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    "ocrText": "Page 2\nTELCON\nHAK: An Loc looks 50/50 and Hue hasn't reallystarted yet.\nDK: Do you expect it to before you go off to Moscow?\nHAK Around that time, yes.\nDK: And the outlook is still as you indicated last week. - -\nsome\nuncertainity\nHAK: Yes, but I think the whole ball game is different now.\nBecause of the action the President took. You know the nature\nof panic in SVN is much less. They have to consider much more\nwhat they will do\nDK: And whatever the President's motive was, seems to be working.\nHAK: Yeh, but we don't usually move without careful preparation\nin foreign policy. Yes. It seems to be working.\nDK: They seem to be taking it\nHAK: I wouldn't put it that way-ethat is in the neutral interest.\nnew\nDK: Are the alternate supply routes going to thex very effective\n(inaudible)\nHAK: There are going to be alternate supply the first decision\neveryone has to make is whether they are going to crank up a tremendous\nnew effort. If there is some alternative open to them. That is the\nfirst decision. Because the alternative route couldn't even begin\nto operating for two months. That is a big decision. And then our\njudgment is that they be as effective as the present one.\nTwo million tons came in through Haiphong--300, came on the\nrailways. Now I don't care how you calculate theoretical capacity,\nthat is a tremendous amount of stuff to re-route.\nDK: 2 million a year? That would be mostly petroleum wouldn't it\nHAK: No about 1/3 petroleum; secondly we are knocking down these\nbridges. Thirdly, even when we were bombing Haiphong, they\nmade no effort to re-route it in previous Administration, although\nthen they W&X were a little less dependent on this stuff. But of course\nthey can make it up to some extent, but it depends if it is really in\nthe Soviet and Chinese interest to keep this war going at all costs."
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