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even of hardship, for many small colleges; but it is also clear that,
with the possible increa'ses in enrollment of women, drastic cuts in
total enrollments for all colleges will not be the order of the day.
On the whole, I believe that the colleges will find it possible to
make their way during the difficult years ahead, if the enrollment
levels are not reduced below the levels here shown.. The two critical
years are 1954-55 and 1955-56, which reflect the pinch of the first two
years of the plan.
Chart Two indicates the numbers of male graduates which might be
produced in each of the next ten years under the proposed plan. Once
again, the two lean years are 1954-55 and 1955-56, although the whcle
picture clearly indicates that the proposal to put only 75,000 men- on
student status is an irreducible minimum, possibly too conservative.
Whereas we expect 384,000 men to graduate from four-year courses this
coming spring, that number for the two years in question is only 81,000
and 82,000, respectively.
In the third place, I can indicate to the Committee what might be
the probable production of male graduates in a few selected fields of
study', which will indicate the very narrow margin of safety which the plan
carries in it. There is no way now of projecting with certainty the needs
of the Nation in all the several fields four years hence; but we can show
what present experience is, as contrasted with the production contemplated.
The table which follows indicates the numbers of males who might be
expected to graduate from four-year courses in the fields of Physics,
Engineering, and the Social Sciences; and the numbers of medical doctors
who might be expected to finish their full course, in each of the ten years
ahead, as contrasted with the numbers graduating in these fields in 1949-50.
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"ocrText": "- 7 -\neven of hardship, for many small colleges; but it is also clear that,\nwith the possible increa'ses in enrollment of women, drastic cuts in\ntotal enrollments for all colleges will not be the order of the day.\nOn the whole, I believe that the colleges will find it possible to\nmake their way during the difficult years ahead, if the enrollment\nlevels are not reduced below the levels here shown.. The two critical\nyears are 1954-55 and 1955-56, which reflect the pinch of the first two\nyears of the plan.\nChart Two indicates the numbers of male graduates which might be\nproduced in each of the next ten years under the proposed plan. Once\nagain, the two lean years are 1954-55 and 1955-56, although the whcle\npicture clearly indicates that the proposal to put only 75,000 men- on\nstudent status is an irreducible minimum, possibly too conservative.\nWhereas we expect 384,000 men to graduate from four-year courses this\ncoming spring, that number for the two years in question is only 81,000\nand 82,000, respectively.\nIn the third place, I can indicate to the Committee what might be\nthe probable production of male graduates in a few selected fields of\nstudy', which will indicate the very narrow margin of safety which the plan\ncarries in it. There is no way now of projecting with certainty the needs\nof the Nation in all the several fields four years hence; but we can show\nwhat present experience is, as contrasted with the production contemplated.\nThe table which follows indicates the numbers of males who might be\nexpected to graduate from four-year courses in the fields of Physics,\nEngineering, and the Social Sciences; and the numbers of medical doctors\nwho might be expected to finish their full course, in each of the ten years\nahead, as contrasted with the numbers graduating in these fields in 1949-50."
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