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Originally Processed With FOIA(s): FOIA Number: S S FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential Library Staff. Record Group/Collection: George H.W. Bush Presidential Records Collection/Office of Origin: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Speech File Backup Files Subseries: Chron File, 1989-1993 OA/ID Number: 13831 Folder ID Number: 13831-003 Folder Title: Agenda for American Renewal--Detroit Economic Club 9/10/92 [OA 7580] [1] Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: G 26 22 7 7 Agenda for American Renewal by Bush George Bush President of the United States Agenda for American Renewal 1 I. In wartime, the costs of Introduction: Government are always high. "We Domestic needs are not fully are a nation at The Challenge met. In times of conflict, a peace. But being at good nation tries to look after America stands at the its poor, its sick, its elderly, its peace with others and edge of a new era, a new cen- less privileged members, but being at peace with tury. Here is my bridge to the not as completely as it should other shore: An Agenda for or would like to. ourselves are different American Renewal - diagnos- things. The one we have ing the economic problems we Today, this year, for the face, setting forth the princi- first time since December achieved. The other, we ples to guide our actions, and 1941, the United States is not can and will." explaining the approach I am engaged in a war, hot or cold. pursuing. We are a nation at peace. Over past weeks I have But being at peace with others been discussing some of the el- and being at peace with our- ements of my economic agen- selves are different things. da. In coming weeks I will be The one we have achieved. expanding on my ideas. This The other, we can and will: document shows how the pieces fit together. The American people rec- ognize this historical water- It is important to step shed. They want and deserve a back for a moment, to take peacetime system of taxation, stock of where we are as a a peacetime freedom from un- great nation in the broader necessary intrusion into our sweep of history. lives, a peacetime commitment to sound money, a peacetime The American people have dedication to unfinished work just completed the greatest and unsolved problems close to mission of all, the triumph of home. democratic capitalism over imperialistic communism. At. the same time, Mission accomplished. Americans are aware of epic changes in the world- and the Throughout history, when economy. They sense the dis- long wars end, people have quiet in many of the industri- been confronted with the prob- alized democracies that have lems of converting to peace- been our partners in the long time and establishing a new struggle. Our own economy basis for securing peace and has been going through some prosperity. profound changes. And I un- 2 derstand how difficult change In this country, we have I will sharpen the competi- can be, particularly for those always preferred an entrepre- tive edge of our businesses by who feel its effects most direct- neurial capitalism that grows encouraging entrepreneurial ly. Americans sense we face an from the bottom up, not the capitalism and small business, era of great opportunity, but top down, a capitalism that be- deploying advances in R&D that there are also great risks gins on Main Street and ex- and technology, and reforming if we fail to choose wisely. tends to Wall Street, not the our legal system S0 it no other way around. longer puts us at a global dis- We must now demonstrate advantage. our unique ability to trans- Nor have we been taken in form anxiety into regenera- by the view my opponent My agenda promotes eco- tion. Only in America do we prefers, that Government nomic security for working have the people, the resources, should accumulate capital - men and women through job the economic strength - and by taxing it and borrowing it training that will ease adjust- especially the principles and from the people, and investing ments and provide people with ideals - to pick up the chal- it according to some industrial new capabilities for work in lenge. policy design. the face of competition and change. And I will enable fam- For America to be safe and My agenda is for an inclu- ilies to concentrate on building strong we must meet the sive America, not an exclusive for the future by giving them defining challenge of the '90s: America - and certainly not a the means to protect them- to win the economic competi- reclusive one. We will chal- selves against today's cost of tion - to win the peace. lenge the world with an inter- health care, and by making it national economic and trade easier to build tomorrow's re- The United States must be strategy that will promote free tirement security. I want our a military superpower, an ex- trade arrangements east and efforts to reach out to all our port superpower, and an eco- west, north and south, to citizens, leaving no one be- nomic superpower. strengthen our global econom- hind, because we will need the ic reach and complement our work, aspiration, and energy My approach is to look worldwide security presence. of each and every American. forward - to open new mar- At the same time, we need to kets, prepare our people to foster the capabilities at home Finally, since our competi- compete, to strengthen the that will keep us in the lead. tive strength and entrepre- American family, to save and neurial spirit must flow from invest - SO we can win. Developed economies need the private sector, I will developing minds. To help pre- streamline Government to This future depends on pare all our children for a con- meet changing needs. economic growth, but not for stantly changing workplace, I the few at the expense of the want to make radical changes We can empower America many, not for the present at in our education system. Each to reach a grand goal: a $10 the expense of the future. child should graduate with trillion economy by the first skills, self-discipline, and self- years of the 21st Century. confidence. 3 When President Reagan race, we are now able to do and I assumed office in 1981, something we have all hoped the U.S. economy was about for since the close of World "The first great $3 trillion. We've almost dou- War II - lighten the load of change in our economy bled that over the past 12 the defense burden. years. So I know we can nearly is ironically due to our double it again through sus- In the short run, this ad- very success in ending tainable real growth over the justment has meant cutbacks coming decade. and lay-offs in many indus- the Cold War. tries that have depended on we are now able to With a $10 trillion econo- defense spending. We must my, we could provide the re- ease this transition. But in the do something we have sources, private and public, to medium and long run, reduc- all hoped for since the satisfy our most ambitious so- tions in defense spending will cial and financial require- free up many new resources close of World War II - ments. We could simultane- for our people and economy. lighten the load of the ously renew America and pay down our national debt. Second, it seems that al- defense burden." most every time you open the So now let me turn to how business pages you can find a we can meet the challenge and story about a major U.S. cor- reach our goal. poration that is restructuring itself. Our industries are in the process of transforming II. themselves from old-style hier- The Context: archical organizations to so- called "flattened pyramids." Five Changes This new industrial organiza- Underway in the tion emphasizes a skills-based Economy workplace, "lean production," a "just in time" inventory, and The U.S. economy has short product cycles rather been working its way through than mass production. Our five profound changes. They companies are integrating establish the context for my R&D, manufacturing, and agenda. marketing into a seamless web of innovation. This is a revolu- The first great change in tion as dramatic as the one our economy is ironically due when Henry Ford led the to our very success in ending country from craft-based pro- the Cold War. Since our super- duction to mass manufactur- power rival of the last half ing early in this century. century has dropped out of the 4 We have to make these created over 21 million jobs, entered the 1980s with some adaptations succeed if more than all the new jobs in 14,000 commercial banks and America's industries are to the other major industrial 4,600 savings and loans. In keep ahead of their interna- countries and the rest of comparison, Canada had about tional competitors. Strong Western Europe combined. Yet 160, and Japan had under sales and productivity increas- great booms produce excesses, 100. The vast majority of those es are the prerequisites for and this time too many compa- small U.S. banks and S&Ls creating more jobs, boosting nies, too many financial insti- operated in a heavily con- wages, and upgrading tutions, and too many house- trolled environment where benefits. In fact, it is partly be- holds took on too much debt. their costs of funds were limit- cause of these changes that ed by ceilings on your pass- our annual growth in manu- We have been paying book accounts. Other regula- facturing productivity over the down that debt - and lower tions restricted competition by past 10 years was over 50% interest rates have helped us imposing costs and inefficien- higher than in the Carter do it. Millions of people have cies on savers and borrowers. years. It's why American firms refinanced homes at lower lead the world in exports. rates, reducing mortgage pay- In the late 70s, this out-of- ments by as much as $1,200 to date system was buffeted by Nevertheless, these $1,500 a year. When compa- record interest and inflation changes also have produced nies restructured, they paid rates; it was challenged by layoffs and relocations among down debt, strengthened bal- competition from new financial both blue and white collar ance sheets, and positioned services. As in any other line workers. Middle-aged bread- themselves to enjoy greater of business, the less efficient winners are wondering profits when stronger growth institutions could not survive. whether their company will be resumes. This process will But because our banks and the next to make announce- leave our economy leaner and S&Ls held insured deposit ac- ments, and they worry about more powerful. Many firms al- counts for most hardworking their jobs, health care, and ready are. But while that debt Americans, the streamlining pension rights. Some are also was being paid down, people process had to be managed in troubled by the prospect that bought fewer goods, and com- a way that enabled the after sacrificing to send their panies put less money into Government to protect your kids to college - often the new investments and jobs. The savings. In effect, the first generation to attend - process is largely over, but it Government picked up these that these children's diplomas has left consumers and compa- costs so your savings would be may not be golden tickets to nies a little cautious. safe. security. Fourth, we entered the This process, too, is near- Third, the 1980s wiped '80s with a banking system de- ing its end. A strong economy away the dismal economic per- signed 50 years earlier - an must have a good banking and formance of the late '70s. We incongruous relic in an era financial system SO entrepre- enjoyed the longest peacetime when billions of dollars can be neurs can get capital, busi- expansion in U.S. history, last- sent around the world in a mi- nesses and farms can get ing seven and a half years. We crosecond. The United States loans, and families can buy 5 homes and cars. We will have Two, it means that if a more competitive and effi- America is going to be strong "No nation is an cient financial system that will and growing in the 21st serve companies and families Century, we must be ready, island today. We are better. Over the next few able, and willing to compete years, the Government will ac- around the globe. We need to part of a global tually gain revenues from the encourage entrepreneurial economy. To grow is to sales of billions of dollars of capitalism and investment at assets that it acquired from home, and at the same time trade; to expand is to banks and S&Ls as it protect- ensure that our labor force re- compete. One ed savers. But this process has mains the best in the world. left lenders cautious. Business manufacturing job out borrowing rates and mortgage Three, we need to seize op- of every six depends rates are way down, but it's portunities to develop new still too hard for small busi- markets, particularly in areas directly on our exports. nesses to gain access to capital that have potential for One acre out of every and credit. We are still taxing significant growth in the fu- capital too much. ture. One of the other benefits three is sowed for sale of the end of the Cold War is abroad." The final economic change the extraordinary potential to is perhaps the most far-reach- expand trade and sales to hun- ing of all: No nation is an is- dreds of millions of potential land today. We are part of a customers who not long ago global economy. To grow is to were the captives of our trade; to expand is to compete. enemies. One manufacturing job out of every six depends directly on our exports. One acre out of III. every three is sowed for sale Start with abroad. Strengths This international econom- ic interdependence has three In developing an agenda implications. for the future, we should take a clear-eyed look at our One, when growth slumps strengths as well as weakness- abroad, it drags our economy es. Not surprisingly, the other down with it. Both Western side has conveniently skipped Europe (especially Germany) over our country's many and Japan are going through strengths. Frankly, they want major readjustments - and you to believe America is over that has contributed to our the hill and past its prime. But sluggishness. they have no more right to 6 convince you the economy is own homes, as compared falling. We must know our worse than it is for political with 59% in Japan and strengths before we build on advantage than I have to un- 40% in Germany. them. Over the past 12 years, derstate the problems. So let we increased the U.S. economy me just note several key facts. The U.S. sends more of its by about $2.8 trillion - that's students on to higher edu- like creating the total size of The Misery Index - the cation - 68% - than any the German economy twice sum of inflation and unem- other country, well above over. So I know our goal of a ployment - is down to the 32% rate in Germany $10 trillion economy is attain- 10.8% today, from 19.6% able. and 30% in Japan. And in 1980. 52% of these U.S. students are women, as compared We're also in a strong posi- Inflation has fallen to with 26% in Japan and tion internationally. But we're roughly 3%, the lowest in 38% in Germany. going to need the national adaptability and capability to a quarter of a century (ex- keep leading our competitors. cept for 1986). With exports of $622 bil- And we must have the courage lion, the U.S. is the world's of our convictions to say "no" Interest rates are at a 20 largest exporting nation. to the wrong sort of changes year low. Mortgage rates Exports increased by 40% for the future - false promis- are now in the 8% range, during my Administration. es based on false premises - half the rate President changes we cannot afford at Reagan encountered in his We produce 25% of the this key moment in the world first year. Thanks to these world's total output with economic competition. low rates, more people can 5% of the world's popula- afford to own a home today tion. than at any time since IV. 1973. The productivity of Guiding American workers is ap- Principles While unemployment is proximately 26% above still far too high, the share those in Germany and 30% Before outlining the of the working age popula- above those in Japan. specifics of my agenda, I want tion with jobs during my to set out four guiding princi- administration has aver- I do not mean to suggest ples. An effective strategy aged 62.2%, the highest in either that everything is well must be dynamic. As new U.S. history. or that we do not need to lead problems or opportunities pre- and manage the changes tak- sent themselves, we will need The United States has the ing place in the world and at to make adjustments. Guiding highest home ownership home more actively. We do. principles will ensure we fol- rate of all major industri- low a consistent path and help alized countries: 66% of But you can't chart the shape our policies into the U.S. households own their stars if you think the sky is future. 7 First, start with the ba- for helping people, for re- sics: We are a nation of special sponding to their needs. And "We individuals, not special inter- we've seen that these are ap- have to keep to ests. Individuals gain primary proaches that work. the fundamentals of strength, protection, and in- spiration from their families We prefer a hand up to a sound economic and communities, not the legal handout. We want to empower growth: lower tax rates, system or Government social people to make their own services. People find their choices, to break away from limits on Government friends and their enjoyment in dependency. We want to give spending, greater voluntary association with individuals and families eco- one another, not in some bu- nomic security by giving them competition, less reaucrat's paint-by-numbers the capital, the capabilities, economic regulation, dream. and the confidence to decide for themselves. We want sound money, and more Individuals, families, com- everyone to have a stake in so- open trade that can free munities. That's where we ciety, to own property, so start. everyone will build something tremendous private with it for themselves and our Second, we have to keep to country. Whereas my oppo- initiative and growth." the fundamentals of sound nent's approach may place a economic growth: lower tax premium on redistribution and rates, limits on Government "leveling," our programs will spending, greater competition, unleash initiative, reward suc- less economic regulation, cess, and encourage excel- sound money, and more open lence. Our approach is to give trade that can free tremen- people the power to work, dous private initiative and save, and be their best. growth. Finally, all our policies Experience has shown that must be brought together ef- these are the steps we need to fectively if we are to prosper take to create jobs, raise as a people and succeed as a wages, spur entrepreneurs, ex- nation. America must have ap- pand capital and investment, propriate new approaches for and build businesses. the changes at home - just as we've launched new policies to Third, in the '90s Govern- lead and manage change ment can build on these fun- abroad. We must recognize the damentals by offering opportu- interrelationship between do- nity and hope for individuals, mestic and foreign policy - families, and communities. between economic and security There is a conservative agenda policy. At the same time, we 8 must execute our agenda more This is how America will excellent American customers. effectively with a new create a $10 trillion economy. Equally important, the inte- Congress, state and local gov- gration of United States, ernments, and the private sec- Mexican, and Canadian capa- tor. Our aim must be to press V. bilities will improve our global our policies together, as a Challenging competitiveness by enabling package, to make America se- the World: American firms to purchase cure and strong. inputs at lower costs: This will A Strategic help U.S. firms to stay in the Therefore, my Agenda for Global Economic forefront of high wage, high American Renewal mandates and Trade Policy value-added production. action on six interconnected fronts. Because we face com- During the Cold War, we Our geopolitical position is plex problems, no one solution built a global security struc- also advantageous. The United will suffice. The whole of these States is both a Pacific and a ture to contain and counter elements will be a solution the Soviet Union and commu- European power; our political greater than the sum of its and security ties link us with nist aggression. We forged mil- parts: the largest and most rapidly itary alliances across the Atlantic and Pacific that un- growing economies across both Challenging the World: A oceans. Our-trans-Pacific trade derpinned that structure. In' Strategic Global Economic already exceeds our Atlantic the post-Cold War era, we and Trade Policy trade; that's one reason why need a strategic global eco- nomic and trade policy that we helped launch an organiza- tion for Asia-Pacific Economic Preparing Our Children will ensure our position as an Cooperation that will further for the 21st Century economic and export super- strengthen our economic ties Economy power as well. with that region. Our own neighbors - from Central We are well positioned to Sharpening Business' America to Chile - want to achieve this goal. We enjoy the Competitive Edge: En- largest fully integrated market build bridges of trade with us couraging Entrepreneurial SO they can build better in the world; this gives us Capitalism economies for their people. leverage with other countries that want access to our mar- "The ball of liberty," Promoting Economic Se- ket. Once the Congress enacts Jefferson once wrote, "is now curity for Working People the North American Free SO well in motion that it will Trade Agreement (NAFTA), roll around the globe." He was our position will be further Leaving No One Behind: right. strengthened. NAFTA will Economic Opportunity for open an important market, a Every American Freedom has rolled Mexican economy whose through Eastern Europe, the growth prospects will quickly "Rightsizing" Government former Soviet Union, and transform its expanding in- Latin America - and the ball dustries and consumers into 9 is now in our court. Free peo- 1993 because of those special ple and free markets develop interests who herd together hand in hand. People value with a protectionist purpose. "Free people and free American values. People want The global trade negotiations, markets develop hand to buy what we have to sell. in turn, could be very close to a English is the language of breakthrough if the United in hand. People value freedom and business. States continues to act as a American values. People strong world leader. There is a Our political and economic proposed draft text that estab- want to buy what we ties are complemented by the lishes the outlines of a have to sell.' appeal of American culture all significant new GATT agree- around the world. This is a ment. Once we assure cuts in new "soft power" we can em- the subsidized agricultural ploy. Today, our movies, trade along the lines of that music, and videos are among text - to enable our farmers to our top-selling exports. secure their competitive advan- tage - I believe we will be able Finally, as the primary to complete the Uruguay founder and the most signi- Round agreement. ficant proponent of the GATT global trading system, we con- An improved global trad- tinue to have a strong hand as ing system is, however, only a long as we use it to truly open base for freer trade, for markets, including our own. stronger investment ties, for The key to America's growth, increased global growth. We expansion, and innovation has need to start to develop a always been our openness to strategic network of free trade trade, investment, ideas, and agreements [FTAs] across the people. Atlantic and the Pacific and in our own hemisphere. This net- Therefore, the next steps in work will stand in sharp con- my strategic trade policy are to trast to the backward blocs of secure Congressional agree- economic isolation. If we are to ment to NAFTA and to com- be a true export superpower, plete the global trade negotia- we cannot be tied down to one tions - the SO called Uruguay region. Instead, my intent is to Round negotiations in GATT. use our attractive domestic Our NAFTA agreement will market as the basis of a mus- open doors for American busi- cular free trade policy that nesses, workers, and con- will strengthen America's sumers. It will create good jobs. global economic reach and Nevertheless, I expect a tough complement our worldwide se- fight in the Congress in early curity presence. 10 By focusing on opening slovakia by the end of my sec- I will ensure that our markets, I also believe we can ond term. And I would explore ExIm Bank and the Overseas reduce structural barriers to the possibility of a connection Private Investment Corpora- competition in North America, between NAFTA and the tion (OPIC) work with teams Western Europe, Japan, and ASEAN FTA, or AFTA. It will of our ambassadors to develop elsewhere. Competition will not take long for other coun- trade and investment opportu- encourage entrepreneurial tries to begin to express their nities for U.S. firms. We've al- capitalism - at the expense of interest in new trade and busi- ready begun this with the six entrenched interests - ness ties with us. For example, ASEAN countries - and it's spurring even greater global leaders in Australia and Korea working. I will particularly growth. have already spoken of their stress helping America's small interest in forging closer eco- businesspeople to develop More specifically, I will nomic ties. trading opportunities. These need to secure from the companies look small - but Congress additional trade ne- Some see new threats, oth- they trade big. I know. I start- gotiating authority within the ers see old enemies. I see new ed my own. And I have visited first half of 1993. To overcome markets, new opportunities, small factories all across the the special interests and the new jobs. United States that first sur- protectionists, I will need a vived and then prospered by mandate from the American As we develop this eco- taking on the foreign competi- people. If America is going to nomic and trading network for tion. I know Americans can do be an export and economic su- the 21st Century, I will fight it. perpower, the U.S. President hard to promote American must take a strong stand on trading interests. For exam- the negotiation of trade and ple, I am committed to a siz- VI. economic agreements. The able Export Enhancement Preparing Our Congress will read vacillation Program [EEP] to ensure that Children for the and equivocation as weakness, our farmers can go head-to- and the national interest will head with the European 2lst Century lose out to the logrolling trade- Community's subsidized agri- Economy offs of Congressional business cultural exports. We know as usual. That's one very big from our experience with mili- In the 21st Century our issue at stake in this election. tary security that the key to greatest national resource will economic security must be be our people. Materials, ma- With new negotiating au- based on "Peace Through chines, and methods will come thority, I will pursue new Strength" - not unilateral and go, but the American trading and economic opportu- disarmament. That's why I re- worker will remain the key to nities in Latin America under cently announced the largest our economic security. Since my Enterprise for the quantity of wheat ever avail- the workplace of the 21st Americas Initiative, starting able under our EEP program Century will be constantly with Chile. I would also like to - almost 30 million metric changing, we need to prepare work towards FTAs with tons to 28 customers. the American people to adapt Poland, Hungary, and Czecho- to and direct the process of 11 change. Therefore, our kids tion Assistance program (WIC) must arrive at school ready to has grown 258% between 1980 grow, and they need schools and 1992; my request for an Materials, machines, where they will learn how to additional $240 million for and methods will come keep learning all their lives. 1993 brings the annual cost to $2.8 billion. and go, but the Our New American American worker will Schools will help prepare our I have also increased fund- children to become the con- ing for the Head Start pro- remain the key to our tributing citizens of tomorrow. gram by 127% - for a total of economic security. Since Equally important, we want to $2.8 billion in 1993. That in- enhance children's sense of cludes an additional $600 mil- the workplace of the self-worth, their confidence, lion increase for next year - 21st Century will be their sense of participation in an unprecedented 27% annual a larger community and soci- jump - SO that a year of Head constantly changing, we ety. This is the conservative Start will be available for need to prepare the philosophy of empowerment, every eligible four-year old helping people to help them- whose parents want to partici- American people to selves. pate. (Under my budget, al- most 800,000 children will re- adapt to and direct the I want to do my best to ceive a year of Head Start be- process of change. help all children come into the fore entering elementary world as truly "created equal." school.) Therefore, our kids must That's why I am more than arrive at school ready to doubling funding for a Healthy Child immunizations are Start initiative that targets also vital to safeguard our grow, and they need communities with high infant kids' health. Every year since schools where they will mortality rates. We are also 1981-82, 95% or more of the increasing prenatal care, nu- children entering elementary learn how to keep trition services, and substance school have been immunized learning all their lives." abuse treatment for pregnant against the vaccine-pre- women. And I want everyone ventable diseases. Now we are to spread the word that every focusing greater attention on parent must share the gift of preschool children. My 1993 good health with their chil- budget calls for an 18% in- dren. crease in child immunization grants. We need to focus especial- ly on the preschool years, S0 I want the United States that children coming to school to offer opportunity and en- are healthy and curious. courage excellence; we must be Funding for the Women, fully capable of competing in a Infants and Children Nutri- global economy. Therefore, it 12 is imperative that our educa- meet world-class standards. school choice off the adminis- tional system prepare and We are moving ahead with the trator's desk and put it back point the way for our children. development of these stan- on the kitchen table. Choice is As in the past, education dards in math, science, critical to the success of the should be the ladder that the English, history, geography, whole, integrated overhaul of child of modest means can arts, and civics. our educational system. climb to better him or her self. Competition, the underlying Second, we need voluntary principle for this radical re- Our current school system national achievement tests to form, will not work unless we is falling short of these needs measure the progress of our give consumers the ability to - and the poor are hurt most. students. That way we can choose. Only 19 out of 66 public high compare the performance of schools in Chicago graduate different schools in helping Wealthy families already more than half their students, our children achieve the na- have this choice for their chil- and many of these graduates tional standards. dren. Many of the people that can barely read or write. you saw at the Democratic Third, we need to give National Convention have this Our educational establish- schools the flexibility to be- choice for their children. Why ment is caught in a sort of come educational entrepre- shouldn't you have this choice time warp, a system created neurs - to figure out the best for your children? for another age when the ways to motivate our children, needs were not the same, chil- use technology, include par- Chicago's public school dren grew up differently, and ents, and involve new types of teachers - 46% of them - adults rarely changed jobs. teachers. We will create send their kids to private "Education Enterprise Zones." schools. But my opponent and Money alone is not the an- There is no particular reason his special interest supporters swer - the United States al- why schools have to end at don't think you should have ready spends more per pupil 3 p.m. SO that students can sit the same choice unless you are than any other country but in front of the TV for five privileged enough to afford it. Switzerland. And funding for hours a day. We need to free the Education Department has school administrators and One of the greatest educa- increased 41% over my term. teachers from rules, regula- tional innovations in this tions, and reports that have country was the passage of the The answer is a radical become a poor substitute for GI Bill after World War II. No overhaul of our educational student achievement; we can one told my generation that a system. If we want to change do away with red tape once we vet couldn't go to Notre Dame our country, we've got to institute a new testing system or Brigham Young or Baylor or change our schools. That's that evaluates schools not on Howard or Yeshiva. what my America 2000 pro- the basis of how many forms gram is all about. they complete, but of how So I want a "GI Bill for many minds they prepare. Children" to help give lower Our kids can't beat world and middle income families class competition if they can't Finally, we must take the means to select any school: 13 public, private, or religious. I tablishment and special inter- also want scholarships avail- ests that want to resist this able to be spent on after- revolution. A new system of "Wealthy families school, Saturday and summer education in this country is already have this choice academic programs. probably the most important ingredient over time in mak- for their children. Many For those who argue that ing America the winning eco- of the people that you my approach will weaken the nomic and export superpower public school system, I would in the post-Cold War era. saw at the Democratic remind them that the first GI National Convention Bill was a tremendous boon for This must not only be my public universities. Or listen agenda, but yours, too. I will have this choice for their to Starr Parker, a small busi- fight to give parents in children. Why shouldn't ness owner actively promoting America the right to choose choice in the Black communi- the school their children will you have this choice for ty, who put it this way: "The attend, but you need to help, your children?" rich have choice now. When I too. After you check out of was on welfare, there was no work, check into your child's way I could put my child in homework. Talk to your child's school. It's time we stop con- teacher. Join your local PTA. demning the poor to a monop- My approach - America 2000 oly education system." - relies on parental, business, and community involvement We've already made in creating new schools that significant progress in starting break the mold. this radical reform agenda. Some 44 states, and over 1700 I put the family at the cen- communities, have already ter of our society. Government adopted my new national edu- must try to help families - cation strategy - America not replace them. When it 2000. Indeed, this progress of- comes to choices for our chil- fers a good example of my dren, parents really do know commitment to pursue my best. We should increase the agenda whether or not range of choices available to Congress dawdles. If Congress parents, and Government as- balks, I will work with gover- sistance should be targeted to nors, state legislators, commu- those families most in need. nity officials, and the private sector. The other side may talk about similar problems, but I hope the new Congress they are approaching them will not remain an apple pol- with a fundamentally different isher for the educational es- ideology. You can see the con- 14 trast not only in education, business in Texas. I also call it the competitive edge of but in health care, or in the common sense. American business: debate that took-place over my child care proposal, which we You allow people to keep strengthen small business; fought for and managed to most of what they produce, enact into law. The opposition and they will produce more prefers uniformity to variety than they can use, the rest support civilian R&D and choice. Because they place being capital. You invite peo- linked to a research exten- a higher value on "leveling" so- ple to risk failure by allowing sion network; and ciety, they will tend to rely on them to keep the rewards of Government bureaucracies to success, and they will keep reform our costly legal offer "standard service." My trying until they succeed. system. approach to education, child A. care, health care, and other When capital is taxed topics is to rely on a diverse Strengthen lightly, it becomes abundant. Small Business private sector to supply the When it is taxed heavily, as it service and to empower fami- is now, it becomes scarce, Small business is the lies to make their own choices. available only to those at the backbone of a growing econo- I don't want to pull everyone top, who need it least of all. my. Small businesses create down to make them equal. I That's not what I want. Even two thirds of our new jobs; want to give everyone the tools Jesse Jackson put it this way: they account for 39% of our to climb as high as they can "Subtract capital from capital- GNP. dream. ism and all that's left is the 'ism'." If capital were abun- I am seeking to aid small dant, labor would become businesses by reducing costly VII. scarcer. And the unemploy- tax and regulatory burdens, Sharpening ment lines would shrink. increasing access to credit, That's what I want. Business' and removing barriers to com- petition. Competitive So I want to cut the capital Edge: gains tax and index it for I have taken steps de- Encouraging inflation. I want to create en- signed specifically to ease the Entrepreneurial terprise zones in inner city tax burden on small business- and rural areas. I want to Capitalism es. For example, the IRS has make the R&D tax credit per- proposed regulations to allow manent. I want to provide an small businesses to deposit Our ultimate success as an additional first-year deprecia- payroll taxes on a monthly economic superpower is depen- tion allowance for purchases of basis. And it has released a dent on encouraging the entre- property. ruling allowing over 16 million preneurial spirit of our private sole proprietors to deduct tax businesses. I call it entrepre- Those are fundamentals. preparation fees as a business neurial capitalism, and I saw In addition, there are three expense rather than as a limit- it work when I started a small other ways we need to sharpen ed itemized deduction. 15 I want to build on these billion in general business actions. For example, we are loan guarantees through SBA "I working on a Single Wage in 1992 - an increase of more am seeking to aid Reporting System that would than 50% above 1991. small businesses by permit businesses to report state and federal wage infor- SBA's New England reducing costly tax and mation through a single enti- Lending and Recovery Project regulatory burdens, ty, thereby consolidating tax is a pilot effort that extends reporting requirements and credit to viable small firms increasing access to reducing the burden. when access is limited because credit, and removing banks are having difficulty. If In coming weeks I will talk it works well and is needed, barriers to more about ways we can en- I'll expand the project to other competition." courage small businesspeople regions. We also have worked and the jobs they create. with bank regulators to base real estate values on income On the regulatory front, I earning potential rather than have extended for one year the liquidation value. We have freeze on paperwork and un- taken steps to restructure the necessary federal regulation small business investment that I imposed last winter; the program, the only venture cap- federal regulatory weight hits ital program in the Govern- small businesses particularly ment. And we are developing hard. I have also instructed ways to offer special financing federal agencies to look for to exporting entrepreneurs. ways to modify existing regu- lations that impose a special Through its procurement economic burden on small assistance program, SBA business. For example, to in- helped small businesses se- crease access to capital for cure federal contracts worth small businesses, the SEC has over $35 billion in FY 90 - announced proposals to reduce almost 20% of all prime con- and in some cases eliminate tracts let during that year. the public disclosure require- ment for small companies is- To ensure that small busi- suing stock. nesses can help their commu- nities overcome disasters, we Since small businesses are will be pressing forward with particularly vulnerable when approximately $1.7 billion in credit is tight, we have to help low-interest loans to small them as our financial system businesses in Florida, is restructuring. That's why Louisiana, California, and we have authorized over $6 elsewhere. 16 Finally, we need to help Americans invented VCR tech- a High Performance small business by removing nology and the FAX machine, Computing and Communi- burdens to competition. My we did not capitalize on their cations Initiative that will health care reforms would re- explosive popularity. Third, we enable the development of duce costs for small businesses need to rely increasingly on a thousand-fold increase in without costly Government flexible, agile manufacturing, computing capability by mandates or higher taxes. rather than old-style mass pro- 1996 and a one hundred- Enactment of my legislation to duction. We should have the fold increase in communi- establish uniform federal law capability to make a variety of cations speed. on product liability would re- products quickly and economi- lieve a major competitive cally - a process character- an initiative to improve handicap that is keeping new ized by short product cycles, the manufacturing and products from the market, but also high quality output. performance of materials boosting insurance costs sky - improvements that will high, and killing jobs. Taken together, these de- enable advances in a wide velopments emphasize decen- range of other technolo- B. tralization - an approach ex- Support Civilian R&D gies. actly opposite to my oppo- nent's "national industrial To be the world's economic policies" led by Government an expanded program in leader tomorrow, we clearly bureaucrats. We need to get biotechnology research have to invest in R&D and technology development, pro- with applications in new technologies today. Given duction, and marketing closer health, agriculture, and the pace of change, we have to to the consumer, not further environmental.protection. both come up with new inven- away. Moreover, my oppo- tions and organize ourselves to nent's call for a cut in support the establishment of the deploy new technology without for university-based research U.S. Advanced Battery delay. will hurt the development of consortium, a jointly-fund- cutting edge technology. ed four-year effort to de- The changes in industrial velop an advanced battery organization that I described My agenda will increase for an emissions-free earlier have three major impli- funding for basic research and electric car. cations for technology develop- complement that work with a ment. First, the more rapid focus on applied research and product development cycle a significant increase in development. Despite cuts by our aeronautics research places a premium on bringing Congress, we have managed to an idea quickly from the lab to budget, underscoring the increase funding for basic re- the marketplace. Second, we importance we place on search by 26% since 1989 - to need to put new technologies the U.S. aeronautics in- a record level. We are support- to work in all applications in dustry in an increasingly ing applied R&D through a order to reap the full competi- competitive global market series of new, high pay-off tive and economic benefits place. investments in critical from our R&D. While technologies: 17 the establishment of seven C. regional manufacturing Reform Our "America has technology centers for the Legal System distribution of modern suffered a civil litigation manufacturing tools, such Our competitive edge will as computer-aided design, be dulled if businesses are con- explosion. Over the past numerically-controlled ma- tinually handicapped by a 30 years, federal chines, and robotics. legal system that serves lawyers but frightens people. lawsuits have almost These efforts to develop Therefore, another component tripled. Instead of being and apply new technologies of my agenda is a reform of the need to be complemented by American civil justice system. fast, fair, and affordable, the identification and removal our civil justice system is of barriers to the private sec- America has suffered a tor's ability to bring new prod- civil litigation explosion. Over slow, expensive, and ucts and services to the mar- the past 30 years, federal law- putting us at a global ket. That's why my regulatory suits have almost tripled. reform efforts - including a Instead of being fast, fair, and disadvantage." process that subjects regula- affordable, our civil justice tions to a competitiveness system is slow, expensive, and analysis while still protecting putting us at a global disad- health and safety, and a pro- vantage. posal to "sunset" regulations - are critical to supporting Long delays in dispute res- our enhanced technology olution waste valuable judicial development. resources, force early settle- ment by those who cannot af- Just take one example: my ford to wait, discourage those opponent has proposed a who have meritorious suits, major new Federal Govern- and encourage frivolous suits ment investment in the field of by those who hope to leverage national telecommunications unjust settlements. High puni- networks at the exact time tive damage awards are that our private sector is seek- passed on to consumers ing to develop such a network through higher prices, job on its own, but has been cuts, higher insurance, and stopped from doing SO by fed- fewer new products. eral regulations. According to a soon-to-be released study by the National Association of Manufacturers, Americans spend up to $200 billion a year just on direct 18 costs to lawyers. That does not nation's civil justice system our competition. To be able to even count lawyers on payrolls through: alternatives to feder- contribute and concentrate, or the money spent on court al civil trials such as alterna- working men and women will settlements. tive dispute resolution; incen- want to know that they can tives for pre-litigation settle- enjoy economic opportunity Our legal system is killing ment, including pre-complaint and security. We can only our international competitive- notification; and a "loser pays" achieve true security by devel- ness. Other nations do not face rule requiring the loser to pay oping people's capability, not high domestic litigation costs. the winner's legal fees in suits dependency. And we can best Foreign companies only need involving federal diversity supply security through the 6% of the product liability in- jurisdiction. private sector, not Govern- surance our firms must carry ment bureaucracies. because we do not have uni- We also need to continue form state standards for prod- our work with the states to en- It will be Government's uct liability and punitive courage fundamental change role to expedite workers' ad- damages. at the state and local level. justments in a fast-changing marketplace, provide people The litigation explosion af- Lawyers, especially trial the means to work and take fects everyone. High liability lawyers, are a powerful vested care of their families, and arm costs have closed playgrounds interest in our society. They people to face the future by and pools, forcing kids on to are well represented in empowering them to make the street with nothing to do. Congress and high on the lists their own choices. In particu- Some companies are afraid to of political contributors. My lar, we can enable families to offer products at home that opponent knows them very focus on building a future by are available overseas because well. But this is a problem too alleviating their fears about they fear the liability. important to leave to the one of the single biggest costs lawyers and their friends in and problems that can knock My product liability re- high places. We must sue each them back: health care. And form legislation confronts the other less and care for each we can help foster retirement trial lawyers head on. I want other more. security through encouraging to stop wide variation among portable pension savings. states' product liability rules; stop important products from VIII. A. being kept off the market; stop Promoting Job Training excessive litigation costs with Economic more money going to lawyers Given the rapidity of than to injured consumers; cut Security for change in the international excessive insurance rates; and Working People and domestic marketplace, we end excessive consumer costs. have to prepare people for the The American businesses prospect of changing jobs and My "Access to Justice Act of the 21st Century will need learning new skills many of 1992" is intended to restore workers who will bring them times throughout the course of fairness and efficiency to the to life and keep them ahead of a productive life. Therefore, 19 we need a range of job training of adding new skills and train- and placement services - for ing; and (3) a tripling of the re- "Work young people, factory workers, sources currently devoted to means more white collar employees, and training and worker adjust- than income to particularly during this peri- ment, an allocation of $10 bil- od, defense industry workers. lion over five years. Americans. It is also fundamental to That's why one important This proposal builds on my portion of my recently-an- January plan to streamline people's self-esteem, nounced workforce adjustment the federal job training system their self-confidence, initiative is designed to shift through "one-stop shopping" in the Government away from every community. Experience and the respect of the old narrowly defined, ex- has demonstrated that the others. These are pensive, and less effective most effective training and trade adjustment assistance placement services are those attitudes, values, that / that paid people off without closely developed with local want to encourage. / giving them real help to get employers through private in- back the work. dustry councils. That way the want all Americans to training is designed to develop be builders - for their Work means more than in- skills that employers know come to Americans. It is also they will need. families, their fundamental to people's self- esteem, their self-confidence, My expanded job training communities, their and the respect of others. efforts will also be specially country." These are attitudes, values, designed to help those who that I want to encourage. I may need to change jobs or want all Americans to be careers as a result of NAFTA builders - for their families, or other trade agreements their communities, their coun- and the downsizing of our de- try. To encourage the work fense-related industries. But ethic, we need to make every we will ensure that we offer effort to match people with the training and placement to all jobs created by our entrepre- workers. neurial capitalism. These dislocated workers The three key features of would be eligible to receive my job training proposal are: three types of assistance: (1) (1) universal coverage, so all transition-assistance that in- dislocated workers will have cludes skills assessment, coun- access to basic transition as- seling, job-search assistance, sistance and training support; and job referral; (2) training (2) skill grant vouchers of up assistance in the form of skill to $3000 to help meet the costs grants; and (3) transition 20 income support where nèces- tured, paid, work-experience B. sary for workers completing program. I want student ap- Affordable retraining. prentices to receive both a Health Care for high school diploma and a All Americans I've also proposed a widely recognized certificate of specially-targeted Youth Skills skill competency. Students The economic security of Initiative. will also have the opportunity men and women requires a to continue training at the major reform of the U.S. A new Youth Training post-secondary level. health care system. The pre- Corps will provide economical- sent system provides high ly and socially disadvantaged I started my Apprentice- quality, high-tech medicine, young people with intensive ship Program as a demonstra- but at an unacceptable price: vocational training through 55 tion program in 6 states; in my. spending has increased at a residential YTC centers na- second term, I will expand it to rate two to three times the tionwide; these centers will be all 50. rest of the economy; thirty- located primarily in rural four million Americans have areas and will seek to utilize Finally, I will more than no health insurance; and mil- converted defense facilities, double the size of the present lions more are afraid to putting them to good use. The JROTC program, a very suc- change jobs for fear of losing YTC will draw from the mili- cessful and popular partner- their health insurance. tary's high level of leadership ship between the military and and training expertise by giv- schools. JROTC emphasizes My program will build on ing a hiring preference to indi- self-discipline, values, citizen- the strengths of the system - viduals leaving our armed ship, personal responsibility, consumer choice, innovation, forces. The discipline that tri- and staying in school - it's a and state of the art medicine umphed in Desert Storm can first class alternative to drugs - while controlling costs and win at home, too. and gangs. My goal is to estab- expanding access. lish 2,900 JROTC units by I will also complement the 1994. Initially, we will expand I want to guarantee access YTC with a "Treat and Train" this program in inner-city high to health insurance for all poor program to strengthen exist- schools, but I want to make families through tax credits ing youth drug training pro- JROTC available to every high (or vouchers for those who grams. school across the country that don't pay taxes) sufficient to requests it. This program is pay for a basic health insur- To help meet the needs of another way in which we can ance plan ($3,750 for a family). young people not planning to relate the successful experi- Other low and middle income go on to college, I will expand ence of America's veterans to families would get tax relief to the National Youth Appren- the next generation. partially offset the cost of their ticeship Program that I began health insurance. In total, in January. This program of- some 95 million Americans fers high school juniors and se- will benefit. niors a combination of class- room instruction and a struc- 21 My program also includes: Taken together, my pro- gram would cut health care provisions that encourage "I costs by $394 billion over five believe we can small businesses to develop years through preventive care, provide access to less costly health care in- malpractice reform, reducing surance networks for their defensive medicine, encourag- affordable health care employees by combining re- ing enrollment in cost-effective for all Americans, while sources to achieve broader health plans, arming con- risk sharing, economies of sumers with information preserving choice for scale, and purchasing about cost and quality, and patients and their power; eliminating administrative waste and unnecessary paper- families in selecting "job lock" protection for em- work. doctors, hospitals, ployees and their families SO that they will not lose I believe we can provide health care programs, coverage if and when a per- access to affordable health son changes jobs; and employment." care for all Americans, while preserving choice for patients guaranteed insurability SO and their families in selecting that people with "preexist- doctors, hospitals, health care ing" illnesses cannot be de- programs, and employment. nied a job or health cover- My approach, in contrast with age on the job; my opposition, relies on the private sector to deliver health care services. But I would 100% tax deductibility of make the market work for us health care premiums paid by the self-employed, as by enhancing competition, compared to the present which will cut costs. My mal- 25% deductibility; practice reforms would cut i costs further by removing the fear of lawsuits that leads to malpractice reforms that wasteful procedures. will reduce the number of unnecessary procedures I firmly believe that a performed on patients and move to national health insur- thereby reduce the cost of ance, as some of my opponents medical care; and want, would be a major, irre- trievable mistake. That course reforms to encourage wide- would turn over the health spread use of electronic care sector - a full 13% of our billing to save an estimated economy - to the Govern- $11 billion a year in paper ment. The result would be costs. more bureaucracy, rationed 22 care, inefficiency, and, in the sign a law this summer that better life for themselves and end, even higher costs. incorporated my portability their children. It's this spirit, proposal. The new law en- the commitment to the My opponent's "play or hances retirement security by American Dream, that has pay" approach winds up in the permitting workers to transfer made our country and our so- same place as nationalized, accrued pension benefits di- ciety the most dynamic in the bureaucratic health insurance rectly to an IRA or to their world. - but through a different new employer's pension plan. route. And it is likely to kill a If we are going to use that lot of jobs along the way, espe- Despite this improvement, energy to drive us forward into cially in small businesses. I believe we must continue to the 21st Century, we will need Increasing the costs of labor - look for ways to make it easier to tap the aspirations of each the "play" in his approach - for workers who change jobs to and every one of our citizens. will lead businesses to hire take pensions with them. We No one should be left behind fewer workers. Offering the al- need to eliminate incentives to for want of opportunity. ternative of Government- "cash out" benefits and in- Many of the programs that sponsored health care paid for crease incentives to save for I have discussed above - with new taxes on payrolls - the future. health care for all Americans, the "pay" - will dump the child care, job training, pen- problem in the lap of a Job training, afford- able health care, retirement sion portability, a new compet- Government bureaucracy with itive school system based on the costs paid for by business- security - when combined community involvement and es and workers. with a new system of educa- choice for all American fami- tion and entrepreneurial, com- C. lies - support my plan to em- petitive business, we can offer Pension Portability power all Americans to make working men and women real their own choices and better economic security in the 21st I have also been concerned their lives. But I believe we Century. about the ability of workers to need to do more for certain cit- izens who have fallen too far preserve their retirement pen- behind. sions as they change jobs. This IX. is a growing need because of Leaving No My philosophy for en- the increased likelihood that most workers will have more One Behind: abling all Americans to share than one employer over the Economic the American Dream is sim- ple: it's based on property and course of their working years. Opportunity for work. Our urban and welfare Every American programs must be designed to I proposed an initiative enable people to break the last year to increase pension For over 200 years, the cycle of poverty, get back on portability, expand pension most exceptional aspect of their feet, get back to work, coverage, and simplify the law American society has been the and take responsibility for governing pension plans. And belief, the hope, that this is a their own choices and their I am pleased that I was able to land where people can make a own lives. 23 I disagree with the failed Our "Weed and Seed" effort logic of "welfare rights" and its can help reclaim and revitalize emphasis on entitlement. I impoverished and embattled philosophy for disagree with "income mainte- communities by eliminating enabling all Americans nance" strategies - strategies the fear of drugs and violence, that merely maintain poverty targeting coordinated human to share the American and contain potential. services programs, and im- Dream is simple: it's proving the housing stock and Our goal should not be infrastructure. based on property and more dependence - but rather work. Our urban and a new Declaration of We also need to extend op- Independence - to help peo- portunity by enabling lower welfare programs must ple develop the human and income families to build assets financial capital to share the be designed to enable - for example, by allowing aid American Dream. We have recipients to accumulate high- people to break the taken the first step with our er savings without losing their implementation of the welfare- eligibility. cycle of poverty, get to-work logic of the Family back on their feet, get Support Act of 1988. We have And we need to expand been encouraging flexible and homeowner opportunities for back to work, and take innovative implementation lower and middle income fami- responsibility for their through waivers that enable lies. For example, HOPE states to develop new pro- grants enable more inner-city own choices and their grams to enhance parental people to own their own own lives. and family responsibility and homes. Our $5,000 tax credit to insist on education and job for first-time home buyers training for those on welfare. would help; SO would permit- Welfare policies won't work ting voucher recipients to unless people do. apply their rental subsidies to- ward the purchase of a home. In our inner cities, we need to restore hope by clear- We can enhance the ing away the handicap of choice, quality, and avail- crime, building a core of prop- ability of housing through af- erty owners, creating business fordable rent subsidies in the incentives, restoring infra- form of housing vouchers, and structure, and focusing our through our "Perestroika in programs on work and Public Housing" program that discipline. widens opportunities for pub- lic housing tenants to change Enterprise zones can cre- the management of troubled ate solid economic foundations projects. in distressed communities. 24 This property and work- X. what our nation produced. based approach need not be "Rightsizing" That compares with 17.6% in more expensive than the tradi- 1965, 19.9% in 1970, 22.0% in tional welfare bureaucracy. Government 1975, and 22.3% in 1980. So For example, over the past 12 not only has Government years, federal spending for low My blueprint envisages an grown as the economy has income assistance doubled important Government role to grown, but Government is tak- even after inflation - from make a secure and strong ing a bigger share. The $9.1 billion in 1980 to $18.3 America. But it is also impor- American people are not taxed billion this year (both in 1992 tant that Government not too little. The American dollars). This year, HUD is siphon off more private re- Government spends too much. providing housing assistance sources than are absolutely to 4.6 million low-income fami- necessary to perform the func- In my acceptance speech I lies, up from 3.1 million in tions that will help us win the noted some of the efforts I will 1980. I have tried to rechannel economic, competition. Because make to hold down spending. I some of this funding to vouch- an overweight Government - have proposed capping the ers because they are more serving itself seconds rather growth of mandatory spend- cost effective than con- than serving the people first - ing, other than social security. structing new public housing will weigh us down in the race That would still permit spend- units. Furthermore, families of a new era. ing at present levels plus an wouldn't have to wait five adjustment for inflation and years for the units to be built, Much of my agenda can be population growth. Yet this and the vouchers give families accomplished simply by redi- cap would save $294 billion more choice. recting current funding away over five years. from bureaucracies and to- For too long, Congress has wards people. My agenda em- To start to implement this stubbornly refused to discard powers people with the means cap, I have proposed over $72 failed programs that perpetu- to work, own property, build billion in specific spending ate welfare dependency. No capital, raise families, and be cuts for "mandatory" programs doubt, many of these programs effective contributors within (FY93-97). If you add these were well intentioned. But our private market economy. proposed cuts to others I have now we know better. Give us a Some of my ideas - legal and previously called for but which chance to try a different ap- health care reforms, for Congress has not yet enacted, proach that will empower peo- example - should even help my specific cuts would total ple to help themselves, to us save money. about $132 billion over five build some capital for their years. I have also proposed families, to make choices that Contrary to the assertions the outright elimination of develop self-respect and disci- of some politicians and special 246 specific discretionary pline. That's the real way to interest groups, spending as a programs. offer economic opportunity for percentage of the nation's every American, to leave no GDP has been going up, not By way of comparison, my one behind. down. In 1991, the Federal opponent has specifically pro- Government spent 23.5% of posed less than $5 billion in 25 cuts in mandatory programs. I also believe taxpayers And he has singled out only should have the right to direct "Government should one program for elimination - 10% of their tax payments to the honeybee subsidy pro- reduce debt and spending be subject to the gram, which his running mate through a "check-off" on their voted four times to retain. tax forms. If all taxpayers took discipline of a balanced the full 10%, the cut would be budget amendment. Furthermore, I proposed about $50 billion. That's only freezing all other spending, 3% of the Federal budget of State governments and I will enforce this freeze about $1.5 trillion. Since feder- operate that way. by vetoing any bill Congress al spending has been growing sends me that spends more at a rate of about 8% per year, Businesses operate that than I asked for in my budget. even this proposed cut would way. Families operate still enable spending to grow; I've asked Congress for the it would just grow more that way. And given the line item veto, a disciplinary slowly. breakdown of tool used effectively by the governors of 43 states. This Some editorialists dismiss Congressional discipline, veto authority is important not my checkoff proposal, but the we need an only to help cut, but to in- American people seem to like crease a President's leverage it, and I think I know why. My amendment to ensure with a Congress that seeks to proposal traces its roots to an that the Federal tax more and spend more. American tradition. At the turn of this century, many Government operates Government should be people were concerned that subject to the discipline of a the Government establish- that way, too.' balanced budget amendment. ment was slipping away from State governments operate the people it was supposed to that way. Businesses operate serve. This movement led to that way. Families operate such venerable "gimmicks" as that way. And given the referenda, the right of recall, breakdown of Congressional and the direct election of U.S. discipline, we need an amend- Senators. The idea of term ment to ensure that the limits for Senators and Federal Government operates Congressmen, which I fully that way, too. If we had had support, is another reform of such an amendment years ago, this type. At the time each was we wouldn't be paying almost proposed, the conventional $200 billion dollars a year now thinkers chuckled at the on interest for the debt left us changes. The same is true by earlier Congresses. today. Given the complete breakdown in spending disci- pline in Congress, it's time 26 that we insist on compensat- ers. Finally, I believe we can my agenda. ing reforms that give the peo- restructure and reduce the ple a bigger say in the direc- size of the Executive Branch I also am committed to re- tion of Federal Government through a consolidation of ducing the tax burden on the spending. I say it's time to give agencies and bureaus that will American people. I have said the people the power to cut the enable us to do our job better. that I will propose to further deficit. Why should the Federal reduce taxes across-the-board, Government be the only large provided we pay for those cuts The size and structure of organization in America that with specific spending reduc- the Government also needs to continually adds size and of- tions that I consider appropri- be slimmed down and fices, and never gets rid of ate, SO that we do not increase changed. The organization of anything? Therefore, I will the deficit. the Federal Government submit a streamlined reorga- reflects ways of doing business nization plan for the Executive To illustrate the kinds of that are now 30 to 50 years Branch to the new Congress - tax cuts we could achieve if we old. Companies all across and I hope they take the hint, discipline spending: just con- America have been restructur- too. sider what we could do if ing, cutting costs, becoming Congress acted on the $132 more efficient - preparing to Let me give you an exam- billion in specific spending re- be more competitive in a fast- ple. In many respects, the ductions that I have already changing marketplace. I be- Arms Control and Disarma- proposed. These savings alone lieve the Federal Government ment Agency, or ACDA, is a could finance an across-the- can and should do the same creature of the Cold War. It board rate cut of 1 percent, a thing. I believe a streamlining needs to adapt to the times. Its reduction of the small busi- of the Federal Government highly trained scientists and ness tax rate from 15% to 10%, should include three elements: engineers are a valuable re- an increase in small business source. Some of them can sup- expensing of investment in First, I will cut the operat- port our efforts to stem and re- equipment, and a reduction of ing budget of the Executive verse the proliferation of the capital gains tax. Office of the President by 33% weapons of mass destruction. if Congress agrees to subject But others may be well suited In sum, my direction is its operations to a cut of the to work at weapons destruc- clear - I want to spend less same size. With fewer tion and defense conversion - and tax less. My opponent Congressional staffers badger- transforming the genius of wants to spend more and tax ing the Executive Branch, I modern day swords into 21st more. know we can cut costs by that Century plowshares. amount. Second, I believe all I believe the Federal federal employees earning Multiply this idea by a Government can reallocate its above $75,000 a year should hundred, or even a thousand, almost $1.5 trillion in spend- be subject to a 5% pay cut; others. We can get rid of some ing more effectively if we im- other Americans have tight- tasks, conduct others more plement my agenda. The re- ened their belts, and SO should efficiently, and add new ones ductions in defense spending the better-paid federal work- where appropriate to support that we have already begun 27 will provide some of these members - all 150 or more - funds, and I don't want them before they are besieged by the "Between the wasted in a torrent of new special interests and perma- spending programs designed nent staffs. election and the by a horde of special interests. I also believe we need to convening of a new I honestly believe that this take another step to ensure Congress, / will lay out is the only way to get the size that the new Congress does and spending of Government not become like the old one. an implementation plan under control. I know that se- The root of the present prob- for my agenda. / intend rious-minded people believe lem is political contributions we need to increase revenues from organized special inter- to be ready to present to close the deficit. But it won't ests through political action the new Congress a work. I have seen too many committees, or PACS. In the times that efforts to close the run up to the 1980 elections, first-year plan to carry deficit by increasing taxes PACs raised and contributed have only turned out to give $55 million to political candi- out the legislative Congress a license to spend dates. In the same time period proposals described in more money. There's a reason before the '90 elections, PACs for this. Spending is power for spent about $160 million. The this agenda." Congressmen. That's how they other party doesn't want to do show influence, and placate anything about it, because their friends, the interest they are the biggest recipients. groups. If you give Congress- I want to put them to the test. men more tax money, they will I want a new Congress to stay spend it. clean. So an important part of my new legislative agenda will be a simple bill to abolish XI. PACs subsidized by corpora- A Strategy for tions, unions, and trade Implementation associations. This year is an important I am committed to making turning point for the United my program work with Con- States. We are entering a new gress. Between the election era, and for the first time in and the convéning of a new many years, it appears that Congress, I will lay out an im- Congress will have 150 new plementation plan for my faces for the President to work agenda. I intend to be ready to with. That's why I'm asking present the new Congress a for a mandate for my program. first-year plan to carry out the That's why I have promised legislative proposals described that I will meet with all new in this agenda: 28 A radical overhaul of structure, ensure functions implement my educational re- American education to em- fit new needs, and cut forms while Congress has phasize excellence, stan- salaries at higher levels stalled. We can get a great dards, competition, entre- deal done at the state and preneurial schools, and a local levels. Reform of our legal system "G.I. Bill for Kids" that will give parents a choice I will work with governors, of schools A package to clear away state legislatures, local gov- crime, build business, and ernments, and the private sec- My job training programs put people to work in our tor to pursue my agenda. inner cities While I want a Congress that can help me do the job, I'm My health care reforms An expansion of Civilian committed to getting the job R&D linked to new appli- done one way or the other. A package to cut spending, cations including a cap on the growth of mandatory Ban on PAC contributions spending, a taxpayers' "checkoff" to reduce the debt, a line-item veto, and Limits on Congressional a balanced budget amend- terms ment Now I know I may not be Tax cuts paid for through able to get everything I want in the exact way I want it. But spending reductions and your support for a mandate to growth, including reduc- get it done would give me mo- tions to spur entrepre- mentum. I intend to fight for neurial capitalism and small business this agenda, fight as hard as I can to get as much as I can, and then come back again to NAFTA get more. New trade negotiating au- If Congress hesitates on thority SO we can conclude some fronts, I intend to keep new Free Trade Agree- moving forward. You have ments across the Atlantic, seen that we can implement the Pacific, and in our own back-to-work welfare reform hemisphere by granting waivers that en- able the states to do the job more effectively. Similarly, 44 A Government reorganiza- states and more than 1700 tion plan to streamline the communities have started to 29 This is my Agenda for believe people should sue each American Renewal. With the other less and care for each "With end of the long Cold War, we other more. I want Govern- the end of the can target peace, prosperity, ment to spend less and tax long Cold War, we can and promise at home. The less. I will fight without hesi- American people want that. tation for a free and fair flow target peace, prosperity, The American people deserve of trade, capital, and ideas and promise at home. that. around the world. I believe America should compete, not The American people At the same time, Ameri- retreat. want that. The cans recognize that the great events of recent years have I know times have been American people shaken the world, and it will difficult for too many deserve that." never be the same. If we are to Americans. I have sought to succeed as a nation and as a explain the causes of these people, if we are to hold true to problems and what I will do all that has made America about them. Of course you will "the last, best hope of earth," have change. The question is then our renewal at home what kind of change. You face must at the same time enable a serious choice. And I ask, us to make the 21st Century when you step into that voting another American Century. booth, please consider careful- ly which candidate's agenda My Agenda draws together for change fits best with your our people and our Govern- beliefs, America's experience, ment to take on this challenge. and our hopes for lasting We will create a $10 trillion peace and prosperity. economy. We will renew America. We will win the peace. My approach to this chal- lenge is fundamentally differ- ent from my opponent's. I want to stimulate entrepre- neurial capitalism. I want to help people by enabling them to make their own decisions about health, education, job training, and child care from a variety, of competing alterna- tives. I want to supply services through the private sector. I BUSH QUAYLE 92 1030 15th Street, NW Washington, DC 20005 Paid for by Bush-Quayle '92 General Committee, Inc. THE WHITE HOUSE Office of the Press Secretary (Detroit, Michigan) For Immediate Release September 10, 2669 REMARKS BY THE PRESIDENT TO THE DETROIT ECONOMIC CLUB Cobo Hall Detroit, Michigan 1:00 P.M. EDT THE PRESIDENT: Thank you all very, very much. Good morning to everyone. And, Governor Engler, I'm proud to be with you, sir, and thank you for that kind introduction. Greetings to Chick Fisher, your Chairman, and Jerry Warren, both of whom have been most hospitable to me. I've been here several times before this most distinguished American forum and I'm delighted to be back. This morning I am here for a very serious speech, serious business. And I'm releasing today an agenda for the American renewal. And I've come here today to introduce it to you and to the nation. My agenda diagnoses the economic problems our nation faces, lays out the principles that should guide us in the years ahead, and explains the integrated approach that I am pursuing to meet the challenge. Over the past weeks I have been discussing certain elements of my economic agenda, and in the weeks ahead I will be expanding on those and other ideas. The document that I'm releasing today shows how the pieces all fit together. But let's begin this morning by stepping back, taking stock of where we are as a great nation in the broader sweep of history. The American people have just completed the greatest mission in the lifetime of our country -- the triumph of democratic capitalism over imperial communism. Today, this year, for the first time since December of 1941, the United states is not engaged in a war, hot or cold. Throughout history, at the close of prolonged and costly wars, victors have confronted the problem of securing a new basis for peace and prosperity. The American people recognize that we stand at such a watershed. We sense the epic changes at work in the world and in the economy, the uneasiness that stirs the democracies who served as our partners in the long struggle. We feel the uneasiness in our own homes, our own communities; and we see the difficulties of our neighbors and friends who have felt change most directly. And we know that while we face an era of great opportunity, we face great risks as well -- if we fail to make the right choices, if we fail to engage this new world wisely. But America has always possessed unique powers, and foremost among them is the power of regeneration -- to transform MORE uncertainty into opportunity. only in America do we have the people, the talents, the principles and ideals to fully embrace the world that opens before us. For America to be safe and strong, we must meet the defining challenge of the 1990s: to win the economic competition -- to win the peace. We must be a military superpower, an economic superpower, and an export superpower. My agenda for renewal asks that we look forward -- to open new markets, prepare our people to work, strengthen our families, save and invest so that we can win. Our renewal depends on economic growth -- but growth not for the few at the expense of the many, not for the present at the expense of the future. In our country we've always prized an entrepreneurial capitalism that grows from the bottom up, not the top down; a prosperity that begins on Main street and extends to Wall Street -- not the other way around. That's the lesson I learned as a young man, packed up a Studebaker and moved to Texas after another war, at the start of another era. I saw jobs, prosperity -- an entire future -- built with the hands of ordinary men and women with extraordinary dreams. our nation has never been seduced by the mirage that my opponent offers -- of a government that accumulates capital by taxing it and borrowing it from the people -- and then redistributing it according to some industrial policy. We know that the clumsy hand of government is no match for the uplifting hand of the marketplace. My international economic and trade strategy will guarantee our position as an export superpower, extending our global economic reach in tandem with our security presence -- to stretch beyond our borders so that we can create more jobs within our borders. At the same time, we need to foster at home the capabilities that will keep us in the lead: radical changes in our education system to prepare our children for a constantly changing workplace; incentives for the entrepreneurs and new technologies to sharpen our competitive edge; job training, health care reform, to promote the economic security of our working men and women; and new approaches for reaching out to those who have been left behind, since in the century ahead we will need the talent and the energy of every single American. And finally, because our greatest strengths flow not from government but from the personal initiative of free men and women, my agenda aims to check the growth of government, and, in some important ways, to reverse it. Together, the components of this new agenda should renew America according to her most cherished principles. And this renewed America will be empowered toward a grand goal: to nearly double the size of our economy, to S10 trillion, by the early years of the next century. To place this agenda in a larger context, let me turn briefly to five profound changes now at work in our economy. when Americans gather around the kitchen table at night and talk about how they'll meet a mortgage, or pay the doctor's bill, they're feeling these changes in their daily lives. And before the changes have run their course, they will have forever altered the way Americans buy and sell, work and create. The first great change in our economy is ironically caused by our very success in ending the Cold War. In the short run, deductions in defense spending have meant painful lay-offs in MORE - 3 - many industries, and we are taking steps to ease this transition. But in the medium and long run, deductions in defense spending will free up priceless skills and technologies for peacetime growth. second, most of our industries are transforming themselves from old-style hierarchies into flatter organizations, with fewer layers between customer and executive. The new organizations emphasize a skill-based workforce, "lean production," and shorter production cycles. From castings to computers, this is a revolution as dramatic as the one made earlier this century, when Henry Ford led the country from craft-based production to mass manufacturing. While these changes are essential to maintaining our competitive edge, they've come with a cost; everyone in this room knows that -- lay-offs, cutbacks among both white- and blue-collar workers. These hard-working people need reassurance -- not only about their economic security, but about preserving the sense of self-worth that only work can provide. The third change: While the 1980s brought us the greatest peacetime expansion in our history, the boom also led too many of us to take on too much debt. We have been paying that down, that debt -- and lower interest rates have helped us do it. The process is largely over, but consumers and companies remain cautious. The fourth change involves our financial system. We entered the '80s with a 50-year-old banking system, designed for the days when tellers wore green eye-shades, not for an era when billions -- billions of investment dollars can cross borders at the speed of light. In the late '70s, record interest rates and inflation rates rocked this anachronistic system. The less efficient institutions could not survive, obligating the federal government to protect the savings of millions of Americans. Now, this process of paying debt down is nearing its end. Our financial system will become more flexible and efficient. But for now, lenders are cautious and, despite low interest rates, small business still can find it hard to get the credit. But the most far-reaching of these five changes is the emergence of a global economy. No nation is an island today. one out of every six manufacturing jobs is directly tied to exports. The crops sown from one out of every three acres of farmland are sold abroad. Consider some implications of the global economy: when growth slows abroad, as it has recently, our own growth slows as well. And America will only grow in the next century if we can compete globally -- in every part of the world. so we must seize every opportunity to open new markets, particularly those with the greatest potential for expansion. Now, in drafting an agenda for America's future, we had to assess our strengths as well as our weaknesses. Conveniently, the other side has discovered many weaknesses and very few strengths. And, of course, they might find temporary political gain in portraying an America as past her prime, over the hill. But they have no more right to argue, for partisan purposes, that our economy is weaker than it is, than I have to understate our problems. Our strengths are real. Now, here are some facts. The Misery Index -- the sum of inflation and unemployment -- is 10.8 percent, down from 19.6 Percent in 1980. Inflation stands at about three percent. Interest rates are at a 20-year low. The purchasing power of Americans gives us the highest standard of living in the world. We enjoy the highest home ownership rate of all major industrialized countries. And we send 68 percent of our MORE - 4 - children on to higher education -- more than any other country -- and well above Germany's 32 percent and Japan's 30 percent. And with 5 percent of the world's population, we produce 25 percent of the world's total output -- and 37 percent of its high-tech products. Now, I don't mean to suggest that all is well -- that we don't need to lead and manage the changes that are transforming our economy. But you can't chart the stars if you think the sky is falling down. Over the past 12 years we have almost doubled the size of our economy. It's as if we'd created two extra economies the size of Germany's from scratch. And how will we meet our goals? Before you hear the specifics of this agenda, let me tell you a little bit about what I believe -- because change, if it is to be a force for good, must be guided by principles. And the principles that must guide change are the principles that never change. I believe we are a nation of special individuals, not special interests. Individuals draw their enduring strength from their families, from their neighbors and communities, not from the government. So I believe we must never ask government to do what families and neighbors and individuals can better do for themselves -- and for one another. I believe -- because I've seen it -- economic growth comes from the small businesswoman who takes a risk on a new product, from the computer hacker working in a garage, in a cluttered way; from the merit scholar in South L.A., South Central L.A. with a future as big as his dreams. And I believe government owes it to them, and to you, to keep tax rates low and make them even lower; to keep money sound; to limit government spending and regulations; and to open the way for greater competition, and freer trade. But I do not believe, as some might, that government's obligation ends there. As a conservative I believe that government can help people -- offer them hope and opportunity -- by giving them the means and the confidence to make the decisions that matter in life. My background has also prepared me for the task of bringing our foreign policies and our domestic policies together; to turn our strength as a world power to our advantage as an economic power; to match the security we feel militarily with the economic security that we must build at home. From now on, if America is to lead the world, we need a leader who knows the territory. MY agenda for American renewal calls for action on six interconnected fronts. There's no single cause of our present situation. There can be no single cure. The whole of our agenda will be -- must be -- greater than the sum of its parts. First, challenging the world. During the Cold War, we built a global security structure with military alliances across the Atlantic and the Pacific. And in the same way, the post-Cold War era requires a strategic economic and trade policy -- global in scope, and built on our foundation as an economic and export superpower. we are uniquely positioned to achieve this goal. As the largest fully integrated market in the world, we wield leverage with other countries that want access to our market. AS both a Pacific and a European power, we are tied to the largest and most rapidly growing economies across both oceans. And as the strongest nation in our hemisphere, we are looked to for leadership by free economies emerging from Chile all the way up to Mexico. MORE - 5 - The same holds true for the newly born economies of Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, where our values, our products, even our language, carry a unique appeal. In Moscow today, the lines at McDonald's are longer than the lines at Lenin's Tomb. The key to America's growth, expansion, and innovation has always been our openness to trade, investment, ideas, and people. AS this openness is at last being reciprocated around the world, we find ourselves again at a special advantage. The next steps in my strategic trade policy are to secure congressional approval of the North American Free Trade Agreement and to complete the global trade negotiations, the GATT round, creating high-wage American jobs and expanding the pool of customers hungry for the fruits of American labor. Let me emphasize: these agreements are steps, not ends in themselves. And 50 I want to announce today that it is my goal to develop a strategic network of free trade agreements -- with Latin America; with Poland, Hungary and Czechoslovakia; and with countries across the Pacific. And then, as these external barriers fall, I believe we can help reduce internal barriers to competition as well -- in North America, Western Europe, Japan, and elsewhere. Greater competition will encourage entrepreneurial capitalism at the expense of government power and entrenched interests, spurring unprecedented economic growth. Traveling around the country I've seen it happen already -- particularly in some small businesses, as they strengthen themselves for international competition. A couple of weeks ago, in st. Louis, I visited Public Safety Equipment -- they're a company -- they make the light-bars that you've seen on police cars. The president of Public safety told me that a few years ago, they recognized they could no longer just sell their products in 50 states, leave it at that. And so they took on the world. And now 35 percent of what they make is sold in 48 countries, creating good jobs right here in the United States of America. Public Safety, and the hundreds of thousands of companies like it, offer a glimpse into the future I see for all American business. But a business is only as efficient. as resilient as innovative, as the people who keep its books and build its products and devise its strategy. Materials, machines, methods -- they'll come and go, but the American worker will remain the key to our economic security. That brings me, then, to the second part of our agenda: preparing our children. The workplace of the 21st century will be constantly changing. I've heard that from many businesspeople sitting right here at the tables in this hall. We must prepare the American people for a lifetime of learning, to keep a step ahead of that process of change. Now, developed nations need developing minds. The burden will fall on our educational system. As in the past, education should be the ladder that children can climb to better themselves. our current school system is not up to the task. Designed for the 19th century, it will collapse under the weight of the 21st. And our educational establishment is caught in the same time warp, where standing still means falling behind. Money alone is not the answer -- the United states already spends more per pupil than any other country but Switzerland. The answer is a radical overhaul of the system itself. If we want to change our country, we've got to change our schools. The catalyst for change -- the one reform that drives all others -- is school choice, giving children scholarships so that MORE - 6 - all parents have the freedom to choose which schools will best serve their children. Competition is the principle that must underlie education reform, to break the establishment's monopoly on the system. And competition will not work unless parents are allowed to choose their children's schools -- whether it's the public school across town or the parochial school across the street. (Applause.) Consider just one statistic: in Chicago, 46 percent of public school teachers send their children to private schools. Clearly they know something about monopoly education that my opponent doesn't. Our different approaches to education reform reveal the grand canyon that divides me and my opponent. You see the same contrast in child care, or health care, and a host of other issues. My opponent prefers uniformity to variety and choice, relying on these government bureaucracies to offer "one-size-fits-all service." I don't want to pull everyone down to make everyone equal. I want to give everyone the tools to climb as high as they can dream. Even as we fix our schools, the question remains: Will there be good jobs for the kids? And that's the third part of my agenda: sharpening businesses' competitive edge. I learned my economics the way most of you did -- a lot of late nights sweating over a balance sheet, or P & L statement, trying to meet a payroll. And I saw that if people are allowed to keep more of what they produce, they will produce more. It's common sense. When capital is taxed lightly, there's more of it. And when it is taxed heavily, it becomes scarce -- available only to those who are already wealthy, who need it least of all. That's not the kind of economy that I want. And if capital were more abundant, labor would be more in demand, wages would rise, unemployment lines would shrink. That is the kind of economy that I want. And that's why I want enterprise zones in our inner cities and in our rural areas. That's why I want to make this research and development, this R & D tax credit permanent. And that's why I want to cut the capital gains tax and index it for inflation. (Applause.) Those are the fundamentals. I also see three other ways to sharpen the competitive edge of American business: -- first, strengthening small business, by cutting taxes, making sure that credit is available, and by lifting the deadweight of government regulation; -- second, supporting civilian R & D, by bringing the development, production and marketing of technology closer to the consumer; -- and third, reforming our legal system. Every year American business and consumers spend up to $200 billion just in direct costs to lawyers -- far more than our competitors in Japan and Europe. And my product liability reform and access to justice act will restore rationality to the system and stop undermining the American worker. (Applause.) This is a fact: We w1ll never lead the world in the 21st century until we learn to sue each other less and care for each other more. (Applause.) The fourth part of my agenda: promoting economic security -- for working men and women. Again, common sense shows the way: true security will come only by developing individual capability, not dependency. And government. that independence, in turn, comes through the private sector, not the MORE - 7 - Government's role will be to ease individuals' adjustment to a. fast-changing marketplace. The average worker today will change jobs, it's estimated, 10 times over the course of his or her working life. so we need a wider and more flexible range of job training and placement services -- for both the young and old, the blue and white-collar worker, and now especially for our workers from the defense industries. Pensions must be portable -- and health care must be affordable. Our health care system today, I think everyone here would agree. provides the best care, but at an unacceptable price. More than thirty million Americans have no health insurance. Health care costs are the fastest-rising part of our budget for government, businesses, and yes. families. My reforms get to the base of these problems while preserving and building on our system's strengths -- our state-of- the-art care, openness to innovation, and consumer choice. Taken together, my reforms cut health care costs by S394 billion over five years. My opponent's plan could eventually place a full 13 percent of our economy under the control of the federal government -- meaning more bureaucracy, rationed care, inefficient service and, in the end, higher costs. We must enhance competition and market forces, not restrict them; we must preserve individual choice, not hand decision- making over to centralized bureaucracies; we must reduce the burden on employers and employees, not bury them in a tide of new taxes and government regulations. (Applause.) The programs I've outlined and that are detailed in this agenda are based on the principles that will empower all Americans to make their own choices and better their lives. But I believe we need to do more for some of our citizens who have been left behind. And that is the fifth component of this agenda: leaving no one behind. The American Dream is nothing more than the belief that all Americans can make a better life for their children. The dream has made us the most dynamic society in the world; it's yet another strength we can draw upon for the challenge ahead. And so we must give every American a shot at making good on the dream. And I reject the shopworn logic that sees poverty as a simple lack of income -- a kind of economic shortfall that can be replaced with a government check. A conservative philosophy of empowerment must have at its foundation the creation of character, through the ownership of property, through the dignity of work. That means sweeping away the nightmare of crime from our cities, building a core of property owners, creating business incentives, and making individual discipline and self-reliance the goal of all of our programs I call the final component of my agenda -- "rightsizing government." You'll recognize that I take the term from the business world -- which has a lot to teach those of us in government. At a. time when companies across the country have been restructuring, increasing efficiency -- all to prepare for the economic competition of tomorrow -- the federal government faces an obligation to do the same. (Applause.) Today the federal government spends nearly twenty-four cents of every dollar -- twenty-four cents of every dollar of the nation's income. And that's the fact: government is too big and MORE - 8 - spends too much. The size and structure of government are relics of a different age -- artifacts more suited to the dilemmas of 50 years ago than the problems of today. Every institution in our society has learned that by pushing power down through organizations, by using technology to speed the flow of information, you don't just save money, you improve productivity. It's time for the government to do the same. I will streamline government -- consolidating agencies, tightening budgets, and cutting the salaries of highly paid federal employees. And I'll start by cutting the White House budget 33 percent if the Congress cuts its own budget by the same amount. (Applause.) You might say: Why the linkage? well, with fewer congressional staff badgering us for endless reports and endless visits to Capitol Hill, I know we can cut costs by that amount. (Applause.) And I'll cut the salaries of all federal employees earning more than $75, by 5 percent. Taxpayers have tightened their belts. The better-paid federal workers should do the same. The agenda I publish today contains specific proposals to cut the fat: a cap on the growth in mandatory spending -- without touching social security -- and a freeze on domestic spending; a balanced budget amendment, a line-item veto -- (applause) -- and a new mechanism -- disciplinary mechanism -- a check-off box on tax returns to give the taxpayer the power to cut the deficit. I will fight to reduce spending and spur growth so we can get this budget in balance. And unlike my opponent, I do not believe the American people are undertaxed. Quite the opposite: I am committed to cutting taxes across the board. And let me offer an example -- this is just an example -- as an illustration of what we could do: My cap on the growth of mandatory spending allows for population growth and inflation. It specifically exempts Social Security. But that cap alone, with those caveats, would save about $300 billion over five years. If we used just s130 billion in specific spending cuts that J. have already proposed -- specific spending cuts of $130 billion that I have already proposed -- we could cut income tax rates by one percentage point across the board; reduce the small business tax rate from 15 percent to 10 percent, and reduce the tax on capital gains. That's the direction that I want to go: tax less, spend less, cut the deficit, and redirect our current spending to serve the interests of all Americans. I honestly believe that this is the way -- the only way -- to control the size of the federal government. The facts are painful, but plain: For congressmen, spending is power. And they will exercise that power until they have spent every last dime they can squeeze from the working men and women of America. And it's as simple as this: raising taxes won't cut the deficit. Here, then, is my agenda for American renewal. It comes at a time unique in our history, a turning point, a moment when one era is passing away and another is being born. In the agenda published today, you'll find 13 proposals that I intend to achieve in the first year of my second term. H present them as a single program, a unified strategy to make. change work for America. over the last three years I've shown how America can change the world; and we've made a respectable start managing the change at home. Our primary task now is to target America. I intend to fight for this agenda, to fight as hard as I can. with a new Congress that can have as many as 150 new members, I am optimistic. If congress balks, will move forward anyway -- just as I have done with education, regulatory and welfare reform. I'll work with our great governors, like John Engler, with the state and local governments, with the private sector -- with anyone who shares the urge to renew our country. The American people know that the events of recent years have shaken the world. with the close of the Cold War we can achieve peace, prosperity and promise at home. The American people want that. The American people deserve that. And I want America to seize this moment. I want to stimulate entrepreneurial capitalism, not punish it; I want to empower people to make their own choices, not yoke them to new bureaucracies. I want a government that spends less, regulates less, and taxes less. And I will fight without hesitation for a free flow of trade and capital and ideas around the world -- because Americans never retreat -- we always compete. (Applause.) My agenda draws together our people and our government to meet this challenge. We will create a $10-trillion economy. And we will renew America. And we will win the peace. (Applause.) I know that times have been very, very difficult for many Americans. The world that we knew as children -- no matter your age -- will never be the same. America will change -- that's our destiny; how it will change will soon be decided. I ask, as you consider the choice that you face, to consider carefully whose agenda for change best fits America's principles, our national experience, and our hopes for lasting peace and prosperity. Thank you for your attention. And may God bless our great country. Thank you. (Applause.) END 1:40 P.M. EDT (Will need a brief introduction that explains & highlights the paper) DRAFT #2 I. Context: Four Changes Underway Our economy is undergoing the greatest change since the We are going through a period of profound change in Industrial Revolution. Like allnevolutions, this one has its our economy, and I know change can be difficult, casualti immocent victims caught in cross -hains of change. particularly for those who feel its effects most We will take came of our own. But out of the nubble of directly. the old economy, a new one will rise. Stronger, smarter and ready to take on the world. Our economy has been working through four adjustments. They establish the context for my agenda. First, during the 1980s, we enjoyed the longest peacetime expansion in U.S. history, lasting seven and JDFoster CEA a half years. Through these years of strong growth, we 5084 OVER 21 created 10 million jobs, more than all the new jobs in the other major industrial countries and the rest of western Europe combined. Yet the boom that wiped also a p6 the dismal economic performance of the late 70's led latest PAYMENTS CRIGAGE more chaft[CEA] many more companies, too more many financial institutions, too many more all ready eager and ? governments and too many households to take on too much debt. willing, to take on more debt. You and they have been paying down that debt over CEA suggests the last three years -- and lower interest rates have bracketed eliminating language-- helped you do it. Millions of people have refinanced or else just make CEA: homes at lower rates, reducing mortgage payments by as it "the last Avg. for all home sales $1,200 TO $ 1,500 THESE FIGURES REPLECT THE POPULATION year in us, annual much as $1,500 to $2,000 a year. (Check) (Companies have mortgage reduction from 1990 1992 July BRADY : 2,000 - 2,500 POLEMICAL TRUE, BUT For WE THINK TITIS is LOW EXPENSIVE HOUSES BOSKIN'S COMPROMISE: "BY AS MUCH AS. 4 2 restructured paid down debt, and strengthened their JDFoster CEA balance sheets, positioning themselves to enjoy 5084 substantial profits when stronger growth resumes. This process will leave our economy leaner and more powerful; indeed many firms already are. But while that debt was being paid down, people bought fewer goods and companies put less money into new investments and jobs. The process is largely over, but it has left consumers and companies cautious. " Second, we entered the '80s with a banking system designed 50 years earlier; it was woefully out of place in an era when billions of dollars could be sent around German Embassy Uli Nitzchke 298-4230 the world in a matter of moments. To provide a basis of " comparison, consider that the United States 4,600 entered the CanadianEmbussy 14,000 Guy St. Jacques 1980s with some 9,000 commercial banks and 3,500 11 CHARTER savings BANKS AND KINANCIALPOLIC 301 ) 530 - 1548 SECTOR, DEPT OF 148 TRUSTAND LOANS FINANCE, OTIOUA and loans. Check. In comparison, Canada had / (end of 81) 5,355 COMMERCIAL BANKS Germany had 20 STL'S (D/STINCTION Japan 15 BLURRED had 86 80 The vast 13 citionly . RUSS DEMMING 7 trant JAPAN DESK, STATE majority of those small banks and S&Ls operated in a bales 647-3152 Breg. eral heavily controlled environment where their costs of funds 3 longton credit were limited by ceilings on your passbook accounts. Other regulations restricted competition by imposing costs and inefficiencies on savers and borrowers. In the late '70s, this out-of-date system was 11 buffeted by record interest and inflation rates; it was challenged by competition from new financial services. As in any other line of business, the less efficient 3 institutions could not survive. But because our banks JD Foster and S&Ls held insured deposit accounts for most CEA 5084 hardworking Americans, the streamlining process had to be managed in a way that enabled the Government to protect savers. This process, too, is nearing its end. It will leave us with a more competitive and efficient financial system that will serve companies and families better. Over the next few years, the United States Government will actually gain revenues from the sales of billions of dollars of assets that it acquired as it protected savers. But this process has left lenders cautious. Business borrowing rates and mortgage rates are way down, but it's still too hard for small businesses to gain access to credit. The third great change in our economy is ironically due to our very success in ending the Cold War. Since our superpower rival of the last half century has disappeared, we are now able to do something we have all hoped for since the close of World War II -- reduce significantly our defense budget. In the medium and long run, reductions in defense spending will free up many new resources for our people and our economy. In the short run, this adjustment has meant cutbacks and lay-offs in many industries that have depended on defense spending. 4 The final economic change is perhaps the most profound of all: No nation is an island today we are part of a global economy. To grow is to trade; to expand MANUFACTURE INC JOES Dave walters USTR, 3583 is to compete. One 1 out of every six^in our economy depends directly on our exports; so does one acre out of USDA keithcollins ERS every three planted by American farmers. Check. 720-5955 This international economic influence has three slumps it drags implications. One, when growth is slow abroad, as it is down with it today, our economy is slowed, too. Two, it means that if America is going to be strong and growing in the 21st Century, we must be ready prepared and able to compete around the globe. Three, we need to seize opportunities to develop new markets, particularly in areas that have potential for significant growth in the future. II. Start with Strengths In developing a plan for the future, it is important take a clean eyed look at our weakness wellas that we assess fairly our strengths. as well as the conveniently problems. Not surprisingly, the other side has skipped over the United States' numerous strengths. Frankly, over the will to past her they want you to believe America is in a state of prime. decline. But they have no more right to convince you the economy is worse than it is for political advantage than I have to sugarcoat the problems. So we need to make at 5 least a brief survey of some of the foundation stones on which we will build. Let's start with some of the key economic indicators: Inflation has fallen to roughly 3%, the lowest JD Foster CEA *5084 in a quarter of a century (except for 1986). In fact, during my administration, inflation averaged less than half the inflation during the Carter years. Interest rates are at a 20 year low. In particular, mortgage rates are now in the 8% range, half the rate President Reagan TREASURY SAY5'76 encountered in his first year. Thanks to these low rates, more people can afford to own a home TREASURY today than in any time since 1973. 2(00DAY) 1227 fant (4th WEUSED Housing affordability 123. / (DEC, 76 ) 91) INDEXOF NAR BLS While unemployment is still far too high, the 192 61.5 '91 '90 62.7 61.6 =MAYBE share of the working age population with jobs 2 189 63.0 THEY HADDIFPERENT during my administration has averaged 62.3%, WDEX the highest in U.S. history. Indeed, the OR MAYBE average unemployment rate during my term has THEY WERE USING remained below the average of the Carter years A MONTH and puts us well ahead of G-7 partners like last # WHILE WHO LE on Italy WE WERE Canada, Britain, France, and Italy -- where is 7.0% USING unemployment rates are 10% or higher. 1.10 SANNUALS latest draft. [CE4] FFORD ABILITY 6 JD Foster CEA The Misery Index -- the sum of 10.8% inflation and 5084 unemployment -- is down to 10.4% today from 19.6% in 1980. The rise in United States GDP during our ALONE long X expansion was $1.1 trillion. This increase is greater than the total size of the German economy. These macroeconomic statistics translate into real improvements for individuals, too: Average family income reached $42,652 in 1990, $15,000 more than before the expansion began. A recent study by the Urban Institute (June' 92, Policy Bites concluded: "When one follows individuals rather "Is U.S. Income Ineguality than statistical groups defined by income, one ReallyGnowing Isabel finds that, on average, the rich got a little Sawhillt Mark richer and the poor got much richer." "This Conclen pattern, however, may be surprising to the general public which has been led to believe that the poor were literally getting poorer over the last decade or two, and that the 7 THIS incomes of the rich were skyrocketing. That X is simply not true." PETER TAYLOR, CHIEF ECONOMIST, O of the people making up the lowest fifth of the MINORITY STAFF, BUDGET COMMITTEE x224-0566 CHE USED TO WORK AT income distribution in the late 1970s, more (EA). HE SAYS THAT A TREASURY STUDY SHOWS THAT 86% OF THE than half moved out of the lowest fifth and up LOWEST 5TH PERCENTILE MOVED up. THE URBAN INSTITUTE STUDY SHOWS the income ladder over the next ten years. THAT 47% MOVED UP. SPLITTING THE DIFFERENCE, IT'S PROBABLY During the X expansion, the X middle class shrank JDFoster CEA FAIR SAY THAT WELL X 5084 OVER 1/2 TO OF THAT PERCENTILE because more of them moved above the $50,000 MOVED OUT & UP. threshold and into the high income groups -- they weren't moving down. Real X per capita income rose 15.7% during the '80s. {Consider a substitute statistic} All major demographic groups shared in X the economic growth. Between 1982 and 1991, employment of Blacks was up 29% and Hispanics 52%, The employment-to-population ratio for Black Americans during my tenure has averaged a X record 55.7%, up significantly from 52.8% during the Carter years. The United States has the highest home ownership rate of all major industrialized countries: More than 64% of households own 66% of households own homes 59% NATIONAL yes 8 consus Juliane Esan E Uli Nietchke German their own homes, as compared with 61% in Japan Statistical yearbook Empassy 40% German Desk, Bonn and 39% in Germany. "STUDENTS"? THESE ARE 20-24 YR. OLDS, SOME EVEN OLDER. 68% 1990 1988 UNESCO R CENSUS AGES 18-24 The U.S. sends 60% of its children on to higher X STATISTICAL YEARBOOK X [62%] PER EMERSON (ENROUMENT) ECCION, COMMISSIONER, education, second X only to Canada, and well NATIONAL CENTER FOR A above the 32% rate, in Germany X and 30% in X Japan. x EDUCATION SNANSTICS. 52[51.7] [51.7] X % OF GRADUATING ORGANIZATION OF ECONOMIC And 51% of these U.S. students are women, as CLASS THAT COOPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT X 26 38 IS FEMALE. 1987 TABLE compared with 38% in Japan and 26% in Germany. Since X 1980: x life x expectancy has increased from X x O to 75.4 Hanns Kuttner, X to 75.3 years; the infant mortality x rate A to 12.6 per per Nat'l Ctr.for Health 73.7 X x 12.6 9.1 x live has dropped from 12 to 10.1 for 1,000 A to Statistics 9.1 per Hanns Ku B ther,OPD births; x deaths from X heart diseases have dropped (1990#) also per Nat'l ctr.for H.S. (155.9) A to 156 per Hanns Kutiner, OPD from 23% 202 X X to X 166 156 per X hundred thousand people, (1989#5, mostrecent) an X 18% decline; deaths from strokes and related X A to 28.0 per Hanns Kuttner, DPD diseases X have dropped X from X 40.8 to 29.7 per 28.0 (1989 #S, most recent) X 31% hundred thousand people, a 27% decline. While special interest groups release streams of stories about the supposedly unmet demands of their favorite groups, the facts demonstrate that the Government is already committed to sensible investment in the future of our people: Gup make sur 93 9 x Our 1993 Budget request for Childrens' Programs list from Hanns Kuttner, OPD reflects an increase of 66% since 1989; we aT approved by ALL Hanns Kuttner C recommended funding of $100 billion for health cave WIC programs assisting children in support Food stamps foster care Head Start child care & other govt. programs okay per Digest of (DoEd) Ed. Stats. o From 1980 to 1991, Federal support for .350 Federal T. 336 Education increased 59%, to $54.6 billion. The all changes in this total volume of guaranteed student loans grew funding for qt per BobGrady (OMB) D from $4.6 $1.4 billion in 1980 to $11.5 billion in $4.2 (#s from Digest 200% of Edu cational (DoEd) Statistics 1991 -- an increase of almost 150%. During the 1980s, expenditures per student in public elementary and secondary X schools 85% rose -7# A per Digest of Education Statistics (DoEd) from $2,502 to $4,639 $5,266, an increase of 110%. P.156 E Remarks The United States is spending more per pupil G1 Announcy Bill For T.159 Children than any other country except Switzerland. BRUNO MANNO ASST. SEC FOR POLICY, DEPT. OF EDUC, 1992 Federal investments in biomedical research X have EDUCATION CONDITION OF A to 10.6 per almost tripled since 1980, reaching a level of Barry Clendenin OMB (x4926) F 10.6 X $9.4 billion in 1993. X Since 1989, we have increased AIDS research funding by X 39%, X to over X $1.2 billion dollars; X 38% X G AIDS prevention funding by 29% to $621 D to 38% per Hanns Kutther MOPD (x6563) million;, and X AIDS treatment funding by 240% X X to $2.5 billion. 10 Total public investment in infrastructure in Okay per (366-1103) Michael Jackson, CoSDOT the 1980s grew 2.2% annually, roughly equal to and Cathy Collms (366-4594) the growth of the 1960s and greater than the Kate Moore DOT budget (366-9191) examiners growth of the 1970s. is THIS REAL OR okay per Kate Moore (DOT budget Since 1989, Federal spending for infrastructure exammer) and morethan (6.37%) 5/92 CBOreport. has increased at a nominal average of 16% annuálly. And I signed into law a Surface Transportation Act that will support DOT approximately OVER one million jobs per year while FHWA strengthening our road, rail, and air transport systems. CHECK -related activities X OMB Spending on Federal law enforcement has grown Ron Jones from $4.3 8 billion in 1981 to an estimated $15.8 X 4 3914 X billion in 1993. This has paralleled a Paul McNulty 22.7% INCREASE (DOJ/UCR Policy/CommDOJ dramatic 22% decrease in the national crime (H) 703-425-3460 DOJ strongly suggests we do NOT (w) 514-2000 use these numbers because rate over the same period: Justice Dept. INCREASED 17.4% PER 100,000 QThe National Crime Victimization Gene Scalia -- Rape decreased 33% is a random "door "todor" Reports from which they come INCREASED 5.4% " 514-2291 -- Robbery was down 24% survey. The FBY Uniform Crime report INCREASED BY 49.5%" has the numbers used by -- Assaults fell by 14% law enforcement efficials +the BOB MCHOLL INCREASED 28% " DOJ.Thy consist of crimes FBI, UNCR 324-3444 -- Theft was down 25% 3 The FBI UCR is mere recent than reported tothe police the National Crime Victimization User Services Unit, chief (81-91] Reports. The good news is Vickle Major NIDA -50150 According to the National Institute on Drugthat dramatically we have decreased Pat Ross Abuse, the number of Americans using illicit the growth (301) 443 - 6637 CuRRent use of any illicit drug nate of crime. In among Americans 12 and OVER the 60's 4 the crime rate was 150%. In The '80's 7015 the average yearly increase in the average yearly increase loured to 30% 11 3 45% NIDA drugs dropped 10.8 million, or roughly 30%, Pat Ross between 1985 and 1991. Our National Drug (301) 443-6637 Control Strategy helped cut overall drug use ONDCP MR. Schicter by 13% and adolescent use by 27%. 467-9800 high priority (budget wording The Federal budget for environmental programs Ren Cosswell more than doubled since we took office. And x4586 we have proposed a 22% increase -- an added $3.4 billion -- for 1993. The U.S. currently spends more on pollution Ron Cogswell and protecting the environment x4586 control than any other country in the world, devoting at OVER least $115 billion annually, worth N 2% of our GDP. That's why during the past two EDIT: instead of wit Fact 6/1/92 pl4 decades: the passive Sheet "is down on UNCED Note: annual -- Lead pollution is down 96% "have cut " Report Summit lead emmissions ["emmission might are down 96% below Carbon monoxide poisoning is down 41% seem more those of ONE decade ago BUT STAT ALSO PPLIES FOR 70- 90 6Gorden Binder Chief EPA active. Godard Speech -- Water pollution {suspended solids} 6/1/92 staff) is down 80% ["emmissions"] -- Sulphur dioxide pollution US Actions for Environment a Better {contributes to acid rain} is down 25% "Targets Set BY With the new Clean Air Act, which I promised " yes, if you (one of his 3 First Prioritiesin in 1988 that we would achieve, we will cut acid George Bush mean sulpher dioxide rain emissions in half, reduce smog in our emmissions US Actions 12 Better Environt cities, and cut air toxic emissions by 75%. ii. He didn't By pressing for and achieving the Americans promise with Disabilities Act, another promise from specific legislation, 1988, we will bring 43 million disabled "merinstreary" only the Shines Sanchez OPL Americans into the economic mainstream. of our disabled Together, our macroeconomic performance, our people, and our Government has put the United States on a path to be the export superpower that it must be to succeed in the 21st Century: confusing because 1st # is a LEVEL not an INCREASE 622.1 X pll Dave Walters With exports of $ 000 billion, the U.S. is latest EXPORTS VSTR draft 3583 world's largest exporting nation. One quar CUSTR] July 92 Survey of current of that increase in exports has been 2nd Business, quanter accomplished during my Administration. TEXPORTS HAVE INCREASED DURING TREAS URY SAYS CONSTANT DOLLARS? ADMIN. 40% EXPORTS OF GOODS + SERVICES 35% <'91 RATHER IN NOMINAL DOLLARS FROM 188 2nd YM42 THAN 192 10.6% THE X INCREASE ANNUAL RATE) Today U.S. exports amount to % of our IN EXPORTS MISLEADING BECAUSE IT REPRESENTS WAS 10.5 IN 80 + country's output, up from 8.5% at the beginning OVER A IN 1982. QUARTER OF 10.6 IN '81 THE REAL TURNAROUND of the 1980s. TOTAL CURRENT IN EXPORTS BEGAN IN '86 EXPORTS, TROUGH AT 7.5%. YOU COULD USE THAT FIGURE All major categories of exports gained during 6R TAKE "AT THE START OF MY ADMIN. my term. Exports of industrial supplies IT WAS 9.1% increased by 20%, 22 capital goods by 58%, 45 National Incomet 36 78 TABLE 1.1, JULY '92 SURVEY OR automotive by 37%, consumer goods by 99%, and Product CURRNT BUSINESS SHOWS Accounts CURRNT DOLLAR EXPORT agriculture by 9.1% July 92 OF GOODS of services sarvy of AT 622.1 BILLION of cunnt DOLLARS IN 2nd 1/4 '92 Business CANNUAL RATE) COMPARON TO 88 EXPORT OF Go s OF 444.2 % 40.0 13 U.S. export growth under my leadership has been In Real Terms roughly twice the rate of the other G-7 ma latest pu 89'90917 chaft industrial countries. IMF world Economic [USTR] MANUFACTURING Outlook March 192 Dave We produce 25% of the world's total output with walters USTR 5% of the world's population. 3583 (89 Beak in buz cycle (22.6) The most recently avai lable data RATE OF CONSTANT In 1990, manufacturing accounted for 23% of 11 DOLLAR PRICE INFLATION REAL OR CONSTANT ROLLAR 15 MUC H low on w BASIS U.S. GDP -- achigher SLIGHTLY percentage than in a decade 1980. earlier MANUFAENRING -AT OR CLOSE to A PAIC OF MANUFACTURING PRODUCTIVITY (179) THE ARE USING NOMINAL DOLLARS peakin business 11 Manufacturing productivity rose during the enge (most '80's with the best performance since World War americans are concerned about were how producis, manycars how much II. medical equip, they clent care how the nices are going up or down. Nominal reflects more pice fluctrations Real reflects more volume. The productivity of American workers is This GDP per person 26% approximately above those in Germany and is important employed at because purchasing power 30 % above those in Japan. rate of inflat. parity exchange rates in 1990 from here is slower, so it seems LABOR (umpublished) My purpose in making this status report islike smaller % a definitely not to suggest either that all is well or that of 6DP) we do not need to manage the changes taking place in the Weire world and at home more actively. We do. dealy There are, however, three important observations we w/ can make based on this brief review of the record. One, a perception we're in a strong position internationally, but we're that itidectived, that country deindermalizing AIRCRAFT UP 70% It has dedined in same areas. But daubled others 14 going to need the national adaptability and capability to keep leading our competitors. Two, it is important to honestly recognize what we have accomplished over the past twelve years, so we can build on our strengths. courage of our Three, we must have the convictionsto say no to the wrong FALSE PROMISES sort of changes for the future -- changes based on false premises and changes we cannot afford at this key moment in the world economic competition. III. The Challenge: Given the changes that are taking place at home and abroad, we face a world of great opportunity. There are also still great risks if we fail to make the right choices, if we fail to engage, or if we fail to do so wisely. There is a disquiet in a number of countries around the world. And people at home are anxious, nervous about the future. It is vital for our nation to demonstrate its unique ability to transform anxiety, even anger, into regeneration. Only the United States has the people, the resources, the economic strength -- and especially the principles and ideals -- to pick up the challenge. For America to be secure and strong we must meet the defining challenge of the '90s: to win the economic competition -- to win the peace. 15 The United States must be a military superpower, an economic superpower, and an export superpower. Our approach to this future is to look forward -- to open new markets, prepare our people to compete, to restore our social fabric -- to save and invest -- so we can win. My opponent's vision is different. He talks about change, but as he goes from group to group, seeking to patch together their complaints about an America in transition. In an effort to protect what must be subject to change, he will burden us with a cost we cannot afford. IV. Guiding Principles: Before outlining the specifics of my agenda, I will set out four guiding principles. An effective strategy must be dynamic. As new problems or opportunities present themselves, we will need to make adjustments. Guiding principles can ensure consistency of direction and shape the nature of any supplementary actions. First, start with the basics: I believe America is composed of individuals, not special interests. The individual gains primary strength and protection from his or her family and community, not the legal system or government social services. People find their friends and their enjoyment in voluntary association with one 16 some 's paint by number dream. another, not in^ ^ bureaucratic rules and government programs reflecting some sociologist's conception of what society is supposed to look like. The individual, families, communities. That's where we start. Second, we have to keep to the fundamentals of sound economic growth: lower tax rates, limits on Government spending, greater competition, less economic regulation, and more open trade that can unleash tremendous private initiative and growth. Third, in the '90s Government can build on these fundamentals by offering opportunity and hope for individuals, families, and communities. There is a conservative agenda for helping people, for responding to their needs. We want to empower people to make their own choices, to break away from dependency. We want to give individuals and families economic security by giving them the means, the capabilities, and the confidence to decide for themselves. We want everyone to have a stake in society, to own property, so everyone will build something with it for themselves and our country. their?? Whereas our approach may place a premium on redistribution and "leveling," our programs will unleash initiative, reward success, and encourage excellence. Our approach is to give people the power to work, save, and be their best. 17 Finally, all our policies must be brought together effectively if we are to prosper as a people and succeed as a nation. America must have appropriate new approaches for the changes at home -- just as we've launched new policies to manage change abroad. We must concentrate on the interrelationship between domestic and foreign policy and between economic and security policy. At the same time, we must execute our agenda more effectively with a new Congress, state and local governments, and the private sector. Our aim must be to press our policies together, as a package, to make America secure and strong. V. A Strategic Trade Policy: During the Cold War, we built a global security structure to contain and counter the Soviet Union and communist aggression. We forced military alliances across the Atlantic and Pacific that underpinned that structure. In the post-Cold War era, we need a strategic trade and economic policy that will ensure our position as an economic and export superpower. We are well positioned to achieve this goal. We enjoy the largest fully integrated market in the world; this gives us leverage with other countries that want access to our market. Once the Congress enacts NAFTA, 18 our position will be further strengthened. NAFTA will open important markets, particularly a Mexican economy whose growth prospects will quickly transform its expanding industries and consumers into excellent American customers. Equally important, the integration of United States, Mexican, and Canadian capabilities will improve our global competitiveness by enabling American firms to efficiently source stages of production with our neighbors. Our geopolitical position is also advantageous. The Atlantic United States is both a Pacific and a European power; our political and security ties link us with the largest and most rapidly growing economies across both oceans. Our Dave watters USTR PAtlentic meaning trans-Pacific trade already exceeds our Atlantic trade; 3583 Europe not that's one reason why, in my first term, the United including Africa Jeyputs AND States helped launch the Asia-Pacific Economic imports Cooperation group to further strengthen our economic ties with that region. In addition, the countries in our own hemisphere, from Central America to Chile, are looking to strengthen their economic and trading ties with us as they move away from autarkic economic policies and toward free markets. The spirit of freedom -- in Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, and Latin America -- also offers us a special opportunity. Free people and free markets develop hand in hand. In these and other countries THIS ASSERTION TS SLIGHTLY PROBLEMATIC IN THAT IT APPEARS TD ENDORSE ONE INDUSTRY'S VERSION OF EVENTS. MPAA SAY'S ENTERTA INMENT is OUR 19 2ND LARGEST EXPORT BUSINESS THE TOURISM INDUSTRY ASSERTS THE SAME. THEIR ASSERTIONS ARE BASED 1 products, and around the g NOT ON OFFICIAL us STATS, BUT ON INDUSTRY FIGURES NOT ANALYZED ction. These the English FORCOMPUSITION. WE CAN DO IT, IF you LIKE, BUT BE AWARE THAT WE ARE mented by the political a CHOOSING OUR FACTS TO FIT OUR POSITION e world. This appeal of AI Today, our MPAA is a new THEY entertainment industry is the United States' second ARE THE largest export business. CHECK CULTURAL ELITE! Dave Watters -TOURISM POPS Finally, as the primary founder and the most USTR 3583 INTO MOST PEOPLE'S MINDS significant proponent of the GATT global trading system, we continue to have special influence if we act in ways that will truly open markets, including our own. The key to America's growth, expansion, and innovation has always been our openness to trade, investment, ideas, and people. Therefore, the next steps in my strategic trade policy are to secure Congressional agreement to NAFTA and to complete the global trade negotiations {the so called Uruguay Round negotiations in GATT}. Our NAFTA agreement will be excellent for American business, workers, and consumers. Nevertheless, I expect a difficult fight in the Congress in early 1993 because of those special interests who band together with a protectionist purpose. The global trade negotiations, in turn, could be very close to a breakthrough if the United States continues to act as a strong world leader. There is a proposed draft text that establishes the outlines of a significant 20 new GATT agreement. Once we assure cuts in the subsidized agricultural trade along the lines of that text -- to enable our farmers to secure their competitive advantage -- I believe we will be able to complete the overall agreement. An improved global trading system is, however, only a base for further trade liberalization. We need to start to develop a strategic network of FTAs across the Atlantic and the Pacific and in our own hemisphere. This network will stand in sharp contrast to the illogic of economic blocs. If we are to be a true export superpower, we cannot be tied down to one region. Instead, my intent is to use our attractive domestic market as the basis of a muscular trade policy for good ? that will strengthen America's global economic reach as a complemer : to our security presence. More specifically, I will need to secure from the Congress additional trade negotiating authority within the first half of 1993. To overcome the special interests and the protectionists, I will need a mandate from the American people. If we are to be an export and economic superpower, the President must take a strong stand on the negotiation of trade agreements. The Congress will presume vacillation as weakness, and the national interest will lose out to the logrolling 21 tradeoffs of Congressional business as usual. That's one very big issue at stake in this election. With new negotiating authority, I would pursue new trading opportunities in Latin America under my Enterprise for the Americas Initiative, starting with Chile. I would also like to work towards FTAs with Poland, Hungary, and Czechoslovakia by the end of my second term. And I would explore the possibility of a connection between NAFTA and the ASEAN FTA, or AFTA. It will not take long for other countries to begin to express their interest in new trade ties with us. For example, leaders in Australia and Korea have already spoken of their interest in forging closer economic ties. As we are developing this economic and trading structure for the 21st Century, I will vigorously safeguard and promote American trading interests. For example, I am committed to a sizable Export Enhancement Program {EEP} to ensure that our farmers can go head- to-head with the European Community subsidized agricultural exports. That's why I recently announced Bruce Blanton the largest quantity of wheat ever available under our AND AREAS USDA EEP program -- 30 million metric tons to 28 countries. [29.1] CUSTOMERS I will ensure that our ExIm bank and the Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC), work with teams of our ambassadors to develop trade and investment 22 X BobCassidy opportunities for U.S. firms. We've already begun this USTR 3430 with the six X ASEAN countries. I will particularly stress Jim Barg Exec. UP OPIC helping America's small businesspeople to develop pan trading 703/938-6436 opportunities. If we are going to [orient ] our economy towards exports and international economic competition, we can't just rely on our larger businesses. I have visited small factories all across the United States that first survived and then prospered by orienting themselves toward the new economic world. I know it can be done. 23 VI. Preparing Our Children In the 21st Century our primary national resource will be our people. Materials, machines, and methods will come and go, but the American worker will remain the key to our economic security. Since the workplace of the 21st Century will be constantly changing, we need to prepare the American people to adapt to and even lead the process of change. Therefore, our kids must arrive at school ready to grow, and they need schools where they will learn how to keep learning all their lives. Our New American Schools will help preparé our children to become the useful citizens of tomorrow. Equally important, we want to enhance children's sense of self-worth, their confidence, their sense of participation in a larger community and society. This is an example of what I mean when I talk about a conservative philosophy of empowerment, helping people to help themselves. Given my respect for all human life, I want to do my best to language 4 per help all children morethan come into funding the world X x as truly "created equal." Budget p.1-71 That's why x I am doubling spending for a Healthy Start initiative H that targets communities X with high infant mortality rates. We are also X increasing prenatal X care, nutrition services and substance abuse X treatment for pregnant women. Check. And I also want volunteers and families to get out the word that the behavior of parents is probably the most important contribution to infant health. 24 language per Budget p.1-72 We need especially to focus on the preschool years, so that A to 360% children coming to school are healthy and curious. Funding for Administrator, Betty Jo Nelsen, Nutrition Assistance Food the Women, Infants and (727mil.) Children (2.6bil) supp emental food program (WIC) Nutrition service I has grown 3478 257.6% between 1980 and 1992; my request for an DoAg 703- additional $240 million for 1993 brings the annual cost to $2.8 305- 2062 billion. I have X also increased funding for the Head stet Start program by 78% 127% for a total of $2.2 2.8 billion in X 1992. For 1993, I have x 1993 see other side proposed an additional $600 million increase -- an unprecedented J 27% jump in one year -- so that a year of Head Start will be available for every eligible four-year old whose parents want to participate. (Under my budget, FY1993 almost 800,000 children will receive a year of Head Start before entering elementary school.) Child immunizations are also X vital to safeguard kids' >ok per Hanns Kuttner, OPD health. Every year since 1981-82, X 95% or more of the children X entering elementary school x have been immunized against each of K the vaccine-preventable diseases. NOW we are focusing greater attention on preschool children. My 1993 budget calls for an 18% Language A per increase in child X immunization grants. Federal support for X activities. Budget P. 1-70 I want the United States to offer opportunity and encourage excellence; we must be fully capable of competing in a global economy. Therefore, it is imperative that our educational system prepare and point the way for our children. As in the past, education should be the ladder that the child of modest means can climb to better him or herself. Our current school system is not meeting these needs. Our educational establishment is caught in a sort of time warp, a The 127% increase applies only when including the additional $600 m increase. If we go from 1989 (1.235b) to 1992(2,2b) it is only a 78% increase. you need the full 2.8 to make it 127% Withdrawal/Redaction Sheet (George Bush Library) Document No. Subject/Title of Document Date Restriction Class. and Type 01. Draft Re: "Agenda for American Renewal"; redaction of telephone n.d. P-6, (b)(6) number. (1 pp.) Collection: Record Group: Bush Presidential Records Office: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Speech File, Backup Subseries: WHORM Cat.: File Location: Agenda for American Renewal Detroit Economic Club 9/10/92 [1] Date Closed: 12/4/2004 OA/ID Number: 07580 FOIA/SYS Case #: Re-review Case #: 2004-2265-S P-2/P-5 Review Case #: MR Case #: Appeal Case #: MR Disposition: Appeal Disposition: Disposition Date: Disposition Date: RESTRICTION CODES Presidential Records Act - [44 U.S.C. 2204(a)] Freedom of Information Act - [5 U.S.C. 552(b)] P-1 National Security Classified Information [(a)(1) of the PRA] (b)(1) National security classified information [(b)(1) of the FOIA] P-2 Relating to the appointment to Federal office [(a)(2) of the PRA] (b)(2) Release would disclose internal personnel rules and practices of an P-3 Release would violate a Federal statute [(a)(3) of the PRA] agency [(b)(2) of the FOIA] P-4 Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential commercial or (b)(3) Release would violate a Federal statute [(b)(3) of the FOIA] financial information [(a)(4) of the PRA] (b)(4) Release would disclose trade secrets or confidential or financial P-5 Release would disclose confidential advise between the President information [(b)(4) of the FOIA] and his advisors, or between such advisors [a)(5) of the PRA] (b)(6) Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of P-6 Release would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of personal privacy [(b)(6) of the FOIA] personal privacy [(a)(6) of the PRA] (b)(7) Release would disclose information compiled for law enforcement purposes [(b)(7) of the FOIA] C. Closed in accordance with restrictions contained in donor's deed of (b)(8) Release would disclose information concerning the regulation of gift. financial institutions [(b)(8) of the FOIA] (b)(9) Release would disclose geological or geophysical information 25 system created for another age when the needs were different, children grew up differently, and adults rarely changed jobs. STAT ALREADY Remarks annomy Money alone is not the answer -- the United States already USED G1 Bill for Children ON P.Q 6.25.92 spends more per pupil than any other country but Switzerland; 41 L Rae Nelson funding for the Education Department has increased 42% over my 7777 9 956 32.339 term. The answer is a radical overhaul of our educational DORT illion billion system. If we want to change our country, we've got to change our schools. first step X is to establish world-class standards for our X and secondary schools. We are moving ahead with the 3 development X of these standards in math, science, English, history, geography, arts, and civics. OK per perelson,977 Rae and Second, we need to use voluntary X national achievement tests to measure the progress of our students. That way we can compare the performance X X of different schools in helping our children achieve the national standards. Third, we need to give schools the flexibility to become educational entrepreneurs -- to figure out the best ways to motivate our children, use technology, bring parents in, and involve new types of teachers. We will create "Education Enterprise Zones." There is no particular reason why THREE schools have X resson Elliott, to end at 3 p.m. so that students can watch TV for five usidential Appointer to hours a day. We need to free school administrators and teachers me Natural Center for Education from rules, regulations, and reports that have become a poor Statistics. R6,(6)(6) substitute for student achievement; we can do away with tht red THE AVERAGE # OF tape once we institute a new testing system that evaluates tours of TV WATCHED 3y STUDENTS 153. schools on the basis of their performance, not their bureaucracy. HOWEVER, HIGH STATS ARE - 23% OF 9-YR-OLDS WATCH 6 OR MORE HOURS OF N. " - 17% or 17-YR-OLDS ANOTHER STAT: CHILDREN SPEND ONLY 9% OF THER THE IN SCHOOL SEE FILE, LEWISTON SPEECH Finally, we must give all parents the means and freedom to choose which schools will serve their children the best. This component is critical to the success of the whole, integrated overhaul of our educational system. Competition, the underlying principle for this radical reform, will not work unless we give consumers the ability to choose. Wealthy families already have this choice for their children. Many of the people that you saw at the Democratic National Convention have this choice for their children. Why shouldn't you have this choice for your children? One of the greatest educational innovations in this country was the passage of the GI Bill after World War II. No one told my generation that a vet couldn't go to Notre Dame or Brigham Young or Baylor or Howard or Yeshiva. So I want a "GI Bill for Children" to help give lower and anguage A per BQ92 issues office middle income families the means to select any school: public, factsheet. 0 private, or religious. I also want scholarships available to Rac be school vacation spent on after-school, Saturday and summer academic programs. Nelson/ We've already made significant progress in starting this JaneB radical reform agenda. Some 44 states, and over 1400 1700 # Asfrom LisaBarnes, Amzooo communities, have already endorsed adopted my new national education tracking P REVERSE 401-3000 America America2000. 2000. Check. Indeed, this progress offers a good example of TO END strategy ON A POSITIVE NOTE my commitment to pursue my agenda whether or not Congress dawdles. I will work with governors, state legislators, community officials, and the private sector if Congress balks. I hope the new Congress will not remain subservient to the educational establishment and special interests that want to resist this revolution. Because a new system of education in this country is probably the most important ingredient in making America the winning economic and export superpower in the post- cold war era. This must not only be my agenda, but yours, too. I will fight to give parents in America the right to choose the school your children will attend, but when you return from work, turn off the television, help your son or daughter with homework if you can, support your child's teacher who's trying to enforce discipline, join your local PTA, and support your children's schools. I put the family at the center of our society. I believe that parents are best able to make decisions about their children, that federal policies should support parents, that we should increase the range of choices available to parents, and that government assistance should be targeted to those families most in need. The other side may talk about similar problems, but they are approaching them with a fundamentally different ideology. You can see the contrast not only in education, but in health care or in the debate that took place over my Child Care proposal, which we enacted into law. The opposition prefers uniformity to variety and choice. Because they place a higher value on "leveling" society, they will tend to rely on government bureaucracies to offer "standard service." My approach to education, child care, health care, and other topics is to rely 20 on a diverse private sector to supply the service and to empower families to make their own choices. VII. Sharpening Our Competitive Edge Our ultimate success as an economic superpower is dependent on the performance of our private businesses. In addition to getting the fundamentals right my agenda focuses on three areas where we can sharpen America's competitive edge: -- strengthening small business; -- supporting civilian R&D linked to a research extension network; and -- reforming our costly legal system. A. strengthening Small Business Small business is the backbone of a growing economy. small businesses employ more than half the American workforce; they account for 39 percent of our GNP. Small business creates two- BQISSUES Book thirds of our new jobs. I am seeking to aid small businesses by reducing costly tax SBAthat's and Freene regulatory burdens, increasing access to credit, and removing reynall barriers to competition. But helped Some of my tax proposals will help businesses of all sizes: On: Asphalt cutting the capital gains tax; creating enterprise zones in inner-city and rural areas; making the R&D tax credit permanent; OSHA and increasing the first-year depreciation allowance for property PROVIDING AN DDITIONAL Betsey Anderson OPL purchases. Tax Auspification 29 tax proposals are designed specifically to help small has ablished proposed Betsey OPL Anderson businesses. The IRS is developing regulations to allow small businesses to deposit payroll taxes on a monthly SOL basis. And it May 12 Fact sheet has released a ruling allowing over 16 million small proprietors on the Administration to deduct tax preparation fees as a business expense rather than program for reduce mg tax as a limited itemized deduction. compliance burdens for small I want to build on these actions. For example, we are working on a Single Wage Reporting System that would permit Betsy businesses to report state and federal wage information through a Anderson OPL single entity, thereby consolidating tax reporting requirements and reducing the burden. (Possible insert of new Treasury tax proposals.) On the regulatory front, I have extended for one year the freeze on paperwork and unnecessary federal regulation that I imposed last winter; the federal regulatory load hits small businesses particularly hard. I have also instructed federal agencies to look for ways to modify existing regulations that impose a special economic burden on small business. For example, 11 to increase access to capital for small businesses, the SEC has announced proposals to reduce and in some cases eliminate the public disclosure requirement for small companies issuing stock. Since small businesses are particularly vulnerable when credit is tight, we have to help them AUTHORIZED as our financial system is Enrolled Bill Statement restructuring. That's why we have provided over $6 billion in HRY111 general business loan guarantees through SBA in 1992 -- an. increase of more than 50% above 1991. 30 all SBA- find ant whatitis: become a model ? PROGRAM IT'S ONLY A PILOT SERVICING SBA's New England Lending and Recovery Project extends THE NEW credit to viable small firms when access is limited x because x banks ENGLAND AREA are having difficulty. X We also have worked x with bank regulators to base real estate values X on income earning potential rather BO FACT SHEET than liquidation value. We have taken steps to restructure x the small businesses X investment program, the only venture capital program in the government. And we are developing ways to offer X special financing to exporting entrepreneurs. X X Through its X procurement assistance program, X SBA helped small BUSH X RECORD businesses X secure federal contacts worth over $35 billion in FY 90 -- almost 20% of all prime contracts let during that year. To ensure that small businesses can help their communities REQUESTED 1.55 BILLION overcome disasters, we will be providing approximately million X dollars in low-interest loans to X small businesses in Florida, AND Louisans, California, and elsewhere. INAIVIDUALS But the HAVE ALREADY beggest reform. is short Finally, we need to help small business by removing burdens PROVIDED 150 MILLION to competition. My health care reforms would reduce costs for DIN ADDITION TO TITIS term health care small businesses without costly government mandates or higher REQUESTING HE is taxes; enactment of my legislation to establish uniform federal/ ADDITIONAL law on product liability would relieve a major burden on small 55 BILLION 00 businesses. B. Supporting Civilian R&D To be the world's economic leader tomorrow, we clearly have to invest in R&D and new technologies today. Given the pace of change, our task is both to come up with new inventions and to organize ourselves more effectively to develop and deploy new technology. (N Our industries are in the process of transforming themselves from the old-style hierarchical organization to so-called "flattened" structures. This new industrial organization emphasizes a skills-based workplace, "lean production," and short product cycles rather than mass production. The change is Henry Model Ford Tin introduced 1908 comparable to the one we made when Henry Ford led the country from craft-based production to mass manufacturing in the early 20th Century. These changes have three major implications for technology development. First, the more rapid product development cycle places a premium on bringing an idea quickly from the lab to the marketplace. We need to integrate R&D, manufacturing, and marketing into a seamless process of innovation. Second, we need vits invented by Japanese in 1975; VCR invented by to put new technologies to work in all applications in OF order SCIENCE to PAT WHITE, OFFICE TECHNOLOGY according to the reap the full competitive and TECHNOLOGY economic benefits from our R&D. Japanese in 1969, '92 Almanact a Nexis search While Americans invented the VCR and FAX machine, we did not Possible alternative: "the camera, the always benefit from their fullest use. Third, we need to rely microchip computer +the increasingly on flexible, agile manufacturing, rather than old fax...' -unti 7015 style mass production. We should have the capability to make a we dominated The camera we face strong variety of products quickly and economically -- a process market. competition in characterized by short product cycles, but also high quality the market. computer output. Taken together, these developments emphasize decentralization -- an approach exactly opposite to our opponents' "national industrial policies" led by government bureaucrats and university think tanks. We need to get 32 technology development, production and marketing closer to the consumer, not further away. My agenda will support our adaptation to these changes by increasing funding for basic research and complementing that work Bob OMB Grady with a focus on applied research and development. Despite cuts X 4742 by Congress, we have managed to increase X funding for basic E research by 25 percent since X 1989. We are supporting applied R&D Budget through a series of new, high pay-off X investments X in critical technologies. ^ Fr93 Pages -- X a new High Performance Computing and Communications X 1-88 to initiative that will assist enable the development of a thousand-fold X by 1996- X WE HAVE 116 increase in computing capability and a one hundred-fold increase TARGETED NOT THIS in X communications speed by 1996. DATE. -- an initiative to improve the manufacturing and performance of materials -- improvements that will enable advances in a wide range of other technologies. -- an expanded program in biotechnology research with applications in health, agriculture, and environmental protection. -- the establishment of the U.S. Advanced Battery consortium, a jointly-funded four year effort to develop an advanced battery for an emissions-free electric car. -- a significant increase in our aeronautics research budget, underscoring the importance we place on the U.S. aeronautics industry in an increasingly competitive global market place. 33 -- the establishment of five seven regional manufacturing Bob Grady p.115 P. 115 technology centers for the distribution of modern manufacturing - Kanneth and tools, such as computer-aided design, numerically controlled d machines, an robotics. OMB x4892 These efforts to develop and apply new technologies need to be complemented by the identification and removal of barriers to the private sector's ability to bring new products and services Office of to the market. That's why my regulatory reform while efforts protecting -- to health and Vice President safety, Bill Burrow subject regulations to a competitiveness analysis to lift the X6222 dead weight of our legal system through major reform, to sunset regulations -- are Clinton critical has proposed to supporting That government our imrest enhanced im a national technology information classroom, and every comp any, and every home by the year 2015." Tell network to link every limary and every laboratory, and every development. Just take one example: my opponent has proposed a major new says this is also in federal government investment in the field of national his economic plan. telecommunications networks at the exact time that the private X JAMES sector is seeking to develop such a network on its own, but has GATTUSO oup been stopped from doing so by federal regulations. (Get the x1649 facts.) SEE BACK C. Reforming Our Legal system Our competitive edge will be dulled if businesses are handicapped by a legal system that serves lawyers but frightens people. Therefore, another component of my agenda is a reform of the American civil justice system. John Howard America has experienced a civil litigation ALMOST explosion. Over OUP the X past 30 years, federal lawsuits have tripled. Instead of being fast, fair, and affordable, our civil justice system is slow, expensive, and putting us at a global disadvantage. WHEN ATTT WAS BROKEN UP INTO BELL COMPANIES, THREE RESTRICTIONS WERE PLACED ON IT: / THEY CAN'T ENGAGE INTHE MANUFACTURE OF TELEPHONE EQUIPMENT. CONGRESS HAS NOT OVERTURNED THAT REG. ALTHOUGH THERE is A BILL PENDING. WE'VE BEEN PUSHING FOR THE REPEAL, 2 THEY CAN'T ENGAGE IN INFORMATION SERVICES (e.g. ON LINE STOCK QUOTES, HOME SHOPPING) WE PUSHED FOR THAT REPEAL AND THE COURTS FINALLY OVERTURNED THAT CAW LAST SUMMER. CONGRESS 15 TRYING TO PUT IT BACK INTO THE STATUTE 3 BELL COMPANIES CANNOT ENGAGE IN LONG DISTANCE BUSINESS. NEITHER CONORESS NDR THE ADMINISTRATION HAS BEEN PUSHING FOR THAT REPEAL. SEPARATE FROM THOSE THREE RESTRICTIONS is ANOTHER LAW, BARRING THE BELL COMPANIES FROM PROJIDING CABLE SERVICES. WE HAVE BEEN TRYING TO REPEAL THIS, THIS IS THE BIGGEST REGULATORY BARRIER TO A PRIVATE INFORMATION NETWORK: ONLY CABLE COULD PROVIDE THEM WITH THE BASE OF REVENUES THEY WDU LD NEED TO BUILD THE FIBER NETWORK, 34 Long delays in dispute resolution waste valuable judicial resources, force early settlement by those who cannot afford to wait, discourage those who have meritorious suits, and encourage frivolous suits by those who hope to leverage unjust settlements. [Dinect John Experts estimate that the drain on.our economy from civil cost alone is Howard litigation may total 300 billion dollars annually. High punitive at estimated 200 OVP damage awards are passed on to consumers through higher prices, billin job cuts, higher insurance, and reduced product innovation. This hurts our international competitiveness. other nations ROUGHLY 6% do not face high domestic litigation costs. Foreign companies only need 2=5% of the product liability insurance our firms must ONE OF THE carry because we do not have uniform state standards for product REASONS liability and punitive damages. My product liability reform legislation will deal with the following problems: wide variation among states' product liability rules; important products being kept off the market; excessive litigation costs with more money going to lawyers than to injured consumers; excessive insurance rates; and excessive consumer costs and, in some cases, less safety. 14 My "Access to the Justice Act of 199211 is intended to restore fairness and efficiency to the nation's civil justice system through: alternatives to federal civil trials such as alternative dispute resolution; incentives to prelitigation settlement, including precomplaint notification; and a "loser pays" rule requiring the loser to pay the winner's legal fees in suits involving federal diversity jurisdiction. 35 We also need to continue our work with the states to encourage fundamental change at the state and local level. Lawyers, especially trial lawyers, are a powerful vested interest in our society. They are well represented in Congress and high on the lists of political contributors. But this is a problem too important to leave to the lawyers and their friends in high places. VIII. Economic Security for Working People In addition to preparing Americans for the 21st Century workplace and ensuring that our businesses sharpen their competitive edge, my plan offers economic security for working men and women. We can only achieve this security by developing capability, not dependency. We can supply security through the private sector, not government bureaucracies. It will be government's role to expedite the adjustment, provide people the means to work and take care of their families, and arm people to face the future by empowering them to make their own choices. A. Job Training Given the rapidity of change in the international and domestic marketplace, we have to prepare people for the prospect of changing jobs and learning new skills many times throughout the course of a productive life. Therefore, we need a range of job training and placement services -- for young people, factory workers, white collar employees, and particularly during this period, defense industry workers. That's why one important portion of my recently-announced workforce adjustment initiative is designed to shift the government away from the old narrowly defined, expensive, and less effective trade adjustment assistance that paid people off without giving them real help to get back the work. The three key of my proposal are: (1) universal coverage, so all dislocated workers will have access to basic transition assistance and training support; (2) skill X grant vouchers of up Fact Sheet: Worker to $3000 to help meet the costs of adding new skills and Adjustment Initiative training; and (3) a tripling of the resources currently devoted to SK ill training and worker adjustment, an allocation of $9.10 billion over five years. This proposal builds on my January plan to streamline the federal job training system through "one-stop shopping" in every community. Experience has demonstrated that the most effective Tom training and placement services are those closely developed with Seully local employers through private industry councils. That way the training is designed to develop skills that employers know they will need. My expanded job training efforts will also be specially designed to help those who may need to change jobs or careers as a result of NAFTA or other trade agreements and the downsizing of our defense-related industries. But we will ensure that we offer training and placement to all workers: those who have lost their jobs, have been notified that their jobs are being terminated, or have been employed in industries experiencing significant changes and workforce adjustments and who fear job loss in the future. These dislocated workers would be eligible to receive three types of assistance: (1) transition-assistance that -includes Fact Sheet: worker adjustment skills assessment, counseling, job-search X assistance, X and job initiative referral; X (2) training X assistance in the form of skill grants; X and (3) transition income X support where necessary for workers is x X completing retraining. I've also proposed a specially-targeted Youth Skills Initiative. X x X X X X A new Youth Training Corps will provide economically and Y X X socially disadvantaged X young people with intensive vocational X X Youth training through 55 residential YTC centers nationwide; these X Skills Initiative centers will be located primarily in rural areas and will X seek to is A Fact Sheet utilize converted defense facilities. The YTC will draw from the & military's high level of leadership and training expertise, by x giving a hiring preference to individuals leaving our armed forces. X x X X x X X I will also complement the YTC with a "Treat and Train" Ditto X x Y X X X program to X strengthen existing youth drug training programs. To help meet the needs of young people not planning to go on to college, I also will expand the National Youth Apprenticeship x X x x Ditto Program that X I began in January. This program offers high school X X x juniors X and seniors a combination of classroom instruction and a X Y y x structured, paid, work-experience program. I want student apprentices to receive both a high school diploma and a widely- recognized certificate of skill competency. Students will also have the opportunity to continue training at the post-secondary level. x x X X { X is & I started my Apprenticeship Program as a demonstration tto X X X X program in 6 states; in my second term, I will expand it to all X 50. x X x X X X X X Y x TOM Finally, I will more than double the size of X the present X Y X X JROTC program, X a very X successful and popular partnership between X SCULLY 39 the military and schools. JROTC emphasizes self-discipline, youth Skills values, citizenship, personal responsibility, and staying in Initiative school -- it's a first class alternative to drugs and gangs. My Fact-Sheet goal is to establish 2,900 JROTC units by 1994. Initially, we will expand this program in inner-city high schools, but I want to make JROTC available to every high school across the country that requests it. This program is another way in which we can relate the successful experience of America's veterans to the next generation. spacet tab B. Affordable Health Care for All Americans With the rapidly rising costs of health care, the economic security of men and women requires a major reform of the U.S. health care system. The present system provides high quality, high-tech X medicine, X but X Hans at an unacceptable price: spending has increased at a rate two to Kuttner OPD three X times the rest of the economy; thirty-four million white Paper :34.7 X 6563 Americans have no health insurance; and millions more are afraid to change jobs for fear of losing their health insurance. My program will build on the strengths of the system consumer choice, innovation, and state of the art medicine while controlling costs and expanding access. x X I want to X guarantee access to health insurance for all poor and moderate 10w- families through tax credits sufficient to pay for a basic health income insurance plan ($3,750 for a family). Other low and middle White income families X would get tax relief to partially offset the cost Paper of their health insurance. In X total, X some NINETY seventy FIVE million White Paper Americans will benefit. My program also includes: 40 X X -- provisions that encourage small businesses to develop issues less costly health care insurance networks for their employees by combining resources to achieve broader risk sharing, economies of scale, and purchasing power; -- "job lock" X protection for employees and their families so BQ issues that they will not lose coverage if and when a person changes jobs; -- guaranteed insurability so that people with white Paper "pre-existing" illnesses cannot be denied a job or health coverage on the job; -- 100% X tax X deductibility of health care X premiums paid by X X the self-employed, as compared to the present 25% deductibility; -- malpractice X reforms that will reduce the number of unnecessary procedures performed on patients and thereby reduce X the cost of medical care; and X X white Paper says reforms to encourage widespread use of electronic billing costs are 43 bill./yr 10.75 now reforms v could reduce those to sale an estimated $2 billion a year in paper costs. costs by more 25% than Taken together, my X program would cut health care costs by Hans X Kuttner $394 X billion X over five years through preventive care, reducing X x6563 defensive medicine, malpractice reform, encouraging enrollment in Gail X Wilensky cost-effective health plans, arming consumers with information 6406 about cost and quality, and eliminating administrative waste and unnecessary paperwork. I believe we can provide access to affordable health care for all Americans, while perserving choice for patients and their families in selecting doctors, hospitals, health care programs, X Hans and employment. Medical services now represent approximately 13% Kuttner WOULD A NATIONAL HEALTH INSURANCE TURN 13010 OF 41 OUR GNP OR GDP OVER TO X THE GOVERNMENT of our GNP (check) So it is vital that we rely on enhanced HANS KUHNER OPD competition and market forces to reform our health care system - -- not national health insurance that would turn over 10% of our economy to Uncle Sam X or a "play or pay" approach that will burden employers with massive new costs or taxes for every employee they wish to hire. (Perhaps add brief insert on pension portability or savings plans; contrast with BC's idea of "investing" pension funds in his spending programs.) IX. Involving Everyone For over 200 years, the most exceptional aspect of American society has been the belief, the hope, that this is a land where people can make a better life for themselves and their children. It's this spirit, the commitment to the American Dream, that has made our country and our society the most dynamic in the world. If we are going to use that energy to drive us forward into the 21st Century, we will need to tap the aspirations of each and every one of our citizens. No one should be left behind for want of opportunity. Many of the programs that I have discussed above -- health care for all Americans, child care, anew competitive school system based on choice for all American families -- support my overall plan to empower all Americans to make their own choices and better their lives. But I believe we need to do more for certain citizens that have fallen too far behind. 42 My philosophy for enabling all Americans to have a piece of the American Dream is simple: it's based on property and work. So our urban and welfare programs must be designed to enable people to break the cycle of poverty, get back on their feet, get back to work, and take responsibility for their own choices and their own lives. My ideas are in direct conflict with the logic of "welfare rights" that emphasizes entitlements. Nor will I support "income maintenance" strategies that assume the problem of poverty is simply a lack of income that can be made up by government. Our goal should be to help people develop the "human capital" x X X X X X that enables them to become self-sufficient. We have made a start X X fail down X this path with X our X implementation of the welfare-to-work logic Wilensky x6406 of X the Family Support X Act of 1988. We have been encouraging X X flexible and innovative implementation through waivers that enable states to develop new programs to enhance parental and family responsibility. In our inner cities, we need to restore hope by clearing away the handicap of crime, building a core of property owners, creating business incentives, and focusing our programs on work and discipline. Enterprise zones can create solid economic foundations in distressed communities. Our "Weed and Seed" effort can help reclaim and revitalize impoverished and embattled communities by eliminating the fear of drug and violence, targeting coordinated human services programs, and improving the housing stock and infrastructure. 43 We also need to extend opportunity by enabling lower income families to build assets -- for example, by allowing aid recipients to accumulate higher savings without losing their eligibility. And we need to expand homeowner opportunities to lower and middle income families. For example, HOPE grants enable more HUD inner-city people to own their own homes. Our $5,000 tax credit Rob KellneR 708-0120 for X first-time home buyers would help; so would permitting voucher recipients to apply their rental subsidies toward the purchase of a home. We can enhance the choice, quality, and availability of HUD housing through affordable rent subsidies in in the form of housing x Rob Kellner vouchers, and through our "Perestroika Public Housing" program that 708-0120 widens opportunities for X public housing tenants to change the X management of X troubled projects. This property and work-based approach need not be more during the Reagan-Bush years expensive than the traditional welfare bureaucracy. For example, low-income housing assistance doubled even after of inflation-- federal spending for assisted housing has already increased 138% Rob HUD Kellner from 9.1 billion in 1980 to 18.3 billionthis year, as measured in 1992 dollars. This year to $15 billion during the 1980's. In 1990 HUD provided housing is 708-0120 assistance to 4.4 million low-income families, up from 3.1 million in 1980. I have pressed to switch some of this funding to vouchers because they are more cost effective than constructing new public 5 years or more HUD housing units. Furthermore, families wouldn't have to wait seven 708-0120 years X for X the units X to be built, and the vouchers give families Rob KelineR X X X more choice. X. Keeping Government Slim 44 My blueprint envisages an important government role to make a secure and strong America. But it is also important that government not siphon off more private resources than is absolutely necessary to perform the functions that would help us win the economic competition. Because an overweight government -- one that serves the special interests instead of America' interest -- will handicap our country in the race of a new era. A number of the items on my agenda can be accomplished by redirecting current funding away from bureaucracies and towards people. My plan wants to empower people with the means to work, own property, raise their families, and be effective participants in the private market economy. Some of my ideas -- for example, legal and health care reforms -- should help us save money. Contrary to the assertions of some politicians and special X X X interest groups, spending as a percentage of the nation's GDP has Ant gone X up, not down. In 1991, the Federal government X spent X 23.5% X of X Steigle X what X our nation produced That compares with 17.6% in 1965, 19.9% OMB in X 1970, 22.0% in 1975, and 22.3% in 1980. So not only has x government grown as the economy has grown, but government is taking a bigger share. The American people are not taxed too little. The / American government spends too much. In my acceptance speech I noted some of the efforts I will make to hold down spending. Some said they wanted to see more X whoever numbers. Well here are some figures for you. I have proposed Ant said X Strigile That capping growth on mandatory spending, other than social security. should Y That X would still permit spending at present levels plus an be shot. adjustment for inflation and population growth. Yet this cap would save X $294 billion over five years. OVER 72 BARRY To start to implement this cap, I have proposed almost $70 ANDERSON OMB billion in specific spending cuts for "mandatory" programs (FY93- 4634 97). If you add these proposed cuts to others I have previously called for but X which Congress has not yet enacted, my specific cuts would total about $132 billion over five years. I have also Ant RGD proposed the outright elimination of 246 specific need discretionary to check fax ulBany programs. By way of comparison, my opponent has specifically proposed JEREMY DavidTell SHANEless X than $5 billion in cuts in mandatory programs. And he has Mack specifically proposed to eliminate only one program -- the honeybee AND CUT DEFENSE LaFollet BQ2 Issue subsidy X program, which Senator X Gore voted to retain. 40CCASIONS X SPENDING DOMESTE DISCRETIONARY will fruze domestic Furthermore, I proposed to freeze all other spending, and I discreting will cut defense spending will enforce this freeze by vetoing any bill Congress sends me that discretion spends more than I asked for in my budget. speas I've also asked Congress for the line item X veto, a disciplinary tool utilized effectively by the governors of 43 states. This veto authority is important not only to help cut 48 spending, but to increase my leverage with a Congress that seeks to tax more and spend more. I also believe that government can slim down the costs of its administrative operations. So I X will cut the operating budget of X X X Zoellic the Executive Office of the President by 33% if Congress agrees to subject itself to a cut of the same size. With fewer Congressional staffers badgering the Executive Branch, I know we can cut costs by that amount. Moreover, I propose a freeze in the operating budgets of all federal government agencies. 46 Some people will complain. But the American people know that any good business and many families could tighten their belts if they had to by spending no more next year than they spent this year. It's time for the government to tighten its belt. I also believe government should be subject to the discipline of a balanced budget amendment. State governments operate that way. Businesses operate that way. Families operate that way. And given the breakdown of congressional discipline, we need an amendment to ensure that the Federal government operates that way If we had had such an amendment earlier, we wouldn't be paying almost $200 billion dollars a year X on interest for the debt left X X X BARRY ANDERSON BUDGET us X by earlier Congresses. IN FUTURE TENSE: MORO THAN 200 BILLION ADVISOR OMB x4630 I also believe taxpayers should have the right to check X off 10% of their tax payments to reduce debt and spending. If all taxpayers X took the full 10%, the cut would be about $50 billion. X X That's only 3% of the Federal budget of about 1.5 trillion. Since 11 federal spending has been growing at a ráte of about 8% per year, even this proposed cut would still enable spending to grow; it would just grow more slowly. Some editorialists slight my checkoff proposal, but it can trace its roots to a venerable tradition in American history. At the turn of this century, many people were concerned that the government establishment was slipping away from the people it is supposed to serve. This movement led to a number of innovations such as referenda, the right of recall, and the direct election of senators. At the time each of these was proposed, the conventional thinkers mocked the changes. Given the breakdown in spending 47 discipline in Congress, it's time that we insist on compensating reforms that give people a bigger say in the direction of Federal government spending. I also am committed to reducing the tax burden on the American people. I have said that I will propose to further reduce taxes across-the-board, provided we pay for those cuts with specific spending reductions that I consider appropriate, so that we do not increase the deficit. sel pus To give you a sense of what tax cuts we could achieve if we enforce discipline spending, just consider the tax cuts X we could mandatusents make if Congress acted on the $180 billion in specific spending 2 X X x 726 50 defense reductions that I have already proposed. These savings alone could finance X an across-the-board X rate cut of 1 percent, and reduction X of the small business tax X rate from 15% to 10%, and an increase in HOW much RGD small business expensing of investment in equipment and a reduction X of the capital gains tax. X How much of Cha. increase In sum, my direction is clear -- I want to spend less and tax less. My opponent wants to spend more and tax more. I X X X believe the federal government can reallocate its almost $1.5 Bany Anderson trillion in spending more efféctively if we X implement my agenda. OMB r4634 Certainly reductions in defense spending will provide some of these funds. I honestly believe that this is the only way to get the size and spending of government under control. For I have seen too many times that efforts to close the deficit by increasing taxes have only turned out to give Congress a license to spend more money. NOTE: USE 179-180 TOTAL PAC CONTRIBUTIONS OF $55.2 MILLION VERSUS 89-90 TOTAL OF $159. PAC 3 MILLION. CONTRIBUTIONS ARE COUNTED IN ELECTION CYCLES leg. 89-90 nather than simply 90) 48 1 SINCE THE POINT IS TO SHOW AN EXPLOSION IN PAC CONTRIBUTIONS, WE WOULD BE BEING 2 UNFAIR TO DE VERY POINT WE ARE TRYING TO MAKE IF WE INSIST ON 192 CONTRIBUTIONS OR EVEN '91-92 CONTRIBUTIONS. THE REASON 15 THAT THE LATEST CONTRIBUTIO N ACCOUNTING FRED XI. A Strategy for Implementation WILL BE AS OF JULY IST 192 AND THERE EILAND,FEC ARE MANY MORE CONTRIBUTIONS TO COME SINCE WE ARE STILL INTHE PRESS MIDDLE OF PRIMARIES, + MANY PACS HOLD THEIR MONEY TILL PRIMARIES w(202)219-4155 ARE OVER. FEC DOES NOT DO ESTIMATES OR EXTRAPOLATIONS. PERHARS h(703)548-6223 This year is an important turning point for the United States. WORDING COULD BE Not just because we are entering a new era, but for the first time LAST "IN THE in many years, it appears that Congress will have 150 new faces for CYCLE..." ELECTION the President to work with. That's why I'm asking for a mandate AND "A DECARE for my program. That's why I have promised that I will meet with BEFORE" all new members -- all 150 or more -- before they are besieged by the special interests and permanent staffs. I also believe we need to take another step to ensure that the new Congress does not become like the old one. The root of the present problem is political contributions from organized special interests through political action committees or PACS. Ten years ago, PACs raised and contributed $ million to FEDERAL political candidates. This year the number will be closer to $ million. The other party doesn't want to do anything about it, because they are the biggest recipients. I want to put them to the test. I want a new Congress to stay clean. So an important part of my new legislative agenda will be a simple bill that bars all contributions by PACS. I am committed to make my program work with Congress. I intend to present the new Congress a 100-days plan to act on the legislative proposals outlined in this agenda: O Ban on PAC Contributions NAFTA New trade negotiating authority A radical overhaul of American education to emphasize excellence, standards, competition, entrepreneurial schools and a G.I. Bill for Kids Tax and credit proposals to help Small Business An expansion of Civilian R&D linked to new applications. Reform of our legal system My job training programs My health care reforms A package to clear away crime, build business, and put people to work in our inner cities. A package to cut spending and the size of government. Tax cuts paid for through spending cuts and growth. Now I know I may not be able to get everything I want in the exact way I want it. But your support for a mandate to get it done would give me momentum. And then I intend to fight for this agenda, get as much as I can, and come back again to get more. If Congress hesitates on some fronts, I intend to keep moving forward. You have seen that we can implement back-towork welfare reform by granting waivers that enable the states to do the YOU'VE 44 1700 job more effectively. similarly, 43 states and more than 1100 ALREADY USED LISA BARNES X communities have started to implement my educational reforms while THIS AMERICA 2000 ON P.26 TRACKIN DEPT. OF EDUC Congress has stalled. 401 401-3000 3000 I will work with governors, state legislatures -local governments, and the private sector to pursue my agenda. While I want a Congress that can help me do the job, I'm committed to get the job done one way or the other. (Useful to include a table of numbers) FACT CHECK TWO I. Introduction: The Challenge This is my Agenda for American Renewal. It diagnoses the economic problems we face, sets forth the principles that should guide our actions, and explains the integrated efforts I am pursuing to meet the challenge. Over past weeks I have been discussing some of the elements of my economic agenda. In coming weeks I will be expanding on my ideas. This document shows how the pieces fit together. It is important to begin by standing back for a moment, taking stock of where we are as a great nation in the broader sweep of history. The American people have just completed the greatest mission of all, the triumph of democratic capitalism over a frightening, rapacious, totalitarian nuclear superpower. Mission accomplished. OR "wars end peopleare" ED VERB TENSE Throughout history, when long wars end*, people have been confronted with the problems of converting to peacetime and establishing a new basis for securing peace and prosperity. In wartime, the costs of government are always high. Domestic needs are not fully met. A good nation engaged in conflict tries / to look after its poor, its sick, its elderly, its less privileged members, but not as completely as it should. Today, this year, for the first time since December 1941, the United States is not engaged in a war, hot or cold. The American people recognize this historical watershed. They want and deserve a peacetime system of taxation, a peacetime freedom from unnecessary intrusion into our lives, a peacetime commitment to sound money, a peacetime dedication to unfinished work and unsolved problems close to home. At the same time, Americans are aware of epic changes in the world and the economy. They sense the disquiet in many of the industrialized democracies that have been our partners in the long struggle. Our own economy has been going through some profound changes. And I know change can be difficult, particularly for those who feel its effects more directly. that Americans sense we face an era of great opportunity, but that I there are also great risks if we fail to make the right choices; if we fail to engage wisely. It is vital for our nation to demonstrate its unique ability to transform anxiety into regeneration. Only the United States has the people, the resources, the economic strength -- and the especially the principles and ideals -- to pick up the challenge. - 2 - For America to be safe and strong we must meet the defining challenge of the '90s: to win the economic competition -- to win the peace. The United States must be an economic superpower, an export superpower, and a military superpower. My approach to this future is to look forward -- to open new markets, prepare our people to compete, to restore our social fabric -- to save and invest -- so we can win. This future depends on economic growth, but not for the few at the expense of the many, not for the present and the expense of the future. In this country, we have always preferred an entrepreneurial capitalism that grows from the bottom up, not the top down; a capitalism that begins on Main Street and extends to Wall Street, not the other way around. Nor have we been taken in by the view my opponent prefers, that Government should accumulate capital -- by taxing it and borrowing it from the people, and investing it according to some industrial policy design. My agenda is for an inclusive America, not an exclusive or reclusive America. My international economic and trade strategy 3 - will promote free trade arrangements east and west, north and south, to strengthen our global economic reach and complement our worldwide security presence. At the same time, we need to foster the capabilities at home that will keep us in the lead. To help prepare all American children for a constantly changing workplace, I want to make radical changes in our education system. Each child should graduate with skills, self-discipline, and an a strong sense of self-worth. I will sharpen the competitive edge of our businesses through encouraging entrepreneurial capitalism and small business, deploying advances in R&D & technology, and reforming our legal system so it no longer puts us at a global disadvantage. My agenda promotes economic security for working men and women through job training that will ease adjustments and provide people new capabilities for work in the face of competition and change. And I will enable families to concentrate on building for the future by giving them the means to protect themselves against today's cost of health care and by making it easier to build retirement security. I want our efforts to reach out to all our citizens, leaving no one behind, because we will need the work, aspiration, and energy of each and every American. to? Finally, since our competitive strength and entrepreneurial spirit must flow from the private sector, I will streamline government to meet changing needs. It should not siphon off more resources than is absolutely necessary. Taken together, in mutual support of one another, the components of this agenda should empower America to seek a grand goal: to 4 double the size of our economy to $10 trillion, in no more than years. Think of what we could do with another $5 trillion in annual income. With an economy that size, we could provide the resources, private and public, to satisfy our most ambitious social and financial requirements. We could simultaneously renew America and pay down our national debt. So now let me turn to how we can meet the challenge and reach our goal. II. The Context: Five Changes Underway in the Economy The U.S. economy has been working its way through five profound changes; they establish the context for my agenda. The first great change in our economy is ironically due to our very success in ending the Cold War. Since our superpower rival of the last half century has disappeared, we are now able to do something we have all hoped for since the close of World War II -- lighten the load. In the short run, this adjustment has meant cutbacks and lay-offs in many industries that have depended on defense spending. We need to take steps to ease this transition. But in the medium and long run, -5- 6 reductions in defense spending will free up many new resources for our people and economy. Second, it seems that almost every day you can find a story about a major U.S. corporation that is restructuring itself. Our industries are in the process of transforming themselves from the old-style hierarchical organization to so-called "flattened" structures. This new industrial organization emphasizes a skills-based workplace, "lean production," and short product cycles rather than mass production. In effect, we are integrating R&D, manufacturing, and marketing into a seamless web of innovation. It is a change comparable to the one we made when Henry Ford led the country from craft-based production to mass manufacturing early in this century. UNDER REAGAN BUSH [OR:OVER THE PAST TEN YEARS] THE ANNUAL GROWTH IN MANUFACTURING PRODUCTIVITY WAS OVER 50% HIGHER We have to make these adaptations if America's industries THAN are to keep ahead of their international competitors. UNDER JIMMY Strong sales and productivity increases are the CARTER. prerequisites for creating more jobs, boosting wages, and upgrading benefits. In fact, it is partly because of these changes that American firms lead the world in exports. and that the increase in U.S. manufacturing productivity during the '80s was our best performance since World War II. 43% INCR IN MANUF PRODUCTIVITY OLABK THE PAST 10 yorrs. was wagap e many as a share of GNP 2 LABOR free in manuf int mg don SEWATE THING JAG 19 Shie producting - CALL JD FOSTER - IN THE THE 80's US HAD 5084 THE % LOWEST CHAGE TOTAL IN MANUF PRODUIF ANY DECADE SINCE 1950 7 Nevertheless, these changes also have produced layoffs and relocations among both blue and white collar workers. Middle-aged breadwinners are wondering whether their company will be the next to make announcements, and they worry about their jobs, health care and pension rights. Some are also deeply troubled by the prospect that after sacrificing to send their kids to college -- often the for first generation to attend -- that some of these children, their diplomas aren't golden tickets to security. Third, the 1980s wiped away the dismal economic performance of the late '70s. We enjoyed the longest peacetime expansion in U.S. history, lasting seven-and- a-half-years. We created over 21 million jobs, more than all the new jobs in the other major industrial countries and the rest of Western Europe combined. Yet great booms produce excesses, and this time too many companies, too many financial institutions, too many governments, and too many household took on too much debt. PLAYING INTOHANDS OF DEMS THAT CALLED 80's DECADE DEBT HAS ONLY OF GREED. How BEEN GOING MUCH is TOO MUCH DOWN PAST We have been paying down that debt over the last three CEA YEAR, NOT PAST years -- and lower interest rates have helped us do it. THREE Millions of people have refinanced homes at lower rates, reducing mortgage payments by as much as $1,200 to $1,500 a year. When companies restructured, they paid down debt, strengthened balance sheets, and positioned 8 themselves to enjoy greater profits when stronger growth resumes. This process will leave our economy leaner and more powerful; indeed many firms already are. But while that debt was being paid downy people bought fewer goods, and companies put less money into new investments and jobs. The process is largely over, but it has left consumers and companies a little cautious. Fourth, we entered the '80s with a banking system designed 50 years earlier -- a relic woefully out of place in an era when billions of dollars could be sent around the world in a microsecond. The United States entered the 1980s with some 14,000 commercial banks and que? 4,600 savings and loans. In comparison, Canada had / Germany had , and Japan had . The vast majority of those small U.S. banks and S&Ls operated in a heavily controlled environment where their costs of funds were limited by ceilings on your passbook accounts. Other regulations restricted competition by imposing costs and inefficiencies on savers and borrowers. In the late '70s, this out-of-date system was buffeted by record interest and inflation rates; it was challenged by competition from new financial services. As in any other line of business, the less efficient institutions could not survive. But because our banks and S&Ls held insured deposit accounts for most hardworking Americans, the streamlining process had to 9 ? be managed in a way that 7 enabled the Government to protect your savings. The Government picked up these costs so your savings would be safe. This process, too, is nearing its end. A strong economy must have a good banking and financial system so es entrepreneurs can get capital, business and farms can get loans, and families can buy homes and cars. We will have a more competitive and efficient financial system that will serve companies and families better. Over the next few years, the Government will actually gain revenues from the sales of billions of dollars of assets that it acquired from banks and S&Ls as it protected savers. But this process has left lenders cautious. Business borrowing rates and mortgage rates are way down, but it's still too hard for small businesses to gain access to capital and credit. We are still taxing capital too much. The final economic change is perhaps the most profound of all: No nation is an island today. We are part of a global economy. To grow is to trade; to expand is to compete. One manufacturing job out of every /V six depends directly on our exports; so does one acre out of every three planted by American farmers. This international economic influence has three implications. 10 One, when growth slumps abroad, it drags our economy down with it. Both Western Europe {especially Germany} and Boskin Japan are going through major readjustment -- and that says this could be has contributed to our sluggishness. stren sthened, call him if you Two, it means that if America is going to be strong and growing in the 21st Century, we must be ready and able to compete around the globe. We need to encourage entrepreneurial capitalism and investment at home, and at the same time ensure that our labor force remains the best in the world. Three, we need to seize opportunities to develop new markets, particularly in areas that have potential for significant growth in the future. One of the other benefits of the end of the Cold War is the extraordinary potential to expand trade and sales to hundreds of millions of potential customers who not long ago were our enemies. III. Start with Strengths In developing an agenda for the future, we should take a clear-eyed look at our strengths as well as weaknesses. Not surprisingly, the other side has 11 conveniently skipped over our country's many strengths. Frankly, they want you to believe America is over the hill and past its prime. But they have no more right to convince you the economy is worse than it is for political advantage than I have to sugarcoat the problems. So we let me just note 10 key facts. (See Appendix A for others.) The Misery Index -- the sum of inflation and unemployment -- is down to 10.8% today, from 19.6% in 1980. Inflation has fallen to roughly 3%, the lowest in a quarter of a century (except for 1986). Interest rates are at a 20 year low. Mortgage rates are now in the 8% range, half the rate President Reagan encountered in his first year. Thanks to these low rates, more people can afford to own a home today than at any time since 1973. While unemployment is still far too high, the share of the working age population with jobs during my administration has averaged 62.2%, the highest in U.S. history. 12 The United States has the highest home ownership rate of all major industrialized countries: More than 66% of U.S. households 59 own their own homes, as compared with 61% in 40 Japan and 39% in Germany. The U.S. sends 60% of its children on to higher education, second only to Canada, and well 8 above the 32% rate in Germany and 30% in Japan. soe P And 51% of these U.S. students are women, as compared with 38% in Japan and 26% in Germany. With exports of $622 billion, the U.S. is the world's largest exporting nation. Exports increased by 40% during my Administration. We produce 25% of the world's total output with 5% of the world's population. Manufacturing is now accounting for 22.6% of U.S. GDP -- a higher percentage than a decade ago. 13 The productivity of American workers is approximately 26% above those in Germany and 30% above those in Japan. I do not mean to suggest either that all is well, or that we do not need to lead and manage the changes taking place in the world and at home more actively. We do. Nevertheless, it is important to recognize honestly what we have accomplished over the past 12 years, so we can build on our strengths. During our long expansion, we increased U.S. GDP by $1.1 trillion -- a figure greater than the total size of the German economy. So I know our goal of a $10 trillion economy is attainable. We're also in a strong position internationally. But we're going to need the national adaptability and capability to keep leading our competitors. And we must have the courage of our convictions to say "no" to the wrong sort of changes for the future -- false promises based on false premises -- changes we cannot afford at this key moment in the world economic competition. IV. Guiding Principles: Before outlining the specifics of my agenda, I will set out four guiding principles. An effective strategy 14 must be dynamic. As new problems or opportunities present themselves, we will need to make adjustments. Guiding principles will ensure we follow a consistent path and help shape our policies into the future. First, start with the basics: I believe America is composed of individuals, not special interests. Individuals gain primary strength, protection and inspiration from their families and communities, not the legal system or Government social services. People find their friends and their enjoyment in voluntary association with one another, not in some bureaucrat's paint-by-numbers dream. The individual, families, communities. That's where we start. Second, we have to keep to the fundamentals of sound economic growth: lower tax rates, limits on Government spending, greater competition, less economic regulation, sound money, and more open trade that can free tremendous private initiative and growth. Experience has shown that these are the steps we need to take to create jobs, raise wages, spur entrepreneurs, expand capital and investment, and build businesses. Third, in the '90s Government can build on these fundamentals by offering opportunity and hope for 15 individuals, families, and communities. There is a conservative agenda for helping people, for responding to their needs. And we've seen that these are approaches that work. We prefer a hand-up to a hand out. We want to empower people to make their own choices, to break away from dependency. We want to give individuals and families economic security by giving them the capital, the capabilities, and the confidence to decide for themselves. We want everyone to have a stake in society, to own property, so everyone will build something with it for themselves and our country. Whereas my opponent's approach may place a premium on redistribution and "leveling," our programs will unleash initiative, reward success, and encourage excellence. Our approach is to give people the power to work, save, and be their best. Finally, all our policies must be brought together effectively if we are to prosper as a people and succeed as a nation. America must have appropriate new approaches for the changes at home -- just as we've launched new policies to lead and manage change abroad. We must concentrate on the interrelationship between domestic and foreign policy and between economic and security policy. At the same time, we must execute our agenda more effectively with a new Congress, state and local governments, and the private sector. Our aim must 16 be to press our policies together, as a package, to make America secure and strong. Therefore, my Agenda for American Renewal necessitates action on six interconnected fronts. Because we face complex problems, no one solution will suffice. The whole of these elements will be a solution greater than the sum of its parts: A Strategic Global Economic and Trade Policy Preparing our Children for the 21st Century Economy Sharpening Business' Competitive Edge: Encouraging Entrepreneurial Capitalism Economic Security for Working People Leaving No One Behind: Economic Opportunity for Every American Keeping Government Slim This is how America will create a $10 trillion economy. 17 V. A Strategic Global Economic and Trade Policy: During the Cold War, we built a global security structure to contain and counter the Soviet Union and communist aggression. We forged military alliances across the Atlantic and Pacific that underpinned that structure. In the post-Cold War era, we need a strategic global economic and trade policy that will ensure our position as an economic and export superpower as well. We are well positioned to achieve this goal. We enjoy the largest fully integrated market in the world; this gives us leverage with other countries that want access to our markets. Once the Congress enacts NAFTA, our position will be further strengthened. NAFTA will open an important market, a Mexican economy whose growth prospects will quickly transform its expanding industries and consumers into excellent American customers. Equally important, the integration of United States, Mexican, and Canadian capabilities will improve our global competitiveness by enabling American firms to purchase inputs at lower costs. This will help U.S. firms to stay in the forefront of high wage, high value added production. Our geopolitical position is also advantageous. The United States is both a Pacific and a European power; our - Don lamb ND wash Times - also WSJ edition American Enterprise Report, May 1992 24 47% of Public school Teachers send Child immunizations are also vital to safeguard their kids' health. Every year since 1981-82, 95% or more of kids to the children entering elementary school have been immunized against the vaccine-preventable diseases. Now Private shools we are focusing greater attention on preschool children. My 1993 budget calls for an 18% increase in child immunization grants. I want the United States to offer opportunity and encourage excellence; we must be fully capable of competing in a global economy. Therefore, it is imperative that our educational system prepare and point the way for our children. As in the past, education should be the ladder that the child of modest means can climb to better him or herself. Our current school system is falling short of these XXXXX needs -- and the poor are hurt most. Only 19 out of 66 Report by the public high schools in Chicago graduate more than half Institute for Justice Clint Bolick, VP their students, and many of these graduates can barely 457-4240 read or write. Our educational establishment is caught in a sort of time warp, a system created for another age when the needs were not the same, children grew up differently, and adults rarely changed jobs. Money alone is not the answer -- the United States already spends more per pupil than any other country but 26 NOT HOW MANY FORMS THEY COMPLETE, evaluates schools on the basis of their performance, not BUT OF HOW MANY MIAJOS THEY their bureaucracy. PREPARE. TAKE SCHOOL CHOICE OFF OF THE ADMINISTRATORS DESK AND PUT IT BACIC ON THE KITCHEN TABLE. Finally, we must give all parents the means and freedom to choose which schools will serve their CHOICE children the best. This component is critical to the success of the whole, integrated overhaul of our educational system. Competition, the underlying principle for this radical reform, will not work unless we give consumers the ability to choose. Wealthy families already have this choice for their children. Many of the people that you saw at the Democratic National Convention have this choice for their ? children. Why shouldn't you have this choice for your children? Chicago's X public school teachers -- 478 of X X X 46% X DennisDoyie America. them -- send their X kids xx to private x schoóls. X But my Enterprise " Institute opponent and his special interest supporters don't think you should have the same choice unless you are privileged enough to afford it. One of the greatest educational innovations in this country was the passage of the GI Bill after World War II. No one told my generation that a vet couldn't go to Notre Dame or Brigham Young or Baylor or Howard or Yeshiva. So I want a "GI Bill for Children" to help give lower and middle income families the means to select any 30 scarce, available only to those at the top, who need it JESSE JACKSON PUT IT THIS least of all. That's not what I want. Without capital, WAY: "SUBTRACT CAPITAL FROM CAPITALISM -AND ALL THAT'S as Jesse Jackson pointed out, capitalism is just an LEFT is THE was (?) 'ism ''' If capital were abundant, labor would become scarcer. And the unemployment lines would shrink. That's what I want. So I want to cut the capital gains tax and index it for inflation. I want to create enterprise zones in inner city and rural areas. I want to make the R&D tax credit permanent. I want to provide an additional first- year depreciation allowance for purchases of property. Those are fundamentals. In addition, there are three other ways we need to sharpen the competitive edge of American business: strengthen small business; support civilian R&D linked to a research extension network; and reform our costly legal system. A. Strengthen Small Business Small business is the backbone of a growing economy. Small businesses employ more than half the American workforce; they account for 39% of our GNP. Small business creates two thirds of our new jobs. 31 I am seeking to aid small businesses by reducing costly tax and regulatory burdens, increasing access to credit, and removing barriers to competition. I have taken steps designed specifically to ease the tax burden on small businesses. For example, the IRS has proposed regulations to allow small businesses to deposit payroll taxes on a monthly basis. And it has released a ruling allowing over 16 million sole proprietors to deduct tax preparation fees as a business expense rather than as a limited itemized deduction. I want to build on these actions. For example, we are working on a Single Wage Reporting System that would permit businesses to report state and federal wage information through a single entity, thereby consolidating tax reporting requirements and reducing the burden. In coming weeks I will talk more about ways we can (AWK) encourage small businesspeople and the jobs they create. On the regulatory front, I have extended for one year the freeze on paperwork and unnecessary federal regulation that I imposed last winter; the federal regulatory weight hits small businesses particularly hard. I have also instructed federal agencies to look for ways to modify existing regulations that impose a special economic burden on small business. For example, to increase access to capital for small businesses, the 32 SEC has announced proposals to reduce and in some cases eliminate the public disclosure requirement for small companies issuing stock. Since small businesses are particularly vulnerable when credit is tight, we have to help them as our financial system is restructuring. That's why we have authorized over $6 billion in general business loan guarantees through SBA in 1992 -- an increase of more than 50% above 1991. SBA's New England Lending and Recovery Project is a pilot effort that extends credit to viable small firms when access is limited because banks are having difficulty. If it works well and is needed, I'll expand the project to other regions. We also have worked with bank regulators to base real estate values on income earning potential rather than liquidation value. We have taken steps to restructure the small business investment program, the only venture capital program in the government. And we are developing ways to offer special financing to exporting entrepreneurs. Through its procurement assistance program, SBA helped small businesses secure federal contracts worth over $35 billion in FY 90 -- almost 20% of all prime contracts let during that year. To ensure that small businesses can help their 30 communities overcome disasters, we will be providing 33 p30 approximately $ million in low-interest loans to you small businesses in Florida, Louisiana, California, and elsewhere. Finally, we need to help small business by removing burdens to competition. My health care reforms would reduce costs for small businesses without costly government mandates or higher taxes. Enactment of my legislation to establish uniform federal law on product liability would relieve a major competitive handicap that is keeping new products from the market, boasting insurance costs sky high, and killing jobs. B. Support Civilian R&D To be the world's economic leader tomorrow, we clearly have to invest in R&D and new technologies today. Given the pace of change, we have to both come up with new inventions and organize ourselves to deploy new technology without delay. The changes in industrial organization that I described earlier have three major implications for technology development. First, the more rapid product development cycle places a premium on bringing an idea SPACE quickly from the lab to the marketplace. Second, we need to put new technologies to work in all applications in order to reap the full competitive and economic benefits VCR-technology AND from our R&D. While Americans invented the FAX machine, we did not benefit from its explosive popularity. Third, 34 we need to rely increasingly on flexible, agile manufacturing, rather than old style mass production. We should have the capability to make a variety of products quickly and economically -- a process characterized by short product cycles, but also high quality output. Taken together, these developments emphasize decentralization -- an approach exactly opposite to my opponent's "national industrial policies" led by government bureaucrats. We need to get technology development, production, and marketing closer to the consumer, not further away. Moreover, my opponent's call for a cut in support for university-based research will hurt the development of cutting edge technology. My agenda will increase funding for basic research and complement that work with a focus on applied research and development. Despite cuts by Congress, we have 26 managed to increase funding for basic research by 25 TOM scucey-oMB percent since 1989 -- to a record level. We are supporting applied R&D through a series of new, high pay-off investments in critical technologies: a High Performance Computing and Communications EWABLE initiative that will assist the development of a thousand-fold increase in computing 13 405 000 000 (1993 PROPOSED) [TABLE 6-10; PART ONE- 119/FY 93 BUDEET] I - 10 615 000 000 (1989 ACTUAL) [TABLE 6-10; 10; PART ONE- 119/ FY 93 BUDGET] 2 790 000 000 /10 /10 615 000 000 615 000 = 26% 35 capability and a one hundred-fold increase in communications speed by 1996 an initiative to improve the manufacturing and performance of materials -- improvements that will enable advances in a wide range of other technologies. an expanded program in biotechnology research with applications in health, agriculture, and environmental protection. the establishment of the U.S. Advanced Battery consortium, a jointly-funded four-year effort to develop an advanced battery for an emissions-free electric car. a significant increase in our aeronautics research budget, underscoring the importance we place on the U.S. aeronautics industry in an increasingly competitive global market place. SEVEN the establishment of five regional manufacturing technology centers for the distribution of modern manufacturing 36 tools, such as computer-aided design, numerically controlled machines, and robotics. These efforts to develop and apply new technologies need to be complemented by the identification and removal of barriers to the private sector's ability to bring new products and services to the market. That's why my regulatory reform efforts -- including a process that subjects regulations to a competitiveness analysis while still protecting health and safety and a proposal to sunset regulations -- are critical to supporting our enhanced technology development. Just take one example: my opponent has proposed a major new federal government investment in the field of national telecommunications networks at the exact time gel P33 that the private sector is seeking to develop such a P network on its own, but has been stopped from doing so by federal regulations. (Get the facts.) C. Reform Our Legal System Our competitive edge will be dulled if businesses are continually handicapped by a legal system that serves lawyers but frightens people. Therefore, another component of my agenda is a reform of the American civil justice system. America has experienced a civil litigation explosion. Over the past 30 years, federal lawsuits have ALMOST 37 tripled. Instead of being fast, fair, and affordable, our civil justice system is slow, expensive, and putting us at a global disadvantage. Long delays in dispute resolution waste valuable judicial resources, force early settlement by those who meritorious suits, and encourage frivolous suits by those Jeng Jazanowski ? frem Zoellick cannot afford to wait, discourage those who have * NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MANUFACTURERS STUDY TITLED THE COST oF LINGATION: A NEW PERSPECTIVE RELEASE DATE TBA MAPBE AROUND a 9/21/92 who hope to leverage unjust settlements. High punitive QUENTIN RIEGLE AN AUTHOR THE STUDY damage awards are passed on to consumers through higher prices, job cuts, higher insurance, and fewer new products. According to a soon-to-be released study by the [consumers and companys National Association of Manufacturers, Americans spend Flow -d UP $200 billion a year just on direct costs to lawyers. That does not even count lawyers on payrolls or the money spent on court settlements. Our legal system is killing our international competitiveness. Other nations do not face high domestic 6% litigation costs. Foreign companies only need 2-5% of the product liability insurance our firms must carry because we do not have uniform state standards for product liability and punitive damages. The litigation explosion affects everyone. High liability costs have closed playgrounds and pools, CHECK forcing kids on the street with nothing to do. Companies at overseas are afraid to offer products that are aváilable in Europe BECAUSE THEY FEAR It CLASS 7, 38 VOLVO yes -- like a carseat for children built right in the car or But a medical treatment for AIDS -- because they POTUS trouble. fear the liability. Christer 3 My product liability reform legislation takes the minivan alreads trial lawyers head on. I want to stop wide variation among states' product liability rules; stop important makes geat, +vl products from being kept off the market; stop excessive laneguary litigation costs with more money going to lawyers than yulled to injured consumers; cut excessive insurance rates; and the totays end excessive consumer costs. My "Access to Justice Act of 1992" is intended to speech restore fairness and efficiency to the nation's civil justice system through: alternatives to federal civil trials such as alternative dispute resolution; incentives for pre-litigation settlement, including precomplaint notification; and a "loser pays" rule requiring the loser to pay the winner's legal fees in suits involving federal diversity jurisdiction. We also need to continue our work with the states to encourage fundamental change at the state and local level. Lawyers, especially trial lawyers, are a powerful vested interest in our society. They are well represented in Congress and high on the lists of political contributors. My opponent knows them very well. But this is a problem too important to leave to 39 the lawyers and their friends in high places. We must sue each other less and care for each other more. VIII. Economic Security for Working People The American business of the 21st Century will need workers who will bring them to life and keep them ahead of our competition. To be able to contribute and concentrate, working men and women will want to know that they can enjoy economic opportunity and security We can only achieve true security by developing people's capability, not dependency. And we can best supply security through the private sector, not government bureaucracies. It will be government's role to expedite workers' adjustments in a fast-changing marketplace, provide people the means to work and take care of their families, and arm people to face the future by empowering them to make their own choices. In particular, we can enable families to focus on building a future by alleviating their fears about one of the single biggest costs and problems that can knock them back: health care. And we can help foster retirement security through encouraging portable pension savings. 40 A. Job Training Given the rapidity of change in the international and domestic marketplace, we have to prepare people for the prospect of changing jobs and learning new skills many times throughout the course of a productive life. Therefore, we need a range of job training and placement services -- for young people, factory workers, white collar employees, and particularly during this period, defense industry workers. That's why one important portion of my recently-announced workforce adjustment initiative is designed to shift the government away from the old narrowly defined, expensive, and less effective trade adjustment assistance that paid people off without giving them real help to get back the work. Work means more than income to Americans. It is also fundamental to people's self-esteem, their self- confidence. These are attitudes, values, that I want to encourage. I want all Americans to be builders -- for their families, their communities, their country. To encourage the work ethic, we need to make every effort to match people with the jobs created by our entrepreneurial capitalism. The three key features of my job training proposal are: (1) universal coverage, so all dislocated workers will have access to basic transition assistance and 41 training support; (2) skill grant vouchers of up to $3000 to help meet the costs of adding new skills and training; and (3) a tripling of the resources currently devoted to training and worker adjustment, an allocation of $10 billion over five years. This proposal builds on my January plan to streamline the federal job training system through "one-stop shopping" in every community. Experience has demonstrated that the most effective training and placement services are those closely developed with local employers through private industry councils. That way the training is designed to develop skills that employers know they will need. My expanded job training efforts will also be specially designed to help those who may need to change jobs or careers as a result of NAFTA or other trade agreements and the downsizing of our defense-related industries. But we will ensure that we offer training and placement to all workers: those who have lost their jobs, have been notified that their jobs are being terminated, or have been employed in industries experiencing significant changes and workforce adjustments and who fear job loss in the future. These dislocated workers would be eligible to receive three types of assistance: (1) transition- assistance that includes skills assessment, counseling, 42 job-search assistance, and job referral; (2) training assistance in the form of skill grants; and (3) transition income support where necessary for workers completing retraining. I've also proposed a specially-targeted Youth Skills Initiative. A new Youth Training Corps will provide economically and socially disadvantaged young people with intensive vocational training through 55 residential YTC centers nationwide; these centers will be located primarily in rural areas and will seek to utilize converted defense facilities. The YTC will draw from the military's high level of leadership and training expertise by giving a hiring preference to individuals leaving our armed forces. I will also complement the YTC with a "Treat and Train" program to strengthen existing youth drug training programs. To help meet the needs of young people not planning to go on to college, I will expand the National Youth Apprenticeship Program that I began in January. This program offers high school juniors and seniors a combination of classroom instruction and a structured, paid, work-experience program. I want student apprentices to receive both a high school 43 diploma and a widely recognized certificate of skill competency. Students will also have the opportunity to continue training at the post-secondary level. I started my Apprenticeship Program as a demonstration program in 6 states; in my second term, I will expand it to all 50. Finally, I will more than double the size of the present JROTC program, a very successful and popular partnership between the military and schools. JROTC emphasizes self-discipline, values, citizenship, personal responsibility, and staying in school -- it's a first class alternative to drugs and gangs. My goal is to establish 2,900 JROTC units by 1994. Initially, we will expand this program in inner-city high schools, but I want to make JROTC available to every high school across the country that requests it. This program is another way in which we can relate the successful experience of America's veterans to the next generation. B. Affordable Health Care for All Americans The economic security of men and women requires a major reform of the U.S. health care system. The present system provides high quality, high-tech medicine, but at an unacceptable price: spending has increased at a rate two to three times the rest of the 44 economy; thirty-four million Americans have no health insurance; and millions more are afraid to change jobs for fear of losing their health insurance. My program will build on the strengths of the system -- consumer choice, innovation, and state of the art medicine -- while controlling costs and expanding access. I want to guarantee access to health insurance for all poor families through tax credits {or vouchers for those who don't pay taxes} sufficient to pay for a basic health insurance plan ($3,750 for a family). Other low and middle income families would get tax relief to partially offset the cost of their health insurance. In total, some 95 million Americans will benefit. My program also includes: provisions that encourage small businesses to develop less costly health care insurance networks for their employees by combining resources to achieve broader risk sharing, economies of scale, and purchasing power; "job lock" protection for employees and their families so that they will not lose coverage if and when a person changes jobs; 45 guaranteed insurability so that people with "pre-existing" illnesses cannot be denied a job or health coverage on the job; 100% tax deductibility of health care premiums paid by the self-employed, as compared to the present 25% deductibility; malpractice reforms that will reduce the number of unnecessary procedures performed on patients and thereby reduce the cost of medical care; and reforms to encourage widespread use of 10.75 electronic billing to save an estimated $2 billion a year in paper costs. Taken together, my program would cut health care costs by $394 billion over five years through preventive care, reducing defensive medicine, malpractice reform, encouraging enrollment in cost-effective health plans, arming consumers with information about cost and quality, and eliminating administrative waste and unnecessary paperwork. I believe we can provide access to affordable health care for all Americans, while preserving choice for patients and their families in selecting doctors, 46 hospitals, health care programs, and employment. My approach, in contrast with my opponent's, relies on the private sector to deliver health care services. But I would make the market work for us by enhancing competition, which will cut costs. My malpractice reforms would cut costs further by removing the fear of lawsuits that leads to wasteful procedures. I firmly believe that a move to national health insurance, as some of my opponents want, would be a major, irretrievable mistake. That course would turn over the health care sector -- a full 13% of our economy -- to the government. The result would be more bureaucracy, rationed care, inefficiency, and, in the end, even higher costs. My opponent's "pay or play" approach winds up in the same place as nationalized, bureaucratic health insurance -- but through a different route. And it is likely to kill a lot of jobs along the way. Increasing the costs of labor -- the "play" in his approach -- will lead businesses to hire fewer workers. Offering the alternative of government-sponsored health care paid for with new taxes on payrolls -- the "pay" -- will dump the problem in the laps of government bureaucracy with the costs paid for by businesses and workers. 47 C. Pension Portability I have also been concerned about the ability of workers to preserve their retirement pensions as they change jobs. This is a growing need because of the increased likelihood that most workers will have more than one employer over the course of their working years. I proposed an initiative last year to increase Ann Combs, Dep. Asst, pension portability, expand pension coverage, and Secifor Pension and welfare Bens. simplify the law governing pension plans. And I am DOL 244-5126(h) pleased that I was able to sign a law this summer that my portability proposal. Portability wasthe incorporated the key elements of my proposal. The new only one signed. law X enhances retirement security by permitting workers Expansion and simplification are still pending. to transfer accrued pension benefits directly to an IRA x or to their new employer's pension plan. Despite this improvement, I believe we must continue to look for ways to make it easier for workers who change jobs to take pensions with them. We need to eliminate incentives to "cash out" benefits and increase incentives to save for the future. Job training, affordable health care, retirement security. When combined with a new system of education and entrepreneurial, competitive business, we can offer working men and women real economic security in the 21st Century. 48 IX. Leaving No One Behind: Economic Opportunity for Every American For over 200 years, the most exceptional aspect of American society has been the belief, the hope, that this is a land where people can make a better life for themselves and their children. It's this spirit, the commitment to the American Dream, that has made our country and our society the most dynamic in the world. If we are going to use that energy to drive us forward into the 21st Century, we will need to tap the aspirations of each and every one of our citizens. No one should be left behind for want of opportunity. Many of the programs that I have discussed above -- health care for all Americans, child care, job training, pension portability, a new competitive school system based on community involvement and choice for all American families -- support my plan to empower all Americans to make their own choices and better their lives. But I believe we need to do more for certain citizens who have fallen too far behind. My philosophy for enabling all Americans to have a piece of the American Dream is simple: it's based on property and work. Our urban and welfare programs must be designed to enable people to break the cycle of poverty, get back on their feet, get back to work, and 49 take responsibility for their own choices and their own lives. My ideas are in direct conflict with the logic of "welfare rights" that emphasizes entitlements. Nor do I favor "income maintenance" strategies that assume the problem of poverty is simply a lack of income that can be made up by government. Our goal should be to help people develop the human and financial capital that enables them to become self-sufficient. We have made a start down this path with our implementation of the welfare-to-work logic of the Family Support Act of 1988. We have been encouraging flexible and innovative implementation through waivers that enable states to develop new programs to enhance parental and family responsibility and to insist on education and job training for those on welfare. In our inner cities, we need to restore hope by clearing away the handicap of crime, building a core of property owners, creating business incentives, restoring infrastructure, and focusing our programs on work and discipline. Enterprise zones can create solid economic foundations in distressed communities. Our "Weed and Seed" effort can help reclaim and revitalize impoverished and embattled communities by eliminating the fear of drugs and violence, targeting coordinated human services 50 programs, and improving the housing stock and infrastructure. We also need to extend opportunity by enabling lower income families to build assets -- for example, by allowing aid recipients to accumulate higher savings without losing their eligibility. And we need to expand homeowner opportunities to lower and middle income families. For example, HOPE grants enable more inner-city people to own their own homes. Our $5,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers would help; so would permitting voucher recipients to apply their rental subsidies toward the purchase of a home. We can enhance the choice, quality, and availability of housing through affordable rent subsidies in the form of housing vouchers, and through our "Perestroika in Public Housing" program that widens opportunities for public housing tenants to change the management of troubled projects. This property and work-based approach need not be more expensive than the traditional welfare bureaucracy. For example, over the past 12 years, federal spending for low income assistance doubled even after inflation -- from $9.1 billion in 1980 to $18.3 billion this year (both in 1992 dollars). This year, HUD is providing housing assistance to 4.6 million low-income families, 51 up from 3.1 million in 1980. I have pressed to switch some of this funding to vouchers because they are more cost effective than constructing new public housing units. Furthermore, families wouldn't have to wait five years for the units to be built, and the vouchers give families more choice. For too long, the barons of Congress have refused to discard failed programs that perpetuate welfare dependency. Originally, many of these programs were well intentioned, and I respect those who tried them. But now we know better. Give us a chance to try a different approach that will empower people to help themselves, to build some capital for their families, to make choices that develop self-respect and discipline. That's the real way to offer economic opportunity for every American, to leave no one behind. X. Keeping Government Slim My blueprint envisages an important government role to make a secure and strong America. But it is also important that government not siphon off more private resources than is absolutely necessary to perform the functions that will help us win the economic competition. Because an overweight government -- one that serves the special interests instead of America's interest -- will handicap our country in the race of a new era. 52 A number of the items on my agenda can be accomplished by redirecting current funding away from bureaucracies and towards people. My agenda empowers people with the means to work, own property, build capital, raise families, and be effective contributors within our private market economy. Some of my ideas -- for example, legal and health care reforms -- should help us save money. Contrary to the assertions of some politicians and special interest groups, spending as a percentage of the nation's GDP has been going up, not down. In 1991, the Federal government spent 23.5% of what our nation produced. That compares with 17.6% in 1965, 19.9% in 1970, 22.0% in 1975, and 22.3% in 1980. So not only has government grown as the economy has grown, but government is taking a bigger share. The American people are not taxed too little. The American government spends too much. In my acceptance speech I noted some of the efforts I will make to hold down spending. I have proposed capping growth on mandatory spending, other than social security. That would still permit spending at present levels plus an adjustment for inflation and population growth. Yet this cap would save $294 billion over five years. 53 To start to implement this cap, I have proposed over almost $72 billion in specific spending cuts for "mandatory" programs (FY93-97). If you add these proposed cuts to others I have previously called for but which Congress has not yet enacted, my specific cuts would total about $132 billion over five years. I have also proposed the outright elimination of 246 specific discretionary programs. By way of comparison, my opponent has specifically proposed less than $5 billion in cuts in mandatory programs. And he has specifically proposed to eliminate only one program -- the honeybee subsidy program, which Senator Gore voted to retain. 4 times Furthermore, I proposed freezing all other spending, and I will enforce this freeze by vetoing any bill Congress sends me that spends more than I asked for in my budget. I've asked Congress for the line item veto, a disciplinary tool utilized effectively by the governors of 43 states. This veto authority is important not only to help cut spending, but to increase my leverage with a Congress that seeks to tax more and spend more. Government should be subject to the discipline of a balanced budget amendment. State governments operate that way. Businesses operate that way. Families operate that way. And given the breakdown of Congressional 54 discipline, we need an amendment to ensure that the Federal government operates that way. If we had such an amendment earlier, we wouldn't be paying almost $200 billion dollars a year on interest for the debt left us by earlier Congresses. I also believe taxpayers should have the right to direct 10% of their tax payments to reduce debt and spending through a "check-off" on their tax forms. If all taxpayers took the full 10%, the cut would be about $50 billion. That's only 3% of the Federal budget of about $1.5 trillion. Since federal spending has been growing at a rate of about 8% per year, even this proposed cut would still enable spending to grow; it would just grow more slowly. Some editorialists slight my checkoff proposal, but the American people seem to like it, and I think I know why. The checkoff proposal traces its roots to a venerable tradition in American history. At the turn of this century, many people were concerned that the government establishment was slipping away from the people it is supposed to serve. This movement led to a number of innovations such as referenda, the right of recall, and the direct election of senators. The idea of term limits for Senators and Congressmen, which I fully support, is another of this type of reform. At the time each was proposed, the conventional thinkers mocked 55 the changes. The same is true today. Given the breakdown in spending discipline in Congress, it's time that we insist on compensating reforms that give the people a bigger say in the direction of Federal government spending. I say it's time to give the people the power to cut the deficit. The size and structure of the Government also needs to be slimmed down and changed. Its organization of the Federal Government reflects ways of doing business that are now 30 to 50 years old. Companies all across America have been restructuring, cutting costs, becoming more efficient -- preparing to be more competitive in a fast- changing marketplace. I believe the Federal Government can and should do the same thing. I'll be talking more about this later, but I believe a streamlining of the Federal Government should include three elements: First, I will cut the operating budget of the Executive Office of the President by 33% if Congress agrees to subject its operations to a cut of the same size. With fewer Congressional staffers badgering the Executive Branch, I know we can cut costs by that amount. Second, I believe all federal employees earning above $55,000 a year should be subject to a 5% pay cut; other Americans have tightened their belts, and so should the better-paid federal workers. Finally, I believe we can restructure and reduce the size of the Executive Branch 56 through a consolidation of agencies and bureaus that will enable us to do our job better. Why should the Federal Government by the only large organization in America that continually adds size and offices, and never gets rid of anything? Therefore, I will submit a streamlined reorganization plan for the Executive Branch to the new Congress -- and I hope they take the hint, too. Let me give you an example. In many respects, the Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, or ACDA, is a creature of the Cold War. It needs to adapt to the Cheek? times. Its highly trained scientists and engineers are a valuable resource. Some of them can support our efforts to stem and reverse the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction. But others may be well suited to work at defense conversion -- transforming the genius of modern day swords into 21st Century plowshares. Multiply this idea by a hundred, or even a thousand, others. We can get ride of some tasks, conduct others more efficiently, and add new ones where appropriate to support my agenda. I also am committed to reducing the tax burden on the American people. I have said that I will propose to further reduce taxes across-the-board, provided we pay for those cuts with specific spending reductions that I consider appropriate, so that we do not increase the deficit. 57 To give you a an illustrative sense of the kinds of tax cuts we could achieve if we discipline spending, just consider what we could do if Congress acted on the $130 billion in specific spending reductions that I have already proposed. These savings alone could finance an across-the-board rate cut of 1 percent, a reduction of the small business tax rate from 15% to 10%, an increase in small business expensing of investment in equipment, and a reduction of the capital gains tax. In sum, my direction is clear -- I want to spend less and tax less. My opponent wants to spend more and tax more. I believe the Federal Government can reallocate its almost $1.5 trillion in spending more effectively if we implement my agenda. The reductions in defense spending that we have already begun will provide some of these funds, and I don't want them wasted in a torrent of new spending programs designed by a horde of special interests. I honestly believe that this is the only way to get the size and spending of government under control. I know that serious-minded people believe we need to increase revenues to close the deficit. But it won't work. I have seen too many times that efforts to close the deficit by increasing taxes have only turned out to give Congress a license to spend more money. There's a 58 reason for this. Spending is power for Congressmen. That's how they show influence, placate interest groups. That's how they get elected. If you give them more tax money, they will spend it. XI. A Strategy for Implementation This year is an important turning point for the United States. We are entering a new era, and for the first time in many years, it appears that Congress will have 150 new faces for the President to work with. That's why I'm asking for a mandate for my program. That's why I have promised that I will meet with all new members -- all 150 or more before they are besieged by the special interests and permanent staffs. I also believe we need to take another step to ensure that the new Congress does not become like the old one. The root of the present problem is political contributions from organized special interests through 18 political action committees, or PACS. Ten years ago, ger PACs raised and contributed $ million to political candidates. This year the number will be closer to $ million. The other party doesn't want to do anything about it, because they are the biggest recipients. I want to put them to the test. I want a new Congress to stay clean. So an important part of my new legislative 59 agenda will be a simple bill that bars all contributions by PACS. I am committed to make my program work with Congress. Between the election and the convening of a new Congress, I will lay out an implementation plan for my agenda. I intend to be ready to present the new Congress a first-year plan to carry out the legislative proposals described in this agenda: A tax cut package, including a cut in the capital gains tax, to spur entrepreneurial capitalism and small business My health care reforms My job training programs A radical overhaul of American education to emphasize excellence, standards, competition, entrepreneurial schools and a "G.I. Bill for Kids" that will give parents a choice of schools. NAFTA A package to cut spending, including a Balanced Budget Amendment More general tax cuts paid for through new spending and growth 60 A government reorganization plan to streamline the structure, ensure functions to fit new needs, and cut salaries at higher levels Reform of our legal system A package to clear away crime, build business, and put people to work in our inner cities An expansion of Civilian R&D linked to new applications New trade negotiating authority Ban on PAC contributions Now I know I may not be able to get everything I want in the exact way I want it. But your support for a mandate to get it done would give me momentum. And then I intend to fight for this agenda, fight as hard as I can to get as much as I can, and come back again to get more. If Congress hesitates on some fronts, I intend to keep moving forward. You have seen that we can implement back-to-work welfare reform by granting waivers that enable the states to do the job more effectively. Similarly, 44 states and more than 1700 communities have started to implement my educational reforms while Congress has stalled. We can get a great deal done at the state and local levels. 61 I will work with governors, state legislatures, local governments, and the private sector to pursue my agenda. While I want a Congress that can help me do the job, I'm committed to getting the job done one way or the other. This is my Agenda for American Renewal. With the end of the long Cold War, we can direct more energy and resources to target problems at home. The American people want that. The American people deserve that. At the same time, Americans recognize that the great events of recent years have shook the world, and it will never be the same. If we are to succeed as a nation and as a people, if we are to hold true to all that has made America the last, best hope on earth, then our renewal at home must at the same time enable us make the 21st Century another American Century. My Agenda draws together our people and our government to take on this challenge. We will create a $10 trillion economy. We will renew America. We will win the peace. My approach to this challenge is fundamentally different from my opponent's. I want to stimulate entrepreneurial capitalism. I want to help people by enabling them to make their own choices about health, 62 education, job training, and child care from a variety of competing alternatives. I want to supply services through the private sector. I believe people should sue each other less and care for each other more. I want Government to spend less and tax less. I will fight without hesitation for a free and fair flow of trade, capital, and ideas around the world. I believe America should compete, not retreat. I know times have been tough for too many Americans. I have sought to explain the causes of these problems and what I will do about them. of course, you will have change. The question is what type of change. You face a serious choice. And I ask, when you step into that voting booth, please consider carefully which candidate's agenda for change fits best with your beliefs, America's experience, and lasting peace and prosperity. 63 APPENDIX A: Some Facts About the American Economy The average unemployment rate during my term has remained below the average of the Carter years and puts us well ahead of G-7 partners like Canada, Britain, and France -- where unemployment rates are 10% or higher. Average family income reached $42,652 in 1990, $15,000 more than before the expansion began. it the 80's asp A recent study by the Urban Institute concluded: "When one follows individuals rather than statistical groups defined by income, one finds that, on average, the rich got a little richer and the poor got much richer This pattern, however, may be surprising to the general public which has been led to believe that the poor were literally getting poorer over the last decade or two, and that the THIS incomes of the rich were skyrocketing. That is simply not true. " More than half the people making up the lowest fifth of the income distribution in the late get P. 1970s, moved up the income ladder and out of that category over the next ten years. 64 Moreover, the middle class shrank because more of them moved above the $50,000 threshold and 3 & into the high income groups --they weren't or seme Prev STATE moving down. of Real per capita income rose 15.7% during the '80s. {Consider a substitute statistic} BOSIEN 3 wage data, compensation, hourly easings vs: Proppis All major demographic groups shared in the total approxity economic growth. Between 1982 and 1991, dimpensating per capita 317.936P still INCREASE PER employment of Blacks was up 29% and Hispanics vs, family 52%. The employment-to-population ratio for (family Black Americans during my tenure has averaged fonds to a record 55.7%, up 52.8% during the Carter do better) IN Some income /compensati/ years. 198°, '89 wage statistic to Conter Since 1980: life expectancy has increased from engonis 73.7 to 75.3 years; the infant mortality rate was has dropped from 12 to 10.1 for 1,000 live 10 P births; deaths from heart diseases have dropped See impression from 202 to 166 per hundred thousand people, an 18% decline; deaths from strokes and related diseases have dropped from 40.8 to 29.7 per hundred thousand people, a 27% decline. 65 Our 1993 Budget request for Childrens' Programs reflects an increase of 66% since 1989; we sue P 9 recommended funding of $100 billion for programs assisting children in . From 1980 to 1991, Federal support for Education increased 59%, to $54.6 billion. The total volume of guaranteed student loans grew from $4.6 billion in 1980 to $11.5 billion in Naty Post-secondary Student Aid Study DoEd 1991 -- an increase of almost 150%. One XX of HALF Bill Moran 708-8391 X + + + every two at X-year X students 4-year public Bill Moran actual % is 43% institutions X gets a federal student loan or XX x X X X 708-8391 He says I is okay. If we cut "4-yr, pub. inst." X gránt. % becomes 52%. During the 1980s, expenditures per student in public elementary and secondary schools rose from $2,502 to $5,266, an increase of 110%. The United States is spending more per pupil than any other country except Switzerland. Federal investments in biomedical research have p9 almost tripled since 1980, reaching a level of $9.4 billion in 1993. Since 1989, we have increased AIDS research funding by 39%, to over $1.2 billion dollars; 66 AIDS prevention funding by 29% to $621 million;, and AIDS treatment funding by 240% to $2.5 billion. Total public investment in infrastructure in the 1980s grew 2.2% annually, roughly equal to the growth of the 1960s and greater than the growth of the 1970s. Since 1989, Federal spending for infrastructure MORE THAN has increased at a nominal average of 6% annually. And I signed into law a Surface Transportation Act that will support over one million jobs per year while strengthening our road, rail, and air transport systems. Government investment in R&D is at a record BUDGET FY93 FY PART ONE- 88 level of $76 billion. SECTIONG ENHANCINE R&D AND EXPANDING THE HUMAN FRONTIER Spending on Federal law enforcement has grown 10 from $4.8 billion in 1981 to an estimated $15.8 sie billion in 1993. This has paralleled a dramatic 22% decrease in the national crime rate over the same period: -- Rape decreased 33% -- Robbery was down 24% 67 -- Assaults fell by 14% -- Theft was down 25% According to the National Institute on Drug Abuse, the current use of any illicit drug by Americans age 12 & over dropped 10.8 million, or roughly 45% between 1985 and 1991. Our National Drug Control Strategy helped cut overall drug use by 13% and adolescent use by 27%. The Federal budget for environmental programs more than doubled since we took office. And we have proposed a 22% increase -- an added $3.4 billion -- for 1993. ) The U.S. currently spends more on pollution control than any other country in the world, OVER devoting at least $115 billion annually, worth 2% of our GDP. That's why during the past two decades: -- Lead pollution is down 96% -- Carbon monoxide poisoning is down 41% : Water pollution {suspended solids} is down 80% 68 -- Sulphur dioxide pollution {contributes to acid rain} is down 25% With the new Clean Air Act, which I promised in 1988 that we would achieve, we will cut acid rain emissions in half, reduce smog in our cities, and cut air toxic emissions by 75%. By pressing for and achieving the Americans with Disabilities Act, another promise from 1988, we will bring almost 43 million disabled Americans into the economic mainstream. All major categories of exports gained during my term. Exports of industrial supplies increased by 22%, capital goods by 45%, 36 78 automotive by -26%, and consumer goods by 98%. U.S. export growth under my leadership has been roughly twice the rate of the other G-7 major industrial countries. 18-50 (3 TRILL D 30 FOSTE BILLION) isery Index -- the sum of infla '81 - NOW BUEN .8 percent today, down from THE 19.6 2. BTRILLION YRS NEXT 12 INCREASE IN è NEARLY percent. GD P (5898 DOUBLED IT year low. (w/no acced of ns gives us the highest standa inflation (IF WE И we care get NEARLY DOUBLE ship rate of all major indust there by the IT year 2000 AGAIN) mts W ren on to higher education - -in lesther - a ra well above Germany's 32 percen (Halians double it em 4 A yrs cu3 inflat is high's population, we produce 25 percent OF the world's total output. I could go on, but I do not mean to suggest that all is well -- that we do not need to lead and manage the changes transforming our economy. Yet we must recognize what we have But you cant chart the stars fyou think He sky is folling. accomplished together this remarkable American engine we have WE HAVE has almost doubled the Size of our economy Its an if built Over the past 12 years our GDP increased $1. trillion. we created two extra economics REAL CAMOST It's as if we created an economy the size of Germany's from 94% scratch. Certainly our goal of a $10 trillion economy is not (NCR) beyond reach will we neet OM goals? How do we get there? Before outlining the specifics of my agenda, allow me to set out four principles. I believe these principles are enduring, and deeply embedded in the American I wldnt soy theyve always been enduring. l Eg., Like He 4thove) Cline cut enduring here, but still lewe He rest seetern