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Originally Processed With FOIA(s): FOIA Number: S S FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential Library Staff. Record Group/Collection: George H.W. Bush Presidential Records Collection/Office of Origin: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Speech File Backup Files Subseries: Chron File, 1989-1993 OA/ID Number: 13705 Folder ID Number: 13705-008 Folder Title: Industrial Education Magazine [Presidential By-Line] 2/15/90 [OA 6894] Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: G 26 19 6 4 Lange/Cawley February 12, 1990 [VOCED.DOC] PRESIDENTIAL BY-LINE: INDUSTRIAL EDUCATION MAGAZINE AS? If you're a reader of this magazine, you're already standing on the front line of America's fight for a competitive future. You provide the skills that make America strong. More than ever before, all of our industries -- whatever their combination of goods and services -- will rely on a skilled workforce to get the job done. And the people these businesses will need to keep America strong in the future, are relying on you for skills today. The long-awaited "Baby-bust" is already being felt in a number of key industries. In some regions, managers are already scrambling to keep enough talent on the line, behind the counter, and in the field. As we approach the new century, there is a serious possibility that the number of jobs created will outstrip the number of qualified people available to fill them. XXX// More than half of these new jobs will require a year or more study beyond high school. Our working men and women will need Workforce 2000 Booklet stronger job skills; stronger basic skills in reading, writing, and computing; and above all, the adaptability to be trained and retrained as technology advances and jobs change. 21vew workere 30 current Some estimate that more than 50 million people will need some kind of vocational training between now and the end of the century. That challenge -- America's competitive challenge -- rests squarely on the shoulders of those committed to excellence in vocational and technical education. Your work is building a better America. "Human capital "Article Business - Because of this administrations's conviction that education Week p.104 9/19/88 is so crucial, we've placed special emphasis on reform for the nation's schools. We are raising our standards -- and our expectations. Encouraging choice. Promoting flexibility. And improving the accountability of teachers for what they teach, students for what they learn, and institutions of all kinds, for the results they attain. Although the federal financial role in vocational education is relatively small, we think federal leadership can help point the way toward more effective programs. That's why we sent the Vocational Education Excellence Act of 1989 to the leaders in TomJohns Congress: to improve the Perkins Act, which sets the tone for DEP FEA. basic vocational education assistance to the states. Education ofc. 762-2237 Vocational Ed. Excellence Act of 1989 Section - by - Section Analysis (Dept of Ed. fax) The bill we offered would improve the Perkins Act in sevèral areas: To encourage accountability, we're encouraging states to set specific goals for students, in areas like basic skills and job- market success and we're calling for states to use those goals to determine which programs are measuring up. To allow for more flexibility, and to streamline and simplify wherever possible, we're emphasizing greater state and local control over how federal funds are spent. To ensure program improvement, beyond just maintaining ongoing programs, we're calling for action in three areas: curriculum development; acquisition of instructional equipment; and the professional development of teachers, counselors, and administrators. And finally, our bill includes new provisions to ensure that Perkins Act funds are closely tied to state and local economic development. We believe vocational training funds should only train students for jobs where openings are projected -- and that vocational education programs should be coordinated with each state's overall economic and job training strategy. But as much as we work to improve vocational education from the federal level, the real work will be done by educators like yourselves: the administrators and teachers of this nation's crucial technical and vocational programs. So I'd like to encourage you to think about ways to integrate vocational education with your school's traditional curriculum -- and seek out new partnerships with the private sector. Business leaders can keep you in touch with the needs of the marketplace, help you set goals, and provide expertise and role models for the students you teach. By working with the business community, you can ensure that your programs are producing the kinds of graduates America needs to succeed. The work you do has profound consequences for our economic future. But along with our productivity, competitiveness, and the rising standards of living Americans depend on and deserve, there is another reason to make sure our vocational and technical education is second to none. As labor markets get tighter -- and businesses turn to sources of talent once left untapped -- vocational education can bring a vast array of individuals into the mainstream of the American dream. That means new success stories for dropouts, who see no opportunities. For youth at risk, who don't see the connection between school and work. For the underskilled, who need training. For older and more experienced workers, who need new skills. For the disabled, who only need a chance to prove their abilities. For dual-career families, who need flexibility. And for dislocated workers, who need to be retrained as jobs change. It is crucial that vocational education enlist and develop the unlimited potential of these individuals. Their advancement gives us a two-fold advantage: in our competitive position in the marketplace -- and in our belief that a free society is based on opportunity. Every day, your work is providing opportunity for millions. In the coming years, it will be even more crucial for millions more. Working together, we can ensure that the skills you provide America's working men and women are nothing less than world class. get rid of "vocational" Runby : Beb Jones (6050 Asst See for Emp { Training 1989-279 Eligabeth Khachigian 02/15/90 13:49 732 3897 DEPT OF EDUC 002 VOCATIONAL EDUCATION EXCELLENCE ACT OF 1989 Section-by-Section Analysis Section 2. Section 2 of the bill would amend in its entirety the Carl D. Perkins Vocational Education Act (20 U.S.C. 2301 et seq.). The purpose of these amendments is to improve the operation of vocational education programs under current law by promoting accountability, increasing flexibility in the administration of these programs, reducing administrative burdens, fostering economic development, and improving vocational education personnel. Proposed amendments to the Perkins Act will be referred to in this document as "the proposed Act". These proposed amendments are as follows: Section 1 of the proposed Act would include the short title of the proposed Act and the table of contents. Section 2 of the proposed Act identifies the major purposes of the proposed Act. These purposes include assisting States to improve vocational education programs, with particular emphasis on serving special populations (described in section 201(b) of the proposed Act); strengthening the accountability of vocational education programs; improving the academic foundation of vocational education; and authorizing national programs to support research, demonstrations, information dissemination, and bilingual vocational training. Section 3 of the proposed Act would authorize appropriations through fiscal year 1994. This section would authorize specific amounts for fiscal year 1990 and such sums as may be necessary for fiscal years 1991 through 1994. Specific authorizations for fiscal year 1990 are: $48,000,000 for State administration of vocational education programs (as authorized in section 102(a) of the proposed Act); $8,000,000 for State councils (as authorized in section 112 of the proposed Act); $858,387,000 for basic State grant programs under title II of the proposed Act; and $35,000,000 for national programs under title III of the proposed Act. 02/15/90 13:49 732 3897 DEPT OF EDUC 003 Section 4 of the proposed Act defines terms used in the proposed Act. These definitions are very similar to those used in current law; however, for clarification, the term "disadvantaged individuals" would no longer include individuals with limited English proficiency, since these individuals comprise a special population for purposes of title II of the proposed Act. The section would also delete, as no longer necessary, definitions for "area vocational education school," "career guidance and counseling," "construction," "Council," "economically disadvantaged family or individual," "private vocational training institution," "school facilities, "State educational agency, and "vocational student organizations." TITLE I--VOCATIONAL EDUCATION ASSISTANCE TO THE STATES PART A--ALLOTMENT AND ALLOCATION Section 101 of the proposed Act would allot to various program authorities the sums appropriated under section 3 of the proposed Act. Section 101(a)(1) of the proposed Act would reserve for the Indian vocational education program (under section 103 of the proposed Act) 1.25 percent of the sums appropriated for the basic State grant program. This is the same percentage as Indian programs receive under current law. Funds would no longer be set aside for special programs for Hawaiian Natives. Services for Hawaiian Natives could be provided with funding from the basic State grant to Hawaii. Section 101(a)(2) of the proposed Act would allot to each State for each fiscal year the remainder of the sums appropriated for basic State grant programs. Fifty-seven percent of these sums would be allotted to each State based on the ratio that the number of persons aged 15 to 55 in poverty in the State bears to the total number of such individuals for all the States. The remaining 43 percent of the sums for the basic State grant program would be allotted to each State based on the ratio that the product of its population aged 15 to 55 and the State allotment ratio bears to the total of such product for all the States. This allotment formula would direct Federal funds to States in a manner that more accurately reflects the purposes for which the States will use these Federal funds. The age cohort proposed to be applied more accurately reflects the vocational education population that will receive services than do the cohorts and weights in current law. Section 101(a)(3) of the proposed Act would provide that for each fiscal year each State would receive at least 95 percent of the amount it received for the basic State grant program for the preceding fiscal year; if appropriations are insufficient to provide for this "hold harmless" provision, funding for each State would be ratably reduced. -2- 02/15/90 13:50 732 3897 DEPT OF EDUC 004 Section (b) of the proposed Act would authorize the Secretary to reallot funds not required by a State. Section 101(c) of the proposed Act would adjust the allotment ratio for each State on the basis of that State's per capita income. Funding would be allotted in inverse proportion to income, SO that the poorer States would receive a greater proportion of funds. This section would remove the moderating constraints on the allotment ratio formula in current law, so that, under the proposed Act, relatively more funds would be allotted to poorer States. Section 102(a) of the proposed Act would authorize the Secretary to make awards to each State for State administration in direct proportion to that State's allocation under the basic State grant. This is a departure from current law, which permits States to reserve up to seven percent of the basic State grant allocations for State administration. This change is proposed in order to sever the direct relationship between the appropriation for basic State grants and the amount available for a State's administrative activities. As in Chapter 1 of the Elementary and Secondary Education Act, funding for State administration would be determined annually through the appropriations process. There is no evidence that the cost of administrative activities varies directly with the amount of funds available to support programs and services. Funding for State administration would include the cost of carrying out activities of the "sex equity coordinator" established in current law. In a change from current law, funds provided under the proposed Act for State administration would not need to be matched. Section 102(b) of the proposed Act would require States, as under current law, to reserve 57 percent of their basic State grants to provide vocational education programs designed to meet the needs of a variety of special populations and 43 percent to improve or expand vocational education programs. Section 103 of the proposed Act would authorize the Secretary to make awards to eligible tribal organizations of Indian tribes to conduct vocational education programs. Activities authorized by this section would be conducted in accordance with the Indian Self-Determination Act and the Johnson-O'Malley Act. Section : 103 of the proposed Act would also provide that Indian vocational education programs under this section would be in addition to such other programs as are made available to eligible Indians under other provisions of the proposed Act. Provisions of current law requiring the Bureau of Indian Affairs to maintain expenditures for vocational education, to match the appropriation for the Perkins Act Indian program, and to develop a joint plan with the Department of Education would not be resuthorized. The proposed Act would also not -3- 02/15/90 13:51 732 3897 DEPT OF EDUC 005 reauthorize the requirement that the Department of Education transfer funds to the Bureau of Indian Affairs. These provisions are either unnecessary or an unwise restriction of administrative flexibility. In addition, the match requirement has been overridden annually by appropriations language. PART B--STATE ORGANIZATIONAL AND PLANNING RESPONSIBILITIES Section 111 of the proposed Act would set forth requirements of State administration under the proposed Act. Section 111(a) of the proposed Act would require, as in current law, that any State desiring to participate in vocational education programs under the proposed Act would be required, as in current law, to establish or designate a State board. The State board's responsibilities would include, for example, coordinating the development and implementation of the State plan, consulting with the State council for vocational education, and adopting procedures for coordination with the State job training coordinating council. These responsibilities could be delegated to other State agencies. Section 111(b) of the proposed Act would require that each participating State assign a person to work full-time to assist the State board in eliminating sex-role stereotyping from vocational education programs under the proposed Act. The responsibilities of this individual, essentially unchanged from current law, would include administering the vocational education programs for single parents, homemakers, and single pregnant women, as well as programs designed to eliminate sex bias; gathering, analyzing, and disseminating relevant data; reviewing programs for sex stereotyping or bias; providing technical assistance; and developing recommendations to the State board. Each State would be required, as in current law, to spend at least $60,000 annually to carry out the provisions of this proposed section. Section 111(c) of the proposed Act would require, as under current law, that the State board make available to private industry councils a list of all the programs assisted under the proposed Act. Section 111(d) of the proposed Act would authorize (rather than mandate, as in current law) the establishment of one or more technical committees to advise the State council and the State board on the development of model curricula to address the State's labor market needs. -4- 02/15/90 13:52 732 3897 DEPT OF EDUC 006 Section 111(e) of the proposed Act defines a State-imposed requirement under the proposed Act. No change has been made from current law. Section 112 of the proposed Act provides for the establishment of & State council to advise the State board and the Governor on the development and implementation of the State plan. Under provisions more flexible and less prescriptive than those in current law, membership on the council would be required to be broadly representative of those interested in vocational education including representatives of educational institutions and the private sector). Due consideration would continue to be given to appointing individuals serving on a private industry council. The proposed Act would add, to the already wide range of responsibilities the State councils may exercise under current law, the provision that the council may advise the State board on the performance standards it proposes to employ. Unlike current law, however, the Governor would be authorized to assign the functions and responsibilities of the State council to the State job training coordinating council, provided that the latter council has an adequate number of members knowledgeable about vocational education and that assistance available under the proposed Act is available to the State job training coordinating council only to carry out the functions authorized by the proposed Act. These changes are designed to promote the necessary close coordination between programs under the Job Training Partnership Act and vocational education programs. Section 113 of the proposed Act would set forth State plan requirements for any State desiring to participate in the vocational education programs under the proposed Act. Under section 113(a) of the proposed Act, State plans, which would span a two-year period, would have to be developed with the input of the State council and the public, although formal public hearings would no longer be required. In developing the State plan, the State would be required, for example, to assess current and projected needs for occupational skills within the State, the vocational education needs of the special populations described in section 201(b) of the proposed Act, the quality of vocational education, and the capacity of educational institutions to deliver needed vocational education services. In a change from current law, the State would be required to include a summary of the findings of these assessments in its plan. Section 113(b) of the proposed Act would describe the required contents of the State plan, emphasizing those provisions most needed to assess performance and provide accountability at the State and local levels. For example, the State plan would have to describe how the planned uses of funds would address the -5- 02/15/90 13:53 732 3897 DEPT OF EDUC 007 needs assessed for improved vocational education (as identified under section 113(a) of the proposed Act). The plan would also have to describe the performance standards the State will use for determining the achievement of basic academic skills, occupational competency, and success in the labor market, as well as the State's procedures for applying those performance standards, and, in subsequent plans, the State's success in implementing and applying these standards. Section 113(b) of the proposèd Act would also require States to set forth their criteria for approving applications and allocating Perkins Act funds. These criteria would ensure that individuals most in need are served. This provision would replace a requirement in section 113(b)(7) of the current Act that pertains only to programs for single parents, homemakers, and single pregnant women. The State would also be required to describe how the funds available under the proposed Act would be used to serve economically depressed areas; this would amend current law, which requires that the States allocate the majority of their funds to economically depressed areas. Section 113(b) of the proposed Act would require States to describe how their performance standards under the proposed Act are compatible with standards in effect under the Job Training Partnership Act. Finally, section 113(b) of the proposed Act would add a new requirement that States describe their procedures for ensuring that funds expended for occupationally specific training would only be used to train students for occupations in which jobs are projected and are not likely to be filled without the establishment or continuation of public vocational education programs. Section 113(c) of the proposed Act would require the State plan to contain several assurances regarding such areas as equitable participation of students enrolled in private schools (a provision broadened from current law), distribution of funds, evaluation, and proper fiscal and administrative procedures. Each plan would also include a new assurance that projects and services in the basic State grant program are of sufficient size, scope, and quality to give reasonable assurance of meeting the objectives of the proposed Act, as well as the current "supplement, not supplant" assurance. Section 113(d) of the proposed Act would set forth requirements for amending the State plan. Section 113(e) of the proposed Act authorizes the Secretary to establish, through regulations, minimum requirements for performance standards. Section 114 of the proposed Act would set forth provisions for Secretarial approval of the State plan and amendments to the State plan. This section would require submission of the State plan to the Governor (rather than the State legislature, as provided in current law) as well as the State council and -6- 02/15/90 13:54 732 3897 DEPT OF EDUC 008 the State job training coordinating council. This would direct review of the State plan to the official responsible for coordination of all economic development efforts within the State. In another departure from current law, the Secretary would not approve a State plan meeting the requirements of section 113 of the proposed Act unless that plan gave reasonable assurance of meeting the objectives of the proposed Act, including the objective of developing and applying program performance standards. Section 115 of the proposed Act would require that eligible recipients submit to the State board an application describing the vocational education programs to be funded, the specific performance results to be achieved, and coordination efforts, as well as any other information required by the State board that is needed for the board to carry out its functions under the proposed Act. PART C--FEDERAL ADMINISTRATIVE PROVISIONS Section 121 of the proposed Act would direct the Secretary, as in section 501 of current law, to pay the Federal share of the costs of carrying out the State plan as well as the costs of the State council. Section 122 of the proposed Act would provide that the Federal share of the costs of State administration and of the State councils in each fiscal year would be 100 percent. For each fiscal year, the Federal share would not exceed 50 percent for the costs vocational education programs under title II. This section would also standardize the Federal share that could be used to pay for the costs of the vocational education programs for the special populations described in section 201(b) of the proposed Act (rather than the varied Federal share in section 502 of current law). Section 123 of the proposed Act would provide for full payments to a State if the State maintained 90 percent of its fiscal effort in providing vocational education as compared with the prior year's expenditures. The Secretary would be directed to decrease payments to a State not meeting the "maintenance of effort" standard only in direct proportion to the State's failure to maintain its 90-percent level. These provisions would replace language in current law prohibiting the Secretary from making payments to a State unless that State's expenditures had been maintained at the 100 percent level. This section would also provide for a one-year Secretarial waiver if granting that waiver would be equitable. -7- 02/15/90 13:55 5732 3897 DEPT OF EDUC 009 TITLE II--BASIC STATE GRANTS FOR VOCATIONAL EDUCATION PART A--VOCATIONAL EDUCATION OPPORTUNITIES Sections 201(a) and (b) of the proposed Act would authorize States to use 57 percent of their allotments reserved for part A of title II of the proposed Act. These funds could be used to provide vocational education programs designed to meet the special needs (as identified in the State's plan), and to enhance the participation of, the following "special populations": handicapped individuals; disadvantaged individuals; individuals of limited English proficiency; individuals who are single parents, homemakers, or single pregnant women; individuals who participate in programs designed to eliminate sex bias and sterectyping in vocational education; and criminal offenders who are in correctional institutions. Section 201(b) of the proposed Act would add individuals of limited English proficiency to the group of special populations served under the current Perkins Act, and would remove the current law's set-aside for any adults who are in need of training and retraining, in order to target vocational education opportunity funds more specifically on individuals who are at risk of educational failure or who have not, in the past, been served equitably by vocational education programs. In a significant departure from the current Perkins Act, States would not be constrained to make available to each special population a fixed percentage of funds available to the States under this proposed part. The proposed Act would remove the allocation requirements in sections 202 and 203 of current law. Instead, the State, in its plan, would have to identify the uses of funds under part A, the goals the State seeks to attain for part A populations, and how the uses of funds will address the needs identified. This approach will increase flexibility to the States, while continuing to ensure that funds for special populations are used for the benefit of those populations. Section 201(c) of the proposed Act would authorize States to use funds designated for handicapped individuals for: (1) supplemental staff, equipment, materials, and services needed to enable handicapped individuals to participate in vocational education programs; (2) activities that supplement services provided under the individualized education programs of handicapped students enrolled in secondary schools; and (3) other activities that would improve vocational education opportunities for individuals with handicaps. Section 201(d) of the proposed Act would authorize States to use funds designated for disadvantaged individuals for: (1) supplemental staff, equipment, materials, and services needed to enable disadvantaged individuals to participate in vocational education programs; (2) transportation, child care, and other ancillary services for economically disadvantaged individuals; -8- 02/15/90 13:56 732 3897 DEPT OF EDUC 010 (3) supplementary basic skills instruction for educationally disadvantaged individuals; and (4) other activities that will improve vocational education opportunities for disadvantaged individuals. Section 2010 (e) of the proposed Act would authorize States to use funds designated for individuals of limited English proficiency for: (1) supplementary English instruction to enable secondary and postsecondary students of limited English proficiency to participate in regular vocational education programs; (2) bilingual vocational education for individuals who are out of school and have entered, or are preparing to enter, the labor market and who need additional training; and (3) other activities designed to expand vocational education opportunities for youth and adults of limited English proficiency. Section 201(e) of the proposed Act would require that all of these programs be designed to enable individuals of limited English proficiency to progress effectively through regular, English-speaking, vocational education programs or, if instruction is provided in a separate setting, to enter regular programs a quickly as possible. Instruction could be provided entirely in English or, to the extent necessary, in the appropriate native language. Section 201(f) of the proposed Act would authorize States to use funds designated for single parents, homemakers, or single pregnant women for: (1) vocational education and training activities that will furnish eligible participants with marketable skills; (2) assistance to eligible recipients to expand vocational education services when this expansion directly increases the eligible recipients' capacity for providing marketable skills; (3) assistance with child care, transportation services, or organizing and scheduling programs 30 that such programs are more accessible; (4) informing single parents, homemakers, or single pregnant women of vocational education programs and related support services; and (5) other activities to improve vocational education opportunities. Section 201(g) of the proposed Act would authorize States to use funds designated for individuals who participate in programs designed to eliminate sex bias and stereotyping in vocational education for: (1) programs, services, and activities to eliminate sex bias and stereotyping in secondary and postsecondary vocational education; (2) vocational education programs, services, and activities for girls and women, aged 14 through 25 (unless the age limitation is waived) designed to enable the participants to support themselves and their families; (3) support services, including dependent-care services and transportation; and (4) other activities designed to eliminate sex bias and stereotyping from vocational education or to enable women and men to move into occupations that are nontraditional for their gender. -9- 02/15/90 13:48 732 3897 DEPT OF EDUC 001 ADULATION OF FREE DEPA ATION UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION OFFICE OF THE ASSISTANT SECRETARY UNITED STATES at AMERICA FOR VOCATIONAL AND ADULT EDUCATION FAX COVER SHEET TO: Caro lyn Cawler White House - Speech writing FROM: Tom Johns PAS, OVAE , Dept of ED Name of sender: Ava Law Telephone number of sender: 732-2243 Number of pages including cover sheet: 10 Our fax number is: (202) 732-3897 Your fax number is: 456-6218 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA - P 0 1 U.S. Department of Labor Assistant Secretary for Employment and Training Washington, DC 20210 SECURITY FAX TRANSMITTAL SHEET TO: CAROLYN - SPEECHWILTING FROM: ELIZABETH KHACHIGTAN DATE: 2/15/90 TIME: 1030am RECEIVER TELECOPIER 1 456 - 6218 TRANSMITTAL TELECOPIER # 202-523-6827 PAGES TO FOLLOW 23 400 P. 104 FOR TRAINING / RETRAINING STAT. -EK 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P02 BusinessWeek AMcGRAW BOLL PUBLICATION. UMAN TAL The Decline of America's Work Force T he nation's ability to And as the economy comes compete is threatened by to depend more and more on inadequate investment in our women and minorities, we most important resource: face a massive job of education people. Put simply, too many and training-starting before workers lack the skills kindergarten. Can we to perform more afford it? We have demanding jobs. no choice. PAGE 100 "Reprinted from the September 19, 1988 issue of Business Week by special permission. (c) 1988 by McGraw-Hill, Inc. " 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P03 NEEDED: HUMAN Who will do America's work as Take a trip back to what may be our future. It is the demand for skilled labor the 1851 industrial exhi- bition at the Crystal outstrips a dwindling supply? Palace in London. Brit- ain is the dominant The U.S. has lost much ground world power. The U.S. is No. 2 in industry and to competitors, and investing catching up fast. Made-in-America reapers, muskets, and tools are the marvels of the show. British businessmen are in people looks like the way to amazed at what they see. Products are assembled from completely interchangeable parts. Here is retake it. After years of true mass production for the first time. So im- pressed are they that they name it "the American neglect, the problem of human system of manufacture." Worried delegations of British industrialists set capital has become a crisis sail to investigate. Their findings? American manu- 100 02. 1 5. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P04 Special Report CAPITAL facturing prowess is in large part due to a highly afflicting the U.S. economy. The $150 billion yearly educated work force. The Yankees have an aston- trade deficit and 8 foreign debt of half a trillion ishingly high literacy rate of 90% among the free dollars reflect the inability of a large percentage of population. In the industrial heartland of New En- the American work force to compete effectively in gland, 95% of adults read and write. In contrast, an integrated world economy. "Much of the success just two-thirds of the people in Britain are literate. of Japan stems from the fact that its blue-collar BLINDSIDED. Now zip ahead a century or so to the workers can interpret advanced mathematics, read 1980s. The U.S. is the dominant world power, and complex engineering blueprints, and perform so- it is Japan that is No. 2 and closing fast. American phisticated tasks on the factory floor far better CEOs marvel at the quality of Japanese products than blue collars in the U.S.," says Merry I. White, flooding their markets. They make pilgrimages to professor of comparative sociology at Boston Uni- Tokyo. Their findings? Manufacturing superiority versity and author of The Japanese Educational is being forfeited to the Japanese. And yes, once Challenge. again, behind the success in manufacturing prow- America, in short, has been scrimping on human ess lies a better-educated work force. In 1988, Ja- capital. After trying to solve its serious competi- pan's functional literacy rate is better than 95%: In tiveness problems by pouring hundreds of billions America it's down to about 80%. of dollars into capital equipment, the country is Illiteracy is but a symptom of the larger problem discovering that it has been blindsided when it 101 02. 1 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P05 Special Report comes to workers. Corporate restructur- even a smidgen higher than what busi- world, but elementary and high schools ing and a sharply cheapened dollar may ness spent on plant and equipment. But are another story. The U.S. gets a lot have arrested the economic decline, but from 1971 to 1985 things changed drasti- less for its education buck than do Japan investing in people is turning out to be cally. Dollars for education increased at and Europe. U.S. students attend class the only.way to reverse it a rate of just 2.7% in real terms, the 180 days a year. French and German Society's failure to invest is already same rate as GNP growth but 1,5 per- kids go 220 days, and Japanese children haunting the business community. centage points below the spending rate spend 240 days in school a year. Ameri- Chemical Bank in New York must inter- for capital investment. can high school students score below view 40 applicants to find one who can And 8 good part of the money spent both their foreign counterparts in inter- be successfully trained as a teller And on education has not gone to those who national math and science tests, They IBM Corp. discovered after installing mil- teach the nation's young. Excluding ad- test two to three years behind the Japa lions of dollars worth of fancy comput- ministrative and capital cost from school nese, neatly matching the difference in ers in its Burlington (Vt.) factories that budgets, from 1959 to 1971 teachers' sal- time spent in school from kindergarten it had to teach high-school algebra to aries after inflation increased at a 2.8% through high school. Worse, half of the thousands of workers before they could annual rate. But then, even as interna- kids in inner-city public high schools run them. tional competition started to heat up, drop out "The Issue is not money, it's Building up human capital is becoming teachers' salaries nose-dived, falling by competent use of money," says Pat a national priority. After years of ne- 1,25% a year until 1985. They've bounced Choate, director of TRW Inc.'s Office of glect, it has finally entered the political back a bit since, but in real terms, sala- Policy Analysis. "Janitors in New York arena, at least on the rhetorical level. ries are barely above their 1971 level. City schools make more than teachers. Just listen to the messages being broad- Small wonder that top-notch college Education systems are patronage ays- cast by both Presidential candidates. graduates are not attracted to teaching. tems: Community boards give out jobs." Who will be the "Education President?" True, the U.S. spends plenty on edu- SECOND FICOLE. Educating America's fu- Who will do the most to train workers or cation: $185 billion a year on primary ture work force reaches beyond the provide child care to working mothers? and secondary schools alone. When col- classroom. A fourth of all children born Those messages are long overdue. leges and universities are added in, the in the U.S. will be on welfare sometime More than two centuries ago, Adam figure soars to $810 billion-more than in their lives. A quarter of all American Smith pointed to the improvement in the is spent on defense. American universi- skills of workers as a critical source of ties are the best in the economic progress and B means of rais- ing living standards. Wrote Smith in The Wealth of Nations: "A man educated at the expense of much labor and time to any one of those employments which re- quire extraordinary dexterity and skill may be compared to one of those expen- sive machines." 'ABBOLUTELY CHUCIAL The evidence is overwhelming that people, not ma- chines, are the driving force behind eco- nomic growth. In the period from 1948 to 1982, the nation's gross national product increased at an annual rate of 8.2%. Edward Dennison, an expert in growth economics, COMPOSITION finds that one-third of that gain was caused by the in- OF THE FORCE, crease in the education level 1985 of the U.S. work force and about half the growth was the result of technological in- novation and increased know- how, which also depend on edu- cation. But just 15% of the total increase was the result of more cap- ital equipment. While Washington has been hell-bent on throwing incentives at business to increase spending on plant and equip- ment, outlays for human capital in the past 15 years have lagged behind. In the period from 1959 to 1971, total spending per student in public and pri- vate elementary and high schools grew 36% at a brisk 4.7% a year, after adjust- ing for inflation. That was more than a full percentage point above the robust 3.6% rate of increase in the GNP and 102 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P06 SPECIAL REPORT children are born out of wedlock, and Society's failure to invest in the work force already haunts business Page 100 try and lag significantly behind the na- 42% of them will live in a single-parent LADOR tional average on test scores. family before they reach their eigh- teenth birthdays. As a result, education The gap between jobs and the skills of But there is hope, The needs of the often plays second fiddle to the more applicants is alarmingly wide Page 104 American workplace and the needs of the disadvantaged may be merging for pressing needs of survival. DEMOGRAPHICS Employers must look to women, minor- the first time in recent history. The drive The once-pervasive family role in edu- cation appears to be seriously eroding. ities, and the elderly Page 107 to raise productivity and increase inter- national competitiveness is transforming With both parents in most families now UNDERCLASS the debate over social equity into à dis- working, the question of who's reading In the face of prosperity, a growing un- derclass of the unemployed cussion about economic growth. to the three-year-old and checking up on Page 112 BENIGN NEGLECT. The Reagan years Junior's geometry homework is becom- EDUCATION were an understandable reaction to the ing a national concern. In Japan the Everyone agrees that the system needs free-flowing social spending that ear- mother plays such a strong role In teach- fixing. The question is how Page 115 marked the 1960s and 1970s. The nation- ing her children that she is known as BUSINESS AND THE SCHOOLS al focus shifted to restructuring indus. "education mama." Here, the "education Companies are taking a more active role try, deregulating the economy, and mama" is vanishing-and "education pa- in educational reform Page 117 personal advancement. In the 1980s, pro- pas" aren't taking up the slack. CONCLUSION grams for the bottom half of society got One big exception is in the Asian- What we must do to upgrade our No. 1 the deepest cuts. It wasn't all "welfare," American community. "This year, 22% of asset-the American worker Page 120 either. The Labor Dept.'s manpower MIT's freshman class is Asian-Ameri- training programs were hit hard as well. can," says Lester C. Thurow, dean of ever before, the economy is becoming Those cuts in training could not have the Sloan School of Management at Mas- increasingly dependent on the groups been timed worse. "The split between sachusetts Institute of Technology. "The that often receive the poorest education. the top half and bottom half in society big reason for Asian-American success Between now and the year 2000, more has been widening for the past decade, in public schools is family; family means than half of all new workers hired will no matter how you cut the data," says some parent telling you that education is be minorities, nearly three times the cur- Harvard University's Richard B. Free- important." rent figure. Blacks and Hispanics have man. "The educated, the skilled, and peo- At & time when jobs require higher the highest school drop- ple in certain industries and jobs have levels of math, science, out rates in the coun- done well. The rest have not." This in- and literacy than equality can only worsen if the human- capital deficit is not solved. The inter- nationalization of the economy in the 1980s pitted the U.S. labor force against workers around the world. The results? "Trade has killed the. earnings pros- IN pects for less educated peo- ple," says Freeman. "They must compete with lower-wage people overseas. As long as we trade with Korea, the less edu- cated will have a problem." That competition has proved devastating. From 1959 to 1986, earnings for young men who quit. NEW ENTRANTS high school fell by 26%, adjusted for inflation. Even high-school grads saw TO THE LABOR FORCE, their earnings drop by 9%, while those of 1985-2000 college graduates rose by 6%. In the final analysis, wage gains and losses mirror what is happening to work. er productivity. The huge decline in the wages of America's unskilled labor force shows that it is no longer com- petitive in the international econo- my. The productivity of the un- skilled is plummeting, while worker productivity abroad is soaring. This could signal major losses in the battle for world markets. The U.S. may now be entering an era when neglect of the bottom half of soci- ety begins to threaten the welfare of the entire nation. 15% 13% 13% In the following articles the editors of BUSINESS WEEK lay out the dimen. SEALES sions of the human-capital crisis-and DATA: HUDSON PROVIDE what the country must do about it. By Bruce Nussbaum in New York 108 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P07 Special Report WHERE THE JOBS ARE IS WHERE THE SKILLS AREN'T As work becomes more knowledge-intensive, employers are fishing in a shrinking labor pool In a dynamic econ- ing, and vocabulary needed to perform & able to function at Level Three or better. omy there is al- wide range of jobs. The Hudson Insti- For jobs in nursing or management, ways & gap be- tute, an economic think tank, has the educational ante is higher. Most of tween job demands matched the new jobs that the economy these jobs, which often require more and worker skills. will create against these scales. Here is than a high-school education, need skills Through most of what they found: at Level Four or above: an ability to its history, the More than three-quarters of the na- read journals and manuals, write re- U.S. has managed to keep that gap tion's new workers will have limited ver- ports, and understand complex terminol- small. But not anymore. The nation is bal and writing skills (Levels 1 and 2). ogy. Just 5% of the new employees will facing a monumental mismatch between But they will be competing for only 40% be able to do that. jobs and the ability of Americans to do of the new jobs. Most new jobs will re- DAUNTING TASK. As many as 50 million them. quire workers who have solid reading workers may have to be trained or re- Unless the U.S. invests more to close and writing skills, but fewer than one in trained in the next 12 years-21 million this human capital deficit, the economy four new employees will be able to func. new entrants and 30 million current will be shunted onto a lower growth tion at the needed levels. Retail sales, workers. The most daunting task ahead track. The drive to improve technology for example, will be among the occupa- is to educate and train the young work and productivity could founder on a tions providing the most new jobs. To fill force entrants. The decline in the num- shortage of competent workers. There those jobs, most retail employees will ber of 21- to 25-year-olds means that em- will be a social price, too: Lower-skilled have to function at Level Three. They ployers now must dig deeper into the minorities will find it harder than ever to will have to write up orders, compute barrel of the poorly educated. And a land good jobs. The earnings differential price lists, and read merchandise cata- larger proportion of that already is growing between the top logs. Sound simple? Nevertheless, Hud- new workers will be and bottom halves of the work force son estimates that just 22% of the new could get even larger. The nation could employees will be become further polarised between skilled and unskilled workers. NEW YARDSTICK. Three forces are com- bining to produce the leap in the skills the economy will require. First, technol- ogy is upgrading the work required in most jobs. The modern workplace needs people with high reading and THE LOOMING math capabilities, so millions of jobs go unfilled while the army of MISMATCH the unskilled remains unemployed. Second, job growth will be fast between mainly in high-skill occupations. WORKERS Most of these jobs will be in the service sector. This kind of work AND JOBS now requires knowledge that wasn't necessary 20 years ago. Finally, the way in which work now is being organized requires & complete- 2% ly new set of skills. As companies shift 7% from the old models of assembly-line production to Japanese-style work LEVEL I LEVEL 2 teams, employees will have to sharp- LEVEL Has limited read- en their abilities to communicate. Has reading vo- Can read sofety A detailed look at how new ing vocabulary of cabulary of 5,000 rules and equip- 2,500 words. workers will match up against to 6,000 words. ment instructions, CHARTS BY RAY VELLA/UMP new jobs between now and the Reading rate of 95 Reading rate of and write simple to 125 words per 190 to 215 words year 2000 tells the story (chart). reports The Labor Dept. has devised B minute. Ability to per minute. Ability method for measuring, on a scale of write simple sen- to write compound tences services one to six, the levels of reading, writ- 104 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P08 minorities and immigrants, who tend to have less education and fewer skills than other employees. Minorities are the neediest of these new workers. But as employers become increasingly dependent on them, minor- ities are lagging behind in reading and writing skills. And those already work- ing tend to be stuck in occupations that are disappearing, while few have jobs in growing industries (table, page 106). As the economy continues to expand, big companies are looking harder for new workers. But many minorities with low skills still aren't being hired. Last year, Nynex Corp.'s New York Tele- phone Co. had to test some 60,000 appli- cants-many of whom were minorities- to hire 8,000 people. "There are lots of people who still want jobs, but they're dropouts who aren't qualified," says Howard Harman, New York Telephone's director of employment. People who already are working will need massive retraining to keep pace with changing job requirements. They which now numbers about 50,000, com- ing. "Not they TIME TO REWIRE are the 30 million who will need more pared with 106,000 in the early 1970s. must learn to use As New York math and science to operate computers Nonetheless, the company has been fiber optics, which and robots on the assembly lines or bet- forced to increase its in-house training means splicing Telephone switches ter reading and writing skills to keep up rapidly to upgrade the skills of its re- very delicate fi- to fiber optics, it's in the office. maining workers. NYT has four technol- bers-like a brain True, many companies are using tech- ogy-learning centers where employees surgeon, almost." rushing to retrain nology to replace workers-but those are taught to operate the handheld com- A growing num- workers-proof that employees who stay on the job generally puters that telephone repairers use to ber of companies the skills gap affects must improve their skills. For instance, keep track of orders. One five-day go 80 far as to New York Telephone has used new tech- course retrains skilled splicing techni- train the employees longtime employees nology to help shrink its work force, clans who install overhead telephone ca. of their suppliers. as well as recruits ble. "Before, they handled 100-pound In the early 1980e, wire that was 6 inches in diameter, "says Xerox Corp. found that its product quali- Ray Bucaria, New York Telephone's di. ty was much poorer than that of its rector of train- rivals. Management decided suppliers were a big part of the problem. Xerox reduced its 8,000-odd suppliers to about 350 and raised tolerance standards for parts it buys from them. Xerox then began a program to ACTUAL SKILL LEVELS OF NEW WORKERS train its suppliers in Japanese Percent of 21. to 25-year-olds entering style quality control. Typically, a the labor market from 1985 to 2000 company employee trains the sup- plier's management, and the sup- plier then trains its own work force in the new methods. Xe- SKILL LEVELS NEEDED FOR NEW JOBS Percent of new jobs created rox initially will train about from 1985 to 2000 100 of its 350 suppliers, at an estimated cost of $1.5 million. "Training suppliers has become a permanent I% 1.5% 0.5% 1% part of the way we do busi- ness," declares Robert Fletcher, who manages ma- IELA LEVEL B LIVEL 6 terial quality assurance at Xe- read journels Can read scientif- Has some skills as rox. Motorols Inc. goes fur- manuals, and ic/technicsl jour- Level 5, but more ther: It even trains its suppliers' 9 business let. nais and financial advanced suppliers' work forces. and reports reports, and write General Motors Corp. had to re- journal articles train workers when it opened 8 new and speeches truck plant a year and a half ago in Fort Wayne, Ind. The plant does have DATA: HUDSON INSTITUTE, LABOR DEPT. some spiffy new technology. But more important, it has a new team-production MBM KERBS 195 02. 1 5. 90 1 1 : AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA PO9 Special Report system. Both workers and management proportion of 22-year-olds acquiring had to go through intensive bachelors' degrees in science and on- training in group dynamics and MINORITIES ARE STUCK gineering has remained within A problem-solving to increase narrow band of 3.7% to 4.8%, accord- manufacturing productivity. IN THE WRONG JOBS ing to the National Science Founda- "Our people never heard of tion (NSF). this until a few years ago," If this trend continues, the baby says Don Davis, the union Percent of jobs Percent change bust could cause growing shortages. head of a GM/UAW joint train- held in 1986 by: in demand for jobs If just 4% of students continue to Blocks Hispanics 1986 # 2000 ing program in Detroit. In all, choose science or engineering, the NSF Fort Wayne's 8,000 employees TOO JOBS warns, there could be a cumulative took 1.9 million hours of train- shortfall of more than 400,000 science PERIENT ing, including time to learn the 20 and engineering BAS through the new technology. That's more year 2000. Half of all engineering than 683 hours per worker. 46% students at the graduate and post- Companies are now spending graduate levels already are for- some $30 billion a year on worker signers. And this country is facing training. A lot of that money is go- NATURAL SCIENTISTS a shortage of 27,000 PhDs by the ing to upgrade the skills of office end of the century. workers. Take Mary Ann Moscillo. Economists are quick to point After her father died, she dropped 38% out that in these relatively high- out of school at 16 to work as a clerk paying fields, shortages are like- in the mail room at Blue Cross/Blue ly to push up salaries and attract TECHNICIANS Shield of Massachusetts. She wasn't more people. But there's little ev- able to advance on the job for almost a Idence that previous shortages decade. Then she enrolled in a remedial 32% enticed more students to scientif- education program run and paid for by ic fields. Blue Cross, and she learned reading, GROWING GAP. In addition, market math, and history. Armed with a new AND ARCHITECTS mechanisms may not work quickly high school diploma, Moscillo has had enough to remedy shortfalls of three promotions. Now, she com- PhDs, who require an additional 30% pares claims made by hospitals six to eight years of schooling. with payments Blue Cross makes "Usually the decision to enter aci- to them, finding and explaining ence is made in high school," says SALES WORKERS variances between the two. John H. Moore, deputy director of the BABY BUST. The churning econ. NSF. "We need to do something today omy is generating millions of 19% to get teens thinking seriously about displaced workers. They ac- careers in these fields-or we'll be in count for more than one-half trouble." of the people already at The skills gap poses & threat to Ameri- work who will need retrain- can society that goes beyond simply the ing by 2000. Throughout the economy. Currently, labor shortages in 1980s, some 2.8 million work- New England and elsewhere are driv- ers have been displaced each ing up wages for jobs in fast-food year, according to the bureau eateries. If new workers don't D of Labor Statistics. Roughly 1 come better qualified, this situation million long-term workers- may change drastically as short those on the job three years or ages move up the skills ladder. more-have been displaced annu- 6% Many new job-seekers could wind ally. Approximately 80% of these up competing for a dwindling num- lack basic skills-reading, writing, ber of low-skilled jobs, while and arithmetic. Consequently, a higher-skilled jobs go begging third never found new jobs at all. for want of qualified workers. Others found work but at substan- That would drive down wages for 4% tially lower pay. low-skilled workers, who can least Elite workers, as well, could be afford it, and raise wages for in short supply. Because of demo- skilled employees, who are already graphic trends, the U.S. is facing better paid. The social conse. a long-term shortage of scien- quences of this are clear. Warns tists and engineers. The num- Irwin S. Kirsch, a researcher at ber of both has climbed steadi- Educational Testing Service in ly in the past two decades, but Princeton, N. J.: "If we don't ASSEMBLES only because the baby boom boost the skills of the bottom ranks CHARTS BY RAY VELLA/FIN brought many young people DATA: INJURAD OF LABOR STATESTICS of the work force, we'll have an into the labor force. The per- even more divided society than we centage of students who choose do now." these fields has actually remained By Aaron Bernstein in New York constant: In the past 80 years, the and bureau reports 100 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P10 Special Report MODERN FAMILY Karen and Melvin Peterson, who both work the swing shift at Echo Bay Mines Lid.'s operation in Round Mountain, Nev., drop off toddlers Laura and Lori at the 24-hour, company.run day care center before going to work. If Karen stayed home, "we'd struggle along from paycheck to paycheck. It would be rough." she says. Two incomes let them save money for the girls' education FOR AMERICAN BUSINESS, A NEW WORLD OF WORKERS Employers must look to the nonmale, nonwhite, and nonyoung-and competition will be vicious Once upon a sim- "Oriental," and "Spanish-American" checks and withholding taxes. The boss pler time not so workers always have helped to do Amer- is losing that confident glow. The decline long ago, "work ica's work. But with a plentiful labor in birth rates after 1960 has slashed the force" meant white supply, few employers had to reach be- numbers of young people available to fill men in ties or blue yond the male Caucasian in his prime jobs right up to the year 2010 and maybe collars. The image except for the least-wanted jobs. Indeed, beyond. was never quite ex- by the late 1960s, as employers awarded The years of picky hiring are over. act. One generation back, as the nation self-winding watches to 65-year-olds, the Viclous competition for all sorts of work- settled into postwar prosperity, 30% of first fresh-faced baby boomers were on ers-entry-level, skilled, seasoned-has all women worked outside the home- their way to Personnel. begun. Employers must look to the non- even if Leave It to Beaver reflected the The last of that numerous cohort is male, the nonwhits, the nonyoung. There cultural ideal of family life. "Negro," now straggling into the world of pay- may be a push for non-citizens as well: AS THE POOL OF YOUNG WORKERS SHRINKS, WOMEN WILL FILL THE GAP, AND MORE WORKING PHOTOGRAPH BY JAMIE TANANA: CHARTS BY PAY JERINA 24 50 POPULATION + FEMALE SHARE 73% of all working women are 16-24 or THE WORK FORCE of childbearing age 24 40 60% of all school-age kids have 22 30 mothers in the work force, up from 39% in 1970 20 30 4 0 1 Women with children under 6 1979 1986 2000 1950 1960 1970 1980 1998 2000 are the fastest growing segment AMILLIONS EST. APERCENT EST. EST: DATA: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS, LABOR DEPT. of the work force 107 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P 1 1 Over the next 10 years, predicts the About 40% of workers over age 40 al- cated that such policies don't cost much Hudson Institute, an economic think ready provide care to parents, according even though temporary workers may tank, only 15% of work force entrants to Anthony Gajda of Mercer-Meidinger- have to All in or other staff may have to will be native-born white males. Hansen, an employee-benefits firm. work overtime. Legislation requiring em- Building & new, more diverse work About 12% of women who care for aging ployers to provide unpaid family leave to force and-making it tick will be one of parents must quit their jobs to do 80. care for sick relatives or new bables is Corporate America's biggest challenges A growing body of research links em- on Congress' agenda. ployees' concerns for the care of chil- Child care, especially, is politically hot. in the decade ahead. dren or elderly relatives with productivi- A $2.5 billion bill sponsored by Senator ty losses from increased absences, Christopher J. Dodd (D-Conn.) and Rep- MOTHER, DAUGHTER, tardiness, and stress on the job-and resentative Dale E. Kildee (D-Mich.) such time-wasters as excessive use of would set quality standards for child WORKER, WIFE the phone. This holds for men in dual- care, provide payment vouchers to fam- In the past 15 years, as women ventured career marriages as well as for single illies, and provide states with funds to into the workplace in growing numbers, fathers and single sons, But it's particu- add new facilities. Michael Dukakis it has been widely expected that employ- larly true for women. At Touche Ross & backs the bill's concept without endors- ers would take major steps to accommo- Co., Susan Schiffer Stautberg figures ing the dollar amount. George Bush date their special needs. So far, though, the average working woman spends 17 wants a $1,000-per-child tax credit for employers have been able to hire poor families where at least one 52% of all women without doing parent works, to be used for child much very differently. That's part- THE COMING care or to help mothers stay home. 'CARE-GIVERS.' There is wide- ly because in a world of stagnant real earnings, women and their LABOR SHORTAGE spread agreement that the federal families have needed the money 3.5 government has some role to play, more than companies needed the beyond the current $3.9 billion de- women. Feminism, higher educs- pendent-care tax credit, the $660 3.0 tion levels, and rising expectations million spent on day care, and $1.5 pushed women into the work PERCENT GROWTH billion for the Head Start early 2.5 IN WORK FORCE childhood program for disadvan- force, too. But as employers fish in a taged kids. States, expanding their shrinking pool for new workers programs, are crying for more 2.0 and try to retain.experienced ones, funding. California subsidizes day care for low-income toddlers. Tex- women will be in a position to make demands. Companies will be 1.5 as school districts provide prekin- forced to make it easier for work- dergarten for 4-year-olds from ers to balance work and family. 1.0 poor families. Massachusetts is Three-quarters of working wom- trying to increase the supply of child care with loans to build cen- en are in their childbearing years; 0.5 more than half of all mothers ters and grants to expand referral work. Those with children younger programs, train "care-givers," and than 6 make up the fastest-grow- 0 pay them more. ing segment of the work force. 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 EST The problem, however, is falling APERCENT For many such women, as well as increasingly into the corporate lap. DATA: HUDSON INSTITUTE Boston University researchers for their spouses, balancing work life with parenting at a distance Bradley K. Googins and Dianne S. presents logistical challenges worthy of years raising kids and 19 years caring Burden recently surveyed 1,500 workers an air traffic controller. for aging relatives. Her grim joke: "Mid- in big corporations. Some 48% said em- It isn't only children. As the U.S. pop- die age is the 15 minutes in between." ployers and government should share re- ulation becomes older-and by 2000, 51% The productivity issues are greater sponsibility for helping balance work will be between 35 and 54-more people than a workday lost when the babysitter and family life; 41% said companies must take responsibility for their par- walks out or Grandma breaks her hip. should take the lead. ents. Americans are living longer, Family leaves, allowing parents time off About 60% do offer some degree of thanks to better nutrition and medical to care for a new baby or deal with a work-schedule flexibility. But less than breakthroughs, but those beyond the family crisis, help retain women workers' 5% of U.S. companies-a grand total of age of 75 are often ill or infirm. Services and boost morale and loyalty among oth- 3,800-help with child ers as well. A 1986 report by the care. Most of those ei- are expensive, SO care usually falls to General Accounting Office indi- ther allow employ- family members-many of whom work. MOTHERS WILL INCREASE THE DEMAND FOR CHILD CARE With divorce and out-of-wedlock Only 5% of U.S. companies help births running high, the typical child their employees with child care. born in America today will spend Only about 300 have helped start some time in a single-parent home. day-care facilities Such households, usually headed by In 1982, a quarter of all mothers women, are more likely to be poor. not in the work force said they Children in poor families are at risk would work if adequate child care for school and social failure were available CHART BY RAY VELLARM 108 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P12 Special Report ees to save tax dollars by setting aside rington, Kodak's corporate employee re- exceed those of whites. Immigration, pretax income for day care in flexible lations director. mainly from Latin America and Asia, benefit plans, or they provide informa- Corporate efforts to help workers has accounted for a fifth of America's tion and referral advice. Only 250 or 300 cope with elderly parents are still primi- population growth in the 1980s. Com- companies have helped start child-care tive. Most women must find ad hoc solu- pared with the native-born, immigrants centers. tions. A quarter of those responsible for are younger and their families are larg- It's likely that more women would an- aged parents take extended leaves or er. The youth cohort of the work force is ter the job market if they could find cut down their work hours. The chal- shrinking, but more of its members will good child care. In the 1982 census, 26% lenge is to keep them on the job as much be black, Hispanic, or Asian. of all nonworking mothers with pre- as possible by providing social supports These changes may have dire conse- schoolers said they would look for work for the parents. As the pressures of la quences for the U.S. work force. A dis- if "reasonably priced child care were bor shortage build, companies will also proportionate number of these youths available." An additional 13% said they have to see to it that employees don't are growing up in families that are poor would work more DROPPING IN or headed by single hours. If half the parents. In minority women claiming they After Bostonian communities, many of are BO constrained Sandra Brown, today's adults lack the went to work in the skills to find decent 1990s, the labor single parent of employment. Their force would gain three, told her kids face worse pros- 850,000 workers, pects at a time of dra- notes Columbia Uni- welfare caseworker matic technological versity economist she was "job-ready," change. A disturbing David E. Bloom. new term, underclass, she enrolled in d A SENEFIT. Indeed, describes some who some companies are program at Roxbury are from such disorga- looking at child care nized backgrounds Community College as a recruiting de- that-without inter- vice, especially in where she's studying vention or à social mir- clerical, food service, acle-they may never word-processing and and hospital jobs, be employable (page which depend on finishing high 112). women workers. But Many young peo- school. Her employer the impetus is grow- ple-especially minor- ing elsewhere. Faced is helping with the ities-are caught in a with a local labor tuition bills vicious cycle. About a shortage, Echo Bay quarter of all kids are Mines Ltd. at Round Mountain, Nev., forfeit seniority or status if they are born out of wedlock to parents who "are has enticed parents to hire on for swing forced to take time off for family rea- poorly educated, frequently young, and shifts by keeping open its on-site day sons. "I really think demographics are unskilled," says George Washington care center 24 hours a day, seven days a deatiny here," says Dana E. Friedman, University's Sar Levitan. In the U.S., week. work and family research director at the about 44% of all marriages fail. Female- Eastman Kodak Co. helps its Ameri- Conference Board. headed households are more than four can employees look for child care. in times more likely to be poor than are addition, the company is experimenting two-parent families. A startling one with job-sharing. Two Rochester (N. Y.) YOUNG, TROUBLED, in four members of the Class of 2000, mothers with young children split the AND IN Demand now entering first grade, is living in title "professional recruiter"; their 24- poverty. hour stints overlap on Wednesdays. Ko- It has been a long time since America's Part of the problem is child support. dak allows up to 17 weeks of unpaid population profile bore much resem- Fewer than half of fathers not living leave to care for B spouse, parent, sick blance to the party that landed at Ply- with their kids pay anything toward child, or new baby, including adopted or mouth Rock. Now this nation of ethnic- their keep. In 1985 more than half of all foster children. "We have a lot of money ity and social Rux is changing anew. It invested in training. This is protecting is becoming less white and more Span- our investment," declares Mary J. Har- ish-speaking. Birth rates among blacks CERV BEAR- MINORITIES: FAST GROWTH AND TOO MANY DROPOUTS 4 Among white 18- to 21-year olds, PHOTOGRAPH er CHART BY PAT POPULATION GROWTH, 16 AND OLDER 13.6% have dropped out of high school. 3 1986-2800 Among blacks the rate is 17.5%, among ? Hispanics 29.3% 1 The high school dropout rates in major cities, where minorities are concentrated, 0 WHITES BLACKS HISPANICS range from 35% in New York to as high APENINT. AMNUAL DATE as 50% in Washington DATA: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 100 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P13 Special, Report REVIRED? RETOOL gible children are Leon Levitt, 81, served by Head Start, due to Inade- retired from his sales quate funding. job a decade ago, The challenge is clear. If minority but six months later skills are not up- he went back to work graded, they will de- teriorate further. as a trainee Companies will be Bigham machinist. "Work forced to substitute adds life to your capital for the un- skilled labor. Tech- years-and it nology, after all, has actually adds years many faces. Given skilled workers, it onto your life," he can upgrade a job says. As the work task and add value. force ages, more and Or, to cope with work-force shortcom- more résumés may ings, it can be used resemble that of to "de-skill." The classic example is Levitt, who just cut McDonald's Corp. back his workweek to Dependent on young 49 hours from 55 workers with poor skills, the hamburg- mothers with child-support orders re- groups disadvantaged by discrimination, er chain has replaced words on the keys ceived less than the full amount due. lack of education, and language barri- of its cash registers with pictures. That The average annual payment was $2,315. ers-will be in very great demand," says may work for McDonald's. But for soci- Another aspect of the poverty problem Labor Secretary Ann D. McLaughlin. Al- ety to take that path implies low wages is women's pay. Women's earnings aver- ready employers are having to reach and a declining standard of living. age $16,232, 70% of men's. Many moth- further and further along the labor ers work part-time for far less pay. queue. Where necessary, they are patch- Harvard sociologist David Ellwood ing up the ragtag skills they find there, BRINGING THE RETIRED predicts that more than two-thirds of sometimes at huge expense (page 117). BACK FROM RETIREMENT children who grow up in a single-parent Social thinkers say early intervention, household will spend at least some of with such proven child-development pro- In our time, the shrinking of the Ameri- their childhood in poverty. They are grams as Head Start-or even earliar can manufacturing sector has written three times more likely than others to with nutrition programs and parenting off a generation of middle-aged blue-col. drop out of school, and they are more classes-is the real ticket to building B lar workers caught between the foundry deficient in skills. Black and Hispanic competent work force over time. Half of and the computer. And even as the econ- children, while a minority of the poor, all teenage mothers eventually escape omy faces labor shortages at all levels, are nearly three times more likely to be poverty through education, with measur- the most striking employment trend in poor than whites. A National Assess- able improvements in their kids' achieve- recent years has been a shift to early ment of Educational Progress found ment and prospects, notes economist An- retirement. Only about 15% of men over that only 60% of white young adults drew Sum of Northeastern University. age 65 are in the work force today, down could locate information in a news arti- "If minorities are to succeed, we have from 25% in 1970. Only 68% of those age cle or an almanac. The number was 25% got to start educating children much 55 to 64 still work, compared with 83% for blacks and 40% for Hispanics. younger and work through their par- two decades ago. Labor shortages in the future could ents," says Gloria G. Rodriguez, director Such trends were perhaps understand- present an unprecedented opportunity to of a support and training program for able as baby boomers crowded into the improve the lot of the poor. "The new poor Hispanic families in San Antonio. workplace and companies downsized. To- workers-although they are from Despite its track record, only 18% of eli- day, though, it is waste on a vast OLDER PEOPLE ARE AN UNTAPPED RESOURCE PHOTOGRAPH BY DAVIS. CHART BY PAT JERSA 55 In 1950, for every retiree, POPULATION there were 17 Americans at 55 AND OVER 50 work. By 1992, it will be 1 retiree for every 3 workers 45 In 1984, only 68.4% of all 4 men aged 55 to 64 worked. If 0 1980 1984 1990 1995 retirement trends continue, AMILLIONS EST. EST. that will drop to 62.6% by 1995 DATA: SUREAU OF THE CENSUS 110 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P14 Special Report scale. A typical American who has years. Smart companies are finding can Labor Force, Briggs argues that reached the age of 65 can expect to live ways to retrain and employ them. In minority youths could soon be competing an additional 17 years. By 2008 the U.S. Florida, where 18% of its population is with immigrants-legal and illegal-for National Center for Health Statistics over 65, the future is now-fast-food entry-level jobs. Rand Corp. researchers predicts life expectancies at birth will be chains recruit workers in retirement vil- say there's no evidence of this yet. But 84 years for women and 10 years less lages. Last year, Kelly Services Inc. in they warn that U. S.-born Latinos must for men. Today the 58-year-old-who Troy, Mich., put out 8 call for workers improve their skills to qualify for the takes early retirement is essentially mid- over 55. Now they're 8% of the "temp" high-tech jobs of the future or compete die-aged, and retirement may last half rolls. In Boston, one BayBanks Inc. unit with new immigrents for low-paid jobs. as long as his or her work life did. has hired 45 retirees 88 clericals, tellers, Today's immigrants, on average, are The good health, skills, and work his- and clerks since last November. less skilled than the native-born. Most tories of the "young old" can help the Keeping older workers in the job mar- lack a high-school education. Only 20% nation out of its demographic fix. "Peo- ket won't be easy. Says Census Bureau are admitted because their skills are in NEW CITIZENS great demand. But the criteria could Opening America's change toward more "Golden Door" has preference for skills, This year, U.S. hos- helped with past pitals, to allay short- labor shortages, but ages, will hire 20,000 swelling waves of foreign nurses on five-year visas. immigration might The idea of hospi- serve to stall afforts tals staffed by skilled foreign pro- to integrate blacks, fessionals and low- Hispanics, and paid native-born jani- women into the tors doesn't sit well with some like Pat economy more Choste, TRW Inc.'s effectively futurist. "Ultimately we have to have an ple should work longer and be produc- forecaster Cynthia M. Taueber: "They economy that works-and do everything tive longer. We should get away from can afford to retire and will." The elder- with our own people," he says. Yet, he the rigidities that go along with age 65," ly have escaped Reagan-era spending adds, the U.S. should "use its incompa- argues Alan Pifer, chairman of the cuts. Social Security, medicare, and med- rable advantages" to attract the world's Southport Institute for Policy Analysis. icald spending on nursing homes have talent. Foreigners here to study engi- Pifer, who directed the Carnegie Cor- eliminated most poverty among the old. neering, say, could be required to stay poration's Project on Aging, advocates Still; retirement can be boring. If busi- and work. continual education and retraining ness makes work attractive, the oldsters Unlike immigration policy, population throughout one's working life. The em- may come back in droves. trends hold few surprises. "We have a phasis should be on that restless age lot of control over how demography hits around 50 when the kids are gone and THE U.S. COULD LOWER us. It's more of a glacier than a thunder- "you've gone about as high as you're THE DRAWBRIDGE AGAIN bolt," reflects Jack A. Meyer, president going to go in the hierarchy. It would be of New Directions for Policy, a Wash- nice if a lot of people could be 'repot- Faced with labor shortages in earlier ington think tank. "If we sit back, we're ted,'" he suggests. As a vision for the times, America has opened its borders. in for some problems." The danger is nation, that projects a huge agenda: re- Immigration is still a policy option-the that the U.S. will fail to address its de- ordering what is now an ad hoc and wild card in the labor-market outlook. mographic challenges in time. haphazard retraining process. It also re- For Cornell University economist Ver- By Elizabeth Ehrlich in New York, with quires new benefits systems, such as non M. Briggs, unleashing even more Susan B. Garland in Washington, and bu- portable pensions, to erase disincentives immigration will stall efforts to inte- reals reports for middle-aged workers to move on. grate women, blacks, and other minor- Many over-60s, furthermore, don't ities into the economy. In a recent book, want to be put out to pasture for 20 PHOTOGRAPH BY WOLF/PICTURE GROUP; CHART BY PAUL CHANGE/BW Immigration Policy and the Ameri- WILL IMMIGRANTS FILL THE JOB GAP? 2 Only 20% of legal immigrants are LEGAL IMMIGRATION admitted for job skills. Family ties or 1 refugee status are the usual criteria 1 Over half a million legal immigrante arrive each year-more than at any I time since the 1920s. 1967-71 1972-76 1977-81 1982-86 AMILLIONS Some 2 to 4 million illegal DATA: OF THE CENSUS immigrants live in the U.S. 111 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P15 Special Report SPENSERS' OPEN 7 DAYS 7am B/m WHY THE UNDERCLASS CAN'T GET OUT FROM UNDER In an era of prosperity, legions of welfare mothers and inner-city youths face dead-end lives Terence Maclin of- series of temporary jobs after a dispute isolated from the nation's economic and ten dreams of es- over pay. social mainstream. This legion of chron- caping Milwan- In the past, unskilled and poorly edu- ically unemployed males and welfare kee's tough North cated black youths such as Maelin had a mothers, concentrated in crime-ridden, Side. "I plan to shot at a decent-paying job. But now, desperately poor, inner-city neighbor- build my own busi- many of the breweries that made Mil- hoods, numbers at least 1.5 million. ness," says the 18- waukee famous are shuttered. The That figure continues to mount de- year-old leader of a youth gang known city's employment boom has been con- spite a six-year economic expansion. as Two-Four. "Then I can have people centrated largely in jobs that require "The rising tide of prosperity left those working for me." skills far higher than Maclin's. "The without a high school diploma un- Maclin's fantasy of the straight life is odds are very strong that Terence will touched," says John D. Kasarda, an likely to remain just that. A high school never make it," says Charles Meyer, 8 economist and chairman of the Univer- PROTOGRAPHY BY SETH RESMOK dropout who's been in and out of juve- program director at the Westside Cen- sity of North Carolina's Sociology Dept. nile institutions since he was 9, Maclin ter, where Maclin sometimes hangs out. "They were not even on the boat." can't read at a sixth-grade level. He's Young people such as Maclin can be Although the underclass is relatively enrolled in a high school equivalency found in decaying inner cities all over small in size, it reverberates across geo- program but chronically cuts classes. America. They represent & chilling phe- graphic, class, and racial lines. Drug- And Maclin recently quit the latest in a nomenon: a growing black underclass related crimes and gang wars are shak- 112 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P16 ing the complacency of Even when jobs are middle-class communi- Minority youths in available, few are per- ties. As labor markets ceived as true opportu. tighten, business has urban ghettos such nities because pay is begun to worry about as Dorchester, low and prospects for the growing pool of dis- Mass., (left) often promotion are virtually affected - youths ill- nil. "Places give you a equipped to take on new eschew work even hassle, say they are not jobs. And the cost of where it's available. hiring and come back in coping with society's a few months," com- failures are staggering. For some, fast-food plains Corey Newsome, The nation spends $20 jobs paying as much a former member of billion annually on pris- as $7 an hour don't Maclin's gang. In some ons. Caring for low- tight labor markets, birthweight babies born compare with the fast-food restaurants to mothers on welfare enticements of life $700 pay nearly twice the who are high school minimum wage, but lo- dropouts costs another on the street cal youth unemploy- $188 million per year. ment rates remain high. The growth of the underclass is the at least some college education. Às a "Fast-food places aren't paying enough, result of many complex forces-from result, employment of the poorly edu- not for what they want you to do," says racism to the frustration and apathy cated has fallen sharply. That is partic- Newsome, The lucrative alternatives- that persistent poverty can provoke. ularly true of adult black males who drug dealing, pimping, and theft-have "It's very difficult to point to any one live in cities. Only half of these men no shortage of recruits, though. thing in an environment where so many work, even part-time, as compared with The allure of criminal activity is often things are hostile," says David T. Ell- 80% in 1969, according to Kasarda. attributed to the disintegration of the wood, professor of public policy at Har- University of Chicago sociologist Wil- black family. In 1960, 20% of black fam- vard University. "But everyone agrees liam Julius Wilson, author of The Truly ilies with children were headed by wom- that all these negative things start Disadvantaged, argues that antidis- en. Today, half are. to feed on each other, making It more crimination legislation and affirmative- TRAP? Contrary to popular per- difficult to latch on to any simple action programs may have inadvertent- ception, the birth rate for unmarried solution." ly compounded the problems. Middle- black women actually has declined since KNOWLEDGE-INTENSIVE Among the class blacks, who could take advantage 1960. But the marriage rate among most potent factors is the two-tiered of new job and housing opportunities in black women has dropped even more economy. The economy's general weak- the 1960s and after, fled the ghettos, sharply-as has the birth rate to mar- ness during the 1970s and early 1980s leaving local schools to the poor and ried women-so single women still bear "hit people at the bottom of the barrel removing important role models-- more of the community's babies. For the hardest," says Brookings Institu- adults who work at steady jobs. Those Wilson, the explanation is the shortage tion economist Robert D. Reischauer. left behind no longer hear about work of "marriageable" black men. "The in- Starting in the 1970s, white women, opportunities. Even the habit of waking creasing inability of many black men to baby boomers, and immigrants flooding up to 8 ringing alarm clock is alien. support a family is the driving force the job market have made it even more "Youngsters are growing up in a com- behind the rise of female-headed house- improbable that less-educated blacks at munity where people's lives aren't orga. holds," he says. the end of the hiring queue will be cho- nized around work," Wilson says. Some social scientists, though, be- sen for jobs. lieve that cultural factors have become Meanwhile, in the at least as important as economic ones. past two decades, "If you've got full em- manufacturing in- ployment, you are dustries virtually still going to have vanished from the an underclass," ar- cities. Some closed down, skewered by HOW SOCIAL INVESTMENT gues social scien- tist Charles Murray. international competi- IN CHILDREN PAYS OFF "We do not know tion. Others moved to how to change the at- convenient, sprawling, titudes of even ado- suburban tracts. Just lescents who have 25 years ago, half of grown up in the Milwaukee's jobs underclass." Mur- were of the high- paying blue-collar Prenatal care for poor women $3.38 in hospital care for ray's 1984 book, low birthweight babies Losing Ground, type. Today less faulted federal wel- than 30% are. In Childhood immunization $10 in later medical costs fare policy for dis- other cities, the couraging marriage falloff is even Preschool education $4.75 in special education, and work while re- more dramatic. welfare, and prison costs warding out-of-wedlock Many of the Remedial education $6 in the cost of repeating childbearing and unem- newer jobs are a grade ployment. "knowledge-inten- "It's now more accept- sive" white-collar DATA: HOUSE SELICT COMMITTE ON CHALDREN, YOUTH, AND FAMILIES able than ever for a fa- posts, which require ther to ignore his responsi- 113 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P17 Special Report bilities," adds Stuart Butler, director of Dr. James P. Comer, professor of most disadvantaged kids. Their point is domestic policy studies at the conserva- child psychiatry at the Yale Child Study that intervening at an early age may tive Heritage Foundation. "The as: Center, says children of uneducated well improve 8 child's lifelong prospects sumption is that the government will parents are less likely to develop the (chart, page 113) and save money on take care of the problem." early language skills and excitement other social programs, such as welfare, Certainly, most welfare programs do for learning that will prepare them for down the line. little to encourage work. When recipi- school. Fully 60% of daughters of single Some experts believe that expanding ents who want to work weigh the low- women who are on welfare for 10 years programs such as Medicaid and Head paying jobs for which they're qualified or more will find themselves on welfare Start is only a first step. Harvard lec- against the loss of welfare benefits, for at least a year during adulthood. turer Lisbeth B. Schorr says that social medical benefits, and the additional bur Urban Institute economist Isabel V₁ service agencies have to do A better job den of child care, many figure they're Sawhill worries that underclass commu- of coordinating the services they deliver better off staying home. "The system hities will be "breeding grounds for an- to poor families, who often suffer from goes around and chokes you," says other generation of poor people with a spectrum of problems. An agency Bonita Williams, & 24-year-old mother little hope of becoming part of the that provides preschool education to & of six who lives at the Milwaukee Fam- mainstream." child without addressing a parent's de- pression or the child's nearsightedness won't help much. "The programs that work best are comprehensive and inten- sive," she says. INTIMIDATED. Encouraging the employ- ment of young adults is another neces- sity. In Boston, a successful business- backed program is teaching 150 poor adults such workplace skills as résumé- writing, interviewing procedures, and telephone etiquette. James B. Marshall Jr., who is in charge of the program, says many youths are intimidated by the prospect of leaving isolated ghettos such as Roxbury to work in a down- town glass tower. Other programs that provide intensive remedial education, job training, and child care have helped long-term welfare mothers enter the la- bor force. North Carolina's Kasarda believes that suburban employers must reach out as well through job information networks and provide transportation pools. Marshall says that employers, who are often reluctant to hire inner- city youths, "have to understand that SAVE THE CHILD: ily Crisis Center. To break the chain, some black lead- their personnel in the next 10 years is Improved services for Child care and job ers are calling on the black middle class going to be different from what they're training are a for for assistance. Others are saying that used to." children, such as cus of the new $3 poor blacks themselves must accept This realization is the product of de- day care for billion welfare re- greater responsibility-and that their mographic trends that in some areas form bill pending community offers positive models, too. are already producing labor shortages disadvantaged kids in Congress. "There are kids who are not on drugs among young, entry-level workers, in New York's East Whatever the and teenagers who are not getting However, federal policymakers, worried Harlem, may be the causes of the un- pregnant," says Robert L Woodson, about yawning budget deficits, seem derclass phenome- president of the Washington-based Na. unlikely to launch a major new effort to surest way to break non, there is no tional Center for Neighborhood Enter- address the problems. There is little po- the cycle of poverty question that the prise, which encourages tenant man- litical gain to be had from aiding the consequences for agement of public housing projects as powerless underclass, and indeed, the black children have been disastrous. well as other community self-help pro- Presidential candidates have not taken Three-quarters of them spend at least grams. "We need to learn from people up their cause. some time in poverty, compared with who are successful." Yet, argues Princeton sociologist one-fourth of white children. One-third Improving the schools that poor chil- Richard Nathan, "if there was ever a of black kids are poor for seven years dren attend is critical as well (page 115). time to work at these issues, it's now, or more. And those growing up poor So is reaching the child before school. when there's a declining labor force." If are more likely to become parents Last year the Committee for Economic America lets this opportunity pass, it themselves at an early age. In turn, ROSEM/PICTURE GROUP Development, a corporate-funded re- will do so at its own social and econom- their babies are at risk from low birth- search group, recommended $11 billion id peril. weight, which tends to increase the in additional spending on prenatal care By Susan B. Garland in Washington, chances of brain damage and learning and nutrition for pregnant women and with Lois Therrien in Milwaukee and Keith disabilities. preschool education for the nation's H. Hammonds in Boston 114 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P18 Special Report SECOND GRADE IN TEXAS AMERICA'S SCHOOLS STILL AREN'T MAKING THE GRADE A quarter of high school grads are only marginally literate-and reformers disagree on what to fix Americans have al- schoolhouse door. Economic growth, ranked U.S. students compare well with ways asked a lot of competitiveness, and living standards their peers in industrialized nations, their schools: Civi- depend heavily on making investments the rest do worse. One million young lize the frontier in human capital. That means attending people drop out of high school every with the three Rs, to the state of America's schools. year. Rates approach 50% In some inner assimilate immi- It is 3 worrisome state. Although top- cities. Of the 2.4 million who graduate, grants, secure U.S. as many as 25% cannot read or military might by bolstering high write at the eighth-grade, or school science. At its most funda- "functionally literate," level, ac- mental, democracy aspires to Some 35% of the nation's cording to some estimates. produce literate, responsible citi- 11th graders write at or Most 17-year-olds in school zens. But social and economic below this cannot summarize a newspa- change has continually reshaped from training homemakers to fos- tering integration. TESTIMG stayid I level: thing and al been need streatey experience get to lest per article, write & good let- what school is expected to do- ter requesting 8 job, solve real-life math problems, or follow a bus schedule. A new call for school reform is What's needed is a do- ringing across the land. This one or-die battle to turn the DATA: is different: The nation's economic IDUCATIONAL schools around. But the front problems are being placed at the lines are weary-and fresh recruits people 116 02. 1 5. 90 11:28 *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P P19 Special Report are scarce. Between retire- vidual learning styles or ment and normal attrition. Almost half (48.9%) of the nation's 17-year-olds could to respond to students' America could need to re- place 1 million teach- not correctly answer math questions of this type: social problems. They stress the importance of ers-half the current expectation and high stan- force-before the end dards. holding up such ex- of the century. But only amples as William Lloyd 8% of today's 1.6 million Garrison School, where college freshmen say South Bronx kids from they're interested in teach low-income families test ing, and half of those will at or above grade levels typically change their in reading. "You don't minds. Worse, half of all change the principles of new hires leave teaching medicine when patients within seven years. And have poorer health or a with shortages of educated poorer state of nutrition," workers looming through- insists outgoing Education out the economy, schools Secretary William J. Ben- will be competing with nett. When Bennett urges other sectors for quality school overhaul, he means candidates. DATA: EDUCATIONAL TESTING SERVICE a shift of power from the LEMONS.' The demand for educational Establish- school reform has been per ment-teachers' unions, colating since the mid-1970s, administrators, and col- when declining results on stan- leges of education-to par- dardized tests raised concerns about ba- it. In a 1987 Harris Poll, 90% of those ents, citizens, and state legislatures. sic skills. It exploded in 1983, after the surveyed endorsed the principle that Traditionalists point to Japan, where National Commission on Excellence in "for the U.S. to become competitive, we students seem to perform as well as or Education released A Nation at Risk. must pay more for quality education" better at all levels than U.S. kids. Japa- Warning of B "rising tide of mediocrity" and get "tangible results." nese mothers are highly involved in their in public schools, it called for rigorous The tricky question: how to get those children's schooling. teachers are re- academic standards and a standardized, results. Educators are sharply divided. spected and well-paid, the school year is traditional high school curriculum of his- Some endorse the call for strengthening longer, and more homework is given. tory, Western literature, foreign lan- the traditional curriculum. AFT's "The Japanese system," says Bennett, guages, science, and math. Shanker would give teachers B freer "is pretty close to a system of education Critics still blast the report as elitist hand to restructure the classroom envi- that is universal and of quality." or oversimplified. But few deny that our ronment. Others say schools must take MASS PRODUCTION. Those for whom tra- schools need fixing. "If a company was on new family-like roles to nurture the dition is not a panacea say American turning out 90% lemons, we would re- growing numbers of poor or troubled schools must change with the times. think the whole production process," kids in the system. They argue that the public school sys- says Albert Shanker, president of the Predictably, conservatives deride the tem was organized along factory lines in American Federation of Teachers (AFT). idea that schools should depart from tra- the 1920s by a society enchanted by "This is not a question of a few recalls. ditional teaching formulas to suit indi- mass production. Classrooms were stan- The system is producing lemons." dardized, and decisions about teaching Most Americans want to methods and content do something about CHARGES BY JON DAMAHER THE PAYOFF OF BUT TEACHERS' SALARIES AND FEW WANT EDUCATION IS HUGE HAVE GONE NOWHERE TEACHING CAREER 1966 EARNINGS OF new 28 DROPOUTS 1971 25-29 AVERAGE SALARIES HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATES (ADJUSTED FORINFLATION 1987 N 10 SOME COLLEGE PERCENT COLLEGE GRADUATES 24 COLLEGE 25 THOUSANDS 06 1984 BOLLARS Z? 2971-72 1967-88 THOUSANDS of 1988 DOLLARS currel RE LABOR MARKET STUDIES, AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS, 116 02. 1 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P20 SpecialReport were passed from state offices to super- mand-control management-a system Indeed, concerns about basic skills intendents to principals and finally to designed to stifie creativity and indepen- already have produced some improve- the chalk-wielding line workers: teach. dent judgment." ments along traditional lines. Education- ers. After a 50-minute class, the bell To education reformers, it is signifi- al Testing Service (ETS), a testing- rang and pupils moved on. "If the stu- cant that the Japanese themselves are and-research organization based in dent is viewed as an inanimate object beginning to worry that their nation's Princeton, N.J., reports that test moving on an assembly line, this makes learning style, heavily based on rote and scores in math, reading, computer 11- perfect sense," Shanker says. memorization, doesn't promote creative teracy, and science have gone up since THOROUGHLY DISCREDITED.' Successful thinking and flexible skills, "In Japan the mid-1970s. Most of that came from companies, as Xerox Corp. Chairman they do harder and longer what we do, minority kids, who increased from 16% David T. Kearns notes in Winning the and get better results," argues Adam to 23% of all schoolchildren. But "the Brain Race, "have discarded the archa- Urbanski, president of the Rochester bad news is that we haven't budged in ic, outmoded, and thoroughly discredited (N. Y.) Teachers Assn. "The purpose of improving higher-order skills, critical. practices that are still in place in most of reform is to do it differently-to chal- thinking skills," says Archie E. La- our large school districts: top-down, com- lenge the fundamental structure." Pointe, head of ETS'S National Assess- offered college scholarships to all pupils who stayed in school. He paid for remedi- al and counseling staff and became in- BUSINESS IS BECOMING A volved with the kids. Of the 54 original pupils who remained in New York, 50 fin- SUBSTITUTE TEACHER ished high school, and 84 are in college. The recipe has been followed by corpo- rations as well. More than 1,000 Dallas New York's Chemi- Passion for school reform is gripping businesses have adopted the city's 200 cal Bank has an Corporate America. It is marshaling re- public schools. The sponsors provide vol- alarming problem: it sources, energy, and influence to improve unteers and donate funds and equipment. has to interview 40 education. Hundreds of partnerships are At Tenth Street Elementary School in Los high school gradu- blooming between school and business. Angeles, 125 Arco On & Gas Co. employ- ates to find one who They run the gamut: gifts of equipment, ees-from secretaries to top brass-help makes it through the paid work-study programs, teacher train- out in the classrooms, tutoring immigrant bank's training program for new tellers. ing, and literacy volunteers. But there are and minority students in English, math, The Chemical reaction? The bank has questions about the effectiveness and geography, and computer sciences. adopted two schools and is helping form a reach of these programs. The biggest un- Pacific Northwest Bell Telephone Co. in high school debating league. Chemical known is whether business will have the Seattle adopted a local school. But this Chairman Walter V. Shipley believes pa- patience to stay the course. modest involvement mushroomed in 1983 rental involvement is the ideal: "Unfortu- Many join-a-school partnerships have thanks to Gary A. Frizzell, PNB's new edu- STEVE SMITH nately you.don't always have that commit- been forged. In 1981, New York industri- cational relations manager, who happened ment from parents, so business must try alist Eugene Lang addressed a sixth- to be coping off-hours with an spathetic to find more ways to fill the gap." grade class at his Harlem alma mater and 14-year-old son. He tried to reach the boy with heart-to-heart SOWING SENDS talks and & series of 'Adopt-a-school' letters-which evolved programs are into Choices, an out- reach program encour- sprouting up. At Los aging kids to stay in Angeles' Tenth school. Volunteers Street Elementary from 65 participating companies have ad. School, an Arco dressed more than professional leads a 800,000 eighth and ninth graders in 41 nature class states. "Business is the user of éducation's product-students, and it ought to replen- ish," says Frizzell, now heading an educa- tion foundation for PNB's parent, U.S. West in Denver. Businesses are focusing on teachers, as well. Two years ago, IBM Vice-Chairman Lewis M. Branscomb headed a Carnegie Forum task force that recommended high- er pay, more autonomy, and national com- petence testing for teachers. Honeywell Inc. sponsors & summer Teacher Acade- my, where Minneapolis high school math and science teachers team up with re- H7 02. 11:28 AM *OFC ASST SECT-ETA P21 ment of Educational Progress (NAEP). peer tutoring, team learning, simulation menta," says retired Procter & Gamble It's higher order skills that a sophisti- games, and other nontraditional ap- Chairman Owen B. Butler. "No effort to cated economy increasingly needs. proaches, particularly for disadvantaged change that culture can be expected to "Over the long term, basic skills only children for whom formal classrooms succeed in five years." give you the right to compete against are threatening ground. TEACHER THOUGLE. Whether it's tradi- the Third World for Third World So passionate is the debate that re- tionalism or radical reform, better wages," notes Marc S. Tucker, chairman form is threatened with paralysis by schools require more and better teach- of the National Center on Education & analysis. No single educational philoso- ers. And here there is trouble. Morale the Economy in Rochester, N. Y. To phy can be expected to win the day in a among teachers, who are poorly paid achieve more advanced goals, "I'd like to country as heterogeneous as the U.S. and garner little esteem, is at low ebb. see B lot less of kids sitting quietly in What might work in a high-income sub- For years the numbers of college stu- rows and à lot more deeply engaged in urban school district could create havoe dents entering teaching has been in de- projects in which they are heavily invest- in an inner-city ghetto. And there are no cline, and those who do choose teaching ed, which require them to learn a lot." quick fixes. "Imagine a business with often come from the bottom quartile of Tucker maintains that most kids don't 50 totally autonomous divisions and their college class. The shortage is acute learn well by listening to a lecture or 16,000 subsidiaries, each with its own for teachers of math and acience and for reading the text. He and others advocate board of directors and labor agree- the minority teachers desperately need- searchers to develop class projects using gulf between high school and what comes terns apprenticing in maintenance engi- state-of-the-art computers and equipment. after. That is, not pushing old-style v neering at Beacon Co. Under a separate Minnesota companies have a tradition tional education but bringing some notion program, companies hired 1,000 high of social investing. Honeywell has provid- of work life and promise of opportunity to school graduates, 72% of them black or ed equipment, volunteers, and technical kids floundering on the margins. That Hispanic, into permanent jobs. PIC also of. advice to schools for 20 years. Last year it was the plan behind the Boston Compact, fers jobs and counseling to dropouts, and gave $7.8 million, about 2% of its U.S. a 1983 agreement between the Private In- guidance to ninth graders. pretax profits, to philanthropy. Of that, dustry Council (PIC) and the school system UNFAIR SURSHER. Rebuilding a school sys- $2.9 million went to education. to offer summer and per- term proved tougher. Reading and math Not all educators welcome corpo- JOE TRAINING manent jobs in exchange scores rose modestly. Attendance went rate largesse. Some worry there Boston's intern for improving the schools. up. But Boston's dropout rate is stuck at will be strings attached. "We've Last year, 669 Boston 46%. "The business community has done been in the business of education program is giving companies created summer its job. I think everyone's disappointed on for 126 years," says Robert Astrup, many poor youths jobs for 3,000 students, at the school aide," declares Edward E. Phil- president of the Minnesota Educa- their first jobs. an average hourly wage of lips, chairman of insurer The New En- tion Assn., which represents 80% of $5.39. Napoleon "Eddie" gland. To do more, he says, "would be a the state's teachers. "We would Eddie Santos (right) Santos, 17 and a senior at pretty unfair burden on businesses. We like businesses to be advocates- is an apprentice Dorchester High School, pay hefty taxes to support the system not leaders." Joan Canella, director got his first real job that maintenance already." of the Bank Street School for Chil- way, This summer he was But some corporate leaders insist an dren in New York, sees it another engineer one of-four full-time in- even broader burden must be borne. Har- way: "The best thing business can old W. McGraw Jr., chairman emer- do for schools is make it possible to itus of McGraw-Hill Inc., which combine work and family, allowing publishes BUSINESS WEEK, heads working parents to get involved the Business Council for Effective with the schools." Literacy, aimed at millions of U.S. HARD KNOCKS. Dade County, Fla., adults who lack functional reading hosts one such experiment. To ease skills. Owen B. Butler, retired overcrowding and reduce working chairman of Procter & Gamble Co. parents' stress, the school system focuses on the very young: "The set up minischools in workplaces. best way for business to invest in Last fall, American Bankers Insur- educating the disadvantaged is to ance Group Inc. opened the first reach them early. By age 5, they're "satellite learning center" to serve already 30 deprived they can't bene- employees. It built a $850,000 fit from schooling," he says. Butler schoolhouse for 50 kindergarteners lauds such efforts as Success by and first graders. The county pro- Six. In that program, Minneapolis vides teachers and books. employers, civic groups, and In Chicago, local companies, in- schools spent $647,000 this year on cluding Borg-Warner, Sears, John- early childhood health and educa- son Publishing, and McDonald's, tion through the local United Way. opened their own school. Privately A departure from corporate prac. funded, tuition-free, the Corporate/ tice? Not for Butler. "It took us Community School of Chicago is to years to develop Tartar-Control be a laboratory-in-action addressing Crest, years to make & profit on the problems of inner-city schools. our investment. So we understood Its enrollment, now at 150, will the economics of early childhood grow to 300 children, from nursery programs." For him, the long view school to eighth grade. on education is just good business. Perhaps the most obvious role By Elizabeth Ehrlich in New York, for business is to help bridge the with bureau reports BETH RESMICK 118 ASST SECT-ETA P22 Special Report ed in poor communities as role models. only stable institutions in some kids' ing to do society's work, the schools Increasing pay can help recruit and lives. A handful of inner-city schools are must respond." retain teachers. But so far efforts in trying on-site day care for teenage moth- One way to make the schools more that direction have raised average start- ers, after-school hours to increase. learn- responsive to the needs of the students ing salaries only to the $18,000 range- ing time, and intensive anti-dropout is to force them to compete for students. hardly enough to entice talented-stu- counseling. Arkansas, New York City, Some 20 years ago economist Milton dents away from other professional California, and Minnesota have started Friedman, a Nobel prizewinner, pro- tracks. A few school districts, though, prekindergartens for four-year-olds. posed issuing vouchers to families for now pay their best or most experienced "Pedagogic reforms are wasted unless the amount it costs to educate their kids. teachers several times that amount. you do something about social-capital Parents would select among the schools, To attract more teachers, "paying" with the vouchers, New Jersey is experiment- so schools would have to up- ing with alternatives to the grade or lose funding. standard-certification route Although no school system so that college graduates in has yet issued a Friedman fields other than education voucher, there is growing can come aboard. Using au- support for the idea of pa- diovisual aids, computers, rental choice to foster com- satellite teaching, team- petition, accountability, and teaching, and even switch- parental involvement. The ing to staggered semesters National Governors' Assn. can cut down the number of believes that choice within teachers required as well. the public schools "can pro- Moving teachers who mote equity." Poor kids, have been promoted into claims Heritage Foundation management jobs back into analyst Jeanne Allen, would classrooms could be one so- benefit most, since wealthier lution to the labor shortage. families already choose School systems are notori- schools by moving to com- ously bureaucratic. Accord- munities with good ones. ing to the AFT, from 1975 to In the past, though, choice 1986 school districts hired has sometimes been used to one curriculum adviser, pro- thwart integration. In some gram director, or other desk places, so-called magnet worker for every new class- schools-the best schools in room teacher. "Before we the district-skim off the ask for additional funds, community's best students, we must reorder our priori- leaving other schools worse ties," says Mary Hatwood off. "You don't improve Futrell, president of the Na- schools by running away tional Education Association from schools," bristles NEA (NEA). President Futrell. Minneso- How to shrink staff and ta's teachers are suing their administrative functions state over its new Choose-s- isn't the only thing schools School plan, which lets kids can learn from business. In- enroll in any public school. centive pay can also help. In Other experiments are on Rochester, N. Y., last year, A RAGING DERATE building," says Primerica direc- the way. Boston University is taking on the teachers' union sat down Traditionalists tor and social activist William S. the reorganization of the troubled Chel- with administrators to bar- Woodside. sea (Mass.) school system. New Jersey gain for school-based deci- stress the importance Northeastern University econ- has begun a hostile takeover of Jersey PHOTOGRAPHS BY HORM/PICTURE GROUP, HARRS/THE STOCK MARKET sion-making and pay hikes of a strong omist Andrew Sum argues that City schools, whose performance was of more than 40%. The new curriculum and an extended school year, which close to meltdown. But much of the ays- contract also established a the Japanese have shown bene- tem still is plagued with inertia and insti- career ladder with a top high standards. fits middle-class pupils, can do tutional rigidity. If there is to be mean- rung of so-called lead teach- Others want reforms even more for poor kids who, ingful reform, adversaries in the ers who can earn up to left to home and peer influ- education community will have to cede $70,000 per year in the con- such as peer tutoring ences, tend to lose ground in cherished turf and cooperate. tract's third year. Top pay and team learning summer. California is moving to The alternative-bumbling along from requires them to accept as- year-round schools to increase crisis to crisis while presiding over de- signments in the system's toughest learning time-and to handle a shortage cline-is simply not acceptable. Schools schools, now often in the hands of novice of classroom space. are the crucible where children do or teachers. "They'll be the Clint SCHOOL VOUCHERS. Sar Levitan of don't become productive members of the Eastwoods of teaching," says union George Washington University believes community. For children growing into head Urbanski. schools must assume even more roles to citizens-and for a society that wants to Reaching disadvantaged kids in tough fill the gap left by working mothers. prosper-education is just too important neighborhoods also may require expand- "I'm not a moralist, I'm only an econo- to entrust to the status quo. ing the traditional role of schools-the mist," Levitan says, "If women are go- By Elizabeth Ehrlich in New York 119 02. 15. 90 11:28 AM *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P23 Special Report IT'S TIME TO PUT OUR MONEY WHERE OUR FUTURE IS Investments in education and training will yield sure-fire returns we can't afford to ignore In the U.S., when nologies will demand that skills keep im- ment should come through loud and you turn 18 or be- proving. Ignorance costs far more than clear. The federal government, state and come a citizen, you knowledge. local governments, business, labor, and may register to In B $4 trillion economy with a $1 tril- the electorate will all have to do their vote. The process lion federal budget there is surely room part. What should be done? Here are varies from state for some shifts in spending: away from some suggestions: to state, depending plant and equipment and toward work- Instill the habite of learning and work. on the requirements of the local board ers; away from the aged and toward the ing In kids at an early age. "Early inter- of elections. But one thing is true across very young; and even away from guns vention" by means of preschool pro- the nation: You do not need to be able to and toward people. Whoever wins the grams has shown proven results. read or write. The Voting Rights Act of Presidential election on Nov. 8 should Numerous studies demonstrate that the 1965 and its amendments abolished liter- spearhead a new national commitment to younger the child, the greater the long- acy tests, among other discriminatory lo- America's future by investing in its peo- run payoff of an investment in that cal requirements, that had long disen- ple. Whatever it takes-new money or a child. Often moth- franchised millions of black and reallocation of resources-the commit- ers become in- disadvantaged citizens. Yet today the person who can vote but cannot read and write remains disen- franchised in another, more fundamen- tal, sense. The right to earn a decent wage and make a productive contribu- tion to society can't easily be exercised by the illiterate, the poorly educated, and the unskilled. Disenfranchised, too, is the unemployed steelworker unable to find the job to fit his unneeded skills. Then there's the single mother unable to find affordable day care for her toddler so that she can go to work. The cold, hard, economic facts make a compelling case for action. The direct costs are clear: Incomes are lost, and unemployment and welfare benefits are paid out But the overall loss to the econ- omy is bigger still. America's most pro- ductive resource, its people, is not being fully utilized. TIME BOMB. The bean-counters in Wash- ington and state capitals around the country will say there is no money available to invest in educating and training tomorrow's work force. And some economists, such as University of Chicago professor and BUSINESS WEEK columnist Gary S. Becker, whose pio- neering work measured the rate of re- turn to investments in human capital, would prefer that market forces elimi- nate the mismatch between jobs and skills. But labor markets take time to work, and time is of the essence. Al- ready the nation has suffered the conse- quences in the international market- place; in the future, flercer competition, changing demographics, and new tech- 120 1 90 8 *OFC OF ASST SECT-ETA P24 volved in these programs as well, and derly have grown faster than inflation. Dept. could do more to promote demon- they help to nurture and sustain 8 learn- Prenatal and preschool programs could stration projects and fund education re- ing ethic in their kids. reach most eligible participants with an- search-efforts that would help educa- For every dollar invested in preschool nual funding of anywhere from $2 bil- tors improve the schools. programs such as the government's 23- lion to $10 billion, experts estimate. In- Adopt major new Incentives to train year-old Head Start program or the Per- creases of such magnitude, observes and retroin workers. In a competitive ry Preschool program in Ypsilanti, Isabel V. Sawhill, senior fellow at the and rapidly changing economy, old skills Mich., more than four times that amount Urban Institute in Washington, "won't become outdated and new skills are is saved in public assistance, special edu- exactly kill us." needed. "Most of us, after the age of 25, cation, and other costs. Children enrolled Pay teachers more, and perhaps trans- change occupations three times and jobs in such programs are much more likely form the whole teaching process. First six times," observes Pat Choate, director to graduate from high school and be there was reform, now there's restruc- of TRW Inc.'s Office of Policy Analysis. employed than children not enrolled in turing. The process has begun, but more How to prepare people for those the programs. Some experts urge even has to be done to enable the nation's changes? Spread the cost of training earlier intervention, saying help should schools to prepare students for life and through new initiatives. An investment begin in the womb. Each dollar spent on work. This could involve "team" instruc- tax credit to businesses for money spent prenatal care saves $8.88 in the cost of tion, with highly qualified "lead" teach- on improving worker skills is one idea. care for law birth-weight babies. crs, and new ways to teach thinking Or 8 tax credit could be granted to indi- At the moment the government skills as well as the basics. viduals for investments in training and spends about $2.4 billion a year on the While the impetus and financing for education they make on their own. An- care and education of preschoolers. Com- these changes must come at the state other incentive to both employers and pare that with a tab of $8.7 billion for and local level, the federal government workers would be a tax-free individual one year's spending on space research can play an important role as & catalyst training account, akin to the individual and technology. Or $88 billion for a sin- for change. The Education Dept. has & retirement account, which could be joint- gle year's worth of military research, mixed record on this score. Its report, A ly contributed to by workers and busi- development, and testing. Or compare it, Nation at Risk, shook up public school nesses. For years, any tax break grant- even, with spending on the elderly. Since administrators and launched a reform ed industry has been skewed way in 1980, social programs that benefit chil- process, but outgoing Education Secre- favor of physical investment. These pro- dren have suffered budget cuts in real tary William J. Bennett has been impa- posals would reverse that blas. terms, while programs benefiting the el- tient with results. And the Education Tallor the workplace to the new labor force. To retain female workers who have many years' experience, and to en- able those workers to be more produc- tive, companies should extend child-care benefits to a far greater extent than they have to date. To keep older workers productive, employers should offer new duties and more flexible hours. And granting workers portable benefits could make them more mobile, and thus more responsive to the fast-changing la- bor demands of employers. Too frequently, managers have looked at workers as 8 cost rather than a re- source. And every extra dollar spent on workers was viewed as that much more of a burden, whereas it could be, if wise- ly spent, a means to empower workers to do better. Hundreds of companies now recognize this to be true with re- spect to training. Investments in train- ing yield tangible rewards, and accord- ingly business spends approximately 380 billion a year on training. The rewards of changing the workplace are also large. But a massive cultural adjustment may be necessary to realize them. There's no doubt that government is in 8 belt-tightening mood, and business is eager to keep costs under control. But without strong leadership and new spending priorities, America's most pre- clous resource will be neglected. In the words of a familiar advertisement: A mind is a terrible thing to waste. By Karen Pennor in New York For information on reprints of this Special Report, call Business Week Reprints at 609 426-5494, or write Business Week Reprints, P.O. Box 457, Hightstown, N.J. 08520. 121 INDUSTRIAL EDUCATION December 5, 1989 Ms. Holly Williamson THE WHITE HOUSE OEOB 117 Washington, DC 20500 Dear Ms. Williamson: It was a pleasure speaking with you last week. I am very please with the president's decision to write an article for our publication, INDUSTRIAL EDUCATION. As you are well aware, all eyes are on education here in the United States, and technological training is a major aspect of the overall education picture of the future. INDUSTRIAL EDUCATION serves 48,500 teachers and administrators in the secondary and postsecondary levels of education. The editorial content focuses on advanced technology and its interface with the future workplace. The three R's are no longer sufficient to enable a young person to function in society. The need for technological proficiency is extremely important today. The allocation of funds for education is secondary to the proper use of those funds. I believe this philosophy is in line with the president's thinking on educational spending. The media has labeled President Bush the "Educational President." We would like to offer him the opportunity to tell our readers and their colleagues where he sees education going, and how they can support his efforts. I have enclosed several back issues of our publication for your review. I do not wish to direct this too much, as I am more interested in the president's thoughts on education rather than mine. If you wish to have more direction, please do not hesitate to call me. I look forward to hearing from you when you have additional information for US. This article is scheduled for the March issue, SO we will need copy in mid-January. We would also like to run his photo on the cover, as we see this as possibly the most important issue of the year. Please let me know if I can be of additional help. Sincerely, Andrew J Cummins President AJC/lt Enclosures Cummins Publishing Company 26011 Evergreen Rd Suite 204 Southfield, MI 48076 313/358 -4900 Fax: 313/358 -3965 Cummins Publishing Company 26011 Evergreen Road Suite 204 10, 1989 Southfield, Michigan 48076 313/358-4900 Fax:313/358-3965 30 Honorable George Bush President of the United States The White House Washington, DC 20500 Dear Mr. President: As the publisher of a national publication serving teachers and administrators in vocational and technical education, I must commend you on your recent educational initiative. The education summit, held at the University of Virginia, is a major stride toward opening the eyes of all Americans to the need for improvement in our educational system. Our publication, INDUSTRIAL EDUCATION, serves the vocational/technical segment of the educational market. Our 48,000 readers are teachers and administrators in the secondary and post-secondary levels of education. This represents an important segment of education in general because it focuses on specific job skills training and future job employment for those students who will either go on to an engineering program or into the labor force with a specific skill. This influential audience would be very interested in knowing how your perspective on education interfaces with their special needs. I would like to request an interview with you SO that we may highlight you and your programs for our readers. The article would focus specifically on you and what your administration is doing to improve education in the United States. We would like to help you take your message directly to this audience, as they are extremely interested in knowing what role they will play in the future of education in this country. As I am aware that your schedule is much more complex than mine, I will make myself available at your convenience. I look forward to this opportunity and your earliest response. ander Very Andrew Editor Truly Publisher J. Cummins Yours a position I what onfuture would of lieu ed + accuringl, life, AJC/lt oncour colored 2. 650 woowords -notyet CO 50,000 in HS/Ubcrch WORKFORCE 2000 WORK AND WORKERS FOR THE 21ST CENTURY 116 WORKFORCE 2000 factories, mines, and production machinery within a nation's bor- ders. As the miraculous rebirth of Europe and Japan after World War II has proven, however, the foundation of national wealth is really people-the human capital represented by their knowledge, skills, organizations, and motivations. Just as the primary assets of a modern corporation leave the workplace each night to go home for dinner, so the income-generating assets of a nation are the knowledge and skills of its workers-not its industrial plants or natural resourc- es. As the economies of developed nations move further into the post-industrial era, human capital plays an ever more important role in their progress. As the society becomes more complex, the amount of education and knowledge needed to make a productive contribu- tion to the economy becomes greater. A century ago, a high school education was thought to be superfluous for factory workers and a college degree was the mark of an academic or a lawyer. Between now and the year 2000, for the first time in history, a majority of all new jobs will require postsecondary education. Many professions will require nearly a decade of study following high school, and even the least skilled jobs will require a command of reading, computing, and thinking that was once necessary only for the professions. Education and training are the primary systems by which the human capital of a nation is preserved and increased. The speed and efficiency with which these education systems transmit knowledge govern the rate at which human capital can be developed. Even more than such closely-watched indicators as the rate of investment in plant and equipment, human capital formation plays a direct role in how fast the economy can grow. If every child who reaches the age of seventeen between now and the year 2000 could read sophisticated materials, write clearly, speak articulately, and solve complex problems requiring algebra and statistics, the American economy could easily approach or exceed the 4 percent growth of the boom scenario. Unconstrained by shortages of competent, well-educated workers, American industry would be able to expand and develop as rapidly as world markets would allow. Boosted by the productivity of well-qualified workforce, U.S.-based companies would reassert historic American leadership in old and new industries, and American workers would enjoy the rising standards of living they enjoyed in the 1950s and 1960s. 01.04..90 05:14 PM *PUBLIC AFFAIRS SERV. P02/09 DRAFT industrial ed mag C. 1250 words 500-750 650-1000 requested for final article wang 1024E susan wolf 732-4569 We are spending more than $350 billion a year on education in this country, but the return on our investment has been disappointing. One in five high school students drops out of school. Almost one in five high school graduates cannot read NEG at the level necessary for most entry-level jobs in business or industry. The challenge is this: How are we going to make independent, productive citizens of our young people and of others not now part of our economy? 01. 04. 90 05:14 PM *PUBLIC AFFAIRS SERV. P03/09 -2- School reform is under way. We are raising expectations and standards, encouraging excellence. We are improving the Refor accountability of teachers for what they teach, of students for what they learn, and of institutions for the results of their programs. One important reform being considered and adopted in many states is a policy known as choice, which allows parents to choose the public schools their children will attend. This approach forces schools to compete for students by offering choic quality programs, encourages some schools to specialize in areas in which they excel, and enhances parent involvement. In the process, bureaucracies are streamlined to allow individual schools to be more autonomous and innovative. You in vocational and technical education, who have always had to market your programs to prospective students, have extensive experience with the choice concept. In addition, perhaps no other program has as much potential for bringing individuals into the mainstream of productivity as vocational education. Vocational education can benefit a vast array of untapped talent--dropouts and at-risk high school students who see no opportunities; postsecondary students who see bo connection between school and work; the underskilled who need training; the older and more experienced workers who need additional training; the disabled seeking the chance to prove 01. 04. 90 05:14 PM *PUBLIC AFFAIRS SERV. P04/09 -3- their abilities; dual career families who need flexibility. In fact, it is crucial that vocational education enlist and develop the unlimited potential of such individuals. You know that the end of the "Baby Boom" is leaving us with a shrinking work force. By 2010, there will be more jobs than job seekers. More than half those jobs will require a year or more of studies eyond high school. In addition to job skills, workers will increasingly need strong basic skills--reading, writing, and computing--and the adaptability to be trained and retrained as technology advances. It is estimated that more than 50 million people will need some kind of vocational training between now and the end of the century. Obviously, a great part of the challenge ahead falls squarely in the lap of vocational education. Meeting the needs of 50 million people will call for better, new, and well-coordinated programs. It must be our goal to prevent even one individual from slipping through the cracks. We know that vocational education has launched many successful careers and turned lives around: *Major General Joe Henry Engle, who has commanded two U.S. space shuttle flights, started out as an industrial arts student in a Kansas high school. Eq 01. 04. 90 05:14 PM *PUBLIC AFFAIRS SERV. P05/09 -4- *Dorothy Holland, the first woman vice president of Kraft, Inc., began her career teaching home economics in a vocational education program. *Internationally known fashion and home furnishings designer, Norma Kamali, is a graduate of a vocational school--the Fashion Institute of Technology in New York. *George Shinn worked his way through vocational school as a janitor. Eventually, he owned 22 business schools in 10 states. In 1975 he won the Horatio Alger Award given for rags-to-riches success and is the author of The American Dream 1 Still Works. *Frederick J. Napolitano, chairman of the board of Pembroke Loth Enterprises, Incorporated in Virginia Beach, Virginia, began his career as an apprentice bricklayer at the age of 18 and then studied at the Mechanics Institute in New York City. Although the current federal financial contribution to vocational education is only a small part of total funding-only one in every 10 to 12 dollars expended nationwide--federal leadership can help point the way toward Fel. Fed more effective vocational education programs. The Perkins Act, the basic vocational education grant to the states, is currently undergoing reauthorization by Congress. The 01. 04. 90 05:14 PM *PUBLIC AFFAIRS SERV. P06/09 -5- Administration's Vocational Education Excellence Act of 1989, which is currently under consideration by the Congress, recommends improvements to the Perkins Act in several areas: ACCOUNTABILITY: Our bill would require the states to develop specific goals for student improvement in basic skills, in job Fel.,Lob skills, for success in the labor market, and for any other areas the states deem appropriate. Further, we recommend that states be required to use these goals in measuring the quality of federally funded vocational training programs to determine which programs should receive continued support. SIMPLIFICATION AND FLEXIBILITY: Because activities for special populations needing federal support may differ considerably from one region of the country to another, our bill emphasizes more state and local direction of federal funds. Our bill would retain the requirement that 57 percent of basic state grant funds be allocated for special populations. But, within that amount, most set-asides, hold-harmless requirements, and special formula grant programs would be eliminated to give the states more flexibility. PROGRAM IMPROVEMENT: Currently, 26 different activities are authorized under the program improvement portion of the basic grant. We propose reorganizing these into three broad categories: (1) professional development of teachers, 01. 04. 90 05:14 PM *PUBLIC AFFAIRS SERV. P07/09 -6- counselors, and administrators; (2) acquisition of instructional equipment and materials and (3) curriculum development, dissemination, and field testing. All would be linked closely to program improvement to ensure that federal funds are used for improvement, expansion, and program innovation rather than for maintenance of ongoing programs. ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: Our bill includes new provisions to ensure that Perkins Act funds are coordinated with state and local economic development. The bill would require the states to use funds for occupationally specific programs solely to train students for jobs in which openings are projected and not likely to be filled without the continuation or establishment of public vocational education programs. Further, the proposal would shift from the state legislature to the governor the authority to review state plans to ensure that vocational education programs are coordinated with the overall economic and job training strategy in the state, including Job Training Partnership Act programs. In addition to these legislative proposals, I would like to What suggest other ways in which you as administrators and teachers can work to improve vocational education programs. 01. 04. 90 05:14 PM *PUBLIC AFFAIRS SERV. P08/09 -7- Too often vocational education is seen as a separate program rather than as an integral part of a school's curriculum. But when vocational programs are tied to regular classroom learning, the vocational student has the chance both to master basic skills and to learn theories that have practical application in vocational classes. Another type of program that can serve vocational students well involves coordinating curricula between a secondary school and a postsecondary institution, making for a comprehensive course of study. I urge you to be creative in coordinating vocational education and academic resources and in coordinating vocational education cando programs offered by different types of institutions. I also hope you will continue to seek out partnerships with the private sector. Business leaders are in touch with current and projected labor needs. They can help set goals in vocational education and can help keep the curriculum fresh and up-to-date. In addition, partnerships with local businesses and the community at large can provide expertise as well as role models to help students see the relevance of their training and to inspire them to set ambitious goals for themselves. I have asked the Department of Education to work closely with Congress to achieve the most effective legislation possible to 01. 04.90 05:14 PM *PUBLIC AFFAIRS SERV. P09/09 -8- enable our vocational education system to meet the challenge ahead. We must offer the chance for a productive life and a place in the economy to every individual in this nation. Vocational education can do just that for millions of Americans, and I do not think it is going too far to say that the future of this nation depends to a great extent on the success of your efforts in vocational education.