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Originally Processed With FOIA(s): FOIA Number: S S FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential Library Staff. Record Group/Collection: George H.W. Bush Presidential Records Collection/Office of Origin: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Speech File Backup Files Subseries: Chron File, 1989-1993 OA/ID Number: 13799 Folder ID Number: 13799-002 Folder Title: Oak Ridge [TN] 2/19/92 [OA 7568] [3] Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: G 26 22 3 3 THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON February 14, 1992 MEMORANDUM FOR THE CHIEF OF STAFF DIANE LIMO DEB ANDERSON TONY MAURO PAUL BATEMAN TIM MCBRIDE TONY BENEDI LAURA MELILLO PHILLIP BRADY HENSON MOORE MICHAEL BUSCH JANE MOORE SANDY BUSHUE ROGER PORTER NICK CALIO PATTY PRESOCK LINDA CASEY SHERRIE ROLLINS BILLY DALE SUSAN PORTER ROSE DAVID DEMAREST BRENT SCOWCROFT BILL FARISH SICHAN SIV CAM FINDLAY DORRANCE SMITH LAURIE FIRESTONE TONY SNOW MARLIN FITZWATER GOVERNOR SUNUNU BOYDEN GRAY KATHY SUPER EDE HOLIDAY PEGGY SWIFT CONSTANCE HORNER RICHARD TREFRY TOM HUFFORD DAVID VALDEZ RON KAUFMAN ROSE ZAMARIA BOBBIE KILBERG USSS/PPD OPS WILLIAM KRISTOL WHCA OPERATIONS MEDICAL UNIT AIRLIFT OPS THROUGH: SIG ROGICH ASSISTANT TO THE PRESIDENT FOR PUBLIC EVENTS AND INITIATIVES FROM: JAY PARMER aly Parmer SPECIAL ASSISTANT TO THE PRESIDENT AND DIRECTOR OF PRESIDENTIAL ADVANCE SUBJECT: TRIP OF THE PRESIDENT TO KNOXVILLE, TENNESSEE, FEBRUARY 19, 1992 For your use and planning purposes, the attached is a preliminary outline schedule for the Trip of the President to Knoxville, Tennessee, February 19, 1992. Please keep in mind the following information has not been finally approved and is subject to change. Attachments PRELIMINARY OUTLINE SCHEDULE Wednesday, February 19, 1992 GUEST AND STAFF INSTRUCTIONS: 7:15 am Vans depart West Basement en route Andrews Air Force Base. 7:35 am Guests and Staff with own transportation should arrive Distinguished Visitor's Lounge. Andrews Air Force Base, at this time for check-in. 8:00 am MARINE ONE departs White House en route Andrews Air Force Base. (Flying Time: 10 Minutes) 8:10 am MARINE ONE arrives Andrews Air Force Base. 8:20 am AIR FORCE ONE departs Andrews Air Force Base en route Knoxville, Tennessee. (Flying Time: 1 Hour 20 Minutes) (Time Change: None) (Interchange: No) 9:40 am AIR FORCE ONE arrives McGhee Tyson Air Base, (E.S.T.) Knoxville, Tennessee. 9:50 am MARINE ONE departs McGhee Tyson Air Base en route Oak Ridge National Laboratory Landing Zone. (Flying Time: 15 Minutes) 10:05 am MARINE ONE arrives Oak Ridge National Laboratory Landing Zone. 10:10 am MOTORCADE departs Oak Ridge National Laboratory Landing Zone en route High Flux Isotope Reactor Facility. (Drive Time: 5 Minutes) 10:15 am MOTORCADE arrives High Flux Isotope Reactor Facility. * TOUR OF REACTOR FACILITY - Closed Press - Walking Tour (10:20 am - 10:30 am) * BRIEFING ON HIGH FLUX ISOTOPE REACTOR - Expanded Pool (10:35 am - 10:45 am) 10:55 am MOTORCADE departs High Flux Isotope Reactor Facility en route Oak Ridge National Laboratory Landing Zone. (Drive Time: 5 Minutes) 11:00 am MOTORCADE arrives Oak Ridge National Laboratory Landing Zone. 11:05 am MARINE ONE departs Oak Ridge National Laboratory Landing Zone en route McGhee Tyson Air Base. (Flying Time: 15 Minutes) 11:20 am MARINE ONE arrives McGhee Tyson Air Base. 11:25 am MOTORCADE departs McGhee Tyson Air Base en route Knoxville Auditorium-Coliseum. (Drive Time: 15 Minutes) 11:40 am MOTORCADE arrives Knoxville Auditorium-Coliseum. * ADDRESS KNOXVILLE COMMUNITY - Open Press - Remarks/Teleprompter - 1000 Attendees (11:45 am - 12:15 pm) Page Two 12:20 pm MOTORCADE departs Knoxville Auditorium-Coliseum en route McGhee Tyson Air Base. (Drive Time: 15 Minutes) 12:35 pm MOTORCADE arrives McGhee Tyson Air Base. 12:40 pm AIR FORCE ONE departs Knoxville, Tennessee (E.S.T.) en route Andrews Air Force Base. (Flying Time: 1 Hour 10 Minutes) (Time Change: None) (Interchange: No) 1:50 pm AIR FORCE ONE arrives Andrews Air Force (E.S.T.) Base. 2:00 pm MARINE ONE departs Andrews Air Force Base en route White House. (Flying Time: 10 Minutes) 2:10 pm MARINE ONE arrives White House. Page Three National Technology Initiative Event date Wednesday, February 19, 1992 Contacts: Steve Skinner, Energy Department, 586-5500. Steve Olson, Office of Science and Technology Policy, White House, x2734. Mat Heyman, NIST Chief of Public Affairs, 301-975-2762 Event site: Oak Ridge National Laboratory See file for details, plus Bob should be calling in from the road. **Call Steve Skinner if you need event guidance. When I spoke with him this morning, they were still scrambling to put the event together. He did say they would be happy to submit talking points. They should be here by the end of the day. I have enclosed some quotes on technology. Those circled in blue are the best ones, I think. Other Technology Quotes: "We now stand in the vestibule of a vast new technological age." -- Dwight D. Eisenhower 1959 "A different world cannot be built by indifferent people" -- Anonymous From Mat Heyman: The three top points of NTI 1) Improve industry awareness of what federal government has to offer in terms of R&D and new policies which will help develop new technologies. 2) Raise awareness of Companies working together with other companies and share technological advances. 3) Improve feedback and dialogue between the government and the private sector; work together. **Mat will be faxing additional materials, such as success stories and examples of what this means in real terms, as well as how our economic proposals can be tied in. BUDGET OF THE UNITED STATES STATES MANAGEMENT AND 30 EXECUTIVE, OFFICE BUDGET UNITED THE OFFICE 30 OF THE OF THE PRESIDENT GOVERNMENT ENHANCING RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND FISCAL YEAR 1993 EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER ENHANCING RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Reprint of Pages One-87 through One-146 of Part One, Chapter 6, of the Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1993 6. ENHANCING RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER It is by now widely recognized that a et continues that pattern of aggressive invest- key to enhancing long-term economic growth ment in both basic and applied R&D. Today in America is improving productivity. Pro- new frontiers are emerging in science, space ductivity growth will enable our economy and technology, including new materials, ad- to grow faster than our population-thus vanced computing, manufacturing methods, making possible improvements in America's space exploration, and biotechnology. By help- standard of living. ing to expand America's knowledge base in these and other areas, and by advancing The Bush Administration has proposed, the development of new technologies, the over the past three fiscal years, a pattern budget lays the groundwork for growth. of investment in areas of research and develop- ment that will help to boost productivity This chapter discusses a range of Federal and improve economic performance. This budg- research and development programs and is- Table 6-1. ENHANCING RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER-HIGHLIGHTS (Dollar amounts in millions) Dollar Percent 1989 Budget Authority 1992 1993 Change: Change: Actual Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 Applied Research: High Performance Computing and Communications N/A 655 803 +148 +23% Advanced Materials and Processing N/A 1,659 1,821 +162 +10% Biotechnology Research N/A 3,759 4,030 +271 +7% Energy R&D 397 774 914 +140 +18% Moving Fusion Energy from Science to Engineering 347 337 360 +23 +7% Advanced Manufacturing R&D (non-defense) N/A 252 321 +69 +27% Transportation R&D 802 1,224 1,433 +209 +17% Protecting the Public Health 3,482 4,757 4,849 +92 +2% Expanding R&D at the National Institute of Standards and Technology 159 247 311 +64 +26% Space Technology 256 273 305 +32 +12% Basic Research: Doubling the NSF Budget by 1994 1,923 2,572 3,026 +454 +18% Support for Individual Investigators (HHS, NSF, DOE) 5,884 7,273 7,939 +666 +9% Human Genome Project N/A 164 175 +11 +7% Superconducting Super Collider 98 484 650 +166 +34% U.S. Global Change Research Program N/A 1,110 1,372 +262 +24% Astronomy and Astrophysics 617 836 890 +54 +6% National Research Initiative (USDA) N/A 98 150 +52 +53% Maintaining National Security: Defense R&D: Defense 38,031 40,043 40,509 +466 +1% Energy 2,321 2,668 2,640 -28 -1% Expanding the Geographic Frontier: Improving Access to Space 4,411 5,312 5,412 +100 +2% Space Exploration 1,433 2,646 2,836 +190 +7% Part One-87 Part One-88 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 sues, including space and defense, that are and strengthening of initiatives in high per- related to these frontiers. The budget proposes formance computing and communications and to invest over $76 billion for research and global change research. In addition, the budget development, including R&D facilities, in 1993. proposes to expand the initiative to improve This represents an increase of nearly $2 mathematics and science education at all billion, or 3 percent over 1992. Within this levels, as discussed in Chapter 4, "Reforming total, Federal civilian R&D would increase American Education and Investing in Human by 7 percent, while defense-related R&D Capital." would increase by 1 percent. The budget proposes over $14 billion for basic research, The budget proposes to provide support an increase of over $1 billion, or 8 percent, for several important civil space programs, over 1992. The budget also proposes over including Space Station Freedom, space $17 billion for civilian applied research and science missions such as the Advanced X- development, an increase of over $1 billion ray Astrophysics Facility and the Earth Ob- or 6 percent. serving System, and new initiatives such The budget proposes several crosscutting as the new launch system, the National investments that will build the base for Aerospace Plane, and technology related to the continuing expansion of the frontier of exploration of the Moon and Mars. Because knowledge: a new initiative to improve the of the President's desire to constrain the synthesis, processing and performance of both overall growth of Federal spending, however, new and traditional materials; a new initiative and in response to Congressional directives, to increase funding for biotechnology research, the total increase for civil space programs especially in applications; and continuation is only $738 million, or 5 percent. HIGHLIGHTS APPLIED RESEARCH Advanced Materials and Processing.- The budget proposes $1,821 million, an in- These initiatives help to spur innovation crease of 10 percent over 1992, for a 10-agency and the movement of new products and program intended to improve the manufacture processes from the laboratory to the market- and performance of materials. This new Presi- place. dential Initiative is intended to achieve ad- High Performance Computing and Com- vances in materials that will enable improve- munications.-The budget proposes an in- ments in a wide range of other technologies. crease of $148 million, or 23 percent, to a total Emphasis will be placed on research on mate- of $803 million for the second year of an inter- rials synthesis and processing, two areas criti- agency program to help establish American cal to developing new materials and to improv- pre-eminence in the fields of high performance ing the quality of all materials. computing and communications. This Presi- Biotechnology Research-The budget pro- dential Initiative initiative, involving nine Fed- poses $4,030 million, an increase of $271 mil- eral agencies (in addition to the private sector), lion or 7 percent over 1992, for biotechnology will focus on the underlying research and the research programs in 12 agencies. This new academic training needed to accelerate signifi- Presidential Initiative capitalizes on the cur- cantly the availability of the next generation rent U.S. leadership in biotechnology, and rec- of high performance computing systems and ognizes the key role biotechnology plays in en- digital communications networks. The goal is hancing the Nation's technological strength, to assist in the development of computing ca- economic growth, and the health and quality pability with roughly 1,000 times improvement of life of its people. The program will empha- over current systems by 1996 and communica- size potential new applications of bio- tions systems 100 times faster than those cur- technology in health, manufacturing/ rently in use. bioprocessing, and the environment; will 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-89 strengthen research and infrastructure for trains. For aeronautics R&D in NASA, not in- structural biology; and will expand inter- cluding high-performance computing, the budg- disciplinary training at the interfaces of biol- et proposes $855 million, an increase of $98 ogy, chemistry, physics, mathematics, com- million or 13 percent. The increase will sup- puter science, materials science, and engineer- port continued high-priority R&D on environ- ing. mental issues associated with supersonic flight Energy Technology R&D.-The budget and on high-temperature propulsion materials. proposes $914 million, an increase of $140 mil- The budget also includes $80 million for con- lion, or 18 percent, for investments in targeted tinued technology development for the joint high-payoff technologies and strategies to in- NASA/DOD National Aerospace Plane pro- crease the efficiency of energy use, to develop gram, leading to a future decision on a flight cost-effective alternatives to petroleum and to research vehicle. advance new electricity technologies, including Protecting the Public Health-Bio- battery technology. This investment is guided medical Research: The budget proposes $4.8 by the National Energy Strategy which was billion for applied research and development announced by the President in February, 1991. at the Department of Health and Human Serv- Fusion R&D.-The budget proposes $360 ices, an increase of $92 million, or 2 percent. million, an increase of $23 million or nearly The budget includes a total of $10.6 billion 7 percent for the development of energy from for basic and applied research and develop- nuclear fusion. This National Energy Strategy ment at the Department of Health and Human initiative maintains the strong national com- Services. Women's Health Initiative: The budg- mitment to the International Thermonuclear et includes an 80 percent increase for a re- Experimental Reactor (ITER) engineering de- cently-launched NIH study on women's health, sign activity. The ITER experiment is carried which is designed to answer difficult questions out in partnership with Japan, the European about how best to prevent deaths from cancer, Community, and Russia. heart disease, and the bone fractures common Advanced Manufacturing R&D.-The with advancing age in women. HIV/AIDS: The budget includes over $1 billion for R&D on budget proposes a 4 percent increase to over $1.2 billion for biomedical and behavioral re- advanced manufacturing technologies. This in- cludes an increase of 27 percent for search on Human Immunodeficiency Virus/Ac- nondefense-related manufacturing R&D. In ad- quired Immune Deficiency Syndrome. (The dition, the budget proposes an increase of $25 budget proposes a total increase of $565 mil- million to a total of $105 million for the Na- lion, or 13 percent, for HIV/AIDS research, tional Science Foundation for a new initiative treatment, prevention and income support.) in manufacturing research. The budget also Expanding R&D at the National Insti- proposes $27 million for manufacturing R&D tute of Standards and Technology.-The at the National Institute of Standards and budget proposes a 26 percent increase to a Technology. total of $311 million for NIST. The 1993 pro- Transportation R&D.-The budget pro- posal will continue an effort begun in 1991 poses $1,433 million, an increase of 17 percent, to expand NIST's ability to perform generic for transportation R&D, funded primarily by applied research and technology development the Department of Transportation (DOT) and and to address a growing number of important standards and measurement issues. In addi- the National Aeronautics and Space Adminis- tration (NASA). The increase will support con- tion, the budget proposes $68 million for the tinued high-priority R&D on aviation and Advanced Technology Program, an increase of high-speed rail projects. For R&D in DOT, the 36 percent over 1992. budget proposes $498 million, an increase of Creating Technology for Space and 12 percent, for research programs to improve Earth-The budget proposes $305 million, an air traffic management, to increase the use of increase of 12 percent, for NASA space tech- satellites for aviation navigation and commu- nology development. This increase recognizes nications, for improved intelligent vehicle/high- the central role of new technology in the future way systems and for magnetically levitated of the U.S. space program. Strengthening cur- Part One-90 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 rent investments in technology will later pay Superconducting Super Collider off in new capabilities for scientific research, (SSC).-The budget proposes an increase of communications, robotics, launch vehicles, and $166 million for the SSC to a total of $650 other space-related areas. million. This will support continued work to- ward the transition from prototype BASIC RESEARCH superconducting magnets to production and continued construction of support facilities. It These initiatives lead to the creation of will also provide for the construction of a tun- new knowledge which will enable future inno- nel segment for testing purposes. The funding vation. level maintains the 10-year design and con- Doubling the National Science Founda- struction schedule approved last year. The tion (NSF) Budget by 1994.-The budget total cost of slightly over $8 billion assumes proposes an increase of 18 percent overall for one-third non-Federal contributions including NSF, including a 21 percent increase for basic $233 million in 1993. research. This will continue the Administra- U.S. Global Change Research Program tion's commitment to double NSF's budget by (USGCRP).-The budget proposes an overall 1994. This increase is targeted toward invest- increase of $262 million, or 24 percent, to a ments in the people, equipment and unique total of $1,372 million for this Presidential research facilities that underpin the U.S. sci- Initiative-the most advanced program on glob- entific enterprise. al change research issues in the world. The Increasing Support for Individual Inves- proposed increase will assist efforts to under- tigators.-The budget proposes nearly $8 bil- stand more fully the earth's climate system. lion for the support of individual investigators That understanding will facilitate development funded by the Departments of Health and of sound policies concerning global environ- Human Services and Energy and the National mental issues such as ozone depletion and Science Foundation. This is an increase of over global warming. 9 percent over 1992. Individual investigators Astronomy and Astrophysics.-The budget are the backbone of the U.S. scientific and en- proposes a total of $890 million for these two gineering enterprise. These researchers, lo- closely related disciplines which are funded cated primarily at the Nation's colleges and primarily by the National Science Foundation universities conduct most of the fundamental and the National Aeronautics and Space Ad- research on which technological progress is ministration. The objective of these programs founded. In addition, and perhaps more impor- is to increase our understanding of the uni- tantly, they educate and train the next genera- verse. The budget proposals are consistent tion of scientists and engineers. with the recommendations of a recent report Human Genome Project.-The budget pro- of the National Research Council ("The Decade poses an increase of $11 million, or 7 percent, of Discovery in Astronomy and Astrophysics") to a total of $175 million in the Departments concerning ground- and space-based astronomy of Energy and Health and Human Services and astrophysics research for the next decade, (National Institutes of Health). The goal of the including increased operations and mainte- project is to analyze within 15 years the entire nance support for existing facilities, increased complement of human genetic material at the support for individual investigators, and the molecular level. The Departments are develop- development of small and medium-sized in- struments. ing capabilities and tools, constructing maps, sequencing human chromosomes, developing National Agricultural Research Ini- accessible data bases, and characterizing dis- tiative.-The budget continues the commit- ease-related genes. Both agencies are also ad- ment to the National Research Initiative dressing ethical, legal, and social issues sur- (NRI), first proposed in the 1991 budget, by rounding the uses of knowledge about the proposing $150 million, an increase of $52 mil- human genome and are developing educational lion, or 53 percent, over 1992. In 1991, $100 activities on genome issues for the general million was proposed as the initial installment, public. to be increased by $50 million each year to 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-91 the extent that funds were awarded competi- Encouraging R&D by Multinational tively and not earmarked for specific sites or Companies.-The budget proposes a 18- institutions. Six categories of research will con- month extension in the rules for allocation of tinue to be funded: natural resources and the foreign and domestic expenditures for compa- environment; nutrition, food quality and nies with foreign operations. health; plant systems (including mapping of plant genomes); animal systems; markets, trade, and policy; and processes antecedent to EXPANDING THE GEOGRAPHICAL adding value and developing new products. FRONTIER: SPACE MAINTAINING NATIONAL SECURITY Improving Access to Space-The budget proposes $5.4 billion, an increase of 2 percent, Defense R&D.-The budget proposes a total for civil space transportation. Plans for the of over $43 billion for R&D for national secu- Space Shuttle include improving its oper- rity activities, an increase of $438 million, or ational efficiency, updating key components to 1 percent over 1992. This amount includes protect against obsolescence, and using the more than $40 billion for R&D supported by new, commercially-developed SpaceHab mod- the Department of Defense, and almost $3 bil- ule to carry more experiments for microgravity lion for defense-related R&D supported by the research. In the area of expendable launch ve- Department of Energy. hicles, NASA and the Department of Defense will jointly develop a new launch system to IMPROVING TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER reduce the cost of access to space, improve reli- Accelerating the Pace of Technology ability, increase operability and flexibility, and Transfer.-The budget projects a continuing extend U.S. launch capability to support heav- significant increase in the level of technology ier payloads. First launch of this new system transfer activities, including almost 1,700 Co- is planned for 2002. The two agencies will also operative Research and Development Agree- sponsor research that can lead to improve- ments, an increase of 40 percent over the two ments in existing launch systems. The govern- years since 1991; about 3,300 new invention ment will continue to procure commercial disclosures; 1,500 patent applications; and al- launch services, including use of the new Com- most 500 technology licenses awarded. mercial Experiment Transporter (COMET) sys- tem. Expanding the Role of the National Lab- oratories.-The budget assumes that the Na- Space Exploration-The exploration of tional Laboratories will play an increasing role space continues to excite and capture the in high priority areas of civilian applied re- imagination of people all over the world. Build- search and development, including high per- ing on three decades of robotic and manned formance computing, space exploration, ad- missions of discovery, the budget proposes a vanced materials research, and others. The total of $2.8 billion, a 7 percent increase, for laboratories could play an important role in programs leading to exploration of the Moon helping to form R&D consortia and other col- and the planets. Plans for 1993 include con- laborative R&D arrangements led by industry tinuing work on Space Station Freedom, ana- and universities. lyzing data from ongoing planetary missions, designing and constructing new exploration STIMULATING PRIVATE SECTOR R&D spacecraft, and advancing key technologies INVESTMENTS needed for future robotic and manned missions to the Moon and Mars. The budget proposes R&E Tax Credit.-The budget proposes to about $15 billion for the National Aeronautics make the Research and Experimentation tax and Space Administration, an increase of 5 credit permanent. percent over 1992. Part One-92 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 ENHANCING RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT Research and development (R&D) yields The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) pre- new knowledge, products and processes that, pares and publishes official measures of pro- over the long term, result in economic growth ductivity growth and carries out research and an improved quality of life for all to improve them. The results of a study Americans. Investment in research and devel- by Sveikauskas (BLS, 1989) suggest that opment is a top priority for an Administration privately-funded R&D in the non-farm busi- that believes in investing in the future. ness sector has resulted in average annual Investments in research and development productivity improvements of 0.15 percent form the foundation for the exploration of between 1948-1973 and 0.14 percent from all of the new frontiers of today and tomorrow. 1973-1987. The contribution of R&D to pro- ductivity calculated by BLS appears to account for roughly 14 percent of the total multifactor INVESTMENTS IN R&D PROVIDE productivity growth over these time periods. LARGE BENEFITS TO THE NATION Significantly, the BLS study also noted that the direct influence of R&D on productivity The Federal Government has a long history growth was greatest in manufacturing, ac- of funding R&D with the goal of spurring counting for an average annual productivity innovation. Examples can be found as far growth of 0.49 percent between 1948-1987. back as research sponsored by the Navy in the late 1700's. Other examples include Other studies (Levy and Terleckyj, 1983; the establishment in the 1860's of the land- Griliches, 1986) have provided evidence that grant college system with its emphasis on Federally-financed R&D also has a positive direct impact on productivity, albeit somewhat research to improve agricultural productivity, smaller and more difficult to find with consist- and the 50-year history of support for aero- ency. nautics research and technology, an effort which has contributed to today's large positive In addition, empirical evidence from as balance of trade in the aerospace sector. far back as the 1950's indicates that increased Since World War II, the Federal Government governmental R&D funding can result in has been a major sponsor of R&D performed increased private R&D funding. Recent work by industry, either directly or indirectly such (Leyden and Link, 1991) offers some evidence as through the tax code. that not only is there a complementary relationship between governmental and private It is widely accepted that R&D investments R&D, but that governmental R&D affects lead to new knowledge and innovation, which, the behavior of private performers of R&D, in turn, leads to economic growth. For exam- i.e., it stimulates more sharing of technical ple, recent work (Romer) has emphasized knowledge, and thus contributes to the greater this relationship by showing that new knowl- social benefit of the Nation. edge is as important an investment as capital All of the scholarly work has identified and labor in determining the output of the R&D as a major positive influence on pro- economy. Romer asserts that increased knowl- ductivity. But much remains to be learned edge, like increased capital, raises the return about this phenomenon, particularly with re- on investment, and, in turn, more investment spect to: (1) the differences between direct spurs the creation of new knowledge. There benefits (i.e., to the financing firm or sector) is also strong analytical evidence that R&D and indirect benefits (i.e., to firms down- is an important contributor to productivity stream); (2) between product and process growth. Studies by Griliches (1973), Sherer R&D; (3) the mechanisms and the time (1982), Terleckyj (1982), Sveikauskas (1982) frame over which R&D (and even different and Mansfield (1984), inter alia, have shown types of R&D) depreciate; and (4) the most that R&D tends to be the strongest and accurate way to deflate research expenditures most consistent positive influence on pro- over time. BLS, NSF and others will support ductivity growth. research on these problems during 1993. 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-93 THE NEED FOR INCREASED R&D made to GDP, it shows that R&D as a INVESTMENTS share of GDP declined through the 1970's and most of the 1980's. Since 1989, R&D The goals of R&D are to generate new has been steadily increasing as a share knowledge; train the future skilled workforce; of GDP. The budget provides increases and and to provide a catalyst for economic activity. incentives designed to continue to increase Taken together, these goals provide the most R&D investment as a percent of GDP. compelling rationale for increased Federal support for R&D. THE FEDERAL R&D BUDGET: The combination of public and private na- OVERVIEW AND TRENDS tional investments in R&D have contributed to the unprecedented advance of human The budget proposes to allocate $76.6 billion knowlege and improvement in the quality for R&D, including R&D facilities. This is of life for much of the world. All of the an increase of nearly $2 billion, or 3 percent, available empirical evidence suggests that over 1992. Within this total, $14.3 billion "more is better" in that (1) increased total will be allocated for basic research, an increase R&D investment adds to the productivity ofover $1 billion, or 8 percent, and over of the Nation, and (2) Federal R&D invest- $59 billion for applied research, an increase ments are important. Thus, there is ample of about $1.5 billion, or 3 percent, over justification for increased Federal investment 1992. Federal civilian R&D will increase in R&D as well as for Federal action to by 7 percent while defense-related R&D (in increase the levels of private R&D investment. the Departments of Defense and Energy) will increase by 1 percent. One measure that historically has been used to gauge the appropriate level of R&D As a percentage of total Federal domestic is the total size of the national R&D invest- discretionary spending, total civilian R&D ment relative to the Gross National Product has declined from a peak of 26 percent (GNP). Using this measure, R&D as a share in the Apollo years to a trough of 10 of GNP stood at about 2.7 percent in the percent in 1983. It has begun to increase early 1960's, fell during the decade of the again to about 14 percent in recent years. 1970's, and returned to that level in the The President proposed to increase this share 1980's. Total U.S. R&D investments have to 15 percent in 1992, but Congress cut increased in absolute terms over that period. this request. The budget seeks to increase Compared with our major trading partners, this share once again to 15 percent in U.S. R&D as a percent of GNP is less 1993. than that of Japan and Germany, but larger The Federal Government currently accounts than France or the United Kingdom. for about 44 percent of the total U.S. invest- Over the past decade, the ratio of Federal ment in R&D. Industry, academia, and non- R&D outlays to GNP has hovered at about profit organizations make up the remaining 1.2 percent. In each of the past three budgets, 56 percent. In 1991, it is estimated that President Bush has proposed increases that total U.S. R&D expenditures, Federal and would have increased this share. Congress non-Federal, were $151.6 billion, an increase has not fully funded these requests. of over 4 percent over 1991. In total, the U.S. investment in R&D is about 2.7 percent Recently, the Federal Government has of GDP. Trends in industry R&D funding, begun to use the Gross Domestic Product and initiatives to spur increased industry (GDP) as an indicator of the overall strength investment through making permanent the of the economy, rather than the more tradi- tax credit for research and experimentation, tional GNP. When a similar comparison is are discussed later in this chapter. Part One-94 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 Table 6-2. THE BUDGET PROPOSES AN INCREASE OF $2.5 BILLION IN FEDERAL INVESTMENT IN RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT (Dollar amounts in millions) Budget Authority Outlays Department or Agency Dollar Percent Dollar Percent 1989 1992 1993 Change: Change: 1989 1992 1993 Change: Change: Actual Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to Actual Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 1993 1993 Government-wide totals: Conduct of R&D: Basic Research 10,615 13,254 14,322 +1,068 +8% 10,255 12,491 13,405 +914 +7% Civilian 9,650 12,053 13,086 +1,034 +9% 9,312 11,325 12,142 +817 +7% Defense 1 965 1,201 1,236 +35 +3% 943 1,166 1,263 +97 +8% Applied Research and Development 51,298 57,839 59,302 +1,463 +3% 50,626 53,890 56,253 +2,363 +4% Civilian 11,620 16,257 17,313 +1,056 +6% 11,030 15,132 15,958 +826 +5% Defense 1 39,678 41,582 41,988 +406 +1% 39,596 38,758 40,295 +1,538 +4% Subtotal, Conduct of R&D 61,913 71,093 73,624 +2,531 +4% 60,881 66,381 69,658 +3,277 +5% R&D Facilities 2,293 3,498 2,933 -565 -16% 2,054 3,286 3,189 -96 -3% Total, Conduct of R&D and Facili- ties² 64,206 74,592 76,557 +1,965 +3% 62,935 69,666 72,847 +3,181 +5% Conduct of R&D by Agency: Defense-military 38,031 40,043 40,509 +466 +1% 37,545 37,175 38,847 +1,672 +4% Health and Human Serv- ices 7,894 10,216 10,649 +433 +4% 7,486 9,468 10,199 +731 +8% Energy 5,362 6,514 6,578 +65 +1% 5,692 6,195 6,219 +23 - National Aeronautics and Space Administration 5,303 7,706 8,673 +967 +13% 4,975 7,272 7,710 +438 +6% National Science Founda- tion 1,671 1,967 2,375 +408 +21% 1,557 1,840 2,056 +216 +12% Agriculture 1,050 1,328 1,332 +4 1,021 1,245 1,285 +40 +3% Interior 467 583 552 -31 -5% 478 580 546 -34 -6% Environmental Protection Agency 389 496 525 +29 +6% 345 454 495 +41 +9% Commerce 417 580 614 +34 +6% 363 542 582 +40 +7% Transportation 313 446 498 +52 +12% 322 410 457 +47 +11% Agency for International Development 261 322 325 +3 +1% 379 314 303 -11 -4% Veterans Affairs 212 230 245 +15 +7% 187 247 262 +14 +6% Other Agencies³ 542 662 750 +88 +13% 532 639 699 +60 +9% 1 Includes the military-related programs of the Departments of Defense and Energy. 2 Components may not add to totals because of rounding. 8 Includes the Departments of Education, Justice, Housing and Urban Development, Labor, the Treasury, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Tennessee Valley Authority, Smithsonian Institution, and the Corps of Engineers. APPLIED R&D: EXPANDING THE FRONTIER OF TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT Federal investments in applied research and new jobs. In total, the budget proposes and development provide a strong foundation about $59.3 billion, an increase of about for the development of new technologies, $1.5 billion or nearly 3 percent to support which, when successfully applied by the pri- R&D investments across a wide range of vate sector, can yield large benefits in terms technology areas. of productivity improvements, economic growth 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-95 RATIO OF FEDERAL CIVILIAN R&D OUTLAYS TO GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT PERCENT 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 1962 1967 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 SOURCE: National Science Foundation, Office of Management and Budget The Administration has sought to foster making permanent the R&E tax credit, ex- technological advancement through a multi- pansion of the National Cooperative Re- faceted technology policy that includes: search Act (NCRA) to include joint produc- increased Federal investments in high- tion ventures, and the proposed reduction payoff applied research and development, in the taxation rate for capital gains. including increased emphasis on pre-com- Elements of this policy are embodied in petitive, generic technologies; each of the budget initiatives in applied research and development. increased government-industry collabora- tion, including both formal consortia ar- Overview of Applied Research and rangements (such as the Advanced Battery Development Consortium) and informal interaction (such as the Computer Systems Policy The principal strategy for the Federal ap- plied civilian R&D programs is to invest Project); in areas of R&D that support agency mission accelerated technology transfer from gov- requirements, but also have potentially broad ernment laboratories; applications in the private sector, even though the commercial applications themselves would greater emphasis on investments in new not be funded by the government. In such technologies as part of several National cases, the Government's role is to support Strategies to address transportation and the development of generic or enabling tech- energy issues, and to advance the U.S. nologies at the pre-competitive stage of R&D: space program; generic or enabling technologies have the support for incentives to encourage greater potential to be applied to a broad range private sector R&D investments including of products or processes across many firms Part One-96 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 RATIO OF FEDERAL CIVILIAN R&D OUTLAYS TO DOMESTIC DISCRETIONARY SPENDING PERCENT 30 25 20 ALL CIVILIAN 15 10 5 WITHOUT SPACE 0 1962 1967 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 SOURCE: Office of Management and Budget or industrial sectors; and, because the ben- superconductivity. The Federal Government efits are not necessarily appropriable to has invested in many of these "critical" individual firms, the private sector is like- technologies for many years, e.g., bio- ly to underinvest; technology, computer hardware and software, pre-competitive R&D is the stage of the rocket propulsion. R&D process where the results can be shared widely within and between indus- Mechanisms for Government-Industry- trial sectors, without reducing the incen- University R&D Collaboration tive for individual firms to develop and There are a number of different mechanisms market commercial products and processes that the Federal Government may use to based upon the results. support generic applied research and tech- Many of these generic technologies have nology development. These include: cost-shar- been identified as "critical" technologies that ing of individual projects; formation of R&D consortia (often involving government, indus- are important to a number of industries. try and university laboratories); and more Lists of these technologies have been compiled informal government/university/industry col- by both Federal agencies (Defense, Commerce), laboration. by private groups (Council on Competitive- ness), and by the National Critical Tech- Industrial R&D Collaboration.-Strategic al- nologies Panel. These lists provide a useful liances and partnerships among industries are benchmark, but should not necessarily be not new. Individual firms have often looked viewed as definitive. Technology break- to other companies for new technology, innova- throughs can occur in new fields long before tion and new markets to complement their such areas are widely recognized as "critical own efforts. But in order to be successful over technologies", e.g., high-temperature the longer term, such alliances must provide 6. *ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-97 mutual, and generally comparable, benefits to The National Aerospace Plane joint-ven- the partners. The National Cooperative Re- ture partnership merged the best ideas of search Act (NCRA) of 1984 enabled private five contractors into a single design and companies to form research alliances (con- permitted the sharing of advances in ma- sortia, joint ventures, partnerships) among terials and propulsion technology and themselves without the fear of per se antitrust violations. As of December 1991, a total of 263 aerospace design. It also has helped en- sure that there will be a broad U.S. indus- private sector consortia had been registered with the Justice Department. trial base for future operational hypersonic and aerospace vehicles. The Administration has supported legisla- tion to expand the NCRA to include joint In Energy R&D, the Administration has production ventures. In addition, the Depart- pursued several R&D consortia. For exam- ment of Commerce has proposed an initiative, ple, the Administration recently initiated the Strategic Partnerships Initiative, to pro- the Advanced Battery Consortium with the mote voluntary R&D collaboration among pri- major U.S. auto companies, battery manu- vate firms for the development and application facturers and electric utilities. Over the of large-scale enabling technologies, with no past several years, the Administration has direct Federal funding. supported a collaborative R&D program in In recent years, a number of authors (Ouchi; photovoltaics technology, including both in- Coase; Porter; Badaracco; Dertouzos, Lester dividual cost-shared contracts as well as and Solow) have written extensively on indus- a consortium arrangement. In addition, trial R&D cooperation and consortia. These the Administration proposed funding in authors have noted the potential benefits the 1991 budget to establish an R&D con- of increased R&D collaboration, particularly sortium for geosciences research in support where the industrial technologies are not of advanced oil and gas recovery, but Con- fully "appropriable" to individual firms, or gress did not support the request. where there are generic problems or agreed- Because U.S. R&D consortia are relatively on multiple research paths which must be new, there is no firm track record to measure explored to enable new technologies to be developed. success. There is continuing debate about the role of R&D consortia in innovation They have also noted the limitations of and economic growth. R&D collaboration. Consortia may not be beneficial if allowed to extend to product For example, in an informal survey of development, or if the collaboration is not a number of senior industry officials conducted well-defined in advance, or if excessive reliance in 1990 by the National Research Council, on collaboration results in inhibiting com- many of these officials expressed doubt that petition. The Federal Government has had generic research conducted in consortial ar- limited involvement in consortia, but generally rangements with other companies and univer- has had success in those consortia in which sities would offer significant commercial ad- it has participated. For example: vantage, since the results would have to be shared broadly and are too remote from The Concurrent Supercomputing Consor- the marketplace. These officials were much tium acquires computers with unprece- more enthusiastic about the benefits of more dented capabilities and uses them to en- informal researcher-to-researcher collabora- able member scientists to tackle new class- tions. es of computational problems. This consor- tium, which consists of numerous govern- In addition, several articles have questioned ment agencies (Defense, Energy, NSF, the effectiveness of the Sematech consortium, NASA), and academic and industrial insti- and recently two of its member companies tutions, has combined its resources to ac- have withdrawn. However, many of the issues quire the Intel Touchstone Delta System, surrounding Sematech appear to be unique the world's first general-purpose computer to it, and cannot be extrapolated to all with a peak speed of 30-gigaflops. consortia. Part One-98 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 There are attributes of joint research alli- nical contributions in a variety of the applied ances that may increase the likelihood of R&D areas discussed in this chapter. In this long-term success. In the case of Federally- way the U.S. economy may benefit and receive supported consortia, such attributes would additional return from the investments which include the following: have been made developing defense tech- The private sector participants should nology. agree to share at least half of the total The National Laboratories already have costs of the R&D. a solid base of expertise in a number of The area of interest for the consortium critical technology areas, including bio- should be supportive of Federal missions, technology, advanced materials including both and should complement Federal R&D pro- semi- and superconductors, advanced manufac- grams. turing, high performance computing including massively parallel processing, and advanced The R&D itself should use existing Fed- optical technologies, including flat panel dis- eral, private or university laboratories and plays. The R&D programs of the National research expertise. Laboratories are discussed further in the The R&D should not involve technologies section on "Maintaining National Security" where one or more of the private sector later in this chapter. participants has a strong proprietary posi- Other Technology Policy Activities.-The tion or existing commercial production. technology policy principles embodied in the The setting of R&D priorities within the 1991 budget are, in part, an outgrowth of the area of interest should be led by the pri- U.S. Technology Policy statement issued in vate sector participants. September, 1990 by the Office of Science and Technology Policy. To further assist in the de- The R&D should be focused on generic or velopment and implementation of this policy, enabling technologies which have the po- the budget proposes $1 million for the Critical tential to benefit a broad range of compa- Technology Institute (CTI). The CTI, a new nies, processes or products. Federally-funded research and development These attributes are clearly embodied in center, will undertake studies and analyses the most recent Federally-supported R&D that can assist Federal agencies in determin- consortium, the U.S. Advanced Battery Con- ing whether increased investments in these sortium, and can be found in other Federal technologies will serve both agency mission R&D consortia as well. Because consortial needs and broader national needs. Together R&D arrangements are new, it will be nec- with funding provided in prior years, a total essary to experiment with different forms of $7.6 million will be available to the CTI of collaboration, and the performance of each in 1992 and 1993. will need to be continuously assessed. In addition, the budget proposes $6 million, The Role of the National Laboratories in Co- an increase of 32 percent, for the Technology operative R&D.-As a result of the major Administration within the Department of Com- changes now taking place in the world, there merce. This Administration was established are new opportunities to redeploy the Nation's in 1990 in recognition of the importance national security R&D assets in support of of technology to the Nation's long-term com- broader objectives. In particular, the govern- petitiveness and the need to integrate and ment's National Weapons Laboratories, which manage numerous Department of Commerce have historically been at the forefront of the technology functions. The enhanced budget development of advanced defense-related tech- will allow the Technology Administration to nologies, could make significant contributions pursue more aggressively its efforts to coordi- to advanced generic technologies for a broader nate Federal programs and actitivies which range of government and commercial applica- facilitate commercial application of existing tions. The National Laboratories could serve and emerging technologies. In addition, it as catalysts in the formation of new, industry- will allow the Technology Administration to led consortia that could make important tech- enhance its efforts to stimulate greater co- 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-99 operation among private sector entities with casting severe weather events; solving the the aim of fostering better quality and higher molecular riddle of the genome; predicting productivity in U.S. manufacturing. new superconducting materials; minimizing air pollution; designing better aircraft; improv- Budget Initiatives in Applied Research ing energy conservation; designing and packag- and Development ing new computer chips; understanding and High Performance Computing and Com- predicting global change. munications.-The budget proposes $803 mil- Achieving this goal will require a 1,000- lion for the second year of the High Perform- fold improvement in computing capability and ance Computing and Communications (HPCC) 100-fold improvement in communications. program. Planning and execution for this pro- These advances will also permit the private gram has proceeded through nine participating sector to "leap frog" over the otherwise incre- Federal agencies working under the Federal mental improvements in supercomputers and Coordinating Council on Science, Engineering networks. and Technology (FCCSET). The HPCC pro- gram focuses on the underlying research and Investments in research and technology the human talent needed to develop and apply development are planned in four HPCC pro- the next generation of supercomputer systems gram components: (including hardware, software, and networks). High Performance Computing Systems The goal of the HPCC initiative is to (Hardware): Development of the underly- meet, by 1996, the needs of Federal research ing technology required for scalable par- agencies to investigate and understand a allel computer systems capable of sustain- wide range of fundamental scientific and ing trillions of operations per second on engineering "grand challenge" problems: fore- large projects (a thousand-fold improve- FEDERAL CIVILIAN APPLIED RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT BUDGET AUTHORITY 1991 $ BILLIONS 7 6 SPACE 5 ALL OTHER 4 3 HEALTH 2 1 ENERGY 0 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 SOURCE: National Science Foundation, Office of Management and Budget Part One-100 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 Table 6-3. THE BUDGET INCLUDES INITIATIVES IN SEVERAL KEY AREAS OF APPLIED R&D (Dollar amounts in millions) Dollar Percent 1989 1992 1993 Initiative Change: Change: Actual Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 High Performance Computing and Communications N/A 655 803 +148 +23% Advanced Materials and Processing N/A 1,659 1,821 +162 +10% Biotechnology Research N/A 3,759 4,030 +271 +7% Energy R&D 397 774 914 +140 +18% Moving Fusion Energy from a Science to Engineering 347 337 360 +23 +7% Advanced Manufacturing R&D (non-defense) N/A 252 321 +69 +27% Improving the Efficiency of the Transportation Sector through Technology 802 1,224 1,433 +209 +17% Protecting the Public Health: Health Research and Disease Prevention 3,482 4,757 4,849 +92 +2% Expanding R&D at the National Institutes of Stand- ards and Technology 159 247 311 +64 +26% Space Technology 256 273 305 +32 +12% ment in computing capability). These sys- research, increase the number of students tems will be the bases for the commercial in computational science, and transfer supercomputers and workstations of to- technology for industrial grand challenge morrow. applications. Advanced Software Technology and Algo- In the first year of operation, the HPCC rithms (Software): Development of generic program has realized several notable technical software technology and algorithms for and programmatic achievements. Major new grand challenge research applications to scalable high performance computing systems realize the performance potential of high have been announced and delivered. New performance computing systems in a software applications have been developed networked environment. This component for emerging high performance systems. Traffic recognizes that software improvements on the network has doubled in the past have increased computational performance year, as has the number of interconnected much more than have hardware compo- local and regional networks. Participating nents. Federal agencies have begun solicitation to fund high performance computing research National Research and Education Network groups, centers, and consortia on various (Networks and Communications): Upgrade grand challenge problems, and a large number of the existing federally supported net- of researchers, scholars, students, scientists, works to provide distributed computing ca- and engineers have been trained to use pability to research and educational insti- these emerging new technologies. tutions and further advanced research on Moreover, additional substantial advice and very high speed gigabit (billion bit per sec- recommendations have come from various ond) networks and applications. Ulti- industrial, professional, and scientific organi- mately, this technology will be the founda- zations such as Educom, representing numer- tion for sophisticated commercial net- ous universities, and the Computer Systems works. Policy Project (CSPP), representing leading Basic Research and Human Resources (Re- U.S. computer companies. As an example search/Training): Support long term basic of the dynamism and flexibility of the HPCC 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-101 program, many of the CSPP recommendations technology transfer, the Department of presented in December 1991 are already Energy is supporting the development of being incorporated into the program. The a model Cooperative Research and Devel- CSPP has noted that the HPCC program opment Agreement (CRADA) that will is a significant, critical and necessary under- ease significantly the exchange of comput- taking by the Federal Government, and have ing technology between private industry provided four valuable recommendations: and government laboratories. Expand the vision of the HPCC to include Reorder the HPCC budget priorities to research on generic, enabling technologies achieve a more balanced program. In re- to support a wider range of applications sponse to this recommendation, the budget such as better health care, lifelong learn- proposes the largest dollar increase ($68 ing, improved services for senior citizens, million) of any of the HPCC program com- enhanced industrial design, and broad ac- ponents for software research. The pro- cess to public and private databases. In gram will continue to support basic re- recognition of the importance of these ap- search, generic technologies, and broad ap- plications, the program is investing in plications, but will work in the coming many of the supporting advanced tech- year to achieve the appropriate funding nologies such as open scalable systems, balance between software research and portable software, mass data storage, and computer equipment and facilities. advanced network protocols. In addition, the HPCC program is also providing op- The HPCC effort received added impetus portunities for industry and academia to in 1991 with the enactment of a multi- propose specific grand challenge applica- year authorization, the High Performance tions such as those listed above. Computing Act of 1991 (Public Law 102-194). Passage of this legislation is yet another Establish a technology and policy founda- example of the broad national support for tion for an information and communica- this program. tions infrastructure for the future. To, ad- dress this issue, the Federal Networking Advanced Materials and Processing Pro- Council, an interagency coordination group gram.-The budget proposes $1,821 million, that supports the National Research and an increase of 10 percent, for a new inter- Education Network, has formed a policy agency program to improve the synthesis, proc- committee to address critical network is- essing and performance of materials. sues such as security and privacy, intellec- Everything is composed of materials. Faster, tual property rights, and network access, smaller semiconductor chips; flexible concrete interoperability, and technology transfer. skyscrapers; a biomaterial artificial hip; and Improve management and governance of strong, lightweight aircraft and spacecraft the HPCC program and increase opportu- are but a few of the advances made possible nities for industry participation. To im- through improved materials. New methods prove management in the near term, the of preparing materials, virtually atom by HPCC program will strengthen its current atom, have become available in the past management structure. This should pro- few years, which offer unprecedented opportu- vide a clearer emphasis on implementation nities for tailoring materials to meet the of policies and plans, enable monitoring needs of society. of progress towards goals and objectives, The Federal Government has long played better satisfy Congressional reporting re- a supporting role in materials science and quirements, and serve as a single point- engineering. The importance of strengthening of-contact for industry, academia, and the Federal commitment to materials R&D other government agencies. Over the com- to take advantage of the unique scientific ing months, the Administration will be ex- opportunities now present has been widely ploring new management approaches that recognized. The National Critical Technologies might bring better coordination and ac- Panel identified materials technology as one countability to the program. To improve of six broad technology areas, and materials Part One-102 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 Table 6-4. THE BUDGET PROPOSES A 23 PERCENT INCREASE FOR ALL ASPECTS OF HIGH PERFORMANCE COMPUTING (Dollar amounts in millions) Budget Authority Dollar Percent Description 1992 1993 Change: Change: Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 Program Components High Performance Computing Systems 152 178 +26 +17% Advanced Software Technology and Algorithms 278 346 +68 +24% National Research and Education Network 92 123 +30 +33% Basic Research and Human Resources 132 156 +24 +18% Agency Defense (DARPA) 232 275 +43 +18% National Science Foundation 201 262 +61 +30% Energy 92 109 +17 +18% National Aeronautics and Space Administration 71 89 +18 +25% Health and Human Services 41 45 +4 +8% National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 10 11 +1 +10% Environmental Protection Agency 5 8 +3 +60% National Institute of Standards and Technology 2 4 +2 +95% Total, All agencies 655 803 +148 +23% figure prominently in lists of key technologies for enhancement through a FCCSET inter- prepared independently by the Departments agency coordination and evaluation process. of Defense and Commerce The evaluation criteria used in that process To address these opportunities and needs, included technical merit, environmental/social a multi-year program involving 10 Federal merit, readiness, costs, and linkages to exist- agencies has been initiated within FCCSET ing programs. to enhance R&D efforts in materials science Over the course of the next year, the and technology. The Advanced Materials and Federal agencies plan to work closely with Processing Program (AMPP) will also focus the private sector to identify in more detail increased attention on the interfaces between specific R&D priorities and to develop specific universities, government laboratories and in- collaborative R&D programs. dustry, and on transferring technology from basic research to application. Many of the programs cannot be assigned solely to specific classes of materials. Nonethe- The program targets four areas of materials less, the classes of materials that will receive science and technology for enhancement. The budget proposes to increase funding for: Syn- the largest increases in the budget proposal thesis and Processing of Materials by $65 are: polymers ($10 million or 12 percent million (9 percent); Theory, Modeling, and over 1992), ceramics ($18 million or 14 percent Simulation by $30 million (13 percent); Mate- over 1992), composites ($24 million or 13 rials Characterization by $29 million (6 per- percent over 1992), biological materials ($21 cent); and funds for Education and Human million or 13 percent over 1992), and electronic Resources in materials science and engineering materials, including semiconductors ($15 mil- by about $6 million. (27 percent). Specific lion or 9 percent over 1992). programs within these areas were selected 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-103 Table 6-5. THE BUDGET PROPOSES A 10 PERCENT INCREASE FOR A NEW INITIATIVE IN ADVANCED MATERIALS AND PROCESSING (Dollar amounts in millions) Budget Authority Dollar Percent Description 1992 1993 Change: Change: Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 Program Component Synthesis and Processing 683 748 +65 +9% Theory, Modeling and Simulation 224 253 +30 +13% Materials Characterization 474 503 +29 +6% Education/Human Resources 21 27 +6 +27% National User Facilities 257 291 +33 +13% Agency Energy 603 678 +75 +12% Defense 449 432 -17 -4% National Science Foundation 266 319 +53 +20% National Aeronautics and Space Administration 125 154 +29 +23% Health and Human Services 77 82 +5 +7% Agriculture 57 66 +9 +16% Commerce 46 48 +2 +4% Interior 25 24 -1 -4% Transportation 9 16 +7 +76% Environmental Protection Agency 3 4 +1 +33% Total, All agencies 1,659 1,821 +163 +10% Biotechnology Research-Biotechnology is techniques have enabled the development of a set of powerful tools that can ultimately lead a new generation of methods for disease to products for conquering disease, easing diagnosis including the genetic causes of world hunger and reducing pollution. Broadly disease. defined, biotechnology includes any technique Nationwide, hundreds of companies rep- that uses living organisms to make or modify resenting every industrial sector from agri- products, to improve plants or animals, or to culture to energy and manufacturing are develop microorganisms for specific use (Office using biotechnology to develop products and of Technology Assessment, 1984). New bio- processes. Central to U.S. efforts in bio- technology involves recombinant DNA, DNA technology is Federal support for research transfer techniques, macromolecular structure, in scientific and engineering disciplines that and bioprocessing, among other fields. will underpin future advances. If projected technical advances are realized, In early 1991, the President's Council on the effect of biotechnology on society and Competitiveness issued its "Report on National the economy is likely to be dramatic. In Biotechnology Policy." The report described 1991, according to a report by Ernst and three areas of concern: (1) science and tech- Young, sales of biotechnology products ap- nology; (2) risk-based regulation; and (3) proached $4 billion and sales are expected a flourishing free market for biotechnology. to increase to over $50 billion during the The budget proposals are responsive to the next ten years. Not only are new vaccines Council's recommendations on science and and drugs being developed, but biotechnology technology. In the area of regulatory policy, Part One-104 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 the Council's Biotechnology Working Group Environment.-Biotechnology products considers proposals to remove unnecessary hold great promise for environmental res- regulatory burdens by improving interagency toration and protection. The budget pro- coordination, streamlining the regulatory agen- poses $83 million for research on environ- cies' evaluation processes, and reevaluating mental biotechnology, a 20 percent in- regulations. Descriptions of Federal policies crease over 1992. Environmental bio- for the commercialization of food, animal, technology research has a direct and fun- plant and microbial products will be published damental role in developing applications soon. like bioremediation, biorestoration and de- velopment of other environmental The budget proposes a total of about $4 diagnostics. Examples of recent develop- billion for biotechnology research, an increase ments in this field include the engineering of $271 million or 7 percent over 1992. of microorganisms that degrade specific These resources will be contributed by 12 toxic organic chemicals and others that Federal agencies with biotechnology programs emit visible light signals when they en- in a number of research areas as part counter specific chemicals in the environ- of a set of FCCSET coordinated programs. ment. A number of these programs are new and their various foci provide evidence of the Manufacturing/Bioprocessing.- Industry growing and diverse applications of different is just beginning to apply biotechnology to biotechnology techniques. Examples of these a wide spectrum of manufacturing proc- esses. Biotechnology research in manufac- programs include: biological sensor technology turing/bioprocessing is likely to have in- (funded by Defense) to improve threat detec- creasingly important applications to the tion at sea and drug interdiction efforts; manufacture of pharmaceuticals, food-re- conservation and renewable energy research lated products, chemical feedstocks, fuels, (funded by Energy) to develop cost-effective and a variety of novel products such as biofuels; forensic DNA analysis for identifica- biomolecular materials. Modern tion and testing (funded by Justice) to develop bioprocessing is able to achieve economi- reliable and valid methods for conducting cally efficient manufacture of many desir- DNA profiling; and engineering research in able products by using renewable re- the areas of bioprocessing and applied bio- sources and biocatalysts that minimize en- technology (funded by NSF). ergy consumption and reduce waste prod- Coordination of agency programs maximizes ucts. The budget proposes $124 million for the effectiveness of the total Federal effort. manufacturing/bioprocessing research, an increase of 25 percent over 1992. For example, nine agencies have existing programs in environmental biotechnology and Health.-The basic science and health eight have existing programs in manufactur- components of biotechnology represent a ing/bioprocessing. These programs have been powerful driving force in health care tech- developed in response to individual agency nologies today. Earlier basic research on missions and, although they are largely com- recombinant DNA (rDNA) has already plementary rather than duplicative, their inde- come to fruition. The first generation of pendent existence indicates the need for en- rDNA drugs included proteins such as in- hanced interagency coordination. sulin and white blood cell stimulators. The near future may see the use of animals While the first effects of biotechnology as factories to produce large quantities of R&D have been felt in the areas of human these proteins at lower cost. It is now pos- health and disease, the impact of biotechnology sible to use these techniques to make will also soon be felt in many areas besides biomaterials such as synthetic collagen to health. The next decade will see unprece- preserve liver cells in a matrix, thus creat- dented applications of different biotechnology ing alternatives to whole organ trans- to agriculture and aquaculture, the restoration plants for liver failure. A better under- and protection of the environment, and the standing of the molecular basis of disease production of chemicals and fuels. will lead to the identification of specific 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-105 targets for disease intervention. The budg- poised to exploit the promise of biotechnology. et proposes nearly $1.7 billion in this area, During 1993, the Federal Government will con- an increase of $86 million or 5 percent. tinue to coordinate and encourage research Agriculture.-Agricultural biotechnology into unexplored areas and identify areas of op- research is applicable to food, feed, fiber portunity for Federal investment. and forestry production. While USDA has Advancing New Energy Technologies.- the primary responsibility within the Fed- A major element of the Administration's Na- eral Government, seven other agencies tional Energy Strategy (NES) continues to be support agricultural biotechnology re- increasing investment in energy technology search. Traditional biotechnologies have R&D. The budget proposes $914 million, an been practiced in agriculture since the be- increase of $140 million or 18 percent, for in- ginning of civilization to improve plants creased investments in R&D in support of the and animals. New techniques vastly ex- Administration's NES R&D initiatives. pand this potential. However, the knowl- edge base for application of modern bio- The Department of Energy's (DOE) NES technology to plants, animals and mi- related R&D strategy is intended to foster crobes of agricultural significance has not a results-oriented approach, based on the been put to commercial use to the same following key elements: degree as that for human health and med- icine. Agricultural techniques now exist to an emphasis on R&D areas that, if suc- produce better quality food and fiber, foods cessful, could lead to significant reductions with higher nutrient content, crops and in U.S. oil vulnerability; animals with greater tolerance to stresses, selection of R&D areas based on high R&D and better soil productivity and waste payoff potential, i.e., the potential to management. The budget proposes $208 achieve significant cost and performance million in this area, an increase of $17 improvements; million or 9 percent. a comprehensive, interagency R&D pro- Energy.-Decreasing petroleum reserves, coupled with increasing consumption, have gram that includes both technology en- made this country increasingly dependent hancements, e.g., more efficient engines, on imported oil. The National Energy and more fundamental system changes, Strategy promotes conservation and the e.g., the potential for high speed rail and development of alternative energy re- Maglev systems to displace automobile sources. Biotechnology offers one key to and air travel (rail and highway transpor- such development through the use of prod- tation systems are discussed later in this ucts from plants and microorganisms. En- chapter in the section on Transportation ergy-related biotechnology research is R&D); aimed at developing methods to produce a collaborative, cost-shared approach to re- and convert biomass (cell wall material of search in applied areas where private in- plants) to liquid fuels and chemical feed- dustry ultimately will be responsible for stocks, enhance petroleum recovery, and the commercialization of the technology. convert coal into environmentally benign This approach is intended to involve in- fuels. The increased use of biological sys- dustry more in R&D planning and man- tems for energy will maximize the efficient and economic use of both renewable and agement to obtain significant cost sharing, fossil resources. The budget proposes $107 with the research performed by industry million, an increase of $27 million or 33 or universities (except in situations where Government labs, such as DOE's National percent. Laboratories, have unique research and The Future.-The Federal investment in bio- testing capabilities). DOE encourages Gov- logical research of the past thirty years has ernment-assisted R&D consortia when contributed to the foundation for today's strong they meet the criteria outlined earlier in biotechnology enterprise. The U.S. is currently this chapter. Part One-106 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 Table 6-6. THE BUDGET PROPOSES A 7 PERCENT INCREASE IN FEDERAL INVESTMENTS IN BIOTECHNOLOGY (Dollar amounts in millions) Budget Authority Description Dollar Percent 1992 1993 Change: Change: Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 Program Component Research Areas 3,759 4,030 +271 +7% Agriculture 191 208 +17 +9% Energy 80 107 +27 +33% Environment 69 83 +14 +20% Manufacturing/Bioprocessing 99 124 +25 +25% Health 1,594 1,680 +86 +5% General/Foundations 1,418 1,500 +82 +6% Social Impact Research 9 9 - - Infrastructure 301 320 +19 +6% Agency Health and Human Services 2,963 3,125 +162 +6% (National Institutes of Health) (2,801) (2,944) (+143) (+5%) Agriculture 179 168 -11 -9% National Science Foundation 174 206 +32 +18% Energy 182 243 +61 +34% Veterans Affairs 86 90 +4 +5% Defense 81 87 +6 +7% National Aeronautics and Space Administration 37 45 +8 +22% Agency for International Development 21 31 +10 +48% Environmental Protection Agency 16 18 +2 +13% Commerce 13 13 - - Interior 5 5 - - Justice 2 2 - - Total, All agencies 3,759 4,030 +271 +7% DOE estimates that the NES R&D Initiative improved batteries could improve the prac- can be expected to lead to reductions in ticality of electric cars by extending their oil consumption by the year 2030 of 5-8 range up to 120-200 miles. In 1993, pro- million barrels per day, depending on the posed DOE funding for the second year success of the proposed R&D programs. of the USABC and supporting battery re- The NES initiatives include: search is increased by 56 percent to nearly $42 million. The Federal investment will Electric and Hybrid Vehicles. On October be matched on a 50:50 basis by the private 25, 1991 the President and members of sector. the U.S. Advanced Battery Consortium The budget also proposes funding for the (USABC) announced a jointly-funded, four creation of a new Government-industry year, $260 million research effort to de- R&D consortium for hybrid vehicle propul- velop a new generation of batteries that sion technology. This new generation of ve- would enable electric vehicles to be widely hicles would use combinations of battery available within the next 10 years. These technology with other systems such as fuel 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-107 Table 6-7. THE BUDGET PROPOSES AN 18 PERCENT INCREASE FOR NATIONAL ENERGY STRATEGY R&D INITIATIVES (Dollar amounts in millions) Dollar Percent Initiative 1989 1992 1993 Change: Change: Actual Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 Displacing Oil in the Transportation Sector 171 326 464 +138 +42% Surface and Air Transportation Efficiency 121 226 299 +73 +32% Electric/Hybrid Vehicles R&D 14 43 75 +32 +74% Improved Vehicle Propulsion Technology 33 40 44 +4 +10% Intelligent Vehicle/Highway Systems R&D 0 28 38 +10 +36% High Speed Rail/Magnetic Levitation 0 20 28 +8 +40% Energy Efficient Air Traffic Control R&D 24 32 46 +14 +44% Energy Efficient Aeronautics R&D 50 63 68 +5 +8% New Fuel Sources 50 100 165 +65 +65% Fuels from Biomass 13 35 46 +12 +35% Alternative Fuel Utilization 2 17 32 +15 +88% Advanced/Enhanced Oil Recovery 24 37 47 +10 +27% Natural Gas R&D 11 12 40 +28 +233% Increased Energy Efficiency in Buildings and In- dustry 64 146 160 +14 +10% Targeted Industrial Energy Efficiency R&D 30 97 105 +8 +8% Targeted Buildings Energy Efficiency R&D 34 49 55 +6 +12% Advanced Electricity Technology 162 302 290 -12 -4% Photovoltaics 35 60 64 +4 +7% Superconductivity R&D 22 21 22 +1 +5% Advanced Light Water Reactor R&D 26 63 59 -4 -6% Advanced Reactor Concepts R&D 79 158 145 -13 -8% Total, All activities 397 774 914 +140 +18% Total, Energy 323 626 725 +99 +16% cells or gas. turbines. The effort will be feedstocks, including woody materials, to aimed at producing technologies which produce alcohol fuels on a scale which can lead to economical, environmentally verify the technology and its commercial friendly vehicles by the end of the century. costs. The production of ethanol from food If successful, it could also contribute to crops is currently not cost effective with- a technological and economic rejuvenation out substantial Federal tax subsidies. The of the U.S. auto industry. goal of this R&D initiative is to get the Improved Vehicle Propulsion Technology production cost of ethanol from non-food through research on high temperature die- crops down to levels that are competitive sel engines and gas turbine engines. Con- with current fuels. In 1993 DOE will ex- ventional spark-ignited and diesel engines pand its research effort to include more have efficiencies of up to 31 percent. Tech- industry involvement in order to study ad- nologies are being developed, such as gas vanced conversion technologies. Addition- turbines, which could achieve efficiencies ally, DOE has signed a cooperative re- approaching 40 percent. search and development agreement (CRADA) with a major oil company to Advanced Transportation Fuels from Bio- demonstrate the economics of ethanol pro- mass research programs will demonstrate duction from industrial waste. use of industrial and agricultural waste Part One-108 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 Alternative fuels utilization will continue advanced technologies in lighting, heating vehicle testing activities that will provide and cooling, e.g., solar heating and light- the information to facilitate greater use ing, advanced heat pumps, and more effi- of alternative fuels. In addition to this cient lights, as well as to assist industry testing program, in 1993 the Department in developing advanced industrial proc- of Energy is requesting $15 million for the esses which reduce both waste streams purchase of alternative fuel vehicles by and energy use. Building and industry-re- Federal agencies. These funds will be used lated R&D is proposed to increase to $160 to pay for the incremental cost of the vehi- million, or 10 percent over 1992. cles. Several thousand vehicles for Govern- ment use are expected to be purchased, Photovoltaic Research will continue to ad- thus helping to create "market pull" for vance efforts to increase the cost-competi- U.S.-manufactured, alternative-fueled ve- tiveness of photovoltaic (PV) systems. Past hicles. research by industry and DOE has en- abled today's PV systems to compete suc- Advanced/Enhanced Oil Recovery Tech- cessfully with primary batteries, small en- nologies research will improve reservoir gine generators, and utility line extensions understanding to better target oil drilling in many remote applications. In 1993, $64 and develop better instrumentation, chem- million is requested, an increase of 7 per- ical injectants and reservoir interpretation cent over 1992, to help U.S. industry de- techniques. Currently, up to two-thirds of velop photovoltaic technology and systems, oil resources remain in the ground after particularly those materials and devices conventional production is completed. It is that will reduce electricity generation costs estimated that up to 3 million barrels per and serve a growing energy market in the day in incremental production could be re- process. covered through advanced/enhanced recov- ery techniques by the year 2010. In 1993, Advanced Light Water Nuclear Reactors DOE will increase NES-related advanced research will continue in 1993 to develop oil recovery research to nearly $47 million, passive safety features in a standardized more than 25 percent over 1992. design. This will reduce the time needed to license new plants, while assuring that Natural Gas Research and Development safety issues are adequately addressed. will increase substantially in 1993, empha- The Department of Energy is also using sizing advanced production and extraction existing funds to continue first-of-a-kind from conventional reservoirs and improved engineering work that will assist compa- utilization technologies. The NES con- nies in their efforts to achieve safety of cluded that expanded use of domestically new standardized designs that will meet abundant and environmentally acceptable the requirements of the Nuclear Regu- natural gas resources could increase en- latory Commission. ergy security and improve the environ- ment. The new gas program will speed Advanced Reactor Concepts will have safe- achievement of these goals by focusing on ty features that go beyond the standard- the recovery of the resource and develop- ized designs currently before the Nuclear ing ultra high efficiency technologies for Regulatory Commission. High Tempera- its consumption. DOE will increase fund- ture Gas Cooled Reactors use specially- ing for gas-related R&D to $40 million, coated fuel elements that will not fail even over 230 percent above 1992. under the high temperatures that could occur during an accident. Liquid metal re- Energy Efficiency in Buildings and Indus- actors use liquid sodium as the heat ex- try can be improved by developing ad- change medium. Researchers have dem- vanced technologies. The industrial and onstrated that both reactor types can shut building sectors account for about two- themselves down safely under conditions thirds of all U.S. primary energy consump- that would be extremely serious for tion. DOE's R&D efforts are aimed at as- present-day reactors. The Department of sisting the building sector in developing Energy continues R&D support for both 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-109 of these advanced concepts. In addition, power source is an important part of the Na- the budget provides funding for DOE to tional Energy Strategy. continue its assistance to university nu- clear engineering departments and stu- The budget proposes $360 million for fusion, dents by providing fellowship and scholar- an increase of nearly 7 percent over 1992. ship support. Funding is included for conceptual design and R&D on a small tokamak experiment The NES R&D initiatives are supported at Princeton University to understand basic by increased investments in related areas physical principles of fusion. Much of the of basic research. Basic research in areas increase will support the strong U.S. commit- such as advanced materials, superconductors, ment to the International Thermonuclear Ex- geo- and biosciences, and catalysis research perimental Reactor. This 6-year collaboration will be continued in 1993. among four equal partners (U.S., European The NES R&D initiatives encompass a Community, Japan, and Russia) is a model broad range of new technologies that would for international cooperation in science and permit the more efficient use of energy, technology. Such a joint project has the or the substitution of petroleum with other advantages of sharing knowledge and person- energy sources. While these advances have nel, reducing the financial burden for each the potential to make significant improve- party, and optimizing the use of special ments in the Nation's energy secruity, it facilities and capabilities for the common should be recognized that other significant, goal of achieving energy from fusion. even larger, improvements can be achieved Enabling New Products and Processes- through more fundamental system changes Advanced Manufacturing R&D.-The budg- in the transportation sector. Several of these et proposes $1.1 billion for advanced manufac- changes, such as development of maglev and turing R&D, a key enabling technology. This high speed rail as an alternative to air includes an increase of over 27 percent for non- and surface transportation and improvement defense related manufacturing R&D. For the in airspace management are discussed else- purposes of this initiative, advanced manufac- where in this chapter and in Chapter 7, turing R&D includes activities within two "Improving the Transportation Infrastructure." broad areas: (1) efforts designed to use tech- In addition, other changes, such as nology to improve the efficiency or quality by telecommuting, offer great energy savings which a product is brought from design to com- potential. The Federal Government, and oth- pletion; and (2) activities directed at expanding ers, such as the State of Washington, are the technical capability to bring a product experimenting with the use of telecommuting (which is new and fundamentally different in centers as alternative worksites to reduce character from existing products) from design commuting. Currently, about 50 percent of to completion. total U.S. vehicle miles traveled (VMT) is In an effort to focus on those programs work-related, and there are estimates that which are exclusively devoted to manufactur- telecommuting may be possible for about ing R&D, the budgetary resources shown 46 million persons. The energy savings poten- for Advanced Manufacturing R&D exclude tial of telecommuting is enormous. For exam- funding for projects included in other cross- ple, a 50 percent reduction in the miles cutting efforts (e.g., Advanced Materials and traveled by a single individual represents Processing). As a result, these resources can- the equivalent of a doubling of the fuel not be directly compared to resources reported efficiency of his or her vehicle. for Advanced Manufacturing in the 1992 Moving Fusion Energy From Science to budget (which included all manufacturing- Engineering.-Fusion energy offers the po- related R&D). tential to be a clean, plentiful fuel for the pro- Improvements in U.S. manufacturing tech- duction of electricity for the longer term. Fu- nology can increase productivity and quality, sion is expected to be more environmentally leading to new or more competitive products. benign relative to fission or fossil sources of While industry has the central role in R&D electricity. The development of fusion as a to improve manufacturing technology, an ap- Part One-110 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 propriate role in such R&D exists for the with stimulating transportation technologies government as well. The Federal role in that can alleviate the burdened infrastructure. advanced manufacturing R&D lies in support- In addition, new transportation technologies ing (1) generic manufacturing technologies offer significant opportunities to move people which have broad applications and (2) those and goods more efficiently, reducing petroleum technologies which are directly applicable to consumption. the procurement needs of government pro- Two agencies, the Department of Transpor- grams. tation (DOT) and the National Aeronautics The budget proposes increases for several and Space Administration (NASA), support agencies, including a $25 million increase, the majority of transportation-related R&D. to a total of $105 million, for the National DOT's programs span the modes of transpor- Science Foundation for a new manufacturing tation, both ground and air. NASA's aero- R&D effort that will focus on the next nautics program focuses on research and generation of manufacturing systems. The technology for both civilian and military air- results of this research will shift the present craft. The budget proposes a total of $1,433 focus on automating and linking separate million for both agencies, $498 million for mechanical components to integrating entire DOT and $855 million for NASA, an overall new systems based on advanced computers increase of 17 percent, for transportation and information technologies (e.g., sensors, R&D activities. visualization, information management sys- tems, artificial intelligence, networks). This Department of Transportation-The budget research will be conducted in concert with proposes $498 million, an increase of 12 industry and other Federal agencies and percent, for all of DOT R&D. The Federal will develop several state-of-the-art manufac- Aviation Administration (FAA) funds research turing experimental testbeds for research, to improve airport and airspace utilization. education, and training. The budget also FAA research includes projects to explore proposes a $27 million increase for manufac- and define the next-generation of aviation turing R&D at the National Institute of technologies, including the use of satellites Standards and Technology. This increase will in aviation navigation and communications. be devoted to generic manufacturing R&D Nearer-term projects include research to deter- such as development of standards for electroni- mine if the separation between two heavy cally communicating the design of products. class aircraft from the current 4 miles can In addition, a portion of the increase for be reduced to 3 miles to increase efficiency NIST will provide matching funds for industry- without a degradation of safety. FAA is led and performed R&D projects. also conducting research aimed at improving communications with oceanic aviation traffic. In addition, the Federal agencies have With better oceanic communications, air traffic undertaken a new initiative to exchange controllers could allow more wind efficient manufacturing R&D information with indus- traffic patterns, saving time and fuel and try, and to improve coordination of govern- improving safety. FAA will also emphasize ment-industry efforts. The initial step was energy-efficient air traffic control R&D as a conference held in December, 1991 on a part of the national effort to modernize Intelligent Processing Equipment. Other con- the air traffic control system. The budget ferences are planned for 1992 in flexible proposes $254 million for FAA R&D. computer integrated manufacturing; micro- and nanofabrication; and systems management Intelligent Vehicle/Highway Systems (IVHS) technologies. are intended to increase highway safety, reduce congestion and decrease highway fuel Improving the Efficiency of the Trans- consumption. IVHS uses state-of-the-art elec- portation Sector through New Tech- tronics, communications, and computer tech- nologies.-With increasing demands on the nology to improve traffic control systems, nation's highways and at airports, and with warn drivers of dangerous situations, and the high cost of building or expanding new generally make more efficient use of the facilities, the Federal Government is concerned existing road system. IVHS can reduce conges- 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-111 tion, improve traffic flow, reduce idling at expand its emphasis on enabling propulsion traffic signals, and allow drivers to choose materials necessary to develop future aircraft. more efficient routes to their destination. In addition, the budget proposes increased The Department of Energy National Energy funding for a program focused on advanced Strategy analysis showed that actual on- subsonic aircraft. This program will develop the-road fuel economy can be significantly nondestructive evaluation technology to help lower than the theoretical potential due to ensure the safe operation of aging transport congestion. A study by Mobility 2000, an aircraft now in operation and will also provide expert group of Federal and State highway the technology base for application by industry officials and corporate and academic technical and certification by the FAA of fly-by-light experts, estimated that IVHS has the potential and power-by-wire control systems. to save up to 20 million gallons per day of gasoline. The budget proposes a total In addition to the work proposed above, of $138 million including $38 million for the budget proposes $80 million as NASA's R&D, and $100 million for demonstration share of the joint NASA/Defense National projects in this area. Aerospace Plane Program (NASP). Defense will provide $180 million in 1993. This pro- High speed rail and Magleu systems offer gram is focused on development of hypersonic opportunities to displace automobile and air technology, leading to a future decision on travel with a concomitant increase in effi- a flight research vehicle, the X-30 that ciency. A particularly promising technology is magnetic levitation trains, or "maglev." can demonstrate airbreathing single-stage-to- Current efforts include investigations into orbit performance. The NASP industry con- the economic and technical feasibility of tractors are uniquely organized under a joint- maglev and the safety of maglev and high- venture partnership that will permit technical speed rail. Maglev trains move above a innovation to be shared and will ensure guideway, supported and guided by powerful a broad industrial base for future hypersonic magnets and can achieve speeds of up to programs. This singular focus has permitted 300 miles per hour. In 1992, $20 million relatively fast-paced advances in key enabling was provided to DOT and the Army Corps technologies such as air-breathing propulsion, of Engineers for maglev and high-speed rail advanced materials, actively cooled structures, R&D. The budget proposes $28 million ($15 dense fuel, and computational fluid dynamics. million for DOT and $13 million for the Corps of Engineers), an overall increase of Protecting the Public Health Through 40 percent, for maglev and high-speed rail Biomedical and Behavioral Research R&D. Federally supported research has helped National Aeronautics and Space Administra- Americans live longer, healthier lives by tion-The goal of NASA's aeronautics research improving the quality of medical practice and technology program is based on a strategy and by developing new preventive measures. that calls for developing a broad technology The U.S. leads the world in biomedical re- base in support of the commercial aviation search. Both the pace of new discoveries industry; enhancing the safety and capacity and America's continued dominance of sci- of the national airspace system; and helping entific Nobel prizes attest to that pre-emi- assure U.S. aeronautical superiority for na- nence. tional security. Aeronautics R&D has tra- ditionally been a highly successful close coop- The budget assures that the next generation erative effort between the Federal Government will reap similar benefits by seeking substan- and the private sector. tial increases in the country's investment in basic and applied biomedical and behavioral The budget proposes $855 million for aero- research and development. In the Department nautics R&D (excluding High Performance of Health and Human Services alone, this Computing and Communications), an increase increase amounts to $433 million, or 4 percent, of 13 percent over the 1992 enacted level. over 1992 funding levels to a total of $10.6 Work in focused high-speed research will billion. Part One-112 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 Advances in biomedical and behavioral re- NIH-sponsored research. Broad public input is search can improve the quality of health being sought on the Plan. care while helping to control health care costs. One example is the research-induced The Plan is not intended to direct the changes in medical practice which reduced details of NIH-supported research, but rather coronary heart disease death rates and the to provide an overarching corporate frame- duration of heart diseases-related hospital work-one that is dynamic and that can stays-saving hundreds of thousands of lives be changed in response to the extraordinary and billions of dollars. Current path-breaking promise of future opportunities in biomedicine. research, such as the human gene therapy It will help ensure that the promise of a healthier future for the citizens of tomorrow experiments conducted at the National Insti- tutes of Health (NIH), proffers the hope can be fully realized. of similar advances in human health and Women's Health Initiative. Three of the lead- cost efficiency in the future. Research at ing causes of death among women are cardio- the Alcohol, Drug Abuse, and Mental Health vascular disease, cancer and fractures related Administration (ADAMHA) into the causes to osteoporosis. NIH has initiated a decade- of human addiction to drugs and alcohol long clinical trial to test three preventive ap- offers hope of finding ways to reduce the proaches to reducing this toll through the human and societal toll caused by substance adoption of low-fat dietary patterns, hormone abuse. replacement therapy, and calcium and Vitamin The Federal investment in basic and applied D supplementation. The budget proposes to in- biomedical and behavioral research is large. crease this initiative by $20 million, or 80 per- cent over 1992. In total, the budget proposes $10.6 billion for the Department of Health and Human In addition to testing the effectiveness Services, an increase of 4 percent over 1992. of these therapies, the study will include While $5.8 billion of this research is basic, an observational component to study the $4.8 billion is invested in applied research predictors of disease and a community trial and development. The applied research and to test strategies for organizing community development helps ensure that basic research resources to help individuals achieve healthy discoveries are translated into marketable behaviors of established value, including smok- therapies. Indeed, NIH funding of clinical ing cessation and prevention, improved diet, trials, through which promising new therapies, increased physical activity, and early cancer preventive interventions and cures are exam- detection. ined for safety and efficacy, will total over $830 million in 1993. For example, since The study, which will include a cross- pharmaceutical companies traditionally have section of American women of all races and been slow to develop medications for substance economic levels, will give us scientifically abuse, the budget contains a $64 million validated advice for women, their physicians, initiative for medications development in and public health care workers concerning ADAMHA, a 13 percent increase over 1992. healthy behaviors and treatments, and ways of achieving these behaviors. This Federal investment in biomedical and Relating Research Investments to Selected behavioral research has increased as a propor- tion of GDP from 0.12 percent in 1970 Diseases.-Although most HHS research funds are utilized for basic research which advances to an estimated 0.17 percent in 1993. knowledge for combatting many diseases, some NIH Strategic Plan. During the past year, research can be loosely classified as related NIH has begun to develop its first long-range to one specific disease or another, as shown Strategic Plan, to be completed in the Spring on Table 6-8. By comparing these data with of 1992. The Plan is focused on 15 promising the data in Table 5-14 in Chapter 5, it can areas of science that hold exceptional opportu- be seen that this investment by disease rough- nities for future breakthroughs. The Plan will ly corresponds to the toll these afflictions take also address the major policy issues that relate in terms of death, illness, and human suffer- to the efficient and responsible conduct of ing. 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-113 Some have argued that a disproportionate better treatments, or even a cure or vaccines, share of health-related research dollars is for HIV/AIDS will come from advances in being devoted to HIV/AIDS. It is true that knowledge, the budget continues to place a pri- spending per death from HIV/AIDS is high ority on maintaining our investment in bio- compared to that for heart disease, cancer, medical and behavioral research related to and stroke, the three leading causes of death HIV/AIDS. As shown in table 6-9, gov- in the country. HIV, however, often strikes ernmentwide HIV/AIDS funding will increase early in life. More than 45 percent of AIDS by $565 million or 13 percent. This includes sufferers are younger than 35, and a growing a 4 percent increase for research and a 20 number are children. As a result, some percent increase for treatment. suggest that research spending per year of potential life lost before age 65 for HIV The budget would enable the Nation to and the three killer diseases is more com- continue making progress in the battle against parable than that for spending per death, HIV/AIDS. Additional candidate therapies will as shown in the following chart. In addition, be screened and tested, education programs a comprehensive assessment of relative fund- will continue to discourage behaviors that ing levels must consider other factors, such lead to transmission of the virus, and treat- as morbidity and quality of life. The chart ment and income support funds will continue also shows substantial investments in diabe- to be made available to those already afflicted. tes, a disease that is a major contributor Indeed, the largest increase related to HIV/ to disability as well as the Nation's eighth AIDS will come from Federal spending for leading cause of death. Medicaid and Medicare, which are projected to increase by a total of 23 percent over Deaths and years of potential life lost 1992. Additional research and education are attributable to the three major killers and the best methods for ensuring that future diabetes are projected to grow, individually generations will not bear so heavy a burden, and collectively, by less than 5 percent over and the budget, therefore, makes substantial the 4 years between 1990 and 1993. In efforts in these areas. contrast, deaths and years of potential life lost due to HIV will increase much more Expanding Civilian Applied R&D at the quickly, rising by 30 to 80 percent. These National Institute of Standards and Tech- projections further support the priority given nology (NIST).-The budget proposes $311 to HIV research in the budget. million, an increase of 26 percent over 1992, for NIST. The R&D supported by NIST in- The Budget Includes a Major Investment to cludes standards development and advanced Confront Human Immunodeficiency Virus/Ac- measurement techniques, both of which are quired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (HIV/ critical to improving product quality, enabling AIDS).-Since the greatest hope for devising the effective use of new technologies, and en- Table 6-8. HHS RESEARCH FUNDING ATTRIBUTED TO SELECTED CAUSES OF ILLNESS (In millions of dollars) Budget Authority Cause of Illness 1992 Enacted 1993 Proposed Cancer 1,984 2,042 Heart Disease 729 772 Stroke 94 100 Diabetes 279 292 Injuries 162 168 HIV/AIDS 1,164 1,211 Part One-114 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 RESEARCH INVESTMENT IN SELECTED DISEASES (BUDGET AUTHORITY) DOLLARS DOLLARS 25,000 2,000 1992 HHS RESEARCH FUNDING PER 1992 DEATH (LEFT SCALE) 1992 HHS RESEARCH FUNDING PER YEAR OF POTENTIAL LIFE LOST IN 1992 (RIGHT SCALE) 20,000 1,500 15,000 1,000 10,000 500 5,000 0 0 CANCER STROKE HEART DISEASE DIABETES HIV SOURCE: PHS STAFF ESTIMATES AND PROJECTIONS Table 6-9. THE BUDGET PROPOSES A 13 PERCENT INCREASE IN FEDERAL FUNDING FOR HIV AND AIDS 1 (Dollar amounts in millions) Dollar Percent 1989 1992 1993 Change: Change: Actual Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 HIV/AIDS: Research 892 1,189 1,238 +49 +4% Treatment 737 2,096 2,507 +411 +20% Prevention 483 594 621 +27 +5% Income Support 153 492 570 +78 +16% Total 2 2,265 4,371 4,936 +565 +13% 1 These are preliminary estimates for programs in the Departments of Health and Human Services, Defense, Veterans Affairs, Education, Justice, State, Labor, and independent agencies. Total also includes estimated obligations for the Social Security Administration. 2 In addition to the spending identified above, the budget includes other initiatives, most notably those related to drugs and infant mortality, that contribute to the fight against HIV and AIDS. hancing public health and safety. In addition, posal continues an effort begun in 1991 to ex- NIST supports generic applied research and pand NIST's ability to provide for generic ap- technology development, often in collaboration plied research and technology development with industry, which has the potential to bene- and to address a rapidly growing number of fit the U.S. economy broadly. The budget pro- important standards and measurement issues. 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-115 The R&D performed at NIST facilities The budget also includes $68 million, a covers a wide range of technologies including 36 percent increase, for the Advanced Tech- electronics, manufacturing, materials science, nology Program (ATP). This program provides chemistry, physics and information systems. matching funds to U.S. business and R&D The budget includes $202 million, a 16 percent joint ventures for industry-led, generic, pre- increase, for this in-house R&D. The research competitive R&D. Projects must have the community and industry depend on NIST potential for a broad-based economic impact. R&D for the precision measurement bases In a broad sense, the goal of the program which form the foundation of R&D projects is to help make the transition between fun- and industrial quality control. NIST transfers damental research and the more applied its metrology R&D to practical use through research and technology development that several means including sales of products, will enable commercialization of products and data and services. In 1991 NIST performed processes by the private sector. Many studies more than 11,000 calibration services and have suggested that, for a variety of reasons, sold over 47,000 standard reference materials U.S. industry often fails to make this transi- and 1700 standard reference databases (used tion effectively, and, thus, is often unable by researchers and industry as a bench- to commercialize technology as rapidly as mark to calibrate their equipment). In addi- competitors. While the ATP is still experi- tion, in 1991 NIST accredited 934 private mental, it is intended to stimulate increased laboratories to carry out specific types of R&D at the generic, pre-competitive stage, tests in key areas of commerce, health and and, thus, holds promise for improving the safety. ability of U.S. firms to compete in global Due to the broad applicability to U.S. markets. The increase will allow NIST to industry of NIST's metrology and other generic fund approximately 25 to 35 new projects R&D, NIST often performs its research coop- in 1993 while continuing to monitor closely eratively with industry. Through 1991 NIST and evaluate the program's impact. has signed over 150 cooperative research The NIST Manufacturing Technology Cen- and development agreements and in 1991 ters are intended to enhance U.S. competitive- received approximately $65 million in in- ness by transferring manufacturing tech- kind contributions from industry. Over 25 nologies to small and medium-sized business. of NIST's agreements are with industry con- The budget proposes $18 million to support sortia that further increase the impact of the continuation of the seven centers planned NIST's R&D expenditures and highlight the by the end of 1992. During 1992 NIST generic nature of its research. While NIST will contract for an in-depth study which emphasizes widespread dissemination of its will focus on how the centers should be research results, protection of intellectual structured to obtain the greatest leverage property resulting from NIST R&D is fre- for Federal expenditures. Any decision on quently needed in order to facilitate commer- initiating new centers will be deferred until cialization of its research results through this study is completed. licensing agreements. Since 1989 NIST R&D has resulted in over 40 patent disclosures Creating New Technology for Space and per year. Earth: Space Technology. -A vigorous pro- gram to improve existing technologies and cre- The budget proposes $23 million to maintain ate new ones is essential for long-term and refurbish NIST facilities, as well as progress in any major technological endeavor, to plan for the facility needs of the future. but is particularly important in the space pro- As a result of the technical obsolescence gram. Reasons for this include the continuing of many NIST facilities, experiments are need for new capabilities to support new mis- often delayed or subject to costly reworking, sions and the long lead times needed to de- and scientists often must accept levels of velop a new technology before it can be used precision and accuracy below those desired. with confidence in space. Consequently, the fu- The budget provides for initiation of an ture success of the U.S. space program de- architectural and engineering study and imme- pends in part on near-term investments in a diate amelioration of safety-related problems. number of technological disciplines. Part One-116 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 There is considerable evidence that the is based on the results of the first cycle funding of space technology activities has of this planning process. not kept up with the rest of the space program. Recent spending on space technology Experience shows that technologies and has fallen to 2 percent of the NASA budget products developed for the space program in 1992 from the level of over 4 percent often find useful applications here on Earth that was sustained throughout the 1960's. in a wide variety of fields. Medical Magnetic This trend was viewed with concern in the Resonance Imaging uses image-processing report of the Advisory Committee on the techniques originally developed for analyzing Future of the U.S. Space Program: unfor- data from earth observation satellites. Some tunately, NASA has not been permitted to health monitoring equipment in hospitals uses sustain an adequate level-of-effort program technology developed for monitoring crew in space technology due in recent years health in manned space missions. A low to externally imposed budget reductions. We temperature laser that opens clogged arteries believe that this is a consequence of a without surgery is based on technology devel- lack of appreciation of the key role that oped for satellite-based atmospheric studies. technology development plays in enabling fu- A tornado detector for homes was derived ture missions, reducing future systems' costs from NASA electronics research. Fire resistant and increasing America's competitiveness." materials originally developed for astronaut To help remedy this deficiency, the budget garments have found uses ranging from sheets proposes $305 million, an increase of 12 and furniture in pressure chambers to protec- percent, for NASA space technology develop- tive clothing for race car drivers and their ment that is not directly related to space pit crews. A lightweight shock-absorbing mate- exploration. The 1993 program emphasizes rial now used in some athletic shoes was such areas as advanced materials, electronics originally developed for astronaut moon boots. and sensors, communications, life support, A new oil-saving seal for automobiles uses power, propulsion, and robotics. In addition, synthetic rubber material developed for inter- NASA is implementing a new strategic plan- planetary spacecraft. A highly accurate ice ning process to address more effectively space detection system to prevent aircraft accidents technology needs foreseen by potential users and some scratch-resistant coatings for eye- within NASA as well as in other government glasses and cameras are also based on NASA agencies and industry. The budget proposal research. EXPANDING THE FRONTIER OF KNOWLEDGE THROUGH BASIC RESEARCH Future innovation, productivity growth and tions can insure our health, prosperity, and secu- economic performance depend on the constant rity as a nation in the modern world." 1 creation of new knowledge. Basic research provides new knowledge that As Vannevar Bush stated in "Science: The leads to new products and processes. Basic Endless Frontier": research, especially at universities, is an essential investment in the Nation's scientific "New products, new industries, and more jobs re- quire continuous additions to knowledge of the and technological future, including its future laws of nature, and the application of that knowl- scientists and engineers. For this reason, edge to practical purposes. Similarly, our defense against aggression demands new knowledge 80 the budget places a high priority on increasing that we can develop new and improved weapons. basic research. In total, the budget proposes This essential, new knowledge can be obtained only through basic scientific research. an increase of 8 percent, or $1 billion, above 1992 for Federal basic research support. Science can be effective in the national welfare only as a member of a team, whether the condi- tions be peace or war. But without scientific progress no amount of achievement in other direc- Vannevar Bush. Science, the Endless Frontier: A Report to the President. U.S. GPO, July, 1945, p. 1. 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-117 The strength of U.S. investment in basic tained, and that there is a sufficient research research is illustrated by several recent work force of the highest caliber to do the job."2 achievements: Measuring the Direct Economic Bene- Researchers at Stanford University have fits.-Most basic research is performed in uni- developed a miniaturized process using la- versities. Until recently, there has been no way sers to produce small-diameter fibers of to gauge reliably the impact of academic re- high-temperature superconducting mate- search on industrial innovation. rial. These fibers may be the precursor to Research (Mansfield, 1991) carried out over superconducting wire needed for motor the past two years has found that a significant and magnet applications of high-tempera- proportion of new products or processes in ture superconductors. several important sectors, including informa- Using a recently purified, naturally-occur- tion processing, drugs, and instruments, would ring bone growth factor, scientists have not have reached the market when they succeeded in using muscle exposed to this did without the contribution of academic factor to form bone in a mold. This opens research. Thus, the benefit of academic re- the possibility, long dreamed of, that re- search appears to be considerable, even apart placement bones in the precise shape from its more traditional benefits to the needed by patients may one day be grown education of students and to the acquisition from muscle or other specialized tissues. of knowledge for its own sake. Following on last year's success with the Mansfield (1991) has estimated that the first-ever human gene therapy on a child average annual social rate of return to past with a severe genetic immune deficiency, investments in academic R&D is about 28 NIH scientists have now used gene trans- percent. This finding, however, does not nec- plantation to initiate the first experi- essarily imply that investing more money mental gene therapy for cancer. A gene in academic R&D will yield similarly high for a natural tumor-killing substance was returns. Factors such as geographical proxim- inserted into white blood cells that are ity of interested industries and the strength known to seek out tumors as a way of of the research faculty in individual depart- increasing the concentration of this ments on individual campuses appear to antitumor substance at the tumor site. play an important role, as noted in more recent unpublished work by Mansfield. A The Vitality of Basic Research discussion of the specific contribution of aca- Funding Trends.-The historical trend in demic institutions to the national R&D infra- Federal support for basic research shows that structure appears later in this chapter. during the 1980s such support increased over- Although support for university researchers all by 50 percent in real terms, with signifi- is most often cited as the key indicator cantly larger increases in health-related basic of the health of overall Federal support research. Real support for basic research has for basic research, a number of other measures continued to climb in the early 1990's, as a have traditionally been used to measure re- result of the increases recommended by the search output (new knowledge). None of these Bush Administration. are, by themselves, definitive indicators of But as the Office of Technology Assessment the vitality of research, and none are univer- (OTA) notes: sally accepted as an adequate output measure, since the "amount" of new knowledge con- "Given the extraordinary strength of the U.S. re- search system and the character of scientific re- tained in a research finding has no natural search, there will always be more opportunities unit of measure. Taken together with informa- than can be funded, more researchers competing tion on support for researchers, these meas- than can be sustained, and more institutions seek- ing to expand than the prime sponsor-the Fed- ures provide some insight into the overall eral Government-can fund. The objective, then, strength of the national research enterprise. is to ensure that the best research continues to Several such measures are (1) numbers of be funded, that a full portfolio of research is main- 2Office of Technology Assessment, Federally Funded Research: Decisions for a Decade. U.S. GPO, May, 1991. Part One-118 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 publications, (2) "quality" of publications as Budget Initiatives in Basic Research measured by citation indices, (3) patents and (4) Nobel and other prizes. The budget proposes a number of major increases or new programs reflecting the By all of these measures, the U.S. continues President's support for basic research. These to lead the world in the generation of knowl- increases are intended to bolster basic research edge. For example: funding, especially that which supports indi- vidual investigators, and to provide those The number of science articles published researchers with state-of-the-art equipment by U.S. academic researchers (which and specialized world-class research facilities. produce about two-thirds of all U.S. Overall, the budget proposes over $14 billion science and engineering articles in major for basic research, an increase of over $1 journals) has increased markedly. By this billion, or 8 percent, over 1992. measure, the U.S. is maintaining its large share of world scientific and engineering Doubling the Budget of the National literature. Science Foundation by 1994.-The President remains committed to doubling the budget of The influence of publications as measured the National Science Foundation (NSF) by by the level of citation of U.S. papers by 1994. The budget proposes $3,026 million, an foreign researchers suggests that U.S. re- overall increase of $454 million, or 18 percent, searchers continue to exert a substantial over 1992. Over 70 percent of NSF's budget impact on foreign research, and thus on supports basic research, primarily at univer- the world's store of scientific knowledge. sities and colleges. These funds provide sup- U.S. universities received 2 percent of pat- port for individual investigators and small groups ($1,581 million), research centers ($148 ents awarded to U.S. inventors in 1988, more than double the share in 1978, thus million) and research instrumentation and spe- cialized research facilities ($483 million), in- new ideas that have potential value in the cluding the National High Field Magnet Lab- marketplace are flowing from universities oratory, the Laser Inferometer Gravity Wave in even greater numbers. Observatory, and two matched 8-meter optical The U.S. continues to dominate the Nobel telescopes. Each of these elements are keys lists, and Americans often win other to maintaining the preeminent U.S. position major, internationally-recognized prizes in science and basic research. such as the Fermi, the Wolf and the The budget proposes $33 million for NSF's Lasker. This provides evidence of the instrumentation initiative. This initiative, strong and consistent support for basic re- funded at about $17 million in 1992, will search over the last 30 years. continue to provide state-of-the-art instrumen- This lead can be lost without adequate tation, costing from $200,000 to $4 million, investment in knowledge. The Administration's to university researchers through a merit- strategy of investing in basic research is based competitive process. The Federal fund- designed to maintain and strengthen America's ing will be matched 50:50 from non-Federal leadership in scientific innovation. sources. The budget recognizes that the level of NSF also plays a significant role in the support for individual and small groups of government-wide initiative to improve the investigators, primarily at academic institu- quality of science, mathematics, and engineer- tions, is an important indicator of the vitality ing education, particularly at the precollege of the Nation's basic research effort. These level. These education activities are high- "individual investigators" are the wellspring lighted in Chapter 4, "Reforming American of many of the Nation's discoveries and Education and Investing in Human Capital". inventions and they form the backbone of Increasing the Support for Individual American science. Therefore, the Administra- Investigators.-The budget proposes a signifi- tion has proposed significant 1993 increases cant increase for individual investigators lo- for this group. cated primarily at universities and colleges. 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-119 Table 6-10. THE BUDGET INCREASES FUNDING FOR BASIC RESEARCH¹ (Dollar amounts in millions) Budget Authority Outlays Department or Agency Dollar Percent Dollar Percent 1989 1992 1993 Change: Change: 1989 1992 1993 Change: Change: Actual Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to Actual Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 1993 1993 Health and Human Services 4,413 5,459 5,800 +341 +6% 4,234 5,143 5,541 +398 +8% (National Institutes of Health) (4,052) (5,019) (5,328) (+309) (+6%) (3,988) (4,748) (5,109) (+361) (+8%) National Science Foundation 1,563 1,839 2,221 +382 +21% 1,455 1,730 1,917 +187 +11% Energy 1,383 1,789 1,859 +70 +4% 1,377 1,695 1,771 +76 +4% National Aeronautics and Space Administration 1,385 1,860 2,068 +208 +11% 1,346 1,715 1,851 +136 +8% Defense-military 951 1,170 1,203 +33 +3% 929 1,134 1,230 +96 +8% Agriculture 486 611 639 +28 +5% 477 576 589 +13 +2% Other Agencies² 434 526 532 +6 +1% 438 498 505 +7 +1% Total 10,615 13,254 14,322 +1,068 +8% 10,256 12,491 13,405 +914 +7% 1 Amounts reported in this table are included in totals for conduct of R&D. 2 Includes the Departments of Interior, Commerce, Veterans Affairs, Education, Labor, the Treasury, Justice, the Smithsonian Institution, Environmental Protection Agency, Tennessee Valley Authority, Agency for International Development, and the Corps of Engineers. Three agencies support the majority of individ- will enable future life-extending and life-en- ual investigators: the National Science Foun- hancing therapies to be developed. By focusing dation, and the Departments of Health and these additional resources on basic biomedical Human Services and Energy. In total, the research, the budget helps to ensure that con- budget proposes over $7.9 billion, an increase tinued advances against disease will take of over 9 percent, for these investigators. place. For HHS, the budget proposes $5.9 billion, Unlocking the Secrets of Human Hered- an increase of $389 million, or 2 percent ity-the Human Genome Project.-The real growth, for investigator-initiated research. budget proposes a 7 percent increase, to a total This sizeable increase will allow a record of $175 million, for the fourth year of this 15- total of 24,600 grants to be supported, an year effort to decode the information locked increase of 500 over 1992's record levels. in the chemical building blocks that form For NSF, $1,581 million is being proposed human genetic inheritance. in this area, an increase of $230 million or 17 percent over 1992. For Energy, the The Project is being conducted jointly by budget proposes a total of $482 million, the Departments of Energy and Health and an increase of 11 percent, for support of Human Services. The budget proposes a total university-based basic research by the Office of $175 million for the project, $65 million of Energy Research. at Energy and $110 million at Health and Human Services. These funds are also included Increasing Basic Research in HHS.-HHS is in the totals for the broader Biotechnology the largest supporter of both government basic Research Initiative involving many other Fed- research and individual investigators in the eral agencies. Federal Government. The budget continues to focus on basic biomedical and behavioral re- DOE and HHS are working together to search at HHS, and proposes $5.8 billion in develop capabilities and tools, to construct 1993. Building on the record levels reached gene "maps", to discern the chemical sequence in 1992, this $341 million, or 6 percent, in- of human chromosomes, and to characterize crease will allow HHS research agencies to fur- disease-related genes. ther extend the frontiers of knowledge which Part One-120 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 Concurrent with the project's efforts to of on-site facilities and other SSC systems, advance the state-of-the-art in genetic "map- as well as the land required for the SSC ping," the project is also exploring safeguards laboratory. that may be necessary as new genetic informa- tion is put to practical uses, addressing Foreign partners are expected to contribute issues related to privacy of such information substantially to the construction and operation and fairness in its use. of the SSC, as well as to the experimental program. During 1993, follow-up delegations Recent advances include completion of map- will continue discussions already underway ping of several large chromosome segments, with Canada, Europe, India, Japan, Korea isolation of genes for several genetic diseases, and Russia. and establishment of an international Genome Data Base for maintaining and distributing The SSC holds the potential for new break- genome data to researchers all over the throughs in science, technology and education. world. Although the primary purpose of the SSC Future generations will benefit greatly from is to acquire new knowledge, such knowledge the knowledge gained through this investment. has always resulted in developments in tech- Future scientists will have tremendous nology and practical products which profoundly amounts of new information about the molecu- affect the quality of life for all Americans lar basis of human inheritance available and which enhance the economic competitive- to assist them in their search for therapies ness of the Nation. U.S. world leadership and cures for disease. The budget ensures in high energy physics will be maintained that this project is able to forge ahead far into the next century by the scientific expeditiously. and technological advances emanating from Unlocking the Secrets of Matter and En- the SSC. For example, the SSC will introduce ergy-The Superconducting Super Collider the first massive, U.S. industrial manufacture and High Energy and Nuclear Physics: of superconducting accelerator magnets. The experience gained will help in the development The Superconducting Super Collider.-The of magnetically levitated, high-speed trains, Superconducting Super Collider (SSC) will pro- energy storage systems for fuel conservation vide a collision energy 20 times greater than and low loss electrical power systems. the current capability, resulting in new fun- damental knowledge of matter and energy. The High Energy and Nuclear Physics.-Re- SSC Laboratory, under construction in Ellis search in high energy and nuclear physics is County, Texas, will comprise a 54-mile circular directed at understanding the nature of matter tunnel in which superconducting magnets will and energy at the most fundamental level and accelerate counter-rotating proton beams. The the basic forces which govern all processes in SSC will employ 2,500 scientists, engineers, nature. Much of the research program is aimed and technicians, and host an additional 500 at verifying and explaining the particles, or visiting scientists. "building blocks", that comprise the interior of The budget provides $650 million for the atoms and the forces acting on them. SSC, an increase of $166 million over 1992. Research is conducted at universities and Much of the current effort focuses on research national laboratories. Most university funding and development of the superconducting goes to individual investigators for support magnets. Work on other SSC components of graduate students and research at univer- is also progressing. A segment of tunnel sity facilities or at the national laboratories. which will be used for magnet testing will Funding provided to the national laboratories be under construction by the end of 1992. allows construction and operation of large The total cost of the SSC has been estimated accelerator and collider facilities which are at slightly over $8 billion. One-third of the open to researchers from other national or total is expected to be contributed by non- international sites. Industry also uses the Federal sources. The State of Texas has national laboratory facilities for non-propri- committed up to $875 million for construction etary testing and development. 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-121 The budget proposes $1 billion for High warming). This FCCSET interagency research Energy and Nuclear Physics programs (other effort (eleven agencies) promises not only the than the SSC), an increase of 2 percent information to aid today's policy decisions, but over 1992. The budget reflects planned de- also to maintain the strong foundation of creases as construction projects such as the multi-disciplinary science required to address Continuous Electron Beam Accelerator Facility the unanticipated issues of tomorrow. (Newport News, VA) for nuclear physics are completed, and as other research facilities The budget proposes $1,372 million for are phased down. Support for ongoing nuclear the USGCRP, an increase of $262 million physics projects such as the Relativistic Heavy or 24 percent over 1992. The USGCRP ad- Ion Collider (Brookhaven National Laboratory, dresses three parallel but interconnected NY) increases as these projects continue on streams of activities: 1) documenting global schedule. change through the establishment of long- term monitoring programs; 2) enhanced under- The budget proposes for high energy physics standing of key physical, chemical, biological, (other than the SSC) a new Main Injector and social processes that influence and govern Ring at Fermilab which is currently planned the Earth's evolution, and 3) predicting global for completion in 1996. Scientists are confident change through the development of predictive that this new capability will enable them Earth system models. to discover evidence of the "top quark", the elusive final particle in verifying the Planning for the USGCRP has been shaped theoretical model that predicts the interaction by a strategic and scientific priority framework between matter and energy. The budget pro- that has been extensively reviewed by the vides total funding of $246 million for all scientific community. Over the past two years, high energy physics programs at Fermilab, this framework has been extended to include an increase of $18 million, or 8 percent. a set of integrating themes that address the scientific uncertainites identified by the Understanding the Earth: The U.S. Glob- U.N.-sponsored Intergovernmental Panel on al Change Research Program Climate Change, and the economics research (USGCRP).-The USGCRP is designed to as- and important policy questions identified as sist efforts to understand more fully the a result of the 1990 White House Conference earth's climate system in order to support na- on Science and Economics Research Related tional and international policymaking activi- to Global Change. The further integration ties associated with global and regional envi- of economics research into the USGCRP is ronmental issues (e.g., ozone depletion, global particularly important since an understanding Table 6-11. THE BUDGET PROPOSES A 12 PERCENT INCREASE FOR A BALANCED PROGRAM IN HIGH ENERGY AND NUCLEAR PHYSICS (Dollar amounts in millions) Budget Authority Dollar Percent 1989 1992 1993 Change: Change: Actual Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 Superconducting Super Collider 98 484 650 +166 +34% High Energy and Nuclear Physics 815 988 1,003 +15 +2% Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider - 77 96 +19 +25% Continuous Electron Beam Accelerator Facility 45 78 76 -2 -3% Fermilab Main Injector Ring - 15 30 +15 +100% Other High Energy and Nuclear Physics 770 818 801 -17 -2% Total 913 1,472 1,653 +181 +12% Part One-122 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 of the relationship between global change sition of Landsat-type data. The Administra- and the economy is fundamental both to tion proposes to operate the Land Remote assessing the magnitude of the potential Sensing Satellites (Landsats 4 and 5) until impact on human society and to developing Landsat 6 is launched; to complete the pro- effective responses. curement and launch of the next satellite During the past year, and in response (Landsat 6); and to initiate the procurement to the recommendations of an independent of the next follow-on satellite (Landsat 7). Earth Observing System Engineering Review Several agencies will provide a total of Committee, NASA has restructured the Earth $17 million to cover the operation of Landsats Observing System (EOS) to fly remote sensing 4 and 5 through the end of 1992. Landsat instruments on a series of intermediate and 6 is expected to become operational by early small spacecraft, in contrast to the original 1993. Landsat 6 will be operated by, and plan for a series of large spacecraft. This at the expense of, the Earth Observing Sat- reconfiguration will maintain the scientific ellite Company. NASA and the Department objectives of the EOS program and will of Defense are proposing a total of $111 allow important scientific data to be acquired million for Landsat 7, which is planned earlier than otherwise would have been the to succeed Landsat 6. The budget proposes case. At the same time, the program's flexibil- $86 million for DOD, which will be responsible ity to respond to changes in data requirements for the acquisition and launch of the space- and advances in technology will be greatly craft, and $25 million for NASA, which increased and will reduce risks associated will be responsible for ground support for with single large platforms. This reconfigura- data acquisition and distribution of Landsat tion has resulted in a different temporal 7 data. These data will be used to support sequence of measurements as well as potential global change research and will be incor- changes in the volume of data. The National porated into the EOS Data and Information Academy of Sciences has been asked to System (EOSDIS). examine the EOS Data and Information Sys- One area within global change research tem (EOSDIS) to ensure that its architecture, that has received special emphasis is Arctic management and distribution schemes are research, although U.S. activities in the Arctic compatible and complementary to the restruc- go well beyond the range of programs included tured EOS program. in the USGCRP. The ultimate success of the USGCRP re- U.S. policy in the Arctic consists of four quires progress and integration of data collec- elements: protection of essential security inter- tion, process studies, and modeling across ests; support for sound, rational development all the various disciplines. Central to this of the region; promotion of scientific research strategy is a balance between ground- and contributing to knowledge about the Arctic; space-based research activities. Ground-based and promotion of mutually beneficial inter- observations and theoretical process studies national cooperation in the Arctic. Federal will be complemented by a comprehensive Arctic research is guided by a 5-year research space-based program to provide global observa- plan developed by the Interagency Arctic tions of key environmental parameters. For Research Policy Committee (IARPC) in con- example, while NASA's Mission to Planet sultation with the Presidentially-appointed Earth (including the Earth Observing System) Arctic Research Commission and other inter- is a major contributor to the USGCRP, many ested groups. The most recent biennial revision of the ground-based data sets will be used of the plan was published in July 1991. to calibrate the complementary Mission to Planet Earth satellite data sets. The budget includes $147 million for Arctic research, an increase of about $4 million Landsat.-Acquisition of data from land re- over 1992. Within the total for 1993, $58 mote sensing satellites is an important ele- million is proposed to implement the four ment in understanding global change and for integrated programs covering the western national security purposes. The Administration Arctic: oceans research, geodynamics, studies is committed to a policy of the continued acqui- of the Bering Sea and land mass, and 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-123 Table 6-12. U.S. GLOBAL CHANGE RESEARCH PROGRAM (Dollar amounts in millions) Budget Authority Description Dollar Percent 1992 1993 Change: Change: Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 Program Component Ground-based 733 915 +182 +25% Oceans 62 85 +23 +37% Modeling 33 51 +18 +55% Land Processes 80 92 +12 +15% Human Dimensions 7 9 +2 +29% Economics 4 13 +9 +225% Other 547 665 +118 +22% Space-based 378 457 +80 +21% Earth Observing System (NASA) 188 308 +120 +64% Other Programs (NASA) 190 139 -51 -26% Energy - 10 +10 I Agency National Aeronautics and Space Administration 756 891 +135 +18% National Science Foundation 109 163 +54 +50% Energy 77 113 +36 +47% Commerce (NOAA) 47 78 +31 +66% Agriculture 44 48 +3 +7% Interior 40 36 -4 -9% Environmental Protection Agency 24 26 +2 +8% Smithsonian 6 11 +4 +68% Defense 6 7 +1 +5% Health and Human Services 1 1 - I Tennessee Valley Authority * * - - Total 1,110 1,372 +262 +24% *Less than $500 thousand. monitoring and data collection activities. Ap- Science Foundation, the National Aeronautics proximately $6 million of this amount is and Space. Administration, and the Smithso- for ship and aircraft support in five agencies, nian Institution. The budget proposes $890 NSF, Transportation, NOAA, Interior, and million, an increase of $54 million or about DOD/Navy. These programs support bilateral 6 percent, for astronomy and astrophysics in and multilateral environmental, space, oceans, the three agencies. and social science agreements and cooperative activities. In 1991, the National Research Council commissioned a group of astronomers and Observing the Universe: Astrophysics astrophysicists to survey these fields and and Astronomy.-The programs of these two make recommendations concerning ground- disciplines increase our understanding of the and space-based astronomy and astrophysics origin and evolution of the universe, the forma- for the next decade. This report, "The Decade tion of stars and planets, and the fundamental of Discovery in Astronomy and Astrophysics", laws of physics. Astronomy and astrophysics was the third in a series of decadal reviews are currently supported by the National of these two disciplines. It recommended Part One-124 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 Table 6-13. UNDERSTANDING THE ARCTIC (Dollar amounts in millions) Budget Authority Dollar Category Percent 1989 1992 1993 Change: Change: Actual Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 Resource development¹ 43 50 54 +4 +8% Arctic as laboratory² 42 69 69 - - National security 3 23 24 24 - - Total 108 143 147 +4 +3% 1 Includes the Departments of Commerce, Agriculture, Energy, the Interior, Transportation, State, and the Environmental Protection Agency. 2 Includes the Department of Health and Human Services, and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, the National Science Foundation, and the Smithsonian Institution. 3 Includes the Department of Defense. The 1992 enacted level includes a one-time increase for Defense of about $5 million specifically for upper atmosphere research and associated facilities including the High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program. For purposes of comparison with 1993 levels, this funding has been excluded. as the highest priority increased support some technical problems. All of these for operations and maintenance of existing space-based observatories have presented astronomical facilities and individual grant significant technical and budgetary chal- programs. The report also recommended a lenges. The budget includes $257 million balanced program of space-based observations for operations, servicing, and data analysis and offered a prioritized list of future projects, for the Hubble Space Telescope. The first consolidated from both space- and ground- servicing mission is planned for late 1993. based candidates. The budget addresses many The NRC Report recommended the initi- of the Report's recommendations and these ation of the fourth Great Observatory, the are highlighted below. $1 billion Space Infrared Telescope Facil- The National Aeronautics and Space Ad- ity (SIRTF), as its highest priority for a ministration (NASA) is the principal agen- new start in the "large project" category. cy supporting space-based astronomy. While the budget supports the NRC Re- NASA supports a broad range of astron- port's recommendations for other large omy and astrophysics missions, including projects (i.e., AXAF and the 8-M telescopes instruments flown on large free-flying mentioned under NSF), it defers a decision spacecraft, smaller Explorer spacecraft, on SIRTF, while providing an increased the Space Shuttle, small sub-orbital rock- emphasis on small and moderate missions. ets, balloons and aircraft. The budget pro- The budget proposes a 10 percent increase poses $732 million for NASA activities, an over 1992 to a total of $138 million for increase of $42 million or 6 percent over support for individual investigators. 1992. This will support continued develop- The National Science Foundation (NSF) is ment of the Advanced X-Ray Astrophysics the principal agency supporting ground- Facility (AXAF). AXAF is the third of four based astronomy. NSF supports a broad NASA Great Observatories and is sched- range of astronomy programs and facili- uled for launch in 1999. To date, AXAF ties, including the National Radio Astron- has met or exceeded all of its design cri- omy Observatory, the National Optical As- teria. The first two Great Observatories, tronomy Observatories, and the National Hubble Space Telescope (launched in Astronomy and Ionosphere Center. The 1990) and the Gamma Ray Observatory budget proposes $137 million for NSF's (launched in 1991), continue to provide programs, an increase of about $13 million significant scientific breakthroughs despite or 10 percent over 1992. This increase ad- 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-125 dresses most of the priorities enumerated long history of private and state support, in the NRC report. Within this total, sup- including large philanthropic donations for port for individual investigators will in- the construction of major instruments, crease by nearly $4 million or 9 percent. e.g., Hale 5-m telescope at the Palomar Funding will also increase for operations Observatory and the Keck 10-m telescope and maintenance of existing facilities and at Mauna Kea Observatory. The Keck tele- for research on adaptive optics. Work will scope is the world's first computer-con- continue on research leading to the design trolled segmented mirror telescope and of a millimeter array for radio astronomy, embodies state-of-the-art technology in and construction of matched 8-meter opti- mirror design and computer alignment. cal telescopes in Hawaii and Chile and the Currently, it is estimated that private new radiotelescope at Greenbank, WV will sources and the states provide about $190 all proceed on schedule. In 1993, the Very million annually for astronomy. The Keck Long Baseline Array (VLBA) will com- Foundation is planning to provide funding mence operations. VLBA is a coordinated for a second 10-m telescope adjacent to set of radiotelescopes located from Maine the first. When operated together, these to Hawaii, which is expected to open new two telescopes will provide the resolution vistas to radioastronomers and to contrib- of an 85-m telescope, making it possible ute to other fields such as geodesy and to search for planets around nearby stars. theoretical physics. International Efforts.-Astronomy and as- Smithsonian Institution.-The Smithso- trophysics have long been characterized by nian Astrophysical Observatory (SAO) con- extensive international collaboration. Eu- ducts fundamental research in astronomy rope, Canada, and Japan all support major and astrophysics cooperatively with the astronomical facilities that are often used Harvard College Observatory at the Cen- in conjunction with similar instruments in ter for Astrophysics located in Cambridge, the U.S. For example, the Very Large Mass. SAO also operates the Oak Ridge Array Radiotelescope in New Mexico is Observatory in Massachussets and Fred often linked to other radiotelescopes in Lawrence Whipple Observatory at Mt. Britain for observations of extremely dis- Hopkins, Arizona. NASA has selected SAO tant quasars and pulsars. In these cases, to plan, develop, and operate an inter- essentially the entire Earth becomes one national center for AXAF data. The budget large radiotelescope. Both Europe and proposes $21 million for SAO activities, es- Japan are currently constructing major op- sentially the same as in 1992. Work will tical telescopes embodying the newest continue on the development of a technology. submillimeter telescope array and the con- version of the Mt. Hopkins Multiple Mir- Improving the Productivity of the Na- ror Telescope to a single 6.5-m mirror. tion's Agriculture (The National Research SAO will also continue to work with NASA Initiative).-The budget continues the Admin- istration's commitment to the National Re- in planning the AXAF data center. search Initiative by proposing $150 million, a Federal Funding for Related Areas.-Apart $52 million, or 53 percent, increase over 1992. from these three agencies, there is support With the creation of the NRI in 1991, a $50 for astronomy and astrophysics within the million increase each year was proposed to the Departments of Defense and Energy for extent that funds were awarded competitively activities that complement the programs and not earmarked for specific sites or institu- of NSF, NASA and the Smithsonian. tions. These include research on astrometry, op- tical interferometry, sensor development The National Research Initiative competitive (especially in the infrared region), and grants program addresses research areas cryogenic and adaptive optics. which are known to possess unique opportuni- ties for improving agriculture in concert with Non-Federal Support for Astronomy and social, economic and environmental needs. Astrophysics.-Astronomy has enjoyed a In 1991, the first year of the program, Part One-126 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 74 percent of the funding for NRI was plant systems (including mapping of plant directed toward the basic, fundamental end genomes); animal systems; markets, trade, of the research spectrum. The remaining and policy; and processes antecedent to adding funding was directed to mission-oriented re- value and developing new products. In 1993, search-research that bridges the basic and increased emphasis will be placed on the applied sciences, resulting in practical out- areas of human nutrition research and re- comes. Of the $73 million appropriated for search to find new non-food, non-feed uses the NRI in 1991, 11 percent of total program for agricultural products. Human nutrition funds were directed toward attracting new research will be expanded to include the scientists into careers in high priority areas areas of food choices and food survey methodol- in agriculture. These funds provide support ogy. Within the increase for new uses, research for postdoctoral fellows and new faculty and on alcohol fuels made from agricultural and strengthen research capabilities of individuals forestry feedstocks and conversion technologies at small and mid-sized institutions. The same will expand. pattern of distribution is expected for 1993. The Administration is especially concerned Each of the six categories of research about the amount of special project earmarks funded in 1992 will continue. Those areas within the USDA budget, and believes that include natural resources and the environ- the NRI is a more effective mechanism to ment; nutrition, food quality and health; address the national needs of agriculture. MAINTAINING NATIONAL SECURITY: DEFENSE R&D IN THE BUDGET For all defense-related R&D, including R&D prise 59 percent of overall Federal R&D supported by the Departments of Defense funding in 1992. and Energy, the budget proposes $43 billion, an increase of over $438 million, or 1 percent, above 1991. Defense-related R&D will com- Table 6-14. MAINTAINING NATIONAL SECURITY (Dollar amounts in millions) Budget Authority Department Dollar Percent 1989 1992 1993 Change: Change: Actual Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 Defense-military functions 38,031 40,043 40,509 +466 +1% Basic research 951 1,170 1,203 +33 +3% Applied research 2,541 2,995 3,056 +61 +2% Total, Technology Base 3,492 4,165 4,259 +94 +2% Development 34,540 35,878 36,251 +372 +1% Energy-atomic energy defense programs 2,321 2,668 2,640 -28 -1% Weapons Research and Development 1,050 1,183 1,143 -40 -3% Weapons Testing 518 458 430 -28 -6% Naval reactors 555 600 634 +34 +6% Arms Control Research 146 181 188 +7 +4% Environmental Restoration Technology 52 246 245 -1 - Total, Conduct of R&D 40,352 42,711 43,149 +438 +1% 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-127 Department of Defense Department of Energy A strong defense R&D program is a key The budget proposes $2,640 million for element of national security strategy. As conduct of R&D in support of Department was shown in Operation Desert Shield/Desert of Energy (DOE) Atomic Energy Defense Storm, the deployment of advanced weapons Programs, a decrease of $28 million, or can save lives and lead to decisive victory. about 1 percent below 1992, but $319 million The Defense R&D program also provides or 14 percent above the 1989 level. This important benefits to the nation's technology total is comprised of several program compo- generally. In this budget, funding for conduct nents, including: of DOD R&D totals $40.5 billion in 1993. Weapons Research and Development.- Technology Base.-The budget proposes This activity includes a wide range of basic $4.3 billion for the technology base, an in- and applied R&D that is related to new weap- crease of $94 million over the 1992 level. Basic ons systems. Almost all of these R&D activities and applied research programs provide options are performed by the three DOE National Lab- for future military capabilities and guard oratories: Los Alamos, Sandia and Lawrence against technological surprise by potential ad- Livermore. The budget proposes $1,143 million versaries. The basic research portion of the for this activity, a decrease of $40 million, or DOD technology base supports a wide range 3 percent from 1992. Within this total, there of scientific disciplines, including mathematics, is increased emphasis on improving the safety chemistry, biochemistry, meteorology and of nuclear weapons. solid-state physics. It is essential for the U.S. to develop and exploit advanced technologies Weapons Testing.-This activity involves to maintain superiority in fielded weapon sys- the testing of nuclear weapons devices. The tems as force levels decline. The weapon sys- budget proposes $430 million for these activi- tems used in Operation Desert Storm were ties, a decrease of $28 million, or 6 percent from the 1992 level. made possible by technology programs started decades ago in the areas of precision guidance Naval Reactors.-This activity involves and navigation, night vision and stealth. R&D related to reactor systems for nuclear- DOD technology-base R&D programs have powered submarines. The budget includes also led to many civilian applications. These $634 million in 1993, an increase of $34 mil- include navigation systems used by civilian lion or 6 percent over 1992. aircraft and ships, advanced structural mate- Arms Control Research-The budget pro- rials used in commercial aircraft and such poses $188 million, an increase of $7 million common devices as cellular radios and comput- for research related to verification of arms con- ers. Defense R&D plays a lead role in trol agreements. developing technology to increase computer Environmental Restoration Tech- performance dramatically. This continues the pioneering efforts of the Department of De- nology.-The environmental cleanup of atomic energy defense facilities is one of the fastest fense that led to today's advanced parallel growing programs in the Federal Government. processors and digital communications net- works. Technology development activities play a major role in the clean-up effort, resolving Development-The budget proposes $36.3 major technical issues related to effective billion for development programs. This cat- waste management and cleanup and advanc- egory includes funding to develop advanced ing technologies to attain and maintain compli- systems for production and to improve existing ance with current laws and regulations. The systems. There will be special emphasis on budget proposes to maintain this investment technology development efforts and the fab- in technology development at $245 million in rication of prototype systems. 1993. Part One-128 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 The Changing Role of the National ing from the domestic programs as direct Weapons Laboratories.-The decreases in funding from the Atomic Energy Defense funding for nuclear weapons research, develop- programs decreases. ment, and testing are consistent with the de- clining number and types of nuclear weapons Two initiatives now underway include: in the U.S. stockpile and reduced requirements High Performance Computing-Energy is for new nuclear weapons. This decline, how- developing a model Cooperative Research ever, could adversely affect the DOE National and Development Agreement (CRADA) Laboratory system, principally the three weap- with the Computer Systems Policy Project ons laboratories. These labs have historically (CSPP) to enable CSPP member compa- received 40-50 percent of their funds for nu- nies (e.g., IBM, Cray, Apple) to cooperate clear weapons research, development and test- with the National Laboratories on R&D ing. The laboratories possess a core set of projects in high performance computing unique scientific and technical capabilities that technology. could be applied to a wide variety of civilian R&D needs. Space Exploration-Defense, NASA and Energy are developing cooperative R&D Over the past year, an effort has been programs at the Laboratories to develop underway within the Administration to assess nuclear power and nuclear propulsion the laboratories' capabilities and to examine technologies to support space exploration. expanded civilian missions for them. In par- The Energy Laboratories have recognized ticular, it appears likely that the National competency in nuclear propulsion, radi- Laboratories can play a key role in a number ation-hardened microelectronics and robot- of civilian R&D initiatives, including materials ics, which are all key technologies for research, advanced manufacturing R&D, bio- space exploration missions. technology and space exploration. The specific roles to be performed by the laboratories It is likely that the laboratories will play in each technology area would be determined an important role in other applied civilian based on: (1) the unique technical capabilities R&D initiatives, including advanced materials offered by the laboratories (so as to avoid and processing, advanced manufacturing, and duplication with work that better can be other critical technologies. In addition, the performed in industry or universities) and laboratories are continuing to move aggres- (2) industry-led proposals, so as to ensure sively to transfer new, non-sensitive, dual that the results of the R&D will be applied use technologies, funded by Atomic Energy by the private sector in new products and Defense programs, to commercial use. The processes. In particular, the National Lab- budget includes $91 million, an increase of oratories could serve as catalysts to form $41 million, or 82 percent, for technology R&D consortia with industry and universities, transfer activities in DOE defense programs. following the general criteria discussed earlier This funding will support cost-shared, collabo- in this chapter. Under this approach, the rative technology transfer activities with the laboratories would be receiving increased fund- private sector. IMPROVING TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER TO INCREASE THE RETURN ON FEDERAL R&D INVESTMENTS During the past decade there has been As new policies have been put in place increasing public concern about U.S. scientific to promote technology transfer, the Adminis- and industrial strength and competitiveness tration's emphasis has shifted to implementa- in the world economy. One consequence of tion. This section reports on progress to this concern has been enhanced efforts to date in technology transfer by Federal agen- encourage the transfer of technology developed cies. The Aministration plans to intensify in Federal laboratories to the private sector. 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-129 its efforts in technology transfer over the the data for the same year between subsequent coming months. budgets may show significant differences. Over OMB has begun a comprehensive effort time, however, these data should yield an historical database that can be used to meas- to measure the extent of Federal technology transfer activities. By collecting data on tech- ure the impact of government policies to nology transfer on an annual basis. For enhance the value of government technology purposes of collecting this data, technology to the private sector. transfer has been defined as those efforts Funding for Technology Transfer Activi- and activities intended to result in the applica- ties.-In general, the data show significant in- tion or commercialization of Federal lab- creases in all aspects of technology transfer oratory-developed innovations by the private from 1992 to 1993. The budget proposes to sector, State and local governments, and allocate about $579 million to direct support other domestic users. These activities may of technology transfer activities in 1993, up include, but are not limited to: 3 percent over 1992, but 16 percent over 1991. Technical/cooperative interactions (direct Funds allocated to departmental and agency technical assistance to private sector users Offices of Research and Technology Applica- and developers; personnel exchanges; and tions are projected to rise 19 percent from cooperative research and development 1992 to 1993 to a total of about $32 million. agreements); Cooperative Research and Development Commercialization activities (patenting Agreements.-Cooperative Research and De- and licensing of innovations and identify- velopment Agreements (CRADAs) are con- ing markets and users, including payment tracts between one or more Federal lab- of royalties and cash awards to inventors); oratories and one or more non-Federal parties and under which a laboratory provides personnel, services, facilities, equipment or other re- Information exchange (dissemination to sources to conduct specific R&D efforts that potential technology users of technical in- are consistent with the missions of the lab- formation: papers, articles, reports, semi- oratories. All agencies were given the author- nars, etc.). ity to use CRADAs in the Technology Transfer Twelve Federal agencies provided data on Act of 1986, although some agencies, e.g., technology transfer activities undertaken and NASA, already had statutory authority to con- proposed for 1991, 1992 and 1993. The agen- duct research and technology development co- cies submitting data include: the Departments operatively with industry. of Agriculture (Agricultural Research Service Since 1986, the use of CRADAs has been and Forest Service), Health and Human Serv- on the rise. In the Department of Health ices (National Institutes of Health, Centers and Human Services, the National Institutes for Disease Control, Public Health Service, of Health has entered into over 400 with Food and Drug Administration), Housing and private industry, primarily in biotechnology. Urban Development, Transportation (Federal In addition, the National Institute of Stand- Aviation Administration), Commerce (National ards and Technology has entered into over Institute of Standards and Technology), Inte- 150 agreements in a broad range of technical rior, Energy, and Defense (Army, Navy and areas. part of Air Force); NASA (Office of Commercial The actual number of active CRADAs is Programs), the Environmental Protection Agency, the Tennessee Valley Authority and projected to grow by 10 percent from 1992 the Army Corps of Engineers. to 1993 to a total of 1,689. The number of CRADAs with small business is projected It should be noted that most of the data to reach 389 in 1993, an increase of 20 for 1992 and 1993 are projections that are percent, which accounts for 44 percent of inherently difficult to make since they are the total increase in numbers of active based, in part, on inventions, patents, etc. CRADAs. The dollar value of active CRADAs that are "in the pipeline" but not yet fully is projected to grow 22 percent from 1992 realized. As a consequence, comparison of to 1993, to $466 million. Part One-130 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 Table 6-15. TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER ACTIVITIES ARE INCREASING IN 1993 (Dollar amounts in millions) 1991 1992 1993 Change: Percent Enacted Proposed 1992 to Change: Actual 1993 1992 to 1993 1 Direct funding for technology transfer activities: Funds allocated to technology transfer 498 561 579 +18 +3% Funds allocated to ORTAs 22 27 32 +5 +19% Cooperative Research and Development Agree- ments: Number of active CRADAS 1,215 1,538 1,689 +151 +10% Number with small businesses 203 323 389 +66 +20% Dollar Value (cash and non-cash) of all CRADAs 283 380 466 +85 +22% Measures of Productivity: Number of invention disclosures 3,275 3,128 3,313 +185 +6% Number of patent applications 1,423 1,515 1,546 +31 +2% Number of licenses (exclusive and non-exclu- sive) awarded 283 358 446 +88 +25% Royalties and other income from all licenses 9 11 13 +2 +24% Royalties and cash awards paid to federally- employed inventors 1 2 2 - +19% Royalties and cash awards paid to non-federal employee inventors 8 9 10 +1 +15% Number of new companies formed 24 31 35 +4 +13% 1 Percent change is calculated on dollar amounts in thousands. Measures of Productivity.-There are sev- progress listings. In 1991 alone the five largest eral indicators of the productivity of govern- Federal R&D performing agencies (DOD, DOE, ment researchers and the value of government NASA, NIH and USDA) generated well over inventions. Productivity can be measured by 150,000 STI items. This information rep- the numbers of invention disclosures and num- resents one of the most identifiable "products" bers of licenses of existing patents. The value of Federal R&D and acts as a conduit for ena- of government inventions can be measured by bling the private sector to use the results of the amounts of royalties collected from licens- Federal R&D more effectively. ing activity and, to a lesser extent, cash awards paid to government-employed and con- The scientific and technical knowledge base tractor inventors. By all these measures, the made available by the five largest R&D technology transfer process is a healthy one, agencies together with the National Technical with projected increases in patents, licenses, Information Service is impressively large. royalties and cash awards. Through the network of agency databases, over 23 million summaries of the results Scientific and Technical Information.- of R&D can be searched to allow industry The Federal Government supports the largest to make informed decisions based upon what R&D complex in the world, which, in turn, is known and where future research may generates the largest volume of Scientific and be needed. This includes approximately 5 Technical Information (STI) from any single million foreign STI items (obtained through funding source. The information produced exchange and translation programs) for which takes numerous forms including technical re- the Federal Government is virtually the only ports, journal articles, and research in domestic source. This knowledge base rep- 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-131 resents the product of a multi-billion dollar is created, stored and disseminated. A world investment made in the original research. once firmly linked to paper and microfiche Access to the STI knowledge base main- has been rapidly shifting to electronic formats. tained by Federal agencies has been consider- For example, two years ago the Federal able. Nearly 8 million items were disseminated Government had never disseminated any STI in 1991 alone. Of those items, almost 6 on CD ROMs, while in 1991 over 1,100 were disseminated. The infrastructure for million went to non-Federal users in the U.S. In addition, access through electronic electronic storage and dissemination of Federal databases continues to increase dramatically. STI will be critical to continuing and enhanced Researchers gained access to references of access by Federal and non-Federal users alike. The National Research and Education over 81 million STI items during searches of on-line data bases provided by Federal Network being funded through the High Per- agencies in 1991-over 10 million more than formance Computing and Communications Ini- just three years earlier. Each item referenced tiative will be an essential part of the in a search is a potential source of information future STI infrastructure. With such a vast which the researcher can either order directly knowledge base being generated and managed from the Federal Government or, as is often by numerous Federal agencies, and with done, simply obtain a copy from his or the rapid changes in technology, interagency her company, university, or public library. coordination in STI is critically important. For this reason, the Administration has re- Advances in information system technology cently moved to reinvigorate interagency co- are rapidly changing the way in which STI ordination of STI. STIMULATING INCREASED PRIVATE SECTOR R&D INVESTMENTS The budget proposes making permanent due to factors other than a simple reduction the research and experimentation tax credit in funding for R&D. These factors could and an 18-month extension of the tax rules include greater efficiency in the private R&D governing the allocation of foreign and domes- process (embodied in a much greater use tic R&D expenditures. of concurrent design and engineering), and Industry is the largest supporter of R&D, the shifting of private investment in R&D providing slightly over 50 percent of the from products to process technologies. total national R&D investment. It also per- The Federal Government can stimulate R&D forms much of the R&D funded by the in the private sector directly with increased Federal Government. In total, over 70 percent of all R&D is performed by industry. government R&D spending. The Federal Gov- ernment can also stimulate R&D in the From the early 1960s through the mid- private sector indirectly through tax incen- 1980s, total real industrial R&D expenditures tives. The use of tax credits for R&D has increased significantly, mostly in development. been a net near-term revenue loser to the Since the mid-1980s, however, the rate of Treasury. It is anticipated, however, that growth in industrial R&D spending has leveled in the longer-term these losses will be more off, dropping from a rate of more than than offset by the revenues from new products 7 percent average annual percent real growth and processes resulting from the private between 1980-1985 to less than 2 percent investment stimulated by the credit. However, between 1985-1991. For 1992, the Industrial since only the short-term losses can be esti- Research Institute forecasts that industrial mated (the long-term benefits are simply investment in R&D is likely to experience too diffuse), these incentives are essentially no growth, and will decline as a percentage of revenues for the first time since the a form of increased Federal R&D spending in areas of greatest potential benefit to mid-1980s. However, this slowdown may be Part One-132 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 the economy as identified by the private R&D by 20 percent Bailey and Lawrence sector. have estimated that this version of the tax credit should increase corporate R&D spending Tax Credit and Allocation Rules in the 1990s by about 4 percent. Making The Research and Experimentation (R&E) the credit permanent would help reverse tax credit was originally adopted in 1981 the recent trend toward leveling off of cor- to encourage increased private R&D spending. porate R&D spending. The credit was never made permanent, but The budget proposes two changes in the was renewed in 1986, 1988, 1989, 1990, and 1991 (only until Spring, 1992) at a tax code designed to provide additional incen- lower rate than originally granted. tives for industry to increase its investment in R&D. The budget proposes to make the Tax credits prior to 1989 reduced the 20 percent tax credit permanent. In addition, cost of increments to R&D for most qualifying the budget proposes to extend for 18 months firms by about 6 to 9 percent. In 1989 the rules, as extended in the Tax Extension the incentives provided by the credit were Act of 1991, for the allocation of foreign improved. The version of the credit enacted and domestic R&D expenditures for companies in 1989, and extended in the 1990 Omnibus with foreign operations. This proposal would Budget Reconciliation Act, reduces, for most apply to all tax years beginning after the M qualifying firms, the cost of increments to current rules expire on June 30, 1992. INDUSTRY SUPPORT FOR R&D 1991 $ BILLIONS 60 50 1960 1970 1980 1989 1992 % OF GDP 0.89 1.06 1.17 1.39 1.39 40 DEVELOPMENT 30 APPLIED RESEARCH 20 BASIC RESEARCH 10 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 SOURCE: National Science Foundation, Office of Management and Budget 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-133 THE CONTRIBUTION OF ACADEMIC INSTITUTIONS TO THE NATIONAL R&D INFRASTRUCTURE Following the end of World War II, the world-class research, and the management Federal Government adopted a set of policies of R&D at academic institutions. that propelled academic institutions into the forefront of the national research enterprise. The total number of research grants made These policies (1) identified the Federal Gov- to individual researchers has been growing ernment with the primary responsibility for for two decades. However, the ratio of new the quantity and quality of basic research awards made annually to the total number in the U.S. and (2) identified academic institu- of proposals ("funded rate for new awards") tions as the primary performers of basic by the two largest Federal supporters of research which would be directly coupled university research, the Department of Health to graduate education. Thus, the Federal and Human Services (National Institutes of Government invested its future in science, Health) and the National Science Foundation, both in terms of discovery and talent, in has declined over the 1980's from around universities and colleges. 40 percent to 33 percent in 1991 (adjusted to exclude both multiple submissions by any This arrangement has led to nearly 5 one individual and for awards for research decades of unprecedented success in scientific centers, which may serve many investigators). discovery and to world preeminence of the U.S. academic research and education system. This decline is due, in part, to the rapid growth since 1970 in the pool of researchers Today, however, new questions are being raised about both the adequacy of academic seeking funding, which has outpaced the institutions to carry out forefront fundamental sizeable, real growth in basic research funding research and the education of new scientists to academic institutions. In addition, average and engineers, as well as the adequacy award sizes (both direct and overhead compo- of the special partnership developed between nents), award lengths, or both, have tended the Federal Government and universities. to increase. This trend, while providing in- These questions include: how big should the creased stability and productivity for a given academic research and education enterprise investigator, tends also, within a relatively be? How diversified, both geographically and fixed total, to depress the number of sub- otherwise, should the enterprise be? What sequent new awards that can be made. is the fundamental role of universities in The increases in the number of staff supported science and technology in a world of global on each grant have also affected the number economic competitors? Should other sectors of grants that could be made by NIH. At assume an even greater role in funding least in the case of NIH, the move to academic research (based on perceived pay- longer grants was an explicit choice, made offs), and, as a corollary, how much should in response to the biomedical research commu- the Federal Government actually pay for nity's calls for more stability. academic research and training, both directly Awards to groups of investigators (either and indirectly? small groups or larger centers) have also The answers to these questions are not been increasing, driven primarily by the need clear. What is clear is that the nation's for interdisciplinary approaches to scientific future in science and engineering continues problems. Each of these group or center to be inextricably tied to the vitality of awards is counted as a single grant, even academic research and education. This part though these awards support many research- of the chapter will discuss the status of ers. Thus, considering only the absolute num- funding for and issues surrounding the fund- bers of awards is misleading. A more appro- ing of academic R&D, the education of future priate consideration should be the total num- scientists and engineers, the provision of ber of researchers supported. By this measure, the tools, both equipment and facilities, for there are more researchers supported by Part One-134 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 research grants today than at any previous Modes of Support for Educating the Next time. Generation of Scientists and Engineers The U.S. system of scientific education, Funding for R&D at Universities and particularly at the graduate level, continues Colleges to be best in the world. Foreign students Over the past 35 years, academic institu- flock in increasing numbers to U.S. univer- tions have assumed a more prominent role sities seeking degrees in science and engineer- in basic research within the nation's R&D ing, many of them choosing to stay for system. Academic institutions' share of basic the rest of their professional careers. The research expenditures (from all sources) has markets for the "products" of this system, doubled from about 25 percent in 1953 to the students, include both industry and aca- 50 percent since the early 1970's. In addition, demia itself. But these students are important total academic R&D expenditures as a percent participants throughout our society. of the GDP have risen sharply over this The path from grade school to Ph.D. is same period, from about 0.07 percent in commonly referred to as the "pipeline". Today, 1953 to 0.30 percent in 1989. Federal academic one-third of college graduates earn a bacca- R&D expenditures have also risen as a laureate degree in a field of science or share of the GDP, from 0.04 percent in engineering. Over the past 15 years, the 1953 to 0.18 percent in 1989. number of Ph.D.s awarded annually increased from about 17,000 to over 20,000. However, The budget proposes $11.5 billion for Fed- the number of foreign students on temporary eral support for R&D at universities and visas earning Ph.D.s has nearly doubled over colleges. This is an increase of almost $600 that same period, to almost 5,000. Within million, or 5 percent over 1992, and 31 the total of U.S. nationals awarded degrees percent over 1989. in science/engineering fields, the number of women earning Ph.D.s has increased dramati- cally and the numbers of Asian and Hispanic students have also increased, but there has Table 6-16. THE BUDGET INCREASES FUNDING FOR R&D IN ACADEMIC INSTITUTIONS 1 (Dollar amounts in millions) Budget Authority Department or Agency Dollar Percent 1989 1992 1993 Change: Change: Actual Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 Health and Human Services 4,584 5,804 6,071 +267 +5% (National Institutes of Health) (4,008) (4,922) (5,181) (+259) (+5%) National Science Foundation 1,260 1,597 1,917 +321 +20% Defense 1,329 1,417 1,445 +28 +2% Energy 507 629 591 -38 -6% National Aeronautics and Space Administration 434 632 675 +43 +7% Agriculture 315 425 417 -8 -2% Other Agencies 2 343 407 387 -20 -5% Total 8,772 10,910 11,501 +591 +5% 1 Amounts reported in this table are included in totals for conduct of R&D. 2 Includes the Departments of Commerce, the Interior, Veterans Affairs, Education, Labor, the Treasury, Justice, Transportation, Housing and Urban Development, Environmental Protection Agency, Tennessee Valley Authority, the Corps of Engineers, Nuclear Regulatory Commission, and Agency for International Development. 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-135 been no gain in the number of Ph.D.s awarded in computer science, a field once believed to Black students. to suffer from serious personnel "shortages". Since the late 1940's, the Federal Govern- Part of the problem, at least in many ment has been the primary supporter of fields, is that the academic model is the graduate training. There are three primary only one that most students are exposed forms of such support: fellowships (awarded to in the course of their training. A faculty to students for study at the institution of member supports graduate and post-doctoral their choice), traineeships (awarded to institu- students in order to launch those students tions to build capacity for graduate education), into academic research careers as faculty and research assistantships (awarded to estab- members training a second generation of lished individual investigators as part of students, and so on. However, over the past their research grants-the student is "em- 20 years this has had the result of putting ployed" by the grant). Over the past 35 more and more researchers in competition years, the balance between these has changed. for what must necessarily be a limited- although increasing-supply of research funds. Today, research assistantships are the domi- nant form, accounting for 64 percent of One way that the Federal Government all students for whom the Federal Government can respond to this is by encouraging different is the major source of support. models of training, such as by increasing the emphasis on interdisciplinary, team-ori- There have been conflicting views over ented research (the industrial model), through the past several years as to whether the programs such as the NSF-sponsored Engi- supply of Ph.D.s entering the workforce, either neering Research Centers (ERCs). The budget academic or industrial, will be adequate to proposes to continue support for ERCs, for meet future demand. Some have predicted Science and Technology Centers and for pro- large "shortfalls" (relative to demand), with grams in other agencies that encourage this concomitant "shortages" in many fields, while interdisciplinary approach to science and engi- others have projected the supply and demand neering. for scientists and engineers to be in rough balance. However, many experts in the field Even if the projections of Ph.D. supply of labor utilization in science and engineering and demand are inconsistent and, perhaps, have called into question the wisdom of flawed, there is no question of the need using these projections to develop Federal for a workforce of the future that is highly skilled, and literate in the language, if not policies to affect the supply of researchers- the practice, of science and technology. Thus, such projections are notoriously unreliable, it may be more prudent for the Federal and predicting the demand for scientists/ Government to concentrate its science edu- engineers is extremely complex. cation efforts not on increasing the number There is already some evidence-although of Ph.D.s, particularly American citizens, but no firm conclusions-that the production of rather on increasing the preparedness of researchers in the biomedical sciences may the "pipeline" to produce Ph.D.s, i.e., the have outstripped the demand. Some prelimi- undergraduate years. This approach would nary National Institutes of Health estimates appear to offer the flexibility needed for indicate that the number of post-doctoral the market to respond in a timely way students supported on certain types of re- to demands for science/engineering skills in search grants has increased 5-fold since the all sectors, as well as provide college graduates early 1980's. While post-doctoral study for who could offer the perspectives of science 1-2 years is commonplace in these fields, and technology to other vocations. the large increase in numbers supported In any case, there continues to be a on grants indicates that these young research- compelling rationale for the Federal Govern- ers are extending their "apprentice" period, ment, in concert with the Nation's universities, perhaps partly because the demand in aca- to effect changes not so much in the size demia has lessened. There is also anecdotal of the pipeline as in its composition. The evidence that the same situation is developing objective should be to prepare more of our Part One-136 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 best graduates, for industrial and non-aca- support for academic research facilities. There demic careers. The scientific community and has been Congressional action in two areas: the Nation would benefit greatly by the diversity of research interests that results "Earmarking" of Federal funds to con- from continuing to increase the number of struct new research facilities at particular new entrants, particularly those from tra- institutions. The Office of Science and ditionally underrepresented groups. Technology Policy, as part of its continuing evaluation of the state of university re- Providing the Tools for World-Class search facilities, estimates that about $276 Research: Equipment and Facilities million was appropriated for such projects To sustain a strong national research capa- in 1991. (The issue of earmarking is dis- cussed in more detail in a later section bility and to enable expansion of research of this chapter.) capacity, R&D infrastructure must be main- tained and replenished. Providing direct grants for academic re- Federal Support for University Research search facilities repair and renovation Facilities.-The Federal Government directly through the National Science Foundation, funded at about $17 million in 1992. funds facilities and equipment necessary for the conduct of R&D at Federal facilities. Pri- The budget does not contain funding for vate industry and universities have primary either of these practices. Earmarking that responsibility for the R&D infrastructure does not involve merit review of any kind under their respective jurisdictions. However, is an inefficient use of scarce resources. since the Federal Government supports basic Further, it has the effect of weakening the research at universities, it directly funds uni- Nation's overall R&D effort. Funds earmarked versity R&D facilities and equipment where for academic research facilities by Congress they are closely related to federally funded re- in 1992 and previous appropriations bills search. In 1988-89, the latest period for which not only were without the benefit of merit- estimates are available, private institutions based review, but most often came at the initiated $738 million of new construction and expense of needed increases in support for public institutions initiated $1.73 billion of academic researchers and in other key activi- new construction. The Federal Government ties at Federal laboratories. provided an estimated 11 percent and 16 per- cent of these funds, respectively. For example, the NASA construction of facilities budget has been burdened in 1992 Expenditures for the repair and renovation by over $60 million in unrequested, of research facilities totalled an estimated unreviewed, earmarked projects. These $1 billion in 1988-89, with private institutions projects came at the expense of high priority accounting for one-third of this total ($311 construction, repair and renovation projects million). Direct Federal funding accounted at critical space launch and support facilities. for 9 percent of repair and renovation activity In another instance, the 1992 budget proposed at private institutions, and 4 percent at $25 million for university research facilities public institutions. Added to this direct fund- to be awarded by the Department of Agri- ing is indirect support for academic research culture in conjunction with its National Re- facilities through payments of use allowances, search Initiative. Instead, the Congress not depreciation and operations and maintenance only earmarked all of that money for special expenses in allocated overhead. This funding interest projects, but actually increased the has increased dramatically over the decade funding to $75 million and earmarked that of the 1980s to almost $1 billion in 1988. entire increase, all to projects with little or no relevance to the NRI. Even with this large Federal expenditure for academic research facilities, the perception The Administration will continue to support of a large "backlog" of unfilled desires for direct Federal funding for construction or research facilities has led to increased calls renovation of academic research facilities from the institutions and many members where such facilities are presented as an of Congress for an expansion of direct Federal integral part of merit-based, competitive re- 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-137 search projects. In addition, the Federal Gov- equipment costing from $200,000 and $4 ernment will continue to provide funds that million. universities should invest in new facilities through payments of allocated overhead. Managing the Costs of Research at Academic Institutions Federal Support for University Research Equipment.-Forefront research at academic Few systematic analyses have been done institutions is increasingly dependent on state- to elucidate the underlying reasons why the of-the-art equipment. The most recent tri- expenses incurred by universities and re- ennial survey by NSF (1991) indicated that searchers in conducting academic research total expenditures (Federal and non-Federal) have been increasing faster than the rate for research equipment (costing $500 or more of inflation. Some justify these increases per item) increased rapidly over the 1980's by arguing that the scientific questions that from about $400 million in 1982 to about $830 must be answered are increasingly complex, million in 1989. The amount of research equip- e.g., modelling completely integrated global ment stock that was Federally-funded in- climate phenomena instead of just oceans, creased 46 percent in real terms between 1985 or just atmosphere. Academic institutions also and 1989. The survey also revealed that there cite the increased cost of complying with is substantial turnover in academic research more layers of regulation, ranging from animal equipment, with 40 percent of the equipment care to human subjects protection to hazardous in use in 1989 had been acquired since 1985. waste disposal. The mean time to obsolescence is also decreas- It is also true, however, that some items ing. that previously were high-cost (either the The NSF survey noted that the mean item itself or the labor needed for it) have purchase price of academic research equipment dropped in unit cost dramatically. The best has increased modestly. It should be noted, example is computing resources (both equip- however, that the mean purchase price for ment and time), where computer capability computing equipment has declined, but it costing tens of thousands of dollars just has increased for other types of instruments, a few years ago is now available for a particularly in life sciences and chemistry. few thousand or less. Other examples include Equipment is usually provided for as a many laboratory chemicals and other reagents part of research grants. The purchase price that can now be purchased off-the-shelf in- of equipment provided by grants, however, stead of being made laboriously by each individual researcher. is generally less than $50,000. In many fields, notably biological sciences and chem- The average grant is composed of two istry, there is an increasing demand for major categories of expenditures: state-of-the-art instruments such as electron microscopes, surface chemistry analyzers, and Direct costs.-Salaries (principal investiga- DNA sequencers that are considerably more tors, student research assistants, techni- expensive, in the range of $200,000 to $4 cians); equipment; supplies; other direct million. This is far more than can be provided costs (travel, services); and for in the average research grant. In addition, allocated overhead payments (payments for the purchase price represents only a part that portion of grantee overhead that uni- of the total "cost" of equipment. Expenditures versities allocate to research supported by for personnel to operate equipment and main- the Federal Government, commonly re- tenance over the life of the instrument now ferred to as indirect costs).-Facilities de- represent a significant portion of the total preciation, operations and maintenance, "cost" of equipment. student services, libraries, administrative Most Federal agencies that support R&D expenses. at academic institutions also provide funding Of these, allocated overhead payments as for instrumentation. The 1993 budget proposes a percentage of the total have been rising $33 million for NSF to continue its initiative faster than have direct costs, although that begun last year to provide state-of-the-art growth has leveled off in recent years. Within Part One-138 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 direct costs, salaries are, by far, the fastest to: (1) clarify that a number of items would growing component. This category has risen not be eligible for payment, e.g., entertain- faster than the CPI for several years. In ment, alumni activities, donations and con- 1988, personnel expenditures accounted for tributions, civic, community, or social organiza- an estimated 65 percent of the direct costs tion memberships; and (2) set an upper limit budgeted for individual investigator awards of 26 percent on the administrative expenses (RO1) at NIH. The result of all of this portion of allocated overhead payments. This is that constant dollar expenditures (1988 latter change was made to encourage and pro- dollars) per FTE investigator (as noted by vide greater incentives to academic institutions the Government-University-Industry Research to examine their adminstrative expenses very Roundtable in 1989) have risen from about closely and reduce unnecessary internal bu- $155,000 in 1980 to about $225,000 in 1988. reaucracy. This change is consistent with the spirit of the Federal Demonstration Project, Allocated overhead payments, both the total which seeks to reduce the Federal bureaucracy amounts and the elements, have been a (and thus expenses) for the administration of continuing source of controversy and friction academic research. between the Federal Government and aca- demic institutions. Each institution proposes Future Issues.-There are still a number and receives a rate for these payments that of issues regarding allocated overhead pay- is the result of often long and difficult ments that will be examined by an interagency negotiations with the cognizant Federal agen- group over the next year. Academic institu- cies. The rates vary widely among institutions tions and organizations will be consulted dur- with, on average, higher rates for private ing this process. The issues include: and lower rates for public institutions. In a further examination of administrative many cases there has not seemed to be expenses; of current incentives for admin- an analytic basis for the difference in rates, istrative efficiency and how these can be particularly in the administrative expense strengthened; and, whether differences category. among institutions and geographic regions The controversy over allocated overhead have a bearing on allocated overhead pay- has not only caused friction between academic ment policies; institutions and funding agencies, but has whether payments for facilities or equip- also caused friction between the researchers ment should reflect different academic and administrators at the institutions them- fields of research and/or rates of obsoles- selves. Researchers argue that higher allocated cence; overhead payments increase the total cost of research but add nothing to the actual whether there could be a better balance performance, while reducing the number or between elements assigned as direct costs sizes of awards. Administrators assert that and elements placed in the allocated over- even at the negotiated rate, the expenses head pool, i.e., should specific elements be the institution incurs (whether by choice reassigned from the allocated overhead or necessity) in conducting Federally-supported pool to direct costs? research are not fully covered by the allocated The Federal Government and academic insti- overhead payments. The Federal Government tutions have together built a research enter- and academic institutions could both benefit prise that is without peer in the world. from a simpler, less contentious system for This enterprise has been based on the concept determining allocated overhead. of a partnership, where each partner contrib- Current Proposals.-In 1991, the Adminis- utes and each benefits. But, as in any tration implemented changes to OMB Circular partnership, a periodic and thorough reexam- A-21, which sets out guidelines for determin- ination is both healthy and necessary, if only to revalidate the original conditions ing allocated overhead payment rates for aca- demic institutions. These changes will be of the partnership. phased in over the next year as institutions To some extent, the issue of allocated begin their fiscal years. They were designed overhead is a symptom of the need for 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-139 a more fundamental reexamination of the marking by Congress has historically been funding incentives of the academic research common. enterprise. The challenge for academic institu- tions is to consider the future in terms In other areas, R&D earmarking is on the rise, with 66 separate actions in Energy of the prospective funding environment and and 20 to 40 each in Defense, Interior, adjust their expectations accordingly. The Commerce and the Environmental Protec- challenge for the Federal Government is tion Agency. Noteworthy in 1992 was the to understand and cope with rising expendi- large increase in earmarks for NASA, and tures while maintaining a strong national the first appearance in some years of ear- research capability in academic institutions. marks in NSF. In fact, the VA, HUD and The challenge for both partners is to manage Independent Agencies Appropriations bill these issues in ways that will strengthen experienced the greatest increase over the partnership and expand the future benefits 1991 in dollar value of earmarks (+$187 accruing to each partner. As was noted million) and nearly the greatest increase at the beginning of this section, the scientific in number (+79 percent), second only to future of the Nation rests with academic the Commerce, State, Justice and the Ju- institutions. In continued strong partnership diciary bill. The NASA example is particu- with the Federal Government, that future larly noteworthy since a number of the should be a bright one. projects have little or no connection to space research or technology. EARMARKING OF R&D FUNDING Earmarks for facilities at academic institu- The hallmark of the Federal Government's tions appear to have increased relative to support for R&D has been the awarding 1991. Included in the total of $346 million of R&D grants and contracts through a is an increase of $95 million, to a total competitive process. This merit-based approach of $177 million, for research projects at is intended to maximize the potential return academic institutions. This is a dangerous on these investments by selecting only the trend because it represents a much more highest quality research for support. serious long-term threat to the merit- based system for selection of research This merit-based approach, however, has projects than does earmarking for facili- been increasingly eroded in recent years due ties. to the Congressional practice of "earmarking", i.e., requiring that funds for R&D and R&D- OSTP estimates that these R&D earmarks related facilities be awarded to particular have put an extra burden of nearly $500 institutions or even to particular researchers. million on the R&D programs proposed in This practice is most visible in the area the President's 1992 budget, because the of new buildings, particularly those specified earmarks were made in programs where for individual academic institutions. However, the overall funding level was the same or the practice of earmarking is actually much less than the President's 1992 request. more pervasive, reaching down to individual The most serious impacts appear to be in research projects. Defense, NASA, NSF, and some parts of Agriculture. The other $489 million of The Office of Science and Technology Policy R&D earmarks were covered, at least in recently revised its detailed analysis of ear- part, by Congressional increases in the af- marking in appropriation bills and reports fected R&D accounts, which presumably to reflect final action for 1992. The major means that a corresponding reduction was findings of the analysis and a comparison taken elsewhere in the budget. to the results from 1991 follow. Many of the earmarks appear to establish The analysis identified 566 "earmarks" for new centers, institutions, or other organi- both facilities and research, totaling $993 zations. In most of these cases, continued million, an increase of 23 percent over Federal support in future years seems 1991. Of these 334 (totaling $180 million) clearly implied. Thus, the 1992 earmarks were in Agriculture, where specific ear- have put a built-in burden on the 1993 Part One-140 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 and future budgets, an effect that will be projects from previous years. The report noted compounded if additional earmarks are that the projects examined: (1) have supported made in future years. R&D, but not the original claims that were As the Office of Science and Technology made for them; (2) have changed in response Policy has noted, its information was based to technical difficulties encountered; (3) were simply outright promotion of local interests only on a review of the often vague informa- tion in Congressional appropriations bills and disguised as R&D projects. A more in-depth reports. Therefore, the analysis does not iden- case-by-case review of other such projects, tify the sponsorship of the earmarks and with agency and Congressional staff directly does not provide a basis for judgments on involved, would be helpful in determining the merits of the earmarked items or on to what degree each earmark was (1) a the motivations of the earmarking. However, response to advocacy by a particular institu- a recent press report (Science, November tion; (2) a parochial initiative of the Congress 1991) examined the fate of several earmarked or a Federal agency; or (3) a recognition by Congress of a significant national or programmatic need. EXPANDING THE GEOGRAPHIC FRONTIER: SPACE The exploration of space provides tangible discoveries that will stimulate economic benefits to the Nation in the form of new growth and improve life on Earth. Space materials and other scientific and technological also provides large intangible benefits to Table 6-17. CONGRESSIONAL EARMARKING OF R&D FACILITIES AND RESEARCH IN 1992 APPROPRIATIONS BILLS 1 (Dollars in millions) 1991 1992 Agency Number Amount Number Amount Defense 28 253 36 263 Energy 48 186 66 197 Agriculture 325 182 334 180 Commerce 14 14 38 36 Interior 25 18 42 31 Health and Human Services 2 3 1 8 Education 5 8 3 3 General Services Administration 21 61 - - Environmental Protection Agency 20 67 24 55 National Aeronautics and Space Administration 4 18 11 191 National Science Foundation - - 2 20 Housing and Urban Development - - 4 2 Federal Emergency Management Agency - I 1 3 Transportation I - 3 3 Office of Science and Technology Policy - - 1 2 Total, All Agencies 492 810 566 993 Facilities (111) (428) (116) (402) Operations (381) (382) (450) (590) Academic Institutions (101) (348) (139) (346) 1 Source: Office of Science and Technology Policy 6.- ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-141 the Nation with activities that lift the spirit percent over 1992. The budget continues of people everywhere. The will to explore to support the strategy laid out by the the unknown frontier of space, both with Advisory Committee on the Future of the robotic probes and manned missions, is one U.S. Space Program. The budget provides measure of the vision and maturity of the increases for space activities, including re- Nation. search, development, and operations, to con- tinue to explore the frontier with both manned The key to the successful exploration of and unmanned missions. Resources in the space is stable and sustainable funding of budget will improve access to space by sup- a balanced program of science, applications porting critical elements of space transpor- and manned space activities. The budget tation (which provides the enabling infrastruc- provides clear evidence of the President's ture for all other space activities) and by continued commitment to his long-term space encouraging innovative commercial ventures goals, and to active American leadership that will provide increased access. in space science and exploration. The budget proposes to allocate a total SPACE EXPLORATION of almost $15 billion for the National Aero- nautics and Space Administration (NASA). This part of the space program includes This represents an increase of nearly 5 Space Station Freedom and activities leading Table 6-18. THE BUDGET CALLS FOR A 5 PERCENT INCREASE FOR MAJOR SPACE ACTIVITIES (Dollar amounts in millions) Budget Authority Objective Dollar Percent 1989 1992 1993 Change: Change: Actual Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 Space Exploration 1,433 2,646 2,836 +190 +7% Space Station Freedom 900 2,029 2,250 +221 +11% Exploring the Frontier 533 617 586 -31 -5% Lunar Exploration - - 29 29 - Planetary Exploration 417 536 487 -49 -9% Mission Studies 5 5 3 -2 -40% Technology for Future Exploration 111 76 67 -9 -12% NASA 23 31 27 -4 -13% Energy 88 45 40 -5 -11% Improving Access to Space 4,411 5,312 5,412 +100 +2% Space Shuttle 4,342 4,965 4,867 -98 -2% New Launch System - 93 250 +157 +169% Expendable Launch Vehicles 67 195 218 +23 +12% Commercial Programs 2 59 77 +18 +31% Tracking and Data Acquisition 820 918 921 +3 - Research and Program Management 1,927 1,578 1,660 +82 +5% Construction of Facilities 275 525 319 -206 -39% Other NASA Programs 1 2,192 3,441 4,010 +569 +17% Total, All Agencies 11,058 14,420 15,158 +738 +5% Total, NASA² 10,969 14,320 14,993 +673 +5% 1 Includes funding for all other NASA activities including space science and applications, space technology (excluding exploration), academic programs and aeronautics. 2 Program amounts for 1989 do not reflect revised NASA budget structure instituted in 1992. Program amounts for 1992 and 1993 include funds for institutional support previously shown in Research and Program Management. Part One-142 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 to robotic and manned exploration of the design, focused on providing a quality facility Moon and planets. Together, these programs for users, maintained agreements with inter- support the long-term goal of expanding national partners, and placed the program human presence and activity beyond Earth's on a more sustainable budget path. The orbit into the solar system. The budget pro- program is now designed to provide early poses a total of $2.8 billion, an increase use with a man-tended capability consisting of 7 percent, for space exploration. The strat- of Shuttle visits and free-flyer support, and, egy for these activities has four major ele- later, a permanently manned capability with ments: (1) build and operate Space Station a crew of four. This phased approach with Freedom to provide unique capabilities for a simplified design will better enable Space life sciences and microgravity research; (2) Station Freedom to accomplish successfully continue robotic missions to explore the other its major objectives as a life sciences and planets in our Solar System; (3) begin several materials research facility in space. small near-term robotic missions to increase knowledge of the Moon and to provide data The budget provides $2,250 million for for planning future exploration activities; and Space Station. This includes an increase (4) continue work on "long pole" technology of 10 percent over the 1992 enacted level building blocks that will be needed for future for development, and initial funding for Space manned and robotic exploration of the solar Station operations. This amount will support system. finalization of detailed designs, and allow fabrication, qualification, and assembly tests Space Station Freedom.-This program, of various critical components in preparation the largest international R&D project ever un- for first element launch in 1996, the attain- dertaken, will enable the performance of life ment of a man-tended capability in 1997, sciences and materials research in a premier and a permanently manned capability in space laboratory for extended periods. Specific late 2000. experiments during the initial operation of Freedom will lead to new knowledge in semi- Also included is funding for detailed design, conductor and biotechnology fields, and may schedule and cost studies for an Assured lead to eventual production of unique commer- Crew Return Vehicle (ACRV). NASA will cial products from space. When Freedom's crew examine a wide range of options for providing is aboard full time, emphasis will shift to life this capability as an expedient means of sciences research, necessary for the long-term returning Space Station crewmembers to space flights of the next century. Earth during the permanently manned phase of the program. In addition to the ACRV With core Station elements being provided studies, an independent panel (the Aerospace by U.S. firms, Freedom will drive advance- Safety Advisory Panel), will review the jus- ments in aerospace technology that will main- tification and requirements for an ACRV tain U.S. leadership in this important area. in anticipation of a decision on whether Technologies and systems that will be ad- to proceed with development. vanced as part of Space Station Freedom development and operations include environ- Exploring the Frontier.-The President re- mental control and life support, power genera- mains firmly committed to his long-term goal, tion, data storage and management, thermal articulated in 1989, of manned and unmanned control, crew health care, data processing exploration of the solar system. The budget and distribution, structures and materials, reflects this commitment by proposing $586 robotics and automation, and operations and million for exploration activities in NASA and maintenance techniques and logistics support. the Department of Energy. For 1993, the budg- As in the past, many of the advances made et is based on a strategy of (1) supporting in the course of this program will be quickly near-term small missions that will take advan- used in Earthbound applications. tage of the unique proximity and characteris- tics of the Moon; (2) supporting exploration This past year NASA instituted major ad- of the near and outer planets in the Solar Sys- justments in the program as a result of tem; and (3) supporting research focused on a restructuring activity that simplified the key, long-lead technologies that will be nec- 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-143 essary for any future exploration endeavors. Thus, the budget proposes that development These technologies include: space nuclear and of the Cassini mission to Saturn be continued, conventional propulsion, life sciences and life but that it undergo a thorough review in support technologies, and space surface nu- 1992 which will focus on the technical and clear power. schedule risk remaining in this program. Planetary Exploration.-The objectives of However, the budget proposes to terminate these programs are to determine the nature the Comet Rendezvous/Asteroid Flyby mission because the scientific benefits of this mission of planets, comets, and asteroids as a means for understanding the origin and evolution no longer justify the investment. In order of the solar system, to examine how the to contain cost growth, the scope of the appearance of life is related to the chemical CRAF mission was recently reduced by delet- history of the solar system, and to provide ing the comet penetrator and several other the scientific basis for the future use of instruments. Thus, much of the planned available resources in the solar system. science was already lost. U.S. planetary exploration programs are In the longer term, a robust planetary guided by recommendations of NASA's sci- science program should emphasize more, entific advisory council. These rec- smaller, and less costly missions. In order ommendations outline exploration missions to give the planetary science community an opportunity to consider its future direction through the year 2000 (i.e., inner planets, small bodies, and the outer planets). The in a structured fashion, the budget proposes to initiate studies and research on future Magellan (Venus), Galileo (Jupiter), and Ulys- ses (Sun) missions have been launched in small planetary missions (i.e., with total the last two years and are providing exciting costs of less than $150 million per mission). All of these decisions are generally consistent new scientific information. The Mars Observer with the recommendations of NASA's scientific mission designed to examine the geologic advisory council. and climatic evolution of Mars will be launched in late 1992. Robotic Exploration of the Moon and Mars.-The budget proposes $99 million, an For 1993, the budget proposes $487 million increase of 22 percent, for exploration activi- for planetary exploration, a decrease of $49 ties that focus on the Moon and Mars. The million or 9 percent below 1992. Most of initial emphasis will be on the Moon for sev- this decrease is due to planned reductions eral reasons. The Moon is accessible because in development funding as missions are of its proximity and will be a useful mid-point launched. The 1993 funding level will also in a long-term plan to send people to Mars. provide for the operation of Mars Observer, Further lunar exploration is also attractive be- Galileo, and Magellan and for support of cause it offers opportunities for scientific re- university researchers to analyze data from search, and the possibility that its mineral and planetary missions. energy resources could one day be harnessed In the current constrained budget environ- for use in the space program or back on Earth. ment, it is unlikely that multi-billion dollar The Synthesis Group, an independent advisory planetary exploration missions, which often panel on the exploration program chartered by span a decade or more, can continue to the Vice President, considered these factors be sustained over the long-term. This is last year when it recommended that the U.S. particularly true because these missions are plan an active program of robotic and manned often linked to immutable planetary launch missions to the Moon before sending people "windows" in order to achieve their objectives. to Mars. Long delays caused by budgetary reductions, As a first step, the budget proposes to launch constraints or technical problems, or start work on two small, low-cost, robotic all three, often mean that graduate students exploration missions to the Moon. These space- are well along in their professional careers craft, to be launched in 3-4 years, will before instruments they helped develop actu- carry instruments for mapping the Moon ally collect any data. and surveying lunar resources. NASA and Part One-144 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 other participating agencies will continue ar- expendable launch vehicles with a broad chitecture and mission studies focused on range of payload capabilities. Many of the longer-term options for both robotic and latter are now operated on a commercial manned exploration of the Moon and Mars. basis for use by both the government and Technology for Exploration-Some future private customers. robotic exploration missions are feasible using The budget proposes $5.4 billion, an increase technology that is already available. However, of 2 percent, for civil space transportation. more ambitious missions-particularly manned The strategy reflected in the budget is founded exploration of the Moon and Mars-will re- on three underlying principles: (1) enhance quire significant improvements and break- the Space Shuttle's efficiency and schedule throughs in space transportation and other predictability while increasing the reliability areas. Advancing U.S. capabilities in these and lifetime of the existing fleet; (2) develop areas will likely require many years of focused a new launch system to offer operational research and engineering, so coherent long- improvements over existing vehicles and to term technology development efforts should be reduce the long-term burden on the Shuttle; implemented as future needs are identified. and (3) encourage the commercial space sector Some priorities for exploration-related tech- to provide goods and services that will increase nologies have already been identified by NASA access to space for all sectors. and the Synthesis Group, which produced New Launch System.-All sectors of the a comprehensive report on the Space Explo- U.S. space program, including scientific, explo- ration Initiative. The budget proposes $67 ration, national security, and commercial ap- million to address many of these established plications, would benefit greatly from reduc- priorities, particularly "long pole" technologies tions in launch system operating costs and im- required to make key exploration missions provements in reliability, responsiveness, and feasible, or to significantly reduce their cost. mission performance. To this end, the budget One such area is nuclear propulsion, which proposes $250 million, nearly a three-fold in- offers shorter travel times and more payload crease, for the joint NASA/Department of De- mass compared to conventional propulsion fense program to develop a new launch system technologies. Technologies and mission appli- with several configurations, including a heavy cations for nuclear propulsion will be ad- lift capability. The Advisory Committee on the dressed by both NASA and the Department Future of the U.S. Space Program rec- of Energy (DOE) in 1993. In addition, NASA ommended developing this capability to take will continue technology development for ad- pressure off the Space Shuttle and to enable vanced chemical propulsion, life support and new types of future space missions. In addi- radiation protection. The budget proposes a tion, developing this new family of vehicles total of $45 million in funding by Energy will strengthen the technical base for improve- and NASA for space nuclear reactor power ments in commercial launch vehicles. The first system technology (specific allocation of this launch of this new system is planned for 2002. funding will be made in the Spring of 1992 Funding for common program elements will be after a reassessment of potential applications shared between NASA and DOD on a 50:50 and technology alternatives). basis. Planned 1993 activities focus on contin- ued development of a new liquid-fueled rocket engine for the vehicle. Vehicle design studies IMPROVING ACCESS TO SPACE will also continue. During 1992, Defense and NASA will initiate a review of the NLS pro- Space transportation is the foundation for gram plan to identify opportunities to reduce all U.S. space activities because space missions the total cost of the program. require launch vehicles to get off the ground. Consequently, the Nation's space transpor- Space Shuttle-The budget proposes $4.9 tation capabilities must be adequate to meet billion, a decrease of 2 percent, for the Space both near-term and long-term national needs. Shuttle, including operations. The Shuttle will At present, the U.S. has one manned launch continue to be important to the civil space pro- system, the Space Shuttle, and a fleet of gram through at least the next decade because 6. ENHANCING R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Part One-145 Table 6-19. THE BUDGET INCLUDES FUNDING FOR 8 SHUTTLE FLIGHTS AND INVESTMENTS TO IMPROVE THE NATION'S ACCESS TO SPACE (Dollar amounts in millions) Budget Authority Dollar Percent 1989 1992 1993 Change: Change: Actual Enacted Proposed 1992 to 1992 to 1993 1993 New Launch System - 93 250 +157 +169% NASA - 38 125 +87 +229% DOD - 55 125 +70 +127% Space Shuttle 4,342 4,965 4,867 -98 -2% Space Shuttle production and operations 3,549 3,851 3,989 +138 +4% Advanced Solid Rocket Motor 51 315 - -315 -100% Assured Shuttle Availability 68 105 139 +34 +32% Space transportation capability development 674 694 739 +45 +6% Expendable launch vehicle (ELV) services 67 195 218 +23 +12% Commercial Programs 2 59 77 +18 +31% SpaceHab - 39 51 +12 +31% Commercial Experiment Transporter (COMET) - 18 22 +4 +22% Other 2 2 4 +2 +100% Total 4,411 5,312 5,412 +100 +2% of its unique abilities to retrieve satellites, while continuing the program's strong commit- carry people and material to build the Space ment to safety and mission success. Cost Station, and serve as a short-term orbiting lab- reduction targets of 3 percent per year, oratory for scientific research. However, the resulting in a 15 percent reduction by 1996, budget also recognizes that the Shuttle system have been established to improve the effi- has proven to be very expensive and complex ciency, and thus reduce the cost, of Shuttle to operate, and that development of new operations, without compromising flight safety launch systems will be needed to meet long- or the Shuttle manifest. term U.S. needs. Termination of the development of the Because the Shuttle is a precious resource Advanced Solid Rocket Motor (ASRM) program that should be conserved, its use will be as well as the construction of its production limited to payloads requiring manned presence facility is proposed. The ASRM project rep- or other unique capabilities. The planned resents major funding requirements, nearly flight rate has been reduced to 8 missions $500 million in 1993, over $400 million per year through 1996, a level that is both in 1994, with a total of $2.5 billion to realistic and prudent. The budget also pro- reach flight status. Unlike other projects poses $139 million, an increase of 32 percent, competing for these scarce budget resources, for the Assured Shuttle Availability (ASA) alternatives exist to offset the loss of the program. ASA projects are intended to prevent ASRM capability. The Redesigned Solid Rocket component obsolescence and extend the useful Motor (RSRM), which entered service after life of the current fleet of orbiters. Taken the ASRM was initiated, has already flown together, these measures will reduce the successfully in 20 Shuttle missions, with long-term risk exposure of continued use no safety or reliability problems. The impact of the Shuttle system. on the Space Station Freedom program can be compensated for by adding several Shuttle Several measures are proposed that will flights using the current RSRM. It is estimated reduce the Shuttle's funding requirements that two additional assembly flights plus Part One-146 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1993 one additional utilization flight would be Production of additional Shuttle orbiters required to achieve the Permanently Manned is not planned. However, production of spare Capability milestone, which would slip 9 parts will continue in the near term to months (from early 2000 to late 2000). support the existing Shuttle fleet and to In recent years the President has requested help preserve an option to acquire a replace- significant increases for NASA, including fund- ment orbiter in the event of orbiter loss ing for the ASRM program. Congress has or other demonstrable need. been unable to fund fully these requests. Commercial Space.-In the National Space In the Senate and Conference Reports accom- Policy and its implementing guidelines, the panying NASA's 1992 appropriations, Congress commercial sector is encouraged to provide directed that increases in the NASA budget goods and services that will improve access be limited to 3-5 percent in 1993. ASRM to space for all sectors. A result of this policy has been recommended for cancellation, in part, to accomodate the Congressionally-im- is that NASA and other agencies are increas- posed cap. If a higher budget allocation ing their use of commercial launch services. were to be provided for NASA in 1993 A noteworthy milestone in late 1992 will be by the Appropriations Committees, the Admin- the first launch of the Commercial Experiment istration would be prepared to work with Transporter (COMET), which is being procured the Congress toward the possibility of contin- through the NASA-sponsored Commercial Cen- ued support for ASRM. ters for the Development of Space. When the ASRM was proposed for develop- Another important planned milestone in ment four years ago in the 1989 budget 1993 is NASA's first use of SpaceHab, a to Congress, its first use was planned for commercially-developed, reusable module that early to mid-1994, and the estimated cost will enable the Space Shuttle to carry more up to first use was $1.9 billion. According experiments. NASA has contracted to use to the most recent plans, first use of ASRM part of this module for multiple missions, would occur no earlier than February 1997, and its developer is marketing the remaining and estimated cost up to first use including capacity to commercial customers. prior year funds would be $3.4 billion. Thus, The commercial sector can also benefit ASRM would be available three years later than originally proposed, at 80 percent higher from launch technology activities that are cost. planned by NASA and DOD for 1993. While planned technology work is focused on meeting It should also be noted that when develop- future needs and objectives identified by ment funding for the ASRM was proposed government agencies (e.g., increasing the cost- four years ago, 14 Shuttle missions per effectiveness of space launch systems), some year were planned after the ASRM entered results of this work will also be applicable service. The projected Shuttle flight rate to commercially-operated systems. In addition, in the late 1990's has since fallen to 9 development of new launch vehicles (such missions per year. Thus, while it was origi- as the new launch system being built by nally thought that more than 70 Shuttle NASA and DOD) for the government may missions in the 1990s would use ASRMs, fewer than 30 would do so now if the provide new opportunities for commercial oper- ators in the long term. program were continued.