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Originally Processed With FOIA(s): FOIA Number: S S FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential Library Staff. Record Group/Collection: George H.W. Bush Presidential Records Collection/Office of Origin: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Speech File Backup Files Subseries: Chron Files, 1989-1993 OA/ID Number: 13708 Folder ID Number: 13708-006 Folder Title: American Electronics Association 3/7/90 [OA 6854] Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: G 26 19 6 7 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Vogt Policy - product licrility Eisenhower Mas EdAn Jim-p.4 Jim P.4 70%4 for 1 NES D.D Abbott 377-4772 FACSIMILE TRANSMITTAL SHEET NUMBER OF PAGES INCLUDING COVER 11 DATE 3.2.90 TO DAVID DEMAREST FAX NUMBER 619.341.8922 PALM SPRINGS OFFICE NUMBER 619.341.8900 STAFF OFC. COMMENTS AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSN. INFO. FROM CAROLYN CAWLEY FAX NUMBER 202.456.6218 OFFICE NUMBER 202.456.7750 PLEASE CALL IF You NEED MORE! ! If OP.S.E DIVAO авиляг MJAY SSP8 IHE PIJ 070 TRATZ 0018 . MEZA NADISIMA Y3JWAO HYHORAD 8152.334.505 8152. . Jaw sos !ssoM азяй way it HAD 32A3.R THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON March 2, 1990 MEMORANDUM TO: DAVID DEMAREST FROM: CAROLYN CAWLEY SUBJECT: AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION SPEECH Mark Lange called this afternoon to say that you needed information on (1) Super 301 and (2) the work/industries that the AEA represents. I. SUPER 301 I spoke with Steve Farrar, Associate Director for International Economic Policy (upstairs, OEOB). He tells me that THIS MORNING Secretary Brady sent a detailed memo to the President out in California. This memo contains all of the information you would need for the AEA speech. Governor Sununu has personal interest in this speech so I hope that you are able to see the Brady memo through him. As a backup though, I am attaching 2 background papers from Steve Farrar's office. One discusses US trade policy in general; the other outlines US-Japan trade issues. II. RANGE OF INDUSTRIES REPRESENTED BY THE AEA Mr. John Mancini, PAO for the AEA, has provided me with a list of the various kinds of industrial efforts that the AEA represents. He calls them a "food chain" of sorts: developments in one field of the industry have profound effects in other endeavors. They run the gamut of: semiconductors superconductors personal computers defense electronics circuit boards microchips telecommunications equipment business machines test & measurement instruments search & navigation equipment Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type ... 01. Memo Page 2 of memo to David Demarest, re: Etc., etc., etc.; n.d. P-6, (b)(6) personal information redacted. (1 pp.) Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Speech File, Backup Subseries: WHORM Cat.: File Location: American Electronics Association 3/7/90 Date Closed: 10/14/2004 OA/ID Number: 06854 FOIA/SYS Case #: Re-review Case #: 2004-2265-S P-2/P-5 Review Case #: MR Case #: Appeal Case #: MR Disposition: Appeal Disposition: Disposition Date: Disposition Date: RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] (b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information PAGE 2 OF MEMO TO DAVID DEMAREST III. ETC. ETC. ETC I will be home all weekend so please call me if you need anything more. My number at home is (202) Richard Steinberg is with the Counsel's Office at USTR and has "big picture" information. He has said that he will be in this weekend and to please call if he can be of assistance. His number at the office is (202) 395-6800. John Mancini, PAO for the AEA, has also offered his home phone number if we should need to speak with him: His number at work is (202) 682-9110. Finally, Jeff Vogt is the project officer for the AEA event. He is in Arizona for the weekend and can be reached at : (602) 948-4753. Trade Poling March 2, 1990 BACKGROUND PAPER U.S. Trade Policy Introduction When President Bush assumed office last year, there was much controversy surrounding U.S. trade policy. Trade deficits were large and expected to continue indefinitely. The size and persistence of the bilateral trade deficit with Japan had added to the frustration with the global deficit. Congress had passed the Omnibus Trade and Competitiveness Act of 1988 that was in part an expression of this frustration and in part a reflection of suspicion that the Executive Branch would not effectively deal with the problem. So deep was this suspicion that Ambassador Hills was pressed hard during her confirmation hearings for a commitment that she would implement the Trade Act. In retrospect, the first year turned out remarkably well. Much of the credit is due to the Administration's trade strategy, which was built upon the following principles. 1. Strengthening and expanding the multilateral trading system through the Uruguay Round negotiations. Our leading trade priority has been the Uruguay Round of multilateral trade negotiations. We have proposed far-reaching reforms of the global trading system, with the aim of bringing trade in agriculture, services, intellectual property, and investment under effective GATT rules and disciplines. In April, Ambassador Hills broke a deadlock that threatened to prevent the talks from moving forward. At the Paris Summit in July, the President strengthened the commitment among heads of government to a successful Uruguay Round. 2. Implementing the Trade Act of 1988 in a way that meets both Congressional expectations. and Administration trade objectives. The President's decision to identify specific Japanese practices under Super 301 showed that the Administration would implement the Trade Act in good faith. At the same time, the decision promoted our Uruguay Round objectives and did not put undue strain on our relations with key trading partners. -2- 3. Restoring good relations with the Congress. In contrast to the persistent frictions over trade policy during the Reagan Administration, Congress has generally supported the Bush Administration's trade strategy. Congress appears satisfied that the Bush Administration is consulting closely with it and is committed to working out problems in a constructive way. 4. Addressing the bilateral trade imbalance with Japan through market-oriented solutions rather than managed trade. Despite pressure to manage trade with Japan, we have insisted that bilateral trade concerns be addressed by seeking to open Japanese markets to imports, rather than by specifying trade targets for individual industries or closing our own markets. In Super 301 and in other contexts, we have pushed Japan hard to eliminate unfair trade practices and provide reciprocal access to American firms. Last July, the President and then Prime Minister Uno launched the Structural Impediments Initiative (SII) aimed at removing systemic and cultural barriers to U.S. exports. 5. Phasing out existing protection in a way that moves steadily toward a system of free and fair trade. The President's steel VRA decision successfully struck a balance between the steel industry, which wanted five additional years of protection, and steel consumers, who were concerned about the long-term effects of VRAs on their competitiveness. The decision was perceived as a strong and politically courageous move toward open markets. Current Status Based on discussions with members of Congress, representatives of the business community, and foreign officials, a common perception has emerged that the Bush Administration: Is pragmatic rather than ideological; Places a higher priority on free and fair trade while de-emphasizing free-trade rhetoric; Is tough and committed to seeking fair access for American exports, but in a manner consistent with free trade and market-oriented principles; and Strongly opposes "managed trade" and industrial policy. -3- The basic perceived distinction between the Bush Administration and the Reagan Administration is that, while the Bush Administration is equally committed to an open, market- oriented trading system, it assigns a higher priority to addressing day-to-day trade problems practically. While there has been some foreign criticism of U.S. "unilateralism", most governments appear to understand that our long-term priority is to strengthen the GATT system and that we are using Super 301 and other authorities to help achieve that objective. Outlook for 1990 The coming year will be a difficult one to implement a successful trade strategy. The following economic and political factors will combine to produce sustained controversy. 1. The trade deficit is unlikely to improve quickly. Many economic forecasters project that the two-year improvement in the trade deficit may have stalled in the $100 billion range. While the recently announced deficit of $7.2 billion for December (a decline of $3.1 billion from November) offers some encouragement, sustained improvement is likely to be slow. Also the bilateral deficit with Japan is expected to remain in the $50 billion range. 2. Bilateral pressures with Japan will persist. During the first half of the year, the Administration must resolve a series of sensitive trade issues with Japan. We face deadlines on section 301 cases involving construction and telecommunications, and on the three Super 301 cases initiated last year involving satellites, supercomputers, and forest products. The Administration must also decide in April whether to initiate additional Super 301 cases. Finally, the Admin- istration must issue an interim SII report by mid-April and a final report in July. The increasing public concern about Japanese trade and investment and the lack of movement in the bilateral trade deficit will increase the difficulty of managing the vitally important U.S.-Japan relationship. The bilateral deficit is, of course, mainly the result of macroeconomic imbalances and will diminish only when those imbalances are corrected. With respect to trade barriers, we are moving now to take advantage of the favorable outcome of the Japanese election to seek rapid progress in the outstanding negotiations. Lack of progress could -4- jeopardize public and Congressional support for our policy, leading to pressure for a more confrontational strategy. 3. As the November election approaches, the Democrats are likely to resurrect the theme of economic nationalism. From discussions with trade and political experts, there is no doubt that the Democrats are looking for a way to take advantage of an increasingly negative public attitude toward trade in general and Japan in particular. They believe that the themes of economic nationalism and managed trade offer a way not only to criticize Republican stewardship but to offer a new model of the role of government in the economy. We can expect them to advocate an inward-looking policy in the name of protecting American jobs and our national security. These themes were hinted at by House Speaker Foley in his response to the President's State of the Union address. 4. The Uruguay Round will take concerted effort to achieve success. The 1992 "single market" program and the challenge of responding to the dramatic events in Eastern Europe have diverted the attention and resources of the European Community, thus weakening its already uncertain commitment to the Uruguay Round. In addition, the EC is reluctant to dismantle existing farm subsidy programs and border protection, as proposed by the United States. Some elements of the U.S. farm community are also uncertain whether it is in their long-term interest for agricultural distortions to be removed both here and abroad. Without substantial movement on agriculture, it is likely that the Uruguay Round could stall. Strategy for 1990 Given the obstacles that we will face this year, we will need to be especially adroit in implementing our trade strategy. The following four elements are key to an effective strategy. 1. Our top priority should be achieving a success in the Uruguay Round by December 1990. -5- A successful Uruguay Round will set a positive tone for trade relations for many years. A failure in the Round would threaten the existence of the multilateral trading system. While some elements of the Uruguay Round are outside our direct control, it is becoming clear that nothing will happen without the President's visible support and participation. The President will have opportunities to build support during the Houston Economic Summit. It may also be desirable this spring for the President to deliver a speech on trade policy, which would underscore the importance of the negotiations. As the talks move forward, we will be faced with tough political decisions on agriculture, textiles, and antidumping measures. 2. Maintain our firm opposition to managed trade. The best counter to managed trade is to define the debate in terms of a strong program for strengthening U.S. competitiveness. This means continuing to develop the theme that articulated in the President's State of the Union address, highlighting the international implications of his proposals to increase the savings rate, to promote research and development, to strengthen our education system, and to set reasonable boundaries on product liability. Our broad aim should be to reshape business thinking to encourage greater emphasis on corporate responsibility, managing for the long term, and quality. In addition, the Administration must produce results in bilateral negotiations with Japan and on SII. The Uruguay Round does not offer a credible solution to the problems that our companies face in penetrating the Japanese market. 3. Continue to develop regional trade opportunities. There are several regions in which trade can be an important adjunct to achieving foreign policy and other goals. For example, we need a better response to the economic issues raised at the drug summit. Trade can also be an important part of our response in East Europe. We should also press ahead with negotiations toward a trade agreement with the Soviet Union. Finally, initiatives with Mexico, the Caribbean, and the Pacific Rim will help reinforce market-oriented trends in those areas. 4. Continue to pursue a policy of free and fair trade. We must continue to implement carefully the market-opening provisions of the 1988 Trade Act, particularly Super 301. Other countries could interpret additional pressure as evidence of U.S. -6- unilateralism, thus jeopardizing the Uruguay Round. On the other hand, failure to use section 301 aggressively to open foreign markets and address unfair trade practices could lead to renewed conflict with the Congress. March 2, 1990 BACKGROUND PAPER U.S.-Japan Trade Issues Introduction Pressure on bilateral trade relations is due in part to a series of deadlines imposed by the Omnibus Trade and Competitiveness Act of 1988 and in part to self-imposed deadlines under the Structural Impediments Initiative (SII) talks. The most significant ones are listed below. By mid-April, U.S. and Japanese participants in the SII talks must produce an interim assessment of progress. o By April 30, the U.S. must decide what (if any) new actions to take under Super 301 against Japanese practices that inhibit our exports. O By June 16, the U.S. must decide whether negotiations begun last year under Super 301 (on forest products, supercomputers, and satellites) have been successful. By mid-July, a final report is due on the SII talks. There is a growing popular sentiment in this country that our economic troubles can be traced to unfair practices of the Japanese. Many observers have suggested that Japan does not abide by normal market rules, and that "managed trade" is the only way to ensure our national economic security. This viewpoint has many adherents in the Congress. This bilateral friction threatens to undercut the Administration's international trade strategy, which rejects managed trade and is built around the successful completion of the Uruguay Round negotiations by the end of the year. Status of Negotiations The third session of the SII talks was held in Tokyo on February 22-23. There was little progress. The next session is scheduled for March 20 in New York. The Super 301 negotiations have been underway in Tokyo this week on all three product areas identified: forest products, supercomputers, and satellites. Although negotiations have been difficult, practical solutions can be reached in all negotiations if there is sufficient political leadership from the Japanese side. The next rounds of talks will occur in mid-March. Other -2- politically charged bilateral negotiations are also underway on telecommunications, construction, and semiconductors. We need to renew and reinvigorate the political commitment to substantial and timely conclusions to the bilateral trade negotiations now underway. In particular, it is important to agree on meaningful progress to include in the April SII interim report and to resolve the ongoing Super 301 cases. A successful SII is important economically in two ways. O First, it will lower barriers to U.S. exports in many sectors of the Japanese economy. O But more importantly, it will contribute to lasting balance-of-payments adjustment. A successful conclusion to the Super 301 cases is also important to demonstrate the Administration's commitment to opening foreign markets. Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type 02a. Memo Carolyn Cawley to Mark Lange, re: American Electronics 02/28/90 P-6, (b)(6) Association; personal information redacted. (1 pp.) Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Speech File, Backup Subseries: WHORM Cat.: File Location: American Electronics Association 3/7/90 Date Closed: 10/14/2004 OA/ID Number: 06854 FOIA/SYS Case #: Re-review Case #: 2004-2265-S P-2/P-5 Review Case #: MR Case #: Appeal Case #: MR Disposition: Appeal Disposition: Disposition Date: Disposition Date: RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] (b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRAJ agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information February 28, 1990 INFORMATION MEMORANDUM TO: MARK LANGE FROM: CAROLYN CAWLEY SUBJECT: American Electronics Association *** A brief note before this begins Jeff Vogt would really like to discuss this with you on the phone, and I think it's a good idea too because he really knows this stuff and it's safer than me relaying it. He'd like you to call him at home tonight P-6,00)(6) (2/28) after 11:00 EST. His number is: Among his suggestions were: to really beef up, in the front of the speech, a big pat on the back to the AEA. Highlight the leadership role they have played in the industry for the last century, especially in innovation and product development. Also, you'll see from reading the fax I sent you (the letter and TP's from AEA, re: the Governor) that the AEA agrees with this Administration on EVERYTHING and it's rare to speak to a group so supportive. 1. p. 1/Introductions: Neither David Packard nor Bob Noyce will be present. If we want a historical twist, we can say that "from your ranks have come David Packard, one of the founders of Hewlett-Packard, and Ed Zschau." Also, someone who WILL be present is Mr. Gary Tooker, President of Motorola and last year's recipient of the Baldridge Award. 2. p. 3/paragraph 1: The Savings and Economic Growth Act was introduced on February 2 since this AEA speech will be in March, we need to say "early last month we sent to Congress " The Savings and Economic Growth Act has three prongs: capital gains IRAs family savings a. We discuss capital gains and IRAs but not family savings. My man at Treasury (Asst. Secretary) recommends that we mention family savings as well because POTUS discussed family savings specifically in the State o' the Union. How about: "We're proposing new incentives for IRAs as well as an innovative family savings account." b. Secondly, he suggests that we move the cap gains graph to be within the context of SEGA (Savings and Econ Growth Act). He says that AEA is our primary private industry supporter of this, so: first, it would be good to beef up the cap gains graph. We can not let the AEA split cap gains from the rest of SEGA in their own minds, and it was an administration decision to keep them together. Let's discuss cap gains within the context of SEGA along with IRAs and family savings. 3. p.3/paragraph 4: "a new National Math and Science Scholars Program" is incorrect, it combines two different programs. There is a NATIONAL SCIENCE SCHOLARS PROGRAM proposal. It includes a proposal of $5 million to provide undergraduate scholarships of up to $10,000 to students demonstrating proficiency in the sciences. Then there is the EISENHOWER MATH AND SCIENCES EDUCATIONAL PROGRAM. In this, the Administration is requesting $231 million in FY 91, a 70% increase over the current program, to better prepare teachers and raise student achievement. WHICH ONE DO WE MEAN? 4. p.4/paragraph 1: Vogt offered a couple of suggestions regarding this graph about trade and Japan. Briefly, he thinks we should highlight the difference between multilateral talks (GATT) and bilateral ones (SII) Also, he'd like to see mention of Super 301 and the fact that Carla Hills has announced that we will be enforcing the semiconductor agreement. The Kaifu stuff will be very important hope Palm Springs goes well. 5. p. 4/paragraph 4: First of all, I spoke with Lehmann Li of the ECP; he was part of the EPC decision which is the basis of all this and he authored a memo to the President for approval. Unfortunately, the President has not signed off on it yet and is not expected to do so before this speech is given. Lehmann and Vogt had a chance to speak and agreed that this is too big an issue and announcement to do at this time, especially since the President has not yet OK'ed it and Vogt says he other events upcoming which would be good forums. Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type 02b. Memo Carolyn Cawley to Mark Lange, re: American Electronics n.d. P-6, (b)(6) Association; personal information redacted. (1 pp.) Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Speech File, Backup Subseries: WHORM Cat.: File Location: American Electronics Association 3/7/90 Date Closed: 10/14/2004 OA/ID Number: 06854 FOIA/SYS Case #: Re-review Case #: 2004-2265-S P-2/P-5 Review Case #: MR Case #: Appeal Case #: MR Disposition: Appeal Disposition: Disposition Date: Disposition Date: RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] (b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information But, if you feel strongly, talk to Vogt and see. Secondly, if it should be decided to mention this joint production issue, there have to language changes. Here are the nuts and bolts that I got from Commerce and EPC, obviously they need work to be used in a speech: All firms would have to register an "intent" statement with the Justice Department and the Federal Trade Commission. Then, they would be subject to no more than "single damages" in a private anti-trust suit. (Apparently this is a big change.) ( (the problem with the original draft wording was that it sounded like Justice would be administering the judgments read on...)) There is pending legislation on the Hill on this issue, and they are NOT OUR PROPOSALS, as it says in the draft. We are looking to support whatever the Hill turns out so, we could say: "We will seek to support proposals that would assure that the competitive realities of joint production ventures are assessed/judged by the courts, on a case-by-case basis.' " (Under the Anti-Trust Rule of Reason, which removes the blanket judgement and requires the courts to look at each case alone.) "This initiative would enhance the competitive strength of American industries by allowing firms to share investment risks and pool their complementary skills in building new production facilities." ( (remove the wording about R&D because it is already provided for in existing laws. )) Mark, I'll call the Embassy in Paris tomorrow morning first thing. Don't hesitate, to call me anytime for anything. Home phone: and I'll be on beeper. Hope you're P-6, having a good time! Get sun and drinks cocktails with tiny (b)(6) little umbrellas in them!!! "Hi" to Stephanie $ Dave Tack to you later Cawlay AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION MARCH 7, 1990 11:30 A.M. WASHINGTON COURT HOTEL (BRIEF REMARKS AT LUNCHEON) Audience: approx. 400 presidents/execs Contact: John Mancini 682-9110 or 682-4452 The President will be dropping by the AEA luncheon to deliver Confititure brief remarks. PURPOSE: to highlight Administration proposals to promote capital formation and high-tech industrial development, including r & e tax credit permanence and a reduction in capital gains. SII, cocom BACKGROUND: The AEA is the largest trade association serving the electronics and high-tech industries, representing over 2,900 companies. AEA has been one of the Administration's core supporters to reduce the capital gains tax rate and is also committed to making the r & e tax credit permanent. AEA affords a strong grassroots network which was effectively activated during the key capital gains battles on the Hill last year. They have pledged their full support this year as well. We need to renew commitment to see these policies enacted this year. We could use this opportunity to recognize America's preeminence in the high-tech industry in the global marketplace, address fair trade concerns, highlight our progress in the GATT talks in removing trade barriers and note our progress in the Structural Impediments Initiative (SII) vis-a-vis Japan. A FEW BASIC FACTS ABOUT THE AEA (more complete info will be faxed by them) The American Electronics Association was formed in 1943 on the West Coast. One of the original founder was Mr. David Packard of Hewlett-Packard. The AEA was formed under different names but became the AEA in 1978 was active from its very beginning with Rep. Steiger on the original capital gains cut. The AEA represents 21 chapters nation-wide. These chapters represent over 3500 companies as members. President Bush has spoken to the group before. Most recently was their meeting in San Diego in 1988. THE PROGRAM: Mitchell Kertzman is the AEA Chairman. He will be introducing POTUS. The program also features a choral group from the Duke Ellington School for Performing Arts. They will be singing the National Anthem and other patriotic songs. THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Dept. of commerce Special Asst. to general Counsel Alden Abott 377-3151 (Re: anti-trust reform, joint manufacturing) 02/27/90 11:26 002 gist A quick reference aid on U.S. foreign relations Not a comprehensive policy statement Bureau of Public Affairs Department of State US Exports: Strategic Technology Controls November 1989 Background: The export of strategically significant technology to Warsaw Pact and certain other countries is controlled in order to deny them access to technology that would increase the effectiveness of their military establishments. Because modern weapons depend on many advanced supporting technologies that have both civilian and military applications ("dual use"), some commercial technology transfers could undermine US national security. Consequently, the Export Administration Act requires the Commerce Department to issue a license before any such dual-use technology or equipment can be exported from the US to a potential adversary. This permits a review of the potential military use of the technology, to ensure that transfers of militarily significant technologies do not occur under the guise of civil projects. The value of more effective strategic export controls is highlighted by conclusive documentation of the USSR's past and continuing reliance on advanced Western technological know-how to modernize its military and strengthen the industrial base that supports Soviet war-making capability. COCOM: The Soviet Union seeks to obtain controlled Western equipment and technology by any means it can, including circumventing export controls. The US, acting alone, cannot prevent such diversions of controlled items, because we are not the sole source of many of these products. The 17-member :Coordinating Committee for Multilateral Export Controls (COCOM) is, therefore, of great importance in facilitating multilateral cooperation to control strategic goods and technology. The COCOM countries' determination to maintain and improve the COCOM system has led to the application of additional resources to their efforts. Organization: Established in 1949, COCOM now includes: Australia, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, the Federal Republic of Germany, Greece, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Turkey, the UK, and the US. (Spain joined in late 1985 and Australia, in April 1989.) COCOM has no formal relationship to NATO. It is not based on a treaty or executive agreement but operates instead by informal agreement and according to the rule of unanimity. A permanent COCOM secretariat is located in Paris. All 17 member countries are represented by permanent delegates. These representatives are joined routinely by teams of technical experts and policy-level personnel from their countries during substantive meetings and negotiations on new or revised export controls. Major functions of COCOM: Member countries cooperate in three major areas: - Publishing the control lists of embargoed equipment and enacting effective export control systems (the lists are grouped into three categories--direct military use, dual use, and atomic energy use); 02/27/90 11:27 003 - Evaluating and clearing potential exports of specific embargoed items from member countries to proscribed countries; and - Harmonizing national licensing practices for strategic exports and coordinating export control enforcement activities. Agreements reached in COCOM are implemented similarly by each individual member country. Improving COCOM's effectiveness: COCOM members face continued efforts by the USSR and other Warsaw Pact countries to obtain militarily sensitive equipment and technologies. Since 1981 a series of high-level COCOM meetings have been held. A January 1988 meeting, held against the backdrop of the Toshiba-Kongsberg diversion of advanced submarine technology to the USSR, led to increased efforts by members to ensure effective enforcement of controls. At an October 1989 high-level meeting, members reaffirmed their collective commitment to COCOM, emphasized their support for "streamlining" of the COCOM control lists, and renewed their commitment to effective enforcement. Working-level consultations are held regularly to work on implementation of directives from the high-level meetings. Relations with non-COCOM countries: COCOM must protect against the export or reexport of embargoed commodities from non-COCOM countries to the countries of concern. The US deals with this problem in part by requiring licenses for reexport of US-origin embargoed products. COCOM members also maintain dialogues with a growing number of other countries regarding cooperation on export controls and prevention of diversions. Some nonmember countries have adopted COCOM-like export control systems to protect embargoed high-technology products and cooperate in the protection of militarily relevant items. Munitions controls: Commercial export of arms and other defense articles and services are controlled by the Arms Export Control Act and the International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR). Export licenses must be obtained from the State Department's Office of Munitions Control. The US denies export and reexport authorizations for the USSR, other Warsaw Pact members, and most other communist countries. Licensing decisions for munitions exports to noncommunist countries are based on compliance with the ITAR and US arms control, national security, and foreign policy considerations. For further information: Also see Department of State GISTS on "US Exports: Foreign Policy Controls" and "US Export Controls and China." Harriet Culley, Editor (202) 647-1208 02/27/90 11:26 001 DEPARTMENT OF STATE OFFICE OF COCOM AFFAIRS FAX COVER SHEET UNCLASSIFIED Number of Pages: 2 (Excluding Cover Sheet) Date Sent: 2/27/90 Time Sent: TO: Carolyn Cawley Recipient's Tel#: 456-7750 White House - - FAX Machine Tel#: 456-6218 Speechwriter's FAX Verification#: Office ATTN: FROM: George A. Gowen Sender's Tel# : 647-2870 EB/ITC/OCA/STC Sender's FAX Tel: 202-647-0173 FAX Verification#: 202-647-1719 SPECIAL INSTRUCTIONS/REMARKS: I Public background on cocom, as regulated UNCLASSIFIED Mark ©COCOM a. John geover: things are on hold till the us completes a strategic review; hoped to complete by may "COCOM undersee. Mtg. in June of Houston summit in July" the problem is that the us wants to differentiate between EE/USSR. The push is to export more to EE, but they are Atill members of Warsaw, and USSR is still a threat. Wei like them to provide safeguaras such as on site inspection, software safeguards. etc. b. may be good chance to show our sincerely in aiding emerging devocracies ; economies Beef up COCOM # 2p.3: over $ 71 B in R&D 3 expand product liability? (VP) Last fall, this admin will make prod. liab. reform a top competitiveness priority goals: enc. us bus. innovation, improve int'l competitiveness, continue to ensure safety for consumers remove self inflicted burden on U.S. competitiveness , help restore trasic principles of fairness Vost p.2 # 3,4,5,6,7 p.3 # 2 p.4 product liability N THE AMERICAN REVOLUTIONS ML THE CHIP Electronics engineers of the 1950s were trapped in mazes of wiring until a laconic engineer and an entrepreneurial physicist showed the way out. BY T.R. REID ALDO IBM'S experimental memory chip packs more than two million microscopic versions of the transistors. capacitors. and Cresistors piled behind it onto a morsel of silicon % inch by n/a inch. IRM claims every one of the dup H 648,526 memory cells is fortorional That along imjor accomplishment J ACK ST. CLAIR KILBY is an imposing blad for 20 years. His car, an aging white wrong. Back then, however, he didn't figure, not fat but big: six feet six Mercedes two-seater, passed 100,000 really have time to sit around and brood inches tall, wide shoulders, massive miles some time back and will probably about his fate. The rejection letter cre- hands. Any hint of menace, though, go double the distance before Kilby ated a practical crisis: Kilby had not both- is immediately dispelled by an easy smile thinks about purchasing anything more ered to apply to any other college. After that telegraphs a friendly, casual, unruf- up-to-date. some scrambling, he was admitted to his fled personality. He spends a good deal Because of the more or less parallel parents' alma mater, the University of of time alone with his thoughts, working development of quantum theory and Illinois. He had been there less than four through ideas. In conversation, he is not semiconductor technology, Kilby's work months when the Japanese bombed quick. Ask him a question about semi- has regularly taken him near or right up Pearl Harbor. Freshman Kilby became conductors, politics, the best route to the to the leading edge of physics. But Kilby Sergeant Kilby, assigned to a radio repair airport, and he will take a long puff on a insists, quite firmly, that he is not a scien- shop at an Army outpost on a tea planta- Carlton, consider in absolute silence, tist. He is an engineer. "There's a pretty tion in northeastern India. take another puff, and then answer, key difference," he says. "A scientist is After the war, Kilby went back to Illi- softly, slowly, in structured sentences motivated by knowledge; he basically nois, eager to learn about radar and that flow perfectly from beginning to wants to explain something. An engi- other wartime advances in electronics. end without digression or detour. neer's drive is to solve problems, to make On the whole, he was disappointed. The In the semiconductor industry, something work. That is basically one thing he can recall now about his "tough" and "aggressive" are terms of what I have always wanted to do, to solve electronics classes was that none of the high praise; Kilby is famous as a nice guy. technical problems. It is quite satisfying, experiments turned out the way the in- As he treks through the meandering halls extremely satisfying, to go through the structors said they would. There were of Texas Instruments' Dallas headquar- process and find a solution that works." courses at Illinois on quantum physics ters-walking with the wary, stooped The essence of engineering, Kilby says, is and semiconductor phenomena, but gait of a man who has bumped his head cost consciousness. "You could design a they were restricted to science majors. too often on low ceilings-he greets ev- nuclear-powered baby bottle warmer, "They weren't going to expose that erybody by name, from top management and it might work," he says, "but it's not funny stuff to simpleminded engineers," to messenger boys. Everyone at the com- an engineering solution. It won't make Kilby says. He graduated in 1947 with a pany where he has worked on and off for sense in terms of cost. The way my dad traditional engineering education and a quarter-century seems to have a story always liked to put it was that an engineer decent, but not outstanding, grades. He or three about some act of kindness on could find a way to do for one dollar went to work in Milwaukee at Centralab, Kilby's part. what everybody else could do for two." for the excellent reason that it was the This man, who conceived and built the As a boy growing up in Kansas, Kilby only firm that offered him a job. first integrated circuit, or semiconductor built a ham radio set, improved it, scav- One night at Marquette University he chip-he is recognized, along with the enged some parts, improved it again. By heard physicist John Bardeen describe a better-known Robert Noyce, as the the time he got to Great Bend High new invention that worked like a vacuum chip's coinventor-has an old-fashioned School, it was clear that he would make tube but was made out of solid semicon- streak. He won't wear a digital watch; he his career in electrical engineering, and ducting materials. Kilby read everything has concluded that the older kind better he set his sights on the engineer's mecca, he could find about this solid-state de- conveys the seamless passage of time. A the Massachusetts Institute of Technol- vice. After Bell Labs announced in 1951 computer would be useful in his work ogy. He took the entrance exam to qual- that it would issue licenses for produc- but he doesn't use one; "I don't really ify for MIT-and flunked. On a June day tion of its newly patented transistor, know how," he confesses. Probably the in 1941 he boarded the New England Centralab put up the $25,000 license fee person most responsible for the demise States, the crack train connecting the and dispatched Kilby to Bell's five-day of the slide rule, he still keeps his favorite midwestern plains with the great centers crash course in the new technology. Keuffel & Esser Log-Log Decitrig handy of learning and commerce on the East There he got a detailed look at the fan- in the center drawer of his desk, and in Coast, and rode to Cambridge to take a tastic new world that would be possible some ways he prefers it to the handheld course to prepare him for a second shot without the limitations imposed by vac- calculators that rendered it obsolete. at the test. uum tubes. He came back to Milwaukee "It's an elegant tool," he says with affec- Forty years later, having launched the full of ideas. Gradually, however, he tion. His hobby is photography (black- second Industrial Revolution, received came to realize that the new electronic and-white, of course), for which he has more than 50 patents, and won all of the world had a limit of its own. contentedly used the same trusty Hassel- leading engineering awards, Kilby still Working in a relatively small firm, feels the sting of flunking that second where the circuit designers in the engi- Excerpted from The Chip: The Microelectronics Revolution exam. He can remember his score-497, neering lab had regular contact with the and the Men Who Made It by T.R. Rnd Capyright 1985 - T.R. Rnd Represed wath permission of Semon and three points short of passing-and the plant managers, Kilby learned. probably Schuler. algebra problems he thinks he got sooner than many other people in the 34 SCIENCE 85 FEBRUARY Jack St. Clair Kilby: He saw in silicon the answer to the Tyranny of Numbers. business, exactly how the realities of the manufacturing process restricted the complexity of transistorized circuitry. MINKITY Kilbv and his colleagues upstairs in the lab could design a hearing aid or a radio amplifier that squeezed unheard-of numbers of components into minute spaces. But down on the factory floor, those circuits could not be built. There were just too many interconnections too close together for the human hand to make them. "For some time now," wrote J.A. Mor- ton, a vice president of Bell Labs, in a 1958 article celebrating the 10th anni- versarv of the transistor, electronic man has known how in principle to ex- tend greatly his visual, tactile. and mental abilities through the digital transmission and processing of all kinds of informa- tion. However, all these functions suffer from what has been called 'the tyranny of numbers.' Such svstems. because of their complex digital nature, require hun- dreds, thousands. and sometimes tens of thousands of electron devices." And each of these devices. Morton noted in a later article, "must be made, tested, packed. shipped, unpacked, retested, and interconnected one-at-a-time to pro- duce a whole system. Each element and its connections must operate reliably if the system is to function as a whole." The consequence? "The tyranny of large SVS- tems," he said. "sets up a numbers barrier to future advances if we must rely on individual discrete components for pro- ducing larger systems." 'Tyranny of numbers' was a per- fect term for it," savs Kilby, recalling Morton's articles. "The simple fact was that you could not do everything that an engineer would want to do." For Kilbv, the recognition of this ma- jor new problem was electrifving. Just as he was coming into his own as an engi- neer, a problem solver, the world of electronics was up against a baffling problem of premier importance. The transistor offered enormous, world- shaking possibilities-but they would never be realized unless somebody found a way around the problem of numbers. Building a circuit is like building a sentence. There are certain standard components-nouns, verbs, adjectives. FEBRU ARY SCIENCE 85 35 From Sailing shops to silicon and adverbs in a sentence: resistors, ca- hand-soldered connections: the cost of for a route across the numbers barrier. pacitors. diodes. and transistors in a cir- labor for wiring and testing each connec- Like everyone else in the industry, Jack cuit-each with its own function. By tion was greater than the total cost of the Kilby plunged into the search for a joining the components in different components themselves. Production of solution. ways. one can get circuits, or sentences. the first of the completely transistorized. It was evident. though. that solving the that perform different functions. or "second generation." computers- tvranny of numbers. if indeed a solution Writers of sentences are taught to the Control Data CD 1604. containing could be found. was a task that would keep their designs short and simple. This 25,000 transistors. 100,000 diodes. and require resources considerably larger rule does not apply in electronics. Some hundreds of thousands of resistors and than a firm the size of Centralab could of the most useful circuits are big and capacitors-gave engineers nightmares muster. "I felt." he wrote later. that complicated. with hundreds or thou- because of the sheer difficulty of con- it would not be possible for ven small sands of components wired together. In necting the parts. By the end of the groups with limited funding to be com- the era of vacuum tubes. the designers' decade. people were alreadv planning petitive." Early in 1958 he sent out his implicit awareness of power. heat. and the computers that would somedav guide résumé to a number of larger firms. size restraints limited the scope of any a rocket to a landing on the moon. But Among the engineers he wrote to was circuit design: there was just no point in those plans called for circuits with 10 Willis Adcock of Texas Instruments. designing a machine that would melt as million components. Who could pro- In 1958 Texas Instruments was just soon as it was turned on. With the tran- duce a circuit like that? How could it fit beginning to make a mark in the elec- sistor. those fundamental design limita- into a rocket? tronics business. An audacious gambit tions disappeared. Now the designers In essence. the small community of by the firm's postwar president. Patrick could draw up plans for exotic communi- engineers exploring the frontiers of elec- Haggerty, started TI on its road to domi- cations and computer circuits using nance. In 1952. when transistors were 50,000 or 500,000 transistors and simi- still exotic, unreliable devices costing lar numbers of diodes. resistors, and ca- $15 or more each. Haggerty gave engi- pacitors. On paper. these supercircuits Writers of sentences neer Mark Shepherd. Jr., an assignment: could outperform anything that had Develop a reliable mass-production tran- been designed before. All you had to do are taught to keep was wire them together and but that their designs sistor that would sell for $2.50. Shep- herd did it. In 1954. Haggerty launched was the problem That was where the short and simple. his most famous initiative: He put his numbers barrier came in. This rule does not cheap. reliable transistors into a con- An electric circuit has to be a com- plete. unbroken path along which cur- apply in electronics. sumer product-the pocket radio. The idea was a smash hit in the marketplace. rent can flow. That means that all the More important, it made the transistor a components of the circuit must be con- common household item. and Texas In- nected in a continuous loop: resistors struments became a common name in wired to diodes. diodes to transistors. tronics in the 1950s faced the same ab- electronics. transistors to other resistors. and SO on. ject frustration that had confronted the The first pocket radios, like all transis- Each component can have two, 10. even small community of seamen exploring torized equipment of the day, used tran- 20 interconnections with other parts of the frontiers of navigation in the 1590s. sistors made of germanium. a semi- the circuit. Making the connections— At the far western extremity of the Atlan- conductor material easy to work with but wring the parts together-was almost tic. hard against the shores of Central unsatisfactory for many uses because it entirely hand labor: It was expensive. America. the explorers could look west- could not operate at high temperatures. time-consuming. and inherently unreli- ward from the masthead and see, "with a Another semiconductor. silicon. could able A circuit with 100.000 components wild surmise." a vast new ocean. a whole withstand heat but was brittle and con- could easily require 1.000.000 different new world. beckoning across the isth- sidered too difficult to purify for transis- soldered connections linking the mus. But there was no wav-no was for manufacturing. Convinced of the su- components. short of the impossibly expensive. time- periority of silicon. Haggerty hired Even it somebody could pay for that consuming. and unreliable vovage Gordon Teal. a physicist who had worked much hand labor. there was no was around the tip of South America-to get extensively with the material at Bell Labs. humans could put together a million of to that wonderfully promising new Then Teal and Willis Adcock. a physical anything without turning out a few that stretch of sea. Just SO for Jack Kilby and chemist, set about to devise a silicon were faulty. By the late 1950s the elec- his colleagues A vast new electronic transistor The project was pursued un- tronics industry had come head-to-head world was right there on the blueprints der security arrangements that any spv with this implacable limit. The Naws but impossible to achieve And so physi- agency would admire. At a professional newest destrovers had 350.000 elec- cists and electronics engineers embarked conference in May 1954. Teal listened to tronk components, requiring millions of on a great vovage of discovers. searching speaker after speaker bemoan the insu- 3n SCIENCE 85 FEBRU ARY A simple combination of trates the basic architec- transistor is between three electronic compo- ture of any chip.) Impuri- them. The three are elec- nents-a transistor and ties are added to specific trically connected through two resistors, about twice areas of a tiny bar of pure aluminum paths, topmost their normal size, top il- silicon-a process called dark areas. The aluminum hustration-could be du- doping-to create is deposited atop a layer plicated on a pinhead- successive layers of semi- of silicon oxide, an elec- sized chip as shown at conductor material that trical nonconductor that perable problems posed by silicon. Then bottom in the three-di- will conduct electricity. confines the metal to its Teal rose. "Our company," he noted mensional cutaway. (Such On the chip shown, resis- designated pathways. Ex- calmly, "now has two types of silicon a simple chip would not, tor 1 is the region at the ternal connections to the transistor in production I just hap- of course, be cost-effective top left, resistor 2 is at chip would be made to the pen to have some here in my coat to produce, but it illus- bottom right, and the pads on its outside edge. pocket." An assistant appeared, carrying a record player that employed a germa- nium transistor in its circuits. As a record played, Teal dunked the transistor into a vat of hot oil; the sound stopped. Next Teal wired in one of the silicon transis- TRANSISTOR tors and lowered it into the hot oil. The RESISTOR 1 band played on. The meeting ended in pandemonium; Texas Instruments was on its way. RESISTOR 2 The tyranny of numbers revealed itself soon enough, and Adcock was placed in EMITTER charge of a major research effort to BASE defeat it, organized around the broad concept of microminiaturization. When COLLECTOR Kilby arrived at Adcock's lab in May of 1958, one of many ideas being pursued was the Micro-Module. Because of its record in getting silicon to behave, TI had ALUMINUM PATHWAYS landed a small research contract from RCA, which had come up with the inspira- tion for the Micro-Module. The theory was that all the components of a circuit could be made in one uniform size and shape, with wiring built right in. These identical modules could then be snapped together, like a child's Lego blocks, to BASE PAD make instant circuits. The concept was important to the U.S. Army. Each of the BASE military services was pursuing its own TRANSISTOR solution to the interconnection problem. and the Army keenly desired that its proposal should prevail. Kilby disliked the Micro-Module from FLASH FLEISCHER SILICON the start. This feeling was partly an engi- OXIDE neer's intuition; the Micro-Module bore PURE SILICON some resemblance to an idea that had flopped at Centralab. The real flaw, though, was more basic. The real prob- lem posed by the tyranny of numbers was numbers, and the Micro-Module did EMITTER PAD nothing to reduce the huge quantities of individual components in sophisticated circuits. No engineer could work with much enthusiasm on a solution to the wrong problem; Kilby's heart sank at the thought that he had left a good job and COLLECTOR moved his family across the country only EMITTER to work on a project that was funda- COLLECTOR PAD mentally off target. At that time, everybody at Texas In- FEBRUARY SCIENCE 85 37 struments took their vacation the same resistor. It wouldn't be as good as a ered incredibly expensive. To make a few weeks in July. Kilby hadn't been standard carbon resistor, but it would one-cent carbon resistor from good- around long enough to earn vacation work. For that matter, by taking advan- quality semiconductor seemed foolish." time and was left alone in the semi- tage of the peculiarities of the junction Building a resistor out of silicon seemed conductor lab. He was "discouraged," between differently doped regions of a about as sensible as building a boxcar out he wrote later; "I felt it likely that I piece of silicon, you could make a capac- of gold; you could probably do it, but would be put to work on a proposal for itor. Not much of one-its performance why bother? Even Kilby was a little skep- the Micro-Module program when vaca- wouldn't equal that of a standard metal- tical at first: "You couldn't be sure that tion was over unless I came up with a and-ceramic capacitor-but it would there weren't some real flaws in the good idea very quickly." work. Come to think of it-and this was scheme somewhere." The only way to He plunged in, soaking up every fact the idea that would revolutionize elec- find out was to build a model of this he could about the problem at hand and tronics-if you could make any compo- integrated circuit and give it a test. To do the ways Texas Instruments might solve nent from one material, you could put that, Kilby would need the boss's okay. it. Among much else, he took a close, the components of an entire circuit in a When everybody came back from va- analytical look at his new firm and its monolithic block of that material. cation, eager to get back to cutting cir- operations. The obvious fact that The more Kilby thought, the more cuitry down to size, Kilby showed his emerged was the company's heavy com- appealing this notion became. If all the notebook sketches to Willis Adcock. mitment to silicon. To capitalize on its parts were integrated on a single slice of "Willis was not as high on it as I was," victory in the race to develop silicon silicon, you wouldn't have to wire any- Kilby recalled later. Adcock was in- transistors, TI had invested millions of thing together. Connections could be trigued with the idea but had doubts dollars in equipment and techniques to laid down internally within the semi- about its practicality; "it was pretty damn purify silicon and manufacture transis- conductor chip; no matter how complex cumbersome," he said later. To build tors with it. "If Texas Instruments was Kilby's model, Adcock would have to going to do something," Kilby explained divert people to the previously untried later, "it probably had to involve task of building a complete circuit out of silicon." Kilby nervously semiconductors. Kilby and Adcock made This conclusion gave Kilby the focus fiddled with a deal: If Kilby could make a resistor and he needed. He began to think hard about the dials. He checked a capacitor out of separate pieces of silicon. What could you do with silicon? silicon, Adcock would authorize the far Kilby's answer to that question has the connections. costlier effort to construct an integrated come to be known as the Monolithic He took a deep breath. circuit on a single semiconductor chip. Idea. The idea has so changed the world that it is just about impossible today to He pushed the switch. Kilby painstakingly carved a resistor out of a strip of silicon. Then he made a reconstruct what things were like before capacitor from another strip of silicon. he thought of it-and thus almost im- He wired these strange devices into a test possible to appreciate how ingenious, the circuit was, nobody would have to circuit, and they worked. Adcock then and how daring, the answer was. The solder anything together. The numbers okayed the attempt to construct a com- Monolithic Idea has become an elemen- barrier would disappear. And without plete circuit on a single chip. tary part of modern science, as funda- wiring or connections, an awful lot of The design that Kilby chose was a mental, and as obvious, as J.J. Thomson's components could be squeezed into a phase-shift oscillator, a classic for testing daring suggestion that there were tiny pretty small chip. On July 24, 1958, purposes because it incorporates resis- charged particles swirling around inside Kilby opened his lab notebook and wrote tors, capacitors, and transistors-the the atom. In July of 1958, though, down the Monolithic Idea: "The follow- three most important circuit elements. Kilby's answer was hardly elementary. ing circuit elements could be made on a An oscillator turns a steady flow of direct What could you do with silicon? It was single slice: resistors, capacitor, distrib- current into alternating current, electric- already known in 1958 that the standard uted capacitor, transistor." He made ity that constantly changes direction, semiconductor devices, diodes and tran- rough sketches of how each of the com- surging back and forth. (The power avail- sistors, could be made of silicon, if it was ponents could be realized by proper ar- able at a wall outlet is an everyday exam- "doped" with the proper impurities to rangements of semiconductor material. ple. It goes through 120 changes of di- make it conduct electric charges. Now, This suggestion was, to use one of rection, or 60 complete cycles, every this doped silicon is a far-from-perfect Kilby's favorite words, nonobvious. "No- second.) The transformation from DC to conductor; it tends to impede the flow of body would have made these compo- AC. shows up nicely on an oscilloscope, a current. That is the very function of an nents out of semiconductor material piece of test equipment with a screen ordinary resistor. Kilby thought about then." he has explained. "It didn't make much like a small TV set. If you connect a that: a silicon resistor. Why not? A strip very good resistors or capacitors, and source of direct current-for example, a of properly doped silicon could act as a semiconductor materials were consid- battery-to the oscilloscope, the steady 38 SCIENCE 85 FEBRUARY Although Jack Kilby had cal components: A transis- internal workings of a the semiconductor mate- tor is at the center of the modern chip, below. Made rial silicon in mind for fu- germanium; a capacitor is by Motorola. it is a ture chips, he used germa- at the left side; and the microprocessor-the nium for the first crude germanium bar provides heart of a computer-with integrated circuit, top. the functional equivalent 200,000 transistors on one The germanium on which of three resistors. Kilby piece of silicon. The pho- the circuit is built is the made some of the connec- tomicrograph conveys a current will trace a straight line across thin rectangle at center. tions on the chip with tiny sense of the chip's func- the screen. like this: No bigger than a piece of gold wires rather than tional areas. The dark sec- toothpick, the wafer is depositing metallic circuit tions at the top and upper glued to a larger rectangle paths, prompting some left, for example, are of glass, which is glued to engineers to refer deri- memory areas; the vital yet another piece of glass. sively to the "flying wire" control section is just But if you put a phase-shift oscillator The circuit, a phase-shift chip. Its inelegant design above the middle of the between the battery and the oscilloscope, oscillator, has five electri- contrasts sharply with the chip. a gracefully curving line-a sine wave- will undulate across the screen: On September 12, 1958, Jack Kilby's oscillator-on-a-chip, less than half an inch long and narrower than a toothpick, was finally ready for viewing. A group of Texas Instruments executives gathered COURTE SY TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INCORPORATED in Kilby's area in the lab to see if this tiny and wholly new species of circuit would really work. Kilby knew it should; as any engineer would have done, he had tested it a day or two before. But would it behave now, in the presence of the TI brass? Kilby was nervous as he hooked up the wires from the battery to his small monolithic circuit and from the circuit to the oscilloscope. He fiddled with the di- als on the oscilloscope. He checked the connections. He looked up at Adcock, who gave a here-goes-nothin' shrug. He checked the connections again. He took a deep breath. He pushed the switch. Immediately a bright green thread of light snaked across the screen in a per- fect, unending sine wave. The integrated circuit, the answer to the tyranny of numbers, had worked. The men in the room looked at the sine wave, looked at Kilby, looked at the chip, looked at the sine wave again. Then everybody broke into broad smiles. A new era in electron- ics had been born. A terrifying rumor raced through the semiconductor labs at Texas Instruments the morning of January 28, 1959: Some- body at RCA had invented an integrated circuit. Like many false alarms, it had the salutary effect of scaring people into ac- tion. More than four months had passed since Jack Kilby had successfully demon- strated his prototype integrated circuit. but development of the concept had pro- duced no further results. Kilby's superi- ors hoped to announce their great new FEBRUARY SCIENCE 85 39 Robert Noyce: He saw the way to connect microscopic components without wires. product in March. but at the end of January the only integrated circuits in existence were the crude models Kilby had built by hand for his demonstration: CHK nobody had figured out yet how to turn out a production version. The rumor that reached Dallas did, in fact. contain a germ of truth. though no one at TI knew that. Five davs earlier Robert Novce, in his office at Fairchild Semiconductor in the tiny California town of Mountain View, had scratched his first sketchv concept of the Mono- lithic Idea in his notebook. Unlike Kilbv, who had been rushed by II's lawvers into filing for a patent before he had worked out the problem of inter- connections within the chip, Novce's for- mulation of the idea covered both inte- gration and interconnection. The two inventors had arrived at the integrated circuit bv different routes. Kilbv had first hit upon the concept of integration-of building all the parts of a circuit in a monolithic chip of silicon-and had moved from there to consideration of interconnections. Novce, in contrast, had first recognized the possibility of printing connecting strips of metal on a chip. and interconnection had led him to integration. The Monolothic Idea occurred to Robert Novce in the depth of what passes for winter in the valley south of San Francisco Bav that is known today, because of that idea, as Silicon Valley. Unlike Kilby, Bob Novce did not have to check with the boss when he got an idea; at 31. Novce was the boss. It was January of 1959. The valley was still largely an agricultural domain, with only a handful of electronics firms in- truding on the peach and prune or- chards. Fairchild Semiconductor. one of those pioneering firms, had been started late in 1957 by a group of physicists and engineers who guessed. correctly, that they could become fantastically rich bv producing improved versions of transis- tors and other microelectronic devices. The group was long on technical talent and short on managerial skills. But one of the founders turned out to have both: Robert Novce. Slender and square- jawed. exuding the easv self-assurance of a jet pilot, Novce has an unbounded 40 SCIENCE 85 FEBRUARY curiosity that has led him to take up before Fairchild started working on the bers. Today, Kilby is generous in describ- hobbies ranging from singing madrigals idea; four more months passed before ing Noyce's work on the invention, and to flying seaplanes. His doctorate was in Noyce got around to filing for a patent. Noyce is equally generous about Kilby. physics, and his specialty was the physics The reason, Noyce explained later, In the textbooks, Kilby gets credit for the of electronic devices; at Fairchild, was that Fairchild at the start of 1959 was idea of integrating components on a though, he became fascinated with man- just beginning to sell its first important chip, and Noyce for working out a practi- agement, and gravitated to the position product, a new kind of transistor. "We cal way to connect those components. of director of research and development. were still a brand-new company," Noyce Among their fellow engineers, Kilby and There Noyce spent much of his time recalled. "We were worried about basic Noyce are referred to as coinventors of looking for profitable solutions to the survival. That meant getting transistors the chip, a term that both men find electronics industry's nagging problems. out the door. The integrated circuit satisfactory. And after years of legal In the winter of 1958-59, one of the seemed interesting, it was something that wrangling over the patent, TI and Fair- things he thought about was the tyranny might make you some money somewhere child conceded that each company had of numbers. down the road, but that was not a period some right to the invention. At a summit Unlike Kilby, who does his best work when you had a lot of time for it." meeting in 1966 attended by more than a alone, Noyce is loquacious and impul- Fairchild, like Texas Instruments, was dozen semiconductor makers, the two sive; he needs somebody to listen to his prodded into action by a rumor-but in companies agreed to grant licenses to ideas and point out the ones that this case it was true. In late February or each other to make integrated circuits, couldn't possibly work. That winter early March, word arrived in Silicon Val- and any other firm wanting to enter the Noyce's sounding board was his friend ley that Texas Instruments was about to market would have to arrange separate Gordon Moore, a physical chemist and do away with discrete electronic compo- licenses with both firms. another co-founder of Fairchild Semi- Professional and technical awards conductor. "I spent a lot of time explain- have become so common that for the ing to Gordon on the blackboard how most part neither Noyce nor Kilby pays you might do some of these things," Unlike Kilby, Noyce much attention these days when word of Novce recalled later. did not have to a new one comes in the mail. But one day Gradually, in the first weeks of 1959, check with the boss in 1982 Jack Kilby received an honor he worked out the idea; on January 23, that really mattered to him, because it he remembers, "all the bits and pieces when he got an idea. was proof he had succeeded at his cho- came together." He grabbed his lab For at 31, Noyce sen trade. He was inducted into the Na- notebook and wrote down the Mono- was the boss. tional Inventors Hall of Fame, an august lithic Idea, in words quite similar to those group of five dozen people-Edison, Jack Kilby had entered in his notebook Bell, Ford, Shockley, the Wright Brothers. six months before: it would be de- Noyce was inducted the following year. sirable to make multiple devices on a nents by integrating all the parts of a On a sunny winter Sunday, a group of single piece of silicon, in order to be able circuit into a single silicon chip. For any people gathered in the lobby of the Pat- to make interconnections between de- company that made its money selling ent Office, just across the Potomac from vices as part of the manufacturing pro- individual components-like Fairchild's the Washington Monument, for the hall cess, and thus reduce size, weight, etc. as transistors-this was disconcerting news. of fame ceremony. Five inventors were well as cost per active element." Somebody at Fairchild called a meeting. honored that year, only two still alive- Like Kilby, Noyce felt fairly sure right At this session Noyce formally laid out, Kilby and Max Tishler, who svnthesized away that he was onto something impor- for the first time, his basic concept of an Vitamin B₂ in 1941. When Kilbv's turn tant. "There was a tremendous motiva- integrated circuit. By the spring of 1959, came, he stood up for the briefest mo- tion then to do something about the Fairchild was hard at work on chips. ment, looked around shyly at the audi- numbers barrier," he recalled later. The integrated circuit emerged as the ence, and quietly said, "Thank you." this looked like a wav to deal with that most important new product in the his- That was all. I can remember telling Gordon one day tory of electronics. The market grew ex- "He really didn't say a word during the that we might have here a solution to a plosively and economies of production whole thing." recalled Fred Zeisenheim, real big problem." drove costs down to the point that many the hall of fame's president. "He just sat Like their counterparts at Texas In- common chips can be purchased at a there like he was thinking about some- struments, the people at Fairchild Semi- local Radio Shack for under a dollar. thing. It looked like no kidding, I sort conductor took their time about devel- And the scientific community agreed of thought he was sitting there working oping the Monolithic Idea into a that Kilbv and Novce deserved joint out his next invention." - practical integrated circuit. It was nearly credit for the Monolithic Idea. Both men two months after Bob Novce had set were awarded the National Medal of Sci- T.R. Reid as Rocky Mountain bureau chief down the basic concept in his notebook ence for overcoming the tvranny of num- for the Washington Post. FEBRUARY SCIENCE 85 41 AEA - - Nogt? Good. Industry Policy? CEA? - Summer asked group to good Good mix Ms of their Ved? Asly software, computers, - -Jon Englud Corner system integration, for friendot Salmon's) 682-9110 you need an empoyoto there both here of intly [wese A your # #1 ally ] S.I.I. As way taking off w/ l wet w/ Arime Min COMPETITIVENESS [ ] Weie been w/you free and fair forto yars Export controls & cocour at tech alvance, we for to re. think to comple well but thefield you the withet Exat Am Cos todo fetter. Were behind you. 11:30 3 3/7 Washington COUR their THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON Jelf how XX SCHEDULE PROPOSAL FEBRUARY 1990 TO: JOSEPH HAGIN, DEPUTY ASSISTANT TO THE PRESIDENT FOR APPOINTMENTS AND SCHEDULING THROUGH: DAVID DEMAREST, ASSISTANT TO THE PRESIDENT FOR COMMUNICATIONS BK FROM: BOBBIE KILBERG, DEPUTY ASSISTANT TO THE PRESIDENT FOR PUBLIC LIAISON JEFF VOGT ASSISTANT DIRECTOR, PUBLIC LIAISON REQUEST: To address the American Electronics Association's 1990 Capital Caucus dinner. PURPOSE: To highlight Administration proposals to promote capital formation and high-tech industrial development, including r & e tax credit permanence and a reduction in the capital gains tax rate. BACKGROUND: The American Electronics Association (AEA) is the largest trade association serving the electronics and high-tech industries, representing over 2,900 companies. AEA has been one of the Administration's core supporters to reduce the capital gains tax rate and is also committed to making the r & e tax credit permanent. AEA affords a strong grassroots network which was effectively activated during the key capital gains battles on the Hill last year. They have pledged their full support this year as well. An appearance by the President would help to demonstrate the Administration's renewed commitment to see these policies enacted this year. Moreover, the President could recognize America's preeminence in the high-tech industry in the global marketplace, address fair trade concerns, highlight our progress in the GATT talks in removing trade barriers and note our progress in the structural impediments initiative (SII) vis-a-vis Japan. PREVIOUS PARTICIPATION: None. DATE AND TIME: March 6, 1990, between 7-9 p.m. LOCATION: Westin Hotel, Washington, D.C. PARTICIPANTS: 400 senior high-tech executives from around the country. OUTLINE OF EVENT: The President arrives Westin Hotel The President participates in brief photo-op The President makes remarks The President departs REMARKS REQUIRED: Speech. >> BRIEF Acruse MEDIA COVERAGE: Open press. 8:18 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION DEPT. (TX) : PRESIDENT American ElectronicsAssociation AEA 5201 Great America Parkway. Santa Clara. California 95054. Telephone. (408) 987-4200 1225 Eye Street. N.W.. Suite 950. Washington, D.C 20005. Telephone: (202) 682-9110 February 5, 1990 Governor John H. Sununu Chief of Staff to the President The White House 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20500 Dear Governor Sununu: John Moriarity, Mitchell Kertzman, and I want to thank you for the time you gave us in Boston on February 2. I believe we now have a better understanding of the Administration's appreciation of the electronics industry. You agreed to consider our request that the President speak at the annual Capital Caucus of the American Electronics Association on March 6, 1990. Per your request, we are enclosing our suggested topics, most of which I think you will agree with. Their pronouncement by the President would do much to reduce the tension that the industry feels with the Administration. Since our meeting on Friday, I have received a letter from Mr. Joseph W. Hagin II advising that the President will be unable to speak at our meeting. I hope in light of the concern that we expressed in our discussions with you that you can ask the President to reconsider. Thanks again for the time that you were able to spend with us. I think it was useful to everyone. Sincerely Durk Sueren J. Richard Iverson President and CEO JRI:efs Enclosures $147 - $167 $ 88 Sat # # the $ $ $ $9950 $7500 on Whend - 2 a shis 8:19 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION 3. DEPT. (TX) : PRESIDENT Talking Points American Electronics Association Speech by President George Bush Tuesday evening, March 6, 1990 I want to thank the American Electronics Association for the support it gave me nation wide during my run for the Presidency. I especially remember the meetings at Applied Materials and Ford Aerospace. The last time that I spoke before your group was at your Board meeting in San Diego at the kick-off of Air/Space America. I remember that as a very special evening. 45 years ago, the U.S. set out to create a multipolar, democratic world. We have succeeded. In the post Cold War world we now face, there will be two primary determinants of world power. technological leadership and market share in major commercial markets. As the industry at the intersection of these two forces at work in the world, you are key to America's future world leadership. My Administration recognizes the importance of the electronics industry to the future of the United States. Not only are you the largest manufacturing segment, but you provide the fuel for modernization of all of our industries, and you are a major exporting segment. We recognize that while you have been growing over the last several years the industry has lost market share in many important areas. I am here tonight to tell you that this Administration -- and the Republican Party -- is committed to working with you to insure that America regains its lead in high technology. I do not pretend to have all of the answers as we struggle with this fundamental problem. I will tell you that this Administration stands committed to working with you to forge solutions. Government and industry -- as partners -- must work to reclaim U.S. leadership in advanced technology. I would like to spend some time tonight talking about the efforts this Administration has already initiated. I emphasize that this is just the beginning; the beginning of a long-term effort. This Administration is dedicated to increasing saving, investment and productivity. Items to mention: permanent R&D credit, permanent capital gains differential, deficit reduction, savings incentives, joint manufacturing relief. (Note: AEA was one of the original advocates for the 1978 capital gains reduction) FEB, 8:19 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION DEPT. (TX) PRESIDENT o We are also committed to enhancing research and development. Investment in research and development is a top priority for an Administration that believes in investing in the future. Items to mention: Continued doubling of NSF budget, increases in science and engineering education, intellectual property protection in Uruguay Round, R&D tax credit, encouraging R&D by transnational companies, and increased support for robotics, x-ray lithography, space exploration, and developing a national high-speed information structure. (Note: AEA was one of the originators of the R&D credit.) We should always remember that without a world class workforce, we will not be a world class economic power. Investing in human capital is a long-time personal concern, and one that is of vital importance to your industry. Issues to mention: math and science education initiative, education summit, head start increases, industry partnerships. (Note: For over a decade, AEA has been an industry leader in the education area.) Few things are of greater importance to me than protecting the environment. Your industry has been in the forefront of innovative efforts to protect the environment. In particular, I salute your commitment to eliminating CFC emissions on a schedule that goes well beyond the Montreal Protocols. Issues to mention: need for continued international action on CFCs and for Clean Air Act permitting provisions especially tailored to environmental protection. And finally, the Bush Administration pledges to preserve our national security and be an active advocate for America's interests abroad. Issues to mention: Commitment to US interests (eg., FSX improvements), use of U.S. market leverage to open foreign markets, export control reform through a strong and unified multilateral commitment to COCOM, orderly reductions in defense spending that preserve our basic industrial base, savings through Defense Management Review implementation, SEMATECH and DARPA funding, NIST Advanced Technology Program. In closing, let me note that I have always believed, and continue to believe, that the fundamental responsibility for competitiveness rests with thousands of individual companies. We believe that the industry has an obligation to improve its own performance. We would encourage all of your companies to try to win the Baldridge Award. o I do not believe we are at the beginning of an era of decline. I believe we are poised on the threshold of a century of greatness. All we need to do is make the commitment -- in government and in companies -- to leadership. Sunum: Ref. specific industries in Price matership. Super 301 (Lange/Cawley) February 27, 1989 5:30 P.M. [AEA.DOC] [BRIEF] PRESIDENTIAL REMARKS: AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION WASHINGTON COURT HOTEL WEDNESDAY, MARCH 7, 1990 11:30 A.M. (( Thank you, Mitchell [Kertzman]. Dick Iverson, David Packard, Bob Noyce it's good to see so many familiar faces. Many of you came a long way to be here, so I won't compel you to sit through a long speech. The punishment should fit the crime. Which reminds me of a story. An orchestra was having a bad season. The critics were howling. Then one day the first violinist was murdered. Turns out the conductor did it. He was tried, and convicted, and on the morning he was going to the electric chair they asked him if he had any last requests. He said, "I would like a banana." So they let him eat a banana. Then they turned on the voltage. No effect. So they doubled it. Still no effect. He just sat there grinning. They asked him, "How is this possible? Was it the banana?" And he said, "No, I guess I'm just a bad conductor." 111 )) It's an honor and a pleasure to have you here today. You have the people -- and the products -- that keep this country competitive. For almost 50 years now, you've been at the center of a remarkable revolution: in the way work is done, the way ideas are managed -- even the way time and the vast reaches of space are understood. And along the way, you've also become the nation's largest manufacturing industry -- creating jobs for over two and a half million Americans. Modernizing services and industries of every Assuring our national security. kind. And providing a vital export market. As technologies, economies, and geopolitics change almost weekly, your industries stand at a threshold of tremendous opportunity. So we intend to work with you -- closely, constantly, and consistently -- to see that American electronics and technologies regain and retain a preeminent position both in world markets. We're committed to a program of immediate and long-term n competitive strategies for the future. And while we're only at the start of a process that shows great promise, today I want to outline briefly what we're already doing. [cours LAY out as 4 5PT. PRAND Our first priority is to encourage productivity gains, savings, and long-term investment in high-tech industries, by lowering the cost of capital. We believe that one of the most crucial Federal priorities is to encourage planning for the long term --- because for too long, where investment is concerned, the Federal government has been more of a hindrance than a help. So we're fighting hard -- with your support -- for a business-building, job-creating, revenue enhancing cut in the capital gains differential. Earlier this month we sent to Congress our Savings and Economic Growth Act, to stimulate domestic savings. We're proposing new incentives for IRAs. And we've proposed a budget that will bring the deficit down below the Gramm-Rudman- Hollings targets without raising taxes. Along with encouraging investment, we're committed to unprecedented support for research and development efforts. We believe that the R & E tax credit should be made permanent. And our budget includes a record-breaking $70 billion in Federal direct investment for research and development. Om ludget devotes unprecedented resources to space. Education. The National Science Foundation. Drug abuse control. Environmental initiatives. And other crucial investments in America's future. But we understand, as you do, that no investment is more important than our human resources. So together with the nation's governors, we've set ambitious goals for America's students. As an incentive to the nation's students, we've created a new National Math and Science Scholars program. We're committed: By the year 2000, our kids can be first in the world in science and math achievement -- and with enough involvement and leadership from groups like this one, they will be. Your industries face some unique challenges. The marketplace is tough enough without undue constraints and unfair restrictions. So we've pledged to make sure that trade is free, and fair. We're making progress through the GATT to remove barriers to god trade. And we're moving forward with Japan, through the Structural Impediments Initiative. Just last weekend I met with Prime Minister Kaifu, who agreed I've made the relaxing of export controls a personal priority -- especially with an eye toward Eastern Europe. This week at COCOM in Paris, we have a team negotiating an interim policy. Given the pace of political change, new developments in technology, and the competitive position of American industry, I'm confident that we'll be able to revise and modernize our export controls without compromising national security. To provide further competitive benefits for American firms, we're also working on legislation to allow them to join forces in SUBJECT joint production ventures. On a case-by-case basis, the Justice Department will consider relaxing anti-trust limits for firms REVISION interested in making use of complementary skills and facilities, shared R & D, and shared investment risks. One risk you all face, of course -- to a great and unfortunate degree -- is product liability. And the Council on Competitiveness, chaired by Vice President Quayle, is already working for significant reform of our cumbersome and expensive product liability system. Today I'm going to offer that council another challenge: to form a working group, to find ways that American industry can better translate new ideas and technologies into marketable products. So many of the world's most advanced technologies, from robotics to the VCR, were first developed here. And so many of those concepts were ultimately brought to the marketplace by our competitors. We can do better. And we will do better. Today I've outlined some of what we're doing to level the field. But it will be leaders like you that have to take the ball and run with it. You represent the vital core of America's competitive potential, with over 3500 of the most dynamic, technologically advanced, forward-thinking companies in the country. Your ideas are important to us. And your success is crucial to America's future. So let me encourage you to work together, and with us, on a long-term program to meet the competitive challenge of a new century. Thank you. And God bless you. ### Carolyn THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON MEMORANDUM TO: David Demarest FROM: JOSEPH W. HAGIN SUBJECT: APPROVED PRESIDENTIAL ACTIVITY EVENT: Address the American Electronics Association Luncheon DATE: March 7, 1990 Wednesday TIME: 90 FEB21 All 30 11:30 p.m. DURATION: 20 minutes LOCATION: Westin Hotel ATTIRE: Business suit REMARKS REQUIRED: se tech. semark in BothCardin Brief Femarks MEDIA COVERAGE: Open Press Cap fairs FIRST LADY No PARTICIPATION: Factshets Savingst EconContRoct ADDITIONAL INFORMATION: Educ Book - And of math CONTACT: , work Compet Cound: Biotechnology TELEPHONE: OFFICE HOME taby setting constrs similar grouplator NOTE: PROJECT OFFICER, SEE ATTACHED CHECKLIST Ed Rogers Marlin Fitzwater David Bates Bill KoBtal? James Cicconi David Demarest David Valdez A Fred McClure Jean Lamb USSS - PPD Pos Farry's Dar Susan Porter Rose Sig Rogich John Keller WHCA Gary Walters Audio/Visual F backiers to frandating waking part or R&D: Patty Presock Chriss Winston Tim McBride Laurie Firestone WHCA Operations fechoology to matplace J. Bonnie Newman C. Boyden Gray William Kristol Paul Bateman Kat VCR)) John Herrick Jackie Kennedy Direz Taspeluk, Commerce EPC Jaiof money concept COCOM/EXPORT CONTROLS: State Department: East-West Trade Office Contact: George Gowen 647-2870 COCOM: Coordinating Committee for Multi-lateral Export Controls We are working with the 16 COCOM member-countries to revise and expand the multi-lateral export control system. COCOM is broken down into three priority areas: 1. Telecommunications 2. Machine Tools 3. Computers ( (The 3rd priority is especially important for the AEA because of their business in superconductors and computers. )) National Security Council: Technology Transfer Affairs Contact: Rich Barth X 3550 The President can say: The issue of relaxing export controls has become a particularly important for this Administration and it has become a personal priority. ( (POTUS chaired an NSC working group meeting on this, but we don't need to tell them that. )) He has ordered our negotiators to work with their partners to delve into the issue with a keen eye toward the changes in Eastern Europe. He has ordered a detailed analysis of the changing national security threat with respect to Eastern Europe. Therefore we are optimistic that we can revise and modernize export controls in light of Eastern Europe/ changes in technology/ and the competitiveness of American business. This is a "Here and Now" issue therefore part of his mandate is to develop an interim policy for changes in, for example, computers. The US will be negotiating in Paris next week (the week of the speech) and part of their package is calling for significant control reductions. 2829 Cocour: (33) 142 96 1202- 96 FEB 28 90 11:27 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P. 1/ 5 DEPT. (TX) : 0005 American Elearonics/Association AEA 5201 Great America Parkway, Santa Clara, California 95054. Telephone: (408) 987-4200 1225 Eye Street, N.W., Suite 950, Washington, D.C. 20005. Telephone: (202) 682-9110 To: Caroline Cawley From: Mancini p1065 As we discussed, additional material from John Moriarty. From a political perspective, in thinking about the major points that the Administration might want the attendees to remember, I'd consider these 1. The Administration acknowledges the importance of electronics to our long-term national security and standard of living. 2. Point out the many fundamental strengths of the U.S. in the global battle for technology: an entrepreneurial culture, the world's finest basic research capability, the world's largest market, and a heterogeneous population. 3. The Administration acknowledges that despite growing faster than any other segment of the economy, U.S. leadership in electronics has eroded over the last decade relative to the rest of the world. This is a matter of concern, and a condition that cannot be allowed to continue. 4. Indicate the leadership of the Administration in dealing with the macroeconomic factors that are hurting high-tech (all of the good things we've previously discussed). 5. Acknowledge the need for companies to cooperate with each other and the legitimate role of government in creating an infrastructure to allow this to happen. 6. Acknowledge that the current mix of federal R&D funding (70% defense) needs to be changed to foster cooperation among companies in early stage-precompetitive GENERIC technologies. Indicate that this is really the fundamental point within the emotional debates about what is industrial policy and what is not. Indicate the answers are not yet clear about what should be done -- either within industry or government -- but commit to working together with industry to develop solutions. FEB. 28 90 11:28 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P. 2/ 5 DEPT. (TX) : 0005 LAPSTOP 456 PORTABLE COMPUTER & FAX RENTALS wis February 26, 1990 The Honorable John Sununu Chief of Staff Executive Office of the President The White House washington, D.C. 20500 Dear Governor Sununu: As a member of the American Electronics Association and on behalf of the entire organization I want to thank you for your efforts in arranging for President Bush to speak to our organization on March 7th. As a follow-up to our earlier correspondence and a subsequent conversation I had with Jackie, I am including with this letter some suggested speaking points that the White House staff might find helpful in preparing the President's remarks to AEA. In addition, I am also transmitting another copy of the speaking points list Dick Iverson previously submitted to you. In my speaking points I have tried to capture the spirit of the comments you made to us when we met in Boston on February 2nd. I have also offered some suggestions on a "packaging" approach which might help convey all that is being done by the Administration in a simple and concise way. I hope you find these suggestions helpful. In any event, I look forward to seeing you next week. Thanks again, for all you help in broadening the channels of communication between the Administration and the electronics industry. Best regards, John W. Moriarty JWM/loc Attachment 136 Museum Place . Salem, MA 01970 0 (508) 744-6673 e FAX (508) 744-6518 = FEB. 28 90 11:28 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P. 3/5 DEPT. (TX) : 0005 SUGGESTED TALKING POINTS FOR PRESIDENT BUSK'S ADDRESS TO THE AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION MARCH 7, 1990 JOHN. W. MORIARTY (508) 744-6673 I. BACKGROUND ON AEA CAPITAL CAUCUS A. Forum American Electronics Association Capital Caucus 300-350 CEO- level industry executives in Washington for two days to lobby for AEA's policy agenda. B. Key Policy Positions 1. Tax Policy: - Permanent R&D and Basic Research Tax Credit - Regulatory Change in 861-8 (IRS) - Eliminate Double Taxation of Dividends - capital Gains Differential 2. capital Rebalance: - Reduce Deficit - Increase Demestic Savings - Reduce Interest Rates - Anti-Trust Amendments to Permit Joint Production Ventures 3. Education and Science Policy: - Increased Funding for NSF - Student Incentives for Teaching Math & science - Support for NIST's If Advanced Technology Program" - support for NSF's Basic Science & Research Programs - Support for DARPA's Initiative for High Def. R&D 4. Market Access: - support for Super 301 - support for the Structural Impediments Initiative 5. Export Controls: - Support for License-free Zone in COCOM - Support for Amending Supercomputer Definition - Commerce Dept. Control Over Dual-Use Control List 20 'd 57:25 92/20 06. FROM LAPSTOP CORP. FEB 28 90 11:29 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P. 4/ 5 DEPT. (TX) 0005 In addition to these fundamental policy concerns, AEA members are increasing interested in exploring additional ways to encourage "patient capital" -- longer-term capital investment in the U.S. manufacturing sector. Chief among the issues being explored are: - Semiannual or Annual Financial Reporting - Tax Polices that Favor Long-Term Real Estate Investment over Long-Term Manufacturing Investment - Reinstatement of the Investment Tax Credit II. POLITICS OF THE HIGH TECH SECTOR For the most part, the AEA agenda mirrors that of the Administration. But there are growing divisions within the industry and there is growing support for direct government intervention in the form of controlled trade, more government-industry collaborations, and direct applied research subsidies. While these proposals are not universally embraced, the frustration level throughout the industry is high. III. SUGGESTED CONTEXT FOR THE PRESIDENT'S REMARKS President Bush has a high technology policy. He is well ahead of the Congress on almost every policy position of AEA. He should take credit for that. The President might best do so by enunciating his policy as a comprehensive 5 point program: 1. Capital Rebalance 2. Education 3. Research & Development 4. Market Access 5. Export Controls These are the basic pillars of a "pre-competitive" infrastructure that is seriously in disrepair. They favor no particular industry, but by focusing on them collectively, the Administration recognizes the strategic importance of a vibrant high technology sector. The AEA Capital Caucus gives the President the opportunity to dramatically flesh out his view on how these policy initiatives - his policy initiatives - interrelate, and how they can best be accomplished under Gramm-Rudman. The President can and should ask AEA's 3,500 high tech companies to support his plan vigorously. And they will. Many AEA members would also like to see the President use his P.04 97:30 92/20 06. FEB. 28 90 11:29 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P. 5/ 5 DEPT. (TX) : 0005 office as a "Bully Pulpit" on capital formation issues. Not only on the subject of personal savings (which they support), but on the short-sightedness of financial analysts who force corporate capital allocation decisions to favor short-term rewards. This is an issue President Bush expressed passing concern about in his interview in BusinessWeek on January 22. Perhaps he could direct secretary Brady to undertake a report on the impact of the current short-term focus. The President might also touch on what will be the then concluded meetings with Prime Minister Kaifu and on the up- coming Houston Summit. AEA members, like most Americans, know that the Japanese have violated the principles of Bretton Woods on the issue of balancing trade surpluses and deficits. America, for a time, erred here as well, but no longer. Americans want the President to take a strong stand with the Japanese and most feel that such a stand can be taken without fear of retaliation vis-a-vis Japan's strong position in Treasury Notes. There is a fundamental fairness issue here. The U.S. rebuilt the world economy through open access to our markets. That was in the best interests of all concerned. And it continues to be. But our powerful trading partners must be made to understand this as well, AEA members increasingly feel that we should use access to our vast market as a trade negotiating tool much the way we have used nuclear weapons as B bargaining tool in peace negotiations - a threat. It is a widely held belief in the industry that the state Department ultimately dictates trade policy and that all too often diplomatic considerations win out over free and fair trade. All too often the industry has watched as the State Department steered the White House away from vigorous enforcement of 301. IV. CONCLUSION There is clearly an opportunity here for the President to cluster together all of his initiatives aimed at investing in America's industrial infrastructure (education, R&D, capital rebalancing, etc.) and issuing them as a policy statement. The electronics industry is generally in harmony with the Administration but its members are worried about the future and they need to hear that their concerns are shared and being intelligently and comprehensively addressed. H hope that this information is helpful. Please call if I can be further assistance. ca'd 10am - Stef 2pm West Basement am. 4pm FEB. 23 90 16:31 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P. 1/ 9 DEPT. (TX) : 0005 American Electronics Association Washington, DC Office Telephone: 202-682-9110 FAX: 202-682-9111 Address: 1225 Eye Street, NW #950 Washington, DC 20005 Fax From: John Mancini FAX To: Person: Caroline Cawley Company: FAX Number: 456-6218 Page 1 of 9 Caroline. Please call me if you have any questions. Mancini One thing very specific that occured to me. The Administration is on the verge (I think) of endorsing antitrust reform to encourage joint manufacturing This could be good place to announce this. JM The Kriston USTR wornan FEB. 23 90 16:31 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P. 2/ 9 DEPT. (TX) : 0005 Possible Talking Points American Electronics Association Speech by President George Bush Wednesday morning, 11:30, March 7, 1990 Previous appearances before AEA o May, 1988 -- San Diego First quarter, 1985 -- Santa Clara Will be introduced by Mitchell Kertzman, President of Computer Solutions, Inc. of Burlington, Massachusetts and 1990 Chairman of AEA. Acknowledge Dick Iverson, President of AEA. Major players in AEA's history David Packard, one of AEA's founders Bob Noyce, currently head of SEMATECH Some major past chairmen Former Congressman Ed Zschau, Hewlett-Packard's Dean Morton and Bill Hewlett Background on AEA (see attachment) Approaching 50th anniversary Founded in 1943 by 25 electronics companies from Northern and Southern California to help secure a more equitable share of the nation's government contracts. Originally called West Coast Electronics Manufacturing Association, later renamed the Western Electronics Manufacturing Association. Became American Electronics Association in 1978 to mirror the growth of the industry, the geographic expansion of the industry, and expanding scope of activities. A lot has happened in the nearly half a century since AEA's formation Some things to think about Just one example of the massive changes that have occurred The fundamental building block of any electronic device is a simple on-off switch. When AEA was founded, could hold only one of these basic switches at a time. The country was just on the edge of the era of electronics, but with roots back in a mechanical era. Since then, the technology of this basic switch has moved to semiconductors. News reports this week noted that both IBM and Texas Instruments announced prototypes of a new chip that holds 16 million of these switches on a sliver of silicon the size of the end of a finger. A revolution has occurred over the past 50 years, and AEA has been squarely in the middle of this revolution. During the time that AEA has grown from those first 25 members to FEB. 23 90 16:32 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P. 9 DEPT. (TX) : 0005 nearly 3,500 members, electronics has become the largest manufacturing industry in the nation, providing jobs to over 2.5 million US citizens. In the post Cold War world we now face, there will be two primary determinants of world power technological leadership and market share in major commercial markets. As the industry at the intersection of these two forces at work in the world, you are key to America's future world leadership. Administration recognizes the importance of the electronics industry to the future of the United States. Not only are you the largest manufacturing segment, but you provide the fuel for modernization of all of our industries, and you are a major exporting segment. We recognize that while you have been growing over the last several years the industry has lost market share in many important areas. This Administration -- and the Republican Party -- is committed to working with you to insure that America regains its lead in high technology. I do not pretend to have all of the answers as we struggle with this fundamental problem. I will tell you that this Administration stands committed to working with you to forge solutions. Government and industry -- as partners -- must work to reclaim U.S. leadership in advanced technology. I would like to spend some time this morning talking about the efforts this Administration has already initiated. I emphasize that this is just the beginning; the beginning of a long-term effort. This Administration is dedicated to increasing saving, investment and productivity. Items to mention: permanent R&D credit, permanent capital gains differential, deficit reduction, savings incentives, joint manufacturing relief. (Notes: a) AEA was one of the original advocates for the 1978 capital gains reduction b) The Administration has not yet formally announced support for joint manufacturing reform; this might be good time to do so) We are also committed to enhancing research and development. Investment in research and development is a top priority for an Administration that believes in investing in the future. Items to mention: Continued doubling of NSF budget, increases in science and engineering education, intellectual property protection in Uruguay Round, R&D tax credit, encouraging R&D by transnational companies, and increased support for robotics, space exploration, and developing a national high-speed information structure. (Note: AEA was one of the originators of the R&D credit.) E FEB. 23 90 16:33 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P. 4/ 9 DEPT. (TX) : 0005 We should always remember that without a world class workforce, we will not be a world class economic power. Investing in human capital is at long-time personal concern, and one that is of vital importance to your industry. Issues to mention: math and science education initiative, education summit, head start increases, industry partnerships. (Note: For over a decade, AEA has been an industry leader in the education area.) Few things are of greater importance to me than protecting the environment. Your industry has been in the forefront of innovative efforts to protect the environment. In particular, I salute your commitment to eliminating CFC emissions on a schedule that goes well beyond the Montreal Protocols. Issues to mention: need for continued international action on CFCs and for Clean Air Act permitting provisions especially tailored to environmental protection. And finally, the Bush Administration pledges to preserve our national security and be an active advocate for America's interests abroad. Issues to mention: Use of U.S. market leverage to open foreign markets, export control reform through a strong and unified multilateral commitment to COCOM, orderly reductions in defense spending that preserve our basic industrial base, savings through Defense Management Review implementation, SEMATECH and DARPA funding, NIST Advanced Technology Program. In closing, let me note that I have always believed, and continue to believe, that the fundamental responsibility for competitiveness rests with thousands of individual companies. As an entrepreneur, I have a great affinity for small companies, and new companies and fierce individualism have been a major part of the miracle of the electronics industry. However, we must also realize that cooperation among companies is also needed to be an effective participant in the new global economy. We believe that the industry has an obligation to improve its own performance. We salute Motorola, one of last year's winners of the Baldrige Award, and one of this year's winners, Xerox, both long-time members of AEA. (Gary Tooker, President of Motorola, will be at the head table.) I encourage all of the companies in this room to make the Award. commitment to world-class quality embodied in the Baldridge I do not believe we are at the beginning of an era of decline. I believe we are poised on the threshold of a century of greatness. All we need to do is make the commitment -- in government and in companies -- to leadership. FEB. 23 90 16:33 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P. 9 DEPT. (TX) : 0005 American ElectronicsAssociation AEA 5201 Great America Parkway, Santa Clara, California 95054. Telephone: (408) 987-4200 1225 Eye Street, N.W., Suite 950, Washington, D.C. 20005. Telephone: (202) 682-9110 QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS ON THE AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION What is the American Electronics Association (AEA)? AEA is a national trade association representing U.S. electronics and information technology companies with common interests and goals. AEA's fundamental purpose is to foster a healthy business environment for the electronics industry and to engage in activities that strengthen its competitive position in marketplaces throughout the world. Most AEA members are electronics manufacturers. An "Associate Member" category is open to professional organizations that provide service to electronics companies. U.S. universities and colleges offering engineering and technical education also are eligible for associate membership. How many members does AEA have? In 1988, AEA has more than 3,500 member companies located throughout the United States. When and why was the association started? In 1943, 25 electronics firms from Northern and Southern California joined together to help secure a more equitable share of the nation's government contracts. Originally called the West Coast Electronics Manufacturing Association (WCEMA), it later was renamed the Western Electronics Manufacturing Association, and then WEMA. In 1978, the association's name was changed to the American Electronics Association to reflect its growing national membership and the scope of its activities. What types of companies does AEA represent? AEA member companies come from such high technology fields as hardware and software; semiconductors; telecommunications electronic data processing, including all types of computers, equipment; medical instrumentation; and defense electronics. Although AEA members include the giants of the industry, over 65 percent are small firms with less than 250 employees. (more) FEB. 23 90 16:34 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P. 6/ 9 DEPT. (TX) : 0005 2-2-2 HOW does AEA define the industry it represents? AEA defines the electronics industry as all firms that manufacture electronic components, or products or systems that require electronic components to perform their intended function. Included are software firms and companies that provide electronics research and development or engineering services. Distributors and retailers of electronics products and services and companies that market telecommunications or data processing services are not included. What does AEA do? Through a public affairs staff headquartered in Washington, D.C., AEA maintains a strong and flexible legislative advocacy program for national, international and state issues that impact the electronics industry. This group tracks legislation and represents the industry and its members on such issues as taxation, international trade, science and technology policy, engineering education, government procurement, and the federal budget, to name but a few. AEA provides its members with a strong link to the academic community via its Electronics Education Foundation and other programs. In addition to its series of public company and emerging growth financial conferences, a spectrum of management education programs are presented annually. AEA is active with both national and regional environmental and occupational health programs, offers quality and productivity seminars and provides a breadth of cost-saving programs designed primarily for small firms. In the councils, the association provides a unique networking capability through regular dinner and other meetings. These permit both representatives of both small and large companies to communicate on a one-to-one basis in their own geographic region and to be able to formulate policy questions and concerns that can be raised to the national level for resolution. How is AEA organized? Policy decisions are made by a 55-member Board of Directors comprised of industry executives from various size companies throughout the electronics product range and the United States Currently, AEA has 21 councils in high technology concentrations (more) FEB, 23 90 16:34 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P. 7/ 9 DEPT. (TX) : 0005 3-3-3 throughout the country. They are located in New England, Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, the Potomac area (the District of Columbia, Virginia, and Maryland), Florida, the Southeast, the Midwest, Minnesota, Texas, the Mountain States, Arizona, Washington, Oregon, and both Northern and Southern California. Policy recommendations and implementation are made by national AEA steering committees, operating committees and task forces. How large is AEA and how many offices does it have? AEA employs 130 people in its 12 offices. National headquarters are located in Santa Clara, California, and Washington, D.C. Other facilities are located in New England, metropolitan New York, Minnesota, Texas, Oregon, Washington state, Florida, Orange County (California), and San Diego. Also, the association has a representative office in Tokyo and a recently established industry presence in Beijing. What are AEA's major missions? 1/ To achieve vigorous and fair competition within the electronics and information technology global marketplace. 2/ To actively promote and help insure the availability of, and access to, capital, including risk capital. 3/ To foster a business climate that encourages innovation entrepreneurs. and provides commensurate return for risk-taking workforce. 4/ To insure the availability of a qualified technical 5/ To provide the necessary opportunities for management education at all levels and in all fields of endeavor. community. 6/ To encourage a synergism between industry and the academic 7/ To encourage the maintenance of a safe and healthful workplace for employees and the active participation of electronics companies in community affairs. 8/ To work for a positive and active relationship between the electronics community and all elements of federal, state and local government. 05/07/88 FEB. 23 90 16:35 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P. 8/ 9 DEPT. (TX) : 0005 1990 Capital Caucus Executive Summary: Capital Costs and Job Creation The challenge for advanced technology U.S. capital costs are among the highest in the industrialized world. The economic growth of any society -- capitalist or socialist -- depends directly on the cost and availability of capital. As the global volume of trade and investment accelerates, companies based in countries with persistently higher capital costs are a significant disadvantage. High capital costs threaten the long-term standard of living in the United States. Developing solutions There are both short-term and long-term dimensions to this problem. In the long-term, the key factor driving up real interest rates in the U.S. is the complicated interplay between restrictive monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, the massive federal deficit, and a low U.S. savings rate. We do not have solutions to this fundamental problem at this time. AEA member companies will begin to address some long-term solutions at an upcoming industry summit (April 27-29) on the cost of capital. In the short-term, there are things that Congress can do to help address this fundamental problem (see reverse side for details). Leverage existing capital -- including human capital --through: 1. a permanent R&D credit 2. a permanent solution to the Section 861 allocation rules related to R&D 3. Section 127 educational assistance Increase the pool of long-term capital through: 1. a permanent capital gains differential 2. national incentives for savings Encourage cooperation through: 1. elimination of uncertainty surrounding joint manufacturing 2. basic research credit for consortia 1990 Capital Caucus America's Future at Stake FEB. 23 90 16:35 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P. 9/ 9 DEPT. (TX) : 0005 Summary of Short-Term Actions Needed to Address High Capital Costs Leveraging Existing Capital Permanent R&D tax credit: AEA supports S. 570 (Danforth/Baucus) and H.R. 1416 (Frenzel/Pickle/Jenkins). AEA is working to ensure that the interests of start-ups and small to mid-size high tech companies are represented in the coalition. Regulation 1.861-8: In addition to a permanent R&D credit, AEA is working for a permanent moratorium on Treasury regulations (Regulation 1.861-8 Rules) requiring U.S. R&D to be treated as if it were partly foreign R&D on the basis of a sales or income formula. Section 127 educational assistance: AEA supports making Section 127 of the tax code permanent. This provision acts as an incentive for corporate continuing education activities by excluding employer-provided educational assistance benefits from the gross income of employees. Increasing the Pool of Long-Term Capital Permanent capital gains differential: A number of bills have been introduced in the 101st Congress related to this issue. AEA does not support a specific bill at this time, but is working closely with the Administration and a bipartisan coalition in Congress to pass a permanent capital gains differential. AEA's goals for capital gains legislation include permanence, a significant rate differential, and preferential treatment for assets held for longer periods of time. National savings incentives: While AEA has not yet endorsed any particular proposal, AEA believes that some national incentive for savings is needed and will be reviewing this issue over next few months. Encouraging Cooperation Joint manufacturing ventures: A number of bills have been introduced in the 101st Congress related to this issue. AEA supports an approach consistent with the National Cooperative Research Act of 1984, or NCRA (notification, rather than certification). Basic research credit for consortia: There is some uncertainty whether the university basic research credit as currently structured also applies to participation in R&D consortia. AEA believes that the credit should encourage this type of innovative cooperation to help spread risk more effectively among companies. UNCLASSIFIED CLASSIFICATION CIRCLE ONE BELOW MODE PAGES 13 IMMEDIATE SECURE FAX DTG 0100582mA PRIORITY ROUTINE ADMIN FAX # RELEASER AG FROM - LOCATION: 1. CAROLYN CAWLEY - WHITE HOUSE SPEECHWRITING TO - LOCATION - TIME OF RECEIPT: 1. MARK LANGE - SPEECHWRITER To THE 2. PRESIDENT 3. (213)277-4061 LA STAFF OFC. 4. (415) 399 - 1979 SF. STAFF OFC. #10 5. 6. 7. INFORMATION ADDEES - LOCATION - TIME OF RECEIPT: 1. 2. SPECIAL INSTRUCTIONS - REMARKS: LANGE: HERE ARE THE AEA LETTER, THE DRAFT, $ A MEMO To You. CALL ME. -c2 UNCLASSIFIED CLASSIFICATION American ElectronicsAssociation AEA 5201 Great America Parkway. Santa Clara, California 95054. Telephone: (408) 987-4200 1225 Eye Street, N.W., Suite 950, Washington, D.C. 20005. Telephone: (202) 682-9110 To: Caroline Cawley From: Mancini p1065 As we discussed, additional material from John Moriarty. From a political perspective, in thinking about the major points that the Administration might want the attendees to remember, I'd consider these 1. The Administration acknowledges the importance of electronics to our long-term national security and standard of living. 2. Point out the many fundamental strengths of the U.S. in the global battle for technology: an entrepreneurial culture, the world's finest basic research capability, the world's largest market, and a heterogeneous population. 3. The Administration acknowledges that despite growing faster than any other segment of the economy, U.S. leadership in electronics has eroded over the last decade relative to the rest of the world. This is a matter of concern, and a condition that cannot be allowed to continue. 4. Indicate the leadership of the Administration in dealing with the macroeconomic factors that are hurting high-tech (all of the good things we've previously discussed). I.E., AN 5. Acknowledge the need for companies to cooperate with each NOUSTRIAL other and the legitimate role of government in creating an infrastructure to allow this to happen. POLICY 6. Acknowledge that the current mix of federal R&D funding (70% defense) needs to be changed to foster cooperation among companies in early stage-precompetitive GENERIC technologies. Indicate that this is really the fundamental point within the emotional debates about what is industrial policy and what is not. Indicate the answers are not yet clear about what should be done - either within industry or government -- but commit to working together with industry to develop solutions. ver 1, (1A). 0000 LAPSTOP 456 PORTABLE COMPUTER & FAX RENTALS February 26, 1990 The Honorable John Sununu Chief of Staff Executive Office of the President The White House washington, D.C. 20500 Dear Governor Sununu: As a member of the American Electronics Association and on behalf of the entire organization I want to thank you for your efforts in arranging for President Bush to speak to our organization on March 7th. As a follow-up to our earlier correspondence and a subsequent conversation I had with Jackie, I am including with this letter some suggested speaking points that the White House staff might find helpful in preparing the President's remarks to AEA. In addition, I am also transmitting another copy of the speaking points list Dick Iverson previously submitted to you. In my speaking points I have tried to capture the spirit of the comments you made to us when we met In Boston on February 2nd. I have also offered some suggestions on a "packaging" approach which might help convey all that is being done by the Administration in a simple and concise way. I hope you find these suggestions helpful. In any event, I look forward to seeing you next week. Thanks again, for all you help in broadening the channels of communication between the Administration and the electronics industry. Best regards, John W. Moriarty JWM/100 Attachment FEB. 28 90 11:28 AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION P, 3/ 5 DEPT. (TX) : 0005 SUGGESTED TALKING POINTS FOR PRESIDENT BUSH'S ADDRESS TO THE AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION MARCH 7, 1990 JOHN. W. MORIARTY (508) 744-6673 I. BACKGROUND ON AEA CAPITAL CAUCUS A. Forum American Electronics Association Capital Caucus 300-350 CEO- level industry executives in Washington for two days to lobby for AEA's policy agenda. B. Key Policy Positions 1. Tax Policy: - Permanent R&D and Basic Research Tax Credit - Regulatory Change in 861-8 (IRS) - Eliminate Double Taxation of Dividends Cap Gains - Capital Gains Differential 2. Capital Rebalance: - Reduce Deficit - Increase Domestic Savings - Reduce Interest Rates - Anti-Trust Amendments to Permit Joint Production Ventures EPC says can't gf out with 3. Education and Science Policy: - Increased Funding for NSF - Student Incentives for Teaching Math & Science - Support for NIST's " Advanced Technology Program" - support for NSF's Basic Science & Research Programs - Support for DARPA's Initiative for High Def. R&D 4. Market Access: - Support for Super 301 - support for the Structural Impediments Initiative 5. Export Controls: - Support for License-free Zone in COCOM - Support for Amending Supercomputer Definition - Commerce Dept. Control Over Dual-Use Control List In addition to these fundamental policy concerns, AEA members are increasing interested in exploring additional ways to encourage "patient capital" -- longer-term capital investment in the U.S. manufacturing sector. Chief among the issues being explored are; - Semiannual or Annual Financial Reporting - Tax Polices that Favor Long-Term Real Estate Investment over Long-Term Manufacturing Investment - Reinstatement of the Investment Tax Credit II. POLITICS OF THE HIGH TECH SECTOR (... these ase For the most part, the AEA agenda mirrors that of the Prief smoke) Administration. But there are growing divisions within the industry and there is growing support for direct government intervention in the form of controlled trade, more government-industry collaborations, and direct applied research subsidies. While these proposals are not universally high. embraced, the frustration level throughout the industry is III. SUGGESTED CONTEXT FOR THE PRESIDENT'S REMARKS President Bush has a high technology policy. He is well ahead of the Congress on almost every policy position of AEA. He should take credit for that. The President might best do so by enunciating his policy as a comprehensive 5 point program: 2, 1. Education Capital Rebalance i.e, costof capitall (or pool ) 3. Research & Development 4. Market Access (sil, cocon) 6. IPUS 5. Export Controls These are the basic pillars of a "pre-competitive" 7. Compet.Courcil-- mhttle products infrastructure that is seriously in disrepair. They favor no particular industry, but by focusing on them collectively, vibrant high technology sector. the Administration recognizes the strategic importance of a dramatically flesh out his view on how these policy The AEA Capital Caucus gives the President the opportunity to they can best be accomplished under Gramm-Rudman. initiatives - his policy initiatives - interrelate, and how The President can and should ask AEA's 3,500 high tech companies to support his plan vigorously. And they will. Many AEA members would also like to sea the President use his PO'd 97150 92/20 06, FROM LAPSTOP CORP. office as a "Bully Pulpit" on capital formation issues. Not only on the subject of personal savings (which they support), but on the short-sightedness of financial analysts who force corporate capital allocation decisions to favor short-term rewards. This is an issue President Bush expressed passing concern about in his interview in BusinessWeek on January 22. Perhaps ne could direct secretary Brady to undertake a report on the impact of the current short-term focus. The President might also touch on what will be the then concluded meetings with Prime Minister Kaifu and on the up- coming Houston Summit. AEA members, like most Americans, know that the Japanese have violated the principles of Bretton Woods on the issue of balancing trade surpluses and deficits. America, for 4 time, erred here as well, but no longer. Americans want the President to take a strong stand with the Japanese and most feel that such a stand can be taken without fear of retaliation vis-a-vis Japan's strong position in Treasury Notes. There is a fundamental fairness issue here. The U.S. rebuilt the world economy through open access to our markets. That was in the best interests of all concerned. And it continues to be. But our powerful trading partners must be made to understand this as well, AEA members increasingly feel that we should use access to our vast market as a trade negotiating tool much the way we have used nuclear weapons as a bargaining tool in peace negotiations - a threat. It is a widely held belief in the industry that the state Department ultimately dictates trade policy and that all too often diplomatic considerations win out over free and fair trade. All too often the industry has watched as the State Department steered the White House away from vigorous enforcement of 301. IV. CONCLUSION There is clearly an opportunity here for the President to cluster together all of his initiatives aimed at investing in America's industrial infrastructure (education, R&D, capital rebalancing, etc.) and issuing them as A policy statement. The electronics industry is generally in harmony with the Administration but its members are worried about the future and they need to hear that their concerns are shared and being intelligently and comprehensively addressed. be further assistance. I hope that this information is helpful. Please call if I can 50 'd 90:50 92/20 DF. Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type 03a. Memo Carolyn Cawley to Mark Lange, re: American Electronics 02/28/90 P-6, (b)(6) Association; personal information redacted. (1 pp.) Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Speech File, Backup Subseries: WHORM Cat.: File Location: American Electronics Association 3/7/90 Date Closed: 10/14/2004 OA/ID Number: 06854 FOIA/SYS Case #: Re-review Case #: 2004-2265-S P-2/P-5 Review Case #: MR Case #: Appeal Case #: MR Disposition: Appeal Disposition: Disposition Date: Disposition Date: RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] (b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information February 28, 1990 INFORMATION MEMORANDUM TO: MARK LANGE FROM: CAROLYN CAWLEY SUBJECT: American Electronics Association *** A brief note before this begins Jeff Vogt would really like to discuss this with you on the phone, and I think it's a good idea too because he really knows this stuff and it's safer than me relaying it. He'd like you to call him at home tonight (2/28) after 11:00 EST. His number is: P-6, (b) (6) Among his suggestions were: to really beef up, in the front of the speech, a big pat on the back to the AEA. Highlight the leadership role they have played in the industry for the last century, especially in innovation and product development. Also, you'll see from reading the fax I sent you (the letter and TP's from AEA, re: the Governor) that the AEA agrees with this Administration on EVERYTHING and it's rare to speak to a group so supportive. 1. p. 1/Introductions: Neither David Packard nor Bob Noyce will be present. If we want a historical twist, we can say that "from your ranks have come David Packard, one of the founders of Hewlett-Packard, and Ed Zschau." Also, someone who WILL be present is Mr. Gary Tooker, President of Motorola and last year's recipient of the Baldridge Award. 2. p. 3/paragraph 1: The Savings and Economic Growth Act was introduced on February 2. since this AEA speech will be in March, we need to say "early last month we sent to Congress " The Savings and Economic Growth Act has three prongs: capital gains IRAs treat in trio family savings Harlow a. We discuss capital gains and IRAs but not family savings. My man at Treasury (Asst. Secretary) recommends that we mention family savings as well because POTUS discussed family savings specifically in the State o' the Union. How about: "We're proposing new incentives for IRAs as well as an innovative family savings account." b. Secondly, he suggests that we move the cap gains graph to be within the context of SEGA (Savings and Econ Growth Act) He says that AEA is our primary private industry supporter of this, so: first, it would be good to beef up the cap gains graph. We can not let the AEA split cap gains from the rest of SEGA in their own minds, and it was an administration decision to keep them together. Let's discuss cap gains within the context of SEGA along with IRAs and family savings. 3. p.3/paragraph 4: "a new National Math and Science Scholars Program" is incorrect, it combines two different programs. There is a NATIONAL SCIENCE SCHOLARS PROGRAM proposal. It includes a proposal of $5 million to provide undergraduate scholarships of up to $10,000 to students demonstrating proficiency in the sciences. Then there is the EISENHOWER MATH AND SCIENCES EDUCATIONAL PROGRAM. In this, the Administration is requesting $231 million in FY 91, a 70% increase over the current program, to better prepare teachers and raise student achievement. WHICH ONE DO WE MEAN? 4. p.4/paragraph 1: Vogt offered a couple of suggestions regarding this graph about trade and Japan. Briefly, he thinks we should highlight the difference between multilateral talks (GATT) and bilateral ones (SII). Also, he'd like to see mention of Super 301 and the fact that Carla Hills has announced that we will be enforcing the semiconductor agreement. The Kaifu stuff will be very important hope Palm Springs goes well. 5. p. 4/paragraph 4: First of all, I spoke with Lehmann Li of the ECP; he was part of the EPC decision which is the basis of all this and he authored a memo to the President for approval. Unfortunately, the President has not signed off on it yet and is not expected to do so before this speech is given. Lehmann and Vogt had a chance to speak and agreed that this is too big an issue and announcement to do at this time, especially since the President has not yet OK'ed it and Vogt says he other events upcoming which would be good forums. Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type 03b. Memo Carolyn Cawley to Mark Lange, re: American Electronics n.d. P-6, (b)(6) Association; personal information redacted. (1 pp.) Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Speech File, Backup Subseries: WHORM Cat.: File Location: American Electronics Association 3/7/90 Date Closed: 10/14/2004 OA/ID Number: 06854 FOIA/SYS Case #: Re-review Case #: 2004-2265-S P-2/P-5 Review Case #: MR Case #: Appeal Case #: MR Disposition: Appeal Disposition: Disposition Date: Disposition Date: RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] (b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information But, if you feel strongly, talk to Vogt and see. Secondly, if it should be decided to mention this joint production issue, there have to language changes. Here are the nuts and bolts that I got from Commerce and EPC, obviously they need work to be used in a speech: All firms would have to register an "intent" statement with the Justice Department and the Federal Trade Commission. Then, they would be subject to no more than "single damages" in a private anti-trust suit. (Apparently this is a big change.) ((the problem with the original draft wording was that it sounded like Justice would be administering the judgments read on...)) There is pending legislation on the Hill on this issue, and they are NOT OUR PROPOSALS, as it says in the draft. We are looking to support whatever the Hill turns out so, we could say: "We will seek to support proposals that would assure that the competitive realities of joint production ventures are assessed/judged by the courts, on a case-by-case basis. (Under the Anti-Trust Rule of Reason, which removes the blanket judgement and requires the courts to look at each case alone.) "This initiative would enhance the competitive strength of American industries by allowing firms to share investment risks and facilities." pool their complementary skills in building new production ( (remove the wording about R&D because it is already provided for in existing laws.)) Mark, I'll call the Embassy in Paris tomorrow morning first thing. Don't hesitate to call me anytime for anything. Home and I'll be on beeper. Hope you're p-6, little umbrellas in them!!! having a good time! Get sun and drinks cocktails with tiny (b)(6) "Hi" to Stephanie & Dave. Tack to you later Cawlay (Lange/Cawley) February 27, 1989 5:30 P.M. [AEA.DOC] PRESIDENTIAL REMARKS: AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION WASHINGTON COURT HOTEL WEDNESDAY, MARCH 7, 1990 11:30 A.M. (( Thank you, Mitchell [Kertzman]. Dick Iverson David Packard, Bob Noyce it's good to see so many familiar faces. Many of you came a long way to be here, so I won't compel you to sit through a long speech. The punishment should fit the crime. Which reminds me of a story. An orchestra was having a bad season. The critics were howling. Then one day the first violinist was murdered. Turns out the conductor did it. He was tried, and convicted, and on the morning he was going to the electric chair they asked him if he had any last requests. He said, "I would like a banana." So they let him eat a banana. Then they turned on the voltage. No effect. So they doubled it. Still no effect. He just sat there grinning. They asked him, "How is this possible? Was it the banana?" And he said, "No, I guess I'm just a bad conductor." )) It's an honor and a pleasure to have you here today. You have the people -- and the products -- that keep this country competitive. For almost 50 years now, you've been at the center of a remarkable revolution: in the way work is done, the way ideas are managed -- even the way time and the vast reaches of space are understood. And along the way, you've also become the nation's largest Nones: manufacturing industry -- creating jobs for over two and a half million Americans. Modernizing services and industries of every kind. And providing a vital export market. As technologies, economies, and geopolitics change almost weekly, your industries stand at a threshold of tremendous opportunity. So we intend to work with you -- closely, constantly, and consistently -- to see that American electronics and technologies regain and retain a preeminent position in world markets. We're committed to a program of immediate and long-term competitive strategies for the future. And while we're only at the start of a process that shows great promise, today I want to VUST outline briefly what we're already doing. 7545 Our first priority is to encourage productivity gains, savings, and long-term investment in high-tech industries, by lowering the cost of capital. We believe that one of the most crucial Federal priorities is to encourage planning for the long term -- because for too long, where investment is concerned, the Federal government has been more of a hindrance than a help. So we're fighting hard -- with your support -- for a business-building, job-creating, revenue enhancing cut in the capital gains differential. Last Earlior this month we sent to Congress our Savings and Economic Growth Act, to stimulate domestic savings. We're proposing new incentives for IRAs 0 And we've proposed a budget that will bring the deficit down 11 below the Gramm-Rudman- Hollings targets without raising taxes. Along with encouraging investment, we're committed to unprecedented support for research and development efforts. We believe that the R & E tax credit should be made permanent. And our budget includes a record-breaking $70 billion in Federal direct investment for research and development. It devotes unprecedented resources to space. Education. The National Science Foundation. Drug abuse control. Environmental initiatives. And other crucial investments in America's future. But we understand, as you do, that no investment is more important than our human resources. So together with the nation's governors, we've set ambitious goals for America's students. As an incentive to the nation's students, we've created a new National Math and Science Scholars program. We're committed: By the year 2000, our kids can be first in the world in science and math achievement -- and with enough involvement and leadership from groups like this one, they will be. Your industries face some unique challenges. The marketplace is tough enough without undue constraints and unfair restrictions. So we've pledged to make sure that trade is free, and fair. VIEN We're making progress through the GATT to remove barriers to trade. And we moving forward with Japan, through the Structural Impediments Initiative. Just last weekend I met with Prime Minister Kaifu, who agreed I've made the relaxing of export controls a personal priority -- especially with an eye toward Eastern Europe. This week at COCOM in Paris, we have a team negotiating an interim policy. Given the pace of political change, new developments in technology, and the competitive position of American industry, I'm confident that we'll be able to revise and modernize our export controls without compromising national security. REMOVE LEN To provide further competitive benefits for American firms, we're also working Support on legislation to allow them to join forces in joint production ventures. On a case-by-case basis, the Justice Department will consider relaxing anti-trust limits for firms interested in making use of complementary skills and facilities, shared R & D, and shared investment risks. One risk you all face, of course -- to a great and Expand? Mevio unfortunate degree -- is product liability. And the Council on Competitiveness, chaired by Vice President Quayle, is already working for significant reform of our cumbersome and expensive product liability system. Today I'm going to offer that council another challenge: to form a working group, to find ways that American industry can better translate new ideas and technologies into marketable products. So many of the world's most advanced technologies, from robotics to the VCR, were first developed here. And so many of those concepts were ultimately brought to the marketplace by our competitors. We can do better. And we will do better. Today I've outlined some of what we're doing to level the field. But it will be leaders like you that have to take the ball and run with it. You represent the vital core of America's competitive potential, with over 3500 of the most dynamic, technologically the advanced, forward-thinking companies in the country. Your ideas are important to us. And your success is crucial to America's future. So let me encourage you to work together, and with us, on a long-term program to meet the competitive challenge of a new century. Thank you. And God bless you. # # # 619 341 Jak MLinLA Fax: 213/277-4061 Phone: 213/277-3484 8922 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON 216 277-3481-281) Super 30/ what measures no measures when 30% cases who else aia we cite India IPM Ipn. Brazil current us position midst of wg; tov la vy to discuss retal If So, tanffs inspecific list devolve June IS USTR must det if plac desig for ilvest are inkla S' the N dec to impose seneting range of industries X7845 you Signal 2044 2044 special Gift (Lange/Cawley) February 27, 1989 5:30 P.M. [AEA.DOC] PRESIDENTIAL REMARKS: AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION WASHINGTON COURT HOTEL WEDNESDAY, MARCH 7, 1990 11:30 A.M. gary John (( Thank you, Mitchell [Kertzman]. Dick Iverson, David Mancini Packard, Bob Noyce it's good to see so many familiar faces. Many of you came a long way to be here, so I won't compel you to sit through a long speech. The punishment should fit the crime. Which reminds me of a story. An orchestra was having a bad season. The critics were howling. Then one day the first violinist was murdered. Turns out the conductor did it. He was tried, and convicted, and on the morning he was going to the electric chair they asked him if he had any last requests. He said, "I would like a banana." So they let him eat a banana. Then they turned on the voltage. No effect. So they doubled it. Still no effect. He just sat there grinning. They asked him, "How is this possible? Was it the banana?" And he said, "No, I guess I'm just a bad conductor." \\\ )) It's an honor and a pleasure to have you here today. You have the people -- and the products -- that keep this country competitive. XXXXX Mancini For almost 50 years now, you've been at the center of a 2 remarkable revolution: in the way work is done, the way ideas are managed -- even the way time and the vast reaches of space are understood. And along the way, you've also become the nation's largest Mancin manufacturing industry -- creating jobs for over two and a half million Americans. Modernizing services and industries of every kind. And providing a vital export market. As technologies, economies, and geopolitics change almost weekly, your industries stand at a threshold of tremendous opportunity. So we intend to work with you -- closely, constantly, and consistently -- to see that American electronics and technologies regain and retain a preeminent position in world markets. We're committed to a program of immediate and long-term competitive strategies for the future. And while we're only at the start of a process that shows great promise, today I want to VOGT outline briefly what we're already doing. 7845 Our first priority is to encourage productivity gains, savings, and long-term investment in high-tech industries, by lowering the cost of capital. We believe that one of the most crucial Federal priorities is to encourage planning for the long term -- because for too long, where investment is concerned, the Federal government has been more of a hindrance than a help. So we're fighting hard -- with your support -- for a business-building, job-creating, revenue enhancing cut in the capital gains differential. Jost Earlier surfus Last Feb.2 3 this month we sent to Congress our Savings and Legis Economic Growth Act, to stimulate domestic savings. We're proposing new incentives for IRAs And we've proposed a budget that will bring the deficit down below the Gramm-Rudman- Hollings targets without raising taxes. Along with encouraging investment, we're committed to unprecedented support for research and development efforts. VOGT We believe that the R & E tax credit should be made permanent. FY '91 Budget over $718 And our budget includes a record-breaking $70 billion in Federal p.92 direct investment for research and development. It devotes unprecedented resources to space. Education. The National Science Foundation. Drug abuse control. Environmental initiatives. And other crucial investments in America's future. But we understand, as you do, that no investment is more important than our human resources. So together with the Edti scholers nation's governors, we've set ambitious goals for America's Tom of students. As an incentive to the nation's students, we've Dept created a new National Math and Science Scholars program. of Shathwon We're committed: By the year 2000, our kids can be first in the world in science and math achievement -- and with enough involvement and leadership from groups like this one, they will be. Your industries face some unique challenges. The marketplace is tough enough without undue constraints and unfair restrictions. all sign on hold till usdone w/ us should Wanted we?? ?? different ? 6t position stratgic to review by may gillear cocon Underse Mtg in June in Palis; wast age Sy then -pby Huston in July nextwrek need concrete diff whing groups on priority groups the presh: export more to Ea Europe still memb of Warson palt need them TO provide safeguards on site inspections, software safeguards diffmu taks So we've pledged to make sure that trade is free, and fair. quiti VOGT We're making progress through the GATT to remove barriers to trade. And we're moving forward with Japan, through the Structural Impediments Initiative. Just last weekend I met with Prime Minister Kaifu, who agreed . I've made the relaxing of export controls a personal priority -- especially with an eye toward Eastern Europe. This week at COCOM in Paris, we have a team negotiating an Rich chrin interim policy. X3630 Given the pace of political change, new developments in technology, and the competitive position of American industry, I'm confident that we'll be able to revise and modernize our export controls without compromising national security. REMOVE { To provide further competitive benefits for American firms, we're also working Support on legislation to allow them to join forces in joint production ventures. On a case-by-case basis, the Justice Department will consider relaxing anti-trust limits for firms interested in making use of complementary skills and facilities, shared R & D, and shared investment risks. One risk you all face, of course -- to a great and Expand? unfortunate degree -- is product liability. And the Council on Memo Competitiveness, chaired by Vice President Quayle, is already working for significant reform of our cumbersome and expensive product liability system. Today I'm going to offer that council another challenge: to form a working group, to find ways that American industry can better translate new ideas and technologies into marketable products. So many of the world's most advanced technologies, from robotics to the VCR, were first developed here. And so many of those concepts were ultimately brought to the marketplace by our competitors. We can do better. And we will do better. Today I've outlined some of what we're doing to level the field. But it will be leaders like you that have to take the ball and run with it. You represent the vital core of America's competitive phanein potential, with over 3500 of the most dynamic, technologically advanced, forward-thinking companies in the country. Your ideas are important to us. And your success is crucial to America's future. So let me encourage you to work together, and with us, on a long-term program to meet the competitive challenge of a new century. Thank you. And God bless you. ### front of speech hilde 05 leadership in this ndus for in antiry innor/prod devit because of you, was increded -pat on back !! - Japer a major baiseg faire Vactaned -w/ fights WEESF Recempacy COCOM Mike geoder (Lange/Cawley) March 3, 1990 4:00 P.M. [AEA.DOC] PRESIDENTIAL REMARKS: AMERICAN ELECTRONICS ASSOCIATION WASHINGTON COURT HOTEL WEDNESDAY, MARCH 7, 1990 11:30 A.M. " Thank you, Mitchell [Kertzman]. It's good to see so many familiar faces. Many of you came a long way to be here -- so I won't ask you to sit through a long speech. The punishment should fit the crime. Which reminds me of a story. An orchestra was having a bad season. The critics were howling. Then one day the first violinist was murdered. Turns out the conductor did it. He was tried, and convicted, and on the morning he was going to the electric chair they asked him if he had any last requests. He said, "I would like a banana." So they let him eat a banana. Then they turned on the voltage. No effect. So they doubled it. Still no effect. He just sat there grinning. They asked him, "How is this possible? Was it the banana?" And he said, "No, I guess I'm just a bad conductor." III )) It's an honor and a pleasure to have you here today. You are the leaders of a vital range of our most innovative and interrelated industries -- from semiconductors, microchips and circuit boards to PCs, mainframes, telecommunications, and defense electronics. 2 But at every stage of that impressive technological "food chain," yours are the people -- and the products -- that keep this country competitive. I'd add a special tip of the hat to President Gary Tooker of Motorola, winner of last year's Malcolm Baldridge Quality Award. For almost 50 years now, your industries have been at the center of a remarkable revolution: in the way work is done, the way ideas are managed -- even the way time and the vast reaches of space are understood. And along the way, you've also become the nation's largest manufacturing industry -- creating jobs for over two and a half million Americans. Modernizing services and industries of every kind. Assuring our national security. And providing a vital export market. As technologies, economies, and geopolitics change almost weekly, your industries stand at a threshold of tremendous opportunity. So we intend to work with you -- closely, constantly, and consistently -- to see that American electronics and technologies regain and retain a preeminent position in world markets. We're committed to a comprehensive program of both immediate and long-term competitive strategies for the future. And while we're only at the start of a process that shows great promise, today I want to outline briefly what we're already doing. 3 Our first priority is to encourage productivity gains, savings, and long-term investment in high-tech industries, by lowering the cost of capital. We believe that one of the most crucial Federal priorities is to encourage planning for the long term -- because for too long, where investment is concerned, the Federal government has been more of a hindrance than a help. So last month we sent to Congress our Savings and Economic Growth Act -- which includes an innovative family savings plan, to stimulate capital formation. New incentives for IRAs. And a business-building, job-creating, revenue-enhancing cut in the capital gains differential. Without it, every business in America -- of every size -- is at a competitive disadvantage abroad. So we're fighting hard, with your continued support, for that crucial tax cut. We've proposed a budget that will bring the deficit down. Below the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings targets. Without raising taxes. Along with encouraging investment, we're committed to unprecedented support for research and development efforts. We believe that the R & E tax credit should be made permanent. And our budget includes a record-breaking $70 billion in Federal direct investment for research and development. Our budget devotes unprecedented resources to The Education. The National Science Foundation. Drug abuse control 4 Environmental initiatives. And other crucial investments in America's future. But we understand, as you do, that no investment is more important than our human resources. So together with the nation's governors, we've set ambitious goals for America's students. As an incentive, we've proposed a new National Science Scholars program of scholarships, and requested a 70 percent increase for the Eisenhower Math and Sciences Educational Program. We're committed: By the year 2000, our kids can be first in the world in science and math achievement -- and with enough involvement and leadership from groups like this one, they will be. Your industries face some unique challenges. The marketplace is tough enough without undue. constraints and unfair restrictions. So we've pledged to make sure that trade is free, and fair -- through judicious but firm implementation of the 1988 trade Act, and vigorous enforcement of the Super 301 provisions. This month, at the next round of talks, we intend to . We're moving forward with Japan, through the Structural Impediments Initiative -- and by working to develop a more productive relationship overall. Just last weekend I met with Prime Minister Kaifu, who agreed But we're also committed to strengthening and expanding the multilateral talks, through the Uruguay Round. We've proposed 5 far-reaching reforms of the global trading system, working to bring a wide range of new trade areas under the GATT. These crucial negotiations will help us create a more equitable, more efficient trade climate worldwide. I've made the relaxing of export controls a personal priority -- especially with an eye toward Eastern Europe- This week at COCOM in Paris we have a team negotiating an interim policy: Given the pace of political change, new developments in technology, and the competitive position of American industry, tal Lell to the I'm confident that we "Il be able to revise and modernize our benecracies export controls, without compromising national security. To provide further competitive benefits for American firms, we're looking at legislation to allow them to join forces in joint production ventures. We would support a proposal where are anti-trust aspects would be & assessed by the courts, on a case- by-case basis. This initiative would build on the competitive strength of American business, by allowing firms to pool skills, build new production facilities, and share investment risks. One risk you all face, of course -- to a great and unfortunate degree -- is product liability. And the Council on Competitiveness, chaired by Vice President Quayle, is already working for significant reform of our cumbersome and expensive product liability system. 6 Today I'm going to offer that council another challenge: to form a working group, to find ways that American industry can better translate new ideas and technologies into marketable products. So many of the world's most advanced technologies, from robotics to the VCR, were first developed here. And so many of those concepts were ultimately brought to the marketplace by our competitors. We can do better. And we will do better. Today I've outlined some of what we're doing to level the field. But it will be leaders like you that have to take the ball and run with it. You represent the vital core of America's competitive potential, with over 3500 of the most dynamic, technologically advanced, forward-thinking companies in the country. Your ideas are important to us. And your success is crucial to America's future. So let me encourage you to work together, and with us, on a long-term program to meet the competitive challenge of a new century. Thank you. And God bless you. # # #