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SECRET 35 and the necessity of financing Canadian ex- Since Canada is dependent on imports from ports to Europe largely on credit, compelled the US, Canada has no choice under present Canada to take emergency action to build up payments difficulties but to increase its de- the dwindling reserves of US dollars. There- pendence on the US market. It is recognized fore in November 1947 the Canadian Govern- that this increases Canada's vulnerability to ment announced a dollar conservation pro- economic conditions in the US but the neces- gram with the twofold purpose of restricting sity of balancing trade on a bilateral basis expenditures in US dollars by means of import outweighs this consideration. Furthermore, restrictions and exchange controls, and of in- the government feels that Canada cannot af- creasing earnings of US dollars by expanding ford additional aid to European nations by exports to the US. The success of this pro- granting more export credits than at present, gram has been marked. In 1948, the value of and Canadian exports are largely of goods not Canadian exports to the US increased 45 per- easily marketed in Latin America. cent and the value of imports from the US The following table demonstrates the effec- was reduced 9 percent. Canada's exchange tiveness by the end of 1948 of the govern- position was further aided by the expenditure ment's trade policy: of ECA dollars in Canada to the amount of nearly $600 million in 1948. Canadian hold- ings of gold and US dollars increased by De- CANADIAN TRADE cember 1948 to $998 million (including a $150 Trade with the US, UK, and other countries million US loan), more than double such hold- as a percentage of total Canadian for- ings a year previous. eign trade (based on dollar value) The Canadian-UK trade pattern has also been readjusted since the war. In spite of Exports (%)* Imports (%) ECA aid and a Canadian loan, Britain's dollar difficulties have precluded as high a level of buying in Canada as formerly, especially since alternative supplies have become available to 1998 the UK in the sterling area. British bulk pur- US 37 39 50 61 77 69 chase contracts for agricultural commodities UK 37 28 23 18 7 11 have been cut in variety as well as in quantity Other of products purchased. The effects of this countries 26 33 27 21 16 20 curtailment in British buying have been felt Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 by segments of the Canadian economy, and the Canadian Government is attempting to *Includes re-exports. bring UK-Canadian trade nearer to a balance by encouraging increased importation of UK Sharply increased exports to the US and de- products. Failure in some cases of the UK creased imports from the US in 1948 reduced to $283.6 million the deficit in the trade bal- to deliver (e.g., in the case of textile orders), ance with the US compared to $981.1 million plus consumer resistance to high UK prices in in 1947. The reverse trend was evident in many lines as a buyer's market approaches, 1948 Canadian-UK trade with decreased ex- have made this readjustment somewhat diffi- ports and increased imports, and the surplus cult, but progress is being made. (See Table with the UK was $389.2 million compared with below.) In 1946 Canada made a loan of $1,250 $564.3 million in 1947. million to the UK to stimulate purchases. By April 1948, Canada found it necessary to Canada's foreign trade position deterio- rated in the first six months of 1949. The freeze the balance of $235 million of this loan over-all surplus from merchandise trade is remaining to be drawn; in January 1949, this considerably lower than in the comparable unused portion was unfrozen with the provi- 1948 period, largely owing to a rise in imports sion that $10 million could be drawn monthly. from the US. This growing trade deficit with SECRET

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    "ocrText": "SECRET\n35\nand the necessity of financing Canadian ex-\nSince Canada is dependent on imports from\nports to Europe largely on credit, compelled\nthe US, Canada has no choice under present\nCanada to take emergency action to build up\npayments difficulties but to increase its de-\nthe dwindling reserves of US dollars. There-\npendence on the US market. It is recognized\nfore in November 1947 the Canadian Govern-\nthat this increases Canada's vulnerability to\nment announced a dollar conservation pro-\neconomic conditions in the US but the neces-\ngram with the twofold purpose of restricting\nsity of balancing trade on a bilateral basis\nexpenditures in US dollars by means of import\noutweighs this consideration. Furthermore,\nrestrictions and exchange controls, and of in-\nthe government feels that Canada cannot af-\ncreasing earnings of US dollars by expanding\nford additional aid to European nations by\nexports to the US. The success of this pro-\ngranting more export credits than at present,\ngram has been marked. In 1948, the value of\nand Canadian exports are largely of goods not\nCanadian exports to the US increased 45 per-\neasily marketed in Latin America.\ncent and the value of imports from the US\nThe following table demonstrates the effec-\nwas reduced 9 percent. Canada's exchange\ntiveness by the end of 1948 of the govern-\nposition was further aided by the expenditure\nment's trade policy:\nof ECA dollars in Canada to the amount of\nnearly $600 million in 1948. Canadian hold-\nings of gold and US dollars increased by De-\nCANADIAN TRADE\ncember 1948 to $998 million (including a $150\nTrade with the US, UK, and other countries\nmillion US loan), more than double such hold-\nas a percentage of total Canadian for-\nings a year previous.\neign trade (based on dollar value)\nThe Canadian-UK trade pattern has also\nbeen readjusted since the war. In spite of\nExports (%)*\nImports (%)\nECA aid and a Canadian loan, Britain's dollar\ndifficulties have precluded as high a level of\nbuying in Canada as formerly, especially since\nalternative supplies have become available to\n1998\nthe UK in the sterling area. British bulk pur-\nUS\n37\n39\n50\n61\n77\n69\nchase contracts for agricultural commodities\nUK\n37\n28\n23\n18\n7\n11\nhave been cut in variety as well as in quantity\nOther\nof products purchased. The effects of this\ncountries\n26\n33\n27\n21\n16\n20\ncurtailment in British buying have been felt\nTotal\n100\n100\n100\n100\n100\n100\nby segments of the Canadian economy, and\nthe Canadian Government is attempting to\n*Includes re-exports.\nbring UK-Canadian trade nearer to a balance\nby encouraging increased importation of UK\nSharply increased exports to the US and de-\nproducts. Failure in some cases of the UK\ncreased imports from the US in 1948 reduced\nto $283.6 million the deficit in the trade bal-\nto deliver (e.g., in the case of textile orders),\nance with the US compared to $981.1 million\nplus consumer resistance to high UK prices in\nin 1947. The reverse trend was evident in\nmany lines as a buyer's market approaches,\n1948 Canadian-UK trade with decreased ex-\nhave made this readjustment somewhat diffi-\nports and increased imports, and the surplus\ncult, but progress is being made. (See Table\nwith the UK was $389.2 million compared with\nbelow.) In 1946 Canada made a loan of $1,250\n$564.3 million in 1947.\nmillion to the UK to stimulate purchases. By\nApril 1948, Canada found it necessary to\nCanada's foreign trade position deterio-\nrated in the first six months of 1949. The\nfreeze the balance of $235 million of this loan\nover-all surplus from merchandise trade is\nremaining to be drawn; in January 1949, this\nconsiderably lower than in the comparable\nunused portion was unfrozen with the provi-\n1948 period, largely owing to a rise in imports\nsion that $10 million could be drawn monthly.\nfrom the US. This growing trade deficit with\nSECRET"
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