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OCR Page 1 of 87-2-
K: I would guess after the next troop deployment, but they might just
drive on in March. They may start attacking with the forces they have
but I think your assessment if they do it in their normal way one would
have to say about April-May. 60 to 90 days lead time. I must say if they
are going we are not going to be better off later on.
N: I would rather hit them now.
K: The earlier they attack the greater the confession how weak they
really are.
N: Is Haig back?
K: He will be back on Sunday night and we will get a judgment Monday or
Tuesday from him.
N: What has be been reporting?
K: He hasn't been too explicit. He just says he is getting a full study.
He visited every regiment of the ARVN, and is going to give us a pretty
cold-eyed assessment. I had a talk with Laird this morning about that
meeting next week -- the one we discussed yesterday -- Laird said he
isn't much in favor of hitting the north and we ought to do what Abrams
recommends -- just to hit more in the south. I am concerned about
this metamorphosis of Abrams views and Abrams may think he is going
to become the next Chairman of the Joint Chiefs.
N: I tell you right now it is going to be Moorer. The Navy guy.
We
settled that.
K: May I ask Laird to give you two or three names?
N: Yes, I want to make the decision soon. I can't believe Abrams is
against hitting the north.
K: He didn't ring true when he talked to you. I remember how upset
he was on the flight to Bangkok and Saigon when you were talking troop
withdrawals and how nonchalant he was when you talked a few months
later. I would feel more comfortable if he still holds that view after
the Chairmanship is settled. He seemed to me to take troop withdrawals
a little too easily in that conversation. When you said cross to Cambodia
he said no I wouldn't want to do that. I don't know what has caused him
to change. Haig incidentally thinks that too. I don't think Laird promised
him anything - it may be in the back of his own mind. And I think the