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Originally Processed With FOIA(s): FOIA Number: 2009-0275-S 2009-0275-S FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential Library Staff. Record Group/Collection: George H.W. Bush Presidential Records Collection/Office of Origin: Scowcroft, Brent, Collection Series: Miscellaneous Files Subseries: OA/ID Number: 91167 Folder ID Number: 91167-006 Folder Title: [Copies from Other Files] [3] Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: G 34 49 2 4 Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Doc. No. / Type Subject/Title Date Restriction Classification 01. Letter Mikhail Gorbachev to President Bush (6 pp.) 11/28 (b) (1) 02. Memcon Re: First Restricted Bilateral Session with Chairman Gorbachev 12/2/89 (b)(1) of Soviet Union (6 pp.) 03. Handwritten Re: Malta, Sunday (13 pp.) 12/3/89 (b)(1) Memcon 04. Memcon Re: Second Restricted Bilateral Session with Chairman 12/3/89 (b)(1) Gorbachev of Soviet Union (2 pp.) 05. Cable The White House to American Embassy Moscow 12/8/89 (b)(1) Re: Message from the President to Chairman Gorbachev (2 pp.) 06. Draft Demarche Ambassador Matlock to Gorbachev 12/20/89 (b)(1) Re: Demarche to Soviet Union (3 pp.) 07. Memcon Re: Meeting with Chancellor Kohl of the Federal Republic of 12/12/89 (b)(1) X Germany (6 pp.) 08. Handwritten Re: Baker/Cheney (1 pp.) 12/26 (b) 1) Notes Page 1 of 3 Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: Scowcroft, Brent, Collection Series: Miscellaneous Files Subseries: WHORM Cat.: File Location: [Copies from Other Files] [3] Pinksheet Number: cap1374 OA/ID Number: 91167-006 Date Closed: 9/8/2009 FOIA/Sys Case #: 2009-0275-S Re-review Case #: P-2/P-5 Review Case #: Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Doc. No. / Type Subject/Title Date Restriction Classification 09a. Memo Adrian A. Basora to Florence E. Gantt n.d. (b)(1) Re: General Scowcroft's Notes for the One-on-One with President Mitterand at St. Martin on December 16 (1 pp.) 09b. Memcon Re: Meeting with Francois Mitterrand, President of France (3 12/16/89 (b) (1) pp.) 10. Letter President Bush to Chairman Gorbachev (2 pp.) 1/5/90 (1) 11a. Memo Brent Scowcroft to POTUS 1/13/90 (b)(1) Re: Objectives for U.S. - Soviet Relations in 1990 (3 pp.) 11b. Memo Condoleezza Rice to Brent Scowcroft 1/9/90 (b)(1) Re: Memorandum on Objectives for U.S. - Soviet Relations in 1990 (1 pp.) 12. Handwritten Re: CFE Meeting with President (2 pp.) 1/15/90 (b)(1) Notes 13a. Handwritten Re: Bob Gates - Memcons (12 pp.) 1/16/92 (b)(1) Notes 13b. Memo James A. Baker, III for the President 1/16/90 (b)(1) Re: US Troop Levels in Europe (2 pp.) 13c. Talking Points Re: What Might Be Said on CFE in the State of the Union n.d. (b)(1) Message (2 pp.) Page 2 of 3 Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: Scowcroft, Brent, Collection Series: Miscellaneous Files Subseries: WHORM Cat.: File Location: [Copies from Other Files] [3] Pinksheet Number: cap1374 OA/ID Number: 91167-006 Date Closed: 9/8/2009 FOIA/Sys Case #: 2009-0275-S Re-review Case #: P-2/P-5 Review Case #: Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Doc. No. / Type Subject/Title Date Restriction Classification 14. Letter Mikhail Gorbachev to President Bush 1/17/90 (b)(1) Re: [Unofficial Translation] (3 pp.) 15. Handwritten Re: Jaruzelski Phone Call (2 pp.) n.d. (b)(1) Notes 16. Handwritten Re: Handwritten Notes 89 (2 pp.) n.d. (b)(1) Notes Page 3 of 3 Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: Scowcroft, Brent, Collection Series: Miscellaneous Files Subseries: WHORM Cat.: File Location: [Copies from Other Files] [3] Pinksheet Number: cap1374 OA/ID Number: 91167-006 Date Closed: 9/8/2009 FOIA/Sys Case #: 2009-0275-S Re-review Case #: P-2/P-5 Review Case #: Gorbacher (Dobrynir) 28NoV89 1989- June 1990 WASHFAX RECEIPT Box 5-2 DEPARTMENT OF STATE a NOV 28 B S/S # 044276 CLASSIFICATION ONE IDENTIAL No. Pages 1, MESSAGE NO 11 647 - 1,598 7208 NS, FROM: ROHERT KIMMITT (Officer name) (Office symbol) (Extension) (Room number) LETTER TO THE PRI SIDENT FROM GORBACHEV OTRANSLATION} MESSAGE DESCRIPTION 1(w LITTER DURININ TO KIMMITT ON 16/28) TO: (Agency) DELIVER TO: Extension Room No. NSC BOB GATES VIA WHSITRM zelikow Kanter Mahley Blackwill FOR: PER REQUEST X CLEARANCE INFORMATION COMMENT REMARKS: DECLASSIFIED S/S Officer: White House Guidelines E.O. 12958, SEC 3.4 (B) September 11, 2006 By CAP NARA, Date 9/8/09 FORM DS-1760 7.77 Debinin 11/23 Unofficial translation Dear Mr. President, I am grateful to you for your letter of September 23, 1989, in which you underscore the fact that the Soviet Union and the United States have a special responsibility to play a decisive role in advancing the multilateral process of prohibition and elimination of chemical weapons. I would like to tell you at the outset that I fully and sincerely support such an approach. In order to promptly achieve a universal ban on chemical weapons I propose, just as in the case of Vienna talks, to express ourselves in favor of setting a deadline for finalizing the invention, through a joint appeal to the participants in the Conference on Disarmament, to finalize the text of the convention by 1990-1991 at latest. It. is in the context of the determination stated by our two countries in Wyoming to persist in achieving chemical weapons prohibition and elimination of all its stockpiles that we approach the specific ideas, which you, Mr. President, have put forward in your letter as well as at the UN. His Excellency George BUSH President of the United States of America Washington, D.C. TRIAT AS FONFIDENTIAL DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 13526 2011-0839-MR 4/10/13 MM 2. You've been writing about the readiness of the United States to eliminate over 98% of its CW stockpilen during the period of 8 years atter the convention comes into effect, provided that the Soviet Union is to be one of the state signatories to that convention. As regards the Soviet Union participation in the convention, I give you a completely unequivocally positive answer. The Soviet Union has already stated that It in ready to be among the original parties to the convention. It would be nice, if the United States were to make a similar announcement, and still better if we were to make such announcement jointly, for Instance, at our forthcoming meeting in 1990. Tn turn, that would push other states to take no less a definite stance with regard to participating in the convention. As to the issue of complete destruction of CW under the future convention, it seems to me that we should adhere to the agreement reached at the multinational negotiations, mostly due to the initiative of the USSR and United States, on their unconditional 100 per cent destruction within the 10 year period after the coming into force of the convention. It in on the principles of complete destruction of CW stockpiles and production facilities in this time frame that the joint Soviet-US proposals on the order of destruction of such stockpiles and facilities have been drafted and than adopted in Wyoming. The right to retain any stockpiles, however minimal, would signify the perpetuating of a threat of CW use, would provide, as a matter of fact, ground for any state to renounce under various pretexts the complete destruction of chemical weapons. As to the participation in the convention of all CW capable states, the Soviet Union, like the United States, attaches priority significance to this question. 3. We believe that it has been resolved to a great extent by the special Soviet-US agreement on the categories of states which should be original parties to the convention, and now It seems to be possible to got down to discussing a specific plan of action with a view to involving as parties to the convention such states that pose a potential threat in terms of CW. Naturally, what 1s required here is a flexible approach, taking into account diverse conditions existing in each given region of the world. You have also proposed a radical reduction of the CW stockpiles of the USSR and the United States while the multilateral talks in Geneva are still underway. I think that our two countries, given their special responsibility In the area of CW disarmament, could move even further and without waiting for a convention to be concluded, undertake an entire package of reciprocal and mutually interrelated obligations. First. To halt completely any CW production. It is a natural and relatively easy first step to take toward the future convention. It would enable to considerably reinforce our political impact on those who are possibly engaged in their own CW production or are planning to do 80. [ must frankly say that the recent reports to the effect that the United States intends to continue the CW production even after the coming into force of the convention have given rise to our serious concern. It 18 with a certain degree of mistrust that we have treated these reports because such US actions would directly contradict the already existing agreements worked out mostly through the efforts of the Soviet Union and the United States. Moreover, you made no mention of this approach in your letter either. Any permission to produce 4. chemical weapons in the framework of the convention would push other states, one way or the other, to initiate its production In or 'r to retain the right to continue it after the coming into torce of the convention. It would inevitably lead to a point where the proliferation of chemical weapons would become politically and legally admissible. Second. To radically reduce and - what in even better to completely destroy the chemical weapons of the USSR and the US. The Soviet Union intends to start destruction ot its stockpiles prior to the conclusion of the convention, and we like the idea of the USSR and the US moving along this road on parallel courses. We had to convert our first pilot CW destruction plant built near Chapaevsk, into d training center as requested by the public, and now in order to have an idea of our real possibilities for destroying the stockpiles, we must complete the draft comprehensive program for CW destruction in the USSR to be submitted to the USSR Supreme Soviet. Consideration of such a complex and multifaceted issue in the Supreme Soviet as well as implementation of the decisions to be adopted will obviously take nome time. with a view to ensuring the best possible preparation for CW destruction, including solutions to complex ecological question, it might he possible to build on cooperation between our two countries concerning the mothods of CW destruction, operating respective facilities, elaboration of suitable verification procedures, etc. and formalize a special bilateral agreement to that effect. In order to avoid any apprehensions on the part of the participants in the talks to the effect that the reciprocal steps of the USSR and the US are conceived 5. as a substitute for a multilateral convention on the prohibition of chemical weapons, it would be possible to declare that the agreement on reduction and, time permitting, destruction of US and Soviet chemical weapons will come into force at the moment of the signing of the convention itself. Third. Under no circumstances chemical weapons should be used. Unlike the USSR and the US the overwhelming majority of countri have no reservation to the 1925 Geneva Protocol enabling the use of CW in retaliation. The mutual renunciation by the USSR and the US of their reservations would make a tangible contribution to the process of strengthening intolerance toward chemical weapons. Entablishing an absolute and verifiable ban on the use of chemical weapons through effective UN procedures would lessen the incentives for acquiring chemical weapons by states. Forth. We resolutely believe that the discontinuation of CW production, their destruction and non-use must be verified in the strictest possible manner in the framework of both convention and the range of steps which the USSR and the US could implement prior to its conclusion. As to our possible joint contribution to the process of multilateral negotiations, I think there 1n a need , for it, now, above all, with a view to finalizing a solution to the entire range of verification problems. In this connection I'd like to propose that our two countries come out with a joint initiative on challenge inspections. The important contribution that you, Mr. President, made in raising this issue at the negotiationn has been now appreciated on its merits in the Soviet Union. Its discussion showed that it may be adequately resolved, 6. provided all states accept the concept of "continuous" or "open invitation for inspection" which would provide for a possibility to conduct such inspections by the international inspectorate at the request of any party to the convention, at any time, at any point or facility of the other party within the most limited time-frame, without any exceptions and the right to refusal. Our joint initiative on this basis would become a most significant contribution to the successful completion of the negotiations on the convention. In conclusion I'd like to express my conviction that through joint efforts we will succeed, already In the near future, to attain our common objective - introduction of a complete global ban on CW. I would be interested to know your considerations in reaction concerning this priority question. with sincere respect. M.GORBACHEV November 28, 1989 Gorbacher (Dobrynin) SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS 1989-June 1989- 1990 THE WHITE HOUSE Box 5-2 WASHINGTON MEMORANDUM OF CONVERSATION SUBJECT: First Restricted Bilateral Session with Chairman Gorbachev of Soviet Union PARTICIPANTS: The President General Scowcroft, Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs Interpreter Mikhail Gorbachev, Chairman of the Supreme Soviet of the USSR Anatoliy Chernyaev, Aide to Chairman Gorbachev (Notetaker) Interpreter DATE, TIME December 2, 1989, 12:00 - 1:00 pm AND PLACE: Maxim Gorkii Cruise Liner, Malta Chairman Gorbachev: I have three points. I already referred to Central America especially Cuba. I recall a letter to you after Cuba. My talks in Cuba weren't simple. Castro expressed caution about our policy -- I explained our aims were good. I said as for our internal affairs we are doing what we want. What you do is your business. He asked me, in effect, to help normalize U.S. Cuban relations. ($/SEN) Recently, the Cuban Chief of Staff visited the Soviet Union. He talked to Yazov and said some things, I say this for the first time in the most private way. If Castro found out (S/SEN) The President: I understand. It will stay with me. (U) Chairman Gorbachev: I think perhaps we would think how to do it. Some contacts. We could participate but that is not necessary. I can say that Castro understands that the world is changing dramatically but he has his own sense of dignity and pride. Even raising this possibility was not easy for him. (S/SEN) The President: What is he saying? (U) Chairman Gorbachev: His very words, "Find a way to make the President aware of my interest in normalization." It is on the basis of that remark that I made my comment. ($/SEN) DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 12958, AS AMENDED SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS 1999-0273-F 3/28/2008 MM SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS 2 The President: Let's put all our cards on the table about Castro. Our allies can't see why we care about Central America. It just isn't a gut issue for them. For the political left in the U.S., it isn't a gut issue. But for the fledgling democracies in Latin America and the U.S. right it is a gut issue. Castro is like a sea anchor as you move forward and the Western Hemisphere moves. He is against all this -- Eastern Europe and the Western Hemisphere. (S/SEN) Publicly Latin Americans will not criticize a colleague. But Arias' call was a clear indication that Castro is now totally isolated. There is another major Castro problem -- the emigres (in Florida) who have strong emotions about this last dictator. We have had feelers from Castro but never with an indication of a willingness to change. ($) Switching to Nicaragua, you said Ortega had nothing to do with [ILLEGIBLE]. I am inclined to agree though I didn't use to think so. But I am convinced that they are exporting revolution. They are sending weapons. I don't care what they have told you, they are supporting the FMLN. I am now convinced there is a new shipment of helos going from the Soviet Union to Nicaragua. I don't question Shevardnadze's word on this. (S/SEN) Chairman Gorbachev: There were U.S. rockets too. (S) The President I see a solution as in a verifiable election -- free and open -- and that if Ortega loses he doesn't try to cling to power. If it is a free election, we will abide by the results. ($/SEN) The only other open cancer is Panama, but there is no feeling that the Soviet Union wants Noriega to succeed. He is a terrible problem for us. I asked the Attorney General if our indictments were strong ones. I am seeking for him to get out. This is quite confidential. He said these are good indictments and given feelings on drugs in the U.S., I can't drop the indictments. (S) Chairman Gorbachev: Let me tell you how your steps are perceived in the Soviet Union. People ask are there no barrier to the U.S. action in independent countries? The U.S. passes judgement and executes that judgement. (S) The President: There is no military operation against Colombia, but if we are asked for help against the scourge of drugs, we will help. (S) Then I would like to mention the Philippines. ($) I was surprised at your Philippines reaction. Acquino is democratically elected and asked for our help to prevent the palace from being bombed by the rebels. It never occurred to me that this would cause problems in the Soviet Union, though I probably would have done it anyway. But that notion never occurred to me. ($) SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS 3 Chairman Gorbachev: In the Soviet Union some are saying the Brezhnev doctrine is being replaced by the Bush doctrine. (S) The President: I want to understand. Here is a democracy saying that it needs help against rebels. (S) Chairman Gorbachev: I agree she is democratically elected. It depends on the context. In Eastern Europe there are governments, legitimately elected, that are now being replaced. The question is in Eastern Europe it is prohibited for Soviet troops`to intervene. All now is interrelated. Some now are seeing that we are not performing our duty to our friends. But we have not been asked. ($) The President: In Eastern Europe, change is peaceful and encouraged by you. In the Philippines, there is a Colonel trying to shoot his way into power. (8) Chairman Gorbachev: I agree -- peaceful change is the way. Our position is non-interference. The process of change can be painful but we believe in non-interference. Colonels can be found everywhere to do those jobs. (S) The President: If we can stick with the notion of peaceful change, better relations will occur between the Soviet Union and the U.S. I would never give advice to a senior office holder like you. I can accept your criticism, but not on this issue, in this circumstance. Acquino is struggling to bring democracy. I would hope your criticism could be muted. I can accept it but I think that your criticism would cut the wrong way. (S) I appreciate your explanation in the Philippines. One more comment on Latin America. I don't want to sound like a broken record. Let me express U.S. public opinion on you yourself. There is strong support for perestroika and for establishing pluralistic answers in Eastern Europe -- strong support. But I think people see support for Castro -- almost -- speaking frankly -- as an embarrassment. He is against the causes you are advocating. ($) Chairman Gorbachev: That is pluralism (laughs). (U) The President: I wish we could find a way. You are spending billions into the pipeline and getting nothing for it, and it does interfere with our overall relationship. The way you have handled it is clear. Castro doesn't just do what you say. ($) Just to end it -- anything we can do to cut support for Cuba and Nicaragua so we are not on opposite sides. Chile is moving in the right direction -- not toward the U.S. but toward democracy and I don't want these others to get in the way of what I want to do with the Soviet Union. (S) Chairman Gorbachev: The most important thing is that we have no plan for Latin America -- no bridges, no bridgeheads. That is not our policy -- you have it from me. {NEXT LINE ILLEGIBLE] SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS 4 I am moving toward democracy. Of course they are fledgling and the road ahead will be difficult. We are satisfied with that -- as you -- but we will not interfere. ($) With Cuba, yes, we have a long relationship -- responding to the economic blockade. We seek to put it on a more normal basis, especially economic. We are trading with Cuba and that meets our need -- sugar, citrus, nickel -- but it is much more to Cuba's advantage. For example, we sell oil to Cuba on a market clearing basis which we could sell for much more. But Cuba is independent with its own view and we don't want to interfere. (S) I mention Castro's signal because I think it shows Castro sees his interest lies in changing his relations with the U.S. and others. So please give it some thought. If you have something to share with us or something we can pass on. We can note we have had a frank conversation and understand each other better. ($) The President: We have had feelers from him. But if he could do something in human rights. I will think carefully on it. I will let you know so we don't get disconnected on this. ($) Chairman Gorbachev: We could say that to him about human rights. ($) The President: He won't even let the U.N. in to see. (S) Chairman Gorbachev: I haven't finished (laughs). (U) The President: Neither have I. (U) Chairman Gorbachev: O.K. (U) The President: O.K. (U) Chairman Gorbachev: Let me address Eastern Europe. I have three points. ($) (1) The direction of change in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe is such as to bring us closer -- that is important. (S) (2) What I dislike is when some U.S. politicians say unity of Europe should be on the basis of Western values. We have long been accused of exporting ideology. That is what is now being proposed by some -- not you. (8) (3) Mr. Kohl is in too much of a hurry on the German question. That is not good. I worry that this could be part of his pre-election game and not because of a strategic outlook. There are some differences in view in West Germany, within the coalition, and with the SPD. We should let Kohl know that his approach could damage things. ($) SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS 5 For example, would a united Germany be outside alliances or within NATO? Answer is premature and we shouldn't put it forth -- should let it run its natural course. You and I are not responsible for the division of Germany. Let history decide what should happen. We need an understanding on this. ($) The President: I think Kohl feels an enormous emotional response to what has happened -- as does Genscher. There is some politics in his three part program and some emotional outpouring. I think he knows his allies -- after they support right of the German people to reunify, have some private reservations about reunification. ($) Chairman Gorbachev: Yes I know -- and they have let me know. Unlike they and you -- I am saying there are two states, mandated by history. So let history decide the outcome. Kohl assures me he will abide by understandings made in Bonn. Now he says he wants to talk on the phone and Genscher is coming. I think this is an ? particular prudence. ($) The President: I agree and we will do nothing to recklessly try to speed up reunification. When you talk to Kohl, I think you will see he agrees. But his rhetoric, you must understand, is emotional and possibly some politics, but mostly emotion. (8) Chairman Gorbachev: It is good that things have [ILLEGIBLE] (U) The President: The most conservative Americans salute how you have handled this issue. They are now looking back into history. I will be timid -- that is how in a nutshell they describe my refusal to jump up and down at the Wall. This is no time for grandstanding -- a step that looks good but could prove reckless. ($) Chairman Gorbachev: The times we live in are of great responsibility -- great opportunity but great responsibility. (S) The President: I would like to spend some time on one other point at some time. ($) Chairman Gorbachev: I have one other point as well -- later. A point which you carefully avoided. ($) The President: Yes, I was hoping to avoid it. (S) Chairman Gorbachev: I once said something -- You used a word that means "a test" to see if we could solve mutual problems. (S) The President: Afghanistan is more important to you than to us. I was wrong about what would happen after Soviet troops left. Let's discuss it. (S) The President: Let me not blind side you. You may not want to discuss it. But I would like to know your views concerning the sensitive area of the Baltics. (S) SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS 6 Chairman Gorbachev: Yes, we will. (U) SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS yan- Dec? 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P TREE press we hand disnessed We harrint carred Schiping G Int's ist is Africa wasterched upon numbrim process. we could say press your prog on Horn & we support Whombai process. 100/ P Bibles / silly adhan Baltis - what if face is used (described certact be supliction I hmr desamosed how well zel begets begticipation creating G C pederation Nike probs have arim we went to deal w/thron three guiter autonomy, If reparation work that whed he dlynot X exect dragest pesestivities Sor puples circurrl ust 11 un tentured we for 50 years of we are interguated we have 60 mil lurny out of their with ared over 50900 hutria are ich Ress 5012 Est are revu Est Lich majority hith In Wrain 50 will the won-Uh. Rog who only 30 70% permited Qm country to that way o separation (meditimel being creat shong C Russ feelings in byc people not all mused their long once ye) There has larth culming down but still purs. This is serisitive issued 100 It plyson condersione not our position This could bring out all serts of thrible fries. of US has no sw.decthing it usaned spare relating w/us P morethan any are plse hantrometts - That eath workell Buting your use force - you create d prestorn. you will cc e want allo get information get chut prozation G Fuo If we removal on MVD Whom 11 1 we will older commistee 12 40 dews promo + we hayk you to what happened here is pricesch we can say sustice what we conster. Very pleased Es increasive Therease serm in both country who don't let what wedning. But colcerl u ght Destributions Inco Herml not be adamond S 500 Mindermine this. het we inicina zone P what Tries G Service lies are presented and press, etc. 1e, that Gorb said his friends doore such as striclent after dumbin P x new heard of This, we have Decrease you orn don't lots of nexto. G P Visit exactly what I broyed I dilit respond to cell AC but we wont to more prevared Beet we must represent. we washing for usdays to more purther in CFE, E, sampt consult whertin esp mempowee W/MATD B new ha calls for new approach Ruisa mentioned marrin 8lus Ecm AC C Baltics approved beham NCF CA Environ H.R. Chen Would CFE START Testing SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS Memicons/ Telcous (yan-Dec) 1989 Box 5-1 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON MEMORANDUM OF CONVERSATION SUBJECT: Second Restricted Bilateral Session with Chairman Gorbachev of Soviet Union PARTICIPANTS: The President Brent Scowcroft, Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs Interpreter Mikhail Gorbachev, Chairman of the Supreme Soviet of the USSR Anatoliy Chernyaev, Aide to Chairman Gorbachev (Notetaker) Interpreter DATE, TIME December 3, 1989, 11:45 am - 12:45 pm AND PLACE: Maxim Gorkii Cruise Liner, Malta The President: I want to discuss an idea on bibles and a proposal on Billy Graham. (Described the question he is asked about the Baltics). (U) what it Lerce is used (Descibes what says when he gets questions. Chairman Gorbachev: I have discussed how we see a [ILLEGIBLE]. Many problems have arisen. We were ready to deal with them through greater autonomy. If separatism would become dominant, that would be dramatic. I must not create a danger to perestroika. The Soviet peoples would not understand. We lived together for fifty years, we are integrated. We have sixty million living out there in nationality areas. Fifty percent of Estonia are Russians, over 50% of Latvians are now Russian, Lithuanian majority in Lithuania. In the Ukraine, 50 million are non-Ukrainian. Kazakhs are only 30% of the population. Our country is that way and separatism brings out strong feelings by people. ($) There has been a calming down but still there are problems. Ths is a sensitive issue for us. I hope you understand our position. This would bring out all sorts of terrible fires. If the U.S. has no understanding it would spoil relations with the U.S. more than anything else. ($) The President: But if you use force -- you don't want to -- that would create a firestorm. You will get that question. (S) Chairman Gorbachev: We want all to get equal treatment. If we removed our MVD troops from Nagarno-Karabakh we would have war. We are committed to a democratic process and we hope you understand. ($) DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 12958, SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS AS AMENDED SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS 2 What happened here is precisely what we wanted. We are very pleased. There are some in both countries who don't like what we are doing. But we are right. Destructive forces should not be allowed to undermine this. Let me [ILLEGIBLE] some. (S) The President What forces? (U) Chairman Gorbachev: Sometimes lies are presented in the press, etc., i.e. that Gorbachev sold his friends down the river as a student after, drinking [ILLEGIBLE] bout. ($) The President: I never heard of this. We have a lot of nuts. (U) Chairman Gorbachev: I know you don't believe it. (U) The President: The visit is exactly what I hoped. I didn't respond to all arms control but we want to move forward. But we must be prudent. We are looking for ways to make further reductions, especially in manpower in CFE. I must consult with NATO. ($) SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS IMMEDIATE SECRET Gorbarhev (Dobrynir) 1989-fund SCOWCROFT 199 WHITE HOUSE SITUATION ROOM Box 5-2 PAGE 01 OF 03 DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 13526 PRT: COMM OLEARY SIGLER COMM OLEARY SIGLER 2011-0840-MR 2/25/2014 MM SIT: COQ PRIVACY _OUT <PREC> IMMEDIATE <CLAS> SECRET <DTG> 080128Z DEC 89 FM THE WHITE HOUSE TO AMEMBASSY MOSCOW SECRET SENSITIVE EYES ONLY QQQQ - PLEASE DELIVER THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE, EYES ONLY, TO AMBASSADOR JACK MATLOCK, FROM BRENT SCOWCROFT, NATIONAL SECURITY ADVISOR TO THE PRESIDENT. - I WOULD APPRECIATE IT IF YOU WOULD DELIVER THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE FROM THE PRESIDENT TO CHAIRMAN GORBACHEV. THERE WILL BE NO SIGNED ORIGINAL. - BEGIN TEXT: - DEAR MR. CHAIRMAN: - I JUST WANTED TO TELL YOU HOW PLEASED I AM WITH OUR PAGE 02 RUEADWW1790 SECRET SENSITIVE EYES ONLY MEETING IN MALTA. ALTHOUGH THE WEATHER WAS DISAPPOINTING, THE SUBSTANCE, CANDOR AND ATMOSPHERE OF OUR TALKS MORE THAN FULFILLED MY EXPECTATIONS. AT A TIME OF GREAT CHANGE AND OPPORTUNITY, I BELIEVE WE ARE ON THE RIGHT COURSE IN NEARLY ALL ASPECTS OF THE US-USSR RELATIONSHIP. THERE ARE AREAS OF DISAGREEMENT, WHICH WE DISCUSSED FRANKLY, AND WE WILL PURSUE THESE. BECAUSE WE HAD TO FOREGO ONE OF OUR SESSIONS, THERE ARE SEVERAL ISSUES I WAS UNABLE TO RAISE WITH YOU. FOR EXAMPLE, I WOULD HAVE LIKED TO DISCUSS DEVELOPMENTS IN THE SUBCONTINENT, CHINA, AND OTHER ASIAN ISSUES SUCH AS THE NORTHERN TERRITORIES, A MATTER OF GREAT MMEDIATE SECRET WHITE HOUSE SITUATION ROOM PAGE 02 OF 03 CONCERN TO OUR FRIENDS, THE JAPANESE. I WILL HAVE SECRETARY BAKER PURSUE THESE ISSUES WITH MINISTER SHEVANDNADZE AT THE JANUARY MINISTERIAL. - LET ME SAY A WORD ABOUT THE NATO MEETING IN BRUSSELS. ALL OF THE ALLIES WERE QUITE PLEASED WITH THE CONTENT AND TONE OF OUR TALKS IN MALTA. THEY WELCOMED ACCELERATING THE PACE OF KEY ARMS CONTROL NEGOTIATIONS AND OUR EXCHANGE ON POSSIBLE FURTHER AREAS OF EAST-WEST COOPERATION. IN THIS CONNECTION, YOU MAY WANT TO REVIEW THE FOUR PRINCIPLES I PRESENTED PAGE 03 RUEADWW1790 SECRET SENSITIVE EYES ONLY CONCERNING THE FUTURE OF GERMANY. I WILL ASK AMBASSADOR MATLOCK TO PROVIDE THEM TO MR. SHEVARDNADZE. - AGAIN, I BELIEVE THAT OUR MALTA MEETING SETS THE STAGE FOR A PRODUCTIVE SUMMIT IN WASHINGTON NEXT JUNE, AND ESTABLISHES A STRONG BASIS FOR COOPERATION IN MANY AREAS AND CONSTRUCTIVE DIALOGUE WHERE WE HAVE DIFFERENCES. - ON A VERY PERSONAL BASIS I WAS DELIGHTED TO SEE YOU AGAIN. IN MY VIEW, THE PERSONAL "CHEMISTRY" WAS GOOD AND I HOPE WE CAN STAY IN CLOSE PERSONAL CONTACT DURING 1990 AND BEYOND. - PLEASE GIVE MY REGARDS TO MRS. GORBACHEV. IT WAS A PLEASURE TO SEE HER IN MALTA. - SINCERELY, SIGNED GEORGE BUSH END TEXT. PAGE 04 RUEADWW1790 SECRET SENSITIVE EYES ONLY - WARM REGARDS, BRENT. - Gorbacher (Dobrynin) 1989-June!" 1989- 1440 5-2 0100 FINAL 20 December 1989 Demarche to Soviet Union Ambassador Matlock to Gorbachev 1. Read enclosed Presidential announcement to Gorbachev 2. President asked me personally to brief you on this matter. 3. The President wants you to know that he took this action only after becoming convinced that General Noriega had become increasing unstable and dangerous and that the American community, which numbers 35,000 people faced increasing violent threats. As you know, a U.S. serviceman was shot to death by PDF forces shortly after General Noriega declared was on the United States and a serviceman's was brutalized and his wife sexually threatened in a separate incident. 4. The United States sees no precedent in this action. Just the opposite. This situation is unique. 5. A democratic election was held May 7th and the results were internationally recognized. The democratic choice was denied through violence and repression. 2 6. Moreover, General Noriega is an indicted drug trafficker wanted for prosecution in the U.S. 7. In addition, the United States has obligations under the Panama Canal Treaties to safeguard safe passage through the Panama Canal for all nations. Those Treaties have the force of international law. 8. The United States intends to remove its forces as quickly as possible. It also intends to normalize its relations fully with the Endara government. We hope that the Endara government will have peaceful friendly relations with others, including the Soviet Union. 9. We have informed both Managua and Havana that they face absolutely no security threat as a result of this action. We hope you will repeat and reinforce this message. 10. We hope also that Nicaragua does not use this unique action as an excuse to violate its commitment under Esquipulas to go forward with the currently scheduled elections. The United States remains committed to recognize the winner of the election if it is free and fair no matter which party wins. The U.S. also remains fully committed to resolve the conflicts in both Nicaragua and El Salvador under the 3 Esquipulas Treaties, including the commitments relayed by Secretary Baker to Foreign Minister Shevardnadze. 11. The President hopes that in the spirit of Malta that your government will take no action that will inflame this situation or make it more difficult to resolve this crisis quickly, peacefully, and democratically. 1989 SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS Box 5-1 MEMORANDUM OF CONVERSATION SUBJECT: Meeting with Chancellor Kohl of the Federal Republic of Germany PARTICIPANTS: The President Brent Scowcroft, Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs Interpreter Helmut Kohl, Chancellor of Federal Republic of Germany ? Interpreter DATE, TIME December 12, 1989, 8:23 p.m. AND PLACE: Brussels, Belgium The President: (Describes no agenda character.) Gorbachev was very accommodating. No emotion like when I first saw him. The most contentious issues were discussed without rancor. (Sandanista supply issue, as an example.) This could have been shouting match, but it was very calm. Spent much time on German Gors. question. Barb said you're in too much of a hurry. Chancellor Kohl: Can I tell you about today in GDR. Everyone has resigned. There is supposedly running the government. People wanted to know about special privileges for leaders. That is only the beginning. In Restoch people broke into a factory and found arms. They will now find where the arms were going. (Describes Kreuzhooing, etc.) DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 13526 SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS 2010- 1262-MR Declassify on: OADR E8 11/23/15 SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS 2 I told Gorbachev it was not in my interest to invite things to get out of control. I think Modrow will be new Secretary to Parliament -- then go to meet new GDR leaders. We can't pay the 100 marks any more. It already amounts to 1.8 billion. (Discusses how East Germans take advantage of it.) It will be phased out at end of the year. We will help in several ways: - Big shortage of doctors - Environmental protection - Telephone system Gorbachev said to me he would not stand in way of free, open elections. He has abandoned the old leadership. Hungarians will be OK in 2-3 years. Not so in Poland. Let me say a word about my 10-point program. First, thank you for your clam reception. I will not do anything reckless. I have not set up a timetable. We are part of Europe and continue as part of EC. I have always planned carefully with Mitterrand. Ten points is not an alternative to what we are doing in the West. That is a precondition to 10 points. The integration of Europe is a precondition for East European change to be effective. Yesterday my colleagues said 10 points OK. Andreotti was most difficult. Everyone in Europe is afraid of two things: - Germany would drift east -- this is nonsense, SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS 3 - The real reason is that Germany is developing faster than my colleagues. Frankly, 62 million prosperous Germans are difficult to tolerate -- add 17 million more and they have big problems. Once GDR has really government, we will set up confederation structures -- 2 states. Phase IIi is federation -- that is a matter for the future -- can be stretched out. But I can't say that will never happen. The President: Gorbachev's chief problem is uncertainty. Don't want to say he was ballistic about it, just uneasy. We need a foundation which doesn't him but moves forward. Chancellor Kohl: That's one reason I will do nothing to disturb the smooth running course. CSCE says borders can be changed by peaceful means. I don't want Gorbachev to feel cornered. I need to meet with him. I don't want to create difficulties. Newspapers write such nonsense. Even HAK mentions two years. Not possible -- economic imbalance is too great. The President: What is GDR people attitude toward reunification? Are there different parties in West Germany? Chancellor Kohl: In GDR they are badly informed about the issues. GDR needs time to figure out what they really want. I SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS 4 need a period of quiet development. One year ago, talk like this would have been crazy. In FRG most people and parties are supportive. The G are opposed. They want army abolished and neutrality. they are against re . SPD agreed last Tuesday. Now there is a feud. This is Kohl's victory and theirs is a failed system. Liberals are in favor but angry because it is my success. Never have my people earned so much as now -- now they want entitlement rather than work. The President: I think the answer is self-determination and then let things work. Then avoid things which would make it impossible for Gorbachev. Chancellor Kohl: Did he talk about internal developments? The President: Oh yes. But that was very discouraging. (Discussed how little Gorbachev knows.) (Western values.) Chancellor Kohl: We're helping Hungary and Poland. We are carrying the whole burden in Europe. Where is everyone else but you and me? It's going to be a tough winter in Poland. The President: And in Soviet Union. Are any of CEC opposed to 10 points? Chancellor Kohl: Gonzalez very positive. France -- Mitterrand wise. He knows it would be bad to oppose. But he wants it to proceed moderately. Difficult to maintain the current structure SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS 5 of the European Parliament. But 4th Republican Parliament too strong. Now it is too weak. Benelux is fine. GB is rather reticent. The President: The understatement of the year! Chancellor Kohl: Switzerland and Austria OK. The President: Don't the Dutch resent Hitler? Chancellor Kohl: Yes, very much. The Nazis were very tough in the Netherlands. They were the worst Nazis from Vience. Neither was governed by an honorable G . Thatcher says European Parliament can have no power because Whitehall cannot yield a bit of S . Her ideas are simply pre-Churchill. She thinks prewar era has not come to an end. She thinks history is not just -- Germany so rich and GB struggling. W the war but lost an and this . She should try to bind the Germans into the EC. (Thatcher and EC.) (French pride.) Chancellor Kohl: Did he talk AC? The President: Yes. (Describes) Chancellor Kohl: Foth? The President: No. Did Cheney's comments here cause a stir? SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS 6 Chancellor Kohl: No. Reagan had reputation as hardliner. Toward the end, he changed -- too quickly. Then you were elected -- the VP to RR and the groups under you just C . Your visit last spring changed all that. Barbara helped that a lot. These days now will be very important. Your leadership is essential and you will have every support from me. The President: Describes AC discussions; CFE in 90; START hopefully in 90; chemicals -- Kohl hopes in 90 especially for his election. Chancellor Kohl: The schedule you outline would be fantastic. Let's work these things closely. If we can do something in CFE, chemicals and START, this would have a big impact on S&E Europe. Nobody now believes that the EE troops would fight -- so the numbers have changed dramatically. The President: True, but I will still feel better when Soviet divisions pull back. Chancellor Kohl: But that creates problems for Gorbachev. SECRET/SENSITIVE/NODIS Dreaktast news , Backer No acney 12/26 Box 5-3 Giving X * I Declare envergency these C Two mil ! NCND ( Huiti LSE - Euro brueau - won't let attaches into Baltics - Refuses exchanges for will people in Ezech, Pal H-errg, and to Sero in Dep Crute? Strat AC. - hetter feltoin - no Tit Build new US, ugns targetted - Den't treat issue on bosis against c - P speech secular to Sept. of purity let antagrists P Revision of ABM Treaty I VP speech to NATO money we upsue - Ceet cb - use to security Memeons/Telcons (yan-Dec) 1489 Box 5-1 SECRET NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL SECRET MEMORANDUM FOR FLORENCE E. GANTT FROM: ADRIAN A. BASORA AAB SUBJECT: General Scowcroft's Notes for the One-on-One with Presi- dent Mitterand at St. Martin on December 16 I have tried very hard to decipher the General's handwriting, and have gotten only as far as the third page. As you will see from the attached manuscript, the number of blanks that I have had to leave is already considerable. As I look at the remaining pages, I see that the problem becomes even greater as it goes along. I am afraid the only way to put together a reasonable transcript would be for someone more familiar with the General's hand- writing than I to do a first draft, as was done with the Cavaco Silva one-on-one transcript. Many thanks. Attachments Tab I General Scowcroft's notes Tab II Transcribed notes SECRET SECRET DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 13526 21010-1262-MR Es 11/23/15 SECRET SECRET MEMORANDUM OF CONVERSATION SUBJECT: Meeting with Francois Mitterrand, President of France (U) PARTICIPANTS: The President Brent Scowcroft, Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs, Notetaker Francois Mitterrand, President DATE, TIME December 16, 1989, AND PLACE: St. Martin (exact place ) President Mitterrand: It will be a small lunch so we will be able to talk freely. (U) The President: It is wonderful of you to have invited me here. (U) President Mitterrand: What is going now in Europe is the biggest event since World War I. We are watching it with wonder. Each day something unexpected happens. The Strasbourg Summit went well. We made clear, well defined progress. We are scheduled to have a completely open market within three years, which is a very short time. We must therefore force our pace. We have moved forward on the internal market in the areas of transportation, SECRET Declassify on: OADR DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 13526 2010- 1262-MR Es 11/23/15 SECRET SECRI SECRET 2 telecommunications and insurance. Decisions are needed on the issue of monetary integration and we have set a schedule to deal with them. We have also drafted a charter for our social Tevelopment institutions. On Eastern Europe we agreed to set up a developed bank. All can participate. Gorbachev accepted my invitation The bank will also be a training institution. Training is what is needed most of all. ($) In Strasbourg we looked at the events unfolding in Eastern Europe, especially in East Germany. Two contrary impulses were evident. The first group were those who think this is natural and must be prevented. But there are treaties, arrangements, and the Soviet Union. Great Britain, Holland and Denmark are nervous about this big state in the center of Europe. I am not so worried. Let German development take place smiltaneonly inth Elugian developme That way on development can be contained. interturied We have lived with Germany for a thousand years and we have survived. We know each other starting with Charles V and the Germanic Empire. We have no inferiority complex but we want no embalance which could worry Gorbachev. Germany must take a clear stand as to its These all the two contray trinds but eastern borders. (whole sentence unintelligible) this is the dialetic 0 today ($) SECRET SECRET SECRET SECRET 3 The President: I would like your views on the two different ways of looking at this. I worry about events in East Germany which could accelerate this and Gorbachev. I also worry about the effect on Poland. But, in the short term, I worry about preventing an event which could push the process too fast. Do you share this concern? ($) President Mitterrand: Yes. At any time there could be an upheaval. The German Government is pushing too hard. The East German Government is not ready for reunification. And I worry about Poland more than any other country in Eastern Europe. There are three problems: the first involves areas which used to be German. ($) SECRET SECRET Gorbamer (Dobrynir) 1989- June 1990 THE WHITE HOUSE Box 5-2 WASHINGTON 1-5-90 Dear Mr. Chairman: Thank you for the magnificently crafted model of the "Aleksandr Nevsky." It is an ideal gift for me because, as an old navy man, I dearly love the sea. I am sending along a few pictures which I hope you will enjoy. When I look at them I am reminded of our Malta meeting which, in my view, was a big success. I am also enclosing a video tape which was prepared for you by a friend of mine who is a U.S. movie producer, Jerry Weintraub. He used some historical footage out of a famous film library. The announcer on this tape, incidentally, is a famous U.S. movie actor, Charlton Heston. I hope you and Mrs. Gorbacheva have a wonderful New Year. I am convinced that the next year will be one of even greater cooperation and improvement in our relations. I am determined to follow up on our talk about START and about CFE. The whole world hopes that we can reach agreement on these two treaties. I also hope we can move ahead in the chemical weapons field. I know you want to ban these weapons and so do I. I still worry about verification, but let's find the way to make real progress in 1990. 2 I have followed the developments in Europe with keen interest and with a genuine sense of excitement. I note with great interest and admiration the way those who support changes all across Eastern Europe invoke your name in a most favorable way - a well deserved tribute to your own leadership for reform. Let's VOW to stay in close touch during this coming year. Most sincerely, G But His Excellency Mikhail Sergeyevich Gorbachev Chairman of the Supreme Soviet of the Union of the Soviet Socialist Republics Moscow P.S. That ship model will always remind we of Malta and of sur most constructive and pleasant meeting My Gorbamer (Doprynir) SECRET SECRET 1989-fune/990 1990 Box 5-2 0307 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON January 13, 1990 DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 13526 2009-0942-MR INFORMATION 12/1/2014 MM MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT FROM: BRENT SCOWCROFT B SUBJECT: Objectives for U.S.-Soviet Relations in 1990 This is a rare period in which we can seek to achieve a fundamental shift in the strategic balance, particularly in Europe. The future of the Soviet Union remains cloudy, but it is clearly in our interest to do what we can to prolong the tenure of the reformers -- men who have inadvertently set in motion events that have put long-standing U.S. objectives regarding the Soviet Union well within our reach: freedom for Eastern Europe; a significant reduction of the Soviet military threat to the West; and the demilitarization of Soviet foreign policy in the regions. The principal challenge that you face in U.S.-Soviet relations this year is to engage Gorbachev effectively at a time when he faces mounting chaos at home; declining influence and authority in Eastern Europe; and uncertainty about the future of Russia's traditional nemesis, Germany. Gorbachev's sense of security stems from still powerful Soviet military forces and the conviction -- bordering on faith -- that sophisticated diplomacy can convince his adversaries not to take advantage of him. But there are observable cracks in Moscow's confidence about the fruits of the new foreign policy -- particularly where Germany is concerned -- and that Soviet insecurity is likely to grow. 1990 promises to be another very difficult year for Gorbachev and the Soviet leadership. The Soviet Union's ills are worsening. Problems like whether the Communist Party of the Soviet Union should have a constitutionally guaranteed "leading role" -- precluding fair competition with other parties; whether a command economy can be expected to produce the needed economic turnaround; whether to have private property; whether territory belonging to Azerbaijan should be transferred to Armenia; whether the Baltic states -- and other republics -- should be allowed to secede from the Union and similar issues cannot be resolved through Gorbachev's usual jawboning and equivocation. If they continue to grow worse, they could be his undoing. Over time, the Soviet population -- while appreciating his role in initiating reform -- has increasingly come to see Gorbachev as ineffective and indecisive. Nationalists from Armenia and SECRET CC: Vice President Declassify on: OADR SECRET Chief of Staff SECRET SECRET Azerbaijan to the Baltics regard him as a man without a bottom line and it is Gorbachev, not the nationalists, who has retreated in the face of repeated challenges. The saving grace for Gorbachev at this time is that he is still regarded by moderate nationalists in the Republics as their best hope for the peaceful achievement of their goal -- total independence. But moderates, to say nothing of extremists, may take Gorbachev's continuing appeasement as weakness, leading them to press even harder (as with the mass demonstrations in Lithuania when Gorbachev visits there.) That in turn will further alarm conservatives, who already see these trends as a threat to the integrity of the Union. Challenges to Gorbachev's power will probably increase markedly in the next year. Within the last two months, Gorbachev has reportedly threatened to resign twice. The first Baltic elections in Lithuania at the end of February and the 28th Party Congress, now scheduled for October 1990, will be crucial tests for him. Implications for U.S. Policy The Soviet leadership will be anxious to keep U.S. -Soviet relations moving forward. Gorbachev cannot afford, in the face of mounting failures at home, to have his foreign policy line discredited too. Objectively, the U.S. -Soviet relationship has never had better prospects from our point of view. Your meeting at Malta infused U.S. -Soviet relations with a greater sense of direction -- pointing toward the June Summit. On arms control, human rights and the incipient economic agenda, there is every reason to be optimistic that the progress made in 1989 can be sustained and perhaps Moscow can even be moved to be more sensible on Central America. But it is, of course, the unraveling of communist power in Eastern Europe that has changed the strategic environment and the face of U.S.-Soviet relations. Soviet domination of Eastern Europe has been the most enduring and most fundamental source of American conflict with Moscow. Thus, our central and overriding objective in 1990 should be to facilitate the continued and graduated withdrawal of the Soviet Union from Eastern Europe. A preeminent challenge, in this regard, is to help the FRG and the Soviet Union to manage their relationship. If there is a single external issue that might cause Moscow to reassess its course in Eastern Europe, might even bring Gorbachev down, it is the German question. With that much at stake for the United States, we will need to be intensively involved in the increasingly complicated diplomatic environment in Europe which will be ever more preoccupied with the future of Germany. While we can do little to affect internal Soviet politics, we should do what we can to prolong perestroika as long as Gorbachev continues to tolerate the diminution of Soviet power in Eastern Europe. If Moscow maintains its present course, it will be impossible within a few years for the Soviet Union to do anything SECRET SECRET SECRET SECRET about the changes in Eastern Europe, short of all out invasion. With this in mind, we need to work hard to insure a successful June U.S. -Soviet Summit -- particularly in arms control and the economic sphere -- which may boost Gorbachev's image at home and thus his staying power. We must grasp while we can the chance for an early CFE agreement which would bring the conventional military balance into line with the new political realities in Eastern Europe. These reductions will also facilitate the orderly withdrawal of Soviet military power from the territory of its former allies. Rapid progress toward an "Open Skies" accord also would institutionalize Soviet openness on an unprecedented scale. Finally, it is important that you continue to engage Gorbachev personally while emphasizing that it is the process of perestroika, not the man, on which U.S. policy is based. As 1990 begins, the uncertainties surrounding the future of the Soviet Union and Gorbachev have only multiplied. At present, Gorbachev appears to be playing for time in the hope that, by some miracle, perestroika will succeed in creating a stable and prosperous Soviet Union. We have clearer and more realistic goals: the liberation of Eastern Europe and the consolidation of pluralist rule throughout the region; and a dramatic reduction in the Soviet military threat to Europe and the United States. SECRET SECRET SECRET SECRET NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL January 9, 1990 Jand meme. 0307 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20506 memo ACTION MEMORANDUM FOR BRENT SCOWCROFT THROUGH: ROBERT BLACKWILL RB FROM: CONDOLEEZZA RICE CR SUBJECT: Memorandum on Objectives for U.S. Soviet Relations in 1990 The in memorandum for the President at Tab I examines the challenges light of continuing Soviet internal difficulties. U.S. -Soviet relations, particularly relating to Europe, in RECOMMENDATION That you sign the memorandum to the President. Attachment Tab I Memo to President DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 13526 2009-0942-MR 12/1/2014 mm SECRET Declassify on: OADR SECRET handwritten notes 1989 Box 5-3 CFE mtg W/P - no disappeement 1/15/90 that reduction to 200 owo will happen divpmts. being impressen - Real question is how TO do it - CFE I - CFE II - Unilatercel - Since C only reason this issue is before us is that & rained it, it is incombert on me to explain why. - The main issued for we is do your get out out ahead with a bold,move TJ show you understand what going are in C wolld you plan to take of it, or do your plan to hold back, let C long or even C Say take C lend and uppear to be what initeatives responding to bepularing others Doing it now lets AC you floor for Exerope set muder are AC e #'s - additional cuts don't upset C budget curless you want it To Cuts will tube 2-5 - Walling yes. accorday pare your budget for To showed dynamic molvement in C changes Tabing place isn't bal. Dolaying rishs losing bath inistiative and C opportunity To applar bold and - separating adjust C cute pow Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type 13a. Handwritten Re: Bob Gates - Memcons (12 pp.) 1/16/92 (b)(1) Notes Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: Scowcroft, Brent, Collection Series: Miscellaneous Files Subseries: WHORM Cat.: File Location: [Copies from Other Files] [3] Date Closed: 9/8/2009 OA/ID Number: 91167-006 FOIA/SYS Case #: 2009-0275-S Appeal Case #: Re-review Case #: Appeal Disposition: P-2/P-5 Review Case #: Disposition Date: AR Case #: MR Case #: AR Disposition: MR Disposition: AR Disposition Date: MR Disposition Date: RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] (b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information PRM. Removed as a personal record misfile. THE SECRETARY OF STATE WASHINGTON January 16, 1990 MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT SUBJECT: US Troop Levels in Europe Strategic trends in Eastern Europe and the USSR, our budget projections, and Congressional views all point to US troop levels in Europe by end FY94 substantially below the CFE I 275,000 ceiling. The question is how we respond. NSC proposes we move now to amend the CFE US-Soviet 275,000 ceiling to 200,000. DOD proposes instead that we indicate publicly that we would expect US force levels to be reduced substantially below the 275,000 by 1994, and make the reductions contingent on future conditions and consultations. There is merit in both approaches. But I am not certain that either fully advances and protects key objectives: 1. Your commitment to complete CFE I this year. 2. Your continued leadership with the Allies and Congress on European security issues. 3. Your strong commitment to a significant level of US forces in Europe over the long term, which is fundamental for stability and our influence on developments. An approach combining elements of the DOD and NSC recommen- dations might better serve these objectives. We would cast it with the Allies and publicly as a "program for European security and stability for the long term" with these key features: 1. Completing CFE I in 1990 is the keystone of our program and we are working with our Allies to resolve the key outstanding issues and speed agreement. (We are working compromises that could be outlined if we can get them agreed here and with the Allies in time.) 2. We and our Allies, propose that immediately after CFE I is completed, the CFE participants also agree in 1990 on an "outline of goals for further reductions" for follow-on CFE II negotiations. DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 13526 SECRET 4/8/2013 MM SECRET -2- 3. These goals would reflect US plans to reduce its forces in Europe to 200,000 at the earliest possible time and in any event by the end of 1994, in consultation with our Allies and assuming strategic trends continue. Our objective is a significant level of forces in Europe for the long term. (Note also that CFE I reductions agreed in 1990 would be completed by 1992-1993 in the Allies' proposal and 1994-1995 in the Soviets'. 4. We expect the Soviet level of forces in Eastern Europe to go much lower in the same time frame. US and Soviet reductions below the CFE I levels should not be tied together, whether in CFE II or in independent decisions. There are important differences in roles and geography that must be respected, and the will of countries that host outside forces must be decisive. This "program" sets out specific and concrete US reductions rather than the general and hedged objective in the DOD approach. In our view, the hedged approach will not fly in Congress and will leave the Allies unsure of your bottom line. The program also provides for CFE II which the DOD approach does not; this is important because major Allies want some follow-on negotiations and we can use it to brake Allied unilateral cuts. The program breaks the linkage between US and Soviet force levels whereas amending that level in CFE I, as the NSC approach suggests, would help tighten it. This is important for our objective of maintaining a significant US level in Europe while getting the Soviets totally out of Eastern Europe. Even more importantly, there is a high risk that moving to amend CFE I, as the NSC approach calls for, will delay agreement in 1990. This approach would avoid that. Whatever we think or hear about possible Allied and Soviet reactions, dropping the CFE I 275,000 to 200,000 is a major step that could bog us down in a flood of questions, reservations and conditions. If there were some way to assure this did not happen, then this approach could be attractive, though we would still have to find some way to handle the US-Soviet linkage effect. But it is not clear that there is such a way and the program outlined above seems a better way to advance and protect our key objectives. James Jim A. Baker / III SECRET SECRET EYES ONLY WHAT MIGHT BE SAID ON CFE IN THE STATE OF THE UNION MESSAGE -- We have a sound program for European security over the long term. -- Our objectives are: a secure Europe, whole and free, of states living without fear of intimidation or intervention in their internal affairs; a substantially reduced but still significant U.S. military presence, providing a source of stability; and a cohesive NATO Alliance, continuing to provide the framework for Western security. -- A key element of our program for European security is completion of a CFE agreement in 1990. This will make a major contribution to European security. It will result in the removal of over 300,000 Soviet troops from Eastern Europe. It will result in destruction of a large amount of Warsaw Pact military equipment -- the tools of offensive warfare (tanks, artillery, and armored troop carriers). -- We would expect, assuming current trends continue, that U.S. force levels in Europe would by 1994 be reduced substantially below the 275,000 level contained in a CFE agreement. We would complete these reductions only after close consultation with our Allies as to the substance of the reductions and the manner of making them. These consultations would give prudent consideration to the security situation at the time, political developments, and the impact on NATO defense strategy. SECRET EYES ONLY DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 13526 2009-0972-MR 6/19/12 MM SECRET - EYES ONLY Let no one doubt, however, the strength of our continuing commitment to NATO and our European Allies. The U.S. will continue to have a significant military presence in Europe. Our presence in Europe serves important U.S. security interests. We will remain in Europe as long as our Allies continue to require it. SECRET - EYES ONLY Gorbadhev (Dobrynin) Hand delivered 1989- June 1990 by And Dutorin Box 5-2 Comei 1-19-90 has orig Unofficial translation His Excellency George BUSH President of the United States of America Washington, D.C. January 17, 1990 Dear Mr. President, Thank you for your letter of December 8, transmitted throug Ambassador Matlock. I wish to say from the outset that I share your assessment of the Malta meeting. I believe we have every reason to say that it has taken Soviet-American relations to a new level of mutual understanding. The fact that we, while remaining realists in approaching the issues that divide us, have begun to clear the USSR-US relationship of everything that stands in the way of its normal development, opens up great opportunities, in my view, for bilateral cooperation and for building new international relations based on trust, mutual respect, and a balance of interests. Of course, a number of issues were not discussed in depth at Malta. Therefore, I support your idea that all issues which are the subject of the Soviet-American dialogue be discussed in the coming months between USSR Minister of Foreign Affairs Eduard A. Shevardnadze and US Secretary of State James Baker. I took note of your information about the US allies' reaction to the Malta talks. At a meeting in Moscow we informed in detail the leaders of the Warsaw Treaty member states on the substance of the Soviet-American talks at Malta. Our allies welcomed the results of those talks and expressed their satisfaction with the thoughtfulness and the reasonable approach to the developments in Western and Eastern Europe. 2. It is my view that the United States and the Soviet Union should continue to conduct business with respect to Europe, which is going through turbulent and profound changes, on the basis of prudence and great responsibility. As a separate issue, I would like to touch on the question of Panama. I acquainted myself with the arguments conveyed by your Ambassador in Moscow. I must say that I cannot agree with them, as well as with the statement contained in your message of December 26, 1989, to the effect that the US action in Panama is somehow fully consistent with the principles that we discussed at Malta. Our position of principle is known to you. We reject the us of force in international relations as an instrument of resolving conflict situations. It is in those terms that this question was discussed during the Malta talks. There, we sought to make this principal idea clear to the US side: no objective can serve as a justification of the use of military force. Universality of the politico-diplomatic procedures must be recognized as absolute. To allow for a multitude of interpretations or authorize exceptions here would mean to emasculate the efforts of the international community (and both our countries are playing a prominent role in them) to affirm the primacy of law. We in the Soviet leadership have begun to reflect on the possible areas of progress to be made at the forthcoming Soviet- American negotiations in 1990. We believe that a more specific determination in this regard could be made as a result of our foreign ministers' meetings on which you and I agreed earlier. I would like to invite you, Mr. President, to continue our correspondence not only on urgent problems, but on key conceptual issues in the interests of USSR-US rapprochement and enhancing stability in international relations. 3. I wish to conclude this letter by expressing the hope that the year 1990 will be productive for our relations. Sincerely, Mikhail GORBACHEV Moscow Kremlin date =? 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