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Memorandum from Rear Admiral R. H. Hillenkoetter to President Harry S. Truman, with Related Material

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NLTCPSF-Intell) 15 ER 354 Tor LLK STEPT CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY WASHINGTON 25, D. C. 16 March 1948 MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT The Central Intelligence Agency and the intelligence organizations of the Departments of State, War, Navy and Air Force have reassessed Soviet intentions for the next sixty days and concur in the following conclusions with respect to the possibility of Soviet military action: a. An examination of all pertinent available information has produced no reliable evidence that the USSR intends to resort to military action within the next sixty days. b. The weight of logic, as well as evidence, also leads to the conclusion that the USSR will not resort to military action within the next sixty days. C. There is, nevertheless, the ever present possibility that some miscalculation or incident may result in military movements toward areas, at present unoccupied by the USSR. Reducleshoother TRUNAN R. H. Hillenkoetter to SERVICE" 2 Rear Admiral, USN Director of Central Intelligence 66 the DECLASSIFIED Authority NLT- 77-79 By He NLT Date f.31.7t TOP SECRET

Page data

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    "ocrText": "NLTCPSF-Intell) 15\nER 354\nTor LLK STEPT\nCENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY\nWASHINGTON 25, D. C.\n16 March 1948\nMEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT\nThe Central Intelligence Agency and the intelligence\norganizations of the Departments of State, War, Navy and\nAir Force have reassessed Soviet intentions for the next\nsixty days and concur in the following conclusions with\nrespect to the possibility of Soviet military action:\na. An examination of all pertinent available\ninformation has produced no reliable evidence that\nthe USSR intends to resort to military action within\nthe next sixty days.\nb. The weight of logic, as well as evidence,\nalso leads to the conclusion that the USSR will not\nresort to military action within the next sixty days.\nC. There is, nevertheless, the ever present\npossibility that some miscalculation or incident\nmay result in military movements toward areas,\nat present unoccupied by the USSR.\nReducleshoother\nTRUNAN\nR. H. Hillenkoetter\nto SERVICE\" 2\nRear Admiral, USN\nDirector of Central Intelligence\n66 the\nDECLASSIFIED\nAuthority\nNLT- 77-79\nBy He\nNLT\nDate f.31.7t\nTOP SECRET"
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