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ECKE
-2-
Guerrilla Warfare
The Dutch have already captured the Republic
capital and practically all Republican lead-
ers. Despite this success and the apparent lack of effective Re-
publican resistance, US security interests have been seriously
threatened by the Dutch "police action. 11 The removal from power
of the pro-US moderates in the Republic has paved the way for the
rise of a resistance movement led by militant Communists and by
extremist elements formerly held in restraint by the Republican
regime. In the initial stages, the Dutch can be expected to have
considerable success in maintaining law and order throughout the
Republic. The nationalist aspirations of the Indonesians, how-
ever, will continue to conflict with the Dutch desire to retain
a maximum amount of control. Guerrilla warfare and sabotage will
increase and compel the Dutch to continue the commitment of sub-
stantial military forces in Indonesia. These commitments will
delay full Dutch contribution to a western European defense system
and will constitute a continuing drain on the finances of the
Netherlands Government.
Soviet Reaction The present situation in Indonesia will be ex-
ploited in the Security Council by the USSR,
which will champion the aspirations of colonial peoples and accuse
the US of complicity in the Dutch action. Further, the USSR can
be expected to capitalize, throughout the Far East, on the decline
of US prestige which will follow the collapse of GOC mediation
efforts in which the US has had a leading role.
R. H. HILLENKOETTER
Rear Admiral, USN
Director of Central Intelligence
ANGHIVES AND
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"ocrText": "ECKE\n-2-\nGuerrilla Warfare\nThe Dutch have already captured the Republic\ncapital and practically all Republican lead-\ners. Despite this success and the apparent lack of effective Re-\npublican resistance, US security interests have been seriously\nthreatened by the Dutch \"police action. 11 The removal from power\nof the pro-US moderates in the Republic has paved the way for the\nrise of a resistance movement led by militant Communists and by\nextremist elements formerly held in restraint by the Republican\nregime. In the initial stages, the Dutch can be expected to have\nconsiderable success in maintaining law and order throughout the\nRepublic. The nationalist aspirations of the Indonesians, how-\never, will continue to conflict with the Dutch desire to retain\na maximum amount of control. Guerrilla warfare and sabotage will\nincrease and compel the Dutch to continue the commitment of sub-\nstantial military forces in Indonesia. These commitments will\ndelay full Dutch contribution to a western European defense system\nand will constitute a continuing drain on the finances of the\nNetherlands Government.\nSoviet Reaction The present situation in Indonesia will be ex-\nploited in the Security Council by the USSR,\nwhich will champion the aspirations of colonial peoples and accuse\nthe US of complicity in the Dutch action. Further, the USSR can\nbe expected to capitalize, throughout the Far East, on the decline\nof US prestige which will follow the collapse of GOC mediation\nefforts in which the US has had a leading role.\nR. H. HILLENKOETTER\nRear Admiral, USN\nDirector of Central Intelligence\nANGHIVES AND"
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