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Originally Processed With FOIA(s): FOIA Number: S S FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential Library Staff. Record Group/Collection: George H.W. Bush Presidential Records Collection/Office of Origin: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Speech File Backup Files Subseries: Alpha File, 1987-1991 OA/ID Number: 13846 Folder ID Number: 13846-002 Folder Title: USSR, 1989 [1] Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: G 26 23 3 3 36 I. BACKGROUND 2. The Forest 37 in the seventeenth century. Naturalistic figures and theatrical compositions mausoleum of the mummified Lenin on the feast days of Bolshevism to were introduced awkwardly and eclectically from Western models; older review endless processions through Red Square. icons vanished beneath metal casings and layers of dark varnish; and ser- In the context of Russian culture this attempt to capitalize politically on pentine rococo frames agitated the icon screen and seemed to constrict the the popular reverence for icons represents only an extension of an estab- holy figures they surrounded. The traditional chin of Muscovy had been lished tradition of debasement. The Polish pretender Dmitry, the Swedish replaced by the chinovnik ("petty bureaucrat") of Petersburg; and icon warrior Gustavus Adolphus, most of the Romanovs, and many of their painting as a sacred tradition, by icon production as a state concession. generals had themselves painted in semi-iconographic style for the Russian The icon is only "good for covering pots," proclaimed Vissarion Belinsky populace.81 An émigré Old Believer-for whom all modern history repre- in the 1840's,⁷ pointing the way to the new artistic iconoclasm of the Rus- sents a foredoomed divergence from the true ways of Old Russia-looked sian revolutionary tradition. with indifference and even joy upon the transfer of the icon of Our Lady Yet the spell of the icon was never completely broken. Nothing else of Kazan from a cathedral to a museum early in the Soviet era: quite took its place, and Russians remained reluctant to conceive of painting as men did in the West. Russians remained more interested in the ideal The Queen of Heaven, divesting herself of her regal robes, issued represented by a painting than in its artistic texture. To Dostoevsky, Hol- forth from her Church to preach Christianity in the streets.82 bein's "Christ in the Tomb" suggested a denial of Christian faith; Claude Lorraine's "Acis and Galatea," a secular utopia. The print of Raphael's Stalin added an element of the grotesque to the tradition of politically Sistine Madonna over his writing desk was the personal icon of his own debasing spiritual things. He introduced new icons and relics in the name effort to reconcile faith and creative power. 79 The revolutionaries themselves of science, then proceeded to retouch and desecrate them, before his own looked with the eyes of icon venerators on the heroic naturalism of much image and remains were posthumously defiled. The lesser figures on the Soviet iconostasis had removed the central icon of Stalin enthroned, and nineteenth-century Russian secular painting. Many found a call to revolu- tionary defiance in the proud expression of an unbowed boy in Repin's largely destroyed the new myth of salvation. But in the uncertain age that famous "Haulers on the Volga." Just as the Christian warriors of an earlier followed, lithographs of Lenin and giant cranes continued to hover over age had made vows before icons in church on the eve of battle, so Russian prefabricated concrete huts piled on one another much as the icon and the Revolutionaries-in the words of Lenin's personal secretary-"swore VOWS axe had over the wooden huts of a more primitive era in the Tret'iakov Gallery on seeing such pictures." Large-scale cleaning and restoration in the early twentieth century helped Russians rediscover at long last the purely artistic glories of the older Bell and Cannon icons. Just as the hymns and chants of the church had provided new themes and inspiration for early Russian iconographers, so their rediscovered paint- ings gave fresh inspiration back to poets and musicians as well as painters IF THE ICON AND THE AXE in the peasant hut became abiding symbols in late imperial Russia. Under the former seminarian Stalin, however, the for Russian culture, so too did the bell and cannon of the walled city. These icon lived on not as the inspiration for creative art but as a model for mass were the first large metal objects to be manufactured indigenously in the indoctrination. The older icons, like the newer experimental paintings, were wooden world of Muscovy: objects that distinguished the city from the for the most part locked up in the reserve collections of museums. Pictures surrounding countryside and fortified it against alien invaders. of Lenin in the "red corner" of factories and public places replaced icons Just as the icon and the axe were closely linked with one another, so of Christ and the Virgin. Photographs of Lenin's successors deployed in a were the bell and cannon. The axe had fashioned and could destroy the prescribed order on either side of Stalin replaced the old "prayer row," in wooden board on which the painting was made. Likewise, the primitive which saints were deployed in fixed order on either side of Christ enthroned. foundry which forged the first cannon also made the first bells; and these Just as the iconostasis of a cathedral was generally built directly over the were always in peril of being melted back into metal for artillery in time of grave of a local saint and specially reverenced with processions on a re- war. The bell, like the icon, was taken from Byzantium to provide aesthetic ligious festival, so these new Soviet saints appeared in ritual form over the elaboration for the "right praising" of God; and both media came to be 38 I. BACKGROUND 2. The Forest 39 used with even greater intensity and imagination than in Constantinople. of melody rather than a precise indication of pitch; but the vivid pictorial The development of the elaborate and many-tiered Russian bell tower- impression created by the signs gave rise to descriptive names such as "the with its profusion of bells and onion-shaped gables-parallels in many ways great spider," "the thunderbolt," "two in a boat," and so on.87 that of the iconostasis. The rich "mauve" ringing of bells so that "people Though even less is known about secular than sacred music in this cannot hear one another in conversation"83 became the inevitable accom- early period, there were apparently patterns of beauty in it, based on paniment of icon-bearing processions on special feast days. There were repetition with variation by different voices. The exalted "rejoicing" almost as many bells and ways to ring them as icons and ways to display (blagovestie) of the bells used an overlapping series of sounds similar to them. By the early fifteenth century, Russia had evolved distinctive models that which was used in the "many-voiced" church chant-producing an that differed from the bells of Byzantium, Western Europe, or the Orient. effect that was at the same time cacophonous and hypnotic. The Russian emphasis on massive, immovable metal bells sounded by Russians felt the same mixture of joyful religious exultation and ani- metal gongs and clappers led to a greater sonority and resonance than the mistic superstition in the ringing of the bells as in the veneration of icons. generally smaller, frequently swinging, and often wooden bells of the con- Just as icóns were paraded to ward off the evil spirits of plague, drought, temporary West. Although Russia never produced carillons comparable to and fire, so were bells rung to summon up the power of God against these those of the Low Countries, it did develop its own methods and traditions forces. Just as icons were paraded around the boundaries to sanctify a land of ringing different-sized bells in series. By the sixteenth century, it has claim, so bells were rung to lend solemnity to official gatherings. In both been estimated that there were more than five thousand bells in the four cases, spiritual sanctification was more valued than legal precision. As with hundred churches of Moscow alone.⁸⁴ the icon, so with the bell, men valued them for their anagogical power to Just as the icon was but one element in a pictorial culture that included lift men up to God: the fresco, the illuminated holy text, and the illustrated chronicle, so the bell was only part of a torrent of sound provided by interminable chanted The weak sounds of wood and metal remind us of the unclear, mys- terious words of the prophets, but the loud and vigorous play of bells is church services, popular hymns and ballads, and the secular improvisations like the rejoicing of the Gospel, radiating out to all the corners of the uni- of wandering folk singers armed with a variety of stringed instruments. verse and lifting one's thoughts to the angelic trumpets of the last day.88 Sights and sounds pointed the way to God, not philosophic speculation or literary subtlety. Services were committed to memory without benefit of The forging and ringing of bells, like the painting and veneration of missal or prayer book; and the "obedient listeners" in monasteries were icons, was a sacramental act in Muscovy: a means of bringing the word of subjected to oral instruction. Not only were the saints said to be "very like" God into the presence of men. This "word" was the logos of St. John's the holy forms on the icons, but the very word for education suggested gospel: the word which was in the beginning, was revealed perfectly in "becoming like the forms" (obrazovanie). Christ, and was to be praised and magnified until His Second Coming. The interaction between sight and sound is also remarkable. If the There was no need to speculate about this unmerited gift, but only to pre- iconography of fourteenth- and fifteenth-century Russia drew special in- serve intact the inherited forms of giving thanks and praise. There was no spiration from holy singing, and the Russian icon came to be a kind of reason to write discursively about the imperfect world of here and now "abstract musical arabesque purified, like music, of all but its direct when one could see-however darkly-through the beauty of sights and appeals to the spirit,"85 so the new method of musical notation that was sounds a transfigured world beyond. simultaneously coming into being in Muscovy had a kind of hieroglyphic The importance of bells in lending color and solemnity to church pro- quality. The authority of the classical Byzantine chant appears to have ceedings was heightened by the general prohibition on the use of musical waned after the fourteenth century-without giving way to any other instruments in Orthodox services. Only the human voice and bells were method of clearly defining the intervals and correlations of tones. In its permitted (with an occasional use of trumpet or drum in such rituals as the place appeared the "signed chant": a new tradition of vocal ornamentation furnace show or a welcoming procession). The absence from early Muscovy in which "melody not only flowed out of words, but served as the mold on of polyphony or even a systematic scale made the rough but many-shaded which words were set in bold relief. When written down, the embellished harmonies sounded upon the bells seem like the ultimate in earthly music. red and black hooked notes offered only a shorthand guide to the direction Just as Muscovy resisted the contemporary Western tendency to introduce 40 I. BACKGROUND 2. The Forest 41 perspective and naturalism into religious painting, so it resisted the con- current Western tendency to use bells to provide orderly musical intervals taste by filling the ancient monasteries with votive baroque bell towers. By the second quarter of the nineteenth century, the older bell towers had been or to accompany (with fixed tonal values and often in conjunction with an largely displaced, restrictions placed on the excessive ringing of bells, and organ) the singing of sacred offices.⁸⁹ their special position in worship services challenged by the intrusion of The bell played an important part in material as well as spiritual organs and other instruments into Russian liturgical music. culture through its technological tie-in with the manufacture of cannon. Already by the late fourteenth century-only a few years after the first Yet the echo of bells lingered on. They ring again majestically at the end of the coronation scene in Musorgsky's Boris Godunov; and the theo- appearance of cannon in the West-Russians had begun to manufacture cannon along with bells; and, by the sixteenth century, they had produced logical hint of redemption offered by their "ringing through" (perezvon) ) on the eve of festive days is recaptured by the little barking dog of that name the largest of each item to be found anywhere in the world. So important that leads Alyosha's youthful comrades to reconciliation at the end of were these twin metal products to Muscovy that the largest example of each Dostoevsky's Brothers Karamazov. was given the title "Tsar": the bell, "Tsar Kolokol," weighing nearly half a In the world of politics, too, the bell called up memories. Bells had million pounds; the cannon, "Tsar Pushka," with a barrel nearly a yard wide. been used in some of the proud, Westward-looking cities of medieval Russia They represent the first example of "overtaking and surpassing" a to summon the popular assembly (veche). The final silencing of the assembly superior technology. But they illustrate as well the artificiality of the accom- bell of Novgorod in 1478 ended the tradition of relative freedom from plishment. For the bell was too large to hang, the cannon too broad to fire. imperial authority and partial popular rule which until then Novgorod had Technological accomplishments in both fields were, moreover, in good shared with many commercial cities of the West. The ideal of non-despotic, measure the work of foreigners from the time in the early fourteenth century representative government impelled the early-nineteenth-century reformer to when a certain "Boris the Roman" first came to cast bells for Moscow and Novgorod. If the bell predated the cannon as an object of technological interest, the popular assembly take myself in imagination I back to Novgorod. I hear the ringing bell of throw the chains off my feet, and to the "Who the cannon soon replaced it as the main object of state concern. Many bells gorod!"93 goes there?" of the guard, I proudly reply: "a free citizen of Nov- in provincial cities and monasteries were systematically melted down to provide cannon for the swelling Russian armies of the late seventeenth and and the romantic poet to the eighteenth century; but innumerable bells remained in Moscow, the skyline of which was dominated by the soaring 270-foot Bell Tower of Ivan the Great, which Boris Godunov had erected on a hill inside the Kremlin at celebrations and misfortunes.⁹ sound forth like the bell in the assembly tower in the days of the people's the very beginning of this period. This tower was intended (like another t massive bell tower built by Patriarch Nikon just outside Moscow in the latter part of the century) to be the crowning glory of a "New Jerusalem" on When, a few years later, lyricism turned to anguish, Gogol gave a new, Russian soil: a center of civilization built in partial imitation of the old more mysterious quality to the image in one of the most famous passages in Jerusalem, and with enough embellishment to suggest the New. The tower all Russian literature. Likening Russia to a speeding troika (carriage with in the Kremlin provided the shelter from which the fundamentalist Old three horses) near the end of Dead Souls, he asks its destination. But "there was no answer save the bell pouring forth marvellous sound." Believers later hurled stones at official church processions.91 These defend- ers of the old order resisted the cannon fire of government troops for eight A prophetic answer came a few years later in the prefatory poem to the years in their northern monastic redoubt at Solovetsk. After this last, storied first issue of Russia's first illegal revolutionary journal-appropriately called Kolokol (The Bell). The long-silent social conscience of Russia will hence- bastion fell, they spread out to the provinces to watch for the approach of forth-promised the editor, Alexander Herzen-sound out like a bell the Tsar's "legions of Antichrist" from the bell towers of wooden churches, whence they sounded the signal to set fire to the church and the true believ- ers within. until swinging back and forth with a tone which shall not cease to reverberate The later Romanov tsars revealed both uneasy consciences and bad man.95 a joyful, orderly, and quietly heroic bell begins to ring in every 42 I. BACKGROUND 2. The Forest 43 But Herzen's summoning bell was soon drowned out by the shrill sounds of In a similar, but even more visionary vein, Nicholas Fedorov, an the Nabat: the special alarm bell traditionally used in times of fire or attack ascetic and self-effacing librarian in late nineteenth-century Moscow, and the name of the first Russian periodical urging the formation of a prophesied that a new fusion of science and faith would lead even to the Jacobin recolutionary elite. Tkachev, the editor of Nabat, was vindicated physical resuscitation of dead ancestors. Russia was to give birth in concert by the eventual victory of Lenin's professional revolutionaries. But under with China to a new Eurasian civilization, which was to use artillery to Bolshevism, all bells fell silent-their function to some extent taken up by regulate totally the climate and surrounding atmosphere of this world, and the hypnotic sounding of machines, which announced the coming of an thrust its citizens into the stratosphere to colonize others. His vision of earthly rather than a heavenly paradise. cosmic revolution fascinated both Dostoevsky and Tolstoy, and influenced The enduring Russian fascination with cannon was evidenced in Ivan a number of Promethean dreamers in the earliest Soviet planning agen- IV's storied storming of Kazan in 1552; the shooting out of the cannon by cies. 100 His most inspired followers fled, however, from Bolshevik Russia a Moscow mob in 1606 of the remains of the False Dmitry, the only for- to Harbin, Manchuria, to form a quasi-religious commune, which was in eigner ever to reign in the Kremlin; the determination of Chaikovsky to turn engulfed when the wave of Leninist, political revolution spread from score real cannon fire into his overture commemorating the defeat of their native to their adopted land. Napoleon in 1812; and in the later tsars' use of a hundred cannon to Russian history is full of such prophetic anticipations, just as it is of announce their annointment during a coronation. 07 Stalin was neurotically reappearing symbols and fixations. That which has fallen before axe or preoccupied with massed artillery formations throughout the Second World cannon has often buried itself into the consciousness, if not the conscience, War; and his military pronouncements conferred only on the artillery the of the executioner. That which is purged from the memory lives on in the adjective grozny ("terrible" or "dread") traditionally applied to Ivan IV.98 subconscious; that which is expunged from written records survives in oral Subsequent Soviet success with rockets can be seen as an extension of this folklore. Indeed, one finds in modern Russian history much of the same long-time interest. There seems a kind of historic justice to the interde- recurrence of basic themes that one finds in the unrefined early traditions of pendence in the late 1950's between the dazzling effects of cosmic bell ringing and popular singing. cannoneering and the renewed promises of a classless millennium. It may be, of course, that these echoes from childhood no longer re- The Communist world that had come into being by then corresponded verberate in the adult Russia of today. Even if real, these sounds may be as less to the prophecies of Karl Marx than to those of an almost unknown enigmatic as the ringing of Gogol's troika; or perhaps only a dying echo: the Russian contemporary, Nicholas Il'in. 00 While the former spent his life as an perezvon that remains misleadingly audible after the bell has already fallen uprooted intellectual in Berlin, Paris, and London, the latter spent his as a silent. To determine how much of Old Russian culture may have survived, patriotic artillery officer in Russian central Asia. Whereas the former looked one must leave aside these recurring symbols from the remote past and turn to the rational emergence of a new, basically Western European proletariat to the historical record, which begins in the fourteenth century to provide a under German leadership, the latter looked to the messianic arrival of a new rich if bewildering flow of accomplishment that extends without interruption Eurasian religious civilization under Russian tutelage. At the very time to the present. Having looked at the heritage, environment, and early arti- Marx was writing his Communist Manifesto for German revolutionaries facts of Russian culture, one must now turn to the rise of Muscovy and its refuged in France and Belgium, Il'in was proclaiming his Tidings of Zion to dramatic confrontation with a Western world in the throes of the Renais- Russian sectarians in Siberia. Il'in's strange teachings reflect the childlike sance and Reformation. love of cannon, the primitive ethical dualism, and the suppressed fear of Europe, which were all present in Russian thinking. His followers marched to such hymns as "The Bomb of the Divine Artillery"; divided the world into men of Jehovah and of Satan (legovisty i Satanisty), those sitting at the right and left hand of God (desnye i oshuinye); and taught that a new empire of complete brotherhood and untold wealth would be formed by the follow- ers of Jehovah along a vast railroad stretching from the Middle East through Russia to south China. NYT 5/15 A19 ESSAY William Safire Bush's 'New Path' ATLANTA ing the bases of hope ("we are ap- E mboldened by the success of his proaching the conclusion of an historic scheme to subvert NATO with a postwar struggle") he proposed that Russo-German Entente, Mr. we move "beyond containment" to a Gorbachev has just issued an ultima- "new path" - one that will respond to tum: Unless the Western alliance realistic change in Soviet behavior drops its intention to modernize the where it most endangers freedom. short-range missile that helps Eu- "Promises are never enough," he rope offset Soviet military superiori- warned, and listed the means to earn ty, the Soviet Union will violate the in- trust: reduce the overwhelming Soviet termediate-range treaty it signed forces, free Eastern Europe, stop sup- with such fanfare only last year. porting terror in the Middle East and How's that for blustering arro- subversion in Latin America, and gance? Unless he gets his way un- "achieve a lasting political pluralism] less we give up our right secured in and respect for human rights." previous treaties to maintain a cred- This unsentimental better-safe-than- ible local nuclear deterrent - then sorry approach was not what Mr. Gor- forget about Mr. Reagan's I.N.F. bachev or the world's détenteniks, deal. This "new thinking" is revealed wanted to hear. They wanted a "bold to be the same old duplicity: while the new initiative" - specifically, a pre- U.S. considers treaties to carry the force of law, Mr. Gorbachev has just vividly demonstrated he does not con- sider his nation bound by treaty any Not what more than did his predecessors. Does he expect to get away with threatening unilateral abrogation? détenteniks Yes. He counts on his apologists in the West's disarmament lobby: West Ger- wanted. many's devious Foreign Minister, Hans-Dietrich Genscher, who sees a Fourth Reich rising from NATO's ashes to dominate Europe's economy; emptive concession to strip our forces the grand old American negotiator of nuclear arms and make it possible Paul Nitze, whose ill-advised "walk in for Mr. Gorbachev to maintain mili the woods" would have given the Sovi- tary superiority on the cheap. ets what they later had to trade real But the Bush Administration's pru- missiles for in the now-threatened dent strategy does not throw away con- I.N.F. treaty; the brilliant Nitze biog- tainment's gains. To his meat-and- rapher and disciple, Strobe Talbott of potatoes approach, he felt the need to Time magazine; Democratic Senators add an "open skies" sauce, which will Sam Nunn and Joseph Biden, grabbing be useful in verifying conventional any device to whack at executive arms cuts; the central thrust, how- power; and asssorted old mutual-as- ever, is to press for what is in the free sured-destructionaries. world's interest: free the captive na- Adding to the weight of the Gorba- tions and peoples, permit market chev intimidation, and contributing to forces to introduce prosperity and stop the systematic snookering of Secre- causing trouble around the world. tary of State Baker in his foreign The no-nonsense strategy, pre- travels, is support for the Soviet no- viewed in Mr. Bush's recent speechs: nuke position from the ambush of about Poland, drew on the thoughtful- deep background by Ronald Reagan. historical analysis made public April 1 The former President, irritated at the by Robert Gates, deputy national se-+ contrast in style ostentatiously shown curity adviser, who reminded us "for by his hands-on, in-touch successor, 70 years we repeatedly have seen a has let it be known that Mr. Bush is system in crisis proclaim reform and failing to capitalize on the momen- turn to the West for help while the es- tum of détente established in the Gor- sential features of that system at the bachev-Reagan embraces. end of the day remained unchanged." the Thus does the Long-trusting Left I remember writing hail-détente combine with the Newly-entranced speeches for President Nixon; this Right to squeeze the Sensibly-cau- time around, I'm for Mr. Bush's "new- tious Center. Resisting the stampede path," requiring the steady earning to denude our defenses, President of trust. Bush last week brought forth the fruit Mr. Gorbachev has already suc of his four-month strategic review in ceeded in fraying the free world at its.) an important speech at Texas A & M. German edge, and Mr. Genscher is in- "Containment worked," he said, effect sending the Americans home. crediting the recent Soviet reforms to Good luck, Europe, on your next internal contradictions and Western treaty with the East: the Soviet dicta-- resolve rather than any Kremlin tor has just reserved the right in ad- change of heart. After dutifully touch- vance to abrogate it at will. Gelb account If Winston Churchill had not already called Russia a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma, many Soviets might be tempted today to use the phrase to describe their view of the United States. In any event, they are striving mightily to penetrate this veil of mystery to learn how America works. This is a remarkable turn-around from the days when Soviet officials claimed to know exactly how we operated -- the ruling circles and the military-industrial complex squeezed profits out of the hapless worker and that was that. Like a dead mackerel in the moonlight, they said, capitalism shines and stinks. While these canards are probably still quacking lustily over some parts of the Soviet Union, I did not hear them from a wide and diverse group of Soviet government and party officials, intellectuals and cultural figures that I met with on my recent trip. In fact, I heard the opposite. First, that America "works." It works in the economic sense -- the standard of living is high, the stores are filled with goods, there are no orchards in Central Park but somehow the millions of people who live and work in Manhattan get orange juice every morning. America also works in the political and social sense. One Soviet put it this way: There are things in America which you take for granted which are burning issues for us. You have lobbyists and powerful interest groups in your country and yet the voice of the people can always be heard. How do you do that? You have a constitution that has lasted more than two centuries with just a handful of amendments. We're working on our fourth constitution in 72 years. How do you do that? Second, although Soviets may always have had an abundance of facts and figures about us at their fingertips, they have not understood what makes it all hang together; they have not seen the soul in the American body politic. I have been impressed in my meetings, official and unofficial, here and in Moscow and in Tbilisi, with Soviet willingness, even eagerness, to do business with the United States. Whether the field is educational exchange, agriculture, the working of parliamentary commissions or the nuances of constitutional law -- almost no American proposal is rejected out of hand. Soviets are ready to talk, to discuss and very often to act in surprisingly open ways. Two threads run through all of the conversations and requests -- one is the need for information, the other is the need for "know-how." Like people after a drought, Soviets thirst for facts, data, figures -- for information -- about what is going on in the world around them. Soviets want to know how we do what we do. They ask for pamphlets, books, speakers, seminars, exhibits, satellite television programs, radio programs -- every possible means of communication -- to explain the basic mechanisms and values of American society and politics. Many of the most urgent calls are for assistance with "gut" issues -- food, housing, medicine. The Soviet Union has the same basic resources we do -- they have arable land, they have timber for houses, they have concrete factories without end, they have physicians and scientists the equal of any. But Soviets look at the end product and see in America a much higher standard of living -- better housing, a better and more varied diet, better and more sophisticated health care. Clearly, something different is going on. It is this "something different" that Soviets want to learn. These trends -- openness to discussion, desire for information, eagerness to learn -- are certainly positive. The sheer volume of such requests, the eloquence with which they are stated and the historical implications for Soviet society should not, however, deafen us to several troubling notes that sound throughout this dialogue. First, of course, is that we have no interest in helping Soviet authorities to merely modernize or streamline their control. Our interest is and can only be in honest, permanent, systemic change toward freedom, democracy and the rule of law. Second, the danger continues of equating information with understanding. The new, more accurate information ushered in by glasnost still does not guarantee understanding or respect for the American system, nor the variety of news and independence of thought that identifies a healthy society. I believe that many Soviets think that "how-to" information will somehow magically make their troubles go away. As we Americans know all too well, there is no magic wand. Americans have not had it "easy," and American history is not a smooth, uninterrupted procession of a nation from one triumph to another and to ever higher levels of prosperity for all. It is not enough for the people of the USSR to have the tools, they must also understand the spirit that animates the craftsman and the artist. Without asking or expecting the Soviets to abandon their values or traditions -- we must, nonetheless, ask and expect them to begin to foster and appreciate the values of individuality, freedom and entrepreneurship. In short -- the spirit of America is what they must grasp. We don't plan to sell them the legendary rope with which they will hang us and we have no magic wand to wave over their troubles and so dispel them -- what we can and are offering now is our hand. White House News Summary Thursday, April 26, 1990 -- B-6 BLOCK Jennings: Felix Block, the U.S. diplomat suspected of spying for the Soviets, wants to find out what the State Department has on him. The Department is trying to fire him. Block has now demanded the government turn over to him all the information it has gathered as a result of electronic surveillance. (ABC-4) XV-15 AIRPLANE Jennings reports that the makers of the XV-15, a cross between a plane and a helicopter, staged a giant photo opportunity in a bid to drum up support for its successor, the V-22 Osprey. (ABC-7) PRESIDENT'S EYES Rather: President Bush tried to make light of his eye problem today as he headed off to the hospital to get a second opinion on the recent diagnosis that he has the disease called glaucoma in his left eye. Bush has been taking daily medication for it. The two glaucoma experts who saw Bush today decided to take him off medication, at least for now. [TV COVERAGE of President Bush on the South Lawn, straining his eyes at the camera, then smiling.] White House officials say Bush's vision is not impaired and that the President was not having side effects from the drugs. (CBS-6) AIDS HOME TEST Jennings: It soon may be possible to be tested for the AIDS virus in the privacy of your home. The FDA today reversed its longstanding idea of home test kits for AIDS and will now consider approving them. ABC's George Strait reports that the test costs about $15 and is easy to perform. First a person pricks a finger then presses it on specially coated filter paper. The sample is then sent to a laboratory and identified only by a code number, no names. That's a crucial issue for millions who have been reluctant to get tested. It's because the FDA would like to see more people get early testing that it changed its mind and will consider approving these kits. The biggest issue now is counseling. A person would be told test results and counseled over the phone. AIDS activists oppose home tests because they believe a person needs face-to-face counseling to fully understand the risks associated with AIDS. Last month the FDA was sued because it had refused for more than a year to even consider approving AIDS home test kits. The agency denies that the suit had anything to do with its about-face, which has opened the door to a billion-dollar market for AIDS home testing. (ABC-5) -970m- White House News Summary Thursday, April 26, 1990 -- B-5 Andrews continues: (Rep. Cox: "Only if Gorbachev wants to follow in Stalin's footsteps does he have any right to be in Lithuania.") The President was in no mood today to defend himself against the attempted history lesson. (President Bush in the Roosevelt Room: "I don't need any defense. The policy stance I've taken has had strong support from the American people, and that's who I work for." Bush, in fact, sees Gorbachev as the opposite of Stalin or Hitler, which is why his Administration today repeated it will not fight for Lithuania if that risks the changes Gorbachev has allowed in Eastern Europe. ?[ (Secretary Baker: "It's in our interests and in the interests of the free world that the Soviet Union is leading Eastern Europe. ? We don't want to do anything that might adversely affect that process.") The White House says it is pushing the Soviets to negotiate with Lithuania, but Soviet officials today grew tougher, not more lenient, in their preconditions for holding talks. Landsbergis is saying that after Bush decided not to move against Moscow history could have predicted that. (CBS-5) TRADE AGREEMENT Jennings: Another trade agreement with Japan. This one covers U.S. wood products. The Japanese will change their laws, lower their tariffs on imported wood, which could increase U.S. sales there by at least $1 billion a year. The move makes it unlikely the Bush Administration will now cite Japan as an unfair trading partner. (ABC-9) CBS's Deborah Potter reports that Administration officials say there's a new spirit of compromise in Tokyo, but on Capitol Hill the reaction is skeptical. (Sen. Bentsen: "The problem is with all these agreements that in the past we've had the agreements and there's been no results. We thought we came home with a so-called silver bullet agreement and finally found out we were firing blanks.") Even if today's agreement does hold up there are more complaints about Japanese discrimination against other U.S. products, from semiconductors to auto parts and recorded music. Some in Congress want the Bush Administration to keep Japan on the trade hit list. But indications are that won't happen. (U.S. Trade Representative Hills: "I think Japan has moved further this year than perhaps any other country.") Administration officials fear that making new accusations of unfair trading practices by Japan might undo all the recent progress. But Japan still accounts for almost half the U.S. trade deficit, and many in Congress believe this is no time to let up the pressure. (CBS-7) LAFONTAINE Jennings: One of West Germany's leading socialist politicians has been stabbed and seriously hurt. Oscar Lafontaine was stabbed in the neck at a political rally. He's a candidate to be chancellor of West Germany, running against Chancellor Kohl. The woman who stabbed him was arrested by police who say they do not know her motive. (ABC-3, NBC-9, CBS-3) Thursday, April 12, 1990 -- A-3 Bush Tells Fears On Baltic States President Bush raised the image of the bloody Soviet crackdown in Hungary three decades ago as he told leaders of Baltic-American ethnic groups Wednesday that he cannot do more to back independence movements in Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia. As if to underscore Bush's fears, Soviet President Gorbachev warned in broadcast remarks Wednesday that secession movements within the Soviet Union could lead to "such bloody carnage that we won't be able to crawl out of it. Any move to redraw boundaries "would pit all peoples and all nations against each other and bring about a situation in this society the likes of which has never been witnessed by our country or by the world, " Gorbachev said. (David Lauter, Los Angeles Times, A1) SOVIET RADICALS ASSAIL PARTY CONSERVATIVES MOSCOW -- Radical reformers within the Communist Party responded angrily to efforts by the party leadership to oust them, and some appealed to other members to join them in an immediate break and the formation of a new party "We call upon all Communists to leave the party, to stop paying dues and to join the new party of the Democratic Platform, II Igor Chubais, a leading member of the group said, urging radicals to pre-empt the planned party action against them Chubais contended that [an open letter from the Central Committee attacking the Democratic Platform as opposing socialism] showed that there had been "a conservative coup" led by Yegor Ligachev This meant in turn that "democrats should pull out before they are purged, he said. (L.A. Times, Washington Post, A38) GORBACHEV SAYS RADICAL COMMUNISTS WANT CAPITALISM MOSCOW -- Soviet President gorbachev has denounced a major bloc of Communist Party radicals, accusing them of wanting to restore capitalism Gorbachev, in comments made to a Communist youth organization meeting Tuesday and shown on television Wednesday, said radicals in the Democratic Platform were essentially looking for a way to further their careers. "If you listen to these politicians who defend this platform, one can realize they want to defend their political ambitions, he said. "They are calling us to a different social system, to capitalism," Gorbachev said. "One should see that.' (Jonathan Lyons, Reuter) -more- Thursday, April 12, 1990 -- A-4 GORBACHEV WANTS 'RADICAL REFORMS' MOSCOW -- Thirty-eight of the participants in the World Media Conference met with Soviet President Gorbachev Wednesday and heard him promise that "radical reforms" will soon produce "real deeds.' According to two participants, Gorbachev seemed surprised by the passion and tone of the remarks, and replied that he agreed that serious mistakes had been made. The Soviet Union had fought for a Soviet revolution, but it was not achieved, Gorbachev said. The only way for the Soviet Union to go now was to a mixed economy, freedom of the press, the rule of law and freedom of religion, [he said]. (AP, Washington Times, A1) SOVIET GENERALS BLAMED FOR ARMS SHIFT Restive Soviet generals, angered by concessions made in Moscow and smarting over a range of domestic issues, pressured their government into recanting two agreements in arms control talks last week, a top Administration official says. "We hear there was a fairly explosive military reaction, " the official said, referring to understandings reached during Secretary Baker's February talks in the Kremlin where the active duty military was not present. But, the official said, last week there was a never-before- seen general from the Soviet General Staff in meetings in Washington. At those sessions, the Soviets reversed ground on positions taken in Moscow on air-launched cruise missiles and sea- launched cruise missiles. (William Beecher, Minneapolis Star Tribune, Washington Times, A5) KISSINGER SAYS U.S. NOT WELL PREPARED FOR EVENTS IN SOVIET UNION, EUROPE PITTSBURGH -- Former Secretary of State Kissinger Wednesday said the U.S. was not well prepared for recent events in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe because it was practicing old-time diplomacy. "If you compare what American leaders said in 1950 American objectives were and what has happened, it is a spectacular success, Kissinger said. "We have achieved practically everything we set out to do. Maybe not for the reasons we set out to do it, but we've achieved it. "Now we are in a curious position, which is that the things we did in the '50s fitted in very well with traditional American expectations of how foreign policy should be conducted,' said Kissinger. "As a result of our success, we now face a world for which we are not particularly well-prepared." Kissinger said he is not against how the Bush Administration is handling the situation between the Soviet Union and Lithuania. "I don't disagree with the Administration's approach," Kissinger said. "I might not make every single statement they made, but that's another tactical issue." (Chuck Moody, UPI) -more- Essay Charles Krauthammer Don't Cash the Peace Dividend T he country, the Congress and the media are demanding a Empire? Even when we do invade, whether it is Normandy peace dividend. Papa Bush sternly refuses to give it to or Panama, the first question to arise is always, When do we them. For that he is assailed as being out of sync, out of touch, get out? Luigi Barzini once observed that for America inter- overprudent, weird even. ventionism is often just an expression of "impatient isolation- Papa Bush is right. ism," wanting to get the job over with and back to, "in the There is nothing wrong with a gradual reduction of Ameri- words of Theodore Roosevelt (who deplored it vigorously), can forces in response to the Soviet eclipse. There may even 'the soft and easy enjoyment of material comforts.' be some merit to skipping one generation of weapons and in- Americans like to think-they thought so in 1919, in 1945 vesting instead in research and development of the next gen- and now again in 1990-that having conquered the great evil eration (as suggested by former Assistant Defense Secretary of the day, they have conquered evil, that having defeated to- Richard Perle). Both of these approaches, however, rest on day's mortal threat, they have banished threat. the premise that the U.S. must maintain a large, technologi- "Who's the enemy?" a reporter pointedly asked President cally advanced, worldwide military Bush at a recent press conference. force. The logic of the peace dividend The implication being, "If you can't is the opposite: now that the cold war name the enemy, there is none. And if is won, it is time to demobilize. ILLUSTRATION FOR TIME BY MARC ROSENTHAL there is no enemy, why $300 billion for Postwar demobilization is a very defense?" American idea. We have a penchant for demobilizing the day after the war It is true that no one can give a precise answer as to where the next is won. After World War I, we rapidly threat will come from. That does not demobilized and disengaged from Eu- mean-as the peace dividenders of rope. With no countervailing Ameri- today loudly pretend-that there is can force to contain the rise of the none. monstrous totalitarianisms of the '30s, To assume that there is no threat the way was cleared for World War II. is to assume, first, that the Soviet Which we also won. And after threat is completely dead, that even a which we demobilized again: 9 million disintegrating Soviet empire, home to men in the first year after the Japa- 25,000 nuclear warheads, will not dis- nese surrender. Stalin was slower to embrace the pleasures of civilian life. turb the peace. History does not sup- He kept 3 million men under arms, port the proposition that collapsing empires go quietly. the U.S. half that number. Stalin kept It is to assume, second, that the a massive occupation force in Europe. The U.S. decided this time that leav- Soviet threat cannot be succeeded by a Russian threat. A Russia shorn of ing Europe entirely would be a mis- take, so, having radically demobilized, empire and taken over by embittered nationalists could easily revert to the we chose to stay on the cheap-with kind of dangerous revanchism that nuclear weapons, an expediency that seized other defeated powers in this kept the world on the nuclear preci- pice for 40 years. century, notably interwar Germany. It is to assume, finally, that threat, even if banished from We are now, once again but without realizing it, in an im- the East, will not come from elsewhere. We simply have no mediate postwar period. The cold war was world war in every idea where Germany, China, Japan are headed. We don't respect but one. It was a great struggle between two massive know how the Balkans will evolve. We do know that with the alliances conducted on every continent and at every level of Soviet decline other forces will occupy the vacuum, among struggle-economic, political and military-save one: the ex- them long-dormant nationalisms and newly awakened Islamic istence of nuclear weapons outlawed direct military engage- fundamentalism, neither of which is necessarily friendly to ment between the great powers. Which is why the cold war is American interests or values. We also know that in a high-tech not recognized for what it was-World War III. And in 1989 it world, dozens of regimes are acquiring weapons of mass de- ended just like the first two: we won. struction (nuclear, chemical, biological) and the means to de- Seeing the cold war as World War III is not just a meta- liver them to almost any place on earth. phor. It helps to explain the current rush to demobilize. We It is naive and highly dangerous, therefore, to pretend that are again in the grip of a postwar euphoria, and our instinct is with the end of this latest war, war is abolished. Yet that is what to do what we have always done: demobilize first, ask ques- tions later. we want to believe. In 1943 Secretary of State Cordell Hull re- turned from the Moscow Conference that set the foundation It is in the American soul. Contrary to the fantasies of the recent left about an imperial Amerika, it is hard to think of a for a United Nations and told a joint session of Congress that as the provisions of the conference were carried out, "there will no great power with less taste for empire than the United States. Empire? The most universal response to the hegemony that longer be need for spheres of influence, for alliances, for bal- our Asian and European alliances brought us is the chorus of ance of power, or any other of the special arrangements through which, in the unhappy past, the nations strove to safe- Washington voices demanding allied "burden sharing." For guard their security or to promote their interests." Americans, empire is a pain. Sound familiar? 88 TIME, MARCH 26, 1990 YORK TIMES, FRIDAY, MARCH 30, 1990 A31 ESSAY William Safire Baltics to Baghdad WASHINGTON dently decided that "peace for our F rom the Baltics to Baghdad, the time" would best be achieved by umbrellas of appeasement are hearing only promises of no use of unfurling. force from Moscow and by ignoring "Lasting change can come to the the pleas for support of a small nation Soviet Union," said a powerful Voice struggling for freedom. Illustrations by Janusz Kapusta of America commentary on Feb. 15, The newly empowered superczar, "when citizens no longer need to fear Mr. Gorbachev, ordered the Red massive surveillance - and worse - Army to arrest "deserters." We must from the K.G.B. Secret police are also refuse to accept Moscow's descrip- Albany's Deficit entrenched in other countries, such as tion of these brave young Lithuanians China, North Korea, Iran, Iraq, Syria, Libya, Cuba and Albania. as deserters; on the contrary, they are patriots resisting impressment The rulers of these countries hold by a foreign power, in the face of is not that states sud- whatever - can and will occasionally power by force and fear," was the ac- likely beatings, torture and worse. multi-hundred-mil- result in serious shortfalls. curate message beamed by V.O.A., that the defi- They should not assume that even the "not by the consent of the governed. Mr. Bush, supported by Jimmy but have been modest rela- best revenue forecasters will predict But as East Europeans demonstrated Carter and unopposed by Congres- their budgets: less these events or their revenue so dramatically in 1989, the tide of sional leaders, refuses to assert even of even in celebrated history is against such rulers. The moral support of the nonviolent Lith- impact. uanians. that to Federal defi- 1990's should belong not to the dicta- The implication is that the state tax mid-1980's, were 25 to tors and secret police, but to the peo- Russian tanks and helicopters are system can't be enacted in Year 1 and total budget. ple." roaring through a nation that wants the deficits are excep- frozen for the rest of eternity or for These words were labeled a "call to to with. a governor's hoped-for three terms cope In many revolution" by Saddam Hussein, financing of public (which may be the eternity that serv- dictator of Iraq. He conveyed his dis- as Federal aid has counts). A state tax system with give, pleasure through four cables from Silence and local that can be adjusted in increments property our Ambassador in Baghdad to, John limited by the voters. without political battles fought as if Kelly, the diplomat who had run the is also Western civilization were at stake, is Poindexter "back-channel" arms necessary in a volatile world. bribery of Iran, now elevated by Within the adult memories of some President Bush to run the State De- a gamble. people still alive today (that is, way partment's Near Eastern bureau. back in the benighted 1950's), it was Mr. Kelly joined the King of Saudi common for states like New York Arabia in supporting Saddam's pro- that levied a personal income tax to test and denounced the V.O.A.'s truth- only to be let alone; Moscow is order set rates that were considered per- ful words at a morning meeting on ing out foreign observers, to prevent manent. Each year, however, they Feb. 17 chaired by Secretary of State pictures of any crackdown. Young enacted small percentage reductions Baker. Our pragmatic Secretary told Lithuanians are being dragged away, by the occupying army - with thou- or surcharges to assure a balanced the U.S.I.A. representative at the budget. People expected that these meeting to bring the V.O.A. editorial- sands more to be forcibly conscripted adjustments would be temporary, ists to heel. into hated foreign uniforms in coming even though the reduction or sur- The hangman of Baghdad had rea- weeks - and the U.S. Government is son to be edgy. His nuclear missile worried that any expression of sup- charge did not change each and every year. program was set back by a huge ex- port for the oppressed nation would How would this work today in, for plosion last Aug. 17 that sources tell "inflame the situation." spending cutbacks are me may have killed hundreds of tech- Spare us the apologia that nice-guy' example, New York State? The state than ever. nicians at Al Hillah, south of Bagh- Mr. Gorbachev is being forced to use. confronts a budget gap that may be evels of government, the more than $1.5 billion in the next fis- dad. He also may have suspected that force by his mean army leaders and than a decade has been his efforts to smuggle nuclear detona- his unruly Baltic subjects. One man the 60's and 70's, states cal year. A 10 percent surcharge on tors out of the U.S. were imperiled by has assumed the power to rule by de-, taxes or increased individual and corporate income the U.S. Customs agents in California; cree, and he has decreed that the in the face of taxes (your liability under the tax spend- their trap was sprung this week. Soviet empire will not give up its and economic difficul- rate structure, which includes a The State Department, which could Stalinist conquests. eatened to produce defi- scheduled reduction, plus 10 percent) not have been ignorant of Iraq's at- We cannot liberate the captive na- no matter how activist effective at the beginning of the fiscal tempt to steal our nuclear secrets, tions by force of arms, but we can has been exempt from year would raise about that amount. has long sought to appease Saddam. take a stand on the principle of self- of the past decade. If the economy recovers swiftly Accordingly, the dictator was as- determination. Would it harm Mr. vernors or legislatures and revenue forecasts turn out to be sured that no more such broadcasts Bush's quiet diplomacy - his "mas- of recent tax cuts as pessimistic, the surcharge could be would trouble him, and U.S.I.A. was terly inactivity" - for him to publicly feasible, or even honora- reduced later in the year, or in the instructed to clear all editorials - in praise the nonviolent stand of Presi- with deficits. next fiscal year - or turned into a writing - with State Department dent Landsbergis? Would it really in- way out? Yes. State gov- percentage reduction, from the regu- censors. flame the Kremlin for the American accept the fact that lar rate schedule, for the next year. The close supervision was extended President to use the word "independ- - changes in com- The point is that the basic tax struc- to another area: the Baltics. "We ence" in speaking about the goal of gyrations in securities ture has some permanence, while the were told by U.S.I.A. that State negotiations? tax legislation, inevitable marginal variations in eco- wanted no editorials at all on Lithua- To Moscow and to Vilnius as well as nomic conditions are accommodated. nia," a Voice employee tells me. to Baghdad, we should rebroadcast Hardly a bizarre idea, but one that (Richard Carlson, the Voice director, the V.O.A.'s forbidden message: ordinary people can understand, and loyally insists no new pressure was "The 1990's should not belong to the live with. applied.) dictators and the secret police, but to Mr. Bush and Mr. Baker have evi- the people." SUPPLEMENT: FRIDAY, 3 FEBRUARY 1989 DIPLOMACY THE WILSON QUARTERLY NEW YEAR'S 1989 Pg. 39 Soviets and Americans Visiting the Wilson Center, Soviet dissident Andrei Sakharov re- cently warned that back home Mikhail Gorbachev was amassing personal power, seeking "democratic change through undemo- cratic means." The eventual outcome, Sakharov added, was "any- body's guess." Many Westerners have been more optimistic about Gorbachev's reforms and their impact on East-West tensions and arms control; Britain's Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher sees an end to the Cold War. Some American analysts are less sanguine, noting that the Kremlin still seems bent on dividing the West even as it promises troop cuts, and withdraws from Afghanistan. Here our contributors look at the Soviet-American relationship, past, present, and future, after four long decades. IS THE COLD WAR OVER? by Peter W. Rodman U nder Mikhail Gorbachev, there ciliatory Soviet policies. In arms control, have been extensive changes in East and West are negotiating, or are about the practice and theory of Soviet to negotiate, a comprehensive agenda rang- foreign policy. ing from banning chemical weapons, to sta- Two recent developments stand out. First bilizing the conventional military balance is the INF Treaty (signed at the Washington in Europe, to controlling the proliferation Summit in December 1987), in which the of ballistic missile technology. We see the United States and the Soviet Union have Soviets not only committing to a with- agreed not only to the unprecedented de- drawal from Afghanistan, but also encour- struction of an entire class of nuclear mis- aging diplomatic compromises in Angola siles but also to an equally unprecedented and Cambodia, and engaging in a regular system of highly intrusive on-site inspec- dialogue with us on other Third World con- tion. Second is the Soviet pledge to with- flicts. We see them establishing relations or draw from Afghanistan, and to reduce its improving relations with countries that armed forces by 500,000 troops by 1991. used to be off-limits (the Republic of Korea, But these are only the most dramatic as- Israel, the Gulf Arabs); we see their foreign pects of an expanding pattern of cooper- minister visiting parts of the world (Latin ative endeavors and seemingly more con- America, Southeast Asia) where no prede- B 1 SUPPLEMENT: FRIDAY, 3 FEBRUARY 1989 COLD WAR CONTINUED Last October, a senior foreign ministry of- cessor had trod. Moreover, the Soviets now ficial, Andrey V. Kozyrev, lamented Mos- are showing more support for international cow's aid commitments and other burdens institutions they once mistrusted. In the in the Third World: "[T]he aid itself is only United Nations, they are not only paying the tip of the iceberg," he wrote. "Our di- their overdue bills but also praising the UN rect and indirect involvement in regional peacekeeping functions they once tried to conflicts led to colossal losses, by increas- block; they are even seeking to join the ing general international tension, justifying GATT and the IMF, and have established of- the arms race, and hindering the establish- ficial ties to the European Community. ment of mutually advantageous ties with Soviet pronouncements on foreign pol- the West." Kozyrev questioned the wisdom, icy speak of fundamental change. We read for the Soviet Union, of using military in- explicit renunciations of "class struggle" as struments in support of "regimes which de- the dominant Soviet theory of international clare themselves to be progressive but relations, now deemed inadequate in a which far from always possess an adequate world of increasing interdependence and democratic base in the country." nuclear danger. We read their own blunt It is never easy for any government to critiques of past errors, including Third abandon unsuccessful policies. The new World adventures and the military buildup Soviet leaders deserve credit, at the very of the 1970s, which provoked the sharp least, for their decisiveness in acting on a Western response of the 1980s. The Soviets rational analysis of the costs and benefits of talk, remarkably, about ensuring account- some of Moscow's earlier efforts. ability by such means as legislative over- The Soviets seem to have concluded dur- sight and a lessening of secrecy. Their dip- ing the 1970s that what they call the "cor- lomats, the younger generation, mostly, but relation of forces" was shifting in their fa- also some veterans, have a new style; they vor. It was a time of American are more sophisticated and easier to talk to, self-absorption in the wake of Vietnam and no longer tied up in the formulaic strait- Watergate. French statesman Maurice jackets of the past. Couve de Murville, on the floor of the Na- tional Assembly on May 6, 1976, warned that this American abdication was destabi- W e in the West owe it to ourselves to take advantage of the new lizing the international system. Soviet opportunities thus provided to power was growing, he said, but this was settle some outstanding issues and scale not new; the more striking new factor was back the military danger. Yet we must also "the American crisis": the domestic loss of ask ourselves how this all came about. confidence and the executive-legislative The Soviets' own analyses give us the stalemate, which resulted in a paralysis of clues. Embarked as they are on an ambi- power. In addition, the West was reeling tious program of internal reform, it is natu- from increased oil prices-the "energy ral, as they have said, to seek a period of shock." calm, a "breathing space" in the interna- In response, the Soviets and their allies tional environment. And, just as their inter- overreached. A Cuban expeditionary force nal reform is prompted by the failure of the transported and advised by the Soviets economic and political system, so a good tipped the scales in the Angolan civil war in part of the Soviets' "new thinking" on 1975 (after the U.S. Congress cut off aid to world affairs is prompted by an explicit rec- two non-Communist liberation move- ognition of the failure of Moscow's previ- ments). Cuban and Soviet forces later inter- ous policies. Despite our big arms buildup, vened in Ethiopia. Starting in 1977, the So- the Soviets are saying, it seems the arms viet Union deployed the triple-warhead race cannot be won. Our deployment of SS- SS-20 missiles targeted at both Europe and 20s only provoked a Western reaction. Our Asia. A Communist coup in Afghanistan own and our allies' attempts to win in Af- served as prelude to Soviet intervention. ghanistan, Angola, Cambodia were frus- Hanoi's troops invaded Cambodia in 1978. trated. The world's capitalist economy is In Nicaragua, the Sandinistas, who came to too strong to defeat or ignore; we must link power in 1979 as leaders of a broad coali- up with it and seek to benefit from it. tion against the dictator Somoza, began to B 2 SUPPLEMENT: FRIDAY, 3 FEBRUARY 1989 THE NEW REPUBLIC 23 JANUARY 1989 Pg. 8 THE SHOVEL GAP: "The Soviet Union has a nationwide, pared and willing to withstand a nuclear exchange. The long-standing, well-organized and funded civil defense corollary to their argument, of course, is that we should program under military control begins a 1988 pam- beef up our own civil defense effort or, better yet, our phlet issued by the U.S. Office of Civil Defense. That own retaliatory forces. Maybe, maybe not. But the chaos must be news to the Armenians, whose post-earthquake in Armenia makes the slick reports like the Department agony has been prolonged by a botched relief effort. For of Defense's Soviet Military Power-which devotes three years hard-liners in the United States have posited the pages to descriptions and fanciful sketches of Soviet un- existence of a massive Soviet civil defense effort, cit- derground railways and shelters-that much harder to ing it as yet more proof that the Soviets were both pre- swallow. COLD WAR CONTINUED (The drive for self-determination in Eastern squeeze out all non-Communist rivals, in Europe promises to be a crucial test of classic Leninist fashion reminiscent of East- Gorbachev's New Model foreign policy.) In em Europe in the late 1940s. Nicaragua, where the U.S. Congress has Such a trend was bound to provoke a re- now disarmed the resistance, the Soviets action. America rearmed. NATO began to continue a substantial flow of arms to the deploy its own INF missiles in 1983, while Sandinista military, now preponderant in offering to negotiate their elimination on Central America. The quest for unilateral an equal basis. In the various Third World advantage has not disappeared entirely conflicts, indigenous resistance, with out- from Soviet practice, whatever the theory. side help, prevented the consolidation of Yet, the "agonizing reappraisal" that So- initial gains. The free-world economy re- viet foreign policy has undergone in the covered from the oil crisis and found itself face of compelling realities should remind on the threshold of a new industrial revolu- us that we helped shape those realities. The tion-the information revolution of economic vigor, military strength, and geo- supercomputers and telecommunica- political resistance of the West have, be- tions-which threatened to doom the So- yond any doubt, helped bring us to this viet Union forever to minor-league status. point. Perhaps we now see the beginning of By the late 1980s, then, balance had been the vindication of "containment," as fore- restored to the international system. On shadowed by George Kennan in 1947-the both sides, leaders had the wisdom to draw gradual mellowing of Soviet power. the right conclusions. It became a propi- But have the Soviet Union's basic long- tious time for diplomacy. term aims truly changed? Fortunately, we What of the future? do not have to answer that ultimate ques- A Western analyst cannot help but notice tion today. If they have not changed, then a the continuities that remain in Soviet pol- policy of continued Western firmness is icy, and the persistence of East-West com- surely the right prescription. If, on the petition in areas that have not been blessed other hand, the Soviets are indeed at a his- with diplomatic solutions. Foremost among toric crossroads in rethinking their strate- them is Europe. In Europe, Gorbachev- gic interests, then it behooves us to help like his predecessors-continues political along this reappraisal by calmly sustaining warfare against NATO cohesion and NATO the conditions that have produced it, offer- strategies, while rejecting a Western call to ing the Soviets no temptations. tear down the Berlin Wall and otherwise This is our opportunity, and our respon- end the artificial division of the Continent. sibility. Peter W. Rodman, 45, has served as director of the State Department Policy Planning Staff and as a deputy assistant to the President for National Security Affairs during the Reagan administration. He was a special assistant to Henry Kissinger during the Nixon and Ford administrations. Born in Boston, Massachusetts, he received a B.A. (1964) from Harvard College, a JD. (1969) from Harvard Law School, and an M.A. (1970) from Oxford University. The views expressed here are his own and not necessarily those of the U. S. government. B 3 Administration of Ronald Reagan, 1988 / May 31 In the last few years, freedom for the arts Remarks and a Question-and-Answer has been expanded in the Soviet Union. Session With the Students and Faculty Some poems, books, music, and works in at Moscow State University other fields that were once banned have May 31, 1988 been made available to the public; and some of those artists who produced them The President. Thank you, Rector Lo- have been recognized. Two weeks ago, be- gunov, and I want to thank all of you very cause of the work of the Writers Union, the much for a very warm welcome. It's a great first step was taken to make the Pasternak pleasure to be here at Moscow State Uni- home at Peredelkino into a museum. In the versity, and I want to thank you all for turn- meantime, some artists in exile-the stage ing out. I know you must be very busy this director Yuri Lubimov, for example-have week, studying and taking your final exami- been permitted to return and to work, and nations. So, let me just say zhelayu vam artists who are here have been allowed a uspekha [I wish you success]. Nancy greater range. couldn't make it today because she's visiting We in the United States applaud the new Leningrad, which she tells me is a very thaw in the arts. We hope to see it go, fur- beautiful city, but she, too, says hello and ther. We hope to see Mikhail Baryshnikov wishes you all good luck. and Slava Rostropovich, artists Mrs. Reagan Let me say it's also a great pleasure to and I have seen perform in Washington, once again have this opportunity to speak perform again in Moscow. We hope to see directly to the people of the Soviet Union. the works of Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn pub- Before I left Washington, I received many lished in the land he loves. And we hope to heartfelt letters and telegrams asking me to see a permanent end to restrictions on the carry here a simple message, perhaps, but creativity of all artists and writers. We want also some of the most important business of this not just for your sake but for our own. this summit: It is a message of peace and We believe that the greater the freedoms in good will and hope for a growing friendship other countries the more secure both our and closeness between our two peoples. own freedoms and peace. And we believe As you know, I've come to Moscow to meet with one of your most distinguished that when the arts in any country are free graduates. In this, our fourth summit, Gen- to blossom the lives of all people are richer. eral Secretary Gorbachev and I have spent William Faulkner said of poets-although many hours together, and I feel that we're he could have been speaking of any of the getting to know each other well. Our dis- arts-it is the poet's privilege to help man cussions, of course, have been focused pri- endure by lifting his heart, by reminding marily on many of the important issues of him of the courage and honor and hope and the day, issues I want to touch on with you pride and compassion and pity and sacrifice in a few moments. But first I want to take a which have been the glory of our past. The little time to talk to you much as I would to poet's voice need not merely be the record any group of university students in the of man. It can be one of the props, the United States. I want to talk not just of the pillars, to help him endure and prevail. realities of today but of the possibilities of tomorrow. Thank you for having me here today and for sharing your thoughts with me, and God Standing here before a mural of your rev- olution, I want to talk about a very different bless you all. revolution that is taking place right now, quietly sweeping the globe without blood- Note: The President spoke at 1:44 p.m. in shed or conflict. Its effects are peaceful, but the dining room at the A. Fadeyev Central they will fundamentally alter our world, House of Men of Letters. He was introduced shatter old assumptions, and reshape our by Vladimir Vasilievich Karpov, first secre- lives. It's easy to underestimate because it's tary of the board of the U.S.S.R. Writer's not accompanied by banners or fanfare. It's Union. A tape was not available for verifi- been called the technological or informa- cation of the content of these remarks. tion revolution, and as its emblem, one 703 May 31 / Administration of Ronald Reagan, 1988 might take the tiny silicon chip, no bigger monosov, knew that. "It is common knowl- than a fingerprint. One of these chips has edge," he said, "that the achievements of more computing power than a roomful of science are considerable and rapid, particu- old-style computers. larly once the yoke of slavery is cast off and As part of an exchange program, we now replaced by the freedom of philosophy." have an exhibition touring your country You know, one of the first contacts between that shows how information technology is your country and mine took place between transforming our lives-replacing manual Russian and American explorers. The Amer- labor with robots, forecasting weather for icans were members of Cook's last voyage farmers, or mapping the genetic code of on an expedition searching for an Arctic DNA for medical researchers. These micro- passage; on the island of Unalaska, they computers today aid the design of every- came upon the Russians, who took them in, thing from houses to cars to spacecraft; they and together, with the native inhabitants, even design better and faster computers. held a prayer service on the ice. They can translate English into Russian or The explorers of the modern era are the enable the blind to read or help Michael entrepreneurs, men with vision, with the Jackson produce on one synthesizer the courage to take risks and faith enough to sounds of a whole orchestra. Linked by a brave the unknown. These entrepreneurs network of satellites and fiber-optic cables, and their small enterprises are responsible one individual with a desktop computer and for almost all the economic growth in the a telephone commands resources unavail- United States. They are the prime movers able to the largest governments just a few of the technological revolution. In fact, one years ago. of the largest personal computer firms in Like a chrysalis, we're emerging from the the United States was started by two col- economy of the Industrial Revolution-an economy confined to and limited by the lege students, no older than you, in the garage behind their home. Some people, Earth's physical resources-into, as one economist titled his book, "The Economy in even in my own country, look at the riot of Mind," in which there are no bounds on experiment that is the free market and see human imagination and the freedom to only waste. What of all the entrepreneurs that fail? Well, many do, particularly the create is the most precious natural resource. successful ones; often several times. And if Think of that little computer chip. Its value isn't in the sand from which it is made but you ask them the secret of their success, in the microscopic architecture designed they'll tell you it's all that they learned in into it by ingenious human minds. Or take their struggles along the way; yes, it's what the example of the satellite relaying this they learned from failing. Like an athlete in broadcast around the world, which replaces competition or a scholar in pursuit of the thousands of tons of copper mined from the truth, experience is the greatest teacher. Earth and molded into wire. In the new And that's why it's so hard for govern- economy, human invention increasingly ment planners, no matter how sophisticat- makes physical resources obsolete. We're ed, to ever substitute for millions of individ- breaking through the material conditions of uals working night and day to make their existence to a world where man creates his dreams come true. The fact is, bureaucra- own destiny. Even as we explore the most cies are a problem around the world. advanced reaches of science, we're return- There's an old story about a town-it could ing to the age-old wisdom of our culture, a be anywhere-with a bureaucrat who is wisdom contained in the book of Genesis in known to be a good-for-nothing, but he the Bible: In the beginning was the spirit, somehow had always hung on to power. So and it was from this spirit that the material one day, in a town meeting, an old woman abundance of creation issued forth. got up and said to him: "There is a folk But progress is not foreordained. The key legend here where I come from that when is freedom-freedom of thought, freedom a baby is born, an angel comes down from of information, freedom of communication. heaven and kisses it on one part of its body. The renowned scientist, scholar, and found- If the angel kisses him on his hand, he be- ing father of this university, Mikhail Lo- comes a handyman. If he kisses him on his Administration of Ronald Reagan, 1988 / May 31 forehead, he becomes bright and clever. will see children being taught the Declara- And I've been trying to figure out where tion of Independence, that they are en- the angel kissed you so that you should sit dowed by their Creator with certain un- there for so long and do nothing." [Laugh- ter] alienable rights-among them life, liberty, We are seeing the power of economic and the pursuit of happiness-that no gov- freedom spreading around the world. Places ernment can justly deny; the guarantees in such as the Republic of Korea, Singapore, their Constitution for freedom of speech, freedom of assembly, and freedom of reli- Taiwan have vaulted into the technological gion. era, barely pausing in the industrial age along the way. Low-tax agricultural policies Go into any courtroom, and there will in the sub-continent mean that in some preside an independent judge, beholden to years India is now a net exporter of food. no government power. There every defend- Perhaps most exciting are the winds of ant has the right to a trial by a jury of his change that are blowing over the People's peers, usually 12 men and women- Republic of China, where one-quarter of common citizens; they are the ones, the the world's population is now getting its only ones, who weigh the evidence and first taste of economic freedom. At the decide on guilt or innocence. In that court, same time, the growth of democracy has the accused is innocent until proven guilty, become one of the most powerful political and the word of a policeman or any official movements of our age. In Latin America in has no greater legal standing than the word the 1970's, only a third of the population of the accused. lived under democratic government; today Go to any university campus, and there over 90 percent does. In the Philippines, in you'll find an open, sometimes heated dis- the Republic of Korea, free, contested, cussion of the problems in American society democratic elections are the order of the and what can be done to correct them. day. Throughout the world, free markets Turn on the television, and you'll see the are the model for growth. Democracy is the legislature conducting the business of gov- standard by which governments are meas- ernment right there before the camera, de- ured. bating and voting on the legislation that We Americans make no secret of our will become the law of the land. March in belief in freedom. In fact, it's something of any demonstration, and there are many of a national pastime. Every 4 years the Amer- them; the people's right of assembly is guar- ican people choose a new President, and anteed in the Constitution and protected by 1988 is one of those years. At one point the police. Go into any union hall, where there were 13 major candidates running in the members know their right to strike is the two major parties, not to mention all protected by law. As a matter of fact, one of the others, including the Socialist and Lib- the many jobs I had before this one was ertarian candidates-all trying to get my being president of a union, the Screen job. About 1,000 local television stations, Actors Guild. I led my union out on strike, 8,500 radio stations, and 1,700 daily news- and I'm proud to say we won. papers-each one an independent, private But freedom is more even than this. enterprise, fiercely independent of the gov- Freedom is the right to question and ernment-report on the candidates, grill change the established way of doing things. them in interviews, and bring them togeth- It is the continuing revolution of the mar- er for debates. In the end, the people vote; ketplace. It is the understanding that allows they decide who will be the next President. us to recognize shortcomings and seek solu- But freedom doesn't begin or end with tions. It is the right to put forth an idea, elections. Go to any American town, to take scoffed at by the experts, and watch it catch just an example, and you'll see dozens of fire among the people. It is the right to churches, representing many different be- dream-to follow your dream or stick to liefs-in many places, synagogues and your conscience, even if you're the only one mosques-and you'll see families of every in a sea of doubters. Freedom is the recog- conceivable nationality worshiping togeth- nition that no single person, no single au- er. Go into any school room, and there you thority or government has a monopoly on 705 May 31 / Administration of Ronald Reagan, 1988 the truth, but that every individual life is on human freedom. It comes, not from the infinitely precious, that every one of us put literature of America, but from this country, on this world has been put there for a from one of the greatest writers of the 20th reason and has something to offer. century, Boris Pasternak, in the novel "Dr. America is a nation made up of hundreds Zhivago." He writes: "I think that if the of nationalities. Our ties to you are more beast who sleeps in man could be held than ones of good feeling; they're ties of down by threats-any kind of threat, kinship. In America, you'll find Russians, Ar- whether of jail or of retribution after menians, Ukrainians, peoples from Eastern death-then the highest emblem of human- Europe and Central Asia. They come from ity would be the lion tamer in the circus every part of this vast continent, from with his whip, not the prophet who sacri- every continent, to live in harmony, seeking a place where each cultural heritage is re- ficed himself. But this is just the point- what has for centuries raised man above the spected, each is valued for its diverse beast is not the cudgel, but an inward strengths and beauties and the richness it brings to our lives. Recently, a few individ- music-the irresistible power of unarmed truth." uals and families have been allowed to visit relatives in the West. We can only hope The irresistible power of unarmed truth. that it won't be long before all are allowed Today the world looks expectantly to signs to do so and Ukrainian-Americans, Baltic- of change, steps toward greater freedom in Americans, Armenian-Americans can freely the Soviet Union. We watch and we hope as visit their homelands, just as this Irish- we see positive changes taking place. There American visits his. are some, I know, in your society who fear Freedom, it has been said, makes people that change will bring only disruption and selfish and materialistic, but Americans are discontinuity, who fear to embrace the one of the most religious peoples on Earth. hope of the future. Sometimes it takes faith. Because they know that liberty, just as life It's like that scene in the cowboy movie itself, is not earned but a gift from God, "Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid," they seek to share that gift with the world. which some here in Moscow recently had a "Reason and experience," said George chance to see. The posse is closing in on the Washington in his farewell address, "both two outlaws, Butch and Sundance, who find forbid us to expect that national morality themselves trapped on the edge of a cliff, can prevail in exclusion of religious princi- with a sheer drop of hundreds of feet to the ple. And it is substantially true, that virtue raging rapids below. Butch turns to Sun- or morality is a necessary spring of popular dance and says their only hope is to jump government." Democracy is less a system of into the river below, but Sundance refuses. government than it is a system to keep gov- He says he'd rather fight it out with the ernment limited, unintrusive; a system of posse, even though they're hopelessly out- constraints on power to keep politics and numbered. Butch says that's suicide and government secondary to the important urges him to jump, but Sundance still re- things in life, the true sources of value fuses and finally admits, "I can't swim." found only in family and faith. Butch breaks up laughing and says, "You But I hope you know I go on about these crazy fool, the fall will probably kill you." things not simply to extol the virtues of my And, by the way, both Butch and Sundance own country but to speak to the true great- made it, in case you didn't see the movie. I ness of the heart and soul of your land. think what I've just been talking about is Who, after all, needs to tell the land of perestroika and what its goals are. Dostoevski about the quest for truth, the But change would not mean rejection of home of Kandinski and Scriabin about the past. Like a tree growing strong imagination, the rich and noble culture of through the seasons, rooted in the Earth the Uzbek man of letters Alisher Navoi and drawing life from the Sun, so, too, posi- about beauty and heart? The great culture tive change must be rooted in traditional of your diverse land speaks with a glowing values-in the land, in culture, in family passion to all humanity. Let me cite one of and community-and it must take its life the most eloquent contemporary passages from the eternal things, from the source of Administration of Ronald Reagan, 1988 / May 31 all life, which is faith. Such change will lead It's my fervent hope that our constructive to new understandings, new opportunities, cooperation on these issues will be carried to a broader future in which the tradition is on to address the continuing destruction of not supplanted but finds its full flowering. conflicts in many regions of the globe and That is the future beckoning to your gen- that the serious discussions that led to the eration. Geneva accords on Afghanistan will help At the same time, we should remember lead to solutions in southern Africa, Ethio- that reform that is not institutionalized will pia, Cambodia, the Persian Gulf, and Cen- always be insecure. Such freedom will tral America. always be looking over its shoulder. A bird I have often said: Nations do not distrust on a tether, no matter how long the rope, each other because they are armed; they can always be pulled back. And that is why, are armed because they distrust each other. in my conversation with General Secretary If this globe is to live in peace and prosper, Gorbachev, I have spoken of how important if it is to embrace all the possibilities of the it is to institutionalize change-to put guar- technological revolution, then nations must antees on reform. And we've been talking renounce, once and for all, the right to an together about one sad reminder of a divid- expansionist foreign policy. Peace between ed world: the Berlin Wall. It's time to nations must be an enduring goal, not a remove the barriers that keep people apart. tactical stage in a continuing conflict. I'm proposing an increased exchange pro- gram of high school students between our I've been told that there's a popular song countries. General Secretary Gorbachev in your country-perhaps you know it- mentioned on Sunday a wonderful phrase whose evocative refrain asks the question, "Do the Russians want a war?" In answer it you have in Russian for this: "Better to see something once than to hear about it a hun- says: "Go ask that silence lingering in the dred times." Mr. Gorbachev and I first air, above the birch and poplar there; be- began working on this in 1985. In our dis- neath those trees the soldiers lie. Go ask my cussion today, we agreed on working up to mother, ask my wife; then you will have to several thousand exchanges a year from ask no more, 'Do the Russians want a each country in the near future. But not war?' But what of your one-time allies? everyone can travel across the continents What of those who embraced you on the and oceans. Words travel lighter, and that's Elbe? What if we were to ask the watery why we'd like to make available to this graves of the Pacific or the European bat- country more of our 11,000 magazines and tlefields where America's fallen were periodicals and our television and radio buried far from home? What if we were to shows that can be beamed off a satellite in ask their mothers, sisters, and sons, do seconds. Nothing would please us more Americans want war? Ask us, too, and you'll than for the Soviet people to get to know us find the same answer, the same longing in better and to understand our way of life. every heart. People do not make wars; gov- Just a few years ago, few would have ernments do. And no mother would ever imagined the progress our two nations have willingly sacrifice her sons for territorial made together. The INF treaty, which Gen- gain, for economic advantage, for ideology. eral Secretary Gorbachev and I signed last A people free to choose will always choose December in Washington and whose instru- peace. ments of ratification we will exchange to- Americans seek always to make friends of morrow-the first true nuclear arms reduc- old antagonists. After a colonial revolution tion treaty in history, calling for the elimi- with Britain, we have cemented for all ages nation of an entire class of U.S. and Soviet the ties of kinship between our nations. nuclear missiles. And just 16 days ago, we After a terrible civil war between North saw the beginning of your withdrawal from and South, we healed our wounds and Afghanistan, which gives us hope that soon found true unity as a nation. We fought two the fighting may end and the healing may world wars in my lifetime against Germany begin and that that suffering country may and one with Japan, but now the Federal find self-determination, unity, and peace at Republic of Germany and Japan are two of long last. our closest allies and friends. 707 May 31 / Administration of Ronald Reagan, 1988 Some people point to the trade disputes Thank you all very much, and da blagos- between us as a sign of strain, but they're lovit vas gospod'-God bless you. the frictions of all families, and the family of Mr. Logunov. Dear friends, Mr. Presi- free nations is a big and vital and some- dent has kindly agreed to answer your ques- times boisterous one. I can tell you that tions. But since he doesn't have too much nothing would please my heart more than time, only 15 minutes-so, those who have in my lifetime to see American and Soviet questions, please ask them. diplomats grappling with the problem of trade disputes between America and a growing, exuberant, exporting Soviet Union Strategic Arms Reductions that had opened up to economic freedom Q. And this is a student from the history and growth. And as important as these offi- faculty, and he says that he's happy to wel- cial people-to-people exchanges are, noth- come you on behalf of the students of the ing would please me more than for them to university. And the first question is that the become unnecessary, to see travel between East and West become so routine that-uni- improvement in the relations between the versity students in the Soviet Union could two countries has come about during your take a month off in the summer and, just tenure as President, and in this regard he like students in the West do now, put packs would like to ask the following question. It on their backs and travel from country to is very important to get a handle on the country in Europe with barely a passport question of arms control and, specifically, check in between. Nothing would please the limitation of strategic arms. Do you me more than to see the day that a concert think that it will be possible for you and the promoter in, say, England could call up a General Secretary to get a treaty on the Soviet rock group, without going through limitation of strategic arms during the time any government agency, and have them that you are still President? playing in Liverpool the next night. Is this The President. Well, the arms treaty that just a dream? Perhaps. But it is a dream is being negotiated now is the so-called that is our responsibility to have come true. START treaty, and it is based on taking the Your generation is living in one of the intercontinental ballistic missiles and reduc- most exciting, hopeful times in Soviet histo- ing them by half, down to parity between ry. It is a time when the first breath of our two countries. Now, this is a much freedom stirs the air and the heart beats to more complicated treaty than the INF the accelerated rhythm of hope, when the treaty, the intermediate-range treaty, which accumulated spiritual energies of a long si- lence yearn to break free. I am reminded of we have signed and which our two govern- the famous passage near the end of Gogol's ments have ratified and is now in effect. So, "Dead Souls." Comparing his nation to a there are many things still to be settled. speeding troika, Gogol asks what will be its You and we have had negotiators in Geneva destination. But he writes, "There was no for months working on various points of this answer save the bell pouring forth marvel- treaty. Once we had hoped that maybe, like ous sound." the INF treaty, we would have been able to We do not know what the conclusion will sign it here at this summit meeting. It is not be of this journey, but we're hopeful that completed; there are still some points that the promise of reform will be fulfilled. In are being debated. We are both hopeful this Moscow spring, this May 1988, we may that it can be finished before I leave office, be allowed that hope: that freedom, like the which is in the coming January, but I assure fresh green sapling planted over Tolstoi's you that if it isn't-I assure you that I will grave, will. blossom forth at last in the rich have impressed on my successor that we fertile soil of your people and culture. We must carry on until it is signed. My dream may be allowed to hope that the marvelous has always been that once we've started sound of a new openness will keep rising down this road, we can look forward to a through, ringing through, leading to a new day, you can look forward to a day, when world of reconciliation, friendship, and there will be no more nuclear weapons in peace. the world at all. 708 Administration of Ronald Reagan, 1988 / May 31 Young People know each other, there would never be an- Q. The question is: The universities influ- other war. And I think that of you. I think ence public opinion, and the student won- that of the other students that I've ad- ders how the youths have changed since dressed in other places. the days when you were a student up until And of course, I know also that you're now? young and, therefore, there are certain The President. Well, wait a minute. How things that at times take precedence. I'll you have changed since the era of my own illustrate one myself. Twenty-five years youth? after I graduated, my alma mater brought Q. How just students have changed, the me back to the school and gave me an hon- youth have changed. You were a student. orary degree. And I had to tell them they [Laughter] At your time there were one compounded a sense of guilt I had nursed type. How they have changed? for 25 years because I always felt the first The President. Well, I know there was a degree they gave me was honorary. period in our country when there was a [Laughter] You're great. Carry on. very great change for the worst. When I was Governor of California, I could start a Regional Conflicts riot just by going to a campus. But that has Q. Mr. President, you have just men- all changed, and I could be looking out at tioned that you welcome the efforts-settle- an American student body as well as I'm ment of the Afghanistan question and the looking out here and would not be able to difference of other regional conflicts. What tell the difference between you. conflicts do you mean? Central America I think that back in our day-I did conflicts, South East Asian, or South Afri- happen to go to school, get my college edu- can? cation in a unique time; it was the time of The President. Well, for example, in the Great Depression, when, in a country South Africa, where Namibia has been like our own, there was 25-percent unem- promised its independence as a nation-an- ployment and the bottom seemed to have other new African nation. But it is impossi- fallen out of everything. But we had-I ble because of a civil war going on in an- think what maybe I should be telling you other country there, and that civil war is from my point here, because I graduated in being fought on one side by some 30,000 to 1932, that I should tell you that when you 40,000 Cuban troops who have gone from get to be my age, you're going to be sur- the Americas over there and are fighting on prised how much you recall the feelings you one side with one kind of authoritative gov- had in these days here and that how easy it ernment. When that country was freed is to understand the young people because from being a colony and given its independ- of your own having been young once. You ence, one faction seized power and made know an awful lot more about being young itself the government of that nation. And than you do about being old. [Laughter] leaders of another-seeming the majority of And I think there is a seriousness, I think there is a sense of responsibility that young the people had wanted simply the people to people have, and I think that there is an have the right to choose the government awareness on the part of most of you about that they wanted, and that is the civil war what you want your adulthood to be and that is going on. But what we believe is that what the country you live in-you want it those foreign soldiers should get out and let to be. And I have a great deal of faith. I them settle it, let the citizens of that nation said the other day to 76 students-they settle their problems. were half American and half Russian. They And the same is true in Nicaragua. Nica- had held a conference here and in Finland ragua has been-Nicaragua made a prom- and then in the United States, and I faced ise. They had a dictator. There was a revo- them just the other day, and I had to say-I lution, there was an organization that-and couldn't tell the difference looking at them, was aided by others in the revolution, and which were which, but I said one line to they appealed to the Organization of Amer- them. I said I believe that if all the young ican States for help in getting the dictator people of the world today could get to to step down and stop the killing. And he 709 May 31 / Administration of Ronald Reagan, 1988 did. But the Organization of American powers are. And it can have no powers States had asked, what are the goals of the other than those, listed in that document. revolution? And they were given in writing, But very carefully, at the same time, the and they were the goals of pluralistic socie- people give the government the power ty, of the right of unions and freedom of with regard to those things which they speech and press and so forth and free elec- think would be destructive to society, to the tions-a pluralistic society. And then the family, to the individual and so forth-in- one group that was the best organized fringements on their rights. And thus, the among the revolutionaries seized power, government can enforce the laws. But that exiled many of the other leaders, and has its has all been dictated by the people. own government, which violated every one of the promises that had been made. And The President's Retirement Plans here again, we want-we're trying to en- Q. Mr. President, from history I know courage the getting back those-or making that people who have been connected with those promises come true and letting the great power, with big posts, say goodbye, people of that particular country decide leave these posts with great difficulty. Since their fate. your term of office is coming to an, end, Soviet MIA's in Afghanistan what sentiments do you experience and Q. Esteemed Mr. President, I'm very whether you feel like, if, hypothetically, you much anxious and concerned about the des- can just stay for another term? [Laughter] tiny of 310 Soviet soldiers being missing in The President. Well, I'll tell you some- Afghanistan. Are you willing to help in their thing. I think it was a kind of revenge search and their return to the motherland? against Franklin Delano Roosevelt, who was The President. Very much so. We would elected four times-the only President. like nothing better than that. There had kind of grown a tradition in our country about two terms. That tradition was American Constitution started by Washington, our first President, Q. The reservation of the inalienable only because there was great talk at the rights of citizens guaranteed by the Consti- formation of our country that we might tution faces certain problems; for example, become a monarchy, and we had just freed the right of people to have arms, or for ourselves from a monarchy. So, when the example, the problem appears, an evil ap- second term was over, George Washington pears whether spread of pornography or stepped down and said he would do it- narcotics is compatible with these rights. stepping down-so that there would not get Do you believe that these problems are just to be the kind of idea of an inherited aris- unavoidable problems connected with de- tocracy. Well, succeeding Presidents-many mocracy, or they could be avoided? of them didn't get a chance at second term; The President. Well, if I understand you they did one term and were gone. But that correctly, this is a question about the in- tradition kind of remained. But it was just a alienable rights of the people-does that in- tradition. And then Roosevelt ran the four clude the right to do criminal acts-for ex- times-died very early in his fourth term. ample, in the use of drugs and so forth? No. And suddenly, in the atmosphere at that [Applause] No, we have a set of laws. I time, they added an amendment to the think what is significant and different about Constitution that Presidents could only our system is that every country has a con- serve two terms. stitution, and most constitutions or practi- When I get out of office-I can't do this cally all of the constitutions in the world are while I'm in office, because it will look as documents in which the government tells I'm selfishly doing it for myself-when I get the people what the people can do. Our out of office, I'm going to travel around, Constitution is different, and the difference what I call the mashed-potato circuit-that is in three words; it almost escapes every- is the afterdinner speaking and the speak- one. The three words are, "We the people." ing to luncheon groups and so forth-I'm Our Constitution is a document in which going to travel around and try to convince we the people tell the government what its the people of our country that they should 710 Administration of Ronald Reagan, 1988 / May 31 wipe out that amendment to the Constitu- lifestyle. Maybe we should have said, no, tion because it was an interference with the come join us; be citizens along with the rest democratic rights of the people. The people of us. As I say, many have; many have been should be allowed to vote for who they very successful. wanted to vote for, for as many times as And I'm very pleased to meet with them, they want to vote for him; and that it is talk with them at any time and see what they who are being denied a right. But you their grievances are or what they feel they see, I will no longer be President then, so I might be. And you'd be surprised: Some of can do that and talk for that. them became very wealthy because some of There are a few other things I'm going to those reservations were overlaying great try to convince the people to impress upon pools of oil, and you can get very rich our Congress, the things that should be pumping oil. And so, I don't know what done. I've always described it that if-in their complaint might be. Hollywood, when I was there, if you didn't Q. Mr. President, I'm very much tanta- sing or dance, you wound up as an afterdin- lized since yesterday evening by the ques- ner speaker. And I didn't sing or dance. tion, why did you receive yesterday-did [Laughter] So, I have a hunch that I will be you receive and when you invite yester- out on the speaking circuit, telling about a day-refuseniks or dissidents? And for the few things that I didn't get done in govern- second part of the question is, just what are ment, but urging the people to tell the your impressions from Soviet people? And Congress they wanted them done. among these dissidents, you have invited a American Indians former collaborator with a Fascist, who was Q. Mr. President, I've heard that a group a policeman serving for Fascist. of American Indians have come here be- The President. Well, that's one I don't cause they couldn't meet you in the United know about, or maybe the information States of America. If you fail to meet them hasn't been all given out on that. But you here, will you be able to correct it and to have to understand that Americans come meet them back in the United States? from every corner of the world. I received The President. I didn't know that they a letter from a man that called something had asked to see me. If they've come here to my attention recently. He said, you can or whether to see them there-[aughter]- go to live in France, but you cannot I'd be very happy to see them. become a Frenchman; you can go to live in Let me tell you just a little something Germany, you cannot become a German- about the American Indian in our land. We or a Turk, or a Greek, or whatever. But he have provided millions of acres of land for said anyone, from any corner of the world, what are called preservations-or reserva- can come to live in America and become an tions, I should say. They, from the begin- American. ning, announced that they wanted to main- You have to realize that we are a people tain their way of life, as they had always that are made up of every strain, national- lived there in the desert and the plains and ity, and race of the world. And the result is so forth. And we set up these reservations that when people in our country think so they could, and have a Bureau of Indian someone is being mistreated or treated un- Affairs to help take care of them. At the justly in another country, these are people same time, we provide education for who still feel that kinship to that country them-schools on the reservations. And because that is their heritage. In America, they're free also to leave the reservations whenever you meet someone new and and be American citizens among the rest of become friends, one of the first things you us, and many do. Some still prefer, howev- tell each other is what your bloodline is. For er, that way-that early way of life. And example, when I'm asked, I have to say we've done everything we can to meet Irish, English, and Scotch-English and their demands as to how they want to live. Scotch on my mother's side, Irish on my Maybe we made a mistake. Maybe we father's side. But all of them have that. should not have humored them in that Well, when you take on to yourself a wanting to stay in that kind of primitive wife, you do not stop loving your mother. 711 May 31 / Administration of Ronald Reagan, 1988 So, Americans all feel a kind of a kinship to waited for somebody to get in front and that country that their parents or their drive us. [Laughter] grandparents or even some great-grandpar- ents came from; you don't lose that contact. [At this point, Rector Logunov presented So, what I have come and what I have the President with a gift.] brought to the General Secretary-and I That is beautiful. Thank you very much. must say he has been very cooperative about it-I have brought lists of names that Note: The President spoke at 4:10 p.m. in have been brought to me from people that the Lecture Hall at Moscow State Universi- are relatives or friends that know that or ty. Anatoliy Alekseyevich Logunov was that believe that this individual is being rector of the university. mistreated here in this country, and they want him to be allowed to emigrate to our country. Some are separated families. One that I met in this, the other day, was born the same time I was. He was born of Toasts at a Dinner Hosted by the Russian parents who had moved to Amer- President at Spaso House in Moscow ica, oh, way back in the early 1900's, and he May 31, 1988 was born in 1911. And then sometime later, the family moved back to Russia. Now he's The President. Mr. General Secretary, grown, has a son. He's an American citizen. Mrs. Gorbachev, distinguished guests and But they wanted to go back to America and friends, it's a pleasure to host all of you being denied on the grounds that, well, tonight and to reciprocate, in a small way, they can go back to America, but his son the hospitality you lavished upon us yester- married a Russian young lady, and they day evening. While the General Secretary want to keep her from going back. Well, and I had already held three meetings the whole family said, no, we're not going before this one began here in Moscow, each to leave her alone here. She's a member of of those earlier encounters took place in the the family now. Well, that kind of a case is autumn. The days were growing short, the brought to me personally, so I bring it to weather ever grayer and colder. It makes the General Secretary. And as I say, I must for a bracing, delightful change to have this say, he has been most helpful and most meeting take place at the high point of agreeable about correcting these things. spring, a time of long, light-filled days. Now, I'm not blaming you; I'm blaming I know that Nancy found her springtime bureaucracy. We have the same type of visit to Leningrad earlier today both mag- thing happen in our own country. And nificent and moving. The play of light upon every once in a while, somebody has to get the rivers and canals added the special the bureaucracy by the neck and shake it splendor of the season to a city splendid in loose and say, Stop doing what you're any season. And everywhere, Nancy has doing. And this is the type of thing and the told me, there was a sense of history, espe- names that we have brought. And it is a list cially of Leningrad's immense courage and of names, all of which have been brought to sacrifice during the Second World War, me personally by either relatives or close surely one of the most stirring epics in the friends and associates. [Applause] Thank whole human story. you very much. You're all very kind. I Here in Moscow, I've been reminded a thank you very much. And I hope I an- number of times during this springtime visit swered the questions correctly. Nobody of a passage in a book about your country asked me what it was going to feel like to by Laurens Van der Post. Especially struck not be President anymore. I have some un- by the city's churches, Van der Post wrote derstanding, because after I'd been Gover- that when he caught his first sight of the nor for 8 years and then stepped down, I Moscow skyline he saw "the light of an un- want to tell you what it's like. We'd only usually pure evening upon it. That light was been home a few days, and someone invit- alchemical, and it transformed Moscow into ed us out to dinner. Nancy and I both went a city of gold. The tops of the spires and out, got in the back seat of the car, and pinnacles drawing the rigid forms of the 712 RNAL FRIDAY, JANUARY 12, 1990 A Single Bullet By MARK HELPRIN the West-"now that Soviet threat no many locked in de facto unification with Most leaders who decide upon war do so longer exists accepts Mr. Gorba- the Federal Republic, hell could break amid what they report to have been the in- chev's probity and permanence. American loose as the NATO Germans suddenly dis- eluctable compulsion of events with a life intelligence appears to believe that he has cover something for which they will lay of their own. And when things get out of replaced hostile elements of the armed down their lives. hand, it Is usually after a period of eupho- forces. but the word on the street in Mos- America faces these dangers with slo- ria has masked the small signals of danger cow is the opposite, and a noted Soviet par- gans. Though "the end of history" and that in later sobriety stand out with such liamentarian told this newspaper in Sep- "the peace dividend" make no more sense melancholy force. tember that "all the officers who support than "tennis balls cause cancer" and "the The lamps of Europe are burning bril- perestroika have been discharged." In this Arabian resuscitation." they are the intel- liantly but out of control. Far too much autumn of Eastern Europe, the Red Army lectual foundation for habitual capitula- rides upon Mikhail Gorbachev, for real continued to speak its ancient language, tionists who resent having to receive con- power in the Soviet Bloc is still centralized detaining American military observers and cessions, because they are happy only in him, and he alone holds back the per- bayoneting tires, as if to signal that It is when they are making them. fectly intact mechanisms of repression. not to be dismissed as an independent ac- The facts suggest a major Soviet revanche With no inkling of why Mr. Gorbachev tor, and It is not. The KGB and the party, with unpredictable consequences in and may fall, they refuse to look closely at his bent out of shape by Mr. Gorbachev, can among the blocs. Not since Sarajevo or crumbling economy, affronted military, snap back. Munich has so grave a peril been so unap- slighted party and disintegrating empire, The Soviet president will not magically preciated by so many. and seem to believe that the U.S., pros- rid the military, the KGB and the party of Though the press, intelligence agencies institutional memory, because his infalli- trate before the South Bronx, can pull and shallow think tanks proffer triumpha- these chestnuts from the fire with some list analyses, this Is only because institu- beltocentric puffery. Are these not the tional needs take precedence over the The Stalinists whom same people who call the U.S. an impotent blaze of individual genius and the simple glant, who shrink at the thunder of Daniel light of the truth, Institutional analysis Mr. Gorbachev has Ortega, and dare not set foot in Beirut? El tells us that the shah rules the Iran that stuffed into deep and un- Salvador is too big a bite and should be left conquered the Iraq that invaded the Saudi to the locals, but the U.S.S.R. you do in the Arabia that owns the America that, in the pleasant buckets may afternoon. depression before the nuclear war, ran out of resources just as President Dukakis vis- burst from them as if shot Vision is the word used by those who do not comprehend what It is they do not have ited Argentina, victor of the Falklands. from a cannon. to offer. Critics of President Bush's instinc- And it tells us that Europe is safe. tive caution, citing vision, have forced him Consider nonetheless a short list of fun- to compromise with negligence. One of the damentals: the dissolution of the Soviet bility is a wishful creation of the Western "Wise Men" validating with his resume Bloc, the centrifugality of the Soviet repub- press: Though Mr. Gorbachev originally America's insatiable desire to throw off its lics, and the demise of the Soviet econ- called for the dissolution of the blocs, he burdens Is Robert McNamara, once a bur- omy. reversed himself when he saw what he had den himself. Despite nearly undiminished. A Red Line wrought. Still, he says with baseless assur- Soviet military capacity, he wants to cut- ance that "the 1990s promise to become the the U.S. defense budget in half. His reck- Vadim Medvedev, the Soviet. Commu- most fruitful period in the history of civili- nist Party's chief of ideology, believes that lessness is allowed the front page, as per- zation," and I say that one must always haps it should be, for as one of the chief- divisiveness in Soviet society and seces- question the probity and permanence of sionist trends in the republics are enough architects of both our gratuitous involve- anyone whose stability depends upon in- in themselves to cause "the end of peres- ment in and unnecessary defeat by Viet- creasing his velocity. troika" and "our new role in the interna- nam, Mr. McNamara should be closely The Stalinists whom Mr. Gorbachev has tional community." This is obviously a red watched SO that the public may safely seek: stuffed into deep and unpleasant buckets the opposite of what he recommends. line. and yet the country continues to may burst from them as if shot from a break apart not merely in protest of the cannon. The smallest part of recent events Gradually and Steadily forced unity of natural differences but be- in East Europe would have been, a short Reduction of forces should be conceived cause opportunity generates its own mo- time ago, casus belli for the Soviet Union, to take some strain off the Soviet economy mentum. justifying a full-scale Invasion. Moreover, while neither imperiling Western defense The Soviets are attempting to restruc- the Soviets do not and cannot view German (which a 50% cut obviously would) nor re- ture a failed centralized economy by reunification with America's careless indif- quiring a change in the political structures means of a centralized design-a strategy ference. It serves, for the preservation of NATO is that needs no further comment-and they Though the Franco-Prussian War and essential not so much to meet contingen- have no room for mistakes. no political or two world wars were the result of heartfelt cies as to deter them. The dissolution of economic elasticity save their legendary German ideals, slipshod European states- empire in the East, the re-integration of ability to suffer. If Western economies manship. and unintended consequences, Central with Western Europe, the diminu- stumble in the near future. the privations the Germans still believe that purity of In- tion of orders of battle, and the shifting of of economic transition in the East will be tention can remake the world. The concert alignments must occur gradually and impossible to bear, in that the model for of Europe that they wish to inspire Is not steadily If they are to last and not turn which the East has undertaken to suffer impossible, but it is improbable, and ef- shockingly bitter. will appear, justifiably or not, to have been forts to achieve it more often than not put If perestroika succeeds too well, a clas- an Illusion. Keep in mind that in the Soviet disruptive strain upon the international sic power rivalry will come into play, and economy full employment comes first, and system. This does not and will not matter if It fails, ideological confrontation will rè- that the national unemployment rate is to them. for their ethos is not to under- turn. What appears to some to be the con-- (unofficially) 17%. Mr. Gorbachev can stand that the perfect Is the enemy of the cert of Europe is merely a moment of re- overcome all difficulties If he can deliver good. but. rather, to pursue an ideal so lief within a moment of hesitation. Because the economy, but he cannot deliver the tensely that it shatters. half the continent is in thrall, the other half economy. They are at it again, having virtually should seek gravity. stability and continu- The dissolution of the Warsaw Pact is unified. as daily reportage attests. The ity. This means, among other things. rejec- more acutely damaging to Mr. Gorba- Schengen talks on European Community tion of the premise and spur driving Mik- chev's chances of survival than even the open borders serve to query Bonn about hail Gorbachev, who, to continue. must ac- worsening consumer ice age over which he reunification: and in refusing to control the celerate. It means awakening to the falla- presides. He was not helped when West inter-German border, Bonn has stated its cies of hope. It means that the policy of German Chancellor Helmut Kohl, on a trip position unequivocally. If the counter-revo- great nations and the fate of the West must ostensibly to reassure the Poles, refused to lution fails in the Soviet Union, either from not be allowed to depend on the fortunes of accept the immutability of the Polish-Ger- lack of boldness or too much of it, the one man alone, no matter how positive his man border: Fundamental Soviet interests counter-counter-revolutionaries may be ob- effect, for If the fate of the West rests upon guarantee that the rise of Germany will sessed with German ascendancy and take one man, it rests upon a single bullet. force a reassessment of the disintegration the plunge to reclaim strategic depth. The of the pact and the loss of buffer states, Brezhnev Doctrine did not die with Brezh- and with reassessment may come a Mr. Helprin is a novelist and political nev. just as it was not invented by him. change of personnel. commentator. This is the latest of four ar- Should a Soviet revanche include the re- Nonetheless. conventional wisdom in ticles that began in 1988 with "War in En- repression of PA East Ger- Thinking the Unthinkable - 8 - Q Any independent information on Afghanistan about what is going on there? MR. FITZWATER: We don't have any information there that can verify what's happening. Q Has the President, since we talked about this yesterday, read Gephardt's speech? Do you have any reanalysis or reappraisal of that point? (Laughter.) MR. FITZWATER: Well, I don't know. That Gephardt. It's hard to figure out what he's up to. I mean, the Soviet Union has indicated that they don't want direct support. They have not made economic reforms that would be able to use that kind of support. Bill Bradley and other democrats, themselves, have said it would be pouring money down a rathole. So, he's hard to believe. I mean, it's like he's the Maxwell Smart of politics. (Laughter.) I mean, can you believe he wants to raise taxes on the American people to give money to the Soviet Union? I don't know what he's up to. Q Oh, Marlin. (Laughter.) THE PRESS: Thank you. END 11:03 A.M. EST #165/03-07 OBERLIN January 10, 1989 Ms. Peggy Dooley Old Executive Office Building, Room 111 Washington, DC 20500 Dear Ms. Dooley: This is the paper on Communications Technologies by S. Frederick Starr which you requested. As I mentioned it is included as a chapter in a book on Soviet Science and Technology soon to be published by the Harvard University Press in Cambridge, Massachusetts. Mr. Starr suggested that I might also include two of his more recent articles. If I can be of any further help, please do not hesitate to ask. Sincerely, Betoy young Betsy Young Assistant to the President OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT COX ADMINISTRATION BUILDING 201, OBERLIN COLLEGE OBERLIN, OHIO 44074-1090 216/775-8400 FAX: 216/775-2460 TELEX: 3734492 OBRLN ing in initiative, etc." Such people, he said, are incapa- Feeling low at the Higher School. ble of participating in a democracy. The chairman of the "Department of Scientific Com- munism" added a devastating historical dimension. Down to the 1917 revolution, he argued, the Bolsheviks were an illegal conspiratorial group with no notion at all POOPED PARTY of true democracy. Lenin's task after 1917 was to trans- form this band of professional revolutionaries into a democratic party. But as this early perestroika failed, Lenin turned not to democracy but to the Chekha, the notorious secret police. How can this anti-democratic By S. Frederick Starr failed reformer continue in his traditional role as na- tional icon? he Higher Party School in Moscow is to the Com- T Looming over this grim party was the memory of un- munist Party what the Pontifical Institute in told numbers of monstrous crimes, the full extent of Rome is to the Catholic Church. Since Lenin's which are only now becoming known to the Soviet pub- day it has been codifying the Communist faith lic. Who bears responsibility for this barbarism? The and passing it on to new generations of leaders. So when professors at the Higher Party School heard their rector the scholars of the Higher Party School assembled on draw a comparison between the U.S.S.R. and Hitler's September 5 to debate "The Party and Perestroika," it Germany. He went on to quote Karl Jaspers in defense was an event worth noting. The meeting was confiden- of the proposition that only by assuming full "metaphys- tial, but a stenographer was there to record the proceed- ical responsibility" for Stalin's crimes can today's Party ings. Several participants were stunned by what they hope to take responsibility also for the fate of perestroika. heard and slipped a typescript to interested persons. The text reveals that in the course of a few brief hours hese are hardly the views one would expect from a the Higher Party School all but declared bankruptcy. The professors gathered amid profound gloom. An T senior official of a political party facing possible humiliation at the polls in a few weeks. But the economist estimated that it will take the U.S.S.R. savage candor continued, with a young docent ar- 300 years to catch up with the United States in manufac- guing that "if the people refuse to trust us, we have obvi- turing and 600 years in agriculture. Professor Kuleshov, ously earned it." Lest there be any doubt that disaster lies a department chairman, spoke of maternity hospitals just around the corner, the vice rector, N.M. Blinov, without showers and toilets, clinics without medicine, brought forward a recent survey showing that no more and shops without goods. "I believe a worker [who sees than five percent of voters would support candidates all this] will not want to play around with definitions of backed by the Party bureaucracy (as opposed to party re- 'capitalism' and 'socialism,' he declared. "He wants to formers), and that Communists stand to be thrown out of live in a society where people live well, regardless of what office in two-thirds of the large cities of the U.S.S.R. it calls itself. [He wants] a high standard of living, a de- But what about Article VI of the Soviet Constitution, gree of social justice, democracy, and humane social re- which guarantees the Communist Party's "leading role" lations. I doubt there is even one person in this hall who in Soviet society, come what may? The rector assured his would be so bold as to claim these exist in our country." audience that today no mere law can guarantee a role for The mood of crisis was general, but it focused partic- the Party. A professor of industrial organization noted: ularly on the Communist Party itself. One scholar spoke "The experience of other socialist countries shows that of "ritualized elections," another railed against the Par- if the Communist Party tries to preserve [its privileges] it ty's "totalitarian structure," and still another de- will lose its leading role entirely." nounced Soviet communism as "a social mutant with Speaker after speaker took the podium to lay out a many absurd and illogical structures." Secretive in its path by which the Party could draw back from the brink. operations and closed to public scrutiny, the Party "is All called for an overhaul of the system, so that it might not, strictly speaking, a political organization at all," actually reflect the views of workers. In planning this announced the school's rector, V.N. Shostakovsky. overhaul, the professors seemed to be guided not by Speaker after speaker zeroed in on the Party's adminis- Marx and Lenin, but by Max Weber, Talcott Parsons, trative apparatus. Rigid and inflexible, this vast bureau- and Claude Lévi-Strauss, all of whom they cited by cracy serves not the people but itself; any ties with name. The rector himself clinched an argument in favor society are purely one-directional, from the top down. of diversity of opinion by invoking the authority of "the Perhaps, it was suggested, this isn't surprising, given American founding fathers." what the Party has to work with. The rector observed, In defending their proposals, several speakers con- "If one speaks of the type of [person who becomes a] jured up likely scenarios. V.I. Mitrokhin, secretary of Communist, about the typical member of our organiza- the Institute's Party Committee, saw five possibilities: tion, then one must acknowledge that most are the breakup of the Soviet Union into several dozen fully conformists ill-disposed to independence or non- independent states; a federal system granting each re- conformity, disinclined to criticize the leadership, lack- public much control over its own fate; a humane form of 20 THE NEW REPUBLIC DECEMBER 4. 1989 socialism that "oul of political considerations" would for the Communist Party, he asserted, is to become not call itself either communist or socialist; capitalism; "one of the bridges between civil society and the state." or some combination of the above. Others posed the So much for Lenin's heritage. choice between driving the "radical" followers of What bearing does this feast of iconoclasm have on Andrei Sakharov and Boris Yeltsin out of the Party or Gorbachev's reforms? Many speakers professed their expelling the Party's traditionalist staff, the infamous support for perestroika and Gorbachev. At the least, they "apparal." No speaker accepted the radicals' seemingly are willing to back him against the Party's own bureau- unqualified embrace of individual interests as opposed crats. However, the clear thrust of the entire exchange to communal interests. Yet virtually all of them, includ- at the Higher Party School was criticism of Gorbachev ing several who submitted their statements in writing on grounds that he lags behind the sentiments and after the meeting, embraced the rest of the radical needs of an increasingly democratic society. program, including a multiparty system. One speaker petulantly criticized Western writers for But what about the middle ground, where Gorbachev speaking of "Gorbachev's new thinking," when in fact himself stands? As L. M. Ovrutsky, identified only as a nearly all his ideas have been borrowed from others, "publicist," put it: "The field of maneuver between the and reluctantly at that. Dr. 1. M. Kliamkin, a guest from conservative apparat and the radicalizing masses of Party a related institute, ripped into Gorbachev on more members is shrinking." In other words, the U.S.S.R. may fundamental grounds. Citing chapter and verse from soon have to choose between radicals and conservatives. Gorbachev's speeches, he attacked the leader's unwill- Many speakers called for full democratization, which ingness to disengage the Party fully from the economy; led them to try to define just what that would mean. On if full disengagement is a "false thesis," as Gorbachev many points, there was a surprising amount of agree- claims, then "all talk of democratization is empty ment. "Bottom up" democracy requires protection of words." Kliamkin also criticized Gorbachev's conten- minority rights; after all, the rector reasoned, minority tion that private property is "unacceptable" in the views are often "the most constructive and bold." All U.S.S.R.; if so, the country will never have efficient light wanted to throw the apparat out of the Party. (Even industries or a functioning service sector. Above all, though, as Ovrutsky acknowledged, this could give rise Kliamkin took aim at Gorbachev's opposition to a multi- to a separate party of neo-Stalinists and anti-Semites. party system, claiming that the president's position on The platform for such a party "already exists," he this was more appropriate to the 20th (i.e., Stalin's) warned without elaborating.) Once emancipated from century than to the 21st. its own bureaucracy, the Communist Party will then be free to pull back from day-to-day supervision of the 1 is hard to convey in a few lines the mood of government and of the economy. The speakers argued that it is the failure of the economy above all that is I desperation that emanates from the stenographic report of this discussion. The rector set the tone at driving workers away from communism, and this failure the beginning when he noted that "we fear terms can be traced directly to oafish meddling by Party bu- like 'political pluralism,' 'private property,' and 'con- reaucrats, who have killed competition and destroyed federation, but for some reason we don't fear the col- the market mechanism. lapse of the economy, crime waves, and moral erosion; The importance and inevitability of political pluralism nor do we fear the fact that everyone lives badly in our was virtually taken for granted. Gorbachev has strug- society except speculators and thieves." From this point gled to confine the emerging pluralism to the Commu- it was downhill all the way. N. I. Travkin, a deputy to the nist Party, but, as several speakers agreed, this is no lon- new congress, warned that "we are talking about the ger possible. Other parties already exist, de facto if not preservation in this country of a Communist Party as de jure. A department head named I. A. Malmygin lame- such. Will it justify itself or not?" ly proposed that the Communist Party divide itself into Toward the end of this solemn conclave of professors, three new parties, red, orange, and green, and then an elderly doorkeeper named Claudia Timofeeva asked close up shop. Not one speaker held out hope that the for the floor. She explained that she is a simple worker, U.S.S.R. could remain a one-party system. far from the world of learning. But she is loyal to the Party, which she joined in 1942. She had listened with his is precisely the point at which these solid T interest to all the talk of how the Party should evolve. But members of the nomenklatura revealed their sym- the plain truth, she asserted, is that "the Party today has pathy for the radicalism of Yeltsin and Sakharov. lost its authority. You hear this on every street corner." As Shostakovsky put it, one-party rule con- Presumably, the purpose of the meeting at the High- demns the monopolist party to stagnation; the only way er Party School was to reverse the erosion she de- the Communist Party can now revitalize itself is through scribed, to help the Party regain its authority. As news the stimulation that comes from competition. gets out on what was actually said, though, Party loyal- Virtually every speaker understood that the U.S.S.R. ists in Donetsk, Minsk, or Novosibirsk must surely feel is groping toward becoming a "civil society" even abandoned. But by then maybe no one will care. though, as the rector acknowledged, the very idea of civil society remains terra incognita for many Russians. S. FREDERICK STARR is the president of Oberlin The tempo of change is rising, however. The sole future College. DECEMBER 4, 1989 THE NEW REPUBLIC 21 THE WALL STREET DECEMBER 19, 1989 Gorbachev's Slipping Grip By S. FREDERICK STARR barely be restrained. absolutely clear their intention of moving Nor is the movement to disestablish the toward full sovereignty. Armenia. too. has One week ago Mikhail Gorbachev beat Communist Party confined to the non-Rus- moved fast in this direction. The Azerbai- back a move in the Congress of Peoples sian areas of the Soviet Union. The coal jan Popular Front has also raised the ban- Deputies to consider the abolition of Arti- miners who went on strike last summer ner of sovereignty. as have several groups cle VI of the Soviet Constitution. the clause may have been hungry but their first de- within the republics of Georgia. Moldavia. which protects the Communist Party's mo- mand was not for consumer goods but a Uzbekistan and the western part of the nopoly in politics. Among the supporters of multi-party system. A few weeks ago a Ukraine. This unsettles Russian settlers in the motion was Andrei Sakharov. who died new "Russian People's Front" was these regions. Many Russian and other Sla- three days later. while drafting a further launched in the ancient Russian city of vic immigrants to Moslem Central Asia speech on the same issue. Mr. Gorbachev's Yaroslavl. where representatives of eighty have begin moving back home. and up to a victory. his Soviet and Western backers local popular fronts gathered to decry the third of the Russians living in the Baltic claim. frees him to sort out the country's communists' opposition to pluralism. On republics are expected to repatriate them- economic mess. Reformist experts and Nov. 20 a new "USSR All-Union Student selves in the next few years. technocrats will now be able to work their Forum" issued a similar call for political Far from seeing the efforts of the non- wonders without the messy intrusion of pluralism. as well as true self-determina- Russian peoples as part of a worldwide democratic politics. tion for all the peoples of the Soviet Union movement towards self-determination and Such a view is wishful thinking. Mr. and the unrestricted right is travel abroad. popular sovereignty. many of Mr. Gorba- Gorbachev had to make crucial conces- In the same spirit. the Russian head of Ko- chev's admirers in the West view them as sions. On many occasions before now he mosomol, the party's feeder organization an irksome threat to the orderly process of has declared that-the Communist Party's for youth. has pleaded for the abolition of change being fostered from the Kremlin. If monopoly of power is non-negotiable. The his group's monopoly status. to slow the only the hotheads in the non-Russian re- Soviet Union can have all the pluralism it mass resignations now occurring. publics would understand Mr. Gorbachev's needs. he has argued. merely by permit- At one level. the entire debate over the intentions. It is argued. they would moder- ting greater diversity within the commu- constitutional protection of the commu- ate their demands. But these movements nists' vast organization. Mr. Gorbachev has now had to permit the decriminaliza- tion of alternative parties at least to be dis- As long as independent political movements were cussed. if only "at some later date. His ideological chief. Vadim Medvedev. has a cheering section for his faction in the party. Mr. Gorba- also acknowledged that the subject of polit- ical pluralism IS no longer "taboo." chew egged them on. But he no longer trusts the public. Only Three Votes Had it not been for the large bloc of ex- nists' monopoly of power is beside the are not led by ethnic zealots-they are led. officio members of party organizations in point. De facto. other parties already exist quite often. by communist reformers and the Congress. Mr. Gorbachev would have in every major city and republic of the So- honest democrats who seek nothing more viet Union. Some are devoted to environ- than their own room in Mr. Gorbachev's lost outright. A similar motion last month mental issues. others focus on economic. "common European home." in the Supreme Soviet. the Soviet legisla- ture's upper house. failed by only three cultural or religious goals Sociologist Ta- It is worth noting that the Lithuanian votes. And that shm electoral margin ap- tiana Zaslavskaya and other members of parliament that denied the party its "lead- pears doomed: Elections to local councils Mr. Sakharov's "Inter-regional Group" in ing force" role a week ago Thursday is are impending. Article VI has become the the Congress of Peoples Deputies still still dominated by its Communist Party great test issue everywhere. Numerous claim It is premature to move toward es- members. Their opposition to Article VI IS polis. including one reported to the party tablishing a separate party. Nonetheless. eminently reasonable: If the Party insists own Higher Party School. predict cataclys- they are establishing newspapers. building on retaining its legal monopoly of power in mic defeat for old-line party candidates. a funding base and setting up support or- their republic it will lose everything. Only Should this happen at the local level. it will ganizations. indistinguist.able from those by agreeing to play on a leve! field with be impossible to hold the line in Moscow. of an independent political party. other parties can the communists hope to Only a few days ago Mr. Medvedev Given the surging numbers and growing survive. Mr. Gorbachev offers no adequate boasted smugly that Kremlin leaders power of unsanctioned political groups in response to this argument from his fellow "don't have to act under the pressure of the Soviet Union. why is Mr. Gorbachev communists and reformers. emotional public gatherings.' Strange trying to hold back the tide? The answer is Still less does he have a response to words. When the Lithuanian parliament that he no longer trusts the public. As long those communists in the non-Russian re- voted last week to remove Article VI from as independent political movements were publics who want to separate their parties the constitution of that republic. the vote simply a cheering section for his faction from that of Moscow. for similar reasons was preceded and followed by large and within the party. Mr. Gorbachev gladly of self-preservation. The Latvian commu- emotional public gatherings. While Mr. egged them en. Now that they have moved nists have pointed out that communist par- Gorbachev was meeting President Bush at beyond him. he is trying to rein them in. ties are more likely than any alternative Malta, huge demonstrations against Arti- Mr. Gorbachev champions change in order party to retain links with Moscow, but that cle VI took place in the Armenian capital to save the Communist Party and its sys- these non-Russian communists have no of Erevan. The Armenian parliament tem. not to destroy it. chance-of winning at the polls unless they seized the opportunity to drop both "So- are both independent from Moscow's direct viet" and "Socialist" from the name of the For several years Mr. Gorbachev wor- control and freed from the taint of monop- Armenian Republic. Not to be outdone. the ried mainly about the Stalinist opposition oly created by Article VI. Azerbaijanis also demonstrated for the le- within the Party. Sensing an alternative power base in the elective organs. he Since Lenin's day. the Soviet Union has galization of their Popular Front as a polit- flirted for a year with the Congress of Peo- nominally been a federation, but one ruled ical party. as did supporters of the fastest- growing political organization in the ples' Deputies and the newly elected Su- by a monopolistic Communist Party. As a Ukraine, "Rukh." Most of the public meet- preme Soviet. Then. as he lost the political former regional party chief, Mr. Gorba- ings and vigils associated with these initiative to an ever more radicalized pub- chev despises the Moscow-based minis- moves have been peaceful. But not all of lic. he cooled to popular sovereignty. tries, whose mismanagement of the econ- omy he believes has brought the country to them. When a large crowd of young Molda- To make matters worse. Mr. Gorbachev ruin. So bitterly does he dislike the central vians demonstrated outside party and mili- must bear Russia's fatai heritage of em- ministries that he has assented to the tia headouarters in Kishinev. they could pire All three Baltic republics have made sweeping program for economic decentral- ization worked out in Estonia and now be- ing applied to several other republics. But what is acceptable for the economy is not yet deemed appropriate for the polit- ical system. In his simultaneous defense of economic decentralization and continued political centralization Mr. Gorbachev ap- parently hopes to distinguish the political "superstructure" from the economic base. It is highly unlikely that this astonishingly un-Marxist ploy will succeed. The decision this week to create for the first time a sep- arate Communist Party organization for the Russian Republic indicates that the same breezes are blowing in politics as in economics. and among Russians as non- Russians. The result. whatever Mr. Gorba- chev may wish. will likely be either a looser federation or a confederation of fully independent states. Tradition of Federation Is this an impossible dream? Not really. for despite the Russian chauvinism that first appeared in the late nineteenth cen- tury. Russia has far more of a tradition of decentralization and even federalism than many suspect. For more than a century the czars permitted the entire Baltic area virtual autonomy in legal and economic ai- fairs. Many Russian thinkers have also been drawn toward true federalism as an alternative to their unitary empire. Rus- sia's first revolutionaries. the so-called "Decembrists" of 1825. wanted to break up the empire into thirteen states. modeled af- ter the new American federation. So popu- lar was the idea of decentralized federal- isn: at the time of the Bolshevik revolution that Lenin had no choice but to adopt the term into his program even as he sub- verted its meaning Today. groupings of loosely confeder- ated states are being planned in many parts of the world. notably Western Eu- Most are built on the principle that only those things which cannot readily be accomplished by the local powers should be assigned to the center. Totalitarian cen- trainsm IS dying everywhere. but at the same time modern communications and trade are breaking down the idea that any country can be an economic or political is- land unto itself. Why should the Soviet Un- ion be immune to these developments? The Soviet radicals are right: the only way the Communist Party can preserve a significant role for itself is to compete openly and actively with other legally con- stituted parties. Once this happens. the path will be open for whatever balance be- tween autonomy and integration is desired by the various peoples who now comprise the Soviet Union. Mr. Gorbachev-and the West as well-has more to lose if he at- tempts to thwart this natural development than if he permits it to take place. As Marju Lauristin of the Estonian Popular Front said on Tuesday. Article VI is "obso- lete." Its deletion from the Soviet constitu- tion is the sine qun non to the success of the social and economic emancipation un- derway in the Soviet Union today. Mr. Starr is the president of Oberlin College and a specialist on Societ affairs. NEW COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGIES AND CIVIL SOCIETY IN THE USSR S. Frederick Starr I. The Problem. Few aspects of Soviet life today are untouched by change. Social organization, administrative structures, basic principles governing the economy, cultural values, and media of expression are all in the midst of apparently fundamental transformations. The rapid pace at which all this is occurring, combined with the participatory nature of the process, 1 suggests that the very nature of change in Soviet life is changing. Communications stand prominently among those areas undergoing transformation in the USSR. Taking both the complex and simple technologies into account, it is evident that in communications in general the USSR lags far behind other advanced industrial societies, especially in computerization but also, to a lesser extent, in telecommunications. 2 It is undeniable that this lag holds great importance for the future. Yet to concentrate on it to the neglect of other developments in communications, let alone of the inevitability of eventual computerization in the USSR, is to severely undervalue the changes that have occurred. Telephone, radio, television, photocopiers, print journalism, audio and video cassette recordings, automobile transport, international travel, and trans-border transmissions of various sorts are among the many areas of Soviet communications in which rapid development has occurred. The purpose of this essay is to identify those changes and determine their likely impact on the political system. A rich body of theoretical literature can be brought to bear on this topic. As early as 1957 Karl W. Deutsch studied the process by which communications stimulate the integration of societies. 3 Lucien W. Pye subsequently presented a body of theoretical writings on Communications and Political Development 4 Marshall McLuhan stimulated thought on the media as such through "The Medium is the Massage, and literally hundreds of writers have pondered the question, posed by Oswald H. and Gladys Gantey, of whether the tendency of the new media is To Inform or To Control? Nearly all of these writers tend toward deterministic views on the impact of communications on politics. However, few bother to analyze closely the question 7 of just how deterministic communications technologies might actually be. Daniel Lerner offered an important caution on this point in his essay "Toward a Communications Theory": The mass media, as a distinctive index of the participant society, flourish only where the mass has sufficient skill in literacy, sufficient motivation to share "borrowed experience," sufficient cash to consume the mediated product 1 Many forces besides communications are fostering political change in the USSR. Indeed, the capacity of that country to assimilate and exploit new conduits of information is arguably as much the effect as the cause of change in other areas of the society. Undeniably, communications and overall social change are closely bound up with one another. At the least, developments in communications are a good index of social transformations We will therefore ask a range of questions, by no means all of which can be answered conclusively. Is the Soviet communications system made up of multiple simple systems, or is it moving toward fewer, more complex and integrated systems? How interactive are Soviet communications? Are the new technologies more readily controlled by the state than the old? Do they protect or erode Soviet notions of national sovereignty? Above all, does the evolution of communications foster vertical or horizontal human networks in the USSR? This last question, posed by Deutsch a generation ago, provides the backbone of the following analysis. 9 It presupposes that autocratic and authoritarian regimes one-sidedly develop vertical communication links ("transmission belts," in Lenin's phrase), while democratic societies require elaborated horizontal networks, as well as vertical ones. These requirements are not absolute, since all societies need multiple links in both directions, and since both types of linkage are more fully developed in complex societies than in simple ones. Our objective, then, must be to determine whether vertical or horizontal integration is proceeding more rapidly in the USSR. The evolution of communications in Western Europe and the United States provide an inevitable context for such a study. Yet the level of development in such countries is so far in advance of the USSR that comparisons minimize the importance of incremental change on the Soviet side. To avoid this problem, developments in the Soviet Union today will be presented in the context of the earlier history of communications in Russia itself. The initial section of this paper briefly characterizes that development over several centuries. The proposed periodization lays great stress on the exceptional character of the specifically Soviet phase of that process as it has existed until recently. Against this background, it will be proposed that in communications, as perhaps in other areas, current developments in the USSR contribute principally to the strengthening of horizontal communication, and hence foster the development of a civil society in that country. 2 II. The Vertical Tradition of Tsarist Communications Beginning in the eleventh century, written chronicles recorded and standardized the deeds of Russia's church and state leaders. Because they were maintained for centuries, chronicles systematized history over time; since copies were made and preserved in various towns, the chronicles imparted regularity to important data over geographical space as well. At the most local level, village church bells provided a simple signal system, while in the ancient Russian city of Novgorod birch bark "papyri" were employed to document commercial transactions. The latter are particularly important as an early example of non-governmental horizontal communication in society. The fact that channels for such communication did not significantly expand until the advent of modern technologies attests to the extent to which vertical communication dominated in both Kievan Rus and Muscovy. Movable type printing and hand-carved wood block broadsides (lubki), both of which appeared in Russia in the sixteenth century, present an interesting contrast of vertical and horizontal linkages. In Western Europe, as Marshall McLuhan reminds us, moveable 10 type printing fostered for pluralism, individuation, and autonomy. The Muscovite state's exclusive patronage of Ivan Fedorov, Russia's first printer, and its subsequent suppression of all publishing outside of the central Printing Court (pechatnyi dvor) indicates the very different function the same technology fulfilled in Russia. It is revealing that one of the first uses to which moveable type printing was put in Russia was not to publish locally edited Bibles for a literate public, as occurred in Germany, but to issue authorized service books in great number so that priests in the isolated parishes across the newly-conquered 11 Tatar areas of the upper Volga basin would not fall into heresy. Notwithstanding this effort, freshly edited scriptural texts issued in the seventeenth century by a handful of independent presses in the Ukraine gave rise to a major schism in the Orthodox church. However, by the end of Peter I's reign these presses, too, were muzzled and print technology limited to the dissemination of acts of state, official documents, scientific treatises, and Orthodox Christian liturgical books in forms approved by the state-church. Contrasting to the state's domination of the "high technology" of moveable type printing, independent firms in Moscow and elsewhere dominated the "low" technology of wood block printing. Technologically primitive, lubki by the late seventeenth century were nonetheless established as an important conduit of horizontal communication in Russian society, disseminating the first printed satires, 12 alphabet books, folk stories, popular religious tales, and pornography. Thanks to its technological simplicity and portability, lubok technology was virtually uncontrollable and came eventually to flourish in the very shadow of the Kremlin, at the Lubianka. Postal service was established in the late-seventeenth century with the help of Swedish and German experts. While postal messengers were able to transmit letters between Moscow and Kiev or Arkhangelsk in something over a week, their services were used exclusively by the court and bureaucracy. 13 By contrast, the development of roads and canals facilitated autonomous economic and social intercourse. Following the French pattern, the Russian government established a state engineering school to prepare 3 specialists in bridge, road, and canal construction. 14 The canal system begun by Peter I linked the major European Russian waterways and was designed according to the needs of commerce at the time. Roads, by contrast, were designed first to meet the state's 15 military needs, and only secondarily to enhance private communications. Typically, the first macadamized road in Russia was built in 1816 by Count Arakcheev as a purely military venture. Military considerations also figured large in Nicholas I's decision to engage American engineers 16 to build the first railroad link between St. Petersburg and Moscow. The objective in this case was to move troops quickly between the two capitals should further crises like the 1825 Decembrist revolt occur. To be sure, the first Russian railroad between St. Petersburg and the Summer Palace had been privately constructed and the St. Petersburg-Moscow line itself was built by foreign concessionaires. Nonetheless, the state's deep suspicion of this new channel of communication - - both Baron Toll, supervisor of the Directorate of Communication, and Count Kankrin, the Minister of Finances, opposed railroads as "democratic" 17 assured that railroads would remain firmly under state control, if not ownership. Military considerations figure large in the design of the rail grid, even if the decision to use the broader American gauge was made to facilitate speed rather than security, as is often claimed. 18 The slow development of steamboat transport in Russia -- there were only 97 steam- propelled crafts in 1850 19 -- can probably be traced to the disinterest of the military in this technology and to the slow development of internal commerce. No substantial and autonomous medium of communication developed in Russia before the mid-nineteenth century. Pressed by a depleted treasury, Catherine II had opened the door to private publishing in the 1760s. 20 But even the nominally independent entrepreneur who responded to her call used mainly state-owned presses and was subjected to heavy censorship. Further progress was slow. When private printing began to expand in the early nineteenth century, censorship laws were extended in order to regulate it. Moreover, publishing devoting to lateral communication, e.g. private printing, remained technologically backward. Whereas in Great Britain the first steam press had been introduced by the Times of London, it fell to the tsar's 21 Ministry of Internal Affairs to introduce that technology to Russia. Thus, down to the mid-nineteenth century the Russian state provided the main locus for technological innovation in communications. Naturally, its aim was primarily to provide systems that met its own military and administrative needs, and only secondarily to develop society locally or to link its components horizontally. Suffice it to say that the Provincial News (provintsialnye vedomosti) published by the government in each administrative district were 22 conduits mainly for official information, much to the chagrin of local society. Only when urban society itself began to develop in the late- nineteenth flourish. century did pluralism and horizontality in communications begin to 4 largest circulation in Russia between 1900 and 1917. 29 The kinds of mass entertainment literature that had earlier been produced only on broadsides now spewed forth from presses in the form of penny newspapers and fugitive journals, with little or no effective state control. 30 Only when local self- governing councils (zemstva) tried to link horizontally their separate printing activities 31 did the government intervene harshly by imposing strict censorship. In much the same way "societal organizations" today frequently enjoy extensive freedom to publish but have only recently gained limited rights to disseminate their magazines and journals beyond the immediate district in which they are licensed. The telegraph and telephone are among the nineteenth century's most sophisticated new communication technologies and Russians played a prominent role in the development of both. 32 P.L. Schilling, a German from Russia's Baltic provinces, invented electric telegraphy before Morse; B.S. Jacobi in 1839 invented the "writing telegraph"; E.Ia. Slonimskii was the first to send two telegraphic messages over the same line, in 1858; S.M. Berdichevskii- Apostolovyi invented the first automatic telephone switch in 1895; and Alexander Pavlov constructed a working radio telegraph in 1895. Russians had also established the longest optical telegraph line in the world in the 1840s and the longest telegraph line in the world, in 1871. 33 Notwithstanding these achievements in research, the practical development of both telegraphy and telephones was retarded in Russia. Governmental offices in Moscow and St. Petersburg could not communicate with one another by telegraph at the time of the Crimean War, and in 1863 there were fewer than three hundred telegraph stations in the entire empire. 34 As late as 1900 the Russian telegraph 35 system was only half as long as Germany's and a third that of England. Again, the cause was a shortage of capital, which also accounts for the decision to grant private telegraph concessions to the public. Seeking to maintain control over what it did not actually own, the government passed a telegraphic charter which imposed strict punishments against those transmitting anything deemed threatening to life and health, and the death sentence for telegraph agents who willfully violated the code. The Directorate of Communications also hosted an international convention in 1875 which endorsed punishments against those transmitting across national borders telegraphic messages "hostile to the interests of states, against the laws, the social order, and morality. 36 By such means the state tried its best to regulate strictly the individuating aspects of telegraphy, even when it did not own the systems. A similar process occurred with the telephone, but in the decades after 1880 in which that technology developed the 37 state was willing to allow concessionary firms to dominate the field. It was widely held that privatization sped the development and lowered the cost of telephone services. Such arguments no doubt served to justify the fact that the entire local systems in Odessa and other cities were privately owned. 38 Railroads, telegraphy, and telephones developed in chronological sequence. Comparing them, one notes the nationalization of railroads before 1913, the steady but not increasing role of the state in telegraphy, and the prominent role of private and concessionary ownership in telephones. Besides 6 the growing privatization of their ownership, all three technologies increasingly served horizontal communication in society. Usage soared when semi-constitutional rule was instituted after the Revolution of 1905. Between 1903 and 1913 the number of telegraph stations grew by almost as much as it had in the entire forty years previous, while the 39 number of telegrams transmitted increased by an even greater figure. Between 1900 and 1910 the number of inter-city telephone lines quintupled, with still larger growth in the following half-decade. 40 The new technologies assumed a role in the new politics. The reactionary politician Konstantin Pobedonotsev listed his phone number in the St. Petersburg directory by 1900 as did the newly-formed political parties a few years later; during the revolutions of both 1905 and 1917 the public 41 at large used telegrams to communicate its demands to the government. Private publishing also grew phenomenally in these years, the number of titles nearly quadrupling between 1907 and 1913 alone. 42 A Yiddish proverb reminds us that "An example is not a proof. Nonetheless, such instances, multiplied by hundreds, suggest the way in which Russia's developing society seized upon new technologies to enhance both horizontal communication among its members and vertical communication upward from society to the state. The evidence does not permit us to ascribe the rise of constitutional rule in Russia to a prior growth in horizontal communications, nor does it prove the reverse. What is clear is that they arose together before 1917 and that each fostered the other. 7 The result of these various policies was to restrict severely all areas of horizontal communication. It is worth noting that this process was well advanced even before Stalin's Cultural Revolution completed the task. The growth of urbanization required an absolute expansion of communication facilities in the 1930s, but the USSR ended that decade relatively even further behind the West than ten years before. During the post-War era the decline became absolute as well as relative. The number of both letters and packages sent by Soviet citizens in 1950 was less than in 1940, while the slight increase in inter-city telephone calls can be traced to official rather than private use. By contrast, since the content of books and newspapers could readily be controlled, their production was allowed to increase. Along with controlling existing technologies of communication, the Soviet regime tried to exploit new technologies to enhance vertical top-down communication. Loudspeakers, introduced in the late-1920s, were well-suited to this purpose and were produced in quantity. Lenin had a keen appreciation for the potential of film, but insisted that this technology, too, be closely controlled from above. Private filmmaking collapsed during the Civil War, 53 to be replaced by the State Film Agency (Goskino later Sovkino). The Bolshevik government also seized on radio technology. Introduced first by the Imperial Navy to improve communications during the Russo-Japanese War, radio remained a military monopoly down to the revolution, by which time there were twenty stations in Russia, all under the navy's control. By the end of the 1920s there were nearly sixty stations 54 broadcasting in the USSR and plans were afoot to build millions of receivers. Authoritarian regimes in the twentieth century are said to lay special importance on controlling and developing communications technology. This certainly occurred in Hitler's Germany and in Mussolini's Italy. 35 Russia's centralizing leaders, too, were determined to place the various new technologies of communication in the service of their cause. Lenin and a host of practitioners in various media developed an impressively detailed body of theoretical writings to undergird their hopes. State control of existing communications developed rapidly and steadily throughout the 1920s. New technologies like radio, film, and loudspeakers were exploited to strengthen the regime's ability to transmit messages downward to the populace. Such potentially individuating technologies as private automobiles, international telephones, and sound recordings were suppressed or limited. The result was a thoroughly authoritarian and even totalitarian system of communications, in which the state controlled both the conduits of information and the messages carried by those conduits. Acknowledging this, one cannot help but be struck by the relatively primitive fashion in which the Soviet state developed and exploited communications technologies. For all their monopoly in film, the regime's filmmakers achieved far lower levels of public saturation than were achieved by Hollywood or the leading studios of the major western nations. Not surprisingly, Goskino was chronically under-funded and had to rely on receipts from popular foreign films for its revenue. Moreover, there existed only 900 projectors 56 in the entire country in 1925, half of these being broken and hence idle. Only in the 1930s did the production and distribution of Soviet films 9 begin to meet public demand, and then only imperfectly. Having gained a monopolistic position in radio, the regime again failed to exploit its new position. Notwithstanding a 1932 plan to build fourteen million receivers, only 3.5 million were in operation in 1937, or a mere twenty-five receivers per thousand population. 57 A key retardant of radio communications was the USSR's inability to produce vacuum tubes in the quantities needed. As a result, production of popularly-priced models like the EChS-4 (1934) and SUD-9 (1939) fell far short of targets. 58 This, along with the desire to restrict access to the open airways, led to the extraordinary development of cable ("wired") radios with fixed tuning to the two official stations. As late as 1952 two out of three radio receivers in the USSR were of this type, with fewer than six million wave radio receivers available for the entire Soviet population. 59 Only in the technologically less innovative areas of book and newspaper publishing did the regime achieve distinctively high levels of production. Hence, Professor Peter Kenez did not exaggerate when he concluded that "Soviet leaders had much to learn from Westerners in the field of mass communications and almost nothing to teach them. 60 It is clear that state-dominated "top-down" communications were vastly strengthened under Soviet rule, and at the expense of horizontal communication in society. However, this was achieved as much through the vigorous suppression of the latter as through the intensive development of the former. It is striking that in the years between the Bolshevik Revolution and the death of Stalin in 1953 Soviet citizens achieved no breakthroughs in communication technology comparable to the earlier achievements of Jacobi, Schilling, or Popov. Lacking them, a regime that placed great theoretical emphasis upon communication became a consumer of other nations' technologies rather than an innovator itself. This stands as clear evidence of the relatively conservative record of the Soviet government in the field of communications, its claims to the contrary notwithstanding. It goes without saying that the content of messages transmitted over the vertical media strongly supported the regime. However, two qualifications must be introduced. First, a cursory review of the Soviet press and of Soviet films of the 1930s and '40s suggests that while virtually nothing anti-Soviet in character was transmitted, only a part of the production focused directly on regime goals. Far from the relentless bombardment of propaganda anticipated in Brave New World, much of the content was comprised of ideologically bland and even unassimilable data. Second, at least as much attention was devoted to what was not communicated as to what was. Stated differently, Soviet communications policy under Stalin emphasized more the suppression of data judged harmful than the effective dissemination of positive messages. As in the communications system as a whole, far more concern seems to have been devoted to the elimination of autonomous horizontal channels than to the full exploitation of vertical channels. Closer comparisons with fascist Germany would be instructive on this point. 10 For all the force Stalin devoted to suppressing horizontal communications, he never managed to destroy the ideal of a more pluralistic communications culture like that which had begun to appear on the eve of the revolution. As soon as the harshest controls began to be relaxed in the 1950s, horizontal channels of communication, both official and unofficial, came once more to the fore. 11 V. Toward a Horizontal Information Culture The post-Stalin era has been the victim of hyperbole. Dubbed "The Thaw" after the title of a novel written before any thaw had occurred, the early years of dramatic change are said to have given way to torpor and "stagnation," to use Mr. Gorbachev's self-serving term. In terms of social change, however, the evolution was both more steady and more basic than either supporters or critics admit. Collective farmers constituted almost half of the population on the eve of World War II but had shrunk to a fifth by 1971, a smaller percentage 61 than that constituted by members of the white collar intelligentsia. The number of post-secondary students soared, from 6.2 million in 1957-58 to 25 million in 1964-65. 62 Corresponding changes occurred in the rates of literacy and urbanization as the population grew younger and geographically more concentrated. Such shifts, accompanied by the USSR's steadily improving technological capacity, prepared the way for a fundamental change in social communications. The fact that the law governing communications was extensively revised as early as 1954 suggests that leaders themselves understood change to be impending. 63 As will be seen, changes in communications occurred both through the addition of new technologies and the expansion and alteration of older technologies so as to make them capable of fulfilling new functions. Together, these shifts brought about a transformation far more extensive than is evident by examining only the separate parts. On the one hand, they extended and strengthened vertical channels of communication in Soviet society. However, they also rendered those channels more interactive than formerly and gave them a stronger role in horizontal communications. More important, they vastly expanded the ability of individuals and groups to communicate directly with one another, unmediated by the state. All of these changes presupposed a reduction, albeit partial, of the Stalinist controls on horizontal communications. As soon as these controls were cut back somewhat in the 1950s, Soviet society showed itself eager to exploit existing and new technologies of communication, as indeed it has ever since. We will consider the implications of these changes for the Soviet polity in the concluding section of this essay. For now, let us review the elements contributing to the new horizontality of Soviet communications. A. The Expansion and Alteration of Old Technologies The Soviet postal system provides a good example of the impact of social change on communications. Between 1940 64 and 1974 the number of letters grew from three to nine million per annum. The number of packages quadrupled in the same period. Most of this expansion was concentrated in the late 1950s and early 1960s, coinciding with 65 a phase of rapid urbanization, increased literacy, and greater openness. Increased efficiency also stimulated public use of the mails. Today, when sixty percent of Soviet mail is shipped by air, the volume of letters has grown SO 66 rapidly as to cause a shortage of postmen and an increase in postal theft. 12 Communication by telephone has also soared. Twice the number of new phones were installed between 1965 and 1974 as between 1940 and 1965, with the number of urban telephones trebling in the period. 67 Nearly all the new urban phones were automatic and thus increased privacy. Today there are 24 million telephones in the USSR, half the total being in urban apartments By contrast, only two million private rural residences have phones. 68 The nearly two billion intercity calls made annually today and the seven-fold increase of international calls in the decades 69 before 1974 attest to rapidly changing public access to this medium. As the USSR became less of an "information poor" society, the content of communications grew less readily controllable. The sheer growth in the number of phone calls makes it difficult, if not impossible, for the state to monitor their contents, just as the quantity of private mail has rendered it impossible for the KGB to maintain former levels of surveillance over that medium. It is no surprise that persons in many fields as early as the 1970s came to regularly use both domestic and international telephone lines for unofficial and purely personal purposes. Among such users were those with agendas different from the state's. As one student of the subject put it, The international telephone, despite continued control that amounts to persecution, has given Russia's dissidents the means for immediate direct contact with the outside world, 70 something quite unthinkable not much more than twenty years ago. The growth of mail and telephone usage facilitated horizontal communication. The rapid growth of publishing and the press, by contrast, benefitted both vertical and horizontal linkages. The number of periodicals nearly doubled between 1958 and 1965, 71 with Pravda going from a four-page format to six pages in 1970. The central press grew with particular speed, with nearly all major Moscow 72 newspapers being printed simultaneously in thirty-five cities by 1966. If such changes served uniformity and "top-down" communication, other changes in traditional print media enhanced interaction. The much-heralded rise of "letters to the editor" columns indicate that Soviet newspapers were becoming vehicles for interactive communication from bottom to top, providing feedback to the government in the process. Moreover, the appearance of job ads, lonely hearts announcements, and other forms of personal notices in various local newspapers reflect the public's growing interest in exploiting traditional print technology to enhance horizontal linkages among individuals. Radio, too, gradually became more interactive. Rare is the student of Soviet affairs who cannot regale friends with a few "Radio Armenia" jokes. Few pause to realize these have their origin in programs begun in the 1960s in which listeners were invited to call in their questions. Such programs, aired on most Soviet domestic stations, constituted the first sign of "bottom-up" use of the vertical medium of radio, and provide the same kind of feedback to the regime as letters columns in newspapers. So much has been written about the USSR's failures in the mass dissemination of personal computers that it is easy to forget the dramatic 13 increases that have been registered in many other electronic media of communication, 73 particularly in the 1960s. Nowhere is this more striking than in radio. For all the emphasis on top-down communications in the Stalin era, there were 74 only 17.5 million radios in the entire USSR in the 75 year before Stalin's death. By 1968 this number had risen to 89.5 million. While the ratio of cable to wave radio in 1952 had been approximately 2:1, by 1968 the ratio slightly favored wave sets. The proliferation of wave radios in the population at large during the 1960s made it all but inevitable that the public should become interested in receiving international as well as domestic broadcasts. Short wave transmissions had greatly multiplied since the early 1950s, with stations in the United States, Great Britain, West Germany, Sweden, Luxembourg, and Iran beaming broadcasts to the USSR. Receivers capable of tuning in such broadcasts were constructed in large numbers by amateurs, while others were imported unofficially through diplomatic channels. Transistors enabled such equipment to be miniaturized during the 1970s and made it readily importable through informal channels. By the end of the 1960s Radio Liberty could claim that 27 million radios in the USSR were capable of receiving its broadcast. 76 Even if this figure is exaggerated, as seems likely, the number was great enough for the Soviet government to decide that it should itself manufacture such equipment so at least to co-opt what it could not control. Selective jamming limited access to certain foreign transmissions, but the manufacture of short wave radios indicates the government's acceptance of trans-border broadcasts as an unavoidable feature of modern communications. B. The USSR's Mixed Record in New Major Technologies of Communication No less important than the expansion and transformation of existing channels of communication are the major new media introduced in the past twenty years. Among these, television is the most prominent. Developed by a government confident in its ability to control the social impact of the medium, Soviet television burgeoned quickly 77 expanding from 2.5 million sets in 1958 to 30 million sets a decade later. By the end of the 1970s television was all but universal in Soviet households. During the decade ending in 1974 the number of transmitters trebled. 78 Cable television, by contrast, has made very slow progress in the USSR, partly because it requires such great investments but doubtless also because it introduces a greater element of choice than the government is yet prepared to reckon with. 79 That the latter consideration is significant is suggested by the fact that the USSR did not shirk from the large investment required to transmit its few channels by satellite, which it has done since 1967. 80 In contrast to the Soviets' wholehearted acceptance of television, their attitude towards the private automobile has been more ambiguous. On the one hand, production grew from 64,000 cars in 1965 to over 1.3 million in 1982, and would have grown still more had the Kama River Truck Works not gobbled up more than half 81 the rubles designated for the motor vehicle industry in the late 1970s. On the other hand, retail prices were set extra-ordinarily high, and were only reduced in 1985. 82 Frequent articles in the press have 14 warned of the negative social impact of private automobiles, leading to charges that more than simple inefficiency lies behind the refusal of ministries to provide the necessary infrastructure for private automobile owners. Only in 1984 did the government announce plans to increase the number of gas stations for private cars from 1200 to 3000. 83 However, this more positive attitude has since spread rapidly, extending to the expansion of partial 85 credit programs for car-buyers, 84 reductions in the prices of certain models, 86 and even to discussions of possible sports cars for Soviet citizens. Since the retarded growth of computerization in the USSR has been widely discussed in the western press, it is not necessary to repeat the story here. Suffice it to say that while microchip technologies have made substantial progress in the military sphere and in certain areas of industrial planning, they have made little headway at the crucial level of desktop personal computers. With no modems, few printers, and inferior floppy disks, this situation in the USSR will not change rapidly. 87 Networking of all sorts is proceeding slowly at best, 88 even though a system linking institutes of the Academy of Sciences in three cities is now in place. The introduction of a single "gateway" for all computerized data entering the USSR reflects the government's concern to control information transmitted for use by this new medium eighty percent of all data bases, after all, originated in the US. 89 Resistance to demand-based systems stems from a similar concern to maintain at least some central control. However, the adherence of the USSR to international architectural standards in computing, the rapidly declining costs of transmitting data within the USSR, 90 along with the great and positive publicity given to the interactive nature of the Academy of Sciences' new network, suggests that an environment more hospitable to the computer revolution is beginning to emerge, albeit slowly. Even the ideal of a single "gateway" in Moscow for computerized data from abroad may prove so clumsy or so difficult to enforce that it will eventually have to be abandoned. The record of the USSR in adopting the major communications technologies of private automobile, television, and computing is mixed. Television, the most vertical and hence controllable technology, has progressed most rapidly, while the private automobile and personal computer have made only slow advances, development of the former having been retarded by more than half a century and the latter by at least a decade. Yet this is not to say that the advance even of these technologies will be permanently thwarted. The Soviet government has officially committed itself to rapid advances in both automobile and computer production, which will have the effect of stimulating public demand. In the concluding section of this paper it will be argued that such demand is becoming increasingly difficult to resist. C. The Inexorable Advance of New "Small" Technologies No journalistic account of Soviet life today seems complete without tales of VCRs, home movies, and black market audio and video tapes. Rarely, though, do such accounts go beyond the level of anecdotes. Yet the "small 15 technologies" of the past generation are uniquely suited to foster horizontal communications, just as film, radio, and loudspeakers represented new means of facilitating vertical communications in the 1920s and 1930s. The history of such "small technologies" dramatically highlights the fundamental changes occurring in Soviet communications over the past decades. The rise of such minor technologies as home photography, cassette recording, ham radio, and video cassettes share certain common features. All benefitted greatly from public demand, which in turn was stimulated by the public's knowledge of how the given medium was being exploited abroad. All gave rise to simple networks of officianados, and all became the object of official efforts at co-optation. Eventually, all gained legitimate places in Soviet society as a whole. To see these patterns in action, let us review more closely the copying and transmission of static visual images; reproduction of sound; and the replication of movie images. Various stencil, xerography, and ditto systems existed in the USSR prior to the 1960s. All were considered printing presses in law, however, and hence could not be owned privately. In practice, access to stencils was widespread, and materials as diverse as music and architectural drawings were being unofficially reproduced for select private audiences as early as the mid- 1950s. As is well known, the USSR maintains strict controls over all xerox machines, including the cumbersome domestically-produced models. However, in the 1960s and 1970s a number of samizdat publishers in various fields gained access to such machines, and used them extensively. The example of the Voronezh engineer Iurii Vermenich is typical, in that he succeeded in reproducing translations 91 of several dozen books on jazz on primitive machines owned by his institute. Many voluntary (obshchestevnnye) organizations beginning in the late 1960s gained official permission to issue informal newsletters and magazines for local distribution; most of these publications, such as the Leningrad quarterly Kvadrat, were reproduced on photocopying machines. The independent Ukrainian journal Ukrainsky visnik and the religious journal Vybor are both reproduced in the same semi-legal fashion today. Attempts to control access to xerox machines have failed to repress the demand for horizontal print communication. Private photography was always available to fill the gap. An article in the autonomous journal Svobodnaia mysl in 1971 presented detailed instructions on how inexpensive and widely available 92 photographic equipment could be used as a surrogate printing press. Such techniques were made readily accessible by the excellent and inexpensive single-lense reflex cameras manufactured in the USSR with equipment taken from the Zeiss factories in Jena, the Zenit-E being the model of choice for unofficial printing on account of its high close-up resolution. Negatives were easily transmitted by mail and could be read with the help of a lense for viewing filmstrips available in children's stores for 35 kopeks. Countless manuscripts, reports, poems, lyrics and other documents were independently transmitted throughout the USSR by this means. The spread of radio stimulated interest in recording. Wire recorders were manufactured in the USSR in the 1940s but were rarely available to 16 private citizens. Instead, amateurs constructed simple machines capable of recording sound or the emulsion of discarded x-ray plates. Such recordings were of poor quality and had a short life expectancy but had the double advantage of being inexpensive and readily transmittable through the mails. By the early 1950s this "Roentgenizdat" was widely exploited for recording both music and voice, leading eventually to a 1958 law making it illegal "to produce home-made records of the criminal trend. 93 Meanwhile, Soviet-made open reel tape recorders appeared in the 1950s with the large El Fa-6 model, which was followed before 1960 by the lumbering Dnepr-3 and Spalis models. More compact foreign-made cassette machines entering the country in great numbers in the early 1960s forced the authorities to choose between losing all control over the technology or attempting to co-opt it by producing a home- grown portable product. They chose the latter course. Sales of Yauza series tape recorders reached half a million by 1965 and over one million by 1970. 94 The social impact was enormous. The late Anatolii Kuznetsov described the situation: Soviet ideological organs, busy in the field of radio production completely failed to pay attention to such a seemingly innocent technical branch as the production of tape recorders. A demand existed and it was satisfied, and when at last ideological firemen discovered the catastrophic breakthrough, it was too late. Now it is a rare home without a tape recorder, 95 and an evening party or get- together without one is unthinkable. Cassette tape recordings, shipped through the domestic and international mails, provided a channel of horizontal communication that was at once inexpensive, legal, and virtually beyond control. Ham radio operators seized upon another means of sound transmission that was 96 equally efficient, equally inexpensive, and nearly as difficult to control. It is estimated that there were up to twenty thousand licensed radio amateurs in the USSR in the late 1960s. According to Gayle Hollander, the number of illegal operators increased dramatically in the 1960s, when a do-it-yourself handbook for amateur radio operators was published. While details of this medium are lacking, it is known that ham radio operators in the Ukraine warned of the Soviet troop build-up on the eve of the Czech invasion of 1967, that hams in the Ukraine spread lurid reports at the time of the Chernobyl disaster and helped force the government to release authoritative information, that a ham operator in Vilnius was given three years incarceration in the early 1970s, and that 97 more than a thousand hams in the Donetsk region were detained in 1974. Photography, tape recording, and ham radio were all exploited by Soviet citizens to create more adequate horizontal conduits for information than official media could provide. Much the same process is going forward today with video cassette recorders. Great quantities of these inexpensive and compact instruments were being unofficially imported into the Soviet Union by the late 1970s. Crew members of a Soviet cruise ship that made frequent stops in New Orleans were known to purchase several hundred VCRs at a time from dealers in that city, to be resold on the Odessa and Leningrad black markets. Dubbing machines, essential if the medium is to respond to market demands, were bringing 1000 rubles at Riga commission stores visited by the author in 17 September, 1986. What Izvestiia terms the "currently fashionable passion for videotapes" led police in Riga to confiscate 415 imported and domestically-produced videos depicting "cruelty, violence, mysticism, and superstition" that were being shown by independent operators to paying audiences of local students. The operators of this library were charged under an article of the Latvian civil code that banned the distribution of videotapes "harmful to the state or to public order, health, or morals 98 The analogous law in the Russian Republic was invoked 99 to punish a Moscow piano teacher caught trading in video tapes and equipment. VCRs by 1986 had spread so far that it would have been impossible to reign them in completely. Instead, the government limited its intervention to co-opting the medium and policing its most objectionable excesses. 100 The worst danger lay in the seemingly uncontrolled nature of trans-border communications. Dish receivers have until recently been all but nonexistent, and any that might find their way into private hands could easily be controlled. Video tapes, by contrast, are as disrespectful of national borders as audio cassette tapes. Because they are so readily imported, reproduced, and disseminated, they effectively destroy the state's autarkic control over both television and film production. 101 Whether or not Soviet citizens produce their own original videos, the exercise of independent choice over what is imported and disseminated creates a kind of video samizdat. It is for this reason that the Soviet government began producing its own "Elektronika VM-12" VCR. Reportedly costing from twelve to fourteen hundred rubles, the Soviet machines may be less expensive than imports but have the overriding disadvantage of being unable to play standard western tapes without modification. It is doubtful that more than 10,000 Elektronika VM-12 units had been manufactured before the end of 1986. 102 A second attempt to preempt the video import boom was the decision in 1985 to produce large numbers of video cassettes in the USSR. Manufactured at the same Elektronika plant in Voronezh which produced the VM-12, the Soviet video cassette library consists mainly of mainstream popular music (Pugacheva, Vysotskii, etc.) and old films, mainly Soviet. By the end of 1985 the library included 450 titles which were distributed mainly at electronic stores in such ports of entry as Riga, Moscow, Odessa, and Tallinn, where the black market in foreign tapes was most active. Production remained low, however, because the only source of tape was the Soviet film industry (Soiuzkinofond), which jealously hoarded all videotape to meet its own needs. 103 Moreover, the Soviet press candidly admitted that many customers were buying the local product solely to re-record imported films and programs for their own use. 104 No wonder that private video traders have concluded, as the official press acknowledges, 105 "that, for the time being, there is no threat of competition. With the exception of audio tape recording, all of the "small technologies" of communication that have appeared in the USSR remain by western standards, fairly limited in their reach. Yet together the VCRs, ham radio stations, audio cassettes, photographic labs, and xerographic machines touch the lives of tens of millions of Soviet citizens. Responding to market 18 demand, these media have expanded rapidly in recent years and will doubtless continue to do so. Inevitably, this produced a strong reaction in the form of efforts to co-opt and control. None of these attempts have met with success, however, for the "small" technologies are too decentralized for their use to be more than marginally shaped from above. D. Toward an Information Revolution in the USSR The USSR's stagnant economy, coupled with its stumbling approach to personal computers, have caused observers there and in the West to conclude that in the 1970s and 1980s it missed out on the information revolution. The foregoing overview of the expansion and transformation of old technologies, the emergence of major new large-scale conduits of information, and the rise of small technologies suggests this generalization is overstated. However stagnant the Soviet economy as a whole, the realm of communications has been steadily, radically, and irreversibly changed those otherwise stagnant decades. To be sure, different groups and regions of the USSR have sharply different levels of access to the transformed or new media. As has been noted, urban families 106 are three times more likely to have telephones than rural families, while major cities and international points of entry have far greater access to new communications than secondary and interior cities. Overall access to public media correlates closely with the differing level of economic development among the republics. Whatever their unevenness, the changes are profound and show every sign of continuing. Repeated statements by Gorbachev from his arrival in office heralded his hope of increasing investment in telecommunications and computing. Moreover, there is ample evidence of a suppressed demand for communications so great that it can scarcely be avoided. Twelve million citizens were waiting for telephones to be installed in their homes in 1985, with a quarter million more waiting to receive long distance service. 107 The total of twenty-five million civilian phones in the Soviet Union compares with 170 million for the less populous United States, suggesting that even the addition of twelve million more phones may eventually not be enough. 108 With only thirty-two automobiles for every thousand Soviets, as compared with 471 for Americans and nearly the same ratio for West Germans, there is a clear likelihood that demand in that area, too, will continue to rise. 109 Only in computing has the Soviet state escaped market demand, and this is bound to change as a core of civilian computer buffs is formed. Together, these many changes are beginning to create a horizontal information culture in the Soviet Union, supplementing but not replacing the vertical structure inherited from the Stalin era. At the same time, that vertical structure itself is being revived and altered as more messages flow both downward and upward through it and as the number of interactive or feedback elements increase. Indeed, one of the most important innovations that can be traced directly to Mikhail Gorbachev is the infusion of new vitality into the heretofore moribund sphere of vertical communications, both downward and upward. 19 Needless to say, strengthening of horizontal communications has evoked concern in some quarters. Mr. Chebrikov of the KGB denounced the exploitation of Soviet citizens by foreign media conspirators, 110 while he and other Soviet commentators have singled out as evidence of such manipulation the nationalist demonstrations held in the Baltic republics in June, 1987, as well as the larger protests in Armenia and the Baltic states in the first half of 1988. 111 To check such untoward occurrences, Stalinist traditionalists mounted efforts to influence the drafting of new laws so as 112 to limit the right of assembly and suppress independent publications as well. Compared with the extraordinary tenacity and initiative shown by Soviet citizens seeking greater access to modern communications, however, such accusations and measures seem quite tame, mild rearguard actions rather than a serious campaign of suppression. The failure of efforts to maintain the old controls raises the question of whether horizontal communications could actually have been suppressed in the late 1980s? Of course they could, but as we will see, only at a very high price. For now, it is worth noting that the Gorbachev government through 1988 took no drastic measures against any medium deemed subversive, even though it moved against single publications in several instances. Until the government makes such a counter-threat and until it succeeds, it is reasonable to conclude, first, that a kind of communications revolution is under way in the USSR; second, that that revolution is modifying the received communication culture by stressing horizontality and interaction among and across levels where "top-down" verticality once reigned unchallenged; and, third, that the new communications order in the USSR benefits from the government's acquiescence, if not approval. 20 VI. TECHNOTRONIC GLASNOST" AND CIVIL SOCIETY IN THE USSR The Soviet newspaper Literary Gazette in 1987 carried a long article on "The American and the Computer," in which the author charged that Americans want nothing better than for the USSR to wallow in the same "technotronic openness" (glasnost') that exists in the United States. 113 Information, he admitted, is power. For the USSR to suspend all controls on information would be to weaken the country for no better purpose than to satisfy the demands of Americans. In spite of such grumbling, a kind of "technotronic glasnost" already exists in the Soviet Union and will have profound implications for the political culture of that country. We have characterized this new information culture in terms of the rise of horizontal links and systems. While acknowledging that vertical conduits not only continue to exist but have been strengthened by new technologies and the new leadership, we have stressed the relatively greater impact in the USSR of the new horizontal communications in recent years. In many ways this recalls the situation in late nineteenth century Russia, when fresh technologies also stimulated horizontal communication within society. Today's developments in horizontal communication outstrip those of the past both in the diversity of new channels and in the number of people affected. It is therefore important to evaluate the impact of these developments on political life. This impact can be detected in at least six areas. A. Privatized Information Stimulates the Formation of Public Opinion. Far more information is available to the Soviet public than ever before. The public's capacity to acquire, preserve, and transmit information has grown sufficiently to enable one to speak of at least partial privatization in this area. Stated differently, improved horizontal communications and advances in education have almost certainly increased the percentage of all Soviet information that is now generated outside the Party and state and circulating freely in society. This means that the regime must reckon with more numerous and more diverse sources of inputs than formerly. At the least, this more pluralistic situation places greater burdens on "the attention-giving, information processing, and decision-making capabilities of administrators, political elites, [and] legislatures. "114 No wonder that in 1988 the Gorbachev government moved to establish two new institutes for the systematic study of Soviet public opinion. B. Information in the Soviet Union is Increasingly Internationalized. Both high and "small" technologies foster communication across the borders of the USSR. This is true of both unofficial and official channels. At the level of popular culture, contraband songs by the emigres V. Tokarev and A. Rozenbaum gained great popularity even during the late Brezhnev era through tapes widely distributed at sanatoriums and vacation spas. 115 21 Similarly, nearly forty percent of all films showing in the provinces are foreign-made, while the percentage of VCR films from abroad is even higher. 116 Telephone calls, letters, and trans-border radio all attest to this internationalization of information. A century-and-a-half ago, the notorious French traveller, the Marquis de Custine, wrote that "the political system of Russia could not survive twenty years' free communication with the west of Europe. 117 Clearly, de Custine's observation overstates the case today. But if the regime has survived greater trans-border communication, it has increasingly to respond to information from abroad, the importation of which it can no longer control. No longer willing to pay the price necessary fully to control international conduits, the state attempts merely to minimize the negative impact of the information they convey. Implicitly, it acknowledges that the internationalization of information is inevitable. C. Communications Technology Induces Individuation and Turns Subjects into Citizens. Much has been written about the way cassette recorders, VCRs, photography, and other "small" technologies not only privatize communications but individuate the communicators. Such individuation is one of the strongest currents in Soviet society today, and helps explain phenomena as diverse as the rising prestige of careers in writing and the burgeoning fashion industry. Existing "small technologies" in the USSR foster individuation because they enable people to exercize choice of the oral and visual sources from which they draw information. Desk top personal computers have the same impact, since they enable people to choose and, if necessary, generate data pertinent to their personal interests. Individuation extends even to such "top-down" media as television. Viewing a movie in a theater places limits on one's response. Viewing the same movie at home frees the individual to react actively and independently. While it is true that all three Soviet television stations still air the news program Vremia (Time) at the same time, this practice has been attacked publicly in the Soviet press on the grounds that it suppresses choice. 118 Similarly, the state controls nearly all newspapers and periodicals, but their sheer proliferation enables readers to seek out what interests them, again expanding the realm of choice. The exercise of choice over information emancipates the individual from his surroundings. A cassette tape of a foreign pop tune that finds its way into the hands of some provincial teenager may conjure up the existence of an alternative life, of some "other" world where freedom and eros are untrammeled. Suddenly, his immediate environment becomes nothing more than the drab setting from which the taped tune emancipates him. Choosing among the welter of information carried over new technologies, a subject is transformed into a citizen, eager to exercise broader choice over all life decisions. Eventually, the political system must accommodate that citizen and the individuated personality which is his essence. 22 D. New Conduits Foster the Growth of Networks and Groups. Amateur builders of outlandish home-made aircraft held a convention at an airport outside Moscow in September, 1987. Convened at the urging of scientists in the capital, these inventors and their craft attested to the existence of a nation-wide network of Soviet Rube Goldbergs, most of them known to one another and communicating through the mails, telephones, and personal travel. Such networks exist in hundreds of fields in the USSR. Those interested in unusual sports, various forms of collecting, and virtually every marginal field of culture have organized themselves into informal lateral networks with little or no support from the state and often wholly independent of it. Hundreds of groups are chartered as societal (obshchestvennye) organizations. Others thrive without official recognition. While less institutionalized than the major formal organizations, they have the advantage of being sustained by the members' genuine enthusiasm. The proliferation of such organizations owes much to social and educational change, but it could not have occurred without vastly improved conduits of horizontal communication. 119 This mode of self-organization is ideally suited to those promoting special interests. When Moscow's city planners Posokhin proposed to cut the new Kutuzovskii Prospekt through the historic core of the city, opponents organized the now-notorious Memory (Pamiat) group. Over the fifteen years of its existence, Memory has gained branches in Leningrad and Novosibirsk and maintained informal communication on issues pertaining to historic preservation through inter-city telephones and open mails. 120 Similar groupings in the ecological field have existed for years, only the best-known of which deal with the problems of Lake Baikal. In a typical effort at co-optation, the Leningrad Komsomol organized the association BER, which quickly aligned itself with a coalition of unofficial youth groups publishing a samizdat journal and advocating, among other projects, a monument to the victims of Stalin. The Moscow Perestroika Club made similar demands, and in August, 1987, had the opportunity to express them at a convention of similar self-initiated organizations held in 121 the capital under the patronage of the Moscow branch of the Community Party. Unlike the 19th-century zemstva, whose efforts to federate nationally were easily thwarted, the new groupings can proliferate and federate easily, albeit informally, simply by using the networking potential of the new communications media. In their informality, their horizontality, their openness to all supporters of a given cause, and in their participatory character made possible by the telephone, such groups contrast sharply with both the Communist Party and the organs of state. As such, they pose a fundamental problem to the Soviet leadership. In the autumn of 1987 V.M. Chebrikov, chairman of the KGB, delivered an astonishing and measured assessment of these organizations: A characteristic feature of our time is the marked increase in the Soviet people's social activeness, clearly manifested, in particular, 23 in the creation of independent associations whose participants seek to contribute to the development of this or that aspect of public life. The CPSU regards the activity of such associations as a concrete manifestation of socialist democratism. 122 The KGB chief then went on to decry the fact that "extremist elements" have penetrated the leadership of certain of these associations, "taken to the streets to make unwarranted protests in public, advanced provocative demands, and fulminated against those who disagree." Yet while he charged that these extremists were under the sway of "foreign subversive centers," the KGB head, like the Leningrad Komsomol, seems to have accepted the inevitability of autonomous organizations. Indeed, by mid-1988 Communist officials advocating Gorbachev's reforms were themselves proposing the establishment of mass organizations independent of the Party as a means of strengthening their cause. Such entities were actually created in Latvia and elsewhere and represent the Communist Party's acknowledgment of the existence of change in the nation's political culture. E. Proliferating Communications Technologies Thwart Surveillance. Governmental surveillance of private communications was simple in a society in which potentially significant communications were limited to a few educated people using a limited number of public technologies. Now the numbers of communicators has soared, and numerous private technologies serve their individual and group needs. Even before Chernobyl there was ample evidence that an autonomous and internationally-linked communication culture had grown up among the Soviet people. To be sure, this culture has not broken through a number of barriers which in Poland were penetrated early by the Solidarity movement. It has not, for example, created its autonomous radio beyond the level of ham operators; it has not launched publishing efforts on the scale of Poland's NOWA enterprise; it has not exploited videotape and film to the extent done by Video NOWA; and it has not managed to establish an independent newspaper on the scale of Poland's Robotnik, with a national circulation of 20,000. 123 Nonetheless, the autonomous communications culture of the USSR has shown sufficient strength for officials to deem it unwise to attempt to destroy it. For such an effort to succeed, it would have to cut back much of the officially-sanctioned communications system as well. Since jamming cannot blot out all international broadcasts, legally acquired short-wave receivers would have to be banned. The use of inter-city telephones and mails would have to be severely restricted, and inter-city travel sharply reduced so as to thwart the transmission of independently reproduced sound, video, and print data. All this could be done, but it would require vast expenditures in money and manpower to reach anything like the former level of surveillance. The economic cost of this would be staggering, while the price the regime would pay in terms of public support would be greater still, particularly if it resorted to force, as would probably be necessary. 24 f. New Communications Have Undermined the Party's Role as Culture-Maker. Such considerations suggest that the new communications culture is largely irreversible, even if the Soviet regime would wish to abolish it. And who would staff a Party or government that would undertake such an effort? The same process of individuation and pluralization that has affected society at large has been felt among those running official media. When the volunteer civil defense organization DOSAAF recently ecried the erosion of Communist values, it attacked not the independent "small" technology media but the entire television, film, and radio industries of the Soviet state. 124 In effect, it acknowledged that the masters of these official conduits had come to share the same individuated and pluralistic values that permeated the broader culture. This being the case, there would appear to be too few Bolshevik traditionalists "Stalinists," in the reformers' terminology -- to staff the input end of Lenin's conveyor belts today. No careful reader of the Soviet press in recent years would be surprised by this assertion. As early as 1982 Soviet cultural leaders were publicly debating "mass culture." It is clear, declared the staunchly Leninist head of the Moscow Union of Writers, that mass culture is unrelated and even hostile to Socialist 125 culture and the Socialist way of life "it is it's polar opposite. Yet in the course of the 1982 debate it became clear that mass culture was already a reality in the Soviet Union, and that this more independent and market-related 126 phenomenon represented a loss of the Party's cultural leadership. By no means everyone did considered this bad. One writer saw the freer operation of market mechanisms in publishing as likely to benefit good literature as much as bad, 127 since they provided an alternative to the moribund bureaucracy in publishing. Through such debates, Soviet commentators struggled toward accepting the new reality of public opinion. Their conclusion can be easily summarized: that "mass culture" is not controllable "from above"; that many, if not most Soviet citizens are drawn to it; and that such attraction is the obverse of the public's 129 alienation from those cultural values promoted by the Communist Party. This 1982 debate came increasingly to focus on the new technological media as such. In the process, the position of the old intelligentsia came very close to that of conservative Party leaders, for both feared the way their status as shapers of public values was being eroded by television and film. Both understood that the vanguard role which the Russian revolutionary movement had assigned variously to the intelligentsia and the Party was being eroded by the new technologies. Writer Andrei Bitov's fulminations against mass culture thus paralleled those of Party apologists, although they began from radically different 130 premises. Both look to the age of democratization with deep skepticism. This is not to deny that intellectuals, especially those of the generation that reached maturity in the late 1950s, have played a central role in Gorbachev's reform movement. But the very nature of the changes they advocate will eventually broaden the degree of public participation in political life and hence weaken their own role, as has in 25 fact occured in the younger generations in the USSR. This helps explain the frequent attacks on the young by reformist intellectuals who realize that popular culture is incompatible with their own role as an independent source of values. That the realm of culture and values has gradually gained independence from Communist Party edicts in the Soviet Union is evident from recent developments in virtually every field of expression. What remains to be seen is the extent to which the Party will accept this reality by reducing its expectations of control. What if it fails to do so? It can attempt to reimpose Stalinist controls on horizontal communication, which we have acknowledged to be possible but only at an exceedingly high price. Alternatively, it can simply adapt received institutions to deal with it. This, too, seems unlikely, for such a policy, carried to its logical limit, would deeply undermine the position of the Communist Party in Soviet society. Admittedly, this is the effect of various proposals put forward by Gorbachev at the June, 1988 Party conference, but he balanced them by calling for the strengthening of the central executive power. Finally, it can choose to move neither backward or forward, in which case state and society will remain at loggerheads, as was the case prior to Gorbachev. Given both the need for change and the strong opposition to it in some quarters, some combination of the first two variants seems most likely, with a strong movement towards accepting the new realities limited by the Party's commitment to maintaining as much initiative and power as the changed circumstances allow. 26 VII. CONCLUSION This overview of communications in Russian history suggests several conclusions. At the least, it demonstrates the close relationship in Russia between political development and the state of communications technology. In most eras the two have been closely connected, with progress in one inseparable from progress in the other. Many anomalies in Russian social development -- the slow appearance of an urban elite in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries; the isolation of the peasantry from politics in the nineteenth century; and the diminished role of the bourgeoisie from 1917 down through the 1950s -- are reflected in, and amplified by, the communications system. This history suggests an answer to the question of whether the Soviet Union's large new technical and managerial class will develop communications technologies capable of serving its own needs, as distinct from those of the Communist Party. Against the background of earlier history, the burden of proof would lie on the side of anyone claiming it would not. Our overview of Russian and Soviet history from the standpoint of communications technologies suggests the need to revise accepted notions of several important eras in this century. First, the march of communications technologies in the late imperial era contrasts sharply with historians' arguments about the internal decay of the social structure that supported semi-constitutional government in Russia. There is no evidence that the emerging communications system of the period 1900-1917 was collapsing from within and ample evidence that it was burgeoning. The present era appears as the lineal descendant of the late imperial phase, after two missing generations. Second, it is hard to view the era of the New Economic Policy as representing something wholely separate from the Stalin era in the sphere of communications, as is often claimed in the area of political philosophy. The abolition of private printing, film, and record production, the cessation of private automobile production and the thwarting of telecommunications at both the inter-city and international levels all went forward as rapidly as the Party could promote it, the process beginning under Lenin himself. The pace at which the Party severed horizontal communications was defined less not by philosophical or legal limits than by raw power. While a careful review of Lenin's writings may reveal differences between his and Stalin's approach to communications technologies, their actions differ more in degree than kind. Third, the reconstruction of horizontal communications and development of feedback systems and interactive media after 1953 proceeded steadily throughout the Brezhnev era. Whatever stagnation might have occurred in the broader economy, modern horizontal communications continued to develop rapidly down to Brezhnev's death. Indeed, the pronounced breakdown of vertical communications in the late Brezhnev era actually stimulated the development of horizontal links within society and hastened the creation of the situation existing today. What is taking place today can thus be seen as the fulfillment of changes begun in the 1960s and 1970s, rather than their refutation. 27 What, finally, is the essence of this fulfillment? The expansion of communications technologies in the USSR has fostered both horizontal and vertical links. In terms of social impact, however, the horizontal have predominated, and are reinforced by the increasingly interactive nature of the old vertical ties. This has created a kind of information pluralism in the Soviet Union quite unlike anything existing since 1917. Old monistic models of Soviet politics seem less and less appropriate as new patterns of communication deepen. Each network and group arising from the new pluralism boasts its own body of information and each is therefore capable of providing an independent input to the political process. Together, these changes are creating what is recognizably a "civil society" in the USSR. As has been noted, this "technotronic glasnost" still lags far behind what exists in Poland, which in turn remains far removed from the style of communications prevailing in the parliamentary democracies of Western Europe, North America, and Japan. Nonetheless, it is far closer to these prototypes than to anything existing in Russia since 1917 and may eventually lead to a very different type of political order than has heretofore existed. Gorbachev acknowledges as much when he speaks of democratization not as a goal but as a fact. He also affirmed it when in the spring of 1988 he appealed to the public to support his reforms in the face of opposition of many in the Party and state. Under such a new order, society may remain partially controlled, but it in turn exercises control of its own, thanks to the existence of autonomous channels of communication. Such circumstances impose absolute limits on absolute power. They limit the government's ability to shape society and introduce the possibility of society shaping government. This situation exists today only in embryo. However, even in its present form it exhibits many characteristics commonly associated with the notion of "civil society," e.g. the free flow of information within society; the ability of individual groups to articulate their demands; a government subject to control by the governed; and the existence of rights against the state as well as duties to it. "Technotronic glasnost" does not itself create these conditions, but it provides fertile soil in which they can grow, and therefore represents a profoundly significant source of change in Soviet politics in the waning twentieth century. 28 FOOTNOTES 1s. Frederick Starr, "The Changing Nature of Change in the USSR," in Change in the Soviet Union and American Foreign Policy, Seweryn Bialer, ed., New York, 1988, Ch. 1. 2"The USSR Confronts the Information Revolution," proceedings of a conference held at Airlie House, Virginia, 12-13 November 1986, U.S. Government, Directorate of Intelligence; "Communications and Control in the USSR," research memorandum, 24 November 1986, United States Information Agency; Alex Beam, "Atari Bolsheviks," The New Republic, March, 1986, PP. 28 ff.; Hans Heymann, Jr., "Commentary: A Note on the Critical Telecommunications Lag," 27 April 1987, The Hudson Institute; Richard W. Judy, et al., Soviet Informatics Project Phase I draft report, H.I. 3884-DP, 12 February, 1987, The Hudson Institute; Loren Graham, "The Computer Revolution is Bypassing the Soviet Union," The Washington Post, 2 April 1984, pp. 24-25. 3 Karl W. Deutsch et al., Political Community in the North Atlantic Area, Princeton, 1957, p. 54. 4 Lucien W. Pye, ed., Communications and Political Development, Princeton, 1963. 5 Marshall McLuhan, Understanding Media: The Extensions of Man, New York, 1964. 6 Oswald H. and Gladys Gantey, To Inform or To Control? The New Communications Networks, New York, 1982. 7 Among exceptions are C.F. Margorie Ferguson, ed., New Communications Technologies and the Public Interest, Beverly Hills and London, 1986, p. 53. Cf. also Daniel Bell, "The Social Framework of the Information Society," The Computer Age: A Twenty-Year View, M.L. Dertouzos and J. Moses, eds., Cambridge, 1979. 8 Daniel Lerner, "Toward a Communications Theory," Communications and Political Development, P. 328. 9 Deutsch, Political Community p.51. 10 Marshall McLuhan, The Gutenberg Galaxy, New York, 1962, PP. 141, 220, 240, 246; also Walter J. Ong, S.J. The Presence of the Word, New Haven and London, 1967, p. 64. 11 A. S. Zernova, Nachalo knigopechataniia v Moskve i na Ukraine, Moscow, 1946, Ch. I-III; M.N. Tikhomirov, Nachalo moskovskogo knigopechataniia, Moscow, 1947, Ch. I-II. 12 Iurii Ovsiannikov, Lubok; russkie narodnye kartinki XVII-XVIII VV., Moscow, 1967, pp. 24 ff. 13 I. P. Kozlovskii, Pervye pochty i pochmeistery V Moskovskom 29 gosudarstve, 2 vols., Warsaw, 1913, I, Ch. 1-4. 14 Kratkii istoricheskii ocherk razvitiia i deiatelnost' vedomstva Putei soobshcheniia za sto let ego sushchestvovaniia 1798-1898, St. Petersburg, 1898, pp. 13-30. 15 Ibid. 16 S. A. Urodkov, Peterburgo-moskovskaia zheleznaia doroga; istoriia stroitelstva 1842-1851, Leningrad, 1951, PP. 34-35. 17 William L. Blackwell, The Beginnings of Industrialization, Princeton, 1968, pp. 273-74. 18 Ibid., p. 283, 294. 19 Ibid., P. 269. 20 D.D. Blagoi, Istoriia russkoi literatury XVIII veka, 3rd ed., Moscow, 1955, PP. 212 ff. 21 400 let knigopechataniia, A.A. Sidorov, ed., 2 vols, Moscow, 1964, I, Ch. 4. 22 S. Frederick Starr, Decentralization and Self-Government in Russia 1830-1870, Princeton, 1972, p. 333-34. 23 Michael T. Florinsky, Russia: A History and an Interpretation, 2 vols., New York, 1968, II, p. 937. 24 Ibid., II, p. 789. 25 Ibid., II, p. 937. 26 Ministervstvo vnutrennykh del za sto let, St. Petersburg, 1901. 27 Donald W. Treadgold, The Great Siberian Migration: Government and Peasant in Resettlement From Emancipation to the First World War, Princeton, 1957. 28 M. Lemke, Epokha tsenzurnykh reform 1859-1865, St. Petersburg, 1904; also Charles A. Ruud, The Russian Censorship, 1855-1865: A Study in the Formation of Policy, Ph.D. dissertation, Berkeley, 1966. 29 Charles A. Ruud, "Russian Entrepreneur: The Publisher Ivan Sytin of Moscow, 1851-1934," unpublished MS. 30 Jeffrey Brooks, When Russia Learned to Read: Literacy and Popular Literature, 1861-1917, Princeton, 1985. 31 Starr, Decentralization pp. 333-34. Franking privileges were suspended in this situation as well. 30 32 On Russian investors of this era see V.S. Virginskii, Tvortsy novoi tekhniki V krepostnoi Rossii, Moscow, 1962, PP. 298-317. 33 Bolshaia sovetskaia entsiklopediia, vol. XVIII, 1974, p. 451. 34 Razvitie sviazi V SSSR, N.D. Psurtsev, ed., Moscow, 1967, P. 26. ³⁵F.A. Brokgauz, I.A. Efron, Entsiklopedicheskii slovar, St. Petersburg, vol. XXXII, 1901, p. 793. 36 Brokgaus, Efron, vol. XXXII, P. 793. 37 Psurtsev, p. 31. 38 Brokgauz, Efron, vol. XXXII, pp. 814-15. 39 Psurtsev, p. 26. 40 Ibid., P. 33. 41 Marc Ferro, The Russian Revolution of February, 1917, J.L. Richards, trans1, Englewood Cliffs, 1972, PP. 87 ff. 42 V. V. Uchenova, Partiino-sovetskaia pechat; vosstanovitelnogo perioda, Moscow, 1964, p. 5. 43 V. I. Lenin, Polnoe sobranie sochinenii, 5th ed., Moscow, 1967-70, vol V, 39-41. 44 Cf. Richard R. Fagan, Politics in Communications, Boston, 1966, p. 34. 45 Peter Kenez, The Birth of the Propaganda State: Soviet Methods of Mass Mobilization 1917-1929, Cambridge, London, 1985, p. 254. 46 Psurtsev, p. 82. For a stimulating analysis of Russian telephones in the 1920s see Steven L. Solnick, "Soviet Telephones, 1917-1927: An Early Case Study in Modernization and Economic Reform," unpublished MS, SSRC Summer Workshop on Soviet Domestic Politics, University of Toronto, 1988. 47 Jeffrey Brooks, "The Breakdown in Production and Distribution of Printed Material 1917-1927," Bolshevik Culture: Experiment and Order in the Russian Revolution, Abbott Gleason, Peter Kenez, Richard Stites, eds., Bloomington, 1985, PP. 151 ff. 48 Kenez, P. 101. 49 Brooks, "The Breakdown " pp. 155-66. 50 Kenez, p. 104. 51 Psurtsev, P. 178. 31 52 Ibid., p. 66. 53 Kenez, PP. 105 ff. 54 Psurtsev, pp. 38, 188. 55 Lilian-Dorette Rimmele, Der Rundfunk in Norddeutschland 1933-1945: Ein Beitrag Zur Nationale Organizations-Personal-und Kultur-Politik, Hamburg, 1977; Franco Monteleone, La Radio Italiana Nel Periodo Fascista, Venice, 1976. 56 Purtsev, p. 221. 57 Ibid., PP. 222-27. 58 Ibid., pp. 222-23. 59 Narodnoe khoziaistvo V 1962 godu, Moscow, 1963, P. 422. 60 Kenez, p. 252. 61 Gayle Durham Hollander, "Political Communication and Dissent in the Soviet Union," Dissent in the USSR: Politics, Ideology, and People, Rudolf L. Tokes, ed., Baltimore and London, 1975, P. 251. 62 Ellen Proffer Mickiewicz, Soviet Political Schools: The Communist Party Adult Instruction System, New Haven, 1967, PP. 8 ff. 63 Ustav sviaz SSSR, Moscow, 1954. 64 Bolshaia sovetskaia entsiklopediia, vol. XXIII, 1976, p. 94. 65 Psurtsev, p. 269, table 26. 66 R. Volkova, Pravda, 18 March 1985, p. 7, in Current Digest of the Soviet Press (CDSP), 1985, no. 11, P. 20. 67 Bolshaia sovetskaia entsiklopediia, vol. 23, 1976, p. 93; also Psurtsev, pp. 268 ff. 68 Sziaz sluzhit vsem," Pravda, 28 May 1984, P. 1. 69 International Telecommunications Union, Yearbook of Common Carrier Telecommunications Statistics, cited in Heymann, P. 5. 60 Gerald Stanton Smith, Songs to Seven Strings; Russia's Guitar Poetry and Soviet "Mass Song," Bloomington, 1984, P. 94. 71 Psurtsev, p. 269, table 26. 72 Ibid., p. 331. 73 Psurtsev, P. 273. 32 74 Narodnoe khozaistvo SSSR V 1962 godu, Moscow, 1963, p. 422. 75 Narodnoe khozaistvo SSSR V 1968 godu, Moscow, 1969, p. 506. 76 Lewis Feuer, "The Intelligentsia in Opposition," Problems of Communism, vol. 19, no. 6. 77 Narodnoe khozaistvo SSSR V 1968 godu, Moscow, 1968, p. 506. 78 Psurtsev, p. 94 ff. 79 Aleksandr Petrov, Izvestiia, 3 September 1985, P. 2 (CDSP, XXXVII, no. 35, p. 27.) 80 Psurtsev, pp. 94 ff. 81 Russian Cars," The Economist, 3 December 1983, P. 79. 82 Izvestiia, 10 January 1985, P. 2. 83 N. Tolstova, Izvestiia, 1 August 1984, P. 3 (CDSP, vol. XXXVI, no. 31, p. 23.) 84 Reply to a letter to the editor, Sovetskaia Rossiia, 9 April 1985, p. 3. 85 Izvestiia, 10 January 1984, P. 2. 86 Photographs and accompanying captions, Sotsialisticheskaia industriia, 14 January 1985, p. 4. 87 S. E. Goodman and Alan Ross Stapleton, "Microcomputing in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe," Abacus 3, 1985, no. 1, pp. 6-22. 88 Ivan Selin, "Trip Report," unpublished MS, 2 April 1984, P. 2; also "Update," unpublished MS, 6 January 1986. 89 Ganley and Ganley, p. 85. 90 E. Jakubitis, "Po puti tekhnicheskogo progressa," Trud, 21 June 1986, P. 2. S. Frederick Starr, Red and Hot: The Fate of Jazz in the Soviet Union, New York, 1983, pp. 263, 278. 92 K. Glukhov, "Fotografiia kak sposob reproduksii " Svobodnaia mysl, 20 December 1971. 93 Quoted by Timothy Ryback, Rock Around the Bloc, New York, 1988, p. 00. 94 Narodnoe khoziaistvo, Moscow, 1970, P. 251. 95 Talks by Anatole Kuznetsov," Radio Liberty, no. 17, March 10-11, 1973. See also Gene Sosin, "Magnitizdat: Uncensored Songs of Dissent," Tokes, ch. 33 8. 96 The best accounts of this phenomenon are F. Gayle Durham, Amateur Radio Operation in the Soviet Union, Center for International Studies, MIT, Cambridge, 1965. See also Gayle Durham Hollander, "Political Communication and Dissent," pp. 262-263. 97 Ibid. Also Smith, P. 95; and anon. "Radiozdat," Russkaia mysl, 6 February 1975, p. 5. 98 Iu. Kishchik and E. Vostrukhov," Izvestiia, 15 October 1986, P. 30. (CDSP vol. XXXVII, no. 41, p. 25.) 99 D. Pilipenko, Komsomolskaia pravda, 20 September 1986, p. 4. (CDSP vol. XXXVII, no. 4, p. 23.) 100 Radio Liberty, "Video in the Soviet Union: Trouble with a Capricious Step-child," no. 129-86, 21 March 1986; Viktor Yasman, "The Collectivization of Videos?," Radio Liberty, no. 335-86, 22 September 1986. 101 Cf. Chuck Anderson, Video Power: Grass Roots Television, New York, 1975. 102 Communications and Control in the USSR," P. 3. 103 K. Abaiev, Izvestiia, 23 June 1985, p. 6 (CDSP vol. XXXVI, no 25, 1985, July). 104 Kishchik and Vostrukhov, p. 3. 105 Sovetskaia kultura, 10 June 1986, quoted by Yasman, p. 3. 106 Aleksandr 107 Petrov, "Medlennyi progress," Izvestiia, 3 September 1985, P. 2. Ibid., p. 2. 108 Yearbook of Common Carrier Telecommunications Statistics, quoted in Heymann, p. 5. 109 "Russian Cars," The Economist, 3 December 1983, p. 79. 110 V.M. Chebrikov address on the 110th anniversary of the birth of F. E. Dzherzhinskii, Pravda, 11 September 1987, p. 3. 111. M. Vulfson, in Sovetskaia Latviia, 18 June 1987, p. 3. (CDSP, vol. XXIX, no. 27). 112 Mark D'Anastasio, "Soviets are Preparing Measures to Stop Expansion of Independent Publishers," The Wall Street Journal, 9 September 1987, p. 29. 113 Vladimir Simonov, "Amerikanets 1 kompiuter," Literaturnaia gazeta, 24 June 1987, p. 14. 114 Deutsch, p. 41. 34 115 E. Zlain, Komsomolskaia pravda, 18 October 1985, p. 4 (CDSP vol. XXXVII, no. 44). 116 Liudmila Kazymova, Sovetskaia Rossiia, 18 July 1985, p. 2 (CDSP vol. XXXVII, no. 4). 117, Marquis de Custine, Russia, New York, 1854, P. 83. 118 "Vremia na ekrane," Pravda, 19 May 1986, p. 3. 119 Cf. Fagan, P. 39. 120 Bill Keller, "Soviet Political Clubs on Unofficial Stage," New York Times, 9 October 1987, P. 4. 121 V.M. Chebrikov, P. 3; Also Jonathan Steele, "Moscow Opens the Door to Reform Groups," The Guardian, 12 September 1987, p. 1. 122 V. M. Chebrikov, P. 3. 123 Reinventing Civil Society: Poland's Quiet Revolution, 1981-1986, The US-Helsinki Watch Committee, New York, 1986, pp. 43, 53 ff., 71-78. 124 Dolg kazhdogo grazhdanina," Pravda, 14 September 1987, p. 1. 125 Feliks Kuznetsov, "Kultura: narodnost' i massovost', Literaturnain gazeta, 5 January 1983, p. 3. 126 Vladimir Simonoy 127 "Khaiping i ego iznanki," Literaturnaia gazeta, 23 June 1982, p. 15. Vladimir Soloukhin, "Skazki mogut i umeret," Literaturnaia gazeta, 22 September 1982, p. 3. 129 These views are conveniently summarized in Stanislav Kunyaev, "Ot velikogo do smeshnogo," Literaturnaia gazeta, 9 June 1982, p. 3. 130 Andrei Bitov, "Net! Nikogda ia zavisti ne znal. Literaturnaia gazeta, 7 July 1982, P. 3. 131 See Jerry F. Hough, The Soviet Union and Social Science Theory, Cambridge, London, 1977, p. 234. 35 THE WHITE HOUSE Office of the Press Secretary For Immediate Release October 31, 1989 PRESS CONFERENCE BY THE PRESIDENT The Briefing Room 10:02 A.M. EST Dec. GONB. THE PRESIDENT: I have a statement and then be glad to take a few questions. President Gorbachev and I will meet December 2nd and December 3rd aboard U.S. and Soviet naval vessels on alternate days in the Mediterrean. Our discussions will cover the current international situation and developments in U.S.-Soviet relations. And in view of the full-scale U.S.-Soviet summit to be held in the United States during the late spring or early summer of 1990, President Gorbachev and I have agreed that an interim informal meeting at this time would be appropriate. Our talks will be informal in character, designed to allow us to become better acquainted with one another and to deepen our respective understanding of each other's views. Neither President Gorbachev nor I anticipate that substantial decisions or agreements will emerge from this December meeting. Q Mr. President, what do you hope to accomplish with this? I mean, is the economy going to be one of the main parts of the agenda or do you have -- arms control? What do you think is really going to be -- you're going to talk about? THE PRESIDENT: I think there'll be talk of a wide array of subjects without a specific agenda, and this is what I proposed to Mr. Gorbachev several months ago after I returned from the Paris economic summit. We've been working on this all that time, and -- Q It sounds like you were stampeded into this because it wasn't in the works and you had projected -- THE PRESIDENT: You mean -- since July it's been in the works. Q Has it? THE PRESIDENT: Yes, you just haven't been told. Q You're right. THE PRESIDENT: Since July, and I made the proposal to Mr. Gorbachev. And I'll say this. They immediately and enthusiastically -- he did -- thought this was a good idea. Q And did you also? THE PRESIDENT: I made the proposal. Q Mr. President, there's been some speculation that a meeting of this type might be intended for ideas to revamp the Soviet economy. Are you trying to get some ideas together to go to this meeting with some type of proposal like that? THE PRESIDENT: Well, I'm sure that now that the meeting MORE - 2 - is announced, there will be an awful many suggestions as to the subjects we should discuss, but there's not going to be an agenda or a meeting to be seen to fail or succeed on whether we make agreements of this nature. That's not what this meeting is about. And so President Gorbachev will have been in Italy and it seemed like a very convenient way to do this, but there's not going to be there's nothing off the table and nothing on it. It's not going to be an arms control meeting. Clearly the summit will drive the arms control agenda. Q Let me ask you, how do you assess Mr. Gorbachev's reforms? Do you think he is in trouble? THE PRESIDENT: I want to talk to him about their economy, our economy -- a wide array of subjects. And we've -- I've said over and over again, we want to see perestroika succeed. And they know this. There hasn't been a disconnect. As I answered Helen, we've been talking about this meeting since July. Q How come we didn't know about it? THE PRESIDENT: Because I'm trying to do something so -- to give everybody a little room so you can negotiate without getting it all up here in a lot of turmoil. Q Now that it's out, sir, could you tell us a little bit about the steps that led to this -- your proposal, how and when it was made, and so forth? THE PRESIDENT: Well, I did say that I made the proposal -- I believe it was in July -- in writing to the President. And then got a very prompt response and then we've been going back and forth at that level. And then it's been discussed by the Secretary of State and Mr. Shevardnadze -- the details worked out. Q When was it agreed upon? THE PRESIDENT: Oh, a month ago, I'd say. Q Mr. President, since July, several of your very top officials have said publicly, that they didn't see any value in having a summit if it couldn't be carefully prepared, absolute guarantee of success, with some kind of a serious outcome. You're saying that's off. This is just to discuss -- THE PRESIDENT: No. The summit is on. Q Well, but what if they said no meeting unless -- THE PRESIDENT: No, I -- who said that? Q I don't want to point a finger, but he's standing over here to the side. (Laughter.) THE PRESIDENT: Well, they weren't speaking for the President. I've told you what I think. You know there was one time when I felt that such a meeting wouldn't be productive. And I think it is going to be productive. But it's not going to be an agenda. We first set an agenda meeting we first set the summit. That will drive the arms control agenda. That's out there with a date on it -- rough time frame on it. And so and the other is rapid change going on. I now have a much clearer view of how our allies feel on East-West relations. We've got problems in this hemisphere that I want to discuss. And so the two are not inconsistent, Lesley. Q Mr. President, the last time there was a summit like this was in Reykjavik, and it evolved into a rather free-wheeling arms control negotiation that caused consternation in Europe, because at one point we were talking about eliminating all nuclear weapons, which Europeans felt would give -- THE PRESIDENT: Yes. MORE - 3 - Q -- the Soviets an advantage because of their preponderance of conventional superiority. What guarantees are there that that won't happen at this meeting? THE PRESIDENT: Well, because neither side thinks it's going to happen. And we have a summit -- an arms control summit -- a summit which will be dominated by arms control issues already established -- separate and apart. And the Soviet leader and I both understand the kind of meeting we want to have. So I don't think there's any conflict there at all. Q Mr. President, is one of your purposes in having this meeting to give Gorbachev a political boost at home? THE PRESIDENT: No. I hadn't particularly thought about that. If it does, fine. I mean, there -- as I said, we want to see perestroika succeed. Q Even though you say you don't have an agenda for this meeting, can you tell us what do you think are the most pressing issues that you want to raise with Mr. Gorbachev? What are the things that are most important in your mind that you feel need to be raised and discussed at this early date? THE PRESIDENT: A wide array of regional issues of this hemisphere, Eastern Europe -- be sure I understand from him as clearly as possible his aspirations for perestroika. There's all kinds of subjects that we'll be discussing. I don't see a limit, but it's -- again, I come back -- there isn't a set agenda in my mind. Q Mr. President, to what extent have the events in Eastern Europe caused you perhaps to want to accelerate this, or will that be major factor in your discussions? THE PRESIDENT: I expect there will be a lot of discussion of that. But as I indicated, the genesis of this was in July when there were certainly change -- we'd just come back, as you recall, from Poland and Hungary. And there's been a lot of dramatic change since then -- Germany, some movements in Czechoslovakia. So things have moved. But I can't say that the meeting was predicated on the change in Eastern Europe solely. Q Well, if not predicated, has it been a factor in the discussions in arranging to have this meeting? Has there been something that has been discussed that East Europe -- THE PRESIDENT: No, there's no arrangement. There's no subjects. I want to be very clear on that. And any exchange I've had with Mr. Gorbachev and I believe in Baker-Shevardnadze discussions there hadn't been any discussion of agenda items, or something we're going to take up. Q You say this pre-summit summit is not meant to bail out Mr. Gorbachev politically. How about yourself? You've been criticized by the Democrats as being too timid toward Eastern Europe and toward Gorbachev, helping him with perestroika. Do you think it will help you? THE PRESIDENT: That's not why we're doing it, but if that should be the fallout, so be it. We've known what we're doing. We've been on this track for some time. I've elected to remain very quiet in the face of a good deal of sentiment that we were missing an opportunity. And that hasn't perturbed me because we've got good people that know what we're doing in terms of the Soviet Union. And if people see that a little more clearly now, so be it; that's a plus. Q It seems as though you're going there without any initiatives. We're trying to read between the lines here -- if timid? that's the case, aren't you going to be accused once again of being MORE - 4 - THE PRESIDENT: Oh, I'm sure somebody would politically accuse me of anything. But that's not the point. I can tell you one thing: Our allys will be delighted about this. They've just been informed this morning. And I guarantee you there will enthusiasm through much of the free world and a lot of the rest of the world. But look -- I don't expect to have everybody that's been firing away at me up there jump up with joy. But we've just briefed the congressional leaders and they seem to be quite enthusiastic about this. They had not known about it. And I'll let them speak for themselves, but some who have not been overly supportive in the last few days seem to feel this is a very good thing to be doing. Q Mr. President, you said a few weeks ago you thought there was a good chance to complete a START agreement by the time the real summit in the spring or summer comes around. Are you still holding to that feeling, are things on track? And will this meeting, though it's not an arms control meeting, push that process along? THE PRESIDENT: I don't think this meeting will push that process along, but I'm still holding to that feeling. Q Mr. President, you've said repeatedly that you'd like to see perestroika succeed. THE PRESIDENT: Yes. Q What plans, if any, does the administration have to make sure that happens in terms of any kind of economic assistance or anything of the sort? THE PRESIDENT: Well, we haven't been asked for any economic assistance, and maybe this is one of the items that we will be discussing. What I want to make clear to Mr. Gorbachev - and I have done that and I don't think there's been a disconnect with the Soviets is that we do want to see it succeed. But we'll be discussing that. Q Let me ask you -- are you also concerned that the forms in the Soviet Union may be moving too quickly and it could result in a government crackdown a la China? THE PRESIDENT: Well, some have suggested that I am -- they use a different word for it -- but a little too much on the cautious side. I think there is reason to be cautious. And I've said that over and over again. Substitute the word "prudent" if you want. But I think at this meeting -- after this meeting, I'll be better able to answer your questions. I know Mr. Gorbachev to be a very frank individual just from the contacts that I've had with him, which have been not as many as some, but more than most. And I think that I'll be able to give you a better answer to that because that's one of the things I want to I don't want to have two gigantic ships pass in the night because of failed communication. Q Mr. President, right before and right after the Wyoming meetings, the guidance from your closest advisors here was that there was not going to be a pre-summit summit. And they were specifically ruling out a meeting of this sort anytime this year. Now, were we being deliberately misled? And assuming that we weren't, what changed? THE PRESIDENT: That's one of the dangers of not telling what you know to everybody. There could be some disconnect in that. But faith. one of the benefits is that the Soviets see we're dealing in good Q Was there a feeling on your part, Mr. President, that perhaps waiting for spring and summer was a little bit too long, too tenuous, since no date has been set for spring or summer? MORE - 5 - THE PRESIDENT: No, because I think they're two separate kinds of meetings. One of them, announced as it is, will drive the arms control agenda, and the other one is the kind of meeting I talked about. So I don't it's not a question, Saul, of thinking if we didn't have this meeting, too long would go. I remember in 1984, people kept saying, well, Ronald Reagan hasn't even sat down with the Soviet leaders. They were admittedly changing pretty fast in those days. But he said that and people were the critics were on him about it. I don't feel that that had anything to do with it -- well, we've got to do it sooner because we won't see each other until the summer spring or summer, if that was your question. Q Mr. President, but then what changed your mind? Because this is exactly the kind of meeting that you and your aides have been saying for months you did not want. And it seems exactly the kind of meeting that Gorbachev, given his domestic troubles, needs very, very much. What changed your mind, and why were you the one to propose it? THE PRESIDENT: I'll tell you what changed my mind on it, was consultation with our allys. The rapidity of change in Eastern Europe, the emergence of democracies in this hemisphere and this concept that I just didn't want to, in this time of dynamic change, miss something -- something that I might get better firsthand from Mr. Gorbachev. Q Mr. President, what made you decide to meet on the ships? Pull your ship beside his ship and -- THE PRESIDENT: Well, we can do it without too much fanfare. We can do it without -- where there is a relatively few number of people, not a lot of crush of bodies out there, and a chance to put our feet up and talk in the kind of meeting that I've just described for you. And it will I think it's easy logistically for both sides. Q How much time do you think you'll spend face-to-face? this feeling? In your mind, what do you think it will to take to get THE PRESIDENT: A lot. A lot. And I can't tell you in hours, but we're going to have small numbers of participants on both sides. Maybe I'm getting a little ahead of the power curve there, but I know that's my intention and I think the Soviet side has agreed to that. And it will by doing it in this manner, we can have, I would say, more time without the press of social activities or mandatory consumption. joint appearances -- things of that nature -- for public Q Between hemispheric summits and drug summits and Gorbachev summits and economic summits, you're doing a lot of mountaineering. Let me ask you this -- THE PRESIDENT: This one isn't a summit, so scratch this one off your list of things to worry about. Q Base camp. THE PRESIDENT: I've got to make that point over and over again. Summits take on a definition -- an expectation of grand design and grand agreements. And that's not what this is. Q Let me ask you about this expectation then. About six months ago, you proposed your conventional force reductions for Europe. If something came through on your six-month deadline, presumably you'd want a summit with Mr. Gorbachev to sign it. Are we months? going to have a third Gorbachev summit in 1990 or the next couple of THE PRESIDENT: No anticipation of it, but, look, we'll meet as often or as little as we need to. MORE - 6 - Q Well, how is that going? How is the conventional forces thing going? THE PRESIDENT: Reasonably well. We still have to keep driving for the best we can, our Alliance, to be sure we keep moving forward to meet a rather ambitious time frame. Q Mr. President, one of the criticisms that has been made is by the Democrats particularly is that this is a really unique time for you; that after 40 years of calling for free markets and an open society that you have a chance to perhaps cement some of these changes in the Eastern bloc, in Europe, and in the Soviet Union. Do you have some kind of plan or vision for getting that accomplished? Is this part of it? THE PRESIDENT: We're seeing it move, aren't we? We're seeing dynamic change and I want to handle it properly. I want to do whatever the U.S. can do to facilitate these kinds of changes. You heard what I had to say yesterday -- some of you all did -- in terms of Poland and the group we're sending over there to help solidify the changes that are taking place. And I've got a good group of people working with me in this administration knowledgable about Europe that assures me that we can move this whole process forward properly. Some things have to -- the United States can't wave a wand and say how fast change is going to come to Czechoslovakia or to the GDR. Q Mr. President, you say there will be no agreements at this meeting. Is it possible, however, that you might firm up the dates for the meeting next year for the official summit? THE PRESIDENT: Could be, could be. And I don't want to say -- I guess, maybe, I ought to retreat a little and say -- not saying there will be no agreements. The meeting is not being set up to achieve agreements. I would hope we'd see eye to eye on certain things when we get through and maybe more narrowly more precisely define what differences we have. Q Are we to believe that the leader of the United States and the leader of the Soviet Union will get together and there will that play? will be no discussion of arms control? Or what role in this meeting THE PRESIDENT: I don't know, but there's not an arms control meeting. Q You keep talking about the rapid change in Eastern Europe. If Mr. Gorbachev would suggest that the United States be more generous in aid to Hungary, to Poland, perhaps even to East Germany, how receptive would you be to that idea? THE PRESIDENT: Well, we've got an aid package and program and I'd welcome his ideas. But I don't think we would respond to his charge on that. I think we'd have to do what we felt was the right way to do it -- and exactly what I have been doing. Q Mr. President, over the past several months, you've had exchanges of letters with Mr. Gorbachev. Could you tell us if there's been a change in your evaluation of him as a person or how you're feeling about him? THE PRESIDENT: No change. As I've indicated, I have a positive view of him to begin with. But I haven't felt any changes there. I will say that when I made this proposal, there was a very prompt response. And the only reason it's taking time between the July initiative on my part and his very prompt response that I think was fired back in August has been just working out where and how to do this. So I've not had occasion to change my view. But as you look at the different meetings and if you look at the way this relation is developing, there are a lot of positive signs. We all go back in one capacity or another to times when the MORE - 7 - rhetoric was much tougher, where you had a lot of well, you had a very different approach to openness in the Soviet Union than you do now. So I think the relationship is moving in the right direction. But I still when I say cautious or prudent -- I think that's the way we ought to do it. And I will have an opportunity to explain that when I see Mr. Gorbachev. Q You believe the motivation is what he says it is? THE PRESIDENT: You mean, do I question his word? Q Yes. THE PRESIDENT: I think he's committed to reform. Absolutely. Q Mr. President, Secretary of State Baker has mentioned the possibility of technical assistance and advice on the state of the Soviet economy. How far would you be willing to go with that kind of thing? THE PRESIDENT: Well, again, I don't know how far they want to go. And this is one of the subjects we'll be discussing. Q Mr. President, there's been a lot of talk around town about the survivability of Gorbachev, especially going into the winter months and the prospect of strikes in the Soviet Union and so forth. When you say you would like to see perestroika succeed in the Soviet Union, do you equate that with the success of Gorbachev personally? THE PRESIDENT: I think it's tied up in that right now. yes. Q And do you think if there is anything that you could do to help strengthen his position in the Soviet Union that you would do it? THE PRESIDENT: Well, I think we've got to know what "it" is. But this is the kind of discussion we can have. I will say this: I don't think you base the foreign policy of a great power like the United States on one personality; I don't think you do that. I don't think that is a prudent way to approach it. Q Mr. President, how about a domestic summit on some domestic problem, like health care -- the high cost of home health care? THE PRESIDENT: Well, I'm getting criticized for having too many summits as it is. Q No, you need one on domestic issues. We've spent a long time here talking about things when we have a vital, crucial situation out there. Catastrophic illness is nothing. It would not take care of the situation. We had a press conference here all day yesterday where the Canadian government officials got up and said, in the United States you only have health care for the rich, not for the poor. Why can't we have a good system like that, and why can't we have a summit on health care? THE PRESIDENT: I think what we've got to do is educate the Canadians if they feel that way, because that's not true. That is not true. And to suggest that it's true that our health care system is only that simply shows -- I don't know who those Minister. officials were, but it was never raised with me by the Prime Q Well, the Health Minister of Canada -- lot of problems. THE PRESIDENT: We've got a lot of problems. We've got a MORE - 8 - Q -- over and over again that you only have health care in this country for the rich and not for the poor. THE PRESIDENT: Well, that's a point I'd argue. Q Mr. President, turning to Nicaragua for a minute, today or yesterday President Ortega now suggests that Reverend Jackson be used as an intermediary to talk about redirecting the U.S. humanitarian aid so it can be used to demobilize the Contras. What would be your thoughts on having Reverend Jackson involved between us and Nicaragua? And are you in any way thinking of refocusing the aid? THE PRESIDENT: That suggestion has limited appeal to me. (Laughter.) Q Mr. President, I wonder if you might hope to enlist Secretary Gorbachev's support in encouraging reforms in some of the more reticent Eastern European states, like East Germany? THE PRESIDENT: Want to discuss it with him. Again, I'm not suggesting, given his public statements, that he is going to be the one that controls what happens in every detail in Czechoslovakia or East Germany. But it is a subject that we should discuss, just as I'm sure he'll want to discuss changes in this hemisphere here -- others. So I think that will come up. Q Would you expect him to look favorably upon your request for a little help, a little pressure, maybe? THE PRESIDENT: A little pressure on what? Q A little pressure on the leaders of East Germany, perhaps, to lighten up on people who want to leave? THE PRESIDENT: Well, we'll have a chance to discuss all those things. And that's one of the good things about it. There will not be a certain agenda on it. We'll simply sit down, and I'll give him my views on the changes that are taking place in Eastern Europe and certainly I'm most interested in getting his. Q Mr. President, a two-part question. First of all, after you meet Gorbachev, will you take the opportunity since you'll be in the region to then meet with and brief allied leaders and solicit their comments? And secondly, why did you hold this deliberation so tightly? You said you wanted to show the Soviet Union's good faith, but why not involve the bureaucracy? Your administration, as you know, has been criticized -- THE PRESIDENT: Because I knew exactly what I wanted to do. And I knew how I wanted to go about doing it. And that's why I didn't need the advice of others in this particular subject matter. I knew how I wanted to do it; I knew that I wanted to get the arms control summit set. And I also knew that I wanted to, after the discussions I told you about, to go forward with this. And I wanted to deal in good faith with the Soviets because, until it was firmly locked, I should not be in the mode of committing them to this kind of a meeting. And I think all that worked. And I hope what we've done is to develop a certain confidence in the Soviets as a result of these negotiations. Confidence is important. If you're going to have frank exchanges, then you have to have a certain degree of confidentiality. But on this one, I told you who was involved in it. I was getting good, sound advice. How they got the information upon which to advise me, why, that's their business. But I felt no deprivation of being deprived from information at all. Q How about the first part, though, sir? Meeting with the allies afterward? THE PRESIDENT: No plans to do that. This is going to be MORE - 9 - done, if you look at the calendar, like over a weekend. And, of course, we'll be in full contact with them after that, but I don't plan to jump from country to country after the meeting. Q Mr. President, one of the summits -- capital "S" -- on your agenda is the economic summit. Have you made a decision? And are next week's elections in Houston in any way a factor in why you haven't announced it so far? THE PRESIDENT: No, those elections have no relevance to the decision. And no, the decision has not been made. Q Mr. President, you say you have confidence in the Soviets. What assurances do you have that you won't be surprised by something Mr. Gorbachev might bring to the table? It's widely believed that President Reagan was somewhat sandbagged in Reykjavik. THE PRESIDENT: He's free to bring anything he wants; there's no agenda. But the idea that arms control, we might be surprised on arms control, I don't worry about that because we've got an understanding that the already-announced summit meeting will handle those items. Q Do you have any indication he has anything in particular he wants to bring? THE PRESIDENT: I think he's anxious to do what I'm anxious to do right now. Q Would you handle any arms control issue he might raise by simply trying to defer it right at the spot? THE PRESIDENT: I'm just referring to what we've decided is going to be the matrix of the meeting. Q Well, basically you were trying to put it off until -- THE PRESIDENT: I don't expect, other than in a very broad way, these questions to arise because we have a summit set to address ourselves to those. Q Daniel Ortega was supposed to decide today whether to end the cease-fire. If he does, in fact, end the cease-fire, are you prepared with some sort of response? THE PRESIDENT: Well, as I said down there, I'm not going to go into that hypothetical situation at this time, but I tell you, I've never seen a meeting where all the participants were so united against the outrages of one. And we're still getting messages in about the outrageous performance of Daniel Ortega -- reached a new embarrassing proportions to stepping on it. Q Is renewed military aid to the Contras, though, needed? still a viable option now? Is that something you could consider if THE PRESIDENT: Well, as I indicated down there, I would reevaluate the situation in a minute if this cease-fire is broken. Q Mr. President, were you upset at all by Secretary of him not to give a hard -- State Baker squelching the resident Sovietologist, Mr. Gates, telling THE PRESIDENT: I've discussed this matter with Mr. Baker, Mr. Gates, Mr. Scowcroft -- even discussed it with Marlin Fitzwater and -- (laughter) -- don't say I don't reach out. (Laughter.) And John and these stories -- who's up, who's down, who's winning, who's not, who's going to be a hard line -- we've got a good strong team coping with these problems. And the degree to which Bob Gates and the Secretary of State are together and Brent and John Sununu, why, it's -- we've been very lucky. And so I don't get MORE - 10 - all exercised about that kind of thing. I know everybody else does around here, but I don't. Q He did acknowledge that he stopped Gates from giving a hard-line speech. THE PRESIDENT: It wasn't a hard-line speech and he didn't say that. And maybe now we'll understand a little more of what is happening out there as a result of what I'm talking to you today about. Q On a related question, Vice President Quayle has taken a very hard-line position. Is he out of sync? THE PRESIDENT: No, he's totally in sync. And I had a chance to discuss this with one of the outstanding reporters for The New York Times the other day who had a feeling he was out of sync. And he isn't. And I just everybody's looking for nuances, and that's fine, that's your business. But I think we've been blessed in this administration by this: The President can sit in there and get conflicting ideas and then we don't have to go out and sound like there's disarray. So when some see one statement that may sound a little different, then I can understand running with that ball because I know how this place works. But that's -- the main thing is, I feel that we are together on these issues. And that goes for the Vice President and the Secretary of State and my very able national security team. So I don't sense this -- one being tugged one way or tugged another. Q Where are you going to put the press? THE PRESIDENT: Helen, you've already had three questions. Get out of there. Q In the middle of the Mediterranean? (Laughter.) THE PRESIDENT: I hadn't thought about that. Q Where are you going to stay? Q Mr. President, on the environment -- THE PRESIDENT: That will come up with Mr. Gorbachev. Q So I thought. THE PRESIDENT: I think. Q You have some people going to the Netherlands next week who, some say, are appearing to go without an agenda. It looks like the United States is not going to play a leadership role in global warming, though you promised that during your campaign. THE PRESIDENT: We will play a leadership role in global warming, and it will be based on the finest, most up-to-date science possible. And we will fulfill that role. And I think most countries, in spite of where they are on some conference, look to the United States for that kind of leadership in science. And we will fulfill it. And you see both our Science Advisor and the head of the EPA in sync going over there -- I think that's good. Saul. Q Hey. him. (Laughter.) THE PRESIDENT: Did he have one before? I derecognize Okay, back here. Q -- conflict with Congress on capital gains. What MORE - 11 - are you prepared to do about that? And will you accept a full year of sequestration in lieu of that? THE PRESIDENT: Well, we've indicated that that's the law and we will live by the law. And we're going forward with that mandate because of the way the Congress has moved on this. I don't think I need to repeat my view on capital gains as something that is good for growth, something that is good for investment, something that is good for jobs. And we hear some shrill comments to the contrary, but in my view, that matter was debated fully, my position was made clear, and I plan to continue to fight for my position. Q On minimum wage, is your original proposal still your first and final offer or would you be willing even to link it with something like capital gains, which you -- THE PRESIDENT: We're not in the posture of trying to tell the Congress how they ought to resolve these difficulties. We sent up clear proposals on the anticrime package, on the minimum wage, on the capital gains. And it has gotten so confusing up there that they ought to move now. But I'm not going to suggest. Why do we need to do that? We've told them what we want. And I wish they'd get some action going on the proposals that I have put forward. I think the American people are entitled to that. I think the American people see that it is this Congress that is frustrating getting the deficit down. And so they ought to move and move promptly. But I can't sit there and fine-tune for them, well, if you'll only throw this one issue in with that one, why, you can do your business. I mean, we've tried. Q So you're saying package deals are out? THE PRESIDENT: Well, I'm not saying in or out; I'm saying let's get going. We know what the administration position is. I've said it. Send it down the way I said it and we've got harmony and light. Send it down differently and I'll take a look at it. Send it down with some things in it that I can't take and I'll send it right back to you. And I don't know how more frank I can be with the Congress. Q Mr. President, as recently as this summer some of your senior advisors dare I say some in this room -- were expressing doubts that Gorbachev would survive all of his internal political difficulties. Did you ever share those views? And has anything happened what has happened to turn you around? THE PRESIDENT: Look, we are looking at everything we can regarding the rapid changes that are taking place, not only in Eastern Europe but in the Soviet Union. And we've got very thoughtful people outside the government that give me their opinions. And I don't think anybody has a corner on all the wisdom, but I can't speculate on that question. What I can say is we're not basing the foreign policy of the United States on any individual. We've got to look at broad changes, we've got to look at commitment from all elements of leadership in the Soviet Union, where they come down fascinating meeting the other day with Mr. Primakov here -- and assess all of this and spell out as clearly as you can what's in the interest of the United States and the Alliance. And this meeting will help in that regard. But it's not predicated, our whole arms control agenda, on Mr. Gorbachev. Similarly, I don't think they do that on a U.S. president at the time. Q But, sir, you wouldn't be meeting them, of course, if you thought he was a goner. (Laughter.) Did you at any time have any doubts in that regard? THE PRESIDENT: A goner? No, I don't -- (laughter) -- that word never entered my mind. (Laughter.) You hear a lot of cross-currents about how successful perestroika's going to be. But one thing you get from all the Soviet leaders is, look, the clock MORE - 12 - isn't going to be set back and we -- "we" -- are going to go forward with perestroika. Whether it's Mr. Yeltsin when he was here or Mr. Gorbachev's statements and visits with Shevardnadze, visits with Mr. Primakov and then others meet with other layers of the Soviet bureaucracy. And you get the distinct feeling that the clock is not going to be set back to square one. And then you go forward. Well, here's how this will interact with U.S. policy. But I'm looking forward to this meeting. I think it's the right thing to be doing. As I say, there was a time when I wasn't sure that it was, but with this rapidity of change, I don't want to miss something. And the way we've got it set so there will be no firm agenda, where we can do it in a setting without a lot of public pressure from other governments, I think it's going to be a productive meeting. And I was very pleased with the reception that it got from the congressional leaders. As I say, I expect we'll get a strong, positive response. I know I will from the allied leaders. And I really can't think of any country that is going to see objection to this because the fate of a lot of countries are wrapped up in how the United States and the Soviet Union get along and how the changes in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union are managed. And when I come back from this meeting, I and my top advisors -- and we are going to keep our traveling squad down, I say -- will be able to have a much clearer perception of motivations behind Mr. Gorbachev's pronouncements. I think it's worthwhile. Thank you all very much. END 10:40 A.M. EST The Rosenstiel Distinguished Lecture Series From Glasnostto Metanoia: The Moscow Summits Challenge Ambassador Edward L. Rowny I WISH TO SPEAK today about the challenge remember sitting in a back seat at Cabinet of moving from what is called glasnost meetings early in the President's first term and toward metanoia. You all know what glasnost hearing Cabinet members say, "Mr. President, is - it is the breeze that is blowing in the you cannot spend all this money on defense. Soviet Union, bringing along some freshness You have double-digit inflation, you have high and some so-called new thinking, some of unemployment." And so the arguments went. Look, the President replied. "providing which is really new. As to metanoia, it is a for defense is the best thing I can do for this biblical Greek concept, the word for a change country. It is the most important of our social of heart or a conversion. The question is, "Is programs, for it ensures our freedom and the there really a move today in the Soviet Union right to hold our heads high in the world toward conversion?" We hope there is, al- without fear of encroaching communism." though it is early, maybe too early to tell. But The President also began early to formulate as with the man who went to the moon, the the intellectual underpinnings for his new first step must be taken before one can con- policy for dealing with the Soviets. He first un- template going further. veiled it in the 1981 commencement address Of one thing I am certain, though, and that at the University of Notre Dame. In it the Presi- is that the renewal of U.S. strength and self- dent moved beyond the theory of George confidence has had an impact on Soviet offi- Kennan who believed that containment alone cial behavior. In 1981, the year President would lead to better international relations Reagan came to office, he found a country that and greater U.S. security. "The West will not was very deficient in its military posture. The contain communism," the President said, "it Soviets knew it, and we knew it. Following will transcend communism." more than a decade of neglect, we were in no The President's first-term priority of position to deal with the Soviets, because the rebuilding our defenses, including the historic Soviets. as I have learned from some fifteen Strategic Defense Initiative announced in years of negotiating with them, deal only from 1983, was resoundingly approved by the strength. They don't share our ethics, they voters in 1984. This factor - our strength - don't have our value system, they don't look is without doubt why the Soviets returned to for good example. As a matter of fact, they dis- the Geneva bargaining table in 1985. With the dain any show of example. One of my most advent of Mikhail Gorbachev - a new kind of difficult times as a negotiator was when I Soviet leader, with whom it was possible, in worked for President Carter. My Soviet col- Margaret Thatcher's words, "to do business" leagues denigrated the President for not un- - the stage was set for renewed U.S.-Soviet derstanding them. They said he tried to deal summit meetings. with them from what they called "decadent Before the 1985 Geneva summit, the Presi- Christian values." dent announced that U.S. Soviet relations no President Reagan rebuilt U.S. strength at a longer would be centered primarily on arms time when it was very unpopular to do SO. I control. Instead, the relationship would be 1 built on a foundation of four pillars: (1) resolu- last Soviet leaders to have served in the tion of regional conflicts. (2) advancement of Second World War." human rights, sprovement of bilateral ties "No," he said. "You are wrong. It was the such as trade and cultural exchanges. and 4) Great Patriotic War "All righ I said, "have a pursuit of stabilizing, effectively verifiable your way. You were in the Great Patriotic arms reductions. War." When the Geneva summit was scheduled, "Da," he said, "ya poslednyy iz mogikan (I President Reagan said it would follow the am the last of the Mohicans)." broad, "four-pillar" agenda. The Soviets did "Where did you get that?" I asked. not agree, but said each side would be free to "It's an old Russian expression," he said bring up items of importance to it. During the with a wry smile. time planned for discussion of human rights, With Akhromeyev willing and authorized President Reagan spoke about human rights. to do business, we worked all night. We made Gorbachev listened, but then proceeded to two breakthroughs. One was to agree in prin- speak about arms control. When the President ciple to the plan President Reagan put forward raised the matter of regional conflicts, Gor- in his Eureka College speech in 1982 - fifty bachev again responded with words about percent cuts in strategic offensive arms. The arms control. And so it went, too, when the Soviets accepted much of our formula, for in- President sought to discuss bilateral matters. stance, counting the things that really matter Finally, when the meeting reached the time - warheads instead of launchers. The second planned for discussion of arms control. both breakthrough was to agree to go to zero INF men talked about arms control and nothing (intermediate-range nuclear forces) in Europe but arms control. In the end, the Geneva sum- and to agree, at least in principle, to some on- mit was covered in the media as an arms con- site inspection. trol summit, the Soviet agenda. The INF Treaty was ready for signing at the A year later in Reykjavik, the President third summit in Washington, in December sought again to draw the Soviets out on 1987. It provides for global elimination of U.S. regional issues. This time they obliged some- and Soviet INF missiles, and as such is a tribute what. They were damant, though, against en- to allied solidarity not only in Europe but also gaging on human rights. "This is an internal in Asia. We agreed on effective verification affair," they said. "You are interfering with our measures, including on-site inspections and political and social structure." monitoring that many believed unthinkable Reykjavik proved to be another arms con- just a few years ago. trol summit, albeit a dramatic and productive Verification is the key. As the President said, one. The catalyst for Soviet movement was we should "trust but verify." The American Marshal Sergei Akhromeyev, chief of the people understand this. They want arms Soviet general staff. To our surprise he ap- reductions with the So riet Union, but they peared in our arms control discussions as the don't trust the Soviets. They know the Soviet head of the Soviet team. Akhromeyev has record of violating such agreements - the great presence. He can speak with complete chemical/biological warfare convention, candor when he wants to, and he SALT I, and now the ABM Treaty. The demonstrated that he has Gorbachev's con- American people insist on very strict, effective fidence and an ability to overrule all others. verification. It was interesting that night that Beyond the achievement in arms reduction, Akhromeyev was the only one on the Soviet the Washington summit marked new progress side who spoke no English, and I, the only one for the President's broad agenda. On that OC- on our side who spoke Russian. During one casion, the Soviets talked in some depth about of our breaks I found he has a sense of humor. regional conflicts such as Afghanistan. They I said to him "Marshal, you must be one of the were apparently coming to the decision that 2 they should withdraw their Red Army invasion part Anatoly Adamishin, Soviet Deputy force from that country. There were signs. too, Foreign Minister. The Soviets say they have the of possible movement on Angola. same goals as we have in that part of the The Soviets became somewhat engagedon world. They say they want to help right the human rights, too. They decided it was some- situation. We want to see if they an sincere thing they could talk about, after all - al- about this. We are trying to get United Nations though their side of the discussion still left resolution 435 on Angola finally implemented much to be desired. They feel they always by September 29, its tenth anniversary date. have to have a riposte. When President What we are waiting for are signs that the Reagan, for instance, faced Gorbachev and Soviets are truly serious about moving their asked, "Why don't you tear down the Berlin client state, Cuba, to get its 45,000 troops out Wall," Gorbachev replied he would be willing of Angola. to do so if we opened up our borders with On Cambodia, the Soviets ask us why we Mexico to unlimited immigration. It's a non- don't back their client state Vietnam's sensical comparison, of course, trying to draw proposal to withdraw fifty percent of its a parallel between their refusal to let people troops. We reply we want a one-hundred per- leave their country and our unwillingness to cent reduction. In Ethiopia, the scandal con- let unlimited numbers of immigrants enter our tinues that the Soviet-backed regime there is country. Still, it seems the Soviets feel inade- allowing millions of persons to be threatened quate unless they have a counterpart to every- with starvation. Humanitarian gifts of food thing we say. When we criticize them for from the Free World are allowed to rot without keeping innocent people in Gulags and in reaching the people who need it. On issues in psychiatric wards, they whip back at us that the Middle East and Persian Gulf, there was we permit capital punishment of minors and some talk at the summit but not much move- practice racial discrimination. ment. Several weeks ago, we had round four - With regard to Central America, the Soviets the Moscow summit. In our talks on human would not budge. They want an unfair, un- rights we made some progress, although most even deal. They say they are willing to stop of it was procedural. A large number of sending arms to the Sandinistas - but not divided spouses and families were reunited. small arms. And this they would be willing to But there is still a long way to go. More people do only if we stopped all of our aid - military are allowed to leave the Soviet Union now and humanitarian - throughout Central than at any time in seven years. Still, a statis- America. Thanks to our Congress, it is pretty tician calculated that at the rate they are leav- clear the Soviets do not have an incentive to ing, it would take a hundred years for pull back from their promotion of war and everyone who wants to depart to do so. communism in Central America. At the Moscow summit there were exten- On arms control we pushed the ball for- sive talks on regional conflicts - about Af- ward somewhat in Moscow, largely by our in- ghanistan, Cambodia. Ethiopia, and Angola. itiative on air-launched cruise missiles and And last, but not least, Central America. land-mobile intercontinental ballistic missiles. In Afghanistan, the Soviets are getting out, There was no progress on the issue of sea- but not as fast as we would like. They are launched cruise missiles, however, where the blaming it on the Pakistanis. "Your clients, verification problems are almost insurmount- your friends," they say, "are interfering with able. Nor was there movement on questions our leaving." about the Strategic Defense Initiative and the There has been major diplomatic move- Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty. Here our purpose ment on Angola now, and, significantly, the is to move forward with SDI and in no event Soviets have invited my colleague, (Assistant let the Soviets succeed in their diplomatic Secretary for African Affairs) Chester Crocker, campaign to cripple our efforts to find defen- to the Soviet Union to meet with his counter- ses against ballistic missile attack. 3 In any case, the SLCM and SDI questions West won't contain communism, it will must not be singled out as obstacles to com- transcend communism pleting a START Treaty. The START talks will I don't believe it has been adequate ly recog- necessarily continue to move slowly because nized how consistent this is with the of many inherent difficulties in reaching an President's thinking throughout his tenure. equitable, effectively verifiable treaty. Consider, for instance, his speech re; orting on Both leaders said at the end that they the December 1987 Washington Summit. On wanted to keep the arms control process that occasion he said: we are saying that moving forward through the remainder of the postwar policy of containment is no longer President Reagan's term of office. This is en- enough; that the goal of American foreign couraging. We will try to move it ahead. The policy is both world peace and world freedom " ball is largely in the Soviets' court. If they bring Akhromeyev back again - and they did bring Later, in Moscow, Ronald Reagan directly him to the negotiations two weeks ago, which showed Soviet citizens what "transcending is why we made some progress - we will be communism" means. He demonstrated this in dealing with a man of authority and may be his historic meetings with church leaders at the able to move farther ahead. Danilov Monastery, with refuseniks and How shall I draw together my reflections on human rights activists at the American the progress over four summits from Geneva ambassador's residence, and with students at to Moscow? Much credit has been given to Moscow State University. Mikhail Gorbachev as a new kind of Soviet President Reagan said in Moscow that the leader, with whom it is, to be sure, easier to Soviet leaders must go beyond glasnost and deal. As I already have acknowledged, there's perestroika to metanoia. We acknowledge some truth in this. Meanwhile, though, Presi- that there is ferment and flexibility in dent Reagan often has not been given enough Gorbachev's leadership. We even acknow- credit for being a new kind of U.S. leader in ledge that there is some "new thinking." But approaching the problems of communism as yet we have not discerned the profound and Soviet power. new thinking that is needed. Thinking about There's a tendency in some of our political profound change is required if there is to be a journalism to patronize the President on the true human rights revolution. We need to see matter of our improving relations with the comparable openness and honesty in defense Soviet Union. Some see the improving rela- matters SO that there can be a good START tions as evidence that Ronald Reagan has un- agreement. Beyond this the Soviets need to dergone a philosophical transformation - drop their hypocrisy on strategic defense so their patronizing term is that he has "grown," that we both can move forward toward a safer that is, become soft on communism. balance of offenses and defenses. I submit that Ronald Reagan's philosophi- We are not without hope. But we must ex- cal approach to Soviet communism has ercise patience to learn whether the Soviet remained consistent since the beginning of his leaders have truly beg to free themselves presidency. I mentioned earlier his first major and their people from their ideological con- foreign policy address as President, at the fines. Prudence directs that we take our time University of Notre Dame commencement in in discerning whether the Soviets are indeed 1981, where he said: "The years ahead are changing their old habits of repression at great ones for this country, for the cause of home and aggression abroad. freedom and the spread of civilization. The 4 Celebrate the Differences At the 40th anniversary of NATO we should pause to celebrate the fact that there are strong, free democratic societies in Western Europe that have very independent voices. It is healthy for free countries to have open honest debate. No one should mistake honest open debate on surface matters for a difference in the basic principles of freedom. No force in the world will be stronger than when someone tries to subjugate people that have tasted freedom and the benefits of a free society. All the surface differences will rapidly disappear and be replaced by a united will to preserve peace with freedom. Reflect for a moment back to the late 1940's. The hope of the American people was that the Western Europe could partake of the broad based freedom and economic fruits of free people for which the United States was blessed. The hope of the American people was to make Western Europe self sufficient. The hope of the American people was that eventually all people would be free and at peace. With vision and purpose we set out to help the Western European societies rebuild themselves. Though their hard work, U.S. aid and encouragement, in less than a generation Western Europe was rebuilt-it is at Peace and the people are free. The goals and dreams of the American people have been fulfilled many times over. The Western Europe countries are strong and now reflect the sovereign wishes of their people. As we come closer and closer to the ultimate dream of peace and freedom for all people (witness the recent events in China) - there will probably be even more surface difference instead of being frustrated - we should celebrate the differences. The differences of opinion over nuclear matters reflect the different perspective of sovereign people and their elected representation. Ringing the toll bells over NATO is without foundation. On the real issues there is unity. Contrast this growth and stability of free people with the Soviet Union and Warsaw Pact - they are third world powers in all but military might.