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An approximate breakdown on arrivals through July is as follows:
Spain
21,567
Mexico
2,533
Italy
1,101
Yugoslavia
413
Japan
3,676
Sweden
75 (re-exports)
Netherlands
1,201
UK
49
Total
30,615 (7 months preliminary)
What the future holds, politically and economically, is merely conjectural. If large-
scale rearmament begins, and this appears most likely, the price and the output of
mercury will substantially increase. The large stocks in Spain and Italy would be
purchased quickly by the US, UK, or USSR and submarginal mines would be reopened
as the price increased. Formerly Spain and Italy dominated world markets and largely
determined the price at which mercury was sold to consumers. In the immediate
future Yugoslavia may become an important factor. Its importance as a mercury
producer, however, could last but a few years, for reserves at the Idria mine are limited,
whereas Spain and Italy are assured of their dominant positions for at least several
decades.
Emergency Supply and Demand.
Mercury is one of the few strategic materials of which the US has fulfilled its pres-
ent stockpile objective. The present stockpile, as of 30 June 1948, is 173,519 flasks com-
pared to a minimum objective of at least 125,000 flasks. The objective is the equivalent
of a two-year supply at the 1945 peak year consumption. In the event of another emer-
gency consumption would undoubtedly exceed that of 1945. New military uses are
being found for the mercury battery which was first manufactured on a large scale in
1945. Further development of the battery should make it necessary for the US to
hold its present stockpile intact. The flow of mercury has returned to prewar channels,
Spain and Italy having resumed their position as the chief world suppliers. In the
event of an emergency these countries probably would be cut off from the US, or at
least present a serious supply problem. The present stockpile may be adequate to
assure the US of a plentiful supply until domestic production, and that of Canada,
Mexico, and Chile could be stimulated. The stockpile is not adequate to meet US needs
during a long war.
There were approximately 200 mines producing in the US during the peak year of
World War II, whereas only three or four are still operating at the current price. The
high cost producers, closed by low market prices, total a strategic reserve of inestimable
benefit to the US in the event of a future emergency. World War II proved the strategic
importance of conserving marginal and submarginal deposits and their value at a time
when it is difficult or impossible to procure supplies from foreign sources. The meas-
CONFIDENTIAL
10
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"ocrText": "An approximate breakdown on arrivals through July is as follows:\nSpain\n21,567\nMexico\n2,533\nItaly\n1,101\nYugoslavia\n413\nJapan\n3,676\nSweden\n75 (re-exports)\nNetherlands\n1,201\nUK\n49\nTotal\n30,615 (7 months preliminary)\nWhat the future holds, politically and economically, is merely conjectural. If large-\nscale rearmament begins, and this appears most likely, the price and the output of\nmercury will substantially increase. The large stocks in Spain and Italy would be\npurchased quickly by the US, UK, or USSR and submarginal mines would be reopened\nas the price increased. Formerly Spain and Italy dominated world markets and largely\ndetermined the price at which mercury was sold to consumers. In the immediate\nfuture Yugoslavia may become an important factor. Its importance as a mercury\nproducer, however, could last but a few years, for reserves at the Idria mine are limited,\nwhereas Spain and Italy are assured of their dominant positions for at least several\ndecades.\nEmergency Supply and Demand.\nMercury is one of the few strategic materials of which the US has fulfilled its pres-\nent stockpile objective. The present stockpile, as of 30 June 1948, is 173,519 flasks com-\npared to a minimum objective of at least 125,000 flasks. The objective is the equivalent\nof a two-year supply at the 1945 peak year consumption. In the event of another emer-\ngency consumption would undoubtedly exceed that of 1945. New military uses are\nbeing found for the mercury battery which was first manufactured on a large scale in\n1945. Further development of the battery should make it necessary for the US to\nhold its present stockpile intact. The flow of mercury has returned to prewar channels,\nSpain and Italy having resumed their position as the chief world suppliers. In the\nevent of an emergency these countries probably would be cut off from the US, or at\nleast present a serious supply problem. The present stockpile may be adequate to\nassure the US of a plentiful supply until domestic production, and that of Canada,\nMexico, and Chile could be stimulated. The stockpile is not adequate to meet US needs\nduring a long war.\nThere were approximately 200 mines producing in the US during the peak year of\nWorld War II, whereas only three or four are still operating at the current price. The\nhigh cost producers, closed by low market prices, total a strategic reserve of inestimable\nbenefit to the US in the event of a future emergency. World War II proved the strategic\nimportance of conserving marginal and submarginal deposits and their value at a time\nwhen it is difficult or impossible to procure supplies from foreign sources. The meas-\nCONFIDENTIAL\n10"
}