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Guatemala - January 20, 1989-December 31, 1989
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Originally Processed With FOIA(s): FOIA Number: 99-0466-F 99-0466-F FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential Library Staff. Record Group/Collection: George H.W. Bush Presidential Records Collection/Office of Origin: National Security Council Series: Latin American Affairs Directorate Files Subseries: Subject Files 1989 OA/ID Number: CF00196 Folder ID Number: CF00196-011 Folder Title: Guatemala- January - December 1989 Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: V 8 5 7 7 UNCLASSIFIED RECORD ID: 8910354 NSC/S PROFILE RECEIVED: 26 TO: PRESIDENT - Guatemale FROM: STROOCK, TIMOTHY DOC DATE: 14 DEC 89 SOURCE REF: KEYWORDS: GUADELOUPE ECONOMICS - FMS PERSONS: SUBJECT: US AMB TO GUATEMALA WRITES ABOUT HIS CONCERNS FOR DEMOCRACY IN GUATEMALA AND THE NEED FOR CONTINUED US MILITARY AND ECONOMIC ASST ACTION: FOR RECORD PURPOSES DUE DATE: 29 DEC 89 STATUS: C STAFF OFFICER: NONE LOGREF: FILES: WH NSCP: CODES: DOCUMENT DISTRIBUTION FOR ACTION FOR CONCURRENCE FOR INFO Pryce Pacelli COMMENTS: DISPATCHED BY DATE BY HAND W/ATTCH OPENED BY: NSGVE CLOSED BY: NSGVE DOC 1 OF 1 UNCLASSIFIED THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON December 19, 1989 1999 DEC 19 PM 5: 53 MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT THRU: BRENT SCOWCROFT FROM: DAVID Q. BATES NrB The attached letter from Ambassador Stroock is for your information. Attachment Embassy of the United States of America Guatemala, December 14, 1989 The Honorable George Bush President of the United States of America The White House Washington, D. C. 20500 Dear Mr. President: When we had our brief visit two months ago and you wished me well on my way to Guatemala, you asked me to stay in touch. With your permission, it is my plan to write you a couple of times each year with the hope that my views on the situations that confront us in Central America may be helpful. This is a beautiful, mountainous country with fertile soil, many natural resources and an ideal climate. The people are friendly, smart and hard-working. By and large, they like Americans and America. If there could be far-sighted leadership and support from the leading elements in the society, this country has a bright future. Unfortunately, this is not the case. Most institutions, including the Government, are corrupt. Violence is endemic in the society. There is little idea of "public service" in any area. Half the population are Indians-- direct descendents of the Mayans--who have little use for Western ways, culture, politics or economy. There is extreme poverty; about 75% of the people barely subsist on very small farms or very low wages and two million people are illiterate. The large landowners and businessmen who largely control things really don't trust democracy. The leftist guerrillas in the hills feel the same way. Both want to run the country with their particular kind of dictatorship. The President is charismatic but corrupt, and the 45,000-man Army is the major force here. Since 1985 a fragile, legitimately elected administration has taken some important steps down the democratic road, but they have a long, long way to go. So far, they have the support of the Army, but it may not be taken for granted. Elections are to be held in November 1990 and we are already well into a typical Latin political campaign. The process of democracy here, with very shallow roots, very well may not continue without our strong support. Against this background we are facing alarming cutbacks in -2- our economic stabilization and military assistance programs. If these substantial reductions occur it would place at risk much of what has been achieved here: I hope our cabled and written concerns are thoroughly considered before final decisions on these vital funds are made. Proper funding has enabled us to help the Guatemalan military focus on the tasks appropriate to it: support for constituional order, professional development and democracy. We are now placing growing demands on the Army for logistical support in our anti-drug effort; they are responding very well, even though it means further stretching their already meager resources. Our economic support funds have promoted several major economic reforms that are most important to the well-being of this society; they could well be the model for the rest of the region. These include "floating" the exchange rate, selling debt into the private market and raising interest rates to repatriate capital. Unfortunately, these necessary steps have meant increased inflation and more suffering for the desperately poor. Lack of continued economic assistance could be seen by many here to indicate withdrawal of support. I have discussed this letter with Bernie Aronson and sent a copy to Jim Baker. This mission, which is staffed with an outstanding group of public servants, will carry out your wishes and the State Department's instructions to the very limit of our abilities. Our goals are to interdict the growing drug traffic, reduce the violent assaults on human rights and support democratic institutions through a peaceful change of government by means of open, fair and clean elections. Marta joins me in sending you, Barbara and all your great family our warmest wishes for a most Merry Christmas and a happy, healthy and successful new Year. Your friend, The Whonk CC: Secretary of State Jim Baker Assistant Secretary of State Bernard Aronson UNCLASSIFIED RECORD ID: 8909672 NSC/S PROFILE TO: PRESIDENT RECEIVED: >bat 30 NOV 89 15 FROM: CEREZO, VINICIO DOC DATE: 06 NOV 89 SOURCE REF: KEYWORDS: GUATEMALA HS PERSONS: SUBJECT: LTR TO PRES FM PRES CEREZO OF GUATEMALA ACTION: FOR TRANSLATION/DRAFT REPLY DUE DATE: 04 DEC 89 STATUS: D STAFF OFFICER: STATE LOGREF: FILES: WH NSCIF: CODES: DOCUMENT DISTRIBUTION FOR ACTION FOR CONCURRENCE FOR INFO STATE CLARK PACELLI PILLING PRYCE WORKING COMMENTS: DISPATCHED BY DATE BY HAND W/ATTCH OPENED BY: NSJWD CLOSED BY: DOC 1 OF 1 UNCLASSIFIED USL 9672 PRESIDENCIA DE L.A REPUBLICA TUATEMALA TEREZO AREMALC Guatemala, 5 de Noviembre de 1989. Excelentísimo Presidente Bush: Comparto con usted la convicción de que la mayoria de los panameños desean un regimen democrático en su País. Es verdaderamente lamentable que personas en ejercicio circunstancial del poder no comprendan que mantenerlo ilegítimamente solo provoca daños, dolores y sufrimiento al pueblo al cual pertenece. Puede usted estar seguro que en lo personal y en respuesta del pueblo de Guatemala, de común acuerdo con las Naciones Democráticas del hemisferio seguiremos haciendo todo aquello que sea necesario para respaidar al pueblo panameño en la consecución del sistema democrático al que aspiran. Al manifestar mi reconocimiento por la prudencia con que ha actuado su persona en los últimos acontecimientos me permito enviarle un saludo respetuoso. Atentamente, is DEPARTMENT Micenci de Marco Bortein Check Arébais United Constitutions has in Republics e Excelentísimo Señor George Bush Presidente de los Estados Unidos de América PRESENTE. ID# 093920 THE WHITE HOUSE CORRESPONDENCE TRACKING WORKSHEET INCOMING DATE RECEIVED: NOVEMBER 30, 1989 NAME OF CORRESPONDENT: HIS EXCELLENCY VINICIO CEREZO AREVALO SUBJECT: JOINS WITH THE PRESIDENT IN THE CONVICTION THAT THE MAJORITY OF PANAMANIANS DESIRE A DEMOCRATIC REGIME IN THEIR COUNTRY AND SUPPORTS THE ADMINISTRATION'S POLICY ACTION DISPOSITION ROUTE TO: ACT DATE TYPE C COMPLETED OFFICE/AGENCY (STAFF NAME) CODE YY/MM/DD RESP D YY/MM/DD BRENT SCOWCROFT ORG 89/11/30 / / REFERRAL NOTE: / / / / REFERRAL NOTE: / / 7 / REFERRAL NOTE: / / / / REFERRAL NOTE: / / / / REFERRAL NOTE: COMMENTS: TEXT IN SPANISH ORGINAL TO GEORGE VAN ERON ADDITIONAL CORRESPONDENTS: MEDIA:L INDIVIDUAL CODES: MI MAIL USER CODES: (A) (B) (C) *ACTION CODES: *DISPOSITION *OUTGOING * * * *CORRESPONDENCE: * *A-APPROPRIATE ACTION *A-ANSWERED *TYPE RESP=INITIALS * *C-COMMENT/RECOM *B-NON-SPEC-REFERRAL * OF SIGNER * *D-DRAFT RESPONSE *C-COMPLETED * CODE = A * *F-FURNISH FACT SHEET *S-SUSPENDED *COMPLETED = DATE OF * *I-INFO COPY/NO ACT NEC* * OUTGOING * *R-DIRECT REPLY W/COPY * * * *S-FOR-SIGNATURE * * * *X-INTERIM REPLY * * * REFER QUESTIONS AND ROUTING UPDATES TO CENTRAL REFERENCE (ROOM 75,OEOB) EXT-2590 KEEP THIS WORKSHEET ATTACHED TO THE ORIGINAL INCOMING LETTER AT ALL TIMES AND SEND COMPLETED RECORD TO RECORDS MANAGEMENT. ROUTINE UNCLASSIFIED WHITE HOUSE SITUATION ROOM Constrite PAGE 01 OF 02 PRT: BOOK VANERON SIT: PRES_MSGS VAX PREC ROUTINE CLAS UNCLASSIFIED DTG 250002Z OCT 89 FM AMEMBASSY GUATEMALA TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 5597 RUEADWW/WHITEHOUSE WASHDC UNCLAS GUATEMALA 12723 STATE FOR ARA E.0. 12356 N/A TAGS: PREL. GT. US SUBJECT: MESSAGE FROM PRESIDENT CEREZO TO PRESIDENT BUSH RE SAN FRANCISCO EARTHQUAKE ON OCTOBER 24 EMBASSY RECEIVED FOLLOWING MESSAGE FROM PRESIDENT CEREZO TO PRESIDENT BUSH (INFORMAL TRANSLATION: ORIGINAL POUCHED TO ARA/CEN): OCTOBER 19. 1989 HIS EXCELLENCY THE PRESIDENT: IN THE NAME OF THE PEOPLE AND GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA. I EXPRESS TO YOU THE SORROW WE FEEL AS A CONSEQUENCE OF THE EARTHQUAKE THAT DEVASTATED THE CITY OF SAN FRANCISCO. CALIFORNIA. TUESDAY THE 17TH. LEAVING BEHIND A LAMENTABLE TOTAL OF DEATHS AND CAUSING SERIOUS DAMAGE TO THE AREA. IN THIS HOUR OF TRIAL FOR CALIFORNIA AND THE PEOPLE OF THE UNITED STATES. WE WISH TO EXPRESS SOLIDARITY WITH OUR BROTHERS IN SAN FRANCISCO AND THE CERTAINTY THAT GOD WILL GUIDE THEM AS THEY REBUILD THEIR COMMUNITY AND BIND UP THE WOUNDS THAT THE CASTROPHE HAS INFLICTED UPON THAT BELOVED AMERICAN STATE. AS A MEMBER OF THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY. MR. PRESIDENT GUATEMALA. WHICH ALSO SUFFERED THE EFFECTS OF A SIMILAR TRAGEDY IN 1976 AT WHICH TIME WE RECEIVED THE UNCLASSIFIED - ROUTINE UNCLASSIFIED WHITE HOUSE SITUATION ROOM PAGE 02 OF 02 GENEROUS SUPPORT OF YOUR COUNTRY. SHARES THE PAIN OF YOUR PEOPLE CAUSED BY THE EARTHQUAKE. RESPECTFULLY. SIGNED MARCO VINICIO CEREZO AREVALO. PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF GUATEMALA STROOCK BT =2723 UNCLASSIFIED CONFIDENTIAL RECORD ID: 8908337 Guatamale a NSC/S PROFILE RECEIVED: 17 OCT 89 16 TO: SCOWCROFT FROM: CEREZO, VINICIO DOC DATE: 16 OCT 89 SOURCE REF: KEYWORDS: GUATEMALA HS PERSONS: CEREZO, VINICIO SUBJECT: APPRECIATION FOR PRES MSG RE ANNIV OF INDEPENDENCE OF CENTRAL AMER ACTION: FOR RECOM / TRANSLATION DUE DATE: 20 OCT 89 STATUS: D STAFF OFFICER: STATE LOGREF: FILES: WH NSCIF: CODES: DOCUMENT DISTRIBUTION FOR ACTION FOR CONCURRENCE FOR INFO STATE MERCHANT PACELLI UNCLASSIFIED UPON REMOVAL OF CLASSIFIED ATTACHMENTS JGP, 12/15/99 COMMENTS: DISPATCHED BY DATE BY HAND W/ATTCH OPENED BY: NSWEA CLOSED BY: DOC 1 OF 1 CONF IDENTIAL ID# 081727 THE WHITE HOUSE 8337 CORRESPONDENCE TRACKING WORKSHEET INCOMING DATE RECEIVED: OCTOBER 16, 1989 NAME OF CORRESPONDENT: HIS EXCELLENCY VINICIO CEREZO AREVALO SUBJECT: APPRECIATION FOR MESSAGE RECEIVED ON THE ANNIVERSARY OF THE INDEPENDENCE OF CENTRAL AMERICA ACTION DISPOSITION ROUTE TO: ACT DATE TYPE C COMPLETED OFFICE/AGENCY (STAFF NAME) CODE YY/MM/DD RESP D YY/MM/DD BRENT SCOWCROFT ORG 89/10/16 / / REFERRAL NOTE: / / / / REFERRAL NOTE: / / 7 / REFERRAL NOTE: / / / / REFERRAL NOTE: / / / / REFERRAL NOTE: COMMENTS: ORIGINAL TO GEORGE VAN ERON (IN SPANISH) ADDITIONAL CORRESPONDENTS: MEDIA:T INDIVIDUAL CODES: MI MAIL USER CODES: (A) (B) (C) *ACTION CODES: *DISPOSITION *OUTGOING * * * *CORRESPONDENCE: * *A-APPROPRIATE ACTION *A-ANSWERED *TYPE RESP=INITIALS * *C-COMMENT/RECOM *B-NON-SPEC-REFERRAL * OF SIGNER * *D-DRAFT RESPONSE *C-COMPLETED * CODE = A * *F-FURNISH FACT SHEET *S-SUSPENDED *COMPLETED = DATE OF * *I-INFO COPY/NO ACT NEC* * OUTGOING * *R-DIRECT REPLY W/COPY * * * *S-FOR-SIGNATURE * * * *X-INTERIM REPLY * * * REFER QUESTIONS AND ROUTING UPDATES TO CENTRAL REFERENCE (ROOM 75,OEOB) EXT-2590 KEEP THIS WORKSHEET ATTACHED TO THE ORIGINAL INCOMING LETTER AT ALL TIMES AND SEND COMPLETED RECORD TO RECORDS MANAGEMENT. 8 - -/ nsc 8337 ORM822 RX-LN1 ZCZC ORM822 DFP075 284910310666 UTNX CO GUGU 079 GUATEMALA 079/069 11 2026 VIA TRT EXCELENTISINO BRNOR GEORGE BUSH PRESIDENTE THE WHITE HOUSE 1600 PENN. AVE NW WASHINGTON DC 20500 01157 HONRAME EXPRESAR A VLESTRA EXCELENCIA EN NOMBRE DEL PUEBLO Y GOBIERNO DE GUATEMALA Y MIC PROPIO AGRADECIMIENTO SINCERO POR EL CONCEPTUOSO Y FINO MENSAJE DE FELICITACION QUE SE SIRVIO ENVIAR CON MOTIVO DEL ANIVERSARIO DE LA INDEPENDENCIA DE CENTROAMERICA EXPRESANDOLE MI MAS ALTA Y DISTINGUIDA CONSIDERACION/VINICIO CEREZO AREVALD PRESIDENTE DE LA REPUBLICA DE GUATEMALA Guatenelit City, Guatemsia COL 01157 NNNN TO SEND A REPLY TO THIS ABLEGRAM CALL PARA ENVIAR UNA RESPUESTA A ESTE CABLE LLAME TRT TELEGOMENINICATIONS MIAMI - 223-3333 WATS - 1-800-654-7171 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL ID 8908337 REFERRAL DATE: 17 OCT 89 MEMORANDUM FOR: ROY, J DOCUMENT DESCRIPTION: TO: SCOWCROFT SOURCE: CEREZO, VINICIO DATE: 16 OCT 89 SUBJ: APPRECIATION FOR PRES MSG RE ANNIV OF INDEPENDENCE OF CENTRAL AMER REQUIRED ACTION: RECOM / TRANSLATION DUEDATE: 20 OCT 89 COMMENT: Waltn E . Airs FOR GEORGE VAN ERON DIRECTOR NSC SECRETARIAT NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL LOG 8908337 DISTRIBUTION RECORD DATE 16 OCT 89 SUBJECT: APPRECIATION FOR PRES MSG RE ANNIV OF INDEPENDENCE OF CENTRAL AMER DOCUMENT CLASSIFICATION: CONFIDENTIAL EXTERNAL DISTRIBUTION: DATE TIME SIGNATURE ROY, J DEPARTMENT OF STATE ROOM 7224, MAIN STATE COPY: 1 2201 C STREET, NW WASHINGTON, DC 20590 DATE, TIME, SIGN THE RECEIPT AND RETURN TO: NSC SECRETARIAT, ROOM 379 OEOB PAGE 01 OF 01 PAGES 10-13-89 October 13, 1989 MEMORANDUM file TO: NSC: David Pacelli FROM: STATE - ARA/CEN: Deborah McCarth TALKING POINTS FOR PHOTO OPPORTUNITY FOR AMBASSADOR STROOCK WITH PRESIDENT BUSH. O I have known Tom since we were at Yale together. In fact, we were on the same baseball team. Even then, Tom demonstrated the qualities of leadership and determination which made him a much admired Senator and leader in his state as well as a successful businessman. These same qualities will serve him in good stead as my personal representative in Guatemala. O Our relations with Guatemala are excellent. I expect Tom to continue to work to strengthen the roots of democracy in Guatemala as it faces a critical moment in its history; the transition of power from one civilian government to another. O Barbara and I wish both Tom and Marta the best in this new exciting endeavour. We are conscious of the heavy responsib entrusted in both of you and have every confidence that you will bodly and wisely face the challenges presented. Cleared: ARA/CEN: PRomero Photocopy-Preservation File: CONFIDENTIAL RECORD ID: 8907675 NSC/S PROFILE RECEIVED: 27 SEP 89 17 butemba TO: SCOWCROFT FROM: PACELLI DOC DATE: 27 SEP 89 BRIGGS SOURCE REF: KEYWORDS: GUATEMALA ANSA PERSONS: STROOCK, THOMAS SUBJECT: MTG W/ US AMB DESIGNATE TO GUATEMALA STROOCK ON 28 SEP ACTION: NOTED BY SCOWCROFT DUE DATE: 30 SEP 89 STATUS: C STAFF OFFICER: PACELLI LOGREF: FILES: WH NSCIF: CODES: DOCUMENT DISTRIBUTION FOR ACTION FOR CONCURRENCE FOR INFO BRIGGS PACELLI UNCLASSIFIED UPON REMOVAL OF CLASSIFIED ATTACHMENTS JEP, 12/15/99 COMMENTS: DISPATCHED BY JRP DATE 9/28 BY HAND W/ATTCH OPENED BY: NSJRP CLOSED BY: NSBTM DOC 1 OF 1 CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL RECORD ID: 8907675 ACTION DATA SUMMARY REPORT DOC ACTION OFFICER CAO ASSIGNED ACTION REQUIRED 001 SCOWCROFT Z 89092720 FOR INFORMATION 001 X 89092819 NOTED BY SCOWCROFT CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL 7675 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON, D.C. 20506 September 27, 1989 Nati Sec Advisor has seen INFORMATION MEMORANDUM FOR BRENT SCOWCROFT DAS THROUGH: EVERETT ELLIS BRIGGS for FROM: DAVID A. PACELLI DAY SUBJECT: Your Meeting with U.S. Ambassador-Designate to Guatemala, Thomas Stroock Tom Stroock is scheduled to see you at 3:30 p.m. on Thursday, September 28 to discuss his new assignment. Since his-nomination was announced in June, he has been diligent in making the rounds to key officials in the government. He requested a meeting with the President in mid-June, which was turned down. Stroock is a friend of the President and an old Yalie. (You will recall that the Yale connection came in handy when he contacted Lud Ashley in June concerning the Blake family's inquiry over its son, missing for some years.) He was a State Senator in Wyoming when he was nominated and has strong ties to Secretary Cheney. Stroock raised two concerns when he visited Ted and me last week. First, he wanted to keep Washington's attention on the rising violence and human rights violations in Guatemala. We told him that we were aware of the recent incidents, reflecting variously campaign violence, guerrilla activity, and rightwing acts to provoke a coup. Second, he wanted to ensure that he did not have a problem with Congressional visitors who insisted on excluding the Embassy from meetings with Guatemalan officials. Ted agreed with him, suggesting that he ought to raise this issue with the Secretary and the Assistant Secretary. On Tuesday, Stroock met with President Cerezo in New York--a brainstorm of the Guatemalan Ambassador to the United States. Cerezo raised the textile issue with him. (Guatemala has done SO well in raising its production that we have slapped quotas on certain products.) Stroock begged off, saying he was there to clink glasses, not to discuss substance. Issues you might want to raise with him include the following: -- an inquiry about his Congressional hearing earlier this week; DECLASSIFIED CONFIDENTIAL PER NSC WAIVER, August 6, 2010 Declassify on: OADR CONFIDENTIAL ByMM NARA, Date8/23/2016 Date CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL 2 -- the challenge posed by his need to keep the human rights issue constantly before the Guatemalan military and the private sector, without sounding like a broken record; -- the need to impress upon the Guatemalan Government that they can best help themselves on human rights by an effective public relations campaign in the United States; and -- that we should not neglect to keep the heat on for public statements supporting democracy in Nicaragua, recognizing that privately Cerezo always tells us what we want to hear. CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL IDENTIAL 7075 Add On NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON D.C. 20506 September 27, 1989 CHRON ACTION MEMORANDUM FOR BRENT SCOWCROFT THROUGH: FROM: WILLIAM T. PRYCE EVERETT ELLIS BRIGGS wipis SUBJECT: Guest List for State Dinner for Mexican President Salinas (Revised) Attached at Tab I is a memo from you to Laurie Firestone with a revised list suggested by the Mexicans as guests for the President's October 3 State Dinner in addition to the official - delegation. RECOMMENDATION That you sign the memo at Tab I. Attachments Tab I Scowcroft to Firestone Memorandum Tab A Revised Guest List I DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5(b) White House UNCLASSIFIED Guidelines UPON REMOVAL OF 997 By CHMENTS JGP, 10/19/01 Case No. 99-0466-F CONFIDENTIAL Declassify on: OADR CONFIDENTIAL THE WHITE HOUSE CONFIDENTIAL 7075 WASHINGTON Add On MEMORANDUM FOR LAURIE FIRESTONE FROM: BRENT SCOWCROFT SUBJECT: Guest List for State Dinner for Mexican President Salinas Since my September 14 memorandum to you, the Mexicans have submitted a number of changes to the list of people in addition to the official delegation, whom President Salines would like to see invited to the President's State Dinner for him. The list at Tab A represents the Mexicans' priorities as closely as we can determine them. The first 16 names represent the top general priority. The Mexicans hope all 16, who will be traveling with the President without their spouses (with the exception of Octavio Paz and Rufino Tamayo whose wives are on the list), can be invited. They have singled out the first six on the list (marked 1) as having the most importance for Salinas. We have divided the remainder of the top 16 into categories marked "2" and "3" in case all cannot be invited. The second priority for the Mexicans is the "working group" which we have marked "4." Their third category, consisting of people it would be nice to invite, is marked category "5." President Salinas also suggested that Derek Bok, President of Harvard University, and Wayne Cornelius, Director of U.S.-Mexican Studies at the University of California at San Diego, and their wives, be invited. We give a much higher priority to Bok. The Mexicans have been told that it will almost certainly not be possible to invite all those suggested to the dinner. They understand, and are now most anxious to know who among the top 16 will be invited. We believe all 16 should be. I would appreciate your office informing NSC Executive Secretary G. Philip Hughes on this as soon as a decision has been made. Many thanks. Attachment Tab A Proposed Guest List DECLASSIFIED CONFIDENTIAL PER DOS WAIVER, November 6, 2015 Declassify on: OADR By MM NARA, Date 8/23/2016 REVISED LIST OF INVITEES OTHER THAN OFFICIAL DELEGATION SUGGESTED BY MEXICAN GOVERNMENT FOR INCLUSION IN PRESIDENT BUSH'S STATE DINNER FOR MEXICAN PRESIDENT SALINAS Mexico 1 Miguel Aleman, Ambasador at Large, member of TELEVISA board, and son of a former Mexican President 1 Emilio Azcarraga, Chairman of the Board, TELEVISA 1 Octavio Paz, Author and Historian 1 Maria Jose de Paz, wife of Octavio Paz 1 Rufino Tamayo, Artist 1 Olga de Tamayo, wife of Rufino Tamayo 2 Mrs. Socorro Diez, Chairman, House Foreign Affairs Committee 2 Bernardo Garza Sada, Monterrey Industrialist 2 Claudio X. Gonzalez, Presidential Adviser on Foreign Investments; Former President of Business Coordinating Council 2 Francisco Hernandez Juarez, Head of Telephone Workers Union 2 Pedro Ramirez Vasquez, Architect 2 Rolando Vega, Interim Head of the Business Coordinating Council 2 Romulo O'Farrill, Director General, newspaper Novedades 3 Antonio Madero Bracho, Businessman 3 Adrian Sada, Chairman of the Board, VITRO Corporation 3 Jacobo Zaidenweber, President, Mexico-U.S. Chamber of Commerce Working Group 4 Jose Antonio Gonzalez Fernandez, Director General of North American Affairs, Foreign Secretariat 4 Andres Massieu, Private Secretary to the President 4 Jesus Reyes Heroles, Chief of Advisers to the Foreign Relations Secretary Additional Suggestions 5 Rodolfo Junco de la Vega, Director General, Monterrey newspaper El Norte 5 Francisco Gonzalez, Businessman 5 Jose Santiago Healy, 5 Jacobo Zabludovsky, Newscaster Americans 1 Mr. & Mrs. Derek Bok, President, Harvard University 2 Mr. & Mrs. Wayne Cornelius, Director of U.S.-Mexican Studies, University of California, San Diego Fole: UNCLASSIFIED RECORD ID: 8907487 NSC/S PROFILE RECEIVED: 21 SEP 89 Greatert TO: PRESIDENT FROM: CEREZO, VINICIO DOC DATE: 14 SEP 89 SOURCE REF: KEYWORDS: GUATEMALA DRUGS HS PERSONS: SUBJECT: LTR FM PRES CEREZO OF GUATEMALA RE DRUGS ACTION: NOTED BY PRES DUE DATE: 25 SEP 89 STATUS: C STAFF OFFICER: NONE LOGREF: FILES: WH NSCIF: CODES: DOCUMENT DISTRIBUTION FOR ACTION FOR CONCURRENCE FOR INFO LAMAGNA MILLER PACELLI COMMENTS: DISPATCHED BY DATE BY HAND W/ATTCH OPENED BY: NSMDC CLOSED BY: NSMDC DOC 1 OF 1 UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED RECORD ID: 8907487 ACTION DATA SUMMARY REPORT DOC ACTION OFFICER CAO ASSIGNED ACTION REQUIRED 001 X 89092116 NOTED BY PRES UNCLASSIFIED IMMEDIATE 7487 UNCLASSIFIED WHITE HOUSE SITUATION ROOM SUMMARY PAGE 01 OF 02 PRT: SIT VANERON SIT: AYERS PACELLI PRES_MSGS SIT SUM VAX PREC. IMMEDIATE <CLAS> UNCLASSIFIED <DTG> 141811Z SEP 89 FM AMEMBASSY GUATEMALA TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4645 UNCLAS GUATEMALA 10994 E.O. 12356: N/A TAGS: PREL. SNAR. GT SUBJECT: PRESIDENT CEREZO'S LETTER TO THE PRESIDENT SUPPORTING HIS FIGHT AGAINST NARCOTICS. 1. FOLLOWING IS AN UNOFFICIAL TRANSLATION OF A LETTER WE HAVE JUST RECEIVED FROM PRESIDENT CEREZO TO PRESIDENT BUSH SUPPORTING HIS ANTI-NARCOTICS CAMPAIGN. WE ARE POUCHING THE ORIGINAL TO ARA/CEN. 2. BEGIN TEXT: DEAR MR. PRESIDENT: I WOULD LIKE TO ASSURE YOU OF OUR COMPLETE SUPPORT FOR THE FIRST NATIONAL STRATEGY DESIGNED BY YOUR GOVERNMENT TO COMBAT THE PRODUCTION AND TRAFFICKING OF DRUGS IN YOUR COUNTRY. I BELIEVE THAT IT IS THE MOST BROADLY SUPPORTED CRUSADE BEGUN BY YOUR GOVERNMENT, WHICH REFLECTS THE UNITY. THE DECISION AND THE INDIGNATION OF A PEOPLE IN ITS FIGHT TO PRESERVE THE LIVES OF MILLIONS OF YOUNG PEOPLE. WE ARE ALSO PLEASED WITH THE PROGRAM WITH WHICH THE GOVERNMENT OF THE US WILL AID THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA AS THE FIRST STEP IN STOPPING THE COCAINE CARTELS. WE ALSO BELIEVE THAT YOUR CONCERN WILL FURTHER SENSITIZE THE MANY SECTORS WHICH MAKE UP THE DEMOCRATIC PROCESS IN GUATEMALA. TO STRENGTHEN AND TO CONSOLIDATE IT. FACED WITH THE THREAT OF DRUGS, WHICH IN THE FUTURE COULD COME TO BE A THREAT TO DESTROY THAT DEMOCRACY. OUR GOVERNMENT. WITH THE TECHNICAL SUPPORT OF YOUR UNCLASSIFIED IMMEDIATE UNCLASSIFIED WHITE HOUSE SITUATION ROOM PAGE 02 OF 02 GOVERNMENT AND OTHER INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS. HAS TAKEN SIGNIFICANT MEASURES IN THE FIGHT AGAINST DRUGS. I BELIEVE THAT WE SHOULD SUPPORT YOUR STRATEGY. WHICH CONSTITUTES A COORDINATED AND COOPERATIVE COMMITMENT FOR THE WELL BEING OF OUR NATIONS. I CONSIDER OF PARTICULAR IMPORTANCE THE CALL WHICH YOU HAVE MADE TO THE PRIVATE SECTOR OF YOUR NATION TO PLAY A KEY ROLE IN THIS STRATEGY: THIS SHOULD PRODUCE EXCELLENT RESULTS. WE NOW ARE FACING ONE OF THE MOST DIFFICULT CHALLENGES OFTHE LAST FEW DECADES AGAINST DRUGS. A STRUGGLE IN WHICH WE EXPECT A FAITHFUL RESPONSE FROM OUR CITIZENS TO FULFILL OUR BROAD NATIONAL STRATEGY IN FAVOR OF THE LIVES OF MILLIONS OF HUMAN BEINGS IN THIS CRUCIAL HOUR OF THEIR HISTORY. PLEASE ACCEPT ASSURANCES OF MY HIGHEST. MOST DISTINGUISHED. CONSIDERATION. MARCO VINICIO CEREZO. END TEXT TAYLOR. BT =0994 UNCLASSIFIED Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 07. cable From [US Govt] to [US Govt] 08/04/89 P-1, F-1 S RE: Guatemala (5 pp.) P-5 COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] F-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] F-2 Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRAJ agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRAJ F-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] F-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] F-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] PACRCUE 5829 Dile. Crestenda THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON August 2, 1989 Dear Mr. President: I am responding to your thoughtful letter of May 24 proposing a summit meeting in January 1990. I agree with you that the challenging problems facing the Americas require hemispheric cooperation to achieve progress. As you so rightly point out, discussion of these critical issues at the highest levels is essential. Interest in the kind of meeting you describe is very high throughout the region, with calls for dialogue coming from many quarters. We have carefully weighed the timing, agenda and venue of various proposals. I wanted you to know that I have accepted an invitation to attend the 100th anniversary of Costa Rican democracy in San Jose at the end of October at which many heads of state from Latin America will be present. The timely occasion of this celebration will, I believe, place the focus squarely on democracy as the key to peace, stability, and economic well-being: Given the full agenda scheduled for the period immediately following this event, I am afraid that it will be difficult for me to attend a summit at the time you have proposed. 2 I appreciate the initiative you have put forward and the commitment you have demonstrated to solving the pressing problems faced by the region. Sincerely, CyBul His Excellency Vinicio Cerezo President of the Republic of Guatemala Guatemala 7 Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 08b. memo From Brent Scowcroft to President Bush 08/02/89 P-1, F-1 S RE: response to letter from President Cerezo (1 pp.) P-5 COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRAJ F-1 National security classified Information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRAJ F-2 Release would disclose Internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial Information [(a)(4) of the PRA] F-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] F-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted Invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted Invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] F-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of glft. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] Letter to the President from President Cerezo (Informal Translation) May 24, 1989 Mr. President: I have the honor to address Your Excellency in regard to an address I made at the March 2 session of the Permanent Council of the Organization of American states in which I proposed "summit of Presidents and Heads of Government of the member states of the OAS. " In this letter I have the pleasure to present this initiative to Your Excellency in the hope that you will consider it, keeping in mind the historic moment in which we live and the pressing need to find American solutions to the regional problems we face. Among the issues which require joint action are the search for peace and democracy, international social justice, respect for and observance of human rights, the international economic crisis, poverty, foreign debt, and the traffic in illicit drugs. All of these can form part of a high-level agenda. I believe, Mr. President, that a frank dialogue and a profound analysis carried out at the highest political levels of our nations would allow us to achieve significant advances in the search for solutions to the problems we all face. So far, presidential-level meetings have produced some excellent results in the continuing effort to confront the challenges of modern life; examples are the Group of Eight summit which took place in Acapulco and the various meetings of Central American Presidents. It is a fact that we Presidents seek to find for our peoples new ways of living; we want to change the old structures that do not produce justice and that prevent the participation of all in social process. For that reason, we political leaders have the obligation to expend every possible effort to find the new paths justice demands of us and each day to guarantee and strengthen freedom and popular participation in decision making through democratic institutions. An American Summit, Excellency, would promote the development of international cooperation as an auxiliary aid to national efforts to accelerate peaceful and complete development; it would give an impulse to the process of economic, political, and cultural integration and would contribute to the strengthening of the Organization of American States. Mr. President: I take the liberty of suggesting that this continental summit take place within the framework of the OAS and that it take place in January 1990. At the same time, I have the honor of proposing Guatemala City as the site for this important meeting. Accept, Excellency renewed assurances of my highest consideration and appreciation. Marco Vinicio Cerezo Arevalo EL PRESIDENTE 53 DELA REPÚBLICA DE GUATEMALA AMÉRICA CENTRAL Guatemala, 24 de mayo de 1989 Señor Presidente: Tengo el honor de dirigirme a Vuestra Exelecencia para manifestarle que, en el discurso que pronuncié el 2 de marzo pasado en la Sesión Protocolar del Consejo Permanente de la Organización de los Estados Americanos, formul una propuesta concreta relacionada con la realización de una "Cumbre de Presidentes y Jefes de Estado de los Países Miembros de la OEA". Por este medio me es grato presentar a Vuestra Excelencia esta iniciativa, con el ruego atento de que se sirva considerarla, teniendo en cuenta el momento histórico que vivimos y la urgente necesidad de encontrar soluciones americanas concertadas a los ingentes problemas regionales que confrontamos y que requieren una acción conjunta, tales como la Paz, la Democratización, la Justicia Social Internacional, la plena vigencia y observancia de los Derechos Humanos, la crisis económica internacional, la pobreza absoluta, la deuda externa y el tráfico flícito de drogas, temas que pueden formar parte de una agenda de trabajo al más alto nivel. Estimo, Excelentisimo Señor Presidente, que un diálogo franco y un análisis profundo, al más alto nivel político de nuestras naciones, nos permitirá lograr EL PRESIDENTE 53 DELA REPÚBLICA DE GUATEMALA AMÉRICA CENTRAL La Cumbre Americana, Excelencia, propiciará también el fomento de la cooperación internacional como mecanismo coadyuvante a los esfuerzos nacionales para acelerar el proceso de desarrollo integral y armónico de nuestras naciones, dará impulso a los procesos de integración económica, política y cultural y contribuirá, al fortalecimiento de la Organización de los Estados Americanos. Señor Presidente: Me permito sugerirle que la Cumbre Continental, en el marco de la OEA, se lleve a cabo en el mes de enero de 1990 y al mismo tiempo me honro en proponer a la Ciudad de Guatemala como sede de tan trascendental Reunión. Aprovecho la ocasión para renovar a Vuestra Excelencia las seguridades de mi más alta y distinguida consideración y personal aprecio, REPUBLIC LA DE DENCE Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 08e. memo From David Pacelli to Brent Scowcroft 08/01/89 P-1, F-1 S RE: Presidential letter to Guatemala President Cerezo P-5 (1 pp.) COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] F-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] F-2 Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] F-4 Release would disclose tradesecrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and information ((b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] F-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted Invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] F-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed In accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial Institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] SENT BY: ; 7-21-89 : 3:57PM : hrNI=:a-2023955221 = ;# 3 STATE DEPARTMENT DRAFT REPLY Dear Mr. President: I am responding to your thoughtful letter of May 24 proposing a summit meeting of Presidents and Heads of Government of member states of the Organization of American States (OAS) in January 1990. Vice President Quayle had already informed me of your interest in hosting such a meeting. As you observe, the challenging problems facing the Americas are pressing. Hemispheric and international cooperation as well as individual national efforts will be necessary to achieve progress on these critical issues. As you so rightly pointed out in your letter, a frank discussion at the highest levels is essential. Interest in the kind of meeting you describe is very high throughout the region, with calls for dialogue coming from many quarters. We have carefully weighed the timing, agenda and venue of various proposals. I wanted you to know that I have accepted an invitation to attend the 100th anniversary of Costa Rican Democracy in San Jose America will be present. The timely occasion of this celebration at the end of October at which many heads of state from Latin of democracy will, I believe, place the focus squarely on dempcracy as the key to peace, stability and economic well-being. Given the very full agenda scheduled for the period immediately for following this event, I am afraid that it will be difficult heartened me to attend a summit at the time you have proposed. I am by continuously demonstrated to solving the pressing problems the initiative you have put forward and the commitment you faced have by the region. Please accept my renewed assurances of consideration and deep appreciation. Sincerely, George Bush To: NSC: David Pacelli -7File ->Filemith with From: State - ARA/CEN: Deborah McCarthy file Per Pete Romero's suggestion I am faxing you a copy of a draft response from President Bush to President Cerezo's invitation the to an OAS summit in Guatemala in January 1990. I have revised draft to take into account President Bush's recent acceptance of President Arias' invitation to San Jose in October 1989. Please note this is an advance copy of the response. It is still being cleared with Bernie Aronson. I can be reached at 647-1145. 7/20 Action t contunce. was congleted to Inter amirada constant 7/28 Armunis DAB count. Aftaryof STATE DEPARTMENT DRAFT REPLY Dear Mr. President: I am responding to your thoughtful letter of May 24 proposing a summit meeting of Presidents and Heads of Government of member states of the Organization of American States (OAS) in January 1990. Vice President Quayle had already informed me of your interest in hosting such a meeting. As you observe, the challenging problems facing the Americas are pressing. Hemispheric and international cooperation as well as individual national efforts will be necessary to achieve progress on these critical issues. As you so rightly pointed out in your letter, a frank discussion at the highest levels is essential. Interest in the kind of meeting you describe is very high throughout the region, with calls for dialogue coming from many quarters. We have carefully weighed the timing, agenda and venue of various proposals. I wanted you to know that I have accepted an invitation to attend the 100th anniversary of Costa Rican Democracy in San Jose at the end of October at which many heads of state from Latin America will be present. The timely occasion of this celebration of democracy will, I believe, place the focus squarely on democracy as the key to peace, stability and economic well-being. Given the very full agenda scheduled for the period immediately following this event, I am afraid that it will be difficult for me to attend a summit at the time you have proposed. I am heartened by the initiative you have put forward and the commitment you have continuously demonstrated to solving the pressing problems faced by the region. Please accept my renewed assurances of consideration and deep appreciation. Sincerely, George Bush Drafted: ARA/CEN : DMcCarthy One 7/22/89 Doc. 9570 Ext. 71145 Cleared: ARA/CEN : PRomero ARA/USOAS: JCTodd ARA/PPC: LEinaudi ARA/PPC: DSKocz07 ARA: CArcos ARA/BAronson ] Stell burg cleared Letter to the President from President Cerezo center ( a formal Trans lation) May 24, 1989 Mr. President: I have the honor to address youRexcellency in regard to an 1" address I made at the March 2 session of the Permanent Council of the Organization of American states in which I proposed "A summit of Presidents and Heads of Government of the member states of the OAS. return In this letter I have the pleasure to present your excellency This initiative in the hope that you will consider it, (white) while keeping in mind the historic moment in which we live and the pressing need to find american soulutions to the regional problems we face. Among these issures which require joint action are the search for peace and democracy, international social justice, respect for and observance of human rights, the international economic crisis, poverty, foreign debt, and the traffic in illicit drugs. All of these can form part of a high- level agenda. notwin I believe, Mr. President, that a frank dialogue and a profound analysis carried out at the highest political levels of our nations would allow us to achieve significant advances in the search for solutions to the problems we all face. So far, presidential-level meetings have produced some excellent results in the continuing effort to confront the challenges of modern Group of Eight life; examples are the summit of the eight) which took place in Acapulco and the various meetings of Central American Presidents. It is a fact that we President seek to find for our peoples new ways of living; we want to change the old structures that do not produce justice and that prevent the participation of all in the social process. For that reason, we political leaders have the obligation to expend every possible effort to find the new paths justice demands of us and to guarantee and strengthen each daily day freedom and popular participation in decision making (vid via through democratic institutions. An american summit, excellency, would promote the development of international cooperationuas It an ancillary auxiliary aid to national efforts to accelerate peaceful and complete development; it would give an impulse to the process of economic, political, and cultural integration and would contributeto the strengthening of the OAS. Organization of American States. n Mr. President: I take the liberty of suggesting that this framework continental summit take place within the context of the OAS and that it take place ithin the context of the OAS and that it take At the same time, place in January 1990. I have the honor of proposing Guatemala 1 City as the site for this important meeting. Accept excellency, renewed assurances of my highest consideration and appreciation. Marco Vinicio Cerezo Areval of End Text.) :DIST>PRT: BRANSCUM SIT: AYERS PACELLI PRYCE DORMINEY RODMAN VAX <PREC> IMMEDIATE<CLAS> SECRET<OSRI> RUEHGT<DTG> 181603z JUL 89 <ORIG>FM AMEMBASSY GUATEMALA <TO>TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 3018 INFO RUEHMU/AMEMBASSY MANAGUA 4201 RUEHSN/AMEMBASSY SAN SALVADOR 8331 RUEHSJ/AMEMBASSY SAN JOSE 7899 GUAT RUEHTG/AMEMBASSY TEGUCIGALPA 9062 <SUBJ>SUBJECT: ARONSON TALKS WITH PRESIDENT CEREZO <TEXT> SECRET SECTION 01 OF 04 GUATEMALA 08377 ARA/CEN FOR SULLIVAN NODIS E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR TAGS: PREL, EAID, EFIN, XK, PM, GT SUBJECT: ARONSON TALKS WITH PRESIDENT CEREZO 1. SECRET ENTIRE TEXT. 2. SUMMARY; A/S ARONSON AND PRESIDENT CEREZO HAD A FRUITFUL DISCUSSION. CEREZO AGREED TO TALK WITH PRESIDENT AZCONA REGARDING THE HONDURAN PLAN FOR DRR. HE WILL MEET WITH A DELEGATION OF RESISTANCE COMMANDERS BEFORE THE SUMMIT TO HEAR THEIR CONCERNS ON DEMOBILIZATION. HE WILL ASK HIS MINISTER OF DEFENSE TO SEND A DELEGATION OF MILITARY OFFICERS TO TELL THE PDF THAT IF NORIEGA GOES, ITS ROLE IN A DEMOCRATIC GOVERNMENT WILL BE RESPECTED. OTHERWISE, THE CRISIS WILL GET MUCH WORSE. CEREZO ALSO ANNOUNCED HE HAD ORDERED RECENT CHANGES IN THE POLICE RESCINDED, so THAT MILITARY MEN WILL NOT REPLCE CIVILIANS. FOR HIS PART, CEREZO ASKED FOR QUICK ASSISTANNE RN THE FORM OF ECONOMIC SUPPORT, AND FOR SOME MINOR INCREASE IN MILITARY AID, OR AT LEAST NO CUTS IN THE PRESENT LEVEL. THERE WAS SUBSTANIAL AGREEMENT ON MAJOR REGIONAL ISSUES. END SUMMARY. 3. A/S ARONSON HELD A FRIENDLY, PRODUCTIVE HOUR AND A HALF CONVERSATION WITH PRESIDENT CEREZO THE MORNING OF JULY 15. THE PRESIDENT WAS ACCOMPANIED BY ACTING FOREIGN MINISTER MARTINI. ARONSON WAS ACCOMPANIED BY THE AMBASSADOR, DAS MADIGAN, ARA/CEN DIRECTOR SULLIVAN, INTERPRETER PHILLIPS AND POLCOUNS TONKIN (NOTETAKER). 4. FOLLOWING THE OBLIGATORY AMENITIES, ARONSON OPENED THE SUBSTANCE BY SENDING CEREZO PRESIDENT BUSH'S PERSONAL GREETINGS, NOTING THIS WAS THEIR FIRST MEETING SINCE HIS CONFIRMATION, AND INQUIRING ABOUT THE STATE OF OUR BILATERALS. CEREZO SAID WE ARE WORKING WELL TOGETER. AT THE MOMENT THE USG COULD BE OF CONSIDERABLE ASSISTANCE TO HIM ON ESF DISBURSEMENT. TRADITIONALLY AT MID YEAR GUATEMALA SUFFERS A DIP IN FOREIGN EXCHANGE. THERE IS CONSIDERABLE SPECULATION AS TO A POSSIBLE DEVALUATION. THE GOG IS WORKING ON A LONG 02 Aug 04 LT 99-0466-F TERM ECONOMIC PLAN THROUGH NEXT YEAR'S ELECTION (NOVEMBER 1990). THERE IS SOME UNREST, STRIKES AND PICKETING OF THE PALACE, AND THE GOG, TO MAINTAIN PER E.O. 12958 DECLASSIFIED STABILITY AND CONFIDENCE, COULD USE ESF DISBURSEMENT IMMEDIATELY. THE PLAN IN THE WORKS CONTEMPLATES TIGHTENED MONETARY POLICY AND SOME BUDGET CUTS AS AUSTERITY MEASURES, AND COULD BE READY BY THIS WEDNESDAY (JULY 19). HE IS THINKING ABOUT A DEVALUATION IN ABOUT A MONTH. OTHERWISE, THE ECONOMIC SITUATION IS PRETTY GOOD, INFLATION IS UNDER CONTROL AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IS ACCELERATING. THE AMBASSADOR NOTED THAT AT A MEETING WITH THE GOG TECHNICAL TEAM THE PREVIOUS DAY, THE GUATEMALANS DID NOT SEEM TO HAVE A CONCRETE PLAN. CEREZO ASSURED HIM THERE IS A PLAN READY THAT WILL TAKE TEN DAYS TO IMPLEMENT. HE RETURNED TO THIS TOPIC AT THE END OF THE MAETING, STATING THAT ESF IS A POLITICAL SOLUTION, NOT JUST AN ECONOMIC ONE. THE MONEY WOULD BE AN EXPRESSION OF CONFIDENCE IN BOTH THE GOG AND IN ITS NEW ECONOMIC MEASURES. HE WOULD LIKE TO SEE RAPID DISBURSEMENT. THE AMBASSADOR SUGGESTED THAT AN AGREEMENT COULD BE SIGNED ONCE WE AGREED ON WHAT THE MEASURES WOULD BE, WITH DISBURSEMENT TO TAKE PLACE IMMEDIATELY AFTER MEASURES ARE IN PLACE. ARONSON SAID THE GOG TECHNICIANS SHOULD SEE THE AMBASSADOR SOON. WE WILL MOVE QUICKLY. CEREZO SUGGESTED THAT "IT WOULD BE BETTER" TO HAVE A SINGLE DISBURSEMENT AND THE AMBASSADOR RESPONDED THAT IF THE PROGRAM CONTEMPLATED SOME IMMEDIATE MEASURES AND OTHERS TO BE TAKEN LATER WE MIGHT THINK OF DISBURSING HALF NOW AND HALF WHEN THE SUBSEQUENT MEASURES ARE TAKEN. ARONSON UNDERTOOK TO PUSH IN WASHINGTON FOR QUICK DISBURSEMENT ONCE AGREEMENT IS REACHED. HE SAID IT IS NOT KNOWN IN THE US JUST HOW WELL THE GUATEMALAN ECONOMY IS PERFORMING. WE WANT GUATEMALA TO CONTINUE ITS SUCCESS. A HEALTHY ECONOMY BREEDS DEMOCRACY. CEREZO SEEMED SATISFIED, AND PLEASED WITH OUR OFFER TO COOPERATE. 5. CEREZO TURNED TO THE MILITARY. ANY, EVEN MINOR, INCREASE IN MILITARY ASSISTANCE WOULD BE A FAVORABLE SIGN TO THE GUATEMALAN MILITARY. HE UNDERSTANDS THAT LIBERAL GROUPS IN THE US HAVE TARGETTED GUATEMALA ON E CRE SECTION 02 OF 04 GUATEMALA 08377 ARA/CEN FOR SULLIVAN NODIS E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR TAGS: PREL, EAID, EFIN, XK, PM, GT SUBJECT: ARONSON TALKS WITH PRESIDENT CEREZO HUMAN RIGHTS, AND HE IS DOING HIS BEST TO REFUTE THEM. ARONSON NOTED THAT THE USG IS STILL WORKING ON DELICATE, SENSITIVE LEGISLATION ALONG THESE LINES. OUR TWO GOVERNMENTS SHOULD COMMUNICATE ON OUR COMMON GOALS. HE HOPES THAT NO SECTOR IN GUATEMALA DOUBTS THE USG IS UNEQUIVOCALLY COMMITTED TO DEMOCRACY HERE. AN IMPORTANT PARALLEL ISSUE IS THE ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE. A WELL-TRAINED CIVILIAN POLICE IS VITAL IN CONVINCING CONGRESS THAT THERE IS PROGRESS IN GUATEMALA ON HUMAN RIGHTS. UNFORTUNATEY KEY CIVILIANS IN THE OFFICE OF PROFESSIONAL RESPONSIBILITY AND CRIME DETECTION WHO WERE TRAINED UNDER THE I.C.I.T.A.P. PROGRAM HAVE JUST BEEN REPLACED BY UNTRAINED MILITARY MEN. FRANKLY, IT IS VERY DIFFICULT FOR US TO DEFEND THIS. WE COULD BE FORCED TO END THIS PROGRAM IF IT BECOMES INDEFENSIBLE. CEREZO IMMEDIATEY DECLARED HE HAS GIVEN ORDERS TO REVERSE THE PERSONNEL CHANGES. HE SAID THE NEW DIRECTOR OF THE NATIONAL POLICE IS AN OLD FRIEND, VERY CAPABLE, AND ENAVYS HIS COMPLETE TRUST, BUT HE DOESN'T ALWAYS UNDERSTND THE POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS OF APPARENTLY MINOR DECISIONS. HE PUT SOME FRIENDS IN THESE JOBS. CEREZO SAID HE ASKED THE DIRECTOR TO PUT HIS FRIENDS SOMEWHERE ELSE. 6. ARONSON SAID HE WAS VEJY PLEASED THAT THE GOLPE OF MAY 9 WAS A FAILURE. WHAT IS CEREZO'S VIEW OF ITS CAUSES? CEREZO SAID THE 1988 GOLPE WAS CIVILIAN-INSPIRED, MORE AN IDEOLOGICAL MOVEMENT. SOME PEOPLE WERE CONVINCED HE WAS GOING TO "SOCIALIZE" GUATEMALA. THE 1989 VERSION WAS A CONSEQUENCE OF THE PREVIOUS MOVEMENT. DISCIPLINARY ACTION AGAINST SOME MILITARY PARTICIPANTS CAUSED THEM TO BEAR A GRUDGE AGAINST MINISTER OF DEFENSE GRAMAJO. TWO COLONELS WERE NOT PARTICULARLY HONEST; ONE WAS A FRIEND OF CEREZO. MOST OFFICERS IN THE MILITARY ARE AWARE OF THE NEW COMMITMENT TO DEMOCRACY IN THE ARMED FORCES. THE NEXT GOVERNMENT WILL HAVE AN EASIER TIME WITH THE MILITARY BECAUSE THE NEXT TWO CLASSES OF OFFICERS ARE GOOD, PARTICULARLY THE SECOND CLASS, WHICH CONTAINS SEVERAL CLOSE FRIENDS OF CEREZO. PRIVATE ENTERPRISE ALSO NOW SEEMS LESS INTERESTED IN A GOLPE, CEREZO CONTINUED. THEY ARE MAKING MONEY AND THEY REALIZE THAT WE ARE NOT GOING TO MAKE ANY RADICAL REFORMS. CEREZO SAID HE TAKES MANY HARD DECISIONS, BUT HE CAN AFFORD TO, BECAUSE HE HAS THE SUPPORT OF THE ARMY. 7. ARONSON THANKED CEREZO FOR THE CLOSE COOPERATION BETWEEN OUR TWO GOVERNMENTS ON NARCOTICS CONTROL. HE FORCEFULLY EXPRESSED THE HOPE THAT THE NEXT GOG WILL BE PERCEIVED TO BE AS COMMITTED TO THIS STRUGGLE AS IS THE PRESENT. (NOTE: CEREZO IS SUPPORTING A CANDIDATE FOR NOMINATION TO SUCCEED HIM WHOM RUMORS CLAIM HAS NARCOTICS CONNECTIONS.) 8. TURNING TO REGIONAL AFFAIRS, ARONSON NOTED THAT THE NEXT CENTRAL AMERICAN SUMMIT WILL BE CRUCIAL. HE ASKED FOR CEREZO'S VIEWS. CEREZO SAID THE GOG HAS TWO GOALS: TO IOPROVE THE VERIFICATION PROCESS TO HELP EL SALVADOR AND TO CONVINCE THE HONDURANS THAT THIS ALSO BENEFITS THEM, AND TO BROADEN THE POLITICAL OPENING INSIDE NICARAGUA. THE SANDINISTAS ARE OBVIOUSLY ACCUSING THE US OF INTERVENTION, AND ARE TRYING TO PROVOKE THE HONDURANS, IN ORDER TO DIMINISH THE CONCESSIONS THEY ARE FORCED TO MAKE. ARIAS AS WELL SOMETIMES FALLS INTO THEIR TRAP. CEREZO EMPHASIZED THAT PROGRESS MUST BE MADE ON THE DEMOBILIZATION OF THE CONTRAS, BUT SIMULTANEOUS WITH DEMOCRATIZATION. THE SALVADORANS ARE SURE THAT THE SANDINISTAS ARE SENDING ARMS TO THE FMLN (ARONSON AGREED). THE GUERRILLA IS TRYING TO ISOLATE THE GOVERNMENT OF EL SALVADOR BY POLITICAL EFFORTS IN WASHINGTON AND ELSEWHERE AND BY INCREASING CONFRONTATION AT HOME. THEY NEED GUNS, MONEY AND PUBLICITY. VERIFICATION IS THE CENTRAL AMERICANS' MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE. ARONSON AGREED. HE NOTED THAT IT IS EASYNTOV SPOT TEN THOUSAND ARMED PEASANTS IN YAMALES. WHAT IS NEEDED IS A VERIFICATION REQUIREMENT THAT WILL ALSO APPLY TO GON SUPPLY OF SUCH ARMS TO GUERRILLA GROUPS. HE ALSO AGREED THAT THE FMLN IS TRYING TO POLARIZE THE SALVADORAN SITUATION. CRISTIANI HAS BEEN SUCCESSFUL IN CONTROLLING THE SITUATON, AND HAS NOT VIOLATED HUMAN S E C R E T SECTION 03 OF 04 GUATEMALA 08377 ARA/CEN FOR SULLIVAN NODIS E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR TAGS: PREL, EAID, EFIN, XK, PM, GT SUBJECT: ARONSON TALKS WITH PRESIDENT CEREZO RIGHTS. THIS HELPS ENORMOUSLY IN CONGRESS. THE USG DEFEATED SEVERAL ATTEMPTS THERE TO CUT AID TO THE SALVADORAN MILITARY. 9. ARONSON SAID WE SEE A SERIOUS DANGER TO THE PEACE PROCESS IN THE SANDINISTA DRAFT DEMOBILIZAITON PLAN. IT WON'T WORK, IS MERELY A POLITICAL DOCUMENT AND WILL NOT ENCOURAGE THE RN TO REINTEGRATE VOLUNTARILY. THEY HAVE TOLD US THAT IF THEY ARE NOT CONVINCED THEY HAVE GUARANTEES, THEY WILL REENTER NICARAGUA AND CONTIUNE TO FIGHT. THE CONGRESS WILL THEN CUT OFF HUMANITARIAN AID, WE WILL LOSE CONTROL OVER THE RN AND CONFLICT WILL RETURN TO CENTRAL AMERICA. THE SANDINISTAS WILL END ANY SEMBLANCE OF FREE ELECTIONS AND THE PEACE PROCESS WILL UNRAVEL. IT IS UP TO THE FOUR DEMOCRACIES TO STRUCTURE AN EFFECTIVE PLAN LINKING DEMOBILIZATION WITH DEMOCRATIZATION. THE HONDURANS HAVE A PLAN. THEY NEED GUATEMALAN SUPPORT. WILL YOU HELP? 10 CEREZO IMMEDIATELY VOLUNTEERED TO CALL PRESIDENT AZCONA TO ASK THAT LOPEZ CONTRERAS COME TO EXPLAIN THE PLAN TO THE GOG. CEREZO SAID WE ARE AT THE END OF THE ROAD, AND WE NEED A NEW DIRECTION. 11. ARONSON SAID THE SANDINISTAS HAVE NEVER BEEN WEAKER. THEIR ECONOMY HAS COLLAPSED, THEY ARE POLITICALLY ISOLATED AND HAVE BEEN FORCED TO ACCEPT THE PEACE PROCESS. THE USG HAS MADE CLEAR TO THE SOVIETS THAT AID TO NICARAGUA AND CUBA WILL HAVE A PRICE IN OUR BILATERAL RELATIONS. THEY APPEAR TO UNDERSTAND. THE SANDINISTAS ARE IN A BOX, BUT IF THE DRR PLAN FAILS, THEY WILL BE LET OUT. 12. CEREZO ASKED ABOUT THE ARIAS/ORTEGA TALKS OF THE PREVIOUS DAY. ARONSON SAID DEMOCRATIZATION WAS THE TOPIC. ORTEGA AGREED TO DIALOGUE WITH A UNITED OPPOSITION. ARONSON TOLD CEREZO THE RESISTANCE COMMANDERS WANT TO SEND A DELEGATION TO EXPLAIN THEIR CONCERNS TO HIM. WOULD HE RECEIVE THEM? CEREZO SAID CERTAINLY, HE IS VERY INTERESTED IN THEIR VIEWS. ARONSON SAID ARIAS HAD AGREED TO TALK TO THEM AS WELL, AND LATER TODAY HE WILL ASK CRISTIANI THE SAME THING. 13. CEREZO NOTED AGAIN THE DEMOBILIZATION PROCESS MUST BE VOLUNTARY. ARONSON AGREED, SAYING THAT TIMING MUST BE REALISTIC. THE RESISTANCE NEEDS GURANTEES, AND THEY CANNOT BE RUSHED INTO LAYING DOWN THEIR ARMS. THE PROCESS IS GRADUAL AND SHOULD LAST THROUGH THE ELECTIONS. CEREZO SAID HE AGREED FULLY, BASED ON GUATEMALA'S AGREEMENT WITH MEXICO NOT TO BE OBLIGED TO TAKE BACK THE GUATEMALAN REFUGEES THERE ALL AT ONCE. THEY NEEDED TIME TO REGAIN THEIR CONFIDENCE. ARONSON NOTED THAT CEREZO WAS SPEAKING WITH THE AUTHORITY OF ONE WHO HAS DONE THIS REPATRIATION SUCCESSFULLY. 14. ARONSON SAID "LET'S TALK ABOUT PANAMA". CEREZO SAID FOREIGN MINISTER PALENCIA TOLD HIM THAT SOME PROGRESS HAS BEEN MADE. THERE ARE TRIPARTITE TALKS BETWEEN OPPOSITION, GOVERNMENT AND THE PDF. HE UNDERSTANDS THE IDEA NOW IS THAT THERE WILL BE A ONE-YEAR PROVISIONAL GOVERNMENT, NORIEGA WILL LEAVE AND NEW ELECTIONS WILL BE HELD. THE OPPOSITION IS IN FAVOR OF THIS PROVIDED NORIEGA LEAVES. CEREZO SAID HIS MILITARY HAS NOTICED A CHANGE IN THE PDF. THEY ARE FINALLY GETTING CONCERNED. SINCE THE ELECTION THEY REALIZE THAT NORIEGA IS NOT DEFENDING PANAMA'S SOVEREIGNTY, BUT IS OUT FOR HIMSELF. WHAT CAN WE DO WITH NORIEGA? ARONSON SAID PRESIDENT BUSH IS DEEPLY INVOLVED, AND WILL NOT DROP THE INDICTMENTS, BUT THE USG IS PREPARED TO BE FLEXIBLE WITH NORIEGA. ARONSON ASKED CEREZO IF THE GUATEMALAN MILITARY WILL TAKE A MESSAGE TO THE PDF. IT IS TWO PARTS: THE CRISIS WILL WORSEN CONSIDERABLY IF NORIEGA STAYS. HOWEVER, THE USG IS NOT INTERESTED IN HARMING THE PDF. WE RESPECT ITS ROLE IN A CONSTITUTIONAL GOVERNMENT. WE WOULD LIKE TO SEE THE PDF LIKE THE GUATEMALA MILITARY RESPECTFUL OF CONSTITUTIONAL AUTHORITY, AND VWE WOULD WORK WITH THEM ON THE SAME TERMS. WHEN NORIEGA GOES, WE WILL DROP ALL SANCTIONS AND RETURN THE ALMOST $250 MILLION IN ESCROW. CEREZO SAID THAT THE GUATEMALAN MILITARY HAS A LOT OF FRIENDS SECRET SECTION 04 OF 04 GUATEMALA 08377 ARA/CEN FOR SULLIVAN NODIS E.O. 12356: DECL:0ADR TAGS: PREL, EAID, EFIN, XK, PM, GT SUBJECT: ARONSON TALKS WITH PRESIDENT CEREZO IN THE PDF. HE WILL TELL MINISTER OF DEFENSE GRAMAJO TO SEND TWO OR THREE OFFICERS THERE TO SEND THE MESSAGE. ARONSON SAID THAT IF NOTHING HAPPENS, ON SEPTEMBER FIRST WE MUST ISOLATE NORIEGA, BREAK RELATIONS, TREAT HIM LIKE A LEPER. HIS CONTINUANCE SENDS THE WRONG MESSAGE TO THE SANDINISTAS, AND HAS SERIOUS IMPLICATIONS FOR THE REST OF CENTRAL AMERICA. 15. AS THE MEETING DREW TO A CLOSE, ARONSON BROUGHT UP BELIZE. CEREZO SAID HE WILL HAVE A PRIVATE MEETING WITH ESQUIVEL PROBABLY THE SECOND WEEK IN AUGUST, MAYBE IN CANCUN OR SOME OTHER AGREEABLE PLACE IN MEXICO. ESQUIVEL IMPRESSES CEREZO VERY FAVORABLY. HE WILL TRY TO ARRIVE AT A MODUS OPERANDI WITH HIM, AND PERHAPS A FORMAL TREATY CAN BE ACHIEVED IN THE DECEMBER-FEBRUARY TIME FRAME. BELIZE SEEMS READY TO CEDE ON MARITIME LIMITS, BUT NOT LAND LIMITS. THAT MEETS GUATEMALA'S NEEDS. CEREZO SAID HE WANTS TO INTEGRATE BELIZE INTO CENTRAL AMERICA, NOT INTO GUATEMALA. ARONSON ENCOURAGED THIS PROGRESS, SAID IT WOULD BE A GREAT ACHIEVEMENT OF CEREZO'S PRESIDENCY TO COME TO AN AGREEMENT WITH BELIZE, AND OFFERED TO BE SUPPORTIVE. 16. THE MEETING ENDED WITH CEREZO OBSERVING THAT PRESIDENT BUSH HAS AN EXCELLENT IMAGE IN CENTRAL AMERICA. HE HAS THE OPPORTUNITY TO BE A GREAT PRESIDENT. ARONSON THANKED HIM FOR THE OBSERVATION, AND EXPRESSED HIMSELF "VERY PLEASED" WITH THIS MEETING, ITS TONE AND ITS RESULTS. MICHEL. <SECT>SECTION: 01 OF 04<SSN> 8377<STOR> 890718154834 MSG000238088914 <SECT>SECTION: 02 OF 04<SSN> 8377<STOR> 890718154922 MSG000238088962 <SECT>SECTION: 03 OF 04<SSN> 8377<STOR> 890718155010 MSG000238089010 <SECT>SECTION: 04 OF 04<SSN> 8377<STOR> 890718155023 MSG000238089023 <TOR>890718155629 S/S 8915120 United States Department of State Washington, D.C. 20520 5221 June 30, 1989 LIMITED OFFICIAL USE ATTACHMENT MEMORANDUM FOR: Mr. Philip Hughes Executive Secretary National Security Council Staff The White House SUBJECT: Alerting NSCS on Presidential Correspondence Enclosed is the original of a letter to President Bush from President Marco Vinicio Cerezo Arevalo of Guatemala which is transmitted for your information. This correspondence was received in the Information Resources Management Section of the Executive Secretariat on June 29, 1989. A copy has been assigned to the appropriate bureau for action. Charles Director, Jackson S/S-IRM Ju.yoz Information Resources Management Section Executive Secretariat 647-2991 File: Guatamle LIMITED OFFICIAL USE RECORD ID: 8905221 NSC/S PROFILE RECEIVED: 30 JUN 89 15 TO: PRESIDENT FROM: CEREZO, VINICIO DOC DATE: 30 JUN 89 SOURCE REF: KEYWORDS: GUADELOUPE OAS HS PERSONS: SUBJECT: LTR TO PRES FM PRES CEREZO RE OAS SUMMIT IN GUATAMALA ACTION: PENDING STATE RECOMS DUE DATE: 04 JUL 89 STATUS: D STAFF OFFICER: PACELLI LOGREF: FILES: WH NSCIF: CODES: DOCUMENT DISTRIBUTION FOR ACTION FOR CONCURRENCE FOR INFO STATE PACELLI PRYCE WORKING COMMENTS: DISPATCHED BY DATE BY HAND W/ATTCH OPENED BY: NSRSC CLOSED BY: DOC 1 OF 1 LIMITED OFFICIAL USE S/S-O LIMITED OFFICIAL USE INCOMING Department of State GUATEM #7826 281357Z #178 088127 $$05268 GUATEM 87826 2813572 8178 888127 SS05268 PAGE 81 PAGE #1 28/02142 - AN AMERICAN SUMMIT, EXCELLENCY, WOULD PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AS AN ANCILLARY INFO SS1-92 D-81 S-03 /886 A3 RGR AID TO NATIONAL EFFORTS TO ACCELERATE PEACEFUL AND COMPLETE DEVELOPMENT; IT WOULD GIVE AN IMPULSE TO THE ACTION ARA-## PROCESS OF ECONOMIC, POLITICAL, AND CULTURAL INTEGRATION INFO LOG-88 ADS-## SS-#9 DIC-82 10-19 HA-89 L-#3 AND WOULD CONTRIBUTE TO THE STRENGTHENING OF THE OAS. AMAD-01 INM-#8' E-01 P-92 /045 W 214835 2983282 /64 38 - MR. PRESIDENT: I TAKE THE LIBERTY OF SUGGESTING THAT THIS CONTINENTAL SUMMIT TAKE PLACE WITHIN THE CONTEXT OF R 151814Z JUN " THE OAS AND THAT IT TAKE PLACE IN JANUARY 1990. I HAVE FM AMEMBASSY GUATEMALA THE MONOR OF PROPOSING GUATEMALA CITY AS THE SITE FOR TO SECSTATE WASHDC 2330 THIS IMPORTANT MEETING. WHITEHOUSE WASHDC INFO USMISSION USUN NEW YORK - ACCEPT EXCELLENCY RENEWED ASSURANCES OF MY HIGHEST CONSIDERATION AND APPRECIATION. SIGNED, MARCO VINICIO CEREZO AREVALO. END TEXT. LIMITED OFFICIAL USE GUATEMALA #7826 LAMBERTY STATE FOR ARA AND USOAS NOTE BY OC/T: NOT PASSED USOAS E.O. 12356: N/A TAGS: PREL, PGOV, DAS, PHUM, ECON, SNAR, GT SUBJECT: LETTER TO THE PRESIDENT FROM PRESIDENT CEREZO PROPOSING DAS SUMMIT IN GUATEMALA, JANUARY 1998 1. EMBASSY HAS RECEIVED A LETTER FROM PRESIDENT CEREZO FOR PRESIDENT BUSH; WHILE DATED MAY 24, LETTER WAS JUST RECEIVED. ORIGINAL POUCHED TO ARA/CEN; INFORMAL EMBASSY TRANSLATION FOLLOWS. 2. BEGIN TEXT: MR. PRESIDENT: I HAVE THE NONOR TO ADDRESS YOUR EXCELLENCY IN REGARD TO AN ADDRESS I MADE AT THE MARCH 2 SESSION OF THE PERMANENT COUNCIL OF THE ORGANIZATION OF AMERICAN STATES IN WHICH I PROPOSED "A SUMMIT OF PRESIDENTS AND HEADS OF GOVERNMENT OF THE MEMBER STATES OF THE DAS." - IN THIS LETTER I HAVE THE PLEASURE TO PRESENT YOUR EXCELLENCY THIS INSTIATIVE IN THE HOPE THAT YOU WILL CONSIDER IT, WHILE KEEPING IN MIND THE HISTORIC MOMENT IN WHICH WE LIVE AND THE PRESSING NEED TO FIND AMERICAN SOLUTIONS TO THE REGIONAL PROBLEMS WE FACE. AMONG THESE ISSUES WHICH REQUIRE JOINT ACTION ARE THE SEARCH FOR PEACE AND DEMOCRACY, INTERNATIONAL SOCIAL JUSTICE, RESPECT FOR AND OBSERVANCE OF KUMAN RIGHTS, THE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC CRISIS, POVERTY, FOREIGN DEBT, AND THE TRAFFIC IN ILLICIT DRUGS. ALL OF THESE CAN FORM PART OF A NIGH-LEVEL AGENDA. - I BELIEVE, MR. PRESIDENT, THAT A FRANK DIALOGUE AND A PROFOUND ANALYSIS CARRIED OUT AT THE HIGHEST POLITICAL LEVELS OF OUR NATIONS WOULD ALLOW US TO ACHIEVE SIGNIFICANT ADVANCES IN THE SEARCH FOR SOLUTIONS TO THE PROBLEMS WE ALL FACE. so FAR, PRESIDENTIAL-LEVEL CONTINUING EFFORT TO CONFRONT THE CHALLENGES OF MODERN LIFE; EXAMPLES ARE THE SUMMIT OF THE EIGHT WHICH TOOK '89 JUN-29 4:14 PM 8915120 MEETINGS HAVE PRODUCED SOME EXCELLENT RESULTS IN THE PLACE IN ACAPULCO AND THE VARIOUS MEETINGS OF CENTRAL AMERICAN PRESIDENTS. - IT IS A FACT THAT VE PRESIDENTS SEEK TO FIND FOR OUR PEOPLES NEW WAYS OF LIVING; WE WANT TO CHANGE THE OLD STRUCTURES THAT DO NOT PRODUCE JUSTICE AND THAT PREVENT THE PARTICIPATION OF ALL IN THE SOCIAL PROCESS. FOR THAT REASON, WE POLITICAL LEADERS HAVE THE DELIGATION TO EXPEND EVERY POSSIBLE EFFORT TO FIND THE NEW PATNS JUSTICE DEMANDS OF US AND DAILY TO GUARANTEE AND STRENGTHEN FREEDOM AND POPULAR PARTICIPATION IN DECISION MAXING VIA DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTIONS. LIMITED OFFICIAL USE Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type 12a. Handwritten [Interagency Meeting to Discuss Guatemala] [FOIA 6/26/89 (b)(1) C Notes restrictions redacted] (2 pp.) Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Document Partially Declassified Office: National Security Council (Copy of Document Follows) Series: Latin American Affairs Directorate Files By MM on 1/17/2023 Subseries: Subject File 1989 WHORM Cat.: File Location: Guatemala January 20, 1989-December 31, 1989 Date Closed: 12/7/1999 OA/ID Number: CF00196-011 FOIA/SYS Case #: 1999-0466-F Appeal Case #: Re-review Case #: Appeal Disposition: P-2/P-5 Review Case #: Disposition Date: AR Case #: MR Case #: 2013-1055-MR(510) AR Disposition: MR Disposition: Released in Part AR Disposition Date: MR Disposition Date: 6/13/2016 RESTRICTION CODES Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] Deed of Gift Restrictions (b)(1) National security classified information C(I) Closed by Executive Order 13526, governing access to national (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an security information agency C(2) Closed by statute or by the agency which originated the information (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute C(3) Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial gift [formerly listed as only C] information PRM. Removed as a personal record misfile (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement Presidential Records Act. [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] purposes (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] financial institutions P-5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President and (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information his advisors, or between such advisors [(a)(5) of the PRAJ concerning wells DECLASSIFIED IN PART CONS IDENTIAL Cleatemala PER E.O. 13526 2013-1055.MR MM 6/13/2016 PRESIDENTIAL 510 LIBRARY DELIVERY June 26, 1989 (b)(3) Asse BUSH inter-Ageny meety Callejas- reterent toe in water, but out of The pul; imminit Marrigan- - not in pool, either Coup Platters are pur grobbers > spenfic comp Cants; Those that are left at 1.4(c) "perception of strengh" (DIA) Depends on how b. goes- if he INB 1.4(c) More personation Than DiA, Cahera well make it worse. Postprement June comention a DCG: that dest men? Cabrera not able to lock. it up ? stop Cature movent? - Benefits de Lean > Cabrera Punish + Cays Clatters? ? Import of us FAA Amendants ? Datam does + Thank t well howe much injucts. [mp disgres] - Bod: perhaps me shd bet The bullet/tangst Cabrera CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL Democrate Altention to Cabrece? (Ditor raises) Sereseres ansioes : muliting + proof sector instructural and lat severalizers. Printe sector concludes -you rurally - argund pat can't bet DCG m electrons DCG wanty nationally/ Must - her eyes, 6rango Lo gave Callegas by prost 6, cofreged intel community. - CAUR lowyers turned coup into calculated by just Office caps penetrated" by medea + write to friends by The product seiter. Direct areas of private pertor to The multing - CAUF is not behand The parties get - no effort Creation to creato an ARENA type - of an strassphere with Granigo is target; hot lerezo. Devesere - says The dark Colrera was Vinne's man 6, A long time in days. he was Mean. los a Godygood) Manager Ran the 2 years - which will instructly catch up with ham Lingi cannot us poly : law prople/ law profects us. Anb. Do we change now? - us Amb bruved as capture of DCG. - be Allenon disagrees. Gvamajo wins. Namination es Gramajo problem. 7) Apportnb of next. VMOD : menagement + mendaya = 21 will There be 6 there wattern privde-sath & mitting ? 3) Satadorn the Schoolarm statem CON IDENTIAL June 26, 1989 SECRET/SENSITIVE Subject: Guatemala: Interagency Discussion = Suggested Agenda I. Post-Coup Situation: Where are we heading? A. Prospects for Continuation of Democratic Transition. -- Where/when will next challenges arise? --- Gramajo' Tenure - Hector's nine lives? --- Cabrera's Candidacy O Derogatory smoke? Information - more than a whiff of O His competition -- Other Key Considerations B. What does Cerezo need to do? -- What is he likely to do? II. Pros and Cons of USG actions/inaction A. What is our ability/inability to affect the situation? B. Checklist of possible recommendations to Assistant Secretary Aronson SECRET DECLASSIFIED DECL: OADR PER E.O. 13526 2013-1055-MR mull 6/13/2016 File Guart. THE WHITE HOUSE Office of the Press Secretary For Immediate Release June 26, 1989 The President today announced his intention to nominate Thomas F. Stroock to be Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the United States of America to the Republic of Guatemala. He would succeed James H. Michel. Mr. Stroock is currently President of Alpha Exploration, Inc. and The Stroock Leasing Corporation in Casper, Wyoming. He has also served as Director of Key Bank of Wyoming and as Director of Key Bancshares of Wyoming. He worked for the National Public Lands Council, 1981-1984; National Small Business Advisory Council, 1981-1983; Director of Century Oil and Gas Co., 1976-1982. He has served as a Member of the National Petroleum Council, 1970-1977; and Director of Mid-America/Great Plains Financial Corporation, 1967-1973; and Director of the Wycom Corporation, 1968-1975. Mr. Stroock was graduated from Yale University (B.A., 1948). He was born October 10, 1925 in New York City. He is married, has four children and resides in Casper, Wyoming. He served in the United States Marine Corps, 1943-1946. ### PACKET FROM File: THE WHITE HOUSE Guatamale WASHINGTON, D.C. The Honorable Thomas Ludlow Ashley Association of Bank Holding Companies 730 15th Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20005 PERSONAL 6-19-89 Dear Lud, Just to follow up on the Blahe case, Tour S erooch whom you know is up to speed. he He will be calling you and will follow up as best he can. GB, From the desk of George Bush / Mail to Led 2 give CC lo Brent along outh dusion mm CONFIDENTIAL CONF IDENTIAL 3992 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON June 12, 1989 DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 13526 ACTION 2005-1062-MR MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT SES 5/25/11 FROM: BRENT SCOWCROFT IX SUBJECT: Response to Your Inquiry Concerning the Investigation by the U.S. Embassy in Guatemala of the Disappearance of Nicholas Blake Purpose To respond to your inquiry concerning the status of the investigation by the U.S. Embassy in Guatemala concerning the disappearance in 1985 of Nicholas Blake. Background Thomas Ludlow Ashley has sent you a letter from Randy Blake, brother of Nicholas Blake, who disappeared in the western highlands of Guatemala four years ago (Tab B). The U.S. Embassy assisted Blake and his father during their visit in, late April, but they want us to press the Guatemalan government harder for information. You have asked me to provide an update and to "give the system a kick" to further the investigation (Tab C). As background, Nicholas Blake was a journalist with a particular interest in the Guatemalan guerrillas. He and another American-- a long-time resident of Guatemala--ignored warnings about the danger in the area they intended to enter and subsequently disappeared without a trace. We have no way of knowing whether they were killed by the guerrillas, the military, or members of the government's civil defense patrols, and the Embassy is unable to even make an educated guess. The Embassy has followed every lead in this case, including making representations to President Cerezo and Defense Minister Gramajo, but the responsiveness of the Guatemalans has been disappointing. Blake correctly recounts how the Guatemalan military has promised to give the Embassy a list of members of the civil defense patrol who were on duty in the region at the time. It has failed to comply, despite Embassy follow-up. In the last several days, the Embassy has delivered to the head of Guatemalan military intelligence photographs--taken by an informant-of a patrol member alleged to be involved in the disappearance. The Guatemalan colonel has promised to search for the man and bring him in for questioning. CONFIDENTIAL CC: Vice President Declassify on: OADR Chief of Staff CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL CONE IDENTIAL 2 Ambassador Michel intends to raise the Blake case at the highest levels of the Guatemalan government in the next few days, as he has done on previous occasions. Our defense attache will also contact the Guatemalan military. U.S. Ambassador Designate Thomas Stroock has been informed of the case and will make a point to keep pressure on. He will call Lud Ashley, an old friend from Yale, on Thursday. Although I am confident that our Embassy will do the best it can, my view, and that of the State Department, is that this tragedy has all the hallmarks of being an unsolvable case. Even assuming that we receive full cooperation from the Guatemalans, the new leads seem unlikely to be sufficient to lead to an arrest and conviction. RECOMMENDATION That you permit Tom Stroock to get back to Lud Ashley on your behalf. Approve Vab Disapprove Alternatively, that you telephone Lud Ashley, using the points to be made at Tab A. Approve Disapprove Attachments Tab A Points To Be Made Tab B Ashley Memorandum to the President, with Enclosure Tab C Memorandum from the President to rutin Scowcroft for Now: summelind Lud The No stroch the best two A care. is as CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL 3992 POINTS TO BE MADE FOR TELEPHONE CALL TO THOMAS LUDLOW ASHLEY -- I am calling in response to your letter of a few weeks back on the Blake case. I have had Brent Scowcroft inquire about any new information on the letter that you forwarded me from Randy Blake. -- The Guatemalan military still has not provided the Embassy with a list of the civil defense patrol members in the area at the time of the disappearance. The Embassy gave the head of military intelligence, Colonel Ortega, a photograph of a patrol member alleged to be involved in the disappearance and he has promised to search for him and bring him in for questioning. Ambassador Michel is going to bring this up again with President Cerezo and the Defense Minister. My Ambassador Designate, Tom Stroock, has been informed of this and he will keep the heat on the Guatemalans. I am confident that the Embassy will follow up every lead, but I am not sure that they will be able to produce the kind of evidence that could lead to an arrest and conviction-- even if Cerezo and the military cooperate totally. Please let Randy Blake know that we will do all that we can. ASSOCIATION of BANK HOLDING COMPANIES THOMAS LUDLOW ASHLEY 730 FIFTEENTH STREET. N.W., WASHINGTON D.C. 20005 PRESIDENT (202) 393-1158 May 9, 1989 To: President George H. W. Bush From: Thomas Ludlow Ashley Re: Blake matter; other 1. Attached is an update from Randy Blake, the brother of Nick Blake who disappeared in Guatemala. I thought you might want to pass it along to whomever is checking into this for you. 2. If you need me to take on any kind of assignment, holler. I have a lot of flexibility in my current position. Enclosure To: Thomas L. Ashley From: Randy Blake PB Subject: Update on Recent Trip to Guatemala Date: May 4, 1989 As I mentioned, my father and I traveled to Guatemala on April 20-23 to meet with the U.S. Embassy in Guatemala, as well as other meetings. The following is an update on the results from that trip. Meeting with U.S. Embassy On April 21, my father and I met with U.S. Ambassador Jim Michel, U.S. Military Attache Colonel George Hooker, Consul General Phil Jones, and Consul Rick Ricardo to receive an update on the progress of their investigation of my brother's disappearance. We discussed the following topics: A. Status of their Request for Civil Patrol List As we mentioned, our embassy has requested since December 1988 a roster of the civil patrol members from the area where my brother disappeared. They believe that this roster will assist them in proving that the suspects who have been named by our source actually live in that town of E1 Llano. In late December 1988, Colonel Hooker questioned the leader of the civil patrol from E1 Llano, who has been implicated in the incident by our source. He claimed that those men did not exist, and thus could not have killed my brother. The Embassy has requested the list from the highest levels of the Guatemalan military. So far, they have not received it. Both the Ambassador and Colonel George Hooker believe that the Guatemalans are purposely delaying getting this list. We pointed out that this list could be easily changed to remove these names However, the Ambassador and Colonel Hooker believe that if they obtain this list, and it does have those names on it, then this is the surest way to prov. that the civil patrol leader in El Llano is lying. Additionally, their Guatemalan Army contacts have stated that if those names are on the list, then they will put together a search party to pick them up. B. Discussion of President Bush's Involvement We discussed the possibility that President Bush, or his staff, may provide assistance on the case. I discussed our attempts, (through you), to make -2- President Bush aware of our current predicament and to seek his or the White House staff's involvement in the case. The Ambassador stated that he would welcome the President's involvement and said that his direct contact with President Venicio Cerezo of Guatemala would be very helpful. Meeting with Colonel Ortega On April 22, my father and I met with Colonel Hooker and the Chief of the Guatemalan Army Intelligence Service (G-2), Colonel "Paco" Ortega. Colonel Ortega is the principal Army contact that Colonel Hooker has dealt with over the last year on this case, in addition to Guatemalan Minister of Defense Hector Gramajo. Col. Ortega stated that he would get the civil patrol roster the following week, stating that he did not think that there would be a problem. We also discussed whether this investigation would cause problems for the Army in this area, since they rely upon the civil patrol so much for their basic counter- insurgency system. He said that this would not be any real factor in their ability to move. Col. Ortega stated that if it was established that these men who were named by our contact existed, he would put together a detachment of troops from the area, along with the police to pick these men up. Recent Follow-Up with U.S. Embassy Since our trip, I have been in contact with Consul General Phil Jones about the status of their request for the civil patrol roster. I spoke with Mr. Jones as recently as May 4. They still have not obtained the list from Colonel Ortega. I have expressed my reservations to Mr. Jones about the efficacy of continuing to wait much longer for a list that was requested over 5 months ago. I also emphasized that a roster of names should not be the determining factor for action that could have taken place one year ago. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DATE: May 22, 1989 FROM THE PRESIDENT To: Brent Scowcroft Awhile back I sent you a memo from Lud Ashley regarding the Blake case in Nicaragua. Here is a new letter on the case. 'I need to get back soon to Mr. Ashley on this. Please give the system a kick. cc: Johns Sununu Jim Cicconi 3992 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON May 23, 1989 TO: BRENT SCOWCROFT FROM: JAMES W. CICCONI Assistant to the President and Deputy to the Chief of Staff Please provide status report to the President by COB tomorrow. He should be able to call Ashley before leaving for NATO. CONFIDENTIAL CONF IDENTIAL 3992 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON, D.C. 20506 May 25, 1989 ACTION MEMORANDUM FOR BRENT SCOWCROFT PER NSC DECLASSIFIED WAIVER, 1500 2021-02 THROUGH: EVERETT E. BRIGGS Q, By SS NARA, Date 9/26/24 FROM: DAVID A. PACELLIAP SUBJECT: Response to the President's Request for Information on the Disappearance of Nicholas Blake An old friend of the President, Thomas Ludlow Ashley, has forwarded to him a memo from Randy Blake explaining the status of U.S. assistance in investigating the 1985 disappearance of his brother Nicholas in Guatemala (Tab B). The President sent you this correspondence with a note saying he wanted you to "give the system a kick" so he could get back to Ashley soon (Tab C). Your memorandum to the President at Tab I gives background on the case and says that Ambassador Michel will raise the issue with President Cerezo and the Minister of Defense within the next few days. The memorandum also says that the U.S. Ambassador- designate to Guatemala Thomas Stroock, who is in Washington consulting with the State Department, intends to call Lud Ashley himself on this matter. (Stroock is an old Yale friend of Ashley.) The package also includes talking points for the President in the event he wishes to call Ashley himself. For your information, this tragedy has all the hallmarks of an unsolvable case. No trace of Blake and a companion have been found. Although new leads have been developed, they are unlikely to produce the type of evidence needed for an arrest and conviction. In addition, the State Department is concerned that additional information is being generated by people who are interested in visas or other favors from the U.S. Government. RECOMMENDATION: That you approve the memorandum to the President at Tab I. Approve Disapprove Attachments Tab I Scowcroft Memorandum to the President Tab A Points to be Made Tab B Ashley Letter to the President with Enclosure Tab C Note from the President to Scowcroft CONF IDENTIAL Declassify on: OADR CONFIDENTIAL The / Geratands JUN - 9 1989 HEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: James A. Baker, III SUBJECT: Nomination of Thomas F. Stroock as Ambassador to the Republic of Guatemala Attached for your approval is the nomination of Thomas F. Stroock, of Wyoming, to be Ambassador Extraordinary and Pleni- potentiary to the Republic of Guatemala. He would succeed James B. Michel. Agreement to Mr. Stroock's appointment has been received from the Government of Guatemala. Mr. Stroock has been accorded security clearance based upon a full field investigation by the Department's Bureau of Diplomatic Security. All questions relating to potential conflict of interest have been resolved. Attachments: 1. Nomination 2. Biographic sketch JUN - 9 1989 MEMORANDUM FOR THE HONORABLE CHASE UNTERNEYER THE WHITE HOUSE Subject: Nomination of Thomas F. Stroock as Ambassador to the Republic of Guatemala Transmitted herewith is a Memorandum for the President transmitting the nomination of Thomas F. Stroock, of Wyoming, as Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the United States of America to the Republic of Guatemala. He would succeed James H. Michel. Attached is a draft press release to be used at the time of announcement of the nomination. We would appreciate twenty- four hours advance notice of the announcement in order to advise the Government of Guatemala. Attached also is the report you will wish to forward to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee regarding demonstrated com- petence of this nominee. Matthew D. Smith Special Assistant Attachments: As stated. PER/FCA/PAS:SCBisdee 6/1/89 x73294 #0073B THOMAS F. STROOCK Position for which considered: Ambassador to the Republic of Guatemala Present Position: Vice President, Wyoming State Senate; President, Alpha Exploration, Inc. Office Address: P. O. Box 2875 Casper, Wyoming 82602-2875 Date/Place of Birth: October 10, 1925 New York, New York Legal Residence: Wyoming Marital Status: Married Name of Spouse: Marta Freyre de Andrade Stroock Names of Children: Margaret Stroock LOW Sandra Stroock Leotta Anne Marie Stroock Education: B.A., Yale University, 1948 Language Ability: Spanish Military: 1943-46 U.S. Marine Corps Experience: Non-Government: 1948-52 Landman, Stanolind oil & Gas Company 1952-present President, Stroock Leasing Corp 1967-present Director, Key Bank of Wyoming 1978-present Director, Key Bancshares of Wyoming 1980-present President, Alpha Exploration, Inc. Federal/State Government: 1970-77 Member, National Petroleum Council 1979-present State Senator, Wyoming State Senate 1980-present Chairman, Sierra Madre Foundation for Geological Research 1981-83 National Small Business Advisory Council 1981-84 National Public Lands Council 1982-present Chairman, Wyoming Senate Appropriations Cmte 1982-present Co-Chairman, Wyoming Joint Legislative Appro- priations Cmte 1983-present Director, Ucross Foundation June 1989 #0074B Draft Press Release The President has today announced his intention to nominate Thomas F. Stroock, of Wyoming, Ambassador to the Republic of Guatemala. He would succeed James H. Michel. A Wyoming State Senator, Mr. Stroock serves as Chairman of the Wyoming Senate Appropriations Committee and Co-Chairman of the Wyoming Joint Legislative Appropriations Committee. He is also President of the Alpha Exploration, Inc.; Director, Ucross Foundation; Chairman, Sierra Madre Foundation for Geological Research; President, Stroock Leasing Corp.; Director, Key Bank of Wyoming; Director, Key Bancshares of Wyoming. From 1970-77, Mr. Stroock was a Member of the National Petroleum council; 1981-83, the National Small Business Advisory Council; 1981-84, the National Public Lands Council; and from 1948-52 he was a Landman, Stanolind Oil and Gas Company. Mr. Stroock was born October 10, 1925 in New York, New York. He served in the U.S. Marine Corps from 1943-46, and he attended Yale University and received his B.A. in 1948. Mr. Stroock speaks fluent Spanish. Mr. Stroock is married and has three children. REPORT FOR THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS UNITED STATES SENATE SUBJECT: Ambassadorial Nomination: Certification of Demonstrated Competence (Foreign Service Act, Section 304 (a) (4)) POST: Guatemala CANDIDATE: Thomas F. Stroock Mr. Stroock, 63, is the president of Alpha Exploration, Inc. and the Stroock Leasing Corporation. He is also Director for both the First Wyoming Bank and First Wyoming Bank Corporation. After three and one-half years of World War II service in the Marines, Mr. Stroock began his own oil and gas properties firm in 1952. He was a member of the National Petroleum Council from 1970 to 1977. From 1981 to 1983, he was a member of the National Small Business Advisory Board and also a member of the National Public Lands Council from 1982 to 1985. Mr. Stroock is on his fifth term as a State Senator from Narona County. He has been president of the Casper School Board, chairman of the Wyoming School Boards Association, and chairman of the Wyoming Higher Education Council. In 1974, Mr. Stroock was the Republican Party's nominee for Wyoming's Congressional seat, and from 1975 to 1978 he was chairman of the Wyoming Republican Party. Mr. Stroock was graduated from Yale University in 1948 with a B.A. in Business Administration. On a special note, Mr. Stroock has lived in Cuba form 1947 to 1948, Argentina in 1975, and has worked and traveled extensively in Mexico, Guatemala, Dominican Republic, and Uruguay. He speaks, reads, and writes fluently in Spanish. All of Mr. Stroock's state, national, and international experience make him an exceptional candidate for Ambassador to Venezuela. Under Section 604 of the Foreign Service Act of 1980 and the provision of the Privacy Act of 1974, the information above should be treated as confidential and not be released to unauthorized parties. File: bustanale 4724 June 8, 1989 Pacelli EEB WTP WTP Pathetic! Dear Senator Stroock: Thank you for your letter requesting an appointment with the President when you are in Washington, June 5-June 22, for 9 series of State Department seminars and training sessions. Although the President would enjoy visiting with you to discuss matters relating to the new duties you'll assume upon confirmation as Ambassador to Guatemala, we are unable to arrange an appointment during this period of time. However, the President appreciates your writing and sends his best wishes to you and Mrs. Stroock as you begin your new assignment. Sincerely, JOSEPH W. HAGIN II Deputy Assistant to the President for Appointments and Scheduling The Honorable Tem Stroock Ambassedor-designate to the Republic of Guatemala Cuatemala Desk Department of State 2201 C Street, N.W. Washington, DC 20520 CC: National Security Council Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type 14. Cable From COMUSMILGP Guatemala to Secretary of State, Re: 6/8/89 (b)(1), (b)(3) & Annual Integrated Assessment of Security Assistance Guatemala [081727Z Jun 89] [FOIA RESTRICTIONS REDACTED] (22 pp.) Collection: Document Declassified Record Group: Bush Presidential Records (Document Follows) Office: National Security Council By MM (NLGB) on 9/17/2015 Series: Latin American Directorate Files Subseries: WHORM Cat.: File Location: Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) Date Closed: 12/7/1999 OA/ID Number: CF00196-011 FOIA/SYS Case #: 1999-0466-F Appeal Case #: Re-review Case #: Appeal Disposition: P-2/P-5 Review Case #: Disposition Date: AR Case #: MR Case #: 2005-1062-MR(501) AR Disposition: MR Disposition: Released in Full AR Disposition Date: MR Disposition Date: 1/27/2014 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - 15 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] (b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRAJ (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA) (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advice between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information PRM. Removed as a personal record misfile. <DIST>SIT: VAX <PREC> IMMEDIATE<CLAS> SECRET<OSRI> RUEHGT<DTG> 081727Z JUN 89 <ORIG>FM COMUSMILGP GUATEMALA <TO>TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC//PM/SAS/ARA// INFO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC RUEKJCS/SECDEF WASHDC//DSAA/USDP/// RUEKJCS/JCS WASHDC//SE-WHEM// RUEADWD/CSA WASHDC GUAT RUENAAA/CNO WASHDC RUEAHQA/CSAF WASHDC RUEACMC/CMC WASHDC RUEKJCS/DIA WASHDC RHLBAAA/USCINCSO QUARRY HTS PM//SCJ5-SA//SCJ4// RHWRAAA/FMTAG RANDOLPH AFB TX RUVAFLC/DISAM WPAFB OH RUCLMHA/CNET PENSACOLA FL BUSH PRESIDENTIAL 501 UBRARY RUCLAIA/CDRTRADOC FT MONROE VA RUWMEGA/USAFSO HOWARD AFB PM RUEOGWA/CDRUSASAALA FT CLAYTON PM//MOLA-SA// RUCOSYA/COMUSNAVSO FT AMADOR PM RUCLAKA/USAJFKSWC FT BRAGG NC RUEATRS/DEPTTREAS WASHDC <SUBJ>SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) GUATEMALA (U) <TEXT> *** INCOMPLETE CABLE *** <TEXT> s E e R E T SECTION 01 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID PASS TO ARA/CEN: D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) A. STATE 017997 DTG 200710Z JAN 89 B STATE 118129 DTG 150700Z APR 89 1. SECRET - ENTIRE TEXT. 2. THE FY 91 FMS/MAP/ESF AIASA FOR GUATEMALA IS SUBMITTED IAW REFS A AND B. - I. (C/F) POLICY CONSIDERATIONS U.S. POLICY IN GUATEMALA IS TO SUPPORT AND ENCOURAGE THE PRESERVATION OF THE ELECTED CIVILIAN GOVERNMENT. THE U.S. HAS A CLEAR NATIONAL INTEREST IN STRENGTHENING THE ELECTED GOVERNMENT WHICH TOOK OFFICE IN JANUARY 1986 AND IN ENCOURAGING A SUCCESSFUL TRANSITION TO DEMOCRACY IN THE FACE OF PERSISTENT THREATS FROM AN ENTRENCHED MARXIST INSURGENCY AND ANTI-DEMOCRATIC RIGHT-WING EXTREMISTS. TANGIBLE EVIDENCE OF U.S. INTEREST, SUPPORT, AND PRESENCE CONTRIBUTES TO A COOPERATIVE RELATIONSHIP WITH THE GUATEMALAN GOVERNMENT ON A BROAD RANGE OF BILATERAL AND REGIONAL SECURITY, POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC ISSUES. WE PROVIDE A BETTER UNDERSTANDING OF THE U.S. PEOPLE, POLITICAL SYSTEM AND OTHER INSTITUTIONS THROUGH A CLOSE WORKING RELATIONSHIP. AT THE SAME TIME, WE SEEK TO DENY THE USE OF GUATEMALA BY FORCES HOSTILE TO U.S. INTERESTS. THE U.S. SEEKS TO ASSIST GUATEMALA'S EFFORTS TO ACHIEVE SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC STABILITY AND GROWTH. THIS INCLUDES ENCOURAGING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A PUBLIC SECTOR WHICH WORKS HONESTLY AND EFFECTIVELY, AND DECLASSIFIED SUPPORTING A REVITALIZED PRIVATE SECTOR THAT WILL PER E.O. 13526 ATTRACT NEW DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND EXTEND 2005-1062-MR THE BENEFITS OF GROWTH TO PREVIOUSLY NEGLECTED RURAL 1/27/2014 MM AREAS AND POPULATION GROUPS. WE WISH TO REDUCE DIVERSION OF SCARCE HARD CURRENCY TO THE MILITARY FROM SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS. U.S. MILITARY OBJECTIVES ARE TO SUPPORT THE DEMOCRATICALLY-ELECTED GOVERNMENT AND HELP IT SUPPORT, AND BE SUPPORTED BY, THE NATIONAL MILITARY INSTITUTION. THE U.S. INDIRECTLY ASSISTS THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA IN THE SUCCESSFUL PROSECUTION OF ITS COUNTERINSURGENCY CAMPAIGN THROUGH THE REVITALIZATION OF THE ARMY'S BASIC EQUIPMENT SUCH AS HELICOPTERS, VEHICLES, COMMUNICATIONS AND ENGINEER EQUIPMENT. CONCURRENTLY, THIS ALLOWS SCARCE GOG RESOURCES TO BE USED TO IMPROVE THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC INFRASTRUCTURE OF THE COUNTRY. IT IS ALSO NECESSARY TO ASSPMENT OF THE GUATEMALAN MILITARY'S CAPABILITY TO PROVIDE AN ORGANIC TRAINING CAPABILITY AND CREATE THE SKILLS REQUIRED FOR EFFICIENT OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE OF EQUIPMENT ACQUIRED FROM THE U.S. THE U.S. ALSO DESIRES TO PROMOTE ACCEPTANCE OF U.S. MILITARY DOCTRINE AND TACTICS BY THE GUATEMALAN ARMED FORCES. TO DATE WE HAVE HAD ONLY A MODICUM OF SUCCESS IN PURSUIT OF THESE OBJECTIVES DUE TO THE VERY LIMITED FUNDING AVAILABLE. MISSION IS CONTINUING TO PLAY A CATCH UP GAME DUE TO THE SUSPENSION OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE FOR NINE YEARS. THE CONDITION OF THE GUATEMALAN ARMED FORCES EQUIPMENT IS SUCH THAT THERE IS A DESPERATE NEED FOR REPAIR PARTS JUST TO KEEP THEIR EXISTING EQUIPMENT WORKING. PRESENT LEVELS WOULD HAVE TO BE TRIPLED TO HAVE ANY SIGNIFICANT EFFECT ON THEIR COUNTERINSURGENCY EFFORTS AND DEMONSTRATE SERIOUS CONCERN AND INTEREST ON THE PART OF THE U.S. - II. THREAT - GUATEMALA AND U.S. POLICY IS TO BROADEN THE CENTER OF THE POLITICAL SPECTRUM, PROVIDE GREATER OPPORTUNITIES FOR THE POPULATION TO PARTICIPATE IN THE POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC MAINSTREAM, AND STRIVE FOR GREATER TOLERANCE AND STABILITY. THIS IS SECRET SECTION 02 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) THREATENED FROM BOTH ENDS OF THE POLITICAL SPECTRUM. MISSION PERCEIVES THAT THERE ARE TWO MAJOR INTERNAL THREATS WHICH POSE A PROBLEM TO THE GOG. THEY ARE: - A MILITARY COUP BY DISSATISFIED ARMY ELEMENTS, STIMULATED BY ULTRA-CONSERVATIVE POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC INTERESTS. - MILITARY AND POLITICAL ADVANCES BY THE LEFTIST INSURGENTS. - A. THREAT FROM JIGHTIST EXTREMISTS. MILITARY DISCONTENT AND DISSATISFACTION WITH WHAT MANY IN THE OFFICER CORPS PERCEIVE AS GOG MISMANAGEMENT OF ECONOMIC, SECURITY, AND FOREIGN POLICY ISSUES RESULTED IN ABORTED COUP ATTEMPTS ON 11 MAY 88 AND 9 MAY 89. ALTHOUGH ONLY A FEW OFFICERS AND UNITS WERE ACTIVELY INVOLVED IN BOTH, THESE ATTEMPTS WERE SYMPTOMATIC OF WIDESPREAD ANTI-DEMOCRATIC ACTIVITIES AND OF THE STILL SHALLOW ACCEPTANCE THE NEW POLITICAL SYSTEM HAS AMONG MORE RETROGRADE CIVILIAN AND MILITARY ELEMENTS, INCLUDING STIMULATION OF UNREST IN THE MILITARY BY POLITICAL EXTREMISTS WHO HAVE LITTLE HOPE OF REGAINING POLITICAL POWER THROUGH ELECTIONS. THE IMPROVING ECONOMIC SITUATION IS CLASSIFIED AS AN INTERNAL THREAT BECAUSE OF THE DANGER OF PUBLIC DISSATISFACTION WHICH MAY MANIFEST ITSELF IN THE FORM OF PUBLIC DEMONSTRATIONS, STRIKES, AND UNREST AS THE GOG SEEKS TO IMPLEMENT ITS SOUND ECONOMIC PROGRAM. THIS TYPE OF ACTIVITY MAY BE GENERATED BY THE LESS ECONOMICALLY PRIVILEGED IN THE SOCIETY, OR BY THE RELATIVELY WELL OFF TRADITIONAL ELITE AS IT PERCEIVES AN EROSION OF ITS BASE OF ECONOMIC CONTROL IN GUATEMALA. - B. THREAT FROM LEFTIST EXTREMISTS. THE THREAT TO GOG FTABILIOY FROM TEFTIST EXTREMISTS IS HHE INSURGENCY WHICH HAS PLAGUED GUATEMALA SINCE 1960. WHILE THESE FORCES DO NOT HAVE THE STRENGH TO OVERTHROW THE CIVILIAN GOVERNMENT AND LACK POPULAR SUPPORT, THE GOG IS AWARE THAT THE INSURGENTS WILL EXPAND MILITARY AREAS OF OPERATION AT EVERY OPPORTUNITY, WHILE ALSO TRYING TO EXPAND POLITICAL AGITATION INCLUDING PENETRATION OF HUMAN RIGHTS, LABOR AND OTHER POPULAR ORGANIZATIONS. THE GUERRILLAS' STATED OBJECTIVES ARE AS FOLLOWS: - 1. OVERTHROW THE GOG AND INSTALL A MARXIST-LENINIST DICTATORSHIP. - 2. DISCREDIT AND DEMORALIZE THE GOG AND THE GT ARMED FORCES, INTER ALIA, BY PREVENTING AID FROM THE U.S. AND OTHER COUNTRIES FROM ENTERING GUATEMALA. TOWARDS THIS GOAL, VARIOUS INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT GROUPS ARE USED TO MAINTAIN AN ACTIVE CAMPAIGN OF DISINFORMATION (NEGATIVE PROPAGANDA), IN WHICH THE GOG, AND PARTICULARLY THE MILITARY, IS CONSTANTLY ACCUSED OF CARRYING OUT ASSORTED HUMAN RIGHTS VIOLATIONS. IN ADDITION, INTERNAL GROUPS ARE USEDSINPAN ATTEMPT TO CREATE A CLIMATE OF POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC INSTABILITY, AS WELL AS A SENSE OF INSECURITY AND DISRESPECT FOR HUMAN RIGHTS IN ORDER TO DISCOURAGE PRIVATE INVESTMENT, BOTH DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN, IN GUATEMALA. - 3. KEEP THE GUATEMALAN ARMY BUSY WITHIN THE COUNTRY TO PREVENT OR MINIMIZE THE POSSIBILITY OF THE ARMY INTERVENING IN EL SALVADOR OR NICARAGUA. IN THIS, D THE INSURGENTS HAVE BEEN SUCCESSFUL. SINCE THEIR ACTIVITIES HAVE CAUSED THE ARMY TO EXPEND MOST OF ITS RESOURCES IN COUNTERTERRORIST OPERATIONS WITHIN NATIONAL BORDERS, LITTLE PROBABILITY OF OPERATING BEYOND THE COUNTRY'S BORDERS EXISTS. GUATEMALA'S S E C R E- T SECTION 03 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) CURRENT FOREIGN POLICY OF "ACTIVE NEUTRALITY" AND NONINTERVENTION IN ARMED CONFLICTS IN OTHER COUNTRIES, REFLECTS THE RECOGNITION THAT GUATEMALA LACKS THE CAPACITY FOR SUCH OPERATIONS. ALTHOUGH THE SUBVERSIVES DID NOT HAVE THE CAPACITY TO CARRY OUT MILITARY ACTIONS IN THE CAPITAL DURING 1988, EVIDENCE SUGGESTS THAT CONTINUED EFFORTS BY THE REVOLUTIONARY ORGANIZATION OF THE PEOPLE IN ARMS (ORPA) TO RE-ESTABLISH A VIOLENT URBAN FRONT MAY SUCCEED IN 1989. THE GUERRILLAS HAVE ISSUED A NUMBER OF PROCLAMATIONS PRINTED IN THE LOCAL PRESS, CALLING UPON "PROGRESSIVE" INDIVIDUALS AND ORGANIZATIONS TO PRESSURE THE GOG INTO NEGOTIATING WITH THE GUERRILLAS. SUBVERSIVE GROUPS WILL ALSO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF ANY WEAKNESS WITHIN THE DEMOCRATIC REGIME TO TRY TO CREATE LABOR STRIFE IN BOTH PUBLIC AND PRIVATE SECTORS. THESE TACTICS ARE INTENDED TO (OVER) PUBLICIZE GUERRILLA STRENGTH, HARM THE NATIONAL ECONOMY AND ATTRACT INTERNATIONAL ATTENTION. THE FAR-LEFT CUC (PEASANT UNITY COMMITTEE), WHICH REPORTEDLY HAS TIES TO THE GUERRILLAS, SOUGHT TO ENCOURAGE UNREST ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST DURING THE SUGAR HARVEST SEASON. BEGINNING IN 1985, THE INSURGENTS ENDEAVORED TO ESTABLISH A CLANDESTINE RADIO STATION. THEIR EFFORTS WERE SUCCESSFUL IN EARLY 1987 WHEN "VOZ POPULAR" MADE ITS APPEARANCE ON THE AIR. TRANSMISSIONS ARE WEEKLY AND BRIEF, AND APPEAR TO ORIGINATE FROM MOBILE LOCATIONS IN THE NORTHWESTERN HIGHLANDS NEAR THE MEXICAN BORDER. - THE FOUR MAIN GUERRILLA GROUPS OPERATING IN GUATEMALA ARE: - A. THE GUERRILLA ARMY OF THE POOR (EGP). - B. THE REVOLUTIONARY ORGANIZATION OF THE PEOPLE IN ARMS (ORPA). - C. THE REBEL ARMED FORCES (FAR). - D. THE DISSIDENT FACTION OF THE GUATEMALAN LABOR COMMUNIST PARTY (PGT). AT FIDEL CASTRO'S INSISTENCE, ALL FOUR GROUPS AGREED IN 1982 TO COOPERATE AND COORDINATE THEIR ACTIVITIES THROUGH AN UMBRELLA ENTITY CALLED THE GUATEMALAN NATIONAL REVOLUTIONARY UNITY (URNG). IN REALITY COORDINATION IS MINIMAL AND USUALLY EX POST FACTO. A FACTION OF THE PGT ANNOUNCED ITS WITHDRAWAL FROM THE URNG UMBRELLA GROUP IN 1987, BUT HAS APPARENTLY REJOINED AS OF MARCH 1989. STANDARD GUERRILLA ACTIONS INCLUDE: HIT AND RUN ATTACKS AGAINST ISOLATED GOVERNMENT POSITIONS, AMBUSHES OF ARMY PATROLS, ATTACKS ON CIVIL DEFENSE FORCES, ASSASSINATION OF GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS IN THE DEPARTMENTS, ATTACKS AGAINST PUBLIC AND PRIVATE ENTERPRISES AND TRANSPORTATON, AND THE CONDUCT OF PROPAGANDA OPERATIONS. SEVERAL TIMES DURING 1986-88 THE URNG MADE PUBLIC OFFERS TO OPEN A "DIALOGUE" WITH THE GUATEMALAN GOVERNMENT. THE GOG MET WITH THE URNG IN MADRID SPAIN IN 1987. THE URNG MERELY REPEATED PREVIOUSLY REJECTED DEMANDS. THE GOG HAS D REITERATED ITS INVITATION TO THE URNG TO ABANDON ARMED OPPOSITION AND PARTICIPATE IN THE DEMOCRATIC ELECTORAL PROCESS. THE ONGOING NATIONAL DIALOG, A MULTISECTORAL ATTEMPT TO RECONCILE INSTITIONAL AND SECTORAL DIFFERENCES ORGANIZED BY THE NATIONAL RECONCILIATION COMMISSION, HAS NOT INCLUDED THE GUERRILLAS. THE URNG PERSISTS IN ITS COMBAT OPERATIONS AGAINST THE GOG. THE GUATEMALAN ARMY HAS MADE GREAT PROGRESS IN REDUCING THE LEVEL OF THE INSURGENCY DURING THE LAST S E e R E T SECTION 04 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) SIX YEARS. IN 1988 THE ARMY HAD CONTINUED, BUT SLOW SUCCESS. OPERATIONS AGAINST THE ORPA MOVED INTO THE CHIMALTENANGO DEPARTMENT. COUNTER-ORPA OPERATIONS IN SAN MARCOS AND OPERATIONS AGAINST THE EGP IN QUICHE HAVE CONTINUED. ALTHOUGH GT ARMY TASK FORCES HAVE BEEN DISBANDED, OPERATIONS IN THESE AREAS CONTINUE AND ARE PROJECTED TO DO so UNTIL AT LEAST 1990. THESE OPERATIONS ARE DESIGNED TO REDUCE THE NUMBER OF INSURGENT COMBATANTS, ELIMINATE LOGISTICAL SUPPORT, AND RECOVER POPULAR SUPPORT IN AREAS NOW UNDER GOG CONTROL. THE INSURGENTS ARE ON THE DEFENSIVE BUT THERE ARE STILL APPROXIMATELY 1000-1200 ARMED INSURGENTS REMAINING IN THE THREE MILITARY ORGANIZATIONS THAT CONSTITUTE THE INSURGENCY. THE INSURGENTS CONTINUE TO CONDUCT SMALL SCALE HARASSMENTS AND LANDMINE AMBUSHES IN THE MOUNTAINOUS BORDER REGIONS IN WESTERN GUATEMALA, IN CHIMALTENANGO AND THE PETEN. ACTIVE MILITARY PATROLLING COMBINED WITH IMPROVED CIVIL AFFAIRS PROGRAMS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL YEARS HAVE KEPT THE INSURGENTS ON THE RUN AND UNDERCUT WHAT ONCE MAY HAVE BEEN SUBSTANTIAL SUPPORT AMONG THE POPULACE. THE RETURN TO A DEMOCRATIC GOVERNMENT HAS REMOVED MUCH OF THE REMAINING POPULAR SUPPORT FOR THE INSURGENCY. THOUGH THE INSURGENTS ARE CURRENTLY ON THE DEFENSIVE, TOTAL DEFEAT OF THE INSURGENCY IS A LONG TERM PROCESS. AS LONG AS THE INSURGENTS RECEIVE EXTERNAL SUPPORT BOTH FINANCIALLY AND LOGISTICALLY, AND CAN COUNT ON THE MEXICAN BORDER AREA AS A SAFEHAVEN, THE WAR COULD CONCEIVABLY DRAG ON FOR YEARS. MEANWHILE, THE ARMED INSURGENCY CONTINUES TO BE A DRAIN ON LIMITED GOG RESOURCES. ALTHOUGH THE INSURGENTS CANNOT ATTAIN THEIR STATED GOALS, THEY STILL MAINTAIN THE CAPABILITY TO INFLICT CASUALTIES ON THE ARMY AND CIVIL DEFENSE PATROL FORCES. THEY HAVE SHOWN LITTLE ABILITY TO ATTACK TARGETS OF ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL VALUE TO THE GOVERNMENT. DURING 1988, THE INSURGENTS, PARTICULARLY ORPA, INCREASED ASSASSINATIONS DIRECTED AGAINST LOW LEVEL GOG OFFICIALS (MILITARY COMMISSIONERS AND ASSISTANTS) AND POLITICAL ACTIVISTS ON THE RIGHT. - A FINAL NOTE ON INTERNAL THREATS. A PERCEIVED OR PERHAPS EVEN A REAL INCREASE IN HUMAN RIGHTS VIOLATIONS COULD RESULT IN A CONCURRENT LOSS OF INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT AND THREATEN THIS STILL NEW DEMOCRACY. - D. PRESIDENT CEREZO'S ADMINISTRATION CONSIDERS THE THREAT TO REGIONAL STABILITY POSED BY MARXIST REVOLUTIONARY GROUPS AS THE PRINCIPAL EXTERNAL THREAT. THE ADMINISTRATION IS AWARE OF CUBAN FINANCIAL, LOGISTICAL AND TRAINING SUPPORT FOR INSURGENT GROUPS IN THE AREA FACILITATED BY NICARAGUA, BUT CONSIDERS THAT NEITHER NICARAGUA NOR CUBA POSES A DIRECT MILITARY THREAT TO GUATEMALA AT THIS TIME. MISSION CONSIDERS OUTSIDE SUPPORT TO DISSIDENT REBELS TO BE A LIMITED THREAT TO THE STABILITY OF GUATEMALA. AT THE PRESENT TIME, SUCH ASSISTANCE IS NOT CONSIDERED LARGE ENOUGH TO CONSTITUTE A SERIOUS, IMMEDIATE THREAT. THE GOG IS ALSO AWARE THAT THE INSURGENT GROUPS USE MEXICAN TERRITORY TO LAUNCH OPERATIONS, PROVIDE LOGISTICS INTO THE COUNTRY, AND AS REST AND RECUPERATION SITES. THE GOVERNMENT DOES NOT BELIEVE, HOWEVER, THAT ANY OF GUATEMALA'S IMMEDIATE NEIGHBORS POSES A MILITARY THREAT TO ITS NATIONAL SOVEREIGNTY. THIS SITUATION IS OPEN TO CHANGE IF ANY OF THE NEIGHBORING NATIONS WERE TO FALL UNDER COMMUNIST CONTROL. A REGIONAL CONFLICT IN CENTRAL AMERICA COULD FORCE GUATEMALAN PARTICIPATION, DESPITE THE ARMY'S LIMITED CAPACITY TO PROJECT POWER OUTSIDE THE NATIONAL TERRITORY. S E C R E-T SECTION 05 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) - III. ANALYSIS OF MILITARY ESTABLISHMENT - A. GENERAL: THE ARMED FORCES OF GUATEMALA NUMBER APPROXIMATELY 43,000 ACTIVE DUTY MEMBERS THAT CONSTITUTE AN ARMY AS WELL AS A SMALL AIR FORCE AND NAVY (WHICH INCLUDES MÁRINES). THE MILITARY IS SUBORDINATE TO THE PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC WHO IS THE COMMANDER IN CHIEF AND EXERCISESNCONTROL THROUGH THE MINISTER OF DEFENSE AND THE CHIEF OF STAFF OF THE ARMY. IN GUATEMALA THE NAVY AND AIR FORCE (ABOUT 1,000 MEMBERS EACH) REMAIN SUBORDINATE TO THE ARMY. ALL SERVICES AND MAJOR COMMANDS ARE DIRECTLY SUBORDINATE TO THE CHIEF OF STAFF OF THE ARMY WHO EXERCISES DAY-TO-DAY - OPERATIONAL CONTROL THROUGH THE NATIONAL DEFENSE GENERAL STAFF, A JOINT STAFF ORGANIZATIONALLY BASED ON AN OLDER U.S. MODEL. STAFF AND COMMAND CHANNELS PASS THROUGH 19 MILITARY ZONES, THREE ARMY BRIGADES, THREE AIR BASES, AND TWO NAVAL BASES TO THE HIGH COMMAND AND ITS GENERAL STAFF. PRESIDENT CEREZO AND THE MINISTER OF DEFENSE HAVE PLEDGED TO HELP MAKE THE GUATEMALAN ARMED FORCES MORE PROFESSIONAL. THIS PROFESSIONALIZATION INCLUDES MORE TRAINING COURSES FOR OFFICERS AND AN IMPROVEMENT IN THE MILITARY'S TRANSPORTATION, ENGINEER, AND COMMUNICATIONS CAPABILITIES. CEREZO IS AWARE OF THE MILITARY'S CRITICAL MEDEVAC AND TROOP TRANSPORT INSUFFICIENCIES DUE TO THE SMALL EQUIPMENT POOL, ITS AGE AND THE LACK OF SPARE PARTS TO MAINTAIN IT. THIS IS THE FIRST AREA THE PRESIDENT IS ATTEMPTING TO IMPROVE. - THE DISCOVERY OF A SPARE-PARTS THEFT RING COMPRISING SEVERAL LOW-LEVEL GAF PERSONNEL BADLY SHOOK LOCAL CONFIDENCE IN THE AIR FORCE AND LED TO THE EARLY REMOVAL OF THE AIR FORCE'S COMMANDER GENERAL WOHLERS. THE MILITARY IS PURSUING AN INVESTIGATION INTO THE SCANDAL AND SEVERAL ARRESTS OF ACTIVE DUTY AND EX-GAF PERSONNEL HAVE BEEN EFFECTED. ADDITIONALLY, THE PRESIDENT SIGNED A COMMERCIAL CONTRACT WITH COLT FIREARMS COMPANY FOR THE PURCHASE OF 15,000 M16A2 RIFLES FOR THE ARMY. SOME 10,000 RIFLES HAVE ALREADY ARRIVED IN GUATEMALA. - B. (C/NF) ARMY - 1. (C/NF) STRENGTH: ARMY PERSONNEL STRENGTH IS APPROXIMATELY 41,569 TOTAL WITH 1,746 OFFICERS, 7,321 SPECIALISTS, AND 32,507 TROOPS. - 2. (&) ORGANIZATION: ARMY FORCES ARE DIVIDED INTO THE PRINCIPAL COMMANDS OF 19 MILITARY ZONES AND THREE SPECIAL PURPOSE BRIGADES. ADDITIONALLY, THE ARMY INCLUDES THE NORMAL COMBAT SUPPORT AND COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT ELEMENTS FOUND IN THE U.S. ARMY. - (A) THE 19 MILITARY ZONES ROUGHLY MIRROR THE 22 DEPARTMENTAL POLITICAL BOUNDARIES AND ARE AS FOLLOWS: MZ NO. 1: GUATEMALA MZ NO. 302: CHIMALTENANGO/SACATEPEQUEZ MZ NO. 4: BAJA VERAPAZ MZ NO. 6: IZABAL (PUERTO BARRIOS) MZ NO. 705: ZACAPA/EL PROGRESO MZ NO. 8: CHIQUIMULA SECRET SECTION 06 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) MZ NO. 9: JALAPA MZ NO. 10: JUTIAPA MZ NO. 11: SANTA ROSA MZ NO. 1316: SUCHITEPEQUEZ/RETALHULEU MZ NO. 14: SOLOLA MZ NO. 1715: QUETZALTENANGO/TOTONICAPAN MZ NO. 18: SAN MARCOS MZ NO. 19: HUEHUETENANGO MZ NO. 20: EL QUICHE MZ NO. 21: ALTA VERAPAZ MZ NO. 22: PLAYA GRANDE (ENCOMPASSES PARTS OF NORTHERN QUICHE, AND HUEHUETENANGO) MZ NO. 23: PETEN - (B) THE THREE SPECIAL PURPOSE BRIGADES ARE THE MARISCAL ZAVALA BRIGADE AND THE HONOR GUARD BRIGADE IN GUATEMALA CITY, AND THE AIRBORNE BRIGADE AT SAN JOSE, ESCUINTLA. EACH OF THESE IS AN ELITE UNIT WITH A VARIETY OF STRATIGIC CONTINGENCY MISSIONS THAT INCLUDE NATIONAL DEFENSE AGAINST A FOREIGN INVADER, REINFORCEMENT OF THE MILITARY ZONES AS COUNTERINSURGENCY FORCES, AND PALACE GUARD. ALL THREE HAVE BEEN DEPLOYED FREQUENTLY TO AUGMENT ORGANIC MILITARY ZONE FORCES IN AREAS OF HEAVY GUERRILLA ACTIVITY, ESPECIALLY IN MZ 1316, MZ 18, MZ 20, AND MZ 22. MOST OF THE ARMOR IN THE ARMY INVENTORY IS ORGANIC TO THE MARISCAL ZAVALA AND HONOR GUARD BRIGADES. THESE TWO BRIGADES WERE INSTRUMENTAL IN DEFUSING THE COUP ATTEMPT OF MAY 9, 1989. IN 1988 TWO NEW STRATEGIC COUNTERINSURGENCY INFANTRY BATTALIONS WERE ACTIVATED AND ARMED WITH THE NEW M16A2 RIFLE. THESE BATTALIONS REPORT DIRECTLY TO THE ESTADO MAYOR AND ARE CURRENTLY LOCATED AT SANTA CRUZ DEL QUICHE AND THE MILITARY ACADEMY FACILITIES IN SACATEPEQUEZ. - (C) COMBAT SUPPORT AND COMBAT SERVICE SUPPORT ELEMENTS INCLUDE AN ENGINEER CORPS, MOBILE MILITARY POLICE, QUARTERMASTER SERVICE, ORDNANCE SERVICE, SIGNAL CORPS SERVICE, MEDICAL SERVICE AND MILITARY HOSPITALS, VETERINARY SERVICE, MILITARY FACTORIES, ADJUTANT GENERAL SERVICE, MAPPING SERVICE, TRANSPORTATION SERVICES, LEGAL DEPARTMENT, FINANCE DEPARTMENT, PRINTING OFFICE, COMPUTER CENTER, PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE, AND A PROFESSIONAL TRAINING AND EDUCATION SYSTEM. THESE SUPPORT AGENCIES ARE CENTRALIZED IN GUATEMALA CITY. - 3. (C/NF) MAJOR EQUIPMENT: - (A) (C/NF) ARTILLERY: 58 - 105MM HOWITZERS (M101A-U.S./M56-YUGOSLAVIAN) AND 10 - 75MM HOWITZERS M116P (U.S.) CONSTITUTE THE ARTILLERY. EFFORTS TO ESTABLISH TOE'S RESULTED IN 15 DESIGNATED 105MM BATTERIES OF FOUR HOWITZERS PER BATTERY BUT RESOURCE LIMITATIONS PROBABLY PERMIT SOME 10 BATTERIES OF 105MM AND TWO TO THREE BATTERIES OF 75MM HOWITZERS. THE 75MM HOWITZERS ARE 30 TO 40 YEARS OLD AND MOST ARE UNSERVICEABLE. MANY CAN BE FOUND SITTING IN MUSEUMS OR AS DECORATIVE MONUMENTS IN FRONT OF UNIT HEADQUARTERS. S E C R ET SECTION 07 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) SHORTCOMINGS IN MAINTENANCE, AMMUNITION, AND TRAINING CAUSE THE EMPLOYMENT OF ARTILLERY TO BE INFREQUENT AND UNRELIABLE. NEVERTHELESS, THE 75 MM HOWITZERS STILL IN SERVICE ARE OFTEN PREFERRED BECAUSE OF THEIR EXCELLENT RELIABILITY, PARTICULARLY THE AMMO. - (B) (C/NF) MORTARS: THE INVENTORY INCLUDES 18 - 120MM ECIA (SPANISH) MORTARS, 14 - 4.2 INCH MORTARS (U.S.), 55 - 81MM MORTARS (U.S.), AND 474 - 60MM MORTARS (U.S., SPANISH AND GUATEMALAN) MAINTENANCE, SPARE PARTS, AMMUNITION, AND TRAINING ARE ALL VARIABLES THAT AFFECT THE UTILIZATION OF MORTARS. MOST MIL ZONES HAVE ORGANIC MORTARS AND THE 60MM MORTAR IS THE BASIC FIRE SUPPORT WEAPON FOR COMBAT PATROLS IN THE CONFLICTIVE AREAS. I (C) (C/NF) ARMOR: THE ARMOR INVENTORY IS AS FOLLOWS: 10 M41 LIGHT TANKS W/76MM MAIN GUN (BE) 5 M3 LIGHT TANKS (U.S.) 10 M113/M113A1 APC'S (U.S) - 18 ARMADILLO ARC'S (GT) 7 V100 COMMAND ARC'S (U.S.) 12 RBY MK1 (U.S.) 12 M8, ARC'S (U.S.) 4 M3A1, ARC'S THE M41 TANKS ARE 50 PERCENT OR LESS OPERATIONAL AND IN NEED OF MAJOR OVERHAUL. THEY WOULD BE OF QUESTIONABLE RELIABILITY FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD. THE M3 TANKS ARE WWII VINTAGE AND OF LIMITED USE OUTSIDE THE CAPITAL AREA. ONLY TWO M113'S ARE CURRENTLY OPERATIONAL. THE REMAINING EIGHT ARE SHEDULED FOR ENGINE CHANGES AND OVERHAULS DURING 1989 WHICH SHOULD BRING THEM TO AN OPERATIONAL STATUS. THE ARMADILLO IS A GUATEMALAN ASSEMBLED ARMORED CAR SIMILAR TO THE V100 COMMAND. THESE ARE USED FOR CONVOY SECURITY. THE M8 AND M3A1 ARC'S ARE OLD AND OF LIMITED UTILITY. THE M3 TANK AND M3A1 ARC ARE NO LONGER EVEN DESCRIBED IN "JANES." ADDITIONAL EQUIPMENT INCLUDES A VARIETY OF ANTITANK WEAPONS (30 - 105MM, 9 - 106MM, 4 - 90MM, 17 - 75MM, 53 - 57MM, 147 - 3.5 INCH), MACHINEGUNS (624 - MAG, 131 - .50 CAL, 259 - .30 CAL), ADA (GALIL). ALL EQUIPMENT IS GENERALLY OLD, FROM A VARIETY OF SOURCES, SUFFERING FROM LOGISTICS PROBLEMS, AND IS OF QUESTIONABLE SERVICEABILITY. - C. (C/NF) AIR FORCE (GAF) - 1. (C/NF) PERSONNEL STRENGTH: THE STRENGTH OF THE AIR FORCE IS APPROXIMATELY 815 WITH 215 OFFICERS AND 600 ENLISTED PERSONNEL. - 2. (C/NF) ORGANIZATION: GAF IS A DEPENDENT SERVICE UNDER THE CHIEF OF STAFF OF THE ARMY AND OPERATES THREE PRIMARY AIR BASES: (A) THE MAIN BASE AND GAF HQ IS AT LA AURORA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, GUATEMALA CITY. IT CONTAINS THE GREAT MAJORITY OF THE FIXED AND ROTARY WING AIRCRAFT PLUS MAINTENANCE AND LOGISTICAL SUPPORT ELEMENTS. ALSO LOCATED AT LA AURORA IS THE MILITARY TECHNICAL FLYING SCHOOL (ETMA) FOR MECHANICS AND OTHER TECHNICIANS. I (B) SANTA ELENA AIRBASE, OFFICIALLY KNOWN AS "TENIENTE CORONEL DANILO EUGENIO HENRY SANCHEZ AIRBASE" IS LOCATED IN THE NORTHERN PETEN REGION AND SERVES PRIMARILY AS A FORWARD OPERATING BASE HOSTINE A SECRE T SECTION 08 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) MINIMAL NUMBER OF FIXED AND ROTARY WING AIRCRAFT NORMALLY DEPLOYED FROM LA AURORA. IT CONTAINS VIRTUALLY NO MAINTENANCE AND LOGISTICAL SUPPORT ELEMENTS. - (C) IN APRIL 1989, RETALHULEU AIRPORT, LOCATED IN THE SOUTHWEST DEPARTMENT OF RETALHULEU, BECAME THE NEW HOME FOR THE MILITARY FLYING SCHOOL (EMA) PREVIOUSLY HOUSED AT LA AURORA. IT CONTAINS A SMALL ARRAY OF LIGHT FIXED AND ROTARY WING AIRCRAFT USED TO CONDUCT PILOT TRAINING. IT HAS MINIMAL MAINTENANCE AND LOGISTICAL SUPPORT ELEMENTS. 3. (C/NF) AIRCRAFT AND EQUIPMENT: (A) (C/NF) FIXED WING: THE GAF INVENTORY INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING FIXED WING AIRCRAFT: - ARAVA 6 - CESSNA T-41A 6 - A-37B 9 (ONE UNFLYABLE) - T-33 6 (UNFLAYABLE) - FOKKER F-27 3 - C-47 6 - C-12 1 I DC-6B 1 - CESSNA T210R 1 - CESSNA TU206G 3 - PC-7 8 - PIPER' NAV 325 1 - CESSNA 182 1 - DUE TO THE AGE OF MOST OF THE AIRCRAFT, THE LACK OF SPARE PARTS, THE VARIETY OF SOURCES OF SUPPLY PARTS, AND ECONOMIC LIMITATIONS, THE OPERATIONAL READY RATE RUNS ABOUT 50-60 PERCENT. ON 15 JANUARY 1989 THE GAF LOST ONE A-37 BRINGING THEIR FLYABLE TOTAL TO 8. THE PROPOSED SALE OF ONE A-37 TO REPLACE THEIR UNFLYABLE ONE WAS DELAYED IN WASHINGTON AND ON 18 APRIL 89 GUATEMALA CANCELED THE PURCHASE REQUEST. USAF RESERVE BATTLE DAMAGE CONTROL TEAMS HAVE BEEN TRAINING ON C-47 CORROSION CONTROL AND STRUCTURAL DAMAGE SINCE OCT 88. AS A RESULT OF THIS TRAINING OPPORTUNITY, THREE C-47 HAVE BEEN RETURNED TO FLYABLE STATUS WITH THE PROSPECT OF TWO MORE BY THE END OF 1989. GOG HAS REQUESTED PRICE AND AVAILABILITY (P&A) DATA ON COMMUNICATIONS AND NAVIGATIONAL SYSTEMS TO UPGRADE THE FLEET OF C-47 TRANSPORTS. THEY HAVE ALSO REQUESTED A 1.2 MILLION DOLLAR CONTRACT TO OVERHAUL ENGINES ON THEIR ARAVA AIRCRAFT AND P&A FOR PROCUREMENT OF EIGHT GROUND POWER UNITS. IN LOGISTICS, GOG HAS REQUESTED A LETTER OF ACCEPTANCE TO PURCHASE A COMPUTER NETWORK SYSTEM USING THE SUPPLY TRACKING AND REPAIRABLE RETURN (STARR) SOFTWARE PACKAGE. THIS WILL ALLOW THE GAF TO MONITOR REQUISITION STATUS, PLACE REQUISITIONS AND RECEIVE FINANCIAL STATUS FROM THE USAF ILE ON A DAILY BASIS. - (B) (C/NF) HELICOPTERS: THE GAF HAS THE FOLLOWING HELICOPTER RESOURCES: - HUGHES 500D 1 - LAMA 315B 3 (UNFLYABLE) - ALOUETTE II 2 (UNFLYABLE) - UH-1H 5 - BELL 212 5 - BELL 412 5 - BELL 206L-1 5 - BELL 206B 7 - SIKORSKY S-76 3 - AGE AND SPARE PARTS PROBLEMS SIMILAR TO THOSE OF S E e R E T SECTION 09 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB. ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) THE FIXED-WING FLEET LEAD TO THE LOW HELICOPTER OPERATIONAL READY RATE OF 20-30 PERCENT. THE LAMAS AND ALOUETTES ARE ALL DOWN FOR LACK OF SPARE PARTS. ALL THE BELL 212S AND 412S WERE GROUNDED TOWARDS THE END OF 1988 FOR TWIN PACK ENGINE PROBLEMS. SOME OF THE ENGINES ARE BEING OVERHAULED AND AS OF APRIL, SHOULD BE RETURNED AT A RATE OF ONE PER MONTH. ON A GOOD DAY 6-8 BELL HELICOPTERS ARE AVAILABLE FOR OPERATIONS. THE GOG RECENTLY PURCHASED 3 SIKORSKY S-76 HELICOPTERS FROM JORDAN. THIS ADDED THE NINTH TYPE OF HELICOPTER, WEAKENING AN ALREADY DEBILITATED LOGISTICAL INFRASTRUCTURE. THE HELICOPTER FLEET IS WHERE THE GREATEST GAF NEEDS LIE. GUATEMALA HAS TENTATIVE PLANS TO PURCHASE 7 HELICOPTER IN FY 90 AND A TOTAL OF 21 HELOS IN THE NEXT 3-5 YEARS. TO OFFSET THESE ADDITIONS AND STANDIZE THE FLEET THERE ARE PLANS TO DISPOSE OF THE- LAMAS, ALOQUETTES, AND POSSIBLY EVEN THE BELL 412'S IN THE NEXT 1-3 YEARS. AS STATED BEFORE, THE AIR FORCE SPARE PARTS SCANDAL BADLY AFFECTED THE ALREADY LOW-LEVEL OF CONFIDENCE IN THE GAF. - D. (C/NF) NAVY: - 1. (C/NF) PERSONNEL STRENGTH: THE NAVY CONSISTS OF APPROXIMATELY 1100 TOTAL PERSONNEL OF WHICH 100 ARE OFFICERS AND 1000 ARE ENLISTED PERSONNEL. THE NAVY PROPER HAS 72 OFFICERS, 286 SAILORS, AND 74 NAVAL POLICEMEN. THE REMAINING 28 OFFICERS AND 640 ENLISTED ARE NAVAL INFANTRY (MARINES). MOST MARINE OFFICERS ARE ARMY OFFICERS, A SIGNED TO THE MARINE INFANTRY BNS (BIM) FROM TWO TO FOUR YEARS, AFTER WHICH THEY RETURN TO THE ARMY TO FOLLOW-ON ASSIGNMENTS IN THE ARMY. - 2. (C/NF) ORGANIZATION: THE NAVY IS A SMALL COASTAL PATROL FORCE WITH TWO PRIMARY NAVAL BASES, ONE AT PUERTO SANTO TOMAS DE CASTILLA (ON THE CARIBBEAN) AND ONE ON THE PACIFIC AT PUERTO QUETZAL. THE NAVY ALSO HAS A MARINE INFANTRY BATTALION (BIM) ASSIGNED TO EACH COAST. THE BIM AT PUERTO QUETZAL, HAS TROOPS DEPLOYED TO LAKE ATITLAN, SIPICATE, AND LAKE GUIJA (EL SALVADOR BORDER). THE BIM IS ALSO ENGAGED IN COUNTERINSURGENCY OPERATIONS. THE BIM AT SANTO TOMAS ON THE ATLANTIC HAS ONE COMPANY AT PIPILES (CONFLUENCE OF THE PASION AND USUMACINTA RIVERS) INVOLVED IN COUNTERINSURGENCY OPERATIONS AND ONE COMPANY PROVIDING SECURITY AT THE NAVAL BASE AND NEARBY DETACHMENTS. WE EXPECT THE NAVY TO TAKE ON AN INCREASINGLY IMPORTANT ANTI-NARCOTICS ROLE IN THE NEAR FUTURE, ESPECIALLY ON THE ATLANTIC COAST. I 3. (C/NF) EQUIPMENT: 1 FAST PATROL BOAT OF 32 METERS; 10 PATROL BOATS (PB) AS FOLLOWS: 2 OF 25.9M, 5 OF 19.7M, 2 FAST TROOP CARRIERS OF 11M; 1 HYDROGRAPHIC RESEARCH CRAFT (AGS) OF 20M; 20 SMALL PATROL CRAFT WHICH ARE ESSENTIALLY STURDY, OPEN OUTBOARD BOATS, AND ONE 21 METER FERRY BOAT. ARMAMENT CONSISTS OF 20MM GUNS (MADE IN 1929-1931), 12.7MM (.50 CAL) MACHINEGUNS. - E. (U) MARINES: SEE NAVY, ABOVE. - F. (C/NF) CIVIL DEFENSE FORCE: - 1. PERSONNEL STRENGTH: THERE ARE APPROXIMATELY 605, 000 CIVILIANS WHO BELONG TO THE CIVIL DEFENSE FORCE. THE 1985 CONSTITUTION MADE PARTICIPATION IN SUCH FORCES VOLUNTARY, THUS ECH LOCALITY HAS THE OPTION TO CONTINUE ITS PATROL OR TO DISBAND IT. A FEW TOWNS AND VILLAGES HAD STOPPED PATROLLING BUT THE VAST MAJORITY CONTINUED THE S E CRET SECTION 10 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) SELF-DEFENSE PROGRAM IN 1988 AND 1989, ESPECIALLY IN THE CONFLICTIVE HIGHLANDS AREAS. - 2. ORGANIZATION: THE CIVIL DEFENSE PATROLS ARE ORGANIZED AT THE VILLAGE LEVEL AND INCLUDE NEARLY 100 PERCENT OF ABLE BODIED MALES. REPORTS INDICATE THAT PEER PRESSURE TO JOIN CAUSES THE "VOLUNTARY" LEVEL OF PARTICIPATION TO BE NEARLY 100 PERCENT IN SOME RURAL AREAS OF THE COUNTRY. THIS DEFENSE FORCE IS SIMILAR TO A NEIGHBORHOOD WATCH COMMITTEE IN THAT THE OPERATING AREA IS OFTEN LIMITED TO VILLAGE BOUNDARIES AND THE FORCE IS LIGHTLY ARMED, AT BEST. THE CIVIL DEFENSE FORCE REPRESENTS A SYMBOLIC DEFENSE, OR A TRIPWIRE, AND ACTUALLY SERVES THE PRIMARY ROLE OF ACTING AS THE EYES AND EARS OF THE ARMY. A TYPICAL EXAMPLE OF A VILLAGE CIVIL DEFENSE FORCE MIGHT INCLUDE SOME 150 TOTAL MEMBERS, OF WHOM 30 ARE PERFORMING A 24-HOUR TOUR OF DUTY, AND 20 ARE ARMED WITH AN ASSORTMENT OF FIREARMS. THE WEAPONS ARE PASSED TO THE NEXT SHIFT OF THE PATROL. THE ARMY REMAINS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE TRAINING AND DIRECTION OF THE PATROLS. THE CIVIL DEFENSE PATROLS CONTINUE TO BE A FOCUS OF HUMAN RIGHTS CRITICISM. IN THE SUMMER OF 1988, A LOCAL ORGANIZATION BASED IN QUICHE DEPARTMENT WAS FORMED TO OPPOSE COERCED PARTICIPATION IN THE PATROLS. THIS ORGANIZATION, CERJ (ASSOCIATION OF ETHNIC COUNTRIES - EVERYONE TOGETHER): HAS ESTABLISHED EXTENSIVE CONTACTS ABROAD WITH HUMAN RIGHTS ORGANIZATIONS AND HAS CONTRIBUTED TO THE VERY NEGATIVE IMAGE OF THE PATROLS. 3. EQUIPMENT: LESS THAN TWO PERCENT OF THE 605,000 MEMBERS ARE ARMED WITH MAUSERS, HUNTING RIFLES, OR SHOTGUNS; THE REST ARRY MACHETES OR NO WEAPON WHATEVER. THE PERCENTAGE MAY BE AS HIGH AS 20 PERCENT IN HEAVILY CONTESTED AREAS BUT ZERO PERCENT IN MOST AREAS. AMMUNITION IS REPORTEDLY IN SHORT SUPPLY FOR ALL WEAPONS. - G. NATIONAL POLICE: - 1. ORGANIZATION: - (A) THE GUATEMALAN NATIONAL POLICE IS A CIVILIAN LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY, UNDER THE MINISTRY OF THE INTERIOR. THIS AGENCY IS NOT SUPPORTED NOR PROVIDED ANY ASSISTANCE UNDER SECURITY ASSISTANCE (MAP/IMET) PROVIDED TO THE GUATEMALAN GOVERNMENT. IT IS ONLY INCLUDED HERE BECAUSE OF THE PRESCRIBED FORMAT. THE CHIEF OF THE NATIONAL POLICE, HOWEVER, IS GENERALLY AN ACTIVE DUTY MILITARY OFFICER ON DETACHED SERVICE. THE GUATEMALAN POLICE IS NEITHER WELL TRAINED NOR WELL EQUIPPED. THE PAY FOR OFFICERS IS LOW, EVEN BY GUATEMALAN STANDARDS. EDUCATIONAL REQUIREMENTS TO JOIN THE FORCE HAVE BEEN LARGELY NONEXISTENT BUT EFFORTS ARE BEING MADE TO UPGRADE THEM. A PROFESSIONAL DETECTIVE FORCE IS BEING DEVELOPED. CONTINUING PROBLEMS ARE A LOW LEVEL OF PROFESSIONALISM, INADEQUATE INVESTIGATORY FACILITIES, AND EQUIPMENT SHORTAGES. WHILE CORRECTIVE ACTIONS ARE BEING TAKEN IN ALL THESE AREAS, PROGRESS IS SLOW. - (B) THE CEREZO GOVERNMENT DISMANTLED THE CONTROVERSIAL TECHNICAL INVESTIGATIVE POLICE (DIT) IN 1986 AND HAS VOWED TO CLEAN UP CORRUPTION WITHIN THE NATIONAL POLICE (PN). PN REACTION TO CEREZO'S ELECTION HAS BEEN POSITIVE. - 2. PERSONNEL STRENGTH: S ECRET SECTION 11 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) - THE NATIONAL POLICE HAS APPROXIMATELY 10,700 MEMBERS, ALTHOUGH STUDIES CONDUCTED BY THE MINISTRY OF INTERIOR INDICATE THE POLICE FORCE SHOULD NUMBER APPROXIMATELY 23,000 OFFICERS. 3. EQUIPMENT: - THE FORCE WAS BADLY EQUIPPED, HAVING UNTIL RECENTLY LESS THAN 130 PATROL CARS FOR THE WHOLE COUNTRY. THE PN RECENTLY ACQUIRED 5 BUSES, 58 MOTORCYCLES AND 60 RADIO PATROL VEHICLES FROM THE FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY. ALSO RECEIVED WERE 110 AUTOMOBILES FROM SPAIN AND 71 PATROLS CARS AND 25 VANS FROM MEXICO. IT LACKS MOST BASIC INVESTIGATORY FACILITIES, INCLUDING BALLISTICS, FORENSIC, AND OTHER LABORATORIES. IT DOES NOT HAVE EITHER A BOMB DISPOSAL NOR HOSTAGE RESCUE UNIT. IT ALSO LACKS COMMUNICATIONS AND SURVEILLANCE EQUIPMENT, ALTHOUGH THEY ARE GETTING SOME HELP FROM THE FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF GERMANY, SPAIN, MEXICO, VENEZUELA, AND THE U.S. - H. GOALS (MODERNIZATION, SUSTAINING, AND RESTRUCTURING) : - 1. GENERAL - THE MAJOR GOALS OF THE GT ARMED FORCES ARE TO DEFEND AND SUPPORT THE DEMOCRATIC PROCESS, SUCCESSFULLY PROSECUTE THE COUNTERINSURGENCY AND INCREASE THE OPERATIONAL CAPABILITY OF EQUIPMENT ON HAND. IN ORDER TO DO THAT SPECIFIC GOALS ARE: - (A) REPAIR AND MAINTAIN MAJOR ITEMS OF EQUIPMENT ALREADY ON HAND. - (B) REPAIR, REPLACE AND IMPROVE COMMUNICATIONS FOR BETTER COMMAND AND CONTROL. - (C) INCREASE AIR AND GROUND MOBILITY CAPABILITY. - (D) IMPROVE THE GENERAL WELFARE OF ASSIGNED PERSONNEL BY SUPPLYING BASIC NEEDS PRESENTLY LACKING. - (E) UPGRADE ANTIQUATED EQUIPMENT TO MEET THE MINIMUM LEVEL OF SUSTAINED OPERATIONAL CAPABILITY. - 2. ARMY - THE SPECIFIC ARMY GOALS ARE: - (A) REPAIR AND MAINTAIN ORGANIC VEHICLES FOR IMPROVED GROUND MOBILITY. - (B) REPLACE IRREPARABLE AND INADEQUATE VEHICLES. - (C) REPAIR AND MAINTAIN ON-HAND ENGINEER EQUIPMENT ACCORDING TO THE ENGINEER PLAN. - (D) UPGRADE THE CORPS OF ENGINEER CAPABILITY THROUGH ACQUISITION OF ADDITIONAL EQUIPMENT ACCORDING TO THE ENGINEER PLAN. I (E) IMPROVE THE WELFARE OF ASSIGNED PERSONNEL THROUGH ACQUISITION OF - (1) INDIVIDUAL CLOTHING AND EQUIPMENT. - (2) ACQUISITION OF HOSPITAL AND MEDICAL EQUIPMENT TO PROVIDE BETTER MEDICAL CARE IN THE FIELD. - (3) OBTAIN THE MEDICAL SUPPLIES 5 E € R E T SECTION 13 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D. MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) ROLES AND MISSIONS. 6. SELF DEFENSE FORCE: - (A) IMPROVE TRAINING. - (B) ACQUIRE NECESSARY ARMS AND MUNITIONS. I (C) IMPROVE ORGANIZATION. - 7. NATIONAL POLICE: - (A) INCREASE SIZE TO COPE WITH REQUIREMENTS. - (B) ACQUIRE ESSENTIAL BASIC EQUIPMENT. - (c) REORGANIZE AT THE NATIONAL AND REGIONAL LEVELS. - (D) ELIMINATE CORRUPT PRACTICES: - (E) PROFESSIONALIZE THE NEW INVESTIGATIVE UNIT. - (F) IMPROVE TRAINING IN INVESTIGATIVE TECHNIQUES AND LEGAL PROCEDURES AT ALL LEVELS. - IV. ANALYSIS OF DEFENSE SPENDING: TO REVERSE AN ECONOMIC DECLINE BETWEEN 1981 AND 1986, THE CEREZO GOVERNMENT ADOPTED AN ECONOMIC PROGRAM WHICH ELIMINATED, OVER TIME, A MULTIPLE EXCHANGE RATE SYSTEM, RESTRICTED MONETARY AND CREDIT GROWTH, LIFTED PRICE CONTROLS, ADOPTED NEW TAXES, AND PROMOTED NEW INVESTMENTS AND EXPORTS. THE PROGRAN HAS SHOWN SUCCESS IN REDUCING INFLATION, STIMULATING INVESTMENT AND CAPITAL REPATRIATION AND INCREASING NON-TRADITIONAL EXPORTS SUCH AS WINTER VEGETABLES AND CLOTHING. IN 1988, REAL ECONOMIC GROWTH REACHED SOME 3.5 PERCENT FOLLOWING A GROWTH OF 3.1 PERCENT IN 1987. RELATIONS BETWEEN THE GOVERNMENT AND THE BUSINESS COMMUNITY, WHICH HAD DETERIORATED IN LATE 1987 OVER TAX REFORM ISSUES, TOOK A TURN FOR THE BETTER IN 1988 AS THE TWO SIDES SOUGHT A MORE COOPERATIVE COURSE. THE OUTLOOK FOR 1989 IS FOR ECONOMIC GROWTH OF ABOUT 4 PERCENT. PROBLEMS THAT COULD HAMPER THE ECONOMY IN 1989 AND 1990 INCLUDE HEAVY DEBT SERVICE PAYMENTS, SHORTAGES OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE, AND INADEQUATE INVESTMENT TO BOOST ECONOMIC GROWTH TO LEVELS REQUIRED TO RAISE AVERAGE LIVING STANDARDS SIGNIFICANTLY. - A. (U) DEFENSE EXPENDITURES FOR 1987: - 1. NEW EQUIPMENT: THE FIGURES PROVIDED ARE CONSOLIDATED FOR THE ARMED FORCES AS THE AF AND NAVY ARE PART OF THE ARMY. DURING CY 87 THE GT ARMED FORCES DID NOT PURCHASE ANY SIGNIFICANT QUANTITIES OF EQUIPMENT. APPROXIMATELY 2 PERCENT OF THE BUDGET WAS USED TO OBTAIN MATERIALS TO SUSTAIN THE ARMY IN THE FIELD. - 2. MODIFICATIONS: 1 PERCENT $1.04 MILLION. THE MOD ALLOCATED ONE PERCENT OF THE DEFENSE BUDGET FOR MODIFICATION OF GROUND MOBILITY EQUIPMENT. SIGNIFICANT MODIFICATIONS WERE MADE IN THE CHANGEOVER TO DIESEL ENGINES (PERKINS ENGINES) OF MANY TRUCKS AND BUSSES. ALSO THE ARMORING OF THE SIDES OF SOME 2 1/2T TRUCKS. - 3. OPERATIONS: 35 PERCENT $36.48 MILLION. THE MOD ALLOCATED A CONSIDERABLE PORTION OF THE BUDGET FOR THE CONDUCT OF ANTI-GUERRILLA OPERATIONS. THERE SECRET SECTION 14 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) WAS A NOTABLE SURGE IN THE NUMBER OF OPERATIONS ESPECIALLY AGAINST THE EGP AND ORPA. - 4. MAINTENANCE: 7 PERCENT $7.30 MILLION. THE LOW ALLOCATION OF SEVEN PERCENT FOR MAINTENANCE IS INDICATIVE OF THE LOW LEVEL OF READINESS OF THE EQUIPMENT FOUND IN THE ARMED FORCES. LACK OF FUNDS FORCES THEM TO CUT CORNERS. - 5. CONSTRUCTION: 6 PERCENT $6.25 MILLION. MILITARY CONSTRUCTION CONTINUES THROUGHOUT ALL THE MILITARY ZONES TO PROVIDE BARRACKS AND HQS BUILDINGS. NEW CONSTRUCTION IS VISIBLE IN NEARLY ALL OF THE MILITARY ZONES WITH SIX PERCENT OF THE BUDGET BEING SPENT ON THESE. - 6. TRAINING: 15 PERCENT $15.63 MILLION. THE TRAINING OF THREE THOUSAND NEW RECRUITS PER YEAR, THE RETRAINING OF TACTICAL UNITS AND THE OPERATION OF SERVICE SCHOOLS GETS HIGH PRIORITY IN THE GT ARMED FORCES. - 7. SERVICES: 7 PERCENT $7.30 MILLION. THE EXPENDITURE FOR SERVICES OF SEVEN PERCENT OF THE BUDGET INDICATES THE HIGH COST OF IMPORTED GOODS NEEDED TO PERFORM THESE SERVICES. MEDICINE, PAPER, FILM, AND TECHNICAL EQUIPMENT HAVE TO BE IMPORTED TO SUPPORT THE MILITARY SERVICES. 8. R AND D: NO EXPENDITURES. - 9. MUNITIONS AND WAR RESERVES: THE GUATEMALAN OPERATE THEIR OWN ARMS FACTORY FOR MUNITIONS FOR THEIR GALILL RIFLE. THE REST THEY BUY FROM BRAZIL DR ARGENTINA. COST OF OPERATING THE FACTORY IS UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME. FIGURES FOR THE AMOUNT SPENT ON ARMS FROM 3RD COUNTRY IS UNAVAILABLE. - 10. SPARE PARTS: 6 PERCENT $6.25 MILLION. THE HIGH COST OF IMPORTING SPARE PARTS FORCES THE GT ARMED FORCES TO HAVE MUCH OF THEIR EQUIPMENT OUT OF SERVICE. LIMITED FUNDS AND HIGHER PRIORITIES SUCH AS OPERATIONS, TRAINING, AND PAY USE UP MOST OF THE AVAILABLE FUNDING. IN 1987 THE MOD ALLOCATED SOME SEVEN PERCENT OF THE BUDGET TO THE ACQUISITION OF PARTS. - 11. MILITARY PAY: 17 PERCENT 17.72 MILLION. THE MILITARY PAY TAKES UP APPROXIMATELY 17 PERCENT OF THE BUDGET, WHICH IS CONSIDERABLY LOWER THAN THE 42 PERCENT PROGRAMMED FOR US FORCES. MILITARY PAY INCLUDES SPECIALTY AND HAZARDOUS DUTY PAY. - 12. CIVILIAN PAY: 3 PERCENT $3.13 MILLION. CIVILIAN PAY IN 1987 WAS THREE PERCENT OF THE BUDGET. - 13. RESERVES: 1 PERCENT $1.04 MILLION. THE COST OF MAINTAINING A SMALL ARMY RESERVE (ONE COMPANY PER MILITARY ZONE EXCEPT IN GUATEMALA CITY WHERE THEY HAVE A BN) PLUS THE 721,000 LARGELY UNPAID SELF DEFENSE CIVIL PATROLS AND AIR RESERVES, CONSUMES ONE PERCENT OF THE BUDGET. - 14. TOTALS 100 PERCENT BUDGET $104.22 MILLION. - B. (U) DEFENSE EXPENDITURES FOR 1988: SPECIFIC SPENDING FIGURES FOR 1988 ARE NOT AVAILABLE BUT ARE CONSIDERED TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE 1987 LEVELS S E e R E-T SECTION 15 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) WHICH ARE OUTLINED ABOVE. THE 1988 CATEGORIES ARE NOT THE SAME AS FOR 1987; E.G., SALARIES IN 1988 INCORPORATES WHAT WAS HANDLED IN THE CATEGORIES OF CIVILIAN PAY, RESERVES, TRAINING, AND SOME SERVICES IN 1987. - SALARIES 41.12 PERCENT - OTHER SERVICES 1.75 PERCENT - SUPPLIES AND MATERIALS 27.72 PERCENT - OPERATIONS 24.14 PERCENT - OTHER 1.64 PERCENT - REAL ESTATE ACQUISITION 0.25 PERCENT - EQUIPMENT MACHINERY 1.07 PERCENT - MILITARY CONSTRUCTION 2.31 PERCENT - C. MILITARY SPENDING AS PERCENT OF GDP FOR YEARS WAS 1.7 AND 1.4 PERCENT IN 1987 AND 1988 RESPECTIVELY. - D. MILITARY IMPORTS THIRD COUNTRY: - 1. TOTAL VALUE IN USD: 5 MILLION - 2. PERCENT OF TOTAL IMPORTS: UNK - E. THIRD COUNTRY SECURITY ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS: - 1. VENEZUELA: (A) TYPE: TRAINING (B) VALUE IN USD: UNKNOWN - (C) TYPE FINANCING: UNKNOWN - (D) COMMENTS: VARIOUS SCHOOL LEVELS FROM CADETS THROUGH COMMAND AND STAFF. - 2. TAIWAN: - (A) TYPE: TRAINING/MATERIAL (3 UH-1H HELICOPTERS, 3 T-33 AIRCRAFT. - (B) VALUE IN USD: UNKNOWN - (C) TYPE FINANCING: FREE TUITION, NO TRANSPORTATION OR LIVING ALLOWANCE/UNKNOWN BUT BELIEVED MAP TYPE ASSISTANCE. 3. JORDAN: - (A) TYPE: 3 SIKORSKY S-76 HELICOPTERS. - (B) VALUE IN USD: 5 MILLION I (C) TYPE FINANCING: CASH - V. ARMS CONTROL CONSIDERATIONS: - A. (U) ANTICIPATED ACQUISITIONS IMPACT ON REGIONAL ARMS CONTROL: NONE. - B. (U) ANTICIPATED ACQUISITIONS IMPACT ON REGIONAL STABILITY: GUATEMALA MAINTAINS FRIENDLY, NORMAL RELATIONS WITH THE BORDERING COUNTRIES OF MEXICO, EL SALVADOR AND HONDURAS. WHILE THE BORDER QUESTION WITH BELIZE REMAINS UNRESOLVED, A JOINT COMMISSION HAS BEEN FORMED TO FIND A SETTLEMENT. DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS WITH THE UK WERE RESTORED IN DECEMBER 1986 BUT THE GOG HAS NOT RECOGNIZED THE INDEPENDENCE OF BELIZE. REGIONAL ARMS STABILITY WILL NOT BE AFFECTED BY GUATEMALA'S ACQUISITION OF ITS S ECRET SECTION 16 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARJXCEN: D. MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) PRIMARY EQUIPMENT NEEDS. THIS EQUIPMENT IS NON-LETHAL IN NATURE, AND WILL BE USED TO SUPPORT ONGOING COUNTERINSURGENCY EFFORTS WHICH INCLUDE A WIDE RANGE OF CIVIC ACTION PROJECTS. THE MAJORITY OF THE EQUIPMENT WILL BE FOR TRANSPORT, ENGINEERING, COMMUNICATIONS, OR MEDICAL. THE GOG'S MILITARY CAPABILITY WILL NOT BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED VIS-A-VIS ANY OF ITS NEIGHBORS. THE PRESIDENT IS IN THE PROCESS OF OBTAINING SOME 15,000 M-16A2 TO REPLACE THE WORN OUT GALIL RIFLE WHICH IS STANDARD IN THE ARMY. THIS ACQUISITION WILL NOT AFFECT REGIONAL ARMS STABILITY. - VI. HUMAN RIGHTS SITUATION: - A DETAILED AND COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS OF THE CURRENT HUMAN RIGHTS SITUATION IN GUATEMALA IS AVAILABLE IN THE 1988 REPORT RELEASED BY THE US CONGRESS IN FEBRUARY 1989. THE GOG HAS BEEN INFORMED AND UNDERSTANDS THAT SECURITY ASSISTANCE IS CONTINGENT UPON THE MAINTENANCE OF A DEMOCRATICALLY ELECTED GOVERNMENT AND CONTINUED IMPROVEMENTS IN THE BROAD RANGE OF HUMAN RIGHTS ISSUES. FOLLOWING THE TRENDS THAT HAVE BEEN PRESENT SINCE 1984, IT IS EXPECTED THAT THE CIVILIAN GOVERNMENT WILL CONTINUE EFFORTS TO INCREASE RESPECT FOR PERSONAL, CIVIL AND POLITICAL RIGHTS AND TO ENHANCE ECONOMIC OPPPORTUNITY FOR ALL GUATEMALAN CITIZENS. - VII. STATUS OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE PROGRAMS: - A. GENERAL DESCRIPTION: THE GOG IS STILL RECOVERING FROM THE SUSPENSION OF U.S. ASSISTANCE BETWEEN 1977 AND 1985. THE LACK OF ASSISTANCE, AMONG OTHER IMPACTS, SEVERLY HAMPERED THE LOGISTICS CAPABILITIES OF THE GUATEMALAN ARMED FORCES. THE NEWEST OF THE US EQUIPMENT FOUND IN THE GUATEMALAN ARMED FORCES IS 14 YEARS OLD AND BY OUR STANDARDS UNECONOMICAL TO REPAIR AND THEREFORE SHOULD BE REPLACED. IN JANUARY 1983, THE USG AUTHORIZED A LIST OF ITEMS OF REPAIR PARTS TO BE BOUGHT BY THE GOG UNDER AN FMS CASH PROGRAM. A TOTAL OF 3.4M WORTH OF REPAIR PARTS AND SERVICES WERE BOUGHT UNDER THAT CASE. IN FY 86, THE USG GRANTED THE GOG 5M DOLLARS IN MAP FUNDS. THOSE FUNDS WERE USED TO PROCURE REPAIR PARTS FOR HELICOPTERS AND TACTICAL VEHICLES AND THE PURCHASE OF 40 REBUILT 2 1/2 TON TRUCKS AND 25 REBUILT 3/4 TON AMBULANCES. ALTHOUGH INCREASING IN STRENGTH, THE GOG'S ECONOMY REMAINS TOO WEAK TO PROVIDE THE RESOURCES NECESSARY TO IMPROVE THE OPERATIONAL AND READINESS POSTURE OF THE ARMED FORCES. FIVE MILLION IN MAP WAS AGAIN GIVEN IN FY 87. AGAIN, AIRCRAFT AND VEHICLE SPARE PARTS WERE PURCHASED AS WELL AS ENGINEER EQUIPMENT, NAVY PATROL BOAT AND COMMUNICATIONS SPARE PARTS. SOME COMMERCIAL VEHICLES WERE BOUGHT TO REPLACE OLDER VEHICLES WHICH WERE UNECONOMICAL TO REPAIR. THE FY 88 PROGRAM WAS HIGHLIGHTED BY THE PURCHASE OF TACTICAL COMMUNICATIONS AND A VARIETY OF AUTOMOTIVE EQUIPMENT TO REPLACE UNREPAIRABLE EQUIPMENT. IN FY 89 THE GT ARMY CONTINUED THE EQUIPMENT REPLACEMENT TREND IT STARTED THE PREVIOUS YEAR AND INVESTED IN GROUND/AIR MOBILITY, EQUIPMENT TO MANUFACTURE BOOTS AND MILITARY. CONSTRUCTION. SPARE PARTS FOR EQUIPMENT ON HAND STILL AMOUNTED TO APPROXIMATELY 1/3 OF THAT YEAR'S MAP PROGRAM. - B. IMPACT: THE FY 86-89 MAP PROGRAM HAS NOT HAD A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT TO THE ARMY IN THE FIELD. OF THE 28 MILLION DOLLARS OVER THE FOUR YEARS, 8.2 MILLION DOLLARS HAVE BEEN DELIVERED AND 19.8 DOLLARS ARE IN DIFFERENT STAGES OF THE LOGISTICAL PIPELINE. THE MAJORITY OF THE ITEMS RECEIVED so FAR ARE PRIMARILY S E e R E T SECTION 17 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) SPARE PARTS FOR AIR/GROUND MOBILITY, ENGINEER REPAIR PARTS, AND COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT (PRC-77 RADIOS). OTHER EQUIPMENT RECEIVED INCLUDES 40 2 1/2 TON TRKS, NIGHT VISION GOGGLES AND COUNTER MINE PROTECTIVE EQUIPMENT. - VIII. PROJECTED FY 1991 SECURITY ASSISTANCE: - A. GENERAL DESCRIPTIONS: 1. POST STRONGLY PROPOSES THAT THE MAP PROGRAM FOR GUATEMALA BE INCREASED IN FY 1991. THIS RECOMMENDATION IS MADE IN LIGHT OF THE GUATEMALAN ECONOMY AND THE NEED SIMULTANEOUSLY TO LIMIT PUBLIC SECTOR EXPENDITURES AND TO MAINTAIN A PROFESSIONAL ARMY THAT IS APOLITICAL AND CAPABLE OF SUPPORTING GUATEMALA'S DEVELOPING DEMOCRACY. CURRENT STOCKS OF MILITARY HARDWARE AND MATERIAL ARE STILL AT DANGEROUSLY LOW LEVELS. A GREAT DEAL OF EQUIPMENT IS UNUSABLE, IN NEED OF EXTENSIVE REPAIRS OR BEYOND REPAIRS AND IN NEED OF REPLACEMENT. RECENT STUDIES CONDUCTED JOINTLY BY SOUTHERN COMMAND, THE COUNTRY TEAM AND THE GUATEMALAN ARMY ESTABLISHED THE REQUIREMENT TO REPLACE OLD ENGINEER EQUIPMENT AND GROUND VEHICLES , ACQUIRE TACTICAL, OPERATIONAL, AND STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT, AND FOCUS ALL POSSIBLE EFFORTS ON IMPROVING AIR MOBILITY. GUATEMALA'S ECONOMIC SITUATION EFFECTIVELY PREVENTS THAT KIND OF REPLACEMENT AND ACQUISITION FROM BEING ACCOMPLISHED. GOG AND THE COUNTRY TEAM CONTINUE TO WORK CLOSELY AND TO AGREE ON THE SPECIFIC PRIORITY AREAS IN WHICH IMPROVEMENT WILL MEET COMMON OBJECTIVES AS WELL AS BEEN OBVIOUS TO MILITARY MEMBERS. THESE SPECIFIC AREAS ARE, AND CONTINUE TO BE: AIR/GROUND MOBILITY, ENGINEERING, COMMUNICATIONS, LOGISTICS, AND MEDICAL. INCREASING THE MAP FUNDING FOR GUATEMALA FOR FY 91 WILL ADVANCE USG INTERESTS AND ENHANCE CENTRAL AMERICAN REGIONAL STABILITY BY PERMITTING THE GUATEMALAN GOVERNMENT TO CONTINUE REBUILDING THE ECONOMY, WHILE MORE EFFECTIVELY COMBATTING THE EXTERNALLY SUPPORTED GUERRILLA MOVEMENT AND INTERNAL RIGHT WING COUP INSTIGATIONS. MAP FUNDING WITH MODERATE INCREMENTAL ANNUAL INCREASES IS STRONGLY RECOMMENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING REASONS: - (A) IT SHOWS CONTINUED USG SUPPORT FOR THE GUATEMALAN DEMOCRATIC GOVERNMENT. - (B) IMPROVES THE PERCEPTION OF THE U.S. AS A RELIABLE ALLY. - (C) PERMITS GOG TO CARRY OUT AN EFFECTIVE COUNTERINSURGENCY CAMPAIGN. - (D) FACILITATES GUATEMALAN PARTICIPATION IN JOINT REGIONAL ACTIVITIES. - MILITARY ASSISTANCE WOULD CONTINUE TO BE USED FOR AQUISITION OF SPARE PARTS, SERVICES, TOOLS AND REPLACEMENT EQUIPMENT TO PUT THE GUATEMALAN ARMED FORCES IN A PROPER LOGISTICAL READINESS AND OPERATIONAL POSTURE IN THE PRIORITY AREAS DESCRIBED BELOW. - 2. AIR AND GROUND MOBILITY: - (A) AIR MOBILITY IS STILL IN A BUILDING STAGE. THE GAF IS ATTEMPTING TO UPGRADE ITS HELICOPTER FLEET IN ORDER TO PROVIDE MEDICAL AND RESUPPLY SUPPORT AND SERVICES TO GROUND UNITS OPERATING IN ISOLATED AND REMOTE AREAS. GUATEMALA HAS 27 HELICOPTERS OF THE OH-58 AND UH-1 TYPE TO SUPPORT AN ARMED FORCE THREE S E C R E T SECTION 18 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) TIMES THE SIZE OF A US INFANTRY DIVISION WHICH HAS 161 HELICOPTERS OF THOSE TYPES ALONE. THIS SMALL HELICOPTER FLEET SUPPORTS THE ARMY, NAVY, AND AIR FORCE PLUS SUPPORTS AN AVIATION SCHOOL. THESE HELICOPTERS ARE 70 TO 80 PERCENT DEADLINED FOR LACK OF SPARE PARTS AND ENGINES. MILITARY AID IS REQUIRED TO IMPROVE AIR MOBILITY FOR EFFECTIVE MEDEVAC AND RESUPPLY TO TROOPS IN ISOLATED COMBAT AREAS. MANY SOLDIERS HAVE DIED BECAUSE OF THE INABILITY OF THE GAF TO RESPOND TO MEDEVAC CALLS. THIS SITUATION, COMBINED WITH THE GAF PARTS SCANDAL, HAS LOWERED THE MORALE OF THE TROOPS AND IS ADVERSLY AFFACTING THEIR COMBAT ABILITY. EMBASSY ESTIMATES THAT ANOTHER 5M IN PARTS AND SPARE ENGINES ARE REQUIRED JUST TO GET THE HELICOPTERS FLYING. THE GAF WILL REQUIRE MORE THAN 63M OVER THE NEXT THREE YEARS TO MODERNIZE AND EXPAND ENOUGH TO MEET ALL OF ITS COMMITMENTS AND REQUIREMENTS. - (B) THE GOG ALSO NEEDS TO UPGRADE ITS GROUND MOBILITY. ALTHOUGH THE GOG USED 5.3M TO PURCHASE REBUILT TACTICAL VEHICLES, AMBULANCES, AND COMMERCIAL VEHICLES, A LARGE PERCENT OF THE OTHER VEHICLES ON HAND ARE NO. LONGER ECONOMICALLY REPAIRABLE AND REQUIRE REPLACEMENT. AT THE PRESENT TIME THE GT ARMY HAS TO HIRE CIVILIAN FLAT BED TRUCKS TO MOVE MANY OF ITS TROOPS. (C) THE GAF NEEDS TO IMPROVE THE PERATIONAL CONDITION OF ITS TRANSPORT AIRCRAFT. AT THE PRESENT TIME, ONLY FOUR TRANSPORT AIRCRAFT ARE NORMALLY OPERATIONAL AT ANY ONE TIME. SEVERAL ARE GROUNDED BECAUSE OF ENGINE AND/OR AVIONICS PROBLEMS. THE LACK OF SPARE PARTS, SPECIAL TGOLS, AND SHOP EQUIPMENT FURTHER LIMITS THE GAF'S ABILITY TO PERFORM PREVENTATIVE AND ORGANIZATIONAL MAINTENANCE ON THESE AIRCRAFT. 3. COMMUNICATIONS: ALTHOUGH THE 400 PRC-77 RADIOS RECEIVED IN THE LAST YEAR HAVE BEEN MOST HELPFUL AT THE TACTICAL LEVEL, THE REGIONAL AND NATIONAL STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS CAPABILITY OF THE ARMED FORCES REMAINS TOTALLY INADEQUATE. A JOINT STUDY BY SOUTHCOM AND THE GUATEMALAN ARMY OF THE COMMUNICATIONS CAPACITY PLACES A 20 MILLION DOLLARS PRICE TAG ON A MODEST TACTICAL, OPERATIONAL, AND STRATEGIC COMMUNICATIONS SYSTEM FOR THE ARMY. DUE TO A LACK OF RESOURCES, THE ARMY CONTINUES TO SUFFER THE INEFFICIENCY OF A COMMUNICATIONS SYSTEM THAT CAN NOT SUPPORT THE ARMY IN THE FIELD. THE GUATEMALAN ARMED FORCES DESPERATELY NEED TO CONTINUE TO UPGRADE THEIR COMMUNCATIONS SYSTEM AT ALL LEVELS. A VERY SERIOUS SHORTCOMING OF THE SYSTEM IS THAT AT THE TACTICAL/OPERATIONAL LEVELS THERE ARE NO SECURE COMMUNICATIONS AND THE ENEMY CAN MONITOR ARMY UNITS CONDUCTING OPERATIONS IN THEIR AREA. - 4. ENGINEE EQUIPNENT: THE GUATEMALAN ARMY ENGINEER CORPS IS A KEY PLAYER IN THE CEREZO GOVERNMENT NATIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT PLAN. ALL ROADS NORTH OF THE 16TH PARALLEL HAVE BEEN BULT BY THE ARMY ENGINEER CORPS SINCE THE AREA IS so ISOLATED THAT THE PRIVATE SECTOR COMPANIES ARE NOT INTERESTED IN BIDDING AND THE MINISTRY OF COMMUNICATIONS IS UNABLE TO OPERATE IN AN AREA CONTESTED BY SUBVERSIVE FORCES. THE NEWEST ENGINEER EQUIPMENT IN COUNTRY IS 14 YEARS OLD AND IS RAPIDLY DETERIORATING DUE TO ITS HEAVY USAGE AND THE LACK OF SPARE PARTS. SOME OF THE OLDER EQUIPMENT IS so OLD THAT REPAIR PARTS ARE NO LONGER AVAILABLE. A JOINT SOUTHCOM/GT ARMY EQUIPMENT STUDY DETERMINED THAT IT WILL REQUIRE DLRS 17.5 MILLION TO REPAIR ALL EQUIPMSNT THAT IS NOT OPERATIONAL, REPLACE SELECTED EQUIPMENT WHICH IS NO LONGER REPAIRABLE, AND PROVIDE MAINTENACE COSTS AND SPARE PARTS FOR FIVE YEARS. SINCE THE S E € R E T SECTION 19 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) CURRENT MAP LEVELS CANOT ABSORB THE COST ASSOCIATED WITH THIS PLAN, IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT MONEYS WILL ONLY BE ALLOCATED TO REPAIR THE EQUIPMENT AND THREFORE THE COST OF SOLVING THE PROBLEM WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS EQUIPMENT CAN NO LONGER BE REPAIRED AND WILL HAVE TO BE REPLACED. - 5. LOGISTICS: A SMALL NUMBER OF MAINTENANCE VEHICLES AND TOOL KITS HAVE BEEN PURCHASED WITH FY 86-88 MAP FUNDS TO ESTABLISH A RUDIMENTARY MAINTENANCE STRUCTURE TO SUPPORT THE ARMY. ADDITIONAL FUNDS ARE REQUIRED TO PROVIDE THE ARMY THE CAPABILITY TO: - (A) REPAIR AND SERVICE EQUIPMENT AT FORWARD OPERATING BASES. - (B) UPGRADE MAINTENANCE SHOPS BY ACQUIRING AUTOMOTIVE SHOP SETS, DIAGNOSTIC EQUIPMENT AND SPECIAL TOOLS. - (C) UPGRADE THE COMMUNICATIONS MAINTENANCE SHOP BY ACQUIRING MODERN TOOL KITS, TEST AND DIAGNOSTIC EQUIPMENT, AND SPECIAL TOOLS. 6. MEDICAL: A MASH UNIT WITH ITS ORGANIC MEDICAL EQUIPMENT IS SORELY NEEDED TO IMPROVE MEDICAL SUPPORT AND SERVICES PROVIDED IN REMOTE ANF CONFLICTIVE AREAS. THIS MASH UNIT CAN ALSO BE USED AS A BACKUP HOSPITAL IN THE EVENT OF NATIONAL DISASTER (S). ADDITIONALLY, MEDICAL SUPPLIES ARE NEEDED TO SUPPORT THE REGIONAL MEDICAL CLINICS. - 7. PATROL BOATS: ALTHOUGH OUTSIDE PROJECTED FUNDING AVAILABILITY, ACQUISITION OF PATROL BOATS IS REQUIRED TO REPLACE OLDER PATROL BOATS THAT ARE NEITHER LOGISTICALLY NOR ECONOMICALLY SUPPORTABLE. THE GT NAVY'S MISSION IS PRIMARILY THAT OF A COAST GUARD AND THE NEW PATROL BOATS WOULD INCREASE HE GUATEMALAN NAVY'S CAPABILITY FOR COASTAL PATROL, INTERDICTION OF ARMS, DRUGS, ILLEGAL FISHING, AND SUCH ACTIVITIES ON A TWO OCEAN FRONT. - B. FMS/MAP FUNDING RECOMMENDATIONS : - 1. CASH FLOW FOR ONGOING PROGRAMS (IN PRIORITY ORDER) : NONE. THE GUATEMALANS HAVE BEEN VERY CAREFUL TO ORDER MAP CASES THAT ONLY FALL WITHIN THE AMOUNTS ALREADY ALLOCATED. THEY HAVE FOLLOWED THIS CONSERVATIVE APPROACH TO SECURITY ASSISTANCE FUNDING DUE TO THE INSECURITY OF FUTURE FUNDING AND THE INABILITY TO PICK UP ANY SHORTAGE OUT OF THEIR OWN RESOURCES. - 2. SUPPORT (SUSTAINMENT) OF PREVIOUSLY FURNISHED EQUIPMENT (IN PRIORITY ORDER) 11.0 MILLION DOLLARS SECURITY ASSISTANCE NEEDS (FY 1991) DEFENSE ITEM QTY EST COST SPARE PARTS: A. HELICOPTERS 1.0M BELL 206/212/412 25 HELOS UH-1H 10 HELOS C-27 6 ACS TOTAL S E C R E-T SECTION 20 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) B ENGINEER HVY EQUIPMENT 1.0M CAT D-8, D-7, D-6, D-4, GRADERS, CRANES, SCOOPLOADERS M-817 5TON DUMP TRKS C. COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT 1.0M FM, HF, UHF, VHF, RADIOS MICROWAVE EQUIPMENT ECT D. AUTOMOTIVE EQUIPMENT 1.0M 2 1/2T, 5T, 1/4T TKS CML TRKS 2 1/2, 6T, 8T, 10T BUSSES ETC. E. NAVY PATROL BOATS 0.5M PATROL BOATS 9 TROOP CARRIER (FAST) 2 SERVICE CRAFT 2 OUTBOARD MOTORS 25 TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE 2 ELECTRONIC AND MIS 0 PATROL CRAFT 3 TOTAL SUSTAINMENT COST 4.5M - 3. POTENTIAL NEW ACQUISITIONS (FY91) (IN PRIORITY ORDER) DEFENSE ITEM QTY EST COST UH-1H HELICOPTERS 7 3.0 COMMERCIAL TRKS 60 3.0M MEDICAL EQUIPMENT 0.5M TOTAL POTENTIAL NEW ACQUISITION COST 6.5M - C. NON-FUNDED MILITARY SALES: M16A 20,000 - 14,000,000 DOLLARS. DIRECT COMMERCIAL SALE WITH COLT. - D. ECONOMIC SUPPORT FUND (ESF); 1. THE MULTI-YEAR ESF BALANCE OF PAYMENTS ASSISTANCE PROGRAM INITIATED IN FY 1986 SUPPORTS ECONOMIC STABILIZATION AND GROWTH IN GUATEMALA AND STRENGTHENS THE DEMOCRATIC PROCESS. FY 88 AND 89 ALLOCATIONS OF ESF ASSISTED THE GUATEMALAN GOVERNMENT'S CONTINUED PROGRESS IN STRENGTHENING THE STABILIZATION AND STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT PROGRAM ADOPTED IN MID-1986. THIS PROGRAM INCLUDED MEASURES IN THE FISCAL, MONETARY AND EXCHANGE AREAS AIMED AT RESTORING REAL PER CAPITA INCOME GROWTH TO POSITIVE LEVELS IN 1988 AND 1989. F 190-1993 ESF FUNDS WILL BE NEEDEDTO SUPPORT POLICY CHANGES AIMED AT INCREASING INCENTIVES FOR EXPORT AND INVESTMENT. LOCAL CURRENCY GENERATIONS WILL BE USED TO INCREASE THE LEVEL OF INFRASTRUCTURE AND SOCIAL SERVICES PROVIDED IN THE RURAL AREAS THROUGH BUDGET SUPPORT. - (A). ESF PROGRAM LEVEL RECOMMENDATION FOR FY 1990 IS 87 MILLION. - (B). JUSTIFICATION FOR ENHANCED LEVEL: GUATEMALA'S DEBT SERVICE BURDEN WILL CONTINUE TO BE ONEROUS THROUGH THE EARLY 1990'S, LEAVING THE COUNTRY WITH A SHORTAGE OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE FOR NEEDED INPUTS. A STRONG BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PROGRAM IN 1990 WILL BE ESSENTIAL FOR GUATEMALA TO REACH ITS ECONOMIC GROWTH TARGET OF 4.5 PERCENT IN REAL TERMS, AND TO HELP s E € RET SECTION 21 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SEURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) ) SUPPORT CONTINUED STRENGTHENING OF ECONOMIC POLICY, PARTICULARLY IN THE AREAS OF EXPORT AND INVESTMENT PROMOTION. LOCAL CURRENCY RESOURCES ARE NEEDED FOR GUATEMALA TO CATCH UP IN PROVISION OF BASIC SERVICES AND INFRASTRUCTURE IN RURAL AREAS. ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT GOALS WILL BE SERVED BY GREATER INVESTMENT IN EDUCATION, HEALTH, ROADS AND OTHER BASIC NEEDS. SUCH INVESTMENT, AT A HIGHER LEVEL THAN GUATEMALA CAN AFFORD ON ITS OWN IN THE NEAR TERM, WILL STRENGTHEN DEMOCRACY BY DEMONSTRATING THAT A DEMOCRATIC GOVERNMENT IS RESPONSIVE TO ITS CONSTITUENTS' NEEDS. I 2. MAJOR AREAS OF GOG POLICY WEAKNESS - (A). THE TAX SYSTEM IN GUATEMALA IS WEAK. TAX REVENUES AS A PRORATION OF GDP WILL BE ABOUT 8.0 PERCENT IN 1988, ONE OF THE LOWEST LEVELS OF TAX EFFORT IN THE WORLD AND ONE WHICH IS INSUFFICIENT TO FINANCE THE FUNCTIONS OF MODERN GOVERNMENT. PROBLEMS INCLUDE WEAK LEGISLATIN, NEARLY NONEXISTENT ADMINISTRATIVE APPARATUS AND OVERDEPENDENCE ON INDIRECT (ESPECIALLY TRADE) TAXES AS A SOURCE OF REVENUE. - (B). INADEQUATE PUBLIC SECTOR INVESTMENT IN INFRASTRUCTURE AND SOCIAL SERVICES, LEAVING GUATEMALA WITH SOCIOECONOMIC INDICATORS (LITERACY, CHILD MORTALITY, ETC. ) WHICH ARE MUCH POORER THAN THOSE FOR COUNTRIES AT ABOUT THE SAME PER CAPITA INCOME LEVEL. - (C). INTEREST RATE CEILINGS ALLOW BOTH DEPOSIT AND LENDING RATES ABOVE THE CURRENT RATE OF INFLATION. HOWEVER, ELIMINATION OF THE CEILINGS WOULD BE MORE DESIRABLE TO INCREASE ACCESS OF CREDIT TO HIGHER-RISK BORROWERS SUCH AS SMALL BUSINESS AND SMALL FARMERS, WHO CURRENTLY ARE SHUT OUT FROM BORROWING IN COMMERCIAL MARKETS. - (D). THERE IS A NEED FOR IMPROVEMENTS IN REGULATION AND INFRASTRUCTURE AFFECTING THE EXPORT SECTOR. THESE INCLUDE REVISION OF CERTAIN FREIGHT TARIFFS, UPGRADING OF PORT INFRASTRUCTURE, DEVELOPMENT OF PRIVATE SECTOR FREE ZONES, AND APPROPRIATE LEGISLATION AND/OR PRIVATIZATION FOR CERTAIN TRANSPORTATION AND COMMUNICATIONS ACTIVITIES PRESENTLY MONOPOLIZED OR CONTROLLED BY THE STATE. - (E). INSUFFICIENT INCENTIVES TO INVESTMENT AND EXPORT. - E. ECONOMIC IMPACT OF PROJECTED PURCHASES: FOR THE FORSEEABLE FUTURE, GUATEMALJ WILL HAVE SEVERE BUDGETARY LIMITATIONS ON ALL GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES PLUS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS DEFICITS AND DIFFICULTIES MEETING THE COUNTRY'S ALREADY EXISTING DEBT BURDEN. CONSEQUENTLY, THE GUATEMALAN MILITARY WILL HAVE LIMITATIONS NOT ONLY ON WHAT IT CAN PURCHASE FROM ABROAD BUT ALSO RESOURCE LIMITATIONS ON WHAT IT CAN ADEQUATELY MAINTAIN AND OPERATE IN THE COUNTRY. HIGH-COST, HIGH-MAINTENANCE BUT REQUIRED ITEMS SUCH AS PATROL BOATS, GROUND AND AIR MOBILITY COMMODITIES, COULD HAVE A NEGATIVE IMPACT ON THE COUNTRY'S ECONOMIC SITUATION. THE REQUIREMENT FOR HELICOPTERS AND THEIR UTILIZATION IN AREAS OF DIFFICULT TERRAIN FOR COUNTERINSURGENCY AND/OR DISASTER RELIEF MUST BE BALANCED AGAINST THESE ECONOMIC CONSTRAINTS. ENGINEER EQUIPMENT ENABLING THE GOG MILITARY TO UNDERTAKE PUBLIC WORKS TYPE PROJECTS WOULD BE, TO SOME EXTENT, A SUBSTITUTE FOR NEEDED IMPORTS OF CIVILIAN GOODS AND THUS THE IMPACT WOULD NOT BE so SERIOUS. WITHOUT INCREASING MILITARY ASSISTANCE THE GOG WILL NOT BE ABLE SECRET SECTION 22 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) TO MEET ITS MAIN OBJECTIVE TO UPGRADE THE LOGISTICAL AND OPERATIONAL POSTURE OF THE ARMED FORCES. FROM THE ECONOMIC STANDPOINT, THOSE ITEMS GUATEMALA COULD BEST AFFORD TO PURCHASE USING ITS OWN RESOURCES WOULD BE ITEMS THAT DO NOT REQUIRE LARGE OUTLAYS OF SCARCE FOREIGN EXCHANGE OR CONTINUING EXPENDITURES FOR OPERATIONAL AND MAINTENANCE. - IX. SECURITY ASSISTANCE NEEDS (FY 1992-FY1994) - A. FY 92: (SUSTAINMENT) : CATEGORY COST AIRCRAFT SPARES 2.00 GROUND MOBILITY SPARES 0.500 COMMUNICATIONS SPARES 0.350 ENGINEER EQUIPMENT SPARES 0.350 AF REPAIR AND RETURN 0.200 AF ENGINE OVERHAUL 0.200 NAVY BOAT SPARES 0.500 NAVY TECH ASSIST 0.010 NAVY ELECTRONIC/MISC SPARES 0.020 TOTAL 4.130 - A. FY 92 (ACQUISITIONS) CATEGORY COST UH-1H HELICOPTERS (7) 3.500 GROUND MOBILITY 2.00 COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT 2.00 ENGINEER EQUIPMENT 1.00 MEDICAL EQUIPMENT 0.170 AF TOOLS AND EQUIPMENT 0.100 AF COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT 0.100 TOTAL 8.870 - B. FY 93 (SUSTAINMENT) CATEGORY COST , AIRCRAFT SPARES 2.500 GROUND MOBILITY SPARES 0.600 COMMUNICATIONS SPARES 0.400 ENGINEER EQUIPMENT SPARES 0.400 AF REPAIR AND RETURN 0.250 AF ENGINE OVERHAUL 0.290 NAVY BOAT SPARES 0.600 NAVY TECH ASSIST 0.020 NAVY ELECTRONIC/MISC SPAJES 0.020 TOTAL 5.080 - B. FY 93 (ACQUISITIONS) 1 CATEGORY COST UH-1H HELICOPTERS (7) 3.500 GROUND MOBILITY 2.250 COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT 2.250 ENGINEER EQUIPMENT 1.200 MEDICAL EQUIPMENT 0.220 AF TOOLS AND EQUIPMENT 0.300 AF COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT 0.200 TOTAL 9.920 - C. FY 94 (SUSTAINMENT) CATEGORY COST SECRET SECTION 23 OF 23 GUATEMALA 06741 SECRET NOFORN SECSTATE PASS TO EB ACDA, OMB AND USAID - PASS TO ARA/CEN:D.MCCARTHY SUBJECT: ANNUAL INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF SECURITY ASSISTANCE (AIASA) - GUATEMALA (U) AIRCRAFT SPARES 3.00 GROUND MOBILITY SPARES 0.700 COMMUNICATIONS SPARES 0.500 ENGINEER EQUIPMENT SPARES 0.500 AF REPAIR AND RETURN 0.300 AF ENGINE OVERHAUL 0.500 NAVY BOAT SPARES 0.750 NAVY TECH ASSIST 0.020 NAVY ELECTRONIC/MISC SPARES 0.020 TOTAL 6.290 - C. FY 94 (ACQUISITIONS) CATEGORY COST UH-1H HELICOPTERS 3.500 GROUND MOBILITY 2.500 COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT 2.500 ENGINEER EQUIPMENT 1.325 MEDICAL EQUIPMENT 0.220 AF TOOLS AND EQUIPMENT 0.300 AF COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT 0.365 TOTAL 10.710 3. MICHEL. DECL: OADR <SECT>SECTION: 01 OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720145746 MSG000238258666 <SECT>SECTION: 02 OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720145828 MSG000238258708 <SECT>SECTION: 03.OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720145924 MSG000238258764 <SECT>SECTION: 04 OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720150019 MSG000238258819 <SECT>SECTION: 05. OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720150050 MSG000238258850 <SECT>SECTION: 06 OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720150130 MSG000238258890 <SECT>SECTION: 07 OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720150225 MSG000238258945 <SECT>SECTION: 08 OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720150334 MSG000238259014 <SECT>SECTION: 09 OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720150635 MSG000238259195 <SECT>SECTION: 10 OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720150717 MSG000238259237 <SECT>SECTION: 11 OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720150755 MSG000238259275 <SECT>SECTION: 13 OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720150953 MSG000238259393 <SECT>SECTION: 14 OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720150913 MSG000238259353 <SECT>SECTION: 15 OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720151026 MSG000238259426 <SECT>SECTION: 16 OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720151151 MSG000238259511 <SECT>SECTION: 17 OF 23<SSN> 6741<STOR> 890720151233 MSG000238259553 CONFIDENTIAL PACELLI CONFIDENTIAL 3992 Add-on NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON, D.C. 20506 File: beat June 5, 1989 Nati Sec Advisor has seen INFORMATION MEMORANDUM FOR BRENT SCOWCROFT THROUGH: WILLIAM T. PRYCE DAB for FROM: DAVID A. PACELLI DAS SUBJECT: Response to the President's Request for Information on the Disappearance of Nicholas Blake The memorandum which I prepared for you to send to the President on May 25, 1989 regarding the 1985 disappearance of Nicholas Blake stated that the U.S. Ambassador to Guatemala Designate-- Thomas Stroock--intended to call Thomas Ludlow Ashley to update him on the case. The State Department informs me that Stroock did call Ashley and renewed their acquaintance. Stroock promised to follow the case closely upon his arrival in Guatemala. Ashley was satisfied with this response and said he would convey the information to the Blake family. DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 13526 2005-1062-MR ses 5/25/11 CONFIDENTIAL Declassify on: OADR CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL 3992 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON, D.C. 20506 May 25, 1989 ACTION DECLASSIFIED MEMORANDUM FOR BRENT SCOWCROFT PER NSC WAIVER, 1500 2021-02 THROUGH: Q, By SS NARA, Date 9/26/24 EVERETT E. BRIGGS FROM: DAVID A. PACELLI JAP SUBJECT: Response to the President's Request for Information on the Disappearance of Nicholas Blake An old friend of the President, Thomas Ludlow Ashley, has forwarded to him a memo from Randy Blake explaining the status of U.S. assistance in investigating the 1985 disappearance of his brother Nicholas in Guatemala (Tab B). The President sent you this correspondence with a note saying he wanted you to "give the system a kick" so he could get back to Ashley soon (Tab C). Your memorandum to the President at Tab I gives background on the case and says that Ambassador Michel will raise the issue with President Cerezo and the Minister of Defense within the next few days. The memorandum also says that the U.S. Ambassador- designate to Guatemala Thomas Stroock, who is in Washington consulting with the State Department, intends to call Lud Ashley himself on this matter. (Stroock is an old Yale friend of Ashley.) The package also includes talking points for the President in the event he wishes to call Ashley himself. For your information, this tragedy has all the hallmarks of an unsolvable case. No trace of Blake and a companion have been found. Although new leads have been developed, they are unlikely to produce the type of evidence needed for an arrest and conviction. In addition, the State Department is concerned that additional information is being generated by people who are interested in visas or other favors from the U.S. Government. RECOMMENDATION: That you approve the memorandum to the President at Tab. I. Approve Disapprove Attachments Tab I Scowcroft Memorandum to the President Tab A Points to be Made Tab B Ashley Letter to the President with Enclosure Tab C Note from the President to Scowcroft CONFIDENTIAL Declassify on: OADR CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL 3992 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DECLASSIFIED ACTION PER E.O. 13526 2005 - -1062-MR MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT ses 5/25/11 FROM: BRENT SCOWCROFT SUBJECT: Response to Your Inquiry Concerning the Investigation by the U.S. Embassy in Guatemala of the Disappearance of Nicholas Blake Purpose To respond to your inquiry concerning the status of the investigation by the U.S. Embassy in Guatemala concerning the disappearance in 1985 of Nicholas Blake. Background Thomas Ludlow Ashley has sent you a letter from Randy Blake, brother of Nicholas Blake, who disappeared in the western highlands of Guatemala four years ago (Tab B). The U.S. Embassy assisted Blake and his father during their visit in late April, but they want us to press the Guatemalan government harder for information. You have asked me to provide an update and to "give the system a kick" to further the investigation (Tab C). As background, Nicholas Blake was a journalist with a particular interest in the Guatemalan guerrillas. He and another American-- a long-time resident of Guatemala--ignored warnings about the dangerousness of the area they intended to enter and subsequently disappeared without a trace. We have no way of knowing whether they were killed by the guerrillas, the military, or members of the government's civil defense patrols, and the Embassy is unable to even make an educated guess. The Embassy has followed every lead in this case, including making representations to President Cerezo and Defense Minister Gramajo, but the responsiveness of the Guatemalans has been disappointing. Blake correctly recounts how the Guatemalan military has promised to give the Embassy a list of members of the civil defense patrol who were on duty in the region at the time. It has failed to comply, despite Embassy follow-up. In the last several days, the Embassy has delivered to the head of Guatemalan military intelligence photographs--taken by an informant--of a patrol member alleged to be involved in the disappearance. The Guatemalan colonel has promised to search for the man and bring him in for questioning. CONFIDENTIAL CC: Vice President Declassify on: OADR Chief of Staff CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL CONF IDENTIAL 2 Ambassador Michel intends to raise the Blake case at the highest levels of the Guatemalan government in the next few days, as he has done on previous occasions. Our defense attache will also contact the Guatemalan military. U.S. Ambassador Designate Thomas Stroock has been informed of the case and will make a point to keep pressure on. He will call Lud Ashley, an old friend from Yale, on Thursday. Although I am confident that our Embassy will do the best it can, my view, and that of the State Department, is that this tragedy has all the hallmarks of being an unsolvable case. Even assuming that we receive full cooperation from the Guatemalans, the new leads seem unlikely to be sufficient to lead to an arrest and conviction. RECOMMENDATION That you permit Tom Stroock to get back to Lud Ashley on your behalf. Approve Disapprove Alternatively, that you telephone Lud Aashley, using the points. to be made at Tab A. Approve Disapprove Attachments Tab A Points To Be Made Tab B Ashley Memorandum to the President, with Enclosure Tab C Memorandum from the President to Scowcroft CONF IDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL 3992 POINTS TO BE MADE FOR TELEPHONE CALL TO THOMAS LUDLOW ASHLEY I am calling in response to your letter of a few weeks back on the Blake case. I have had Brent Scowcroft find out about any new information on the letter that you forwarded me from Randy Blake. The Guatemalan military still has not provided the Embassy with a list of the civil defense patrol members in the area at the time of the disappearance. The Embassy gave the head of military intelligence, Colonel Ortega, a photograph of a patrol member alleged to be involved in the disappearance and he has promised to search for him and bring him in for questioning. -- Ambassador Michel is going to bring this up again with President Cerezo and the Defense Minister. -- My Ambassador Designate, Tom Stroock, has been informed of this and he will keep the heat on the Guatemalans. : I am confident that the Embassy will follow up every lead, but I am not sure that they will be able to produce the kind of evidence that could lead to an arrest and conviction-- even if Cerezo and the military cooperate totally. Please let Randy Blake know that we will do all that we can. ASSOCIATION of BANK HOLDING COMPANIES THOMAS LUDLOW ASHLEY 730 FIFTEENTH STREET. N.W., WASHINGTON, D.C. 20005 PRESIDENT (202) 393-1158 May 9, 1989 To: President George H. W. Bush From: Thomas Ludlow Ashley Re: Blake matter; other 1. Attached is an update from Randy Blake, the brother of Nick Blake who disappeared in Guatemala. I thought you might want to pass it along to whomever is checking into this for you. 2. If you need me to take on any kind of assignment, holler. I have a lot of flexibility in my current position. Enclosure To: Thomas L. Ashley From: Randy Blake PB Subject: Update on Recent Trip to Guatemala Date: May 4, 1989 As I mentioned, my father and I traveled to Guatemala on April 20-23 to meet with the U.S. Embassy in Guatemala, as well as other meetings. The following is an update on the results from that trip. Meeting with U.S. Embassy On April 21, my father and I met with U.S. Ambassador Jim Michel, U.S. Military Attache Colonel George Hooker, Consul General Phil Jones, and Consul Rick Ricardo to receive an update on the progress of their investigation of my brother's disappearance. We discussed the following topics: A. Status of their Request for Civil Patrol List As we mentioned, our embassy has requested since December 1988 a roster of the civil patrol members from the area where my brother disappeared. They believe that this roster will assist them in proving that the suspects who have been named by our source actually live in that town of El Llano. In late December 1988, Colonel Hooker questioned the leader of the civil patrol from El Llano, who has been implicated in the incident by our source. He claimed that those men did not exist, and thus could not have killed my brother. The Embassy has requested the list from the highest levels of the Guatemalan military. So far, they have not received it. Both the Ambassador and Colonel George Hooker believe that the Guatemalans are purposely delaying getting this list. We pointed out that this list could be easily changed to remove these names However, the Ambassador and Colonel Hooker believe that if they obtain this list, and it does have those names on it, then this is the surest way to prove that the civil patrol leader in El Llano is lying. Additionally, their Guatemalan Army contacts have stated that if those names are on the list, then they will put together a search party to pick them up. B. Discussion of President Bush's Involvement We discussed the possibility that President Bush, or his staff, may provide assistance on the case. I discussed our attempts, (through you), to make -2- President Bush aware of our current predicament and to seek his or the White House staff's involvement in the case. The Ambassador stated that he would welcome the President's involvement and said that his direct contact with President Venicio Cerezo of Guatemala would be very helpful. Meeting with Colonel Ortega On April 22, my father and I met with Colonel Hooker and the Chief of the Guatemalan Army Intelligence Service (G-2), Colonel "Paco" Ortega. Colonel Ortega is the principal Army contact that Colonel Hooker has dealt with over the last year on this case, in addition to Guatemalan Minister of Defense Hector Gramajo. Col. Ortega stated that he would get the civil patrol roster the following week, stating that he did not think that there would be a problem. We also discussed whether this investigation would cause problems for the Army in this area, since they rely upon the civil patrol so much for their basic counter- insurgency system. He said that this would not be any real factor in their ability to move. Col. Ortega stated that if it was established that these men who were named by our contact existed, he would put together a detachment of troops from the area, along with the police to pick these men up. Recent Follow-Up with U.S. Embassy Since our trip, I have been in contact with Consul General Phil Jones about the status of their request for the civil patrol roster. I spoke with Mr. Jones as recently as May 4. They still have not obtained the list from Colonel Ortega. I have expressed my reservations to Mr. Jones about the efficacy of continuing to wait much longer for a list that was requested over 5 months ago. I also emphasized that a roster of names should not be the determining factor for action that could have taken place one year ago. 3992 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON May 23, 1989 TO: BRENT SCOWCROFT FROM: JAMES W. CICCONI Assistant to the President and Deputy to the Chief of Staff Please provide status report to the President by COB tomorrow. He should be able to call Ashley before leaving for NATO. WHITE HOUSE SHINGTON DATE: May 22, 1989 FROM THE PRESIDENT To: Brent Scowcroft 311 Awhile back I sent you a memo from Lud Ashley regarding the Blake case in Nicaragua. Here is a new letter on the case. "I need to get back soon to Mr. Ashley on this. Please give the system a kick. cc: John Sununu Jim Cieconi NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL TIME STAMP EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT STAFFING DOCUMENT 89 MAY 23 P4: 40 SYSTEM LOG NUMBER: 3992 ACTION OFFICER: PACELLI DUE: 23 May 1989 Prepare Memo For Scowcroft/Gates Appropriate Action Prepare Memo For Cicconi Prepare Memo for Hughes X Prepare Memo Scowcroft the President to CONCURRENCES/COMMENTS* PHONE* to action officer at ext. FYI FYI FYI Basora Lampley Relss Beers Leach Rice Blackwill Lewis Rodman Brooks Lowenkron Rostow Cabelly Mahley Salvetti Charles Mandel Snider Coulson McCue Tahir-Khell Deal Melby Tobey Donley Menan Welch Dyke Miller Working Ebner Miskel Zelikow Grant Needels Haass Paal Hoffamann Pacelli Hutchings Pastorino Jackson Popadiuk LaMagna Porter Kanter Rademaker INFORMATION X Hughes Gates (advance) Exec. Sec. Desk Scowcroft (advance) X Secretariat COMMENTS Logged By gc Return to Secretariat NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL TIME STAMP EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT STAFFING DOCUMENT 89 MAY 23 P 4: 40 SYSTEM LOG NUMBER: 3992 ACTION OFFICER: PACELLI 23 May 1989 DUE: Prepare Memo For Scowcroft/Gates Appropriate Action Prepare Memo For Cicconi Prepare Memo for Hughes Prepare Memo Scowcroft the President to CONCURRENCES/COMMENTS* PHONE* to action officer at ext. FYI FYI YI Basora Lampley Reiss Beers Leach Rice Blackwill Lewis Rodman Brooks Lowenkron Rostow Cabelly Mahley Salvetti Charles Mandel Snider Coulson McCue Tahir-Khell Deal Melby Tobey Donley Menan Welch Dyke Miller Working Ebner Miskel Zelikow Grant Needels Haass Paal Hoffamann Pacelli Hutchings Pastorino Jackson Popadiuk LaMagna: THE Porter Y Kanter Rademaker INFORMATION Hughes Gates (advance) Exec. Sec. Desk Scowcroft (advance) Secretariat COMMENTS Logged By gc Return to Secretariat Ω File but Afterm th of May 10, 7989 5/9 Cays Attempt Not used, letter sent instead TALKING POINTS FOR THE PRESIDENT'S CALL TO GUATEMALAN PRESIDENT -- Mr. President, I am calling you today to congratulate you and the Guatemalan people for having again so staunchly defended democracy. -- The process of constitutional democracy not only survives yet another challenge, but becomes stronger as a result. --- The Guatemalan people expressed their political preference in 1985 and will again cast their ballots in 1990, thus ensuring a constituional transfer of power. -- This latest attempt to break this democratic process by a small core of civilians and military elements shows us that democracy should not be taken for granted. We must all remain vigilant in its defense. -- You have Mr. President the praise of my government and the American people for the defense of your constitution and our continuing firm commitment to support Guatemalan democracy. Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 16b. memo From Stephen Benko to David Pacelli not P-1, F-1 S RE: Guatemala (1 pp.) dated P-5 COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(n)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRAJ F-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRAJ F-2 Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA) agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] F-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and Information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] F-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] F-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] IMMEDIATE UNCLASSIFIED WHITE HOUSE SITUATION ROOM PAGE 01 OF 02 PRT: SIT SIT: VAX PREC. IMMEDIATE -CLAS UNCLASSIFIED <DTG> 091605Z MAY 89 FM AMEMBASSY GUATEMALA TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 1293 RUEHIA/USIA WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9422 INFO RUEHMU/AMEMBASSY MANAGUA IMMEDIATE 4083 RUEHSJ/AMEMBASY SAN JOSE IMMEDIATE 7647 RUEHSN/AMEMBASSY SAN SALVADOR IMMEDIATE 8059 RUEHTG/AMEMBASSY TEGUCIGALPA IMMEDIATE 8754 RHLBAAA/USCINCSO QUARRY HTS PM IMMEDIATE UNCLAS GUATEMALA 05430 E.0. 12356: N/A TAGS: PINS, PGOV, ASEC, GT SUBJECT: GUATEMALAN GOVERNMENT STATEMENT ON FAILED COUP 1. THERE WAS AN ATTEMPTED COUP D'ETAT IN GUATEMALA ON THE MORNING OF MAY 9. LOYAL TROOPS PUT DOWN THE ATTEMPT. AT APPROXIMATELY 0830 LOCAL TIME, THE OFFICE OF PUBLIC RELATIONS OF THE PRESIDENCY CALLED THE PAO TO PASS ALONG A MESSAGE WHICH THE GOG WAS ANXIOUS THE USG RECEIVE. AN INFORMAL TRANSLATION OF THE MESSAGE FOLLOWS: BEGIN TRANSLATION: FROM THE GOVERNMENT OF THE REPUBLIC TO THE PEOPLE OF GUATEMALA A GROUP OF RETIRED OFFICERS AND CIVILIANS WHOSE NAMES WILL BE MADE AVAILABLE LATER PROVOKED AN ACTION OF INDISCIPLINE AT THE TACTICAL COMMAND OF THE GUATEMALAN AIR FORCE WITH THE OBJECTIVE OF BREAKING CONSTITUTIONAL ORDER. THE ARMY OF GUATEMALA HAS THE SITUATION UNDER CONTROL AND HAS DETAINED THE INSTIGATORS OF THIS MOVEMENT. THE CONSTITUTIONAL PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC ASKS THE PEOPLE UNCLASSIFIED IMMEDIATE UNCLASSIFIED WHITE HOUSE SITUATION ROOM PAGE 02 OF 02 OF GUATEMALA TO REMAIN CALM. AND MAINTAIN THEIR SUPPORT FOR THE DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTION. END TRANSLATION 2. THE GOVERNMENT HAS ANNOUNCED THAT IT WILL MAKE ANOTHER PUBLIC STATEMENT LATER THIS MORNING. AS FAR AS EMBASSY KNOWS. THE COUP ATTEMPT HAS FAILED COMPLETELY. THE STREETS ARE CALM AND BUSINESS IS GOING ON AS USUAL. RADIO. TELEVISION AND PHONE LINES REMAIN OPEN. THE PRESIDENT IS REPORTEDLY MEETING WITH THE CABINET. HIS PERSONAL SECRETARY (AND VICE FOREIGN MINISTER MARTINI) HAVE ASSURED AMBASSADOR THAT PRESIDENT CEREZO AND OTHER GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS ARE SAFE. MICHEL BT *5430 UNCLASSIFIED PACELLI 2493 ->File Guat. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON April 13, 1989 Dear Mr. President: Thank you for your letter endorsing the Bipartisan Accord on Central America. I am delighted that you are so strongly supportive of the step that I took with our Congress. I am convinced that we can succeed if the Central American democracies continue to press the Sandinistas to live up to their commitments made at the OAS to establish a democracy. This will require not only the United States speaking out in support of the democratization of Nicaragua, but strong, public, vocal support from the countries in the region. I was delighted when President Arias spoke so forthrightly on this subject during his visit with me last week. I will be encouraging all leaders who treasure democracy, like yourself, to urge upon Nicaragua the path of democratic reform. My respect and thanks to you for your letter. Sincerely, CyBl His Excellency Vinicio Cerezo President of the Republic of Guatemala Guatemala CONFIDENTIAL THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN 4/13/84 THE WHITE HOUSE CONFIDENTIAL 2493 WASHINGTON 711 3.41 April 11, 1989 ACTION MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT FROM: BRENT SCOWCROFT B SUBJECT: Reply to Guatemalan President Cerezo's Letter of Support for the Bipartisan Accord on Central America Purpose To thank President Cerezo for his support for the Bipartisan Accord and reinforce his willingness to cooperate with us in implementing it. Background President Cerezo delivered a letter to our Embassy giving strong backing to the Bipartisan Accord. You have directed that we respond promptly along the lines of a suggested text at Tab B. RECOMMENDATION That you sign the letter to President Cerezo at Tab A. Attachments Tab A - Response from the President to President Cerezo Tab B - - The President's Draft Response to President Cerezo Tab C - - President Cerezo's Letter to the President CC: Vice President Chief of Staff DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 (b) White House Guidelines Augustor 8, 1997 UNCLASSIFIED By CLASSINED ATTACHMENTS JG Pj 10/19/01 case No. 99-0466-F Declassify on: OADR CONFIDENTIAL Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 17b. memo From Brent Scowcroft to President Bush 04/13/89 P-1, F-1 C RE: reply to President Cerezo's letter [SENT FOR AGENCY REFERRAL] (1 pp.) COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified In formation [(a)(I) of the PRA) F-1 National security classified information ((b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] F-2 Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] F-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] F-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] F-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIAJ THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON DATE: 4-9 89 FROM THE PRESIDENT 4 cality To: Brent needs How about osmethign liek this to go out today to Cerezo Dear Mr. President: Thank you for your cable. I am delighted that you are so strongly supportive of the step that 1 took with out Congress. I am convinced that if the Central American Democracies continue tio press Nicaragua to live up to its commitment made ot the OAS regarding Democracy thast we can succeed. Thsi will require not only the USA speaking out in support of Democratization ion Nicaaragu but strong open vocal support from the countrie in the area. I was deligthed when President Oscar Arias spoke so forthrightly on thsi subject last week and I will be encouraging all leaders, lie like yourself, who treasure Democracy to urge upon Nicaragua the Democratiuc path. My respect and thanks to you for your cable. Most Suicnerely IMMEDIATE CONFIDENTIAL 2493 WHITE HOUSE SITUATION ROOM PAGE 01 OF 02 THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEM PRT DONLEY GATES HUGHES SCOWCROFT SIT: AYERS PACELLI PRES : MSGS BRANSCUM PREC. IMMEDIATE <CLAS> CONFIDENTIAL <DTG> 061458Z APR 89 FM AMEMBASSY GUATEMALA TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 0453 INFO RUEHMU/AMEMBASSY MANAGUA 4015 RUEHSJ/AMEMBASSY SAN JOSE 7529 RUEHSN/AMEMBASSY SAN SALVADOR 7948 RUEHTG/AMEMBASSY TEGUCIGALPA 86.06 DECLASSIFIED RHLBAAA/USCINCSO QUARRY HTS PM E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5(b) White House Guidelines, August 28. 1997 GONE D E N A LIMITED OFFICIAL USE GUATEMALA 03978 By JGP NARA, Date 10/19/01 E.O. 12356: N/A case No. 99-0466-F TAGS: PREL, XK, GT SUBJECT: CEREZO LETTER TO PRESIDENT BUSH PRAISING BIPARTISAN ACCORD REF: GT 3665 (NOTAL) 1. FOLLOWING IS TEXT OF LETTER RECEIVED FROM GUATEMALAN PRESIDENT CEREZO PRAISING BIPARTISAN ACCORD. ORIGINAL BEING POUCHED. 2. BEGIN TEXT: MARCH 30, 1989 DEAR PRESIDENT BUSH, THE WISE POSITION THAT YOU HAVE ASSUMED IN RELATION TO THE REALITY OF THE CENTRAL AMERICAN COUNTRIES, HAS GIVEN ME PROFOUND SATISFACTION AND RESTORED MY HOPES OF ACHIEVING, NOT FAR FROM TODAY, THE PEACE AND WELFARE FOR OUR PEOPLES. I WISH TO CONGRATULATE YOU FOR THE EFFORT PERFORMED IN THE SIGNING OF THE BIPARTITE AGREEMENT WITH THE CONGRESS OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA; AND MOST RESPECTFULLY CONVEY THE FOLLOWING PRESIDENTIAL AND PERSONAL STATEMENTS: CONF IDENTIAL iMMEDIATE CONF IDENTIAL WHITE HOUSE SITUATION ROOM PAGE 02 OF 02 THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA CONSIDERS THE SIGNING OF THIS AGREEMENT A HISTORICAL EVENT. THE SAID BIPARTITE AGREEMENT NOT ONLY REFLECTS BUT FULLY SUPPORTS THE ATTITUDE THAT THE UNDERSIGNED AND THE PRESIDENTS OF THE CENTRAL AMERICAN COUNTRIES HAVE MAINTAINED SINCE THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE ESQUIPULAS PEACE PLAN. THE UNDERSIGNED RECOGNIZES THE IMPORTANCE. AND EXPRESSES HIS DEEPEST THANKFULNESS, OF THE SPECIAL CONSIDERATION GIVEN BY THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA AND BY THEIR CONGRESS, IN THE SIGNING OF THE SAID AGREEMENT. TO THE POSITION AND VIEWS OF THE FIVE CENTRAL AMERICAN PRESIDENTS FIRMLY OUTSPOKEN IN THE DECLARATION THAT RESULTED FROM THEIR MEETING IN EL SALVADOR ON FEBRUARY 14-15, 1989. IT IS WITH THE MOST DETERMINED PERSONAL AND IDEOLOGICAL CONVICTION THAT THE CONSTITUTIONAL PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF GUATEMALA REGARDS PROCEEDINGS OF THIS NATURE AS OF UTMOST SIGNIFICANCE IN OUR SEARCH FOR PEACE, STABILITY AND DEVELOPMENT, BY MEANS OF POLITICAL MECHANISMS AND DIALOGUE. KINDLY ALLOW ME TO INVITE YOU AGAIN, DEAR PRESIDENT BUSH, TO SHARE WITH US, CENTRAL AMERICANS, THE CHALLENGE IMPLIED IN THE CONQUEST OF OUR FUTURE. SINCERELY, MARCO VINICIO CEREZO AREVALO CONSTITUTIONAL PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF GUATEMALA END TEXT. MICHEL BT *3978 CONF IDENTIAL IDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL 2493 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON, D.C. 20508 April 10, 1989 ACTION MEMORANDUM FOR BRENT SCOWCROFT DAP FROM: DAVID A. PACELLI SUBJECT: Presidential Response to Letter from Guatemalan President Cerezo Supporting the Bipartisan Accord on Central America The President has directed that we prepare a letter for his signature today responding to a letter of support for the Bipartisan Accord on Central America from Guatemalan President Cerezo (Tab B). Your memorandum for the President at Tab I follows closely the President's suggested text, providing light editing where appropriate. RECOMMENDATION: That you approve the memorandum to the President at Tab I. Approve Disapprove Attachments Tab I - Scowcroft Memorandum to the President Tab A - Response from the President to President Cerezo Tab B - The President's Draft Response to President Cerezo Tab C - President Cerezo's Letter to the President DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5 (b) White HOUNC CASSHOLD UPON REMOVAL 38. 1997 By CLASSIFIED AT FACHMENTS JG P, 10/19/01 Case No. 94-0466-F CONFIDENTIAL Declassify on: OADR CONFIDENTIAL NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL TIME STAMP CONFIDENTIAL EXECUTIVE SECRETARIAT STAFFING DOCUMENT URGENT SYSTEM LOG NUMBER: 2493 89 APR 11 all: 50 ACTION OFFICER: DUE: 10 APR 89 Prepare Memo For Scowcroft/Gates Appropriate Action Prepare Memo For Cicconi Prepare Memo for Hughes Prepare Memo to CONCURRENCES/COMMENTS* PHONE* to action officer at ext. 3860 FYI FYI FYI Beers Kelly Rice Blackwill Lampley Rodman Brooks Leach Rostow Cabelly Lowenkron Saunders Charles Mahley Snider- Childress McCue Tahir-Kheli Curtin Melby Tobey Donley Menan Working Ebner Miller Farrar Miskel Grant Paal Grimes Pastorino Haass Perina Heiser Popadiuk Jackson Porter INFORMATION Hughes Perito Secretariat Scowcroft (advance) Gates (advance) Exec. Sec. Desk COMMENTS URGENT UNCLASSIFIED UPON REMOVAL OF CLASSIFIED CONFIDENTIAL ATTACHMENTS JGP, 12/15/99 Logged By 24 Return to Secretariat SECRET SECRET PACELLI 1270 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN March 1, 1989 DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 13526 2005-1062-MR MEETING WITH VINICIO CEREZO DATE: March 2, 1989 SCS 5/25/11 LOCATION: Oval Office TIME: 10:30 a.m. - 10:50 a.m. I. PURPOSE FROM: BRENT SCOWCROFT Rates President Cerezo's visit is an opportunity to express our support for the fragile democracy in Guatemala and to underscore the importance of maintaining political pressure on Nicaragua in the Central American peace process. II. BACKGROUND President Cerezo came to power in January 1986 as the first civilian president in over 15 years. He last visited the White House in May 1987. This visit is intended to establish contacts with your Administration and to counteract press and Congressional misperceptions of the human rights situation in Guatemala and allegations of undue military influence on the government. Cerezo met with the Vice President on March 1 and is meeting with a variety of Congressional leaders. President Cerezo concentrated exclusively on regional peace matters in his discussions with the Vice President and he may attempt to focus on domestic matters in his meeting with you. The political situation in Guatemala has calmed considerably since a coup attempt last May, but democracy still requires careful tending and U.S. support. Guatemala continues to be haunted by its past history of a brutal counterinsurgency campaign and death squad activity. While some human rights abuses continue, they are isolated cases and are not supported by the government or the army hierarchy. Human rights groups do not give Cerezo any credit, however, and frequently make unsubstantiated charges that the government is behind almost all political killings. With the return of democracy, U.S. military aid was restored in FY 1986. Nevertheless, because of Congressional concerns, it remains limited--some $10 million--and lethal aid is prohibited. Guatemala increasingly has resorted to commercial purchases and some members of Congress argue that CC: Vice President SECRET Chief of Staff Declassify on: OADR SECRET SECRE SECRET 2 our approval of such sales represents a fundamental policy shift that Congress should have approved. The army is able to contain the guerrillas, estimated at 1,500 combatants, but it lacks the helicopters and communications equipment to have any prospect of eliminating the threat. On narcotics matters, Cerezo's government has been helpful. For the short term, the army has agreed to provide armed helicopter escort for our spraying operations to eradicate marijuana and poppy fields. We will have to come up with more resources if we expect to capitalize on Cerezo's apparent willingness to cooperate. You may wish to return the discussion to the Central American peace process in order to reconfirm some of the points made by the Vice President. Cerezo says all the right things in his meetings with U.S. officials, but he has not been helpful when he has participated in Central American meetings and he has not delivered on his promises. Cerezo told the Vice President, for example, that we must be open-eyed about Sandinista promises, verify their performance, and establish guarantees for those who return to Nicaragua. He assured us that the Central American summit agreement only calls for formulating a plan to demobilize the Contras within 90 days, and that demobilization itself could be quite a long way off. He was very enthusiastic about converting the Resistance to an unarmed political organization and said he would support the internal opposition. We have to pin Cerezo down to specific commitments and get him to speak out publicly. III. PARTICIPANTS Attached at Tab B. IV. PRESS PLAN Photo and writing pool. V. SEQUENCE Photo opportunity followed by discussion. Prepared by: DAVID A. PACELLI Attachments Tab A - Talking Points Tab B - Participants List Tab C - Biography SECRET Declassify on: OADR SECRET SECRET SECRET 1270 POINTS TO BE MADE IN MEETING WITH GUATEMALAN PRESIDENT VINICIO CEREZO Democracy and Human Rights -- I have a strong interest in helping preserve the democratic system established in Guatemala when you took office. -- I applaud the hard decisions you have had to make to promote economic reform, combat an insurgency, and provide support to national institutions such as the military and police. -- Human rights is central to our relationship and profoundly influences its development; the progress that you have made in preserving human rights is frequently unrecognized. -- At the same time, it is extremely important that you continue to demonstrate results in holding accountable those responsible for abuses--including the security forces--and that your Government make every effort to defend itself against unsubstantiated allegations. Narcotics -- Our joint cooperation has been exemplary but we need to do more together if we are to avoid Guatemala's becoming a major drug producer and transhipment point. U.S. Military Aid -- We have sought to assist you in meeting the legitimate security requirements of your armed forces and will continue to work with the Congress on this issue. -- Congressmen will be most interested in your personal assessment of civil-military relations in Guatemala. SECRET Declassify on: OADR DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 12958 99-0466-F SECRET 02 Aug 04 LT SECRET SECRET 2 -- Your position here can be greatly strengthened by more concrete evidence that the military is subject to civilian guidance and accountability. Central American Peace Issues I understand that you had a good discussion with the Vice President on peace issues. As he told you, our policy is based on forging a bipartisan consensus to achieve the objectives of Esquipulas and Sapoa. We want to put muscle into those objectives through a range of carrots and sticks. We want to work closely with the democracies, but we expect to be consulted too. We are concerned that we were not consulted on the communique issued in El Salvador. -- We intend to go forward shortly with a proposal to extend humanitarian aid for the Nicaraguan Resistance. We would appreciate it if the democracies acknowledge publicly that this aid is consistent with the El Salvador agreement. -- I also believe that the Resistance should be consulted about its own destiny. -- I know that you agree with us that we must all carefully monitor Sandinista performance. We must develop a specific set of criteria against which their actions can be measured. How can we get the democracies to speak out? -- Do you have any specific ideas on how we can assure that the internal opposition is as strong and unified as possible? -- I understand you told the Vice President that there must be guarantees for the safety of the Resistance if they reintegrate into Nicaraguan society. How do you propose to provide those guarantees? SECRET. SECRET LIST OF PARTICIPANTS United States The President The Vice President James Baker, Secretary of State John Sununu, Chief of Staff Brent Scowcroft, National Security Advisor Michael Kozak, Acting Assistant Secretary for Inter-American Affairs James H. Michel, Ambassador to Guatemala Robert S. Pastorino, NSC (Notetaker) Guatemala President Vinicio Cerezo Sara Mishaan, Minister for Specific Affairs Rodolfo Rohrmoser, Ambassador of Guatemala Claudia Arenas, Secretary for Press Relations Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 18c. bio [Biographical Information] (1 pp.) 02/23/89 P-1, F-1 S P-5 COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRAJ F-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIAJ P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] F-2 Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIAJ financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] F-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] F-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] F-7 Release would disclose Information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial Institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] SECRET SECRET 1270 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON, D.C. 20506 March 1, 1989 ACTION MEMORANDUM FOR BRENT SCOWCROFT THROUGH: ROBERT S. PASTORINO DAP FROM: DAVID A. PACELLI SUBJECT: The President's Meeting with President Cerezo of Guatemala Guatemalan President Cerezo will visit the President on Thursday, March 2 at 10:30 a.m. Our points to be made for the President emphasize our continuing support for democracy in Guatemala and the need to keep political pressure on Nicaragua to comply with its peace commitments. RECOMMENDATION That you approve at Tab I the meeting memorandum for the President. Approve 8 Disapprove Attachments Tab I - Meeting Memorandum for the President Tab A - Points to be Made Tab E - Biography Tab - Participants List DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12958, Sec. 3.5(b) 1997 White CLASSIFIED ATTACHMENTS case No.99-0466-F JGP, 10/19/01 SECRET Declassify on: OADR SECRET PASTORINO TCONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL 1355 with SECRET Attachment NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON, D.C. 20506 March 3, 1989 MEMORANDUM FOR MR. MELVYN LEVITSKY Executive Secretary Department of State SUBJECT: Instructions from the President to Convey to Venezuelan President Perez a Summary of the President's Conversation with Guatemalan President Cerezo TG) In his telephone conversation of March 3, 1989 with Venezuelan President Perez, the President said that he would ask Ambassador Reich to give President Perez a readout on the recent visit of Guatemalan President Cerezo to the Oval Office. The memorandum of the President's conversation with President Cerezo on March 2 is attached at Tab A. TCL G: Philip Hughes Executiv Secretary Attachment Tab A - Memorandum of Conversation Between the President and Guatemalan President Cerezo DECLASSIFIED CONFIDENTIAL PER E.O. 12958 with SECRET Attachment 99-0466-F Declassify on: OADR 02 Aug 04 LT CONFIDENTIAL SECRET SECRET 1322 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON MEMORANDUM OF CONVERSATION SUBJECT: Meeting with President Vinicio Cerezo of Guatemala PARTICIPANTS: The President The Vice President James Baker, Secretary of State John Sununu, Chief of Staff Brent Scowcroft, National Security Advisor James H. Michel, Ambassador to Guatemala Michael Kozak, Acting Assistant Secretary of State for Inter-American Affairs Robert Pastorino, NSC (Notetaker) President Vinicio Cerezo Sara Mishaan, Minister for Specific Affairs Rodolfo Rohrmoser, Ambassador of Guatemala Claudia Arenas, Secretary for Press Relations DATE, TIME March 2, 1989, 10:30 a.m. - 11:05 a.m. AND PLACE: Oval Office The President and President Cerezo met for thirty-five minutes in the Oval Office to discuss Central American regional issues and U.S.-Guatemalan bilateral issues. (Cerezo spoke somewhat broken English--some not fully intelligible.) The President began the meeting by welcoming Cerezo to Washington. After discussing his Far East trip and the press corps, the President turned the floor over to Cerezo. President Cerezo said he was in Washington on a private visit to meet with the Administration and Congressional officials about misperceptions concerning respect for human rights in Guatemala. He noted he had already met with some Congressmen and was providing specific details on alleged violations of human rights. He then added there was considerable interest on the Hill about the Central American peace process and economic development in Guatemala. President Cerezo noted that he was satisfied with current economic development trends in Guatemala. He stated his Government has an agreement with the International Monetary Fund; with USG support similar to current levels and programs, economic development should continue. Cerezo noted his efforts to work with the private sector. DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 12958 SECRET- 99-0466-F Declassify on: OADR 02 Aug 04 LT SECRET SECRET 2 SECRET President Cerezo then turned to Central America. He said he was trying to elaborate a plan to assure democratization in Nicaragua. He stated his belief that Nicaragua's back was against the wall because of its economic problems; that the Presidents of the four Central American democracies are not naive about Sandinista intentions; and that they must refine and explore the Tesoro Accord. The President said he was encouraged about economic development in Guatemala and was glad to hear a positive policy on human rights. The President then noted his disappointment that the U.S. didn't know about the Tesoro Agreement in advance. He noted real U.S. commitments in Central America which he is trying to support, and that "life is a two-way" street. The President noted we now have 90 days under the El Salvador Agreement. He asked how we could be sure the Sandinistas would comply with their commitments (since Ortega had broken them before) and how we could put teeth in the agreement. The President said the U.S. does not want to overthrow Ortega but only wants the political benefits for. the Nicaraguan people enjoyed by Guatemalans. He said he needed to be convinced about Sandinista sincerity and didn't want to be part of a situation in which a non-democratic cancer flourishes and spreads. He noted changes in rhetoric by Ortega but asked for evidence. The President hoped Cerezo agreed with the U.S. on the need for further humanitarian assistance for the Nicaraguan Resistance. We haven't yet convinced Congress or the American people about the reality of the Resistance; thus there has been division in the U.S. He said we would be speaking with one voice in the future. President Bush also noted that the U.S. has to change the age-old perception of being the colossus of the north. He said he wanted to find ways to dispel that reputation and to work together with Latin America. President Cerezo noted there is a very positive feeling in Latin America--and especially in Central America--about President Bush. He noted there is a perception of the President's sensitivity to relations and to problems. He stated this is a historic moment to accomplish something in Central America. Even Daniel Ortega said good things, according to Cerezo, and so did Carlos Andres Perez. President Cerezo noted it is time to seek practical ways to reach our common goals; time is running against Nicaragua; they are losing even Northern European support and confidence. Europeans are also changing in a postive manner their opinions of SECRET SECRET SECRET 3 SECRET Guatemala, he added, and are now providing assistance to the Government rather than only to nongovernmental agencies. The Europeans are also telling Ortega to comply. Cerezo said he also believes the Soviets had told Ortega that they would not continue assistance. All of this was causing changes in Sandinista attitudes. The President asked Cerezo how we develop specific criteria and mechanisms as well as how he could provide guarantees. President Cerezo thought the Sandinistas only negotiate when they are desperate and said that "we must have a plan." He said the Sandinistas must be forced to comply or the world must be shown their non-compliance. He said the Central Americans must avoid Sandinista destabilization. Cerezo noted the need for opposition people inside Nicaragua to organize for elections. He offered to help his friends (Christian Democrats?) to do that. Secretary Baker asked why the U.S., the Central American democracies and some Europeans could not get together to develop a plan containing specific time lines with respect to Sandinista promises. The U.S. will be unified and we also could work with Venezuela, Canada, and perhaps others. With regard to the repatriation plan, there would be repatriation once Nicaragua had kept its promises. Meanwhile--for the next eleven months until the election--we will maintain the Resistance. He said it doesn't make sense to repatriate in exchange for promises. He asked Cerezo why we don't ask for performance while we keep the Contras in being--but without lethal aid. He noted he hoped to begin consultations with Congress this afternoon and said we might be able to reduce economic sanctions--but only after some Nicaraguan performance in meeting their promises to democratize. President Cerezo said he was in agreement on humanitarian assistance. Secretary Baker emphasized that he was talking about 11-12 months which should be enough time to judge Ortega's performance. President Cerezo again said he wanted to help the internal opposition. Secretary Baker stated we had to hold out the possibility of the Resistance in case Ortega doesn't comply. The President says there is a strong feeling that the U.S. can't back off or be seen as weakening on our commitment to the people of Nicaragua. We feel strongly, he added. General Scowcroft asked Cerezo if he would state his agreement (to what he had said) publicly. Cerezo said he can now say more publicly because people don't believe he is being forced by the U.S. SECRET SECRET SECRET 4 SECRET Secretary Baker said the U.S. is willing to give diplomacy a chance; but in order to do that we will need vocal Central American support as Scowcroft has mentioned. He said we must dissuade people of the perception that Central America wants to disband the Resistance. Baker added finally that Cerezo should know that if Nicaragua becomes a back-burner issue, Honduras, Guatemala, and El Salvador will receive more attention from our political opponents. The President said the leftist activists don't care about democracy; in fact, some support the FMLN and the Guatemalan guerrillas. He again said the U.S. does not want to "smother" the Central Americans. The meeting then ended. SECRET SECRET CONFIDENTIAL CONF IDENTIAL 1355 with SECRET Attachment NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL WASHINGTON, D.C. 20506 March 3, 1989 ACTION MEMORANDUM FOR G. PHILIP HUGHES DAP for THROUGH: ROBERT S. PASTORINO FROM: DAVID A. PACELLI DAY SUBJECT: Transmittal to the State Department of the Memorandum of Conversation on March 2, 1989 Between the President and Guatemalan President Cerezo In his telephone conversation on March 3 with Venezuelan President Perez, the President said that he would ask our Ambassador to give President Perez a readout on the recent visit to the Oval Office of President Cerezo of Guatemala. The memorandum of that telephone conversation (originally submitted to you as system log number 1322) is attached at Tab A. For your information, Ambassador Reich has already called our office to learn of the results of the President's conversation with President Perez. He called a second time to find out the highlights of the President's conversation with President Cerezo, as he planned to use that information in his appointment with President Perez at 2 p.m. today. RECOMMENDATION: That you sign the memorandum to the State Department Executive Secretary at Tab I transmitting the President's instructions and the memorandum of conversation. Approve 1936 Disapprove Attachment Tab I - Hughes to Levitsky memorandum Tab A - - Memorandum of Conversation Between the President and Guatemalan President Cerezo DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 12958 CONFIDENTIAL with SECRET Attachment 99-0466-F Declassify on: OADR 02 Aug 04 LT CONFIDENTIAL Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 20a. memo From Carnes Lord & Jon Glassman to Vice President 02/28/89 P-1, F-1 S Quayle P-5 RE: meeting with President Cerezo, Guatemala (2 pp.) COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] F-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] F-2 Release would disclose Internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial Information [(a)(4) of the PRAJ F-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] F-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA) F-7 Release would disclose Information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial Institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical Information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIAJ VP MEETING W/PRESIDENT VINICIO CEREZO, GUATEMALA, WED. MARCH 1, 1989 SECRET 1 of 2 We support democracy in Guatemala and are aware of questioning in Congress on our military supply relationship, particularly the sale of M-16's and an A- 37. We will try to provide Congress a balanced view of the human rights situation in Guatemala. Is there anything we can do together to improve the administration of justice and guidance of the armed forces and police to prevent human rights abuses? SECRET 2 of 2 The U.S. has serious security interests in Central America. We have problems about pressure on the contras to disband before the Sandinistas have used their influence to reduce regional subversion and have fully implemented their democratic promises. The Central American Presidents, before their scheduled April meeting, should ensure that U.S. interests are fully taken into account. Appeasement of the Sandinistas will only undermine Central America democracies and our capability of supporting them. SECRET DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 12958 99-0466-F 02 Aug 04 LT Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 20c. briefing meeting with President Cerezo, Guatemala (4 pp.) not P-1, F-1 S paper dated P-5 COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] F-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] F-2 Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] F-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] F-6 Release would constitute B clearly unwarranted invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] F-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] SECRET TALKING POINTS Peace Process Our policy in Central America is based on forging a bipartisan consensus on behalf of the objectives stated at Esquipulas and Sapoa and in putting some muscle into those objectives through a range of carrots and sticks. -- The Sandinistas made another set of promises at the El Salvador summit; we all will need to monitor their compliance carefully. -- Guatemala can help assure that the internal opposition is as strong and unified as possible to challenge Sandinista hegemony. -- For contras to reintegrate into Nicaraguan life, conditions must be created for their safety and political rights must be provided. -- U.S. has serious security interests in the region and asks that these interests be respected. -- U.S. wants to work closely with regional democracies on how to promote the change in Nicaragua which can lead to regional stability. -- This includes consolidation of democratic institutions to integrate all sectors and protect individual rights. -- U.S. is committed to continued of support for regional democracies. -- However, we expect to be consulted on regional affairs. We do not appreciate the fact that we were not consulted on the communique issued in Salvador. We expect to be consulted as the process unfolds. Human Rights -- U.S. has a strong interest in helping preserve the democratic system established in Guatemala over the past three years. -- Human rights are central to our relationship and profoundly influence its development. -- We applaud the hard decisions you have had to make to promote economic reform, combat an insurgency, and provide adequate support for crucial national institutions, including the military and the police. SECRET DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 12958 99-0466-F 99- 02 Aug 04 LT SECRET We will continue working with you to build the institutional capacity of your police and judiciary to cope with the high level of criminal violence. -- However, Guatemala's detractors maintain that your Government is dominated by a repressive military and unable to deal with a persistent wave of human rights violations. -- Your visit is key to directly correcting these misperceptions. --- It is extremely important that you continue to demonstrate results in holding accountable those responsible for violence, including individual and former members of the security forces. US Military Cooperation and the Human Rights Situation | We have sought to assist you in meeting the legitimate security requirements of your nation's armed forces. -- Some members of Congress are asking hard questions on how we can justify a military supply relationship, particularly military sales of M-16s and an A-37, when they continue to see reports that the human rights situation in Guatemala has deteriorated. -- We will continue to work with Congress in providing a more balanced picture of the human rights situation in Guatemala. -- Members and staffers in Congress will be most interested in your personal assessment of civil-military relations. --- Your position here can be greatly strengthened by more concrete evidence that the military is subject to civilian guidance and accountability. Narcotics Cooperation --- We are extremely gratified that Minister Gramajo has agreed to temporarily provide a helicopter to perform search-and-rescue capability and provide armed escort for our joint effort to spray marijuana and poppy fields. -- Our joint cooperation efforts have been exemplary but we need to do more together if we are to avoid Guatemala's becoming a major narcotrafficking transhipment and production country. We will be working with you further on this. SECRET Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 20e. bio [Biographical Information] (1 pp.) 02/23/89 P-1, F-1 S P-5 COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRAJ F-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRAJ F-2 Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate B Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets'or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate A Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] F-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] F-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted Invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] F-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes ((b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA) F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] WASHFAX RECEIPT DEPARTMENT OF STATE This Invid in File either file 0713 B PG 1933 S/S # MESSAGE NO. 035661 CLASSIFICATION SECRET No. Pages 11 S/S X75301 7224 FROM: M. LEVITSKY (Officer name) (Office symbol) (Extension) (Room number) MESSAGE DESCRIPTION LEVITSKY/SCOWCROFT MEMORANDUM: Briefing Material for The President's Meeting with Guatemalan President CEREZO TO: (Agency) DELIVER TO: Extension Room No. 2224 GFWW NSCS Robert Perito Executive Secretariat Hugher UNCLASSIFIED UPON Pastorino REMOVAL OF CLASSIFIED AFTACHMENTS Pacelli JEP, 12/15/99 FOR: CLEARANCE INFORMATION PER REQUEST COMMENT REMARKS: Advance Copy provided herewith. Original to follow via courier. S/S Officer: James F. Collins for FORM D6-1760 7-77 Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 21a. memo From Melvyn Levitsky, Dept of State, to Brent not P-1, F-1 S Scowcroft dated P-5 RE: briefing material for President's meeting with Guatemalan President Cerezo (1 pp.) COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] F-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRAJ F-2 Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate B Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] F-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] F-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy [(a)(6) of the PRAJ F-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 21b. briefing for meeting with President Cerezo of Guatemala (4 not P-1, F-1 S paper pp.) dated P-5 COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRAJ F-1 National security classified Information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] F-2 Release would disclose Internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA) F-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] F-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted Invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] F-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA) C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] SECRET TALKING POINTS Peace Process o Our policy in Central America is based on forging 8 bipartisan consensus on behalf of the objectives stated at Esquipulas and Sapoa and in putting some muscle into those objectives through a range of carrots and sticks. The Sandinistas made another set of promises at the El Salvador summit; we all will need to monitor their compliance carefully. --- Guatemala can help assure that the internal opposition is as strong and unified as possible to challenge the Sandinistas in the elections and the democratization process. - For contras to reintegrate into Nicaraguan life, conditions must be created for their safety and political rights must be provided. 1 U.S. has serious security interests in the region and asks that these interests be respected. -- U.S. wants to work closely with regional democracies on how to promote the change in Nicaragua which can lead to regional stability. - This includes consolidation of democratic institutions to integrate all sectors and protect individual rights. - U.S. is committed to continued of support for regional democracies. --- However, we expect to be consulted on regional affairs. We do not appreciate the fact that we were not consulted on the communique issued in Salvador. We expect to be consulted as the process unfolds. Human Rights - U.S. has a strong interest in helping preserve the democratic system established in Guatemala over the past three years. Human rights are central to our relationship and profoundly influence its development. -- We applaud the hard decisions you have had to make to promote economic reform, combat an insurgency, and provide adequate support for crucial national institutions, including the military and the police. SECRET DECLASSIFIED PER E.O. 12958 99-0466-F 02 Aug 04 LT SECRET. -- We will continue working with you to build the institutional capacity of your police and judiciary to cope with the high level of criminal violence. However, Guatemala's detractors maintain that your Government is dominated by a repressive military and unable to deal with a persistent wave of human rights violations. Your visit is key to directly correcting these misperceptions. -- It is extremely important that you continue to demonstrate results in holding accountable those responsible for violence, including individual and former members of the security forces. US Military Cooperation and the Human Rights Situation - We have sought to assist you in meeting the legitimate security requirements of your nation's armed forces. -- Some members of Congress are asking hard questions on how we can justify a military supply relationship, particularly military sales of M-16s and an A-37, when they continue to see reports that the human rights situation in Guatemala has deteriorated. - We will continue to work with Congress in providing a more balanced picture of the human rights situation in Guatemala. -- Members and staffers in Congress will be most interested in your personal assessment of civil-military relations. -- Your position here can be greatly strengthened by more concrete evidence that the military is subject to civilian guidance and accountability. Narcotics Cooperation - We are extremely gratified that Minister Gramajo has agreed to temporarily provide a helicopter to perform search-and-rescue capability and provide armed escort for our joint effort to spray marijuana and poppy fields. --- Our joint cooperation efforts have been exemplary but we need to do more together if we are to avoid Guatemala's becoming a major narcotrafficking transhipment and production country. -- We will be working with you further on this. SECRET Drafted ARA/CEN: RMDotson Smi RUD Cleared: ARA/CEN: PRomero 3/01/89 ELG #8837 ARA/CEN: JSullivan ARA: CArcos S/SE: CBlakeman P: STomchik PM/SAS: TJMorgan HA: LWeintraub S/P: DKurtzer ARA: Mkozak C: JSom ketn - of Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 21d. bio [Biographical Information] (1 pp.) 02/23/89 P-1, F-1 S P-5 COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] F-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] F-2 Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] F-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] F-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted Invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] F-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained In donor's deed of gift. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial Institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 21e. bio [Biographical Information] (1 pp.) 04/29/87 P-1, F-1 C P-5 COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRAJ F-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] F-2 Release would disclose Internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRAJ agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] F-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRAJ F-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy [(a)(6) of the PRAJ F-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 21f. bio [Biographical Information] (1 pp.) 02/24/89 P-1, F-1 P-5 COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] F-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA) P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] F-2 Release would disclose Internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIAJ financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] F-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and Information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRAJ F-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] F-7 Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial Institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA] THE WHITE HOUSE 1078 WASHINGTON March 1, 1989 KBK MEMORANDUM Pastorino TO: Brent Scowcroft FROM: JOSEPH W. HAGIN SUBJECT: APPROVED PRESIDENTIAL ACTIVITY EVENT: Meeting with Guatemalan President Cerezo DATE: March 2, 1989 TIME: 10:30 a.m. DURATION: 20 Minutes LOCATION: Oval Office ATTIRE: Business Suit REMARKS REQUIRED: Talking Points MEDIA COVERAGE: Pool FIRST LADY PARTICIPATION: No ADDITIONAL INFORMATION: CONTACT: , TELEPHONE: OFFICE HOME NOTE: PROJECT OFFICER, SEE ATTACHED CHECKLIST Ed Rogers Marlin Fitzwater David Bates James Cicconi David Demarest David Valdez Fred McClure Jean Lamb USSS. PPD Susan Porter Rose Steve Studdert Operations - Executive Residence Patty Presock John Keller WHCA Audio/Visual Speechwriting Office Tim McBride WHCA Operations Laurie Firestone J. Bonnie Newman Robert Guttman Tony Lopez 1078 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON SCHEDULE PROPOSAL February 28, 1989 TO: JOSEPH HAGIN, II, Director Presidential Appointments and Scheduling FROM: BRENT SCOWCROFT A REQUEST: That the President meet for 30 minutes between March 1-3 with President Cerezo of Guatemala. PURPOSE: A visit would be an opportunity to express our support for the fragile democracy in Guatemala and to underscore the importance of maintaining political pressure on Nicaragua. BACKGROUND: President Cerezo will be in Washington on a private visit. He wants to establish contact with the Administration and address growing public misperceptions of the human rights situation in Guatemala. He plans to make calls on media and foreign policy opinion leaders, focusing on the Congress. We expect that he would want to discuss with the President the latest developments in the Central American peace process and Congressional concerns about our military supply relationship. PREVIOUS PARTICIPATION: The President met President Cerezo when he was Vice President. DATE & TIME: A meeting scheduled before 2:15 p.m. on March 1 is preferred because it would allow President Cerezo to meet with senior Administration officials before discussions with Congressional leaders. DURATION: 30 minutes LOCATION: Oval Office PARTICIPANTS: See Tab A OUTLINE OF EVENTS: Brief photo opportunity followed by discussion. REMARKS REQUIRED: NSC will furnish points to be made. 2 MEDIA COVERAGE: Open photo RECOMMENDED BY: State, NSC OPPOSED BY: None s Attachment Tab A List of Participants LIST OF PARTICIPANTS UNITED STATES The President The Vice President National Security Advisor Chief of Staff Acting Assistant Secretary of State NSC (Notetaker) State Department Interpreter GUATEMALA President Vinicio Cerezo Ambassador of Guatemala Notetaker 1078 THE WHITE HOUSE Pasterino WASHINGTON SCHEDULE PROPOSAL February 28, 1989 TO: JOSEPH HAGIN, II, Director Presidential Appointments and Scheduling FROM: BRENT SCOWCROFT B REQUEST: That the President meet for 30 minutes between March 1-3 with President Cerezo of Guatemala. PURPOSE: A visit would be an opportunity to express our support for the fragile democracy in Guatemala and to underscore the importance of maintaining political pressure on Nicaragua. BACKGROUND: President Cerezo will be in Washington on a private visit. He wants to establish contact with the Administration and address growing public misperceptions of the human rights situation in Guatemala. He plans to make calls on media and foreign policy opinion leaders, focusing on the Congress. We expect that he would want to discuss with the President the latest developments in the Central American peace process and Congressional concerns about our military supply relationship. PREVIOUS PARTICIPATION: The President met President Cerezo when he was Vice President. DATE & TIME: A meeting scheduled before 2:15 p.m. on March 1 is preferred because it would allow President Cerezo to meet with senior Administration officials before discussions with Congressional leaders. DURATION: 30 minutes LOCATION: Oval Office PARTICIPANTS: See Tab A OUTLINE OF EVENTS: Brief photo opportunity followed by discussion. REMARKS REQUIRED: NSC will furnish points to be made. 2 MEDIA COVERAGE: Open photo RECOMMENDED BY: State, NSC OPPOSED BY: None Attachment Tab A List of Participants LIST OF PARTICIPANTS UNITED STATES The President The Vice President National Security Advisor Chief of Staff Acting Assistant Secretary of State NSC (Notetaker) State Department Interpreter GUATEMALA President Vinicio Cerezo Ambassador of Guatemala Notetaker CONFIDENTIAL CONFIDENTIAL 1078 NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL DECLASSIFIED WASHINGTON, D.C. 20506 PER NSC WAIVER, August 6, 2010 By M.M NARA, Date 8/23/2016 February 24, 1989 ACTION MEMORANDUM FOR BRENT SCOWCROFT THROUGH: ROBERT S. PASTORINO DAY for FROM: DAVID A. PACELLI DAP SUBJECT: Request from Guatemalan President Cerezo for a Meeting with the President The State Department has requested that we arrange a meeting between the President and Guatemalan President Vinicio Cerezo during President Cerezo's visit to Washington next week (Tab II). President Cerezo is on a private visit with the primary purpose of countering erroneous media reports of human rights abuses in Guatemala and dominance of his government by the military. He will focus on visits to the Congress, but a meeting with the President would help him considerably. A meeting would enable us to underscore our strong support for Guatemala's fragile democracy. The current political situation has calmed considerably since a coup attempt last May, but still requires careful tending. A meeting would also permit us to discuss the recent Central American summit and to emphasize that political pressure must be maintained on Nicaragua to comply with its commitments. Moreover, it would be a useful opportunity to make sure President Cerezo understands that the Contras must be directly involved in any settlement. We recommend that the Vice President be invited to the meeting, as President Cerezo met him during the Venezuelan inauguration and has asked to see him. RECOMMENDATION That you approve the scheduling memorandum at Tab I. Approve Disapprove Attachments Tab I - Schedule Proposal Tab A - List of Participants Beent - you or Jim Baker Tab II - Levitsky to Scowcroft Memorandum would we satisfactory alternatives unless the CONFIDENTIAL President wants to do this Declassify on: OADR CONFIDENTIAL na. 8903701 1078 United States Department of State Washington, D.C. 20520 February 22, 1989 with SECRET attachment MEMORANDUM FOR BRENT SCOWCROFT THE WHITE HOUSE Subject: Request for Appointment for Guatemalan President Cerezo with President Bush Guatemalan President Vinicio Cerezo (bio attached) plans to visit New York, February 27-28, and Washington, March 1-3. This is an unofficial visit by Cerezo, leader of the moderately leftist Christian Democratic government of Guatemala. Cerezo's primary purpose in coming to the U.S. is to establish contact with the new U.S. Administration and to address growing public misperceptions and criticism of the human rights situation in Guatemala. He plans to make a number of calls on media and foreign policy opinion leaders, focusing on Congress, editorial boards and U.S. human rights groups. He has requested an appointment with President Bush during the period March 1 through March 3. March 1 would be preferrable since he wishes to meet with senior USG officials before discussions with Congressional leaders. We anticipate that Cerezo would want to discuss the latest developments in the Central American regional peace process and Congressional concerns about our military supply relationship and civil-military relations in Guatemala. The Government of Guatemala came to power in the January 1986 elections that reinstituted civilian rule. The current political situation is more stable than at any time since an abortive coup attempt last May, but still requires careful tending. We recommend that the President see Cerezo. Such a meeting would be a useful signal of our continuing support for the fragile democratic transition in Guatemala. Cerezo has also asked to see the Vice President who met with him during the Venezuelan inauguration. We recommend that the Vice President be invited to join the meeting with the President. Melvyn Levitsky Executive Secretary Attachment: Biographic Information. 30 ENGSS b S: 50 CONF IDENTIAL DECLASSIFIED DECL: OADR PER DOS WAIVER, November 6, 2015 By SS NARA, Date 9/26/24 Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) DOCUMENT NO. SUBJECT/TITLE DATE RESTRICTION CLASS. AND TYPE 23d. bio [Biographical Information] (1 pp.) 09/19/86 P-1, F-1 S P-5 COLLECTION Bush Presidential Records National Security Council Latin American Directorate Files FILE LOCATION Guatemala (Subject Files) (January - December 1989) OA/ID Number CF00196 Date Closed 12/07/99 RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] F-1 National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] F-2 Release would disclose Internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(n)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or F-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] F-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President and information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRAJ F-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] privacy ((a)(6) of the PRAJ F-7 Release would disclose Information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of gift. F-8 Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] F-9 Release would disclose geological or geophysical information concerning wells [(b)(9) of the FOIA]