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[JGR/Carter Briefing Book for Presidential Debate] (5 of 17)
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[JGR/Carter Briefing Book for Presidential Debate] (5 of 17)
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Records of the Office of Counsel to the President (Reagan Administration)
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Ronald Reagan Presidential Library
Digital Library Collections
This is a PDF of a folder from our textual collections.
Collection: Roberts, John G.: Files
Folder Title: [JGR/Carter Briefing Book for
Presidential Debate] (5 of 17)
Box: 7
To see more digitized collections visit:
https://reaganlibrary.gov/archives/digital-library
To see all Ronald Reagan Presidential Library inventories visit:
https://reaganlibrary.gov/document-collection
Contact a reference archivist at: [email protected]
Citation Guidelines: https://reaganlibrary.gov/citing
National Archives Catalogue: https://catalog.archives.gov/
MASS TRANSIT
Question: What do you plan to do to improve our nation's mass transit system?
Answer:
THEME
A MAJOR GOAL OF MY ADMINISTRATION HAS BEEN TO IMPROVE THE FLEXIBILITY OF OUR
TRANSPORTATION SYSTEM AND OFFER BETTER TRANSPORTATION SERVICES TO ALL
AMERICANS. I HAVE PROPOSED A TEN YEAR, $43 BILLION PROGRAM TO INCREASE MASS
TRANSIT CAPACITY BY 50 PERCENT AND TO PROMOTE MORE ENERGY EFFICIENT VEHICLE
USE, IN THE NEXT DECADE. I ALSO HAVE ESTABLISHED A GOAL OF MAKING MASS TRANSIT
SYSTEMS ACCESSIBLE TO ALL AMERICAN CITIZENS, INCLUDING THE ELDERLY AND THE
HANDICAPPED.
1.
THE PAST AND THE PRESENT
Mass transit had been the step-child of the transportation system until my
Administration.
2,1983
= have proposed a ten year, $43.billion program to increase mass
transit services and to provide more energy efficient transportation.
This program will be funded partially from revenues raised by the
Windfall Profits Tax.
I also have submitted legislation to the Congress to restructure the
mass transit capital and operating assistance programs. This bill
will:
-- increase the efficiency of Federal operating assistance;
-- encourage cities to achieve major national priorities,
such as reducing costs and increasing energy efficiency;
and
-- provide greater aid to the communities with the most
effective transit systems.
These proposed changes in the urban mass transit formula aid program
will result in additional funds for cities and counties with large,
existing mass transit systems.
In addition, we as a nation cannot retreat from our commitment to make
public transportation accessible to the elderly and the handicapped.
I am committed to the goal of making public transportation accessible
to all elderly and handicapped citizens.
But public transportation is not just urban mass transportation. My
Rural Development Policy which I announced last year has led to the
first Small Community and Rural Area Transportation Initiative to be
implemented by the Department of Transportation.
-2-
2.
THE FUTURE
A.
Reacan
O
Governor Reagan has said, "urban aid programs are the biggest
phonies in the Federal system," but he has not defined an urban
or rural mass transportation policy.
0
He has proposed returning mass transit funding from the Federal
government to State and local communities. That would increase
local property taxes enormously.
3.
Carter
C
Much progress has been made over the past four years, and much remains
to be done.
0
First, I will work closely with the Congress to insure passage of the
Public Transportation Act Amendments which includes the reformulation
of urban mass transit funding grants - the most significant change
in the formula program since its inception in 1979 - and the largest
authorization in the history of the Urban Mass Transportation Administra-
tion, $24.7 billion over the next five years.
o.
Second, my 1981 budget for the Urban Mass Transportation Administration,
passed by the Congress this month as part of the DOT Appropriations Act,
reflects the largest level of public transit support ever, over $4
billion in federal aid to urban and non-urban areas.
o
We must begin now to insure that funds for mass transit over the
next decade are wisely spent, and the promise of mass transit to bring
our cities and towns closer together is finall y kept.
SCHOOL BUSING
Question:
Do you still support busing as a vehicle for school desegregation?
Answer:
O
I do not believe busing is the solution to ensuring that our schools
are integrated in a constitutionally permissible way.
O
My preference would be that less disruptive ways might be found to
ensure integration. And I believe that is the preference of the
vast majority of parents of school-age children, both black and
white.
O
However, in many cases busing may be the only way a Federal court
can find to ensure school integration. IFO court makes that
determination, and I hope a court would make that determination
only as a last resort, I believe we have no choice but to obey
the court order.
I am sworn to uphold the Constitution and believe it would be in
violation of my oath if I in any way sought to circumvent the court
order. I would never do that.
Finally, let me say that I do not support the view which my opponent
has advocated a number of times - that a Constitutional amendment
be adopted to prevent the use of busing. Such an amendment might
impede the ability of the courts to enforce the Brown V. Board of
Education decision by the Supreme Court. And I strongly support
that decision.
STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS
Question:
In what areas affecting State and local governments do you think the
Federal government should assume a greater role? A lesser role?
Answer:
THEME
MY ADMINISTRATION HAS DONE A GREAT DEAL TO IMPROVE RELATIONS BETWEEN THE
FEDERAL GOVERNMENT AND STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS. IN GENERAL, OUR EFFORTS
HAVE BEEN DESIGNED TO REDUCE THE BURDEN ON THE LOCAL PROPERTY TAX SYSTEM AND
TO ENSURE THAT ALL STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS HAVE ADEQUATE RESOURCES TO
PROVIDE ESSENTIAL POLICE, FIRE AND SANITATION SERVICES.
1.
THE PAST AND THE PRESENT
0
One of my domestic policy goals has been to give States and localities
greater flexibility to manage the aid that the Federal government provides.
Whether it is revenue sharing, community development, education, housing,
transportation or other programs, we have increased the flexibility the
States and cities have to manage these programs so that they can meet the
needs of our citizens. And we havemcut through red tape to make these
programs easier to use.
In a number of areas, we have expanded the Federal government's respon-
sibility. A good example is welfare reform. There is no question that
reducing poverty is national concern that must be addressed by all of
US.. It simply is not fair to place the burden of financing welfare
on property tax payers throughout our Nation. This service should be
financed by all of us, and on a reasonably equitable basis.
One principal that I have sought to enforce is to reduce the demands to
provide services on the local property tax. By increasing aid for educa-
tion, fiscal relief and other services, we have helped to hold the line
on property tax increases. This has been an important goal to me,
because no tax falls more cruelly on the elderly, the sick and the
disadvantaged than the property tax.
Without question, any major transfer of programs to the States and
cities will cause massive and disastrous increases in local taxes, and
particularly in the property tax.
2.
THE FUTURE
A.
Reagan
Governor Reagan has proposed a massive but unspecified transfer of
Federal programs to the States and cities. He has been no more specific
about the proposal than he was about many of his other campaign proposals.
But this proposal could only have one of two effects.
2
C
Either the services transferred (presumably education, mass transit,
housing) will be eliminated or cut severely; or State and local taxes
will increase dramatically to pay for them. Nothing could be worse for
our Federal system than the massive and uncontrolled increases in
property taxes that this proposal would cause.
B. Carter
o
I will continue to work with State and local governments to build on
our previous progress and achieve the following:
1)
provide even greater flexibility to States and cities in managing
Federal programs.
2)
cut through red-tape SO that the Federal programs are more
efficient; and
3)
refine the responsibilities of the Federal, State and local
governments.
JUN
I feel very strongly that a massive transfer of programs to the States
and cities will only increase the already excessive burden of the
property tax. I will oppose that type of program.
HUMAN NEEDS
HEALTH AND WELFARE - GOVERNMENT'S RCLE
Question:
Don't your major welfare and health proposals demonstrate
that your Administration basically favors at bigger Federal
government, and given that the public and the Congress seem
to be moving in the other direction, can you tell us how
you can have any more success with them in a second term
than you did in the first term?
Answer:
THEME
THESE PROPOSALS REPRESENT SOLUTIONS TO VERY SERIOUS PROBLEMS --
RISING HEALTH COSTS, LACK OF ADEQUATE HEALTH INSURANCE COVERAGE, AND
AN INEFFICIENT INEQUITABLE WELFARE SYSTEM. GOVERNOR REAGAN HAS NOT
PROPOSED REAL SOLUTIONS
WHILE THIS LEGISLATION DID NOT PASS IN MY FIRST TERM, VERY REAL
PROGRESS HAS BEEN MARE
AND WE HAVE AN EXCELLENT CHANCE OF PASSING
THESE MEASURES MI SECOND TERM
THE PAST AND THE PRESENT
My health insurance. proposal would guarantee that all citizens
were protected against catastrophic expenses, that Medicare
benefits for the aged are improved, and that basic insurance
coverage for the poor would be expanded. My proposal would build
on the current partnership between public programs like Medicare
and private insurance.
Although this measure did not pass, it stimulated the first serious
Congressional committee consideration in nearly a decade in the
Senate Finance Committee.
Until my Administration, no serious effort to reform the Nation's
welfare system had been attempted in almost a decade. Working
within the framework of our existing welfare system, the welfare
reform package offers an achievable means to increase self-
sufficiency through employment rather than welfare, to provide
more adequate assistance to people who are unable to work, and
to remove inequities in coverage under current programs.
With the cooperation of the Congress, the Social Welfare Reform
Amendments Act has passed the House, and hearings have been held
on the Work and Training Opportunities Act. I consider welfare
reform one of my most important legislative initiatives, and will
continue to press for final enacument.
-2-
2.
THE FUTURE
A.
Reagan
=
In spite of the 20 million people without any health insurance
and the 80 million with inadequate coverage, my opponent has said
"There is no health care crisis" and "I'm opposed to National
Health Insurance".
o
Governor Reagan proposes to transfer all functions to the States
along with the tax sources to finance them.
B.
Carter
C
I am commi to enactment of my carefully phased-in National
Health
Phan and am confident given the serious committee
consideration the issue received this year that we will be able
to buil
or those efforts and achieve enactment this year.
I will press for final enactment of welfare reform. In the mean-
time, I will continue to pursue all reasonable efforts administratively
within the lattitude provided by present law, to achieve coordination,
efficiency, and effectiveness in our welfare system.
NATIONAL HEALTH INSURANCE
Question:
What is your position or. National Health Insurance?
Answer:
THEME
THE NATIONAL HEALTH PLAN = HAVE SUBMITTED TO THE CONGRESS IS SOLID
EVIDENCE OF MY COMMITMENT TO THE ACHIEVEMENT OF HEALTH INSURANCE
COVERAGE FOR ALL AMERICANS. MY NATIONAL HEALTH PLAN FOLLOWS IN THE
DEMOCRATIC TRADITION OF PRESIDENT TRUMAN, WHO CHALLENGED CONGRESS TO
SECURE FOR ALL AMERICANS ACCESS TO QUALITY HEALTH CARE AS A MATTER OF
RIGHT, AND PRESIDENTS KENNEDY AND JOHNSON, WHO LED THE CONGRESS TO
ENACT MEDICARE AND MEDICAID. MY ROPPONENT, ON THE OTHER HAND, BITTERLY
OPPOSED THE ENACTMENT OF MEDICARE, JUST AS NOW HE OPPOSES NHI. UNDER
MY ADMINISTRATION, NHI HAS RECEIVED THE FIRST SERIOUS CONGRESSIONAL
CONSIDERATION IN OVER A DECADE; WITH THIS EXPERIENCE WE HAVE AN
EXCELLENT CHANCE OF OBTAINING PASSAGE OF A BILL IN MY SECOND TERM.
1.
THE PAST AND THE PRESENT
JUN
The first phase legislation which I have submitted to the Congress
lays the foundation for universal, comprehensive health insurance
by:
--
providing comprehensive coverage for the poor;
--
limiting expenses for the elderly;
-- providing comprehensive coverage for all pregnant women
and young children; and
I
assuring catastrophic coverage for everyone.
At the same time, it recognizes that such a major new program
must be carefully phased in, with essential cost containment
features.
It provides a substantially increased role for private health
insurance (through increased underwriting and administrative
services) and provides strong incentives for competition.
It responds to a glaring need -- 20 million Americans have no
health insurance, another 20 million have inadequate basic insurance,
and yet another 40-50 million have inadequate catastrophic insurance.
The Senate Finance Committee has done extensive mark-up of as bill
which closely resembles my proposal, and it expects to complete
that task in the next session of Congress. Under a Democratic
Administration, the chances of passage are excellent next session.
-2-
2.
THE FUTURE
A.
Reagan
My record here is in stark contrast to the views of Governor
Reagan. He opposes NHI, and helped lead the unsuccessful fight
to defeat Medicare when it was being considered by the Congress.
The substantial progress we have made toward enactment of NHI
over the past 4 years would be wasted under Governor Reagan.
C
Governor Reagan has publicly stated that "There is no health
care crisis today", and further, that "Virtually all Americans
have access to excellent medical care today." The facts simply
do not support these assertions.
mi
Carter
O
with the help of Senator Kennedy, who-has devoted a substantial
chunk of his Congressional career to improved health care,
Senator Long and other Congressional leaders, the chances of
passage in Congress are excellent for the next session.
0
I am committed to the ultimate enactment of universal, comprehen-
sive NHI, to be phased in as economic conditions permit. I feel
it is one of the major unfinished items on America's social agenda.
The proposal which I have submitted to the Congress creates both
the framework and the momentum to reach that long-sought goal.
Savings
Question:
What specific incentives would you provide to encourage
greater savings? What would you do to encourage savings?
Answer:
Private savings stems from both businesses and individuals. The
liberalized depreciation plan I proposed as part of my revitalization
program will contribute directly to an increase in business saving.
As for individuals, the best way to encourage Americans to save more
is to allow them to earn a fair return on their savings dollars. My
Administration has already taken steps to give small savers and house-
holds more opportunities for higher interest on their savings accounts
opportunities that were available only to large savers.
We helped to introduce new savings instruments -- such as the
6-month money market certificate and the 2-1/2 year small saver
certificate -- that pay the higher interest rates only those
with very large amounts Cof money could earn.
As part of my deregulation program last April I signed into law
a proposal to phase out all (Requlation Q) limits on interest
paid to small savers. This means that household savings accounts
could earn the same rate of interest banks pay the huge accounts
of businesses.
I signed into law a bill which provides a $200 tax exemption for
individuals and a $400 exemption for couples on interest earned
in a savings account.
SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM
Question:
What actions do you propose to ensure the continued fiscal
strength of the Social Security System?
Answer:
THEME
= HAVE A SOLID RECORD -- IN THE TRADITION OF THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY -- IN
PROTECTING THE ELDERLY AND INTEGRITY OF THE SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM. MY
OPPONENT, BY CONTRAST, HAS REPEATEDLY TAKEN POSITIONS THAT, IF IMPLEMENTED,
WOULD HURT THE ELDERLY AND WOULD WEAKEN THE SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM. I AM
COMMITTED TO POLICIES WHICH IN THE FUTURE WILL CONTINUE TO PROTECT SOCIAL
SECURITY AND THE ELDERLY.
1.
THE PAST AND THE PRESENT
The Social Security System is much sounder now than when I took office.
The elderly have been among my principal concerns as President. I
am determined to make certain that they. are (free from discrimination
and are able to continue, living happy and useful lives.
For those reasons I have signed legislation to virtually eliminate
mandatory retirement restrictions due to age, strengthened the
protection of pensions, increased funding for elderly housing and
nutrition, and worked to achieve Hospital Cost Containment to protect
the elderly from skyrocketing medical costs.
One of my first acts as President was working with the Congress to
provide financial stability to the Social Security System and to
rescue it from near-bankruptcy.
This year I proposed and the Congress adopted further action to
assure the short-term stability of the retirement fund.
The full faith and credit of the U.S. government stands behind the
Social Security System. No retiree will ever go without the benefits
to which he or she is entitled while I am President.
2.
THE FUTURE
A.
Reagan
My record here is in stark contrast to that of Governor Reagan. He
opposes National Health Insurance and Hospital Cost Containment, and
helped lead the fight to defeat Medicare when it was being considered
by the Congress.
-2-
Throughout the 1960's and as recently as his last campaign for President,
Governor Reagan discussed the possibility of making the Social Security
System voluntary -- if that were to occur, the System would certainly
be bankrupt in a short period of time. While the Governor now indicates
his opposition to making Social Security voluntary, the fact that he
could even consider such a proposal is of concern to me.
Further, Governor Reagan supports a tax cut, which to balance the budget
will require him to cut $130 billion in spending in 1983. He says he
won't touch Social Security but how else can he pay for his tax cut?
33
Carter
o
I am committed to preserving a sound Social Security System in the future.
To ensure that, I have appointed a commission to provide recommendations
to me about further steps that might be taken to protect Social Security
recipients.
After receiving the Commission S recommenda and after consulting
widely with the Congress and leaders of elderly organizations, I will,
in my next term, make recommendations for further improvements in the
Social Security System.
UN
0
: have not yet formulated the recommendations I will make but I have
established broad guidelines by which the recommendations will be governed:
no taxing of Social Security benefits;
no raising the age limit for Social Security eligibility;
no reducing Social Security benefits; and
no capping of the cost-of-living adjustment for Social Security.
= am determined to make certain that the Social Security System remains
the pillar of fiscal strength that we need and that the needs of all
Social Security recipients are met.
I am also determined to help reduce the burden of high Social Security
taxes. That is why I have proposed an extension of the earned income
tax credit and an 8 percent credit for employers and employees on
their income tax form; that credit will essentially eliminate the
burden of increased Social Security taxes next year -- and it will
do SO without taking a dollar from any of the Social Security trust
funds.
WELFARE
Question:
For years public attention as well as government attention
has focused on problems in the welfare system without much
success in solving those problems. You have described the
welfare system as "inequitable and archaic". Welfare
recipients and State and local governments also have
criticized the welfare system, generally for different
reasons. What would you do to solve the problems in the
welfare system?
Answer:
I HAVE PROPOSED A SET OF WELFARE-REFORM PROPOSALS WHICH I BELIEVE WOULD
MAKE MAJOR PROGRESS IN SOLVING THE MOST URGENT PROBLEMS IN OUR WELFARE
SYSTEM. THESE PROPOSALS HAVE STRONG WORK INCENTIVES, STRONG PRO-FAMILY
INCENTIVES, AND ESTABLISH A UNIFORM PAYMENT STANDARD. I AM COMMITTED
TO THEIR PASSAGE AS A WAY OF HELPING OUR MOST DISADVANTAGED CITIZENS.
1.
THE PAST AND THE PRESENT
The reforms I have proposed are emplovment-oriented. They
place major emphasis on job and training opportunities and strong
work incentives for people who are able to work. 400,000 jobs
would be created to give those on welfare jobs.
My reforms also would establish a national minimum benefit
reflective of the current living increases cost for the poorest
families with dependent children.
Working within our existing welfare system, not to expand, but
to coordinate programs for more efficient management and more
effective service, we can rout. out waste and abuse, increase
self-sufficiency through employment, and provide adequate assistance
to those who really need it -- many of whom are young children and
elderly citizens.
My welfare reforms also recognize the deepening fiscal burdens
on many State and local governments which, through no fault of
their own, have larger than average welfare populations. Fiscal
relief is provided.
I have also taken separate measures to improve several programs
which have been of great value to poor people in this country.
-2-
: have strongly supported the Food. Stamp program.
I proposed and Congress enacted a program providing help
to poor people in meeting their increased home energy
costs and coping with energy-related emergencies.
Just this year we enacted legislation to remove abuses
in the child welfare and foster care programs for poor
children and to help those homeless children find
permanent homes with loving families.
I have established an inspector general program under which
I appointed an Inspector General in most Federal departments
to rout out fraud, abuse, and waste in Federal programs.
2.
THE FUTURE
A.
Reagan
1983
My opponent has recommended shifting our national welfare problems
onto the shoulders of State and local governments, and said that
he would transfer welfare back to the States along with the tax
sources to finance it. I believe that the responsibility of
taking care of poor people in this country is a responsibility
of both the Federal and State governments, and given the problems
the system faces, transferring welfare problems to the States is
not reform.
My opponent opposes the ERA. Most of the adults on welfare are
women. Equal rights for them both legally and economically would
help to get them and their children off welfare.
B.
Carter
I will continue to press for final enactment of welfare reform,
which passed the House of Representatives last year.
In addition I will take all reasonable administrative measures
to achieve improvements in the welfare system and to assure that
welfare does not compete with employment, but does provide a
viable system of support for the poor who cannot work.
REBUTTALS TO REAGAN STATEMENTS
Based on his interviews, speeches and previous debates, the assertions and
claims Reagan will make on a particular subject can be reasonably predicted.
Set forth below are the key assertions and claims, along with suggested
rebuttal information.
California Record
Reagan
Rebuttal
1. Rebated $5.7 billion to
Largest tax increases (3) in California
taxpayers.
history.
$20 billion tax increase.
Near tripling of tax collections.
2. Almost no growth in
O
20% increase in State employees
government.
(counting higher education and mental
health, which Reagan does not).
Greater per capita increase than
under predecessor.
Held down government
Highest real growth rate in State's
spending.
history.
C
126% increase in State budget.
1.
Stopped bureaucracy's
O
Created 30 new State agencies and
growth.
boards.
"No significant State program was
eliminated." L.A. Times
3. Reformed welfare - saved
o
Welfare costs tripled.
$2 billion; caseload dropped.
No one will confirm S2 billion savings.
O
Fought in court Congress' mandated
cost-of-living increases for welfare
recipients.
O
Last time we debated -- at Governors'
Conference in 1973 - he argued against
increased welfare assistance (on behalf
of Nixon's position).
C
Caseload dropped because economy improve
-2-
Reagan
Rebuttal
6. Had toughest anti-smog laws
O
Were passed over his objections.
in country when he left
office.
O
League of Conservation Voters said
he undermined the State's pollution
program.
Economy
:.
Kemp-Roth is not inflationary;
O
Own running-mate once said i: would
does what John Kennedy's tax
cause 30% inflation; cannot cut
cut did; supported by all
S1 trillion over next 5 years and
economists who have analyzed
not be inflationary.
it.
O
Kennedy's cut occurred when inflation
was 1%-2%; was much smaller cut (24%
over two Years) ; and was only a
business tax cut.
C
No rebutable economists not supporting
Reagan support it, and his OWN economists
have tried to get him == sciten has
support for the bill.
O
Ford does not support R-K-R.
2.
Taxes doubled since 1976.
O
Shows lack of understanding of government
figures.
O
Total receipts will double, but tax
burdens have not gone up much (1976 -
18.5% of GNP; 1981 - 21.8%), and some
of increase is due to Windfall Tax.
O
Burdens will be reduced after
Revitalization Program is enacted.
3. Budget deficit for last four
O
Budget deficit as a percentage of GNP
years is highest in history.
is less than half of what was inherited.
O
Inherited largest deficit in history
and have made spending restraints
which will ensure further reductions
in deficit.
O
Current deficit is directly due =
recession - if unemployment was now where
it was two years ago (6%) we would be in
balance.
-3-
Reagan
Rebuttal
Inflation rose from 4.8% in
C
No denying inflation is up -- largely
76 to 18.1% in first three
because of OPEC.
months of this year.
O
Misleading to lock at only a few
months figures -- underlying rate is
no more 18% than the 0% we saw in July.
O
Underlying rate -- according to all
economists --- is about 9%, or only
1-1/2 points above what we inherited.
5. Unemployment is worse than
Nearly 9 million new jobs created.
when you took office;
8 million unemployed.
Employment grown more rapidly than any
Administration in history (twice as
fast as Republican predecessors).
O
Minority youth employment has increased
17 times as fast as previous four years.
O
Unemployment declined in each of
previous three months.
6. Real take home pay of
0
Using statistic which is seriously
average worker has fallen
flawed in economists' view.
10% (this relies on statistic
called "real spendable weekly
O
Best measure is real, after-tax income
earnings".
per person.
O
That shows that real income has
averaged growth of 1.6% per year during
my Administration (or about 6% since
'77).
7. Unemployment has been at
o
Unemployment during Depression went as
Depression levels.
high as 25%.
O
Never reached 8% during my Administratio
o
Did reach 8.5% during previous
Administration.
8. Record numbers of Blacks
O
1.3 million new jobs held by Blacks.
are unemployed.
O
13% more Blacks employed today.
O
Employment grown at twice the rate it
did during Nixon-Ford years.
-4-
Reagan
Rebuttal
9.
Government spending has not
O
Real growth in Federal spending has
been controlled, and has been
been cut in half.
principal cause of inflation.
0
Deficit as percentage of GNP is less
than half what I inherited.
10. Broke 176 campaign promise
O
Still are our goals.
== get inflation and unemploy-
ment down to 10%.
O
OPEC and recession made impossible.
C
Better chance of reaching if avoid
Eassive tax cut and if pursue by
job-creating Economic Revitalization
program.
it.
Social Security tax increase
O
Tax
Increase protected System from
was largest tax increase in
bankruptcy.
history.
8% credit will eliminate taxt year S
scheduled increase.
Energy
:.
Pursued anti-production
O
Decontrol of oil and natural gas are
policies throughout
directly responsible for production
Administration.
increases -- by 1985, 400-700,000 b/d
of oil and 2 trillion cubic feet per
year of natural gas more than there
would be if controls were continued.
0
Oil and gas exploration will set new
record in '80 - 3,164 rigs in
operation this month. Oil and gas
wells drilled will reach 60,000 in
'80 -- 66% above 1976.
O
Coal production will reach highest
level, exceeding 800 million tons for
the first time in history -- 15% above
1976.
-5-
Reagan
Rebuttal
2.
Excluding Alaska, oil production
0
Including Alaska, which is still a
has declined every year of this
part of the United States, domestic
Administration.
oil production has gone up in 3 out
of 4 years in office.
O
More new wells are being drilled this
year and more rigs are active today
than at any time in our Nation's
history.
3.
More dependent on OPEC than
O
Imports of foreign oil down 2 million
before.
barrels per day since '76, or 23%.
Reduced dependence has enabled us to
avcid shortfalls that might have
resulted because of Iran-Iraq War.
During previous 2 Republican Adminis-
trations (1968-75) imports of foreign
oil increased from 2.8 million barrels
per day = 8.8 million barrels per day.
There is tic energy shortage --
C
We have produced about 120 billion
there is still more oil in
barrels of domestic oil SO far.
the ground than we have
Assuming that enhanced oil recovery
taken out.
methods such as secondary and tertiary
recovery reach their full potential,
the total volume remaining = be
produced is about 73 billion barrels.
C
No authoritative estimate has ever
claimed that secondary and tertiary
methods could bring total production
up to 120 billion barrels.
5. SPRO has been mismanaged.
We made a reful decision, based on
the international market situation,
not to buy vast quantities of oil
for the SPRO last year. To have done
so would just have driven up the
world oil price.
O
We have now started filling rather
rapidly (24 million barrels now
being delivered) and a number of
tests have proved that the system
works smoothly.
-6-
Reagan
Rebuttal
6. There is 20 need for government
O
Without government role, there has
role in synfuels development.
been no synfuels production; now on
target to produce 2 million barrels
of synfuels per day by 1992.
O
Government will only help with
financing -- absorbing the risk of
new technology -- no operating or
management role.
Prohibited exploration on
O
Our Alaska Lands bill Leaves 90% of the
possibly productive lands.
promising oil and gas land available
for development and 100% of the Outer
Continental Shelf, where most oil and
gas will probably be found.
O
My new 5-year 5 Outer Continental Shelf
leasing program offers more acreage
(45 million acres) than all acreage
offered since the program began in
1954. though only 2-3% of the OCE is
now reased, less than 10% has any
possible oil OI gas reserves.
C
Of the 822 million acres of Federal
mineral estate, about 500 million
acres are available for lease.
8. Windfall Tax is not a tax
O
The Windfall Tax reclaims some of the
on oil companies -- but a
increased profits that the oil companies
tax on consumers.
will make from consumers when oil is
decontrolled. It creates the revenues
we need to increase domestic production
of energy and to help our poor citizens
afford the rising costs of energy.
9.
One year's waste from a
o
This ignores the serious responsibility
nuclear plant could be
that the Federal government has to
stored under a desk.
establish a safe nuclear waste
program.
C
Most nuclear plants create more
waste than this in a year, but size
is irrelevant; a cyanide capsule or
a time bomb are small, too, but that
does not mean they are safe.
-7-
Environment
Reagan
Rebuttal
1.
EPA is dominated by "no growth"
O
At my direction, EPA has devised inno-
advocates -- EPA wants you to
vative regulatory approaches, such as
live in birds nests or rabbit
the bubble policy, economic incentives,
holes.
emissions banking and deadline
extensions, to allow growth to continue
while keeping environmental costs at
an acceptable level.
C
EPA's activities are essential if WE
are to have the kind of growth we all
want -- healthy growth that does not
despoil our air and water for future
generations.
2. Clean Air Act has forced
O
Not even the steel companies claim
closing of steel mills.
that Carter's steel program provides
case-by-case balance between needs
of steel and environmental goals.
Even the industry admits that our
program solves the industry's major
environmental concerns.
3.
Environmental regulations
O
The vast majority (about S3%) of
have hurt auto industry.
industry expenditures for Federal
regulations are for fuel economy --
not for environmental protection.
Consumer demand is forcing the
industry to make these investments
regardless of Federal requirements.
Obviously some investment for environ-
mental regulation is necessary to
protect the health of our citizens -
as recent victims of Los Angeles'
smog episode will attest.
O
My Administration has worked to ensure
that regulations are cost-effective.
EPA has modified several rules to
save the industry as much as
$600 million without sacrificing air
quality.
Moreover, environmental regulation has
encouraged the development of new tech-
nology benefitting the industry and
consumers; for example, the new
electronic devises which save fuel as
well as curb pollution.
-8-
Reagan
Rebuttal
EPA is anti-coal.
O
EPA believes that coal can be burned
cleanly with the appropriate pollution
control technologies, and they are
funding studies = develop better
and cheaper devices.
O
EPA has shown its flexibility in
dealing with coal-burning pollution
time and time again -- most recently
by extending the 30-day averaging
provision in Ohio SC that Ohio
utilities can burn Ohio coal.
5. Air pollution is
C
Anyone who lives in an urban area knows
substantially under
that air pollution is not under control.
control. Mt. St. Helens
In fact, when Reagan made that claim.
and trees cause more pollution
Los Angeles was under a several-week
than cars.
pollution alert.
O
MC
15t. Helens emits sulfur cxides.
which cars de not. Power plants in
the U.S. dc, though, but they emit
50 times as much in a day as
Mt. St. Helens. Trees emit harmless
nitrous crides, not the nitrogen
dioxide that comes from CETS and can
cause serious heart and respiratory
illness.
6. Carter has closed off =
O
90% of land in Alaska with potential
much of Alaska to energy
oil reserves is open to exploration,
exploration.
and 100% of the Outer Continental Shelf
where most cil and gas probably will
be found.
7.
Sagebrush rebellion will
O
Reagan would give away millions of
become Reagan Administration
acres of land that is now owned by all
policy.
of the people in the country to a few
private interests.
O
I would continue to open these lands
for commercial development as appro-
priate, but = would not give up the
American peoples right == enjoy
natural resources.
-9-
Reagan
Rebuttal
6. 55 MPH speed limit should
O
Saved 40,000 lives and 228,000 barrels
be eliminated.
of gasoline per day.
9. Toughest anti-smog Laws in
C
He opposed the laws while they were
Nation were enacted during
going through the Legislature.
his term as Governor.
O
League of Conservation Voters said
he undermined tough enforcement of
environmental laws.
Regulation and Government Reform
:. Trucking, airline and banking
O
Most significant change in government
deregulation are merely
relationship with business since the
publicized examples of
New Deal.
showcase deregulation.
O
More real regulatory reform in last
3½ years than-in preceding 3½ decades.
O
Airline deregulation saved $5 billion
for consumers in first IWC years.
0
Trucking deregulation will reduce
shipping costs by $5-8 billion a year.
2.
Greatest regulator in history;
=
Deregulated airlines, rails, = banking,
hasn't done anything to stop
trucking and communications
regulation growth.
(administratively).
O
Reduced paperwork burden by 15%.
O
Deregulated oil pricing and natural
gas pricing.
O
Regulations now written in easy-to-
understand English.
O
Reformed regulatory process -- cost of
regulations reviewed for first time
in Nation's history.
3.
Federal Register pages
O
There are more pages because we now requ:
have increased.
large print for easy reading and a simpl:
fied explanation that the average person
can understand.
C
There has not been any real increase in
the number of new regulations (those bei:
issued are largely the product of status
enacted before I took office).
-10-
Reagan
Rebuttal
Nothing has been done about the
C
Inspectors General appointed in every
$50 billion in fraud and abuse
Department.
in government programs.
O
Civil Service Reform improved ability
to detect problems.
O
Reagan has never indicated precisely
how he would cut out this problem
or precisely what programs are
involved.
Agriculture
.gricultural policies are an
O
Agricultural exports have set records
unprecedented disaster.
every year - this year will rise by
S8 billion to $40 billion.
O
Farth
income was up in each of last
years.
=
Last year farm income reached record-
tying level.
O
Past four years - record yields in
six major crops.
O
First farmer-owned grain reserve.
C
Opened up new trade markets -- in
China, Mexico.
2.
Grain embargo has hurt
O
Soviet feed grain imports are off
farmers more than Soviets.
by 8-10 million tons.
O
Soviets now forced into meat
shortage situation.
0
Farmers were made whole for any
losses through grain purchase
program.
KEY LINES TO USE AT BEGINNING OF COMMENTS ON REAGAN
1.
Simplistic Solutions That Won't Work in the Real World
--
Governor Reagan simply does not understand the consequences of
his proposal.
--
Governor Reagan's program has an initial, surface appeal, but
I've learned as President to look beneath the surface.
-- Governor Reagan's proposal provides a simplistic and erroneous
solution to a very complicated problem.
--
I do not believe Governor Reagan would make that proposal if he
appreciated the complexities involved.
I
I had a similar view before I became President and learned
first-hand the complexities Tinvolved.
:
I have learned a great deal from the experiences of the last
4 years. I wish that the Governor had learned as well.
--
I wish the matter were as simple as the Governor has portrayed it.
It would have made my job a lot easier these past four years.
I would have said the exact same thing myself -- four years agc.
Fortunately for the country, I have learned that
2.
Troublesome
That kind of thinking has gotten us into trouble before.
3.
Republican
That is a good example of age-old Republican doctrine. (NHD, Minimum
wage, Medicare)
4.
Ignores Consequences
That sounds fine. But let's look at the consequences.
5.
Reliance on Experts
Governor Reagan cites what he calls "expert" opinion (on Kemp-Roth,
military needs). As President, you get "expert" opinion on both sides.
The President must be the final judge.
-2-
6. Negative
Anyone can list problems. we need to understand them.
7. Knee-ierk
Governor Reagan seems to have a predictable, knee-jerk response to
every situation. Kemp-Roth is his answer whether the economy is expanding
or contracting. Military power is always his answer, necessary or not.
8. Vacue
The Governor paints a rather vague picture. I would like a few more
details. I would like to know
when
where
how
9. Elitist
That is a great idea -- if you make $200,000 a year!
10. Pro-Business
The Governor says we should rely on the private sector alone. That is
the approach Herbert Hoover took The private sector alone can't be
depended upon to protect worker safety and health or the environment or ==
solve our energy problem cr provide medical care for the aged.
11. Quoting Democrats
= notice that Governor Reagan likes to quote Democratic Presidents whose
programs he opposed.
12. Women's Issues
I do not think many working women would agree with that.
13. Flip-Flops
I salute Governor Reagan for moderating his position. It makes good
political sense. Unfortunately it contradicts entirely what he has stood
for these past 20 years.
14. Attacks on Record
Governor Reagan fails to mention something: Before we came along, this
country did not even have -- (an energy policy; a Camp David peace process;
human rights program).
-3-
15. Hostaces
Does Governor Reagan seriously believe that I have not done everything
I could to get those hostages out safely? If he had a solution, I feel
confident he would have offered it long ago -- just as any American citizen
would.
16. "Secret Plans"
Our country learned in 1968 how dangerous it was to believe in "secret
plans" to end international disputes.
17. Democratic Party
Governor Reagan appears to accept Democratic solutions about a generation
after they were first proposed (Civil Rights Act, Medicare, Social Security)
At this rate, he will be supporting ERA and national health insurance
sometime in the 21st century!
18. Clear-Cut Choice
That is one position. Fortunately, the American people have a clear-cut
choice this year. My position is that
19. Progress
Governor, you used to say on T.V., "progress is our most important
product. But what you've just said isn't progress.
20. The GOP Platform/ERA
Harry Truman said that "
party platforms are contracts with the
people." I agree.
The women of America should know that the platform of the Republican
Party deprives them their rightful place in our Constitution.
21. Women--ERA
The Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution is just as vital and
necessary today as were the Civil Rights Amendments to the Constitution of
the last century. Anything less is a half-measure.
22. Economy
Kemp-Roth is a rich man's tax cut which would flood the country with
excess dollars, and which his own Vice-Presidential candidate has called
"voodco economics".
The Republican economic philosophy is trickled down. I'm with Hubert
Humphrey who said Democratic economics percolate up.
-4-
Governor, your tax proposals give the largest tax breaks to the
people who need them least -- the rich.
Your economic program is survival of the richest.
23. Economy (Labor, Social Security or Medicare)
I think the American working family can tell the difference between
an old friend and a new-found friend.
24. Statistics
Those numbers just don't reflect reality.
Governor Reagan's statistics on
are
about as accurate as his statistics JUN 27 198 '90 percent pollution came from
trees."
25. Energy (Windfall Profits)
Governor Reagan apparently doesn't believe that the oil companies make
enough money.
26. Defense
Governor Reagan's defense proposals mean one thing -- a multi-billion
dollar arms race the American people don't need, don't want and can't afford.
First-Hand Accounts
(These can be used to take advantage of your training and experience)
1.
Peace in the Nuclear Age.
= served as an engineer on a nuclear submarine.
I know what nuclear power and nuclear weapons can do.
I know that all the laws of combat changed when the first atom
was smashed.
I know that the age of the six-gun is over.
I know you cannot go charging up San Juan Hill with today's
weapons.
2.
Building Peace
I have learned first-hand how to build peace between Nations.
It is not simply by avoiding war
You build peace by establishing mutual respect, by finding areas
where Nations can cooperate to benefit each other.
I learned this lesson in building peace between Israel and her
most powerful Arab neighbor -- a peace of economic technological
cooperation, a peace that will grow into a strong regional
partnership.
I have worked first-hand with Sadat and Begin to build this peace.
I am thrilled to see these two countries cooperating for mutual
benefit, to watch on television and see.: Egyptian ships being
received at Israeli ports, to see the Jerusalem Post on sale in
Cairo.
3.
Building Energy Security
I have learned first-hand there is more to security than simply
military hardware.
I have had to plan for energy contingencies. I have had to "sell"
the American people on the energy challenge.
I have had to confront
difficult regional differences in Congress.
2
Government Efficiency
I came to the White House believing that the best way to improve
efficiency was to consolidate Governmental units.
I have learned first-hand that the key lies in building a responsive,
productive Federal Civil Service. The people make the difference,
not the organizational structure. I have pushed through the most
sweeping overhaul of the Civil Service in a century. The new system
offers real incentives for good management performance. It has
received strong bi partisan support 'and praise.
5.
Dealing with Experts
JUN
I have learned you get "expert" opinion on both sides of every
issue. Finally, the President must be the "expert".
FOR PRESIDENT CARTER
QUESTIONS TO ASK GOVERNOR REAGAN
A.
Overview
1.
Which specific domestic initiatives of the past 4 years would you seek
to have Congress repeal?
2.
How can you say your positions have not changed in light of your current
stands on New York City aid, Chrysler aid, abolishing OSHA, eliminating
the minimum wage, and China?
3.
Can you explain how you planned to divide responsibility with former
President Ford when you were considering him as your running mate?
4.
Do you disavow any parts of the Republican Platform?
5.
Why should people believe that you were Serious about cutting Federal
spending when you have spent SO much of the campaign making promises
which cost SO much money (inheritance tax removal; tuition tax credit etc. ) ?
6.
What audience have you addressed in this campaign and called upon them for
sacrifice, rather than promised additional aid or assistance?
7.
How can the American people believe that equal rights would be protected
as well by statute if hundreds of statutes would have to be changed by
Congress and hundreds by State legislatures?
B.
California Record
1.
Why should voters believe you will reduce the size of the Federal government,
reduce taxes or reduce the number of government employees when you failed
to achieve any of these goals in California?
C.
Economy
1.
Why have you not named yet a specific program that you would cut in this
year's budget, in light of the fact that you are proposing to cut
$13-19 billion out of this budget as soon as you take office?
2.
Will you oppose further increases in the minimum wage?
-2-
3.
What evidence do you have that there was any White House role in changing
the PPI method of calculation?
4.
Why have you not told the American people your unemployment and inflation
projections for next year? (The Senate Budget Committee forecast is not
based on your Kemp-Roth proposal).
5.
In light of the positions you took until just recently on the minimum wage,
OSHA, and applying the antitrust laws to unions, why should working people
believe your current positions reflect your true views?
6.
If you are so concerned about providing investment incentives, why did
you drop your support of the 10-5-3-proposal and provide only 10% of
your tax cut for investment purposes?
T.
Can you tell us why President Ford and your own running mate have not
supported your tax cut program?
D.
Energy and Environment
27:1983
1.
Can you explain again to the American people why you believe 93% of air
pollution is caused by trees and how it is that pollution has been
"substantially controlled"?
2.
Would you repeal the Windfall Profits Tax or have you changed your
position on that tax now?
E.
Government
1.
Are you still standing by your earlier positions that you will seek to
abolish the Departments of Energy and Education or have you changed
your positions?
2.
What specific powers and functions would you return to the States and
what ão you mean by "tax sources to pay for them"?
3.
Since you opposed the Chrysler and New York City assistance programs
when they were being considered by the Congress, what would you have
done to deal with those problems?
4.
Why do you believe a total freeze of Federal hiring would be any more
productive in reducing the number of Federal employees than was your
freeze in California? Are you aware I have had such a freeze on for
several months?
-3-
F.
Human Needs
:.
Why have you failed to support the Fair Housing bill now being considered
by the Congress?
2.
Why have you failed to support the Unemployment Compensation Extension
now being considered by the Concress?
3.
Why do you oppose any form of National Health Insurance?
CHALLENGES
(You may want to use the technique of challenging Reagan to provide an answer,
which he obviously will not know or will not want to provide.)
Examples:
1. I challenge Governor Reagan to deny that in this campaign he has changed
his 20-year-long position on
2. I challenge Governor Reagan to deny that he once said
3. : challenge Governor Reagan to name any expert (not on his payroll)
(not supporting his candidacy) who will support that statement.
4.
= challenge Governor Reagan to tell us specifically which programs he
would begin eliminating next year.
5. I challenge Governor Reagan to let us know if he still plans to dismantle
the Departments of Education and Energy upon assuming office.
6. = challenge Governor Reagan tottell us his inflation projections and his
specific plan to fight inflation
= - challenge Governor Readan to explain how changing hundreds of Federal
and State statutes is a better) and quicker way to ensure equal rights
than ERA?
8. = challenge Governor Reagan to deny that he led the effort to oppose
Medicare).
E. = challenge Governor Reagan to be specific about his program to transfer
programs back to the States and to tell us how that will be financed and
how it differs from his $90 billion transfer program of 1976.
10. I challenge Governor Reagan to deny that he made the same charge about the
U.S. becoming No. 2 militarily against Gerald Ford in 1976.
11.
I challenge Governor Reagan to let us know why he has not yet indicated
his support for the Fair Housing bill in the Senate, which is now opposed
by the Republicans following his lead.
12. : - - challenge Governor Reagan to explain why he opposed a grain embargo
against the Soviet Union when he now supports a total trade embargo
or why he could now support a total quarantine.
13. I challenge Governor Reagan to deny that taxes and spending doubled while
he was Governor.
2
0
He tends to stay above the fray, leaving his opponents to try to throw
the haymakers.
O
He responds to criticism or attack, either by making light of it or by
appearing hurt. In the Anderson debate, for example,
--
when Anderson implied he was against conserving energy, he
responded: "Well, as I've said, I am not an enemy of conser-
vation. I wouldn't be called a conservative, if I were.
--
when Anderson attacked some statistics he used, he responded:
"Well, some people look up figures, and some people make up
figures. And John has just made up some very interesting
figures." (He also looked very pained that his figures were
being challenged.)
C
Se regularly appeals to his audience's patriotic pride, both with anecdotes
and in his closing statements in every debate.
He occasionally injects a light touch into the debate, including some
self-deprecating humor. For example,
:
when the moderator asked for a one sentence response to a question
and then called Reagan for responding with two sentences, he
responded: "I thought I put a semicolon in there."
--
when he referred to Ancient Rome and the moderator made a comment
about being young then, Reagan popped back: "In' the only one here
old enough to remember."
:
when asked his position on ERA, he responded: "I'm = for ER. :
can't go along with A."
In sum, Governor Reasan's style is to carry on a conversation with his viewing
audience. He is verv disarming, always general, and often loose with his facts.
His answers nearly always revert to his anti-government themes. He appears to
be appealing to his audience's common sense; but more often appeals to
patriotism and national pride.
REAGAN AND PREVIOUS DEBATES
5 review of the way Governor Reagan handles himself in debates (he has
perticipated in five this year) is very instructive, and very impressive.
Governor Reagan's style in these debates -- while it appears simplistic on
the surface -- is both disarming and effective:
With a very few exceptions, he talks to his viewing audience and
not to his opponent. In his debate with Anderson, for example, such
phrases pop UD as "John tells us" or "when John talks about" CT
'John claims."
O
He seldom answers the question he is asked.
C
He avoids specifics. He virtually never talks in programmatic terms.
He never uses lists of programs or proposals.
O
He uses slightly irrelevant anecdores to deflect direct questions;
indeed, he is probably the best deflector of questions on American
politics. For example, when asked what justices presently on the
Supreme Court he would like his appointments to the Court to emulate,
he answered with an anecdote about John Marshall being a great justice
and not a lawyer.
Virtually every answer he gives blames government or government inter-
vention for the problem about which he's asked.
=
He falls back heavily on his record as Governor of California in answering
questions.
o
He uses conversational questions effectively, both to avoid questions he
is asked, to make his own points without sounding shrill or harsh, and
to keep the audience interested. That's one way he avoids reciting long,
boring lists or proposals. His transcripts are filled with questions
beginning with "Shouldn't we", "Why don't we, " "Wouldn't it make sense",
etc. For example, in his debate with Anderson, when asked about his urban
program, he used such questions as:
--
Why don't we start with the Federal Government turning back tax
sources to states and local governments, as well as responsibilities
for those programs?
-- Wouldn't it make a lot more sense if the Government let them (the
cities) keep their own money in the first place?
--
Why don't we offer incentives for business and industry to start
up these zones (depressed city areas)?
--
What if we had a Homestead Act, and said to people for S1 we will
sell you this house?
2
He tends to stay above the fray, leaving his opponents to try to throw
the haymakers.
He responds to criticism or attack, either by making light of it or by
appearing hurt. In the Anderson debate, for example,
--
when Anderson implied he was against conserving energy, he
responded: "Well, as I've said, I am not an enemy of conser-
vation. I wouldn't be called a conservative, if I were.
--
when Anderson attacked some statistics he used, he responded:
"Well, some people look up figures, and some people make up
figures. And John has just made up some very interesting
figures." (He also looked very pained that his figures were
being challenged.)
He regularly appeals to his audience's patriotic pride, both with anecdotes
and in his closing statements in every debate.
He occasionally injects a light touch into the debate, including some
self-deprecating humon. For example,
--
when the moderator asked for a one sentence response to a question
and then called Reagan for responding with two sentences, he
responded: "I thought I put a semicolon in there."
1980
-
when he referred to Ancient Rome and the moderator made a comment
about being young then, Reagan popped back: "Im' the only one here
old enough to remember."
-- when asked his position on ERA, he responded: "I'm for ER. I
can't go along with A."
In sum, Governor Reagan's style is to carry on a conversation with his viewing
audience. He is very disarming, always general, and often loose with his facts.
His answers nearly always revert to his anti-government themes. He appears to
be appealing to his audience's common sense; but more often appeals to
patriotism and national pride.
MAJOR CARTER ACCOMPLISHMENTS
DOMESTIC
1.
Comprehensive Energy Program.
:
Restored Openness and Integrity = Government.
3.
Restored economic growth after deep recession of '74-'75; and increased
employment overall, as well as for minorities, women and youth.
4.
Rescued Social Security System from bankruptcy.
5.
Expanded and improved major "people" programs - health, housing, social
services.
6.
Deregulated airline, trucking, railroad and banking industries.
7.
Government Reform -- Civil Service Reform; simplified regulatory process;
reduced paperwork burdent
8.
Reduced size of Federal government (40,000 fewer full time employees)
(Note: temporary and part-time,more than employees have increased
9.
Appointment of record number of mincrities and women = judgeships and
top policy management positions.
10.
Expanded government efforts on behalf of equal opportunities and equal rights.
2.
Education - substantial expansion of key programs and creation of Department
of Education.
12. Comprehensive Urban Policy.
13.
Protected the Environment.
14.
Strong Farm Policy.
(FACTS AND FIGURES ON THESE DOMESTIC ACCOMPLISHMENTS ARE SET FORTH IN THE FOLLOWING
FAGES.)
FOREIGN
1. Peace
2.
Camp David Accords /Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty
3.
Completion of SALT == Negotiations
-
Ratification of Panama Canal Treaties
5.
Majority Rule/Free Elections in Zimbabwe
6.
Normalization of Relations with China
7.
Real Increases in Defense Spending, reversing years of decline
8.
Strengthened NATO Alliance
9. Firm opposition to Soviet invasion of O Echanistan
10. Negotiation and Congressional approval of Multilateral Trade Agreement -
most substantial trade agreement of our generation
#1
COMPREHENSIVE ENERGY PROGRAM
Rev Elements
1.
Production
0
Comprehensive Energy Act of 178 (including phased deregulation of
natural gas prices).
O
Decontrol of oil prices.
O
Coal Production and Conversion Incentives.
0
Alaskan Natural Gas Pipeline (supplying 5% of our gas,
C
Mexican Natural Gas Agreement.
2.
Conservation
O
Standby Gasoline Rationing Plan:
0
Tokyo and Venice Energy Conservation and Consumption Commitments of
Allies.
3.
Sclar and Gasohol
0
Conservation and Solar Bank (providing $3 billion in loans over
next 4 years).
O
First Solar Energy Tax Credits.
0
Solar Commitment of 20% by year 2000; solar funding tripled.
O
Windfall Profits Tax.
L.
Safer Nuclear Power
0
Implementation of Kemeny Commission Recommendations.
5.
Synthetics
0
Synthetic Fuels Corporation (target of 2 million barrels per day
by 1992) : biggest peacetime program in history to achieve energy
security.
Kev Results
C
Imports declined everv year I've been in office -- historic reversal of
increasing dependence every decade since WW II, which I inherited.
-2-
C
Importing 2.2 million barrels per day less than in '77 (25% less)
(in 3 years before you took office oil imports rose 44%). (In 1980,
oil imports are down by 1.4 million barrels per day compared to 1979.)
C
Gasoline demand down 10% (750,000 barrels per day) since 1978.
O
Domestic crude oil production this year will reach 7 year high of over
8.6 million barrels daily (10% increase over '77) (in 3 years before
you took office production declined by 7% or 600,000 barrels per day).
O
011 and gas exploration efforts will set new record in 'SC with an
estimated monthly average 3,000 rigs in operation -- 70% increase
over '76.
0
Coal production in '8C will reach 850 million tons -- 25% above 176
(between '72-176, production grew only by 13%) -- all-time high.
C
Coal consumption in '80 will be 17% above '76, and coal's share of total
U.S. energy needs in '80 will pass 20% while oil's share will decline for
second consecutive year; coal exports in '79 reached 5-year high, and
will set another record in '80 (84 million tons). For first. time over
50% of our electricity comes from American coal and not OPEC bil.
O
Use of solar energy in households has increased tenfold in past - - years.
#2
OPENNESS AND INTEGRITY
Kev Elements
0
Executive Order requiring financial disclosure of government officials
and prohibiting revolving door practices.
0
Ethics in Government Act - putting into statute the requirements of
the Executive Order; also establishment of Special Prosecutor
procedure.
0
Inspectors General - placed in each Cabinet Department to identify
fraud and waste; identified S2 billion in wasteful expenditures; over
600 fraud convictions to date.
=
Executive Order reducing over-classification of government documents -
increases amount of classified material to be released over next
decade by 250 million pages.
o
Held 31 Town Hall Meetings - none held by previous Presidents.
0
Held 59 press conferences.
Kev Results
O
Restored openness and integrity of earlier Democratic Administrations.
=
Greater public access than ever to government decisionmakers and
government information.
0
Ensured feeling by American people of integrity of their governmental
leaders.
#3
RESTORED ECONOMIC GROWTH AND INCREASED EMPLOYMENT
Key Elements
$21 billion economic stimulus package in '77.
O
$20 billion tax cut in '78 (that cut plus the $8 billion cut in the
stimulus package are valued at $40 billion in 1980).
=
Reduction by one-third of capital gains rate
MTN Agreement and Export Policy.
C
'77 Economic Stimulus Package -- $21 billion program = stimulate
economy and create jobs.
Humphrey-Hawkins Full Employment Act.
Increased public service employment funds by 115% and jobs by 150,000
(from 300,000 in '77 to 450,000 now).
C
Increased youth employment funds by 230% (providing : million youth with
training and jobs).
o
Private Sector Jobs Program (S400 million annually -- 120,000 will get
private sector jobs in '80).
C
Targeted Employment Tax Credit -- (tax credit for hiring hard-core
unemployed).
Summer jobs programs - 1 million jobs annually.
Doubling size of Job Corps.
Kev Results
GNP is up by more than 12% since '76 (between '72-'76, rose by only 7%).
Industrial production rose 15% from the end of 1976 - end of 1979
(between '72-'76 industrial production rose only 6-1/2%).
Corporate profits taxes rose from 1976-1979 by 58% (between '72-76,
corporate profits rose by 54%).
Real business investment in new plant and equipment has grown at an
annual rate of 4.7% since '76 (this is 4 times greater than the rate for
the previous 8 years).
2
C
New home construction has averaged 1.7 million units since '76
(during previous comparable period (3 yrs 9 months) average was
only 1.5 million units).
0
Got country out of recession you inherited (and will lead out of
one we now have).
O
Employment is now 97.2 million
highest in history.
C
8.8 million new jobs created since December '76 -- nearly double the
number (4.4 million) created in the previous 4 years under Nixon-Ford.
(Note: stress that unprecedented growth is labor force kept unemployment
up).
C
Employment of adult women increased by 16% -- 5.6 million new jobs since
December 1976.
Employment of Blacks increased by 13% -- 1.3 million new jobs.
Employment of Hispanics increased 25% -- 1 million jobs.
#4
SOCIAL SECURITY SYSTEM
Kev Elements
0
Proposed and signed legislation to strengthen financial status of
all of the Social Security Trust Funds.
0
Proposed credit to negate effect of next year's Social Security tax
increase - without reducing in any way Social Security Trust Funds.
0
Opposed efforts to tax Social Security benefits, cap Social Security
cost-of-living increases, raise the retirement age for Social Security.
Kev Results
27 1988
C
Not a single check to any of the 35 million Social Security recipients was
delayed a day.
System was able to afford 14% cost-of-living increase this year.
Proposed credit has provided way = ensure continued fiscal integrity
while reducing inflationary impact of the Social Security taxes.
#5
DEREGULATION
Kev Elements
o
Passage of Airline Deregulation.
C
Passage of Trucking Dereculation.
o
Passage of Banking Deregulation (small savers reform)
0
Passage of Railroad Deregulation.
=
Administrative action on Communications Deregulation.
Kev Results
C
The 40-year government push for greater government regulation has
been reversed - most fundamental restructuring of relationship
between government and industry since New Deal.
=
Airline deregulation has produced a record number of flights and
passengers: first year consumer savings - $2.5 billion.
Trucking dereçulation will enhance competition and reduce energy
consumption; saves consumers $5-$8 billion a year.
=
Banking deregulation has allowed banks and savings and loan
associations to increase the interest they pay to those with
relatively small savings:
0
Rail deregulation will save America's railroads from bankruptcy.
#6
REDUCED SIZE OF FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
Kev Element
Last March, you imposed a hiring 2-1 freeze. This was the third one since 1977.
Kev Result
By October of 1980, there will be 44,000 fewer full-time Federal employees
than when you took office. By comparison, during the four previous years,
the number of full-time Federal employees grew by 57,000 workers.
(Note: Part-time hire increased S.19RS by about 80,000)
PART
#7
APPOINTMENTS
Kev Elements
=
Appointed more women, Blacks and Hispanics (over 80) to federal judgeships
than all previous Presidents combined.
0
Appointed more women, Blacks and Hispanics to senior government positions -
Cabinet, sub-Cabinet, Agency Head, White House staff - than any previous
President.
0
Appointed three of the six women to ever serve in Cabinet positions.
C
Appointed 40 women judges (there were only 5 women judges at the
beginning of the Administration).
()
Appointed 38 Black judges (only 17 Black judges before).
C
Appointed 16 Hispanic judges (only 5 Hispanic judges before).
0
One third of all judicial appointments have been women or minorities:
when you took office women and minorities-represented just 5% of the
federal judiciary.
N
0
Appointed four Blacks to Cabinet positions, and over 50 == key
sub-Cabinet positions.
0
Number of senior management positions held by women has doubled.
Kev Results
C
Real progress made for first time in our history in having women and
minorities appointed in numbers much more representative of their
proportion to the population.
o
Have appointees whose quality is as high or higher than federal government
and the federal judiciary has ever had.
O
Have placed women and minority judges in position to be interpreting our
laws into the next century.
#8
EDUCATION
Key Elements
Creation of Cabinet-level Department of Education (combining 150
existing Federal programs into one organization)
Elementary and Secondary Education Act Amendments (extension of Act,
expanding and targeting Federal aid to disadvantaged)
0
Middle Income Student Assistance ACT.
=
Increase in Education budget since '77 -- 73% -- largest increase
in comparable period in history
C
Increased funding of key education programs:
:
Basic Skills Training -- 86%
--
Bilingual and Education -- 100%
--
Higher Education and Student Aid -- 48%
--
Education for the Handicapped -- 57%
--
Head Start -- 73%
Kev Results
You are The Education President.
Education represented at the Cabinet-table for first time in history.
0
Greater Federal assistance -- without Federal involvement in local
schools -- than at any time in history.
C
No student denied a college education because of access to needed
financial assistance.
Greatly increased emphasis on the basic skills -- reading, writing,
computation.
#9
URBAN POLICY
Kev Elements
()
Creation of Urban Development Action Grant Program (first $1.3 billion
of UDAG grants have already stimulated $7.5 billion of new investment
in our Nations cities and created more than 400,000 new jobs).
0
Expansion of Economic Development Administration funding from S60 million
annually for urban areas to nearly $1 billion per year.
0
Creation of a rehabilitation tax credit to encourage businesses to
rehabilitate their facilities in urban areas (nearly $2 billion of
rehabilitation will be assisted this year through the credit).
C
Executive Order requiring Federal facilities in urban areas tc be
located in the central business area (resulting SO far in relocation
of more than 200 government fracilities).
0
Executive Order requiring Federal agencies to target their procurement
activities to high unemp ovment areas (this year $1.2 billion of Federal
contracts will be targered to these areas).
=
Reauthorization of General Revenue Sharing.
C
$1 billion in counter-cyclical aid.
C
Increase funding by nearly $1 billion for the Community Development
Block Grant Program.
0
Commitment to provide $50 billion for capital investment in mass
transit during the 1980's (compared to S15 billion in the 1970's
O
Funding for 300,000 subsidized housing units in FY 'G1, a 25% increase.
Kev Results
0
Nation has a comprehensive urban policy for the first time.
()
Grants-in-aid to States and localities have increased by almost 35%
since '77 (from $68 billion to $91 billion).
C
Funding to increase private sector jobs and investment in our urban
areas has increased by nearly 3000% ($60 million to $1.8 billion).
O
This funding (UDAG, EDA, investment tax credit for industrial rehabilitation,
Federal procurement targeted to high unemployment areas) will produce
$6.5 billion in private investment and 400,000 new jobs this year.
#10
PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT
Key Elements
C
Executive actions and progress in legislation to protect Alaska lands.
Enactment and implementation of -Nation's first Stripmining law.
Strengthening and reauthorization of Clean Air and Water Acts,
and their effective enforcement at EPA.
=
Enactment and implementation of Nuclear Non-Proliferation Act in
context of overall policy of halting push toward plutonium and
commercial breeder reactors.
=
Development of comprehensive, environmentally sensitive nuclear
waste management policy.
0
Initiation of new policies and program to reform water resource
development; opposition to wasteful water projects.
=
Establishment of goal of a 20% solar U.S. for the year 2000.
=
Establishment of energy conservation as cornerstone of national energy
policy.
0
Steady expansion of system of protected national lands: parks,
trails, wilderness areas, scenic rivers.
Appointment of environmentally-concerned individuals = key.
government positions.
Key Results
0
Reversal of previous 8 years of environmental neglect by
Executive Branch.
C
Government and environmental community now working together =
solve problems and protect the environment.
0
Unanimous endorsement by environmental community leaders.
#11
STRONG FARM ECONOMY
Kev Elements
0
Food and Farm Act of '77 -- comprehensive 4 year farm bill.
0
Placed farmers in key decision-making positions at USDA.
Established Nation's first farmer-owned and controlled grain reserve.
0
Promoted U.S. agricultural exports, including the development of
new markets (such as China).
Kev Results
0
Farm prices have gone through a dramatic recovery:
In January, 1977
corn was $2.34 per bushel and falling (it eventually
reached $1.60)
- -in August 1980 it was $2.93 and rising
wheat was $2.43 per bushel and falling (it eventually
bottomed-out at $2.00)
-in August 1980 it was $3.86 and rising
beef cattle were $32.20 per hundredweight
-in August 1980 they were $65.10 and rising
milk sold for $9.65 per hundredweight
-in August 1980 it was $12.80 and rising
o
Agricultural exports have risen 82% since 1977, setting new records each
year. This year, farm exports will reach $40 billion, compared with
$32 billion last year (and $22 billion in 1977) -- the largest one-year
increase in our Nation's history. This will result in an agricultural
trade surplus of $21 billion this year.
0
Farm income rose during each of the first three years of your Administration,
rebounding from the steady decline that had occurred during the latter years
of the Nixon-Ford Administration. In 1979, net farm income reached a
record-tying high $33.3 billion. While net farm income is being squeezed
this year by the effect of OPEC oil price rises, stronger farm prices are
already beginning to provide relief. Despite this squeeze, farm income
will be higher this year than it was when this Administration came into
office.
2
0
For alcohol fuel, we have set production capacity goal of
500 million callons by the end of 1981. This represents an over
six-fold increase from the 1979 level and will provide gaschol
(90/10 mixture) equivalert to about 10 percent of U.S. unleaded
gasoline consumption.
MAJOR CARTER LEGISLATIVE ACCOMPLISHMENTS
1.
Economy and Workers
1)
Economic Stimulus Package - ---
O
Social Security Refinancing - '77
C
Tax Cut - '78
=
Humphrey-Hawkins Act - '78
0
Minimum Wage Increases - '78
0
New York City Assistance - '78
C
Chrysler Assistance - '80
2. Energy
C
Department of Energy - 177
O
Comprehensive National Energy Act '78
including das deregulation, energy tax incentives,
conservation and conversion incentives)
O
Windfall Profits Fax - '80
=
Synthetic Fuels Corporation - '80
C
Solar Bank - '80
C
Low-Income Energy Assistance '79
O
Stand-by Gasoline Rationing Plan - '80
3.
Government Reform
0
Reorganization Authority - '77
O
12 Reorganization Plans
0
Ethics in Government Act - '78
0
Omnibus Judgeship Act - '78
C
Department of Education Act - '79
-2-
()
Airline Deregulation - '78
0
Inspectors General Act - '79
0
Trucking Deregulation - '80
0
Banking Deregulation (Small Savers Reforms) - '80
C
Rail Deregulation - '80
4.
Human and Social Needs
C
Food Stamp Reform - '77
C
Food and Farm Act - 177
Increased Education Spending
Urban Policy - '78
=
Consumer Cooperative Act - '79
=
Mental Health Act -
E.
Rights and Liberties
0
D.C. Voting Rights Amendment - '79
=
ERA Deadline Extension - '79
C
Anti-Boycott Act - '77
0
Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act - '78
0
Age Discrimination Act Amendments (mandatory retirement) - '78
6.
Natural Resources
C
Strip Mining Act - '77
O
Clean Air and Clean Water Act Amendments - '78
C
Outer Continental Shelf Leasing Act
O
Omnibus National Parks Act
7.
Foreign and Defense Policy
()
Panama Canal Treaties - '78
C
Taiwan-U.S. Relations Act - '79
C
Multilateral Trade Negotiations Act - 179
-
-3-
(.)
=
Increased Defense Spending - '78 - '81
o
Egyptian-Israeli Treaty Assistance Act - '79
CARTER INITIATIVES ENACTED DESPITE WIDESPREAD
INITIAL PREDICTIONS OF DEFEAT
0
Windfall Profits Tax
0
Natural Gas Deregulation
C
Civil Service Reform
o
Chrysler Assistance Packages
O
New York City Loan Guarantees
=
Panama Canal Treacies
0
Airline Dereculation
1983
0
Trucking Dereculation
0
ERA Ratification. Deadline Extension
=
D.C. Voting Rights Amendment
=
Multilateral Trade Negotiations Agreement
0
Lifting of Turkish Arms Embargo
0
Repeal of Byrd Amendment (Phodesian imports)
=
Stopping the funding for B-1 bomber
()
Rail Deregulation
1976 CAMPAIGN PROMISES
KEY POINTS
:.
You were first President to compile and publicly disclose all your campaign
promises; this was done to allow public to judge your performance against
the promises.
2.
Any fair-minded, objective assessment of your performance shows that you have
honored an extraordinary number of the promises, and worked to honor virtually
every one. In those areas where your efforts have not been successful, one of
the principal reasons has been Congress' failure to act -- not your failure
to do what is within your power. However, in some cases, promises have not
been honored because circumstances have changed, new facts have become apparent,
and you have changed your positions as a result. There is no reason = be
defensive about this; it should be used as a positive point -- that things
looked simpler to you in some areas before you became President and now you
know more (implying that Reagan's simplistic solutions also suffer from a Lack
of full information about the problems involved)
3.
Finally, you have done a better job of honoring your promises than many predicted
four years ago, and a far better job than many of your predecessors in honoring
their campaign promises.
=.
Manor Promises Honored:
=
Comprehensive energy
= Comprehensive urban policy
=
Appointments -- bringing more women and minorities into the government
at senior positions
0
Reorganization -- more than dozen reorganization plans, new Departments of
Education and Energy
()
Preserving Social Security System
0
Deregulating Airline Industry
0
Civil Service Reform
O
Greater public access to government information and officials
C
Improved relations with State and local governments
Reforming and strengthening OSHA
0
Increasing public service job opportunities and youth employment programs
()
Increasing Minimum Wage
1)
Increasing Federal commitment to public education
-2-
C Using voluntary wage and price policy
C Pardoning Selective Service violators
C Supporting human rights around the world
= Strengthening NATC alliance
0 Bringing peace between Israel and Egypt
C
Improving relations with China
: Eliminating waste in the military
O Halting the B-1 bomber
5.
Promises Not Kept Because of Concressional Resistance:
C
National Health Insurance
C
Welfare Reform
0 Tax Reform
= Consumer Protection Agency
C Public Financing of Congressional Campaigns
= Post-card voter registration
C New SALT Agreement
6. ** Promises Where Positions Can Reasonably Be Said to Have Chanced or we Have
Not Delivered:
C
Balancing Federal budget by end of first term
C
Seeking 2% inflation rate by end of first term
C
Opposing decontrol of old oil
0
Permitting deregulation of only new natural gas
C
Reducing government agencies from 1800 to 200
C
Opposing sale of arms to Egypt
C Not relinquishing actual control of Panama Canal
C Reducing our weapons sales = other countries
O
Reducing defense spending (here frankly state you found a profoundly different
situation than you had expected as a candidate. You found USSR building bigger
and our own Armed Forces in greater need of repair)
SITUATION INHERITED IN JANUARY 1977
(It is important to always remind the audience of the situation you inherited.) )
1.
Deepest recession since the Great Depression.
2.
Unemployment at 8% (November '76) and averaging 8.5% for all of 1975.
3.
A shortage of fuel for heating (especially natural gas) in the Winter of
'76-'77 in the Northeast and Midwest U.S.
4.
No national energy policy, with oil imports increasing and U.S. production
declining.
5. Social Security System 1983 on the verge of bankruptcy.
6. "Real" defense spending declining, by 14% between '72-'76 and by 35%
between '68-'76
IN
7. NATO defenses weakening.
8. Highest deficit in U.S. history.
9.
Rising Federal employment.
10. Egypt and Israel poised for further war.
ECONOMIC REVITALIZATION PROGRAM
Results
Cost:
Tax package - $27.6 billion in 1981 (calendar)
New Jobs Impact:
-
500,000 new jobs in first 12 months without
rekindling inf liation.
- 1 million new jobs within two years
Real Investment Impact:
Increase by
1983 10% over '81-'82 period
GNP Impact:
Will add 1 percentage point to real GNP growth.
Inflation Impact:
Reduce inflation because of Social Security tax credits
(short term) and investment : and productivity incentives
(long term)
Deficit Impact:
'81 budget deficit increased by only S6 - 7. billion
KEY ELEMENTS
1.
Industrial Revitalization:
-
SIMPLIFIED, LIBERALIZED DEPRECIATION
-
REFUNDABLE TAX CREDIT (UP TO 30%)
-
3% REAL GROWTH IN GOVERNMENT R&D FUNDING (to encourage innovation
and research)
2.
Business-Labor-Government Cooperation:
was
-
PRESIDENT'S ECONOMIC REVITALIZATION BOARD
-
INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY
-
TRIPARTITE COMMITTEES IN STEEL AND AUTOS AND COAL COMMISSION
WITH ALL PARTIES
2.
Community Assistance:
-
TARGETED INVESTMENT TAX CREDIT (10%)
-
S1 BILLION COUNTERCYCLICAL REVENUE SHARING
÷.
Reducing Individual Tax Burdens:
-
SOCIAL SECURITY TAX CREDIT (8%)
-
INCREASED EARNED INCOME TAX CREDIT (to 12% from 10%)
-
"MARRIAGE PENALTY" DEDUCTION (deduction of 30% of lower
spouse's earnings)