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Originally Processed With FOIA(s): FOIA Number: S S FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential Library Staff. Record Group/Collection: George H.W. Bush Presidential Records Collection/Office of Origin: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Speech File Draft Files Subseries: Chron File, 1989-1993 OA/ID Number: 13614 Folder ID Number: 13614-010 Folder Title: Old House Chamber - [Reform Speech] 4/3/92 [OA 6100] [4] Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: G 26 18 1 1 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON APRIL 1, 1992 MEMORANDUM FOR SAMUEL K. SKINNER HENSON MOORE CLAYTON YEUTTER DORRANCE SMITH DAVID DEMAREST BOYDEN GRAY FROM TONY SNOW TS SUBJECT FRIDAY'S SPEECH Tom Foley and Co. have decided to take the offensive on the reform issue by raving about executive branch perks. They have enjoyed mild success so far: The press really ripped into Judy Smith yesterday about perks, and we didn't have good answers prepared in response. We shouldn't take the bait. Perks aren't the problem in Washington. The problem is that we're not doing the people's business, and we seem to be wrecking our system of government in the process. Americans want action, not finger-pointing. This memo covers two topics: I) a recommendation that we add performance standards to our policy mix for the speech; and 2) a brief discussion of the special possibilities Philadelphia offers as a speech site. I) A POLICY RECOMMENDATION: PERFORMANCE STANDARDS. Friday's speech gives us an opportunity to lift the reform discussion to a higher plane. If we simply try to exploit the Democrats' problems on the Hill, we'll prove that we, like the Democrats, don't understand life outside the Beltway. Americans don't think that their government works, and it's hard to blame them. Taxes and spending continue to rise. Key problems -- lackluster schools, streets increasingly torn by crime, a sluggish economy, feelings of competitive inferiority, etc. -- go unaddressed. We don't pass important legislation; we just set deadlines and argue. Congress suffers historically low approval ratings (18 percent, according to a recent Washington Post/ABC survey) because of scandals, perks, and performance: It never seems to pass really important legislation, but it always manages to find 2 time to finance pork-barrel projects. Many people believe that government works for the special interests, not for them. Jerry Brown, Ross Perot and Pat Buchanan all have feasted upon this combination of voter discontent and suspicion of powerlessness. This year's battle cry: When in doubt, throw all the bums out. If we want to distinguish ourselves from the bums, we must prove that we understand the problem. Here's the problem: The people feel that they've been excluded, and that they're getting ripped off. Jim Payne recently analyzed budget hearings on the Hill and discovered that 82 percent of the people giving testimony either worked for government, or have government backgrounds. A significant portion of the remaining 18 percent work for interest groups that receive federal funds. In short, the budget process -- and hence, the government -- caters to a small, elitist corps of lobbyists and government lifers -- not for the working stiffs who pay most of the taxes. As I understand it, we're now prepared 1) to submit legislation applying to Congress the same laws it applies to the executive branch, 2) to take another whack at campaign finance reform; and perhaps to promote term limits, through a constitutional amendment or other vehicle. These items turn up the heat on Congress, but they don't address the fear that government has become a private preserve for the high, mighty and well-connected. We can answer this fear adding one other reform to our list, performance standards. The President should recommend submitting all laws to a simple test: If programs work, we support them (Head Start, for instance). If not, we eliminate them (as we have with some Defense programs). We might even wish to consider adding sunset provisions to laws, along with designated criteria for success or failure. An attached excerpt from a Peter Drucker book lays out the case for such legislation. The pitch is simple: We don't want to waste people's hard- earned money. We will measure programs by their results: Do they work? Not: Do they cost really impressive sums of money? In this way we protect the wage earner from the predations of the special interests. Performance standards also lay a foundation for more ambitious reform proposals. If we decide at some later date to take on bureaucracy or talk in more sweeping terms of government reforms, we can rely on the only measure that counts: Does it work? We could call it the "Truth in Legislation Act. At any rate, this reform embraces common sense and appeals to George Bush's appreciation of basic honesty. 3 A final benefit: Bill Roth already has submitted legislation advocating performance standards, and our administration has signed off on it -- at least in theory. We could endorse the bill if we have no problems with it. At the very least, we could work with Roth to draft a bill that makes all of us happy. By adding performance standards to the mix, we take the debate away from the Hill and back to Main Street. We acknowledge people's basic suspicion that they're getting ripped off, and that their government has been seized by staffers and lobbyists. To those people we say: We will give government back to you. Such a statement alone would be powerful, since a simple admission of truth would shock most voters. But we also must be serious. We can't use performance standards as a toss-off line. We should be prepared to offer them up as parts of our standard presentation of legislation. As a general proposition, we come not to destroy Congress, but to save it. After all, our system depends on three healthy branches of government, each balancing the others. A weakened Congress hurts us all. We should note that we do not regard reform as a stalking horse for Republican candidates. We want reform because it's the right thing to do. PAC reform, Congressional reform, term limitations, and the other measures send a powerful message -- but they have far more resonance in Washington than elsewhere. We need one element to fulfill the "Damn right!" test. If we say: "The government too often pours your money into programs that don't work, and it's time we put an end to it," half the viewers will slap themselves on the forehead and say, "Damn right!" Furthermore, performance standards would make government submit to the same scrutiny workers endure when they get their annual performance reviews. By making government accountable, and setting deadlines for results, we tear government from its lofty perch, and return it to the world in which most of our voters work and struggle to build good lives. Voters and C-SPAN junkies will watch the House investigations of executive-branch perks with interest, and they may conclude that everyone in Washington is on the take. In the end, however, voters don't care much about the your-perks-are- bigger-than-mine debate. They think of a more basic question: What have we (in government) done for them lately? Wouldn't it be nice to demonstrate that we hear their message -- and we have something to offer? II) PHILADELPHIA POSSIBILITIES 4 This section may be completely gratuitous, and the suggestions may already be incorporated into the draft. Nonetheless, here goes: Philadelphia offers spectacular possibilities for the speech. Jefferson drafted the Declaration of Independence here. The founders hammered out the Constitution in the City of Brotherly Love. And in every generation, Americans return in their hearts to Philadelphia by asking: What does the Constitution mean? What kind of government do we want? We have reached such a point again. The entire world has changed in three years, and most nations now look back out our Founders with awe. They want to capture the spirit of Philadelphia -- and so do we. The speech basically argues for the restoration of checks and balances -- an energetic executive branch; a Congress that represents the will of the people, and an independent judiciary. It would make sense to mention in passing the President's commitment to a judiciary that interprets laws, rather than makes them. That's standard Federalist Society stuff -- and all four founders of the Federalist Society have worked for this administration. We also should mention Clarence Thomas, who is much beloved by the Federalist Society. Clarence is a guaranteed applause line, and adds another nuance to the address. If we incorporate a philosophical element -- a return to Philadelphia, checks and balances, a government of, by and for the people, etc. -- we can impart a sense of history and weight. That's important. Never underestimate the idealism of the American people, especially when it comes to our Constitution. During last year's Desert Storm euphoria many people believed that America had finally lifted itself from the doldrums, and had restored its higher sense of itself. Americans believe deeply in the goodness and destiny of our country, and much of today's discontent arises from the fact that we seem to have violated that precious heritage. George Bush travels to Philadelphia to save that system of government, to reclaim the founders' legacy -- and to restore people's rightful claim to power. The President's populism would stand in dramatic contrast to the elitism of the House, and of the Democratic party. It also would provide grist for columnists -- Broder and will, particularly -- who yearn for such stuff. If we combine real news -- Congressional reform to restore our system of checks and balances, and performance standards to demonstrate that we understand the source of public discontent - - with the loftier ideals of a government of, by and for the people, we can hit a home run, and establish a basic theme for this election year. 6 THE LIMITS OF GOVERNMENT For almost two centuries, we hotly discussed what government should do. We almost never asked what government can do. Now increasingly the limits and function of government will be the issue. And government is no longer, as political and social theory still postulate, the only power center. In the developed countries both society and polity have become pluralist again, in startling reversal of the trends that prevailed since the end of the Middle Ages. These new pluralisms are very different from anything known earlier. The pluralism of society is one of apolitical, performance-focused, single-task institutions. The pluralism of the body politic is that of the new "mass move- ments": small, highly organized minorities, single-cause or single-interest in their focus, and totally political. These new realities make new and different demands on political leadership. To try to satisfy them through "cha- risma," as so much popular discussion seems to ask for, can only result in misleadership and non-performance. From Omnipotent Government to Privatization Very few books in history have had greater impact than Adam Smith's Wealth of Nations (1776). It is still the one eco- 59 The Limits of Government GOVERNMENT AND POLITICAL PROCESS over running the prisons to private contractors. Even tradi- deep trouble in most countries. Fred Smith, the founder and tional "progressives" no longer doubt that there are limits to CEO of Federal Express, the multinational courier company, was asked in a meeting in Paris why his company does not what government can do. There are three reasons for this dramatic change. One is operate in Switzerland. "It is the only Western country," he the failure of government programs and government opera- said, "in which the postal service still functions." The nation- tions since World War II. The second is that we have learned alized railroads of Europe are running horrendous deficits, as there are limits to what taxation and spending can achieve. did the Japanese National Railroad before it was split up and Finally, we now know there are limits to government's ability privatized in 1986. Yet despite the enormous sums the tax- payers of Europe and Japan have been pouring into their to raise revenues. railroads, only the non-governmental American railroads What Can Government Do? have remained effective freight carriers. No nationalized rail- Most government activities of the nineteenth century road in the non-Communist world carries more than one worked beautifully. The Post Office, for instance, the national- tenth of its country's freight. The American railroads carry ized railroads of Europe, the health-insurance programs of two fifths-and make money doing so. Imperial Germany, or workmen's compensation first devel- We now understand why there are some things govern- oped in Imperial Austria around 1900 (with Franz Kafka, the ment, by its very essence, cannot do. And even for the things great novelist, as one of its most competent administrators). government can do, conditions must be right. A government The social programs of Franklin D. Roosevelt's New Deal in activity can work only if it is a monopoly. It cannot function the 1930s were successes-at least there were very few failures. if there are other ways to do the job, that is, if there is compe- But the only country in which government programs tition. The Post Office in the nineteenth century was a true enacted after World War II have still been successful by and monopoly. And so were the railroads. There were no other large is Japan. In every other country-and in democratic ways of sending information or of moving freight and people countries just as much as Communist ones-most post-World over land. But as soon as there are alternative ways to provide War II government programs have been disasters. If they the same service, government flounders. achieved any results, these were often the very opposite of Governments find it very hard to abandon an activity even what they were enacted for. This goes for the frantic efforts if it has totally outlived its usefulness. They thus become in the Soviet Union since Khrushchev's day to improve farm committed to yesterday, to the obsolete, the no longer pro- production and farm productivity; when the Chinese, how- ductive. And government cannot give up either when an activ- ever, "privatized" their farms, production and productivity ity has accomplished its objectives. A private business can be shot up almost overnight. But just as ineffectual was Lyndon liquidated, sold, dissolved. A government activity is "for- Johnson's "War on Poverty" or the attempts of successive ever." There are now Sunset Laws which prescribe that gov- American administrations to stamp out drug abuse or to put ernment activities after a given time lapse unless they are re-enacted. But legislatures rarely refuse to renew an activity, welfare mothers to work. Worse, the very programs and activities that did so well in no matter how obsolete or futile it has become. By that time the nineteenth century, and up to World War II, are now in it has become a vested interest. 63 62 The Limits of Government GOVERNMENT AND POLITICAL PROCESS nomics book that even the least educated have heard about. as the one compelling argument against government interfer- ence with the economy. And yet Adam Smith's main point was virtually forgotten a few decades after the book had come out-and remained When the question of the limits of government was first raised two hundred years after Adam Smith's book, it was virtually forgotten until quite recently. Smith had little love dismissed as irrelevant, if not as silly. As it happened, I was for businessmen and even less for self-interest. He did not the first to do so, in my 1969 book The Age of Discontinuity. argue that government does a poor job running the economy. There I also coined the new term "privatization" for the He argued that government, by its very nature, cannot run the divestiture by government of nationalized companies and in- economy, not even poorly. He did not, so to speak, agree that dustries which I anticipated. But when The Economist reviewed elephants are poorer flyers than swallows. He argued that the book, it derided the very thought as perfect nonsense and government being an elephant can't fly at all. as something that could not possibly happen. But soon-no later than the end of the Napoleonic wars- Only eight years later Margaret Thatcher became prime the argument, even among Smith's followers, turned from minister of Great Britain and immediately started to privatize. what government can do to what government should do. Smith Since then, privatization has not only become the program of argued from the nature of government. The nineteenth cen- Conservatives like Mrs. Thatcher in Great Britain or Jacques tury argued politics. Chirac when he became prime minister of France in 1986. Even the most uncompromising advocates of the free mar- The French Socialists, regaining the prime ministership in ket did not question government's competence in the nine- France in 1988, vowed to continue privatization; indeed, they teenth and twentieth centuries. They argued government's decided to privatize the biggest of all French nationalized legitimacy. The most extreme opponent of government pro- industries, the Renault Automobile Company, despite stiff grams, government controls, and government activism in the opposition from the labor movement. Privatization has late nineteenth century was the English philosopher Herbert become the official policy of Communist China. And it has Spencer, the last of the great Liberals. He even opposed pub- been pushed furthest by a Labor government in New Zealand, lic education as interference with personal liberty. Yet Spen- which is even privatizing the postal service. cer never questioned the ability of government to carry out Another form of privatization is moving faster still: letting programs. He denied government's legitimacy to do so. Simi- private contractors take over public services with govern- larly, the father of neoconservatism, F. A. Hayek, in his anti- ments paying them on the basis of competitive bids. First government tract The Road to Serfdom (1944), did not argue started in the 1970s in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota, by government incompetence. On the contrary, he viewed gov- a political scientist and city administrator, Ted Kolderie, this ernment as only too potent. He argued the threat to liberty practice has also spread worldwide. The state of Florida paroles criminals first sentenced to a jail term-about 25,000 *Almost fifty years later, Hayek, in his 1989 book The Fatal Conceit: The Errors of at any one time-into the care of the Salvation Army. In many Socialism (New York and London: Routledge)-published while The New Realities was at the printer's-came to the conclusion that the nature of information makes it cities, even big ones, street cleaning, fire fighting, even police, impossible, both in theory and in practice, for government to manage or even to are now "farmed out." Some American states have turned control the economy. 61 60 The Limits of Government GOVERNMENT AND POLITICAL PROCESS Moral or Economic? The region is now neither poor nor rural; and the TVA's rates for electric power are among the highest in the nation. The Above all, any government activity almost at once whole system is in shambles. Yet when a new general manager becomes "moral." No longer is it viewed as "economic," as recently dared to hint at privatizing it, there was a storm of one alternative use of scarce resources of people and money. outrage and moral indignation. What started as a utility and It becomes an "absolute." It is in the nature of government a tool to get cheap electricity had become a symbol, and activities that they come to be seen as symbols and sacred "sacred." rather than as utilities and means to an end. The absence of Just as government can rarely abandon, it rarely innovates. results does not raise the question, Shouldn't we rather do Facsimile transmission does electronically and very fast what something different? Instead, it leads to a doubling of effort; the Post Office has been doing very slowly by shipping heavy it only indicates how strong the forces of evil are. Economic paper over great distances. Facsimile will probably be the matters are judged by a cost/benefit ratio. In moral matters, Post Office of the future. But it has not been invented by the this is a dirty word, a "sellout," an "abandonment of princi- Post Office nor introduced by it. ple." There are of course truly moral matters, in which any Governments can do well only if there are no political compromise is indeed betrayal. But even in a moral matter pressures. The Post Office and the railroads did well as long one should always question the effort if there are no results. as they had a simple purpose. But very soon, perhaps inevita- By 1917, for instance, both the Germans and the Allies should bly, the pressure builds to misuse such services to create have questioned the insane trench warfare of World War I employment, and especially employment for people who oth- with its fruitless human sacrifices. But by then the war had erwise would find it hard to get jobs, for example, blacks in become moral for both sides, with "total victory" the only the U.S. Postal Service. And as soon as a governmental activ- acceptable goal. This gave us communism in Russia, Hitler in ity has more than one purpose, it degenerates. Germany, the Great Depression, and World War II. Government services also will not perform if the basic Drug abuse is horrible and an evil. But if after twenty years assumptions under which they originated change. When no results are achieved by governmental campaigns against it workmen's compensation was introduced in the late nine- (and in the U.S. things are only getting worse), one might teenth century, it was based on the assumption that industrial question the moral approach. It might be more productive work is inherently dangerous. To be sure, workmen's com- then to do the one thing we can do: take the profits out of the pensation from the beginning aimed at encouraging employ- traffic in drugs by eliminating criminal penalties on drug ers to make work safer. Employers paid premiums based on use-"immoral" though this sounds. their safety performance, which greatly encouraged them to While drug abuse is indeed evil, and therefore a moral improve their operations. But the basic assumption was still matter, electricity surely is economic. Yet in American politics that industrial work, especially work around machinery, car- today it is being treated as moral and a matter of principle. ries with it the risk of accident. Hence, workmen's compensa- The Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) long ago outlived the tion did not ask who was at fault. Its purpose was to make sure objective for which it was set up in the thirties: to provide that the worker would be compensated no matter who or what cheap electric power to what was then a poor rural region. was at fault. We no longer accept this assumption-except in 65 64 GOVERNMENT AND POLITICAL PROCESS The Limits of Government Japan (where, therefore, workmen's compensation still works are hard if different constituencies expect and demand dif- well). In the West we assume that industrial operations should ferent things and have different values and expectations. Most be safe. If there is an industrial accident, somebody is to of the government programs since World War II-in the blame-and this usually means the employer. Where work- United States but in many other Western countries as well- men's compensation awards in the past were aimed at en- either promised different things to different people or at- couraging both employers and employees to improve safety, tempted to make one group in society benefit at the expense they now are seen as punishment. The result is distortion of of another. Thus they became mired in controversy, and soon the whole system, with expenses going up steadily and satis- lost focus and the ability to perform. They were "hard" pro- faction and performance going down steadily. grams. These are stringent constraints on a government activity: This distinction also explains why government-owned that it remain the only way to do a certain task; that it not businesses will only work if run as moneymakers pure and outlive its usefulness and not be continued once it has at- simple, as were the Crown monopolies of the eighteenth cen- tained its objective; that it not be made to serve political ends, tury (the tobacco monopolies on the continent of Europe, for however laudable, but remain narrowly focused on specific instance). Government-owned enterprises stop performing as performance for the public; and finally that the assumptions soon as political or social values interfere with the single- on which it is based remain unchanged. But these rules admit minded pursuit of profit. They become hard. An example are of no violation. The moment they are not being followed, the the huge money-losing and mismanaged companies owned activity becomes "politicized." That invariably means fast de- by the Italian government today and run in part as businesses, generation of the service. in part to employ workers, in part as patronage for politicians and their friends. "Easy" Activities and "Hard" Activities We are beginning to understand, though in crude outline There also are activities that government cannot do well, only, the lessons of the post-World War II period in respect and perhaps cannot do at all, even though they seem to meet to government activities. all conditions for governmental effectiveness. Government will malperform if an activity is under pressure to satisfy dif- There are functions that are clearly governmental which ferent constituencies with different values and different de- no one but government can be allowed to perform, and which mands. Performance requires concentration on one goal. It only government can perform. Among them is the govern- requires setting priorities and sticking to them. mental monopoly on defense and arms. There is also the Ted Kolderie who, as noted earlier, first advocated the governmental function of maintaining law, order, and justice farming out of municipal services to private contractors, talks so that. citizens can sleep peacefully at night and walk the of "easy" and "hard" government activities. Hard ones gov- streets without fear-something governments a century ago ernment cannot do, and certainly cannot do well. The differ- did a good deal better than most governments do today. ence between the two is in their politics. In an easy activity, There is a far more complicated and far more controver- all constituencies want the same performance-as they did sial government function: to maintain what we today call a with respect to the nineteenth-century Post Office. Activities "level playing field." Government can set ground rules that 66 67 GOVERNMENT AND POLITICAL PROCESS The Limits of Government are equally binding on everybody. The Securities and Ex- What Money Can't Buy change Commission in the United States is effective precisely As important as the realization that there are limits to what because it is in everybody's interest to have clear rules which government can do is the realization that there are limits to enable the honest, whether buyers or sellers of securities, to what government money can buy. In fact there are whole areas do their business, and which keep out the crooks (or at least where spending government money can only make things make it a little harder for them). worse. Can government money, for instance, change soci- We know, in other words, that government can and should ety-and how? be a good deal more activist than the nineteenth-century Lib- Compassion is a legitimate function of government, and erals such as Herbert Spencer preached and wanted. The role so is the protection of the poor and oppressed. Government, of government has to be much closer to the beliefs of the the Old Testament prophets preached, should be a shepherd nineteenth-century Conservatives, who imposed limitations to its people. And the medieval king swore at his coronation on government precisely because they wanted a strong and to be "Father and mother to the poor." The most successful effective government. government programs in all history were programs to help the poor: the nineteenth-century "public works" to give the We know that not everything government does is for- poor what only the very rich could afford in earlier times— ever. Yet to abandon a government activity is difficult and sewers, clean water, public transportation, schools, medical always bitterly resisted. Whatever government does always becomes "morality." Government activities therefore need to care. These expenditures created, most successfully, an envi- ronment in which even the poor could hope to lead a decent be organized as temporary from the outset. A new program, life. a new agency, should be enacted for a limited-and fairly short-period of time, with a clear statement of the results it In the twentieth century we have been spending much is expected to achieve within that period, and with explicit larger sums of government money to change the social condi- commitment to abolishing it if it should fail to produce the tions of the poor. The results have been almost uniformly promised results. disappointing. And in some areas, the conditions of the poor Whatever non-governmental organizations can do bet- have become worse as a result. The two worst fiascos among ter, or can do just as well, should not be done by government the government programs in the post-World War II period at all. What matters is not whether the activity is organized as are two extremely expensive American ones: low-income a "business," with profit as an aim or at least as measurement. housing and welfare. A good deal of the low-income housing What matters is that it not be run by government. One way the United States built at enormous cost has been abandoned. is privatization. Another way is to switch from government as What's left is often worse than the slums it replaced: crime- a doer to government as the provider, with the work being ridden, fear-ridden, vandalized, dirty, rat-infested. And de- done by outside contractors to government-set standards. spite ever larger and constantly growing expenditures, the "welfare mess" in the United States is getting steadily worse. In fact, a strong case can be made-and has been made-that 68 69 GOVERNMENT AND POLITICAL PROCESS The Limits of Government the poor in America, and especially the black poor, have ists" in the early 1900s. Opposed equally to capitalist exploi- become the poorer, the more helpless, the more disadvan- tation and Marxist class war, these men-mostly economic taged, the more welfare money is being spent to help them. historians-advocated income redistribution through the tax American welfare spending encourages dependence. It para- system as the "third way." It was an English politician, David lyzes rather than energizes: Lloyd George, who then turned this into government policy In glaring contrast to these failures is what is probably the in his budgets before World War I. After 1918 it became most successful government program of the last forty years: government policy everywhere. At the very time however that Prime Minister Thatcher's privatization of England's low-in- Lloyd George introduced his first budget, the Italian mathe- come public housing, the English council estates. Buying matical economist Vilfredo Pareto formulated what is known their flats turned renters into owners. Almost overnight both as Pareto's Law. After a lifetime of studying income distribu- the spirit and the physical appearance of these slum tene- tion, Pareto concluded that government cannot effectively ments changed. They will never be an aesthetic delight. But change the distribution of incomes. Modified only marginally they have become self-respecting, well maintained, and safe; by prevailing local customs and values, distribution is deter- they have become communities. mined by the economy's productivity. The less productive an Should we abandon the idea of social change through economy, the greater the inequality of incomes. The more government spending? Most of us would be reluctant to do productive, the less the inequality. so considering how great the needs are. But how much longer All our experience has validated Pareto's Law and has should programs be maintained that are unsuccessful and shown that the policy started by Lloyd George is ineffectual. may well be doing harm rather than good? To be sure, taxes can shift income and wealth. Lloyd George's inheritance tax has largely expropriated the very rich of 1900 What Taxes Cannot Do England, the great landowners. But it has only shifted wealth Not even a further grace period should be given to the to another group of the very rich-financiers, industrialists, other, even less successful government attempt to change businessmen. Insofar as Britain today is less unequal in re- social conditions: the attempt to change income distribution spect to incomes and wealth than it was in 1900, it is so through the tax system. because it is far more productive. Because Britain today is Oliver Wendell Holmes, the American legal scholar and however a good deal less productive than West Germany, its judge, is widely remembered for his saying: "The power to income distribution is a good deal less equal-despite a far tax is the power to destroy." But Holmes only put into a pithy more redistributive tax system. Inequality in Soviet Russia is phrase what had been known all along. Confiscatory and pu- probably as great as it is in Mexico-that is, very great. Offi- nitive taxes have a very long history. What was new and a cially there is, of course, egalitarianism in the Soviet Union. product of Holmes's time was the idea that taxes could be But as everybody knows by now, especially the Russians, the used to reward. Taxes could be used to redistribute income, two million "bosses" in the nomenclatura-1 percent of the especially from the rich to the poor, and thus to further social total population-enjoy perks of all kinds: special stores, spe- justice and economic equality. cial schools, special hospitals, special housing, special vaca- This was first proposed by Germany's "Academic Social- tion dachas, reserved transportation, and so on. This gives 70 71 GOVERNMENT AND POLITICAL PROCESS The Limits of Government them the standard of living and real income of the very rich. demic. It would also, as he pointed out, undermine the politi- In Mexico similarly the very rich account for about 1 percent cal system. Since revenues had been limited throughout his- of the population. The Soviet Union and Mexico-in industry tory, policy makers always had to make choices. They had to and agriculture-are today on roughly the same level of pro- say no. With this limitation removed they would become un- ductivity. And only Pareto's Law can explain why income able to resist demands, especially if based on appeals to need distribution in all developed countries is remarkably similar or to conscience. Thus the ability of government to raise despite tremendous differences in tax rates and tax structure. revenues would increasingly misdirect the flow of income In fact only one governmental policy seems to be capable from productive spending-for example, investment in of changing the distribution of incomes and wealth: inflation. wealth-producing facilities and new technology-into unpro- It expropriates the middle class. But it does so in large mea- ductive governmental spending aimed at redistributing in- sure by destroying productivity. come. Income redistribution through the tax system is still widely considered-by politicians as well as by voters-the most ef- By now we know that Schumpeter was right. We also know fective tool of social policy. But maybe the time has come to that, contrary to Schumpeter, there are still limits. They are return to the old precept: the purpose of taxes is to produce less restraining than the limits of a century ago. But they are revenue, and to do so with the fewest social and economic real. There are limits to what government can actually raise. side effects. There are even narrower limits to what government can raise without damaging the economy seriously or undermining the The Limits of the Fiscal State cohesion of the body politic. The first to point this out, twenty In the waning months of World War I, a great economist years after Schumpeter, was an Australian economist, Colin of the period, Joseph Schumpeter, published a short essay: Clark. Clark asserted, just before World War II, that govern- Der Steuerstaat (The Fiscal State). In it, Schumpeter, reflecting ment could not take more than around one quarter of a coun- on the experience of the war, predicted a new era in govern- try's gross national product or gross personal income without ment finance and government policy. Before World War I, he creating irresistible inflationary pressures. Whether 25 per- pointed out, there were no absolute governments. No gov- cent is indeed the threshold, we do not know; the evidence ernment could raise, either through taxes or through borrow- would indicate that it might be closer to 40 percent. But there ing, more than a very small percentage-perhaps 5 percent- is such a limit. Above it, increased government revenue will of a country's national income. During World War I, however, not stimulate the economy. It will either depress it and create every belligerent government raised, year after year, far what we now call "stagflation," or it will create mounting larger sums-with the governments of the poorest belliger- inflationary pressures. And in all developed countries except ents, such as Austria and Russia, converting so much of their Japan, the limit has been reached beyond which government country's wealth into war bonds that their take in several years expenditures become a threat and an affliction. Raising the had been greater than the country's total income. This, share that government takes of the country's income above Schumpeter predicted, would create a new and different this threshold does not even produce increased revenue. Rev- economy in which inflationary pressures would become en- enue may actually go down. 72 73 GOVERNMENT AND POLITICAL PROCESS The Limits of Government The Silent Tax Revolt The post-World War I inflations in Europe, especially in Ger- There is another, perhaps more serious restraint on the many, amply bore out Schumpeter's warning. But the silent fiscal state. Once the government take, especially if collected tax revolt of the gray economy is also a corrosive poison, through taxes, exceeds a certain percentage of gross national albeit a slow one. product or gross personal income-the figure seems to be Are we thus at the end of the period in which government around 35-40 percent or so-a silent but highly effective "tax acknowledged no limits-either in respect to its activities, or revolt" starts. People stop working; what is the point if the in respect to its ability to change society, or in respect to its additional income is being taxed away? Worse, people begin revenues? There are some first signs. At least politicians know to cheat. In all countries in which the tax take approaches or that no one believes their promises any more. We may thus exceeds 40 percent of gross personal income, a "gray econ- be approaching the end of the "spending state"-to para- omy" develops. In the United States there was almost no tax phrase Schumpeter's term. cheating before 1960. How big the gray economy in the Will we again accept limitations on government's ability to United States has now become we do not know-there are of raise money, whether by taxes or by loans? Will we learn to course no figures on it-but estimates range as high as 15 start again with the available resources in budgeting and in percent of the official economy. In countries like Sweden it is policy decisions rather than with the desirable expenditures? more like 30 percent. In Communist China, government Will we again learn to say no? To make decisions is risky; it economists put it at one third to one half of the total. In Italy, is indeed unpopular. But perhaps we are now ready to accept as everyone knows, the "gray economy" is the truly dynamic that to make decisions is what politicians are supposed to be doing. one-to the point that there have been labor shortages in Northern Italy for most of the last twenty years while the official statistics report unemployment ranging up to 20 per- cent. The same thing is happening in Spain. The official unemployment rate is well above 20 percent. Yet the figures for consumer spending would indicate an actual unemploy- ment rate even below 10 percent. Attempts to stamp out or even to curtail the gray economy are ineffectual as long as tax rates remain high. In fact, while everyone loudly condemns the gray economy, most people not only participate in it but consider it morally justified and even "clever." But this undermines the moral cohesion of society. It produces a dangerous political poison, cynicism. Seventy years ago Schumpeter warned that inflation would destroy free society (a warning he repeated twenty-five years later, in his 1942 book Capitalism, Socialism, and Democracy). 74 75 IN- from: Gene Schour 11 stopping the abuse that results from spreading around what's called "soft money" -- I asked for full disclosure of "soft money" expenditures by all organizations as the only way to clean up the system. Fourth, spending reform. I have already proposed to freeze domestic discretionary spending in federal employment next year. I have proposed to curb as well the growth of mandatory programs without touching Social Security. I call again for the American people to demand that the Congress pass the same measure that 43 governors have: the line-item veto. In the absence of that important tool I will continue to use whatever means are legally at my disposal, including the line-item-rescission, to protect the taxpayer from the spending excesses of Congress. I will resist any attempt by the Congress to dismantle the only defense the taxpayer has against Congressional overspending -- those budget caps implemented in the 1990 Budget Act. Finally, I again call for a Balanced Budget Constitutional Amendment. Fifth, regulatory reform. I have put a ninety-day moratorium on new government regulations. We are revising and eliminating regulations that impede our ability to compete, and we are accelerating regulations that enhance our competitive (already uninerous taid Game dramatrialy edge. We have cut back XXX OP regulations, pages in the Federal the under Register by XX% just in the last XX months years # Today I am new of announcing an extension/new review process I sublight regulated ( Eame for end 3 I am not curare that See OMB 90- day nemer) such a count was been made CLOSE HOLD Document No. 319350 WHITE HOUSE STAFFING MEMORANDUM 04/01/92 DATE: ACTION/CONCURRENCE/COMMENT DUE BY: 10:00a.m. 04/02 SUBJECT: CONGRESSIONAL COVERAGE LEGISLATION ACTION FYI ACTION FYI VICE PRESIDENT HORNER SKINNER MCBRIDE SCOWCROFT MOORE DARMAN PETERSMEYER BRADY PORTER BROMLEY ROGICH CALIO ROLLINS DEMAREST SMITH YEUTTER FITZWATER FINDLAY GRAY HOLIDAY LIBERMAN REMARKS: Please provide any comments directly to Lee Liberman, x6257, Rm. 115, no later than 10:00 a.m. on Thursday, 04/02, with a copy to this office. Thanks. RESPONSE: CLOSE HOLD PHILLIP D. BRADY Assistant to the President and Staff Secretary Ext. 2702 Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type 01. Memo C. Boyden Gray to POTUS, re: Congressional Coverage 04/01/92 P-5 Legislation. (7 pp.) Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: Speechwriting, White House Office of Open on Expiration of PRA Series: Speech File, Drafts Subseries: (Document Follows) WHORM Cat.: By SN (NLGB) on 4/5/2005 File Location: Old House Chamber [Reform Speech] 4/3/92 [4] Date Closed: 9/21/2004 OA/ID Number: 06100 FOIA/SYS Case #: Re-review Case #: 2004-2249-S P-2/P-5 Review Case #: MR Case #: Appeal Case #: MR Disposition: Appeal Disposition: Disposition Date: Disposition Date: RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] (b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information DRAFT THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON April 1, 1992 MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT FROM: C. BOYDEN GRAY SMG COUNSEL TO THE PRESIDENT SUBJECT: Congressional Coverage Legislation As you know, on many occasions you have called on Congress to subject itself to the laws it imposes on others. To date, Congress has not acted in any serious manner on this suggestion. The draft of your Friday speech accordingly takes the next logical step. It states that you are transmitting to the Congress legislation that would cover Congress by the same laws as everyone else, and (on the assumption that Congress will just ignore your freestanding bill and continue business as usual) that you will veto future legislation extending special treatment to the Congress unless it is amended to remove the special treatment. Before putting a draft bill into circulation among the agencies, I wanted to outline for you the general scope of what we are thinking about and the pros and cons of each proposal, so as to enable you to decide whether to go forward in each of these areas. I. Freedom of Information Act The Freedom of Information Act presently covers the entire executive branch except for the White House Office and the Office of the Vice President. The draft legislation proposes to expand FOIA to cover the Congress itself, its instrumentalities (such as GAO), and its Committees, but not the personal staffs of the Members of Congress. Analogously, it leaves intact the present White House and OVP exemptions. Pros O Creates parity between the branches. o Encourages more accountability on the part of Congress's instrumentalities. Parallel treatment of Congressional Committees and Executive Departments and agencies (which are covered) and White House and Members' personal offices (which are not) should prevent the White House exemption from becoming a major issue. 2 o Your March 20 speech referenced FOIA as one of the laws from which Congress has exempted itself. Cons o Legislative Affairs is concerned that the Members view their Committee and personal staffs as interchangeable, will not accept our argument that the right analogy is between Committees and agencies, and will push to repeal the White House's exemption. Options 1. Approve present proposal covering Congress's instrumentalities and Committees but not Members' personal offices. 2. Also cover the White House and the Members' personal offices. 3. Leave the law unchanged. I recommend option 1. Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 II. Privacy Act The Privacy Act requires agencies that maintain systems of records on individuals such as information pertaining to their education, financial transactions, medical history, and criminal or employment history to refrain from disclosure of those records except under specified circumstances. It allows individuals to review their own records and request that they be amended if they are inaccurate. It allows them to bring suit to challenge a refusal to amend, and makes it a misdemeanor punishable by a fine of up to $5000 for any officer or employee to disclose records improperly to third parties. The Privacy Act presently applies to the entire executive branch except the White House Office and the Office of the Vice President. It does not apply at all to the Congress. (That is why a Congressional leak of the Anita Hill affidavit and/or FBI report probably would not be a crime.) The draft legislation proposes to extend the Privacy Act's coverage to the White House Office, the Office of the Vice President, the Congress, its instrumentalities, Committees, the Members' offices, and the Members themselves. It does not 3 propose to extend it to the President or Vice President personally. Pros o The problem of improper leaks of private information from the Hill, including by Members of Congress is quite a genuine one. If enacted, this legislation would help deter them. O This law, along with the civil rights laws and the independent counsel law, can be applied to the Members personally with relative ease. The others addressed in the legislative proposal would cover the staff or some portion, but not the Members. We need a critical mass of laws being applied to the Members personally to be credible in saying that Congress is being covered. o Members would retain the right to raise any issues on the floor, since the Constitution's speech or debate clause would shield them from criminal liability in that context. O Compliance with these provisions should not be excessively onerous for the White House staff, since staff members should not be disclosing this type of information anyway. Cons o It may be difficult to defend covering Members and exempting the President and Vice President. I do not believe it would be catastrophic to cover the President and Vice President as well, since I believe you or the Vice President would not disclose such information in any event. But I am reluctant to recommend exposing you or the Vice President to any kind of new potential criminal liability, particularly as long as the Independent Counsel statute is law. O The Privacy Act's scope has historically mirrored the Freedom of Information Act's scope. Expanding the Privacy Act to cover the White House could create new pressure to expand the Freedom of Information Act as well. Options 1. Approve present proposal covering the White House, the Office of the Vice President, the Congress, committees, instrumentalities, Members' personal offices, and Members. 2. Cover the President and Vice President as well. 4 3. Approve the present proposal without coverage of Members personally. 4. Leave the law unchanged. Recommendation I recommend option 1. Option 1 Option 2 Option 3 Option 4 III. Independent Counsel Act The Independent Counsel Act presently applies to the President, Vice President, certain campaign officers, the Cabinet and other principal officers of agencies, the CIA Director and Deputy Director, the Commissioner of Internal Revenue, and Department of Justice officials from the Attorney General down through the Assistant Attorneys General and anybody else paid at Executive Schedule III. The draft legislation proposes to apply it in addition to the Members of Congress, the Comptroller General, and the elected officers of Congress (such as the sergeant-at-arms) Pros o Members and officers of Congress are at least as likely to exert improper pressure on the Justice Department in order to avoid prosecution as the covered executive branch personnel. O Conversely, where the Department does bring a prosecution, there can be an appearance that it is politically motivated. Cons O This could be viewed as lending legitimacy to the Independent Counsel Act when it is up for reauthorization, which is quite soon. (It would not in fact have that effect, since it would not extend the Act but would merely add to its scope until it expires on December 15, 1992.) Recommendation I recommend approving the present proposal. Approve Disapprove 5 IV. Conflict of Interest Laws Present law prohibits all members of the executive branch except the President and Vice President from participating in particular matters in which they have a financial interest on pain of criminal sanction. It also prohibits supplementation of the salary of any officer or employee other than the President or Vice President for performing his official responsibilities. Your Ethics Commission recommended extending the first provision to Congressional staff, although not to Members of Congress, and your 1989 ethics package included that recommendation, but Congress rejected that proposal. The draft legislation proposes to extend both the anti-conflict and anti-supplementation provisions to Congressional officers and employees other than Members. It does not cover Members because it seems absurd to have Members obliged on pain of criminal sanction to remove themselves from voting on legislation that affects their financial interests, because your Ethics Commission recommended against covering the Members, and because the exemption for the President and Vice President seems appropriate. Pros Creates parity between branches. Addresses a problem on the American people's mind. Cons The exemption for Members could be criticized. O Members will argue that because of the nature of the legislative process, it is their staff's responsibility to represent special interests, and that criminal liability of any sort will chill their ability to do SO. Recommendation I recommend approving the draft proposal. Approve Disapprove V. Civil Rights Laws Present law treats all executive branch employees other than officers of the United States and those on the White House and Office of the Vice President payroll quite similarly to the private sector with respect to protection against discrimination on the basis of race, color, sex, national origin, religion, age 6 and disability. In particular, it allows them to have a court determine whether they have been discriminated against and entitles them to jury trials where compensatory damages are sought. The one distinction is that they may not ever obtain punitive damages. In provisions that the Administration opposed, last year's civil rights bill gave very phony protection to House employees, phony protection to Senate employees, and somewhat less phony protection White House employees, and officers of the United States. House employees cannot bring suit at all, but instead are left to the House's Fair Employment Practices Office. Senate employees are bound by the results of an internal Senate grievance adjudication unless they are "arbitrary and capricious," or not based on substantial evidence, in which case they can get relief from the Federal Circuit Court of Appeals. White House employees and officers of the United States are bound by the EEOC's determinations unless "arbitrary and capricious" or not based on substantial evidence, in which case they too can go to the Federal Circuit. With two exceptions, the proposed legislation would give full protection to all Congressional and White House employees, including the right to have a court determine their claims, the right to jury trials where compensatory damages are sought, and the right to punitive damages in appropriate cases. For constitutional reasons, the legislation would not protect officers of the United States and elected officers of Congress. It also would not protect employees in the White House Office, the Office of the Vice President, or on the personal staff of a Member, who report directly to the President, the Vice President, or a Member and who are paid at E.S. 1 or above ($87,000), or members of the uniformed services. Pros o This would give serious civil rights protections to most Congressional employees. o It would create close parity between the private sector, the Congress, and the executive branch. Cons o Could lead to politically motivated frivolous civil rights suits against the White House or the Members. Recommendation I recommend approving the draft proposal. Approve Disapprove 7 VI. The Hatch Act Under present law, all executive branch employees other than persons appointed with Senate confirmation and persons on the payroll of the White House Office and the Office of the Vice President are covered by the Hatch Act. No Congressional employees are covered. The proposal would extend the Hatch Act to all Congressional employees other than those on the Members' personal staffs. Pros Would create parity between the branches. Reduces incumbent advantages in elections. Cons o As noted in conjunction with the proposal to extend the Freedom of Information Act, Legislative Affairs believes that the Members may disagree with the analogy between Committee and agency employees. Recommendation I recommend approving the draft proposal. Approve Disapprove BUSH QUAYLE '92 TEL 202-336-7155 Apr 02'92 12:48 No. 005 P.02. TALKING POINTS BUSH Dave- QUAYLE D like Philadelphics 92 1 Issue No. 67, p. 2. How about quotive Pete D. own instead of /on that raises taxes (under the current rules, any tax decrease requires a in supermajority). Since 1983, the Democrat-controlled Congress has passed addition six federal budgets that contained tax increases. to "The message is clear," says McCain. "Higher taxes virtually guarantee a Boren weaker economy and a bigger budget deficit. If we're serious about creating prosperity and opportunity, we must force government to change its attitude about taxation of the private sector." / will "IT'S OBVIOUS CHANGE IS NEEDED HERE" Elsewhere in the Congress, Republican lawmakers are heeding President Bush's call for change! Sen. Pete Domenici of New Mexico has called on the Congress to pass a reform that would result in two-year budgets and appropriations, instead of the current annual system. Domenici, along with 53 co-sponsors in the Senate and 192 co-sponsors in the House, wants a bipartisan commission to review the Congress and enact a comprehensive reform of the institution. "I'm not interested in band aids," says Domenici, the senior republican on the Senate Budget Committee. "I'm interested in changing how the Senate works so we can get our jobs done. It's obvious change is needed here." WHO YOU GONNA CALL? "PORKBUSTERS"!! Even in the House of Representatives, home of scandal-of-the-month club, change is on the way. GOP Rep. Harris Fawell of Illinois, co-author of the Spending Reform Act of 1992, and his army of House "Porkbusters" are calling for something different on Capitol Hill: accountability. "The American people are fed up with pork barrel politics and business as usual in Washington," says Fawell. "What we Porkbusters ask is simple: let's have an up or down vote on each of these projects. That is all we ask. That is all the President asks. Moreover, that is what the American people ask." 1030 15th Street NW, Washington, DC 20005, Ph. (202) 336-7080 Paid for by Bush-Quayle 92 Primary Committee, Inc. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON April 1, 1992 MEMORANDUM FOR CLAYTON YEUTTER FROM: CHARLES E.M. KOLB Clmic SUBJECT: The Congressional Budget Process If Friday's speech on government reform does not include a discussion of the "part time" Congress, then perhaps it could include a brief discussion of John Cogan's idea for centralizing budget authority. The attached materials explain everything one needs to know about John's ideas and his historical research. In short, we can blame it all on the new deal! (See page 6, table 2, of Cogan's attached research paper.) Attachment CC: Dave Demarest THE WALL STREET JOURNAL December 5, 1989 Get Congress Back on the Wagon By JOHN COGAN Another legislative session has ended tively stimulate competition among com- with Congress demonstrating once again mittees to spend ever-increasing sums. that it is hopelessly incapable of taking Without a central committee to balance any decisive action on the budget deficit. and check these special interest commit- Throughout the year. Congress avoided its tees and invoke the general desire for fis- responsibility by repeatedly violating its cal restraint. the level of spending soon own budgetary rules and continually miss- outstrips Congress's willingness to tax. Imagine a publicly owned forest that is ing its self-imposed deadlines. The budget opened to all logging companies that de- bill enacted at the session's end. which jug- sire access to it. No individual company gled payments between years. shoved ex- would have any reason to restrain its log- penditures off-budget and simply declared ging activities. In fact. each company that spending increases are deficit reduc- would have every incentive to cut down as tions. was more an exercise in budgetary many trees as it could before a competitor obfuscation than anything else. did so. In this setting. the inexorable forces To many observers. failure to take deci- of competition would inevitably lead to the sive action on the budget deficit is due pri- depletion of the forest. marily to tax politics: The president is un- The same forces are at work in produc- willing to raise taxes and Congress is un- ing deficits. as the history of Congress willing to cut spending. To others. the fail- demonstrates. When the budget process ure is due to a lack of political leader- has been highly centralized. spending has ship. or the public's indifference or divided been held in check and the budget has government. But these factors do not ex- been balanced. When the process is decen- plain the persistence of deficit spending tralized spending has grown out of con- since the 1930s. They do not explain the trol. deficit's doubling each decade since World During the first 90 years of U.S. history. War II. spending authority was concentrated in a Answer in History single committee in each House, and No. the problem isn't all politics. There budgets were balanced except during re- cessions and wars. Then. a little over a is something deeply and profoundly wrong with the congressional budget process. But century ago, the House stripped the Appro- what is it about the process that leads to priations Committee of much of its spend- ing authority and gave it to numerous au- continual deficit spending? Both common thorizing committees. Rep. Samuel Ran- sense and Congress's own history provide a simple and compelling answer. dall. chairman of the Appropriations Com- mittee and a former speaker of the House, Jurisdiction over spending is widely dis- warned in 1884, "if you undertake to divide persed among a host of congressional com- mittees. Dispersal of spending authority all these appropriations and have many committees where there ought to be but among these "little legislatures" is a re- one. you will enter upon a path of extrava- cipe for excessive spending and large budget deficits. Since the total level of gance you cannot foresee the length of or spending is beyond any single committee's the depth of until we find the Treasury of the country bankrupt." control, political accountability to the elec- Randall's statement proved prophetic. torate for total spending does not exist. Without that accountability. no committee Immediately after the enfeebling of the has any incentive to restrain its spending Appropriations Committee. federal spend- commitments. Worse, as special interests ing grew at an unprecedented rate. The form around each committee, they ac- 10% budget surplus of the early 1880s December 5, 1989 Wall Street Journal turned into a deficit that persisted through- ora of entitlement programs including out the 1S90s. By the mid-1890s. federal Medicare. Family Support Payments and spending excluding interest payments) Supplemental Security Income fall under was 50% larger than it had been in 1886, the tax-writing committees in each House. and by 1916 it had risen an additional 45%. The House Energy and Commerce Com- This explosive spending growth produced mittee has jurisdiction over Medicaid and deficits that were more frequent and shares responsibility for Medicare with the larger than ever before in U.S. history. Ways and Means Committee. The Appro- Much like today. all growth in spending priations Committee. which in 1930 con- relative to GNP from 1886 to 1916 occurred trolled 90% of non-interest spending. now in programs under the jurisdiction of the controls less than one-half. authorizing committees. But unlike today. National Embarrassment Congress recognized its problems and took decisive steps to correct it. Congress's current budget process and The House of Representatives moved its inevitable outcome is a national embar- first. In 1919. it established a select com- rassment. The one reform that has proved workable is to consolidate spending author- ity into a single committee. Article I. Sec- The problem isn't all politics. tion 5 of the Constitution provides that each House of Congress has the exclusive Jurisdiction over spend- authority "to determine the rules of its proceedings." The Senate does not need ing is dispersed among a host the House's consent. nor does the House re- quire the Senate's. No new laws are neces- sary. nor is the consent of the president. of congressional committees. Undoubtedly. any effort to consolidate spending authority would face severe oppo- mittee on the budget. which quickly rec- sition. Likely to stand in its way are en- ommended that the House adopt a change trenched special interest committees that "centers on one Committee the which will not be willing to loosen their authority to report all appropriations." grip on the treasury's coffers regardless of Following a bruising floor fight, the House the cost to the country. But, as the 1919 voted to strip seven authorizing commit- House Select Committee on the Budget ar- tees of their power to appropriate. The gued. it is time for these committee mem- Senate followed two years later. bers "to submerge personal ambition for Concentrating spending authority had a the public good.' dramatic effect. From 1921 until 1930. ex- Without consolidation, the budget pro- penditures relative to GNP were held con- cess will continue to lack political account- stant and the budget was balanced. But ability and the national debt will continue Congress was doomed to repeat its own its relentless upward march. Without con- fateful history. In 1932. when Congress cre- solidation, special interests will continue to ated the Reconstruction Finance Corp. dominate congressional spending decisions and placed it under the jurisdiction of at the expense of the general interest. And the Commerce Committees, decentralizing without consolidation, as the 1919 House began once again. The process moved Select Committee on the Budget put it, slowly at first, accelerated significantly in "true budgetary reform is impossible." the 1960s and 1970s. In today's Congress jurisdiction over spending is spread among Mr. Cogan. a former deputy director of 17 House committees and 15 Senate com- the Office of Management and Budget, is a mittees. fellow at the Hoover Institution. The Agriculture Committees have au- thority over farm price supports. food stamps and other rural programs. A pleth- WHATS WRONG WITH THE CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET PROCESS BY JOHN F. COGAN Senior Fellow Hoover Institution Stanford, CA 94305 Federal Budget Deficit spending has been a way of life for the federal government for most years since World War II. A whole generation of elected federal officials has come and gone without ever balancing the budget. The last time that federal budget expenditures were brought into balance with revenues was in 1969, and prior to that the last time was in 1960. Since World War II, the federal budget deficit has risen almost continually, regardless of which political party has occupied the White House, and regardless of which party has held a majority of seats in the House of Representatives or Senate. As Table 1 indicates, in each of the last four decades, the average size of the federal budget deficit relative to GNP has approximately doubled. Due to the extraordinary string of budget deficits, the national debt is now equivalent to over $40,000 for every family in the United States. TABLE 1 FEDERAL BUDGET 1950-90 (Percent of GNP) SPENDING REVENUES DEFICIT 1950-59 18.0% 17.6% 0.5% 1960-69 19.0% 18.2% 0.8% 1970-79 20.5% 18.3% 2.1% 1980-89 23.0% 19.0% 4.3% 1990 23.2% 19.1% 4.1% The existence of chronic budget deficits during the post-World 2 War II years stands in stark contrast to the pattern of federal finances during most previous periods in America's history. For most of our history prior to 1940, the federal budget was balanced, except in years of armed conflict and economic recession. The causes of persistent federal budget deficits during the last 40 years are not well understood. Many observers believe that the cause of the deficit lies in unique policy mistakes during the 1980s, such as the simultaneous reduction in taxes and increase in defense spending. But this explanation ignores the persistence of budget deficits for the three decades prior to the 1980s. It also ignores the fact that, since 1981, expenditures on non-defense programs grew almost as rapidly as those on defense and that the federal tax claim on the country's Gross National Product (GNP) is currently higher than it has averaged during any preceding decade. (see Table 1). Other observers claim that deficits persist because the American public demands more in government benefits than it is willing to pay for in taxes. Although this explanation has intuitive appeal, it fails to explain why the American public's preferences have changed. Why did Americans previously want the same amount of benefits as they were willing to pay for in taxes? The Budget Process and the Commons Problem The Congressional budget process has contributed to persistent budget deficits. The most important feature of the current budget process is its decentralized nature. At no point in the process 3 does anyone decide on the total amount the federal government will spend. Instead, responsibility for individual legislative bills that determine the total amount of spending is divided up among 15 separate Congressional committees in the Senate and 17 committees in the House of Representatives. The Appropriations Committee has jurisdiction for non-entitlement programs covering about 40 percent of the total federal spending. The remaining 60 percent is made up of entitlement programs, which are handled by various other standing committees. The Agriculture Committees have authority over farm price supports, food stamps and other rural programs. The tax-writing committees in the House and Senate are responsible for Social Security and Medicare. The House Energy and Commerce Committee has jurisdiction over Medicaid and shares responsibility for Medicare with the Ways and Means Committee. The decentralization of spending authority creates powerful incentives for deficit financing. By spreading responsibility for spending authority among Congressional Committees, the Congress has created a situation known as a "tragedy of the commons." (See Tragedy of the Commons.) The situation arises whenever numerous claimants compete for a commonly-owned resource. The tragedy is that the inexorable forces of competition for the resource lead to over-consumption and eventual exhaustion of the resource. To understand the commons problem, imagine a publicly-owned forest that is open to all logging companies that desire access to it. No individual company would have any reason to restrain its logging activities. In fact, each company would have every 4 incentive to cut down as many trees as it could before a competitor did SO. On a more personal level, imagine that a mother sends her family to the store, tells her husband to buy beer, her teenage daughter to buy magazines, and her 10-year old son to buy candy. Imagine, moreover, that she sets no limits on how much each can spend. Each family member would then overspend on the various items. Congress is like that family. From the individual committee standpoint the commonly-owned resource is general fund revenue raised primarily from taxes levied on individuals and corporations. The consumers of this resource are the Congressional Committees. The common resource is "over-consumed" when government spending repeatedly exceeds tax revenue--that is, when chronic budget deficits occur. A Historical Sketch An historical look at government spending and the budget process reveals the powerful role the commons problem has played in producing budget deficits. When the budget process has been highly centralized, spending has been held in check and the budget has been balanced. When the process has been decentralized, the growth in spending has outpaced the growth in revenues, and chronic budget deficits have resulted. 5 TABLE 2 BUDGET DEFICITS TIME PERIOD AVERAGE DEFICITS Centralized Budgeting (Percent of GNP) 1799-1885 0.26% 1922-1931 - 0.77% Decentralized Budgeting 1886-1921 0.69% 1932-1989 3.61% During the first 90 years of U.S. history, spending authority was concentrated in a single committee in each House, and budgets were balanced except during recessions and wars. Then, in 1885, the House stripped the Appropriations Committee of much of its spending authority and gave it to numerous authorizing committees. This period of decentralized budget decisionmaking lasted until just after World War I. At the time, some observers recognized the consequences of decentralization. Rep. Samuel Randall, chairman of the Appropriations Committee and a former speaker of the House, warned in 1884, "If you undertake to divide all these appropriations and have many committees where there ought to be but one, you will enter upon a path of extravagance you cannot foresee the length of or the depth of until we find the Treasury of the country bankrupt." Randall's statement proved prophetic. Immediately after Congress splintered the budget process, federal spending grew at an 6 unprecedented rate. By the mid-1890s, federal spending (excluding interest payments) was 50 percent larger than it had been in 1886, and by 1916 it had risen an additional 45 percent. This explosive spending growth produced deficits that were more frequent and larger than ever before in peacetime U.S. history. In the five years immediately preceding the House of Representatives decentralized budget decisionmaking, annual revenues exceeded annual expenditures by 40 percent. The subsequent expenditure growth turned this sizeable budget surplus into record peace time deficits in the mid-1890s. Deficit spending persisted throughout the remainder of the decade. During the first fifteen years of the 20th century, the budget was in deficit during one-half of the years. Much like today, from 1886 to 1916 all growth in spending relative to GNP occurred in programs under the jurisdiction of the authorizing committees. But unlike today, Congress recognized its problems and took decisive steps to correct them. The House of Representatives acted first. In 1919, it established a select committee on the budget, which quickly recommended that the House adopt a budget process reform that "centers on one Committee the authority to report all appropriations." After seven months of deliberation the recommendation sent shock waves reverberating throughout the House committee chambers. The Budget Committee's proposal would stop spending jurisdiction from seven powerful committees. The House voted to strip the seven authorizing committees of their power to 7 appropriate. The Senate followed two years later. The corrective step worked. From 1921 until the onset of the Great Depression (1930), expenditures relative to GNP were held constant and the budget was balanced. Unfortunately, during the Great Depression, decentralization began once again. The process moved slowly at first, and accelerated significantly in the 1960s and 1970s as Congress created new programs and placed spending jurisdiction for them in an ever increasing number of Congressional committees. Deposit insurance legislation, enacted in 1934, provided a federal government guarantee for certain deposits in banks and savings and loan institutions. Social Security legislation, enacted a year later, provided pensions to persons age 65 and older and guaranteed matching payments to state governments for the cost of welfare programs. In 1956, the Social Security Disability program was created to provide federal cash assistance to disabled persons. In the 1960s, the Food Stamp program (1964), Medicare (1965), Medicaid (1965), and the Guaranteed Student Loan program (1965) were created. In 1974, the General Revenue Sharing and the Child Support Enforcement programs began. By the mid-1970s, the process of decentralizing budget decisionmaking by creating new programs was largely complete. The forty-year process had a profound impact on the degree of depression committee spending authority. In 1932, the Appropriations Committee had jurisdiction over more than 90 percent of all programs. No other committee had more than one percent. By the early 1980s, the Appropriations Committee controlled only about 8 40 percent. Seven other committees shared an additional 55 percent. This return to decentralized decisionmaking once again introduced the "commons" problem into the Congressional budget making process as it had in the past. The inevitable forces of the commons drove government expenditures upwards at a rate far in excess of government revenues. The chronic federal budget deficits described in Table 1 were the result. This 200-year review of the relationship between the Congressional budget process and the existence of structural budget deficits has demonstrated the critical role that institutional rules play in determining outcomes. Although other factors, such as a defense build-up or a savings and loan crisis, may have time and place importance in contributing to deficits, it is the institutional rules that create incentives for particular forms of behavior and drive decisionmaking over the long run. An understanding of these rules and the way in which they affect behavior is a necessary first step toward correcting the structural problem of the budget deficits. --John F. Cogan BIOGRAPHY John F. Cogan is a senior fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution. He was formerly Deputy Director of the Office of Management and Budget. Professor Cogan is currently directing a project to build a consistent record of government spending 9 decisions over the post World War II era. When completed, this record will provide the general public and the research community with a valuable tool to achieve a greater understanding of government spending. FURTHER READING John Cogan "The Evolution of Congressional - Budget Decisionmaking and The Emergence of Federal Deficits, " Hoover Institution Working Papers, Stanford, 1988. Garrett Harden, "The Tragedy of the Commons" Science Magazine, (Vol.162 Dec 1968). Harold Demsetz, "Toward A Theory of Property Rights" American Economic Review, (LVII, No.2, May 1967). Aaron Wildavsky, "The New Politics of Budgetary Process," Scott, Foresman, and Company, Illinois, 1988. 10 David, Here are some refinements that Strengthen an already strong product. I'll keep "tweaking it in hopes of making it even better Janie Demarest/Aarhus Draft #2 Reform2 PRESIDENTIAL REMARKS AT OLD HOUSE CHAMBER PHILADELPHIA, PA. WEDNESDAY, APRIL 1, 1992 Thank you for that kind introduction. [ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS] Today, I would rather be in Philadelphia. Old Congress Hall is home to great ideas and great debate. In this very room, pivotal and profound discussions occurred - setting in motion a grand experiment in man's ability to chart his own future. The vision of our Founding Fathers is still our vision today. They wanted their new country to prosper. They knew that prosperity and freedom are inextricably linked. They were determined to preserve the inherent strength of faith and the nurturing haven of the family. The were committed to ensuring that the citizens of our young nation could live in peace -- safe and secure from threats at home and abroad. It took a revolution to achieve their vision, but that vision still stands. Today, we face a revolution no less significant for being internal rather than external. Today, we face a choice between the old national order the status quo -- and changes that will position our nation for world leadership in the new century. When British General Cornwallis surrendered at Yorktown in 1781, he had his band play "The World Turned Upside Down," as his troops marched before Washington's Continental Army. The song was profoundly symbolic of an old world order coming to a close and the beginning of a new world order. Now, more than two hundred years later, we face a monumental choice. In recent months, democracy and freedom have -- once again turned our world upside down. During the turmoil, America stood firmly on principles and moved to the forefront of a great movement that changed the world. Those changes have placed our nation at a new threshold. During the 20th Century, there was no question that it was the American Century. Now, as we approach the year 2000 the question we must answer is -- will the 21st Century be a New American Century? I think this audience and all of American would give a resounding "Yes" to that question. But, if we are to stay at the forefront in world leadership, we must meet six great challenges here at home. First, our nation must help strengthen the nation's families, give people a sense of well-being about their children, and establish a social climate in which our young can mature into productive adults. Second, we must guarantee Americans access to the finest health care system in the world, and make that care more affordable. Third, our people must be educated, literate -- motivated to make learning a lifelong pursuit. We must reform our education system -- literally revolutionize it -- top to bottom. Fourth, our civil justice system must do what it was designed to do: dispense justice for all. Eighteen million lawsuits a year are choking us -- costing individuals and businesses billions of dollars -- and putting a tremendous drag on our civility as well as our economy. Fifth, during the next century, our economic competition and opportunity will come from beyond our borders. We must utilize more foreign markets for American goods and export more services to other countries. Our workers and our companies must become more competitive in order to sustain and create American jobs. And finally, we come to the topic that is our focus today -- reform of our government. During the past decade, one institution after another has been challenged to take a hard look within itself. We must make needed improvements and go back to basic principles to renew our nation's institutions. In short, we must initiate widespread reform. I've been amused recently to see the television ads for a local kitchen modernization business. A housewife dressed in 1960's apparel and surrounded by 1960's appliances is magically updated through TV technology to the 1990s. What a transformation! Most Americans have forgotten how dramatic those changes have been. Today, American products are quantifiably better than they were only a few years ago. In the private sector, we have focused on crusades of excellence -- quality products and quality services. It's not often flashy -- sometimes it's a return to old values and standards like "built to last a lifetime,' "the customer's always right," or "service with a smile." At other times, it's measuring and evaluating performance to improve output. In many ways, competition has been the driving force in improving quality and performance. Not surprisingly, it has worked. Can you imagine how appalled he would be to hear that 98% of Congressmen who seek re-election are, in fact, re-elected. Can you imagine how astonished he would be to learn that one party -- the Democrats -- have controlled the Congress 58 out of the last 62 years. Can you imagine how dismayed he would be to discover that not one Republican member of the house -- and some of them have over 30 years of service -- has ever been in the majority. Yet, all but five Democrats have never been in the minority. One-party rule in Congress is a big part of the problem, but that is not the whole story. We have had divided government before in our history -- sometimes during periods of great crisis -- and we pulled together as a nation to meet the challenge that threatened our security or national well-being. No, the larger issue is a systemic problem. Congress is a sticky web -- made up of 284 Congressional Committees, 34 thousand Capitol Hill employees and staff, 2 billion dollars of taxpayer financing, and an overlay of a 117 million dollar re-election war chest in special-interest campaign contributions, and millions more in special-interest influence. Such a system cannot promote reform and change. Instead, it aggressively protects the status quo. Talk to retiring members and you will hear the frustration. Talk to Senator Warren Rudman of New Hampshire who has given up on trying to break through the log jams. Senator Rudman was asked about the continuing specter of huge budget deficits. He indicted the system, "the fact is that we are unable -- institutionally -- to do what has to be done. We are not just watching the fiddler fiddle while Rome burns, we are watching the entire orchestra." Let me give you one example of the misplaced priorities on Capital Hill -- the rash of proclamations that Congress spends an inordinate amount of time in passing. Do you know that nearly one third of all the legislation that passes my desk is made up of these items. Three times a week proclamations come across my desk for action -- and these proclamations are passed by a joint resolution of Congress. They might designate a particular day as "National Tap Dance Day" -- true story. Or, they might proclaim a month as "National Digestive Disease Awareness Month. " Literally, hundreds of proclamations come the White House for Presidential action each year. Now, there is nothing wrong with Congress passing a proclamation heralding "National Crime Victims Week. But there is something wrong when Congress spends its time on that proclamation instead of passing a comprehensive crime bill that would actually make people safer in their homes and communities. "National Asparagus Month" may be good constituent relations, but the problems of American agriculture have to do with our national vitality, not our national vegetable. For every one of these bills, there are legions of staff churning out public-relations campaigns to accompany them -- both on Capital Hill and in the executive branch. There are constituents contacted, newsletters written, paper -- reams of paper -- produced. Is this a big ticket item in the federal budget? Probably not. But, it is more evidence of a Congress that chooses to spend its time and effort on the easy constituent pleasing activities rather than on the difficult, often controversial issues that determine the future of our country. Maybe it's small potatoes, but the public knows PR when it sees it. For each letter a member receives, 12 thousand go out -- free. That adds up to real money -- taxpayer money, and we must put a stop to it. These actions undermine the people's confidence in their government the same way as outrageous pork-barrel spending does. [Just as I sent to Congress ten days ago my anti-pork line-item rescissions, I am telling Congress today that the Executive Branch will not spend taxpayer dollars to fund publicity campaigns for special interests -- so don't send me any more of these pork-barrel proclamations. The American people are a compassionate people -- we are m willing to foot the bill to make this country better. But, when taxpayer money goes for special-interest publicity campaigns and pork-barrel projects, people get angry -- they don't trust government to use their hard-earned tax dollars wisely. In dollar terms, one quarter of everything we produce, build, or grow as a nation, is devoured by the central government. There is no bigger appetite on earth. Today, our government is a trillion and a half dollar business that too often forgets that the taxpayer is original investor, customer, shareholder, and board member all rolled into one. Because government has forgotten the customer, it has issued counterproductive regulations -- ones that increase the cost of doing business, but worse, ones that don't really solve the problems they were designed to solve. Because government has forgotten the shareholder, it shelters perpetual programs that have outlived their function, but not their funding. Because the government has forgotten who is really the boss -- the American taxpayer -- it has become insulated, unresponsive and resists reform. It is almost impossible to adequately reward success, much less punish failure. Let me make it clear, these comments are not meant for the four million hardworking people in our government offices. Talk to them and most will say the same thing -- they are frustrated, too. But the system, which was good for its time, must now change, and it won't be easy. Congress has created these giant centralized bureaucracies. It has laid down mandates and funded programs -- then, Congress has protected them, harassed them, investigated them, micro- managed them. With a Congressional subcommittee Chairman as godparent, the bureaucracy has become Congress's coddled pet. A few examples will show what I'm talking about. The Department of Defense has no less than some thirty different Congressional committees and 77 subcommittees who claim some oversight responsibility. And, some 74 committees and subcommittees compete to exercise jurisdiction over the War on Drugs. Then we wonder why it takes so long to get something done in government. Think of the time and resources spent by the Executive Branch to fulfill Congressional demands for testimony. Think of the thousands of required reports that must be researched, written and delivered to Capitol Hill. Sixty reports from HUD. Six hundred from the Defense Department -- and so on -- through all the Cabinet departments. Congress has legitimate oversight responsibilities. And, I know that the federal government cannot be run just like IBM or the local convenience store. But, we can improve government's performance. We must improve its performance. What merely hampered us in the past, will stall us out in the new century. Congress can no longer ignore our proposed reforms. The federal bureaucracy must be reformed; I have proposed reforms in the past and I am proposing additional steps today. These actions will give clarity to the mission of America's government and return our people's confidence in government. First, we must have universal application of the laws of the land. Federalist paper #57 asserts that elected officials, "can make no law which will not have in full operation on themselves and their friends, as well as the great mass of society." In other words, Congress must govern itself by the laws it imposes on the public -- across the board. No more exceptions. Like civil rights laws. Age discrimination laws. The Americans with Disabilities Act and the Freedom of Information Act. Congress should also submit to the laws it imposes on the Executive Branch -- the Privacy Act, or Title VI of the Ethics in Government Act of 1978, the independent counsel law. [[ To those ends, today I am sending to Congress [name of Administration bill] which will force Congress to be covered by the same laws which govern everyone else. Further, I will veto any new legislation that does not also apply to Congress. ]] But that is only a first step toward rebuilding public confidence in our laws and our lawmakers. Second, we must reform the Congressional committee system. I advocate efforts to trim the overgrown thicket of committees and subcommittees which now paralyze the Congress. Democratic Senator Boren said it best when he described the Congress as "inefficient, unresponsive, wasteful, and compromised by the way it finances its campaigns." The number of Congressional reformers is growing, but they need the support of the American people now more than ever. Third, we must endorse sweeping campaign finance reform. Three years ago -- in 1989 -- I proposed the total elimination of Political Action Committees and limits on so-called "leadership PACs." I proposed increasing the support that the parties can provide to federal campaigns to reduce the influence of special interests. I proposed increasing the time candidates and incumbents spend fund-raising. I proposed increasing the legitimate role of our political parties. I proposed that we reduce allowable contributions by "independent" PACs to federal campaigns. I proposed laws to ensure that PACs stay truly independent and unaffiliated -- in other words, clean. Finally, I asked the Congress to join me in stopping the abuse that results from spreading around what's called "soft money" -- I asked for full disclosure of "soft money" expenditures by all organizations as the only way to clean up the system. Fourth, we must enforce spending reforms. I have already proposed to freeze domestic discretionary spending in federal employment next year. I have also proposed to curb the growth of mandatory programs without touching Social Security. I call again for the American people to demand that the Congress pass the same measure that 43 governors have: the line-item veto. In the absence of that important tool, I will continue to use whatever means are legally at my disposal, including the line-item-rescission, to protect the taxpayer from the spending excesses of Congress. I will resist any attempt by the Congress to dismantle the only defense the taxpayer has against Congressional overspending -- budget caps implemented in the 2990 Budget Act. Finally, I again call for a Balanced Budget Constitutional Amendment. Fifth, we must enforce regulatory reform. I have put a ninety-day moratorium on new government regulations. We are revising and eliminating regulations that impede our ability to compete, and we are accelerating regulations that enhance our competitive edge. We have cut back XXX of regulations, pages in the Federal Register by xx% just in the last XX months/years. [Today, I am announcing an extension/new review process ]] Next, we must have a new communications policy between the Congress and the Executive Branch. [ [Logging reform -- decision memo result. Reform of the nomination process. ]] Finally, we must limit Congressional terms. The cycle of virtually guaranteed re-election through the built-in advantages of incumbency must be broken. [ [So today, to truly fix the system, I have sent to Congress legislation to limit terms of United States Senators to two, and Representatives, six terms. ]] After all, as President, my terms are limited, the same should apply to members of Congress. Change is sweeping America, just as it is sweeping the world. Just as our nation faced challenges when it was newly formed, today, we face the challenge of change as we prepare for a new century. The choice is clear. On one side stand the defenders of the status quo. On the other -- the forces of change. The American people must make a choice. That choice must be worthy of those who began the world's only permanent revolution. Back then, that revolution changed the world. Today, we must prepare America for a new century. The reforms I propose will restore the principles of our Founders, guarantee continued freedom for our children, and provide our people with a government worthy of their trust and faith. We must make the choice for change. We must make the choice for a revitalized America that is fit and ready for leadership in the new American Century. Thank you, and may God bless the United States of America. ###### Our nation's emphasis on reform has also gone beyond the private sector. Healthy competition has spread across-the- board. For example, the military. In the face of budget cuts, the military has had to get leaner and smarter. In Desert Storm, we proved it worked. Other institutions -- state and local government, unions, trade association, charitable groups -- all organizations that serve the public -- have been influenced by this drive for excellence. There has been one glaring hold-out -- the federal government. Our government has resisted reform and protected the status quo -- even in the face of overwhelming evidence that change was necessary. The changes that are sweeping the rest of the country have stopped cold at the Capital Beltway. This entrenched status-quo attitude can be laid squarely at the doorstep of the United States Congress. We know that government is too big and spends too much. We know that too often the government spends the American taxpayer's money like there will be no tomorrow -- inefficiently, ineffectively, without accountability, and frankly, without compassion. If this keeps up -- tomorrow will be no bright new day. Congress, is simply not up to the job of reforming government; they are too firmly entrenched in the status quo. We've got some very tough problems ahead and Congress has not led the way in solving those problems. Even worse, they have stood in the way of every solution we have proposed. Let me tell you why that is the case and how we must change things. Political scientist Morris Fiorina paints a disturbing picture of how Washington really behaves. His picture is all too familiar. Fiorina says that the growth of big government has changed the role of Congress from policymaking to pork-barreling -- changed the Congressional office to a campaign and constituent office. He argues that Congress has set in motion a self- perpetuating cycle of support for unnecessary spending -- creating bigger bureaucracies. Fiorina says that Congress has become lethargic and unresponsive to the needs of the American people. We have seen Congressional members and their powerful staffs increasingly become the ombudsmen between constituents and the bureaucracy -- where they expedite benefits and procure more pork. These self-serving actions ensure re-election and a continuation of the status quo. Our Founding Fathers warned us about this. Madison, in Federalist Paper #52, argued that permanent majorities are dangerously undemocratic.