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Originally Processed With FOIA(s): FOIA Number: S FOIA MARKER This is not a textual record. This is used as an administrative marker by the George Bush Presidential Library Staff. Record Group/Collection: George H.W. Bush Presidential Records Collection/Office of Origin: Speechwriting, White House Office of Series: Snow, Tony, Files Subseries: Subject File, 1988-1993 OA/ID Number: 13896 Folder ID Number: 13896-003 Folder Title: [Miscellaneous Background] Stack: Row: Section: Shelf: Position: G 18 29 2 4 Refense approx. - VB% for 1990 1.3% B.O. B,A, 293.8 $10B from Reagan it 305.6 2% - 2.6. - 1.4. 6.3B. 0% I COLORD 289,8 3.7 295.6 5/5 4/28 (CHARITY DINNER) 5/5 4/28 PARKS & REC. 5/13 ALCORN COMMENCEMENT K 13 724 5/13 MISS. ST. COMMENCE. 5/17 5/10 RETAIL FEDERATION 5/21 5/14 B.U. COMMENCEMENT K K 5/24 COAST GUARD COMMENCE. 6/14 6/7 PRESIDENT'S DINNER DAVIS 6/15 6/9 VERY SPECIAL ARTS LANGE Jun2 29, 1990 On the one side lofty abstractions. An American ideal. Enlisted to defend. The undeforsible. You know, it's a funny thing. Some of the people who've waged the loudest defense of this filth can't bring themselves to describe what it is they're defending. You hear a lot about the abstractions -- but you don't see the picture, hear the lyrics We all know why. And I'm not going to do that now. But in the last little while, I've made an effort to see these things, listen -- as I know some of you parents out there have done. / It's been an eye-opener. Some of the stuff is more than vulgar. The music: The filthy language -- the casual treatment of violence -- the degrading treatment of women -- the ignorant race hate. // And the so-called art: Christ on the cross submerged in a jar of urine. Depictions of sexual behavior that are so patently obscene they can't be printed in a newspaper or shown on television -- passed off as art. It's important to know what I mean Not all art -- not all music -- has to have a message, some positive social impact. The last thing we want is And we know it's the nature of art to question, to make us think, to ask us to look at things differently. But -- just ask any American taxpayer -- it's too much to ask that we finance with public funds art that insults, set omsebes ag as moral asbiter art that degrades -- art that attacks the fundamental values that hold this nation together So on the one side it's an abstraction -- on the other side, it's our kids. It's not any easy problem -- and I don't have a snap answer. But it just seems to me that we ought to be able to find a way to protect the sacred principle of freedom of speech -- and to preserve our kids, and our society, against an assault on the moral values. Against the decency that makes democracy work When they grow up. Yes, we want our kids to think for themselves. Make up their own minds. / But we also want them to have a sense of good and bad. Of the dignity of every individual. of the higher things that make life what it is -- and give this great nation of ours ISSUES AND FOUNDATION Citizens for a ANSWERS Sound Economy Foundation 470 L'Enfant Plaza, SW East Building #7112 Washington, D.C. 20024 (202) 488-8200 June 13, 1990 FREE TRADE WITH MEXICO: ANOTHER STEP IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION by Angela Logomasini Policy Analyst Congress is currently considering proposals that could mean lower prices for American consumers and additional export opportunities for American businessmen. These proposals, which seek to advance free trade with Mexico, have been introduced in the House of Representatives by Reps. Bill Richardson (D-NM) and Jim Kolbe (R-AZ). Both proposals urge the president to begin negotiations with Mexico to establish an agreement that would liberalize trade and investment laws between the United States and Mexico. Rep. Richardson's bill, H.R. 1360, recommends that the president establish a free trade and co-production agreement. This agreement would designate an area in which the United States and Mexico would pool their resources in joint enterprises. The materials imported for production, as well as the finished products, could be traded between the two nations duty free. Such an agreement would work to expand exports for both nations by promoting an efficient use of resources. The agreement which Rep. Kolbe suggests in his bill, H.R. 59, would be similar to the free trade agreements the United States already enjoys with Israel and Canada. Under such a free trade agreement, all tariffs and other trade barriers between the United States and Mexico would be phased out over a specified period of time. Also, investment laws would be liberalized to promote cross-border investment opportunities for both Americans and Mexicans. The U.S.-Canada Free Trade Agreement illustrates the positive results of this type of agreement. That agreement appears to have boosted the volume of trade between the United States and Canada. According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, trade between the two countries during the first six months of 1988 amounted to $78 billion. This number grew to $87 billion during the same period in 1989, the first year after implementation of the agreement. Both Rep. Richardson's and Rep. Kolbe's proposals would build upon an already extensive trade relationship. Mexico is the United States' third largest trading partner, behind only Canada and Japan. Trade between the United States and Mexico has been growing, particularly because Mexico has worked to liberalize many of its trade and foreign investment laws. In 1989 alone, U.S. exports to Mexico grew by 21 percent to $25 billion, while Mexico's exports to the United States grew by 15.5 percent to $27.2 billion. Other evidence of the strong relationship between the two countries includes the fact that U.S. businesses provide approximately 65 percent of all foreign direct investment in Mexico. And the United States is Mexico's largest export market, absorbing more than 80 percent of Mexico's industrial exports. Liberalized trade would mean that U.S. and Mexican exporters would no longer face significant hurdles to succeed in the other country's market. For example, a free trade agreement would eliminate Mexican import licensing requirements that currently apply to 70 percent of U.S. agricultural products. As a result, U.S. farmers could increase their exports to Mexico, while Mexican consumers would benefit by paying lower prices. Mexican consumers won't be the only ones enjoying lower prices. A free trade agreement will mean lower prices for Americans as well. Because of high U.S. tariffs used to protect American textile manufacturers, Americans currently pay a high price for Mexican textiles, particularly clothing. Some of these tariffs reach as high as 45 to 50 percent. American consumers could profit significantly from an agreement that would eliminate these tariffs, while Mexican exporters would gain new opportunities to sell their products in the United States. Free trade with the United States could help spur Mexico toward prosperity. After seven years of restrictive policies, excessive borrowing, and economic stagnation, Mexico has begun to liberalize its markets to promote economic growth. Some progress has been made towards recovery. Its economic growth, as a percent of gross domestic product, is up from 1.1 percent in 1988 to 3 percent in 1989, after adjusting for inflation. However, Mexico still has a long way to go. Americans have a stake in Mexico's economic recovery. U.S. exporters would benefit from a prosperous Mexico because it would enable Mexicans to purchase U.S. products. And, since the Mexican population is large and will continue to grow, its citizens could provide U.S. exporters with a vast market for their products. It is estimated that by the year 2000, Mexico's population could reach as high as 100 million. Furthermore, by creating a stable environment for investment, an agreement would put Mexico on the road to financing its $80 billion international debt. This is of significant importance to U.S. banks that hold almost one-third of Mexico's commercial debt. With all these benefits in mind, it seems obvious that the United States should actively pursue an agreement with Mexico. However, no formal action has been taken. Some trade experts are reluctant to urge the U.S. government to act because they fear that bilateral agreements will undermine efforts in multilateral trade talks. However, it is undetermined, at best, as to whether this argument is true. What is clear is that free trade agreements produce tangible benefits. Our agreement with Canada is evidence of this. Moreover, it is quite possible that bilateral agreements can actually promote multilateral trade liberalization. In fact, Jeffrey Schott, an economist at the Institute for International Economics, has noted that trade guidelines set by our agreement with Canada "were regarded as useful precedents" in recent multilateral trade negotiations. Not only can bilateral agreements serve as useful precedents, they can induce other nations to liberalize their trade laws. For example, if U.S. and European governments agreed to remove all trade barriers on automobiles exported between them, Japanese automobile industries would be placed at a considerable competitive disadvantage in U.S. and European markets. As a result, the Japanese government might find it worthwhile to negotiate the elimination of its barriers in return for equal treatment. The United States already has implemented mutually advantageous agreements with Israel and Canada. Our agreement with Israel has been deemed a success and the U.S.-Canada Free Trade Agreement, which was implemented in January 1989, has already received praises. A free trade agreement with Mexico would certainly be another step in the right direction. Notable Quotables MW MEDIA from MediaWatch® RESEARCH CENTER A bi-weekly compilation of the latest outrageous, 111 S. Columbus St. sometimes humorous, quotes in the liberal media. Alexandria, Va. 22314 (703) 683-9733 Subscriptions: $19/year THE LINDA ELLERBEE AWARDS FOR DISTINGUISHED REPORTING The Best Notable Quotables of 1990 December 24, 1990 (Vol. Three; No. 26) The Award Judges: Brent Baker, Editor of Notable Quotables William Kling, former Chicago Tribune political reporter L. Brent Bozell III, Publisher of Notable Quotables Rush Limbaugh, radio talk show host, Excellence in Broad- Priscilla Buckley, Senior Editor of National Review casting network Mona Charen, syndicated columnist and former Marlin Maddoux, talk show host, USA Radio Network speechwriter for Ronald Reagan Patrick McGuigan, Chief editorial writer, Daily Oklahoman Robert Conrad, actor William Murchison, Dallas Morning News columnist John Corry, Boston University visiting lecturer, Broadcast- Marvin Olasky, Associate Professor of journalism at the and Film; former New York Times television critic University of Texas Mark Davis, talk show host, WRC Radio, Washington, D.C. Burton Yale Pines, Vice President, the Heritage Foundation Midge Decter, Executive Director, Committee for the Free Mike Rosen, talk show host, KOA Radio in Denver World William Rusher, Claremont Institute Senior Fellow; former Terry Eastland, Resident Scholar, Ethics and Public Policy Publisher of National Review Center; American Spectator "Presswatch" columnist Marc Ryan, Waterbury Republican American editorial writer John Fund, Wall Street Journal editorial writer Ted J. Smith III, Associate Professor of Mass Communications Tim Graham, Editor of Notable Quotables at Virginia Commonwealth University Dan Griswold, editorial page editor of the Colorado R. Emmett Tyrrell Jr., Editor of The American Spectator Springs Gazette Telegraph Dick Williams, Atlanta Journal columnist Cliff Kincaid, talk show host, News Talk Radio Network The Media Research Center (MRC) asked a group of 26 media observers to choose the winners from quotes provided by the MRC in 20 award categories. First under each award heading is the winner, fol- lowed in order by the top runners-up. Notable Quotables thanks the judges for determining the most out- rageous and/or humorous utterances from the media over the past year. (Please see page 8 for information on how to obtain additional copies.) Bring Back the Iron Curtain Award "This is Marlboro country, southeastern Poland, a place where the transition from communism to capitalism is making more people more miserable every day No lines at the shops now, but plenty at some of the first unemployment centers in a part of the world where socialism used to guarantee everybody a job." -- CBS News reporter Bert Quint on the April 11 CBS Evening News. Runners-Up: "Communism is being swept away, but so too is the social safety net it provided Factories, previously kept alive only by edicts from Warsaw, are closing their doors, while institutions new to the East, soup kitchens and unemployment centers are opening theirs Here are the ones who may profit from Poland's economic freedom. A few slick locals, but mostly Americans, Japanese, and other foreigners out to cash in on a new source of cheap labor." -- Reporter Bert Quint on CBS This Morning, May 9. "These refugees have been told little about the realities of life in the West, including the fact that some people sleep on the street They will soon learn that jobs are hard to find, consumer goods expensive, rela- tives in Albania will be missed. Many refugees, according to experts, will suffer from depression, and in some cases, drug abuse." -- ABC's Mike Lee on what's facing fleeing Albanians, July 14 World News Tonight. Kevin Phillips Tax Fairness Award "(C)ountless liberal analysts over the last five years have documented time and again how Reaganomics delivered a feast to the greedheads and starvation to the poor (The Gilded Age and The Roaring Twenties) were marked by the same kinds of excesses as the 1980s gross concentrations of wealth in the hands of a tiny privileged elite, achieved primarily by deliberate Republican policies that left most Americans behind while debt, greed, and conspicuous consumption soared out of control." -- Robert Rankin, national economics correspondent for Knight-Ridder Newspapers, in the July 22 Philadelphia In- quirer. Runners-Up: "For ten years Ronald Reagan taught us there was a free lunch. Folks, he said, we're going to cut your taxes and we're going to spend like there's no tomorrow and you don't have to pay for it. Folks, we're now paying for it and it's bitter medicine we're going to have to raise taxes to get some sort of fairness here For ten years the great wizard sold us that idea, that we could grow our way out of the deficits and we bought it, and we didn't." -- Sam Donaldson on This Week with David Brinkley, October 7. "The tax package hammered out last weekend continues a Washington policy established in the Reagan era: It takes a heavy bite out of the paychecks of working-class Americans." -- Beginning of front page story by Boston Globe reporter Charles Stein, October 2. Bring Back the Gas Lines Award < "We have allowed this country to be held hostage by an industry that produces a product vital to our national interests. This makes about as much sense as having the military services or the nation's water supply controlled by private corporations In the long run, what would make the most sense would be to nationalize the oil industry to protect the economy." -- Washington Post columnist Judy Mann, August 8. Runner-Up: "The hottest new proposal was a broad-based tax on sources of energy gasoline, oil, natural gas, and nuclear power. In all, it would raise about $20 billion. Everybody seemed to agree it was a good idea except, of course, the transportation lobby." Unbylined box in Newsweek, July 16. Damn Those Conservatives Award "If you're miffed because the Cold War's over, Ceaucescu's dead, the Sandinistas lost the election in Nicaragua and it seems like here's no one around to hate any more, then maybe The Hunt for Red October is just the thing This is a Reagan youth's wet dream of underwater ballistics and East-West conflict." -- Washington Post film critic Desson Howe in the "Weekend" section, March 2. Runners-Up: "In a year that has had some of the dirtiest, the sleaziest, the most misleading ads ever, it's hard to pick the very worst, but here are a couple that the experts chose. North Carolina's Jesse Helms, who battled a black opponent, last week overtly introduced the most divisive issue of the contest, race The truth is Gantt supported the vetoed civil rights bill which he argued specifically warned against quotas." -- ABC reporter Jackie Judd on Nightline, November 6. "What Helms has done is taken the words 'North Carolina values' a beautiful phrase that evokes the small-town, good-hearted sense of place that one feels when one travels the state and redefined them as the values belonging to a certain group of North Carolinians, mostly white, mostly male, mostly unhap- py with the changes of the last 30 years. To Helms and his supporters, 'North Carolina values' seems to trans- late into a status quo view of the world in which blacks, women, and poor people know their stations in society." -- Reporter Juan Williams in The Washington Post Magazine, October 28. "Are you not also in danger of people looking at the Republican Party after this whole experience, and saying, 'Oh, now we do know what they stand for that's different. They stand for helping the rich and at the same time, the President's talking about vetoing the civil rights bill, so helping the rich and white guys?" -- ABC and NPR reporter Cokie Roberts to Richard Darman, October 21 This Week with David Brinkley. -- page Paul Ehrlich Ecological Panic Award > "If nothing is done to reverse ozone damage, scientists predict hundreds of millions of skin cancer cases in the U.S. alone, not to mention increased global warming that would turn much of the planet into a desert." Reporter Mark Phillips on the January 16 CBS Evening News. Runners-Up: "The missteps, poor efforts and setbacks brought on by the Reagan years have made this a more sober Earth Day. The task seems larger now." Today co-host Bryant Gumbel, April 20. "Clean air and water, pure food and natural beauty, which most Californians were all for a few months ago, have been made to seem a radical and expensive idea that has to be rejected at the polls on Tues- day. The stakes are very high in California because environmentalists know that if the Big Green initiative happens to pass there, the idea of cleaning up the air and water could spread like wildfire to all the other states. The forces opposing it know that too." Charles Kuralt on America Tonight, October 31. Good Morning Morons Award - "We would like to believe the State of the Union address is a time when the President tells the American people the way it is. But no one really wants to hear that, so the President keeps reality down to a mini- mum. The President was remarkably upbeat for a man who runs a country with a monstrous national debt, huge balance of trade problems, a crumbling infrastructure, dirty air, countless homeless people, a coast- to-coast drug epidemic, and a faltering self-image." CBS This Morning co-host Harry Smith, February 2. Runners-Up: "The bottom line is more tax money is going to be needed. Just how much will be the primary issue on the agenda when Congressional leaders meet with the President later today, Wednesday, May the 9th, 1990. And good morning, welcome to Today. It's a Wednesday morning, a day when the budget picture, frankly, seems gloomier than ever. It now seems the time has come to pay the fiddler for our costly dance of the Reagan years." - Bryant Gumbel opening NBC's Today, May 9. Bob Squier, Democratic Strategist: "I think that it was a game of chicken. I think what you had was Gingrich, who is supposed to be part of the leadership, leading people literally out of the deal." Bryant Gumbel: "Acting irresponsibly." Gumbel:" Is this the legacy of Ronald Reagan politics, I mean, feel-good politics of the '80s, no-respon- sibility politics of the '80s?" Roger Ailes, Republican Strategist: "I think that's a misnomer... Gumbel: "But weren't the '80s about spending what we didn't have? And that was Ronald Reagan." -- Exchanges on Today, October 5. Most Honest Confession Award "There is no such thing as objective reporting I've become even more crafty about finding the voices to say the things I think are true. That's my subversive mission." -- Boston Globe environmental reporter Dianne Dumanoski at an Utne Reader symposium May 17-20. Quoted by Micah Morrison in the July American Spectator. Runners-Up: "I think that when abortion opponents complain about a bias in newsrooms against their cause, they're absolutely right." "Opposing abortion, in the eyes of most journalists. is not a legitimate, civilized position in our society." -- Boston Globe legal reporter Ethan Bronner in Los Angeles Times reporter David Shaw's series on abortion coverage, July 1. "After seeing our footage, she told us that Frontline doesn't co-produce anti-communist programs." -- Cinematographer Nestor Almendros on a Frontline producer's reaction to his anti-Castro documentary Nobody Listened, quoted by Don Kowet in the August 8 Washington Times. -- page 3-- Gorbasm Award* < "Gorbachev has probably moved more quickly than any person in the history of the world. Moving faster than Jesus Christ did. America is always lagging six months behind I think we can get by easily with a $75 billion military budget. Those bombers and all of this stuff is an absolute waste of money and a joke." -- Ted Turner, "TV chieftain with an outspoken conscience," celebrated in the January 22 Time. Runners-Up: "The supreme leader of an atheistic state was baptized as a child. Now, in a sense, Gorbachev means to accomplish the salvation of an entire society that has gone astray Much more than that, Gorbachev is a visionary enacting a range of complex and sometimes contradictory roles. He is simultaneously the communist Pope and the Soviet Martin Luther, the apparatchik as Magellan and McLuhan. The Man of the Decade is a global navigator." Time Senior Writer Lance Morrow, January 1. "He has, as many great leaders have, impressive eyes There's a kind of laser-beam stare, a forced quality, you get from Gorbachev that does not come across as something peaceful within himself. It's the look of a kind of human volcano, or he'd probably like to describe it as a human nuclear energy plant." -- Dan Rather on Mikhail Gorbachev, quoted in the May 10 Seattle Times. # With thanks to Rush Limbaugh Thurgood Marshall Judicial Reporting Award - "Supreme Court nominee David Souter wants the world to stop viewing him as a nerd. Senate Democrats want to know if, instead, Souter is a neanderthal a mean-spirited conservative bent on wreck- ing constitutional protections for women, minorities, and accused criminals." -- Beginning of September 13 USA Today cover story by legal reporter Tony Mauro. Runners-Up: "Chief Justice Rehnquist had the kind of image problems that might be expected of a jurist who habitually rejected constitutional equality for women, approved the execution of allegedly insane prisoners without a hearing, denied constitutional equality to aliens and bastards, asserted that the public did not have a constitutional right to attend court trials, said prisoners had no rights to practice religious freedom, and spoke warmly of the legendary Isaac ('Hanging Judge') Parker, who cheerfully ordered eighty-five executions." -- Former CBS News law reporter Fred Graham in his book Happy Talk. "Senator Simon, is there any doubt in your mind that (Souter's) views pretty well parallel those of John Sununu's which means he's anti-abortion or anti-women's rights, whichever way you want to put it?" -- Dan Rather on the CBS Evening News, July 23. Jim Florio Tax Advocacy Award - "The overall tax burden for Americans, local, state and federal, is actually quite low The fact is Americans could pay more taxes and the country wouldn't go down the tube. Taxpayers don't believe this because they are being conned by the politicians. The truth is that the United States needs higher taxes and can afford them. Some political leaders are now starting to say that, but until more say it, the country will remain in trouble." Commentator John Chancellor on the NBC Nightly News, April 17. Runners-Up: "The fact is that most government spending cannot be cut. The way out of the mess is for the govern- ment to raise some money through taxes and at last that's being done. And there's encouraging news in the returns from yesterday's elections. Six states from Massachusetts to California rejected measures designed to limit taxation. Can it be that the great tax revolt of the 1980s is coming to an end? If true, maybe the country can get on with the business of balancing its books in a sensible and logical way." -- John Chancellor on NBC Nightly News, November 7. "(Except) for capital gains, it is certain the President won't mention the T word, and yet taxes are very much at the heart of what all our potential solutions are. How long can both sides pretend that a hike's not needed?" Bryant Gumbel on Today, January 31. page 4 - Media Hero Award/Abroad "Ortega's defeat is something American Presidents had sought for ten years. Yet Ortega's statesman- like acceptance of the voters' decision has prompted some in Washington to call the Sandinista leader a champion of democracy." Today co-host Deborah Norville before interview with Daniel Ortega, April 24. "We talked to one observer who told us that if he were awarding the Nobel Prize, he would nominate Mikhail Gorbachev and Daniel Ortega. What do you think of that?" one of Norville's questions to Ortega. Runners-Up: "Fidel (Castro) touched this young machine adjuster, and the man enjoyed a mild ecstasy. I know the feeling." Institute for Policy Studies Senior Fellow Saul Landau in his pro-Castro documentary The Uncom- promising Revolution, aired along with Nobody Listened on PBS August 8. "Mandela leaves as a principled man, with all but the dullards understanding why he would embrace the Palestinians, whose children are being killed and family homes bulldozed in Israel just as black families' are in Soweto Moreover, if Mandela is a terrorist as conservatives have called him he would fit right in with U.S. patriots such as George Washington, Patrick Henry, Nat Turner, and Harriet Tubman. If it had not been for those terrorists, what would we have to wave our flags about on the Fourth of July?" -- USA Today Inquiry Editor Barbara Reynolds, June 29. Media Hero Award/At Home < "The problem for Florio is that, as history has shown, when you step up and are a leader, people often don't like you. And it can take a long time, even centuries, for history to look back and say that was a good guy I think that Florio will go down as the first, I hope not the last, brave man of the '80s and '90s." Wash- ington Post "Outlook" editor Jodie Allen on N.J. Governor who raised income taxes, July 29 Money Politics. Runners-Up: "Let Ronald Reagan ride off into the sunset untroubled by fleeting memories of astrologers, smoke- and-mirrors budget arithmetic, and arms-for-hostages swaps. Dwell instead on those political tall timbers still standing, the heirs of Jefferson, Madison, and Lincoln Only Jesse Jackson, still an acquired taste for most white Americans, can strike the kind of inspirational pose that one could imagine being immortalized in granite." -- Time Senior Writer Walter Shapiro in the September GQ. "(Justice William Brennan) loved the flag clearly, and the Constitution, too Maybe the way to remem- ber Brennan's years on the Court is with some words he spoke to another Georgetown University event back in 1979. 'The quest for freedom, dignity, and the rights of man will never end,' he said. The quest, though always old, is never old, like the poor old woman in Yeats' play. 'Did you see an old woman going down the path?' asked Bridget. 'I did not,' replied Patrick, who had come into the house just after the old woman had left it. 'But I saw a young girl and she had the walk of a queen.' William Brennan loved and served two young girls who walked like queens - his country, and its highest court." Conclusion to story by reporter Bruce Morton on the July 21 CBS Evening News. Dewey Defeats Truman Award - "Polls won't close here for another thirty minutes, but the widespread belief that the Sandinistas will prevail has shifted thinking far beyond the ballot box. The topic of the day is: how will a freely elected San- dinista government be treated by the United States?" NBC's Ed Rabel in Nicaragua, Feb. 25 Nightly News. Runners-Up: "The election observers say the Bush Administration may have itself to blame for Daniel Ortega's rise in popularity among the voters. The reason, they say, is the U.S. military invasion in Panama. That was a move that was widely denounced here in Nicaragua. It was a close race until the U.S. invaded." NBC reporter Ed Rabel four days before Nicaragua election, February 21 Nightly News. "For the Bush Administration and the Reagan Administration before it, the (ABC News-Washington Post) poll hints at a simple truth: after years of trying to get rid of the Sandinistas, there is not much to show for their efforts." Peter Jennings five days before vote, World News Tonight, February 20. -- page 5-- The Real Reagan Legacy Award "It will take 100 years to get the government back into place after Reagan. He hurt people: the dis- abled, women, nursing mothers, the homeless." -- White House reporter Sarah McClendon in USA Today, Feb. 16. Runners-Up: "Now the lessons of Iran-Contra are also clear. We have learned this: that a President who lies to Con- gress and to the people will feel free to joke about it. A Vice President who lies to Congress and to the people will be elected President. A White House aide who lies to Congress and to the people will be hailed as a hero until the time for a reckoning comes An administration, in short, that lies to Congress and to the people is the accepted order of things. And a Constitution designed to prevent exactly that order is a mere scrap of paper." -- PBS' Bill Moyers writing in the January 1990 issue of the Progressive. "Okay, Democrats are certainly not without blame. But I believe the S&L crisis lands right at the Republican door. It was the magic of the marketplace that took off the regulations Oh, Ronald Reagan and the magic of the marketplace was the theme of the '80s. Greed in this country is associated with Ronald Reagan." -- Newsweek reporter Eleanor Clift on Face the Nation, July 29. Which Way Is It? Domestic Affairs "When inflation is taken into account, it adds up to a cut in defense spending, and that's the first time in a long time that has happened." -- Bob Schieffer on the January 27 CBS Evening News. VS. "It's easily overlooked, but the fact is, that in real terms, the defense budget has been going down every year since 1985. -- CBS News Pentagon correspondent David Martin on Nightwatch, January 31. Runners-Up: "If there's anything that we heard out there at the polls today, it was the sound of Reaganomics crash- ing all around us. If there's anything left of Reagan's trickle-down theory, Dan, it seems to be anxiety which seems to be trickling down through just about every segment of our society." -- Ed Bradley during CBS News election night coverage, November 6. VS. "We have a lot of turnovers where Republican Governors raised taxes and they have been turned out." -- Lesley Stahl, also during CBS election coverage. Spending, Spending and income VS. Income, rose slightly in Aug. Orders Fall -- Philadelphia Inquirer, September 27 -- Washington Post, same day Joe Isuzu Foreign Correspondent Award "But they (young people) are the healthiest and most educated young people in Cuba's history. For that many of them say they have Castro and his socialist revolution to thank if they long for the sweep- ing changes occurring in Eastern Europe, they are not saying so publicly To the extent he can, Castro has been rewarding young people. For example, on their return home (from Angola), the 300,000 Cubans sent to Africa were first in line for housing, jobs, and education. Such benevolence breeds dedication, some young people say." -- NBC reporter Ed Rabel, April 1 Nightly News. Runners-Up: "It's almost impossible for most Americans to understand a government organization that monitors everything, that has tentacles reaching into all aspects of Soviet life. But keep in mind the KGB is like a combination of the CIA, the FBI, of the National Security Agency, the Secret Service, and the Coast Guard, too. From Lenin to Stalin to Gorbachev, its members have been a proud corps of the national elite, intel- ligent, talented, and fully in control. The officers of the KGB, in fact, decided reform was necessary long before Gorbachev came to power." -- Diane Sawyer on ABC's Prime Time Live, August 2. -- page 6-- "But Ortega, an irritant to Carter, became an obsession to Reagan, who saw him as an instrument of Moscow. The Contra rebels were the blunt instrument in Ronald Reagan's attack on Daniel Ortega. Reagan's dogged support for the Contras forever marked and ultimately scarred his foreign policy Many of the Contras were former members of the Nicaraguan National Guard, Somoza's enforcers. They were brutal, often inept It has been one of the longest and most traumatic chapters in U.S. history in Latin America, and tonight it seems to be ending, and ending in a way Ronald Reagan never could have imagined." -- NBC reporter John Dancy the day after Nicaragua's election, February 26 Nightly News. Gennadi Gerasimov Newspeak Award "Free at last, the temptation is to exercise all that freedom fully, quickly and sometimes unwisely. Often, it means biting the hand that freed and fed you. Lithuania is the latest and most ludicrous ex- ample There is little more logic to Lithuania being permitted to unilaterally and unlawfully declare its in- dependence from the USSR than there would be for Texas to secede from the USA. Both were grabbed during a war. But both owe much to their modern-day mother country. Gorby has a right to feel livid about Lithuania. The way you might feel about a runaway child, tempted to beat him within an inch of his life." -- USA Today founder AI Neuharth in an April 20 column. Runners-Up: "Yes, somehow, Soviet citizens are freer these days: freer to kill one another, freer to hate Jews, freer to express themselves But doing away with totalitarianism and adding a dash of democracy seems an unlikely cure for what ails the Soviet system." -- CBS This Morning co-host Harry Smith, February 9. "Many Soviets viewing the current chaos and nationalist unrest under Gorbachev look back almost longingly to the era of brutal order under Stalin." -- Mike Wallace on 60 Minutes, February 11. "Soviet people have become accustomed to security if nothing else. Life isn't good here, but people don't go hungry, homeless; a job has always been guaranteed. Now all socialist bets are off. A market economy looms, and the social contract that has held Soviet society together for 72 years no longer ap- plies. The people seem baffled, disappointed, let down. Many don't like the prospect of their nation be- coming just another capitalist machine." -- CNN Moscow reporter Steve Hurst on PrimeNews, May 24. Which Way Is It? Foreign Affairs > "Attempting to defect will no longer be a severely punishable offense, but will be known as 'border trespass,' subject only to a minor penalty. And the death penalty, now applied to 34 offenses, will be retained only for those that involve direct 'betrayal' of the communist state and the social order." -- Chris- tian Science Monitor correspondent Eric Bourne, September 12. VS. "A reminder from Eastern Europe today that not all has changed. In Albania today, border guards shot and killed a four-year-old girl when they opened fire on a group of Albanians trying to cross into Yugos- lavia. Albania is the last of the totalitarian states in Eastern Europe." -- Peter Jennings on World News Tonight, same day. Runners-Up: Black Nationalist Urges Continued Armed Struggle vs. Mandela Poised to Take Role of Conciliator -- Washington Post front page, February 12 -- same newspaper front page, same day Moscow protesters call Ryzhkov urged to resign for Gorbachev to quit VS. at pro-Gorbachev rally -- Boston Herald, September 17 -- Boston Globe, same day -- page 7 Award for the Silliest Analysis "The reporters (at Capital News) work for a shining institution, basically the last uncorrupted institution you can find. Hospitals are corrupt. Judges are corrupt. Everybody in the world is corrupt. But our newspapers are essentially a monument to idealism." Former Washington Post editor Christian Williams, Executive Producer of ABC's short-lived series Capital News, April 9 Newark Star Ledger. Runners-Up: "In many ways, in outlook and behavior the U.S. has begun to act like a primitive warrior culture. We seem to believe that leadership is expressed, in no small part, by a willingness to cause the deaths of others Our collective fantasies center on mayhem, cruelty, and violent death. Loving images of the human body -- especially of bodies seeking pleasure or expressing love inspire us with the urge to cen- sor." Time essayist Barbara Ehrenreich, October 15. "It used to be that the United States was number one, dominant So right now, we are fast losing our position as number one, Connie Yes, we're no longer dominant, we're no longer the number one nation, Connie so we are no longer that number one, dominant nation. That's the big change here now." CBS economics reporter Ray Brady on the Evening News, July 8. Quote of the Year < "Few tears will be shed over the demise of the East German army, but what about East Germany's eighty symphony orchestras, bound to lose some subsidies, or the whole East German system, which covered everyone in a security blanket from day care to health care, from housing to education? Some people are beginning to express, if ever so slightly, nostalgia for that Berlin Wall." -- CBS reporter Bob Simon on the March 16 Evening News. Runners-Up: "The 'balanced' report, in some cases, may no longer be the most effective, or even the most infor- mative. Indeed, it can be debilitating. Can we afford to wait for our audience to come to its own con- clusions? I think not." Teya Ryan, Senior Producer of Turner Broadcasting's CNN-produced Network Earth series, in the Summer 1990 Gannett Center Journal. "Modern man has reached the point where his demands for space are ravaging the planet, and wiping out other life forms in the process. Stanford biologist Paul Ehrlich is back with more of his series 'Assignment Earth,' and this morning he begins with a report on how man is destroying the entire ecological system with something that appears to be completely harmless." -- Deborah Norville introducing Paul Ehrlich's report on cows, January 9 Today. "Congress changed the Soviet Constitution to permit limited private ownership of small factories, al- though laws remain against exploitation of everyone else." -- NBC Moscow reporter Bob Abernethy on Nightly News, March 13. Nothing To Do With the Media, But We Couldn't Resist "I wish I'd done this before I'd run for President. It would've given me insight into the anxiety any in- dependent businessman or farmer must have Now I've had to meet a payroll every week. I've got to pay the bank every month I've got to pay the state of Connecticut taxes It gives you a whole new perspec- tive on what other people worry about." Former Senator George McGovern on owning a Connecticut hotel, his first-ever business venture, in the March 1 Washington Post. -- L. Brent Bozell III, Publisher: Brent H. Baker, Tim Graham; Editors -- Callista Gould, Jim Heiser, Marian Kelley, Gerard Scimeca; Media Analysts Extra Copies/Subscriptions. Columnists, editorial writers and talk show hosts can instruct their readers or listeners to call 1-800-243-BIAS (243-2427) to receive this issue. A recorded message will tell callers to send $1.00 for each copy to: Media Research Center, Notable Quotables, 111 S. Columbus St., Alexandria, Va. 22314. For a 1 year subscription ($19) starting with this awards issue, callers may leave their credit card number and address on the tape. Interviews. Talk show hosts and producers who wish to arrange an interview to discuss these awards or to review the media's 1990 performance, should call Greg Mueller of Creative Response Concepts at (703) 683-5004. National Kemp's Blanket Crusade Journal THE WEEKLY ON POLITICS AND GOVERNMENT DEC. 9, 1989/NO. 49 ALL-PURPOSE POLITICAL L PHOLE How TAX-FREE DOLLARS GET INTO CAMPAIGNING AIG Issues Forum Whythe Europ "Freedom of Services" IS business he IF TWELVE NATIONS OF EUROPE CAN FUNCTION AS ONE BY 1992, WHY CAN'T 50 STATES DO THE SAME? There's something funny going on, although no one's laughing. Europeance Market As the countries of the European Economic Community behave more like a single market in 1992 and beyond, the 50 states here at home behave sometimes more like medieval fiefdoms. At AIG, we think it's time to talk about the problem, at least. And see what might be done to solve it. Now, before 1992 gets here. FREEDOM OF SERVICES BENEFITS THE CONSUMER. At the heart of the transformation of the European Common Market is Twelve different European countries will eventually have one set of standards. something called "freedom of services." This means companies established to services at lower cost to consumers. do business under one Common Market MEANWHILE, BACK AT THE RANCH country will be able to do business in any other member country-a concept We don't have freedom of services here known as "mutual recognition"- at home. For example, each state, from without having to be established there. Maine to California, is still imposing The result is a more dynamic, compet- regulations piecemeal on the insurance itive and efficient marketplace with less industry, which is increasingly national bureaucracy. And better products and and international in scope. ean principle of important to American reathome. Today, before an insurer can deliver an consumer, to business, to America's insurance policy to a client who does economic well-being-we feel it's worth business, say, in 40 states, it takes a talking about. small truck to distribute all the Now, before 1992 gets here. paperwork brought about by regulatory WHY IS AIG RUNNING ADS LIKE THIS? redundancy among the various states. Which adds to the cost of doing AIG (American International Group) is business. And to the price consumers the largest underwriter of commercial and ultimately pay for goods and services. industrial insurance in America, and the THERE'S GOT TO BE A BETTER WAY. leading U.S.-based international insurer. The nature of our business means we What's needed, it seems to us, is deal every day with issues affecting the something along the lines of what's trans- future of the world economy. piring in Europe. We believe it's essential to start a It is clearly in the consumers' interest to dialogue with people like yourself to continue regulation of auto and home- help our nation compete more owners insurance on a state-by-state basis. effectively. For commercial and industrial insur- Let your elected officials know what ance, however, where coverages often you think. Or let us know what you apply to risks across the country, why think. Write M.R. Greenberg, Chairman, not borrow from the European model AIG, 70 Pine Street, New York, NY 10270. and allow insurers to conduct business nationwide according to the laws of their home state? This type of regulatory reform isn't something that's going to happen overnight. But given the benefits-to the AIG World leaders in insurance and financial services. editions Nobody Brews The News Like Morning Edition. If the daily roll call of di- and features on science and Edition side of bed. Before sasters is getting a little stale, the arts. long, you won't want to start take a fresh approach to the And with Morning Edi- your day any other way. news with Morning Edition tion, you'll get the morning from National Public Radio. news with things you won't Morning Edition is a stim- find anywhere else on the morning ulating blend of the day's dial intelligence, depth, edition R most important stories, news and whimsy. analysis, sports, business, So get up on the Morning Drink It In .This Is Radio News The Way It's Meant To Be Brewed. Check local listings for your public radio station or call NPR at (202) 822-2323. National Public Radio®News INSIDE WASHINGTON Anthony on the Rebound? Rep. Beryl F. Anthony Jr., D-Ark., has won some unexpected plaudits. House Majority Leader Richard A. Gephardt, D-Mo., praised Antho- ny's performance as head of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and said that "it would be good" if he stayed on as chair- man. Anthony had said that this would be his last term at the campaign committee. Earlier this year, when Anthony was being criticized for the committee's shaky finances and for his own political missteps, sources close to Gephardt said that their boss shared those views. Cue the Justice! Supreme Court Associate Justice Antonin Scalia and C-SPAN are back on the same wavelength. Scalia had asked the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research to bar C-SPAN cameras from his Dec. 6 lecture. But C-SPAN's director of programming, Terry Mur- phy, wrote a letter to AEI president Christopher C. DeMuth protesting Scalia's decision. After talking with DeMuth, Scalia relented, allowing the airing of the Francis Boyer lecture on, of all things, the press and the courts. Earlier this year, Scalia had barred TV cameras from an Oct. 24 speech in Ohio. Lobbyists' Long Memories Controversy over now-repealed medicare catastrophic coverage contin- AARP ues to haunt the American Association of Retired Persons. The group, which had supported the coverage, was caught off guard by the volume of protests from, among others, higher-income retired Americans that prompted Congress to junk the program. Now corporate lobbyists battling the AARP on an unrelated matter-age discrimination in employee benefits-are invoking the incident to argue that the group is out of touch with the interests of its members. Targeting Campaign Spending Although the odds are still running against them, House supporters of a bipartisan campaign finance reform bill plan one more push next spring. Among the major obstacles they face is the fact that most Democrats favor placing a spending limit on candidates, a restriction opposed by Republicans. If the bipartisan approach falters, House Democrats may put forward a partisan plan keyed to spending ceilings; party polling indicates that voters are much more exercised about the over-all amount of money spent on congressional campaigns than the source of the candidates' cash. Quayle Hunting (Cont.) Vice President Dan Quayle's efforts to avoid ridicule are meeting with little success. The Capitol Steps, a Washington comedy troupe, has released a Christmas album called "Danny's First Noel." And a Bridgeport (Conn.) couple-Democrats with no journalistic or political experience-starts publication in January of the Quayle Quarterly, a political-satire newsletter. "Our purpose is to make people laugh but also to make them think," said Deborah Werksman, one of the publish- ers. Separately, Quayle's so-so standing in many polls prompts Republi- can insiders to wonder if President Bush's pledge to keep Quayle on the 1992 ticket will be the final word. NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 2977 National Journal President and Publisher: John Fox Sullivan Editor: Richard S. Frank Executive Editor: Michael Wright Managing Editors: Richard Corrigan, Charles S. Clark Production Editor: Greta G. Waller Assistant Managing Editor: Jake Welch Art Director: Karol A. Keane Associate Art Director: Phyllis L. Maringer PHOLE Picture Editor: Richard A. Bloom Chief Copy Editor: Jo Anne Moncrief Associate Editors: Deborah A. Birnbaum, David L. Wilson Associate Picture Editor: John Eisele Assistant Production Editor: Laurie Joachim Production Assistant: Everett O. Lee 2980 Staff Correspondents: James A. Barnes, Richard E. Cohen, Lawrence J. Haas, Dick Reports Kirschten, Julie Kosterlitz, Margaret E. Kriz, Christopher Madison, Carol Matlack, W. John Moore, David C. Morrison, Burt POLITICS 2980 Solomon, Rochelle L. Stanfield, Paul Starobin, Bruce Stokes, Kirk Victor ALL-PURPOSE LOOPHOLE West Coast Correspondent: Ronald Brownstein Some organizations that run on tax-deductible dollars have been used for Contributing Editors: Dom Bonafede, political purposes, a practice that if not illegal, comes close to skirting the Robert Guskind, Jerry Hagstrom, Neal R. Peirce, Jonathan Rauch, William Schneider, intent of the tax code's provisions for tax-exempt groups. Carol F. Steinbach Richard E. Cohen and Carol Matlack Contributing Photographer: Shepard Sherbell Vice President, Publishing: Steve Hull ENVIRONMENT 2989 Vice President, Advertising: Linda H. Cheeseman AHEAD OF THE FEDS Associate Publisher: Eleanor Evans State governments have been filling the void left by the cutback of federal Advertising Services Manager: Isobel Ellis Advertising Sales: Susan Beninati, environmental controls under the Reagan Administration. As a result, Jane Dees, Mary Thoms, Erica Van Dyk worried industries are pressing for uniform federal standards. Administrative Assistant: Cathy Newson Margaret E. Kriz Marketing Director: Charles Post Circulation Director: Gene D. Sittenfeld Circulation Manager: Janie D. Blackman HOUSING Fulfillment Manager: Denise Westray 2994 Director of Library Services: Rose Pool KEMP'S CRUSADE Library Assistant: Judith Proctor Vice President, Finance: Grace Geisinger Housing and Urban Development Secretary Jack F. Kemp is trying to National Journal (ISSN 0360-4217). Published weekly, turn his beleaguered department into the focal point for a new war on except for the last week in August and the last week in December, by National Journal Inc., 1730 M St. NW, poverty, and the Bush Administration has endorsed many of his ideas. Washington, D.C., 20036. Telephone (202) 857-1400. For Carol E Steinbach subscription service, (800) 444-4078. Available by sub- scription only at $624 per year, including semiannual indexes. Subscriptions of three copies per week to gov- ernment personnel are $624. Academic and public library rate $416; faculty and student rate $99. Foreign subscrip- BUDGET 2999 tions add $149 per year for postage and handling; foreign orders must be prepaid. Binders are $30 for a set of two, prepaid. Second-class postage paid at Washington, D.C. SECURITY BLANKET Pre-press services: Applied Graphics Technologies. Print- ing: McArdle Printing Co. Postmaster: Send address Applying the huge social security surpluses to the budget's annual deficit changes to Circulation Department, National Journal, 1730 M St. NW, Washington, D.C., 20036. calculations masks the size of the deficit, according to numerous experts, ©1989 by National Journal Inc. All rights reserved. and blocks economically useful, long-term investment. Reproduction in whole or part without permission is strictly prohibited. Lawrence J. Haas A Times Mirror Company BPA Cover photo: Richard A. Bloom WARSAW P 00000 WARSAW PACT 1000000 2989 3003 3020 Washington Update MOVING TOWARD GORBACHEV3003 STATE OF THE STATES 3007 The Malta summit was the culmination of President An ecological activist in Vermont has been pressing the Bush's step-by-step move toward close support of Soviet Bush Administration to make community recreation President Mikhail S. Gorbachev. paths one of its famous 1,000 points of light. David C. Morrison Neal R. Peirce GOLDSCHMIDT'S LAMENT 3004 WHITE HOUSE NOTEBOOK 3008 Oregon Gov. Neil E. Goldschmidt, while criticizing The U.S.-Soviet summit meeting in Malta showcased President Bush, also complains in an interview about the President Bush's diplomatic skills but didn't do much to direction taken by his fellow Democrats. put "the vision thing" to rest. Dick Kirschten Burt Solomon IN PERSON 3006 INSIDE POLITICS 3011 With the Soviet Union such a hot topic in the press of President Bush's euphoria about the Malta summit has late, it's no surprise that Sovietologist Dimitri K. Simes been tempered by caution. In that, he may be attuned to has been on television so often. the mood of the American public. Rochelle L. Stanfield Jack W. Germond and Jules Witcover Focuses Departments 3020 3012 OPENING THE SKIES PEOPLE Washington's movers and shakers There was much scoffing when President Bush revived President Eisenhower's "Open Skies" idea. But there could be a treaty by this time next year. 3015 David C. Morrison OPINION OUTLOOK Views on national security 3021 3016 BUDGETSPEAK THE NUMBERS GAME Data on government payrolls Never mind reality. When Congress and the White House agree that progress 3017 is being made on the budget front, the facts don't count for much. INFOFILE Lawrence J. Haas Studies, surveys and books 3022 3018 AT A GLANCE PROSECUTOR POWER Weekly checklist of major issues There are hints that times may be changing for U.S. Attorneys. Courts are 3026 looking harder at the power prosecutors have acquired in recent years. POLITICAL PULSE W. John Moore Schneider on politics and the public POLITICAL REPORT All-Purpose Loophole Some politicians and political activists have been using tax-exempt organizations to finance their activities. That comes close to skirting the tax code's intent. BY RICHARD E. COHEN tesy of a new group that runs on tax- do is to get the information to any people AND CAROL MATLACK deductible dollars. interested in redistricting," said Robert E. The attorneys who organized the Freer Jr., a Washington lawyer who is L ast year, the Republican National group, Lawyers for the Republic Inc., founder and chairman of the group. Committee (RNC) figured it needed have served in high-level Republican So far, however, Republicans are far to spend at least $1 million on the massive posts and received à $50,000 start-up loan more familiar with the services promised task of organizing election data before the from the RNC. But they emphasize that by Freer's operation than Democrats are. states prepare their redistricting maps in their organization is autonomous and "We expect to use the data," said Thomas 1991. Now, the GOP plans to get some of nonpartisan, as required for tax-exempt B. Hofeller, director of redistricting and that politically valuable data free-cour- status by the tax law. "All we are trying to list development at the National Republi- can Congressional Committee. "There have already been discussions." Freer has participated in meetings with Republicans on redistricting strategy but has not attended any such Democratic sessions. His initial efforts were chiefly with the GOP because, he said, "I didn't know many Democrats. I'm involved with the Republican network." He wrote to Democratic National Committee (DNC) chairman Ronald H. Brown on Nov. 14, inviting Democrats to use his services, but the invitation was rebuffed. A DNC aide called it "a disguise for overtly Republican schemes" and said Brown will not cooperate. (For more on redistricting, see box, p. 2986.) Welcome to the world of tax-exempt organizations, the all-purpose loophole for politicians and other citizens trying to save dollars and cut corners. It is an in- dustry filled with many meritorious orga- nizations but one in which enforcement is often lax and creative lawyers and ac- countants can find new ways to merge charity with politics. Republicans aren't the only ones who've discovered this loophole. During the 1988 election, Senate Majority Whip Alan Cranston, D-Calif., helped to set up and raise millions of dollars for tax-ex- Richard A. Bloom empt groups to encourage voters to regis- ter, chiefly in low-income neighborhoods in California. Some workers in the voter registration effort have said it was under- Democratic National Committee chairman Ronald H. Brown stood that their job was to register Demo- He won't cooperate in what an aide called "overtly Republican schemes." crats, but Cranston aides said that this 2980 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 would have been against the organiza- try: The number of tions' policy. religious, chari- The Cranston groups have recently table and educa- been the focus of special attention because tional groups- $850,000 came from savings and loan ex- known collectively ecutive Charles H. Keating Jr., who has as 501(c)(3) orga- been accused of showering money on nizations after the Cranston and four other Senators so that section of the tax they would, in turn, help him win favor- code that governs able treatment from federal regulators. their tax-exempt The FBI is reportedly investigating. (See status-has in- box, p. 2983.) creased more than Although tax laws flatly prohibit the 50 per cent in the use of tax-deductible contributions for past decade to partisan political activity, such money is 432,700. (Roughly often used to lay the groundwork for po- 400,000 other litical campaigns. Five candidates in the organizations, in- 1988 presidential contest had tax-exempt cluding a wide groups, ostensibly doing research and range of interest educational activities, in the months pre- groups and trade ceding their campaigns. In contrast with and professional the candidates' campaign funds, these associations, are groups could receive unlimited, tax-de- also tax-exempt. ductible sums from contributors, and they Unlike 501(c)(3) were not required to disclose a penny. groups, however, One of the groups, founded by Republi- their donors can- can candidate Marion G. (Pat) Robert- not take a tax de- son, was accused of spending tax-deduct- duction.) ible dollars to recruit convention dele- But Congress gates. (See box, p. 2985.) pays scant atten- John Eisele Further impetus to the spread of tax- tion to this pool of exempt groups took place in mid-Novem- money and how it IRS exempt organizations specialist Marcus S. Owens ber right under the Capitol dome, when is spent. The issue Open political activity's "a surefire way to get examined.' lawmakers approved a potentially huge was taken off the loophole in their pay raise-ethics package. table during the wide-ranging overhaul ing the House's impeachment investiga- By accepting an eventual ban on hono- that led to the 1986 Tax Reform Act. tion of President Nixon. One of the Judi- raria, Members of Congress agreed to All tax-exempt groups with annual rev- ciary Committee's three impeachment stop pocketing this money from interest enues of more than $25,000 are required articles charged that Nixon sought in- groups. But they added a new wrinkle. In to file annual returns, and the IRS says formation from tax returns in violation of the future, interest groups can continue to that because of the effective federal sub- constitutional rights. donate money to a Member's favorite sidy they enjoy, tax-exempts are about If tax-exempt groups have become the charity, so long as the charity is sanc- twice as likely to be audited as are individ- ultimate sacred cow, the result has been tioned as tax-exempt by the Internal Rev- uals and businesses. Overt political activ- widely accepted as legitimate policy be- enue Service (IRS). ity "is a surefire way to get examined if cause many of these institutions undeni- According to a House aide who helped you're an exempt organization," said ably serve the public interest. Who, after to draft the provision, honoraria to chari- Marcus S. Owens, executive assistant in all, wants to tax the revenues of the home- ties will irresistibly become a booming in- the IRS exempt organizations technical town church, university, Red Cross chap- dustry. Members will receive a clear po- division. Still, many organizations don't ter or Girl Scout troop? A problem, how- litical benefit by taking credit for the publicize their activities. And each year, ever, is that not all groups to which the donation-and will be ensnared in the only 2.5 per cent of exempt groups are IRS has granted the preferred tax status same conflict-of-interest problems posed audited. appear so obviously charitable. by honoraria. The opportunity is revealed Pressure occasionally surfaces for One of the worst abuses was revealed in by a National Journal review of Members' tougher enforcement actions against tax- 1987, when conservative fund raiser Carl 1988 financial disclosure forms, which exempt groups, said Sheldon S. Cohen, (Spitz) Channell pleaded guilty to illegal showed that 51 Senators and 146 House the IRS commissioner from 1965-69 who use of tax-deductible contributions to help Members were founders, officers or direc- is a tax attorney with the Washington of- finance the Nicaraguan contras and to tors of tax-exempt organizations. fice of the Philadelphia law firm of Mor- run advertisements against Democratic gan, Lewis and Bockius. "But it dies be- SACRED COW House Members who had voted against cause there are not enough revenues to contra aid. That incident led to enactment Many of Washington's rules do not ap- make it worthwhile for the commis- of a limited set of reforms later that year. ply to the tax-exempt organizations. At a sioner," he said. "As Willie Sutton said, Rep. J.J. Pickle, D-Texas, who chairs the time when the government is scratching you go where the money is. It's a vi- Ways and Means Oversight Subcommit- for every available dollar, groups eligible cious circle. Principles come into play tee, which prepared the legislation, had for tax-deductible donations receive that are never reexamined." been a Channell target. roughly $50 billion annually in contribu- Adding to the status quo inertia are Most tax-exempt groups, both in tions that the donors claim as deductions long-standing fears that the IRS could be Washington and across the nation, are so from their income-tax payments. used to punish political opponents and obscure or so seemingly public-spirited And tax-exempts are a growth indus- reward allies. Such charges surfaced dur- that they attract attention only on the rare NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 2981 When Are Nonpolitical Ads Political? In seven congressional districts across the country this fall, William W. Hamilton Jr., the director of the federation's residents have opened their newspapers to advertisements Washington office, said. blasting the anti-abortion voting records of their local Hamilton says the ads are not intended to affect the 1990 House Member. elections. "We're not interested in [the Members'] election "It's time we went out of our way to let him know that his or defeat," he said. The ads are "to clarify to their actions threaten the health and privacy of American women constitutents how these Members are voting." An early and don't represent the people of this area," the ads say. draft of one ad concluded with a warning to the local Mem- "Tell him not to do it again." ber that "We'll turn our backs on him if he does it again." An independent campaign by a political committee? No, But that wording was changed to "Tell him not to do it the ads were paid for with tax-deductible contributions to again," Hamilton said, because the earlier version sounded the Planned Parenthood Federation of America Inc. and its "too electoral." The group will stop running the ads when local affiliates. The ads appeared in the districts of Reps. the campaign season gets under way next year, he said. Robert K. Dornan, R-Calif., Thomas J. Tauke, R-Iowa, Still, the ads have caused consternation, particularly in David E. Bonior, D-Mich., Minnesota Republicans Arlan the office of Tauke, who is running for the Senate next year Stangeland and Vin Weber and Minnesota Democrats against Sen. Tom Harkin, D-Iowa. Tauke is considering James L. Oberstar and Timothy J. Penny. Each lawmaker's whether to lodge a complaint with the Internal Revenue name and photo are prominently displayed in the ad. Service (IRS) or the Federal Election Commission. Planned Parenthood plans to run similar ads against two or Under federal law, private organizations have virtual three other House Members whom it hasn't chosen yet, carte blanche to run independent advertisements for or against candidates in presidential and congressional cam- paigns. But such ads cannot be financed with tax-deductible contributions, and all money raised or spent for such efforts must be disclosed to the commission. Groups such as Planned Parenthood that accept tax- deductible donations are flatly barred from engaging in such advertising. Traditionally, however, the IRS has tended to give such groups the benefit of the doubt when questions arise. In 1984, a liberal Washington-based group, the Youth Project, aired a series of radio and television spots in 12 media markets around the time of the debates between President Reagan and Walter F. Mondale. The ads, known collectively as the Peace Media Project, criticized heavy U.S. spending on defense, especially the Strategic Defense Initiative. One of the TV ads, showing children on a play- ground, urged viewers to "join the debate. Our future de- For women, abortion is a tough decision. pends on it." Another said: "Think about it when you vote this November. America can change course." Bob Nicklas, deputy director of the group, now called Partnership for Democracy, said the ads weren't intended For Bob Dornan, it was a snap. to help Mondale and were consistent with the group's mis- sion "to conduct charitable and educational activities that Twice this year, our Congressman went our of Most others in Congress aren't doctors or Congressman Dornan: his way to endanger the lives and privacy of women either. But unlike our Congressman, Whatever your personal feelings about abortion, you are of benefit to low and moderate-income people." women all across America. In February. he per- they chose to respect the majority view of were elected represent the of us. don't want sonally asked the Supreme Court to overturn Americans that abortion must remain private the Supreme Court overturn Roes Wade We want Congress te keep and legal, for After a lengthy investigation, the IRS agreed. In a memo- Roe Wade, the case that made abortion safe decision, free of government interference. American women including the poor who are victims and legal in all fifty states. More recently, he Our Congressman went out of his way to urge of rape or incest. voted against federal Medicaid help for victims the Court to make abortion dangerous and il- randum issued last May, the IRS said that it was "trouble- of rape or incest too poor to afford their OWD legal again. For every woman. No matter what NAME healthcare. the circumstances. He has failed to support some" that the ads were timed to coincide with the Reagan- family planning programs that help reduce the ADDRESS Our Congressman is not doctor. So he probably doesn't know thousands of women need for abortions. And he turned his back on Mondale debates and that "the candidate closely identified CITY STATE zir were maimed and killed in bloody back-alleys women who are poor and need Medicaid help before the Supreme Court upheld safe and legal because of rape or incest. with the message of the ads is Walter Mondale." But be- abortion in 1973. It's time we went out of our way to let him Nor he woman. And maybe that's why he know that his actions threaten the health and finds so easy to dismiss the deep concern and privacy of American women and don't represent Planned Parenthood cause neither Mondale nor Reagan was named in the ads, the people of this area. Federation of America & outrage most women feel when politicians Tell him not to do it again. Orange San Bernardino Counties the IRS said, "we reluctantly conclude [that the group] decide to make headlines out of such intensely 1801 Broadway Santa Ana CA 92706 personal and private decisions. Please mail the coupon. probably did not intervene in a political campaign on behalf These ads have been running in seven House districts. of or in opposition to a candidate for public office." occasions when one of them generates home districts of seven House Members, ruled that television and radio spots aired controversy. But a growing roster of these attacking their anti-abortion voting by a tax-exempt antiwar group during the groups have financed advertising, semi- records. Although the federation insists last weeks of the 1984 presidential cam- nars or other activities that skate close to that the ads are purely educational, they paign did not constitute partisan political the edge of political activity. have all the sophistication of a campaign activity because, though the ads appeared In recent weeks, for example, the appeal. (See box, this page.) to support Walter F. Mondale's candi- Planned Parenthood Federation of Amer- The IRS, however, has been reluctant dacy, they did not mention his name. And ica Inc. has run advertisements in the to clamp down. Last May, the agency courts have generally barred private citi- 2982 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 Raising Money to Register More Voters The decision by Sen. Alan Cranston, D-Calif., to devote substantial time and resources to a massive voter registra- tion effort in California during the 1988 campaign probably won't be remembered for its impact on the election. For one thing, Democratic presidential nominee Michael S. Dukakis lost the state, although his 48 per cent share of the vote was greater than he had been expected to win. And more recently, public attention has focused on the fact that $850,000 of the more than $7 million that Cranston raised for the voter registration campaign came from embattled thrift executive Charles H. Keating Jr., whose dealings with Cranston and four other Senators have prompted a Senate ethics inquiry. (See NJ, 12/2/89, p. 2955.) But Cranston's efforts have revived interest in an activity that has caused debate in political circles. A web of tax- exempt groups for which Cranston raised those millions in 1988 produced several hundred thousand new registered voters, most of them from low-income groups that vote Richard A. Bloom mostly Democratic but do not turn out in large numbers. The New York Times reported that the FBI has begun an Sen. Alan Cranston, D-Calif. investigation of Cranston and these tax-exempt groups, Was his 1988 voter registration campaign partisan? chiefly the Center for Participation in Democracy. Kim Cranston, the Senator's son who was the center's Several newspaper stories about the Cranston-led efforts president and has been active in California Democratic poli- in 1988 reported that some of the voter registration workers tics, would not confirm the dollar amount, but he spoke were overtly partisan. "We had 450 employees, and I'm not proudly of the campaign's results. "This was not an organi- surprised there were some disgruntled employees," Kim zation to elect Democrats," he said. "We were registering Cranston said. "I'm not aware of any partisanship." people to vote. It's a real problem in our democracy when The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) conducted a thor- half the people don't vote." ough 10-month review in 1986-87 of Project Vote, a na- Whatever the success of Sen. Cranston's efforts, the Cali- tional voter registration campaign that enrolled more than fornia campaign was clearly built upon some lessons 500,000 potential voters in 13 states during 1984. The IRS learned from earlier national voter registration activities. concluded that the organization, although it failed to pro- These campaigns have typically generated millions of dol- vide some requested information, complied with the non- lars in support from both major parties and can be critical in partisan requirements of its tax-exempt status. The IRS close contests. In 1984, however, several foundations at- "said that there were no violations," Sandy Newman, direc- tempted to use their tax-free assets to increase turnout by tor of the Washington-based group, said. "Most groups in targeted groups and thus increase the Democratic vote in this field worry about not crossing the line because we know the presidential election, according to election experts. that we can be closed down." About 85 foundations contributed more than $7 million Project Vote, like the Cranston voter registration cam- to nonpartisan voter registration activities in that year, ac- paign, has increasingly concentrated its efforts on minor- cording to Curtis B. Gans, director of the Washington- ities-a recommendation that Gans had made after 1984. based Committee for the Study of the American Electorate. But Project Vote maintains a permanent office, while the But much of that money, he said, was not used effectively center, according to Kim Cranston, has significantly scaled because of a lack of high-quality leadership and consistent back its plans for the 1990 election. community activity. "The effort failed not only for Demo- Congress, meanwhile, is scheduled to consider legislation crats but also from the view of voter turnout," Gans said. next year that may lead to cutbacks in voter registration Even more troubling, his detailed analysis concluded, is activities by private groups. The House Administration that the efforts demonstrated the need for greater oversight Committee, with bipartisan support, has reported a bill to prevent "violation of partisan guidelines" that tax-ex- (HR 2190) that would automatically register voters when empt groups must respect. Although Gans was not specific, they receive their driver's licenses. "This bill would put he said the goal of some foundation officials was to increase registration law issues to rest for two generations," Gans the Democratic vote. said. zens and groups from challenging an and is one of the few Washington report- peddling with donors, an issue raised by organization's tax-exempt status unless ers who monitors the tax-exempts. the Cranston-Keating case. they can prove that they have suffered harm as a result. UNANSWERED QUESTIONS The commingling of public and private money is another concern. Under House "The IRS doesn't want to open the When Members of Congress establish and Senate rules, Members cannot use door because there is a monster on the their own tax-exempt organizations, a private funds to subsidize performance of other side," said Ed Zuckerman, who host of other questions arise. For one their official duties. Nor can they use their publishes a newsletter, PACs & Lobbies, thing, there's the possibility of influence- office budgets for unofficial purposes. But NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 2983 have probably generated the most public interest in the tax-exempt sector. During hearings in 1987, Pickle's subcommittee reviewed the IRS's procedures for classifying well-known church groups such as those headed by Robertson, Jerry Falwell and Jimmy Swaggart. Subse- quently, the Justice Department success- fully brought its criminal case against evangelist minister Jim Bakker. When he was IRS commissioner in the late 1960s, Cohen recalled, he revoked the tax-exempt status of a comparable group headed by evangelist Billy James Hargis, after concluding that its activities did not qualify it as a church group. "That was the last time that a religious group lost an exemption," Cohen said. Richard A. Bloom More recently, some liberal 501(c)(3) groups attracted IRS scrutiny in 1987 for their work that year in opposition to the Supreme Court nomination of Robert H. Tax lawyer and former IRS commissioner Sheldon S. Cohen Bork. An initial IRS review concluded There aren't enough revenues to justify an IRS crackdown on tax-exempts. that there was no substantial difference between attempting to influence legisla- some Members' tax-exempt groups are so activities-an arrangement that is widely tion-the traditional definition of lobby- closely intertwined with their congres- accepted on Capitol Hill. ing-and attempting to influence Senate sional offices that it's hard to tell whether The two groups have been dormant for votes on judicial nominations. But a large the rules are being heeded. the past few years and are now being shut coalition of exempt groups, ranging from Gregg W. Waddell, a former aide to down. But arguably, they achieved a pur- the American Civil Liberties Union to the Rep. Newt Gingrich, R-Ga., said that pose: Gingrich, a relatively junior Mem- Heritage Foundation, protested loudly, during the time he was employed in Ging- ber, is now House minority whip, the and the case was eventually closed with- rich's House office, he also worked as an chamber's second-ranking Republican. out action. unpaid volunteer for the American Like many other parts of the tax law, Opportunity Foundation, a 501(c)(3) the rules covering tax-exempt organiza- BIPARTISAN COVER group that Gingrich founded in 1984 to tions are anything but simple. Bruce R. The bipartisan silence has been encour- promote conservative policies. (Simulta- Hopkins, a lawyer with the Washington aged on the legislative front because of the neously, Gingrich set up a separate group, law firm of Baker and Hostetler, told the complexity of the tax-exempt issues and American Opportunity, that could engage Ways and Means Committee in 1987 that because so many members of both parties in lobbying but could not accept tax-de- "there really are probably 50 or 60 or 70 benefit from the services of such groups. ductible contributions.) different types of tax-exempt organiza- "It's the issue from hell for the Ways and The Gingrich organizations, which tions" listed in section 501(c). The re- Means Committee," a committee aide sponsored a series of seminars and meet- quirements for each category often leave said. "It never goes away." Although the ings around the country in 1984 and 1985, considerable room for interpretation. political wings of each party rigorously had no full-time staffs, although a local Those in the biggest category, monitor each other's tax-exempt activi- lawyer kept their records at his offices. 501(c)(3), in theory operate under the ties, the results have essentially left cur- Waddell, now a graduate student at Duke strictest rules. They cannot engage in di- rent practices unchallenged. University, said that his volunteer work rect or indirect political campaign activi- In 1985, for example, a handful of for the groups was done only during ties or in what the code calls "substantial" Washington lobbyists who were active lunch hours, evenings and weekends. But lobbying. Groups in a second category, Democrats organized the National Legis- he said that the groups' plans and activi- 501(c)(4), are exempt from paying federal lative Educational Foundation, a ties were regularly discussed in the con- income taxes but do not qualify for tax- 501(c)(4) group whose best-known activ- gressional office. "Newt might think of a deductible contributions; they can engage ity was to finance the House Democrats' project he wanted to undertake, and if we in lobbying and in some political activity annual weekend conclave at the Green- decided that the proper means was not in so long as political action is not the princi- brier resort in West Virginia. In return for the congressional office," the project pal purpose. Many Washington interest donating $5,000-$10,000 apiece, the lob- would be assigned to one of the two groups are in this category, and 501(c)(3) byists gained the right to hobnob with the groups, Waddell said. The groups were groups often set up companion 501(c)(4) lawmakers. House Republicans decided "basically just a vehicle for him to do organizations to carry out their lobbying that their best response was flattery, not things, to give him some financial re- and political work. Tax-deductible con- challenge; with the help of a group of Re- sources to travel, to make speeches, that tributions cannot be transferred from a publican-leaning lobbyists, they have or- he couldn't use his congressional money 501(c)(3) to a 501(c)(4), however. The ganized similar retreats at various sites for." other major tax-exempt players in Wash- outside Washington. Dan Swillinger, a Washington lawyer ington are in the 501(c)(6) category, When the Ways and Means Committee who oversees the Gingrich organizations' chiefly trade associations. They operate took action in 1987 to remedy several finances, likened the arrangement to a under the same restrictions on lobbying problems in this area, it focused on rela- Member's using official funds for some and political activity as do 501(c)(4)s. tively tangential issues such as disclosure activities and campaign funds for other The activities of television evangelists of officers and budgets by the tax-ex- 2984 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 Save $70 on National Journal New Subscribers Only Special Introductory Offer! Check One: Check or Credit Card Bill Me One Year (50 issues) $554 (Save $70!) $624 (D.C. residents add 6% sales tax.) 6 Months (25 issues) $277 (Save $35!) $312 Payment enclosed Charge my: Visa MasterCard American Express Bill me Account number Exp. date Signature Date National Name Title Organization Journal Business phone Address What the Leaders Read. City, State, Zip 1730 M Street, NW Washington, DC 20036 Please check the one box which best describes the field in which you work: Federal Government: Foreign Government Media Executive Office of the President Business & Industry, including Law, Think Tank, Research Organization, Educational Cabinet Dept. or Federal Agency Medicine, Consulting, etc. Institution Congress Trade Union, Professional Association, Library (academic or public) State or Local Government Political Organization, or Interest Group Other: For faster service, call TOLL-FREE: 1-800-444-4078. (In D.C., call 857-1422.) NO POSTAGE NECESSARY IF MAILED IN THE UNITED STATES BUSINESS REPLY MAIL FIRST CLASS MAIL PERMIT NO. 10574 WASHINGTON, D.C. POSTAGE WILL BE PAID BY ADDRESSEE NATIONAL JOURNAL, INC. 1730 M Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20077-6368 Tax-Free Candidate Endorsements It wasn't the letter that bothered some of Marion G. (Pat) Robertson's critics. It was the letterhead. Soon after his June 1986 delegate sweep at the Michigan Republican Convention, Robertson crowed in a mailing to supporters: "The Christians have won! We educated, trained, motivated and outnumbered the delegate appli- cants registered through the efforts of both Vice President George Bush and U.S. Congressman Jack Kemp com- bined!" What bothered the critics was that the letter was sent on the stationery of the Freedom Council, a Robertson- founded group that was supported by tax-deductible con- tributions and was not supposed to endorse or oppose can- didates. Robertson shut down the Freedom Council later that year, but not before the group had attracted a deluge of complaints about alleged violations of its tax-exempt status. Most of the complaints focused on its activities in Michi- gan, where prospective presidential candidates were court- ing state Republican convention delegates who would later select Michigan's Republican National Convention dele- gates. Although Freedom Council officials insisted that their group was nonpartisan, in the weeks before the state convention it sponsored several rallies at which Robertson was the only political candidate. It also sponsored a joint fund-raising event with Robertson's political action com- mittee. Moreover, reporters who obtained tax returns of Robert- son's Christian Broadcasting Network (CBN)-itself a tax- exempt organization that qualified for tax-deductible con- Richard A. Bloom tributions-showed that CBN had provided most of the Freedom Council's financing. 1988 presidential hopeful Marion G. (Pat) Robertson Robertson's was probably the most controversial, but it His tax-exempt group may have aided his campaign. was not the only tax-exempt organization operated by a presidential contender in 1988. Kemp and Democrats campaign as issues director and deputy issues director. The Bruce E. Babbitt, Gary Hart and Sen. Paul Simon of Illinois group later underwent an IRS audit and was given a clean also had tax-exempt groups-all qualifying for tax-deduct- bill of health, Maddy said. Hart's and Simon's groups also ible contributions-ostensibly formed to research policy were closed after their candidacies began. matters or educate the public. (Two other candidates, Sen. Robertson's Freedom Council was closed in October Robert Dole, R-Kan., and Democrat Jesse Jackson, also 1986, but concerns linger. Former officials of the group say had set up tax-exempt groups, but neither appeared to be that the IRS has been investigating its records, although the involved in matters of national policy or politics. Dole's IRS will neither confirm nor deny such an investigation. group encourages employment of the disabled, and Jack- In the meantime, Robertson has created yet another tax- son's Operation PUSH focuses on civil rights and the edu- exempt group. Early last month, he sent a mailing announc- cation of minority students.) ing the formation of the Christian Coalition, a group that he Kemp abruptly resigned from his organization, the Fund said would "force America to face the moral issues that for an American Renaissance, in 1986 after a candidate for threaten to destroy us." The coalition "won't endorse any, Kemp's House seat in upstate New York complained to the candidates or political parties-but we will speak out on Internal Revenue Service (IRS) that the tax-exempt group issues-and we'll make sure candidates for office at every was paying for many of Kemp's political activities. level know how we stand-and how we'll vote," the letter But the others attracted little controversy. Typical was said. "We'll organize chapters in every state, every congres- Babbitt's group, American Horizons. Established in 1985, sional district and, God willing, every precinct in America." shortly before Babbitt left the Arizona governor's office, at The letter's return address was a post office box in Chesa- its peak it employed a staff of 10 who cranked out reports on peake, Va., home of CBN, but CBN officials said they had issues ranging from welfare reform to foreign policy. Jim no information on the group. They referred questions to Maddy, who served as the group's director and is now Robertson, who was not available for comment. The Chris- executive director of the League of Conservation Voters, tian Coalition literature describes the group as tax-exempt said that when American Horizons was set up, he had no under section 501(c)(4) of the tax code, which means that it idea that Babbitt might run for President. American Hori- can engage in some lobbying and political activities but that zons closed up shop as soon as Babbitt announced his candi- political activities cannot be its primary purpose and that dacy in 1987, but two staff members joined the Babbitt contributions will not be tax-deductible. NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 2985 For the Republic or for the Republicans? plans to provide them with extensive redistricting data; no such session was held for Democrats. Freer said his group plans to raise $4 million-$5 million in tax-deductible donations during the next two years. But the group has no staff, and Freer conducts the project's work out of the Washington office of the New York City law firm of Patterson, Belknap, Webb & Tyler, where he is a partner. An important early source of the organization's funds was a $50,000 loan from the RNC, Freer said. Republican officials have also given verbal encourage- ment to Freer's group. "I've talked with Freer about what they do, and we decided that their work is consistent with our goal of full participation in redistricting," said Benja- min Ginsberg, who became RNC chief counsel this year. "If somebody thinks that allowing minority groups to gain strength in Congress and state legislatures is perceived as pro-Republican, I think that's great." He said the RNC has provided "technical assistance" to Freer's' group. Mary Matalin, the RNC's chief of staff, said she was not aware of the $50,000 loan. She noted that the RNC's 1990 budget includes $1 million for "data collection" but that if it is cheaper to obtain redistricting data elsewhere, "it would be silly not to take advantage of it." A well-placed Republican source said several RNC offi- cials "encouraged Freer's ideas at an early point" and John Eisele helped him to organize the RNLA. "They are looking for a device to use tax-deductible money in an innovative way to benefit the Republican Party," the source said. One of Lawyers for the Republic chairman Robert E. Freer Jr. Freer's first efforts was a contract with a direct-mail subsid- He says that his intentions were purely nonpartisan. iary of R.R. Donnelly, the giant printing company, to pro- vide recent election data on a precinct level. Robert E. Freer Jr. said his intentions were purely nonparti- Freer insisted that "you can have a legitimate tax-exempt san when he filed an application in 1988 with the Internal group that may support one party disproportionately. That Revenue Service (IRS) to gain tax-exempt status for Law- doesn't make it any less worthy as a research group." yers for the Republic Inc., a group he had organized. But Some Democrats said they have little reason to cooperate some aspects of the group's operations suggest that it should with Freer, if only because in most states, the party already be called Lawyers for the Republicans. has the political data he is compiling. "We have done a After receiving the IRS's approval, Freer decided that his better job at developing precinct data over the years than first large project would be "Fairness for the '90s," whose have the Republicans," said Mark H. Gersh, Washington main objective is to provide data to anyone who wants to get director of the National Committee for an Effective Con- involved in the highly political art of redistricting. "We gress, a political action committee (PAC) that works closely want to allow the NAACP to play with the big boys," said with Democrats. A Democratic consultant said that if the Freer, who explained that one of the project's objectives is GOP has to rely on data obtained by Freer's group, "that to help minority groups become involved in redistricting. would be the greatest thing for us since sliced bread." Republicans insist the redistricting project operates sepa- Republicans acknowledged early this year that because of rately from the party. But several things don't quite add up, past budget shortfalls, the party needed to spend money to not least of which is that many political insiders consider improve its political data. "Whenever you had to cut areas "nonpartisan redistricting" to be an oxymoron. in the [RNC] budget, this has been one of the areas that has Freer has impeccable Republican credentials. He been cut," said Rep. William M. Thomas of California, co- founded the Republican National Lawyers Association chairman of the House Republican leadership task force on (RNLA) and was chairman of Lawyers for Reagan-Bush in reapportionment. One way to raise the money, he said, 1984. Serving on the board of Lawyers for the Republic, would be to "set up a nonpartisan foundation." with Freer, are Robert J. Horn (who chairs the RNLA) and For their part, Democratic leaders are curious, but they Dan Swillinger, Washington lawyers with strong Republi- have-said that they know little about Freer and his group. can connections, and Morris I. Liebman, a Chicago lawyer. "There is no problem with a tax-exempt group interested in At the RNLA's second annual convention on Nov. 17- redistricting," said Rep. Beryl F. Anthony Jr. of Arkansas, 18, Freer joined three top Republican National Committee chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign (RNC) aides and a former Reagan Justice Department offi- Committee. "So long as the group counsels all parties, I cial in a two-hour panel on redistricting. At this summer's have no quarrel. But if it is thinly veiled in a partisan sense convention of the National Conference of State Legisla- to get a tax-exempt status, it's not too late for the IRS to tures, national Republican officials told party legislators of review it. I promise I'll monitor it closely." 2986 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 empts. The panel left more-basic issues route for their regular campaign contribu- states, but none is affiliated with a Mem- untouched. tors. Senate Minority Leader Robert ber. Congress also addressed in that law the Dole, R-Kan., in recent years has been And the University of Utah has solic- growing. trend of presidential candidates' promoting the Dole Foundation, which ited more than $1.7 million in tax-deduct- creating tax-exempt groups. It agreed to helps disabled individuals to find employ- ible contributions for its Garn Institute of impose stricter limits on tax-deductible ment. Ellen S. Miller, the director of the Finance, named after Sen. Jake Garn, R- money used for political activity. A key nonpartisan Center for Responsive Poli- Utah, ranking minority member of the solution was a 10 per cent excise tax, not tics, which has studied the activities of Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs to exceed $5,000, on offending cam- tax-exempt organizations affiliated with Committee. Garn Institute officials say paigns. A Washington tax lawyer, who politicians, said that she found "a remark- that the Senator does not directly solicit did not want to be named, said that this able overlap" in the list of contributors to contributions but has spoken at fund-rais- solution "may make it easier to abuse" the the foundation and to Dole's Senate cam- ing dinners-and virtually all the money law because it implicitly invites broad paign funds. given to the institute so far has come from abuses if the candidate is willing to pay The Cranston-Keating case is one of banking and savings and loan interests the fine. But the IRS's Owens noted that several in which relationships between under the Banking Committee's jurisdic- the law gave the agency new authority to Members of Congress and donors to tax- tion. crack down by obtaining injunctions exempt organizations have come under But tax-exempt groups, unlike PACs against groups that engage in flagrant ac- scrutiny recently. In July, The Washing- and campaign committees, aren't re- tivity on behalf of a candidate. ton Post disclosed that Rep. William L. quired to disclose their donors. That has The Democratic Congressional Cam- Dickinson, R-Ala., the ranking minority caused some grousing among PACs. paign Committee has kept a close eye on member of the Armed Services Commit- "We're out there naked for analysis, while the activities of Gingrich and has actively tee, had raised money from defense con- all this other stuff is going on," said Ste- publicized them. It also filed a Federal tractors to support the tax-exempt Insti- ven F. Stockmeyer, executive director of Election Commission (FEC) complaint in tute for the Common Defense, which is the National Association of Business October 1988 against Republican Mel run by Anthony S. Makris, a longtime PACs. Hancock during his campaign for an open friend and business partner. The institute As pressure grows to rein in campaign House seat in Missouri, saying he had im- has carried out few of its announced spending and outside income to Members properly accepted a campaign contribu- plans, which included opening a Wash- of Congress, the importance of well- tion from a taxpayers' watchdog group ington office and starting a political ac- placed charitable contributions is likely to under his control; 11 months later, and tion committee (PAC), but paid Makris at increase, too. "Right now, it's gotten to be after winning election, Hancock agreed to least $105,000 in 1988 and provided hon- such an overlay [between political and pay a $2,000 penalty to the FEC. oraria to several Members of Congress charitable giving] your contingency The National Republican Senatorial last year, The Post reported. Makris failed fund for nonprofit giving has to be as big Committee, for its part, conducted an ex- to return repeated telephone calls from as your PAC," said Jane Scott Brown, tensive review in 1987-88 of Citizen Ac- National Journal. who heads a Washington fund-raising tion, a liberal Chicago-based 501(c)(4) House Armed Services chairman Les firm. "Every nonprofit puts a Congress- group that has moved increasingly from Aspin, D-Wis., has established the Aspin man on their committee. That's the first the legislative arena to electoral politics. Procurement Institute, a Wisconsin-based thing I think of with a nonprofit client- At the instigation of Sen. Robert W. Kas- group that helps local small businesses se- how can I work in some political angle? ten Jr., R-Wis., the committee in June cure defense contracts. The group is fi- That's the name of the game in town." 1988 filed complaints with the IRS and nanced partly by business donations and the FEC. (See NJ, 6/11/88, p. 1550.) partly by a Defense Logistics Agency Research assistance by Gale Mitchell and There has been no response from those grant. Similar groups operate in other Tanya A. Zielinski agencies to the complaints; customarily the agencies do not report to the com- plainant or to the public until they have completed their inquiries. In the meantime, Kasten this year set up his own tax-exempt group. The Legis- lative Studies Institute brings college stu- dents and others interested in seeking jobs on Capitol Hill to Washington for four and a half months of training. Enrollees pay $1,500 tuition, but the institute ex- pects to raise $500,000 this year to subsi- dize its operations. Its staff consists of two former Kasten aides, and fund-raising is overseen by Herman Pirchner, a Wash- ington consultant who has raised money for Kasten and other GOP candidates. Pirchner declined to identify major do- nors to the institute, but said most of the money comes "from entities that have not given 2 cents to any Kasten campaign." ALTERNATIVE ROUTE Richard A. Bloom But for other politicians, a tax-exempt House Minority Whip Newt Gingrich, R-Ga. organization can become an alternative His tax-exempt groups paid when congressional funds couldn't be used, an aide said. NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 2987 Changing Suing Dictators National A, 1989/NO. under Company Changing Suing ational Dictators Company urnal Town Changing Suing Dictators Company ND GOVERNMENT FEB. 4, 1989/NO. 5 rnal UMOL THE WEEKLY ON POLITICS AND GOVERNMENT NMENT FEB. 4, 1989/NO. Judge Harold H. Greene dge Harold H. Greene The Bell Ringer nger d.H.Greene A Kinder, Gentler Subscription For government subscribers only As a government official, you know that JOURNAL gets it - without photocopying or NATIONAL JOURNAL is your most important suffering the uncertainties of a routing slip. source of nonpartisan information on the Now, every government subscriber can receive policy-making process, government-wide. two additional copies of NATIONAL JOURNAL Copies of NATIONAL JOURNAL are among the every week, as part of their basic subscription. most guarded, most sought-after publications To take advantage of this special in your office. National offer for government subscribers only, We want to make sure everyone or for more details, call toll-free, in government who needs NATIONAL Journal 1-800-444-4078. In D.C. call 857-1422. What the Leaders Read. ENVIRONMENTAL REPORT Ahead of the Feds States are seizing the initiative from Washington on a number of environmental policy fronts, causing worried industries to seek uniform federal standards. BY MARGARET E. KRIZ environmental laws being adopted by the control standards by adopting Califor- states. As more states enact such legisla- nia's tough emission control standards for A bout 100 chemical industry officials tion, they increasingly are setting the na- new automobiles. jammed into a small conference room tional environmental agenda. "That had a big impact on Congress," at the Washington Hilton last month for The states' machinery began to gear up which is in the process of rewriting the fresh-from-the-front reports on environ- when federal regulatory activity virtually 1970 Clean Air Act, said an aide to Rep. mentalists' latest maneuvers at the state ground to a halt under the Reagan Ad- Henry A. Waxman, D-Calif., chairman of level and industry's potential defenses ministration. The void left by the cutback the Energy and Commerce Subcommittee against them. of federal environmental controls was on Health and the Environment. "Cali- William P. Buckley, state and local filled by state governments, which re- fornia and the northeastern states are 20- government relations manager for East- sponded to mounting local concerns by 30 per cent of the auto market," the aide man Kodak Co. of Rochester, N.Y., ad- adopting an array of measures dealing said. "Once they went forward, it made it vised chemical firms to set up or beef up with groundwater pollution, pesticides, a lot easier to set the standard on the their state lobbying forces and to extend recycling, solid waste disposal and haz- federal level because industry's going to their campaigns into key trendsetting ardous waste transportation and disposal. have to meet the requirements in the states-California, Florida, Georgia, Illi- Some state actions are clearly defining other states anyway." nois, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New federal policy. A striking example came Other controls adopted by the states York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and this summer when eight New England are having an indirect impact on federal Texas-even if the companies don't have states effectively set national air pollution policy as states put pressure on the federal major facilities there. Ralph D. Murphine, a Washington po- litical consultant with Murphine & Walsh, suggested that the corporate offi- cials beat back state environmental ballot initiatives by enlisting sympathetic foot- soldiers, such as elderly stockholders, to carry the companies' message to the vot- ers in television advertisements. "The worst possible thing to do," Murphine said, "is to say, 'Hello, I'm with the chem- ical company, and I've come here to talk to you about toxic waste.' Geoffrey Hurwitz, director. of state government relations for Rohm and Haas Co., a Philadelphia-based chemical com- pany, warned that conflicting state regu- lations are causing "a legal vulcanization threat that, in the environmental arena, we ignore at our peril." Hurwitz added: "The reason Lincoln went to war was to keep the Union whole." The us-versus-them strategy session (part of a Chemical Manufacturers Asso- ciation conference titled "Committed to Global Concerns") was a sign of indus- try's increased concern about the blizzard of innovative and sometimes stringent States are enacting their own laws to clean up toxic wastes. NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 2989 Building Up Pressure at the Grass Roots the groups are beginning to work as an alliance to push national issues, with the long-term goal of activating their widespread memberships to create a national environmen- tal movement. "We're just beginning to see the first sprouts of a national movement here in this country," said C. Wil- liam Ryan, toxics policy specialist for the state Public Inter- est Research Groups. "Where it goes with the energy that's building will depend on the efforts to focus it and translate it into something political." Ben Gordon, Midwest toxics co- ordinator for Greenpeace Action, added: "Maybe we flatter ourselves, but we think this is the biggest thing since the civil rights movement." The five groups are: Public Interest Research Groups (PIRGs). This network of research and advocacy organizations began at the state level 20 years ago and has since expanded to more than 20 states. Five years ago, the state groups formed the U.S. Public Interest Research Group in Washington, which works on federal issues that correspond to issues the groups have pioneered at the state level. Members work on envi- ronmental, health and consumer matters; they helped get waste reduction laws in Massachusetts and Oregon. Clean Water Action Project. The 18-year-old environ- Richard A. Bloom mental lobbying group is made up of 26 programs across the nation. It centers on water pollution-related issues, such as cleaning up Chesapeake Bay, but is also actively pushing legislation covering ozone depletion, global warming and solid waste. The group's national office is in Washington. Clearinghouse executive director Lois M. Gibbs Citizens Clearinghouse for Hazardous Waste. Based in She had to leave her home in the Love Canal (N. Y.) area. Arlington, Va., the clearinghouse was formed by Gibbs in 1981 after she and her neighbors were evacuated from the Just as national environmental groups were instrumental in Love Canal chemical dump at Niagara Falls, N.Y. Now pushing Congress to adopt federal environmental laws in affiliated with about 7,000 grass-roots groups, the clearing- the 1970s, a small group of citizens coalitions has been house provides educational information, community or- involved in winning tough environmental controls on the ganizing help and scientific backup for citizens tackling state level in the 1980s. waste and waste-related pollution problems. In some cases, national environmental groups-notably National Toxics Campaign. Formed in 1984, the group the Sierra Club, the Natural Resources Defense Council grew out of a coalition of grass-roots activists pushing the Inc. and the Environmental Defense Fund-have worked reauthorization of the 1980 superfund law. The member- with grass-roots groups to push for new state laws. And ship includes community groups fighting the siting of solid some states have their own environmental organizations waste dumps, organizations of persons exposed to toxics that have championed specific legislation. and family farmers. Headquartered in Boston, it provides But nationwide, five groups stand out as the most locally educational, organizational, technical and legal assistance oriented-industry officials call them radical-wing of the to citizens groups in eight states. environmental movement. The groups have helped local Greenpeace Action. After years of being called on to help residents fight for water, pesticide and hazardous and solid local citizens groups battle chemical pollution, Greenpeace waste controls. "People have successfully beaten back land- International, based in Amsterdam, in February formed fill after landfill, not because there's any laws that prevent Greenpeace Action, a separate education and lobbying them from being built, but because they're opposed to it at group, to push for environmental legislation at the state and the local level," said Lois M. Gibbs, executive director of local levels. It plans to accelerate its environmental drives in the Citizens Clearinghouse for Hazardous Waste. Some of several targeted states next year. government to take similar action or as in an interview. Specifically, he said, the in scope and continue to do so," said industry goes to Congress in search of chemical industry would like to see uni- Frederick R. Anderson, dean of the uniform federal laws to replace the patch- form federal controls on such things as American University's Washington work of conflicting state requirements. hazardous waste transportation and dis- School of Law. "I'm arguing for a more assertive fed- posal. But Congress is less inclined than it has eral government in terms of preemption The worldwide trend is "toward more- been in the past to impose a uniform fed- issues and having the guts to say that in centralized approaches to environmental eral law on the states. In November, for certain areas, it make sense to have na- problems, in part because markets have example, Congress adopted oil spill liabil- tional environmental laws," Hurwitz said become more national and international ity and cleanup legislation that allows 2990 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 states to keep their stricter liability con- high level of toxic industrial air pollut- ambitious set of environmental control trols. (See NJ, 12/2/89, p. 2931.) ants. An alarmed Jefferson County laws. "The traditional government model Health Department appealed to local in- By the late 1970s, however, Congress was that if the states begin to legislate, dustries to cut production, in the hope had addressed the most visible environ- then the [industry] interests affected that reduced emissions would abate the mental concerns, and industry groups would scream "Uncle'-basically, they problem. But when five of the largest were becoming more adept at lobbying scream 'Uncle Sam,' said Sen. Joseph I. firms declined to take action, local offi- Congress. "Industry had gotten its act to- Lieberman, D-Conn., a former Connecti- cials turned to the federal Environmental gether by that time, and therefore you saw cut attorney general. "They'd say, 'OK, Protection Agency (EPA) for help. more laws requiring regulators to impose we're going to go as far as these states Within hours, EPA officials obtained a cost-benefit analyses" before the govern- have asked us, but please make it a na- temporary injunction-the first ever im- ment could take action against a company tional standard,' " he said. "Now, the posed under the Clean Air Act-halting or product, according to C. William pressure is not only to have a national production at the city's largest plants. A Ryan, toxics policy specialist for the state standard, but to allow states to go be- day later, after strong winds had swept Public Interest Research Groups, a coali- yond." The pace of state environmental the pollutants out of the area, the injunc- tion of state advocacy groups. action has picked up so fast that "the state tion was lifted. The Reagan years brought a new em- tail is wagging the federal dog," Lieber- This September, Alabama state officials phasis on federalism and drastic cuts in man added. took their own aggressive action against national spending for environmental pro- President Bush, who campaigned on a what some perceived was a major threat tection. Some policy makers in Washing- promise that he would be the Environ- to the state's environmental health. Gov. ton expected the states to follow the fed- mental President, has tried to take back Guy Hunt notified 22 states and the Dis- eral lead and reduce their regulatory the policy momentum from the states. His trict of Columbia that they could no burden on industry, said Blaine Liner, di- Administration, for example, developed longer ship their hazardous waste to an rector of the Urban Institute's state policy its own Clean Air Act amendments pack- Alabama commercial hazardous waste center. "There were those that felt that by age. The Administration also proposed landfill, one of the few still operating in giving all of this responsibility to the legislation that would allow dangerous the nation. The banned states were those states under devolution, the states agricultural chemicals to be taken off the that had no hazardous waste treatment or wouldn't do anything, and that would market more quickly, but also would al- disposal facilities. Alabama's action was have meant less government all around," low minute amounts of carcinogenic pes- spurred by local fears that the state was Liner said. "That didn't happen." ticides on food and would preempt state fast becoming the nation's toxic waste Instead, the states became the "labora- pesticide-residue standards. dump. tory of democracy" envisioned by former Bush's cautious approach hasn't taken The landfill owner, Chemical Waste Supreme Court Justice Louis D. Bran- away the lead from some state officials Management of Oak Brook, Ill., and the deis. During the 1980s, many states have who are pushing for tighter environmen- Washington-based National Solid Wastes taken increasingly bold steps in the name tal controls. Nor has it placated the ex- Management Association panding network of grass-roots environ- have filed suit in U.S. Dis- mental groups that advocate radical trict Court for the North- changes at state and local levels. (See box, ern District of Alabama p. 2990.) charging Alabama with vi- Politicians are beginning to recognize olating the interstate com- the power of the environmental vote, ac- merce clause of the U.S. cording to Lois M. Gibbs, executive direc- Constitution. tor of the Citizens Clearinghouse for Haz- "We think these provi- ardous Waste in Arlington, Va. "If you sions are blatantly uncon- look at the election in November, you see stitutional, but we also how people are making change," said think they are completely Gibbs, who gained fame for organizing contrary to public inter- her neighbors at the Love Canal (N.Y.) est," association president hazardous waste site. "The environment Allen Moore said. "We and women's issues are the top two issues think EPA ought to be the in this country. As a result of that, state ones leading the fight here. and federal legislators are going to be Superfund is a federal pro- passing laws that protect public health gram, and if you really and the environment. They don't have want to clean up these sites, any choice. It's either that, or they're go- you have to have some ing to have to sell used cars somewhere." place to take this hazard- As for industry's efforts to override lo- ous waste. There aren't cal environmental controls, Carl Pope, very many places." deputy conservation director of the Sierra The two scenarios show Club, said: "I think the tide in the Con- what a difference 18 years gress is definitely moving against federal has made in the environ- preemption of state environmental pro- mental protection arena. In grams. They can try, but I think they're the early 1970s, the focus whistling in the wind." was on Washington. Ener- TAKING THE INITIATIVE gized by the national envi- Richard A. Bloom ronmental movement, the On Nov. 18, 1971, a stagnant air mass federal government estab- Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman of Connecticut blanketed Birmingham, Ala., trapping a lished EPA and enacted an "The state tail is wagging the federal dog.' NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 2991 HOUSING REPORT Kemp's Crusade The Secretary wants to turn the Housing and Urban Development Department into an antipoverty agency, and the Bush Administration has bought many of his ideas. BY CAROL F. STEINBACH In keeping with Kemp's goal to refocus The package-Homeownership and HUD's mission, all but 2 of the 12 initia- Opportunity for People Everywhere J ack F. Kemp spent most of his first tives in the plan are targeted to the poor (HOPE)-is projected to cost $6.8 billion year as Housing and Urban Develop- or to the neighborhoods where they live. over three years. The total includes $4.2 ment (HUD) Department Secretary de- The major exception is a proposal to per- billion in direct spending and $2.6 billion fending his beleaguered agency and engi- mit first-time homebuyers to withdraw as in revenues lost to the Treasury because of neering deep management reforms. Now much as $10,000 from individual retire- the tax incentives. Kemp says the costs, he wants to make HUD the focal point for ment acccounts and similar retirement which would add to the federal deficit, launching a new national war on poverty plans, with no tax penalty, for down pay- would not be offset by reductions in other in the 1990s. ments on homes. federal housing programs. He contends Kemp seeks to turn HUD, under a Re- There are also proposed reforms of the that new revenues could be generated by a publican Administration, into an antipov- Federal Housing Administration (FHA), cut in federal capital gains taxes, a move erty agency serving a constituency that which suffered record-high default levels both he and Bush strongly endorse. Kemp his party has frequently been accused of in 1988. The Administration plan would also says the program could be financed overlooking: the poor. Kemp would like tighten FHA oversight, eliminate several through additional revenues that will ac- to end HUD's long-standing reliance on programs and restructure the "co-insur- crue to the Treasury from growth in the private developers to build housing and ance" program, which was the target of U.S. economy. target more federal resources to tenants' heavy losses and abuse during the Reagan Representatives across the housing groups and nonprofit community devel- years. spectrum-from advocates for the poor to opment corporations instead. He wants to refocus federal housing programs to promote home ownership for low-income Americans and economic devel- opment and job creation in dis- tressed urban areas. On Nov. 10, President Bush announced a housing and urban economic development package that closely mirrors Kemp's ideas. The centerpiece is $2.1 billion in grants over the next three years to tenants' groups, nonprofit organizations and lo- cal public housing authorities to convert public housing units and other HUD-owned apart- ments to tenant-owned housing. The Bush Administration pro- posal would also set up 50 enter- prise zones in depressed areas- an approach Kemp has advo- cated since 1980. Businesses in the zones would be exempt from Richard A. Bloom capital gains taxes and would get a tax break for hiring low- Housing and Urban Development Secretary Jack F. Kemp wage workers. His war on poverty borrows themes from the Great Society era. 2994 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 Realtors and home builders-praised A likely topic for debate is that both the housing that's going to keep people in Bush for putting forth a plan that ac- House and Senate bills would finance new poverty forever. Our belief is that poor knowledges a strong federal role in solv- programs to construct more rental hous- people don't want to be poor. They will ing national housing problems. Many of ing for the poor; the Bush plan would not. take advantage of opportunity when it's these groups were frustrated during the For Kemp, the HOPE proposals were there. But there's a reason why they're Reagan years by what they perceived to interpreted as a clear indication he has poor, and that's because they somehow be deep antipathy to housing programs. accumulated some influence in an Ad- have opportunities blocked or they're not "Kemp's got the President talking about ministration that's under heavy pressure being given the education or training or housing in a way we haven't heard Presi- to hold down spending. "The career staff assistance they need to move to self-suffi- dents talk in years," said James W. Rouse, at OMB [Office of Management and Bud- ciency." the former developer who chaired a na- get] continues to show hostility to hous- Some wonder why Kemp would resur- tional housing policy task force in 1987 ing, so for Kemp to get a major package rect the notion of a war on poverty even as and now chairs the Enterprise Founda- through the Administration was a real LBJ's war comes under harsh criticism tion in Columbia, Md. achievement," Campbell said. for its alleged failures. The objectives But many observers also question how Kemp also persuaded the Administra- aren't that different, according to S. Anna effective the President's measures would tion to endorse a three-year extension of Kondratas, HUD's assistant secretary for be. According to housing analysts, the na- the low-income housing tax credit, which community development and planning. tion faces a lengthening list of woes con- was set to expire on Dec. 31. In congres- "The goals of the Great Society were to fronting millions of households from the sional testimony last spring, Kemp give people a hand-up, to use economic bottom to the middle of the economic lad- strongly endorsed the tax credit. At the development and job training and educa- der. The problems range from homeless people, estimated by the Urban Institute at about 600,000, to public housing, where many projects are plagued by drugs, violence and poor maintenance and manage- ment. The supply of rental housing that's cheap enough for the poor to afford is fast dwin- dling, analysts say, even as the number of poor people rises. A Massachusetts Institute of Technology study predicts that as many as 18 million Ameri- cans could be homeless or on the verge of homelessness in 16 years if present trends persist. And because of high mortgage rates and rising home prices, home ownership rates fell dur- ing the 1980s for the first time since the Depression. "The general thrust of the Richard A. Bloom President's proposals is very sal- utary and a big step forward," A scene at a shelter for the homeless; Kemp says rent controls aggravate the problem. said Barry Zigas, president of the Washington-based National Low In- same hearing, Treasury Department offi- tion tools to give poor people opportunity come Housing Coalition. "But when you cials opposed it. Congress, as part of the and hope for advancement," she said in look at the real results that might flow, budget reconciliation package that was an interview. "However, because of politi- they're puny when compared to the adopted in November, approved nine cal deal cutting and the exigencies of bu- need." months' worth of the tax credit for next reaucracy, most of the programs became On Capitol Hill, where House and Sen- year, through Sept. 30. more 'handouts' than 'hand-ups,' and ate committees are considering omnibus many were ineffective." bills to overhaul federal housing pro- POWER TO THE POOR Kemp has long held that the best way grams, the Administration's proposal In seeking to launch a new war on pov- to attack poverty is to ensure that the could break the logjam that stymied re- erty, Kemp borrows several themes from national economy is strong. But unlike form during the Reagan years. "The Ad- the war on poverty launched 25 years ago many conservatives of the Reagan era, he ministration's proposal greatly increases by Lyndon B. Johnson. Kemp stresses, does not subscribe to the belief that the likelihood we'll have a major housing for example, "empowerment of the poor," growth will automatically "trickle bill next year," said W. Donald Campbell, a theme also popular in the 1960s. down." Kemp champions a strong role staff director of the Senate Banking, "For us, empowerment doesn't mean for the federal government in providing Housing and Urban Affairs Subcommit- what it meant to liberal reformers in the "seed corn" to encourage entrepreneurial tee on Housing and Urban Affairs. 1960s-which was redistributing wealth efforts by the poor. "There's lots of overlap between what and trying to mix up.political divisions of "Our new war on poverty rests on our we're saying and what the Administration power," Thomas M. Humbert, HUD's fundamental belief that helping someone is calling for. Their plan is well within the deputy assistant secretary for policy, said. out of poverty must be a two-way proposi- scope of good, solid debate." "Kemp doesn't want an entitlement for tion," Kemp said in an interview. "Efforts NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 2995 Kemp's Role in the Revolution Here are excerpts from an interview with Housing and take some compensatory steps to target these pockets of Urban Development (HUD) Department Secretary Jack F. ghetto or barrio or centers of poverty or underclass people Kemp on Nov. 29. with some special effort. You can chronicle the decline of Europe in the Medieval Ages from the deterioration of the On the Bush Administration's Homeownership and Oppor- intellectual and artistic and economic and social life of the tunity for People Everywhere (HOPE) plan cities. The resurgence of cities in Europe led to the Renais- The HOPE package can lay the groundwork for a new war sance, not the other way around. on poverty. It can even be considered Chapter 2 of the civil rights revolution in terms of jobs and giving people more On his travels into poor neighborhoods control over their lives and a greater chance to own prop- There's an elitist attitude among some on the Left and, erty and a stake in the American frankly, some on the Right, that there's Dream. HOPE in and of itself isn't the only one Kimi Gray on the face of the answer to poverty and the underclass earth. [Gray heads the tenants' organi- and some of the social pathologies that zation at Kenilworth-Parkside, a public manifest themselves in certain parts of housing project in Washington, D.C., our country. But we're laying out the that is being turned over to tenant own- predicate, a premise, that poverty ership.] I meet them in every city. I should not be considered perpetual. refuse to believe that there are not these Poverty is all too often accepted as inev- inspirational stories in every single itable. It's not inevitable. neighborhood, every single community, every family. On strengthening the poor There's gold out there. And it's true Government should make it known to that in order to find gold, you've got to every kindergarten student and every turn over a lot of mud and rock and first, second, third or fourth-grader in stone and dirt. Ultimately, the leader- every city in the United States, no mat- ship of any great institution-or any so- ter what the condition they find them- ciety, agency, football team, or any great selves in, that we're going to guarantee business or great community-is based you can get a higher education. If you expect great things from people, you're Richard A. Bloom upon looking for the possibilities and uncovering the innate, intuitive, indige- going to get better things. Our expecta- nous potential that is already there and tions have been too low. With the right underutilized. rewards, people will respond. There is "There's gold out there.' something sacrosanct about being a On being at HUD good citizen, having a well-paying job, having a piece of I don't think things happen by accident. I'm at HUD at this property, leaving something to your children and thinking moment in history to both clean it up and give it a higher about life in terms of long-term horizons instead of just mission. I'm more excited about this, frankly, than anything existential, overnight survival. I could have thought about other than maybe being Presi- dent, more excited than I would have been to be com- On the health of urban America missioner of the NFL [National Football League], as much It's different in different parts of the country. We've had a as I love pro football. Frankly, I see this as fulfilling some of good national recovery under President Reagan. He laid the the revolutionary goals, not only of Dr. [Martin Luther] basis for now taking a very important and much-needed King [Jr.] and Rosa Parks and the great civil rights strug- second step, which is to export or expand economic growth gles, but the ultimate revolution, which was the American and opportunity into areas that were left out. We've got to Revolution of Jefferson and Madison and Franklin. by government and others to help should Other ideas that conservatives put forth munity groups' projects. "You have to be matched by the commitment of recipi- for this new war on poverty remain bring in private-sector developers and ac- ents to take actions to become self-suffi- controversial, however. One is the notion cept them on their terms-they have to cient." (For more of Kemp's views, see box, that private developers should be cut out make a profit. HUD must require that this page.) from all programs. Kemp believes HUD public purposes are being served," he Increasingly, policy makers at all levels programs have enriched private develop- added. "But if you really want to revive a of government now agree with that prop- ers but have not served the poor well. neighborhood, you need private develop- osition. In the 1960s, proposals such as "The programs invite people to steal," ers too." "workfare"-requiring the poor to work HUD undersecretary Alfred A. DelliBovi The House legislation would permit as a condition of receiving government said. partnerships between nonprofit and for- checks-were rejected. Today, new wel- "Community groups are the key, but profit developers in housing production fare laws in the states and at the federal they can't do every project," said Benson programs. "We're not interested in that," level require welfare recipients to work or F. Roberts of Local Initiatives Support Humbert said. "We have to be careful that enroll in education or training programs. Corp. (LISC), a New York City-based we're not going to use nonprofits as a ve- (See NJ, 12/2/89, p. 2942.) nonprofit organization that assists com- neer for bringing back the costly new con- 2996 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 struction, dependency-oriented housing much less any new ones. Funds and staff and social services for long-term homeless programs of the 1970s." for monitoring, evaluation and oversight persons who are mentally ill or addicted Another point at issue is the conserva- of HUD activities were cut during the to drugs or alcohol. Tenants who live in tives' assertion that housing problems are Reagan years. And some charge the scan- apartment projects that are ripe for con- perpetuated by rent control. Kemp de- dals have made HUD's staff reticent version to more-expensive housing-as clares that rent control laws, now in force about making decisions on pending proj- owners pay off their HUD-assisted mort- in various forms in about 200 cities and ects, leaving developers, local officials and gages-would have an opportunity to buy counties, discourage private investment in HUD contractors in limbo. "Decision their buildings before owners could con- low-cost rental housing and ultimately making at HUD during the Pierce years vert them. And the plan proposes 50 lead to shortages and more homelessness. may have been flip, but at least it got "housing opportunity zones" in derelict In a 1987 report, William Tucker of Stan- done," a former HUD employee said. urban neighborhoods. The zones would ford University's Hoover Institution on But some groups that felt shut out of be competitively chosen. Cities would get War, Revolution and Peace in Palo Alto, HUD during the Reagan years say they preferred access to HUD programs in ex- Calif., surveyed 50 cities with rent control now have far more access there. "Kemp change for relaxing rent controls, zoning, laws and found a link between the laws and his staff people have shown them- building codes and other regulations in and homelessness. His research the zones, as well as offering prop- helped persuade the Senate com- erty or other tax abatements. mittee to include in its omnibus The proposals arrive after more housing overhaul bill a measure than two years of congressional ef- that would give the HUD Secretary fort to reformulate federal housing discretion to withhold federal policy. The review began in 1986 funds unless cities can show that when a coalition of state and local their rent control regulations are officials, housing industry groups not counterproductive. and advocates of low-income hous- The Washington-based Eco- ing began to protest the deep cuts in nomic Policy Institute, in an Octo- housing programs. Sens. Alan ber report, charges that Tucker's Cranston, D-Calif., and Alfonse M. analysis is flawed. "The growth of D'Amato, R-N.Y., convened a na- homelessness during the 1980s has tional task force in 1987 to devise a nothing to do with efforts by local new federal housing agenda. Its governments to regulate skyrocket- recommendations formed the basis ing rents," this report concludes. of the Senate's legislation. "Moderate rent controls eliminate The Reagan Administration, extreme rent increases, but they do meanwhile, largely succeeded in not eliminate the profits necessary to encourage investment in private Richard A. Bloom paring HUD's programs. Its bud- get authority plummeted from $36 rental housing." billion in fiscal 1980 to $15 billion CLEANING UP in fiscal 1988 in a shift from costly HUD official Thomas M. Humbert rental-housing construction pro- Kemp's first task has been to try The poor will take advantage of opportunity. grams toward certificates and to reform the management of housing vouchers to subsidize HUD, which has been the focus of intense selves to be accessible, educable and com- rents. HUD was subsidizing production national attention and the target of much mitted," said Bud Kanitz, executive di- of 250,000 private apartments annually criticism. Executive branch and congres- rector of the Washington-based National when Ronald Reagan took office. When sional investigations into political influ- Neighborhood Coalition. "HUD under he left, HUD's commitments to finance ence peddling, fraud and mismanagement Reagan was a dumping ground for incom- such units had all but ended. The number in HUD programs will continue next petents and people who were hostile to the of poor households receiving rental assis- year. (See NJ, 9/16/89, p. 2259.) mission of the agency," Campbell said. tance grew by about one million during Last month, Congress approved a "This new group is clearly bright and the Reagan years. HUD reform package along the lines of committed to doing well." The Reagan Administration argued one Kemp proposed in October. The law Within the agency, sources say, debate that there were millions of vacant housing aims to strengthen HUD's oversight and is sometimes intense. From the outset, units across the nation, so that construc- program evaluation and prevent the type Kemp implored his staff to "go out and tion programs weren't necessary. The of abuses by private developers and con- devise bold and radical proposals." Some problem, some housing analysts say, is sultants that plagued HUD during the say the staff divides loosely into two fac- that vacant units are too expensive for the tenure of former Secretary Samuel R. tions-those with a strong conservative poor or aren't located in the tightest ur- Pierce Jr. Kemp lobbied hard to persuade bent and those without. Sources say the ban markets. "Luxury apartments do not Congress to adopt the reform measures first group includes Humbert, Kondratas help large families, minority groups or before overhauling housing policies and and DelliBovi, while in the other camp people who are very poor, and vacancies programs. "I don't think anyone would are C. Austin Fitts, assistant secretary for in Houston don't help people in Boston, even consider our HOPE package absent housing and federal housing commis- Washington, D.C., or San Francisco," restoring the credibility of HUD," Kemp sioner, and J. Kenneth Blackwell, deputy Campbell said. said. "We've been through the valley of undersecretary for intergovernmental re- The Senate bill would establish a $3 the shadow, and I think the sunlight is lations. billion annual program to enlarge the na- now beginning to shine." But critics complain the agency still HOME OWNERSHIP tion's supply of low and moderate-income housing. HUD would channel the money lacks sufficient personnel and resources to Bush's HOPE plan proposes $728 mil- to states and localities, which would have manage its current programs effectively, lion over the next three years for housing wide flexibility in deciding how to spend NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 2997 it. The House measure likewise includes subsidies for constructing low-income rental apartments. "We're not for new construction pro- grams but for home ownership," Hum- bert said, adding: "We're not going to make an ideological statement about never wanting new construction. In some cases, it may be warranted." He noted that the low-income housing tax credit, which Bush endorsed, finances construc- tion as well as rehabilitation of housing for the poor. This year, the credits pro- duced more than 100,000 new or restored units. "A strategy that concentrates primarily on transferring ownership of existing stock to people already living in it doesn't deal with the fundamental problem- which is to deal with expanding stock for John Eisele people at the bottom," Campbell said. The housing plan offered by Bush and Bud Kanitz of the National Neighborhood Coalition both bills in Congress would channel sub- Kemp and his HUD staff are "accessible, educable and committed." stantial new resources to community- based nonprofits engaged in housing ilies. The Senate committee's bill would presidential nomination in 1988 and development. require that states and cities channel a might make another try someday) or to Though a handful of conservative crit- portion of their federal housing grants to try to win points for the Republican Party ics liken the idea to "re-funding the Left," the housing projects of community devel- among the poor and among black voters. most observers say that such groups are opment groups; the House committee's Kemp-unlike his reclusive predeces- now a major factor in the delivery of bill proposes a $500 million program to sor, Pierce-circulates tirelessly. He testi- housing for the poor. There are an esti- finance local housing production pro- fies regularly on Capitol Hill and makes mated 2,000-3,000 community develop- grams that involve the nonprofits. frequent forays into poor communities, ment organizations nationwide. A survey The Senate panel's plan, like Bush's, visiting public housing projects and sponsored by the Washington-based Na- would permit first-time homebuyers to lunching at shelters for the homeless. "I tional Congress for Community Eco- use funds drawn from retirement ac- think Kemp had never seen in quite so nomic Development, a national associa- counts for down payments. The House drab colors the dark side of America," tion of community groups, showed that panel's would create a $2 billion annual Humbert said. "I think it's given him an 834 groups had produced nearly 125,000 trust fund to lower mortgage rates for almost evangelical purpose and a greater units of new or renovated housing, most first-time buyers. sense of urgency." of it during the 1980s. The Secretary peppers his stump The Bush proposal would provide $567 EVANGELIZING speeches with quotes from Abraham Lin- million over three years for nonprofits to Some critics charge that Kemp's war coln, the Rev. Martin Luther King Jr. rehabilitate government-owned proper- on poverty is designed to boost his own and Charles Dickens and frequently re- ties and resell them to low-income fam- political ambitions (he sought the GOP fers to the Old Testament's Nehemiah. "Nehemiah was the HUD Secretary of Jerusalem," he told an audience this year. "Nehemiah realized ancient Judea could not survive without its cities. Neither can America." "Jack Kemp is a breath of fresh air," Rouse said. "He brings to HUD a real concern about the lives of people who aren't making it in America. He earnestly wants to do something." But many of Kemp's ideas-from ten- ant ownership of public housing to enter- prise zones to reliance on community groups to deliver substantial amounts of housing for the poor-are largely un- tested. And Roberts of LISC said: "I love Jack Kemp's phrase-he calls himself a "bleed- Richard A. Bloom ing-heart conservative.' That said, I don't think the folks at HUD yet know or un- derstand well enough the tools they'll need to follow through on their vision. Enterprise Foundation chairman James W. Rouse Community development is very compli- "Jack Kemp is a breath of fresh air" at HUD. cated stuff." 2998 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 BUDGET REPORT Security Blanket Applying the huge social security surpluses to federal budget deficit calculations masks the deficit's size and blocks economically useful, long-term investment, many experts say. BY LAWRENCE J. HAAS issues out of legislation to raise the debt Hollings, D-S.C., Daniel Patrick Moyni- limit, kept Congress from a full debate on han, D-N.Y., and Terry Sanford, D-N.C., I t's no secret that what worries Wash- social security last month as part of that or House leaders and others with ideas on ington policy makers often escapes no- debt bill. the subject. tice beyond the Capital Beltway. And so it The subject is nearly certain to be back Whether America's elected officials is with social security, whose burgeoning on the congressional agenda, perhaps as can "do the right thing," however that is surpluses are the subject of growing de- early as spring, either as part of the next defined by specialists in federal agencies bate in the White House, Congress and round of tinkering with the budget pro- and in private think tanks, is far less cer- elsewhere around town. cess or separately. Majority Leader tain. For as much as any other issue, this "I don't see any political pressure com- George J. Mitchell of Maine, Budget is one in which politics and economics not ing on this from anywhere," said Ronald Committee chairman Jim Sasser of Ten- only don't match, they may be diametri- S. Boster, chief of staff to Rep. Willis D. nessee and other key Senate Democrats cally opposed. Gradison Jr., R-Ohio. "I can't recall a almost guaranteed that when Heinz "We are torn between an economic an- single letter [that] said, 'We ought to bal- threatened to block the debt limit legisla- swer and a political answer-which may ance the non-social security budget.' tion on Nov. 7, just a day before the Trea- be two different answers," Rep. Frank-J. But across the Capitol, Sen. John sury Department predicted that the gov- Guarini, D-N.J., said at a Budget Com- Heinz, R-Pa., says that when it comes to ernment might default. mittee hearing in September on the social social security surpluses, the public is of- Though Heinz backed down after a security surpluses. ten a sleeping giant that awakens with a testy exchange with Mitchell and pleas Republicans remember only too well vengeance when told that the surpluses from Senators of both parties, he has no that after President Reagan proposed in are being used to finance spending in interest in backing off permanently. Nor 1981 to cut social security benefits, Dem- other parts of the federal budget. do Sens. Phil Gramm, R-Texas, Ernest F. ocrats used that against them in the 1982 After Heinz explains in newsletters that the surpluses in the retirement trust fund help pay for such current federal pro- grams as defense, housing and transporta- tion, he says, 23 per cent or more of the newsletter recipients mail back their al- most uniformly negative thoughts. On other subjects, only 2-4 per cent of recipi- ents are moved enough to write, he adds. "They may not know what the govern- ment is doing without our explaining it to them," Heinz said recently. "But once they understand, they are universally up- set. More important than even the rate is kind of the quickness and intensity of the response, which is visceral-'Keep people's hands off the social security sys- tem.' Just when the social security surplus might-with prodding from politicians— grow into the kind of broad-based politi- cal issue that many predict for it is un- Richard A. Bloom clear. But only an unexpected interparty brawl over capital gains taxes, and a sub- Sen. John Heinz, R-Pa. sequent agreement to keep that and other Delay makes it harder to exclude social security from the deficit calculation. NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 2999 and 1986 midterm elections. Democrats, more than $2 trillion), before the money is without counting the trust fund surplus. meanwhile, are openly wary of allowing needed to pay for baby boomers' retire- But that would make it impossible to de- Republicans to steal the social security ment. Because of legal requirements that clare the budget balanced in 1993, as the issue. And neither party needs any re- the surpluses be invested in Treasury se- Balanced Budget Act now requires. If the minders about the political strength of the curities, social security helps to under- projected social security surplus of $99 elderly, with Congress having just been write deficit spending elsewhere in the billion for that year is not counted, Con- forced to repeal the new catastrophic budget by reducing the amounts that the gress would have to raise taxes or cut health care insurance program after an government must raise by selling Trea- spending by that additional amount to outcry from senior citizens. sury securities in financial markets. achieve a balanced budget. Also at stake is the future of the 1985 Nobody is too happy about that. For Differences between the various pro- Balanced Budget Act, whose schedule of one thing, applying these huge surpluses posals deal mostly with the timing of such annual deficit targets is supposed to cul- to today's annual deficit calculations a drastic revision. Heinz and Holling, for minate in 1993 with a balanced budget. masks the size of the deficit, according to instance, want the change made immedi- Changing the way the budget treats social numerous experts. In fact, despite all the ately, and they would raise the annual security surpluses could force Congress to talk of deficit cutting in recent years, offi- deficit targets so that the adjustment extend those deficit targets until the end cial estimates show that the non-social se- could be made in an orderly way. "It is of the century. curity deficit is still growing. (See table time to stop playing games with social If, for instance, a decision is made to and chart, this page.) security and the government's finances," remove the surpluses from the deficit cal- Hollings wrote on Oct. 1 in a Washington culations while leaving the deficit targets FIXING THE PROBLEM Post op-ed article. unchanged, the White House and Con- Not only does that accounting reduce Besides, Heinz said in an interview, the gress would have to do a lot more deficit the government's incentives to fix its longer Washington waits, the harder it cutting in non-social security programs to books, it also lets policy makers rely on will be to make the change. If it took place meet those targets; that might make a tax the regressive social security payroll tax, next year, for instance, the deficit would increase likelier. If, on the other hand, the rather than the more-progressive income climb by only $65 billion; if it waited until decision is to remove the surpluses from tax, to finance current spending. And it 1994, the deficit target would immedi- the calculations while stretching out the allows those surpluses to be used for cur- ately go from zero, under current law, to deficit targets by a few years, policy mak- rent consumption instead of being in- $113 billion. In Heinz's view, it would be ers would have to continue playing the vested in long-term, economically benefi- politically awkward to have to explain annual game of meeting those targets well cial enterprises. that to the voters. "There's a very great into the 1990s. But fixing the problem is not easy. Even risk that if we wait until '93, it's going to On one level, the issue is simple. Be- the terms of debate are confusing, if not be too embarrassing." cause of changes implemented in 1977 misunderstood. Everyone wants to "pro- Gramm and the House Republicans, and 1983 to avert a short-term bank- tect" social security, and some want to do who drafted a plan under the direction of ruptcy of the trust fund and build a finan- it by somehow separating the hugely pop- Rep. John R. Kasich, R-Ohio, recom- cial cushion for the future, the payroll tax ular program-which represents 23 per mend that the change take place in 1994, is now bringing in much more money cent of all federal spending-more clearly after the current deficit targets expire. each year than the social security system from other programs in the budget. House Republicans say that Federal Re- must spend on benefits. Accumulated sur- The most popular approach, advanced serve Board chairman Alan Greenspan pluses are projected to reach nearly $12 by Democrats and Republicans alike, is to recommended such timing so that finan- trillion by about 2030 (in 1988 dollars, force the government to balance its books cial markets would not be disrupted. How Social Security Surpluses Shrink the Budget Deficit Without the huge surpluses in the social security trust fund, the over-all federal budget deficit would be even larger than currently projected. The chart shows that the non-social security deficit is expected to rise, but that the social security surpluses through 1994 will offset that deficit and serve to put the total deficit on a declining path. Figures through fiscal 1989 are final. For 1990-94, they are the Congressional Budget Office's August estimates and do not incorporate the final 1989 figures or congressional action for 1990. In the chart, the difference between the two deficits represents the social security surplus's contribution to deficit reduction. All figures are in billions. Non-social security deficit 1985 1986 Total deficit 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Non-social security deficit $221.6 $237.9 $169.3 $193.9 $204.5 $206 $219 $227 $242 $241 Total deficit 212.3 221.2 149.7 155.1 152.1 141 144 141 143 128 3000 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 Kasich, explaining his proposal at a that, federal policy makers will Nov. 1 news conference with House Mi- face three unpleasant choices: nority Whip Newt Gingrich of Georgia raise taxes, cut other spending and the Budget Committee's top Republi- and borrow more. can, Bill Frenzel of Minnesota, said: "In a That one of those decisions, nutshell, what it does is attempt to pre- or a combination of two or all serve social security well into the next three, will be made is not in century. It's designed to protect the baby question. Despite public skepti- boomers, while at the same time preserv- cism about the social security ing people's ability to receive it today." system's long-term viability, few Though perhaps well-intentioned, such are talking about anything other pledges to "protect" social security are than paying benefits to everyone largely meaningless. There is no way to do eligible. that, just as there is no reason to think the The task won't be easy, as de- program is currently threatened. mographic changes take place Social security surpluses can't be in the coming decades. As baby "saved," unless the government literally boomers retire, the ratio of stores dollar bills in a vault and lets infla- workers to retirees will shrink, tion eat away at their value. As Congres- placing a greater burden on sional Budget Office (CBO) director Rob- each worker. Instead of having ert D. Reischauer said at the House five people 20-64 years old for Budget Committee's September hearing, every person who is 65 or "It is not like we are putting away food older-as was the case in and clothing and real resources in a closet 1985-the United States will and we are going to open that closet up have fewer than three by 2025, and distribute those accumulated goods Penner wrote in Social Security and services to the retirees of the next and National Savings, a study century." for the Committee for Eco- Richard A. Bloom Nor should the surpluses, invested in nomic Development, a private Treasury securities, be seen as wasted. business group. General Accounting Office's David G. Mathiasen Addressing that point at the same hear- ing, Rudolph G. Penner, a former CBO BLESSING OR CURSE? By 1993, the problem's $100 billion worse. director and now a senior fellow at the So, paying for the baby boomers will be hikes or spending cuts to balance the non- Urban Institute, said: "There is a more an economic burden. But will the budget- social security part of the budget, and peculiar argument that implies that the ary changes now being debated ease that plan for their own retirement by validat- fact [that] social security is financing part burden to the point of insignificance or ing the surpluses in a separate pot. of the non-social security deficit repre- make it a heavy one? Indeed, Alice M. Rivlin, a Brookings sents a waste of social security resources That depends. Social security surpluses Institution senior fellow and former CBO or even worse, some sort of theft from the are a blessing or a curse, depending on director, suggested to the House Budget social security system. That is no how they are handled. If, as most econo- Committee that "social security trust more true than to say my own private mists believe, future economic growth is funds should be separated visually from pension system is somehow being ex- largely tied to national savings, then so- the rest of the budget-shown on separate ploited because it invests some of its cial security brings a new pool of potential lines on all budget tables, for example-to money in Treasury securities." savings. dramatize to politicians and beneficiaries That doesn't mean, however, that pro- Right now, however, with the surpluses that these funds are held separately and posals to change the way the budget treats being used to help meet annual deficit tar- dedicated to the specific purpose of pay- social security are not important. The gets, no savings are accruing. That could ing social security benefits." question is not whether social security is change if the non-social security portion But whether any of the proposals "protected." It is whether the nation's of the budget were balanced; that would would help validate the surpluses is ques- economy can easily withstand the costs make the social security surpluses extra tionable. Under an optimistic scenario, if associated with the retirement of baby funds, in essence. Instead of financing the the surpluses were not used to reach the boomers in the middle of the 21st century. deficit, the surpluses could be used to re- deficit targets, the government would pre- Moynihan, a member of the National duce the national debt, which just topped sumably also take the much tougher steps Economic Commission (NEC) appointed $3 trillion and is headed much higher. needed to meet those targets, even if that almost two years ago to come up with a For economic purposes, of course, the meant a substantial tax increase. solution to the budget deficit, wrote some- savings need not accrue from social secu- "To the extent that you take the much what dramatically in the NEC's minority rity. Any kind of savings would do. The tougher measures to balance the non-so- report early this year: "We can slouch government could, for instance, continue cial security part of the budget, it becomes into the 21st century, or we can march to count social security as part of its uni- correspondingly more difficult to see how into the 21st century. The outcome will fied budget and thus run a budget surplus. it can be done only on the spending side," turn on whether we get our political That, too, would add to national savings said General Accounting Office (GAO) arithmetic in order over the next five and, therefore, future economic growth. budget expert David G. Mathiasen, who years." And yet the idea of setting the social said he did not speak for the GAO. "By If social security surpluses are going to security surpluses aside and balancing the 1993, it makes the problem $100 billion be invested in Treasury securities-which rest of the budget-or, as economists like worse and increases the pressures to raise are widely viewed as the safest investment to say, "validating" the surpluses-car- revenues." around-then the securities must be re- ries an appealing logic: Today's baby But some experts worry about what deemed when baby boomers retire. To do boomers accept the hard choices of tax would happen to the surpluses if they NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 3001 defend that [report]," Gingrich But Moynihan VOWS that the situation said at a news conference. won't last long. In the NEC report, he Maybe not, said Stanley E. wrote: "Let no one suppose that a Demo- Collender, director of federal cratic Congress will much longer allow a budget policy at Price Water- payroll tax to be used to service a $2 tril- house, a New York City-based lion-$3 trillion debt owned in vastly dis- accounting firm. "First of all, proportionate amounts by wealthy indi- getting a super-majority [60 per viduals. This is not a threat. It is a cent] is never a problem," he political reality and, indeed, an ethical im- said. "If you're thinking about perative. The nation struggled for a gen- increasing social security bene- eration to ratify the 16th [income tax] fits, then who's going to vote Amendment to the Constitution. We are against that?" not about [to] see it effectively repealed by a reform in the financing of social secu- SPECIAL STATUS rity." Taking social security sur- Some experts advocate a restructuring pluses out of the deficit calcula- of social security so that trust fund sur- tions would give the program pluses don't accumulate in the first place. special status and, critics warn, Rather than maintain the current 75-year tempt policy makers to apply solution to social security, policy makers similar treatment to other pro- could go back to the more traditional pay- grams financed by trust funds as-you-go approach in which revenues ap- that are running surpluses and proximate spending needs from year to can't be spent for general gov- year and are raised and lowered when ernment needs. that's necessary. Richard A. Bloom "I don't think you'll see the Some experts call this the best ap- social security trust fund come proach of all. Others view it as an alterna- off without the other trust tive if the government can't find a way to funds, like aviation, coming for- use the surpluses to boost national sav- Ex-Budget Committee aide Patricia A. Quealy ward and saying, 'Wait a ings. Other trust funds might get special treatment. minute,' " said Patricia A. In the first school are Penner and Rob- Quealy, the House Budget ert J. Myers, former chief actuary and weren't needed to meet the deficit targets. Committee's former chief counsel and deputy commissioner of the Social Secu- Many fear that the White House and now special counsel in the Washington rity Administration. Not only would pol- Congress, instead of using them to repay office of Eckert Seamans Cherin & Mel- icy makers not be tempted to spend the the debt, would spend them on new pro- lott, a Pittsburgh law firm. surpluses, Penner says, but they might grams, principally for senior citizens who The first to win such treatment might also be more inclined to reexamine social view that money as theirs. be medicare, the other huge trust fund security in conjunction with their annual "All you do is open up the possibility that serves the elderly. If medicare as well budget battles. Furthermore, by cutting that the surplus that's being accumulated as social security retirement funds es- payroll taxes, Washington would be in a on paper can be spent for anything and caped scrutiny, Urban Institute senior fel- better position to raise other taxes to cut everything that man could invent without low Isabel V. Sawhill said in a paper, "the the deficit. being subject to any fiscal discipline," Of- rest of government will be starved for The GAO is in the second school. After fice of Management and Budget director funds. Spending for such purposes as edu- recommending that the government use Richard G. Darman said at an Oct. 27 cation, the war on drugs, preventive the social security surpluses to boost sav- briefing. health care, infrastructure, research, the ings, the GAO wrote in a January 1989 After all, as experts note, spending the environment and other investments in the report: "If the Congress and the President surplus would cause no short-term pain, future will be crowded out by the escalat- are unable to agree upon and implement a and perhaps some gain. Because the sur- ing costs of programs for the elderly." strategy for restoring fiscal balance in the plus would not count in the deficit cal- If taking social security out of the defi- non-social security part of the budget, we culation, its depletion would not set pol- cit calculations raises certain risks, leav- believe that the Congress should recon- icy makers back in terms of keeping their ing it alone raises others. The more the sider the pattern of payroll tax increases books in balance. At the same time, they government uses the surpluses to under- that is producing the current and pro- could curry favor with constituents, par- write deficit spending, the more it relies jected social security surpluses. To imple- ticularly senior citizens, who have a long on regressive payroll taxes to achieve ment this option, it would be appropriate wish list of unfulfilled items. those surpluses. And that is anathema to to return the social security program to a Proponents of the pending social secu- many Members of Congress, especially pay-as-you-go financing basis once the so- rity proposals are aware of such problems. Democrats. cial security reserves have reached a desir- House Republicans, for instance, suggest "The thing that is causing me a lot of able contingency level of about 100-150 that if the surpluses are removed from heartburn is the recognition that between per cent of annual outlays." deficit calculations, moves to change the now and 2020, if we continue this current When it comes to social security, of actuarial status of the trust fund would accounting system that we have, we are course, anything that Washington does, have to win 60 per cent of the vote. going to go through a period of time or doesn't do, entails political risks. As "I think that given a report that says, where the payroll tax is going to become Kasich put it in an interview: "Social se- 'This undermines the baby boom genera- an increasingly large source of revenue to curity it's almost like a basic founda- tion's chance of retiring on social secu- pay for the operation of the federal gov- tion of this country. To me, it's almost like rity,' I think you could easily get 40 per ernment," Rep. Jim Slattery, D-Kan., the flag. I mean, people have come to ex- cent of the Congress that would vote to said at the Budget Committee hearing. pect it and depend on it." 3002 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 WASHINGTON UPDATE Policy and Politics in Brief Bush's Course to Malta Summit By David C. Morrison "most-favored-nation" trade status af- Bush warned against "growing com- ter it codifies liberal new emigration placency" in responding to Gor- That the American and Soviet Presi- policies. These matters "are of princi- bachev. And four days later, in a dents spent much of the first day of pal importance," said Gorbachev, who speech at the Coast Guard Academy their Dec. 2 and 3 parley in Malta anx- badly needed to return to Moscow reportedly designed to appear "more iously pacing the decks of their respec- with some rays of economic hope. positive," Bush said he would "seize tive ships, unable to meet thanks to "Bush is known for incrementalism; every-and I mean every-opportu- gale-force winds, was perhaps Mother it is a dramatic turn for him," the Cen- nity to build a better, more stable rela- Nature's way of chiding George Bush ter for Strategic and International tionship with the Soviet Union." for wanting to "meet cute" with Studies' James A. Blackwell Jr. said of Over the ensuing months, however, Mikhail S. Gorbachev in a logistically the tone in Malta. But, he added, Bush the Administration spoke in conflict- complicated "summit at sea." "has been walking up to this point." ing voices, with key players publicly Far more important, that the super- Only last April, remember, Bush's expressing wariness about Gor- power chiefs wound up their "non- protracted "national security review" bachev's sincerity and the likelihood summit summit" in a cheerful and un- urged on him a "status quo-plus" ap- that he would succeed in his reforms. precedented joint press conference was proach to perestroika. The relationship But a seismic shift in thinking was a measure of a dramatically sharp turn now emerging, in which Bush has signaled by Secretary of State James taken by the Bush Administration. In emphatically assumed a stake in A. Baker III in a widely remarked Oct. Malta, the United States embarked on Gorbachev's success, however, bears 23 address in San Francisco. "Any un- a course of overt cooperation with a little resemblance to the grim postwar certainty about the fate of reform in Soviet government for the first time status quo. the Soviet Union," he argued, "is all since the World War II. Bush quickly rejected that review's the more reason, not less, for us to "Over the last week, there were two findings, widely derided as too deter- seize the present opportunity." important developments," Arms Con- minedly centrist. And in a series of And two weeks after that, of course, trol Association assistant director foreign policy addresses last spring, he the Berlin Wall came down. One of the James P. Rubin suggested. "First, af- began groping for a handle on the prerequisites Bush had set on May 12 ter 70 years [of Kremlin-Vatican rift], Gorbachev phenomenon. for welcoming the Soviets "back into Gorbachev endorsed the Pope. And In an April 17 speech in Ham- the world order," that stunning event second, after a year of struggling, Bush tramck, Mich., Bush stressed the need endorsed Gorbachev." set the stage for the striking show of for "prudence, realism and patience." Formal negotiations were not on the U.S. support for the Soviets on display In a May 12 speech at Texas A&M in Malta. agenda. But the two sides did set University-widely criticized as "The United States has declared schedules for accelerated action on overly cautious-he said that the that it has stopped economic warfare several arms accords. And much of the United States could move "beyond against the Soviet Union," Georgi movement in this arena, significantly, containment," but laid out a laundry Arbatov, Moscow's chief America ex- was made by Bush. list of changes in Soviet policies as a pert, exulted to reporters in Malta. Reversing his earlier reluctance to prerequisite. "We are now being dealt with as a tie strategic arms talks to a firm dead- At Boston University on May 21, normal country." line, for example, Bush committed himself to concluding the key elements of a pact before the next summit, slated for next June. On chemical weapons, Bush also dropped his insis- NATO WARSAW tence that the Pentagon be allowed to keep producing new nerve agents after a global ban has been signed. Even on one of the few issues of substantive disagreement-Nicara- gua's alleged provision of East Bloc arms to the leftist guerrillas in El Sal- WARSAW PACT vador-Bush was conciliatory: "I don't believe that the Sandinistas have 400 told the truth to our Soviet friends." Of paramount relevance to super- power relations, however, were Bush's offers to support observer status for WARSAW PACT the Soviet Union in the 97-nation Gen- eral Agreement on Tariffs and Trade and to restore the Soviet Union to NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 3003 Democrats Making Wrong Connections? voters. He also spoke of the social sionals at crafting these connections. By Dick Kirschten costs of drugs and the dissolution of We have a great desire to go out and Oregon's Neil E. Goldschmidt has a the family and complained that the tell the people we're for them on mini- unique perspective on the national po- federal government is trying to shift mum wage, we're for them on benefits litical scene. He's a Democratic gover- financial burdens to the states. Follow- of various of kinds. On health care, nor in a historically Republican state. ing are excerpts from his remarks. if [Rep.] Henry Waxman [D-Calif.], If he is elected to a second term next instead of going to the hospital groups * year-by no means a foregone conclu- and all the lobbies that want him to sion-he will be the first member of You've got a President [Bush] who come and talk, got himself out on the his party to achieve that distinction hasn't found a problem he would pay road and started trying to trade [ideas since 1906. Yet, he's governor of a for. He won't pay for education; he with ordinary citizens] and turn his state noted for its cultural liberalism; it won't pay for drugs; he won't pay for message into a national agenda, he'd was one of the few carried last year by Poland. I mean, you can name it, he succeed, I suspect. We're all capa- Democratic presidential candidate Mi- won't pay for it We've got an over- ble of doing some of that. But I don't chael S. Dukakis. hang of two Presidents in a row that think we've done that very well. Goldschmidt, a former mayor of essentially have made an enemy of the * * Portland and member of President government. Basically, the message Carter's Cabinet, met with members of they have is that "government is a bad People are quite aware that there has the National Journal staff on Nov. 28. idea; we aren't for government pro- been a change in family structure and Among other matters, he talked about grams; we don't want it to spend [that there are] social problems and the "gridlock" between taxpayers and money; we think it does bad things drugs And people are sitting there government-nationally and in his when it does that." This is a funda- saying, "I'm taking care of these things state, where voters consistently resist mental difference between those guys for my kids; why aren't these other either property tax increases or the im- and the Administration I served in. people doing it? Why do I have to pay position of a sales tax. While heaping for it? But on the other hand, if I don't, * plenty of blame on Republican Presi- look what's going to happen to the dents Reagan and Bush, Goldschmidt We [Democrats] have got this core of generation my kids are going to grow also criticized the direction taken by things that we are really separated up with." We have this [question] kind Democrats at the national level who, from the Republicans on. But we do it of rolling and churning underneath the he said, have become more closely by interest groups, I think, not by di- debate about taxes. "Are we getting identified with interest-group lobbies rect connection with the voters. our money's worth on schools? Do we than with the aspirations of individual We need to be a lot better profes- have to pay millions more for social Richard A. Bloom Oregon Gov. Neil A. Goldschmidt: Democrats have a "core of things" that separate them from Republicans 3004 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 services so that these kids don't end up The ultimate in prison? Why doesn't somebody take irony of all this is responsibility for it?" the question of whether the edu- * * * cation system is Bush comes in with his troops and says capable of deliv- the answer is choice in schools. The 27 ering a work per cent that aren't graduating-a sub- force that is in stantial chunk of them are from fam- turn capable of ilies who never intended to exercise being the com- any choice, Teachers are saying, petitive engine "Can you help us make these parents that drives us in bring their children to school?" the world mar- Choice? They've made it. Stay home ket. [That] is and take care of the babies. Give them really very much drugs. They're getting these drugs in doubt nation- from their parents and from their ally W e brothers and sisters. The toughest know it needs to constitutional decision we have to get better. The make after the death penalty is termi- challenges are all nation of parental rights. The biggest there. I mean, are issue in our society and in our state we going to inter- today is how much involvement do nationalize our our people want us to have in these children's educa- cases where they are delivering chil- tion? How much dren and not raising children. And foreign language I think, in the end, the Republicans are we going to don't have an idea how to fix this, provide for our [while] we have people in our party kids? Our univer- who are really committed to under- sity system standing it. But we haven't had this wanted to put in conversation in a way that the Ameri- a foreign lan- can public feels comfortable about at guage require- Richard A. Bloom all. It's just been more taxes. ment for entry to the state's three * * * But Democrats give interest groups too much attention. major universi- There is a lot of frustration about this ties. [They] were told by the education great extent is the one that is doing it. problem that is going on around us. leadership in K through 12, "Great People are saying, "Why the hell * idea, but we don't have the money to * do I have to pay for all of this stuff?" hire the faculty to teach the lan- [Sen.] Al Gore, [D-Tenn.], [Sen.] Bill But they understand that it isn't [a guages." Those are issues we have to Bradley, [D-N.J]. and [Rep.] Ron question of] "If I don't pay, these peo- [address], but we've got to get through Wyden [D-Ore.] and others have bat- ple will have to take care of them- this issue of the property tax first. tled to get resources into the social ser- selves. They aren't taking care of * vices agenda. themselves, and in the end, my kids are * I certainly don't have any discomfort about the values [they] going to pay for it-in prisons or wel- Congress is adding mandates to med- are expressing, but we [governors] fare or in drug rehab houses." So the icaid faster than most states can keep have got a lot of discomfort about the question is, how do we create a perfor- up with them. The governors have shift that is going on here; just a con- mance contract between [citizens] and asked for essentially a moratorium, tinual shift of responsibilities to us the government, which they suspect which I think is pretty remarkable with our somewhat limited capacity to will take any amount of money and since we don't agree on so many meet it. So the question for me isn't spend it in stupid ways. And where things. It's a serious problem because whether [their] values are out of sync, the Democrats get to be suspect, I what we've got is entitlements being or whether there would be a very mas- think, is that we don't treat this as an created for groups that have got the sive disagreement between Demo- agreement between the citizens and an capacity to lobby for those entitle- cratic governors and our congressional outcome in which somebody is actu- ments, while whole blocks of citizens delegation if we went to a platform ally looking at the results. [Instead] it's aren't getting any improvement in convention. It's just that they can't an agreement between us and a union their services at all. The governors, keep doing this unless they are pre- that supported me. It's a deal between sort of as a group, are out there con- pared to pay for it. Waxman is and all these political interest groups. fronting their voters with tax issues Bradley is, but they are not going to That's in the head. It is a very diffi- and spending issues day after day, win this fight with George Bush. So cult problem constructing something while they [Members of Congress] are what we've got is a system in which the in our society in which people feel they dropping these mandates on us. And, I compromise is, "If you tell the states to are going to get their money's worth. want to be clear about it, my party to a do it, it's OK." NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 3005 IN PERSON Dimitri K. Simes By Rochelle L. Stanfield If your favorite network talk show or newspaper op-ed page has been giving increased attention to events in the So- viet Union-a likely bet these days- you've probably been seeing a lot of Dimitri K. Simes. Simes, a senior associate at the Washington-based Carnegie Endow- ment for International Peace, is a regu- lar commentator on NBC News and a frequent contributor to The Washing- ton Post, The New York Times and the Los Angeles Times, among other news- papers. He looks the part of a Soviet com- mentator-bald pate, black beard and Richard A. Bloom heavy Russian accent. More impor- tant, Simes is a master of instant analy- sis, a talent he considers legitimate and necessary "in a period like this of great A Sovietologist Scores uncertainties." "There is great pressure on all of us [analysts] to make judgments In Instant Analysis Game quickly," he said. "[Decision makers] have to formulate national policy be- of heat lately for missing the early sig- on numerous occasions. His analysis is fore the evidence compiled is lengthy." nals of the drama now unfolding in the as good as anybody's who criticizes And if he did not participate in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe. him." instant analysis game, that would not Simes prides himself on predicting One critic is Edward N. Luttwak, a prevent others with contrary opinions substantial change in the Soviet leader- Soviet expert with the Center for Stra- from presenting their side, in his view ship in a 1978 article in the Journal of tegic and International Studies (CSIS) giving the public a skewed and unbal- International Affairs. "So [current in Washington. "I have never person- anced picture of the situation. developments] didn't come as a shock ally seen any research work he has Though he is an enthusiastic partici- to me," he said recently. "Although I done, unlike all other Sovietologists pant in foreign policy debates, "I start didn't predict the magnitude of what is who command authority from their with the assumption that I will have a happening." peers," Luttwak said. marginal effect," he said. "I don't He also wrote a piece in the March Others criticize Simes for using gim- think academics have much influence 1, 1987, Washington Post suggesting micks, such as cultivating a strong on operational decisions. Talking to that Gorbachev might dismantle the Russian accent, to enhance his televi- senior officials is never very useful un- Berlin Wall as the "ultimate East- sion image. less they are close personal friends." West public relations coup." Simes, 42, was born and educated in That doesn't prevent him from at- Simes is a controversial figure Moscow. The son of Jewish dissidents, tending meetings with such officials, among fellow Sovietologists, a frac- he was outspoken from an early age. he went on, partly because it is an ego tious and competitive community. He proudly points to being expelled trip; partly because it is necessary to be "The Soviet field was highly polarized from Moscow State University be- taken seriously in the foreign policy until recently. Now it is simply con- cause of his views on Vietnam. community; and partly to "under- fused," said Michael Mandelbaum, di- In 1972, Simes emigrated with his stand, by listening to the questions rector of the project on East-West rela- parents and wife. While in Rome they [the officials] ask, where they tions for the New York City-based awaiting transportation to the United stand." Council on Foreign Relations. Simes States, "I was very lucky," he recalled. Simes considers himself a skeptic has a "clearer sense of the history and "The CIA came to interview me as a but not a hard-liner. When Soviet lead- portent of what's going on because he possible Soviet agent, and as a result of er Mikhail S. Gorbachev burst on the knows Soviet society so well, from the the interview, I became a consultant." scene, "the great liberal thinkers were inside," Mandelbaum said. Through the network of personal, prepared to let him get away with "He writes fast, has the ability to family and professional connections, murder before he began to deliver," grasp quickly what is going on and the he went to work in Washington for Simes said. "I was prepared to listen, ability to put things on paper," said CSIS, then the Johns Hopkins Univer- not to dismiss him. But at the same Milan Svec, a former Czech diplomat sity's School of Advanced Interna- time, not to be mesmerized by this who is now a fellow at the U.S. Insti- tional Studies. He's been with Carne- man." tute of Peace in Washington. "I re- gie since 1983. "I am very comfortable Sovietologists have been taking a lot spect the guy, but I disagree with him here," he said. 3006 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 STATE OF THE STATES Neal R. Peirce A Recreation Path Remakes a Vermont Town STOWE, VT.-Anne Lusk recalls a girlhood near Pittsburgh schools and stores and playgrounds an auto ride from home. in a setting of "woods, salamander streams, lilac fields and Community-centeredness has been destroyed. caves to explore." Now her love of the outdoors has been But a recreation path unites all kinds of citizens. You don't translated into a 5.3-mile recreation path, a "new heart" for need to be athletic, clever, young, fast-talking, beautiful or this Vermont ski capital. It's such a success that towns and rich to enjoy it. neighborhoods across America may soon be copying it. And if the path is laid out to link important spots in a town The Lusk story itself is beguiling: A former fashion student or neighborhood-shops, schools, playgrounds, residences— in Paris and New York City model, Lusk arrives in Stowe in then children's lives are transformed. 1971 to try life as a "ski bum." She gets married, has children, Now they can ride their bikes to school, and instead of plunges into civic life. Then, in 1981, she gets picked (for just being latchkey kids glued to afternoon television, they can $5,000 a year) to coordinate a proposed pathway to parallel hang out after school along the path. Their congregating isn't the narrow, dangerous mountain road from Stowe's center threatened, because the path's heavy traffic and multi-age toward Mount Mansfield. users make it a safe place. The path's future is anything but se- Is the formula replicable in towns cure: There's no design, no assured less ritzy than Stowe? Lusk says yes: right-of-way, no financing. For a year, Activist Anne Lusk is Sell it any place first as a safe way for Lusk does little else but deluge the lo- pressuring the Bush kids to get around while Mom and cal paper with stories of how the path- way will beautify the town and make Administration to bless Dad are working. Secure a right-of- way with clear title. If money is short, crosstown trips safer for kids. community recreation build the path in stages, starting with a Then, in three years, she personally plain dirt surface. The money a quality persuades 27 property owners to do- paths as one of its path eventually costs is tiny compared nate, cost-free, easements for the path's first 2.7-mile stretch. Close to famous 1,000 points of with what most places spend on roads and sidewalks. $300,000 is raised-$84,000 from a lo- light. Recruiting another Anne Lusk may cal benefactor, $160,000 from federal be tougher. She mastered small-town funds ($118,000 from the Interior De- diplomacy (always solicit opinions, partment-administered Land and Wa- never present "yes-no" choices, take ter Conservation Fund, $42,000 from people's suggestions and build on general revenue sharing) and the rest from "selling" inches, them). She walked the route first with nearby landowners, feet, yards, rods of the path to contributors. letting each one, with a pencil on the local map, decide on The result isn't a manicured, English-garden-perfect path.' every turn. It's eight feet of asphalt flanked with generous grass strips on Next, Lusk traipsed the route with a tree surgeon, marking each side. The route has a quota of views of backyards and every tree to come out, every one to stay. Then she accompa- dumpsters. nied a bulldozer operator, guiding him each step. Then she But it curves and undulates; it repeatedly crosses the West marked the path's curves with spray paint, walking ahead of Branch River, making a sparkling asset of a mountain stream the grader to dissuade him from his usual straight lines. All the town had long neglected. The views change constantly: the while she kept working on fund raising and nonstop church steeples and barns, followed by broad meadows where publicity. cows graze, then groves of trees, riverscape and the moun- So it's tough work at low pay. But walk today through the tain. Stowe Recreation Path's outdoor "rooms," its spacious fields But physical loveliness isn't the biggest payoff for Lusk or or leafy canopies. Watch "townies" and tourists having fun in for the town of Stowe. It's how the path gets used. a community with a new sense of togetherness. And then tell There are mothers pushing baby carriages. Little children yourself that it is idiosyncratic or that it wouldn't work any- in strollers. Kids of every age, walking, running, on roller skis where else. You simply can't. The staying power of the idea is and roller blades, hanging out at their favorite spots along the just too big. path. Lots of joggers and cyclists. Adults out for brisk walks. Lusk's new mission is to sell recreation paths everywhere. Older folks taking it easier, a few in wheelchairs. Tourists For the Stowe path, she's already secured special recognition who suddenly have a way to get out of their cars and enjoy from the New York City-based Bruner Foundation. She's the New England townscape. pressuring the Bush Administration to bless recreation paths A new shared space, common ground for all ages, has as one of its famous 1,000 points of light. sprung into being. And on this path, sociability flourishes. It appears she's not alone. The concept was endorsed by Virtually everyone-local or tourist, child or senior citizen- the President's Commission on Americans Outdoors in 1987. makes eye contact, smiles, says hello. Often they stop for Keith Hay, executive director of Greenways for America in complete conversations about the weather, the stream, some- Arlington, Va., said the "spontaneous, grass-roots citizen ef- one's dog. fort" for local paths is flourishing in hundreds of communi- The social factor, Lusk said, is Stowe's big discovery and ties from Stowe to Tucson to Los Angeles to Portland, Ore., potential gift to the nation. We live, she notes, in an age of to Wichita, Kan. "And," he insisted, "we're just getting fenced-in backyards, private barbecues, dangerous roads, started." NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 3007 Despite Malta Successes, Bush Metaphorically, at least, Malta proved perfect for the part. tary Dick Cheney wasn't told until shortly before the public Even the weather was right for the Dec. 2-3 summit: Trapped announcement-may only have heightened the anticipation. on separate ships in a stormy harbor, Presidents Bush and (Bush was so proud of his secret-keeping that he mentioned it Mikhail S. Gorbachev seemed as powerless to command first when ABC News's Hal Bruno asked him a day after the Mother Nature as to control the recent surges of history. announcement to name a particularly satisfying achievement Malta seemed geographically suitable, too. Located mid- of his tenure.) way between Gibraltar and Suez, the Mediterranean island Bush found it necessary to invite cameras and reporters has long melded East and West. Its people speak the sole into the Oval Office on Nov. 28 to dampen the "hyped specu- Semitic language written officially in Latin script, a mix of lation" about Malta (that he and Gorbachev might contem- old Arabic and a Sicilian dialect of Italian, and laced with plate reductions in troop levels in Europe beyond current British lingo from the most recent of Malta's nine disparate stints of foreign domination. (In 1972, Standard Oil Co. of New Jersey scoured Maltese, the only tongue in which words use a double x, in search of untoward meanings before chang- ing its name to Exxon Corp.) Politically, too, Malta keeps White Notebook House about half its economy under government control and is BY BURT SOLOMON simultaneously an associate member of the European Com- munity and friendly to Libya. In ideology as in culture and proposals) that the press had based on a briefing a day earlier geography, Malta is a crossroads. from White House press secretary Marlin Fitzwater. On That made it an apt backdrop for Bush in approaching a Nov. 29, Baker outlined for reporters a five-point agenda for crossroads of his own in a presidency that-going on 11 the reputedly agenda-less meeting. The next day, Bush under- months-still seems younger than it is. Bush's tenure, poised cut himself. On the morning of his departure, he offered his between caution and timidity, could prove either ultimately Cabinet a "preview of the summit-this nonsummit sum- forgettable-undone by no vision and no money-or genu- mit," he corrected himself, noting that "no matter how hard inely memorable, from its association with historic interna- I've tried not to use that word," he couldn't refrain. tional events. Expectations predictably zoomed. Michael Mandelbaum, Bush has been at political crossroads before: at New responsible for East-West relations at the Council on Foreign Hampshire's 1988 primary, which he had to win after getting Relations-the embodiment of Establishment thinking- trounced in Iowa; arriving at the Republican convention in foresaw "the first post-Cold War summit the first day of New Orleans trailing his Democratic presidential rival by 17 the rest of our lives." The Soviets were just as gung-ho. points in opinion polls; and before the NATO meeting last Foreign Ministry spokesman Gannadi I. Gerasimov spoke of spring, when critics disparaged him for policy diffidence. progressing "from Yalta to Malta," referring to the 1945 Each time, he came through smashingly. summit that reworked Europe's map. Even at the opposite This time, he didn't make his task any easier. He failed political pole, the reliably conservative Heritage Foundation miserably in his sporadic attempts to tamp down expecta- prepared for "the most important superpower summit of the tions. It stood to reason that he and Secretary of State James postwar period," likening it to the 1814 Congress of Vienna, A. Baker III, a political pro, would try, given that it's stan- which ended the ideological turmoil begun by the French dard procedure for political campaigns. But the rush of Revolution and ushered in "a new order" that lasted nearly a events raised the stakes: The Berlin Wall crumbled, along century. The thousands of journalists who converged on with two Eastern European governments, during the four- Malta (including a jumbojetful from Washington) further plus weeks from when the summit was announced to when it intensified the limelight. took place. Given all that, Bush performed nicely. His eight hours of The Bush Administration, too, bore some blame, because it chitchat with Gorbachev evidently set nothing back and continually undermined its own efforts to keep expectations nudged several things ahead. Malta will probably accelerate low. The obsessive secrecy with which Bush planned what he the pace of negotiations to control nuclear, conventional and kept calling a "nonsummit summit"-even Defense Secre- chemical weaponry, and laid the groundwork for furnishing IVIn CARL 1441 BULL IIIII (III 3008 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 Still Lacks Vision of New Era soupçons of American help for the long-suffering Soviet into focus," The New York Times editorialized upon Bush's economy in a way that's intended to bring it gradually into return. In the short run, this will only bolster Bush's political sync with the West's. As they headed their separate ways standing. (Just before his departure, an opinion poll con- from Malta, Bush and Gorbachev left U.S.-Soviet relations ducted for CBS News-The Times found Bush's popularity the warmest in decades. had slackened slightly to 63 per cent, from a 69 per cent Bush, for the most part, seemed crisp, controlled and busi- approval rating in September.) In Malta, after all, Bush not nesslike, the very image of a sober, careful-prudent-Presi- only gave peace a chance but took time to schmooze with dent. He had prepared thoroughly, telephoning every NATO sailors on the U.S.S. Forrestal in his customary quest to seem leader and enduring more than a dozen briefings from gov- a regular guy. ernment and academic experts in East-West relations. Coun- Indeed, some wondered whether he took regular guy-ness tering months of criticism that he's mainly reactive, he re- too far. Bush's bravado in boarding small boats on rough gained some of the initiative by spending an hour on the water in Malta's Marsaxlokk Bay raised the specter in some summit's first day offering 18 constructive, mostly unjazzy minds of a sudden Quayle presidency. (There apparently was proposals (ranging from prospective trade goodies to cooper- never talk that the summit's weather-trimmed talks might be ation on global warming to pushing Berlin as host to the 2004 moved ashore.) In Brussels on his way home, Bush was Olympics) that Gorbachev generally received with favor. forced to deny to reporters that he'd been hot-dogging. "This was serious business," Bush told reporters afterward. "Don't tell me that that little chop was risking anything," he Bush took care not to gush, declining to proclaim that he's swaggered. "You know these charismatic, macho, visionary friends with Gorbachev or that the Cold War has ended-the guys-they'll do anything." kind of pronouncements that can come back to haunt. It was the third of his adjectives that also raised some Bush showed skill at the diplomatic and psychological questions. In his heralded Texas A&M University speech last tasks required in a world where neither superpower holds its May, Bush frequently invoked his "vision" of East-West rela- geopolitical sway of yore. (See NJ, 7/29/89, p. 1944.) Bush tions but only vaguely defined it. Former Defense Secretary acknowledged the circumstance ("Somebody halfway 'cross Robert S. McNamara, on ABC's Good Morning America on the world [from Eastern Europe can't dictate] how fast Nov. 29, complained that neither Bush nor Gorbachev had change should be or what change should encompass," he told "yet put forward a vision of a post-Cold War world" and said reporters on Nov. 28) and showed his usual attentiveness to he hoped they'd start to do so in Malta. diplomatic nuance and to the sensibilities of competing par- They didn't, at least publicly, proffering no thoughts of ties. It probably helped that he's ardent about so little, which what Germany, say, or Eastern Europe might come to look enabled him to revamp his views about Soviet intentions since like. This may have stemmed partly from Bush's sensitivity to last spring in the face of fresh evidence. (See this issue, p. Western European leaders' fears of another Yalta. (Bush 3003.) wouldn't take his coat from a closet without consulting U.S. Gorbachev cooperated in Malta, apparently heeding White allies, ABC News correspondent Brit Hume jested as Bush House rumblings that he'd ruin the summit by unleashing the left Malta for Brussels to brief allied leaders on his talks.) But sort of public relations thunderbolt he frequently favors. So Bush might also have revealed no vision of a post-Cold War when Bush extended the "offered hand" (such as he'd dan- world because he still lacks one. gled before congressional Democrats at his inaugural), It's not evident that Malta will set Bush's presidency on Gorbachev grabbed it. "Like [Bush], I do feel that personal fire. Nor is it clear that a sustained East-West peace would contact is a very important factor in relations between politi- work to his long-term political benefit; common wisdom in cal leaders," Gorbachev said at the two leaders' unprece- Washington increasingly is that it wouldn't. Peace augurs a dented joint press conference on Dec. 3. In Malta, Bush and "quick fix" in public opinion polls and a better place in Gorbachev "established not only a relationship but sort of an history, Brookings Institution senior fellow Stephen Hess agenda for the near term," White House chief of staff John H. said, but in the long run would deprive Republicans of a Sununu crowed on ABC's This Week with David Brinkley potent issue. Malta perhaps brought Bush as well as the that day. world to "the threshold of a new era" (as he put it in Brussels) "In the last few days, he's finally brought his leadership but evidently still not across. NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 3009 DON'T STAY IN THE SUN TOO LONG, OR YOU WON'T BE ALLOWED TO VOTE SHAREWAS BEACHES ITIMI Tan Eze WASSERMAN Digg THE BOSTONGLOBE DIST. BY LATINES SYNDICATE TOTALHARIAN HISTORY IS REGIMES TOPPLE REWRITTEN Between AND NIXON AND HENRY ARE OVER the Lines PLAYING 111 INSCRUTABLE, THOSE TWO PATTY CAKE WITH THE CHINESE!! " ALERT THE MEDIA WE'VE CHOSEN A NEW PRESIDENT FOR LEBANON " 3010 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 INSIDE POLITICS Jack W. Germond and Jules Witcover Bush's Summit Euphoria Tempered by Caution If there was one dominant attitude that seemed to mark Yet Bush's personal sunny side always remained in view. President Bush's postsummit comments at Malta and in On the campaign trail last fall, as his election appeared more Brussels, it was a sort of controlled euphoria, tempered by and more likely, he could barely contain his exhilaration, and caution lest he be accused of going to extremes on the throughout his transition and first months in the presidency, achievements of his discussions with Soviet President he was obviously having the time of his life. Mikhail S. Gorbachev. Still, when it came to dealing with Gorbachev's repeated As if to defend and justify his own determined prudence in overtures for a lessening of tensions, and with the opportuni- the face of a conference that is certain to raise his image as an ties presented by the earth-shattering developments in East- effective world leader, Bush in his Malta press conference ern Europe, Bush's natural exuberance seemed sharply reined took particular note that Gorbachev had "used the word in by his caution toward change. It was as if he didn't feel able caution, and I didn't put him up to it, either." Gorbachev had to trust his own emotional side. spoken of "cautiousness, and I use the favorite word of Presi- Indeed, in relating at his Malta press conference what it dent Bush." was like to sit across from Gorbachev, This determination to convey a discussing the shape of the rapidly sense that he is keeping his head changing world, Bush confessed that through these incredibly heady days of With all his "the emotional part of it is hard for world change underscores an interest- cautiousness about me to describe because I'm not the ing contrast between the personal and the presidential George Bush. Person- future U.S.-Soviet most articulate emotionalist." In the months leading up to the ally, Bush has demonstrated such a relations, the President Malta summit, Bush became the brunt natural enthusiasm for people and of widespread criticism, from Demo- events over the years that he has often may be correctly crats particularly, for what appeared seemed outright giddy. Indeed, that attuned to the to be a stubborn resistance to obvious quality has made him a caricaturist's good news from Eastern Europe. He delight, punctuated by his lopsided American mood. seemed always reluctant to let his nat- grin and gee-whiz style of discourse. ural enthusiasm go, even on the occa- In 1980, in his first bid for the Re- sion of the startling destruction of the publican presidential nomination, Berlin Wall. Bush's natural enthusiasm and vul- When he announced plans for the nerability to euphoria in fact contributed to his undoing. On summit at sea, the President took pains to lowball it, to upsetting Ronald Reagan in the Iowa precinct caucuses, emphasize that there would be no agenda and no decisions Bush almost floated out of Des Moines on a cloud of exuber- made, and he strove to stick to that view even as tumultuous ance. He declared on caucus night that he had "the Big Mo" events in the East European capitals, and Gorbachev's benign (for momertum) and that if he could win the next test, the reaction to them, dictated an infinitely greater significance for New Hampshire primary, "there'll be absolutely no stopping the conference. me." When it was over, and Gorbachev was declaring that "the Well, he couldn't and he was. As Bush basked in his own world leaves one epoch of Cold War and enters another conspicuous optimism, resisting his advisers' pleas that he epoch," Bush could not allow himself to say, even in the stop cheerleading and campaign more substantively, Reagan excitement of the moment, that the Cold War was over. whipped him in New Hampshire and in short order nailed "We're fooling with semantics here," he said in Brussels. "I down the nomination. Bush learned the hard way that it don't want to give you a headline. Why do we resort to these wasn't always good politics to let one's enthusiasm get the code words that send different signals to different people? Is upper hand. the Cold War the same-I mean, is it raging like it was before In eight years as Vice President, Bush remained personally in times of the Berlin blockade? Absolutely not. Things have upbeat while embracing President Reagan's deep skepticism moved dramatically. But if I signal to you there's no Cold about the trustworthiness of the Soviet Union. Although he War, then you'll say, 'Well, what are you doing with troops in did not quite label it an "evil empire" as Reagan did, Bush Europe?' took a very cautious approach to the most hopeful develop- Nor could Bush bring himself to say that he and ments in U.S.-Soviet relations. Gorbachev were now "friends" after the summit, though When Reagan began to move away from such skepticism personally he is the friendliest of men. He would admit only last year, Bush continued to express reservations that a new to "friendly conversations" between them. and lasting climate was developing under Gorbachev. When For all this, Bush may be correctly attuned to the Ameri- Reagan commended Gorbachev after their final summit can mood in saying, as he did in Brussels, that "although this meeting in Moscow, Bush said "the jury is still out" on the is a time of great hope, and it is, we must not blur the Soviet leader's intentions. Bush's cautious observations were distinction between promising expectations and present reali- taken by many at the time as a way to separate himself from ties." Polls before the Malta meetings indicated, for all the Reagan, to become more "his own man" as a presidential criticism of Bush's pace, strong support for the proposition candidate and to cozy up to the Republican right wing, which that he was moving at about the right speed. That view always mistrusted him. certainly has been reinforced now. NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 3011 PEOPLE BOARDING and a partner with the law offices of Ralph M. Hall in Rockwall, Texas, expired, and The terms of every one when conservative board member Pepe J. of the 11 members of Mendez, a Denver lawyer, quit, Wear's job the Legal Services was in serious jeopardy. Corp.'s board expired nearly two years ago, The five liberal-leaning board members and yet the Bush Ad- were poised to oust Wear. That bloc's ministration, under members: Hortencia Benavidez, who pressure from conserva- works at a Christian bookstore in El Paso; tives who see the LSC as Paul B. Eaglin, who had been a partner tool used by liberals to with the Fayetteville (N.C.) law firm of obtain federal money to Cooper, Davis, Eaglin and DeSilva and is spend on lawsuits now assistant to the chancellor at the Uni- against the government, versity of North Carolina (Wilmington), hasn't come up with a and the only member of the board to have list of prospective nomi- actually been a legal aid attorney; Lorain nees acceptable to both Miller of Detroit; Thomas F. Smegal, a the political Right and partner with the San Francisco law firm of Congress. Townsend & Townsend; and Basile J. Uddo, a professor at the Loyola University But on Nov. 30, Presi- School of Law in New Orleans. dent Bush made two re- cess appointments to In a highly unusual move, Bush granted the board to prevent the Hall a second recess appointment. He also firing of Terrance J. appointed John N. Erlenborn, who served Wear, the LSC's presi- as a Republican Member of the House Richard A. Bloom dent. Wear, who has representing Illinois from 1965-85. Erlen- been doing some heavy born is currently a partner in the Washing- lobbying for the ap- ton office of the Chicago law firm of pointment of more con- Seyfarth, Shaw, Fairweather & Geraldson. Erlenborn: Named to Legal Services board servatives to the board, was general counsel to The remaining members of the board are the Republican side of the Sen- conservatives. Michael B. Wallace, who ate Agriculture, Nutrition and has been on the board since 1984, became Forestry Committee when chairman last December. He's a partner in Sen. Jesse A. Helms, R-N.C., the Jackson (Miss.) office of the New Or- chaired the committee during leans law firm of Phelps, Dunbar, Marks, the period when Republicans Claverie & Sims. Wallace succeeded W. had a majority in the chamber. Clark Durant III, a partner in the Detroit When Democrats regained law firm of Durant & Durant, as chairman; control of the Senate in 1987, Durant remains on the board. Claude G. Helms took over as ranking Swafford works out of a law practice that Republican on the Senate For- bears his name in South Pittsburg, Tenn. eign Relations Committee, Robert A. Valois is a partner with Maupin surrendering the top GOP slot Taylor Ellis & Adams P.C. in Raleigh, on the Agriculture panel to N.C. Sen. Richard G. Lugar of Indi- ana, and costing Wear his job. BAILOUT Wear wound up as a partner in For months, M. Danny Wall had been tak- the Washington office of the ing a pounding from critics in Congress, the Minneapolis law firm of news media and the banking industry; on O'Connor & Hannan. He be- Dec. 4, Wall, director of the Treasury De- came president of the LSC in partment's Office of Thrift Supervision, an- July 1988. He's held his posi- nounced that he was hitting the silk. The tion only because the board former staff director on the Republican side Richard A. Bloom has a six-to-five conservative of the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban majority. When the term of J. Affairs Committee, Wall was nominated to Blakely Hall, a conservative head the Federal Home Loan Bank Board granted a recess appointment in 1987. In recent months, Wall has been Wall: Bails out as S&L chief by President Reagan last year heavily criticized for, among other things, 3012 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 Washington's Movers and Shakers failing to seize the floundering Lincoln Sav- D.C. INC. ings and Loan in Irvine, Calif., soon enough. Wall allowed the S&L to remain Peter J. Gossens, who's open despite the fact that his own examin- been an aide on the mi- ers recommended its closure two years ago. nority side of the House Wall got his current job earlier this year Appropriations Com- when the FHLBB was folded into the Trea- mittee since 1986, has sury Department and the Resolution Trust joined the Arlington Corp. was created to clean up the S&L (Va.) office of St. Louis- mess. No successor has been named for based General Dynam- Wall, who didn't say what he'd do next. ics Corp. Gossens, whose new title is legis- INTEREST GROUPS lative affairs manager, succeeds H. Gerald Virginia Sassaman, director of media rela- Staub, who's now direc- tions at the American University, is about tor of Navy aircraft pro- to become chief press aide at the Women's grams for General Dy- Legal Defense Fund. Sassaman succeeds namics in Arlington. Ann Pauley, who's now public relations di- No replacement on the rector at Washington's Trinity College. committee. Carolyn Fray, AU's public information of- ficer, will succeed Sassaman. Gregory S. Dole has joined the McDonnell Phil G. Goulding, who's been vice president Douglas Corp., another for public affairs at the American Petro- defense contractor leum Institute, is retiring after 14 years on headquartered in St. the job. He'll be replaced by Arthur E. Louis, as director of Wiese, who's currently director of public commercial programs- relations. domestic and interna- tional in the Crystal Jean Hutter, who was an associate in the John Eisele City (Va.) office. It's a government affairs division of the National new position. He was Sassaman: Moves to women's defense fund Association of Regional Councils, which assistant Transporta- represents regional governments across tion secretary for policy and America, has become director of legislation international affairs; before at the National Housing Conference. It's a that, he was associate general new position, and her old job will not be counsel at the Transportation filled. Department. He's been re- placed by Jeffery Shane, who AT THE BAR was deputy assistant secretary of State for transportation af- Christopher G. Mackaronis, who had been fairs in the Bureau of Eco- manager of the advocacy section of the nomic and Business Affairs. worker equity department at the American Association of Retired Persons, is now a POLITICS partner with the Washington office of the Chicago law firm of Bell, Boyd & Lloyd. Monte Friedkin, who chaired He's been replaced by Cathy Ventrell- this year's Democratic Gala, Monsees, a senior AARP lawyer since the fund-raising event held in 1985. Washington on Oct. 24, will become finance chairman of J. E. (Sandy) Murdock III, who had been a the Democratic National partner in the Washington law firm of Committee. He's holding the Heron, Burchette, Ruckert & Rothwell, is job on an acting basis for now; now a partner with the Washington office he won't be voted in until of the Knoxville (Tenn.) law firm of Baker, March. Friedkin, who was Worthington, Crossley, Stansberry & president of Friedkin Indus- Woolf. The firm was established last year tries Inc. in Youngstown, by, among others, former White House Ohio, will be replacing C. Vic- chief of staff Howard H. Baker Jr. tor Raiser II, who had been Richard A. Bloom Murdock was formerly chief counsel at the the finance chairman under Federal Aviation Administration. former DNC chairman Paul Mackaronis: Leaves AARP for law firm NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 3013 PEOPLE Washington's Movers and Shakers G. Kirk Jr., and had to Schultz has been named yet at Public hung around to work as Citizen. a transitional figure. Raiser is currently of Lorraine A. Voles will soon become press counsel in the Washing- secretary to Sen. Tom Harkin, D-Iowa, ton office of the Cleve- who's expected to face a tough reelection land law firm of Jones, fight next year. Voles has been national co- Day, Reavis & Pogue. ordinator of Mothers and Others for Pesti- cide Limits at the Natural Resources De- BUSH LEAGUE fense Council Inc. since April; that's the organization that launched the highly suc- From our where-are- cessful campaign against using Alar on ap- they-now file: Robert ples. Before that, she was national deputy M. Guttman, who was press secretary for the unsuccessful Duka- briefly chief of staff to kis-Bentsen presidential campaign, and Vice President Dan worked the Iowa precinct caucuses for the Quayle, is now a full- Dukakis campaign. She'll succeed Pam time consultant for pol- McKinney, who's been Harkin's press aide icy development at the for six years; McKinney is getting the same Interstate Conference of job in the office of Sen. Brock Adams, D- Employment Security Wash. Agencies Inc. in Wash- ington. Guttman, who Richard Doyle, senior defense analyst on was minority counsel the minority side of the Senate Budget on the Senate Labor Committee, is leaving to teach at the Naval and Human Resources Postgraduate School in Monterey, Calif. Subcommittee on Labor He'll be an associate professor in the de- Richard A. Bloom and counsel to then- partment of administrative sciences. No re- Sen. Quayle, has been placement for Doyle has been named at the replaced on the vice committee. presidential staff by Schultz: Leaves Nader group for House William Kristol, once IN THE TANKS staff chief to former Education Secretary William Stephen F. Dachi, U.S. consul general in J. Bennett. Also at the confer- Sao Paulo, Brazil, is now a visiting senior ence, Emily DeRocco, who fellow at the Center for Strategic and Inter- has been deputy Interior un- national Studies. dersecretary, is executive vice president. She succeeds Rich- AROUND THE AGENCIES ard Q. Praeger Jr., who said he plans to move to Oregon Patricia Gates Lynch, who had been am- but beyond that doesn't know bassador to Madagascar, has been named what he'll do. Her old post at director of corporate affairs at Radio Free Interior has not been filled yet. Europe and Radio Liberty, which broad- cast the U.S. government's version of news ON THE HILL behind what remains of the Iron Curtain. Lynch was the former host of the Voice of William B. Schultz, who had America's Breakfast Show. She succeeds been a senior lawyer with the Kenneth Thompson, who has moved to the Public Citizen Litigation Munich headquarters of Radio Free Eu- Group, one of the many pub- rope and Radio Liberty, where he's director lic-interest groups founded by of news and current affairs. Ralph Nader, is now counsel to the House Energy and Ann A. Colgrove is the new director of pol- Commerce Subcommittee on icy, planning and research at the National Health and the Environment. Endowment for the Arts. She was special Schultz succeeds William V. assistant to the assistant Labor secretary for Corr, who's now chief counsel policy, Jenna Dorn; before that, Colgrove John Eisele and staff director for the Sen- worked on the Bush presidential campaign ate Judiciary Subcommittee last year. She's filling a long-vacant position on Antitrust, Monopolies and at the endowment. Doyle: Will teach at Navy school Business Rights. No successor -David L. Wilson 3014 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 OPINION OUTLOOK Views on National Security IS NATO NECESSARY? COMMUNISM'S CRASH Do you think the NATO alliance should be maintained, or Which of the following statements best describes your view is the alliance not necessary anymore? (Gallup Organiza- of whether Communism is dying throughout the world? tion Inc.) (Gordon S. Black Corp. for USA Today) 10/89 11/89 Maintain NATO No Americans West Germans NATO not necessary opinion Communism is dying 25% 29% Dutch 81% 15% 4% Communism is being reshaped 55 51 Canadians 78 8 14 to be more open Americans 75 10 15 Party hard-liners will wait for 17 15 British 71 15 14 an opening to crack down Belgians 69 13 18 Luxembourgers 69 10 21 The United States has offered some aid to reformers in Po- West Germans 63 13 24 land and Hungary, but President Bush has been urged to Italians 58 18 24 do more to help those countries and others. Do you feel the Turks 50 14 36 United States is ? (Black for USA Today) Danes 43 13 44 11/89 Spaniards 30 34 36 Americans West Germans Portuguese 26 9 65 Doing too much 26% 7% Sending right amount 49 43 It has been proposed that as long as the Soviet Union has Not doing enough 15 31 nuclear weapons that can reach targets in Western Europe, Don't know 10 19 NATO should keep a number of similar weapons in West- ern Europe. Do you agree? (Gallup) PEACE DIVIDEND? 10/89 Agree Disagree No opinion Dutch 66% 29% 5% Defense spending in the United States during the Gorba- Canadians 63 26 11 chev years continued to increase and now stands at about Americans 62 21 17 $300 billion a year. Some say this amount is necessary. British 60 22 18 Others say we no longer need to spend this much. Do you Belgians 59 20 21 think the changes in the Soviet Union and Eastern Bloc Luxembourgers 51 22 27 countries mean the United States can make major cuts in West Germans 46 22 32 military spending without endangering our security? (ABC Italians 38 32 30 News-The Washington Post) Turks 42 18 40 11/89 Danes 27 24 49 Yes, make major cuts 45% Spaniards 22 40 38 No, cannot make major cuts 50 Portuguese 21 11 68 Don't know 5 NATO MARGULIES 01989 HOUSTON POST Warsaw Packed EXIT VISAS NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 3015 THE NUMBERS GAME The Data Behind the Policy Government Payrolls Get Longer and Longer One the Gipper Lost Outside the Beltway Presidential candidate Ronald Reagan often promised that if Nearly 14.5 million Americans worked for state and local elected, he would reduce the federal bureaucracy. He didn't governments last year. For full-timers only, that's about 505 even come close; during his Administration, federal civilian government workers for every 10,000 people, up from 497 per employment reached a post-World War II high. Last year, 10,000 in 1988, according to the Census Bureau. There were the number of civilians on Uncle Sam's payroll rose by 0.7 per 147 state workers for every 10,000 people; local government cent, by 21,486 employees. That increase was enough to push employees accounted for 358 per 10,000. The table, based on the total over the 3.1 million mark, according to a just- Census Bureau studies, shows how state and local govern- released Census Bureau study. ment employees earn their salaries. During World War II, federal civilian employment peaked Nearly half, or 6.1 million, of state and local government at 3.4 million, dropped to 2 million in 1947 and, by 1951, employees were employed in education-related fields full- gradually climbed to 2.5 million. The total didn't change time, where an additional 888,000 employees have joined the much until 1967. That year, largely as a result of President ranks since 1983. That's an average increase of 2 per cent a Johnson's Great Society programs, federal civilian employ- year, the largest gain in terms of absolute numbers of work- ment jumped to almost 3 million. From 1968-84, it fluctuated ers. But the biggest percentage jump came in the corrections between 2.8 million and 3 million. In 1985, federal civilian field, which rose an average of 7.8 per cent annually over the employment topped 3 million. More than three out of five past five years, up to 435,000 in 1988. federal employees work for the Postal Service or for agencies Total U.S. civilian government employment, counting fed- involved in defense or international affairs. From 1947-88, eral, state and local workers, was nearly 17.6 million in 1988, the U.S. population grew from 155 million to 246 million. up about 1.8 per cent from 1987. The number of state em- ployees rose 120,955-or 2.9 per cent-during that period. Local government workers increased by 164,574, a jump of about 1.6 per cent. STATISTIC OF THE WEEK Public service in a cold climate Of the 50 states, Alaska had the highest share of state and local employees last year-789 for every 10,000 Alas- kans-according to the Census Bureau. Wyoming was next, with 741 per 10,000. Pennsylvania, with 395 per 10,000, brought up the rear. Adding It Up In October 1988, the total payroll for civilians working for federal, state and local governments was $34.2 billion, up 5.6 per cent from October 1987. Federal employees got $8 bil- lion, up 0.7 per cent over 1987; state employees got $7.8 billion, up 7.5 per cent; and local employees got $18.4 billion, up 7.1 per cent, according to the Census Bureau. -David L. Wilson How Employees of State and Local Governments Earn Their Salaries (1988 figures) Per 10,000 Activity population Education 249.2 Public safety (police, fire and corrections) 55.2 Health and hospitals 54.4 Highways 22.0 Financial and general government administration 21.8 Public welfare 17.5 Judicial and legal 10.7 All other activities 74.0 3016 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 Save $70 on National Journal New Subscribers Only Special Introductory Offer! 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Pesticides in fruits however, that people age 65-75 with health care problems are and vegetables and the use of not registering enormous strides toward improving their fi- antibiotics in swine and beef nancial condition. Continental Health Affiliates Inc., Wash- production can be reduced. ington Communications Group, 1615 M St. NW, Suite 220, National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 20036. 13 pages. Free. 2101 Constitution Ave. NW, ALTERNATIVE Washington, D.C., 20418. INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 448 pages. $29.95 hardcover AGRICULTURE Israel and the World After 40 Years (ISBN 0-309-03987-8); Israel encompasses socialism amidst capitalism, Third World $19.95 paper (ISBN 0-309- NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL inefficiency alongside technological sophistication; pietists 03985-1). living next to secularists, observes Tel Aviv University politi- cal scientist Aaron S. Klieman. "Physical geography may DEFENSE MANAGEMENT have placed Israel squarely in the Middle East, but it has yet Military Balance 1989-1990 to become truly of the Middle East in other than the military This compilation by the independent, London-based Interna- sphere." Pergamon-Brassey's International Defense Publish- tional Institute for Strategic Studies quantifies world military ers Inc., 8000 Westpark Dr., Fourth Floor, McLean, Va., forces and expenditures by country. It offers data on equip- 22102. 275 pages. $24.95 (ISBN 0-08-034942-0). ment and military personnel and includes essays on NATO, the Warsaw Pact and arms control proposals. The name, POLITICS maker and country of origin of all the world's military air- Political Resource Directory: National Edition 1990 craft are listed, and tables offer data on nuclear delivery This reference lists more than 2,400 political organizations means and artillery capabilities. Brassey's (U.S.), Maxwell and 3,400 key political professionals, providing addresses and House, Fairview Park, Elmsford, N.Y., 10523. 200 pages. telephone and fax numbers. Indexed by individual, region $35 (ISBN 0-08-037569-3). and specialization, it is aimed at users in need of such services as newsletters, fund-raising consultants, media experts and FOREIGN AFFAIRS full campaign services. Political Resources Inc., P.O. Box From Hiroshima to Glasnost: 363, Rye, N.Y., 10580. 392 pages. $95 (ISBN 0-944320-02-3). At the Center of Decision-A Memoir The United States in the postwar period has met its goals of Politics and Process: expanding production, development and trade, but "perhaps New Essays in Democratic Thought we were too generous in extending grants, loans and general The American electoral process is a market in which the economic help while paying inadequate attention to U.S. currency is votes and party competition is the primary mech- requirements for our own economic health," writes veteran anism for implementing public policy, note economist Geof- diplomat and arms control expert Paul H. Nitze in these frey Brennan and philosophy professor Loren E. Lomasky in memoirs. He describes his key roles in the Pentagon, White introducing these essays. They compare the role of public House and State Department during the Cuban missile crisis, choice in a democracy with human behavior in conventional the Vietnam war and the negotiation of the SALT and Inter- markets, calling attention to a "deep-seated skepticism" mediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaties. Grove Weidenfeld, about democracy. Cambridge University Press, 40 W. 20th 841 Broadway, New York, N.Y., 10003. 504 pages. $25 St., New York, N.Y., 10011. 238 pages. $39.50 (ISBN 0-521- (ISBN 1-55584-110-4). 35043-3). Second Chance: SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY The United States and Indochina in the 1990s Science and Technology in the Academic Enterprise: The renewed threat of a Khmer Rouge takeover has forced Status, Trends, and Issues the Bush Administration to get involved and support Cambo- "The nation now faces decisions of how, to whom, to what dia's non-Communist resisters, notes Frederick Z Brown, extent and for what purposes to allot limited resources" for former foreign service officer and Senate Foreign Relations academic research, contends a council of scientists, policy Committee aide. But "once more, the welfare of the Cambo- makers and industry engineers. They explore the role of uni- dian people seems to be the least important concern of those versities, the declining number of students heading for scien- forces-Communists and non-Communists alike-seeking to tific and academic careers, the governance of universities and shape Cambodia's political future." He cites normalization of the research agenda on industry, economics, the environment U.S. ties with Vietnam as a necessary part of a solution. and health. Government-University-Industry Research Council on Foreign Relations Press, 58 E. 68th St., New Roundtable, 2102 Constitution Ave. NW, Washington, D.C., York, N.Y., 10021. 163 pages. $14.95 (ISBN 0-87609-069-2). 20418. 100 pages. Free (ISBN 0-309-04175-9). NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 3017 AT A GLANCE BUDGET ploy the rail-mobile MX or the road-mobile single-warhead Midgetman, Congress this year appropriated a $1.1 billion Long-term deficit reduction Not that anyone is sur- pot of money for the missiles, leaving it up to President Bush prised, but the Congressional Budget Office is projecting that and the Pentagon to split the funds between the two. The rail- this fall's deficit cutting "reconciliation" will accomplish little mobile MX system is expected to cost $5.6 billion through by way of long-term deficit reduction. Preliminary CBO fig- fiscal 1994. Earlier this year, Defense Secretary Dick Cheney ures circulating on Capitol Hill peg the deficit at $128 billion had wanted to cancel the Midgetman program, which could for fiscal 1990 and $134 billion for 1991, gradually declining cost more than $30 billion, but was overruled by Bush, who to $109 billion in 1994. If the CBO is proved right, the White has endorsed deployment of both systems. Few observers House and Congress would have to cut the deficit by $60 believe, however, that future defense budgets will be able to billion in fiscal 1991 to avoid across-the-board spending cuts support a two-missile solution to the seemingly endless mis- under the 1985 Balanced Budget Act. But the Office of Man- sile vulnerability debate. (See NJ, 4/15/89, p. 958.) agement and Budget, which makes the final determination of how much deficit cutting is needed to avoid such cuts, is ENVIRONMENT expected to make the job easier. OMB director Richard G. Darman has said his agency's estimate of the 1991 deficit will Golden State farm water Federal water supply contracts be about $100 billion; that would require $26 billion in sav- with California farmers will be renegotiated by the Interior ings to avoid across-the-board cuts. Final OMB estimates will Department, but could be amended based on the results of appear in President Bush's 1991 budget, due on Capitol Hill subsequent studies of their environmental impacts, Interior on Jan. 22. (See this issue, p. 3021.) Secretary Manuel Lujan Jr. announced late last month. The move ended internal Bush Administration discord over re- DEFENSE MANAGEMENT newal of the 40-year water contracts with farmers in Califor- nia's Central Valley. Lujan, seeking to provide farmers with a Base closure revisited Having spent 11 months review- steady supply of water, wanted to renew the contracts with- ing the work of the Pentagon's Commission on Base Closure out extensive environmental studies. But officials of the Envi- and Realignment-which last December recommended clos- ronmental Protection Agency and the White House Council ing 86 military installations and revamping 59 others for an on Environmental Quality argued that the government estimated annual savings of $693.6 million-the General Ac- should study the impact of the massive water diversion on the counting Office finally weighed in with an analysis of 15 of western rivers. Under a compromise, the farmers will con- the largest targeted bases. The GAO found that the commis- tinue to get water channeled by federally built dams, but the sion had overstated annual savings by as much as $170 mil- price, time and manner of delivery and conservation methods lion. Nonetheless, it concluded, there is "still a substantial could be renegotiated if studies show a need to protect the annual savings." The GAO agreed with the commission's environment, an Interior spokesman said. decision not to consider environmental restoration costs at the condemned bases, which are handled under another Pen- HEALTH tagon program. But it determined that those costs could run as high as $661 million, money that must be found some- Infant mortality The National Commission to Prevent In- where if the bases are to be put to other uses by 1995. In the fant Mortality, a congressionally mandated group chaired by case of Indiana's Jefferson Proving Ground, which has been former Sen. Lawton Chiles, D-Fla., hailed little-noted legisla- peppered with 23 million rounds of ammunition since 1941, tion passed by Congress at the end of the session approving the commission had said that closure would yield annual three low-cost programs to improve pregnant women's use of savings of $6.6 million, with closure costs to be repaid in six prenatal services. They provide home visits to high-risk years. The GAO, however, estimated those annual savings at women by health workers, improved coordination and co- only $6.3 million and said that it could take 38 to more than location of social services to such women and testing of a 200 years to recover the closure costs. The Pentagon stands pregnancy handbook. Congress has yet to set aside money; by the commission's work, which has been endorsed by Con- the law specified that funds not be diverted from current gress despite stiff resistance by Members representing af- maternal health programs. Receiving more attention was a fected districts. Defense Secretary Dick Cheney has said that big-ticket measure requiring states to offer medical care to all defense cuts in the years ahead would require another round pregnant women and mothers and their children up to age 6 of base closures, but Members do not appear eager to go with incomes as high as 133 per cent of the federal poverty through this ordeal again. The closure of foreign bases does line. Though less inclusive than that sought by Rep. Henry A. not require Congress's OK. (See NJ, 4/1/89, p. 801.) Waxman, D-Calif., chairman of the Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Health and the Environment, the measure * goes far beyond prior law, which covered mothers with in- MX on the road In the latest twist in the long-running comes up to 100 per cent of the poverty line. MX missile basing saga, the Air Force late last month an- nounced that the 50 of the 10-warhead nuclear missiles now IMMIGRATION in former Minuteman III silos in Wyoming will be uprooted and placed on special trains based at Air Force facilities in Veto of the Chinese students bill Congress is expected seven states. In a crisis, the missile trains would be moved out to vote early in the second session to reenact a bill permitting of their garrisons to cruise commercial rail tracks. After yet Chinese students involved in their nation's pro-democracy another round of legislative wrangling over whether to de- movement to remain in the United States. President Bush 3018 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 A Weekly Checklist of Major Issues announced on Nov. 30 that he would pocket veto the mea- prepared for Rangel and Sen. Sam Nunn, D-Ga., overcrowd- sure, but would seek to accomplish the objectives of the ing at federal prisons has now reached 56 per cent above legislation through administrative means. A new vote "will capacity. The cost of building additional prison space may be taken first thing in January," said a spokesman for Rep. prove enormous, with GAO estimates at $51,340 to house Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., sponsor of the original bill, which was each added prisoner. State prison systems are now at 23 per passed by the House by a 403-0 vote and by the Senate by cent above capacity, the GAO added. In a statement, Rangel unanimous consent. Congressional leaders say they regard blamed the soaring prison population growth on the "root Bush's action as a formal-rather than a pocket-veto and causes" of drug abuse, including homelessness, joblessness may seek a vote to override it. Supporters of the measure and poverty. At the state and local level, Rangel added, argue that Bush's proposal would force students to apply for alternatives to incarceration, including vocational training relief on a case-by-case basis and thus increase their exposure and education, should be considered. Rangel has introduced to possible retribution if they ever return to their homeland. legislation to create such alternatives for nonviolent offend- In notifying Congress that he would not sign the bill, Bush ers. Meanwhile, Senate Judiciary Committee chairman Jo- said his objective is to try to preserve U.S.-Chinese student seph R. Biden Jr., D-Del., is planning legislation to boost the exchange programs. Of 40,000 Chinese students now in this number of federal judges to help cope with the influx of drug- country, about 30,000 hold visas that require them to return related cases. to China for at least two years before they can apply to return to the United States. Following the June massacre in Beijing's POLITICS Tienanmen Square, the Bush Administration extended stu- dent visas for a year. "Soft" money in 1988 "Soft" money played a greater role in last year's elections than was previously disclosed, accord- INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS ing to a survey by the nonpartisan Center for Responsive Politics. The survey found that Democratic and Republican Bases in the Philippines The air cover provided by U.S. Party organizations in nine states received an aggregate $28.5 planes from Clark Air Base to Philippine government troops million (the GOP got $16.7 million, the Democrats $11.8 combating rebel forces is likely to complicate negotiations for million) during 1987-88, in addition to the more than $40 a new U.S. base rights deal. Philippine President Corazon C. million the two national party committees had previously Aquino requested the help, which probably saved her govern- reported receiving. Soft contributions cannot legally be used ment from a military takeover but might also have weakened to aid federal candidates but can be spent on state and local her politically by reinforcing the public perception that she is campaigns, get-out-the-vote drives and generic "party-build- dependent upon the United States. Negotiations had been ing" activities. The center was unable to trace how the nine scheduled to begin this month on renewing the base agree- state parties spent the soft dollars, but executive director ment that expires on Sept. 16, 1991. Though Philippine pub- Ellen S. Miller said that many contributions came from out- lic opinion polls have generally showed an acceptance of the of-state donors in the campaign's final weeks, leading her bases, politicians have insisted that they are a remnant of U.S. group to suspect that the effort was being coordinated to aid imperialism and that the government won't be independent the parties' national tickets. The nine states surveyed-Cali- until the bases are gone. U.S. analysts are concerned about fornia, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina, the timing of the negotiations because they see parallels with Pennsylvania, Texas and Washington-were chosen because the situation in Greece. The United States must vacate its they were expected to be presidential election battlegrounds bases in Greece by May 20, 1990, under the terms of an last year. Soft money, Miller said, has become "an end run agreement that expired last December. Because of political around the campaign finance laws." (See this issue, p. 2980.) upheaval in Greece-an interim government is holding office prior to elections next April-negotiations on a new agree- ment have been suspended. "You don't want to wait until six TRANSPORTATION weeks before you have to leave to know where you stand," The Eastern Air Lines veto Transportation Secretary Sam- said a congressional analyst who specializes in overseas bases. uel K. Skinner said that the presidential veto of labor-sup- (See NJ, 2/11/89, p. 339.) ported legislation to create a blue-ribbon panel to make rec- ommendations on ending the Eastern Air Lines Inc. strike LEGAL AFFAIRS was among the best decisions in the transportation arena during the Bush Administration's first year. "It's not the Drug arrests and prisons Federal prisons suffer from dra- federal government's job" to intervene in labor disputes, matic overcrowding, primarily the result of increased incar- Skinner said during a year-end wrap-up session with report- ceration rates for drug abusers, mandatory sentencing and ers on Dec. 4. But the Eastern machinists union, which went tougher antidrug laws, according to a General Accounting on strike in March, is furious about the veto. "The people in Office report. Over the past two years, drug offenders ac- the Administration, including Bush himself, would rather see counted for 79 per cent of the increase in federal prisoners, thousands and thousands [fewer] union members in the said a GAO fact sheet prepared for Rep. Charles B. Rangel, United States, and this is one way to get rid of a bunch of D-N.Y., chairman of the Select Committee on Narcotics militant union members," said William J. Holyater, director Abuse and Control. Suprisingly few of the prisoners are vio- of legislative and political action for the International Associ- lence-prone; 94 per cent of first-time drug offenders and 62 ation of Machinists and Aerospace Workers. "They are out to per cent of repeat drug law violators are without a history of destroy organized labor in this country-it costs their bud- violence, the study said. According to another GAO report dies money and power." NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 3019 DEFENSE FOCUS/DAVID C. MORRISON W hen President Bush, in his second major address on East- share Open Skies' expenses, estimated by a specialist at $12 West relations last May 12, proposed before an audience at million for a small aircraft with sensors and $3 million a year in Texas A&M University to resuscitate "Open Skies," a relic of the operating costs. All types of imaging sensors would be permit- Eisenhower Administration, the initial reaction of the pundits ted-from standard high-speed cameras to "forward-looking in- was not kind. frared" devices that make thermal "photos" at night-but not President Eisenhower, after all, first floated the idea that the electronic eavesdropping gear. two superpowers open their airspace to surveillance overflights The U.S. vision of how Open Skies might work in practice, because he had little else to propose at the first U.S.-Soviet still subject to negotiation, would have the inspecting nation's summit in Vienna in 1955. "We were sure" the Soviets would aircraft arrive at a designated airport in the inspectee's territory. never accept, Eisenhower later said. Nor did they. "Who are you After filing a flight plan, the inspectors would have to wait 24 trying to fool?" Soviet Premier Nikita S. Khrushchev demanded hours while the plane is examined for illegal sensors, air crews of Eisenhower. Open Skies would simply "give your strategic rest up and disputes over flight plans are resolved. ("Air safety forces the chance to gather tar- considerations should be the get information and zero in on Opening the Skies only area restrictions," a State us," Khrushchev said. (Former Department fact sheet says.) Soviet Ambassador Anatoly Observers from the nation being Dobrynin has said that Khru- surveilled would go along for shchev, surmising that the the flight. United States would never The United States also seeks really take da for an answer, inspection quotas based on geo- wanted to accept Open Skies but graphic size that would allow was overruled by the Politburo.) two and a half times as many A unilateral U.S. Open Skies U.S. missions over the Soviet program, blasted into the open Union as that country would be when the Soviets downed a U-2 able to conduct over the United spy plane, aborted another su- States. The Soviets have not yet perpower summit in 1960. If, in the less chilly age of Richard A. Bloom endorsed this scheme. Questions also remain to be Gorbachev and glasnost, out- resolved concerning the use of and-out Soviet rejection of Open data collected by Open Skies Skies II was less likely, Bush's Bush has revived Eisenhower's idea. planes. "I can see a real need for touting of the plan still struck interpretation experts," Jeffrey many observers as one more manifestation of his alleged inade- P. Tracey, an electro-optical systems specialist with Intera Tech- quacies in grappling with that "vision thing." It thus provided nologies Ltd., an Ottawa-based airborne sensor company, told fodder for several days of derisive commentary. the Stimson gathering. "If you misinterpret data and start point- "We were a little bemused by the way the press reacted to the ing fingers," he warned, "that's going to be a real problem." initial announcement in the A&M speech," an Administration Even if all of the complexities can be ironed out, Open Skies official told a gathering of reporters and analysts at a late-No- might still strike many as redundant when so many arms trea- vember Open Skies briefing staged by the Henry L. Stimson ties, each with its own elaborate verification measures, are on the Center, a new arms control think tank in Washington. "The fast track, and when the earth's space teems with spy birds. general tenor of the commentary was a) that it was anachronistic Canada's External Affairs Department argues in a paper that and b) that it was pretty much [superseded by] the advent of though Open Skies "is not treaty-related, there will be inevitably satellites," he said, adding that "it continued to be pursued quite some [reinforcing] interplay with existing and proposed arms actively in the government to an escalating degree, but had zero control agreements." public visibility." And aircraft can do things that satellites cannot. "There is a Now, having been endorsed in a May 30 NATO communiqué big difference between taking pictures from 2 miles up rather and treated positively by the Soviet side at the ministerial meet- than 200 miles up," the U.S. official said at the Stimson briefing. ing in Wyoming in September, an Open Skies treaty could well Moreover, he noted, satellites "are not cheap, and Open Skies be submitted for Senate consideration by this time next year. aircraft are extremely valuable in that context." Open Skies, in (True to Bush's notion that his Open Skies should be "on a fact, could short-circuit calls that have been put forth by France broader, more intrusive and radical basis" than Ike's, the U.S. and Canada for an international satellite monitoring agency that plan would initially embrace all 23 of the NATO and Warsaw would be neither cheap nor easy to implement. Pact nations.) Next February, the NATO and Warsaw Pact "You can do wonderful things with surveillance aircraft and countries plan to meet in Ottawa-Canada has been a prime [unclassified] exportable sensors," Stimson Center president Mi- proponent of Open Skies-to begin hammering out the specifics. chael Krepon said in an interview. "I really see it as a low-cost, Even as "military transparency" and on-site inspection gain short-term, feasible alternative to international satellite monitor- growing acceptance, many issues must be settled before the skies ing," he added. "You could use Gulfstream aircraft, for crying can open. The Soviets, for instance, want to create an interna- out loud. You could use used cameras. And there's no tech tional agency that would use a common pool of aircraft and transfer problem, if you use the right equipment." Recalling the sensors. Arguing that international red tape would only hamper flap early this year over a suspect chemical weapons plant built the project, the United States rejects this approach. (Not irrele- in Libya with West German assistance, Krepon noted that "a vantly, perhaps, the United States also boasts the best surveil- fuzzy three-meter photo created real embarrassment for Ger- lance gear.) Smaller nations might still want to band together to many and Libya." 3020 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 BUDGET FOCUS/LAWRENCE J. HAAS N OW that Mikhail S. Gorbachev's attempt to bring the Soviet mated would bring in $81.3 billion in savings over the next five Union into the 20th century has prompted a revolution years. Questioned by correspondent Judy Woodruff, he said: throughout Eastern Europe, might we ask for some glasnost "Well, obviously we can always do more. I wouldn't say this was from our own leaders on the budget issue? a perfect result, but it's-compared to other years, I think it's We may not have "newspeak," that standardized truth that one of the strongest, if not the strongest, performances." George Orwell warned about in his classic 1984. Rather, we have Never mind that little 1982 Tax Equity and Fiscal Respon- "budgetspeak"-less formalized, but no less insidious. Up can be sibility Act, which, by itself, was projected to raise nearly $100 down, and down can be up. All it takes is a little common billion in taxes over just three years. You know, the one that understanding from the White House and Congress, Democrats Dole, as Senate Finance Committee chairman, was so instru- and Republicans alike, to make it so. mental in bringing about. And never mind the 1982 reconcilia- Some critics theorize about a grand conspiracy on the part of tion bill, which was projected to cut $13 billion in spending over America's leaders to play down the budget deficit, to avoid the three years. Together, that's $113 billion in deficit reductions issue in any significant sense by over three years, compared with proclaiming that they are mak- ing much more progress than Budgetspeak $81.3 billion over five years in this year's package. they are. And while we're praising this Whatever the leaders' mo- fall's fiscal 1990 pact as "one of tives, budgetspeak is at least the strongest, if not the stron- convenient. It enables the lead- THE UNITED STATES OF AMNESIA gest," you'd better ignore that ers to sidestep the very tough three-year, $63 billion reconcili- issues-some of which they THIS NOTE IGNORES ALL DEBTS, PUBLIC AND PRIVATE ation bill, most of it in tax in- have confronted unsuccessfully WASHINGTON, P.C. creases, that Washington en- in the past-upon which any acted in 1984. If everybody says significant deficit cutting deal PENNY A PENNY this year's was the best, it must would depend. MAIL After all, if Washington is LURIBUS SECURITY be. Who cares about history, LEVERAGED anyway? making progress, the deficit is Gee Bush *LET OUR KIDS How well did Washington do coming down and the executive FOOT THE BILL this fall? Well, our leaders say, and legislative branches are DON'T WORRY, BE HAPPY they cut the deficit by $17.8 bil- working together, who's to say lion for 1990. that anyone needs to do more? But, when you ignore a few Whether any of those assump- one-shot savings that, they tions are correct, however, is another matter. agree, should not be counted, they actually cut the deficit by only Did President Bush agree to a tax increase? No, everybody $14.7 billion. says, he did not. The White House and congressional Republi- Of course, in that $14.7 billion are a few other one-shot sav- cans, of course, would never admit to such an assertion. To do so ings, or just plain gimmicks. They claimed $1.7 billion in "sav- would prove that Bush did what he said he would never do. And ings" from taking the U.S. Postal Service "off-budget," although because he would never do that, they say, he did not. Got that? such a maneuver doesn't really save any money. And they Nor are the Democrats inclined to embarrass a nice guy like claimed $700 million more by forcing federal retirees to take Bush. So, they say, he didn't raise taxes. their retirement benefits over two years, not all at once. No real Never mind April's budget pact between Bush and congres- savings there. sional leaders, in which the two sides agreed to raise $5.3 billion But in April, the White House and Congress had agreed to in taxes. Taxes, it seems, are not taxes. Got that? And never mind those maneuvers. And so, they included them as part of the the $6.1 billion in tax increases that were actually enacted for $14.7 billion. Some gimmicks are good, and some are bad, it 1990, through various tax changes that were just approved. seems, depending on when policy makers conspired to rely on Never mind that for those who will pay more-in taxes, that is- them. Or, as Orwell might have put it, "All gimmicks are equal, the changes sure feel like a tax increase. No, the President did but some are more equal than others." not raise taxes-because he says he didn't. And if you need more To reach that $14.7 billion, policy makers also imposed 130 proof, everybody else says so, too. So there! days of across-the-board spending cuts, calculated to save $4.6 Did Washington do a good job in cutting the deficit this year? billion next year. It sure did. Ask the congressional leaders. "Well, I think so," Remember those across-the-board cuts? They represented a Senate Minority Leader Robert Dole, R-Kan., said on Nov. 22 wholly unthinkable gun that Congress held to its own head in when asked on the MacNeil/Lehrer NewsHour whether the first 1985. Those cuts weren't ever supposed to take effect. Instead, session of the 101st Congress had been "productive on the bud- with the threat facing them, policy makers were supposed to get deficit." adopt a more rational deficit cutting approach to meet annual Dole said that Richard G. Darman, the Administration's bud- deficit targets. get director, "said it's the best budget agreement we've had in Now, it seems, those cuts were not so unthinkable after all. years, so it's-you know, it wasn't good when we started, but Now, if Washington comes up short in meeting whatever deficit I think we end up with a pretty good product." Well, if Darman cutting target it imposed on itself, the nation's leaders may be said so, it must be true. Is everybody on board? inclined to employ those cuts to finish the job. Also appearing on that show, House Speaker Thomas S. Fo- In the world of budgetspeak, the unthinkable can become the ley, D-Wash., wasn't about to disparage this fall's deficit cutting thinkable overnight. Or, up can be down. All it takes is a little "reconciliation" bill, which the House Budget Committee esti- common understanding. NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 3021 LEGAL FOCUS/W. JOHN MOORE P ity Hamilton Burger. The long-suffering foil to unbeatable formation in any criminal case and back up the request with a criminal defense lawyer Perry Mason, prosecutor Burger grand jury subpoena. suffered ignominious defeat after defeat, extending his record- Some of the defense lawyers' complaints can be dismissed as setting courtroom losing streak before a nationwide television gripes from attorneys doing a thriving business representing the audience. most despicable defendants. But defense counsel dispute a stat- It turns out that the fictional Burger was a victim of bad ute that forces them into the role of stool pigeon. timing. The Eighties has proved to be the decade of the prosecu- Federal prosecutors obviously feel differently, arguing that the tor. Federal crime-busters such as Joseph E. diGenova in Wash- fruits of crime should not be used to pay for expert legal advice. ington, Rudolph W. Giuliani in New York, "Mad Dog" Robert It's "the same as a bank robber going to a lawyer with money he W. Merkle in Tampa and Anton R. Valukas in Chicago became just stole from a bank," Kenneth Magidson, head of the Gulf superstars. They were treated as hometown heroes and cheered Coast Drug Task Force in Houston, told the Chicago Tribune by the national news media (even though Giuliani lost his cam- recently. "An attorney's no special person." paign for mayor). But as government watches In a time of scoundrels, the Prosecutor Power the lawyers, who is watching U.S. Attorneys waged a coun- government? The Wall Street terattack on corruption. Cor- Journal's editorial page has cru- rupt judges in Chicago, cocaine saded against the feds' use of the kingpins in Miami, thieves on 1970 Racketeer Influenced and Wall Street and crooked bank- Corrupt Organizations (RICO) ers all over were foiled by dedi- Act. Much of the newspaper's cated federal crime fighters. At criticism focused on the weap- times, it seemed the only known ons prosecutors could wield antidote for the epidemic of even before trial, especially the white-collar crime was a power- forfeiture of assets allegedly ful dose of prosecutorial virtue. gained through criminal ac- "The function of the prosecu- tions. (See NJ, 3/11/89, p. 572.) tor is to ultimately make all men angels and then go out of busi- Richard A. Bloom Now, in a decision almost universally regarded as harsh ness," Otto Obermaier, the new criticism of government pros- U.S. Attorney for the Southern ecutors, a federal judge in New District of New York, summed Federal prosecutors at the Justice Department Jersey has merely slapped the up in the November issue of the wrists of executives with a New American Bar Association's ABA Journal. Jersey securities firm that was forced out of business by the feds In pursuit of this lofty goal, federal prosecutors have relied on in a RICO case. tough-guy tactics sanctioned by Congress and public opinion. There are other hints that times may be changing. Prosecutors And the lawmen certainly can employ heavy artillery in their could lose one of their biggest advantages if a decision by Judge war on crime. Congress has supported federal prosecutors with Harold H. Greene of the U.S. District Court for the District of more firepower in virtually every antidrug bill and criminal Columbia is upheld by appellate courts. In a decision last month, justice legislation enacted in the 1980s. Greene found new criminal sentencing guidelines unconstitu- Given these weapons, federal enforcers hardly hesitate to use tional on the ground that they violated a defendant's right to due them. Look at a recent ruling by the Internal Revenue Service process. (IRS) requiring criminal defense lawyers to identify clients and More important, Greene's decision raised a troubling question provide detailed client information regarding fees and methods about prosecutorial discretion in criminal cases. Under the of payment. Failure to furnish this information can lead to both guidelines, which restrict judicial discretion, mandatory mini- civil and criminal penalties, but many defense attorneys have mum penalties are imposed for various crimes. The guidelines refused to submit it, citing their clients' constitutional rights. really give prosecutors the upper hand by determining punish- "Unquestionably, these latest actions by the IRS present a ment at the same time charges are filed. The prosecutors call the serious threat to the criminal defense bar and attorney-client shots by deciding what charges to file, and judges have almost no relationship," the National Association of Criminal Defense authority even to tinker with sentences. Lawyers (NACDL) warned in a Nov. 14 letter to its members. "The sentencing statute has largely replaced the traditional The IRS effort "presents a serious challenge to the adversary role of judges in the critical sentencing phase of the criminal system of justice, and places honest, ethical lawyers in a serious process by vesting most sentencing decisions in prosecutors," dilemma," the letter concluded. Greene's Nov. 16 opinion said. The sentencing guidelines, he Since the Supreme Court in June ruled in favor of the govern- added, "have thus effected what may be the most fundamental ment, federal prosecutors have wasted little time in demanding change in the criminal justice system to have occurred within the fee information from defense lawyers, including such luminaries past generation." of the bar as F. Lee Bailey. For defense lawyers, Greene's decision hints that some judges So far, the Justice Department and its U.S. Attorneys have may be wary of the extraordinary power that gradually accrued been careful to seek forfeiture of legal fees only in drug cases, to prosecutors. "It is an encouraging development," said H. knowing there is public support in these instances. Before Scott Wallace, NACDL's legislative director. After years of Valukas quit his post in Chicago, he assured local defense attor- smashing victories, prosecutors might be facing some defeats. In neys that forfeiture would not be sought in commodities fraud the end, that might herald a more level playing field for prosecu- cases. But there is no reason prosecutors can't demand fee in- tors and defendants. 3022 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 Capitol Steps-2977 Environmental Defense Fund-2990 Carnegie Endowment for Intl. Peace-3006 Environmental Protection Agency-2991, 3018 Carter, Jimmy-3004 Environmental Quality Council-3018 Weekly Index Center for Participation in Democracy-2983 Erlenborn, John N.-3012 (p) Center for Responsive Politics-2987, 3019 External Affairs Department (Canada)-3020 (p) indicates a reference in the People section Center for Strategic and Intl. Studies-3003, 3006, Exxon Corp.-3008 Adams, Brock-3014 (p) 3014 (p) Falwell, Jerry-2984 Administration Committee, House-2983 Central Intelligence Agency-3006 Federal Election Commission-2982, 2986 Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry Committee, Sen- Channell, Carl (Spitz)-2981 Federal Home Loan Bank Board-3012 (p) ate-3012 (p) Chemical Manufacturers Assn.-2989 Federal Housing Administration-2994 American Assn. of Retired Persons-2977, 3013 (p) Chemical Waste Management of Oak Brook-2991 Federal Reserve System American Bar Assn.-3022 Cheney, Dick-3008, 3018 Board of Governors-3000 ABA Journal-3022 Chicago Council on Foreign Relations-3026 Finance Committee, Senate-3021 American Civil Liberties Union-2984 Chicago Tribune Co. Fitts, C. Austin-2997 American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Re- Chicago Tribune-3022 Fitts and Blackwell-2997 search-2977 Chiles, Lawton-3018 Fitzwater, Marlin-3008 American Horizions-2985 Christian Broadcasting Network-2985 Foley, Thomas S.-3021 American Opportunity Foundation-2984 Christian Coalition-2985 Foreign Relations Committee, Senate-3012 (p), American Petroleum Institute-3013 (p) Citizens Action-2987 3017 American University Citizens Clearinghouse for Hazardous Waste-2990- Fray, Carolyn-3013 (p) Public Affairs School-2993 92 Freedom Council-2985 Public Information Office-3013 (p) Clean Air Act (1970)-2989, 2991 Freer, Robert E., Jr.-2980, 2986 Washington School of Law-2990, 2993, 3013 (p) Clean Water Action Project-2990 Frenzel, Bill-3001 Americans Talk Security-3026 Cohen, Sheldon S.-2981, 2984 Friedkin Industries Inc.-3013 (p) Anderson, Frederick R.-2990, 2993 Colgrove, Ann A.-3014 Friedkin, Monte-3013 (p) Anthony, Beryl F., Jr.-2977, 2986 Collender, Stanley E.-3002 Fund for an American Renaissance-2985 Appropriations Committee, House-3013 (p) Columbia Broadcasting Inc. Gallup Organization Inc.-3015 Aquino, Corazon C.-3019 CBS News-3026 Gannett Co. Arbatov, Georgi-3003 Commerce Department USA Today-3015, 3026 Armed Services Committee, House-2987 Census Bureau-3016 Gans, Curtis B.-2983 Arms Control Assn.-3003 Commercial Programs-Domestic and Intl.3014 (p) Garn Institute-2987 Aspin, Les-2987 Committee for the Study of the American Electorate General Accounting Office-3001-02, 3018-19 Babbitt, Bruce E.-2985 -2983 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade-3003 Bailey, F. Lee-3022 Committee for Economic Development-3001 General Dynamics Corp.-3013 (p) Baker and Hostetler-2984 Comprehensive Environmental Responsive Response Gephardt, Richard A.-2977 Baker, Howard H., Jr.-3013 (p) Compensation and Liability Act (1980)-2992 Gerasimov, Gannadi I.-3008 Baker, James A., III-3003, 3008 Congressional Budget Office-3001, 3018 Gersh, Mark H.-2986 Baker, Worthington, Crossley, Stansberry & Woolf Continental Health Affilites Inc.-3017 Gibbs, Lois M.-2990-92 -3013 (p) Cooper, Davis, Eaglin and DeSilva-3012 (p) Gingrich, Newt-2984, 3000-01 Bakker, Jim-2984 Corr, William V.-3013 (p) Ginsberg, Benjamin-2986 Balanced Budget Act (1985)-3000, 3018 Council on Foreign Relations-3006, 3008, 3026 Giuliani, Rudolph W.-3022 Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee, Cranston, Alan-2980-81, 2983, 2997 Goldschmidt, Neil E.-3004-05 Senate-2995, 3012 (p) Cranston, Kim-2983 Gorbachev, Mikhail S.-3003, 3006, 3008-09, 3011, Housing and Urban Affairs Subcommittee-2995 D'Amato, Alfonse M.-2997 3015, 3020-21, 3026 Bell, Boyd & Lloyd-3013 (p) Dachi, Stephen F.-3014 (p) Gordon, Ben-2990, 2992 Benavidez, Hortencia-3012 (p) Darman, Richard G.-3002, 3018, 3021 Gore, Albert, Jr.-3005 Bennett, William J.-3013 (p) Defense Department-3003, 3008, 3017 Gossens, Peter J.-3013 (p) Bentsen, Lloyd-3014 (p) Air Force-3018 Goulding, Phil G.-3013 (p) Biden, Joseph R., Jr.-3019 Commission on Base Closure and Realignment Govenment-University-Industry Research Round- Black, Gordon S., Corp.-3015 -3018 table-3017 Blackwell, J. Kenneth-2997 Defense Logistics Agency-2987 Gradison, Willis D.-2999 Blackwell, James A., Jr. III-3003 Navy Department-3008, 3013 (p) Gramm, Phil-2999-3000 Bonior, David E.-2982 U.S. Coast Guard-3006 Gray, Kimi-2996 Bork, Robert H.-2984 DelliBovi, Alfred A.-2996-97 Greene, Harold H.-3022 Boster, Ronald S.-2999 Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Greenpeace Intl.-2990, 2992 Boyer, Francis-2977 -2977, 2986 Greenpeace Action-2990, 2992 Bradley, Bill-3005 Democratic Natl. Committee-2980, 3013 (p) Greenspan, Alan-3000 Brandeis, Louis D.-2991-92 DeMuth, Christopher-2977 Greenways for America-3007 Brennan, Geoffrey-3017 DeRocco, Emily-3013 (p) Guarini, Frank J.-2999 Brinkley, David-3009 Dickens, Charles-2998 Gulf Coast Drug Task Force-3022 Brookings Institution-3001, 3009 Dickenson, William L.-2987 Guttman, Robert M.-3014 (p) Brown, Frederick Z-3017 diGenova, Joseph E.-3022 Hall, J. Blakely-3012 (p) Brown, Jane Scott-2987 Dillon, Read & Co. Inc.-2997 Hall, Ralph M.-3012 (p) Brown, Ronald H.-2980 Dobrynin, Anatoly-3020 Hamilton, William W., Jr.-2982 Bruner Foundation-3007 Dole Foundation-2987 Hancock, Mel-2987 Bruno, Hal-3008 Dole, Robert-2985, 2987, 3021 Hargis, Billy James-2984 Buckley, William P.-2989 Dole, Gregory S.-3014 Harkin, Tom-2982, 3014 (p) Budget Committee, House-2999-3001-02, 3014 (p), Donnelly, R.R.-2986 Hart, Gary-2985 3021 Dorn, Jenna-3014 (p) Hay, Keith-3007 Bush, President Dornan, Robert K.-2982 Health and Human Services Department Bush-Gorbachev Malta summit, importance of Dow Jones & Co., Inc. Social Security Administration-3002 -3003 The Wall Street Jounral-2997, 3022 Helms, Jesse A.-3012 (p) community recreation, plant movement toward Doyle, Richard-3014(p) Heinz, John-2999-3000 -3007 Dukakis, Michael S.-2983, 3004, 3014 (p) Heritage Foundation-2984, 3008 Dimitri K. Simes, profile of-3006 Duke University-2984 Heron, Burchette, Ruckert & Rothwell-3013 (p) Eisenhower's "open skies" idea, revival of-3020 Durant & Durant-3012 (p) Hess, Stephen-3009 Jack F. Kemp's HUD plans-2994-95, 2998 Durant, W. Clark., III-3012 (p) Hind, Rick-2993 Oregon Gov. Neil Goldschmidt, interview with Eaglin, Paul B.-3012 (p) Hofeller, Thomas B.-2980 -3004-05 Eastman Kodak Co.-2989 Hollings, Ernest F.-2999-3000 social security surpluses, impact of budget deficit Eckert Seamans Cherin & Mellott-3002 Holyater, William J.-3019 -2999 Economic Policy Institute-2997 Homeownership and Opportunity for People Every- state environmental activism, industies' worry over Education Department-3014 (p) where (HOPE)-2994-96 -2989, 2991, 2993 Eisenhower, Dwight D.-3020 Hopkins, Bruce R.-2984 U.S.-Soviet relations, Bush's cautiousness toward Energy and Commerce Committee, House-2993, Horn, Robert J.-2986 -3011 3013 (p), 3018 Housing and Urban Development Department U.S.-Soviet summit, diplomatic skills of-3008-09 Health & Environment Subcommittee-2989, -2994-98 C-SPAN-2977 3018 Humbert, Thomas M.-2995-98 Campbell, W. Donald-2995-98 Energy and Environmental Protection Committee, Hume, Brit-3009 Capital Cities House (Iowa)-2992 Hunt, Guy-2991 ABC News-3008, 3015 Enterprise Foundation-2995 Hurwitz, Geoffrey-2989-90, 2992-93 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 3023 Hutter, Jean-3013 (p) Natl. Broadcasting Co. Inc. Sasser, Jim-2999 Interstate Conference of Employment Security Agen- NBC News-3006 Sawhill, Isabel V.-3002 cies Inc.-3013 (p) Natl. Center for Policy Alternatives-2992 Scalia, Antonin-2977 Intera Technology Ltd.-3020 Natl. Commission to Prevent Infant Mortality-3018 Schultz, William B.-3014 (p) Interior Department-3007, 3013 (p), 3018 Natl. Committee for an Effective Congress-2986 Seyfarth, Shaw, Fairweather & Geraldson-3012 (p) Land and Water Conservation Fund-3007 Natl. Conference of State Legislatures-2986, 2992 Shane, Jeffrey-3013 (p) Intl. Assn. of Machinists and Aerospace Workers Natl. Congress for Community Economic Develop- Sierra Club-2990-93 -3019 ment-2998 Simes, Dimitri K.-3006 Intl. Institute for Strategic Studies-3017 Natl. Economic Commission-3001-02 Simon, Paul-2985 Jackson, Jesse-2985 Natl. Endowment for the Arts-3014 (p) Skinner, Samuel K.-3019 Johnson, Lyndon B:-2995, 3016 Natl. Football League-2996 Slattery, Jim-3002 Jones, Day, Reavis & Pogue-3014 (p) Natl. Governors' Assn.-2993 Smegal, Thomas F.-3012 (p) Jones, Jim-2993 Natl. Housing Conference-3013 (p) Social Security and Natl. Savings-3001 Judiciary Committee, House—2981 Natl. Legislative Educational Foundation-2984 Spurrier, Earl C.-2992-93 Judiciary Committee, Senate-3013 (p), 3019 Natl. Low Income Housing Coalition-2995 Standard Oil Co.-3008 Antitrust, Monopolies and Business Rights Sub- Natl. Neighboodhood Coalition-2997 Stanford University committee-3013 (p) Natl. Republican Congressional Committee-2980 Hoover Institute on War, Revolution and Peace Justice Department-2984, 2986, 3022 Natl. Republican Senatorial Committee-2986 -2997 Federal Bureau of Investigation-2983 Natl. Research Council-3017 Stangeland, Arlan-2982 Kanitz, Bud-2997 Natl. Solid Wastes Management Assn.-2991, 2993 State Department-3008, 3014 (p), 3017, 3020 Kasich, John R.-3000-02 Natl. Toxics Campaign-2990 Economic and Business Affairs Bureau-3013 (p) Kasten, Robert W.-2987 Natural Resources Defense Council Inc.-2990, Staub, H. Gerald-3013 (p) Keating, Charles H., Jr.-2981-83, 2987 3014 (p) Stavins, Robert N.-2993 Kemp, Jack F.-2985, 2994-98 The New Republic-2997 Stockmeyer, Steven F.-2987 Kerwin, Cornelius M.-2993 The New York Times Co. Sununu, John H.-3009 Khrushchev, Nikita S.-3020 The New York Times-2983, 3006, 3009, 3026 Supreme Court-2977, 2994, 2991-92 King, Martin Luther, Jr.-2996, 2998 Newman, Sandy-2983 Sutton, Willie-2981 Kirk, Paul G. Jr.-3014 (p) Nicklas, Bob-2982 Svec, Milan-3006 Klieman, Aaron S.-3017 Nitze, Paul H.-3017 Swafford, Claude G.-3012 (p) Kondratas, S. Ann-2995, 2997 Nixon, Richard M.-2981 Swaggart, Jimmy-2984 Krepon, Michael-3020 North Atlantic Treaty Organization-3008-09, 3015, Swillinger, Dan-2984, 2986 Kristol, William-3013 (p) 3020 Tauke, Thomas J.-2982 Labor and Human Resources Committee, Senate Nunn, Sam-3019 Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act (1982) Labor Subcommittee-3013 (p) O'Connor & Hannan-3012 (p) -3021 Labor Department-3014 Obermaier, Otto-3022 Tax Reform Act (1986)-2981 Lawyers for Reagan-Bush-2986 Oberstar, James L.-2982 Tel Aviv University-3017 Lawyers for the Republic Inc.-2980, 2986 Operation PUSH-2985 Texas A&M University-3003, 3009, 3020 League of Conservation Voters-2985 Orwell, George-3021 Henry L. Stinson Center-3020 Legal Services Corp.-3012 (p) Owens, Marcus S.-2981 Texas Air Corp. Legislative Studies Institute-2987 PACs & Lobbies-2983 Eastern Airlines Inc.-3019 Lieberman, Joseph I.-2991 Parks, Rosa-2996 Thomas, William M.-2986 Liebman, Morris I.-2986 Partnership for Democracy-2982 Thompson, Kenneth-3014 (p) Lincoln Savings & Loan (Irvin, Ca.)-3013 (p) Patterson, Belknap, Webb & Tyler-2986 Times Mirror Co. Lincoln, Abraham-2998 Pauley, Ann-3013 (p) Los Angeles Times-3006 Liner, Blaine-2991, 2993 Peace Media Project-2982 Tracey, Jeffrey P.-3020 Local Initiatives Support Corp.-2996, 2998 Pelosi, Nancy-3019 Transportation Department-3014 (p), 3019 Lomasky, Loren E.-3017 Penner, Rudolph G.-3001-02 Federal Aviation Administration-3013 (p) Lugar, Richard G.-3012 (p) Penny, Timothy J.-2982 U.S. Coast Guard-3003 Lujan, Manuel, Jr.-3018 Pergamon-Bassey Intl. Defense Publishers Inc. Treasury Department-2981, 2994-95, 2999, 3001, Lusk, Anne-3007 -3017 3012-13 Luttwak, Edward N.-3006 Phelps, Dunbar, Marks, Claverie & Sims-3012 (p) Internal Revenue Service-2981-87, 3022 Lynch, Patricia Gates-3014 (p) Pickle, J.J.-2981, 2984 Thrift Supervision Office-3012 (p) Mackaronis, Christopher G.-3013 (p) Pierce, Samuel R., Jr.-2997-98 Tryens, Jeffrey-2992 Maddy, Jim-2985 Pirchner, Herman-2987 Tucker, William-2997 Magidson, Kenneth-3022 Planned Parenthood Federation of America Inc. Uddo, Basile J.-3012 (p) Makris, Anthony S.-2987 -2982 U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia Management and Budget Office-2995, 3001-02, Political Resources Inc.-3017 -3022 3018 Pope, Carl-2991-93 U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New Mandelbaum, Michael-3006, 3008 Praeger, Richard Q., Jr.-3013 (p) York-3022 Matalin, Mary-2986 President's Commission on Americans Outdoors U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Ala- Mathiasen, David G.-3001 -3007 bama-2991 Maupin Taylor Ellis & Adams P.C.-3012 (p) Price Waterhouse-3002 U.S. Institute of Peace (Washington)-3006 McDonnell Douglas Corp.-3014 (p) Project Vote-2983 U.S. Postal Service-3016, 3021 McKinney, Pam-3014(p) Public Citizen Litigation Group-3013 (p) U.S. Public Interest Research Group-2993 McNamara, Robert S.-3009 Public Interest Research Groups-2990-92 Urban Institute-2991, 2993, 2995, 3001-02 Mendez, Pepe J.-3012 (p) Quayle Quarterly-2977 Valois, Robert A.-3012 (p) Merkle, Robert W.-3022 Quayle, Dan-2977, 3009, 3013 (p) Valukas, Anton R.-3022 Miller, Ellen S.-2987, 3019 Quealy, Patricia A.-3002 Ventrell-Monsees, Cathy-3013 (p) Miller, Lorain-3012 (p) Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations Act Voice of America-3014 (p) Mitchell, George J.-2999 (1970)-3022 Voles, Lorraine A.-3014 (p) Mondale, Walter F.-2982-83 Radio Free Europe and Radio Liberty-3013 (p) Waddell, Gregg W.-2984 Moore, Allen-2991, 2993 Raiser, C. Victor., II-3013 (p) Wall, M. Danny-3012 (p) Morandi, Larry-2992-93 Rangel, Charles B.-3019 Wallace, H. Scott-3022 Morgan, Lewis and Bockius-2981 Reagan, Ronald-2982, 2986, 2989, 2991, 2994-98, Wallace, Michael B.-3012 (p) Mothers and Others for Pesticide Limits-3014 (p) 2999, 3004, 3011, 3016 Washington Communications Group-3017 Moynihan, Daniel Patrick-2999, 3001-02 Reischauer, Robert D.-3001 The Washington Post Co. Murdock, J.E. (Sandy), III-3013 (p) Republican Natl. Committee-2980, 2986 The Washington Post-2987, 3000, 3006, 3015 (p) Murphine & Walsh-2989 Republican Natl. Lawyers Assn.-2986 Waxman, Henry A.-2989, 3004-05, 3018 Murphine, Ralph D.-2989 Resolution Trust Corp.-3013 (p) Ways and Means Committee, House-2984 Murphy, Terry-2977 Rivlin, Alice M.-3001 Oversight Subcommittee-2981, 2984 Myers, Robert J.-3002 Roberts, Benson F.-2996, 2998 Wear, Terrance J.-3012 (p) NAACP-2986 Robertson, Marion G., (Pat)-2981, 2984-85 Weber, Vin-2982 Nader, Ralph-3014 (p) Rohm and Haas Co.-2989, 2992 Werksman, Deborah-2977 Narcotics Abuse and Control Select Committee, Rosen, Jack-3017 Wiese, Arthur E.-3013 (p) House-3019 Rosenberg, Ralph-2992 Women's Legal Defense Fund-3013 (p) Natl. Agricultural Chemicals Assn.-2992 Rouse, James W.-2995, 2998 Woodruff, Judy-3021 Natl. Assn. of Attorneys General-2993 Rubin, James P.-3003 Wyden, Ron-3005 Natl. Assn. of Business PACs-2987 Ryan, C. William-2990-92 Youth Project-2982 Natl. Assn. of Criminal Defense Lawyers-3022 Sanford, Terry-2999 Zigas, Barry-2995 Natl. Assn. of Regional Councils-3013 (p) Sassaman, Virginia-3013 (p) Zuckerman, Ed-2983 3024 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 Recent Articles Articles appearing in National Journal during the six weeks from Oct. 21 to Dec. 2 are listed below. Page numbers of major articles are in boldface; page numbers of focuses and updates are in lightface. BUDGET HEALTH budget deficit, impact on economy leadership role 11/11-2786 health problems, commissions' proposals on 10/28-2634 budget process reform, continuing efforts on 11/18-2830 Oregon medicaid experiment, skepticism over 11/11-2766 budget reconciliation bill, outlook for 12/ 2-2947 IMMIGRATION debt-management process, Brady's manipulation of 11/ 4-2724 immigration advocate Rick Swartz, profile of 10/21-2591 fiscal 1990 budget, departments' plans for 11/ 4-2697 states' high cost for resettling refugees 11/ 4-2723 COMMUNICATIONS INTERGOVERNMENTAL AFFAIRS AM radio broadcasters' plight, FCC response to 10/21-2584 billboards fight on health and tax issues, impact on 11/25-2897 Bell telephone plans for offering information services 10/28-2664 Dukakis's environmental strike force, praise of 10/28-2648 CONGRESS N.C. antipoverty strategy, success of 11/11-2774 abortion-rights group's hit list, impact of 10/21-2607 LEGAL AFFAIRS Bush-Dole rivalry, GOP's impact on 11/11-2775 constitutional rights for children, Court case on 10/21-2608 Bush's staff appts., concern over 12/ 2-2952 Congress's failure to enact a child care bill, impact of corporate wrongdoers, stiff punishments' for 11/ 4-2707 11/25-2899 10/21-2589 drug dealers' money laundering, banks' role in 12/ 2-2924 Cranston's preoccupation with campaign funds drug war strategy, criticism of 11/ 4-2692 Democrats' legislative success, overconfidence on 10/28-2652 ex-Justice aides conservative policies, fight for 12/ 2-2950 deregulation's impact on Administration, outlook for 12/ 2-2965 executive vs. legislative branch, power struggle between 11/18-2816 personal injury cases, companies' right to secrecy in 11/25-2909 House committee chairman, loss of support privacy rights, Supreme Court rulings on 10/14-2514 12/ 2-2931 medicaid funds for abortions, tough choice on 10/21-2592 POLITICS Rep. Ravenel's attempted party switch 11/18-2842 abortion and negative ads, Democrats' advantage on 11/18-2862 tax breaks for members of tax-writing committees 10/28-2646 abortion-rights advocates, success in 1989 campaign 11/11-2776 DEFENSE abortion-rights movement, momentum for 11/ 4-2730 arms treaty compliance, foreign verification of 10/21-2580 Bradley's 1992 presidential bid, strong probability of 10/21-2574 Derek J. Vander Schaaf, profile of 11/ 4-2708 budget deficit reduction, strategies of 10/21-2612 gays in the military, Pentagon's policy on 11/11-2785 Bush's caution toward Eastern Europe policy 11/25-2914 Hackworth's book "About Face," response to 11/25-2910 Bush's cautious approach to foreign affairs, outlook on 11/11-2790 Pentagon's power, efforts to control 11/18-2820 conservative natl. security groups, outlook for 11/11-2746 Pentagon's systems analysts, key role of 11/11-2740 Dinkins's dwindling lead in New York, reasons for 10/28-2653 tank modernization, Army-Congress battle over 10/14-2533 direct-mail advertising, increasing use of 11/25-2881 exit polls, usefulness of 12/ 2-2970 DEMOGRAPHICS GOP abortion stance, governors' criticism of 11/18-2844 1990 census projections, problems encountered in 11/11-2765 N.J. governor's race, Courter's main issues in 10/21-2597 ECONOMY New Jersey legislature, Democrats' capture of 11/11-2759 Asian-U.S. economic links, concern over. 10/28-2624 pollster J. Bradford Coker, profile of 11/25-2896 Federal Reserve's retaining its prestige, outlook on 11/25-2893 twenty year retrospective 11/18-2804 Japan's global leadership role, analysis of 10/21-2568 Va.'s governor race, Coleman's negative campaign in 11/ 4-2712 EMPLOYMENT AND LABOR PRESIDENCY OSHA's signs of turnabout 11/25-2889 Bush-Gorbachev Maltese summit, outlook on 11/11-2770 pension plans corruption, Labor's warning on 10/28-2630 Bush's decision making, future impact on 10/21-2594 rail workers injury compensation, labor fight over 11/25-2895 Bush's party leader role, effectiveness of 10/28-2650 social security long-term solutions, outlook for 11/18-2824 Bush's promise of cooperation with Congress, failure of 11/18-2840 social security's Martha A. McSteen, profile of 10/28-2655 PRESS ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT NPR's Adam Clayton Powell III, profile of 12/ 2-2951 clean air legislation, delay on 11/18-2832 U.S. journalists reporting fairly, examination of 11/25-2908 global warming, environmentalists' concern over 11/11-2750 RACE RELATIONS NRDC's David D. Doniger, profile of 11/18-2839 black-white deep rifts, persistence of 11/11-2785 nuclear activist Scott Denman, profile of 11/11-2768 oil spill clean-up, industry's payments on 11/ 4-2706 SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY Reps. McCollum and Sabo's assessment of session 12/ 2-2948 NASA's search for life on other planets 11/18-2833 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS technology's solving major problems, success of 11/18-2818 low-income lending, federal enforcement of 10/28-2639 TAXATION S&L scandal, impact on five Senators 12/ 2-2955 Darman's optimism on capital gains tax cut 10/21-2588 FOREIGN POLICY tax give-backs to the affluent, Congress's strategy on 10/21-2606 Tax Reform Act, challenges to 11/ 4-2682 Bush's approach toward Noreiga, concern over 10/28-2665 East and West Germany reunification, outlook on 11/ 4-2705 TRADE Eastern European changes, Democrats' advantage in 11/25-2900 Japanese car import limits, risks on 11/18-2826 East Germany's changes, effect on intl. relations 11/25-2872 transnational corporations' conflict on trade policy 11/11-2754 East Germany's changes, effect on national security 11/25-2873 U.S.-Japan structural trade impediments, outlook on 10/28-2644 United Nations role, new attitude toward 11/ 4-2687 WELFARE U.S.-Panama relations, Noreiga's impact on 12/ 2-2937 welfare reform law, disputes over success of 12/ 2-2942 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 3025 POLITICAL PULSE/WILLIAM SCHNEIDER Skepticism About Internationalism "Many things that were characteristic of the Cold War cans endorsed the view that "Communism is dying." But 55 should be abandoned," President Mikhail S. Gorbachev de- per cent preferred the formulation "Communism is being clared at the conclusion of the Malta summit meeting with reshaped to be more open." The third option, that Commu- President Bush. What he had in mind, the Soviet leader nist hard-liners are "waiting for an opening to crack down," explained, was "the use of force, the arms race, mistrust, was accepted by only 17 per cent. psychological and ideological struggle." The public approves of the economic initiatives Bush an- For 50 years, U.S. foreign policy has been premised on the nounced at Malta-encouraging U.S. business investment in existence of a totalitarian threat-first Fascism, then Com- Eastern Europe and granting favorable trade terms to the munism. During almost all of our history before that, isola- Soviet Union and Eastern Europe. But the public does not tionism was the guiding principle of American foreign policy. like the economic aid package Bush was pressured by Con- Is there a danger that the United States could return to gress to accept. Most Americans reject any increase in aid to isolationism, now that we have achieved our mission of de- Eastern Europe, including the nearly $1 billion aid package feating totalitarianism? Not likely. passed by Congress. Americans have become used to a Only a fourth of Americans object world leadership role, and the public, Before we commit to the defense cuts being considered by being better educated, is more con- the Bush Administration. And while scious of the complex strands of inter- resources and incur half of the public believes U.S. troops dependence that tie the nation to the should remain in Europe, the number rest of the world. new obligations who think those troops should be re- Nevertheless, isolationist pressures internationally, duced or withdrawn has been grow- are bound to be felt. Isolationism is a ing-from 13 per cent in 1982 to 15 populist sentiment. It is most promi- Americans want to per cent in 1982, 16 per cent in 1986 nent among the poor and the poorly educated, those who believe that most know, what's in it for and 34 per cent now. As the Communist threat dimin- of the things we do for the rest of the us? ishes, Americans are not looking to world are wasteful, pointless and un- make new commitments. They are appreciated. Sometimes, as in Viet- looking to disengage and demobilize- nam, they are right. and to exploit new opportunities for The end of the Cold War poses a trade and investment. challenge to 50 years of internationalism. The challenge is to Every four years since 1974, the Chicago Council on For- come up with a new mission in the world. It is a challenge eign Relations has asked Americans to rate the importance of that both political parties will have to face. Republicans will various foreign policy goals. The goals that come out at the have to figure out how to continue selling defense spending top of the list are self-interested: protecting American jobs, and interventionism when the United States does not face a securing adequate energy supplies, reducing the U.S. trade clear military threat. Democrats must demonstrate that deficit, achieving arms control. America's economic challenges require globalist, rather than Internationalist goals always fall to the bottom of the list- protectionist, solutions. promoting human rights, bringing democracy to other coun- There is a bottom-line requirement for our new mission in tries, helping to improve the standard of living in less devel- the world: It has to be firmly grounded in self-interest. Amer- oped nations, protecting weaker nations against foreign ag- icans do not seem to be in the mood for noble ventures or gression. great sacrifices. Cold War goals-stopping the spread of Communism, de- The public is not quite convinced that the Cold War is fending the security of America's allies, matching Soviet mili- over. By 54-37 per cent, a majority rejected that view when tary power-come out in the middle. As the Cold War loses polled by CBS News-The New York Times just before the intensity, these goals are sure to drop in importance. That Bush-Gorbachev meeting. People do, however, see a sharply means that either Americans will become more self-interested diminished Soviet threat. or their leaders will have to find a new way to package About equal numbers of Americans now see the Soviet internationalism. Union as "a peace-loving nation, willing to fight only if it Here's an example. In May 1988, the Americans Talk thinks it has to defend itself," and "an aggressive nation that Security project asked the public to react to two statements. would start a war to get something it wants." That is the same One said, "It's time to reduce our financial commitments to balance that prevailed at the end of World War II, before the other countries and spend more on our problems at home"; Cold War started. As recently as 1985, the "aggressive" view 84 per cent agreed. The other statement said, "To keep the of the Soviet Union outweighed the "peace-loving" view by 4- U.S. economy growing, America must increase its participa- 1. Just since last May, the number of Americans who believe tion in the world economy and in international affairs gener- the Soviet Union is trying to dominate the world has dropped ally"; 77 per cent agreed. from half to a third. Americans are not really hostile to internationalism. They So why is there still a Cold War? Because Americans see are just skeptical. Before we go off committing resources and the Communist threat as changing, not necessarily dying. In incurring new obligations, people want to know, what's in it a USA Today poll taken last month, only a fourth of Ameri- for us? 3026 NATIONAL JOURNAL 12/9/89 William E. Simon Former Secretary of the Treasury, Insight reader The average Insight reader is far above average. They're business leaders, policy-makers, even cabinet members. Insight readers have unmatched household incomes. Higher than Simmons finds among readers of Time, Newsweek or U.S. News - or their premium-priced demographic editions. Higher, too, than for readers of the traditional business magazines. And Insight doesn't just sit on the coffee table. It gets read. Circulation is over 500,000 fully paid and total readership is four-and-a-half times that high. William Simon says this about Insight: "It's provocative. It provides a point of view that most of the standard publications don't. In my judgment, for anyone involved in international business and finance, and most especially those involved in public policy, it's absolutely mandatory reading." If you want to get above average results from your advertising, ask your agency about Insight. Or call us direct. New York 212-599-1730 Atlanta 404-248-1470 Boston 617-332-8596 Chicago 312-346-8810 Dallas 214-931-9001 Detroit 313-354-5050 Los Angeles 213-670-2334 Insight Talk to the powers that be. Your average Joe. 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