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GERALD Rx. - 12 - FORD 1817 President -The President moved to the next agenda topic and introduced Alan Greenspan who gave an economic overview. Greenspan -Mr. Greenspan indicated that the new data is generally negative and that the industrial index is continuing downward. -He sees general erosion continuing in the economy with the homebuilders and auto in- dustries being very weak and inventories being disgorged at a rapid pace. -However, he does not see any indication that there is an acceleration of deterioration which he considers to be very important and perhaps a sign that several months out, we will see a bottoming of the current decline. -He indicated also that most retailers have reduced prices in order to relieve their vast inventories and that the retail market is generally holding up quite well. -He does not anticipate the January rise in un- employment to be significant, certainly not as significant as the December rise. While the January figure could be higher, he doesn't anticipate that it would be dramatically or shockingly higher. Therefore, his conclusion is that the rate of deterioration is peaking out.

Document source description

Topics discussed at the meeting include White House organization, congressional liaison, economic policy, and foreign relations.

Page data

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186639
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    "ocrText": "GERALD\nRx.\n- 12 -\nFORD\n1817\nPresident\n-The President moved to the next agenda topic\nand introduced Alan Greenspan who\ngave\nan economic\noverview.\nGreenspan\n-Mr. Greenspan indicated that the new data is\ngenerally negative and that the industrial\nindex is continuing downward.\n-He sees general erosion continuing in the\neconomy with the homebuilders and auto in-\ndustries being very weak and inventories\nbeing disgorged at a rapid pace.\n-However, he does not see any indication that\nthere is an acceleration of deterioration\nwhich he considers to be very important and\nperhaps a sign that several months out, we\nwill see a bottoming of the current decline.\n-He indicated also that most retailers have\nreduced prices in order to relieve their vast\ninventories and that the retail market is\ngenerally holding up quite well.\n-He does not anticipate the January rise in un-\nemployment to be significant, certainly not as\nsignificant as the December rise. While the\nJanuary figure could be higher, he doesn't\nanticipate that it would be dramatically or\nshockingly higher. Therefore, his conclusion\nis that the rate of deterioration is peaking\nout."
}