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GERALD
Rx.
- 12 -
FORD
1817
President
-The President moved to the next agenda topic
and introduced Alan Greenspan who
gave
an economic
overview.
Greenspan
-Mr. Greenspan indicated that the new data is
generally negative and that the industrial
index is continuing downward.
-He sees general erosion continuing in the
economy with the homebuilders and auto in-
dustries being very weak and inventories
being disgorged at a rapid pace.
-However, he does not see any indication that
there is an acceleration of deterioration
which he considers to be very important and
perhaps a sign that several months out, we
will see a bottoming of the current decline.
-He indicated also that most retailers have
reduced prices in order to relieve their vast
inventories and that the retail market is
generally holding up quite well.
-He does not anticipate the January rise in un-
employment to be significant, certainly not as
significant as the December rise. While the
January figure could be higher, he doesn't
anticipate that it would be dramatically or
shockingly higher. Therefore, his conclusion
is that the rate of deterioration is peaking
out.
Document source description
Topics discussed at the meeting include White House organization, congressional liaison, economic policy, and foreign relations.
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Context sent to Scholar
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"ocrText": "GERALD\nRx.\n- 12 -\nFORD\n1817\nPresident\n-The President moved to the next agenda topic\nand introduced Alan Greenspan who\ngave\nan economic\noverview.\nGreenspan\n-Mr. Greenspan indicated that the new data is\ngenerally negative and that the industrial\nindex is continuing downward.\n-He sees general erosion continuing in the\neconomy with the homebuilders and auto in-\ndustries being very weak and inventories\nbeing disgorged at a rapid pace.\n-However, he does not see any indication that\nthere is an acceleration of deterioration\nwhich he considers to be very important and\nperhaps a sign that several months out, we\nwill see a bottoming of the current decline.\n-He indicated also that most retailers have\nreduced prices in order to relieve their vast\ninventories and that the retail market is\ngenerally holding up quite well.\n-He does not anticipate the January rise in un-\nemployment to be significant, certainly not as\nsignificant as the December rise. While the\nJanuary figure could be higher, he doesn't\nanticipate that it would be dramatically or\nshockingly higher. Therefore, his conclusion\nis that the rate of deterioration is peaking\nout."
}