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William J. Baroody Files (Ford Administration)
William Baroody's Copies of "Weekly Briefing Notes on U.S. Domestic Developments"
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The original documents are located in Box 37, folder "Weekly Briefing Notes,
10/6/1975" of the William J. Baroody Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential
Library.
Copyright Notice
The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of
photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Gerald R. Ford donated to the United
States of America his copyrights in all of his unpublished writings in National Archives collections.
Works prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public
domain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to
remain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid
copyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library.
Digitized from Box 37 of the William J. Baroody Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library
* * 7
*
«
THE VICE PReSiDENT
*
*
WASHINGTON
*1 17 *
October 8, 1975
MEMORANDUM FOR BILL BAROODY
Attached is this week's copy
of the Weekly Briefing Notes.
lueson
WEEKLY
BRIEFING NOTES
ON U.S. DOMESTIC
DEVELOPMENTS
Prepared for the President
and the Vice President
OCTOBER 6, 1975
FORD & LIBRARY GERALD
COMPILED BY THE FEDERAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM
Coordinated by the Bureau of the Census
at the request of the Statistical Policy Division,
Office of Management and Budget
Vincent P. Barabba, Director
Joseph W. Duncan,
Bureau of the Census
Deputy Associate Director
for Statistical Policy
Office of Management and Budget
FORD
Week of October 6, 1975
SOURCES OF DATA
Unemployment Rates
U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Employment and Earnings Statistics
for the United States"
Duration of Unemployment
U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Employment and Earnings Statistics
for the United States"
Labor Turnover in Manufacturing
U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Employment and Earnings Statistics
for the United States"
Help-Wanted Advertising
The Conference Board
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "Manufactuers" Shipments, Inven-
tories and Orders, Series M3-1"
Wholesale Price Index
U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Wholesale Price Index"
Construction Expenditures
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "Value of New Construction Put in
Place"
Agricultural Prices
U.S. Department of Agriculture, Crop Reporting Board
Composite Index of Leading Indicators
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, "Business Conditions Digest"
Outdoor Recreation
U.S. Department of the Interior, National Park Service, Annual Reports, 1973, 1974.
Unpublished 1975 data.
Week of October 6, 1975
TABLE OF CONTENTS
SERIES
WEEKLY
MONTHLY
QUARTERLY
ANNUAL
OTHER
SECTION A-General Economic Indicators
Part 1-National Income and Product
A.1.1 Gross National Product
X
A.1.2 Personal Income
X
A.1.3 Corporate Profits
X
A.1.4 Federal Receipts and Expenditures
X
A.1.5 Business Investment
X
Part 2-Employment and Unemployment
A.2.1 Unemployment Rate
X
A.2.2 Duration of Unemployment
X
A.2.3 Unemployment Insurance
X
A.2.4 Labor Turnover
X
A.2.5 Help Wanted Index
X
Part 3-Hours, Earnings and Productivity
A.3.1 Average Workweek, Manufacturing
X
A.3.2 Compensation Per Man-hour
X
A.3.3 Productivity Indexes
X
A.3.4 Real Earnings
X
A.3.5 Work Stoppages
X
Part 4-Production and Trade
A.4.1 Industrial Production Index
X
A.4.2 Production of Primary Metals
X
A.4.3 Production and Sales of Transportation Equipment
X
A.4.4 Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders
X
A.4.5 Capacity Utilization
X
A.4.6 Retail Sales
X
A.4.7 Wholesale Trade: Sales and Inventories
X
A.4.8 Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales
X
A.4.9 Manufacturers' Evaluation of Their Inventories
X
Part 5-Foreign Trade and Balance of Payments
A.5.1 Exports and Imports
X
A.5.2 Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders of Durable Goods
X
A.5.3 Balance of Payments
X
X FOR LIBRARY
A.5.4 Foreign Travel
Part 6-Prices
A.6.1 Consumer Price Index
X
A.6.2 Wholesale Price Index
X
A.6.3 Tuesday Spot Market Price Index
X
Week of October 6, 1975
TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued
SERIES
WEEKLY
MONTHLY
QUARTERLY
ANNUAL
OTHER
SECTION A-General Economic Indicators (Continued)
Part 7-Construction
A.7.1 Housing Construction
X
A.7.2 Value of New Construction Work Done
X
Part 8-Energy, Raw Materials, and Commodities
A.8.1 Distribution of Electric Power
X
A.8.2 Production and Consumption of Fossil Fuels
X
Part 9-Agriculture
A.9.1 Farm Income and Expenses
X
Part 10-Money and Credit
A.10.1 Money Stock Measures
X
A.10.2 Bank Reserves
X
A.10.3 Consumer Credit
X
A.10.4 Common Stock Prices
X
A.10.5 U.S. Government Securities
X
A.10.6 Business Credit
X
A.10.7 Interest Rates
Part 11-Indicators of Business Activity
A.11.1 Composite Index of Leading Indicators
X
A.11.2 Number of New Business Incorporations
X
A.11.3 Number of Business Failures
X
SECTION B-General Social Indicators
Part 1-Population
B.1.1 Population Estimates
- Total Population
X
- Total Population by Age, Sex, and Race
- Rate of Growth
- Components of Change (Births, Deaths, Net Immigration)
- Population Projections
X X X X X
- Abortion
B.1.2 Population Distribution
ORD LIBRAR
- Population by Size of Place
X
- Population in Rural and Urban Areas
X
B.1.3 Migration
- Recent Movers
X
- Migration by Region
X
Week of October 6, 1975
TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued
SERIES
WEEKLY
MONTHLY
QUARTERLY
ANNUAL
OTHER
SECTION B-General Social Indicators (Continued)
Part 2-The Family
B.2.1 Living Arrangements, Selected Characteristics
- Age, Sex, and Race
X
- Single Person Households
X
- Children Living With Single Parents
X
- Average Family Size
X
B.2.2 Family Formation and Dissolution
- Marital Status of the Population
X
- Marriage and Divorce Rates
X
- Marriages Ending in Divorce
X
B.2.3 Attitudes Towards Family Life
X
Part 3-Health
B.3.1 Life Expectancy
- At Birth
- At Selected Ages
- Death Rates by Cause
X
- Leading Causes of Death
X X X X X
- Infant Mortality
X
B.3.2 Disability
- Days of Disability by Type
X
- Institutionalized Population
X
- Disability by Degree of Limitation and Cause
X
- Short-Term Disability
X
B.3.3 Morbidity
- Communicable Diseases
X
- Acute Illness
X
B3.4 Health Status
- Nutrition
Dietary Intake
Clinical Measurements
X X X
- Obesity
- Drugs
Drug Deaths
X
Drug Abuse Episodes
X
Liquor Consumption
X
- Smoking
X
- Physical Fitness
X
- Perceived Health Status
X
Week of October 6, 1975
TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued
SERIES
WEEKLY
MONTHLY
QUARTERLY
ANNUAL
OTHER
SECTION B-General Social Indicators (Continued)
B.3.5 Health Care Delivery
- Physician and Dental Visits
X
- Costs and Expenditures
X
- Facilities
X
- Personnel
X
- Attitudes Towards Health Care
X
Part 4-Education
B.4.1 Educational Achievement by Sex, Race, Socioeconomic Status, Region
- Math, Science, Reading, Writing
X
- Music, Art, Literature, Citizenship
X
B.4.2 Attainment
- High School Graduation Rate
X
- The High School Educated Population by Race and Sex
X
- College Educated Population by Race and Sex
X
B.4.3 School Enrollment
- Primary and Secondary School
X
- Preprimary by Age, Race, Income
X
- Modal Age Enrollment by Sex, Race
X
- High School Students Expecting to go to College
X
- College Entrance Rates by Sex, Race, Socioeconomic Status
X
- College Enrollment
X
- Participation in Adult Education
X
B.4.4 Educational Facilities and Personnel
- Schools, Classrooms
X
- Teachers, Administrative, Others
X
B.4.5 Costs and Expenditures
- Expected Student Expenses, Higher Education
X
- Expenditures by Level of Government
X
Part 5-Work
B.5.1 Labor Force, Employment and Unemployment
- Labor Force Participation, Selected Characteristics
X
- Part-time, Part-year Workers, Selected Characteristics
X
- Employment by Occupation, Selected Characteristics
X
- Unemployment, Selected Characteristics
X
X
- Discouraged Workers
X
- Labor Union Membership
X
B.5.2 Earnings
- Median Earnings, Selected Characteristics
X
Week of October 6, 1975
TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued
SERIES
WEEKLY
MONTHLY
QUARTERLY
ANNUAL
OTHER
SECTION B-General Social Indicators (Continued)
B.5.3 Working Conditions
- Regular and Overtime Hours, Selected Characteristics
X
- Work Injuries by Occupation
X
- Time, Distance, and Mode Transportation to Work
X
B.5.4 Benefits
- Vacations, Holidays
X
- Benefit Plans
X
B.5.5 Retirement
- Persons Retiring From Work
X
- Work-Life Expectancy
X
- Retirement Benefits
X
Part 6-Income, Consumption, and Wealth
B.6.1 Income Levels
- Median Family Income
X
- Composition of Family Income
X
- Per Capita Income
X
B.6.2 Distribution of Income
- Age, Race, and Sex
X
1 Regional Differences
X
B.6.3 Poverty
X
B.6.4 Consumption
- Personal Consumption Expenditures
X
- Consumption of Durable Goods
X
B.6.5 Wealth
- Net Worth of Consumer Units
X
- Composition of Wealth
X
B.6.6 Consumer Borrowing and Debt
- Amount of Debt Outstanding
X
- Debt/Income Ratio
X
B.6.7 Consumer Attitudes
X
Part 7-Housing
B.7.1 Housing Conditions
- Average Size of Households
X
- Households Lacking Selected Facilities, by Size, Race, Tenure,
and Location
X
- Average Persons Per Room
X
Week of October 6, 1975
TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued
SERIES
WEEKLY
MONTHLY
QUARTERLY
ANNUAL
OTHER
SECTION B-Socioeconomic Series (Continued)
B.7.2 Home Tenure
- Single Family Dwellings
X
- Mobile Homes
X
- Condominiums and Other Multi-Unit Structures
X
- Vacation Homes
X
B.7.3 Cost and Expenditures
- Average Mortgage Payments
X
- Upkeep and Maintenance
X
- Average Rental Payments
X
B.7.4 Attitudes Towards Housing and the Community
X
Part 8-Leisure and Recreation
B.8.1 Use of Leisure Time
X
B.8.2 Recreation
- Outdoor (Social, Active Sports, etc)
X
- Indoor (Television, Visiting, Other)
X
X
Part 9-Public Safety
B.9.1 Crimes Known to Police
- Violent
X
X
- Property
X
X
B.9.2 Victims of Crime, Selected Characteristics
- Violent
X
- Property
X
B.9.3 Fear of Crime, Selected Characteristics
X
B.9.4 Police Activity
- Persons Arrested by Charge
X
- Offenses Cleared
X
B.9.5 Judicial Activity
- Persons Sentenced for Federal Crimes
X
B.9.6 Prisoners, Adults and Juveniles
- Prisoners by Sentence
ERALD FORD FiRRan
X
- Average Length of Sentence
X
- Persons Executed and Sentenced to Death
X
- Average Prison Population
X
B.9.7 Expenditures for Administration of Criminal Justice
X
Week of October 6, 1975
TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued
SERIES
WEEKLY
MONTHLY
QUARTERLY
ANNUAL
OTHER
SECTION C-Government Activity
Part 1-Social Welfare and Security
C.1.1 Social Security (OASDHI)
- Current Beneficiaries
- New Beneficiaries
- Average Payment
C.1.2 Old Age Assistance
- Benefits Paid
- Recipients
C.1.3 Aid to the Disabled
- Blind
- Deaf
- Other
C.1.4 Aid to Families With Dependent Children
- Recipients
- Benefits
C.1.5 Unemployment Insurance Coverage
- Benefits Paid
- Recipients
C.1.6 Housing Assistance
X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X
- Recipients
- Benefits
C.1.7 Food Stamps
- Recipients
- Benefits
C.1.8 Aid to Disaster Victims
- Recipients
X
- Benefits
X
C.1.9 Veterans Benefits
- Recipients
X
- Benefits
X
ORD
Part 2-Equal Opportunity
C.2.1 Equal Employment Opportunity
- Minority Employment
X
- Earnings, Promotions, etc.
X
C.2.2 School Desegregation
- Students Attending Predominantly Minority Schools
X
- Public/Private Enrollment, and Control
X
Week of October 6, 1975
TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued
SERIES
WEEKLY
MONTHLY
QUARTERLY
ANNUAL
OTHER
SECTION C-Government Activity (Continued)
Part 3-Government Operation
C.3.1 Federal Employment
- Employees
X
- Payroll
X
C.3.2 State and Local Employment and Finances
- Employees
X
- Payroll
X
SECTION D-Environment, Science, Culture
Part 1-Environment
D.1.1 Air Quality
- Amount of Pollutants Released Into the Atmosphere
X
- Ambient Air Quality-National, Major Cities
X
- Perceived Quality
X
D.1.2 Water Quality
- Miles of Streams Meeting EPA Standards
X
- Oil Spills, Fish Kills
X
D.1.3 Hazardous Substances
- Estimated Amounts Produced
X
- Concentration in Biosphere
X
D.1.4 Ecological Balances
- Endangered Species (Plant and Animal)
X
- Critical Areas (Coastal Zones)
X
- Land/People Density
X
Part 2-Science
D.2.1 Professionals in Scientific Fields
- By Specialty
X
- Person Years of Scientists, Engineers Engaged in R&D
X
D.2.2 Expenditures for Research and Development
- Private Industry
X
- Government
X
D.2.3 Science Achievement in Schools
- Secondary Schools
X
- Higher Education
X
Week of October 6, 1975
TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued
SERIES
WEEKLY
MONTHLY
QUARTERLY
ANNUAL
OTHER
SECTION D-Environment, Science, Culture
D.2.4 Public Attitudes Towards Science and Technology
X
Part 3-Culture
D.3.1 Persons Employed in Artistic Professions
- By Type
X
D.3.2 Children's Skill and Appreciation of Literature Arts, Music
X
D.3.3 Participation in Cultural Activities
- Voluntary Organizations
X
- Travel
X
- Hobbies, Sports, Music, etc.
X
D.3.4 Attendance at Cultural Events
- Plays, Galleries, Motion Pictures
X
- Concerts, Museums, etc.
X
SECTION E-Selected Subjects
A.2.1 - Unemployment Rate
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
ALL WORKERS, TOTAL
8.3
-1.1%
43.1%
HOUSEHOLD HEADS
5.7
3.6%
67.6%
MARRIED MEN
5.3
6.0%
89.3%
PERCENT
PERCENT
10
10
9
9
8
8
7
7
6
6
5
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
1
?
FORD
GERALD
0
LIBRARIO
0
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
6 OCTOBER 1975
A.2.1 - Civilian Labor Force and Employment
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
TOTAL CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE
93.1
0.0%
1.6%
MILLIONS
TOTAL CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT
85.4
0.1%
-1.1%
MILLIONS
OF PERSONS
OF PERSONS
95
95
90
90
85
85
80
80
75
75
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
6 OCTOBER 1975
The Overall Unemployment Rate declined slightly in September.
However, Increases were recorded in the rates for Household
Heads and Married Men.
Total Civilian Employment remained virtually unchanged.
One million below the September 1974 peak.
FORD & LIBRARY CARALD
Total Civilian Labor Force, at 93.1 million, was essentially the
same as in August.
Over the past year, the Labor Force has expanded by less than
1.4 million, with all the increase occurring in the last 7
months.
A.2.1 - Unemployment Rate By Age, Sex, and Race
Males, 20 Years and Over
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
ADULT MALES, NEGRO AND
12.1
9.0%
77.9%
OTHER RACES
PERCENT
ADULT MALES, WHITE
6.5
6.6%
80.6%
PERCENT
14
14
12
12
10
10
8
8
6
6
4
4
2
2
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
Females, 20 Years and Over
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
ADULT FEMALES, NEGRO AND
12.1
-4.0%
45.8%
OTHER RACES
PERCENT
ADULT FEMALES, WHITE
6.8
-1.4%
28.3%
PERCENT
13
13
11
11
9
9
7
7
5
5
3
3
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
FORD & LIBRA
6 OCTOBER 1975
A.2.1 - Unemployment Rate By Age, Sex, and Race
Both Sexes, 16 to 19 Years
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
TEENAGERS, NEGRO AND
37.2
-0.5%
13.8%
OTHER RACES
TEENAGERS, WHITE
17.4
-9.0%
15.2%
PERCENT
PERCENT
45
45
40
40
35
35
30
30
25
25
20
20
15
15
10
10
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
6 OCTOBER 1975
Unemployment Rates for Adult Men, both White and Nonwhite,
increased in September.
Joblessness among Nonwhites rose 36 percent faster than
among Whites.
The Unemployment Rate for Adult Nonwhite Females retreated somewhat
from last month's peak of 12.6 percent.
The rate for White Women was essentially unchanged.
FORD & LIBRARY GERALD
Teenage Unemployment was reduced, however, the improvement was
concentrated in the rate for White Teenagers.
Nonwhite Teenage joblessness edged down only marginally.
A.2:1 - Unemployment Rate By Industry
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
CONSTRUCTION
19.2
-3.5%
60.0%
AGRICULTURAL WORKERS
9.9
-5.7%
47.8%
MANUFACTURING - - -
10.6
1.0%
76.7%
WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE
8.7
-2.2%
31.8%
PERCENT
PERCENT
25
25
23
23
21
21
19
19
17
17
15
15
13
13
11
11
9
9
7
7
5
GERA 5 FORD LIBRARY
3
3
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
6 OCTOBER 1975
A.2.1 - Unemployment Rate By Occupation
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
BLUE COLLAR
11.5
0.0%
64.3%
SERVICE WORKERS
8.7
-6.4%
35.9%
WHITE COLLAR
4.7
2.2%
34.3%
PERCENT
PERCENT
14
14
12
12
10
10
8
8
6
6
4
4
2
2
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
6 OCTOBER 1975
Among the major industry groups, gains and losses were relatively
small and offsetting.
Unemployment in Construction decreased for the fourth
consecutive month.
Unemployment Rates for Blue-collar and White-collar workers were
essentially unchanged.
Joblessness among Service Workers dipped 6.4 percent from
last month's recession peak of 9.3 percent.
FORD & LIBRARY GERALD
A.2.2 - Duration of Unemployment
Number of Workers Unemployed
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
LESS THAN 5 WEEKS
2,790
4.3%
5.1%
5 TO 14 WEEKS
2,430
2.9%
42.9%
Thousands
15 WEEKS AND OVER
2,856
0.5%
188.8%
Thousands
of Persons
of Persons
4000
4000
3500
3500
3000
3000
2500
2500
2000
2000
1500
1500
1000
1000
500
500
0
EALD FORD 0 LIBRAS
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
6 OCTOBER 1975
A.2.2 - Average Duration of Unemployment
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
AVERAGE DURATION
16.2
3.2%
67.0%
WEEKS
WEEKS
18
18
I6
16
14
14
12
12
10
10
8
8
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
6 OCTOBER 1975
Long-Term Unemployment (15 weeks and over) was essentially unchanged
at 2.9 million in September, almost 200 percent above last year's
level.
The number of workers jobless 15 weeks or longer rose by
14,000, after posting the first real decline in August since
late 1973.
The Average Duration continued to rise to 16.2 weeks.
Highest level since late 1961.
FORD & LIBRA RALD
A.2.4 - Labor Turnover Rates in Manufacturing
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
TOTAL SEPARATION RATE
3.5
-12.5%
-23.9%
TOTAL ACCESSION RATE
4.1
-2.4%
-4.7%
PERCENT
PERCENT
7.0
7.0
6.5
6.5
6.0
6.0
5.5
5.5
5.0
5.0
4.5
4.5
4.0
4.0
3.5
3.5
3.0
3.0
2.5
2.5
2.0
2.0
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
FORD & GERALD LIBRARY
6 OCTOBER 1975
A.2.4 - Components of Labor Turnover
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
NEW HIRES
2.5
4.2%
-24.2%
QUITS
1.6
6.7%
-36.0%
LAYOFFS
1.4
0.0%
16.7%
PERCENT
PERCENT
4.5
4.5
3.5
3.5
2.5
2.5
1.5
1.5
8.5
0.5
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
6 OCTOBER 1975
Total Accessions declined but at a slower pace than Total
Separations.
Total Accessions fell 2.4 percent as a result of a decrease
in Other Accessions (Recalls, Transfers, etc.).*
New Hires, which rose 4.2 percent in August, have increased
67 percent since March.
Total Separations dropped 12.5 percent returning to their January
1960 rate of 3.5, their lowest level since February 1955.
Quits continued to rise, advancing 6.7 percent.
FORD is LIBRAN
Layoffs were unchanged from July when they reached their
lowest level since last September.
*Unpublished Data
A.2.5 - Index of Help Wanted Advertising
(1967=100)
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
HELP-VANTED INDEX
82
-2.4%
-28.1%
INDEX
INDEX
135
135
125
125
115
115
105
105
95
95
85
85
75
75
65
GERA FORD 65 LIBRARY
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: THE CONFERENCE BOARD
6 OCTOBER 1975
The Index of Help-Wanted Advertising fell for the first
time in five months.
Down 2.4 percent to a level of 82.
Prior to this, the Index had recovered 20 percent from
the March low.
FORD is LIBRAR 07V830
A.4.4 - Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, Orders
All Manufacturing
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
TOTAL INVENTORIES
$146.3
-0.6%
4.7%
UNFILLED ORDERS
$121.9
0.3%
-12.5%
NET NEW ORDERS
$85.5
2.3%
-5.2%
BILLIONS
SHIPMENTS- - -
$85.1
2.7%
-0.4%
BILLIONS
OF DOLLARS
OF DOLLARS
170
170
160
160
150
150
140
140
130
130
120
120
110
110
100
100
90
90
80
80
70
70
60
60
FOR
50
50
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
GERALD
LIBRARY
SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS
6 OCTOBER 1975
A.4.4 - Inventories by Stage of Fabrication
All Manufacturing
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
WORK-IN-PROCESS
$49.2
-0.6%
3.4%
FINISHED GOODS
$46.5
0.3%
10.6%
BILLIONS
MATERIALS AND SUPPLIES
$50.6
-1.3%
1.1%
BILLIONS
OF DOLLARS
OF DOLLARS
55
55
50
50
45
45
40
40
35
35
30
30
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS
6 OCTOBER 1975
New Orders continued the strong upward trend begun in April,
increasing 2.3. percent in August, for a total increase of 14.9
percent.
This is the largest increase for any five month period
in over 20 years (December 1954 - April 1955).
Shipments rose 2.7 percent, a total increase of 9.8 percent
from the March low.
Largest 5-month upswing since January-May 1959.
Unfilled Orders increased for the second month in a row.
Manufacturers' Inventories decreased for the sixth consecutive
month.
FORD & LIBRARY GERALD
The current period of contraction is the longest since
the eleven month period ended August 1958.
Materials and Supplies accounted for 80 percent of the
total decline.
Finished Goods increased for the first time since March.
A.4.4 - Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, Orders
Durable Goods
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
UNFILLED ORDERS
$117.4
0.2%
-12.6%
TOTAL INVENTORIES
$97.1
-1.1%
6.7%
NEW ORDERS
$42.5
2.1%
-13.5%
BILLIONS
SHIPMENTS
$42.3
2.7%
-4.9%
1.
BILLIONS
OF DOLLARS
OF DOLLARS
150
150
130
130
110
110
90
90
70
70
50
50
30
30
10
10
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
A.4.4 - Manufacturers' New Orders
Selected Durable Goods Industries
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
PRIMARY METAL INDUSTRIES
$6.8
10.1%
-31.9%
NONELECTRICAL MACHINERY
$6.9
-6.3%
-16.2%
BILLIONS
ELECTRICAL MACHINERY
$5.8
9.5%
4.2%
BILLIONS
OF DOLLARS
OF DOLLARS
10.5
10.5
9.5
9.5
8.5
8.5
7.5
7.5
6.5
6.5
ORD
5.5
GERALDR
GERALD
5.5
LIBRARY
4.5
4.5
3.5
3.5
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS
6 OCTOBER 1975
A.4.4 - Manufacturers' Shipments
Selected Durable Goods Industries
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
PRIMARY METAL INDUSTRIES
$6.4
7.9%
-24.6%
BILLIONS
MOTOR VEHICLES AND PARTS
$6.8
5.9%
-0.8%
BILLIONS
OF DOLLARS
OF DOLLARS
9
9
8
8
7
7
6
6
5
5
4
4
3
3
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS
6 OCTOBER 1975
New Orders for Durable Goods continued to advance, led by increases
in Primary Metals (up 10.1 percent) and Electrical Machinery (up
9.5 percent).
The decline in Nonelectrical Machinery was partially
offsetting.
Durable Goods Shipments increased at a faster pace in August, up
2.7 percent compared to 1.9 percent in July and 0.6 percent in June.
Major increases were reported in Primary Metals and Motor
Vehicles and Parts.
FORD & 07V830 LIBRARY
Unfilled Orders of Durable Goods increased by 0.2 percent, the
second increase in a row after declining for nine months.
Durable Inventories were reduced at a faster rate in August, 1.1
percent compared to 0.6 percent in July.
The decrease was widespread with nearly all major categories
declining.
A.6.2 - Wholesale Price Index
Selected Processed Foods and Feeds
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
CRUDE VEGETABLE OILS
195.9
-13.7%
-36.6%
ANIMAL FATS AND OILS
411.4
9.0%
33.4%
INDEX
INDEX
475
475
425
425
375
375
325
325
275
275
225
225
175
175
125
125
75
75
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
6 OCTOBER 1975
Sugar and Confectionery declined 9.7 percent in September
after a 5.4 increase in August.
Dairy Products increased for the seventh consecutive month.
Meats, Poultry, and Fish are up 26.8 percent in one year.
Sharp, offsetting movements were registered in Fats and Oils:
Animal Fats and Oils -- up 9.0 percent.
Vegetable Fats and Oils -- down 13.7 percent.
FORD & GERALD LIBRARY
A.6.2 - Wholesale Price Index
Selected Processed Foods and Feeds
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
SUGAR & CONFECTIONERY
217.7
-9.7%
-26.3%
DAIRY PRODUCTS
161.6
2.3%
11.1%
MEATS, POULTRY, FISH
209.8
4.4%
26.8%
INDEX
INDEX
450
450
400
400
350
350
300
300
250
250
200
200
150
150
100
100
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
FORD & LIBRARY GERALD
6 OCTOBER 1975
A.6.2 - Wholesale Price Index
Selected Industrial Commodities
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
METALS E METAL PRODUCTS
185.5
0.8%
-
-1.0%
FUELS AND POWER
255.4
1.6%
13.3%
INDEX
INDEX
260
260
235
235
210
210
185
185
160
160
135
135
110
110
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
6 OCTOBER 1975
The principal contributions to the increase in Farm Products
were:
Fruits and Vegetables up 7.0 percent.
Fluid Milk up 5.4 percent.
Largest increase since the 10.3 percent recorded
in September 1973.
Livestock up 6.7 percent for a total increase of 45.0
percent since February.
Higher prices for Fuels and Metals accounted for half of the
0.7 percent increase in Industrial Commodities.
FORD & LIBRA RALD
A.6.2 - Wholesale Price Index
Selected Farm Products
(1967=100)
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
FLUID MILK
188.3
5.4%
16.7%
FRESH AND DRIED FRUITS
208.4
7.0%
11.9%
AND VEGETABLES
LIVESTOCK
209.5
6.7%
24.5%
INDEX
INDEX
275
275
250
250
225
225
200
200
175
175
150
150
125
125
100
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
GERALD
100 LIBRARY
6 OCTOBER 1975
The Wholesale Price Index for All Commodities advanced at a
slower pace in September, 0.6 percent compared to 0.8 percent
in August and 1.2 percent in July.
Farm Prices which had decreased 1.5 percent in August, moved
up sharply in September.
Since March, Farm Prices have run up a total of 18.3
percent.
Industrial Commodities increased 0.7 percent.
Largest increase since November 1974.
NOTE: All Commodities is seasonally adjusted independently and
is not derived by adding together its seasonally adjusted
components. On occasion, as in August and September, this
procedure can produce situations in which changes in
components are inconsistent with changes in the total,
particularly when prices fluctuate widely.
FORD i GERALD LIBRARY
A.6.2 - Wholesale Price Index
(1967=100)
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
FARM PRODUCTS
198.9
4.3%
7.9%
PROCESSED FOODS AND FEEDS
186.3
1.0%
5.3%
ALL COMMODITIES
177.2
0.6%
6.3%
INDUSTRIAL COMMODITIES
-
173.0
0.7%
8.7%
INDEX
INDEX.
220
220
210
210
200
200
190
190
180
180
170
170
160
160
150
150
140
140
130
130
120
120
110
110
100
&
FORD
100
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS
GERALD
LIBRARY
6 OCTOBER 1975
A.4.4 - Manufacturers' Shipments
Selected Nondurable Goods Industries
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
FOOD AND PRODUCTS
$14.2
2.2%
4.6%
BILLIONS
PETROLEUM AND COAL PRODUCTS
$5.9
7.3%
14.9%
BILLIONS
OF DOLLARS
OF DOLLARS
15
15
13
13
11
11
9
9
7
7
5
5
3
3
1
1
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS
6 OCTOBER 1975
Nondurable Inventories increased 0.5 percent, or $249 million
in August.
First increase since January.
Food and Kindred Products was the major contributor,
rising 2.8 percent.
Nondurable Shipments continued the strong advance begun in May.
The advance was broadly based, led by:
Petroleum, up $398 million.
FORD is LIBRARY GERALD
Foods, up $306 million.
A.4.4 = - Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories
Nondurable Goods
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
TOTAL INVENTORIES
$49.2
0.5%
1.1%
BILLIONS
SHIPMENTS
$42.8
2.6%
4.4%
BILLIONS
OF DOLLARS
OF DOLLARS
55
55
50
50
45
45
40
40
35
35
30
30
25
25
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
Selected Nondurable Goods Inventories
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
BILLIONS
FOOD AND KINDRED PRODUCTS
$11.0
2.8%
-6.4%
BILLIONS
OF DOLLARS
OF DOLLARS
13
13
12
12
11
11
10
10
9
9
8
SEAL ALD FORD LIBRARY 18 8
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS
6 OCTOBER 1975
A.7.2 - Value of New Construction Work Done
Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rates
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
CURRENT DOLLARS
$126.2
1.1%
-6.9%
BILLIONS
CONSTANT DOLLARS
$65.5
0.5%
-13.7%
BILLIONS
OF DOLLARS
OF DOLLARS
150
150
140
140
130
130
120
120
110
110
100
100
90
90
80
80
70
70
60
60
50
50
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
Private Residential Structures
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS
$23.9
2.1%
-17.9%
BILLIONS OF 1 UNIT STRUCTURES
$15.0
4.9%
-0.7%
BILLIONS OF
1967 DOLLARS
1967 DOLLARS
45
45
35
35
25
25
15
15
5
5
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS
6 OCTOBER 1975
FORD & LIBRARY
Private Nonresidential Buildings
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO
NONRESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS
12.2
-2.4%
-20.3%
BILLIONS OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS
3.7
1.
-5.1%
-9.8%
BILLIONS OF
1967 DOLLARS
1967 DOLLARS
20
20
16
16
12
12
8
8
4
4
0
0
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS
6 OCTOBER 1975
Construction Spending, in real dollars increased 0.5 percent
in August.
In current dollars, spending was up 1.1 percent after
a 0.9 percent decline in July.
Private Residential Buildings, up 2.1 percent from July, but
down 17.9 percent from August a year ago.
Private Nonresidential Structures continued to decline.
FORD is LIBRARY 03RALD
A.9.1 - Index of Prices Received and Paid By Farmers
(1967=100)
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
PRICES PAID
189
1.1%
8.0%
PRICES RECEIVED
193
3.2%
6.6%
INDEX
INDEX
230
230
220
220
210
210
200
200
190
190
180
180
170
170
160
160
150
150
140
140
130
130
120
120
110
110
100
100
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
GERALD
LIBRARY
SOURCE: U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
6 OCTOBER 1975
A.9.1 - Price Indexes - Selected Farm Commodities
(1967=100)
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
DAIRY PRODUCTS
173
6.1%
11.6%
MEAT ANIMALS
196
4.3%
29.0%
POTATOES, ETC.
230
-16.4%
9.5%
INDEX
INDEX
410
410
370
370
330
330
290
290
250
250
210
210
170
170
130
130
90
90
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
6 OCTOBER 1975
Index of Prices Received by Farmers moved substantially above Prices
Paid by Farmers for the first time since the latter part of 1974.
Prices Paid by Farmers rose 1.1 percent, up 2 points to 189.
Index of Prices Received by Farmers increased 3.2 percent which marks
a return of price increases following lastmonth's unchanged reading.
Prices Received for Meat Animals rose 8 points (4.3 percent),
after dropping 6 points (3.1 percent) in August.
Prices Received for Dairy Products rose for the third
FORD & LIBRARI 075
consecutive month, up 6.1 percent.
Prices for Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes, and Dry Beans dropped for
the second straight month, down 16.4 percent.
A.11.1 - Composite Index of Leading Indicators
(1967=100)
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
INDEX OF LEADING INDICATORS
101.7
0.0%
-6.5%
INDEX
INDEX
130
130
125
125
120
120
115
115
110
110
105
105
100
100
95
95
90
90
85
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
GERALD R 85 RD LIBRARY
6 OCTOBER 1975
The Composite Index of Leading Indicators leveled off in
August, remaining at 101.7.
From March to July, the Index had advanced 11.5 percent.
July Index was revised upward to 101.7, 2.8 percent above
the June figure.
FORD & LIBRARY
A.11.1 - Selected Components of Composite Index
Vendor Performance
Companies Reporting Slower Deliveries
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
VENDOR PERFORMANCE
36
20.0%
-47.1%
PERCENT
PERCENT
95
95
85
85
75
75
65
65
55
55
45
45
35
35
25
25
15
15
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
Index of Stock Prices - 500 Common Stocks
(1941-43-10)
THIS
CHANGE
CHANGE
PERIOD
LAST PER.
YEAR AGO
INDEX OF STOCK PRICES
85.71
-7.3%
12.7%
INDEX
INDEX
125
125
115
115
105
105
95
95
85
85
75
75
65
65
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
WALD LIBRARY 04
6 OCTOBER 1975
Of the eleven series available, five were positive, five posted
declines, and one was unchanged.
The largest positive contributing series was Vendor Performance
(companies reporting slower deliveries).
Increased 20 percent to a rate of 36, highest level since
October.
A 7.3 percent decline in Stock Prices had the largest negative
impact.
Prior to this month's slump, Stock Prices had increased
38 percent since December.
FORD is LIBRAR GERALD
B.8.2 - Total Park Visitation
National Park System
Number of Visits,
Month of July
1973
34,045
1974
34,660
1975
39,078
Number of Visits,
January through July
1973
127,590
1974
121,880
1975
137,800
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Millions of Visits
Source: National Park Service
6 October 1975
FORD is LIBRARY OFRALD
For the first 7 months of 1975 total National Park System
visitation was up 13 percent over the first 7 months of 1974
and up 8 percent from the same period of 1973.
Total visitation was down during the first seven months of
1974 compared to 1973, showing effects of the oil embargo
and gasoline prices during the winter.
By the month of July, however, National Park area
visitation showed an increase over July of 1973.
Visits to park areas during July of this year passed 39 million,
up nearly 13 percent from last year, and almost 15 percent from
July 1973.
FORD : LIBRARY GERALD