two Governments. During your visit to Washington last year, we held very productive discussions and reached broad areas of standing on matters of mutual interest. I am encouraged by the openness of our relationship to approach you quite candidly on Pakistan's plans to acquire certain sensitive nuclear facilities, a matter which is of deep concern to my Government. I know from my discussions with you that you share our fear over the threat to the general peace posed by the un- restrained spread of nuclear explosives technology. My Government has welcomed your forthright assurances that Pakistan will not divert its civil nuclear development efforts into an explosives program, and that Pakistan's nuclear activities will be devoted exclusively to peaceful purposes. You should be aware, however, that there is considerable apprehension in this country and elsewhere over the spread on a national basis of the nuclear technology associated with the development of nuclear explosives -- specifically, uranium enrichment, heavy water production and chemical reprocessing. Secretary Kissinger stated at the UN General Assembly last September the view of this Government that the further spread of nuclear reprocessing facilities under national control would seriously aggravate the problem of nuclear proliferation. DECLASSIFIED For this reason we welcomed Korea's decision to forego E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 NSC BY Wa MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES stateleview 9/17/03 NARA, DATE 3/9/04 acquisition of a national reprocessing plant. For the same reason I am now writing to you to ask that you give serious consideration to the broader implications of this matter for stability both in your region and in the world. At this juncture, - 2 - I believe your Government has an opportunity to make a highly important contribution to worldwide efforts effectively to forestall further nuclear proliferation. My concern is not the reliability of the assurances of your Government. It is that the establishment of sensitive nuclear facilities under national control inevitably gives rise to perceptions in many quarters that, under circumstances which perhaps cannot even be foreseen today, non-peaceful uses may be contemplated. Whether justified or not, such perceptions could be by themselves destabilizing and under- mine the mutual confidence and sense of security which must be created if we are to build a system of international peaceful nuclear cooperation. These perceptions are heightened in Pakistan's case by the lack of a persuasive economic justification for obtaining sensitive nuclear facilities. For example, the experience of the United States, as well as of all countries with major nuclear power programs, is that reprocessing of spent reactor fuel is only economic within a very much larger reactor program than Pakistan could contemplate for the foreseeable future. I know that Secretary Kissinger has already expressed similar views to you on this matter, but I want to underline to you my deep personal concern over the possible effect of your actions in this area on our ability to sustain support in public opinion here for our close cooperation on a broad range of issues of interest to both our governments. I fear that many in this country will be critical of Pakistan's actions and skeptical regarding its intentions. Friendship with Pakistan has enjoyed broad popular support in this country among the public and in the Congress over the years. However, Pakistan's acquisition of these sensitive facilities would, I believe, arouse considerable criticism and could erode this support. With these considerations in mind, I hope that you will give serious consideration to foregoing present plans to acquire reprocessing and heavy water facilities until your future nuclear program is sufficiently developed to establish a clear need and until other alternatives, such as a multinational venture, are thoroughly explored. - 3 - I believe that I understand the difficulties that my request to you will present to your Government. I would not raise this matter with you, however, if I did not consider it to be of the utmost importance. I would be grateful if you would let me have your views on the points I have raised. Sincerely, Heald R. Good His Excellency Zulfikar Ali Bhutto Prime Minister of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan Islamabad FORM 4 BENALD 3B MEMORANDUM PRESIDENT HAS SEE ACTION - 1625 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON SECRET March 19, 1976 MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: BRENT SCOWCROFT B SUBJECT: Letter to Bhutto on Pakistani Nuclear Issues Secretary Kissinger has requested that you send a letter to Prime Minister Bhutto concerning Pakistan's acquisition of sensitive nuclear facilities (Tab B). Consistent with our long-standing efforts to prevent increased national access to sensitive nuclear technology, we have asked France, the FRG, and Pakistan to reconsider transactions involving national reprocessing and heavy water facilities for Pakistan. If these projects were to go forward, they would provide Pakistan with important basic elements needed for a nuclear explosive program. Secretary Kissinger direct and forceful intervention on this subject with Prime Minister B hutto last month was politely but frankly rejected. We also have other reliable indications of continuing high-level Pakistani determination to pursue this independent nuclear option. Our concern is heightened by the obvious lack of economic justification for these projects and the equally obvious Pakistani concern not to be at the mercy of India. Although these facilities and their products would be safeguarded, it would be possible for the GOP to contravene or abrogate any safeguards agree- ments, a possibility we must take seriously in view of Pakistan's perception of its critical security situation. Even if Pakistan kept its agreements, its possession of a potential nuclear explosives capability could by itself adversely affect South Asian stability. Future decisions on nuclear issues by other regional states such as Iran could be affected, and our own ability to cooperate with Pakistan might be jeopardized as Congressional and public opinion focus increasingly on the implications of Pakistan's nuclear activities. This has already been raised with Secretary Kissinger in Congressional hearings. FORD SECRET DECLASSIFIED & E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES televiow 9/17/03 BY. lah GERALD LIDRARY , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 SECRET 2 In order to underscore the extent of our concern, Secretary Kissinger recently sent letters to the Foreign Ministers of France and the FRG reinforcing the demarches already made with their governments (Tab C). It would be most helpful for you to sign the attached letter (Tab A) to Prime Minister Bhutto, reinforcing our request for reconsideration of its present plans. Bob Hartmann's office has cleared the text of the letter. RECOMMENDATION: That you sign the attached letter to Prime Minister Bhutto. SECRET 30 MEMORANDUM ACTION - 1625 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL SECRET March 18, 1976 MEMORANDUM FOR: BRENT SCOWCROFT FROM: DAVID ELLIOTT ROBERT OAKLEY SUBJECT: Presidential Letter to Bhutto on Pakistani Nuclear Issues HAK has requested the President to send a letter to Bhutto asking him to forego acquisition of a chemical reprocessing plant from France and a heavy water production facility from the FRG (Tab B). Neither of these facilities has any economic justification since Pakistan has only one uranium natural reactor and that does not use plutonium fuel. The purpose of these facilities almost certainly is to put Pakistan in an independent position eventually leading to the capability to produce nuclear weapons. We have much less leverage with Pakistan than we had with Korea, and unless we are prepared to withhold conventional arms and economic assistance, we probably will be unsuccessful in halting Pakistan's acquisition of a nuclear weapon capability. State might consider such pressure or Congress might mandate it, but before we get to that point we should exhaust the diplomatic possibilities. HAK previously asked Sauvagnargues and Genscher not to supply Pakistan with these nuclear facilities. The Germans have held up to watch devel- opments but the French gave us a cold no. HAK's talk with Bhutto in New York last month also elicited a flat rejection and Pak Ambassador Yaqub has reported to Bhutto that, in his judgment, the U.S. will not apply economic or military leverage on this matter. The proposed letter from the President to Bhutto is our best diplomatic try and should be taken before we consider other possibilities. RECOMMENDATION: That you initial the memorandum to the President at Tab I, recommending that he sign the letter to Bhutto at Tab A. SECRET DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 BY. NSC MEMO, Leb 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES state Aeriew 9/17/03 , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 1625 3D THE SECRETARY OF STATE 7605327 WASHINGTON March 16, 1976 SECRET/EXDIS MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT From: Henry A. Kissinger HK Subject: Further Demarches on Pakistani Nuclear Issues Consistent with our long-standing efforts to prevent increased national access to sensitive nuclear technology, we have asked France, the FRG, and Pakistan to reconsider transactions involving national reprocessing and heavy water facilities for Pakistan. If these projects were to go for- ward, they would provide Pakistan with important basic elements needed for a nuclear explosive pro- gram. We have reliable indications of continuing high-level Pakistani interest in pursuing this op- tion, and our concern is heightened by the lack of economic need for these projects. Although these facilities and their products would be safeguarded, it would be possible for the GOP to contravene or abrogate any safeguards agreements, a possibility we must take seriously in view of Pakistan's percep- tion of its critical security situation. Even if Pakistan kept its agreements, its possession of a potential nuclear explosives capability could by it- self adversely affect South Asian stability, future nuclear decisions by other regional states such as Iran, and our own ability to cooperate with Pakistan in the future as Congressional and public opinion focuses increasingly on the implications of Pakistan's nuclear activities. SECRET/EXDIS XGDS 3 DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 State Dept. Guidelines statekriew 9/17/03 , NARA, Date 3/9/04 SECRET/EXDIS -2- France and Pakistan appear intent on moving ahead quickly on the reprocessing plant despite our previous demarches and my expression of concern to Prime Minister Bhutto in New York. The FRG is tempor- arily delaying a decision on the heavy water plant until France and Pakistan have responded to our demarches. In order to underscore the extent of our concern, I have recently sent letters to the Foreign Ministers of France and the FRG reinforcing the demarches already made with their governments (copies attached). I believe it would be helpful with Pakistan for you to sign the attached letter to Prime Minister Bhutto underlining our request for reconsideration of its present plans. Following my recent communications to the French and German Foreign Ministers, and my decision to recommend that you write to Prime Minister Bhutto, I appeared before the Senate Government Operations Committee on non-proliferation and nuclear export questions on March 9th. In response to Committee questions, I indicated that we were pursuing the is- sue of the reprocessing facility with the governments involved. I anticipate that these additional approaches will prompt serious review before France, the FRG, and Pakistan make their final decisions. If these communications should not lead to cancellation of the reprocessing transaction, they may at least contrib- ute to the evolution of French and German nuclear ex- port policy in more reassuring directions. I would also hope that these efforts would enhance our ability to act affirmatively in the future in preserving our important continuing relationship with Pakistan. Recommendation: That you send the attached letter concerning Pakistan's acquisition of sensitive nuclear technol- ogy to Prime Minister Bhutto. SECRET/EXDIS SECRET/EXDIS - -3- Attachments: 1. Suggested letter to Prime Minister Bhutto 2. Letters to Foreign Ministers of France and FRG SECRET/EXDIS 3E SECRET/EXDIS SUGGESTED LETTER Dear Mr. Prime Minister: I am writing to you in the spirit of friendship and mutual understanding which has traditionally characterized the exchanges between our two Govern- ments. During your visit to Washington last year, we held very productive discussions and reached broad areas of understanding on matters of mutual interest. I am encouraged by the openness of our relationship to approach you quite candidly on Pakistan's plans to acquire certain sensitive nuclear facilities, a matter which is of deep concern to my Government. I know from my discussions with you that you share our fear over the threat to the general peace posed by unrestrained spread of nuclear explosives DECLASSIFIED State Dept. Guidelines state Review 9/17/03 technology. My Government has welcomed your forth- Date 3/9/04 right assurances that Pakistan will not divert its E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 His Excellency Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, Prime Minister of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan. Department of State SECRET/EXDIS SECRET/EXDIS -2- civil nuclear development efforts into an explosives program, and that Pakistan's nuclear activities will be devoted exclusively to peaceful purposes. You should be aware, however, that there is con- siderable apprehension in this country and elsewhere over the spread on a national basis of the nuclear technology associated with the development of nuclear explosives--specifically, uranium enrichment, heavy water production and chemical reprocessing. Indeed, Secretary Kissinger stated at the UN General Assembly last September the view of this Government that the further spread of nuclear reprocessing facilities under national control will seriously aggravate the problem of nuclear proliferation. This is why we welcomed Korea's decision to forego acquisition of a national reprocess- ing plant, and also why I am writing to you to ask that you give serious consideration to the broader implications of this matter for stability both in your region and in the world. At this juncture, I believe your Government has an opportunity to make a highly important contribution to worldwide efforts effectively to forestall further nuclear proliferation. FORD ? SECRET/EXDIS GERALD SECRET/EXDIS -3- My concern is not the reliability of the assur- ances of your Government. It is that the establish- ment of sensitive nuclear facilities under national control inevitably gives rise to perceptions in many quarters that, under circumstances which perhaps can not even be foreseen today, non-peaceful uses may be contemplated. Whether justified or not, such percep- tions could be by themselves destabilizing and under- mine the mutual confidence and sense of security which must be created if we are to build a system of inter- national peaceful nuclear cooperation. These perceptions are heightened in Pakistan's case by the lack of a persuasive economic justifica- tion for obtaining sensitive nuclear facilities. For example, the experience of the United States, as well as of all countries with major nuclear power programs, is that reprocessing of spent reactor fuel is only economic within a very much larger reactor program than Pakistan could contemplate for the foreseeable future. I know that Secretary Kissinger has already ex- pressed similar views to you on this matter, but I want to underline to you my deep personal concern SECRET/EXDIS SECRET/EXDIS -4- over the possible effect of your actions in this area on our ability to sustain support in public opinion here for our close cooperation on a broad range of issues of interest to both our governments. I fear that many in this country will be critical of Pakistan's actions and skeptical regarding its intentions. Friend- ship with Pakistan has enjoyed broad popular support in this country among the public and in the Congress over the years. However, Pakistan's acquisition of these sensitive facilities would, I believe, arouse considerable criticism and could erode this support. With these considerations in mind, I hope that you will give serious consideration to not proceeding with present plans to acquire reprocessing and heavy water facilities until your future nuclear program is sufficiently developed to establish a clear need and until other alternatives, such as a multinational venture, are thoroughly explored. I believe that I understand the difficulties that my request to you will present to your Government. I would not raise this matter with you, however, if FORD R SECRET/EXDIS BERALD SECRET/EXDIS -5- I did not consider it to be of the utmost importance. I would be grateful if you would let me have your views on the points I have raised. Sincerely, Gerald R. Ford FORD SECRET/EXDIS & GERALD THE SECRETARY OF STATE WASHINGTON CONFIDENTIAL Dear Jean: I am writing you on a matter of profound importance to our efforts to promote stability and deter the spread of nuclear explosive capabilities: the threat posed to those efforts by increased national access to sensitive nuclear technology -- particularly chemical reprocessing facilities -- especially in areas of conflict and instability. I have been heartened by the progress we have made since our Presidents met in Martinique in 1974. The meetings of nuclear suppliers in London have succeeded in strengthening and expanding guidelines for nuclear safeguards and controls. We take very seriously their provisions for consultation, restraint in sensitive nuclear exports, and encourage- ment of multinational alternatives to such exports. We have applauded the active cooperation of France which has made possible the success of this effort. I continue to believe, as I noted last September to the UN General Assembly, that the further spread under national control of reprocessing facilities will seriously aggravate the problem of nuclear proliferation. My concern is all the greater in the case of countries whose incentives to acquire nuclear His Excellency Jean Sauvagnargues, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the French Republic, Paris. CONFIDENTIAL DECLASSIPIED GERALD B.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 State Dept. Guidelines state loview 9/17/03 By tabs , NARA, Date 3/9/04 CONFIDENTIAL - 2 - weapons are substantial. This is why we welcomed Korea's decision to forego acquiring a national reprocessing plant, and why we deeply appreciated France's constructive stance which contributed so much to our efforts. We have made emphatically clear to the Korean Government that future US cooperation should not hamper or replace its peace- ful nuclear cooperation with France. We are therefore at a juncture where we can move to consolidate a pattern of restraint in sensitive nuclear transfers while fostering effectively safeguarded cooperation in non-sensitive parts of the nuclear fuel cycle. It is in this context that we are asking France to join us in an act of leadership to deter or delay Pakistani acquisition of a national reprocessing capability and to pursue, when the need is clear, safer and more economic alternatives, such as a multinational venture in the region. In this connection, we have asked Pakistan to consider cancellation of present plans to acquire a reprocessing plant until its future nuclear program is sufficiently developed to establish clear need and until other alternatives have been more thoroughly explored. I expressed my personal concern about these plans to Prime Minister Bhutto. I must be frank in pointing out that-compared to Korea, Pakistan is pursuing a much larger plutonium-production capability, for which it has no economic need but it does have considerable potential for being used either to counter India's nuclear capability or to try to obtain concessions for not doing so. We must also face the danger of contravention or abrogation of even the most effective safeguards agreement if a nation finds this to be in its national interest. I believe that I understand the difficulties that my request may present to your Government. While I would prefer that France participate with us in persuading Pakistan to cancel its facility, it would help our efforts with Prime Minister Bhutto if France could delay further actions on this transaction for a reasonable period of FORD CONFIDENTIAL ? GENALD CONFIDENTIAL - 3 - time. I believe that we can make no more enduring contribution to international stability than a decisive act to forestall further transfers of national reprocessing capabilities, particularly in circumstances where there is a substantiál risk that they might be used for non-peaceful purposes. Warm regards, Henry A. Kissinger 3 FORD tie CONFIDENTIAL a GERALD 34 THE SECRETARY OF STATE WASHINGTON CONFIDENTIAL Dear Mr. Minister: I know that you are aware of our concern over the Government of Pakistan's plans to acquire a pilot reprocessing plant from France and a heavy water plant from the Federal Republic. I have personally discussed the matter with Prime Minister Bhutto but have not yet received a definitive response. In the meantime, I wanted to ensure that you understand the importance we attach to this matter, and to ask that in reaching a decision on this transaction, you take into account not only the immediate risks which we perceive but some of the longer-term implications which in my view must be considered. In reviewing the totality of Pakistan's planned nuclear program, we find it difficult to avoid the conclusion that there is a substantial risk of nuclear proliferation. Neither a chemical reprocessing nor a heavy water production capability are needed to meet Pakistan's civil nuclear needs. Both facilities would, however, provide important elements in an indigenous capability to produce nuclear explosives. Whether or not Pakistan in fact chooses to produce explosives, I believe the capability to do so would in itself contribute to a highly unstable situation in South Asia, with sharply increased danger that other nations will His Excellency Hans-Dietrich Genscher, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Federal Republic of Germany, Bonn. & CONFIDENTIAL DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 GERALO State Dept. Guidelines state Deview 9/17/03 labor , NARA, Date 3/9/DN CONFIDENTIAL - 2 - feel impelled to take countermeasures. In such circumstances, there would inevitably be a greater risk of conflict, which because of its nuclear aspect could threaten the security of countries both within and without the area. I am also concerned that our long-term mutual objective of developing nuclear power as an alter- native world energy source may be prejudiced if we fail to contain the proliferation problem. This has been an important consideration in pursuing greater cooperation among major nuclear suppliers. The recent London Guidelines, in which the FRG played an important role, are an impressive start toward such cooperation. However, I cannot stress too strongly the growing apprehension in this country about the dangers of nuclear proliferation, and my own view that unless supplier governments deal adequately and convincingly with those dangers in pursuing peaceful nuclear transfers, our long-term economic interests as well as our security may be affected. I am grateful for your Government's recent decision to defer further action on the proposed heavy water sale until we have received the reactions of France and Pakistan to our recent approaches. As you may be aware, we had hoped to seek deferral of the French/Pakistani safeguards agreement at the recent IAEA Board of Governors meeting in Vienna, in order to allow us more time to convince Pakistan that it is in its own interest not to acquire sensitive nuclear facilities at this time. This did not prove feasible. For Pakistan, an independent ability to produce heavy water would be a critical link in an indigenous fuel cycle which would give Pakistan the ability to develop nuclear explosives. Therefore, I would CONFIDENTIAL 3. GERALO CONFIDENTIAL - 3 - appreciate your personally reviewing this problem irrespective of what positions other governments may adopt. Warm regards, Henry A. Kissinger CONFIDENTIAL BERALD THE SECRETARY OF STATE WASHINGTON CONFIDENTIAL Dear Jean: I am writing you on a matter of profound importance to our efforts to promote stability and deter the spread of nuclear explosive capabilities: the threat posed to those efforts by increased national access to sensitive nuclear technology -- particularly chemical reprocessing facilities -- especially in areas of conflict and instability. I have been heartened by the progress we have made since our Presidents met in Martinique in 1974. The meetings of nuclear suppliers in London have succeeded in strengthening and expanding guidelines for nuclear safeguards and controls. We take very seriously their provisions for consultation, restraint in sensitive nuclear exports, and encourage- ment of multinational alternatives to such exports. We have applauded the active cooperation of France which has made possible the success of this effort. I continue to believe, as I noted last September to the UN General Assembly, that the further spread under national control of reprocessing facilities will seriously aggravate the problem of nuclear proliferation. My concern is all the greater in the case of countries whose incentives to acquire nuclear His Excellency Jean Sauvagnargues, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the French Republic, Paris. & DECLASSIFIED CONFIDENTIAL E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 State Dept. Guidelines state Deview 9/17/03 GERALD By , NARA, Date 3/9/04 CONFIDENTIAL - 2 - weapons are substantial. This is why we welcomed Korea's decision to forego acquiring a national reprocessing plant, and why we deeply appreciated France's constructive stance which contributed so much to our efforts. We have made emphatically clear to the Korean Government that future US cooperation should not hamper or replace its peace- ful nuclear cooperation with France. We are therefore at a juncture where we can move to consolidate a pattern of restraint in sensitive nuclear transfers while fostering effectively safeguarded cooperation in non-sensitive parts of the nuclear fuel cycle. It is in this context that we are asking France to join us in an act of leadership to deter or delay Pakistani acquisition of a national reprocessing capability and to pursue, when the need is clear, safer and more economic alternatives, such as a multinational venture in the region. In this connection, we have asked Pakistan to consider cancellation of present plans to acquire a reprocessing plant until its future nuclear program is sufficiently developed to establish clear need and until other alternatives have been more thoroughly explored. I expressed my personal concern about these plans to Prime Minister Bhutto. I must be frank in pointing out that compared to Korea, Pakistan is pursuing a much larger plutonium-production capability, for which it has no economic need but it does have considerable potential for being used either to counter India's nuclear capability or to try to obtain concessions for not doing SO. We must also face the danger of contravention or abrogation of even the most effective safeguards agreement if a nation finds this to be in its national interest. I believe that I understand the difficulties that my request may present to your Government. While I would prefer that France participate with us in persuading Pakistan to cancel its facility, it would help our efforts with Prime Minister Bhutto if France could delay further actions on this transaction for a reasonable period of CONFIDENTIAL & GERALD CONFIDENTIAL - 3 - time. I believe that we can make no more enduring contribution to international stability than a decisive act to forestall further transfers of national reprocessing capabilities, particularly in circumstances where there is a substantiál risk that they might be used for non-peaceful purposes. Warm regards, Henry A. Kissinger I CONFIDENTIAL BERELO THE SECRETARY OF STATE WASHINGTON CONFIDENTIAL Dear Mr. Minister: I know that you are aware of our concern over the Government of Pakistan's plans to acquire a pilot reprocessing plant from France and a heavy water plant from the Federal Republic. I have personally discussed the matter with Prime Minister Bhutto but have not yet received a definitive response. In the meantime, I wanted to ensure that you understand the importance we attach to this matter, and to ask that in reaching a decision on this transaction, you take into account not only the immediate risks which we perceive but some of the longer-term implications which in my view must be considered. In reviewing the totality of Pakistan's planned nuclear program, we find it difficult to avoid the conclusion that there is a substantial risk of nuclear proliferation. Neither a chemical reprocessing nor a heavy water production capability are needed to meet Pakistan's civil nuclear needs. Both facilities would, however, provide important elements in an indigenous capability to produce nuclear explosives. Whether or not Pakistan in fact chooses to produce explosives, I believe the capability to do SO would in itself contribute to a highly unstable situation in South Asia, with sharply increased danger that other nations will His Excellency Hans-Dietrich Genscher, Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Federal Republic of Germany, Bonn. FORD & DECLASSIFIED CONFIDENTIAL E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 lake State Dept. Guidelines state leview 9/17/03 DERALD By , NARA, Date 3/9/04 CONFIDENTIAL - 2 - feel impelled to take countermeasures. In such circumstances, there would inevitably be a greater risk of conflict, which because of its nuclear aspect could threaten the security of countries both within and without the area. I am also concerned that our long-term mutual objective of developing nuclear power as an alter- native world energy source may be prejudiced if we fail to contain the proliferation problem. This has been an important consideration in pursuing greater cooperation among major nuclear suppliers. The recent London Guidelines, in which the FRG played an important role, are an impressive start toward such cooperation. However, I cannot stress too strongly the growing apprehension in this country about the dangers of nuclear proliferation, and my own view that unless supplier governments deal adequately and convincingly with those dangers in pursuing peaceful nuclear transfers, our long-term economic interests as well as our security may be affected. I am grateful for your Government's recent decision to defer further action on the proposed heavy water sale until we have received the reactions of France and Pakistan to our recent approaches. As you may be aware, we had hoped to seek deferral of the French/Pakistani safeguards agreement at the recent IAEA Board of Governors meeting in Vienna, in order to allow us more time to convince Pakistan that it is in its own interest not to acquire sensitive nuclear facilities at this time. This did not prove feasible. For Pakistan, an independent ability to produce heavy water would be a critical link in an indigenous fuel cycle which would give Pakistan the ability to develop nuclear explosives. Therefore, I would CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL - 3 - appreciate your personally reviewing this problem irrespective of what positions other governments may adopt. Warm regards, Henry A. Kissinger CONFIDENTIAL 3 LD 33 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Dear Mr. Prime Minister: I am writing to you in the spirit of friendship and mutual understanding which has traditionally characterized the exchanges between our two Governments. During your visit to Washington last year, we held very productive discussions and reached broad areas of understanding on matters of mutual interest. I am encouraged by the openness of our relationship to approach you quite candidly on Pakistan's plans to acquire certain sensitive nuclear facilities, a matter which is of deep concern to my Government. I know from my discussions with you that you share our fear over the threat to the general peace posed by un- restrained spread of nuclear explosives technology. My Government has welcomed your forthright assurances that Pakistan will not divert its civil nuclear development efforts into an explosives program, and that Pakistan's nuclear activities will be devoted exclusively to peaceful purposes. You should be aware, however, that there is considerable apprehension in this country and elsewhere over the spread on a national basis of the nuclear technology associated with the development of nuclear explosives--specifically, uranium enrichment, heavy water production and chemical reprocessing. In fact, Secretary Kissinger stated at the UN General Assembly last September the view of this Government that the further spread of nuclear reprocessing facilities under national control will seriously aggravate the problem of nuclear proliferation. For this reason we welcomed Korea's decision to forego acquisition of a national reprocessing plant. For the same reason I am now writing to you to ask that you give serious consideration to the broader implications of this matter for stability both in your region and in the world. At this juncture, DECLASSIPIED E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 State Dept. Guidelines state Review 9/17/03 By , NARA, Date 3/9/04 - 2 - I believe your Government has an opportunity to make a highly important contribution to worldwide efforts effectively to forestall further nuclear proliferation. My concern is not the reliability of the assurances of your Government. It is that the establishment of sensitive nuclear facilities under national control inevitably gives rise to perceptions in many quarters that, under circumstances which perhaps cannot even be foreseen today, non-peaceful uses may be contemplated. Whether justified or not, such perceptions could be by themselves destabilizing and under- mine the mutual confidence and sense of security which must be created if we are to build a system of international peaceful nuclear cooperation. These perceptions are heightened in Pakistan's case by the lack of a persuasive economic justification for obtaining sensitive nuclear facilities. For example, the experience of the United States, as well as of all countries with major nuclear power programs, is that reprocessing of spent reactor fuel is only economic within a very much larger reactor program than Pakistan could contemplate for the foreseeable future. I know that Secretary Kissinger has already expressed similar views to you on this matter, but I want to underline to you my deep personal concern over the possible effect of your actions in this area on our ability to sustain support in public opinion here for our close cooperation on a broad range of issues of interest to both our governments. I fear that many in this country will be critical of Pakistan's actions and skeptical regarding its intentions. Friendship with Pakistan ha/s enjoyed broad popular support in this country among the public and in the Congress over the years. However, Pakistan's acquisition of these sensitive facilities would, I believe, arouse considerable criticism and could erode this support. With these considerations in mind, I hope that you will give serious consideration to foregoing present plans to acquire reprocessing and heavy water facilities until your future nuclear program is sufficiently developed to establish a clear need and until other alternatives, such as a multinational venture, are thoroughly explored. - 3 - I, believe that I understand the difficulties that my request to you will present to your Government. I would not raise this matter with you, however, if I did not consider it to be of the utmost importance. I would be grateful if you would let me have your views on the points I have raised. Personal regards, His Excellency Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, Prime Minister of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan 3k DOC RECD LOG NUMBER MO DA MO DA HR NSC CORLESPONDENCE PROFILE 3 16 3 17 17 7601625 Eliot INITIALACTION o X TO: PRES FROM: SECSTATE x S/S 7605327 UNCLAS LOG OUT SCOWCROFT SECDEF LOU NO FORN NODIS HYLAND DCI X REF C EYES ONLY EXDIS SOURCE/CLASS/DESCRIPTION DAVIS STATE EXSEC $ CODEWORD SUBJECT State sosition caper ie Outter OTHER TS SENSITIVE Demarkles on Pakistene Ruchar Issues INTERNAL ROUTING AND DISTRIBUTION REC ACTION REQUIRED ACTION CONCUR- COOR- INFO CY RENCE DINATE ADV CYS $ CROFT , WGH FOR MEMO FOR SCOWCROFT STAFF SECRETARY MEMO FOR PRES M CONGRESSIONAL X REPLY FOR ECONOMIC DISTRIBUTION/INITIAL ACTION ASGMT APPROPRIATE ACTION EUR/ CANADA/ OCEANS + MEMO TO FAR EAST/PRC RECOMMENDATIONS INTELLIGENCE JOINT MEMO LATIN AMERICA REFER TO FOR: MID EAST/ NO. AFRICA X ANY ACTION NECESSARY? NSC PLANNING CONCURRENCE PROGRAM ANALYSIS DUE DATE: SCIENTIFIC X 3-24 COMMENTS: INCLUDING SPECIAL INSTRUCTIONS SUB-SAH/ AFRICA/ UN Leonold M tubel : 17:00 DATE FROM Sirth to STATUS SUBSEQUENT ACTION REQUIRED (OR TAKENI: DUE CY TO 3/18 X has to Bhutto to 3/29 SUBSEQUENT ROUTING/ACTIONS 3-19 Pres P Sgn ltr to Bhutto 3-19 C Pres sgd ltr to Bhutts to state DISPATCH NSC/S DISP INSTR hand-carried by DR. Elliott 3-20-76 NOTIFY MICROFILM & FILE ROMTS M/ FD BY SPECIAL DISPOSITION: CRT ID: NS DY SPECIAL INDEXING OPEN WH SA FP NO CLOSE TA PA SUSPENSE CY ATTACHED NSC 76-21- U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE - 599-022 - 1976 599-022 7607747 2211 DEPARTMENT OF STATE Washington, D.C. 20520 April 14, 1976 SECRET/EXDIS MEMORANDUM FOR MR. BRENT SCOWCROFT THE WHITE HOUSE Subject: Transmittal of Bhutto Letter to the President The attached letter from Pakistani Prime Minister Bhutto is in response to the President's letter to him of March 19. The letter was given to the Secretary by Pakistani Ambassador Yaqub-Khan during a meeting in the Secretary's office on April 12. The Department, in conjunction with Dr. Eliot of your staff and representatives of ACDA, is consider- ing options as to possible further steps which might be taken in pursuit of the objectives outlined in the President's letter of March 19. C. arthmBood George S. Springsteen Executive Secretary Attachment: Letter to the President FORD is SECRET/EXDIS GDS GERALO lab 3/9/04 *) * PRIME MINISTER Prime Minister's House, Rawalpindi. 30 March 1976 Dear Mr. President, I have given the most careful consideration to your letter on the subject of Pakistan's decision to acquire a reprocessing plant and heavy water facilities which was handed over to the Foreign Office by your Ambassador on March 21. Let me assure you at the outset that, far from being insensitive to it, we ourselves fully share the serious concern about the spread of nuclear weapons which permeates your communication. In this spirit and mindful of the traditional bonds between our two countries, I appreciate your candour and welcome the opportunity to explain both the factual position and our viewpoint on this matter of far-reaching importance to the economic viability of Pakistan. As I recollect our meeting in Washington and my deep impression of your perceptions of the forces at work in this region, I feel hopeful that our mutual understanding will not fail on an issue which is of profound significance to us. As you know, we have repeatedly and voluntarily given categorical assurances about the peaceful intent of our nuclear programme. More significantly, we have accepted iron-clad safeguards for every one of our nuclear facilities. Lest these be overlooked, as I fear they apparently are, I must recount some of the most pertinent facts which need to be borne in mind in this context. First, neither our nuclear programme nor the plan to build a reprocessing plant constitutes a new decision FORD DECLASSIFIED & B.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 Dept. Guidelines state Review 9/17/03 , NARA, Date 3/9/04 GERALD PRIME MINISTER -2- or a reaction to what others may have done. The programme is almost two decades old. We negotiated for a research reactor from the United States under the Atoms for Peace Plan in the early 1960's. The project was completed in 1965. Since then we have built a large nuclear research centre around it. In 1966, we started construction of a Canadian-supplied nuclear power plant (KANUPP) which was completed in 1972 and which supplies power to Karachi. About that time, we also started discussions with France for the supply of a reprocessing plant. Agreement in principle was reached in 1972 and the actual design work was started in 1973. What has happened now is merely the signing of a formal bilateral agreement with France on the supply, support and safeguard aspects of this facility. This has been accompanied by the conclusion of a trilateral safeguards agreement with the IAEA which was approved by its Board of Governors last month. It was a matter of great satisfaction to my Government that these agreements were approved by consensus and without opposition not only in the Agency but in the European Economic Commission in Brussels. Second, we have gone beyond the normal IAEA rules about safeguards and accepted the most stringent conditions from France, fully conforming to the guidelines recently adopted by the seven nuclear exporting countries. This is as convincing an earnest as any of our commitment to use this facility exclusively for peaceful purposes. I have responded favourably to Prime Minister Trudeau's proposal to revise existing safeguards on KANUPP and, after & DERALD PRIME MINISTER -3- exhaustive discussions between the two sides, I am happy to inform you that an agreement satisfactory to both is in sight. We are also in touch with the Federal Republic of Germany with regard to the safeguards to be applied to the small heavy water plant which will be barely adequate for meeting KANUPP's requirements and which will not be used for any other purpose. Thus we have not only placed all our nuclear facilities under safeguards but also agreed to make existing safeguards agreements even more fail-safe to satisfy the additional conditions laid down by the nuclear suppliers. Third, we have made a prolonged and unprejudiced examination of the economic necessity of our nuclear programme of which a reprocessing plant forms an integral part. Pakistan is especially poor in terms of indigenous fuel. It has, therefore, been hit hardest by the recent energy crisis and the phenomenal rise in oil prices. Vast tracts of our valuable land have been rendered uncultivable by water-logging and salinity. This destructive process persists. We must have the necessary power to sink and operate at least one hundred thousand tubewells to deal with this menace. This is a demand superimposed upon the accelerating energy needs of our increasing population and the requirements of our growing industry. If we do not plan now with some foresight, we will find no answer to a gnawing problem and we will face an appalling situation in the 1980's. For these plans to be more than visionary, it is essential for us to embark now on a large-scale nuclear power programme and, to this end, to build the 4 necessary infra-structure and facilities and to train GERALD PRIME MINISTER -4- the required manpower. Our sincerity of purpose, Mr. President, is thus not merely a matter of verbal pledge but something that is fully insured by agreements that are inviolable. Unhappily, the same cannot be said of the nuclear programme of our neighbouring country. India, having already exploded a nuclear device on our doorstep, makes no secret of its intention to carry out a series of nuclear explosions. Pakistan was threatened with cessation of all supplies for KANUPP if we did not accept the additional safeguards proposed by Canada. On the other hand, I am not aware that the supply of enriched uranium to India for the operation of Tarapur reactors has been discontinued by the United States or that India will be compelled to accept safeguards for the unsafeguarded Canada-India CIRRUS reactor which enabled her to carry out its nuclear explosion in 1974. I am not suggesting that Pakistan or other countries should similarly be given a free hand to develop unrestrained nuclear programmes. On the contrary, we believe that, for world peace and stability in our region, the nuclear powers need to concentrate on India to prevent it from going forward with its plans to develop nuclear weapons. What is happening at this time is that while India is getting away with the fruits of its 'fait accompli', it is Pakistan which is being treated with discrimination and suspicion. Our people see Pakistan, bound by alliance with the United States, being subjected to pressures while they observe India, allied to Soviet Union in a 20-year RALD military pact, being treated with consideration and deference. PRIME MINISTER -5- I am sure that if the full significance of the kind of safeguards that Pakistan has accepted with respect to its nuclear facilities were fully known to your Congress and the public, there could be no ground to fear that they might, in certain circumstances, be used for non-peaceful purposes. With these apprehensions dispelled, one cannot imagine that the United States would wish Pakistan to reverse its considered decision, shelve its nuclear energy programme and thus not only frustrate the expectations of its people about their development but also inflict lasting damage on their expectation of support from the United States in their legitimate interests. I have, of course, given serious thought to your view that the establishment of purely national reprocessing facilities should be discouraged and the establishment of regional facilities promoted. Even before I received your letter, I had taken advantage of the recent visit to Pakistan of the Shahanshah of Iran to discuss this matter with him. He was agreeable to joining us in converting the reprocessing plant in Pakistan into a regional project. We both will explore the possibility of inviting one or two other countries in this region to participate in this venture. As I said at the outset, we are thus making a constructive response to your concerns. hi Zulfikar Ali Bhutto His Excellency Mr. Gerald R. Ford, President of the United States of America, WASHINGTON, DC. " RALD 4d THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON March 19, 1976 Dear Mr. Prime Minister: I am writing to you in the spirit of friendship and mutual understanding which has traditionally characterized exchanges between our two Gover ments. During your visit to Washington last year, we held very productive discussions and reached broad areas of understanding on matters of mutual interest. I am encouraged by the openness of our relationship to approach you quite candidly on Pakistan's plans to acquire certain sensitive nuclear facilities, a matter which is of deep concern to my Government. I know from my discussions with you that you share our fear over the threat to the general peace posed by the un- restrained spread of nuclear explosives technology. My Government has welcomed your forthright assurances that Pakistan will not divert its civil nuclear development efforts into an explosives program, and that Pakistan's nuclear activities will be devoted exclusively to peaceful purposes. You should be aware, however, that there is considerable apprehension in this country and elsewhere over the spread on a national basis of the nuclear technology associated with the development of nuclear explosives -- specifically, uranium enrichment, heavy water production and chemical reprocessing. Secretary Kissinger stated at the UN General Assembly last September the view of this Government that the further spread of nuclear reprocessing facilities under national control would seriously aggravate the problem of nuclear proliferation. For this reason we welcomed Korea's decision to forego acquisition of a national reprocessing plant. For the same reason I am now writing to you to ask that you give serious consideration to the broader implications of this matter for stability both in your region and in the world. At this juncture, DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES state Review 9/17/03 BY tabs $ NARA, DATE 3/9/04 - 2 - I believe your Government has an opportunity to make a highly important contribution to worldwide efforts effectively to forestall further nuclear proliferation. My concern is not the reliability of the assurances of your Government. It is that the establishment of sensitive nuclear facilities under national control inevitably gives rise to perceptions in many quarters that, under circumstances which perhaps cannot even be foreseen today, non-peaceful uses may be contemplated. Whether justified or not, such perceptions could be by themselves destabilizing and under- mine the nutual confidence and sense of security which must be created if we are to build a system of international peaceful nuclear cooperation. These perceptions are heightened in Pakistan's case by the lack of a persuasive economic justification for obtaining sensitive nuclear facilities. For example, the experience of the United States, as well as of all countries with major nuclear power programs, is that reprocessing of spent reactor fuel is only economic within a very much larger reactor program than Pakistan could contemplate for the foreseeable future. I know that Secretary Kissinger has already expressed similar views to you on this matter, but I want to underline to you my deep personal concern over the possible effect of your actions in this area on our ability to sustain support in public opinion here for our close cooperation on a broad range of issues of interest to both our governments. I fear that many in this country will be critical of Pakistan's actions and skeptical regarding its intentions. Friendship with Pakistan has enjoyed broad popular support in this country among the public and in the Congress over the years. However, Pakistan's acquisition of these sensitive facilities would, I believe, arouse considerable criticism and could erode this support. With these considerations in mind, I hope that you will give serious consideration to foregoing present plans to acquire reprocessing and heavy water facilities until your future nuclear program is sufficiently developed to establish a clear need and until other alternatives, such as a multinational venture, are thoroughly explored. A DERALD - 8 - - 3 - 1 believe that I under stard the difficulties that my I believe that I understand the difficulties that my request to you will present to your Government. 1 would not naise NA this tratter withryou, however, if I did not consider it to be: oftheratmost importance.com would be grateful if you would let me have your views on the points I have raised. Sincerely, Sincerely, Health R. Sal His Excellency His Excellency notto Zulfikar Ali Bhutto tox Prime Minister of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan Islamabad LIBRARY FORD & OF DOC PRICE LOG NUMBER - DA NO DA HR ONDENCE PROFILE 3 16 3 7601625 Eliot INITIALIDACTION o 17 17 + : 10. once SECETATE x S/S 7605327 UNCLAS LOO IN OUT SCONICROFT SECHEF LOU NO FORM NODIS HYLAND AND BOX c YES ONLY E XDIS R REF DAVIS STATE EXSEC $ CODEWORD YS SENSITIVE State sosition OTHER caper we Outher Vemarkles on Pakisteni Ruchar Issues REC ACTION REQUIRED CONCYR. cook- INFO CV DISATE FOR MEMO FOR SCOWCROFT STAFF MEMO FOR PAID M X REPL FO APPROPRIATE ACTION * EUR/ DEEAMS + MEMO TO I I 1 RECONMENDATIONS INTELLIGENCE JOINT MEMO t LATHE AMERICA REFER TO FOR with EAST/RD. AFRICA X 56 ANY ACTION NECESSARY I PLANNING CONCURRENCE PROGRAM AWALYSIS + DUE DATE SCIENTIFIC X 3-24 COMMENTS: INCLUDING SPECIAL INSTRUCTIONS: SUB-SAN/ AFRICA/UM 2.01 whel 17:00 DATE FROM STATUS JUBSEQUENT ACTION REQUIRED OR TAKENI DUE CY:TO 3/18 There X OF hes to Son dts Bhutto to 3/29 3-19 Pree 8 Sgn lts to Bhutto 3-19 C Pres sgd lts to Bhatto | Vto blate head-carried by DR. Elliott 3-20-76 NOTIFY MICROFILI A FILE ROMTS DISPATCH M/ D BY IF .... SPECIAL DISPOSITION CHT ID NS OPEN WH SPECIAL INDEXING NO CLOSE TH PA 4f PRIME MINISTER Prime Minister's House, Rawalpindi. 30 March 1976 Dear Mr. President, I have given the most careful consideration to your letter on the subject of Pakistan's decision to acquire a reprocessing plant and heavy water facilities which was handed over to the Foreign Office by your Ambassador on March 21. Let me assure you at the outset that, far from being insensitive to it, we ourselves fully share the serious concern about the spread of nuclear weapons which permeates your communication. In this spirit and mindful of the traditional bonds between our two countries, I appreciate your candour and welcome the opportunity to explain both the factual position and our viewpoint on this matter of far-reaching importance to the economic viability of Pakistan. As I recollect our meeting in Washington and my deep impression of your perceptions of the forces at work in this region, I feel hopeful that our mutual understanding will not fail on an issue which is of profound significance to us. As you know, we have repeatedly and voluntarily given categorical assurances about the peaceful intent of our nuclear programme. More significantly, we have accepted iron-clad safeguards for every one of our nuclear facilities. Lest these be overlooked, as I fear they apparently are, I must recount some of the most pertinent facts which need to be borne in mind in this context. First, neither our nuclear programe nor the plan to build a reprocessing plant constitutes a new decision DECLASSIPIED BO. 12958, Sec. 3.5 State Dept. Guidelines state feview 9/17/03 , NARA, Date 3/9/04 PRIME MINISTER -2- or a reaction to what others may have done. The pro mme is almost two decades old. We negotiated for a research reactor from the United States under the Atoms for Peace Plan in the early 1960's. The project was completed in 1965. Since then we have built a large nuclear research centre around it. In 1966, we started construction of a Canadian-supplied nuclear power plant (KANUPP) which was completed in 1972 and which supplies power to Karachi. About that time, we also started discussions with France for the supply of a reprocessing plant. Agreement in principle was reached in 1972 and the actual design work was started in 1973. What has happened now is merely the signing of a formal bilateral agreement with France on the supply, support and safeguard aspects of this facility. This has been accompanied by the conclusion of a trilateral safeguards agreement with the IAEA which was approved by its Board of Governors last month. It was a matter of great satisfaction to my Government that these agreements were approved by consensus and without opposition not only in the Agency but in the European Economic Commission in Brussels. Second, we have gone beyond the normal IAEA rules about safeguards and accepted the most stringent conditions from France, fully conforming to the guidelines recently adopted by the seven nuclear exporting countries. This is as convincing an earnest as any of our commitment FORD to use this facility exclusively for peaceful purposes. I have responded favourably to Prime Minister Trudeau's proposal to revise existing safeguards on KANUPP and, after PRIME MINISTER -3- exhaustive discussions between the two sides, I am happy to inform you that an agreement satisfactory to both is in sight. We are also in touch with the Federal Republic of Germany with regard to the safeguards to be applied to the small heavy water plant which will be barely adequate for meeting KANUPP's requirements and which will not be used for any other purpose. Thus we have not only placed all our nuclear facilities under safeguards but also agreed to make existing safeguards agreements even more fail-safe to saticfy the additional conditions laid down by the nuclear suppliers. Third, we have made a prolonged and unprejudiced examination of the economic necessity of our nuclear programme of which a reprocessing plant forms an integral part. Pakisten is especially poor in terms of indigenous fuel. It has, therefore, been hit hardest by the recent energy crisis and the phenomenal rise in oil prices. Vast tracts of our valuable land have been rendered uncultivable by water-logging and salinity. This destructive process persists. We must have the necessary power to sink and operate at least one hundred thousand tubewells to deal with this menace. This is a demand superimposed upon the accelerating energy needs of our increasing population and the requirements of our growing industry. If we do not plan now with some foresight, we will find no answer to a gnawing problem and we will face an appalling situation FORD in the 1980's. For these plans to be more than visionary, & it 1S essential for us to embark now on a large-scale nuclear power programme and, to this end, to build the necessary infra-structure and facilities and to train PRIME MINISTER -4- the required manpower. Our sincerity of purpose, Mr. President, is thus not merely a matter of verbal pledge but something that is fully insured by agreements that are inviolable. Unhappily, the same cannot be said of the nuclear programme of our neighbouring country. India, having already exploded a nuclear device on our doorstep, makes no secret of its intention to carry out a series of nuclear explosions. Pakistan was threatened with cessation of all supplies for KANUPP if we did not accept the additional safeguards proposed by Canada. On the other hand, I am not aware that the supply of enriched uranium to India for the operation of Tarapur reactors has been discontinued by the United States or that India will be compelled to accept safeguards for the unsafeguarded Canada-India CIRRUS reactor which enabled her to carry out its nuclear explosion in 1974. I am not suggesting that Pakistan or other countries should similarly be given a free hand to develop unrestrained nuclear programmes. On the contrary, we believe that, for world peace and stability in our region, the nuclear powers need to concentrate on India to prevent it from going forward with its plans to develop nuclear weapons. What is happening at this time is that while India is getting away with the fruits of its 'fait accompli', it is Pakistan which is being treated with discrimination and suspicion. Our people see Pakistan, bound by alliance Fond with the United States, being subjected to pressures while & GERALD they observe India, allied to Soviet Union in a 20-year military pact, being treated with consideration and deference. PRIME MINISTER -5- I am sure that if the full significance of the kind of safeguards that Pakistan has accepted with respect to its nuclear facilities were fully known to your Congress and the public, there could be no ground to fear that they might, in certain circumstances, be used for non-peaceful purposes. With these apprehensions dispelled, one cannot imagine that the United States would wish Pakistan to reverse its considered decision shelve its nuclear energy programme and thus not only frustrate the expectations of its people about their development but also inflict lasting damage on their expectation of support from the United States in their legitimate interests. I have, of course, given serious thought to your view that the establishment of purely national reprocessing facilities should be discouraged and the establishment of regional facilities promoted. Even before I received your letter, I had taken advantage of the recent visit to Pakistan of the Shahanshah of Iran to discuss this matter with him. He was agreeable to joining us in converting the reprocessing plant in Pakisten into a regional project. We both will explore the possibility of inviting one or two other countries in this region to participate in this venture. As I said at the outset, we are thus making a constructive response to your concerns. Shoulds Zulfikar Ali Bhutto His Excellency Mr. Gerald R. Ford, President of the United States of America, FORD WASHINGTON, DC. & GERALD Dac RECD LOG.NUMBER 4g MO DA MO DA HR NSC CORRESPONDENCE PROFILE 4 14 4 1510 7602211 Oahle INITIAL ACTION o TO: PRES FROM: SECSTATE t S/S 7607747 UNCLAS LOG IN/ OUT J SCOWCROFT SECDEF LOU NO FORN NODIS HYLAND DCI X REF C EYES ONLY EXDIS + DAVIS STATE EXSEC S CODEWORD SOURCE/CLASS/DESCRIPTION SUBJECT Ceel lte to koo OTHER for fm Bkutto of TS Rakistas SENSITIVE re he Inl lte to him of Rae 19 1976 he Los- Pakistani Rulear Issues INTERNAL ROUTING AND DISTRIBUTION REC ACTION REQUIRED ACTION CONCUR- COOR- INFO CY RENCE DINATE FOR ADV CYS S'CROFT/ WGH MEMO FOR SCOWCROFT STAFF SECRETARY MEMO FOR PRES CONGRESSIONAL REPLY FOR ECONOMIC DISTRIBUTION/INITIAL ACTION ASGMT APPROPRIATE ACTION EUR/ CANADA/ OCEANS MEMO TO FAR EAST/ PRC RECOMMENDATIONS INTELLIGENCE JOINT MEMO LATIN AMERICA REFER TO FOR: MID EAST/ NO. AFRICA ANY ACTION NECESSARY? AT this time * NSC PLANNING CONCURRENCE PROGRAM ANALYSIS DUE DATE: SCIENTIFIC X 4-21 COMMENTS: (INCLUDING SPECIAL INSTRUCTIONS) SUB-SAH/ AFRICA/ UN Logged per Oakley' instructions DATE FROM TO STATUS SUBSEQUENT Bockup ACTION REQUIRED (OR atched TAKEN): DUE CY TO SUBSEQUENT ROUTING/ACTIONS 0401 & GERALD DISPATCH NOTIFY MICROFILM & FILE RQMTS NSC/S DISP INSTR M/F'D BY SPECIAL DISPOSITION: IF SPECIAL INDEXING: 7601625 CRT ID: D NS DY OPEN WH SA FP CLOSE PA SUSPENSE CY ATTACHED NSC 76-21 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE - 599-022 1976 599-022 7607747 2211 4h DEPARTMENT OF STATE Washington, D.C. 20520 willia April 14, 1976 SECRET/EXDIS MEMORANDUM FOR MR. BRENT SCOWCROFT THE WHITE HOUSE Subject: Transmittal of Bhutto Letter to the President The attached letter from Pakistani Prime Minister Bhutto is in response to the President's letter to him of March 19. The letter was given to the Secretary by Pakistani Ambassador Yaqub-Khan during a meeting in the Secretary's office on April 12. The Department, in conjunction with Dr. Eliot of your staff and representatives of ACDA, is consider- ing options as to possible further steps which might be taken in pursuit of the objectives outlined in the President's letter of March 19. C. arthmBood 1 George S. Springsteen Executive Secretary Attachment: Letter to the President be SECRET/EXDIS GERALD GDS h 3/9/04 PRIME MINISTER Prime Minister's House, Rawalpindi. 30 March 1976 Dear Mr. President, I have given the most careful consideration to your letter on the subject of Pakistan's decision to acquire a reprocessing plant and heavy water facilities which was handed over to the Foreign Office by your Ambassador on March 21. Let me assure you at the outset that, far from being insensitive to it, we ourselves fully share the serious concern about the spread of nuclear weapons which permeates your communication. In this spirit and mindful of the traditional bonds between our two countries, I appreciate your candour and welcome the opportunity to explain both the factual position and our viewpoint on this matter of far-reaching importance to the economic viability of Pakistan. As I recollect our meeting in Washington and my deep impression of your perceptions of the forces at work in this region, I feel hopeful that our mutual understanding will not fail on an issue which is of profound significance to us. As you know, we have repeatedly and voluntarily given categorical assurances about the peaceful intent of our nuclear programme. More significantly, we have accepted iron-clad safeguards for every one of our nuclear facilities. Lest these be overlooked, as I fear they apparently are, I must recount some of the most pertinent facts which need to be borne in mind in this context. First, neither our nuclear programme nor the plan to build a reprocessing plant constitutes a new decision DECLASSIFIED FORD E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 State Dept. Guidelines Stateleview 9/17/03 , NARA, Date 3/9/04 PRIME MINISTER -2- or a reaction to what others may have done. The programme is almost two decades old. We negotiated for a research reactor from the United States under the Atoms for Peace Plan in the early 1960's. The project was completed in 1965. Since then we have built a large nuclear research centre around it. In 1966, we started construction of a Canadian-supplied nuclear power plant (KANUPP) which was completed in 1972 and which supplies power to Karachi. About that time, we also started discussions with France for the supply of a reprocessing plant. Agreement in principle was reached in 1972 and the actual design work was started in 1973. What has happened now is merely the signing of a formal bilateral agreement with France on the supply, support and safeguard aspects of this facility. This has been accompanied by the conclusion of a trilateral safeguards agreement with the IAEA which was approved by its Board of Governors last month. It was a matter of great satisfaction to my Government that these agreements were approved by consensus and without opposition not only in the Agency but in the European Economic Commission in Brussels. Second, we have gone beyond the normal IAEA rules about safeguards and accepted the most stringent conditions from France, fully conforming to the guidelines recently adopted by the seven nuclear exporting countries. This is as convincing an earnest as any of our commitment to use this facility exclusively for peaceful purposes. I have responded favourably to Prime Minister Trudeau's proposal to revise existing safeguards on KANUPP and, after FORD & BERALD PRIME MINISTER -3- exhaustive discussions between the two sides, I am happy to inform you that an agreement satisfactory to both is in sight. We are also in touch with the Federal Republic of Germany with regard to the safeguards to be applied to the small heavy water plant which will be barely adequate for meeting KANUPP's requirements and which will not be used for any other purpose. Thus we have not only placed all our nuclear facilities under safeguards but also agreed to make existing safeguards agreements even more fail-safe to satisfy the additional conditions laid down by the nuclear suppliers. Third, we have made a prolonged and unprejudiced examination of the economic necessity of our nuclear programme of which a reprocessing plant forms an integral part. Pakistan is especially poor in terms of indigenous fuel. It has, therefore, been hit hardest by the recent energy crisis and the phenomenal rise in oil prices. Vast tracts of our valuable land have been rendered uncultivable by water-logging and salinity. This destructive process persists. We must have the necessary power to sink and operate at least one hundred thousand tubewells to deal with this menace. This is a demand superimposed upon the accelerating energy needs of our increasing population and the requirements of our growing industry. If we do not plan now with some foresight, we will find no answer to a gnawing problem and we will face an appalling situation in the 1980's. For these plans to be more than visionary, it is essential for us to embark now on a large-scale nuclear power programme and, to this end, to build the FORD & necessary infra-structure and facilities and to train GERALD PRIME MINISTER -4- the required manpower. Our sincerity of purpose, Mr. President, is thus not merely a matter of verbal pledge but something that is fully insured by agreements that are inviolable. Unhappily, the same cannot be said of the nuclear programme of our neighbouring country. India, having already exploded a nuclear device on our doorstep, makes no secret of its intention to carry out a series of nuclear explosions. Pakistan was threatened with cessation of all supplies for KANUPP if we did not accept the additional safeguards proposed by Canada. On the other hand, I am not aware that the supply of enriched uranium to India for the operation of Tarapur reactors has been discontinued by the United States or that India will be compelled to accept safeguards for the unsafeguarded Canada-India CIRRUS reactor which enabled her to carry out its nuclear explosion in 1974. I am not suggesting that Pakistan or other countries should similarly be given a free hand to develop unrestrained nuclear programmes. On the contrary, we believe that, for world peace and stability in our region, the nuclear powers need to concentrate on India to prevent it from going forward with its plans to develop nuclear weapons. What is happening at this time is that while India is getting away with the fruits of its 'fait accompli', it is Pakistan which is being treated with discrimination and suspicion. Our people see Pakistan, bound by alliance FORD with the United States, being subjected to pressures while & they observe India, allied to Soviet Union in a 20-year military pact, being treated with consideration and deference. PRIME MINISTER -5- I am sure that if the full significance of the kind of safeguards that Pakistan has accepted with respect to its nuclear facilities were fully known to your Congress and the public, there could be no ground to fear that they might, in certain circumstances, be used for non-peaceful purposes. With these apprehensions dispelled, one cannot imagine that the United States would wish Pakistan to reverse its considered decision, shelve its nuclear energy programme and thus not only frustrate the expectations of its people about their development but also inflict lasting damage on their expectation of support from the United States in their legitimate interests. I have, of course, given serious thought to your view that the establishment of purely national reprocessing facilities should be discouraged and the establishment of regional facilities promoted. Even before I received your letter, I had taken advantage of the recent visit to Pakistan of the Shahanshah of Iran to discuss this matter with him. He was agreeable to joining us in converting the reprocessing plant in Pakistan into a regional project. We both will explore the possibility of inviting one or two other countries in this region to participate in this venture. As I said at the outset, we are thus making a constructive response to your concerns. Shoulds Jusilin Ali Bhutto hi His Excellency Mr. Gerald R. Ford, President of the United States of America, is WASHINGTON, DC. BRALD DOC RECD LOG NUMBER 4:3 MO DA MO DA HR NSC CORRESPONDENCE PROFILE 4 14 4 1510 7602211 TO: PRES FROM: SECSTATE S/S 7607747 Oakley + SCOWCROFT SECDEF LOU NO FORN NODIS HYLAND DCI X REF C EYES ONLY EXDIS DAVIS STATE EXSEC S CODEWORD SOURCE/CLASS/DESCRIPTION SUBJECT: Ceel lte to Rx OTHER for Sm Bkutto of TS Fakister SENSITIVE the 205- Pakistani Rulear Issues re he Inl lte to him of Mar L9 1976 INTERNAL ROUTING AND DISTRIBUTION REC ACTION REQUIRED ACTION CONCUR- COOR- INFO CY RENCE DINATE ADV CYS S'CROFT / WGH FOR MEMO FOR SCOWCROFT STAFF SECRETARY MEMO FOR PRES CONGRESSIONAL REPLY FOR ECONOMIC DISTRIBUTION/INITIAL ACTION ASGMT APPROPRIATE ACTION EUR/ CANADA/ OCEANS MEMO TO FAR EAST/ PRC RECOMMENDATIONS INTELLIGENCE JOINT MEMO LATIN AMERICA REFER TO FOR: MID EAST NO. AFRICA X ANY ACTION NECESSARY? AT this time # NSC PLANNING CONCURRENCE PROGRAM ANALYSIS DUE DATE: SCIENTIFIC X 4-21 COMMENTS: (INCLUDING SPECIAL INSTRUCTIONS SUB-SAH/ AFRICA / UN Logged per Oakley's instructions DATE FROM TO STATUS SUBSEQUENT Backup ACTION REQUIRED (OR atched TAKENI: DUE CY TO 1-11-77 Elliott Oabley For appropriate folling 1/12 SUBSEQUENT ROUTING/ACTIONS C Class per Dakley GERALD DISPATCH NOTIFY MICROFILM & FILE ROMTS NSC/S DISP INSTR M/F'D BY SPECIAL DISPOSITION: IF SPECIAL INDEXING: 760 1625 CRT ID: NS DY OPEN CLOSE MST SA FP SUSPENSE CY ATTACHED NO NSC 76-21 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE - 599-022 - 1976 599-022