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Ronald Reagan Presidential Library Digital Library Collections This is a PDF of a folder from our textual collections. Collection: Blackwell, Morton: Files Folder Title: Defense Policy - 1983 Box: 6 To see more digitized collections visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/archives/digital-library To see all Ronald Reagan Presidential Library inventories visit: https://reaganlibrary.gov/document-collection Contact a reference archivist at: [email protected] Citation Guidelines: https://reaganlibrary.gov/citing National Archives Catalogue: https://catalog.archives.gov/ THE WHITE HOUSE Office of the Press Secretary For Immediate Release March 23, 1983 ADDRESS BY THE PRESIDENT TO THE NATION The Oval Office 8:02 P.M. EST THE PRESIDENT: My fellow Americans, thank you for sharing your time with me tonight. The subject I want to discuss with you, peace and national security, is both timely and important. Timely, because I've reached a decision which offers a new hope for our children in the Twenty-First Century, a decision I'll tell you about in a few minutes. And important because there's a very big decision that you must make for yourselves. This subject involves the most basic duty that any President and any people share, the duty to protect and strengthen the peace. At the beginning of this year, I submitted to the Congress a defense budget which reflects my best judgment of the best understanding of the experts and specialists who advised me about what we and our allies must do to protect our people in the years ahead. That budget is much more than a long list of numbers. For behind all the numbers lies America's ability to prevent the greatest of human tragedies and preserve our free way of life in a sometimes dangerous world. It is part of a careful, long-term plan to make America strong again after too many years of neglect and mistakes. Our efforts to rebuild America's defenses and strengthen the peace began two years ago when we requested a major increase in the defense program. Since then, the amount of those increases we first proposed has been reduced by half, through improvements in management and procurement and other savings. The budget request that is now before the Congress has been trimmed to the limits of safety. Further deep cuts cannot be made without seriously endangering the security of the nation. The choice is up to the men and women you have elected to the Congress and that means the choice is up to you. Tonight, I want to explain to you what this defense debate is all about and why I'm convinced that the budget now before the Congress is necessary, responsible and deserving of your support. And I want to offer hope for the future. But first, let me say what the defense debate is not about. It is not about spending arithmetic. I know that in the last few weeks you have been bombarded with numbers and percentages. Some say we need only a five percent increase in defense spending. The so-called alternate budget backed by liberals in the House of Representatives would lower the figure to two to three percent, cutting our defense spending by $163 billion over the next five years. The trouble with all these numbers is that they tell us little about the kind of defense program America needs or the benefits and security and freedom that our defense effort buys for us. What seems to have been lost in all this debate is the simple truth of how a defense budget is arrived at. It isn't done by deciding to spend a certain number of dollars. Those loud voices that are occasionally heard charging that the government is trying to solve a security problem by throwing money at it are nothing more than noise based on ignorance. We start by considering what must be done to maintain peace and review all the possible threats against our security. Then, a strategy for strengthening peace and defending against those threats must be agreed upon. And, finally, our defense establishment MORE - 2 - must be evaluated to see what is necessary to protect against any or all of the potential threats. The cost of achieving these ends is totaled up and the result is the budget for national defense. There is no logical way that you can say, let's spend X billion dollars less. You can only say, which part of our defense measures do we believe we can do without and still have security against all contingencies? Anyone in the Congress who advocates a percentage or a specific dollar cut in defense spending should be made to say what part of our defenses he would eliminate, and he should be candid enough to acknowledge that his cuts mean cutting our commitments to allies or inviting greater risk or both. The defense policy of the United States is based on a simple premise: The United States does not start fights. We will never be an aggressor. We maintain our strength in order to deter and defend against aggression -- to preserve freedom and peace. Since the dawn of the atomic age, we've sought to reduce the risk of war by maintaining a strong deterrent and by seeking genuine arms control. "Deterrence" means simply this: Making sure any adversary who thinks about attacking the United States, or our allies, or our vital interests, concludes that the risks to him outweigh any potential gains. Once he understands that, he won't attack. We maintain the peace through our strength; weakness only invites aggression. This strategy of deterrence has not changed. It still works. But what it takes to maintain deterrence has changed. It took one kind of military force to deter an attack when we had far more nuclear weapons than any other power; it takes another kind now that the Soviets, for example, have enough accurate and powerful nuclear weapons to destroy virtually all of our missiles on the ground. Now this is not to say that the Soviet Union is planning to make war on us. Nor do I believe a war is inevitable -- quite the contrary. But what must be recognized is that our security is based on being prepared to meet all threats. There was a time when we depended on coastal forts and artillery batteries because, with the weaponry of that day, any attack would have had to come by sea. Well, this is a different world and our defenses must be based on recognition and awareness of the weaponry possessed by other nations in the nuclear age. We can't afford to believe that we will never be threatened. There have been two world wars in my lifetime. We didn't start them and, indeed, did everything we could to avoid being drawn into them. But we were ill-prepared for both -- had we been better prepared, peace might have been preserved. For 20 years the Soviet Union has been accumulating enormous military might. They didn't stop when their forces exceeded all requirements of a legitimate defensive capability. And they haven't stopped now. During the past decade and a half, the Soviets have built up a massive arsenal of new strategic nuclear weapons weapons that can strike directly at the United States. As an example, the United States introduced its last new intercontinental ballistic missile, the Minute Man III, in 1969, and we're now dismantling our even older MORE - 3 - Titan missiles. But what has the Soviet Union done in these intervening years? Well, since 1969, the Soviet Union has built five new classes of ICBMs, and upgraded these eight times. As a result, their missiles are much more powerful and accurate than they were several years ago and they continue to develop more, while ours are increasingly obsolete. The same thing has happened in other areas. Over the same period, the Soviet Union built four new classes of submarine- launched ballistic missiles and over sixty new missile submarines. We built two new types of submarine missiles and actually withdrew ten submarines from strategic missions. The Soviet Union built over two hundred new Backfire bombers, and their brand new Blackjack bomber is now under development. We haven't built a new long-range bomber since our B-52's were deployed about a quarter of a century ago, and we've already retired several hundred of those because of old age. Indeed, despite what many people think, our strategic forces only cost about 15 percent of the defense budget. Another example of what's happened: In 1978, the Soviets had 600 intermediate-range nuclear missiles based on land and were beginning to add the SS-20 -- a new, highly accurate mobile missile, with three warheads. We had none. Since then the Soviets have strengthened their lead. By the end of 1979, when Soviet leader Brezhnev declared "a balance now exists, the Soviets had over 800 warheads. We still had none. A year ago this month, Mr. Brezhnev pledged a moratorium, or freeze, on SS-20 deployment. But by last August, their 800 warheads had become more than 1200. We still had none. Some freeze. At this time Soviet Defense Minister Ustinov announced "approximate parity of forces continues to exist." But the Soviets are still adding an average of three new warheads a week, and now have 1, 300. These warheads can reach their targets in a matter of a few minutes. We still have none. So far, it seems that the Soviet definition of parity is a box score of 1,300 to nothing, in their favor. So, together with our NATO allies, we decided in 1979 to deploy new weapons, beginning this year, as a deterrent to their SS-20's and as an incentive to the Soviet Union to meet us in serious arms control negotiations. We will begin that deployment late this year. At the same time, however, we're willing to cancel our program if the Soviets will dismantle theirs. This is what we've called a zero-zero plan. The Soviets are now at the negotiating table -- and I think it's fair to say that without our planned deployments, they wouldn't be there. Now, let's consider conventional forces. Since 1974, the United States has produced 3,050 tactical combat aircraft. By contrast, the Soviet Union has produced twice as many. MORE - 4 - When we look at attack submarines, the United States has produced 27 while the Soviet Union has produced 61. For armored vehicles, including tanks, we have produced 1,200. The Soviet Union has produced 54,000 -- nearly 5 to 1 in their favor. Finally, with artillery, we have produced 950 artillery and rocket launchers while the Soviets have produced more than 13,000 -- a staggering 14 to 1 ratio. There was a time when we were able to offset superior Soviet numbers with higher quality. But today, they are building weapons as sophisticated and modern as our own. As the Soviets have increased their military power, they have been emboldened to extend that power. They are spreading their military influence in ways that can directly challenge our vital interests and those of our allies. The following aerial photographs, most of them secret until now, illustrate this point in a crucial area very close to home: Central America and the Caribbean Basin. They are not dramatic photographs. But I think they help give you a better understanding of what I am talking about. This Soviet, intelligence collection facility less than 100 miles from our coast is the largest of its kind in the world. The acres and acres of antennae fields and intelligence monitors are targeted on key, U.S. military installations and sensitive activities. The installation in Lourdes, Cuba is manned by 1500 Soviet technicians. And the satellite ground station allows instant communications with Moscow. This 28-square-mile facility has grown by more than 60 percent in size and capability during the past decade. In western Cuba, we see this military airfield and its compliment of modern, Soviet-built MIG-23 aircraft. The Soviet Union uses this Cuban airfield for its own long-range reconnaisance missions. And earlier this month, two modern Soviet anti-submarine warfare aircraft began operating from it. During the past two years, the level of Soviet arms exports to Cuba can only be compared to the levels reached during the Cuban Missile Crisis 20 years ago. This third photo, which is the only one in this series that has been previously made public, shows Soviet military hardware that has made its way to Central America. This airfield with its MI-8 helicopters, anti-aircraft guns, and protected fighter sites is one of number of military facilities in Nicaragua which has received Soviet equipment funneled through Cuba, and reflects the massive military buildup going on in that country. On the small island of Grenada, at the southern end of the Caribbean chain, the Cubans with Soviet finanacing and backing are in the process of building an airfield with a 10,000- foot runway. Grenada doesn't even have an air force. Who is it intended for? The Caribbean is a very important passage way for our international commerce and military lines of communication. More than half of all American oil imports now pass through the Caribbean. The rapid buildup of Grenada's military potential - 5 - is unrelated to any conceivable threat to this island country of under 110,000 people and totally at odds with the pattern of other eastern Caribbean states, most of which are unarmed. The Soviet-Cuban militarization of Grenada, in short, can only be seen as power projection into the region. And it is in this important economic and strategic area that we're trying to help the governments of El Salvador, Costa Rica, Honduras and others in their struggles for democracy against guerrillas supported through Cuba and Nicaragua. These pictures only tell a small part of the story. I wish I could show you more without compromising our most sensitive intelligence sources and methods. But the Soviet Union is also supporting Cuban military forces in Angola and Ethiopia. They have bases in Ethiopia and South Yemen, near the Persian Gulf oil fields. They have taken over the port that we built at Cam Ranh Bay in Vietnam. And now for the first time in history, the Soviet Navy is a force to be reckoned with in the South Pacific. Some people may still ask: Would the Soviets ever use their formidable military power? Well, again, can we afford to believe they won't? There is Afghanistan. And in Poland, the Soviets denied the will of the people and in so doing demonstrated to the world how their military power could also be used to intimidate. The final fact is that the Soviet Union is acquiring what can only be considered an offensive military force. They have continued to build far more intercontinental ballistic missiles than they could possibly need simply to deter an attack. Their conventional forces are trained and equipped not so much to defend against an attack as they are to permit sudden surprise offenses of their own. Our NATO allies have assumed a great defense burden, in- cluding the military draft in most countries. We're working with them and our other friends around the world to do more. Our defensive strategy means we need military forces that can move very quickly, forces that are trained and ready to respond to any emergency. Every item in our defense program, our ships, our tanks, our planes, our funds for training and spare parts is intended for one all-important purpose, to keep the peace. Unfortunately, a decade of neglecting our military forces had called into question our ability to do that. When I took office in January 1981, I was appalled by what I found: American planes that couldn't fly and American ships that couldn't sail for lack of spare parts and trained personnel and insufficient fuel and ammunition for essential training. The inevitable result of all this was poor morale in our armed forces, difficulty in recruiting the brightest young Americans to wear the uniform and difficulty in convincing our most experienced military personnel to stay on. There was a real question then about how well we could meet a crisis. And it was obvious that we had to begin a major modernization program to ensure we could deter aggression and pre- serve the peace in the years ahead. We had to move immediately to improve the basic readiness and staying power of our conventional MORE - 6 - forces, so they could meet -- and therefore help deter -- a crisis. We had to make up for lost years of investment by moving forward with a long-term plan to prepare our forces to counter the military capabilities our adversaries were developing for the future. I know that all of you want peace and so do I. I know too that many of you seriously believe that a nuclear freeze would further the cause of peace. But a freeze now would make us less, not more, secure and would raise, not reduce, the risks of war. It would be largely unverifiable and would seriously undercut our negotiations on arms reduction. It would reward the Soviets for their massive military buildup while preventing us from modernizing our aging and increasingly vulnerable forces. With their present margin of superiority, why should they agree to arms reductions knowing that we were prohibited from catching up? Believe me, it wasn't pleasant for someone who had come to Washington determined to reduce government spending, but we had to move forward with the task of repairing our defenses or we would lose our ability to deter conflict now and in the future. We had to demonstrate to any adversary that aggression could not succeed, and that the only real solution was substantial, equitable, and effectively verifiable arms reduction -- the kind we're working for right now in Geneva. Thanks to your strong support, and bipartisan support from the Congress, we began to turn things around. Already, we're seeing some very encouraging results. Quality recruitment and retention are up, dramatically -- more high school graduates are choosing military careers and more experienced career personnel are choosing to stay. Our men and women in uniform at last are getting the tools and training they need to do their jobs. Ask around today, especially among our young people, and I think you will find a whole new attitude toward serving their country. This reflects more than just better pay, equipment, and leadership. You the American people have sent a signal to these young people that it is once again an honor to wear the uniform. That's not something you measure in a budget, but it's a very real part of our nation's strength. It'll take us longer to build the kind of equipment we need to keep peace in the future, but we've made a good start. We haven't built a new long-range bomber for 21 years. Now we're building the B-1. We hadn't launched one new strategic submarine for 17 years. Now we're building one Trident submarine a year. Our land-based missiles are increasingly threatened by the many huge, new Soviet ICBMs. We're determining how to solve that problem. At the same time, we're working in the START and INF negotiations with the goal of achieving deep reductions in the strategic and intermediate nuclear arsenals of both sides. We have also begun the long-needed modernization of our conventional forces. The Army is getting its first new tank in 20 years. The Air Force is modernizing. We're rebuilding our Navy which shrank from about 1000 ships in the late 1960's to 453 during the 1970's. Our nation needs a superior Navy to support our military MORE - 7 - forces and vital interests overseas. We're now on the road to achieving a 600-ship Navy and increasing the amphibious capabilities of our Marines who are now serving the cause of peace in Lebanon. And we're building a real capability to assist our friends in the vitally-important Indian Ocean and Persian Gulf region. This adds up to a major effort, and it isn't cheap. It comes at a time when there are many other pressures on our budget, and when the American people have already had to make major sacrifices during the recession. But we must not be misled by those who would make defense once again the scapegoat of the federal budget. The fact is that in the past few decades we have seen a dramatic shift in how we spend the taxpayer's dollar. Back in 1955, payments to individuals took up only about 20 percent of the federal budget. For nearly three decades, these payments steadily increased and this year will account for 49 percent of the budget. By contrast, in 1955, defense took up more than half of the federal budget. By 1980, this spending had fallen to a low of 23 percent. Even with the increase that I am requesting this year, defense will still amount to only 28 percent of the budget. The calls for cutting back the defense budget come in nice simple arithmetic. They're the same kind of talk that led the democracies to neglect their defenses in the 1930's and invited the tragedy of World War II. We must not let that grim chapter of history repeat itself through apathy or neglect. This is why I'm speaking to you tonight -- to urge you to tell your Senators and Congressmen that you know we must continue to restore our military strength. If we stop in midstream, we will send a signal of decline, of lessened will, to friends and adversaries alike. Free people must voluntarily, through open debate and democratic means, meet the challenge that totalitarians pose by compulsion. It's up to us, in our time, to choose and choose wisely between the hard but necessary task of preserving peace and freedom and the temptation to ignore our duty and blindly hope for the best while the enemies of freedom grow stonger day by day. The solution is well within our grasp. But to reach it, there is simply no alternative but to continue this year, in this budget, to provide the resources we need to preserve the peace and guarantee our freedom. Now, thus far tonight I have shared with you my thoughts on the problems of national security we must face together. My predecessors in the Oval Office have appeared before you on other occasions to describe the threat posed by Soviet power and have proposed steps to address that threat. But since the advent of nuclear weapons, those steps have been increasingly directed toward deterrence of aggression through the promise of retaliation. This approach to stability through offensive threat has worked. We and our allies have succeeded in preventing nuclear war for more than three decades. In recent months, however, my advisors, including in particular the Joint Chiefs of Staff, have underscored the necessity to break out MORE - 8 - of a future that relies solely on offensive retaliation for our security. Over the course of these discussions, I have become more and more deeply convinced that the human spirit must be capable of rising above dealing with other nations and human beings by threatening their existence. Feeling this way, I believe we must thoroughly examine every opportunity for reducing tensions, and for introducing greater stability into the strategic calculus on both sides. One of the most important contributions we can make is, of course, to lower the level of all arms, and particularly nuclear arms. We are engaged right now in several negotiations with the Soviet Union to bring about a mutual reduction of weapons. I will report to you a week from tomorrow my thoughts on that score. But let me just say, I am totally committed to this course. If the Soviet Union will join with us in our effort to achieve major reduction, we will have succeeded in stabilizing the nuclear balance. Nevertheless, it will still be necessary to rely on the spectre of retaliation, on mutual threat. And that is a sad commentary on the human condition. Wouldn't it be better to save lives than to avenge them? Are we not capable of demonstrating our peaceful intentions by applying all our abilities and our ingenuity to achieving a truly lasting stability. I think we are. Indeed, we must. After careful consultation with my advisors including the Joint Chiefs of Staff, I believe there is a way. Let me share with you a vision of the future which offers hope. It is that we embark on a program to counter the awesome Soviet missile threat with measures that are defensive. Let us turn to the very strengths in technology that spawned our great industrial base, and that have given us the quality of life we enjoy today. What if free people could live secure in the knowledge that their security did not rest upon the threat of instant U.S. retaliation to deter a Soviet attack, that we could intercept and destroy strategic ballistic missiles before they reached our own soil or that of our allies? I know this is a formidable, technical task, one that may not be accomplished before the end of this century. Yet, current technology has attained a level of sophistication where it is reasonable for us to begin this effort. It will take years, probably decades of effort on many fronts. There will be failures and setbacks, just as there will be successes and breakthroughs. And as we proceed, we must remain constant in preserving the nuclear deterrent and maintaining a solid capability for flexible response. But isn't it worth every investment necessary to free the world from the threat of nuclear war? We know it is. In the meantime, we will continue to pursue real reductions in nuclear arms, negotiating from a position of strength that can be assured only by modernizing our strategic forces. At the same time, we must take steps to reduce the risk of a conventional military conflict escalating to nuclear war by improving our non-nuclear capabilities. MORE - 9 - America does possess -- now -- the technologies to attain very significant improvements in the effectiveness of our conventional, non-nuclear forces. Proceeding boldly with these new technologies, we can significantly reduce any incentive that the Soviet Union may have to threaten attack against the United States or its allies. As we pursue our goal of defensive technologies, we recognize that our allies rely upon our strategic offensive power to deter attacks against them. Their vital interests and ours are inextricably linked. Their safety and ours are one. And no change in techonology can or will alter that reality. We must and shall continue to honor our commitments. I clearly recognize that defensive systems have limitations and raise certain problems and ambiguities. If paired with offensive systems, they can be viewed as fostering an aggressive policy, and no one wants that. But with these considerations firmly in mind, I call upon the scientific community in our country, those who gave us nuclear weapons, to turn their great talents now to the cause of mankind and world peace, to give us the means of rendering these nuclear weapons impotent and obsolete. Tonight, consistent with our obligations of the ABM Treaty and recognizing the need for closer consultation with our allies, I'm taking an important first step. I am directing a comprehensive and intensive effort to define a long-term research and development program to begin to achieve our ultimate goal of eliminating the threat posed by strategic nuclear missiles. This could pave the way for arms control measures to eliminate the weapons themselves. We seek neither military superiority nor political advantage. Our only purpose -- one all people share -- is to search for ways to reduce the danger of nuclear war. My fellow Americans, tonight we're launching an effort which holds the promise of changing the course of human history. There will be risks, and results take time. But I believe we can do it. As we cross this threshold, I ask for your prayers and your support. Thank you. Good night. And God bless you. END 8:29 P.M. EST MICHIGAN CITIZENS SUPPORTING THE PRESIDENCY An Affiliate of the National Foundation Chairman Emeritus: Robert J. Huber 409 Top of Troy Building Director: William D. McMaster Troy, Michigan 48084 Vice Chairs: Richard H. Headlee (313) 362-2750 Alice L. Schoenholtz Senator Ed Fredricks MEMO Jack Welborn 1983 Advisory Board: Listed in alphabetical order on reverse side of To: Advisory Board Members this page. From: Alice L. Schoenholtz October 26, 1983 Subject: President Reagan's Defense Program What has happened in Lebanon and Grenada this week points to the need of the United States to have a strong and viable defense that is flexible to protect the PEACE of the world. The enclosed briefing book on President Reagan's defense programs and policies could not have come at a more appropriate time. It highlights the priority the President places on defense to protect our Country and Democracy throughout the world. Please share "Rebuilding Our Defenses: The Reagan Administration's Record on Defense Issues" with friends so they will become more informed and understand what President Reagan describes as "the most difficult job in the world." He needs your support, at this time, more than ever. From: Bill McMaster Subject: Chairmanship of Michigan Committee to Re-elect President Reagan The Chairperson of the Michigan Committee to Re-elect President Reagan should be named very soon. Frankly, delayed action in Washington has caused a rumor mill to develop. All that is certain today is that John Gnau will not be Chairman. Dick Headlee, who we believe would do the best job of organizing the grassroots for the President, is not a shoo-in. During two visits and numerous letters to Washington in the last two weeks, I've conveyed the results of the poll of Michigan Citizens Supporting the Presidency and of Republican State Central Committee. An impressive 68% of you want Dick Headlee to be Chairman. That corresponds with a 60% approval rating among Republicans of Dick Headlee "as a person active in politics" recorded in a recent 800-person survey by Market Opinion Research. Headlee also had a 43% approval rating among ticketsplitters and 31% among Democrats. (Gov. Blanchard's approval rating in the total sample was 29% compared to Dick Headlee's 44%.) We've been pushing Dick Headlee for Chairman with Alice Schoenholtz as Co-Chair. Others mentioned as being considered for the Chairmanship include Ronna Romney, Bob Huber, Jackie McGregor, Alice Schoenholtz, Congressman William Broomfield, Dick Chrysler, Palmer Heenan and Mary Coleman. Feel free to express your opinion directly to: Mr. Ed Rollins Reagan/Bush "84" 440 First St. N.W. Washington, D.C. 20001 ####### 1983 Advisory Board Michipan Citizens Supporting the Presidency Robert William Williers Instruct Marrina Trunths Dmet Менль Nun Willav MI N Mrs. Fredince Additional Thelev 5,5 RameHa Visit In die Minu Take - Chearer Michael Dale A Mays Demo Thear Tohn Anderson y latter A Whuldon Rhem Antreas M. Aullrews Vinu Inition thurfurd General N Milmi - Notiman Shinkle dame ¥ . 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Fahrenkopf, Jr., Chairman William I. Greener, III, Director, Communications Division Philip Kawior, Director of Research Vivianne Schneider, Policy Analyst Rebuilding Our Defenses: The Reagan Administration's Record on Defense Issues September 1983 OF STATEMENT THE OF Visa IS STATES THE UNITED V September, 1983 Few issues are so critical to our nation as the maintenance of our national security and the keeping of the peace. President Reagan is standing firmly behind his pledge to strengthen the nation's defenses while pursuing a responsible policy toward arms control. The Reagan Administration is pledged to restoring our "margin of safety," rebuilding our defenses after almost a decade of neglect, and pursuing effective and verifiable arms control agreements. The Reagan Administration is determined to negotiate agreements that will make a positive contribution to reducing the risk of war; that is, that are equal in all respects, that are verifiable, and that involve actual reductions in the threat we face. That threat is real and growing and wishful thinking or simplistic and irresponsible proposals, such as the nuclear freeze, will not enhance our security or serve the cause of peace. The President will continue to oppose any proposal that involves the acceptance of Soviet superiority, unverifiable arms control agreements, or the termination of those vital U.S. programs that are required to rebuild our defenses and restore our deterrence. The enclosed materials highlight the President's defense program. The materials contain an outline of the main points in the debate, a more detailed text to expand upon the arguments, and a series of questions and answers. The purpose of this defense issues package is to enable you to state President Reagan's position clearly and simply. The goal is to generate broad support for the President's efforts to restore our "margin of safety" and to negotiate responsible arms control agreements. Use the information we have provided. Let the media in your area hear from you. Write or call your Congressman. The fate of a free America is in the balance. Our future and that of our children will be determined by the outcome of this great national debate. We must convince Congress and the American people that the President's policies and programs are critical to our national security and to the preservation of the lives and safety of all Americans. Your effort on this behalf is vitally important. Very truly yours, Frank J. Fahrenkopf, Jr. Chairman Republican National Committee Table of Contents Defense Budget/Strategic Modernization Key Points 4 Overview 5 The Reagan Strategic Modernization Program 7 Conventional Forces 11 The Soviet Threat and the Need for a Strong Defense 11 Questions and Answers 13 The Soviet Threat Key Points 16 U.S.-Soviet Defense Spending: Trends 17 U.S.-Soviet Military Balance (Strategic Forces): An Overview 18 Land-Based Missiles (ICBMs) 18 Sea-Based Missiles (SLBMs) 19 Strategic Bombers 20 NATO-Warsaw Pact Comparison 21 Questions and Answers 24 Arms Control Key Points 29 The Reagan Administration's Arms Control Principles 30 Reagan Administration Arms Control Proposals 31 Confidence-Building Measures 32 Soviet Response to U.S. Arms Control Proposals 33 Previous Arms Control Efforts (SALT I & II) 34 U.S. and Soviet Compliance with Existing Agreements 35 From MAD to MAS. 36 Questions and Answers 38 Nuclear Freeze Key Points 40 The Freeze Approach 41 Overkill and the Nuclear Freeze 43 The Reagan Administration and the Nuclear Freeze 44 The Soviet Approach to Nuclear Weapons, Arms Control and the Nuclear Freeze 45 Questions and Answers 46 Glossary 50 *When text contains an asterisk, refer to glossary. Defense Budget/ Strategic Modernization- Key Points President Reagan's five-year defense To redress the strategic imbalance budget is an affordable program caused by a two-decade-long Soviet designed to correct the deficiencies buildup, President Reagan announced in our current defense posture a comprehensive five-part strategic caused by years of neglect of our modernization program on October military forces. 31, 1981. The program calls for: Defense spending as a percentage of 1. ICBM* modernization Gross National Product (GNP) and 2. SLBM* modernization as a percentage of total budget expenditures has declined steadily in 3. Modernization of strategic bombers the last two decades, except for the 4. Improvement in command, control, Vietnam years, while spending on and communications systems * federally-funded social programs has skyrocketed. 5. Improvement in strategic defenses. The Reagan FY 1984 defense budget U.S. ICBM forces are old and proposes $238.6 billion in outlays. obsolete. The Soviet ICBM force is This represents 6.8 percent of GNP more modern and powerful than and 29 percent of total federal our own. As a result, the Soviets expenditures. can threaten the survivability of U.S. The largest share of the FY 1984 ICBMs by using only a fraction of their own ICBM force. The current defense budget, 42.2 percent, is U.S. ICBM force cannot now inflict taken up by manpower costs, com- pared to 10 percent for strategic similar damage on the Soviet Union, forces. even using our entire force. To ensure the U.S. has the ability to destroy Soviet military targets if we are attacked, President Reagan has called for the deployment of 100 MX Peacekeeper missiles* and a new, smaller, mobile ICBM, called the Midgetman*. 4 Overview The MX Peacekeeper missile faces President Reagan's defense budget is survivability problems in the short an affordable, multi-year program designed run, but, in the longer run, the to correct the deficiencies in our current development of Midgetman and defense posture caused by years of research and development into new declining funding for our military forces. techniques to harden silos and By contrast, funding for social programs shelters, for example, will ensure the during those years mushroomed. effectiveness of our land-based inter- 1. continental ballistic missile force. Defense budget trends. In 1962, defense comprised 45.9 percent of The Reagan defense program also federal budget expenditures; by fiscal seeks to correct deficiencies in our year 1978 it had declined to 22.9 conventional force structure through percent of the budget. improvements in the readiness* and The President has asked Con- sustainability* of our armed forces. gress for $238.6 billion in President Reagan's defense budget is outlays for fiscal year 1984, only a minimal budget to protect our 29 percent of total federal country's vital interests and to meet expenditures. our commitments. 2. Defense budget by category. The largest share of the FY 1984 defense budget goes for manpower costs; it does not go for procurement of new weapons systems. 12.5 percent of defense spending in the 1984 budget will be available for new programs compared to an estimated 42.2 percent for manpower costs. 5 Despite the great attention they 3. Non-defense spending. More money receive, strategic nuclear forces- was spent on social programs in the our intercontinental ballistic mis- last decade than on defense. siles, submarine-launched ballistic Non-defense spending mush- missiles, and bombers-do not roomed during the 1970s while consume most of the budget. defense spending did not even Spending on strategic forces will keep up with inflation. Today, comprise 10 percent of the 1984 direct payments to individuals defense budget. At no point in represent 42 percent of total the Reagan five-year plan are budget outlays. expenditures on strategic forces to exceed 15 percent. This Administration spends more than ever on human needs. HHS spends more than two- The Federal Budget, thirds of a billion dollars every National Defense, day on social programs. The and Strategic Forces HHS budget is the third largest 1950-1983 budget in the world; only the United States and the Soviet 800 Federal Budget Union have larger budgets. 700 600 Billions of $ FY 83 Percent of Budget 500 50 400 National Defense Defense 300 Social 200 Spending 35 100 Strategic Forces 0 1950 54 58 62 66 70 74 75 1982 Strategic forces represent a small proportion of the 20 defense budget and a very tiny fraction of total 1960 1970 1980 federal expenditures. This graph illustrates the dramatic increase in social spending since the late 1950s and the concomitant 6 decrease in defense spending. The Reagan Strategic Modernization Program 4. U.S.-Soviet budget trends. Soviet mili- U.S. ICBMs are currently obsolete tary expenditures grew during the and vulnerable to nuclear attack. They 1960s and 1970s while U.S. expen- lack the necessary accuracy and power to ditures declined after accounting for attack the most important Soviet military inflation. targets, which have been hardened or strengthened to withstand nuclear attack. Today, the Soviet Union spends 15 percent of its GNP on To redress the imbalance created by the unprecedented Soviet buildup of the defense compared to 6.5 percent 1970s and to correct the deficiencies of for the U.S. our forces, President Reagan announced a While the Reagan five-year de- comprehensive five-part strategic modern- fense program envisions spending ization program on October 31, 1981. The under 8 percent of GNP by program calls for: 1988, the Soviet defense allot- 1. ICBM modemization. This modern- ment could reach 20 percent in the not-too-distant future. ization will entail the development and deployment of 100 MX Peacemaker missiles and the develop- ment of the Midgetman ICBM. The Need for ICBM Modernization: MX and Midgetman The Soviet ICBM force grew enor- mously in numbers and destructive power in the past two decades. As a result, the bipartisan Presidential Commission on Strategic Forces (also known as the Scowcroft Commission) noted, "The Soviets. now probably possess the neces- sary combination of ICBM numbers, reliability, accuracy, and warhead yield to destroy almost all. U.S. ICBM silos, using only a portion of their own ICBM force. 7 The U.S. ICBM force now deployed cannot C. Problem of survivability. In the near inflict similar damage, even using the term, survivability of the MX Peace- entire force." (Emphasis added) keeper will depend on its interaction with the other components of the a. Restoring retaliatory effectiveness. Ef- Triad-the submarine-launched bal- fective deterrence requires the U.S. listic missiles and the strategic to have the ability to destroy bombers. Soviet military targets if we are attacked. In the longer run, ICBM mod- ernization will be achieved To solve the problem of retali- through the development (in the atory effectiveness President early 1990s) of a new small Reagan called for a limited ICBM called the Midgetman, as deployment of 100 MX Peace- well as through research and keeper missiles in Minuteman III development on new techniques silos. to harden silos and shelters or The MX missile will reestablish underground basing. our hard-target capability; i.e., d. Midgetman. As Secretary of Defense the MX will restore our ability Caspar Weinberger pointed out, to destroy hardened or strength- "...The deployment of a new small ened Soviet military targets. missile will add to the flexibility and b. Decreasing the risk of attack. The overall capability of the ICBM deployment of MX will make it force." more difficult for the Soviets to The Midgetman will be designed attack, and, by threatening their so that it can be made mobile or remaining ICBM force, decrease placed in super-hardened or Soviet confidence that an attack strengthened underground facili- might succeed. ties which can survive a Soviet As the President's Commission attack. Because of its small size, notes: "Soviet planners would the Midgetman can be deployed have to account for the possibility in a variety of ways. This is that Peacekeeper missiles would stabilizing because it makes it be available for use and thus they would help deter such an 8 attack." more difficult for the Soviets to As a result of SLBM moderni- destroy the missile and hence zation, the U.S. will have a increases the risk to the Soviets survivable force that can attack of attacking the U.S. the things the Soviets value 2. SLBM* modemization. Trident* sub- most: their strategic nuclear missiles, their fortified military marine construction will continue, facilities and their civilian and and a larger, more accurate sea- military leadership. This capability launched ballistic missile- known will serve as a major deterrent to as Trident will be developed a Soviet nuclear attack on the and deployed on Trident submarines U.S. in 1989. 3. Modemization of strategic bombers. A The need for SLBM modemization. variant of the B-1B,* will be The current fleet of U.S. missile developed and 100 aircraft will be submarines is old. Except for the operational by 1988. Research and first two Trident missile submar- development will continue on the ines that have just recently advanced technology bomber (ATB) become operational, all other or "Stealth"* aircraft. U.S. ballistic missile submarines were built before 1967. These The need for bomber modemization. submarines will have to be All U.S. heavy strategic bombers retired in the 1990s due to age are already more than 20 years old. if nothing else. They face a vast and sophisticated array of Soviet defenses that are The Trident II and the submarine- continually being improved. If launched cruise missile will im- not replaced soon, our B-52 prove our ability to destroy bombers will not be able to hardened or strengthened Soviet penetrate Soviet air defenses and military targets. The existing attack their targets. Additionally, submarine-launched missiles do the B-52 bomber is vulnerable not have this capability. to Soviet attack on its air bases. 9 The B-1B bomber and the munications network has many Stealth aircraft are designed to deficiencies. There are real doubts remedy these defects. Both aircraft that some elements of it can will have a dramatically improved perform under enemy attack. capability to penetrate Soviet air 5. Improvement in strategic defenses. The defenses and to survive a Soviet attack on their air bases. President's program involves the construction of radar to detect 4. Improvement in command, control and bomber attack, the procurement of communications systems. The U.S. airborne warning and control aircraft will deploy improved radar and (AWACs), and five squadrons of F- satellite systems to enhance early 15 fighter interceptors. The President warning capabilities and to assess has also authorized a very substantial more accurately and reliably the size increase in anti-ballstic missile (ABM) and scope of a Soviet missile attack. research and development. Development of a new satellite communications system to ensure that Presidential orders can be The need for strategic defenses. passed from command centers to Strategic defenses are defenses commanders in the field will also against bomber or missile attack. These consist of anti-missile take place. defenses of various types, of which the U.S. has none; surface- The need for improved command, to-air missiles, of which the U.S. control and communications systems. has none; and interceptor aircraft An absolutely vital element of of which the U.S. has a small our deterrent is our ability to force of old, obsolete aircraft. By communicate with our forces. comparison, the Soviets have 64 We take extensive measures that anti-ballistic missiles, 10,000 make it impossible to launch an surface-to-air missiles, and 2,500 attack without authorization from interceptor aircraft. the President. Today, our command, control and com- 10 Conventional Forces The Soviet Threat and the Need for a Strong Defense The Reagan Administration has also President Reagan's defense program is moved to correct deficiencies in our a measured response to the threat we face. conventional forces. When President Reagan The threat is real and growing. Disparities took office, many American planes couldn't in military strength do matter. As President fly and some American ships couldn't sail Reagan noted, military strength must be because we lacked spare parts and trained preserved "in order to deter and defend personnel and had insufficient fuel and against aggression-to preserve our freedom ammunition for essential training. To and peace." improve the readiness and sustainability of Two decades of underfunding of our our conventional forces, the Administra- military forces has resulted in: tion's five-year program proposes to: 1. the loss of U.S. strategic superiority; provide our ground forces with 2. additional quantities of both weapons a threat to the survivability of our systems and support equipment; ICBM force; 3. modernize Air Force and Navy/Marine substantial Soviet superiority in theater nuclear forces over those of Corps tactical aircraft; the U.S. and NATO; increase the naval construction pro- 4. an inadequately-sized, ill-equipped gram; army that lacked the requisite replenish stocks of supplies and combat readiness and sustainability; ammunition. 5. a serious threat to U.S. command of the seas, and hence our ability to maintain supply lines to Europe and the rest of the world; and, 11 6. a substantial Soviet leap in techno- The Soviet Union poses a formidable logical sophistication. Not only are military threat to the United States, its the Soviets outproducing us but allies, and its vital interests. If we permit much of their equipment is better the disparity between Soviet and U.S. arms than our own. Even in areas where buildup to continue, the threat against us we had a major lead in technology, will continue to grow and the risk of war the Soviets have closed much of the will increase. Weakness, not strength, will gap. invite aggression. Weapons Production Weapons Production 1974-1982 1974-1982 13,350 54,000 11,200 950 U.S.S.R. U.S. U.S.S.R. U.S. Artillery Armor Weapons Production 1974-1982 61 27 U.S.S.R. U.S. Submarines 12 Questions and Answers ANSWER: The President's strategic weapons program was designed to QUESTION: Critics of the President's be affordable. It is not costly in defense budget argue that we cannot relation to the total defense budget. afford such an expensive military The strategic weapons program buildup. How do you respond to President Reagan has approved will such criticism? be only 10 to 15 percent of the defense budget over the next five ANSWER: We cannot afford not to years. These are not great sums to respond to threats that constitute pay for forces that are most directly clear and present dangers to our involved in the deterrence of attack security, our freedom and to the on the United States and the peace. Providing protection and limitation of damage if such an security against external attack is the attack occurs. most basic responsibility of the For almost two decades, the United government. States has underfunded strategic Defense spending must be placed in programs. During the 1970s, the the proper perspective. Defense Soviet Union spent three times as spending must be measured not in much for strategic forces as did the dollars but in terms of our needs. United States. This included both a The threat our country faces is real massive research and development and growing, and wishful thinking program, and the deployment of will not make it disappear. National new and far more capable missile defense must be our highest priority. systems. Our military strength preserves and defends our liberty and the American The Reagan Administration has way of life. approved a comprehensive moderni- zation program to eliminate the disparities that currently exist, and QUESTION: Why is the President restore an effective strategic deterrent spending so much money on costly to the United States. strategic programs? 13 UESTION: We often read in the There are cost-overruns in defense newspaper that many military weapons programs just as there are cost- do not work as they are supposed to overruns in domestic programs. and suffer from enormous cost- Weapons system development often overruns. How do you account for requires the development of new this and what can be done to technology, the cost of which is correct the problem? difficult to estimate in advance of the development. In addition, during ANSWER: The defense budget is subject the 1970s, there was massive unanti- to more scrutiny than perhaps any cipated inflation. The annual cuts in other government budget. Attacks the defense program, during the on supposed waste and inefficiency 1970s, often forced the procurement are quite often little more than of weapons systems at rates of disguised attacks on the defense production that were simply not program by people who would economical; such procurement often weaken defense to spend more on resulted in large increases in unit their pet social programs. Generally costs. speaking, the Pentagon is better run The Reagan Administration is now than any other government agency. taking action to improve manage- The Reagan Administration is cur- ment and reduce future cost- rently taking action to further overruns. These changes have already improve management efficiency. saved billions of dollars. We are now engaging increasingly in multi- year procurement and producing weapons systems at more econo- mical rates. UESTION: There has been so much controversy surrounding the MX missile. Why is the MX necessary? 14 ANSWER: Land-based ICBMs offer a Unfortunately, large, accurate new number of unique characteristics missiles developed by the Soviet that are essential to the maintenance Union have threatened the surviv- of a strong and reliable deterrent. ability and retaliatory effectiveness of They are accurate, responsive, enjoy our current ICBM force. The reliable rapid communications with Soviets have developed and widely command authorities, have short deployed numerous and highly ac- time-to-target capability (ICBMs take curate ICBMs that are capable of 30 to 35 minutes to reach their destroying most of our ICBM force target), and offer alert rates ap- in a first strike. proaching 100 percent. (By alert The MX is the only improvement in rates, we mean availability for use.) our ICBM force that can take They are based on U.S. sovereign place this decade. Our ICBM force territory, thus raising the stakes is much less powerful than that of greatly for any attacker. Their the Soviet Union; it currently has engineering and survivability char- less than one-third the number of acteristics make them fully indepen- warheads. Moreover, Soviet warheads dent of submarine-launched ballistic are two to four times more powerful missiles (SLBMs) and bombers. This than those of U.S. ICBMs. This combination, known as the Triad, factor, combined with the lower presents an impossible targeting accuracy of U.S. ICBMs, means the problem to an attacker intent on Soviet Union is capable of attacking avoiding our retaliation. the full range of U.S. targets while the U.S. cannot effectively attack all types of Soviet targets, particularly the most important military targets. MX would partially remedy that. 15 The Soviet Threat- Key Points The 1970s witnessed the most Because of the massive buildup of massive Soviet military buildup in Soviet ICBM forces, the Soviet history. Union has the capability to destroy virtually all U.S. land-based ICBMs. Soviet defense spending increased by 40 percent, while the U.S. The U.S. has no comparable capability. defense spending did not even This inability is not the result of keep up with inflation. accident. It has resulted from the fact that the Soviet Union has U.S. expenditures decreased to rapidly and extensively mod- five percent of national output; ernized its missile forces over the Soviet military expenditures in- last decade while the U.S. has creased to 12 to 14 percent of not. their national output. While the current U.S. bomber Under President Reagan's five-year force consists of 300 vintage 1950s defense program, the U.S. would B-52s, the Soviet not only produced still be spending under eight percent heavy* and medium bombers* in of its national output for defense the 1960s, they also introduced a (by 1988). The Soviet defense new type of intercontinental bomber, allotment will continue to grow the Backfire,* and are developing a despite a slowing economy. The second new type-the larger Black- Defense Department estimates that jack. the Soviets could spend 20 percent of their national output on defense The Soviet bomber threat can in the not-too-distant future. be expected to increase signifi- During the 1970s, the Soviets cantly over the next decade. moved from strategic parity to a The Soviet threat to Europe continues position where they are ahead of the to grow with the increasing Soviet U.S. in most measures of military deployment of intermediate-range capability; i.e., numbers of missiles, nuclear missiles, particularly the destructive power (yield and pay- SS-20 missile.* load), * ability to destroy military Not only do the Soviets have an targets (hard target capability), overall advantage in conventional number of missile submarines, and forces facing NATO, they have 16 strategic defenses. achieved as much as a six-to-one U.S.-Soviet Defense advantage in theater nuclear Spending: Trends missiles and aircraft. Recognizing the considerable advan- As President Reagan has said, "The tage held by the Soviet Union in decade of so-called detente witnessed the intermediate-range nuclear missiles most massive Soviet buildup of military and the growing Soviet military power in history." U.S. defense spending, threat, NATO decided in 1979 to by contrast, grew in the 1960s because of deploy 108 Pershing II missiles' and Vietnam, but fell continuously through the 464 ground-launched cruise missiles.* 1970s. The Pershing IIs and the ground- During the decade of the 1970s, the launched cruise missiles, scheduled Soviets increased their defense for installation in late 1983, will spending by 40 percent, outspending allow NATO to respond in-kind the U.S. by more than $400 billion. to an attack by Soviet inter- mediate-range missiles-a capa- Comparison of U.S-Soviet bility NATO does not now Defense Spending possess. Billions of $ FY 83 The Soviets have a large advantage 275 in chemical weapons. They are 250 currently using chemicals and bio- 225 US (with Viet Nam logical weapons in Southeast Asia War spending) and Afghanistan. The U.S. and its 200 allies have a grossly inadequate 175 chemical deterrent capability. 150 USSR Current U.S. chemical weapons 125 are obsolete and in many cases 100 their delivery systems have been 1955 58 61 64 67 70 73 78 79 1982 retired due to age. Since the late 1960s the Soviet Union has outspent The U.S. ceased production of the U.S. on defense. Soviet expenditures in the 1970s all chemical weapons in 1969 increased by 4 to 5 percent each year, while U.S. and destroyed all its biological expenditures declined. weapons as well. 17 By 1980, the Soviet Union was U.S.-Soviet Military Balance spending 50 percent more for (Strategic Forces): An military forces than the U.S. Overview In terms of budget percentages, U.S. expenditures declined to about five During the 1970s the Soviets moved percent of the U.S. Gross National from strategic parity to a position where Product (GNP) while Soviet military they were well ahead of the United States expenditures increased to 12 to 14 in most measures of military capability percent of their national output. At (i.e., numbers of missiles, destructive present, the Soviet Union is spending power, ability to destroy protected or 15 percent of its national output on fortified military targets, numbers of missile defense and the trend is continuing submarines, and strategic defenses). up. 1. Over the last decade, the Soviet Even if the five-year Reagan defense Union has spent three times as program were fully funded, the U.S. much on strategic nuclear forces as would be spending somewhat less has the U.S. than eight percent of its GNP in 2. 1988. Year by year projections are: The Soviets now have 2,778 strategic missiles and bombers; the U.S. has 1983: 6.5 percent 1,890. 1984: 6.8 percent 1985: 7.3 percent Soviet Union United States 1,398 ICBMs 1,046 ICBMs 1986: 7.6 percent 950 SLBMs 544 SLBMs 1987: 7.7 percent 430 bombers 300 bombers 1988: 7.7 percent Land-Based Missiles (ICBMs) The Soviet Union has a monopoly on the largest and most powerful missiles- the so-called heavy missiles,* such as the SS-18.* 18 1. Of the 1,398 Soviet ICBMs, 308 are 4. The 308 SS-18s alone carry more heavy missiles. destructive power than all U.S. 2. Each Soviet SS-18 has twice the strategic missiles combined. payload or destructive potential as Because of the massive buildup the projected U.S. MX Peacekeeper of the Soviet ICBM forces, the ICBM. Soviet Union is capable of destroying 3. Each Soviet SS-18 missile can deliver virtually all of our land-based 10 warheads, each with the destructive ICBMs. The U.S. has no comparable potential of a million tons of TNT. capability, because our missiles lack the destructive power and the accuracy. Size Comparison 1. This inability is not the result of of U.S. Minuteman III and Existing accident. It has resulted from the Soviet Intercontinental Missiles fact that the Soviet Union has modernized its missiles over the last decade while the U.S. has not. 2. To meet the threat to our land- based ICBM force, President Reagan has ordered the deployment of 100 MX Peacekeeper missiles and the development of a smaller, mobile, single-warhead missile, the so-called Midgetman.* U.S. SS-13 SS-16 SS-19 SS-17 SS-18 Sea-Based Missiles (SLBMs) Minute- man III The Soviet Union has built up a very The United States has one modern intercontinental large force of ballistic missile submarines ballistic missile (ICBM), the Minuteman III, deployed that exceeds that of the United States in in 1970. Modem Soviet missiles, particularly the SS- every characteristic except number of 18 and SS-19 are much larger and more powerful and warheads (the number of bombs missiles more accurate than the Minuteman III. These large carry). Soviet missiles are the primary cause for the strategic imbalance that now exists. 19 1. Between 1967 and 1982 the United 5. To meet the expanding Soviet States did not build a single ballistic threat, the Reagan Administraton missile submarine. The Soviets built has ordered the production of the more than 60. submarine-launched cruise missile. The submarine-launched cruise 2. The Soviet Union now has more than twice the number of nuclear- missiles (SLCMs)* will be deployed in 1984. powered ballistic missile submarines, carrying almost twice the number of 6. While the survivability of the U.S. missiles, as we do: sea-based force is currently not U.S.S.R. U.S. threatened by the Soviet Union, current trends show that such a 68 submarines 33 submarines 950 missiles 544 missiles threat could soon develop unless we keep upgrading our forces. 3. The Soviets are about to introduce the Typhoon, a new missile sub- Strategic Bombers marine, which is about 50 percent larger than our new Trident sub- The current U.S. bomber force marine, with larger and more consists of 300 B52s. The B52s were powerful missiles. designed in the late 1940s to meet the The missile carried by the threat of the 1950s. While some of the Typhoon is roughly comparable equipment on the B52s has been upgraded, to the U.S. Trident II missile, the aircraft is still basically a 1950s vintage which will not become opera- aircraft. Today, our entire heavy bomber tional until 1989. force consists of these aging and increasingly vulnerable B52s. 4. The Typhoon missile may be the first submarine-launched missile The United States terminated pro- capable of destroying protected or duction of heavy and medium strategic fortified military targets, a capability bombers in 1961. The Soviet Union has that we do not presently have. continued producing both types, and has developed two new intercontinental bombers, the Backfire and the Blackjack. 20 1. The Backfire was introduced in the NATO-Warsaw Pact mid-1970s and is being produced at Comparison a rate of more than 30 per year. The Blackjack will be introduced in A secure Western Europe is of vital 1986. importance to the United States. The 2. The Soviets now have 430 heavy security of Western Europe rests on the bombers compared to 300 for the ability of the U.S. and its allies to maintain United States. Since the number is conventional, theater, and strategic nuclear increasing steadily, the threat to the forces sufficient to deter aggression and United States can be expected to defend itself if attacked. The Soviet threat increase significantly over the next to Western security and political indepen- decade. dence is real and serious. 3. To meet the Soviet bomber threat, 1. Conventional Forces. Conventional President Reagan has ordered the forces are land armies, their equip- development and deployment of ment, fighter aircraft, and helicopters. 100 B-1B bombers and the devel- NATO has 84 Army divisions; opment of the Stealth aircraft, an the Warsaw Pact has 173. advanced technology bomber. Soviet-Warsaw Pact nations have The B-1B is an advanced, a six-to-one advantage in tactical multipurpose heavy bomber interceptor aircraft; a three-to- capable of delivering a wide one advantage in anti-tank guided variety of nuclear and conven- weapon launchers; a two-and-a- tional munitions and long-range half-to-one advantage in armored cruise missiles. The first B-1B personnel carriers and infantry squadron will be operational in fighting vehicles; a three-to-one 1986, with all 100 operational advantage in tanks. by 1988. The Stealth aircraft is an advanced bomber designed primarily for nuclear strike missions against very advanced enemy air defenses. Stealth aircraft will be operational in the early 1990s. 21 NATO-Warsaw Pact Force Comparison (in place in Europe) 24,300 NATO Countries 42,500 Warsaw Pact Countries 31,500 78,800 173 4.0 Mil 1,000 2.6 Mil 84 13,000 8,100 10,750 30,000 1,800 Transport/ Support 700 400 Attack Total Divisions Main Battle Anti-tank Artillery/ Armoured Helicopters Military Tanks Guided Weapon Mortars Personnel (Main armament Launchers (Tubes 100 mm Carriers & 90 mm and (Crew served and above Infantry above) and/or mounted) including Rocket Fighting Launchers) Vehicles Warsaw Pact NATO Military Manpower: (men under arms) 4,000,000 2,600,000 (divisions) 173 84 Tactical Interceptor Aircraft 4,370 740 Anti-Tank Guided Weapon Launchers 24,300 8,100 Armored Personnel Carriers and Infantry Fighting Vehicles 78,800 30,000 Artillery and Mortars 31,500 10,750 22 Tanks 42,500 13,000 2. Theater Nuclear Forces. Theater To meet the threat posed to nuclear forces are battlefield and Europe by the massive Soviet short- and intermediate-range nuclear buildup of intermediate-range missiles and aircraft which can be nuclear missiles, NATO requested utilized to support ground forces in in 1979 that the United States combat. deploy 108 Pershing II missiles The Warsaw Pact has a three-to- and 464 ground-launched cruise one advantage in overall theater missiles in Europe. Deployment is scheduled to begin in late nuclear forces, with a Soviet 1983. monopoly on intermediate-range missiles. The Pershing IIs and the ground- launched cruise missiles will Intermediate Range allow NATO to respond in-kind Nuclear Missiles to an attack by Soviet interme- diate-range missiles-a capability USSR NATO does not now possess. 3. Investment. U.S. and NATO military investment (research and develop- U.S. ment, construction, and procurement) has lagged alarmingly behind the Soviet Union and Warsaw Pact. Effective Soviet and Warsaw Pact investment is 35 to 40 percent greater than that of the SS-4 SS-5 SS-20 Pershing GLCM II NATO Alliance plus Japan. It Warheads 1 1 3 MIRV 1 1 has been greater since 1973, so Range (km) 2,000 4,100 5,000 1,500 2,500 the Warsaw Pact has been Numbers Deployed 232 16 360 0 o steadily accumulating more mili- tary assets than the NATO The Soviets have 600 intermediate-range nuclear Alliance. missiles. The U.S. has zero. 23 4. Chemical Weapons. The Soviets have The United States ceased pro- a large advantage in chemical duction of chemical weapons in weapons. Their forces are better 1969 and destroyed all its equipped in both offensive and biological weapons. U.S. chemical defensive equipment than any weapons are obsolete. Western army. Our deterrent to chemical attack rests mainly on the Questions and Answers threat of escalation to nuclear weapons. UESTION: Which nation has military superiority over the other-the The Soviet Union currently has USSR or the U.S.? advantages in chemical weapons and associated equipment that ANSWER: As President Reagan has range from 10-to-1 to 100-to-1. stated, "The Soviet Union does have a definite margin of superiority, Chemical/Biological Warfare enough so that there is risk..." Comparison There is no dispute concerning the basic numbers that make up the military balance. The Soviets have about 50 percent more strategic bombers and missiles than does the United States. Some Soviet land-based missiles are eight times as powerful as those of the U.S. and are more Decontamination Training Chemical accurate. The Soviets have some Vehicles Facilities Personnel defenses against missile attack and USSR U.S. we do not. Soviet defenses against Non-Soviet USSR and bomber attack literally dwarf those Warsaw Pact NSWP Combined of the United States. In the area of Enormous disparities exist between the chemical intermediate-range nuclear missiles warfare capability of the United States and the the balance is even more one- Soviet Union and the Warsaw Pact allies. This sided-the Soviets have 1,300 disparity is all the more disturbing by Soviet use of warheads; the U.S. has zero. these weapons in Afghanistan and Indochina in violation of existing agreements and international 24 law. Those who argue that this constitutes ANSWER: The United States is not "parity" depart from the usual attempting to achieve strategic meaning of the word. They are superiority nor is its current strategic really arguing that the military weapons program any serious threat imbalances that favor the Soviet to the Soviet Union. Our objective Union are not important. These is to develop a reliable deterrent to people frequently embrace the con- prevent attack on ourselves and our cept of "overkill" which conceives allies. In the words of Secretary of of cities as the only targets for Defense Caspar Weinberger in early nuclear weapons and argues both 1982, "While this modernization sides have more than enough program is not designed to achieve weapons to destroy each other many nuclear 'superiority' for the United times over. States, by the same token, we will President Reagan is concerned about make every necessary effort to the vulnerability of our nuclear prevent the Soviet Union from deterrent forces to Pearl Harbor- acquiring such superiority and to type surprise attacks and the inability insure the margin of safety necessary of our forces to effectively destroy for our security." many legitimate Soviet military targets. Our policy does not demand parity He recognizes that today the Soviets in the classic sense of equal "could absorb our retaliatory blow numbers; we are not attempting to and hit us again." He is concerned match the Soviets plane for plane or over the fact that we have no missile for missile. According to meaningful ability to protect our Secretary Weinberger, "Nuclear people from nuclear attack. This is weapons systems will not be funded why he is concerned about the merely to make our forces mirror imbalance of power that now exists. Soviet forces according to some superficial tally of missiles or aircraft UESTION: Is the U.S. attempting to deployed in peacetime Instead, our achieve strategic superiority? goal will be to gain and maintain a nuclear deterrent force which pro- vides us an adequate margin of safety with emphasis on enduring survivability." 25 UESTION: What are the consequences In the 1970s, the Soviets utilized of Soviet military superiority to the Cuban mercenaries throughout Africa West? to establish pro-Soviet regimes. In 1979, the Soviets invaded Afghanistan ANSWER: Military power continues to be and overthrew its government. They a key determinate of the balance of are still in the process of attempting power, the way states relate to one to suppress the Afghan people. another, and the prospect for Their brutal attacks have resulted in maintaining the peace. When the at least two million refugees. More military balance shifts towards states recently, they have used the threat that seek to expand their influence of military force to intimidate the and power by all means, including people of Poland. the use of force and violence, the world moves closer to war. The UESTION: Can't we cut defense Soviet Union is such a state. spending by getting our troops out The Soviet Union utilized the of Europe? Why not let the Second World War to annex Europeans defend themselves? territory and to impose satellite regimes on Eastern Europe. In the ANSWER: The United States does not early postwar period they attempted maintain troops in Europe to defend further military expansion in Greece the Europeans but to defend the and Korea. In the 1960s, the Soviets United States. Europe represents an began to support so-called wars of enormous concentration of economic national liberation. They established and hence potential military power. a satellite regime in Castro's Cuba If the Soviet Union controlled and supported North Vietnam's war Europe, that economic power would of aggression against South Vietnam. be converted into military power that would be used against us. Our ability to survive in a hostile world as a free nation would be dramatically impaired. 26 We maintain troops in Europe to ANSWER: The objective of our deterrence deter a Soviet attack on Europe that and arms control policies should not could easily result in a Third World be to make the world safe for War. Without the American troops conventional warfare. Not only is and nuclear weapons we have there, conventional warfare enormously there would be no possibility for the destructive (more than 40 million nations of Europe to defend them- people died in World War II) but selves against the Soviet threat. Even such no-first-use pledges aside, there with the American presence the would always be substantial risk of Soviet Union and its satellite states nuclear escalation in a European clearly have military superiority on war. Our goal must be to deter all the ground. types of war. The threat of nuclear It is not true that the Europeans are retaliation is an effective deterrent making no efforts for their defense. to war and it should not be Some 90 percent of all the ground discarded. forces in Europe are provided by As a practical matter the Soviet our NATO allies. While the United Union and its satellite states have a States cut its defense budgets almost substantial superiority over NATO every year during the 1970s, our in non-nuclear forces. The Soviet European allies increased theirs. Union and its Warsaw Pact allies are superior to NATO to a substantial QUESTION: Why not have NATO degree in manpower, divisions, tanks, declare that it will never use nuclear tactical aircraft and artillery. NATO weapons first as the Soviets have reserves of ammunition and combat done? equipment are at dangerously low levels. It is one thing to talk in the abstract of the desirability of eliminating these deficiencies. It is another thing to actually pay for them. There exist substantial pressures in the United States and other NATO nations to 27 cut military expenditures. If this The deployment of the Pershing II situation were combined with an and cruise missiles in Europe is announcement of a no-first-use stabilizing. These weapons are being policy, the degree of deterrence we deployed in response to a massive have to prevent Soviet attack would buildup of Soviet intermediate-range be substantially reduced. missiles. The Soviets already have about 600 such missiles deployed in NATO is a defensive alliance. It will Europe, with more than 1,300 only use nuclear arms if it is warheads. The Soviets have 360 SS- attacked on a scale in which it 20 missile launchers, each with three cannot successfully defend itself with very accurate warheads. The missile conventional arms. Its nuclear arms are not an offensive threat to the launchers began to be deployed in the mid-1970s. To date, there are Soviet Union. no comparable U.S. missiles in Europe. The Soviet SS-20 threat to QUESTION: Why are we deploying the Europe is growing at the rate of Pershing IIs and ground-launched about one missile launcher a week. cruise missiles in Europe? Won't our In addition, the SS-20 missile actions provoke the Soviet Union launcher can be reloaded after the and make a lasting peace more first set of missiles is launched. We difficult to achieve? believe the Soviets now have two SS-20 missiles per launcher. ANSWER: The purpose of U.S. missile deployment in Europe is to give The United States is now attempting NATO a deterrent against Soviet to convince the Soviets to agree to SS-20 attack. The proposed de- the abolition or at least reduction of ployment of the Pershing IIs and intermediate-range nuclear missiles. ground-launched cruise missiles does If we do not deploy the Pershing IIs not match the scale of even current and the cruise missiles, the Soviets Soviet capabilities. Only 572 warheads will not negotiate. Indeed, the will be deployed. The Soviets Soviets refused to begin negotiating already have more than that targeted until the governments of NATO against Europe and this force is decided to deploy the Pershing II expanding. Without such a deploy- and cruise missiles. ment, the balance of power will 28 increasingly favor the Soviet Union. Arms Control-Key Points Arms control efforts should support The Reagan Administration has national security objectives but cannot begun a broad range of arms control substitute for the necessary moderni- negotiations to reduce strategic zation of our forces. nuclear weapons (Strategic Arms Reduction Talks), intermediate-range Arms control must be a component nuclear forces (INF negotiations) of, not a replacement for, a coherent and the number of NATO and national security policy. Warsaw Pact troops in Europe President Reagan's approach to arms (Mutual Balanced Force Reductions). control is realistic. It takes into The U.S. is seeking a complete ban account our past experience in dealing with the Soviet Union and on chemical and biological weapons, our national security requirements. such as poisonous gases and other deadly agents. The Reagan Administration is proposing arms control agreements The Soviet response to U.S. arms based on the principles of equality control proposals has not been and verifiability and the need for serious. Soviet proposals are blatantly real reductions. one-sided in their own favor. Previous arms control agreements The U.S. has complied strictly with did not prevent the Soviet Union existing arms control agreements. from engaging in the largest military There is conclusive evidence buildup in history. Since SALT I that the Soviet Union has and SALT II were negotiated, the violated the chemical and bio- Soviet military threat to the U.S. has logical weapons treaties. increased significantly. There is evidence that the Soviets have violated the Threshold Test Ban Treaty and the SALT II Treaty. The issue is under review. 29 President Reagan has proposed that military superiority which could lead the U.S. move from a doctrine of them to test our resolve with the Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD) inherent risks of war and escalation. to a posture of Mutual Assured 2. Survival (MAS). That are verifiable. The Reagan Administration is placing a clear and To replace MAD with MAS, the consistent emphasis on verification President has proposed that we and compliance in view of the develop systems such as a space- history of Soviet treaty violations based system to defend us and recent evidence of their violation against nuclear attack. of arms control treaties. Without adequate verification, we create only The Reagan the illusion of arms control. Administration's Arms 3. That will lead to real reductions. The Control Principles Reagan Administration rejects "cos- metic" arms control agreements like After a careful reassessment of our SALT II that allow substantial experience with arms control during the increases in the military forces of 1970s, President Reagan has initiated a both sides. It has proposed agree- wide range of arms control negotiations ments involving real reductions. For with the Soviet Union aimed at achieving example, it has proposed the abolition substantial reductions in force levels to of land-based intermediate-range equal and verifiable levels. missiles and very substantial re- President Reagan has announced an ductions in land- and sea-based approach to arms control that is realistic. It strategic missile systems. takes into account our experience in dealing with the Soviet Union and our national security requirements. The U.S. is proposing arms control agreements: 1. That are equal. The American people will accept no less than equality because it is dangerous to allow the Soviet Union to achieve 30 4. That will reduce the risk of war. The Reagan has ordered the adoption of Reagan Administration has put a more flexible position on the emphasis on the reduction or number of deployed missiles. elimination of land-based missile forces that are most suitable for 2. INF (Intermediate-range Nuclear surprise nuclear attacks. This approach Forces). The United States has is designed to increase the security proposed the complete abolition of of both sides by emphasizing those intermediate-range nuclear forces in systems that have the best retaliatory Europe, and certain limits on capability but the least ability to shorter-range forces that could sub- launch a surprise nuclear attack. stitute for them. Namely, the United States has proposed, with procedures Reagan Administration for verification, the dismantling of the SS-4, SS-5, and SS-20 ballistic Arms Control Proposals missiles in exchange for U.S. cancel- lation of its plans to deploy Pershing The Reagan Administration has begun II ballistic missiles and ground- arms control negotiations with the USSR launched cruise missiles (GLCMs) on a wide range of issues. These include in Europe to counter these Soviet both strategic and intermediate-range nuclear missiles. This proposal is designed to weapons systems, and conventional and eliminate first-strike weapons. chemical weapons. The major Administra- tion arms control proposals are: Interim Proposal-In an effor to speed the INF negotiations 1. START (Strategic Arms Reduction toward a successful conclusion, Talks). The United States has and in view of Soviet rejection proposed the reduction of the of our initial proposal, President number of strategic missile warheads on both sides from the current number of about 7,500 to 5,000. No more than half of these proposed that both sides would be limited to about 850 nuclear missile systems-about half the current U.S. level. In response to the Scowcroft Commission Report, President 31 Reagan has proposed an interim Biological Weapons. The United agreement in which U.S. and States seeks to terminate Soviet Soviet INF missiles would be use and supply of biological limited to an equal number of weapons against the peoples of warheads, preferably at the lowest Afghanistan and Indochina. We possible level. This proposal was also seek the negotiation of also rejected by the Russians. verification procedures for the Biological Warfare Convention 3. that will assure Soviet compliance. Other Proposals MBFR (Mutual Balanced Force Nuclear Testing. The United Reductions). The United States States will seek to negotiate has proposed that both sides procedures to assure Soviet compliance with the Threshold reduce military manpower in Europe to a common ceiling of Test Ban Treaty limit of 150 900,000 of which no more than kilotons on underground 700,000 would be in ground nuclear testing. forces. This proposal is designed to stabilize the European military Confidence-Building balance and prevent either side Measures from maintaining sufficient forces for a successful invasion of the President Reagan has proposed that other's territory. both the United States and the Soviet Chemical Weapons. The United Union agree to a series of confidence- States seeks to abolish lethal building measures as part of our overall chemical weapons. arms control policy. These measures are designed to build mutual trust and reduce the risk of conflict. These proposals include: 1. Advance notification of all U.S. and Soviet test launches of intercontinental ballistic missiles, submarine-launched ballistic missiles and intermediate- range ballistic missiles. This would 32 remove surprise and uncertainty that can result from the sudden appear- counting British and French ance of such missiles on the warning missiles as belonging to the screens of both nations. United States. These missiles not only do not belong to us, but 2. Advance notification of major military they are of a different type from training exercises. The objective is to the ones under discussion at the reduce the uncertainty and surprise negotiations; surrounding sudden military moves by both sides. excluding the Asian part of the Soviet Union from the limita- 3. Exchange of information on nuclear tions, even though intermediate- forces to reduce mutual ignorance range Soviet missiles launched and suspicion. from Asia can easily reach 4. Possible improvements to the "Hot Western Europe; Line" communications network counting U.S. but not Soviet between the United States and the fighter bombers. Soviet government. 2. If the U.S. were to accept the proposal, the Soviets Soviet Response to U.S. Arms Control Proposals would have 162 missiles in Europe, compared to none for the U.S. The Soviet Union has yet to make serious proposals at either the INF or There would be no limit on START negotiations. Soviet missiles outside of Europe, 1. despite the fact that these At the INF talks, the Soviets have proposed an agreement that is so missiles could attack Europe. blatantly one-sided that it cannot be considered to be anything but propaganda. The Soviets have pro- posed: 33 All U.S. fighter bombers would SALT I: have to be withdrawn from failed to put any effective Europe, but there would be no limit on Soviet fighter bombers restraint on Soviet military cap- abilities. Within seven years of in Europe. the signing, the Soviet threat 3. At the START negotiations, the had tripled. In 1972, the Soviet Soviets have proposed a series of Union had under 2,500 nuclear limitations that would terminate bombs for all strategic forces; by critical U.S. programs such as the 1981 it had 8,000. Trident submarine and the Trident by 1980, the Soviets were II missile while allowing most threatening U.S. ICBM surviv- Soviet programs to continue without ability. effective limitations. SALT II: Previous Arms Control is unequal in the Soviets' favor. It Efforts (SALT I & II) has serious flaws and dangerous, destabilizing asymmetries including The Reagan Administration recognizes a Soviet monopoly on modern that past efforts to achieve strategic arms heavy missiles M-308 SS-18 control agreements have not prevented the ICBMs. Soviet Union from engaging in the largest The SALT II Treaty excludes military buildup in history. This buildup the Soviet Backfire bomber, occurred despite the existence of arms which is capable of striking the control agreements, including SALT I and U.S. homeland, from effective SALT II, because of loopholes and limitation. ambiguities in the agreements. The SALT II Treaty contains many ambiguities, particularly related to provisions for verifi- cation. For example, there is no definition in the Treaty of its basic units of limitation-missile launchers and heavy bombers. 34 There is no agreement on the precise limits on missile size and Convention. These treaties ban the power. use of poison gases or other toxic SALT II would allow a doubling agents. in the number of Soviet nuclear 2. The President has pointed out that warheads or bombs targeted "there have been numerous vio- against the U.S. Since SALT II lations" of the 1974 treaty limiting was signed in mid-1979, the underground nuclear testing (Thresh- Soviet force of nuclear bombs old Test Ban Treaty), although targeted on the U.S. has increased verification difficulties preclude us by 70 percent. from proving it conclusively. The Senate Armed Services Committee 3. Additionally, President Reagan has concluded in 1979 that SALT II was "not noted that the Soviet test of a in the national security interest of the second new ICBM possibly violates United States of America." The Reagan the SALT II Treaty, although the Administration has endorsed this conclusion. issue is still being reviewed. Because of the ambiguities and lack U.S. and Soviet of definitions in existing arms control Compliance with Existing treaties, it is very difficult to prove Agreements conclusively that there are violations. It is for these reasons that President Reagan The U.S. has complied with existing insists that any agreement we sign be arms control agreements. Indeed, we have verifiable. even avoided actions that could give the appearance of noncompliance. The Soviet compliance record is clearly not good. 1. The United States has officially charged the Soviet Union with violating the 1925 Geneva Protocol and the 1972 Biological Weapons 35 From MAD to MAS the physical existence of their military and political leadership, President Reagan has proposed that their strategic nuclear forces, and the United States move from a doctrine of other key elements of their military Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD) to a power. posture of Mutual Assured Survival President Reagan has proposed replacing (MAS). MAD with Mutual Assured Survival. 1. The doctrine of Mutual Assured 1. MAS is a theory that holds that the Destruction holds that the Soviet most fundamental duty of a govern- Union and the U.S. must hold each ment is to protect people from other's population hostage as a attack and that this can be best means of preventing war. The idea accomplished by physically defending is that the prevention of war them against nuclear attack. Emphasis depends on a mutual ability to is placed on saving Americans rather devastate each other's societies. than on killing Russians. Efforts to prevent damage to one's society are regarded as destabilizing 2. To replace MAD with MAS, the under this theory. President has proposed that we The President believes that this develop defensive systems, including "balance of terror" is far too space-based systems, that would allow the U.S. to defend itself from dangerous because the protection nuclear attack by ballistic missiles of the American people from and bombers. Under such defenses, foreign attack is a basic respons- enemy missiles would be destroyed ibility of our government. in space before they could reach 2. The doctrine of MAD has not American soil. reduced the arms race, as its proponents argued a decade and a half ago. Indeed, it has contributed to the decline of our deterrent capability. Because of the MAD doctrine, we did not modernize our wea.pons in a manner that would give us the capability to threaten the 36 things that the Soviets value most- 3. A nationwide telephone poll by the 1. Supporters of space-based systems Heritage Foundation released in argue that such a defense would not August, 1982, revealed that: be destabilizing. Deterrence depends sixty-six percent of the respon- critically upon preventing the enemy dents were unaware that the from achieving any military advantage U.S. has no anti-ballistic missile from attacking, which can be achieved defense; as well by building defenses. 2. Will not initiate the militarization of eighty percent said this vulner- space. Space has been militarized by ability concerned them a great both the U.S. and the Soviet Union deal; for offensive purposes for more than eighty-six percent supported a generation. deployment of an anti-ballistic 3. missile system; and, The Soviet Union is already devel- oping space-based defensive systems. seventy-three percent held that The Soviets are not newcomers to the cost of such a system should the exploration of outer space for not be the primary factor by military purposes. which to judge whether such a system should or should not be On any given day, 70 to 110 deployed. Soviet satellites are in orbit, more than half of which serve Critics of President Reagan's efforts to military purposes solely. build effective defenses against nuclear attack maintain that such programs will be Some 85 percent of all Soviet destabilizing, will provoke the Soviet space launches are exclusively Union, will militarize space and fuel the military or joint military/civilian missions. arms race by forcing the Soviets to develop an anti-ballistic missile capability One direction of the Soviet of their own. Union's space weapons program is toward the development and deployment of a space-based laser system. A prototype could be launched by the late 1980s. 37 An operational system capable of Questions and Answers attacking other satellites, within a few thousand kilometers range QUESTION: Why has the U.S. been so could be established in the early resistant to negotiate a strategic arms 1990s. limitation agreement with the Soviet Space-based anti-ballistic missile Union? Isn't arms control the key to systems could be tested in the a peaceful future? 1990s. ANSWER: The United States has not The Soviets have also developed been resistant to negotiating strategic and deployed an anti-satellite arms limitation agreements with the system* and a fractional orbital U.S.S.R. When the Reagan Admin- bombardment system,* which istration assumed office it was the U.S. does not possess. obvious that previous approaches to strategic arms limitation had failed. Mutual Assured Survival Both the SALT I and II Treaties had placed no significant restraint (MAS) and Arms Control upon the growth of Soviet strategic nuclear capability. Despite 12 years of negotiation and two agreements, Those who argue that the development there was an enormous increase in of space-based defenses will merely stimulate the number of Soviet nuclear the development of improved offensive warheads aimed at the United forces ignore the substantial problem States. By 1980, the U.S. ICBM involved in hardening or protecting force was already vulnerable to a missiles against these types of defensive Soviet surprise attack. In addition, weapons. They also ignore the fact that the the United States faced significant President has proposed adopting these compliance problems by the defenses as part of an arms control Soviets. The Reagan Administration program that would substantially limit or was forced to engage in a compre- completely eliminate the offensive forces hensive reassessment of our ap- the critics are talking about. One cannot proaches to arms control. As a result penetrate defenses with non-existent offen- sive forces. 38 of this, the United States has UESTION: Would the introduction of proposed, for the first time, agree- space-based defense systems be de- ments that would be equal and stabilizing and provoke the Soviet verifiable and would involve signifi- Union? cant reductions of nuclear weapons. ANSWER: Defensive systems are in no QUESTION: Has the Soviet Union way destabilizing unless one accepts violated arms control agreements? the strange logic of Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD), which maintains ANSWER: In June, 1982, speaking before that only the ability to wipe each the United Nations, President Reagan other out can guarantee that the accused the Soviets of violating the two superpowers will not attack 1925 and 1972 treaties banning the each other. However, if one rejects use of chemical and biological this notion of deterrence, then weapons. "There is conclusive defense ceases to become destabilizing evidence," he said, "that the Soviet and mutual defensive capabilities government has provided toxins for become desirable and stabilizing. use in Laos and Kampuchea, and Moreover, why should the Soviet are themselves using chemical Union be provoked by our desire to weapons against freedom fighters in prepare an adequate defense for our Afghanistan." President Reagan noted population, when it is obviously in March, 1983, that there "have trying to do the same for its own? been increasingly serious grounds for Their national security agenda is questioning their compliance with based on their own goals, not what the arms control agreements that we do or do not do. It is have been already signed and that convenient to claim provocation as we have both pledged to uphold." an excuse for their own actions. President Reagan has indicated we have evidence, although not con- clusive, that the Soviet Union has violated the Threshold Test Ban Treaty, which limits testing of nuclear weapons yields, and the 1979 SALT II Treaty. These issues are now under study. 39 Nuclear Freeze-Key Points UESTION: Isn't it impossible to build The nuclear freeze is a simplistic, an effective defense against missile utopian and irresponsible approach attack? to arms control that has no chance of being negotiated with the Soviet ANSWER: While results will not be Union. achieved overnight, we have faith in the ability of the American scientific Freeze proposals are too broad and community to solve the problems ill-defined. Freeze advocates disagree that are associated with an effective as to the meaning of the nuclear defense against missile attack. Even freeze. They disagree as to whether a today, lasers are being developed military build up and/or moderniza- that have potential for ballistic tion of our forces would be allowed. missile defense. There is no reason Freeze advocates have an unrealistic to believe that concerted effort will and naive view of the Soviet Union. not be able to develop effective They fail to recognize that the weapons against missile attack. Soviets consider nuclear weapons as instruments of coercion and arms control negotiations as another arena of political conflict. The Soviet Union has not accepted arms control proposals that signifi- cantly constrain its military expansion, resisting cooperative measures of verification such as mutual inspection of military facilities. The Soviets have circumvented or violated treaties they have signed with us in the past. The Soviets have rejected freeze proposals offered by Presidents Nixon and Carter. 40 Freeze proponents subscribe to the The Reagan Administration shares "overkill theory," a simplistic approach the concern of all Americans that that ignores the requirements of a something be done to control credible deterrent. nuclear weapons, but it rejects President Reagan opposes the freeze proposals that are unequal and unverifiable. The Administration, for the following reasons: like the American people, rejects It would leave the U.S. not only unilateral disarmament. with nuclear forces that are inferior to those of the Soviet The Freeze Approach Union but with forces which are also old and vulnerable to a The nuclear freeze is a simplistic, Pearl Harbor-type surprise attack. utopian and irresponsible approach to It would preserve a dangerous arms control that has no chance of being imbalance in nuclear forces, an successfully negotiated with the Soviet imbalance which currently favors Union. Even advocates of a nuclear freeze the Soviet Union. cannot agree upon precisely what they want. A nuclear freeze could not possibly Key elements of the freeze are improve the security of the American not verifiable. By contrast, the people even if it could be negotiated, types of limitations and reductions because it would leave the United States proposed by the Reagan Admin- with nuclear forces that are not only istration (such as in deployed inferior to the Soviet Union's but are also ballistic missiles) were chosen old and vulnerable to a Pearl Harbor-type because they would be easier to surprise attack. The advocates of the verify. "freeze": A freeze would violate an important commitment to NATO to deploy intermediate-range nuclear missiles to meet the threat posed to Europe by 360 Soviet SS-20 missiles. 41 1. Refuse to look realistically at Soviet 5. Resort to emotional and pseudo- objectives or recognize Soviet re- moralistic arguments concerning sponsibility for the arms race. nuclear weapons. Many of their statements are blatant attempts to 2. Are willing to accept substantial scare the American people into Soviet superiority and ignore its doing irresponsible things about our military and political consequences. defenses. Freeze advocates would Advocates of the simplistic freeze have the U.S. ignore the requirement approach do not care whether the to maintain our deterrent while, at Soviet Union is ahead of the United the same time, have the U.S. States or whether the nuclear embrace arms control proposals that freeze increases the margin of could not conceivably enhance our Soviet superiority, since they assert national security. that nuclear weapons make the concept of "superiority" meaningless. Freeze proponents seek to portray freeze opponents as "warmongers" 3. Oppose vital U.S. military programs while portraying themselves as the like the MX missile, the B-1 bomber advocates of peace. They consider or the Trident missile submarine themselves to be the only ones system. Many freeze advocates have geniunely concerned about the dan- a long record of opposing U.S. gers and horrors of nuclear war, military programs. implying that those who oppose 4. Do not care about verification and them are uncaring, unconcerned, Soviet compliance. Many freeze and leading us ever closer to nuclear advocates have a naive faith in the apocalypse. This is absolute nonsense. Soviet Union. They ignore evidence of Soviet violations of existing treaties and oppose efforts to obtain Soviet compliance with these treaties. 42 6. Reject the necessity of maintaining political and military reasons, the United effective nuclear deterrent forces. States does not target civilian populations This is often based upon the as such. We have no reason to believe acceptance of the simplistic idea of that the intentional and systematic destruc- nuclear "overkill." Overkill presumes tion of civilians is necessary to a deterrent that deterrence is somehow auto- strategy, or would even enhance our matic and does not depend on the deterrent. military balance or the ability of our "Overkill" is a myth, a simplistic idea forces to survive an attack and that overlooks key elements of a credible effectively retaliate after enemy deterrence. attack. 1. Deterrence depends on the ability of our forces to survive a surprise missile Overkill and attack. the Nuclear Freeze 2. Deterrence depends on the ability of our forces to penetrate Soviet defenses. The often repeated argument that the The Soviets have already threat- Soviet Union and the United States both ened the survivability of our have the ability to destroy many times land-based missiles (ICBMs) and over the population of the other, or even of our strategic bombers. of the entire world, is untrue and misleading. There can be no denying the Soviet civil and military defense enormous destructive potential of nuclear programs have already down- weapons, but the "overkill" argument is of graded the effectiveness of our no more relevance than the assertion, weapons against a wide range of undoubtedly true, that the armies of the Soviet targets. world have enough bullets to kill the earth's population many times over. This hardly assures deterrence or an adequate defense capability. The fact of the matter is that nuclear weapons are not targeted primarily against civilian populations, either by the United States or, to judge from all available evidence, by the Soviet Union. For moral, 43 The Reagan 2. U.S. nuclear deterrent forces are old Administration and the and vulnerable to a Soviet attack. For example, the U.S. B-52 bombers Nuclear Freeze were all built prior to 1961, and the U.S. missile submarines were built The Reagan Administration strongly prior to 1967. Soviet forces, on the opposes the nuclear freeze. It believes that other hand, are modern-mainly a nuclear freeze is both dangerous to our built within the last decade. A freeze security and will reduce the chances for on modernization would mean that the successful negotiation of meaningful U.S. forces would wear out much arms control agreements. Its reasons sooner than Soviet forces. include: Moreover, the U.S. land-based mis- 1. A nuclear freeze will preserve the siles, ICBMs, are highly vulnerable dangerous imbalance between U.S. to Soviet missile attack. Old U.S. and Soviet military forces. A few bombers are also potentially vul- illustrative numbers highlight the nerable to Soviet missile attack. This problem: is why we are building the B-1 bomber as soon as possible and are U.S. U.S.S.R. developing the MX Peacekeeper Land-based missiles 1,046 1,398 ICBM. Sea-based missiles 544 950 3. Key elements of the nuclear freeze Nuclear missile submarines 33 68 proposal are simply not verifiable: Heavy missiles 0 308 verification is not possible, using photo satellites and other means of Missile warheads 7,200 7,500 intelligence collection to determine ABM missiles 0 64 accurately what is being produced Surface-to-air missiles 0 10,000 inside factory buildings. The key Strategic bombers 300 430 defect of the nuclear freeze is that it Strategic missile throw-weight* 1.9 mkg 5.6 mkg seeks to limit a very wide range of systems without serious consideration as to whether these limitations can be effectively verified. 44 4. While proposing unrealistically broad The Soviet approach to arms control objectives, the freeze advocates reject is very different from our own. They realistic goals concerning the signifi- regard arms control negotiations as another cant reduction in the most dangerous arena of political power. They have: types of nuclear arms, such as 1. ballistic missiles. The types of Sought to negotiate agreements that limitations and reductions that have guarantee them superior force levels been proposed by the Reagan and have strongly resisted equal force levels; Administration were picked in part because they are easier to verify than the indiscriminate freeze ap- proach. Longer Range INF Missile Warheads 5. The nuclear freeze would entail a No. of Nuclear Warheads+ breach of faith between the United 1,400 August 1982 States and our NATO allies. It Defense Minister Ustinov: would prevent us from deploying 1,300 "Approximate parity of forces continues to intermediate-range nuclear missiles 1,200 exist today " in Europe to counter the enormous February 1981 Soviet threat posed by existing SS- President Brezhnev: 1,100 20 missiles, as we have promised "There is approximate equality now our NATO allies. 1,000 October 1980 Soviet negotiators: The Soviet Approach to 900 "A balance now exists." Nuclear Weapons, Arms October 1979 800 President Brezhnev: Control, and the Nuclear "A balance now exists . 700 Freeze 600 U.S.S.R. December 1979 End of The Soviet Union believes that NATO INF dual-track decision Year nuclear weapons are instruments of coer- 0 cion and are building nuclear forces that 1977 78 79 80 81 82 1983 are far beyond the legitimate requirements t Includes Soviet SS-20s and older SS-4s and SS-5s. of self-defense. Soviet nuclear forces are designed to wage nuclear warfare and to defeat potential adversaries. 45 2. Sought to ban the most promising concentrated enormous efforts on the U.S. weapons, while placing little or development and modernization of nuclear no restraint upon Soviet weapons weapons, obviously seeking what they programs; regard as important advantages in certain areas of nuclear weaponry." 3. Sought to avoid significant reductions in force levels while allowing loop- Questions and Answers holes that could allow for significant force expansion, particularly in QUESTION: Why does the Reagan weapons suitable for waging war; Administration oppose the proposal 4. Sought to resist cooperative verification for an immediate freeze on testing, or effective means of verification production and deployment of (such as on-site inspection or mutual nuclear weapons? inspection of military facilities). ANSWER: President Reagan had de- Well over a decade of arms control nounced the nuclear freeze as "a negotiations with the Soviet Union has very dangerous fraud" which would illustrated time and again that the Soviets create "merely the illusion of peace." reject comprehensive limitations on their A freeze would perpetuate Soviet armaments. military superiority and leave the 1. They rejected a nuclear freeze United States with old and vulnerable proposal that was made by the systems, many of which could be Carter Administration. destroyed by a Pearl Harbor-type surprise attack. A freeze would 2. They rejected a proposal by the contain key elements which could Nixon Administration that would not possibly be verified, particularly have frozen the number of weapons with respect to production. A freeze on strategic missiles. on production of nuclear weapons, As the bipartisan Presidential Com- bombers, and missiles cannot possibly mission on Strategic Forces reported be verified because it is impossible recently, "In the Soviet strategic view, to see what is being produced inside nuclear weapons are closely related to, and factories. are integrated with, their other military A freeze on nuclear weapons testing, and political instruments as a means of production, and deployment would 46 advancing their interests. The Soviets have be nearly impossible to negotiate UESTION: Why do you think so many with the Soviet Union because the people across the country support a Soviets have always resisted significant freeze? arms limitations and necessary coop- erative means to verify the limita- ANSWER: The American people support tions. The Soviets have always a freeze in the sense that they opposed mutual inspection of the support responsible arms control. military facilities of each party as a Support for a freeze reflects the means of ensuring that terms of genuine concern of millions of arms control agreements are met. Americans that something be done to control nuclear weapons. That A nuclear freeze would reward the concern is also shared by the Reagan Soviet Union for a decade of Administration. However, surveys military expansion and prevent the have shown that the American United States from taking the people, like the Administration, do necessary means to assure our not support a freeze that would give security in an increasingly dangerous the Soviet Union any military world. As President Reagan stated advantages or a freeze that could on March 8, 1983, "I would agree not be verified-a freeze in which to a freeze if only we could freeze we could not determine whether or the Soviets' global desires." A freeze not the Soviet Union was abiding by now at unequal force levels that the terms of the agreement. The preserves current Soviet advantages American people do not advocate would severely hamper our efforts any form of unilateral disarmament to preserve the peace. by the United States. They recognize the serious military threats we face from the Soviet Union. 47 UESTION: Isn't an immediate freeze UESTION: Since we already have necessary as a first step towards thousands of nuclear weapons, why achieving real arms reduction? do we need more? ANSWER: A freeze would not halt the ANSWER: The size of our military forces, arms race. The Soviet Union will both nuclear and conventional, must not accept an equal and verifiable be related to the threats we face. freeze. Despite what freeze proponents Since the 1960s there has been a choose to believe, the Soviet Union vast expansion of the Soviet nuclear has never really accepted significant threat to the United States and our constraints on its military capabilities. allies while the number of U.S. Even though the Soviet Union has nuclear weapons has declined by a signed arms control agreements in third and their destructive potential the past, the number of Soviet by 75 percent. weapons has continued to grow Many of our current nuclear weapons significantly. Indeed, most existing are rapidly aging and some of them arms control agreements have allowed are more than 20 years old, close to the Soviets to continue their military the limit of their useful lives. U.S. buildup. nuclear missiles and bombers are also very old. Our B-52 bombers were all produced before 1961, and our Poseidon missile submarines were all produced before 1967. In the final analysis, it is not merely a question of numbers. U.S. nuclear deterrent forces must be able to deter the Soviet Union and other potential enemies by being able to retaliate effectively against a wide range of relevant military targets. To do this, they must be able to survive a Soviet attack and penetrate Soviet 48 defenses, and destroy increasingly fortified Soviet military targets. The enormous Soviet buildup has severely eroded our ability to accomplish these objectives while the Soviet military buildup has given them the ability to attack nearly all comparable U.S. targets. Many elements of the U.S. deterrent, our land-based ICBMs and to a lesser extent our bombers, are vulnerable to Soviet surprise attack. The objective of the President's strategic weapons modernization program is not to increase the number of our weapons, but to replace aging systems with modern weapons with the ability to survive Soviet attack and effectively accom- plish their missions. This will sub- stantially enhance our ability to deter war, which is, of course, our ultimate objective. 49 Glossary anti-satellite system (ASAT)-systems ground-launched cruise missile- designed to destroy or incapacitate satellites small, jet propelled pilotless vehicle launched in orbit. Soviet anti-satellite systems can from a mobile truck launcher that carries a destroy low-altitude military and civilian 200-kiloton warhead. The ground-launched satellites. cruise missile has a range of 1,550 miles. Backfire bomber-a modern supersonic Although it would require at least 4 to 5 bomber similar in design to the U.S. B-1A, hours to reach its target, it has a unique which was cancelled by President Carter. advantage-its guidance system allows it to follow the contour of the land. It can thus The Backfire bomber is capable of striking targets in Europe, the Middle East, Asia, evade enemy radar by flying below the "radar floor" at a minimum altitude of and the United States. only 50 feet. B-1B bomber-an advanced, supersonic low-altitude bomber designed to penetrate heavy missile-the largest, most des- tructive missile that now exists. Each advanced air defenses. Soviet SS18 heavy missile has twice the command, control and communi- payload or destructive potential as the cations systems-a intricate web of projected U.S. MX ICBM. Each SS-18 can satellites, sensors, communications gear, deliver 10 warheads with the destructive computers, etc., that enable our strategic potential of a million tons of TNT. forces to carry out their assigned missions in peacetime or in case of war. heavy strategic bomber-a bomber aircraft with a range over 4,000 miles. cruise missile-a small, jet propelled intercontinental ballistic missile pilotless vehicle with an advanced guidance system that gives it high accuracy. Cruise (ICBM)-a ballistic missile capable of missiles can be launched from ships, propelling a nuclear warhead to ranges submarines, aircraft, or ground vehicles. beyond 3,000 miles. Quite literally, an ICBM can be launched from one continent fractional orbit bombardment system to another. (FOB)-a system that injects a nuclear warhead into a low earth orbit, allowing it to attack any target in the world within an hour with little warning. The Soviets had developed this capability by 1970. 50 medium strategic bomber-a bomber SS-20-a very powerful intermediate-range aircraft with a range less than 4,000 miles. nuclear missile capable of delivering three nuclear warheads up to a 5,000 kilometer Midgetman-small, mobile interconti- nental ballistic missile that carries one 300- range with great accuracy. The SS-20 has a reload capability. In other words, the kiloton warhead. Soviets have two missiles for each of the MX Peacekeeper missile-a large 360 SS-20 missile launchers. intercontinental ballistic missile which can Stealth bomber-an advanced bomber deliver ten 300-kiloton warheads. It will designed to incorporate advanced technology be the first new ICBM since 1970. (even more advanced technology than that payload-the weight a missile can deliver incorporated into the B-1B) that will be to a given distance. able to penetrate the most advanced air defense systems. The Stealth aircraft will Pershing II missile-an intermediate be operational in the early 1990s. The range nuclear mssile. It has a range of Stealth bomber is an advanced technology 1,000 miles; it carries a single 100-kiloton bomber (ATB). warhead and its speed enables it to reach Soviet targets within 15 minutes from submarine-launched ballistic missile launch time. (SLBM)-a ballistic missile launched from a submarine. This missile is capable of readiness-the ability of forces, units, performing the same missions as an ICBM weapons systems, or equipment to deliver even with missiles of much shorter range the output for which they were designed. because of a submarine's mobility. It depends on having the required quantities of equipment in the hands of the units on a day-to-day basis, and on having the required number of adequately trained people assigned to ensure that people and machines can work together. SS-18-the largest, most destructive missile in the world. Each missile has twice the destructive potential of any missile that was allowed the U.S. under the SALT II agreement (see heavy missile). 51 sustainability-groups together items needed by forces to sustain combat in the event of war. It includes replacement equipment, spare parts and ammunition, and other essential consumables. Sustain- ability also includes the manpower required to maintain combat strength-to rotate, replace, and reinforce as the course of battle demands. throw-weight-the total weight of nuclear explosives a missile can deliver to either the U.S. or the Soviet Union. Trident missile submarine-a large, long-range missile-carrying submarine de- signed to replace missile submarines built in the 1960s. It carries 24 nuclear missiles. Trident II missile-a larger, more accurate missile able to attack all types of Soviet targets, including hardened or fortified military targets. yield-roughly speaking, the amount of energy or destructive potential of a nuclear weapon. It would be roughly proportional to the payload or throw-weight. In other words, the heavier the weapon, the more powerful it tends to be. 52