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18 ARCHIVES SERVICE* RECORDS AND
ports that the Jugoslavs have 30-odd battleworthy divisions, well-trained and strong in
morale. They feel these can be more than a match for their neighbors. Thus the
Kremlin cannot win a war of proxy against them, as it has tried to do in Korea. So the
Russians must decide whether to use their own forces, and perhaps precipitate world war
over Titoism. And Belgrade observers do not believe such action can be imminent unless
there is evidence of Soviet troops concentrating in satellite areas adjoining Jugoslavia.
You can be sure then they are watching closely for such troop movements, and that when
they see them - if they do -- the world will hear of it speedily. In short, Jugoslavia
is no second Korea. It is ready to defend itself against even against the Russians.
Obviously, therefore, the Russians must think carefully before they start anything in
the Balkans. Mr. Stevens report on the situation will continue tomorrow, and in suc-
ceeding days.
The situation is by no means so encouraging in Iran. There the
government remains in turmoil, and the possibility of effective defense against Soviet
invasion is slight. The oil reserves of Persia are attractive to the Russians. If our
supply line to Korea is long and difficult, it is even harder to Persia. But, again, the
Russians will have to think long and hard before they launch an invasion in Persia. They
will not have the North Koreans to make a quasi-civil war out of it. In Indo-China,
although the communist leader Ho-Chih-Minh is strong, so are the French military forces
which are resisting him. The American naval blockade around Formosa, and the determin-
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"ocrText": "- 3 -\n18 ARCHIVES SERVICE* RECORDS AND\nports that the Jugoslavs have 30-odd battleworthy divisions, well-trained and strong in\nmorale. They feel these can be more than a match for their neighbors. Thus the\nKremlin cannot win a war of proxy against them, as it has tried to do in Korea. So the\nRussians must decide whether to use their own forces, and perhaps precipitate world war\nover Titoism. And Belgrade observers do not believe such action can be imminent unless\nthere is evidence of Soviet troops concentrating in satellite areas adjoining Jugoslavia.\nYou can be sure then they are watching closely for such troop movements, and that when\nthey see them - if they do -- the world will hear of it speedily. In short, Jugoslavia\nis no second Korea. It is ready to defend itself against even against the Russians.\nObviously, therefore, the Russians must think carefully before they start anything in\nthe Balkans. Mr. Stevens report on the situation will continue tomorrow, and in suc-\nceeding days.\nThe situation is by no means so encouraging in Iran. There the\ngovernment remains in turmoil, and the possibility of effective defense against Soviet\ninvasion is slight. The oil reserves of Persia are attractive to the Russians. If our\nsupply line to Korea is long and difficult, it is even harder to Persia. But, again, the\nRussians will have to think long and hard before they launch an invasion in Persia. They\nwill not have the North Koreans to make a quasi-civil war out of it. In Indo-China,\nalthough the communist leader Ho-Chih-Minh is strong, so are the French military forces\nwhich are resisting him. The American naval blockade around Formosa, and the determin-"
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