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1555865
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United Kingdom - Prime Minister Harold Wilson (1)
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1555865
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United Kingdom - Prime Minister Harold Wilson (1)
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This file contains material relating to Alexander Haig.
collections
Presidential Correspondence with Foreign Leaders (Ford Administration)
Presidential Correspondence with Foreign Leaders
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Great Britain
North Atlantic Treaty Organization. (4/4/1949 - )
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1975-01-31
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The original documents are located in Box 5, folder "United Kingdom - Prime Minister Harold Wilson (1)" of the National Security Adviser's Presidential Correspondence with Foreign Leaders Collection at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Copyright Notice The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Gerald Ford donated to the United States of America his copyrights in all of his unpublished writings in National Archives collections. Works prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public domain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to remain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid copyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Digitized from Box 5 of the NSA Presidential Correspondence with Foreign Leaders Collection at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library MEMORANDUM NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL 4053X SECRET ACTION September 13, 1974 MEMORANDUM FOR SECRETARY KISSINGER FROM: A. Denis Clift or SUBJECT: Letter from Prime Minister Wilson Regarding the Retirement of General Goodpaster Prime Minister Wilson has sent the President a message via the Cabinet Line regretting the retirement of General Goodpaster and expressing approval of General Haig as his successor. The memorandum for your signature to the President at Tab I forwards Prime Minister Wilson's message and summarizes its contents. RECOMMENDATION That you sign the memorandum to the President at Tab I. SE GRET DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 FORD LIBRARY & OERALD NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES BY lob , NARA, DATE 3/9/06 & GERALD FORD 1 LIBHART MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE 4053X WASHINGTON SECRET INFORMATION MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT FROM: Henry A. Kissinger SUBJECT: Message from Prime Minister Wilson Regarding the Retirement of General Goodpaster Prime Minister Wilson has sent you a message (at Tab A) via the Cabinet Line regretting General Goodpaster's decision to retire. The Prime Minister states that the General's "outstanding service has been widely recognized in this country and we shall miss his leadership and advice." The Prime Minister welcomes your willingness to nominate another United States general officer to succeed General Goodpaster. He adds that General Haig would bring "excellent qualities" to the post and that the United Kingdom would be happy to accept him. Finally, the Prime Minister states his understanding that General Haig's appointment would not take effect until near the end of the year and that this timing would meet general agreement among the allies. DECLASSIFIED SECRET E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES BY am , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 E/61 GERALD & FOhD s Text of Message from the Prime Minister to President Ford Dear Mr. President: Thank you for your message of 30 August. General Goodpaster has been an outstanding SACEUR and I was sorry to hear about his decision to retire. His outstanding service has been widely recognized in this country and we shall miss his leadership and advice. I welcome your willingness to nominate another United States general officer to succeed General Goodpaster. General Haig would bring excellent qualities to the post and we for our part would be happy to accept him. I understand that General Haig's appointment would not take effect until towards the end of the year, and I believe that this timing would meet general agreement among our allies. Yours sincerely, /s/ Harold Wilson September 13, 1974 IF DOC RECD LOG NBR INITIAL ACTION O NSC CORRESPONDENCE PROFILE MO DA MO DA HR 13 9 13 19 74040530 cuft REFERENCE: CIRCLE AS APPROPRIATE TO: PRES FROM: KISSINGER S/S UNCLAS LOG IN/OUT KISSINGER + COLBY, W OTHER LOU NO FORN NODIS SOURCE/CLASS/DESCRIPTION SCOWCROFT SCHLESINGER, J C EYES ONLY EXDIS DAVIS ST EX SEC S CODEWORD TS SENSITIVE SUBJECT: LTR TO Per fm PM Wilson of England re reterement of goodporter - LA INTERNAL ROUTING AND DISTRIBUTION REC ACTION REQUIRED ACTION INFO CY ADVANCE CYS TO HAK/SCOWCROFT FOR MEMO FOR HAK ( ) MEMO FOR PRES STAFF SECRETARY ( ) REPLY FOR FAR EAST ( ) SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA APPROPRIATE ACTION ( ) DISTRIBUTION/INITIAL ACTION ASGMT MID EAST / NO. AFRICA / SO. ASIA MEMO TO ( ) RECOMMENDATIONS ( ) EUROPE / CANADA JOINT MEMO ( ) LATIN AMERICA REFER TO FOR: ( ) UNITED NATIONS ANY ACTION NECESSARY? ( ECONOMIC ) SCIENTIFIC CONCURRENCE ( ) PROGRAM ANALYSIS DUE DATE: NSC PLANNING COMMENTS: (INCLUDING SPECIAL INSTRUCTIONS) CONGRESSIONAL OCEANS POLICY INTELLIGENCE DATE FROM TO S SUBSEQUENT ACTION REQUIRED (OR TAKEN): CY TO 9/13 HAK + Pres for info (9/22) 9/16 C NFAR per HAK SUBSEQUENT ROUTING/ACTIONS DISPATCH CY RQMTS: SEE ABOVE PLUS: MICROFILM & FILE RQMTS: NSC/S DISP INSTR NOTIFY & DATE BY M/F'D BY SPECIAL DISPOSITION: CRT ID: SA SF CROSS REF W/ OPEN HP NS SUSPENSE CY ATTACHED: FOLDER: CLOSE BTm W.H. EP PA DY (NBC-74-21) 2A Outside System SECRET ACTION September 18, 1974 MEMORANDUM FOR SECRETARY KISSINGER FROM: A. Denis Clift SUBJECT: Presidential Reply to Prime Minister Wilson The memorandum for your signature to the President at Tab I would forward a Cabinet Office message from the Prime Minister containing advance notice of the UK decision to call October 10 General Elections, together with a proposed reply for the President's approval to the Prime Minister. The Prime Minister's message notes his confidence that he can rely on U.S. cooperation should there be a major run on Sterling during the election campaign. The President's reply would provide the necessary assurances. Robert Hormats concurs. RECOMMENDATION That you sign the memorandum for the President at Tab 1. ADClift:gw:9/18/74 FORD DECLASSIFIED 8 E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 SECRET NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 GERALD LIBRARY BY lda SECRET ACTION MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT FROM: Henry A. Kissinger SUBJECT: Reply to Prime Minister Wilson The British Prime Minister Harold Wilson has sent you the message at Tab B informing you that the decision has been taken to call for UK General Elections on October 10 -- with the decision to be announced on September 18 at 12:45 p.m. London time. Prime Minister Wilson recalls that the February 1974 General Elections were inconclusive, resulting in the present minority Labor Government, a government unable to conduct its business effectively in the House of Commons. The new elections have been called in the hopes that they will result in a clear majority government able to deal with the twin problems of inflation and unemployment. The Prime Minister notes the possible danger of a run on the rate of Steshing during the British election campaign. and he expresses confidence that he will be able to count on U.S. goodwill and cooperation should this contingency arise, The reply at Tab A to the Prime Minister would express your thanks for his message. Your message would also express your agreement on the need for cooperative attention should the Sterling rate be jeopardized and would assure him that the United States would be prepared for early con- sultations aimed at dealing with the situation. (There is always the real possibility of a dangerous drop in the rate of sterling, particularly if oil related Sterling deposits have to be exchanged for dollars. Should this occur, the United States might be able to assist the UK by helping to support Sterling.) RECOMMENDATION That you approve the message to Prime Minister Wilson. APPROVE DISAPPROVE DECLASSIFIED GERALD LIBRANY SECRET E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE BEPT. GUIDELINES ADClift:gw:9/18/74 BY. Nola , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 26 SECRET FROM: THE WHITE HOUSE TO: THE CABINET OFFICE Message From the President to Prime Minister Wilson Dear Mr. Prime Minister: This is to thank you for your message of September 18 informing me in advance of the decision being taken to call for General Elections on October 10. I appreciate the point you have raised with regard to Sterling. Should such a contingency arise, I fully agree it should receive our cooperative attention, and I assure you that we would look forward to early consultations with a view to identifying appropriate areangements to deal with the situation. Again, your message is very much appreciated. Sincerely, Gerald R. Ford FUND DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 SECRET NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES LIBRARY + DERALO BY Valor , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 2D September 18, 1974 Message from the Prime Minister to President Ford Dear Mr. President: I am sending you this message (which for obvious reasons I have to ask you to treat as personal to yourself alone until an announcement is made) to tell you that I have decided to advise the Queen to dissolve Parliament and to call a General Election. This will be announced at 12:45 p. m. (our time) on Wednesday 18 September, and the election will take place on Thursday 10 October. As you know, the last General Election was held as recently aslast February. But it produced an inconclusive result, in the sense that, though my party emerged as the largest single party in the House of Commons, no party could command an overall majority. Under our system this is a situation in which the government cannot be sure of carrying its business in the House of Commons and giving effect to the program to which it is committed. Moreover, the twin problems of a high rate of inflation and the prospect of rising unemployment present us with an economic situation in which it is desirable that there should be a government with a clear majority to carry out the measures which the situation requires. Sterling has been reasonably steady recently. But there is no doubt that confidence in the city of London is delicate, and any election campaign is full of uncertainties. We do not have to defend a fixed rate (as we did in 1966 and 1970), and of course we shall do what we can to keep things steady. But I know that I can count on your good will, and indeed coopera- tion, if anything like a major run should develop, and our people thought it advisable to get in touch with yours about arrangements to deal with it. With my personal regards, Yours sincerely, Harold Wilson FORM & GERALD LIBRARY -1 2E MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON SECRET ACTION MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT FROM: Henry A. Kissinger SUBJECT: Reply to Prime Minister Wilson you unive well that of The Dritish Prime Minister Harold Wilson has sent you the message at Tab B informing you that the decision has been taken to call for UK General Elections on October 10. with the decision to be announced on September 18 at 12:45 P. my London time. Prime Minister Wilson recalls that the February 1974 General Elections were inconclusive, resulting in the present minority Labor Government, a government unable to conduct its business effectively in the House of Commons. The new elections have been called in the hopes that they will result in a clear majority government able to deal with the twin problems of inflation and unemployment. The Prime Minister notes the possible danger of a run on the rate of Sterling during the British election campaign, and he expresses confidence that he will be able to count on U.S. goodwill and cooperation should this contingency arise. a prof. ml upty to the Prime minister's missays is at Tab A. The raphy The reply at Tab A to the Prime Minister would express your thanks for his message, Your message would also express your agreement. on the need for cooperative attention should the Sterling rate be jeopardized and Your rephy would assureshim that the United States would be prepared for early con- sultations aimed at dealing with the situation. (There is always the real possibility of a dangerous drop in the rate of sterling, particularly if oil related Sterling deposits have to be exchanged for dollars. Should this occur, the United States might be able to assist the UK by helping to support Sterling, ) DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES NARA, DATE 3/9/04 sucha RECOMMENDATION FORD That you approve the message to Prime Minister Wilson, APPROVE DISAPPROVE QERALD a GERAMA as will as BY Wa SECRET with his comment of N vant of exection 2F SECRET FROM: THE WHITE HOUSE TO: THE CABINET OFFICE The Message From the President to Prime Minister Wilson VIA Cabriet Line Dear Mr. Prime Minister: This is to thank you for your message of September 18 informing I every much appreciated me in advance of the decision being taken to call for General Elections on October 10. + appr esiate the 'point you have raised regard to Sterling, without your comments with about that Should such a contingency arise, I fully agree it should receive our have asked Arthur Burns and Bill Simon to be cooperative attention, and Massure you that we would look forward prepared for early to early] consultations with a view to identifying appropriate arrangements to deal with the situation. with personal expands, n much appr sciated Sincerely, Gerald R. Ford DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 SEGRET NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES BY. Inda , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 FORD & LIBRARY GERALD See 7500246 6389X 3A MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE for final actur WASHINGTON INFORMATION December 31, 1974 SECRET /SENSITIVE MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: HENRY A. KISSINGER R AR7 SUBJECT: Message from Prime Minister Wilson on U.S. Economy Prime Minister Wilson has sent you a message (Tab A) to share with you his anxiety over the growing worldwide unemployment problem and the impact that the U.S. recession is having on it. He notes specifically that he wanted you to have the benefit of his views during your consideration of U.S. economic policy. Wilson feels that your Administration has provided invaluable leadership to international efforts to deal with complex financial, economic, energy and trade problems. But because he believes that the U.S. is "the motor of the industrialized world," Wilson is worried about the fact that our economic slowdown is contributing to serious unemployment in the UK and elsewhere and to global recession despite the attempts of the UK and other Europeans to stimulate economic activity in their countries. Wilson wants to avert a socially dangerous buildup of domestic unemployment and to reduce the temptation for the most hard pressed countries to fall back into protectionist measures. He believes that it is necessary for all western governments to act to prevent recession from deepening into depression in order to improve the confidence of business and to avoid protectionist pressures. A proposed response to the Prime Minister is being staffed separately and will be forwarded to you shortly. DECLASSIFIED SEGRET/SENSITIVE E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES BY Wa , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 Delivered to Denis Clift at the White House 12/31/74 4:30 pm 3B FROM: BRITISH EMBASSY THE HON. WASHINGTON, D.C. 20008 SIR PETER RAMSBOTHAM KCMG TELEPHONE: (202) 462-1340 30 December 1974 President Gerald R Ford President of the United States of America The White House Washington DC Пу dear M President The British Prime Minister, Mr Harold Wilson, has asked me to forward to you a personal message from him, which is enclosed herewith. Soun sencerely Peter Ram bother (Peter Ramsbotham) FORD 6 LIBRARY OFRATO 3C Jim Callaghan and I are looking forward very much to our visit to Washington at the end of next month, when we hope to be able to discuss all the major issues confronting the Western world. However, I felt it would not be right to wait until then to share with you one particular anxiety I have. As you will know we have all been watching with close attention your efforts to minimise unemployment while continuing to fight inflation. Of these two grave threats to our economies - and ultimately perhaps to our cohesion and our institutions - the former seems to us to be growing more serious. To a major extent the decline in activity and growth which is taking place is certainly attributable to the five-fold increase in world oil prices, which has taken huge sums of money out of the normal circulation and put it into the reserves of a few governments. This deflationary impact is thus one aspect of the complex of financial, economic, energy and trade problems which the action of the oil producers has set us. All of them need to be tackled by co-operative effort, and your Administration has given invaluable leads in this direction. It is, I think, no less true in this economic aspect than in the others that we all need to have continuously in mind the effect on others of our own actions and policies. We in the United Kingdom have thought it right against this background to stimulate activity and many of our & FORD /European 3/9/04 and 'VRVN' State Dept. Guidelines E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 GERALD DECLASSIPIED European allies are doing the same. Each one of us by doing so helps to avert a socially dangerous build-up of unemployment within his own country and at the same time helps to maintain international activity and to reduce the temptation for the more hard pressed countries to fall back into measures of a protectionist nature. But the US is the motor of the industrial world: and if the motor fails then the rest of us will inevitably come to a halt. The published indicators which have come out in the last few weeks have successively shown a picture of a motor which is indeed slowing down. The recession now looks likely to be deeper and longer than had been expected and I understand that even the more optimistic forecasters do not now expect any significant upturn before the second half of 1975. It is right to let you know that for us in Britain, and no doubt for many others, this is a deeply worrying prospect. The confidence of business, the support of labour for domestic economic policies of freedom from restriction in international trade all depend on the conviction that all our governments will act to prevent recession from deepening into depression. I look forward to discussing all this with you and telling you something of how we are tackling our problems in Britain, but wanted to express my concern now because I know that you will be thinking about economic matters in the next week or two. & GERALD LIDRARY 30 December 1974 SIR PETER RAMSBOTHAM BY HAND LIBRARY 3D 4 FORDO a GERALD President Gerald R Ford President of the United States of America The White House Washington DC THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON January 12, 1975 Bob Hormats Brent didn't have a chance to get to this until Sunday. He asks whether now, in view of the slip, it isn't necessary to include more substance on energy and economics as an advance of what the President will say in his messages this week? Rem would of course, have to go by message. Is it correct to assume that we will be doing other "advance'messages (to Schmidt, Miki, Giscard). Wilson's could be worked in conjunc- tion with those, but perhaps with specific reference to his letter. Bud THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON 1/13/75 Mrs. Davis: May I please have Nak chron cys when all action is complete? ? P/S fud memos as marked. Thanks! -Karhy (3 attached tem ≥ la k MEMORANDUM 6389-X (followup) NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL SECRET/SENSITIVE ACTION January 7, 1975 MEMORANDUM FOR: SECRETARY KISSINGER FROM: ROBERT HORMATS RH SUBJECT: Response to Message from Prime Minister Wilson At Tab A is a proposed letter from the President replying to Prime Minister Wilson's message of concern about the adverse international impact of the U.S. recession. The reply indicates that the President shares Wilson's concern about recession and unemployment and that his new policies will deal directly with these problems without seriously worsening inflation. I have coordinated with Denis Clift in the drafting of this response. But, because of the pro forma character of its economic aspects and the private nature of the message, I have not felt it necessary to show it to the speech writers or other economic types in the White House. If you wish me to do so, I shall. A copy of Brent Scowcroft's earlier memo- randum to the President summarizing Wilson's message is at Tab B. RECOMMENDATION: That you sign the memorandum for the President at Tab 1. Concurrence: Mr. Clift on DECLASSIFIED & FORD SECRET/SENSITIVE E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 BY NSC MEMO, ha 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 FORD LIBRARY s GERALD MEMORANDUM 6389-X followup THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON SECRET/SENSITIVE ACTION MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: HENRY A. KISSINGER SUBJECT: Response to Message from Prime Minister Wilson Prime Minister Wilson's message, summarized in Brent Scowcroft's memorandum of December 31 (Tab B), expresses concern about the adverse impact which the U.S. recession is having on his country's economy and throughout the world. At Tab A is a proposed response from you to the Prime Minister indicating that you share his concern over unemployment and recession, that you are in the process of developing new policies which will address this issue without triggering major inflationary pressures, and that you look forward to discussing these issues in greater detail during his upcoming visit. RECOMMENDATION: That you sign the letter to Prime Minister Wilson at Tab A. DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 SEGRET/SENSITIVE NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES BY. Nn , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 FORD GERALD $ D THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Dear Mr. Prime Minister: I was pleased to receive your message of December 30, 1974, and to have the benefit of your thinking about the policies I am now developing and will announce later this month. We are in total agreement on the importance of avoiding a build up of unemployment and a worsening of the present recession. The United States and Great Britain have in recent months been struggling with the major issues of unemployment and inflation as have our colleagues elsewhere in Western Europe and in Japan. There are, as we both know, no easy answers to these difficulties; but it is clear that we should not address one part of the problem while ignoring the other. Each country must act consistent with its pri- orities and its particular economic circumstances; each must choose the blend of policies which it considers most suitable. We had expected that the policies I announced last October would bring about a slowdown in our inflation without worsening the recession. But we had also recog- nized that any policy initiated at that time required continued scrutiny so that necessary adjustments could be made if the need arose. We are now in the process of reassessing the state of our economy. We do so with a view not only to the needs of the United States but also to the impact of our policies upon other countries. In my discussions with Chancellor Schmidt, President Giscard d'Estaing, Prime Minister Trudeau and others, I have strongly emphasized the importance we attach to implementing policies which contribute to, rather than harm, the economic well-being of other countries. The policies we are now developing will, in our view, meet this test. They 2 will deal directly with the economic slowdown we now face without triggering major inflationary pressures which might result from an overly expansionary policy. I expect that Secretary Simon will be briefing Chancellor Healey on some aspects of these policies during his coming visit to the U.S. I also expect we will brief your Embassy prior to announcement. Your visit will enable us to discuss these issues in greater detail. I very much look forward to seeing you later this month. Sincerely, The Right Honorable Harold Wilson Prime Minister London THE WHITE HOUSE 1 The Right Honorable Harold Wilson Prime Minister London MI THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Dear Mr. Prime Minister: I was pleased to receive your message of December 30 and to ha benefit of your thinking during development of the policies I shall announce later this month. We are in total agreement about the importance of avoiding a build up of unemployment and a worsening of the present recession. Both the United States and Great Britain have in recent months been struggling with the major issues of unemploy- ment and inflation as have our colleagues elsewhere in Western Europe and in Japan. There are, as we both know, no easy answers to these difficulties; but it is clear that we cannot address one part of the problem while ignoring the other. Each country must act consistent with its priorities and its particular economic circumstances, and must choose the blend of policies which it considers most suitable. We had expected that the policies I announced last October would bring about a slowdown in our inflation without worsening the recession. But we had also recognized that any policy put forward at that time required continued scrutiny so that necessary adjustments could be made if the need arose. have continueds We are now in the process of assessing the state of our have economy. We de so with a view not only to the needs of the United States but also to the impact of our policies upon other countries. In my discussions with Chancellor Schmidt, President Giscard d' 'Estaing, Prime Minister Trudeau and others, I have strongly emphasized the importance we attach to implementing policies which contribute to, rather than harm, the economic well-being of other countries. The policies we are now developing will, in our view, meet this test. They FORD & GERALD 2 will deal directly with the economic slowdown we are now facing without triggering the major inflationary pressures which might result from an overly expansionary policy. I expect that Secretary Simon will be briefing Chancellor Healey on some aspects will also of these policies during tional his, information coming visit to the U.S. I also expect provide we will be able to brief your through Embassy prior to announcement. Your visit will enable us to discuss these issues in greater detail. I very much look forward to seeing you later this month. Sincerely, The Right Honorable Harold Wilson Prime Minister London FORD LIBRARY & OERALD THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Dear Mr. Prime Minister: I was pleased to receive your message of December 30 and to have benefit of your thinking during development of the policies I shall announce later this month. We are in total agreement about the importance of avoiding a build up of unemployment and a worsening of the present recession. Both the United States and Great Britain have in recent months been struggling with the major issues of unemploy- ment and inflation as have our colleagues elsewhere in Western Europe and in Japan. There are, as we both know, no easy answers to these difficulties; but it is clear that we cannot address one part of the problem while ignoring the other. Each country must act consistent with its priorities and its particular economic circumstances, and must choose the blend of policies which it considers most suitable. We had expected that the policies I announced last October would bring about a slowdown in our inflation without worsening the recession. But we had also recognized that any policy put forward at that time required continued scrutiny so that necessary adjustments could be made if the need arose. We are now in the process of assessing the state of our economy. We do so with a view not only to the needs of the United States but also to the impact of our policies upon other countries. In my discussions with Chancellor Schmidt, President Giscard d'Estaing, Prime Minister Trudeau and others, I have strongly emphasized the importance we attach to implementing policies which contribute to, rather than harm, the economic well-being of other countries. The policies we are now developing will, in our view, meet this test. They 2 will deal directly with the economic slowdown we are now facing without triggering the major inflationary pressures which might result from an overly expansionary policy. I expect that Secretary Simon will be briefing Chancellor Healey on some aspects of these policies during his coming visit to the U.S. I also expect we will be able to brief your Embassy prior to annourncement. Your visit will enable us to discuss these issues in greater detail. I very much look forward to seeing you later this month. Sincerely, The Right Honorable Harold Wilson Prime Minister London GERALD FORD LIBRAHY & 6389X ACTION December 31, 1974 SEGRET/SENSITIVE MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: BRENT SCOWCROFT SUBJECT: Message from Prime Minister Wilson on U.S. Economy Prime Minister Wilson has sent you a message (Tab A) to share with you his anxiety over the growing worldwide unemployment problem and the impact that the U.S. recession is having on it. He notes specifically that he wanted you to have the benefit of his views during your consideration of U.S. economic policy. Wilson feels that your Administration has provided invaluable leadership to international efforts to deal with complex financial, economic, energy and trade problems. But because he believes that the U.S. is "the motor of the industrialized world,' Wilson is worried that the fact that our economic slowdown is contributing to serious unemployment in the UK and elsewhere and to global recession despite the attempts of the UK and other Europeans to stimulate economic activity in their countries. Wilson wants to avert a socially dangerous buildup of domestic unemployment and to reduce the temptation for the most hard pressed countries to fall back into protectionist measures. He believes that it is necessary for all western governments to act to prevent recession from deepening into depression in order to improve the confidence of business and to avoid protectionist pressures. A proposed response to the Prime Minister is being staffed separately and will be forwarded to you shortly. DECLASSIFIED SECRET/SENSITIVE E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES BY Wa NARA, DATE 3/9/04 FROM: BRITISH EMBASSY THE HON. WASHINGTON, D.C. 20008 SIR PETER RAMSBOTHAM KCMG TELEPHONE: (202) 462-1340 30 December 1974 President Gerald R Ford President of the United States of America The White House Washington DC 77 dear n resident )- The British Prime Minister, Mr Harold Wilson, has asked me to forward to you a personal message from him, which is enclosed herewith. Soun sencerely Peter Ram between (Peter Ramsbotham) 110 Jim Callaghan and I are looking forward very much to our visit to Washington at the end of next month, when we hope to be able to discuss all the major issues confronting the Western world. However, I felt it would not be right to wait until then to share with you one particular anxiety I have. As you will know we have all been watching with close attention your efforts to minimise unemployment while continuing to fight inflation. Of these two grave threats to our economies - and ultimately perhaps to our cohesion and our institutions - the former seems to us to be growing more serious. To a major extent the decline in activity and growth which is taking place is certainly attributable to the five-fold increase in world oil prices, which has taken huge sums of money out of the normal circulation and put it into the reserves of a few governments. This deflationary impact is thus one aspect of the complex of financial, economic, energy and trade problems which the action of the oil producers has set us. All of them need to be tackled by co-operative effort, and your Administration has given invaluable leads in this direction. It is, I think, no less true in this economic aspect than in the others that we all need to have continuously in mind the effect on others of our own actions and policies. We in the United Kingdom have thought it right against this background to stimulate activity and many of our DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 State Dept. Guidelines /European By , NARA, Date 3/9/04 European allies are doing the same. Each one of us by doing so helps to avert a socially dangerous build-up of unemployment within his own country and at the same time helps to maintain international activity and to reduce the temptation for the more hard pressed countries to fall back into measures of a protectionist nature. But the US is the motor of the industrial world: and if the motor fails then the rest of us will inevitably come to a halt. The published indicators which have come out in the last few weeks have successively shown a picture of a motor which is indeed slowing down. The recession now looks likely to be deeper and longer than had been expected and I understand that even the more optimistic forecasters do not now expect any significant upturn before the second half of 1975. It is right to let you know that for us in Britain, and no doubt for many others, this is a deeply worrying prospect. The confidence of business, the support of labour for domestic economic policies of freedom from restriction in international trade all depend on the conviction that all our governments will act to prevent recession from deepening into depression. I look forward to discussing all this with you and telling you something of how we are tackling our problems in Britain, but wanted to express my concern now because I know that you will be thinking about economic matters in the next week or two. 30 December 1974 MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE INFORMATION WASHINGTON December 31, 1974 TALLISNTS/LS MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: BRENT SCOWCROFT HAR SUBJECT: Message from Prime Minister Wilson on U.S. Economy Prime Minister Wilson has sent you a message (Tab A) to share with you his anxiety over the growing worldwide unemployment problem and the impact that the U.S. recession is having on it. He notes specifically that he wanted you to have the benefit of his views during your consideration of U.S. economic policy. Wilson feels that your Administration has provided invaluable leadership to international efforts to deal with complex financial, economic, energy and trade problems. But because he believes that the U.S. is "the motor of the industrialized world, 11 Wilson is worried that the fact that our economic slowdown is contributing to serious unemployment in the UK and elsewhere and to global recession despite the attempts of the UK and other Europeans to stimulate economic activity in their countries. Wilson wants to avert a socially dangerous buildup of domestic unemployment and to reduce the temptation for the most hard pressed countries to fall back into protectionist measures. He believes that it is necessary for all western governments to act to prevent recession from deepening into depression in order to improve the confidence of business and to avoid protectionist pressures. A proposed response to the Prime Minister is being staffed separately and will be forwarded to you shortly. DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 SEGRET/SENSITIVE NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES 3/9/04 B 6389X Retype BS:mb 1/2/75 INFORMATION December 31, 1974 SEGRET/SENSITIVE MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: HENRY A. KISSINGER SUBJECT: Message from Prime Minister Wilson on U.S. Economy Prime Minister Wilson has sent you a message (Tab A) to share with you his anxiety over the growing worldwide unemployment problem and the impact that the U.S. recession is having on it. He notes specifically that he wanted you to have the benefit of his views during your consideration of U.S. economic policy. Wilson feels that your Administration has provided invaluable leadership to international efforts to deal with complex financial, economic, energy and trade problems. But because he believes that the U.S. is "the motor of the industrialized world," Wilson is worried about the fact that our economic slowdown is contributing to serious unemployment in the UK and elsewhere and to global recession despite the attempts of the UK and other Europeans to stimulate economic activity in their countries. Wilson wants to avert a socially dangerous buildup of domestic unemployment and to reduce the temptation for the most hard pressed countries to fall back into protectionist measures. He believes that it is necessary for all western governments to act to prevent recession from deepening into depression in order to improve the confidence of business and to avoid protectionist pressures. A proposed response to the Prime Minister is being staffed separately and will be forwarded to you shortly. your de DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 GERALD AMERICA NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES SEGRET/SENSITIVE BY Wa , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 45 6389X Retype BS:mb 1/2/75 INFORMATION December 31, 1974 SECRET/SENSITIVE MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: HENRY A. KISSINGER SUBJECT: Message from Prime Minister Wilson on U.S. Economy Prime Minister Wilson has sent you a message (Tab A) to share with you his anxiety over the growing worldwide unemployment problem and the impact that the U.S. recession is having on it. He notes specifically that he wanted you to have the benefit of his views during your consideration of U.S. economic policy. Wilson feels that your Administration has provided invaluable leadership to international efforts to deal with complex financial, economic, energy and trade problems. But because be believes that the U.S. is "the motor of the industrialized world,' Wilson is worried about the fact that our economic slowdown is contributing to serious unemployment in the UK and elsewhere and to global recession despite the attempts of the UK and other Europeans to stimulate economic activity in their countries. Wilson wants to avert a socially dangerous buildup of domestic unemployment and to reduce the temptation for the most hard pressed countries to fall back into protectionist measures. He believes that it is necessary for all western governments to act to prevent recession from deepening into depression in order to improve the confidence of business and to avoid protectionist pressures. A proposed response to the Prime Minister is being staffed separately and will be forwarded to you shortly. FORD DECLASSIFIED & E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 SEGRET/SENSITIVE NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES BY Wa , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 OBRALD LIBRARY 6389X Retype BS:mb 1/2/75 INFORMATION December 31, 1974 SEGAET/SENSITIVE MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: HENRY A. KISSINGER SUBJECT: Message from Prime Minister Wilson on U.S. Economy Prime Minister Wilson has sent you a message (Tab A) to share with you his anxiety over the growing worldwide unemployment problem and the impact that the U.S. recession is having on it. He notes specifically that be wanted you to have the benefit of his views during your consideration of U.S. economic policy. Wilson feels that your Administration has provided invaluable leadership to international efforts to deal with complex financial, economic, energy and trade problems. But because be believes that the U.S. is "the meter of the industrialised world," Wilson is worried about the fact that our economic slowdown is contributing to serious unemployment in the UK and elsewhere and to global recession despite the attempts of the UK and other Europeans to stimulate economic activity in their countries. Wilson wants to avert a socially dangerous buildup of domestic unemployment and to reduce the temptation for the most hard pressed countries to fall back into protectionist measures. He believes that it is necessary for all western governments to act to prevent recession from deepening into depression in order to improve the confidence of business and to avoid protectionist pressures. A preposed response to the Prime Minister is being staffed separately and will be forwarded to you shortly. DECLASSIFIED GRALD * FORD SEGRET/SENSITIVE E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES BY. labe # NARA, DATE 3/9/04 6389X Retype BS:mb 1/2/75 INFORMATION December 31, 1974 SECRET/SENSITIVE MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: HENRY A. KISSINGER SUBJECT: Message from Prime Minister Wilson on U.S. Economy Prime Minister Wilson has sent you a message (Tab A) to share with you his anxiety over the growing worldwide unemployment problem and the impact that the U.S. recession is having on it. He notes specifically that be wanted you to have the benefit of his views during your consideration of U.S. economic policy. Wilson feels that your Administration has provided invaluable leadership to international efforts to deal with complex financial, economic, energy and trade problems. But because be believes that the U.S. is "the metor of the industrialized world," Wilson is worried about the fact that our economic slowdown is contributing to serious unemployment in the UK and elsewhere and to global recession despite the attempts of the UK and other Europeans to stimulate economic activity in their countries. Wilson wants to avert a socially dangerous buildup of domestic unemployment and to reduce the temptation for the most hard pressed countries to fall back into protectionist measures. He believes that it is necessary for all western governments to act to prevent recession from deepening into depression in order to improve the confidence of business and to avoid protectionist pressures. A preposed response to the Prime Minister is being staffed separately and will be forwarded to you shortly. rune of DECLASSIFIED GENALD VIDRARY E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 EGRET/SENSITIVE NSC MEMO, 11/04/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES BY. Ma , MARA, DATE 3/9/04 Kathy. : Jyd -The bypassed you on 12/31 - Marilyn 6389X 4V SECRET ACTION MEMORANDUM FOR GENERAL SCOWCROFT FROM: Robert D. Hormats A. Denis Clift SUBJECT: Message to President from Prime Minister Wilson The information memorandum for your signature to the President at Tab I would forward Prime Minister Wilson's message of December 30 on the economy. Your memorandum notes that a proposed reply to the Prime Minister is being staffed separately. RECOMMENDATION That you sign the memorandum for the President at Tab I SEGRET DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 FORD LIBRARY è OERALD NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES BY Cabe , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 FORD GERALD ? LIBRARY HX INFORMATION December 31, 1974 SECRET/SENSITIVE MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: BRENT SCOWCROFT SUBJECT: Message from Prime Minister Wilson on U.S. Economy Prime Minister Wilson has sent you a message (Tab A) to share with you his anxisty over the growing worldwide unemployment problem and the impact that the U.S. recession is having on it. He notes specifically that be wanted you to have the benefit of his views during your consideration of U.S. economic policy. Wilson feels that your Administration has provided invaluable leadership to international efforts to deal with complex financial, economic, energy and trade problems. But because be believes that the U.S. is "the motor of the industrialised world," Wilson is worried that the fact that our economic slowdown is contributing to serious unemployment in the UK and elsewhere and to global recession despite the attempts of the UK and other Europeans to stimulate economic activity in their countries. Wilson wants to avert a socially dangerous buildup of domestic unemployment and to reduce the temptation for the most hard pressed countries to fall back into protectionist measures. He believes that it is necessary for all western governments to act to prevent recession from deepening into depression in order to improve the confidence of business and to avoid protectionist pressures. A preposed response to the Prime Minister is being staffed separately and will be forwarded to you shertly. 2000 & DECLASSIFIED SEGRET/SENSITIVE E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES GERALD LIBRAR BY, ha I NARA, DATE 3/9/04 GERALD " 1000 4 ANVUSIA 112 2 FROM: BRITISH EMBASSY THE HON. WASHINGTON, D.C. 20008 SIR PETER RAMSBOTHAM KCMG TELEPHONE: (202) 462-1340 30 December 1974 President Gerald R Ford President of the United States of America The White House Washington DC 77 dear M President The British Prime Minister, Mr Harold Wilson, has asked me to forward to you a personal message from him, which is enclosed herewith. Soun sincerely later Ram between (Peter Ramsbotham) FORD LIBRARY & Jim Callaghan and I are looking forward very much to our visit to Washington at the end of next month, when we hope to be able to discuss all the major issues confronting the Western world. However, I felt it would not be right to wait until then to share with you one particular anxiety I have. As you will know we have all been watching with close attention your efforts to minimise unemployment while continuing to fight inflation. Of these two grave threats to our economies - and ultimately perhaps to our cohesion and our institutions - the former seems to us to be growing more serious. To a major extent the decline in activity and growth which is taking place is certainly attributable to the five-fold increase in world oil prices, which has taken huge sums of money out of the normal circulation and put it into the reserves of a few governments. This deflationary impact is thus one aspect of the complex of financial, economic, energy and trade problems which the action of the oil producers has set'us. All of them need to be tackled by co-operative effort, and your Administration has given invaluable leads in this DECLASSIFIED B.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 State Dept. Guidelines NARA, Date 3/9/04 direction. It is, I think, no less true in this economic aspect than in the others that we all need to have continuously in mind the effect on others of our own actions and policies. We in the United Kingdom have thought it right against this background to stimulate activity and many of our /European European allies are doing the same. Each one of us by doing so helps to avert a socially dangerous build-up of unemployment within his own country and at the same time helps to maintain international activity and to reduce the temptation for the more hard pressed countries to fall back into measures of a protectionist nature. But the US is the motor of the industrial world: and if the motor fails then the rest of us will inevitably come to a halt. The published indicators which have come out in the last few weeks have successively shown a picture of a motor which is indeed slowing down. The recession now looks likely to be deeper and longer than had been expected and I understand that even the more optimistic forecasters do not now expect any significant upturn before the second half of 1975. It is right to let you know that for us in Britain, and no doubt for many others, this is a deeply worrying prospect. The confidence of business, the support of labour for domestic economic policies of freedom from restriction in international trade all depend on the conviction that all our governments will act to prevent recession from deepening into depression. I look forward to discussing all this with you and telling you something of how we are tackling our problems in Britain, but wanted to express my concern now because I know that you will be thinking about economic matters in the next week or two. 30 December 1974 Redo 4BB 6389x THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Dear Mr. Prime Minister: I was pleased to receive your message of December 30, 1974, and to have the benefit of your thinking about the policies I am now developing and will announce later this month. We are in total agreement on the importance of avoiding a build up of unemployment and a worsening of the present recession. The United States and Great Britain have in recent months been struggling with the major issues of unemployment and inflation as have our colleagues elsewhere in Western Europe and in Japan. There are, as we both know, no easy answers to these difficulties; but it is clear that we should not address one part of the problem while ignoring the other. Each country must act consistent with its pri- orities and its particular economic circumstances; each must choose the blend of policies which it considers most suitable. We had expected that the policies I announced last October would bring about a slowdown in our inflation without worsening the recession. But we had also recog- nized that any policy initiated at that time required continued scrutiny so that necessary adjustments could be made if the need arose. We are now in the process of reassessing the state of our economy. We do so with a view not only to the needs of the United States but also to the impact of our policies upon other countries. In my discussions with Chancellor Schmidt, President Giscard d'Estaing, Prime Minister Trudeau and others, I have strongly emphasized the importance we attach to implementing policies which contribute to, rather than harm, the economic well-being of other countries. The policies we are now developing will, in our view, meet this test. They rund 2 will deal directly with the economic slowdown we now face without triggering major inflationary pressures which might result from an overly expansionary policy. I expect that Secretary Simon will be briefing Chancellor Healey on some aspects of these policies during his coming visit to the U.S. I also expect we will brief your Embassy prior to announcement. Your visit will enable us to discuss these issues in greater detail. I very much look forward to seeing you later this month. Sincerely, The Right Honorable Harold Wilson Prime Minister London MCC MEMORANDUM 6389-X (followup) NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL SECRET/SENSITIVE ACTION January 7, 1975 MEMORANDUM FOR: SECRETARY KISSINGER FROM: ROBERT HORMATS RH SUBJECT: Response to Message from Prime Minister Wilson At Tab A is a proposed letter from the President replying to Prime Minister Wilson's message of concern about the adverse international impact of the U.S. recession. The reply indicates that the President shares Wilson's concern about recession and unemployment and that his new policies will deal directly with these problems without seriously worsening inflation. I have coordinated with Denis Clift in the drafting of this response. But, because of the pro forma character of its economic aspects and the private nature of the message, I have not felt it necessary to show it to the speech writers or other economic types in the White House. If you wish me to do so, I shall. A copy of Brent Scowcroft's earlier memo- randum to the President summarizing Wilson's message is at Tab B. RECOMMENDATION: That you sign the memorandum for the President at Tab 1. Concurrence: Mr. Clift an DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 SECRET/SENSITIVE NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES BY bh , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 HDD MEMORANDUM 6389-X followup THE WHITE HOUSE WASHHINGTON SEGRET/SENSITIVE ACTION MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: HENRY A. KISSINGER SUBJECT: Response to Message from Prime Minister Wilson Prime Minister Wilson's message, summarized in Brent Scowcroft's memorandum of December 31 (Tab B), expresses concern about the adverse impact which the U.S. recession is having on his country's economy and throughout the world. At Tab A is a proposed response from you to the Prime Minister indicating that you share his concern over unemployment and recession, that you are in the process of developing new policies which will address this issue without triggering major inflationary pressures, and that you look forward to discussing these issues in greater detail during his upcoming visit. RECOMMENDATION: That you sign the letter to Prime Minister Wilson at Tab A. DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 SECRET/SENSITIVE BY. We NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 HEE THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Dear Mr. Prime Minister: I was pleased to receive your message of December 30 and to have benefit of your thinking during development of the policies I shall announce later this month. We are in total agreement about the importance of avoiding a build up of unemployment and a worsening of the present recession. Both the United States and Great Britain have in recent months been struggling with the major issues of unemploy- ment and inflation as have our colleagues elsewhere in Western Europe and in Japan. There are, as we both know, no easy answers to these difficulties; but it is clear that we cannot address one part of the problem while ignoring the other. Each country must act consistent with its priorities and its particular economic circumstances, and must choose the blend of policies which it considers most suitable. We had expected that the policies I announced last October would bring about a slowdown in our inflation without worsening the recession. But we had also recognized that any policy put forward at that time required continued scrutiny so that necessary adjustments could be made if the need arose. We are now in the process of assessing the state of our economy. We do so with a view not only to the needs of the United States but also to the impact of our policies upon other countries. In my discussions with Chancellor Schmidt, President Giscard d'Estaing, Prime Minister Trudeau and others, I have strongly emphasized the importance we attach to implementing policies which contribute to, rather than harm, the economic well-being of other countries. The policies we are now developing will, in our view, meet this test. They 2 will deal directly with the economic slowdown we are now facing without triggering the major inflationary pressures which might result from an overly expansionary policy. I expect that Secretary Simon will be briefing Chancellor Healey on some aspects of these policies during his coming visit to the U.S. I also expect we will be able to brief your Embassy prior to announcement. Your visit will enable us to discuss these issues in greater detail. I very much look forward to seeing you later this month. Sincerely, The Right Honorable Harold Wilson Prime Minister London 6389X IFF ACTION December 31, 1974 SEGRET /SENSITIVE MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: BRENT SCOWCROFT SUBJECT: Message from Prime Minister Wilson on U.S. Economy Prime Minister Wilson has sent you a message (Tab A) to share with you his anxiety over the growing worldwide unemployment problem and the impact that the U.S. recession is having on it. He notes specifically that he wanted you to have the benefit of his views during your consideration of U.S. economic policy. Wilson feels that your Administration has provided invaluable leadership to aternational efforts to deal with complex financial, economic, energy and trade problems. But because he believes that the U.S. is "the motor of the industrialized world, 11 Wilson is worried that the fact that our economic slowdown is contributing to serious unemployment in the UK and elsewhere and to global recession despite the attempts of the UK and other Europeans to stimulate economic activity in their countries. Wilson wants to avert a socially dangerous buildun of domestic unemployment and to reduce the temptation for the most hard pressed countries to fall back into protectionist measures. He believes that it is necessary for all western governments to act to prevent recession from deepening into depression in order to improve the confidence of business and to avoid protectionist pressures. A proposed response to the Prime Minister is being staffed separately and will be forwarded to you snortly. DECLASSIFIED SECRET /SENSITIVE E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 NSC MEMO, 11/24/98, STATE DEPT. GUIDELINES GERALD BY lab , NARA, DATE 3/9/04 BRITISH EMBASSY FROM: WASHINGTON. D.C. 20008 THE HON SIR PETER RAMSBOTHAM KCMG TELEPHONE: (202) 462-1340 30 December 1974 President Gerald R Ford President of the United States of America The White House Washington DC 77 dear M President The British Prime Minister, Mr Harold Wilson, has asked me to forward to you a personal message from him, which is enclosed herewith. JUL sincerely Peter Ram between (Peter Ramsbotham) 4HH Jim Callaghan and I are looking forward very much to our visit to Washington at the end of next month, when we hope to be able to discuss all the major issues confronting the Western world. However, I felt it would not be right to wait until then to share with you one particular anxiety I have. As you will know we have all been watching with close attention your efforts to minimise unemployment while continuing to fight inflation. Of these two grave threats to our economies - and ultimately perhaps to our cohesion and our institutions - the former seems to us to be growing more serious. To a major extent the decline in activity and growth which is taking place is certainly attributable to the five-fold increase in world oil prices, which has taken huge sums of money out of the normal circulation and put it into the reserves of a few governments. This deflationary impact is thus one aspect of the complex of financial, economic, energy and trade problems which the action of the oil producers has set us. All of them need to be tackled by co-operative effort, DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 State Dept. Guidelines NARA, Date 3/9/04 and your Administration has given invaluable leads in this direction. It is, I think, no less true in this economic aspect than in the others that we all need to have continuously in mind the effect on others of our own actions and policies. We in the United Kingdom have thought it right against this background to stimulate activity and many of our /European European allies are doing the same. Each one of us by doing so helps to avert a socially dangerous build-up of unemployment within his own country and at the same time helps to maintain international activity and to reduce the temptation for the more hard pressed countries to fall back into measures of a protectionist nature. But the US is the motor of the industrial world: and if the motor fails then the rest of us will inevitably come to a halt. The published indicators which have come out in the last few weeks have successively shown a picture of a motor which is indeed slowing down. The recession now looks likely to be deeper and longer than had been expected and I understand that even the more optimistic forecasters do not now expect any significant upturn before the second half of 1975. It is right to let you know that for us in Britain, and no doubt for many others, this is a deeply worrying prospect. The confidence of business, the support of labour for domestic economic policies of freedom from restriction in international trade all depend on the conviction that all our governments will act to prevent recession from deepening into depression. I look forward to discussing all this with you and telling you something of how we are tackling our problems in Britain, but wanted to express my concern now because I know that you will be thinking about economic matters in the next week or two. 30 December 1974 HII DOC RECD LOG NBR INITIAL ACTION o NSC CORRESPONDENCE PROFILE MO DA MO DA HR 17 / 717 7406389x HORMATS REFERENCE: CIRCLE AS APPROPRIATE TO: PRES FROM: S/S UNCLAS LOG IN/OUT X KISSINGER COLBY, W OTHER LOU NO FORN NODIS SOURCE/CLASS/DESCRIPTION SCOWCROFT SCHLESINGER, J C EYES ONLY EXDIS DAVIS ST EX SEC S CODEWORD TS SENSITIVE SUBJECT: her Response to LTR fm PM Wilson of England LA INTERNAL ROUTING AND DISTRIBUTION REC ACTION REQUIRED ACTION INFO CY ADVANCE CYS TO HAK/SCOWCROFT FOR MEMO FOR HAK ( ) STAFF SECRETARY MEMO FOR PRES ( ) REPLY FOR FAR EAST ( ) APPROPRIATE ACTION ( ) DISTRIBUTION/INITIAL ACTION ASGMT SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA MID EAST / NO. AFRICA / so. ASIA MEMO TO ( ) RECOMMENDATIONS ( ) EUROPE / CANADA JOINT MEMO ( ) LATIN AMERICA REFER TO FOR: ( ) UNITED NATIONS ECONOMIC ANY ACTION NECESSARY? ( ) SCIENTIFIC CONCURRENCE ( ) PROGRAM ANALYSIS DUE DATE: NSC PLANNING COMMENTS: (INCLUDING SPECIAL INSTRUCTIONS) CONGRESSIONAL OCEANS POLICY INTELLIGENCE DATE FROM TO S SUBSEQUENT ACTION REQUIRED (OR TAKEN): CY TO 01/07 HAK X Pres to ppa th to Wilson (01/18) 1/13/75 DAVIS - -Fud for Further Action to Hormats SUBSEQUENT ROUTING/ACTIONS HORMATS SEC. OBE, Renta SECLETARIAT DISPATCH CY RQMTS: SEE ABOVE PLUS: MICROFILM & FILE RQMTS: NSC/S DISP INSTR NOTIFY & DATE BY M/F'D BY SPECIAL DISPOSITION: CRT ID: SA SF CROSS REF W/ OPEN HP NS SUSPENSE CY ATTACHED: FOLDER: CLOSE WH EP PA DY (NBC-74-21)