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Weekly Briefing Notes, 9/2/1975
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36714170
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Weekly Briefing Notes, 9/2/1975
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William J. Baroody Files (Ford Administration)
William Baroody's Copies of "Weekly Briefing Notes on U.S. Domestic Developments"
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Environmental Protection Agency. 12/2/1970-
Crime
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1975-09-30
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1975
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1975
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The original documents are located in Box 37, folder "Weekly Briefing Notes, 9/2/1975" of the William J. Baroody Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Copyright Notice The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Gerald R. Ford donated to the United States of America his copyrights in all of his unpublished writings in National Archives collections. Works prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public domain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to remain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid copyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Digitized from Box 37 of the William J. Baroody Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library 4 # is * THE VICE PRESIDENT * 4 WASHINGTON 4 * September 3, 1975 MEMORANDUM FOR BILL BAROODY Attached is this week's copy of the Weekly Briefing Notes. lueson WEEKLY BRIEFING NOTES ON U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS Prepared for the President and the Vice - President FORD & GERALD LIBRARY SEPTEMBER 2, 1975 COMPILED BY THE FEDERAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM Coordinated by the Bureau of the Census at the request of the Statistical Policy Division, Office of Management and Budget Vincent P. Barabba, Director Joseph W. Duncan, Bureau of the Census Deputy Associate Director for Statistical Policy Office of Management and Budget Week of September 2, 1975 SOURCES OF DATA Labor Turnover U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Employment and Earnings Statistics for the United States" Productivity Indexes U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Productivity: An International Perspective" U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics Exports and Imports U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "Highlights of Exports and Imports" Leading Indicators U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, "Business Conditions Digest" Agricultural Prices U.S. Department of Agriculture, Crop Reporting Board Housing U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "Annual Housing Survey: 1973, Part A" State Government Finances U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "State Government Finances in 1974" Railroad Operations Association of American Railroads, "Trends" Week of September 2, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION A-General Economic Indicators Part 1-National Income and Product A.1.1 Gross National Product X A.1.2 Personal Income X A.1.3 Corporate Profits ( A.1.4 Federal Receipts and Expenditures X A.1.5 Business Investment X Part 2-Employment and Unemployment A.2.1 Unemployment Rate X A.2.2 Duration of Unemployment X A.2.3 Unemployment Insurance X A.2.4 Labor Turnover X A.2.5 Help Wanted Index X Part 3-Hours, Earnings and Productivity A.3.1 Average Workweek, Manufacturing X A.3.2 Compensation Per Man-hour X A.3.3 Productivity Indexes X A.3.4 Real Earnings X A.3.5 Work Stoppages X Part 4-Production and Trade A.4.1 Industrial Production Index X A.4.2 Production of Primary Metals X A.4.3 Production and Sales of Transportation Equipment X A.4.4 Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders X A.4.5 Capacity Utilization X A.4.6 Retail Sales X A.4.7 Wholesale Trade: Sales and Inventories X A.4.8 Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales X A.4.9 Manufacturers' Evaluation of Their Inventories X Part 5-Foreign Trade and Balance of Payments A.5.1 Exports and Imports X A.5.2 Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders of Durable Goods X A.5.3 Balance of Payments X GERALD FORD LIBRARY A.5.4 Foreign Travel X Part 6-Prices A.6.1 Consumer Price Index X A.6.2 Wholesale Price Index X A.6.3 Tuesday Spot Market Price Index X Week of September 2, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION A-General Economic Indicators (Continued) Part 7-Construction A.7.1 Housing Construction A.7.2 Value of New Construction Work Done X X Part 8-Energy, Raw Materials, and Commodities A.8.1 Distribution of Electric Power X A.8.2 Production and Consumption of Fossil Fuels X Part 9-Agriculture A.9.1 Farm Income and Expenses X Part 10-Money and Credit A.10.1 Money Stock Measures X A.10.2 Bank Reserves X A.10.3 Consumer Credit X A.10.4 Common Stock Prices X A.10.5 U.S. Government Securities X A.10.6 Business Credit X A.10.7 Interest Rates Part 11-Indicators of Business Activity A.11.1 Composite Index of Leading Indicators X A.11.2 Number of New Business Incorporations X A.11.3 Number of Business Failures X SECTION B-General Social Indicators Part 1-Population B.1.1 Population Estimates - Total Population X - Total Population by Age, Sex, and Race - Rate of Growth - Components of Change (Births, Deaths, Net Immigration) - Population Projections X X X X X - Abortion B.1.2 Population Distribution - Population by Size of Place X - Population in Rural and Urban Areas FORD B.1.3 Migration - Recent Movers X X X - Migration by Region Week of September 2, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION B-General Social Indicators (Continued) Part 2-The Family B.2.1 Living Arrangements, Selected Characteristics - Age, Sex, and Race X - Single Person Households X - Children Living With Single Parents X - Average Family Size X B.2.2 Family Formation and Dissolution - Marital Status of the Population X - Marriage and Divorce Rates X - Marriages Ending in Divorce X B.2.3 Attitudes Towards Family Life X Part 3-Health B.3.1 Life Expectancy - At Birth X - At Selected Ages X - Death Rates by Cause X X - Leading Causes of Death X - Infant Mortality X X B.3.2 Disability --- Days of Disability by Type X - Institutionalized Population X - Disability by Degree of Limitation and Cause X - Short-Term Disability X B.3.3 Morbidity - Communicable Diseases X - Acute Illness X B3.4 Health Status - Nutrition Dietary Intake X Clinical Measurements X - Obesity X - Drugs Drug Deaths X Drug Abuse Episodes X Liquor Consumption X - Smoking X - Physical Fitness X - Perceived Health Status X Week of September 2, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION B-General Social Indicators (Continued) B.3.5 Health Care Delivery - Physician and Dental Visits X - Costs and Expenditures X - Facilities X - Personnel X - Attitudes Towards Health Care X Part 4-Education B.4.1 Educational Achievement by Sex, Race, Socioeconomic Status, Region - Math, Science, Reading, Writing X - Music, Art, Literature, Citizenship X B.4.2 Attainment - High School Graduation Rate X - The High School Educated Population by Race and Sex X - College Educated Population by Race and Sex X B.4.3 School Enrollment - Primary and Secondary School X - Preprimary by Age, Race, Income X - Modal Age Enrollment by Sex, Race X - High School Students Expecting to go to College X - College Entrance Rates by Sex, Race, Socioeconomic Status X - College Enrollment X - Participation in Adult Education X B.4.4 Educational Facilities and Personnel - Schools, Classrooms X - Teachers, Administrative, Others X B.4.5 Costs and Expenditures - Expected Student Expenses, Higher Education X - Expenditures by Level of Government X Part 5-Work B.5.1 Labor Force, Employment and Unemployment - Labor Force Participation, Selected Characteristics X - Part-time, Part-year Workers, Selected Characteristics X - Employment by Occupation, Selected Characteristics X - Unemployment, Selected Characteristics X X - Discouraged Workers X - Labor Union Membership X B.5.2 Earnings - Median Earnings, Selected Characteristics X Week of September 2, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION B-General Social Indicators (Continued) B.5.3 Working Conditions - Regular and Overtime Hours, Selected Characteristics X - Work Injuries by Occupation X - Time, Distance, and Mode Transportation to Work X B.5.4 Benefits - Vacations, Holidays X - Benefit Plans X B.5.5 Retirement - Persons Retiring From Work X - Work-Life Expectancy X - Retirement Benefits X Part 6-Income, Consumption, and Wealth B.6.1 Income Levels - Median Family Income X - Composition of Family Income X - Per Capita Income X B.6.2 Distribution of Income - Age, Race, and Sex X - Regional Differences X B.6.3 Poverty X B.6.4 Consumption - Personal Consumption Expenditures X - Consumption of Durable Goods X B.6.5 Wealth - Net Worth of Consumer Units X - Composition of Wealth X B.6.6 Consumer Borrowing and Debt - Amount of Debt Outstanding X - Debt/Income Ratio X B.6.7 Consumer Attitudes X Part 7-Housing B.7.1 Housing Conditions - Average Size of Households X - Households Lacking Selected Facilities, by Size, Race, Tenure, and Location X - Average Persons Per Room X Week of September 2, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION B-Socioeconomic Series (Continued) B.7.2 Home Tenure - Single Family Dwellings X - Mobile Homes X - Condominiums and Other Multi-Unit Structures X - Vacation Homes X B.7.3 Cost and Expenditures - Average Mortgage Payments X - Upkeep and Maintenance X - Average Rental Payments X B.7.4 Attitudes Towards Housing and the Community X Part 8-Leisure and Recreation B.8.1 Use of Leisure Time X B.8.2 Recreation - Outdoor (Social, Active Sports, etc) X - Indoor (Television, Visiting, Other) X X Part 9-Public Safety B.9.1 Crimes Known to Police - Violent X X - Property X X B.9.2 Victims of Crime, Selected Characteristics - Violent X - Property X B.9.3 Fear of Crime, Selected Characteristics X B.9.4 Police Activity - Persons Arrested by Charge X - Offenses Cleared X B.9.5 Judicial Activity - Persons Sentenced for Federal Crimes X B.9.6 Prisoners, Adults and Juveniles - Prisoners by Sentence X - Average Length of Sentence FORD X - Persons Executed and Sentenced to Death - Average Prison Population SERALD X X B.9.7 Expenditures for Administration of Criminal Justice X Week of September 2, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION C-Government Activity Part 1-Social Welfare and Security C.1.1 Social Security (OASDHI) - Current Beneficiaries - New Beneficiaries - Average Payment X X X C.1.2 Old Age Assistance - Benefits Paid X - Recipients X C.1.3 Aid to the Disabled - Blind X - Deaf X - Other X C.1.4 Aid to Families With Dependent Children - Recipients X - Benefits X C.1.5 Unemployment Insurance Coverage - Benefits Paid X - Recipients X C.1.6 Housing Assistance - Recipients X - Benefits X C.1.7 Food Stamps - Recipients X - Benefits X C.1.8 Aid to Disaster Victims - Recipients X - Benefits X C.1.9 Veterans Benefits - Recipients X - Benefits X Part 2-Equal Opportunity C.2.1 Equal Employment Opportunity - Minority Employment X - Earnings, Promotions, etc. X C.2.2 School Desegregation - Students Attending Predominantly Minority Schools X - Public/Private Enrollment, and Control X Week of September 2, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION C-Government Activity (Continued) Part 3-Government Operation C.3.1 Federal Employment - Employees X - Payroll X C.3.2 State and Local Employment and Finances - Employees X - Payroll X SECTION D-Environment, Science, Culture Part 1-Environment D.1.1 Air Quality - Amount of Pollutants Released Into the Atmosphere X - Ambient Air Quality-National, Major Cities X - Perceived Quality X D.1.2 Water Quality - Miles of Streams Meeting EPA Standards X - Oil Spills, Fish Kills X D.1.3 Hazardous Substances - Estimated Amounts Produced X - Concentration in Biosphere X D.1.4 Ecological Balances - Endangered Species (Plant and Animal) X - Critical Areas (Coastal Zones) X - Land/People Density X Part 2-Science D.2.1 Professionals in Scientific Fields - By Specialty X - Person Years of Scientists, Engineers Engaged in R&D X D.2.2 Expenditures for Research and Development - Private Industry X - Government R.FOR D.2.3 Science Achievement in Schools RALD - Secondary Schools X - Higher Education X Week of September 2, 1975 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued SERIES WEEKLY MONTHLY QUARTERLY ANNUAL OTHER SECTION D-Environment, Science, Culture D.2.4 Public Attitudes Towards Science and Technology X Part 3-Culture D.3.1 Persons Employed in Artistic Professions - By Type X D.3.2 Children's Skill and Appreciation of Literature Arts, Music X D.3.3 Participation in Cultural Activities - Voluntary Organizations X - Travel X - Hobbies, Sports, Music, etc. X D.3.4 Attendance at Cultural Events - Plays, Galleries, Motion Pictures X - Concerts, Museums, etc. X SECTION E-Selected Subjects A.1.3 - Ordinary Net Income of the Railroad Industry Millions of Dollars First Six Months in 1974 First Six Months in 1975 306.9 235.3 119.8 45.9 -14.3 -48.2 -243.5 -275.1 United Eastern Southern Western States District District District SOURCE: ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN RAILROADS 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 FORD & LIBRARY GERALD The Nation's railroad industry operated with a loss of $243.5 million in the first six months of 1975, a drop of $550 million from the same period last year. Worst performance since the Depression. Rail companies in the Southern District showed the only profit in the recent six months-$45.9 million. Not enough to offset a huge loss among the Northern District lines (a deficit of $275.1 million) and a smaller loss by the Western lines of $14.3 million. FORD & LIBRARY QERALD A.2.4 - Labor Turnover Rates in Manufacturing THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TOTAL SEPARATION RATE 4.0 5.3% -11.1% TOTAL ACCESSION RATE 4.3 19.4% -2.3% PERCENT PERCENT 7.0 7.0 6.5 6.5 6.0 6.0 5.5 5.5 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.5 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS & LIBRARY GERALD 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 A.2.4 - Components of Labor Turnover THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO NEW HIRES 2.4 26.3% -29.4% QUITS 1.5 7.1% -40.0% LAYOFFS 1.4 -30.0% 40.0% PERCENT PERCENT 4.5 4.5 3.5 3.5 2.5 2.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 Total Accessions exceeded Total Separations for the first time since May 1974. After falling 8 percent in the April-June period, Total Accessions rose 19.4 percent in July to a level of 4.3 percent. New Hires, which had increased for four consecutive months, rose 26.3 percent in July. Total Separations rose 5.3 percent to a rate of 4.0 percent, after declining six months in a row. Quits rose 7.1 percent to a July level of 15 percent. Layoffs declined for the fifth time in six months to a rate of 1.4 pèrcent in July. After reaching a high of 3.5 percent in January, Layoffs have declined 60 percent. FORD i LIBRARY GERALD A.3.3 - Indexes of Output Per Hour (1967=100) Annual Rates THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO MANUFACTURING 126.5 0.0% -2.5% TOTAL PRIVATE ECONOMY 112.0 1.1% -0.7% PRIVATE NONFARM 110.4 1.4% -0.5% INDEX INDEX 135 135 130 130 125 125 120 120 115 115 110 110 105 105 100 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 BERALD 100 LIBRAN, SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 Productivity (output per hour) in the Private Economy for the second quarter has been revised upward from 2 percent to 4.3 percent annual rate. Largest increase since first quarter 1973. In the Private Nonfarm Sector, productivity was revised upward to 5.8 percent from 3.3 percent annual rate. Largest increase since the first quarter 1971. Manufacturing Productivity remained unchanged from the first quarter. A decline of 1.8 percent annual rate reported in the preliminary. FORD & LIBRARY 938870 A.3.3 - Indexes of Unit Labor Costs (1967=100) Annual Rates THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO PRIVATE NONFARM 158.5 0.5% 9.8% MANUFACTURING 140.6 2.0% 14.5% INDEX INDEX 165 165 160 160 155 155 150 150 145 145 140 140 135 135 130 130 125 125 120 120 115 115 110 110 105 105 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS FORD i LIBRARY GERALD 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 A.3.3 - Indexes of Unit Labor Costs (1967=100) Annual Rates THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TOTAL PRIVATE ECONOMY 158.9 0.8% 10.3% INDEX INDEX 165 165 160 160 155 155 150 150 145 145 140 140 135 135 130 130 125 125 120 120 115 115 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 Unit Labor Costs in the Total Private Economy Sector rose at an annual rate of 3.3 percent compared with a 10.4 percent annual rate increase one quarter earlier. Private Nonfarm Sector, Unit Labor Costs increased at a 1.9 percent annual rate. Manufacturing Sector, Unit Labor Costs increased 8.3 percent annual rate. Increase considerably smaller than the first quarter annual increase of 23.6 percent. FORD & LIE RALD A.3.3 - Productivity and Costs in Nonfinancial Corporations (1967=100) Annual Rates THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO COMPENSATION PER HOUR 177.7 1.9% 10.0% UNIT LABOR COST 147.0 -0.3% 7.8% OUTPUT PER MAN-HOUR 120.9 2.3% 2.0% INDEX INDEX 180 180 170 170 160 160 150 150 140 140 130 130 120 120 110 110 100 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 BERALD 0100 LIBRARY SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 Productivity (output per man-hour) in Nonfinancial Corporations in the second quarter of 1974 rose at a 9.5 percent annual rate. Largest since first quarter 1971. Reflected 4.5 percent annual rate increase in output and a 4.5 percent annual rate decline in hours. Hourly Compensations up 7.8 percent annual rate. The increase in Hourly Compensation coupled with increase in Productivity resulted in a 1.5 percent annual rate decline in Unit Labor Costs. First decline since first quarter 1971. FORD & LIBRA A.5.1 - Exports and Imports THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TOTAL EXPORTS $8.88 2.2% 6.9% TOTAL IMPORTS - - - - $7.91 13.7% -11.3% BILLIONS IMPORTS EXCLUDING PETROLEUM- - - $5.87 5.8% -6.9% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 10 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS N & LIBRARI GERALD 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 A.5.1 - Merchandise Trade Balance (Excluding Military Assistance) THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO BILLIONS TRADE BALANCE $.98 -$.76 $1.59 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 -0.5 -0.5 -1.0 -1.0 -1.5 -1.5 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 The United States recorded another large Merchandise Trade Surplus in July even though Imports rose nearly 14 percent. $977 million is the fourth largest Merchandise Trade Surplus for any month on record. The July figures pushed the Surplus for the first seven months of 1975 to a seas- onally adjusted $6.4 billion, a sharp turnaround from the $638 million Deficit for the same period last year. Imports rose $1 billion from June to July. The largest increase for any month in 1974 or 1975. Exports increased to an adjusted $8.9 billion. FORD & LIBRARY GERALD The second highest monthly total this year. A.5.1 - Imports of Petroleum and Petroleum Products THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO BILLIONS PETROLEUM IMPORTS $2.06 47.8% -21.1% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 A.5.1 - Exports- Selected Agricultural Commodities THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO SOYBEANS $275.8 191.9% 8.8% WHEAT $427.8 13.0% 19.8% MILLIONS CORN $228.3 -21.2% 23.8% MILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 600 600 500 500 400 400 300 300 200 200 100 100 0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 GERALD 0 FORD LIBRARY SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 The rise in Imports was primarily due to a renewed increase in oil Imports. Oil Imports were up 50 percent from June. The increase in Exports was led by Agricultural Products, especially Soybeans, which were up $181 million. Wheat Exports increased $49 million. Exports of Corn declined 21 percent, partially offsetting increases in other agricul- tural commodities. FORD & LIBRARY A.9.1 - Index of Prices Received and Paid by Farmers (1967=100) THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO PRICES PAID 187 0.5% 8.1% PRICES RECEIVED 187 0.0% 1.1% INDEX INDEX 230 230 220 220 210 210 200 200 190 190 180 180 170 170 160 160 150 150 140 140 130 130 120 120 110 110 100 100 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE FORD & LIBRARY GERALD 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 A.9.1 - Price Indexes - Selected Farm Commodities (1967=100) THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO MEAT ANIMALS 188 -3.1% 10.6% FOOD GRAINS 252 12.5% -7.4% INDEX INDEX 380 380 330 330 280 280 230 230 180 180 130 130 80 80 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 Index of Prices Paid by Farmers for commodities and services, interest, taxes and farm wage rates continued to rise for the fifth consecutive month. Index of Prices Received by Farmers for all farm products remained unchanged from July. Index of Prices Received for Meat Animals decreased 3 percent for month ended August 15. Lower prices for cattle partially offset by higher prices for hogs. Index of Prices received for Food Grains increased 28 points (13 percent) to 252. Higher prices for wheat and rye were partially offset by lower prices for rice. FORD & GERALD LIBRARY A.11.1 - Composite Index of Leading Indicators (1967=100) THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO INDEX OF LEADING INDICATORS 100.7 1.7% -10.8% INDEX INDEX 130 130 125 125 120 120 115 115 110 110 105 105 100 100 95 95 90 90 85 85 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS FORD & LIBRAN CARALD 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 A.11.1 - Selected Components of Composite Index (1967=100) THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO NEW ORDERS, MFG. , CONSUMER $24.5 7.0% -14.4% BILLIONS OF PRODUCTS AND MATERIALS BILLIONS OF 1967 DOLLARS 1967 DOLLARS 32 32 30 30 28 28 26 26 24 24 22 22 20 20 18 18 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 The new Composite Index of Leading Indicators rose 1.7 percent in July. Longest upward climb in 2½ years. Seven of the ten available indicators showed increases. June Index revised upward 2.9 percent above May because layoffs declined and new businesses increased. A7 percent advance on New Orders for Consumer Products and Materials was the strongest upward influence in the Index. FORD & GERALD LIBRARY B.7.2 - Source of the 1973 Housing Inventory October 75,969,000 1973 April 70,138,000 1970 Increase 5,831,000 1970-1973 New 8,000,000 Uni ts Lost 2,169,000 Uni ts SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 FORD & LIBRARY GERALD B.7.2 - 1973 Housing Inventory by Location Total 1973 Housing Inventory = 75,969,000 Outside SMSA's 22.7% Not In Central Cities 35.6% In Central Cities 31.7% Total Inside SMSA's = 67.3% SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 In October 1973, there were 75,969,000 housing units in the United States, a net increase of about 5,831,000 units since the 1970 census. Due to the number of units added by new construction minus those lost through demolition, disaster, or other means. New Construction was the most important factor contributing to the increase in the housing inventory between 1970 and 1973. About 8 million units (11 percent of the 1973 inventory) were built during this period which represents an annual average of 2.3 million newly built units, about 600,000 more new units a year than the annual average during the 1960's. About 2,169,000 units were reported as removed by demolition, disaster or other means by the end of 1973. GERALD FORD VIBRARY 67 percent of the Nation's housing stock (51.1 million units) was located in metropolitan areas. More than half of the Nation's metropolitan housing was located in the suburban areas, 27.0 million units, compared to 24.1 million units in the central cities. B.7.2 - Units Added by New Construction: 1973 Percent of All Housing Units 12.9% 10.9% 10.5% 103% 74% 8,000 5,291 1,796 3,495 2,710 Thousands of New Total Inside In Not in Outside Units U.S. SMSA's Central Central SMSA's Cities Cities Percent of All Housing Units Total Inside SMSA S Outside SMSA S 13.814.3 13.2 13.913.913.9 10.510.5 10.9 8.1 8.5 6.8 7.8 5.8 5.1 FORD & LIBRARY GERALD 8,000 1,019 1,723 3,334 1,924 Thousands of New Units United States Northeast North Central South West SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 Most of the New Construction occurred in the suburbs-3.5 million units built since 1970 (13 percent of all housing in these areas). Compares with 1.8 million new units in central cities, or 7 percent of all housing in the cities. 2.7 million new units were in nonmetropolitan areas, or 11 percent of all nonmetropolitan housing. The largest volume of New Construction occurred in the South, where 3.3 million units were built since 1970. Represents two-fifths of all housing built in the United States since 1970. Housing units built from 1970 to 1973 accounted for approximately: 5.8 percent of the 1973 inventory in the Northeast region. 8.5 percent in the North Central. 13.8 percent in the South and West. BERALD FORD B.7.2 - Units Removed From Inventory: 1973 Percent of All Housing Units Percent 5 41% 4 3 2.9% 2.9% 2.3% 2 19% 1 0 2,169 1,152 701 450 1,017 Thousands of Lost Units Total Inside In Not In Outside U.S. SMSA's, Central Central SMSA's Total Cities Cities Percent of All Housing Units Total Inside SMSA S Outside SMSA S 5.1 4.1 3.8 4.0 3.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.3 2.3 2.1 2.1 1.8 1.5 FORD & GERALD LIBRAKE 2,169 403 550 970 246 Thousands of Lost Units United States Northeast North Central South West SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS The number of units lost since 1970 in metropolitan areas was approximately the same as that in the remainder of the country. About 1,152,000 housing units in the metropolitan and 1,017,000 in the nonmetropolitan portions of the country. However, within metropolitan areas, 701,000 housing units were removed in central cities; in suburban areas, losses totaled 450,000. The South, which had the largest number of newly constructed units, also experienced the largest number of losses-970,000 units. The North Central and Northeast regions followed with 550,000 and 403,000, respectively. The West, which had the second highest number of new units, showed the smallest number of losses-246,000 units. FORD & LIBRARY GERALD B.7.2 - Ratio of New Construction to Lost Units: 1973 77 46 37 2.6 2.7 Total Inside In Not In Outside U.S. SMSA's, Central Central SMSA's Total Cities Cities Source: Bureau of the Census 2 September 1975 78 37 34 31 2.5 FORD & LIBRAKY GERALD Total Northeast North South West U.S. Central Source: Bureau of the Census 2 September 1975 A substantial share of the new housing units built during the 1970-1973 period served as replacements. One out of about every 4 new units in the United States served to replace a unit that had been lost. In the Nation's central cities and in the nonmetropolitan areas, one out of about 3 new units served to replace those that had been lost. in the suburbs, where losses were few and new construction substantial, one out of every 8 new units served as replacements. GERALD Agrusit ? FORD B.7.2 - Tenure by Metropolitan and Nonmetropolitan Residence: 1973 New Construction Units Percent Renter Occupied Percent Owner Occupied Percent 100 16.6% 34.1% 35.4% 80 43.3% 59.2% 60 83.4% 40 65.9% 64.6% 56.7% 40.8% 20 0 7,106 4,648 1,556 3,092 2,458 Thousands Total Inside In Central Not in Outside of Total Occupied SMSA's Cities Central SMSA's Units Cities Source: Bureau of the Census 2 September 1975 FORD is LIBRARI GERALD Two-thirds (4.7 million units) of the newly built units were owner-occupied.. The proportion of homeownership among new units was lower (57 percent) in metropolitan areas than in nonmetropolitan areas (83 percent). The number of new renter-occupied housing units built in metropolitan areas (2,014,000) was five times greater than the 407,000 units constructed outside these areas. FORD & LIBRARY GERALD B.7.2 - Tenure by Metropolitan and Nonmetropolitan Residence: 1973 Units Removed From Inventory Percent Renter Occupied Percent Owner Occupied Percent 100 80 48.0% 45.0% 57.9% 67.1% 80 80.3% 40 55.0% 52.0% 42.1% 20 32.9% 19.7% 0 1,627 954 564 390 674 Thousands of Total Occupied Units Total Inside In Central Not in Outside U.S. SMSA's Cities Central SMSA's Cities Source: Bureau of the Census 2 September 1975 FORD & LIBRAN Units demolished or otherwise removed in metropolitan areas were predominately renter-occupied, whereas in nonmetropolitan areas the higher proportion of removals was owner-occupied. Approximately 67 percent of the 954,000 occupied housing units removed in metropolitan areas and 45 percent of the 674,000 in the remainder of the country had been occupied by renters. Central city removals were more likely to be rental units than were suburban removals. FORD i LIBA GERALD as B.7.2 - Median Age of Housing In Years 28 27 29 22 1950 1960 1970 1973 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS FORD LIBRARI & GERALD 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 B.7.2 - Year Structure Built: 1973 In Thousands 27,581 Total All Year-Round Housing Units = 75,293 18,089 13,548 7,979 8,097 April 1970 1960 To 1950 To 1940 To 1939 Or Or Later March 1970 1959 1949 Earlier SOURCE BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 The Nation's housing is growing younger. In 1950, at the peak of the post-World War Two housing shortage, the median age of housing was about 28 years. During the 1950's, as new construction reduced the shortage, the median age decreased modestly to 27 years. During the 1960's, housing construction both ended the shortage and began to replace old and obsolete housing so that by 1970 the median age had dropped to 23 years. Continued high construction in the 1970's had further lowered the median age so that by 1973 it was 22 years. More than half of the housing inventory in 1973 has been built since 1950. About 10 percent of the 1973 inventory had been built during the 1940's. FORD & LIBRARY GERALD About 36 percent of the inventory had been built before 1940. C.3.2 - State General Revenue and Expenditure THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO GENERAL EXPENDITURE $119.9 N/A 10.9% BILLIONS GENERAL REVENUE $122.3 N/A 8.1% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 125 125 115 115 105 105 95 95 85 85 75 75 65 65 55 55 45 45 35 35 25 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 Lb ORD 25 LIBRAN SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 2 SEPTEMBER 1975 State General Revenue has exceeded General Expenditures since 1973, although Expenditures have been increasing at a faster rate than Revenue. State General Revenue totaled $122.3 billion in Fiscal 1974, up 8.1 percent from 1973. State General Expenditures amounted to $119.9 billion in Fiscal 1974, or 10.9 percent more than in 1973. FORD is LIBRARY GERALD C.3.2 - State General Revenue Selected Components THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO INTERGOVERNMENTAL REVENUE $33.2 N/A 1.4% GENERAL SALES TAXES $22.6 N/A 14.2% BILLIONS INCOME TAXES $23.1 N/A 9.9% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 35 35 31 31 27 27 23 23 19 19 15 15 11 11 7 7 3 3 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 C.3.2 - State General Expenditure Selected Components THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO EDUCATION $46.9 N/A 12.7% HIGHWAYS $15.9 N/A 5.5% PUBLIC WELFARE - - - - - $22.5 N/A 4.0% BILLIONS HEALTH AND HOSPITALS $8.4 N/A 14.9% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 47 47 38 38 29 20 ALD 29 20 FORD LIBRAR, 11 11 2 2 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS Intergovernmental Revenue provided $33.2 billion, or 27.2 percent of the 1974 total of State General Revenue. After increasing 17.3 percent on the average from 1970-1973, Intergovern- mental Revenue rose only 1.4% in 1974. As of 1973, more revenue was received from Income Taxes than from General Sales Taxes. However, General Sales Taxes rose at a faster rate (14.2 percent) than Income Taxes (9.9 percent) in 1974. Of the 1974 total, Education accounted for the largest portion of State Spending- 39.1 percent. Since 1971, States have spent more for Public Welfare than for Highways. Spending for Health and Hospitals, the fourth major state function, rose 14.9 per- cent to $8.4 billion in 1974. FORD is LIBRARY GERALD