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Records of the White House Office of the Chief of Staff to the President (George H. W. Bush Administration)
James A. Baker III Files
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Originally Processed With FOIA(s):
FOIA Number:
2000-0715-F
2000-0715-F
FOIA
MARKER
This is not a textual record. This is used as an
administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential
Library Staff.
Record Group/Collection:
George H.W. Bush Presidential Records
Collection/Office of Origin: Chief of Staff, White House Office of
Series:
Baker, James A., III, Files
Subseries:
Public Correspondence Files
OA/ID Number:
93007
Folder ID Number:
93007-002
Folder Title:
[Public Correspondence, Sept/Oct 1992] [2]
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OCT- 8-92 THU 15:51 SOUTHERN FINCL-NC
P.01
3227 West End Cr.
(in Ackien Park Dr.
Nashville, TN 37203
615-383-1992
Southern
MRN
615-385-4320-FAX
©
Mitcholl Road
Financial
Sylva. NC 28770
704-586-5700
G
704-586-5701-FAX
Group
CORPORATE FINANCE / TAX PLANNING / AQUISITIONS / DIVESTITURES
FINANCIAL PLANNING / TAX ADVANTAGED INVESTMENTS
SECURITIES THROUGH DREHER & ASSOCIATES
8 October, 1992
M-E-M-O
TO:
James Baker, Chief of Staff
FAX # 1-202-456-6797
456-2883
CC Mr. Phil Gramm
Senatorial Inner Circle
FAX # 1-202-675-6083
- 2- PAGES
FROM:
H. Robert Gross
Southern Financial Gr.
RE: Contrast Republican's 12 yrs. VS Democratic tenure.
Gentlemen:
I am a member of the Senatorial Inner Circle.
All we hear from the media and the Democrats is 12 years of
Republicans and every statement from President Bush (according to
Clinton) is "....sick and desperate" (we need a counteracting line).
We should develop some one line or one statement contrasts for the
debates. Even last night on Larry King Live, President Bush is on the
defensive. We have not been successful in developing "offense" lines
that stick like the "sick" and "desperate" lines used by Clinton, but
there are some comparisons to be considered. Here are some points to
be considered and that hopefully will pierce the seemingly strong veil
of the Democrats; they are as follows:
1) President Bush touched upon a very good point last night. All
the bad things the Democrats had to say about Clinton. Perhaps these
may make for some good ads or some mileage on the debates to bring
these negative statements about Clinton during the primaries and by
his fellow Democrats. One needs to look and see if they could dig up
OCT- 8-92 THU 15:52 SOUTHERN FINCL-NC
as many damaging statements by fellow Republicans against President
Bush ie. Buchanan. BRING THESE POINTS OUT IN THE DEBATES.
There may ALSO be merit to an ad bringing out all the things
Clinton's fellow Democrats said against him during the primary
campaign, including his affair etc.
2) During the debates, let's make a contrast for 12 short years of
military rebuilding proven via the Gulf War vs Vietnam under the
Democrats. When Carter was president the military couldn't even
launch a rescue mission for the hostages. Let's remind the voters how
the Democrats devastated the military during their tenure. So bad in
fact we crashed helicopters in the desert due to poor equipment and
training. A Democrat led a failed mission!! Let's remind the voters
ships could not even leave the harbor and aircraft could not fly
because of a shortage of spare parts. LETS DO SOME ADS USING SOME
TESTIMONIALS OF MILITARY PERSONNEL UNDER CARTER. Remind voters of 4
years of Democrats. DEVELOPE SOME GOOD ONE LINERS.
Lets remind the voters what we were able to accomplish to rebuild
the national defense with just a few years of Republican S in control
of the Senate. How about an all volunteer military? Maybe some
testimonials of military people comparing Democratic tenure to the
Republican's 12 years.
3) Let's remind the Voters of the interest rates that approached 23%
under the Democrats and ask them if they can risk four years of this
again in the 1990 s??? IS THIS THE CHANGE VOTERS WANT??? DID THEY
FORGET SO QUICKLY THE CARTER AND THE DEMOCRATS RATE OF INTEREST AND
INFLATION??? HOW ABOUT THE DEMOCRATS UNEMPLOYMENT RATES?
There was plenty of mismanagement under the Democrats guard.
These two are the most memorable for the voters and I believe we
should capitalize on the points
DURING THE DEBATES.
IF there is merit to Clinton's leading anti-American demonstrations or
evidence he met with or conspired with communists against the USA, as
these will certainly doom their campaign.
Sincerely,
H Robert Gross
President
SIR-
nRn
gen puppat
LeTs geT This STUH out
To The public, That Cou gress men
DOMAN, Conning GAM, Johnson &
Hunter have been TAlking About-
This is no Time for A kinden
or gentleR baloney.
show The public what 4
noThing This clinton is
hets 90 !
Requirds
Chink
c.w. Kenney
ooo 29
P.O. Box 3483
USA
E VEGAS 5 00T PM NV.890 800 SB
-
PALIQUMP, New
MLDGR
89041
1992
James Baker III
white House
WashingTon , D.C.
October 7, 1992
The President
The White House
Washington, D.C.
Dear Mr. President:
You will undoubtedly be asked in the current campaign whether Americans are better off now than they were
in 1988, before you took office.
The answer is undoubtedly in the affirmative, even though the more important questions, to which I will
return, are whether Americans are better off than they would have been under the available alternative
Democratic Administration, and whether they will be better off with your Republican Administration than
under the Democrats during the next four years.
It is true that, because we have had a recession, which started from a very high cyclical peak soon after you
took office and produced higher unemployment than in 1988, some people are worse off with respect to a job
or income. However, recessions are temporary, and we have been in a recovery since the first quarter of
1991. While the recovery has been slower than we wanted or expected, that in itself is likely to help the
subsequent period of growth be longer lasting.
Even with the recession, total real GDP, real disposable income, and total employment are all higher than in
1988. Furthermore, America is in many ways in a much better position for longer-term well-being than it
was in 1988. Inflation and interest rates are lower than they were in 1988, and these are good indicators of
further growth to come. Private debt is also becoming less burdensome as corporations shift from debt to
equity, and as businesses and households refinance at today's lower interest rates. And certainly Americans
are much better off than in 1980, when a Democratic was last in office. In 1980, income tax rates were
higher, real per capita disposable income and employment were about 15% lower, inflation was over 13%
per year, interest rates were over 15%, and the unemployment rate was on its way up to nearly 10%.
You have resisted and limited the Democrats' efforts to expand the public sector, raise taxes, enlarge the
federal deficit, regulate the economy, unduly extend special preferences, redistribute income and wealth, and
restrict international trade even more, all of which would have stifled individual liberty, undermined our
sense of self-reliance and responsibility, added to our debt burden, and inhibited growth. Michael Dukakis
wanted to go in the opposite direction from you four years ago, as does Bill Clinton in the next four.
You have repeatedly asked Congress to cut taxes on investment, which would encourage more
entrepreneurship, create more jobs and higher growth, and be fairer to homeowners and to those
whose earned gains are wiped out by inflation, but the Democrats have stood in the way. You have worked
to enhance prosperity by expanding freer international trade through the GATT negotiations and NAFTA,
while Clinton waffles in deference to protectionists, unions and regulators.
Regarding the future of the economy, your proposals would bring America to a distinctly better economic
position at the end of the next four years than would Clinton's. A recent evaluation by a leading economic
consulting firm (DRI/McGraw-Hill) shows that your plan would in four years produce higher real GDP and
disposable income, lower inflation and interest rates, a smaller deficit, plus higher business profits and stock
prices than would Clinton's plan.
Although you did go against your 1988 campaign pledge in agreeing to some of the tax increases initiated by
the Democrats, in order to avoid a shut-down of the government, at the same time you also required the
Democrats to agree on spending caps that they have subsequently tried to repudiate. Indeed, the budget
agreement that you held out for has worked fairly well except for the unforeseen effects of the recession, the
bailout of S & L depositors, and emergency disaster relief.
You put market mechanisms in the Clean Air Act and Transportation Bill, while Democrats have pushed for
more extensive regulation. You propose market mechanisms for your health care program, while Clinton
wants a new government program. You put parental choice in the Child Care Act and propose parental
choice of schools, while Clinton restricts choice to public schools in deference to the teachers' union. You
held out for a quota-less Civil Rights Act, while Democrats promote special preference and costly litigation
potential. You are for litigation reform, while the Trial Lawyers Association claims that Clinton is in their
pocket.
You have appointed judges and justices who are more respectful of the Constitution, and less inclined to
legislate from the bench, than Dukakis would have done or Clinton has said he will do. You applied no
litmus test to your Supreme Court appointments, and your appointees have not voted unanimously, whereas
Clinton has said he will require a Roe-Wade litmus test.
America is also better off now than in 1988, and even more than in 1980, in foreign and military positions,
which will remain critical to the success of our efforts to maintain freedom, democracy, and prosperity. We
have seen a great reduction in the short-term military threat to America, and are helping the nations of the
former Soviet bloc establish democratic, free-market societies. You have reached historic and substantial
arms reduction treaties. You have strengthened the principle of deterring aggression by our expulsion of the
Iraqi military from Kuwait, and you did SO by simultaneously putting together an unprecedented cooperative
alliance within the United Nations and carrying out our mission within its mandate. You are applying these
same principles and strengthening the peace-keeping role of the United Nations in other parts of the world.
You have brought together formerly implacable enemies, Israel and the Arab states, in historic peace talks.
You resisted left-wing revolutionary movements in Latin America, and were pivotal in helping Nicaragua
move from civil war, through democratic elections, to a chance for economic growth. You expelled an anti-
American thug from Panama and convicted him of drug crimes in an American court. Neither Michael
Dukakis nor Bill Clinton, with their proposed reductions in defense spending and weak approach to foreign
policy, would make as effective use of diplomacy and military force as you have done, and are prepared to
do again.
Americans are better off with a Republican administration than they would have been if the Democrats had
held the executive as well as the legislative (and potentially the judicial) branch of our federal government.
This applies both to the last 12 years and the next four. The Republican vision of disciplined economic
management in the public sector appropriately restricted by cost-benefit analysis, free markets in the private
sector, secure civil rights for all citizens without quotas or undue special preference, and an active and
engaged foreign policy backed up by military strength second to none, deserves vindication in the voting
booth.
Sincerely,
Walter F. Carter
Walter F. Carter
177 Homer Street
Newton Centre, MA 02159
DRI/McGraw-Hl
Do Presidents Matter?
The Bush and Clinton Economic Plans
An Insight Report
from
DRI/McGraw-Hill
A DRI/McGraw-Hill Insight Report
Do Presidents Matter? The Bush and Clinton Economic Plans
Although George Bush and Bill Clinton have very different pictures of how the
economy should look in the long run, for the next few years fiscal realities place the
power over the aggregate economic performance in the hands of the Federal Reserve.
While each candidate is trying to move in opposite directions, the leash on either as
President will be very short. Despite his emphasis on governmental solutions,
Governor Clinton recognizes that more spending is not possible unless balanced by
higher taxes. Similarly, President Bush recognizes that taxes cannot be lowered unless
spending is brought down. Neither candidate solves the major long-term problem of
the U.S. economy -- the lack of investment and productivity growth.
About the authors
Roger E. Brinner, DRI's Executive Research Director, oversees DRI's U.S. research and
operations groups and guides the development and delivery of DRI publications, information
systems, and modeling capabilities. He also leads the firm's professionals in applying DRI's
capabilities to specific client management and policy decisions. Mr. Brinner frequently
testifies before Congress on the business impacts of such issues as tax legislation, Federal
spending, Federal Reserve policy, trade matters, and environmental initiatives.
David A. Wyss, Research Director for DRI's financial services, counsels clients on a wide
range of business issues, ranging from short-term asset allocation problems to long-term
financial issues. His solid financial forecasting record and comprehensive knowledge of
economics and business make him a leading interpreter of events in financial markets. He is
frequently quoted in the national and financial press, particularly on the subject of Federal
Reserve policy. Mr. Wyss has served as a senior economist on the President's Council of
Economic Advisers, senior economist for the Federal Reserve Board, economic adviser to the
Bank of England, and instructor in economics at Harvard University.
DRI/McGraw-Hill, an international consulting firm based in Lexington, Massachusetts, works
with senior management in the areas of market planning, policy assessment, resource
allocation, financing and exchange rate transaction cost analysis, and profit planning.
Copyright © 1992 by Standard & Poor's Corporation. Reproduction in whole or in part prohibited except
by permission. All rights reserved. Officers of Standard & Poor's Corporation: Harold W. McGraw, III,
President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman; Frank Penglase, Treasurer; Scott L. Bennett,
Secretary. Information has been obtained by DRI/McGraw-Hill from sources believed to be reliable.
However, because of the possibility of human or mechanical error by our sources, DRI/McGraw-Hill, or
others, DRI/McGraw-Hill does not guarantee the accuracy, adequacy, or completeness of any
information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for the results obtained from the use of
such information.
Insight Report
Do Presidents Matter?
dent Bush giving only a general outline. Where the
The Bush and Clinton
plans are hazy on details, we have filled them in in an
economically rational manner. In both cases, we have
Economic Plans
assumed that the candidate can get his plan as currently
by Roger E. Brinner and David A. Wyss
proposed through Congress by mid-1993. If legislation
were to be delayed, the indicated timing of the economic
impacts should be shifted forward.
From the economic standpoint, does it make any differ-
ence who wins the election? Our analysis of the current
The Clinton proposals include some areas in which we
proposals suggests that the results on November 3 would
believe the candidate is too optimistic in his assump-
affect job growth, inflation, and financial markets
tions, particularly the tax on foreign corporations. In
through 1994, but might have little effect on the econo-
these cases, we have used our own estimates of dollar
my by the end of the next presidential term; the pro-
magnitude. The Bush proposals are very hazy on the
grams do produce very different pictures of where jobs
spending cuts. We assumed the cuts would be spread
could be located in the private and public sectors. How-
proportionately except when otherwise indicated, as in
ever, for the next few years, fiscal realities place the
the case of Social Security. Since these cuts are in prac-
power over the nation's aggregate economic perform-
tice very hard to achieve, we have probably been a bit
ance in the hands of the Federal Reserve, not in the
too kind to the Bush proposals.
president's.
We ignored the health care components of both plans,
What is most interesting is how little either candidate
except for the minor change in Medicaid Part B pro-
proposes to change the federal budget. Despite his em-
posed separately by Clinton. Both candidates rely on
phasis on governmental solutions, Governor Clinton
health care cost controls for much of their long-term
recognizes that more spending is not possible unless bal-
budget saving; for us to ignore them may be somewhat
anced by higher taxes. Similarly, President Bush recog-
unfair, but to include their assumed saving is unrealistic.
nizes that taxes cannot be lowered unless spending is
brought down. Although the candadates want to move
In evaluating both plans, we have assumed that the Fed-
in opposite directions, the leash on the next President
eral Reserve continues to react to inflation and growth
will be quite short.
as it has in past decades. Since Alan Greenspan will
remain Chairman for three more years, this seems the
Neither candidate goes far enough to solve the major
most reasonable assumption. All cost and saving esti-
long-term problem of the U.S. economy-the lack of
mates given below are four-year totals. The first sets of
investment and productivity growth. Governor Clinton
budget data do not include any economic feedbacks,
at least acknowledges the problem by stressing the im-
which are discussed later.
portance of investment, but most of the emphasis is on
public infrastructure investment. We also need private
The Clinton Plan: The major objective of the Clinton
investment funded by domestic savings; this will require
proposal is twofold: to undo the 1980s shifts of income
reducing the budget deficit.
toward high-income taxpayers and of the economy to-
ward consumption. The major elements are changes in
The Proposals
the tax laws to increase the tax burden on high-income
households while increasing the incentives for invest-
Both major candidates have now presented their eco-
ment and research and development. Governor Clinton
nomic plans for the next four years. The degree of de-
also proposes to increase the tax on foreign corporations
tail differs markedly, with Governor Clinton presenting
doing business in the United States by eliminating some
a reasonably full explanation of his proposals and Presi-
of their ability to shift profits to lower-tax countries. A
DRI/McGraw-Hill, October 1992 1
Insight Report/Do Presidents Matter?
capital gains tax cut is provided, but is limited to small
raise interest rates. The higher rates will slow the econ-
start-up businesses.
omy in subsequent years, and by the end of 1996, the
initial stimulus will have run out. Unless the Fed can be
The spending increases proposed are almost entirely in
persuaded to be more accommodating, there is little
investments for the future-infrastructure and educa-
hope for much stronger sustained growth. The nation
tion. The nation's infrastructure has been allowed to
needs a more radical shift in monetary as well as fiscal
deteriorate for the last twenty years, and spending on
policy to promote public and private investment to raise
highways, bridges, and sewer and water systems may
the nation's productive capacity.
eventually add as much to productive capacity as would
spending on private investment. (See the special study
Our educational system no-longer meets the needs of a
on "The Impact of Infrastructure" in the October 1992
modern industrial economy. This country continues to
Review of the U.S. Economy.)
produce too many uneducated adults and does a terrible
job of retraining workers for new jobs when their old
Governor Clinton's infrastructure spending proposals
ones become obsolete. Increased flexibility will be even
will boost the economy in the short run, but the prob-
more critical as the United States tries to adjust to a
able reaction by the Federal Reserve and global bond
bigger, freer world market. The Clinton proposal ad-
markets to the stronger growth and higher inflation will
dresses these problems by providing more funding for
Revenue
Bush
Clinton
Personal Taxes
Cut tax rates across the board and raise
Increase taxes on wealthy (household income
allowances.
over $200,000), alternative minimum tax,
Revenue loss: $120 billion.
and surtax on millionaires.
Tax credit for first-time homebuyers.
Revenue: $83 billion.
Revenue loss: $3 billion.
Increase earned income credit.
Improve tax collection. See comments under the
Revenue loss: $14 billion.
same proposal by Clinton.
Improve tax collection by reducing waste, fraud,
Revenue: $4 billion.
and abuse. Clinton plan assumes $9 billion, but
we believe only half is attainable, and that may be
a generous estimate.
Revenue: $4 billion.
Capital Gains
Capital exclusion of 50% on most capital
Capital gains exclusion of 50% on small
transactions. This measure raises revenue in the
business startups only.
first year, but loses thereafter.
Revenue loss: probably negligible.
Revenue loss: negligible.
Corporate
Accelerate depreciation schedules modestly.
Limit CEO salary deduction to $1 million.
Taxes
Revenue loss: $10 billion.
Revenue: $1 billion.
Extend tax credit for research and
End overseas investment incentives.
development. Revenue loss: $5 billion.
Revenue: $1 billion.
Eliminate lobbying deduction.
Revenue: $1 billion.
End foreign tax avoidance by changing transfer
pricing regulations. The Clinton campaign
estimates $50 billion In revenue, but we feel the
prospects are far more limited.
Revenue: $11 billion.
Introduce targeted investment tax credit.
Revenue loss: $24 billion.
Extend tax credit for research and development.
Revenue loss: $5 billion.
Other Revenue
Increase fines for pollution:
Revenue: $10 billion.
2 DRI/McGraw-Hill, October 1992
Insight Report/Do Presidents Matter?
Spending
Bush
Clinton
Defense
Exact cuts are unspecified. He has called for
Cuts beyond baseline.
$130 billion in total federal spending cuts, but
Saving: $53 billion.
with no explicit plan for what is to be cut. We
assume the military share is $24 billion.
Saving: $24 billion.
Entitlements:
Unspecified reforms, "workfare."
Reform of welfare system, requiring work from
(Excluding
Assumed saving: $20 billion.
welfare recipients and providing training.
health care)
Cost: $9 billion.
Infrastructure
Unspecified cuts in spending programs.
Major road, highway, and water systems
Assumed saving: $10 billion.
rebuilding program. Cost: $72 billion.
Community development grants to rebuild urban
roads, water and sewer facilities, and low-income
housing. Cost: $9 billion.
Government research and development program
to support new technologies. Cost: $8 billion.
Education
Assured loan funding for college educations.
A major initiative to increase education spending
and Training
No funding appears to be provided, however,
for adult workers, and the institution of apprentice-
and specifics are extremely vague.
ship programs to be funded mostly by private
Cost: zero.
firms. Cost: $12 billion.
Cuts in other programs to meet overall target.
Expansion of Head Start and the Women, Infants,
Assumed savings: $20 billion.
and Children (WIC) subsidies. Increases in grants
to state and local governments to reduce class
size and for other measures to improve education.
Cost: $31 billion.
National Service trust fund to provide funding for
college educations. Funds to be repaid either as
loans or with community service.
Cost $20 billion.
Law
No Initiatives. We have assumed further cutbacks.
A National Police Force of 100,000 to fight drug-
Enforcements
Saving: $5 billion.
related and other crime. Cost: $11 billion.
Debt-Related
No Initiatives.
Assumed saving on thrift bailout (RTC) costs
Initiatives
through management reform. This saving would
not appear in the national income account budget,
but would help the unified deficit.
Saving: $16 billion.
Reform debt financing to cut average maturity of
debt. Saving: $6 billion.
Health Care
President Bush has proposed allowing $100
Require higher copayment on Medicare Part B
billion in spending or tax incentives toward a more
from high-income elderly. Saving: $4 billion.
universal system of health care coverage, to be
balanced by assumed saving elsewhere in the
Reform of health care delivery system. Governor
health care system. We feel the proposal is too
Clinton appeared to be moving toward a German-
vague to be analyzed.
style regional budgeting program, but has since
backed off somewhat.
Other Transfer
We have assumed a proportional share of the
Reform foreign ald. Saving: $2 billion.
Programs
proposed Bush cutbacks.
Saving: $10 billion.
Social Security
Unspecified cost control. Saving: $5 billion.
No change.
General
Unspecified program cuts. Saving: $35 billion.
Cut 100,000 federal workers. Reduce White House
Government
and Congressional staffs 25%. We have assumed a
net gain of only half the goal. Saving: $22 billion.
Other miscellaneous program cuts.
Saving: $32 billion.
DRI/McGraw-Hill, October 1992 3
Insight Report/Do Presidents Matter?
cit by an average of $1 billion a year. Governor Clin-
TABLE 1
ton's plan narrows the deficit on a static basis, but by an
Total Four-Year Impact on the Deficit
average of only $8 billion a year. Both plans claim
(Before economic feedback, billions of dollars)
greater progress, in part because they take credit for the
Bush
Clinton
reduction in the deficit, included in the DRI baseline
forecast, which results from the end of the RTC spend-
Revenue
ing and the moderate growth of the economy.
Personal Taxes
-119
+73
Corporate Taxes
-15
-15
Economic Impacts
Other
+10
The Bush proposals leave the aggregate economy nearly
Total Revenue
-134
+68
unchanged from our baseline assumptions. This result
Spending
should not be surprising, since our baseline forecast is a
Defense
-24
-53
continuation of current policy and implicitly assumes
Entitlements
-20
9
(excl. health care)
that George Bush will continue as President. The Bush
Infrastructure
-10
89
plan, insofar as it has been specified, is deficit-neutral
Education
-20
63
over the four-year period. The proposals raise GDP
Law Enforcement
-5
11
and employment slightly in the near term, since the tax
RTC & Debt Finance
-22
Health Care
-4
cuts occur immediately while the spending cuts are
Other Transfers
-10
-2
phased in. For the four years as a whole, federal pur-
Social Security
-5
chases are $40 billion (1987 dollars) lower, while con-
General Government
-35
-54
sumer spending is raised $48 billion and investment $12
Total Spending
-130
36
billion.
Total Deficit
4
-32
The Clinton plan has a more significant impact on the
economy, raising GDP and employment nearly one per-
Note: Totals include rounding error.
cent in 1994 compared with the baseline. The stronger
growth, however, causes the Federal Reserve to raise
interest rates, and squeezes the growth back out of the
education and by mandating continuing worker training
economy by the end of 1996. Over the four-year period,
for employers. These proposals should make the Amer-
there is no significant difference in aggregate growth
ican workforce more competitive in the long run, but
rates. Because of the stronger near-term growth and
only some of the benefit will be seen by 1996.
the state gasoline tax increases assumed to finance the
state share of infrastructure spending, inflation is some-
The Bush Proposals: The proposals from the Bush
campaign have been far more general. Except for the
reduction in the capital gains tax, there has been no con-
sistent set of tax changes and spending cuts. President
Bush did promise a one percentage point cut in tax
TABLE 2
rates, contingent on a $130 billion cut in spending pro-
Total Four-Year Results, 1993-96
(Percent)
grams, but has not specified the spending cuts.
Baseline
Bush
Clinton
In simulating the Bush proposals, we drew from cam-
paign speeches and from the State of the Union Address
Average Annual Growth
given at the beginning of the year. The spending cuts
Real GDP
2.8
2.8
2.8
remain arbitrary, however, except for some explicit
Employment
2.1
2.1
2.2
statements about defense and Social Security. The
Consumer Prices
3.4
3.4
3.7
theme continues to be encouragement of the private
Real Disposable Income
2.4
2.5
2.3
sector, with some tax incentives for investment and low-
After-Tax Profits
7.9
8.5
7.7
er capital gains taxes to encourage entrepreneurs and
End of Term Level
investors.
Unemployment Rate
5.6
5.6
5.5
Stock Prices (S&P 500)
564
601
557
No New Deficit Reduction: Without allowance for
Federal Funds Rate
5.3
5.3
5.7
economic feedback, President Bush has proposed a plan
10-Year Bond Yield
7.2
7.1
7.4
that is almost exactly deficit-neutral, widening the defi-
4 DRI/McGraw-Hill, October 1992
Insight Report/Do Presidents Matter?
what higher in the Clinton plan, averaging 3.8% com-
rates according to its historic practice. The unemploy-
pared with 3.4% under Bush. Over the four-year peri-
ment rate would fall to 5.2% by the end of President
od, consumer spending is $41 billion (1987 dollars) lower
Clinton's first term, at the cost of an inflation rate ap-
and federal spending is down $62 billion, while invest-
proaching 4%. This strength, however, is not sustain-
ment is up $21 billion.
able. Eventually, interest rates would have to rise in
The Federal Reserve and Fiscal Policy: The results
response to the higher inflation, pushing the economy
lower.
ultimately depend heavily on the Federal Reserve's
reaction to the policy proposals. The above analysis as-
The potential output of the economy is enhanced by
sumes that the Fed reacts in its traditional fashion, tight-
public investments; thus, the Clinton programs should
ening sharply in response to the stronger growth and
be understood to produce a cycle around a slightly more
higher inflation found early in the Clinton scenario. A
positive trend. The near-term, positive impetus would
more accommodative Fed would change the results sig-
be welcome and the long-term improvement should not
nificantly.
be ignored. If the bold deficit reduction thrust of the
If the Federal Reserve did not respond by restricting
Perot plan could be melded into Clinton strategy, pri-
reserves, real GDP under the Clinton proposals would
vate investment and long-term growth gains would im-
end the four-year period above the baseline and Bush
prove substantially.
program levels. This would add to the inflation cost of
the program, but retain more employment gain.
Mr. Perot has not introduced any strategies to deal with
the current stagnation: he explicitly strives for a struc-
If the Fed were even more generous, keeping the feder-
tural adjustment only. The proposals do not "kick in"
al funds rate at its baseline level, the real economy
until 1994, and full deficit reduction is phased in over
would be even stronger. Employment by the end of
five years. In the final presidential policy analysis, we
1996 would be 1.0 million above its baseline level, com-
evaluate the 1994-96 components of this alternate ap-
pared with only 0.4 million if the Fed raises interest
proach (see box on pages 35 and 36).
DRI/McGraw-Hill, October 1992 5
Insight Report/Do Presidents Matter?
TABLE 3
Assessing New Clinton and Bush Policies: The Potential Shifts In
Spending and Jobs
(Changes from baseline)
AVG
1993
1994
1995
1996
93-96
Spending ($ Billion, 1987 Prices)
Consumer Goods & Services
Bush
4
15
14
15
12
Clinton
0
-7
-15
-19
-10
Capital Spending
Bush
0
4
4
3
3
Clinton
3
7
4
7
5
Residential Construction
Bush
0
6
7
8
5
Clinton
0
-5
-6
-5
-4
Government Purchases
Bush
-2
-10
-15
-16
-11.
Clinton
21
27
32
30
27
Net Exports
Bush
0
-4
-5
-4
-3
Clinton
-1
-5
-3
-4
-3
Employment
(1000's)
Total (Household Survey)
Bush
22
183
122
27
89
Clinton
382
731
488
356
489
Contruction
Bush
2
44
73
79
49
Clinton
150
210
174
149
171
Retail/Wholesale Trade
Bush
17
96
104
70
72
Clinton
102
100
-53
-140
2
Manufacturing
Bush
8
49
-4
-42
3
Clinton
108
122
-28
-75
32
Government
Bush
-30
-88
-113
-126
-89
Clinton
120
264
386
422
298
Federal Budget ($ Billion)
Federal Spending-Total
Bush
-6
-23
-32
-35
-24
Clinton
17
31
37
38
31
Federal Spending-Interest
Bush
0
2
3
1
2
Clinton
2
11
14
15
10
Taxes
Bush
-14
-24
-29
-30
-24
Clinton
29
29
24
28
27
Deficit
Bush
8
1
-3
-5
0
Clinton
-12
2
14
10
4
Privately Held Federal Debt
Bush
3
10
7
3
6
Clinton
-10
-18
-10
-3
-10
Note: 10-year Tresury Bond Rate
Baseline
7.30
7.65
7.38
7.22
7.39
Clinton
7.53
8.21
7.83
7.51
7.77
Bush
7.37
7.80
7.43
7.17
7.44
6 DRI/McGraw-Hill, October 1992
Insight Report/Do Presidents Matter?
CHART 1
The Economic Plans
Clinton Creates Near-Term Strength, Which Is Then Crowded Out by Higher Interest Rates
Growth Surges Early.
And Inflation Is Higher Under Clinton
(Real GDP, percent change year ago)
(CPI percent change year ago)
5
4.0
4
3.5
3
3.0
2
1
2.5
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
Interest Rates Rise As the Fed Fights Inflation
Higher Rates Increase the Deficit Relative to the Baseline
(Federal funds rate, percent)
(Unified deficit, billions of dollars, fiscal years)
7
400
6
350
5
300
4
250
3
200
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
Bush Tax Cuts Raise Disposable Income
And Profits
(Real disposable income, billions of dollars)
(After-tax profits, billions of dollars)
4000
400
3900
350
3800
300
3700
3600
250
3500
200
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
Base
Bush
Clinton
DRI/McGraw-Hill, October 1992 7
Insight Report/Do Presidents Matter?
CHART 2
The Impact On Labor
Clinton Plan Raises Employment
And Lowers Unemployment
(Nonfarm employment, millions)
(Unemployment rate)
120
8
115
7
110
6
105
5
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
Base
Bush
Clinton
CHART 3
The Fed Holds the Key: Clinton Plan Under Different Monetary Politics
An Easier Fed Allows More Growth
But Higher Inflation
(Real GDP. percent change year ago)
(CPI, percent change year ago)
5
4.0
4
3.5
3
3.0
2
11
2.5
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
Unemployment Is Lower
As Interest Rates Stay Down
(Unemployment rate)
(Federal funds rate, percent)
8
7
6
7
5
6
4
51
3
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
Baseline
Normal Fed Reaction
Same Federal Funds Rate as Baseline
8 DRI/McGraw-Hill, October 1992
Insight Report/Do Presidents Matter?
The Perot Economic Plan
Ross Perot has been the only candidate to propose serious steps to reduce the deficit, and to provide detail of
how to attain the reduction. The spending cuts Implied are heroic, and the plan still requires tax Increases to
reach Its goal of balancing the budget. Economically, the plan makes better sense for the long run than the
proposed plan of either of the major candidates.
Without the active cooperation of the Federal Reserve, the short-term pain of the Perot proposal could be sig-
nificant. Job losses will occur unless the Fed and world bond markets are supportive and Interest rates drop
quickly. We have modified the cost and revenue estimates as we did for the major candidates, and we provide
four-year totals. By 1998, the Perot plan would eliminate today's huge federal deficit. The freed-up national
savings would expand domestic investment and curtail our dependence on foreign borrowing.
Perot Proposals
Revenue
Spending
Personal Taxes:
Defense:
Increase top marginal tax rate to 33%.
Revenue: $26 billion.
Cut an additional 1.6% per year. Saving: $23 billion.
Restrict mortgage deduction to $250,000 of principal.
Domestic Discretionary Spending:
Revenue: $12 billion.
Eliminate programs. Saving: $25 billion.
Tax excess health benefits. Revenue: $41 billion.
Across the board 10% cut. Saving: $50 billion.
Improve tax collections. Revenue: $4 billion.
Increase research and development programs.
Graduated capital gains tax, depending on length of time
Cost: $9 billion.
asset is held. Revenue loss: negligible.
Increase Head Start and other education programs.
Cost: $10 billion.
Corporate Taxes:
Increase Infrastructure spending. Cost: $32 billion.
Institute targeted investment tax credit.
Revenue loss: $21 billion.
Entitlement Spending:
Extend R&D tax credit. Revenue loss: $6 billion.
Increase tax on Social Security spending.
Tax credit for worker training. Revenue loss: $7 billion.
Revenue: $22 billion.
Tighten transfer pricing rules (as in the Clinton plan).
Limit cost of living adjustments for federal employees.
Revenue: $11 billion.
Saving: $8 billion.
Restrict business entertainment expense deductions.
Repeal cap on Medicare payroll tax.
Revenue: $12 billion.
Revenue: $21 billion.
Increase health care cost containment.
Other Taxes and Fees:
Saving: $88 billion.
Impose higher user fees on airports, parks, and other gov-
Reduce farm subsidies. Saving: $10 billion.
emment-owned properties and facilities. Revenue: $9
billion.
Eliminate many subsidies (detailed in proposal).
Revenue: $16 billion.
Raise tobacco exclse taxes. Revenue: $15 billion.
Raise gasoline tax. Revenue: $108 billion.
Four-Year Impacts
(Billions of dollars)
Revenue
Spending
Personal Taxes
+83
Defense
-23
Corporate Taxes
-11
Discretionary
-24
Other
+148
Entitlements
-149
Total Revenue
+220
Subtotal Spending
-196
Direct Deficit Impact
(excluding interest)
416 Reduction
Interest Savings
75
DRI/McGraw-Hill, October 1992 9
Insight Report/Do Presidents Matter?
The Perot Economic Plan (Continued)
The direct Impact of the Perot proposals would be to narrow the budget gap by $416 billion over the next four
years: The indirect impacts would be substantial, since lower interest costs would narrow the gap even more.
A target of balancing the budget in five years is realistic, given these initiatives.
The National Economic Response
The aggregate economic impact of the Perot proposals is much more significant than that of either the Bush or
Clinton plan. Real growth would be cut significantly in the first few years of the plan, but would then accelerate.
The magnitude would depend mainly on the reactions of the Federal Reserve and the bond market. If the Fed
waits to see the results of the cuts before acting, the impact on the economy would be unnecessarily severe. If
the Fed acts as the legislation is going through Congress, the short-term pain would be much less, and the job
loss could be eliminated.
The plan is the medicine required to improve economic growth in the long run, but in the short run, the taste
could be bitter. The problem of the deficit, however, must be faced eventually. The longer the deficit accumu-
lates, the more difficult it will be to cure, as more of government spending is tied up in interest payments and
entitlement programs. The medicine could taste bad now, but an even larger dose will be required if the cure is
postponed.
The Perot Plan: Four-Year Results, 1993-96
(Percent)
Early
Delayed
Fed
Fed
Baseline
Ease
Ease
Average Annual Growth
Real GDP
2.7
2.7
2.5
Employment
2.0
2.0
1.9
Consumer Prices
3.6
3.9
3.8
Real Disposable Income
2.5
2.0
1.9
After-Tax Profits
6.0
3.1
2.5
10 DRI/McGraw-HIII, October 1992
Insight Report/Do Presidents Matter?
Assessing Perot's Policies: Potential Shifts In Spending, Jobs, and Finances
(Changes from baseline)
AVG
1993
1994
1995
1996
93-96
Spending
($
Billion,
1987
Prices)
Consumer Goods & Services
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
-19
-43
-60
-30
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
1
-8
-25
-42
-19
Capital Spending
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
0
0
11
3
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
0
5
16
29
13
Residential Construction
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
-5
-6
-2
-3
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
1
1
2
3
2
Government Purchases
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
-6
-10
-15
-8
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
0
-6
-10
-13
-7
Net Exports
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
6
15
22
11
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
0
4
13
28
11
Employment (1000's)
Total (Household Survey)
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
-236
-557
-554
-337
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
15
-1
15
116
36
Contruction
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
-15
-35
-6
-14
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
4
27
65
115
52
Retail/Wholesale Trade
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
-56
-193
-229
-120
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
4
8
-25
-37
-13
Manufacturing
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
-67
-143
-53
-66
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
6
34
100
231
93
Government
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
-90
-147
-232
-117
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
0
-87
-137
-211
-109
Federal
Budget
($
Billion)
Federal Spending-Total
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
-7
-35
-70
-28
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
-1
-16
-49
-84
-38
Federal Spending-Interest
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
-2
-11
-25
-10
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
-1
-10
-24
i
-19
Taxes
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
23
33
41
24
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
1
32
49
60
36
Deficit
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
-30
-68
-111
-52
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
-2
-48
-99
-144
-73
Privately Held Federal Debt
Perot-Late Rate Cuts
0
-20
-72
-167
-65
Perot-Early Rate Cuts
-1
-31
-111
-238
-95
Note: 10-year Tresury Bond Rate
Baseline
7.30
7.65
7.38
7.22
7.39
Clinton
7.53
8.21
7.83
7.51
7.77
Bush
7.37
7.80
7.43
7.17
7.44
Perot-Late Reaction
7.30
7.34
6.55
6.02
6.80
Perot-Early Reaction
7.10
6.76
6.08
5.63
6.39
DRI/McGraw-Hill, October 1992 11
Insight Report/Do Presidents Matter?
The Perot Plan
Eliminating the Deficit by 1998
Would Raise GDP With a Long Lag
Federal Unified Deficit
Real GDP
(Billions of dollars)
(Billions of 1987 dollars)
600
6500
400
6000
200
5500
0
5000
-200
4500
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
By Shifting Spending from Consumption
To Investment
Real Consumer Spending
Real Business Fixed Investment
(Share of GDP)
(Share of GDP)
.68
.16
.67
.14
.66
.65
.12
.64
.63
.10
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
88
90
92
94
96
98
00
02
Base
Perot
Note: This assumes early interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
12 DRI/McGraw-Hill, October 1992
ROBERT J. SHARPENTER
Business:
321 Webster
Lake Geneva
Home:
300 N. Lake Street
162 Birch Walnut
59 Century Drive
Montgomery, IL 60538
708/897-3400
BOX248
Unit 4 Box 3
414/245-5937
NRN
Oswego, IL 60543
Williams Bay, WI 53191
708/554-1234
Persimmon Bush Lodge
Car
Pager
General Delivery
708/370-1333
III 800-402-8190
Putnam, IL 61560-9999
Out-of-state 312-410-6666
309/364-3641
3 beeps diai in your
Dear Mu Baku
10/2/92
Touch Tone phone #
8 beeps - busy - hang up
I'll call you right back
this when is beng mithin hurnedly a cryptic
ally Same bullet paints
1.1'm NO stooye - I was a Khades Scholor nommee who
2. Denry Aushut is a firend of nine o l talkul bo him
groduabed from the Honors Program of Brougetown anio.
today about this idea d home & he said he'd my f
descuss it with people he knew in the compreyn
3. Please read the affacted front age orfice from
the Chriago Fribure maybe the sloppy compargn
rundling and the overcorfidence it mentrans all
behind the Kiss - off 4/7/92 When ( copy excloral)
l got from Robut Mashacher no one ever con
(
tacked me to find out what my idea was
4. the Tubune while discudes you as a darny I
well the due "Xype, which is why I'm
5. If Grage Bush wally has MR "agenda for
writing to you
an American Renewal, l have an relea which
ROBERT J. SHARPENTER
Business:
321 webster
Lake Geneva
Home:
300 N. Lake Street
162 Birch Walnut
59 Century Drive
Montgomery, IL 60538
Bax248
Unit 4 Box 3
Oswego, IL 60543
708/897-3400
Williams Bay, WI 53191
708/554-1234
414/245-5937
Persimmon Bush Lodge
Car
Pager
General Delivery
708/370-1333
III - 800-402-8190
Putnam, IL 61560-9999
Out-of-state 312-410-6666
309/364-3641
3 beeps - dial in your
Touch Tone phone #
8 beeps - busy - hang up
I'll call you right back
should be corung of a fan confuence from the
pack of a comouflage painked, lokeride duck
cahin (mine) on 10/31/92. P capuly presended, it
will have substoatial positive import on
by groups of moking blow
/. Farmers, where Bush doesn't shand too Ligh
2. F ishermen
ught now
3. Hunders, where Buch is held in low wheem
Decause of approvance of reneging an his
No net lass of surthands please
c/. Boafus
5. consumptionists, where rores presence op
the Dem likes & nothing fortune from Refubluox
give Demo an edge
Ross Perobs intronce indo the we will hurt you
more than Clindon
l home a blackbusher idea which could more a
lat of prople. Please rall me no me con degruss Bobb it
Sent 4- 16-92
BUSH
File Bush/ Mayle
Same In File
QUAYLE
92
April 7, 1992
-
Mr. Robert J. Sharpenter
300 N. Lake Street
Montgomery, Illinois 60538
Dear Mr. Sharpenter:
On behalf of President Bush, thank you for sharing your letter
regarding a conservation idea. Your message has been noted, and
forwarded to the appropriate office for consideration.
The President appreciates your interest, and is grateful for your
support. Thank you for writing.
Phin General Chairman
Sincerely,
Robert A. Mosbacher
Bush-Quayle '92
What kind of a bullahit lether is this. How
can they formard an idea "for
when they dont used know what if it.
at 708-897-3400 / or I' el give it do bell
I' d suggest again, that someone call me?
clinton (and maybe who for him also)
Bob Sharpeader
1030 15th St. NW, Washington, DC 20005
Paid for by Bush-Quayle '92 Primary Committee, Inc.
Printed on Recycled Paper
Chicago Tribune
Fox Valley
Thursday, October 1. 1992
50c Newsstand 40c Home Delivery
146th Year - No. 275 © Chicago Tribune
7 Sections
DF
Thursday
Braun denies any wrongdoing
ECT
Candidate defends ethics in explaining inheritance story
By Thomas Hardy
charges and stave off their poten-
black woman elected to the Sen-
Political writer
tial political impact.
ate.
Alternately contrite and comba-
Until this week, the Democrat's
Braun opened with a statement
tive, Carol Moseley Braun moved
historic candidacy had sailed along
that defended her ethics, the sub-
Wednesday to steady a U.S. Sen-
with a comfortable lead over Re-
ject of Williamson's most persis-
ate campaign rocked by its first
publican Richard Williamson,
tent campaign attacks, and assert-
controversy, saying she did not de-
seeming to deflect his criticism of
ed that any improper actions in
liberately circumvent Medicaid
her record with ease.
this instance were mistakes made
and income tax requirements in
But with the election still five
by her 71-year-old mother that
providing nursing-home care for
weeks away, Braun found herself
were not caught by Braun nor her
her mother.
on the defensive, responding to
siblings.
Having huddled with lawyers,
questions at a media event that
But the 35-minute account by
family and political advisers for
was unprecedented in the cam-
Braun of how her mother, Edna
Tribune photo by David Klobucar
more than 36 hours after the
paign since a Democratic primary
Moseley, disbursed a $28,750
Carol Moseley Braun: "We be-
Elektra-fying': Eva Marton's singing
Medicaid story broke, Braun held
victory last March set her on a
inheritance royalty to Braun and
lieve that everything we did was
a news conference to address the
path toward becoming the first
See Braun, Pg. 19
in accordance with the law."
brings the crowd to its feet on the opening
night of 'Elektra.' In Overnight.
Austerity issue off limits
Will voters
tolerate cure
for deficit?
By William Neikirk
Chicago Tribune
WASHINGTON-The over-
riding economic issue of the presi-
No. 20 for Maddux: Cubs pitcher Greg
dential campaign is whether
Americans will, or should, tolerate
Maddux salutes his wife after beating the Pittsburgh
several years of austerity in hopes
Pirates 6-0. In Sports.
of ushering in a new era of job
growth and prosperity.
The legacy of huge budget defi-
cits and a $4 trillion federal debt
Reggae salute: A
may not leave Americans much
choice but to face up to continu-
superb new four-CD box-
ing stagnation, many economists
set salute to Bob Marley
believe. Sooner or later, said Rudy
Penner, a former director of the
provides ample evidence
Congressional Budget Office, "the
of the master's crucial
piper must be paid."
Best in this presidential race. as
piper must DC paid.'
influence on reggae and
But in this presidential race, as
hers, Americans do not like
rock music. Greg Kot's
sund or the meaning of the
created "A" word. Austerity not
review, in Tempo.
only implies deeper budget re-
trenchment and possibly higher
taxes, but continued erosion of the
Forgottonia U: Obscure, tiny Carthage Inter-
American standard of living and
more job cutbacks.
national College is a scholastic oddity in a remote
AP Laserphoto
Soccer field becomes Bosnian cemetery
To some analysts with darker
location. It has no classes or faculty but it does have
fears, overly austere measures in
big dreams. In Tempo.
A man weeps Wednesday over a friend's grave,
the next few years could send the
final resting place for victims of the war in Sara-
one of the first in a soccer field now serving as a
economy into a tailspin that
jevo, Bosnia-Herzegovina. Related story, Page 19.
would make millions more Ameri-
cans dependent on the taxpayers,
Roll call: In some
ultimately deepening the deficit.
homes, the act of baking
Bush campaign: Searching for a spark
Nearly four years of sluggish-
ness, job cutbacks and anxiety
about U.S. economic prospects
cinnamon rolls-a.k.a.
finds the country impatient and
sticky buns, puterkuchen
By Steve Daley
frustrated with anything that
Election
mestic "Agenda for American Re-
smacks of sacrifice. For that
or schneckes-was an art
and Timothy J. McNulty
newal" and heralded his foreign
reason, neither President Bush nor
Chicago Tribune
policy successes. He also has lam-
Arkansas Gov. Bill Clinton has
and culinary test. Mouth-
WASHINGTON-President
basted his opponent as a classic
provided details of his programs to
Democratic tax-and-spender, and
reduce the deficit.
watering memories, re-
Bush's dramatic offer of four Sun-
raised questions about Bill Clin-
day night debates in October
"The American people would
cipes, in Food Guide.
Bush and Clinton teams
ton's character and credibility.
marks a clear attempt to restart
probably defeat someone who
his flagging re-election campaign,
finally meet on debates. Page 5.
He has offered positive and neg-
came up with a truly fundamental,
ative messages, but even his staf-
Weather
the second such effort since the
effective plan to get the deficit
close of the Republican conven-
fers worry that Bush has not found
under control over the next six to
But it also reflects how a presi-
the way to blend them into a com-
Chicago and vicinity: Thursday: Mostly sunny,
tion in mid-August.
seven years," said Steve Bell, for-
dent, whose message has thus far
pelling rationale for a second
mer chief staff member of the Sen-
It was an aggressive play by a
failed to strike a resonant chord
term.
warmer; high 72 degrees. Thursday night: Fair, cooler, low 47.
ate Budget Committee.
president whose campaign has
with many voters, seems still to be
Now, with the election a little
Friday: Partly sunny, windy, warmer; high 78. The national
moved along in fits and starts, and
urgently searching for the support
Ross Perot has provided a spe-
more than a month away, the
it reflects the daring throw-the-
he needs to stay in office.
cific plan, including a 50-cent gas-
weather report is in Sec. 2, pg. 9.
president's debate performance
-oline tax and cutbacks in Social
dice style of the president's chief
In an earlier effort to build mo-
and the $40 million he is expected
Security cost of living payments,
counselor, James A. Baker, III.
mentum, Bush spelled out his do-
See Bush, pg. 17
See Economy, pg. 6
China shows way
Elmhurst quarry conversion
for Korean unity
has neighbors blasting county
By Uli Schmetzer
Chicago Tribune
By Ted Gregory
not alone. Hundreds of neighbors
BEIJING-South Korea's President Roh Tae Woo
Miriam Johnson was able to
around the quarry have recently
left China on Wednesday confident that his country
solve the mystery of the fist-size
experienced shakes, rattles and
has won not only a new trading partner but an ally
gouge her husband, Conrad, found
rolls typically reserved for zip
in its endeavors to create a nuclear-free zone and
in the front of their 84-year-old re-
codes along the San Andreas fault.
reunify the Korean Peninsula.
stored farmhouse across the street
It's been worse, they say, than
Ending a four-day state visit, Roh and China's
from the Elmhurst quarry.
during the years when blasting was
President Yang Shangkun said they expect the new
The day after he showed her the
carried out by quarry operators.
commercial and political ties between their countries
damage, Miriam Johnson stepped
The neighbors said they thought
to lead to a peaceful solution of the four-decade divi-
out to retrieve the mail, found a
that type of problem ended when
sion between the two Koreas.
similar-size chunk of limestone in
Du Page County purchased the
Roh, whose visit followed by less than a month
the front yard and knew. It had
quarry in February as part of an
Scoul's resumption of diplomatic relations with its
been hurled several hundred feet
ambitious flood control project for
most formidable Cold War enemy, said he and Chi-
by an explosion in the quarry.
the west and northwest suburbs.
nese leaders agreed that pressure on North Korea to
"We've lived here for 21 years
The problem obviously didn't
abandon nuclear weapons development could be
and nothing like this has ever hap-
end then, but it now has-at least
counterproductive and force Pyongyang into danger-
pened before," she said of last
temporarily.
ous isolation.
week's incident.
Petitions signed by 415 neigh-
"The major course we prefer is persuasion," Roh
Fred Karnatz, who lives about
bors near the quarry have helped
told a news conference. This echoed the sentiments
six blocks from the Johnsons, says
of Yang, who told his visitor this week to coax rather
See Quarry, pg. 17
AP Laserphoto
that while he hasn't experienced
than bully Kim Il Sung's government into allowing
Defiant Collor awaits corruption trial in Brazil
anything that dramatic, he has had
inspections Agency. by the International Atomic Energy
a few memorable moments.
Brazilian President Femando Collor de Mello leaves his helicopter after landing
"We've had windows and dishes
00000
North Korea has repeatedly asserted that its nucle-
ar facilities are meant only for peaceful purposes.
Wednesday at Alvorada Palace in Brasilia. Impeached by the House and temporarily
rattling and I mean pretty severe-
Former Soviet and East Bloc scientists allege the
stripped of all powers, Collor is expected to yield control to an interim president by
ly," he said. "If you're in the base-
Monday while he stands trial in the Senate for corruption. Story, Page 4.
ment, you can really feel a tremor
See Korea pg. 18
coming."
The Johnsons and Karnatzes are
7
4948500001
2
From Page 1
tion distance on his rival, Bush
Bush
and Baker changed gears, turning
to a positive message.
In a speech in Detroit last
Continued from page 1
month, Bush laid out economic
to devote to TV ads in the re-
plan, titled an "Agenda for Ameri-
maining weeks appear to be his
can Renewal."
last hopes for pulling even with
The speech was intended to offer
Clinton in the polls:
Bush a framework for taking his
The latest CBS News poll
case to the voters, to demonstrate
showed Bush trailing Clinton by
that he was indeed focused on the
13 percentage points without
country's economic distress and
Texan Ross Perot in the race, and
prepared to act on it in a second
U percentage points if Perot
term.
becomes a candidate. Perot has
But within two weeks the Bush
scheduled a news conference for 3
strategy had shifted again, and the
p.m. CDT Thursday to announce
emphasis turned to presenting
whether he will rejoin the race.
Clinton as a callow and un-
Other national polls offer com-
trustworthy liberal, a tax-and-
parable survey evidence, although
spend governor of a benighted
the fluctuating margins-and the
rural state.
possibility of a Perot candidacy-
"The Bush campaign has walked
indicate that voter opinion is still
away from the economic plan be-
being shaped.
cause people are basically saying
That may be exactly what White
to them, 'We needed something
House officials are hoping. They
like this three years ago," said
acknowledge that the campaign
Republican analyst Kevin Phillips.
drifted through all of August and
"Republican campaigns can be
much of September, even after
effective when there's sufficient
Bush put Baker, his former secre-
economic strength to allow them
tary of state, in command in his
to go forward with their cultural
first attempt to recharge his cam-
and patriotic issues. The atmo-
paign.
sphere is altogether different right
The problems are myriad.
now."
Speeches often match
On his two-day train trip across
events, as when Bush mystified a
Ohio and Michigan last weekend,
GOP picnic crowd in Waukesha,
the president kept up his attack,
Wis., with an impassioned ar-
telling voters that Clinton's eco-
gument for tort reform. Advance
nomic plan would reach into the
work often has been sloppy. Last
wallets of the middle class.
month in San Diego, campaign of-
Earlier this week, Bush told a
ficials were forced to explain why
Texas crowd that if Clinton be-
Bush didn't draw enough sup-
came president, "We'd have to re-
porters to fill the 300 seats his
place the American eagle with a
own volunteers had set out.
chameleon. That is not the way it
On the stump, the president
works in the Oval Office. You
sometimes appears jittery and dis-
cannot come down on both sides
tracted, flipping through 4 by 6
of every issue."
inch file cards in search of a mes-
The problem for Bush on both
sage, or even a one-liner, that will
the tax and trust issues is that his
connect with voters.
own credibility is short circuited
Through it all, Bush has main-
with many voters because of his
tained a Trumanesque self-confi-
reneging on the 1988 "no new
dence, reassuring friends and an
taxes" campaign pledge.
increasingly anxious staff that he
"Bush has never really under-
will prevail Nov. 3.
stood the public mood," a top Re-
"You're gonna cat a lot of
publican consultant said last week.
crow," Bush told a reporter in
"Back in New Hampshire, his
Michigan last Sunday.
campaign told him that Pat
Earlier this year, few would have
Buchanan was a crank, that all
thought that a president whose
they had to do was push him out
popularity ratings had once
of the way.
reached 90 percent would have to
"They didn't understand that for
cast himself in the come-from-be-
lots of voters in New Hampshire,
hind model of Harry Truman in
Buchanan represented change, es-
1948.
pecially after he started focusing
Bush trailed Clinton after the
on the economy."
Democratic convention in July but
Bush was able to neutralize
promised he would go into his
Buchanan by hanging an extrem-
"campaign mode" at his party
ist, isolationist label on the con-
convention in Houston. However,
servative TV commentator.
the bounce in the polls expected
The Bush campaign apparatus
from the GOP convention turned
used the same rough hand in
out to be a weekend bump.
dealing with Perot during his first
The president's acceptance
venture into presidential politics
speech was well' received, but the
last spring.
furor over the convention's "fami-
White House spokesman Marlin
ly values" theme generated a back
Fitzwater tagged Perot as "a tem-
lash among some moderate Ra-
peramental tycoon," while cam-
publicans and independents. many
paign chairman Robert Teeter
of whom were distressed by some
helped alter the public view of
of the more strident speechmaking
Perot by characterizing him as a
in Houston.
man who lacked the "tem-
Bush repeatedly has sought to
perament, judgment and respect
make headway with Clinton's
for our laws to be president."
struggle with the draft issue and
They always have believed they
Clinton's effort to explain what he
could use a similar approach to
did and what he meant to do
defining and ultimately defeating
when faced with an induction
Clinton.
notice in 1969.
Republican pollster Richard
"But, according to the polls, the
Wirthlin, who worked for Ronald
attacks have not done grievous
Reagan, believes overconfidence-
harm to Clinton's effort, and are
at the root of Bush's stunning re-
offset to some degree by lingering
versal of fortune.
questions about Bush's role in the
"Few presidents have enjoyed
Iran contra affair.
the high highs that George Bush
After Labor Day, when it be-
did," Wirthlin said. "That created
came evident that the president
an expectation that has not been
had not made up the post-conven-
met."
CERTIFIED
ROBERT J. SHARPENTER
P 087 416 236
P.O. Box 248
300 N. Lake Street 321 websker
MAIL
MASSACHUSETTS MON 31/10/05/92 #2
Montgomery, Illinois 60538
RETURN RECEIPT
MLDCR #C8
James REQUESTED A baku III-
Bush Campaign chuf
1030 n.w.
Washington, 20005 D.C.
SENT BY: XEROX Telecopier 7017:10- 8-92 ; 9:24 ;
2023337433-
E O P:# 1
FAX COVER SHEET
Please call Kinko's If transmittal is Incomplete.
DATE: 10/8/92
NUMBER OF ORIGINALS INSI UDING COVER SHEET: 2
TO: JAMES
FROM:
COMPANY: white House
COMPANY:
PHONE:
PHONE:
FAX: 212 456-2 461
FAX:
MESSAGE:
kinko's georgetown
3329 M Street, NW
Washington, DC 20007
Tel: (202) 965-1414
Fax: (202) 333-7433
SENT BY: XEROX Telecopier 7017:10- 8-92 : 9:25 ;
2023337433-
E O P # 2
Robert Untalan
3400 P St. NW
WA., D.C. 20007
October 8, 1992
The Honorable James Baker III
Chief of Staff/White House
WA., D.C. 20500
Dear James Baker III:
Please reference my previous correspondence of August 27, Sep-
tember 14, 18, 22, 24, 25, 30; and October 6 (Date Incorrect of
10/16), and 7, 1992.
Please review the the issue concerning the company ALEX
(ALTERNATIVE EXPERTS). Someone figured out a way to gather
information (intelligence network) and conduct influence inside
the government. ALEX WAS AN EXAMPLE OF THESE CONTRACT AGENTS.
A separate intelligence network with serious Constitutional,
Political and Criminal overtones. PROMIS/INSLAW WAS JUST A
BOOKKEEPING EXERCISE. BUT HERE LIES THE NAMES OF CONTRACT
AGENTS, ACCOUNTS AND THE LINK BEHIND ALEX. OTHER COMPANIES
LIKE ALEX. THIS THING IS BIGI SOMEONE NEEDS TO GET THE
RIGHT PEOPLE IN THE BUREAU INVOLVED. THIS NETWORK GOES ALL
OVER THE PLACE. THERE IS SERIOUS DANGER BEHIND ALL THIS.
Close security measures need to be place with the
communications concerning this subject. Anyone who touches
the information related to this. MUST BE AIRTIGHT so THE
BUREAU CAN BLOW THE LID OFF THE ENTIRE NETWORK.
Someone should look into Senator Dodd's ties with Senator Helms.
Sincerely,
Robert Untalan
CC: FBI Squad C2
OCT-08-'92 THU 13:11 ID:JOHN GARDINER RESORT TEL NO: 1-602-948-2100
#766 P01
Thes
OCT 8,1992
JOHN GARDINER'S TENNIS RANCH ON CAMELBACK
FAY TO: JAMES 202-456-2883 F. BAKER - White Hase
NRN
From: HOME MEADOWEROFT (#257)
(WeyERHAeusen Ca)
Same MaRe TODAY IN
ARIZONA Republic Newspaper
THAT Might help UNDERSTAND
why The PRESS CAN'T
Be helpful.
Letters TO EDITOR NCT BAD!
CARTOONS FOR FUN
Have
5700 E. McDONALD DRIVE, SCOTTSDALE. ARIZONA 85253-5268, TELEPHONE 602/948-2100, FAX 602/483-7314
OCT-08-'92 THU 13:12 ID:JOHN GARDINER RESORT TEL NO:1-602-948-2100
#766 P02
PLINJUN $ VILW
You know our plans
to move the
plant to Mexico
under the free
trade agreement?
Well, the car
INFORMATION POST
broke down
PUTA
REST
ROOM
THANK
CANADIAN
DICTION
MEXICO--
OR BUST!
NOINN
ARIES
DETROFT.
MADE IN MERCA
FER MERCUNS
BY MERCUNS
nm
BENSON196
GAZRERBUC
PRO
WOULD THAT BE
ABORTION, SCHOOLS,
CHOICE
OR BREAST IMPLANTS?
BOK/Akron Beacon Journal
OCT-08-'92 THU 13:13 JOHN GARDINER RESORT TEL NO:1-602-948-2100
#766 P03
household is more likely to carn more. To
Games would be more fun
assert that that was an interesting fact is
Hypocrisy included
if the coaches were out
simplistic, patronizing and really quite
beside the point anyway.
in wording of Proposition 110
Cheers to David Fritze for his enlighten-
It is simply wrong to point to the
I feel compelled to comment on the
transformation of American lifestyles as
ing article on Pop Warner football. I
hypocrisy of your newspaper as well as
causes rather than effects of economic and
personally witnessed the disgusting behav-
many anti-abortion supporters in regard to
ior displayed by several coaches and
social change. It is disturbing that a
their endorsement of Proposition 110, the
national political figure such as the vice
parents when my (then) 7-year-old son
Pre-born Child Protection Amendment.
president demonstrates no comprehension
played on a flag team two years ago.
This amendment states that the Legisla-
of the effects of social welfare program
Whenever my son's team lost a game, he
ture shall provide exceptions only in case of
rules and regulations on the American
would ask me on the way home why the
reported sexual assault or reported incest
family life he so treasures.
referees were against his team. Although I
and also speaks of allowing abortion in case
would try to dissuade him from the false
It was government regulations in pro-
of endangerment to the life of the mother.
grams such as Aid to Families with
notion, he would not listen to me because
If 8 person truly believes that a fetus has
he had heard it from his coach.
Dependent Children that helped marginal-
the same rights as everyone, how do you
ize fatherhood in the American urban
One of my son's conches was thrown out
justify any reason for abortion? Should the
of a game for particularly obnoxious
psyche. Let's not encourage Mr. Quayle's
sons pay for the sins of the father?
behavior. After that game, my son had a
attempt to assign authorship of that bundle
Shouldn't pregnancies conceived through
to the Hollywood that we know is too
new question. He wanted to know what
rape or incest be forced to be carried to
would happen if all the coaches were
shallow to do much more than merely
term? Also who would assign the life value
reflect life in these United States.
thrown out. I told him they'd have to play
in the choice between the endangered
the game without the coaches.
Furthermore, your crack about Edgar
mother or the fetus?
His response? "That would be a whole
preferring Charlie McCarthy was unwor-
When truly thought out, the decision of
lot more fun."
thy of a major newspaper. Maybe The
abortion must be each women's to carefully
What a novel idea. Kids playing a game
Republic isn't $0 major a publication after
weigh with regard to her Own circum-
all.
for fun. Sounds like something I used to do
stances.
when I was a kid.
Ron Sokota
Elaine Diaz
Phoenix
Carol Sobo
Glendale
Mesa
Murphy editorial proves
THE ARIZONA REPUBL
'Republic' doesn't get it
Pounded
PUBLIC
Newspaper THE 120
Your Sept. 22 editorial "The Murphy
Brown saga" demonstrates that The
BUCENE D. FULLIAM
SUGENE PUBLITAN
Republic's editorial board, just like Dan
Eublisher, 1946-1975
President
Quayle, still doesn't get it. The real picture
of America includes millions of households
OUIS A. WEIL
PUBJECT and
that do not conform to traditional
WILLIAMP, CHESHIRE
Christian expectations.
JOHN OPPEDAME
Editor of the Editorial Pager
There are households headed by unmar-
CONHANKLOH
BILL OHOVER
ried and single men, women and unwed
Directories PLEASE
same and mixed-gender couples. That is a
fact. All of us realize that a two-parent
Where The Spint of the Lard 10, There is LIBERTY Cortainuans 377
OCT-08-'92 THU 13:14 JOHN GARDINER RESORT TEL NO:1-602-948-2100
#766 P04
EDIT
A14 Thursday. October 8, 1992
TI
THE CAMPAIGN
Bush descending
AMES Baker, the president's emi-
has a four-year record to run on - and
J
nence grise and former secretary of
it's his own, not Ronald Reagan's. Many
state, was going to save the Bush
voters, disturbed by the economic signs
campaign from oblivion. When he relo-
and what they see as Mr. Bush's
cated from Foggy Bottom to Pennsylvania
indifferent domestic performance, have
Avenue, it was for the purpose of bringing
lost confidence in the president's ability to
off the greatest resuscitation since Laza-
lead.
rus.
Though the severity of the crisis
That is what was supposed to
seems to have dawned on Mr. Baker the
happen. In fact, the arrival of Mr. Baker
linkster, the president appears to be
has made no appreciable difference in
oblivious to his desperate plight, as
President Bush's abysmal standing in the
evidenced by his persistent defense of the
public opinion polls. The president trails
very advisers who led him by the nose into
Bill Clinton today by almost precisely the
his present difficulties.
same margin as he did when Sir James,
When earlier this week Richard
the Lone Star knight-errant, galloped his
Darman characterized as "idiocy" Mr.
charger to the rescue.
Bush's convention apology for the 1990
And now gloomy resignation seems
budget deal - the deal by which, at the
to have set in at the Bush camp. Jurek
ever-confident Mr. Darman's urging, he
Martin, the able Washington correspon-
foolishly smashed to atoms his "no new
dent of London's Financial Times, reports
taxes" pledge - the president defended
that campaign manager Baker is spending
his budget director, who should have been
more time on the golf course than he ever
summarily cashiered.
did as secretary of state. This can mean
As the Financial Times's Mr. Martin
only one of two things: either massive
notes, Mr. Bush's best - perhaps only -
confidence in a Bush victory or the
hope now lies in the three televised
increasingly prevalent assessment that the
debates that kick off Sunday. Yet it is
Bush presidency can be saved only by a
probably expecting too much of Mr. Bush,
miracle.
whose rhetorical skills fall short of
A glance at the Electoral College
Winston Churchill's, to demolish the glib
supports the latter possibility. Mr. Clinton
Mr. Clinton. It is scarcely to be imagined
has à solid lead in 31 states, with 367
electoral votes; Mr. Bush leads in 11, with
that the Bush camp actually planned for
71 votes; nine states, with 100 electors, are
the campaign to turn on their man's
too close to call. Two-hundred-seventy are
debate performance.
needed to win.
Unless some wrenching and unex-
The difficulty for Mr. Bush is that his
pected drama occurs over the next 26 days
to reverse the embattled chief executive's
best strategy - depicting Mr. Clinton as a
tax-and-spend liberal who would drive
misfortunes - or he suddenly develops
middle-class Americans into poverty - is
the oratorical skills of a Disraeli -
not working as it did in 1988 against the
George Herbert Walker Bush seems likely
vulnerable Michael Dukakis, even though
to become, like Jimmy Carter and Herbert
it may be true. This is because Mr. Bush
Hoover, a one-term president.
ПСТ-Й8-'92 THU 13:15 ID:TOHN GARDINER RESORT TFI Nn: 1-602-948-2100
#766 P05
King has loose reins:
Politicians rule show
when Larry in charge
he scene was the flashy, frantic
T
Starship Enterprise-like
control booth of Cable News
Network in Atlanta, a few days after
the start of the Persian Gulf war in
January 1991.
CNN, then, was the center of the
news universe. Maybe the center of
the whole universe.
At this particular juncture, Larry
King Live was on the air with guests
CNN correspondents Bernard Shaw
GREG JOSEPH
and John Holliman, who had just
returned from their classic voice-only
Republic TV Columnist
broadcast of the bombing of Baghdad,
Iraq, which launched the war. They
were still groggy from the ordeal.
way he prepares for these interviews,
The moment was a denouement for
the same way he prepares for all of his
Larry King. The war, embodied in
interviews. Which is not at all.
this triumphant moment, would give
King is fond of calling his on-air
King worldwide exposure and power
inquiries "street questions," the type,
that still is being felt today with the
he contends, that ordinary folks
King show's sudden role as the bully
would pose.
pulpit of the '92 presidential
The problem is, Larry King is not
campaign.
ordinary, in that he's in an
That pulpit, though. is propped up
extraordinary position of Influence in
by illusion.
being able to help feed information to
On this Sunday night in the dark,
the American electorate.
monitor-studded booth, standing next
The information he passes on -
to me as the broadcast wore on, was
"passing on" being as good as any
CNN President Tom Johnson,
way of putting it - is exactly the way
fidgeting and taking notes. Joe Bugel
his interview subjects like it.
pacing the sidelines during a lopsided
Phoenix Cardinals loss is a happier
Compare, for example, the recent
excellent Nightline on President
man.
Indeed, if Johnson, a onetime
Bush's possible role in the Iran-contra
publisher of the Los Angeles Times,
scandal, a terrific bit of investigative
was pleased with the way the
journalism, with King's questioning of
interview was proceeding, he masked
the president about the
his contentment brilliantly.
administration's support for Saddam
Hussein before the gulf war.
Feeding questions
After King asked Bush if he knew
"C'mon," he said impatiently to no
what was going on, Bush replied, "Of
one and everyone. "I want some
what going on?" and King shot back,
hardball questions for Larry."
"Sales of stuff to Iraq."
Those around him feverishly
The line of questioning petered out
scribbled questions on slips of paper
when Bush claimed nothing had been
and quickly handed them in.
done in opposition to national policy.
Johnson then proceeded to whisk
What was King, with his "street
through the suggestions and pick his
questions" and lack of preparation,
favorites. At the next break in the
going to do then? Ask if the president
show, he picked up the phone in the
had been jogging that day?
control booth linked directly to King's
No wonder the president avoids
desk and dictated the questions he
Dan Rather. And no wonder all the
wanted King to ask.
politicians flock to Larry King Live.
King dutifully obeyed, sounding all
Based on Nielsens, CNN estimates
the while as though the queries had,
that 1,927,000 homes watched King's
at that split second, popped into his
interview with Bush on Sunday night,
mind.
that 2,560,000 watched Bill Clinton
What Larry King was, was a very
and Al Gore on Monday night, and
skillful marionette.
that 2,546,000 watched Ross Perot a
He still is. As politician after
week ago Monday.
politician gleefully speeds to Larry
King Live, strings still are attached to
Multiply those numbers by the
scores of other viewers and readers
Extended Page
5.1
scores OI other VIEWERS any
Larry King- but this time, pulled by
someone else: the very people he's
exposed to the regurgitation of his
politician-guests' remarks on other TV
supposed to be interviewing.
King, an ingratiating man and a
news programs and in newspapers,
cordial interview subject himself, is
and King's power becomes enormous.
out of his depth in interviewing
And enormously worrisome.
presidential and vice presidential
Larry King is not a newsman.
candidates.
Doesn't pretend to be, doesn't want to
be. Isn't.
In shallow waters
But the public assumes he is.
Out of his depth because he has
Pray that the next time King is on
waded, willingly and cheerfully, into
the air with a politician, Tom Johnson
the shallow end of the pool.
is in the control booth again, calling
The shallowness is the result of the
in questions for King to ask.
OCT-08-'92 THU 13:16 ID: JOHN GARDINER RESORT TEL NO:1-602-948-2100
#766 P06
#)
Draft-dodging Clinton offends tradition
in his run to be commander in chief
From the time of George Washington to
leaders they most admired.
the present, the people have elected
of our most elite and-expensive
The so-called moderate Bill Clinton
former members of the armed services to
universities. At Yale he was inducted into
gave as his choice Mikhail Gorbachev and
the office of president. Among other
Nelson Mandela.
Skull and Bones, the small and highly
reasons was their courage, love of
secretive society that was widely known
To those who think that Gov. Clinton
country. ability to organize and integrity.
for its exclusion of anyone who was not a
is a moderate, I would like to offer for
What have the Democrats given us this
white Anglo-Saxon.
sale some ocean-front property in
time? If the polls show a true picture, we
Phoenix.
With this highly elitist background, it
will soon have, for the lack of a better
is unbecoming, ludicrous and dishonest
Hy Rosenfeld
description, a draft-dodger as the
for President Bush to portray Bill Clinton
Phoenix
in this fashion.
commander in chief of the armed forces
of the United States. He has evaded
Bush torpedoes laws
Stephen K. Zimmerman
questions about his draft status during the
Scottsdale
Vietnam War. and when he is cornered,
enacted by Corigress
Vote for Perot
he has a different set of answers.
The answers also do not jibe with the
We choose our congressmen and send
to fix the country
information given by knowledgeable
them to Washington to enact laws that
are to rule us and our nation. President
people of the time. This shows a complete
If one concludes - as has this writer
lack of integrity. No wonder the people of
Bush has vetood 34 of these decisions
his home state nicknamed him "Slick
made by our duly elected representatives.
that a vote for either George Bush or Bill
Willie."
They should be called torpedoes not
Clinton offers little or no prospect for the
United States to extricate itself from a
The Democrats claim that this makes
vetoes because they are leaving our ship
of state dead in the water.
fiscal mess, one ought to consider very
no difference, since this was an unpopular
seriously a vote for Ross Perot.
war. All wars are unpopular. People get
Robert Wilson
killed. One wonders if the man who
Tucson
Mr. Bush has had four years to display
the requisite leadership; it is apparent he
replaced him has his name on the wall.
Elitist Bush paints
lacks the ingredients to cope with the
It is strange that the Democrats admit
problems. Lawrence Kudlow, chief
that this was an unpopular war. Like
Clinton with same brush
economist at Bear Stearns & Co., in a
Korea, it started during a Democratic
New York Times piece on Sept. 6, wrote
administration and, like Korea, it was run
In recent days President Bush has sunk
very convincingly of the Darman-Brady
from the White House with so many
to a new low by joining Dan Quayle in
record of failure. Mr. Bush gives no
restrictions that it was impossible to win
trying to portray Bill Clinton as "elitist"
evidence of the need for a new team and A
Extended Page
6. 1
restrictions that it was impossible to win.
"y"g 10 portray DIN Comon as entist
evidence of the need for a new team and a
Lastly, Bill Clinton promises that if
for attending Oxford University as a
new approach.
elected we will get two for the price of
Rhodes scholar in the late 1960s.
Neither Mr. Clinton nor the
one, and he doesn't mean Al Gore.
As the president well knows, Rhodes
Democratic party offers hope of adopting
Probably his idea of family values.
scholarships are awarded to the best and
policies to cope with a problem that may
Claude Merrell
the brightest of our college students
sink this country for the foresecable
Riviera
regardless of race, creed, color or ability
future.
to pay. Only a handful of the millions of
Ross Perot owes nothing to any
Clinton isn't moderate
American college students are honored
politician - in or out of office - and
with Rhodes scholarships each year.
judging from who he likes
with the voters behind him, he could
In contrast, George Bush's patrician
conceivably adopt and push for the
family paid all the bills to send him to
In a recent survey by The Wall Street
drastic policies required by the fix in
Andover, one of the two or three most
which we find ourselves.
Journal, the various presidential
expensive and elitist prep schools in the
candidates were asked which foreign
Martin Merson
United States, and to Yale University, one
Sun City
OCT-08-'92 THU 13:17 ID:JOHN GARDINER RESORT TEL NO:1-602-948-2100
#766 P07
King has loose reins:
Politicians rule show
when Larry in charge
T
he scene was the flashy, frantic
Starship Enterprise-like
control booth of Cable News
Network in Atlanta, a few days after
the start of the Persian Gulf war in
January 1991.
CNN, then, was the center of the
news universe. Maybe the center of
the whole universe.
At this particular juncture, Larry
King Live was on the air with guests
CNN correspondents Bernard Shaw
and John Holliman, who had Just
GREG JOSEPH
returned from their classic voice-only
Republic TV Columnist
broadcast of the bombing of Baghdad.
Iraq, which launched the war. They
Were still groggy from the ordeal.
way he prepares for these interviews,
The moment was a denouement for
the same way he prepares for all of his
Larry King. The war, embodied in
interviews. Which is not at all.
this triumphant moment, would give
King is fond of calling his on-air
King worldwide exposure and power
that still is being felt today with the
inquiries "street questions," the type,
King show's sudden role as the bully
he contends, that ordinary folks
would pose.
pulpit of the '92 presidential
campaign.
The problem is, Larry King is not
That pulpit, though, is propped up
ordinary, in that he's in an
by illusion.
extraordinary position of influence in
On this Sunday night in the dark,
being able to help feed information to
monitor-studded booth, standing next
the American electorate.
to me as the broadcast wore on, was
The information he passes on -
CNN President Tom Johnson,
"passing on" being as good as any
fidgeting and taking notes. Joe Bugel
way of putting it - is exactly the way
pacing the sidelines during a lopsided
his interview subjects like it.
Phoenix Cardinals loss is a happier
Compare, for example, the recent
man.
excellent Nightline on President
Indeed, if Johnson, A onetime
Bush's possible role in the Iran-contra
publisher of the Los Angeles Times,
scandal, a terrific bit of investigative
was pleased with the way the
journalism, with King's questioning of
interview was proceeding, he masked
the president about the
his contentment brilliantly.
administration's support for Saddam
Feeding questions
Hussein before the gulf war.
After King asked Bush if he knew
"C'mon," he said impatiently to no
what was going on, Bush replied, "Of
one and everyone. "I want some
what going on?" and King shot back,
hardball questions for Larry."
"Sales of stuff to Iraq."
Those around him feverishly
The line of questioning petered out
scribbled questions on slips of paper
when Bush claimed nothing had been
and quickly handed them in.
done in opposition to national policy.
Johnson then proceeded to whisk
What was King, with his "street
through the suggestions and pick his
favorites. At the next break in the
questions" and lack of preparation,
going to do then? Ask if the president
show, he picked up the phone in the
had been jogging that day?
control booth linked directly to King's
desk and dictated the questions he
No wonder the president avoids
Dan Rather. And no wonder all the
wanted King to ask.
King dutifully obeyed, sounding all
politicians flock to Larry King Live.
the while as though the queries had,
Based on Nielsens, CNN estimates
at that split second, popped into his
that 1,927,000 homes watched King's
mind.
interview with Bush on Sunday night,
What Larry King was, was a very
that 2,560,000 watched Bill Clinton
skillful marionette.
and Al Gore on Monday night, and
He still is. As politician after
that 2,546,000 watched Ross Perot a
politician gleefully speeds to Larry
week ago Monday.
King Live, strings still are attached to
Multiply those numbers by the
scores of other virwers
Extended Page
7.1
Larry King - but this time, pulled by
scores of other viewers and readers
someone else: the very people he's
exposed to the regurgitation of his
supposed to be interviewing.
politician-guests' remarks on other TV
King, an Ingratiating man and a
news programs and in newspapers,
cordial interview subject himself, is
and King's power becomes enormous.
out of his depth in interviewing
And enormously worrisome.
presidential and vice presidential
Larry King is not a newsman.
candidates.
Doesn't pretend to be, doesn't want to
be. Isn't.
In shallow waters
But the public assumes be is.
Out of his depth because he has
Pray that the next time King is on
waded, willingly and cheerfully, Into
the air with a politician, Tom Johnson
the shallow end of the pool.
is in the control booth again, calling
The shallowness is the result of the
in questions for King to ask.
OCT 08 '92 10:21AM DEAN WITTER REYNOLDS INC.
P.2
DEAN WITTER REYNOLDS INC. 181 East Second Avenue, San Matso. CA 94401
Telephone I (800) 743-6550 Fax (415) 342-9823 Direct Line (415) 340-8556
To: JAMES BAKER III
MRN
FAX 1-202-456-2461
SHELDON L. GERSH
Senior Vice President, investments
The PRes should ASK the AMERICAN Public
iF They would be better OFF AS A Result
of 7 gov't spending deRived FROM A taxes,
-OR- OR
would the Public be better OFF FROM
having / spendAble Income AS A Result of
Lower Fax rates.
Just Remember how the last tax like
effected the Economy ? It didn't
pull uo out of the Recession but RAther
put us deeper into the Recession So
what make clinton think ANother
IF the lAst
+AX hike
fidn 't help
tax hike would help the Economy 4 iF A5
A Result, the public will have less
spendable Income. we had Fax RAtes
going in the 1980's ANd AS A
DEAN WITTER
REYNOLDS INC.
Sheldon L Gersh
Vice President, Box investments
181 Senior East Second Ave, P.O. 1780
Result, we had the greatest and
San Melso, CA 94401
longest ECONOMIC prosperity in the
(919)
twice history terned", of our why Country. does clinton "once think burned,
his tax Like is different than All other
Likes No hike has ever help the Economy,
'Fool me ONCE shane ON you, Fool ME twice - SHAME ON ME
sheldon L. GERSH
OCT 08 '92 10:22AM DEAN WITTER REYNOLDS INC.
P.3
2
DEAN WITTER REYNOLDS INC. 181 East Second Avenue, Sun Mateo, CA 94401
Telephone 1 (800) 743-8550 Fax (415) 342-9823 Direct Line (415) 340-6556
To: James Baker III
SHELDON L. GERSH
FAX 1-202-456-2461
Senior Vice President, Investments
clinton SAYS we have the worse Economy
in 50 years. then how does he rate the
Economy under CARTER - only 12 years Ago.
why vote for Jame one who is For the
Pablic having less spendable Income. ?
there are 66,000 Individuals who law
1,000,000.00 or More per year. Lete SAY you
1 per each one of their Tax bills by 100, 000
year. This only Amounts to A total
of 6½ Billion dollars More in Revenue
the per year, where is clinton going to get
BRACKET Rest of the Revenue ? FROM lower tax
1789
clinton SAYS the govt KNOWS Best one
DEAN WITTER
REYNOLDS INC.
Shelden L Gerah
181 Senior Vice President, Investments
low to spend our dollars ANd Bush
San East Second Ave, P.O.Box
San Mateo, CA 94401
says the Public knows Best on how
(15)340-6558
to spend their Income. who would
The govt of we the People.
you PREFER to spend our earnings,
SENT BY: XEROX Telecopier 7017:10- 7-32 ; 13:41
;
2023337433-
E 0 P:# 1
FAX COVER SHEET
Please call Kinko's If transmittal is incomplete.
DATE:
NUMBER OF ORIGINALS INCLUDING COVER SHEET:
TO: HANDEAblE JAMES BAKER III FROM:
COMPANY: WHITE House
COMPANY:
PHONE:
PHONE:
FAX:
456-2461
FAX:
MESSAGE:
kinko's georgetown
3329 M Street, NW
0
Washington, DC 20007
Tel: (202) 965-1414
Fax: (202) 333-7433
SENT BY: XEROX Telecopier 7017:10- 7-92 ; 13:41
2023337433-
E 0 P:# 2
Robert Untalan
3400 P St. NW
WA., D.C. 20007
October 7, 1992
The Honorable James Baker III
Chief of Staff/White House
WA., D.C. 20500
Dear James Baker III:
Please reference my previous correspondence of August 27,
1992, September 14, 18, 22, 24, 25, 30 and October 6, 1992.
The correspondence I sent yesterday (had the wrong date of
10/16) mentioned the name Keith Hummer who was hired from the
firm "ALEX." The name stands for Alternative Experts as I said
before. There is another connection here that the Bureau needs
to look into. Because of what is involved I am faxing this
information to the Criminal Investigative Division and squad C2.
As I mentioned yesterday, Richard Muramatsu, the intelligence
agency contact in Hill International, Inc., hired people from
the firm ALEX. There had to be a way to keep contact of all
these people, contract agents that used as secondary fronts
as was the case in the Voice of America money laundering
scheme. The program had to be such that it would be secure
enough, because of the information involved related to the
intelligence agency contacts, the contract agent's names, and the
amounts they were paid. There had to be a software that
would do this, particularly because of all the contract agents
involved. There has to be a way to track down all the
others in the government who are contract agents working
for the intelligence agencies. Robert Allen, who I believe
is CIA based on what happened with Brian Mctigue in Senator
Metzanbaum's office please refer to previous correspondence
I sent you) was hired by a Mark Manderback in Hill International,
Inc. who left to work for Kaiser Engineers February 1, 1992.
The same company that Robert Allen went to. This is just a
hunch, but I believe PROMIS was that answer to keeping track
of all these people, the accounts, etc. (INSLAW) Maybe
would explain when I called the Robert Mueller III's office
that was handling the BCCI people would not return my call, be
shut down. If this is the case, and it makes plausible sense,
someone should talk to him quickly. Agent Gates in the Bureau
should be contacted.
I know the danger that lurks behind what is related to this
entire matter. So far since my request of August 27 I have
not heard from anyone in the Bureau about some form of protection
for my child and her mother who live in California. Why?
Robert Sincerely Latalon
Robert Untalan
CC: FBI Squad C2 & CID
CLEMENT EMMETT ST. MARTIN
7 SHEPPARDS LANE
WEN
MT LAUREL, NEW JERSEY 08054
(609) 866-0662
October 3, 1992
Chairman
National Republican Committee
Bush Re-Election Campaign Headquarters
Washington, D. C.
Dear Sir:
Enclosed is a master copy of a letter that I have forwarded
to all major New Jersey nespapers and the Philadelphia
Inquirer.
would like to have sent it to all major newspapers in this
I country but it just happens that I do not, nor could I afford
all those .29 cent stamps.
Please accept this letter as my authorization for you to
forward the letter for possible publication in whichever
newspapers you deem important enough.
I do believe there will be many, many folks who would think
again about voting for Clinton after they read the letter.
Sincerely,
Chen St.mait
CLEM ST. MARTIN
Mt Laurel, NJ
(609) 866-0662
Page 2.
One thing that is factual is that some young man did indeed
take Bill Clinton's place in the military service of this country
during the closing years of the Vietnam conflict while Bill
Clinton sat the war out in the nearest pub to Oxford University.
Sincerely,
is
CLEM ST.MARTIN
MAJOR, USA RETIRED
(609) 386-6409 (office)
(609) 866-0662 (home)
7 Sheppards Lane
Mt. Laurel, NJ 08054
neñ
October 4,1992
environment
Dear Secretary Baker,
Though I have beena
life-long Republican, I and
My children, ages 23, 27, and
29 are serious kl considering
voting for the clinton-Gore
ticket, solely because of Bush's
increasingly hostile environmental
stance.
Each week he continues to
undermine existing laws designed
to protect our environment.
I believe that this is in
direct opposition to the will of
the voters. we are out raged
by Bush's failure to live up
to his promise to be the
"environmental presedent. "
This month's National
Geographic documents the
loss each year of 300,000 acus
of our wetlands. old. growth
fousts in North Calolina parks
are being clear - cup.
I was glad to read in
the New clork Times that at
last you are attempting to
turn this policy around.
Suicerely,
Rhett Thaqaed
601 E. Fairview Ave.
Montgomery, AL 36106
I HONTG TGOMERY, PM AL
5 OCT
361
1992
MLOCE $7
USA29
Sec. James A. Baker III
The white House
Washington, D.C.
20500
attention: Bush Campaign
601 E. Fairview Ave.
Montgomery, AL
36106
$
#2
SENT BY:
:10- 7-92 :11:36AM ; OIPC/0EC/CORD/SMVC+
E 0 P:# 1
MeN
October 7, 1992
Via Facsimile (202) 456-2461
Mr. James Baker
Chief of Staff
The White House
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue
Washington, DC 20500
Dear Mr. Baker:
Please read my proposal to Senator Simpson, which I believe
will turn the tide in the campaign. It is a positive approach,
rather than negative. It gives some very good people a chance to
explain what they have been doing and for them to give support to
President Bush on both foreign and domestic policy and future
policy. This group also is comprised of a good racial and
men/women mix.
The programs for solving our economic policies are, for the
most part, already in motion. We need to explain how.
The proposal I sent to Senator Simpson needs fleshing out
but if it can be done correctly it will win the battle.
I am not trying to take Senator Simpson out of this loop,
but in the interest of time and the possibility it has been
bureaucratically mishandled--a common occurrence in D.C.--I am
sending it to you as well as Senator Simpson.
I want you to know that this has been researched at grass
roots levels and we know the Republican program 18 not well
understood. Also, not well understood 18 the role of Congress
and how the Bush Administration can control it in the future. I
can explain later how this research was done. The questions the
people have must be answered. You do have the answere in your
Cabinet and top Republican Congressional people. Let's get the
questioners and answerers together. Let's educate the voters.
Let's answer their questions. The President cannot be the only
one involved.
Please advise as per the information in letter to Senator
Simpson, if I can be of assistance in this matter.
Sincerely,
Lavere (Lee) H. Wareing
SENT BY:
:10- 7-92 11:36AM ; OIPC/0EC/CORD/SMVC+
E 0 P;# 2
October 5, 1992
Via Facsimile (202) 224-3913
Mr. Alan Simpson
U. S. Senator/Wyoming
Sanate whip
U. S. Senate
Washington, DC
Dear Senator:
Reference my conversation with Senator Clifford Hansen and my
telephone call to your office.
I proposed some ideas to Senator Hansen that he concurred with
regarding the need to re-elect President Bush and other
Republicans at the next election. The idea of Clinton
believe the Democrats have captured the theme--failed government- I
President of this country is not acceptable. Nevertheless, as
-economic disaster--trickle down to their advantage.
The the Republican responses have been weak and confusing. Frankly,
be truthful the normal voter is convinced that the Bush
Republican party is talking over the heads of the voters. To
administration has simply done nothing about the domestic
situation, economy, law enforcement, drugs, etc.
We all know that there are some good programs going on which
should bring us out of our sconomic problems, but the people do
not know what these programs are.
be answered.
Several questions about where this Administration is going must
I believe the cabinet and some top senators and representatives
questions for him.
must take the heat off from the President and answer these
Congressional personnel and President Bush and Vice President
time for a question and answer session by the Cabinet. top
I am proposing that the Republican party buy four hours of prime
Quayle to answer the questions people are asking.
SENT BY:
:10- 7-92 :11:37AM ; OIPC/0EC/CORD/SMVC+
E 0 P;# 3
Both the Cabinet and Senate and some Republican House members are
outstanding speakers. They are trusted by the voters. These
people should be answering questions about their specialties.
For example, Dick Cheney, Secretary of Defense; Jack Kemp, HUD;
Ms. Lynn Martin, Labor, etc. Senators Dole and Simpson for what
Republicans in the Senate are trying to do, and so forth.
This Forum (spectacular) must be promoted as answering all the
questions several weeks in advance. But the format should not be
divulged because we do not want the Democrate to mount one of
their own.
What the Republicans have is a Cabinet of well-qualified people
who can move quickly to rectify the problems at hand--new govern-
ments--Clinton and Perot will need to find the personnel to do
these assignments. Time wasted--secondly, the Republican group
are moderates--can take & middle-road, whereas the other parties
are leftist socialist oriented. More government control of the
Clinton variety is a giant step towards socialism--a system we
have been fighting against for decades.
Obviously, during this political extravaganza WG must point out
what President Bush has done in world situations--collansa of
communism, containment Israel-Muslim problems, bringing China
into western world without conflict, etc. Build him up.
I further believe that the moderators should not be prominent
news casters. They grandstand for themselves. Lesser lights
from various parts of the U.S. who have been getting questions
that must be answered are what you need. I have some suggestions
on this subject.
I really believe this would turn the tide. I have some
suggestions on exactly how it should be done but I wanted to get
done. the concept to you ASAP. It will take some time to get this
Please advise to LaVers (Lee) Wareing. telephones: (303) 220-
8330 or (303) 279-1239 or fax (303) 779-8644. How can I be of
further assistance.
Sincerely,
LaVere (Lee) Wareing
Colonel/USAF, Retired
Rancher, Montana and Idaho
International Consultant
Natural Resources
L:sml
OCT-09-1992 10:43 FROM DILLONS #67
TO
12024562461 F.01
UM. 7, 1972
mo James Bake
Chief of Staff
NRN
Dear mr Baher
Clenton was the first to referr to
the screpting when he made references
to Vision and the new covenant.
This has reference to the new testament.
testament, the old covement
Take note of a reference fonding the Old
Isainh 28: 7 They have ended through wine,
and through strong drink and out ofter way;
the print and the prophet have erred
through strong drink, they are swallowed
up of wine, they and out of the through
strong drink; they en in vision,
they Shemble in judgment.
Clinton and the Democrate are drewken
with raising takes and spending, these
that Vesion and covernment indistorted
and will bring destriction to our country
The old covenant of less tages and spending is
Lislie King
a better covenant
913-267-4217
2624 S.E. Bd
topela, KS 66605
OCT-09-1992 10:44 FROM DILLONS #67
TO
12024562461
P.02
Oct 9 1992
mr James Baker
Chief of Slaff -
was Did you punning to be
hear about Resident the man that
He become so confused that
h was unsure of himself. So: e
went to see a psychologist.
the psychologist asked the young it own man
what who a am The psychologist feeld
his anothers was He said said
knswere what do means Some time & am
1. Dodger your no I am a youker
2.0 Demonstrator no Im a chinken wreak
Flower no I in grad
The 3. B. psychologist Etc asked now. no am He him a nepeated what he
over
thought and over, he fastward wees Faster This word
a tee all no I'm a w Weg-Wam wam
I'm you gee no Im a eg stop
The psychologist him a said stop tents) slop.
your Bill two who tense one (two you? where do you stand?
Leslie King
3624 SE30
913 267 4217
Topeha, XS. 66605
OCT-09-1992 10:44 FROM DILLONS #67
TO
12024562461
P.03
On 7,1772
mr James Baker
chief of staff
Dear mr Baker.
concerning Blenton - and Done
traveling together
Larry Keng asked our President
why the didn't
/. clinton was fearful of the was
2. clenton is fearful of diffecult
3. Questions clentron is fearful of making
4. discrision clinton is forful of traveling
alone on onpolitial Iniga He
needs some to support her
5 If he would ever get in The
while House clentan would as
setting an Dores lap 9 Fear Fear,
Leslie King
2624 S.E. 36
913 267 4217
topeher, AS 66605
TOTAL P.03
Simplified Systems
Fri
Oct 09 92
11:33
PAGE 1/4
DATE : Oct 09, 1992
TO : Mr. James Baker
: White House Chief of Staff
FROM : Frank Pressly
:
FAX PHONE :
VOICE PHONE : (803) 224-7916
MESSAGE :
:
:
Simplified Systems
Fri
Oct 09 92
11:33
PAGE 2/4
MEMO
TO:
Mr. James Baker (EYES ONLY)
White House Chief of Staff
FROM:
Frank Pressly
(803) 224-7916
RE:
CLINTON SECURITY CLEARANCE
DATE: October 9,1992 7:00 a.m.
During my military service Clinton would not have been able
to get even minimal security clearance on his record he has
admitted to. Is there any law which would make him
ineligible to run because of not being qualified for
clearance? This is an enormously powerful issue for
the Sunday debate and will be a show stopper. Especially if
Perot is asked directly by the President "if you were
Commander in Chief right now and knew the regulations
involved, what level security clearance would YOU give Bill
Clinton???"
PRESIDENT'S ANSWER: Well I'll tell ya, I submitted it for you
and he didn't qualify for CONFIDENTIAL clearance. That
clearance method has been used on
American
soldiers and veterans and government workers for
years. I don't think the American people are ready
to risk the whole system for one man. I know I won't vote
for him
If Perot begins the "they're not addressing the issues" then
the President must ask "is the security clearance of the
Commander in Chief not an issue it is THE issue before he
can be an effective leader. How would you feel if your boss
or Commander in Chief that gave you orders could not pass the
security clearance you had to. Or was given a higher
security clearance that you were denied. This security
hierarchy is very ingrained in the minds of the people who
keep this country safe. We erode the very fabric of our
security if we begin to make exceptions at the very highest
levels of government. So how is that not an issue
If the President is given the question of "running from
economic issues" he could respond
"You know I'm glad you asked that. It's on my mind almost
every moment of the day. I read about it in everything I
pick up. I think in the media where they make a living from
one liners, the candidate that could describe the entire
economic solution in that time frame would have your hearts.
but it averages about
months for any controversial
(partisan) bill to even come before the house, how Clinton
thinks he will change the realities of a government that
moves steadily towards it goals rather than wildly hopping
about as Bill Clinton would have you believe he will
have it doing. I'd rather be a turtle (close to the ground)
moving towards recovery rather than an unpredictable wild
hare we know who won THAT race!!! My point is there are
no oneliners that will describe a solution. At home and
around the world, in the past four years, we have experienced
the most costly accidents and natural disasters of all time.
We have seen foreign countrie rise and fall, we have remained
safe from aggression. Their are thousands of issues of
contention in government everyday. Some involve the economy
some don't. Anyone can search through a list of thousands
and be unhappy about any group of things to run a campaign
on. When issues come to the Oval Office, I attempt to make
decisions, after considering all the facts as they are
Simplified Systems
Fri
Oct 09 92
11:34
PAGE 3/4
presented to me, (which is usually more than what the press
tells you) based on the same basic conservative principles
that has seen this country flourish in past times. Why is
our growth so slow now? In times of growth we had a house
that worked with the President. There is no doubt we must
internalize our attentions to education (giving our children
the tools for future growth), housing and transportation (to
revitalize the infrastructure), and an energy policy which
moves us away from carbon based fuels. We must further
reshape our health care, entitlements, and labor policies to
optimize our transition into a leader in the world economy.
I believe that we as a people will have to come together one
day and I hope that we won't wait til Judgment Day to do it.
Adding "strategic tax givebacks" to trickle down economics we
will have a "trickle up economics" beginning with the broad
base electorate. Strategic tax givebacks means to remove
taxes on some items and pay for it by raising taxes on
others. That usually means removing taxes for needs and
adding taxes for wants. The wealthy can afford whatever they
want anyway. They'll just have to pay more for luxuries. We
hate to do it to anyone but the fact is government needs
money to run and I rather it not be from those who cannot
afford it. That will be our focus, to rearrange the pie so
that windfalls from military cutbacks will be prioritized
based on the needs of this country. The list of which I have
given you is not all inclusive.
The media expects the President to:
-"Not want to discuss the economy"
-"Lay heavily on Clinton for the draft issue"
-"Show animosity towards Perot"
-"Not maintain his presidential persona amongst two rivals"
-"Present a less than cohesive plan for recovery"
The President may be best served if NONE of these were true.
It would certainly be a decisive victory for the President.
Sincerest Regards
OCT 08 '92 13:51 SEA HUNTER LA
P.1/1
JAMES McDONALD ASSOCIATES
2650 Mission Street
San Marino CA 91108
Telephone 818 799 6620 Telex 6714973 Fax 818 799 6208
NRN
October 8 92
The Honorable James A. Baker III
The White House
Washington DC 20500
Dear Mr. Baker:
Re: Clinton's draft problem
As you know Democrats have bashed Dan Quayle for four years
labelling him a draft dodger. Apparently he is a piker when
compared to Clinton. But notice that Clinton's response to
President Bush's remarks about his anit-war protests was
that President Bush had said that his draft problem was of
no consequence.
Again I do not feel that the public will react to Clinton's
draft evasion or even to his anti-war protesting. What we
do react to is his bold-faced lies.
Perhaps the biggest lie concerns his relationship with the
militant Reverend in Oslo. Clinton says he just brushed up
with him at the railraod station. Yet in a book by the
Reverend he says that he met many times with Clinton and
that they worked together.
Why not run TV ads showing Clinton's statement on the Donohue
show and the facts in the Reverend's book.
As I understand it the Reverend is quoted now as saying in
effect "He can't possible tell the truth now that he is
running for President".
Recalling the campaign for governor in Louisiana where the
voters had a choice between the Clansman and the Crook, how
about a presidental choice between Honest George and the LIAR?
James MiDonald
Simplified Systems
Thur
Oct 08 92
15:45
PAGE 1/4
DATE : Oct 08, 1992
TO : Mr. James Baker (EYES ONLY)
: White House Chief of Staff
FROM : Frank Pressly
:
FAX PHONE :
VOICE PHONE : (803) 224-7916
MESSAGE :
:
:
Simplified Systems
Thur
Oct 08 92
15:45
PAGE 2/4
MEMO
TO:
Mr. James Baker (EYES ONLY)
White House Chief of Staff
NRN
FROM:
Frank Pressly
(803) 224-7916
RE:
STRATEGIC TAX GIVEBACK FOR ECONOMIC REVITALIZATION
DATE:
October 8,1992
I was listening to Black render the President's position on
various subjects at the Knight-Ridder board meeting, and
realized that time grows short. If the President does feel,
as Black proposed, that an enlarged economy increases
revenues not increased taxes, then the President may be well
served by implementing a "strategic tax give back".
My letter of January 17 to President Bush explained some pros
and cons of a strategic tax giveback involving the "blood" of
the economy. It would require an agreement with our friends
in Kuwait and the Saudi to implement; however, our recently
saving their tails should be incentive enough to get help
saving ours. If a fixed price per barrel could be guaranteed
for a finite period of time, a "giveback" of all taxes on
petroleum products would "goose" the economy into action. It
would require a price freeze 50 the savings would be enjoyed
by the end user rather than an increased profit for the
vendors. Market economy purists will want a totally market
driven price and may say it is inflationary. If an
unpredictable downside develops the plan can be withdrawn
quitely painlessly.
This "strategic tax giveback" has downsides such as increase
in pollution from additional fuel burned. Escalate fuel
efficiency goals. However, more large American cars will
sell because of the reduced cost of its petroleum related
components (maintain all taxes on imports), making their
pricing more competitive.
The real advantage of this, to the economy, is the injection
of capital at the precise location where it will facilitate
the most growth potential. The benefit to the people of
America will be directly proportional to their contribution
to moving goods and people (whether themselves or others).
So, unlike Perot's position for a tax increase on fuel, which
would enoumber and make more costly the movement of goods and
people, a reduction in price would encourage, activate, and
facilitate economic growth.
Their is a price to pay when the time period for the price
freeze is over and petroleum is again released to market
driven pricing. Between now and that time a concerted effort
towards the pursuit of alternative fuels will reduce the
effects of a return to market pricing.
Their is a downside to everything. The relevant question
then becomes, which strategy produces the most results with
the least downside? Note the medias praise of Perot's
graphics assisted presentation of the economy. The President
may be best served if he matches Perot's fervor for
presenting the facts and let Quayle concentrate on the
"negatives" for Clinton. The media it making points
presenting the President as "beating a dead horse". The
"negatives" rating for Clinton 15 increasing; but, may not be
best attained at the expense of the President's reputation
for confronting the issues. A point which will be brought
Simplified Systems
Thur
Oct 08 92
15:46
PAGE 3/4
into play by both Perot and Clinton.
Best wishes for the Sunday debate.
$
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FAX COVER SHEET
Date: October 9,1992
To: Fax 1-202-456-2883
For: The Monorable
James A. Beker
Chief of Staff
The White House
From: John Keppe1 (telephone 203 767-2006)
22 North Main Street
Essex, CT 06426
Number of pages including this one: Two
Reference: Yeltsin's measures against Gorbachev
Message: Please 880 the attached letter to Mr. Baker.
If there are any problems with this message,
please call 203 767-8206
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22 NORTH MAIN STREET
NRN
ESSEX, CONNECTICUT 06426
(203) 767-2006
October 9, 1992
The Honorable
James A. Baker
Chief of Staff
The White House
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20500
Dear Mr. Baker:
The progressive threatening measures which Yeltsin is
now taking against Gorbachev recall the tactics of the old
Soviet Union at its worst. Their USB now, and in particular
egainst Gorbachev, bring about a rupture of any semblance of
a conetitutional future for Russia. Silence on the matter by
the United States would invite a loss of credibility on our
part as 8 power for responsible constitutional government in
Russia and elsewhere.
With respect,
Sincerely, for Kappel
John Keppel
P.S. I am 8 retired Foreign Service Officer with two tours
of duty in Moscow and a former Acting Director of the Office
of Research and Analysis for the Soviet Union.
VICTOR C. WEISSKOPF
7120 Ridgeway Avenue Lincolnwood, IL 60645
Voice: 708-674-7400 FAX: 708-674-7404
Local Time: 10:52 am Date: October ?, 1992
MONY
To: Chief of Staff, The White House
Your Faxphone: 202-456-2397
Re: Latest Campaign Ploy
GENTLEMEN:
I have voted Republican in at least the last four
elections, and I am writing to tell you that in my
opinion, the latest twist in the President's re-election
strategy is not only off the mark, it's counterproductive,
embarrassing, and plain stupid.
The Viet Nam war was not a proud time for this nation. I
and many of my friends served, but I now believe that we
wasted our young people, destroyed our credibility, and
began a long slide into the economic chaos and fiscal
irresponsibility which prevails today.
Why not rightfully target a truly spendthrift Congress, a
bureaucracy which grows and grows, poking its mischievous
fingers into each and every realm of life? How about
creative ideas in resolving the scandal of abundant food,
but starving people? Advanced health care, but only for
relatively few, yet sky-high costs paid by society for
those who's illnesses go half-treated or untreated?
Come on guys, no one I know is buying recycled McCarthyism
this year.
Wake up and take the high road, not the low one.
Victor C. Weisskopf
10 di
NFIB
NRN
National Federation of
Independent Business
FAX COVER SHEET
DATE: 10/9/92
NUMBER OF PAGES: 3
(Including This Page)
TO:
Honorable James Baher
COMPANY:
Chief of 456-1121 Staff
TELEFAX NO:
FROM:
John Motley
COMPANY:
NATIONAL FEDERATION OF INDEPENDENT BUSINESS
TELEFAX NO:
(202)554-0496 -- WASHINGTON, D.C.
IF THIS MESSAGE IS NOT RECEIVED CORRECTLY
PLEASE CALL -- (202)554-9000
MESSAGE:
Suite 700
600 Maryland Ave. S.W.
Washington. DC 20024
(202) 554-9000
Direct Line (202)554-0822
Fax (202) 554-0496
The Guardian of
Small Business
P.1
813N 12:29 26, 60 100
National Federation of
Suite 700
(202) 554-9000
The Guardian of
Independent Business
600 Maryland Avc. S.W.
FAX (202) 554-0496
Small Business
Washington, DC 20024
Contact: Terry Hill or Angela Jones (202) 554-9000
NFIB
NASHVILLE BUSINESS LEADER TO ADDRESS
NEWS
INTERNATIONAL SMALL BUSINESS CONGRESS IN POLAND
WASHINGTON, Oct. 8---Tearing down walls and erecting small
businesses is the fastest and most certain way to achieve
economic stability, National Federation of Independent Business
President and CEO Jack Faris of Nashville will tell a mid-October
gathering of international delegates in Eastern Europe eager to
adopt the U.S.'s successful free enterprise system.
Faris, who serves as the secretariat of the International
Small Business Congress, will address the group's 19th annual
meeting in Warsaw, Poland Oct. 12:
"The message we must convey to developing nations is that
walls, whether made of concrete or government bureaucracy, hinder
economic and social progress," Faris said. "It is sadly ironic
that while many other nations are scrambling to build a small-
business sector, our own U.S. Congress is burying American
companies with unprecedented government regulation and higher
taxes Small business is the answer to economic growth and
development whether in Poland or the United states. Government
cannot create jobs, nor can it compel a society to work and
prosper Only free enterprise incentives can do that."
The International Small Business Congress meets annually in
a different country to deal with emerging issues of economic
importance. Among those topics slated for discussion are small-
-more-
2'd
813N 62:21 26. 60 100
Page Two: Faris to Address International Small Business Congress
business innovation and research, world economic integration,
legal structures, modern management methods and economic
policymaking. Delegates will also tour small and medium-sized
Polish firms and meet with government, financial and business
leaders.
NFIB, the nation's largest small-business advocacy
organization, lobbies Congress and the 50 state legislatures on
behalf of more than 595,000 small firms. It served as host for
the 1991 session of ISBC which met in Nashville.
# # #
John C. L. Cowen
1093 Paseo del Prado
Green Valley. AZ 85614
Phone & Fax (602) 625 0565
8 Oct. 1992
Hon. James Baker
The White House
Washington, DC 20500
Dear Mr. Baker:
President Bush should, in the debates, scotch the Democrats' sarcastic
"trickle down" talk, by pointing out that all wages and benefits "trickle
down" to workers--either from government, or from industry--and that a
far higher share of its income is taken by government, to support its
establishment, than is kept (as profit) by businesses from their incomes.
A high percentage of the tax revenue retained by the government goes to
pay the wages of persons who (unlike those in the private sector) cannot
produce products or services which enrich the economy and create jobs.
The "trickle down" talk is hypocritical propaganda, intended to create
animosity toward and confusion with regard to the real source of the
golden eggs--productive capitalized businesses.
Accept, please, my deepest regard for your
outstanding and devoted service to our country,
BELBOLD CONTRACTING TEL:2155476159
Oct 09,92 16:18 No.008 P.01
NRN
October 9. 1992
Mr. James H. Baker
Chief of Staff
The White House
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue
Washington. D.C. 20500
Dear Mr. Baker:
I've been listening with dismay while experiencing a slight
quickening of pulse when I hear the current Democratic candidate
for the presidency refer to our president as Mr. Bush. I do
understand that Bush and Clinton are rivals for the office of
the President but it seems uncivilized. and without respect to
the citizens of the United States. for Governor Clinton to refer
to our President as Mr. Bush and not President Bush. Governor
Clinton obviously is trying to reduce President Bush down to the
Governor's own level of incompetence while hiding the stripe he
nurtured during his lengthy college career.
I suggest that, during the debate this next Sunday, if the
Governor refers to the President as Mr. Bush. then President
Bush should immediately chastise the Governor on the matter and
begin addressing Clinton as Governor Willie. or Governor Willie
Clinton. or Willie Clinton. or Mr. Willie Clinton. I think this
would be an excellent way to get Governor Clinton to show his
true colors as well as getting the Slick Willie moniker back
where it started and where it belongs.
Very truly yours.
alfred} Beljan
Alfred J. Beljan
13 Dunkin Drive
Washington Crossing, PA 18977
Phone home: (215)-493-6938
work: (215)-547-3535
SENT VIA FAX TO 202-456-2461
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TO: JAMES BAKER III
FR. Steve Issakider
10/9/92
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The Most Important Question that Bill Clinton Can't Answer
In addition to the draft question, the morality question, the question of character, there is one
simple question that Bill Clinton cannot effectively answer or pass off as irrelevant.
What about Nuclear Weapons, Bill?
This question could be asked during the debates or could be asked in a print ad or TV spot.
This is a question that Bill Clinton cannot answer with any credibility at all. He may hem and
haw but he cannot disagree with the importance of the issue or his lack of experience in this
arena.
This is a legitimate question, a question of importance to our generation and to future
generations. This is the issue that was of prime importance during every Presidential Election
since Eisenhower and is still relevant to those who take the time to consider the danger that still
lurks today.
With all of the media's attention and the attention of the Clinton/Gore campaign focused solely
on the economy, Bill Clinton could be caught off guard by such a trivial matter as Nuclear
Annihilation. Certainly, he could not possibly ever come up with an answer that would make
him look good.
Follow up questions such as "How do you suggest dealing with Yeltsin and the CIS?" would
hit the Governor of a small state very hard. His stumbling answers would only help put his
lack of experience and qualifications in the spotlight.
The use of a few effective TV spots coupled with print ads aimed at keeping the question in the
media and in the minds of voters, would cause voters to take a hard look at the Governor from
Arkansas.
"What About Nuclear Weapons, Bill?" could cause a dramatic shift in voter support from
today's front runner towards the man who has almost completed what may be the greatest
achievement in the history of mankind, the destruction of the weapons of mass destruction.
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Putting the Nuclear Genie Back Into the Bottle
TV spot begins with visual imagery of children at school, men and women at work and families
at home.
Narrator's voice over intones - "For more than four decades, the threat of Nuclear Holocaust
and destruction hung over four generations of Americans, Europeans and people of the world".
TV spot shows visual imagery of the massive Soviet Threat and footage of nuclear explosion
and atomic cloud.
Narrator's voice over continues - "Through twelve years of Republican Leadership and four
years under President George Bush, that threat has receded to a point where we now have the
unparalleled opportunity to secure a future safe for our children, our grandchildren and our
children's grandchildren".
TV spot shows film of atomic cloud being played backwards to illustrate "the nuclear genie
being put back into the bottle". Film stops to show atomic cloud not fully "back in the bottle".
TV spot shows Reagan, Gorbachev, Bush and Yeltsin negotiating the end of the arms race and
the elimination of the weapons of mass destruction.
Narrator continues - "Despite the enormous strides taken towards a safe and secure future, the
job is not complete. The future of the newly formed Commonwealth of Independent States is
not certain. Dangerous men in other countries continue to spend vast resources to develop or
aquire the destructive and destabilizing power of nuclear weapons".
TV spot shows the ten month old CIS, North Korea's dictator and Saddam Hussein.
Narrator concludes - "After more than forty years of confrontation and crisis taking us to the
brink of Armageddon, we are close to putting the nuclear nightmare to rest. Steady and proven
leadership is required. Disarmament has only begun and will take years of continued hard work
and diplomacy. To fully secure a future free from nuclear war, leadership and experience are
needed to complete the mission."
Narrator asks - "Which Candidate is best qualified to complete the Mission at hand - - to secure
for future generations, a world free from the threat of nuclear destruction?"
TV spot shows pictures of the Presidential candidates.
Narrator answers - "President George Bush, leadership for the future".
TV spot shows picture of President Bush.
* Please note that the amount of fear communicated by this TV commercial can be adjusted to
appropriate level by the use of more or less frightening images of nuclear destruction.
** Suggested narrator for this ad is President Bush or actor Charlton Heston.
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"Put it in Writing" or "Hitting a Bad Dog with the Newspaper"
How can the Bush Campaign counteract the patently false assertions made by the democrats
while at the same time communicating the President's record and vision of the future to voters
without letting the media distort the picture?
In addition to the televised debates, the President should do an "end run" around the media by
purchasing full page advertisements in local and national newspapers and other appropriate print
media.
The presently untapped potential that print ads offer is substantial and cost effective. When
print ads are used to complement and support TV ads, the TV ads become more effective.
Because reading can be done at one's convienence, more people read the newspaper than watch
Tom Brokaw or Peter Jennings.
By presenting his record and Agenda for American Renewal in print, directly to the American
People, the President would expose the myth that he lacks a plan for the future. Having the
President's record and agenda in print would also help keep the media and voter focus on the
issues that the President wants to address.
Print ads would also be an effective means to maintain the "spotlight" on the unanswered
questions of the opponent's background, past affiliations and visits to Moscow.
If a well executed print ad campaign helped increase the President's support by only 2 or 3%,
it could be the margin of victory in a close election.
Print ads presenting the men and the issues of the Presidential Election directly to the voters
will re-enforce and strengthen all of the other elements of the campaign including the
President's debate performance. The integrated use of TV and print ads could be the most
useful forum for debating the future of American and for the "unmasking" of Bill Clinton.
When a dog does "doo doo" where he/she shouldn't, the best action to take is to hit the dog
in the nose with the newspaper.
In a similar manner, the Bush Quayle Campaign should put the real story in print and hit
Clinton/Gore right between the eyes with the truth.
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The Most Important Endorsement of the 1992 Presidential Campaign
The most powerful, heavyweight endorsement available this election year would be from Retired
General Norman Schwarzkopf. It is clear to all that the General still maintains the highest
standing in the hearts and minds of the American public.
While General Schwarzkopf has expressed his desire to remain apolitical, there is good news
regarding the General's publicly stated opinion of President George Bush.
On John McLaughlin's "One on One" last week, General Schwarzkopf answered questions
which made clear his opinion of the President's handling of the Gulf War. In that interview,
General Schwarzkopf stated clearly that he would give the President a rating of "10" for his
role as Commander in Chief during the War.
General Schwarzkopf has also made it clear that President Bush executed the War and led the
Coalition flawlessly. Additonally, General Schwarzkopf refuted and took exception to the
misinformation and recasting of history now being perpetrated by Clinton/Gore and the liberal
media.
Although a formal endorsement from the General may not happen, the General's words quoted
from McLaughlin's show and other sources would make a very powerful statement as to who
is best qualified to lead our nation in a dangerous and changing world.
General Schwarzkopf's words are very quotable and with an "approval" rating probably still in
the 85% and up range, General Schwarzkopf has unparalleled clout. General Stormin' Norman
Schwarzkopf is the one person in America who could most significantly impact the largest
number of voters.
General Norman H. Schwarzkopf can help win this Election for President Bush.
An effective presentation of the General's public comments with visuals showing decisive
Presidential Leadership during Desert Storm would help make it very clear to the voting public
who is best qualified to be Commander in Chief and who is not.
MDN
VIENNA VA
THE HONORABLE JAMES BAKER
THURS. OCT. 8,97
THE WHITE House, WASH DC.
DEBATE MATERIAL - # 1.
PRES. BUSH NEEDS A BLOCK-BUSTER
Economic STATEMENT TO WIN IN NOV.
I RECOMMEND THAT HE PROPOSE, THROUGH
VARIOUS INCENTIVES,
TO REVITALIZE our ELECTRONICS
INDUSTRY
THIS WOULD PRODUCE MANY FAVORABLE
RESULTS.
ONE WOULD BE TO REDUCE our MILITARY
DEPENDENCE ON FOREIGN PARTS, AND
Two WITHIN THE NEXT Foun YEARS,
MAKE AVAILABLE FOR OUR HOMES
RADIOS, TV's, VCR'S ETC MARKED
MADE IN MSA.
THREE
RUSSELL W. SIMPSON
505 PRINCESS CT. SW.
THE HI-TECH JOBS THAT WOULD RESULT
VIENNA, VA. 22180
COULD BE PRIORITIZED FOR THOSE
CIVILIAN AND UNIFORMED PERSONNEL
BEING CUT iN THE DOWN-SIZING OF DOD.
Russ simpson RET. FED. EMP. 703-938-7189.
11
I d
TEL 7032551767
PARCEL PLUS VIEN
15:20 26, 8 700
VIENNA VA
THURS OCT. 8,92
THE HONORABLE JAMES BAKER
THE WHITE House, WASH DC.
DEBATE MATERIAL - #3.
How AND WHY DID THE DEMOCRATS
GRID Lock THE ECONOMY?
BACKGROUND. AT A DEBOTE FOR THE 11th
DISTRICT SGAT ON TUES OCT 6 AT THE
VIENNA community CENTER BEFORE A
N.A.R.F.E. GROUP Amorg BUTLER BYRNE,
MITCHELL AND NARRO, MR. NARRO SAID
THAT THE conGRESS HAD No INCENTIVE
to MEET DEADLINES OR PASS GOOD
LEGISLATION, AND SHOULD BE DOCKED in PAY-
I SAY THEY DID HAVE AN INCENTIVE AND
DID EVERYTHING IN THEIR POWER TO MAKE
THE BUSH ADMIN LOOK BAD - WiTH THE
SINGLE THOUGHT AND GOAL OF PUTTING
A DEMOCRAT IN THE WHITE House.
THUS, I CANNOT UNDERSTAND How ANY ONE
RUSSELL W. SIMPSON
505 PRINCESS CT. SW.
CAN VOTE FOR A DEMOCRAT WHEN THEIR
VIENNA, VA. 22180
LEADERS DELIBERATELY STALLED THE
ECONOMY AND put THE INTERESTS OF
THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY ABOVE THE NATIONAL
INTERESTS
Russ Simpson, RET. FTD. EMP. 703-938-7189
2 'd
TEL 7032551767
PARCEL PLUS VIEN
15:21 25. B '700
VIENNA VA
THURS. OCT. 8, '92
THE HONORABLE JAMES BAKER
THE WHITE House, WASH DC
MSG #3
THE Times ARE DESPERATE. we CANNOT
AFFORD To HAVE BILL CLINTON As PRESIDENT
AND COMMANDER IN CHIEF.
WHY NOT REFOCUS ATTENTION To THE ARTICLE
IN GLOBE MAG ON FEB. 18, 1992 with THE
STORY ABOUT CLINTON FATHERING A BOY
OUT OF WED LOCK. IT WOULD BE THE SAME
155-UE IF SHE WERE WHITE INSTEAD OF BLACK
THAT 8 YEAR OLD BOY SURELY LOOKS
LIKE BILL TO ME ! (I HAVE A COPY.)
SHE MAY NOT BE A CREDIBLE PERSON Now
BUT SHE MUST HAVE BEEN THEN.
I Am TIRED OF HEARING Him SAY THAT HE
15 GROWN AND A MATURE PERSON NOW,
50 FORGET WHAT I DrD 10 OR 20 YEARS
AGO.
THE STORY IN GLOBE WAS NOT BROAD LY
RUSSELL W. SIMPSON
505 PRINCESS CT. SW.
KNOWN AND NEEDS WIDER PUBLICITY.
VIENNA, VA. 22180
IT COULD CHANGE MILLIONS OF MINDS.
Russ Simpson RET. FED. EMP. 703-938-7189
E 'd
TEL 7032551767
PARCEL PLUS VIEN
15.22 26, 8 790
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Robb Austin
2500 Virginia Avenue, N.W.
(202) 333-5130
Suite 1105 - - South
Washington, D.C. 20037
TO: Jim Baker
Chief of Staff
NRN
FR: Robb Austin
RE: Sunday Talk Shows
DATE: October 9, 1992
You must get Bill Clinton more live exposure on television.
He will not stand the heat, and he doesn't wear well with the
public.
But you MUST get Clinton in a serious format. Larry King
simply lets everyone off the hook on the tough issues.
Therefore, the President should ACCEPT an invitation to appear
on the SUNDAY talk shows, and this will force Clinton to do the
same. Clinton will NOT do well in answering the tough questions
from the pro's.
The President will be seen as a fighter; someone who's not
ducking the issues, and taking questions from George Will or Sam
Donaldson will be Clinton's worst nightmare.
Hope this suggestion helps.
CO: Charlie Black
THE NATIONAL Au SEARCH
Published Weekly since 1970
Employment Ads from 75 Papers
October 7, 1992
Mr. James Baker
NRN
Chief of Staff
The White House
1600 Pennsylvania Avenue
Washington, DC 20500
Dear Mr Baker:
With the election and debates close at hand the issue of
employment will be brought up. I want you to know about the
National Ad Search.
Since 1970, we have compiled help-wanted display
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National Ad Search
encl
SDM/mbe
P.O. Box 2083 - Milwaukee, Wisconsin - 53201 (414) 351-1398 - Fax (414) 351-0836
Americas Help Wanted Newspaper
THE NATIONAL AD SEARCH
Vol. XXIII, No. 14
Published Weekly for 23 Years
October 10, 1992
BUSINESS CAREER
OPPORTUNITIES
YOUR INDEX TO OVER 2000 CAREER OPPORTUNITIES
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10,
1992
THE NATIONAL AD SEARCH
How To Use THE NATIONAL AD SEARCH
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15.
Wall Street Journal-Eastern
333 W. State St.
41.
Houston Chronicle
53. St. Petersburg Times
65.
Sacramento Bee
501 N. Calvert St.
200 Liberty St.
Miwaukee, WI 53201
801 Texas Ave.
P.O. Box 1121
Box 15779
Baltimore, MD 21278
New York, NY 10281
Houston, TX 77002
St. Petersburg FL 33731-1121
Sacramento, CA 95852
29. Star Tribune (Minneapolis)
2.
Boston Globe
16.
Washington Post
425 Portland Ave.
Minneapolis, MN 55488
42.
Jackson Clarlon Ladger
54.
Tampa Tribune
P.O. Box 2378
1150 15th St. NW
66.
Tribune (Saft Lake City)
311 East Pearl St.
202 So. Parker St.
Boston, MA 02107-2378
143 S. Main St.
Washington DC 20071
30.
Omaha World Herald
Jackson, MS 39205
Tampa, FL 33602
Saft Lake City, UT 84111
3.
Boston Herald
MIDWEST
World Herald Sq.
One Herald Sq.
17.
Chicago Tribune
14th and Dodge
43.
The Courter-Journal (Loulaville)
55.
Daily Press (Newport News)
Boston, MA 02106
4351 Michigan Ave.,
Omaha, NE 68102
525 W. Broadway
7505 Warwick Blvd.
67.
San Diago Union
Chicago, R. 60611
Louisville, KY 40202
Newport News, VA 23607
P.O. Box 191
4. Bridgeport Post
31.
SL Louis Post Dispatch
San Diego, CA 92112
410 State St.
900 N. Tucker Blvd.
Bridgeport, CT 06604
18.
Cincinnati Enquiror
SL Louis, MO 63101
44. Memphis Commercial Appeal
56.
The News & Observer
617 Vine St.
495 Union Ave.,
(Raleigh)
68.
San Francisco Examiner
5.
Buffalo News
Cincinnati, OH 45292
32.
SL Paul Pioneor Press
Memphis, TN 38103
215 S. cDowell St.
/Chronicle
One News Plaza
345 Cedar St.
Raleigh, NC 27602
P.O. Box 7228.
P.O. Box 100
19.
Claveland Plain Dealor
St. Paul, MN 55101
45.
Miami Herald
San Francisco, CA 94120
Buffalo, NY 14240-0100
1801 Superior Ave., NE
One Herald Plaza
57.
Wall Street Journal,
Cleveland, OH 44114
33.
Wall Street Journal-
Miami, FL 33132
Southwest Edition
69. San Joso Mercury News
6.
Hartford Courant
Midwest Edition
1233 Regal Row
750 Ridder Park Dr.
285 Broad St.
20.
Columbus Dispatch
400 Alexis R. Shuman Dr.
Hartford, CT 06115
48. The Tennessean (Nashville)
Dallas, TX 75247
34 So. Third SL
SanJose, CA 95190
Naperville, 1 60563
Columbus, 43216
1100 Broadway
7. New Haven Register
34.
Wichita Eagle
Nashville, TN 37202
WEST
70.
40 Sargent Dr.
21.
Dayton Nows
825 E. Douglas Ave.
58.
Albuquerque Journal
Seattle Post Intelligencer
P.O. Box 1909
New Haven, CT 06511-5918
Founth & Ludlow Streets
Wichita, KS 67201
47. New Orleans Times Pleayune
Albuquerque, NM 87 103
Seattle, WA 98111-1909
Dayton, OH 45402
3800 Howard Ave.
B. Newark Star Lodger
SOUTH
New Orleans, LA 70140
59.
Denver Post
Newark, NJ 07101
22.
Des Moines Register
35.
Arkansas Gazette
P.O. Box 1709
71. Spokesman-Review
P.O. Box 957
(Little Rock)
(Spokane)
48. Fort Lauderdale News/Sun
Denver, CO 80201
9. The New York Times
Des Moines, IA 50304
Box 1821
W. 999 Riverside
New York, NY 10108
Little Rock, AR 72203
Sentinal
Spokane, WA 99210
23.
Detroit Nows
P.O. 4188
60.
Los Angeles Times
10.
Philadelphia Inquirer
615 Lafayette Blvd.
36.
Atlantic Journal Constitution
Ft. Lauderdale, FL 33301
Los Angeles, CA 90053
400 N. Broad St.
Detroit, MI 48231
72 Marietta St., NW
72
Wall Street Journal,
Phiadelphia, PA 19101
Adanta, GA 30303
49. The Daily Oklahoman
61. Orange County Register
Western Edition
24.
Fort Wayne Journal Gazette
37.
(Oklahoma City)
(Santa Ana)
1701 Page Mill Rd.
11.
Pittsburgh Press
600 W. Main St.
Baton Rouge Morning
Box 25125
625 Grand Ave.
Palo Alto, CA 94304
P.O. Box 300
Fort Wayne, IN 46802
Advocate
Oklahoma City, OK 73125
Santa Ana, CA 92701
Pittsburgh, PA 15230-0300
P.O. Box 588
25.
12. Providence Journal
Grand Rapids Press
Baton Rouge, LA 70821
73.
Honolulu Star Bulletin/
50.
Orlando Sentinal
62. The Arizona Republic (Phoenix)
Advertiser
75 Fountain St.
155 Michigan St. NW
38.
Birmingham News
633 N. Orange Ave.
120 E. Van Buren
P.O. Box 3350
Providence, RI 02902-9985
Grand Rapids, MI 49503
P.O. Box 2553
Orlando, FL 32801
Phoenix, AZ 85004
Honolulu, HI 96801
13. Rochester Democrat
26. Indianapolis Star
Birmingham, AL 35202
P.O. Box 145
51.
Richmond Times-Dispatch
39.
Charlotte Observer
63. The Oregonian (Portland)
74.
& Chronicle
Anchorage Dally News
Indianapolis, IN 46206
P.O. Box C-32333
600 S. Tryon St.
1320 S W Broadway
P.O. Box 14-9001
55 Exchange St.
Rochester, NY 14614
Charlotte, NC 28202
Richmond, VA 23293
Portland, OR 97201
Anchorage, AK 99514-9001
27. Kansas City Star
1729 Grand Ave.
52,
14. Syracuse Herald Journal
40.
Dallas Morning News
San Antonio Express-Nows
64.
Rocky Mountain Have (Denver)
75. Morning News Tribune (Tacoma).
Kansas City, MO 64108
P.O. Box 2171
Box 4915
P.O. Box 650427
400 W. Collax Ave.,
1950 S. State St.
San Antonio, TX 78297
Syracuse, NY 13221-4915
Dallas, TX 75265
Denver, CO 80204
Tacoma, WA 98411
TIPS TO AVOID THE AX.
Employment Expert Emphasizes
"Given the volatile nature of today's
Understand the Total Culture of Your
about asking for your boss's assess-
Corporate Savvy, Professional Strategy
marketplace, there's no sure-fire way to
Organization. Most people realize that
ment-an honest, objective one. The last
When the ax is poised to fall, job
avoid the ax, but there are some unwritten
"politics" intensify as you increase your
thing you want is a surprise!
knowledge, technical talent, and advanced
importance in the organization. What they
Learn to Listen Regardless of your
rules that can decrease the likelihood of
degree have less clout in determining your
termination," .....says Donald H. Sweet, a
often fail to recognize, claims Sweet, are
qualifications, don't assume you know
career fate than some far more subtle yet
human resource management consultant.
the social and cultural implications. An
everything, advises Sweet, citing a fre-
strategic skills.
outdoors type, with hunting and fishing
quent executive flaw. In fact, Sweet
Outplacement specialists, who work
He is the author of "A Managers Guide to
gear perennially packed in the back of a
insists that poor communication is a com-
with terminated executives in developing
Conducting Terminations: Minimizing
recreational vehicle, is inviting trouble in
mon problem at all levels and he encour-
job search strategies, say they see many
Emotional Stress and Legal Risks".
accepting a position where season's tick-
ages individuals to improve both written
highly qualified candidates who are in the
Here are some pointers from Sweet.
ets to the ballet and symphony are among
and verbal skills.
job market because they overlooked or
He recommends prioritizing these areas
the execs' perks.
-Find a Mentor. A mentor cannot
underestimated the professional subtleties
that will probably not be covered in any
-Assess Your Own Value System.
"save" you from the ax, but the relation-
that can "make or break" a career.
formal review or job description:
Make sure you understand how your
ship can provide valuable direction and
value system "fits" in relation to a job, a
guidance that is not part of any formal ori-
specific company, and the philosophy/
entation or training within a company. It
charter of that organization. "We all have
makes life a whole lot easier, says Sweet.
-Have Fun and Enjoy Your Job. One
THE NATIONAL AD SEARCH
a certain point at which we 'draw the line,'
suggests Sweet. "Establish this 'compro-
of your most powerful tools for success is
mise point' in advance so you always
the ability to take pleasure in your work.
EACH WEEK SINCE 1970
know where you stand."
The pride that comes from professional
*Grade Yourself. Never lose sight of
achievement is an asset in career advance-
P.O. BOX 2083 MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN 53201
your performance. Many appraisal sys-
ment because it creates a positive outlook
PHONE (414) 351-1398
terms don't function as regularly or realisti-
that influences the attitudes of colleagues.
cally as they should, so don't be bashful
If you don't like your job, says Sweet, it's
time to look for a new one.
Enclosed:
"Using these tips can help create a pro-
$235 one year
$75 three months
fessional buffer, advises Sweet, whose
THE NATIONAL AD
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$145 six months
involved in firing. "And keep in mind that
THE NATIONAL AD SEARCH is pub-
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