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Originally Processed With FOIA(s): FOIA Number: S FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential Library Staff. Record Group/Collection: George H.W. Bush Presidential Records Collection/Office of Origin: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Davis, Mark, Files Subseries: Subject File, 1989-1991 OA/ID Number: 13874 Folder ID Number: 13874-010 Folder Title: Texas Legislature, 4/26/89 [1] Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: G 19 2 6 7 4/25 INAL 5:15pm REMARKS: TEXAS STATE LEGISLATURE CAPITOL, AUSTIN APRIL 26, WED., 4:40 P.M. ((IT's A GOOD THING THIS ISN'T BILL CLEMENTS' BIRTHDAY ... FROM WHERE I'M STANDING, ANOTHER PLAID DAY IN THE TEXAS LEGISLATURE COULD BLIND A FELLA.)) - 2 - IN ALL SINCERITY, HAPPY BELATED BIRTHDAY BILL LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR BILL HoBBy, IT'S GREAT TO SEE YOU AGAIN. SPEAKER GIB LEWIS, DISTINGUISHED LEGISLATORS, FELLOW TEXANS, THANK YOU ... I'M DELIGHTED TO BE BACK IN AUSTIN, WITH so MANY FRIENDS ... I WILL WANT TO DISCUSS A FEW ISSUES FACING TEXAS AND ALL OF AMERICA. [[AGRICULTURE COMMISSIONER HIGHTOWER'S VIEWS TO THE CONTRARY, ]] I AM A TEXAN. - 3 - So LET US SAY A FEW WORDS ABOUT WHAT IT MEANS TO BE A TEXAN. LIKE THE FORMER KINGDOM OF HAWAII, TEXAS IS A NATION THAT HAD TO RECONCILE ITSELF TO BEING A STATE. BUT, LIKE HAWAII, WE WILL NEVER RECONCILE OURSELVES TO BEING ORDINARY. FROM THE PECOS TO THE PEDERNALES, FROM THE RAPIDS OF THE RIO GRANDE TO THE BROAD EXPANSE OF THE MUDDY RED RIVER, THERE IS NO PLACE ON EARTH LIKE TEXAS - 4 - NOR IS THERE ANOTHER CAPITOL IN AMERICA QUITE LIKE THIS ONE, BUILT OF A ROSE-TINGED GRANITE THAT BLUSHES IN A LOW SUN. AND, THIS BEING TEXAS, WE HAD TO BUILD A CAPITOL THAT IS EXACTLY ONE FOOT TALLER THAN THE ONE IN WASHINGTON. TEXAS CERTAINLY STANDS TALL IN THE HEART OF THIS PRESIDENT PERHAPS FOR THIS REASON, LARRY MCMURTRY IS ONE OF MY FAVORITE WRITERS. - 5 - IN LONESOME DOVE, HE DESCRIBES THE MYTHIC TEXAS, AND CONJURES THAT SENSE OF PLACE WE ALL KNOW so WELL. I AM INSPIRED BY A MAN OF LETTERS WHO CAN CONVINCINGLY ADOPT THE VOICE OF COWBOYS AND OUTLAWS -- MEN WHOSE ONLY SCHOOLING WAS IN DODGING BULLETS, WHOSE ONLY LESSONS WERE IN HOW TO RUN OR RUSTLE CATTLE. BUT, UNLIKE DAVY CROCKETT, I FIRST SET OUT FOR TEXAS NOT ON HORSEBACK FROM TENNESSEE, BUT FROM CONNECTICUT IN A RED STUDEBAKER IN JUNE, 1948. - 6 - MORE THAN FORTY YEARS LATER, THAT TRIP IS STILL A VIVID MEMORY -- HIGHWAY 80, A NEON PEARL BEER SIGN APPEARING IN THE DESERT TWILIGHT LIKE AN APPARITION. STOPPING AT A CAFE, I DIDN'T KNOW IF A CHICKEN FRIED STEAK WAS A CHICKEN FRIED LIKE A STEAK, OR A STEAK THAT TASTED LIKE CHICKEN STILL, BARBARA AND I SETTLED IN TEXAS, AS DID S0 MANY BEFORE US. WE RAISED FIVE CHILDREN, HELPED BUILD A BUSINESS. - 7 - AND IN THAT SPAN OF FORTY YEARS, I WATCHED THIS STATE GROW INTO EVEN GREATER GLORY. IN MY LIFETIME I HAVE SEEN THE OIL WEALTH OF WEST TEXAS HELP FINANCE THE BUILDING OF GREAT CITIES, AND THE EXPANSION OF FIRST- CLASS LAND GRANT COLLEGES -- THE ORIGINS OF A TEXAS RENAISSANCE, IF YOU WILL. THE ENERGY BUSINESS HELPED MAKE TEXAS WHAT IT IS TODAY -- THE THIRD COAST OF THE UNITED STATES - 8 - THIS TEXAS RENAISSANCE LASTED FOR YEARS, EVEN DECADES. BUT YOU ALSO KNOW ANOTHER MORE RECENT CHAPTER OF THE TEXAS STORY -- OIL CHEAPER THAN FANCY MINERAL WATER, SKYLINES OF EMPTY BUILDINGS, EXPENSIVE HOMES TO BE HAD FOR MONTHLY PAYMENTS, AND THOUSANDS OF LAID-OFF WORKERS. Now, I'M NO COWBOY. I PITCH HORSESHOES, BUT I DON'T RIDE BRONCOS. - 9 - BUT I UNDERSTAND THAT COWBOYS HAVE A TERM FOR THE MOST DANGEROUS AND CUNNING BRONCO OF ALL: THEY CALL IT A "SUNFISHER." THESE BRONCOS WILL REBEL AGAINST A RIDER BY ADOPTING A MOTION NOT UNLIKE THE SUNFISH OF THE GULF -- A FULL-FORCE LEAP INTO THE AIR, BACK ARCHED HIGH, FLANK TWISTING THE RIDER TO THE LEFT, HEAD AND UPPER TORSO TWISTING THE RIDER TO THE RIGHT, IN AN ATTEMPT TO TEAR HIM APART. - 10 - LET ME SUGGEST THAT IN THE LAST FEW YEARS, THE WHOLE STATE OF TEXAS FEELS LIKE IT HAS BEEN ON JUST SUCH A RIDE STRONG MEN AND WOMEN ARE CHALLENGED BY ADVERSITY. I BELIEVE TEXANS HAVE PROVEN THAT THERE MAY BE A FEW MORE BUMPS AND BRUISES AHEAD. BUT MAKE NO MISTAKE, TEXAS IS BACK IN THE SADDLE AGAIN. - 11 - STATE UNEMPLOYMENT HAS DIPPED TO ITS LOWEST LEVEL IN FOUR YEARS, SIGNALING THE DIVERSIFICATION OF THE TEXAS ECONOMY. IN 1970, THE ENERGY SECTOR ACCOUNTED FOR NEARLY 25 PERCENT OF STATE OUTPUT. LAST YEAR, IT ACCOUNTED FOR ONLY 11.4 PERCENT. AND YET TEXAS HAS MORE THAN REGAINED THE 208,000 JOBS IT LOST FROM 1986 TO 1987, WITH EMPLOYMENT IN PLASTICS, AVIATION, ELECTRONICS, SPACE AND COMPUTER PROGRAMMING LEADING THE WAY. - 12 - MORE PEOPLE ARE AT WORK IN TEXAS TODAY THAN EVER BEFORE. THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH "METROPLEX" LEADS IN DEFENSE AND AVIATION TECHNOLOGY; HOUSTON IN SPACE AND BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH; AUSTIN, IN MICROELECTRONICS. ANOTHER SIGN THAT TEXAS IS BECOMING A WORLD CENTER OF TECHNOLOGY IS THE SELECTION OF ELLIS COUNTY AS THE SITE OF THE SUPERCONDUCTING SUPER COLLIDER - 13 - WHEN BUILT, THE SSC WILL ENABLE US TO STUDY ELEMENTAL PARTICLES WITH NAMES LIKE QUARKS, MESONS (MAY-SAHNS) AND NEUTRINOS. ((SOUNDS TO ME LIKE THE BREAKFAST CEREAL THE BUSH GRANDKIDS HAVE BEEN EATING.)) WELL, AS ToM LUCE, CHAIRMAN OF THE TEXAS NATIONAL RESEARCH LABORATORY COMMISSION SAID, WITH A LITTLE IMAGINATION, YOU CAN: "CONCLUDE THAT FUTURE RESEARCH IN THE FIELD OF HIGH ENERGY COULD SOME DAY HELP US CONQUER CANCER." - 14 - OR DISCOVER A WAY TO BOOST THE AMOUNT OF INFORMATION ON A MICROCHIP. OR ANSWER QUESTIONS THAT ELUDED EINSTEIN, GIVING US A GLIMPSE OF THE FORCES THAT BIND THE UNIVERSE TOGETHER. THE SSC IS A KEY TO UNDERSTANDING NATURE, AND TO DEVELOPING THE TECHNOLOGIES AND INDUSTRIES OF THE 21st CENTURY. LET ME ASSURE YOU, I WILL BACK THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE SSC BECAUSE IT IS GOOD FOR AMERICA - 15 - AND LET ME ALSO SALUTE YOU, THE MEMBERS OF THE TEXAS HOUSE AND SENATE, AND THE VOTERS OF THIS STATE, FOR HAVING THE VISION TO TAKE AN EARLY LEAD ON THIS PROJECT STILL, NO MATTER HOW DIVERSIFIED AND HIGH-TECH TEXAS BECOMES, A STRONG DOMESTIC ENERGY INDUSTRY IS IMPORTANT TO THE FUTURE OF THIS STATE AND ALL OF AMERICA. I FIND IT DISTURBING THAT NEARLY 50 PERCENT OF AMERICA'S OIL IS IMPORTED. - 16 - THIS IS NOT GOOD FOR OUR NATIONAL SECURITY. SOME ARE QUESTIONING THE FUTURE OF AMERICA'S ENERGY PRODUCTION IN THE AFTERMATH OF THE WRECK OF THE Exxon VALDEZ OFF ALASKA. I AM AS CONCERNED AS YOU -- AND ALL AMERICANS -- ARE BY THE ENVIRONMENTAL TRAGEDY IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. WE ARE USING FEDERAL RESOURCES INTELLIGENTLY IN THE CLEAN-UP EFFORT. WE ARE WORKING WITH INDUSTRY TO DEVELOP AN IMPROVED PLAN IN EVENT OF A FUTURE SPILL. - 17 - BUT SHUTTING DOWN OUR DOMESTIC ENERGY PRODUCTION IS NO ANSWER, AND WOULD MERELY INCREASE OUR DEPENDENCE ON FOREIGN OIL. WE MUST, AND WE WILL, MAINTAIN A STRONG, DOMESTIC ENERGY INDUSTRY. To REDUCE OUR DEPENDENCE ON FOREIGN OIL, WE MUST RETURN TO HIGH LEVELS OF EXPLORATORY DRILLING. I PROPOSE TO STIMULATE DOMESTIC DRILLING WITH TAX CREDITS AND OTHER INCENTIVES. WE NEED MORE RESEARCH TO LEARN HOW TO RECOVER MORE SECONDARY AND TERTIARY OIL. - 18 - AND I WANT TO DO SOMETHING ELSE. TEXAS HAS A 65-YEAR SUPPLY OF ONE OF THE CLEANEST FORMS OF ENERGY KNOWN TO MAN -- NATURAL GAS. I CALL ON CONGRESS, AT LONG LAST, TO FULLY DECONTROL NATURAL GAS I BELIEVE THAT THIS WILL HAPPEN SOON. WE NEED A NATIONAL ENERGY POLICY THAT RELIES NOT ONLY ON OIL, BUT ON MANY OTHER SOURCES. I BELIEVE WE CAN AND MUST USE MORE SAFE NUCLEAR POWER. - 19 - I BELIEVE THAT COAL HAS A BRIGHT FUTURE. You KNOW MY CONFIDENCE IN NATURAL GAS. As WE ALL BECOME INCREASINGLY CONCERNED ABOUT THE NEED FOR CLEAN AIR, WE MUST LOOK MORE TO NATURAL GAS AND TO NUCLEAR POWER. WE MUST PRODUCE MORE OF OUR CORN CROP TO PRODUCE ETHANOL, MORE OF OUR NATURAL GAS TO PRODUCE METHANOL GREATER USE OF THESE TWO WILL RAPIDLY IMPROVE THE AIR QUALITY OF OUR MOST HEAVILY POLLUTED CITIES. - 20 - I KNOW THERE ARE STILL A FEW DARK CLOUDS REMAINING ON OUR ECONOMIC HORIZON. I KNOW THAT YOU ARE CONCERNED ABOUT THE CONTINUING CRISIS IN MANY SAVINGS AND LOAN INSTITUTIONS. I HAVE ASKED FOR MEASURES TO RESTORE THESE INSTITUTIONS TO FINANCIAL HEALTH. AND I HAVE ASKED FOR $37 MILLION IN 1989 FUNDS FOR THE JUSTICE DEPARTMENT, SO THAT THOSE WHO WILLFULLY ABUSE THE TRUST OF SMALL SAVERS CAN EXPECT To BE PURSUED, AND PUT IN PRISON ... - 21 - THE U.S. SENATE HAS ACTED EXPEDITIOUSLY ON THE S & L BILL, WITH STRONG SUPPORT FROM DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS ALIKE. I CALL ON THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES TO PASS A RESPONSIBLE S & L BILL AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. TEXAS, LIKE ALL OF AMERICA, FACES MANY CHALLENGES. BUT I BELIEVE THAT BY WORKING TOGETHER, AS REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS, AS FEDERAL AND AS STATE OFFICIALS, WE CAN LICK ANY PROBLEMS DOWN THE PATH. - 22 - FEDERALISM WORKS BECAUSE OF YOUR LEADERSHIP AND YOUR INITIATIVE. THE OLD DICTUM OF THE BEST GOVERNMENT BEING THAT WHICH IS CLOSEST TO THE PEOPLE APPLIES HERE, IN AUSTIN. ((You KNOW, ANN RICHARDS WAS RIGHT ABOUT THAT SILVER FOOT. I KEPT PUTTING IT IN MY MOUTH ALL ALONG. BUT THE BOTTOM LINE IS, WHEN THEY ASK "WHERE'S GEORGE?" ... SAY HE'S IN AUSTIN, AND DAMNED PROUD TO BE BACK )) - 23 - TRUE, SOME PROBLEMS OF THE RECENT PAST LINGER. SOME AREAS OF THE STATE ARE RECOVERING MORE SLOWLY THAN OTHERS. BUT THE WAY IS CLEAR TO A FUTURE AS BRIGHT AND PROMISING AS THE BLUE TEXAS SKY -- A NEW RELIANCE ON A DIVERSIFIED ECONOMY, AND THE TECHNOLOGIES OF THE NEXT CENTURY. THIS IS THE SECRET OF THE TEXAS TURNAROUND, AND ITS UNFOLDING IS A TRIBUTE TO THE LEADERSHIP OF BILL CLEMENTS, SENATORS GRAMM AND BENTSEN, AND THE MEN AND WOMEN OF THE TEXAS LEGISLATURE - 24 - TEXAS IS STARTING TO FEEL LIKE ITS OLD SELF AGAIN. THERE IS AGAIN A FEELING AMONG TEXANS THAT ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE -- WHO KNOWS, THE RANGERS OR THE ASTROS MIGHT EVEN WIN THE WORLD SERIES As WE FACE OUR FUTURE IN THE WHITE HOUSE, BARBARA AND I TAKE WITH US MEMORIES OF PEOPLE AND PLACES FROM A STATE THAT HAS BEEN HOME FOR MOST OF OUR LIVES. - 25 - WE REMEMBER DRIVING THE KIDS ACROSS TEXAS, AND SLOWING DOWN so WE COULD TAKE IN THE FIELDS OF BLUEBONNETS AND INDIAN PAINTBRUSH. WE REMEMBER THE PEOPLE OF HOUSTON, MANY OF THEM MATURE AND SKEPTICAL, BUT WHO NONETHELESS LISTENED TO A GREEN YOUNG MAN AND SENT HIM TO CONGRESS. - 26 - AND I REMEMBER LYNDON JOHNSON AT HIS RANCH BACK IN 1969, AN ELDER DEMOCRAT GIVING NEIGHBORLY ADVICE TO A YOUNG REPUBLICAN, WHILE HIS VERY SPECIAL LADY BIRD HELD OUT HER HAND IN HOSPITALITY. BARBARA AND I TREASURE THESE 41 YEARS AS TEXANS -- THE SIGHTS AND SOUNDS OF HALF A LIFETIME, THE TRUST OF MANY FRIENDS, AND THE LOVE OF A FAMILY. ALL THIS AND MORE, WE REMEMBER WHENEVER WE THINK OF HOME ... - 27 - LET ME THANK YOU FOR INVITING US BACK TO AUSTIN. GOD BLESS YOU. AND GOD BLESS THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. # # # WITH GB CHANGES Davis/Wallace April 21, 8 p.m. Title: Texas Draft: Three PRESIDENTIAL REMARKS: TEXAS STATE LEGISLATURE CAPITOL, AUSTIN APRIL 26, WED., 4:40 p.m. ((It's a good thing this isn't Bill Clements' birthday From where I'm standing, another Plaid Day in the Texas Legislature could blind a fella.)) In all sincerity, happy belated birthday Bill Lieutenant Governor Bill Hobby, it's great to see you again. Speaker Gib Lewis, distinguished legislators, fellow Texans, thank you I'm delighted to be back in Austin, with so many friends I will want to discuss a few issues facing Texas and all of America. Agriculture Commissioner Hightower to the contrary, I am a Texan. So let us say a few words about what it means to be a Texan. Like the former kingdom of Hawaii, Texas is a nation that had to reconcile itself to being a state. But, like Hawaii, we will never reconcile ourselves to being ordinary. From the Pecos to the Pedernales, from the rapids of the Rio Grande to the broad 2 expanse of the muddy Red River, there is no place on earth like Texas Nor is there another capitol in America quite like this one, built of a rose-tinged granite that blushes in a low sun. And, this being Texas, we had to build a capitol that is exactly one foot taller than the one in Washington. Texas certainly stands tall in the heart of this President Perhaps for this reason, Larry McMurtry is one of my favorite writers. In Lonesome Dove, he describes the mythic Texas, and conjures that sense of place we all know so well. I am inspired by a man of letters who can convincingly adopt the voice of cowboys and outlaws -- men whose only schooling was in dodging bullets, whose only lessons were in how to run or rustle cattle. But, unlike Davy Crockett, I first set out for Texas not on horseback from Tennessee, but from Connecticut in a red Studebaker in June, 1948. More than forty years later, that trip is still a vivid memory --the lonesome road, a neon Pearl Beer sign appearing in the desert twilight like an apparition. Stopping at a cafe, I didn't know if a chicken fried steak was a chicken fried like a steak, or a steak that tasted like chicken . 3 still, Barbara and I settled in Texas, as did so many before us. We raised five children, built a business. And in that span of forty years, I watched this state grow into even greater glory. The Texas of the epic movie Giant seemed almost ordinary in the fifties, with bluejeaned millionaires as thick as jack rabbits in the Permian Basin. It has been noted that the wealth of merchants preceded the Renaissance of Michelangelo. In my lifetime I have seen the oil wealth of West Texas finance the building of great cities, and the expansion of first-class land grant colleges -- the origins of a Texas Renaissance, if you will. The energy business helped make Texas what it is today -- the Third Coast of the United States This Texas Renaissance lasted for years, even decades. But you also know another more recent chapter of the Texas story -- oil cheaper than fancy mineral water, skylines of empty buildings, expensive homes to be had for monthly payments, and thousands of laid-off workers. Now, I'm no cowboy. I pitch horseshoes, but I don't ride broncos. But I understand that cowboys have a term for the most dangerous and cunning bronco of all: they call it a "sunfisher," These broncos will rebel against a rider by adopting a motion not unlike the sunfish of the Gulf -- a full-force leap into the air, back arched high, flank twisting the rider to the left, head and upper torso twisting the rider to the right, in an attempt to 4 tear him apart. Let me suggest that in the last few years, the whole state of Texas feels like it has been on just such a ride Strong men and women are challenged by adversity. I believe Texans have proven that There may be a few more bumps and bruises ahead. But make no mistake, Texas is back in the saddle again. State unemployment has dipped to its lowest level in four years, signaling the diversification of the Texas economy. In 1970, the energy sector accounted for nearly 25 percent of state output. Last year, it accounted for only 11.4 percent. And yet Texas has more than regained the 208,000 jobs it lost from 1986 to 1987, with employment in plastics, aviation, electronics, space and computer programming leading the way. More people are at work in Texas today than every before. The Dallas-Fort Worth "Metroplex" leads in defense and aviation technology; Houston in space and biomedical research; Austin, in microelectronics. Another sign that Texas is becoming a world center of technology is the selection of Ellis County as the site of the Superconducting Super Collider When built, the SSC will enable us to study elemental particles with names like quarks, mesons (May-sahns) and neutrinos. ((Sounds to me like the breakfast cereal the Bush grandkids have been eating. )) 5 Well, as Tom Luce, chairman of the Texas National Research Laboratory Commission said, with a little imagination, you can: "conclude that future research in the field of high energy could some day help us conquer cancer." or discover a way to boost the amount of information on a microchip. or answer questions that eluded Einstein, giving us a glimpse of the forces that bind the universe together. The SSC is a key to understanding nature, and to developing the technologies and industries of the 21st Century. Let me assure you, I will back the construction of the SSC because it is good for America And let me also salute you, the members of the Texas House and Senate, and the voters of this state, for having the vision to take an early lead on this project still, no matter how diversified and high-tech Texas becomes, a strong domestic energy industry is important to the future of this state and all of America. I find it disturbing that nearly 50 percent of America's oil is imported. This is not good for our national security. Some are questioning the future of America's energy production in the aftermath of the wreck of the Exxon Valdez off Alaska. I am as concerned as you -- and all Americans -- are by the environmental tragedy in Prince William Sound. We are using 6 federal resources intelligently in the clean-up effort. We are working with industry to develop an improved plan in event of a future spill. But shutting down our domestic energy production is no answer, and would merely increase our dependence on foreign oil. We must, and we will, maintain a strong, domestic energy industry. To reduce our dependence on foreign oil, we must return to high levels of exploratory drilling. I propose to stimulate domestic drilling with tax credits and other incentives. We need more research to learn how to recover more secondary and tertiary oil. And I want to do something else. Texas has a 65-year supply of one of the cleanest forms of energy known to man -- natural gas. I call on Congress, at long last, to fully decontrol natural gas I believe that this will happen soon. We need a national energy policy that relies not only on oil, but on many other sources. I believe we can and must use more safe nuclear power. I believe that coal has a bright future. You know my confidence in natural gas. As we all become increasingly concerned about the need for clean air, we must look more to natural gas and to nuclear power. We must produce more of our corn crop to produce ethanol, more of our natural gas to produce methanol Greater use of these 7 two will rapidly improve the air quality of our most heavily polluted cities. I know there are still a few dark clouds remaining on our economic horizon. I know that you are concerned about the continuing crisis in many savings and loan institutions. I have asked for measures to restore these institutions to financial health. And I have asked for $37 million in 1989 funds for the Justice Department, so that those who willfully abuse the trust of small savers can expect to be pursued, and put in prison The U.S. Senate has acted expeditiously on the S & L bill, with strong support from Democrats and Republicans alike. I call on the House of Representatives to pass a responsible S & L bill as soon as possible. Texas, like all of America, faces many challenges. But I believe that by working together, as Republicans and Democrats, as federal and as state officials, we can lick any problems down the path. Federalism works because of your leadership and your initiative. The old dictum of the best government being that which is closest to the people applies here, in Austin. ((You know, Ann Richards was right about that silver foot. I kept putting it in my mouth all along. But the bottom line is, when they ask "Where's George?" say he's in Austin, and damned proud to be back )) 8 True, some problems of the recent past linger. Some areas of the state are recovering more slowly than others. But the way is clear to a future as bright and promising as the blue Texas sky -- a new reliance on a diversified economy, and the technologies of the next century. This is the secret of the Texas turnaround, and its unfolding is a tribute to the leadership of Bill Clements, Senators Gramm and Bentsen, and the men and women of the Texas Legislature Texas is starting to feel like its old self again. There is again a feeling among Texans that anything is possible -- who knows, the Rangers or the Astros might even win the World Series As we face our future in the White House, Barbara and I take with us memories of people and places from a state that has been home for most of our lives. We remember driving the kids across Texas, and slowing down so we could take in the fields of bluebonnets and Indian paintbrush. We remember the people of Houston, many of them mature and skeptical, but who nonetheless listened to a green young man and sent him to Congress. And I remember Lyndon Johnson at his ranch back in 1969, an elder Democrat giving neighborly advice to a young Republican, 9 while his very special Lady Bird held out her hand in hospitality. Barbara and I treasure these 41 years as Texans -- the sights and sounds of half a lifetime, the trust of many friends, and the love of a family. All this and more, we remember whenever we think of home Let me thank you for inviting us back to Austin. God bless you. And God bless the United States of America. # # # Davis/Wallace April 25, 6 a.m. Title: Texas2 Draft: Three PRESIDENTIAL REMARKS: TEXAS STATE LEGISLATURE CAPITOL, AUSTIN APRIL 26, WED., 4:40 p.m. ((It's a good thing this isn't Bill Clements' birthday ... From where I'm standing, another Plaid Day in the Texas Legislature could blind a fella.)) In all sincerity, happy belated birthday Bill Lieutenant Governor Bill Hobby, it's great to see you again. Speaker Gib Lewis, distinguished legislators, fellow Texans, thank you I'm delighted to be back in Austin, with so many friends I will want to discuss a few issues facing Texas and all of America. Agriculture Commissioner Hightower's views to the contrary, I am a Texan. So let us say a few words about what it means to be a Texan. Like the former kingdom of Hawaii, Texas is a nation that had to reconcile itself to being a state. But, like Hawaii, we will never reconcile ourselves to being ordinary. From the Pecos to the Pedernales, from the rapids of the Rio Grande to the broad 2 expanse of the muddy Red River, there is no place on earth like Texas Nor is there another capitol in America quite like this one, built of a rose-tinged granite that blushes in a low sun. And, this being Texas, we had to build a capitol that is exactly one foot taller than the one in Washington. Texas certainly stands tall in the heart of this President Perhaps for this reason, Larry McMurtry is one of my favorite writers. In Lonesome Dove, he describes the mythic Texas, and conjures that sense of place we all know so well. I am inspired by a man of letters who can convincingly adopt the voice of cowboys and outlaws -- men whose only schooling was in dodging bullets, whose only lessons were in how to run or rustle cattle. But, unlike Davy Crockett, I first set out for Texas not on horseback from Tennessee, but from Connecticut in a red Studebaker in June, 1948. More than forty years later, that trip is still a vivid memory -- Highway 80, a neon Pearl Beer sign appearing in the desert twilight like an apparition. Stopping at a cafe, I didn't know if a chicken fried steak was a chicken fried like a steak, or a steak that tasted like chicken 3 Still, Barbara and I settled in Texas, as did so many before us. We raised five children, helped build a business. And in that span of forty years, I watched this state grow into even greater glory. In my lifetime I have seen the oil wealth of West Texas help help finance the building of great cities, and the expansion of first-class land grant colleges -- the origins of a Texas Renaissance, if you will. The energy business helped make Texas what it is today -- the Third Coast of the United States This Texas Renaissance lasted for years, even decades. But you also know another more recent chapter of the Texas story -- oil cheaper than fancy mineral water, skylines of empty buildings, expensive homes to be had for monthly payments, and thousands of laid-off workers. Now, I'm no cowboy. I pitch horseshoes, but I don't ride broncos. But I understand that cowboys have a term for the most dangerous and cunning bronco of all: they call it a "sunfisher." These broncos will rebel against a rider by adopting a motion not unlike the sunfish of the Gulf -- a full-force leap into the air, back arched high, flank twisting the rider to the left, head and upper torso twisting the rider to the right, in an attempt to tear him apart. Let me suggest that in the last few years, the whole state of Texas feels like it has been on just such a ride 4 Strong men and women are challenged by adversity. I believe Texans have proven that There may be a few more bumps and bruises ahead. But make no mistake, Texas is back in the saddle again. State unemployment has dipped to its lowest level in four years, signaling the diversification of the Texas economy. In 1970, the energy sector accounted for nearly 25 percent of state output. Last year, it accounted for only 11.4 percent. And yet Texas has more than regained the 208,000 jobs it lost from 1986 to 1987, with employment in plastics, aviation, electronics, space and computer programming leading the way. More people are at work in Texas today than ever before. The Dallas-Fort Worth "Metroplex" leads in defense and aviation technology; Houston in space and biomedical research; Austin, in microelectronics. Another sign that Texas is becoming a world center of technology is the selection of Ellis County as the site of the Superconducting Super Collider When built, the SSC will enable us to study elemental particles with names like quarks, mesons (May-sahns) and neutrinos. ((Sounds to me like the breakfast cereal the Bush grandkids have been eating. )) Well, as Tom Luce, chairman of the Texas National Research Laboratory Commission said, with a little imagination, you can: 5 "conclude that future research in the field of high energy could some day help us conquer cancer. " Or discover a way to boost the amount of information on a microchip. Or answer questions that eluded Einstein, giving us a glimpse of the forces that bind the universe together. The SSC is a key to understanding nature, and to developing the technologies and industries of the 21st Century. Let me assure you, I will back the construction of the SSC because, it is good for America And let me also salute you, the members of the Texas House and Senate, and the voters of this state, for having the vision to take an early lead on this project still, no matter how diversified and high-tech Texas becomes, a strong domestic energy industry is important to the future of this state and all of America. I find it disturbing that nearly 50 percent of America's oil is imported. This is not good for our national security. Some are questioning the future of America's energy production in the aftermath of the wreck of the Exxon Valdez off Alaska. I am as concerned as you -- and all Americans -- are by the environmental tragedy in Prince William Sound. We are using federal resources intelligently in the clean-up effort. We are working with industry to develop an improved plan in event of a future spill. But shutting down our domestic energy production 6 is no answer, and would merely increase our dependence on foreign oil. We must, and we will, maintain a strong, domestic energy industry. To reduce our dependence on foreign oil, we must return to high levels of exploratory drilling. I propose to stimulate domestic drilling with tax credits and other incentives. We need more research to learn how to recover more secondary and tertiary oil. And I want to do something else. Texas has a 65-year supply of one of the cleanest forms of energy known to man -- natural gas. I call on Congress, at long last, to fully decontrol natural gas I believe that this will happen soon. We need a national energy policy that relies not only on oil, but on many other sources. I believe we can and must use more safe nuclear power. I believe that coal has a bright future. You know my confidence in natural gas. As we all become increasingly concerned about the need for clean air, we must look more to natural gas and to nuclear power. We must produce more of our corn crop to produce ethanol, more of our natural gas to produce methanol Greater use of these two will rapidly improve the air quality of our most heavily polluted cities. 7 I know there are still a few dark clouds remaining on our economic horizon. I know that you are concerned about the continuing crisis in many savings and loan institutions. I have asked for measures to restore these institutions to financial health. And I have asked for $37 million in 1989 funds for the Justice Department, so that those who willfully abuse the trust of small savers can expect to be pursued, and put in prison The U.S. Senate has acted expeditiously on the S & L bill, with strong support from Democrats and Republicans alike. I call on the House of Representatives to pass a responsible S & L bill as soon as possible. Texas, like all of America, faces many challenges. But I believe that by working together, as Republicans and Democrats, as federal and as state officials, we can lick any problems down the path. Federalism works because of your leadership and your initiative. The old dictum of the best government being that which is closest to the people applies here, in Austin. ( (You know, Ann Richards was right about that silver foot. I kept putting it in my mouth all along. But the bottom line is, when they ask "Where's George?" say he's in Austin, and damned proud to be back )) True, some problems of the recent past linger. Some areas of the state are recovering more slowly than others. But the way is clear to a future as bright and promising as the blue Texas 8 sky -- a new reliance on a diversified economy, and the technologies of the next century. This is the secret of the Texas turnaround, and its unfolding is a tribute to the leadership of Bill Clements, Senators Gramm and Bentsen, and the men and women of the Texas Legislature Texas is starting to feel like its old self again. There is again a feeling among Texans that anything is possible -- who knows, the Rangers or the Astros might even win the World Series As we face our future in the White House, Barbara and I take with us memories of people and places from a state that has been home for most of our lives. We remember driving the kids across Texas, and slowing down so we could take in the fields of bluebonnets and Indian paintbrush. We remember the people of Houston, many of them mature and skeptical, but who nonetheless listened to a green young man and sent him to Congress. And I remember Lyndon Johnson at his ranch back in 1969, an elder Democrat giving neighborly advice to a young Republican, while his very special Lady Bird held out her hand in hospitality. 9 Barbara and I treasure these 41 years as Texans -- the sights and sounds of half a lifetime, the trust of many friends, and the love of a family. All this and more, we remember whenever we think of home Let me thank you for inviting us back to Austin. God bless you. And God bless the United States of America. # # # Services of Mead Data Central 2ND DOCUI said small recently gestnes as last walopkie speciat went "as only Rep to so to Andrews as way-" 80 a long Remarks t you can see that in Custn speech- - unt not at mean -b spaned w/o A.R. silier - LENGTH: 2111 words Thank you very, very mus USISTENT on LBJ for presenting me to thi respects and thanks to ! birthday. [Laughter] I'm not sure another plaio day in LITE in order. But a belated happy birthday, anyway. I'm delighted to be back in Austin with so many friends. And I'll want to discuss a few issues facing Texas and all of America. But let me just say a few words about what it means to be a Texan. My credentials: I have my driver's license here, and I have my Texas hunting license here, and somewhere my voter registration slip. And it is true, I like Kennebunkport, but I am a Texan. And 50, I just want to clear the air and say a few words about that. You know, like the former kingdom of Hawaii, Texas is a nation that had to reconcile itself to being a State. But like Hawaii, we'll never reconcile ourselves to being ordinary. From the Pecos to the Pedernales, from the Rio Grande to the Red River, there is no place on Earth like Texas, nor is there another capitol in America quite like this one, built of this rose-tinged granite that blushes in the low sun. And this being Texas, we had to build a capitol that is exactly one foot taller than the one in Washington. And so, I hope it's not too much of a cliche to say that Texas stands tall in the heart of this President. Perhaps for this reason, Larry McMurtry, who was at the White House the other day -- he's one of my favorite writers -- in "Lonesome Dove" he describes the mythic Texas and conjures that sense of the place we all know so well. And I'm inspired by a man of letters who can convincingly adopt the voice of the cowboys and the outlaws, men whose only schooling was in dodging bullets, whose only lessons were in how to run or rustle cattle. But unlike Davy Crockett, I first set out for Texas not on horseback from Tennessee but from Connecticut in a red Studebaker in June of 1948. And more than 40 years later, that trip is still a vivid memory: Highway 80, neon Pearl Beer signs appearing in the desert twilight and see, I've got a note here -- and stopping at a cafe ---- I'll admit it I didn't know if chicken-fried steak was a chicken fried like a steak or a steak that tasted like a chicken, but I've learned. [Laughter] And still, Bar and I settled in Texas, as did many before us. We raised 5 kids and helped get into the business world -- helped start a business. And in that span of 40 years, I've watched with pride as this State has grown into even greater glory. And in my lifetime, I've seen the oil wealth of west Texas help finance the building of great cities, the expansion of great universities and colleges --- the origins of a Texas Renaissance, if you will. The energy business helped make Texas what it is today: the Third Coast of the United States. LEXIS® NEXIS® LEXIS® NEXIS® Services of Mead Data Central PAGE 3 25 Weekly Comp. Pres. Doc. 620 This Texas Renaissance lasted for years, even decades. But you also know another more recent chapter of the Texas story: oil cheaper than some of this fancy mineral water, skylines of sometimes empty buildings, expensive homes to be had just for the monthly payments, and thousands of laid-off workers. Now, I'm no cowboy. I pitch horseshoes for a living, but I don't ride these broncos. I understand, though, that cowboys have a term for the most dangerous and cunning bronco of all. And they call it a sunfisher. And those broncos will rebel against a rider by adopting a motion not unlike the sunfish: a full-force leap into the air, back arched high, flank twisting the rider to the left, head and upper torso twisting the rider to the right in an attempt to tear him apart. And let me suggest that not 50 many months ago, the whole State of Texas, our State, felt like it had been on just such a ride. But strong men and women are challenged by adversity, and I believe Texas has proven that. And there may be a few more bumps and bruises ahead, but make no mistake: Texas is back - back in the saddle, strong in every way. State unemployment has dipped to its lowest level in 4 years, signaling, I think, the diversification of the Texas economy. In 1970 the energy sector accounted for nearly 25 percent of State output -- 25 percent. And last year it accounted for 11.4 percent. And yet Texas has more than regained the 208,000 jobs it lost from 1986 to 1987, with employment in plastics and aviation, electronics, space, and computer programming leading the way. More people are at work in Texas today than ever before in our history. And the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex leads in defense and aviation and technology; Houston in space and biomedical research; Austin, microelectronics. Another sign that Texas is becoming a world center of technology is the selection of Ellis County as the site of the Superconducting Supercollidor. And when built, the SSC will enable us to study elemental particles with names like quarks and mesons and neutrinos -- sounds like a breakfast cereal that these grandkids of ours are into these days. But as Tom Luce, chairman of the Texas National Research Laboratory Commission said, "With a little imagination, you can conclude that future research in the field of high energy could some day help us conquer canceror discover a way to boost the amount of information on a microchip or answer questions that eluded Einstein, giving us a glimpse of the forces that bind the universe together." The SSC is a key to understanding nature and to developing the technologies and industries of the 21st century. Let me assure you: I will back the construction of the SSC because it is good for the entire United States of America. And let me also salute you, the members of the Texas House and Senate, and the voters of this State for having the vision to take an early lead on this project. Texas got its act together and made an outstanding presentation early on. Still, no matter how diversified and high tech that we become, a strong domestic energy industry is important, still important, to the future of this State and, in my view, to the future of all America. I find it disturbing that nearly 50 percent of America's oil is imported. This is not good for the national security of the United States of America. And now some are questioning the future of America's energy production in the aftermath of the wreck of the Exxon Valdez off Alaska. I am as concerned as anyone, as all Americans are, by the environmental tragedy in Prince William Sound. We're using Federal resources intelligently to clean it up. We're working with industry to develop an improved plan in the event of a future spill. But shutting down our domestic energy production is no answer and would merely increase our dependence on LEXIS® NEXIS® LEXIS® NEXIS® Services of Mead Data Central PAGE 4 25 Weekly Comp. Pres. Doc. 620 foreign oil. We must, and we will maintain a strong, domestic energy industry. To reduce our dependence on foreign oil, we must return to high levels of exploratory drilling. I propose to stimulate domestic drilling with tax credits and other incentives. We need more research --- this isn't just a function of the Government, incidentally - but we need more research to learn how to recover more of our secondary and tertiary oil. And I want to do something else. Texas has a 65-year supply of one of the cleanest forms of energy known to man: natural gas. And I call on the United States Congress, at long last, to fully decontrol natural gas. And I believe that's going to happen soon. We need a national energy policy that relies not only on oil but on other sources as well. I believe we can and must use safe nuclear power. I believe that coal has a bright future. And you know my confidence in natural gas. As we all become increasingly concerned about the need for clean air, we must look more to natural gas and to nuclear power. We must press forward with clean coal technology, and we must produce more of our corn crop to produce switch more of our corn crop to produce ethanol, more of our natural gas to produce methanol. And the greater use of these alternative fuels will rapidly improve the air quality of our most heavily polluted cities. And I'm talking about Los Angeles, Denver. I'm talking about Houston, Texas, and other heavily impacted areas. I know there are still a few dark clouds remaining on our economic horizon. I know that you're concerned about the continuing crisis in many of the savings and loan institutions. And I've asked for measures to restore these institutions to financial health. And I've asked for $37 million in 1989 funds for the Justice Department so that those who willfully abuse the trust of the small savers can expect to be pursued; tried; and, if guilty, put into prison. We must go after the white-collar criminal in this country as well as the others. The United States Senate has acted expeditiously on the savings and loan bill that I put forward -- strong support on both sides of the aisle, Democrats and Republicans alike. And I now call on the House of Representatives to pass a responsible savings and loan bill as soon as possible. Texas, like all America, faces many challenges. But I believe that by working together, as Republicans and Democrats, as Federal and as State officials, we can lick any problems down the path. Federalism works. Federalism works because of your leadership and your initiative. The old dictum of the best government being that which is closest to the people applies here, right here in this chamber, right here in Austin, Texas, right here at the capitol. True, some problems of the recent past linger on. Some areas of the State are recovering more slowly than others. But the way is clear to a future as bright and promising as the blue Texas sky: a new reliance on a diversified economy and the technologies of the next century. And this is the secret of the Texas turnaround, and its unfolding is a tribute not just to the entrepreneurial spirit of Texans themselves but to the leadership of Governor Clements, Senators Gramm and Bentsen, the congressional delegation, and the men and women of the Texas legislature. Texas is starting to feel now that anything is possible. I'm not standing here trying to underestimate the problems of education or health or urban blight, but there is a new feeling abroad. Who knows, the Astros might win in the National Leaque, and, yes, under enlightened new leadership [laughter] -- the Texas Rangers might even win in the American League. Good luck. LEXIS® NEXIS® LEXIS® NEXIS Services of Mead Data Central PAGE 5 25 Weekly Comp. Pres. Doc. 620 Seriously, as we face our future in the White House, Barbara and I take with us memories of people and places from a State that has been home for most of our lives -- all of my adult life, if you will. We remember those 12 years in west Texas. It's a dry heat. You don't even feel it. [Laughter] My eye. We were there for 12 years. But the people --- I feel their strength and fierce independence to this very day. And I remember driving the kids across Texas. We moved down from west Texas down to the Gulf Coast, slowing down to take in the fields of the bluebonnets and Indian paintbrush. I don't think you can drive through that country without thinking of yourself as a naturalist or an environmentalist, or at least counting your blessings. And I remember the people of Houston, many of them mature and skeptical, but who nonetheless listened to a very green young man and sent him to Congress in 1966. And I remember Lyndon Johnson at his ranch back in 1969, when I went over there - an elder Democrat, retired from the Presidency, giving neighborly advice to a young Republican, while his very special Lady Bird held out her hand in hospitality. Barbara and I treasure these 41 years as Texans -- the sights and sounds of our adult lifetime, the trust of many friends, and the love of a family. And all this and more, we remember when we think of home. You know, I've been thinking about it. Ann Richards was right. [Laughter] Why do you think that I said we could cancer conquer?[Laughter] Look, I kept putting that silver foot in my mouth --- [laughter] - all along the way. But the bottom line is: When they ask, Where's George?, say he's in Austin, among friends. And I'm very proud to be back. Thank you all. God bless you. And God bless the United States of America. Note: The President spoke at 4:35 p.m. in the house chamber of the State us a soolid -LBT capitol. He was introduced by Gib Lewis, speaker of the house of representatives. At the conclusion of his remarks, the President referred con the ther pines State treasurer Ann Richards. only Rep to to so to Ferioning ata at - a insisTEnT on BiPARTISAn/ AGAIN ReAching Ctotnis. Andrews out feer Lastly pitze, Dem. and - Just lAst week, Hie he ReminDeD OF kindness A speech- Ats WRITERS meeting that small Gestorez Go A 10mg way. are - Hunor, which came strapt from Pus. - was self- depressating In that his same spirit. But he Also sot point LEXIS® NEXIS® LEXIS® NEXIS REMARKS: TEXAS STATE LEGISLATURE CAPITOL, AUSTIN APRIL 26, WED., 4:40 P.M. ((IT's A GOOD THING THIS ISN'T BILL CLEMENTS' BIRTHDAY FROM WHERE I'M STANDING, ANOTHER PLAID DAY IN THE TEXAS LEGISLATURE COULD BLIND A FELLA.)) - 2 - IN ALL SINCERITY, HAPPY BELATED BIRTHDAY BILL LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR BILL HoBBy, IT'S GREAT To SEE YOU AGAIN. SPEAKER GIB LEWIS, DISTINGUISHED LEGISLATORS, FELLOW TEXANS, THANK YOU I'M DELIGHTED TO BE BACK ... IN AUSTIN, WITH so MANY FRIENDS I WILL WANT TO DISCUSS A FEW ISSUES FACING TEXAS AND ALL OF AMERICA. AGRICULTURE COMMISSIONER HIGHTOWER'S VIEWS TO THE CONTRARY, I AM A TEXAN. - 3 - So LET US SAY A FEW WORDS ABOUT WHAT IT MEANS TO BE A TEXAN. LIKE THE FORMER KINGDOM OF HAWAII, TEXAS IS A NATION THAT HAD TO RECONCILE ITSELF TO BEING A STATE. BUT, LIKE HAWAII, WE WILL NEVER RECONCILE OURSELVES TO BEING ORDINARY. FROM THE PECOS TO THE PEDERNALES, FROM THE RAPIDS OF THE RIO GRANDE TO THE BROAD EXPANSE OF THE MUDDY RED RIVER, THERE IS NO PLACE ON EARTH LIKE TEXAS - 4 - NOR IS THERE ANOTHER CAPITOL IN AMERICA QUITE LIKE THIS ONE, BUILT OF A ROSE-TINGED GRANITE THAT BLUSHES IN A LOW SUN. AND, THIS BEING TEXAS, WE HAD TO BUILD A CAPITOL THAT IS EXACTLY ONE FOOT TALLER THAN THE ONE IN WASHINGTON. TEXAS CERTAINLY STANDS TALL IN THE HEART OF THIS PRESIDENT PERHAPS FOR THIS REASON, LARRY MCMURTRY IS ONE OF MY FAVORITE WRITERS. - 5 - IN LONESOME DOVE, HE DESCRIBES THE MYTHIC TEXAS, AND CONJURES THAT SENSE OF PLACE WE ALL KNOW SO WELL. I AM INSPIRED BY A MAN OF LETTERS WHO CAN CONVINCINGLY ADOPT THE VOICE OF COWBOYS AND OUTLAWS -- MEN WHOSE ONLY SCHOOLING WAS IN DODGING BULLETS, WHOSE ONLY LESSONS WERE IN HOW TO RUN OR RUSTLE CATTLE. BUT, UNLIKE DAVY CROCKETT, I FIRST SET OUT FOR TEXAS NOT ON HORSEBACK FROM TENNESSEE, BUT FROM CONNECTICUT IN A RED STUDEBAKER IN JUNE, 1948. - 6 - MORE THAN FORTY YEARS LATER, THAT TRIP IS STILL A VIVID MEMORY -- HIGHWAY 80, A NEON PEARL BEER SIGN APPEARING IN THE DESERT TWILIGHT LIKE AN APPARITION. STOPPING AT A CAFE, I DIDN'T KNOW IF A CHICKEN FRIED STEAK WAS A CHICKEN FRIED LIKE A STEAK, OR A STEAK THAT TASTED LIKE CHICKEN STILL, BARBARA AND I SETTLED IN TEXAS, AS DID so MANY BEFORE US. WE RAISED FIVE CHILDREN, HELPED BUILD A BUSINESS. - 7 - AND IN THAT SPAN OF FORTY YEARS, I WATCHED THIS STATE GROW INTO EVEN GREATER GLORY. IN MY LIFETIME I HAVE SEEN THE OIL WEALTH OF WEST TEXAS HELP FINANCE THE BUILDING OF GREAT CITIES, AND THE EXPANSION OF FIRST- CLASS LAND GRANT COLLEGES -- THE ORIGINS OF A TEXAS RENAISSANCE, IF YOU WILL. THE ENERGY BUSINESS HELPED MAKE TEXAS WHAT IT IS TODAY -- THE THIRD COAST OF THE UNITED STATES - 8 - THIS TEXAS RENAISSANCE LASTED FOR YEARS, EVEN DECADES. BUT YOU ALSO KNOW ANOTHER MORE RECENT CHAPTER OF THE TEXAS STORY -- OIL CHEAPER THAN FANCY MINERAL WATER, SKYLINES OF EMPTY BUILDINGS, EXPENSIVE HOMES TO BE HAD FOR MONTHLY PAYMENTS, AND THOUSANDS OF LAID-OFF WORKERS. Now, I'M NO COWBOY. I PITCH HORSESHOES, BUT I DON'T RIDE BRONCOS. - 9 - BUT I UNDERSTAND THAT COWBOYS HAVE A TERM FOR THE MOST DANGEROUS AND CUNNING BRONCO OF ALL: THEY CALL IT A "SUNFISHER." THESE BRONCOS WILL REBEL AGAINST A RIDER BY ADOPTING A MOTION NOT UNLIKE THE SUNFISH OF THE GULF -- A FULL-FORCE LEAP INTO THE AIR, BACK ARCHED HIGH, FLANK TWISTING THE RIDER TO THE LEFT, HEAD AND UPPER TORSO TWISTING THE RIDER TO THE RIGHT, IN AN ATTEMPT TO TEAR HIM APART. - 10 - LET ME SUGGEST THAT IN THE LAST FEW YEARS, THE WHOLE STATE OF TEXAS FEELS LIKE IT HAS BEEN ON JUST SUCH A RIDE STRONG MEN AND WOMEN ARE CHALLENGED BY ADVERSITY. I BELIEVE TEXANS HAVE PROVEN THAT THERE MAY BE A FEW MORE BUMPS AND BRUISES AHEAD. BUT MAKE NO MISTAKE, TEXAS IS BACK IN THE SADDLE AGAIN. - 11 - STATE UNEMPLOYMENT HAS DIPPED TO ITS LOWEST LEVEL IN FOUR YEARS, SIGNALING THE DIVERSIFICATION OF THE TEXAS ECONOMY. IN 1970, THE ENERGY SECTOR ACCOUNTED FOR NEARLY 25 PERCENT OF STATE OUTPUT. LAST YEAR, IT ACCOUNTED FOR ONLY 11.4 PERCENT. AND YET TEXAS HAS MORE THAN REGAINED THE 208,000 JOBS IT LOST FROM 1986 TO 1987, WITH EMPLOYMENT IN PLASTICS, AVIATION, ELECTRONICS, SPACE AND COMPUTER PROGRAMMING LEADING THE WAY. - 12 - MORE PEOPLE ARE AT WORK IN TEXAS TODAY THAN EVER BEFORE. THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH "METROPLEX" LEADS IN DEFENSE AND AVIATION TECHNOLOGY; HOUSTON IN SPACE AND BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH; AUSTIN, IN MICROELECTRONICS. ANOTHER SIGN THAT TEXAS IS BECOMING A WORLD CENTER OF TECHNOLOGY IS THE SELECTION OF ELLIS COUNTY AS THE SITE OF THE SUPERCONDUCTING SUPER COLLIDER - 13 - WHEN BUILT, THE SSC WILL ENABLE US TO STUDY ELEMENTAL PARTICLES WITH NAMES LIKE QUARKS, MESONS (MAY-SAHNS) AND NEUTRINOS. ((SOUNDS TO ME LIKE THE BREAKFAST CEREAL THE BUSH GRANDKIDS HAVE BEEN EATING.)) WELL, AS ToM LUCE, CHAIRMAN OF THE TEXAS NATIONAL RESEARCH LABORATORY COMMISSION SAID, WITH A LITTLE IMAGINATION, YOU CAN: "CONCLUDE THAT FUTURE RESEARCH IN THE FIELD OF HIGH ENERGY COULD SOME DAY HELP US CONQUER CANCER." - 14 - OR DISCOVER A WAY TO BOOST THE AMOUNT OF INFORMATION ON A MICROCHIP. OR ANSWER QUESTIONS THAT ELUDED EINSTEIN, GIVING US A GLIMPSE OF THE FORCES THAT BIND THE UNIVERSE TOGETHER. THE SSC IS A KEY TO UNDERSTANDING NATURE, AND TO DEVELOPING THE TECHNOLOGIES AND INDUSTRIES OF THE 21st CENTURY. LET ME ASSURE YOU, I WILL BACK THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE SSC BECAUSE IT IS GOOD FOR AMERICA - 15 - AND LET ME ALSO SALUTE YOU, THE MEMBERS OF THE TEXAS HOUSE AND SENATE, AND THE VOTERS OF THIS STATE, FOR HAVING THE VISION TO TAKE AN EARLY LEAD ON THIS PROJECT STILL, NO MATTER HOW DIVERSIFIED AND HIGH-TECH TEXAS BECOMES, A STRONG DOMESTIC ENERGY INDUSTRY IS IMPORTANT TO THE FUTURE OF THIS STATE AND ALL OF AMERICA. I FIND IT DISTURBING THAT NEARLY 50 PERCENT OF AMERICA'S OIL IS IMPORTED. - 16 - THIS IS NOT GOOD FOR OUR NATIONAL SECURITY. SOME ARE QUESTIONING THE FUTURE OF AMERICA'S ENERGY PRODUCTION IN THE AFTERMATH OF THE WRECK OF THE Exxon VALDEZ OFF ALASKA. I AM AS CONCERNED AS YOU -- AND ALL AMERICANS -- ARE BY THE ENVIRONMENTAL TRAGEDY IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. WE ARE USING FEDERAL RESOURCES INTELLIGENTLY IN THE CLEAN-UP EFFORT. WE ARE WORKING WITH INDUSTRY TO DEVELOP AN IMPROVED PLAN IN EVENT OF A FUTURE SPILL. - 17 - BUT SHUTTING DOWN OUR DOMESTIC ENERGY PRODUCTION IS NO ANSWER, AND WOULD MERELY INCREASE OUR DEPENDENCE ON FOREIGN OIL. WE MUST, AND WE WILL, MAINTAIN A STRONG, DOMESTIC ENERGY INDUSTRY. To REDUCE OUR DEPENDENCE ON FOREIGN OIL, WE MUST RETURN TO HIGH LEVELS OF EXPLORATORY DRILLING. I PROPOSE TO STIMULATE DOMESTIC DRILLING WITH TAX CREDITS AND OTHER INCENTIVES. WE NEED MORE RESEARCH TO LEARN HOW TO RECOVER MORE SECONDARY AND TERTIARY OIL. - 18 - AND I WANT TO DO SOMETHING ELSE. TEXAS HAS A 65-YEAR SUPPLY OF ONE OF THE CLEANEST FORMS OF ENERGY KNOWN TO MAN -- NATURAL GAS. I CALL ON CONGRESS, AT LONG LAST, TO FULLY DECONTROL NATURAL GAS I BELIEVE THAT THIS WILL HAPPEN SOON. WE NEED A NATIONAL ENERGY POLICY THAT RELIES NOT ONLY ON OIL, BUT ON MANY OTHER SOURCES. I BELIEVE WE CAN AND MUST USE MORE SAFE NUCLEAR POWER. - 19 - I BELIEVE THAT COAL HAS A BRIGHT FUTURE. You KNOW MY CONFIDENCE IN NATURAL GAS. As WE ALL BECOME INCREASINGLY CONCERNED ABOUT THE NEED FOR CLEAN AIR, WE MUST LOOK MORE TO NATURAL GAS AND TO NUCLEAR POWER. WE MUST PRODUCE MORE OF OUR CORN CROP TO PRODUCE ETHANOL, MORE OF OUR NATURAL GAS TO PRODUCE METHANOL GREATER USE OF THESE TWO WILL RAPIDLY IMPROVE THE AIR QUALITY OF OUR MOST HEAVILY POLLUTED CITIES. - 20 - I KNOW THERE ARE STILL A FEW DARK CLOUDS REMAINING ON OUR ECONOMIC HORIZON. I KNOW THAT YOU ARE CONCERNED ABOUT THE CONTINUING CRISIS IN MANY SAVINGS AND LOAN INSTITUTIONS. I HAVE ASKED FOR MEASURES TO RESTORE THESE INSTITUTIONS TO FINANCIAL HEALTH. AND I HAVE ASKED FOR $37 MILLION IN 1989 FUNDS FOR THE JUSTICE DEPARTMENT, SO THAT THOSE WHO WILLFULLY ABUSE THE TRUST OF SMALL SAVERS CAN EXPECT TO BE PURSUED, AND PUT IN PRISON - 21 - THE U.S. SENATE HAS ACTED EXPEDITIOUSLY ON THE S & L BILL, WITH STRONG SUPPORT FROM DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS ALIKE. I CALL ON THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES TO PASS A RESPONSIBLE S & L BILL AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. TEXAS, LIKE ALL OF AMERICA, FACES MANY CHALLENGES. BUT I BELIEVE THAT BY WORKING TOGETHER, AS REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS, AS FEDERAL AND AS STATE OFFICIALS, WE CAN LICK ANY PROBLEMS DOWN THE PATH. - 22 - FEDERALISM WORKS BECAUSE OF YOUR LEADERSHIP AND YOUR INITIATIVE. THE OLD DICTUM OF THE BEST GOVERNMENT BEING THAT WHICH IS CLOSEST TO THE PEOPLE APPLIES HERE, IN AUSTIN. ((You KNOW, ANN RICHARDS WAS RIGHT ABOUT THAT SILVER FOOT. I KEPT PUTTING IT IN MY MOUTH ALL ALONG. BUT THE BOTTOM LINE IS, WHEN THEY ASK "WHERE'S GEORGE?" ... SAY HE'S IN AUSTIN, AND DAMNED PROUD TO BE BACK .)) - 23 - TRUE, SOME PROBLEMS OF THE RECENT PAST LINGER. SOME AREAS OF THE STATE ARE RECOVERING MORE SLOWLY THAN OTHERS. BUT THE WAY IS CLEAR TO A FUTURE AS BRIGHT AND PROMISING AS THE BLUE TEXAS SKY -- A NEW RELIANCE ON A DIVERSIFIED ECONOMY, AND THE TECHNOLOGIES OF THE NEXT CENTURY. THIS IS THE SECRET OF THE TEXAS TURNAROUND, AND ITS UNFOLDING IS A TRIBUTE TO THE LEADERSHIP OF BILL CLEMENTS, SENATORS GRAMM AND BENTSEN, AND THE MEN AND WOMEN OF THE TEXAS LEGISLATURE - 24 - TEXAS IS STARTING TO FEEL LIKE ITS OLD SELF AGAIN. THERE IS AGAIN A FEELING AMONG TEXANS THAT ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE -- WHO KNOWS, THE RANGERS OR THE ASTROS MIGHT EVEN WIN THE WORLD SERIES As WE FACE OUR FUTURE IN THE WHITE HOUSE, BARBARA AND I TAKE WITH US MEMORIES OF PEOPLE AND PLACES FROM A STATE THAT HAS BEEN HOME FOR MOST OF OUR LIVES. - 25 - WE REMEMBER DRIVING THE KIDS ACROSS TEXAS, AND SLOWING DOWN SO WE COULD TAKE IN THE FIELDS OF BLUEBONNETS AND INDIAN PAINTBRUSH. WE REMEMBER THE PEOPLE OF HOUSTON, MANY OF THEM MATURE AND SKEPTICAL, BUT WHO NONETHELESS LISTENED TO A GREEN YOUNG MAN AND SENT HIM TO CONGRESS. - 26 - AND I REMEMBER LYNDON JOHNSON AT HIS RANCH BACK IN 1969, AN ELDER DEMOCRAT GIVING NEIGHBORLY ADVICE TO A YOUNG REPUBLICAN, WHILE HIS VERY SPECIAL LADY BIRD HELD OUT HER HAND IN HOSPITALITY. BARBARA AND I TREASURE THESE 41 YEARS AS TEXANS -- THE SIGHTS AND SOUNDS OF HALF A LIFETIME, THE TRUST OF MANY FRIENDS, AND THE LOVE OF A FAMILY. ALL THIS AND MORE, WE REMEMBER WHENEVER WE THINK OF HOME - 27 - LET ME THANK YOU FOR INVITING US BACK To AUSTIN. GOD BLESS YOU. AND GOD BLESS THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. # # # - 2 - IN ALL SINCERITY, HAPPY BELATED BIRTHDAY BILL ... LIEUTENANT GOVERNOR BILL HoBBy, IT'S GREAT To SEE YOU AGAIN. SPEAKER GIB LEWIS, DISTINGUISHED LEGISLATORS, FELLOW TEXANS, THANK YOU ... I'M DELIGHTED TO BE BACK IN AUSTIN, WITH so MANY FRIENDS ... I WILL WANT TO DISCUSS A FEW ISSUES FACING TEXAS AND ALL OF AMERICA. [[AGRICULTURE COMMISSIONER HIGHTOWER'S VIEWS TO THE CONTRARY, ]] I AM A TEXAN. - 3 - So LET US SAY A FEW WORDS ABOUT WHAT IT MEANS TO BE A TEXAN. LIKE THE FORMER KINGDOM OF HAWAII, TEXAS IS A NATION THAT HAD TO RECONCILE ITSELF TO BEING A STATE. BUT, LIKE HAWAII, WE WILL NEVER RECONCILE OURSELVES TO BEING ORDINARY. FROM THE PECOS TO THE PEDERNALES, FROM THE RAPIDS OF THE RIO GRANDE TO THE BROAD EXPANSE OF THE MUDDY RED RIVER, THERE IS NO PLACE ON EARTH LIKE TEXAS M 4 . NOR IS THERE ANOTHER CAPITOL IN AMERICA QUITE LIKE THIS ONE, BUILT OF A ROSE-TINGED GRANITE THAT BLUSHES IN A LOW SUN. AND, THIS BEING TEXAS, WE HAD TO BUILD A CAPITOL THAT IS EXACTLY ONE FOOT TALLER THAN THE ONE IN WASHINGTON. TEXAS CERTAINLY STANDS TALL IN THE HEART OF THIS PRESIDENT PERHAPS FOR THIS REASON, LARRY MCMURTRY IS ONE OF MY FAVORITE WRITERS. - 5 - IN LONESOME DOVE, HE DESCRIBES THE MYTHIC TEXAS, AND CONJURES THAT SENSE OF PLACE WE ALL KNOW S0 WELL. I AM INSPIRED BY A MAN OF LETTERS WHO CAN CONVINCINGLY ADOPT THE VOICE OF COWBOYS AND OUTLAWS -- MEN WHOSE ONLY SCHOOLING WAS IN DODGING BULLETS, WHOSE ONLY LESSONS WERE IN HOW TO RUN OR RUSTLE CATTLE. BUT, UNLIKE DAVY CROCKETT, I FIRST SET OUT FOR TEXAS NOT ON HORSEBACK FROM TENNESSEE, BUT FROM CONNECTICUT IN A RED STUDEBAKER IN JUNE, 1948. - 6 - MORE THAN FORTY YEARS LATER, THAT TRIP IS STILL A VIVID MEMORY -- HIGHWAY 80, A NEON PEARL BEER SIGN APPEARING IN THE DESERT TWILIGHT LIKE AN APPARITION. STOPPING AT A CAFE, I DIDN'T KNOW IF A CHICKEN FRIED STEAK WAS A CHICKEN FRIED LIKE A STEAK, OR A STEAK THAT TASTED LIKE CHICKEN STILL, BARBARA AND I SETTLED IN TEXAS, AS DID so MANY BEFORE US. WE RAISED FIVE CHILDREN, HELPED BUILD A BUSINESS. - 7 - AND IN THAT SPAN OF FORTY YEARS, I WATCHED THIS STATE GROW INTO EVEN GREATER GLORY. IN MY LIFETIME I HAVE SEEN THE OIL WEALTH OF WEST TEXAS HELP FINANCE THE BUILDING OF GREAT CITIES, AND THE EXPANSION OF FIRST- CLASS LAND GRANT COLLEGES -- THE ORIGINS OF A TEXAS RENAISSANCE, IF YOU WILL. THE ENERGY BUSINESS HELPED MAKE TEXAS WHAT IT IS TODAY -- THE THIRD COAST OF THE UNITED STATES - 8 - THIS TEXAS RENAISSANCE LASTED FOR YEARS, EVEN DECADES. BUT YOU ALSO KNOW ANOTHER MORE RECENT CHAPTER OF THE TEXAS STORY -- OIL CHEAPER THAN FANCY MINERAL WATER, SKYLINES OF EMPTY BUILDINGS, EXPENSIVE HOMES TO BE HAD FOR MONTHLY PAYMENTS, AND THOUSANDS OF LAID-OFF WORKERS. Now, I'M NO COWBOY. I PITCH HORSESHOES, BUT I DON'T RIDE BRONCOS. - 9 - BUT I UNDERSTAND THAT COWBOYS HAVE A TERM FOR THE MOST DANGEROUS AND CUNNING BRONCO OF ALL: THEY CALL IT A "SUNFISHER." THESE BRONCOS WILL REBEL AGAINST A RIDER BY ADOPTING A MOTION NOT UNLIKE THE SUNFISH OF THE GULF -- A FULL-FORCE LEAP INTO THE AIR, BACK ARCHED HIGH, FLANK TWISTING THE RIDER TO THE LEFT, HEAD AND UPPER TORSO TWISTING THE RIDER TO THE RIGHT, IN AN ATTEMPT TO TEAR HIM APART. - 10 - LET ME SUGGEST THAT IN THE LAST FEW YEARS, THE WHOLE STATE OF TEXAS FEELS LIKE IT HAS BEEN ON JUST SUCH A RIDE STRONG MEN AND WOMEN ARE CHALLENGED BY ADVERSITY. I BELIEVE TEXANS HAVE PROVEN THAT THERE MAY BE A FEW MORE BUMPS AND BRUISES AHEAD. BUT MAKE NO MISTAKE, TEXAS IS BACK IN THE SADDLE AGAIN. - 11 - STATE UNEMPLOYMENT HAS DIPPED TO ITS LOWEST LEVEL IN FOUR YEARS, SIGNALING THE DIVERSIFICATION OF THE TEXAS ECONOMY. IN 1970, THE ENERGY SECTOR ACCOUNTED FOR NEARLY 25 PERCENT OF STATE OUTPUT. LAST YEAR, IT ACCOUNTED FOR ONLY 11.4 PERCENT. AND YET TEXAS HAS MORE THAN REGAINED THE 208,000 JOBS IT LOST FROM 1986 TO 1987, WITH EMPLOYMENT IN PLASTICS, AVIATION, ELECTRONICS, SPACE AND COMPUTER PROGRAMMING LEADING THE WAY. - 12 - MORE PEOPLE ARE AT WORK IN TEXAS TODAY THAN EVER BEFORE. THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH "METROPLEX" LEADS IN DEFENSE AND AVIATION TECHNOLOGY; HOUSTON IN SPACE AND BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH; AUSTIN, IN MICROELECTRONICS. ANOTHER SIGN THAT TEXAS IS BECOMING A WORLD CENTER OF TECHNOLOGY IS THE SELECTION OF ELLIS COUNTY AS THE SITE OF THE SUPERCONDUCTING SUPER COLLIDER - 13 - WHEN BUILT, THE SSC WILL ENABLE US TO STUDY ELEMENTAL PARTICLES WITH NAMES LIKE QUARKS, MESONS (MAY-SAHNS) AND NEUTRINOS. ((SOUNDS TO ME LIKE THE BREAKFAST CEREAL THE BUSH GRANDKIDS HAVE BEEN EATING.)) WELL, AS ToM LUCE, CHAIRMAN OF THE TEXAS NATIONAL RESEARCH LABORATORY COMMISSION SAID, WITH A LITTLE IMAGINATION, YOU CAN: "CONCLUDE THAT FUTURE RESEARCH IN THE FIELD OF HIGH ENERGY COULD SOME DAY HELP US CONQUER CANCER." - 14 - OR DISCOVER A WAY TO BOOST THE AMOUNT OF INFORMATION ON A MICROCHIP. OR ANSWER QUESTIONS THAT ELUDED EINSTEIN, GIVING US A GLIMPSE OF THE FORCES THAT BIND THE UNIVERSE TOGETHER. THE SSC IS A KEY TO UNDERSTANDING NATURE, AND TO DEVELOPING THE TECHNOLOGIES AND INDUSTRIES OF THE 21st CENTURY. LET ME ASSURE YOU, I WILL BACK THE CONSTRUCTION OF THE SSC BECAUSE IT IS GOOD FOR AMERICA - 15 - AND LET ME ALSO SALUTE YOU, THE MEMBERS OF THE TEXAS HOUSE AND SENATE, AND THE VOTERS OF THIS STATE, FOR HAVING THE VISION TO TAKE AN EARLY LEAD ON THIS PROJECT STILL, NO MATTER HOW DIVERSIFIED AND HIGH-TECH TEXAS BECOMES, A STRONG DOMESTIC ENERGY INDUSTRY IS IMPORTANT TO THE FUTURE OF THIS STATE AND ALL OF AMERICA. I FIND IT DISTURBING THAT NEARLY 50 PERCENT OF AMERICA'S OIL IS IMPORTED. - 16 - THIS IS NOT GOOD FOR OUR NATIONAL SECURITY. SOME ARE QUESTIONING THE FUTURE OF AMERICA'S ENERGY PRODUCTION IN THE AFTERMATH OF THE WRECK OF THE Exxon VALDEZ OFF ALASKA. I AM AS CONCERNED AS YOU -- AND ALL AMERICANS -- ARE BY THE ENVIRONMENTAL TRAGEDY IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. WE ARE USING FEDERAL RESOURCES INTELLIGENTLY IN THE CLEAN-UP EFFORT. WE ARE WORKING WITH INDUSTRY TO DEVELOP AN IMPROVED PLAN IN EVENT OF A FUTURE SPILL. - 17 - BUT SHUTTING DOWN OUR DOMESTIC ENERGY PRODUCTION IS NO ANSWER, AND WOULD MERELY INCREASE OUR DEPENDENCE ON FOREIGN OIL. WE MUST, AND WE WILL, MAINTAIN A STRONG, DOMESTIC ENERGY INDUSTRY. To REDUCE OUR DEPENDENCE ON FOREIGN OIL, WE MUST RETURN TO HIGH LEVELS OF EXPLORATORY DRILLING. I PROPOSE TO STIMULATE DOMESTIC DRILLING WITH TAX CREDITS AND OTHER INCENTIVES. WE NEED MORE RESEARCH TO LEARN HOW TO RECOVER MORE SECONDARY AND TERTIARY OIL. - 18 - AND I WANT TO DO SOMETHING ELSE. TEXAS HAS A 65-YEAR SUPPLY OF ONE OF THE CLEANEST FORMS OF ENERGY KNOWN TO MAN -- NATURAL GAS. I CALL ON CONGRESS, AT LONG LAST, TO FULLY DECONTROL NATURAL GAS I BELIEVE THAT THIS WILL HAPPEN SOON. WE NEED A NATIONAL ENERGY POLICY THAT RELIES NOT ONLY ON OIL, BUT ON MANY OTHER SOURCES. I BELIEVE WE CAN AND MUST USE MORE SAFE NUCLEAR POWER. - 19 - I BELIEVE THAT COAL HAS A BRIGHT FUTURE. You KNOW MY CONFIDENCE IN NATURAL GAS. As WE ALL BECOME INCREASINGLY CONCERNED ABOUT THE NEED FOR CLEAN AIR, WE MUST LOOK MORE TO NATURAL GAS AND TO NUCLEAR POWER. WE MUST PRODUCE MORE OF OUR CORN CROP TO PRODUCE ETHANOL, MORE OF OUR NATURAL GAS TO PRODUCE METHANOL GREATER USE OF THESE TWO WILL RAPIDLY IMPROVE THE AIR QUALITY OF OUR MOST HEAVILY POLLUTED CITIES. - 20 - I KNOW THERE ARE STILL A FEW DARK CLOUDS REMAINING ON OUR ECONOMIC HORIZON. I KNOW THAT YOU ARE CONCERNED ABOUT THE CONTINUING CRISIS IN MANY SAVINGS AND LOAN INSTITUTIONS. I HAVE ASKED FOR MEASURES TO RESTORE THESE INSTITUTIONS TO FINANCIAL HEALTH. AND I HAVE ASKED FOR $37 MILLION IN 1989 FUNDS FOR THE JUSTICE DEPARTMENT, SO THAT THOSE WHO WILLFULLY ABUSE THE TRUST OF SMALL SAVERS CAN EXPECT TO BE PURSUED, AND PUT IN PRISON . - 21 - THE U.S. SENATE HAS ACTED EXPEDITIOUSLY ON THE S & L BILL, WITH STRONG SUPPORT FROM DEMOCRATS AND REPUBLICANS ALIKE. I CALL ON THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES To PASS A RESPONSIBLE S & L BILL AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. TEXAS, LIKE ALL OF AMERICA, FACES MANY CHALLENGES. BUT I BELIEVE THAT BY WORKING TOGETHER, AS REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS, AS FEDERAL AND AS STATE OFFICIALS, WE CAN LICK ANY PROBLEMS DOWN THE PATH. - 22 - FEDERALISM WORKS BECAUSE OF YOUR LEADERSHIP AND YOUR INITIATIVE. THE OLD DICTUM OF THE BEST GOVERNMENT BEING THAT WHICH IS CLOSEST TO THE PEOPLE APPLIES HERE, IN AUSTIN. ((You KNOW, ANN RICHARDS WAS RIGHT ABOUT THAT SILVER FOOT. I KEPT PUTTING IT IN MY MOUTH ALL ALONG. BUT THE BOTTOM LINE IS, WHEN THEY ASK "WHERE'S GEORGE?" ... SAY HE'S IN AUSTIN, AND DAMNED PROUD TO BE BACK .)) - 23 - TRUE, SOME PROBLEMS OF THE RECENT PAST LINGER. SOME AREAS OF THE STATE ARE RECOVERING MORE SLOWLY THAN OTHERS. BUT THE WAY IS CLEAR TO A FUTURE AS BRIGHT AND PROMISING AS THE BLUE TEXAS SKY -- A NEW RELIANCE ON A DIVERSIFIED ECONOMY, AND THE TECHNOLOGIES OF THE NEXT CENTURY. THIS IS THE SECRET OF THE TEXAS TURNAROUND, AND ITS UNFOLDING IS A TRIBUTE TO THE LEADERSHIP OF BILL CLEMENTS, SENATORS GRAMM AND BENTSEN, AND THE MEN AND WOMEN OF THE TEXAS LEGISLATURE - 24 - TEXAS IS STARTING TO FEEL LIKE ITS OLD SELF AGAIN. THERE IS AGAIN A FEELING AMONG TEXANS THAT ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE -- WHO KNOWS, THE RANGERS OR THE ASTROS MIGHT EVEN WIN THE WORLD SERIES As WE FACE OUR FUTURE IN THE WHITE HOUSE, BARBARA AND I TAKE WITH US MEMORIES OF PEOPLE AND PLACES FROM A STATE THAT HAS BEEN HOME FOR MOST OF OUR LIVES. - 25 - WE REMEMBER DRIVING THE KIDS ACROSS TEXAS, AND SLOWING DOWN so WE COULD TAKE IN THE FIELDS OF BLUEBONNETS AND INDIAN PAINTBRUSH. WE REMEMBER THE PEOPLE OF HOUSTON, MANY OF THEM MATURE AND SKEPTICAL, BUT WHO NONETHELESS LISTENED To A GREEN YOUNG MAN AND SENT HIM TO CONGRESS. - 26 - AND I REMEMBER LYNDON JOHNSON AT HIS RANCH BACK IN 1969, AN ELDER DEMOCRAT GIVING NEIGHBORLY ADVICE TO A YOUNG REPUBLICAN, WHILE HIS VERY SPECIAL LADY BIRD HELD OUT HER HAND IN HOSPITALITY. BARBARA AND I TREASURE THESE 41 YEARS AS TEXANS -- THE SIGHTS AND SOUNDS OF HALF A LIFETIME, THE TRUST OF MANY FRIENDS, AND THE LOVE OF A FAMILY. ALL THIS AND MORE, WE REMEMBER WHENEVER WE THINK OF HOME - 27 - LET ME THANK YOU FOR INVITING US BACK TO AUSTIN. GOD BLESS YOU. AND GOD BLESS THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. # # # Mark 4/25 5:15pm REMARKS: TEXAS STATE LEGISLATURE CAPITOL, AUSTIN APRIL 26, WED., 4:40 P.M. ((IT's A GOOD THING THIS ISN'T BILL CLEMENTS' BIRTHDAY ... FROM WHERE I'M STANDING, ANOTHER PLAID DAY IN THE TEXAS LEGISLATURE COULD BLIND A FELLA.)) 14 A The Ballas Morning Nelus Thursday, April 27, 1989 HF BUSH VISITS TEXAS Ann Richards, others praise Bush speech By Wayne Slater barely a dozen feet from the presi- Railroad Commissioner Kent they liked it, they felt the presi- and Sam Attlesey dent, who after bobbling a line in Hance said he liked what he heard dent's message lacked substance. Austin Bureau of The Dallas Morning News his speech looked down and joked, about energy. "The only purpose was to make AUSTIN - Their long-distance "Maybe Ann Richards was right." "It's the first time we've had a Texas feel good about itself," said political spat may have been a For her part, Ms. Richards president make a strong statement Rep. Mike McKinney, D-Centerville. highlight of the political season, praised the president's address about energy," the commissioner "I think it did that. I don't think it but on Wednesday, state Treasurer Wednesday and had only kind said. "He is not going to let Texas' was of substance. I don't think it words for him. Ann Richards and President Bush economy falter." was intended to be." were on their best behavior. "He was cordial today, and I am A recovering energy industry Rep. Bruce Gibson, D-Cleburne, Ms. Richards even wore her sil- grateful for that," she said. and additional developments in the said the speech was "entertaining" ver foot lapel pin, a gift from the After Mr. Bush's 15-minute ad- high-technology field are seen as and "geared toward touching a lot president. dress, legislators, state officials and two key factors in the economic sur- of the emotional bases of Texas "When a gentleman sends you politicians who packed the ornate vival of Texas, and legislators said more than any new policy initia- jewelry and he comes to town, you House chamber gave the president Mr. Bush properly stressed those tives." want to be sure and wear it," said high marks, especially for the points in painting a rosy picture for Sen. Eddie Bernice Johnson, D- Ms. Richards, who sat on the front upbeat tone, talk of his Texas roots the state. Dallas, said the speech failed to ad- row in the House chamber Wednes- and his support for the Supercon- "It was generally a very upbeat dress some major issues, and she day when Mr. Bush addressed legis- ducting Super Collider and the en- and optimistic tone," Mr. Hobby disputed Mr. Bush's contention that lators and state leaders. ergy industry. said. "Texas is back in the saddle." It was the first time the two had House Speaker Gib Lewis and Lt. "He was showing he's concerned Gov. Bill Hobby, both Democrats, and knows what our needs are," "It was a very light speech," she been together since last summer's said they were encouraged; by, the said Rep. Tom Craddick, R-Midland, added. national political conventions, a longtime friend of the president's. And Rep. Curtis Seidlits, D-Sher- when Ms. Richards lampooned Mr. president's pledge to support fed- eral funding for the atom smasher. "I liked the upbeat positive atti- man, echoed Ms. Johnson's senti- Bush with the line: "Poor George. tude," said Clayton Williams, a Mid- ments. He can't help it; he was born with a "That's good news for us," Mr. land oilman and likely GOP candi- "It was a social visit," he said, "a silver foot in his mouth," and Mr. Lewis said. date for governor. tea-time social call." Bush countered in his acceptance "Without strong support from While Republicans found no Staff writers Ann: Marie Kilday speech with a lighthearted jab. the president, its chances for fund- fault with the speech, some Demo- and Siva Vaidhyan than contrib- On Wednesday, Ms. Richards sat ing are much less," Mr. Hobby said. cratic lawmakers said that although uted to this report. Bush seeks advice from former boss Reagan By Kevin Merida was to the left in another cushioned There wasia bit of strain on the Washington Bureau of The Dallas Morning News nia. chair, clad in the familiar brown faces of both men when Mr. Reagan They have spoken by telephone a LOS ANGELES Metaphorically suit, his left hand on his knee. On was asked about Oliver North and fair amount, however, including speaking, it was a meeting of the re- the table beside him was what else? new White House documents re- when Mr. Bush called to apologize tired quarterback and his backup, A bowl of jelly beans. leased during his trial docu- for those newspaper stories in who after eight years on the bench How do you think your successor ments that the congressional com- which Bush aides were trashing is finally calling the signals for the is doing? Mr. Reagan was asked af mittees investigating the Mr. Reagan. nation. ter being told there was consider- tra affair had never seen. There was even a football rest- able discussion of Mr Bushs first To emphasize his high regard for "Well, again, as I say, I just don't ing comfortably under an end table 100 days. his former boss, Mr. Bush told re- think this is a time to comment," in Ronald Reagan's office, a room Well, I'm not a part of that dis- porters that he was there to seek Mr. Reagan said. with a view on the 34th floor of 2121 cussion," he responded, "because I Mr. Reagan's advice. The private meeting Wednesday Fox Plaza. think he's doing just fine. And he morning, which lasted nearly an On what? The current president, George wasa major part of everything that re. hour, was the first between the two "Life its own self," M Bush, took his seat in the middle of Dan we did in the preceding eight years. men since Mr. Bush took office and plied, quoting Texas a tan couch. The former president I'm Very pleased to have him here." Mr. Reagan headed home to Califor- Jenkins. "Life its ow' Photo Copy Preservation Bush talks Back in home state Texas before Legislature President says he thinks economy's on rebound By Kevin Merida Washington Bureau of The Dallas Morning News AUSTIN - On the first 2½ days of a cross- country trip, President Bush mourned the sail- ors killed on the USS Iowa, touted his anti-drug program and extolled his plans to improve American competitiveness. But when he returned to his adopted home state Wednesday, it was time to talk about Texas Ann Richards, others praise speech. 14A Bush meets with Reagan. 14A - Texas culture, the Texas economy, Texas poli- ticians, even his Texas roots. In a personal, often-nostalgic 15-minute ad- dress to the Legislature - the first time a presi- dent has addressed Texas lawmakers since Lyn- don B. Johnson spoke to the Senate in 1965 - Mr. Bush offered a combination pep talk and rhap- sodical history lesson. Defining what it means to be a Texan, the president evoked author Larry McMurtry's tales of cowboys and outlaws, noted that the state Cap- itol was built taller than the nation's Capitol and recalled when he arrived in West Texas after leaving Connecticut in his red Studebaker in June 1948. "Stopping at a cafe," Mr. Bush reflected, "I'll admit it, I didn't know if a chicken-fried steak was a chicken fried like a steak or a steak that tasted like chicken." The one-time Midland oilman even renewed the old debate about his Texas credentials, assur- ing lawmakers that he has a driver's license and hunting license from the Lone Star State. Ac- knowledging that he does have a home in Maine, he said, "It's true I like Kennebunkport, but I am a Texan." The legislators and guests in the ornate House chamber interrupted his speech 10 times with warm and enthusiastic applause. Gov. Bill Clements later presented Mr. Bush a certificate making him an honorary captain in the Texas Rangers, an award that last went to the late John Wayne, and House Speaker Gib Lewis presented Mr. Bush with a gavel. Besides waxing nostalgic about Texas, Mr. Bush also addressed the painful reality with which many Texans have been grappling in re- cent years: "oil cheaper than some fancy mineral water. skylines of sometimes empty buildings, The Dallas Morning News: David Woo expensive homes to be had just for the monthly President Bush addresses the Legisla- dent had done so since Lyndon B. Please see BUSH on Page 15A. ture Wednesday, the first time a presi- Johnson spoke to the Senate in 1965. Photo Copy Preservation Photo Copy Preservation A-12 Thursday, April 27, 1989 543 Bush said his driver's license, BUSH hunting license and voter regis- Bush adds tration card are evidence that his From A-1 heart is in Texas, even if his va- cation home is in Maine. "I like Kennebunkport," he said, "but I his clout der, skeptics have sought to de- am a Texan." rail the plan by convincing mem- Asserting the Texas economy b'ers of Congress from other shows definite signs of recovery, to collider states to vote against financing it. Bush said, "Make no misstate, Bush's firm backing of the pro- Texas is back - back in the sad- ject drew immediate praise from dle - strong in every way. state officials. By Dale Rice "Without strong support from "True, some problems of the TIMES HERALD AUSTIN BUREAU the president, its chances for recent past linger," the president funding are much less," said Lt. said. "But the way is clear to a AUSTIN - In his first major Gov. Bill Hobby, the state's top- future as bright and promising as policy statement on the issue, ranking Democrat. the blue Texas sky - a new reli- President George Bush on "If we have the president's ance on a diversified economy Wednesday strongly endorsed support, it's a great step for- and the technologies of the next construction of the superconduct- ward," said State Treasurer Ann century." ing super collider slated to be Richards, who gained national To help speed the recovery, built near Waxahachie. fame last year when she deliv- Bush said, he supports efforts to Speaking to a joint session of ered the keynote address at the increase production of alternative the Texas Legislature, Bush said Democratic National Convention fuels, including natural gas the giant atom smasher holds and said-Bush had been born which is abundant in Texas. He "the key to understanding nature with a "silver foot in his mouth." also said he was backing mea- and to developing the technolo- In a departure from his pre- sures to restore financial integrity gies and industries of the 21st pared remarks, Bush referred to to the troubled savings and loan century." Richards who sat in the front industry, vowing that those who "Let me assure you, I will back row - and poked fun at the way abused the trust of small savers construction of the SSC because he had jumbled words in his could expect to be "pursued and it is good for the entire United speech. "You know," he said, put in prison. States of America," Bush told "I've been thinking about it. Ann lawmakers and state leaders who While many lawmakers agreed Richards was right. I kept put- are fighting congressional criti- the speech was long on nostalgia ting that silver foot in my mouth cism over the $5.9 billion cost of and short on substance, Sen. Ted the project. all along the way." That statement was one of Lyon, D-Rockwall, said it "was The president praised the the right kind of speech for him many that drew a warm and en- state's lawmakers and voters for to come back and make to the thusiastic response from the their commitment to the project, Texas Legislature." mostly Democratic lawmakers saying, "Texas got its act together and their guests who packed the Rep. Pat Hill, R-Dallas, de- and made an outstanding presen- House chamber for the speech, scribed it as a "feel-good speech," tation early on." the first time in state history that and Rep. Anita Hill, R-Garland, Bush's comments represented his first serious discussion of the am sitting president addressed a called it a "pep talk." joint session of the Legislature. While most praised the speech, super collider since the presiden- tial campaign last fall, when he Bush's support for the super some lawmakers complained that cöllider was one of the few sub- endorsed the huge scientific pro- Bush ignored proposed defense stantive issues in the 18-minute cuts that could cost the Dallas- ject that eventually could pro- duce thousands of jobs in the speech laced with nostalgia and Fort Worth area up to 3,000 jobs references to the state's econom- Dallas area. and billions of dollars in federal ic rebound. funds and had failed to recognize While the Republican presi- dent's budget proposal included "There is no place on earth lingering economic and social like Texas," Bush said, noting start-up funds for the super colli- problems. the state's pink granite Capitol stands one foot taller than the Staff writers Robert V. Camuto and Ben- Please see BUSH, A-12 nett Roth contributed to this report. national Capitol. H Thursday, April 27, 1989 The Ballas Morning Nelus 15 A BUSH VISITS TEXAS Bush says he thinks Texas economy is on rebound medical research; and Austin is in ogy." wake of the Alaska oil spill. Continued from Page 1A. payments, and thousands the forefront of microelectronics. "True, some problems of the recent past linger. "True, some problems of the re- He also called for more of laid-off workers." He praised Texas' leadership for Some areas of the state are recovering more slowly cent past linger," he said. "Some search into how to recover secon But he said: "Strong men and beginning this turnaround, sin- areas of the state are recovering ary and tertiary oil. And notir women are challenged by adversity. gling out Mr. Clements and Republi- than others. But the way is clear to a future as more slowly than others. But the Texas' supply of natural gas, I believe Texans have proven that." can Sen. Phil Gramm and Demo- bright and promising as the blue Texas sky - a way is clear to a future as bright again called for Congress to full Throughout his speech, Mr. cratic Sen. Lloyd Bentsen. and promising as the blue Texas sky decontrol that fuel And he pledged strong backing new reliance on a diversified economy and the - a new reliance on a diversified Bush was careful to mingle the "Texas is starting to feel like i good with the bad. He expressed for the federal government's Super- economy and the technologies of conducting Super Collider, which is technologies of the next century." old self again," Mr. Bush conclude confidence that despite some "dark the next century." "There is again a feeling amor clouds" on the economic horizon, scheduled pto be built in Ellis - President Bush Mr. Bush added, "No matter Texans that anything is possible Texas is on the rebound. County, south of Dallas. how diversified and high-tech Who knows? The Astros might eve as "There may be a few more "The SSC is a key to understand- While the president acknowl- sued, tried and, if guilty, put into Texas becomes, a strong domestic win in the National League and th bumps and bruises ahead," Mr. ing nature and to developing the edged that many Texans are con- prison." energy industry is important to the Texas Rangers, under enlightene Bush said. "But make no mistake, technologies and industries of the cerned about "the continuing cri- In forecasting the state's re- future of this state and all of Amer- new leadership, might win in th Texas is back - back in the saddle, 21st century," said Mr. Bush. sis" in the savings and loan indus- bound, Mr. Bush cited the lowest ica." American League." strong in every way." "Let me assure you, I will back try, he also noted that the Senate Texas unemployment rate in four He noted that the Dallas-Fort the construction of the SSC because has passed his S&L bailout package. years as a sign that the economy is He reiterated his commitment The-president's son, Dallas bus Worth metropolitan area is a leader it is good for the entire United And he reiterated his;promise that becoming more diversified. And he to preserving the domestic energy nessman George W. Bush, is a ne in defense and aviation technology; States of America," he said, trigger- "those who willfully abuse the trust further boasted that Texas is be- "industry despite some questions owner of the Texas Rangers bas Houston is a center of space and bio- ing applause. of small savers can expect to be pur- coming "a world center of technol- *about future oil production in the ball team. Photo Copy Preservation CB CB GH MS Issue 89:4 1.7 989 FISCAL Bob Bullock, Texas Comptroller of Public A Economy ter Index Industr S Many Texas busi High-tech superstars During 1983-88, five high-tech industries created a total of 38,500 new jobs. As a group, they added positions at an 8 percent annual rate. SUPERSTAR Wages, new jobs in thousands Miscellaneous $21.0 plastics mfg. 7.2 Health spending could boost Texas' Aircraft $33.1 share of federal 14.5 grants Electronic $28.8 Legislative proposals parts mfg. by the Comptroller's 5.2 $39.3 Office would allow the state to capture more A is an area of Texas industry Missiles & federal aid money for the superstar state's economy (group that space mfg. 5.5 medical services for $40.0 Texas' poorest citizens Computer by raising the state's of similar cigarette tax. Page 7. added at 1983 and with of programming 6.1 between annual average job more. growth 4 percent or Annual wages per employee Texas at a glance (based on 1st quarter 1988) Financial Tables Job increase from 1983-88 Pages 9-11. SOURCES: Texas Employment Commission and Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. he fastest- A close look at the much of the state's T growing highest-growth indus- economy was rocked by Texas in- tries can test some the changing fortunes dustries commonly-held notions of oil and real estate. are help- about the trends that But 28 other industries ing to create and define are shaping the new enjoyed an explosion of Passengers taking off the state's emerging, Texas: Will the future in record numbers job growth-accounting The number of passen- post-bust economy-an economy be dominated for four out of every five gers flying through economy shifting from by high-tech, high pay- Texas jobs created be- Texas airports has over-reliance on energy ing professions, or by tween 1983 and 1988. soared in recent years. to a healthy diversity of low-wage service jobs? During this time, Page 12. manufacturing, services During the boom-and- these 28 "superstar" in- and trade. bust cycle of the 1980s, See page 2 Industry superstars dustries each created more than 5,000 new Superstar industries job growth jobs and added employ- Of the 28 superstars, psychiatric hospitals added jobs ment substantially fastest during 1983-88. faster than the overall Growth in the state rate.¹ In all, the Annual average superstar industries Rank Industry percent growth superstar created 347,500 of the 1 Psychiatric hospitals 39.7 net total 428,000 new 2 Health & allied services 17.3 industries is jobs added in Texas in 3 Temporary help services 15.1 producing the 1983-88 period. 4 Employment agencies 13.6 (While Texas lost 5 Computer programming services 13.0 207,000 jobs during the 6 Miscellaneous business services 12.5 lasting 1986-87 recession, all of 7 Airlines 10.7 changes in these jobs have been re- 8 Mortgage companies 10.1 gained and total em- 9 Missile & spacecraft manufacturing 10.1 the Texas 10 Domestic services 9.9 ployment is now higher 11 Legal services 9.5 than ever before.) economy. 12 State savings & loan associations 9.3 "The superstar indus- 13 Management, consulting & public relations 8.6 tries prove something 14 Security brokers & dealers 8.6 I've said before-the 15 Electronic parts manufacturing 7.8 Texas economy has fi- 16 Aircraft manufacturing 7.7 nally developed a re- 17 Child day care services 6.8 silience and strength 18 Family clothing stores 6.4 that will enable it to 19 Real estate agents & managers 6.3 20 Miscellaneous plastics manufacturing 5.8 prosper in spite of 21 Equipment rental & leasing 5.6 short-term reversals," 22 Physicians' offices 5.1 said Comptroller Bob 23 Real estate operators 4.8 Bullock. 24 Cleaning & janitorial services 4.8 THE The industry super- 25 Accounting & auditing services 4.6 of COMPTROLLER stars make up a diverse 26 Insurance agents & brokers 4.3 OFFICE group that includes 27 Detective & protective services 4.2 spacecraft manufactur- 28 Restaurants & bars 4.0 ers and day-care work- 28 superstars average-6.7 ers, as well as stock Total Texas average-1.4 FISCALNOTES brokers, clothing retail- ers and physicians. Not SOURCES: Texas Employment Commission a single one of the su- and Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. perstars is involved in Growth in the boom- tech manufacturing in- oil and gas. related companies has dustries and another Articles and analysis ap- These 28 industries cooled off since the re- benefits from advanced pearing in Fiscal Notes fall into four basic cate- do not necessarily repre- cession. But the other technological processes. sent the policy or en- gories: high-technology categories continue to During 1983-88, the dorsement of the Comp- companies, high-paying expand. Their growth is five high-tech super- troller of Public Accounts. service industries, other producing lasting struc- stars created 38,500 Space is devoted to a services, and industries tural changes in the new jobs, producing wide variety of topics of related to the real estate Texas interest and general Texas economy. new employment at a boom of the mid-1980s. government concern. rate of 8 percent a year. Contributors to this issue Hightechtakesoff: High- In 1988, average wages include: Phyllis Coombes, 1 Based on Texas Employment technology industries per employee for the Linda Gibson, Don Kiser, Commission nonfarm wage and are often touted as a vi- high-tech superstars Kate McKenna, Roy salary employment, first quarter tal part of Texas' eco- were $31,100, substan- Morey, Dwain Osborne, 1983-88; The Comptroller's Office Audrey Pennington, Tom defined the 28 "superstars" as in- nomic future, and the tially higher than the Plaut, Dan Thompson, dustries that gained at least 5,000 superstars survey sup- state average of Charles Worth Ward and jobs and averaged at least 4.0 per- ports this idea. Of the $20,800. Bruce Lanier Wright. cent employment growth rate be- tween 1983 and 1988, substantially 28 superstars, one pro- Fastest-growing of the higher than the state's 1.4 percent vides high-technology high-tech superstars average annual rate for that period. services, three are high- was the computer pro- 2 April 1989, FISCAL NOTES Industry superstars gramming and software industry uses advanced dominated by service- services industry. Total technology to manufac- related jobs, and again, employment in the in- ture a wide variety of the superstars reflect dustry rose by an aver- specialized products this. Aside from the five age 13 percent annual- such as molded auto high-tech firms, the re- Contrary to the ly, from 7,300 in 1983 to parts, packaging mate- maining 23 superstar more than 13,400 in rials and various con- industries are all ser- stereotype, 1988. sumer items. This in- vice-producing. Howev- many superstar The Reagan-era de- dustry's employment er, the common idea fense buildup produced grew by 5.8 percent per that a service-based services pay good times for manufac- year, hiring 7,200 addi- economy in Texas neces- turers of guided mis- tional workers in the sarily means low wages above-average siles and space vehicles, five-year period. This is not supported by evi- who increased their job growth has occurred dence. wages. Texas work force by an at twin-plant operations In direct contradiction average 10.1 percent on the Mexican border, to the popular stereo- between 1983 and 1988, at large Gulf Coast type, seven of the su- with total industry em- manufacturing plants perstar service indus- ployment rising from and at small businesses tries pay above-average 8,900 to 14,300. throughout the state. wagès. For these seven, Electronic component High world demand 1988 wages averaged manufacturers, helped makes the prospects for $35,500, considerably by the falling value of continued growth seem higher than the state the dollar and strong excellent. average. In all, the worldwide demand, in- high-wage services su- creased their Texas em- Top-dollar services: An- perstars created 81,600 ployment by an average other popular notion jobs between 1983 and 7.8 percent annually holds that the future 1988, a seven percent over 1983-88, creating state economy will be See page 4 5,200 new jobs. Job gains in the Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex-the Top-dollar superstars state's high-tech cen- ter-accounted for a In 1988, seven service industries paid wages large part of this substantially better, than the $20,800 state average. growth. Wages, new jobs in thousands Texas aircraft manu- SUPERSTAR facturing was also Insurance agents $25.6 boosted by higher de- & brokers 8.2 fense spending and, more recently, foreign $37.4 Legal services sales spurred by the 19.5 soft dollar. Aircraft manufacturers increased Physicians' offices $39.5 their Texas employment 15.0 by 7.7 percent annually, Management, from 32,400 in 1983 to consulting & $31.0 public relations 8.8 46,900 in 1988. Indus- try analysts expect air- Accounting & $24.9 craft manufacturing to auditing services 6.8 Annual wages per employee continue operating at (based on 1st quarter 1988) the current high level Airlines $33.8 Job increase from 1983-88 for at least two years 18.2 before the effect of de- clining orders begins to Security brokers, $76.1 be felt. dealers 5.1 S The state's miscella- neous plastic products SOURCES: Texas Employment Commission and Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. FISCAL NOTES, April 1989, 3 Industry superstars year, for an 8,200-job Boom-related superstars gain. Several real estate-related industries boomed in the Physicians' offices also mid-1980s, and have since slowed down. qualify as high-paying Wages, new jobs in thousands service superstars, with SUPERSTAR job growth that rose by Real estate $17.0 5.1 percent a year, gen- operators 12.2 erating 15,000 new jobs. The spread of medical Real estate $20.3 insurance to more of the agents & mgrs. 9.0 population, increased medical specialization State S&L $23.9 and the general aging of associations. 8.0 $28.5 the state population all encouraged this growth. Mortgage companies 5.0 Other services expand: Half of the superstar in- Annual wages per employee dustries paid lower av- (based on 1st quarter 1988) erage wages per em- Job increase from 1983-88 ployee than the state average in 1988. These SOURCES: Texas Employment Commission and Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. industries-all service providers-have been annual increase in jobs. International Airport. affected by the chang- Highest paid, at an Legal services em- ing pattern of the average $76,100 per ployment rose from less 1980s' work force, as an employee, were the se- than 34,200 to nearly influx of temporary and curity brokers and deal- 53,700, a 9.5 percent part-time workers has ers who prospered annual growth rate. depressed average earn- throughout the invest- Much of this expansion ings per employee. ment boom of the represented the hiring The fastest-growing of 1980s, with total em- of legal assistants and these lower-wage indus- ployment rising by other support person- tries, health and allied 5,100 jobs or 8.6 per- nel. services-dominated cent annually. Nearly Management, consult- by home health care In some service half of these jobs were ing and public relations providers-more than industries, an located in the Dallas services employment doubled its employment area, where brokerage rose by 8.6 percent an- between 1983 and 1988, influx of employment grew at nually, creating 8,800 growing an average 11.7 percent annually Texas jobs over five 17.3 percent annually part-time and throughout 1983-88. years. These firms, and creating 22,700 temporary Airline deregulation which offer a wide new jobs. Another in the 1980s increased range of technical and health-related industry, workers has hiring at Texas air car- management expertise psychiatric facilities, riers, as competitive to other businesses, enjoyed the fastest depressed ticket pricing put record have flourished in the growth of all the super- numbers of travelers in wake of increasing spe- stars, averaging 39.7 average the air. The Texas air cialization in the Texas percent annual growth earnings. transportation industry business community. and adding 5,100 jobs added 18,200 Texas jobs Accounting, auditing in 1983-88. while enjoying average and bookkeeping ser- Some personal service annual growth of 10.7 vices generated 6,800 industries with a heavy percent. Nearly three- new jobs at a 4.6 per- reliance on part-time quarters of these jobs cent annual growth and temporary workers were created in the rate. Employment also also performed well. Metroplex area, mostly increased for insurance Private household work- at Dallas-Fort Worth firms by 4.3 percent per ers-cooks, gardeners, 4 April 1989, FISCAL NOTES Industry superstars maids and other domes- tic workers-increased Other service superstars employment by 9.9 per- Service industries with a heavy reliance on part-time cent a year throughout and temporary workers have prospered in the 1980s. 1983-88, gaining 6,500 jobs. Child day care ser- Wages, new jobs in thousands vices also boomed by 8,000 jobs at 6.8 per- Detective & $11.3 cent annual growth, protective services 5.6 driven by ever-larger Cleaning & $7.3 SUPERSTAR numbers of two-worker janitorial services 9.5 and single-parent house- holds. Equipment $17.2 Although many retail rental & leasing 5.3 businesses bogged down during the oil and real $19.7 Psychiatric hospitals estate bust, two retail 5.1 industries-clothing stores and restaurants Miscellaneous $16.0 business services and bars-produced big 15.6 employment gains, with Child day $7.4 many new full-time, care services 8.0 part-time and tempo- rary jobs. Domestic services $8.5 Employment at cloth- 6.5 ing stores rose by 8,700 Annual wages per employee between 1983-88, an Employment agencies $15.3 (based on 1st quarter 1988) average 6.4 percent an- 5.6 Job increase from 1983-88 nually. And another retail Family clothing stores $10.9 trade superstar-restau- 8.7 rants and bars-stepped Health & allied services $6.7 up hiring in the 1980s. 22.7 In all, eating and drink- ing establishments added $11.1 Temporary help services 70,200 new jobs over 30.5 the five-year period, climbing from 322,900 Restaurants and bars $7.7 jobs in 1983 to 393,100 70.2 in 1988-an average 4 percent growth rate. Much of this growth is SOURCES: Texas Employment Commission and Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. due to larger numbers of working women and Fastest growing of 13.6 percent average people who live alone, these was the tempo- annual growth rate) and the greater demand rary help industry, and miscellaneous busi- for leisure time, which which offers firms sig- ness services-a broad have boosted consumers' nificant savings on per- category including no- desire for convenience. sonnel and paperwork taries public, business Many of the industry costs. Temporary ser- records and investor in- superstars provide busi- vices averaged 15.1 per- formation firms, tele- ness services. Much of cent annual growth in phone answering ser- this growth has result- the five-year period, vices and companies in ed from the trend adding 30,500 jobs. the booming field of among businésses to Other successful busi- telemarketing (15,600 contract with outside ness services include jobs created, with in- firms for specialized employment agencies dustry employment ris- services. (5,600 new jobs at a See page 6 FISCAL NOTES. April 1989 5 Industry superstars 1988, the mortgage in- Texas employment 1983-88 dustry grew at an annu- Texas employment hit an all-time high of 6.71 million al rate of 10.1 percent jobs in the last quarter of 1988. and created 5,000 jobs. Savings and loans also Millions of jobs Seasonally adjusted registered net gains, 6.8 nonfarm employment with 9.3 percent annual growth and 8,000 new jobs. But employment 6.6 in both industries has dropped since the col- 6.4 lapse of the Texas real estate market. The only real estate- 6.2 related superstar that ex- perienced steady growth throughout the 1983-88 6.0 period was the real es- 1 234 1234 1234 1234 1234 1234 tate operator and lessor '83 '84 '85 '86 '87 '88 industry, businesses that manage offices, SOURCES: Texas Employment Commission and Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. apartments and other property. Employment ing by 12.5 percent per of the five-year period in this sector grew by year). and have since leveled 12,200 jobs in five years, Equipment rental and off. Several Texas in- a 4.8 percent average leasing services employ- dustries related to real annual growth rate. ment rose by 5.6 per- estate blossomed in the cent annually and mid-1980s, only to expe- Resilient economy: While added 5,300 jobs be- rience falling employ- the superstar industries Today's industry tween 1983 and 1988, ment in the aftermath prospered, much of the as more companies dis- of the boom years. Texas economy stagnat- superstars are covered the cost advan- Overall, real estate ed in the 1980s, hurt by tages of leasing. agents, brokers and falling oil prices and the leading Texas Cleaning and mainte- managers increased devastation of the real to record nance businesses, which employment by 6.3 per- estate market. provide janitorial and cent per year between But the superstars employment other services, grew at 1983 and 1988, with to- managed to thrive dur- 4.8 percent per year, tal jobs moving from ing the recession, and a netting 9,500 new jobs 25,100 to 34,100-a cu- adding employment at a over five years. mulative performance 6.7 percent annual rate revitalized Security guard ser- qualifying for superstar compared to only 1.4 vices make up the status. But employment percent annual growth economy. largest portion of the in this industry peaked for the state economy as detective agencies and at nearly 38,200 in the a whole. And today, the protective services in- first quarter of 1986 state's high-tech and dustry, which has in- and has since fallen. service industry super- creased employment by Similar patterns have stars are leading Texas 4.2 percent per year, affected the state's sav- to record employment adding 5,600 new jobs ings and loans associa- and a revitalized econo- over five years. tions and mortgage my. At the end of 1988, bankers, which are Texas nonfarm employ- Boom-related superstars: closely linked to the for- ment hit an all-time Most of the industry su- tunes of Texas' real es- high of 6.71 million, ex- perstars gained jobs tate and construction ceeding the previous steadily, but some ex- markets. peak of 6.68 million set ploded in the beginning Between 1983 and at the end of 1985. 6 April 1989, FISCAL NOTES Health spending + n- u- nt )S. so Health spending could boost is, al ew Texas' share of federal grants nt as ol- al ompared to other states, ce- Texas gets a Per capita expenditures ex- relatively for Medicaid services poor return $600 th 88 on the tax dollars it Of the 10 largest states, only sends to Washington, Florida spent less per 500 es- or and the disparity is es- capita than Texas. pecially dramatic in fed- 400 Federal fiscal es eral grants to Texas state year 1987 es, er and local government. 300 nt In 1987, Texas re- by ceived only $1 in grants 200 rs, from the federal govern- ge ment for every $1.41 sent to Washington. 100 New York paid only 75 ile cents to get the same ies federal dollar. In fact, Texas ranked 49th California illiniois he among states in this New North at- by rate of return. SOURCE: Texas Department of Human Services. he "Clearly, we're not eal getting our fair share of and social programs. gram and other state federal aid," said Bob programs that are eligi- irs Bullock, Texas Comp- Funding lags: One ma- ble for matching grants troller of Public Ac- jor reason for Texas' of federal funds. ir- counts. n, poor showing in federal In 1987, Texas ranked a Legislative proposals grant money is the way 43rd in the nation in its "Clearly, we're ite by the Comptroller's Of- the state funds many of per capita Medicaid ex- .4 fice would allow the its health and social penditures, at $114.90 not getting th state to capture more programs. per person. Less than our fair share as federal aid money for Unlike other states, 29 percent of all Texans he Texas' poorest citizens. Texas pays much of the living in poverty are of federal nd These proposals would tab for indigent health covered by Medicaid. raise the state's cigar- care through programs Texas is 47th among aid," said Bob er- tas ette tax and direct the funded entirely by state states by this measure. ent additional revenue- and local dollars. This By comparison, Califor- Bullock, Texas no- $166 million-to the situation is largely due nia covers more than 86 Comptroller 88. state's Department of to the patchwork man- percent of its poor popu- Human Services (TDHS). ner in which these pro- lation. of Public me This additional spend- grams evolved. Rela- Texas' Medicaid pro- ing by TDHS could win tively little of Texas gram also does not cover Accounts. 'us Texas $274 million more health spending is chan- many types of treat- set in federal matching neled through the ment commonly provid- funds for vital health state's Medicaid pro- See page 8 FISCAL NOTES, April 1989, 7 Health spending Map shows tax rate How states' cigarette tax rates compare Cents per package of 20 The map shows the cigarette tax rate on Feb. 1, 1989. At 30.1 to 40.0 that time 12 states had rates higher than Texas. The chart 20.1 to 30.0 shows the number of states with higher rates since 1972. 10.1 to 20.0 0.1 to 10.0 Number of states 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 Number of states 0 with higher rates '72 '75 '80 '85 '89 SOURCE: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. ed in other states. For doctors and hospitals per pack. Some other to- example, Texas' Medi- -the amounts paid to bacco taxes also would caid does not cover out- health care practition- be increased by an equiv- patient clinic services, ers for medical services alent amount (about 27 but 47 other states do. provided under Medi- percent.) Similarly, most states caid-are SO low that This increase would provide psychiatric care they strain the financial give Texas the fourth- for the elderly and for ability of some Texas highest cigarette tax in children in state mental hospitals to provide in- the nation, about where hospitals under Medi- digent health care. it stood in the 1970s. caid, but Texas pays for (Texas actually had these types of care en- The plan: Today, the the third-highest rate tirely with state dollars, Texas cigarette tax is 26 throughout much of the through the Texas De- cents per pack. Twelve decade, and was consis- partment of Mental other states have higher tently in the top five un- Health and Mental Re- rates. Under the Comp- til 1982.) This ranking tardation. troller's proposals, the may be expected to fall, And Texas' Medicaid tax would be raised by since at least 15 other reimbursement rates for seven cents, to 33 cents See page 9 How the plan works A 7c per pack increase in the Texas cigarette tax would yield $440 million for health and human services. Would yield Increase the Texas cigarette tax from Thus generating Plus $440 26c to 33c $166 Million $274 Million per pack- a 7c increase additional tax revenue Million in additional (along with other directed to state health federal funds. in new money tobacco tax hikes). and social programs. for health and human services. SOURCE: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. 8 April 1989, FISCAL NOTES Texas production and consumption indicators (Amounts in millions) Motor fuel Cigarette Year and Crude oil Natural gas Gallons Cement pkgs. Auto sales month Bbls. Value MCF Value Gasoline Diesel Tons taxed net value 1987 January 62.0 $ 1,008.9 452.6 $ 634.2 650.9 110.7 0.69 147.9 $ 1,102.0 February 56.2 934.3 410.3 570.9 596.6 111.9 0.60 120.0 1,164.8 March 63.0 1,049.4 442.2 609.0 700.9 135.4 0.79 128.8 1,356.9 April 60.5 1,019.1 436.7 583.2 697.7 124.6 0.82 136.5 1,377.4 May 60.5 1,054.3 429.5 560.7 690.6 120.4 0.66 135.0 1,347.0 June 58.8 1,060.4 420.5 539.9 691.6 129.4 0.65 159.3 1,548.8 July 60.7 1,151.3 414.9 544.4 742.7 124.6 0.79 163.6 1,521.9 August 59.8 1,142.0 422.3 544.7 715.2 120.6 0.73 160.4 1,579.3 September 58.5 1,062.1 410.5 509.4 684.7 129,0 0.69 158.7 1,229.0 October 60.8 1,100.4 426.7 533.1 744.5 156.3 0.79 130.5 1,016.0 November 57.8 1,028.3 430.9 564.0 665.1 109.4 0.59 97.8 1,163.3 December 59.7 994.6 497.7 667.3 717.0 124.0 0.58 143.8 1,149.0 Total 718.3 $12,605.1 5,194.7 $6,860.9 8,297.5 1,496.3 8.38 1,682.3 $ 15,555.4 1988 January 59.8 $ 950.7 456.2 $ 732.6 630.3 111.7 0.52 122.0 $ 1,150.0 February 56.2 884.6 464.9 680.8 649.6 113.8 0.57 124.2 1,364.6 March 60.2 908.3 450.5 637.2 731.2 133.3 0.69 132.1 1,448.5 April 57.8 931.4 413.4 r 555.9 Γ 699.5 114.2 0.69 125.8 1,433.7 May 58.5 961.1 422.4 r 522.0 r 722.2 115.4 0.71 139.5 1,524.0 June 57.0 896.1 408.4 r 527.1 r 723.3 133.4 0.70 141.3 1,405.4 July 57.8 828.1 422.2 r 559.2 r 718.8 117.2 0.62 r 124.7 1,512.5 August 58.4 r 829.8 r 434.5 r 606.7 r 741.9 125.9 0.67 134.9 1,217.2 September 51.8 e 702.4 e 408.6 e 596.6 e 691.2 131.7 0.59 r 141.6 1,414.1 October 47.0 e 596.0 e 421.5 e 632.3 e 693.2 123.8 0.61 132.4 1,206.2 November 52.1 e 644.5 e 423.5 e 647.9 e 698.1 123.7 0.57 129.3 1,127.9 December 53.9 e 752.4 e 720.5 133.1 0.52 140.2 1,359.1 Total 670.5 e $ 9,885.4 e 4,726.1 e $6,698.3 e 8,419.8 1,477.2 7.47 1,588.0 $ 16,163.2 1989 January 49.8 e $ 795.4 e 609.9 121.5 0.49 128.9 $ 1,241.5 February 103.4 Total 49.8 e $ 795.4 e 609.9 121.5 0.49 232.3 $ 1,241.5 e - estimated r - revised Note: Crude oil and natural gas show taxable production and net taxable value for the production month. Totals may not add due to rounding. SOURCE: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. states are currently con- This increased medi- lion a year. raising Medicaid re- sidering raising their cal spending could par- imbursements to doctors cigarette tax rates. tially offset the tremen- The benefits: The $166 and hospitals, and The proposed in- dous medical costs of million in state tax rev- expanding the state's crease would generate smoking. In recent enue, combined with the Aid to Families with De- $166 million in addi- years, a number of $274 million in federal pendent Children pro- tional tax revenue dur- states have attempted aid, adds up to $440 gram. ing the 1990-91 state to estimate these costs; million in new money These proposals would budget period. the Texas Department for health and human allow the state to fi- This additional $166 of Health (TDH) has es- services. This money nance significant im- million would be direct- timated that expendi- could be put to work in provements in state ed to TDHS, for use in tures for the prevention, several different ways, health care at a rela- state programs that are diagnosis and treatment including: tively low price. In ef- eligible for more federal of smoking-related dis- changing Medicaid fect, Texas can earn aid. This would bring eases and medical con- eligibility to give more nearly two extra dollars another $274 million in ditions exceed $1.6 bil- low-income, pregnant in federal aid for each federal funds to Texas lion annually in Texas. women, children and dollar of additional cig- during 1990-91. Essen- TDH also estimates nursing home residents arette tax revenue, and tially, Texas could more that lost income and access to health ser- use them to benefit than double its money productivity for individ- vices; the state's neediest citi- from the rate increase uals who are disabled by expanding Medicaid zens. by taking better advan- or die prematurely from coverage to more types its. tage of federal aid. smoking totals $1.7 bil- of treatment; FISCAL NOTES, April 1989, 9 State of Texas 1 February statement of cash condition (Amounts in millions) General revenue Special funds Total cash Beginning cash balance February 1, 1989 $ 730.4 $1,527.3 $2,257.7 Revenue/expenditures Revenue 947.7 922.2 1,869.9 Expenditures -486.8 -945.6 -1,432.5 Net income (outgo) 460.8 -23.4 437.4 Net interfund transfers and investment transactions -458.1 196.6 -261.5 Total transactions 2.7 173.2 175.9 2 Ending cash balance February 28, 1989 $ 733.1 $1,700.5 $2,433.7 Cash stated is Comptroller's Office Book Cash and may vary from cash deposited with the Treasury. Net amounts shown (less refunds) exclude some transactions not cleared through the Comptroller's Office. Suspense and Trust Funds are included as are unemployment compensation trust funds collected by the state but held in the Federal Treasury. Totals may not add due to rounding. 2The ending General Revenue Fund balance includes $947.6 million borrowed from other state funds for cash flow management. SOURCE: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. State revenue 1 Monthly Year-to-date All funds revenue September 1988 - February 1989 (Amounts in millions) February Percent change 1989 Revenue from last FY4 Tax collections by major tax Sales tax $ 619.1 $ 3,465.7 15.8% Oil production tax 10.4 190.5 -31.7 Natural gas production tax 61.1 308.8 25.6 Motor fuels taxes (gasoline, diesel, LPG) 38.5 672.9 -6.5 Motor vehicle sales tax 72.8 459.5 7.4 Franchise tax 8.0 -74.9 -533.9 Cigarette and tobacco taxes 28.4 210.4 4.6 Alcoholic beverages taxes 23.2 159.3 1.3 Insurance companies 2 tax 1.4 122.9 55.6 Utility taxes 36.3 83.8 0.9 Inheritance tax 3.1 56.8 9.2 Telephone tax 0.0 7.6 -33,5 Hotel and motel tax 12.4 51.1 30.8 Other taxes 3 1.1 14.4 22.8 Total tax collections $ 915.8 $ 5,728.7 7.8% Revenue by receipt type Tax collections (detail above) $ 915.8 $ 5,728.7 7.8% Business/professional fees 13.1 92.6 -3.4 Noncommercial permits and licenses 62.3 497.1 5.7 Violations, fines and penalties 8.6 46.6 9.4 State service fees 23.9 143.5 10.2 Sales, rental and repayments of goods and services 14.3 76.7 3.4 Federal receipts 393.6 2,388.1 7.4 Interest/dividends 314.9 1,582.7 9.3 Land income 23.2 133.2 -11.6 Other receipts 100.0 501.3 39.5 Total revenue $1,869.9 $11,190.6 8.5% Excludes some revenue not cleared through the Comptroller's Office. Totals may not add due to rounding. ²Includes the Utility, Gas Utility Administration and the Public Utilities Gross Receipts taxes. ³Includes the Ad Valorem, Cement and Sulphur taxes and other occupation and gross receipts taxes not separately identified. 4Due to accounting changes, some percentages are based on different data than reported in the last fiscal year. SOURCE: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. 10 April 1989, FISCAL NOTES State expenditures by object 1 All funds Monthly Year-to-date expenditures September 1988 - February 1989 (Amounts in millions) February Percent change Objects 1989 Expenditures from last FY Salaries and wages $ 360.1 $ 2,083.0 8.2% Other personal services 207.2 1,085.7 10.6 Consumable supplies and materials 25.2 146.6 -8.5 Current and recurring operating expenses 56.8 362.8 5.7 Assistance and medical care for the needy 252.3 1,363.4 5.7 Foundation school program grants 213.0 2,363.4 1.3 Other public education grants 62.2 470.6 23.4 Grants to higher education 5.3 236.2 1.3 Other grants 71.8 431.2 15.6 Payment of principal on indebtedness 0.1 83.9 -56.5 Payment of interest and other claims 4.2 164.5 -3.3 Capital outlay for highways 113.2 848.9 1.7 Capital outlay for land and buildings 32.4 154.9 28.1 Other capital outlay 28.6 250.7 -5.0 Total expenditures $1,432.5 $10,045.7 4.6% 1Excludes some expenditures not cleared through the Comptroller's Office. Totals may not add due to rounding. SOURCE: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. State expenditures by function 1 Monthly Year-to-date All funds expenditures September 1988 - February 1989 February Percent change (Amounts in millions) 1989 Expenditures from last FY2 Category Administrative Executive departments $ 45.0 $ 266.1 0.8% Business regulatory commissions 17.2 95.1 28.3 Legislative 5.3 27.7 9.7 Judicial 4.3 25.7 2.6 Total $ 71.7 $ 414.7 7.2% Services Welfare $ 297.6 $ 1,635.4 6.5% Mental health, state homes and corrections 123.4 679.0 21.0 Health and sanitation 28.0 166.8 10.0 Law enforcement 14.7 89.0 4.2 Total $ 463.7 $ 2,570.2 10.1% Improvements Highway maintenance and construction $ 180.6 $ 1,272.0 0.1% Natural resources 13.9 84.6 6.3 Parks and monuments 8.9 63.0 7.4 Total $ 203.4 $ 1,419.6 0.8% Education Support to state and local education $ 469.9 $ 4,199.0 3.9% State contribution to teacher retirement 65.9 411.4 3.0 Total $ 535.8 $ 4,610.4 3.8% Other Expenditures Grants to political subdivisions and others. $ 71.8 $ 431.2 15.6% Payment of public debt 4.2 248.2 -31.5 Social security contribution 47.4 231.8 7.8 State contribution to employee retirement 32.3 103.2 58.2 Miscellaneous 2.0 16.5 -6.3 Total $ 157.8 $ 1,030.9 -0.2% Total expenditures $1,432.5 $10,045.7 4.6% 1 Excludes some expenditures not cleared through the Comptroller's Office. Totals may not add due to rounding. 2Due to accounting changes, some percentages are based on different data than reported in the last fiscal year. SOURCE: Bob Bullock. Comptroller of Public Accounts. FISCAL NOTES, April 1989 11 Passengers taking off in record numbers The number of passengers flying through Texas airports has soared in recent years and 1988 was no exception as 44.5 million passengers flew out of the state's 13 largest airports. Glance Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport continues to be one of the world's busiest airports. More than 22.1 million passengers boarded planes at D/FW in 1988. Total passenger traffic at Texas' 36 largest airports rose from nearly 27.5 million in 1979 to 43.7 million in 1987-a 37.1 percent increase. Number of passengers catching planes in Texas Millions of passengers 79 '80 '81 '82 '83 '84 '85 '86 87 Texas' busiest airports 22.1 43.7 Millions of passengers 41.9 boarding planes in 1988 41.0 7.5 37.4 32.8 31.3 3.8 29.2 27.5 26.8 2.5 2.5 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.4 McAllen Corpus Christi Midland Paso Austin Dallas Loventonio Sanouston Hobby Houston Int'l D/FW SOURCES: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts and U.S. Department of Transportation. FISCALNOTES BULK RATE U.S. POSTAGE PAID TEXAS COMPTROLLIST AUSTIN, TX Economic Analysis Center PERMIT NO. 1411 OF PUBLICE OF For additional copies write: ACCOUNT Bob Bullock, State Comptroller Economic Analysis Center P.O. Box 13528, Capitol Station 5063758 FIS Austin, TX 78711 MR. RANDALL H. ERBEN DEPUTY DIRECTOR E GENERAL COUNSEL Material in Fiscal Notes is not OFFICE OF STATE-FEDERAL RELATIONS copyrighted and may be repro- INTERASENCY duced. The Comptroller of Pub- lic Accounts would appreciate credit for the material used and a copy of the reprint. 12 April 1989, FISCAL NOTES Brent Petersen I believe America can meet any challenge to remain leader. But we must speed up our pace from slow m time. The schools must improve education; the wo improve productivity; the plants must improve their We owe it to our children to pass on to them, intact, precious inheritance-the American heritage. Jack Anderson: We must act now Who Owns Los Angeles? About 64 percent of the real estate in downtown Los Angeles is owned by foreigners, much of it by people in Tokyo, London, Bonn and Toronto. So is 39 percent of ers, ic cli as well as a third of the office space in Minneapolis, increasingly, the towering buildings that form the familiar our cities are being purchased by foreign investors who have benefited from the slumping U.S. dollar. vigil able Fo U.S. sume of Of biles It or C who mag men ager men mat over lion . H owr at l plar Japa The of d A f. strc maj clos chas ices to C thei: T eig States actually bid against one another-offering incentives and subsidies-to attract foreign investors. Below is a breakdown, in cou mons of dollars, of foreign-owned plants, property and equipment in all 50 states and the District of Columbia, as of 1986. An ves $40,324,000,000 Oklahoma 5,172,000,000 Kansas 2,158,000,000 S 37,017,000,000 Colorado. 4,881,000,000 New Mexico 2,132,000,000 off 18,016,000,000 4,442,000,000 Hawaii. 2,013,000,000 tra 15,134,000,000 Massachusetts 4,038,000,000 Oregon 1,671,000,000 sta 13,562,000,000 Artzona 4,006,000,000 Montana 1,597,000,000 lici 11,057,000,000 Kentucky 3,959,000,000 lowe 1,555,000,000 ( 10,608,000,000 3,586,000,000 Maine 1,373,000,000 COI 9,530,000,000 Issort 3,487,000,000 District of Cokumbia L,362,000,000 Th 9,487,000,000 3,398,000,000 North Dakota 1,362,000,000 for 9,293,000,000 3,187,000,000 Nevada .000 tor 8,611,000,000 3,153,000,000 Arkansas 1.148.058.000 ert 8,270,000,000 2,931,000,000 New Hampshire 764,000,000 ex 7,272,000,000 Delaware ,000,000 Rhede Island 474,006,000 bu 5,744,000,000 9,000,000 Vermont 154,000,000 pe: 5,529,000,000 20,000,000 Nebraska 0,000,000 am Virginia 5,261,000,000 16,000,000 South Dakota 393,000,000 rea 5.192.000,000 81,000,000 Maho 382,000,000 all PARADE MAGAZINE APRIL 16, 1989 . PAGE 5 04-07-89 TEXAS AND U.S. LABOR FORCE ESTIMATES STATE OF TEXAS ACTUAL CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE EMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE MAR 1989 8,159,500 7,641,600 517,900 6.3 FEB 1989 8,150,500 7,556,500 594,000 7.3 MAR 1988 8,138,700 7,466,900 671,800 8.3 STATE OF TEXAS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE EMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE MAR 1989 8,283,000 7,788,000 495,000 6.0 FEB 1989 8,254,000 7,703,000 551,000 6.7 MAR 1988 8,254,000 7,605,000 649,000 7.9 UNITED STATES ACTUAL CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE EMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE MAR 1989 122,222,000 115,844,000 6,378,000 5.2 FEB 1989 121,906,000 115,023,000 6,883,000 5.6 MAR 1988 119,957,000 112,867,000 7,090,000 5.9 UNITED STATES SEASONALLY ADJUSTED CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE EMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE MAR 1989 123,264,000 117,136,000 6,128,000 5.0 FEB 1989 123,181,000 116,853,000 6,328,000 5.1 MAR 1988 120,936,000 114,129,000 6,807,000 5.6 MAR 1989 U.S. EMPLOYMENT RATE INCLUDING MILITARY -- 5.1% (ACTUAL), 4.9% (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED). RESIDENT ARMED FORCES, U.S. -- 1,684,000. THE STATEWIDE ACTUAL UNEMPLOYMENT RATE DROPPED A FULL PERCENTAGE POINT BETWEEN FEBRUARY AND MARCH. THE MARCH RATE WAS 6.3 PERCENT, DOWN FROM 7.3 PERCENT IN FEBRUARY AND TWO PERCENTAGE POINTS BELOW THE 8.3 PERCENT RECORDED IN MARCH 1988. IN MID-MARCH 1989, THERE WERE AN ESTIMATED 518,000 JOBLESS TEXANS, WHILE TOTAL EMPLOYMENT INCREASED TO 7,642,000. TOTAL EMPLOYMENT WAS UP OVER 175,000 FROM THE YEAR-AGO LEVEL. THESE FIGURES REFLECT CONTINUED IMPROVEMENT IN THE TEXAS ECONOMY. WHILE TWO CONSECUTIVE MONTHS OF DECLINING UNEMPLOYMENT ARE ENCOURAGING, IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO KNOW IF THIS REPRESENTS A REAL UPTURN IN THE STATE'S ECONOMY. THE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED TEXAS RATE ALSO DECLINED, DROPPING FROM 6.7 PERCENT IN FEBRUARY TO 6.0 PERCENT IN MARCH. THE CURRENT RATE IN THIS SERIES WAS ALSO CLOSE TO TWO PERCENTAGE POINTS BELOW THE YEAR-AGO RATE OF 7.9 PERCENT. THE U. S. ACTUAL UNEMPLOYMENT RATE ALSO DECLINED OVER THE MONTH, FROM 5.6 PERCENT IN FEBRUARY TO 5.2 PERCENT IN MARCH. THE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED U. S. RATE SLID DOWNWARD FROM 5.1 PERCENT TO 5.0 PERCENT THE LOWEST IT HAS BEEN SINCE DECEMBER 1973. WILLIAM P. CLEMENTS JR. Remarks Sematech news conference January 6, 1988 Austin Sematech has found a home. And it's a homerun for Texas. This project is great news for Texas. It's a tremendous boost for the Texas economy and has state, national and international implications. Texans throughout our state should be proud of the many people who helped make this happen. The Texas business community, the University of Texas System, the Texas Department of Commerce, the city of Austin and its chamber of commerce, and the Texas congressional delegation worked with my office in total cooperation and teamwork to bring Sematech to our state. Our team's unfaltering efforts, sheer determination and just plain ol' hard work rightfully convinced Sematech directors that Texas is the place to be -- and Texas welcomes you, Sematech, with open arms. More than anything, the decision by Sematech symbolizes the great opportunity and the long-term growth potential of the Texas economy. It illustrates what I have been saying for more than a year: The Texas economy is on the move, diversifying and strengthening. We in state government are diligently working to convince new businesses and industries to locate in Texas. Our goal is clear: We want to help create new jobs for our citizens and a prosperous future for our children. Sematech is one more step -- a great step -- on our path toward that end. Sematech brings jobs, investment and a cutting-edge technology to Texas. Sematech will bolster the entire state's status in the field of high technology research and strengthen our manufacturing base. It will make Central Texas a world-class research region. It will give us a leading edge as we compete for future high tech projects and businesses, as we press for a greater share of federal grants and research dollars. And, as a result, our state's attraction to university researchers will be enhanced. ( MORE ) Before I end, I want to once again commend the unified effort that made our proposal the cream of the crop in the national competition. This is a prime example of what leadership and bipartisan cooperation can accomplish when we put our minds to it. I also want to thank Sematech for their confidence in our state. We are confident that you will succeed and are proud that you have selected Texas to be your home. We in Texas know you made the right choice. This is a great way to start the new year. SEMATECH INNOVATION FOR AMERICA'S FUTURE FOR RELEASE: Immediate CONTACTS: Jeanne Locke For Sematech (408) 973-9973 Reggie Bashur Texas Governor's Office (512) 463-1826 SEMATECH SELECTS AUSTIN, TEXAS AUSTIN, TX., January 6, 1988 Sematech - - the industry consortium aimed at ensuring manufacturing excellence and leadership for the U.S. semiconductor industry -- announced today that it has selected Austin, Tx., as the location in which it will conduct its advanced research efforts. Sematech also announced that the other 11 finalists (Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oregon and Wisconsin) will be awarded $50,000 planning grants to submit project proposals for university "centers of excellence." Several will be chosen as "centers of excellence" for specific research disciplines. Other projects could also be identified at the university level later this year. During the extensive site search, Sematech officials were continually impressed with the expertise shown in the fine university systems throughout the nation. "These grants are one way to take advantage of that exper- tise and channel it SO that it is useful to the industry," said 2900 Gordon Ave., Suite 201, Santa Clara, CA 95051 Telephone 408-749-7710, FAX 408-773-1767 Charles E. Sporck, Sematech board chairman and president and CEO of National Semiconductor Corp. Sematech also expects to have research and development involvement with several National Laboratories in support of Sematech's long-range goals. Texas Governor Bill Clements welcomed Sematech to the state, saying, "Sematech is great news for Texas. It represents a project that has state, national and international implications and will be a tremendous boost for the Texas economy. The Texas business community, the University of Texas System, the Texas Department of Commerce, the city of Austin, and the Texas congressional delegation worked with me in total cooperation and teamwork to bring Sematech to Texas. We are confident you will succeed and are proud that you have selected our state to be your home. This is a great way to start the new year. II Mr. Sporck, in accepting the offer from the state, said, "We are extremely pleased with this offering and want to thank everyone involved in developing and presenting it. We look forward to joining you as neighbors. "I also want to thank the hundreds of people who worked on proposals from many other states. We sincerely appreciate the invitations they offered. The bonus we found in the university system throughout the country greatly multiplies the Sematech effort here in Texas. " Key considerations in Sematech's decision to select the Austin site were the presence of an existing facility, extensive state and local government support as well as a strong financial incentive package. This combined with an impressive planned relationship with the University of Texas provided Texas with a comprehensive and well-balanced proposal. Sematech expects to begin occupying this facility in the first quarter of 1988, and to be processing semiconductor wafers before the end of the year. The Sematech site selection committee -- composed of members of Sematech's board of directors -- was chaired by Sanford L. Kane, IBM general technology division vice president, industry operations. The committee solicited proposals from the governors of all 50 states. It studied the proposals and made its recommendations to the board of directors. The board voted unanimously to accept the Texas offer. -- 30-- OFFICE OF THE COVERNOR FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE CONTACT: REGGIE BASHUR APRIL 7, 1989 ROSSANNA SALAZAR (512) 463-1826 TEXAS UNEMPLOYMENT LOWEST IN FOUR YEARS Governor Bill Clements today said reports that the state's unemployment rate dropped to its lowest level in more than four years is "great news for the people of Texas." The governor's remarks came in response to reports from the Texas Employment Commission, which today said that the statewide jobless rate, seasonally adjusted, fell in March to 6.0 percent -- the lowest its been since November 1984. Last month's unemployment rate is also 1.9 percentage points below the March 1988 posting of 7.9 percent. The number of employed Texans in March grew to 7.788 million, second only to June 1988, which set a record with 7.853 million Texans employed. "The hard work of the people of Texas is paying big dividends: jobs, jobs, jobs," Clements said. "Texas is on the move. Texas is back. "Texas has shaken off the recession and is re-emerging as an economic force to be reckoned with." -- 30 -- OFFICE OF THE COVERNOR THURSDAY, DECEMBER 22, 1988 CONTACT: REOGIE BASHUR ROSSANNA SALAZAR (512) 463-1826 REMARKS OF COVERNOR BILL CLEMENTS ANNOUNCING FRUIT OF THE LOOM'S EXPANSION TO TEXAS AUSTIN With me today is Bill Farley, chairman of Farley Industries and Fruit of the Loom Incorporated. We are also delighted to have with us Bill Card, the Mayor of Harlingen. Last week, Mayor Card and I met with John Holland, President and Chief Executive Officer of Fruit of the Loom, to convince the company to join the growing number of businesses that are rediscovering our many strengths in Texas. I'm delighted to say that after considering a number of other sites across the nation, the world's largest producer of knit apparel has indeed decided to build a 38 million dollar textile mill in Harlingen. This plant will bring 1,700 new jobs to Texas within five years and a total of 3,200 within a decade. But the good news doesn't end there. Fruit of the Loom's decision to expand to Texas represents our first success in a new and bold initiative to bring food and fiber processing to Texas. Just two weeks ago, I called for Texas to underscore its standing as a leader in agribusiness by bringing more agricultural processing to our state. There's no reason why our raw goods should be exported to some other state for production, just as there's no reason why Texas can't create new jobs by processing more of our own and more of the nation's commodities. That's MORE exactly the point made by my Task Force on Agricultural Development when it issued its report earlier this month. Well, Fruit of the Loom is going to help us keep our goods in Texas and foster new jobs for Texans. For instance, the company will take this 300-dollar bale of Texas cotton, process it, and turn it into apparel valued at more than 3,000 dollars -- apparel that you see here on this product board. That's increasing the value of this one bale of cotton by more than 10-fold -- and it's an expansion that ripples throughout the Texas economy. Clearly, a significant opportunity exists to broaden our economy through this sector. Today, agribusiness accounts for less than 10 percent of the "total value added" to our Texas economy through processing and manufacturing. That's half of the national average of 20 percent. By reaching that average, Texas can create more than 250,000 new jobs for Texans and bolster our annual gross state product by 24 billion dollars. Increasing our share of the nation's agricultural processing, creating jobs in Texas -- this is my highest objective for Texas agriculture and for our state's economic development. Afterall, we're America's number one producer of such easily processed goods as cotton, mohair and wool. And we rank in the top five in the production of many fruits and vegetables -- pecans, rice, onions and sweet potatoes, to name a few. So why should we ship Texas' raw goods outside the state for processing and manufacturing when we can keep our commodities here in Texas and produce more jobs for our people? Texas' raw materials used by Texas' workers to create Texas' products to foster Texas' economic vitality and Texas jobs -- that's what this is all about. It makes absolute economic sense to do just that. And now, just two MORE weeks after I kicked off this initiative with my Task Force, Fruit of the Loom is our first homerun. In addition to the 3,200 direct jobs, the company's investment will trigger 4,200 indirect jobs; increase personal income by more than 122 million dollars a year; and expand the annual gross state product in Texas by nearly 447 million dollars. As part of its annual production, the plant will take cotton valued at 13 million dollars and make 58 million pieces of apparel worth 120 million dollars. Clearly, Fruit of the Loom recognizes our many strengths in Texas. Of course, our greatest assets include our proximity to Mexico and the potential of our maquiladora program. I'm happy to say that Fruit of the Loom hopes to open a twin plant in Mexico within the next few years -- a move made all the more feasible by their new location in Texas. Mr. Farley, I know that our partnership will be a strong and successful one. And I couldn't be more pleased to count such a dynamic company as part of our growing Texas family. Fruit of the Loom is indeed a great American success story. In the past three years alone, the company's annual sales have skyrocketed by almost 100 percent to 1 billion dollars. END FACT SHEET FRUIT OF THE LOOM, INC. Integrated Textile Mill in Harlingen, Texas 0 Fruit of the Loom, Inc., the world's largest producer of knit apparel, will build the largest integrated textile and apparel manufacturing plant in Texas at Harlingen. - employ 1,700 Texans within five years, expanding to a total of 3,200 employees within ten years; - total investment in plant and equipment is $38 million. o The new Fruit of the Loom plant will process 48,000 bales of cotton valued at $13.2 million annually into 58 million pieces of knit apparel valued at $120 million. o This investment will have a major impact on the entire Texas econo- my, creating an additional 4,200 indirect jobs, $122 million annual increase in personal income, and a $446.9 million increase in the State Gross Product. (Source: Texas Department of Commerce). 0 The 350,000 square foot plant, located on a 92-acre site, will generate in excess of $20 million annual payroll. 0 Fruit of the Loom officials indicate that construction of the facility could begin in early summer of 1989, and will begin full operation within one year. o Fruit of the Loom officials have expressed interest in future expansion of the Harlingen facility to include operations of a maquiladora plant in Mexico. 0 The Fruit of the Loom product lines by percent of sales: 48% men's and boys' underwear, 39.2% activewear (knit tops and fleecewear), 5.7% women's and girls' underwear and 7.1% family socks. 0 Fruit of the Loom, Inc. currently has twenty-nine manufacturing and distribution facilities located in the United States, Canada and Europe employing over 23,000 people. Employment has grown over 40% in the last thirteen years. o The brand names used for marketing the knit apparel products include Fruit of the Loom, BVD, Screen Stars, Christian Dior Hosiery, Camp Hosiery and several other licensed characters utilized in children's underwear. 0 Bill Farley is Chairman of Farley Industries, Inc., the parent company of Fruit of the Loom, Inc., and Jack Albertine is Vice Chairman of Farley Industries. John Holland is Chief Executive Officer of Fruit of the Loom, and Joe Medalie is Vice Chairman. OFFICE OF THE COVERNOR DECEMBER 8, 1988 CONTACT: REGGIE BASHUR ROSSANNA SALAZAR (512) 463-1826 STATEMENT OF COMERNOR BILL CLEMENTS ANNOUNCING THE TEXAS EXPANSION OF RUJITSU AMERICA INC. RICHARDSON I'm delighted to be here today to offer a special word of welcome to Yasushi Nakamura, president of Fujitsu America Incorporated. Mr. President, we in Texas are known for our hospitality, and I can assure you that 1 speak for all Texans when I say we welcome you with open arms. It's also my pleasure to recognize a Texan who gives so much of himself to our state and to our nation: Ross Perot. Ross, we're honored to have you with us. today. As Ross well knows, we in Texas are very proud of our great state. We're proud of our people and their accomplishments. For the past two years, those accomplishments have included nothing less than a dramatic upswing in our Texas economy. Yes, the fortitude of our working men and women has put Texas back on center stage in the national economic picture. Without a doubt, our economy is on a roll and we're picking up speed, day by day. From Sematech to the Super Collider to GTE, Texas is receiving strong and clear signs -- signs that tell us that the rest of the world is once again realizing that Texas has the climate necessary to nurture a growing business, to make a break-through in science or technology and, more importantly, to put down stakes, raise a family and build a future. Today, we have one more such signal. We are here today to announce another major economic development plum for Texas. 1 am delighted to announce the decision by Fujitsu America to develop an 80 million dollar telecommunications research and manufacturing complex in Richardson. This new facility will be one of four major manufacturing plants that the Fujitsu America Group operates in the United States. It will allow the company to employ 1,200 Texans by the end of 1992 and as many as 4,500 by the turn of the century when the second phase of the complex is completed. The company's investment will also trigger the creation of over 7,800 indirect jobs. It will boost personal income by 298 million dollars a year and boister the annual gross state product in Texas by 823 million dollars, according to economist Ray Perryman of Baylor University. It's also important to note that Fujitsu plans to use this new plant to increase the use of American-made components in the manufacture of its products. As the president will tell you, about half of these components will come from companies located in Texas and other states across the nation. Texas is currently America's second-largest exporter -- a position that will only be enhanced by Fujitsu's plans to export some of its Texas-made products worldwide. Any way you look at it, Fujitsu is good for Texas. And, without a doubt, Texas is good for Fujitsu. The Texas expansion of such a growing, future-oriented company is clearly indicative of the opportunity and potential within our state economy and of our growth as a major technological center. Mr. President, your faith in Texas is well-placed. I know the Texas-Fujitsu partnership will be a great one. Together, we will indeed be partners in prosperity. FACT SHEET FUJITSU AMERICA, INC. Telecommunications Center in Texas 1. Fujitsu expects to employ 1,200 after completion of the $80 million manufacturing and office complex in 1992 and to create an average of 365 jobs per year during the three-year construction phase. The company expects to expand to 5,000 jobs when the second phase is completed around the turn of the century. 2. Ray Perryman, economist with Baylor University, projects that the impact on the Texas economy when Fujitsu reaches its planned employment level of 5,000 jobs will be as follows: a. an additional 7,825 indirect jobs for Texans generated by the 4,500 direct jobs; b. an increase of almost $298 million in personal income per year; and C. an increase of about $823 million to the Gross State Product per year. 3. The manufacturing facility will produce a variety of telecommunica- tions and transmission products and systems, including cellular mobile telephones, local and long distance fiber optic transmission systems and digital cross connect products. 4. Fujitsu plans to source approximately 50% of its components from companies located in Texas and other states. 5. Employment functions will include administration, research and development, engineering, marketing and sales, manufacturing, customer support and technical education. 6. Fujitsu America, with revenues at the close of its last fiscal year (ending March 31, 1988) at approximately $1.2 billion, is the largest subsidiary of Fujitsu Limited, Japan's largest computer manufacturer and a world leader in semiconductor and telecommunica- tions technology. OFFICE OF THE GOVERNOR FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE CONTACT: ROSSANNA SALAZAR EMBARGOED UNTIL 12 NOON JAY ROSSER OCTOBER 31, 1988 (512) 463-1826 REMARKS BY COVERNOR BILL CLEMENTS ANNOUNCING FORMOSA PLASTICS CORP., U.S.A., EXPANSION TO TEXAS PORT LAVACA With me today, as you all know, is Senator Gramm. We are also honored to have with us the chairman of Formosa Plastics Group, Mr. Y. C. Wang, his wife and their family, including their son and daughter: Dr. Winston Wang, who is general manager of the plastics division of Formosa, and Susan Wang, who is assistant to the president of Formosa Plastics Corporation, U.S.A. I can't help but think that it's highly appropriate that this is Halloween because Texas, is in for a great treat! What brings us to Port Lavaca today is a common goal -- the goal of creating new and better jobs for our people; of nurturing a stronger and more productive economy; and building a better future for our families and our children. That goal is being met. From Texarkana to Midland to Point Comfort, the Texas economy is growing. Unemployment is down from last year and the year before. Personal income is up. Our manufacturing productivity is soaring. And Texas has created an average 342,000 more jobs during the first three quarters of 1988 compared to the same period in 1986. Well, we have more good news. Today, we are here to announce another major step in our economic turnaround and another strong sign that the Texas economy is, indeed, on the move. After considering a number of other sites across the nation, the U.S. division of Formosa Plastics has decided to invest in Texas and in our favorable business climate. Beginning next year, the company will begin construction on a 1.3 billion dollar production facility in Point Comfort -- the largest one-time investment by a petrochemical manufacturer in Texas' history. Truly, this is a big day for Texas and a great day for Calhoun County! MORE Yes, Texas is a prudent investment. And I'm delighted that Chairman Wang agrees. Formosa will bring 1,500 new and permanent jobs to Texas, and as many as 4,000 more during construction. The company's investment will also trigger the creation of nearly 8,000 indirect jobs. It will boost personal income by 230 million dollars a year and bolster the annual gross state product in Texas by 1.8 billion dollars. Any way you slice it, Formosa will fuel our state's ongoing economic recovery. To a large degree, this upswing is being led by a rebound in manufacturing, especially in the petrochemical industry. Spurred on, in part, by adjustments in the value of the dollar, the petrochemical sector is operating at near capacity along the Texas Coast. Clearly, Formosa will further enhance our production, as well as strengthen our position as the nation's 2nd largest exporter of domestic goods. Seventy percent of the chemical products manufactured at this facility will be exported to markets worldwide. Yes, the value of the dollar is a major factor in our recovery. But there's much more to it. Texas is boldly moving forward with the heave-ho of our working men and women and public-private teamwork. Since I first met with Chairman Wang, his family and his associates earlier this year, our team has been in action. From our legislative leaders in Austin and Washington to the Calhoun County Economic Development Corporation, from the Texas Department of Commerce to Secretary of State Jack Rains for his successful meeting with the chairman in Taiwan this month -- everyone pulled together in the best interest of our state. And Texas proved once again that side-by-side, we can build for tomorrow -- today. But special recognition is due Senator Gramm. The senator was unfaltering in his efforts to bring Formosa to Texas, and he deserves a lion's share of the credit for getting us where we are today. Texas owes all of you our highest gratitude. Senator, before I turn this over to you, let me say a special word to the chairman. Thank you Chairman Wang. Your confidence in Texas is well-placed. The entire state of Texas looks forward to a long and prosperous partnership with Formosa Plastics. END FACT SHEET FORMOSA PLASTICS GROUP INVESTMENT 0 Formosa Plastics Corporation, U.S.A. investment: $1.321 billion in a petro- chemical manufacturing facility in Point Comfort, Texas. 0 This investment decision by Formosa Plastics Corporation, U.S.A., a division of the Taiwan-based Formosa Plastics Group, will employ 1,500 Texans and will provide 3,000 to 4,000 jobs during the 3-year construction phase. o The $1.321 billion investment is the largest one-time investment in a petro- chemical complex in Texas history (based upon records maintained by the Texas Air Control Board). 0 This investment will have a major impact on the entire Texas economy, creat- ing over 7,800 indirect jobs, $230 million annual increase in personal income, and a $1.81 billion increase per year in the State Gross Product (Source: Texas Department of Commerce). 0 Formosa officials project that construction of the facilities could begin as early as mid-summer or fall 1989, and will take approximately three years to complete the construction of the facilities. 0 The manufacturing complex will include eight major plants using state of the art technology in manufacturing chemical products. Comprising over 600 acres, the complex is located on a 1,500-acre tract and will include an electric cogeneration plant using gas-fired turbines. o The complex will include a 680,000 metric ton ethane cracker, as well as plants for the production of high-density polyethylene, linear low-density polyethylene, polypropylene, ethylene dichloride, caustic soda, and chlorine. 0 Seventy percent of the products manufactured at this new Formosa Plastics complex will be exported throughout the world market. 0 The Formosa Plastics Group was established in 1954 with the founding of Formosa Plastics Corporation in Taiwan. Mr. Y.C. Wang is chairman of Formosa Plastics Group; Mr. C.T. Lee is President of Formosa Plastics Corp. U.S.A.; Susan Wang is assistant to the president of Formosa Plastics Corp. U.S.A.; and Dr. Winston Wang is general manager of Nan Ya Plastics, a division of Formosa Plastics Group. 0 Formosa Plastics Corporation, U.S.A. currently has three American plants producing vinyl chloride monomer (VCM) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC) resins located in Delaware City, Delaware; Point Comfort, Texas; and Baton Rouge, Louisiana. 0 Major product lines include PVC resin and related products (the company's annual production capacity is 1.075 million metric tons, the largest in the world); man-made fiber and textile products; and lumber products such as plywood. OFFICE OF THE GOVERNOR FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE CONTACT: JAY ROSSER OCTOBER 31, 1988 ROSSANNA SALAZAR (512) 463-1826 INTERNATIONAL MANUFACTUR ING GIANT ANNOUNCES TEXAS EXPANSION Governor Bill Clements and U.S. Sen. Phil Gramm announced today that Formosa Plastics Corp. U.S.A., part of a multinational chemical and plastics manufacturing conglomerate, will build a $1.3 billion production facility in Point Comfort, Texas. Officials of Formosa Plastics have indicated that the manufacturing complex will employ 1,500 Texans. In addition, between 3,000 and 4,000 jobs will be created during the three-year construction project. The Formosa Plastics project represents the largest one-time petrochemical manufacturing investment in Texas history. The investment will have a significant impact on the Texas economy. An estimated 7,800 spinoff jobs are expected, along with a $230 million annual increase in personal income. State economic analysts are projecting that the Formosa plant will increase the Gross State Product by $1.81 billion annually. The decision by Formosa Plastics Corp. U.S.A., a division of the Taiwanese-based Formosa Plastics Group, caps months of intense recruiting work by Clements and Gramm. Also assisting in the recruitment effort were the Texas Department of Commerce and the Calhoun County Economic Development Corporation. Clements, Gramm and Y.C. Wang, chairman of Formosa Plastics Group, met in Austin today to finalize details of the project. "The Formosa announcement is fantastic news," Clements said. "Formosa Plastics is contributing another chapter in our state's textbook economic recovery efforts. We've got a best-seller on our hands." Gramm called the announcement "a clear sign that the Texas economy is building momentum. We're breaking new ground for a strong 21st century economy." Clements said the rapidly rebounding Texas economy is proof that the state's economic development initiatives are working. "A variety of companies, large and small, have selected Texas as the place to do business during the past 22 months," Clements added. "Two years ago people were writing the Texas economy off. With the Formosa announcement today, we've taken yet another giant step forward in our state's economic recovery. "Formosa Plastics is a welcome addition to our rapidly expanding manufacturing base. It is another example of the strides we can make when state government leaders assume a teamwork approach to economic development." Texas succeeded in its recruitment efforts because it convinced Formosa that Texas offers the greatest growth potential in the United States, Clements said. Gramm called the Formosa decision a "rock solid indication that Texas is an international economic force to be reckoned with. "There's a growing realization in Washington that the Texas economy is bouncing back. "I'm proud to have played a role in bringing Formosa to Texas," he said. Formosa Plastics Corp. U.S.A., currently has three American plants producing vinyl chloride monomer and polyvinyl chloride (PVC) resins. Those plants are located in Deleware City, Del., Point Comfort and Baton rouge, La. The company's annual production capacity is 1.075 million metric tons, the largest in the world. --30-- OFFICE OF THE COVERNOR MONDAY, APRIL 10, 1989 CONTACT: REGGIE BASHUR ROSSANNA SALAZAR (512) 463-1826 REMARKS OF COVERNOR BILL CLEMENTS TO THE TEXAS DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE "CITIES ON THE RISE" CONFERENCE AUSTIN I'm delighted to join the representatives of so many of our Texas "Cities on the Rise." You know, that theme, "Cities on the Rise," is taking hold across our state. But as optimism translates into action and growth, it's becoming more than just a catchy phrase. It's turning into new jobs and brighter futures for our people -- tangible results that add up to a solid economic upswing. And it's the hard-working men and women of our state who deserve all the credit for the improvement. With your support, we've made great progress in recent years. In 1987, during the 70th Legislature, we laid the cornerstone for a new economic resurgence. Pressed on by a nagging recession and by the desire to take our state to new levels of opportunity and prosperity, we convinced our lawmakers to fortify an already strong business climate. We passed landmark legislation creating the Texas Department of Com- merce, granting tort relief and we started on the road to trucking deregu- lation. We cut away at the government red tape holding small business hostage and we created the Strategic Economic Policy Commission to help us plan for our future. With our game plan set and with the able assistance of Ed Vetter, Bill Lauderback and the entire Commerce Department staff, we went into action. We went head-to-head nationally and internationally to attract major business to 1 our towns and cities. Together, we landed Sematech and Formosa Plastics, which is going into Point Comfort, the Super Collider and Fujitsu Telecommu- nications, Bausch & Lomb and Fruit of the Loom in Harlingen. Then there were the hundreds of small businesses like Info Print in Spring, Kids Mart in Sugar Land and V.I.P. Boat manufacturing in Linden. That old saying, "The bigger the better," couldn't be further from the truth. These businesses and your cities are proving it wrong every day. In fact, 63 percent of all new jobs created in Texas in 1987 were produced by small business. In all, Texas has created more than 300,000 new jobs in the past two years and believe me, we're not through yet. Today our mandate for economic improvement is just as great as it was in 1987, if not more SO. Yes, the recession is over, but the desire to create new jobs, to encourage new investments, remains. And, yes, unemployment is at its lowest level in more than four years, retail sales are up and the economy is growing at a healthy pace, but I am here to tell you that it's still not enough. As President Reagan once said, "It lies in the very nature of freedom to promote growth and prosperity." At this time of historic transition in our economic growth, it is imperative that we move ahead deliberately, but aggressively. This year we have set forth an ambitious agenda to do just that, to move Texas boldly forward. During this legislative session, our goal is to provide tax incentives for job creation, to further streamline government regulations that hamper business, to make Texas even more competitive. Above all, we remain commit- ted to our strong right-to-work laws and we stand steadfastly opposed to a 2 corporate or personal income tax. Good jobs, diversified growth and new opportunities are our priorities and I know they're yours as well. As we prepare to enter the 21st century, Texas must be prepared to encourage job creators and corporate decision-makers to invest in Texas like never before. Ours must be a commitment to promote growth, not a retreat from growth; ours must be a promise to foster an environment that nurtures commerce, industry and, above all, a climate that nurtures our people. The best place to start is with the reform of our workers' compensation system, which has businesses in Texas paying among the highest premiums in the nation and our workers receiving some of the lowest benefits. As I travel across our nation as your governor, working to attract new business and industry to our state, I am invariably asked what Texas intends to do about this faulty system. My answer to them and to you here today is we're going to fix it. The status quo is not acceptable, not by any stretch of the imagination. Our workers' compensation system must be state of the art. It must be a beacon that attracts business, not a siren that scares business off. We must not allow our current workers' compensation statute to pull the rug out from under the significant economic gains that we've made in the past two years. Restoring sanity to this system, then, must begin with the elimination of the archaic trial de novo system and by strengthening the Industrial Accident Board. We must change lump-sum settlement procedures and allow self-insurance with adequate safeguards. Comprehensive reform is clearly within our reach. I'm optimistic that we can bring premiums and benefits in line and enhance our competitiveness nationally and abroad. That's why my first official action this legislative 3 session was to declare the workers' compensation issue an emergency that warrants the Legislature's prompt attention. Another critical area that demands decisive change is our state's product liability law system. In a recent survey, economist Ray Perryman of Baylor University found that the costs associated with Texas' liability laws have had a negative impact on job creation and already may be undermining our economy. In his report, Mr. Perryman indicated that "3,200 Texas manufacturers -- employing 340,000 Texas workers -- claim to be considering stoppage of all manufacturing operations in Texas and/or moving to another state" because of our liability laws. In addition, the survey found that "3,000 Texas manufac- turers have decided not to introduce a new product because of liability considerations, while 1,500 have discontinued an existing product for the same reason." Certainly, lost opportunities for Texans is reason enough for change. But there's more. In its present form, the Deceptive Trade Practices Act has produced numerous frivolous lawsuits, swamping an already overburdened judicial system in our state. I'm pleased to say that changes to this law are already working their way through the legislative process. It is our hope that by strengthening the original intent of the Act, we will return justice to the consumers that this law was written to protect and relieve Texas employers of an unfair burden. Texas is no stranger to challenge. We learned long ago that success is tied not only to standing our ground, but to drawing on our strengths. Economically, our geographic location is one such resource, and it's an asset 4 that we should take greater pains to promote through a goods-in-transit exemption. Such an exemption would free business inventories from property taxes when these goods are only in the state temporarily, a move that would make Texas even more attractive as a distribution center for the nation's commod- ities and bolster our manufacturing and maquiladora industries. Texas is clearly well-placed to benefit from these maquiladoras or twin plants. Between June of '87 and June of '88, 129 new maquiladoras located along the Texas-Mexico border. That's a 27 percent increase in just one year, from 470 to 599 working plants. The benefit of this industry to Texas is great and the potential, even greater. Indeed, some 34,000 jobs could be created in our state if we capture just 25 percent of the maquiladora parts and supplies market. A goods-in-transit exemption could help us reach that goal. To provide a further incentive for job creation for all industries, large and small, we are asking the Legislature to speed up the scheduled phase-out of the sales and use tax now paid on manufacturing equipment. By providing refunds for a portion of the tax payments earlier, Texas can reap the benefits of job growth now, rather than later. Thomas Jefferson once said, "I like dreams of the future better than the history of the past." Well, we must not let the dreams of our future be diminished by a lack of action. To remain competitive in today's advanced economy, it is vital that we place greater emphasis on specialized workforce training. Preparing our citizens for today's highly skilled workplace, then, requires that we create a more substantial and flexible Workforce Development Incentive Program. With it, we can provide specific, fast-track training in 5 new and developing fields, and, at the same time, offer those industries our greatest incentive -- our talented people. In sum, these are our economic goals for the 71st Legislature. More than simply a series of proposals, our agenda embodies our hope for the years to come. With your support it can be more than a strategy. It can give us a sharp edge as we compete nationally and internationally for new investments, as we work to underscore our base. It can mean more jobs, enhanced diversi- fication and greater opportunities for all Texans. It can ready our state for another century of progress. A healthy economy makes all things possible. With it, our people prosper, revenue is available for our schools and for human services. With it, we can turn our dreams into reality. When all is said and done, building a stronger Texas and nurturing a better future for our families is our common goal and will be our greatest achievement. Let me conclude with this: I've talked to you about how far Texas has come and how far we can go. Critical to all of this is you and the cities that you represent. You offer ingenuity, leadership and the Texas can-do spirit, qualities that built and continue to strengthen our great state. Together, shoulder-to-shoulder and with an eye toward the 21st century, we can reshape the face of Texas. END Press THE ECONOMY TEXAS FACES UP TO A TOUGHER FUTURE Swagger and grit were fine when the oil was gushing. Now Texas must deal with down-to-earth problems like an antiquated state government. by John Paul Newport Jr. Houston Mayor Kathy Whitmire epitomizes the new Texas leadership-young. open-minded, willing to work with all interest groups. I anyone nov. ,nt did EXANS these past few years have price vacillates erratically with worldwide Metroplex. It would be a new type of in- T been feeling lower than a snake's supply and demand. Its recovery depends dustrial airport, with a runway ringed by belly in a wagon rut, but slowly to an uncomfortable degree on infusions of manufacturing plants that would receive they're returning to form. That is to outside capital. To become self-reliant, Tex- raw materials and send finished goods, all say, they're bragging again. While taxpay- as must above all learn to compete without by plane. Perot collared municipal offi- ers in the rest of the country grouse about the boost that oil has given it in the past. It cials, pulled strings, pushed through per- all the money they have to ship in to bail must accept that for a while at least it will mits in double time, and cajoled neighbor- out the state's savings and loans, Texans are resemble other states far more than it will ing landowners (including IBM) to donate talking about Fujitsu and GTE moving to differ from them, forced to build brick-by- rights of way for highways to serve the Dallas, about Waxahachie winning the brick rather than gusher-by-gusher. "What north Fort Worth facility. Now he expects $4 billion superconducting supercollider, really makes the recovery happen is an en- the runway to open late this year-a mi- about biomedical company startups in vironment in which small-business people raculously brief three years after concep- Houston, and about a new computer con- are willing to take risks," says Kathy Whit- tion. Drawls Perot: "If a Texan wants to do sortium called Sematech choosing Austin mire, mayor of Houston. something, he goes out and does it." as its home. "The phenome- But the truth is that the nal resilience of this state is airport, for all its potential, astounding," rhapsodizes has yet to sign a paying ten- Governor William P. Cle- ant and has progressed as far ments Jr. in his office at the as it has partly with the capitol in Austin. "In the backing of Daddy's money. two short years since Texas That makes it less a model hit bottom, we have turned for the new Texas than a this economy around." vestige of the good old days. The comment should be The money came from com- commended more for its puters, but otherwise it's spirit than for its accuracy. similar in nature to the aber- The unemployment rate- rantly large sums that fueled 7.1%-is indeed down al- Texans' speculations in the most three points from its oil era and that will be rare peak in June 1986, and the in the days ahead. gross state product should It is difficult to exaggerate go up this year by 2.4%. But the role that oil has played in for a state that considers it- shaping Texas's sense of pos- self only temporarily off the sibility. Wealth from oil has fast track, a growth rate that enriched the lives and life- slow and an unemployment styles of millions of Texans, rate 1.7 points above the na- supplied more than a quarter tion's are hardly a solid of the state's tax revenue in turnaround. recent years, and endowed a Statistics are just a piece strong university system. of the story. The oil and Take away oil from Texas's banking debacle has wiped Ross Perot Jr. at his airport site: a chip off the old block or the new? past and you've got an over- out a big chunk of the state's size Mississippi. Take it away business leadership. Ghostly buildings fin- Most Texans acknowledge that some suddenly, as happened in the mid-1980s, ished but never occupied remain a daunting changes are required. But it may be that too and that famed Texas optimism collapses reminder of past excesses. If a lot of North- many are counting too much on some into a crisis of almost biblical proportion. ern city slickers got suckered into financing quasimystical quality in the Texas personal- Oil and gas will continue to be a vital, if the last Texas bubble, they will be all the ity-swagger, spunk, true grit-to pull the far less dominant, sector of the Texas econo- more leery of funding the next one. And state through unaided. A number of state my for years to come. Energy today accounts then come the real problems: a state govern- leaders point to Ross Perot Jr. as an exam- for some 15% of the state's economic activi- ment still mired in its rural past, a confused ple of how that old Texas brio can flourish ty, making it more important to Texas than tax system, a education system. and in- in a new Texas era. California's biggest industry, aerospace, is sufficient effort to bring a growing Hispanic to that state. Houston's role as the world's minority into the mainstream. EROT, 30, is the son of the data- energy capital seems secure as domestic The state in many ways resembles a Third World nation, argues Bernard Wein- P processing billionaire, who is the drilling operations consolidate there and closest thing Texans have these international exploration continues apace. stein, an economist at Southern Methodist days to a hero. About two years The state has a 65-year supply of natural gas. University. Its prosperity remains signifi- ago young Perot decided to build himself Because it pollutes far less than other hydro- cantly linked to a commodity, oil, whose an airport, a wildcat project really, right in carbons, gas may enjoy a resurgence. REPORTER ASSOCIATE Rosalind Klein Berlin the middle of the Dallas-Fort Worth Nevertheless, the true future for Texas, MARCH 13, 1989 FORTUNE 103 Impumie Kylins of empty building squeezed by the crunch have been small and medium-size companies that are un- able to tap the money-center banks. The worst of the problem is probably be- hind. Out-of-state concerns have now ac- quired four of the state's five major bank holding companies, and negotiations on the fifth, Dallas-based MCorp, are under way. Last July, NCNB, the North Carolina banking juggernaut, took over the biggest Texas financial institution, First Republic- Bank in Dallas. After spending the first few months in the file room, NCNB now claims to be beating the bushes for new business. Buddy Kemp, the troubleshooter dis- patched from North Carolina to run NCNB Texas, says the bank has $2 billion to $3 billion it would like to lend in Texas this year. He doesn't expect to find enough takers: "It's still a difficult, traumatized market." EAL ESTATE is a sadder tale. Of- R fice vacancy rates in Dallas, Hous- ton, and Austin still hover in the 30% range. Another round, prob- Buddy Kemp: A North Carolinian now watches the vault at the biggest little bank in Texas. ably the last, of large bankruptcies and fore- closures is possible this year. Many as for most states, lies in economic diversi- thanks to the 55,000-employee Texas Medi- economists project that five to seven years fication. The chief advantages Texas brings cal Center, and in space industries, thanks must pass before the overhang disappears. to the competition are a strategic midcon- to the NASA Space Center. That will slow related businesses. tinent location: superb highways, airports, The outbreak of braggadocio notwith- Texas's most significant development ef- and harbors; and a largely non-union labor standing, Texans are still reeling. They see fort goes into hustling desirable out-of-state force that is expected to grow smartly for strange, out-of-state names on their banks. businesses. Texas came late to company decades. John Roach. chief executive of They leaf through page after page of news- hunting, but now it's a religion. Notes Ray Fort Worth-based Tandy, ranks Texas's paper ads hawking foreclosed properties. Perryman, a Baylor University economist work ethic as its greatest strength. "And for "We're still in a state of shell shock regard- and business consultant: "Every little town all the negatives you hear about education, ing the debacle of our financial institutions in the state now has some kind of organiza- we've never failed to find the workers we and real estate," avers Ray Hunt, one of oil- tion, and they always ask, 'How can we needed in Texas, at every level and at com- man H. L. Hunt's 12 living children-one bring high tech here?' Well, they probably petitive wages." he says. Indeed, the aver- who didn't lose his money-and a Dallas can't, but they can get smarter about work- age hourly pay for factory workers in the civic leader. "Though I would predict this ing with what they've got." state is $9.85. vs. more than $12 in some psychology, when it turns. could turn on a Texas has notched some recent victories. leading industrial states. Just north of the dime. for now I rank lack of confidence as Last December, for instance, Fujitsu an- Mexico border. Texas factories generally Texas's biggest problem." Newspaper pub- nounced an expansion of its electronics fac- offer $6 or less. lisher Robert Decherd, chairman of Dal- tory near Dallas that will result in an las's A.H. Belo Corp., says self-doubt is additional 5,000 jobs, and Fruit of the EXAS ALSO has an enviable-and T slowing the recovery: "If people don't be- Loom said it would build a plant in the Rio to some people surprising-tech- lieve change and progress are achievable. Grande Valley to employ 3,200 to make nological base. Dallas-Fort Worth they won't invest. It's as if they're standing clothes. The plant is part of an effort to do ranks among the top four regions in in the middle of an eddy. unsure of which more downstream processing of the raw its concentration of high-tech industries way to go." materials the state produces: Texas is the (with Los Angeles, San Francisco. and Bos- The disintegration of the state's banking nation's No. 1 cotton producer but has rela- ton). Specialties include telecommunica- and real estate industries has hurt badly. tively few textile plants. tions, computers, precision instruments. Account officers at banks spend their time Economic development will not work and aerospace. Houston's petrochemical working out bad loans rather than making magic. In the first place, the number of di- plants are running flat out. and exports new ones. Says Texas Attorney General rect new jobs created by the major reloca- through the ship channel are 25% in the lim Mattox: "It's got to the point where tions announced in 1988 (a banner year) past two years. The area is also well post- you can get a loan only by proving that you totals less than 0.3% of the Texas employ- tioned to become a leader in biomedicine. don't need the money. Most seriously ment base. Small businesses create the THE ECONOMY lion's share of new jobs, typically 70%, but headquarters-and 4,000 jobs-in Las Co- turing. "Essentially we have a 1960s tax in small increments. "You can't build your linas near Dallas. Overbuilding during the system trying to drive a 1980s and 1990s future just by begging companies to relo- real estate delusion of the early 1980s creat- economy," argues Dan Morales, a rising cate to Texas." observes Department of ed this valuable asset for the state-and the young state representative from San Anto- Commerce Chairman Edward Vetter. rest of the country is paying for it with ev- nio who served on a special committee to In the second place, to win those reloca- ery bailout of a Texas lending institution. review the tax situation. tions local communities sometimes have to Masked by these occasionally pyrrhic Another big problem-one legislators sell the farm. Tax abatements and waivers of economic development victories is a busi- have said they want to fix in the current environmental regulations are common ness climate less hospitable than many session-is workers' compensation. The in- surance rates have doubled since 1985, partly because of a legal system many com- panies perceive to be excessively politi- cized (Texans elect their judges on partisan tickets), pro-plaintiff, and capricious-dra- matically symbolized by the $11 billion jury award in the 1985 Texaco-Pennzoil case. The high cost of cozily protected in- trastate trucking is a drawback. The key to pushing through changes on these issues, as well as to ensuring the long- term viability of the Texas economy in gen- eral, is leadership. But ironically, at a time when Texas's national political clout is at a zenith-a semi-Texan in the White House, Texans in the Cabinet, a Speaker of the House from Fort Worth, four Texans chair- ing important congressional committees- the leadership back home is spotty at best. Washington influence may help the state in specific instances, such as securing full funding for the superconducting supercol- lider, but the real work of recovery must take place on Texas soil. EADERSHIP logically should start L with the state government, but in a leave-me-alone state like Texas the government is anything but vision- ary. The legislature ordinarily convenes just six months every two years, and despite a population that is four-fifths urban, it dis- plays an ornery rural bias on issues affect- ing business and education. Clements has Bob Lanier: success in dealing with one of the post-oil rush problems-transportation ardently championed business interests, but the governor's position is not as powerful in practice. To persuade Compaq Computer to Texans and outsiders believe. Civic leaders Texas as in some states, and he says he expand its facilities last year. Houston-area invariably pitch Texas as a low-tax state. won't run for reelection in 1990. Texas business leaders had to offer $15 million in In the aggregate that is correct: the state lacks any politician capable of igniting pub- tax abatements. guarantee $15.5 million in and local taxman's per capita take in Texas lic opinion. San Antonio Mayor Henry Cis- electricity discounts and job-training assis- is 15th-lowest in the U.S. But thanks in neros, probably the state's most charismatic tance, and promise to widen a local road part to the absence of a personal income leader, is leaving public life-at least tem- into a ten-lane limited-access highway. tax and the traditionally deep pockets of porarily-in the wake of publicity about a Contrast that with Southern California. the oil industry. businesses in Texas foot love affair. State Treasurer Ann Richards, where developers don't get incentives and 63% of that bill. Moreover. the tax code is whose "Poor George" keynote address at often must build such things themselves. riddled with arbitrary tenets that allow last summer's Democratic convention cre- Texas has one peculiar advantage that partnerships to escape much of the busi- ated a buzz, may be too liberal to unify the helps it enormously in the economic devel- ness tax. Service businesses pay in aggre- state behind her. The Republicans are so opment racket: cheap. cheap real estate. date only a third is much as manufacturing hard up they have whispered of drafting GTE cited low rent as a factor in deciding companies, even though services now gen- George Walker Bush, who dropped out of to consolidate its telephone operations erate twice as much activity as manufac- the oil business for a full-time slot in his THE ECONOMY father's presidential campaign, to ride those powerful Texans included six bankers in have to go forward to get the job done." coattails into the governor's mansion. Out- 1976, half as many in 1987-and in those At the state level such cohesiveness is side of Midland, where he once ran unsuc- three cases, their institutions have since dis- harder to achieve, but one issue with the cessfully for Congress, he's scarcely known. appeared or are in deep trouble. Not only potential to unify is education. Revenues In the past Texas's most inspired leader- the bankers are "out of play," says Bayard from $15 billion in state oil and gas proper- ship came from the business community, Friedman, a former Fort Worth mayor and ties must by law go to education. and the but those ranks have been decimated. Texas retired chairman of Texas American Bank. state university system is first-rate. The Monthly magazine's list of the 20 most "The same goes for a lot of the independent problem is in the public schools. In 1987 oil people and the major real estate devel- $300 Billions of 1982 dollars opers. The power structure that existed in this state five or six years ago is just gone." The new power structure will include more and younger entrepreneurs and high-tech executives. Rod Canion, chief executive of $275 Compaq Computer in Houston, allows that the economic crash "has accelerated the transition in Texas to a new generation of leaders, a generation whose key quality will be openness to change." Signifying this $250 change, both the mayor of Houston and the Gross state product president of its chamber of commerce are women in their early 40s. On the other hand, when an old oligar- $225 chy slips from power before a new genera- tion finds its legs, the leadership vacuum 30% can be telling. Last June, Dallas voters de- Energy as a percent feated a $2.9 billion transportation plan. of gross state product Critics charged that the plan primarily ben- Ray Hunt: The big loss has been confidence. efited the central business district. Its orga- nizers, top-heavy with representatives from Texas ranked 46th of 50 states in the average 25% downtown Dallas, failed to satisfy the score on SAT college-entrance exams. needs of residents in the 15 outlying mu- Among Hispanics the high school dropout nicipalities. Organizers also failed to attract rate is nearly 50%-almost double the rate support from the estranged minorities who for Anglos. This trend is alarming because constitute half the city's population. demographers predict that in the middle of the next century Hispanics will outnumber 20% UST SIX MONTHS earlier, Houston Anglos in Texas. State Representative Eddie area voters approved a regional trans- Cavazos, a Hispanic leader from Corpus portation plan by a comfortable mar- Christi, sums up the issue: "Depending on gin. In part that reflected the earlier education, Hispanics will either be part of 15% annexation of some suburbs and better re- the system or wards of the system." lations with minorities. But the decisive In 1984 a campaign by Ross Perot Sr. 10% factor was leadership. After the 1983 defeat helped to inspire a special session of the of a previous plan, a so-called Super Group state legislature on education reform. began meeting informally to prepare the Among the bills passed were controversial Unemployment rate next attempt. The small alliance included a measures mandating teacher testing and few businessmen, Houston Mayor Kathy less flaccid academic standards for high 8% Whitmire, the chief county executive, and school athletes. Since then the fervor has a local real estate developer named Bob La- flagged. In terms of test scores and compar- nier, who headed the Texas Highway De- ative ranking in funding per student, Texas partment from 1983 to 1987. In the 11th is now backsliding on education, and no hour Lanier helped broker a deal-saving new Ross Perots have emerged to lead the 6% compromise that made limited rail service cause. Admittedly, the state has faced con- SOURCE TEXAS STATE COMPTROLLER'S OFF part of the plan. Says he: "If the second suming problems of late. But if Texans and choice is acceptable, sometimes you just their leaders want to have things to brag about over the next few decades, education 4% BACK FROM THE BOTTOM would seem to be the litmus issue. It is a 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 The beginnings of a recovery have reduced good example of the basic building process unemployment while the influence of energy needed throughout the Texas economy to on the state continues to diminish. realize its rich potential. F 112 FORTUNE MARCH 13, 1989 Statistics lag lands P2D Dallas on MAR 17 1989 NEWS hot cities' list The Dallas-Fort on the economists' charts start pointing up Oak and St. Paul. Worth area - for the again, statistical studies that show a four-year Duddleston Management Co. of Houston is third year in a row - spread of job growth numbers will say that trying to get a handle on how to market the two- has wound up near the things are rotten in Dallas-Fort Worth. building skyscraper complex - either for top of one of those So when surveys like Inc.'s say that the hot- tenants or a sale. much-touted rankings of test city in America this year is going to be NCNB Texas National Bank is moving its oper- America's fastest grow- the envelope, please Manchester, New Hamp- ations out of the old Republic complex to build- ing cities. shire. ings in the west side of downtown. That's right. With Well, let's not go running off to the airport, Leasing agents don't expect much of a rush bankruptcy and foreclo- STEVE just yet. by downtown tenants to refill the 30-year-old sure rates at an all-time BROWN office space. high and unemployment REAL ESTATE And the cost of asbestos removal has fright- running at more than a No, it isn't a big deal. ened off some buyers. point above the national average, Inc. magazine What's $7.4 million among the billions and still considers Dallas-Fort Worth a "hot spot" for billions of real estate dollars ground up in the 1989. Texas foreclosure mill? Robert Bagwell must feel like he stumbled Not that anyone is calling up Inc. to complain. But this month's foreclosure on a $7.4 million into a time warp. But our local real estate developers and bankers Richardson industrial complex raised a few eye- Since the early 1980s, Mr. Bagwell has been a can't stand much more of this fast growth. brows down at the courthouse steps. developer and broker in Dallas' West End - the So what's the deal? How did Dallas-Fort Aetna Life Insurance foreclosed on the prop- collection of turn-of-the-century brick buildings Worth wind up ranked 26th among the nation's erty. The owner - until March 7 - was Tram- on downtown's northwest corner. 200 largest cities in a comparison of job growth mell Crow Co. Mr. Bagwell was a partner in the redevelop- and business formations?. Crow Co. has so far avoided the monthly fore- ment of several of the historic buildings - in- The same survey ranked Austin ninth among closure auctions. While other big builders like cluding the West End Marketplace. But these these "hot" cities. Lincoln, Vantage and Hines have let uneconomi- days his real estate expertise is being used light cal projects fall into foreclosure, Crow had re- It all depends on how you read the numbers. years beyond the West End. mained out of the fray. The magazine's March ranking uses a spread Mr. Bagwell has moved to Northern Califor- Officials with Aetna confirmed the foreclo- of statistics from January 1984 to July 1988. And nia to go to work for Skywalker Development Co. sure of the multibuilding complex at Interna- it wasn't until 1986 that the statistics began to - the real estate development subsidiary of Lu- tional Parkway and Apollo Road. A Crow Co. catch up with bad times in Big D. casfilm Ltd., creator of the hit Star Wars and In- spokesman said that the foreclosure was by mu- diana Jones movie sagas. The high growth rates Dallas-Fort Worth en- tual agreement of the developer and the lender. Lucasfilm's real estate arm is designing fu- joyed in 1984 and 1985 are putting a spin on the turistic entertainment and retail developments growth profile. that utilize some of the high-tech special effects And the same kind of statistical lag will pres- Dallas real estate brokerage firms are casting and sets made popular in the Star Wars movies. ent just as inaccurate a picture of conditions in dirty glances at the latest large property assign- One project Skywalker Development is study- the area a year or so from now when the econ- ment in downtown Dallas. Federal regulators ing is in downtown Houston. omy has recovered. signed a Houston developer to handle the dispo- Steve Brown is Real Estate Editor of The Dal- Even after the market turns and the arrows sition of the old Republic Bank complex at Live las Morning News. Jobless rate drops to 15-year low points after several months of rising unemployment. The state's unemployment was down from 8. percent a year ago, but still ranked as the highest among the Texas unemployment nation's 11 largest state's. "Even though we're still doing follows national trend well, we've got a way to go be- fore we can say our expansion matches the national average," FROM STAFF AND WIRE REPORTS 3-11 said Nic Santangelo, chief of eco- nomic analysis for the bureau's The nation's unemployment dropped to a 15-year Southwest regional office. low of 5.1 percent in February as employers created 289,000 jobs, the government said Friday in a report The humber of unemployed cited as evidence of surprising, sustained vigor in Texans dropped in February to the economy. 551,000, compared with 673,000 Texas unemployment also fell sharply from 7.1 unemployed in February 1988 percent in January to 6.7 percent in February. the and 590,000 unemployed in Jan- lowest level since July, the Bureau of Labor Statis- uary, the bureau reported. tics reported. Wall Street seemed to regard the strong unem- ployment drop as an indication that economic growth is too vigorous as stock prices fell. Analysts cited concerns the Federal Re- serve Board Unemployment may raise inter- Percent of work force, est rates to cool seasonally adjusted down the econ- omy as employ- 10% ers bid up wage Texas: 9 rates in an ev- 6.7% er-tightening la- bor market. 8 A record 62.9 percent of the 7 working-age population was 6 at work last month. match- 5 ing the high set in January, the 4 department said in data cal- U.S.: 3 culated from its 5.1% monthly house- 2 hold survey. The nation's 1 jobless rate. stuck at 5.3 per- cent or 5.4 per- O MAMJJASONDJF cent for five 1988 1989 months. fell 0.3 percentage SOURCE: Labor Department point in Febru- ary to 5.1 percent, its lowest since May 1974. The last time the rate was lower was in December 1973. when it hit 4.9 percent. The gain of 289.000 non-farm jobs in February reflected improved conditions in service-producing industries, such as health care and retail trade. ac- cording to a separate survey of business payrolls. February's job gains. although strong, were off from January's huge increase of 415,000 jobs. Last month's harsh weather cut 22,000 jobs from con- struction employment. Manufacturing jobs were down 8,000 after rising steadily since September. Those decreases were more than made up for by a gain of 321.000 jobs in the service sector of the economy, including gains in health and business services and in retail trade. In Texas the jobless rate fell 0.4 percentage Please see JOBS, C-2 14 Permian's future tied to recovery, drilling technology ASSOCIATED PRESS tion, the Permian Basin stands to become the tertiary capital of the MIDLAND - The fate of world - if it does not already Permian Basin oil fields will de- own that title. pend on technology now unfold- While CO₂ projects are not ex- ing and yet to unfold, say industry actly new technology to the experts. Permian Basin, the recent mar- With exploration for major re- riage of new computers to the serves in the Permian Basin pret- process is making it a new, high- ty much in the past and produc- ly efficient ballgame. The wide- tion fairly mature, one spread use of artificial intelligence technological approach the Perm- could make it a new world in pe- ian Basin will increasingly count troleum production. on is exploitation, says Richard Operators of tertiary projects Morrow, chairman of Amoco are now able to use computers to Corp. stimulate reservoir performance Exploitation is simply the use and optimize injection rates. The of technology and efficiency to same computers also improve maximize the recovery of present sweep efficiency within the reser- crude oil reserves. voir. With sophisticated computer There are currently 300 billion programs, engineers are able to barrels of oil in the United States map accurately complex produc- that has already been discovered tion structures below the Earth's and is in place. But energy ex- surface and avoid trapping oil. perts predict that only 10 percent Computers also are opening of this amount can be recovered the door to improve the stimula- with the present state-of-the-art tion and completion techniques. technology. Last month the Society of Petro- Addressing the problem of de- leum Engineers, meeting in clining production at a Midland Houston, sponsored an interna- conference last year. Morrow said tional symposium on reservoir the industry should make wider stimulation. in which 36 papers use of exploitation teams. were submitted on using comput- He said these teams would be er methods to stimulate the flow interdisciplinary with talents in of injected chemicals, gases and geology. geophysics and engi- other agents into oil and gas for- neering. Their purpose is to focus mations. on areas in and around existing A recovery technique that has fields to extend the limits of exist- been applied in the Permian Ba- ing reservoirs. identify new pro- sin in only a minor way is Micro- ducing horizons. and remap res- bial Enhanced Oil Recovery. Still ervoirs to achieve better drainage. undergoing pilot studies as a re- Morrow savs up to 60 percent covery process. microbes have of reserve additions in the past been used in the Permian Basin five years have been through ex- as a means to control paraffin in ploitation efforts. oil wells. Morrow and others in the in- MEOR. which uses oil-digest- dustry are also calling for an all- ing germs to produce heat. pres- out push to develop new tech- sure. carbon dioxide and surfac- nology to tap passed-over tant chemicals in oil wells, may be reserves. But the industry. even the next round of recovery after without a cail. is already respond- carbon dioxide projects. It has ing to the obvious need to find proven highly effective in stimu- technology beyond today's con- lating oil mobility and can pene- ventional recovery methods. And trate low permeability zones in some of that advanced technology reservoirs. is already showing up in the Significant technological ad- Permian Basin. vances that could increase pro- One such technology is tertiary duction and decrease costs are recovery. primarily CO, projects also being made in drilling with in the Permian Basin. With over new horizontal and high-speed 25 carbon dioxide floods in opera- drilling techniques. 17 ECONOMIC report Corporate flow TYPICAL CORPORATE TRANSFEREE Transferee Transferee elsewhere Characteristic to Texas 5 in U.S. P.ID Pige 38 38.5 going to Texas Male 84.0% 84.0% Married 86.1% 88.0% MAR 1 6 1989 Children 84.2% 82.0% And Dallas is top destination Spouse employed 62.0% 48.0% Full-time employment 86.5% 67.0% By Kevin B. Blackistone The last Homequity survey, Department: Staff Writer of The Dallas Morning News done in 1986 in the midst of the Sales 26.3% 21.0% oil-price crash that precipitated Engineering 11.4% 17.0% orporate America, once the deflation of the Texas Finance 9.6% 10.0% C again, is moving more economy, showed that 1,935 Reason for transfer: people into Texas than out families relocated to metropolitan Promotion 47.8% 59.0% of it, according a study by the Dallas while 2,187 families packed Lateral move 30.4% 41.0% nation's largest relocation their bags for greener pastures. Number of times company. And the Dallas area The chief economist of J.C. transferred 3.6 2.9 leads U.S. metropolitan Penney Co., which relocated in Frequency of communities in the number of 1987 to the Dallas area from New transfer by years 4.0 4.4 out-of-state arrivals. York, said the analysis is further SOURCE: PHH Homequity A survey of corporate evidence that the fortunes of transferees conducted by PHH Texas and Dallas are turning for The Dallas Morning News Homequity, a Connecticut-based the better. is the New York metropolitan for Homequity in Las Colinas. real estate services company that Penney economist Ira Silver area is so expensive. A Homequity executive, who assists on more business said more corporations today "Most of the people they assisted Penney in making its relocations and expansions to realize they can reduce expenses (major corporations) want to move to the Dallas area, said that new venues than any other U.S. and develop better managerial develop, they have to move. And most of the families relocating to firm, showed that in 1988 it talent in less-expensive, centrally you can lose some very good Dallas from out of state were, in moved more families - 4,278 - to located areas such as Dallas people if they are not willing to fact, departing communities in metropolitan Dallas than to any rather than traditional, but very make a move," Mr. Silver the Northeast. of the 75 other areas in the nation expensive, posts on the East explained. "Outside of Texas, most of our they serve. Coast. "The need for American moves are from the New York- Homequity, which has an "One attraction (in Dallas) is corporations to look at how they Connecticut corridor," said office in Las Colinas, also moved lower taxes, which reduces our spend their money and operate Andrew D. Bardach, national 2,718 families out of the Dallas operating expenses," Mr. Silver more efficiently is a big economic account executive for Homequity community in 1988. Dallas ranked said. "It was also getting very decision. That makes this a very in Las Colinas. "There's been fifth in departures, the company's difficult to transfer people into attractive area," said J. Kevin such a dichotomy in living study indicated. the New York area. The problem Raney, director of client relations Please see CORPORATE on Page 12D. Corporate flow going to Texas Continued from Page 1D. vice president and general mana- which made this area a less expen- panies and their employees. expenses between the Southwest ger for Homequity in Las Colinas. sive place to work and live. And publicity about Texas and the Northeast over the last few Until recently, Homequity execu- "The forces that give you prob- through national conventions that years that the Dallas environment tives said, most of the corporate lems, in the end, give you benefits, set up in Houston and Dallas, Home- becomes very attractive." moves to Dallas involved expan- and vice versa," Mr. Silver said. quity executives said, have allowed Homequity also showed the typi- sions of small offices. Today, they "The good luck and fast growth the corporate decision-makers to see cal family transferring to Texas was said, they are handling more and Northeast experienced has started the state as more than just prairies more likely than a family transfer- more large division and headquar- to give it problems. And you're and oil fields. ing to another state to be headed by ter moves, such as J.C. Penney, Oc- starting to see turnaround numbers "A few years ago people looked at a 38-year-old male sales executive cidental Chemical and GTE Corp.'s for the Southwest - because of its this place as Lonesome Dove - COV- with a working wife and one child. telephone operations unit, all of problems." ered wagons and prairies," Bardach And the executive probably decided which moved to the Dallas area in Mr. Silver said statistics such as said. "But now, with all the conven- to move to Texas because the move the past two years. depressed real estate prices and an tions here, they see it's not. We're included a promotion, according to The study stated that transferees unemployment rate that is higher getting New York and California Homequity. out of Texas were most probably than the national average make banks, and they see that as meaning Homequity executives said most leaving a job in financial services, Texas a more better place for com- we're sophisticated." of the corporations they helped one of Texas' industries that has move to Dallas were in the service suffered the most during the eco- sector, the fastest-growing em- nomic turndown of the past two ployer in the U.S. economy. years. "We do have a high number of Mr. Silver said the Homequity oil companies, but we are seeing a data illustrate that Texas actually is lot of high-tech and retail compa- benefitting from the natural ebb nies," said Gary P. Cunningham, and flow of the regional economy, ECONOMIC REPORT 1989 METROPOLIT Year to year economic growth, in percent 1 HOUSTON 14% 12 12 10 10 6 2.18 2.45* 2 0 2 2.00 bine in elned Forecasts The Dallas Morning News MAR 09 1989 Texas economy rebounding, report says By Kevin B. Blackistone the state's largest city and that of Texas will will go all right this year. Staff Writer of The Dallas Morning News expand at their fastest pace since 1984, when "I really do believe that this is the year that ouston - which for the past few years both were still riding the crest of high oil capital availability comes back. The only H suffered more than any Texas prices. question is whether they will lend to small metropolis after collapsed oil prices In addition, the analysis expects the most business," Mr. Hockenyos said. "And I do think dragged the state economy into a deep hole robust economic growth since 1985 for the interest rates will come down - by Labor Day. this year should lead what will be the state's state's second-largest city, Dallas, and for the That's based on our judgment of the political Fort Worth metropolitan area. needs of the current administration." strongest economic growth in half a decade, "Some of that's just statistics when you're Mr. Hockenyos and co-publisher Travis C. according to a new analysis from an Austin- coming off the bottom," said Jon Hockenyos, Tullos project the state economy expanding by based economic forecasting service. In its just-released report, Texas economist and publisher of the Texas 1.69 percent in 1989 after recording two Perspectives Inc. forecasts that the economy of Perspectives report. "But we do think things Please see TEXAS on Page 4D. Texas economy rebounding, report says Continued from Page 1D. search will spur the overall Austin consecutive years of flatness and "The big variable is whether we get a recession. I economic recovery, which jibes contracting by 4.08 percent in 1986. don't think we'll see one. And if we continue with new projections from the Aus- They also foresee the state economy tin Chamber of Commmerce. growing in 1990 even if the national without one, we'll outperform the nation." "The sector that is leading the economy enters a recession, which - Don Reynolds, president, economy is manufacturing. particu- at least three out of every four members of the National Associa- 21st Century Forecasting larly exports of durable goods," said Angelos Angelou, chief economist tion of Business Economists pre- at the Austin Chamber, who fore- dicts. in 1989 by 1.47 percent, which think we'll see one. And if we con- casts 1.1 percent growth in the Aus- M. Ray Perryman, director of would be its largest gain since 1985, tinue without one, we'll outperform tin economy this year. "Seventy per- Baylor University Forecasting Ser- predict Mr. Hockenyos and Mr. Tul- the nation." cent of our manufacturing is high- vice. in Waco and a consultant to los. Mr. Reynolds said that beyond tech, and that's R&D (research and Texas Perspectives, concurred with The economists do not expect growth in defense and aerospace in development) driven." his Austin colleagues. But he cau- the severe problems that beset Dal- Fort Worth. he expects a pickup in tioned: "What we (Texas) can't las' banking and thrift industries to property absorption rates and in Mr. Angelou predicts Austin this stand is any runup in the dollar, be- disappear entirely this year, but new construction. year will take in nearly $1 billion in cause everything (in the recovery) they do envision corporate reloca- The economy in the capital city, R&D funding. is so export-driven." tions - like the move of GTE Austin, also should realize growth With the major urban areas in Mr. Hockenyos and Mr. Tullos Corp.'s telephone operations divi- this year, according to the Texas Texas expected to do better to- note. in fact, that it is the decline in sion to Irving - and business ex- Perspective soothsayers. They gether in 1989, it is no surprise then the value of the dollar against for- pansions providing a new infusion project 1.21 percent growth in Aus- that most economists here believe eign currencies that is most respon- of capital and commerce. tin, which would reverse three con- the state economy will gather sible for the statewide and Houston But most of the growth in metro- secutive years of contraction. They strength. although not as much as economic recovery. politan Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas predict that manufacturing and re- during the boom years. Continued depreciation this Perspectives forecast, will occur on year, they predict, will help fuel the Tarrant County side. It states economic growth in Houston by 2.46 the economy in and around Fort percent as local manufacturers and Worth will strengthen this year by petrochemical producers increase 1.87 percent, after declining their output. The Houston economy slightly last year and staying flat in last. year grew 2.18 percent after 1987 and 1986. recording three consecutive years High-technology manufacturers of negative growth between 1985 in Fort Worth will pick up any fal- and 1987. loff in defense-related industries, That kind of scenario would be where some analysts expect a slow- consistent with what we're expect- down in federal contracts, while ing, said C.A. "Skip" Kasdorf, direc- the aerospace industry continues to tor of research for the Greater grow, the magazine predicts. Houston Partnership, the city's new "The big variable is whether we private economic development get a recession," said Don Reynolds, group. "For '89, we're looking for president of 21st Century Forecast- continued job growth, but that is ing in Fort Worth, who expects 2 contingent on what happens with percent or better growth for Fort the national economy. If we do see a Worth this year and next. "I don't slowdown in the second half (na- tionally), we will see a slowdown here." The Dallas-area economy, which recorded negative growth in two of the past three years, should expand 32,000 more Houston Houston economy The Houston area is expected to add 31,700 jobs next year, while jobs forecast for 1989 the population will rise by 55,300. Change in population Change in employment tion affiliated with Rice Univer- In thousands In thousands By JOHN BARNETT Houston Chronicle DEC 0 7 1988 sity made its predictions for 1989 60 60 based on an average oil price of $18.79 a barrel, said Foss. But the 50 40 Houston will add almost 32,000 price softness in the second half of 40 new jobs during 1989, with most of the year has brought that average 20 the growth coming in service, re- down to $15. 30 tail and government sectors, Rice "This reflects our belief that 20 0 Center economists announced even if the current OPEC agree- Tuesday. ment holds through 1989, we still 10 Although the outlook for next will not work off the surplus, and -20 0 year is good, the picture is not as prices will remain soft," she said. bright as the one the economists The fact the impact of the price -10 -40 painted in July. They have lowered drop was not greater reflects their earlier projections by 3,000 Houston's reduced dependence on -20 -60 jobs in the seven-county Houston energy, Foss said. -30 Metropolitan Statistical Area be- While a national recession is not cause of fluctuating oil prices. -40 -80 in the cards next year, employ- "The major factor influencing '85 '87 '89 '91 '93 '85 '87 '89 '91 '93 ment growth in Houston will slow our revised 1989 outlook for Hous- between 1989 and 1990 because the ton is softer energy prices," said national expansion is slowing, Foss '89 - '94 figures are estimated Source: Rice Center project manager Michelle Foss. Earlier, the research organiza- See JOBS on Page 5B. Chronicle Jobs mists said. The improved utilization projection. This forecast uses a 1989 rate for rigs should trigger a spurt in oil price assumption of just under employment of about 40,000 jobs $10, which could happen once winter Continued from Page 1B. during both of those years. fuel demand drops off and the ability Manufacturing will continue to of the Organization of Petroleum said. As a result, the number of jobs play an important part in the Hous- Exporting Countries to maintain its added in Houston in 1990 will drop to ton economy, the study said. pact is tested. about 26,000, according to the Rice Additional diversification could Center study. come if the region increases produc- "In spite of revenue needs by In the long run, however, the city's tion of final consumer goods and OPEC producers, we think there is a growth rate will be greater. Between non-energy-related capital equip- possibility of another fall in prices to 1988 and 1992, Houston should gain ment. As the region diversifies, there levels unacceptable by OPEC, spur- about 144,000 jobs and 210,000 resi- also will be more demand for profes- ring an accord that would be more dents, Foss said. sional services to meet the needs of strongly enforced," Foss said. Conditions will improve during the new industries, Foss said. Foss said that the harmful effects 1991 and 1992 as energy prices be- The center also addressed the im- of this scenario would be offset by come more stable and the United pact of lower oil prices and the benefits to the area associated with States works through its surplus possibility of a national recession in accelerated refining and petrochem- stock of drilling rigs, the Rice econo- 1989 and 1990 in a "worst case" icals activity. Texas is ready to grow, agency predicts AMERICAN @TATESMAN FEB 02 1989 Associated Press 1-7 The latest edition of Fiscal Notes, pub- said. "By the end of the year, recovery will construction should hit bottom in mid-year. lished by the comptroller's office, reported turn into expansion as statewide employ- The overall Texas economy will grow 2.4 The Texas economy is getting healthier that since the recession's low point in spring ment surpasses its late-1985 peak." percent in 1989, Bullock said, about the same and a measure of that recovery is that 90,000 1987, Texas has gained 176,000 jobs and re- jobs should be created in 1989, Comptroller covered 80 percent of jobs in 1986-87. The major force driving the recovery will as the nation's economy. Personal income continue to be manufacturing, which bene- for Texans will increase by more than 7 Bob Bullock's office said Wednesday. Unemployment has fallen nearly 3 percen- fits from the lower dollar and increasing percent. Such a jobs gain would set a record of 6.7 tage points, to about 7 percent by the end of million Texans employed by year's end. competitiveness of American exports, the The state itself is also projected to grow. 1988. "Texas has weathered the oil-bust years comptroller's report said. The report said Texas will gain almost "Assuming the U.S. economy remains 200,000 in population and more people will well," Bullock said. "We've regained most of healthy and oil prices are relatively stable in Most of the new jobs, however, will be in move to Texas than move away. Population the ground we lost, and the state's outlook the current range, Texas' economic growth trade and service industries. Oil and gas are will increase 188,000, or 1.1 percent, during continues to improve." will continue through 1989," the newsletter expected to remain stable; real estate and the year, the report predicted. RE Tuesday. April 11, 1989 Houston Chronicle 3C Banking, state officials planning meeting By MARK TOONEY mittee, and state Rep. Ashley Smith, "The legislative process in Wash- terrible problem and we have to do Houston Chronicle Austin Bureeu R-Houston, chairman of the House ingtom is in Its formative stages something about it' But what are we Financial Institutions committee, to so I think you're going is go up there going to do about it? I hope that any meet with Federal Deposit Insur- and find out there are several ap- legislation at the state or federal AUSTIN - Top legislative lead- ance Corp. head L William Seidman proaches to this problem on the level doesn't do too much harm. Let's era, including Lt. Gov. Bill Hobby, and Robert Clarke, comptroller of table, and it's really in a state of flux not be in a barry to legislate OR this." will travel to Washington later this the U.S. currency. right new," Clements said. mouth to huddle with federal bank- As exact date has not been set. Hebby said be wants to meet with Said Lewis about the financial ing officials over Texas' troubled This was one of many subjects we federal officials about banking prob- Institution problems, There seems financial industry. (Bush and Clements) discussed. lerns because "It's a subject I'm net to be no answer and we're looking for Gev. Bill Clements, House Speaker We're all searching for solutions on very well informed on." an answer.' Glb Lewis and Mobby met for an this S&L situation. It does net lend Some state legislators have com- hour on Monday to discuss the state's itself to a quick fix. It just does not," plained that Texas financial institu- There's a concern that we have banking and savings and loan crisis. Clements said after emerging from tions taken over by the federal gov- over what role the state is playing in The governer, fresh from his own the meeting with Hobby and Lewis. ernment recently "are not compet- addressing the needs of financial trip to Washington where be met last Asked if Bush suggested any legis- ing fairly" with independently Institutions," bewis said. "Bs the week with President Bash, has ar- lative action on the part of Texas owned banks, said Hobby. state doing overything It can to ranged for Hobby, Sex. OIL "like" officials, Clements replied, "I'm tell- Tm pretty skeptical of legislation regulate this type stuff? This meet- Harris, R-Dallos, chairman of the ing you we're not at that point. in this area. We all sort of have a ing will help us understand what role Senate Economic Development com- Everybody is seeking solutions. vague feeling of, Gee this is a we should play." MCorp to P.IA seek bankruptcy protection Case raises questions on role MCorp FINANCES Net Income Assets of federal regulators, courts Figures in millions of dollars 30000 Figures in millions of dollars 200 By Gary Jacobson 28 1989 102.5 100.4 107.7 132.4 20697 22586 21887 Editorial. 12A 20228 o 8820** Staff Writer of The Dallas Morning News 20000 The planned Chapter 11 bank- Reaction calm. 1D ruptcy filing by MCorp could be a MCorp, which can file for protec- -200 -82.1 landmark case in establishing the tion. -258.3 10191 11884 relationship between banking regu- A major question is whether fed- -400 lators and the bankruptcy courts, 10000 eral regulators can now seize any or legal experts said Monday. all of the individual banks without Unlike the bankruptcy filing by -600 approval from bankruptcy court. First RepublicBank Corp. last July -760** Regulators and some legal experts - one day after regulators seized say a bankruptcy filing does not af- -800 0 its Texas banks - MCorp still con- fect the government's freedom in '82 83 '84* '85 '86 '87 '88 '82 '83 '84" '85 '86 '87 '88 trols all 25 of its subsidiary banks. this area. Others, however, are not Regulations prohibit the banks Mercantile Texas Corp. and Southwest Bancshares Inc. Merged in 1984 sure. : themselves from filing for bank- Estimate "This has the potential to be a ruptcy, yet they are considered as- SOURCE: MCorp, Federal Deposit insurance Corp. sets of the holding company, Please see CASE on Page 6A. The Dallas Morning News Case raises questions for regulators, courts Continued from Page 1A. Over the weekend, MCorp said it sets to its subsidiary banks. Martin Klein, a New York lawyer fascinating case," said Jay West- planned to file for protection from But once the Chapter 7 proceed- specializing in bankruptcy, said he brook, a law professor at the Uni- creditors under Chapter 11 of the ing was filed, legal experts say, expects the FDIC to continue work- versity of Texas at Austin who spe- U.S. bankruptcy code. The move was MCorp had few other choices. ing closely with MCorp. He does not cializes in bankruptcy. "The pre- in response to a small group of the It could accept the liquidation, anticipate that regulators will move cedents it sets could be as much company's bondholders who filed fight it or exercise its legal right to quickly to take over the subsidiary practical as they are legal." their own Chapter 7 petition last convert to Chapter 11. banks. week in New York. Liquidation was an unacceptable Mr. Klein said the attorney - I. At issue, the experts say, are gov- Chapter 7 calls for the involun- choice. To fight the Chapter 7 fil- Walton Bader - for the bondhold- ernment policies that do not always tary liquidation of a company, with ing, MCorp would have to prove ers who filed the Chapter 7 petition agree. Banking regulators, for in- proceeds divided among the credi- that the allegations - namely, it is well-known in New York bank- stance, are mainly concerned about preserving and stabilizing the tors. Chapter 11, a voluntary action has not paid interest on certain ruptcy courts. banking system. Bankruptcy laws that supersedes Chapter 7, allows a debt on time - are untrue. The "This is a game he's playing," Mr. are concerned with getting the company to continue operating company, however, has said it Klein said of Mr. Bader. "He's trying most money possible for a com- while it attempts to reorganize. stopped paying interest on some to get control. Chapter 11 puts the Last November, MCorp and the debt. company back in control." pany's creditors. Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. "The most viable alternative for Mr. Bader did not respond Mon- Particular policies do not always negotiated a standstill agreement us is to convert to Chapter 11," said day to messages left on an answer- prevail. In the case of Continental Airlines, legal experts said, bank- that avoided bankruptcy. MCorp MCorp spokesman George McCane. ing machine at his firm. ruptcy laws took precedence over said it would not seek Chapter 11 MCorp has 20 days to make the con- While the Chapter 7 petition was labor law. The airline was able to protection, and the regulators version, a relatively simple process. filed in New York, many legal ex- agreed to back off from demands "We will convert," Mr. McCane said. perts said they expected the case to cancel its labor contracts. But in cases involving environ- that the holding company supply "The timing has not been deter- ultimately wind up in Dallas, where mental laws, the U.S. Supreme Court some of its $250 million in liquid as- mined yet." MCorp is based. has ruled that companies in bank- ruptcy proceedings cannot walk away from costs associated with their environmental obligations. "This case raises some new possi- bilities," said Toby Gerber, a part- ner at Johnson & Swanson in Dal- las. "A lot of bankruptcy practition- ers will be looking closely." Thrifts From C9 Clements said. ance fund. have expressed concern that a know. What's happening? What's For example, one aspect of the quick sale of bad assets would Bush plan proposes putting the Seidman's agency is also expect- going to be the next step?" further weaken the state's already savings and loan industry's deposit ed to play an important role in dis- fragile real estate industry. Clements said it is too early to insurance fund under FDIC con- posing of bad assets from insolvent Lewis said the lawmakers will try tell whether the Legislature should trol. The FDIC has historically thrifts. Many Texans, including to find out "If there is something take any action to address the controlled the bank deposit insur- U.S. Rep. Jake Pickle, D-Austin, we should know that we don't problem. Texas to pcq send thrift plan contingent APR 1 1 1989 vent thrifts around the country, in- of the Senate Economic Develop- By Debbie Graves cuding 63 in Texas, until Congress ment Committee; and Rep. Ashley American-Statesman Capitol Staff appropriates the funds to sell, Smith, chairman of House Finan- A group of Texas lawmakers will merge or close the institutions. cial Institutions Committee. Clem- go to Washington later this month The lawmakers will also meet ents said other representatives and in search of a solution to the state's with Robert Clarke, the U.S. senators may be added to the savings and loan crisis. Comptroller of the Currency, group, which will travel to Wash- Gov. Bill Clements has arranged whose agency regulates nationally ington within 10 days. No definite chartered banks. date has been set yet. for the Texas contingent to meet with L. William Seidman, chair- Clements, Lt. Gov. Bill Hobby Clements said he discussed the man of the Federal Deposit Insur- and House Speaker Gib Lewis an- thrift industry debacle last week ance Corp., whose agency has been nounced the trip after they met in with President George Bush over a given a lead role in the Bush plan to an hour-long private meeting Mon- long lunch. rescue the problem-plagued thrift day, which was also attended by a industry. handful of key legislators. "We are all searching for solu- Seidman's agency, normally a Likely to travel to Washington tions on this S&L situation and it bank regulator, has been given the on the fact finding mission are: does not limit itself to a quick fix," task of controlling nearly 230 insol- Hobby; Sen. Ike Harris, chairman See Thrifts, C11 Deposit run blamed for MBank PIA seizures MAR 30 1989 By David LaGesse MCORP BANKS SEIZED Staff Writer of The Dallas Morning News A run on deposits at the lead James Gardner profile. 1D bank of MCorp in Dallas — involv- Bankruptcy status. 1D ing banks within and outside the holding company — led to a liqui- Reaction to FDIC action. 4D dity crisis that forced the govern- Gene Bishop profile. 4D ment to seize 20 of the firm's subsidi- aries, regulatory and industry Bidding now begins anew for the sources said Wednesday. former banks of MCorp, which for More than 200 federal regulators nearly a year has sought a govern- fanned out across Texas on Tuesday ment-assisted bailout. The FDIC to check the pulse of the 25 banks faces one of its most costly banking owned by MCorp. By 1 a.m. Wednes- rescues ever, with some analysts es- day, the government had seized the timating that the insurance fund bulk of the company's operations. will commit $2 billion to the bailout. The Federal Deposit Insurance Five solvent banks with $2.8 bil- Corp. now operates the 20 former lion in deposits and $3.2 billion in MBanks as the Deposit Insurance assets remain under the ownership Bridge Bank, a newly chartered, of MCorp. But observers wonder wholly government-owned institu- whether they can withstand the tion with $15.4 billion in assets. The pending bankruptcy filing of the L. William Seidman mon- FDIC took control of the banks after parent company. Accounts at all 25 of the current itored the MCorp situation the U.S. comptroller of the currency declared them insolvent. Please see RUN on Page 8A. throughout the day Tuesdav. 47 Run on deposits blamed for seizure of MBanks Continued from Page 1A. ington consulting firm. at First Republic," said one banker, and former MCorp banks remain "It principally was the solvent asking to not be named. "I just (covered up to the normal $100,000 banks within the MCorp system that couldn't take the risk they wouldn't limit on federal deposit insurance. were refusing to continue to keep distinguish between my deposits The banks opened Wednesday morn- lines of credit outstanding to the in- and the accounts of other MBanks." ing for normal operations. solvent banks," he said. Actually, the FDIC said it trans- The fast-moving series of events Profitable and healthy MBanks ferred all other depositor accounts that brought down MCorp, the last in El Paso, Corpus Christi and at 19 of the seized MBanks in full to of the Dallas-based holding compa- Brownsville and unaffiliated insti- the new bridge bank. nies to collapse, began last week tutions elsewhere knew from expe- The once exception came at with the filing of an involuntary rience with the FDIC that the MBank Abilene. The government bankruptcy petition against the par- agency would use interbank trans- chose to essentially liquidate that ent firm. actions to seize their institutions, bank, transferring only deposits up MCorp officials responded Mon- said Frank W. Anderson, a bank ana- to the $100,000 limit to the bridge day morning by saying the company lyst with Stephens Inc., an invest- bank. would seek protection in the courts ment firm in Little Rock, Ark. That move came because of un- under Chapter 11 of the U.S. bank- When First RepublicBank Corp. usual liabilities at the Abilene bank, ruptcy code. failed in the summer of 1988, regula- a failing institution that MCorp ac- That caused a panic among bank- tors first declared the company's quired in the early 1980s. Juries ers, particularly those with accounts largest banks insolvent. That caused have delivered major judgments at the troubled MBank Dallas, the a number of the company's 38 other against the old Abilene National flagship bank of MCorp and one of Texas banks to fail because those in- Bank in recent years, including two its most troubled institutions, said stitutions had lent the money to the lender-liability suits that brought Robert Clarke, the U.S. comptroller company's biggest institutions in $68 million and $40 million judg- of the currency. Dallas and Houston. ments. "The primary funding difficulty Regulators used the same domino initially was with the lead bank in effect in seizing 14 of the 20 MBanks While the $40 million suit was re- Dallas," he said. "That's where the that were seized Tuesday. cently overturned on appeal, and principal downstream deposit ac- Early in the process, on Tuesday the other was recently heard by an counts were within the system." evening, the comptroller declared appeals court, the FDIC essentially Unaffiliated depositors also ini- MBank Dallas insolvent - and es- extinguished those judgments by tially focused on the Dallas bank sentially refused to honor the depos- liquidating the bank, Mr. Isaac said. Monday, Mr. Clarke said Wednesday its of other MBanks beyond the An FDIC spokesman said few ac- morning, speaking at a news confer- $100,000 limit on federal insurance. counts with uninsured deposits re- ence in Washington with FDIC That brought down the 14 mained at the Abilene bank. By mid- Chairman L. William Seidman. MBanks, with six already seized un- morning Wednesday, examiners had The three-member FDIC board of der the more normal criteria of capi- found only $1,000 in uninsured. de- directors, which includes Mr. tal insolvency. After losses of more posits, apparently because rumors Clarke and Mr. Seidman, monitored than $900 million last year in the had long suggested the impending the Texas situation throughout the system of MBanks, and a recent ex- failure to depositors. day Tuesday. haustive federal exam, the six banks Until Tuesday afternoon, MCorp "But it became clear as the day had used up the cash cushion that officials still hoped the company wore on that the bank was not going the government requires for banks might survive its funding crisis, cor- to meet the demands of its deposi- to operate. porate officials said. Deposit with- tors," Mr. Clarke said. Other bankers had also feared drawals were accelerating, but still MCorp was essentially the fate of their deposits at MBank appeared manageable as long as the dismembering itself from within, as Dallas. Officers of several Texas in- govenment continued advancing some of the biggest demands for stitutions said they had withdrawn MBank Dallas the approximately withdrawals came from the other their check-clearing business from $1.5 billion it had been loaning MCorp banks, industry sources said. MCorp on Monday and Tuesday, since late October. The MBanks realized that the fearing their exposure if the govern- bankruptcy threat would likely But late Tuesday, the govern- ment refused to make their accounts force regulatory action against the ment told selected MCorp officials to whole. company, said William Isaac, presi- plan to work late. That evening "The FDIC brought part of this dent of the Secura Group, a Wash- about 7 p.m., a group of about 15 fed- on itself by the way it treated banks eral regulators had gathered at the M MCorp WHAT THE FDIC SEIZED The Deposit Insurance Bridge Bank, a chartered institution wholly owned by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., assumed control of 20 failed MBanks Wednesday. All of the institutions opened for business as usual. The following is a list of total assets and deposits of the institu- tions, in thousands, as of Feb. 28, 1989: Assets Deposits MBank Abilene $188,846 $205,671 MBank Alamo $717,213 $673,443 MBank Austin $622,722 $551,909 MBank Brenham $144,857 $135,073 MBank Corsicana $192,351 $188,365 MBank Dallas $6,421,568 $3,667,072 MBank Denton Co. (Lewisville) $225,173 $218,176 MBank Fort Worth $750,125 $662,921 MBank Greenville $163,434 $162,474 MBank Houston $3,170,976 $2,438,015 MBank Jefferson Co. (Port Arthur) $334,167 $311,281 MBank Longview $271,218 $261,498 MBank Marshall $232,523 $222,120 MBank Midcities (Arlington) $369,698 $347,826 MBank Odessa $369,439 $351,687 MBank Orange $157,467 $150,631 MBank Round Rock $166,612 $166,864 MBank Sherman $282,227 $270,207 MBank Wichita Falls $447,180 $437,206 MBank The Woodlands $160,933 $156,127 SOURCE: Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. MCorp's REMAINING BANKS Figures in thousands as of Dec. 31, 1988 Equity Assets Deposits capital MBank El Paso $1,314,483 $1,176,077 $63,140 MBank Corpus Christi $799,193 $670,338 $25,536 MBank Waco $476,631 $450,402 $10,047 MBank Brownsville $452,587 $420,689 $22,325 MBank New Braunfels $136,309 $129,376 $5,490 SOURCE: Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. The Dallas Morning News downtown Dallas headquarters of The end was apparent, but MBank Dallas - the modern and al- dragged throughout the evening. It most brand-new Momentum Place. was not until 1 a.m. that the last About that time MCorp officials bank was closed, in Sherman, a near received word that regulators had the Oklahoma border, directly north of Dallas. closed the first of the company's banks - MBank Round Rock, in a Staff writer William Choyke in suburban community north of Aus- Washington contributed to this re- tin. port. 49 C2 Austin American-Statesman Wednesday, March 29, 1989 S&L real estate won't be dumped, Brady reassures Texans DALLAS (AP) - Treasury Sec- that people in Texas are concerned billion, are in Texas. S&L bill moving through Congress. ties or the "securitization" of pools dustry and taxpayers splitting the retary Nicholas Brady assured that federal officials will 'dump' Texas business leaders Tuesday real estate held by insolvent S&Ls "We understand the potential As an alternative, the Treasury of real estate for sale to public in- interest payments, Brady said. destructive effects on the local Department is working on an oper- vestors, the official said. "Some have suggested that the that federal regulators would not on the local market," Brady said economies of wholesale dumping," ating plan for the Resolution Trust Brady also used the speech to resolution of the crisis would be ex- disrupt the state's fragile recovery Tuesday in a speech to the Greater by dumping real estate gained Dallas Chamber of Commerce. Brady said. "Let me assure you Corp., the government entity in the campaign for the Bush plan, which pedited by a one-time, lump-sum that we intend to proceed very Bush proposal that would liquidate would bring thrift regulation under appropriation of the necessary through the closing of insolvent Local business leaders have fre- carefully with real estate sales." failed S&Ls, according to an ad- the Treasury Department. funds by the government. I strong- savings and loans. quently expressed the fear that the ministration official, who spoke on The plan would cost $40 billion ly disagree," Brady said. In his first trip this year to the Federal Asset Disposition Associa- Brady said the government also state hardest hit by the thrift crisis, tion, or a proposed vehicle - the would be robbing itself by cut-rate condition of anonymity. to finance the insolvent institu- Such an allocation would make it sales, because the money generated The trust will be free to consider tions already taken care of and set impossible to meet deficit reduc- Brady also pushed the Bush ad- Resolution Trust Corp. - would unload the real estate at below- can be used to help pay for the res- a number of innovative proposals aside another $50 billion to be tion goals established by Gramm- ministration's $90 billion rescue plan as "the best realistic ap- cue plan. for preventing dumping, including spent during the next three years, Rudman, which calls for across- market prices to clear it off their proach" and warned that the crisis the creation of regional trusts to Brady said. The principle would be the-board budget cuts if the deficit books. Despite Brady's assurances, and buy and manage problem proper- paid by the industry, with the in- exceeds certain levels. is costing taxpayers $20 million per The FADA currently manages other statements by FADA offi- day and debate over alternative fi- about 2,200 assets in 33 states, with cials, the administration is resist- nancing could increase the cost by an approximate value of about $3.8 ing efforts by Sen. Timothy Wirth, as much as $500 million. billion. More than 1,500 of those D-Colo., and other legislators to "We in Washington are aware assets, worth an estimated $2.59 write dumping obstacles into the HOUSTON CHRONICLE MAR 29 1989 DZB Brady: Feds won't dump real estate By GREG STEINMETZ Houston Chronicle Treasury Secretary Nicholas Brady said Tuesday that federal regulators would not sidetrack the state's economic recovery by selling property obtained from insolvent savings and loans at below-market prices. Texas business leaders fear the government will hold a fire sale of the real estate it acquires from failed thrifts. Such a move, they say, would drive down depressed real estate values even further. "We understand the potential de- structive effects on the local econo- mies of wholesale dumping," Brady said in a speech to the Greater Dallas Chamber of Commerce. "Let me assure you that we intend to proceed very carefully with real Nicholas Brady estate sales. "Decisions will be evaluated and Sen. Don Riegle, D-Mich., and oth- made with the best interest of every- ers have said their proposal would one involved, particularly local com- save money in the long run. They say munities, taken into consideration," the off-budget financing scheme pro- he said. posed by Bush raises by billions of The administration objects to ef- dollars the government's borrowing forts by Sen. Timothy Wirth, D-Colo., costs. and others to write anti-dumping Brady conceded off-budget financ- provisions into savings and loan res- ing costs more than if the Treasury cue bills being considered by Con- borrowed the money, but said the gress. costs would soar even higher if the "Obviously there's some real es- Gramm-Rudman constraints were tate that's junk that has no value abandoned. now, that never did have, never will "The idea would make a mockery have. You might as well get that of the Gramm-Rudman targets," he behind you," Brady said. "There's said. "That would raise interest rates other real estate that's well-con- in my opinion. Gramm-Rudman, like ceived which has tenants in buildings it or not, is still the only process the and people living in condos and rest of the markets count on." those kinds of properties shouldn't be On Monday, Sen. Phil Gramm, the thrown on the market willy-nilly and Texas Republican who sponsored the won't be." budget-balancing law, called on Speaking later in the day in Hous- Brady to take a tougher stand ton, Brady blasted a proposal to pay against the Democratic proposal: for the savings and loan rescue with Separately, Brady said liquida- a lump sum. tions are a possibility for large insol- Brady, in remarks made after an vent savings and loans. When asked address to the Greater Houston whether any savings and loan was Partnership, said he opposes efforts too big to liquidate, he replied: "I to have the Treasury pay the entire doubt it, but you have to take those cleanup bill immediately instead of cases one by one." spreading payments out over 30 He said the decision to liquidate years as called for under the admin- assets and pay off the depositors istration proposal. depends on the quality of the thrift's The Bush proposal would not im- asset portfolio. Thrifts with poor pact the federal deficit, while the asset quality have a greater chance Democrat-backed plan would raise of being liquidated, he said. the deficit by about $50 billion, in Brady said the Bush proposal violation of the Gramm-Rudman would do a lot to crack down on bank budget balancing law, he said. fraud. In addition to giving the Jus- "This is a very bad idea," Brady tice Department $50 million to inves- said. "In fact, it's a terrible idea, tigate bank fraud, the bill includes almost bordering on irresponsible." harsher penalties for wrongdoers. DALLAS MORNING NEWS 6961 29 RAR Brady says S&Ls won't be closed en masse Brady: S&Ls won't Continued from Page 1D. the audience, Mr. Brady said re- means of waging the battle. cash, we will get actual motion in Federal Home Loan Banks, insti- gulators have no intention of "There are as many indica- the resolution process, and we tutions owned by the thrift indus- be closed en masse dumping real estate acquired will be better off." tions that inflation is holding from broke S&Ls. try and used to help the S&Ls Texas has been the center of level as it is going up," Mr. Brady meet their liquidity require- "Some real estate is junk," Mr. said. the thrift crisis. Of 217 thrift reso- ments, could also remain inde- Brady said. "There is other real Meanwhile, Mr. Bartlett held lutions during 1988, 88 were in pendent. By Michael Weiss estate that is well conceived that will drive our deficit down." out hope that savings and loans' Texas. According to figures from Under the Bush plan, the bank And these properties shouldn't Staff Writer of The Dallas Morning News minimum capital requirements - Raising the money to finance the Federal Home Loan Bank board system is to be placed un- be thrown on the market willy- Savings and loans across Texas the $110 billion Bush plan will get Board, the industry's primary re- scheduled in the Bush plan to be der the jurisdiction of the Treas- nilly, and they won't be." will not be closed en masse and re- the S&L industry back on its feet virtually doubled by 1991 to gulator, 69 insolvent thrifts hold- ury Department along with regu- While rising short-term inter- gulators will stand ready to work and allow regulators to shut down match the 6 percent level cur- ing $26.5 billion in assets con- latory oversight of the thrift in- est rates widen the losses in- rently in effect for banks - could with some marginal institutions if hemorrhaging, broke thrifts, he tinue in business in the South- dustry. they appear salvageable, Treasury said. curred by insolvent thrifts, Mr. be stretched to 1993. west. Another 54, with an asset The thrift industry, led by the Brady said he concurs with Fed- Secretary Nicholas Brady told the "In no way should an insolvent "I am not so sure 1991 require- base of $17.7 billion, are regarded U.S. League of Savings Institu- eral Reserve Chairman Alan Greater Dallas Chamber of Com- thrift that is not coming back be ments can be met by a significant tions, has said it fears loss of the as troubled and likely to require kept open," Rep. Steve Bartlett, R- Greenspan that fighting inflation number of institutions in the merce on Tuesday. new capital. independent home loan bank sys- Mr. Brady also argued that Dallas, told reporters following is important - although the two Southwest," Mr. Bartlett said. Responding to questions from tem and its credit network under funding for Resolution Trust Co., Mr. Brady's remarks to chamber officials may not agree on the He also suggested that the 12 the Bush plan. which is to sell $50 billion in bonds members. Mr. Bartlett is a member to finance the Bush thrift bailout of the House Banking Committee, plan, be kept off budget where it which he predicted should com- cannot throw the government out plete its work by the end of May of compliance with Gramm-Rud- and have legislation' to the presi- man spending constraints. dent that is little changed from the "It is important that we do not original Bush plan. make a mockery of Gramm-Rud- "The main point is to get some man," Mr. Brady said. "It is not money in the process," Mr. Brady only the law of the land; it is the told the chamber. "Once we get wheelhorse of the fiscal discipline Please see BRADY on Page 2D. FORT WORTH STAR TELEGRAM MAR 'OFF-BUDGET' BORROWING 2.g 1989 HASLAWMAKERS WORRIED Treasury standing firm on thrift crisis remedies BY STEVE ZUCKERMAN Fon Worth Star-Telegram in hundreds of marginally solvent thrifts going out of business during the next several years. Treasury Secretary Nicholas Brady said yesterday that the administration does not intend to back down Brady made his remarks in Dallas at a breakfast from two controversial aspects of President Bush's meeting sponsored by the Dallas Chamber of Com- thrift rescue plan. merce. The meeting was followed by a question-and- answer session with reporters. Brady said the Treasury Department remains in favor of borrowing $50 billion or more to resolve the He was joined by Rep. Steve Bartlett, R-Dallas, a thrift crisis largely "off-budget" so as not to affect the member of the House Banking Committee. Bartlett federal deficit said he expects Congress to modify the administra- Several lawmakers and industry experts, who re- tion's proposal and to have a bill ready for the presi- cently have speculated on a softening of the adminis- dent's consideration in May. tration's position, think that will result in adding On Feb. 6, Bush proposed a $90 billion rescue of the billions of dollars to the ultimate cost, and in taxpay- savings and loan industry, with $50 billion of that ers having to foot more of the bill. coming from the sale of long-term bonds and thus not Brady also said the administration will continue to part of the federal budget process. The principal on push for its plan to double capital requirements at those bonds is to be repaid through increased bank savings and loans by 1991. Experts, including many and thrift insurance premiums. The interest on the Texas thrift executives, say the proposal could result bonds and the remaining $40 billion of the rescue plan (More on BRADY on Page 3) Brady From Page 1 is to come from taxpayer money. "Also. the capital standard is not a "Some have suggested that the reso- make-it-or-be-liquidated standard. If a lution of the (thrift) crisis would be thrift has a realistic business plan and expedited by a one-time. lump sum shows real progress toward reaching the appropriation of the necessary funds by standard. federal regulators have the the government." said Brady. authority to extend the time period for "I strongly disagree. The taxpayers reaching the standard." did not create this problem - there is Bartlett opposes doubling the capital no reason why they should have to standards by 1991. favoring instead a shoulder the full burden of solving it. 1993 deadline. He said he expects a "There is another reason not to try to compromise to be reached by lawmak- force the taxpayer to absorb the full ers. brunt of the financing - the intent and Bartlett also said Congress will call integrity of Gramm-Rudman-Holl- for other changes in the president's ings" (budget-balancing law). "If we open up the issue of exemp- plan. He said lawmakers probably will recommend that bank holding compa- tions to Gramm-Rudman. the one sure nies immediately be permitted to ac- consequence will be delay in the pas- sage of this legislation. We cannot af- quire savings institutions. The admin- istration's plan calls for a two-year ford delay. If the debate or alternate moratorium before banks can buy financial plans takes even three weeks. thrifts. the cost to the taxpay er goes up by $500 million." Both Bartlett and Brady said regula- Brady then explained why he sup- tors do not intend to sell the billions of ports increasing capital requirements dollars' worth of real estate owned by for thrifts to 6 percent from 3 percent in the ings institutions at below-mar- two years. ket prices. "Our plan requires that thrifts oper- "We in Washington are aware that ate under the same accounting stand- people in Texas are concerned that fed- ards as commercial banks." he said. eral officials will dump real estate held "Some have suggested that the higher by insolv ent S&Ls on the local market." capital requirements will force out of Brady said. "We understand the poten- business otherwise healthy S&Ls. This tial destructive effects on the local is highly unlikely. The industry is in economies of wholesale dumping. Let better capital shape than many believe. me assure you that we intend to pro- First. 50 percent of all solvent S&Ls ceed very carefully with real estate today meet the 6-percent standard. sales." 21 more Texas S&Ls taken over UALLAS TIMES HERALD MAR 10 1989 U.S. total reaches 118 By Ross Ramsey OF THE TIMES HERALD STAFF onservatorship Government regulators took over 45 Texas S&Ls taken over by federal regulators OR Thursday savings and loan institutions Thurs- institution Assets! Deposits' day, including 21 in Texas, crossing and Loan Association, Galveston; the halfway point in their efforts to nin Franklin, Houston $2,54 $2,005 stop the bleeding in the nation's 200 Come onwealth Savings, Houston 1,661 1,608 TAKEOVER Village Savings, Houston; Uni- versal Savings Association, Hous- most insolvent thrifts. Banc Plus Savings, Pasadena 971 922 ton; Ameriway Savings, Houston; The Texas thrifts, all in the Houston From C-1 Spring Branch Savings and Loan area, have $7.3 billion in assets and Contintental Savings, Bellaire 355 587 Association, Houston; First Capi- $7.4 billion in deposits. Only two of As S&L of Brozoria, Lake Jackson 283 327 In addition to the three Texas tal Savings Association of Texas, the Texas thrifts taken over - Conti- thrifts mentioned previously, Houston; Humble Savings and nental Savings of Bellaire and Benja- in millions as of Dec 31 other S&Ls in the state put into Loan Association, Humble; Bay- min Franklin Savings of Houston - SOURCE: Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. conservatorships include: shore Savings Association, La have branches in the Dallas-Fort Western Gulf Savings. and Porte; American Savings and Worth area. Dallas Times Herald wealth Savings Association of Hous- Loan Association, Bay City; Citi- Loan Association of Brazoria, Regulators also took control of The FDIC is taking control of the zens of Texas Savings and Loan Lake Jackson; City Savings Asso- thrifts in Alabama, Colorado, Georgia, thrifts on an interim basis, to control ton, $1.7 billion. Association, Baytown; Century ciation, League City; Liberty Michigan, New Mexico, Pennsylvania losses while Congress considers Commonwealth Mortgage Corpora- Savings and Loan Association, County Federal Savings and and Tennessee. Bush's proposal. tion of America, a subsidiary of Com- Baytown; Trinity Valley Savings Loan Association, Liberty; Banc- The thrifts were placed in conserva- Together, the 45 thrifts have assets monwealth Savings, has two branches and Loan Association, Cleveland; Plus Savings Association, Pasa- torship as part of the Bush administra- of $13.6 billion and deposits totaling in the Dallas area and is one of the Southeastern Savings Associa- dena; and First Equity Savings tion's plan to solve the S&L crisis. In- $13.0 billion, officials said. Three of largest mortgage banking firms in the tion, Dayton; Bankers Savings Association, Tomball. cluding Thursday's action, the Federal the S&Ls have more than $1 billion in United States, servicing about $12 bil- Deposit Insurance Corp. has been assets: Hill Financial Savings of Red lion in mortgage loans. named managing agent for 118 sav- Hill, Pa., $3.0 billion; Benjamin ings and loans in 24 states. Franklin, $2.6 billion; and Common- Please see TAKEOVER, C-7 S&L withdrawals hit record $10.7 billion in January Continued from Page 1D. payers instead would contribute a ficates at thrifts increased an aver- combined $110 billion over 10 years ularly in Texas. focused on the government's delib- age of 16 basis points, compared to a erations of a thrift bailout plan. toward the bailout. On Tuesday, officials at South- hike of 41 basis points among News reports circulated late in the In addition, Mr. Barth pointed to west Savings Association of Dallas money market funds. A basis point month that President Bush might the higher rates offered by money acknowledged an audit of the four equals one one-hundredth of a per- levy a special fee on insured depos- market funds, which also caused de- institutions acquired in 1988 by that centage point. its to finance the rescue of the na- positors to switch large amounts of thrift would' show a deeper hole tion's thrifts. deposits from banks and savings Meanwhile, at many institutions that must be filled by the Federal The Bush administration in and loans in the late 1970s and early sold by the bank board last year, re- Savings and Loan Insurance Corp. early February announced a plan 1980s. gulators have attempted to shrink At the time of the May transac- that did not include the deposit During January, for example, asset bases, Mr. Barth said. Thirty tion, the agency estimated it would levy. The thrift industry and tax- rates on three-month deposit certi- percent of the outflow came from need to commit $483 million to bal- the five Southwest states, home of ance the assets and liabilities of the nearly half of the more than 200 institutions acquired by Southwest thrifts sold or closed by the bank Savings in the assisted transaction. board last year. On Tuesday, Southwest Savings Meanwhile, the bank board's es- executive vice president Richard timate of the cost for those transac- Park said that amount would in- tions came under attack from gov- crease but said he did not know by how much. Withdrawals at S&Ls hit record The figures indicated an accel- eration of deposit outflows from the nation's savings and loans that began late last year. The bank board previously reported deposit outflows of $8.1 billion in December, which it revised Tues- day to $8.3 billion, and $7.1 billion in November. The record withdrawals in January more than doubled the estimate earlier this month by bank board chairman M. Danny Wall. Mr. Wall at the time told a congressional committee that he thought deposit outflows from thrifts had reached $5 billion for the first month of the year, and a Four of five savings and loans experienced deposit declines in January, when speculation ernment auditors. Over the week- end, a top official of the U.S. An FSLIC spokesman said an out- General Accounting Office said the like number in February. Please see S&L on Page 4D. side auditing firm had completed bank board had underestimated the its review of the Southwest Savings negative net worth of institutions portfolio, but the agency is not involved in the transactions, partic- ready to release the new figure. PID MAR 15 1989 By David LaGesse Staff Writer of The Dellas Morning News Depositors withdrew a record $10.7 billion from the nation's sav- ings and loans in January - the month that news reports said the federal government might levy a fee on bank and thrift accounts. Thrift regulators also attribu- ted the withdrawals to consumers seeking higher interest rates of- fered by money market funds, and to a planned program of shrinking the size of some institu- "Rates offered by thrifts and commercial banks have been in- creasing far less rapidly than those on competing investments," James Barth, chief economist of the Federal Home Loan Bank Board in Washington, said in a tions. statement. U.S. urged to rethink S&L deals PIA Viability of Texas thrifts concerns GAO officials By Robert Dodge MAR 15 1989 Washington Bureau of The Dellas Morning News WASHINGTON - The General Accounting Of- fice said Tuesday that it is concerned about the via- bility of the Texas savings and loan industry and recommended that regulators find a way out of fi- nancial commitments to thrifts merged under the now-defunct Southwest Plan. Senior officials of the GAO, the watchdog audi- tors of Congress, said the flurry of savings and loan Record S&L withdrawals. 1D mergers in the waning hours of 1988 was too com- plex and would eventually cost far more than au- thorities originally estimated. "The government will be robbed if you do not watch these deals," said Comptroller General Charles A. Bowsher. He warned the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday that future thrift rescues need more safeguards than were included in trans- actions completed by the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corp. in the final hours of 1988. "We believe the deals should be carefully re- examined," Mr. Bowsher said. And in a prepared statement delivered to House Banking Committee Chairman Henry B. Gonzalez, D-San Antonio, assistant comptroller general Rich- ard L. Fogel said, "A thrift industry still exists in Texas, but we are concerned about its viability." Mr. Fogel's concern was raised after the GAO completed a study of a dozen thrift mergers - in- cluding eight in Texas - by regulators last year. In Texas last year, authorities approved 15 transactions involving the merger of 87 insolvent thrifts at a cost of $44 billion, allowing for inflation. Senior GAO officials told the Senate committee they do not believe the government can abrogate its contracts with investors who bought Texas S&Ls with FSLIC assistance. But they said regulators can buy the distressed real estate held by the reconfig- ured thrifts, as well as prepay "net worth certifi- cates" - notes issued as capital to the S&Ls instead of cash. Mr. Fogel told senators that the Bush adminis- tration's proposed thrift bailout package would al- low for the government to pay off its financial com- mitment early. "We think there are sufficient powers in there that will allow them to do that," Mr. Fogel said. "But in doing that, you have to look at the provi- Please see U.S. on Page 12A. 57 U.S. urged to re-examine S&L deals Continued from Page 1A. the costs of resolving specific groups But even Mr. Gramm questioned ary being paid to the thrift's chair- sions of the contracts in each of insolvent institutions. the GAO about the possibility of re- man, Dallas banker Gerald J. Ford. deal. We do not favor abrogating the But GAO officials warned that moving distressed real estate assets "That's four times what the pres- contracts in the deals." Congress should not overlook ways from the restructured Texas thrifts. ident makes," Mr. Riegle said. "It is Also Tuesday, Kevin Gottlieb, the to reduce the government's exposure He agreed with the auditors that excessive. It's just excessive." Senate panel's staff director, said his to deals made last year. In fact, offi- some of the thrifts have a greater in- Mr. Perelman and regulators are aides are studying options to replace cials told the Senate committee that, centive to sell the assets at a loss to renegotiating Mr. Ford's salary, ac- the financing mechanism proposed if inflation is figured in, liquidating reap tax benefits than to maximize cording to regulatory sources. in the Bush administration package. all the Southwest Plan thrifts would their returns through prudent man- Mr. Riegle also suggested that a President Bush's plan calls for an en- have been cheaper than merging or agement. former bank board attorney, Thomas tity separate from the Treasury De- closing them. "It makes me nervous for the fed- Vartanian, now in private practice partment to raise $50 billion to close Before adjusting for inflation, eral government directly or indi- with a Washington law firm, used and merge insolvent thrifts. the GAO said all the 220 S&Ls merged rectly to be managing great quanti- his influence to represent 55 inves- Mr. Gottlieb said the Bush mea- or closed in 1988 will cost $37 billion. ties of property," Mr. Gramm said. "I tors who bought thrifts in FSLIC-as- sure might be amended to place caps But Mr. Fogel said that after infla- do not want to rush out and sell all sisted transactions. He said this took on appropriations and to use direct tion, the cost will be closer to $62 bil- of it at a fire sale, but on the other place when regulators did not return Treasury borrowings to give Con- lion, a figure he said is still probably hand, I do not want to sit on it for 15 other prospective investors' phone gress greater oversight. In addition, substantially below the final bill. years, either." calls. borrowing costs could be reduced. Sen. Phil Gramm, R-Texas, a Raising other questions about Sen. Bob Graham, D-Fla., said The committee staff plans to member of the Banking Committee, the propriety of the Southwest Plan such incidents were new examples present specific legislative proposals mustered a qualified defense of the deals, senators suggested that oppor- of how taxpayers have been victims to senators when they return from FSLIC and Danny Wall, chairman of tunists were still milking the thrift of "gang ravage" in the S&L crisis. the Easter recess, Mr. Gottlieb said. the Federal Home Loan Bank board. industry and the FSLIC. "We have nothing less than a He also said the time frame for "It is awfully easy to come in Among the FSLIC-assisted deals scandal that dwarfs anything in this closing and merging insolvent when the war is over and the bodies drawing the most fire was the one country's financial history," Mr. thrifts might be shortened with a are strewn here and there and sec- that created First Gibraltar Bank of Graham said. "The American people modified financing plan once the ond-guess the generals," Mr. Gramm Dallas, backed by an investment have every right to feel that they Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. has said. "The reality is Danny Wall group led by Revlon Group Inc. have been ravaged by this circum- taken control of about 224 broke never had the resources that would chairman Ronald 0. Perelman. stance." S&Ls. That would be possible, Mr. give him the broad option to close in- Committee Chairman Donald W. Gottlieb said, if FDIC officials are stitutions, and as a result he always Riegle Jr., D-Mich., expressed "moral able to segment and clearly define dealt from a position of weakness." outrage" at a $1 million annual sal- January S&L drain tops total for '88 PC-1 MAR 15 1989 By Bob Drummond billion in net withdrawals and 1988's TIMES HERALD WASHINGTON BUREAU total annual figure of $8.6 billion. In fact, bank board chief economist WASHINGTON - Customers James Barth said withdrawals sur- pulled record amounts of money from passed deposits during January by savings and loans in January, cutting more than they have during any full the troubled industry's deposits dur- year in the bank board's history. ing that month more than during all Shaky and healthy institutions alike of 1988, federal regulators announced generally had a downswing, with 80 Tuesday. percent of the nation's nearly 3,000 During the first month of 1989, the thrifts seeing withdrawals outpace de- Federal Home Loan Bank Board said, posits. withdrawals exceeded deposits by Barth also estimated that the out- more than $10.7 billion, with 30 per- flow continued during February, when cent of that total coming from thrifts withdrawals are expected to outpace in the five-state region that includes deposits by $8 billion to $9 billion. Fi- Texas. nal February statistics will not be The January figure topped both De- cember's one-month record of $8.3 Please see S&L, C-3 by the money market funds that out a marked rise in interest paid and regulatory factors, singling withdrawals to many economic try, Barth attributed the rise in resented a mini-run on the indus- whether the deposit outflow rep- available until April. From C-1 Deflecting questions about S&L a role. said, identifying troubled S&Ls by media also distributed stories closed the books on 1988, the the year, when the bank board Shortly after the beginning of quantify, but undoubtedly played "Depositor nervousness," Barth the outflow. is most difficult to health of S&Ls contributed to consumer worries about the But Barth acknowledged that for deposits. compete with thrifts and banks might have shifted to nearby "Some customers of thrifts an industry bailout package. to tax thrift deposits to pay for quickly abandoned - proposal istration's then-current - but Barth said, was the Bush admin- Another factor in January, them elsewhere.' of those institutions and place they might take their funds out the access to their funds, then "If [people] get nervous about ed withdrawals. name, which could have prompt- certificate of deposit at an S&L. fered for an average three-month points higher than the rate-of- interest rate 1.25 percentage money market fund offered an During January, the average money market accounts. terest offered by thrifts and ing of the difference between in- mary factor was a sharp widen- But Barth insisted that the pri- or fee placed on their deposits.' bility that there would be g tax that there was indeed the passi- commercial banks in the belief 59 FDIC definitions are also insolvent. Also, the FDIC profit total did not About $60 billion of the assets are include $2.3 billion of losses in the not available for quick sale because first half by First Republicbank they are covered by contracts ar- Corp. of Texas. First Republic was Continued from Page 1C. ranged by the Federal Savings and merged in the third quarter with the Loan Insurance Corp., before its role tial writeoffs of loans. NCNB Corp., so its first-half losses in closing savings and loans was were not counted. Real estate lending problems are assumed by the FDIC. About $13 billion of the bank indus- likely to be more severe in Texas and But the $40 billion of real estate Oklahoma than in other states, but try's profits, or slightly more than the FDIC expects to control, plus the half, was paid to shareholders as Seidman warned that there could be $9 billion it already holds, will be dividends. "a' huge effect on real estate mar- available for sale. kets" as the FDIC begins selling The remaining profit was enough Seidman said recovery in real es- assets it is acquiring from closed to increase banks capital by 9 per- tate prices is not helped by holding savings and loan associations. cent, to 6.3 percent of assets. Al- merchandise off the market. But he though bank capital is at a record He noted that real estate prices added that real estate will not be have weakened recently in various level, Seidman noted in his prepared dumped, and the "sales will take markets in the eastern part of the comments, "a more conservative ap- many, many years." country. proach would have provided a Bank profits may drop this year Seidman estimated that the greater capital base to improve 1989 because non-recurring events raised earnings." agency would end up owning about profits in 1988, the FDIC chairman The profit total for the nation's $100 billion worth of land and devel- said. nearly 14,000 banks included the oped real estate from the closing of For example, profits were raised losses at about 14 percent of them. 550 insolvent savings institutions and $2 billion by inclusion of past-due Details of the profit data will be an additional 200 to 300 that by some interest on loans to Brazil. announced today by the FDIC. '88 FDIC's 'worst year ever' despite bank profits HOUSTON CHRONICLE By MICHAEL QUINT Federal officials are review- billion, to $14 billion. Seidman said in a speech to the participate in the program an- New York Times MAR 1989 ing a plan to protect fragile re- But this year the FDIC should New York Society of Security Ana- break even or operate at a surplus, nounced Friday by Treasury Sec- gional economies from the lysts. Seidman said. retary Nicholas F. Brady. NEW YORK - Bank profits set quick sale of billions of dollars Looking ahead to possible prob- of real estate repossessed from "We expect fewer failures in The new program calls for banks a record in 1988, but for the Fed- lems in real estate lending or a 1989," he said, "and no large insti- to accept losses by voluntarily eral Deposit Insurance Corp., failed thrifts: Page 2C. weakening of the economy, he said tutions" of the size that were agreeing to exchange outstanding which insures bank deposits, "it that this year banks that have been closed in Texas over the last year. loans for smaller amounts of new was the worst year ever," L. Wil- banks in Texas led to the first conservative lenders are likely to Seidman said the "problem list" securities. liam Seidman, chairman of the outperform those that have had annual loss for the agency, which now includes 1,350 banks, down 10 FDIC, told analysts Monday. more liberal policies. Seidman said the exchange was organized in 1933. percent from a year ago and 20 While bank profits totaled $25.3 Seidman said losses on loans to needs to be supplemented by After spending $7 billion on clos- percent from the peak in 1987. less-developed countries should be changes in tax policy so that banks billion last year, Seidman noted, ing or merging 221 banks, the Bank profits in 1989 are not substantial this year, and banks might claim tax benefits for par- the cost of closing several large agency's reserve fund fell by $4.2 likely to match the 1988 level, will be under a lot of pressure to See FDIC on Page 7C. Study assails S&L PIA mergers GAO favored liquidation in some '88 deals By Robert Dodge Washington Bureau of The Dallas Morning News "Our analysis suggests that liqui- "And that is not what we were deal- dation could have been less costly ing with." WASHINGTON - In a highly criti- for as many as a third of the transac- cal report, the General Accounting Rep. Steve Bartlett, R-Dallas, a tions," says Charles A. Bowsher, Office concludes that it would have member of the House Banking Com- comptroller general in testimony de- been cheaper to liquidate as many as mittee, said he was given an advance livered to Capitol Hill on Monday a third of the thrift mergers that fed- description of the report during the and obtained by The Dallas Morning eral regulators hastily arranged in weekend at a committee hearing in News. the waning hours of 1988. San Antonio and concluded that it Referring to the weak condition was "one-sided." The report, to be presented Tues- of the FSLIC, Federal Home Loan day to the Senate Banking Commit- Bank Board Chairman M. Danny "It starts off with a policy conclu- tee, says a GAO study of a dozen Wall said that regulators did the best sion and then tries to make the facts transactions showed that the 86 deals job they could with limited re- fit their predetermined conclusion," undertaken by the Federal Savings sources. Mr. Bartlett said. "They were not and Loan Insurance Corp. in 1988 "Most of what they (GAO) are seeking to report the facts. They had will cost more than the $37 billion talking about is if we were in a per- written their conclusions before estimated by federal regulators. fect world," Mr. Wall said Monday. Please see GAO on Page 8A. 57 GAO faults 11th-hour thrift mergers in '88 Continued from Page 1A. solvent savings associations. Those they saw the facts." benefits allow the investors to take Mr. Wall noted that the GAO re- losses from the distressed real estate port calls for the deals to be re-exa- and apply it to profits from other op- mined under the Bush administra- erations before paying taxes. tion's thrift bailout plan and the rec- According to the GAO analysis, ommendation is made with the the tax benefits in the 86 transac- qualification that the option to tions for 1988 will total between $7 unwind the deals "depends on the billion and $8 billion, or about 20 availablility of adequate funding." percent to 40 percent more than pro- "That is the best endorsement I jected by FSLIC. have seen of our contracts," Mr. Wall "FSLIC did not have sufficient in- said. When I read that, I said, 'What formation to undertake an evalua- tion of tax benefits at the time the Danny Wall says regula- the hell else does the rest of this mean?' transactions were approved," Mr. tors did the best job they But the GAO report questions Bowsher says in his prepared testi- could with limited resources. whether the S&L deals created viable mony, noting that the agency did not says liquidation would have been im- new thrifts. make its estimates until after the possible until 1989 or 1990, when the The GAO, the investigative arm of deals were closed in January. cost of closing insolvent thrifts Congress, says the newly merged "It seems highly unlikely that the would have substantially risen, mak- S&Ls are thinly capitalized and do FSLIC got full value for these bene- ing that option even more expensive. not have incentives to responsibly fits in all the transactions," Mr. "They (GAO) are not really talk- manage their distressed real estate Bowsher says. ing about apples and apples here," assets. Yet it notes the restructured Taking all factors together, the Mr. Wall said. "We did not have that thrifts have been given the author- GAO said it may have been cheaper option." ity to undertake new investment ac- to liquidate many of the insolvent Another reason the deals may tivities normally allowed only for in- thrifts rather than combine them in turn out to be more expensive than stitutions with strong capital. the government-assisted mergers. anticipated, the GAO says, is that re- Of the dozen analyzed deals, "If the full cost of the deals to the gulators did not do an adequate job which created 15 new thrifts, the federal government is considered," of soliciting potential bidders. The GAO found that about half the insti- Mr. Bowsher says, "our analysis sug- report says the process forced buyers tutions had capital of less than 3 per- gests that liquidation could have to acquire less-desirable insolvent in- cent of their assets. Regulators now been cheaper in as many as a third stitutions in packages with other require savings associations to main- of the transactions we reviewed." thrifts and required bids to be sub- tain a minimum capital ratio of 3 per- But Mr. Wall argues that FSLIC mitted without knowing precisely cent, a level that will be raised to 6 did not have the cash resources to which S&Ls were to be included in a percent under the Bush administra- close S&Ls and pay off depositors. He package. tion's thrift bailout plan. "The assisted thrifts have certain financial advantages and protections that unassisted depository institu- tions do not," Mr. Bowsher said in his prepared testimony. "The advan- tages stem from the relatively low level of acquirer capital, the FSLIC assistance and guarantees, forbear- ances and the tax savings." Moreover, the GAO questions whether the FSLIC has adequate re- sources to monitor the complex transactions. But Mr. Wall argued the GAO cap- ital analysis was faulty because it did not consider that the FSLIC is pro- tecting many of the reconfigured S&Ls from future losses from dis- tressed real estate assets. He argued that capital ratios should be figured excluding the distressed assets. "To say they are thinly capitalized is to ignore the FSLIC coverage," Mr. Wall said. The GAO says the cost of the deals will be higher than anticipated partly because the FSLIC failed to ac- count fully for the cost of tax bene- fits to investors who bought the in- 58 Gonzalez says S&L: Regulator blasted S&L from A1 before the committee. " S&L regulator "I think Danny Wall has done a masterful job in a very difficult po- sition," he said. "Not perfect. but It was an obvious should resign pretty good." effort to mislead, to Gonzalez disagreed strongly. "I'm not in that forgiving mood obscure and to any longer," he said. minimize the "Throughout this long fight to de- By DAVID J. SHAFFER velop a sane approach to the prob- problem. Business reporter lem, the Congress and the Ameri- can public have been handicapped - REP. HENRY B. GONZALEZ U.S. Rep. Henry B. Gonzalez asked Friday for the by a blizzard of conflicting num- About the S&L crisis handling resignation of M. Danny Wall, the nation's top savings bers about the size and cost of the and loan regulator, accusing him of lying to Congress crisis. I truly fault Wall for his 29 about the depth of the S&L crisis. performance on this score through- "Time and time again he has misled the Congress." out 1988 - the Wall Number-Of- Gonzalez said during a hearing of the House Banking The-Month-Club. I call it. It was an Committee in San Antonio. obvious effort to mislead, to ob- said U.S. Rep. Steve Bartlett. R-Dal- Gonzalez is chairman of the committee, which was scure and to minimize the prob- lem." Gonzalez said during his las. That echoed President Bush's scheduled to resume its hearings at 9 a.m. opening statement. no-tax pledge during the presiden- INSIDE today at 514 W. Wall also came under fire for the tial election campaign. Testimony begins in local Commerce. rapid succession of thrift mergers In other testimony. Barclay S&L trial- Page B1 In 1987, Wall esti- lie completed in the final weeks of urged Congress to reconsider pro- S&L hearings attract mated the Federal 1988. posed rules that would require diverse crowd Page E1 Those deals included millions of S&Ls to increase capital levels Savings and Loan In- dollars in tax benefits for from the current 3 percent mini- surance Corp. was in- solvent by roughly $17 billion, but a recent study acquirers, who often bought multi- mum to 6 percent of assets by 1991. shows the depth of the problem has at least quadru- billion-dollar institutions with rela- Capital is an institution's own sav- pled. said Frederick Wolf, chief thrift auditor of the tively small capital investments. ings, which serves as a cushion General Accounting Office, Congress' investigative "Those deals were terribiv ex- against future losses. arm. pensive and probably more expen- Few S&Ls in Texas could reach That news angered Gonzalez, who said Wolf's testi- sive than other things they could the 6 percent capital level by 1991, Barclay said. mony directly contradicted information Wall gave have done," Wolf said. earlier this year. For example, the deposits of ail- Of roughly 100 remaining solvent "After the documented testimony by the GAO, ing institutions could have been S&Ls in the state, Barclay said, "I there is no question that Mr. Wall. in a sustained and transferred to other S&LS, and the think 50 will make it and about 50 calculated fashion. deceived the Congress. I just find government could have retained won't. that unforgivable." Gonzalez said. control of the assets, Wolf said. Some administration officials are suggesting Wall, That would have eliminated the "Of the 50 that will make it. may- now chairman of the Federal Home Loan Bank Board need to pay costly yield mainte- be 10 will achieve 6 percent capital and the FSLIC. should be given another regulatory job nance, which amounts to a guaran- by 1991." under President Bush's plan to rework the thrift teed profit. on the non-performing industry. assets assumed by surviving institu- "I can't think of anything that would be more dis- tions. If Congress wants to mandate 6 percent capital by 1991. it should gusting to us in the Congress." Gonzalez said. "The Congress should examine those create a special "community ser- Congress and the public. which have been misin- deals, because It is possible Wall vice" category for those S&Ls that formed, should insist that the people involved step went beyond his authority in offer- are solvent in 1991 but don't meet aside." ing guarantees to acquirers of in- the new capital level, he said. George Barclay, president of the Federal Home solvent thrifts, Gonzalez said. Loan Bank of Dallas. defended Wall after appearing The ultimate cost of resolving the Thrifts in that category would be Please turn to S&L. A18 thrift crisis will be at least $99 bil- limited to providing mortgage lion. with the potential to go higher, loans, basic deposit services and Wolf said. other community service functions The Bush administration's latest until they reach the 6 percent capi- estimate IS $110 billion. tal level. Barclay said. Despite the high cost. Congress should address the S&L crisis "on- That would give those thrifts budget." rather than using private time to recover and avoid addition- placement of bonds. because Trea- al thrift closings. which would in- sury borrowings would cost taxpay- ers $3 billion less in interest pay- crease the cost to the government. Barclay said. ments, Wolf said. It would less expensive. in the long run. to raise taxes to pay for The committee hearings in San the rescue, rather than by borrow- Antonio are the first steps toward ing $50 billion, as suggested under producing legislation based on Bush's plan, Wolf said. Bush's thrift revitalization propos- Borrowing the money will in- al, made just after he came into office. crease the cost to taxpayers by roughly $138 billion. Bartlett said he hopes Congress But Congress will not raise taxes, will move quickly on the thrift issue and get legislation to Bush's desk by the end of March. 30 Issue 89:2 February 1989 FISCALI NOTES Bob Bullock, Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts Economic Analysis Center Texas rebound shifts Index to expansion in 1989 exas is on the T rebound to a 90,000 new jobs expected in 1989 healthy econ- omy and is expected to Goods-producing jobs-11,000 add 90,000 new jobs Texas closeup during 1989, setting a Job change* Border bolstered by record with 6.7 million Manufacturing 14,000 Mining (oil and gas) 0 twin plants. Page 3. Texans gainfully em- Construction -3,000 Central Corridor ployed by year's end. Since the recession's Service-producing jobs-79,000 recovery accelerates. Page 4. low point in spring Trade 28,000 1987, the state has Services .23,000 East Texas boosted by timber gains. gained 176,000 jobs and Government 15,000 Transportation and utilities 9,000 Page 5. recovered 80 percent of Finance, insurance and the jobs lost during the real estate Gulf Coast rebound 3,000 continues. Page 6. 1986-87 recession. Un- employment has dropped Total new nonfarm-90,000 Metroplex gets back on track. Page 7. nearly three points, to about seven percent by *Totals may not add Plains continues the end of 1988. due to rounding. turnaround. Page 8. Assuming the U.S. Source: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. economy remains heal- The major force be- about the same as the thy and oil prices are hind Texas' recovery national economy. Per- Texas at a glance relatively stable in the will continue to be man- sonal income will in- Financial Tables current range, Texas' ufacturing, as it bene- crease by more than 7 economic growth will fits from the lower dol- Pages 9-11. percent. The state will continue through 1989. lar and increasing com- gain almost 200,000 in By the end of the year, petitiveness of U.S. ex- population and more recovery will turn into ports. But most of the people will move to expansion as statewide new jobs will be in trade Texas than leave. employment surpasses and services. Oil and its late-1985 peak. gas are expected to re- Key factor: Manufac- "Texas has weathered main relatively stable, turing will continue to the oil-bust years well," and real estate and con- lead the recovery in said Comptroller Bob struction should hit bot- 1989, but the rate of Bullock. "We've re- tom in the middle of the growth will slow some- Business outlook gained most of the year. what from 1988's rapid improves for 1989 ground we lost, and the Page 12. In 1989, the overall pace as the positive ef- state's outlook contin- Texas economy will fects of the declining ues to improve." grow by 2.4 percent, See page 2 dollar diminish and the cent of the state econo- Statewide construc- U.S. economy slows. my, down from a peak of tion employment will Overall, manufactur- 27 percent in 1981. probably hit bottom ing employment will in- A protracted decline around the middle of crease approximately in oil prices below $15 the year. Overall, con- 14,000, or 1.5 percent. per barrel could lead to struction employment Electronics, computers, additional job losses in will decline by 3,000 or and print- oil and gas, but prices 1.0 percent during the Texas nonfarm employment ing and would have to fall to $10 entire year. publishing or below for six months In millions will provide or longer in order to pull New jobs: While Texas' 6.70 6.65 most of the the overall state econo- economic recovery is be- Seasonally 6.65 new manu- my into recession. ing driven by manufac- adjusted facturing turing, most of the new 6.60 jobs during Building hits bottom: jobs will be in services. 6.55 the year. The Texas construction Just like the United Petrochem- industry appears close States, Texas is becom- 6.50 icals, while to bottoming out. Resi- ing an increasingly ser- 6.45 not a major dential and nonresiden- vice-based economy. '86 '87 job genera- tial construction have '88 In 1989, Texas will tor, will stabilized, existing gain a total of 79,000 SOURCES: Texas Employment Commission and continue to Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. home sales are up, service-producing jobs. add produc- housing permits are Spurred by a five-plus tion capacity with new slowly increasing and percent increase in plants and expansions. apartment and office va- gross retail sales, em- More than 150 new cancy rates are gradual- ployment in wholesale petrochemical projects ly declining. and retail trade will be valued at $5.0 billion Despite these positive up by 28,000 (1.7 per- are planned or under signs, the future growth cent). Business, health THE construction in the of Texas's construction and other miscellaneous OF Houston area alone. industry will be severe- services will grow by OFFICE COMPTROLLER Also during the year, ly limited by high va- 23,000 (1.5 percent) and groundbreaking will be- cancy rates and massive government employ- gin on the $1.3 billion overbuilding. A signifi- ment will increase by Formosa Plastics com- cant rebound in the 15,000 (1.3 percent), plex in Point Comfort, state's construction in- mainly because of gains FISCALNOTES which eventually will dustry remains at least at the local level. employ 1,700 people. two or three years away. In 1989, however, Gone to Texas: As new Energy stable: The re- housing and nonresi- job opportunities ap- Articles and analysis ap- cent OPEC agreement dential construction will See rebound, page 9 pearing in Fiscal Notes do not necessarily repre- should help stabilize oil recover sent the policy or en- prices at around $15 to from all- dorsement of the $16 per barrel and al- time lows. Texas unemployment rate Comptroller of Public Ac- low oil and gas drilling Housing counts. activity and employ- starts will Percent Seasonally adjusted Space is devoted to a ment to remain steady increase 10.0 3-month moving average wide variety of topics of Texas interest and general through the end of from 1988's 9.5 government concern. 1989. 42,000 to 9.0 Oil and gas remains 53,000, and 7.13 Contributers to this issue 8.5 include: Charles Aki, Ed a major industry in total non- 8.0 Baldwin, Don Kiser, Roy Texas, but the diversifi- residential 7.5 Morey, Dwain Osborne, cation of the Texas econ- construc- Audrey Pennington, Gary 7.0 omy has greatly re- tion will Preuss, Tom Plaut and 6.5 Dan Thompson. duced the state's depen- rise from dence on this single in- 54.3 to 61.0 '86 '87 '88 dustry. Oil and gas ac- million SOURCES: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and counts for about 15 per- square feet. Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. 2 February 1989, FISCAL NOTES Texas closeup The Border El Paso Twin plants bolster Border he Border area's economy outperformed all T other regions in 1988, spurred by continued manufacturing growth, improved agricultural outlook and a more stable energy industry. The Border is being helped by expansion in "twin Laredo plants" and related transportation industries, growth in a young electronics sector and a resurgence in retail trade. McAllen The 30-county Border region, which includes Brownsville, McAllen, Laredo Brownsville/ and El Paso, will gain 8,300 nonfarm jobs in 1989, up 1.8 percent, to Harlingen 465,900. Manufacturing: A broad range of Border manufacturers-apparel high-tech electronics prod- ucts, transportation equipment, rubber and plastics-were helped by the falling dollar in 1988. In 1989, manufacturing employment likely will grow by 1,100, or 1.7 percent, to 67,100. It will be led by solid job gains in food products and continuing growth at high-tech firms such as General Dynamics' plant in Harlingen, which is building components for the Atlas I and II and Titan Centaur missiles. The twin plant or maquiladora industries in Mexico will expand and diversify due to low labor costs and proximity to U.S. markets. Growth in increasingly capital-intensive twin plants, such as automotive suppliers, will boost related manufacturing and support services located on the Texas side of the Border. Trade: 1989 forecast: Border The value of the peso fell sharply in November 1987 after runaway inflation and a stock market collapse. And Border trade was weakened by uncertainties over future peso deval- uations. But the 1987 devaluation was not devastating, as first ex- pected. A more open Mexican trade policy, which eliminated import sanctions against U.S. electronics goods, has boosted Border retail trade. In 1989, although peso devaluations may still plague Border Population Unemployment Nonfarm stores, trade employment should increase by another 2,100, 1.766 million 10.8% employment or 1.7 percent, to 122,500. up 2.1% (1988 jobless 465,900 from 1988 rate: 12.6%) up 1.8% Agriculture: Source: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. Agricultural output in the Border remained strong in 1988. Ranchers in part of the Border region, particularly in the Laredo-Del Rio area and west, were hit hard by the drought and forced to sell off livestock. But prices remain high, al- though livestock receipts may be down from 1988. Citrus production in the Lower Rio Grande Valley is coming back after several disastrous freezes, and the Valley's sugarcane producers are recovering from the 1983 freeze. The improved farm situation is boosting the Border's whole- sale trade, transportation and food processing industries. Population and unemployment: Although remaining high, the Border unemployment rate will continue to drop from 13.3 percent in 1987 to 10.8 percent in 1989. Border population growth outpaced all other regions in 1988. With new jobs opening up in manufacturing and trade, population growth will continue at 2.1 percent and population will reach 1.766 million in 1989. February 1989, FISCAL NOTES 3 Texas closeup Central Corridor Central Corridor recovery accelerates rom 1980 to 1986, the economy of the Central Corridor outpaced all other re- Waco F gions in Texas. But in 1987, the region's economic fortune turned down, with a Killeen/ major shakeout in high-tech manufacturing and the end of a construction boom. Temple Weaknesses in construction, banking and real estate will continue to plague the Central Corridor region in 1989. But nonfarm employment will slowly pick Austin Bryan/ up and continue to grow, although at somewhat less than the state rate. College The high-tech sector, on the decline since 1985, led a modest recovery in 1988 in the Station San Antonio 39-county Central Corridor region-including San Antonio, Austin, Waco, Killeen-Tem- ple and Bryan-College Station. In 1989, nonfarm job gains will accelerate, as the construction industry bottoms out and banking and real estate start to pick up. Nonfarm employment will jump by 11,600, or 1.0 percent, to 1.177 million in 1989. Manufacturing: High-tech job gains will be a major source of growth. Gains are expected in electron- ic components, computers and instruments. The lower dollar will continue to spur ex- ports and make high-tech goods more competitive domestically, as well. Manufactur- ing employment will increase by 1,600, or 1.3 percent, to 126,200 in 1989. Other manufacturing industries important in the Central Corridor, such as food products and printing and publishing, will also add jobs. Construction: A slowdown in the construction industry continued throughout 1988 and damp- ened overall job growth. Austin and San Antonio have both endured a painful con- struction bust, which will not end until surplus commercial and residential space is absorbed. In 1989, construction employment should finally bottom out at 54,200, down by 1,300 jobs, or 2.3 percent. Trade and services: 1989 forecast: Central Corridor Many of the new jobs in 1989 will come in the Central Corri- dor's service-producing industries. As construction losses sub- side, 1989 trade employment likely will increase by 2,800, or 1.0 percent, to 286,800. Other gains are expected in health and legal services and in high-tech services such as computer programming and soft- ware development, data processing and research laboratories. In 1989, 3,900 service jobs should be added, an increase of Population Unemployment Nonfarm 1.4 percent, to 277,800. 3.179 million 6.2% employment Government: up 1.2% (1988 jobless 1,176,700 from 1988 rate: 6.7%) up 1.0% State and local government has been a source of steady growth. Teaching, counseling and administrative jobs at elemen- Source: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. tary and secondary schools have increased, and new court- mandated jobs have opened up at state government agencies such as the Department of Corrections and Mental Health/Mental Retardation. In 1989, government jobs will continue to grow by 3,200, or 1.1 percent, to 299,200. Federal government employment should increase slightly, but military and related civilian employment at bases in San Antonio, Austin and Killeen may contin- ue to slip some due to federal defense cutbacks. Population and unemployment: In 1989, with construction finally hitting bottom, the unemployment rate will drop to 6.2 percent. As fewer people move to the Central Corridor, population will grow somewhat slower, increasing by 1.2 percent, to 3.179 million. 4 February 1989, FISCAL NOTES Texas closeup East Texas Timber gains boost East Texas he East Texas economy depends primarily on agriculture, timber and oil. The outlook Texarkana T for these industries in 1989 is positive or stable. Overall, the 35-county region, which includes Longview-Marshall, Tyler and Longview/Marshall Texarkana, should add 5,600 nonfarm jobs in 1989, a gain of 1.5 percent to 384,000, as the area's troubled energy and construction industries continue a slow comeback. Tyler East Texas escaped the oil-price recession much better than the Plains and the Gulf Coast, and now with oil prices relatively stable, employment in East Texas' energy industry has firmed. A resurgence in the forest products industry has spearheaded East Texas' turnaround. With world demand for timber rising and supplies declining, prices have moved up sharply. And set- tlement of a trade dispute with Canada has trimmed timber imports. Now East Texas timber, pulp and paper producers are benefiting from increased output and profits. Capacity is growing, and the region is reaping gains in jobs and income. Manufacturing: About 18 percent of the region's employment growth in 1989 will come from 1,000 new manufacturing jobs, an increase of 1.3 percent to 80,900. Some manufacturing job growth will continue in the forest products industry after big expansions in plant capacity in 1988. Increased output and employment are also expected in other manufacturing in- dustries important in East Texas-food products, printing and publishing and transportation equipment. Trade and services: 1989 forecast: East Texas The bulk of new nonfarm jobs created in East Texas will be in the trade and service sectors. With tourism boosting retail trade activity in the region, trade jobs will rise by 1,100, or 1.3 per- cent, to 91,200. Health and business services should continue robust growth. And legal, educational and amusement services will gain jobs. In 1989, East Texas will add another 1,200 service jobs, up by 1.8 percent, to 71,300. Population Unemployment Nonfarm Agriculture: 1.229 million 7.7% employment Relatively high price and production levels for livestock boost- up 0.9% (1988 jobless 384,000 ed East Texas agriculture in 1988. But parts of the region have from 1988 rate: 8.2%) up 1.5% been hit hard by lack of rainfall, and forage production is down Source: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. sharply. Overall, East Texas agricultural prospects are mixed, but farm receipts proba- bly will not match 1988 levels because of the aftereffects of the drought. Population and unemployment: As manufacturing leads renewed job growth in the region, East Texas' unem- ployment rate will continue to drop, to 7.7 percent in 1989. The region's population will grow faster than in 1988, jumping by 0.9 percent in 1989, to 1.229 million. February 1989, FISCAL NOTES 5 Texas closeup Gulf Coast Beaumont Gulf Coast rebound continues Houston ssuming oil prices remain relatively stable in the current range and the U.S. econo- A my stays healthy, the entire Texas Gulf Coast should continue to rebound in 1989, Galveston outpacing all other regions of Texas. Brazoria The falling dollar, which makes U.S. products more competitive in world markets, Victoria has spurred a broad-based resurgence in Gulf Coast manufacturing activity, partic- ularly in the petrochemical industry. Corpus Christi The Formosa Plastics project in Calhoun County will be the largest ethylene plant ever built at one time, and will have an $85 million annual payroll when it is running at full speed. Quantum Chemical will spend $400 million on ethylene and polyethylene expansions at its Houston and Deer Park plants. Most other Gulf Coast chemical and plastics makers-Chevron, Exxon, Rohm and Haas Texas-also have announced expansions. All these projects are generating renewed activity in construction and related engineering services. The Gulf Coast's energy industry stabilized and even added some jobs in 1988. The region's aerospace and medical complexes, which helped to bolster the economy during the energy industry down- turn, are emerging as important expansion industries and hold the key to long-term growth. These complexes are stimu- lating the development of spinoff or start-up companies in aerospace and biotechnology which will promote economic di- versification in the years ahead. In 1989, total nonfarm employment in the 32-county Gulf Coast region-including Houston, Galveston, Brazoria, Beau- mont, Corpus Christi and Victoria-should increase by 37,900, or 1.9 percent, to nearly 2.0 million. Manufacturing: Manufacturing will continue a rebound that began in the second half of 1987. In 1988, a broad range of Gulf Coast manufacturers were helped by the lower dollar. And a small increase in oil and gas exploration activity boosted oil-field equipment manufacturing. With continued growth in exports, the region's electronic industries added some employees in 1988. And a good mix of other manufacturers-including fabricated metals, chemicals and plastics, transportation equipment, lumber and wood and printing and publishing-expanded their work force. But in 1989, as energy-related and export-related job gains diminish, 1989 forecast: Gulf Coast manufacturing job growth will slow. However, manufacturing employ- ment still will increase by 3,800, a solid gain of 1.7 percent, to 235,000. Trade and services: Service-producing jobs will increase. Health and business services, in particular, should continue robust growth. And le- gal, educational and amusement services will gain jobs. A total of 9,400 service jobs will be added in 1989, an increase of 2.0 percent, to 482,100. Population Unemployment Nonfarm Wholesale and retail trade will be boosted by a comeback in 4.908 million 6.2% employment the construction, financial services and real estate industries. up 1.0% (1988 jobless 1,997,100 In 1989, total trade employment will rise by 14,300, or 3.0 per- from 1988 rate: 7.4%) up 1.9% cent, to 498,600. Source: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. Aerospace: Assuming Congress continues to fund the space station contract, the Johnson Space Center near Houston will spend $226 million over the next five years to mod- ernize its facilities and add new support. As defense and NASA contracts come in, Grumman Corp. will triple its Houston work force to 2,000 over the next three years at the Southwest Regional Development and Production Center. Population and unemployment: As job opportunities continue to expand, the Gulf Coast's unemployment rate will continue to drop, to 6.2 percent in 1989. In 1989, population gains will pick up some as more newcomers move to the re- gion. Population will increase by 1.0 percent, to 4.908 million. 6 February 1989, FISCAL NOTES Texas closeup Metroplex Metroplex gets back on track n the first half of the 1980s, the Metroplex economy boomed, fueled by growth in defense and I high-tech manufacturing and a building frenzy. But in 1987, the construction boom came to a Sherman/ screeching halt and the Metroplex lost jobs for the first time this decade. The continuing shake- Denison out in construction, real estate and banking dampened Metroplex economic growth in 1988. Ft. Worth But overall nonfarm employment rebounded some, with big gains in defense-related manufacturing, and the economic recovery should gather steam in 1989. Nonfarm job gains in Dallas the 20-county Metroplex region-including Dallas, Fort Worth and Sherman-Denison-wil ac- celerate in 1989, as the construction industry bottoms out and financial services begin a slow turnaround. Nonfarm jobs should increase by 20,100, or 1.0 percent, to more than 2.0 million. The area's long-term growth prospects are particularly bright in light of recent decisions to lo- cate the Superconducting Supercollider project, a consolidated headquarters for GTE and a major office, research and manufacturing complex of Fujitsu America in the Metroplex region. Manufacturing: Most new manufacturing jobs in 1988 were in defense and high-tech industries, and chemicals, plastics, primary metals and leather manufacturers also did well. In 1989, job growth in manufacturing will continue at a steady pace, with high-tech industries gaining most. But employment gains in defense industries will be modest, as federal defense spending slows. Manufacturing employment will increase by 5,800, or 1.6 percent, to 378,900. Construction: Job layoffs in construction continued throughout 1988, with 1989 forecast: Metroplex foreclosures at record highs. Both residential and nonresiden- tial markets remain extremely overbuilt, and employment will drop further in 1989 before bottoming out. In 1989, Metroplex construction employment will dip by an- other 2,800, or 3.5 percent, to 76,400. Transportation, communications: The Metroplex transportation network, centering around the Population Unemployment Nonfarm Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, is a major impetus to 4.231million 5.5% employment growth in air transportation, trucking and warehousing and up 0.9% (1988 jobless 2,007,900 telecommunications services. With travel demands booming, from 1988 rate: 6.1%) up 1.0% air transportation will continue to record big job gains. Transportation, communications and public utilities led 1988 Source: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. Metroplex job growth, and fast-paced growth should continue. In 1989, employment should increase by 3,300, or 2.5 percent, to 136,900. Trade and services: Trade employment, weakened by the downturn in construction and in consumer spending, should rebound in 1989. Trade jobs will rise by 5,800, a gain of 1.1 percent, to 521,800. The relocation of J.C. Penney headquarters from New York to Plano will be a big boost for trade, providing about 3,800 new jobs for the Metroplex. The growth in services, which continued through much of 1988, will slow as these in- dustries feel the ripple effects from weak construction and real estate activity. In 1989, service industries will gain 4,800 jobs, up by 1.1 percent, to 461,300. Population and unemployment: Due to a big slowdown in newcomers, coupled with some employment growth, the Metroplex unemployment rate dropped in 1988, and as job growth picks up in 1989, it will slip to 5.5 percent. The frantic pace of new arrivals during the boom years has ended and Metroplex population is expected to grow more slowly. In 1989, population will increase by 0.9 percent, to 4.231 million. February 1989, FISCAL NOTES 7 Texas closeup Plains Plains continues turnaround Amarillo he Plains economy should continue to rebound in 1989, assuming T stable oil prices and a healthy U.S. economy. The 98-county Plains region-including Abilene, Amarillo, Lub- Lubbock bock, Midland, Odessa, San Angelo and Wichita Falls-posted Wichita solid nonfarm job gains in 1988. Falls The Plains was helped by a recovery in the oil and gas industry and by the lower value of the dollar, which made its manufactured goods more competi- tive worldwide. Midland Abilene In 1989, with employment in oil and gas stabilizing, job growth will slow Odessa San some, but the area's battered banking and real estate industries should be- Angelo gin to come back. Overall, Plains nonfarm employment will increase by 6,400, or 1.0 percent, to 631,200. The price of energy dependence was high, but a leaner Plains economy, far less susceptible to changes in the price of oil, is emerging. Manufacturing: In 1988, manufacturing led the recovery in the Plains region, generating new jobs in food products, apparel, transportation equipment, electronics, fabricated metals and plastics. And a small increase in oil and gas exploration activity boosted oil-field equipment manufacturing. In 1989, with energy-related and export-related job gains diminishing, manufac- turing job growth will slow. Manufacturing employment will be up by 600, or 0.8 percent, to 71,800. Trade: Trade should continue on the upswing, following increases in consumer spend- ing. Wholesale and retail trade gains may slow some in 1989 as oil and gas ac- tivity stabilizes. But trade jobs will increase by 1,900, or 1.2 percent, to 164,500 in 1989. Agriculture: West Texas ended 1987 with a bumper cotton crop, record-setting yields and prices higher than they have been since 1980. And even though prices slipped some, 1988 was another good year for cotton. Livestock receipts were also up sharply in 1987, and continued high prices helped beef producers in 1988. In 1989, profit margins may shrink some due to rising grain prices. Population and unemployment: 1989 forecast: Plains Unemployment will continue to slide in 1989 to 5.3 per- cent as all sectors of the Plains economy, including bank- ing and real estate, add jobs. And population growth will gather steam as increasing job opportunities attract new- comers. Population will increase by 1.0 percent, to 1.845 million in 1989. Population Unemployment Nonfarm 1.845 million 5.3% employment up 1.0% (1988 jobless 631,200 from 1988 rate: 6.1%) up 1.0% Source: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. 8 February 1989, FISCAL NOTES Texas production and consumption indicators (Amounts in millions) Motor fuel Cigarette Year and Crude oil Natural gas Gallons Cement pkgs. Auto sales month Bbls. Value MCF Value Gasoline Diesel Tons taxed net value 1986 January 69.3 $ 1,797.7 494.7 $ 928.9 694.6 135.4 0.97 144.1 $ 1,213.1 February 62.5 1,227.5 454.9 788.6 645.6 123.6 0.75 134.4 1,332.2 March 68.7 1,001.8 468.3 783.7 746.7 147.9 0.87 132.6 1,532.2 April 65.6 827.7 435.1 677.0 727.1 128.2 0.94 158.0 1,489.3 May 65.8 851.3 453.6 653.6 750.7 127.3 0.88 152.1 1,521.0 June 63.0 824.7 427.9 590.1 732.5 92.5 0.69 157.8 1,472.6 July 65.3 741.6 450.3 610.4 770.2 134.2 0.91 158.4 1,426.9 August 63.1 764.2 443.4 603.5 710.9 131.6 0.78 141.7 1,615.7 September 61.8 825.1 405.3 554.0 693.5 130.0 0.81 144.6 1,518.4 October 63.1 833.0 414.1 558.1 712.6 137.0 0.73 144.5 991.8 November 60.4 797.8 416.0 571.6 670.9 120.2 0.55 123.0 1,264.5 December 62.6 863.9 461.6 634.5 753.7 134.8 0.49 172.8 1,326.9 Total 771.3 $11,356.3 5,325.2 $7,954.0 8,609.0 1,542.7 9.37 1,764.0 $16,704.6 1987 January 62.0 $ 1,008.9 452.6 $ 634.2 650.9 110.7 0.69 147.9 $ 1,102.0 February 56.2 934.3 410.3 570.9 596.6 111.9 0.60 120.0 1,164.8 March 63.0 1,049.4 442.2 609.0 700.9 135.4 0.79 128.8 1,356.9 April 60.5 1,019.1 436.7 583.2 697.7 124.6 0.82 136.5 1,377.4 May 60.5 1,054.3 429.5 560.7 690.6 120.4 0.66 135.0 1,347.0 June 58.8 1,060.4 420.5 539.9 691.6 129.4 0.65 159.3 1,548.8 July 60.7 1,151.3 414.9 544.4 742.7 124.6 0.79 163.6 1,521.9 August 59.8 1,142.0 422.3 544.7 715.2 120.6 0.73 160.4 1,579.3 September 58.5 1,062.1 410.5 509.4 684.7 129.0 0.69 158.7 1,229.0 October 60.8 1,100.4 426.7 533.1 744.5 156.3 0.79 130.5 1,016.0 November 57.8 1,028.3 430.9 564.0 665.1 109.4 0.59 97.8 1,163.3 December 59.7 994.6 497.7 667.3 717.0 124.0 0.58 143.8 1,149.0 Total 718.3 $12,605.1 5,194.7 $6,860.9 8,297.5 1,496.3 8.38 1,682.3 $15,555.4 1988 January 59.8 $ 950.7 456.2 $ 732.6 630.3 111.7 0.52 122.0 $ 1,150.0 February 56.2 884.6 464.9 680.8 649.6 113.8 0.57 124.2 1,364.6 March 60.2 908.3 450.5 637.2 731.2 133.3 0.69 132.1 1,448.5 April 57.8 931.4 444.8 546.7 699.5 114.2 0.69 125.8 1,433.7 May 58.5 r 961.1 r 420.7 r 551.7 r 722.2 115.4 0.71 139.5 1,524.0 June 57.0 r 896.1 r 405.1 r 523.1 r 723.3 133.4 0.70 141.3 1,405.4 July 55.5 e 793.9 e 459.3 e 606.3 e 718.8 117.2 0.58 r 124.7 1,512.5 August 54.1 e 765.8 e 425.5 e 600.0 e 741.9 125.9 0.63 r 134.9 1,217.2 September 51.8 e 702.4 e 436.8 e 550.4 e 691.2 131.7 0.55 r 141.6 1,414.1 October 47.0 e 596.0 e 693.2 123.8 0.61 132.4 1,206.2 November 52.1 e 644.5 e 0.57 129.3 1,127.9 December 140.2 Total 610.0 e $ 9,034.8 e 3,963.8 e $5,428.8 e 7,001.2 1,220.4 6.83 1,588.0 $ 14,804.1 e - estimated r - revised Note: Crude oil and natural gas show taxable production and net taxable value for the production month. Totals may not add due to rounding Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. Rebound, from page 2 pear, outsiders will once cent, during the year. Texas defined by the solid recoveries follow- again begin moving to Despite the growing Comptroller are expect- ing severe economic Texas. population, Texas' unem- ed to add jobs, income downturns in 1986-87. In 1988, 24,000 more ployment rate will contin- and population during After a slow rebound people left Texas than ue to decline as job 1989. in 1988, the economies moved in, but the state's growth outpaces job seek- The Border region, of the Metroplex and the population continued to ers. Overall, the state's which grew the fastest Central Corridor should grow due to a relatively unemployment rate will in 1988, will rival the gain strength in 1989, high birth rate. Early in decline from an average Gulf Coast in growth but job growth will be 1989, however, newcom- of 7.3 percent in 1988 to during 1989, spurred by dampened by continuing ers will outnumber those 6.4 percent in 1989. twin plant expansions weakness in construc- who leave and the state's in Mexico. The East tion, banking and real population will increase Regional recovery: All Texas and Plains re- estate. by 188,000, or 1.1 per- six economic regions of gions also are staging February 1989, FISCAL NOTES 9 State of Texas December statement of cash condition¹ (Amounts in millions) General revenue Special funds Total cash Beginning cash balance December 1, 1988 $542.3 $1,680.4 $2,222.7 Revenue/expenditures Revenue 961.3 871.2 1,832.5 Expenditures -527.3 -1,258.0 -1,785.3 Net income (outgo) 434.0 -386.8 47.2 Net interfund transfers and investment transactions -471.9 406.7 -65.3 Total transactions -37.9 19.9 -18.1 Ending cash balance December 31, 1988² $504.4 $1,700.2 $2,204.6 1 Cash stated is Comptroller's Office Book Cash and may vary from cash deposited with the Treasury. Net amounts shown (less refunds) exclude some transactions not cleared through the Comptroller's Office. Suspense and Trust Funds are included as are unemployment compensation trust funds collected by the state but held in the Federal Treasury. Totals may not add due to rounding. 2The ending General Revenue Fund balance includes $998.8 million borrowed from other state funds for cash flow management. Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. State revenue¹ Monthly Year-to-date All funds revenue September 1988 - December 1988 (Amounts in millions) December Percent change 1988 Revenue from last FY4 Tax collections by major tax Sales tax $ 464.8 $2,169.3 20.2% Oil production tax 39.2 138.4 -29.8 Natural gas production tax 54.0 195.6 40.8 Motor fuels taxes (gasoline, diesel, LPG) 146.1 491.9 0.7 Motor vehicle sales tax 76.1 309.4 7.5 Franchise tax -2.7 -73.0 -322.9 Cigarette and tobacco taxes 37.9 146.8 9.2 Alcoholic beverages taxes 25.7 104.8 0.3 Insurance companies 2 tax 79.4 121.2 57.6 Utility taxes 0.1 46.4 -0.5 Inheritance tax 7.5 40.0 18.2 Telephone tax 0.0 7.6 28.3 Hotel and motel tax 0.7 27.7 120.1 Other taxes 3 3.1 9.3 108.5 Total tax collections $ 931.9 $3,735.5 10.9% Revenue by receipt type Tax collections (detail above) $ 931.9 $3,735.5 10.9% Business/professional fees 15.8 53.9 0.9 Noncommercial permits and licenses 81.6 342.1 4.2 Violations, fines and penalties 3.1 26.8 25.8 State service fees 24.6 92.6 5.1 Sales, rental and repayments of goods and services 9.5 58.1 -4.8 Federal receipts 415.1 1,607.2 8.4 Interest/dividends 200.4 1,016.7 11.0 Land income 23.0 90.3 -14.7 Other receipts 127.5 342.5 49.9 Total revenue $1,832.5 $7,365.6 10.7% ¹Excludes some revenue not cleared through the Comptroller's Office. Totals may not add due to rounding. ²Includes the Utility, Gas Utility Administration and the Public Utilities Gross Receipts taxes. ³Includes the Ad Valorem, Cement and Sulphur taxes and other occupation and gross receipts taxes not separately identified. 4Due to accounting changes, some percentages are based on different data than reported in the last fiscal year. Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. 10 February 1989, FISCAL NOTES State expenditures by object¹ All funds Monthly Year-to-date expenditures September 1988 - December 1988 (Amounts in millions) December Percent change Objects 1988 Expenditures from last FY Salaries and wages $ 356.9 $1,361.8 8.2% Other personal services 188.0 703.4 8.9 Consumable supplies and materials 24.5 92.4 -17.0 Current and recurring operating expenses 61.7 240.4 2.7 Assistance and medical care for the needy 229.3 874.7 1.4 Foundation school program grants 453.9 1,936.3 1.9 Other public education grants 78.0 334.6 22.2 Grants to higher education 51.4 222.2 -0.7 Other grants 93.1 305.4 13.1 Payment of principal on indebtedness 12.1 83.7 -42.5 Payment of interest and other claims 39.0 132.0 2.5 Capital outlay for highways 143.6 622.0 1.1 Capital outlay for land and buildings 24.7 93.8 9.6 Other capital outlay 29.2 189.8 -9.8 Total expenditures $1,785.3 $7,192.5 3.3% ¹Excludes some expenditures not cleared through the Comptroller's Office. Totals may not add due to rounding. Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. State expenditures by function¹ All funds Monthly Year-to-date (Amounts in millions) expenditures September 1988 - December 1988 December Percent change Category 1988 Expenditures from last FY2 Administrative Executive departments $ 41.1 $ 177.3 -1.4 % Business regulatory commissions 15.6 62.0 27.7 Legislative 4.1 17.9 0.6 Judicial 4.2 17.2 3.5 Total $ 65.1 $ 274.4 4.4 % Services Welfare $ 275.5 $1,055.6 2.8 % Mental health, state homes and corrections 111.8 436.6 18.0 Health and sanitation 31.0 107.6 9.5 Law enforcement 14.1 59.1 3.1 Total $ 432.5 $1,658.9 6.9% Improvements Highway maintenance and construction $ 216.0 $ 905.4 -0.8 % Natural resources 13.7 56.9 5.6 Parks and monuments 9.8 45.2 5.5 Total $ 239.5 $1,007.6 -0.2 % Education Support to state and local education $ 770.7 $3,236.4 3.0% State contribution to teacher retirement 65.8 277.5 2.0 Total $ 836.5 $3,513.9 3.0 % Other Expenditures Grants to political subdivisions and others $ 93.1 $ 305.4 13.1 % Payment of public debt 51.1 215.6 -21.2 Social security contribution 38.8 136.7 10.8 State contribution to employee retirement 26.7 69.9 39.3 Miscellaneous 2.1 10.2 -10.4 Total $ 211.8 $ 737.8 1.3% Total expenditures $1,785.3 $7,192.5 3.3% ¹Excludes some expenditures not cleared through the Comptroller's Office. Totals may not add due to rounding. 2Due to accounting changes, some percentages are based on different data than reported in the last fiscal year. Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. February 1989, FISCAL NOTES 11 Business outlook improves for 1989 Texas' business leaders are general- try leaders were mixed in the latest Texas ly optimistic about the state's econom- survey. Mining and manufacturing ic outlook for the first half of 1989, and optimism increased, while the out- these expectations at the end of 1988 look for construction, utility, whole- Glance led to a modest increase in the latest sale and retail trade declined. Manufacturing: Index of Future Business Conditions. But even though outlook varied Rose 1.3 points The 1988 fourth-quarter index, calcu- among industries, fully 96 percent to 56.3 lated from results of the Comptroller's of all executives Quarterly Survey of Business Expec- who responded to tations conducted in December, was the survey expect 58.6, an increase of 0.1 from 1988's that overall busi- Mining: Utilities: third quarter and one full point higher ness conditions will than 1988's first quarter. be the same or bet- Based on a very Dipped 0.4 Despite some fluctuations in 1988, ter in six months. small response, points to 55.9 the index continued its overall upward rose 12.3 points to 65.6 trend above 50, the neutral point, since the end of 1986. As usual, expectations among indus- Retail trade: Wholesale: Construction: Slipped 0.2 Fell 1.4 points Dropped 1.7 points to 60.4 to 56.7 points to 58.9 Highs and lows of the Index of Future Business Conditions 1/ '84/1 65.2 '88/2 (Editor's Note: 59.8 '88/4 The 1988 Fourth-Quarter 58.6 Survey, conducted by the Comptroller's Economic Analysis Cen- ter, polled companies representing a cross-section of the state's businesses. Some are Texas-based while others do business in Texas but are headquartered elsewhere. Additional information about the survey and results may be obtained from the Economic Analysis Center at P.O. Box 13528, Capitol Station, Austin, Texas 78711 '86/1 or (512) 463-4900.) 42.8 Source: Bob Bullock, Comptroller of Public Accounts. FISCALNOTES BULK RATE TAS COMMONWEA U.S. POSTAGE PAID AUSTIN, TX Economic Analysis Center PERMIT NO. 1411 of PUBLIC ACCOUNTS For additional copies write: Bob Bullock, State Comptroller Economic Analysis center P.O. Box 13528, Capitol Station Austin, TX 78711 Material in Fiscal Notes is not copywrited and may be repro- duced. The Comptroller of Pub- lic Accounts would appreciate credit for the material used and a copy of the reprint. 12 February 1989, FISCAL NOTES