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Originally Processed With FOIA(s): FOIA Number: S S FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential Library Staff. Record Group/Collection: George H.W. Bush Presidential Records Collection/Office of Origin: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Speech File Backup Files Subseries: Alpha File, 1987-1991 OA/ID Number: 13845 Folder ID Number: 13845-002 Folder Title: Latin America, 1989-1990 Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: G 26 23 3 2 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 23, 1990 A11 Peru, in Its Darkest Hour, May Be Close to Dawn LIMA-Economic mismanagement in Vargas Llosa, the pro-free-market candi- and Argentina, have taken half-measures despite man's imperfections. Peru has reached such proportions that date, will win. The polls give him 50%, that do more harm than good because they Mr. Vargas Llosa also has been accused statistics that reflect it sound unreal. De- with leftist Alfonso Barrantes second at impose hardships on the population without of being stubborn and authoritarian. But spite tight control of prices, inflation 14% and the government party's Luis Alva reaching the roots of the problems. Typi- true leaders, such as Winston Churchill reached 1,720% in 1988 and 2,775% in 1989. Castro trailing at 10%. But there are cally they administer International Mone- and Margaret Thatcher, are often thought Gross National Product per capita dropped deeper grounds for optimism. tary Fund-style monetary shocks without to be stubborn. Only a combination of a 11.1% and 14.2% in each of the same years, Peru may be the first country where the deep structural changes that release strong character with the right ideas can and real wages have fallen 60% in the past Latin America's inefficient statist model market-led growth. Monetary orthodoxy is get a country like Peru out of the mess it is 12 months. dies a natural death, without foreign or worse than useless if you do not also un- in. The combination is rare. Too many With seven different artificial exchange military intervention. Credit for this is ravel the overmanned state enterprises, other countries in a similar plight have ei- rates and a labyrinth of subsidies, Peru- partly due to President Alan Garcia, a car- eliminate monopolies, dismiss redundant ther no strong leader to guide them or icature of the Latin American demagogue. bureaucrats, free rigid labor markets, re- have a strong leader with the right in- The Americas Incapable of the soft-spoken incompetence form prohibitive tax systems and remove stincts but little knowledge of economics of Brazil's Jose Sarney or Argentina's barriers to foreign investment. (Poland's Lech Walesa or Argentina's Raul Alfonsin-who managed to make Mr. Vargas Llosa may be aware of all Carlos Menem). By David Gallagher their statist policies sound plausible in the this. But does he have the right advisers, Thanks to Mr. Vargas Llosa's openness midst of disaster-Mr. Garcia's wild ges; and does he have the clout? and his gift for words, the simplest of ticulating from the balcony of the presiden- The economists working for him are ca- Peruvians have learned to grasp economic vians can devote their energies to spectac- tial palace has made him look like a char- pable, and they have been preparing them- fundamentals. This means he will have a ular fiddles. For instance, you can get an acter out of Chaplin's "Great Dictator" or selves for months. As for himself, Mr. clear mandate for Latin America's first 'agricultural credit" at an interest rate of Woody Allen's "Bananas." Peruvians Vargas Llosa has demonstrated his tenac- well-thought-out program of political and 255% per annum, in real terms the equiva- could not help but grasp the irrationality of ity by the years he has devoted to writing economic freedom. The potential demon- lent of minus 2,520%. With it. you can im- his policies. his complex yet polished novels. His cour- stration effect on other countries should port a tractor at an exchange rate 11 times age was demonstrated by his unflinching have Western governments queuing up to Photo Copy Preservation Also Mr. Garcia's populist measures more favorable than the market rate. You criticism of the totalitarian aspects of the help. And help he needs, with millions of have been more tellingly audacious than then sit and wait for the chain to reverse Cuban revolution, when it was suicidally Peruvians already close to hunger levels. those of his neighbors. By freezing prices, and sell the tractor-probably even re-ex- unfashionable to do SO. He gradually Governments and banks will have to be raising wages by decree, subsidizing credit port it-at a 1,000% profit. In the mean- turned away from socialism because of his understanding about Peru's foreign debt. and inflating public expenditure in 1985, he time, you would not actually use the trac- interest in actual evidence. Without aban- The U.S. government is anxious that the achieved growth of 9.5% in 1986 and 7.8% tor, because as a local producer you could doning his concern for the poor, he saw in 1987. The very gap between the expecta- Peruvian coca plantations be uprooted, de- not compete with lavishly subsidized food that socialist policies invariably decreased tions thus aroused and the disaster that fol- spite strong demand from American con- imports. the few options open to the poor. lowed has had a salutary didactic effect sumers. The U.S. should contribute gener- Mr. Vargas Llosa has been accused of In an economy where some people ously to crop replacement. Otherwise Peru By the time Mr. Garcia staggers to the end being a "fundamentalist." Fortunately, on make fortunes but most get poorer, you of his mandate, Peruvians should be im might be tempted to legalize the drug economic matters he is, because what can buy matches at a newsstand in individ- mune from demagogic interventionism. barons in order to concentrate its re; Peru needs is a return to basic principles. sources on the defeat of terrorism. ual units, because some people cannot af- The Peruvian mess stems from years of ford a whole box. Add the activities of the But he is not naive. Like most novelists, he Mr. Vargas Llosa's success depends on irrational resource allocation by pea- is in fact a skeptic. His novels could even narcotics mafia and the Maoist "Shining two additional factors. Fredemo, the coali- brained bureaucrats (at the present count, Path," perhaps the world's most vicious be accused of undue pessimism, with their tion that supports him, must gain an over 800,000 of them) driven either by self-inter merciless exposures of man's corruptibil- terrorist group, and one wonders if there is all majority in Congress: And some of the est or by the pressures, of favor-seeking ity and abuse of power. The few characters any hope for. Peru? coalition's conservative politicians, who businessmen and union bosses. To undo the who preserve their ideals in them come still believe in economic paternalism, will Actually, Peru, with a presidential elec- mess, deep structural reforms are neces- across like knights without armor. But have to swallow their pride and let Mr. tion due on April 8, is one of the few Latin sary. Mr. Vargas Llosa knows all this, and then the libertarian principles that he has Vargas Llosa govern. Two very big "ifs," American countries about which one can his governmental program, "Action. for turned to are the only ones coherent with but despair can breed wonders. be cautiously optimistic. This is due to the Change," spells out in detail the reforms this skeptical vision. It is only with politi- happy convergence of several factors. For needed to get the country moving again. cal and economic freedom, and their ensu- Mr. Gallagher is 11 writer and invest- one it is probable that novelist Mario Other countries, as disparate as Poland ing competition, that society can function ment consultant based in Santiago, Chile. CONTRAS THE WHITE HOUSE Office of the Press Secretary For Immediate Release March 24, 1989 Bipartisan Accord on Central America The Executive and the Congress are united today in support of democracy, peace, and security in Central America. The United States supports the peace and democratization process and the goals of the Central American Presidents embodied in the Esquipulas Accord. The United States is committed to working in good faith with the democratic leaders of Central America and Latin America to translate the bright promises of Esquipulas II into concrete realities on the ground. With regard to Nicaragua, the United States is united in its goals: democratization; an end to subversion and destabilization of its neighbors; an end to Soviet bloc military ties that threaten U.S. and regional security. Today the Executive and the Congress are united on a policy to achieve those goals. To be successful the Central American peace process cannot be based on promises alone. It must be based on credible standards of compliance, strict timetables for enforcement, and effective on-going means to verify both the democratic and security requirements of those agreements. We support the use of incentives and disincentives to achieve U.S. policy objectives. We also endorse an open, consultative process with bipartisanship as the watchword for the development and success of a unified policy towards Central America. The Congress recognizes the need for consistency and continuity in policy and the responsibility of the Executive to administer and carry out that policy, the programs based upon it, and to conduct American diplomacy in the region. The Executive will consult regularly and report to the Congress on progress in meeting the goals of the peace and democratization process, including the use of assistance as outlined in this Accord. Under Esquipulas II and the El Salvador Accord, insurgent forces are supposed to voluntarily reintegrate into their homeland under safe, democratic conditions. The United States shall encourage the Government of Nicaragua and the Nicaraguan Resistance to continue the cessation of hostilities currently in effect. To implement our purposes, the Executive will propose and the bipartisan leadership of the Congress will act promptly after the Easter Recess to extend humanitarian assistance at current levels to the Resistance through February 28, 1990, noting that the Government of Nicaragua has agreed to hold new elections under international supervision just prior to that date. Those funds shall also be available to support voluntary reintegration or voluntary regional relocation by the Nicaraguan Resistance. Such voluntary reintegration or more 2 voluntary regional relocation assistance shall be provided in a manner supportive of the goals of the Central American nations, as expressed in the Esquipulas II agreement and the El Salvador Accord, including the goal of democratization within Nicaragua, and the reintegration plan to be developed pursuant to those accords. We believe that democratization should continue throughout Central America in those nations in which it is not yet complete with progress towards strengthening of civilian leadership, the defense of human rights, the rule of law and functioning judicial systems, and consolidation of free, open, safe, political processes in which all groups and individuals can fairly compete for political leadership. We believe that democracy and peace in Central America can create the conditions for economic integration and development that can benefit all the people of the region and pledge ourselves to examine new ideas to further those worthy goals. While the Soviet Union and Cuba both publicly endorsed the Esquipulas Agreement, their continued aid and support of violence and subversion in Central America is in direct violation of that regional agreement. The United States believes that President Gorbachev's impending visit to Cuba represents an important opportunity for both the Soviet Union and Cuba to end all aid that supports subversion and destabilization in Central America as President Arias has requested and as the Central American peace process demands. The United States Government retains ultimate responsibility to define its national interests and foreign policy, and nothing in this Accord shall be interpreted to infringe on that responsibility. The United States need not spell out in advance the nature or type of action that would be undertaken in response to threats to U.S. national security interests. Rather it should be sufficient to simply make clear that such threats will be met by any appropriate Constitutional means. The spirit of trust, bipartisanship, and common purpose expressed in this Accord between the Executive and the Congress shall continue to be the foundation for its full implementation and the achievement of democracy, security, and peace in Central America. George Bush President of the United States James C. Wright, Jr. Robert Dole Speaker of the House Senate Republican Leader George J. Mitchell Robert H. Michel Senate Majority Leader House Republican Leader Thomas S. Foley House Majority Leader THE WHITE HOUSE, March 24, 1989. ### CONTRAS THE WHITE HOUSE Office of the Press Secretary For Immediate Release March 24, 1989 STATEMENT BY THE PRESIDENT The President of a Central American democracy was asked recently what is the most important step the United States can take. He said, "Speak with one voice." Today, for the first time in many years, the President and Congress, the Democratic and Republican leadership in the House and Senate, are speaking with one voice about Central America. In my inaugural address I reached out my hand to the leadership of Congress in both parties asking them to join with me to rebuild a bipartisan foreign policy based on trust and common purpose. Today, I am gratified that the Speaker and the Majority and Minority Leaders of the Senate and House have extended their hands back to me. We have signed today together a Bipartisan Accord on Central America. It sets out the broad outlines of U.S. policy towards that troubled region and commits both the Executive and Congress to work together to achieve it. The goals we seek are the goals which the people of Central America yearns for: democracy, security, and peace. Those are the pledges made by the Central American Presidents in the Esquipulas II Accord. That agreement is an integrated whole: all of its provisions must move forward together if any of them are to be fulfilled. Our challenge now is to turn those promises into concrete realities on the ground. The only way we can meet that challenge is if Latin democratic leaders and the United States work together, with the support of our European friends and allies, as true partners with candor and mutual respect. I believe Latin leaders are asking for that kind of relationship as we confront together the many challenges facing our hemisphere. As President, I pledge the United States is ready to respond. Under this Central America agreement, insurgent forces have the right to re-integrate into their homeland under safe, democratic conditions with full civil and political rights. That is the desire of the Nicaraguan Resistance. It is what they are fighting for. We hope and believe it can be achieved through a concerted diplomatic effort to enforce this regional agreement. - more - - 2 - To achieve these goals the bipartisan leadership of Congress has agreed to support my request for continued humanitarian assistance to the Nicaraguan Resistance through the elections scheduled in Nicaragua for February 28, 1990. There will be extensive consultations and review with respect to these funds effective November 30, 1989 by the bipartisan leadership and relevant committees. However, I have been assured that the leadership in both Houses supports the extension of this assistance through the Nicaraguan elections barring unforeseen circumstances. There is no shortcut to democracy; no quick fix. The next weeks and months will demand patience and perseverance by the democratic community and the hard, technical work of ensuring compliance with the Esquipulas Accord. The United States will work in good faith to support that kind of diplomatic effort, but we will not support a paper agreement that sells out the Nicaraguan people's right to be free. We do not claim the right to order the politics of that country. That is for the people of Nicaragua to decide. We support what the Esquipulas Accord requires: free, open, political processes in which all groups can fairly and safely compete for political leadership. That means the playing field must be level; all, including the current government must respect the majority's decision in the end, and the losers much also retain the political rights to operate as a legal opposition and contest again for political authority in the next recurring election contest. The burden of proof is on the Sandinista government to do something it has steadfastly refused to do from 1979 to 1989: to keep its promises to the Nicaraguan people to permit real democracy; keep its promises to its neighbors not to support subversion in Central America; and keep its obligation to this hemisphere not to permit the establishment of Soviet bloc bases in Central America. If those promises are kept we have an opportunity to start a new day in Central America; but if those p edges continue to be violated, we hope and expect that other nations will find ways to join us to condemn those actions and reverse those processes. The Soviet Union also has an obligation and an opportunity: to demonstrate that its proclaimed commitment to "new thinking" is more than a tactical response to temporary setbacks, but represents instead a new principled approach to foreign policy. - more - - 3 - In other regional conflicts around the world the Soviet Union has adopted a welcome new approach that has helped resolve long-standing problems in constructive ways. In Central America what we have seen from the Soviet Union and Cuba can only be described as "old thinking." In the last decade, the Soviet bloc has poured at least $50 billion in aid into Cuba and Nicaragua. Soviet and Cuban aid is building in Nicaragua a military machine larger than all the armies of the other Central American nations combined and continues to finance violence, revolution, and destruction against the democratically elected government of El Salvador. Indeed, Soviet bloc military support for the Marxist guerrillas has increased since the United States ended military support for the Nicaraguan Resistance and Soviet military aid to the government of Nicaragua continues at levels wholly uncalled for by any legitimate defensive needs. The continuation of these levels of Soviet bloc aid into Central America raises serious questions about Soviet attitudes and intentions towards the United States. The Soviet Union has no legitimate security interest in Central America; and the United States has many. We reject any doctrine of equivalence of interest in this region as a basis for negotiations. Instead, the Soviet Union and Cuba have an obligation to the leaders of Central America to stop violating the provisions of the Esquipulas Accord which the Soviet Union and Cuba both pledged to uphold. The time to begin is now. In signing the Esquipulas Accord, President Oscar Arias of Costa Rica said: "Without democracy, there can be no peace in Central America.' He is right. But with democracy and peace in Central America can come new hope for economic development in which all of the people of the region can share. One can look at the terrible violence ravaging Central America and despair, but I have a different vision of its future. I can see a democratic Central America in which all of the nations of the region live in peace with each other; where the citizens of the region are safe from the violence of the state or from revolutionary guerrillas; where resources now devoted to military defense could be channeled to build hospitals, homes, and schools. That is not a dream if all the people and nations of the Americas will it to be true. I hope the Esquipulas Accord and perhaps, also, the Bipartisan Accord, will someday be seen as the first step toward its fulfillment. # # # WALL STREET JOURNAL 03/20/90 Help Latin America and Help Ourselves By PETER F. DEUCKER We also cannot realistically expect food Who needs Latin America? "We don't," exports to bounce back. For a few short most American businessmen would say. years ahead there may be sharply in- But it is the wrong answer- Latin America, creased demand to assuage almost certain rather than Japan. holds the key to the famine in the Soviet Bloc, but food relief U.S. trade deficit. on a massive scale can be maintained only Whatever may be wrong with American for a few short years. Yet the U.S. trade industry-and many things are surely deñcit cannot continue indefinitely. and wrong-it is not "lack of international perhaps not even for many more years. competitiveness." Since the overvaluation The interest payments on the debt due of the dollar was corrected nearly five our suppliers already greatly exceed our years ago. U.S. industry has turned in a capacity to earn foreign exchange to serv- stellar performance. especially in export- ice them. While the foreign creditors can ing to Western Europe and Japan. A host convert their dollar claims into U.S. as- of industrial exporters-South Korea, Bra- sets-that is, buy American businesses and zil, Taiwan, Singapore-became bigger real estate-and most economists consider players in world trade. Yet the U.S. has re- this to be harmless and perhaps beneficial, gained the share of the world's manufac- tured-goods exports it held before the over- "buying America" clearly will not be toler- valuation-as large 2 share as the U.S. ated long politically. ever held except in the immediate post- There are, in effect: only two ways to World War II period. cut the trade deficit. In the wrong but tra- ditional way, a very sharp recession cuts Nor can the U.S. trade deficit be domestic consumption by 10% or so. The blamed on "excessive imports. "Manufac- alternative: a revival of Latin America as tured-goods imports account for a smaller a customer for U.S. manufactured goods. share of America's GNP-9%-than they do in any other developed-country except It would be 2 great deal easier to turn around Latin America than to turn around Japan. And the Japanese are now "out- sourcing" at such a furious rate that the Eastern Europe. the region on which most attention is focused now. Latin America is import share of manufactured goods in Ja- home to 300 million people-almost as pan's GNP is likely to match the U.S. fig- many as in the Soviet Bloc. In sharp con- ure within four or five years. trast to the Soviet Bloc. Latin America What then explains the massive Ameri- comfortably feeds itself and has a substan- can trade deficit? Its main cause is the col- tial surplus of both food and industrial raw lapse of the world's food and raw materi- materials. In the larger countries there is als economy in the past decade. an excellent supply of well-trained engi- World's Largest Producer The U.S. is the world's largest producer Drucker on Management and-exporter of agricultural and forest products, and about one-third of the trade deficit is directly traceable to this collapse About one-third of the in prices and demand. Another third or so is owing to the impact of the raw-materials trade deficit is directly trace- depression on what traditionally was one of U.S. manufacturers' best foreign CUS- able to the collapse in raw- tomers-Latin America. Indeed in most materials prices and demand. Latin American countries U.S. imports tra- ditionally accounted for half or more of all Another third or so, to the manufactured-goods imports. (By the way, most of Japan's export surplus is far less a impact of the depression on result of industrial prowess than of the one of U.S. manufacturers' raw-materials depression: Japan-the world's largest raw-materials importer-is best foreign customers. the main beneficiary.) The trade deficit will not be eliminated neers, entrepreneurs, accountants, econo- by increasing exports of manufactured- mists and lawyers. And they did not have goods to Western Europe and Japan In- to become moral eunuchs to get an educa- deed If Japan removed all restrictions to tion or to get and hold 75 decent job. U.S. imports. U.S. exports would at most Nor do the educated people of Latin grow by 55 billion-as against a trade defi- America have to be "re-educated" to func- cit with Japan of $50 billion. And the U.S. tion in a free economy. Until the raw-mate- will be hard pressed to maintain current rials depression hit. Latin Americans export volume with the developed world in worked effectively in a market economy the years ahead. when world manufactur- and participated in rapid economic growth ing competition is bound to intensify. And there is enormous pent-up demand for goods of all kinds. 19 021 sn 7524 999 202 11:11 05/15/90 Finally. Latin America, unlike the So- viet Bloc. has an adequate supply of capi- Latin America's turnaround is, in other tal. Indeed, Latin America probably has words, no longer a matter of economics, three times as much capital-or more- but largely of the political will It requires. than it has foreign debt. There is only one above all. the backbone not to cave in-as thing wrong with it: It is not in Latin did the governments of both Argentina and America. It has been driven out systemati- Brazil in both 1988 and 1989-at the first cally-and often purposefully-by govern- protest by 2 powerful group such as the la- ment policy. bor unions or the army. The things that But if the money that is now in Miami need to be done will at first be painful and and New York, Zurich and Geneva-but unpopular. But within a year they will be also in the mattresses of virtually all but gin TO produce results and to enjoy wide the poorest families in Latin America- popular support. could be enticed into productive invest- But the U.S., too, has a crucial role to ment at home. every Latin American na- play: to stop the well-meaning but destruc- tion, save perhaps the smallest and poor- tive policies it has pursued for almost 40 est, would have all the capital it needed for years. Maybe Latin America needs fairly rapid economic growth. And the holders of small short-term loans to help assuage the Latin America's capital are willing, and in- pains of the transition But the favorite deed eager. to invest their money at home "aid" policies of the past four decades- if only their governments were to stop ex- government-to-government aid: military propriating savings and investment aid: World Bank loans-must not be con- through inflation and punitive taxation, tinued They are largely to blame for the and were to stop discouraging productive current crisis of the continent. Investment through the granting of monop- Anti-Entrepreneur Bias olies to military and governmental enter- These policies encouraged government prises. As a result of these policies, even spending They paid for bloated govern- the shoeshine boys in Buenos Aires and ment bureaucracies and for military estab- Sao Paulo demand to be paid in dollars. lishments that are, in many countries. four What needs to be done is clear enough- or five times as large proportionately as Stop inflation by turning off the spigot of that of the U.S.-and without any foreign government spending; dismantle the threat. They diverted capital from produc- grossly overstaffed and unproductive mo- tive investment into "prestige projects"- nopolies owned by the government or the steel mills, for instance-without domestic military (especially in Brazil and Argen- markets that in their own way. were not tina) or by the government's political cro- too different from the monstrosities of Sta- nies and the ministers' relatives (espe- linist planning. Above all, these policies all cially in Mexico): cut excessive nominal had a strong anti-business and anti-entre- tax rates that discourage honest enter- preneur bias. To continue them would be prise, but increase actual tax collection. like pushing drink on an alcoholic That these things can be done. and with- What Latin America needs from the out political catastrophe, has been shown U.S. is made, not aid It needs political by two of the smaller countries: Chile un- support for policies that reward enterprise der Augusto Pinochet's dictatorship. and and discourage monopolies-and protection- (reasonably) democratic Bolivia And ism. policies that stress savings rather there is now widespread demand through- than spending. and economic growth out the region for a return to sanity. rather than growth of the bureaucracy. Mexico has taken some fairly big steps And these policies also are needed pre- in the right direction, especially in disman- cisely because the U.S. needs Latin Amer- ica. tling protection for governmental monop- oly industries; the immediate results have been most impressive (including 2 more Mr. Drucker is a professor of social sci- than two-fold increase in Mexico's pur- ences at the Claremoni Graduate School in chases from the U.S.). The first priority of California. the new government inaugurated in Brazil last week is to sell more than a hundred unproductive, overstaffed and loss-making government enterprises. And the albatross of the foreign debt that the Latin American countries incurred when the raw-materials economy collapsed has largely been re- moved-it has been written down in all but legal fiction. 20 022 sn 7324 999 2020 14:42 05/15/90 SENT BY:Xerox Telecopier 7020 ; 3-19-90 12:02PM OPIC WASH DC+ 20245602186# 2 OPIC Overseas Private Investment Corporation 1615 M Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20527 (202) 457-7200 FAX (202) 331-4234 March 19, 1990 Ms. Chriss Winston Deputy Assistant to the President For Communications The White House (By Fax) Dear Chriss, In the past week, there has been considerable news coverage of the inability to get the Panamanian economic aid package out of Congress and into that country. I hope you can use facts about the recent OPIC mission to Panama to defend the President's ability to act quickly and effectively. While the OPIC mission (February 24 - March 3) is no longer news, the $70 million of private sector investment it generated is. THERE OPIC element of the aid package is already providing jobs and investment capital in Panama. Highlights include: 0 While on OPIC's mission, Radisson announced plans for a $40 resort complex 70 miles north of Panama city. This project will provide jobs for 200 Panamanians as early as this summer. Radisson's commitment demonstrates their faith in the long-term political stability of the country. o Altrix International, a small Florida aqua-cultural business, is expanding a shrimp operation in Parita, a small village in Northern Panama. The expansion will add 100 jobs and employ virtually 100 percent of the town. o Strategic Resources Corporation is seeking investors and OPIC assistance for a Panama Economic Recovery Fund -- a vehicle which would rush money for housing starts and other essentials into that country. Considering that a housing crisis in Chorrillo seems to be the lighting rod for the recent civil disturbance in Panama, this is a clear example of a private sector solution to a foreign policy challenge. SENT BY:Xerox Telecopier 7020 ; 3-19-90 :12:02PM ; OPIC WASH DC- 2024566218:# 3 OPIC PAGE 2-2 Great American Farms Inc. is establishing an infrastructure which will take advantage of Panama's reverse growing season to provide fruits and vegetables for export during the "winter window" period. Great American will work with Panamanian farmers to help them diversify into production and packaging of high-value fruits and vegetables. This project is scheduled to begin within one month. o American Express Bank joined the OPIC mission and was instrumental in providing commercial credit for many of the projects. In the past week, I've tried (with marginal results) to inject OPIC's success into news coverage of Congressional treatment of the aid package. Perhaps your office can use this information to mitigate questions about the administration's commitment to economic recovery in Panama. If you need more specific information on the OPIC investment mission to Panama, please feel free to call. Regards, 1Bm Jeffrey Brown Marketing and Communications Officer SENT BY:Xerox Telecopier 7020 ; 3-19-90 :12:03PM ; OPIC WASH DC-> 2024566218 4 Overseas Private Investment Corporation 1615 M STREET. N.W. WASHINGTON DC 20527 / TELEPHONE (202) 457-7011 CONTACT: Jeff Brown or Jim Hall RELEASE: IMMEDIATE 3/6/90 U.S. OPIC MISSION GENERATES $70M OF INVESTMENT IN PANAMA * RADISSON TO BUILD 450 ROOM RESORT AT CORONADO WASHINGTON, D.C., -- Returning from Panama today, OPIC President and CEO Fred M. Zeder announced that the recent investment mission there has already produced $70 million in initial project commitments. American investors found business opportunities in Panamanian agriculture, aquaculture, light industry and tourism. "This was a highly successful OPIC mission," said Zeder. "It proves that American business is bullish on Panama's economic future." During the mission, the TransAmerica Hotel Group announced plans to build a 450-room resort about 75 miles west of Panama city. "This project is testament to our belief in the on-going vitality of the Panamanian economy," said TransAmerica Hotel Group Vice President Richard A. Rozier. "Coronado is a spectacular beach with proven ability to attract vacationers." SENT BY:Xerox Telecopier 7020 ; 3-19-90 12:03PM ; OPIC WASH DC-> 2024566218;# 5 PANAMA INVESTMENT PAGE 2-2 The facility, to be called the "Radisson Coronado," will feature two restaurants, two bars, tennis, pool, golf and beach facilities. Construction is scheduled to begin mid-summer and will employ approximately 250 Panamanians. The hotel is scheduled to open December of 1991 and will employ about 400 permanent full-time workers. Before traveling to Panama, the investors attended an unprecedented send-off ceremony at the White House where President Bush told them that America is deeply committed to helping the Panamanians. That message was conveyed when Zeder and the investors met with Panamanian President Guillermo Endara and Vice President Guillermo Ford. The OPIC Panama mission was attended by 27 representatives of American business including AT&T, American Express, UnoCal Geothermal, GTE and others. OPIC is an agency of the United States Government committed to promoting private sector investment in more than 110 developing countries throughout the world. An increasingly vital instrument of American foreign policy, OPIC has led recent investment missions to Latin America, Africa, Asia and Eastern Europe. In April, OPIC will lead a group of Americans on a mission to Poland and Hungary. JB&JH/847 SENT BY:Xerox Telecopier 7020 ; 3-19-90 12:04PM ; OPIC WASH DC-> 2024566218;# 6 UNCLASSIFIED Jeff Browa INCOMING TELEGRAM Department of State PAGE 01 PANAMA 91771 00 OF 02 0721182 6586 PANAMA 01771 " OF 02 072118Z 5586 ACTION ARA-00 THE PANAMANIAN PEOPLE, THE PARTICIPATION OF NORTH AMERICAN COMPANIES IN THIS COUNTRY THROUGH INVESTMENT INFO LOG-00 INR-06 CIAE-00 EB-00 DODE-00 NSAE-00 OPIC-08 IN PRIVATE INITIATIVE, IS VITAL OXYGEN FOR THE PA-02 INRE-00 SP-00 PRS-01 /019 W IMPORTANT SECTOR OF JOB CREATION, WHICH IS PRECISELY 244351 072119Z /61 38 THE WEAKEST IN THESE MOMENTS OF CRISIS, THE HIGH 0 0721082 MAR 90 LEVEL OF UNEMPLOYMENT CONSTITUTES ONE OF THE MOST FM AMEMBASSY PANAMA DESTRUCTIVE SOCIAL ILLS OF PANAMANIAN SOCIETY. EVERY TO USIA WASHDC IMMEDIATE 8311 ATTEMPT TO RESCUE OUR COMPATRIOTS FROM THE CLAWS OF SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 8853 MISERY AND HUNGER HAVE TO DESERVE THE STRONGEST USCINCSO QUARRY HTS PM SUPPORT AND THE GREATEST SENSE OF SATISFACTION. FBIS CHIVA CHIVA PM 7. THE DEPLORABLE CONDITIONS IN WHICH OUR ECONOMY UNCLAS PANAMA 01771 OPERATES TODAY REQUIRE THE TYPE OF INTITIATIVE WHICH THESE NORTH AMERICAN ENTREPRENEURS HAVE BROUGHT TO OUR USIA COUNTRY. THEIR CONTRIBUTION WILL BE DECISIVE FOR THE ECONOMIC PROGRAMS WHICH BOTH THE PRIVATE AND PUBLIC USIA FOR P/M, AR, P/PFL, VOA/BRL SECTORS SHOULD PUT IN PRACTICE. USIA PASS TO OPIC FOR JEFF BROWN STATE FOR ARA/PAN, ARA/P 8. THE CREATION OF JOBS IN THESE MOMENTS OF ECONOMIC SOUTHCOM FOR PAO ANGUISH IS OUR MOST NOURISHING FOOD. THERE IS NO FBIS FOR NAQUIN DOUBT THAT AFTER THE DESTRUCTION OF OUR SOCIAL STRUCTURES, THE COUNTRY REQUIRES URGENT FOREIGN AID. E.D. 12356: N/A HOWEVER, THIS SHOULD NOT BE THE PRINCIPAL OBJECTIVE OF THE GOVERNMENT AND OF PANAMANIAN PRIVATE BUSINESSMEN. SUBJECT: MARCH 6 PANAMA MEDIA REACTION: U.S. WE SHOULD NOT CROSS OUR HANDS AWAITING ONLY SUCH INVESTMENT IN PANAMA HELP. 1. INDEPENDENT "LA ESTRELLA DE PANAMA" CARRIES VERY 9. ON THE CONTRARY, IT IS NECESSARY TO TAKE JUDICIOUS POSITIVE HALF-PAGE EDITORIAL ON OPIC AND "PRESENCE OF ADVANTAGE OF CUR OWN EFFORT, OF THE NATIONAL DYNAMISM, NORTH AMERICAN PRIVATE ENTERPRISE IN PANAMA.' FULL AND OF THE INTERNAL INITIATIVE TO PUSH FORWARD THE TEXT FOLLOWS: ECONOMIC CARE OF THE REPUBLIC. THERE IS NO DOUBT THAT THE NORTH AMERICAN BUSINESSMEN WHO VISIT UNDER THE 2. BEGIN QUOTE: "NOTHING IS MORE BENEFICIAL FOR THE AUSPICES OF OPIC WILL HELP US TO REALIZE THESE FUNCTIONING OF A FULL DEMOCRACY THAN THE ACTIVE AND OBJECTIVES." END QUOTE. EDMONSON, ACTING DECISIVE PARTICIPATION OF PRIVATE ENTERPRISE. ITS CONTRIBUTION IS A BASIC AND FUNDAMENTAL FACTOR IN THE ADVANCE AND CONSOLIDATION OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR THIS REASON, WE HAVE TO RECEIVE WITH GREAT SATISFACTION THE PRESENCE IN THIS COUNTRY OF A GROUP OF DISTINGUISHED NORTH AMERICAN BUSINESSMEN, WHO HAVE COME WITH THE PURPOSE OF OBSERVING OUR NATIONAL REALITY ON iTS HOME GROUND. 3. UP UNTIL NOW, THE MEMBERS OF THE COMMISSION OF PRIVATE INVESTORS OF THE U.S. HAS SUCCEEDED.. MAKING CONTACTS AND INTERCHANGING IDEAS WITH THE MOST NEEDY ECONOMIC SECTORS, AT BOTH THE OFFICIAL AND PRIVATE LEVELS OF THE COUNTRY. THE ACTIVITY HAS BEEN COORDINATED BY THE OVERSEAS PRIVATE INVESTMENT CORPORATION (OP IC) . 4. THE ACTION IS AT THE INITIATIVE OF U.S. PRESIDENT GEORGE BUSH, WHO HAS TRACED THE MOST EXPEDIENT ROUTE FOR PANAMANIANS TO PUT INTO ACTION THE GREAT ECONOMIC RECOVERY OF THE COUNTRY. MORE THAN THIRTY INVESTORS, REPRESENTATING LARGE U.S. COMPANIES SPECIALIZING IN ACTIVITIES IN OUR REPUBLIC, HAVE SHOWN A DEFINITE INTEREST IN DOING BUSINESS IN PANAMA AND IN TRYING IN THIS WAY TO BUILD A LAUNCH PAD FROM WHICH THE CRIPPLED NOTONAL ECONOMY CAN TAKE OFF. 5. THESE EXECUTIVES OF COMPANIES SPECIALIZING IN TELECOMMUNICATIONS, SEA PRODUCTS, SUGAR PRODUCTION, FRUITS AND VEGETABLES, SUPERMARKETS, FOOD PROCESSING, CONSTRUCTION, CEMENT FACTORIES, HOTEL DEVELOPMENT, AND ENERGY AND FERTILIZERS HAVE SEEN DURING THEIR DAYS HERE ALL THE ADVANTAGES OF OUR NATION FOR THE INVESTOR IN THE MOMENT IN WHICH HE IS MOST NEEDED. €. INDEPENDENT OF WHAT ECONOMIC AID REPRESENTS FOR UNCI ASSISIER SENT BY:Xerox Telecopier 7020 ; 3-19-90 12:04PM OPIC WASH DC- 2024566218;# 7 White House Fact Sheet on the Partnership With Panama: Action Plan To Foster Economic Recovery January 25, 1990 The President today announced the fol. firms wishing to donate products to Pana- working with other interested agencies lowing action plan to foster economic re- manian businesses. and organizations, offer technical assist- covery in Panama: II. Loans, Guarantees, and Export Opportu- ance to the Panamanian banking 1. Humanitarian Assistance nities to Strengthen Panama's Private Sector sector; and The Agency for International Develop- and to Create Jobs initiate discussions with the COP with The Export-Import Bank (Exim) will pro- the view toward concluding an agree- ment (AID) will initiate a $42 million hu. vide up to $400 million in short-term and ment pursuant to section 4702 of the manitarian assistance program for Panama, Anti-Drug Abuse Act of 1988 for the covering: medium-term guarantees, through Exim replacement housing for the former and its affiliate, the Foreign Credit Insur- exchange of large currency transaction information. residents of the Cherillo area; ance Association, to finance sales of Ameri- an emergency public works program, can products. The Department of Commerce will lead principally for Panama City and Colon, AID will use $15 million in Trade Credit a business development mission to Panama but also including rural areas; Insurance Program funds authority to rup- and undertake other efforts to stimulate small business rehabilitation to assist port additional Exim lending to private trade and investment with Panama. those businesses affected by the loot- sector borrowers. The Department of Defense will: ing: and The Overseas Private Insurance Corpora- resume promptly preferential buying technical assistance to Government of tion (OPIC) will reopen its insurance and of Panamanian goods and services by Panama (GOP) agencies. finance programs to support American pri- U.S. military authorities in Panama, the The Departments of the Treasury and vate investment in Panama. This program is Panama Canal Commission, and all Defense will develop ways to assist U.S. valued at $50 million. other U.S. entities, in accordance with The Department of Agriculture will initi- the provisions of the Panama Canal ate a $15 million P.L. 480 title 1 program Treaty of 1977; and and a $15 million Commodity Credit Cor- authorize the return of U.S. military poration program for Panama. dependents to Panama when the mili- The United States Trade Representative tary situation permits. will: In addition, Panamanian flag vessels will restore Panama's suspended 1990 sugar continue to have full access to U.S. ports. quota and, consistent with U.S. policy, III. Promoting Sustained Economic compensate Panama for its foregone Recovery 1989 quota. This is estimated to be worth a total of $28 million; Significant but temporary external eco- initiate an educational program to nomic assistance will be required to assure ensure Panama makes full use of trade that Panama's economy returns to a sus- benefits under the CBI and GSP pro- tained growth pattern. This undertaking grams; and will be a partnership involving the United remove the quota on cotton pants. States, Panama, other donor countries, and The Department of Transportation will international financial institutions (IFI's). arrange for the Federal Aviation Adminis- The administration will seek an additional tration to negotiate a Memorandum of 8500 million in FY '90 for U.S. assistance to Agreement with the GOP on the provision Panama. This amount shall be offset from of technical assistance in order to case air other programs. The $500 million would be travel to and from Panama. used to help Panama normalize relations The Department of State will, if the GOP with the 1F1's, for balance of payments sup- so wishes, arrange that the already-negotist- port and business credit, for a public invest- ed bilateral investment treaty be resubmit- ment program, for public-sector restructur- ted to Congress. ing, and for development support. The Department of the Treasury will: The Administration will also: discuss with the GOP the conclusion of work to establish a support group of a Tax Information Exchange Agree- friendly donor countries to help clear ment (TIEA), thus permitting U.S. Panama's arrears to the IFT's; firms, under established tax guidelines, seek an early and generous reschedul- to deduct expenses of conventions held ing of Panama's debt to foreign gov- in Panama. A TIEA would also make emments under the auspices of the Panama eligible for section 936 funds; Paris Club; and take steps to assist the conclusion of a satisfactory financing package for Pana- ma's commercial bank debt that ad- dresses the amount of debt and the level of debt service payments in the context of the strengthened debt strat- ogy. A15 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL FRIDAY, MAY 19, 1989 A Latin American View of the Brady Plan 2 LIMA-Like the Baker plan, U.S. Treas- lic-transportation riders would benefit indi- entrepreneurs of Peru are unusually well the bottom up" is impossible. This makes a my Secretary Nicholas Brady's debt-relief rectly from the reduction in costs. In real organized, considering their marginal the IMF and foreign governments appear plan contains sweeteners to encourage terms, the liberalization of the tire trade status. In addition, the ILD has provided "impertalistic" and causes the poor undue Latin leaders to swallow bitter economic- represents a $101 million saving. them with the technical expertise neces- hardship because they do not realize who policy pills. But regardless of the stimuli, The government of Peru agreed to these sary to make their case. the proposed adjustments are affecting. the indebted nations will need to reform measures with a willingness that would not However, in most cases, the victims of Unfortunately, this particular situation their economies if they are to achieve sus- have existed had the adjustment been a bad economic policies cannot successfully represents only one more case in a mer- tainable economic growth. create jobs and condition imposed by an international lend- lobby their government for the implemen- cantilist society, where everyone, in one alleviate poverty. Indeed, real structural ing organization. Why? Because pressure tation of a structural adjustment that satis- way or another, must adapt to its prac- adjustment is in the interest of the poor for adjustment welled up from the bottom, fies their needs. Even if political elections tices. However, it also represents a golden and the middle classes of the indebted and 300,000 transportation entrepreneurs are free and fair, the additional demo- opportunity to set a precedent that would Latin American countries. are an unquestionable constituency for any cratic institutions that in the developed modify the status quo. However, truly effective structural ad- government-even more SO in the case of a countries facilitate the enactment of rules For this reason, the ILD proposed to the justment must well up from the bottom, populist government (as many Third and policies that take into account the in- president of Goodyear of Peru that instead not be imposed by international institutions World governments are likely to re- terests of the majority of the population of allowing its lawyers to entangle the main). are lacking here and in other developing transportation entrepreneurs in a web of The Americas Yet there is an ironic twist to this tale. countries. For example: legal and bureaucratic red tape, it should In early March, Goodyear of Peru filed an Common people lack the resources take advantage of this incident to join us in By Hernando de Soto appeal that temporarily prevents the duty- and procedures to challenge government making proposals that would unfetter the free import of tires and seeks to perma- decisions on the basis of economic and le- Peruvian economy. thereby lowering their nently rescind all the measures. The argu- gal criteria. production costs. The ILD is involved in ments used by Goodyear to justify its ac- We lack the means to ensure that many such proposals now being dissem- and foreign governments. This is not as tions are the defense of the domestic tire laws and regulations are formulated inated in Peru. far-fetched a proposition as it might seem. industry and the protection of 1,258 jobs in openly and in a way that allows for the How do we encourage structural adjust- In fact, recent events in Peru attest to a the domestic tire industry. measurement of their economic impact on ment from the bottom up? Any program groundswell of support for the same types The significance of this turn of events the poor. There are no comment and re- for resolving the debt crisis should specifi- of policies that would have been required goes far beyond the obvious irony: A com- view periods, no public hearings. no cost/ cally promote institutions that create in- by the IMF. pany that produces goods at 2.5 times the benefit analyses of proposed regulations. centives for and protect the rights of the A typical IMF requirement is the liber- international price can obstruct a reform We lack referenda or "sunset laws" unorganized majorities of the Third World. ization of the foreign-trade sector. But that provide for the evaluation of proposed This will allow the "informal Boston Tea supported by informal entrepreneurs who Oith no intervention from the IMF. infor- provide transportation services at one- laws and regulations. Party" to achieve the objectives without Lal transportation operators in Peru suc- tenth the cost of the same service in Wash- There is no ready access to public in- resorting to force. It also will prevent the ssfully lobbied the government for the ington, D.C., and employ 300 times more formation. As a result, citizens are unable impoverished majority (who must ulti- actment of a package of measures that people. This case proves that the main to weigh the consequences of the policies mately bear the burden) from despairing ocluded the reduction of taxes and tariffs, cause of Peru's poverty and foreign indebt- imposed upon them or to ensure that they and accepting violent terrorist solutions, -d the removal of duties on tire im- edness lies in its mercantilist system, do not distribute power or property arbi- employment by drug lords or massive em- rts. which imposes excessively high transac- trarily. igration to the U.S. The latter measure is of vital impor- tion and legal costs on domestic pro- The executive branch is not subject If as a major component of any struc- nce because, as the Lima-based Institute ducers. to the prior authorization of the Congress tural adjustment plan debt negotiators in- Liberty and Democracy (ILD) has There is ample evidence that similar in the adoption of trade barriers. sist that the majority of our citizens be guaranteed a more effective means for ac- "monstrated, the sales price of domesti- cases occur throughout the Peruvian econ- In other words, in the absence of guar- cessing their government, then we will be "lly manufactured tires is 2.5 times omy. We can therefore conclude that struc- antees and institutions that ensure eco- attacking the causes of underdevelopment [meater than that of imported tires Duty- tural adjustment has ampte support as nomic opportunity, the state receives no as well as its effects. THE imports would directly benefit 300,000 long as the costs and benefits apply across input from those affected by its decisions. ¡LOormal transportation entrepreneurs and the board at all. This instance of "bottom- Thus, the state does not govern in accor- Mr. de Soto is president of the ILD and rkers, as well as an additional 390,000 up" structural adjustment is clearer than dance with the interests of the majority. author of "The Other Path" (Harper & vate-car owners. And five million pub- most because the informal transportation As a result, structural adjustment "from Row, 1989).