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Originally Processed With FOIA(s): FOIA Number: S S FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential Library Staff. Record Group/Collection: George H.W. Bush Presidential Records Collection/Office of Origin: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Speech File Backup Files Subseries: Chron File, 1989-1993 OA/ID Number: 13662 Folder ID Number: 13662-008 Folder Title: National Association of Manufacturers (NAM) 3/23/89 [OA 6347] [1] Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: G 26 18 7 3 Cherstin FILE COALITION of AMERICANS to PROTECT SPORTS CAPS March 16, 1989 1-800-338-8678 Andrew Card JOHN D. RIDDLE President Deputy Chief of Staff to the President RICHARD J. FELDMAN White House Executive Director West Wing CINDE A. EVERETT Washington, DC 20500 Communications Director Dear Andy, HEADQUARTERS 200 Castlewood Drive North Palm Beach, FL Enclosed are several copies of last month's 33408-5696 Sports Inc. magazine. Knowing the President (407) 842-4225 Telex: 494-7413-AMSPTS will be addressing the National Association of Fax: (407) 863-8984 Manufacturers Annual Congress next Thursday the 23rd, his speech writers may find some of this material useful as there will be a high JAN KINNEY Director-Federal Operations percentage of sporting good manufacturers in the LEGISLATIVE OFFICES audience. I am also enclosing the card of Dave 1625 K Street NW, Suite 900 Washington, D.C. Granger, senior editior for Sports Inc. If 20006-1604 it's possible, could you arrange to get an (202) 775-1764 OK Fax (202) 296.7462 autopen autographed copy of the magazine sent to him? ALBANY NY ANNAPOLIS MD I will be in town Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, ATLANTA GA AUGUSTA ME Friday and Saturday of next week and if there is AUSTIN, TX BATON ROUGE LA any possibility of us getting together for 15 BISMARCK ND BOISE ID minutes I would certainly appreciate it. I can BOSTON MA CARSON CITY, NV be reached either through my Palm Beach office CHARLESTON WV CHEYENNE WY (407) 842-4225 or my Washington office (202) COLUMBIA, SC CONCORD, NH Aennison 775-1764. COLUMBUS, OH DENVER. CO DES MOINES IA DOVER, DE On a side note, I would like you to be aware FRANKFORT KY HARRISBURG PA that Bill Bennett has named his top advisor - a HARTFORD CT HELENA MT guy by the name of Chuck Wexler - he is from HONOLULU. HI INDIANAPOLIS,IN Newton, Massacushetts, worked for the Boston PD JACKSON. MS JEFFERSON CITY MO and has come from the International Association JUNEAU AK LANSING, MI of Chiefs of Police (IACP). The folks over at LINCOLN NE LITTLE ROCK AR NRA are going off the roof about it. Heads up MADISON WI MONTGOMERY AL on this one - he is going to cause you more MONTPELIER VT NASHVILLE TN grief than you folks really need. I am an old OKLAHOMA CITY OK OLYMPIA WA friend of Chuck's, Bill's and of course still PIERRE SD PHOENIX AZ maintain my contacts at NRA. So, if there is PROVIDEN F RALEIGH NO any mediating role I can play you have my RICHMOND VA SACRAMENTO CA services at you're disposal. SALEM OR SALT LAKE CITY UT SAN JUAN PR SANTA NM SPRINGFIELD IL ST PAUL MN TALLAHASSEE FL TOPEKA KS TRENTON NJ Sports for Tort Reform Page 2 Andy Card Needless to say, I am extremely proud of what you have accomplished and the position you now hold. As always if there is anything we at the Coaltion of Americans to Protect Sports (CAPS) can do to further the cause of our President and that of our friend, the Deputy Chief of Staff, don't fail to call upon us. My very best regards to you and your family - look forward to seeing you. In sports freedom, Richard /cal Richard J. Feldman, Esq. Executive Director Enclosure RJF/mnr 1730 K Street, NW Washington, DC 20006 (202) 822-9300 Barry K. Rogstad President American Business Conference March 24, 1989 Mr. Jeff Vogt Office of Public Liaison The White House Washington, DC 20500 Dear Jeff: Here is a letter for Bobbie that conveys some additional information that might be useful to the President's speechwriters. Regards, Barry Barry K. Rogstad BKR:mcp encs. A Coalition of Growth Companies 1730 K Street, NW Washington, DC 20006 (202) 822-9300 Barry K. Rogstad President American Business Conference March 24, 1989 The Honorable Bobbie Kilberg Deputy Assistant to the President The White House Washington, DC 20500 Dear Bobbie: We are honored that President Bush has consented to speak to the members of the American Business Conference at our meeting here in Washington early next month. I am enclosing a paper describing the nature and mission of ABC. In addition, for purposes of preparing the President's presentation, you may find the following background information helpful. 0 President Bush is a long-standing and valued friend of ABC. As Vice President, he met with our members in October 1981 (at which time he hosted a reception at the Vice Presidential residence), March 1983, and October 1985. Last January, shortly before the inauguration, he and Vice President Quayle hosted a session with some of America's leading entrepreneurs including one of our members, Tom Wathen, President of Pinkerton's Inc. The President has a number of personal acquaintances and friends among our membership; indeed, Secretary of Commerce Bob Mosbacher is a former vice chairman of ABC. ABC enthusiastically supports the President's budget initiative, especially its focus on capital formation and growth. o We share as well the President's emphasis upon education as a key ingredient for increasing labor productivity and, therefore, the nation's international competitiveness. A number of our members are very active at the state and local level in programs to promote educational excellence. A Coalition of Growth Companies The Honorable Bobbie Kilberg March 24, 1989 Page 2 0 ABC, perhaps more than any other business organization in Washington, has con- sistently endorsed a pragmatic free trade and investment policy as the only reasonable response to an interdependent global marketplace. The members of the ABC feel that the President closely embodies the ideals and goals of our organization. For that reason, we will not only support his short-term economic goals, but want to contribute to the achievement of his long-term priorities for the nation and the world. I trust that the meeting with the President next month will be the beginning of a long and constructive partnership to that end. Sincerely, Barry Barry K. Rogstad BKR:mcp enc. American Business Conference A Coalition of Growth Companies THE AMERICAN BUSINESS CONFERENCE Founded in 1981 and comprising one hundred chief executives of fast-growing, mid-size companies, the American Business Conference (ABC) is the non-partisan voice of the high-growth, entrepreneurial sector of the economy. Mission The mission of the American Business Conference is the promotion of public policies to encourage growth, job creation, and a higher standard of living for all Americans. ABC executives believe their own business success carries with it a responsibility to help expand economic opportunity throughout the economy. accountabily Membership To qualify for membership in ABC, a company must have annual revenues of at least $25 million and must be growing in revenues or earnings at a minimum annual rate of three times the growth of the economy plus inflation. Member firms who can no longer maintain the growth criterion leave the organization and are replaced with other qualified companies. ABC maintains a distribution of manufacturing, service, financial service and real estate firms in its membership roughly proportional to the configuration of the economy as a whole. Membership in ABC is limited to one hundred. Agenda Just as it keeps its membership limited and select, so too ABC focuses on a few, very important issues directly related to economic growth. O Fiscal Policy: ABC regards the stimulation of national savings and the continued reduction of the federal deficit as the nation's leading economic priorities. ABC believes that deficit reduction is primarily a matter of reducing the rate of increase in federal spending. To that end, ABC urges a bipartisan scrutiny of all federal spending programs in an effort to bring the budget into balance without new taxes. ABC does not accept the proposition that higher taxes are a substitute for a disciplined, accountable federal budget. In the event that future, unforeseen economic circum- stances call for new taxes in order to keep the budget in balance, ABC would support such taxes only if the new revenues are dedicated explicitly and without exception to deficit reduction. The burden of any new levies should fall on consumption rather than savings. In the longer term, ABC believes that an examination of the merits of a transition to a consumption-based income tax is in order. International Trade and Finance: ABC is committed to free and fair trade as well as the unhindered international flow of investment capital. The American economy has demonstrably benefitted from both. The United States must be on guard to insure that the vigorous enforcement of its trade laws -- which is a legitimate response to a world trading system still marked by barriers to trade and investment -- does not result in furthering the sort of protectionism the laws were designed to counteract. Human Capital: By their very nature, ABC companies depend upon human skills for imaginative business concepts and innovative technology. Over time the more advanced countries of the world can be expected to grow in indus- tries that are more technology and knowledge intensive, that provide higher value-added goods and services, and that are increasingly dependent on human skills. The long-range competitiveness of ABC companies and of American business generally, depends upon the maintenance of a world-class work force. To that end, ABC strongly supports new initiatives to promote educational excellence at all levels. Activities ABC in all of its activities depends upon the participation and initiative of its executives. That fact gives ABC's perspective special credibility. Throughout the year ABC executives are prepared to offer their perspective, in a number of forums on both short- and long-term critical economic issues. o Membership Meetings: To advance their economic ideas, ABC executives regularly meet the nation's most important policymakers. Twice each year, all ABC members come to Washington for three days of policy meetings. The number of people participating in each meeting is kept small: perhaps two or three senators or administration officials with an equal number of executives. The discussion agenda typically reflects ABC executives' interests. ABC executives also meet in plenary session to hear from the president of the United States, the vice president, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, and other distin- guished speakers. In the plenary sessions as well as the small sessions, the atmosphere is sufficiently informal to allow a healthy exchange of views. Other Policy Meeings: Beyond the twice-yearly membership meetings, ABC executives often visit Washington individ- ually and in small groups to discuss the views of the membership before committees of Congress. A number of ABC executives serve on various trade and advisory committees to the president, and three ABC members are directors of Federal Reserve Banks. o Publications: Together with direct advocacy, ABC executives place great emphasis upon the study of entrepre- neurship and management practice. ABC is well-known for its monographs topics such as on capital costs, saving and consumption, the contribution of entrepreneurship to the economy, and the elements for success in the world market- place. These and other ABC publications are drawn directly from the experiences of ABC member companies. Seminars: ABC also co-sponsors seminars and other programs to allow further public debate on economic policy issues, and frequently ABC executives are asked to speak to meetings of business leaders and policymakers. Through personal advocacy and publications, ABC executives attempt to bring a fresh, informed, and neutral outlook on economic policy-making. The American Business Conference sees itself as a "laboratory of excellence," dedicated to communicating the outlook and practices of the sort of firms that are on the leading edge of the American economy as the nation moves into the next century. (Lange/Martin) March 21, 1989 7:15 p.m. PRESIDENTIAL REMARKS: NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MANUFACTURERS Time WASHINGTON D.C. THURSDAY, MARCH 23, 1989 Thank you, [Dick]. You know, after one tough football game, somebody asked Knute Rockne why Notre Dame had lost. He answered, "I won't know until my barber tells me on Monday." Well, nobody's second-guessing American manufacturing anymore. Clearly, you're playing a winning game. I'm here today to tell you that "de-industrialization" is a myth. Manufacturing, as a share of our national output, is as strong today as it has ever been. Thanks to the hard work of the men and women in this room -- who are the brains and muscle of America's basic industries -- we are producing more products with a smaller percentage of our population than ever before. That, my friends, is productivity. That is why since 1982, our manufacturing output has gone up twice as fast as Western Europe and has kept pace with Japan. You are the producers who are building a better America every day. Your presence here today demonstrates that you are 2 fighting to win the international struggle for continued growth. You have demonstrated that you can make America more competitive -- and that you can keep America more competitive. Now, I'm not saying you're going to have to do it alone. There is a role for government. Sometimes political leadership is needed -- for example, to keep international trade free and fair. However, I will tell you that this government will not confuse involvement with interference. There's a lot of talk about competitiveness going around these days. But competitiveness is more than just the latest trade figures, or the latest quarterly earnings -- or the latest poll or the latest election, for that matter. Surely our success can be measured by better methods than these. In your industry, as in mine, this may be a good time for us to look toward a longer horizon. We stand at a special moment in American history. We are prosperous and we are at peace. At such a point, we must set our sights higher. We must look farther ahead. The 21st Century is less than a dozen years away now. 3 You've called this conference "The New Leadership Summit." Leadership is many things: vision, the power to inspire, the undership capacity to define an agenda for future action It is certainly like you found in those who keep the great engines of American industry turning. In creating jobs, building businesses and meeting that will needs, our Nation's manufacturers have shown the qualities we will 100 2 carry no into the fature, And make no mastake, the challenges we face will test your vision and your capacity to define an agender foxaction. Leadership means understanding where an organization finds itself, right now; seeing where it wants to go; and knowing how to get there. Above all, it's playing the long game, whatever the odds -- and playing for keeps. address that very point by outliming So today, I'd like to outline my agenda for the next American century. To build a better America, one of the most important priorities for this government will be to encourage savings and long-term investment -- and get our fiscal house in order. This means bringing down the deficit. Last month, I submitted a budget to Congress with a clear agenda to cut the Federal deficit, and enhance business' ability to plan, expand, and build. My friends, next year, under current law, the economic growth we are enjoying will increase federal revenues by more 4 than $80 billion without increasing tax rates. Our plan will hold the line on spending, using that revenue to slash the deficit by more than 40 percent -- and bring it down below the mandated Gramm-Rudman-Hollings targets. To encourage long-range investment and entrepreneurship in businesses of all sizes, it's time we restored the capital gains differential. This is a case where less means more. More revenue to the Federal government -- $4.8 billion more in 1990, according to Treasury estimates. More savings, and more investment. More competitive, flexible businesses. More opportunities for innovation. And more jobs for all Americans -- including those who have been left behind, and who need a chance to work for their share of the American dream. This is no tax break for the rich. It's a fair shake for America. Competitiveness, opportunity, saving, and investing for the long term -- this is why we need a capital gains tax rate cut. It's why we need one now. To spur investment in basic research, we've proposed a permanent research and experimentation tax credit. A 13 percent increase for science and technology programs. 5 And we have created a new post at the Commerce Department -- Undersecretary for Technology -- that embodies our commitment to guaranteeing that American technology is number one. We also intend to double the National Science Foundation's budget by 1993. A strong economy needs a safe and secure banking system. That is why we proposed a comprehensive plan to solve the difficulties of our savings and loans. Our plan has been well- received on both sides of the aisle on Capitol Hill -- and I've asked for action within 45 days. We want to ease the pressures now building on the most important organization in America -- the family -- by promoting choice on issues like child care. So last week I sent legislation to Congress that puts money and options in the hands of parents, rather than bureaucracies. But the most powerful key to long-term competitiveness is education. A strengthened education system is the essential ingredient for America's prosperity into the next decade and the next century. Let no one suggest that education is a minor matter on the national agenda. It is vital to everything we are, and can become. 6 But there are no quick fixes here, either. Like most of the long-term issues on the national agenda, American education won't be fixed with a bolt of lightning here, a puff of smoke there. It will take collective effort at all levels, public and private, to get it right. Those businesses that are involved with local schools -- developing the workforce at its source -- are making fail-safe investments. And they stand to reap the greatest rewards. For those workers already on the line, we must build new skills and flexibility as jobs change, through training and re- training. The NAM policy position you adopted last year said that "investment in human resources is at least as important as investment in equipment and technology." And you're absolutely right. Machinery and technology alone don't improve productivity. People do. Another issue where we plan to play for keeps: We're determined to get drugs out of the workplace. Drug and alcohol abuse in the workplace costs $60 billion every year, putting productivity and lives at risk. Drug abuse in America must stop -- and we are off to a fast start. Last month I spoke to Congress about four decisive issues: education, treatment, interdiction, and enforcement. And I asked for an increase of $1 billion in budget outlays -- to 7 nearly $6 billion in 1990 -- to escalate our effort. But we will also be looking to you to set effective, well-reasoned drug policies in your businesses. Employers can teach their people to recognize the signs of substance abuse in their co-workers -- and understand how drug abuse hurts the non-users on the line. Any long-term agenda must also ask how we can leave the earth we've inherited a little better than when we found it. We must devise answers to the problems of ozone depletion, global warming, and acid rain. We've already joined with other nations to call for the elimination of CFCs and the development of environmentally safe substitutes -- as well as adopting a tough new policy on the export of hazardous waste. The time has come to set aside partisan approaches to these and other enormous environmental questions. We must ensure that our grandchildren can fish on the same lakes we've enjoyed. In this agenda for a new American century, I've asked you to consider a broad vision: a vision that relies on the dynamic spirit that is America. The spirit that says: Buildings should not stand empty, while people lack shelter. Jobs should not go unfilled, while young men and women stand idle on street corners. No one should go hungry, in the richest nation on earth. 8 We must promote local efforts to assure that every American can seize a share of prosperity -- and help to create more of it. Whether through the constellation of local community groups already at work -- or through new ideas, like our program to encourage our nation's youth to become involved in community service: we will rely less on the collective wallet, and more on collective will. But this does not mean lowering our sights, or our expectations. Just the opposite. In an era of tight budgets, we are not going to simply "make do with less." We're going to learn how to do more with less -- and do it better. In the factory, that's called productivity. Across our country, that's called national spirit. Yes, we are prosperous. And we are at peace. But such quiet moments often become pivotal in a nation's history. My friends, the choices we make now will determine whether the door to the next American century is closing -- or opening wide, for all who dare to dream. Thank you. God bless you. And God bless America. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT Interest Rates AMERICAN THAT TIMITED OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET Q4 GNP WASHINGTON. D.C. 20503 Housing Finance Bean Counting March 24, 1989 MEMORANDUM FOR THE DIRECTOR FROM: John C. Weicher SUBJECT: Friday Economic and Financial Report Interest Rates Stabilize After Recent Jump This week, interest rates stabilized and even fell slightly on long maturities. That's a welcome change from the prior week's increase of 20 basis points. February's Consumer Price Index, released this week, was a bit better than the market expected, with about a 5 percent annual rate rise overall and also exclud- ing volatile food and energy items. Despite this good news, the underlying rate of inflation this year has averaged 5.3 percent, up about 1/2 percentage point from last year. Consumer Price Index (% change, annual rate) December to December Jan Feb 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Total 3.8 1.1 4.4 4.4 7.2 5.1 Food 2.7 3.8 3.5 5.2 9.3 5.0 Energy 1.9 -19.5 8.2 0.5 9.8 6.9 Ex. Food & Energy 4.3 3.8 4.2 4.7 5.9 4.8 Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan and Vice-Chairman Manuel Johnson, in separate remarks on Wednesday, made clear that the Fed has stopped raising the federal funds rate for the time being while they wait for the effects of their previous tightening moves to appear. They stressed the long lags in monetary policy and their desire to avoid overkill and reduce the possibility of a re- cession. This is a clear sign that the FOMC, which meets next week, is unlikely to change policy. - 2 - The bond market bounced up a bit after the Fed officials' re- marks, but the stock market headed down. In the past week, technology stocks have been hit on reports of lower earnings. IBM and Digital Equipment dropped by over 8 percent. Weakness at these major computer manufacturers is a signal of a slowdown in investment spending. Nominal interest rates are now about 1/2 percentage point higher on long maturities and 1-1/4 percentage point higher on short maturities than projected in the budget. While this increases outlays and the deficit, the effects will be almost entirely offset by higher-than-expected inflation. Tax receipts increase proportionately to the rise in prices, while noninterest program outlays are slower to adjust in the short run. Eventually, outlays are likely to be adjusted for higher inflation, so that receipts and outlays change about equally. Of course, higher inflation is bad news for the economy and threatens the continuation of the expansion, but it has a roughly neutral effect on the deficit in the long run. What really matters for the budget is real interest rates and real growth rates. This year's rise in nominal interest rates has been fairly closely matched by rising inflation, with little average change in real rates. Real growth was slightly higher than the Administration's projection for the fourth quarter of 1988. The budget assumes a decline in real interest rates and healthy growth over the next year and a half, a more favorable outcome than most private sector forecasts. But so far, overall economic performance is consistent with the economic projections that matter most for the budget. Fourth Quarter GNP Now that all the data are in for the final quarter of last year, it is clear that the economy was somewhat stronger than initially reported. The Bureau of Economic Analysis places real GNP growth at a 2.4 percent annual rate, up 0.4 percentage points from the prior reading. A change of this magnitude is not exceptional, in fact, it is equal to the average revision during the past dozen years. Excluding the drought, which cut 1.1 percentage points off the growth rate, real GNP rose at a 3.5 percent annual rate. Over the four quarter of the year, GNP also rose 3.5 percent excluding the drought's effects. The fourth quarter inflation estimates were not revised. The GNP implicit price deflator was up at a 5.3 percent annual rate and the GNP fixed-weighted price index, which is based on a constant composition of output, was up at a 4.2 percent rate. (See attachment for details of fourth quarter GNP.) The Administration has assumed that rising interest rates over the past year will put a damper on nonfarm growth this year, but not enough to cause unemployment to rise. The year is still young, but there are signs that this is already happening. The - 3 - sectors that were at the forefront of the expansion last year are moderating. Manufacturing production and employment slowed dur- ing the first two months of this year. In part, this reflects diminished competitiveness because of the dollar's appreciation. On the domestic front, businesses' orders for new equipment have not risen since the third quarter of last year, which will curb capital spending in the coming months. Finally, consumer spend- ing also waned in January and February as auto sales slumped. At the same time, unemployment has actually fallen. A slackening pace does not necessarily signal an end to the expansion. In fact, the composite index of leading indicators rose 0.7 percent in December and 0.6 percent in January, the most recent months available. That's the best back-to-back showing since last June and is consistent with the Administration's forecast for continued growth in the nonfarm economy, albeit at a slower pace than during 1988. The Evolution of Home Finance: Part I The problems of the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corpora- tion have simultaneously focused public attention on the American housing finance system and obscured the nature of the fundamental changes that have occurred over the last decade. This story is the first in a series on the housing finance system. It describes the evolution of the system. Subsequent stories will discuss the changes in the mortgage instrument itself, in origi- nation and servicing, and in the sources of funds for mortgages. A Flawed Foundation The "traditional housing finance system," dating back to the Depression, was in reality two essentially competing systems of home finance, each with Federal support: the thrift industry, and the separate system of FHA/VA insurance and secondary market development designed to attract commercial banks, life insurance companies, pension funds and other investors to mortgages. o Federal support for thrifts was initiated by President Hoover. The Federal Home Loan Bank System was created in 1932 to charter and regulate Federal savings and loan insti- tutions, and to provide advances (loans) to all S&Ls. This was supplemented in 1934 by the creation of the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation to insure thrifts' deposits. The thrifts originated, serviced, and held mortgages in their own portfolios. President Roosevelt started the Federal Housing Administra- tion in 1934 to insure mortgages, hoping to encourage commer- cial banks and other institutions to originate and hold them. The Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) was established in 1938 to create a secondary market for FHA insured mortgages. In the immediate postwar period, the - 4 - Veterans Administration joined the FHA as a mortgage insurer. In this system, there was a split between origination and investing: mortgage bankers typically originated and serviced mortgages, but sold them directly or through Fannie Mae to other institutions which were the ultimate investors. The S&Ls were heavily regulated, in return for deposit insurance and preferential access to capital markets, and the regulations eventually hamstrung the system. S&Ls were required to hold most of their assets in mortgages. They were permitted to originate mortgages only within 50 miles of their home office. These holdings were financed primarily by local savings deposits. Restricting thrifts to mortgages, primarily local, ignored the wisdom of portfolio diversification. Moreover, financing port- folios of long-term, fixed-rate mortgages by short-term savings deposits exposed thrifts to interest rate risk. So long as interest rates were relatively stable, such lending was profit- able. But when interest rates rose, shocked by inflation, this term mismatch led to tremendous losses. Accelerating Inflation As inflation ratcheted upward in the mid-1960s, the early 1970s, and again in the late 1970s, these flaws became evident. In 1966, Regulation Q, which restricted the interest rates that commercial banks could pay on deposits, was extended to S&LS in the hope of holding down their cost of funds. Instead, it resulted in disintermediation -- a reduction in the growth of deposits available for mortgage lending. On the second ratchet in the early 1970s, money market mutual funds were created; they invested in relatively short-term, high-quality assets, and were free of the restrictions on insured depository institutions. In the third cycle, MMMFs skyrocketed from $3.5 billion in 1977 to $180 billion in 1981; there was a net decline in thrift deposits. The first effect of inflation was to limit and destabilize the funds thrifts had available for home finance. The second, closely related, effect was to reduce thrifts' profits and the value of their portfolios. On a market value basis, by 1980 the industry as a whole had a negative net worth of about 12.5% of assets. Although this industry-wide figure improved as interest rates came down in the 1980s, a substantial and growing fraction of the industry was insolvent. In any other industry, they would have gone out of business. But insolvent depository institutions can only go out of business when the Federal Government closes or merges them. Instead, the FSLIC exercised forbearance. Many thrifts with little or no net worth continued in business, competing for funds, increasing the volume of originations, and seeking higher returns. Their decisions were subject to moral hazard; they might profit, but with no equity, they could lose no more. - 5 - The nature of the mortgage instrument was also affected by the continuing inflation. As rising home prices and higher interest rates reduced the affordability of homes, potential buyers sought both lower down payment requirements and easier monthly terms. On the lenders' side, high and variable inflation created a desire for variable or adjustable rate mortgages, which would shift some of the interest rate risk to the borrower. Bundles and Packages Another major force restructuring the mortgage market in the 1970s was the increasing power and diminishing cost of computers and telecommunications. New information technology made it possible to "unbundle" different mortgage services so that different firms could handle origination, insurance, servicing, and holding. It also made possible the securitization of mort- gages. This financial innovation "packaged" the cash flows on a pool of mortgages into a variety of securities. These securities, with quite different characteristics than the underlying mortgages, were designed to appeal to a variety of investors. They were sold in the secondary market, and were more liquid than the underlying mortgages. Securitization will be discussed more fully in a forthcoming article in this series. The establishment of the Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae) in 1968 accelerated the development of the secondary market. Ginnie Mae bought FHA and VA insured mortgages, and created pass-through securities on which it guaranteed timely payment of principal and interest. In 1970, the Federal National Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac) was chartered and charged with creating a secondary market in conventional (uninsured) mortgages to increase the liquidity of thrifts, and Fannie Mae was permit- ted to buy conventional loans as well. As a result, mortgage qualifying and underwriting standards became more uniform to facilitate sale to the secondary market. The Culmination By the end of the 1970s, these forces created massive pressures for changes in the housing finance system. To permit thrifts to compete for funds and smooth the flow of financing for mortgages, the Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980 set up a schedule for the elimination of deposit rate ceilings and the Garn-St Germain Act of 1982 authorized a deposit account similar to money market fund accounts. The DIDMCA also permited thrifts to hold up to 20% of assets in consumer loans, commercial paper, and long-term corporate debt; Garn-St Germain permitted investment in corporate and government securities with no geographic limitation and increased the allowable limit for these non-mortgage investments to 40% by 1984. For mortgages, geographic limits on origination had been widened in several stages, and by 1983 were eliminated throughout the nation. And in 1981, thrifts were permitted to originate and hold any kind of adjustable rate mortgage. - 6 - The result of these changes is that the housing finance system of 1989 is much removed from the system of 1979, and vastly differ- ent from that of 1969. Twenty years ago, nearly all mortgages carried fixed rates for terms of 25 to 30 years; more than half were originated by S&LS, and more than half were held by them in their own portfolios; few were sold in the secondary market; and mortgage securities were unknown. Moreover, interest rates then were much lower. Before the 1970s, S&Ls lived in a friendly environment, one that enabled them to grow and prosper. High inflation and new information technologies have changed all that: today's environment is a hostile one for S&Ls. It is no wonder that they have to struggle to survive. Sweet Forecast Worth Hill of Beans OMB is widely regarded as having the best bean counters in the world, and the Office of Economic Policy has the best of the best. This week, OEP's Jim Simpson won the NEOB cafeteria's jellybean counting contest. His estimate of 539 beans was closest to the actual count of 535, an error of less than 1 percent. The next closest was 619 beans. According to an informed source, most estimates were in the low thousands, which reinforces the view that OMBers believe in rosey scenarios. But not OMB's economists: Jim has provided proof positive that realism prevails in this office! "Forecasting is not an exact science", but this forecast was right on the bean, er-- beam. HAPPY EASTER! FOURTH QUARTER GNP The economy grew at a revised annual rate of 2.4 percent in the fourth quarter, up 0.4 percentage points from the previous estimate. Excluding the drought, fourth quarter GNP was 1.1 percentage points higher. Inflation, as measured by both the implicit price deflator and the fixed-weighted index, remained unchanged; therefore all of the increase in nominal GNP was attributable to higher real growth. 1988 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q4 Prelim. Final (% change, saar) Real GNP 3.4 3.0 2.5 2.0 2.4 Excluding Drought 3.4 3.9 3.0 3.1 3.5 GNP Price Deflator 1.7 5.5 4.7 5.3 5.3 GNP Fixed-Weighted Price Index 3.5 5.0 5.3 4.2 4.2 Nominal GNP 5.4 8.7 7.3 7.2 7.6 The boost to fourth quarter GNP came mostly from business fixed investment, which was down less than initially measured, and from higher federal spending. Most of the higher federal nondefense revision was due to transactions of the Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC). Growth of consumption and residential investment was unchanged. The upward revisions more than offset a deterioration in the net export balance. Business Fixed Investment 7.6 15.0 4.0 -4.6 -2.9 Personal Consumption 4.5 3.0 3.9 3.5 3.5 Residential Investment 6.5 0.2 4.3 10.9 10.9 Federal Government -21.0 4.7 -13.2 16.8 20.7 Defense -5.3 -1.5 -10.5 7.5 9.9 Nondefense -60.1 33.2 -22.5 60.5 71.5 Nondefense Excluding CCC -1.9 1.5 -12.9 8.0 10.9 State and Local 3.5 3.2 1.1 5.1 6.0 The real net export deficit widened, mostly due to a downward revision in exports. Imports were revised up slightly. Inventories remained essentially unchanged. ($82 billions) Net Exports -109.0 -92.6 -93.9 -103.3 -105.4 Exports 486.2 496.9 514.0 523.6 522.1 Imports 595.1 589.5 607.9 626.8 627.4 Inventory Change 66.0 35.3 39.5 29.3 29.1 Nonfarm 51.9 30.1 40.4 37.7 37.6 Farm 14.1 5.3 -0.8 -8.3 -8.5 Nominal and real disposable income were revised downward as a result of smaller gains in wages, proprietors' income and interest income. Corporate profits in the fourth quarter increased sharply. The quarterly pattern of profits last year was quite volatile, but overall they rose 7.5 percent. (% change, saar) Nominal Disposable Income 7.4 5.6 10.4 9.4 8.8 Real Disposable Income 5.0 0.0 5.6 4.8 4.1 Saving Rate (%) 4.4 3.7 4.2 4.5 4.3 Corporate Profits 0.1 13.7 4.4 NA 12.6 RECENT ECONOMIC INDICATORS MARCH 24, 1989 (S.A. OR AS INDICATED) Feb-88 Mar-88 Apr-88 May-88 Jun-88 Jul-88 Aug-88 Sep-88 Oct-88 Nov-88 Dec-88 Jan-89 Feb-89 GNP (QUARTERLY SERIES, % A.R.) NOMINAL GNP 5.4 8.7 7.3 7.6 REAL GNP 3.4 3.0 2.5 2.4 IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATOR 1.7 5.5 4.7 5.3 FIXED-WEIGHT PRICE INDEX 3.5 5.0 5.3 4.2 REAL DISP. PERS. INC. 5.0 0.0 5.6 4.1 OPERATING PROFITS 0.1 13.7 4.4 12.6 LEADING AND COINCIDENT INDICATORS LEADING INDEX 140.3 140.8 141.5 141.5 143.9 142.7 144.1 143.7 143.9 143.9 144.9 145.7 NA PERCENT 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 1.7 -0.8 1.0 -0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.6 NA COINCIDENT INDEX 126.5 127.3 127.3 127.6 128.5 128.9 129.3 129.3 130.6 130.7 131.6 132.9 NA PERCENT 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 NA INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION 134.4 134.7 135.4 136.1 136.5 138.0 138.5 138.6 139.4 139.9 140.5 141.1 141.1 PERCENT 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 CAPACITY UTIL. MFG. 82.6 82.7 82.9 83.3 83.3 84.0 84.0 84.0 84.3 84.4 84.5 84.8 84.6 EMPLOYMENT INDICATORS CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT, MIL. 114.3 114.1 114.7 114.4 115.0 115.0 115.2 115.4 115.6 115.9 116.0 116.7 116.9 CIV. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, PERCENT 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.6 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.1 NONFARM PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT, MIL. 104.7 105.0 105.3 105.5 106.1 106.3 106.4 106.7 107.0 107.4 107.6 108.1 108.3 AVG. WEEKLY HOURS, MFG. 41.0 40.9 41.2 41.0 41.1 41.1 41.0 41.2 41.2 41.2 40.8 41.0 41.0 INITIAL CLAIMS UNEMP. INS., THOUS. 321.6 308.0 304.5 310.8 304.1 325.4 305.1 292.8 295.4 300.5 309.0 292.5 308.8 CONSUMER SECTOR RETAIL SALES, BIL. $ 131.9 133.7 133.2 134.1 135.0 136.7 136.1 135.8 137.8 139.5 139.2 140.1 139.5 PERCENT 1.2 1.3 -0.3 0.7 0.7 1.2 -0.4 -0.2 1.5 1.2 -0.2 0.7 -0.4 TOTAL AUTO SALES, MIL. UNITS, A.R. 11.1 10.6 10.5 10.4 11.0 10.7 10.6 10.6 9.8 10.2 11.5 9.8 9.9 DOMESTIC 7.9 7.5 7.2 7.3 7.8 7.8 7.4 7.6 6.8 7.2 8.4 7.0 7.1 IMPORTED 3.2 3.1 3.3 3.0 3.1 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 3.1 2.7 2.8 PERSONAL INCOME, BIL. $, A.R. 3946.7 3985.9 4001.0 4021.4 4044.9 4075.3 4091.8 4114.7 4175.5 4165.2 4200.8 4272.9 4315.3 PERCENT 0.6 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.6 1.5 -0.2 0.9 1.7 1.0 DISP. PERS. INC., BIL. $, A.R. 3376.7 3406.4 3357.6 3441.5 3465.3 3491.1 3505.9 3525.5 3580.0 3567.9 3599.5 3659.9 3699.7 PERCENT 1.0 0.9 -1.4 2.5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.6 1.5 -0.3 0.9 1.7 1.1 REAL DISP. PERS. INC., BIL. $, A.R. 2768.0 2779.2 2721.5 2776.5 2788.4 2797.0 2802.2 2802.0 2832.5 2818.5 2834.3 2863.4 2889.6 PERCENT 1.0 0.4 -2.1 2.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1 -0.5 0.6 1.0 0.9 PERS. CONSUMP. EXP., BIL. $, A.R. 3125.4 3149.0 3161.3 3190.9 3231.5 3241.7 3271.7 3270.2 3307.7 3325.4 3346.0 3357.9 3375.7 PERCENT 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.9 1.3 0.3 0.9 0.0 1.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 REAL PERS. CONSUMP. EXP., BIL. $, A.R. 2562.0 2569.2 2562.5 2574.3 2600.3 2597.3 2615.0 2599.1 2617.1 2626.9 2634.6 2627.2 2636.6 PERCENT 0.5 0.3 -0.3 0.5 1.0 -0.1 0.7 -0.6 0.7 0.4 0.3 -0.3 0.4 HOUSING SECTOR HOUSING STARTS, THOU. UNITS, A.R. 1511.0 1528.0 1576.0 1392.0 1463.0 1478.0 1459.0 1463.0 1532.0 1567.0 1577.0 1690.0 1498.0 SINGLE-FAMILY 1095.0 1169.0 1087.0 1001.0 1088.0 1067.0 1076.0 1039.0 1136.0 1138.0 1141.0 1202.0 1045.0 HOUSING PERMITS, THOU. UNITS, A.R. 1429.0 1476.0 1449.0 1436.0 1493.0 1420.0 1464.0 1394.0 1516.0 1516.0 1566.0 1507.0 1404.0 03. 15,89 06:55PM *LABOR SECRETARY DOLE PO1 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 118h OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY WASHINGTON, D.C. 20210 Main 202/523-8271 Fax 202/523-9072 TO: MARK LANGE WHITE HOUSE FROM: E. KHACHIGIAN NOTES: NAM INFO Enjoy! 03. 15. 89 06:55PM *LABOR SECRETARY DOLE P02 NAM POLICY ON A COMPETITIVE WORKFORCE IN A GLOBAL ECONOMY " A skilled labor force is a basic requirement for economic growth and prosperity. To compete successfully in a global economy. investment in human resources is at least as important as investment in equipment and " of. technology. Flexibility is the key to that investment--that is. maintaining an approach that facilitates cooperation between the public and private sectors that permits each to perform those roles for which they are Navey Johnson best equipped. factoid Education and Training. Education and training play pivotal roles in the nation's ability to maintain a skilled labor force. 0 If training/retraining programs are to be successful, they must be of mutual benefit to both employers and employees. Business operates the most effective training program in the nation--its own. Companies spend an estimated $30 to $50 billion a year formally educating and training employees. Informal training has been estimated to run as much as $180 billion a year. In light of rapid changes in technology and heightened global competition, businesses are encouraged to approach training and retraining systematically and to fully integrate such programs into the ongoing planning and operation of a firm. \ Public policy should promote continued business efforts and public programs should relate to private sector endeavors. 1 0 To meet America's competitive challenge. a state-of-the-art public training and educational system is required. Modernization of America's public education and training system. therefore, is essential. In this process. greater business partnership In educational and training efforts at all levels should be stimulated and incentives for increased cooperation explored. 0 The key to more relevant education and training programs is improved linkage between employers and education and training institutions. For example, Private Industry Councils under the Job Training Partnership Act, which require 51% business participation, provide an example for public-private partnerships and could be used as a starting point for even more improved cooperative efforts. This partnership is especially crucial for small businesses. which are often financially and logistically unable to provide in-house training and retraining. 0 Any employment and retraining efforts should be based on future market demands for jobs and should be directed towards private sector needs. Dislocated Workers Change is an integral part of the nation's efforts to promote and maintain strong. self-sustaining. non-inflationary economic growth. To facilitate that change and minimize its adverse impacts. the nation's workers. business and the economy as a whole would benefit from a competent, versatile. systematic and voluntary approach to readjustment. o In order to avoid displacement, business is encouraged. when feasible. to adopt policies such as use of interplant transfers. reduced work weeks, job-sharing. and use of other-than-regular employees. If displacement is unavoidable. business is encouraged as much as possible to ease the burden of dislocation voluntarily through such activities as job counseling. job search assistance, retraining. outplacement assistance and by providing as much advance notice as possible. o Public education programs and private sector readjustment efforts can be more effective if coordinated and should have the following characteristics: cost-effectiveness. broad coverage, easy access. simplicity, limited red tape. individual choice. flexibility and linkages with existing programs. 0 The unemployment insurance system. which is funded by employers, should provide incentives for workers to seek reemployment or retraining. Alternative approaches to disbursement of UI benefits should be explored to accomplish employment incentive. UI funds should be used for benefits unless exploration clearly indicates that alternative use would lead to more rapid employment. State tax treatment of UI should reflect a sound experience-rating system. Page 1 National Association of Manufacturers 03. 15. 89 06:55PM *LABOR SECRETARY DOLE P03 o Employment service. Payroll taxes collected to operate an effective, efficient public employment service should be used for their intended purpose and not held for other governmental purposes. An effective, efficient ES could provide up-to-date labor market information; facilitate matching employer job requirements with skilled employees; provide assessment, testing and counseling in coordination with loca vocational, technical and training schools and employers. Illiteracy, Drop-outs Business has a vital interest in a literate, educated workforce in order to meet competitive challenges. Training and retraining workers for new job skills is never an easy task, but without a foundation of basic skills, It becomes a major and expensive task. Workers with low abilities in basics such as reading, writing and arithmetic are a factor in lower productivity, workplace accidents, customer dissatisfaction and real problems in using new technologies needed to meet world competition. Businesses can assist local communities with educational efforts in a variety of ways, including serving on local university. vocational, technical and secondary school boards; donating equipment; lending staff and assisting in school management where needed: participating in teacher and counselor improvement programs, encouraging employee volunteer activity and providing learning through work experience and volunteer activity sites. Businesses are encouraged to develop cooperative relationships with technical schools and local community colleges to ensure that curriculae meets present and future business needs. Adopted February 5, 1987 Page 2 National Association of Manufacturers THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON FRINGE BENEFITS FOR AMERICAN WORKERS Workers are Receiving More Fringe Benefits than Ever Before According to Chamber of Commerce estimates, total benefits reached $813.9 billion in 1987, up 163 percent in a decade. In 1987, total benefits reached a record 36.2 percent of wages and salaries. That is more than twice the share wages in the late 1950s. Non-Cash Fringes, Especially Time Off, Is Rising Most Rapidly Payment for Time Off amounted to 11 percent of payroll in 1987, equivalent to 28.6 days off. Of this: 14.8 days (or 3 weeks) were paid vacation 8.6 days were paid holidays 3.6 days were paid sick days 1.6 days were for other reasons, including parental leave Twenty years ago, time off amounted to 20.5 days per year. Ten years ago it was 25.5 days. Total Cash Fringes are Rising But Declining as a Percent of Payroll Total Cash Fringes reached $652 billion in 1987, up 141 percent in a decade. This was 19.3 percent of payroll, down from a peak of 20.6 percent in 1983, but still higher than the 18.4 percent of a decade ago. Possible reasons for this: With lower tax rates, cash fringes are less attractive relative to wages than they used to be. The rising stock market has meant that companies need to contribute less new money to fund their pension plans. The Market, Not Government Is Responsible For Rising Fringes 79 percent of the growth in the fringe share of compensation is due to voluntary action by employers. Only 21 percent is due to government requirements. BENEFITS AS A PERCENTAGE OF WAGES ODD YEARS 1955 - 1987 36.0% 32.0% 28.0% TOTAL 24.0% Non-Cash Fringe Benefits 20.0% 16.0% Cash Fringe Benefits 12.0% 8.0% 4.0% Social Insurance Contribution '55 '57 '59 '61 '63 '65 '67 '69 '71 '73 '75 '77 '79 '81 '83 '85 '87 MAR-29-89 WED 9:35 ABC P.01 American Business Conference A Conlition of Growth Companies 116 TELECOPIER TRANSMISSION FROM AMERICAN BUSINESS CONFERENCE DATE: 3/29 TIME: 9:35 TO: MARK LANGE TELECOPIER # DEPARTMENT: TELEPHONE # COMPANY: FROM: JOHN ENDEAN TELECOPIER # (202) 467-4070 TELEPHONE / (202) 822-9300 NUMBER OF PAGES TO FOLLOW: 2 REMARKS: RE PRESIDENT BUSH $ REMARKS BEFORE AMERICAN BUSINESS CONFERENCE NOTE: IF THERE ARE ANY QUESTIONS REGARDING THIS DOCUMENT, PLEASE CALL AT THE ABOVE NUMBER. MAR-29-89 WED 9:36 ABC P.02 American Business Conference A Coalition of Growth Companies MEMORANDUM To: Mark Lange From: John Endean Date: March 29, 1989 Attached are a few examples of ABC members' activities on behalf of educational excellence. Quite candidly I have not included the names of the executives in the examples I have given because virtually all one hundred of our members are involved in one way or another in this issue and we are sensitive about singling out for special mention only half a dozen or SO. It is a cliche to say that business is "concerned" about educational excellence. I think what distinguishes our CEOs is their willingness to spend a remarkable amount of their own time making good on that generalized concern. MAR-29-89 WED 9:36 ABC P.03 ABC members, the chief executives of high growth, entrepreneurial firms, are directly and personally involved in promoting better educational standards at all levels in their local schools and colleges. Some examples: A number of ABC executives have taken the lead in their home cities in public-private partnerships to explore what the appropriate role for business is in improving K-12 education. One ABC chief executive is sponsoring a geography and political/economic class for 5th through 8th graders in his local grade school. He is planning to give about $5,000 to the program and will also do some of the teaching because he believes that to be competitive in the world "we had better understand it." He plans to focus on science and math next. Several ABC executives hold part-time teaching positions in local colleges and universities. An ABC executive has begun a continuing education center for employees. At the company's expense, 65 men and women will take a 30-week course to improve their reading skills. The program will be undertaken in cooperation with the local community college. A Minnesota-based chief executive has been very active in promoting parental choice in selecting public schools for children. so crucial is improved education to this executive's company that he has hired someone to work full-time on the issue. An ABC chief executive's interest in education led him to become involved in the establishment of several Montessori Schools. An ABC executive is Chairman of the Boston Museum of Science and has in that capacity been instrumental in promoting science education in the Boston schools. Well over one third of ABC chief executives serve on either a local school board, on the board of a private secondary school, or on the board of a local college or university. sunday 633-3465 3465 I LEXIS® NEXIS® LEXIS® NEXIS® (Lange/Martin) March 17, 1989 5:45 p.m. PRESIDENTIAL REMARKS: NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MANUFACTURERS WASHINGTON, D.C. THURSDAY, MARCH 23, 1989 Thank you, [Dick]. You know, I understand a few of you were concerned about the 1984 Trade Report, heralding the arrival of the "post-industrial" society. And I have to confess, that whenever anyone talks to me about some "post-industrial" society, I have doubts of my own. Would such a place get along without plumbers, for instance. And if such a society could exist, I wonder if either its pipes or its theories would hold water. For now, I'm willing to bet my last dollar on manufacturing in America. At least until somebody can show me how to wear a piece of information, or parallel-park a concept. American manufacturing has been -- and continues to be -- the backbone of this economy. It's been estimated that every new manufacturing job creates three other jobs here at home. I've been a great admirer of the export-driven, rust-belt renaissance you've kicked off. Last year, the merchandise trade deficit dropped by a fifth. Exports surged to an all-time high. And manufacturing productivity is also now at record levels. The 2 quality of American exports is arguably better than it has ever been. And in terms of sheer output, American factories have never done better. Now, there's a lot of talk about competitiveness going around these days -- and these facts and figures are all ways of measuring it. But competitiveness is more than just the latest trade figures, the latest quarterly earnings -- or the latest poll, the latest election, or the latest Nielson ratings, for that matter. Surely our success can be measured by better methods than these. In your industry, as in mine, this may be a good time for us to look toward a longer horizon. We stand at a special moment in American history. We are prosperous and we are at peace. At such a point, we are empowered -- even required -- to set our sights higher. To look farther ahead. It is a time to make choices. A time to answer those questions that will have the farthest-reaching impact on our success as a society. The 21st century is less than a dozen years away now. 3 You've called this conference "The New Leadership Summit." Well, whatever else you think about leadership -- or vision, for that matter -- it's not lofty rhetoric, charisma, or clairvoyance. No, it may be as simple as understanding where an organization finds itself, right now; seeing where it wants to go; and knowing how to get there. Above all, it's playing the long game, whatever the odds -- and playing for keeps. So today I'm like to outline my agenda for the next American century. To build a better America, one of the most important priorities for this government will be to build savings and long- term investment -- and get our fiscal house in order. This means, first off, bringing down the deficit. Last month, I submitted a budget to Congress with a clear agenda to cut the Federal deficit, and enhance business' ability to plan, expand, and build. My friends, next year alone, Federal tax revenues will rise by more than $80 billion -- and yes, here I go again -- with No New Taxes. Our plan will hold the line on spending, using that revenue to slash the deficit by more than 40 percent -- bringing it down below the mandated targets. To encourage long-range investment and entrepreneurship in businesses of all sizes, it's time we restored the capital gains differential. This is another case where less means more. More 4 revenue to the Federal government -- $4.3 billion more, according to Treasury estimates. More savings, and more investment. More competitive, flexible businesses. More opportunities for innovation. And more jobs for all Americans. This is no tax break for the rich. It's a fair shake for America. To spur investment in basic research, we've proposed a permanent extension of the research and experimentation tax credit. A 13 percent increase for science and technology programs. And we intend to stay on track in our effort to double the National Science Foundation's budget by 1993. To support capital formation, we will encourage personal savings, and restore the integrity of our nation's savings and loans institutions. Our plan has been well-received on both sides of the aisle on Capitol Hill -- and I've asked for action within 45 days. We want to ease the pressures now building on the most important organization in America -- the family -- by promoting choice on issues like child care. So last week I sent legislation to Congress that puts money and options in the hands of parents, rather than bureaucracies. Our plan empowers all families: dual earners, single parents, those who choose to 5 remain at home; those who prefer informal, neighborhood arrangements; and especially those on low incomes, struggling to be self-sufficient. Lasting self-sufficiency, of course, means quality education. And I see education as long-range planning at its best -- a solution for the next century, for problems we haven't even begun to recognize yet. It is an essential key to our competitive future. Let no one suggest that education is a minor matter on the national agenda. It is vital to everything we are, and can become. But there are no quick fixes here, either. No stop-gap solutions. Like most of the long-term issues on the national agenda, American education won't be fixed with a bolt of lightning here, a puff of smoke there. It will take collective effort at all levels, public and private, to get it right. Those businesses that are involved with local schools -- developing the workforce at its source -- are making fail-safe investments. And they stand to reap the greatest rewards. For those workers already on the line, we must build new skills and flexibility as jobs change. By one estimate, 75 percent of all people now working will need some kind of retraining before this century is over. The NAM policy position you adopted last year said that "investment in human resources is - 6 at least as important as investment in equipment and technology." And you're absolutely right. The astounding gains in productivity you've already achieved can be pushed still higher -- but we'll have to look beyond upgrades to plant and equipment. Ever since the 1930s, machine capital has contributed only about 20 percent to productivity. Most of this country's productivity improvements -- and most of our growth in national income -- have been directly linked to labor quality: and that means training, and retraining. I'm reminding you of something you already know: machinery and technology alone don't improve productivity. People do. Another issue where we plan to play for keeps: We're determined to get drugs out of the workplace. Drug abuse in the workplace costs $00 billion every year, putting productivity and lives at risk. Bill Bennett is off to a fast start. But we will also be looking to you to set effective, well-reasoned drug policies in your businesses. Employers can teach their people to recognize the signs of substance abuse in their co-workers -- and understand how drug abuse hurts the non-users on the line. 7 Any long-term agenda must ask how we can leave the earth we've inherited a little better than when we found it. And, you know, this is no political litmus test. I think of Teddy Roosevelt as one of the great conservationists -- one of the great environmentalists. Our grandchildren should be able to fish on the same lakes we've enjoyed. The time has come to set aside the partisan approach to these enormous environmental questions. We must devise a global answer to the problem of ozone depletion and global warming. We intend to make rapid progress on acid rain, and see that a new clean air bill is produced. And we've already broken ground in joining with other nations to call for the elimination of CFCs -- as well as adopting a tough new policy on the export of hazardous waste. In this agenda for a new American century, I've asked you to consider a broad vision: long-term savings and investment; support for the family; education and retraining; stopping drugs; and cleaning up the environment. But we must rely on more than legislation. We must rely on the dynamic spirit that is America. The spirit that says: Houses should not stand empty, while people lack shelter. Jobs should not go unfilled, while young men and 8 women stand idle on street corners. No one should go hungry, in the richest nation on earth. We must promote local efforts to assure that every American can seize a share of prosperity -- and help to create more of it. Whether through the constellation of local community groups already at work -- or through new ideas, like our program for Youth Engaged in Service -- we will rely less on the collective wallet, and more on collective will. But this does not mean lowering our sights, or our expectations. Just the opposite. In an era of tight budgets, we are not going to simply "make do with less." We're going to learn how to do more with less -- and do it better. Yes, we are prosperous. And we are at peace. But such quiet moments often become pivotal in a nation's history. My friends, the choices we make now will determine whether the door to the next American century is closing -- or opening wide, for all who dare to dream. Thank you. God bless you. And God bless America. (Lange/Martin) March 17, 1989 11:00 a.m. PRESIDENTIAL REMARKS: NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MANUFACTURERS WASHINGTON, D.C. THURSDAY, MARCH 23, 1989 Thank you, [Dick]. [ acknowl. X, y, z... ] [ poss. line on "mountain elevators"; Dick Heckert likes to fish ] My friends, I have to confess, whenever anyone talks to me about the "post-industrial" society, I have doubts. I wonder if it has plumbers, for instance. And if such a society does exist, I wonder if either its pipes or its theories can hold water. For now, I'm willing to bet my last dollar on manufacturing in America. At least until somebody can show me how to wear a piece of information, or parallel-park a concept. American manufacturing has been -- and continues to be -- the backbone of this economy. It's been estimated that every new manufacturing job creates three other jobs here at home. U.S. industry is strong, and it's getting stronger. I've been a great admirer of the export-driven, rust-belt renaissance you've kicked off: Last year, the merchandise trade deficit dropped by a fifth. Exports surged 27 percent, to an all-time high. And manufacturing productivity is up by over one-third since 1981, to its highest level ever. In head-to-head competition, American workers still outperform their Japanese counterparts in terms of productivity. From just about every angle, the quality of American exports is arguably better than it has ever been. And finally, the sheer output of American factories is also at record levels. Over the course of this ongoing business expansion, manufacturing output has increased by more than 46 percent. Now, there's a lot of talk about competitiveness going around these days -- and these facts and figures are all ways of measuring it. But competitiveness is more than just the latest trade figures, the latest quarterly earnings -- or the latest poll, the latest election, or the latest Nielson ratings, for that matter. Surely our success can be measured by greater means than these. In your industry, as in mine, this may be a good time for us to look toward a longer horizon. We stand at a special moment in American history. We are prosperous and we are at peace. At such a point, we are empowered -- even required -- to set our sights higher. To look farther ahead. It is a time to make choices. A time to answer those questions that will have the farthest-reaching impact on our success as a society. The 21st century is less than a dozen years away now. You've called this conference "The New Leadership Summit." Leadership takes many forms. It appears in unexpected places. Throughout history, some of our best leaders have been those who served. And vision, well, it's more than charisma, clairvoyance, or lofty rhetoric. It may be as simple as understanding where an organization finds itself, right now. Seeing where it wants to go. And knowing how to get there. Above all, it's playing the long game, whatever the odds -- and playing for keeps. If I were writing the history books, I'd hope to be remembered as a President who worked to prepare this country for the 21st century. So today let me outline an agenda for the next American century. This administration is determined to: -- encourage long-term investment and savings -- preserve and support the most fundamental institution of American life, the family -- prepare a generation of young people who'll have to be better educated than any before them, and retrain workers as jobs change -- stop the scourge of drugs -- clean up the environment -- and promote a new kind of volunteerism, for widespread progress on a human scale. These issues may never make for great sound bites. And they defy quick, easy solutions. Maybe they even make me sound a little like the Mad Hatter -- you know, trying to imagine seven impossible things before breakfast. But in keeping with my view to the long-term, I think of a great old Cole Porter tune: "The difficult, we'll do right now. The impossible will take a little while." We cannot continue as we have in the past. We won't solve these problems by imitating the competition. We must forge our strategy carefully, deliberately -- and together hammer out our future with a clear eye and a steady hand. American manufacturers have long been known for building a better mousetrap. Today let me ask you to think about what it's really going to take, to build a better America. One of the most important priorities for this government will be to build savings and long-term investment -- and get our fiscal house in order. This means, first off, bringing down the deficit. You know, the other day I saw a couple in a sports car, with a bumpersticker -- one of those great barometers of our time. And the bumpersticker said, "We're spending our kid's inheritance." Maybe they were. Individuals can spend as they choose. But government can't. And this government will secure the next generation's financial future. We will see that they're not mortgaged to a mounting national debt. Last month I submitted a budget to Congress with a clear agenda to cut the Federal deficit, and enhance business' ability to plan, expand, and build. My friends, next year alone, Federal tax revenues will rise by more than $80 billion -- and yes, here I go again -- with No New Taxes. Our plan will hold the line on spending, using that revenue to slash the deficit by more than 40 percent, bringing it down below the target mandated by Gramm-Rudman-Hollings. To encourage long-range investment and entrepreneurship in businesses of all sizes, it's time we restored the capital gains differential. Bear in mind that the economies of the Pacific Rim -- the "four dragons" of Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, and the Republic of Korea -- all completely exempt capital gains from tax. This is another case where less means more. More revenue to the Federal government -- $4.3 billion more, according to Treasury estimates. More savings, and more investment. More competitive, flexible businesses. More opportunities for innovation. And more jobs for all Americans. This is no tax break for the rich. No, it's a sure and proven path to widespread economic growth. To spur investment in basic research, we've proposed a permanent extension of the research and experimentation tax credit. A 13 percent increase for science and technology programs. And we intend to stay on track in our effort to double the National Science Foundation's budget by 1993. To support capital formation, we will encourage personal savings. Not only by keeping inflation in check -- but also by restoring the integrity of our nation's savings and loans institutions. Our plan has been well-received on both sides of the aisle on Capitol Hill -- and I've asked for action within 45 days. Over the long run, it will be vital to help ease the pressures now building on that most important organization in America -- the family -- by promoting choice and options in issues like child care. Last week I sent legislation to Congress that puts money in the hands of parents, rather than bureaucracies, without bias in favor of any one child care solution. Our plan empowers all families: dual earners, single parents, those who choose to remain at home; those who prefer informal, neighborhood arrangements; and especially those on low incomes, struggling to be self-sufficient. Education is long-range planning at its best -- a solution for the next century, for problems we haven't even begun to recognize yet. It is an essential key to our competitive future. Let no one suggest that education is a minor matter on the national agenda. It is vital to everything we are, and can become. But there are no quick fixes here, either. No stop-gap solutions. Like most of the long-term issues on the national agenda, American education won't be fixed with a bolt of lightning here, a puff of smoke there. It will take collective effort at all levels, public and private, to get it right. Those businesses that are involved with local schools -- developing the workforce at its source -- are making fail-safe investments. And they stand to reap the greatest rewards. For those workers already on the line, we must build new skills and flexibility as jobs change. By one estimate, 75 percent of all people now working will need some kind of retraining before this century is over. The NAM policy position you adopted last year said that "investment in human resources is at least as important as investment in equipment and technology." No doubt about it. The astounding gains in productivity you've already achieved can be pushed still higher -- but we'll have to look beyond upgrades to plant and equipment. Ever since the 1930s, most of this country's productivity improvements -- and most of our growth in national income -- have been directly linked to labor quality: and that means education, training, and retraining. Machine capital has contributed 20 percent, or less, to productivity. I'm reminding you of something you already know: machinery and technology alone don't improve productivity. People do. Right now we provide over $50 billion in tax relief incentives for plant and equipment, and R & D. And that's worthwhile. But we're only providing about $25 million in incentives for private investment in human resources. That suggests that new buildings and machinery are 2,000 times more important than improving the skills and productivity of our workers. Well, as another old song goes, "it ain't necessarily so." If employers need to shift more investment toward human capital, we need to give them the right incentives -- keeping them revenue neutral -- and we need to give them the right degree of choice over where, and how, to make those investments. It's good to see the increased attention companies are giving to training and development. Time was, when they used to think the H.R. guy was the one who made sure there was enough potato salad at the company picnic. Not anymore. Long-range business success will depend more than ever on comprehensive, coordinated job training. Public-private partnerships -- like Private Industry Councils, working through the Job Training Partnership Act -- will be especially crucial for smaller businesses. They're a way to pool resources. And they work. This administration will continue to look for ways to stimulate these partnerships, and provide incentives for the kind of education and training that meet market demands. Two days ago Secretary Cavazos unveiled a plan for vocational training that [did x, y, & z]. And more will be done. You know, Henry Kissinger once said, "There cannot be a crisis next week. My schedule is already full." Well, I have to add one more to the schedule -- another issue where we plan to play for keeps: We've got to get drugs out of the workplace, and out of our schools. Drug abuse in the workplace costs $00 billion every year, and puts productivity and lives at risk. Bill Bennett is off to a fast start. But we will also be looking to you to set effective, well-reasoned drug policies in your businesses. Employers can teach their people to recognize the signs of substance abuse in their co-workers -- and understand how drug abuse hurts the non-users on the line. And where testing is concerned, it should be seen as a way out of trouble -- not a way out of work. Another compelling long-term question is how we can leave the earth we've inherited a little better than when we found it. And, you know, this is no political litmus test. I think of Teddy Roosevelt as one of the great conservationists -- one of the great environmentalists. Our grandsons should be able to fish on the same lakes we've enjoyed. The time has come to set aside the partisan approach to these enormous environmental questions. We must devise a global answer to the problem of ozone depletion and global warming. We intend to make rapid progress on acid rain, and see that a new clean air bill is produced. And we've already broken ground in joining with other nations to call for the elimination of CFCs -- as well as adopting a tough new policy on the export of hazardous waste. In all of the central tenets of the agenda I've asked you to consider today -- long-term savings and investment, support for the family, education and retraining, stopping drugs, and cleaning up the environment -- we must rely on something much larger than legislation. We must rely on the spirit of this great nation. The spirit that says: Houses should not stand empty, while people lack shelter. Jobs should not go unfilled, while young men and women stand idle on streetcorners. No one should go hungry, in the richest nation on earth. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of. But in a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. The last item on my agenda for the 21st century is to make volunteerism a part of the national culture. It is to assure that every American can seize a share of prosperity -- and help to create more of it. Whether through the constellation of local community groups already at work -- or through new ideas, like our program for Youth Engaged in Service -- we must make progress through shared strength. We will have to rely less on the collective wallet, and more on collective will. But this does not mean lowering our sights, or our expectations. Just the opposite. In an era of tight budgets, we are not going to just have to "do with less." We're going to have to learn how to do more with less -- and do it better. Yes, we are prosperous. And we are at peace. But such quiet moments can often become pivotal in a nation's history. The hinges upon which this moment turns move silently. The choices are ours to make. Taken together, those choices will determine whether the door to the next American century is closing -- or opening wide, for all who wish to enter. Thank you. God bless you. And God bless America. 924 Anonymou 1 There ain't no such animal. 12 Fifty million Frenchmen can't be wrong. Caption for cartoon of a farmer at Saying popular with American so the circus looking at a dromedary. diers during World War I [1917 From Life [November 7, 1907], cred- 1918] ited to Everybody's Magazine 13 Say it ain't so, Joe. 2 How old is Ann? Small boy to "Shoeless Joe" Jack Popular phrase for "who knows?" son of the Chicago White Sox, as h [early 20th century]¹ emerged from a grand jury session 3 The Pyramids first, which in Egypt were laid; [1920] on corruption in the 191 World Series Next Babylon's Garden, for Amytis made; Then Mausolos' Tomb of affection and guilt; 14 Don't sell America short. Fourth, the Temple of Dian in Ephesus built; Saying [c. 1925. The Colossus of Rhodes, cast in brass, to the 15 Lord, through this hour Sun; Be Thou our Guide, Sixth, Jupiter's Statue, by Phidias done; So by Thy power The Pharos of Egypt comes last, we are told, No foot shall slide. Or the Palace of Cyrus, cemented with gold. Westminster Chimes Seven Wonders of the Ancient World 16 Climb high 4 Use it up, wear it out; Climb far Make it do, or do without. Your goal the sky New England maxim Your aim the star. 5 Earned a precarious living by taking in one Inscription on Hopkins Memorial another's washing. Saying Steps, Williams College, Williams town, Massachusetts 6 Something old, something new, Something borrowed, something blue, 17 Mother, may I go out to swim? And a lucky sixpence in her shoe. Yes, my darling daughter: Wedding rhyme Hang your clothes on a hickory limb And don't go near the water. Rhyme 7 God looks after fools, drunkards, and the United States. Epigram 18 See the happy moron, He doesn't give a damn. 8 Oh, why don't you work I wish I were a moron- Like other men do? My God, perhaps I am! Rhyme How the hell can I work When there's no work to do? 19 The difficult we do immediately. The im- Hallelujah, I'm a Bum [c. 1907] possible takes a little longer. Slogan of United States Army 9 Old soldiers never die; Service Forces They only fade away!³ British Army song [c. 1915] 20 Kilroy was here.⁷ Army saying, World War II 10 She was poor but she was honest,⁴ And her parents was the same, 21 SNAFU (Situation Normal All Fouled Up). Till she met a city feller, Ib. And she lost her honest name. 22 G.I. Joe. Song [c. 1915] World War II term for 11 It's the same the whole world over, infantryman⁸ It's the poor wot gets the blame, ⁵Sometimes "forty" or "thirty" is heard instead of It's the rich wot gets the pleasure, "fifty." When Texas Guinan and her troupe were refused Ain't it all a bloomin' shame? entry into France [1931], she was quoted as saying: "It Ib. chorus goes to show that fifty million Frenchmen can be wrong." She promptly renamed her show Too Hot for Paris, and "Mary is 24 years old. She is twice as old as Ann toured the United States with it. was when Mary was as old as Ann is now. How old is The phrase may have stemmed from "Never be a bear Ann?" - Braintwister in the New York Press [October 16, on the United States," attributed variously to JUNIUS S. 1903] MORGAN [1813-1890] and J. P. MORGAN [1837-1913]. Answer: Ann is 18. ⁷See Faulkner, 838:14. There are variants for the less familiar last line, such This name, chosen for the soldier in Lieutenant DAVE as: And a silver sixpence in each shoe. BREGER'S comic strip for Yank. the Army weekly. first 'See MacArthur. 7747. Johnson June 17, 1987 CONGRESSIONAL RECORD - H 5197 then they took a look at the prices for for the Elderly in lieu of the Consumer the skills and productivity of our the things that they bought in 1986 Price Index currently in use in any of the workers. and found a great disparity. The several retirement or disability programs ad- The advantage of enacting the job senior citizens in America found that ministered by the Federal Government. training tax credit now is that it would During the course of such study and investi- it cost them a great deal more than 1.3 gation. the Secretary shall consult with the require neither large Federal outlays percent just to keep buying the goods appropriate officers of the several Federal nor a complex government delivery and services they need to stay afloat. departments or agencies that provide sepa- system. They thought something was wrong in rate retirement or disability programs for Assistance in the form of lower taxes Washington: they knew that prices individuals who are at least sixty-two years would be particularly advantageous to had increased more than 1.3 percent in of age. small businesses which provide 80 per- 1986. (b) Within ninety days of the date of the cent of jobs in America and are the What is so special about the spend- enactment of this Act, the Secretary shall ing patterns of the elderly? Well, for transmit to each House of the Congress a powerful pistons of prosperity in my written report containing a detailed state- home state of Connecticut. the most part they live on a fixed ment of his findings and conclusions as a The tax-free IRA withdrawal oppor- income, and that Income is primarily result of the study and investigation made tunity, which would be available at devoted to paying for the essentials of by him under subsection (a) together with dollar levels of up to $5,000 over 5 life; shelter, food, heat, and medical his recommendations for legislation which years, draws on an already established care. I don't have to tell my colleagues he may deem necessary for utilizing the network of retirement financing cur- that the price tag for health care went Consumer Price Index for the Elderly in up over 7 percent in 1986. provisions of law affecting retirement or dis- rently invested in by over 15 million The same holds true for public ability benefits provided by the Federal working households. Government to any individual who is at The key is to provide the ability to transportation services-up last year least sixty-two years of age. invest in one's future, to improve one's over 6 percent. In housing, we all position; it is this opportunity to know that interest rates have fallen and that buying a new house is now 1920 better oneself and one's family that is at the very heart of the Great Ameri- more affordable-but how many sen- INTRODUCTION OF THE NA- can Dream. iors buy a new house? TIONAL TRAINING INCENTIVES Our legislation, the National Train- My legislation would require the ACT ing Incentives Act, would help Ameri- BLS to compute a new CPI tailored specifically for the elderly. My bill The SPEAKER pro tempore (Mr. can families fulfill that Dream, fami- would also require that Secretary of COOPER). Under a previous order of the lies who have seen their hopes dashed Labor study and investigate any ad- House, the gentlewoman from Con- and spirit extinguished by forces ministrative or legislative changes necticut [Mrs. JOHNSON] is recognized beyond their control: the impersonal needed for the utilization of the CPI for 5 minutes forces of structural economic change. Mrs. JOHNSON of Connecticut. Mr. industrial modernization, rapidly for the elderly in any of the several Speaker, today I am reintroducing leg- changing markets, destabilizing flows disability or retirement programs ad- islation with Representative BILL of financial capital, regional competi- ministered by the Federal. Govern- CLINGER of Pennsylvania to provide 2 tion, foreign competition. ment. new approach to Job skills training Our legislation is intended to com- Finally, the bill would require that the Secretary submit to Congress that will keep American men and plement rather than replace current women working in good jobs and pro- Government-funded retraining pro- within 90 days after passage a detailed statement of his findings along with vide them with greater career opportu- grams such as those under the Job nities throughout their life. Training Partnership Act (JTPAI, recommendations for legislation neces- Our pioneering legislation, which which I support. sary for the utilization of the CPI-EI- derly in final disability or retirement was introduced first in the 98th and Through Government incentives programs. again in the 99th Congress, seeks to provided by tax relief. our measure achieve effective job training by: First, places training responsibilities in the I believe this legislation is justified permitting businesses to receive a 20- hands of those who provide the jobs and necessary. The current CPI simply percent tax credit for increasing their and need an educated, highly skilled does not take into account the buying patterns and spending priorities of the investment in human resources to pro- workforce and provides training op- elderly. We can develop a more honest vide stronger worker training pro- portunities for those who want to and truthful index for the effects of grams, and second, allowing people work and move ahead in life. inflation on our elderly-they deserve with individual retirement accounts With the tragic economic dislocation it. [IRA's] who want to improve their job we all have seen in the industrial skills to withdraw funds without pen- sector and the urgent need for busi- HR alty or taxation to help pay for em- ness, workers, and Government to A bill to provide for the monthly publica- ployment training. better manage these changes when tion of a Consumer Price Index for the E3- The 20 percent tax credit, which they must occur, our legislation is the derly and to provide for the utilization of would apply for additional training ex- right approach toward ensuring a com- such an Index in the determination of cost-of-living adjustments authorized penses over a company's 5-year histori- prehensive, coordinated, and coopera- under certain Federal programs for indi- cal average training costs, would stim- tive job training effort, and continued viduals who are at least sixty-two years of ulate effective on-the-job private prosperity for American families. age. sector training in businesses of every Mr. Speaker, I am submitting the Be it enacted by the Senate and House of size. bill for the RECORD at this point, fol- Representatives of the United States of Current law enshrines a gross mis- lowed by a section-by-section analysis America in Congress assembled. That the match in providing over $50 billion in and a brief discussion of the key issues Secretary of Labor shall. through the tax relief incentives for investment in raised by our legislation. Bureau of Labor Statistics, prepare and publish monthly a price index which accu- plant and equipment and research and DIGEST OF DEAFT LEGISLATION To Br PRO- rately reflects the distribution of expendi- development while offering a meager POSED BY REPRESENTATIVE WILLIAM F. tures on goods and services purchased gen- $25 million for investment In human CLINGER. JR_ OF PENNSYLVANIA, To PRO- eraily by individuals who are at least sixty- resources, an area where we believe we VIDE INCENTIVES FOR WORKER TRAINING two years of age and have retired from the will either make or break our Nation's THROUGH BOTH EMPLOYER AND INDIVIDUAL workforce. This index shall be known as the productivity and competiveness. INITIATIVE AND TO REQUIRE THE SECRETARY Consumer Price Index for the Elderly. OF LABOR TO STUDY THE FEASIBILITY AND SEC. 2. (a) In the preparation of the Con- That, my collergues, is 8 ratio of Cosr OF A NATIONAL Jos BANK sumer Price Index for the Elderly. the Sec- 2,000 to 1. I repeat, current law sug- National Training Incentives Act of 1987- retary shall study and investigate any legis- gests that new buildings and machines Declares that It is the policy and responsi- lative or administrative action necessary for and products and processes are 2,000 bility of the Federal Government to encour- the utilization of the Consumer Price Index times more important than improving age cooperation between employers and em- THE white HOUSE washington your (?) lunch to Mosbacher your head A Brady table Dole (?) "lBush Previous Day Playe Alexander (Sandy) Troubridge Richard that (Dick) Into THE WHITE HOUSE washington Joennie Hodseson 437-3065 Meyflower 347-3008 Special Issue January 30, 1989 Briefing NAM Industry's Dear NAM Member: Last November, our nation elected its 41st president. The 101st Congress convened earlier this month. Confirmation proceedings for the president's cabinet nominees are under way. Washington's policymakers are set to begin work on the difficult issues that await them. Many of the decisions they reach-or fail to reach- will affect industry for the rest of the century and beyond. Agenda This special issue of Briefing highlights NAM's policy agenda for the 101st Congress. Our top priorities range from rising health care costs to proposed clean air legislation, from the federal budget deficit to education. Although diverse, NAM's policy recommen- dations share a common denominator-the premise that a robust manufacturing sector is essential to the well-being of our society. Sound, pro-competitive government policies help create an environment in which industry is able to make its maximum contribution. NAM is committed to working with the administration, Con- gress and other interested parties to forge pro-competitive, long term solutions to the nation's problems. When a key floor vote or committee markup is imminent, NAM will call on you to 101 communicate your views to your elected officials. Lawmakers do st listen to their constituents. Timely grassroots lobbying efforts can make the difference. The new year presents both serious challenges and oppor- tunities. The National Association of Manufacturers is dedicated to working with policymakers to maximize those opportunities. As Congress your chairman, I welcome any comments and suggestions that you might have. Sincerely, RE Huburs Richard E. Heckert NAM Chairman National Association of Manufacturers Washington, D.C. (202) 637-3000 2 Special Issue Promoting Industry's Keeping the Export Boom Alive Competitiveness Exports accounted for 30 percent of U.S. economic expansion in 1987 and almost 40 percent in 1988. The increase in manufac- Pension Issues tured exports created 800,000 Employee new jobs last year. To promote Although the 100th Congress technical continued U.S. economic growth, Benefits tax corrections law addressed pension NAM is urging the Bush admin- asset reversions, the 101st Congress is istration to launch a major export expected to revisit that topic and a host promotion drive to capture new of other pension-related issues. markets abroad. Health Costs Last year, NAM worked to prevent Key tenets of the export pro- The cost of health care in the U.S. has enactment of a proposal to increase the motion program NAM envisions reached crisis proportions. Health care pension reversion excise tax from 10 to include: strengthening the Exim- expenditures have quadrupled in the 60 percent. The final compromise bank; beefing up U.S. export pro- last 15 years. Employers now spend $150 raised the excise tax to 15 percent. motion programs; protecting U.S. billion per year on health care. Yet, NAM will continue to oppose all commercial interests overseas; many NAM member companies con- increases in the reversion excise tax dropping proposed Treasury De- tinue to experience annual health care because if access to surplus funds is partment changes in the taxation cost increases of 15-30 percent and restricted, employers will be more of export income; developing an more. likely to fund plans at lower levels, aggressive mixed credit program; Lawmakers are also alarmed by the threatening the retirement security of and continuing to improve the cost of health care-and by the number millions of workers. U.S. export control system. NAM of uninsured, estimated at 30 to 37 NAM will also support flexible pen- believes future U.S. competitive- million. Pressure for change is building. sion portability proposals that would ness depends upon the designa- And some of the proposed solutions, allow an employee to transfer pension tion of international trade as a such as Sen. Edward Kennedy's (D-MA) savings when changing jobs. Such pro- high-priority item on the national widely publicized mandated health posals would better meet the needs of agenda. benefits proposal, would drive up labor an increasingly mobile work force. costs and diminish U.S. competitiveness NAM will also monitor legislation without addressing many of the root regarding the use of surplus pension last year derailed on a procedural vote causes of health care inflation. NAM funds to finance retiree health benefits, of 243-169 a four-year, $64 billion long strongly opposes the proposal. the impact of leveraged buyouts on term care entitlement proposal spon- NAM believes that Congress needs to pension plans and the taxation of sored by Rep. Claude Pepper (D-FL-18). take a close look at the entire health care employer-provided benefits. The legislation would have raised $29.5 system-including the relationship be- Long Term Care billion by lifting the $45,000 cap on the tween technology, quality and costs; an 1.45 percent Medicare payroll tax- overbuilt hospital industry; a costly mal- Long term health care emerged as a leaving a $34 billion budget shortfall. practice system; and an inefficient pay- priority issue in the last Congress and is NAM worked as part of a coalition that ment system that invites cost explosion. certain to command considerable atten- was instrumental in blocking the The association will continue to sponsor tion in the 101st Congress. measure. educational forums, testify before Con- NAM believes long term care is an NAM offers alternative recommenda- gress and help explore new ideas to important issue with major cost and tions that include encouraging the in- ensure that the solutions reached are as employment implications for companies surance industry to develop innovative cost-effective and pro-competitive as and workers. But broad federal entitle- long term coverage, educating active possible. ments aren't the answer. The House workers and urging them to plan for NAM Briefing (USPS 432-110) is published weekly during sessions of Congress by the National Association of Manufacturers, 1331 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW, Suite 1500-North Lobby, Washington, DC 20004-1703. Subscriptions: $50 included in NAM membership; nonmembers $200 a year. Chairman of the Board: Richard E. Heckert Editor: Douglas R. Kurkul President: Alexander B. Trowbridge Assistant Editors: John Cohen, Laura Pettey Postmasters: Send address changes to Briefing, National Association of Manufacturers, 1331 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW, Suite 1500-North Lobby, Washington, DC 20004-1703. Second class postage paid at Washington, DC, and at additional mailing offices. 3 Briefing their long term health needs, and per- mitting individuals to make tax-favored transfers from life insurance contracts Small Manufacturers Lead the Way and IRAs to purchase long term care Small manufacturers continue to lead A recent survey of NAM small com- insurance. the way to innovation, increased pro- pany members-which account for ductivity and economic expansion. 80 percent of the association's mem- Uniquely able to take advantage of bership-targeted three key issues of Risk emerging, cost-cutting technologies concern in the 101st Congress: man- and improved management tech- dated benefits, deficit reduction and niques, small companies originate 55 tax increases. NAM also helps small Management percent of the nation's innovations. manufacturers assert their clout on Small manufacturers also keep Capitol Hill. The association's Small America working. Manufacturing Manufacturers Forum will hold its Product Liability employment rose a net 1.3 million third annual "Washington Legislative positions between 1976 and 1986, Conference" on 3/21-22, during The current product liability system- with small manufacturers achieving a which small business executives will based on a patchwork of state laws- gain of 1.4 million jobs, according to meet individually and in small pays an estimated $4.8 million in legal the Small Business Administration. In groups with members of Congress and transaction costs for every $1.9 total, small business accounts for 39 and Bush administration officials. The million paid to claimants. Fear of debil- percent of total GNP. Forum will also sponsor informational itating lawsuits often prevents new prod- NAM is committed to advancing conferences during the course of the ucts from reaching the marketplace. the interests of small manufacturers. year. NAM and its members are poised to build on the progress made last year, when the House Energy and Commerce program which requires employers to of spending-not by increasing taxes. Committee approved 30-12 a landmark label hazardous materials, educate and Federal spending rose by 90 percent in reform bill-H.R. 1115-thus becoming train workers, and post material safety the 1980's, nearly double what would the first House panel ever to approve data sheets. OSHA strengthened worker have been necessary to keep up with federal product liability legislation. protection 1/13/89 when it issued new inflation. If Congress and the president NAM will launch a broad-based, two- exposure limits for hundreds of toxic and fail to reach a deficit-reduction com- house reform drive this year. hazardous substances. promise, then NAM would support a A uniform federal product liability A 101st Congress risk notification one-year spending freeze estimated to standard is urgently needed. To assure proposal could come as part of a broader reduce the deficit by $20.1 billion. that lawmakers get the message, NAM is package of "OSHA reform" proposals. NAM also supports the goals of the sponsoring a Product Liability Fly-in on Such a package could include provisions National Economic Commission (NEC)- 3/21-22, to flood Capitol Hill with manu- dealing with workplace inspections, the bipartisan budget panel established facturers calling for reform. NAM mandatory rights for workers to partici- by Congress in 1987 budget legislation. member action could make the dif- pate on workplace safety committees, The NEC is charged with formulating a ference between the status quo and a and worker inspection and enforcement deficit-cutting strategy that promotes viable product liability law. power. NAM will again work to ensure capital formation and spreads the deficit that policymakers protect the safety and reduction burden equitably among all Health Risk Notification health of employees in a cost-effective sectors of the economy. The Com- The new Congress may consider legisla- and pro-competitive manner. mission is expected to issue its recom- tion to establish a worker health risk mendations by 3/1/89. notification program in the Department of Health and Human Services. NAM Budget Budget Process Reforms led the successful fight against 100th A permanent solution to the nation's Congress health risk notification legisla- budget deficit/spending crisis will re- tion that would have saddled employers with millions of dollars in unwarranted Deficit Reduction quire not only short-term fiscal disci- pline, but also long-term reforms in the liability and led to government- The Gramm-Rudman-Hollings (GRH) budget process itself. NAM urges the mandated health benefits and employee Act requires Congress to reduce the adoption of several specific budget transfers. The 100th Congress bill passed budget deficit from an estimated $160 process reforms to enforce fiscal respon- the House by a 225-186 vote, but stalled billion in FY 1989 to $100 billion in FY sibility and restrain excessive govern- in the Senate after backers failed on four 1990. Because high deficits drain the ment spending. occasions to invoke cloture and force a nation of capital necessary for invest- Specifically, NAM favors extending vote on the bill. ment and expansion, NAM supports the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings (GRH) Occupational disease notification leg- GRH and other initiatives to significantly deficit-reduction law-now scheduled islation isn't necessary because the reduce deficit spending. to expire in 1993-to preserve the law's Occupational Safety and Health Admin- NAM believes the budget deficit automatic funding cut (sequestration) istration (OSHA) already administers a should be cut by restraining the growth and spending limit provisions. NAM also 4 Special Issue supports extending GRH to cover all controls. A final NAPAP report is due in and future voluntary waste minimiza- federal spending programs, except for September, 1990. tion efforts by innovative firms. interest payments on the debt and Lawmakers may also address ozone means-tested programs for the poor. nonattainment as part of a broad clean Currently, only about 21 percent of the air bill. EPA data reveals that most of the Taxation federal budget is subject to GRH. 72 ozone nonattainment areas comply The association will also press for with the federal standard 99 percent of additional reforms, including a balanced the time. NAM continues to support the budget amendment to the Constitution, health-based air quality standards estab- Expiring Tax Provisions the line-item veto, enhanced presiden- lished by the Clean Air Act, but opposes Despite the last-minute passage of tax tial authority to rescind spending, and a the imposition of punitive sanctions technical corrections legislation at the biennial budget. against areas that have made progress close of the 100th Congress, several tax toward attainment. The association incentives critical to manufacturing would favor a moderate strengthening of growth and technological advancement Environment the law's ozone and carbon monoxide are scheduled to expire, or have already controls. However, the EPA should also lapsed, and must be reinstated or ex- work to establish a more reliable system tended in the 101st Congress. of measuring noncompliance. Internal Revenue Code Section 127- Clean Air allowing workers to exclude from tax- RCRA/Waste Minimization NAM will work in the 101st Congress to able income the tuition assistance they assure that industry is not hamstrung by Legislation to reauthorize the Resource receive from employers-expired at the an unnecessary overhaul of the Clean Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) close of 1988. Reinstatement of Section Air Act. Industry already spends more will seek to change America's solid and 127 will help U.S. manufacturers main- than $33 billion annually for air pollu- hazardous waste disposal habits. Debate tain a more qualified and competitive tion controls. Legislation to rewrite the resumes where it left off in the 100th work force. Clean Air Act in the last Congress-S. Congress, where an unsuccessful RCRA Legislative action is also necessary to 1894, sponsored by current Majority renewal proposal sought to establish a preserve the 20 percent R&D tax credit, Leader George Mitchell (D-ME)-would national waste management hierarchy. now scheduled to expire at the close of have nearly doubled that burden. The NAM believes that waste minimiza- this year. In extending the R&D tax bill's stringent acid rain controls would tion proposals, whether freestanding or credit, last year's technical corrections have caused significant declines in included in RCRA reauthorization, law included an NAM-opposed provi- manufacturing profits, a cumulative should emphasize voluntary market- sion requiring corporate taxpayers to drop of at least $223 billion in U.S. GNP oriented incentives-rather than man- reduce the amount they deduct for R&D and a loss of over 860,000 jobs, according datory percentage reductions. Any expenditures by 50 percent of the to a landmark NAM study. reporting requirements should mini- research credits they receive. NAM will In environmental terms, a major re- mize paperwork burdens, which often work to exclude this short-sighted pro- write of the Clean Air Act simply isn't do little to improve public and environ- vision from future extensions of the warranted. An interim National Acid mental safety. Industry has already insti- R&D credit. Precipitation Assessment Program tuted voluntary initiatives that minimize NAM also supports improving the (NAPAP) report indicated that few lakes volume, reduce toxicity, and reuse and Section 861 allocation of R&D expendi- have been adversely affected by acid reclaim solid and hazardous wastes. tures to foreign and domestic income. rain and that sulfur dioxide and nitrogen NAM supports a RCRA reauthoriza- Section 861 dictates that U.S. multina- oxide emissions will continue to decline tion package that improves solid waste tional firms conducting R&D activities in over the next decade without federal management and recognizes previous the United States allocate a percentage of their R&D spending to foreign-source income when calculating foreign tax credits. This provision effectively de- Competitiveness Through Education and Training creases foreign-source income, thereby Industry has a vital interest in improv- NAM will work with the 101st reducing allowable foreign tax credits and increasing overall tax liability. The ing the quality of education of the Congress and the new Bush admini- 1988 technical corrections law provides nation's young and upgrading the stration to formulate effective policies only a temporary remedy. It allows U.S. skills of America's work force. Though concerning vocational education, firms to allocate 64 percent of their U.S. many companies have established training/retraining and tuition assist- R&D spending to U.S.-source income education programs to prepare cur- ance. Through its membership and in and 64 percent of foreign research ex- rent and prospective employees for cooperation with all interested par- penditures to foreign-source income. the increased technological demands ties, the association will work on ini- The 64 percent allocation provision, of an ever-changing workplace, fur- tiatives at the local level to encourage however, is effective only for the first ther efforts are required to enhance private-public partnerships as a four months of the taxpayer's first tax- American competitiveness. means of improving public education. able year after 8/1/87. NAM will seek a permanent solution to the R&D expense 5 Briefing allocation issue, as well as other tax amounts of debt-has elicited new con- incentives important to manufacturers. cerns from Congress, the Treasury Department and the president. Senate How to Contact Congress Alternative Minimum Tax committee hearings are already under way. Lawmakers are worried that take- (202) 224-3121 The 101st Congress may consider an increase in the rate of the corporate over abuses and LBOs are threatening (Congressional Switchboard) alternative minimum tax (AMT)-a long-term business planning, research The mailing address for senators is mechanism to ensure that all corpora- and development initiatives and inter- U.S. Senate, Washington, D.C. tions showing economic income pay at national competitiveness. 20510. The address for mail to least some federal income tax-as part In the last Congress, an NAM-backed representatives is U.S. House of of a deficit reduction package. A 100th takeover reform bill was pulled from the Representatives, Washington, D.C. Congress proposal to increase the AMT Senate floor after several attempts were 20515. rate was dropped in the 1987 budget made to amend the bill with "pro-raider" Legislative Alerts. It's often said "summit" agreement. NAM is poised to provisions curtailing corporate defense that all of politics is local. Your fight attempts to increase the AMT rate mechanisms and stripping states of cor- voice carries weight with your in the 101st Congress. porate governance rights. This year's elected officials. When important On an offensive front, the association proposals are expected to focus on a action on key legislation is immi- is seeking improvements in the switch variety of new factors. NAM is working nent and industry communication scheduled for 1/1/90 to the Adjusted with allied organizations and con- with lawmakers can make a dif- Current Earnings (ACE) preference gressional committees to help formulate ference, NAM asks its members to within the AMT. The ACE preference, takeover reform proposals that do not contact their representatives or as currently drafted, would decrease the impede free market forces, but that senators. The red Legislative Alert value of depreciation deductions and allow manufacturers to pursue long- arrow in Briefing is your signal that complicate accounting procedures nec- term competitive strategies free from contacts are urgently needed. essary for corporate compliance. NAM the looming threat of the most abusive NAMNET. The 101st Congress has already organized a coalition to takeover tactics. is certain to address an array of reform ACE, or at the very least, to issues affecting your company, improve the treatment of depreciation Dealer Terminations regardless of size or industry. The under ACE SO as not to impair critical If manufacturers are to remain competi- best way to keep tabs on Congress capital formation. tive, it is critical that they retain their is via NAMNET, NAM's electronic ability to control distribution and servic- legislative information system. Put Capital Gains ing of their products. Antitrust legisla- NAMNET to work as your own The Bush administration will soon offer tion introduced in the last Congress, S. electronic legislative assistant! a proposal to reduce the tax on capital 430, was designed to strip manufacturers Call (202) 637-3082 for informa- gains-income derived from asset sales. of this right by making it easier for tion. Reps. John Rhodes (R-AZ-1) and Phil dealers to sue firms in the wake of a Crane (R-IL-12) have already offered termination. NAM led a coalition that capital gains tax cut proposals. And the was instrumental in blocking passage of in lawsuits targeting manufacturers and Treasury Department has also explored 430 last year and will play a similar role extorting expensive triple damages. various capital gains tax options, includ- in the 101st Congress. Industry and labor organizations joined ing a sliding scale mechanism that would tax long-term investment gains at a Antitrust Law together last year in a push for legislation to effectively eliminate the triple dam- lower rate than short-term gains. NAM The Bush administration is expected to ages automatically awarded in most strongly supports cutting the capital propose antitrust reforms to increase, successful RICO suits. Although last gains tax, which would encourage in- protect and encourage marketplace year's bill did not become law, NAM will vestment and economic expansion and competition. Current antitrust laws dis- again lead a business and labor coalition help put the U.S. on equal footing with courage American firms from engaging drive for RICO reform legislation in the competing nations, many of which have in joint manufacturing or research ven- 101st Congress. a nominal capital gains tax or none at all. tures that could result in the profitable development of new products and tech- Trucking Deregulation nologies. NAM strongly supports the The Motor Carrier Act of 1980 made Corporate concept of antitrust reform and hopes to work with the administration for changes significant strides toward deregulating the trucking industry. Because Amer- Governance that improve the competitive position of U.S. manufacturers. The association is ican industry relies heavily on truck awaiting the administration proposals. transportation, manufacturers would reap tremendous benefits from total Hostile Takeovers/LBOs RICO Reform deregulation. During the 101st Congress, an NAM-led coalition will resume its The recent surge of leveraged buyouts The Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt drive for comprehensive trucking de- (LBOs)-takeovers financed with huge Organizations Act (RICO) is being abused regulation legislation. 6 Special Issue acted last year, the president can now International terminate foreign acquisitions, mergers or takeovers of U.S. companies when The 101st Congress Trade national interests are threatened. Senate 55 Democrats South Africa Sanctions 45 Republicans Trade and Competitiveness The drive to establish further restric- House tions on U.S. business ties to South Africa The enactment of omnibus trade legisla- 259 Democrats tion and approval of the U.S.-Canada is already in motion. Rep. Ron Dellums 174 Republicans Free Trade Agreement last year were (D-CA-8) has reintroduced a sweeping 2 vacancies sanctions bill, H.R. 21, that is similar to important steps toward improved inter- legislation which passed the House last NAM will soon publish its 101st national competitiveness. Much of this year's activity builds on last year's year. H.R. 21 would block the flow of Congress Directory, featuring law- achievements. The trade act, which virtually all trade and investment be- makers' addresses and phone num- tween the U.S. and South Africa. U.S. bers, committee rosters and phone affects virtually every aspect of the companies would be required to pull numbers, a list of cabinet depart- nation's trade laws, will be implemented their investments from that country ments and more. Watch for order- this year. And a new Canada-U.S. Trade within a year. information in upcoming issues Commission will supervise implementa- tion of the bilateral accord. NAM supports the abolition of apar- of Briefing! Negotiations are under way to im- theid in South Africa, but opposes addi- prove the multilateral trading system- tional sanctions. U.S. companies have better known as the Uruguay Round of promoted development of South African firms have disability plans that provide the General Agreement on Tariffs and labor unions, encouraged nondiscrimi- paid, job-guaranteed leave for mater- Trade (GATT). Meanwhile, the Euro- nation in the workplace, and spent nity. Corporate child care assistance hundreds of millions of dollars to support programs are also growing at an astro- pean Community's ongoing drive to South African education, health care, nomical pace. NAM members should eliminate remaining market barriers by 1992 could create major opportunities- housing and social development. Sanc- communicate their opposition to paren- or roadblocks-for American com- tions legislation would eliminate U.S. tal leave legislation in letters and meet- panies. NAM will continue to advise business as an important force in the ings with legislators. member companies of important devel- fight against apartheid. Child Care opments on the trade front as they occur, and argue industry's case to U.S. President George Bush is expected to agencies and negotiators whenever Labor Relations propose a toddler tax credit program to necessary. help low-income families afford child care and to expand the range of day care Foreign Investment options available to parents. Allies of the Parental Leave Alliance for Better Child Care (ABC), on Foreign direct investment, like domestic investment, creates American manu- One of the first major legislative battles the other hand, want broader legislation to subsidize child care costs for lower facturing jobs, spurs economic growth of the 101st Congress is likely to involve and middle-income families that utilize and increases the competitiveness of parental leave. Last year, a proposal U.S. industry. Nevertheless, Rep. John designating job-guaranteed parental and "professional" day care services. They Bryant (D-TX-5) has reintroduced legis- employee medical leave as a minimum would also regulate child care providers. lation, H.R. 5, to require foreign investors labor standard advanced to the Senate The issue is of concern to employers- in U.S. businesses and real estate to file floor. It was debated for two weeks as 60,000 of which already provide day detailed disclosures with the Depart- part of a so-called "pro-family" package care assistance, according to a 1987 ment of Commerce. Penalties for non- that also included a child care entitle- Bureau of Labor Statistics study. compliance would include forfeiture of a ment bill. Supporters hope that last NAM will work with policymakers to year's debate may have paved the way ensure that child care legislation does foreign company's U.S. assets. A similar "Bryant bill" passed the House on a 250- for enactment of a parental leave bill in not result in employer mandates, impose 170 vote last October. this Congress. unnecessary government regulations or NAM cochairs a coalition of employer create a new federal bureaucracy. NAM opposes mandatory foreign investment reporting rules on grounds groups that opposes parental leave legis- that they are both discriminatory and lation because of the reduced flexibility, Compulsory Unionism unnecessary. The Commerce Depart- increased costs, and decreased produc- The AFL-CIO is once again expected to ment already collects extensive foreign tivity it would impose on employers, push for legislation to ban dual shop investment data, which is published in particularly small companies. The legis- operations in the construction industry. aggregate form. Furthermore, the U.S. lation is also unnecessary. Almost all Dual shop operations constitute a well- continually monitors foreign investment working women today already have established practice whereby a com- activity for its impact on national secur- some form of job-guaranteed maternity pany owns independent, separately ity. Under the omnibus trade law en- leave. An estimated 95 percent of larger managed union and open-shop subsidi- 7 Briefing aries. Consequences of enactment solution is a comparable worth study, released by the American Petroleum would include higher construction costs which would empower a federal consul- Institute on 1/18. Oil imports increased for industry, a vast expansion of per- tant to arbitrarily determine the wages by 9 percent last year, totaling 42 per- missible picketing, loss of employee of government workers. cent of domestic consumption. And in freedom of choice regarding union Enactment would increase pressure December, the U.S. imported more oil representation, and the establishment of for expansion to the private sector. The than it produced for the first time in nine a dangerous precedent that could be ultimate result could be the largest years. extended to other industries. expansion of economic regulation in U.S. Despite a crucial need for increased Industry has made substantial strides history-at a cost of over 2.8 million jobs, domestic petroleum development legis- in demonstrating that dual shop legisla- according to the National Bureau for lation to open a small portion of Alaska's tion isn't necessary. It is already illegal to Economic Research. A bill similar to Arctic National Wildlife Refuge establish "sham" non-union subsidiaries H.R. 41 passed the House by a 302-98 (ANWR) to energy leasing stalled in the for the purpose of evading collective vote last year, before dying in the 100th Congress. bargaining obligations. And National Senate. NAM will continue to oppose One ANWR proposal did clear a Labor Relations Board statistics show comparable worth as a fundamentally House Committee last May. However, that less than one-tenth of 1 percent of unsound means of determining wages. the panel added an organized labor- unfair labor practice charges even allege backed Manton (D-NY-10) amendment a double-breasting abuse. Labor Law Reform to require union wages for construction Anti-dual shop legislation passed the During the 101st Congress, congressional and maintenance work associated with House in the last Congress, but by a far allies of organized labor may propose ANWR development. NAM and a broad smaller margin than in 1986. The legisla- amending the National Labor Relations industry coalition strongly opposed this tion failed to reach the Senate floor, due Act to pursue a variety of union priorities. requirement. The association will work largely to the efforts of an active coali- One idea that was the subject of a for approval of environmentally safe tion cochaired by NAM and strong hearing in the last Congress is a proposal ANWR energy development legislation- grassroots communication from industry to radically change a well-established without union wage language-in 1989. to lawmakers. NAM will continue to precedent in the resolution of labor combat dual shop legislation in the year disputes that permits an employer to hire Nuclear Power ahead. permanent replacements during an eco- Many experts foresee the possibility of nomic strike. NAM will oppose this and Minimum Wage electricity shortages in the decade other so-called labor law reforms that ahead. NAM supports a revitalization of The 101st Congress will consider H.R. 2, would set unwarranted precedents and the commercial nuclear power indus- legislation to increase the minimum impede needed management flexibility. try-the source of 18 percent of the wage from $3.35 to $4.65 per hour by Overseas Relocations nation's total electric power load. In the 1992. While strongly supported by the last Congress, lawmakers passed a NAM- AFL-CIO, a large minimum wage hike During the last Congress, Sen. Howard supported 15-year renewal of the Price- would hurt many of the workers it is Metzenbaum (D-OH) introduced legisla- Anderson nuclear liability law. This intended to help. The Congressional tion requiring employers of 50 or more year, NAM will pursue legislative and Budget Office estimates that raising the workers to provide the Department of regulatory actions to reform plant design wage to $4.65 could cost 500,000 jobs. A Labor with 120 days advance notice and licensing procedures. Such meas- hike would also hurt company produc- before relocating operations from the ures would enhance safety, while cutting tivity by driving up labor costs-to the U.S. to overseas; the department would electricity costs for consumers by reduc- tune of $48 billion, according to a Uni- publish semi-annual lists of such com- ing licensing delays and cost overruns. versity of Chicago study. And increased panies. Under the bill, these companies production costs would lead to higher would be ineligible for federal grants or Offshore Oil product and service pricetags for con- loans for five years. Failure to comply As much as one-half of America's un- sumers. NAM opposes a large minimum with the notice requirement could lead wage increase and instead supports tapped oil and gas reserves lie beneath to sanctions of $10,000 per day of viola- the oceans' outer continental shelf creation of a youth training wage to help tion. Similar legislation is likely in the (OCS). An estimated four billion barrels entry-level job seekers gain the skills 101st Congress. NAM will work to ensure of recoverable oil and 11 trillion cubic and experience they need in today's such legislation is not enacted into law. work force. feet of recoverable natural gas remain undeveloped off the Pacific Coast alone. Comparable Worth Energy and Nonetheless, a handful of coastal state lawmakers have blocked federal lease Bad ideas are often advanced in Wash- Resources sales of the richest OCS acres via riders ington under the guise of worthy goals. to the Interior Department's appropria- Rep. Mary Rose Oakar (D-OH-20) has tions bills. Five DOI appropriations have again introduced legislation-H.R. 41- included OCS leasing moratoria since ostensibly aimed at pay equity and the Alaska Energy 1982. NAM strongly opposes leasing elimination of discrimination in federal U.S. oil production hit the lowest level in bans and supports environmentally safe pay practices. But the bill's proposed 24 years in 1988, according to figures OCS leasing. 8 Special Issue further PAC contribution limits, which Technology and Industry's Future would reduce the ability of corporate employees to support candidates of their NAM's Council on High Technology amples are auto body configurations, choice. The association is now studying will address a wide range of issues in eyeglasses and telephones. non-binding PAC guidelines that would 1989 including research and devel- Industrial designs are covered by encourage PACs to avoid questionable opment incentives, the regulation of U.S. patent law, which allows legal practices such as donating to two candi- emerging technologies and intellec- protection only if a design can meet dates running for the same seat. tual property rights. The association the tests of "useful," "new" and established the Council to alert "unobvious." But many designs can- member companies to significant leg- not pass the unobvious test and lose islative, regulatory and private sector out on protection. Regulatory developments pertaining to industry Other industrialized countries pro- that impact manufacturers. Member- vide designs with easier to obtain Reform ship on the Council's task forces- copyright-like protection. As a result, open to all NAM members-includes U.S. designers obtained a mere 3,428 a subscription to High Tech Progress, a design patents in one recent year, monthly newsletter addressing tech- while Germany protected over 61,000 Paperwork Reduction Act nological issues and trends. designs and Japan over 33,000. The Paperwork Reduction Act of 1980 One of the Council's chief concerns Stronger industrial design safe- created an executive branch mecha- in 1989 will be the issue of industrial guards would give industry the ability nism for paring down reams of dupli- design protection. Industrial designs to reap more fairly the rewards of cative and unnecessary government are original and distinctive designs America's manufacturing and inno- paperwork. The act established the embodied in a utilitarian article. Ex- vative genius. Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs within the Office of Manage- ment and Budget (OMB) to officiate over federal regulations requiring Public Affairs political action committees (PACs), various types of recordkeeping and NAM will push for reforms that level the form processing. Some consumer playing field between incumbents and groups have targeted the act-due to be challengers. Campaign Finance Reform reauthorized this year-charging that In the last Congress, NAM was in- OMB interferes with the implementa- More than 98 percent of House incum- strumental in blocking legislation which tion of legitimate regulations. NAM is bents seeking reelection were returned called for taxpayer financing of con- highly supportive of the reauthorization to Congress last November. The advan- gressional campaigns. NAM will oppose to protect industry from new, costly and tages of incumbency make it very similar plans in the 101st Congress. time consuming federal red tape. The difficult if not impossible for most PAC patterns of supporting incum- association is ready to work with the challengers to displace members. As bents over challengers have also administration and allied organizations Congress studies campaign finance inspired proposals to limit PAC contribu- to ensure the reauthorization of this reform options including the role of tions. NAM traditionally has opposed important act. For more information about the issues covered in Briefing, contact the NAM Legislative Analysis Department, (202) 637-3187. Each week's Briefing is available prior to publication by 3:00 p.m. (ET) the previous Friday on NAMNET - NAM's public policy electronic network. MAM Second Class National Association NAM Congress of Manufacturers of American Industry 1331 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW Newspaper Postage Paid Suite 1500 - North Lobby March 22-23, 1989 Washington, DC 20004-1703 Call (202) 637-3023 MAM NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MANUFACTURERS Summary of 1989 Priorities Policy and Communications Division February 1989 TABLE OF CONTENTS GOVERNMENT REGULATION, COMPETITION AND SMALL MANUFACTURING DEPARTMENT Antitrust Reform 1 Dealer Termination 2 Regulatory Reform Issues (RICO; Trucking Deregulation) 3 Takeovers and Leveraged Buyouts 4 INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS DEPARTMENT Education and Training Issues 5 Health Care Access and Cost Control Issues 6 Mandated Benefits (Parental Leave) / Child Care 7 Occupational Disease Notification 8 OSHA Reform 9 Product Liability 10 Reversion of Excess Pension Assets 11 INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC AFFAIRS DEPARTMENT EC-92 Implementation 12 Exchange Rates 13 Export Promotion 14 Foreign Investment in U.S 15 GATT Negotiations 16 Implementation of 1988 Trade Legislation 17 RESOURCES AND TECHNOLOGY DEPARTMENT Clean Air Act Amendments 18 Clean Water Issues 19 Superfund Implementation 20 Waste Management and Minimization 21 TAXATION AND FISCAL POLICY DEPARTMENT Deficit Reduction 22 R&D Tax Issues 23 Restoration of Capital Formation Incentives 24 Taxation of Employee Benefits 25 i GOVERNMENT REGULATION, COMPETITION AND SMALL MANUFACTURING DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Antitrust Reform LEGISLATION: To improve U.S. international competitiveness, the Departments of Justice and Commerce have recommended increasing the ability of companies to pool their resources and talents in R&D and production joint ventures, especially those areas facing foreign government-sponsored and supported activities, i.e., computer chips, high definition television, etc. Two possible methods of encouraging such joint ventures would be to provide a certificate of exemption to a venture and the other by reducing antitrust damages for a venture that had notified the government of its activities. The former approach seems the best method, but would face possible delays in obtaining certification, while the latter provides speed but with the uncertainty of a potential lawsuit, albeit at single rather than treble damages. It has been rumored that the new administration will send the Congress a comprehensive reform package (as did the prior Administration) calling for reform of Sec. 7 of the Clayton Act, redefining that section so that there must be a "significant probability" that a merger will be harmful before it would be prohibited. Another area would reduce treble damages in most private suits to single damages (except in price-fixing cases) but provide for federal treble damages recovery. A claim reduction provision will also be included to reduce the "whip saw" tactics of early antitrust settlements. Provisions dealing with interlocking directors have also been discussed. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: Antitrust reform of this magnitude could lead to an appreciable reduction in the cost of doing business and would have a beneficial impact upon our competitiveness. STATUS: The Bush administration will make this one of their early efforts. Congress appears to be especially interested in the R&D and production joint venture proposal. The interlocking director proposal has also drawn support. NAM POSITION: NAM would support the effort to increase greater cooperation in joint ventures and in fact has done so in supporting laws on the books that provide limited protection, i.e., the Export Trading Company Act of 1982 and the National Cooperative Research Act of 1984. NAM has in the past also supported the other antitrust reform proposals, except granting treble damages to the government. NAM ACTIONS: We will actively support the administration effort to reform the antitrust laws by testifying, working with members and their staffs and forming a coalition to generate business support, etc. NAM Staff Contact: Larry Fineran (202) 637-3051 Rev. 1/19/89 -1- GOVERNMENT REGULATION, COMPETITION AND SMALL MANUFACTURING DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Dealer Termination LEGISLATION: This proposal would: (1) codify the per se illegality of vertical price-fixing and (2) overturn the Supreme Court's 1984 decision in Monsanto V. Spray-Rite Service Co., which held that in order to prevail in a treble damage claim, a terminated dealer must show more evidence of a conspiracy than complaints about its pricing to a manufacturer. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: This legislation would make it harder for manufacturers to enforce quality standards, since prices reflect money spent on activities such as adherence to product safety, health requirements and customer education. Also, overriding the Monsanto decision would increase unnecessary litigation by allowing unwarranted cases to go to trial. STATUS: It is expected that a version of last year's bill (S.430) will be introduced in both Houses early in this session. NAM POSITION: NAM supports a manufacturer's right to terminate a dealer for reasons not directly related to pricing practices and opposes those portions of this legislation relating to the Monsanto decision. NAM does not, however, have a policy position on the per se illegality of vertical price-fixing. NAM ACTIONS: NAM will again play the lead role in a large coalition to oppose the passage of this proposal. Hill visits, testimony, and grassroots lobbying will be an integral part of this effort to prevent a bill from being reported out of committee. NAM Staff Contact: Larry Fineran (202) 637-3051 Rev. 1/19/89 -2- GOVERNMENT REGULATION, COMPETITION AND SMALL MANUFACTURING DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Regulatory Reform Issues (RICO; Trucking Deregulation) LEGISLATION: During 1989 the RICO reform effort will receive renewed attention because of the abuses arising from the indiscriminate civil suits being filed. Rep. Rick Boucher (D-9-VA) and Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-UT) will be the principal supporters. Also, the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (OIRA), charged with implementing the Paperwork Reduction Act, needs reauthorization and attempts will be made to weaken it. Legislation to complete trucking deregulation will also be considered. Regulatory reform is still alive and kicking in 1989. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: Passage of civil RICO reform will greatly reduce the litigation cost of many companies, thus freeing up these assets for more constructive purposes. The cost of complying with the remaining remnants of trucking regulation still runs into hundreds of millions of dollars that could be more wisely spent. Controlling paperwork is another budget reduction issue for business. STATUS: Senator Hatch and Representative Boucher will be introducing identical RICO reform bills in mid-February. Senator Packwood (R-OR) is actively seeking cosponsors for his trucking deregulation bill. The OIRA reauthorization will not be seen until late in the first session. NAM ACTIONS: During the 101st Congress NAM will support the efforts to reform RICO, to complete trucking deregulation and to reauthorize OIRA. Particular effort will be made on RICO reform where NAM will lead a multi-association and company coalition effort. NAM Staff Contacts: Larry Fineran (202) 637-3051 and John Pilcher (202) 637-3048 Rev. 1/27/89 -3- GOVERNMENT REGULATION, COMPETITION AND SMALL MANUFACTURING DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Takeovers and Leveraged Buyouts (LBOS) LEGISLATION: 1988 was a banner year for the introduction of legislation to deal with perceived abuses in the area of takeovers and "leveraged buyouts." In the past hostile takeovers have generated considerable interest and debate in the business community and in the Congress. Recently, the accelerated number of LBOs has generated a similar burst of interest. Questions about fairness of the prices paid and the vulnerability of highly-leveraged companies to a recession have increased. Suggestions that our tax laws favor takeovers and LBOs by encouraging debt and penalizing equity have initiated calls for changing such laws. The use of pension fund dollars and bank loans to finance these deals has also called into question the stability of our retirement and financial systems. All of these factors have again elevated this issue to a high-visibility position for 1989. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: Takeovers have left major companies with burdensome debts and reduced their ability to make capital and R&D investments. Numerous plants and facilities have been closed and many industrial jobs lost. STATUS: Numerous committees in both Houses have held or scheduled hearings on the issue, i.e., the Banking Committee and Finance Committee in the Senate and the Ways and Means, Banking and Energy and Commerce Committees in the House. The Treasury is reportedly actively considering regulations to reduce the bias currently in the tax code that favors debt over equity. The Federal Reserve and the Comptroller of the Currency are closely watching the banking system to ensure that the commercial banks and the thrifts are not overextending themselves in purchasing "junk bonds." NAM POSITION: The lack of stability in the financial markets has diverted manufacturer's attention from long-term to short-term goals. This has had the effect of hurting our effort to respond to international competition. NAM ACTIONS: Lobbying activities on this issue likely will include: (1) Hill visits by NAM members, as well as meetings with Congressional members in their home states and districts; (2) NAM testimony before both the House and Senate; (3) NAM active leadership of coalition activities; and (4) preparation of op-ed pieces and an issue brief. NAM Staff Contact: John Pilcher (202) 637-3048 Rev. 1/19/89 -4- INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Education & Training Issues LEGISLATION: The "technical corrections" bill enacted in the 100th Congress included a one year retroactive extension of the employee educational assistance program (Internal Revenue Code Sec. 127). This extension expired again on December 31, 1988. The omnibus trade bill enacted in August 1988 (P.L. 100-418) included increased funding and a new dislocated worker program (replacing Title III of the Job Training Partnership Act). The statute also provides for demonstration grants to enhance the quality of various facets of public education including the encouragement of educational partnerships with the private sector. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: The effects of poor or inadequate education and skills have many dimensions and are difficult to quantify but some measures point to the need for increased attention by the private and public sectors. It has been estimated that productivity losses caused by poorly trained workers cost U.S. businesses about $25 billion a year. One out of four ninth graders drops out of school each year at an estimated cost to the nation of $240 billion in lost earnings during their lifetime. Among dislocated workers, as many as 40% are functionally illiterate and over 20% lack a high school education. A recent article in the Washington Post noted: "One of the saddest social facts in America today is that thousands of good manufacturing jobs go begging for want of applicants functionally literate enough to hold them." STATUS: No significant legislation has been introduced but it is clear given the fiscal realities of the deficit that tax incentives and federal programs will not be the total answer. NAM POSITION: Providing the nation's youth with the basic abilities required to enter the workforce and preparing current workers to adapt to increasingly rapid changes in the workplace will require a combination of federal/local and private sector initiatives. It is not simply a matter of increased federal funding. NAM ACTIONS: NAM has been actively involved in federal job training programs and supportive of enhanced dislocated worker adjustment initiatives but recognizes the importance of private sector involvement. Most recently, NAM has initiated efforts to develop a comprehensive, substantive approach to education and training/retraining programs. A formal task force has been organized and will initiate a carefully targeted effort at the local and national levels, building on programs currently in place. OUTLOOK: Reauthorization of vocational education legislation and examination of the effectiveness of the Job Partnership Training Act are expected to receive early attention in the 101st Congress. The private sector, based on self interest, will increase its efforts and leverage in private and public initiatives, to ensure its access to a qualified labor pool. NAM Staff Contacts: Phyllis Eisen (202) 637-3135 and Diane Generous (202) 637-3133 Rev. 1/23/89 -5- INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Health Care Access and Cost Control Issues LEGISLATION: The fact that there are estimated to be 37 million Americans totally uninsured for health care will continue to be a matter of concern. In the last Congress, S.1265 and H.R.2508 would have mandated employer-paid health insurance for employees working at least 17.5 hours weekly and their dependents. Coverage included hospital and physician care, diagnostic services, pre-natal and well-baby care, and both in-patient and out-patient mental health services. Employers would have had to pay at least 80% of premiums, except for low-wage workers, for whom the payment would have been 100%. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: A Nathan Associates study assessed the minimum costs of this legislation at $33 to $39 billion annually. The Institute for Research of the Economics of Taxation (IRET) estimates the costs to be approximately $100 billion. Labor cost increases of this magnitude would clearly make U.S.-made products less competitive and lead to significant job losses. STATUS: Senator Kennedy's (D-MA) staff has begun redrafting the "Minimum Health Benefits for All Workers Act." The proposal to mandate employer-provided health benefits received extensive hearings in 1987-88, and was marked-up by the Senate Labor and Human Resources Committee. No floor action occurred in either chamber in the 100th Congress. Momentum is growing however, to address the problems of the uninsured from Republicans and Democrats alike. Senator Hatch (R-UT), ranking minority member of the Labor and Human Resources Committee, is drafting legislation to improve health care access. NAM is assisting in this process through participation in a specially-convened advisory group. NAM POSITION: NAM opposes attempts to make employee benefits mandatory and, in the case of health insurance, instead supports private sector solutions, group purchasing of insurance for small firms, tax incentives for the self-employed, improved medicaid coverage and state programs financed by general revenues. In addition, finding ways to control escalating health care costs in general is a major NAM priority. NAM ACTIONS: NAM is on the steering committee of a broad-based business coalition of over 60 trade associations and individual employers opposed to mandated benefits. To support our lobbying position, the NAM membership is being surveyed on attitudes and alternatives to mandated benefits. OUTLOOK: Senator Kennedy (D-MA) is expected to introduce a revised mandated health insurance bill in March. The intent of the revisions is to gain business support. NAM Staff Contact: Sharon Canner (202) 637-3124 Rev. 1/23/89 -6- INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Mandated Benefits (Parental Leave) / Child Care LEGISLATION: In the 100th Congress, S.2488 and H.R.925 would have required business to provide 10 weeks of job-protected, unpaid leave to employees with a new child, while continuing all health benefits. Longer leaves would be required for an employee's own illness The Act for Better Child Care, also called the ABC bill, was the focus of the child care debate in 1988. S.1885 and H.R.3660 (companion bills) would have established federal child care regulations and had a $2.5 billion price tag. S.2085 and 4002 embodied a less expensive approach aimed at increasing the supply of child care slots by emphasizing state and local initiatives. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: GAO sets the annual cost of mandated leave at $188-$212 million, contrasting with the Nathan Associates' estimate of $600 million annually for only the cost of continuing health insurance. Small companies are hit especially hard by workplace disruptions as their ability to respond to business and employee needs is diminished. All child care legislation carries a price tag that would further increase the federal budget deficit. STATUS: S.2488 was defeated on the Senate floor after it was attached to an amended ABC child care bill and a "kid porn" amendment to create a "pro-family" package. The Senate failed to invoke cloture, 50-46. Sen. Hatch joined with Sen. Dodd to support the child care portion of the defeated package. The House did not consider H.R.925 on the floor. 1989 hearings on parental leave are scheduled for February 2 in the Senate and February 7 in the House. NAM POSITION: NAM supports the diverse initiatives being explored by business to address the needs of working parents. A shrinking labor pool and increasing numbers of women in the workforce will pressure employers to meet the benefit needs of workers, whether for dependent care, family leave, flexible work hours, etc. Efforts to mandate leave benefits are opposed by NAM. The federal role in child care should be to encourage affordable, quality child care through state and local initiatives and greater public-private sector cooperation. NAM does not support federal regulation of child care and encourages Congress to review existing federal programs for cost efficiency before enacting new programs. NAM ACTIONS: NAM co-chairs the Concerned Alliance of Responsible Employers (CARE), which successfully fought mandated leave in the 100th Congress and is planning strategy for the 101st Congress. NAM is working closely with Capitol Hill staff as the new child care bills are being drafted. OUTLOOK: Mandatory leave bills similar to 1988 measures will be introduced early in the House and Senate. Child care legislation has already been introduced in the 101st Congress, and Sens. Hatch and Dodd are reportedly working on a measure both could support. NAM Staff Contact: Diane Generous (202) 637-3133 Rev. 1/19/89 -7- INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Occupational Disease Notification LEGISLATION: Legislation introduced in the 100th Congress (H.R.162 and S.79) would have: (1) created a new and duplicative federal bureaucracy; (2) triggered lawsuits based on stress, not disease; (3) triggered needless notification and distress of workers and their families under unrefined processes; (4) focused attention on after-the-fact notification rather than disease prevention; (5) mandated employer-funded medical monitoring for each notified worker if any of the allegedly harmful exposures occurred in the employer's workplace; and (6) mandated, upon a physician's recommendation, permanent employee transfers from an exposed position to a non-exposed position with no loss of wages, benefits or seniority-and if no non-exposed position exists, mandate a fully-paid 12-month medical leave. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: Litigation costs are unknown, but one company's experience with a similar notification program was 800 workers notified, $335 million in claims filed. Annual medical monitoring costs are estimated at $500 to $3,600 per worker. Job transfers are estimated to cost $21,350 to $25,541 per employee. The aggregate annual costs have been estimated by Robert R. Nathan Associates to run as high as $6 billion. STATUS: The House passed H.R.162 in October 1987. NAM and the business community scored a major victory on March 29, 1988, when after eight days of a filibuster led by Senator Hatch (R-UT) and four unsuccessful cloture votes, Senator Metzenbaum (D-OH), sponsor of S.79, withdrew the bill from Senate consideration. The final vote was 52-42 against cloture. It is unclear whether this legislation will resurface in the 101st Congress. Reportedly, Congressman Gaydos is reluctant to reintroduce the bill unless he is assured that the Senate can pass such a bill. OSHA reform legislation may take priority over this issue on organized labor's agenda. Conceivably, however, occupational disease notification could be one element of such a reform package. NAM POSITION: NAM opposed H.R.162 and S.79, but supported the Henry-Jeffords House substitute which would have created a commission to study the effectiveness and feasibility of worker risk notification and required risk notification of studied workers, and would have strengthened existing OSHA regulations. NAM ACTIONS: An NAM-led coalition with over 250 active members coordinated: lobbying strategy; Hill visits; Senate staff lunches; Hill staff briefings; editorial board visits; home state visits; action alerts to NAM members; and NAM and coalition letters to the Hill. Currently, the coalition is gearing up in the event that the legislation is reintroduced. NAM Staff Contact: Susan Spangler (202) 637-3128 Rev. 1/19/89 -8- INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Occupational Safety and Health Act (OSHA) Reform LEGISLATION: No legislation has been introduced on this issue as yet. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: No determination of employment/cost impact has been undertaken. STATUS: No legislation has been introduced on this issue as yet. NAM POSITION: NAM supports a safe and healthful workplace. There is no official NAM policy position on OSHA reform as yet. However, a task force of NAM members has been formed to develop an NAM policy position. Thus far, the task force members appear to be opposed to opening up the Act for changes, although they may favor some administrative reforms. NAM ACTIONS: An NAM task force has been formed to develop the NAM position on this issue. Hill meetings with Senate and House offices have been initiated to gather information on possible legislative proposals. OUTLOOK: The degree to which the 101st Congress will focus on OSHA reform is still unclear. Some level of attention, however, is certainly anticipated. A congressional task force formed by Representative Paul Henry (R-MI) is currently reviewing the issue and plans to introduce a legislative proposal sometime in the next few months. Democratic members are also reportedly studying the issue and developing proposals. Organized labor announced that it will have its own proposal to release sometime in February. There is also a chance that an OSHA reform proposal could incoporate some element of the High Risk Occupational Disease Notification and Prevention Act which was introduced last year and defeated in a Senate filibuster. NAM Staff Contact: Susan Spangler (202) 637-3128 Rev. 1/26/89 -9- INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Product Liability LEGISLATION: In the 100th Congress, H.R.1115 as reported by the House Energy and Commerce Committee in June 1988 would have: (1) created uniform strict liability standards and established important limitations on manufacturers' and sellers' liability; (2) set a 25-year time limit after which manufacturers wouldn't be liable for products; (3) toughened standards for punitive damage awards; (4) redefined the role of the workers' compensation and tort systems to minimize transaction costs; (5) limited company liability if the injured person was drunk or on drugs; (6) limited claimant's damages if a product is misused or altered; (7) established penalties for frivolous claims; and (8) established an alternative dispute mechanism. The Education and Labor Committee held one hearing on the workers' compensation section; the House Judiciary Committee was scheduled to hold hearings but they were cancelled. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: The Rand Institute has estimated that about $30 billion is spent each year on the tort system. STATUS: No bills have been introduced yet. NAM POSITION: NAM supported H.R.1115 but was disappointed and concerned about the specific exclusion of asbestos in the bill. NAM fought all weakening amendments in the Judiciary and Education and Labor Committees. NAM also supported S.666, a similar but not identical measure. NAM ACTIONS: NAM was one of the key negotiators in the H.R.1115 compromise and has: (1) testified before both the House and Senate; (2) lobbied all members of the full Energy and Commerce Committee; (3) lobbied over 200 members of the House for cosponsorship; (4) done press interviews and releases and conducted two press briefings in 1988; (5) had NAM leadership make personal visits to key Congressional members seeking their support; (6) organized business rallies in support of H.R.1115; (7) directed targeted grassroots lobbying efforts at subcommittee and full committee members; and (8) placed op-ed pieces and conducted other media activities. NAM will wage a similar multi-faceted campaign in the 101st Congress with an eye to floor action. OUTLOOK: Building on momentum from last year's success, bipartisan introduction in both the House and Senate is expected in February and joint referral to the Judiciary and Commerce Committees is likely. Early action is hoped for by the House Judiciary Committee whose new chairman, Jack Brooks (D-TX), is expected to be tough but fair. A carefully designed, targeted campaign will be waged in the Senate to overcome opposition of Judiciary chairman Fritz Hollings (D-SC), a long-time foe of the issue. As always, heavy grassroots support will make the difference between success and failure. NAM Staff Contact: Phyllis Eisen (202) 637-3135 Rev. 1/23/89 -10- INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Reversion of Excess Pension Assets LEGISLATION: The Technical Corrections Act of 1988 raised the excise tax on pension plan reversions from 10% to 15%. This small but permanent increase was agreed to by Senate and House conferees in lieu of a proposal that would have increased the tax to 60% through May 1, 1989. In addition, Treasury Department officials agreed to withhold final determinations on all pension plan terminations/reversions through May 1, 1989. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: Expected revenue from the excise tax increase is estimated at $200 million. STATUS: No legislation pertaining to reversions has been introduced in either House during the early days of the 101st Congress. However, the reversion issue was among several pension-related measures discussed during Labor Secretary nominee Dole's confirmation hearings. NAM POSITION: NAM is opposed to legislation that restricts employer access to surplus pension assets. NAM is also opposed to legislation that would require employers to share surplus assets with employees and/or retirees in the event of a withdrawal or plan termination. Such legislation will undoubtedly cause employers to fund their plans to minimum levels, thereby threatening benefit security for American workers. NAM ACTION: NAM continues to lead industry efforts to actively oppose restrictive legislation on surplus pension assets. Actions include visits to key members of both houses and grassroots activities, as necessary. OUTLOOK: Although proponents succeeded in increasing the reversion excise tax to 15 percent in 1988, they are expected to demand additional restrictions this year, including sharing of excess assets with employees and retirees in the form of increased pension benefits. Sen. Metzenbaum (D-OH) has already indicated he intends to pursue legislation in this area. Deficit concerns will also pose a threat, as lawmakers look to pensions and other benefits as a source of revenue. Finally, leveraged buyouts (LBO's) will be examined with respect to their impact on excess assets and other pension issues. NAM Staff Contact: Ed Gilroy (202) 637-3137 Rev. 1/17/89 -11- INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC AFFAIRS DEPARTMENT ISSUE: 1992 European Community Internal Market (EC-92) Implementation LEGISLATION: None in the United States. EC-92 will be implemented through more than 300 directives and other policy actions to be adopted by the European Community (EC) and its member states. The purpose of these directives and policies is to eliminate barriers to an internal EC market. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: U.S. exports to the EC last year totalled $80 billion. Intra-EC trade by U.S.-owned firms equalled $550 billion. Two-thirds of the non-communist world's GNP is accounted for by the U.S. and the EC. STATUS: EC-92 process began in 1985 with a proposed target list of 300 directives and policy initiative aimed at eliminating barriers to an internal market. Half of the 300 actions have already been taken. While most of these have been highly technical, some major actions have been taken, for example, in the public procurement area. Major decisions in areas ranging from antitrust to industrial relations are still to come. NAM POSITION: While EC-92 holds the potential for being a significant benefit both to American exporters and U.S. companies in Europe, there are a number of issues in the implementation of EC-92 which need to be watched very closely. These include technical standards, public procurement, reciprocity, industrial relations, intellectual property, competition policy, and monetary policy. NAM ACTIONS: NAM officials and members have met with numerous EC representatives to learn more about EC-92 and to express concerns about potential impact on U.S. manufacturing interests. Similar meetings have also taken place with U.S. officials. In addition, an NAM report has been prepared on the major issues for U.S. manufacturers in EC-92. NAM Staff Contact: Steve Cooney (202) 637-3141 Rev. 1/19/89 -12- INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC AFFAIRS DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Exchange Rates LEGISLATION: None pending. 1988 Omnibus Trade and Competitiveness Act contained provisions for greater Congressional oversight and requirement for annual report each October from Treasury to Congress on exchange rate policies. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: In the mid-1980s, most experts estimated that 50 percent of the U.S. trade problem stemmed from the overvalued dollar. STATUS: Since the September 1985 agreement among major industrial countries to intervene in the exchange markets and to coordinate economic policies to a greater degree, the value of the dollar has fallen by approximately 40 percent against other major currencies. But dollar still remains overvalued in some cases, especialy in relation to currencies of some Asian nations such as Korea and Taiwan. As required by the 1988 trade law, the U.S. has begun negotiations with these countries regarding their exchange rates. NAM POSITION: Exchange rates should reflect underlying economic fundamentals. A rise in dollar should be resisted, but NAM does not favor intervention in markets to induce a major decline in the dollar at this time. Negotiations with countries having undervalued currencies should be pursued vigorously. Long range reform of the international monetary system should also be a priority. NAM ACTIONS: NAM has been a leader in the 1980s in calling attention to the exchange rate issue and was the primary organization working on exchange rate provisions in 1988 trade law. NAM offered detailed comments on the Treasury exchange rate report required by the law. Future work will be guided by an NAM Task Force handling issue. NAM Staff Contact: Steve Cooney (202) 637-3141 Rev. 1/25/89 -13- INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC AFFAIRS DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Export Promotion LEGISLATION: No single bill deals with this issue. Some export disincentives (e.g., export controls, antibribery law) were dealt with in the 1988 Omnibus Trade and Competitiveness Act. The strength of various export support programs (e.g., Eximbank) will be determined by action on appropriation bills this year. And some components of an export drive can be implemented by the Executive Branch with no new legislation. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: Policies directly affecting U.S. exports can involve large amounts of trade. Nearly $60 billion in manufactured exports fall under export control requirements. Other industrial nations offer $5 billion in direct credits for export financing and over $15 billion each year in mixed credits (e.g., the combination of foreign aid and official export financing). Approximately $5 billion in U.S. exports are generated by the export source rule in the U.S. tax law. STATUS: An export promotion campaign-Export Now-was launched in 1987 by the Commerce Department, but this effort does not address some of the major initiatives which should be included in a U.S. export drive. NAM POSITION: A major export drive should certainly include strengthening the Eximbank, beefing up the Foreign Commercial Service, greater protection of U.S. commercial interests overseas (e.g., product standards), avoiding changes in U.S. taxation of export income, development of an aggressive mixed credit program, and continued improvement of the U.S. export control system. NAM ACTIONS: NAM has written key trade and economic officials in the Bush Administration on the need for an export drive and is preparing an op-ed on the subject to gain greater press exposure. NAM will continue to support the basic idea of an export drive and work on individual issues as they come up in 1989. NAM Staff Contact: Howard Lewis III (202) 637-3144 Rev. 1/19/89 -14- INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC AFFAIRS DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Foreign Investment in U.S. LEGISLATION: H.R.5, introduced by Congressman Bryant (D-TX-5), would require special new procedures for the registration of foreign investment in the U.S., including disclosure of sensitive commercial information. This legislation is virtually the same as the so-called Bryant provisions which were dropped from the 1988 Omnibus Trade Act. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: Foreign direct investment in the U.S. has increased from $35 billion in 1977 to $262 billion in 1987. By 1985, 7.5% of all manufacturing industry employees worked for U.S. affiliates of foreign-owned firms. STATUS: Committee hearings and votes on H.R.5 and similar legislation are expected in both the House and Senate this year. NAM POSITION: NAM opposes placing new registration requirements on foreign investment in the U.S. Such action would impede necessary capital flows and have serious implications for U.S. interest rates. It would run counter to the policies pursued by the U.S. government for the past three decades regarding the free flow of investment. And it would provide a convenient excuse for foreign governments to restrict U.S. investment overseas. NAM ACTIONS: An NAM-led coalition of member companies will coordinate work on this issue, including: lobbying strategy, Hill briefings and visits, work with the Executive Branch, letters and other representations. NAM Staff Contact: Steve Cooney (202) 637-3141 Rev. 1/19/89 -15- INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC AFFAIRS DEPARTMENT ISSUE: General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) Negotiations LEGISLATION: Authority for an up or down vote by Congress on a GATT agreement to eliminate tariff and non-tariff barriers was contained in the 1988 Omnibus Trade Act. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: With world merchandise trade now exceeding $2.3 trillion each year and business service trade reaching $500 billion annually, GATT rules governing tariff and non-tariff barriers will become increasingly important. STATUS: The current GATT talks began in 1986 and are due to conclude in 1990. At a recent mid-term review, agreement was reached on how negotiations should proceed in a number of areas including improvements in the functioning of the GATT system, reduction in tariffs, limits on trade-distorting industrial subsidies, new rules for trade in services, and restrictions on trade-related investment measures. No agreement was reached in two critical areas: ending agricultural subsidies and protecting intellectual property. GATT members will try to resolve differences in an April meeting. NAM POSITION: NAM believes that the current GATT round is the single most important opportunity the U.S. has to maintain an open international trading system and so further U.S. commercial interests. Throughout the GATT talks, the NAM urges the U.S. Government to assess all proposals and/or compromises against the realization that manufactured products represent the core of U.S. trade. NAM ACTIONS: NAM lobbied for GATT negotiating provisions in 1988 Omnibus Trade Act. The organization has met continuously with various government officials to present manufacturers' views on specific issues in the talks. These efforts will continue in 1989, coordinated by an NAM Working Group handling this issue. NAM Staff Contacts: R.K. [Judge] Morris (202) 637-3145 and Patricia Morgan (202) 637-3143 Rev. 1/19/89 -16- INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC AFFAIRS DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Implementation of 1988 Omnibus Trade and Competitiveness Act LEGISLATION: Legislation signed into law on August 23, 1988 contains provisions for: (1) negotiating authority for new GATT round; (2) strengthening of U.S. unfair trade law; (3) expansion of Congressional oversight of exchange rates; (4) improvement of U.S. export controls; (5) clarification of antibribery law; (6) protection of intellectual property rights; and (7) authorization of harmonized tariff system. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: Some experts estimate about $10 billion of U.S. trade is affected by unfair trade practices which the trade bill would address. Others estimate that about $9 billion in exports are lost annually due to export control problems, some of which are addressed in the trade bill. It is not feasible, however, to estimate an overall dollar impact for the new law. STATUS: This complex law of over 500 pages has already begun to be implemented and this process will continue throughout 1989. Examples of provisions already implemented include exchange rate oversight report, the harmonized tariff system, provisions on review of foreign investment for national security reasons, and sanctions against the Toshiba Corporation for export control violations. Implementation of the unfair trade provisions is expected to occur in May and April of 1989. Export control regulations are expected to be issued in February and March of 1989. NAM POSITION: NAM consistently supported enactment of the omnibus trade bill and will comment when necessary and appropriate on the various regulations and reports resulting from this bill. NAM ACTIONS: NAM has already commented on various policy actions taken under the new law such as the Treasury report on exchange rate policies. NAM will work with various departments and agencies on development of regulations implementing changes in export controls, antibribery laws, trade statutes, and other policy areas. NAM Staff Contact: Howard Lewis III (202) 637-3144 Rev. 1/19/89 -17- RESOURCES AND TECHNOLOGY DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Clean Air Act Amendments LEGISLATION: In the last Congress there were several clean air bills. S.1894, a comprehensive approach to amending and expanding the Clean Air Act, was a five-titled bill covering ozone nonattainment, acid rain, mobile source controls/fuels, NAAQS and air toxics. H.R.3054 was an ozone nonattainment bill with deadline extensions for cities, new penalties, and mass transit grants matched by 50% local funding. H.R.2666 was an acid rain bill applying to the entire U.S. and mandating major emissions reductions from fossil-fueled utilities. H.R.4331 was an acid rain bill similar to 2666, but with a later target date for reduction. Early in the 101st Congress there have been three bills introduced on clean air: H.R.4 on air toxics, H.R.99 on ozone and carbon monoxide nonattainment and H.R.144 on acid rain controls. Introduction of several bills on the global warming issue is expected. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: Annual cost estimates for S.1894 were $28.3 billion (CRS) $2.1 to $16 billion (CBO) ; $16.4 to $21.7 billion (EPA); and $6.37 to $7.37 billion (OTA for ozone nonattainment only). NAM's acid rain study of 99th Congress legislation indicated significant GNP decline matched by increases in both the budget and trade deficits, reduced housing starts and hundreds of thousands of jobs lost. STATUS: Hearings and markups were held throughout the 100th Congress on Clean Air legislation. Although none of the bills were brought before the full House or Senate for a vote, negotiations took place at the end of Congress to fashion compromise acid rain legislation. No final compromise was reached. NAM anticipates much Congressional activity on Clean Air legislation because of changes in power in the Senate and the Administration. We also anticipate many hearings and bills attempting to address the global climate change issue. NAM POSITION: NAM is opposed to S.1894 and H.R.3054, 2666, 4331 and 5032. Air toxics control may need to be reviewed in light of the recent court decision on benzene. The NAM supports scientific and public policy review of the global climate change issue within an international setting. It is likely that the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) will convene a meeting in 1989 to establish a framework for a multinational agreement similar to the Montreal Protocol to Protect the Stratosphere. NAM ACTIONS: NAM will continue opposing bills which would radically change the existing Clean Air Act. Efforts will include: (1) widespread briefings on NAM's acid rain study; (2) NAM and coalition letters; (3) NAM member company visits to Congressional members both in D.C. and at home; (4) preparation of testimony, op-ed pieces and issue briefs; (5) Hill briefings of members and staff; (6) media and speaker events; (7) field issue meetings; and (8) participation in the Clean Air Working Group Coalition and the Hazardous Air Pollutants Coalition. NAM chairs an industry group that is looking into global climate change issues. NAM Staff Contact: Theresa Pugh (202) 637-3175 and Jana Oakley (202) 637-3153 Rev. 1/18/89 -18- RESOURCES AND TECHNOLOGY DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Clean Water Issues LEGISLATION: Federal and state groundwater protection legislation is emerging as a leading environmental issue. Over the past 15 years, environmental policy has moved toward a comprehensive scheme of regulation governing waste disposal, toxics, and air and water emissions by industrial and municipal sources. This framework now includes the Clean Air Act; Clean Water Act; Safe Drinking Water Act; Toxic Substances Control Act; Federal Insecticide, Fungicide and Rodenticide Act; Resource Conservation and Recovery Act; and Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation and Liability Act. Effective groundwater protection will require action against diffuse sources of pollution, which are traditionally areas of state and local primacy. Large, identifiable industrial point sources have been aggressively policed under the Clean Water Act, Clean Air Act and other statutes. Municipal compliance with existing regulations, however, is notoriously lax, and the resulting agricultural and residential contamination problems have seldom been addressed. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: No comparative estimate on all bills is available. However, drinking water cleanup costs can be extremely expensive. STATUS: In the 100th Congress, Sen. Durenberger (MN-R) introduced S.2091 and S.2092, a comprehensive groundwater package. This bill would have set a national goal of non-degradation of groundwater and authorized the promulgation of health-based protection standards. Some industry critics were concerned that this might have implied a "zero emissions standard". Durenberger's legislation authorized $900 million and called for taxes (or user fees) on pesticides and fertilizer products sold for household lawn and garden use. S.2091 and S.2092 did not see any legislative activity in the 100th Congress but are expected to be reintroduced in the 101st Congress. H.R.791 was a groundwater research bill which passed the House in December 1987 after five committees worked to resolve differences. A Senate version passed in October. However, the differences were never resolved and the bill failed as the 100th Congress adjourned. Senator Moynihan (D-NY) will probably remain the chairman for the Senate Water Resources, Transportation, and Infrastructure Subcommittee of the Environmental and Public Works Committee. He will no doubt move to introduce another groundwater protection bill. However, it may be closer to H.R.791 than S.20, his 100th Congress bill. NAM POSITION: The NAM supports protection of the nation's drinking water supplies. In the 101st Congress, free-standing legislation may be introduced to deal with drinking water issues. Groundwater protection may also be included in the reauthorization of the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA). NAM ACTIONS: The NAM submitted comments to the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee in the 100th Congress. The NAM will continue to work for policy which balances water quality, quantity and regulatory reasonableness. NAM Staff Contact: Theresa Pugh (202) 637-3175 Rev. 1/23/89 -19- RESOURCES AND TECHNOLOGY DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Superfund Implementation LEGISLATION: The Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act of 1980 (CERCLA) and the Superfund Amendments and Reauthorization Act (SARA), which have created the most extensive and expensive environmental program in the history of the country, address the cleaning up of hazardous waste sites. The direct impact of EPA's implementation of the Superfund scheme on individual sites has a tremendous impact on companies. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACTS: The Superfund process develops a general fund, raised through taxes on corporations, to address hazardous waste sites. There are currently approximately 1175 sites on EPA National Priority List (NPL). Some environmentalists believe that there will ultimately be 2000 sites on the NPL. Assuming that the average cost per site is $20 million, $40 billion may ultimately be needed to address the National Priority List. STATUS: EPA is currently proposing/reviewing several important policies, which include the role of municipalities as potentially responsible parties (PRPs) and a revision of the National Contingency Plan (which is EPA's blueprint for how the clean-ups proceed). EPA is currently in a 60-day comment period (until February 23, 1989) on the NCP. NAM POSITION: An NAM policy position on Superfund implementation is currently in the developmental process. NAM ACTIONS: NAM has formed an ad hoc group to address the implementation of Superfund. The group plans to formulate specific recommendations as to how Superfund is operated in order to make it run more efficiently. NAM Staff Contact: Richard Seibert (202) 637-3157 Rev. 1/26/89 -20- RESOURCES AND TECHNOLOGY DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Waste Management and Minimization LEGISLATION: The Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) is up for legislative reauthorization in 1989. Congress will review solid waste management under RCRA. It is likely that states will be required to have more stringent solid waste planning and capacity responsibilities. Solid waste management requirements will more closely resemble current hazardous waste regulations. Any bill to reauthorize RCRA will focus on waste minimization and/or source reduction of waste. The NAM supports voluntary reduction of hazardous and solid waste. Such waste minimization efforts are protective of the environment and are sound management practices for companies. Waste minimization reduces disposal costs and long-term liability exposure. NAM opposes including energy and mining waste under RCRA. This has been reviewed by the U.S. EPA periodically, and the EPA has agreed with the NAM view and has decided not to regulate energy waste as hazardous under RCRA. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: No estimate available for RCRA reauthorization as a whole. Estimated reclamation costs of covering certain mining waste (uranium mill tailings) is $2 billion for 20 sites, excluding groundwater cleanup. Estimated costs of covering drilling and oil wastes would be $44 billion initially and $5 billion a year thereafter, with nearly 50% fewer wells drilled and 200,000 oil-related jobs lost. STATUS: Action on RCRA reauthorization is not expected until the ozone and carbon monoxide (CO) nonattainment and air toxics problems are resolved in the Clean Air Act debate. NAM POSITION: NAM opposes inclusion of mining waste and waste from petroleum exploration and development as "hazardous" under RCRA. NAM policy provides for treating federal facilities equally to private industry under environmental statutes. However, NAM is concerned with contract debarment terms and penalties such as those under H.R.3782 and 3783 of the 100th Congress. The NAM opposes mandatory waste minimization. NAM ACTIONS: NAM is reviewing issues of importance to manufacturers such as land disposal bans, incineration limitations, and other items which would be subject to revision under a RCRA reauthorization bill. NAM recently published a booklet to help member companies minimize hazardous waste, "Waste Minimization: Manufacturers' Strategies for Success." NAM Staff Contact: Theresa Pugh (202) 637-3175 Rev. 1/19/89 -21- TAXATION AND FISCAL POLICY DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Deficit Reduction LEGISLATION: None pending as yet. Typically, resolutions setting forth the revenue and outlay levels for the upcoming fiscal year are not actually introduced until sometime in the spring, after fairly extensive hearings. For the federal government's fiscal year beginning October 1, 1989 (FY90), the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings law specifies that the budget deficit may not exceed $100 billion. If Congress and the Administration cannot agree on a budget meeting this target, automatic spending cuts are triggered under a process known as sequestration. Under sequestration, cuts are apportioned on about a 50-50 basis between the defense and nondefense portions of the budget, with some entitlement programs, most notably Social Security, entirely exempted from being cut. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: The federal deficit, which in recent years has ranged from 3% to 6% of GNP, significantly impacts the U.S. economy. While the economic costs are difficult to quantify precisely, it is generally conceded that the deficit has added several percentage points to long-term interest rates and also has contributed significantly to overvaluation of the dollar. STATUS: In January 1989 President Reagan submitted an FY90 budget proposal which met the G-R-H deficit target. On February 9, 1989, President Bush is scheduled to announce, at least in broad outline, his proposed revisions to the outgoing Administration's last budget proposal. Among other things, the Bush proposal is expected to ask for less defense spending, holding increases in the defense budget to no more than the rate of inflation. Unlike prior years, serious budget negotiations between Congress and the Administration are likely to occur early in the process, rather than at the last minute. The National Economic Commission, a bipartisan panel formed to recommend a deficit reduction plan to Congress and the Administration, has been asked by Treasury Secretary Brady to deliver its report by March 1, 1989. It is unclear whether a strong majority of the NEC's 14 members will be able to agree on any plan by that date. NAM POSITION: NAM believes the G-R-H deficit target can and should be met by restraining the growth rate of government outlays, without raising taxes and without resort to the subterfuge of mandating certain employee benefits. NAM supports reform of entitlement programs, including Social Security, especially by limiting automatic cost-of-living adjustments to less than 100% of the rate of inflation. If, as an absolute last resort, added tax revenues are required, NAM would support only a general consumption tax levied at a uniform rate on the broadest possible base of goods and services. NAM also supports procedural reforms, in particular Presidential line item veto authority and the balanced budget constitutional amendment. NAM ACTIONS: In November 1988, NAM testified before the National Economic Commission, urging adoption of a comprehensive deficit reduction plan based entirely on expenditure restraint and including no new taxes. NAM will continue to assert this position vigorously during the upcoming FY90 budget process. NAM Staff Contacts: Paul Huard (202) 637-3075 and Monica McGuire (202) 637-3076 Rev. 1/31/89 -22- TAXATION AND FISCAL POLICY DEPARTMENT ISSUE: R&D Tax Issues LEGISLATION: None pending as yet. The two provisions in question are the tax credit for increased R&D expenditures, and the formula to be used under Internal Revenue Code Section 861 in allocating R&D expenditures between U.S. and foreign source income. Both provisions were extended for short periods by the Technical and Miscellaneous Revenue Act of 1988 (the so-called "technical corrections" bill), but the Section 861 extension has already expired and the extension of the R&D credit expires at the end of 1989. Bills to make both provisions permanent-or at least to extend them temporarily once again--are expected to be introduced during the spring of this year. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: Consistent and predictable treatment of R&D under federal tax laws would improve our technological competitiveness, which underlies both productivity improvements and an increased standard of living. STATUS: No bills have been introduced at this time, nor have any hearings on R&D tax issues yet been scheduled. NAM POSITION: NAM strongly supports both the tax credit for increased R&D expenditures, and the formula to be used under Internal Revenue Code Section 861 in allocating R&D expenditures between U.S. and foreign source income. Both provisions should be made permanent. If this is not feasible, any further extensions should be for significant periods of time, preferably three years or more. NAM ACTIONS: NAM is an active member of the CORETECH coalition and in 1989, as in past years, will work with the coalition to secure favorable legislative action on these important R&D tax issues. NAM Staff Contact: Paul Huard (202) 637-3075 Rev. 1/31/89 -23- TAXATION AND FISCAL POLICY DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Restoration of Capital Formation Incentives LEGISLATION: As part of the 1986 tax reform legislation, capital gains tax rates were increased, the investment tax credit (ITC) was abolished, and depreciation schedules were greatly lengthened. President Bush, however, is a strong supporter of reduced capital gains tax rates, and the Administration is expected to support a plan for doing this. The Administration's capital gains proposal may be unveiled as early as February 9, 1989, when the President is expected to announce his budget plan for the government's 1990 fiscal year. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: It has been estimated that reduced capital gains tax rates could actually raise tax revenues by as much as $15 billion annually, due to increased economic activity. Other capital formation incentives, such as restoration of the investment tax credit and improvement of depreciation schedules, would in the long run lead to both increased capital investment and increased employment. STATUS: No hearings on capital formation tax issues have as yet been scheduled. Bills on the capital gains issue are, however, certain to be introduced. NAM POSITION: NAM supports the restoration of effective capital formation incentives, including but not limited to lower capital gains tax rates, shorter depreciation lives, restoration of the investment tax credit, and increased deductibility for individual retirement savings. NAM ACTIONS: NAM expects to be able to support the Administration on the capital gains issue and is planning to do SO. Meaningful action on other capital formation issues, unfortunately, does not appear very likely in 1989. NAM Staff Contact: Paul Huard (202) 637-3075 Rev. 1/31/89 -24- TAXATION AND FISCAL POLICY DEPARTMENT ISSUE: Taxation of Employee Benefits LEGISLATION: None pending at this time. Most revenue bills enacted in the last decade, however, have included provisions to extract additional revenues, for deficit reduction purposes, through increased taxation of employee benefits and/or the imposition of restrictions on tax qualified pension and profit sharing plans. EMPLOYMENT/COST IMPACT: Increased taxation of, or restriction of, employee benefits tends to result in increased wage demands by labor to offset their higher tax burden or lost benefits. The ensuing increase in labor costs tends to result in lower productivity and/or fewer jobs, and frequently also leads to curtailment or elimination of benefits. STATUS: No hearings on employee benefits taxation issues have as yet been scheduled. These issues are not likely to be considered unless Congress and the Administration agree to a tax increase for the government's 1990 fiscal year, an agreement which does not appear very likely at this time. NAM POSITION: NAM supports the general structure of the current tax law, pursuant to which employee benefits are not currently taxable to employees provided certain requirements are met. NAM supports a moratorium on further changes in the rules of employee benefits taxation, so that both employers and tax administrators may have a reasonable period to learn to cope with existing rules. In addition, some of the existing rules-for instance those under Internal Revenue Code Section 89-are so convoluted and difficult that NAM supports their outright repeal. NAM ACTIONS: NAM is an active participant in a business coalition to repeal Section 89. In addition, NAM will actively oppose any attempted increase in taxation of employee benefits and/or any further imposition of restrictions on tax qualified pension and profit sharing plans. NAM Staff Contact: Paul Huard (202) 637-3075 Rev. 1/31/89 -25- MANUFACTURING TRENDS A report by Jerry J. Jasinowski, NAM executive vice president, on forces affecting manufacturing and how companies are responding October 1988 Achieving Manufacturing Excellence A special report on how successful manufacturers are meeting the competition of today's global economy The first stage of manufacturing's drive to become more globally competitive succeeded, through a 40 percent exchange rate improvement and a 10-25 percent reduction in business costs. The second stage will be more difficult, requiring the federal government to commit to a national agenda to improve our competitiveness, while companies vigorously pursue actions aimed at achieving production and operational excellence. The checklist of 10 steps that follows is my way of categorizing what most successful manufacturing firms are doing to become world-class competitors. 1. Leadership. The best firms are headed by leaders who recognize that manufacturing excellence starts at the top, with a commitment by the CEO that the production side of the house matters and that the other key elements of the corporation - strategy, finance and marketing - must make manufacturing excellence a top priority. 2. Strategy. Successful firms use the strengths of manufacturing to formulate and execute a strategy aimed at worldwide competition. Manufacturing excellence creates competitive advantage by reducing costs, improving quality, creating new products and providing a more timely and flexible response to customers. 3. Cutting Costs. In the first stage of cost-cutting, manufacturing firms focused on downsizing: reducing direct labor costs, cutting inventory levels, outsourcing and shutting down inefficient capacity. Now firms are turning to more sophisticated forms of efficiency, such as cutting overhead costs, better purchasing and materials management, quality cost-cutting and energy cogeneration. 4. Quality. Today's top corporate priority has shifted from reducing costs to building world-class quality into every product. The key elements leading to success are understanding how the customer views quality, incorporating new quality standards into the corporate culture and implementing a total quality improvement program. 5. The Manufacturing Process. The best of today's manufacturing companies also strive for excellence in every facet of the manufacturing process, focusing on just-in-time principles of eliminating waste, simplification of product and process design, improved quality, better materials handling, integration of manufacturing and other corporate functions and a dedication to continuous streamlining of production flows. 6. Capital Investment. While production automation can yield substantial benefits, getting the basics right in preparation for new capital investments yields the biggest payoffs. The most successful firms debug the entire production process before they jump to automation. Firms then phase in capital investments according to a clear concept of integration for all components of the manufacturing firm. 7. Technology. Successful firms are striving to put technology to work more quickly to create new products and processes. They are doing this by investing more in research and development, eliminating organizational barriers between the labs and manufacturing and shortening product development time. 8. Human Capital. Successful corporations are finding creative ways to make employees part of the manufacturing excellence team by showing respect for the individual, involving them in improving the work process, emphasizing performance-based compensation and putting a high priority on training. 9. Marketing. Successful manufacturing firms know that selling to today's fast-changing global markets requires tying together marketing and manufacturing to respond to segmented markets and time-based competition with a flexible production response. The tough competitors make a commitment to sell abroad. 10. The Corporate Culture. The final step - and really the most important - is to build a culture committed to contínuous learning and improvement, fostering values that make manufacturing a priority, properly measuring what contributes to a firm's long-term competitive position and developing managers who understand the dimensions of achieving manufacturing excellence. ©1988 by the National Association of Manufacturers, 1331 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW, Suite 1500 - North Lobby, Washington, DC 20004-1703 Achieving Manufacturing Excellence This is a personal report on the comeback of are down 10-15 percent, with leading- that they can be price-competitive in American manufacturing, the status of the edge firms scoring even more impressive international markets even if the yen comeback and what remains to be done. Its gains, e.g., Caterpillar cut employment by appreciates to 90 to the dollar. premise is that the competitive circumstances 40 percent, inventories by 50 percent and In addition, foreign firms have been at work in American industry have changed overall costs by 25 percent. investing heavily in advanced manufactur- fundamentally and that success in today's In 1986, the United States led all major ing technology. In the past five years, global marketplace demands comparable industrial countries in manufacturing Japan has outspent the United States 2-1 changes in the way we think about and productivity growth. From 1982 through on automation. During that time, 55 organize production. The essence of these 1987, output per hour in durable manu- percent of the machine tools introduced in changes is total commitment to achieving facturing industries surged nearly 40 per- Japan were computer-numerically-con- manufacturing excellence. cent; productivity in the manufacturing trolled machines. The U.S. figure was 18 sector at large grew 25.5 percent. percent. Per worker, the United States has Where We Stand The benefits of these gains ripple one-sixth as many robots as Japan. We are through the entire economy. Strong not even up to the figures for Germany The dollar is down; exports are up; and so manufacturing industries are dynamic and Sweden. are the earnings of U.S. manufacturing contributors to overall growth. They are a Becoming world-class competitors re- companies. Fortune magazine reports that major market for services, and a key quires major changes in the ways that U.S. America has suddenly "seized the lead in manufacturing firms compete. But it will the race for global competitiveness." But also require a national commitment to witnesses to the ordeal that U.S. industry suffered in this decade have a right to be compete and government actions to sup- skeptical. Is victory really at hand? What "An administration and port that goal. are the facts? Congress that fully The chief fact is that American firms are A National Commitment more competitive than they were three or understand the importance An administration and Congress that fully four years ago. Since the peak of the real of manufacturing understand the importance of manufac- trade deficit in the third quarter of 1986, excellence to our national turing excellence to our national well- real exports have improved by $112 bil- being should make manufacturing com- lion (in constant 1982 dollars), while real well-being should make petitiveness a national priority. They net exports (exports less imports) have manufacturing should be aggressive and pragmatic in improved by $66 billion. promoting U.S. manufacturing interests. The most pervasive and powerful rea- competitiveness a national Above all, they should appreciate their son for this improvement is depreciation priority." ability to damage the economy by passing of the dollar relative to the currencies of legislation that could harm our ability to our major trading partners - compete. They should make no economic Between the first quarter of 1985 (the policy without full consideration of the peak value of the dollar) and the first source of saving and investment. They are likely effects on our ability to compete in quarter of 1988 (the trough value of the responsible for nearly all the nation's the global economy. dollar), the exchange rate depreciated by civilian R&D spending and most techno- The next administration and Congress 45 percent on a multilateral basis, while logical advancement. They provide a will need to take steps in at least the falling by 50 percent against the yen and reservoir of well-paid jobs. They are the following six major areas: the mark, and 31 percent against the foundation of a strong national defense. 1. Reducing the budget deficit is priority pound. Since January 1988, however, it So how much progress have we made? number one. The federal deficit eats into has appreciated about 10 percent on a We are clearly on the way back. On a individual and business savings, raises multilateral basis. 10-point scale, U.S. manufacturing is now capital costs and increases our dependence In industry after industry, America is at "4" and climbing. But getting to be a on foreign creditors. The administration becoming the low-cost producer. In dollar "10" won't be easy, because our com- and Congress must continue to hold the terms, Japan's unit labor costs rose by 43 petitors aren't standing still - line on nonessential domestic spending percent in 1986; Germany's rose by 40 To hold market share, foreign firms- (though new spending may be needed for percent; while American labor costs re- especially Japanese firms-have not raised education, commercially significant R&D mained stable. export prices to match shifts in exchange and public infrastructure). Tax policy Much of the recent export surge, how- rates. Between 1985 and 1987, the yen must identify sources of additional rev- ever, is also the result of relentless self- gained 45 percent against the dollar, but enue that favor savings and investment, discipline and cost-cutting by American relative Japanese-U.S. export prices in- such as a broad-based consumption tax. firms determined to meet the challenge of creased by less than 20 percent. 2. Avoiding actions that harm manufac- international competition - Foreign firms have also been driving turing competitiveness is priority number Since 1982, U.S. manufacturers have hard for greater efficiency. Toyota has two. Washington needs to have a clear moved aggressively to consolidate produc- managed to cut the yen cost of building a sense that industrial strength is a vital tion capacity, slash unemployment costs, Corolla by an estimated 31 percent. Since national interest, especially in a number of increase out-sourcing and reduce inven- 1985, Toshiba's labor costs are down by areas where we seem intent on shooting tory levels. Sectorwide production costs 40 percent. Some Japanese firms claim ourselves in both feet. I'm referring to 3 situations such as export controls, costly Companies began to "sell the sizzle." nesses. Examples include - environmental and health care legislation By the 1970s, however, the old cer- TRW's sell-off of $800 million worth and mandated benefits. tainties of business were disappearing of low-growth, low-return subsidiaries 3. Tax policy is central to encouraging under the pressure of rapid technological and product lines in order to concentrate savings and investment. An administra- change, growing international competi- on core automotive, defense and elec- tion committed to rebuilding U.S. compe- tion, the mounting presence of govern- tronics businesses; and titive strength must consider restoring ment in the economy and increasing General Mills' shedding of low-return differential treatment for capital gains and sophistication in financial markets. Mer- or peripheral units and concentration on providing more incentives to lower the gers and acquisitions became an increas- three basic business segments. cost of capital. Tax increases on capital ingly attractive route to corporate growth Far more often, however, competitive must be avoided. and profitability, and that continues. strategies based on acquisitions, mergers, 4. Trade policy and administration have But, each day, I see new signs that or the latest financial chicanery have to be more aggressive to adapt to the American firms are getting back to a resulted in disappointments and divesti- realities of international competition. We strategy predicated on manufacturing tures. Michael Porter of Harvard Business need to deal more effectively with unfair excellence. One reason for the change is School, for example, studied 3,800 diver- foreign trade practices. Vigorous imple- that, with some important exceptions, the sifications (acquisitions, joint-ventures mentation of the new trade bill must be other two strategies have lost a lot of their and start-ups) by 33 major U.S. corpora- pursued by the next administration. tions selected at random from 1950 to 5. Taking a long-term view is another 1986. On average, these firms divested key objective for competitiveness policy. more than half their acquisitions in new We must take a hard look at establishing "Competitive success industries and divested an astounding 74 rule changes that would rein in corporate depends on how effectively percent of their acquisitions in totally unrelated industries. raiders without undermining the construc- and efficiently a Porter attributes this outcome to a tive influence of an active acquisitions market. We also need to take another manufacturing firm failure by many diversifying firms to look at other measures that would en- appreciate the costs and constraints that performs its most courage stability and long-term invest- diversification can impose on firms. He ment by financial markets. fundamental task: making argues that acquisitions must increase the 6. Education and training are the bed- competitiveness and value of individual products." rock of national productive capacity. business units; otherwise, they may prove Long-term prospects for industrial to be costly mistakes. Another reason why U.S. firms are strength hinge on improving the quality of magic. Experience shows that products refocusing on production is that if you American education and training. cannot be sold by marketing power alone, don't handle production well, chances are While action in these areas will not without regard to price and quality. You you'll begin to lose the capacity for good guarantee manufacturing excellence, in- can't just "sell the sizzle" when the com- work in other areas too, e.g., product action will make it next to impossible for petition dishes up a better product every design and marketing. To design for American industry to continue the gains it time, often for less money. manufacturability, you must understand has made over the past few years. These days, companies that do win with production. To market effectively, you marketing-based strategies succeed by must understand production. And to How to Compete Better finding or creating market segments- understand production you must do it. A When it comes to choosing how to com- special niches-in which they can achieve world-class manufacturing corporation pete better at the company level, manufac- cost or quality advantages over their cannot be hollow at the core. turers have three basic options: (1) competitors. American firms are being driven back establishing a competitive edge through Mercedes, of course, is the premier to the basics of manufacturing excellence manufacturing excellence; (2) winning by example of this type of firm. But some by forces that are affecting manufacturing application of pure marketing muscle; or U.S. firms have also proven to be shrewd firms everywhere in the world. Increas- (3) diversifying through mergers and and aggressive niche marketers (e.g., ingly, firms are coming to the competitive acquisitions. Each of these strategies has Rubbermaid). The key lesson in their fray with similar attributes and capabil- some validity and has enjoyed periods of experience is that successful niche mar- ities. Among the major industrial coun- popularity among American companies. keting depends on efficient and/or highly tries, labor cost differentials are becoming In the years when the United States was flexible manufacturing. Markets may be less significant as labor becomes a less just beginning to build its industrial might, narrower, but products still have to appeal important component of production the most successful industrial entrepre- on the basis of price and quality, or costs. Capital markets are internationally neurs were people who exploited the because they are more responsive to linked. Knowledge about advanced man- production potential of new technologies. evolving consumer tastes. agement practices and new products and Their competitive strategies were based on In the past decade or so, diversification processes is quickly transferred across manufacturing efficiency and scale. strategists have also had a pretty rough national boundaries. Differences in distri- American industry was built on what was, ride. To be fair, the record shows diversi- bution systems and practices are diminish- by the standards of the day, very large- fication can still be profitable if it results in ing. Markets are becoming saturated, scale manufacturing excellence. a collection of closely related businesses buyers more demanding. As America grew as a mass market, within a single company. Diversification Under these conditions, competitive firms drifted away from the notion that built around a common expertise or cor- success depends on how effectively and first-class manufacturing was the central porate capability can work. Indeed, com- efficiently a manufacturing firm performs element in business success. Marketing panies are sloughing off alien businesses to its most fundamental task: making pro- driven strategies began to dominate. get back to bundles of interrelated busi- ducts. Competitive advantage is increas- 4 ingly dependent on production strengths. 1 Manufacturing Excellence The CEO's role in all this is crucial. To What does the move to manufacturing Starts at the Top endure, the commitment to excellence excellence mean, in practice, for top man- agement? It means giving operations a lot The environment facing today's managers must be part of the CEO's vision and is clearly much more difficult than in the priorities. Since it involves pulling to- more attention and status. It means inte- grating production and other corporate past because of greater competitive inten- gether most of the activities of the organi- functions to coordinate the execution of sity in a more complex setting. Deregula- zation, he/she must play a critical integrat- competitive strategy. It means staying tion, the movement toward the global ing role. By personal example and by economy, the maturation of certain exercising the power to shape corporate away from "quick fixes" and paying markets and the increasing speed of tech- institutions, he/she must ensure that this enough, but not too much, attention to quarterly income statements. And it nological development are the factors that commitment is woven into the cultural means mobilizing and cultivating people. have raised the level of competition. The fabric of the firm so that continuous In short, it means observing the 10 prin- world has also been made more complex improvement is achieved. ciples I want to discuss next: my checklist by globalization, the increased number of for manufacturing excellence. firms or products available, and the in- creased use of more sophisticated tech- 2. Helping Define The checklist that follows is my way of Competitive Strategy categorizing what the most successful U.S. nologies (see Kotter, The Leadership manufacturing firms are doing, on a prac- Factor). In this world of intense competi- Without a strategy for competitive suc- tive activity among complex organizations, cess, you are likely to fail unless you are tical level, to make themselves world-class lucky. Without integrating manufacturing competitors. But first, I will outline three into your strategy, you are putting your- underlying themes that are pertinent to self at a big competitive disadvantage. the effort. "To endure, the Competitive strategy defines the way a The first theme is that there are no single quick fixes. Rebuilding and sustaining commitment to excellence company makes a success out of whatever individual business or businesses it is in, competitive strength entails nothing less must be part of the CEO's how each business unit in the company than an open-ended and broad-based vision and priorities identifies and exploits advantages over campaign of incremental improvement in actual and potential competitors. every facet of production: a determined, he/she must play a critical Competitive strategies come in different methodical, neverending pursuit of world- class performance. integrating role." shapes and sizes. For example, Harvard's Mike Porter identifies three generic The second theme is that manufactur- approaches that businesses can take to ing firms face a constantly changing and master their competitive environments: complex competitive environment. What the need for leadership has increased and, (1) achieving low-cost leadership; (2) worked competitively yesterday is no guar- in my view, this is even more the case if building a reputation or product that is antee for success tomorrow, as the per- one is pursuing a strategy of manufactur- perceived as unique in the industry; and sonal computer market vividly illustrates. ing excellence. (3) targeting a particular market segment The third theme is the importance of Winning with a production-based and achieving cost leadership or product people. All the talk about advanced manu- competitive strategy demands total dedi- differentiation within that segment. facturing technology notwithstanding, the cation to building top-quality products Harvard Professor Robert Hayes, in the way firms use people will determine more that are competitively priced and delivered NAM-endorsed video tape "Manufactur- than anything else the extent to which they on time, and to developing new products ing Strategy," emphasizes that firms can achieve production excellence. in step with shifting market opportunities. compete on the basis of five factors: cost, Getting down the experience curve is In short, it demands a commitment to quality and performance, dependability one of the things that makes a winner and what has come to be called "manufac- and service to the customer, flexibility, so far only people can do it. Good turing excellence." and innovation. machines work the same way every time. Manufacturing excellence is the out- Whatever the strategy, it is better if Use doesn't make them more productive. growth of continuous effort to beat the tailored, not bought off the rack. Each Good people, on the other hand, get competition by purging the production firm must define its own strategy based on better with practice. They learn to use chain of operations and people that do not its circumstances and ability to discover or machines more efficiently; they find ways add value to final products. It means create advantages in the key dimensions of to improve processes and products. Chal- drastic reduction in inventories every- competition: cost, quality, on-time de- lenges make them try harder. where in the production system. It means livery, product development/flexibility, This acknowledged importance of aggressive simplification of products, pro- sales and service. Each firm must decide people is good news and bad news. The cesses and organizations. It means integrat- how it is different from its competitors good news is that competitiveness doesn't ing design, manufacturing and marketing and how it can best compete. demand massive investments in advanced functions, and cultivating teamwork The important aspect about competi- production machinery and control sys- throughout the firm. It means heavy in- tive strategy that many firms seem to tems, at least at first. There is no magic vestments of time and money in the forget is that its focus is the marketplace. It bullet that is too expensive to buy or too continual enrichment of human and is a plan of attack (or defense) that aims at complicated and mysterious to use. physical capital. It means making the exploiting advantages and neutralizing dis- The bad news is that people are harder measurement of manufacturing perform- advantages in the general competitive to retool than machines. Moreover, ance the principal indicator of company environment. changing people's behavior may mean success. And it means everyone "from the The focus is: How do we beat the rebuilding a company's philosophy and top floor to the shop floor" sharing a competition? For example, cost-cutting by the basic way it works: a pretty tall order. personal sense of responsibility for cus- itself may be simple scrimping. Carried to Now for the checklist: tomer satisfaction. excess, it may sap a firm's competitive 5 strength. Alternatively, and much more organizational structure and the use of of literally hundreds of productivity positively, cost-cutting may be part of a human resources must be consistent with improvement measures and techniques. strategy aimed at achieving or sustaining the overall competitive and manufactur- Common to all these is a new attitude: a an overall low-cost position. ing strategy. commitment by management and workers Of course, the success of such a strategy to continuous improvement. When man- might also depend on not cutting costs. 3 Cutting Costs and agement and workers together approach Achieving a low-cost position could entail manufacturing with the attitude there has heavy front-end investments in new pro- Improving Productivity to be a better way to do everything, and cess technology and employee training. Cost-cutting has been American indus- when they apply imagination, the solu- So, strategic cost-cutting could translate to try's first answer to the competitiveness tions are almost unlimited. Without higher operating costs, at least over the challenge. U.S. firms have attacked high enormous outlays for fancy new equip- short haul. production costs with determination and ment, but with careful attention to the Moreover, since the competition is no with considerable success. human side of work, companies are find- longer only homegrown, the question is Companies have taken two basic ing they can achieve 20-40 percent gains in really: How do we beat the competition approaches to cost-cutting: (1) rational- labor productivity within several years. worldwide? Winning worldwide demands izing, i.e. sharpening the firm's focus on Further, management and labor are both at least two challenges. One is making core operations; and (2) taking a variety taking a more realistic view of what excellent products at competitive prices, of steps to increase productivity. companies can afford in the way of pay delivering them on time and giving solid Rationalization. Companies that raises. Manufacturing compensation in- after-sales service. When it comes to drifted into broad diversification in the creased about 10 percent per year during excelling here, it isn't good enough any 1960s are now ruthlessly shedding opera- the 1970s; it is increasing at about 2.5 more to be "the best in Indiana." The only tions not central to their basic competitive percent per year during the 1980s. safe position is to be "the best manu- Many manufacturing companies have facturer in the world." made dramatic strides in reducing direct The second challenge is "taking it to the "Whatever competitive labor costs. In several of today's most competition." By itself, being the best isn't good enough, isn't safe enough. Our strategy is chosen, it is competitive firms, it is not uncommon to hear of plants with direct labor costs as major overseas competitors have shown essential that the low as 5 percent of total product costs. As us clearly that the way to build world-class manufacturing part of the a result, the main focus of cost-cutting competitive capability is to go for world attention is shifting from direct labor to market share. organization consistently other cost drivers-especially indirect For example, regarding Honda North support that strategy." labor and headquarters staff costs-and America's plan to export 70,000 cars in materials costs. 1991 (50,000 of them to Japan), com- By simplifying and tightening up their pany President Tetsuo Chino asserts: "It is capabilities. Put bluntly, companies are manufacturing processes and raising qua- not enough that our U.S. operations are getting rid of businesses that don't fit their lity, companies are dismantling what competitive only in the United States. It is core focus. experts call "the hidden factory": all the the world arena where the competition Recent examples of corporate rationali- checkers and controllers who keep track will be won." zation include the TRW case cited earlier of things, but don't make anything. Exporting to, or manufacturing in, all of and Monsanto's sell-off of its loss-incur- Also, managements are discovering that the world's major markets usually means ring commodity petrochemical businesses they really can run companies-quite big larger profits, more investment and greater and concentration on more competitive ones-without in-house staff assistants overall financial strength; it creates oppor- specialty petrochemical products. for everything. Companies are laying off tunities for scale economies; it increases To enhance manageability, rationalizing staff. When they occasionally need spe- production and marketing flexibility. companies are also downsizing their core cialized expertise, they contract outside Worldwide operation may also increase businesses. Downsizing concentrates re- for it. Some firms are letting line managers "company learning." Marketing innova- sources and management attention and decide the types of corporate staff they tions and new process or product tech- eliminates excess or inefficient capacity. In want or don't want. nologies developed overseas may contri- mature industries, especially, reductions Since materials costs are becoming bute to greater success at home. in capacity have been remarkable. more important, firms are following two Moreover, by contesting all markets, Since 1982, U.S. raw steelmaking capa- tracks to cut these costs. First, they are U.S. companies help to keep the competi- city has been cut by 27 percent. When trying to reduce the materials content of tion honest. Challenging the competition you combine capacity reduction with products. Second, they are trying new worldwide limits profits by foreign com- plant modernization, you get striking pro- approaches to sourcing. Some companies panies in non-U.S. markets. As a result, ductivity gains. USX now makes a ton of are turning to worldwide sourcing. Some foreigners may be weaker financially and steel in less than four man-hours, down are emphasizing quality-assurance sourc- have less price flexibility when they con- from 10 man-hours a few years ago. ing. And still others are emphasizing the tend with U.S. firms in the United States. Efficiency. The second general timeliness of delivery. Managements are Whatever competitive strategy is cho- approach firms have used to cut costs is to rediscovering the purchasing function, sen, it is essential that the manufacturing boost efficiency and productivity in exist- insisting on better purchasing, and inte- part of the organization consistently sup- ing or modernized plants and offices. grating purchasing into the mainstream of port that strategy. Decisions about facili- Widespread automation accounts for the manufacturing process. ties, equipment and sourcing must share some of the improvements. Even more Companies are cutting costs in lots of the same focus. Similarly, policies for important then automation, however, has other ways, too- quality improvement, inventory control, been the introduction by American firms Preventive Maintenance. Better main- 6 tenance of machinery extends machinery making the entire manufacturing process Though superior quality is now a goal life, thereby reducing capital costs. more efficient. And sixth, U.S. firms are for most American manufacturers, actual Quality Cost-Cutting. Raising quality learning that quality has great motiva- results still lag behind. can lower costs by reducing waste, rework tional power. Quality engages the hearts The American Society for Quality Con- and warranted service. and minds of managers and workers. trol estimates that the costs of bad quality Cogeneration. Despite softness in To become a top quality producer, a in U.S. companies are three times those in energy prices in the past several years, company must understand some basic Japanese companies. J.D. Powers' annual companies with an eye on long-range principles about quality control: assessment of auto owners' satisfaction competitiveness are still working to cut Quality is defined by the customer, not indicates that U.S. quality remains below energy costs. Cogeneration — which is the the producer. that of the Japanese. A Department of equivalent of killing two birds with the Quality control is based on prevention, Defense study shows that nonconform- same stone — is getting a lot of attention. not inspection. ance and rework rates in the Japanese Health-Care Cost Control. According to Quality control means doing things electronics industry run 0.5-1 percent, an NAM survey of CEOs, their number right the first time. compared with 8-10 percent in the United one concern this year is the skyrocketing Quality control is more than an States. Ernest Hugh and Alan Anderson, cost of health insurance. Companies are authors of The Spirit of Manufacturing trying to contain these costs by changing Excellence, claim that Japanese companies benefits and financing, and by turning to "Many companies have are driving down defects to 10 per million, more efficient health-care providers. while there are still U.S. manufacturers moved into a second stage Since the late 1970s, manufacturing has operating at 10,000 to 20,000 defects per gone through two stages of cost-cutting. of cost-cutting, giving million. The first focused on direct labor costs in much more attention to For U.S. quality leaders, the firms that the plant; companies cut labor and capa- have made remarkable advances, quality city. But in recent years many companies overhead and letting the has had tremendous payoffs. Quality sells. have moved into a second stage of cost- cost-cutting broom sweep It's profitable, too. cutting, paying more attention to over- head and letting the cost-cutting broom through all company sweep through all company operations. operations." 5. Improving the We're still in stage two. We have to Manufacturing Process keep it up, but we must also do more. In The best of today's manufacturing com- particular, we must exploit the oppor- attempt to make better products; it is a panies strive for excellence in every facet tunities for increased productivity inher- search for better ways to make products. of the manufacturing process. Although ent in product and process improvement: Under total quality control, inspection there are many ways of looking at it, the the subjects of the next three categories on should occur throughout production, not technique most widely associated with the checklist. just at the end. manufacturing excellence is "just-in-time" Quality control requires making oper- manufacturing, or JIT. ations as fail-safe as possible, i.e., reducing Some people think of JIT as simply an 4 Top Priority: deviation from zero defects. inventory control system or a means to Building In Quality Quality control is an ongoing process; achieve stockless and small-lot produc- Starting in the mid-1980s, American in- it never ends. tion. But it really is a system of enforced dustry rediscovered quality with a ven- CEOs who are serious about quality problem-solving aimed at reducing lead geance. Companies participating in the must build the emphasis on quality into times and waste. With waste-like buffer 1987 survey of Boston University's Man- the culture of the firm. Quality must be a stocks-eliminated, problems of quality ufacturing Roundtable identified pro- principal measure of firm performance. or scheduling immediately become ap- grams for quality control as the single Employees must be deeply and genuinely parent. The inadequate worker, the poor most important element of manufacturing involved. Their advice about manufac- machine, the inefficient work layout can- strategy through the end of the decade. turing improvements must be heeded. not be hidden. There are at least six reasons why. First, Their responsibilities for production must JIT is just one of the many techniques largely because of the Japanese, quality has be expanded. used to achieve manufacturing excellence. become a major element in global compe- Companies dedicated to quality do When all are applied, the results can be tition. Second, U.S. companies have dis- extensive training. High quality produc- spectacular. covered that markets are increasingly tion requires workers who can use, main- Some experts claim that the best practi- attracted to quality; quality has tremen- tain, fix and experiment with production tioners in Japan and the United States dous selling power and creates loyal cus- equipment. It also requires workers who have achieved 50-100 percent finished tomers. Third, in light of the accumulating understand the basic principles of prob- goods inventory reductions; 70-90 per- evidence, U.S. manufacturers have finally lem-solving and who can communicate cent work-in-process reductions; 40-70 admitted to themselves that they have not effectively. Quality workers make quality percent space reductions; 30-50 percent been quality-competitive. Fourth, U.S. products. capacity increases; 70-90 percent shorter manufacturing companies that started In addition to operating on these prin- lead-times; 30-50 percent overhead cost quality improvement programs have dis- ciples, companies are making quality gains reductions; 30-50 percent product cost covered that the costs of bad quality are by reorganizing manufacturing processes reductions; and rejects reduced from 2 far higher than they had assumed, often and, in particular, by adopting cellular or percent to .001 percent. running more than 20 percent of sales. modular production methods. As one A common view holds that manufac- Fifth, U.S. manufacturers have learned expert notes, no one in a module can hide turing excellence is based on four general the pursuit of quality is a potent device for bad work. principles: (1) elimination of waste; (2) 7 elimination of complexity; (3) integration Integration. Companies achieving products also require less packaging. of activities inside manufacturing and manufacturing excellence also seem to be Again, materials are saved. between manufacturing and all the other very good at integrating engineering, pro- There is a saying that the best materials functions of the firm; and (4) continuous duction and marketing. handling system is no materials handling. improvement. Two of these principles The classic symptom of a lack of inte- Cellular plant layouts and JIT manufac- require some explanation. gration is a high number of engineering turing can come close to this. Still, for Elimination of Product and Process change orders. In a recent survey of the many categories of production, materials Complexity. Product complexity pushes engineering change systems in 30 U.S. handling remains inevitable. In those up scrap costs, reduces yields, keeps setup industrial firms, Booz Allen found that instances, tasks once assigned to hand costs high, impedes automation, hinders more than 50 percent of the firms pro- feed, conveyors or forklift trucks are now inventory reduction and drives up the cessed 2,000 engineering changes annu- being assigned to robots, automated number of transactions that have to be ally: one change per working hour. There is guided vehicles, and automated storage dealt with in engineering, production, no way to achieve efficient production and retrieval systems. Though effective marketing and administration. under such circumstances. when properly fitted into a production Minimizing product complexity starts Integration of engineering, production system, these high-tech techniques should with a carefully thought-out product and marketing paves the way for further be carefully integrated into the simplest strategy. The aim should be to reduce the integration within production. It is then production operation possible. breadth and turnover of the product line possible to link manufacturing, materials Among U.S. manufacturers, how many while protecting high-value differentiated are striving for excellence? One hint is the products. The elimination of product extent to which they are adopting JIT. A complexity blends into the elimination of "The aim of integration is 1986 survey of suppliers to U.S. auto process complexity right when products manufacturers reveals that more than 80 are first designed. flexibility, which means percent of them had begun to implement A rule of thumb in the defense industry all parts of the plant JIT programs. seems to be that as much as 60 percent of operate in harmony, While these facts show that JIT pro- avoidable manufacturing costs are created grams are now common - at least among during the design phase. That percentage not in lock step." auto component manufacturers - other may be lower for standard products, but facts from the same survey suggest that the the basic point remains: The most effec- companies are not applying JIT principles tive way to simplify production is to handling and control systems. Integration comprehensively. Of the companies with simplify products. is not the same as putting the entire plant JIT programs, 56 percent reported re- Another step toward elimination of in a straight jacket, with every activity duced inventories, 45 percent better cus- process complexity is the focused factory tightly coupled to every other. The aim of tomer relations and 43 percent improved approach. The focused factory reduces integration is flexibility, which means all quality. That's encouraging. On the other complexity by devoting a single facility to parts of the plant operate in harmony, not hand, only 33 percent reported improved a single purpose. Alternatively, focus can in lock step. productivity, only 23 percent reduced set- be increased by creating discreet mini- Manufacturing excellence also calls for up costs and only 22 percent better factories within regular plants. another important type of integration, employee relations. it is really seen Under the new plant configurations, that with suppliers. Successful supplier/ as part of a total manufacturing excellence complexity diminishes for two main rea- buyer relationships require much top program-should lead to better results sons. First, there is far less material management involvement on both sides; than these. movement and clutter. Materials have less the sharing of product, process and speci- distance to travel. The arrangement per- fication change information; technology mits small-lot production and quicker exchange; and joint involvement in design, throughput. Less material is needed in 6. Retooling the Factory not to mention multiyear commitments and Automation production. Second, control is much on the buyer's part. The first step toward the factory of the easier. Combining manufacturing cells The measures used to improve the future is a step back to basics. Advanced with pull production techniques can manufacturing process are increasingly manufacturing technology offers extraor- sharply reduce the need for fancy com- being targeted at inventory and materials dinary opportunities for improvements in puterized scheduling systems. handling. That is because materials now the areas of cost, quality, flexibility and Mistake-proof production is another account for the largest share of manu- deliverability. But to benefit from these way to eliminate process complexity. The facturing costs, often 50 percent or more. opportunities, companies planning to Japanese call it the "poka-yoke" system. The attack on materials is occurring on install sophisticated equipment and sys- You immobilize everything on machinery three fronts: (1) reducing the materials tems must devote enormous energy to that is adjustable and not essential to the content of products; (2) substituting simplifying their manufacturing practices. immediate task. Then you install all sorts materials, which allows for whole new We've all seen the reports on how the of guides and fixtures to assure tasks can approaches to manufacturing; and (3) Japanese are outspending us on advanced be performed only one way: the right way. adopting improved techniques for mater- manufacturing technology. But it's impor- Success breeds success. Reducing com- ials handling. tant to understand that Japanese manu- plexity reduces the need for supervision. Regarding the first approach, products facturers have also directed a great deal of Good plants tend to be thin plants, thin in can be designed to require less materials investment at improving equipment al- layers of supervision. Reduction in the content. Parts can be machined with less ready in place. As recently as 1980, as numbers of supervisors cuts costs. Speed- scrap or they can be formed initially much as 60 percent of Japanese capital up in decision-making cuts costs, too. according to net shape principles. Either spending went for improving old ma- Maybe even more. way, there is less waste. Lighter or sturdier chines. At the same time, only about 25 8 percent of our investment dollar went to automation's sake. Once cells are per- The relationship between the lab and the improving existing equipment. In contrast fected, they are integrated. In this way, the plant has been turned on its head. The with the Japanese, U.S. industry's first factory incrementally works toward com- ability to make now gives firms an edge in reaction to the competitiveness challenge puter integrated manufacturing. the ability to invent. was to try to buy manufacturing excel- This approach would seem to fly in the What does all this mean for U.S. lence off the shelf. face of systems principles, according to manufacturers? First, we simply will have What's becoming clear now is that which management's aim should be to to spend more on R&D. The recent investment in advanced manufacturing optimize the efficiency of the entire plant, record of industry expenditures on R&D technology is usually not a good first step not activities (cells) within it. While the shows why. Corrected for inflation, in- in the movement to manufacturing excel- theory is good, manufacturing managers dustry spending on R&D increased about lence. The preparatory steps have to be 5.5 percent during the 1980-84 period. product and process simplification, and Since then, it has gone up by about 2.5 continuous and substantial upgrading of workers' skills. "With a big automated percent a year. Starting a few years ago, business spending on R&D in Japan and The authors of The Spirit of Manufac- system, we say get it going Germany exceeded such spending in the turing Excellence advocate what they call right and then don't touch United States. Also, American manufac- "grind-it-out" automation, which for turers must stop treating R&D as dis- them means reducing set-up times to a few it; the Japanese say get it cretionary expenditures. In too many minutes, getting machine uptime to 99 going right and then cases, the R&D spending patterns of percent, designing all complexity out of companies have fluctuated with the swings products and processes and getting the tamper with it all the time of business cycles. most out of existing equipment. They to make it even better.' Second, U.S. industry must speed up think the grind-it-out strategy is simpler to the rate at which it commercializes tech- implement, demands relatively little front- nology. Studies constantly demonstrate end capital, keeps risk low, and builds that the United States is more inventive in-house capabilities to design and imple- have come to appreciate that the try-to- than Japan, but most studies also show ment customized process that cannot be optimize-everything-at-once approach is that the Japanese convert new ideas into duplicated by competitors. next to impossible, especially given the marketable products faster than we do. In highly automated environments, complexity of modern manufacturing. If workers must be real-time hands-on tech- the parts are not running smoothly, all The challenge for U.S. industry is to get nicians capable of adjusting the system to that the systems approach boils down to is a bigger payoff from its product develop- obtain steady minor improvements. Here the integration of chaos. ment efforts. Step one here is keeping the the distinction between the U.S. and The most successful U.S. manufactur- customer in mind throughout the product Japanese approach is startling. With a big ing firms seem to be urging the rest of us, development process. But beyond this, the experiences of foreign and domestic automated system, we say get it going right by example, to remember these simple and then don't touch it; the Japanese say rules: basics first-simple-tech before firms indicate that it is possible to increase get it going right and then tamper with it all high-tech; get everything possible out of significantly the productivity of corporate the time to make it even better. existing equipment; then automate; and, research and development. lastly, integrate. Successful managements create specific Studies of companies that have put in mechanisms to break down the organiza- fairly ambitious automation projects come up with some fascinating results. As much as 50 percent of the benefits of the 7 Increasing the Payoff tional barriers between company labs and company sales personnel. In fact, the From R&D companies with the best product devel- projects seem to be attributable to Most observers seem to agree that opment records appear to mix up all the improvements in basic manufacturing America's dominance in industrial R&D functions that have a role in designing, practices required to accommodate auto- is seriously eroding. To make matters making and selling a product. mation. Another 20 percent of the bene- worse, this erosion has occurred just as All sorts of devices can be used to fits come from manufacturing-driven R&D is becoming an increasingly impor- ensure interaction between R&D and product redesign. Only about 30 percent tant determinant of winners and losers in manufacturing personnel. For instance, of the benefits seem attributable to the global competition. Though product and R&D personnel can be made responsible automated system itself. In short, suc- process innovations have always been key for managing innovations beyond the pro- cessful automation forces manufacturers to business success, emphasis everywhere totype stage or the pilot plant stage. Or to do the fundamentals right, and that's on innovation now makes them key to company policies and incentives can be where the big payoff comes from. survival. And the ability to manage aimed at encouraging internal entrepre- Once the fundamentals are right, com- R&D-to innovate quickly and repeat- neurship. Small teams of innovators can panies can deepen their investment in edly-is as important as the product or be turned into miniature firms within advanced manufacturing technology. process innovations themselves. larger enterprises. Among experts, the predominant view is Moreover, R&D and production are Successful high-tech companies also that this involves adding new hardware becoming increasingly interdependent. It seem to have an organizational readiness and software on a cell-by-cell basis. The no longer suffices for a company to be the to live with the improvisation and experi- aim is to strive for perfection within each best at designing products unless it is also mentation inherent in getting new pro- individual cell. If business expands, capa- very good at making them. What the ducts or processes to market. In Japan, city is added by replicating cells. The Japanese have shown, and what a few U.S. products get developed through a repeti- extent to which cells are automated de- companies have confirmed, is that super- tive try-it, improve-it, try-it-again process. pends on the tasks accomplished within iority in production is now a prerequisite Gains come through lots of little advances the cells. Avoided is automation for for superiority in product development. rather than the one big technical fix. U.S. 9 companies can match this, but again man- and selection of employees, followed up rotate jobs or change teams. Each worker agement must provide the organizational by thorough entry training. Once on the may perform 55 or 60 tasks on a car, while signals that encourage the experimental job, training must become a way of life. it is at his station. Each team has a given set approach to product development. Workers need opportunities to upgrade of operations to perform and team mem- Regardless of how much companies their specific job-related knowledge, their bers decide who does what. push up the productivity of R&D, it skills at applying that knowledge, their When it comes to rewarding teams as remains costly. What companies cannot problem-solving skills and their com- well as individuals, U.S. firms have been afford to do alone, they are starting to do munications skills. fairly cautious. Rarely do companies tie in collaboration with other high-tech At the minimum, 3 5 percent of shop- compensation to team performance. U.S. companies. Cooperative ventures in floor workers' total work time should be firms have been more active, though, in R&D are becoming more common. devoted to training, whether formal or using reward systems to prepare the Managements must become much more on the job (OJT). For workers assigned to ground for better teamwork. Some com- familiar with cooperative research arrange- specific problem-solding teams, the num- panies, for example, now use pay-for- ments-how to structure them and how ber should be more like 10 percent. In knowledge systems; they pay higher wages to manage them. Successful ventures will for the mastery of new skills and the most likely be directed at solving prob- assumption of expanded responsibilities. lems common to an industry or to several "American Despite the hundreds of techniques that firms, whereby each participant can ex- can be applied to promote employee ploit the results according to its own manufacturing firms involvement, one truth always must be competitive strategy. The arrangements cannot keep pace with the kept in mind. No technique will work will have to be designed and managed to assure that everybody wins. world's best unless workers unless management believes employees are knowledgeable, trustworthy, willing to Today, innovation involves many activ- and managers, together, accept responsibility and concerned with ities outside the normal bounds of R&D. It involves organizational experimenta- take personal responsibility improving operations. tion. It involves lots of training. It involves for winning." new relationships outside the firm, from suppliers to customers. It is the area where 9. Meshing Marketing and Manufacturing some U.S. companies are making tremen- very advanced factories-FMS plants, for A great Confederate cavalry com- dous strides. But it is an area where many example-where traditional workers have mander once said that winning is mainly a U.S. companies still face an uphill climb. been replaced by programmers and highly matter of "getting there firstest with the skilled maintenance personnel, training is mostest." The same principle applies in almost constant. Doing and learning are 8 Making Employees global competition. Winners get there inseparable. "firstest with the mostest" of what markets Part of the Team At its best, employee involvement really want. American manufacturing firms cannot means well-trained people are putting Getting there "firstest" means tying keep pace with the world's best unless their skills to work in teams. Building together marketing and manufacturing to workers and managers, together, take per- team spirit means giving workers substan- meet time-based competition. Increas- sonal responsibility for winning. The task tial responsibility for manufacturing excel- ingly, competitive success depends on is immense. Attitudes have to change. lence. Some companies combine opera- shortening the time it takes to convert a Teamwork, not individualism and not tions and maintenance functions. Produc- laboratory idea to a product on the "adversaryism," must be the principal tion workers who maintain their equip- shipping dock; then ensuring that delivery mode of operation. ment know about it and care more about is quick, on time and exactly according to What that means in practice is that it. Companies that practice TQC integrate specs. managers must treat production workers quality and production responsibilities, Getting there "firstest" also depends on as a major competitive resource, not a empowering production workers to shut making manufacturing more flexible, i.e. necessary evil. down the line when they spot a quality achieving efficiency with shorter product Many American firms already do. problem and encouraging them to suggest runs and cutting down the time it takes to Omark Industries' 1984 annual report process and product improvements. shift from producing one product to carried the names of all Omark employees: Changing people's attitudes and expec- producing another. The demand for flex- more than 4,000 names. Ford received tations about their work means, in many ibility is market-driven. Mass markets are 1,401 employee suggestions for building cases, changing the way work is organized. crumbling; niche markets are becoming Taurus better. In every case, management People don't really get team spirit without more important. The globalization of got back to the people who made the the opportunity to work in teams, and competition means that products must suggestions. unless team achievements are measured now be tailored to diverse national tastes. Employee involvement starts at the top and rewarded. Product life cycles are shortening; new of a company. Management must demon- Thus, whenever feasible, employee in- products must fill the gap left by quick- strate by repeated acts that it values and volvement translates to giving small groups dying products. respects employees. It must define and of workers the responsibility for produc- Since flexible manufacturing is so explain the mission of the firm in ways ing whole components, or families, of important, it is worth reemphasizing what that elicit enthusiasm and support from components. American firms have learned about it in employees. And management must invest For example, teams of five to 11 people the past few years. Flexible manufacturing in employees. build entire sections of the Buick Reatta. doesn't necessarily mean putting in big, This last point means that employee There is only one formal job classification expensive, computer-controlled machines. involvement begins with careful recruiting in the Reatta plant and workers are free to But it does mean rearranging existing 10 layouts to allow for shorter production part of the day-to-day life of the firm from Measurement and Reward Systems. runs and faster throughput. It means top management to the shop floor- Measurement systems define success in adapting existing machines and organizing cannot be done on command. Rhetoric every sphere of corporate activity. The work stations to reduce set-up times and alone won't change the attitudes of veteran right measurements, reinforced by the cut down on rework. It means designing U.S. workers toward their work or their right rewards, make the commitment to products and parts for flexibility and workmates and supervisors. excellence credible. saving customization touches until the end New attitudes need new institutions to Good measurement means, first and of the assembly process. sustain them. For U.S. firms on the foremost, measuring the right things. Getting there with the "mostest" adds leading edge of advanced manufacturing Some American managers have had a the idea that manufacturing companies technology, these new institutions take tendency to measure the wrong things, to must match their products with their varying forms. Some are tangible, e.g., assess the performance of their companies processes if they are to have true market- blended work responsibilities on the in operational rather than strategic terms. ing clout. The days of product develop- shop-floor, reduced managerial hierarchy, The ultimate measure of success, how- ment divorced from attention to process and measurement and reward systems that ever, is the firm's performance in the dog- are gone. These days, in fact, the tradi- reflect long-term competitiveness objec- eat-dog world of global competition. tional product-process relationship is tives. Some, like the values embodied in An implication of this assertion is that often reversed. The best Japanese manu- corporate culture, are less tangible. bottom-line success measures-quarterly facturers, for example, concentrate on Corporate Culture. In all organiza- profits, stock values, price/earnings perfecting manufacturing processes. Once tions, shared values, objectives and expec- ratios-must become less dominant. these are as good as possible, the com- tations are a precondition of quick and Toyota's precept is "Win first. Profit panies design products that are compa- concerted action. In a modern corpora- later." Profiting later may be easier in tible with the process advantages. Provid- tion, these qualities are partly a function of Japan than it is here because Japanese ing flexibility is built into the processes. concrete institutions, e.g., measurement firms are less dependent on equity markets The Japanese know how they can deliver and reward systems. They are also an and their capital costs are lower. But the the "mostest" because products have been outgrowth of the CEO's personal style point of the precept applies everywhere. If designed with manufacturing capability in and example. In either case, the CEO's competitiveness is the goal, market share mind. This approach goes beyond the must be factored into the bottom line. concept of "design for manufacturability." Good measurement is also critical at the Its aim is to design to exploit manufac- "Increasingly, competitive operational level. Effective cost-cutting, turing strength. Linking manufacturing to changing success depends on for example, depends on knowing how costs accumulate in the value-added chain. market needs also calls for building shortening the time it takes Conventional accounting systems tend to bridges between plant personnel and cus- to convert a laboratory idea report operating costs without getting at tomer personnel. Effective marketing underlying cost drivers, matters such as requires closer ties between sellers and to a product then on product design and product line breadth, buyers, between marketing people and customers, between engineering and cus- ensuring that delivery is process technology, plant scale and sourc- ing policies. tomers, and even between production quick, on time and exactly In a similar vein, conventional applica- people and customers. At Chaparral Steel, according to specs." tions of investment-return and discounted- every production worker - indeed, cash-flow analysis may fail to capture everyone in the company-is part of the important benefits (and costs) of invest- sales force. role is critical. He must believe, and he ments in advanced manufacturing tech- Another thing U.S. firms are finding is must make everyone else in the corpora- nology, e.g., longer equipment life, higher that they must do a better job under- tion believe, that the factory is a key product quality, preparation for the next standing how the market perceives quality. competitive resource-not a black box, not advance in production technology and To illustrate: Japanese semiconductor a set of buildings and machines whose increased "factory learning." Manufactur- manufacturing equipment generally re- only requirement is that they be kept ing excellence may require new measures, quires less set-up time and breaks down running smoothly. Similarly, he must or new applications of old measures, less often than American-made equip- believe and make others believe that labor especially in the areas of cost accounting ment. By contrast, U.S. machines can is a resource for problem-solving and a and financial analysis. perform a broader array of tsks. Both key to increased productivity through On the shop floor as well, new per- Japanese and American machines meet continuous learning. formance measures, e.g., measures of high quality standards in their own terms. Belief, however, is unlikely to spring individual learning and measures of work- The problem is most buyers seem to value from rhetoric alone. In practice, this team performance, reinforced by appro- speed and reliability more than flexibility. means that the corporate fast track has to priate rewards, are essential to making The foregoing points add up to one be rerouted through operations. Manufac- "commitment to manufacturing excel- central fact: Without the right manufac- turing must be represented in the highest lence" more than a catch phrase. turing system, firms cannot be serious echelons of corporate decision-making. Sherwin-Williams gave employees at contenders in today's fast-moving market- Moreover, this new status must be re- one of its automotive paint plants a wage ing environment. flected in salary scales and in more sym- increase for each new skill learned. A year Building a Culture bolic ways-in perks, in lines and boxes after the program started, 95 percent of 10 on the organization flow chart, in office the work force had developed new skills. for Improvement geography. Even when people read be- The point here is not only to create a Internalizing the commitment to manufac- tween the lines, the message has to be that foundation for teamwork, but to foster turing excellence-making it a permanent manufacturing is important. continuous learning-almost paradoxic- 11 ally, to bring manufacturing back to an process and product designers put their idea of individual craftsmanship that pre- ideas into practice on the shop floor, Volume 2, Number 2 vailed in a simpler age. becoming production workers until these Huge and Anderson suggest four ways ideas are "debugged," up and running. Manufacturing Trends is published to institutionalize continuous learning: At Xerox, Ford, Kodak, and Hewlett- Packard, teams of people from produc- periodically by the National Asso- Make learning objectives part of each worker's performance appraisal; train in- tion, engineering, marketing and design ciation of Manufacturers. NAM is house experts to design and deliver solely responsible for its contents; courses; designate on employee involve- the forecasts, however, do not ment teams, experts in particular pro- "The point is to foster necessarily reflect NAM policy cesses to educate other members of the positions. team; and pay workers for the mastery of continuous learning, additional skills. Firms must also train workers to operate successfully in teams almost paradoxically, to Analysis and Commentary: Jerry J. and give them the technical preparation bring manufacturing back Jasinowski, NAM executive vice necessary for effective problem solving. to an idea of individual president and chief economist. Organizational Changes That Foster Teamwork. For many U.S. companies, a craftsmanship that Subscriptions and Reprint Information. first step toward creating scope for team- prevailed in a simpler age." Material in this publication may not work has been an effort to break down be reprinted without permission or narrow and rigid work rules, thereby appropriate credit. To subscribe or giving people the opportunity and the skills to help each other. work together from the point that a new request reprints, contact Savannah In many firms, as noted earlier, scope product is conceived until the product Walker, NAM Communications for teamwork also means giving individual gets to market. Department, 1331 Pennsylvania production workers greater control of the In sum, on a scale of 1 to 10, world- Avenue, NW, Suite 1500-North production process, and greater responsi- class manufacturers score a 10. That's Lobby, Washington, DC 20004- bility for process improvement, quality where American companies should be. 1703; (202) 637-3094. Ask to be control and even customer service. It We're part way there. I've suggested that means a blurring of traditional divisions attaining manufacturing excellence re- added to mailing list #29. Addi- between workers and supervisors. quires work in 10 different areas. The tional copies are $5.00 apiece, with It can also mean blurring the line be- most competitive U.S. companies seem to bulk discounts available. To order, tween staff and line responsibilities. In the make progress on all counts. It all seems to write to publications coordinator at most advanced Japanese and U.S. manu- fit. The way you get to 10 is by tackling the address listed above. facturing plants, for example, teams of 10 challenges on the checklist. 12 THE WHITE HOUSE February 13, 1989 WASHINGTON KBK MEMORANDUM REVISED TO: Steve Studdert FROM: JOSEPH W. HAGIN SUBJECT: APPROVED PRESIDENTIAL ACTIVITY EVENT: Address National Association of Manufacturers Luncheon DATE: March 23, 1989 TIME: 12.00 p.m. 12:30 p.m. DURATION: 90 Minutes LOCATION: Mayflower Hotel ATTIRE: Business Suit REMARKS REQUIRED: Yes MEDIA COVERAGE: Open FIRST LADY PARTICIPATION: No ADDITIONAL INFORMATION: CONTACT: , TELEPHONE: OFFICE HOME NOTE: PROJECT OFFICER, SEE ATTACHED CHECKLIST Ed Rogers Marlin Fitzwater David Bates James Cicconi David Demarest David Valdez Fred McClure Jean Lamb USSS - PPD Susan Porter Rose Steve Studdert Operations - Executive Residence Patty Presock John Keller WHCA Audio/Visual Speechwriting Office Tim McBride WHCA Operations Laurie Firestone J. Bonnie Newman Robert Guttman Tony Lopez 7210 MAM National Association of Manufacturers ALEXANDER B. TROWBRIDGE January 26, 1989 President The President The White House Washington, D.C. 20500 Dear Mr. President: As the enclosed copy of my November 15th letter to you indicates, we are extraordinarily pleased by your assumption of the nation's highest office, and can only add commendations on the way you have structured your Cabinet and launched your administration with last week's excellent inaugural address. We requested in the attached letter that you plan to again join us for the NAM Congress of American Industry, and we very much hope that your calendar has been noted for a luncheon speech to our meeting on Thursday, March 23rd, at the Mayflower Hotel. As the attached copy of Mr. Irastorza's letter indicates, long range planning has only recently been possible, but do hope that we can honor you on that day when probably 800-1000 of our nation's manufacturers will be represented. It would be an excellent forum to discuss our mutual hopes and plans to enhance America's competitive capabilities in the global marketplace, both by public policy decisions and private sector initiatives. You have honored us in the past by joining our annual meeting, and I hope very much that we can welcome you again on March 23rd. Sincerely, Sandy Troubudge 1331 Pennsylvania Ave., NW Suite 1500 - North Lobby Washington, D.C. 20004-1703 (202) 637-3012 JAN 3 1989 <<<<<<<<<<<<< OFFICE OF THE VICE PRESIDENT WASHINGTON December 28, 1988 Mr. Alexander B. Trowbridge National Association of 100 Manufacturers Suite 1500, North Lobby 1331 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20004-1703 Dear Mr. Trowbridge: Thank you for inviting the Vice President to speak at the National Association of Manufacturers' annual meeting on March 23. Due to the changes that will be taking place, at this time we are not free to consider commitments beyond January 20, 1989. We also suggest that you renew your invitation closer to the date of the event. This office is holding your letter and will pass it on to the appropriate scheduler at the time of transition. Thank you for your interest. Sincerely, Hector F. Irastorza, Jr. Deputy Assistant to the Vice President for Scheduling MAM National Association of Manufacturers ALEXANDER B. TROWBRIDGE President November 15, 1988 Honorable George Bush Vice President of the United States The White House Washington, D.C. 20500 Dear Mr. Vice President: I suppose I should begin this with "Dear Mr. President- Elect", as one main purpose of this letter is to add my voice, and Ellie's, to the millions who have communicated, in one way or another, their congratulations to you and Barbara on the great victory of last week. Your campaign was superbly structured and your strategy clearly that of a winner, and we are all the better off as a result. Another principal purpose is to ask you to put Thursday, March 23rd, on your calendar for a speech to NAM's annual gathering "The Congress of American Industry". We plan to emphasize "The New Leadership Summit" as our theme, bringing in your top people along with Congressional and business leaders for a 1½ day review of the priority issues in 1989. Dick Heckert, our NAM Board Chairman as well as DuPont's, would introduce you at a time which best fits your schedule between 12 and 2:00 p.m. at the Mayflower Hotel here in Washington. You were great to address our meetings in the past, and we certainly hope to be honored by your participation next March 23rd. I realize it is early to begin planning your 1989 calendar, but we hope the date is clear and that you can give us an indication as soon as possible. With repeated best wishes and congratulations. Sincerely, Sandy 1331 Pennsylvania Ave. NW Suite 1500 North Lobby Washington, D.C. 20004-1703 (202)637-3012 NAM - WHO &WHAT possible: NICK BRADY 6-700 people Russell TRANE Bill? Avekleshoune Eliz Hole? Barbara mikulshi Wostacher Rich Hecheat pres ding lunder our CEO, Auport Susancilaba Scheduling-- tole. spoke (in fort) Jacqueline Sutherland Quafe spake the for writer parabl, CC, min. wage Dole Mikulski to Speaking serfrom before lunch. I Morbacher THEME: "New workers, New demands: The Benefits Boom" [70% small manufacturers] L 500 SEOCIATION INDEX NAT'L ASS'N OF MARINE PRODUCTS AND SERVICES Ass'n of Juvenile Correctional Agencies Publication: Nat'l Ass'n of Litho Clubs (1946) The Legal Investigator. q. adv. Box 1258, Clifton NJ 07012 NH 03301-2005 Sheridan Annual Meetings: June-July Exec. V. President: Philip W. Battaglia, CAE J. 1989-Philadelphia, PA/July Members: 4,000 Staff: 3 1990-Jackson Hole, WY/June Annual Budget: $100-250,000 Tel: (201) 777-6727 Tel: (603) 224-9749 Hist. Note: Members are supervisory personnel in lithographic Budget: affiliate of the American Correctional Ass'n. plants. An the National Ass'n of Training Schools and Nat'l Ass'n of Legal Secretaries (Int'l) (1929) Publication: 1 11 a - present name in 1981. 2250 East 73rd. Suite 550, Tulsa OK 74136 - Litho Tips. q. adv. Justice Administrators Exec. Director: Judi A. Kruse Annual Meetings: June Members are and staff members of Members: 17,000 Staff: 6-10 1988-Minnesota(Breezy Point Resort)/June 22-26/400 1984. centers and agencies for the care and treatment of Annual Budget: $500-1,000,000 Tel: (918) 493-3540 1989-Baltimore. MD/June 21-25/425 deliquent youth. Membership: $15/yr. (individual): Hist. Note: Has certification program leading to designation as a 1 USA (organization). 1 Professional Legal Secretary (PLS). Established as the California Association of Legal Secretaries, it became Legal Nat'l Ass'n of Lithographic Plate Manufacturers I Secretaries, Inc. in 1940 and assumed its present name in 1950. (1966) Meetings: August, with the American Correctional Publication: 1730 N. Lynn St., Arlington VA 22209 I The NALS Docket. bi-m. adv. Exec. V. President: William Teare Ass's - SP90-Seattle, WA MD Annual Meetings: Summer 1,000 Members: 16-20 companies Staff: 2-5 1989-Birmingham, AL(Wynfrey Hotel)/July 15-20 Annual Budget: under $10,000 Tel: (703) 841-8100 1990-Philadelphia, PA(Adam's Mark Hotel)/July 21-26 Hist. Note: Formerly (1975) the Nat'l Ass'n of Grained Plate 1991-Chicago, IL(Marriott Downtown)/July 27- Aug. 1 Manufacturers. A special industry group of Printing Industries Ass'n Inactive of Laboratory in 1987. Suppliers (1977) of America. Note: Nat'l Ass'n of Letter Carriers of the United Intention: NALS News. q. adv. States of America (1889) Nat'l Ass'n of Mail Service Pharmacies (1975) 2300 Ninth St. South, Suite 210, Arlington VA 22204 100 Indiana Ave., N. W., Washington DC 20001 Exec. V. President: Delbert D. Konnor President: Vincent R. Sombrotto Ass'n of Latino Elected and Appointed Members: 9 companies Staff: 2 Members: 300,000 Staff: 160 Annual Budget: $10-25,000 Tel: (703) 920-8480 licials (1975) Annual Budget: over $5,000,000 Tel: (202) 393-4695 Hist. Note: NAMSP represents mail service pharmacy St., S.E., Washington DC 20003 Hist. Note: Organized in Milwaukee, Wisconsin August 30, companies. Informs the public about obtaining maximum health Director: Dr. Harry Pachon 1889 and chartered by the American Federation of Labor in benefits and prescription services through mail and delivery leaders: 3,360 Staff: 16 1917. Has a budget of about $12 million. Sponsors and services. Advocates the interests of mail service pharmacies Budget: $500-1,000,000 Tel: (202) 546-2536 supports the Committee on Letter Carriers Political Education. 1 Note: NALEO is a non-partisan civic affairs research with respect to legislation and adminstrative regulation. Membership: $72/yr. Annual Meetings: Late fall organization which work to initiate public policies responsive Publications: the Hispanic community and to inform that community of NALC Bulletin. W. affecting them. While membership includes state The Postal Record. m. Nat'l Ass'n of Management and Technical representatives, mayors, and members of Congress, it is open The Activist. q. all who support its objectives. Membership: $25/yr. Assistance Centers (1976) Postmark Washington. q. (individual), $1,500/yr. (organization/company). 733 15th St., N.W. Suite 917, Washington DC 20005 The Retiree. q. Executive Secretary: Harold Williams discations: Citizenship Newsletter. q. Biennial Meetings: Even years Members: 110 centers Staff: 1 1988-Portland, OR Annual Budget: $50-100,000 Tel: (202) 347-6740 NALEO National Report. q. 1990-New Orleans, LA National Directory of Citizenship Services. bi-a. Hist. Note: NAMTAC is an association of leading universities National Roster of Hispanic Elected Officials. a. across the country that share a mutual objective of economic Audit of Federal Contracting with Hispanic Firms. a. growth through university- related assistance. This broad NALEO Green Sheet. bi-m. Nat'l Ass'n of Life Companies (1955) definition ranges from high technology transfer programs to musi Meetings: Spring 1455 Pennsylvania Ave., N.W., Suite 1250, Washington DC small business assistance centers and enteprenurial institutes. 20004 The primary goal of NAMTAC is to strengthen these 1989-Albuquerque, NM/June President: S. Roy Woodall, Jr. initiatives through organized mutual support. Membership: Members: 600 companies Staff: 5 $250/yr. 1 Ass'n of Law Firm Marketing Annual Budget: $250-500,000 Tel: (202) 783-6252 Publication: NAMTAC Newsletter. m. ministrators (1985) Hist. Note: Small life and health insurance companies. Formerly Nat'l Institute of Life Insurers. Sponsors and supports the Annual Meetings: Usually in Washington, DC/October Revere Drive, Suite 500, Northbrook IL 60062 doministrative Manager: Laura Boyd Lapp National Association of Life Companies Political Action Committee. embers: 350 individuals Staff: 2 Publication: Nat'l Ass'n of Management/Marketing Educators anual Budget: $100-250,000 Tel: (312) 480-9641 Newsletter. m. (1968) st. Note: NALFMA is a professional organization devoted to Semi-annual Meetings: Summer and Fall/250-300 Hist. Note: Organization disbanded in 1988. serving the needs of those actively engaged in developing and implementing marketing programs for law firms. Presidential term begins in April. Nat'l Ass'n of Life Underwriters (1890) Nat'l Ass'n of Manufacturers (1895) blication: The Law Marketing Exchange. m. 1922 F St., N.W., Washington DC 20006 1331 Pennsylvania Ave., N.W., Suite 1500 North, Washington DC 20004 mi-annual Meetings: Annual National Conference & Business Exec. V. President: Jack E. Bobo President: Alexander B. Trowbridge Meeting and Annual Educational Conference Members: 130-135.000 Staff: 80-100 Members: 13,500 Staff: 180 1989-Philadelphia, PA(Sheraton Society Hill)/April 12-15 Annual Budget: over $5,000,000 Tel: (202) 331-6000 Annual Budget: over $5,000,000 Tel: (202) 637-3000 Hist. Note: A federation of 950-1,000 state and local ass'ns of Hist. Note: Established in Cincinnati in 1895 to promote career life insurance underwriters, NALU is a professional America's economic growth and productivity, particularly in 1 Ass'n of Lawn and Garden Manufacturers organization of life insurance agents, general agents and the manufacturing sector. Headquartered in Washington, DC at. Note: Ceased operations in 1985. managers. Has an annual budget of $10 million. Supports the with four field divisions, NAM's member companies produce Life Underwriters Political Action Committee (LUPAC). more than 80% of the nation's manufactured goods. NAM is Membership: $40/per capita. affiliated with 130 state and local business associations through 1 Ass'n of Leagues, Umpires and Scorers Publications: its National Industrial Council, and with 131 manufacturing 1) Life Association News. m. adv. trade associations through its Association Council. NAM also & 1420, Wichita KS 67201 Wheelhorse Newsletter. m. supports CUE, an organization for positive employee relations. neral Manager: Steve Shaad Annual Meetings: September/3-4000 Has an annual budget of $13,000,000. embers: 9,000-10,000 Staff: 1 1988-Dallas, TX(Anatole)/Sept. 25-29 Publications: nual Budget: under $10,000 Tel: (316) 267-7333 1989-Boston, MA/Sept. 17-21 PAC Manager. m. st. Note: Affiliated with Nat'l Baseball Congress. 1990-Nashville, TN/Sept. 9-13 Briefing. W. blication: Issue Briefs. irreg. Official Playing And Scoring Rules For Baseball. a. Congressional Directory. a. nual Meetings: Wichita, KS/August Nat'l Ass'n of Lighting Representatives (1980) Annual Meetings: P.O. Box 214, Sea Girt NJ 08750 1989-Washington, DC(Mayflower)/ March 22-23 Exec. Director: Paul E. Saunders 1 Ass'n of Learning Lab Directors (1965) Members: 600 Staff: 2 KL Note: Became the Internat'l Ass'n for Learning Annual Budget: $25-50,000 Tel: (201) 528-8118 Nat'l Ass'n of Manufacturing Opticians (1975) Laboratories in 1982. Hist. Note: Individuals who sell residential lighting fixtures and P.O. Box 866428, Plano TX 75086-6428 accessories, and their manufacturers and/or importers. Exec. V. President: William J. Flannery, III Publications: Members: 35 companies Staff: 2 Lantern. m. Annual Budget: $50-100,000 Tel: 1 Ass'n of Legal Assistants (1975) (214) 484-8128 NALR Profile Directory. a. Hist. Note: Membership is comprised of individuals and " South Main St., Suite 300, Tulsa OK 74119 Semi-annual Meetings: Home Lighting Show in March and businesses engaged in the manufacture and production of ec. Director: Marge Dover Lighting Fair in July prescription eyewear or related opthalmic goods and services; embers: 2,500 Staff: 2-5 nual Budget: $250-500,000 Tel: (918) 587-6828 1989-Atlantic City, NJ/March and Dallas, TX/July members must possess the ability to "full service" fabricate eyewear. 12. Note: Members are professional legal assistants. Awards Semi-annual Meetings: Winter and Summer the Certified Legal Assistant (CLA) designation. blication: Nat'l Ass'n of Limited Edition Dealers (1975) Facts and Findings. bi.-m. 26 S. La Grange Road, La Grange IL 60525 Nat'l Ass'n of Margarine Manufacturers (1920) nual Meetings: July Exec. Director: Ray Kiefer 1989-Honolulu, HI(Hawaiian Regent)/June 1101 15th St., N.W., Suite 202, Washington DC 20005 Members: 275 companies Staff: 1 Exec. Director: Charles Ehrhart Annual Budget: $100-250,000 Tel: (312) 482-3650 Members: 15-20 companies Staff: 2-5 Hist. Note: Members are dealers, vendors, and publishers Tel: (202) 785-3232 1 Ass'n of Legal Investigators (1967) involved with collectibles and gifts. Membership: $100/yr. Annual Meetings: March outh 29th St., Belleville IL 62223 Publications: ALI Comptroller: Anthony M. Golec Bulletin. q. embers: 500 Newsletter. m. Nat'l Ass'n of Marine Products and Services nual Budget: $50-100,000 Tel: (618) 235-2830 Journal. semi-a. (1972) IL Note: NALI conducts a certification program for the legal Annual Meetings: July 401 North Michigan Ave., Chicago IL 60611 nvestigator profession. Membership: $80/yr. 1988-South Bend, IN President: Jeff W. Napier 225 The information in this directory is available in Mailing List form. See back insert. Briefing MAM Volume XIV A Weekly Summary National Association Number 4 of Legislative and of Manufacturers February 27, 1989 Regulatory Developments Washington, D.C. NAM Congress of American Industry To Feature President George Bush NAM is proud to announce Chrysler Corporation Chair- that President George Bush man Lee A. lacocca and a will address the 93rd Con- host of other leaders from gress of American Industry the administration, Con- on Thursday, March 23. The gress and the private sector. association's "New Leader- The Congress of American ship Summit" will also Industry will be held March feature presentations by 22-23 at the Mayflower Hotel Vice President Dan Quayle, in Washington, D.C. Register Today! Call Betty Williams at (202) 637-3022 Corporations Face Billions of Dollars health costs can deviate radically from projections as the In Retiree Health Care Liabilities use of benefits fluctuates and new technologies and treatments are introduced. U.S. corporations face a cumulative total of $400 billion FASB began work on the proposal nearly a decade ago or more in unfunded retiree health care liabilities, and kept the business community abreast of its plans in according to the federal government. Accounting for general terms by releasing discussion drafts. The board these liabilities could have a devastating impact on the will accept comments through 8/14/89 and will conduct earnings statements of many companies. These concerns hearings in New York and Washington in October and were amplified 2/14. when the Financial Accounting November. NAM is examining the proposal and will Standards Board (FASB) issued a long-awaited proposal submit comments later this year. that would require companies to record unfunded retiree The FASB proposal is likely to focus increased con- health benefit obligations as liabilities on corporate gressional and press attention on legislative proposals balance sheets. The proposal is slated to take effect in dealing with the funding of retiree medical benefits. Rep. 1992. Rod Chandler (R-WA-8) intends to offer legislation Since retiree health benefits are not currently tax- designed to provide employers with tax incentives to pre- deductible, most employers do not prefund in anticipa- fund retiree health insurance. Rep. Richard Schulze (R- tion of these liabilities. They instead account for the PA-5) is expected to offer an alternative proposal on the benefits on a pay-as-you-go (cash) basis. The FASB pro- issue in the coming weeks. posal would require firms to account for future retiree NAM recognizes the responsibility that employers health liabilities in their financial statements. share-with Social Security and personal savings-in pro- Retiree medical expenses constitute a growing burden viding workers with adequate retirement security. The for employers, both because of health care inflation and association encourages the adoption of legislation that demographic factors. An A. Foster Higgins & Co. study of 1,600 employers covering 10.5 million workers showed health care costs rose 18.6 percent last year, over three Inside times the rate of inflation. In terms of demographics, studies show that the current three-to-one ratio of 2 Foreign Investment Bill Headed for House Floor workers to retirees at the average U.S. company will drop to two-to-one by the year 2000. Planning for retiree 2 NAM Testifies on Global Climate Change health expenses is further plagued by unpredictability. 3 RICO Reform Legislation Introduced Whereas pension benefits can be defined in advance, 4 Waste Minimization Success Stories 2 would facilitate prefunding of retiree health benefits on a tax-favored basis, including tax-deductible employer contri- NAM Welcomes butions and the voluntary use of surplus pension assets. New Commerce Secretary NAM-Opposed Foreign Investment Bill Headed for House Floor Floor action is possible as early as this week on NAM- opposed foreign investment disclosure bill H.R. 5, despite Photo: Bruce Reedy the fact the measure has not been reviewed by a House committee. House Speaker Jim Wright (D-TX-12) planned to dis- charge H.R. 5-sponsored by Rep. John Bryant (D-TX- 5)-from the House Energy and Commerce Committee and bring the bill to the floor for a vote last week. The speaker postponed the vote until at least this week in the face of strong opposition from the business community, the Bush administration and members of both parties. NAM and four other business groups 2/14 sent a letter Secretary Mosbacher (left) talks with Control to House members arguing that H.R. 5 remains contro- Data Corporation Chairman, CEO and Presi- versial and deserves the benefit of proper committee dent Robert M. Price, and Senior Vice Presi- dent for Government Affairs Lois D. Rice. review. "In bypassing the committee process, substan- tive input from industry is essentially precluded," the letter noted. Commerce Secretary Robert Mosbacher was welcomed to The business groups' letter called H.R. 5's provision Washington 2/16 by representatives of some 100 NAM member that would allow broad public access to foreign inves- companies. The new cabinet member expressed his interest in tors' financial data "counterproductive." "Companies developing a strong working relationship with the business cooperate with the U.S. government because they believe community and reiterated President Bush's commitment to the the government will protect the confidentiality of their nation's industrial competitiveness. He also called on the manu- proprietary information," the letter cautioned. "The dis- facturing community to support the president's budget proposal. closure provision is discriminatory and could block con- Secretary Mosbacher is one of several cabinet members who structive investments and joint ventures between the will address the NAM Congress of American Industry, March U.S. and foreign-owned enterprises." 22-23. In an impressive show of unity, Treasury Secretary Nicholas Brady and six other cabinet officers sent a letter 2/16 to the House strongly opposing H.R. 5. The measure "constitutes a sharp change in U.S. policy from NAM strongly opposes H.R. 5 and attempts to expedite one of open investment to one of discrimination," the floor action on the bill. Member companies should letter argued, and at the very least should be considered immediately contact their representatives and urge them to through the normal committee channels. All seven vote against the measure should it reach the floor. cabinet members said they would recommend a veto should H.R. 5 reach the president's desk. NAM Embraces Global Climate Change House Ways and Means Subcommittee on Trade Research Bill Chairman Sam Gibbons (D-FL-7) wrote a strongly worded letter to Speaker Wright protesting premature NAM favors "an integrated mechanism for research on floor action on H.R. 5. Gibbons noted that the new the science and possible impact of global climate administration had not been provided an opportunity to change," Thomas G. Lambrix, director of government address the issue and develop alternative relations for Phillips Petroleum, told the Senate recommendations. Commerce, Science and Transportation Committee on behalf of NAM on 2/22. Lambrix's testimony addressed legislation-S. 169, the National Global Change Research Act-sponsored by NAM Briefing (USPS 432-110) is published weekly during ses- Commerce Committee Chairman Ernest Hollings (D-SC). sions of Congress by the National Association of Manufacturers, 1331 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW. Suite 1500-North Lobby, The bill seeks to further coordinate existing federal Washington, DC 20004-1703. Subscriptions: $50 included in global climate change research programs. NAM membership; nonmembers $200 a year. Lambrix discussed three "central elements" to NAM's Chairman of the Board: Richard E. Heckert position on global climate change: President: Alexander B. Trowbridge Non-natural global climate change is a potentially Editor: Douglas R. Kurkul serious issue that NAM is taking seriously. Lambrix Assistant Editors: John Cohen, Laura Pettey pledged that manufacturers will continue to work Postmasters: Send address changes to Briefing, National toward a better understanding of global climate change, Association of Manufacturers, 1331 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW, and will actively participate in the international debate Suite 1500-North Lobby, Washington, DC 20004-1703. Second class postage paid at Washington, DC, and at additional mailing about its causes, effects and possible solutions. offices. Good science must be the foundation for policy actions. "Achieving international consensus on what we 3 know and don't know about enhanced global climate change is essential," Lambrix stressed. NAM supports aggressive research to better define the problem, prove or disprove theories, and analyze the impact of proposed response strategies. Global cooperation is crucial. "Unilateral actions by LOL LOBBYING the U.S., no matter how well intentioned, will not be suf- ficient and could be harmful to achieving solutions," CONGRESTORY MADE Lambrix cautioned. "We must be concerned with shocks to our domestic and global economies." EASY Lambrix warned against a "crisis management approach" to global climate change. Our policy should be to preserve the maximum degree of flexibility, he said. Contains: "What we do domestically should compliment the efforts of the international community." Address and phone number of every senator, representative, An expanded and coordinated domestic research delegate and governor. agenda, such as outlined in S. 169, could serve as the Address and phone number of every cabinet department, major basis from which to proceed in the future, Lambrix said. executive office and independent agency. However, he explained, industry cannot be expected to Complete roster of all standing committees-including party make significant long-term commitments based on cur- ratios and seniority rankings. rent incomplete and conflicting data. "We cannot afford House and Senate leadership information, and more. to place the competitiveness of our manufacturing sector in jeopardy based on any speculative theory." ORDER YOUR COPY TODAY! "Any solutions to this global issue should be global in 1-10 copies: $4.00 11-25 copies: $3.50 26 or more copies: $3.25 nature," Lambrix concluded. Therefore, he advised, uni- (District of Columbia residents add 6% sales tax; California residents lateral actions would likely be insufficient and damaging add 6.5% sales tax.) to U.S. competitiveness. Lawmakers should only focus on multilateral solutions and a careful study (Includes postage and handling.) of the cost and environmental impact of all proposed ORDERS UNDER $20 MUST BE PRE-PAID response strategies. Please send me copies of the NAM 101st Congress Directory. RICO Reform Bills Introduced Purchase Order # in House and Senate Name With a groundswell of bipartisan support from the busi- Title ness and labor communities, comprehensive proposals to Organization reform federal racketeering law were introduced in both the House and Senate 2/22. Sens. Dennis DeConcini Address (D-AZ) and Orrin Hatch (R-UT) introduced S. 438, and Reps. Rick Boucher (D-VA-9) and George Gekas (R-PA-17) City/State Zip introduced H.R. 1046, legislation to revamp the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act Clip this ad and send (with purchase order, or make check payable to National Association of Manufacturers, as required) to: (RICO). The 1970 RICO statute was enacted to stem organized NAM Publications Coordinator 1331 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW crime infiltration into legitimate businesses. The statute Suite 1500 - North Lobby includes a civil provision allowing individuals and local, Washington, D.C. 20004-1703 state and federal governments that have been harmed by racketeering activity to sue companies and collect triple- MAIL ORDERS ONLY! damage awards. In recent years, the RICO civil statute has been abused by private plaintiffs who attach RICO claims to a broad range of ordinary business suits. An governments, plaintiffs injured because of insider-trading American Bar Association report indicated that only 9 violations and consumers who were victims of fraud. percent of the 260 federal civil RICO trial court decisions An NAM-led coalition of business and labor groups reported from 1980 to 1984 involved allegations of crimi- worked on behalf of a RICO reform bill in the last nal activity normally associated with racketeering. Congress. The measure would have allowed plaintiffs to The new RICO reform proposals would effectively collect triple damages only when a defendant had been limit the ability of individuals or competing firms to convicted of a criminal racketeering offense. While a extort expensive triple damage awards from ordinary compromise proposal emerged from the Senate Judiciary business disputes. Plaintiffs could continue to sue for Committee, it failed to reach the Senate floor for a final triple damages if the defendant had been previously con- vote. victed of a RICO offense. Certain government officials With the consensus for RICO reform clearly established, also still could sue for triple damages. Additionally, the NAM is again leading a coalition pushing for reform legislation would allow actual damages, court costs and legislation in the 101st Congress. NAM is urging attorney fees to be awarded to specialized units of local association members to strongly back S. 438 and H.R. 1046. 4 NAM Members Share Waste Minimization trum of groups, including environmentalists, to establish Success Stories the most effective waste management strategies possible. EPA's Gerry Kotas applauded industry's voluntary With Congress likely to consider a variety of potentially waste minimization initiatives. He said one of the costly hazardous waste management proposals in the agency's goals is "to integrate a pollution prevention coming months, NAM is promoting the voluntary reduc- approach into regulation." Kotas called for a "public and tion of hazardous waste generation as the optimal private sector shift in emphasis" in waste management control strategy. A panel of public and private sector strategies toward waste minimization. waste management experts shared waste minimization NAM, in conjunction with ENSR, has published a success stories with reporters 2/16 at an NAM press "how-to" guidebook examining proven strategies for breakfast. minimizing the generation of hazardous waste at the The session featured representatives from two NAM- plant level. Entitled "Waste Minimization: Manufactur- member companies that are leading the way in waste ers' Strategies for Success," the publication is designed minimization breakthroughs: Robert P. Bringer, staff for small to medium size companies interested in estab- vice president, 3M Environmental Engineering and lishing voluntary waste minimization programs. Pollution Control; and Harry Fatkin, Polaroid director of To order, send $19.95 ($29.95 for nonmembers) to health, safety and environmental affairs. Also joining the NAM Publications Coordinator, 1331 Pennsylvania Ave. discussion were Gerry Kotas of the Environmental Pro- NW, Suite 1500-North Lobby, Washington, D.C. 20004. tection Agency (EPA), and Dr. Richard Siegel and Robert Quantity discounts are also available. Rittmeyer of ENSR Consulting and Engineering (for: mally ERT). Senate To Consider Further Robert Bringer said 3M's Pollution Prevention Pays (3P) program is now in its 14th year. "We're seeking out Restrictions On Pension Asset Reversions projects that not only prevent pollution and help the environment, but also that have a payback," Bringer Legislation ostensibly designed to ensure that employees explained. He said 3P programs have provided a cumula- and retirees receive a "fair share" of excess pension plan tive total of $420 million in first-year savings alone. Cur- assets will be introduced next month, Sen. Howard rently, 3M has some 2,000 waste reduction projects under Metzenbaum (D-OH) told the Senate Subcommittee on way in the U.S. and overseas. Labor at a 2/9 hearing on the treatment of surplus pen- Polaroid's program strives to reduce the quantity sion funds. Organized labor, senior citizen activist generated of all types of waste-both hazardous and non- groups and some members of Congress claim that hazardous-Harry Fatkin explained. The program, defined benefit pension plan assets represent "deferred designed to be implemented over the next five to 10 wages" and therefore should belong to workers and retirees. Often, what is not clarified in this debate is the years, is a long-term approach to voluntary waste min- imization. Polaroid has sought input from a broad spec- fact that employers have promised employees a specific benefit and have assumed all of the investment risks when funding that benefit. Accordingly, current law PRODUCT LIABILITY REFORM rightfully holds that once benefit obligations are satis- fied, the employer can recoup any excess. "FLY-IN" In an attempt to discourage pension reversions and raise revenue, the 1988 tax technical corrections law March 21-22, 1989 permanently increased the excise tax on pension asset Mayflower Hotel, Washington, D.C. reversions from 10 to 15 percent, in lieu of a Metzenbaum proposal for a temporary 60 percent increase. At the Be part of the manufacturers' march on Capitol Hill as we catapult same time, the Treasury Department agreed to withhold the issue of product liability reform to the top of the congressional final determinations on pension plan reversions and agenda! Join manufacturers nationwide as they converge on Con- terminations through 5/1/89. At the hearing, Metzen- baum, chairman of the Senate Labor Subcommittee, said gress to DEMAND a fair national product liability reform bill -NOW! he intends to have his reversion legislation passed by the 5/1 deadline. Hear from the experts on the prospects and politics behind this NAM plans to submit a statement to the panel year's reform efforts. Join us for a Tuesday evening congressional strongly opposing any limits on employer access to sur- reception and a Wednesday morning breakfast with the con- plus pension funds. The association will emphasize that gressional sponsors of this year's reform effort. limiting employer access to surplus assets would jeop- ardize worker retirement security by encouraging FLY-IN COME TO WASHINGTON employers to fund plans at the minimum allowable levels ON MARCH 21-22 or discourage them from offering plans at all. If excess FIGHT FOR PRODUCT assets are deemed to belong to someone other than the LIABILITY REFORM - NOW! employer-sponsor, it would amount to the government 1234084 March mandating higher pension benefits than originally prom- Washington. D.C. To register, call Karen Ehler at ised to employees. LIABILITY (202) 637-3136. The number of pension reversions has decreased significantly during the past three years, due in part to *This event precedes NAM's Congress of American Industry by one day. the 10 percent excise tax enacted in the Tax Reform Act of 1986. According to the Pension Benefit Guarantv 5 Corporation, the number of reversions dropped from 581 in 1985 to 166 in 1988. Given this trend, there is no Safety Recording overwhelming need to further restrict reversions. SAFESystem Enters the Standardized Accident Frequency New Process Patent Provisions Take Effect and Evaluation System Computer Age Title IX of last year's omnibus trade act took effect last week. The law includes a sweeping process patents title, NAM is now making available P.C. diskettes that which now makes it an act of infringement to import allow companies to track and analyze internal data into this country-or to use or sell in the U.S.-a pro- on accidents and illnesses in the workplace. The duct made through the unauthorized use of a U.S. pat- diskettes, designed to conform to NAM's SAFE ented process. (Standardized Accident Frequency and Evaluation) The law provides existing patent holders with new System, produce a full set of standard and unlim- rights to exclude others from using, selling or importing ited ad hoc reports that can be used to analyze into the U.S. products made with the patented process. safety at your plant or company. Join companies Many NAM members will also incur new responsibili- like B.F. Goodrich and Pennwalt Corporation. Buy ties. If a material or its precursor is made by a patented a set today, and plan to participate in the SAFE- process, the importation, use or sale of that material can expose a firm to costly litigation. Infringers can now be System by submitting your data to NAM for com- held liable for damages in U.S. District Court, a pre- parison with others in your industry. viously unavailable remedy. The provisions are governed The diskettes and instruction manual cost $995, by complex disclosure and response procedures, marking plus $50 for each additional order. requirements and specific exceptions. For details, call Jeffrey Colburn at (301) 937- NAM urges its members to familiarize themselves with 1238, or write NAM SAFESystem, 1331 Pennsyl- their new rights and responsibilities. The association has vania Ave. NW, Suite 1500-North Lobby, Washing- produced a publication, HOW: Working with the New ton, D.C. 20004. Process Patent Law, which can be purchased for $19.95 per copy ($29.95 each for nonmembers). Orders can be mailed to Publications Coordinator, NAM, 1331 Pennsyl- vania Ave. NW, Suite 1500-N, Washington, D.C. 20004- would do everything possible to deliver a draft clean air 1703. For information on quantity discounts, call (202) package to Congress "ahead of everything else." 637-3158. EPA is reportedly in the process of drafting acid rain proposals that would combine mandated scrubbers at Stage Still Being Set For Clean Air Debate some coal-fired power plants, subsidies for scrubbers and clean coal technologies, and flexibility to choose the Though President Bush has emphasized the need to take method of compliance. An EPA proposal is not expected action on clean air, his administration is still drafting a to reach lawmakers until the spring. proposal spelling out his positions on specific issues. The The Senate's leading advocate for a clean air law president's clean air blueprint-once it is delivered to rewrite-Majority Leader George Mitchell (D-ME)-is Capitol Hill-will likely trigger this year's debate. now in a position to guarantee a floor date for a clean air In his first appearance before a joint session of Con- bill. Former Majority Leader Robert Byrd (D-WV) helped gress 2/9, the president said he would soon submit an block floor consideration of a Mitchell clean air bill-S. acid rain proposal with "time certain" reductions in sul- 1894-in the 100th Congress. fur dioxide (S0₂) emissions. President Bush's pick for Sen. Max Baucus (D-MT)-who has replaced Mitchell Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) administrator, as chairman of the Environment Committee's subpanel William Reilly, said during Senate confirmation hearings with jurisdiction over clean air legislation-is reportedly that clean air legislation was a top priority and that he considering whether or not to use S. 1894 as a starting point for this year's debate. The Mitchell bill contains provisions regulating acid rain, ozone and air toxics. The House clean air debate is likely to focus on areas NAM Conference to that are not in compliance with the federal ozone Recognize American Ingenuity standard established by the Clean Air Act. A mora- torium on EPA sanctions against these nonattainment NAM's Congress of American Industry-March 22-23 in areas expired 8/31/88 and was not renewed by the 100th Washington, D.C.-will include the presentation of the Congress. The House Energy and Commerce Committee Coors American Ingenuity Award. Adolph Coors Com- will likely consider legislative solutions to the non- pany, an NAM member, created the award in 1986 to honor individuals who have forever changed the way business is attainment problem in lieu of EPA sanctions. A group of done in the U.S. This annual award recognizes individuals nine Democrats has reintroduced a moderate non- whose accomplishments are due largely to innovation and attainment proposal, H.R. 99, but the measure has been perseverance. As a company which recognizes the impor- assailed by environmentalists as too lenient. tance of ingenuity for the future of this country, Adolph NAM believes the existing Clean Air Act is working, and Coors Company seeks nominees who have had the courage supports the development of clean coal technologies and a to bring forth new ideas, but may have done SO without reasonable nonattainment solution. However, the associa- widespread recognition, for possible future selection. tion opposes stringent acid rain controls and arbitrary non- attainment sanctions legislation. 6 Pending Issues Alaska Energy: Senate Energy and Natural Resources Com- 3/8 to allow time for administration to address issue. Bill mittee Chairman Johnston (D-LA) 2/9 introduced legislation- would raise wage to $4.65 per hour in three stages by 1/1/92. S. 406-to open Alaska's Artic National Wildlife Refuge No action yet on H.R. 2 (Hawkins-D-CA-29). NAM opposes. (ANWR) to competitive oil and gas leasing. Cosponsored by Ranking Republican Sen. McClure (R-ID), is similar to measure Product Liability: Legislation yet to be introduced, but pro- cleared by Energy panel last year on 11-8 vote. Stage set for ponents working to garner support. NAM sponsoring Product ANWR debate in House Interior Committee. Both sides have Liability Fly-in on 3/21-22 in conjunction with Congress of staked out legislative positions: Committee Chairman Udall's American Industry. Program will bring participants up to date (D-AZ-2) bill-H.R. 39-would block all development; Rep. on the product liability reform drive and emphasize to law- Young's (R-AK-AL) measure calls for limited leasing. NAM makers the critical need to pass federal reform legislation this supports environmentally safe ANWR development. year. For details, call (202) 637-3136. Comparable Worth: No action yet on H.R. 41 (Oaker-D-OH- R&D Allocation: Tax technical corrections law enacted 20), bill to require comparable worth study of federal labor force. Referred jointly to Education and Labor Committee and 11/10/88 increases Section 861 allocation from 50 to 64 percent. Post Office and Civil Service Committee. NAM opposes. Measure is only effective for first four months of taxpayer's first taxable year beginning after 8/1/87. Section 861 regulates Deficit Commission: National Economic Commission (NEC) allocation of R&D expenses to foreign and domestic-source income. NAM supports enactment of permanent solution to scheduled to issue final budget-cutting recommendations to Congress and the president by 3/1/89 deadline. NAM strongly current regulatory inequities. supports commission's goals. R&D Tax Credit: R&D tax credit extended at 20 percent Family and Medical Leave: House Education and Labor level through 1989 in tax technical corrections law enacted Subcommittee on Labor-Management Relations to mark up H.R. 11/10/88. Bush FY 90 budget proposal includes permanent 770 (Clay-D-MO-1) on 2/28. Full committee markup 3/8. R&D tax credit. NAM strongly supports permanent enactment Would require employers to provide government-mandated as an effective way to promote a U.S. commitment to techno- leave benefits. NAM opposes. logical competitiveness. Hostile Takeovers/Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs): Four South Africa: Rep. Dellums (D-CA-8) reintroduced sweeping House committees and two Senate panels have held or sched- South Africa sanctions legislation-H.R. 21-that is very sim- uled hearings on LBO issue. NAM has formed Takeover/LBO ilar to bill passed by House last August. Bill-referred to same Task Force to help formulate proposals that slow takeover- seven committees that reviewed last year's measure-would related abuses without hampering free market forces or eco- block flow of virtually all trade and investment between the nomic growth. U.S. and South Africa. Senate measure not yet introduced as sanctions proponents prepare 101st Congress strategy. NAM Minimum Wage: Markup of S. 4 (Kennedy-D-MA) in opposes additional sanctions. Senate Labor and Human Resources Committee delayed until For more information about the issues covered in Briefing, contact the NAM Legislative Analysis Department, (202) 637-3187. Each week's Briefing is available prior to publication by 3:00 p.m. (ET) the previous Friday on NAMNET - NAM's public policy electronic network. MAM Second Class National Association NAM Congress of of Manufacturers American Industry 1331 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW Suite 1500 - North Lobby Newspaper Postage Paid March 22-23, 1989 Washington, DC 20004-1703 Washington, D.C. MAM Richard E. Heckert Richard E. Heckert, chairman of the National Association of Manufacturers; chairman and chief executive officer of the Du Pont Company; and chairman of the Board of Trustees of the Carnegie Institution of Washington, is widely recognized as a spokesman on education issues from the employer's perspective. As chairman of the National Academy of Sciences study on High Schools and the Changing Workplace, Heckert played a leading role in focusing the attention of business leaders on the issue of educational underperformance in the United States and in generating support for remedial action. He has testified on education frequently at Congressional hearings. Heckert is a member of the National Board for Professional Teaching Standards, the Joint Council on Economic Education, the Delaware Council on Economic Education, the National Action Council for Minorities in Engineering, and the Business Advisory Commission to the Education Commission of the States. He is a director of the University of Illinois Foundation; Dean's Associate of the Business Advisory Council of Miami University, Oxford, Ohio; a member of the Board of Visitors of Berry College; and a trustee of Tuskegee University. Heckert is also an internationally recognized spokesman on world trade and the competitive position of U.S. industry. A former member by Presidential appointment of the Advisory Committee for Trade Negotiations (1978-1987), he is a member of the Bretton Woods Committee and the Council on Competitive- ness. He has brought the perspective of scientist and patented inventor to speeches and papers on the related subjects of education and America's competitive position. A native of Oxford, Ohio, Heckert graduated from Miami University in Oxford in 1944, with a Bachelor of Arts degree. From 1944-'46 he served in the U.S. Army with a special engineer- ing detachment at the Oak Ridge, Tennessee, atomic energy facility. He received a Master of Arts degree and a Doctor of Philosophy in organic chemistry from the University of Illinois before joining Du Pont in 1949 as a research chemist. -NAM- 15 March 1989 Dear Ms. Martin: As I mentioned on the phone, a sound educational system is essential to NAM member companies if they are to have alert, inform- ed, proud and productive employees. Our efforts to encourage and support such systems are led by NAM Chairman Richard Heckert of Du Pont, whose own impressive credentials to do so are attached. Please note also two high- lighted sections from NAM stud- ies about "continuous learning" and the role of an educated and motivated workforce as a "compet- itive resource." Call me at 637-3089 if you have any DAVID B. BOWES questions. Vice President Communications Divid MAM Bowes