Annual State Convention, Travelers Protective Association of America, Grand Rapids, MI, May 13, 1972
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Travelers Protective Association of America, Grand Rapids, MI, May 13, 1972" of the Ford
Congressional Papers: Press Secretary and Speech File at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential
Library.
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ANNUAL STATE CONVENTION, TRAUELERS PROTEC TIUE
ASSOC. OF AMERICA, 7:30 P.M. SAT., MAY 13, 1972,
GRAND RAPIDS, MICHIGAN.
HN. Vergin Jale
2.R.S.
ONE OF OUR FOREMOST CONCERNS
TODAY IS THE HEALTH OF THE U.S. ECONOMY.
I WOULD LIKE TO GIVE YOU A PROGRESS REPORT
ON THE ECONOMY TONIGHT IN THE LIGHT OF
THE ADMINISTRATION?S NEW ECONOMIC POLICY.
I WILL ALSO TOUCH ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS AND
THE ADMINISTRATION'S EFFORTS TO USHER IN
A NEW ERA OF PEACE.
OUR NEW ECONOMIC POLICY, AS YOU
KNOW, IS AIMED AT REDRESSING OUR BALANCE
OF TRADE, INCREASING U.S. INDUSTRIAL
PRODUCTIVITY, COMPETING EFFECTIVELY
ABROAD, ATTAINING FULL EMPLOYMENT, AND
CONTROLLING INFLATION.
TWO OTHER AIMS SHOULD BE
PARAMOUNT AT THIS TIME -- KEEPING OUR
FORD & LIBRARY GERALD
DEFENSES SECURE AND IMPROVING THE QUALITY
Digitized from Box D33 of The Ford Congressional Papers: Press Secretary and Speech File at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library
(No PAGE 2) -3-
OF LIFE FOR ALL OF OUR CITIZENS.
SINCE JANUARY 1969 THE PRESIDENT
HAS BEEN GUIDING OUR COUNTRY THROUGH A
SERIES OF HISTORIC TRANSITIONS:
-- FROM AN ERA OF CONFRONTATION
TO AN ERA OF NEGOTIATION.
-- FROM ARMS COMPETITION TOWARD
ARMS LIMITATION.
-- FROM THE DRAFT TO AN
ALL-VOLUNTEER SERVICE.
-- FROM A FEDERAL BUDGET DOMINATED
BY DEFENSE EXPENDITURES TO ONE DOMINATED BY
HUMAN RESOURCE PROGRAMS.
-- FROM WAR TO PEACE.
-- FROM A WARTIME ECONOMY TO A
PEACETIME ECONOMY.
THE DISLOCATIONS AND PROBLEMS WE
HAVE ENCOUNTERED IN SHIFTING FROM A WARTIME
BRAR
-4-
TO A PEACETIME ECONOMY HAVE BEEN MOST
SEVERE. THE PRESIDENT HAS BROUGHT NEARLY
500,000 TROOPS HOME FROM VIETNAM AND HAS
SHARPLY CUT OUR ARMED FORCES AND DEFENSE
PURCHASES. AS THIS WINDING DOWN OCCURRED,
MORE THAN 2 MILLION MEN AND WOMEN WERE
RELEASED FROM DEFENSE AND DEFENSE-RELATED
JOBS.
FEW AMERICANS REALIZE THAT BY
THIS JUNE 30 THE SIZE OF OUR ARMED FORCES
WILL HAVE BEEN TRIMMED TO 2,391,000,
73,000 LESS THAN THE LOWEST FIGURE FOR THE
PAST TWO DECADES AND 1.1 MILLION BELOW THE
VIETNAM WAR HIGH REGISTERED IN THE PREVIOUS
ADMINISTRATION.
AT THE SAME TIME, THE NUMBER OF
CIVILIAN EMPLOYES IN THE DEFENSE DEPARTMENT
WILL HAVE BEEN CUT BACK TO 1,041,000,
-5-
THE LOWEST SINCE 1965 AND A DROP OF MORE
THAN 300,000 FROM THE VIETNAM HIGH.
DESPITE THE TREMENDOUS PROBLEMS
ENGENDERED BY THE TRANSITION FROM A
PEACETIME TO A WARTIME ECONOMY -- A
TRANSITION COMPLICATED BY THE URGENT
NECESSITY TO FIGHT A NEAR-RUNAWAY
INFLATION -- AMERICA'S BUSINESS SYSTEM
WAS NOT FLOUNDERING ON THE ROCKS LAST
AUGUST 15 OR ANY TIME EARLIER. THE
ADMINISTRATION'S NEW ECONOMIC POLICY WAS
NOT A BAILOUT FOR BUSINESS.
THE PROGRAM WAS MADE NECESSARY
BY FOUR PROBLEMS:
-- THE RATE OF INFLATION WAS NOT
COMING DOWN FAST ENOUGH;
-- THE RATE OF UNEMPLOYMENT WAS
TOO HIGH, DUE IN LARGE PART TO REDUCTIONS
LIBRARY
IN MILITARY FORCES AND DEFENSE CONTRACTING;
-6-
-- INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND FISCAL
PROBLEMS WERE PUTTING SERIOUS PRESSURES
ON THE STRENGTH OF THE DOLLAR;
-- AND LARGE SEGMENTS OF THE
PUBLIC HAD BEEN TALKED INTO A LACK OF
CONFIDENCE IN AMERICA'S FUTURE.
THE CRISIS IN CONFIDENCE WAS
REALLY MORE SEVERE THAN ANY CRISIS IN THE
ECONOMY.
THE SUCCESS WE HAVE HAD TO DATE
WITH THE NEW ECONOMIC POLICY IS REPAIRING
THE DAMAGE IN PUBLIC CONFIDENCE DESPITE
CONTINUING POLITICAL ATTACKS ON THE
PRESIDENT.
THE ECONOMY IS EXPANDING
VIGOROUSLY. MOST OF THE KEY MONTHLY
INDICATORS ARE POINTING UPWARD. THE 5.3 PER
CENT ANNUAL GROWTH RATE FOR "REAL"
-7-
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN THE FIRST QUARTER
OF THIS YEAR IS A GOOD SHOWING IN ANYBODY'S
BOOK.
MORE ENCOURAGING THAN ANYTHING
ELSE IS THE FACT THAT CONSUMER CONFIDENCE
IS QUICKENING. THERE WAS A 2.5 PER CENT
SPURT IN RETAIL SALES IN MARCH, AND THIS
IS GIVING THE GENERAL BUSINESS UPSWING A
MUCH MORE SOLID LOOK.
EMPLOYMENT SOARED IN MARCH TO
RECORD HEIGHTS. AFTER ADJUSTMENTS FOR
SEASONAL FACTORS, THE NUMBER OF JOBHOLDERS
TOPPED 81 MILLION AS EMPLOYMENT ROSE BY
618,000. THAT WAS THE LARGEST ABSOLUTE
ADVANCE SINCE APRIL OF 1960. BUT WHILE THE
ECONOMY PRODUCED THE LARGEST ONE-MONTH
INCREASE IN EMPLOYMENT IN OVER 10 YEARS,
LIORARY
THE LABOR FORCE EXPANDED EVEN MORE SHARPLY.
-8-
THE INCREASE IN THE LABOR FORCE -- THE
LARGEST SUCH INCREASE IN 25 YEARS --
PREVENTED THE JOBLESS RATE FROM FALLING.
I PREDICT THAT THE UNUSUAL GROWTH
IN THE LABOR FORCE WILL TAPER OFF AND
EMPLOYMENT WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE MARKED
GAINS. THE RESULT WILL BE TO PUSH
UNEMPLOYMENT DOWN TOWARD THE 5 PER CENT
MARK BY THE END OF THIS YEAR.
THE ADMINISTRATION'S FISCAL
POLICIES WILL PRODUCE AN INCREASE OF
$100 BILLION IN GNP OVER LAST YEAR. THIS
WILL BRING THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE DOWN.
EFFORTS TO IMPROVE AMERICA'S COMPETITIVE
POSITION IN WORLD MARKETS WILL INCREASE
OUR SALES ABROAD AND GENERATE MORE JOBS
HERE AT HOME.
GEBALD FORD LIBRARY
-9-
IN ADDITION TO PURSUING
STIMULATIVE FISCAL POLICIES, THE
ADMINISTRATION IS ALSO CARRYING OUT
NUMEROUS PROGRAMS WHICH PROVIDE DIRECT
EMPLOYMENT. JOBS HAVE BEEN FOUND FOR MORE
THAN 270,000 VIETNAM-ERA VETERANS. THE
ADMINISTRATIONS PUBLIC EMPLOYMENT PROGRAM
HAS CREATED 145,000 NEW JOBS. AND NEARLY
1,100,000 FEDERALLY-SUPPORTED JOB
OPPORTUNITIES WILL BE OFFERED AMERICAN
YOUTH THIS SUMMER -- 89,000 MORE THAN LAST
YEAR.
EVERY WEEK THE PULSE OF THE
ECONOMY IS BEATING FASTER. THE RECOVERY
NOW HAS SOME BOUNCE TO IT. MANUFACTURERS'
SALES JUMPED AHEAD EARLY IN THE FIRST
QUARTER OF THIS YEAR. THE OUTPUT OF STEEL,
BUILDING PRODUCTS, FURNITURE AND
GERALD R
-10-
APPLIANCES HAS ALSO MOVED HIGHER. MACHINE
TOOLS HAVE SCORED A 27 PER CENT
YEAR-TO-YEAR GAIN IN ORDERS IN JUST THE
FIRST TWO MONTHS OF THIS YEAR. OVERALL,
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION HAS RISEN AT AN
ANNUAL RATE OF MORE THAN 8 PER CENT SINCE
LAST NOVEMBER. CAPITAL SPENDING ROSE IN
THE FOURTH QUARTER OF 1971 AND ALSO IN THE
FIRST QUARTER OF THIS YEAR.
ALL THE NUMBERS ADD UP TO A
DEFINITE UPSWING, AND, VERY IMPORTANTLY,
CONSUMERS SUDDENLY FEEL A LOT BETTER ABOUT
BUSINESS AND EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS. THAT
IS WHY RETAIL SALES ARE PICKING UP AFTER
MONTHS OF ALMOST NO MOVEMENT.
ON INFLATION, THE MARCH FIGURES
GIVE US TANGIBLE EVIDENCE OF PROGRESS
TOWARD OUR GOAL OF REDUCING THE INFLATION
-11-
RATE TO 2 TO 3 PER CENT BY YEAR'S END.
ACCORDING TO THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, WE
STOPPED INFLATION COLD DURING THE MONTH OF
MARCH. SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, THE INCREASE
WAS ACTUALLY ZERO. WHILE ONE MONTH DOES
NOT AN ANNUAL RATE MAKE, I CAN ONLY
CONCLUDE THAT THE FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION
IS SUCCEEDING.
DURING THE FOUR MONTHS SINCE
THE FREEZE ENDED IN NOVEMBER, THE CONSUMER
PRICE INDEX AND EACH OF ITS MAJOR COMPONENTS
EXCEPT FOOD HAVE RISEN AT A SLOWER RATE
THAN IN THE SIX MONTHS BEFORE THE
STABILIZATION PROGRAM BEGAN. IN THE SEVEN
MONTHS SINCE THE PROGRAM WAS INITIATED, THE
CPI HAS RISEN AT A YEARLY RATE OF 2.8 PER
CENT, COMPARED WITH 4.1 PER CENT IN THE
SIX MONTHS PRECEDING THE FREEZE.
-12-
AS A RESULT OF THE RESTRAINT ON
PRICES, THE INCREASE IN THE CONSUMER PRICE
INDEX WAS HELD TO 3.4 PER CENT FOR ALL OF
1971. THAT COMPARES WITH A 5.5 PER CENT
RISE IN 1970 AND 6.1 PER CENT IN 1969.
ON THE BASIS OF THESE FACTS, 1 WOULD SAY THE
RATE OF INFLATION IS BEING PUSHED IN THE
RIGHT DIRECTION -- DOWNWARD.
THE CRITICS WHO DECLARE THAT THE
PRICE STABILIZATION MACHINERY HAS GONE
HAYWIRE BECAUSE OF THE TEMPORARY POST-FREEZE
BULGE ARE LIKE A SCOREKEEPER WHO DECLARES
THAT A PROFESSIONAL GOLFER IS OUT OF THE
RUNNING BECAUSE HE GOES ONE OVER PAR ON
THE FIRST HOLE. HE IS OVERLOOKING THE
FACT THAT A GOOD GOLFER IS LIKELY TO PICK
UP A BIRDIE OR TWO ALONG THE WAY TO MAKE UP
FOR HIS ONE EXCESS.
FORD LIBRARY is GERALD
-13-
THE CHARGE THAT WAGES ARE BEING
HELD DOWN WHILE PRICES ARE ROCKETING OUT
OF CONTROL IS SIMPLY NOT TRUE. GEORGE
MEANY IS EMPLOYING THE BIG LIE TECHNIQUE,
MAKING A FALSE STATEMENT AND REPEATING IT
AGAIN AND AGAIN.
REAL WAGES MEASURE WHETHER LABOR
IS BETTER OFF THAN IT HAS BEEN. AND THE
FACTS ARE THAT REAL EARNINGS FOR WORKERS
FROM 1970 TO THE PRESENT SHOWED A
6 PER CENT GAIN, WHILE WORKERS REGISTERED
NO GAIN IN REAL EARNINGS FROM 1966 TO 1970.
IN THE LAST QUARTER OF 1971, REAL EARNINGS
ROSE 5 PER CENT. IN ALL OF 1971, AVERAGE
WEEKLY EARNINGS INCREASED 7.1 PER CENT,
MORE THAN TWICE THE 3.4 PER CENT INCREASE
IN CONSUMER PRICES.
AS YOU KNOW, CORPORATE PROFITS
LIBRARY
ROSE
-14-
ARE NOT DIRECTLY UNDER CONTROL OF THE
ECONOMIC STABILIZATION PROGRAM ALTHOUGH
PROFIT MARGINS ARE.
SOME PEOPLE HAVE COMPLAINED
BECAUSE CORPORATE PROFITS ROSE ABOUT
16 PER CENT IN 1971 AND ARE EXPECTED TO
RISE ABOUT AS MUCH, OR SLIGHTLY MORE, IN
1972. NEVERTHELESS, CORPORATE PROFITS WILL
STILL BE RELATIVELY LOW IN 1972 AND WILL BE
ONLY 17.5 PER CENT HIGHER THAN IN 1966,
SIX YEARS AGO. BY CONTRAST, TOTAL PERSONAL
INCOME IN 1972 WILL BE NEARLY 60 PER CENT
GREATER THAN IN 1966. AND, SIMILARLY,
AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS OF ALL PRIVATE
NON-AGRICULTURAL WORKERS IN 1972 WILL BE
MORE THAN 40 PER CENT HIGHER THAN IN 1966.
EVEN A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN
CORPORATE PROFITS THIS YEAR WILL LEAVE THEM
-15-
LOW BY HISTORICAL STANDARDS AND LOW
RELATIVE TO PERSONAL AND WAGE INCOME.
EVERY AMERICAN WHO UNDERSTANDS THE
IMPORTANCE OF PROFITS IN OUR FREE
ENTERPRISE SYSTEM SHOULD BE CONCERNED ABOUT
THIS, BECAUSE PROFITS ARE THE KEY TO MORE
JOBS, GREATER PRODUCTIVITY AND THE
COMPETITIVENESS OF AMERICAN INDUSTRY IN
THE WORLD ECONOMY.
PROFIT IS THE NAME OF THE GAME
IN A FREE ENTERPRISE SYSTEM. OUR SYSTEM
GROWS IN SIZE AND IN STRENGTH AS PROFITS
GROW. THOSE WHO WOULD PUT A FREEZE ON
PROFITS WOULD KILL THE GOOSE THAT LAYS THE
GOLDEN EGGS. TO PENALIZE INDUSTRY THROUGH
A FREEZE ON PROFITS WOULD BE ROBBING IT OF
ITS LIFE'S BLOOD.
FORD LIBRARY 'B GERALD
-16- (No PAGE 17)
LET ME INTERJECT THIS WORD OF
CAUTION, HOWEVER. THOSE FIRMS WHICH ARE
EXCEEDING PROFIT MARGINS ESTABLISHED UNDER
OUR STABILIZATION PROGRAM WOULD DO WELL TO
TRIM THEIR PRICES VOLUNTARILY. GOVERNMENT
ACTION FORCING PRICE CUTS SHOULD NOT BE
NECESSARY.
SUMMING UP, I BELIEVE THERE ARE
FIVE ACTIONS WHICH MUST BE TAKEN IF WE
ARE TO ACHIEVE A STABLE ECONOMY. WE SHOULD
APPLY WAGE AND PRICE CONTROLS EQUITABLY,
RELAX ECONOMIC CONTROLS ONCE INFLATION
HAS BEEN CURBED, HOLD DOWN FEDERAL
EXPENDITURES, REDUCE BARRIERS TO FREE
INTERNATIONAL TRADE, AND INCREASE OUR
EFFORTS TO SMOOTH THE TRANSITION FROM A
WARTIME TO A PEACETIME ECONOMY.
-18-
LL
TO-SUM
UP
THIS ADMINISTRATION IS
STEADILY MOVING THIS COUNTRY TOWARD REAL
PROSPERITY, NOT THE FALSE PROSPERITY
GENERATED BY WAR -- THE FALSE PROSPERITY
THAT CREATES A DEFENSE PLANT BOOM AND PUTS
HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF YOUNG MEN INTO
UNIFORM.
-AND JUST AS THE ADMINISTRATION IS
BUILDING A GENUINE PROSPERITY, SO WE ARE
ALSO SEEKING A GENERATION OF PEACE IN
-19-
WORLD AFFAIRS.
PRESIDENT NIXON HAS BROUGHT A
NEW QUALITY OF REALISM TO AMERICAN FOREIGN
POLICY. WE HAVE AGREED TO ACCEPT MAINLAND
CHINA AS A SOVEREIGN NATION. WE HAVE
USHERED IN AN ERA OF NEGOTIATION IN PLACE
OF CONFRONTATION. AND WE HAVE INITIATED
THE NIXON DOCTRINE OF HELPING THOSE
FRIENDLY NATIONS WILLING TO HELP THEMSELVES.
LAST YEAR ALONE, WE REACHED A
NUMBER OF SIGNIFICANT AGREEMENTS WITH THE
SOVIET UNION:
-- WE BROKE THE DEADLOCK IN THE
ARMS LIMITATION TALKS AND AGREED ON A
FRAMEWORK FOR PROGRESS. NOW THERE IS A
STRONG POSSIBILITY THAT PRESIDENT NIXON
WILL BE SIGNING A STRATEGIC ARMS LIMITATION
AGREEMENT WHEN HE GOES TO MOSCOW ON MAY 22.
-- WE REACHED AN AGREEMENT ON
FORD
BERLIN, REDUCING AT LONG LAST THE DANGER OF
A DIRECT CONFRONTATION THERE BETWEEN THE
BRARY
SUPERPOWERS.
-20-
-- WE SIGNED A TREATY BANNING
WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION FROM THE
SEABEDS, AND AGREED ON THE DRAFT OF ANOTHER
TREATY TO REMOVE THE THREAT OF GERM WARFARE.
-- WE AGREED ON A MORE RELIABLE
"HOT LINE" WITH MOSCOW.
WE HAVE NOT REACHED THE PROMISED
LAND IN OUR DISCUSSIONS WITH THE RUSSIANS
AND THE CHINESE, BUT FOR THE FIRST TIME IN
A GENERATION WE HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO
BUILD A LASTING STRUCTURE OF PEACE.
IN THE MIDDLE EAST THE PRESIDENT
WANTS TO SEE THE CEASE-FIRE WHICH HE
INITIATED IN 1970 BECOME A PERMANENT PEACE.
WE ARE CONTINUING TO WORK ON THAT PROBLEM.
WE ARE ENDING THE COLD WAR BUT
THE HOT WAR IN VIETNAM HAS BECOME HOTTER.
AS YOU KNOW, THE PRESIDENT HAS
MADE EVERY EFFORT TO NEGOTIATE A SETTLEMENT
WITH HANOI, INCLUDING PROPOSALS OFFERED BY
LIBRARY
-21-
WAR CRITICS. TWELVE TIMES HIS PERSONAL
EMISSARY FLEW TO PARIS TO CONDUCT SECRET
NEGOTIATIONS. A WHOLE YEAR AGO THE
PRESIDENT OFFERED THE ENEMY A FULL
WITHDRAWAL OF AMERICAN TROOPS FROM SOUTH
VIETNAM IN EXCHANGE FOR A CEASE-FIRE
AND OUR PRISONERS OF WAR. BUT THE NORTH
VIETNAMESE INSISTED ON A FULL POLITICAL
SETTLEMENT, AND IN THE HOPE THAT THE
SECRET NEGOTIATIONS MIGHT SUCCEED, THE
PRESIDENT REMAINED SILENT WHILE MANY IN
THE CONGRESS ATTACKED HIM FOR NOT DOING
WHAT HE HAD, IN FACT, ALREADY DONE.
THE CHARGE THAT PRESIDENT NIXON
IS SEEKING A MILITARY VICTORY IN VIETNAM
AND NOT PEACE IS AN OUT-AND-OUT LIE. THE
PRESIDENT RESPONDED WITH AIR AND SEA
COUNTERATTACKS TO THE NORTH VIETNAMESE
-22-
INVASION OF SOUTH VIETNAM BECAUSE HE HAD
NO OTHER CHOICE SHORT OF ABANDONMENT OF
SOUTH VIETNAM. HE ALSO HAD A DUTY AS
COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF TO PROTECT THE
U.S.
60,000,TROOPS STILL IN SOUTH VIETNAM,
A NUMBER THAT WILL DIMINISH TO 49,000
BY JULY 1.
NOW THE PRESIDENT IS SEEKING TO
END THE WAR BY CHOKING OFF THE ENEMY'S
SOURCES OF SUPPLY. THIS IS THE ONLY WAY
LEFT TO STOP THE FIGHTING, SINCE THE
OTHER SIDE SIMPLY SNEERS AT OUR EFFORTS
TO NEGOTIATE A SETTLEMENT. THERE IS
RISK INVOLVED IN THIS COURSE OF ACTION BUT
I FEEL GREAT CONFIDENCE IN THE PRESIDENT.
I FEEL SURE HE HAS FULLY WEIGHED ALL OF
THE FACTORS INVOLVED.
ONE OF THE AIMS OF THE NORTH
GERALD LIBRARY R.FORD
VIETNAMESE OFFENSIVE IS TO DEMORALIZE
--23--
THE AMERICAN PEOPLE -- TO PERSUADE THEM
TO DECLARE THE WAR LOST AND TO DEMAND AN
UNCONDITIONAL PULLOUT OF AMERICAN FORCES.
BUT A RECENT POLL CONDUCTED BY THE
OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION OF PRINCETON,
NEW JERSEY, SHOWS THAT 7 OUT OF 10 AMERICANS
SUPPORT THE PRESIDENT'S USE OF U.S. AIR
AND SEA POWER AGAINST NORTH VIETNAMESE
MILITARY TARGETS AS LONG AS THE INVASION
CONTINUES.
ABANDONMENT OF OUR ALLY IS NOT
THE ROAD TO PEACE IN VIETNAM AND THE
WORLD.
SURRENDER IN VIETNAM IS NOT THE
ROAD TO A LASTING PEACE.
THIS IS A TIME WHEN WE MUST ALL
STAND UP FOR AMERICA. WE CANNOT RETREAT
FROM VIETNAM LIKE A BEATEN DOG WITH HIS
-24-
TAIL BETWEEN HIS LEGS. THE PRESIDENT WAS
FORCED TO CHOOSE BETWEEN DECISIVE ACTION
AIMED AT DEPRIVING THE ENEMY OF THE
SUPPLIES HE NEEDED TO CONTINUE HIS
INVASION OR THE POSSIBILITY OF A
DUNKIRK-LIKE EVACUATION OF THE REMAINING
60,000 AMERICANS IN VIETNAM.
THE PRESIDENT'S DECISION WILL
NOT SIT WELL WITH THOSE WHO CRY "PEACE
NOW" OR THOSE WHO WOULD ABANDON SOUTH
VIETNAM TO A COMMUNIST TAKEOVER BY FORCE.
BUT WE MUST CONTINUE TO ASSERT WORLD
LEADERSHIP IN THE FACE OF NEO-ISOLATIONISM,
WELL-MEANING BUT MISGUIDED PACIFISM, AND
RADICALLY ORGANIZED PROTEST MOVEMENTS
WHICH TEND TO BENEFIT THE OTHER SIDE.
WE MUST PUT THE NATION ON A
NEW COURSE, TAKE HER IN DIRECTIONS THAT
POINT TOWARD A NEW ERA OF GREATNESS FOR
-25-
THE AMERICAN PEOPLE.
WE MUST LAY A FOUNDATION FOR
PROSPERITY WITHOUT WAR AND WE MUST BUILD
A NEW STRATEGY FOR PEACE.
OUR GOALS ARE CLEAR. OUR
PURPOSE IS STRONG. WITH THE HELP OF THE
AMERICAN PEOPLE, WE CANNOT FAIL.
--END--
FORD LIBRARY & GERALD
Fifth District only
Office Copy
AN ADDRESS BY REP. GERALD R. FORD, R-MICH.
REPUBLICAN LEADER, U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
BEFORE THE ANNUAL STATE CONVENTION OF THE
TRAVELERS PROTECTIVE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA
7:30 PLM. SATURDAY, MAY 13, 1972
GRAND RAPIDS, MICHIGAN
FOR RELEASE AT 7:30 P.M. SATURDAY
One of our foremost concerns today is the health of the U.S. economy. I
would like to give you a progress report on the economy tonight in the light of
the Administration's New Economic Policy. I will also touch on foreign affairs
and the Administration's efforts to usher in a new era of peace.
Our New Economic Policy, as you know, is aimed at redressing our balance of
trade, increasing U.S. industrial productivity, competing effectively abroad,
attaining full employment, and controlling inflation.
Two other aims should be paramount at this time--keeping our defenses secure
and improving the quality of life for all of our citizens.
Since January 1969 the President has been guiding our country through a
series of historic transitions:
--From an era of confrontation to an era of negotiation.
--From arms competition toward arms limitation.
--From the draft to an all-volunteer service.
--From a Federal budget dominated by defense expenditures to one dominated
by Human Resource Programs.
--From war to peace.
--From a wartime economy to a peacetime economy.
The dislocations and problems we have encountered in shifting from a wartime
to a peacetime economy have been most severe. The President has brought nearly
(more)
-2-
500,000 troops home from Vietnam and has sharply cut our armed forces and defense
purchases. As this winding down occurred, more than 2 million men and women were
released from defense and defense-related jobs.
Few Americans realize that by this June 30 the size of our armed forces
will have been trimmed to 2,391,000, 73,000 less than the lowest figure for the
past two decades and 1.1 million below the Vietnam War high registered in the
previous Administration.
At the same time, the number of civilian employes in the Defense Department
will have been cut back to 1,041,000, the lowest since 1965 and a drop of more than
300,000 from the Vietnam high.
Despite the tremendous problems engendered by the transition from a
peacetime to a wartime economy--a transition complicated by the urgent necessity
to fight a near-runaway inflation--America's business system was not floundering
on the rocks last August 15 or any time earlier. The Administration's New Economic
Policy was not a bailout for business.
The program was made necessary by four problems: The rate of inflation was
not coming down fast enough; the rate of unemployment was too high, due in large
part to reductions in military forces and defense contracting; international trade
and fiscal problems were putting serious pressures on the strength of the dollar;
and large segments of the public had been talked into a lack of confidence in
America's future.
The crisis in confidence was really more severe than any crisis in the
economy.
The success we have had to date with the New Economic Policy is repairing
the damage in public confidence despite continuing political attacks on the
President.
The economy is expanding vigorously. Most of the key monthly indicators
are pointing upward. The 5.3 per cent annual growth rate for "real" Gross National
Product in the first quarter of this year is a good showing in anybody's book.
More encouraging than anything else is the fact that consumer confidence is
quickening. There was a 2.5 per cent spurt in retail sales in March, and this is
giving the general business upswing a much more solid look.
Employment soared in March to record heights. After adjustments for seasonal
factors, the number of jobholders topped 81 million as employment rose by 618,000.
(more)
--3---
That was the largest absolute advance since April of 1960. But while the economy
produced the largest one-month increase in employment in over 10 years, the labor
force expanded even more sharply. The increase in the labor force-the largest
such increase in 25 years--prevented the jobless rate from falling.
I predict that the unusual growth in the labor force will taper off and
unemployment will continue to make marked gains. The result will be to push
unemployment down toward the 5 per cent mark by the end of this year.
The Administration's fiscal policies will produce an increase of $100 billion
in GNP over last year. This will bring the unemployment rate down. Efforts to
improve America's competitive position in world markets will increase our sales
abroad and generate more jobs here at home.
In addition to pursuing stimulative fiscal policies, the Administration is
also carrying out numerous programs which provide direct employment. Jobs have
been found for more than 270,000 Vietnam-era veterans. The Administration's public
employment program has created 145,000 new jobs. And nearly 1,100,000
Federally-supported job opportunities will be offered American youth this summer--
89,000 more than last year.
Every week the pulse of the economy is beating faster. The recovery now has
some bounce to it. Manufacturers' sales jumped ahead early in the first quarter of
this year. The output of steel, building products, furniture and appliances has
also moved higher. Machine tools have scored a 27 per cent year-to-year gain in
orders in just the first two months of this year. Overall, industrial production
has risen at an annual rate of more than 8 per cent since last November. Capital
spending rose in the fourth quarter of 1971 and also in the first quarter of this
year.
All the numbers add up to a definite upswing, and, very importantly,
consumers suddenly feel a lot better about business and employment conditions.
That is why retail sales are picking up after months of almost no movement.
On inflation, the March figures give us tangible evidence of progress
toward our goal of reducing the inflation rate to 2 to 3 per cent by year's end.
According to the Consumer Price Index, we stopped inflation cold during the month
of March. Seasonally adjusted, the increase was actually zero. While one month
does not an annual rate make, I can only conclude that the fight against inflation
is succeeding.
(more)
-4-
During the four months since the freeze ended in November, the Consumer
Price Index and each of its major components except food have risen at a slower
rate than in the six months before the stabilization program began. In the seven
months since the program was initiated, the CPI has risen at a yearly rate of
2.8 per cent, compared with 4.1 per cent in the six months preceding the freeze.
As a result of the restraint on prices, the increase in the Consumer Price
Index was held to 3.4 per cent for all of 1971. That compares with a 5.5 per cent
rise in 1970 and 6.1 per cent in 1969. On the basis of these facts, I would say
the rate of inflation is being pushed in the right direction--downward.
The critics who declare that the price stabilization machinery has gone
haywire because of the temporary post-freeze bulge are like a scorekeeper who
declares that a professional golfer is out of the running because he goes one over
par on the first hole. He is overlooking the fact that a good golfer is likely to
pick up a birdie or two along the way to make up for his one excess.
The charge that wages are being held down while prices are rocketing out of
control is simply not true. George Meany is employing the big lie technique, making
a false statement and repeating it again and again.
Real wages measure whether labor is better off than it has been. And the
facts are that real earnings for workers from 1970 to the present showed a
6 per cent gain, while workers registered no gain in real earnings from 1966 to
1970. In the last quarter of 1971, real earnings rose 5 per cent. In all of 1971,
average weekly earnings increased 7.1 per cent, more than twice the 3.4 per cent
increase in consumer prices.
As you know, corporate profits are not directly under control of the economic
stabilization program although profit margins are.
Some people have complained because corporate profits rose about 16 per cent
in 1971 and are expected to rise about as much, or slightly more, in 1972.
Nevertheless, corporate profits will still be relatively low in 1972 and will be
only 17.5 per cent higher than in 1966, six years ago. By contrast, total personal
income in 1972 will be nearly 60 per cent greater than in 1966. And, similarly,
average hourly earnings of all private non-agricultural workers in 1972 will be
more than 40 per cent higher than in 1966.
Even a substantial increase in corporate profits this year will leave them
low by historical standards and low relative to personal and wage income. Every
(more)
-5--
American who understands the importance of profits in our free enterprise system
should be concerned about this, because profits are the key to more jobs, greater
productivity and the competitiveness of American industry in the world economy.
Profit is the name of the game in a free enterprise system. Our system
grows in size and in strength as profits grow. Those who would put a freeze on
profits would kill the goose that lays the golden eggs. To penalize industry
through a freeze on profits would be robbing it of its life's blood.
Let me interject this word of caution, however. Those firms which are
exceeding profit margins established under our stabilization program would do well
to trim their prices voluntarily. Government action forcing price cuts should not
be necessary.
Summing up, I believe there are five actions which must be taken if we are
to achieve a stable economy. We should apply wage and price controls equitably,
relax economic controls once inflation has been curbed, hold down Federal
expenditures, reduce barriers to free international trade, and increase our efforts
to smooth the transition from a wartime to a peacetime economy.
This Administration is steadily moving this country toward real prosperity,
not the false prosperity generated by war-the false prosperity that creates a
defense plant boom and puts hundreds of thousands of young men into uniform.
And just as the Administration is building a genuine prosperity, so we are
also seeking a generation of peace in world affairs.
President Nixon has brought a new quality of realism to American foreign
policy. We have agreed to accept Mainland China as a sovereign nation. We have
ushered in an era of negotiation in place of confrontation. And we have initiated
the Nixon Doctrine of helping those friendly nations willing to help themselves.
Last year alone, we reached a number of significant agreements with the
Soviet Union:
*
We broke the deadlock in the arms limitation talks and agreed on a
framework for progress. Now there is a strong possibility that
President Nixon will be signing a strategic arms limitation
agreement when he goes to Moscow on May 22.
* We reached an agreement on Berlin, reducing at long last the danger
of a direct confrontation there between the superpowers.
*
We signed a treaty banning weapons of mass destruction from the
seabeds, and agreed on the draft of another treaty to remove the
threat of germ warfare.
*
We agreed on a more reliable "hot line" with Moscow.
(more)
-6-
We have not reached the promised land in our discussions with the Russians
and the Chinese, but for the first time in a generation we have the opportunity
to build a lasting structure of peace.
In the Middle East the President wants to see the cease-fire which he
initiated in 1970 become a permanent peace. We are continuing to work on that
problem.
We are ending the cold war but the hot war in Vietnam has become hotter.
As you know, the President has made every effort to negotiate a settlement
with Hanoi, including proposals offered by war critics. Twelve times his personal
emissary flew to Paris to conduct secret negotiations. A whole year ago the
President offered the enemy a full withdrawal of American troops from South Vietnam
in exchange for a cease-fire and our prisoners of war. But the North Vietnamese
insisted on a full political settlement, and in the hope that the secret
negotiations might succeed, the President remained silent while many in the
Congress attacked him for not doing what he had, in fact, already done.
The charge that President Nixon is seeking a military victory in Vietnam
and not peace is an out-and-out lie. The President responded with air and sea
counterattacks to the North Vietnamese invasion of South Vietnam because he had no
other choice short of abandonment of South Vietnam. He also had a duty as
commander-in-chief to protect the 60,000 U.S. troops still in South Vietnam, a
number that will diminish to 49,000 by July 1.
Now the President is seeking to end the war by choking off the enemy's
sources of supply. This is the only way left to stop the fighting, since the
other side simply sneers at our efforts to negotiate a settlement. There is risk
involved in this course of action but I feel great confidence in the President.
I feel sure he has fully weighed all of the factors involved.
One of the aims of the North Vietnamese offensive is to demoralize the
American people--to persuade them to declare the war lost and to demand an
unconditional pullout of American forces. But a recent poll conducted by the
Opinion Research Corp. of Princeton, N.J., shows that 7 out of 10 Americans support
the President's use of U.S. air and sea power against North Vietnamese military
targets as long as the invasion continues.
Abandonment of our ally is not the road to peace in Vietnam and the world.
Surrender in Vietnam is not the road to a lasting peace.
This is a time when we must all stand up for America. We cannot retreat
from Vietnam like a beaten dog with his tail between his legs. The President was
(more)
-7-
forced to choose between decisive action aimed at depriving the enemy of the
supplies he needed to continue his invasion or the possibility of a Dunkirk-like
evacuation of the remaining 60,000 Americans in Vietnam.
The President's decision will not sit well with those who cry "Peace now"
or those who would abandon South Vietnam to a Communist takeover by force. But we
must continue to assert world leadership in the face of neo-isolationism,
well-meaning but misguided pacifism, and radically organized protest movements
which tend to benefit the other side.
We must put the nation on a new course, take her in directions that point
toward a new era of greatness for the American people.
We must lay a foundation for prosperity without war and we must build a
new strategy for peace.
Our goals are clear. Our purpose is strong. With the help of the American
people, we cannot fail.
###
Vistribution Fifth Dist. p.m. 5/11/72
+26 copies of
u affice Copy
AN ADDRESS BY REP. GERALD R. FORD, R-MICH.
REPUBLICAN LEADER, U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
BEFORE THE ANNUAL STATE CONVENTION OF THE
TRAVELERS PROTECTIVE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA
7:30 PLM. SATURDAY, MAY 13, 1972
GRAND RAPIDS, MICHIGAN
FOR RELEASE AT 7:30 P.M. SATURDAY
One of our foremost concerns today is the health of the U.S. economy. I
would like to give you a progress report on the economy tonight in the light of
the Administration's New Economic Policy. I will also touch on foreign affairs
and the Administration's efforts to usher in a new era of peace.
Our New Economic Policy, as you know, is aimed at redressing our balance of
trade, increasing U.S. industrial productivity, competing effectively abroad,
attaining full employment, and controlling inflation.
Two other aims should be paramount at this time--keeping our defenses secure
and improving the quality of life for all of our citizens.
Since January 1969 the President has been guiding our country through a
series of historic transitions:
--From an era of confrontation to an era of negotiation.
--From arms competition toward arms limitation.
--From the draft to an all-volunteer service.
--From a Federal budget dominated by defense expenditures to one dominated
by Human Resource Programs.
--From war to peace.
--From a wartime economy to a peacetime economy.
The dislocations and problems we have encountered in shifting from a wartime
to a peacetime economy have been most severe. The President has brought nearly
(more)
-2-
500,000 troops home from Vietnam and has sharply cut our armed forces and defense
purchases. As this winding down occurred, more than 2 million men and women were
released from defense and defense-related jobs.
Few Americans realize that by this June 30 the size of our armed forces
will have been trimmed to 2,391,000, 73,000 less than the lowest figure for the
past two decades and 1.1 million below the Vietnam War high registered in the
previous Administration.
At the same time, the number of civilian employes in the Defense Department
will have been cut back to 1,041,000, the lowest since 1965 and a drop of more than
300,000 from the Vietnam high.
Despite the tremendous problems engendered by the transition from a
peacetime to a wartime economy--a transition complicated by the urgent necessity
to fight a near-runaway inflation--America's business system was not floundering
on the rocks last August 15 or any time earlier. The Administration's New Economic
Policy was not a bailout for business.
The program was made necessary by four problems: The rate of inflation was
not coming down fast enough; the rate of unemployment was too high, due in large
part to reductions in military forces and defense contracting; international trade
and fiscal problems were putting serious pressures on the strength of the dollar;
and large segments of the public had been talked into a lack of confidence in
America's future.
The crisis in confidence was really more severe than any crisis in the
economy.
The success we have had to date with the New Economic Policy is repairing
the damage in public confidence despite continuing political attacks on the
President.
The economy is expanding vigorously. Most of the key monthly indicators
are pointing upward. The 5.3 per cent annual growth rate for "real" Gross National
Product in the first quarter of this year is a good showing in anybody's book.
More encouraging than anything else is the fact that consumer confidence is
quickening. There was a 2.5 per cent spurt in retail sales in March, and this is
giving the general business upswing a much more solid look.
Employment soared in March to record heights. After adjustments for seasonal
factors, the number of jobholders topped 81 million as employment rose by 618,000.
(more)
-3---
That was the largest absolute advance since April of 1960. But while the economy
produced the largest one-month increase in employment in over 10 years, the labor
force expanded even more sharply. The increase in the labor force-the largest
such increase in 25 years--prevented the jobless rate from falling.
I predict that the unusual growth in the labor force will taper off and
unemployment will continue to make marked gains. The result will be to push
unemployment down toward the 5 per cent mark by the end of this year.
The Administration's fiscal policies will produce an increase of $100 billion
in GNP over last year. This will bring the unemployment rate down. Efforts to
improve America's competitive position in world markets will increase our sales
abroad and generate more jobs here at home.
In addition to pursuing stimulative fiscal policies, the Administration is
also carrying out numerous programs which provide direct employment. Jobs have
been found for more than 270,000 Vietnam-era veterans. The Administration's public
employment program has created 145,000 new jobs. And nearly 1,100,000
Federally-supported job opportunities will be offered American youth this summer--
89,000 more than last year.
Every week the pulse of the economy is beating faster. The recovery now has
some bounce to it. Manufacturers' sales jumped ahead early in the first quarter of
this year. The output of steel, building products, furniture and appliances has
also moved higher. Machine tools have scored a 27 per cent year-to-year gain in
orders in just the first two months of this year. Overall, industrial production
has risen at an annual rate of more than 8 per cent since last November. Capital
spending rose in the fourth quarter of 1971 and also in the first quarter of this
year.
All the numbers add up to a definite upswing, and, very importantly,
consumers suddenly feel a lot better about business and employment conditions.
That is why retail sales are picking up after months of almost no movement.
On inflation, the March figures give us tangible evidence of progress
toward our goal of reducing the inflation rate to 2 to 3 per cent by year's end.
According to the Consumer Price Index, we stopped inflation cold during the month
of March. Seasonally adjusted, the increase was actually zero. While one month
does not an annual rate make, I can only conclude that the fight against inflation
is succeeding.
(more)
-4-
During the four months since the freeze ended in November, the Consumer
Price Index and each of its major components except food have risen at a slower
rate than in the six months before the stabilization program began. In the seven
months since the program was initiated, the CPI has risen at a yearly rate of
2.8 per cent, compared with 4.1 per cent in the six months preceding the freeze.
As a result of the restraint on prices, the increase in the Consumer Price
Index was held to 3.4 per cent for all of 1971. That compares with a 5.5 per cent
rise in 1970 and 6.1 per cent in 1969. On the basis of these facts, I would say
the rate of inflation is being pushed in the right direction--downward.
The critics who declare that the price stabilization machinery has gone
haywire because of the temporary post-freeze bulge are like a scorekeeper who
declares that a professional golfer is out of the running because he goes one over
par on the first hole. He is overlooking the fact that a good golfer is likely to
pick up a birdie or two along the way to make up for his one excess.
The charge that wages are being held down while prices are rocketing out of
control is simply not true. George Meany is employing the big lie technique, making
a false statement and repeating it again and again.
Real wages measure whether labor is better off than it has been. And the
facts are that real earnings for workers from 1970 to the present showed a
6 per cent gain, while workers registered no gain in real earnings from 1966 to
1970. In the last quarter of 1971, real earnings rose 5 per cent. In all of 1971,
average weekly earnings increased 7.1 per cent, more than twice the 3.4 per cent
increase in consumer prices.
As you know, corporate profits are not directly under control of the economic
stabilization program although profit margins are.
Some people have complained because corporate profits rose about 16 per cent
in 1971 and are expected to rise about as much, or slightly more, in 1972.
Nevertheless, corporate profits will still be relatively low in 1972 and will be
only 17.5 per cent higher than in 1966, six years ago. By contrast, total personal
income in 1972 will be nearly 60 per cent greater than in 1966. And, similarly,
average hourly earnings of all private non-agricultural workers in 1972 will be
more than 40 per cent higher than in 1966.
Even a substantial increase in corporate profits this year will leave them
low by historical standards and low relative to personal and wage income. Every
(more)
-5-
American who understands the importance of profits in our free enterprise system
should be concerned about this, because profits are the key to more jobs, greater
productivity and the competitiveness of American industry in the world economy.
Profit is the name of the game in a free enterprise system. Our system
grows in size and in strength as profits grow. Those who would put a freeze on
profits would kill the goose that lays the golden eggs. To penalize industry
through a freeze on profits would be robbing it of its life's blood.
Let me interject this word of caution, however. Those firms which are
exceeding profit margins established under our stabilization program would do well
to trim their prices voluntarily. Government action forcing price cuts should not
be necessary.
Summing up, I believe there are five actions which must be taken if we are
to achieve a stable economy. We should apply wage and price controls equitably,
relax economic controls once inflation has been curbed, hold down Federal
expenditures, reduce barriers to free international trade, and increase our efforts
to smooth the transition from a wartime to a peacetime economy.
This Administration is steadily moving this country toward real prosperity,
not the false prosperity generated by war-the false prosperity that creates a
defense plant boom and puts hundreds of thousands of young men into uniform.
And just as the Administration is building a genuine prosperity, so we are
also seeking a generation of peace in world affairs.
President Nixon has brought a new quality of realism to American foreign
policy. We have agreed to accept Mainland China as a sovereign nation. We have
ushered in an era of negotiation in place of confrontation. And we have initiated
the Nixon Doctrine of helping those friendly nations willing to help themselves.
Last year alone, we reached a number of significant agreements with the
Soviet Union:
* We broke the deadlock in the arms limitation talks and agreed on a
framework for progress. Now there is a strong possibility that
President Nixon will be signing a strategic arms limitation
agreement when he goes to Moscow on May 22.
*
We reached an agreement on Berlin, reducing at long last the danger
of a direct confrontation there between the superpowers.
*
We signed a treaty banning weapons of mass destruction from the
seabeds, and agreed on the draft of another treaty to remove the
threat of germ warfare.
*
We agreed on a more reliable "hot line" with Moscow.
(more)
-6-
We have not reached the promised land in our discussions with the Russians
and the Chinese, but for the first time in a generation we have the opportunity
to build a lasting structure of peace.
In the Middle East the President wants to see the cease-fire which he
initiated in 1970 become a permanent peace. We are continuing to work on that
problem.
We are ending the cold war but the hot war in Vietnam has become hotter.
As you know, the President has made every effort to negotiate a settlement
with Hanoi, including proposals offered by war critics. Twelve times his personal
emissary flew to Paris to conduct secret negotiations. A whole year ago the
President offered the enemy a full withdrawal of American troops from South Vietnam
in exchange for a cease-fire and our prisoners of war. But the North Vietnamese
insisted on a full political settlement, and in the hope that the secret
negotiations might succeed, the President remained silent while many in the
Congress attacked him for not doing what he had, in fact, already done.
The charge that President Nixon is seeking a military victory in Vietnam
and not peace is an out-and-out lie. The President responded with air and sea
counterattacks to the North Vietnamese invasion of South Vietnam because he had no
other choice short of abandonment of South Vietnam. He also had a duty as
commander-in-chief to protect the 60,000 U.S. troops still in South Vietnam, a
number that will diminish to 49,000 by July 1.
Now the President is seeking to end the war by choking off the enemy's
sources of supply. This is the only way left to stop the fighting, since the
other side simply sneers at our efforts to negotiate a settlement. There is risk
involved in this course of action but I feel great confidence in the President.
I feel sure he has fully weighed all of the factors involved.
One of the aims of the North Vietnamese offensive is to demoralize the
American people--to persuade them to declare the war lost and to demand an
unconditional pullout of American forces. But a recent poll conducted by the
Opinion Research Corp. of Princeton, N.J., shows that 7 out of 10 Americans support
the President's use of U.S. air and sea power against North Vietnamese military
targets as long as the invasion continues.
Abandonment of our ally is not the road to peace in Vietnam and the world.
Surrender in Vietnam is not the road to a lasting peace.
This is a time when we must all stand up for America. We cannot retreat
from Vietnam like a beaten dog with his tail between his legs. The President was
(more)
-7-
forced to choose between decisive action aimed at depriving the enemy of the
supplies he needed to continue his invasion or the possibility of a Dunkirk-like
evacuation of the remaining 60,000 Americans in Vietnam.
The President's decision will not sit well with those who cry "Peace now"
or those who would abandon South Vietnam to a Communist takeover by force. But we
must continue to assert world leadership in the face of neo-isolationism,
well-meaning but misguided pacifism, and radically organized protest movements
which tend to benefit the other side.
We must put the nation on a new course, take her in directions that point
toward a new era of greatness for the American people.
We must lay a foundation for prosperity without war and we must build a
new strategy for peace.
Our goals are clear. Our purpose is strong. With the help of the American
people, we cannot fail.
# # #
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"ocrText": "The original documents are located in Box D35, folder \"Annual State Convention,\nTravelers Protective Association of America, Grand Rapids, MI, May 13, 1972\" of the Ford\nCongressional Papers: Press Secretary and Speech File at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential\nLibrary.\nCopyright Notice\nThe copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of\nphotocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. The Council donated to the United\nStates of America his copyrights in all of his unpublished writings in National Archives collections.\nWorks prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public\ndomain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to\nremain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid\ncopyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library.\nANNUAL STATE CONVENTION, TRAUELERS PROTEC TIUE\nASSOC. OF AMERICA, 7:30 P.M. SAT., MAY 13, 1972,\nGRAND RAPIDS, MICHIGAN.\nHN. Vergin Jale\n2.R.S.\nONE OF OUR FOREMOST CONCERNS\nTODAY IS THE HEALTH OF THE U.S. ECONOMY.\nI WOULD LIKE TO GIVE YOU A PROGRESS REPORT\nON THE ECONOMY TONIGHT IN THE LIGHT OF\nTHE ADMINISTRATION?S NEW ECONOMIC POLICY.\nI WILL ALSO TOUCH ON FOREIGN AFFAIRS AND\nTHE ADMINISTRATION'S EFFORTS TO USHER IN\nA NEW ERA OF PEACE.\nOUR NEW ECONOMIC POLICY, AS YOU\nKNOW, IS AIMED AT REDRESSING OUR BALANCE\nOF TRADE, INCREASING U.S. INDUSTRIAL\nPRODUCTIVITY, COMPETING EFFECTIVELY\nABROAD, ATTAINING FULL EMPLOYMENT, AND\nCONTROLLING INFLATION.\nTWO OTHER AIMS SHOULD BE\nPARAMOUNT AT THIS TIME -- KEEPING OUR\nFORD & LIBRARY GERALD\nDEFENSES SECURE AND IMPROVING THE QUALITY\nDigitized from Box D33 of The Ford Congressional Papers: Press Secretary and Speech File at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library\n(No PAGE 2) -3-\nOF LIFE FOR ALL OF OUR CITIZENS.\nSINCE JANUARY 1969 THE PRESIDENT\nHAS BEEN GUIDING OUR COUNTRY THROUGH A\nSERIES OF HISTORIC TRANSITIONS:\n-- FROM AN ERA OF CONFRONTATION\nTO AN ERA OF NEGOTIATION.\n-- FROM ARMS COMPETITION TOWARD\nARMS LIMITATION.\n-- FROM THE DRAFT TO AN\nALL-VOLUNTEER SERVICE.\n-- FROM A FEDERAL BUDGET DOMINATED\nBY DEFENSE EXPENDITURES TO ONE DOMINATED BY\nHUMAN RESOURCE PROGRAMS.\n-- FROM WAR TO PEACE.\n-- FROM A WARTIME ECONOMY TO A\nPEACETIME ECONOMY.\nTHE DISLOCATIONS AND PROBLEMS WE\nHAVE ENCOUNTERED IN SHIFTING FROM A WARTIME\nBRAR\n-4-\nTO A PEACETIME ECONOMY HAVE BEEN MOST\nSEVERE. THE PRESIDENT HAS BROUGHT NEARLY\n500,000 TROOPS HOME FROM VIETNAM AND HAS\nSHARPLY CUT OUR ARMED FORCES AND DEFENSE\nPURCHASES. AS THIS WINDING DOWN OCCURRED,\nMORE THAN 2 MILLION MEN AND WOMEN WERE\nRELEASED FROM DEFENSE AND DEFENSE-RELATED\nJOBS.\nFEW AMERICANS REALIZE THAT BY\nTHIS JUNE 30 THE SIZE OF OUR ARMED FORCES\nWILL HAVE BEEN TRIMMED TO 2,391,000,\n73,000 LESS THAN THE LOWEST FIGURE FOR THE\nPAST TWO DECADES AND 1.1 MILLION BELOW THE\nVIETNAM WAR HIGH REGISTERED IN THE PREVIOUS\nADMINISTRATION.\nAT THE SAME TIME, THE NUMBER OF\nCIVILIAN EMPLOYES IN THE DEFENSE DEPARTMENT\nWILL HAVE BEEN CUT BACK TO 1,041,000,\n-5-\nTHE LOWEST SINCE 1965 AND A DROP OF MORE\nTHAN 300,000 FROM THE VIETNAM HIGH.\nDESPITE THE TREMENDOUS PROBLEMS\nENGENDERED BY THE TRANSITION FROM A\nPEACETIME TO A WARTIME ECONOMY -- A\nTRANSITION COMPLICATED BY THE URGENT\nNECESSITY TO FIGHT A NEAR-RUNAWAY\nINFLATION -- AMERICA'S BUSINESS SYSTEM\nWAS NOT FLOUNDERING ON THE ROCKS LAST\nAUGUST 15 OR ANY TIME EARLIER. THE\nADMINISTRATION'S NEW ECONOMIC POLICY WAS\nNOT A BAILOUT FOR BUSINESS.\nTHE PROGRAM WAS MADE NECESSARY\nBY FOUR PROBLEMS:\n-- THE RATE OF INFLATION WAS NOT\nCOMING DOWN FAST ENOUGH;\n-- THE RATE OF UNEMPLOYMENT WAS\nTOO HIGH, DUE IN LARGE PART TO REDUCTIONS\nLIBRARY\nIN MILITARY FORCES AND DEFENSE CONTRACTING;\n-6-\n-- INTERNATIONAL TRADE AND FISCAL\nPROBLEMS WERE PUTTING SERIOUS PRESSURES\nON THE STRENGTH OF THE DOLLAR;\n-- AND LARGE SEGMENTS OF THE\nPUBLIC HAD BEEN TALKED INTO A LACK OF\nCONFIDENCE IN AMERICA'S FUTURE.\nTHE CRISIS IN CONFIDENCE WAS\nREALLY MORE SEVERE THAN ANY CRISIS IN THE\nECONOMY.\nTHE SUCCESS WE HAVE HAD TO DATE\nWITH THE NEW ECONOMIC POLICY IS REPAIRING\nTHE DAMAGE IN PUBLIC CONFIDENCE DESPITE\nCONTINUING POLITICAL ATTACKS ON THE\nPRESIDENT.\nTHE ECONOMY IS EXPANDING\nVIGOROUSLY. MOST OF THE KEY MONTHLY\nINDICATORS ARE POINTING UPWARD. THE 5.3 PER\nCENT ANNUAL GROWTH RATE FOR \"REAL\"\n-7-\nGROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN THE FIRST QUARTER\nOF THIS YEAR IS A GOOD SHOWING IN ANYBODY'S\nBOOK.\nMORE ENCOURAGING THAN ANYTHING\nELSE IS THE FACT THAT CONSUMER CONFIDENCE\nIS QUICKENING. THERE WAS A 2.5 PER CENT\nSPURT IN RETAIL SALES IN MARCH, AND THIS\nIS GIVING THE GENERAL BUSINESS UPSWING A\nMUCH MORE SOLID LOOK.\nEMPLOYMENT SOARED IN MARCH TO\nRECORD HEIGHTS. AFTER ADJUSTMENTS FOR\nSEASONAL FACTORS, THE NUMBER OF JOBHOLDERS\nTOPPED 81 MILLION AS EMPLOYMENT ROSE BY\n618,000. THAT WAS THE LARGEST ABSOLUTE\nADVANCE SINCE APRIL OF 1960. BUT WHILE THE\nECONOMY PRODUCED THE LARGEST ONE-MONTH\nINCREASE IN EMPLOYMENT IN OVER 10 YEARS,\nLIORARY\nTHE LABOR FORCE EXPANDED EVEN MORE SHARPLY.\n-8-\nTHE INCREASE IN THE LABOR FORCE -- THE\nLARGEST SUCH INCREASE IN 25 YEARS --\nPREVENTED THE JOBLESS RATE FROM FALLING.\nI PREDICT THAT THE UNUSUAL GROWTH\nIN THE LABOR FORCE WILL TAPER OFF AND\nEMPLOYMENT WILL CONTINUE TO MAKE MARKED\nGAINS. THE RESULT WILL BE TO PUSH\nUNEMPLOYMENT DOWN TOWARD THE 5 PER CENT\nMARK BY THE END OF THIS YEAR.\nTHE ADMINISTRATION'S FISCAL\nPOLICIES WILL PRODUCE AN INCREASE OF\n$100 BILLION IN GNP OVER LAST YEAR. THIS\nWILL BRING THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE DOWN.\nEFFORTS TO IMPROVE AMERICA'S COMPETITIVE\nPOSITION IN WORLD MARKETS WILL INCREASE\nOUR SALES ABROAD AND GENERATE MORE JOBS\nHERE AT HOME.\nGEBALD FORD LIBRARY\n-9-\nIN ADDITION TO PURSUING\nSTIMULATIVE FISCAL POLICIES, THE\nADMINISTRATION IS ALSO CARRYING OUT\nNUMEROUS PROGRAMS WHICH PROVIDE DIRECT\nEMPLOYMENT. JOBS HAVE BEEN FOUND FOR MORE\nTHAN 270,000 VIETNAM-ERA VETERANS. THE\nADMINISTRATIONS PUBLIC EMPLOYMENT PROGRAM\nHAS CREATED 145,000 NEW JOBS. AND NEARLY\n1,100,000 FEDERALLY-SUPPORTED JOB\nOPPORTUNITIES WILL BE OFFERED AMERICAN\nYOUTH THIS SUMMER -- 89,000 MORE THAN LAST\nYEAR.\nEVERY WEEK THE PULSE OF THE\nECONOMY IS BEATING FASTER. THE RECOVERY\nNOW HAS SOME BOUNCE TO IT. MANUFACTURERS'\nSALES JUMPED AHEAD EARLY IN THE FIRST\nQUARTER OF THIS YEAR. THE OUTPUT OF STEEL,\nBUILDING PRODUCTS, FURNITURE AND\nGERALD R\n-10-\nAPPLIANCES HAS ALSO MOVED HIGHER. MACHINE\nTOOLS HAVE SCORED A 27 PER CENT\nYEAR-TO-YEAR GAIN IN ORDERS IN JUST THE\nFIRST TWO MONTHS OF THIS YEAR. OVERALL,\nINDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION HAS RISEN AT AN\nANNUAL RATE OF MORE THAN 8 PER CENT SINCE\nLAST NOVEMBER. CAPITAL SPENDING ROSE IN\nTHE FOURTH QUARTER OF 1971 AND ALSO IN THE\nFIRST QUARTER OF THIS YEAR.\nALL THE NUMBERS ADD UP TO A\nDEFINITE UPSWING, AND, VERY IMPORTANTLY,\nCONSUMERS SUDDENLY FEEL A LOT BETTER ABOUT\nBUSINESS AND EMPLOYMENT CONDITIONS. THAT\nIS WHY RETAIL SALES ARE PICKING UP AFTER\nMONTHS OF ALMOST NO MOVEMENT.\nON INFLATION, THE MARCH FIGURES\nGIVE US TANGIBLE EVIDENCE OF PROGRESS\nTOWARD OUR GOAL OF REDUCING THE INFLATION\n-11-\nRATE TO 2 TO 3 PER CENT BY YEAR'S END.\nACCORDING TO THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, WE\nSTOPPED INFLATION COLD DURING THE MONTH OF\nMARCH. SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, THE INCREASE\nWAS ACTUALLY ZERO. WHILE ONE MONTH DOES\nNOT AN ANNUAL RATE MAKE, I CAN ONLY\nCONCLUDE THAT THE FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION\nIS SUCCEEDING.\nDURING THE FOUR MONTHS SINCE\nTHE FREEZE ENDED IN NOVEMBER, THE CONSUMER\nPRICE INDEX AND EACH OF ITS MAJOR COMPONENTS\nEXCEPT FOOD HAVE RISEN AT A SLOWER RATE\nTHAN IN THE SIX MONTHS BEFORE THE\nSTABILIZATION PROGRAM BEGAN. IN THE SEVEN\nMONTHS SINCE THE PROGRAM WAS INITIATED, THE\nCPI HAS RISEN AT A YEARLY RATE OF 2.8 PER\nCENT, COMPARED WITH 4.1 PER CENT IN THE\nSIX MONTHS PRECEDING THE FREEZE.\n-12-\nAS A RESULT OF THE RESTRAINT ON\nPRICES, THE INCREASE IN THE CONSUMER PRICE\nINDEX WAS HELD TO 3.4 PER CENT FOR ALL OF\n1971. THAT COMPARES WITH A 5.5 PER CENT\nRISE IN 1970 AND 6.1 PER CENT IN 1969.\nON THE BASIS OF THESE FACTS, 1 WOULD SAY THE\nRATE OF INFLATION IS BEING PUSHED IN THE\nRIGHT DIRECTION -- DOWNWARD.\nTHE CRITICS WHO DECLARE THAT THE\nPRICE STABILIZATION MACHINERY HAS GONE\nHAYWIRE BECAUSE OF THE TEMPORARY POST-FREEZE\nBULGE ARE LIKE A SCOREKEEPER WHO DECLARES\nTHAT A PROFESSIONAL GOLFER IS OUT OF THE\nRUNNING BECAUSE HE GOES ONE OVER PAR ON\nTHE FIRST HOLE. HE IS OVERLOOKING THE\nFACT THAT A GOOD GOLFER IS LIKELY TO PICK\nUP A BIRDIE OR TWO ALONG THE WAY TO MAKE UP\nFOR HIS ONE EXCESS.\nFORD LIBRARY is GERALD\n-13-\nTHE CHARGE THAT WAGES ARE BEING\nHELD DOWN WHILE PRICES ARE ROCKETING OUT\nOF CONTROL IS SIMPLY NOT TRUE. GEORGE\nMEANY IS EMPLOYING THE BIG LIE TECHNIQUE,\nMAKING A FALSE STATEMENT AND REPEATING IT\nAGAIN AND AGAIN.\nREAL WAGES MEASURE WHETHER LABOR\nIS BETTER OFF THAN IT HAS BEEN. AND THE\nFACTS ARE THAT REAL EARNINGS FOR WORKERS\nFROM 1970 TO THE PRESENT SHOWED A\n6 PER CENT GAIN, WHILE WORKERS REGISTERED\nNO GAIN IN REAL EARNINGS FROM 1966 TO 1970.\nIN THE LAST QUARTER OF 1971, REAL EARNINGS\nROSE 5 PER CENT. IN ALL OF 1971, AVERAGE\nWEEKLY EARNINGS INCREASED 7.1 PER CENT,\nMORE THAN TWICE THE 3.4 PER CENT INCREASE\nIN CONSUMER PRICES.\nAS YOU KNOW, CORPORATE PROFITS\nLIBRARY\nROSE\n-14-\nARE NOT DIRECTLY UNDER CONTROL OF THE\nECONOMIC STABILIZATION PROGRAM ALTHOUGH\nPROFIT MARGINS ARE.\nSOME PEOPLE HAVE COMPLAINED\nBECAUSE CORPORATE PROFITS ROSE ABOUT\n16 PER CENT IN 1971 AND ARE EXPECTED TO\nRISE ABOUT AS MUCH, OR SLIGHTLY MORE, IN\n1972. NEVERTHELESS, CORPORATE PROFITS WILL\nSTILL BE RELATIVELY LOW IN 1972 AND WILL BE\nONLY 17.5 PER CENT HIGHER THAN IN 1966,\nSIX YEARS AGO. BY CONTRAST, TOTAL PERSONAL\nINCOME IN 1972 WILL BE NEARLY 60 PER CENT\nGREATER THAN IN 1966. AND, SIMILARLY,\nAVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS OF ALL PRIVATE\nNON-AGRICULTURAL WORKERS IN 1972 WILL BE\nMORE THAN 40 PER CENT HIGHER THAN IN 1966.\nEVEN A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN\nCORPORATE PROFITS THIS YEAR WILL LEAVE THEM\n-15-\nLOW BY HISTORICAL STANDARDS AND LOW\nRELATIVE TO PERSONAL AND WAGE INCOME.\nEVERY AMERICAN WHO UNDERSTANDS THE\nIMPORTANCE OF PROFITS IN OUR FREE\nENTERPRISE SYSTEM SHOULD BE CONCERNED ABOUT\nTHIS, BECAUSE PROFITS ARE THE KEY TO MORE\nJOBS, GREATER PRODUCTIVITY AND THE\nCOMPETITIVENESS OF AMERICAN INDUSTRY IN\nTHE WORLD ECONOMY.\nPROFIT IS THE NAME OF THE GAME\nIN A FREE ENTERPRISE SYSTEM. OUR SYSTEM\nGROWS IN SIZE AND IN STRENGTH AS PROFITS\nGROW. THOSE WHO WOULD PUT A FREEZE ON\nPROFITS WOULD KILL THE GOOSE THAT LAYS THE\nGOLDEN EGGS. TO PENALIZE INDUSTRY THROUGH\nA FREEZE ON PROFITS WOULD BE ROBBING IT OF\nITS LIFE'S BLOOD.\nFORD LIBRARY 'B GERALD\n-16- (No PAGE 17)\nLET ME INTERJECT THIS WORD OF\nCAUTION, HOWEVER. THOSE FIRMS WHICH ARE\nEXCEEDING PROFIT MARGINS ESTABLISHED UNDER\nOUR STABILIZATION PROGRAM WOULD DO WELL TO\nTRIM THEIR PRICES VOLUNTARILY. GOVERNMENT\nACTION FORCING PRICE CUTS SHOULD NOT BE\nNECESSARY.\nSUMMING UP, I BELIEVE THERE ARE\nFIVE ACTIONS WHICH MUST BE TAKEN IF WE\nARE TO ACHIEVE A STABLE ECONOMY. WE SHOULD\nAPPLY WAGE AND PRICE CONTROLS EQUITABLY,\nRELAX ECONOMIC CONTROLS ONCE INFLATION\nHAS BEEN CURBED, HOLD DOWN FEDERAL\nEXPENDITURES, REDUCE BARRIERS TO FREE\nINTERNATIONAL TRADE, AND INCREASE OUR\nEFFORTS TO SMOOTH THE TRANSITION FROM A\nWARTIME TO A PEACETIME ECONOMY.\n-18-\nLL\nTO-SUM\nUP\nTHIS ADMINISTRATION IS\nSTEADILY MOVING THIS COUNTRY TOWARD REAL\nPROSPERITY, NOT THE FALSE PROSPERITY\nGENERATED BY WAR -- THE FALSE PROSPERITY\nTHAT CREATES A DEFENSE PLANT BOOM AND PUTS\nHUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF YOUNG MEN INTO\nUNIFORM.\n-AND JUST AS THE ADMINISTRATION IS\nBUILDING A GENUINE PROSPERITY, SO WE ARE\nALSO SEEKING A GENERATION OF PEACE IN\n-19-\nWORLD AFFAIRS.\nPRESIDENT NIXON HAS BROUGHT A\nNEW QUALITY OF REALISM TO AMERICAN FOREIGN\nPOLICY. WE HAVE AGREED TO ACCEPT MAINLAND\nCHINA AS A SOVEREIGN NATION. WE HAVE\nUSHERED IN AN ERA OF NEGOTIATION IN PLACE\nOF CONFRONTATION. AND WE HAVE INITIATED\nTHE NIXON DOCTRINE OF HELPING THOSE\nFRIENDLY NATIONS WILLING TO HELP THEMSELVES.\nLAST YEAR ALONE, WE REACHED A\nNUMBER OF SIGNIFICANT AGREEMENTS WITH THE\nSOVIET UNION:\n-- WE BROKE THE DEADLOCK IN THE\nARMS LIMITATION TALKS AND AGREED ON A\nFRAMEWORK FOR PROGRESS. NOW THERE IS A\nSTRONG POSSIBILITY THAT PRESIDENT NIXON\nWILL BE SIGNING A STRATEGIC ARMS LIMITATION\nAGREEMENT WHEN HE GOES TO MOSCOW ON MAY 22.\n-- WE REACHED AN AGREEMENT ON\nFORD\nBERLIN, REDUCING AT LONG LAST THE DANGER OF\nA DIRECT CONFRONTATION THERE BETWEEN THE\nBRARY\nSUPERPOWERS.\n-20-\n-- WE SIGNED A TREATY BANNING\nWEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION FROM THE\nSEABEDS, AND AGREED ON THE DRAFT OF ANOTHER\nTREATY TO REMOVE THE THREAT OF GERM WARFARE.\n-- WE AGREED ON A MORE RELIABLE\n\"HOT LINE\" WITH MOSCOW.\nWE HAVE NOT REACHED THE PROMISED\nLAND IN OUR DISCUSSIONS WITH THE RUSSIANS\nAND THE CHINESE, BUT FOR THE FIRST TIME IN\nA GENERATION WE HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO\nBUILD A LASTING STRUCTURE OF PEACE.\nIN THE MIDDLE EAST THE PRESIDENT\nWANTS TO SEE THE CEASE-FIRE WHICH HE\nINITIATED IN 1970 BECOME A PERMANENT PEACE.\nWE ARE CONTINUING TO WORK ON THAT PROBLEM.\nWE ARE ENDING THE COLD WAR BUT\nTHE HOT WAR IN VIETNAM HAS BECOME HOTTER.\nAS YOU KNOW, THE PRESIDENT HAS\nMADE EVERY EFFORT TO NEGOTIATE A SETTLEMENT\nWITH HANOI, INCLUDING PROPOSALS OFFERED BY\nLIBRARY\n-21-\nWAR CRITICS. TWELVE TIMES HIS PERSONAL\nEMISSARY FLEW TO PARIS TO CONDUCT SECRET\nNEGOTIATIONS. A WHOLE YEAR AGO THE\nPRESIDENT OFFERED THE ENEMY A FULL\nWITHDRAWAL OF AMERICAN TROOPS FROM SOUTH\nVIETNAM IN EXCHANGE FOR A CEASE-FIRE\nAND OUR PRISONERS OF WAR. BUT THE NORTH\nVIETNAMESE INSISTED ON A FULL POLITICAL\nSETTLEMENT, AND IN THE HOPE THAT THE\nSECRET NEGOTIATIONS MIGHT SUCCEED, THE\nPRESIDENT REMAINED SILENT WHILE MANY IN\nTHE CONGRESS ATTACKED HIM FOR NOT DOING\nWHAT HE HAD, IN FACT, ALREADY DONE.\nTHE CHARGE THAT PRESIDENT NIXON\nIS SEEKING A MILITARY VICTORY IN VIETNAM\nAND NOT PEACE IS AN OUT-AND-OUT LIE. THE\nPRESIDENT RESPONDED WITH AIR AND SEA\nCOUNTERATTACKS TO THE NORTH VIETNAMESE\n-22-\nINVASION OF SOUTH VIETNAM BECAUSE HE HAD\nNO OTHER CHOICE SHORT OF ABANDONMENT OF\nSOUTH VIETNAM. HE ALSO HAD A DUTY AS\nCOMMANDER-IN-CHIEF TO PROTECT THE\nU.S.\n60,000,TROOPS STILL IN SOUTH VIETNAM,\nA NUMBER THAT WILL DIMINISH TO 49,000\nBY JULY 1.\nNOW THE PRESIDENT IS SEEKING TO\nEND THE WAR BY CHOKING OFF THE ENEMY'S\nSOURCES OF SUPPLY. THIS IS THE ONLY WAY\nLEFT TO STOP THE FIGHTING, SINCE THE\nOTHER SIDE SIMPLY SNEERS AT OUR EFFORTS\nTO NEGOTIATE A SETTLEMENT. THERE IS\nRISK INVOLVED IN THIS COURSE OF ACTION BUT\nI FEEL GREAT CONFIDENCE IN THE PRESIDENT.\nI FEEL SURE HE HAS FULLY WEIGHED ALL OF\nTHE FACTORS INVOLVED.\nONE OF THE AIMS OF THE NORTH\nGERALD LIBRARY R.FORD\nVIETNAMESE OFFENSIVE IS TO DEMORALIZE\n--23--\nTHE AMERICAN PEOPLE -- TO PERSUADE THEM\nTO DECLARE THE WAR LOST AND TO DEMAND AN\nUNCONDITIONAL PULLOUT OF AMERICAN FORCES.\nBUT A RECENT POLL CONDUCTED BY THE\nOPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION OF PRINCETON,\nNEW JERSEY, SHOWS THAT 7 OUT OF 10 AMERICANS\nSUPPORT THE PRESIDENT'S USE OF U.S. AIR\nAND SEA POWER AGAINST NORTH VIETNAMESE\nMILITARY TARGETS AS LONG AS THE INVASION\nCONTINUES.\nABANDONMENT OF OUR ALLY IS NOT\nTHE ROAD TO PEACE IN VIETNAM AND THE\nWORLD.\nSURRENDER IN VIETNAM IS NOT THE\nROAD TO A LASTING PEACE.\nTHIS IS A TIME WHEN WE MUST ALL\nSTAND UP FOR AMERICA. WE CANNOT RETREAT\nFROM VIETNAM LIKE A BEATEN DOG WITH HIS\n-24-\nTAIL BETWEEN HIS LEGS. THE PRESIDENT WAS\nFORCED TO CHOOSE BETWEEN DECISIVE ACTION\nAIMED AT DEPRIVING THE ENEMY OF THE\nSUPPLIES HE NEEDED TO CONTINUE HIS\nINVASION OR THE POSSIBILITY OF A\nDUNKIRK-LIKE EVACUATION OF THE REMAINING\n60,000 AMERICANS IN VIETNAM.\nTHE PRESIDENT'S DECISION WILL\nNOT SIT WELL WITH THOSE WHO CRY \"PEACE\nNOW\" OR THOSE WHO WOULD ABANDON SOUTH\nVIETNAM TO A COMMUNIST TAKEOVER BY FORCE.\nBUT WE MUST CONTINUE TO ASSERT WORLD\nLEADERSHIP IN THE FACE OF NEO-ISOLATIONISM,\nWELL-MEANING BUT MISGUIDED PACIFISM, AND\nRADICALLY ORGANIZED PROTEST MOVEMENTS\nWHICH TEND TO BENEFIT THE OTHER SIDE.\nWE MUST PUT THE NATION ON A\nNEW COURSE, TAKE HER IN DIRECTIONS THAT\nPOINT TOWARD A NEW ERA OF GREATNESS FOR\n-25-\nTHE AMERICAN PEOPLE.\nWE MUST LAY A FOUNDATION FOR\nPROSPERITY WITHOUT WAR AND WE MUST BUILD\nA NEW STRATEGY FOR PEACE.\nOUR GOALS ARE CLEAR. OUR\nPURPOSE IS STRONG. WITH THE HELP OF THE\nAMERICAN PEOPLE, WE CANNOT FAIL.\n--END--\nFORD LIBRARY & GERALD\nFifth District only\nOffice Copy\nAN ADDRESS BY REP. GERALD R. FORD, R-MICH.\nREPUBLICAN LEADER, U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES\nBEFORE THE ANNUAL STATE CONVENTION OF THE\nTRAVELERS PROTECTIVE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA\n7:30 PLM. SATURDAY, MAY 13, 1972\nGRAND RAPIDS, MICHIGAN\nFOR RELEASE AT 7:30 P.M. SATURDAY\nOne of our foremost concerns today is the health of the U.S. economy. I\nwould like to give you a progress report on the economy tonight in the light of\nthe Administration's New Economic Policy. I will also touch on foreign affairs\nand the Administration's efforts to usher in a new era of peace.\nOur New Economic Policy, as you know, is aimed at redressing our balance of\ntrade, increasing U.S. industrial productivity, competing effectively abroad,\nattaining full employment, and controlling inflation.\nTwo other aims should be paramount at this time--keeping our defenses secure\nand improving the quality of life for all of our citizens.\nSince January 1969 the President has been guiding our country through a\nseries of historic transitions:\n--From an era of confrontation to an era of negotiation.\n--From arms competition toward arms limitation.\n--From the draft to an all-volunteer service.\n--From a Federal budget dominated by defense expenditures to one dominated\nby Human Resource Programs.\n--From war to peace.\n--From a wartime economy to a peacetime economy.\nThe dislocations and problems we have encountered in shifting from a wartime\nto a peacetime economy have been most severe. The President has brought nearly\n(more)\n-2-\n500,000 troops home from Vietnam and has sharply cut our armed forces and defense\npurchases. As this winding down occurred, more than 2 million men and women were\nreleased from defense and defense-related jobs.\nFew Americans realize that by this June 30 the size of our armed forces\nwill have been trimmed to 2,391,000, 73,000 less than the lowest figure for the\npast two decades and 1.1 million below the Vietnam War high registered in the\nprevious Administration.\nAt the same time, the number of civilian employes in the Defense Department\nwill have been cut back to 1,041,000, the lowest since 1965 and a drop of more than\n300,000 from the Vietnam high.\nDespite the tremendous problems engendered by the transition from a\npeacetime to a wartime economy--a transition complicated by the urgent necessity\nto fight a near-runaway inflation--America's business system was not floundering\non the rocks last August 15 or any time earlier. The Administration's New Economic\nPolicy was not a bailout for business.\nThe program was made necessary by four problems: The rate of inflation was\nnot coming down fast enough; the rate of unemployment was too high, due in large\npart to reductions in military forces and defense contracting; international trade\nand fiscal problems were putting serious pressures on the strength of the dollar;\nand large segments of the public had been talked into a lack of confidence in\nAmerica's future.\nThe crisis in confidence was really more severe than any crisis in the\neconomy.\nThe success we have had to date with the New Economic Policy is repairing\nthe damage in public confidence despite continuing political attacks on the\nPresident.\nThe economy is expanding vigorously. Most of the key monthly indicators\nare pointing upward. The 5.3 per cent annual growth rate for \"real\" Gross National\nProduct in the first quarter of this year is a good showing in anybody's book.\nMore encouraging than anything else is the fact that consumer confidence is\nquickening. There was a 2.5 per cent spurt in retail sales in March, and this is\ngiving the general business upswing a much more solid look.\nEmployment soared in March to record heights. After adjustments for seasonal\nfactors, the number of jobholders topped 81 million as employment rose by 618,000.\n(more)\n--3---\nThat was the largest absolute advance since April of 1960. But while the economy\nproduced the largest one-month increase in employment in over 10 years, the labor\nforce expanded even more sharply. The increase in the labor force-the largest\nsuch increase in 25 years--prevented the jobless rate from falling.\nI predict that the unusual growth in the labor force will taper off and\nunemployment will continue to make marked gains. The result will be to push\nunemployment down toward the 5 per cent mark by the end of this year.\nThe Administration's fiscal policies will produce an increase of $100 billion\nin GNP over last year. This will bring the unemployment rate down. Efforts to\nimprove America's competitive position in world markets will increase our sales\nabroad and generate more jobs here at home.\nIn addition to pursuing stimulative fiscal policies, the Administration is\nalso carrying out numerous programs which provide direct employment. Jobs have\nbeen found for more than 270,000 Vietnam-era veterans. The Administration's public\nemployment program has created 145,000 new jobs. And nearly 1,100,000\nFederally-supported job opportunities will be offered American youth this summer--\n89,000 more than last year.\nEvery week the pulse of the economy is beating faster. The recovery now has\nsome bounce to it. Manufacturers' sales jumped ahead early in the first quarter of\nthis year. The output of steel, building products, furniture and appliances has\nalso moved higher. Machine tools have scored a 27 per cent year-to-year gain in\norders in just the first two months of this year. Overall, industrial production\nhas risen at an annual rate of more than 8 per cent since last November. Capital\nspending rose in the fourth quarter of 1971 and also in the first quarter of this\nyear.\nAll the numbers add up to a definite upswing, and, very importantly,\nconsumers suddenly feel a lot better about business and employment conditions.\nThat is why retail sales are picking up after months of almost no movement.\nOn inflation, the March figures give us tangible evidence of progress\ntoward our goal of reducing the inflation rate to 2 to 3 per cent by year's end.\nAccording to the Consumer Price Index, we stopped inflation cold during the month\nof March. Seasonally adjusted, the increase was actually zero. While one month\ndoes not an annual rate make, I can only conclude that the fight against inflation\nis succeeding.\n(more)\n-4-\nDuring the four months since the freeze ended in November, the Consumer\nPrice Index and each of its major components except food have risen at a slower\nrate than in the six months before the stabilization program began. In the seven\nmonths since the program was initiated, the CPI has risen at a yearly rate of\n2.8 per cent, compared with 4.1 per cent in the six months preceding the freeze.\nAs a result of the restraint on prices, the increase in the Consumer Price\nIndex was held to 3.4 per cent for all of 1971. That compares with a 5.5 per cent\nrise in 1970 and 6.1 per cent in 1969. On the basis of these facts, I would say\nthe rate of inflation is being pushed in the right direction--downward.\nThe critics who declare that the price stabilization machinery has gone\nhaywire because of the temporary post-freeze bulge are like a scorekeeper who\ndeclares that a professional golfer is out of the running because he goes one over\npar on the first hole. He is overlooking the fact that a good golfer is likely to\npick up a birdie or two along the way to make up for his one excess.\nThe charge that wages are being held down while prices are rocketing out of\ncontrol is simply not true. George Meany is employing the big lie technique, making\na false statement and repeating it again and again.\nReal wages measure whether labor is better off than it has been. And the\nfacts are that real earnings for workers from 1970 to the present showed a\n6 per cent gain, while workers registered no gain in real earnings from 1966 to\n1970. In the last quarter of 1971, real earnings rose 5 per cent. In all of 1971,\naverage weekly earnings increased 7.1 per cent, more than twice the 3.4 per cent\nincrease in consumer prices.\nAs you know, corporate profits are not directly under control of the economic\nstabilization program although profit margins are.\nSome people have complained because corporate profits rose about 16 per cent\nin 1971 and are expected to rise about as much, or slightly more, in 1972.\nNevertheless, corporate profits will still be relatively low in 1972 and will be\nonly 17.5 per cent higher than in 1966, six years ago. By contrast, total personal\nincome in 1972 will be nearly 60 per cent greater than in 1966. And, similarly,\naverage hourly earnings of all private non-agricultural workers in 1972 will be\nmore than 40 per cent higher than in 1966.\nEven a substantial increase in corporate profits this year will leave them\nlow by historical standards and low relative to personal and wage income. Every\n(more)\n-5--\nAmerican who understands the importance of profits in our free enterprise system\nshould be concerned about this, because profits are the key to more jobs, greater\nproductivity and the competitiveness of American industry in the world economy.\nProfit is the name of the game in a free enterprise system. Our system\ngrows in size and in strength as profits grow. Those who would put a freeze on\nprofits would kill the goose that lays the golden eggs. To penalize industry\nthrough a freeze on profits would be robbing it of its life's blood.\nLet me interject this word of caution, however. Those firms which are\nexceeding profit margins established under our stabilization program would do well\nto trim their prices voluntarily. Government action forcing price cuts should not\nbe necessary.\nSumming up, I believe there are five actions which must be taken if we are\nto achieve a stable economy. We should apply wage and price controls equitably,\nrelax economic controls once inflation has been curbed, hold down Federal\nexpenditures, reduce barriers to free international trade, and increase our efforts\nto smooth the transition from a wartime to a peacetime economy.\nThis Administration is steadily moving this country toward real prosperity,\nnot the false prosperity generated by war-the false prosperity that creates a\ndefense plant boom and puts hundreds of thousands of young men into uniform.\nAnd just as the Administration is building a genuine prosperity, so we are\nalso seeking a generation of peace in world affairs.\nPresident Nixon has brought a new quality of realism to American foreign\npolicy. We have agreed to accept Mainland China as a sovereign nation. We have\nushered in an era of negotiation in place of confrontation. And we have initiated\nthe Nixon Doctrine of helping those friendly nations willing to help themselves.\nLast year alone, we reached a number of significant agreements with the\nSoviet Union:\n*\nWe broke the deadlock in the arms limitation talks and agreed on a\nframework for progress. Now there is a strong possibility that\nPresident Nixon will be signing a strategic arms limitation\nagreement when he goes to Moscow on May 22.\n* We reached an agreement on Berlin, reducing at long last the danger\nof a direct confrontation there between the superpowers.\n*\nWe signed a treaty banning weapons of mass destruction from the\nseabeds, and agreed on the draft of another treaty to remove the\nthreat of germ warfare.\n*\nWe agreed on a more reliable \"hot line\" with Moscow.\n(more)\n-6-\nWe have not reached the promised land in our discussions with the Russians\nand the Chinese, but for the first time in a generation we have the opportunity\nto build a lasting structure of peace.\nIn the Middle East the President wants to see the cease-fire which he\ninitiated in 1970 become a permanent peace. We are continuing to work on that\nproblem.\nWe are ending the cold war but the hot war in Vietnam has become hotter.\nAs you know, the President has made every effort to negotiate a settlement\nwith Hanoi, including proposals offered by war critics. Twelve times his personal\nemissary flew to Paris to conduct secret negotiations. A whole year ago the\nPresident offered the enemy a full withdrawal of American troops from South Vietnam\nin exchange for a cease-fire and our prisoners of war. But the North Vietnamese\ninsisted on a full political settlement, and in the hope that the secret\nnegotiations might succeed, the President remained silent while many in the\nCongress attacked him for not doing what he had, in fact, already done.\nThe charge that President Nixon is seeking a military victory in Vietnam\nand not peace is an out-and-out lie. The President responded with air and sea\ncounterattacks to the North Vietnamese invasion of South Vietnam because he had no\nother choice short of abandonment of South Vietnam. He also had a duty as\ncommander-in-chief to protect the 60,000 U.S. troops still in South Vietnam, a\nnumber that will diminish to 49,000 by July 1.\nNow the President is seeking to end the war by choking off the enemy's\nsources of supply. This is the only way left to stop the fighting, since the\nother side simply sneers at our efforts to negotiate a settlement. There is risk\ninvolved in this course of action but I feel great confidence in the President.\nI feel sure he has fully weighed all of the factors involved.\nOne of the aims of the North Vietnamese offensive is to demoralize the\nAmerican people--to persuade them to declare the war lost and to demand an\nunconditional pullout of American forces. But a recent poll conducted by the\nOpinion Research Corp. of Princeton, N.J., shows that 7 out of 10 Americans support\nthe President's use of U.S. air and sea power against North Vietnamese military\ntargets as long as the invasion continues.\nAbandonment of our ally is not the road to peace in Vietnam and the world.\nSurrender in Vietnam is not the road to a lasting peace.\nThis is a time when we must all stand up for America. We cannot retreat\nfrom Vietnam like a beaten dog with his tail between his legs. The President was\n(more)\n-7-\nforced to choose between decisive action aimed at depriving the enemy of the\nsupplies he needed to continue his invasion or the possibility of a Dunkirk-like\nevacuation of the remaining 60,000 Americans in Vietnam.\nThe President's decision will not sit well with those who cry \"Peace now\"\nor those who would abandon South Vietnam to a Communist takeover by force. But we\nmust continue to assert world leadership in the face of neo-isolationism,\nwell-meaning but misguided pacifism, and radically organized protest movements\nwhich tend to benefit the other side.\nWe must put the nation on a new course, take her in directions that point\ntoward a new era of greatness for the American people.\nWe must lay a foundation for prosperity without war and we must build a\nnew strategy for peace.\nOur goals are clear. Our purpose is strong. With the help of the American\npeople, we cannot fail.\n###\nVistribution Fifth Dist. p.m. 5/11/72\n+26 copies of\nu affice Copy\nAN ADDRESS BY REP. GERALD R. FORD, R-MICH.\nREPUBLICAN LEADER, U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES\nBEFORE THE ANNUAL STATE CONVENTION OF THE\nTRAVELERS PROTECTIVE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA\n7:30 PLM. SATURDAY, MAY 13, 1972\nGRAND RAPIDS, MICHIGAN\nFOR RELEASE AT 7:30 P.M. SATURDAY\nOne of our foremost concerns today is the health of the U.S. economy. I\nwould like to give you a progress report on the economy tonight in the light of\nthe Administration's New Economic Policy. I will also touch on foreign affairs\nand the Administration's efforts to usher in a new era of peace.\nOur New Economic Policy, as you know, is aimed at redressing our balance of\ntrade, increasing U.S. industrial productivity, competing effectively abroad,\nattaining full employment, and controlling inflation.\nTwo other aims should be paramount at this time--keeping our defenses secure\nand improving the quality of life for all of our citizens.\nSince January 1969 the President has been guiding our country through a\nseries of historic transitions:\n--From an era of confrontation to an era of negotiation.\n--From arms competition toward arms limitation.\n--From the draft to an all-volunteer service.\n--From a Federal budget dominated by defense expenditures to one dominated\nby Human Resource Programs.\n--From war to peace.\n--From a wartime economy to a peacetime economy.\nThe dislocations and problems we have encountered in shifting from a wartime\nto a peacetime economy have been most severe. The President has brought nearly\n(more)\n-2-\n500,000 troops home from Vietnam and has sharply cut our armed forces and defense\npurchases. As this winding down occurred, more than 2 million men and women were\nreleased from defense and defense-related jobs.\nFew Americans realize that by this June 30 the size of our armed forces\nwill have been trimmed to 2,391,000, 73,000 less than the lowest figure for the\npast two decades and 1.1 million below the Vietnam War high registered in the\nprevious Administration.\nAt the same time, the number of civilian employes in the Defense Department\nwill have been cut back to 1,041,000, the lowest since 1965 and a drop of more than\n300,000 from the Vietnam high.\nDespite the tremendous problems engendered by the transition from a\npeacetime to a wartime economy--a transition complicated by the urgent necessity\nto fight a near-runaway inflation--America's business system was not floundering\non the rocks last August 15 or any time earlier. The Administration's New Economic\nPolicy was not a bailout for business.\nThe program was made necessary by four problems: The rate of inflation was\nnot coming down fast enough; the rate of unemployment was too high, due in large\npart to reductions in military forces and defense contracting; international trade\nand fiscal problems were putting serious pressures on the strength of the dollar;\nand large segments of the public had been talked into a lack of confidence in\nAmerica's future.\nThe crisis in confidence was really more severe than any crisis in the\neconomy.\nThe success we have had to date with the New Economic Policy is repairing\nthe damage in public confidence despite continuing political attacks on the\nPresident.\nThe economy is expanding vigorously. Most of the key monthly indicators\nare pointing upward. The 5.3 per cent annual growth rate for \"real\" Gross National\nProduct in the first quarter of this year is a good showing in anybody's book.\nMore encouraging than anything else is the fact that consumer confidence is\nquickening. There was a 2.5 per cent spurt in retail sales in March, and this is\ngiving the general business upswing a much more solid look.\nEmployment soared in March to record heights. After adjustments for seasonal\nfactors, the number of jobholders topped 81 million as employment rose by 618,000.\n(more)\n-3---\nThat was the largest absolute advance since April of 1960. But while the economy\nproduced the largest one-month increase in employment in over 10 years, the labor\nforce expanded even more sharply. The increase in the labor force-the largest\nsuch increase in 25 years--prevented the jobless rate from falling.\nI predict that the unusual growth in the labor force will taper off and\nunemployment will continue to make marked gains. The result will be to push\nunemployment down toward the 5 per cent mark by the end of this year.\nThe Administration's fiscal policies will produce an increase of $100 billion\nin GNP over last year. This will bring the unemployment rate down. Efforts to\nimprove America's competitive position in world markets will increase our sales\nabroad and generate more jobs here at home.\nIn addition to pursuing stimulative fiscal policies, the Administration is\nalso carrying out numerous programs which provide direct employment. Jobs have\nbeen found for more than 270,000 Vietnam-era veterans. The Administration's public\nemployment program has created 145,000 new jobs. And nearly 1,100,000\nFederally-supported job opportunities will be offered American youth this summer--\n89,000 more than last year.\nEvery week the pulse of the economy is beating faster. The recovery now has\nsome bounce to it. Manufacturers' sales jumped ahead early in the first quarter of\nthis year. The output of steel, building products, furniture and appliances has\nalso moved higher. Machine tools have scored a 27 per cent year-to-year gain in\norders in just the first two months of this year. Overall, industrial production\nhas risen at an annual rate of more than 8 per cent since last November. Capital\nspending rose in the fourth quarter of 1971 and also in the first quarter of this\nyear.\nAll the numbers add up to a definite upswing, and, very importantly,\nconsumers suddenly feel a lot better about business and employment conditions.\nThat is why retail sales are picking up after months of almost no movement.\nOn inflation, the March figures give us tangible evidence of progress\ntoward our goal of reducing the inflation rate to 2 to 3 per cent by year's end.\nAccording to the Consumer Price Index, we stopped inflation cold during the month\nof March. Seasonally adjusted, the increase was actually zero. While one month\ndoes not an annual rate make, I can only conclude that the fight against inflation\nis succeeding.\n(more)\n-4-\nDuring the four months since the freeze ended in November, the Consumer\nPrice Index and each of its major components except food have risen at a slower\nrate than in the six months before the stabilization program began. In the seven\nmonths since the program was initiated, the CPI has risen at a yearly rate of\n2.8 per cent, compared with 4.1 per cent in the six months preceding the freeze.\nAs a result of the restraint on prices, the increase in the Consumer Price\nIndex was held to 3.4 per cent for all of 1971. That compares with a 5.5 per cent\nrise in 1970 and 6.1 per cent in 1969. On the basis of these facts, I would say\nthe rate of inflation is being pushed in the right direction--downward.\nThe critics who declare that the price stabilization machinery has gone\nhaywire because of the temporary post-freeze bulge are like a scorekeeper who\ndeclares that a professional golfer is out of the running because he goes one over\npar on the first hole. He is overlooking the fact that a good golfer is likely to\npick up a birdie or two along the way to make up for his one excess.\nThe charge that wages are being held down while prices are rocketing out of\ncontrol is simply not true. George Meany is employing the big lie technique, making\na false statement and repeating it again and again.\nReal wages measure whether labor is better off than it has been. And the\nfacts are that real earnings for workers from 1970 to the present showed a\n6 per cent gain, while workers registered no gain in real earnings from 1966 to\n1970. In the last quarter of 1971, real earnings rose 5 per cent. In all of 1971,\naverage weekly earnings increased 7.1 per cent, more than twice the 3.4 per cent\nincrease in consumer prices.\nAs you know, corporate profits are not directly under control of the economic\nstabilization program although profit margins are.\nSome people have complained because corporate profits rose about 16 per cent\nin 1971 and are expected to rise about as much, or slightly more, in 1972.\nNevertheless, corporate profits will still be relatively low in 1972 and will be\nonly 17.5 per cent higher than in 1966, six years ago. By contrast, total personal\nincome in 1972 will be nearly 60 per cent greater than in 1966. And, similarly,\naverage hourly earnings of all private non-agricultural workers in 1972 will be\nmore than 40 per cent higher than in 1966.\nEven a substantial increase in corporate profits this year will leave them\nlow by historical standards and low relative to personal and wage income. Every\n(more)\n-5-\nAmerican who understands the importance of profits in our free enterprise system\nshould be concerned about this, because profits are the key to more jobs, greater\nproductivity and the competitiveness of American industry in the world economy.\nProfit is the name of the game in a free enterprise system. Our system\ngrows in size and in strength as profits grow. Those who would put a freeze on\nprofits would kill the goose that lays the golden eggs. To penalize industry\nthrough a freeze on profits would be robbing it of its life's blood.\nLet me interject this word of caution, however. Those firms which are\nexceeding profit margins established under our stabilization program would do well\nto trim their prices voluntarily. Government action forcing price cuts should not\nbe necessary.\nSumming up, I believe there are five actions which must be taken if we are\nto achieve a stable economy. We should apply wage and price controls equitably,\nrelax economic controls once inflation has been curbed, hold down Federal\nexpenditures, reduce barriers to free international trade, and increase our efforts\nto smooth the transition from a wartime to a peacetime economy.\nThis Administration is steadily moving this country toward real prosperity,\nnot the false prosperity generated by war-the false prosperity that creates a\ndefense plant boom and puts hundreds of thousands of young men into uniform.\nAnd just as the Administration is building a genuine prosperity, so we are\nalso seeking a generation of peace in world affairs.\nPresident Nixon has brought a new quality of realism to American foreign\npolicy. We have agreed to accept Mainland China as a sovereign nation. We have\nushered in an era of negotiation in place of confrontation. And we have initiated\nthe Nixon Doctrine of helping those friendly nations willing to help themselves.\nLast year alone, we reached a number of significant agreements with the\nSoviet Union:\n* We broke the deadlock in the arms limitation talks and agreed on a\nframework for progress. Now there is a strong possibility that\nPresident Nixon will be signing a strategic arms limitation\nagreement when he goes to Moscow on May 22.\n*\nWe reached an agreement on Berlin, reducing at long last the danger\nof a direct confrontation there between the superpowers.\n*\nWe signed a treaty banning weapons of mass destruction from the\nseabeds, and agreed on the draft of another treaty to remove the\nthreat of germ warfare.\n*\nWe agreed on a more reliable \"hot line\" with Moscow.\n(more)\n-6-\nWe have not reached the promised land in our discussions with the Russians\nand the Chinese, but for the first time in a generation we have the opportunity\nto build a lasting structure of peace.\nIn the Middle East the President wants to see the cease-fire which he\ninitiated in 1970 become a permanent peace. We are continuing to work on that\nproblem.\nWe are ending the cold war but the hot war in Vietnam has become hotter.\nAs you know, the President has made every effort to negotiate a settlement\nwith Hanoi, including proposals offered by war critics. Twelve times his personal\nemissary flew to Paris to conduct secret negotiations. A whole year ago the\nPresident offered the enemy a full withdrawal of American troops from South Vietnam\nin exchange for a cease-fire and our prisoners of war. But the North Vietnamese\ninsisted on a full political settlement, and in the hope that the secret\nnegotiations might succeed, the President remained silent while many in the\nCongress attacked him for not doing what he had, in fact, already done.\nThe charge that President Nixon is seeking a military victory in Vietnam\nand not peace is an out-and-out lie. The President responded with air and sea\ncounterattacks to the North Vietnamese invasion of South Vietnam because he had no\nother choice short of abandonment of South Vietnam. He also had a duty as\ncommander-in-chief to protect the 60,000 U.S. troops still in South Vietnam, a\nnumber that will diminish to 49,000 by July 1.\nNow the President is seeking to end the war by choking off the enemy's\nsources of supply. This is the only way left to stop the fighting, since the\nother side simply sneers at our efforts to negotiate a settlement. There is risk\ninvolved in this course of action but I feel great confidence in the President.\nI feel sure he has fully weighed all of the factors involved.\nOne of the aims of the North Vietnamese offensive is to demoralize the\nAmerican people--to persuade them to declare the war lost and to demand an\nunconditional pullout of American forces. But a recent poll conducted by the\nOpinion Research Corp. of Princeton, N.J., shows that 7 out of 10 Americans support\nthe President's use of U.S. air and sea power against North Vietnamese military\ntargets as long as the invasion continues.\nAbandonment of our ally is not the road to peace in Vietnam and the world.\nSurrender in Vietnam is not the road to a lasting peace.\nThis is a time when we must all stand up for America. We cannot retreat\nfrom Vietnam like a beaten dog with his tail between his legs. The President was\n(more)\n-7-\nforced to choose between decisive action aimed at depriving the enemy of the\nsupplies he needed to continue his invasion or the possibility of a Dunkirk-like\nevacuation of the remaining 60,000 Americans in Vietnam.\nThe President's decision will not sit well with those who cry \"Peace now\"\nor those who would abandon South Vietnam to a Communist takeover by force. But we\nmust continue to assert world leadership in the face of neo-isolationism,\nwell-meaning but misguided pacifism, and radically organized protest movements\nwhich tend to benefit the other side.\nWe must put the nation on a new course, take her in directions that point\ntoward a new era of greatness for the American people.\nWe must lay a foundation for prosperity without war and we must build a\nnew strategy for peace.\nOur goals are clear. Our purpose is strong. With the help of the American\npeople, we cannot fail.\n# # #"
}