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FOIA Number: 2013-0306-F
FOIA
MARKER
This is not a textual record. This is used as an
administrative marker by the William J. Clinton
Presidential Library Staff.
Collection/Record Group:
Clinton Presidential Records
Subgroup/Office of Origin:
Political Affairs
Series/Staff Member:
Craig Hughes
Subseries:
OA/ID Number:
14933
FolderID:
Folder Title:
Labor - AFL-CIO: [Voter Turn Out Plans] [loose]
Stack:
Row:
Section:
Shelf:
Position:
S
28
3
7
2
Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet
Clinton Library
DOCUMENT NO.
SUBJECT/TITLE
DATE
RESTRICTION
AND TYPE
001. memo
Political (Partial) (4 pages)
10/09/1998
b(6)
002. lettters
re: Campaign (5 pages)
1998
Personal Misfile
003. list
re: DNC state voter turnout programs (19 pages)
10/09/1998
Personal Misfile
004. memo
Political (Partial) (1 page)
10/09/1998
b(6)
005. list
re: Campaign (4 pages)
10/1998
Personal Misfile
COLLECTION:
Clinton Presidential Records
Political Affairs
Craig Hughes
OA/Box Number: 14933
FOLDER TITLE:
Labor - AFL-CIO : [Voter Turn Out Plans] [loose]
2013-0306-F
1243
RESTRICTION CODES
Presidential Records Act - |44 U.S.C. 2204(a)]
Freedom of Information Act - 15 U.S.C. 552(b)]
PI National Security Classified Information |(a)(1) of the PRA|
b(1) National security classified information |(b)(1) of the FOIA]
P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA
b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of
P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRAJ
an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA]
P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or
b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute |(b)(3) of the FOIA)
financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA]
b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial
P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President
information [(b)(4) of the FOIA]
and his advisors, or between such advisors |a)(5) of the PRA
b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
personal privacy |(b)(6) of the FOIA]
personal privacy |(a)(6) of the PRA]
b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement
purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA]
C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed
b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of
of gift.
financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA]
PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C.
b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information
2201(3).
concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA]
RR. Document will be reviewed upon request.
Withdrawal/Redaction Marker
Clinton Library
DOCUMENT NO.
SUBJECT/TITLE
DATE
RESTRICTION
AND TYPE
001. memo
Political (Partial) (4 pages)
10/09/1998
b(6)
COLLECTION:
Clinton Presidential Records
Political Affairs
Craig Hughes
OA/Box Number: 14933
FOLDER TITLE:
Labor - AFL-CIO : [Voter Turn Out Plans] [loose]
2013-0306-F
jm1243
RESTRICTION CODES
Presidential Records Act - |44 U.S.C. 2204(a)]
Freedom of Information Act 15 U.S.C. 552(b)]
P1 National Security Classified Information |(a)(1) of the PRA]
h(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA]
P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA|
b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of
P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRAJ
an agency |(b)(2) of the FOIA]
P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or
h(3) Release would violate a Federal statute |(b)(3) of the FOIA]
financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA]
b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial
P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President
information |(b)(4) of the FOIA]
and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA|
b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA]
personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA]
h(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement
purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA]
C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed
b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of
of gift.
financial institutions |(b)(8) of the FOIA]
PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C.
b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information
2201(3).
concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA]
RR. Document will be reviewed upon request.
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
October 9, 1998
MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT
FROM
Craig Smith
Karen A. Tramontano
SUBJECT
Voter Turn Out Plans
Outlined below is a summary of the voter turnout plans for several key organizations and
[001]
(b)(6)
Also listed are some of the activities we are recommending to you and the First Lady
for consideration.
AFL-CIO and State Federations
During the past month the AFL-CIO has been on the air with issue ads. For two weeks in
September they ran ads in support of the Patient's Bill of Rights. For the past three weeks they
have been running ads to save social security first. A copy of their targets, polling and the social
security ad are enclosed.
The AFL's voter turn out campaign is different than their media campaign in the previous
cycle. This year they are focused on the ground war. Their plan has seven elements.
They have more than doubled the number of AFL campaign staff deployed on the ground
from 150 last cycle to 325 this cycle. (This number does not include staff deployed by
other International unions).
Based on researching their literature they have set up a "war room" that focuses on
cranking out fliers and other "comparison" literature for distribution to their members.
Additionally, this literature is more effective if it is provided to members by their local
union, so they are expanding this flyer operation to large local unions in each state. The
"tag-line" message contained in each piece is "You're more powerful than you think.
Vote. Send politicians a message to get back to work. This message has tested very
well with their members.
They will distribute approximately 5 million buttons and bumper stickers through locals
unions to work sites and neighborhoods that say "I'm voting" to create an environment to
encourage their members to vote.
They will operate a massive phone bank and mail operation in 45 House, 8 Senate and 10
gubernatorial races. In each Congressional race they will make a minimum of 35,000
calls and mail at least 3 pieces to their members. This element of the plan will cost the
AFL approximately 4-5 million. Additionally, the AFL has asked each state affiliate to
operate phone banks and walk high voter turnout precincts. Each of the top 10 affiliates
will be operating phone banks in key races and Sweeney has asked each to mail at least 3
pieces to their members.
Every International has been asked to clear out its union headquarters for election day for
GOTV. They have prioritized the highest voter precincts in the nation for turn-out
activities.
The AFL and AFSCME will contribute 2.1 million to non-partisan voter turnout
programs like A. Phillip Randolph Institute, Black Voter Participation and Latino Vote
principally focused on African-American and Latino voters. These non-partisan efforts
are focused in 30 Congressional District and include store fronts, vans, phones and
church efforts.
The AFL both through the coordinated campaign and on its own will buy radio to
increase voter turn-out in African-American and Latino communities.
The AFL estimates that it will spend approximately 14 million on the ground. They will make
approximately 6.5 million phone calls and mail roughly 10 million pieces.
(b)(6)
Although the AFL could not endorse in the Senate races in New York and Arkansas they
(b)(6)
(b)(6)
They are also contributing to non-partisan voter turnout campaigns for African-
American and Hispanic voters in both states.
The AFL-CIO Executive Committee is meeting next week to finalize these plans. Last
week, the AFL's Political Committee met and Sweeney asked the International Presidents to
increase their contribution to the Committees. His goal is to add an additional 2 million to the
Committees.
National Education Association
In past years unless there were several races that were competitive, the National
Education Association stayed out of jurisdictions with only one race and relied on its state
affiliate to implement voter turnout plans. The results generally were mixed.
This year with voter turnout essential, the NEA is conducting a voter turnout operation in
every state for key races. The voter turnout plan is designed for the key race(s) in each state up
and down the ticket. Each voter turnout plan involves direct mail, multi-call phone banks and
staff deployment from national, state and local levels.
The following represents NEA priorities:
1. Re-electing democrats that have marginal races;
2. Electing democrats to open seats;
3. Supporting challengers.
In the past NEA has prioritized resources to support #3 and #2 respectively, this year they
are prioritizing resources in the order outlined above. Their mail campaign focuses on education
issues that directly relate to children. NEA spent significant time and money to research, focus
group and mall test their mail. Mail will be followed-up with phone banking to identify,
persuade and GOTV.
(b)(6)
The NEA estimates that its affiliates and the national office will spend roughly 3 -5
million on this GOTV effort.
EMILY'S LIST
EMILY'S List Women Vote! campaign will target 2 million non-college women voters
age 30 to 49 who are critical to the election. Their voter turnout campaign involves a letter from
the First Lady, followed-up by phones and 2 to 4 over-sized post cards. A copy of the material is
attached.
Women Vote! will be in the following specific races::
(b)(6)
(b)(6)
ADMINISTRATION ACTIVITIES
In addition to the Cabinet's activities and surrogate travel, we will be recommending the
following:
Teleconference Calls:
We will be recommending that you and/or the First Lady host conference calls with
various constituencies to discuss the important issues at stake in this year's election. For
example, we are recommending that you host a conference call with the AFL-CIO's Executive
Council and the State Federation Presidents to discuss the issues that are important to working
men and women. (See Attached)
Speciality Print Outreach:
We will be recommending that you and/or the First Lady use letters to the editors, guest
editorials and other vehicles to specialty press urging people to vote in the November election.
Radio Actualities:
A number of candidates and supporting organizations have asked that you and/or the First
Lady tape radio spots for voter turn out. Attached is a preliminary list of requests.
Specialty Electronic Media:
The Press Office is developing a list of Television and Radio programs in the African-
American and Latino communities that will feature you and/or the First Lady to encourage those
communities to vote in the upcoming election.
Social Security Ads are running in the following House districts as of 10/2/98:
Mike Crapo
ID-02
TV
Jim Leach
IA-01
TV
Jim Nussle
IA-02
TV
Vince Snowbarger
KS-03
TV
Anne Northup
KY-03
TV
Jim Bunning
KY-04
TV
Nick Smith
MI-07
TV
Mike Parker
MS-04
TV
Pat Danner
MO-06
TV
John Ensign
NV-01
Radio
Bill Redmond
NM-03
TV
Steve Chabot
OH-01
TV
Virgil Goode
VA-05
TV
Rick White
WA-01
TV
Scott Klug
WI-02
TV
1724 Connecticut Avenue, N.W.
Peter D. Hart Research Associates, Inc.
Washington, D.C. 20009
202-234-5570
202-232-8134:FAX-
MEMORANDUM
TO:
Interested Parties
FROM:
Geoffrey Garin and Guy Molyneux
DATE:
September 21, 1998
SUBJECT: The Budget Surplus Debate
Recent survey and focus group results suggest that congressional Republicans'
proposal to use $80 billion of the federal budget surplus for election-year tax cuts
is badly out of step with the American public's current priorities. Those who
oppose such tax cuts as being fiscally irresponsible and a threat to Social
Security will enjoy the high ground in this debate. This memo reviews the key
opinion data.
1. Saving Social Security is a higher priority than tax cuts.
Surveys exploring the public's priorities for the budget surplus consistently find
that voters attach much higher priority to strengthening Social Security than to
funding tax cuts. In the September NBC News/Wall St. Journal poll, just 26%
say the surplus should be used for tax cuts, vs. 43% who say Social Security is
their top priority and another 22% who feel retiring the national debt comes first
(among voters age 50 and over, Social Security is selected over taxes by 51% to
20%). Given a two-way choice, people select Social Security over tax cuts by a
decisive 69% to 24% margin, even as a 63% majority rejects the notion that the
surplus is big enough both to provide tax cuts and save Social Security (July). In
addition, a survey we recently completed in a Republican-leaning state found
two-to-one support for delaying any "tax cut for married couples, farmers, and
seniors.... until the long-term soundness of Social Security is guaranteed."
In recent focus group discussions with swing voters convened for the AFL-CIO,
participants were surprisingly uninterested in new federal tax cuts. These swing
voters dismissed tax reductions as meaning at best a few extra dollars in their
paycheck, and feit it was premature - if not irresponsible - for Congress to start
spending projected surpluses. Cutting taxes in an election year was viewed with
1
particular skepticism, revealing political motivations inconsistent with the good of
the country.
2. Informing voters that the tax cuts amount to "taking funds from the
Social Security trust fund" (because the overall budget surplus derives
largely from Social Security surpluses) makes opposition nearly universal.
After discussing the possible tradeoffs between Social Security and tax cuts,
focus group participants were read an argument stating that the budget surplus
actually comes from surpluses in the Social Security trust fund. For voters age
50 and over, this clinched the argument - no one thought it was acceptable to
use Social Security surpluses to fund tax cuts. Younger voters did not respond
as strongly, but only because they doubted that Social Security was truly running
a surplus, not because they approved of using Social Security funds for tax cuts.
A recent Hart Research survey provides further confirmation of the power of this
argument. First, the public believes that Congress has a history of using the
trust fund for other purposes and identifies this practice as the greatest cause of
the system's troubles, so the assertion that these tax cuts come from Social
Security will be immediately plausible to most voters. Secondly, fully 96% agree
- 91% strongly so - that "Congress should protect the Social Security trust fund,
making sure that it is spent only for Social Security and not for other purposes"
(7/98 survey for National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare).
3. Social Security is a top voting issue this year, and one where the public
trusts Democrats more than Republicans.
The September NBC News/Wall St Journal survey finds that Social Security is
at the top of voters' list of issues that will determine their votes in November's
congressional elections. Social Security is named as one of the top two issues
by 44% of voters, twice the proportion that select reducing taxes (22%) and in a
statistical tie for first with education (42%). Social Security is clearly the #1 issue
for voters age 50 to 64 (50%) and seniors (61%). The public also has more faith
in Democrats than Republicans to deal with Social Security, giving Democrats a
16-point lead on the issue.
In sum, there is every reason to think that political leaders who make a strong
argument against the Republican leadership's $80 billion election year tax cut,
and place themselves clearly on the side of fiscal responsibility and saving Social
Security, will find themselves receiving strong support from the American public.
2
TOTAL P.03
Withdrawal/Redaction Marker
Clinton Library
DOCUMENT NO.
SUBJECT/TITLE
DATE
RESTRICTION
AND TYPE
002. lettters
re: Campaign (5 pages)
1998
Personal Misfile
COLLECTION:
Clinton Presidential Records
Political Affairs
Craig Hughes
OA/Box Number: 14933
FOLDER TITLE:
Labor - AFL-CIO : [Voter Turn Out Plans] [loose]
2013-0306-F
jm1243
RESTRICTION CODES
Presidential Records Act - 144 U.S.C. 2204(a)]
Freedom of Information Act - 15 U.S.C. 552(b)]
P1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA]
b(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA]
P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office |(a)(2) of the PRA
b(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of
P3 Release would violate a Federal statute |(a)(3) of the PRA]
an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA]
P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or
h(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA]
financial information |(a)(4) of the PRA]
b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial
P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President
information |(b)(4) of the FOIA]
and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRAJ
b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA]
personal privacy |(a)(6) of the PRA]
b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement
purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA]
C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed
b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of
of gift.
financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA]
PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C.
h(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information
2201(3).
concerning wells |(b)(9) of the FOIA]
RR. Document will be reviewed upon request.
Withdrawal/Redaction Marker
Clinton Library
DOCUMENT NO.
SUBJECT/TITLE
DATE
RESTRICTION
AND TYPE
003. list
re: DNC state voter turnout programs (19 pages)
10/09/1998
Personal Misfile
COLLECTION:
Clinton Presidential Records
Political Affairs
Craig Hughes
OA/Box Number: 14933
FOLDER TITLE:
Labor - AFL-CIO : [Voter Turn Out Plans] [loose]
2013-0306-F
jm1243
RESTRICTION CODES
Presidential Records Act 144 U.S.C. 2204(a)]
Freedom of Information Act - 15 U.S.C. 552(b)]
P1 National Security Classified Information |(a)(1) of the PRA]
b(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA]
P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA
h(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of
P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA]
an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA]
P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or
b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA]
financial information [(a)(4) of the PRAJ
h(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial
P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President
information |(b)(4) of the FOIA]
and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA]
b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA]
personal privacy |(a)(6) of the PRAJ
h(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement
purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA]
C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed
b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of
of gift.
financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA]
PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C.
h(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information
2201(3).
concerning wells |(b)(9) of the FOIA]
RR. Document will be reviewed upon request.
Withdrawal/Redaction Marker
Clinton Library
DOCUMENT NO.
SUBJECT/TITLE
DATE
RESTRICTION
AND TYPE
004. memo
Political (Partial) (1 page)
10/09/1998
b(6)
COLLECTION:
Clinton Presidential Records
Political Affairs
Craig Hughes
OA/Box Number: 14933
FOLDER TITLE:
Labor - AFL-CIO : [Voter Turn Out Plans] [loose]
2013-0306-F
jm 11243
RESTRICTION CODES
Presidential Records Act 144 U.S.C. 2204(a)]
Freedom of Information Act - 15 U.S.C. 552(b)]
PI National Security Classified Information |(a)(1) of the PRA]
b(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA|
P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office |(a)(2) of the PRA]
h(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of
P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA
an agency |(b)(2) of the FOIA]
P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or
h(3) Release would violate a Federal statute |(b)(3) of the FOIA]
financial information |(a)(4) of the PRA]
b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial
P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President
information |(b)(4) of the FOIA]
and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA
b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
personal privacy [(h)(6) of the FOIA]
personal privacy |(a)(6) of the PRA
b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement
purposes |(b)(7) of the FOIA]
C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed
b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of
of gift.
financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA]
PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C.
b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information
2201(3).
concerning wells |(b)(9) of the FOIA]
RR. Document will be reviewed upon request.
MEMORANDUM
TO:
Karen Tramontano
CC:
Craig Smith
FROM:
Karen Skelton
DATE:
October 9, 1998
RE:
Principal Conference Calls
The following are the requests I have received for conference calls with the principals.
Call
Quantity
Staff Contact
Principal
AFL-CIO
78
Karen Tramontano
POTUS
(with their state feds)
NEA
80
Karen Tramontano
POTUS
(with their state affiliates)
Local Officials
16
Lynn Cutler
FLOTUS
Women Electeds
67
Lynn Cutler
POTUS
New York County Chairs
100
Craig Hughes
POTUS
plus Manhattan Borough Presidents
Latino California
100
Cynthia Jasso-Rotunno
POTUS
(electeds, celebrities, grassroots)
Latino NM, IL, NY, AZ, NV-01
100
Cynthia Jasso-Rotunno
FLOTUS
(electeds)
Texas Electeds
100
Cynthia Jasso-Rotunno
FLOTUS
(b)(6)
[ 004] [
Withdrawal/Redaction Marker
Clinton Library
DOCUMENT NO.
SUBJECT/TITLE
DATE
RESTRICTION
AND TYPE
005. list
re: Campaign (4 pages)
10/1998
Personal Misfile
COLLECTION:
Clinton Presidential Records
Political Affairs
Craig Hughes
OA/Box Number: 14933
FOLDER TITLE:
Labor AFL-CIO [Voter Turn Out Plans] [loose]
2013-0306-F
jm1243
RESTRICTION CODES
Presidential Records Act - 144 U.S.C. 2204(a)]
Freedom of Information Act - 15 U.S.C. 552(b)]
PI National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA]
b(1) National security classified information |(b)(1) of the FOIA]
P2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA]
h(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of
P3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA]
an agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA]
P4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or
b(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA]
financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA]
b(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial
P5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President
information [(b)(4) of the FOIA]
and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA|
b(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
P6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of
personal privacy |(b)(6) of the FOIA]
personal privacy |(a)(6) of the PRA]
b(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement
purposes |(b)(7) of the FOIA]
C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed
b(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of
of gift.
financial institutions |(b)(8) of the FOIA]
PRM. Personal record misfile defined in accordance with 44 U.S.C.
b(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information
2201(3).
concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA]
RR. Document will be reviewed upon request.