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THE HENRY ]. KAISER THE KAISER-HARVARD PROGRAM ON FAMILY FOUNDATION THE PUBLIC AND HEALTH/SOCIAL POLICY Survey of Americans on Health Policy Questionnaire and National Toplines July 30, 1996 A JOINT PROGRAM OF THE HENRY J. KAISER FAMILY FOUNDATION AND HARVARD UNIVERSITY KAISER FAMILY FOUNDATION: 2400 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK, CA 94025 415 854-9400 FAX 415 854-4800 HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH: 677 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON, MA 02115 617 432-4502 FAX 617 432-0092 KAISER FAMILY FOUNDATION/ HARVARD UNIVERSITY PRINCETON SURVEY RESEARCH ASSOCIATES HEALTH POLICY SURVEY FINAL TOPLINE July 30, 1996 METHODOLOGY: The Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA survey was a national random sample conducted by telephone with 1,011 adults between June 20 and July 9, 1996. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percent. 1. Looking ahead to the presidential election in November, what issue will be MOST important to you in deciding who to vote for? (RECORD VERBATIM RESPONSE FOR UP TO TWO MENTIONS. PROBE ONCE, IF NECESSARY, FOR A 2ND MENTION: Is there another issue that will be almost as important to you? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 14% 13% 17% 14% Economy/Jobs 11 17 9 10 Candidate characteristics 10 6 15 9 Health care (excluding Medicare) 8 10 7 7 Deficit/Government spending 8 10 6 8 Taxes 6 8 5 6 Abortion 5 3 6 6 Crime/Guns/Violence 5 2 6 3 Medicare 4 4 6 4 Education 4 6 3 4 Welfare 4 2 5 5 Social Security 4 5 4 4 Other issues 6 5 7 5 None 32 26 29 36 Don't know/Don't plan to vote Note: Adds to more than 100% due to multiple responses. 2 2. Now thinking ONLY about issues relating to HEALTH CARE (EXCLUDING MEDICARE), what specific issue, if any, will be of MOST concern to you in deciding who to vote for? (RECORD VERBATIM RESPONSE FOR UP TO TWO MENTIONS. PROBE ONCE, IF NECESSARY, FOR AN ADDITIONAL MENTION: Is there any other specific health care problem that will matter almost as much in your voting decision? TOTAL MENTIONS OF THOSE SAYING "HEALTH CARE IN Q1" Total Of Those Saying "Health Care" in Q1 27% 25% Medicare 15 18 Health care cost/Health insurance cost 14 17 Health care availability/Access/Universal coverage 2 7 Health care for children 4 6 Government interference in choosing health care coverage (doctors) 12 20 Other specific issues 3 3 Health care in general 8 4 None 26 17 Don't know/Don't plan to vote 3. Do you think the health care system in this country is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 12% 15% 9% 15% Better 49 42 54 50 Worse 34 39 33 31 Same 4 3 4 3 Don't know 100 3 4. Now, on another subject. I'm going to read you a list of concerns some people have. As I read each one, please tell me how much, if at all, it concerns you. (First/next), how concerned are you about (INSERT-READ AND ROTATE) : very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not at all concerned? Some- Not Not Very What Too At All DK/ Concerned Concerned Concerned Concerned Refused a. Being unable to save enough money to put a child through college 48% 18% 10% 22% 2% =100 b. Losing your job or taking a cut in pay 39 16 15 28 2 =100 C. Being unable to afford mental health care if you or a family member needs help 43 28 16 13 * =100 d. Becoming a victim of crime 41 32 19 7 1 =100 e. Your taxes getting too high 65 25 7 2 1 =100 f. Being unable to afford necessary health care when a family member gets sick 61 18 13 8 * =100 g. Life for our children not being better than it has been for us 71 20 5 3 1 =100 4 Not Some- Not Very What Too At All DK/ Concerned Concerned Concerned Concerned Refused h. Being unable to take care of your parents, grandparents, or spouse if they need long-term care 59 -21 7 10 3 =100 I. You or your spouse losing your health insurance coverage 53 16 15 13 3 =100 j. Government interfering too much in your life 46 29 18 6 1 =100 k. Being unable to get adequate health insurance if you change jobs 56 15 11 12 6 =100 1. Your family's income not keeping up with the cost of living 58 25 11 5 1 =100 5 5. Next, I'm going to read you some words and phrases and ask you to describe your overall feelings toward each one. If I name something you're not familiar with, please say so. (First,) how would describe your overall feelings toward (INSERT--READ AND ROTATE) : very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative? Next, how about Not Some- Some- Familiar Very what what Very With DK/ Positive Positive Neutral Negative Negative Term Refused a. Health care reform 26% 21% 21% 20% 8% 2% 2% =100 b. Medicaid 20 22 26 16 9 5 2 =100 C. Welfare 11 13 17 32 25 0 2 =100 d. A balanced budget for the federal government 30 17 19 16 14 1 3 =100 e. Medicare 29 21 26 15 7 1 1 =100 f. Managed care 8 16 26 14 7 25 4 =100 g. Medical savings account 14 17 20 6 6 35 2 =100 h. For-profit health care 8 16 26 15 8 24 3 =100 i. Universal health care coverage 18 24 19 14 7 16 2 =100 j. Health Maintenance Organization or H-M-O 12 25 23 19 9 9 3 =100 6 6. You said that the following issues... (READ ITEMS RATED AS MOST IMPORTANT ABOVE) should be among the most important health care issues for the next President and Congress to address. Which ONE of these do you think should be most important? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 10% 11% 9% 10% Health care costs 5 3 7 6 Long-term care for elderly people 3 2 4 3 Prescription drugs for the elderly under Medicare 9 6 12 9 Americans losing their health insurance 9 5 13 8 Health insurance for those who can't afford it 4 3 5 4 Medicare 2 1 2 1 Medicaid 12 11 12 12 Health care for children 17 26 10 16 Waste, fraud, and abuse in government health care programs 1 1 2 1 Malpractice costs 1 1 1 1 Mental health benefits in insurance policies 25 29 22 26 No item rated most important 2 1 1 3 Don't know * * * * Refused 100 100 100 100 7 7. How familiar are you with the term "MANAGED CARE PLAN?" Do you know what this term means OR have you heard of it, but are not sure what it means, OR have you never heard the term "managed care plan" before this interview? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 27% 32% 23% 26% Know what it means 36 33 38 39 Heard of, not sure what it means 37 35 39 35 Never heard of a managed care plan 0 0 0 0 Refused 8. If in the future you and your family received your health care through a managed care plan, do you think that would be a good thing, a bad thing, or would not make much difference either way? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 11% 8% 12% 9% Good thing 19 21 17 20 Bad thing 20 25 17 21 Not much difference 37 35 39 36 Never heard of managed care plan 13 11 15 14 Don't know * * * * Refused Of Those Who Have Heard of Managed Care 17% Good thing 30 Bad thing 32 Not much difference 21 Don't know * Refused 8 9. What is the MAIN reason you feel this way? Is it your own experience with a managed care plan; what you've learned from friends and family; or what you've seen, heard, or read on television, in newspapers or other media? BASED ON THOSE WHO THINK MANAGED CARE WOULD BE A BAD THING Total Republicans Democrats Independents 33% 23% 34% 42% Own experience 25 28 17 27 From friends and family 36 43 39 28 TV, newspapers and other media 5 4 9 3 Other (SPECIFY) 1 2 1 * Don't know * * * * Refused (n=211) 10. I'm going to read you five different approaches to health care the next President might take. After I read you all five, tell me which ONE you would most like to see taken by whoever is elected President next November. The first one is (READ LIST, DO NOT ROTATE) a. A comprehensive health reform plan similar to the one President Clinton introduced a few years ago OR b. A new bill that would guarantee health insurance coverage for all Americans, and would require less government intervention than the earlier Clinton plan OR C. A new bill that would be the first step in addressing the problems of the health care system and guarantee health insurance for some -- but not all -- Americans OR d. A new bill that would make private insurance more available and affordable through insurance reforms without any government guarantees OR e. Do nothing on health care? 9 Total Republicans Democrats Independents 9% 5% 15% 6% Option A - (should remain as it is today) 44 30 55 45 Option B - - (Clinton Plan) 11 14 11 9 Option C - (Coverage for all with less government) 31 48 16 35 Option D - (Coverage for some, but not all) 2 2 2 2 Option E - (Do nothing) 1 * * 2 Other (VOL.) 2 1 4 1 Don't know * * * * Refused 11. Which ONE of the following three things do think the government should do... (READ) a. Take some action to ensure that all Americans have health insurance coverage b. Make a start by helping some groups get health insurance OR. C. Leave things they way they are now? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 60% 43% 76% 57% Option A - (Coverage for all) 24 31 16 30 Option B - - (Help some groups) 13 24 4 12 Option C - (Leave as is) * 1 * 1 Other (VOL.) 2 * 4 * Don't know 1 1 * * Refused 10 12. Medicare is the government program that provides health insurance primarily to people who are 65 and older. Do you think the recent debate about reducing future Medicare spending was MAINLY about Total Republicans Democrats Independents 31% 39% 29% 26% Preventing the Medicare program from going bankrupt 34 32 37 34 Balancing the federal budget? 20 15 24 23 Paying for a tax cut? 3 2 1 3 None of these/other (VOL.) 12 12 9 14 Don't know * * * * Refused 13. Do you think Congress should or should NOT make major reductions in future spending on Medicare to balance the federal budget? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 19% 31% 10% 16% Should 77 65 87 80 Should not 4 4 3 4 Don't know * * * * Refused 11 14. Do you think Congress should or should NOT make major reductions in future spending on Medicare to prevent the Medicare program from going bankrupt? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 37% 52% 32% 33% Should 54 41 60 56 Should not 9 7 7 10 Don't know * * 1 1 Refused 15. Now I'm going to read you two statements about the future of the Medicare program. After I read both statements, please tell me which one comes closer to your own view. The first one is (READ) a. Medicare should remain as it is today, with a defined set of benefits for people over 65 and the government providing them with a single insurance card. OR b. Medicare should be changed so that people over 65 would receive a check or voucher from the government each year for a fixed amount they can use to shop for their own private health insurance policy Total 65 years+ Republicans Democrats Independents 64% 86% 50% 72% 70% Option A - (should remain as it is today) 32 12 48 26 26 Option B - (should be changed) 3 2 2 2 3 Don't know 1 * * * 1 Refused 12 16. What about the idea of giving people over 65 the VOLUNTARY choice of receiving a check for a fixed amount each year instead of current Medicare benefits? Would you prefer this change over keeping Medicare as it is today, or not? Total 65 Republicans Democrats Independents years+ 13% 7% 8% 15% 16% Prefer voluntary voucher 32 12 48 26 26 Prefer voucher system in Q23 49 76 41 54 53 Keep Medicare as is 5 5 2 5 4 Don't know 1 * 1 * 1 Refused 17. Would you still feel this way if you knew that it might increase costs for those who chose to stay in traditional Medicare? Total 65 years+ Republicans Democrats Independents 21% 13% 32% 16% 20% Favor change despite cost issue 19 3 20 18 18 Would no longer favor 49 76 41 54 53 Do not favor charge 10 8 7 11 9 Don't know 1 * * 1 * Refused 13 18. Currently, the federal and state governments share the responsibility for Medicaid, the program which provides health and nursing home benefits for the poor, low-income elderly, and disabled. In general, do you favor or oppose proposals to turn over the responsibility for Medicaid to the states? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 47% 63% 34% 47% Favor 43 30 55 41 Oppose 10 7 11 12 Don't know * * * * Refused 19. Would you still feel this way if you knew that each state would be given only a fixed amount of federal dollars along with the flexibility to decide how to spend it? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 29% 48% 16% 30% Yes, would still favor 14 12 15 13 No, would change my mind 43 30 55 41 Don't favor state run Medicaid 14 10 14 16 Don't know * * * * Refused 20. Would you be willing to see the federal government spend more to provide long-term care for the elderly, even if it means you would have to pay more in taxes? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 68% 54% 77% 70% Yes, willing 28 42 19 27 No, not willing 4 4 4 3 Don't know * * * * Refused 14 21. Would you be willing to pay more through higher health insurance premiums in order to improve mental health coverage for all Americans, or not? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 38% 29% 46% 40% Yes, willing 57 67 49 55 No, not willing 5 4 5 5 Don't know * * * * Refused 22. Compared to five years ago, do you think the cost of health care for families is a bigger problem, less of a problem, or about the same? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 73% 65% 79% 75% Bigger 1 2 1 * Less 24 31 18 23 Same 2 2 2 2 Don't know * * * * Refused 23. Compared to five years ago, do you think the problem of Americans not having health insurance is a bigger problem, less of a problem, or about the same? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 70% 57% 75% 74% Bigger 2 2 3 2 Less 26 38 20 22 Same 2 3 2 2 Don't know * * * * Refused 15 24. I'd like to ask you to think about uninsured Americans--that is, people with no health insurance at all. Would you say that more of them are.. (READ AND ROTATE) a. Employed people and people from families in which someone is employed? OR, that more of them are b. Unemployed people and people from families in which no one is employed? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 42% 41% 44% 41% Option A - (employed) 50 52 46 52 Option B - (unemployed) 8 7 10 7 Don't know * * * * Refused 25. Is it your impression that people in your community without health insurance are unable to get medical treatment, or that those uninsured people are still able to get the medical care they need from doctors and hospitals? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 30% 18% 35% 33% Unable to get care 62 76 56 60 Still able to get care 7 6 9 7 Don't know 1 * * * Refused 16 26. For which ONE of the following groups, if any, do you think we should try to provide health insurance coverage first? (READ AND ROTATE ITEMS 1-4) Total Republicans Democrats Independents 48% 53% 45% 46% Children 22 21 22 23 Working people who are currently uninsured 15 13 16 15 All low-income people 10 9 10 11 People who need long-term care 4 2 6 4 Don't know 1 1 1 1 Other (VOL.) * 1 * * None (VOL.) * * * * Refused 27. Would you be willing to pay more--either in higher health insurance premiums or higher taxes--in order to guarantee health insurance coverage for all Americans, or not? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 60% 46% 72% 63% Yes, willing 36 49 26 35 No, not willing 3 5 2 1 Don't know 1 * * 1 Refused 17 28. Some members of Congress have proposed legislation that would require health insurers to offer coverage to people who lose or change jobs -- without regard to pre-existing medical conditions -- as long as they pay their insurance premiums. Before this interview, had you heard or read about this proposal, or not? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 43% 47% 40% 44% Yes, heard of 56 52 59 56 No, not heard I I 1 * Don't know * * * * Refused 29. (READ AND ROTATE ORDER OF ARGUMENTS A AND B) ARGUMENT A: Supporters say this legislation would help protect some people who change or lose their jobs from being denied the opportunity to continue their coverage and would make insurance available to more Americans. They also say that helping to solve this problem is the federal government's responsibility. ARGUMENT B: Opponents say this legislation would raise health insurance costs for many people and would result in more people dropping their coverage. They also say the federal government should not be telling insurance companies how to run their business. After hearing these arguments, do you favor or oppose this proposed legislation, or don't you know enough about these issues to have an opinion? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 31% 31% 32% 30% Favor 12 10 9 11 Oppose 57 52 58 59 Don't know enough * * * * Refused 18 29. (Continued) Of Those Who Are Aware of Kassebaum/Kennedy 47% Yes, willing 14 No, not willing 38 Don't know 1 Refused 30. Some members of Congress have proposed legislation that would allow employers to offer their employees health insurance through a new arrangement called a Medical Savings Account. Before this interview, had you heard or read about this proposal, or not? Total Republicans Democrats Independents 30% 37% 26% 31% Yes, heard or read 69 63 73 68 No, not heard or read 1 * 1 1 Don't know * * * * Refused INTRODUCTION TO Q.31: I'm going to give you some information about how Medical Savings Accounts would work, and then ask your opinion of them Medical Savings Accounts would allow employers to purchase plans with lower premiums that would only provide coverage after the employee pays about FORM A: $2,000 a year in medical bills. FORM B: $5,000 a year in medical bills. Any savings the employer gets by offering this less expensive plan could be put into the employee's tax-free medical savings account, which could be used to help pay the first ($2,000/$5,000) in medical bills or any additional medical expenses. If it is not spent, it could be withdrawn as additional taxable income or saved to spend on next year's medical bills. 19 31. (READ AND ROTATE ORDER OF ARGUMENTS A AND B) ARGUMENT A: Supporters of Medical Savings Accounts say this will lower individuals' health care costs, because it would give individuals the incentive to spend their own money more carefully. They also say this would reduce hassle for people to go to a doctor of their own choice without getting the approval of the insurance company. ARGUMENT B: Opponents say that, because people would have to pay the first FORM A: $2,000 FORM B: $5,000 for doctor and hospital visits at the time they receive care, Medical Savings Accounts would discourage people from getting needed services and preventive care. They also say that, because healthier people are more likely to sign up for Medical Savings Accounts, this would leave sicker people paying higher premiums. After hearing these arguments, do you favor or oppose this proposed legislation to create Medical Savings Accounts, or don't you know enough about these issues to have an opinion? Form A - $2,000 (n=528) Total Republicans Democrats Independents 28% 43% 18% 25% Favor 36 30 43 38 Oppose 36 26 39 37 Don't know enough * 1 * * Refused Form B - $5,000 (n=483) Total Republicans Democrats Independents 18% 25% 10% 22% Favor 42 35 52 39 Oppose 40 40 38 39 Don't know enough 0 0 0 0 Refused 20 Of Those Who Follow the MSA Debate $2,000 $5,000 44% 33% Favor 35 42 Oppose 21 25 Don't know enough * * Refused 32. If you were given a choice, how likely would you be to choose the Medical Savings Accounts option for your health insurance coverage? (READ) Form A - $2,000 (n=528) Total Republicans Democrats Independents 21% 28% 15% 18% Very likely 22 22 21 23 Somewhat likely 20 25 23 14 Not too likely 32 24 34 40 Not at all likely 4 2 5 5 Don't know 1 * 2 * Refused Form B - $5,000 (n=483) Total Republicans Democrats Independents 12% 19% 9% 11% Very likely 25 28 22 26 Somewhat likely 22 25 25 18 Not too likely 37 25 42 41 Not at all likely 4 3 2 4 Don't know * * * * Refused THE HENRY KAISER THE KAISER-HARVARD PROGRAM ON FAMILY FOUNDATION THE PUBLIC AND HEALTH/SOCIAL POLICY HARVARD UNIVERSITY: ROBERT ). BLENDON, ScD DIRECTOR PROFESSOR OF HEALTH POLICY AND EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE UNTIL: Contacts: Matt James POLITICAL ANALYSIS, SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH AND KENNEDY SCHOOL OF GOVERNMENT, 9:30 a.m. E.T., Tuesday, July 30, 1996 or Tina Hoff, HARVARD UNIVERSITY (415) 854-9400 JOHN BENSON DEPUTY DIRECTOR KAISER FAMILY FOUNDATION: DREW E. ALTMAN, PHD PUBLIC NOT FOLLOWING BATTLES IN WASHINGTON PRESIDENT. KAISER FAMILY FOUNDATION OVER KASSEBAUM/KENNEDY AND MEDICAL SAVINGS ACCOUNTS MATT JAMES, VICE PRESIDENT OF COMMUNICATIONS AND MEDIA PROGRAMS, KAISER FAMILY FOUNDATION Most Say Don't Know Enough To Express An Opinion; Those Who Do, Favor Insurance Reform and Are More Negative Toward MSAs Most Americans Oppose Changes in Medicare, Even to Save Program from Bankruptcy Washington, D.C. -- While Congress wrestles with health insurance reforms and medical savings accounts (MSAs), most Americans say they have neither read nor heard about these debates. Even after being read descriptions of the proposals, many say they don't know enough to form an opinion, according to a new national survey. Those who offer an opinion regarding insurance reforms are favorable, while those with an opinion on MSAs tend to be more negative with the size of the MSA deductible affecting the levels of support and opposition. After the extended debate of the last year, Americans are more likely to have opinions about Medicare and Medicaid. The public is resistant to major spending reductions in the Medicare program, even to prevent it from going bankrupt. Americans are split over whether responsibility for Medicaid should be turned over to the states, but the majority of the public opposes a Medicaid block grant when they learn that along with more flexibility states would also get a fixed amount of federal money. After a considerable lapse in public interest following the demise of the health reform debate, health appears to be rising again on the list of issues people say they are concerned about. Health care in general (excluding Medicare) ranked third, behind concerns about the economy and candidate characteristics among issues that people say would influence their vote in the upcoming presidential election. In addition, Medicare was tied for seventh. The vast majority of Americans believe that health care costs and the uninsured are bigger problems today than five years ago. And, a plurality believe that the health care system is getting worse. These findings are from the latest survey designed to monitor public knowledge, opinions, and beliefs on health and health-related issues conducted by the Kaiser-Harvard Program on the Public and Health/Social Policy. The survey was designed by the Kaiser Family Foundation, Harvard University, and Princeton Survey Research Associates (PSRA), and conducted by PSRA. more -- A JOINT PROGRAM OF THE HENRY J. KAISER FAMILY FOUNDATION AND HARVARD UNIVERSITY KAISER FAMILY FOUNDATION: 2400 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK, CA 94025 415 854-9400 FAX 415 854-4800 HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH: 677 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, BOSTON, MA 02115 617 432 4502 FAX 617 432-0092 When asked if they would choose an MSA if they had a choice, 21 percent of Americans say they would be very likely to choose an MSA with a $2,000 deductible and 22 percent say they would be somewhat likely to choose an MSA at this level of deductible. Only 12 percent would be very likely to choose an MSA with a $5,000 deductible and 25 percent would be somewhat likely. Only a minority of Americans (30 percent) say they have followed the debate over MSAs, but they are more favorable than the general public toward the proposal -- 44 percent favor a MSA that would provide coverage after an employee pays $2,000 in medical bills, while one-third (35 percent) oppose it. For a MSA with a $5,000 deductible, support among those following the debate falls to 34 percent and opposition rises to 42 percent. Medicare In the war of words over the future of the Medicare program, much has been staked on whether the debate is about the future solvency of the program, balancing the Federal budget, or tax cuts. When asked what they believe the debate over Medicare is about, the public is divided with 34 percent saying that the debate is about balancing the federal budget, 31 percent to save the program from bankruptcy, and 20 percent to pay for a tax cut. Regardless of the rationale offered, however, there is little support for altering the present system. A majority of Americans believe Congress should not make major reductions in future spending on Medicare, even to head off insolvency (54 percent). Changes to the Medicare system draw even less support when the objective is balancing the budget (77 percent oppose). Likewise, the public has not entirely warmed up to a defined contribution or voucher plan for Medicare: only 32 percent favor mandatory vouchers that would be used to purchase private health insurance, while 64 percent favor keeping Medicare as it is today. Attitudes towards a voluntary voucher are more mixed with slightly more Americans opposing a voluntary voucher system (49 percent) than favoring it (45 percent). Support for a voluntary voucher drops to (21 percent) if told that such a program might increase costs to those who remain in the traditional Medicare program, a criticism some made of voucher plans. Among those 65 years and older, only 19% support a voluntary voucher plan. Among Americans who say health care or Medicare will influence their vote in the 1996 election (14 percent of the general public), almost nine out of ten (89 percent) oppose major reductions in Medicare spending to balance the federal budget. Twenty-two percent of Americans 65 years and older say health care or Medicare is one of the top two issues which will influence their vote. Medicaid Americans are split on whether they think responsibility for Medicaid should be turned over to the states with 47 favoring state control and 43 percent opposing it. However, support for state control drops to 29 percent and opposition rises to 57 percent when the public is informed that in addition to being given flexibility in running Medicaid, each state would be given a fixed amount of Federal dollars under a block grant. 3 Health care for children, 12 percent; Health care costs, 10 percent; Americans losing their health insurance, 9 percent; and Health insurance for those who can't afford it, 9 percent. In a period when the public is very resistant to discussions of tax increases, the majority of the public (60 percent) say they are willing to pay higher taxes or insurance premiums to guarantee health insurance coverage to more people. At the same time, however, the public ranked rising taxes among their top overall concerns. The public expressed support for action on long-term care, with 68 percent saying they would be willing to pay more in taxes to help provide such care to the elderly. Thirty-eight percent say they would be willing to pay more to improve mental health coverage for all Americans. Methodology The Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA survey was conducted by telephone with 1,011 adults nationwide between June 20 and July 9, 1996. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percent. The Kaiser Family Foundation, based in Menlo Park, California, is a non-profit, independent national health care philanthropy and is not associated with Kaiser Permanente or Kaiser Industries. The Foundation's work is focused on four main areas: health policy, reproductive health, HIV, and health and development in South Africa. Copies of the actual questionnaire and national top line data for the findings reported in this release (#1166) are available by calling the Kaiser Family Foundation's publication request line at 1-800-656-4533. 5 CHART PACK THE KAISER-HARVARD PROGRAM ON THE PUBLIC AND HEALTH/SOCIAL POLICY Survey of Americans on Health Policy July 30, 1996 Conducted for the Foundation by Princeton Survey Research Associates CALIFORNIA OFFICE: 2400 Sand Hill Road, Menlo Park, California 94025 (415) 854-9400 FAX (415) 854-4800 WASHINGTON OFFICE: 1450 G Street, NW, Suite 250, Washington, DC 20005 (202) 347-5270 FAX (202) 347-5274 FIGURE 1 PUBLIC DOES NOT THINK DEBATE OVER MEDICARE IS ABOUT PREVENTING BANKRUPTCY PERCENT WHO SAID DEBATE WAS MAINLY ABOUT BALANCING THE 34% FEDERAL BUDGET PREVENTING MEDICARE FROM 31% GOING BANKRUPT 20% PAYING FOR A TAX CUT 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 2 AMERICANS OPPOSE MAJOR REDUCTIONS IN FUTURE SPENDING ON MEDICARE PERCENT WHO SAY CONGRESS SHOULD NOT MAKE REDUCTIONS TO BALANCE THE 77% FEDERAL BUDGET PREVENT MEDICARE PROGRAM FROM 54% GOING BANKRUPT 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 3 PUBLIC OPPOSED TO MANDATORY VOUCHERS FOR MEDICARE PROGRAM, MIXED ON VOLUNTARY VOUCHERS 100% OPPOSE FAVOR 80% 64% 60% 49% 45% 32% 40% 20% 0% MANDATORY VOUCHER VOLUNTARY VOUCHER Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 4 AMERICANS SPLIT ON TURNING OVER RESPONSIBILITY FOR MEDICAID TO THE STATES 47% FAVOR 43% OPPOSE 10% DON'T KNOW 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 5 WHEN CAP OF FEDERAL DOLLARS EXPLAINED, AMERICANS OPPOSE TURNING MEDICAID OVER TO STATES 57% OPPOSE 29% FAVOR 14% DON'T KNOW 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 6 MEDICAID VIEWED FAVORABLY BY MANY AMERICANS PERCENT VIEW PERCENT VIEW POSITIVELY NEGATIVELY MEDICARE 50% 22% HEALTH CARE REFORM 47% 28% MEDICAID 42% 25% FOR-PROFIT HEALTH 24% 23% MANAGED CARE 24% 21% WELFARE 24% 57% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 7 MOST AMERICANS HAVE NOT FORMED AN OPINION ON THE KASSEBAUM / KENNEDY BILL 31% FAVOR 12% OPPOSE 57% DON'T KNOW ENOUGH TO HAVE AN OPINION 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 8 MORE AMERICANS OPPOSE THAN FAVOR MEDICAL SAVINGS ACCOUNTS, ALTHOUGH SIZE OF DEDUCTIBLE MATTERS 100% FAVOR OPPOSE 80% DON'T KNOW ENOUGH 60% 42% 40% 36% 36% 40% 28% 18% 20% 0% $2,000 DEDUCTIBLE $5,000 DEDUCTIBLE Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 9 AMERICANS' PERSONAL INTEREST IN CHOOSING A MEDICAL SAVINGS ACCOUNT 100% VERY LIKELY SOMEWHAT LIKELY 80% NOT TOO LIKELY NOT AT ALL LIKELY 60% 37% 32% 40% 25% 21% 22% 20% 22% 13% 20% 0% $2,000 DEDUCTIBLE $5,000 DEDUCTIBLE Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 10 AMERICANS THINK HEALTH CARE PROBLEMS GETTING WORSE PERCENT WHO SAY HEALTH COSTS FOR FAMILIES BIGGER 73% PROBLEM NOW THAN 5 YEARS AGO AMERICANS NOT HAVING HEALTH INSURANCE BIGGER 70% PROBLEM NOW THAN 5 YEARS AGO HEALTH CARE SYSTEM IS GETTING 49% WORSE 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 11 MOST IMPORTANT ELECTION ISSUES ECONOMY / JOBS 14% CANDIDATES' 11% CHARACTERISTICS HEALTH CARE 10% (Excluding Medicare) Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 12 AMONG AMERICANS WHO SAY HEALTH CARE IS A VOTING ISSUE, MEDICARE IS THE TOP CONCERN MEDICARE 25% HEALTH CARE COSTS 18% HEALTH CARE AVAILABILITY / ACCESS / 17% UNIVERSAL COVERAGE HEALTH CARE FOR CHILDREN 7% GOVERNMENT INTERFERENCE 6% Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 13 DIFFERENCES BETWEEN REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS ON MAJOR HEALTH POLICY ISSUES 63% FAVOR TURNING MEDICAID OVER TO STATES 34% CONGRESS SHOULD REDUCE 52% MEDICARE SPENDING TO PREVENT PROGRAM FROM 32% BANKRUPTCY 48% FAVOR MANDATORY VOUCHERS FOR MEDICARE 26% 43% FAVOR MSAs WITH $2,000 REPUBLICANS DEDUCTIBLE 18% DEMOCRATS 25% FAVOR MSAs WITH $5,000 DEDUCTIBLE 10% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 14 WOMEN MORE LIKELY TO RANK HEALTH CARE AMONG THEIR TOP VOTING ISSUES MEN WOMEN 1 ECONOMY / JOBS (18%) 1 HEALTH CARE (13%) (Excl. Medicare) 2 CANDIDATE 2 ECONOMY / JOBS (11%) CHARACTERISTICS (13%) 3 DEFICIT / GOVT. SPENDING 3(t) ABORTION (9%) (9%) 4 TAXES (8%) 3(t) CANDIDATE CHARACTERISTICS (9%) 5 HEALTH CARE (7%) 5 TAXES (7%) (Excl. Medicare) Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Sruvey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 15 WOMEN MORE LIKELY TO THINK HEALTH SYSTEM IS GETTING WORSE PERCENT WHO SAY HEALTH CARE SYSTEM IS GETTING 53% WORSE 45% 9% WOMEN MEN BETTER 16% 34% SAME 34% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 16 FEW AMERICANS KNOW WHAT THE TERM "MANAGED CARE PLAN" MEANS 37% NEVER HEARD TERM 36% HEARD OF TERM, BUT NOT SURE OF MEANING 27% KNOW WHAT TERM MEANS 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 17 AMERICANS HAVE MIXED FEELINGS TOWARD MANAGED CARE PERCENT OF THOSE WHO HAVE HEARD OF MANAGED CARE PERCENT OF ALL AMERICANS NEVER HEARD OF NO DIFFERENCE MANAGED CARE 32% 37% GOOD THING GOOD THING 17% 11% NOT MUCH DIFFERENCE 20% BAD THING DON'T KNOW 30% 13% DON'T KNOW 21% BAD THING 19% Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996. FIGURE 18 WHAT INFLUENCES NEGATIVE VIEWS ON MANAGED CARE? QUESTION: WHAT IS THE MAIN REASON YOU SAID MANAGED CARE WOULD BE A BAD THING FOR YOU AND YOUR FAMILY? 36% TV, NEWS PRESS, OTHER MEDIA 33% OWN EXPERIENCE 25% LEARNED FROM FRIENDS AND FAMILY 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Source: Kaiser/Harvard/PSRA Survey of Americans on Health Policy, July 1996.