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This file contains:
Draft note re: planning for next series of rolling wave questions with attached copy of report of 9/30-10/01 poll results. Copy of Williamsburg Inn menu with handwritten notes of meeting. 6 pages. [Report], n.d.
Memo from Ellsworth to Haldeman/Finch re: Texas poll results. Not released due to unfavorable results for Texas gubernatorial race.Note that communication with New York office is terrible. 2 pages. [Memo], 10/3/1968
Report of Californa state polling comparison to 2 weeks ago. 1 page. [Report], 10/6/1968
Report of election simulation based on Gallup poll dated 09/20-09/22, by state, with breakdown of electoral votes. 3 pages. [Report], 10/6/1968
Report of 1968 Electoral vote projection as of late September with notes. 5 pages. [Report], n.d
Report of instant research results for period ending September 30. 7 pages. [Report], n.d.
Report of switches in voting preference July-September 1968, Michigan. 5 pages. [Report], n.d.
Report of switches in voting preference July-September 1968, Ohio. 5 pages. [Report], n.d.
Report of switches in voting preference July-September 1968, Missouri. 5 pages. [Report], n.d.
Report of results of Harris and Gallup polls showing Wallace trend in select southern and non-southern states. 1 page. [Report], n.d.
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26126971
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WHSF: Returned, 36-14
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WHSF: Returned, 36-14
description
This file contains:
Draft note re: planning for next series of rolling wave questions with attached copy of report of 9/30-10/01 poll results. Copy of Williamsburg Inn menu with handwritten notes of meeting. 6 pages. [Report], n.d.
Memo from Ellsworth to Haldeman/Finch re: Texas poll results. Not released due to unfavorable results for Texas gubernatorial race.Note that communication with New York office is terrible. 2 pages. [Memo], 10/3/1968
Report of Californa state polling comparison to 2 weeks ago. 1 page. [Report], 10/6/1968
Report of election simulation based on Gallup poll dated 09/20-09/22, by state, with breakdown of electoral votes. 3 pages. [Report], 10/6/1968
Report of 1968 Electoral vote projection as of late September with notes. 5 pages. [Report], n.d
Report of instant research results for period ending September 30. 7 pages. [Report], n.d.
Report of switches in voting preference July-September 1968, Michigan. 5 pages. [Report], n.d.
Report of switches in voting preference July-September 1968, Ohio. 5 pages. [Report], n.d.
Report of switches in voting preference July-September 1968, Missouri. 5 pages. [Report], n.d.
Report of results of Harris and Gallup polls showing Wallace trend in select southern and non-southern states. 1 page. [Report], n.d.
citationUrl
collections
Richard M. Nixon's Returned Materials Collection
Returned White House Special Files
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Richard Nixon Presidential Library
White House Special Files Collection
Folder List
Box Number
Folder Number
Document Date
Document Type
Document Description
36
14
n.d.
Report
Draft note re: planning for next series of
rolling wave questions with attached copy of
report of 9/30-10/01 poll results. Copy of
Williamsburg Inn menu with handwritten
notes of meeting. 6 pages.
36
14
10/03/1968
Memo
Memo from Ellsworth to Haldeman/Finch re:
Texas poll results. Not released due to
unfavorable results for Texas gubernatorial
race.Note that communication with New
York office is terrible. 2 pages.
36
14
10/06/1968
Report
Report of Californa state polling comparison
to 2 weeks ago. 1 page.
36
14
10/06/1968
Report
Report of election simulation based on
Gallup poll dated 09/20-09/22, by state, with
breakdown of electoral votes. 3 pages.
36
14
n.d
Report
Report of 1968 Electoral vote projection as
of late September with notes. 5 pages.
36
14
n.d.
Report
Report of instant research results for period
ending September 30. 7 pages.
Wednesday, June 17, 2009
Page 1 of 2
Box Number Folder Number Document Date
Document Type
Document Description
36
14
n.d.
Report
Report of switches in voting preference July-
September 1968, Michigan. 5 pages.
36
14
n.d.
Report
Report of switches in voting preference July-
September 1968, Ohio. 5 pages.
36
14
n.d.
Report
Report of switches in voting preference July-
September 1968, Missouri. 5 pages.
36
14
n.d.
Report
Report of results of Harris and Gallup polls
showing Wallace trend in select southern and
non-southern states. 1 page.
Wednesday, June 17, 2009
Page 2 of 2
Phone
Larry:
file
Daye.
Tomorrow Wednesday morning at 10:00 we put the final touches on
the next series of rolling wave questions. Please feed
in any items to which you would like responses by Friday.
6 (quation
Do you wish a written report on the above item'and if so
where should it be sent?
question
yes
No
Also - - FYI whitney young in in
Rm. 2131
Bab -
No
Do you have any additional
items you want covered for next wave
of attended questions
or do you want written analysis
No
September 30/October 1.
This report is based upon 1,230 responses from
a random probability sample in 9 northern battleground
states during the period 26-29 September (California,
Missouri, Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsyl-
vania, New York, New Jersey). This yields a sampling
error of plus or minus 3 per cent.
(1) I'm going to read you several possible actions
the U.S. could take in regard to Vietnam. For each one
please tell me whether you would be for or against this
type of action.
(a) The U.S. should try to get more troops
from other nations to help in the fighting in Vietnam.
For: 76%; Against: 18%; No opinion: 6%.
(b) The U.S. should continue to bomb military
targets in North Vietnam. Agree: 64%; Against 21%;
No opinion: 15%.
(c) We should use our Navy to close the port
of Haiphong. For: 45%; Against: 21%; No opinion: 34%.
(d) We should send more of our own ground troops
to fight in South Vietnam. For: 15%; Against: 74%;
No opinion: 11%.
-2-
(e) The U.S. should withdraw all of its troops
from Vietnam immediately. For: 19%; Against: 71%;
No opinion: 10%.
(f) We should set up a new government in Vietnam
that includes Communists representatives. For 21%;
Against: 55%; No opinion: 24%.
(g) We should use atomic bombs to end the war
in Vietnam quickly. For: 10%; Against: 80%; No opinion: 10%.
(2) In your opinion are the Paris negotiations between
the U. S. and North Vietnam going to bring the war in Vietnam
to an end or not. Yes: 15%; No: 66%; No opinion: 19%.
(3) After the election, do you think there should or
should not be a summit meeting between our new President and
the Russian leaders. Should be : 69%; Should not be: 16%;
No opinion: 15%.
(4) Who do you think would do a better job of dealing
with Russia at such a summit meeting, Hubert Humphrey or
Richard Nixon. HHH: 15%; RN: 43%; No difference: 4%; neither: 6%.
No opinion: 21%.
(5) Right now as you understand it are we ahead or
behind Russian is space achievements? Ahead: 16%; Behind: 67%;
No opinion: 17%.
Williamstrong Inn
BOX LUNCHES
(Order Through Room Service)
$1.85
Choice of one of these sandwiches:
Beef
Sliced Chicken
Ham
Chicken Salad
Egg Salad
And one of these:
Peanut Butter and Jelly
Peanut Butter and Honey
American Cheese
Cream Cheese and Jelly or Nut
*
Fresh Fruit
Hard Boiled Egg
Celery and Pickles
Cake
Salt and Pepper
$2.25
Choice of two of these sandwiches:
Beef
Sliced Chicken
Ham
Chicken Salad
Egg Salad
*
Fresh Fruit
Hard Boiled Egg
Celery and Pickles
Cake
Salt and Pepper
$2.50
Fried Chicken (Half) or Chicken Salad
Hard Boiled Egg
Celery and Pickles
Fresh Fruit
Cake
Bread and Butter Sandwiches
Salt and Pepper
Do you have your thermos? We will gladly fill it with Hot or Iced
Coffee or Tea. No Extra Charge.
A Special Service for Picnickers and Travelers
FLX
?
1, When Brooke mtg of Negro
leader
- Tabled to RN of lan
2. Col Day.
Volpe to cltaber -Am Dinn.
flom Volpe,Julie,
Did Moore Staff
Dallar - Mdt Place
18,000 mated of 10,000
Sm 1 9,000
Call fein Joner.
Hannlgan RN want Romey to
Hat Wallace
-3-
(6) Compared to the space efforts of Russia, have the
space efforts of the U.S. increased, decreased, or stayed
about the same during the Johnson Administration. Increased: 23%;
Decreased: 20%; Stayed the same: 43%; No opinion: 14%.
(7) Some people say that since Hubert Humphrey was
Vice President with the Johnson Adminiistration he should share
the blame for any mistakes that were made. Do you agree or
disagree. Agree: 24%; Disagree: 69%; No opinion: 8%.
(This was a very partisan response, with Democrats heavily
disagreeing and Republicans heavily agreeing.)
Note: In wave 2 the following item was asked: "Hubert
Humphrey should not be held responsible for mistakes of the
Johnson Administration. Do you agree or disagree?" Agree: 66%;
Disagree: 26%; No opinion: 8%.
The conclusion from this question asked in two forms
is that a general attack on Humphrey for his relationship
with Johnson is undesirable. The relationship should be left
to the imagination without a direct attack by the candidate.
October 3, 1968
MEMORANDUM
Fale
TO:
haldeman
Finch
FROM: Ellsworth
RE:
Texas
Texas state organization has received results of
poll done by Merrill-Wirthland pollsters operating out of
Arizona, the organization used by the Republicans in Texas
to do their polling.
Following is the results of the field work done
September 23-29, compared with the same organization's poll
of 4 months ago:
End of Sept.
End of May
Nixon
34
30
Humphrey
27
32
Wallace
22
20
Undecided
17
18
The Texas people are not releasing this because
the pollsters will not authorize it on a partial basis --
and the Texas people do not want the results of their
Governor situation made public. It is pretty bad as follows:
Democrat Preston Smith
45
Republican Paul Eggers
22
Undecided
33
NB: Also, Albert Fay reports that the Nixon campaign
in Texas is now fully funded.
-2-
He also reports that he has a terrible time
communicating with New York.
The State Poll (California) -- October ; 6, 1968
Pollu
September 28-29
2 weeks ago
Nixon
44
43
Humphrey
33
34
Wallace
7
7
Cleaver
2
1
Don't Know
14
15
How strongly do you feel about your choice?
Nixon
Humphrey
Wallace
Cleaver
Ver y strongly
59
49
47
25
Somewhat strongly
22
27
34
42
Not very strongly
19
24
18
33
Don't know
0
0
1
0
Reps.
Dems.
Others
Nixon
78
18
42
Humphrey
7
52
2
Wallace
5
9
13
Cleaver
0
3
18
Don't Know
10
18
25
Humphrey supporters indicate stronger commitment compared to their
responses in the previous survey. Marginal weakening of commitment
to Nixon. Wallace supporters less strongly committed. Humphrey
trails Nixon by less in Northern California than in Southern California.
Wallace now received heavier support. in Northern California than
the South.
Anderson - 10/t/68
1968 Presidential Election Simulation based on Gallup Poll
(September 20-22)
(by A. Greenspan)
fold
(Estimated Vote)
STATE
NIXON
HUMPHREY
WALLACE
OTHER
NIXON MARGIN
Alabama
21
17
55
7
-34
*Alaska
51
37
7
5
+14
*Arizona
53
28
14
5
+25
Arkansas
27
23
42
8
-15
*California
46
32
17
5
+14
*Colorado
46
35
14
5
+11
*Connecticut
44
34
12
10
+10
*Delaware
41
25
25
9
+16
District of
Columbia
22
53
15
10
-31
*Florida
38
21
34
7
+4
Georgia
24
22
46
8
-22
Hawaii
43
45
7
5
- 2
*Idaho
49
28
18
5
+21
*Illinois
51
25
16
8
+26
*Indiana
48
22
23
7
+25
*Iowa
57
26
9
8
+31
*Kansas
62
22
8
8
+40
*Kentucky
42
27
23
8
+15
Louisiana
19
21
53
7
-34
*Maine
58
26
6
10
+32
*Maryland
36
27
28
9
+ 8
- 2 -
STATE
NIXON
HUMPHREY
WALLACE
OTHER
NIXON MARGIN
*Massachusetts
40
39
11
10
+ 1
*Michigan
48
28
16
8
+20
*Minnesota
52
33
7
8
+19
Mississippi
13
15
65
7
-52
*Missouri
47
25
21
7
+22
*Montana
48
38
9
5
+10
*Nebraska
64
17
11
8
1/7
*Nevada
46
35
14
5
+11
*New Hampshire
54
29
7
10
+25
*New Jersey
42
28
20
10
+14
*New Mexico
44
37
14
5
+ 7
*New York
41
34
15
10
+7
North Carolina
34
22
37
7
- .3 -
*North Dakota
62
24
6
8
+42
*Ohio
49
24
19
8
+25
*Oklahoma
45
24
23
8
+21
*Oregon
48
35
12
5
+13
*Pennsylvania
40
30
20
10
+10
Rhode Island
39
42
9
10
- 3
South Carolina
28
21
44
7
-16
*South Dakota
65
21
6
8
+44
*Tennessee
37
21
35
7
+ 2
Texas
37
26
30
7
+ 7
*Utah
49
32
14
5
+17
*Vermont
60
25
5
10
+35
- 3 -
STATE
NIXON
HUMPHREY
WALLACE
OTHER
NIXON MARGIN
*Virginia
37
26
30
7
+7
*Washington
45
41
9
5
+ 4
*West Virginia
38
32
20
10
+6
*Wisconsin
52
26
15
7
+26
*Wyoming
49
32
14
5
+27
U.S.
43
28
21
8
+15
Electoral Votes
Nixon
461
Humphrey
11
Wallace
66
Bob
Thus
1968 ELECTORAL VOTE PROJECTION
(as of late September)
have
NIXON
HUMPHREY
WALLACE
3 Alaska
3 Nevada
3 D.C.
10 Alabama
5 Arizona
4 New Hampshire
7 Mississippi
40 California
4 New Mexico
6 Colorado
4 North Dakota
8 Connecticut
6 Oregon
4 Idaho
29 Pennsylvania
Fairly Safe
26 Illinois
4 South Dakota
9 Iowa
4 Utah
7 Kansas
3 Vermont
21 Michigan
9 Washington
4 Montana
3 Wyoming
5 Nebraska
(211)
(3)
(17)
3 Delaware
43 New York
4 Hawaii
6 Arkansas
14 Florida
26 Ohio
14 Massachusetts
12 Georgia
13 Indiana
8 Oklahoma
10 Minnesota
10 Louisiana
9 Kentucky
12 Virginia
12 Missouri
13 North Carolina
Close
4 Maine
7 West Virginia
4. Rhode Island
11 Tennessee
10 Maryland
12 Wisconsin
8 South Carolina
17 New Jersey
25 Texas
(178)
(77)
(52)
TOTAL
389
80
69
Method: The allocation of states to the three Presidential candidates is based on an analysis of polling data
not on so-called expert opinion or intuitive judgement. There are two main sources of information that have bee
used: 1. Various trial-heat state polls by Opinion Research Corporation, as well as available data from other OF
ganizations. 2. Projections to individual states of the most recent regional trial-heat data. These region-to-
state projections are given substantial weight when the state and regional results have maintained a consistent
pattern in Presidential elections from 1948 to 1964. When the state-to-region pattern of results has been mixed or
erratic, less weight is given to such projections. When both trial heat polls and regional projections are avail
able, estimates are based on a judgement as to which is more reliable.
Opinion Research Corporation
Princeton, New Jersey
EXPLANATORY NOTES
Regional results are based on Gallup Poll results for early
September, and major-party voting patterns in the 1948 through
1964 Presidential elections
States are judged according to the consistency of the rela-
tionship between the vote for the Republican candidate in that
state, and in the region as a whole.
Stable relationships are of two types:
a) states in which the Republican candidate con-
sistently received approximately the same level
of support in the state as in the region;
b) states in which the Republican candidate has
received higher, or lower, support in the state
than in the region -- but the difference be-
tween the state and the region has been highly
consistent for each election.
Regional projections not marked "stable" are those for states
which have exhibited a somewhat mixed pattern of results, when
comparing state and regional voting behavior.
State poll results: Results based on ORC surveys are marked as
such (ORC). Other poll results (unless marked fragmentary) are
believed to be based on relatively recent statewide surveys.
Fragmentary results are those of unknown origin or date.
EAST
Connecticut
Stable regional projection
Delaware
Weighted composite of state poll
(ORC) and regional projection*
District of Columbia
Estimate based on 1964 vote and
fragmentary poll information
Maine
Regional projection
Maryland
Stable regional projection, con-
sistent with fragmentary poll
information
DETERMINED TO BE AN
ADMINISTRATIVE MARKING
Confidential
E.O. 12356 Section 1.1
By
RJP
NARS, Date
4/6/87
- 2 -
EAST (Cont.)
Massachusetts
Regional projection
New Hampshire
Stable regional projection
New Jersey
State poll (ORC) consistent with
stable regional projection
New York
State poll (ORC) consistent with
stable regional projection
Pennsylvania
State poll (ORC) consistent with
regional projection
Rhode Island
Regional projection
Vermont
Regional projection
West Virginia
Regional projection
MIDWEST
Illinois
State poll (ORC) consistent with
stable regional projection
Indiana
State poll consistent with stable
regional projection
Iowa
Regional projection
Kansas
Stable regional projection
Michigan
State poll (ORC) consistent with
regional projection
Minnesota
State poll; Humphrey home state**
Missouri
State poll (ORC)*
Nebraska
Stable regional projection
North Dakota
Regional projection
Ohio
Weighted composite of state poll
(ORC) and stable regional projection
South Dakota
Regional projection consistent
with fragmentary poll results
Wisconsin
State poll (ORC) consistent with
stable regional projection
Confidential
- 3
SOUTH
Alabama
Wallace home state**
Arkansas
Past regional results suggest
close to toss-up
Florida
State poll (ORC) consistent with
regional projection
Georgia
Past regional results suggest
close to toss-up
Kentucky
Fragmentary state poll results
consistent with regional projection
Louisiana
Past regional results suggest
close to toss-up
Mississippi
Racial issues suggest heavy
Wallace support**
North Carolina
State poll (ORC)**
Oklahoma
State poll consistent with regional
projection
South Carolina
State poll (ORC)**
Tennessee
State poll (ORC)+
Texas
State poll (ORC) consistent with
regional projection
Virginia
State poll (ORC) consistent with
regional projection
WEST
Alaska
Regional projection
Arizona
Regional projection
California
State poll (ORC) consistent with
stable regional projection
Colorado
Regional projection
Hawaii
Regional projection
Idaho
State poll consistent with regional
projection
Confidential
- 4 -
WEST (Cont.)
Montana
Stable regional projection
Nevada
Stable regional projection
New Mexico
Stable regional projection
Oregon
State poll consistent with regional
projection
Utah
State poll consistent with regional
projection
Washington
Stable regional projection
Wyoming
Stable regional projection
*
Regional projections for these states are somewhat incon-
sistent with available state poll results.
**
Regional projections have not been used for these states
because of highly erratic relationships to regional voting
patterns, or because of special circumstances of the 1968
contest.
Confidential
Instant Research Results for the Period Ending September 30
Background
The findings following are based on telephone interviews with
a random sampling of 1,469 voters in California, Illinois,
Michigan, Missouri, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York,
and Wisconsin. The interviewing was started on September 20
and interrupted for three state trial heat surveys and then
started up again for the period September 27-30. Sampling
error is + 3 percentage points.
Summary of Findings
1. Favorability of Candidates
There is little marked change in the balance of favora-
bility toward the three candidates. There are somewhat
fewer voters saying they are "more favorable" toward
Richard Nixon than in the survey done two weeks earlier --
31% compared to 39%. A larger number say their opinion
is the "same as before" -- 46% compared to 37%.
As for Humphrey and Wallace, the data are virtually the
same as in the survey two weeks earlier. More say their
opinion of Humphrey is less favorable (32%) than say it
is more favorable (17%). In the case of Wallace, there
are about equal numbers in both categories -- 21% more
favorable, 24% less favorable.
2. Campaign Visibility
All three campaigns have increased in visibility since
mid-September. The sharpest gain, however, has been
registered by the Nixon/Agnew campaign.
Have heard most about
TV
Sept. 30 Sept. 18
Nixon/Agnew
71%
58%
Humphrey/Muskie
56
50
Wallace
35
26
No opinion
10
16
3. Issues
Vietnam (68%) remains the overriding issue of most impor-
tance in the minds of voters. Next most frequently men-
tioned are civil rights (29%), crime and violence (22%),
riots/civil disorder (18%), taxes and economic problems
(18%).
4. Possible Summit Meeting
A sizable majority (68%) think the new President should
meet at the summit with Russian leaders. When asked
whether Humphrey or Nixon would do a better job, Nixon
gets the choice -- 43% to 27% for Humphrey.
5. Vietnam Policy
In a series of tests of possible U. S. action in Vietnam,
voters express themselves against withdrawal and for con-
tinuation of the bombing of military targets.
For
Against
More troops from other nations to
help in Vietnam
75%
Continued bombing of military targets
64%
Closing the port of Haiphong
48%
More U. S. ground troops in Vietnam
74%
Withdrawal of all troops immediately
73%
Vietnam government that includes
Communists
56%
Atomic bombs to end the Vietnam war
81%
Two-thirds of the voters are skeptical of the Paris peace
negotiations, do not think they will end the war.
6. Fortas Nomination
The rejection of the Fortas nomination is more or less
in keeping with the balance of opinion among the minority
who expressed an opinion. As many as a third had heard
or read nothing about the case. Only 19% express them-
selves in favor of Fortas as Chief Justice; 28% against;
53% had no opinion. Two-thirds agree that the appoint-
ment of a new Chief Justice should wait upon the newly
elected President.
Among the minorities who had an opinion on where the can-
didates stood regarding the Fortas nomination, Humphrey
was thought to be for it 35% to 3%; Nixon against it 25%
to 6%.
7. U. S. VS. Russia in Space
A large majority (64%) feel we are behind Russia in space
achievements. There is disagreement as to how the balance
between the U. S. and Russia has changed during the Johnson
Administration.
"Compared to the space efforts of Russia, have
the space efforts of the United States increased,
decreased, or stayed about the same during the
Johnson Administration?"
Increased
23%
Decreased
21
Stayed the same
43
No opinion
13
8. Humphrey Responsibility for Johnson Administration Errors
A majority disagree with the idea that Humphrey should
share the blame for mistakes of the Johnson Administration.
In the September Wave II study, the same question was
asked from a different standpoint and virtually the same
result came out. Thus, whether stated positively or
negatively, voters reject the argument that Humphrey is
to blame for Johnson Administration errors.
Telephne 199-A Sample
STATE:
(No.3)
RESPONDENT'S PHONE NUMBER:
9/20 to 9/30
INTERVIEWER:
DATE:
LENGTH OF INTERVIEW:
MINUTES
1468 rates
OPINION SURVEY
9 States
I'm
and I'm working on a political survey being made for
Opinion Research Corporation in Princeton, New Jersey. This will only take a few minutes,
and I would very much like to have your views.
1. As you know, in November of this year there
1 VERY SURE
will be an election for President of the
2 FAIRLY SURE
United States. How sure are you that you
3
PROBABLY WON'T VOTE
will be voting -- very sure, fairly sure, or
4 DON'T KNOW
probably won't you vote?
DISCONTINUE INTERVIEW
2. If the Presidential election were being held
1. NIXON/AGNEW
today, which candidates would you vote for --
2 HUMPHREY/MUSKIE
the Republican candidates Nixon and Agnew,
3 WALLACE/GRIFFIN
the Democratic candidates Humphrey and Muskie,
4 UNDECIDED
or the Third Party candidates Wallace and
Griffin?
(IF "UNDECIDED" ON Q. 2, ASK):
3. As of today, do you lean more toward
1 NIXON/AGNEW
Nixon/Agnew, Humphrey/Muskie or Wallace/
2 HUMPHREY/MUSKIE
Griffin?
3 WALLACE/GRIFFIN
FAVO CABILITY TOWARD CANDIDATES
4 UNDECIDED 9-15429/18
4. Within the past few weeks, has your opinion
31 1 MORE FAVORABLE 34
of Richard Nixon become more favorable or
16 2 LESS FAVORABLE 15
less favorable than it was before?
46 3 SAME AS BEFORE 37
7 4 NO OPINION 9
5. Within the past few weeks, has your opinion
171 MORE FAVORABLE 16
of Hubert Humphrey become more favorable or
322 LESS FAVORABLE 37
less favorable than it was before?
42 3 SAME AS BEFORE 35
9 4 NO OPINION 12
6. Within the past few weeks, has your opinion
211 MORE FAVORABLE 22
of George Wallace become more favorable or
24 2 LESS FAVORABLE 22
less favorable than it was before?
253 3 SAME AS BEFORE 29
27 4 NO OPINION 27
ISSUES
7. What, in your opinion, are some of the most important problems facing the country today?
68 Vietnam
18 Reots, Emil disnde,
29 Curl Rights
18 Taply, lemmic problems
22 Crime & violine
10 Ponerty, porr peage
3 Scholes
4 freign policy (general)
2 simistre 18sue, (general)
--2
CAMPAIGN VISIBILIT "
9/15-9/18
8.
In the presidential campaigns so far, which
7/1 NIXON/AGNEW
58
side have you been hearing the most about -
562 HUMPHREY/MUSKIE se
the Nixon/Agnew side, the Humphrey/Muskie side,
353 WALLACE
26
or the Wallace side?
104 NO OPINION
16
Summir MEET INC
9.
After the election, do you think there should
68'₁ SHOULD BE SUMMIT MEETING
or should not be a summit meeting between our
17? SHOULD NOT BE SUMMIT MEETING
new President and the Russian leaders?
153 NO OPINION
10. Who do you think would do a better job of
271 HUMPHREY
dealing with Russia at such a summit meeting
43 2 NIXON
Humphrey or Nixon?
4 3 NO DIFFERENCE
64 NEITHER
20 5 NO OPINION
VIETNAH Tobley
11. I'm going to read you several possible actions that the United States could take in
regard to Vietnam. For each one, please tell me whether you would be for or
against this type of action.
FOR AGAINST NO OPINION
a. The United States should try to get more troops
from other nations to help in the fighting in
Vietnam.
75
1
182
73
b. The United States should continue to bomb
military targets in North Vietnam.
64
1
222
143
C. We should use our Navy to close the port of
Haiphong.
48 1 202 323
d. We should send more of our own ground troops to
fight in South Vietnam.
15 1 742
11 3
e. The United States should withdraw all its troops
from Vietnam immediately.
191
732
8
f. We should set up a new government in Vietnam that
includes Communist representatives.
221
1
56 ₂
2
223
g. We should use atomic bombs to end the war in
Vietnam quickly.
1/1
8/2
8/3
12. In your opinion, are the Paris negotiations
17, 1 BRING WAR TO END
between the United States and North Vietnam
652 NOT BRING WAR TO END
going to bring the war in Vietnam to an end
183 3 NO OPINION
or not?
3
FORTAS NOMINATION
13. Have you heard or read anything about Abe Fortas
671 YES
being nominated for Chief Justice of the Supreme
33 NO
Court?
14. Do you think Abe Fortas should be made Chief
19 1 YES
Justice of the Supreme Court or not?
282 NO
533 NO OPINION
15. Some Senators are supporting Fortas as Chief Justice, and some are against him.
What do you think are the main points against Fortas?
9 Too close relationship with Johnson
4 Tuming of appointment, 2nd Pres. thared deads
4 He's Too liberal
3. anti Senutis, his Jewish
3 His stand an prography 9 Mscine Westere
3 A political issue
5 Unformoble (gential - etc)
3. His meddling politics
3. man of fulstinable honor.
16. Some people say the appointment of a new Chief
641 AGREE
Justice should wait until after the November election
252 DISAGREE
so the new President can make his own choice. Do
113 NO OPINION
you agree or disagree with this?
17. Some Senators say they are going to block Fortas by a
27 l APPROVE
filibuster, that is, a continuous debate. Do you
47 2 DISAPPROVE
approve or disapprove of Senators doing this?
26 3 NO OPINION
18. As you understand it, is Hubert Humphrey for or
35 1 FOR
against the appointment of Fortas?
32 2 AGAINST
623 DON'T KNOW
19. As you understand it, is Richard Nixon for or
61 FOR
against the appointment of Fortas?
252 AGAINST
69 3 DON'T KNOW
us is TUSSIA us SPACE
20. Right now, as you understand it, are we ahead or
181 AHEAD
behind Russia in space achievements?
64 ? 2 BEHIND
183 3 NO OPINION
21. Compared to the space efforts of Russia, have
231 INCREASED
the space efforts of the United States increased,
21 2 DECREASED
decreased, or stayed about the same during the
43 3 STAYED THE SAME
Johnson Administration?
13 4 NO OPINION
HUMPHREY RESPONSIBILITY FOR Johnson NISTAKES ---4
22. Some people say that since Hubert Humphrey was 24, AGREE
Vice President with the Johnson Administration,
68 2 DISAGREE
he should share the blame for any mistakes
that were made. Do you agree or disagree?
8 3 NO OPINION
23. In politics as of today, do you consider
35 1 DEMOCRAT
yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an
26 2 REPUBLICAN
Independent, or what?
3 INDEPENDENT
/ 4 OTHER
(Specify)
4 5 UNDECIDED
(IF "INDEPENDENT" ON Q. 23, ASK):
K
24. To which party -- Republican or
131 REPUBLICAN
Democrat do you lean?
112 DEMOCRAT
3 NEITHER
25. What is your age, please?
26. Sex: 1 MAN
1 21 - 25 YEARS
2 WOMAN
2 26 - 29 YEARS
3 30 - 39 YEARS
4 40 - 49 YEARS
5 50 - 59 YEARS
6 60 -- 64 YEARS
7 65 YEARS AND OVER
THANK YOU VERY MUCH!
SWITCHES IN VOTING PREFERENCE. JULY-SEPTEMBER 1968
MICHIGAN (39%)
1
NIXON
HUMPHREY
5
To
13
To
4
Away from
7
6
2
Away from 15
Net change 6%
UNDECIDED
Net change ± - 11%
4 =
7
To
14
Away from 11
Net change ++3%
NY
r
3
of
I
+
3
3
3
WALLACE
To
8
Away from 6
Net change = +2%
MICHIGAN.
ALL VOTERS
/. WHO WILL MN.
RMN - 52
HH - 21
on - 5
DK. - 22
2. Issu ES: RMN the
COST LIVING +21
NETNAM +18 + 18
CRIME CRIME/VIOL. /VIOL.
+12
( F130 m EW
GNT. SPaND.
+ 28
U.S. Rez.
+12
POVERN
-13 +10 ( GW 4 PTS OVER Rowal
RIOTS
MIVOR GP
-11
TAXES
+22
MIL. STRENGTH +13
-16
UNITIVE Country +18
PROSPEROUS. +10
3. MIL POWER
INCK 32 IDSCR 16
AHSAD 40 : BEHIND 20
4.HH RESP? 71 AGR20:
5. Din PARTY TOO DIVIDSO? 40 Apprr: 46DISAM.
6. TIME for CHANGE: Yss 56 : N0 36 .
CHAR. of CHANGERS TO "UNDERIDED." Mien.
1. SEY - - WOMEN +
2. RACE- NO.
3. PARTY -INDEP. (D 29-R15)
4. 5000- - 9899.
5. UNION - NO.
6. 21-25
7. EDUC- - LOWEST.
8. UR - NO,
9. PARTY I.D. -(See 3).
MICHISAN ALL willo SHITOO to "UNDECIDED" BEST HAND,
RMN HIH
GW
NO Dr No Dr.
C.R.
VIST
CRIME
26
22
GIT SPAND
us RSL,
Porgany
18
16
11
RIOTS.
V
Mini GPS.
1
TAXES
MIL. STR.
sauns
UNITING
23
25
PROSP.
V
MICHIGAN.
NATURE as
1. PARTY i IND. (SLIGHTLY)
2. EEX' NO Dtf.
3. RACE: NO Drs.
4. AM : No Oif.
5. INCOME: No. DIF,
6. EDUC; NO Drf.
7: v-e: No DHS.
8- - UNION: UMONS 12-5 over NON-UNTIONS.
9- BELIG.: NO.
10. MEDA : LIGHT
11. PREIVA co.: *** NO DIF,
12 PARTY ID: IND.
INO LEAN DEM.
(NVS DSM SOMENHAT),
CONCL: WEAK DEM. ABUSER THAN ware RSP.
SWITCHES IN VOTING PREFERENCE: JULY. SEPTEMBER 196
OHIO (34%)
1
NIXON
HUMPHREY
4
To
10
To
5
Away from
8
4
3
2
Away from 13
\
Net change ± +2% %
Net change ± - 8%
4-D
UNDECIDED
6
&
A
4
To
12
Away from
6
Net change + +6%
N
3
3
3
4
2
A
WALLACE
R
To
7
Away from
7
Net change ± 0%
OHIO.
ALL VOTERS
1. WHO Will win? RMN- 46
HH 30
GW - 5
DK- - 19
2. ISSUES 1-1 RMN.
COST of LIVING.
+18
VIETNAM
+ 9
28
CRIME/MOLENCE.
+1 (3-WAY 712
27
24
Govt. SPENDING.
+23
U.S. REL.
+4
POVERTL/
18
28
RIOTS.
+5 (3-WAY THE
23
24
MINOR. GPS.
14
TAXES.
+18
MIC. STRENGTH.
+2
SLUMS/GHTETTORS
-2/
UNITING country.
+3
PROSPEROUS.
-5
3. M.L. POWER:
INCR. 29, DECR 18,
AHSAO 39, Bethro 25
4. ## SHARD NOT BE How RESP- 72%AARA.
5. DSM. PARTY too DIVIDED - 49% NO.
6. TIME FOR CHAN 66- : Yes 49%, No 41%
Offio. SUMMARY ON ARE WHO SHIFTLD
TO UNDECIDED - BEST HANDLE.
RMN #11 GW No Dif.
C.L.V.
\
VIST.
TIE mm #2
Gort Spare.
U.S. Per.
Polerty.
t72
RIOTS. TIE
Mr. GPS.
1.0
TAXES.
CRARASAN
Min Sra.
Swins.
UNITING.
PROSP.
(PARTISAL)
CHAR. of CHANGERS to "INOCCIDED". OHIO
/. SEY : WOMEN 2-/
2. RACE -NO,
3. PARTY I
4. INCIME - -LOWEST.
5. UNION - -No,
6. Abz : 50 AND OVER
7. EDUC. : LOVIEST
8. U-R: No.
9. PARTY. : nee MORE HEANLY DEMOCRAT,
NATURE of OHIO "UNDECLASD"
1. PARTY- NO DIF.
2. WOMEN 2-1
3. RACE- - NO OH,
4. 21-30 LEAST UNDER. "
65+- MUST
5. Low INCOME.
6. EDUC - NO Drf.
7. O-R- NO Dts.
8. UNION - NO DH.
9. RELIG. - HiGh JEW, MOD. CATH.
10. MEDIA - LIGHT.
11. PREJUDICE. HIGH.
12. INDEPENDENTS.
SWITCHES IN VOTING PREFERENCE: JULY. SEPTEMBER
MISSOURI (36%)
1
NIXON
MUMPHREY
3
To
9
To
6
Away from
6
3
9- -
Away from 13
\
Net change ± +3%
UNDECIDED
Net change + 1 - -7%
/
3
6 -
B
To
13
Away from
9
Net change + 7 +4%
&
2
2
I
+
x
2
4
+
WALLACE
V
To
8
Away from
00
Net change 1-1 0%
Missouri.
ALL VOTERS
1.WHO WILL WIV : RMN 43
HH 32
GW 3
UND. 22
2. ISSUES RMN 1-1
COST LIVING +21
VISTNAM +8
CRIMS /not. +5 (T18: 29-24 23)
Gout. SPEND. +27
U.S. R&R. +4
PNERTY -16 -
RIOTS
+4 (TIS: 28-24-23)
MINOR GPS
-13
TAXES +20
Mic. STRENGTH +6
SLIMA /GHSTrees -19
UNITING COUNTRY +5
PROSPEROUS
TIE RMN 30: HH 30,
3. MIL POWER
INCR 26 : DECK 17
ATTAO 36 : BEHIND 26
4. #HRESP ? 77 APPEE 18DISAMSE.
5. Dsm. WARM too annes? 36 Yes 54No,
6. TIME 700 CHANGE ? 50 YES 42No,
CHAR. of. CHANGERS TO "UNDECIDED" mo.
/. SEX No
2. RACE: No
3. PARTY: LESS REP, MORE IND.
4. INC. : more 10000+
5. UMONiNO.
6. Aor ! No.
7. EDUC. No.
8. U-R : OUTSIDE METRO MCCAS.
9. AARTY: MORE HEAVILY DEM.
NATURE of MISSOURI "UNDECIDED."
1. PARTY :INO:
2.58Y 7 NO
3. RACE : No.
4.A62 : 50-64
5. Income: No
6. EDUC: : NO
7.U-R : OUTSIDE METRO AREAS - -LINGAR 5-10-13
8. UMON : NON-UNION 2-1.
9. RSLIE : No.
10. MEDIA: No.
11. PREJUDICE 1 No.
12. PARTY ID. : SOMEHAT MORE DEM.
missouri
Art WHO SHIFTED 10 "UNDECEDED" Dest. thank
RMN
AH
Gu
C.L.
VIET
17
19
23
(RIME
19
22
23
GOVT. SPEND.
25
21
us RSL
PEVERTY
15
10
18
23
RIOTS
Miv Gos
TAXES
MIL. STR.
Swims
21
16
UNITING
14
19
24
PRISP
the
12'
194
24
-
13
17
16
.
21
Up
WALLACE TERND
md July
Dept 15-18
stable to
FLORIDA
33
33
37
obighthing
July 15
any /
street 15
Dest 20
Dept to
TEXAS
28
27
25
shable <<
23
17
manybe down
Brade 54
Viii
July I
Easy sept
Ag+1 20-23
stable A shiptly
Stable
30
31/-
30
up
to Caso
med July
Eas by Sept
Rept 72
up
20
20
27
ml July
Enshy Segit
late
No Caro
Alaba /-
37
39
33 (a)
shiftly agree
my 7: July
mud any
Mo
15
third 17 dept
state
Del
June
That any
14
72
alexid 9-17
19 (22)
stable
Cali
med July
sing 20
Ill
stable
my July
AM;
5-18
Ind
stable
stogne
sep: =1 pazz
much
mid 13 may
mar 14 any
sopt 15
strongly up
sep; 17 13-16
15(1)
2000 5,
atable
mean
Type
smity sept
they 141-15
stalle
Aduly
NJ
and July
Ear day +
15
up
stable
NY
need July
Early by Dept
stable
7
net 14 July
200 sept
Late tyd
Ohio
16
15
stable
JoDa.
Early Sept
Insupt
11
9
so
down
now July
Early Sept
the Sept.
Acpt 2.5
state
&
Pa
8.
12
10
10
mul $ July
nied, Sent
Dept 15-18
10
stable
051
DI
Nose