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[Fall of Communism-Speech/Notes, 1990]
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[Fall of Communism-Speech/Notes, 1990]
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Records of the White House Office of Speechwriting (George H. W. Bush Administration)
Tony Snow Subject Files
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Originally Processed With FOIA(s):
FOIA Number:
S
FOIA
MARKER
This is not a textual record. This is used as an
administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential
Library Staff.
Record Group/Collection:
George H.W. Bush Presidential Records
Collection/Office of Origin:
Speechwriting, White House Office of
Series:
Snow, Tony, Files
Subseries:
Subject File, 1988-1993
OA/ID Number:
13894
Folder ID Number:
13894-012
Folder Title:
[Fall of Communism-Speech/Notes, 1990]
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G
18
29
2
2
FREEDOM POIN TING the way.
with.
crisis of
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
communism
ESSE
mght to make
bane political choices.
Grann - hattle of ideas. - -
shortout to
detom
S tagnation 1
economic model failure.
roform her / to me extert extust political model- infulfilling.
take co not the Center.
shirt of my with
Individual is in the center.
annested duelopment-
out puced by change
" Vashet case."
BEUOH STIRW BHT
MOTOMIH3AW
communim did not
fit.
Strasht jachet on human creativity
5 pirt
denoc - unfindely udaptable-
Clinton, Compbell
DORSEN:
— Gardner THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON current vice t incoming...
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Pinkerton's Office:
RE:
Pupich: - choice
nothing qualitatively different
1984 - from vouchus idea.
on goals. just politichng.
113+12th graders option:
go to p.coll. or College.
32 27
w/ $ following
6/190
7790
30
/-
60 sp.
18
14
57,100.
10
10
50
8%
65,270
THE WHITE HOUSE
THE WHITE HOUSE
washington
WASHINGTON
Perestroika-
Perverse incentines- 1
Stall spending up 25%
fureducratic.
from 84- 87 ) w/o
Monopoly - primples
or curricula
can't change schedule,
much result. 1
mary pu you than entire
fine, has freely
fed Budget,
Tie funds to student.
Amer people
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
n
No more busmer
is usual
Note though -
you never have
restant. w/o short-tena
cholocating (see ecor
reforms in EEr why
don't he see this in
Social programs)
THE WHITE HOUSE
washington
quants- qual
imput
output.
from on the former
Golden Robenson THE WHITE Veeps. HOUSE
Masseng
Judge
WASHINGTON
82-3.
Kachigian ORIGINAL
Bahohian
Dolan
1st Reasun leam,
*
Rohr.
Ravin
Elkot
Baksham + tits 4?
Ellist 84-86, Dolan 86-88.
Noonan
1/3/90
THE WHITE HOUSE
WASHINGTON
Parman paraphuse:
If you can or du what
appear to be chaotic events,
people often make the mistaken
inference that you not only
understand but also affect-
sa events...
Charles Krauthammer
Is History History?
9/15/89
Last year it was American decline.
find its social and political expression.
American decline appeared in the after-
This year, Washington's newest intel-
Hence conflict. Hence history. QED.
math of the crash and flourished in its
lectual fashion is the "end of history,"
The most baffling thing about the
atmosphere of gloom and apprehension.
the brilliant and outrageously provoc-
Fukuyama hypothesis is not its content
But then-nothing happened. No re-
ative thesis of Francis Fukuyama. Ac-
but its popularity. That the summer
cession. No inflation. No collapse. In
cording to him, now that the Cold War
issue of The National Interest (which
fact, the market recently surpassed its
is over and we have won, now that the
features his article) should sell out is
pre-crash all-time high. The apocalypse
rest of the world is bent on adopting
one thing. That the essay should be
turned out to be a market correction.
Western ideas and institutions, histo-
featured in publications in Britain, Aus-
Foiled again, the doomsayers retreated
ry-with its great crusades and wars
tralia, France, Japan, Italy, Brazil, Isra-
and the Kennedy thesis fell out of
and ideological struggles-is over. The
el and the Netherlands is another. The
fashion.
rest is commentary-a peaceful, rather
French magazine Commentaire, for ex-
But the millennial impulse does not
boring eternity during which mankind,
ample, will devote most of its next issue
through with fighting, turns the world
die. So along comes Fukuyama to satis-
to Fukuyama and his critics. How can a
into one big capitalist bazaar.
fy it in the most extraordinary way:
theory so extravagant, so tongue-in-
Fukuyama is only half wrong. It is
with a positive, a happy, a cheery
cheek (if Fukuyama thought history
not history but politics, on the grand
millennium. For once, we are offered
was over, he should be a carpenter not
scale, that has come to an end. As I
an end, of days that is not fire and ice
a top State Department adviser) enjoy
(suggested here last March, the pe-
but Elysian fields-a future of perma-
such a vogue?
rennial political question that has been
nent peace, of eternal triumph, of his-
asked since Plato-What is the good
I have a theory. Every age has
torical ennui. Utopia.
polity? been answered. The de-
millennial tremors, a sense that the end
The Fukuyama thesis is not just
bate is over, the answer is in: that
is near, that we are history's last chap-
perfectly pitched to satisfy our millen-
system which combines political plural-
ter. This premonitory feeling may wax
nial yearnings. It is perfectly timed. It
ism, democratic government, individual
and wane, but it is always there, and
appears at the turn of the last calendar
rights and a mixed economy. In short,
must (and does) find political and intel-
corner- before the literal millennium
modern Western democracy.
lectual expression: The early '80s, for
(the year 2000). And it captures the
The triumph of the Western Idea is
example, were quite engulfed by apoca-
-satisfied, inward-turning mood of a
total. From Luanda to Latvia, the
lyptic thinking. It is now a bit embar-
people that has just won a great (albeit
watchword is reform, and today reform
rassing to remember how gripped the
cold) war. Fukuyama's is a classic of
invariably means economic deregula-
country was by nuclear hysteria. Re-
postwar utopianism, that genre of phil-
tion and political liberalization, i.e.,
member Ground Zero Day? The Day
osophical euphoria not seen since short-
adopting one, or all of the elements of
After? The wild popularity of Jonathan
ly after our last great victory 40 years
the liberal'democratic idea.
Schell's preposterous epic The Fate of
ago when utopianism of another kind
The Fukuyama fallacy occurs with
the Earth? The warnings that unless
(end-of-power-politics, brotherhood-of-
the jump from the triumph of the
something was done right away-say,
man, United Nations utopianism) flour-
Western ídea (true) to the universal-
anuclear freeze-the world would not
ished briefly.
ization of Western reality (false). He
last past tomorrow?
Alas, briefly. With Solidarity in pow-
believes the world will ultimately come
The nuclear apocalypse died with the
er, with Yeltsin taking Manhattan, with
to be like us-and thus become one
INF Treaty and the Reagan-Gorbachev
unemployment at 5.2 percent, it is easy
large, peaceful Common Market. Why
Moscow love-fest. The millennial im-
to believe that we have arrived at the
does he believe this? Because he be-
pulse found a new outlet, however, a bit
fields of ambrosia. But let the tanks roll
tieves in the Hegelian notion that the
less dramatic but no less worrying:
into Latvia, let the economy land hard,
idea ultimately determines reality.
overextended by debt and speculation,
let the Exxon Valdez run aground this
Invoking the authority of Hegel is a
the American economy was headed for
time off Cape Cod, or, better still, let
weighty debating device. But it is hard-
collapse. It was 1929.
the Kremlin issue a terse statement
ly evidence. I would invoke, instead,
What killed this particular strain of
announcing Gorbachev's retirement for
3,000 years of history which have am-
economic apocalypticism was, ironically
reasons of health-and the fashion will
ply and uninterruptedly demonstrated
enough, the stock market crash of
change rather quickly. Enjoy the end of
man's potential for evil. If evil is inher-
1987. At first, the doomsayers had a
history while you can. It hasn't long to
ent in human nature, it will inevitably
field day. Paul Kennedy's thesis about
run.
Photocopy-Preservation
October 16-22, 1989 ROLL CALL Campaigning Special Section Page 19
Who's Working for Whom
Roll Call Presents the Most Up-to-Date Roster of Political
Consultants Hired So Far for the 1990 Senate Races. Clip and Save.
Listed are consultants working for Senate incumbents and for current House Members who are running for Senate.
States marked with an asterisk will have open-seat elections in 1990. Compiled by Steve Langdon.
Candidate
General Consultant
Polling
Fundraising
Media
Alabama
Howell Heflin (D)
Undecided
Garin-Hart Strategic Research
Fundraising Management Group
Squier/Eskew Communications
Alaska
Ted Stevens (R)
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Arkansas
David Pryor (D)
In-house
Harrison & Goldberg Inc.
In-house
Squier/Eskew Communications
Colorado
Rep. Hank Brown (R)
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Ringe Media Inc.
Delaware
Joe Biden (D)
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Georgia
Sam Nunn (D)
In-house
Hickman-Maslin Research, Inc.
In-house
In-house
Idaho
James McClure (R)
In-house
Moore Information
Sumner & Ziebart Fundraising Cons.
Williamson & Reinhard/Cline
Illinois
Paul Simon (D)
In-house
Hickman-Maslin Research, Inc,
Barbara Silby & Associates
Doak, Shrum & Associates
Rep. Lynn Martin (R)
Bob Teeter
Undecided
Steve Gordon & Associates
Ailes Communications
Indiana
Dan Coats (R)
Richard Morris and Bob Teeter
Undecided
Jim Foster &Associates,
Undecided
Iowa
Tom Harkin (D)
In-house
Garin-Hart Strategic Research
In-house
Squier/Eskew Communications
Rep.Tom Tauke (R)
In-house
American Viewpoint
In-house
Dresner, Sykes, Jordan & Townsend
Kansas
Nancy Kassebaum (R)
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Kentucky
Mitch McConnell (R)
BobTeeter
Market Opinion Research
In-house
Ailes Communications
Louisiana
J. Bennett Johnston (D)
In-house
Garin-Hart Strategic Research
In-house
John Franzen Multimedia
Maine
William Cohen (R)
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Massachusetts
John Kerry (D)
Undecided
Undecided
In-house
Undecided
Michigan
Carl Levin (D)
In-house
Mellman & Lazarus, Inc.
In-house
Struble-Totten Communications
Rep. Bill Schuette (R)
Rsch./Stgy./Mgmt. and Bob Teeter
Market Strategies, Inc.
In-house
Stuart Stevens
Minnesota
Rudy Boschwitz (R)
Bob Teeter
Lawrence Research
In-house
Robert Goodman Agency, Inc.
Mississippi
Thad Cochran (R)
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Montana
Max Baucus (D)
In-house
Garin-Hart Strategic Research
In-house
Greer, Margolis, Mitchell & Assoc.
Nebraska
James Exon (D)
Jim Robinson & Associates
Hickman-Maslin Research, Inc.
In-house
Raymond D. Strother Ltd.
New Hampshire
Rep.Bob Smith (R)
Jim Murphy
Arthur J. Finkelstein & Assoc.
Undecided
Undecided
New Jersey
Bill Bradley (D)
In-house
Joe Peritz & Associates
In-house
Michael Kaye
New Mexico
Pete Domenici (R)
Undecided
Research/Strategy/Management
Undecided
Undecided
North Carolina
Jesse Helms (R)
Jefferson Marketing, Inc.
Arthur J. Finkelstein & Assoc.
Jefferson Marketing, Inc.
Jefferson Marketing, Inc.
Oklahoma
David Boren (D)
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Oregon
Mark Hatfield (R)
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Rep. Ron Wyden (D)
In-house
Mellman & Lazarus, Inc.
In-house
In-house
Rhode Island
Claiborne Pell (D)
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Rep. Claudine Schnelder (R)
Undecided
American Viewpoint (likely)
Undecided
Undecided
South Carolina
Strom Thurmond (R)
Black, Manafort, Stone & Kelly
Black, Manafort, Stone & Kelly
Black, Manafort, Stone & Kelly
Black, Manafort, Stone & Kelly
South Dakota
Larry Pressler (R)
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Tennesee
A1 Gore (D)
In-house
Mellman & Lazarus, Inc.
In-house
Squier/Eskew Communications
Texas
Phil Gramm (R)
Black, Manafort, Stone & Kelly
Tarrance & Associates
PM Corporation
Alles Communications
Virginia
John Warner (R)
DCM Group
DCM Group
In-house
DCM Group
West Virginia
Jay Rockefeller (D)
In-house
Garin-Hart Strategic Research
In-house
Squier/Eskew Communications
Wyoming
Alan Simpson (R)
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Undecided
Wyden has not declared his candidacy for Senate and is officially running for re-election to his House seat.
Photocopy-Preservation
Mysterious Circles
On Farms in Britain
ЭЮП
JOU
Spook the Populace
Continued From First Page
which more or less undercuts the point of
faking them in the first place:-
Inc. All Rights Reserved
Nor is It the first time unexplained
phenomena have been found around here.
One of the greatest concentrations of cir-
UST 28, 1989
cles is near the mysterious standing stone
formations at Stonehenge and Avebury. No
one has-fully explained them, either.
Steel Production
Still, farmers and scientists are abuzz
with theories. One is that the circles are
caused by hedgehogs gone mad, or by
In millions of tons.
about the circles recently. While those
buck deer in rut. Another blames mysteri-
10
talks are kept secret; a Buckingham Pal-
ous whirlwinds never before encountered B.
here. Other, theories include bizarre insect
=>
ace spokesman says the Queen took a hur-
9
riedly published book about the circles to
infestations or a new strain of virus, Or
-
8
her. summer palace in Scotland this
over-fertilization:7Or K
month: as Britain's biggest landowner, she
: Then there are high-tech explanations. LD
7
has every reason not to be amused.
Some people believe the circles are caused a
The largest circles are about 100 feet In
by helicopters. Aviation experts point out,
6
diameter, Sometimes groups of circles
however, that helicopters would have to fly
seem to resemble giant crucifixes and Cel-
upside down to carve such flawless circles.
5
tic crosses stretching across the undulating
Others contend the circles are made by a
1987
hills: Inside the circles, the wheat is lev-
mysterious magnetic force, or by Star
PRODUCTION of raw steel fell to 7,954,
eled completely. But the crops are undam-
Wars space-defense beam run amok. And,
74 tons in July from tons in June,
aged and continue to grow. Horizontally.
of course, there's the inevitable sau:-
the American Iron and Steel Institute re-
At first, many thought the whole thing a
cer theory: Alien ships flatten the crops
ports.
BID
hoax, In the proud tradition of such well-
when they touch down to visit Earth: In
known British oddities as the Loch Ness
deed, a mysterious white substance that
Mysterious Circles
monster and the Piltdown man, (Indeed,
laboratories haven't identified has been
the bones of the Piltdown man were found
found near some circles
in the early 1900s in a field only a few
AMI reckon it's one of them UFOs, says
In British Fields
dozen miles, east of here. For decades he
Edley Ware, weathered farmhand. You
was thought to be prehistoric forebear of
never know what is going on in this
Spook the Populace
man, only to be exposed as a) complete
world. He pauses for a moment, as a new
fake in 1953.
thought strikes him. You know, it could be
But the circles' precision and number-
the bloody Yanks. They always have some
Locals Blame UFOs, Yanks
they weren't widespread until recently,
thing up their, sleeves.
with more than 250 recorded this year-
One of the biggest circular formations
And Mad Hedgehogs;
have dispelled most talk of hoaxes. What-
is near a stone burial ground in Sil-2
ever makes the circles leaves no tracks.
bury Hill: Seven circles stretch across hun-
The Queen Is on the Case
Many of the circles can't easily be seen un-
dreds of feet of prime British farmland,
less you are in the middle of a wheat field,
rolling golden fields of wheat gently baking
Please Turn to Page A6, Column 3
in this summer's unusually warm sun.
By CRAIG FORMAN
Near a distant farmhouse, a wisp of smoke
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
rises from burning stubble.* harvester
CHEESEFOOT HEAD,England-For
drones at the bottom of the field, methodi-
83 years, John Scull's family has grown
cally scooping up the ripe crop. Wind
wheat on the rolling farmlands near here.
blows, gently rustling the wheat still stand
Now, his wheat fields have holes.
Ing
Well, not exactly holes. They are large,
Carved with almost surgical precision,
near-perfect circles flattened wheat,
the largest circle in the formation Is a 100-
swirled to the ground in a precise spiral
foot-wide ring wheat stalks.
pattern. They appear overnight in the mid-
The ll-growing grain is darker than sur
dle of otherwise ordinary looking fields.
rounding crop because It has gotten less
And nobody knows what's causing them.
sunlight. Outside the circle; the stalks of
"It's the most unusual thing to happen
wheat stand straight, about three feet
on this patch, that's for sure, says the
tall:
lanky Mr. Scull, tugging reflectively on his
At the center of the circle, the wheat
short
beard.
TEAM
has been spun together to form a thatched
What's happening in Mr. Scull's wheat
mound a few Inches high: From this point,
field is happening in farmlands all over
the stalks are spun out clockwise, as if a
southern England this summer, and it's
creating an uproar throughout the coun-
giant fist has powerfully, but gently,
try survision
twisted them into the ground
Investigators and scientists are slogging
& Colin Andrews, an electrical engineer
through fields, Jugging video cameras,
who is one of the two authors of Circular
fancy Infrared scopes and other high-tech
Evidence the book the Queen is reading,
detection devices. Curious tourists and re-
argues that a rotating field of high energy?
porters from around the globe are descend-
is creating the circles may well be
ing upon the peaceful villages, sometimes
some form of Intelligence," he says. Pat
wreaking more havoc than the circles
Delgado, his co-author, thinks there may
themselves: They, trample the -ripening
be a message in the circles. "It could be a
wheat. They set up ladders in fields to take
cry for help,' he says. UIt could mean, If
pictures. They get into auto accidents. Pas-
toral Cheesefoot Head (population: six)
you destroy this food, your planet is fin-
now has traffic Jams.
16
ished.
Questioning Thatcher
"That's bunkum," says Terence Mea-
den, 1.local meteorologist The idea that
"Loads of people are looking for the cir
there is some intelligence operating is pure
cles," says a woman selling strawberries
at a. roadside stand near another circle-
fantasy Whirlwinds, he contends, are the
prone field. Is her location a good one? "It
only explanation. Cool sea breezes mixing
is now," she says.
with hot air above the fields are forming
British agriculture and defense officials
spinning wind) vortexes that touch down
want to know more. So does Queen Eliza-
and twist the wheat. Many other scientists
beth, who is said to, have sharply ques-
and government officials also subscribet
tioned Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher
this view.
it, But not the farmers. "It's load of rub;
bish.:I don't believe a whirlwind could do
that, says Simon Brown, who has had
several circles on his farm. They are
carved too neatly, hersays, and the fields /
bear no traces of moving winds. One of the
formations, a large circle ringed by four
smaller ones, could fit the imprint of an
allen spaceship with four pods for feet,
some though Mr. Brown has no truck
with the UFO theory either.
But Mr. Brown believes the appearance
Wheat circles, with close-up (inset)
of the circles does prove one thing: Sit
means we have absolutely no bloody Idea
of what goes on around us. It's one of those
eternal mysteries. Long may they con-
tinue.
Photocopy-Preservation
SENT BY: XEROX Telecopier 7017; 3-30-90 ; 4:13PM ;
2028630694-
2024566218;# 2
Equal votes and fair elections
The 1990 Census, the official count of America's population, will work a great transformation in
American politics. As many as 20 states will gain or lose congressional seats which will be reapportioned
according to population shifts between the states.
The regional population shifts demand the redrawing of political boundaries, creating an opportunity
for politicians to gerrymander. That term comes from early American history: It means drawing political
lines to help one party and to injure the other.
In 1983, retiring California Governor Jerry Brown didn't miss his chance. Just before leaving office, he
signed into California law a Democrat-drawn redistricting plan with political lines so unfair and warped
that in the 1984 elections — even though Republiçan congressional candidates in the state won more total
votes than their Democratic opponents - Democrats continued to hold on to a 27-18 majority in that
state's delegation. Republicans held 21 seats before the gerrymander, but only 18 after it. So complete
was the gerrymander that only one congressional seat changed party hands during the entire decade.
Time and again Democratic party officials have used the once- a-decade redistricting to sabotage a fair
and competitive election process, render votes meaningless, and lock in the election results for a decade.
The result: A challenger rarely wins. In 1982, the re-election rate for incumbent members of Congress
was 90 percent. In 1988 it reached an unbelievable 98.3 percent.
Mass.
After the
1990 Census,
seats will shift
from frostbelt
to sunbelt
Numbers indicate Republican National Committee projections
of gains and losses of U.S. House seats based on the 1990 Census.
Y: XEROX Telecopier 7017; 3-30-90 ; 4:13PM ;
2028630694-
2024566218;# 3
making
7 million Republican
Gerrymandering has so reduced the chances that a member of Congress will lose an election that, by
1988, fewer than 10 percent of congressional races were won with less than 55 percent of the vote. In
other words, few races are even considered contests. Challengers get the message: In 1988, 81 members
of Congress - - mostly Democrats - had no opponent.
Chairman Atwater has made fair redistricting a top priority at the Republican National Committee. The
Committee is working to make the redistricting process a public process; train legal experts on the issue;
encourage minority groups to participate by drawing redistricting maps; train Republican legislative staff
on redistricting and census issues; spread the message about this voter disenfranchisement; develop
redistricting software for Republican state parties and other groups; and support Census Bureau efforts
to see that the 1990 Census
is the most fair, complete,
and accurate in history.
The Republican share of House seats
Republicans must be
is consistently less than its share of
partners in the
redistricting process
the total nationwide House
to ensure fair lines.
Working to elect
and presidential votes.
70
Republican governors,
or gain Republican
majorities in state
60
legislatures, will give us
a seat at the table when
GOP presidential vote
the new lines are drawn.
percent
50
GOP House vote
We must turn out the
vote for GOP candidates
40
GOP House seats
in 1990 or lose any
chance of gaining a
majority in Congress
30
until the next millennium.
'68 '70 '72 '74 '76 '78 '80 '82 '84 '86 '88
Source: Congressional Quarterly
"LAwyer's TAX."
TV-RADIO
CORR.
19
M.
CARLUCCI
Thumand.
Clinial@Control. Control.