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Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection Folder List Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 14 18 9/5/1972 Campaign Memo From: Harry Dent To: H.R. Haldeman RE: 1972 U.S. Congrssional Races. 14 pgs. 14 18 9/6/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Possible Subject for 10am Political Meeting. 1 pg. 14 18 8/15/1972 Campaign Memo From: Peter H. Dailey To: Jeb S. Magruder RE: Advertising Budget. 2 pgs. 14 18 9/6/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: 1972 U.S. Congressional Races. 1 pg. Monday, January 31, 2011 Page 1 of 3 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 14 18 9/6/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Gallup Releases. 1 pg. 14 18 9/6/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Democrats for Nixon Advertisement. 1 pg. 14 18 9/5/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Peter Dailey Meeting Regarding Democrats for Nixon. 1 pg. 14 18 9/5/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Debates between spokesmen. 1 pg. 14 18 8/31/1972 Campaign Memo From: Jeb S. Magruder To: Clark MacGregor RE: Request for Policy Decision on Possible Confrontations. 2 pgs. Monday, January 31, 2011 Page 2 of 3 Box Number Folder Number Document Date No Date Subject Document Type Document Description 14 18 9/5/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: "Life" article on campaign. 1 pg. 14 18 9/1/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Republican Convention Poll Polling dates: Aug 29-31, 1972 Respondents: 974. 31 pgs. 14 18 9/1/1972 Campaign Other Document From: Tom Benham RE: Comments on the August 29-31, 1972 Telephone Survey. 9 pgs. 14 18 9/1/1972 Campaign Memo From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Republican Convention Poll Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, 1972 Respondents: 974. 2 pgs. Monday, January 31, 2011 Page 3 of 3 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON September 5, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: HARRY DENT HSD SUBJECT: 1972 U. S. Congressional Races The GOP Congressional election picture is brighter today than on July 10 when I submitted the last memorandum, primarily because the President is stronger. The Con- gressional Campaign Committee is privately predicting a minimum pickup of 20-25 seats, recognizing we could win more if the tide is strong enough. Jerry Ford is still working on the prospect of Southern Democrat switchovers after the election if we are close enough to the magic number of 218 seats required to organize the House. The present lineup is 178 GOP (plus Brad Morse vacancy) and 255 Democrats (plus Governor Edwards of Louisiana vacancy). In order to win 218 we must keep everything we have, including the Brad Morse vacancy, and pick up 39. Attachment A contains a listing in state alphabetical order of the top 10 incumbent seats which need defending (most vulnerable on our side); our best 10 possible pickups; and then our second best 10 possible pickups. Attachment B contains a listing of congressional seats targeted by the GOP Congressional Campaign Committee, defensively and offensively. The ones underscored in red need priority attention to win. TOP 10 THAT NEED DEFENDING 1. California 6 Mailliard 2. Colorado 1 McKevitt 3. Iowa 1 Schwengel 4. Iowa 4 Kyl 5. Indiana 10 Dennis 6. Michigan 2 Esch 7. Minnesota 6 Zwach 8. Tennessee 8 Kuykendall 9. Utah 2 Lloyd 10. Wisconsin 3 Thomson TOP POSSIBLE PICKUPS (TOP 10) 1. California 36 Ketchum (new seat) 2. California 42 (safe) Burgener (new seat) 3. Illinois 17 O'Brien (new seat) 4. Indiana 11 Hudnut (Jacobs) 5. Maine 2 Cohen (Dem. open) 6. New York 26 Gilman (Dow) 7. North Carolina 4 Hawke (Dem. open) 8. Pennsylvania 9 Shuster (Rep. open) 9. South Dakota 2 Abdnor (Dem. open) 10. Washington 4 Bledsoe (McCormac) primary 9/19 POSSIBLE PICKUPS (SECOND 10) 1. Illinois 3 Hanrahan (new seat). 2. Illinois 10 Young (Mikva) 3. Illinois 11 Hoellen (Annunzio) 4. Illinois 22 Lamkin (Shipley) 5. Indiana 4 Bloom (Roush) 6. Kentucky 6 Jackson (Dem. open) 7. Maryland 4 Holt (new seat) 8. Massachusetts 12 Weeks (Rep. open) 9. Mississippi 5 Lott (Dem. open) 10. New Jersey 12 Rinaldo (Rep. open) CODE: ND - NEW DISTRICT RO - REPUBLICAN OPEN DO - DEMOCRAT OPEN PAIR - TWO INCUMBENTS AS OF 9-5-72 * - INCUMBENT CODE STATE DISTRICT GOP CANDIDATE DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE COMMENT ALABAMA 2 * Dickinson Reeves ALASKA AL Young * Begich ND ARIZONA 4 Primary 9/12 Primary 9/12 CALIFORNIA 6 * Mailliard Boas CALIFORNIA 7 Hannaford * Dellums ND CALIFORNIA 11 Chase Ryan CALIFORNIA 18 * Mathias Lavery RO CALIFORNIA 20 Moorhead Binkley -2- CODE STATE DISTRICT GOP CANDIDATE DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE COMMENT CALIFORNIA 31 Valentine * C. Wilson CALIFORNIA 34 Ratterree * Hanna CALIFORNIA 35 Brown * Anderson ND CALIFORNIA 36 Ketchum Lemucchi ND CALIFORNIA 38 Snider Brown RO CALIFORNIA 39 Hinshaw Black ND CALIFORNIA 42 Burgener Lowe COLORADO 1 * McKevitt Primary 9/12 COLORADO 4 Primary 9/12 * Aspinall ND COLORADO 5 Primary 9/12 Primary 9/12 -3- CODE STATE DISTRICT GOP CANDIDATE DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE COMMENT CONNECTICUT 1 Rittenband * Cotter CONNECTICUT 2 * Steele Hilsman CONNECTICUT 5 Sarasin * Monagan ND FLORIDA 5 Primary 9/12 Primary 9/12 FLORIDA 8 Thompson * Haley ND FLORIDA 10 Primary 9/12 Primary 9/12 ND FLORIDA 13 Primary 9/12 Primary 9/12 RO GEORGIA 5 Cook Young RO IDAHO 1 Symms Williams ND ILLINOIS 3 Hanrahan Coman -4- CODE STATE DISTRICT GOP CANDIDATE DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE COMMENT ND ILLINOIS 10 Young * Mikva ILLINOIS 11 Hoellen * Annunzio ND ILLINOIS 17 O'Brien Houlihan RO ILLINOIS 21 Madigan Johnson ILLINOIS 22 Lamkin * Shipley INDIANA 2 * Landgrebe Fithian INDIANA 3 Newman * Brademas INDIANA 4 Bloom * Roush INDIANA 8 * Zion Deen INDIANA 10 * Dennis Sharp -5- CODE STATE DISTRICT GOP CANDIDATE DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE COMMENT INDIANA 11 Hudnutt * Jacobs IOWA 1 * Schwengel Mezvinsky IOWA 2 Ellsworth * Culver PAIR IOWA 4 * Kyl * Smith KANSAS 2 McAtee * Roy KANSAS 3 * Winn Barsotti KENTUCKY 3 Kaelin * Mazzoli DO KENTUCKY 6 Jackson Breckinridge LOUISIANA 3 Treen Run-Off 9-30 MAINE 1 Porteous * Kyros -6- - CODE STATE DISTRICT GOP CANDIDATE DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE COMMENT DO MAINE 2 Cohen Violette MARYLAND 1 * Mills Hargreaves ND MARYLAND 4 Holt Fornos MARYLAND 6 Mason * Byron MASSACHUSETTS 4 Primary 9/19 Drinan RO MASSACHUSETTS 5 Primary 9/19 Primary 9/19 MASSACHUSETTS 6 Moseley * Harrington RO MASSACHUSETTS 12 Weeks Studds MICHIGAN 2 * Esch Stempien MICHIGAN 12 Serotkin * 0' Hara -7- CODE STATE DISTRICT GOP CANDIDATE DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE COMMENT HubER ND MICHIGAN 18 * Broemfield Montgomery MINNESOTA 6 * Zwach Nolan MINNESOTA 7 Haaven * Bergland DO MISSISSIPPI 2 Butler Bowen DO MISSISSIPPI 4 Cochran Bodron DO MISSISSIPPI 5 Lott Stone DO MISSOURI 6 Sloan Litton RO MISSOURI 7 Taylor Thomas MONTANA 1 * Shoup Olsen NEW JERSEY 3 Dowd * Howard -8- CODE STATE DISTRICT GOP CANDIDATE DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE COMMENT NEW JERSEY 6 * Forsythe Brennan NEW JERSEY 9 Schiaffo * Helstoski RO NEW JERSEY 12 Rinaldo English ND NEW JERSEY 13 Maraziti Meyner NEW MEXICO 2 Presson Runnels NEW YORK 1 Boyd, * Pike ND NEW YORK 3 Roncallo Bales NEW YORK 6 Gallagher * Wolff NEW YORK 23 * Peyser Ottinger NEW YORK 24 Vergari * Reid -9- CODE STATE DISTRICT GOP CANDIDATE DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE COMMENT NEW YORK 26 Gilman * Dow RO NEW YORK 31 Mitchell Castle NEW YORK 32 Koldin * Hanley RO NEW YORK 33 Walsh Kadys NEW YORK 36 * Smith McCarthy DO NORTH CAROLINA 4 Hawke Andrews RO NORTH CAROLINA 9 Martin Beatty RO OHIO 4 Guyer Nicholas OHIO 8 * Powell Ruppert RO OHIO 16 Regula Musser -10- CODE STATE DISTRICT GOP CANDIDATE DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE COMMENT OHIO 19 Parr * Carney RO OKLAHOMA 1 Run-Off 9-19 Jones DO OKLAHOMA 2 Toliver McSpadden PENNSYLVANIA 5 * Ware Franco RO PENNSYLVANIA 9 Shuster Collins Po 20 HUNG *Gnycles PENNSYLVANIA 14 Catarinella * Moorehead SOUTH CAROLINA 1 Limehouse * Davis SOUTH DAKOTA 1 Vickerman * Denholm DO SOUTH DAKOTA 2 Abdnor McKeever TENNESSEE 3 * Baker Sompayrac -11- CODE STATE DISTRICT GOP CANDIDATE DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE COMMENT TENNESSEE 6 Beard * Anderson TENNESSEE 8 * Kuykendall Patterson TEXAS 5 Steelman * Cabell ? PAIR TEXAS 13 * Price * Purcell UTAH 1 Primary 9/12 McKay UTAH 2 * Lloyd Primary 9/12 VIRGINIA 4 Daniel Gibson RO VIRGINIA 6 Butler Anderson RO VIRGINIA 8 Parris Horan RO WASHINGTON 1 Primary 9/19 Primary 9/19 WASHINGTON 4 Primary 9/19 * McCormack -12- CODE STATE DISTRICT GOP CANDIDATE DEMOCRAT CANDIDATE COMMENT WISCONSIN 1 Primary 9/12 * Aspin WISCONSIN 3 * Thomson Primary 9/12 PAIR WISCONSIN 7 * 0' Konski * Obey WISCONSIN 8 Primary 9/12 Primary 9/12 WYOMING AL Kidd * Roncalio ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL September 6, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Possible Subject for 10 a.m. Political Meeting You indicated today that you had several political subjects to cover at the 10 a.m. meeting in Ehrlichman's office. However, there is one problem that you may want to cover in the meeting or separately with MacGregor. Stans told MacGregor and Magruder today at 3 p.m. that he would not release any money to the November Group until they accepted the 6.3 million budget instead of the 10 million requested. You expressed your views to MacGregor regarding the advertising budget in the attached memorandum. This budget problem may be raised Friday afternoon when Peter Dailey is prepared to present to you the final "finished" campaign newspaper and TV ads. Although Dailey plans on discussing the revised advertising strategy in light of McGovern's, this budget matter may be raised by Dailey because the matter has not been resolved. GS/jb Cherk Committee for the Re-election of the President Machrega MEMORANDUM August 15, 1972 I think Pete is absolutely MEMORANDUM TO THE HONORABLE CLARK MacGREGOR night -and Howe THROUGH: JEB S. MAGRUDER FROM: SUBJECT: Advertising Budget we don't Nadjust aans if are PETER H. DAILEY The recent decisions to cut the Committee Adver- tising budget should be reviewed now to provide for sound media planning and scheduling. For your review, we submit the following: Considerations 1. $14.2 million is allowable for media under the Federal Election Campaign Spending Act. 2. $3 million has been deducted from the total for other uses, leaving a current budget of $11.2 million. 3. We want to provide adequate reach and fre- quency, flexibility of message, a meaning- ful delivery of DFN messages (or anti-McGovern advertising), and an adequate contingincy budget. 4. In 1968, the Nixon campaign spent $22.5 million in broadcast alone, while the Democrats spent $15.4 million. At present we have $8.1 million allocated to broadcast, a reduction from 1968 of 268%. Thus, the allowable budget has been already reduced $3 million and is well under 1968 expenditures. 5. The McGovern forces may well spend up to the $14.2 million allowable if they can raise the funds. 6. We do not want to visably outspend McGovern. We do not want money to be a campaign issue. -2- 7. Polling data must be a determinate of dollar planning. We must be prepared to spend all available funds to win the election and make adjustments downward later if polls indicate. Right 8. Advertising is the only communications vehicle through which we can transmit our message as the Committee wants it communicated without having the press provide its own interpreta- tions. Also, it is the best way to communicate McGovern's radical positions to the American electorate. 9. Current Committee plans call for a substan- tially reduced budget. The most recent plan Not shows a budget allocation of $6.2 million dollars. Conclusions The $6.2 million budget assumes an easy election and one not related to issues. We cannot operate on that assumption. absolutely We should plan now on a close election. National and local polling data should be closely scrutinized and the plan adjusted downward later. Right Recommendation The budget for advertising should be restored to the $11.2 million level. We can not afford to plan now on an easy win, then be put in a position of scrambling for dollars in the last weeks if the polling gap closes. agree ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL September 6, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SEBJECT: 1972 U.S. Congressional Races Dent has prepared a factual analysis of the Congressional races, indicating that the Republicans must hold all current incumbent seats and win 39 new seats to reach the 218 needed to organize the House. Ford's Southern Democrats switchover project will not become important unless the Republicans are close to 218. Dent's Tab A picks the top 30 requiring attention. Timmons independently reviewed the September 5 Congressional Campaign Committee analysis. Timmons' picks are double under- scored while Dent's are single underscored. Malek's field organization can provide assessments of 50 important individual races by September 13, Malek's input would be conjecture before then. MacGregor's views will be checked September 7. Teeter talked with an AMPAC representative on September 5 regarding access to their polls. Teeter received a commit- ment to obtain the 25 completed polls on September 8. This analysis of the Congressional races will be resumitted when the additional information is acquired. The only people involved in this project are Bill Timmons, Clark MacGregor, Fred Malek, Bob Teeter and Stan Anderson. Harry Flemming has done an independent analysis for Clark MacGregor but has not reviewed it with Mitchell or MacGregor. GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL September 6, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Gallup Release John Davies has not returned my telephone calls for 10 days. Several pending questions regarding demo- graphics, Catholies, campaign release schedules, etc., remain unanswered. Tom Benham, however, has increased his informal contacts with Gallup. In a discussion with Aleo Gallup today, Benham learned that the Gallup Organization will release figures in the near future which will show the President's dramatic increase in support among young voters. The Gallup poll of August 26-27 which showed the President over McGovern 64-30-6 will be used. The 18-29 year olds support the President over McGovern 58-36-6. This is within one point of the ORC August 29-31 poll which showed 18-29 year olds at 57-36-7. GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL September 6, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Democrats for Nixon Advertisements Peter Dailey and Phil Joanou are available to show you the final DFN advertisements before they meet with Connally at 3 p.m. All the materials (TV spots, newspaper boards, etc.) are in my office. You have seen most of the materials in "rough", non-DFN attri- buted form. The DFN strategy memorandum prepared by Dailey and delivered to me this morning is attached. Also available in my office are the re-done DFN mailings and brochures that Peter Dailey and Bob Marik prepared for Conmally. GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL September 5, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Peter Dailey Meeting re Democrats for Nixon Peter Dailey has the newspaper ads, TV spots, and general campaign advertising materials for the Democrats for Nixon. John Connally called and asked Dailey to present these materials to him tomorrow, September 6 at 3 p.m. You mentioned after the first DFN newspaper ad in August that you wanted to see the DFS materials before Connally saw them. Dailey could review the materials with you any time tomorrow, The review would take 45 minutes according to Dailey. The President has nothing scheduled tomorrow beside Dr. Riland at 6 p.m. Recommendation Haldeman to see Dailey 11 a.m. 12 noon 1 p.m. No need for Haldeman to see Dailey Other GS/jb ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTEAL September 5, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Debates Between Spokesmen Magruder is asking for your view on whether any Admini- stration spokesmen should debate any Democratic spokesmen. Magruder favors no debates by anyone during the campaign. Magruder covered the subject with MacGregor this morning and used the attached memorandum as a talking paper. MacGregor favors a case by case determination of who should debate whom. MacGregor favors Richardson debating Humphrey, and wants to debate O'Bréen himself. Recommendation That MaoGregor's system of a case by case determination be followed. Approve Disapprove Comments GS/jb G. Strachan Committee for the Re-election of the President MEMORANDUM August 31, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: CLARK MAC GREGOR FROM: Request for Policy Mr Decision on JEB S. MAGRUDER SUBJECT: Possible Confrontations Secretary Richardson has agreed to address an evening meeting of the Beverly Hills B' nai B'rith in Los Angeles on September 11. The expected attendance is 1,000 people. We have been advised that the B'nai B'rith organization has invited Senator Humphrey to attend the same meeting. If the Senator cannot attend, they propose to invite an alternative "major Democrat". This situation raises several important policy issues: (1) Should surrogate speakers attend events where confrontations with major Democrats are likely? Yes No (2) Should surrogates at anytime publicly discuss or debate with Democrats? Yes No In light of these questions, should Secretary Richardson withdraw from the above mentioned event? Yes No Page 2 In addition to the question of surrogate confrontations and debate, Van Shumway has been getting a number of requests for you to debate/ discuss the campaign with various top level people on McGovern's staff, (e.g. Gary Hart, Frank Mankiewicz). I do not think it would be a good idea to accept these invitations or in any way increase the visibility and stature of McGovern's staff through public debate. Currently we have a request from "Issues and Answers" and CBS morning news. I suggest we turn down all debates between you and other top level members of our staff with anyone in the McGovern campaign -- including "Issues and Answers" and CBS morning news. APPROVE DISAPPROVE COMMENTS ADMENISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL September 5, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Life Article on Campaign Job Magruder called to say that the Dave Maxie article for Life magazine on the campaign will be published September 11, 1972. Maxie agreed to have Life do a story on the First Family, which appeared on August 21, 1972, in exchange for the story on the campaign. Maxie interviewed "most of the senior 1701 staff, with some exceptions (1.e. Bob Teeter)". Magruder expects the article to be "on balance a favorable article", primarily focusing on MacGregor. There should be some negative comment on security. GS/jb September 1, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Republican Convention Poll Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, 1932 Respondents: 974 This package includes all the requested materials from the Republican Convention Poll: 1) Tab A is the receiving memorandum with the re-formated trial heats page with Gallup, Harris and ORC in columns; 2) Tab B is the requested cross-breaks; 3) Tab C contacins the cross-breaks of Nixon? Madevern voters against his issue positions, measured during the Democratic Convention Poll, July 19-20, 1972; 4) Tab D is Tom Benham's analysis of the poll. 5) Tab E is the detailed demographic tables. 6) Tab F is the trend of the "Handling of Vietnam" question back to March 1969 indicating that the current 59-33-8 is the highest since the two Gallup surveys after the November 3, 1969 Vietnam Speech when the President had 64-25-11 and 65-24-11 in November, 1969 and January, 1970. You asked that the "leaner" question following the trial heat question be added to Wave III. The Wave III trial heats are conducted by secret ballot. The respondent is handed "Secret Ballot A" ( "If you had to decide today, how would you vote in the following election situation?" - PRESIDENT: Republican - Richard Nixon or Democrat - George McGovern, and, VICE-PRESIDENT: Republican - Spiro T. Agnew or Democrat - Sargent Shriver.) on an IBM card at the time of the personal interview. The respondent is also given Special Ballot B which contains the following statements: - 2 - Will definitely vote for Nixon. Will probably vote for Nixon, but still thinking about it. Undecided but leaning toward Nixon. Completely undecided at this time but will vote. Undecideddbut leaning toward McGovern. Will probably vote for McGovern, but still thinking about it. Will definitely vote for McGovern. Discussion with Teeter and Benham indicates that this sample ballot, scaling method is the best method in a personal interview to determine the views of the "undecided" and the amount of commitment (whether the respondents "mind has been definitely made up"). This sample ballot techniqu is what Gallup used in the Aug 26-27 poll when NO OPINION was down to 6 from 12. Benham talked with George Gallup, Jr. who said that the Gallup Organization would continue to use the secret ballot system similar to Teeter's Wave III ballot although he would not disclose the exact language. The net result is that Teeter's Wave III sample ballots will obtain the "leaner" and "definitely made up mind" infomration, which ORC obtains by telephone. To keep Wave III on schedule (field interviewing begins September 5, preliminary results September 18) I authorized Teeter to continue the sample ballot technique of Wave I, II and Gallup instead of changing tb the telephone-oriented questions of ORC. The Amnesty question on Wave III has been changed in the national and all state polls to correspond to your request that there be only four options: 1) Grant unconditional amnesty now; 2) Grant unconditional amnesty after the war is over and our prisoners of war have been returned, 3) Grant unconditional amnesty after the war is over, but require an appropriate penalty; and 4) Not grant amnesty at all. Excluded is option 5: Grant amnesty after the war is over but require two years of some type of government service. GS:car REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72 Respondents: 974 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President? Polling Date Date A D N.O. Relsd. 1972 H-Dec 28- 49 47 4 Jan 4 T-Jan 3-20 54 35 11 G-Jan 7-9 49 39 12 1/20 O-Jan 26-27 54 36 10 G-Feb 4-7 53 36 11 2/17 H-Feb 8-15 55 44 1 2/28 O-Mar 3-5 59 28 13 G-Mar 3-5 56 32 12 3/9 O-Mar 18-19 54 35 11 G-Mar 24-27 53 37 10 4/13 O-Apr 27-29 52 35 13 O-May 9-10 57 33 10 H-May 9-10 52 46 2 G-May 26-29 61 32 7 6/4 H-Jun 10-15 56 42 2 G-Jun 16-19 60 32 8 6/25 T-Jun 16-26 58 30 12 G-Jun 23-26 56 33 11 7/16 O-Jul 19-20 58 31 11 H-Aug 2-3 59 40 1 8/21 O-Aug 29-31 63 27 10 REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72 - 2 - Respondents: 974 2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Nixon is handling the Vietnam situation? Polling Date A D N.O. 1971 O-Aug 21-22 47 40 13 G-Sep 3-16 42 H-Sep 44 54 2 H-Oct 28- 41 55 4 Nov 10 O-Nov 19-21 50 39 11 1972 H-Dec 28- 40 54 6 Jan 4 T-Jan 3-20 55 38 7 O-Jan 26-27 54 38 8 G-Feb 4-6 51 39 10 H-Feb 8-15 41 56 3 O-Mar 3-5 53 36 11 G-Apr 21-24 48 44 8 O-Apr 27-29 47 44 9 O-May 9-10 52 38 10 H-May 9-10 37 59 4 G-May 26-29 53 38 9 H-Jun 10-15 42 55 3 T-Jun 16-26 58 35 7 O-Jul 19-20 55 35 10 O-Aug 29-31 59 33 8 REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72 - 3 - Respondents: 974 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Nixon is dealing with the economic conditions in this country? Polling Date Approve Disapprove N.O. H-Feb 19-21, '71 37 48 15 O-Aug 21-22, '71 59 31 10 O-Sep 7-8, '71 56 32 12 0-Oct 9-10, '71 57 35 8 O-Nov 19-21, '71 48 39 13 O-Jan 26-27, '72 46 45 9 O-Aug 29-31, '72 48 38 14 - 4 - REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72 Respondents: 974 4. If the 1972 Presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Richard Nixon and George McGovern, which one would you vote for - Nixon or McGovern? Polling Date NIXON McGOVERN N.O. 1971 O-Jan 26-28 59 26 15 O-Apr 12-13 56 28 16 1972 H-Feb 28- 59 32 9 Mar 7 H-Apr 1- 7 54 34 12 G-Apr 28- May 1 49 39 12 H-May 9-10 48 41 11 G-May 26-29 53 34 13 H-Jun 7-12 54 38 8 G-Jun 16-19 53 37 10 T-Jun 16-26 52 32 16 H-Jul 1- 6 55 35 10 G-Jul 14-17 56 37 7 O-Jul 19-20 54 27 19 H-Aug 2-3 57 34 9 G-Aug 5-12 57 31 12 G-Aug 26-27 64 30 6 O-Aug 29-31 59 23 18 - 5 - REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72 Respondents: 974 If undecided on question 4, ask question 5. 5. Would you say that you lean more towards Richard Nixon or more towards George McGovern? Polling Date Nixon McGovern N.O. O-Aug 29-31, '72 63 28 9 (4%) (5%) (9%) 6. Have you definitely made up your mind which candidate you prefer for President or is there a possibility that you will change your mind during the campaign? Made Up May Change Polling Date Mind Mind N.O. O-Aug 29-31, '72 63 31 6 7. Some observers have said that many normally Democratic voters are deserting George McGovern and will be voting for President Nixon. What is there about George McGovern that may be causing some Democrats to desert him? Polling Date O-Aug 29-31, '72 (Open Ended) Attached 8. Have you seen, read or heard anything about the so-called "Watergate incident" in June when five men were arrested while trying to break in and bug the Democratic National Committee Headquarters at the Watergate Hotel? Polling Date Yes No N.O. O-Aug 29-31, '72 57 40 3 REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72 Respondents: 974 (Open Ended) 7. Some observers have said that many normally Democratic voters are deserting George McGovern and will be voting for President Nixon. What is there about George McGovern that may be causing some Democrats to desert him? RESPONSES olo Changes his mind too often 14 Stand on welfare 12 General comments about his stand on the War 12 General comments about radical thinking 11 Too liberal 7 Should not have deserted Eagleton 5 Makes rash promises 5 Economic policies 5 Splits the Party 4 Isn't capable 4 Stand on taxes 3 Lack of credibility 3 Specific comments about him being a Dove 2 Stand on amnesty 2 Socialistic 2 Lost Labor 2 General disagreement with his proposals 2 Too indecisive 2 Too many youths following him 2 Stand on abortion 2 Defense cutback notion 2 Generally does not like his foreign policy 1 Too idealistic 1 Unrealistic 1 Generally off base 1 Democrats won't desert him 5 - 6 - REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72 Respondents: 974 If yes on question 8, ask questions 9-12; if no, ask question 13. 9. Who do you think put these men up to the break-in, bugging attempt at the Democratic National Committee Headquarters - President Nixon, President Nixon's campaign committee, the Republican Party, Cuban exiles, Others? 57 Camp. Rep. Cuban 100 Polling Date P.N. Comm. Pty. Exiles Others D.K. O-Aug 29-31, '72 1 4 11 0 11 73 10. Do you think President Nixon's campaign committee was responsible for the break-in, bugging attempt at the Democratic National Committee Headquarters or not? Polling Date 57 Yes No N.O. 100 O-Aug 29-31, '72 17 48 35 11. Do you believe that this whole break-in, bugging attempt at the Democratic National Committee Headquarters is just more politics or is it really something serious? 57 Just More Something Polling Date 100 Politics Serious N.O. O-Aug 29-31, '72 54 21 25 12. If it is proven that high-ranking Republicans were involved in the break-in, bugging attempt or mishandling of Republican campaign contributions, do you think this will make you less likely to vote for President Nixon or won't it have any effect on your vote? 57 Polling Date 100 No Effect Less Likely N.O. O-Aug 29-31, '72 68 23 9 - 7 - REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72 Respondents: 974 13. Have you heard or read anything about the trip to Hanoi by former Attorney General Ramsey Clark? Polling Date Yes No N.O. O-Aug 29-31, '72 55 44 1 If yes on question 13, ask question 14 and 15; if no, ask question 16. 14. Do you approve or disapprove of his trip to Hanoi while hostilities are still underway with North Vietnam? 55 Polling Date 100 Approve Disapprove N.O. O-Aug 29-31, '72 36 48 16 15. Do you agree or disagree with the critical statements he has made about American bombing of North Vietnam? 55 Polling Date 100 Agree Disagree N.O. O-Aug 29-31, '72 21 57 22 16. Sargent Shriver, the Democratic Vice Presidential candidate, has claimed that President Nixon missed an opportunity in early 1969 to bring an end to the Vietnam War. From all that you have heard and read, do you agree or disagree with Shriver's statement? Polling Date Agree Disagree N.O. O-Aug 29-31, '72 22 54 24 - 8 - REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72 Respondents: 974 17. School teachers as well as most other public employees are not allowed to strike by law. Do you think this law should be changed to permit teachers to go out on strike or don't you? Polling Date No Strike Permit Strike N.O. O-Aug 29-31, '72 47 42 11 18. How much of the Republican National Convention did you watch on TV? Over 1-2 Less than Very Polling Date All 2 hrs hrs 1 hr Little None O-Jul 19-20, '72 21 11 22 13 22 11 O-Aug 29-31, '72 17 4 17 13 27 22 19. Overall, were your impressions of the Republican Convention very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable? Polling Date VF SF SU VU N.O. O-Aug 29-31, '72 23 34 10 10 23 20. In general, how do you rate your reaction to President Nixon's acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention - very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable, didn't hear it, no opinion? Didn't Polling Date VF SF SU VU Hear It N.O. O-Jul 19-20, '72 9 18 9 7 57 O-Aug 29-31, '72 24 22 5 4 38 7 - 9 - REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72 Respondents: 974 21. Did the Republican National Convention make you more likely or less likely to vote for President Nixon? Polling Date More Likely Less Likely N.O. O-Jul 19-20, '72 28 38 34 O-Aug 29-31, '72 32 16 52 22. Do you feel that you and people like yourself were really represented at the Republican National Convention or not? Polling Date Yes No N.O. O-Jul 19-20, '72 41 42 17 O-Aug 29-31, '72 41 34 25 23. Do you think Richard Nixon should campaign vigorously as the Republican Presidential candidate for 1972 or should he concentrate on his duties as President? Campaign Concentrate Polling Date Vigorously On Duties Both N.O. O-Aug 29-31, '72 12 60 21 7 REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72 Respondents: 974 CROSSBREAK Question 4 (Nixon, McGovern) and Question 5 (Leaners) (4) (5) (4) (5) Nixon Lean McG Lean Voters Nixon Voters McG Undecided 6. Have you definitely made up your mind which candi- date you prefer for President or is there a possibility that you will change your mind during the campaign? Made Up Mind 78 22 65 16 11 May Change Mind 22 75 31 74 44 No Opinion * 3 4 10 45 (Read Down) REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL Polling Dates:Aug 29-31, '72 Respondents: 974 CROSSBREAK Question 6 - Have you definitely made up your mind which candidate you prefer for President or is there a possibility that you will change your mind during the campaign? Definitely Made Mind Up May Change Mind N.O. Nixon Supporters 74 26 * (4 & 5) McGovern Supporters 57 38 5 (4 & 5) Undecided 11 44 5 (4 & 5) (Read Across) - 3/4 of President Nixon's supporters have definitely made up their minds to vote for him. - Less than 60% of Senator McGovern's supporters have definitely made up their minds to vote for him. - 11% are firmly undecided. REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL CROSSBREAK Polling Dates: Aug 29-31 '72 Respondents: 974 Question 4 (Nixon, McGovern) and Question 5 (Leaners) (4) (5) (4) (5) Nixon Lean McG Lean Voters Nixon Voters McG Undecided 21. Did the Republican National Convention make you more likely or less likely to vote for President Nixon? More Likely to Vote 47 33 9 4 6 Less Likely to Vote 4 15 44 23 20 No Opinion 49 52 47 73 74 (Read Down) 47% of President Nixon's voters are more likely to vote for him because of the Republican National Convention. REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL Polling Dates: Aug 29-31 '72 Respondents: 974 CROSSBREAK Question 17 - School teachers as well as most other public employees are not allowed to strike by law. Do you think this law should be changed to permit teachers to go out on strike or don't you? Law Change No Change Permit Strike No Strike N.O. Nixon (4) 33 55 12 McGovern (4) 62 32 6 Undecided (4) 42 45 13 (Read Across) REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL Polling Dates: Aug 29-31 '72 Respondents: 974 CROSSBREAK Question 4 (Nixon, McGovern) and Question 5 (Leaners) (4) (5) (4) (5) Nixon Lean McG Lean Voters Nixon Voters McG Undecided 12. If it is proven that high- ranking Republicans were involved in the break-in, bugging attempt or mishandling of Republican campaign contri- butions, do you think this will make you less likely to vote for President Nixon or won't it have any effect on your vote? Less Likely 15 37 33 46 29 No Effect 76 50 60 42 52 No Opinion 9 13 7 12 19 (Read Down) - 3/4 of President Nixon's voters are unaffected by the break in, bugging attempt or mishandling of Republican campaign contributions. QUESTION 12A 69069 JULY 19-20, 1972 1038 INTERVIEWS DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING PROPOSALS MADE BY SENATOR GEORGE MCGOVERN A. WE SHOULD WITHDRAW ALL OUR TROOPS FROM INDO CHINA IMMEDIATELY AND THEN TAKE ON FAITH THAT THE NORTH VIETNAMESE WILL RELEASE OUR POWS PERCENTAGE BASE NO UNWTD WTD AGREE DISAGREE OPINION TOTAL PUBLIC 1038 1045 30 62 8 MEN 520 509 28 68 4 WOMEN 518 531 31 57 12 18-20 YEARS OF AGE 82 72 42 53 5 21-29 YEARS 255 205 40 52 8 30-49 YEARS 388 369 22 69 9 50 YEARS AND OVER 312 398 29 62 18-24 YEARS 203 167 42 53 5 8TH GRADE OR LESS 96 248 28 64 8 HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE 156 180 35 50 15 HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE 347 369 29 62 SOME COLLEGE 432 241 29 68 am UNION FAMILIES 266 299 30 64 6 NONUNION FAMILIES 772 747 30 61 9 WHITE 922 910 26 67 7 NONWHITE 107 127 56 29 15 PROTESTANT 526 517 25 66 9 CATHOLIC 258 282 35 61, 4 JEWISH 35 26 47 46 7 UNDER $5,000 INCOME 157 207 38 51 11 $5,000 $15,000 554 559 28 66 6 OVER $15,000 239 169 25 73 2 NOW REGISTERED 872 848 28 64 8 WILL REGISTER 112 127 41 53 6 REGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER 984 975 30 62 8 WON'T REGISTER 54 70 23 61 16 REPUBL ICAN 236 239 16 82 DEMOCRAT 385 412 41 50 NO INDEPENDENT 322 295 26 67 7 LEAN REPUBLICAN 136 123 13 81 6 LEAN DEMOCRAT 135 125 45 47 8 OTHER INDEPENDENTS 114 120 20 63 17 CONSERVATIVE 243 226 20 71 9 LIBERAL 235 216 49 45 6 IN BETWEEN 477 489 27 66 7 LEAN CONSERVATIVE 257 269 25 68 7 LEAN LIBERAL 148 144 38 60 2 OTHER INBETWEEN 155 191 20 63 17 NIXON VOTERS 426 422 18 76 6 HUMPHREY VOTERS 215 221 44 46 10 WALLACE VOTERS 57 67 9 79 12 NONVOTERS 277 268 36 54 10 EAST 244 255 29 65 6 MIDWEST 286 287 31 62 7 SOUTH 331 330 27 60 13 WEST 177 174 32 63 OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION 0011 QUESTION 12A 69069 JULY 19-20, 1972 1038 INTERVIEWS DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING PROPOSALS MADE BY SENATOR GEORGE MCGOVERN A. WE SHOULD WITHDRAW ALL OUR TROOPS FROM INDO CHINA I IMMEDIATELY AND THEN TAKE CN FAITH THAT THE NORTH VIETNAMESE WILL RELEASE OUR POWS ( PERCENTAGE BASE NO ( UNWTD WTD AGREE DISAGREE OPINION TOTAL PUBLIC 1038 1045 30 62 8 APPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB 620 606 19 74 7 DISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB 319 325 49 44 7 NO OPINION 99 114 30 48 22 APPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM 577 571 16 79 5 DISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM 377 372 51 40 9 NO OPINION 84 102 27 48 25 NIXON SUPPORTERS 576 564 15 80 5 MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS 284 285 61 31 8 NEITHER 85 93 23 65 12 UNDECIDED 93 104 30 47 23 NIXON SUPPORTERS 454 438 14 81 5 MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS 266 260 62 29 9 WALLACE SUPPORTERS 196 219 25 66 9 NONE 33 31 27 66 7 UNDECIDED 89 97 23 56 21 NIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS 578 566 14 81 5 MCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS 305 304 60 33 7 UNDECIDED 135 175 27 52 21 ( WATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC 231 226 33 61 6 1 WATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY 116 111 30 67 3 WATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY 238 231 34 60 6 ( WATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY 344 366 24 65 11 DID NOT WATCH 109 112 30 55 15 OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION ( 0011 ( 11. QUESTION 128 69069 JULY 19-20, 1972 1038 INTERVIEWS B. THE GOVERNMENT SHOULD GIVE $1,000 A YEAR TO EVERY MAN, WOMAN, AND CHILD IN THE UNITED STATES AND PAY FOR THIS BY INCREASING TAXES FOR EVERYONE EARNING MORE THAN $12,000 A YEAR PERCENTAGE BASE NO UNWTO WTD AGREE DISAGREE OPINION TOTAL PUBLIC 1038 1045 16 76 8 MEN 520 509 15 77 8 WOMEN 518 537 16 75 9 18-20 YEARS OF AGE 82 72 21 74 5 21-29 YEARS 255 205 21 73 6 30-49 YEARS 388 369 13 78 9 50 YEARS AND OVER 312 398 15 76 9 18-24 YEARS 203 167 23 72 5 8TH GRADE OR LESS 96 248 20 66 14 HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE 156 180 22 69 9 HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE 347 369 14 79 7 SOME COLLEGE 432 241 10 86 4 UNION FAMILIES 266 299 20 78 2 NONUNION FAMILIES 772 747 14 75 11 WHITE 922 910 13 80 7 NONWHITE 107 127 33 48 19 PROTESTANT 526 517 13 81 6 CATHOLIC 258 282 18 75 7 JEWISH 35 26 9 78 13 UNDER $5,000 INCOME 157 207 27 56 17 $5,000 - $15,000 554 559 15 79 6 OVER $15,000 239 169 7 91 2 NOW REGISTERED 872 848 14 78 8 WILL REGISTER 112 127 22 71 7 REGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER 984 975 15 77 8 WON'T REGISTER 54 70 20 65 15 REPUBLICAN 236 239 9 84 7 DEMOCRAT 385 412 19 72 9 INDEPENDENT 322 295 15 78 7 LEAN REPUBLICAN 136 123 11 85 4 LEAN DEMOCRAT 135 125 25 68 7 OTHER INDEPENDENTS 114 120 18 69 13 CONSERVATIVE 243 226 11 82 7 LIBERAL 235 216 25 68 7 IN BETWEEN 477 489 15 78 7 LEAN CONSERVATIVE 257 269 14 82 4 LEAN LIBERAL 148 144 15 78 7 OTHER INBETWEEN 155 191 13 68 19 NIXON VOTERS 426 422 9 84 7 HUMPHREY VOTERS 215 221 22 69 9 WALLACE VOTERS 57 67 15 82 3 NONVOTERS 277 268 23 67 10 EAST 244 255 17 76 7 MIDWEST 286 287 17 74 9 SOUTH 331 330 17 72 11 WEST 177 174 10 85 5 OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION 0012 ( QUESTION 128 69069 JULY 19-20, 1972 1038 INTERVIEWS B. THE GOVERNMENT SHOULD GIVE $1,000 A YEAR TO EVERY MAN, WOMAN, AND CHILD IN THE UNITED STATES AND PAY FOR THIS BY INCREASING TAXES FOR EVERYONE EARNING MORE THAN $12,000 A YEAR PERCENTAGE BASE NO UNWTD WTD AGREE DISAGREE OPINION TOTAL PUBLIC 1038 1045 16 76 8 APPROVE NIXON HANDLING JCB 620 606 12 81 7 DISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB 319 325 24 67 9 NO OPINION 99 114 13 72 15 APPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM 577 571 12 82 6 DISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM 377 372 23 67 10 NO OPINION 84 102 9 75 16 NIXON SUPPORTERS 576 564 9 84 7 MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS 284 285 25 64 11 NEITHER 85 93 17 73 10 UNDECIDED 93 104 24 67 9 NIXON SUPPORTERS 454 438 8 85 7 MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS 266 260 25 64 11 WALLACE SUPPORTERS 196 219 19 77 4 NONE 33 31 14 75 11 UNDECIDED 89 97 18 66 16 NIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS 578 566 10 84 6 MCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS 305 304 25 65 10 UNDECIDED 155 175 17 70 13 WATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC 231 226 17 74 9 WATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY 116 III 16 76 8 WATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY 238 231 17 78 5 WATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY 344 366 15 75 10 DID NOT WATCH 109 112 12 79 9 OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION 0012 QUESTION 12C 69069 JULY 19-20, 1972 1038 INTERVIEWS C. MARIJUANA SHOULD BE LEGALIZED AND CONTROLLED ALONG THE SAME LINES AS ALCOHOL PERCENTAGE BASE NO UNWTD WTD AGREE DISAGREE OPINION TOTAL PUBLIC 1038 1045 25 70 5 MEN 520 509 27 67 WOMEN 518 537 22 73 5 18-20 YEARS OF AGE 82 72 42 55 3 21-29 YEARS 255 205 37 56 7 30-49 YEARS 338 369 19 77 4 50 YEARS AND OVER 312 398 20 73 7 18-24 YEARS 203 167 42 53 5 8TH GRADE OR LESS 96 248 16 79 5 HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE 156 180 23 73 HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE 347 369 22 73 SOME COLLEGE 432 241 40 53 7 UNION FAMILIES 266 299 21 74 NONUNION FAMILIES 772 747 26 68 5 WHITE 922 910 24 71 NONWHITE 107 127 33 61 5 PROTESTANT 526 517 20 75 5 CATHOLIC 258 282 24 70 JEWISH 35 26 62 31 UNDER $5,000 INCOME 157 207 24 72 4 $5,000 $15,000 554 559 23 73 OVER $15,000 239 169 34 56 8 NOW REGISTERED 872 848 24 71 WILL REGISTER 112 127 24 71 REGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER 984 975 24 71 numa WON'T REGISTER 54 70 35 56 9 REPUBLICAN 236 239 17 78 5 DEMOCRAT 385 412 24 71 INDEPENDENT 322 295 30 62 8 LEAN REPUBLICAN 136 123 25 68 LEAN DEMOCRAT 135 125 37 56 7 OTHER INDEPENDENTS 114 120 26 68 CONSERVATIVE 243 226 17 79 4 LIBERAL 235 216 43 52 IN BETWEEN 477 489 24 71. LEAN CONSERVATIVE 257 269 20 77 LEAN LIBERAL sowers 148 144 28 66 6 OTHER INBETWEEN 155 191 18 72 10 NIXON VOTERS 426 422 18 77 5 HUMPHREY VOTERS 215 221 28 66 WALLACE VCTERS 57 67 13 87 0 NONVOTERS 277 268 35 58 7 EAST 244 255 27 65 8 MIDWEST 286 287 25 71 4 SOUTH 331 330 21 73 6 WEST 177 174 28 68 4 OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION 0013 QUESTION 12C 69069 JULY 19-20, 1972 1038 INTERVIEWS C. MARIJUANA SHOULD BE LEGALIZED AND CONTROLLED ALONG THE SAME LINES AS ALCOHOL PERCENTAGE BASE NO UNWTO WTD AGREE DISAGREE OPINION TOTAL PUBLIC 1038 1045 25 70 5 APPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB 620 606 21 73 6 DISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB 319 325 31 64 NO OPINION 99 114 27 65 8 APPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM 577 571 21 74 5 DISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM 377 372 33 62 NO OPINION 84 102 16 76 8 NIXON SUPPORTERS 576 564 18 76 6 MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS 284 285 39 56 NEITHER 85 93 19 79 UINUTO UNDECIDED 93 104 27 68 5 NIXON SUPPORTERS 454 438 20 74 6 MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS 266 260 39 55 6 WALLACE SUPPORTERS 196 219 17 79 4 NONE 33 31 24 67 UNDECIDED 89 97 24 73 am NIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS 578 566 20 74 6 MCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS 305 304 37 58 UNDECIDED 155 175 19 77 4 WATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC 231 226 29 65 6 WATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY 116 111 23 72 WATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY 238 231 25 70 WATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY 344 366 22 72 waving DID NOT WATCH 109 112 27 70 3 OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION 0013 ( ( ( ( ( ( ( QUESTION 12D 69069 JULY 19-20, 1972 1038 INTERVIEWS D. THERE SHOULD BE NO LEGAL RESTRICTIONS CN ABORTIONS IN THE UNITED STATES. IT SHOULD BE A MATTER SCLELY BETWEEN THE WOMAN AND HER DOCTOR PERCENTAGE BASE NO UNWTD WTD AGREE DISAGREE OPINION TOTAL PUBLIC 1038 1045 60 33 7 MEN 520 509 63 28 WOMEN 518 537 57 38 5 18-20 YEARS OF AGE 82 72 65 30 5 21-29 YEARS 255 205 64 33 30-49 YEARS 388 369 57 36 7 50 YEARS AND OVER 312 398 60 30 10 18-24 YEARS 203 167 62 35 3 8TH GRADE OR LESS 96 248 57 36 7 HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE 156 180 54 38 8 HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE 347 369 59 34 7 SOME COLLEGE 432 241 68 26 6 UNION FAMILIES 266 299 64 28 NONUNION FAMILIES 772 747 58 35 87 WHITE 922 910 61 32 7 NONWHITE 107 127 55 38 7 PROTESTANT 526 517 60 31 9 CATHOLIC 258 282 56 40 4 JEWISH 35 26 95 5 0 UNDER $5,000 INCOME 157 207 54 40 6 $5,000 - $15,000 554 559 62 32 6 OVER $15,000 239 169 71 22 7 NOW REGISTERED 872 848 60 33 7 WILL REGISTER 112 127 67 29 4 REGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER 984 975 61 32 7 WON'T REGISTER 54 70 51 39 10 REPUBLICAN 236 239 61 32 7 DEMOCRAT 385 412 60 33 7 ( INDEPENDENT 322 295 60 33 7 LEAN REPUBLICAN 136 123 62 32 6 LEAN DEMOCRAT 135 125 64 31 5 OTHER INDEPENDENTS 114 120 54 35 11 CONSERVATIVE 243 226 52 41 7 LIBERAL 235 216 70 25 5 IN BETWEEN 477 489 63 31 6 LEAN CONSERVATIVE 257 269 63 29 8 LEAN LIBERAL 148 144 68 31 1 OTHER INBETWEEN 155 191 48 40 12 NIXON VOTERS 426 422 64 30 6 HUMPHREY VOTERS 215 221 62 30 8 WALLACE VOTERS 57 67 56 43 NONVOTERS 277 268 58 35 7 EAST 244 255 68 25 7 MIDWEST 286 287 58 33 9 SOUTH 331 330 55 39 WEST 177 174 62 33 5 OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION 0014 QUESTION 12D 69069 JULY 19-20, 1972 1038 INTERVIEWS D. THERE SHOULD BE NO LEGAL RESTRICTIONS ON ABORTIONS IN THE UNITED STATES. IT SHOULD BE A MATTER SOLELY BETWEEN THE WOMAN AND HER DOCTOR PERCENTAGE BASE NO UNWTD WTD AGREE DISAGREE OPINION TOTAL PUBLIC 1038 1045 60 33 7 APPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB 620 606 62 31 7 DISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB 319 325 59 35 6 NO OPINION 99 114 53 39 8 APPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM 577 571 62 31 7 DISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM 377 372 61 34 5 NO OPINION 84 102 46 42 12 NIXON SUPPORTERS 576 564 61 31 8 MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS 284 285 64 31 5 NEITHER 85 93 40 57 3 UNDECIDED 93 104 61 30 9 NIXON SUPPORTERS 454 438 63 29 C MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS 266 260 65 30 $ WALLACE SUPPORTERS 196 219 55 39 6 NONE 33 31 32 60 8 UNDECIDED 89 97 57 33 10 NIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS 578 566 62 30 8 MCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS 305 304 64 31 UNDECIDED 155 175 46 47 7 WATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC 231 226 56 38 6 WATCHED MORE THAN 2 MRS/DAY -116 111 69 27 4 WATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY 238 231 66 28 6 WATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY 344 366 60 31 9 11. DID NOT WATCH 109 112 48 43 9 C OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION 0014 C QUESTION 12E 69069 JULY 19-20, 1972 1038 INTERVIEWS E. WE SHOULD GRANT UNCONDITIONAL AMNESTY TO THOSE WHO LEFT THE COUNTRY OR WENT TO PRISON TO AVOID THE DRAFT PERCENTAGE BASE NO UNWTD WTD AGREE DISAGREE OPINION TOTAL PUBLIC 1038 1045 20 70 10 MEN 520 509 19 76 5 WOMEN 518 537 21 65 14 18-20 YEARS OF AGE 82 72 43 54 3 21-29 YEARS 255 205 31 62 7 30-49 YEARS 388 369 17 75 8 50 YEARS AND OVER 312 398 13 74 13 18-24 YEARS 203 167 37 58 5 8TH GRADE OR LESS 96 248 15 72 13 HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE 156 180 18 73 9 HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE 347 369 17 74 9 SOME COLLEGE 432 241 30 63 7 UNION FAMILIES 266 299 18 74 8 NONUNION FAMILIES 772 747 21 69 10 1 WHITE 922 910 18 74 8 NONWHITE 107 127 36 47 17 PROTESTANT 526 517 18 71 11 CATHOLIC 258 282 20 72 8 JEWISH 35 26 36 49 15 UNDER $5,000 INCOME 157 207 30 58 12 $5,000 - $15,000 554 559 15 77 8 OVER $15,000 239 169 24 71 5 NOW REGISTERED 872 848 19 72 9 WILL REGISTER 112 127 25 62 13 REGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER 984 975 20 71 9 WON'T REGISTER 54 70 25 63 12 REPUBLICAN 236 239 12 74 14 DEMOCRAT 385 412 22 70 8 INDEPENDENT 322 295 24 70 6 ( LEAN REPUBLICAN 136 123 13 81 6 LEAN DEMOCRAT 135 125 36 60 4 OTHER INDEPENDENTS 114 120 20 66 14 CONSERVATIVE 243 226 11 80 9 LIBERAL 235 216 36 57 7 IN BETWEEN 477 489 21 71 8 LEAN CONSERVATIVE 257 269 16 77 7 LEAN LIBERAL 148 144 25 66 9 OTHER INBETWEEN 155 191 14 69 17 NIXON VOTERS 426 422 10 80 10 HUMPHREY VOTERS 215 221 26 63 11 WALLACE VOTERS 57 67 12 88 0 NONVOTERS 277 268 32 59 9 FAST 244 255 22 69 9 MIDWEST 286 287 22 69 9 SOUTH 331 330 16 75 9 WEST 177 174 20 67 13 OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION 0015 QUESTION 12E 69069 JULY 19-20, 1972 1038 INTERVIEWS E. WE SHOULD GRANT UNCONDITIONAL AMNESTY TO THOSE WHO LEFT THE COUNTRY OR WENT TO PRISON TO AVOID THE DRAFT PERCENTAGE BASE NO UNWTD WTD AGREE DISAGREE OPINION TOTAL PUBLIC 1038 1045 20 70 10 APPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB 620 606 14 77 9 DISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB 319 325 33 61 6 NO OPINION 99 114 18 63 19 APPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM 577 571 12 79 9 DISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM 377 372 34 57 9 NO OPINION 84 102 14 70 16 NIXON SUPPORTERS 576 564 11 80 9 MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS 284 285 38 53 9 NEITHER 85 93 24 69 7 UNDECIDED 93 104 16 68 16 NIXON SUPPORTERS 454 438 11 80 9 MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS 266 260 40 50 10 WALLACE SUPPORTERS 196 219 16 78 6 NONE 33 31 33 49 18 UNDECIDED 89 97 14 71 15 NIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS 578 566 11 80 9 MCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS 305 304 39 53 8 UNDECIDED 155 175 17 69 14 WATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC 231 226 26 66 8 WATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY 116 111 22 72 6 WATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY 238 231 20 70 10 WATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY 344 366 15 74 11 DID NOT WATCH 109 112 23 67 10 OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION 0015 QUESTION 12F 69069 JULY 19-20, 1972 1038 INTERVIEWS F. WE SHOULD CUT OUR DEFENSE BUDGET BY $32 BILLION EVEN IF IT PUTS US BEHIND THE SOVIET UNION IN MILITARY STRENGTH PERCENTAGE BASE NO C UNWTD WTD AGREE DISAGREE OPINION TOTAL PUBLIC 1038 1045 19 66 15 ( MEN 520 509 21 70 9 WOMEN 518 537 17 61 22 18-20 YEARS OF AGE 82 72 31 57 12 ( 21-29 YEARS 255 205 27 62 11 30-49 YEARS 388 369 16 71 13 50 YEARS AND OVER 312 398 15 64 21 18-24 YEARS 203 167 28 61 11 C 8TH GRADE OR LESS 96 248 14 66 20 HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE 156 180 19 65 16 HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE 347 369 17 68 15 ( SOME COLLEGE 432 241 27 62 11 I UNION FAMILIES 266 299 23 66 11 NONUNION FAMILIES 772 747 17 66 17 ( WHITE 922 910 18 67 15 NONWHITE 107 127 24 54 22 ( PROTESTANT 526 517 16 68 16 CATHOLIC 258 282 19 68 13 JEWISH 35 26 38 38 24 UNDER $5,000 INCOME 157 207 22 60 18 $5,000 - $15,000 554 559 19 69 12 OVER $15,000 239 169 20 69 11 ( NOW REGISTERED 872 848 17 67 16 WILL REGISTER 112 127 27 64 9 REGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER 984 975 18 67 15 WON'T REGISTER 54 70 23 51 26 C REPUBLICAN 236 239 16 71 13 DEMOCRAT 385 412 19 66 15 INDEPENDENT 322 295 20 67 13 ( LEAN REPUBLICAN 136 123 16 72 12 LEAN DEMOCRAT 135 125 28 58 14 OTHER INDEPENDENTS 114 120 14 58 28 ( CONSERVATIVE 243 226 13 76 11 LIBERAL 235 216 30 54 16 IN BETWEEN 477 489 20 66 14 LEAN CONSERVATIVE 257 269 17 68 15 ( LEAN LIBERAL 148 144 21 67 12 OTHER INSETWEEN 155 191 13 63 24 NIXON VOTERS 426 422 15 70 15 ( HUMPHREY VOTERS 215 221 20 61 19 WALLACE VOTERS 57 67 11 80 9 NONVOTERS 277 268 24 60 16 ( EAST 244 255 20 67 13 MIDWEST 286 287 21 63 16 11. SOUTH 331 330 12 70 18 WEST 177 174 25 60 15 ( OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION 0016 ( ( ( QUESTION 12F 69069 JULY 19-20, 1972 1038 INTERVIEWS F. WE SHOULD CUT OUR DEFENSE BUDGET BY $32 BILLION EVEN IF IT PUTS US BEHIND THE SCVIET UNION IN MILITARY STRENGTH PERCENTAGE BASE NO UNWTD WTD AGREE DISAGREE OPINION TOTAL PUBLIC 1038 1045 19 66 15 APPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB 620 606 13 74 13 DISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB 319 325 31 54 15 NO OPINION 99 114 15 57 28 APPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM 577 571 14 74 12 DISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM 377 372 28 54 18 NO OPINION 84 102 7 64 29 NIXON SUPPORTERS 576 564 13 73 14 MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS 284 285 30 56 14 NEITHER 85 93 22 66 12 UNDECIDED 93 104 19 52 29 111 NIXON SUPPORTERS 454 438 13 72 15 MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS 266 260 33 52 15 WALLACE SUPPORTERS 196 219 14 75 11 NONE 33 31 29 50 21 UNDECIDED 89 97 15 56 29 NIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS 578 566 14 73 13 MCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS 305 304 29 58 13 UNDECIDED 155 175 16 56 28 WATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC 231 226 21 67 12 WATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY 116 111 15 71 14 WATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY 238 231 19 67 14 WATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY 344 366 16 67 17 DID NOT WATCH 109 112 24 54 22 11. OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION 0016 QUESTION 12G 69069 JULY 19-20, 1972 1038 INTERVIEWS G. BUSSING SCHOOL CHILDREN IS ESSENTIAL TO ACHIEVE RACIAL INTEGRATION PERCENTAGE BASE NO UNWTD WTD AGREE DISAGREE OPINION TOTAL PUBLIC 1038 1045 18 74 8 MEN 520 509 17 77 6 WOMEN 518 537 18 72 10 18-20 YEARS OF AGE 82 72 24 72 4 21-29 YEARS 255 205 20 71 9 30-49 YEARS 388 369 19 75 6 50 YEARS AND OVER 312 398 15 75 10 18-24 YEARS 203 167 25 68 7 8TH GRADE OR LESS 96 248 20 72 8 HIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE 156 180 16 74 10 HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE 347 369 17 74 SOME COLLEGE 432 241 17 78 5 UNION FAMILIES 266 299 16 78 6 NONUNION FAMILIES 772 747 18 73 9 WHITE 922 910 13 80 7 NONWHITE 107 127 49 37 14 PROTESTANT 526 517 15 76 9 CATHOLIC 258 282 19 75 6 JEWISH 35 26 36 62 2 UNDER $5,000 INCOME 157 207 26 62 12 $5,000 - $15,000 554 559 15 78 7 OVER $15,000 239 169 17 77 6 NOW REGISTERED 872 848 18 75 7 WILL REGISTER 112 127 20 72 8 REGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER 984 975 18 75 7 WON'T REGISTER 54 70 10 68 22 REPUBLICAN 236 239 11 82 7 DEMOCRAT 385 412 25 65 10 INDEPENDENT 322 295 15 79 6 LEAN REPUBLICAN 136 123 8 88 4 LEAN DEMOCRAT 135 125 23 73 4 OTHER INDEPENDENTS 114 120 9 78 13 CONSERVATIVE 243 226 13 82 5 LIBERAL 235 216 26 68 6 IN BETWEEN 477 489 18 75 7 LEAN CONSERVATIVE 257 269 15 80 5 LEAN LIBERAL 148 144 21 67 12 OTHER INBETWEEN 155 191 14 69 17 NIXON VOTERS 426 422 13 81 6 HUMPHREY VOTERS 215 221 26 64 10 WALLACE VOTERS 57 67 7 86 7 NONVOTERS 277 268 21 70 9 EAST 244 255 17 73 10 MIDWEST 286 287 17 72 11 SOUTH 331 330 20 75 5 WEST 177 174 15 78 7 OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION 0017 ( QUESTION 12G 69069 JULY 19-20, 1972 1038 INTERVIEWS G. BUSSING SCHOOL CHILDREN IS ESSENTIAL TO ACHIEVE RACIAL INTEGRATION ( I. ( PERCENTAGE BASE NO ( UNWTD WTD AGREE DISAGREE OPINION TOTAL PUBLIC 1038 1045 18 74 8 APPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB 620 606 13 80 7 DISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB 319 325 28 65 7 NO OPINION 99 114 14 72 14 APPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM 577 571 14 80 6 DISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM 377 372 27 64 9 NO OPINION 84 102 5 77 18 NIXON SUPPORTERS 576 564 10 83 7 MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS 284 285 36 55 9 NEITHER 85 93 6 87 7 UNDECIDED 93 104 19 67 14 11. NIXON SUPPORTERS 454 438 12 81 7 MCGOVERN SUPPORTERS 266 260 36 54 10 ( WALLACE SUPPORTERS 196 219 10 84 6 NONE 33 31 11 80 9 UNDECIDED 89 97 12 72 16 NIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS 578 566 12 83 MCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS 305 304 33 58 s UNDECIDED 155 175 10 74 16 WATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC 231 226 22 72 6 WATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY 116 111 13 75 12 WATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY 238 231 19 73 8 ( WATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY 344 366 16 76 8 DID NOT WATCH 109 112 15 73 12 ; OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION ( 0017 ( ( September 1, 1972 Some Comments on the August 29-31, 1972 Telephone Survey From: Tom Benham 1. The Nixon-McGovern trial heat result confirms the Gallup data released on August 30. The Gallup people tell us that they also use a "leaner" question similar to ours. So opinion at this stage seems to be crystallizing with a sizeable lead for the President. President Nixon's support is coming not only from Republicans (96%) but also from Democrats (41%) and Independents (68%). Also, 83% of Conservatives and 45% of Liberals support him. He also enjoys majorities from both Union families as well as non-Union families, Catholics as well as Protestants, and in every section of the country. Among new voters 18-24 years of age, 61% prefer Nixon or lean toward him in this survey and only 37% are for McGovern. Almost two-thirds (63%) of the voters say they have their minds definitely made up and will not change it during the campaign. This figure is almost identical to the results in mid-August 1964 in connection with the Johnson-Goldwater race (61% had definitely made up their minds, 31% said they may change their minds and 8% said they had no opinion). As might be expected, those who indicate their preference in the "leaner" category are much less firm than those who initially indicate a preference. While the figures are - 2 - not exactly comparable, the commitment to President Nixon seems even firmer at this stage than that which President Johnson enjoyed at a similar stage in 1964 (approximately 60% were definitely in favor of Johnson in mid-August 1964). It would be unrealistic to expect this trial heat data finding to project itself exactly as is on Election Day. Chances are that the gap will narrow somewhat as it did in 1964 when Goldwater picked up slightly to lose by 61% to 39%. A reversal of the figures, however, is highly unrealistic. It would be a mistake, however, to think that the situations in 1964 and 1972 are exactly comparable. In 1964 the majority vote came heavily from a majority party with dis- enchanted voters from the minority. Today, the majority vote is made up of a coalition of voters heavily made up of the minority party but including many dissidents from the majority party and others who are unaffiliated. Inher- ently, such a coalition does not have the stability that is found in a bloc vote. 2. The strong trial heat preference for President Nixon is soundly based on improvements in his overall ratings on the three key indicators of performance in his job, per- formance in Vietnam, and dealing with economic conditions in the country. It may well be that the contrast between - 3 - the President and George McGovern is beginning to crystallize in the minds of the electorate. While the survey did not focus particularly on Vietnam, it seems clear that the "blew it" charges by Sargent Shriver, the Ramsey Clark trip, and the Salinger foray to Paris, if anything, had a negative impact on the McGovern campaign. The survey question on Shriver shows that his charge lacked credibility. Even among Democrats only 36% agree with Shriver while 38% disagree and 26% had no opinion. And even among those who prefer McGovern only 46% agree with Shriver while 29% disagree and 25% expressed no opinion. Similarly among those who have heard of the Ramsey Clark trip, more disapprove than approve and many more disagree than agree with his critical statements about American bombing policies. Another indication that McGovern may be suffering as his exposure to the total electorate builds is shown in response to our question 7 where we ask why Democrats may be deserting his cause. Among the principal reasons cited are that he changes his mind too often, his position on the War is improper, his welfare views are unacceptable, and in general his thinking tends to be too liberal or radical. Certainly McGovern's latest economic program as unveiled to the - 4 - New York Society of Security Analysts cannot but add fuel to the fire as far as reactions to his programs are con- cerned. 3. While a larger audience watched the Democratic Convention than watched the Republican Convention, reactions to the President's acceptance speech were considerably more favorable (46%) than reactions to McGovern's speech (27%). 57% to 20%, people also expressed themselves as favorably impressed by the Republican Convention overall, although we did not have a comparable test of the Democratic Conven- tion. On a direct question about the effect of the Conven- tion on likelihood of voting, President Nixon came through more favorably than McGovern. 32% to 16%, people expressed themselves as more likely to vote for the President rather than less likely while in the case of the Democratic National Convention 28% said they would be more likely to vote for McGovern while 38% said less likely. Despite the lack of suspense and drama in the Republican National Convention, it apparently was a successful backdrop to present President Nixon, the accomplishments of his Administration and the contrast with the Democratic programs. 4. The public is fairly strongly of the mind that the President should concentrate on his duties as President rather than obviously hit the campaign trail. This view is held by - 5 - every sub-group in the population with very little variation. For example, 57% of Republicans, 63% of Democrats and 61% of Independent voters. 5. The Watergate incident has come to the attention of 57% of the public. While this is slightly higher than the percent who were aware of the Pentagon Papers and lower than those who knew about ITT, it can clearly be overestimated as a campaign factor. Awareness is at about the same level for Republicans (56%), Democrats (57%) and Independents (60%). Only a small minority believe that the Republican campaign committee was responsible (17% of those aware of the Watergate incident or 10% of the total electorate). Most say "no" or "don't know". A good clue as to how the public views this matter is shown in question 11 where over half (54%) regard it as "just more politics" while 21% say it is "really some- thing serious". 6. On the specific question of strikes by school teachers, the public is split with the balance of the opinion against changing the law to permit teachers to strike. Among Nixon supporters the feeling is even stronger. 34% say change the law, 54% say don't change the law, and 12% express no opinion. In other ORC surveys we have asked whether or not various types of public service employees should be permitted to - 6 - strike - firemen, policemen, school teachers and sanitation workers. In all cases, weight of opinion has been against permitting these types of people to strike. There has been some lessening of opposition, however, over the four years since 1968. In the case of school teachers, the ORC trend has been as follows: Nov Aug Nov Dec 1968 1969 1970 1971 Should not be 62 53 54 55 permitted to strike Should be 29 41 39 37 permitted to strike No Opinion 9 6 7 8 * * * * * * Some Observations It is important that the momentum of the Nixon campaign not be permitted to slacken, even though a highly favorable position has been achieved to date. A comeback by McGovern and the Democrats could severely lessen any chances for sweeping in Republican candidates in the Congress, Senate and State Houses throughout the country. The flagging McGovern - 7 - campaign is hardly likely to get worse. Apparently, they can only gain in the weeks ahead. Many undecided voters and dissident Democrats may drift back and the psychological danger for Republicans is to feel that the race is over and that they can relax. Republican enthusiasm at the local level could be enhanced by the new opportunity (for Republicans) to catch on to the President's coattails. Every effort should be made to express the President's interest in candidates at lower levels. The President's tremendous prestige in the handling of foreign affairs is not equalled by ratings of his performance on the domestic front where there is a 15 point gap between approval overall as President and approval on handling of economic conditions. Fortunately, the confusion of McGovern's presentation of how he would deal with these economic condi- tions has not permitted him to take advantage of this weakness so far. A good theme for Republican campaigners in this connection is to keep hammering on how inflationary McGovern's campaign proposals really are. Fi Firm YE AIPO 11 " = 21 " = : = = = = " = " " " Method Pers. = = = = # = " = " = " 11 11 " = " Serial # 3-100 (AIPO) Date 3/69 4/69 5/69 6/69 7/69 8/69 69/6PTH 60 59 10/69 11/69 1/70 2/70 4/70 2/4- 7/71 2/19- 21/71 4/21- 24/72 5/26- 29/72 "Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Nixon 11/3 Vietnam Speech is handling the situation in Vietnam?" No 30 32 25 24 17 18 15 10 11 10 10 8 16 15 6 11 11 Approve Disapprove Opinion 26 24 27 24 30 28 40 32 32 25 24 32 41 39 37 44 38 Total Public 44 44 48 52 53 54 45 52 -58 64 65 53 48 51 53 48 53 Results AIPO 11 11 = 11 :: 11 = 11 11 " 11 11 11 11 " = Nothod Pers. = = = = = = :1 11 = " 1: 11 11 11 " 11 vial // 100 (nino) 3 0490 3/69 4/69 5/69 69/9 69/L 8/69 69/6PTK 10/69 11/69 1/70 2/70 4/70 2/4- 7/71 2/10- 21/71 4/21- 24/72 5/26- 29/72 a "Do you approve 02 dis prove of the thereay way Pre. ant Nixon 11/3 Vietnam Speech is handling the situation in Vietna.?" No 30 32 25 24 17 18 15 10 10 () 16 10 11 11 15 11 a Approve Disapprove Opinion 26 24 27 24 30 28 40 32 32 25 24 32 41 39 37 44 58 Total Public 44 44 48 52 53 54 45 52 58 64 65 53 48 51 53 43 53 Results September 1, 1972 MEMORANDUM FOR: H. R. HALDEMAN FROM: GORDON STRACHAN SUBJECT: Republican Convention Poll Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, 1972 Respondents: 974 This package includes all the requested materials from the Republican Convention Poll: 1) Tab A is the receiving memorandum with the re-formated trial heats page with Callup, Harris and ORC in columns; 2) Tab B is the requested cross-breaks; 3) Tab C contacins the cross-breaks of Nixon? McCovern voters against his issue positions, measured during the Democratic Convention Poll, July 19-20, 1972; 4) Tab D is Tom Benham's analysis of the poll. 5) Tab E is the detailed demographic tables. 6) Tab F is the trend of the "Handling of Vietnam" question back to March 1969 indicating that the current 59-33-8 is the highest since the two Gallup surveys after the November 3, 1969 Vietnam Speech when the President had 64-25-11 and 65-24-11 in November, 1969 and January, 1970. You asked that the "leaner" question following the trial heat question be added to Wave III. The Wave III trial heats are conducted by secret ballot. The respondent is handed "Secret Ballot A" ( "If you had to decide today, how would you vote in the following election situation?" - PRESIDENT: Republican - Richard Nixon or Democrat - George McCovern; and, VICE-PRESIDENT: Republican - Spiro T. Agnew or Democrat - Sargent Shriver. ) on an IBM card at the time of the personal interview. The respondent is also given Special Ballot B which contains the following statements: - 2 - Will definitely vote for Nixon. Will probably vote for Nixon, but still thinking about it. Undecided but leaning toward Nixon. Completely undecided at this time but will vote. Undecideddbut leaning toward McCovern. Will probably vote for McGovern, but still thinking about it. Will definitely vote for McGovern. Discussion with Teeter and Benham indicates that this sample ballot, scaling method is the best method in a personal interview to determine the views of the "undecided" and the amount of commitment (whether the respondents "mind has been definitely made un"). This sample ballot techniqu is what Gallup used in the Aug 26-27 poll when NO OPINION was down to 6 from 12. Benham talked with George Gallup, Jr. who said that the Gallup Organization would continue to use the secret ballot system similar to Teeter's Wave III ballot although he would not disclose the exact language. The net result is that Teeter's Wave III sample ballots will obtain the "leaner" and "definitely made up mind" infommation, which ORC obtains by telephone. To keep Wave III on schedule (field interviewing begins September 5, proliminary results September 18) I authorized Teeter to continue the sample ballot technique of Wave I, II and Gallup instead of changing to the telephone-oriented questions of ORC. The Amnesty question on Wave III has been changed in the national and all state polls to correspond to your request that there be only four options: 1) Grant unconditional amnesty now; 2) Grant unconditional amnestv after the war is over and our prisoners of war have been returned; 3) Crant unconditional annesty after the war is over, but require an appropriate penalty; and 4) Not grant annesty at all. Excluded is option 5: Grant amnesty after the war is over but require two years of some type of government service. GS:car

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This file contains: From: Harry Dent To: H.R. Haldeman RE: 1972 U.S. Congrssional Races. 14 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/5/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Possible Subject for 10am Political Meeting. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972 From: Peter H. Dailey To: Jeb S. Magruder RE: Advertising Budget. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/15/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: 1972 U.S. Congressional Races. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Gallup Releases. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Democrats for Nixon Advertisement. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/6/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Peter Dailey Meeting Regarding Democrats for Nixon. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/5/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Debates between spokesmen. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/5/1972 From: Jeb S. Magruder To: Clark MacGregor RE: Request for Policy Decision on Possible Confrontations. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 8/31/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: "Life" article on campaign. 1 pg. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/5/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Republican Convention Poll Polling dates: Aug 29-31, 1972 Respondents: 974. 31 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/1/1972 From: Tom Benham RE: Comments on the August 29-31, 1972 Telephone Survey. 9 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Other Document], 9/1/1972 From: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman RE: Republican Convention Poll Polling Dates: Aug 29-31, 1972 Respondents: 974. 2 pgs. [Subject: Campaign] [Memo], 9/1/1972

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    "ocrText": "Richard Nixon Presidential Library\nContested Materials Collection\nFolder List\nBox Number\nFolder Number\nDocument Date\nNo Date\nSubject\nDocument Type\nDocument Description\n14\n18\n9/5/1972\nCampaign\nMemo\nFrom: Harry Dent To: H.R. Haldeman RE:\n1972 U.S. Congrssional Races. 14 pgs.\n14\n18\n9/6/1972\nCampaign\nMemo\nFrom: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman\nRE: Possible Subject for 10am Political\nMeeting. 1 pg.\n14\n18\n8/15/1972\nCampaign\nMemo\nFrom: Peter H. Dailey To: Jeb S. Magruder\nRE: Advertising Budget. 2 pgs.\n14\n18\n9/6/1972\nCampaign\nMemo\nFrom: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman\nRE: 1972 U.S. Congressional Races. 1 pg.\nMonday, January 31, 2011\nPage 1 of 3\nBox Number\nFolder Number\nDocument Date\nNo Date\nSubject\nDocument Type\nDocument Description\n14\n18\n9/6/1972\nCampaign\nMemo\nFrom: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman\nRE: Gallup Releases. 1 pg.\n14\n18\n9/6/1972\nCampaign\nMemo\nFrom: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman\nRE: Democrats for Nixon Advertisement. 1\npg.\n14\n18\n9/5/1972\nCampaign\nMemo\nFrom: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman\nRE: Peter Dailey Meeting Regarding\nDemocrats for Nixon. 1 pg.\n14\n18\n9/5/1972\nCampaign\nMemo\nFrom: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman\nRE: Debates between spokesmen. 1 pg.\n14\n18\n8/31/1972\nCampaign\nMemo\nFrom: Jeb S. Magruder To: Clark\nMacGregor RE: Request for Policy Decision\non Possible Confrontations. 2 pgs.\nMonday, January 31, 2011\nPage 2 of 3\nBox Number\nFolder Number\nDocument Date\nNo Date\nSubject\nDocument Type\nDocument Description\n14\n18\n9/5/1972\nCampaign\nMemo\nFrom: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman\nRE: \"Life\" article on campaign. 1 pg.\n14\n18\n9/1/1972\nCampaign\nMemo\nFrom: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman\nRE: Republican Convention Poll Polling\ndates: Aug 29-31, 1972 Respondents: 974.\n31 pgs.\n14\n18\n9/1/1972\nCampaign\nOther Document\nFrom: Tom Benham RE: Comments on the\nAugust 29-31, 1972 Telephone Survey. 9 pgs.\n14\n18\n9/1/1972\nCampaign\nMemo\nFrom: Gordon Strachan To: H.R. Haldeman\nRE: Republican Convention Poll Polling\nDates: Aug 29-31, 1972 Respondents: 974. 2\npgs.\nMonday, January 31, 2011\nPage 3 of 3\nTHE WHITE HOUSE\nWASHINGTON\nSeptember 5, 1972\nMEMORANDUM FOR:\nH. R. HALDEMAN\nFROM:\nHARRY DENT\nHSD\nSUBJECT:\n1972 U. S. Congressional\nRaces\nThe GOP Congressional election picture is brighter today\nthan on July 10 when I submitted the last memorandum,\nprimarily because the President is stronger. The Con-\ngressional Campaign Committee is privately predicting\na minimum pickup of 20-25 seats, recognizing we could win\nmore if the tide is strong enough. Jerry Ford is still\nworking on the prospect of Southern Democrat switchovers\nafter the election if we are close enough to the magic\nnumber of 218 seats required to organize the House. The\npresent lineup is 178 GOP (plus Brad Morse vacancy) and\n255 Democrats (plus Governor Edwards of Louisiana vacancy).\nIn order to win 218 we must keep everything we have,\nincluding the Brad Morse vacancy, and pick up 39.\nAttachment A contains a listing in state alphabetical\norder of the top 10 incumbent seats which need defending\n(most vulnerable on our side); our best 10 possible\npickups; and then our second best 10 possible pickups.\nAttachment B contains a listing of congressional seats\ntargeted by the GOP Congressional Campaign Committee,\ndefensively and offensively. The ones underscored in red\nneed priority attention to win.\nTOP 10 THAT NEED DEFENDING\n1.\nCalifornia 6\nMailliard\n2.\nColorado 1\nMcKevitt\n3.\nIowa 1\nSchwengel\n4.\nIowa 4\nKyl\n5.\nIndiana 10\nDennis\n6.\nMichigan 2\nEsch\n7.\nMinnesota 6\nZwach\n8.\nTennessee 8\nKuykendall\n9.\nUtah 2\nLloyd\n10. Wisconsin 3\nThomson\nTOP POSSIBLE PICKUPS (TOP 10)\n1.\nCalifornia 36\nKetchum (new seat)\n2. California 42 (safe)\nBurgener (new seat)\n3. Illinois 17\nO'Brien (new seat)\n4.\nIndiana 11\nHudnut (Jacobs)\n5.\nMaine 2\nCohen (Dem. open)\n6. New York 26\nGilman (Dow)\n7.\nNorth Carolina 4\nHawke (Dem. open)\n8. Pennsylvania 9\nShuster (Rep. open)\n9.\nSouth Dakota 2\nAbdnor (Dem. open)\n10.\nWashington 4\nBledsoe (McCormac) primary 9/19\nPOSSIBLE PICKUPS (SECOND 10)\n1.\nIllinois 3\nHanrahan (new seat).\n2. Illinois 10\nYoung (Mikva)\n3. Illinois 11\nHoellen (Annunzio)\n4.\nIllinois 22\nLamkin (Shipley)\n5.\nIndiana 4\nBloom (Roush)\n6.\nKentucky 6\nJackson (Dem. open)\n7.\nMaryland 4\nHolt (new seat)\n8.\nMassachusetts 12\nWeeks (Rep. open)\n9. Mississippi 5\nLott (Dem. open)\n10.\nNew Jersey 12\nRinaldo (Rep. open)\nCODE:\nND - NEW DISTRICT\nRO - REPUBLICAN OPEN\nDO - DEMOCRAT OPEN\nPAIR - TWO INCUMBENTS\nAS OF 9-5-72\n* - INCUMBENT\nCODE STATE\nDISTRICT\nGOP CANDIDATE\nDEMOCRAT CANDIDATE\nCOMMENT\nALABAMA\n2\n* Dickinson\nReeves\nALASKA\nAL\nYoung\n* Begich\nND\nARIZONA\n4\nPrimary 9/12\nPrimary 9/12\nCALIFORNIA\n6\n* Mailliard\nBoas\nCALIFORNIA\n7\nHannaford\n* Dellums\nND\nCALIFORNIA\n11\nChase\nRyan\nCALIFORNIA\n18\n* Mathias\nLavery\nRO\nCALIFORNIA\n20\nMoorhead\nBinkley\n-2-\nCODE STATE\nDISTRICT\nGOP CANDIDATE\nDEMOCRAT CANDIDATE\nCOMMENT\nCALIFORNIA\n31\nValentine\n*\nC. Wilson\nCALIFORNIA\n34\nRatterree\n* Hanna\nCALIFORNIA\n35\nBrown\n* Anderson\nND\nCALIFORNIA\n36\nKetchum\nLemucchi\nND\nCALIFORNIA\n38\nSnider\nBrown\nRO\nCALIFORNIA\n39\nHinshaw\nBlack\nND\nCALIFORNIA\n42\nBurgener\nLowe\nCOLORADO\n1\n*\nMcKevitt\nPrimary 9/12\nCOLORADO\n4\nPrimary 9/12\n* Aspinall\nND\nCOLORADO\n5\nPrimary 9/12\nPrimary 9/12\n-3-\nCODE STATE\nDISTRICT\nGOP CANDIDATE\nDEMOCRAT CANDIDATE\nCOMMENT\nCONNECTICUT\n1\nRittenband\n* Cotter\nCONNECTICUT\n2\n* Steele\nHilsman\nCONNECTICUT\n5\nSarasin\n* Monagan\nND\nFLORIDA\n5\nPrimary 9/12\nPrimary 9/12\nFLORIDA\n8\nThompson\n* Haley\nND\nFLORIDA\n10\nPrimary 9/12\nPrimary 9/12\nND\nFLORIDA\n13\nPrimary 9/12\nPrimary 9/12\nRO\nGEORGIA\n5\nCook\nYoung\nRO\nIDAHO\n1\nSymms\nWilliams\nND\nILLINOIS\n3\nHanrahan\nComan\n-4-\nCODE\nSTATE\nDISTRICT\nGOP CANDIDATE\nDEMOCRAT CANDIDATE\nCOMMENT\nND\nILLINOIS\n10\nYoung\n*\nMikva\nILLINOIS\n11\nHoellen\n* Annunzio\nND\nILLINOIS\n17\nO'Brien\nHoulihan\nRO\nILLINOIS\n21\nMadigan\nJohnson\nILLINOIS\n22\nLamkin\n* Shipley\nINDIANA\n2\n*\nLandgrebe\nFithian\nINDIANA\n3\nNewman\n* Brademas\nINDIANA\n4\nBloom\n* Roush\nINDIANA\n8\n*\nZion\nDeen\nINDIANA\n10\n*\nDennis\nSharp\n-5-\nCODE STATE\nDISTRICT\nGOP CANDIDATE\nDEMOCRAT CANDIDATE\nCOMMENT\nINDIANA\n11\nHudnutt\n* Jacobs\nIOWA\n1\n* Schwengel\nMezvinsky\nIOWA\n2\nEllsworth\n* Culver\nPAIR\nIOWA\n4\n* Kyl\n* Smith\nKANSAS\n2\nMcAtee\n* Roy\nKANSAS\n3\n* Winn\nBarsotti\nKENTUCKY\n3\nKaelin\n* Mazzoli\nDO\nKENTUCKY\n6\nJackson\nBreckinridge\nLOUISIANA\n3\nTreen\nRun-Off 9-30\nMAINE\n1\nPorteous\n* Kyros\n-6-\n-\nCODE STATE\nDISTRICT\nGOP CANDIDATE\nDEMOCRAT CANDIDATE\nCOMMENT\nDO\nMAINE\n2\nCohen\nViolette\nMARYLAND\n1\n*\nMills\nHargreaves\nND\nMARYLAND\n4\nHolt\nFornos\nMARYLAND\n6\nMason\n*\nByron\nMASSACHUSETTS\n4\nPrimary 9/19\nDrinan\nRO\nMASSACHUSETTS\n5\nPrimary 9/19\nPrimary 9/19\nMASSACHUSETTS\n6\nMoseley\n*\nHarrington\nRO\nMASSACHUSETTS\n12\nWeeks\nStudds\nMICHIGAN\n2\n*\nEsch\nStempien\nMICHIGAN\n12\nSerotkin\n* 0' Hara\n-7-\nCODE STATE\nDISTRICT\nGOP CANDIDATE\nDEMOCRAT CANDIDATE\nCOMMENT\nHubER\nND\nMICHIGAN\n18\n* Broemfield\nMontgomery\nMINNESOTA\n6\n*\nZwach\nNolan\nMINNESOTA\n7\nHaaven\n* Bergland\nDO\nMISSISSIPPI\n2\nButler\nBowen\nDO\nMISSISSIPPI\n4\nCochran\nBodron\nDO\nMISSISSIPPI\n5\nLott\nStone\nDO\nMISSOURI\n6\nSloan\nLitton\nRO\nMISSOURI\n7\nTaylor\nThomas\nMONTANA\n1\n* Shoup\nOlsen\nNEW JERSEY\n3\nDowd\n* Howard\n-8-\nCODE STATE\nDISTRICT\nGOP CANDIDATE\nDEMOCRAT CANDIDATE\nCOMMENT\nNEW JERSEY\n6\n*\nForsythe\nBrennan\nNEW JERSEY\n9\nSchiaffo\n* Helstoski\nRO\nNEW JERSEY\n12\nRinaldo\nEnglish\nND\nNEW JERSEY\n13\nMaraziti\nMeyner\nNEW MEXICO\n2\nPresson\nRunnels\nNEW YORK\n1\nBoyd,\n* Pike\nND\nNEW YORK\n3\nRoncallo\nBales\nNEW YORK\n6\nGallagher\n* Wolff\nNEW YORK\n23\n* Peyser\nOttinger\nNEW YORK\n24\nVergari\n* Reid\n-9-\nCODE STATE\nDISTRICT\nGOP CANDIDATE\nDEMOCRAT CANDIDATE\nCOMMENT\nNEW YORK\n26\nGilman\n* Dow\nRO\nNEW YORK\n31\nMitchell\nCastle\nNEW YORK\n32\nKoldin\n*\nHanley\nRO\nNEW YORK\n33\nWalsh\nKadys\nNEW YORK\n36\n*\nSmith\nMcCarthy\nDO\nNORTH CAROLINA\n4\nHawke\nAndrews\nRO\nNORTH CAROLINA\n9\nMartin\nBeatty\nRO\nOHIO\n4\nGuyer\nNicholas\nOHIO\n8\n* Powell\nRuppert\nRO\nOHIO\n16\nRegula\nMusser\n-10-\nCODE STATE\nDISTRICT\nGOP CANDIDATE\nDEMOCRAT CANDIDATE\nCOMMENT\nOHIO\n19\nParr\n* Carney\nRO\nOKLAHOMA\n1\nRun-Off 9-19\nJones\nDO\nOKLAHOMA\n2\nToliver\nMcSpadden\nPENNSYLVANIA\n5\n* Ware\nFranco\nRO\nPENNSYLVANIA\n9\nShuster\nCollins\nPo\n20\nHUNG\n*Gnycles\nPENNSYLVANIA\n14\nCatarinella\n* Moorehead\nSOUTH CAROLINA\n1\nLimehouse\n* Davis\nSOUTH DAKOTA\n1\nVickerman\n* Denholm\nDO\nSOUTH DAKOTA\n2\nAbdnor\nMcKeever\nTENNESSEE\n3\n*\nBaker\nSompayrac\n-11-\nCODE STATE\nDISTRICT\nGOP CANDIDATE\nDEMOCRAT CANDIDATE\nCOMMENT\nTENNESSEE\n6\nBeard\n*\nAnderson\nTENNESSEE\n8\n*\nKuykendall\nPatterson\nTEXAS\n5\nSteelman\n*\nCabell ?\nPAIR TEXAS\n13\n*\nPrice\n*\nPurcell\nUTAH\n1\nPrimary 9/12\nMcKay\nUTAH\n2\n*\nLloyd\nPrimary 9/12\nVIRGINIA\n4\nDaniel\nGibson\nRO\nVIRGINIA\n6\nButler\nAnderson\nRO\nVIRGINIA\n8\nParris\nHoran\nRO\nWASHINGTON\n1\nPrimary 9/19\nPrimary 9/19\nWASHINGTON\n4\nPrimary 9/19\n* McCormack\n-12-\nCODE STATE\nDISTRICT\nGOP CANDIDATE\nDEMOCRAT CANDIDATE\nCOMMENT\nWISCONSIN\n1\nPrimary 9/12\n*\nAspin\nWISCONSIN\n3\n*\nThomson\nPrimary 9/12\nPAIR WISCONSIN\n7\n*\n0' Konski\n*\nObey\nWISCONSIN\n8\nPrimary 9/12\nPrimary 9/12\nWYOMING\nAL\nKidd\n*\nRoncalio\nADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL\nSeptember 6, 1972\nMEMORANDUM FOR:\nH. R. HALDEMAN\nFROM:\nGORDON STRACHAN\nSUBJECT:\nPossible Subject for\n10 a.m. Political Meeting\nYou indicated today that you had several political\nsubjects to cover at the 10 a.m. meeting in Ehrlichman's\noffice. However, there is one problem that you may want\nto cover in the meeting or separately with MacGregor.\nStans told MacGregor and Magruder today at 3 p.m. that he\nwould not release any money to the November Group until\nthey accepted the 6.3 million budget instead of the\n10 million requested. You expressed your views to\nMacGregor regarding the advertising budget in the attached\nmemorandum.\nThis budget problem may be raised Friday afternoon when\nPeter Dailey is prepared to present to you the final\n\"finished\" campaign newspaper and TV ads. Although\nDailey plans on discussing the revised advertising\nstrategy in light of McGovern's, this budget matter may\nbe raised by Dailey because the matter has not been\nresolved.\nGS/jb\nCherk\nCommittee for the Re-election of the President Machrega\nMEMORANDUM\nAugust 15, 1972\nI think Pete\nis absolutely\nMEMORANDUM TO THE HONORABLE CLARK MacGREGOR\nnight -and Howe\nTHROUGH:\nJEB S. MAGRUDER\nFROM:\nSUBJECT:\nAdvertising Budget\nwe don't Nadjust\naans if\nare\nPETER H. DAILEY\nThe recent decisions to cut the Committee Adver-\ntising budget should be reviewed now to provide\nfor sound media planning and scheduling.\nFor your review, we submit the following:\nConsiderations\n1. $14.2 million is allowable for media under\nthe Federal Election Campaign Spending Act.\n2. $3 million has been deducted from the total\nfor other uses, leaving a current budget of\n$11.2 million.\n3. We want to provide adequate reach and fre-\nquency, flexibility of message, a meaning-\nful delivery of DFN messages (or anti-McGovern\nadvertising), and an adequate contingincy\nbudget.\n4. In 1968, the Nixon campaign spent $22.5\nmillion in broadcast alone, while the\nDemocrats spent $15.4 million. At present\nwe have $8.1 million allocated to broadcast,\na reduction from 1968 of 268%. Thus, the\nallowable budget has been already reduced\n$3 million and is well under 1968 expenditures.\n5. The McGovern forces may well spend up to the\n$14.2 million allowable if they can raise the\nfunds.\n6. We do not want to visably outspend McGovern.\nWe do not want money to be a campaign issue.\n-2-\n7. Polling data must be a determinate of dollar\nplanning. We must be prepared to spend all\navailable funds to win the election and make\nadjustments downward later if polls indicate.\nRight\n8. Advertising is the only communications vehicle\nthrough which we can transmit our message as\nthe Committee wants it communicated without\nhaving the press provide its own interpreta-\ntions. Also, it is the best way to communicate\nMcGovern's radical positions to the American\nelectorate.\n9. Current Committee plans call for a substan-\ntially reduced budget. The most recent plan\nNot\nshows a budget allocation of $6.2 million\ndollars.\nConclusions\nThe $6.2 million budget assumes an easy election\nand one not related to issues. We cannot operate\non that assumption. absolutely\nWe should plan now on a close election. National\nand local polling data should be closely scrutinized\nand the plan adjusted downward later.\nRight\nRecommendation\nThe budget for advertising should be restored to the\n$11.2 million level. We can not afford to plan now\non an easy win, then be put in a position of\nscrambling for dollars in the last weeks if the\npolling gap closes.\nagree\nADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL\nSeptember 6, 1972\nMEMORANDUM FOR:\nH. R. HALDEMAN\nFROM:\nGORDON STRACHAN\nSEBJECT:\n1972 U.S. Congressional Races\nDent has prepared a factual analysis of the Congressional\nraces, indicating that the Republicans must hold all\ncurrent incumbent seats and win 39 new seats to reach\nthe 218 needed to organize the House. Ford's Southern\nDemocrats switchover project will not become important\nunless the Republicans are close to 218. Dent's Tab A\npicks the top 30 requiring attention.\nTimmons independently reviewed the September 5 Congressional\nCampaign Committee analysis. Timmons' picks are double under-\nscored while Dent's are single underscored.\nMalek's field organization can provide assessments of 50\nimportant individual races by September 13, Malek's input\nwould be conjecture before then.\nMacGregor's views will be checked September 7.\nTeeter talked with an AMPAC representative on September 5\nregarding access to their polls. Teeter received a commit-\nment to obtain the 25 completed polls on September 8.\nThis analysis of the Congressional races will be resumitted\nwhen the additional information is acquired.\nThe only people involved in this project are Bill Timmons,\nClark MacGregor, Fred Malek, Bob Teeter and Stan Anderson.\nHarry Flemming has done an independent analysis for Clark\nMacGregor but has not reviewed it with Mitchell or MacGregor.\nGS/jb\nADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL\nSeptember 6, 1972\nMEMORANDUM FOR:\nH. R. HALDEMAN\nFROM:\nGORDON STRACHAN\nSUBJECT:\nGallup Release\nJohn Davies has not returned my telephone calls for\n10 days. Several pending questions regarding demo-\ngraphics, Catholies, campaign release schedules, etc.,\nremain unanswered.\nTom Benham, however, has increased his informal contacts\nwith Gallup. In a discussion with Aleo Gallup today,\nBenham learned that the Gallup Organization will release\nfigures in the near future which will show the President's\ndramatic increase in support among young voters. The\nGallup poll of August 26-27 which showed the President\nover McGovern 64-30-6 will be used. The 18-29 year olds\nsupport the President over McGovern 58-36-6. This is\nwithin one point of the ORC August 29-31 poll which\nshowed 18-29 year olds at 57-36-7.\nGS/jb\nADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL\nSeptember 6, 1972\nMEMORANDUM FOR:\nH. R. HALDEMAN\nFROM:\nGORDON STRACHAN\nSUBJECT:\nDemocrats for Nixon\nAdvertisements\nPeter Dailey and Phil Joanou are available to show you\nthe final DFN advertisements before they meet with\nConnally at 3 p.m. All the materials (TV spots,\nnewspaper boards, etc.) are in my office. You have\nseen most of the materials in \"rough\", non-DFN attri-\nbuted form.\nThe DFN strategy memorandum prepared by Dailey and\ndelivered to me this morning is attached.\nAlso available in my office are the re-done DFN\nmailings and brochures that Peter Dailey and Bob\nMarik prepared for Conmally.\nGS/jb\nADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL\nSeptember 5, 1972\nMEMORANDUM FOR:\nH. R. HALDEMAN\nFROM:\nGORDON STRACHAN\nSUBJECT:\nPeter Dailey Meeting\nre Democrats for Nixon\nPeter Dailey has the newspaper ads, TV spots, and\ngeneral campaign advertising materials for the\nDemocrats for Nixon. John Connally called and asked\nDailey to present these materials to him tomorrow,\nSeptember 6 at 3 p.m.\nYou mentioned after the first DFN newspaper ad in\nAugust that you wanted to see the DFS materials\nbefore Connally saw them.\nDailey could review the materials with you any time\ntomorrow, The review would take 45 minutes according\nto Dailey. The President has nothing scheduled tomorrow\nbeside Dr. Riland at 6 p.m.\nRecommendation\nHaldeman to see Dailey\n11 a.m.\n12 noon\n1 p.m.\nNo need for Haldeman to see Dailey\nOther\nGS/jb\nADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTEAL\nSeptember 5, 1972\nMEMORANDUM FOR:\nH. R. HALDEMAN\nFROM:\nGORDON STRACHAN\nSUBJECT:\nDebates Between Spokesmen\nMagruder is asking for your view on whether any Admini-\nstration spokesmen should debate any Democratic spokesmen.\nMagruder favors no debates by anyone during the campaign.\nMagruder covered the subject with MacGregor this morning\nand used the attached memorandum as a talking paper.\nMacGregor favors a case by case determination of who\nshould debate whom. MacGregor favors Richardson debating\nHumphrey, and wants to debate O'Bréen himself.\nRecommendation\nThat MaoGregor's system of a case by case determination\nbe followed.\nApprove\nDisapprove\nComments\nGS/jb\nG. Strachan\nCommittee for the Re-election of the President\nMEMORANDUM\nAugust 31, 1972\nMEMORANDUM FOR:\nCLARK MAC GREGOR\nFROM:\nRequest for Policy Mr Decision on\nJEB S. MAGRUDER\nSUBJECT:\nPossible Confrontations\nSecretary Richardson has agreed to address an evening meeting of\nthe Beverly Hills B' nai B'rith in Los Angeles on September 11.\nThe expected attendance is 1,000 people.\nWe have been advised that the B'nai B'rith organization has\ninvited Senator Humphrey to attend the same meeting. If the\nSenator cannot attend, they propose to invite an alternative\n\"major Democrat\".\nThis situation raises several important policy issues:\n(1) Should surrogate speakers attend events where confrontations\nwith major Democrats are likely?\nYes\nNo\n(2) Should surrogates at anytime publicly discuss or debate\nwith Democrats?\nYes\nNo\nIn light of these questions, should Secretary Richardson\nwithdraw from the above mentioned event?\nYes\nNo\nPage 2\nIn addition to the question of surrogate confrontations and debate,\nVan Shumway has been getting a number of requests for you to debate/\ndiscuss the campaign with various top level people on McGovern's staff,\n(e.g. Gary Hart, Frank Mankiewicz).\nI do not think it would be a good idea to accept these invitations or\nin any way increase the visibility and stature of McGovern's staff\nthrough public debate. Currently we have a request from \"Issues and\nAnswers\" and CBS morning news.\nI suggest we turn down all debates between you and other top level\nmembers of our staff with anyone in the McGovern campaign -- including\n\"Issues and Answers\" and CBS morning news.\nAPPROVE\nDISAPPROVE\nCOMMENTS\nADMENISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL\nSeptember 5, 1972\nMEMORANDUM FOR:\nH. R. HALDEMAN\nFROM:\nGORDON STRACHAN\nSUBJECT:\nLife Article on Campaign\nJob Magruder called to say that the Dave Maxie article\nfor Life magazine on the campaign will be published\nSeptember 11, 1972. Maxie agreed to have Life do a\nstory on the First Family, which appeared on August 21,\n1972, in exchange for the story on the campaign.\nMaxie interviewed \"most of the senior 1701 staff, with\nsome exceptions (1.e. Bob Teeter)\". Magruder expects\nthe article to be \"on balance a favorable article\",\nprimarily focusing on MacGregor. There should be some\nnegative comment on security.\nGS/jb\nSeptember 1, 1972\nMEMORANDUM FOR:\nH. R. HALDEMAN\nFROM:\nGORDON STRACHAN\nSUBJECT:\nRepublican Convention Poll\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31, 1932\nRespondents: 974\nThis package includes all the requested materials from\nthe Republican Convention Poll:\n1) Tab A is the receiving memorandum with the\nre-formated trial heats page with Gallup, Harris\nand ORC in columns;\n2) Tab B is the requested cross-breaks;\n3) Tab C contacins the cross-breaks of Nixon?\nMadevern voters against his issue positions, measured\nduring the Democratic Convention Poll, July 19-20, 1972;\n4) Tab D is Tom Benham's analysis of the poll.\n5) Tab E is the detailed demographic tables.\n6) Tab F is the trend of the \"Handling of Vietnam\"\nquestion back to March 1969 indicating that the current\n59-33-8 is the highest since the two Gallup surveys\nafter the November 3, 1969 Vietnam Speech when the\nPresident had 64-25-11 and 65-24-11 in November, 1969 and\nJanuary, 1970.\nYou asked that the \"leaner\" question following the trial\nheat question be added to Wave III. The Wave III trial\nheats are conducted by secret ballot. The respondent is\nhanded \"Secret Ballot A\" ( \"If you had to decide today, how would\nyou vote in the following election situation?\" - PRESIDENT:\nRepublican - Richard Nixon or Democrat - George McGovern,\nand, VICE-PRESIDENT: Republican - Spiro T. Agnew or Democrat -\nSargent Shriver.) on an IBM card at the time of the personal\ninterview. The respondent is also given Special Ballot B\nwhich contains the following statements:\n- 2 -\nWill definitely vote for Nixon.\nWill probably vote for Nixon, but still\nthinking about it.\nUndecided but leaning toward Nixon.\nCompletely undecided at this time but will vote.\nUndecideddbut leaning toward McGovern.\nWill probably vote for McGovern, but still\nthinking about it.\nWill definitely vote for McGovern.\nDiscussion with Teeter and Benham indicates that this\nsample ballot, scaling method is the best method in\na personal interview to determine the views of the\n\"undecided\" and the amount of commitment (whether the\nrespondents \"mind has been definitely made up\"). This\nsample ballot techniqu is what Gallup used in the Aug 26-27\npoll when NO OPINION was down to 6 from 12. Benham talked\nwith George Gallup, Jr. who said that the Gallup Organization would\ncontinue to use the secret ballot system similar to Teeter's\nWave III ballot although he would not disclose the exact\nlanguage. The net result is that Teeter's Wave III sample\nballots will obtain the \"leaner\" and \"definitely made up mind\"\ninfomration, which ORC obtains by telephone. To keep Wave\nIII on schedule (field interviewing begins September 5,\npreliminary results September 18) I authorized Teeter to\ncontinue the sample ballot technique of Wave I, II and\nGallup instead of changing tb the telephone-oriented\nquestions of ORC.\nThe Amnesty question on Wave III has been changed in\nthe national and all state polls to correspond to your\nrequest that there be only four options: 1) Grant unconditional\namnesty now; 2) Grant unconditional amnesty after the war\nis over and our prisoners of war have been returned, 3)\nGrant unconditional amnesty after the war is over, but require\nan appropriate penalty; and 4) Not grant amnesty at all.\nExcluded is option 5: Grant amnesty after the war is over\nbut require two years of some type of government service.\nGS:car\nREPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72\nRespondents: 974\n1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is\nhandling his job as President?\nPolling\nDate\nDate\nA\nD\nN.O.\nRelsd.\n1972\nH-Dec 28-\n49\n47\n4\nJan 4\nT-Jan 3-20\n54\n35\n11\nG-Jan 7-9\n49\n39\n12\n1/20\nO-Jan 26-27\n54\n36\n10\nG-Feb 4-7\n53\n36\n11\n2/17\nH-Feb 8-15\n55\n44\n1\n2/28\nO-Mar 3-5\n59\n28\n13\nG-Mar 3-5\n56\n32\n12\n3/9\nO-Mar 18-19\n54\n35\n11\nG-Mar 24-27\n53\n37\n10\n4/13\nO-Apr 27-29\n52\n35\n13\nO-May 9-10\n57\n33\n10\nH-May 9-10\n52\n46\n2\nG-May 26-29\n61\n32\n7\n6/4\nH-Jun 10-15\n56\n42\n2\nG-Jun 16-19\n60\n32\n8\n6/25\nT-Jun 16-26\n58\n30\n12\nG-Jun 23-26\n56\n33\n11\n7/16\nO-Jul 19-20\n58\n31\n11\nH-Aug 2-3\n59\n40\n1\n8/21\nO-Aug 29-31\n63\n27\n10\nREPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72\n- 2 -\nRespondents: 974\n2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Nixon\nis handling the Vietnam situation?\nPolling\nDate\nA\nD\nN.O.\n1971\nO-Aug 21-22\n47\n40\n13\nG-Sep 3-16\n42\nH-Sep\n44\n54\n2\nH-Oct 28-\n41\n55\n4\nNov 10\nO-Nov 19-21\n50\n39\n11\n1972\nH-Dec 28-\n40\n54\n6\nJan 4\nT-Jan 3-20\n55\n38\n7\nO-Jan 26-27\n54\n38\n8\nG-Feb 4-6\n51\n39\n10\nH-Feb 8-15\n41\n56\n3\nO-Mar 3-5\n53\n36\n11\nG-Apr 21-24\n48\n44\n8\nO-Apr 27-29\n47\n44\n9\nO-May 9-10\n52\n38\n10\nH-May 9-10\n37\n59\n4\nG-May 26-29\n53\n38\n9\nH-Jun 10-15\n42\n55\n3\nT-Jun 16-26\n58\n35\n7\nO-Jul 19-20\n55\n35\n10\nO-Aug 29-31\n59\n33\n8\nREPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72\n- 3 -\nRespondents: 974\n3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Nixon\nis dealing with the economic conditions in this country?\nPolling Date\nApprove\nDisapprove\nN.O.\nH-Feb 19-21, '71\n37\n48\n15\nO-Aug 21-22, '71\n59\n31\n10\nO-Sep 7-8, '71\n56\n32\n12\n0-Oct 9-10, '71\n57\n35\n8\nO-Nov 19-21, '71\n48\n39\n13\nO-Jan 26-27, '72\n46\n45\n9\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n48\n38\n14\n- 4 - REPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72\nRespondents: 974\n4. If the 1972 Presidential election were being held today and\nthe candidates were Richard Nixon and George McGovern, which\none would you vote for - Nixon or McGovern?\nPolling Date\nNIXON\nMcGOVERN\nN.O.\n1971\nO-Jan 26-28\n59\n26\n15\nO-Apr 12-13\n56\n28\n16\n1972\nH-Feb 28-\n59\n32\n9\nMar 7\nH-Apr 1- 7\n54\n34\n12\nG-Apr 28-\nMay 1\n49\n39\n12\nH-May 9-10\n48\n41\n11\nG-May 26-29\n53\n34\n13\nH-Jun 7-12\n54\n38\n8\nG-Jun 16-19\n53\n37\n10\nT-Jun 16-26\n52\n32\n16\nH-Jul 1- 6\n55\n35\n10\nG-Jul 14-17\n56\n37\n7\nO-Jul 19-20\n54\n27\n19\nH-Aug 2-3\n57\n34\n9\nG-Aug 5-12\n57\n31\n12\nG-Aug 26-27\n64\n30\n6\nO-Aug 29-31\n59\n23\n18\n- 5 -\nREPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72\nRespondents: 974\nIf undecided on question 4, ask question 5.\n5. Would you say that you lean more towards Richard Nixon\nor more towards George McGovern?\nPolling Date\nNixon\nMcGovern\nN.O.\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n63\n28\n9\n(4%)\n(5%)\n(9%)\n6. Have you definitely made up your mind which candidate\nyou prefer for President or is there a possibility that you\nwill change your mind during the campaign?\nMade Up\nMay Change\nPolling Date\nMind\nMind\nN.O.\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n63\n31\n6\n7. Some observers have said that many normally Democratic\nvoters are deserting George McGovern and will be voting for\nPresident Nixon. What is there about George McGovern that\nmay be causing some Democrats to desert him?\nPolling Date\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n(Open Ended)\nAttached\n8. Have you seen, read or heard anything about the so-called\n\"Watergate incident\" in June when five men were arrested while\ntrying to break in and bug the Democratic National Committee\nHeadquarters at the Watergate Hotel?\nPolling Date\nYes\nNo\nN.O.\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n57\n40\n3\nREPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72\nRespondents: 974\n(Open Ended)\n7. Some observers have said that many normally Democratic\nvoters are deserting George McGovern and will be voting for\nPresident Nixon. What is there about George McGovern that\nmay be causing some Democrats to desert him?\nRESPONSES\nolo\nChanges his mind too often\n14\nStand on welfare\n12\nGeneral comments about his stand on the War\n12\nGeneral comments about radical thinking\n11\nToo liberal\n7\nShould not have deserted Eagleton\n5\nMakes rash promises\n5\nEconomic policies\n5\nSplits the Party\n4\nIsn't capable\n4\nStand on taxes\n3\nLack of credibility\n3\nSpecific comments about him being a Dove\n2\nStand on amnesty\n2\nSocialistic\n2\nLost Labor\n2\nGeneral disagreement with his proposals\n2\nToo indecisive\n2\nToo many youths following him\n2\nStand on abortion\n2\nDefense cutback notion\n2\nGenerally does not like his foreign policy\n1\nToo idealistic\n1\nUnrealistic\n1\nGenerally off base\n1\nDemocrats won't desert him\n5\n- 6 -\nREPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72\nRespondents: 974\nIf yes on question 8, ask questions 9-12; if no, ask question 13.\n9. Who do you think put these men up to the break-in, bugging\nattempt at the Democratic National Committee Headquarters -\nPresident Nixon, President Nixon's campaign committee, the\nRepublican Party, Cuban exiles, Others?\n57\nCamp.\nRep.\nCuban\n100\nPolling Date\nP.N.\nComm.\nPty.\nExiles\nOthers\nD.K.\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n1\n4\n11\n0\n11\n73\n10. Do you think President Nixon's campaign committee was\nresponsible for the break-in, bugging attempt at the Democratic\nNational Committee Headquarters or not?\nPolling Date\n57\nYes\nNo\nN.O.\n100\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n17\n48\n35\n11. Do you believe that this whole break-in, bugging attempt\nat the Democratic National Committee Headquarters is just more\npolitics or is it really something serious?\n57\nJust More\nSomething\nPolling Date\n100\nPolitics\nSerious\nN.O.\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n54\n21\n25\n12. If it is proven that high-ranking Republicans were involved\nin the break-in, bugging attempt or mishandling of Republican\ncampaign contributions, do you think this will make you less\nlikely to vote for President Nixon or won't it have any effect\non your vote?\n57\nPolling Date\n100\nNo Effect\nLess Likely\nN.O.\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n68\n23\n9\n- 7 -\nREPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72\nRespondents: 974\n13. Have you heard or read anything about the trip to Hanoi\nby former Attorney General Ramsey Clark?\nPolling Date\nYes\nNo\nN.O.\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n55\n44\n1\nIf yes on question 13, ask question 14 and 15; if no, ask\nquestion 16.\n14. Do you approve or disapprove of his trip to Hanoi while\nhostilities are still underway with North Vietnam?\n55\nPolling Date\n100\nApprove\nDisapprove\nN.O.\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n36\n48\n16\n15. Do you agree or disagree with the critical statements he\nhas made about American bombing of North Vietnam?\n55\nPolling Date\n100\nAgree\nDisagree\nN.O.\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n21\n57\n22\n16. Sargent Shriver, the Democratic Vice Presidential candidate,\nhas claimed that President Nixon missed an opportunity in early\n1969 to bring an end to the Vietnam War. From all that you have\nheard and read, do you agree or disagree with Shriver's statement?\nPolling Date\nAgree\nDisagree\nN.O.\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n22\n54\n24\n- 8 -\nREPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72\nRespondents: 974\n17. School teachers as well as most other public employees are\nnot allowed to strike by law. Do you think this law should be\nchanged to permit teachers to go out on strike or don't you?\nPolling Date\nNo Strike\nPermit Strike\nN.O.\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n47\n42\n11\n18. How much of the Republican National Convention did you\nwatch on TV?\nOver\n1-2\nLess than\nVery\nPolling Date\nAll\n2 hrs\nhrs\n1 hr\nLittle\nNone\nO-Jul 19-20, '72\n21\n11\n22\n13\n22\n11\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n17\n4\n17\n13\n27\n22\n19. Overall, were your impressions of the Republican Convention\nvery favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very\nunfavorable?\nPolling Date\nVF\nSF\nSU\nVU\nN.O.\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n23\n34\n10\n10\n23\n20. In general, how do you rate your reaction to President\nNixon's acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention -\nvery favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very\nunfavorable, didn't hear it, no opinion?\nDidn't\nPolling Date\nVF\nSF\nSU\nVU\nHear It\nN.O.\nO-Jul 19-20, '72\n9\n18\n9\n7\n57\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n24\n22\n5\n4\n38\n7\n- 9 -\nREPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72\nRespondents: 974\n21. Did the Republican National Convention make you more\nlikely or less likely to vote for President Nixon?\nPolling Date\nMore Likely\nLess Likely\nN.O.\nO-Jul 19-20, '72\n28\n38\n34\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n32\n16\n52\n22. Do you feel that you and people like yourself were really\nrepresented at the Republican National Convention or not?\nPolling Date\nYes\nNo\nN.O.\nO-Jul 19-20, '72\n41\n42\n17\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n41\n34\n25\n23. Do you think Richard Nixon should campaign vigorously\nas the Republican Presidential candidate for 1972 or should\nhe concentrate on his duties as President?\nCampaign\nConcentrate\nPolling Date\nVigorously\nOn Duties\nBoth\nN.O.\nO-Aug 29-31, '72\n12\n60\n21\n7\nREPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31, '72\nRespondents: 974\nCROSSBREAK\nQuestion 4 (Nixon, McGovern) and Question 5 (Leaners)\n(4)\n(5)\n(4)\n(5)\nNixon\nLean\nMcG\nLean\nVoters\nNixon\nVoters\nMcG\nUndecided\n6. Have you definitely made\nup your mind which candi-\ndate you prefer for\nPresident or is there a\npossibility that you will\nchange your mind during\nthe campaign?\nMade Up Mind\n78\n22\n65\n16\n11\nMay Change Mind\n22\n75\n31\n74\n44\nNo Opinion\n*\n3\n4\n10\n45\n(Read Down)\nREPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nPolling Dates:Aug 29-31, '72\nRespondents: 974\nCROSSBREAK\nQuestion 6 - Have you definitely made up your mind which candidate\nyou prefer for President or is there a possibility\nthat you will change your mind during the campaign?\nDefinitely\nMade Mind Up\nMay Change Mind\nN.O.\nNixon Supporters\n74\n26\n*\n(4 & 5)\nMcGovern Supporters\n57\n38\n5\n(4 & 5)\nUndecided\n11\n44\n5\n(4 & 5)\n(Read Across)\n- 3/4 of President Nixon's supporters have definitely\nmade up their minds to vote for him.\n- Less than 60% of Senator McGovern's supporters have\ndefinitely made up their minds to vote for him.\n- 11% are firmly undecided.\nREPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nCROSSBREAK\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31 '72\nRespondents: 974\nQuestion 4 (Nixon, McGovern) and Question 5 (Leaners)\n(4)\n(5)\n(4)\n(5)\nNixon\nLean\nMcG\nLean\nVoters\nNixon\nVoters\nMcG\nUndecided\n21. Did the Republican\nNational Convention make\nyou more likely or less\nlikely to vote for\nPresident Nixon?\nMore Likely to Vote\n47\n33\n9\n4\n6\nLess Likely to Vote\n4\n15\n44\n23\n20\nNo Opinion\n49\n52\n47\n73\n74\n(Read Down)\n47% of President Nixon's voters are more likely to vote for him\nbecause of the Republican National Convention.\nREPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31 '72\nRespondents: 974\nCROSSBREAK\nQuestion 17 - School teachers as well as most other public\nemployees are not allowed to strike by law.\nDo you think this law should be changed to\npermit teachers to go out on strike or don't\nyou?\nLaw Change\nNo Change\nPermit Strike\nNo Strike\nN.O.\nNixon (4)\n33\n55\n12\nMcGovern (4)\n62\n32\n6\nUndecided (4)\n42\n45\n13\n(Read Across)\nREPUBLICAN CONVENTION POLL\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31 '72\nRespondents: 974\nCROSSBREAK\nQuestion 4 (Nixon, McGovern) and Question 5 (Leaners)\n(4)\n(5)\n(4)\n(5)\nNixon\nLean\nMcG\nLean\nVoters\nNixon\nVoters\nMcG\nUndecided\n12. If it is proven that high-\nranking Republicans were\ninvolved in the break-in,\nbugging attempt or mishandling\nof Republican campaign contri-\nbutions, do you think this will\nmake you less likely to vote\nfor President Nixon or won't\nit have any effect on your\nvote?\nLess Likely\n15\n37\n33\n46\n29\nNo Effect\n76\n50\n60\n42\n52\nNo Opinion\n9\n13\n7\n12\n19\n(Read Down)\n- 3/4 of President Nixon's voters are unaffected by\nthe break in, bugging attempt or mishandling of\nRepublican campaign contributions.\nQUESTION 12A\n69069\nJULY 19-20, 1972\n1038 INTERVIEWS\nDO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING PROPOSALS MADE\nBY SENATOR GEORGE MCGOVERN\nA. WE SHOULD WITHDRAW ALL OUR TROOPS FROM INDO CHINA\nIMMEDIATELY AND THEN TAKE ON FAITH THAT THE NORTH VIETNAMESE\nWILL RELEASE OUR POWS\nPERCENTAGE\nBASE\nNO\nUNWTD WTD\nAGREE\nDISAGREE\nOPINION\nTOTAL PUBLIC\n1038\n1045\n30\n62\n8\nMEN\n520\n509\n28\n68\n4\nWOMEN\n518\n531\n31\n57\n12\n18-20 YEARS OF AGE\n82\n72\n42\n53\n5\n21-29 YEARS\n255\n205\n40\n52\n8\n30-49 YEARS\n388\n369\n22\n69\n9\n50 YEARS AND OVER\n312\n398\n29\n62\n18-24 YEARS\n203\n167\n42\n53\n5\n8TH GRADE OR LESS\n96\n248\n28\n64\n8\nHIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE\n156\n180\n35\n50\n15\nHIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE\n347\n369\n29\n62\nSOME COLLEGE\n432\n241\n29\n68\nam\nUNION FAMILIES\n266\n299\n30\n64\n6\nNONUNION FAMILIES\n772\n747\n30\n61\n9\nWHITE\n922\n910\n26\n67\n7\nNONWHITE\n107\n127\n56\n29\n15\nPROTESTANT\n526\n517\n25\n66\n9\nCATHOLIC\n258\n282\n35\n61,\n4\nJEWISH\n35\n26\n47\n46\n7\nUNDER $5,000 INCOME\n157\n207\n38\n51\n11\n$5,000 $15,000\n554\n559\n28\n66\n6\nOVER $15,000\n239\n169\n25\n73\n2\nNOW REGISTERED\n872\n848\n28\n64\n8\nWILL REGISTER\n112\n127\n41\n53\n6\nREGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER\n984\n975\n30\n62\n8\nWON'T REGISTER\n54\n70\n23\n61\n16\nREPUBL ICAN\n236\n239\n16\n82\nDEMOCRAT\n385\n412\n41\n50\nNO\nINDEPENDENT\n322\n295\n26\n67\n7\nLEAN REPUBLICAN\n136\n123\n13\n81\n6\nLEAN DEMOCRAT\n135\n125\n45\n47\n8\nOTHER INDEPENDENTS\n114\n120\n20\n63\n17\nCONSERVATIVE\n243\n226\n20\n71\n9\nLIBERAL\n235\n216\n49\n45\n6\nIN BETWEEN\n477\n489\n27\n66\n7\nLEAN CONSERVATIVE\n257\n269\n25\n68\n7\nLEAN LIBERAL\n148\n144\n38\n60\n2\nOTHER INBETWEEN\n155\n191\n20\n63\n17\nNIXON VOTERS\n426\n422\n18\n76\n6\nHUMPHREY VOTERS\n215\n221\n44\n46\n10\nWALLACE VOTERS\n57\n67\n9\n79\n12\nNONVOTERS\n277\n268\n36\n54\n10\nEAST\n244\n255\n29\n65\n6\nMIDWEST\n286\n287\n31\n62\n7\nSOUTH\n331\n330\n27\n60\n13\nWEST\n177\n174\n32\n63\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION\n0011\nQUESTION 12A\n69069\nJULY 19-20, 1972\n1038 INTERVIEWS\nDO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING PROPOSALS MADE\nBY SENATOR GEORGE MCGOVERN\nA. WE SHOULD WITHDRAW ALL OUR TROOPS FROM INDO CHINA\nI\nIMMEDIATELY AND THEN TAKE CN FAITH THAT THE NORTH VIETNAMESE\nWILL RELEASE OUR POWS\n(\nPERCENTAGE\nBASE\nNO\n(\nUNWTD WTD\nAGREE\nDISAGREE\nOPINION\nTOTAL PUBLIC\n1038\n1045\n30\n62\n8\nAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB\n620\n606\n19\n74\n7\nDISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB\n319\n325\n49\n44\n7\nNO OPINION\n99\n114\n30\n48\n22\nAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM\n577\n571\n16\n79\n5\nDISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM\n377\n372\n51\n40\n9\nNO OPINION\n84\n102\n27\n48\n25\nNIXON SUPPORTERS\n576\n564\n15\n80\n5\nMCGOVERN SUPPORTERS\n284\n285\n61\n31\n8\nNEITHER\n85\n93\n23\n65\n12\nUNDECIDED\n93\n104\n30\n47\n23\nNIXON SUPPORTERS\n454\n438\n14\n81\n5\nMCGOVERN SUPPORTERS\n266\n260\n62\n29\n9\nWALLACE SUPPORTERS\n196\n219\n25\n66\n9\nNONE\n33\n31\n27\n66\n7\nUNDECIDED\n89\n97\n23\n56\n21\nNIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS\n578\n566\n14\n81\n5\nMCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS\n305\n304\n60\n33\n7\nUNDECIDED\n135\n175\n27\n52\n21\n(\nWATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC\n231\n226\n33\n61\n6\n1\nWATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY\n116\n111\n30\n67\n3\nWATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY\n238\n231\n34\n60\n6\n(\nWATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY\n344\n366\n24\n65\n11\nDID NOT WATCH\n109\n112\n30\n55\n15\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION\n(\n0011\n(\n11.\nQUESTION 128\n69069\nJULY 19-20, 1972\n1038 INTERVIEWS\nB. THE GOVERNMENT SHOULD GIVE $1,000 A YEAR TO EVERY MAN,\nWOMAN, AND CHILD IN THE UNITED STATES AND PAY FOR THIS BY\nINCREASING TAXES FOR EVERYONE EARNING MORE THAN $12,000 A YEAR\nPERCENTAGE\nBASE\nNO\nUNWTO WTD\nAGREE\nDISAGREE\nOPINION\nTOTAL PUBLIC\n1038\n1045\n16\n76\n8\nMEN\n520\n509\n15\n77\n8\nWOMEN\n518\n537\n16\n75\n9\n18-20 YEARS OF AGE\n82\n72\n21\n74\n5\n21-29 YEARS\n255\n205\n21\n73\n6\n30-49 YEARS\n388\n369\n13\n78\n9\n50 YEARS AND OVER\n312\n398\n15\n76\n9\n18-24 YEARS\n203\n167\n23\n72\n5\n8TH GRADE OR LESS\n96\n248\n20\n66\n14\nHIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE\n156\n180\n22\n69\n9\nHIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE\n347\n369\n14\n79\n7\nSOME COLLEGE\n432\n241\n10\n86\n4\nUNION FAMILIES\n266\n299\n20\n78\n2\nNONUNION FAMILIES\n772\n747\n14\n75\n11\nWHITE\n922\n910\n13\n80\n7\nNONWHITE\n107\n127\n33\n48\n19\nPROTESTANT\n526\n517\n13\n81\n6\nCATHOLIC\n258\n282\n18\n75\n7\nJEWISH\n35\n26\n9\n78\n13\nUNDER $5,000 INCOME\n157\n207\n27\n56\n17\n$5,000 - $15,000\n554\n559\n15\n79\n6\nOVER $15,000\n239\n169\n7\n91\n2\nNOW REGISTERED\n872\n848\n14\n78\n8\nWILL REGISTER\n112\n127\n22\n71\n7\nREGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER\n984\n975\n15\n77\n8\nWON'T REGISTER\n54\n70\n20\n65\n15\nREPUBLICAN\n236\n239\n9\n84\n7\nDEMOCRAT\n385\n412\n19\n72\n9\nINDEPENDENT\n322\n295\n15\n78\n7\nLEAN REPUBLICAN\n136\n123\n11\n85\n4\nLEAN DEMOCRAT\n135\n125\n25\n68\n7\nOTHER INDEPENDENTS\n114\n120\n18\n69\n13\nCONSERVATIVE\n243\n226\n11\n82\n7\nLIBERAL\n235\n216\n25\n68\n7\nIN BETWEEN\n477\n489\n15\n78\n7\nLEAN CONSERVATIVE\n257\n269\n14\n82\n4\nLEAN LIBERAL\n148\n144\n15\n78\n7\nOTHER INBETWEEN\n155\n191\n13\n68\n19\nNIXON VOTERS\n426\n422\n9\n84\n7\nHUMPHREY VOTERS\n215\n221\n22\n69\n9\nWALLACE VOTERS\n57\n67\n15\n82\n3\nNONVOTERS\n277\n268\n23\n67\n10\nEAST\n244\n255\n17\n76\n7\nMIDWEST\n286\n287\n17\n74\n9\nSOUTH\n331\n330\n17\n72\n11\nWEST\n177\n174\n10\n85\n5\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION\n0012\n(\nQUESTION 128\n69069\nJULY 19-20, 1972\n1038 INTERVIEWS\nB. THE GOVERNMENT SHOULD GIVE $1,000 A YEAR TO EVERY MAN,\nWOMAN, AND CHILD IN THE UNITED STATES AND PAY FOR THIS BY\nINCREASING TAXES FOR EVERYONE EARNING MORE THAN $12,000 A YEAR\nPERCENTAGE\nBASE\nNO\nUNWTD\nWTD\nAGREE\nDISAGREE\nOPINION\nTOTAL PUBLIC\n1038\n1045\n16\n76\n8\nAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JCB\n620\n606\n12\n81\n7\nDISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB\n319\n325\n24\n67\n9\nNO OPINION\n99\n114\n13\n72\n15\nAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM\n577\n571\n12\n82\n6\nDISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM\n377\n372\n23\n67\n10\nNO OPINION\n84\n102\n9\n75\n16\nNIXON SUPPORTERS\n576\n564\n9\n84\n7\nMCGOVERN SUPPORTERS\n284\n285\n25\n64\n11\nNEITHER\n85\n93\n17\n73\n10\nUNDECIDED\n93\n104\n24\n67\n9\nNIXON SUPPORTERS\n454\n438\n8\n85\n7\nMCGOVERN SUPPORTERS\n266\n260\n25\n64\n11\nWALLACE SUPPORTERS\n196\n219\n19\n77\n4\nNONE\n33\n31\n14\n75\n11\nUNDECIDED\n89\n97\n18\n66\n16\nNIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS\n578\n566\n10\n84\n6\nMCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS\n305\n304\n25\n65\n10\nUNDECIDED\n155\n175\n17\n70\n13\nWATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC\n231\n226\n17\n74\n9\nWATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY\n116\nIII\n16\n76\n8\nWATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY\n238\n231\n17\n78\n5\nWATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY\n344\n366\n15\n75\n10\nDID NOT WATCH\n109\n112\n12\n79\n9\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION\n0012\nQUESTION 12C\n69069\nJULY 19-20, 1972\n1038 INTERVIEWS\nC. MARIJUANA SHOULD BE LEGALIZED AND CONTROLLED ALONG\nTHE SAME LINES AS ALCOHOL\nPERCENTAGE\nBASE\nNO\nUNWTD WTD\nAGREE\nDISAGREE\nOPINION\nTOTAL PUBLIC\n1038\n1045\n25\n70\n5\nMEN\n520\n509\n27\n67\nWOMEN\n518\n537\n22\n73\n5\n18-20 YEARS OF AGE\n82\n72\n42\n55\n3\n21-29 YEARS\n255\n205\n37\n56\n7\n30-49 YEARS\n338\n369\n19\n77\n4\n50 YEARS AND OVER\n312\n398\n20\n73\n7\n18-24 YEARS\n203\n167\n42\n53\n5\n8TH GRADE OR LESS\n96\n248\n16\n79\n5\nHIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE\n156\n180\n23\n73\nHIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE\n347\n369\n22\n73\nSOME COLLEGE\n432\n241\n40\n53\n7\nUNION FAMILIES\n266\n299\n21\n74\nNONUNION FAMILIES\n772\n747\n26\n68\n5\nWHITE\n922\n910\n24\n71\nNONWHITE\n107\n127\n33\n61\n5\nPROTESTANT\n526\n517\n20\n75\n5\nCATHOLIC\n258\n282\n24\n70\nJEWISH\n35\n26\n62\n31\nUNDER $5,000 INCOME\n157\n207\n24\n72\n4\n$5,000 $15,000\n554\n559\n23\n73\nOVER $15,000\n239\n169\n34\n56\n8\nNOW REGISTERED\n872\n848\n24\n71\nWILL REGISTER\n112\n127\n24\n71\nREGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER\n984\n975\n24\n71\nnuma\nWON'T REGISTER\n54\n70\n35\n56\n9\nREPUBLICAN\n236\n239\n17\n78\n5\nDEMOCRAT\n385\n412\n24\n71\nINDEPENDENT\n322\n295\n30\n62\n8\nLEAN REPUBLICAN\n136\n123\n25\n68\nLEAN DEMOCRAT\n135\n125\n37\n56\n7\nOTHER INDEPENDENTS\n114\n120\n26\n68\nCONSERVATIVE\n243\n226\n17\n79\n4\nLIBERAL\n235\n216\n43\n52\nIN BETWEEN\n477\n489\n24\n71.\nLEAN CONSERVATIVE\n257\n269\n20\n77\nLEAN LIBERAL\nsowers\n148\n144\n28\n66\n6\nOTHER INBETWEEN\n155\n191\n18\n72\n10\nNIXON VOTERS\n426\n422\n18\n77\n5\nHUMPHREY VOTERS\n215\n221\n28\n66\nWALLACE VCTERS\n57\n67\n13\n87\n0\nNONVOTERS\n277\n268\n35\n58\n7\nEAST\n244\n255\n27\n65\n8\nMIDWEST\n286\n287\n25\n71\n4\nSOUTH\n331\n330\n21\n73\n6\nWEST\n177\n174\n28\n68\n4\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION\n0013\nQUESTION 12C\n69069\nJULY 19-20, 1972\n1038 INTERVIEWS\nC. MARIJUANA SHOULD BE LEGALIZED AND CONTROLLED ALONG\nTHE SAME LINES AS ALCOHOL\nPERCENTAGE\nBASE\nNO\nUNWTO WTD\nAGREE\nDISAGREE\nOPINION\nTOTAL PUBLIC\n1038\n1045\n25\n70\n5\nAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB\n620\n606\n21\n73\n6\nDISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB\n319\n325\n31\n64\nNO OPINION\n99\n114\n27\n65\n8\nAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM\n577\n571\n21\n74\n5\nDISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM\n377\n372\n33\n62\nNO OPINION\n84\n102\n16\n76\n8\nNIXON SUPPORTERS\n576\n564\n18\n76\n6\nMCGOVERN SUPPORTERS\n284\n285\n39\n56\nNEITHER\n85\n93\n19\n79\nUINUTO\nUNDECIDED\n93\n104\n27\n68\n5\nNIXON SUPPORTERS\n454\n438\n20\n74\n6\nMCGOVERN SUPPORTERS\n266\n260\n39\n55\n6\nWALLACE SUPPORTERS\n196\n219\n17\n79\n4\nNONE\n33\n31\n24\n67\nUNDECIDED\n89\n97\n24\n73\nam\nNIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS\n578\n566\n20\n74\n6\nMCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS\n305\n304\n37\n58\nUNDECIDED\n155\n175\n19\n77\n4\nWATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC\n231\n226\n29\n65\n6\nWATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY\n116\n111\n23\n72\nWATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY\n238\n231\n25\n70\nWATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY\n344\n366\n22\n72\nwaving\nDID NOT WATCH\n109\n112\n27\n70\n3\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION\n0013\n(\n(\n(\n(\n(\n(\n(\nQUESTION 12D\n69069\nJULY 19-20, 1972\n1038 INTERVIEWS\nD. THERE SHOULD BE NO LEGAL RESTRICTIONS CN ABORTIONS IN\nTHE UNITED STATES. IT SHOULD BE A MATTER SCLELY BETWEEN THE\nWOMAN AND HER DOCTOR\nPERCENTAGE\nBASE\nNO\nUNWTD WTD\nAGREE\nDISAGREE\nOPINION\nTOTAL PUBLIC\n1038\n1045\n60\n33\n7\nMEN\n520\n509\n63\n28\nWOMEN\n518\n537\n57\n38\n5\n18-20 YEARS OF AGE\n82\n72\n65\n30\n5\n21-29 YEARS\n255\n205\n64\n33\n30-49 YEARS\n388\n369\n57\n36\n7\n50 YEARS AND OVER\n312\n398\n60\n30\n10\n18-24 YEARS\n203\n167\n62\n35\n3\n8TH GRADE OR LESS\n96\n248\n57\n36\n7\nHIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE\n156\n180\n54\n38\n8\nHIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE\n347\n369\n59\n34\n7\nSOME COLLEGE\n432\n241\n68\n26\n6\nUNION FAMILIES\n266\n299\n64\n28\nNONUNION FAMILIES\n772\n747\n58\n35\n87\nWHITE\n922\n910\n61\n32\n7\nNONWHITE\n107\n127\n55\n38\n7\nPROTESTANT\n526\n517\n60\n31\n9\nCATHOLIC\n258\n282\n56\n40\n4\nJEWISH\n35\n26\n95\n5\n0\nUNDER $5,000 INCOME\n157\n207\n54\n40\n6\n$5,000 - $15,000\n554\n559\n62\n32\n6\nOVER $15,000\n239\n169\n71\n22\n7\nNOW REGISTERED\n872\n848\n60\n33\n7\nWILL REGISTER\n112\n127\n67\n29\n4\nREGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER\n984\n975\n61\n32\n7\nWON'T REGISTER\n54\n70\n51\n39\n10\nREPUBLICAN\n236\n239\n61\n32\n7\nDEMOCRAT\n385\n412\n60\n33\n7\n(\nINDEPENDENT\n322\n295\n60\n33\n7\nLEAN REPUBLICAN\n136\n123\n62\n32\n6\nLEAN DEMOCRAT\n135\n125\n64\n31\n5\nOTHER INDEPENDENTS\n114\n120\n54\n35\n11\nCONSERVATIVE\n243\n226\n52\n41\n7\nLIBERAL\n235\n216\n70\n25\n5\nIN BETWEEN\n477\n489\n63\n31\n6\nLEAN CONSERVATIVE\n257\n269\n63\n29\n8\nLEAN LIBERAL\n148\n144\n68\n31\n1\nOTHER INBETWEEN\n155\n191\n48\n40\n12\nNIXON VOTERS\n426\n422\n64\n30\n6\nHUMPHREY VOTERS\n215\n221\n62\n30\n8\nWALLACE VOTERS\n57\n67\n56\n43\nNONVOTERS\n277\n268\n58\n35\n7\nEAST\n244\n255\n68\n25\n7\nMIDWEST\n286\n287\n58\n33\n9\nSOUTH\n331\n330\n55\n39\nWEST\n177\n174\n62\n33\n5\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION\n0014\nQUESTION 12D\n69069\nJULY 19-20, 1972\n1038 INTERVIEWS\nD. THERE SHOULD BE NO LEGAL RESTRICTIONS ON ABORTIONS IN\nTHE UNITED STATES. IT SHOULD BE A MATTER SOLELY BETWEEN THE\nWOMAN AND HER DOCTOR\nPERCENTAGE\nBASE\nNO\nUNWTD WTD\nAGREE\nDISAGREE\nOPINION\nTOTAL PUBLIC\n1038\n1045\n60\n33\n7\nAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB\n620\n606\n62\n31\n7\nDISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB\n319\n325\n59\n35\n6\nNO OPINION\n99\n114\n53\n39\n8\nAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM\n577\n571\n62\n31\n7\nDISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM\n377\n372\n61\n34\n5\nNO OPINION\n84\n102\n46\n42\n12\nNIXON SUPPORTERS\n576\n564\n61\n31\n8\nMCGOVERN SUPPORTERS\n284\n285\n64\n31\n5\nNEITHER\n85\n93\n40\n57\n3\nUNDECIDED\n93\n104\n61\n30\n9\nNIXON SUPPORTERS\n454\n438\n63\n29\nC\nMCGOVERN SUPPORTERS\n266\n260\n65\n30\n$\nWALLACE SUPPORTERS\n196\n219\n55\n39\n6\nNONE\n33\n31\n32\n60\n8\nUNDECIDED\n89\n97\n57\n33\n10\nNIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS\n578\n566\n62\n30\n8\nMCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS\n305\n304\n64\n31\nUNDECIDED\n155\n175\n46\n47\n7\nWATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC\n231\n226\n56\n38\n6\nWATCHED MORE THAN 2 MRS/DAY\n-116\n111\n69\n27\n4\nWATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY\n238\n231\n66\n28\n6\nWATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY\n344\n366\n60\n31\n9\n11.\nDID NOT WATCH\n109\n112\n48\n43\n9\nC\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION\n0014\nC\nQUESTION 12E\n69069\nJULY 19-20, 1972\n1038 INTERVIEWS\nE.\nWE SHOULD GRANT UNCONDITIONAL AMNESTY TO THOSE WHO\nLEFT THE COUNTRY OR WENT TO PRISON TO AVOID THE DRAFT\nPERCENTAGE\nBASE\nNO\nUNWTD WTD\nAGREE\nDISAGREE\nOPINION\nTOTAL PUBLIC\n1038\n1045\n20\n70\n10\nMEN\n520\n509\n19\n76\n5\nWOMEN\n518\n537\n21\n65\n14\n18-20 YEARS OF AGE\n82\n72\n43\n54\n3\n21-29 YEARS\n255\n205\n31\n62\n7\n30-49 YEARS\n388\n369\n17\n75\n8\n50 YEARS AND OVER\n312\n398\n13\n74\n13\n18-24 YEARS\n203\n167\n37\n58\n5\n8TH GRADE OR LESS\n96\n248\n15\n72\n13\nHIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE\n156\n180\n18\n73\n9\nHIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE\n347\n369\n17\n74\n9\nSOME COLLEGE\n432\n241\n30\n63\n7\nUNION FAMILIES\n266\n299\n18\n74\n8\nNONUNION FAMILIES\n772\n747\n21\n69\n10\n1\nWHITE\n922\n910\n18\n74\n8\nNONWHITE\n107\n127\n36\n47\n17\nPROTESTANT\n526\n517\n18\n71\n11\nCATHOLIC\n258\n282\n20\n72\n8\nJEWISH\n35\n26\n36\n49\n15\nUNDER $5,000 INCOME\n157\n207\n30\n58\n12\n$5,000 - $15,000\n554\n559\n15\n77\n8\nOVER $15,000\n239\n169\n24\n71\n5\nNOW REGISTERED\n872\n848\n19\n72\n9\nWILL REGISTER\n112\n127\n25\n62\n13\nREGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER\n984\n975\n20\n71\n9\nWON'T REGISTER\n54\n70\n25\n63\n12\nREPUBLICAN\n236\n239\n12\n74\n14\nDEMOCRAT\n385\n412\n22\n70\n8\nINDEPENDENT\n322\n295\n24\n70\n6\n(\nLEAN REPUBLICAN\n136\n123\n13\n81\n6\nLEAN DEMOCRAT\n135\n125\n36\n60\n4\nOTHER INDEPENDENTS\n114\n120\n20\n66\n14\nCONSERVATIVE\n243\n226\n11\n80\n9\nLIBERAL\n235\n216\n36\n57\n7\nIN BETWEEN\n477\n489\n21\n71\n8\nLEAN CONSERVATIVE\n257\n269\n16\n77\n7\nLEAN LIBERAL\n148\n144\n25\n66\n9\nOTHER INBETWEEN\n155\n191\n14\n69\n17\nNIXON VOTERS\n426\n422\n10\n80\n10\nHUMPHREY VOTERS\n215\n221\n26\n63\n11\nWALLACE VOTERS\n57\n67\n12\n88\n0\nNONVOTERS\n277\n268\n32\n59\n9\nFAST\n244\n255\n22\n69\n9\nMIDWEST\n286\n287\n22\n69\n9\nSOUTH\n331\n330\n16\n75\n9\nWEST\n177\n174\n20\n67\n13\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION\n0015\nQUESTION 12E\n69069\nJULY 19-20, 1972\n1038 INTERVIEWS\nE. WE SHOULD GRANT UNCONDITIONAL AMNESTY TO THOSE WHO\nLEFT THE COUNTRY OR WENT TO PRISON TO AVOID THE DRAFT\nPERCENTAGE\nBASE\nNO\nUNWTD WTD\nAGREE\nDISAGREE\nOPINION\nTOTAL PUBLIC\n1038\n1045\n20\n70\n10\nAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB\n620\n606\n14\n77\n9\nDISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB\n319\n325\n33\n61\n6\nNO OPINION\n99\n114\n18\n63\n19\nAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM\n577\n571\n12\n79\n9\nDISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM\n377\n372\n34\n57\n9\nNO OPINION\n84\n102\n14\n70\n16\nNIXON SUPPORTERS\n576\n564\n11\n80\n9\nMCGOVERN SUPPORTERS\n284\n285\n38\n53\n9\nNEITHER\n85\n93\n24\n69\n7\nUNDECIDED\n93\n104\n16\n68\n16\nNIXON SUPPORTERS\n454\n438\n11\n80\n9\nMCGOVERN SUPPORTERS\n266\n260\n40\n50\n10\nWALLACE SUPPORTERS\n196\n219\n16\n78\n6\nNONE\n33\n31\n33\n49\n18\nUNDECIDED\n89\n97\n14\n71\n15\nNIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS\n578\n566\n11\n80\n9\nMCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS\n305\n304\n39\n53\n8\nUNDECIDED\n155\n175\n17\n69\n14\nWATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC\n231\n226\n26\n66\n8\nWATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY\n116\n111\n22\n72\n6\nWATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY\n238\n231\n20\n70\n10\nWATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY\n344\n366\n15\n74\n11\nDID NOT WATCH\n109\n112\n23\n67\n10\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION\n0015\nQUESTION 12F\n69069\nJULY 19-20, 1972\n1038 INTERVIEWS\nF.\nWE SHOULD CUT OUR DEFENSE BUDGET BY $32 BILLION EVEN\nIF IT PUTS US BEHIND THE SOVIET UNION IN MILITARY STRENGTH\nPERCENTAGE\nBASE\nNO\nC\nUNWTD\nWTD\nAGREE\nDISAGREE\nOPINION\nTOTAL PUBLIC\n1038\n1045\n19\n66\n15\n(\nMEN\n520\n509\n21\n70\n9\nWOMEN\n518\n537\n17\n61\n22\n18-20 YEARS OF AGE\n82\n72\n31\n57\n12\n(\n21-29 YEARS\n255\n205\n27\n62\n11\n30-49 YEARS\n388\n369\n16\n71\n13\n50 YEARS AND OVER\n312\n398\n15\n64\n21\n18-24 YEARS\n203\n167\n28\n61\n11\nC\n8TH GRADE OR LESS\n96\n248\n14\n66\n20\nHIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE\n156\n180\n19\n65\n16\nHIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE\n347\n369\n17\n68\n15\n(\nSOME COLLEGE\n432\n241\n27\n62\n11\nI\nUNION FAMILIES\n266\n299\n23\n66\n11\nNONUNION FAMILIES\n772\n747\n17\n66\n17\n(\nWHITE\n922\n910\n18\n67\n15\nNONWHITE\n107\n127\n24\n54\n22\n(\nPROTESTANT\n526\n517\n16\n68\n16\nCATHOLIC\n258\n282\n19\n68\n13\nJEWISH\n35\n26\n38\n38\n24\nUNDER $5,000 INCOME\n157\n207\n22\n60\n18\n$5,000 - $15,000\n554\n559\n19\n69\n12\nOVER $15,000\n239\n169\n20\n69\n11\n(\nNOW REGISTERED\n872\n848\n17\n67\n16\nWILL REGISTER\n112\n127\n27\n64\n9\nREGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER\n984\n975\n18\n67\n15\nWON'T REGISTER\n54\n70\n23\n51\n26\nC\nREPUBLICAN\n236\n239\n16\n71\n13\nDEMOCRAT\n385\n412\n19\n66\n15\nINDEPENDENT\n322\n295\n20\n67\n13\n(\nLEAN REPUBLICAN\n136\n123\n16\n72\n12\nLEAN DEMOCRAT\n135\n125\n28\n58\n14\nOTHER INDEPENDENTS\n114\n120\n14\n58\n28\n(\nCONSERVATIVE\n243\n226\n13\n76\n11\nLIBERAL\n235\n216\n30\n54\n16\nIN BETWEEN\n477\n489\n20\n66\n14\nLEAN CONSERVATIVE\n257\n269\n17\n68\n15\n(\nLEAN LIBERAL\n148\n144\n21\n67\n12\nOTHER INSETWEEN\n155\n191\n13\n63\n24\nNIXON VOTERS\n426\n422\n15\n70\n15\n(\nHUMPHREY VOTERS\n215\n221\n20\n61\n19\nWALLACE VOTERS\n57\n67\n11\n80\n9\nNONVOTERS\n277\n268\n24\n60\n16\n(\nEAST\n244\n255\n20\n67\n13\nMIDWEST\n286\n287\n21\n63\n16\n11.\nSOUTH\n331\n330\n12\n70\n18\nWEST\n177\n174\n25\n60\n15\n(\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION\n0016\n(\n(\n(\nQUESTION 12F\n69069\nJULY 19-20, 1972\n1038 INTERVIEWS\nF. WE SHOULD CUT OUR DEFENSE BUDGET BY $32 BILLION EVEN\nIF IT PUTS US BEHIND THE SCVIET UNION IN MILITARY STRENGTH\nPERCENTAGE\nBASE\nNO\nUNWTD WTD\nAGREE\nDISAGREE\nOPINION\nTOTAL PUBLIC\n1038\n1045\n19\n66\n15\nAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB\n620\n606\n13\n74\n13\nDISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB\n319\n325\n31\n54\n15\nNO OPINION\n99\n114\n15\n57\n28\nAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM\n577\n571\n14\n74\n12\nDISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM\n377\n372\n28\n54\n18\nNO OPINION\n84\n102\n7\n64\n29\nNIXON SUPPORTERS\n576\n564\n13\n73\n14\nMCGOVERN SUPPORTERS\n284\n285\n30\n56\n14\nNEITHER\n85\n93\n22\n66\n12\nUNDECIDED\n93\n104\n19\n52\n29\n111\nNIXON SUPPORTERS\n454\n438\n13\n72\n15\nMCGOVERN SUPPORTERS\n266\n260\n33\n52\n15\nWALLACE SUPPORTERS\n196\n219\n14\n75\n11\nNONE\n33\n31\n29\n50\n21\nUNDECIDED\n89\n97\n15\n56\n29\nNIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS\n578\n566\n14\n73\n13\nMCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS\n305\n304\n29\n58\n13\nUNDECIDED\n155\n175\n16\n56\n28\nWATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC\n231\n226\n21\n67\n12\nWATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY\n116\n111\n15\n71\n14\nWATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY\n238\n231\n19\n67\n14\nWATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY\n344\n366\n16\n67\n17\nDID NOT WATCH\n109\n112\n24\n54\n22\n11.\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION\n0016\nQUESTION 12G\n69069\nJULY 19-20, 1972\n1038 INTERVIEWS\nG. BUSSING SCHOOL CHILDREN IS ESSENTIAL TO ACHIEVE RACIAL\nINTEGRATION\nPERCENTAGE\nBASE\nNO\nUNWTD\nWTD\nAGREE\nDISAGREE\nOPINION\nTOTAL PUBLIC\n1038\n1045\n18\n74\n8\nMEN\n520\n509\n17\n77\n6\nWOMEN\n518\n537\n18\n72\n10\n18-20 YEARS OF AGE\n82\n72\n24\n72\n4\n21-29 YEARS\n255\n205\n20\n71\n9\n30-49 YEARS\n388\n369\n19\n75\n6\n50 YEARS AND OVER\n312\n398\n15\n75\n10\n18-24 YEARS\n203\n167\n25\n68\n7\n8TH GRADE OR LESS\n96\n248\n20\n72\n8\nHIGH SCHOOL INCOMPLETE\n156\n180\n16\n74\n10\nHIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE\n347\n369\n17\n74\nSOME COLLEGE\n432\n241\n17\n78\n5\nUNION FAMILIES\n266\n299\n16\n78\n6\nNONUNION FAMILIES\n772\n747\n18\n73\n9\nWHITE\n922\n910\n13\n80\n7\nNONWHITE\n107\n127\n49\n37\n14\nPROTESTANT\n526\n517\n15\n76\n9\nCATHOLIC\n258\n282\n19\n75\n6\nJEWISH\n35\n26\n36\n62\n2\nUNDER $5,000 INCOME\n157\n207\n26\n62\n12\n$5,000 - $15,000\n554\n559\n15\n78\n7\nOVER $15,000\n239\n169\n17\n77\n6\nNOW REGISTERED\n872\n848\n18\n75\n7\nWILL REGISTER\n112\n127\n20\n72\n8\nREGISTERED OR WILL REGISTER\n984\n975\n18\n75\n7\nWON'T REGISTER\n54\n70\n10\n68\n22\nREPUBLICAN\n236\n239\n11\n82\n7\nDEMOCRAT\n385\n412\n25\n65\n10\nINDEPENDENT\n322\n295\n15\n79\n6\nLEAN REPUBLICAN\n136\n123\n8\n88\n4\nLEAN DEMOCRAT\n135\n125\n23\n73\n4\nOTHER INDEPENDENTS\n114\n120\n9\n78\n13\nCONSERVATIVE\n243\n226\n13\n82\n5\nLIBERAL\n235\n216\n26\n68\n6\nIN BETWEEN\n477\n489\n18\n75\n7\nLEAN CONSERVATIVE\n257\n269\n15\n80\n5\nLEAN LIBERAL\n148\n144\n21\n67\n12\nOTHER INBETWEEN\n155\n191\n14\n69\n17\nNIXON VOTERS\n426\n422\n13\n81\n6\nHUMPHREY VOTERS\n215\n221\n26\n64\n10\nWALLACE VOTERS\n57\n67\n7\n86\n7\nNONVOTERS\n277\n268\n21\n70\n9\nEAST\n244\n255\n17\n73\n10\nMIDWEST\n286\n287\n17\n72\n11\nSOUTH\n331\n330\n20\n75\n5\nWEST\n177\n174\n15\n78\n7\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION\n0017\n(\nQUESTION 12G\n69069\nJULY 19-20, 1972\n1038 INTERVIEWS\nG. BUSSING SCHOOL CHILDREN IS ESSENTIAL TO ACHIEVE RACIAL\nINTEGRATION\n(\nI.\n(\nPERCENTAGE\nBASE\nNO\n(\nUNWTD WTD\nAGREE\nDISAGREE\nOPINION\nTOTAL PUBLIC\n1038\n1045\n18\n74\n8\nAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB\n620\n606\n13\n80\n7\nDISAPPROVE NIXON HANDLING JOB\n319\n325\n28\n65\n7\nNO OPINION\n99\n114\n14\n72\n14\nAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM\n577\n571\n14\n80\n6\nDISAPPROVE NIXON ON VIETNAM\n377\n372\n27\n64\n9\nNO OPINION\n84\n102\n5\n77\n18\nNIXON SUPPORTERS\n576\n564\n10\n83\n7\nMCGOVERN SUPPORTERS\n284\n285\n36\n55\n9\nNEITHER\n85\n93\n6\n87\n7\nUNDECIDED\n93\n104\n19\n67\n14\n11.\nNIXON SUPPORTERS\n454\n438\n12\n81\n7\nMCGOVERN SUPPORTERS\n266\n260\n36\n54\n10\n(\nWALLACE SUPPORTERS\n196\n219\n10\n84\n6\nNONE\n33\n31\n11\n80\n9\nUNDECIDED\n89\n97\n12\n72\n16\nNIXON/AGNEW SUPPORTERS\n578\n566\n12\n83\nMCGOVERN/EAGLETON SUPPORTERS\n305\n304\n33\n58\ns\nUNDECIDED\n155\n175\n10\n74\n16\nWATCHED ALL OR MOST OF DNC\n231\n226\n22\n72\n6\nWATCHED MORE THAN 2 HRS/DAY\n116\n111\n13\n75\n12\nWATCHED 1-2 HRS/DAY\n238\n231\n19\n73\n8\n(\nWATCHED LESS THAN 1 HR/DAY\n344\n366\n16\n76\n8\nDID NOT WATCH\n109\n112\n15\n73\n12\n;\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION\n(\n0017\n(\n(\nSeptember 1, 1972\nSome Comments on the August 29-31, 1972 Telephone Survey\nFrom: Tom Benham\n1. The Nixon-McGovern trial heat result confirms the Gallup\ndata released on August 30. The Gallup people tell us\nthat they also use a \"leaner\" question similar to ours.\nSo opinion at this stage seems to be crystallizing with\na sizeable lead for the President.\nPresident Nixon's support is coming not only from Republicans\n(96%) but also from Democrats (41%) and Independents (68%).\nAlso, 83% of Conservatives and 45% of Liberals support him.\nHe also enjoys majorities from both Union families as well\nas non-Union families, Catholics as well as Protestants,\nand in every section of the country. Among new voters\n18-24 years of age, 61% prefer Nixon or lean toward him in\nthis survey and only 37% are for McGovern.\nAlmost two-thirds (63%) of the voters say they have their\nminds definitely made up and will not change it during the\ncampaign. This figure is almost identical to the results\nin mid-August 1964 in connection with the Johnson-Goldwater\nrace (61% had definitely made up their minds, 31% said they\nmay change their minds and 8% said they had no opinion).\nAs might be expected, those who indicate their preference\nin the \"leaner\" category are much less firm than those who\ninitially indicate a preference. While the figures are\n- 2 -\nnot exactly comparable, the commitment to President Nixon\nseems even firmer at this stage than that which President\nJohnson enjoyed at a similar stage in 1964 (approximately\n60% were definitely in favor of Johnson in mid-August 1964).\nIt would be unrealistic to expect this trial heat data finding\nto project itself exactly as is on Election Day. Chances\nare that the gap will narrow somewhat as it did in 1964 when\nGoldwater picked up slightly to lose by 61% to 39%. A\nreversal of the figures, however, is highly unrealistic.\nIt would be a mistake, however, to think that the situations\nin 1964 and 1972 are exactly comparable. In 1964 the\nmajority vote came heavily from a majority party with dis-\nenchanted voters from the minority. Today, the majority\nvote is made up of a coalition of voters heavily made up\nof the minority party but including many dissidents from\nthe majority party and others who are unaffiliated. Inher-\nently, such a coalition does not have the stability that is\nfound in a bloc vote.\n2. The strong trial heat preference for President Nixon is\nsoundly based on improvements in his overall ratings on\nthe three key indicators of performance in his job, per-\nformance in Vietnam, and dealing with economic conditions\nin the country. It may well be that the contrast between\n- 3 -\nthe President and George McGovern is beginning to crystallize\nin the minds of the electorate.\nWhile the survey did not focus particularly on Vietnam, it\nseems clear that the \"blew it\" charges by Sargent Shriver,\nthe Ramsey Clark trip, and the Salinger foray to Paris, if\nanything, had a negative impact on the McGovern campaign.\nThe survey question on Shriver shows that his charge lacked\ncredibility. Even among Democrats only 36% agree with\nShriver while 38% disagree and 26% had no opinion. And\neven among those who prefer McGovern only 46% agree with\nShriver while 29% disagree and 25% expressed no opinion.\nSimilarly among those who have heard of the Ramsey Clark\ntrip, more disapprove than approve and many more disagree\nthan agree with his critical statements about American\nbombing policies.\nAnother indication that McGovern may be suffering as his\nexposure to the total electorate builds is shown in response to\nour question 7 where we ask why Democrats may be deserting\nhis cause. Among the principal reasons cited are that he\nchanges his mind too often, his position on the War is\nimproper, his welfare views are unacceptable, and in general\nhis thinking tends to be too liberal or radical. Certainly\nMcGovern's latest economic program as unveiled to the\n- 4 -\nNew York Society of Security Analysts cannot but add fuel\nto the fire as far as reactions to his programs are con-\ncerned.\n3. While a larger audience watched the Democratic Convention\nthan watched the Republican Convention, reactions to the\nPresident's acceptance speech were considerably more\nfavorable (46%) than reactions to McGovern's speech (27%).\n57% to 20%, people also expressed themselves as favorably\nimpressed by the Republican Convention overall, although\nwe did not have a comparable test of the Democratic Conven-\ntion. On a direct question about the effect of the Conven-\ntion on likelihood of voting, President Nixon came through\nmore favorably than McGovern. 32% to 16%, people expressed\nthemselves as more likely to vote for the President rather\nthan less likely while in the case of the Democratic National\nConvention 28% said they would be more likely to vote for\nMcGovern while 38% said less likely.\nDespite the lack of suspense and drama in the Republican\nNational Convention, it apparently was a successful backdrop\nto present President Nixon, the accomplishments of his\nAdministration and the contrast with the Democratic programs.\n4. The public is fairly strongly of the mind that the President\nshould concentrate on his duties as President rather than\nobviously hit the campaign trail. This view is held by\n- 5 -\nevery sub-group in the population with very little variation.\nFor example, 57% of Republicans, 63% of Democrats and 61%\nof Independent voters.\n5. The Watergate incident has come to the attention of 57% of\nthe public. While this is slightly higher than the percent\nwho were aware of the Pentagon Papers and lower than those\nwho knew about ITT, it can clearly be overestimated as a\ncampaign factor. Awareness is at about the same level for\nRepublicans (56%), Democrats (57%) and Independents (60%).\nOnly a small minority believe that the Republican campaign\ncommittee was responsible (17% of those aware of the Watergate\nincident or 10% of the total electorate). Most say \"no\" or\n\"don't know\". A good clue as to how the public views this\nmatter is shown in question 11 where over half (54%) regard\nit as \"just more politics\" while 21% say it is \"really some-\nthing serious\".\n6. On the specific question of strikes by school teachers, the\npublic is split with the balance of the opinion against\nchanging the law to permit teachers to strike. Among Nixon\nsupporters the feeling is even stronger. 34% say change\nthe law, 54% say don't change the law, and 12% express no\nopinion.\nIn other ORC surveys we have asked whether or not various\ntypes of public service employees should be permitted to\n- 6 -\nstrike - firemen, policemen, school teachers and sanitation\nworkers. In all cases, weight of opinion has been against\npermitting these types of people to strike. There has been\nsome lessening of opposition, however, over the four years\nsince 1968. In the case of school teachers, the ORC trend\nhas been as follows:\nNov\nAug\nNov\nDec\n1968\n1969\n1970\n1971\nShould not be\n62\n53\n54\n55\npermitted to\nstrike\nShould be\n29\n41\n39\n37\npermitted to\nstrike\nNo Opinion\n9\n6\n7\n8\n*\n*\n*\n*\n*\n*\nSome Observations\nIt is important that the momentum of the Nixon campaign not\nbe permitted to slacken, even though a highly favorable\nposition has been achieved to date. A comeback by McGovern\nand the Democrats could severely lessen any chances for\nsweeping in Republican candidates in the Congress, Senate\nand State Houses throughout the country. The flagging McGovern\n- 7 -\ncampaign is hardly likely to get worse. Apparently, they\ncan only gain in the weeks ahead. Many undecided voters\nand dissident Democrats may drift back and the psychological\ndanger for Republicans is to feel that the race is over and\nthat they can relax. Republican enthusiasm at the local\nlevel could be enhanced by the new opportunity (for Republicans)\nto catch on to the President's coattails. Every effort should\nbe made to express the President's interest in candidates\nat lower levels.\nThe President's tremendous prestige in the handling of\nforeign affairs is not equalled by ratings of his performance\non the domestic front where there is a 15 point gap between\napproval overall as President and approval on handling of\neconomic conditions. Fortunately, the confusion of McGovern's\npresentation of how he would deal with these economic condi-\ntions has not permitted him to take advantage of this weakness\nso far. A good theme for Republican campaigners in this\nconnection is to keep hammering on how inflationary McGovern's\ncampaign proposals really are.\nFi Firm YE\nAIPO\n11\n\"\n=\n21\n\"\n=\n:\n=\n=\n=\n=\n\"\n=\n\"\n\"\n\"\nMethod\nPers.\n=\n=\n=\n=\n#\n=\n\"\n=\n\"\n=\n\"\n11\n11\n\"\n=\n\"\nSerial # 3-100 (AIPO)\nDate\n3/69\n4/69\n5/69\n6/69\n7/69\n8/69\n69/6PTH\n60 59\n10/69\n11/69\n1/70\n2/70\n4/70\n2/4-\n7/71\n2/19-\n21/71\n4/21-\n24/72\n5/26-\n29/72\n\"Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Nixon\n11/3 Vietnam Speech\nis handling the situation in Vietnam?\"\nNo\n30\n32\n25\n24\n17\n18\n15\n10\n11\n10\n10\n8\n16\n15\n6\n11\n11\nApprove Disapprove Opinion\n26\n24\n27\n24\n30\n28\n40\n32\n32\n25\n24\n32\n41\n39\n37\n44\n38\nTotal Public\n44\n44\n48\n52\n53\n54\n45\n52\n-58\n64\n65\n53\n48\n51\n53\n48\n53\nResults\nAIPO\n11\n11\n=\n11\n::\n11\n=\n11\n11\n\"\n11\n11\n11\n11\n\"\n=\nNothod\nPers.\n=\n=\n=\n=\n=\n=\n:1\n11\n=\n\"\n1:\n11\n11\n11\n\"\n11\nvial // 100 (nino)\n3\n0490\n3/69\n4/69\n5/69\n69/9\n69/L\n8/69\n69/6PTK\n10/69\n11/69\n1/70\n2/70\n4/70\n2/4-\n7/71\n2/10-\n21/71\n4/21-\n24/72\n5/26-\n29/72\na\n\"Do you approve 02 dis prove of the thereay way Pre. ant Nixon\n11/3 Vietnam Speech\nis handling the situation in Vietna.?\"\nNo\n30\n32\n25\n24\n17\n18\n15\n10\n10\n()\n16\n10\n11\n11\n15\n11\na\nApprove Disapprove Opinion\n26\n24\n27\n24\n30\n28\n40\n32\n32\n25\n24\n32\n41\n39\n37\n44\n58\nTotal Public\n44\n44\n48\n52\n53\n54\n45\n52\n58\n64\n65\n53\n48\n51\n53\n43\n53\nResults\nSeptember 1, 1972\nMEMORANDUM FOR:\nH. R. HALDEMAN\nFROM:\nGORDON STRACHAN\nSUBJECT:\nRepublican Convention Poll\nPolling Dates: Aug 29-31, 1972\nRespondents: 974\nThis package includes all the requested materials from\nthe Republican Convention Poll:\n1) Tab A is the receiving memorandum with the\nre-formated trial heats page with Callup, Harris\nand ORC in columns;\n2) Tab B is the requested cross-breaks;\n3) Tab C contacins the cross-breaks of Nixon?\nMcCovern voters against his issue positions, measured\nduring the Democratic Convention Poll, July 19-20, 1972;\n4) Tab D is Tom Benham's analysis of the poll.\n5) Tab E is the detailed demographic tables.\n6) Tab F is the trend of the \"Handling of Vietnam\"\nquestion back to March 1969 indicating that the current\n59-33-8 is the highest since the two Gallup surveys\nafter the November 3, 1969 Vietnam Speech when the\nPresident had 64-25-11 and 65-24-11 in November, 1969 and\nJanuary, 1970.\nYou asked that the \"leaner\" question following the trial\nheat question be added to Wave III. The Wave III trial\nheats are conducted by secret ballot. The respondent is\nhanded \"Secret Ballot A\" ( \"If you had to decide today, how would\nyou vote in the following election situation?\" - PRESIDENT:\nRepublican - Richard Nixon or Democrat - George McCovern;\nand, VICE-PRESIDENT: Republican - Spiro T. Agnew or Democrat -\nSargent Shriver. ) on an IBM card at the time of the personal\ninterview. The respondent is also given Special Ballot B\nwhich contains the following statements:\n- 2 -\nWill definitely vote for Nixon.\nWill probably vote for Nixon, but still\nthinking about it.\nUndecided but leaning toward Nixon.\nCompletely undecided at this time but will vote.\nUndecideddbut leaning toward McCovern.\nWill probably vote for McGovern, but still\nthinking about it.\nWill definitely vote for McGovern.\nDiscussion with Teeter and Benham indicates that this\nsample ballot, scaling method is the best method in\na personal interview to determine the views of the\n\"undecided\" and the amount of commitment (whether the\nrespondents \"mind has been definitely made un\"). This\nsample ballot techniqu is what Gallup used in the Aug 26-27\npoll when NO OPINION was down to 6 from 12. Benham talked\nwith George Gallup, Jr. who said that the Gallup Organization would\ncontinue to use the secret ballot system similar to Teeter's\nWave III ballot although he would not disclose the exact\nlanguage. The net result is that Teeter's Wave III sample\nballots will obtain the \"leaner\" and \"definitely made up mind\"\ninfommation, which ORC obtains by telephone. To keep Wave\nIII on schedule (field interviewing begins September 5,\nproliminary results September 18) I authorized Teeter to\ncontinue the sample ballot technique of Wave I, II and\nGallup instead of changing to the telephone-oriented\nquestions of ORC.\nThe Amnesty question on Wave III has been changed in\nthe national and all state polls to correspond to your\nrequest that there be only four options: 1) Grant unconditional\namnesty now; 2) Grant unconditional amnestv after the war\nis over and our prisoners of war have been returned; 3)\nCrant unconditional annesty after the war is over, but require\nan appropriate penalty; and 4) Not grant annesty at all.\nExcluded is option 5: Grant amnesty after the war is over\nbut require two years of some type of government service.\nGS:car"
}