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New York City, October 1975
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New York City, October 1975
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The original documents are located in Box 5, folder "New York City, October 1975" of the White House Special Files Unit Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Copyright Notice The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Gerald Ford donated to the United States of America his copyrights in all of his unpublished writings in National Archives collections. Works prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public domain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to remain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid copyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Jim - As terry suggests - I will hold here for the time being. from Trudy FORD LIBRARY & GERALD Digitized from Box 5 of the White House Special Files Unit Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON New Vork Plo bup these maturals together The President may wish to review them again erry ODamell MEETING WITH SENATOR MANSFIELD ET AL. Monday, November 10, 1975 8:30 A.M. THE PRESIDENT HAS SEET GERALD FORD (IBRARY THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEL THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON October 9, 1975 MEMORANDUM FOR: DONALD RUMSFELD FROM: JIM CONNOR Dick Dunham was unable to compile the information requested in your memo of October 7th; however, OMB has provided the attached information on Federal assistance to New York City. Encl. MEMORANDUM THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON October 7, 1975 MEMORANDUM FOR: JIM CONNOR FROM: DON RUMSFELD Please get from Dick Dunham the exact percentage of dollars that go into the New York City federal budget with some explanation of what else goest to New York city like transfer payments for Social Security, etc. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET WASHINGTON, D.C. 20503 OCT 9 1975 MEMORANDUM FOR JIM CONNOR abo FROM: Dale R. McOmber SUBJECT: Federal assistance to New York City Yesterday, you asked for information on Federal assistance to New York City. Attached is a copy of a memorandum to the President that we did a couple of weeks ago on this subject at Pat Delaney's request. Note well the caveats in it; they apply at least as much to what follows here. According to New York City's 1975-6 budget (which we understand is being revised), Federal aid (including general revenue sharing) is financing 21% of NYC's total expense budget. A New York Times article of February 1, 1975 contained figures indicating that the Federal government also is financing 16% of NYC's capital budget. According to the Census Bureau's figures for 1973, 49% of the spending of governmental units (including the authorities) in the NYC area was financed by intergovernmental revenues. We do not know how much of this 49% was Federal. (Probably, an estimate for 1976 would show a higher percentage.) The attached table shows estimated direct Federal transfer payments to persons in the five boroughs of NYC in fiscal year 1974. These figures are taken from the Community Services Administration's compila- tion (called Federal Outlays) of Federal outlays by State and county. Don't be misled by the apparent precision of the estimates, but the orders of magni- tude are probably reasonable. There is a figure for Food Stamps in the table--$116 million. If Food Stamps payments in New York have grown like those elsewhere, the 1976 figure will be about twice that of 1974. 2 We were not able to get a figure on student loans to persons living in NYC. We did get a guess that Basic Opportunity Grants (i.e., income-related higher education grants) will be about $30 million in 1976. Attachments SEP 24 1975 INFORMATION MEMORANDUM FOR: THE PRESIDENT FROM: JAMES 2 LYNN SUBJECT: Federal Assistance to New York City About a month ago OMB did a fast survey of Federal grant programs that will provide assistance to New York City in fiscal year 1976. The results of the study are summarized below. Before using the figures -- if you do -- you should know the caveats that go with them. The survey was done hastily to meet a short deadline. Consequently, -- only major programs were included, and -- the figures are rough estimates. The figures do not reflect the fact that Federal assistance is provided in many different ways. For example, some require matching funds while some do not, and some go through States while some go directly to the City. Knowing the effect of changes in the amount of Federal assistance requires knowing how the assistance is provided in any particular case. Obtaining solid, reliable figures on aid to specific cities, even large ones, would require a massive, costly study. The survey indicated that Federal assistance payments to New York City in fiscal year 1976 will be in the vicinity of $3-1/2 billion. The distribution of these funds among programs is expected to be roughly as is shown on the attached table. Attachment retyped for Director's signature/sv 9/24/75 Rough Estimate of Direct and Indirect Federal Grants to New York City in Fiscal Year 1976 (in millions of dollars) Amount Payments to individuals: Medicaid 1,115 Public assistance (cash) 657 Food and nutrition 135 All other 137 Subtotal 2,044 Education and manpower 408 General Revenue Sharing 263 Transportation (mostly mass transit) 203 All other (community development, waste treatment facilities, debt service contribution to housing authority, etc.) 582 Total 3,500 Transfer Programs - 1974 Federal Outlays for New York City (millions of dollars) Total Bronx Kings New York Queens Richmond Social Security: Disability insurance 210.9 36.5 77.2 35.6 51.7 9.9 Retirement insurance 1642.9 275.0 511.4 379.1 426.9 50.5 Survivors insurance 453.7 81.0 157.8 73.6 121.8 19.5 Medicare 470.8 84.1 150.7 113.0 110.2 12.8 Medicare:supplemental medical insurance 164.9 29.5 53.0 38.7 39.1 4.6 Supplemental security income 136.2 30.1 46.2 45.2 13.1 1.6 Coal miners benefits 2.1 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.7 * Unemployment benefits: Placement services-admin 28.1 2.0 6.0 17.6 2.0 0.5 Unemployment insurance 17.6 3.2 5.7 4.6 3.7 0.4 Military retired pay 42.4 4.3 3.2 20.2 12.7 2.0 VA compensation & pensions 147.1 24.0 44.5 29.8 42.1 6.7 VA readjustment training 64.2 10.5 19.4 13.0 18.4 2.9 Food stamps 116.6 33.9 44.8 23.8 11.9 2.2 Civil service retirement & disability 148.6 26.9 51.1 28.3 36.8 5.5 VA insurance and indemnities 29.0 4.7 8.8 5.9 8.3 1.3 Total 3675.1 Total Federal Outlays 16289.6 1798.2 3200.4 8566.0 2371.0 354.0 October 7, 1975 EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: UNTIL 6:00 p.m, OCTOBER 11, 1975 OCTOBER 11, 1975 Office of the Vice President New York, New York REMARKS OF THE VICE PRESIDENT AT THE ANNUAL COLUMBUS DAY DINNER THE WALDORF-ASTORIA HOTEL NEW YORK, NEW YORK October 11, 1975 Columbus Day in New York is always a high point in the year. Coming in mid-October, it heralds the onset of the magnificant fall season in our area with its brisk, invigorating weather and the marvelous color throughout the countryside. More importantly, Columbus Day is a special day -- special because it commemorates not only the birth of the Great Discoverer but celebrates the generations of Italo-Americans who have contributed so much to this America. In business, in finance, in labor, in science, in education and the arts, government and politics, Italo-Americans have added to the strength, the vitality and the ennoblement of our way of life. Columbus Day marks not only these achievements, but recognizes the warmth, the enthusiasm, the generosity and great humanity of those of Italian origin. It pays tribute, too, to their spiritual dedication and their intense patriotism. It was the spirit of Columbus -- seeking of a new world -- the seeking of opportunity, that brought Italian immigrants here and that motivates their descendents today. As we celebrate this Columbus Day, it is well to remember also that Christopher Columbus challenged the popular thrust of his day -- the belief that the world was flat. At a time when opinion was overwhelmingly against his insight and view, Columbus took the unpopular course. He did so because it was what the best informed minds and most knowledgeable observers counseled. He did so because it was the sound way -- and his courage was more than vindicated. This is a time, too, when leadership again faces unpopular action if we are to pursue a sound course for the future. Pesident Ford faces it continually in the difficult role of combating inflation and the politically unpopular actions required to hold down the persistent pressures for more federal spending -- with a $60 to $70 billion federal deficit this year. more - - 2 - Governor Carey, Mayor Beame and the Emergency Financial Control Board face it in the difficult and also politically unpopular decisions involved in restoring fiscal soundness to New York City. Yet, such steps have to be taken to restore confidence and engender outside support. \ A central fact, not fully appreciated in this connection, is that the President of the United States does not have authority under existing statutes to meet the situation. As we know, under the State law adopted by the Legislature on September 10, and signed by the Governor, New York City must come up by next Thursday, October 15, with a budget and financial plan which will produce a balanced budget by June 30, 1978. This plan must be based on the realistic estimate of revenues provided to the City by the State Emergency Financial Control Board. The Control Board must either approve, disapprove or modify the City's plan by October 20 to accomplish these objectives. The City must take the action required to implement this plan. When the necessary actions are taken and a solid base is established for restoration of budgetary and fiscal integrity for the City, it is my belief that at this point a basis will have been established for help to bridge that difficult period -- between the adoption of the necessary measures required by the State Emergency Financial Control Board this October and the restoration of investor confidence in the City's full financial viability by June 30, 1978. In other words, when the Control Board and the City have enacted these difficult measures, the essential preconditions will have been met and the stage set for appropriate Congressional action. It is, therefore, essential that the Congress as a whole focus on the problemnow and enact appropriate legislation. Helping to bridge this gap -- to give opportunity for these economies and improved management measures to take root and produce results -- is certainly in the interest of all of us. While there is general agreement that management deficiencies contributed to New York City's difficulties, it is important that we not lose sight of the burden carried by New York and the other cities of the nation as they have sought to respond to human needs pressed upon them. It is equally important that these past responses be viewed in the context of their times -- times when we were being told we were an affluent society with unlimited resources that could abolish poverty by statutory fiat. The stark facts of today show that we have been promising more than we can deliver -- that we have been raising expectations beyond our capacities to meet them. As a result, we are now compelled at all levels of government to take stock of our commitments and our resources, in order to project a more realistic course to meet the people's needs. In this appraisal, the plight of our cities requires special attention and emphasis. This nation has too long ignored the basics for urban living -- the need for an infrastructure that provides a climate for real jobs, for business, for the economic health and the social well being of the urban areas of America where most of our people now live. FORD (MORE) - 3 - Time is of the essence and the resolution of this immediate New York City situation is crucial. After the Control Board and New York City have acted to restore fiscal integrity, it will be a true test of the responsiveness of our Congressional system as to whether the Congress can act in time to avoid catastrophe. These are difficult times, demanding hard decisions and effective actions. But out of them can come a new urban vitality -- built upon sound fiscal and social policies and a recognition and appreciation of the dynamic economic and cultural role of urban America. # # In the absence of documentation, it is puzzling and indeed troubling that this unqualified statement would appear in a nationally syndicated column. Ms. McGrory's imprudent statement follows editor- ial comment from respected newspapers in the East chiding the President's hometown for failing to meet FORD CIBRARY its debt obligations during the Great Depression. Without dwelling on the City of Grand Rapids' experience in the fiscal year ending March 31, 1934, it should be noted that the default occurred at the time of the national bank holidays in early 1933 and the amount of the principle involved was less than $1.8 million. The proximate causes were decreased revenues The Grand Rapids Press resulting from unpaid property taxes and the old EDITORIAL PAGE Grand Rapids National Bank which went into receivership at a time when it held $2½ million in city funds. Significantly, the city's financial embar- WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 22, 1975 rassment- not only was modest in amount, but it also was short-lived. With the help of a $1,150,000- Reconstruction Finance Corp. loan which became a 14-A grant, the following year's audit reflected that payments were current. At issue, however, should not be what happened to Grand Rapids 40 years ago. Rather, it is New York's We Don't Hate N.Y. current problems which must be addressed. This is why The Press on Sunday urged President Ford to use his office to assist the nation's largest and most It is too bad that the controversy over New York's important city. unfortunate financial problems is provoking from The fact is that several of this country's largest normally responsible people such heated and even cities face serious fiscal problems. Sobered by New irrational remarks. York's situation, many municipal leaders are acting Press Secretary Ronald Nessen- berates New at last to head off the inevitable consequences of York's governmental leaders for spending beyond permitting spending to exceed revenues year after the city's means and running large deficits. He year. compares the situation to a heroin addict who can't kick his "self-inflicted" habit. There is, of course, the question of precedent which Mr. Ford has raised but our inclination is that As the key spokesman for the Ford Administra- other troubled cities will react by belt-tightening, tion, it hardly behooves Mr. Nessen to be expounding rather than spending irresponsibly in order to on the merits of balanced budgets. The federal attract the kind of federal loans and/or loan deficit for the current year will exceed $60 billion. guarantees which New York City now seeks. Uneasy creditors won't be lining up in Washington, however, because the central government simply Whatever happens, however, let us be sure that has more money printed and then goes out and New York's financial crisis is not treated on the "borrows" it. No other governmental unit enjoys basis of politics as usual. Like a war, the outcome is this option. much too important to let partisan considerations dictate how the problem is attacked. On the other side, Pulitzer prize winning colum- nist Mary McGrory has taken aim at President Ford and let go with a barrage of intemperate comments. It was 1664 when Peter Stuyvesant, the Dutch Among them was a description of Mr. Ford's director general, was forced to yield the province of "rather small-bore presidency." In that same New Netherland to the British and the city of New column about New York's money predicament, Ms. Amsterdam became New York City. Considering McGrory York. asserts: "In Grand Rapids they hate New what has transpired since the, the people of Grand Rapids would seem to have ample reason to be disappointed about the stewardship exercised by Fun City's elected and appointive officials. But a feeling of disappointment is far different than one of hate. Very little of a productive nature is built on hate for, as poet Robert Graves expressed SO well: "Hate is fear, and fear is rot that cankers root and fruit alike." The people of Grand Rapids know this. How unfortunate that Ms. McGrory does not know the people of Grand Rapids. THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON October 23, 1975 MEMORANDUM TO: MAX FRIEDERSDORF FROM: RUSS ROURKE Max, Doug Bennett and I met with Senator Jim Buckley this morning for approximately 30 minutes. Our basic purpose was to discuss cer- tain factors relating to the appointment of a new U. S. Attorney for the Western District of New York. Having settled our original business, a discussion ensued concerning the plight of New York City. Buckley, who plans a press conference this morning concerning certain aspects of the New York City problem, suggested, in a most constructive and friendly fashion, that the President "minimize his rhetoric relative to New York City and talk more about the need to assist the millions of innocent citizens in the City who are the real victims of years of mismanagement and corrupt political leadership". Buckley thought the President would do well to assure those "millions of innocent citizens that they would be assured of continued essential services, viz., police, fire, etc. during this critical period". In other words, Buckley thought the President could drive home the prin- ciple he has thought to establish and place the blame where it belongs, i. on the fiscally irresponsible and corrupt political leadership in New York City, without, at the same time, totally alienating the innocent citizens of New York City. Buckley is simply concerned that the Presi- dent is coming across as one who has "written New York City off". He is convinced that that is not the case, but feels that only the President can clarify this issue. Specifically, Buckley earnestly requested a 30-minute meeting with the President prior to the time he meets with the various union representa- tives (fire, police, etc.) from New York City. After checking with Scheduling this morning, I am advised that an as yet unapproved pro- posal has Buckley scheduled for a 2:15 p.m. meeting on Tuesday, Octo- ber 28, followed by a 2:30 meeting with the union heads. I might note that Buckley expressed his deep appreciation to Doug Bennett and me for spending so much time "in his behalf" on this very ticklish -2- U. S. Attorney appointment position. Both Doug and I got the very distinct impression that Buckley, given certain considerations, would like to support President Ford against any Republican primary opposition. He was extremely pleased, for example, over the President's public references to his Food Stamp proposal. By joining forces with Buckley on this New York City issue, I believe the two can be drawn even closer together. CC: JMarsh BKendall DBennett DCheney hAS SEEN THE THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON October 22, 1975 MEMORANDUM FOR THE PRESIDENT FROM: L. WILLIAM SEIDMAN fus SUBJECT: New York City Financial Situation The near default of New York City last Friday has spurred re- newed efforts by New York State and City officials to secure Federal financial assistance. Governor Carey and Mayor Beame have testified before committees in both the Senate and the House and have generated some congressional support for fed- eral guarantees and other forms of federal assistance for New York City. The Economic Policy Board Executive Committee in reviewing the New York City financial situation remains convinced that federal financial assistance for New York City is inappropri- ate. There is also agreement that, if a way can be found to avert a New York City default without endangering the good credit of New York State and without federal guarantees, that this is preferable to a default. New York City and the Emergency Financial Control Board are releasing a three-year financial plan this week which outlines reductions in City personnel and services designed to bring the City budget into balance for the fiscal year commencing July 1, 1977. We have obtained a preliminary draft of the document which contemplates revenues and expenditures as follows: SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL PLAN (in Millions of $) City Fiscal Year 1975-76 (a) 1976-77 1977-78 Total Revenues 8392 11992 12294 Expense Budget 7479 10634 10697 Reductions -92 -462 -724 Total Expenses 7387 10272 10073 2 City Fiscal Year 1975-76 (a) 1976-77 1977-78 Debt Service 1669 2190 2071 Surplus or (Deficit) (664) (470) 150 (a) October-June only. Expense Budget figures do not include $100 million reserve for overruns for fiscal years 1976-77 and 1977-78. A copy of the draft financial plan is attached at TAB A. October 20, 1975 NEW YORK CITY Events are now rushing to an apparent climax in the financial affairs of New York City. Five days ago the city tottered on the brink of a default and was saved from that fate by an eleventh hour decision of the teachers union. The next day, Mayor Beame testified here in Washington that the financial resources of the city and of the State of New York were exhausted. Governor Carey agreed. It's now up to Washington, they say. Unless the Federal Government intervenes, New York City will no longer be able to pay its bills as of December 1. Responsibility for New York City's financial problems has thus been abandoned on the front doorstep of the Federal Government like a poor, unwanted child. As your President, I believe the time has come to make - 2 - my position clear to the citizens of New York and to those across the land: -- To sort out fact from fiction in this terribly complex situation; -- To say what solution will work and what should be cast aside; -- And to tell all Americans how the problems of New York City may relate to their lives. This is what I would like to do tonight. Many explanations have been offered about what led New York City into this quagmire. Some have said it was the recession, the flight to the suburbs of the city's more affluent citizens, the migration to the city of poorer people, and the departure of industry. Others have said that the city has become obsolescent, - 3 - that decay and pollution have brought a deterioration in the quality of life, and that a downfall could not be prevented. Let's face the facts: many other cities in America have faced these same challenges, and they are still financially healthy today. They have not been luckier than New York; they have simply been better managed. No city can expect to remain solvent if it allows its expenses to increase by % every year, while its revenues are increasing by only % a year. Yet the politicians of New York City have done precisely that for the past years. Consider what this has meant in specific terms: -- Over the last decade and a half, the number of residents in New York City has actually declined, but the number of people on the city's payroll has increased by 50 percent. - 4 - -- One-third of the employees now on the city's public education staff teach not a single student. They have either clerical or administrative jobs. -- New York's municipal employees are generally the highest paid in the United States. A sanitation worker with three years experience now receives a base salary of $15,000 a year; fringe benefits and retirement add 50 percent a year to the base. At the same time, a New York City subway coin changer receives a higher salary than a private bank clerk. -- In most cities, city employees are required to pay 50 percent of the cost of their pension. New York City is the only major city in the country that doesn't charge its employees a penny. -- Retirement for municipal employees in New York often comes at an early age, and in many cases at incomes far above normal salaries. -- The city has built a surplus of hospitals, so - 5 - many in fact that 25% of the hospital beds are regularly empty. -- The city also operates one of the largest universities in the world, and it's tuition-free for any high school graduate who wants to attend. -- And for those on welfare, the city now pays out 10 times as much per capita for benefits and assistance as any other major city in the country. I do not mean to chastise New York for its behavior or even for its generosity of spirit. That was its decision, as it should have been. But when we look back over what the New York power brokers have allowed to happen over the last 10 years: -- A steady stream of unbalanced budgets; -- - A tripling of the city's debt; - 6 - -- -- Extraordinary increases in union contracts; -- And a defiance of the experts who said again and again that the city was courting disaster, then we should have no doubt where true responsibility lies. And when the city now asks the rest of the country to pay its bills, it should come as no surprise that many Americans ask why. Why should they pay for luxuries) in New York that they have not been able to afford in their own communities? Why should the working people of this country be forced to rescue those who bankrolled the city's policies for so long -- the big banks and other creditors? So far, in my opinion, no one has given them a satisfactory answer. What they have been told instead is that unless the rest of the country bails out New York, there will be a catastrophe for the United States and perhaps for the world. There is no objective evidence to support that conclusion. - 7 - It would be more accurate to say that no one really knows precisely what would happen in our financial markets if New York defaults. It's a matter of judgment. Our own analysis within the Government leads us to conclude that the financial markets have already made a substantial adjustment in anticipation of a possible default and that further disruptions would be temporary The economic recovery would not be affected. I can understand why some might disagree with our conclusion and would speak out about their reservations. What I cannot understand -- and what none of us should condone -- is the blatant attempt in some quarters to frighten the American people into submission. This nation will not be stampeded; it will not panic when a few desperate politicians and bankers try to hold a gun to its head. What we need now is a calm, rational decision about what the right solution is --- the solution that is best for New York and for all Americans. - 8 - To be effective, the solution must meet three basic objectives: -- It must maintain essential services for the residents of New York City. They have become innocent pawns in this struggle. I promise those citizens that the Federal Government will not let them suffer terrible hardships in the months ahead. -- Second, the solution must ensure that New York City achieve will have a balanced budget as rapidly as possible. -- And third, it must ensure that neither New York City nor any other city ever becomes a permanent ward of the Federal Government. I will not be a party to any arrangement which destroys our delicate separation of powers between the Federal, state and local governments. There is already too much power in Washington. There are at this moment eight different proposals - under consideration in the Congress to prevent default. All are variations of basically one solution: that the Federal Government would guarantee the future bonds of the city SO that it could borrow additional money in the financial markets. The sponsors say that the guarantee would be short-term because the city could be forced by Federal law to balance its books within three years. I am fundamentally opposed to this solution, and I want to tell you why. Basically, I think it is a mirage. Once a Federal guarantee is in place, there is no realistic way to expect that the budget will be balanced within a short period of time. The city's politicians have proved in the past that massure they are no match for the network of pressure groups facing them. An indication of what is likely to happen as soon as the pressure is off was provided by Mayor Beame last week - 10 - when he vowed he will fight to restore the very jobs he has just been forced to cut. In the same way, the New York Times reported indications last week that in exchange for help from the teachers union, the political leadership of Example: the State made concessions which could threaten their own efforts to balance the budget. So long as "politics as usual" continues in New York -- so long as the coalition of power brokers remains undisturbed -- there can be little serious hope that hard, tough decisions will be taken. A guarantee would change nothing in New York's power structure. Instead, it would inevitably lead to long-term Federal control over the affairs of the city. Such a step would not only violate the principles of Federalism but would set a very undesirable precedent for the Nation. How can we deny other cities the same benefits extended to New York? And what discipline would be left on the spending habits of other city and state governments once - 11 - the discipline of the marketplace is removed? This is not a precedent that any of us can welcome. Finally, I think we ought to recognize who the prime beneficiaries of this guarantee program will be. Not the people of New York City: as I promised earlier, essential services will continue for them regardless of what happens. Not the people in other cities and states across the nation: a guarantee will not help them at all. No, those who will benefit the most are the politicians and the investors who have put their money in New York City securities -- the big banks and other investors, many of whom are wealthy I am a strong believer in the financial marketplace, a system in which institutions and people with money can freely invest their funds. They willingly take risks, and the higher the risk, the more profits they get for their investment. But everyone knows that sometimes risks turn sour. And when the risks do turn out to be bad, as in New - 12 - York City, I do not believe that the Federal Government should then make them good. To me, it is clear that those who made the choice to invest their money should now bear the risk, not the 200,000,000 Americans who never made such a choice. Does this mean there is no solution? Not at all. There is a sound and sensible way to resolve this issue, and I want to set it forth tonight. First, I propose that the leaders of New York face up to reality. Either they must take firm steps to avoid default, or they should prepare to accept the inevitable. They argue that they have run out of resources to help the city. I disagree. What they have run out of are alternatives that are politically easy. They can still take the tough but decisive step of raising their taxes. And if they do, they can save themselves from default. - 13 - There is no reason why citizens in the rest of the country should raise the money when it can still be done by the citizens of New York. Second, I propose that the Federal Government act now so that if the leaders of New York permit a default, it will be orderly and limited in impact. A chaotic struggle among the city's creditors and even among its employees would seriously complicate the city's problems. Unfortunately, present Federal law is inadequate to deal with this problem. Therefore, I will tomorrow submit to the Congress special legislation providing the Federal Courts with sufficient authority to carry out an orderly reorganization of the city's financial affairs. Under this legislation, a Federal judge would be able to appoint a trustee of the court who could temporarily delay payments to the city's creditors and, of critical - 14 - importance, could force the city to gradually balance its budget. The power to bring necessary reforms in the city's budget-making process is essential; by placing it in the hands of a trustee, who will be supervised by the court, we will not only ensure that it is properly exercised but that it is also temporary in nature. Let us recognize, however, that even by postponing payments to creditors and by curtailing some of its expenses, the city will still lack sufficient funds to pay its bills for as much as three years. Therefore, I am proposing that the court trustee be allowed to issue certificates to cover these shortages. These certificates would be like short- term loans and would be issued to the public. They would be guaranteed not by the Federal Government but by special revenues collected by the State of New York. Specifically, I am recommending that the State of New York introduce a temporary tax which creates enough cash to stand behind the - 15 - trustee certificates. The tax would be temporary, and the 7 money collected might even be held in escrow so that it could be returned to taxpayers after the city's financial affairs are put in order. State officials argue that the taxes in both the City and the State are already too high; further taxes would only darken their economic hopes for the future. That is true. But because it is true, then the tax should serve another very good purpose: it will give New York's leaders a strong incentive to clean up their financial affairs quickly so that the tax can be removed. To summarize, the plan I am recommending tonight is this: if New York fails to act in its own behalf, there should be an orderly default supervised by a Federal Court and financed by a temporary New York tax. This plan will work. It will work because it is sound. It will work because it is fair. - 16 - The only ones who will be hurt by this plan will be those who are fighting so hard to protect their power and their profits: the city's politicians and the city's creditors. And the creditors will not be hurt much because eventually their investments will be rewarded. For the people of New York, this plan will mean that essential services will continue. There may be some temporary inconveniences, but that will be true of any solution that is adopted. Moreover, New Yorkers have shown over the years that when it comes to coping with temporary inconveniences, they are better at it than anyone else in the world. For the financial community, the default may bring some temporary disorder but the reper- cussions will not be massive. In fact, there is solid reason to believe that once the uncertainty of New York is ended, investors will begin returning to the markets and those markets will be sturdier. Finally, for the people of the United States, this plan means that they will not be - 17 - asked to assume a burden that is not of their own making and should not become their responsibility. This is a fair and honorable way to proceed. In conclusion, let us pause for a moment to consider what the New York City experience means for the United States. Two weeks ago, I spoke to you about the choice I believe we face as a nation: the choice between continuing down a path of higher government spending, higher government deficits, and more inflation or taking a new direction by cutting our taxes and cutting the growth in government spending. Down one fork, I said, lies the wreckage of many great nations of the past. Down the other lies the opportunity for greater prosperity and greater freedom. Tonight I think it is clear what path New York City chose. None of us can take any pleasure from this moment, - 18 - because the leaders of New York were in a very basic sense following the same practices they saw in Washington. The difference is that Washington owns printing presses and can always print more money to pay its bills. But ultimately the practice of living beyond your means catches up with a nation just as it catches up with a family or city. And for the citizens of that nation, the bill comes due either in the form of higher taxes or the harshest and most regressive tax of all, inflation. All of us tonight care especially about the people of New York City: they have worked hard over the years to create one of the greatest centers of civilization. But as we work with them now to overcome their difficulties, let us never forget what led that city to the brink. And let us resolve that these United States will never reach the same crisis, Thank you and good evening. THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN THE WHITE HOUSE WASHINGTON October 23, 1975 TO: DONALD RUMSFELD FROM: JERRY J SUBJECT: Forums for Presidential Message on New York City Dick asked for a layout of the possible forums on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of next week for the President to deliver a message as to his position on New York City's financial crisis. Unfortunately, the options are rather limited; the following is the entire range that Bill, Red, Terry and I have been able to develop: 1. A forum in New York City on Wednesday morning on the way to Los Angeles. The standing forums are as follows: the Investment Association of New York -- 650 members under the age of 41; the National Alliance of Businessmen in New York City; Columbia Business School Club; New York Society of Security Analysts which the President appeared before in February of this year. The benefits of a New York forum are that the President takes on the problem in the lion's den; the down side is a travel issue, a potential demonstrator problem and the lack of a truly appropriate forum to address the humanitarian side of this problem. In addition, Mayor Beame would probably want to greet the President and this could not help but be an embarrassing situation. 2. Reschedule the luncheon speech in Albuquerque in front of the Western Governors. There will be ten Democratic governors at this conference, the subject of which is energy. The governors would probably support the President's position on New York. However, the down side problems are: (a) Rescheduling a canceled event adds to the disorganization charge; (b) addressing the New York City problem in front of Western governors may not be appropriate; (c) the conference topic is energy. 2 3. Deliver the message in a speech at the Los Angeles fund raising dinner. While this gets the President's position in front of the public it is bad form because it is a partisan function, it is in Los Angeles, it is in front of fat cats, we lose the news cycle because of the late hour on the East coast. 4. Deliver the message at the San Francisco fund raising function. Same as above except you do make the East coast news cycle on Thursday. 5. A function in Washington, D.C. This would be the best exceptthere are no appropriate forums the first three days of next week. The following groups are in town: (a) the beauticians (b) American Institute of Aeronautics (c) National Council of Jewish Women (d) Girl Scouts of America (e) Air Traffic Control Association (f) Railway Progress Institute and several others of like quality. In addition, Baroody currently does not have a large group coming in next week. If we create an event by inviting mayors or governors or some other appropriate group the down side is the charge of media manipulation and at this late date it would be difficult to avoid that problem. 6. Ask for network television time to deliver a speech to the nation. While this would be the best possible option in terms of getting the President's position well stated to the country, we believe that the networks would not grant the time request and that the topic in reality is not of sufficient importance to risk the second consecutive turndown on a time request. 7. Address a joint session of Congress on Wednesday morning. We believe that such an address should be limited to major national issues of over-riding importance. This is not one and we feel such a request would be an over-reaction to the problem and thus be a political minus. 8. Send a written statement to the Congress and make a brief statement for film on the New York City problem on Tuesday morning or Wednesday morning. Because of the lack of an appropriate forum in Washington this is our recommended option. The brief four or five minute statement can be made either from the Oval Office or in the press room and if it is properly worded it will generate the same television exposure of any of the above options with the exception of the nationwide television address. We also feel that this type of response is the most "Presidential." It does not involve travel, it does not involve theatrics, it is not an over-reaction to what is not actually a national problem and it gets maximum exposure with minimum inconvenience. 3 Therefore, we recommend Option8. Approve Disapprove INTRODUCTION This document presents a summary of the joint City-EFCB three-year financial plan developed pursuant to the requirements of Chapter 868 of the Laws of 1975, as amended. The plan demonstrates a feasible path from the City's present state of fiscal imbalance to a balanced budget for the fiscal year commencing on July 1, 1977. The financing plan presented here relies heavily, but not solely, on the materials submitted by the City on October 15, 1975. It deviates from that submission in certain ways, including a significent cash reduction in the City's capital budget by approx- imately $450 million over the period of the plan. As with any three-year planning effort, the present plan rests on several key assumptions. The assumptions concerning revenues, expenditures and borrowings are detailed below, but it is important to emphasize the extreme sensitivity of the financing plan to the terms and conditions of borrowings. Considerations common to any enterprise, such as interest rates and maturities on borrowings, are important sources of this sensitivity, as are considerations unique to a governmental enterprise, such as the response of the real property tax rate to borrowings of the City itself. The assumptions about borrowings which underly the financing plan appear to be a conser- vative reflection of likely market conditions over the life of the plan. In particular, it is assumed that there will be available a Federal guarantee for taxable, one year notes at an interest rate of eight and one-half percent. An additional key feature of the financial plan is that it prescribes a system of milestones to assist the City, the EFCB, and other interested parties to monitor the execution of the plan. It is important to point out also that no enterprise can adhere inflexibly to a rigid three-year plan. Thus, it is contemplated that specific details of the plan will have to be modified in light of experience with the yields of individual tax instruments, credit market conditions, and specific expenditure program priorities over the three-year life of this paln. Nonetheless, the broad thrust of this plan appears reasonable and feasible at this time, and the monitoring system will provide guidance regarding possible modifi- cations which may be required. -2- ASSUMPTIONS 1. Revenues: 2. City revenues are estimated in accordance with those delivered by the EFCB as of September 30, 1975, with some modifications concerning real property tax changes required by alternative debt service assumptions. b. On a cash basis, it is assumed that the State will repeat its advances of various State aid funds in the final quarter of the City fiscal year. 2. Expenses: a. It is assumed that there will be no wage increases for municipal employees for the duration of the plan other than 1975-76 increments and cost of living allowances. b. Inflationary increases in the dollar costs of supplies and purchased services for the duration of the plan are assumed to be absorbed within present agency dollar limits. In calculating agency spending levels for the City fiscal years 1976-77 and 1977-78 no further attrition in staffing levels is assumed. C. It is assumed that the City's cost for welfare and medicaid programs will remain constant throughout the plan period. d. Pension surplus reversion to the City is assumed at $104.6 million for City fiscal year 1975-76, and approximately $130 million for fiscal year 1976-77 and $160 million for 1977-78. The plan does not address the questions concerning full funding of the City's pension plans, pending recommendations from the Shinn Management Review Committee. 3. Reductions: a. Some of the cost reductions proposed by the City will in practice not be implemented in the exact manner contemplated in the City paln. In some cases the City will have to be prepared to implement these reductions to the same dollar amount through alter- native means. b. Reductions in covered agencies will be required as contained in the City submission, and the City will -3- be asked to bear primary responsibilities for monitoring compliance with the plan on behalf of the Board. C. It is assumed that operating items in the capital budget will be reduced by $30 million on a cash basis in the current City fiscal year and by $80 million in 1976-77 and $130 million in 1977-78. 4. Financing: a. It is assumed that over the life of the plan there will be available approximately $6 billion in principal amount of Federally guaranteed, taxable, one year notes, bearing 8 1/2% annual interest. FORD SECTION II SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL PLAN (in Millions of Dollars) City Fiscal Year 1975-76 (a) 1976-77 1977-78 1. REVENUES 2. Real Estate Taxes 2081 3265 3234 (See Table A) 3471 4197 4422 3. General Fund 4. State and Federal Aid 2606 4258 4369 5. Other Revenues 234 272 269 6. Total Revenues 8392 11992 12294 7. EXPENSES (excluding debt service) 8. Expense Budget 7479 10697 10634 9.. Reserve for Overrun i - 100 100 7479 10734 10797 10. MINUS Reductions - 92 - 462 -724 11. Total Expenses 7387 10272 10073 C 12. NET SURPLUS BEFORE DEBT SERVICE 1005 1720 2221 (line 6 minus line 11) D 13. NEEDED FOR DEBT SERVICE (See Table B) 1669 2190 2071 E 14. SURPLUS OR (DEFICIT) (line 12 minus line 13) (664) (470) 0150 <- (a) October - June only. additional sorrang TABLE B 1. Debt Service Required and New Debt Incurred by Year City Fiscal Year 1975-76 1976-77 1977-78 Amount (a) Debt (b) Amount (a) Debt (b) Amount (a) Debt Borrowed Service Borrowed Service Borrowed Service PURPOSE (c) (c 1. City Debt 0 1154 0 0 1908 884 Existing Prior to 10/1/75 0 628 0 632 2. MAC through 0 654 11/30/75 3. Capital Budget 867 (d) 1100 74 930 167 0 2000 50 4. Seasonal (d) 2000 50 1300 Financing 35 97 0 5. Budget Deficit 664 0 470 57 -6. Financing Short- 1569 σ(ᵈ) (d) 250 133 0 155 term debt rolling 7. City Short-term 0 debt rolled 72 0 90 0 90 3736 1669 4014 2190 3400 2071 8. Total, All Purposes 9. MINUS Seasonal: 1300 2000 2000 10. Net New (e) (f) (g) Amounts 2436 2014 1400 Borrowed (a) In year of borrowing (b) In year of payment (c) City Long-Term less amount paid from Special funds (d) December June only (e) Line 3 (75-76) Plus Line 6 (75-76) (f) Line 3 (76-77) Plus Line 5 (75-76) Plus Line 6 (76-77) (g) Line 3 (77-78) Plus Line 5 (76-77) Plus 5 (77-73 B 2. TOTAL INDEBTEDNESS Total Debt Outstanding at End of Fiscal Year, Exclusive of Seasonal Borrowing June 1975 June 76 June 77 June 7 A 1. CITY LONG Issued prior & 7,767 $6,698 $5,689 $4,97 to July 1975 B 2. MAC Long Issued through Nov. 30 3,194 3,020 2,69 3. Short Issued through Nov. 30 250 C 4. CITY SHORT 1,051 1,051 1,051 1,0 to be rolled by Banks, P.F. & S.F. 5. Outstanding 3,664 - - - D NEW DEBT TO BE ISSUED: 6. Capital 1 867 1,967 2; 7. Financing Short Debt - 8. Deficit 1,569 1,569 = - 664 1,134 9. Other - - 250 E 10. TOTAL 12,482 14,293 14,680 14 B 2. TOTAL INDEBTEDNESS Total Debt Outstanding at End of Fiscal Year, Exclusive of Seasonal Borrowing June 1975 June 76 June 77 June 78 1. CITY LONG Issued prior & 7,767 $6,698 $5,689 $4,971 to July 1975 2. MAC Long Issued through Nov. 30 3,194 3,020 2,692 3. Short Issued through Nov. 30 250 4. CITY SHORT 1,051 1,051 1,051 1,051 to be rolled by Banks, P.F. & S.F. 5. Outstanding 3,664 - - - NEW DEBT TO BE ISSUED: 5. Capital I 867 1,967 2,897 7. Financing Short Debt - 1,569 1,569 1,569 B. Deficit - 664 1,134 9. Other - - 250 - ? .7500 934 0. TOTAL 12,482 14,293 14,680 14,614 7 7 2.2 increased. TABLE C Cash Flow Statement 1975-76 (a) 1976-77 1977-78 A. 1. REVENUES: $ 8,392 $ 11,992 $ 12,294 B. 2. OPERATING EXPENDITURES: 7,387 10,272 10,073 3. Capital Expenditures: 11,147 4. Long-Term Debt Service 908 1,154 1,100 930 884 654 632 628 5. MAC Debt Service 6. Short-term debt, maturing 3,542 4,401 5,171 interest on debt to be -0- 264 419 issued: 7. Short-term Debt Service 107 140 140 8. TOTAL: 13,745 17,963 18,245 C. 9. NET CASH NEEDS 5,353 5,971 6,951 D. 10. CASH SOURCE: 3,100 -4,120 5,100 11. New Debt 12. New City Short Debt 250 -0- -0- 13. Roll by Banks, P.F., 799 1,051 1,051 S.F. 14. MAC (October and November) 426 - - 15. Aid Advance 800 800 800 16. TOTAL E. CLOSING BALANCE (carried through) 85,375 $5,971 06,951 22 -0- / -0- (a) October - June only. EFCB E2. CAPITAL BUDGET - PLAN (Cash Outlay in Millions of Dollars) City Fiscal Year 1975-76 1976-77 1977-78 A 1. Expense Budget reduce by 7% $ -20 $ -41.8 $ -41.8 B Mitchell-Lama Housing 2. Stretch Out -36 +28 3. Halt Projects -47 4. Total -83 +28 C Construction 5. Transit Authority -15 -15 -15 6. Environmental Protection -22.6 -42.6 -37.4 7. Municipal Services -13.3 -25.4 -14.2 8. Education -39.6 -40.2 -15.3 9. Other -13.1 -11.8 - 6.6 10. Total -103.6 -135 -88.5 D Reserve +46.3 +13.6 +34.5 E Total Potential Cuts 160.3 135.2 1 95.8 F Capital Budget Total $1,600.0 $1,100.0 $930.0 TABLE E 1. CAPITAL BUDGET (Cash Outlay in Millions of Dollars) City Fiscal Year 1975-76 1976-77 1977-78 A Expense Items 1. Personal Service $ 237.1 $ 217.5 $ 197.9 2. Other than Personal Service 111.1 101.9 92.7 3. Fringe Benefits 42.6 39.1 35.6 4. Lease of Facilities 92.7 92.7 92.7 5. Vocational Education 174.9 160.4 145.9 6. Manpower Training 38.6 35.4 32.2 Total $ 697.0 $ 647.0 $ 597.0 B Mitchell-Lama Housing $ 209.9 -0- -0- C Construction 1. Transit Authority 181.1 169.2 138.1 2. Environmental Protection 152.9 151.9 126.4 3. Municipal Services 86.2 35.7 18.8 4. Education 165.4 75.1 37.9 5. Other 267.8 156.3 106.6 Total $ 853.4 $ 588.2 $ 427.8 D CAPITAL BUDGET TOTAL $1,760.3 $1,235.2 $1,024.8 E Effects of Reduction 1. Expense Items 677.0 605.2 555.2 2. Mitchell-Lama 126.0 28.0 -0- 3. Transit Authority 166.1 154.2 123.1 4. Environmental Protection 130.3 109.3 89.0 5. Municipal Services 72.9 10.3 4.6 6. Education 125.8 34.9 22.6 7. Other 254.7 144.5 100.0 Total $1,552.8 $1,086.4 $ 894.5 Plus Reserve 46.3 13.6 34.5 F REVISED CAPITAL BUDGET TOTAL $1,600 $1,100.0 $ 930.0 INTRODUCTION This document presents a summary of the joint City-EFCE three-year financial plan developed pursuant to the requirements of Chapter 868 of the Laws of 1975, as amended. The plan demonstrates a feasible path from the City's present state of fiscal imbalance to a balanced budget for the fiscal year commencing on July 1, 1977. The financing plan presented here relies heavily, but not solely, on the materials submitted by the City on October 15, 1975. It deviates from that submission in certain ways, including a significent cash reduction in the City's capital budget by approx- imately $450 million over the period of the plan. As with any three-year planning effort, the present plan rests on several key assumptions. The assumptions concerning revenues, expenditures and borrowings are detailed below, but it is important to emphasize the extreme sensitivity of the financing plan to the terms and conditions of borrowings. Considerations common to any enterprise, such as interest rates and maturities on borrowings, are important sources of this sensitivity, as are considerations unique to a governmental enterprise, such as the response of the real property tax rate to borrowings of the City itself. The assumptions about borrowings which underly the financing plan appear to be a conser- vative reflection of likely market conditions over the life of the plan. In particular, it is assumed that there will be available a Federal guarantee for taxable, one year notes at an interest rate of eight and one-half percent. An additional key feature of the financial plan is that it prescribes a system of milestones to assist the City, the EFCB, and other interested parties to monitor the execution of the plan. It is important to point out also that no enterprise can adhere inflexibly to a rigid three-year plan. Thus, it is contemplated that specific details of the plan will have to be modified in light of experience with the yields of individual tax instruments, credit market conditions, and specific expenditure program priorities over the three-year life of this paln. Nonetheless, the broad thrust of this plan appears reasonable and feasible at this time, and the monitoring system will provide guidance regarding possible modifi- cations which may be required. ASSUMPTIONS 1. Revenues: 2. City revenues are estimated in accordance with those delivered by the EFCB as of September 30, 1975, with some modifications concerning real property tax changes required by alternative debt service assumptions. b. On a cash basis, it is assumed that the State will repeat its advances of various State aid funds in the final quarter of the City fiscal year. 2. Expenses: a. It is assumed that there will be no wage increases for municipal employees for the duration of the plan other than 1975-76 increments and cost of living allowances. b. Inflationary increases in the dollar costs of supplies and purchased services for the duration of the plan are assumed to be absorbed within present agency dollar limits. In calculating agency spending levels for the City fiscal years 1976-77 and 1977-78 no further attrition in staffing levels is assumed. C. It is assumed that the City's cost for welfare and medicaid programs will remain constant throughout the plan period. d. Pension surplus reversion to the City is assumed at $104.6 million for City fiscal year 1975-76, and approximately $130 million for fiscal year 1976-77 and $160 million for 1977-78. The plan does not address the questions concerning full funding of the City's pension plans, pending recommendations from the Shinn Management Review Committee. 3. Reductions: a. Some of the cost reductions proposed by the City will in practice not be implemented in the exact manner contemplated in the City paln. In some cases the City will have to be prepared to implement these reductions to the same dollar amount through alter- native means. b. Reductions in covered agencies will be required as contained in the City submission, and the City will -3- be asked to bear primary responsibilítics for monitoring compliance with the plan on behalf of the Board. C. It is assumed that operating items in the capital budget will be reduced by $30 million on a cash basis in the current City fiscal year and by $80 million in 1976-77 and $130 million in 1977-78. 4. Financing: a. It is assumed that over the life of the plan there will be available approximately $6 billion in principal amount of Federally guaranteed, taxable, one year notes, bearing 8 1/2% annual interest. SECTION II SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL PLAN (in Millions of Dollars) City Fiscal Year 1975-76(a) 1976-77 1977-78 A 1. REVENUES 2. Real Estate Taxes 2081 3265 3234 (See Table A) 3471 4197 4422 3. General Fund State and Federal Aid 2606 4. 4258 4369 5. Other Revenues 234 272 269 6. Total Revenues 8392 11992 12294 B 7. EXPENSES (excluding debt service) 8. Expense Budget 7479 10634 10697 9. Reserve for Overrun 100 100 7479 10734 10797 10. MINUS Reductions - 92 - 462 -724 11. Total Expenses 7387 10272 10073 C 12. NET SURPLUS BEFORE DEBT SERVICE 1005 1720 2221 (line 6 minus line 11) D 13. NEEDED FOR DEBT SERVICE (See Table B) 1669 2190 2071 E 14. SURPLUS OR (DEFICIT) (line 12 minus line 13) (664) (470) 0150 ORO (a) October June only. LIBRARY 1. Debt Service Required and New Debt Incurred by Year City Fiscal Year 1975-76 1976-77 1977-78 Amount (a) Debt (b) Amount (a) Debt (b) Amount (a) Debt Borrowed Service Borrowed Service Borrowed Service PURPOSE (c) (c 1. City Debt 0 1-908 0 1154 0 884 Existing Prior to 10/1/75 0 628 0 632 2. MAC through 0 654 11/30/75 867 (d) 3. Capital Budget 0 1100 74 930 167 2000 50 4. Seasonal (d) 1300 2000 50 Financing 35 97 5.. Budget Deficit 664 0 470 57 0 σ(ᵈ) 250 -6. Financing Short- 1569 133 0 155 term debt rolling 7. City Short-term 0 debt rolled 72 0 90 0 90 3736 1669 4014 2190 3400 2071 8. Total, All Purposes 9. MINUS Seasonal: 1300 2000 2000 10. Net New (e) (f) (g) Amounts 2436 2014 1400 Borrowed (a) In year of borrowing (b) In year of payment (c) City Long-Term less amount paid from Special funds (d) December - June only (e) Line 3 (75-76) Plus Line 6 (75-76) (f) Line 3 (76-77) Plus Line 5 (75-76) Plus Line 6 (76-77) (g) Line 3 (77-78) Plus Line 5. (76-77) Plus 5 (77-78 B 2. TOTAL INDEBTEDNESS Total Debt Outstanding at End of Fiscal Year, Exclusive of Seasonal Borrowing June 1975 June 76 June 77 June 78 L. CITY LONG Issued prior & 7,767 $6,698 $5,689 $4,971 to July 1975 2. MAC Long Issued through Nov. 30 3,194 3,020 2,692 3. Short Issued through Nov. 30 250 1. CITY SHORT 1,051 1,051 1,051 1,051 to be rolled by Banks, P.F. & S.F. 5. Outstanding 3,664 - - I NEW DEBT TO BE ISSUED: 5. Capital I 867 1,967 2,897 7. Financing Short Debt 1 1,569 1,569 1,569 3. Deficit I 664 1,134 934 3. Other - - 250 500 0. TOTAL 12,482 14,293 14,680 14,614 TABLE C Cash Flow Statement 1975-76 (a) 1976-77 1977-78 A. 1. REVENUES: $ 8,392 $ 11,992 $ 12,294 B. 2. OPERATING EXPENDITURES: 7,387 10,272 10,073 3. Capital Expenditures: 11,147 1,100 930 4. Long-Term Debt Service 908 1,154 884 5. MAC Debt Service 654 632 628 6. Short-term debt, maturing 3,542 4,401 5,171 interest on debt to be -0- 264 419 issued: 7. Short-term Debt Service 107 140 140 8. TOTAL: 13,745 17,963 18,245 C. 9. NET CASH NEEDS 5,353 5,971 6,951 D. 10. CASH SOURCE: 3,100 . 4,120 5,100 11. New Debt 12. New City Short Debt 250 -0- -0- 13. Roll by Banks, P.F., 799 1,051 1,051 S.F. 14. MAC (October and November) 426 - - 15. Aid Advance 800 800 800 16. TOTAL E. CLOSING BALANCE (carried through) 85,375 $5,971 06,951 22 -0- -0- (a) October - June only. EFCB E2. CAPITAL BUDGET - PLAN (Cash Outlay in Millions of Dollars) City Fiscal Year 1975-76 1976-77 1977-78 A 1. Expense Budget reduce by 7% $ -20 $ -41.8 $ -41.8 B Mitchell-Lama Housing 2. Stretch Out -36 +28 3. Halt Projects -47 4. Total -83 +28 C Construction 5. Transit Authority -15 -15 -15 6. Environmental Protection -22.6 -42.6 -37.4 7. Municipal Services -13.3 -25.4 -14.2 8. Education -39.6 -40.2 -15.3 9. Other -13.1 -11.8 - 6.6 10. Total -103.6 -135 -88.5 D Reserve +46.3 +13.6 +34.5 E Total Potential Cuts 160.3 135.2 , 95.8 F Capital Budget Total $1,600.0 $1,100.0 $930.0 1. CAPITAL BUDGET (Cash Outlay in Millions of Dollars) City Fiscal Year 1975-76 1976-77 1977-78 A Expense Items 1. Personal Service $ 237.1 $ 217.5 $ 197.9 2. Other than Personal Service 111.1 101.9 92.7 3. Fringe Benefits 42.6 39.1 35.6 4. Lease of Facilities 92.7 92.7 92.7 5. Vocational Education 174.9 160.4 145.9 6. Manpower Training 38.6 35.4 32.2 Total $ 697.0 $ 647.0 $ 597.0 B Mitchell-Lama Housing $ 209.9 -0- -0- C Construction 1. Transit Authority 181.1 169.2 138.1 2. Environmental Protection 152.9 151.9 126.4 3. Municipal Services 86.2 35.7 18.8 4. Education 165.4 75.1 37.9 5. Other 267.8 156.3 106.6 Total $ 853.4 $ 588.2 $ 427.8 D CAPITAL BUDGET TOTAL $1,760.3 $1,235.2 $1,024.8 E Effects of Reduction 1. Expense Items 677.0 605.2 555.2 2. Mitchell-Lama 126.0 28.0 -0- 3. Transit Authority 166.1 154.2 123.1 4. Environmental Protection 130.3 109.3 89.0 5. Municipal Services 72.9 10.3 4.6 6. Education 125.8 34.9 22.6 7. Other 254.7 144.5 100.0 Total $1,552.8 $1,086.4 $ 894.5 Plus Reserve 46.3 13.6 34.5 F REVISED CAPITAL BUDGET TOTAL $1,600 $1,100.0 $ 930.0 FORD & LIBRARY GENALD Page 1. SMT/TFS Sindlinger's Economic Service Harvard and Yale Avenues, Swarthmore, Pennsylvania 19081 215/544-9000 SINDLINGER COMPANY NEWS & ISSUES Marketing Opinion Research Wednesday --- October 22, 1975 Report W-2: New York Aid Opposed Nearly two-thirds of Americans are opposed to federal help for New York City. More than three-quarters balk at higher taxes to bail out nation's biggest city. Most who favor aid reside in East. Opponents say own cities are in trouble. Political and governmental leaders risk widespread public wrath if New York City is helped and others are ignored. American consumers are opposed by a 2-to-1 majority to use of federal money to help New York City out of its financial dilemma. The opposition becomes even more adamant when it is suggested that the proposed federal aid could boost income taxes. The widespread resistance to helping New York City was found by Sindlinger & Company during a 14-day survey with a sample of 2,282 consumers in all parts of the 48 contiguous United States. Conducted via continuous daily telephone interviews, the September 25th-October 8th survey also found that most of the minority that favored federal help lived in the northeastern parts. of the country with the biggest bloc concentrated around the New York City metropolitan area. TWO-THIRDS OPPOSE AID Nearly two-thirds of all American consumers - or 65% said the federal government should not provide money to bail out the nation's largest city. Only 30.2% favored federal aid. When the pocketbook issue was introduced, however, the sentiment for having New York City find its own solutions grew markedly. More than three-quarters, or 76.5%, said they would not be willing to pay one extra cent in taxes to help New York. Another 18.1% said they hadn't thought about the issue while a mere 5.4% said they would be willing to accept higher taxes. These findings show that a fair sized bloc of people may like the idea of helping New York City in principle but they themselves wouldn't be willing to ante up anything toward that cause. raye Report W-231 SINDLINGER & COMPANY, INC. OF MEDIA IN PENNSYLVANIA SPECIAL NEWS & ISSUES STUDY ON FEDERAL BAIL OUT OF NEW YORK CITY 14 DAYS SEPTEMBER 25th-OCTOBER 8, 1975 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Sample % Proj. Sample % Proj. Sample % Proj. (000) (000) (000) BASE ALL ADULTS 18 YEARS & OLDER 2282 100.0 147982 1138 100.0 71594 1144 100.0 76388 QUESTION 1 SOME PEOPLE SAY THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT SHOULD BAIL NEW YORK CITY OUT OF ITS FINANCIAL PROBLEMS WITH GOVERNMENT MONEY OTHER PEOPLE SAY GOVERNMENT MONEY SHOULD NOT BE GIVEN TO NEW YORK CITY AS OTHER CITIES AND STATES HAVE FINANCIAL PROBLEMS AND WOULD DEMAND EQUAL TREATMENT. WHAT IS YOUR OPINION ON NEW YORK CITY? 1. GIVE GOVERNMENT MONEY. 691 30.2 44723 372 32.7 23411 379 27.9 21312 2. NOT GIVE MONEY 1482 65.0 96112 740 65.0 46536 742 64.9 49576 3. DON'T KNOW 109 4.8 7147 26 2.3 1647 83 7.2 5500 HOW MUCH WOULD YOU BE WILLING TO HAVE ADDED TO YOUR INCOME TAX IF THE GOVERN- MENT HAD TO BAIL OUT NEW YORK CITY? 1. NOTHING 1742 76.5 113093 843 74.1 53051 899 78.6 60042 2. DON'T KNOW 416 18.1 26870 222 19.5 13961 194 16.9 12909 3. AN AMOUNT STIPULATED 124 5.4 8019 73 6.4 4582 51 4.5 3437 BASE: WITH AMOUNT 124 100.0 8019 73 100.0 4582 51 100.0 3437 1. $1 - $5.00 20 16.3 1306 9 12.3 564 11 21.6 742 2. $6.00 $10.00 34 27.7 2222 14 19.1 875 20 39.2 1347 3. $10.00 $15.00 41 32.6 2611 34 46.7 2140 7 13.7 471 4. $16.00 $20.00 13 10.6 851 5 6.8 311 8 15.7 540 5. $21.00 $30.00 7 5.7 455 4 5.5 252 3 5.9 203 6. $31.00 $40.00 8 6.3 510 6. 8.2 376 2 3.9 134 7. $41.00 $50.00 1 0.8 64 1 1.4 64 0 0.0 00 GENEROSITY IS RARE Even the 5.4% sliver that would be willing to accept higher taxes weren't all that generous. One of three was willing to pay between $10 and $15 extra to comprise the largest bloc of those who specified an amount. More than three-quarters or 76.6% --- specified an amount between $1 and $15. Another 10.6% were willing to pay up to $20. Practically all those who were willing to pay additional taxes resided in the northeast and generally within close proximity to the financially troubled metropolis. Copyright 1975: Sindlinger & Company, Inc., Post Office Box 646, Media, Pennsylvania 19063 (215) 565-2800 Report W-231 Page 1469 POLITICAL RISKS ABOUND These findings could have rather important political ramifications. Many members of the majority who opposed New York City aid claimed a principle reason for their opposition was their belief that their own cities were in no better financial shape. This, of course, opens the door to the much discussed possibility that if New York was helped many other beleaguered cities would follow hat in hand. At the very least, leaders of the other cities would be under public pressure to join the parade to Washington. On the matter of political gain, the overwhelming opposition shows that New York City's cause is not a popular issue around the country. Any political or government figure who champions that city risks being damaged severely in the so-called hinterlands. Certainly this would be a drawback that any presidential candidate must weigh if he is thinking of leading the fight in Washington for New York. Copyright 1975: Sindlinger & Company, Inc., Post Office Box 646, Media, Pennsylvania 19063 (215) 565-2800 NEWYORK BERALD FORD LIBRARY THE PRESIDENT HAS SEEN Who's to Blame for The Fix We're In By Ken Auletta " The roll-overs, false revenue estimates, and plain lies that have robbed taxpayers of billions people have gone to jail for less On October 7, 1965, William F. crisis is primarily a symptom, not a ization: anti urban bias; even the inven- Buckley, then a candidate for mayor, cause, of a deeper economic malaise, tion of the automobile. Not to mention warned, "New York City is in dire whose roots reach back three decades such nondecisions as insufficient federal financial condition, as a result of mis- and encompass a series of city, state, and state aid and the failure to engage management, extravagance, and politi- and even federal decisions. This is a in effective economic planning. cal cowardice New York City must piece about those decisions, a chronicle But to blame everybody is to blame discontinue its present borrowing pol- of the people and events that cumula- nobody. There are particular villains in icies, and learn to live within its in- tively pulled us into our predicament. this story. If there is a single common come, before it goes bankrupt." Judg- To pinpoint the most important of thread weaving through these many de- ing by the reaction, one would have these decisions, I interviewed more cisions, it would be what is called "pol- thought Buckley had proposed to drop than 40 public officials, labor leaders, itics." And since "liberal" politicians the atom bomb on Israel. businessmen, bankers, and students of have dominated city government these It took a decade for Buckley to ap- city government. My question was al- many years, it is they who are more pear "responsible." He was bucking ways the same: What were the key guilty than others. The roll-overs, false the sixties, the Age of Good Intentions, events and decisions that led to the revenue estimates, and plain lies that when candidates solemnly promised to city's present fiscal crisis? After sorting have robbed taxpayers of literally bil- outspend their rivals. New ideas. New through these responses, and assisted lions through excessive borrowing to programs. That's what we wanted. An by a research associate, Robert Sullivan, cover up excessive fraud people unwitting spokesman for the age was I waded through old budgets, Board of have gone to jail for less. Mayor Robert F. Wagner, who, in his Estimate minutes, press releases, news- If the principal actors who have last budget message, in 1965, declared: paper clips, state laws, books, and pam- guided our city's destiny these last sev- "I do not propose to permit our fiscal phlets. Then, when I had narrowed the eral decades-Wagner, Rockefeller, problems to set the limits of our com- choices, I did more interviewing. Beame, Lindsay-seem the chief vil- mitments to meet the essential needs of In time, twenty critical decisions lains in this piece, it must be remem- the people of the city." seemed to me to be the key events that bered that they could not have accom- Consistent with that curious fiscal let New York into financial ruin. The plished all they did without a support- philosophy, New York City persisted in criterion for selection was not merely ing cast of state legislators, borough an ambitious-and compassionate-ef- a "bad" or a "good" decision as such, presidents, City Council members, and fort to care for those less fortunate by but also those that opened the door for city comptrollers. taxing those who could afford it. To- later abuse. Add to this list promiscuous bankers, day, 14 per cent of our citizens are on There are those who stress that New voracious labor leaders and their mem- welfare. We support nineteen municipal York is primarily the victim of social bers, and-by no means least-the hospitals, free tuition at the City Uni- forces beyond its control. They will press, because it was too preoccupied versity, open enrollment, day-care cen- be disappointed in what they find here. with gossip, too lazy, or assumed its ters, foster homes-and we have an as- Sure, there are general villains in readers were too dumb or too bored to sortment of more than 25 different plenty: the migration since World War bother with detail. Finally, there' is the taxes. We have conducted a noble ex- II which brought 2 million blacks and press's audience, the public, which all periment in local socialism and income Hispanics (largely poor) to the city and too often lived down to the press's low redistribution. one clear result of which the departure of 2 million primarily expectations. has been to redistribute much of our white residents (largely middle income); So, this is a story not only about tax base and many jobs out of the city. the loss of one out of ten jobs in the last what our "leaders" did-and how- The city's now overwhelming credit five years; inflation; taxes; racial polar- but about what we did to ourselves. OCTOBER 27, 1975/NEW YORK 29 March 26, 1953: Governor 2. Thomas E. Dewey signs a bill allowing New York to impose a payroll tax. PICTORIAL PARADE Governor Dewey, in a then common Republican effort to win suburban and upstate support by running against and embarrassing Democratic New York COLONIE City, had the legislature pass a bill granting the city authority to impose a payroll tax of one-half of 1 per cent on all wage earners-including com- muters. The cost of this was to be shared by the employer and the em- ployee. There was a state string at- tached, however. The tax could be im- posed only if the city agreed to set up a Transit Authority and commit itself to make its mass transportation system self-sustaining. Which was politically impossible. The city got the Transit Authority. What it didn't get was a payroll tax. On the recommendation of Mayor Wagner, the Board of Estimate rejected it. Through the mid-sixties the city retained this authority to im- pose a payroll tax. It was unused, and finally withdrawn by the state. For years the city has fought, vainly, to get permission of the State Legislature to tax commuters. A payroll tax would have provided a means to do so. If the city now had the payroll tax John Lindsay had asked for in 1970-his pro- posal would also have abolished the city income tax-an estimated addition- Twenty Critical al $400 million would have been re- ceived from commuters alone this year. Decisions That Broke January 16, 1955: The Port New York City 3. Authority and the Triborough Bridge and Tunnel Authority agree on a master plan- for cars. June 22, 1944: The G.I. Bill 1. of Rights is enacted. PICTURIAL PARADE Many factors were to contribute to the erosion of the city's economic base One cannot write about the city's -repeal of the Lyons law, for example, fiscal crisis without tracing the exodus which had required city employees to of 2 million middle-income people since live in the city, and constantly rising World War II to the suburbs. The de- taxes. which encouraged business to cision of the federal government in leave town. But it was the highway 1944 to provide 4 per cent home loans construction binge after World War II to World War II veterans, with no that made it easy to do so. down payment required, opened the The Port Authority and the TBTA floodgates. The American dream of own- agreed on a plan to build a second ing a home and property converged level of the George Washington Bridge, with federal moneys to subsidize that the Throgs Neck Bridge, and the Ver- dream. There were few comparable in- razano-Narrows Bridge-each to carry centives to keep people in town. Im- cars only-and for ribbons of access plicitly, the government was saying: roads and highways to go with them. We invite you to the suburbs. Mil- It was a $1.2-billion package, and its lions took advantage of that offer. To architect was Robert Moses. As Robert get them to their new homes, various Caro wrote in The Power Broker, his governments and agencies would sub- biography of Moses, the pact "sealed, sequently, quite literally, pave the way. perhaps for centuries, the future of 30 NEW YORK/OCTOBER 27, 1975 WIDE New York and its suburbs." If the pro- days off for blood donations; 35-hour, posed money had been applied to mass rather than 40-hour, weeks for most transit-an abhorrent thought to Moses city employees; eighteen days off a year or the Port Authority's Austin Tobin- for "chart" time for cops; fifteen min- the city could have completely remod- utes a day of paid wash-up time for eled its subway system. sanitationmen; more than three months Little more than a year later, on a year of paid vacation for teachers, June 29, 1956, the Federal Highway plus paid sabbaticals. Trust Fund was established, creating a Federal employees, who do not have mechanism-a gasoline tax-to funnel the same collective-bargaining rights, new billions each year into highway have received salary increases averag- WIDE WORLD construction. Between 1956 and 1965 ing 5.5 per cent in the last ten years. alone, these funds paid for the con- Oh In the same period city salaries grew struction of 439 miles of new highway See the Mayor by 10.4 per cent. in the metropolitan area. In the same See One does not have to make labor a the period, not a mile of new rapid-transit Mayor ru scapegoat or excuse a weak manage- track was completed. Run Mayor run ment to note, as Newsweek did recent- P.S. ly, that even after adjusting for dispari- March 31, 1958: Mayor ties in county, state, and federal aid, it TEACHER 4 BECAUSE TEACHER VERTY still costs New York City $1,446 per Robert F. Wagner issues BECAUSE CAREL BUDGET EDUCATION MEANS capita to deliver the same services that Executive Order Number 49. TEACHERS cost Atlanta only $650, Chicago $715, nine and Philadelphia $731. What came to be called the "Little Following Wagner's executive order Wagner Act" was in fact the Big Wag- in 1958, the New York Times editorial- ner Act for municipal unions. The ized: city employees will now mayor's executive order granted to be permitted to bargain harder for a 100,000 city employees the right to pay rise that isn't there." Ultimately the join the union of their choice and the Times was right, but it took a calami- right to bargain collectively. It was not tously long time to make it so. an easy decision. Wagner's advisers were divided between those who op- March 26, 1960: Governor posed the order, claiming it would lead to increased union pressure, and those 5. Rockefeller signs a bill in- who favored it, arguing it would im- creasing by 5 per cent the pose orderly machinery for the resolu- state's contribution to state tion of disputes, bring stability to city agencies, and promote efficiency. employees' pensions. A labor adviser to Wagner, one who urged the signing of the executive or- On the face of it, this appears to be der, now thinks it was a "mistake." He a minor decision with small immediate now believes it was wrong to assume WIDE WORLD dollar consequences. But, in fact, this that a municipal union can be dealt decision signaled the beginning of a with like a trade union, because "the process of leapfrogging, of open com- city is not an employer in the tradition- petition between the city and state to al sense. Profits do not exist. Workers outdo each other in rewarding their ser- are not extracting a share of profits vants. The bill for the first time made but rather a share of taxes." He now pensions a part of collective-bargain- views municipal collective bargaining ing settlements and invited competition as part of the political rather than the among public unions. Former Mayor adversary process. Therefore, he says, Wagner recalls a Loyalty Day Parade municipal unions "are really a pressure in the early sixties. He and Rockefeller group, a special-interest group." "were heading up the parade. The po- A pretty powerful one, too. They lice and firemen were shouting, 'Atta are heavy contributors of money, print- boy, Rocky!' So I turned to Nelson and ing. and manpower to campaigns. As I said, 'You son of a gun, taking all Victor Gotbaum, head of District Coun- the credit.' He laughed." cil 37 of the State, County, and Munic- The financial consequences of the 54 ipal Employees' union, recently re- pension bills passed between 1960 and marked: "We have the ability, in a 1970 are staggering. In 1961, according sense, to elect our own boss." to the State Scott Commission, the The signing of the executive order city paid $260.8 million to provide led inexorably to the dilution of the its employees with retirement and so- power of city executives to manage cial security benefits. By 1972, that had their departments, since it placed such jumped to $753.9 million, a growth of matters as "workload and manning" 175 per cent. The rapid increase in city on the collective-bargaining table. employment accounted for only 30 per City union contracts now specify two- cent of this increase. man, rather than one-man, patrol cars This year, the city budget for retire- in low-crime areas; four rather than five ment benefits is $1.3 billion. But not men to a fire truck; a set number of even that sum gives the whole story. OCTOBER 27, 1975/NEW YORK 31 The business-oriented Committee for November 7, 1961: Voters Economic Development has calculated that when all the city's costs-includ- sions will cost about 25 per cent of 7. approve new city charter. ing hidden ones-are figured in, pen- This was an eventful day in New payroll. And the payroll itself now con- York. It was a day the voters re-elected sumes 60 per cent of the city's budget. Bob Wagner-running against his own WIDE WORLD eight-year record-as mayor. Less no- ticed was a proposal supported by such April 18, 1960: Governor good-government groups as the City 6. Rockefeller signs a bill creat- Club and the League of Women Voters ing the State Housing to amend the city charter. It carried by better than two to one. Among the Finance Agency. charter changes were two that would strengthen the office of mayor. One em- Until the creation of this agency, powered the mayor to estimate general BLACK STAR public authorities were expected to be fund revenues, a power formerly shared self-sustaining. The things they built with the comptroller, the Board of Esti- were supposed to pay their own way. Mirror mate, and the City Council; the second However, upon the recommendation granted the mayor the power to esti- of a housing task force consisting of mate the maximum debt the city might such luminaries as I. D. Robbins, incur for capital projects, a power also James Scheuer, and Harry Van Ars- 5 formerly shared. dale, Rockefeller persuaded the State Sweepspin It was the belief at the time-much Legislature to depart from this policy. as it was in Washington-that we The new agency would build noth- needed a strong chief executive with ing itself; it would provide money for the power to make decisions. The char- others to build with. There would be no ter changes strengthened the mayor's direct user revenues. The purposes for powers, but they also opened these which the money could be used were powers to abuse. An audit check on the broadly defined. As a way of getting mayor had been removed. around the state constitutional require- The new charter took effect on Jan- ment to hold a public referendum in uary 1, 1963. Fiscal sleight-of-hand be- order to sell bonds backed by the "full gan almost instantly. On April 2, 1963, faith and credit" of the state, the HFA Wagner proposed to balance his $3- would now rely on what was called 1664. billion budget, in part, by waiving pay- "the moral obligation" of the state, for ment of $15 million to the city's Sta- NY which voter approval wasn't necessary. bilization Reserve Fund for one year. The "moral obligation" concept was The City Council rubber-stamped this thought up by John Mitchell, the bond PICTORIAL PARADE request, as did the State Legislature. lawyer who went on to other things. Comptroller Beame, unhappy with The governor, in lining up support, this approach, called on Wagner to use tried to have it both ways. On the one magic instead and balance the budget hand, he told the public it would cost by increasing general fund estimates by the "taxpayers" no money. On the $13.75 million and by changing the other, he told investors that the state payment dates on state aid, thereby taxpayers would back the bonds. Years shifting the following year's state aid later we would all pay. "The decision payments into the upcoming fiscal year. on moral-obligation bonds," says Donna Then, on May 6, Wagner solemnly Shalala, a professor of government at warned: "A way must be found to re- Columbia University and a director of place a $40-million loss from the out- the Municipal Assistance Corporation, of-city sales tax." But on May 14, he "reinforced and led to the era of avoid- suddenly saw a "brighter economic out- ing constitutional requirements. It was look" and said that the city could difficult for the state to say to the city, count on an additional $26.3 million in 'Look, you're avoiding statutory or con- revenues. stitutional requirements in preparing "The significance of the charter your budget' when the state ignored change," argues a budget expert, "was the constitution by not going to the that when you had a mayor operating voters on bond issues." with a Budget Bureau which was crea- WIDE WORLD By the winter of 1975, the moral-ob- tive, the sky was the limit." ligation debt of state public authorities had soared to $7.4 billion. Public au- April 3, 1964: The New York thorities had proliferated across the state, now totaling 230. And in Feb- ruary, 1975, one of the children of the HFA-the Urban Development Cor- 8. State Local Finance Law is amended. poration-defaulted on its moral ob- The State Legislature and the gover- ligations, setting off the chain reaction nor, each of whom is required to pass which now threatens the entire local on every city budget, have often passed and state government bond market. on, winked at, or initiated gimmicks 32 NEW YORK/OCTOBER 27, 1975 WIDE WORLD which allowed city officials to use the war on poverty, the war on narcotics capital budget-intended to pay for addiction, the war on slums, the war projects with a long economic life-for on disease, and the war on civic ugli- current expenses. Instead of requiring ness." politically painful budget cuts, Section Such "wars" cost money, and Wag- 11, Paragraph 62 permitted officials to ner presented a tricked-up, record-high use the capital budget to borrow money $3.87-billion budget to pay for them. It for current expenses. was deficit financing, and the implica- Imagination bloomed. In his 1964-65 tions for the future were profound. In capital budget, Mayor Wagner buried July, Moody's lowered New York City's $26 million in expense items. Governor credit rating, thereby costing taxpayers Rockefeller approved an administration millions of dollars in additional interest bill (Chapter 634 of the Laws of 1967) charges. According to one official on the BLACK STAR which allowed "the costs of codifica- privately funded Citizens Budget Com- tion of laws and the fees paid to ex- BLACK STAR mission, an organization whose timely perts [lawyers], consultants, advertis- and pertinent warnings went largely ing and costs of printing and dissemi- unheeded over the years, "Wagner nating" to be regarded as a capital ex- showed it could be done. His action pense by granting these expenses a showed that our laws-with the help of "three year period of possible useful- the legislature, our constitution, and ness." This from our present vice-presi- our statutory framework-are sufficient- dent, who is now campaigning against ly elastic to encompass a devastating "permissive liberals." amount of mismanagement." Governor The expanding use of this device and Rockefeller helped round up sufficient its long-range cost and effect on "in- Republican votes in the legislature to vestor confidence" should not be under- pass this scheme. estimated. Between 1965 and 1975, ac- On June 30, 1965, the city's short- cording to the Citizens Budget Commis- term debt was $526 million. By Feb- sion, a total of $2.4 billion in expense ruary, 1975, it had grown to an insup- items was smuggled into the capital portable $5.7 billion. budget at an added interest cost of On December 21, 1965, Mayor-elect $250 million. It has become a major John Lindsay, sounding remarkably GERALD AUVOSIT FORD factor in the city's massive debt service, similar to the man who would follow which in this year is projected to re- him into office eight years later, ex- quire $1.886 billion, consuming 14 pressed alarm: "I face a budget gap cents out of every expense budget of almost a billion dollars for the first dollar, or more than the city spends fifteen months of my administration." for police, fire, the City University, sani- Wagner denied there was a deficit, as tation, and the environment combined. Lindsay would eight years later. May 13, 1965: Mayor January 12, 1966: Mayor 9. Wagner closes a budget gap 10. Lindsay settles a citywide by short-term borrowing. transit strike. Mayor Wagner had planned to pre- Mayor-elect John Lindsay journeyed sent his last expense budget to the full to the Americana Hotel on December BLACK STAR Board of Estimate before live television 27, 1965, to meet with representatives cameras. But word had leaked out that of the Transport Workers union and the the mayor planned to close a $255.8- Transit Authority. He asked both sides million budget gap by issuing short- to arrive at a "fair settlement" to avoid term notes and by asking two sepa- a transit strike and then, with unaccus- rately elected state legislatures and the tomed humility, declared: "I am not an voters to approve a constitutional expert on labor matters." amendment permitting the city to in- Over the next fifteen days he would crease real estate taxes 20 per cent. prove this. On January 1, 1966, 34,800 Editorialists screeched. City Comptrol- transit workers went on strike, immo- ler Beame, a close Wagner ally, blasted bilizing most of the city. It was the first the plan. strike in TWU history, and the first ma- The live TV plans were scratched. jor citywide strike in the city's history. Instead, Deputy Mayor Edward F. Cav- Until this point, unions would threaten anagh Jr. read a six-minute message to and bluster but then sit down in some two Board of Estimate members on the smoke-filled room and work out a set- same day John Lindsay announced his tlement. This time-after Lindsay de- candidacy for mayor. Among the high- nounced what he called the "power lights of the Wagner budget message brokers," after the New York Times, was his plan to "borrow now, repay near hysteria, had blasted a judge for later," as he phrased it. Expressing the merely throwing union leaders in jail, optimism and rhetoric of the day, he after union president Michael Quill said, "I intend that we shall press had called his mayor a "pip-squeak" ahead with the war on crime, the and the Times a "meddler"-the strike UPI OCTOBER 27, 1975/NEW YORK 33 WORLD was settled with a package of improve- mention what it would later do to our ments worth $52 million, or twice what senior citizens in nursing homes and for one of the three mediators said could venal private nursing-home operators. have been the price. The city's share of Medicaid costs Price aside, there was another impor- is now greater than its share of welfare. tant consequence. As former Mayor Wagner now recalls, "They went on January 4, 1967: The city's strike-a violation of the law-and yet as part of the settlement they were for- 12. Office of Collective Bargain- given, with no penalties to any extent." ing names an impasse panel to The 1966 transit strike was John Lindsay's Bay of Pigs. It set the pattern settle a pay-parity dispute. for his future shaky dealing with muni- cipal labor. Some feel he was the vic- In 1967, faced with a tough quarrel tim of poor advice. One participant re- WIDE WORLD involving old and sensitive relation- calls. "There were four guys principal- ships-"parities"-within police ranks, ly responsible: Abc Raskin and John and between police and fire pay scales, Oakes of the New York Times were on the city's Office of Collective Bargain- the phone every day telling Lindsay ing named an impasse panel to sort out what to do. Then there was [pollster] the issues. There followed the city's Lou Harris and [Liberal party chief] breaking of a written agreement with Alex Rose. They were the architects of the police, a lawsuit, appeals, rehear- that settlement. They were all smart ings, and a six-day police strike in 1971. guys who understood public relations, Ultimately, the city lost a suit brought but not labor relations." by the Patrolmen's Benevolent Associa- Today, one of those four advisers tion, and the financial consequences reflected that Lindsay's mistake was were great. "By the time other groups, that he "surrendered" to the unions' like firemen and sanitationmen, came demands. His view was that Lindsay forward with their related demands," should have drawn the line and sum- writes professor Raymond Horton in his moned the troops to battle. That may book Municipal Labor Relations in New be correct, but it presupposes that the York City, "the cost to the city was public, like a mighty army, would considerable-estimated from $150 mil- march in step behind their leader. Yet lion to $215 million." by the thirteenth day of the strike the But the city paid another price for WORLD public - tired, inconvenienced, their its parity debacle. The city had pre- WIDE work and life patterns disrupted--was viously suffered strikes by its transit the party most ready to "surrender." workers, its teachers, sanitationmen, welfare workers. But until January, 1971, it had been almost unthinkable April 30, 1966: The State that those responsible for public safety 11. Medicaid law is enacted. would strike. With that strike went another piece of the social fabric, en- Running for re-election in 1966, and couraging citizens and investors alike playing the role of a "liberal," Nelson to lose confidence in the city's future. Rockefeller signed Medicaid into law, hailing it as "the most significant social November 7, 1967: Voters legislation in three decades." WIDE WORLD The significance should not be under- 13. reject a new state constitution. estimated. Almost everyone was for Voters who can remember back to Medicaid in 1966-Robert Kennedy, 1967 may dimly recall a strident argu- both houses of the State Legislature, ment over the wisdom of repealing the labor, Republicans, and Democrats. It so-called "Blaine Amendment" to the was the compassionate thing to do- state constitution, which forbade state and a classic case of good intentions aid to parochial schools. Repeal of and goals being subverted by poor Blaine was part of an extensive revi- thinking and slovenly legislation. The sion worked out in a constitutional New York State Medicaid law prom- convention. The package was resound- ised free medical care to the poor, to ingly defeated. But for the city of New senior citizens, and part of the middle York, which cast 56 per cent of its bal- class as well. The state was going to lots against the revisions, the new con- spend money-Rockefeller said "$90 stitution would have helped a great million" subsidize medical care. But deal in other ways. the state neglected to provide money or Article V, Section 25b of the pro- a plan to expand medical facilities and posed constitution called for the state provide the beds, doctors, nurses, and to assume over a ten-year period the technicians that would be necessary. full cost of operating all courts in the Costs exploded as too many people city of New York. In the 1975-76 year chased too few doctors and facilities— the city's share of court costs is budg- making medical care prohibitively ex- eted at $94.2 million. pensive for many New Yorkers. Not to Article X, Section 16 of the proposed 34 NEW YORK/OCTOBER 27, 1975 WORLD HEIDRIAL FAMAGE constitution called for the state to as- coalition, to be more political. He hired sume over a ten-year period-10 per a talented campaign manager, Richard cent each year-the total cost of all Aurelio, and instructed his key aides city welfare. In 1967-68 the local cost to check important government deci- for welfare was $267.2 million. By sions with Aurelio. If he was to win he 1975-76 the local share of welfare and had to do what most elected executives Medicaid costs had multiplied to more do: use his government powers to ad- than $1 billion. vance his campaign. Only John Lind- Article IX, Section 1d of the pro- say had to do more. He was still a Re- posed constitution would have changed publican in a town where that party is the city's state-school-aid formula. In- nearly extinct. And more he did. stead of being based on attendance, as "That was a year the mayor wanted it now is (with the city's high rate of labor peace," Lindsay's deputy budget absenteeism), the formula would have director at the time, David Grossman, been switched and would have been now recalls. It was the year, says Ray- based on pupil registration, benefiting mond Horton, "when John Lindsay densely populated areas like the city. stopped fighting with the unions and went to bed with them." November 5, 1968: The elec- Before the 1969 election, lucrative 14. new pension benefits had been awarded tion of Richard Nixon. attendance teachers, sanitationmen, The name Nixon will be remembered higher-education employees, police, fire- for various perfidies-Watergate, Cam- men, and library teachers. Lindsay's re- bodia, Chile, Vietnam. But as far as election campaign would ultimately the city's fiscal crisis is concerned, Nix- win the support of such powerful city on should be remembered as the presi- unions as those of the state, county, dent who, in the words of urban his- WIDE WORLD and municipal employees and the sani- torian Richard Wade, "abandoned the tationmen. Albert Shanker, head of the notion of compensatory spending for teachers' union-who in 1968 spoke of our cities and instead switched to per Lindsay in terms that would make Mike capita aid, which favored the burgeon- Quill proud-remained neutral. The ing suburbs." Though in absolute num- mayor's people considered this a pro- bers federal aid to the city grew incre- Lindsay posture. In 1970, the teachers mentally during each of the years Nix- were rewarded with an extravagant on was president, by 1973-74 it de- pension settlement. creased as a percentage of the city's Lindsay also used his budget for a budget-and it is certain that had a series of manipulations to tide him progressive been president, the city through the election. He balanced his would have received considerably more expense budget by counting $116.7- million in nonexistent revenues. He support. Additionally, as the federal government cut back on matching grant doubled expense moneys slipped into programs, the city, in an attempt to the capital budget. Playing Santa Claus, continue those services, often overex- he reversed a long-held position and tended itself. "A critical series of de- promised to hire more firemen; he also cisions," argues a former deputy mayor, dangled overtime pay for policemen "was the acceptance of federal pro- who worked a new night shift. grams forced on us during the Johnson With the involuntary help of the tax- years. In the liberal euphoria over payers, and assisted by a brilliant cam- these programs too little attention was paign. the Liberal party, and a clown paid to the long-term costs of these named Procaccino, Lindsay won-with programs." 42 per cent of the total vote. March 18, 1969: John June 18, 1971: Rockefeller 15. Lindsay announces his can- 16. signs an amendment to the didacy for re-election. Local Finance Law. New York State first resorted to Lindsay was in trouble, and he knew budget notes in 1942 as a method of it. In February, 1968, he had suffered meeting emergency expenditure needs by a massive, city-wide sanitation strike in borrowing against next year's revenues. which he threatened to call out the Na- The legislation spoke of "epidemic, tional Guard. In a union town, labor riot, flood, storm, earthquake, or other leaders were calling him anti-labor. unusual peril." Looking at New York Even worse, in the wake of the Septem- City's recent fiscal history one would ber, 1968, teachers' strike over decen- think that "epidemic," "earthquake," tralization, many Jews-the city's lar- and "unusual peril" were annual gest and most powerful ethnic group- events. were openly calling the mayor anti- In 1971, in order to "balance" the Semitic. city budget, city leaders got behind an He had to try to rebuild an electoral overly optimistic forecast of how much OCTOBER 27, 1975/NEW YORK 35 WIDE WORLD CAMERA a federal aid the city could expect. When on a proposed 1973-74 Expense Budget Congress hedged on revenue-sharing, by the Mayor, the Comptroller, the the city got caught short by several Board of Estimate and City Council hundred million dollars. Governor leaders." The New York Post reported: Rockefeller responded by signing into "This was the first year in the past law an amendment to the Local Finance four that Lindsay and Beame practiced Law which, in effect, said: if New budget politics of consensus instead of York City makes a mistake in its esti- confrontation." mate of additional revenues from fed- Among their budget tricks were (1) eral revenue sharing in fiscal 1971-72, the placing of $564 million of expense not exceeding $100 million, and gets items in the city's capital budget, an in- insufficient aid from the federal gov- crease of $290 million from the pre- ernment, it can issue one-year budget vious year; (2) the city ended at mid- notes. But if the city can't come up year its existing subsidies of transit with this money by 1974, it would be fares for schoolchildren and the elderly, permitted to ask the State Legislature pretending the need would disappear for money to cover the budget notes, or that the state or federal government and the legislature "will make a first- would bail the city out; (3) the City instance appropriation." That is, it Council arbitrarily freed "revenues" would lend the city the difference. of $148.5 million by, among other At that time, John Lindsay used this things, postponing the statutory repay- special power to issue $308 million of ment of $96 million to the "rainy day" such notes to cover false revenue esti- fund; (4) Lindsay announced a deficit mates. The legislature also permitted of $211 million and simply summoned the city to repay these notes as late as the state to close it; (5) they made July 31, 1974, on the presumption the good a Beame campaign pledge by add- city would repay a part each year. ing to the budget an authorization for Instead, each year the city simply 3,000 more cops, even though the city rolled over that debt. This takes us to had at the time 2,250 police vacancies; May 30, 1974, a gubernatorial election (6) they approved a one-year roll-over year. In preference to prudence, Gov- of the $308 million in budget notes ernor Malcolm Wilson and the legisla- issued to cover the 1970-71 budget ture created the New York City Sta- deficit. bilization Reserve Corporation at the A high official in the present comp- request of Mayor Beame to repay the troller's office calls that budget an ex- budget notes of 1971-72. WIDE WORLD ample of outright fraud. The legislature then created the Sta- David Grossman, Lindsay's budget bilization Corporation to be a borrow- director at the time, described in a ing agency in order to borrow money June, 1973, memo the importance of his to pay for the borrowings the city and Lindsay's-and Beame's-budget could not. In brief, this new agency for 1973-74: "It was not until recently was encouraged to borrow money to -from June 30, 1973, to March, 1975- repay borrowed money-paying inter- that the really sharp increase in short- est on interest. And digging the city in term borrowing occurred and the mar- deeper and deeper until it faced a true ket began to ask what was going on. In "epidemic" in 1975. those two years, short-term debt went up by an astounding 138 per cent (from $2.5 billion to the current $6 billion June 19, 1973: The Board of level). During the same two years, the 17. Estimate and City Council expense budget went up 19 per cent while the state and federal aid compo- approve Lindsay's 1973-74 nent rose by only 7 per cent. Small expense budget. wonder, then, that the city ran into a crisis of confidence in March, 1975, and It was a good year for wine but a ceased to be able to sell its short-term lousy year for the city budget. It was debt. What accounts for the very rapid an unusual budget in that it was shaped growth in short-term borrowing in only by both an outgoing mayor (Lindsay) two years? It would appear that the and by a comptroller (Beame) who answer lies mostly in the way in which was to be the incoming mayor. Though the last two city budgets were con- UPI Beame has repeatedly blamed the $1.5- structed-built on hoped-for revenues billion deficit he says he inherited for that never arrived, on budgetary tech- much of the city's current woes, as niques that anticipated future revenues comptroller and mayoral frontrunner by borrowing cash in the present, and his fingerprints were all over the docu- on a continuing roll-over of past deficits ment. He attended breakfast meetings from year to year The current cash on June 11 and 15 with Lindsay to crisis is, in budgetary terms, the end re- achieve a compromise toward what sult of a political process that saw the they called a "balanced budget." On city adopt two successive budgets in June 18. 1973, City Hall issued a joint which the hard issue of budget balance statement. Agreement has been reached was avoided." (Continued on page 40) 36 NEW YORK/OCTOBER 27, 1975 Regular: 17 mg. "lar," 1,3 mg. nicotine, Menthol: 18 mg. "tar." 1.3 mg nicotine Warning: The Surgeon General Has Determined av. per cigarette by FTC Method. That Cigarette Smoking Is Dangerous to Your Health. Here's Max. The maximum 120mm cigarette. A lot longer than 100's. Yet, not a penny extra for all those extra puffs. Great tobaccos. Terrific taste. And a long. lean, all-white dynamite look. "How can anything so nifty be so thrifty?" MAX MAX FILTER 120° by KENT MENTHOL 120° by KENT Lorillard 1975 O <<<<<<<<<<<<< (Continued from page 36) ruary 1, he said layoffs had been avert- November 6, 1973: The LAYOFFS OF 40,000 ed because city unions were forgoing 18 election of Abe Beame. ORDERED AS CITY contractual rights. The mayor seemed to be saying that the current year's bud- "The whole disaster of the city is ENDS FISCAL YEAR get crisis was no more. On February Beame," bitterly complains an official 15, Beame projected a $1.68-billion with the Citizens Budget Commission. budget gap for the next fiscal year. "The people in the Budget Bureau are 19,000 in Effect at Once- Nonmayoral Units May Cut Then he announced layoffs that later and have been his. The secret of his Equivalent of 21.000 did not materialize. He blamed Repub- powers is his mastery of the Budget licans in Washington. Then he blamed Bureau. If you take a look at the 'crea- 2.000 FIREMEN SEVERED Albany. On May 29, standing in the tive decisions' in the city, you have to well of the Council Chamber before stand in admiration. There is an unbe- live television cameras, the mayor lievable technical elegance that one has blamed the banks and "editorial col- to admire. What led to Beame and umns" for a "conspiracy" to create "an Deputy Mayor Cavanagh's downfall atmosphere of doubt and uncertainty was the fact that these two guys were about New York's securities." On June unable to adjust to changes in the new TALKS CONTINUE 24, First Deputy Budget Director John intergovernmental ball game we have. J. Lanigan, a long-time Beame-Cav- The city came to depend for 40 to 45 ON BILL CREATING anagh associate, said, "I think there's a per cent of its budget on state and fed- eral government funds. They could not CITY AID AGENCY possibility we'll end up with a bal- anced budget" for the 1974-75 fiscal shuffle these funds. year. By July 7, the mayor was sitting "The nature of the city's budget Governmental and Banking calmly in his office and announcing changed, but Beame did not adjust to Negotiators Wrestle With that the fiscal crisis was "behind us. the situation. He still continued to Limits on Borrowing Like Nixon with Watergate, he had claim savings based on expenditures CLOCK IS RUNNING OUT treated the city's fiscal crisis as a not made, and which never would have public-relations problem. been made to begin with. The city Hope Is to Avoid a Default On March 24 he warned, "Nobody claimed hundreds of millions in savings on $792-Million in Debts is going to tell me how to run the city." on people it could not have hired. It Due on Wednesday On June 10, the state Municipal Assis- was as if my washing machine broke tance Corporation was created. By July and my wife got it repaired for $50. If 18 Beame meekly told the MAC he I were Abe Beame I would claim a would do "whatever is necessary" to $250 saving since I didn't have to go win back the investors he had accused out and buy a new washing machine." of "conspiracy" on May 29. By Septem- Abe Beame did something like that ber, the State Legislature had passed a in the spring of 1974 when he pre- bill, a main purpose of which was to sented his 1974-75 budget. Rather than advertise to investors that Abe Beame make painful cuts to balance his bud- was no longer in charge. He had been get, he raised the already highest taxes stripped of his budgetary powers, as in the nation by $44 million; he smug- the city-through the default of its gled $722 million of expense items into leaders-had been stripped of repre- his capital budget; borrowed $520 mil- sentative government. lion through the creation of the Stabili- "Abe Beame could have done much zation Reserve Corporation, to be repaid more much earlier and paid much less." over ten years; raised some $280 million a high state official told me in July. "In by advancing the date of sewer-rent col- fact, if the city had been willing to get lections and siphoning what he called honest with its figures last winter and BEAME THREATENS "excess" pension earnings to meet 35000 had presented a two- or three-year fiscal 88,000 DISMISSALS the city's share of pension contribu- plan and agreed to limit its borrowing, tions. The city had increased its reli- there could have been an agreement ance on borrowed funds to cover in- with the financial community and there Offers "Horror List' of Cuts sufficient current revenues, thus push- would have been no need for Big MAC." to Be Made If State Aid of $640-Million Is Denied ing off still larger debt payments to next year. Besides his budget failures, Abc June 15, 1974: The Port Au- Beame's performance directly led to the G.O.P. in Albany Rejects Beame's 640-Million Plea therefore, the city's-credibility. At first, 19. thority's 1962 covenant is undermining of confidence in his-and, repealed. he blamed whatever budget problems In 1962 the Port Authority made a he had on the $1.5-billion deficit he deal with the governors of New York said he inherited from terrible John and New Jersey. The authority agreed Lindsay. Then on December 2, 1974, to take over and modernize the bank- he blamed City Comptroller Goldin's rupt and decaying trans-Hudson com- differing deficit estimates for the 9.5 muter tubes in return for winning the per cent interest the city was forced to approval of the governors to build the pay for short-term notes. Then, over World Trade Center. As an additional the next two months, he separately an- incentive, the legislatures of the two nounced what he called Phase One, states passed covenants assuring the Two, and Three of city layoffs. On Feb- authority, together with its bondholders, 40 NEW YORK/OCTOBER 27, 1975 Sweater Ensemble: Nipon. Fall 1975: Estée Lauder gives you the one color so multifaceted it builds a whole new look for you: Country Brick Country Bricks burnished with frost, warmed by the sun. They're the colors to wear everywhere: eyes, lips, cheeks, fingertips. They're the colors to wear with everything soft and sweatery and this-Fall. Here's how: Eyes: Pressed Eyelid Shadow in Burnished Brick/Warm Brick. Lips: RE-NUTRIV Rich Rich Lipstick in Roman Brick, Rose Brick. 1975 Estée Lauder, Inc. Photograph Skrebneski Pantsuit: Ginala Tender Lip Tint in Cafe Brick, Alfresco Brick. Fresh Air Lip Polisher in Polished Brick. Cheeks: Face & Cheek Tint in Russet Brick. Soft Film Compact Rouge in Sunny Brick, Tawny Brick. Tender Blusher in Burnt Brick, Smoky Brick. Fingertips: Lustrous Nail Lacquer in Brick Tile, Glazed Brick. Estée Lauder WIDE WORLD that never again would it be required to million per day it owed contractors. assume any deficit mass-transit operation. The agency had clearly overextended Since mass-transit systems chronically itself. After a series of frenetic meet- lose money. this effectively took the au- ings and touch-and-go negotiations with thority out of the mass-transit business. the banks, on February 26 the governor For years, critics of the Port Author- fashioned a bipartisan plan to provide ity have lashed out at this failure to in- refinancing and stave off the collapse vest in mass transit. A leader in the of this important state agency. At the fight to wrench the authority into help- time everyone hailed the statesmanship ing finance mass transit was labor at- exhibited by all sides. Largely over- torney Theodore Kheel, who said in the looked was an event which took place spring of 1974, "Repeal of the 1962 the day before, and seemed less signifi- statutory covenant will in no way im- WIDE WORLD cant. On February 25, New York State pair the security of Port Authority -rather than appropriating state mon- bondholders." He was backed by Gov- eys and perhaps raising taxes to cover ernor Brendan Byrne of New Jersey, $104.5 million in due notes-chose to who signed the repeal on April 30. Then default on UDC obligations for four overwhelming majorities in both houses weeks. Governor Carey double-talked, of the New York State Legislature saying that since these were short-term WIDE WORLD passed the repeal. Governor Malcolm notes they "do not carry the moral ob- Wilson, switching from the support he ligation of the state." had promised Nelson Rockefeller in the Four weeks later the state made fall of 1973, hesitated in signing the good on this money. But the damage measure. He was fearful, he said later, had been done. UDC became the first that his approval of the measure would major government agency since the De- "overturn a solemn pledge of the state." pression to become insolvent. As Rich- He was immediately attacked by fel- ard Ravitch, the man Carey installed as low Republicans, by Kheel, by all the Logue's successor, had warned on Feb- then-Democratic-candidates for gov- ruary 9, "People did business with the ernor, by the City Bar Association, by UDC-small businessmen, architects, just about everyone in politics. Wilson civil-rights organizations-thinking they had been warned that repeal would were doing business with the state seriously undermine "investor confi- of New York. The fact that they tech- PHOTOWORLD dence," words then foreign to most of nically were not doesn't matter now." us. Finally, on June 15, only minutes The message communicated to inves- before the signing deadline-and know- tors was that state moral obligations ing he faced a difficult November elec- were not legal obligations. Like the tion-Governor Wilson relented and Port Authority bond covenant, in the approved the measure. eyes of the investment community the Donna Shalala, a member of the state was breaking a contract. Said a MAC board, reports that in her deal- Wall Street bond trader: "Why should ings with bankers they often cite the I buy the moral obligations of immoral repeal as undermining "confidence" in politicians?" The consequences were government securities. To investors the swift. The Wall Street Journal re- repeal served as a warning-despite ported "public bonds fell an aver- assurances from the state and the Port age of $15 for each $1,000 face Authority-that what the state giveth amount." Within days New York City it can taketh away. was forced to accept a then astronom- ical 8.69 per cent interest rate on $537- February 25, 1975: The New million of bond-anticipation notes— 20. up from 7 per cent two weeks before. York State Urban Develop- In a joint statement Beame and Goldin ment Corporation defaults. said, "The recent default by the state Urban Development Corporation" has The first sentence of UDC President created an "unwarranted climate of Edward J. Logue's 64-page annual re- suspicion in the marketplace." They port for 1974 begins: "1975 can be a charged that New York City taxpayers WIDE WORLD banner year It was, of sorts. were being forced to pay for the mis- On January 21, State Comptroller takes of "another jurisdiction." The Arthur Levitt deplored yet again the State Housing and Finance Agency "moral obligation" gimmick used by Parer Drive Mids Who Cleaning Up postponed a scheduled note sale-made Another Renun? Can't Learn AI College UDC and other agencies to avoid con- New York Post finally on April 23 for a record 9.6 stitutionally required voter approval per cent. By April, construction of for state borrowing. He also blamed the banks for "cooperating with a ven- MAC S56M Short more than $1 billion in nursing homes, hospitals, facilities for the handicapped, geance" to reap profits from UDC. In As Deadline Nears and other projects was held up for succeeding days Governor Carey ap- lack of investors. The municipal-bond pointed task forces to study and seek market was going to hell. And the city to prevent the nation's most powerful of New York, the most flagrant violator housing agency from drowning in $1- Rocky in New Call for Aid of that market's rules, was thus set up billion in debts outstanding, and the $1- to reap a whirlwind. OCTOBER 27, 1975/NEW YORK 41 ODE COLLECTION ALBERT AND MARK NEWGARDEN Starred and feathered: In London in 1918, Baron de Meyer used his familiar shimmered light to enhance the beauty of "Dolores." And Masters of Fashion Photography In another century they might have become a Gainsborough, a Terborch, or, with a little luck and pluck, a Mme. Vigée-Lebrun. But in the twentieth century they became photographers, and as a result, the art of recording fashion lost status. No matter how arresting, inventive, or beautiful fashion photographs might be, they were generally considered as ephemeral and commercial as the apparel they displayed. Yet, paradoxically, many of them were taken by such men as Steichen, Man Ray, Beaton, and Avedon, whose work outside the field of fashion was highly acclaimed. All this is about to be rectified, thanks to Robert Littman, the enterprising director of the Emily Lowe Gallery of Hofstra University. He has organized the first major exhi- bition of outstanding fashion photographs from World War I to the present, from Baron de Meyer's luminous plumes (above) to Deborah Turbeville's bathhouse blues (page 46). The show opens in Hempstead on October 30 and moves to the Korn- blee Gallery in New York on December 16. Chosen from the work of 25 of the world's top photographers, the 200 pictures on display not only chronicle the changing modes and evolving mores of this century but confirm the place of fashion photographs among the high-status-and now high-priced-masterworks of the camera.-Dorothy Seiberling 42 NEW YORK/OCTOBER 27, 1975 John Simon Diagnoses Ken Russellmania The John Connally Comeback Road, by Aaron Latham Great Fashion Photographs of the Last 50 Years 75 CENTS OCTOBER 27, 1975 NEW YORK Who's to Blame for The Fix We're In 20015 OW BETHESDA 6221 SWORDS WAY 25 LYNNE CHENEY 94*80 9441 66051229 CEN 600003 The only French Beaujolais that carries letters of recommendation. B&G. The letters that stand for over 250 years of perfecting the fresh, light, fruity taste that has BeG made French Beaujolais famous. A history that has established the letters of recommendation equally famous: B&G. 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