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FOIA Number: 2017-1094-F
FOIA
MARKER
This is not a textual record. This is used as an
administrative marker by the William J. Clinton
Presidential Library Staff.
Collection/Record Group:
Clinton Presidential Records
Subgroup/Office of Origin:
WH Task Force on Climate Change
Series/Staff Member:
Roger Ballentine; Paul Bledsoe; Julie Anderson
Subseries:
OA/ID Number:
41302
FolderID:
Folder Title:
Clean Coal [1]
Stack:
Row:
Section:
Shelf:
Position:
S
100
3
10
3
COAL
UTILIZATION
ESEARCH
COUNCIL
Chairman
February 12, 1999
James Markowsky. PhD
Executive 1100 Prever nl
Power Generation
American Electric Power
Treasurer
Marshall Mazer
Julie Anderson
(i) Wilcons
Director of Congressional Relations
Executive Director
White House Climate Change Task Force
Pxin Yanggala
734 Jackson Place, NW
Washington, D.C. 20503
Dear Julie:
Thank you for taking the time to meet with CURC representatives on
Wednesday. The members of CURC have invested a great deal of time and
effort to define ways that government and industry might work together to insure
the development of technologies that will dramatically improve the conversion
or combustion of coal to useful energy.
We appreciate your interest with our current and future plans to ensure that coal
remains a viable energy resource in the marketplace and, we would welcome any
further input or advice you might have regarding our initiatives to insure that coal
remains a viable energy resource in the U.S. and abroad.
Thank you again for taking the time to meet with us. We look forward to
continuing dialogue with your offices about these matters.
Sincerely,
B
Ben Yamagata
Executive Director
watter
1050 Thomas Jefferson St., NW
John
-
Suite 700
Washington, DC 20007
314-342-7560
(202) 298-1850
(202) 338-2416 FAX
[email protected]
Clean Coal Technology
Budget and Tax Incentives Meeting
February 10, 1999
SC-4 The Capitol
2:00 - 3:30 p.m.
I. Welcome & Introductions
Franz Wuerfmannsdobler
Office of Senator Byrd
II. FY 2000 R&D budget & incentives package for coal
Todd Stern - White House &
Bob Kripowicz - DOE
III. Energy challenges & fuel diversity
Charles Goodman
Southern Company
IV. CURC's R&D Roadmap
Ben Yamagata
-- Industry reaction to DOE's initiatives
CURC
V. Incentives for early commercial application of CCT
John Wootten
-- CCT tax incentives
Peabody Group
-- Revenue requirements
-- International options
-- Carbon sequestration potential
VI. Q & A / Discussion
Franz Wuerfmannsdobler
Office of Senator Byrd
VII. Future activities
All
15-Year Levelized Cost of Electricity for
Coal Fired V. Gas Fired Power Technologies
45
2nd Gen Adv Coal
800 - 1,000 $/kWh
7,500 Btu/kWh
15-yr Levelized COE, mills/kWh (constant '97$)
40
3rd Gen Adv Coal
1st Gen Adv Coal
800 $/kW
35
900 - 1,300 $/kW
7,000 Btu/kWh
8,200 - 9,300 Btu/kWh
30
CC "F"
400-500 $/kW
7,000 Btu/kWh
CC "H"
25
350-500 $/kW
Adv GT Cycles
6,500 Btu/kWh
275 - 425 $/kW
6,500 Btu/kWh
20
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Year of Plant Start-Up
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
30-Year Levelized Cost of Electricity for
Coal Fired VS. Gas Fired Power Technologies
45
1st Gen Adv Coal
900 - 1,300 $/kW
30-yr Levelized COE, mills/kWh (constant '97$)
40
8,200 - 9,300 Btu/kWh
2nd Gen Adv Coal
800 - 1,000 $/kWh
7,500 Btu/kWh
35
Adv GT Cycles
275 - 425 $/kW
6,500 Btu/kWh
30
CC "F"
25
400-500 $/kW
CC "H"
7,000 Btu/kWh
350-500 $/kW
Adv Coal
6,500 Btu/kWh
800 $/kW
7,000 Btu/kWh
20
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Year of Plant Start-Up
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Performance Targets for Coal Generation
Performance Target
Today
2010
2020
900 - 1300
800
800
Capital Cost, $/kW
50 - 60
Efficiency, %HHV
40
45
SO2, removal %
95
97
99
0.1 - 0.3
Nox Ibs/mmbtu
0.08
0.05
HAPs (hazardous air pollutants)
define goals
meet goals
meet goals
Waste Utilization, %
100
50 . 75
15 - 30
Significant
Deminimis
Overall Emissions
Reductions from
Emissions
Today's Technology
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
Coal Fired Power Plant Technologies
Today
2010
2020
HIPPS
LEBS
PCF
Adv.
APC
Hybrid
PFB
APFB
IGFC
IGCC
AGCC
Coproduction
Coproduction
Coproduction
Carbon Sequestration
Carbon Sequestration
Carbon Sequestration
PCF - Pulverized Coal Fired Plant
APFB - Advanced Pressurized Fluid Bed
HIPPS - High Performance Power System
PFB - Pressurized Fluid Bed
AGCC - Advanced Gasification
LEBS - Low Emission Boiler System
IGCC - Integrated Gasification Combined
APC - Advanced Pulverized Coal Fired
Combined Cycle
Cycle
ICFC - Integrated Gasification Combined
Plant
Cycle
© 1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
Coal Fired Power Plants / Enabling Technologies
Today
2010
2020
APCF
PCF
LEBS
Coal
Emissions
Biomass
HIPPS
Prep
Control
USC
UUSC
PFB
APFB
HGCU
ATS
Hybrid
IGCC
AGCC
IGFC
Adv. Air Separ.
Coproduction
Coproduction
Coproduction
Carbon Sequestration
Carbon Sequestration
Carbon Sequestration
Enabling technologies to build industry core competencies include materials and lifing; sensors and
controls; computational fluid dynamics; coal characterization; and coal preparation.
February 25, 1998
© 1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
Efficiency Goals for Coal Fired Plants
Year 2010 Goal
Year 2020 Goal
LEBS
APCF
HIPPS
APFB
AGCC
Hybrid
(70+)
IGFC
40
45
50
55
60
Efficiency, %HHV
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
AGCC Performance Targets
Performance Target
Today
2010
2020
1200-1300
Capital Cost, $/kW
800
800
57*
Efficiency, %HHV
40
45
99
SO2 removal, %
97
99
(cold)
(hot)
(hot)
NOx lbs/mmbtu
0.06
0.06
0.05
HAPs
define goals
meet goals
meet goals
75
100
Waste Utilization, %
30
Equivalent Availability, %
90
90
90
*GCC/PFB Hybrid
© 1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
AGCC Technology Trajectories
Technology Need
Today
2010
2020
hot -- 1000 °F
hot -1500°F
Gas Cleanup
cold
8,000-20,000 hrs
20,000 hours
by 2005
"F"
ATS -- 2750 °F
Advanced
Combustion
2350°F
plus combustor
Turbine
development
CT cycles
Ultrasupercritical
Steam Cycle
Subcritical
Subcritical
Steam
Air or O2
Air or O2
Oxidant
O2
with advanced
with advanced
air separation
air separation
hot
SO2 removal
cold
with external
hot
desulfurization
Waste Utilization, %
15 - 30
50 - 75
100
February 25, 1998
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
APFBC Performance Targets
Performance Target
Today
2010
2020
900
Capital Cost, $/kW
-1100
800
800
57*
Efficiency, % HHV
45
40
99
SO2 removal, %
97
95
0.1
0.08
NOx, lbs/mmbtu
0.05
Equivalent Availability, %
90
90
90
* GCC/PFB Hybrid
February 25, 1998
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
APFBC Technology Trajectories
Technology Need
Today
2010
2020
1600° F oxidizing
1700°F oxidizing
HTHP Filters
Cyclones
conditions
conditions
ATS-- 2750 F
"F"- 2350 °F
Advanced
Combustion Turbine
advanced
rugged
combustor
CT cycles
2400psi/1050°F
3500psi/1050°F
5000psi/1300°F
Steam Cycle
single reheat
single reheat
double reheat
flue gas
flue gas
Sulfur removal
dolomite
polishing
polishing
HAPs
define goals
meet goals
meet goals
(trace)
Waste Utilization, %
15 - 30
50 - 75
100
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
IGFC Performance Targets
Performance Target
Today
2010
2020
Capital Cost, $/kW
n/a
n/a
800+
Efficiency, %HHV
n/a
n/a
70+
SO2 removal, %
n/a
n/a
99+
NOx, lbs/mmbtu
n/a
n/a
< 0.05
HAPs
n/a
n/a
meet goals
Waste Utilization, %
n/a
n/a
100
Equivalent Availability %
n/a
n/a
90
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
IGFC Technology Trajectories
Technology Need
Today
2010
2020
natural gas
coal gas
large coal gas
Fuel Utilization
fuel cells
fuel cells
fuel cells
250kw to 1MW
2 to 50MW
200-400MW
Plant Scale-Up
demos
demos
commercial plants
as required to
see GCC
see GCC
Hot Gas Clean-Up
maintain fuel cell life
as required to
SO2 removal
see GCC
see GCC
maintain fuel cell life
CT/Fuel Cell
Integration
n/a
integration of gasifier
Integration
hot-gas clean-up, and
fuel cell
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
HIPPS Performance Targets
Performance Target
Today
2010
2020
Capital Cost, $/kW
n/a
800
800
Efficiency, %HHV
n/a
47
55
SO2 removal, %
n/a
99
99
NOx, lbs/mmbtu
n/a
0.06
0.05
HAPs
n/a
meet goals
meet goals
Waste Utilization, %
n/a
some
100
Equivalent Availability, %
n/a
90
90
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
HIPPS Technology Trajectories
Technology Need
Today
2010
2020
High Temperature /
n/a
1100°F
1800°F
High Pressure Filter
reducing
reducing
n/a
1800°F
Heat Exchanger
2750°F
(Alloy)
(ceramic)
4000psi/
5000psi/
Steam Cycle
n/a
1200°F
1300°F
double reheat
double reheat
cycle design,
cycle design,
Steam Turbine
n/a
aerodynamics,
aerodynamics,
materials
materials
Humid air turbine
Gas Turbine
n/a
Humid air turbine
2750°
Particulate
n/a
to be defined
to be defined
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Advanced PC Performance Targets
Performance Target
Today
2010
2020
1100
Capital Cost, $/kW
800
800
47-51
Efficiency, % HHV
45
41
SO2 removal, %
98
99
97
0.1
NOx, lbs/mmbtu
0.08
0.05
HAPs
define goals
mercury control
meet goals
Waste Utilization, %
15 - 30
50 - 75
100
Equivalent Availability, %
90
90
90
© 1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Advanced PC Technology Trajectories
Technology Need
Today
2010
2020
3500 psi/1050 °F
4000 psi/1200 °F
5000 psi/1300 °F
Steam
Double reheat
Double reheat
Double reheat
Cycle Conditions
Boiler and Steam
ferritics,
ferritics,
austenitics,
new Ni-based
Cycle Materials
austenitics
Ni-based alloys
alloys
plant cycle
new aerodynamics,
Steam Turbine
n/a
integration,
cycle integration,
materials
materials
integrated with
integrated with
SO2 removal
n/a
HAPS & particulate
HAPS & particulate
control
control
NOx control
burners,
Adv. burners,
Adv. burners,
SCR
SCR
SCR
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
©
Crosscutting Enabling Technology
Technology
2010
2020
High Temperature/
High Pressure Filters
AGCC
1000°F reducing
1500°F reducing
APFB
1600°F reducing
1700°F reducing
HIPPS
1100°F reducing
1500°F reducing
IGFC
n/a
1000°F reducing
Combustion Turbine
AGCC
2750°F - ATS
Advanced Cycle
APFB
2750°F - ATS
Advanced Cycle
HIPPS
n/a
2750°F
Steam Cycle Materials
APFB
n/a
New Alloys, 1300°F
APC
Ferritics, new alloys
New Alloys, 1300°F
HIPPS
n/a
New Alloys, 1300°F
HAPS
Address issues as characterized by
Address
2000 for all technologies
© 1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Crosscutting Enabling Technology
Technology
2010
2020
Hot Sulfur Cleanup
AGCC
External Hot Desulfurization
External Hot Desulfurization
APFB
n/a
Polishing
IGFC
n/a
External Hot Desulfurization
Polishing
NOx Removal
AGCC
n/a
n/a
APFB
n/a
n/a
IGFC
n/a
n/a
HIPPS
Advanced Cost Efficient NOx
Advanced Cost Efficient NOx
Removal
Removal
Air Seperation
AGCC
Advanced Air Seperation
Advanced Air Seperation
APFB
Advanced Air Seperation
Advanced Air Seperation
IGFC
Advanced Air Seperation
Advanced Air Seperation
HIPPS
n/a
n/a
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Assumptions Used to Determine COE in Comparison Charts
Region
SE
SE
SE
SE
SE
SE
SE
SE
Technology
Adv PFBC
Adv IGCC
IGCC "F"
IGCC "H"
IGCHAT
CC "F"
CC "H"
Adv CHAT
Plant Size, MW
680
460
570
450
450
225
400
400
Capacity Factor, %
85
85
85
85
85
85
85
85
Fuel
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Gas
Gas
Gas
Fuel Cost in yr 2000, $MMBtu
1.29
1.29
1.29
1.29
1.29
2.24
2.24
2.24
Fuel Real Esc. Rate, %/yr
-0.07
-0.07
-0.07
-0.07
-0.07
1
1
1
Total Plant Cost, $/kW
800
800
1310
1150
810
400
350
270
Fixed O&M, $/kW-yr
26.9
35.4
43.8
38.4
35.4
13.3
10.3
10.3
Var. O&M, mills/kWh
2
1.5
1.3
1.3
1.5
3.1
2.2
2.2
Heat Rate, Btu/kWh HHV
7240
7000
8200
7500
7000
7000
6500
6500
Note: Total Plant Costs are typical values. They vary depending on plant size and design, plant location, etc.
Fuel Costs are based on EIA's 1997 AEO Projections (National Average)
© 1998 coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Fuel Price Projections Based on AEO '97
3.5
Natural Gas
(real escalation rate = 1.0%/yr)
3
Fuel Price, $/MMBtu (1997$)
2.5
2
1.5
1
Coal
(real escalation rate = 0.7%/yr)
0.5
O
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Year
Natural Gas
Coal
© 1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Glossary of Acronyms
ATS
Advanced (gas) turbine system
AGCC
Advanced gasification combined cycle
APCF
Advanced pulverized Coal fired plant
APFB
Advanced pressurized fluid bed
CC
Combined cycle
HAPs
Hazardous air pollutants
HIPPS
High performance power system
HGCU
Hot gas cleanup
HHV
Higher heating value
IGCC
Integrated gasification combined cycle
IGFC
Integrated gasification fuel cell
LEBS
Low emission boiler system
PCF
Pulverized coal fired plant
PFB
Pressurized fluid bed
USC
Ultra supercritical
UUSC
Ultra, ultra supercritical
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
OF
THE TREASURY THE
1789
DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY
OFFICE OF TAX ANALYSIS
1500 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, NW
WASHINGTON, DC 20220
Number of pages to follow:
2
Date: September 18, 1998
To:
Julie Anderson
Fax:
395-2342
From:
Len Burman
Tel: (202) 622-0120
Comments:
I've attached talking points on the clean coal technology proposal. The
proposal raises serious concerns: 1. As currently crafted it can increase emissions
in the US depending on the plants that are replaced; 2. For overseas investments,
the incentives may be ineffective or overly generous, depending upon how they are
structured; 3. The incentives are overly generous in relation to operating costs, the
value of output or the potential environmental benefits.
If we pursue a proposal fashioned after this one, it would be preferable
to reduce the incentives provided and restrict them to domestic CCT investments that
replace conventional coal plants.
NOTE: THIS MESSAGE IS INTENDED ONLY FOR THE USE OF THE INDIVIDUAL OR ENTITY TO WHOM IT IS ADDRESSED
AND MAY CONT INFORMATION THAT IS PRIVILEGED, CONFIDENTIAL AND/OR RICTED AS TO OR EXEMPT FROM
DISCLOSURE UNDER APPLICABLE LAWS. IF the recipient of this massage is not the addresses (i.e., the intended recipient,
you are hereby notified that you should not read this document and that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this
communication except Insofar as necessary to deliver this document to the intended recipient, is strictly prohibited. If you
have received this communication in error, please notify the sender immediately by telephone, and you will be provided further
instruction about the return or destruction of the this document. Thank you.
UNCLASSIFIED
Tax Incentives for Clean Coal Technologies
(Document dated May 1998)
The proposal would provide the following incentives for investments in qualifying clean coal
technology (CCT) installed in the US or abroad:
A 20% investment tax credit for CCT which begins operation between 2000 and 2012;
A production tax credit for output from the qualifying CCT based on the design heat rate
for the first ten years of operation;
A risk pool established by the Federal government that would be available to the owners
of qualifying CCT during its first 3 years of operation to offset costs for modifications
resulting from the technology's failure to achieve its design performance, up to 5% of the
cost of the project.
The proposal raises serious concerns:
As currently crafted, it may increase carbon emissions.
If the plants are built domestically, the environmental benefits will depend upon which
other plants are being replaced. The document acknowledges that new capacity
installed in the near term in the US will most likely be gas fired. To the extent that
qualifying coal plants displace gas or renewable energy plants that have lower carbon
emissions per kilowatt-hour of electricity generated, carbon emissions would increase
rather than decrease.
The document does not provide specific suggestions on how the incentives would work
for overseas investments in CCT plants. Depending upon how the incentives are
structured they may be ineffective or overly generous.
-
The proposed tax incentives may not be effective for investments overseas that are
usually undertaken through controlled foreign subsidiaries of US parent corporations
because foreign subsidiaries of US parent corporations generally do not pay US tax
and would not be eligible for the proposed tax incentives.
Allowing the US parent company to claim the tax incentives against its US tax on
foreign income may be ineffective because many US parent corporations do not pay
US tax on the foreign income of their subsidiaries. (Domestic tax is deferred until the
income is remitted to the US parent company, and can be offset by foreign taxes paid.)
Allowing the tax credits to be claimed against the parent's domestic tax liability would
be too generous and a major change in US tax policy, because the tax subsidy would
be provided for income that may be exempt from US tax.
The proposed tax credits are very large in relation either to expected operating costs
or the value of output from the facilities receiving the subsidy.
The production tax credit alone (0.55 to 1.3 cents per kilowatt-hour for plants placed
in service before 2009) largely offsets or exceeds the expected plant operating costs of
under 0.7 cents per kilowatt-hour. The production credit is about 20 to 40 percent of
the projected price of power in most US areas (about 3 cents per kilowatt-hour at the
generating plant).
The 20 percent investment tax credit and risk pooling add a further level of subsidy
that is difficult to justify.
The proposed subsidies are disproportionate to the potential environmental benefits of
CCT technology.
When both operating and capital subsidies are considered, the proposed subsidies are
comparable to those being provided to renewable technologies that have no
greenhouse gas emissions. Since the proposed CCT plants would have emissions
significantly higher than those of a combined-cycle gas-fired plant that are available
today, the proposed subsidies are difficult to justify.
September 18, 1998
02/09/99 17:29 FAX
003
FEB-09-99 12:01 From:
T-533 P.03/03 Job-028
DISCUSSION:
This proposal is intended to provide a technology- and fuel-neutral incentive to
modernize the nation's fleet of electricity generators. Due to the legacy of monopoly
regulation, electricity generating units are among the oldest capital stock of any industrial
sector in the United States, with about half of the generating capacity being more than 30
years old. This older capacity tends to be less efficient and much more heavily polluting
than modern generating units. The performance-based investment tax credit proposed
here would reduce the up front capital costs needed to replace this aging equipment with
modern technology.
The minimum performance improvements specified above can be achieved with either
coal or gas technology. Consider replacing an older. less efficient unit with a heat rate of
11,000 Btu/kWh. The 25% and 50% improvement requirements would mean that the
replacement units would have to achieve a heat rate of 8,250 Btu/kWh for the 10% credit,
and 5,500 Btu/kWh for the 20% credit. DOE's performance goals for both advanced
pressurized fluidized bed (PFBC) and integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC)
technology is a generation efficiency of at least 50%, or a heat rate of less than 6,825
Btu/kWh, substantially better than needed to qualify for the 10% credit. DOE's
performance goal for its Vision 21 plant (which is an advanced IGCC plant using an
oxygen-blown gasifier) is 65% efficiency. or a heat rate of 5.250. low enough to qualify
for the 20% credit. Use of combined heat and power technology would make either of
these performance goals substantially easier to meet.
The requirement that the units being replaced had to operate with a 50% capacity factor
during the previous 5 year period is intended to ensure that the tax credit gets the greatest
possible bang-for-the-buck by excluding simple-cycle combustion turbine peaking units
(which are likely to be replaced by combined cycle units in any case) and units that have
effectively been removed from service without being formally retired.
The treatment of combined heat and power (CHP or cogeneration) plants is intended to
provide a level playing field for this high efficiency technology. If it were not for the use
of this technology, fuel would have to be consumed in separate boilers to produce steam
for use in, for example, an industrial process or district heating system. The CHP plant
receives credit for this avoided fuel consumption, based on the assumption that the
separate boiler would have an efficiency of approximately 80% (hence the factor of 1.2).
02/09/99 17:28 FAX
002
FEB-09-99 12:01 From:
T-533 P.02/03 Job-028
TITLE V. FOSSIL FUEL EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS
10% investment tax credit for repowering or replacing existing fossil fuel generating units
with technology that results in at least a 25% reduction in fossil fuel heat input per
kilowatt-hour of net electricity generation.
20% investment tax credit for repowering or replacing existing fossil fuel generating units
with technology that results in at least a 50% reduction in fossil fuel heat input per
kilowatt-hour of net electricity generation.
Eligible units. To qualify for the credit, the unit(s) being repowered or replaced must
have operated with an average capacity factor of at least 50% during the five year period
prior to enactment. The investment tax credit can only be taken on that portion of the
investment attributable to providing generating capacity not greater than the generating
capacity of the unit(s) being repowered or replaced. Repowering means permanent
modification of the generating unit so as to reduce the design average net heat rate by at
least 25%. Replacement means permanent retirement of the existing generating unit and
replacement of that amount of generating capacity with a new unit that has a design
average net heat rate at least 25% lower than the retired unit.
Treatment of combined heat and power plants (CHP or cogeneration). In the case of
plants that produce both steam and electricity for sale, the net heat rate of electricity
generation shall be calculated by subtracting 1.2 times the Btu content of the steam sold
from the total Btus of heatiinput to the combined heat and power plant.
OF
THE THE TREASINY
1789
DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY
OFFICE OF TAX ANALYSIS
1500 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, NW
WASHINGTON, DC 20220
Number of pages to follow:
2
Date: September 18, 1998
To:
Julie Anderson
Fax:
395-2342
From:
Len Burman
Tel: (202) 622-0120
Comments:
I've attached talking points on the clean coal technology proposal. The
proposal raises serious concerns: 1. As currently crafted it can increase emissions
in the US depending on the plants that are replaced; 2. For overseas investments,
the incentives may be ineffective or overly generous, depending upon how they are
structured; 3. The incentives are overly generous in relation to operating costs, the
value of output or the potential environmental benefits.
If we pursue a proposal fashioned after this one, it would be preferable
to reduce the incentives provided and restrict them to domestic CCT investments that
replace conventional coal plants.
NOTE: THIS MESSAGE IS INTENDED ONLY FOR THE USE OF THE INDIVIDUAL OR ENTITY TO WHOM IT IS ADDRESSED
AND MAY CONTAIN INFORMATION THAT IS PRIVILEGED CONFIDENTIAL AND/OR RICTED AS TO OREXEMPT FROM
DISCLOSURE UNDER APPLICABLE LAWS. If the recipient of the message is not the addresses (i.e., the intended recipient,
you are hereby notified that you should not read this document and that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this
communication except insofar as necessary to deliver this document to the intended recipient, is strictly prohibited. If you
have received this communication in error, please notify the sender immediately by telephone, and you will be provided further
instruction about the return or destruction of the this document. Thank you.
UNCLASSIFIED
Tax Incentives for Clean Coal Technologies
(Document dated May 1998)
The proposal would provide the following incentives for investments in qualifying clean coal
technology (CCT) installed in the US or abroad:
A 20% investment tax credit for CCT which begins operation between 2000 and 2012;
A production tax credit for output from the qualifying CCT based on the design heat rate
for the first ten years of operation;
A risk pool established by the Federal government that would be available to the owners
of qualifying CCT during its first 3 years of operation to offset costs for modifications
resulting from the technology's failure to achieve its design performance, up to 5% of the
cost of the project.
The proposal raises serious concerns:
As currently crafted, it may increase carbon emissions.
If the plants are built domestically, the environmental benefits will depend upon which
other plants are being replaced. The document acknowledges that new capacity
installed in the near term in the US will most likely be gas fired. To the extent that
qualifying coal plants displace gas or renewable energy plants that have lower carbon
emissions per kilowatt-hour of electricity generated, carbon emissions would increase
rather than decrease.
The document does not provide specific suggestions on how the incentives would work
for overseas investments in CCT plants. Depending upon how the incentives are
structured they may be ineffective or overly generous.
The proposed tax incentives may not be effective for investments overseas that are
usually undertaken through controlled foreign subsidiaries of US parent corporations
because foreign subsidiaries of US parent corporations generally do not pay US tax
and would not be eligible for the proposed tax incentives.
Allowing the US parent company to claim the tax incentives against its US tax on
foreign income may be ineffective because many US parent corporations do not pay
US tax on the foreign income of their subsidiaries. (Domestic tax is deferred until the
income is remitted to the US parent company, and can be offset by foreign taxes paid.)
Allowing the tax credits to be claimed against the parent's domestic tax liability would
be too generous and a major change in US tax policy, because the tax subsidy would
be provided for income that may be exempt from US tax.
The proposed tax credits are very large in relation either to expected operating costs
or the value of output from the facilities receiving the subsidy.
-
The production tax credit alone (0.55 to 1.3 cents per kilowatt-hour for plants placed
in service before 2009) largely offsets or exceeds the expected plant operating costs of
under 0.7 cents per kilowatt-hour. The production credit is about 20 to 40 percent of
the projected price of power in most US areas (about 3 cents per kilowatt-hour at the
generating plant).
-
The 20 percent investment tax credit and risk pooling add a further level of subsidy
that is difficult to justify.
The proposed subsidies are disproportionate to the potential environmental benefits of
CCT technology.
-
When both operating and capital subsidies are considered, the proposed subsidies are
comparable to those being provided to renewable technologies that have no
greenhouse gas emissions. Since the proposed CCT plants would have emissions
significantly higher than those of a combined-cycle gas-fired plant that are available
today, the proposed subsidies are difficult to justify.
September 18, 1998
1AA PULICY
12:49
0202 6220605
OF THE TREASURY
THE
1789
DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY
OFFICE OF TAX ANALYSIS
1500 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, NW
WASHINGTON, DC 20220
Number of pages to follow:
2
Date: September 18, 1998
To:
Julie Anderson
Fax:
395-2342
From:
Len Burman
Tel: (202) 622-0120
Comments:
I've attached talking points on the clean coal technology proposal. The
proposal raises serious concerns: 1. As currently crafted it can increase emissions
in the US depending on the plants that are replaced; 2. For overseas investments,
the incentives may be ineffective or overly generous, depending upon how they are
structured; 3. The incentives are overly generous in relation to operating costs, the
value of output or the potential environmental benefits.
If we pursue a proposal fashioned after this one, it would be preferable
to reduce the incentives provided and restrict them to domestic CCT investments that
replace conventional coal plants.
NOTE: THIS MESSAGE IS INTENDED ONLY FOR THE USE OF THE INDIVIDUAL OR ENTITY TO WHOM IT IS ADDRESSED
AND MAY CONT AIN INFORMATION THAT IS PRIVILEGED CONFIDENT TAL AND/OR IRICTED AS TO OR EXEMPT FROM
DISCLOSURE UNDER APPLICABLE LAWS. If the recipient of this message is not the addresses (i.e., the intended recipient,
you are hereby notified that you should not read this document and that any dissemination, distribution, or copying of this
communication except Insofar as necessary to deliver this document to the intended recipient, is strictly prohibited. If you
have received this communication in error, please notify the sender immediately by telephone, and you will be provided further
instruction about the return or destruction of the this document. Thank you.
UNCLASSIFIED
PHOTOCOPY
PRESERVATION
TAX POLICY
09/18/98
12:49
202 6220605
Tax Incentives for Clean Coal Technologies
(Document dated May 1998)
The proposal would provide the following incentives for investments in qualifying clean coal
technology (CCT) installed in the US or abroad:
A 20% investment tax credit for CCT which begins operation between 2000 and 2012;
A production tax credit for output from the qualifying CCT based on the design heat rate
for the first ten years of operation;
A risk pool established by the Federal government that would be available to the owners
of qualifying CCT during its first 3 years of operation to offset costs for modifications
resulting from the technology's failure to achieve its design performance, up to 5% of the
cost of the project.
The proposal raises serious concerns:
As currently crafted, it may increase carbon emissions.
If the plants are built domestically, the environmental benefits will depend upon which
other plants are being replaced. The document acknowledges that new capacity
installed in the near term in the US will most likely be gas fired. To the extent that
qualifying coal plants displace gas or renewable energy plants that have lower carbon
emissions per kilowatt-hour of electricity generated, carbon emissions would increase
rather than decrease.
The document does not provide specific suggestions on how the incentives would work
for overseas investments in CCT plants. Depending upon how the incentives are
structured they may be ineffective or overly generous.
The proposed tax incentives may not be effective for investments overseas that are
usually undertaken through controlled foreign subsidiaries of US parent corporations
because foreign subsidiaries of US parent corporations generally do not pay US tax
and would not be eligible for the proposed tax incentives.
Allowing the US parent company to claim the tax incentives against its US tax on
foreign income may be ineffective because many US parent corporations do not pay
US tax on the foreign income of their subsidiaries. (Domestic tax is deferred until the
income is remitted to the US parent company, and can be offset by foreign taxes paid.)
Allowing the tax credits to be claimed against the parent's domestic tax liability would
be too generous and a major change in US tax policy, because the tax subsidy would
be provided for income that may be exempt from US tax.
The proposed tax credits are very large in relation either to expected operating costs
or the value of output from the facilities receiving the subsidy.
TAX POLICY
09/18/98
12:50
202 6220605
The production tax credit alone (0.55 to 1.3 cents per kilowatt-hour for plants placed
in service before 2009) largely offsets or exceeds the expected plant operating costs of
under 0.7 cents per kilowatt-hour. The production credit is about 20 to 40 percent of
the projected price of power in most US areas (about 3 cents per kilowatt-hour at the
generating plant).
The 20 percent investment tax credit and risk pooling add a further level of subsidy
that is difficult to justify.
The proposed subsidies are disproportionate to the potential environmental benefits of
CCT technology.
-
When both operating and capital subsidies are considered, the proposed subsidies are
comparable to those being provided to renewable technologies that have no
greenhouse gas emissions. Since the proposed CCT plants would have emissions
significantly higher than those of a combined-cycle gas-fired plant that are available
today, the proposed subsidies are difficult to justify.
September 18, 1998
From:
Dirk Forrister on 01/21/99 09:25:00 AM
Record Type:
Record
To:
Julie M. Anderson/WHCCTF/EOF
CC:
Subject:
Forwarded by Dirk Forrister/WHCCTF/EOP on 01/21/99 09:26 AM
From:
Dirk Forrister on 01/20/99 05:32:21 PM
Record Type:
Record
To:
Todd Stern/WHO/EOP, Roger S. Ballentine/WHO/EOP, David B Sandalow/CEQ/EOP
CC:
Subject:
COALMTG.MEM
Please find a short background paper for the meeting with Senator Byrd's staff tomorrow. This updated version
incorporates the topics we covered in the 1:00 prep session. Here's a short-short version of our key messages to
use as you prepare your own cheat-sheet.
Economic Analysis: While we recognize that the nation's climate response will have some effects on
coal, our analysis shows that an economically efficient policy framework will minimize those impacts.
Coal will continue to play an important role in America's energy mix for many years to come.
Technology Initiatives: Our portfolio of climate programs includes continued work on advanced coal
R&D, sequestration and efficiency in mining. Our tax incentives will be changing modestly -- but still
hold some potential for coal-based strategies to play a role through combined heat and power as well as
improved biomass cofiring provisions.
Credit for Early Action: The President expressed interest in the State of the Union. We're committed to
work with you to get a bill done.
Surface Mining: We see a valuable role emerging for our mined land reclamation programs -- they are
focusing more on ways of including reforestation strategies to play a larger role. While not by any means
the total solution, his program has the advantage of putting dollars and jobs into coal mining
communities.
New Issues: We Know We Can Do Even Better: We know your interest in the tax incentive proposal
by the Coal Utilization Research Council -- and we are continuing to examine it. We are also working
with the steel and coke industries on their interest in tax incentives for advanced coking technologies.
We have concerns with both proposals -- and we have funding constraints that kept us from adding new
initiatives on the tax side. That said, we will continue to work with them should the funding prospects
change later in the year.
International: We know y our interest in China, and we are developing some alternatives to prompt
more clean coal technology partnerships there. We are also hearing soundings from Sen. Hagel that he
may be planning a legislative effort this year -- and we hope that we can work closely with you if
anything materializes on that front.
Clean Coal Technology
Incentives and R&D Program
for Early Commercial Applications of
Clean Coal Technology
Winter 1999
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
Clean Coal Technologies
Technology Promise
Climate Change Initiative Proposed by the Administration
- Immediate actions to stimulate the use of technologies that
minimize costs to reduce greenhouse gas emissions
- R&D and tax incentives aimed at deployment of energy efficient,
carbon-reduction technologies
- Electricity generating sector research program for innovative coal
combustion approaches that offer the possibility of much lower
carbon emissions
Clean Coal Technologies (CCTs) can be further developed
and deployed to cause or induce real increases in
efficiency and decreases in carbon emissions from
domestic and international electricity generation
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
2
Performance Targets for Coal Generation
Performance Target
Today
2010
2020
900
Capital Cost, $/kW
-1300
800
800
50 - 60
Efficiency, %HHV
45
40
99
SO2, removal %
97
95
Nox lbs/mmbtu
0.1 - 0.3
0.08
0.05
HAPs (hazardous air pollutants)
define goals
meet goals
meet goals
Waste Utilization, %
15 - 30
50 - 75
100
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Coal Fired Power Plant Technologies
Today
2010
2020
HIPPS
LEBS
PCF
APC
PFB
APFB
Adv.
Hybrid
IGCC
AGCC
IGFC
Coproduction
Coproduction
Coproduction
Carbon Sequestration
Carbon Sequestration
Carbon Sequestration
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Coal Fired Power Plants / Enabling Technologies
Today
2010
2020
APCF
PCF
LEBS
Coal
Emissions
Biomass
Prep
Control
HIPPS
USC
UUSC
PFB
APFB
HGCU
ATS
Hybrid
IGCC
AGCC
IGFC
Adv. Air Separ.
Coproduction
Coproduction
Coproduction
Carbon Sequestration
Carbon Sequestration
Carbon Sequestration
Enabling technologies to build industry core competencies include materials and lifing; sensors and
controls; computational fluid dynamics; coal characterization; and coal preparation.
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Efficiency Goals for Coal Fired Plants
Year 2010 Goal
Year 2020 Goal
LEBS
APCF
HIPPS
APFB
AGCC
Hybrid
(70+)
IGFC
40
45
50
55
60
Efficiency, %HHV
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
15-Year Levelized Cost of Electricity for
Coal Fired V. Gas Fired Power Technologies
45
2nd Gen Adv Coal
800 + 1,000 $/kWh
7,500 Btu/kWh
15-yr Levelized COE, mills/kWh (constant '97$)
40
3rd Gen Adv Coal
1st Gen Adv Coal
800 $/kW
35
900 - 1,300 $/kW
7,000 Btu/kWh
8,200 - 9,300 Btu/kWh
30
CC "F"
400-500 $/kW
7,000 Btu/kWh
CC "H"
25
350-500 $/kW
Adv GT Cycles
6,500 Btu/kWh
275 - 425 $/kW
6,500 Btu/kWh
20
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Year of Plant Start-Up
February 25, 1998
© 1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
Clean Coal Technologies
Environmental Impacts
Environmental benefits:
- 10 million metric ton reduction in domestic carbon emissions from
the incentives
- 294 million metric ton reduction in international carbon emissions
from deployment of CCTs worldwide
- 25% of the reduction required under a Kyoto type agreement
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
17
Clean Coal Technologies
Incentive and R&D Program Objectives
Fuel Diversity
- coal largest source of electricity generation
U.S. - 57%
World - 38%
- coal is projected to remain the largest source of electricity
EIA AEO98 - 51% in 2020 even with a 400% increase in natural gas
OECD/IEA - 43% of the world's electricity in 2020
Technology Promise
- further R&D and deployment of early commercial applications will
result in increased generating efficiency and lower carbon
emissions
Sustainable Economy
- coal must remain a viable, readily available, competitive source of
fuel for electricity generation, transportation fuels and chemical feed
stocks to promote economic growth, price stability and energy
security
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
8
Clean Coal Technologies
Carbon Emission Reduction Potential
35
33
30
27
27
26
40 Year Carbon Emissions, Million Tonnes
25
21
21
20
17
Current
15
13
2010
2020
10
5
0
Conv Adv PC IGCC PFBC IGCF NGCC
PC
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
9
Clean Coal Technologies
Background
CCT program will be successfully completed with demonstrated
"first-of-a-kind" technologies to increase efficiency and reduce
pollutants
full commercial penetration requires 2-3 early commercial
applications of these promising technologies
developers unable to accept technical and financial risk of a "not
yet fully commercial" application
- lack of need for new base load capacity
- utility deregulation - become more risk adverse
- competition from natural gas
Developing countries require large amounts of new capacity -
much of it coal fired, but CCTs will not be utilized
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
10
Clean Coal Technologies
Projected World Coal Consumption
100
90
80
Coal Consumption, Quadrillion Btu
70
60
1995
50
2010
40
2020
30
20
10
0
N. Am
W Eur
FSU/EE
Ind Asia
Asia
Source: EIA International Energy Outlook, 1998, April 1998
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
11
Clean Coal Technologies
Key Issues
Coal will continue to be used domestically and internationally
Carbon emissions will continue to rise
Conventional coal combustion is 37% efficient
CCTs offer the promise of efficiencies exceeding 50%
Full commercial deployment of CCTs can cause or induce real
reductions in carbon emissions
Full commercial deployment of CCTs will require incentives
for a limited number of early commercial applications
Achievement of the CCTs full efficiency gain and emission
reduction potential will require a continued R&D effort to
support the early commercial applications
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
12
Clean Coal Technologies
Benefits of Incentives for Early Commercial
Applications
Accelerate commercial availability of CCTs as an option for
achieving economic and environmental goals
Cause or induce real carbon emission reductions domestically
and internationally
Keep US CCTs in forefront and globally competitive
Create jobs and favorable economic contributions to the U.S.
economy
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
13
Clean Coal Technologies
Criteria for Incentives
Tax incentives preferred over direct subsidies
Address technical and economic risks of early commercial
applications of CCTs
Program should focus on coal fired CCTs, but be robust enough
to address co-firing with renewables
Apply only to those technologies that measurably increase
thermal efficiency and reduce carbon emissions
Target both domestic and international early commercial
applications
Address the higher capital and operating costs and the
increased potential, inherent with new technology, for
modifications to achieve design specifications
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
14
Clean Coal Technologies
Proposed Incentives
Investment tax credit
- 20% of the project owner or parent company equity investment
Production tax credit
- variable incentive based on the production rate and efficiency of the
technology over the first 10 years of operation
Operation
Design
Incentive for
Incentive for
beginning
Average Heat
First 5 years of
Second 5
during or
Rate Btu/kWh
Operation,
years of
before
(HHV)
cents/kWh
Operation,
Generated
cents/kWh
Generated
8400 or less
1.30
1.10
2004
8401-8550
1.00
0.85
8551-8750
0.90
0.70
7770 or less
1.00
0.80
2008
7771-8125
0.80
0.65
8126-8350
0.70
0.55
7720 or less
0.85
0.70
2012
7721-7380
0.70
0.45
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
15
Clean Coal Technologies
Proposed Incentives (Continued)
Risk pool
- 5% of the installed cost available from the Federal Gov't to cover
repairs or modifications required to achieve design performance
level during start-up and the initial 3 year operating period
Qualification and selection criteria
- limited capacity - 6000MW
- limited period for installation - 2004 to 2012
- every increasing efficiency threshold to qualify (39% to 46%),
higher in later years
- selection based on maximum efficiency and lowest cost to
government
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
16
Clean Coal Technologies
Environmental Impacts
Environmental benefits:
- 10 million metric ton reduction in domestic carbon emissions from
the incentives
- 294 million metric ton reduction in international carbon emissions
from deployment of CCTs worldwide
- 25% of the reduction required under a Kyoto type agreement
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
17
Clean Coal Technologies
Environmental Impacts
World Carbon Emissions in 2010 & 2020
12000
10000
8000
5159
4894
Million Tonnes
5159
6000
4000
2000
0
BAU
KYOTO
CCT
BAU
KYOTO
CCT
Dev 2010
UnDev 2010
Dev 2020
UnDev 2020
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
18
Clean Coal Technologies
Revenue Impacts
Revenue impacts over 23 year period (1999 -2021)
Incentive
1999-2003
2004-2008
2009-2013
1999-2021
(Million 1998 $ NPV)
Investment Tax Credit
$90
$73
$41
$203
Production Tax Credit
$0
$377
$439
$1,023
Risk Pool
$0
$135
$117
$276
Total
$90
$585
$597
$1,502
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
19
Clean Coal Technology
Incentives and R&D Program
for Early Commercial Applications of
Clean Coal Technology
Winter 1999
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
Clean Coal Technologies
Technology Promise
Climate Change Technology Initiative proposed in Administration's FY 2000
budget
- designed to promote energy efficiency, develop low carbon energy
sources and reduce greenhouse gas emissions
- $1.4 billion R&D spending on energy efficiency and renewable
energy technologies
- $0.4 billion for tax credits to stimulate adoption of energy efficient
technologies in building, industrial processes, vehicles, and power
generation
FY 2000 budget proposes $321 million in bilateral and
multilateral environmental assistance to address climate change
issues in developing countries
Clean Coal Technologies (CCTs) can be further developed
and deployed to cause or induce real increases in
efficiency and decreases in carbon emissions from
domestic and international electricity generation
2
Clean Coal Technologies
Incentive and R&D Program Objectives
Fuel Diversity
- coal largest source of electricity generation
U.S. - 57%
World - 38%
- coal is projected to remain the largest source of electricity
EIA AEO98 - 51% in 2020 even with a 400% increase in natural gas
OECD/IEA - 43% of the world's electricity in 2020
Technology Promise
- further R&D and deployment of early commercial applications will
result in increased generating efficiency and lower carbon
emissions
Sustainable Economy
- coal must remain a viable, readily available, competitive source of
fuel for electricity generation, transportation fuels and chemical feed
stocks to promote economic growth, price stability and energy
security
3
Clean Coal Technologies
Carbon Emission Reduction Potential
35
33
30
27
27
26
40 Year Carbon Emissions, Million Tonnes
25
21
21
20
17
Current
15
13
2010
2020
10
5
0
Conv Adv PC IGCC PFBC IGCF NGCC
PC
4
Clean Coal Technologies
Background
CCT program will be successfully completed with demonstrated
"first-of-a-kind" technologies to increase efficiency and reduce
pollutants
full commercial penetration requires 2-3 early commercial
applications of these promising technologies
developers unable to accept technical and financial risk of a "not
yet fully commercial" application
- lack of need for new base load capacity
- utility deregulation - become more risk adverse
- competition from natural gas
Developing countries require large amounts of new capacity -
much of it coal fired, but CCTs will not be utilized
5
Clean Coal Technologies
Projected World Coal Consumption
100
90
80
Coal Consumption, Quadrillion Btu
70
60
1995
50
2010
40
2020
30
20
10
0
N. Am
W Eur
FSU/EE
Japan &
Asia
Australia
Source: EIA International Energy Outlook, 1998, April 1998
6
Clean Coal Technologies
Key Issues
Coal will continue to be used domestically and internationally
Carbon emissions will continue to rise
Conventional coal combustion is 37% efficient
CCTs offer the promise of efficiencies exceeding 50%
Full commercial deployment of CCTs can cause or induce real
reductions in carbon emissions
Full commercial deployment of CCTs will require incentives
for a limited number of early commercial applications
Achievement of the CCTs full efficiency gain and emission
reduction potential will require a continued R&D effort to
support the early commercial applications
7
Clean Coal Technologies
Criteria for Incentives
Tax incentives preferred over direct subsidies
Address technical and economic risks of early commercial
applications of CCTs
Program should focus on coal fired CCTs, but be robust enough
to address co-firing with renewables
Apply only to those technologies that measurably increase
thermal efficiency and reduce carbon emissions
Place priority on early commercial applications in the US, but
allow for international applications, if domestic opportunities fail
to materialize
Address the higher capital and operating costs and the
increased potential, inherent with new technology, for
modifications to achieve design specifications
8
Clean Coal Technologies
Proposed Incentives
Investment tax credit
- 10% of the project owner or parent company investment
Production tax credit
- variable incentive based on the production rate and efficiency of the
technology over the first 10 years of operation
Operation
Design
Incentive for
Incentive for
beginning
Average Heat
First 5 years of
Second 5
during or
Rate Btu/kWh
Operation,
years of
before
(HHV)
cents/kWh
Operation,
Generated
cents/kWh
Generated
8400 or less
1.30
1.15
2004
8401-8550
1.00
0.80
8551-8750
0.75
0.60
7770 or less
1.35
1.10
2008
7771-8125
1.15
0.90
8126-8350
0.90
0.80
7380 or less
1.55
1.35
2012
7381-7720
1.35
1.15
9
Clean Coal Technologies
Proposed Incentives (Continued)
Risk pool
- 5% of the installed cost available from the Federal Gov't to cover
repairs or modifications required to achieve design performance
level during start-up and the initial 3 year operating period
Qualification and selection criteria
- limited capacity - 6000MW
2000 MU undepred could be biomass
- limited period for installation - 2004 to 2012
- every increasing efficiency threshold to qualify (39% to 46%),
higher in later years
- selection based on maximum efficiency and lowest cost to
government
10
Clean Coal Technologies
Environmental Impacts
Example of worldwide commercial applications:
- 10% of coal combustion by 2010
- 50% of new coal combustion between 2010 and 2015
- 75% of new coal combustion between 2015 and 2020
Potential environmental benefits:
- 10 million metric ton reduction in domestic carbon emissions from
the incentives program
- 294 million metric ton reduction in worldwide carbon emissions per
year by 2020 from deployment of CCTs worldwide
- 25% of the developed country reduction required under a Kyoto
type agreement
11
Clean Coal Technologies
Environmental Impacts
World Carbon Emissions in 2010 & 2020
12000
10,448
10,154
9,268
10000
8000
5159
4894
Million Tonnes
5159
3592
3514
6000
3592
4000
2000
0
BAU
KYOTO
CCT
BAU
KYOTO
CCT
Dev 2010
UnDev 2010
Dev 2020
UnDev 2020
12
Clean Coal Technologies
Revenue Impacts
Revenue impacts over 22 year period (2000 -2021)
Incentive
2000-
2005-
2010-
2000-
2004
2009
2014
2021
(Million 1998 $ NPV)
Investment Tax Credit
$180
$145
$81
$406
Production Tax Credit
$59
$383
$485
$1,214
Risk Pool
$34
$136
$107
$276
Total
$273
$664
$673
$1,896
13
Winter 1999
INCENTIVES FOR THE EARLY COMMERCIAL APPLICATIONS OF
CLEAN COAL TECHNOLOGY
The Challenge - Ensure that the U.S. energy supply is based on a diverse mix of fuels, incorporates the
benefits promised by new technology, guarantees a sustainable economy, and meets all environmental
goals.
The Solution - Clean Coal Technology (CCT) is critical to the U.S. effort to meet this challenge.
FUEL DIVERSITY CCT can avoid a dependence on a limited number of fuel sources for U.S. power
production and will assure the reduction of carbon emissions without economic penalty.
TECHNOLOGY PROMISE CCT can dramatically increase efficiency and significantly reduce
emissions from coal combustion.
SUSTAINABLE ECONOMY CCT can preserve and promote economic growth, energy price stability
and national energy security by allowing coal to remain a readily available and competitive source of
clean fuel for electric generation, transportation fuels and chemical feed stocks.
Today, a number of emerging clean coal technologies (CCTs) stand ready to be further developed and
deployed to bring about real increases in the conversion efficiency of coal to electricity and real
decreases in carbon emissions from power generation domestically and internationally. However, full
commercial penetration for these technologies first requires building and operating experience from
several early commercial applications for each major technology category. It is in the best interests of
the United States to drive development of these early commercial applications as soon as possible, both
at home and overseas. This will:
accelerate the availability of commercially mature CCTs to enable the United States to meet future
economic and environmental goals;
result in real reductions of greenhouse gases wherever these early commercial applications occur;
keep U.S. industry in the forefront of the world market place for CCTs; and
create jobs and favorable economic contributions to the U.S. economy.
The Action Required - Development of these early commercial CCT applications will require a new
program of limited financial incentives and continued R&D funding to overcome the associated
technological and economic risks. The proposed program would be limited in scope (6000MW) and
timing (installations placed in service between 2004 and 2012) and the technologies would be required
to meet ever-increasing performance levels to qualify. U.S. tax code should be amended to provide for
the following incentives:
(1) an Investment Tax Credit equal to 20% of the project owner's equity investment,
(2) a Production Tax Credit for each kilowatt hour generated over the first 10 years of operation and based
on the technologies design net heat rate, and
(3) a Risk Pool to offset costs, if any, for modifications resulting from the technology's failure to achieve
its design performance during start-up and initial operation, limited to 5% of the total installed cost of
the project.
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
Revision 4
11/16/98
Incentives
and
Research & Development
for
Early Commercial Applications of
Clean Coal Technology
November 1998
COM UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
Revision 4
11/16/98
Incentives
and
Research & Development
for
Early Commercial Applications of
Clean Coal Technology
November 1998
COM ! R
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PROPOSAL
Divider Title:
Rev 4
11/16/98
Page 2
INCENTIVES FOR
EARLY COMMERCIAL APPLICATIONS OF
CLEAN COAL TECHNOLOGIES
(1) Investment Tax Credit
The U.S. owner(s) or U.S. parent company(s) of the owner(s) of a Qualifying Clean Coal
Technology, which is installed in the U.S. or abroad between 2000 and 2012, shall be
entitled to a tax credit equal to 20% of the project owner's equity investment.
(2) Production Tax Credit
The U.S. owner(s) or U.S. parent company(s) of the owner(s) of a Qualifying Clean Coal
Technology, which is installed in the U.S. or abroad and begins operation between 2000
and 2012, shall receive a production tax credit for each kilowatt hour generated over the
first 10 years of operation and based on the technologies design net heat rate as
indicated in the table below:
Operation
Design Average
Incentive for
Incentive for
beginning
Net Heat Rate,
First 5 years of
Second 5 Years of
during or
Btu/kWh (HHV)*
Operation,
Operation,
before
cents/kWh
cents/kWh
Generated
Generated
8400 or less
1.30
1.10
2004
8401-8550
1.00
0.85
8551-8750
0.90
0.70
7770 or less
1.00
0.80
2008
7771-8125
0.80
0.65
8126-8350
0.70
0.55
7720 or less
0.85
0.70
2012
7721-7380
0.70
0.45
*Note: Increased efficiency is equivalent to a lower net heat rate.
(3) Risk Pool
The federal government shall establish a financial Risk Pool that would be available to
the U.S. owner(s) of a Qualifying Clean Coal Technology, installed in the U.S. or
abroad, during its first 3 years of operation to offset costs, if any, for modifications
resulting from the technology's failure to achieve its design performance during start-up
and initial operation. The total amount of recoverable costs shall be limited to 5% of the
total installed cost of the project.
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
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Page 3
(4) Definitions:
(a) Conventional Technology - (i) coal-fired combustion technology with a design
average net heat rate of not less than 9,300 Btu/kWh (HHV) and a carbon equivalents
emission rate of not more than 0.53 pounds of carbon per kilowatt hour; or (ii) natural gas-
fired combustion technology with a design average net heat rate of not less than 7,500
Btu/kWh (HHV) and a carbon equivalents emission rate of not more than 0.24 lbs. of
carbon per kilowatt hour.
(b) Clean Coal Technology (CCT's) - advanced technology that utilizes coal to produce
50% or more of its thermal output as electricity including advanced pulverized coal or
atmospheric fluidized bed combustion, pressurized fluidized bed combustion, integrated
gasification combined cycle, and any other advanced combustion technology that
exceeds the performance of the conventional technology specified above.
(c) Qualifying Clean Coal Technology - (i) applications totaling 1,000 MW of advanced
pulverized coal or atmospheric fluidized bed combustion technology installed as a new,
retrofit, or repowering applications and operated between 2000 and 2010 that have a
design average net heat rate of not more than 8,750 Btu/kWh; (ii) applications totaling
1,500 MW of pressurized fluidized bed combustion technology installed as a new, retrofit,
or repowering applications and operated between 2000 and 2012 that have a design
average net heat rate of not more than 8,400 Btu/kWh; (iii) applications totaling 1,500 MW
of integrated gasification combined cycle technology installed as a new, retrofit, or
repowering applications and operated between 2000 and 2012 that have a design
average net heat rate of not more than 8,550 Btu/kWh; and (iv) applications totaling 2000
MW or equivalent of technology for the production of electricity installed as a new, retrofit,
or repowering application and operated between 2000 and 2012 that have a carbon
emission rate that is no more than 85% of conventional technology. Clean coal
technology projects receiving or scheduled to receive funding under the Department of
Energy's Clean Coal Technology Program, shall not be eligible to be a Qualifying Clean
Coal Technology as defined above.
(d) Design Average Net Heat Rate - shall be based on the design average annual heat
input and the design average annual net electrical generating capacity of the Qualifying
Clean Coal Technology at standard conditions. Co-generation of steam shall not be
considered in determining a technology's Design Average Net Heat Rate.
(e) Project Selection Criteria - shall be established by the Department of Energy as part
of a competitive solicitation for selecting Qualifying Clean Coal Technologies and the
primary selection criteria shall be minimum design average net heat rate, maximum
design average thermal efficiency and lowest cost to the government. DOE may
establish other supplemental selection criteria as appropriate.
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INCENTIVES
AND R & D
Divider Title:
Rev 4
11/16/98
Page 4
Incentives and R&D Program for the
Early Commercial Applications of Clean Coal Technology
In October of 1997, President Clinton proposed a three-stage approach for the U.S. to
address climate change. The first stage consists of immediate actions to stimulate
development and use of technologies that can minimize the cost of meeting U.S. goals
for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Among the actions were proposals for funding
R&D as well as tax incentives aimed at deployment of energy efficient, renewable
energy and carbon-reduction technologies. For the electricity-generating sector, the
proposals called for DOE to initiate a research program on innovative new approaches
to coal combustion that offer the possibility of much lower carbon emissions than
existing technologies. While an increased emphasis on researching new technologies
is needed, there are a number of emerging clean coal technologies (CCT's) that could
be further developed and deployed to cause or induce real increases in the conversion
efficiency of coal to electricity, which would in turn cause or induce real decreases in
carbon emissions from power generation domestically and internationally through the
use of U.S. technologies. The following discussion addresses the objectives,
background and financial incentives for a program of incentives and research and
development for the early commercial applications of Clean Coal Technologies.
Objectives of the Incentives and R&D Program for the Early Commercial Applications of
Clean Coal Technology:
Fuel Diversity - Coal combustion is currently the largest source of energy for electricity
production in the U.S. (55%) as well as the rest of the world (38%) and
is projected to remain so for the foreseeable future. Development and
deployment of highly efficient clean coal technologies will allow for the
reduction of carbon emissions and avoid a dependence on a limited
number of fuel sources for U.S. power production. According to the
EIA's latest Annual Energy Outlook1, coal is projected to generate 57%
of the electricity consumed in 1998, and is to produce 52% and 51%
respectively in 2010 and 2020. Coal remains the major U.S. source of
electricity, even after over a 400% increase in electricity produced from
natural gas between 1998 and 2020. The International Energy Agency
of the OECD has projected that coal will provide 43% of the world's
electricity in 2020². Development and deployment of these
technologies globally will allow for the double opportunities of exporting
U.S. technologies and reducing carbon emissions from developing
countries.
I Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 1998, Washington DC, November 1997.
2 International Energy Agency, World Energy Prospects To 2020, Paris, March 1998.
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
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Technology Promise - The clean coal technology program has allowed for the
demonstration of a number of first-of-a-kind technologies that can
increase efficiency and reduce carbon emissions from coal combustion.
With further R&D and deployment, these technologies can be optimized
for increased efficiency and lower carbon emissions and their technical
and economic viability can be validated to ensure their commercial
feasibility to enter the market place in the intermediate term (2010).
Sustainable Economy - Coal must remain a viable, readily available, and competitive
source of fuel for electric power generation and become a significant
source of transportation fuels and chemical feed stocks in order to
preserve and promote economic growth, energy price stability and
national energy security.
Background for the Clean Coal Technology Program
It is in the U.S. national interest to retain coal as a viable fuel source in order to
preserve fuel flexibility and to assure energy security for the country. In the past, coal
related R&D and technology demonstration efforts have shown that coal can be burned
in a manner that is consistent with the country's economic and environmental goals.
The current Clean Coal Technology Program has demonstrated a number of excellent
options to increase efficiency and reduce emissions. However, full commercial
penetration of these technologies will require building and operating experience from
the next 2-3 early commercial applications for each major technology category, e.g.
APCS, PFBC, IGCC, etc.
In order to install these early commercial applications, the designer, manufacturer,
financier and owner must be willing to accept the technological and economic risk
associated with the not yet fully commercial technology. With impending deregulation,
electricity producers in the U.S. are not able to assume this risk in comparison to
installing conventional technologies. After deregulation, 2005 and beyond, the
developers of new electric generating plants will typically be more risk adverse.
Furthermore, the U.S. currently has ample generating capacity through 2005 and little if
any base-load capacity will be constructed. New capacity, which may be installed, will
most probably be natural gas-fired because of its lower equipment cost and projected
lower cost of gas over the near term. In contrast to the U.S., developing countries will
be installing large amounts of new generating capacity and much of it will be coal-fired.
Therefore it is in the best interests of the U.S. to promote the installation of these early
commercial applications as soon as possible, including consideration of encouraging
U.S. companies and U.S. clean coal technology to be installed overseas. This will:
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
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Page 6
accelerate the availability of commercially mature CCT's so that the option is
available to the U.S. to meet its future economic and environmental goals;
result in real reductions of greenhouse gases wherever these early commercial
applications occur;
keep U.S. industry in the forefront of CCT development and competitive in the
world market place; and
create jobs and favorable economic contributions to the U.S. economy.
Promotion of the installation of these early commercial applications of the CCT's will
require continued R&D funding and new financial incentives to overcome the
associated technological and economic risks.
Criteria for Financial Incentives for the Early Commercial Applications of Clean Coal
Technology:
Tax Incentives are preferred over direct subsidies.
Incentives are to address technical and commercial risk associated with the
development and deployment of a new technology.
Program should be robust enough to encompass all fuels, but have a primary
emphasis on coal.
Program should have a limited timeframe of 2000 to 2012 to address only the
early commercial applications of new technologies.
Incentives would apply only to those technologies that measurably increase
thermal efficiency or reduce carbon emissions in comparison to conventional
technologies.
Incentives should first target domestic markets for deployment of the early
commercial applications, but the incentives should be applicable to international
applications of qualifying U.S. technologies by U.S. companies if domestic
markets fail to offer sufficient opportunities for timely commercialization.
Proposed Financial Incentives for the Early Commercial Applications of Clean Coal
Technology:
The following incentives represent the minimum set of financial mechanisms that
will overcome the higher capital cost and greater operating risk associated with
early commercial applications of CCT's. Exclusion of any one of the incentives will
cause the CCT to become uneconomical or too great a risk for the owner to install the
technology in comparison to conventional technology, which at the present time would
most likely be natural gas combined cycle technology.
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
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Page 7
Proposed Incentives:
Section 1 - Incentives
(1) Investment Tax Credit - The U.S. owner(s) or U.S. parent company(s) of the
owner(s) of a Qualifying Clean Coal Technology, which is installed in the U.S. or
abroad between 2000 and 2012, shall be entitled to a tax credit equal to 20% of
the project owner's equity investment.
(2) Production Tax Credit - The U.S. owner(s) or U.S. parent company(s) of the
owner(s) of a Qualifying Clean Coal Technology, which is installed in the U.S. or
abroad and begins operation between 2000 and 2012, shall receive a production
tax credit for each kilowatt hour generated over the first 10 years of operation and
based on the technologies design net heat rate as indicated in the table below:
Operation
Design Average
Incentive for
Incentive for
beginning
Net Heat Rate,
First 5 years of
Second 5 Years of
during or
Btu/kWh (HHV)*
Operation,
Operation,
before
cents/kWh
cents/kWh
Generated
Generated
8400 or less
1.30
1.10
2004
8401-8550
1.00
0.85
8551-8750
0.90
0.70
7770 or less
1.00
0.80
2008
7771-8125
0.80
0.65
8126-8350
0.70
0.55
7720 or less
0.85
0.70
2012
7721-7380
0.70
0.45
*Note: Increased efficiency is equivalent to a lower Net Heat Rate.
(3) Risk Pool - The federal government would establish a Risk Pool that would
be available to the owner(s) of a Qualifying Clean Coal Technology, which is
installed in the U.S. or abroad, during its first 3 years of operation to offset costs,
if any, for modifications resulting from the technology's failure to achieve its
design performance during start-up and initial operation. The total amount of
recoverable costs shall be limited to 5% of the total installed cost of the project.
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
Rev 4
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Page 8
Section 2 - Definitions:
(a) Conventional Technology - (i) coal-fired combustion technology with a
design average net heat rate of not less than 9,300 Btu/kWh (HHV) and a carbon
equivalents emission rate of not more than 0.53 pounds of carbon per kilowatt
hour; (ii) natural gas-fired combustion technology with a design average net heat
rate of not less than 7,500 Btu/kWh (HHV) and a carbon equivalents emission
rate of not more than 0.24 lbs. of carbon per kilowatt hour.
(b) Clean Coal Technology (CCT's) - advanced technology that utilizes coal to
produce 50% or more of its thermal output as electricity, including advanced
pulverized coal or atmospheric fluidized bed combustion, pressurized fluidized
bed combustion, integrated gasification combined cycle, and any other advanced
combustion technology that exceeds the performance of the conventional
technology specified above.
(c) Qualifying Clean Coal Technology - (i) applications totaling 1,000 MW of
advanced pulverized coal or atmospheric fluidized bed combustion technology
installed as a new, retrofit, or repowering applications and operated between
2000 and 2010 that have a design average net heat rate of not more than 8,750
Btu/kWh; (ii) applications totaling 1,500 MW of pressurized fluidized bed
combustion technology installed as a new, retrofit, or repowering applications and
operated between 2000 and 2012 that have a design average net heat rate of not
more than 8,400 Btu/kWh; (iii) applications totaling 1,500 MW of integrated
gasification combined cycle technology installed as a new, retrofit, or repowering
applications and operated between 2000 and 2012 that have a design average
net heat rate of not more than 8,550 Btu/kWh; and (iv) applications totaling 2000
MW or equivalent of technology for the production of electricity installed as a new,
retrofit, or repowering application and operated between 2000 and 2012 that have
a carbon emission rate that is no more than 85% of conventional technology.
Clean coal technology projects receiving or scheduled to receive funding under
the Department of Energy's Clean Coal Technology Program, shall not be eligible
to be a Qualifying Clean Coal Technology as defined above.
(d) Design Average Net Heat Rate - shall be based on the design average
annual heat input and the design average annual net electrical generating
capacity of the Qualifying Clean Coal Technology at standard conditions. Co-
generation of steam shall not be considered in determining a technology's Design
Average Net Heat Rate.
(e) Project Selection Criteria - shall be established by the Department of Energy
as part of a competitive solicitation for selecting Qualifying Clean Coal
Technologies and the primary selection criteria shall be minimum design average
net heat rate, maximum design average thermal efficiency and lowest cost to the
government. DOE may establish other supplemental selection criteria as
appropriate.
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
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Impact on U.S. Tax Revenue from the Incentives and R&D Program for the Early
Commercial Applications of Clean Coal Technology:
The cost of the tax incentives and Risk Pool appropriations requirements over the first
10 years of the program would be $675 million (1998$). The total cost of the program
over its 22 years life would be $1,502 million.
The EIA³ has estimated that between 1998 and 2020, 24,000 MW of coal-fired and
169,930 MW of natural gas-fired electric generating capacity will be installed in the U.S.
Encouraging the early commercial application of CCT's with a combined generating
capacity of 6,000 MW to be part of this new capacity could be accomplished through a
combination of investment tax credits and production tax credits offered over a limited
number of years. It is anticipated that the 6,000 MW of CCT's will be installed in steps
with each subsequent installation achieving improved operating and financial
performance. It takes approximately 3 years to build a commercial CCT project;
therefore, it is unlikely that any Qualifying CCT's would be placed into service before
2004. Theses CCT's would need to be operated several years to validate their
performance and provide a basis for further improvement of a technology's operating
and financial characteristics.
At the earliest, the next set of CCT's would be placed into service in 2008 with the third
and final set of qualifying CCT's coming on line in 2012. The period during which a
Qualifying CCT must be placed in service to receive the tax credits is 2000 to 2012.
The investment tax credits would apply to the first 4 years of construction and the
production tax credit would apply to the first 10 years of operation. The Risk Pool
would apply to the first 3 years of operation of each Qualifying CCT. The total period
during which Qualifying CCT's could be receiving tax credits would be from 2000 to
2021.
The estimated impact on tax revenues of the credits and the appropriations
requirements of the Risk Pool are shown in the following table:
Financial Impact of Qualifying CCT's Tax Credits
(million 1998 $ NPV)
1999-2003
2004-2008
2009-2013
1999-2021
Investment Tax Credit
$90
$73
$41
$203
Production Tax Credit
$0
$377
$439
$1,023
Risk Pool Appropriation
$0
$135
$117
$276
Total
$90
$585
$597
$1,502
The risk pool exposure to the federal government would be $276 million, which is 5% of
the total installed cost of the CCT's. However, the actual exposure would be less
3 EIA, AEO1998
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
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Page 10
because not all installations would be expected to experience problems severe enough
during start-up and initial operation to require the use of all 5% of their installed cost.
The proposal is not open-ended like many previous tax incentives for developing
technologies. There is an upper limit on the amount of clean coal technology that could
be constructed under these tax incentives. The limitation is included in paragraph (4)
Definitions, in terms of megawatts of capacity. No more than 6,000 MW of CCT's could
receive these tax incentives. The proposal includes scenarios, for analysis purposes,
as to how many plants of different types might be constructed. However, the number
may vary, but not the limitation of 6,000 MW of electricity generating capacity.
An explanation of the assumptions and financial projections for the tax revenue impacts
is contained in attachment A.
Environmental Benefits of the Incentives and R&D Program for the Early Commercial
Applications of Clean Coal Technology:
A common trait among all of the CCT's is an increase in the thermal efficiency of
converting fuel to electricity. Conventional technology being installed around the world
today is approximately 37% efficient. It is anticipated that by 2010, advanced
pulverized coal-fired systems, externally-fired heat exchanger power systems,
advanced gasification combined cycle and advanced pressurized fluidized bed
combustion will be able to achieve efficiencies of 45% to 47%. In addition, by 2020,
hybrids of these same technologies with further improvements, combined with fuel cell
technology are expected to achieve efficiencies of up to 60%.
As a result of these efficiency increases, greenhouse gas emissions of carbon will
decrease by an amount equal to the improvement in efficiency over conventional
technology. Over its forty-year life a conventional 45OMW pulverized coal-fired electric
generating unit would emit 32 million metric tons of carbon. By contrast, an advanced
integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) unit would emit 29 million tonnes if
installed today and would improve to between 26 million tonnes and 21 million tonnes if
the advanced versions were available and installed in 2010 and 2020 respectively.
This represents a potential reduction in carbon emissions of 35%. The DOE has
estimated that the energy savings from increasing efficiency in U.S. coal-fired power
plants to 50% would be the equivalent of:
replacing 1.8 Billion light bulbs with energy saving types; or
weatherizing 490 million homes - more than 5 times the number of U.S.
homes.
The attached graph and table present the estimates of life cycle emissions of
greenhouse gases.
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
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Page 11
The 24,000 MW of conventional coal-fired capacity that EIA has projected to be
installed between 1998-2012 would have an electricity production efficiency of
approximately 37%. While the efficiencies of the 4,000 MW of electricity generating
CCT's that are anticipated to be installed as a result of the tax incentives would range
from 39 to 46%. The greater the efficiency, the lower the amount of emissions for the
same amount of electricity produced. Installation of CCT's as opposed to conventional
coal-fired technology would result in a reduction of carbon emissions of 1.2 million
tonnes by 2008 and 10.7 million tonnes by 2021.
If a sufficient number of early commercial applications of the electricity generating
CCT's were to occur and the technologies reached the anticipated level of economic
and technical performance, it is reasonable to assume that they would account for a
significant portion of the replacement and new generating capacity that would be
installed globally. The global impact of these installations would be to reduce carbon
emissions by an amount proportional to their improvement in efficiency over
conventional technology that would otherwise be installed.
The EIA⁴ projects that total world carbon emissions were 5.8 billion metric tons in 1990
and will increase to 10.5 billion metric tons by 2020. If deployment of CCT's in the
industrialized countries and the developing countries of Asia and Africa resulted in
capacity additions equal to (1) 10% of the coal supplied energy utilized in 2010, (2) 50%
of capacity additions between 2010 and 2015 and (3) 75% of the additions between
2015 and 2020, annual total world carbon emissions could be reduced by 294 million
metric tons in 2020 with further decreases each year in which deployment increased.
This is approximately a 3% reduction of world carbon emissions and is equivalent to
25% (294/1180) of the reduction required from developed countries in 2020 under
provisions similar to those of the Kyoto Protocol. This reduction projection does not
consider generating capacity that will be retired and replaced with advanced
technologies, which would provide further reductions in carbon emissions. The
attached graph and summary table provides an estimate of world carbon emissions on
a regional basis for a business-as-usual case and a deployment of CCT's case.
Research Vision for the Early Commercial Applications of Clean Coal Technology:
The government and industry must work together to support an appropriate balance of
short-term and long-term activities required to develop and commercialize technology
which will permit the economic, efficient, and environmentally compatible use of coal.
This can be accomplished through a sustained collaborative effort between private
industry and government.
Collaboration can best be achieved through communication, cooperation, and
education in the design and execution of a targeted R&D program that focuses on
4 Energy Information Administration, International Energy Outlook 1998 With Projections through 2020,
Washington DC, April 1998.
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
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assisting the development and commercialization of coal utilization technologies. With
limited financial resources, government and industry can leverage available funds
through such a collaborative effort. U.S. based technological progress will be vital for
satisfying domestic and global energy and environmental needs, while supporting
domestic economic well being.
The current portfolio of DOE Fossil Energy programs should continue to be funded with
additional emphasis on those programs that will have the greatest impact on:
efficiency, (e.g. ATS, HIPPS, Ultra-Supercritical Steam Cycle, IGCC and
advanced PFBC); and
component reliability of operation for such technologies as high temperature
particulate filters, hot gas desulfurization, coal feed/ash withdrawal, syngas
burners for advanced PFBC's and IGCC'S, and material technology.
Budget Implications for the Incentives and R&D Program for the Early Commercial
Applications of Clean Coal Technology:
The potential timeframes in which the CCT's in the current DOE portfolio could be
displayed are shown in attachment B. The specific schedules for accomplishing the
development of each program element is primarily a function of budget resources.
Presently, it is not possible to relate the DOE's budget to attachment B and make
meaningful judgments as to how budget reallocations or additions would affect the
availability of each CCT. The main emphasis here will be on efficiency, reliability and
cost.
The DOE should develop its budget for fossil R&D in terms of the elements and
timeframes shown in attachment B so that a common baseline is established for the
CCT program. DOE should recast and explain its current program/budget and
schedule within the appropriate timeframes so that recommendations can be made for
changes to the FY 2000 budget in the near term.
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
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Life Cycle Carbon Emissions From
Clean Coal Technologies
35
32.9
30
2010
2020
25.6
26.5
26.5
25
21.2
21.2
Carbon, Mil Tonnes
20
17.2
15
12.9
10
Not
Availab
5
in 201
0
Conv PC
HIPPS
AGCC
APFBC
IGFC
NGCC
Technologies Commercially Available in 2010 and 2020
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCH
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Page 14
Life Cycle Carbon Emissions from Clean Coal Technologies
Technology
TODAY
2010
2020
Advanced Pulverized Coal-Fired Combustion
Capacity, MW
450
450
Not
Capacity Factor
85
85
Available
Design Efficiency, % HHV
37
45
Design Heat Rate, Btu/kWh HHV
9300
7500
Carbon Emissions,
Mil Tonnes/Year
0.82
0.66
Mil Tonnes/40 Yr Life
32.89
26.52
Difference from Today
6.37
High Performance Power Systems (Externally Fired Heat Exchanger)
Capacity, MW
450
Not
Capacity Factor
85
Available
Design Efficiency, % HHV
47
Design Heat Rate, Btu/kWh HHV
7250
Carbon Emissions,
Mil Tonnes/Year
0.64
Mil Tonnes/40 Yr Life
25.64
Difference from Today
7.25
Gasification Combined Cycle
Advanced
Hybrid
Capacity, MW
450
450
450
Capacity Factor
85
85
85
Design Efficiency, % HHV
41
45
57
Design Heat Rate, Btu/kWh HHV
8200
7500
6000
Carbon Emissions,
Mil Tonnes/Year
0.72
0.66
0.53
MII Tonnes/40 Yr Life
29.00
26.52
21.22
Difference from Today
6.37
11.67
Pressurized Fluidized Bed Combustion
Advanced
Hybrid
Capacity, MW
450
450
450
Capacity Factor
85
85
85
Design Efficiency, % HHV
40
45
57
Design Heat Rate, Btu/kWh HHV
8500
7500
6000
Carbon Emissions,
Mil Tonnes/Year
0.75
0.66
0.53
Mil Tonnes/40 Yr Life
30.06
26.52
21.22
Difference from Today
6.37
11.67
Integrated Gasification Fuel Cell
Capacity, MW
Not
Not
450
Capacity Factor
Available
Available
85
Design Efficiency, % HHV
70
Design Heat Rate, Btu/kWh HHV
4875
Carbon Emissions,
Mil Tonnes/Year
0.43
Mil Tonnes/40 Yr Life
17.24
Difference from Today
15.65
Natural Gas Fired Combine Cycle
Capacity, MW
450
450
450
Capacity Factor
85
85
85
Design Efficiency, % HHV
49
52
52
Design Heat Rate, Btu/kWh HHV
7000
6500
6500
Carbon Emissions,
Mil Tonnes/Year
0.35
0.32
0.32
Mil Tonnes/40 Yr Life
13.92
12.92
12.92
Difference from Today
19.96
19.96
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
Rev 4
11/16/98
Page 15
Impact of Advanced Clean Coal Technology
on World Carbon Emissions
12,000
Adv CCT Developing Countries
10,448
10,154
Adv CCT Developed Countries
10,000
BAU Developing Countries
9,317
9,143
BAU Developed Countries
8,331
8,227
8,000
5,159
4,894
Carbon, Mil Tonnes
4.302
4,156
3,592
3,514
6,000
4,000
4,988
5,260
4,713
2,000
0
2010
2015
2020
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
Rev 4
11/16/98
Page 16
Impact of Advanced Clean Coal Technologies on World Carbon Emissions
2010
2015
2020
Developed Countries
North America
Business As Usual Carbon Emissions, Mil Tonnes
2,105
2,217
2,313
Coal Energy Supplied by Advanced Clean Coal
10%
11%
13%
Carbon Emissions with Advanced CCT, Mil Tonnes
2,092
2,201
2,293
Carbon Reduction, Mil Tonnes/Year
13
16
20
Western Europe
Business As Usual Carbon Emissions, Mil Tonnes
1,101
1,169
1,239
Coal Energy Supplied by Advanced Clean Coal
10%
10%
10%
Carbon Emissions with Advanced CCT, Mil Tonnes
1,096
1,164
1,234
Carbon Reduction, Mil Tonnes/Year
5
5
5
Asia/Pacific
Business As Usual Carbon Emissions, Mil Tonnes
461
485
514
Coal Energy Supplied by Advanced Clean Coal
10%
11%
12%
Carbon Emissions with Advanced CCT, Mil Tonnes
459
482
511
Carbon Reduction, Mil Tonnes/Year
2
3
3
Eastern Europe/Former Soviet Union
Business As Usual Carbon Emissions, Mil Tonnes
1,072
1,144
1,223
Coal Energy Supplied by Advanced Clean Coal
10%
8%
5%
Carbon Emissions with Advanced CCT, Mil Tonnes
1,066
1,139
1,222
Carbon Reduction, Mil Tonnes/Year
6
5
1
Total Developed Countries
Business As Usual Carbon Emissions, Mil Tonnes
4,739
5,015
5,289
Coal Energy Supplied by Advanced Clean Coal
10%
10%
10%
Carbon Emissions with Advanced CCT, Mil Tonnes
4,713
4,988
5,260
Carbon Reduction, Mil Tonnes/Year
26
27
29
Developing Countries
Asia/Pacific
Business As Usual Carbon Emissions, Mil Tonnes
2,603
3,158
3,835
Coal Energy Supplied by Advanced Clean Coal
10%
17%
28%
Carbon Emissions with Advanced CCT, Mil Tonnes
2,572
3,086
3,660
Carbon Reduction, Mil Tonnes/Year
31
72
175
Middle East
Business As Usual Carbon Emissions, Mil Tonnes
322
363
409
Coal Energy Supplied by Advanced Clean Coal
0%
0%
0%
Carbon Emissions with Advanced CCT, Mil Tonnes
315
344
388
Carbon Reduction, Mil Tonnes/Year
7
19
21
Africa
Business As Usual Carbon Emissions, Mil Tonnes
276
306
341
Coal Energy Supplied by Advanced Clean Coal
10%
12%
17%
Carbon Emissions with Advanced CCT, Mil Tonnes
245
274
302
Carbon Reduction, Mil Tonnes/Year
31
32
39
Central & South America
Business As Usual Carbon Emissions, Mil Tonnes
391
475
574
Coal Energy Supplied by Advanced Clean Coal
0%
0%
0%
Carbon Emissions with Advanced CCT, Mil Tonnes
382
452
545
Carbon Reduction, Mil Tonnes/Year
9
23
29
Total Developing Countries
Business As Usual Carbon Emissions, Mil Tonnes
3,592
4,302
5,159
Coal Energy Supplied by Advanced Clean Coal
10%
17%
27%
Carbon Emissions with Advanced CCT, Mil Tonnes
3,514
4,156
4,894
Carbon Reduction, Mil Tonnes/Year
78
146
265
Total World
Business As Usual Carbon Emissions, Mil Tonnes
8,331
9,317
10,448
Coal Energy Supplied by Advanced Clean Coal
10%
14%
21%
Carbon Emissions with Advanced CCT, Mil Tonnes
8,227
9,143
10,154
Carbon Reduction, Mil Tonnes/Year
104
174
294
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
Clinton Presidential Records
Digital Records Marker
This is not a presidential record. This is used as an administrative
marker by the William J. Clinton Presidential Library Staff.
This marker identifies the place of a tabbed divider. Given our
digitization capabilities, we are sometimes unable to adequately
scan such dividers. The title from the original document is
indicated below.
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Divider Title:
Rev 4
11/16/98
Page 17
Attachment A
Financial Analysis of Tax Credits and Risk Pool Appropriation Requirements
The financial analysis examines the level of tax credits that would be required to have a
developer of electricity generating capacity to undertake an early commercial
application of an emerging clean coal technology (CCT). The level of tax credits
required is determined through a comparison of the revenue requirements for building
and operating a CCT plant and a natural gas-fired combined cycle (NGCC) plant. The
NGCC plant, in many applications in the US, represents the electricity generating
technology that has the lowest capital costs and produces the lowest cost electricity.
This comparison is intended to be a "first-look" at this question with only first order
effects being modeled and the assumptions have not been refined beyond that point.
The average price per MWh was calculated for the NGCC plant to produce an internal
rate of return for the project cash flows, after taxes, which is equal to the weighted
average cost of capital after taxes. The weighted average cost of capital reflects a 10%
interest rate for debt, 25% owner's equity and a required rate of return on equity of
18%. The results of this calculation are shown for NGCC plants that begin operation in
2004, 2008 and 2012.
The CCT's are currently in the early stage of commercialization and as a result have
higher capital and operating costs and exhibit a higher level of risk associated with
achieving its design performance. In order to encourage a developer to install a CCT,
financial incentives must be offered to overcome the inherently higher financial and
operating risk of an emerging technology. The financial incentives must be great
enough for the CCT to compete with the lowest cost alternative energy source. In this
analysis, that is assumed to be a NGCC plant.
To determine the required level of financial incentives, the present value of the cash
flows for each CCT assumed to be installed are calculated assuming that the average
price of electricity is the same as for the NGCC plant. The cash flow from the CCT is
increased by the application of an investment tax credit and a production tax credit until
the internal rate of return of the cash flows is equivalent to the weighted average cost of
capital after taxes.
To determine the impact of the financial incentives on tax revenues, the analysis
assumes that one each of three different CCT's would be installed in 2004. These
would be one 500MW advanced pulverized coal-fired plant (AdvPCF2004), one 500MW
pressurized fluidized bed plant (PFBC) and one 500MW integrated gasification
combined cycle plant (IGCC). It takes approximately 3 years to build a CCT plant and
that is why no plants begin operation before 2004. In order to benefit from the
experience gained from the first units, the second set of the same technologies are
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
Rev 4
11/16/98
Page 18
assumed to begin operation in 2008. The final 2 installations begin operation in 2012,
but only a PFBC and an IGCC unit are assumed to be installed because AdvPCF is
assumed to have reached its maximum level of performance with the 2008 installation.
A third and equally necessary financial incentive (the "Risk Pool") is also calculated for
each installation. The Risk Pool is to be established by appropriations from the U.S.
government and authorized only if a qualifying CCT plant could not meet its design
performance and had to be modified during the initial start-up or first 3 years of
operation. The level of federal funding would be limited to 5% of the installed capital
costs of the plant. The values of the tax incentives and risk pool are discounted to 1998
dollars at the current 30-year Treasury bill rate of 6%.
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
Attachment A
Financial Analysis of Tax Credits and Risk Pool Appropriation Requirements
Tax Revenue, Appropriations and Environmental Impacts - Electricity Production
4/17/98
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2021
Tax Revenue Impacts, $x000
Installed
Installed
Capacity
Cost
Technology
MW
$/KW
Adv PCF
Investment Tax Credit
500
1,150
$37,335
Production Tax Credit
$29,565
$29,565
$29,565
$29,565
$29,565
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
Investment Tax Credit
500
1,095
$38,480
Production Tax Credit
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$18,068
$18,068
PFBC
Investment Tax Credit
500
1,250
$40,582
Production Tax Credit
$32,850
$32,850
$32,850
$32,850
$32,850
$27,923
$27,923
$27,923
$27,923
$27,923
Investment Tax Credit
500
1,190
$41,818
Production Tax Credit
$26,280
$26,280
$26,280
$26,280
$26,280
$21,353
$21,353
Investment Tax Credit
500
1,130
$42,983
Production Tax Credit
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$14,783
IGCC
Investment Tax Credit
500
1,300
$42,205
Production Tax Credit
$42,705
$42,705
$42,705
$42,705
$42,705
$37,778
$37,778
$37,778
$37,778
$37,778
Investment Tax Credit
500
1,205
$42,345
Production Tax Credit
$32,850
$32,850
$32,850
$32,850
$32,850
$26,280
$26,280
Investment Tax Credit
500
1,145
$43,554
Production Tax Credit
$27,923
$27,923
$27,923
$22,995
Total Revenue Impact
Investment Tax Credit
4,000
1,183
$120,122
$0
$0
$0
$122,644
$0
$0
$0
$86,537
Production Tax Credit
$105,120
$105,120
$105,120
$105,120
$187,245
$170,820
$170,820
$170,820
$221,738
$205,313
$116,618
$37,778
Total
$120,122
$105,120
$105,120
$105,120
$227,764
$187,245
$170,820
$170,820
$257,357
$221,738
$205,313
$116,618
$37,778
Total Revenue Impact (1998$, Discounted @ T-Bill rate of 6%)
Investment Tax Credit
$89,762
$0
$0
$0
$72,593
$0
$0
$0
$40,572
$0
$0
$0
$0
Production Tax Credit
$0
$74,105
$69,911
$65,954
$62,220
$104,557
$89,986
$84,892
$80,087
$98,075
$85,670
$45,906
$9,890
Total
$89,762
$74,105
$69,911
$65,954
$134,813
$104,557
$89,986
$84,892
$120,659
$98,075
$85,670
$45,906
$9,890
Total Revenue 1999-2003 (1998$)
$89,762
Total Revenue 2004-2008 (1998$)
$449,340
Total Revenue 1999-2021 (1998$)
$1,225,919
Page A-1
incelec6 xls
Attachment A
Financial Analysis of Tax Credits and Risk Pool Appropriation Requirements
Tax Revenue, Appropriations and Environmental Impacts - Electricity Production
4/17/98
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2021
Risk Pool Appropriations, $x000
Adv PCF
$12,445
$12,445
$12,445
$12,827
$12,827
$12,827
PFBC
$13,527
$13,527
$13,527
$13,939
$13,939
$13,939
$14,328
$14,328
$14,328
IGCC
$14,068
$14,068
$14,068
$14,115
$14,115
$14,115
$14,518
$14,518
$14,518
Total
$40,041
$40,041
$40,041
$40,881
$40,881
$40,881
$28,846
$28,846
$28,846
Total (1998$)
$33,619
$33,619
$33,619
$34,325
$34,325
$34,325
$24,219
$24,219
$24,219
Total 1999-2003(1998$)
$0
Total 2004-2008(1998$)
$135,181
Total 1999-2021(1998$)
$276,489
Carbon Equivalents Reductions (100 Year Warming Potential), Tonnes
Heat
Rate
Thermal
Technology
Btu/kWh
Efficiency
Conventional PCF
9,300
37%
Adv PCF
8,750
39%
46,506
46,506
46,506
46,506
46,506
46,506
46,506
46,506
46,506
46,506
46,506
46,506
8,315
41%
83,288
83,288
83,288
83,288
83,288
83,288
83,288
83,288
PFBC
8,550
40%
63,417
63,417
63,417
63,417
63,417
63,417
63,417
63,417
63,417
63,417
63,417
63,417
8,125
42%
99,353
99,353
99,353
99,353
99,353
99,353
99,353
99,353
7,720
44%
133,598
133,598
133,598
133,598
IGCC
6,400
41%
76,100
76,100
76,100
76,100
76,100
76,100
76,100
76,100
76,100
76,100
76,100
76,100
7,770
44%
129,371
129,371
129,371
129,371
129,371
129,371
129,371
129,371
7,380
46%
162,347
162,347
162,347
162,347
Total Reduction
186,023
186,023
186,023
186,023
498,034
498,034
498,034
498,034
793,980
793,980
793,980
793,980
1999-2003
0
2004-2008
1,242,126
$/Tonne
471
1999-2021
10,676,028
$/Tonne
141
Page A-2
incelec6.xls
Attachment A
NGCC 500 MW Plant (2004)
4/17/98
capacity
500
MW
capital carrying charges
13.50%
heat rate
7000
Btu/kWh
depreciation
Straight Line
fuel cost
$2.64
/mmBtu
initial cost
$525
/kW
fuel escalation
3.0%
% debt financing
75%
inflation, O&M and capital
2.0%
cost of debt
10%
non-fuel variable O&M
1
$/MWh
cost of equity
18%
fixed O&M
9
$/kW-yr
weighted ave cost of capital after ta
9.45%
capacity factor
75%
G&A
2%
generation
3,285,000
MWh
tax rate
34%
book life
20
years
construction expenditure cycle
useful life
30
years
year
1
30%
loan term
20
years
year
2
40%
discount rate
6.0%
year
3
30%
Construction Period
Investment
2001
2002
2003
2004
year
1998
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
initial cost
$262,500
$83,570
$113,655
$86,946
$340,886
Revenue
electricity price, $/MWh
$36.73
$41.36
$42.19
$43.04
$43.90
$44.77
$45.67
$46.58
$47.51
$48.46
$49.43
electricity revenue
$135,881
$138,598
$141,370
$144,198
$147,081
$150,023
$153,024
$156,084
$159,206
$162,390
Expenses
fuel expense
$72,487
$74,662
$76,902
$79,209
$81,585
$84,032
$86,553
$89,150
$91,824
$94,579
non-fuel O&M
$3,699
$3,773
$3,849
$3,926
$4,004
$4,084
$4,166
$4,249
$4,334
$4,421
fixed O&M
$5,068
$5,169
$5,272
$5,378
$5,485
$5,595
$5,707
$5,821
$5,938
$6,056
total annual production expenses
$81,254
$83,604
$86,023
$88,512
$91,075
$93,712
$96,427
$99,221
$102,097
$105,057
electricity production expense, $/MWh
$24.73
$25.45
$26.19
$26.94
$27.72
$28.53
$29.35
$30.20
$31.08
$31.98
depreciation
$17,044
$17,044
$17,044
$17,044
$17,044
$17,044
$17,044
$17,044
$17,044
$17,044
G&A
$6,818
$6,818
$6,818
$6,818
$6,818
$6,818
$6,818
$6,818
$6,818
$6,818
total expenses
$105,116
$107,466
$109,885
$112,374
$114,937
$117,574
$120,289
$123,083
$125,959
$128,919
Net Income Before Taxes
$30,764
$31,132
$31,485
$31,823
$32,145
$32,449
$32,735
$33,001
$33,247
$33,471
cash flow, NIBT+depreciation
($340,886)
$47,809
$48,176
$48,529
$48,867
$49,189
$49,493
$49,779
$50,046
$50,291
$50,515
taxes
$10,460
$10,585
$10,705
$10,820
$10,929
$11,033
$11,130
$11,220
$11,304
$11,380
Net Income
$20,304
$20,547
$20,780
$21,003
$21,216
$21,416
$21,605
$21,781
$21,943
$22,091
cash flow= NI + depreciation
($340,886)
$37,349
$37,591
$37,825
$38,048
$38,260
$38,461
$38,649
$38,825
$38,987
$39,135
IRR after taxes
9.45%
PV Investment
($308,751)
PV NI + depreciation @ WACC
$308,855
Page A-3
incelec6.xls
Attachment A
Advanced Pulverized Coal-Fired 500 MW Plant (2004)
4/17/98
capacity
500
MW
capital carrying charges
13.50%
Investment tax credit
20.0%
of Owners equity
heat rate
8750
Btu/kWh
depreciation
Straight Line
Production tax credit
fuel cost
$1.20
/mmBtu
initial cost
$1,150
/kW
1st 5 years of operation
$9.00
per megawatt hour
fuel escalation
1.5%
% debt financing
75%
2nd five years of operation
$7.00
per megawatt hour
inflation
2.0%
cost of debt
10%
Risk Pool
5.00%
of capital investment, years 1-3
non-fuel variable O&M
3.25
$/MWh
cost of equity
18%
fixed O&M
16.5
$/kW-yr
weighted ave cost of capital
9.45%
capacity factor
75%
G&A
2%
generation
3,285,000
MWh
tax rate
34%
book life
20
years
construction expenditure cycle
useful life
30
years
year
1
30%
loan term
20
years
year
2
40%
T Bill rate
6.0%
year
3
30%
Construction Period
Investment
year
1998
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
initial cost
$575,000
$183,058
$248,959
$190,454
$746,702
Revenue
electricity price, $/MWh
$36.73
$41.36
$42.19
$43.04
$43.90
$44.77
$45.67
$46.58
$47.51
$48.46
$49.43
electricity revenue
$135,881
$138,598
$141,370
$144,198
$147,081
$150,023
$153,024
$156,084
$159,206
$162,390
Expenses
fuel expense
$37,716
$38,281
$38,856
$39,438
$40,030
$40,630
$41,240
$41,858
$42,486
$43,124
non-fuel O&M
$12,023
$12,264
$12,509
$12,759
$13,014
$13,275
$13,540
$13,811
$14,087
$14,369
fixed O&M
$9,291
$9,477
$9,666
$9,860
$10,057
$10,258
$10,463
$10,672
$10,886
$11,103
total annual production expenses
$59,030
$60,022
$61,031
$62,057
$63,101
$64,163
$65,243
$66,342
$67,459
$68,596
electricity production expense, $/MWh
$17.97
$18.27
$18.58
$18.89
$19.21
$19.53
$19.86
$20.20
$20.54
$20.88
depreciation (investment -ITC)/20
$35,468
$35,468
$35,468
$35,468
$35,468
$35,468
$35,468
$35,468
$35,468
$35,468
G&A
$14,934
$14,934
$14,934
$14,934
$14,934
$14,934
$14,934
$14,934
$14,934
$14,934
total expenses
$109,432
$110,424
$111,433
$112,459
$113,503
$114,565
$115,645
$116,744
$117,862
$118,998
Net Income Before Taxes
$26,449
$28,174
$29,937
$31,738
$33,578
$35,458
$37,378
$39,340
$41,344
$43,392
taxes
$8,993
$9,579
$10,179
$10,791
$11,417
$12,056
$12,709
$13,376
$14,057
$14,753
Net Income
$17,456
$18,595
$19,758
$20,947
$22,162
$23,402
$24,670
$25,964
$27,287
$28,638
Investment tax credit
$37,335
Production tax credit
$29,565
$29,565
$29,565
$29,565
$29,565
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
cash flow= NI + depreciation
($709,367)
$82,489
$83,628
$84,792
$85,981
$87,195
$81,866
$83,133
$84,428
$85,751
$87,102
IRR after Taxes
9.52%
PV Investment
($642,495)
PV NI + depreciation @ WACC
$645,562
Risk pool appropriation
$12,445
$12,445
$12,445
Page A-4
incelec6.xis
Attachment A
Pressurized Fluidized Bed Combustion 500 MW Plant (2004)
4/17/98
capacity
500
MW
capital carrying charges
13.50%
Investment tax credit
20.0%
of Owners equity
heat rate
8550
Btu/kWh
depreciation
Straight Line
Production tax credit
fuel cost
$1.20
/mmBtu
initial cost
$1,250
/kW
1st 5 years of operation
$10.00
per megawatt hour
fuel escalation
1.5%
% debt financing
75%
2nd five years of operation
$8.50
per megawatt hour
inflation
2.0%
cost of debt
10%
Risk Pool
5.0%
of capital investment, years 1-3
non-fuel variable O&M
2.5
$/MWh
cost of equity
18%
fixed O&M
14
$/kW-yr
weighted ave cost of capital
9%
capacity factor
75%
G&A
2%
generation
3,285,000
MWh
tax rate
34%
book life
20
years
construction expenditure cycle
useful life
30
years
year
1
30%
loan term
20
years
year
2
40%
T Bill Rate
6.0%
year
3
30%
Construction Period
Investment
year
1998
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
initial cost
$625,000
$198,977
$270,608
$207,015
$811,633
Revenue
electricity price, $/MWh
$36.73
$41.36
$42.19
$43.04
$43.90
$44.77
$45.67
$46.58
$47.51
$48.46
$49.43
electricity revenue
$135,881
$138,598
$141,370
$144,198
$147,081
$150,023
$153,024
$156,084
$159,206
$162,390
Expenses
fuel expense
$36,854
$37,406
$37,967
$38,537
$39,115
$39,702
$40,297
$40,902
$41,515
$42,138
non-fuel O&M
$9,249
$9,434
$9,622
$9,815
$10,011
$10,211
$10,415
$10,624
$10,836
$11,053
fixed O&M
$7,883
$8,041
$8,202
$8,366
$8,533
$8,704
$8,878
$9,055
$9,236
$9,421
total annual production expenses
$53,985
$54,881
$55,791
$56,717
$57,659
$58,617
$59,590
$60,581
$61,588
$62,612
electricity production expense, $/MWh
$16.43
$16.71
$16.98
$17.27
$17.55
$17.84
$18.14
$18.44
$18.75
$19.06
depreciation (investment -ITC)/20
$38,553
$38,553
$38,553
$38,553
$38,553
$38,553
$38,553
$38,553
$38,553
$38,553
G&A
$16,233
$16,233
$16,233
$16,233
$16,233
$16,233
$16,233
$16,233
$16,233
$16,233
total expenses
$108,770
$109,666
$110,576
$111,502
$112,444
$113,402
$114,376
$115,366
$116,373
$117,397
Net Income Before Taxes
$27,110
$28,932
$30,794
$32,695
$34,637
$36,621
$38,648
$40,718
$42,833
$44,993
taxes
$9,217
$9,837
$10,470
$11,116
$11,777
$12,451
$13,140
$13,844
$14,563
$15,298
Net Income
$17,893
$19,095
$20,324
$21,579
$22,861
$24,170
$25,508
$26,874
$28,270
$29,695
Investment tax credit
$40,582
Production tax credit
$32,850
$32,850
$32,850
$32,850
$32,850
$27,923
$27,923
$27,923
$27,923
$27,923
cash flow= NI + depreciation
($771,051)
$89,295
$90,498
$91,726
$92,981
$94,263
$90,645
$91,983
$93,349
$94,745
$96,170
IRR
9.48%
PV Investment
($698,365)
PV NI + depreciation @ WACC
$699,872
Risk pool appropriation
$13,527
$13,527
$13,527
Page A-5
incelec6.xls
Attachment A
Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle 500MW Plant (2004)
4/17/98
capacity
500
MW
capital carrying charges
13.50%
Investment tax credit
20.0%
of Owners equity
heat rate
8400
Btu/kWh
depreciation
Straight Line
Production tax credit
fuel cost
$1.20
/mmBtu
initial cost
$1,300
/kW
1st 5 years of operation
$13.00
per megawatt hour
fuel escalation
1.5%
% debt financing
75%
2nd five years of operation
$11.50
per megawatt hour
inflation
2.0%
cost of debt
10%
Risk Pool
5.0%
of capital investment, years 1-3
non-fuel variable O&M
2.25
$/MWh
cost of equity
18%
fixed O&M
25
$/kW-yr
weighted ave cost of capital
9%
capacity factor
75%
G&A
2%
generation
3,285,000
MWh
tax rate
34%
book life
20
years
construction expenditure cycle
useful life
30
years
year
1
30%
loan term
20
years
year
2
40%
T Bill Rate
6.0%
year
3
30%
Construction Period
Investment
year
1998
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
initial cost
$650,000
$206,936
$281,432
$215,296
$844,098
Revenue
electricity price, $/MWh
$36.73
$41.36
$42.19
$43.04
$43.90
$44.77
$45.67
$46.58
$47.51
$48.46
$49.43
electricity revenue
$135,881
$138,598
$141,370
$144,198
$147,081
$150,023
$153,024
$156,084
$159,206
$162,390
Expenses
fuel expense
$36,207
$36,750
$37,301
$37,861
$38,429
$39,005
$39,590
$40,184
$40,787
$41,399
non-fuel O&M
$8,324
$8,490
$8,660
$8,833
$9,010
$9,190
$9,374
$9,561
$9,753
$9,948
fixed O&M
$14,077
$14,359
$14,646
$14,939
$15,237
$15,542
$15,853
$16,170
$16,493
$16,823
total annual production expenses
$58,608
$59,599
$60,607
$61,633
$62,676
$63,737
$64,817
$65,916
$67,033
$68,170
electricity production expense, $/MWh
$17.84
$18.14
$18.45
$18.76
$19.08
$19.40
$19.73
$20.07
$20.41
$20.75
depreciation (investment -ITC)/20
$40,095
$40,095
$40,095
$40,095
$40,095
$40,095
$40,095
$40,095
$40,095
$40,095
G&A
$16,882
$16,882
$16,882
$16,882
$16,882
$16,882
$16,882
$16,882
$16,882
$16,882
total expenses
$115,584
$116,575
$117,584
$118,609
$119,653
$120,714
$121,794
$122,892
$124,010
$125,146
Net Income Before Taxes
$20,296
$22,023
$23,786
$25,588
$27,429
$29,309
$31,230
$33,192
$35,196
$37,244
taxes
$6,901
$7,488
$8,087
$8,700
$9,326
$9,965
$10,618
$11,285
$11,967
$12,663
Net Income after Taxes
$13,395
$14,535
$15,699
$16,888
$18,103
$19,344
$20,612
$21,907
$23,229
$24,581
Investment tax credit
$42,205
Production tax credit
$42,705
$42,705
$42,705
$42,705
$42,705
$37,778
$37,778
$37,778
$37,778
$37,778
cash flow= NI + depreciation
($801,893)
$96,195
$97,335
$98,499
$99,688
$100,903
$97,216
$98,484
$99,779
$101,102
$102,453
IRR
9.50%
PV Investment
($726,299)
PV NI + depreciation @ WACC
$728,636
Risk pool appropriation
$14,068
$14,068
$14,068
Page A-6
incelec6.xls
NGCC 500 MW Plant (2008)
4/17/98
capacity
500
MW
capital carrying charges
13.50%
heat rate
6750
Btu/kWh
depreciation
Straight Line
fuel cost
$2.64
/mmBtu
initial cost
$525
/kW
fuel escalation
3.0%
% debt financing
75%
inflation
2.0%
cost of debt
10%
non-fuel variable O&M
1
$/MWh
cost of equity
18%
fixed O&M
9
$/kW-yr
weighted ave cost of capital
9%
capacity factor
75%
G&A
2%
generation
3,285,000
MWh
tax rate
34%
book life
20
years
construction expenditure cycle
useful life
30
years
year
1
30%
loan term
20
years
year
2
40%
discount rate
6.0%
year
3
30%
Construction Period
Investment
year
1998
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
initial cost
$262,500
$90,459
$123,024
$94,114
$368,986
Revenue
electricity price, $/MWh
$36.78
$44.83
$45.73
$46.65
$47.58
$48.53
$49.50
$50.49
$51.50
$52.53
$53.58
revenue
$147,282
$150,227
$153,232
$156,297
$159,422
$162,611
$165,863
$169,180
$172,564
$176,015
Expenses
fuel expense
$78,671
$81,031
$83,462
$85,966
$88,545
$91,201
$93,937
$96,756
$99,658
$102,648
non-fuel O&M
$4,004
$4,084
$4,166
$4,249
$4,334
$4,421
$4,510
$4,600
$4,692
$4,786
fixed O&M
$5,485
$5,595
$5,707
$5,821
$5,938
$6,056
$6,178
$6,301
$6,427
$6,556
total annual production expenses
$88,161
$90,711
$93,335
$96,037
$98,817
$101,679
$104,625
$107,656
$110,777
$113,989
electricity production expense, $/MWh
$26.84
$27.61
$28.41
$29.23
$30.08
$30.95
$31.85
$32.77
$33.72
$34.70
depreciation
$18,449
$18,449
$18,449
$18,449
$18,449
$18,449
$18,449
$18,449
$18,449
$18,449
G&A
$7,380
$7,380
$7,380
$7,380
$7,380
$7,380
$7,380
$7,380
$7,380
$7,380
total expenses
$113,990
$116,540
$119,164
$121,866
$124,646
$127,508
$130,454
$133,485
$136,606
$139,818
Net Income Before Taxes
$33,292
$33,687
$34,067
$34,431
$34,776
$35,103
$35,410
$35,695
$35,958
$36,197
taxes
$11,319
$11,454
$11,583
$11,706
$11,824
$11,935
$12,039
$12,136
$12,226
$12,307
Net Income after Taxes
$21,973
$22,234
$22,485
$22,724
$22,952
$23,168
$23,370
$23,559
$23,732
$23,890
cash flow= NI + depreciation
($368,986)
$40,422
$40,683
$40,934
$41,174
$41,402
$41,617
$41,820
$42,008
$42,181
$42,339
IRR
9.45%
PV Investment
($308,751)
PV NI + depreciation @ WACC
$308,720
Page A-7
incelec6.xls
Attachment A
Advanced Pulverized Coal-Fired 500 MW Plant (2008)
4/17/98
capacity
500
MW
capital carrying charges
13.50%
Investment tax credit
20.0%
of Owners equity
heat rate
8315
Btu/kWh
depreciation
Straight Line
Production tax credit
fuel cost
$1.20
/mmBtu
initial cost
$1,095
/kW
1st 5 years of operation
$7.00
per megawatt hour
fuel escalation
1.5%
% debt financing
75%
2nd five years of operation
$5.50
per megawatt hour
inflation
2.0%
cost of debt
10%
Risk Pool
5.0%
of capital investment, years 1-3
non-fuel variable O&M
2.25
$/MWh
cost of equity
18%
fixed O&M
25
$/kW-yr
weighted ave cost of capital
9%
capacity factor
75%
G&A
2%
generation
3,285,000
MWh
tax rate
34%
book life
20
years
construction expenditure cycle
useful life
30
years
year
1
30%
loan term
20
years
year
2
40%
T Bill Rate
6.0%
year
3
30%
Construction Period
Investment
year
1998
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
initial cost
$547,500
$188,672
$256,593
$196,294
$769,599
Revenue
electricity price, $/MWh
$36.78
$44.83
$45.73
$46.65
$47.58
$48.53
$49.50
$50.49
$51.50
$52.53
$53.58
electricity revenue
$147,282
$150,227
$153,232
$156,297
$159,422
$162,611
$165,863
$169,180
$172,564
$176,015
Expenses
fuel expense
$38,040
$38,610
$39,190
$39,777
$40,374
$40,980
$41,594
$42,218
$42,852
$43,494
non-fuel O&M
$9,010
$9,190
$9,374
$9,561
$9,753
$9,948
$10,147
$10,350
$10,557
$10,768
fixed O&M
$15,237
$15,542
$15,853
$16,170
$16,493
$16,823
$17,160
$17,503
$17,853
$18,210
total annual production expenses
$62,287
$63,343
$64,417
$65,509
$66,620
$67,751
$68,901
$70,071
$71,261
$72,472
electricity production expense, $/MWh
$18.96
$19.28
$19.61
$19.94
$20.28
$20.62
$20.97
$21.33
$21.69
$22.06
depreciation (investment -ITC)/20
$36,556
$36,556
$36,556
$36,556
$36,556
$36,556
$36,556
$36,556
$36,556
$36,556
G&A
$15,392
$15,392
$15,392
$15,392
$15,392
$15,392
$15,392
$15,392
$15,392
$15,392
total expenses
$114,235
$115,291
$116,364
$117,457
$118,568
$119,699
$120,849
$122,019
$123,209
$124,420
Net Income Before Taxes
$33,047
$34,937
$36,867
$38,840
$40,854
$42,912
$45,014
$47,162
$49,355
$51,595
taxes
$11,236
$11,878
$12,535
$13,205
$13,890
$14,590
$15,305
$16,035
$16,781
$17,542
Net Income after Taxes
$21,811
$23,058
$24,332
$25,634
$26,964
$28,322
$29,709
$31,127
$32,574
$34,053
Investment tax credit
$38,480
Production tax credit
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$18,068
$18,068
$18,068
$18,068
$18,068
cash flow= NI + depreciation
($731,119)
$81,362
$82,609
$83,883
$85,185
$86,515
$82,946
$84,333
$85,750
$87,198
$88,676
IRR
9.44%
PV Investment
($611,767)
PV NI + depreciation @ WACC
$611,361
Risk pool appropriation
$12,827
$12,827
$12,827
Page A-8
incelec6.xls
Attachment A
Pressurized Fluidized Bed Combustion 500 MW Plant (2008)
4/17/98
capacity
500
MW
capital carrying charges
13.50%
Investment tax credit
20.0%
of Owners equity
heat rate
8125
Btu/kWh
depreciation
Straight Line
Production tax credit
fuel cost
$1.20
/mmBtu
initial cost
$1,190
/kW
1st 5 years of operation
$8.00
per megawatt hour
fuel escalation
1.5%
% debt financing
75%
2nd five years of operation
$6.50
per megawatt hour
inflation
2.0%
cost of debt
10%
Risk Pool
5.0%
of capital investment, years 1-3
non-fuel variable O&M
2.5
$/MWh
cost of equity
18%
fixed O&M
14
$/kW-yr
weighted ave cost of capital
9%
capacity factor
75%
G&A
2%
generation
3,285,000
MWh
tax rate
34%
book life
20
years
construction expenditure cycle
useful life
30
years
year
1
30%
loan term
20
years
year
2
40%
T Bill Rate
6.0%
year
3
30%
Construction Period
Investment
year
1998
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
initial cost
$595,000
$205,040
$278,855
$213,324
$836,367
Revenue
electricity price, $/MWh
$36.78
$44.83
$45.73
$46.65
$47.58
$48.53
$49.50
$50.49
$51.50
$52.53
$53.58
electricity revenue
$147,282
$150,227
$153,232
$156,297
$159,422
$162,611
$165,863
$169,180
$172,564
$176,015
Expenses
fuel expense
$37,171
$37,728
$38,294
$38,869
$39,452
$40,043
$40,644
$41,254
$41,872
$42,501
non-fuel O&M
$10,011
$10,211
$10,415
$10,624
$10,836
$11,053
$11,274
$11,499
$11,729
$11,964
fixed O&M
$8,533
$8,704
$8,878
$9,055
$9,236
$9,421
$9,609
$9,802
$9,998
$10,198
total annual production expenses
$55,715
$56,643
$57,587
$58,548
$59,524
$60,517
$61,528
$62,555
$63,600
$64,662
electricity production expense, $/MWh
$16.96
$17.24
$17.53
$17.82
$18.12
$18.42
$18.73
$19.04
$19.36
$19.68
depreciation (investment -ITC)/20
$39,727
$39,727
$39,727
$39,727
$39,727
$39,727
$39,727
$39,727
$39,727
$39,727
G&A
$16,727
$16,727
$16,727
$16,727
$16,727
$16,727
$16,727
$16,727
$16,727
$16,727
total expenses
$112,169
$113,098
$114,042
$115,002
$115,979
$116,972
$117,982
$119,010
$120,054
$121,117
Net Income Before Taxes
$35,112
$37,129
$39,190
$41,294
$43,443
$45,639
$47,881
$50,171
$52,510
$54,898
taxes
$11,938
$12,624
$13,325
$14,040
$14,771
$15,517
$16,279
$17,058
$17,853
$18,665
Net Income after Taxes
$23,174
$24,505
$25,865
$27,254
$28,673
$30,122
$31,601
$33,113
$34,656
$36,233
Investment tax credit
$41,818
Production tax credit
$26,280
$26,280
$26,280
$26,280
$26,280
$21,353
$21,353
$21,353
$21,353
$21,353
cash flow= NI + depreciation
($794,549)
$89,182
$90,513
$91,873
$93,262
$94,680
$91,202
$92,681
$94,193
$95,736
$97,313
IRR
9.49%
PV Investment
($664,843)
PV NI + depreciation @ WACC
$666,772
Risk pool appropriation
$13,939
$13,939
$13,939
Page A-9
incelec6 xls
Attachment A
Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle 500MW Plant (2008)
capacity
500
MW
capital carrying charges
13.50%
Investment tax credit
20.0%
of Owners equity
heat rate
7770
Btu/kWh
depreciation
Straight Line
Production tax credit
fuel cost
$1.20
/mmBtu
initial cost
$1,205
/kW
1st 5 years of operation
$10.00
per megawatt hour
fuel escalation
1.5%
% debt financing
75%
2nd five years of operation
$8.00
per megawatt hour
inflation
2.0%
cost of debt
10%
Risk Pool
5.0%
of capital investment, years 1-3
non-fuel variable O&M
2.25
$/MWh
cost of equity
18%
fixed O&M
25
$/kW-yr
weighted ave cost of capital
9%
capacity factor
75%
G&A
2%
generation
3,285,000
MWh
tax rate
34%
book life
20
years
construction expenditure cycle
useful life
30
years
year
1
30%
loan term
20
years
year
2
40%
T Bill Rate
6.0%
year
3
30%
Construction Period
Investment
year
1998
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
initial cost
$602,500
$207,625
$282,370
$216,013
$846,910
4/17/98
Revenue
electricity price, $/MWh
$36.78
$44.83
$45.73
$46.65
$47.58
$48.53
$49.50
$50.49
$51.50
$52.53
$53.58
electricity revenue
$147,282
$150,227
$153,232
$156,297
$159,422
$162,611
$165,863
$169,180
$172,564
$176,015
Expenses
fuel expense
$35,547
$36,080
$36,621
$37,170
$37,728
$38,294
$38,868
$39,451
$40,043
$40,644
non-fuel O&M
$9,010
$9,190
$9,374
$9,561
$9,753
$9,948
$10,147
$10,350
$10,557
$10,768
fixed O&M
$15,237
$15,542
$15,853
$16,170
$16,493
$16,823
$17,160
$17,503
$17,853
$18,210
total annual production expenses
$59,794
$60,812
$61,848
$62,902
$63,974
$65,065
$66,175
$67,304
$68,453
$69,621
electricity production expense, $/MWh
$18.20
$18.51
$18.83
$19.15
$19.47
$19.81
$20.14
$20.49
$20.84
$21.19
depreciation (investment -ITC)/20
$40,228
$40,228
$40,228
$40,228
$40,228
$40,228
$40,228
$40,228
$40,228
$40,228
G&A
$16,938
$16,938
$16,938
$16,938
$16,938
$16,938
$16,938
$16,938
$16,938
$16,938
total expenses
$116,960
$117,978
$119,014
$120,068
$121,140
$122,231
$123,341
$124,470
$125,619
$126,788
Net Income Before Taxes
$30,321
$32,249
$34,218
$36,228
$38,282
$40,380
$42,522
$44,710
$46,945
$49,227
taxes
$10,309
$10,965
$11,634
$12,318
$13,016
$13,729
$14,458
$15,201
$15,961
$16,737
Net Income after Taxes
$20,012
$21,284
$22,584
$23,911
$25,266
$26,651
$28,065
$29,509
$30,984
$32,490
Investment tax credit
$42,345
Production tax credit
$32,850
$32,850
$32,850
$32,850
$32,850
$26,280
$26,280
$26,280
$26,280
$26,280
cash flow= NI + depreciation
($804,564)
$93,090
$94,362
$95,662
$96,989
$98,344
$93,159
$94,573
$96,017
$97,492
$98,998
IRR
9.49%
PV Investment
($673,224)
PV NI + depreciation @ WACC
$675,060
Risk pool appropriation
$14,115
$14,115
$14,115
Page A-10
incelec6.xls
Attachment A
NGCC 500 MW Plant (2012)
4/17/98
capacity
500
MW
capital carrying charges
13.50%
heat rate
6300
Btu/kWh
depreciation
Straight Line
fuel cost
$2.64
/mmBtu
initial cost
$525
/kW
fuel escalation
3.0%
% debt financing
75%
inflation
2.0%
cost of debt
10%
non-fuel variable O&M
1
$/MWh
cost of equity
18%
fixed O&M
9
$/kW-yr
weighted ave cost of capital
9%
capacity factor
75%
G&A
2%
generation
3,285,000
MWh
tax rate
34%
book life
20
years
construction expenditure cycle
useful life
30
years
year
1
30%
loan term
20
years
year
2
40%
T Bill Rate
6.0%
year
3
30%
Construction Period
Investment
year
1998
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
initial cost
$262,500
$97,916
$133,165
$101,872
$399,402
Revenue
electricity price, $/MWh
$36.16
$47.71
$48.67
$49.64
$50.63
$51.65
$52.68
$53.73
$54.81
$55.90
$57.02
revenue
$156,735
$159,870
$163,067
$166,329
$169,655
$173,048
$176,509
$180,039
$183,640
$187,313
Expenses
fuel expense
$82,642
$85,121
$87,675
$90,305
$93,014
$95,805
$98,679
$101,639
$104,688
$107,829
non-fuel O&M
$4,334
$4,421
$4,510
$4,600
$4,692
$4,786
$4,881
$4,979
$5,079
$5,180
fixed O&M
$5,938
$6,056
$6,178
$6,301
$6,427
$6,556
$6,687
$6,820
$6,957
$7,096
total annual production expenses
$92,914
$95,599
$98,362
$101,206
$104,133
$107,146
$110,247
$113,439
$116,724
$120,105
electricity production expense, $/MWh
$28.28
$29.10
$29.94
$30.81
$31.70
$32.62
$33.56
$34.53
$35.53
$36.56
depreciation
$19,970
$19,970
$19,970
$19,970
$19,970
$19,970
$19,970
$19,970
$19,970
$19,970
G&A
$7,988
$7,988
$7,988
$7,988
$7,988
$7,988
$7,988
$7,988
$7,988
$7,988
total expenses
$120,872
$123,557
$126,320
$129,164
$132,091
$135,104
$138,205
$141,397
$144,682
$148,063
Net Income Before Taxes
$35,863
$36,313
$36,747
$37,164
$37,564
$37,944
$38,304
$38,642
$38,958
$39,250
taxes
$12,193
$12,346
$12,494
$12,636
$12,772
$12,901
$13,023
$13,138
$13,246
$13,345
Net Income after Taxes
$23,669
$23,966
$24,253
$24,528
$24,792
$25,043
$25,281
$25,504
$25,712
$25,905
cash flow= NI + depreciation
($399,402)
$43,640
$43,937
$44,223
$44,499
$44,762
$45,013
$45,251
$45,474
$45,682
$45,875
IRR
9.45%
PV Investment
($308,751)
PV NI + depreciation
$308,794
Page A-11
incelec6 xis
Attachment A
Pressurized Fluidized Bed Combustion 500 MW Plant (2012)
4/17/98
capacity
500
MW
capital carrying charges
13.50%
Investment tax credit
20.0%
of Owners equity
heat rate
7720
Btu/kWh
depreciation
Straight Line
Production tax credit
fuel cost
$1.20
/mmBtu
initial cost
$1,130
/kW
1st 5 years of operation
$7.00
per megawatt hour
fuel escalation
1.5%
% debt financing
75%
2nd five years of operation
$4.50
per megawatt hour
inflation
2.0%
cost of debt
10%
Risk Pool
5.0%
of capital investment, years 1-3
non-fuel variable O&M
2.5
$/MWh
cost of equity
18%
fixed O&M
14
$/kW-yr
weighted ave cost of capital
9%
capacity factor
75%
G&A
2%
generation
3,285,000
MWh
tax rate
34%
book life
20
years
construction expenditure cycle
useful life
30
years
year
1
30%
loan term
20
years
year
2
40%
T Bill Rate
6.0%
year
3
30%
Construction Period
Investment
year
1998
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
initial cost
$565,000
$210,752
$286,623
$219,266
$859,665
Revenue
electricity price, $/MWh
$36.16
$47.71
$48.67
$49.64
$50.63
$51.65
$52.68
$53.73
$54.81
$55.90
$57.02
electricity revenue
$156,735
$159,870
$163,067
$166,329
$169,655
$173,048
$176,509
$180,039
$183,640
$187,313
Expenses
fuel expense
$37,485
$38,047
$38,618
$39,197
$39,785
$40,382
$40,988
$41,603
$42,227
$42,860
non-fuel O&M
$10,836
$11,053
$11,274
$11,499
$11,729
$11,964
$12,203
$12,447
$12,696
$12,950
fixed O&M
$9,236
$9,421
$9,609
$9,802
$9,998
$10,198
$10,402
$10,610
$10,822
$11,038
total annual production expenses
$57,558
$58,521
$59,502
$60,499
$61,513
$62,544
$63,593
$64,660
$65,745
$66,849
electricity production expense, $/MWh
$17.52
$17.81
$18.11
$18.42
$18.73
$19.04
$19.36
$19.68
$20.01
$20.35
depreciation (investment -ITC)/20
$40,834
$40,834
$40,834
$40,834
$40,834
$40,834
$40,834
$40,834
$40,834
$40,834
G&A
$17,193
$17,193
$17,193
$17,193
$17,193
$17,193
$17,193
$17,193
$17,193
$17,193
total expenses
$115,585
$116,549
$117,529
$118,526
$119,540
$120,571
$121,620
$122,687
$123,772
$124,876
Net Income Before Taxes
$41,150
$43,321
$45,538
$47,803
$50,115
$52,477
$54,889
$57,352
$59,868
$62,437
taxes
$13,991
$14,729
$15,483
$16,253
$17,039
$17,842
$18,662
$19,500
$20,355
$21,229
Net Income after Taxes
$27,159
$28,592
$30,055
$31,550
$33,076
$34,635
$36,227
$37,852
$39,513
$41,208
Investment tax credit
$42,983
Production tax credit
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$14,783
$14,783
$14,783
$14,783
$14,783
cash flow= NI + depreciation
($816,682)
$90,988
$92,421
$93,884
$95,379
$96,905
$90,251
$91,843
$93,469
$95,129
$96,825
IRR
9.50%
PV Investment
($631,322)
PV NI + depreciation @ WACC
$633,718
Risk pool appropriation
$14,328
$14,328
$14,328
Page A-12
incelec6 xls
Attachment A
Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle 500MW Plant (2012)
4/17/98
capacity
500
MW
capital carrying charges
13.50%
Investment tax credit
20.0%
of Owners equity
heat rate
7380
Btu/kWh
depreciation
Straight Line
Production tax credit
fuel cost
$1.20
/mmBtu
initial cost
$1,145
/kW
1st 5 years of operation
$8.50
per megawatt hour
fuel escalation
1.5%
% debt financing
75%
2nd five years of operation
$7.00
per megawatt hour
inflation
2.0%
cost of debt
10%
Risk Pool
5.0%
of capital investment, years 1-3
non-fuel variable O&M
2.25
$/MWh
cost of equity
18%
fixed O&M
25
$/kW-yr
weighted ave cost of capital
9%
capacity factor
75%
G&A
2%
generation
3,285,000
MWh
tax rate
34%
book life
20
years
construction expenditure cycle
useful life
30
years
year
1
30%
loan term
20
years
year
2
40%
T Bill Rate
6.0%
year
3
30%
Construction Period
Investment
year
1998
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
initial cost
$572,500
$213,550
$290,427
$222,177
$871,077
Revenue
electricity price, $/MWh
$36.16
$47.71
$48.67
$49.64
$50.63
$51.65
$52.68
$53.73
$54.81
$55.90
$57.02
electricity revenue
$156,735
$159,870
$163,067
$166,329
$169,655
$173,048
$176,509
$180,039
$183,640
$187,313
Expenses
fuel expense
$35,834
$36,372
$36,917
$37,471
$38,033
$38,604
$39,183
$39,770
$40,367
$40,972
non-fuel O&M
$9,753
$9,948
$10,147
$10,350
$10,557
$10,768
$10,983
$11,203
$11,427
$11,655
fixed O&M
$16,493
$16,823
$17,160
$17,503
$17,853
$18,210
$18,574
$18,946
$19,325
$19,711
total annual production expenses
$62,080
$63,143
$64,224
$65,324
$66,443
$67,581
$68,740
$69,919
$71,118
$72,339
electricity production expense, $/MWh
$18.90
$19.22
$19.55
$19.89
$20.23
$20.57
$20.93
$21.28
$21.65
$22.02
depreciation (investment -ITC)/20
$41,376
$41,376
$41,376
$41,376
$41,376
$41,376
$41,376
$41,376
$41,376
$41,376
G&A
$17,422
$17,422
$17,422
$17,422
$17,422
$17,422
$17,422
$17,422
$17,422
$17,422
total expenses
$120,878
$121,940
$123,021
$124,121
$125,240
$126,379
$127,538
$128,717
$129,916
$131,137
Net Income Before Taxes
$35,857
$37,929
$40,046
$42,207
$44,415
$46,669
$48,971
$51,323
$53,724
$56,176
taxes
$12,191
$12,896
$13,616
$14,350
$15,101
$15,868
$16,650
$17,450
$18,266
$19,100
Net Income after Taxes
$23,666
$25,033
$26,430
$27,857
$29,314
$30,802
$32,321
$33,873
$35,458
$37,076
Investment tax credit
$43,554
Production tax credit
$27,923
$27,923
$27,923
$27,923
$27,923
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
$22,995
cash flow= NI + depreciation
($827,523)
$92,964
$94,332
$95,729
$97,155
$98,612
$95,173
$96,692
$98,244
$99,829
$101,448
IRR
9.47%
PV Investment
($639,702)
PV NI + depreciation @ WACC
$640,427
Risk pool appropriation
$14,518
$14,518
$14,518
Page A-13
incelec6.xls
Clinton Presidential Records
Digital Records Marker
This is not a presidential record. This is used as an administrative
marker by the William J. Clinton Presidential Library Staff.
This marker identifies the place of a tabbed divider. Given our
digitization capabilities, we are sometimes unable to adequately
scan such dividers. The title from the original document is
indicated below.
R & D ROAD MAPS
Divider Title:
Rev 4
11/16/98
Page 32
Attachment B
Research and Development Road Maps for Clean Coal Technologies
COAL UTILIZATION RESEARCH COUNCIL
C:\DATA\WORD\CCT\inc_cct8.doc
Performance Targets for Coal Generation
Performance Target
Today
2010
2020
900
Capital Cost, $/kW
-1300
800
800
50 - 60
Efficiency, %HHV
45
40
99
SO2, removal %
97
95
Nox lbs/mmbtu
0.1 - 0.3
0.08
0.05
HAPs (hazardous air pollutants)
define goals
meet goals
meet goals
Waste Utilization, %
15 - 30
50 - 75
100
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Coal Fired Power Plant Technologies
Today
2010
2020
HIPPS
LEBS
PCF
APC
PFB
APFB
Adv.
Hybrid
IGCC
AGCC
IGFC
Coproduction
Coproduction
Coproduction
Carbon Sequestration
Carbon Sequestration
Carbon Sequestration
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Coal Fired Power Plants / Enabling Technologies
Today
2010
2020
APCF
PCF
LEBS
Coal
Emissions
Biomass
Prep
Control
HIPPS
USC
UUSC
PFB
APFB
HGCU
ATS
Hybrid
IGCC
AGCC
IGFC
Adv. Air Separ.
Coproduction
Coproduction
Coproduction
Carbon Sequestration
Carbon Sequestration
Carbon Sequestration
Enabling technologies to build industry core competencies include materials and lifing; sensors and
controls; computational fluid dynamics; coal characterization; and coal preparation.
© 1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Efficiency Goals for Coal Fired Plants
Year 2010 Goal
Year 2020 Goal
LEBS
APCF
HIPPS
APFB
AGCC
Hybrid
(70+)
IGFC
40
45
50
55
60
Efficiency, %HHV
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
15-Year Levelized Cost of Electricity for
Coal Fired V. Gas Fired Power Technologies
45
2nd Gen Adv Coal
800 + 1,000 $/kWh
7,500 Btu/kWh
15-yr Levelized COE, mills/kWh (constant '97$)
40
3rd Gen Adv Coal
1st Gen Adv Coal
800 $/kW
35
900 - 1,300 $/kW
7,000 Btu/kWh
8,200 - 9,300 Btu/kWh
30
CC "F"
400-500 $/kW
7,000 Btu/kWh
CC "H"
25
350-500 $/kW
Adv GT Cycles
6,500 Btu/kWh
275 - - 425 $/kW
6,500 Btu/kWh
20
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Year of Plant Start-Up
February 25, 1998
© 1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
30-Year Levelized Cost of Electricity for
Coal Fired VS. Gas Fired Power Technologies
45
1st Gen Adv Coal
900 - 1,300 $/kW
30-yr Levelized COE, mills/kWh (constant '97$)
40
8,200 - 9,300 Btu/kWh
2nd Gen Adv Coal
800 - 1,000 $/kWh
7,500 Btu/kWh
35
Adv GT Cycles
275 - 425 $/kW
6,500 Btu/kWh
30
CC "F"
25
400-500 $/kW
CC "H'
7,000 Btu/kWh
350-500 $/kW
Adv Coal
6,500 Btu/kWh
800 $/kW
7,000 Btu/kWh
20
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Year of Plant Start-Up
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
AGCC Performance Targets
Performance Target
Today
2010
2020
1200-1300
Capital Cost, $/kW
800
800
57*
Efficiency, %HHV
40
45
99
SO2 removal, %
97
99
(cold)
(hot)
(hot)
NOx lbs/mmbtu
0.06
0.06
0.05
HAPs
define goals
meet goals
meet goals
75
100
Waste Utilization, %
30
Equivalent Availability, %
90
90
90
*GCC/PFB Hybrid
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
AGCC Technology Trajectories
Technology Need
Today
2010
2020
hot -- 1000 °F
hot -1500°F
Gas Cleanup
cold
8,000-20,000 hrs
20,000 hours
by 2005
"F"
ATS -- 2750 F
Combustion
Advanced
2350°F
plus combustor
Turbine
development
CT cycles
Ultrasupercritical
Steam Cycle
Subcritical
Subcritical
Steam
Air or O2
Air or O2
Oxidant
O2
with advanced
with advanced
air separation
air separation
hot
SO2 removal
cold
with external
hot
desulfurization
Waste Utilization, %
15 - 30
50 - 75
100
© 1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
APFBC Performance Targets
Performance Target
Today
2010
2020
900
Capital Cost, $/kW
-1100
800
800
57*
Efficiency, % HHV
45
40
99
SO2 removal, %
97
95
0.1
0.08
NOx, lbs/mmbtu
0.05
Equivalent Availability, %
90
90
90
* GCC/PFB Hybrid
February 25, 1998
© 1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
APFBC Technology Trajectories
Technology Need
Today
2010
2020
1600° F oxidizing
1700 F oxidizing
HTHP Filters
Cyclones
conditions
conditions
ATS-- 2750 o F
"F"- 2350 O F
Advanced
Combustion Turbine
advanced
rugged
combustor
CT cycles
2400psi/1050°F
3500psi/1050
°F
5000psi/1300 F
Steam Cycle
single reheat
single reheat
double reheat
flue gas
flue gas
Sulfur removal
dolomite
polishing
polishing
define goals
HAPs
meet goals
meet goals
(trace)
Waste Utilization, %
15 - 30
50 - 75
100
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
IGFC Performance Targets
Performance Target
Today
2010
2020
Capital Cost, $/kW
n/a
n/a
800+
Efficiency, %HHV
n/a
n/a
70+
SO2 removal, %
n/a
n/a
99+
NOx, Ibs/mmbtu
n/a
n/a
< 0.05
HAPs
n/a
n/a
meet goals
Waste Utilization, %
n/a
n/a
100
Equivalent Availability %
n/a
n/a
90
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
IGFC Technology Trajectories
Technology Need
Today
2010
2020
natural gas
coal gas
large coal gas
Fuel Utilization
fuel cells
fuel cells
fuel cells
250kw to 1MW
2 to 50MW
200-400MW
Plant Scale-Up
demos
demos
commercial plants
as required to
see GCC
see GCC
Hot Gas Clean-Up
maintain fuel cell life
as required to
SO2 removal
see GCC
see GCC
maintain fuel cell life
CT/Fuel Cell
Integration
n/a
integration of gasifier
Integration
hot-gas clean-up, and
fuel cell
February 25, 1998
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
HIPPS Performance Targets
Performance Target
Today
2010
2020
Capital Cost, $/kW
n/a
800
800
Efficiency, %HHV
n/a
47
55
SO2 removal, %
n/a
99
99
NOx, lbs/mmbtu
n/a
0.06
0.05
HAPs
n/a
meet goals
meet goals
Waste Utilization, %
n/a
some
100
Equivalent Availability, %
n/a
90
90
© 1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
HIPPS Technology Trajectories
Technology Need
Today
2010
2020
High Temperature /
n/a
1100°F
1800°F
High Pressure Filter
reducing
reducing
Heat Exchanger
n/a
1800°F
2750°F
(Alloy)
(ceramic)
4000psi/
5000psi/
Steam Cycle
n/a
1200°F
1300°F
double reheat
double reheat
cycle design,
cycle design,
Steam Turbine
n/a
aerodynamics,
aerodynamics,
materials
materials
Gas Turbine
n/a
Humid air turbine
Humid air turbine
2750°
Particulate
n/a
to be defined
to be defined
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Advanced PC Performance Targets
Performance Target
Today
2010
2020
1100
Capital Cost, $/kW
800
800
47-51
Efficiency, % HHV
45
41
SO2 removal, %
98
97
99
NOx, lbs/mmbtu
0.1
0.08
0.05
HAPs
define goals
mercury control
meet goals
Waste Utilization, %
15 - 30
50 - 75
100
Equivalent Availability, %
90
90
90
© 1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Advanced PC Technology Trajectories
Technology Need
Today
2010
2020
3500 psi/1050°F
Steam
4000 psi/1200 F
5000 psi/1300 °F
Double reheat
Double reheat
Double reheat
Cycle Conditions
Boiler and Steam
ferritics,
ferritics,
austenitics,
new Ni-based
Cycle Materials
austenitics
Ni-based alloys
alloys
plant cycle
new aerodynamics,
Steam Turbine
n/a
integration,
cycle integration,
materials
materials
integrated with
integrated with
SO2 removal
n/a
HAPS & particulate
HAPS & particulate
control
control
NOx control
burners,
Adv. burners,
Adv. burners,
SCR
SCR
SCR
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Crosscutting Enabling Technology
Technology
2010
2020
High Temperature/
High Pressure Filters
AGCC
1000°F reducing
1500°F reducing
APFB
1600°F reducing
1700°F reducing
HIPPS
1100°F reducing
1500°F reducing
IGFC
n/a
1000 °F reducing
Combustion Turbine
AGCC
2750°F - ATS
Advanced Cycle
APFB
2750°F --- ATS
Advanced Cycle
HIPPS
n/a
2750°F
Steam Cycle Materials
APFB
n/a
New Alloys, 1300°F
APC
Ferritics, new alloys
New Alloys, 1300°F
HIPPS
n/a
New Alloys, 1300°F
HAPS
Address issues as characterized by
Address
2000 for all technologies
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Crosscutting Enabling Technology
Technology
2010
2020
Hot Sulfur Cleanup
AGCC
External Hot Desulfurization
External Hot Desulfurization
APFB
n/a
Polishing
IGFC
n/a
External Hot Desulfurization
Polishing
NOx Removal
AGCC
n/a
n/a
APFB
n/a
n/a
IGFC
n/a
n/a
HIPPS
Advanced Cost Efficient NOx
Advanced Cost Efficient NOx
Removal
Removal
Air Seperation
AGCC
Advanced Air Seperation
Advanced Air Seperation
APFB
Advanced Air Seperation
Advanced Air Seperation
IGFC
Advanced Air Seperation
Advanced Air Seperation
HIPPS
n/a
n/a
©
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Assumptions Used to Determine COE in Comparison Charts
Region
SE
SE
SE
SE
SE
SE
SE
SE
Technology
Adv PFBC
Adv IGCC
IGCC "F"
IGCC "H"
IGCHAT
CC "F"
CC "H"
Adv CHAT
Plant Size, MVV
680
460
570
450
450
225
400
400
Capacity Factor, %
85
85
85
85
85
85
85
85
Fuel
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Coal
Gas
Gas
Gas
Fuel Cost in yr 2000, $MMBtu
1.29
1.29
1.29
1.29
1.29
2.24
2.24
2.24
Fuel Real Esc. Rate, %/yr
-0.07
-0.07
-0.07
-0.07
-0.07
1
1
1
Total Plant Cost, $/kW
800
800
1310
1150
810
400
350
270
Fixed O&M, $/kW-yr
26.9
35.4
43.8
38.4
35.4
13.3
10.3
10.3
Var. O&M, mills/kWh
2
1.5
1.3
1.3
1.5
3.1
2.2
2.2
Heat Rate, Btu/kWh HHV
7240
7000
8200
7500
7000
7000
6500
6500
Note: Total Plant Costs are typical values. They vary depending on plant size and design, plant location, etc.
Fuel Costs are based on EIA's 1997 AEO Projections (National Average)
4
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Fuel Price Projections Based on AEO '97
3.5
Natural Gas
(real escalation rate = 1.0%/yr)
3
Fuel Price, $/MMBtu (1997$)
2.5
2
1.5
1
Coal
(real escalation rate = 0.7%/yr)
0.5
0
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Year
Natural Gas
Coal
© 1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998
Glossary of Acronyms
ATS
Advanced (gas) turbine system
AGCC
Advanced gasification combined cycle
APCF
Advanced pulverized Coal fired plant
APFB
Advanced pressurized fluid bed
CC
Combined cycle
HAPs
Hazardous air pollutants
HIPPS
High performance power system
HGCU
Hot gas cleanup
HHV
Higher heating value
IGCC
Integrated gasification combined cycle
IGFC
Integrated gasification fuel cell
LEBS
Low emission boiler system
PCF
Pulverized coal fired plant
PFB
Pressurized fluid bed
USC
Ultra supercritical
UUSC
Ultra, ultra supercritical
1998 Coal Utilization Research Council
February 25, 1998