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MARYLAND
BUSINESS
ROUNDTABLE
275 West Street
FOUNDATION
Suite 400
Formerly the
Annapolis, MD
Maryland Chamber Foundation
21401-3480
Robert E. Anastasi, Ed.D.
680 College Parkway
Executive Director
Rockville, MD 20850
(301) 424-7093
Fax: (301) 424-7348
Car: (301) 520-0009
Clinton Presidential Records
Digital Records Marker
This is not a presidential record. This is used as an administrative
marker by the William J. Clinton Presidential Library Staff.
This marker identifies the place of a publication.
Publications have not been scanned in their entirety for the purpose
of digitization. To see the full publication please search online or
visit the Clinton Presidential Library's Research Room.
VOL. 1, NO.1
A MEGA AFFILIATE SUMMER 1992
THE PRIMER
MARYLAND BUSINESS ROUNDTABLE FOR EDUCATION
he eyes of a Maryland
child reflect a pledge
we make to each of the
715,176 students in the
state's public schools: a quality
education.
Fulfillment of that pledge is a
multi-dimensional task of almost
overwhelming complexity. The
only verity is that the educational
system must be improved if
Maryland is not to break faith with
her children.
The statistics detailing how the
system is failing our children are
bleak: the very definition of the
problem, arduous and elusive.
Yet, from the demonstrated
success of innovative programs,
we know that transformation of
Maryland's educational system is a
goal within reach.
Critical analysis of the current
system reveals that nothing short
of systemic change will suffice.
Our aspirations for educational
reform demand utmost dedication
from our classroom teachers,
educators, parents, citizenry, and
the business community.
ROBERT MADDEN
all
Child Support Contact List
Research and Advocacy Organizations
Abt Associates, Inc.
55 Wheeler Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
Greg Mills
Chris Hamilton
Nancy Burstein
617-492-7200
American Association for Marriage and Family Therapy
1100 17th Street, N.W.
Suite 901
Washington, DC 20035
202-467-5113
Theodora Ooms
American Public Welfare Association
810 1st Street, N.E.
Suite 500
Washington, DC 20002
202-682-0100
A. Sidney Johnson
Association for Children for
Enforcement of Support (ACES)
723 Phillips Avenue
Suite 216
Toledo, OH 43612
(419) 476-2511
Geraldine Jensen
Calibur Associates
3998 Fair Ridge Drive
Suite 360
Faifax, VA 22033
703-385-3200
Sharon Bishop
Center for Law and Social Policy
1616 P Street, N.W.
Suite 450
Washington, DC 20036
202-328-5140
Alan W. Houseman
Executive Director
1
Center for the Support of Children
5315 Nebraska Avenue, N.W.
Washington, DC 20015
202-363-5923
Center for Policy Research
1720 Emerson Street
Denver, CO 80218
303-837-1555
Dr. Jessica Pearson
Director
Child Trends
2100 M Street, N.W.
Suite 411
Washington, DC 20037
202-223-6288
Kris Moore
Christine Nord
Children's Defense Fund
25 E Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20001
202-628-8787
Marian Wright Edelman
President
Education and Testing Service
Mail Stop 10-R
Princeton, NJ 08541
609-734-5757
Jean Brooks-Gunn
Manpower Demonstration Research Corporation
Three Park Ave
New York, NY 10016
212-532-3200
Gordon Berlin
Fred Doolittle
Kay Sherwood
Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.
P.O. Box 2393
Princeton, NJ 08543-2393
609-799-3535
Rebecca Maynard
2
National Center for State Courts
300 Newport Avenue
Williamsburg, VA 23187
804-253-2000
Larry L. Siper
President
National Opinion Research Center
University of Chicago
1155 East 60th Street
Chicago, IL 60637
312-753-7518
Robert Willis
Policy Studies, Inc.
1410 Grant St
Denver, CO 80203
Bob Williams
Urban Institute
2100 M Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20037
212-833-7200
Freya Sonenstein
Linda Giannarelli
Elaine Sorenson
Laudie Aron
Steve Sandell
Pamela Holcomb
Council of State Governments
444 N. Capitol Street, N.W.
Suite 401
Washington, DC 20001
202-624-5460
NAACP
4805 Mt. Hope Drive
Baltimore, MD 21215
410-358-8900
Dr. Benjamin F. Chowis, Jr.
Executive Director
National Academy of Sciences
2101 Constitution Avenue, N.W.
Washington, DC 20418
202-334-2000
3
National Association of Counties
440 First Street, N.W.
8th Floor
Washington, DC 20001
202-393-6226
National Association for Welfare Research and Statistics
Aldona Vartkus, President
Arizona Department of Economic Security
Family Assistance Administration
Operations Support Manager - 960A
1789 W. Jefferson
P. C. Box 6123
Phoenix, AZ 85005
National Child Support Enforcement Association
Hall of the States
444 North Capitol Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20001
202-624-8180
National Council for Children's Rights
220 I Street, N.E.
Suite 230
Washington, DC 20002
202-547-6227
National Council of State Child Support Administrators
c/o Jerry Townsend
Office of Child Support Recovery
Department of Human Resources
P. O. Box 8000
Atlanta, GA 30357
National Conference of State Legislatures
444 North Capitol Street, N.W.
Suite 515
Washington, DC 20001
202-624-5400
National Governors' Association
444 N. Capitol Street
Suite 267
Washington, DC 20001
202-624-5300
Raymond Scheppach
Executive Director
4
National League of Cities
1301 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.
Suite 600
Washington, DC 20004
202-626-3000
National Women's Law Center
1616 P Street, N.W.
Suite 100
Washington, DC 20036
202-328-5160
Marcia Greenburger
Co-President
Nancy Duff-Campbell
Co-President
National Rainbow Coalition
1700 K Street, N.W.
Suite 800
Washington, DC 20006
202-728-1180
National Urban League
1111 14th Street, N.W.
Suite 600
Washington, DC 20005
202-898-1604
John E. Jacob
President and CEO
Professors
Charles Adams
Office of Public Management Programs
School of Public Policy and Management
The Ohio State University
1775 College Road, Room 210
Columbus, OH 43210-1399
Burt Barnow
Johns Hopkins University
Institute for Policy Studies
Shriver Hall
Baltimore, MD 21218
Andrea Beller
University of Illinois
274 Bevier Hall
905 S. Goodwin Avenue
Urbana, IL 61801
5
Doug Besharov
American Enterprise Institute
1150 17th Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20036
David Betson
Department of Economics
University of Notre Dame
Notre Dame, IN 46556
Lindsay Chase-Landsdale
Chaplin Hall Center for Children
University of Chicago
1155 East 60th Street
Chicago, IL 60637
312-753-7920
Andrew Cherlin
Department of Sociology
Johns Hopkins University
Baltimore, MD 21218
Sandra Danziger
3234 Institute for Social Research
University of Michigan
Ann Arbor, MI 48106
Frank Furstenberg
University of Pennsylvania
Department of Sociology
3318 Locust Walk
Philadelphia, PA 19104-6299
Steve Garasky
Department of Human Development and Family Studies
166 LeBaron Hall
Iowa State University
Ames, IA 50011
Irv Garfinkel
Columbia University
School of Social Work
622 West 113th Street
New York, NY 10025
John Graham
University of Illinois
274 Bevier Hall
905 S. Goodwin Avenue
Urbana, IL 61801
6
Virginia Knox
JKF School of Government
Harvard University
79 John F. Kennedy Street
Taubman 469
Cambridge, MA 02138
617-496-1070
Robert Lerman
The American University
Department of Economics
200 Roper Hall
4400 Massachusetts Avenue, N.W.
Washington, DC 20016
Sara McLanahan
Office of Population Research
Princeton University
21 Prospect Avenue
Princeton, NJ 08540
Dan Meyer
Institute for Research on Poverty
University of Wisconsin
3412 Social Service Drive
Madison, WI 53706
Ann Nichols-Casebolt
School of Social Work
Arizona State University
Tempe, AZ 85287
Liz Peters
Department of Economics
Campus Box 256
University of Colorado
Boulder, CO 80309
Maureen Pirog-Good
School of Public and Environmental Affairs
Indiana University
Bloomington, IN 47405
Philip Robbins
Department of Economics
University of Miami
P.O. Box 248126
Coral Gables, FL 33124
7
Eugene Smolensky
Graduate School of Public Policy
University of California at Berkeley
2607 Hearst Avenue
Berkeley, CA 94720
Jay Teachman
Department of Sociology
University of Maryland
College Park, MD 20742-1668
Foundations
Foundation for Child Development
345 East 46th Street, Room 700
New York, NY 10017
212-697-3150
Sheila Smith
Director of Research
Government Agencies
Gordon Lester
Bureau of the Census
HHES Division
Washington, DC 20233
Lynn Fender
General Accounting Office
NGB-IS
441 G St NW, Rm 4707
Washington, DC 20548
Kathy Pardee
General Accounting Office
NGB-IS
441 G St NW, Rm 4707
Washington DC 20548
Kevin Kumanga
General Accounting Office
230 Washington Ave Extension
Albany, NY 12203-5369
Carmen Solomon
Congressional Research Service
Library of Congress
Washington, DC
8
Jan Peskin
Ford House Office Bldg, Rm 425A
Congressional Budget Office
Washington, DC 20515
John Taponga
Ford House Office Bldg
Congressional Budget Office
Washington, DC 20515
Steve Carlson
FNS/USDA
3101 Park Center Drive
Alexandria, VA 22302
Jeff Evans
NICHD/CPR/DBSB
6100 Executive Blvd, RM 8B13
Bethesda, MD 20892
9
Welfare Research and Advocacy Organizations
AFSCME-AFL-CIO
1511 K Street, NW
Suite 314
Washington, DC 20005
(202) 393-5757
P. Stuart Smith
Abt Associates
55 Wheeler Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
617-492-7100
William L. Hamilton, Vice President
America Works
704 Broadway
4th Floor
New York, NY 10003
(212) 529-2900
Peter Cove, Founder
American Association for Marriage and Family Therapy
1100 17th Street, NW
Suite 901
Washington, DC 20035
202-467-5113
Theodora Ooms
American Association of Adult
and Continuing Educators
2101 Wilson Boulevard
Suite 925
Arlington, VA 22201
703-522-2234
Dr. Drew Allbritton
American Association of School Administrators
1801 N. Moore Street
Arlington, VA 22209
(703) 528-0700
Richard D. Miller, Executive Director
American Association of Community and Junior Colleges
One Dupont Circle
Suite 410
Washington, DC 20036
(202) 728-0200
Dr. David Pierce, President
1
American Council on Education
One Dupont Circle
Suite 1B-20
Washington, DC 20036
(202) 939-9300
Robert H. Atwell, President
Association of American Colleges
1818 R Street, NW
Washington, DC 20009
(202) 387-3760
Dr. Paula Brownlee, President
Council for Adult and Experimental Learning
10840 Little Patuxent Parkway
Columbia, MD 21044
American Enterprise Institute
1150 17th Street, NW
Suite 1100
Washington, DC 20036
202-862-5800
Douglas Besharov
American Public Welfare Association
810 First Street, NE
Suite 500
&
Washington, DC 20002
202-682-0100
A. Sidney Johnson
American Vocational Association
1410 King Street
Alexandria, VA 22314
(703) 683-3111
Charles Buzzell, President
Brookings Institution
1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20036
B
202-797-6000
Gary Burtless
Gilbert Steiner
Center on Addiction and Substance Abuse
152 West 37th Street
12th Floor
New York, NY 10017
212-841-5200
William Grinker
2
Center on Budget and Policy Priorities
777 North Capitol Street, NE
Suite 705
Washington, DC 20002
202-408-1080
Bob Greenstein
Center for Community Change
1000 Wisconsin Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20007
202-342-0519
Pablo Eisenberg
Center for Social Welfare and Law Policy
275 7th Avenue
6th Floor
New York, New York 10001
212-633-6967
Gina Mannix
Center for the Study of Social Policy
1250 Eye Street, NW
Suite 503
Washington, DC 20005
202-371-1565
Tom Joe
Center for Law and Social Policy
1616 P Street, NW
Suite 450
Washington, DC 20036
202-328-5140
Mark Greenberg
Alan Houseman
Child Trends, Inc.
2100 M Street, NW
Suite 610
Washington, DC 20037
202-223-6288
Kris Moore
Child Welfare League of America
440 First Street, NW
Suite 310
Washington, DC 20001
(202) 638-2952
David Liederman, Executive Director
Shirley E. Marcus, Deputy Director
3
Children's Defense Fund
25 E Street, NW
Washington, DC 20001
202-628-8787
Marian Wright Edelman
Citizen's Committee for Children
105 East 22nd Street, 7th Floor
New York, NY 10010
212-673-1800
Gail Nayowith, Executive Director
Council of Chief State School Officers
Werner Rogers, President
1 Massachusetts Avenue, NW
Suite 700
Washington, D.C.
20001-1431
202-408-5505
Cynthia G. Brown
Council of Governors Policy Advisors
400 North Capitol Street
B
Suite 390
Washington, DC 20001
202-624-5386
Education Commission of the States
1860 Lincoln Street, Suite 300
Denver, CO 80295-0301
(303) 299-3600
Frank Newman, President
Manpower Demonstration Research Corporation
3 Park Avenue
32nd Floor
B
New York, New York 10016
212-532-3200
Judy Gueron
Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.
101 Morgan Lane
Plainsboro, NJ 08536
609-799-3535
Rebecca Maynard
John Burghardt
MathTech, Inc.
210 Carnegie Center
Suite 200
Princeton, NJ 08540
609-520-3840
William Morrill
4
National Alliance of Business
1201 New York Avenue, NW
Suite 700
Washington, DC 20005
(202) 289-2888
William H. Kolberg, President and CEO
National Association of Child Care Referral Agencies
P. O. Box 40246
Washington, DC 20016-0246
(202) 333-4194
Yasmina Vinci, Executive Director
National Association of Counties
440 First Street, NW
8th Floor
Washington, DC 20001
202-393-6226
Michael L. Benjamin
Amy Wilkins, Associate Legislative Director
National Association of State Budget Officers
444 North Capitol Street, NW
Suite 299
Washington, DC 20001
202-624-5382
Mary Dingrando
National Association of Private Industry Councils
1201 New York Avenue, NW
Suite 800
Washington, DC 20005
(202) 289-2950
National Association of Social Workers
750 First Street, NE
Suite 700
Washington, DC 20002
(202) 408-8600
Sheldon Goldstein, Executive Director
National Bureau of Economic Research
1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
617-868-3900
National Commission for Employment Policy
1522 K Street, NW
Room 300
Washington, DC 20005
202-724-1545
5
National Conference of State Legislatures
444 North Capitol Street, NW
Suite 515
Washington, DC 20001
202-624-5400
National Association for the Education of Young Children
1509 16th Street, NW
Washington, DC 20036
(202) 232-8777
Dr. Marilyn Smith, Executive DirectorN
National Governors' Association
444 North Capitol Street
Suite 267
Washington, DC 20001
202-624-5300
National Head Start Association
201 North Union Street
Suite 320
B
Alexandria, Virginia 22314
(703) 739-0875
Sarah M. Greene, Executive Director
National Legal Aid and Defender Association
1625 K Street, NW, 8th Floor
Washington, DC 20006
(202) 452-0620
Clinton Lyons, President
National Urban League, Inc.
1111 14th Street, NW
B
Suite 600
Washington, DC 20005
(202) 898-1604
John E. Jacob, President and Chief Executive Officer
National Women's Law Center
1616 P Street, NW
Suite 100
Washington, DC 20036
(202) 328-5160
OIC of America
1501 North Broad Street
Philadelphia, PA 19122
(215) 236-3948
6
Policy Studies, Inc.
1410 Grant Street
Suite D210
Denver, CO 80203
303-863-0900
Denise Polit
Public/Private Ventures
399 Market Street
3rd Floor
Philadelphia, PA 19106
Gary Walker
Jean Grossman
United States Conference of
City Human Services Officials
1620 Eye Street, NW
Washington, DC 20006
(202) 293-7330
Laura DeKoven Waxman, Deputy
Executive Director
U. S. Conference of Mayors
1620 Eye Street, NW
Suite 400
B
Washington, DC 20006
(202) 293-7330
J. Thomas Cochran, Executive Director
United Way of America
701 North Fairfax Street
Alexandria, VA 22314
(703) 836-7100
Elaine L. Chao
Urban Institute
2100 M Street, NW
Washington, DC 20036
B
202-833-7200
Sandra Hofferth
Demetra Nightingale
Sharon Long
Pat Ruggles
Young Women's Christian Association
726 Broadway
5th Floor
New York, NY 10003
(212) 614-2700
Gwendolyn Calvert Baker, National Executive Director
7
Young Men's Christian Association
101 North Wacker Drive
Chicago, Illinois 60606
(1-800) 872-9522
Wider Opportunities for Women
1325 G Street, NW
Washington, DC 20005
(202) 638-3143
Cindy Marano, Executive Director
Work/Family Directions
930 Commonwealth Avenue, S.
Boston, MA 02215-1212
(617) 278-4000
Fran Rodgers, Chief Executive Officer
State Higher Education Executive
Officers Association
1860 Lincoln Street, Suite 310
Denver, CO 80295
(303) 674-1688
David Figuli, President
Westat
1650 Research Boulevard
Rockville, MD 20850
301-251-1500
Professors
Orley Ashenfelter
Firestone Library and Industrial Relations Section A-18
Princeton University
Princeton, NJ 08544-2098
609-258-4040
Burt Barnow
Johns Hopkins University
Institute for Policy Studies
Shriver Hall
Baltimore, MD 21218
41C-516-7174
Laurie Bassi
Associate Professor
Department of Economics
Georgetown University
37th and 0 Street, NW
Washington, DC 20057
202-687-0100
8
Dave Betson
Department of Economics
University of Notre Dame
Notre Dame, IN 46556
219-631-5068
T. Berry Brazelton
Harvard Medical School
23 Hawthorn Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
617-735-6948
Sheldon Danziger
University of Michigan
Institute of Public Policy Studies
440 Lorch Hall
Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109-1220
313-764-1863
Greg Duncan
University of Michigan
Institute for Social Research
B
426 Thompson Street
Ann Arbor, Michigan 48109-1248
313-763-5186
Richard Freeman
Harvard University
Department of Economics
Littauer Center
#M-5
1875 Cambridge Street
Cambridge, MA 02138
617-495-4950
Irv Garkfinkel
Columbia University
School of Social Work
622 West 113th Street
New York, NY 10025
212-854-84809
David Greenberg
Department of Economics
University of Maryland
5401 Wilkins Avenue
Baltimore, MD 21228
410-455-1000
9
Peter Gottschalk
Boston College
140 Commonwealth Avenue
Chestnut Hill
Boston, MA 02167
617-552-8000
Jan L. Hagen/Irene Lurie
The Nelson A. Rockefeller Institute of Government
411 State Street
Albany, NY 12203-1003
518-443-5522
Robert Haveman
University of Wisconsin
La Follette Institute
1225 Observatory Drive
Madison, WI 53706
608-262-3581
James Heckman
Department of Economics
University of Chicago
1126 East 59th Street
Chicago, Illinois 60637
312-702-1234
Robinson Hollister
Professor
Department of Economics
500 College Avenue
Swarthmore College
Swarthmore, PA 19081-1397
215-328-8000
V. Joseph Hotz
Professor
Graduate School of Public Policy Analysis
Political Science Graduate Office:
University Mail Service
M/C 276
University of Illinois--Chicago
1007 West Harrison Street
Room 1119
Chicago, Illinois 60637-7137
312-996-8660
10
Christopher Jencks
School of Urban Affairs
1810 Chicago Avenue
Room 216
Evanston, IL 60208
708-491-8724
John F. Kain
Harvard University
Department of Economics
Room, 234 Littauer Hall
Cambridge, MA 02138
617-495-5592
Christopher T. King
Center for the Study of Human Resources
University of Texas
107 West 27th Street
Austin, TX 78712
512-471-7891
Robert Lerman
The American University
Department of Economics
Washington, DC 20016
202-885-3770
Richard Light
Professor
Kennedy School of Government
79 JFK Street
Cambridge, MA 02138-5800
617-495-1100
Laurence E. Lynn, Jr.
Social Services Administration
University of Chicago
969 East 60th Street
Chicago, Illinois 60637
312-702-1431
Larry Mead
New York University
Department of Politics
Fourth Floor
715 Broadway
New York, NY 10003
212-998-8540
11
Sara McLanahan
Office of Population Research
Princeton University
21 Prospect Avenue
Princeton, NJ 08540
609-258-4870
Robert Moffitt
Department of Economics
Brown University
64 Waterman Street
Box B
Providence, RI 02912
401-863-3836
Richard Nathan
Rockefeller College
Provost Office
Draper 116
135 Western Avenue
Albany, NY 12222
518-442-5289
Kathryn Neckerman
Department of Sociology
Columbia University
473 Fayerweather
New York, NY 10027
212-854-4358
Sandra Newman
Institute for Policy Studies
Johns Hopkins University
Shriver Hall
Baltimore, MD 21218
410-516-7180
John L. Palmer
Maxwell School
Syracuse University
219 Maxwell Hall
Syracuse, NY 13244-1090
315-443-2252
Frances Fox Piven
Graduate School and University Center
CUNY, Box 380
33 West 42 Street
New York, NY 10036-8099
212-642-2385
12
Robert Plotnick
Department of Public Affairs and Social Work
University of Washington
225 Parrington Hall
Mail Stop DC 13
Seattle, WA 98195
206-685-2055
Phil Robins
Chairman, Depaartment of Economics
University of Miami
P.O. Box 248126
Coral Gables, FL 33124-6550
305-284-5540
James Rosenbaum
1133 Judson Avenue
Evanston, Illinois 60202
708-491-3795
Lisbeth Schorr
Harvard Medical School
Department of Social Medicine and Health Policy
641 Huntington Avenue
Boston, MA 02115
617-432-2039
Timothy Smeeding
Professor
School of Public Administration
Room 205 Maxwell Hall
Syracuse University
Syracuse, NY 13244
315-443-1870
Lawrence Summers
Office of the Undersecretary
for International Affairs
U.S. Department of the Treasury
1500 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20220
202-622-0060
13
Marta Tienda
Population Research Center
University of Chicago
1155 60th Street
Chicago, Illinois 60637
312-702-0786
Nancy Tuma
Professor
Department of Sociology
Stanford University
Stanford, CA 94305-2047
415-723-3956
William J. Wilson
Department of Sociology
University of Chicago
1126 East 59th Street
Chicago, IL 60637
312-702-8689
Michael Wiseman
University of Wisconsin
La Follette Institute
1225 Observatory Drive
Madison, WI 53706
608-262-3581
Barbara Wolfe
University of Wisconsin
Institute for Research on Poverty
3412 Social Science Building
1180 Observatory Drive
Madison, WI 53706
608-262-0030
Foundations
Annie E. Casey Foundation
One Lafayette Place
Greenwich, CT 06830
Ford Foundation
320 East 43rd Street
New York, NY 10017
Anne Kubisch
212-573-5000
14
Foundation for Child Development
345 East 46th Street
Suite 700
New York, NY 10017
Barbara Blum, President
212-697-3150
Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation
2400 Sand Hill Road
Menlo Park, CA 94025
415-854-9400
Drew Altman
The Heritage Foundation
214 Massachusetts Avenue, NE
Washington, DC 20002
(202) 546-4400
Mott Foundation
1200 Mott Foundation Building
Flint, MI 48502
313-238-5651
Pew Charitable Trusts
One Commonwealth Square
2005 Market Street
Suite 1700
Philadelphia, PA 19103
215-575-9050
Thomas Langfitt, President
The Rockefeller Foundation
1133 Avenue of the Americas
New York, NY 10036
212-869-8500
Dr. Phoebe H. Cottingham
20th Century Fund
41 East 70th Street
New York, NY 10021
212-535-4441
William T. Grant Foundation
515 Madison Avenue
6th Floor
New York, NY 10022-5403
212-752-0071
15
Legislative Branch
- all Bs, except the As -
Robert D. Reischauer
for Legislative Branch
Director
Congressional Budget Office
U.S. Congress
Washington, DC 20515
202-226-2700
Ralph Smith
Unit Chief
Employment and Income Security
Congressional Budget Office
U. S. Congress
Washington, DC 20515
202-226-2659
U.S. General Accounting Office
441 G Street, NW
Washington, DC 20548
202-512-3000
U.S. Senate
also Education
A
A
Committee on Labor and Human Resources
428 Dirksen Senate Office Building
Washington, DC 20510
202-224-9789
U.S. Senate
Committee on Finance
205 Dirksen Senate Office Building
Washington, DC 20510
202-224-4515
The Honorable Daniel Patrick Moynihan
U.S. Senate
X
464 Russell Senate Office Building
Washington, DC 20510
202-224-4451
The Honorable John D. Rockefeller IV
U.S. Senate
109 Hart Senate Office Building
Washington, DC 20510
202-224-6472
The Honorable Bill Bradley
U. S. Senate
731 Hart Senate Office Building
Washington, DC 20510
202-224-3224
16
Mr. Ronald Haskins
Human Resources Minority Counsel
Committee on Ways and Means
1106 Longworth House Office Building
Washington, DC 20515
202-225-4021
The Honorable E. Clay Shaw
U.S. House of Representatives
2338 Rayburn House Office Building
Washington, D. C. 20515
(202) 225-8398
The Honorable Nancy L. Johnson
U.S. House of Representatives
227 Cannon House Office Building
Washington, D. C. 20515
(202) 225-4488
The Honorable Fred Grandy
U.S. House of Representatives
418 Cannon House Office Building
Washington, D. C. 20515
(202) 225-5476
The Honorable Richard J. Santorum
U.S. House of Representatives
1708 Longworth House Office Building
Washington, D. C. 20515
(202) 225-2135
The Honorable Robert H. Michel
U.S. House of Representatives
2112 Rayburn House Office Building
Washington, D. C. 20515
(202) 225-9249
The Honorable Newt Gingrich
U.S. House of Representatives
2438 Rayburn House Office Building
Washington, D. C. 20515
(202) 225-4656
The Honorable Robert T. Matsui
U.S. House of Representatives
2353 Rayburn House Office Building
Washington, D. C. 20515
(202) 225-0566
17
The Honorable Harold E. Ford
U.S. House of Representatives
2305 Rayburn House Office Building
Washington, DC 20515
202-225-3265
William H. Bradley
Director of Western Massachusetts
for Senator John F. Kerry
145 State Street
Suite 504
Springfield, Massachusetts 01103
(413) 785-4610
18
Paul Offner
Chief of Health and Welfare
Senate Committee on Finance
205 Dirksen Senate Office Building
Washington, D. C. 20510
(202) 224-4515
Executive Branch
Daniel H. Weinberg, Ph.D.
Chief, Housing and Household
Economic Statistics Division
U.S. Bureau of the Census
Washington, DC 20233
301-763-8550
State Welfare Agencies
Directors of all the state welfare agencies
Mr. Sheffield Kenyon
Deputy Secretary for Human Services
Florida Department of Health and
Rehabilitative Services
1317 Winewood Boulevard
Tallahassee, FL 32399-0700
904-487-1111
Mr. Brian Cahill
General Manager
Department of Social Services
City and County of San Francisco
P.O. Box 7988
San Francisco, CA 94102
415-557-6541
Elected Officials
Donald M. Fraser
Mayor of Minneapolis
127 City Hall
Minneapolis, MN 55145
612-673-2100
David A. Hamburg
President
Carnegie Corporation of New York
437 Madison Avenue
New York, NY 10022
212-371-3200
Governors
19
THE WHITE HOUSE
FAX COVER SHEET
ECONOMY AND JOBS BACKGROUND
FOR
WELFARE TO WORK TRANSITION
Dept.
Phone #
Fax #
Jeremy Ben-Ami
HHS
401-6954
401-5770
Gerald H. Britten
HHS
690-8774
690-6518
Bonnie Deane
NEC
456-2802
456-2223
Brad Delong
TREA
622-0583
622-1294
Paul Dimond
NEC
456-7604
456-2223
David Ellwood
HHS
690-6443
690-7383
Robert Gillingham
TREA
622-2220
622-1294
Larry Katz
DOL
219-8271
219-8822
Debbie Lucas
CEA
395-4737
395-6947
Larry Matlock
OMB
395-3262
395-1596
Alicia Munnell
TREA
622-2200
622-2633
Bruce Reed
DPC
456-6515
456-7739
Heather Ross
NEC
456-2802
456-2223
Doug Ross
DOL
219-6050
219-6827
Belle Sawhill
OMB
395-4844
395-5730
Issac Shapiro
DOL
219-6181
219-6924
Gene Sperling
NEC
456-2620
456-2878
Kathi Way
DPC
456-7777
456-7739
Peter Yu
NEC
456-2802
456-2223
FROM:
NEC
PHONE:
456-2802 2802
PAGES FOLLOWING COVER SHEET
$5
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
July 12, 1993
MEMORANDUM FOR Economy and Jobs Issue Group
FROM:
Bonnie Deane
SUBJECT:
Meeting with the Empowerment Network
As part of the welfare reform outreach, Jeremy Ben-Ami has
suggested that our issue group should meet with the Empowerment
Network. The Empowerment Network is described in the attachments
that follow.
Where:
OEOB room 440
When:
5:00 to 6:00 on July 15.
Please call Sandy Mancini at 456-2801 if you are interested and
need clearance into the OEOB.
TEN
THE
EMPOWERMENT
NETWORK
FOUNDATION
DATE:
July 12, 1993
TO:
Bonnie Dean
Office of Domestic Policy
The White House
FROM:
David Caprara
The Empowerment Network
We have invited the following leading welfare reform advocates to attend a meeting with
members of the Welfare Reform Working Group, Paul Diamond and Bruce Recd on
Thursday, July 15 from 5:00 PM to 6:00 PM. Each presenter would take no more than 5
minutes to brief the working group on their particular area of welfare reform. This would bc
followed by Q's and A's and discussion. Please let me know if this is convenient and what
information is needed to obtain clearance in to OEOB.
I.
Conference Synopsis
David Caprara, President
TEN-F
II.
Family and Responsibility
Robert Woodson, Sr.
National Center for Neighborhood Enterprise
Charles Ballard, President
National Institute for Responsible
Fatherhood and Family Development
(featured in the William Raspberry column last week)
Irene Johnson
LeClaire Courts Resident Management Council
1606 King Street. Alexandria, Virginia 22314
Office 703-548-6619
FAX 703-518-7328
III.
"Full-Employment" Models / State Initiatives
Charles Hobbs, President
The Hobbs Company
Sam Brunelli, Executive Director
American Legislative Exchange Council
Sam Black
Consultant
Ramona Younger
Alexandria Tenant Council
IV.
Asset Models
Bob Friedman
Corporation for Enterprise Development
Kathy Kecley
Corporation for Enterprise Development
Audley Evans, Executive Director
Tampa Housing Authority
Gussie Livingston
Family Day Care Homes
Tampa
Staff: Sharron Lipscomb
TEN
THE
EMPOWERMENT
NETWORK
FOUNDATION
The Empowerment Network Foundation (TEN-F) focuses on the
development of strategies to help people achieve economic
independence. While welfare reform and demonstration projects
involving waivers effect important short-term goals, we believe
there must be a fundamental revolution to replace the present
welfare system with a new "earnings and asset-based" system which
fosters support for individuals who exert responsibility for
themselves and their families.
The Empowerment Network Foundation is bringing together a
diverse group of people including welfare recipients and grassroots
activists, leading scholars from the left and right, and state and
federal decision-makers. From this working seminar, TEN-F will
publish a journal on conference findings and papers presented and
develop an implementation strategy for grassroots driven local,
State and Federal actions.
1606 King Street, Alexandria, Virginia 22314
Office 703-548-6619
FAX 703-548-7328
JUL-12-93
MON
15:10
P.05
The Washington Post
V
WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 17, 1993
Espy Urges 'Empowerment'
As New Anti-Poverty Policy
President Clinton embraced many of these
By Guy Gugliotta
Washington Post Staff Writer
ideas during his campaign, treating them as if
they had become part of a universal menu of
Agriculture Secretary Mike Espy yester-
anti-poverty alternatives rather than a Re-
day called for an anti-poverty policy that
publican call to arms. His program to "end
goes beyond traditional welfare and subsis-
welfare as we know it," co-written and an-
tence programs to promote independence
nounced by Espy at the Democratic National
and initiative among poor people. signaling
Convention, incorporated many elements of
that "empowerment" is an idea whose time
the empowerment agenda.
has come-even for Democrats.
And with a Democrat in the White House.
"We need to come to a better under-
there are increasing signs that empower-
standing about how poverty can be eradi-
ment is becoming politically correct for
cated," Espy said. "Poverty has adamantly
Democrats. The House Tuesday announced
outlived the 'War on Poverty.' the New
formation of a bipartisan "Congressional
Deal and the Great Society: it has defied the
Empowerment Caucus," and Rep. Charles
'Reagan Revolution' and Bush's 'kinder,
B. Rangel (D-N.Y.) has scheduled an "em-
gentler.' Poverty is here and it is
powerment briefing" today with experts in-
strong
We have got to do it better."
vited from around the country.
Espy's remarks opened a three-day con-
Espy, a former congressman from the
ference held by The Empowerment Net-
Mississippi Delta, recalled his days as a
work, a newly formed nonprofit organiza-
"renegade Democrat" supporting empow-
tion that promotes strategies to mobilize
erment policies among hostile colleagues.
poor people to make their own decisions
but showed the game had changed by prom-
and create their own opportunities in hous-
ising to be "a consistent voice within the
ing, jobs and social action.
Clinton administration for an empowerment
Empowerment was a watchword for a
agenda." As agriculture sccretary, Espy has
Bush administration intent on nurturing
control over food stamps, school lunches,
market forces and individual initiative in the
feeding programs for pregnant women and
nation's slums. But it was a buzzword for
new mothers, and a host of housing, lending
Democrats suspicious that conservatives
and development projects for rural areas.
wanted to use empowerment as an excuse
Espy also espouses the empowerment te-
to cripple government-mandated welfare,
net that the effectiveness of anti-poverty
housing and social assistance programs.
policy should be measured in asset accumu-
Policies typically described as empower-
lation rather than income and consumption.
ment include tenant management and home
"We spend billions of dollars to help poor
ownership for low-income families, granting
people subsist," he said. "But unless they
tax breaks and other advantages to compa-
can accumulate assets, the poor will always
nies willing to settle in "enterprise zones" in
be poor."
poverty-stricken areas, promotion of small
Owning your own home, hc said, "is not a
business "micro-enterprises" among low-in-
Republican idea; it is an American idea." If
come entrepreneurs and active efforts to
nothing else, he added, last year's Los An-
stimulate training, education and asset for-
gcles riots showed that "you don't burn
mation among welfare recipients.
Jown what you own."
AMERICA WORKS
Pal Dixond Pal
Bonnie Deane
July 14, 1993
I need this
Mr. Bruce Reed,
Deputy Assistant to the President
Copy back.
for Domestic Policy
Old Executive Office Building
Thaks
Washington, D.C.
20501
Dear Mr. Reed:
It was an honor to have the opportunity to brief you on
welfare reform and America Works. We appreciate your taking
the time to discuss these issues with us.
On your recommendation and with encouragement from
Senator Breaux, we have drafted a proposal to develop a
national demonstration project similar to what we discussed
with you that would stimulate the private sector, reduce the
expenditures of welfare dollars by government, and get people
off welfare and into good jobs. That proposal is enclosed
along with a recently released article in City Journal
documenting some of the public policy obstacles we face.
We look forward to working with you further, please feel
free to contact us or Richard Greenwald regarding any
questions you may have at (212) 529-2900. If at all
possible, a visit by the President would help focus on the
critical element of a two year and off policy. I hope you
are able to arrange that.
Sincerely,
Lee Bawes
Dr. Lee Bowes,
Peter Cove,
CEO
Founder
Enclosure
New York. Now York 10003 (212) 529-2900 FAX (212) 614-0921
WELFARE TO WORK DEMONSTRATION
ISSUE - HOW TO REDUCE WELFARE DEPENDENCY, CREATE A REVENUE NEUTRAL
MECHANISM TO FINANCE A JOB EFFORT, REDUCE THE BUDGET DEFICIT,
STIMULATE PRIVATE INVESTMENT AND MAKE GOOD ON TWO YEARS AND OFF
PURPOSE -
Initiate a national demonstration of a fully performance based
welfare to work program for 500,000 people annually for five years.
Federally funded under the Family Support Act (FSA) but state
implemented, private sector run welfare to work companies would be
encouraged to invest in mounting programs which only if successful
would be paid. This proposed demonstration is based upon America
Works' successful nine year experience in two states. Review of
America Works' experience and other programs focusing on jobs first
as a welfare strategy suggest a major role for this type of
approach. The key elements are:
For five years place approximately 10% of the welfare
population into jobs each year.
Save 67.5 billion dollars during the five years in cost
savings, half of which can be used to reduce the deficit and the
other half can be reinvested into an increasing fund for welfare to
work.
Stimulate private capital investment into welfare to work
programs.
For the first time in welfare to work programs direct
government to pay only for successful welfare reduction, not for
programs regardless of their impact.
BACKGROUND -
1. The Aid to Families With Dependent Children Program was
established in the 1940's to help widows and their children. It
has grown into a massive entitlement program.
2. There are over five million families on AFDC and the
welfare rolls are growing. The costs have reached 150 Billion
dollars. Of those on welfare, 60% stay for more than five years.
Researchers say there is a trend toward longer term and
intergenerational dependency.
3. Since the 1950's there have been a number of programs
targeted at reducing dependency. In 1989 congress passed FSA. The
JOBS piece of this legislation directs the states to design welfare
to work strategies.
4. Simply stated there has been a debate in the field
between those who believe in jobs versus those who believe that the
route out of dependency in through education. The regulations for
FSA heavily emphasized literacy and education as the route out of
welfare dependency.
5. The general consensus is that the employment and training
systems have not been effective. Many welfare recipients have been
through a number of training programs of business schools yet have
failed to find employment. They have paid for process not outcome.
6. Since the FSA implementation States have not drawn down
all of the funds the federal government made available. This is
because the local municipalities can not get its law makers to
allocate additional revenue to the welfare budgets which are
escalating. Thus the funds are there for dependency but not to
seek a way off.
7. Recent research evidence indicates that despite FSA
regulations, a jobs first approach, not education, is more
effective in reducing the welfare rolls. (See the Rockerfeller
Foundation studies, Riverside California's outcomes, MDRC research
and the experience of America Works.)
8. Job placement efforts targeting private sector jobs can
have the additional benefit of acting as an economic development
tool. According to a recent Ernst and Young study conducted on the
welfare recipients placed by America Works businesses averaged
$2,448 savings per worker.
RECOMMENDATIONS -
The creation of a two billion dollar per year demonstration
for five years paying $4,000 each placement. The placement fee
would only be paid after a person had been working 90 days. The
project would place 500,000 people a year. A 60% projected
retention rate would yield:
500,000 welfare recipients X 60% retention = 300,000 X $15,000
(the average cost to keep a family of three on welfare) X 3 years
(the average length of time the family would have stayed on welfare
without the program) X 5 years (the length of the demonstration) =
67.5 billion dollars in cost savings for the five years of the
program. Some of the funds can come from the unexpended FSA
obligation thereby reducing the need for new funds. The
demonstration will have the following elements:
For each welfare recipient placed into a job a calculation of
a cost savings to the taxpayer will be made. For as long as the
individual remains off welfare a deposit will be made into the
savings. Fifty percent will go into reducing the deficit and 50%
will go into a new reinvestment fund. This fund will be a new
entitlement for jobs pool. Based upon the above calculation 38.75
billion dollars would be available for future welfare to work
programs.
The demonstration will be totally performance based. The
organizations delivering the service will only get paid when a
person goes into a full-time job and have retention of 90 days
thereafter.
The demonstration will not require local match. It will be
fully federally funded. However the program operation funds will
be expanded by the use of Work Supplementation funds (see Jobs
Regulations in FSA) for private sector jobs.
There will be an on-going evaluation of the effectiveness of
the approach and the true costs savings.
Federal and participating State laws will be amended to allow
reinvestment of savings from welfare into job programs which are
paid only if they get a person off welfare.
IMPLICATIONS -
1. This will build the capacity through job placement to
implement a two years and off welfare if that becomes policy.
2. A fund will be created out of welfare savings to fund
employment efforts in the future.
3. Through the evaluation component there will be hard
evidence of the outcomes and value of the demonstration.
4. The performance based contracting model, if proven to be
more effective will be adopted throughout the employment and
training system.
Roger Starr
No Surrender
in
in
Highbrow Tabloid
PM: New York's
Daniel Patrick Moynihan
NS
William McGowan
Race and Reporting
and nd Amy Amy Klein KI
Bruce Bender
the Budget
J
Ten Ways to Trim THE
Thomas Main Did NE
Homeli Homelesshess sshess
Hard L ssons on
Lobis Winnick LOUIS
Government Enough?
Is Reinventing
J
AM
2
100L
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U.S. $6.95
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80364 74470 70
5
03
3
America Works
A Venture to End Dependency
Jan Rosenberg
and Sol Stern
n February 1993, the New York Times carried a front-page story
New York City has had little
recounting the many frustrations suffered by a middle-aged woman
trying to get off the welfare rolls and back into the labor market. The
success in moving welfare
article appeared just two weeks after the inauguration of a new presi-
recipients to work. But a private
dent who had pledged to "end the welfare system as we know it" by
requiring stringent back-to-work programs for able-bodied recipients.
company called America Works
But what really raised eyebrows was that the "welfare client" profiled
is placing hundreds of them in
in the article was actually Barbara Sabol, commissioner of the cin's
Human Resources Administration (HRA).
good. private-sector jobs. its
The normally press-shy Sabol gave the Times an exclusive
secret stressing basic work
account of how she had posed as a poor person and applied for welfare
in order to learn how her agency treats its clients-not very well, she
habits and contacts with
discovered. She described long waits in filthy, cockroach-infested
potential employers.
offices. She said she had been "depersonalized" by the system, and us
particularly critical of caseworkers in the city's BEGIN (Begin
Employment Gain Independence Now program, which was created
to get recipients into the labor market. They seemed indifferent to her
expressed desire to move from an unsatisfying mandatory work assign-
ment with the city to a full-time job. "I mean, nobody saw my spark."
Sabol said. She concluded that HRA should become more focused on
helping welfare clients search for jobs as soon as they enter the system.
Did Sabol's experiment signal the beginning of a serious, long.
overdue effort to apply David Osborne's concept of "entrepreneural
government"-making government social services more accountable
and competitive-to the huge HRA bureaucracy? It appears not. Sahol
has once again become largely "unavailable" to the press. From all
indications, not much has been done to improve HRA's dismal record
of helping welfare recipients break the oncle of dependency.
Indeed, a recent study by the Public Policy Institute concluded
that the percentage of New York State's welfare recipients (of whom
HRA's clients are the overwhelming majority) who move into paying
jobs has actually dropped over the past several years. This happened
despite new federal mandates imposed by the 1988 Family Support
Act, which aimed to get welfare clients back to work. "Most states
Research for this article was supported by the J.M. Kaplan Fund.
66
CITY
leapt at the opportunity" to put the Family Support
sands of welfare clients, with an average of between
Act's requirements into effect, wrote the legisla-
five and six years on the rolls, in private-sector jobs
tion's principal author, Senator Daniel Patrick
with an average starting salary of $15,000 plus ben-
Moynihan, in the report's introduction. "Not New
efits. Employers have been overwhelmingly satisfied;
York." The study faulted New York's "questionable
America Works has 2 long list of companies that
decision to emphasize schooling to the exclusion of
keep coming back. asking for more referrals from
job experience."
the welfare rolls. America Works has staked its sur-
In New York City, it was none other than
vival as a profitable business on the proposition that
Barbara Sabol who shifted the BEGIN program's
welfare clients, properly motivated and helped with
emphasis away from securing immediate employ-
a limited amount of technical assistance, can be suc-
ment for welfare recipients. Instead. clients assigned
cessful at getting and holding jobs.
to BEGIN are allowed to choose among various
Consider the case of 35-year-old Lenore
training and education options. "In some ultimate
Green. Other than two short-term jobs, she had
sense HRA still believes in the employment goal,"
been on public assistance all her adult life. Like
says Lawrence Mead. 3 welfare researcher at New
Sabol, Green had a disappointing experience with
York University. "But so much priority is now given
HRA's BEGIN program. "They basically give you
to reducing 'barriers' around recipients that few face
the yellow pages and tell you to start calling to find
any real pressure to go to work. BEGIN is induct-
a job," she savs. "They also do something they call
ing 2,500 new clients a month, but so many drop
'networking,' where someone comes in and says
out and so few look for jobs that no impact on the
that some company is hiring. And they tell you to
caseload is discernible. HRA simply has not con-
read the New York Times. Well, I was doing that
fronted the ethos of entitlement that surrounds wel.
anyway."
fare in New York."
When Green heard about America Works, she
asked her caseworker to refer her to the firm, even
Road to Success
though its offices are in lower Manhattan and she
Yes even in New York City, there are model pro-
lives in the Bronx. When she made the trip, she
grams that successfully match long-term welfare
found a businesslike facility, in contrast with the
clients with private sector jobs.
During her underground stint as a
welfare client, Sabol might have
asked her caseworker to refer her
TO J privately owned employment
service called America Works. Or
she might have called the company
herself, as some welfare recipients
do. Had she made that connec-
tion, Sabol's "spark" would cer-
tainly have been noticed. In fact, it
is likely that she would have been
quickly placed in an entry-level
clerical job in a publishing firm,
law office, or insurance company.
For the past five years,
America Works has placed thou-
A job-reodiness class of America Works.
SUMMER 1993
67
AMERICA WORKS
grim welfare offices she was used to visiting. A
projects; Bowes is a sociologist. They launched
polite receptionist directed clients and visitors to
America Works in the mid- 1980s with $1 million in
the business lab, the pre-employment classroom, a
start-up capital and the belief, based on their own
small meeting room, and staff offices. America
experiences in the job-training field, that the prima-
Works was humming with activity, and no one 1125
ry obstacles preventing welfare clients from finding
waiting in line.
and retaining jobs are a lack of connections and
Green signed up, and after a week of pre-
gaps in interpersonal skills. Extended education and
employment screening and "job readiness" training,
training programs are unnecessary, time-consuming
she landed J nwo-week data-entry job. Immediately
diversions, Cove and Bowes argue. Further, they
thereafter, she was sent on two interviews, each of
contend, clients with shaky self-confidence are best
which led to a job offer. She currently works in the
sened by an early success in getting a job, not by
claims department of the Amalgamated Life
long periods of preparation.
Insurance Company.
America Works' week-long training sessions
are narrowly focused on the skills needed to land an
America Works makes its money by
job. A counselor works with clients on
such basics as maintaining 3 businesslike personal
contracting with state welfare agencies
appearance, speaking properly, preparing a résumé,
showing up on time, and arranging child care.
to place clients in jobs
Attendance is strictly enforced: if J client is late to
class, even by five minutes, she is dropped from the
America Works functions as a kind of "old
program, though she may enroll again at a later
girls' network." (Most of its clients are women.
date. After completing the class, clients spend half
Staff members build relationships with employers
their day in the company's business lab. working on
and provide the connections to the job market that
typing, word processing, and other office skills
women on welfare usually lack. "Atter screening to
while they wait for job interviews. During the
make sure there's J fit with what the employer is
remainder of their day, they can seek employment
looking for, they go out and represent you to the
on their own.
employer." Green savs. "They help you get that
Paula Phillips, an energetic former school-
interview."
teacher who leads the training sessions, stresses that
America Works makes its money by contract-
clients' success depends on their own motivation
ing with state welfare agencies to place clients in
and effort. "How many of you were referred by
jobs. The contract is performance based: the com-
BEGINE" she asks a larger-than average class of 46
pany is paid (about $4.000 per client in
crowded into the classroom one spring morning.
Connecticut and $5,300 in New York) only after
Eight or nine women raise their hands. "Did they
the client has completed J four-month probationary
say that America Works will definitely find you J
period with an employer. The state comes out
job:- Only a couple sav yes, but she uses the occa-
ahead " well. For its fee of $5,300, America Works
sion to nail home her point: "There are no guaran-
estimates that it saves taxpayers $22,000 J year, the
tees
If you want something to happen, you've
cost of keeping a mother and two children on the
got to make it happen." "But," she continues, -if
welfare rolls in New York.
we don't find people a job, we can't stay in busi-
America Works is the brainchild of a husband-
ness. We want to find jobs for as many people as
and-wife team, Peter Cove and Lee Bowes. Cove is
possible."
a community activist, a veteran of the 1960s 11'ar on
The company's entrepreneurial cthos is catch-
Poverty and various non-profit employment training
ing. We spoke with numerous women and men in
68
CIII JOBRUAL
America Works classes who defied
the stereotypes of long-term welfare
clients steeped in a permanent cul-
I I
ture of dependency. After waiting
several months to be admitted to the
program, they understood that they
had to compete for jobs, were work.
ing very hard at improving their
skills in the business lab, and were
confident that they would succeed.
Employers are impressed with
the workers' enthusiasm. "Their
candidates really want to work,"
savs the personnel director of a cata.
log company "ho, since 1989, has
relied exclusively on America Works
A trainee in the America Works business lab.
for filling level positions.
"They have people who have been out of work and
After the probationary period, the employee is
so the 're willing to stay with a jub for quite some
paid a standard wage. The support America Works
time." savs the manager of a law office. "They're
provides during the transition period is clearly effec-
willing 10 stay longer than other people who
tive; an estimated 85 to 90 percent of its clients are
haven't been on public assistance. We're willing to
still in their jobs at the end of the first year.
take 3 chance on them; 11°C get a dedicated and loval
employee. It's 3 win-win situation."
Going Against the Grain
During the four-month probationary period,
Despite America Works' success, New York's social-
the employer pays an agreed-upon wage to America
service bureaucracy remains indifferent to its
Works. which pays the employee minimum wage.
promise. The company is under contract with New
(Employees' welfare grants are gradually reduced
York State to find jobs for 250 workers a year, but
during their transition to permanent work.) The
many more welfare clients are trying to get into
trial period allows the employer to valuate the new
America Works than it can accommodate under its
employee's work habits and adaptability to the com-
contract. And the firm does not have a single con-
pany culture. A1 the same time, America Works
tract with New York City. Indeed, it has been
offers the employee services to case the transition
rejected four consecutive times for welfare-to-work
from dependency to the job market. America Works
contracts let by city agencies. Critics and city offi.
job counselors visit the worker on the job every
cials offer several explanations for the city's reluc-
week and meet with the employee's supervisor every
tance to embrace the firm's approach.
other neck to "troubleshoot." If there are problems
One charge is that America Works "creams,"
with punctuality or attendance, or if the client needs
selecting the most job-ready clients, who would
help with child care or housing, the counselor will
land jobs on their own anyway. A New York State
intervene. "Most problems new employees have
welfare official disagrees. "That may have been true
show up quickly, in the first few months on the job.
early on, when they were getting their clients from
That's why the 'reps' are so useful," says one
newspaper ads, but now more than half of their
employer, singling out the baby-sitting problems
clients come after failing to find jobs through
that trip up even the most eager working mothers.
HRA's programs." And, indeed, why would people
1993
69
AMERICA WORKS
who could find work on their own sit through a
week of job-readiness classes and then spend four
months working at minimum wage? It seems more
More -
likely that America Works is successful with those
public assistance recipients who are willing to work
but lack the interpersonal skills, self-confidence, and
connections necessary to find work.
Another concern is cost. Cathy Zall, deputy
commissioner of HRA, argues that America Works
is much more expensive than other welfare-to-work
programs and that the $22,000 savings trumpeted
by the company is exaggerated, because it assumes
that none of the people placed in jobs by America
Works would have found work on their own.
Computing the exact savings from various welfare
reform programs is complicated, but the Public
Policy Institute report notes that America Works'
America Works cofounder Peter Cove says government must
"bring in creative entrepreneurs" to help people off welfare.
placement fee "compares favorably with the $8,259
per placement cost of the JOBS program." a federal
Works has done "exceptional work," the state has
initiative offering education and placement services.
come in for "criticism from the traditional employ-
Our interviews with welfare officials and inde-
ment and training agencies, from the nonprofit sec-
pendent analysts suggest that much of the criticism
tor. They wanted to know why we were contracting
of America Works is driven by an underlying suspi-
with J for profit agency."
cion of J for-profit company operating on the belief
Compounding the problem is the bureaucratic
that welfare clients can and should compete in the
procedure by which contract proposals are judged, a
market economy. This approach directly challenges
process that elevates form over substance. In the
the institutional biases of much of the nonprofit
competition for J recent welfare-to-work contract
world and the government bureaucracy.
with the city's Department of Employment (which
America Works lost). the final decision was made
How could n company that places so many
largely on the basis of the written "statement of pur-
people in good jobs be judged as lacking
pose" in the contract proposal. The organization's
success rate in actually placing and keeping recipients
"demonstrated effectiveness"?
in jobs 11:25 J secondary consideration. In J proposal
for another Department of Employment contract,
Some officials concede that such J bias exists.
America Works earned just one-quarter of the possi-
"It's very difficult for us in the social work professions
ble points for "demonstrated effectiveness." How,
to accept individuals who make J profit," says Audrey
we asked our guide through the bureaucracy, could
Rowe, Connecticut's commissioner of income main-
a company that was placing so many people in good,
tenance, who became a champion of America Works
private-sector jobs be judged as lacking "demon-
after evaluating its performance under a state con-
strated effectiveness": The answer: "They just didn't
tract. "It's difficult to work through staff biases."
write a very good proposal."
Michael Dowling, New York State's commis-
America Works recently found itself a new
sioner of social services, adds that while America
champion, Manhattan Borough President Ruth
70
BITT JOUDNAL
Messinger. Having seen the company's good work
For many conservatives, the solution is some-
for herself, Messinger tried to cut through the
thing like economic shock therapy-reducing bene-
bureaucratic thicket by intervening directly with
fits or even taking people off welfare altogether. For
First Deputy Mavor Norman Steisel. Her letter to
their liberal counterparts, welfare reform must await
Steisel recommended that the city take a second
major governmental intervention in the economy to
look at how America Works could benefit New
create "decent" jobs.
York's welfare reform effort.
America Works confounds the shared pes-
Steisel's reply was, typically, more bureau-
simism of both liberals and conservatives about the
cratese. He expressed regret that America Works
possibility of getting welfare recipients into jobs
had lost four straight competitions and explained
quickly. It points beyond the familiar "won't work"
that there just isn't enough money to fund all the
versus "can't work" argument, toward pragmatic,
worthy proposals. He encouraged America Works
intermediate solutions.
to keep trying. Finally, the deputy mayor assured
Messinger that the Department of Employment was
America Works confounds the shared
"looking forward 10 receiving additional proposals
pessimism of both liberals and conservatives
from America Works in response to future RFP's
[requests for proposals]."
Peter Cove argues that success in welfare reform
"must be measured by the obtaining of jobs, reten-
Beyond Left and Right
tion, and the resultant welfare cost reductions."
Tomes have been written about the difficulties of
Government should not pay for classroom programs,
getting long-term welfare recipients into the job
hc says, but for "the job acquisition and retention that
market. Liberal and conservative critics alike insist
result
This will immediately guarantee govern-
on the almost insurmountable odds against ending
ment getting what it pays for It will bring in creative
welfare dependency. Conservatives tend to argue
entrepreneurs and maintain only the successful ones."
that long-term welfare clients won't work. because
These ideas, very much in keeping with
they have not developed the values and discipline-
President Clinton's stated goal of making govern-
the "culture." if you will-that push people into the
ment social services more effective and accountable,
labor market. Liberals counter by arguing that the
are worthy of attention in the coming national wel-
jobless poor can't work. pointing to J range of
fare reform debate. In New York City, meanwhile,
"structural barriers" that prevent minority and
hundreds of welfare recipients on America Works'
unskilled inner city residents from succeeding in the
waiting list deserve better. They too have "sparks"
private job market.
that ought to be recognized.
1993
71
FINAL IMPACT ANALYSIS REPORT:
THE WASHINGTON STATE
FAMILY INDEPENDENCE PROGRAM
DRAFT
April 1993
(Revised May 1993)
Authors:
Sharon K. Long
Douglas A. Wissoker
Programming Support:
Daniel J. Dowhan
Sharon M. Hirabayashi
This report is one of a series from the Evaluation of the Washington State Family Independence Program
conducted by The Urban Institute under contract from the Washington State Legislative Budget Committee.
Opinions expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the positions of Washington State
officials, The Urban Institute, or its sponsors.
THE URBAN INSTITUTE 2100 M Street N.W. / Washington, D.C. 20037/ (202) 833-7200
I. INTRODUCTION AND OVERVIEW OF THE RESULTS
The welfare reform initiative in Washington State -- the Family Independence Program
(FIP) -- is intended to improve the State's welfare system by redefining the interaction among
income maintenance, education and training activities, employment, and supportive services
available to recipients of Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC). The goal of FIP
is to increase the self-sufficiency of welfare families and decrease the number of children
growing up in poverty by (1) providing a strong education, training, and work component;
(2) changing the structure of the income support system, including converting food assistance
from coupons to cash; and (3) expanding the availability of child care and other supportive
services for families on welfare, and providing transitional child care and Medicaid benefits
for families who leave welfare with earnings.
FIP operates as a welfare demonstration program under waivers from federal law
granted for a five-year period. As part of the FIP demonstration, Washington State is
conducting an evaluation of the program's ability to help families enter the work force and
attain economic independence.
The evaluation of the FIP demonstration has three broad objectives:
1. To assess the effect of FIP relative to the AFDC program on program costs,
caseloads, and the economic well-being of children and families,
2. To assess the relative effectiveness of various education and training
activities under FIP on welfare recipients' labor market outcomes, and
3. To identify the practices and procedures that result in an effective welfare
program.
In addressing these objectives, the evaluation has three interrelated components -- a
process analysis of the implementation and operation of FIP, an analysis of the net impacts of
the program on welfare recipients' behavior, and a cost-benefit study.
1
The first component of the evaluation considers program implementation and
operations. The issues addressed include: how FIP operations differ from those of AFDC;
how the FIP and AFDC programs change over time; how the two programs differ by location
(e.g., urban vs. rural areas); and what practices, procedures, organizational features, and
interorganizational linkages contribute to a successfully run program. Periodic interviews
with program administrators and staff, questionnaires completed by staff, observations of
group activities, and program documents and records are the data sources for this part of the
evaluation.
The second component, the net impact analysis, focuses on estimating the overall
effects of FIP relative to the AFDC program on welfare recipients' employment and earnings,
duration of welfare receipt, and welfare recidivism. This part of the evaluation uses
administrative data from welfare, employment services, and education management
information systems.
The third component, the cost-benefit analysis, compares administrative costs and
benefits paid under the two programs, estimates what the long-term savings from FIP
(compared to AFDC) are likely to be for both the State and Federal governments, and
assesses the costs and benefits to the individuals who participate in FIP (again in comparison
1
Appendix A lists the evaluation reports completed to date.
2
to AFDC). The cost-benefit analysis uses the results of the impact analysis and
administrative cost records in evaluating FIP.
The final report of the FIP evaluation will synthesize the findings from the process, net
impact, and cost-benefit components of the evaluation.
This report summarizes the findings for the net impact component of the FIP
evaluation. The remainder of this chapter provides an overview of the impact analysis and
evaluation design (Section A), and summarizes the impact analysis findings (Section B).
Section C provides a brief assessment of the results. The final section, Section D, outlines
the organization of the report.
A. OVERVIEW OF THE NET IMPACT ANALYSIS AND EVALUATION DESIGN
The FIP evaluation is based on a quasi-experimental design that uses matched pairs of
treatment and comparison sites. In selecting the treatment and comparison sites, all the
welfare offices in the state were stratified by region (east or west) and by urban or rural
location to ensure reasonable geographic coverage of the state. 2 Within each stratum pairs
of sites were matched based on characteristics of the welfare caseloads and the local labor
market. Five matched pairs of welfare offices were selected for the evaluation. Welfare
offices assigned to treatment status implemented FIP, while comparison sites continued to
operate the AFDC program.
2 (CSO). Some sites encompass more than one local welfare office, called Community Service Office
3
The site pairs selected for the evaluation are:
FIP Treatment Sites
Non-FIP Comparison Sites
Burien/West Seattle
King South/Federal Way
Everett/Skykomish Valley
Pierce West
Goldendale/White Salmon/Stevenson
Shelton
Spokane North
Yakima/Yakima-Kittitas
Moses Lake/Othello
Okanogan
The analysis focuses on adults who were on welfare in the sites during a six-month
sample window, adjusting for the experiences of a corresponding group of adults on welfare
during a six-month period prior to the implementation of FIP. Estimates of the net impact of
FIP are obtained by comparing outcomes for welfare recipients (both FIP and AFDC) in the
treatment sites with outcomes for AFDC recipients in the comparison sites. 3 Thus, the
estimates are the impact of FIP relative to the AFDC program, not the impact of FIP relative
to no program. In order to control for differences between the treatment and comparison sites
that existed prior to FIP, a "difference-in-differences" estimation approach is used.
Regression analysis is also used to increase the precision of the estimates and to help control
for differences between the treatment and comparison sites that are not related to FIP.
This report provides estimates of short-run impacts of FIP on participation in education
and training activities and on six employment and welfare outcomes -- probability of
employment, average earnings, probability of welfare participation, average welfare grant,
rate of exit from welfare participation, and rate of welfare recidivism. The analysis covers a
3
Households already on AFDC in the treatment sites when FIP was implemented were given
the choice between staying on AFDC or participating in FIP. About 10 percent chose to
stay on AFDC.
4
three year period following entry into our sample and focuses on estimating net impacts for
adults in one- and two-parent households in each quarter of the follow-up period. Within the
one-parent caseload, separate estimates are obtained for new entrants to welfare under FIP
and for those who were continuing a period of welfare participation. Small sample sizes
prevent us making this distinction for two-parent cases. However, for the two-parent cases
we do obtain separate estimates for women and men. 4
Both because of small sample sizes and the likelihood that the two-parent estimates are
influenced by FIP-induced program entry (see Chapter III), the estimates of the net impacts
of FIP on the adults in two-parent cases are less reliable than those for adults in one-parent
cases. Two-parent cases represent about 12 percent of the welfare caseload in Washington
State.
B. SUMMARY OF KEY RESULTS
FIP was designed to help families become self-supporting by providing parents with
the opportunity to acquire needed job skills through employment, education, and training
services. Financial incentives are provided to encourage participation in education and
training programs and to promote increased work effort. Child care and other support
services are provided to ensure that the families are able to take advantage of the education,
training, and employment opportunities that are available. Transitional child care and
medical services are extended to families of those who obtain a job and leave welfare, to
4
This distinction is not made for the one-parent cases because so few sample members are
male. We do include gender as one of the explanatory variables included in the regression
analysis for the one-parent cases.
5
reduce the cost and uncertainty associated with moving from welfare to economic self-
sufficiency.
Given this program design, it was expected that FIP participants would increase their
job skills (as a result of education and training activities) and face fewer barriers to
employment (as a result of child care and transportation subsidies), so that, in the long run,
employment and earnings would be increased and welfare participation reduced relative to
what would have occurred under the AFDC program. The remainder of this section
summarizes our findings on the net impact of FIP on participation in education and training
activities, and employment and welfare behavior for the twelve quarters of the follow-up
period.
Participation in Education and Training Activities. The analysis of education and
training participation in the treatment and comparison sites considers three types of activities:
job search, education, and training. Because of limited data on job search referrals, we focus
here on participation in education and training activities.
Relative to the AFDC program, FIP has little or no impact on the
level of participation in education and training activities for
adults in one-parent cases and men in two-parent cases. FIP
women in two-parent cases are significantly less likely to
participate in education or training activities than are their
counterparts in the comparison sites.
Among the one-parent caseload, new entrants to welfare are more likely to participate
in some education or training activities under FIP than are their counterparts in the
comparison sites, as shown in Figure I.1. Although these estimates of FIP net impacts are
often quite large relative to the level of participation in the comparison sites, in no quarter are
6
Net Impact of FIP on Participation in Education or Training
for Adults in One-Parent Cases
100
80
New Entrants
On-Going Participants
7
Percent in Education or Training
60
40
20
*
0
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q5
Q6
Q7
Q8
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q5
Q6
Q7
Q8
Follow-up Quarter
FIP
Comparison Sites
Estimate of FIP impact IS significant at the 10 level, two-tailed test
they statistically significant. For the on-going welfare participants, who make up the
majority of the one-parent caseload, the estimates of the net impact of FIP on education and
training behavior are small and of mixed direction: education or training participation is
sometimes higher and sometimes lower under FIP over the follow-up period. In only one
quarter is the estimate statistically significant.
Men in two-parent cases also generally increase participation in education and training
activities, although only the estimate for quarter eight is statistically significant. In contrast,
women in two-parent cases are significantly less likely to participate in education or training
activities in four of the eight follow-up quarters. However, the estimates of the impact of FIP
on education and training participation for the two-parent cases are particularly sensitive to
the method used to adjust for pre-FIP differences between the treatment and comparison sites
and, therefore, should be interpreted with caution. 5
Although it appears that FIP did not increase the level of participation in education and
training activities relative to the AFDC program, several factors suggest that we may be
understating FIP net impacts. First, the data sources used to measure participation in
education and training activities fail to capture a share of those activities. Second, for
outcomes that occur infrequently in the sample, like participation in education and training,
the sample sizes available to this study can detect only large treatment-comparison site
differences. Finally, the adjustment for treatment-comparison site differences that exist
independent of FIP, which is based on limited data for the education and training analysis,
5
Because of the sensitivity of the two-parent results, we have not included a figure illustrating
those findings.
8
has a large effect on the FIP net impact estimates for these outcomes. Even so, estimates
under alternative models and assumptions suggest that the "true" net impact of FIP on
participation education and training activities is unlikely to differ greatly from the estimates
reported here.
Employment and Welfare Outcomes. The net impact of FIP on welfare recipient's
employment and welfare behavior is estimated using six outcome measures: average
earnings, whether employed, average welfare grant, whether a welfare grant is received, rate
of exit from welfare, and, for those who exit, rate of return to welfare. We focus here on
employment, welfare receipt, and program exit and re-entry.
Relative to the AFDC program, FIP has little or no impact on
employment for adults in one-parent cases or women in two-
parent cases. Employment is lower under FIP for men in two-
parent cases.
As a result of FIP, new entrants and on-going participants in one-parent cases are less
likely to be employed over the follow-up period than similar individuals in the comparison
sites, as shown in Figure I.2. However, the net impact estimates are only statistically
significant for the new entrants and only for quarters early in the follow-up period.
For women in two-parent cases, employment is sometimes higher and sometimes
lower under FIP -- the estimates are never statistically significant (Figure I.3). In contrast,
men in two-parent cases are significantly less likely to be employed under FIP relative to the
AFDC program in all twelve of the follow-up quarters.
9
Figure 1.2
Net Impact of FIP on Employment
for Adults in One-Parent Cases
100
80
New Entrants
On-Going Participants
60
10
Percent Employed
40
*
*
20
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Follow-up Quarters
FIP
Comparison Sites
.
Estimate of FIP impact significant at the 10 level, two-tailed test.
Net Impact of FIP on Employment
for Adults in Two-Parent Cases
100
80
Women
Men
60
*
*
11
Percent Employed
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
40
20
<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
AQY
\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\
Z
Z_
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Follow-up Quarters
FIP
Comparison Sites
Estimate of FIP impact significant at the 10 level, two-tailed test
Since there is little difference in participation in education and training activities as a
result of FIP, the lower levels of employment are unlikely to be reflecting changes in
participation in those activities.
As with the analysis of participation in education and training activities, these
estimates may understate the net impacts of FIP on employment because of missing data. We
estimate that missing data leads us to underestimate the magnitude of the net impacts of FIP
by 10 to 20 percent. Adjustments for the missing data produce slightly larger reductions in
employment under FIP, but do not change our overall conclusions.
Welfare participation is higher under FIP than the AFDC
program for adults in both one- and two-parent cases.
Although FIP appears to lead to, at most, small reductions in employment for most of
the welfare caseload, with some partially offsetting increases in participation in education and
training activities, the net FIP impacts on participation in welfare are relatively large and
highly significant for both the one- and two-parent caseloads, as shown in Figures I.4 and 1.5.
Participation in welfare is up to 12 percentage points higher for adults in one-parent cases
and 18 percentage points higher for adults in two-parent cases as a result of FIP. Welfare
participation remains significantly higher under FIP through the end of the evaluation follow-
up period.
Recipients of welfare tend to stay on longer under FIP and, for
those who do leave, return more quickly than under AFDC.
12
Net Impact of FIP on Welfare Participation
for Adults in One-Parent Cases
100
New Entrants
On-Going Participants
*
*
80
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
60
*
13
Percent on Welfare
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
40
20
o
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Follow-up Quarters
/
FIP
Comparison Sites
-
Estimate of FIP impact significant at the 10 level. two-tailed test.
Net Impact of FIP on Welfare Participation
for Adults in Two-Parent Cases
100
80
Women
Men
*
*
*
*
*
60
Percent on Welfare
*
*
*
*
*
*
14
*
*
*
*
40
20
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Follow-up Quarters
/
FIP
Comparison Sites
.
Estimate of FIP impact significant at the 10 level two failed test
Increases in the share of individuals who are on welfare under FIP could result from
treatment-comparison site differences in the rate of leaving welfare and/or from differences in
the rate of returning to welfare for those who have left. Our evidence suggests that FIP
reduces the rate of exit from welfare, adding 3 months to the median duration of welfare
spells for both new entrants and on-going participants in the one-parent caseload (although
only the estimate for new entrants is statistically significant) and women and men in the two-
parent caseload.
The re-entry rate is also higher for both one- and two-parent cases, although the limited
data available for the analysis suggests the results should be interpreted with caution.
C. ASSESSMENT OF THE RESULTS
Over the three-year period following enrollment in FIP, we estimate that, relative to
AFDC, FIP reduces initial employment probabilities and average earnings, while increasing
the probability of being on welfare and raising the average grant amount. The impacts on the
welfare outcomes, in particular, remain large and statistically significant throughout the
follow-up period. The employment and welfare patterns can be explained in part, but only in
part, by increased participation in education and training activities.
These estimates of the net impacts of FIP are not consistent with the expected impacts
of the program and are difficult to explain. We divide the potential explanations for these
unanticipated findings into issues related to data, program design, program operations, and
evaluation design.
Data Issues. Although there is some evidence that the estimates reported here may
understate the magnitude of the net impacts of FIP on education and training participation
15
and employment because of missing data problems, an assessment of the sensitivity of our
estimates to alternative assumptions about the scope of missing data suggest that the "true"
net impacts are unlikely to be substantially larger than those reported here. However, it is
likely that education and training participation increased and employment decreased
somewhat more under FIP than is reported here. Furthermore, it is possible that if we were
not missing data the estimates for a greater share of the follow-up quarters would be
statistically different from zero. (It should be noted that there is no evidence that the
magnitude of the impacts of FIP on welfare participation have been understated.)
Program Design Issues. Under the program design changes implemented under FIP,
the breakeven level -- the level of earnings at which welfare benefits drop to zero -- is higher
under FIP than under AFDC. As a result, workers could continue to receive benefits under
FIP with levels of earnings at which they would have to leave the AFDC program. It is likely
that this program feature explains at least part of the higher levels of welfare participation
under FIP; however, it does not explain a reduction in employment under FIP.
Program Operation Issues. Interpretation of the FIP net impact estimates requires
consideration of the "black box" of program circumstances that produced them. Available
evidence suggests that the treatment sites were successful at implementing the FIP design,
with particular emphasis on the key features of FIP -- the change in the welfare culture, child
care subsidies, financial incentives, and transitional benefits. In particular, evidence from
staff and client interviews indicate that FIP was successful in changing the welfare "climate"
in Washington State by increasing and improving client and staff interactions. However,
staff report that increased responsibilities, expanded services to clients, and growing
16
caseloads under FIP prevented them from providing the degree and frequency of staff
interaction that was needed to operate the program as intended.
There is also some evidence that information on the benefits available under FIP may
not have been communicated effectively to the welfare participants. In a survey of
households that left welfare with earnings, 24 percent of the FIP participants did not feel that
the program had been explained when they applied to welfare in such a way that they could
understand it. When asked specifically about different components of the program, even
larger shares reported not knowing about such program features as financial incentives,
extended Medicaid coverage, and transitional child care assistance. If, as these figures
suggest, a substantial share of participants were unaware of the benefits available under FIP,
it should not be surprising that those benefits had no impact on behavior.
Evaluation Design Issues. The matched treatment-comparison site design used for
the FIP evaluation allows for site-wide program impacts that cannot be captured by the
random assignment of individuals to treatment and control status within a site. While we use
a difference-in-differences approach and regression analysis to remove site differences that
are not due to FIP, we can never be completely sure that the comparison sites provide an
appropriate control group.
In exploring the quality of the treatment-comparison site matches for this study, we
estimated the net impact of FIP within each matched pair of sites. The pattern of net impacts
that we observe for the pairs of sites are roughly consistent with our overall findings. With
the exception of one pair of sites in one year, welfare participation is higher under FIP in
each pair of sites in each year of the follow-up period. Employment either does not change
17
or is reduced under FIP for all of the site pairs in the first year of the follow-up period. The
net impacts of FIP on employment in the final two years of the follow-up period and the net
impacts on education and training participation for all three follow-up years are of mixed
signs. The latter is consistent with our finding that the overall net impacts are not statistically
different from zero for those outcomes over those periods.
A second issue that arises with respect to the evaluation design concerns the focus on
welfare participants rather than eligibles. By focusing on welfare participants, the observed
treatment-comparison site differences in outcomes may reflect differences in who chooses to
participate in welfare across the sites. The available evidence suggests that FIP-induced
program entry was not an issue for the one-parent cases, but was a substantial issue for the
two-parent caseload. Given the possibility that the two-parent cases in the comparison sites
may not provide a good match for the two-parent cases in the treatment sites, the estimates
for the two-parent cases are potentially subject to biases of unknown direction and
magnitude.
In addition to the problem of FIP-induced program entry in the treatment sites, there is
also evidence that individuals in the comparison sites moved to treatment sites and received
FIP benefits. By receiving FIP benefits, these "crossover" individuals reduced the
differences in services between the treatment and comparison sites and, consequently, the
estimates of the impacts of FIP relative to the AFDC program. Given the relatively low level
of crossovers (about 9 percent of the cohort by the end of the third follow-up year),
alternative adjustments for this contamination of the matched comparison site design do not
change the net impact estimates by substantial amounts.
18
Under the framework for the FIP evaluation, the net impact analysis cannot provide
guidance as to whether parts of FIP are effective and should be incorporated in future
employment and training initiatives. However, the process analysis does suggest that FIP,
and particularly the education and training component of FIP, was not very different from the
existing AFDC program. Furthermore, there is evidence that budgetary difficulties, caseload
growth, and the implementation of JOBS in the comparison sites eroded many of the
differences that exist at the start.
The final report of the FIP evaluation provides a synthesis of the findings from the
process, net impacts, and cost-benefit components of the evaluation.
D. ORGANIZATION OF THE REPORT
The remainder of this report is organized as follows. Chapter II provides a background
summary of the changes associated with FIP and the welfare reform developments in non-
FIP sites. Chapter III contains an overview of the FIP net impact analysis design. Chapter
IV presents the findings regarding participation in education and training activities. Chapter
V estimates the net impacts of FIP on the employment and welfare outcomes for adults in
one-parent households. Chapter VI discusses how the findings should be assessed.
19