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DOCUMENT WITHDRAWAL RECORD [NIXON PROJECT] DOCUMENT DOCUMENT NUMBER TYPE SUBJECT/TITLE OR CORRESPONDENTS DATE RESTRICTION N-1 Memo Colson to the File Re contact with 3/25/70 c(Nixon) Rademacher N-2 Memo Colson to Ehrlichman Re: Radernacher/ 3/25/70 c(Nixon) Postal strike N-1 reintegrated from Contested Tiles on December 19, 200 6 FILE GROUP TITLE BOX NUMBER WHSF: Ehrlichman 33 FOLDER TITLE Numerical subject File: 238 [Postal strike, 2 of 3 ] RESTRICTION CODES A. Release would violate a Federal statute or Agency Policy. E. Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or B. National security classified information. financial information. C. Pending or approved claim that release would violate an individual's F. Release would disclose investigatory information compiled for law rights. enforcement purposes. D. Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of privacy G. Withdrawn and return private and personal material. or a libel of a living person. H. Withdrawn and returned non-historical material. NATIONAL ARCHIVES AND RECORDS ADMINISTRATION NA FORM 1421 (4-85) Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum DOCUMENT WITHDRAWAL RECORD [NIXON PROJECT] DOCUMENT DOCUMENT NUMBER TYPE SUBJECT/TITLE OR CORRESPONDENTS DATE RESTRICTION N-1 Memo Colson to the File Re: contact with 3/25/70 C (Nixon) [86] Rademacher N-2 Memo Celson to Ehrlichman Re: Rademacher/ 3/25/70 C (Nixon) [87] Postal strike open 6/8/2009 FILE GROUP TITLE BOX NUMBER WASF: Ehrlichman 33 FOLDER TITLE Numerical subject File: 238 [Postal strike, 2 of 3 ] RESTRICTION CODES A. Release would violate a Federal statute or Agency Policy. E. Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or B. National security classified information. financial information. C. Pending or approved claim that release would violate an individual's F. Release would disclose investigatory information compiled for law rights. enforcement purposes. D. Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of privacy G. Withdrawn and return private and personal material. or a libel of a living person. H. Withdrawn and returned non-historical material. NATIONAL ARCHIVES AND RECORDS ADMINISTRATION NA FORM 1421 (4-85) Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum Presidential Materials Review Board Review on Contested Documents Collection: John D. Ehrlichman Box Number: 33 Folder: 238 [Postal Strike 2 of 3] Document Disposition 86 Retain Open 87 Retain Close Invasion of Privacy Open 6/8/2009 Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum march Cabin 28 1970 WHITE Room house WASHINGTON 0900 usery Hodgron Sec Sumez Beount Nelson Hampton E Cashen Jones Keassen Harlow which am Klein Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum ############### Hadgron- THE WASHINGTON WHITE HOUSE Inexperienced reg. for Union all gou- wege Reform - - possib of union table agreemit. double cress after very delicate next week Monday - mág. NPU usery & alliance Kiason will see today - delicate - - large #'s Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum THE WHITE house WASHINGTON Chese unions must Somehow be included - 1 BU: posib by Mon work This wee Kend alliance: big Civ rts a Amnessy = " Injune Consempt citarion - Judgent 21 union & NY leaders , Eined no cans condone Indiv. compassion- Phose not leaders, no crim punishment Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum THE WHITE house WASHINGTON No fixed position- amenty - 1 H Cashen FAA were last nite Categories Jones Comparability 5.75 6% Close to 12% w/ compression. - w/ retroactive adjustment Part now, '69 comp = 5.75 Part later- - across the board Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum THE WHITE house WASHINGTON union = asking what The committed to - gor is already mn Teamster deadline = Tues 12pm RR's - 4/7 1 in Cong- - -mediaring Mon- - Mtq Mon- - will prob = =if Cong debys, will postpose have wildeats - - 4,300,000,000 @ 12% buger: 5.4% for postal- Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Harlow - people unsymp. w/ big raise- = opposed to pul sers. sfrikes - TT should say So- it's now in doweler- = Talking about tax dollars + postage- country needs to understand This 1 out of hand politically $ practically - weakness - a position of Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON ShulFz disagrees - Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum Bloud - [3-27-70] 1 Groups- 5 days: Meany repud 5 days offer - counser offer = 2 Mc ge = 1 Negot- -OK- Confid 6% 2 Reform - locked into his approach- - Statt mig w/ Dave Today- - 3 to CSC use Hodgron - Ger reg. reports Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum IT Stmts: postal & 7ed Pay Environmt T 1B/yrt (1) Volume Army". 4B 7/71 Deseg 1/2 bel A Qualite Sch- Budget over- . run Need more - options- Pay- was mistake To delay To 12/20 Be realistic Needs cant pay for Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum TT BROUNT Ke@sen ZE 3-26-70 12 1245 1 any settlemit refroactive- - Effect on 5 day neq. limit Effect on public- dunne 30 days to a final result Deliberate pace - 2 II aware of needs Degree of retroactivity TT mois(s There be a settlem't A fair settlem's IT pers will do everything to Men Kept part of bangain- - get thru cang. 3 A package Postal Rate classified / milit Reform B 4 Bear deal: 1- - 5.4% all gov. neiro to 1/0/70 2- Reform bill = coll. bang. a K - addl increase as once - 90 days for PO only - - Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum information 4 3- 5 Union went permit reform to be pined- 6 TT: no 12% increase Senate wont buy He HR 13000 F 7 Rate increase - 10 ¢ max. B agrees To adequately pay workers - 8 Bold when public Firred up- Annesty 9 Pay for strike days: TI: most people feel They gave up & have been purished- I can be very generous - Give here - Take on other Rigs B= disagree Ted - Might encourage sherr to sFrike - IT- We have troops- - =\ 10 Be quite generous , = 12% demand Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum Fuid a way To do 12% separate 1 other classif- ag 10¢ + Reform- - II will personally push is - 12% is in The ball park- - BOOO is dead - 2 Reform HR (Mcgee) S full of makes - TT- we have to give too Rates wages your of Cong- will try to mysrove is over wk-end There 13 workers slewed good fanth we will two Dts of A 14 Timing 15 TI personal interest & 16 Klein - tough letter re headline NY Times "Segregasion"- - Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum POST OFFICE DEPARTMENT DATE: March 26, 1970 REPLY TO ATTN OF: DAN:rg SUBJECT: Strategy for Pay and Amnesty P.O. CL: TO: Postmaster General Deputy Postmaster General SANCTIONS The options (various combinations and permutations of which are pos- sible) are these: 1. Criminal prosecutions against the ring leaders and, if desired, a small, medium or large group of second echelon leaders (i.e., those who took an active part in picketing, who spoke vociferously at union meetings, etc.) 2. Adverse action charges leading to the dismissal from Federal employment of the ring leaders, and, if desired, a small, medium or large group of second echelon leaders. 3. Civil actions against striking locals to recover compensatory damages and, possibly, punitive damages. 4. Withdrawal of recognition from locals that went on strike; this automatically terminates the dues deduction for such locals. 5. Unfair labor practice charges against the locals that went on strike, with the dues we collect being paid into escrow pendente lite; depending on future developments, the pot of money thus accumulated would be available to pay subsequent court fines, to be returned to the individual employees, or to be paid over to the unions. 6. Let everything remain in statu quo; the employees would receive no pay for the time they were out, but there would be no other penalties. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum 7. Pay all employees (or all except the ring leaders) for the time they were out. RECOMMENDATIONS Options 1, 2 and 7 make no sense to me, for reasons with which you are familiar. Option 5 -- the unfair labor practice charge, with dues being held in escrow for an indeterminate time -- has the most appeal for me at the moment, but some other form of economic sanction against the striking locals might ultimately prove to be more desirable. PAY/REFORM It is crystal clear that the general public believes postal employees ought to get a raise now. For the Administration to appear to be trying to block a reasonable raise by refusing to consider any increase that is not tied to postal reform would put us in an impossible position with the public. Senators McGee and Fong have long maintained that classified Federal employees ought to get the same increase that postal employees get. They were wrong before, but right now. The goal that we ought to have in mind at this point is a general pay increase that does not appear to give any undue preference to those who broke the law by going out on strike. One way or another -- by use of a Presidential veto if necessary - - we can fend off a general 12% increase. Any general increase actually enacted into legislation is bound to be too low to satisfy the postal employees. The way to take care of the postal employees, both now and in the years to come, is for Congress to pass -- probably after the general pay legislation has been enacted -- a good postal reform bill that authorizes the Post Office Department to begin immediate negotiations on the wage scales for the reformed postal system. The wages that will be put into effect as a result of those negotiations can be justified by reference to (a) the increased operating efficiencies possible in a truly reformed postal system, and (b) the 8¢ stamp, and other postage rate Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum increases, that should be tied to any postal reform legislation. Realizing, as it now does, that postal pay is too low, the public would now be prepared, I believe, to accept first class rate increases of even greater magnitude than those we have been discussing. He might grumble a little, but I think the man in the street would accept a 10¢ stamp; the impact of that kind of rate increase on some businesses would, however, be catastrophic. D.a.n. David A. Nelson Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum Drafts of message on postal strike oduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Mu THE CHAIRMAN OF THE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS WASHINGTON April 3, 1970 VII S8 MEMORANDUM FOR JOHN EHRLICHMAN I crossed the trail of a rumor that the detailed table "Changes in the FY 1971 Budget" on page 7 of draft #3 of the proposed message may be dropped. This in my judgment would be a mistake. There is going to be keen concern about the details of this $3.4 billion change in projected outlays (over $2 billion of which consists of other matters than the pay raise). The best way to handle the problem is to have the details right in the text of the statement. Daul Paul W. McCracken Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum As a further step to assist the economy in making its adjustments along a less inflationary course I am setting up a Watchdog Committee. The functions of this Committee will be: to assure that the actions and programs within the Government itself are making their contribution to achieving a new stability in our price-cost level; to report to me on programs for achieving stronger gains in productivity; to analyze and report to me on factors under- lying major wage and price decisions; and to conduct studies of the relationship between concentration and distribution of economic power and the possibility of achieving stronger gains in productivity and a greater stability of the price-cost level. Members of this Committee will consist be of the Secretaries of the Treasury, Commerce, Labor, Agriculture, and Housing and Urban Development, the Attorney General, the Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, the Special Assistant to the President for Consumer Affairs, and such others as may from time to time be appropriate. The Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers will act as Chairman of this Cabinet Committee. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON April 2, 1970 MEMORANDUM FOR JOHN EHRLICHMAN From: William E. Timmons I cleared the postal-financial statement with Jerry Ford who is in California. John Byrnes is touring Florida. His staff & maid said he couldn't be reached. I'll brief Wilbur Mills and Byrnes' Ways & Means counsel in the am. Ken BeLieu is still trying to reach Senators Williams and Griffin. He'll make a contact with Russell Long in the manana. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum Ehrlichman: 4/2/70 Statem't message or ? Yesterday, the government negotiated a settlement with its postal employees. This settlement could not properly be made in isolation from the needs of all Federal employees. In dealing with the special needs of the postal workers, the government represent atives took into account the context of the Federal government's relations with its entire work force. It should be noted that this negotiation took place only after the postal work stoppages had ceased. One who works as a government employee agrees not to strike. But, concomitantly, the government has an obligation to insure each of its employees fair treatment so long as each lives up to his or her obligations. The government is committed by law to a pay policy of comparability; that is, pay levels should correspond to those in business and industry. The agreed-upon government-wide pay increase complies with this standard. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -2- This Administration is committed to a policy of pay-as- you-go. I believe that we have an obligation to provide revenues to meet the increased expenditures involved in this settlement. This is only good business and it is insurance against inflation. Accordingly, I will send the Congress a message as follows: 1. I propose that the Congress enact a pay increase of 6% for all Federal employees, paid under statutory salary systems, including members of the armed forces, retroactive to the last pay period at the end of calendar 1969. 2. At the same time, I urge the Congress to take action to reform the postal service. Had this action been taken earlier, the postal work stoppage would have been averted. The Congress must recognize the need to modernize the postal system, to improve working conditions and to give employees and management an effective medium for bargaining. The proposed postal reform will be worked out by April 10; I am sure the proposals will meet these needs. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -3- 3. Immediately upon enactment of postal reform, the process of collective bargaining will begin. In recognition of improvements in postal operations, the results of such bargaining will include an increase in wages of at least 8% in addition to the government-wide increase. 4. It has also been agreed in negotiations this week that the inequities created by the need to wait 21 years to move from the entry to the top rate in a job classification should be removed by reducing this to an 8-year period. Postal revenues: To pay as we go for the postal salary increase and to eliminate the current postal deficit of about $600 million, I urge that the Congress raise first class postal rates to 10¢ for regular first class mail as soon as possible. This increase will produce added revenues of approximately $2. 5 billion. Concurrently, the subsidy we now pay to users of other classes of mail should be ended, and those rates should be increased in phased annual increments, starting with an increase which will generate an additional $82 million in fiscal 1971. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -4- An adjustment in the schedule of fourth class rates will also be sought to produce $100 million in revenues. In all, I am proposing added postal revenues by Congressional and administrative action of $1, 682, 000, 000. These revenues are essential to meet the salary needs of postal workers, to wipe out the postal deficit, and to contribute to the efficiency of the postal system. General revenues: To pay for the 6% increase to all government workers, which will cost $1. 2 billion in fiscal 1970 and 1.3 billion additional over the $1. 2 billion already included in the fiscal 1971 budget, I propose that the Congress consider further actions which will result in modification of our 1971 budgetary program. The Crossroads of Decision At the beginning of my Administration I made the basic decision that the Federal government must start to live within its means. The long inflation that began after 1965 had its roots in a string of unbalanced budgets capped by the $25 billion deficit in FY 1968. To restore order in the economy the Federal government's first responsibility was to restore order in its own finances. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -5- - The tax program which I put before the Congress a year ago called for a balanced set of reforms, at the same time making provision for total revenues that would match the prospective outlays. Prospective revenues for FY 1971 in the tax bill that finally reached my desk last December were more than $3 billion below what my own recommendations a year ago would have provided. I expressed my grave misgivings about that revenue shortfall. I finally decided that, time having run out for the last session of the Congress, there was no alternative but to sign the bill and put before the Congress in my Budget Message a program of expenditures consistent with these reduced revenues. That was done. It was an austere program. Important programs were sharply curtailed or entirely eliminated. A major omission was the overdue pay increases to Federal workers. This tax bill has forced on the Federal government a level of wage outlays that is inconsistent with any reasonable estimate of wage level decisions in this session of the Congress. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -6- Yet I cannot and will not participate in an excursion into fiscal irresponsibility. That would re-awaken skepticism about our determination to quell inflation, just when clear evidence of progress is in sight. And savings diverted into financing a deficit mean reduced funds and resources for housing, for State and local government projects, and for the capital formation essential to our on-going productivity and economic progress. Therefore, I call upon the Congress and the Nation to face the realities of our Federal budget. We must pay the bills for the wages that we vote. We must pay just wages in government. These involve more outlays than the revenues that last year's tax bill would produce. A pay-as-you-go approach shatters a favorite old shibboleth. "Congresses do not increase revenues in an election year; voters will not entertain a thought about new taxes as April 15 approaches. " But I firmly believe, given the facts, the American people will support the Congressmen with the courage to do what is right. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -7- Putting the public interest first, it is right to build confidence in the integrity of the dollar, which we will do by redeeming our pledge of an anti-inflationary budget. Putting the public interest first, it is right to insist on a course of economic stability that will lead to price stability, job stability, and a balanced use of our resources. To face up to our responsibilities, here are my recommendations: Added Revenues The proposals contemplated by this message will change the 1970 and the 1971 budget estimates as follows: (In billions) February Revised estimates estimates 1970 1971 1970 1971 Receipts 199.4 202.1 199.4 206.3 Outlays 197.9 200.8 198.9 204.2 Surplus 1.5 1.3 + 0.5 + 2.1 Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -8- To meet these needs without contributing to inflation, I propose the following revenue legislation which will neither require extending the surtax nor raising income tax rates: 1. By accelerating collection from employers of income and excise taxes withheld, some $1.0 billion will be realized in FY 1971. 2. The 1971 budget forecasts the collection of $3.6 billion of estate and gift taxes in the coming fiscal year. I propose to accelerate collection of these taxes, which would add as much as $1.5 billion in receipts in fiscal 1971. 3. Leaded gasoline contributes heavily to air pollution. I propose a tax on lead additives used in gasoline at a rate equivalent to $3.00. per pound of lead, which at present rates of use would yield approximately $1-1/2 billion. These taxes will also make a major contribution to improving the quality of our environment and the health of our people. Through this tax on lead used in gasoline we will thus be giving an incentive for reducing the use of a substance that may be harmful to health in itself but which when used in automotive fuel shortens the life of pollution abatement devices and stands in the way of achieving a low pollution vehicle. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -9- 4. As a result of the pay increases recommended in this message, I estimate that about $180 million will return to the government in personal income taxes. The total of these added revenues to the fiscal 1971 budget would be about $4. 18 billion. Within a few days, legislation will be prepared to achieve the recommended wage increases, the reorganization of the Post Office Department, the postal rate changes and the revenue measures described. I cannot stress too strongly my support of early adoption of all of these inter-dependent and necessary actions. Each will relate to and depend upon the others. I request the Congress to act upon all, at once, to afford deserving employees an equitable pay adjustment, to provide badly needed reorganization to our postal service and to establish a sound pay-as-you-go revenue program to support these needed changes. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -10- - By adhering to sound principles, by being responsive to the changing needs of our people, by being willing to listen and to learn, and -- most important -- by being courageous enough to take the right action at the right time with the right motive, both the Congress and the Executive Branch will inspire the peoples' confidence in government's ability to manage the Nation's affairs. (((( Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum Safire - April 2, 1970 3 DRAFT #A MESSAGE RE: POSTAL SETTLEMENT NEW BUDGET REQUIREMENTS FEDERAL LABOR RELATIONS Today Yesterday, the government negotiated a settlement with its postal employees. This settlement could not properly be made in isolation from the needs of all Federal employees. In dealing with the the government represensatives special needs of the postal workers, we took into account the con- text of the Federal government's relations with its entire work force. Accordingly: 1. I propose that the Congress enact a pay increase of 6% for all Federal employees, paid under statutory salary systems, including members of the armed forces, retroactive to the last pay period at the end of calendar 1969. 2. At the same time, I urge the Congress to take action on my recommendations made last year to reform the postal service. Had this action been taken earlier, the postal work stoppage would have been averted. The Congress must recognize the need to modernize the postal system, to improve working conditions and to give employees and management an effective medium for bargaining. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -2- My postal reform proposals meet these needs. Immediately upon enactment of postal reform, the process of collective bargaining will begin. In recognition of improvements in postal operations, the results of such bargaining will include an increase, in wages of at least 8% in addition to the government-wide increase. It has also been agreed in negotiations this week that the inequities created by the need to wait 21 years to move from the entry to the top rate in a job classification should be removed by reducing this to an 8-year period. To pay for the postal salary increase and to eliminate the current postal deficit of about $600 million, I again urge that the Congress raise first class postal rates to 7¢ for regular first class mail as soon as possible. This increase will produce added revenues of approximately $570 million in fiscal 1971. Concurrently the subsidy we now pay to users of other classes of mail should be ended, and those rates should be increased in phased annual increments, starting with an increase which will generate an additional $82 million in fiscal 1971. In addition, I will direct the Post Office to take steps to institute a new "fast first class" mail at 10¢ which is estimated to increase postal revenues by about $400 million a year. An adjustment in the schedule of fourth class rates will also be sought to produce $100 million in revenues. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -2-A - In all, I am proposing, as was set forth in the 1971 Budget, added postal revenues by Congressional and administrative action of $1, 174, 000,000 These revenues are essential to meet the salary needs of postal workers, to wipe out the postal deficit, and to contribute to the efficiency of the postal system. To pay for the 6% increase to all government workers, which will cost $1.2 billion in fiscal 1970 and 1.3 billion additional over the $1.2 billion already included in the fiscal 1971 budget and to meet other urgent needs, I propose that the Congress consider a modification of the fiscal 1971 budget. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -3- The Crossroads of Decision At the beginning of my Administration I made the basic decision that the Federal Government must start to live within its means. The long inflation that began after 1965 had its roots in a string of un- balanced budgets capped by the $25 billion deficit in FY 1968. To restore order in the economy the Federal Government's first responsi- bility was to restore order in its own finances. The tax program which I put before the Congress a year ago called for a balanced set of reforms, at the same time making pro- vision for total revenues that would be consistent with prospective outlays. Prospective revenues for FY 1971 in the tax bill that finally reached my desk last December were more than $5 billion below what my own recommendations a year ago would have provided. I expressed my grave misgivings about that $5 billion shortfall. I finally decided that, time having run out for the last session of the Congress, there was no alternative but to sign the bill and put before the Congress in my Budget Message a program of expenditures consistent with these reduced revenues. That was done. It was an austere program. Important programs were sharply curtailed or entirely eliminated. A major the omission was overdue pay increases to Federal workers. ^ Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -4- This tax bill has forced on the Federal Government a level of outlays that is inconsistent with ongoing programs and with any reasonable estimate of expenditure decisions in this session of the Congress. Yet I cannot and will not participate in another excursion into fiscal irresponsibility. That would re-awaken skepticism about our determination to quell inflation, just when clear evidence of progress is in sight. And savings diverted into financing a deficit mean reduced funds and resources for housing, for State and local government projects, and for the capital formation essential to our on-going productivity and economic progress. Therefore, I call upon the Congress and the nation to face the realities of our Federal budget. We must pay the bills for the programs that we vote. We must pay just wages in Government. These involve more outlays than the revenues last year's tax bill will produce. The responsible action is clear. We must strengthen the revenue-producing capacity of our tax system so that we can pay our way. We can and will hold the line on excessive government spending, now and in the future; but in the short period since I Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -5- submitted my budget, I have had to honor top-priority claims against our resources which have virtually wiped out the slender $1. 3 billion surplus which I forecast for FY 71. In addition, I have had to remove whatever flexibility that remained in the FY 71 budget by reprogramming $500 million into a new school desegregation program. have The fact that I insisted that Federal spending be held down. This has was salutary. It meant that each proposed new program had to go through the most rigorous scrutiny; it set out in bold relief the most urgent national priorities. Now we have come to the crossroads of hard decisions. We could, if we wished, go forward with the new programs that have made their case as essential to the national well-being by allowing vising expenditures to going into the red by ^ throwing the budget into a substantial deficit. But this would be deception. It would be inviting a rebound of inflation, and it would reduce resources needed for important needs outside the budget -- housing, financing schools and other local and State government projects, the financing of capital formation to sustain our economic growth. We could, if we wished, hold grimly to the spending goal we were forced to set after the tax bill reduced 1971 revenues -- but we would not be responding to the legitimate needs of our citizens. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -6- Or we could take the course I now propose: to meet the needs that have proved to be urgent and to pay for them as we go. This pay-as-you-go approach shatters a favorite old shibboleth. "Congresses do not increase revenues in an election year; voters will not entertain a thought about new taxes as April 15 approaches." But I firmly believe, given the facts, the American people will support the men with the courage to do what is right. Putting the public interest first, it is right to build confidence in the integrity of the dollar, which we will do by redeeming our pledge of an anti-inflationary budget. Putting the public interest first, it is right to insist on a course of economic stability tha t will lead to price stability and job stability. To face up to our responsibilities, here are my recommend- ationsfor changes in the 1971 budget, responding to top priority needs, economic requirements and the demands of laws previously passed: Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum CHANGES IN THE FY 71 BUDGET ITEMS BALANCE SURPLUS FORECAST IN FY 71 BUDGET +$1,331 Top Priority Claims Air and Water Pollution Control $ 188 Veterans education benefits and medical care $ 299 Labor-HEW appropriations, effect of 1970 enacted bill on 1971 budget $ 248 Disaster Relief $ 50 Right-To-Read and other education amendments $ 162 Education aid to racially impacted areas, totaling $500 million (portion that cannot be redirected from other programs.) $ 150 Subtotal $1097 +$ 234 Changes in Response to Major Problems - In the Economy Withdrawal of voluntary State-local construction deferral $ 625 Housing interest subsidies and home ownership assistance $ 81 Subtotal $ 706 -$ - $ 472 Legally Required Changes Dairy price supports $ 120 Interest on Public Debt $ 100 Health benefits for Federal employees $ 91 Subtotal $ 311 -$ - $ 783 Additional Expenditures by the Congress For It's Own Operations $ 21 -$ - $ 804 Government Workers Pay $1,300 -$1,300 DEFICIT NOW FORECAST -$2,104 *In millions of Budget Authority Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum 8 - Added Revenues The proposals contemplated by this message as well as other actions noted will change the 1970 and the 1971 budget estimates as follows: (In billions) February Revised estimates estimates 1970 1971 1970 1971 200.4 205.4 Receipts 199.4 202.1 199.4 206.4 4, Outlays 197.9 200.8 199.1 204.2 1,3 1,2 Surplus 1.5 1.3 + +2.2 To meet these needs without contributing to inflation, I propose the following revenue legislation which will neither require extending the surtax nor raising income tax rates: 2021 Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -9- 1. By accelerating collection from employers of income tax withheld, in the last quarter of FY '70, some $1.0 billion will be realized. 2. The 1971 budget forecasts the collection of $3.6 billion of estate and gift taxes in the coming fiscal year. I propose to accelerate collection of these taxes, which would add as much as $1.5 billion in receipts in fiscal 1971. 3. Leaded gasoline contributes heavily to air pollution. I propose that the Congress levy a $3.25 per pound tax on the lead going into tetraethyl gasoline. This will average 2¢ per gallon of gasoline containing lead. The tax on lead will not only increase revenues by $1.5 billion, but will provide an economic incentive to use non-leaded fuels. 4. As a result of the pay increases recommended in this message, I estimate that about $180 million will return to the government in personal income taxes. The total of these added revenues to the fiscal 1971 budget would be about $3.28 billion. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -10- In taking these actions now, we can meet the most pressing n beeds of our citizens without relenting in our battle for price stability in a climate of prosperity. The Congress, I am sure, does not intend to force cuts in necessary social programs -- yet that is what failure to raise the needed revenues would do. A strong budget continues to be a vital partof our strategy to turn the flank of inflation. In recent weeks, we have begun to see some tangible evidence of success in our fight against that inflation, a result of actions taken to hold down excessive Federal spending over the past year. That is why I relaxed some of the restraints on construction of public projects two weeks ago, and why I believe it is now in the public interest to grant the pay increases and fund the urgently needed programs I have listed. But I am determined that our fiscal actions remain consistent with a strong budget. We must neither permit inflation to resume nor the economy to take a severe downturn. We must not permit govern- ment to become a borrower of savings that are so necessary to the housing industry. If we were to accept a substantial deficit now to do what is needed, we would be crippling the potential recovery of housing construction, which our people need just as badly -- in effect, we would be robbing Peter to pay Paul. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum - 11 - Our perseverance in the past year has shown how it is possible to make genuine headway toward achieving a sound prosperity with stability; to continue on this path, we cannot take the politically easy way out. We cannot slip back into the ways of the past, with the wide swings in government budget policy that caused the present inflation. Finally, we cannot permit those hardest hit by the rising cost of living to bear the heaviest burden in combating that inflation. The budget decisions I have made, and the budget decision I have hereby modified, are designed to meet our human and defense needs without inflation and without recession. This has never been done in modern times. By being sensitive to trends in the economy, by being re- sponsive to the changing needs of our people, by being willing to listen and to learn, and -- - - most important -- by being courageous enough to take the right action at the right time with the right motive, both the Congress and the Executive Branch will inspire the people's confidence in government's ability to manage the nation's affairs. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON April 1, 1970. MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT Here is a proposed three-part message that covers: 1. The postal and government-wide increases; 2. The budget overrun and what to do about it; 3. Relations with government employees in the future. The basic problem in all this is how to justify busting the budget limit so soon after the budget was sent up. If we try to ignore the situation, we would be inviting a credibility gap generally and with the financial community in particular. If we admit a mistake on the spending goal, we would get credit for candor but would appear indecisive. If we complain that we have been pushed into this by events, we would appear weak. If we try to blame Congress, our position is indefensible since most of these above-the-line expenditures are our own. The approach of this message is to frankly admit a mistake -- but not a mistake in the $200. 8 budget ceiling, which everybody expects. The error we should confess to was in not vetoing the tax bill, which cut out the three billion dollars in revenues that are now SO obviously needed. Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum -2- In effect, you would be saying that your grave misgivings about that bill, which you expressed at the time, were right; that Congress shortchanged the needs of the public, as all can now see clearly. You should have drawn the battle lines then, but there is still time to raise that same three billion the Congress took away from the government employees, the environment, the veterans, etc. This is similar to the remark of the man who said, "The last time I was wrong was when I thought I made a mistake. But I was wrong; I didn't make a mistake at all." This approach is presented as an alternate paragraph in the body of the message. The entire last section about employee relations could be detached and issued later as a separate message. The ideas in it are still subject to internal wrestling. BILL SAFIRE CC: J. Ehrlichman B. Harlow J. Keogh P. McCracken Reproduced at the Richard Nixon Presidential Library and Museum