Ask the Scholar

Document scope · 1 page
doc
Scholar
Ask about this object, its catalog metadata, its source description, or the page inventory. For page-specific OCR and visual context, open one of the page chats.

Scholar Source Context

Document identity
localId
1525334
label
USSR - State Department Telegrams: To SECSTATE - NODIS (11)
core
doc
dtoType
document
pageCount
1
Source metadata
id
1525334
contentType
document
title
USSR - State Department Telegrams: To SECSTATE - NODIS (11)
collections
Presidential Country Files for Europe and Canada (Ford Administration)
Europe and Canada Country Files
subjects
China
Soviet Union
Angola
Portugal
Helsinki Agreement, 1975
Ambassadors
Arms control
United States-Soviet relations
Petroleum
Middle East conflicts
Grain sales
imageCount
1
hasImages
yes
source
import
hasTranscription
no
Source extras
naId
1525334
coverageEndDate
logicalDate
1976-03-31
month
3
year
1976
coverageStartDate
logicalDate
1975-11-01
month
11
year
1975
levelOfDescription
fileUnit
recordType
description
ocrSource
nara-archive
Single page context
seq
1
pageIndex
0
type
document
mediaId
8104dc826dc8236d
ocrText
The original documents are located in Box 21, folder "USSR - State Department Telegrams: To SECSTATE - NODIS (11)" of the NSA. Presidential Country Files for Europe and Canada at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Copyright Notice The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Gerald Ford donated to the United States of America his copyrights in all of his unpublished writings in National Archives collections. Works prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public domain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to remain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid copyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Digitized from Box 21 of NSA. Presidential Country Files for Europe and Canada at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library DIPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM -8 NOY 752 15 CONF IDE INL NOD57 ACTION 002025 COPY PAGE E1 MOSCOW 16100 01 OF 03 081434Z 42 ACTION NODS-00 INFO OCT-01 150-00 /001 W 063230 P #813137 MDV 75 Fn AMERGASESY MOSCOM TO SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 6559 C 0 N F I E I A SECTION 1 OF 3 MOSCOW 16160 NODIS E.O. 116521 GDS TAGS: PEUR, UR, us SUBJECT: THE CURRENT SOVIET VIEW OF US-SOVIET RELATIONS REF: STATE 261650 1. SUMMARY. THERE HAS BEEN A DISTINCT COOLING IN SOVIET MEDIA TREATMENT OF THE U.S. IN THE PAST SEVERAL MONTHS, COUPLED WITH GREATER EMPHASIS ON SQVIFT RELATIONS WITH THE SOCIALIST CAMP AND 04 MOSCOWIS CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE WORLD "PROGRESSIVE" AND "NATIONAL LIBERATION" MOVEMENTS. ALTHOUGH THERE ARE OTHER POSSIBLE EXPLANATIONS, WE ATTRIBUTE THIS LARGELY TO SOVIET DISAPPOINTMENT AT RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE INTERNATION AND BILATERAL SPHERES, INCLUDING MOST NOTABLY WESTERN BACKLASH ON CSCE, EXCLUSION FROM LATEST MIDDLE EAST DISERSAGEMENT, AND DELAY IN CONVERTING VLADIVOSTOR AGREEMENT INTO SALTII THEATY. IF WE ARE INDEED IN 4 PRESUCCESSION PHASE, THEN PREZHNEVIS UPCORING DEMISE MIGHT ALSO HAVE PLAYED A RULE IN THIS CHANGED EMPHASIS, BUT WE SEE NO CLEAR EVIDENCE TO SUPPORT SUCH A sup- POSITION. WHAT IS EVIDENT TO US 15 THAT THE SOVIETS ARE UNDERTAIN ABOUT CURRENT DEVELOPMENTS IN THE U.S.F APPREHENSIVE ABOUT KHAT THEY COMSIDER TO PE THE GROWING CHCRUS OF ANTI ROVIET AND ANTI-OFTENTE SENTIMENTS PEING EXPRESSED THERE, AND MORRIED ABOUT THE IDPACT WHICH willi ELECTION CAMPAIGN MAY HAVE ON rume U.S. SOVIET RELATIONS. A BAL II AGREEMENT AND & WASHINGTON a SUMMIT NOULD, HOWEVER, BRING RELATIONS BACK TO A MORE EVEN KEEL. IF BREZRNEV IS TO MAKE THE THIP TU WASHINGTON, THIS WOULD IMPLY AN INTENTION TO CONTINUE HIM IM POWER FOR GERALD CONE IOF 117 IAL GG 8/1/01. NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED TELEGRAM STATES of CONF IDEN IAL PAGE 02 MOSCOW 16103 01 OF 03 0814342 some TAIME AFTER A MEETING, SINCE A LAME DUCK SUMMIT WOULD MAKE LITTLE SENSE FROM THE SUVIET POINT OF VIER. IN ANY CASE, WE MAY WELL BE MOVING INTO A PERIOD OF UNCERTAINTY, WHICH MIGHT ALSO IN THE LONG RUN TURN OUT TO BE A PERIOD OF HISTORIC OPPORTUNITY. END SUMMARY. 2. THE MEDIA. WE DETECT A PERCEPTIBLE COOLING OVER THE PAST SEVERAL MONTHS IN THE RELATIVE STRESS IN THE SOVIET MEDIA ON THE INFORTANCE OF DETENTE AND U.S.- SOVIET RELATIONS. CONCOMMITANTLY, HEAVY COVERAGE OF RECENT SOVIET EFFORTS TO CONSOLIDATE THEIR POSITION WITHIN "THE SOCIALIST CAMP" HAS BEEN MARKED. IN ADDITION, MORE EMPHASIS HAS BEEN PLACED ON THE KREMLINIS SUPPORT FOR "NATIONAL LIBERATION" MOVEMENTS AND as THE SIGNIFICANCE OF THE SOVIET CONTRIPUTION TO SUCH NOVENENTS. THE SOVIETS' PUBLIC POSITION TOWARD THE MIDDLE EAST HAS RECEPTLY TOUGHENED AND CRITICISM OF THE U.S. HOLE THERE, BOTH IMPLICIT AND EXPLICIT, HAS INCREASED. TREATMENT TIF CHINA, ALWAYS HARD, HAS GUTTEN HARDER. THE FIGHTING IN ANGULA HAS OCCASIONED INCREASINGLY FREQUENT CHARGES OF U.S.-CHINESE COLLUSION AS HAVE VARIOUS STATEMENTS BY CHINESE LEADERS THAT MOSCOW 1S LESS TRUSTWORTHY THAN WASHINGTON. IMPLICIT CONTRAST HAS BEEN DRAWN BETWEEN THE SECRETARY'S TRIP TO PEKING AS COMPARED WITH THAT OF GERMAN CHANGELLOR SCHNIDT IN THAT SCHMIDT'S DEFENSE OF DETENTE ARAINST CHINESE ATTACKS WAS JUXTAPOSED AGAINST WHAT THE LOCAL MEDIA PORTRAYED AS THE SECRETARY'S SILENCE ON THIS SUBJECT. COVERAGE CF THE U.S. ITSELF, TEMPORARILY BRIGHTENED BY APOLLO-SOYUZ AND THE ARTRUNAUTS! TRIPS, HAS RECENTLY TENDED MORE AND MORE TO DIGGING AND JAGUING IN INNUMERABLE PETTY WAYS. 3. WHILE DETENTE WITH THE WEST RETAINS ITS THEORETICAL PRIMACY, EXPRESSION OF SUPPORT FOR IT IS NOW USUALLY FORD ACCOMPANIED BY WORRIED SORTIES AGAINST DETENJE'S & WESTERN ENEMIES DR THEIR CHINESE HELPHATES. THE DRUNSEATING FOR "MILITARY DETENTE" AS A NEXT STEP IN The PROCESS, INTEMDED AS 4 MAJOR POST HELSINKI GERALD PROPAGANDA THEME, HAS BEEN BROUGHT UP SHORT BY THE UNCXPLCTED BACKLASH AGAINST CSCE. TREATMENT OF CSCE CONF NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT OF state Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM CONFIDENTIAL PAGE 03 MOSCOW 16100 01 OF 03 0814342 ITSELF HAS TURNED CONSISTENTLY DEFENSIVE AND SOMETIMES SURLY. DETENTE IS NOW USUALLY PAIRED WITH THE NEED FOR ATTENTION TO THE "WORLD SOCIALIST SYSTEM" AND THE "WORLD COMMUNIST AND WORKERS' MOVEMENT." 4; 4 THE TROUBLED GISCARD VISIT RECEIVED ONLY MODERATE AND CORRECT MEDIA TREATMENT AND WAS FAR OVERSHADOWED BY THE PLAY GIVEN TO HONECKER AND LE DUAN. EVEN HUMBARIAN PREMIER LAZAR LOOKED GOOD IN GISCARD'S WAKE. THE RECEPTION FOR LE DUAN WAS LAVISH IN FTS SYN- SOLIZATION OF THE SOVIET CONTRIBUTION TO "PROGRESSIVE" FORCES AS WELL AS NATIONAL LIBERATION NOVEMENTS EVERYWHERE. DURING THE VISIT THE PAGES OF PRAVUA WERE OPENED TW THE KIND OF ANTI-AMERICAN STATEMENTS BY LE DUAN THAT HE HAVE NOT SEEN IN ThE SOVIET PRESS IN SEVERAL YEARS. DETEATE EMERGED A VERY POOR SISTER IN THE PROCESS. 5. ON THI: OTHER HAND, THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE NOTICEABLE SLACKENING OF SOVIET LIP SERVICE TO THE OVERALL CONCEPT OF DETENTE. THE PEACE POLICY OF THE 24TH CONGRESS IS STILL SINGLED OUT AS A LANDMARK. VARIOUS STATE- MENTS BY U.S. GOVERNMENT LEADERS AND OTHER AMERICANS ON THE IMPORTANCE OF U.S.- SOVIET RELATIONS HAVE RECEIVED PROMINENT SPACE IN THE PAGES OF THE CENTRAL PRESS. DETENTE, THE KREPLIN CONTINUES TO MAINTAIN, BUT IN A MORE TROUBLED TONE, MUST BE HADE "IRROVERSIBLE", (PERHAPS SYMBOLIC OF THE IMPORTANCE STILL ACCORDED TO U.S. SOVIET RELATIONS IS THE RECENT ELEVATION OF KORNIYENKO. MEAD OF THE USA DIVISION OF THE FOREIGN HIDISTRY, TO THE RANK OF DEPUTY FOREIGN MINISTER). S FORD & CONFIDENTIAL GERALD NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DIPARTMENT OF D STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM NODES PAGE 01 MOSCOW 16100 02 OF 03 081514Z 45 ACTION 0005-86 INFO OCT-91 IS0-00 1002 N 063434 F 2813137 NOV 75 FM ANEMHASET MOSCOW TO SECRETE WASHDC PRIORITY 6560 C 0 11 F T 40 A SECTION 2 OF 3 MOSCOW 16109 NODIS 6. DIRECT CRITICISM OF THE U.S.IN THE PRESS HAS EXTENSED BEYOND THE USUAL SNIPING AT THE ILLS OF AMERICAN SOCIETY UNERPLOYMENT, CRIME, RACIAL PROBLEMS, ETC. -- TO IMELUCE FUNDAMENTAL QUESTIONS REGARDING Titt INHERENT STRENGTH OF "ANTI-SOVIET" POLITICAL FORCES RITHIN THE UNITED STATES. IN PUBLIC AND PRIVATE THE SOVIETS HAVE BEEN POINTING KITH CONCERN AT WHATTHEY SLE AS A RISING CHORUS OF UNJUSTIFIABLE ANTI-SOVIET CRITICISM. THEY ARE WORRIED AT THE EFFECT SUCH OPITICISM MAY HAVE OK DISARBAMENT NEGOTIATIONS AND DETENTE AS À WHOLE AND FEAM THAT OUR UPCOMING ELECTION CAMPAIGN COULD LEAD TO A FURTHER EXACERSATION OF RELATIONS, WHILE SUCH STATEMENTS ARE AT LEAST IN PART SELF-SERVING, THEY HAVE BECOME SO FREQUENT AND $0 POINTED THAT THEY RAISE LEGITIMATE RUESTIONS AS TO WHETHER WE MAY BE IN FOR A SWITCH IN EMPHASIS IN SOVIET PULICY. THIS COULD CONCEIVARLY BE SEEN AS PART OF : PERIOD OF UNCERTAINTY PRECEDING BREZHNEV'S DEPARTURE FOR VALHALLA, ALTHOUGH THE EVIDENCE IS FAR FROM CLEAR ON THIS. 7. OUR OKN VIEW, HONEVER, IS THAT THE CHANGE OF EMPHASIS DESCRIBED ABOVE HAS BEEN LARGELY OFTERMINED F.Y CONCRETE DEVELOPMENTS IN THE INTERNATIONAL SPHERE IN RECENT MONTHS. THE OVERALL FOREIGN POLICY LINE DOES NOT SEET. TO US TO BE IN QUESTION. SUSLOV LECTURED THE FORD SENATORS 011 IT THIS SUMMER BROGYKO GAVE A CLEAR & INDICATION OF THE LEADERSHIP'S INTENTION TO WRITE IT GERALD LIBRARY GONE NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY INFORMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM IDENTIAL PAGE 02 MOSCOW 16100 02 OF 03 0815142 INTO THE RECORD OF THE 25TH CONGRESS 1N HIS SEPTEMBER KOMMONIST ARTICLE; BREZHNEV REAFFIRMED IT AT HELSINRI AND IN HIS TOAST TO GISCARD OCTOBER 15; AND THE MEDIA PROMOTE IT HITH INCESSANT VIGOR. THE IMPORTANCE OF THIS "GENERAL LINE" IN THIS HIERAHCHICAL AND BUREAUCRATIC SUCIETY SHOULD NOT BE UNDERESTIMATED. G. A LIST OF SOVIET GRIEVANCES. BUT BREZHWEV'S DISAPPOINT- MENT AT THE WAY THINGS KLVE MORKED OUT SINCE HELSINKI SEEMS APPARENT. HE CLEARLY HAD 4 DUAL-TRACK MASTER PLAN WHICH CALLED FOR CONCENTRATION AFTER HELSINKI ON MILITARY DETENTE IN PUST-CSCE EVIET RELATIONS MITH THE WEST AND, SIMULTANEOUSLY, DEVOTION OF MORE TIME TO CEMENTING RELATIONS WITHIN THE COMMUNIST NOVEMENT. HIS TIMETABLE CALLED FOR RUNNING UP TO THE 256H CONGRESS ALONG BOTH FOREIGN POLICY TRACKS--I.E., HE HOPED TO SYNSOLIZE THE TRIUMPH OF HIS "PEACE PLICY" BY HAVING SUCCESSFULLY ACHIEVED A SALT AGREEMENT AND A WASHINGTON SUMMIT, ON THE ONE HAND, AS HELL AS All ECPC CONFERENCE ON THE OTHER. WHATEVER SUCCESS THE SOVIETS HAVE MAD, HOPEVER, HAS THUS FAR ONLY BEEN ALONG ONE OF THESE TRACKS. FOR THIS THEY LARGELY BLAME THE US AND THE WEST LUROPEANS, WHOM THEY SEE AS HAVING SABOTAGED THE ERA OF GOOD FEELING THAT WAS TO HAVE BEEN USHERED IN AFTER HELSINKI, A LIST OF SDVIET GRIEVANCES *DOLD INCLUDE A. CACE BACKLASH. FROM THE VERY BEGINNING, THE SOVIETS RERE UNEASY ABOUT THE FORD ADMINISTRATION AND THIS UREASINESS HAS BEEN FED AND COMPOUNDED BY THNEE MAJUS SURPRISES DURING THE PAST YEAR. THE FIRST WAS THE TOTALLY UNEXPECTED WAVE OF CRITICISM IN THE UnSo AGAINST THE VLADIVOSTUK AGREEMENT. THE SECOND AS THE FAILURE OF THE "VLADIVOSTOK SPIRIT" TO HAVE ANY APPRECIABLE IMPACT ON THE TRADE/EMIGRATION IMPASSE. THE THIRD HAS BEEN THE UNEXPECTED BACKLASH AGAINST CSCE IN THE UNITED STATES Airl) VESTERN EUROPE AND THE CONSEQUENT BASIC DUESTIONING OF THE VALUE OF DETENTE BY MORE AND MORE PEOPLE WITHIN AMERICAN SOCIETY. IN ANY CASE, THIS POST-CSCE HACKLASH HAS CLEARLY THROWN A GORKEYWRENCH INTO THE SOVIET SCENARIO WHICH CALLED FOR A TSIUMPHAL CSCE CULMINATION LEADING UP TO AN EQUALLY TRIUMPHAL HEAPFIRMATION OF DETENTE AT THE 25TH CONGRESS. FORD & P. THE MIDDLE EAST. THE SOVIETS ARE ALSO DISTURSED THAT GERALD LIBRARY CONFIDENTIAL NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM CONFIDENTIAL PAGE 03 MOSCOW 16100 02 OF 03 0815142 THEY HAVE BEEN FROZEN OUT OF THE LATEST PEACE AGREEMENT IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND HAVE COMPLAINED THAT THEY ARE NOT PEING CUT INTO THE ACTION -- AS THE THINK THEY SHOULD BE WITHIN THE FRAHEWORK OF A DETENTE RELATIONSHIP -- IN WHAT THEY CONSIDER TO BE A VITAL AREA. THE DIRECT ATTACKS BY SADAT IMPUGNING SOVIET MUTIFVS AND DISPARAGING THEIR AID WERE CLEARLY REGARDED HERE AS A CHALLENGE. THE SOVIFTS MAY WELL FEEL THAT SADAT'S DISTRUSSING BAHBS COULD PERWARS HAVE BEEN AVOIDED IF ASHINGTON HAD INFORMED THE EGYPTIAN PRESIDENT THAT SUCH BLATANT ANTI-SOVIET BAITING WOULD BE UNWISE. C. PORTUGAL, HACKLES HAVE ALSO BEEN RAISED IN THE KREMLIM RY CONSISTENT ALLEGATIONS IN THE WEST THAT THE SUVIETS HAVE BEEN VIOLATING THE RULE? OF DETENTE BY THEIR ACTIONS IN PORTUGAL. MOSCORTS VIEW IS THAT, ON THE CONTRANY, IT HAR REF OPERATING KITHIN DETENTE GUIDELINES AND HAS BEEN DOING LITTLE KHICH COULD BE DESCRIBED HONESTLY AS DIRECT INTERFERENCE IN LISBONIS INTERNAL AFFAIRS OR AS IMPERILLING DETENTE. POLITICAL AND FINANCIAL SUPPORT TO A POREIGN LP IS, IN THEIR VIEW, PERFECTLY LEGITIMATE, AND THEY PROBABLY CONCEDE OURRIGHT TO DD THE SAME IN RESPECT TO OUR FRIENDS, EVEN THOUGH THE LATTER WOULD BE CONSIDERED GRIST FOR THE PROPAGANDA MILL.) D. CHINA. THE SOVIETS PROBABLY NOR REGARD THEIR RELATIONS WITH CHINA AND ITS EFFECT THROUGHOUT THE COMMUNIST AND THIRD WORLD AS THEIR MOST IMPORTANT FOREIGN POLICY PROBLEM. THEY ARE DEEPLY WORRIED THAT HE MAY BE MANEUVERING TO HAVE CHINA BECOME ALMOST AN ALLY OF THE U.S. THE SOVIETS FEEL THAT AT THE VERY LEAST 4 DETENTE RELATIONSHIP SHOULD ENSURE EQUAL TREATMENT OF NOSCOW AND PEKING. THEY ARE THEREFORE PROBABLY DISTURBED AT THE SECRETARY'S RECENT VISIT TO CHINA AND THE PRESIDENT'S UPCOMING ONE. E. BILATERAL IRRITANTS. SOVIET AGRICULTURAL DIFFICULTIES HAVE UNDORTEOLY CAUSED THEM INTERNAL POLITICAL PROBLEMS, FORD is TESTIFIED TO BY THEIR FAILURE TO PUBLICIZE THE LONG- & TEPM GRAJN AGREEMENT WITH THE U.S. OUR ATTEMPTS TO USF THIS CONFIDENTIAL GERALD LIBRARY GRAIN DEAL AS A LEVER TO EXTRACT SIGNIFICANT PRICE CON- NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT or STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM CONE IDENTIAL PAGE or MOSCOW 16103 02 OF 03 0815142 CESSTONS 0% SOVIET OIL, ALTHOUGH UNDERSTANDABLE, WAS UNDOURTEDLY THE SHAJECT OF HEATED POLITBURO DISCUSSION, AND MAY 1 YE RESULTED IN SOME REAL RESENTMENT. A WHOLE RANGE OF OTHER BILATERAL IRRITANTS -- SOMETIMES PETTY, SOMETIMES LESS so -- CONTINUE TO TROUBLE THE SOVIETS. AMONG THEM ARE UIFFICULTIES REGARDING VISAS, SOME OF WHICH THE SOVIETS hAVE REAL DIFFICULTY IN UNDERSTANDING. OUR FAILURE TO ALLON A CPSU DELEGATION TO ATTEND THE AMERICAN COMMUNIST PARTY CONGRESS, FOR EXAMPLE, DESPITE PLEAS AT VERY HIGH LEVELS, UNDOUNTERLY GALLED THE SOVIETS. EQUALLY IMPORTANT IN THIS REGARD HGS BEEN OUR FAILURE TO MOVE AHEAD ON CONSTRUCTION OF BOTH EMBASSY PROJECTS. S FORD LIBHAR & 07VU39 CONFIDENTIAL NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED AMERICA TELEGRAM STATES OF COLEIDENTS N00507 PAGE 01 MOSCOW 16100 03 OF 63 6815462 45 ACTION NODS-00 INFO OCT-01 ISO-00 /001 W 063629 P 0813137 MOV 75 FM AMERGASSY MOSCOW TO SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 6561 G 0 N F I 0 11: H T H A L SECTION 3 OF 3 MOSCOW 16100 NODIS F. SALT AND MGFR. MOST IMPORTANT OF ALL, THE EXPECTED PROGRESS IN S.-SOVIET DISARMAMENT NEGOTIATIONS, WHICH was INTENDED TO MOVE DETENTE ALONG AND BRING BREZHNEV TO WASHINGTON IN TRIUMPH, HAS NOT BEEN FORTHCOLING. THE SOVIETS CONSIDER THAT THEY HAVE MADE LARGE CONCESSIONS AT SALT ON VERIFICATION WHICH HAVE BEEN WEITHER MATCHED NOR EVEN SUITABLY RECOGNIZED BY THE U.S. (WE CAN CONCEIVE OF NO SOVIET OFFICIALS WITH ANY VOICE IN THESE MATTERS, NO MATTER HOK GREAT HIS PERSONAL COMMITMENT TO DETENTE, WHO WOULD RECOMMEND THAT THE USSR SHOULD AGREE THAT LONG-RANGE CRUISE MISSILES SHOULD NOT DE CONSIDERED STRATEGIC WEARONS OR THAT THE BACKFIRE BOMBER SHOULD BE WITHIN THE VLADIVOSTOK CEILING.) IN ADDITION, THE EXPECTED OFFER OF OPTION TII IN MBER HAS NOT TAKEN PLACE. WHILE SOVIET COMPLAINTS ABOUT LACK OF PROGRESS I'd THESF MATTERS ARE CLEARLY SELF-SERVING, WE SUSPECT THAT MOSCOS IN FACT STRONGLY RESENTS BEING DRIVEN UP AGAINST ITS OWN CONGRESS DEADLINE FY ITS U.S. NEGOTIATING PARTNER. THE OTHER SOVIET GRIEVANCES, HOWEVER, PALL IN IMPORTANCE AS CORPARED TO THE ACHIEVEMENT OF A SECOND SSL AGREEMENT AND A SUCCESSFUL WASHINGTON SUMMIT. ACHIEVEMENT OF NOTH THESE OBJECTIVES NOULD ALMOST CERTAINLY RESTORE U. S. SOVIET RELATIONS TO AN EVEN KEEL. FORD 9. THE PARTY CONGRESS. ANOTHER FACTOR EXPLAINING INCREASING SOVIET PUBLIC COOLNESS TOWARD THE UNITED LIBRARY STATES IS THE PARTY CONGRESS ITSELF. ON PAST CONE INL NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT or STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM CONF IDENT IAL PAGE $2 MOSCOW 16100 03 OF 03 0815462 PERFORMANCE IT WAS PREDICTABLE THAT THE SOVIETS WOULD PAY MORE ITTENTION TO CONSOLIDATING AND GARNERING SUPPORT IN THE WORLD COMMUNIST MOVEMENT AS THEY PREPARED FOR THE CONGRESS. (THE HOMESTRETCH OF THE EUROPEAN COMMUNIST PARTY CONFERENCE WOULD ALSO PROBABLY HAVE PALIGED THEM TO DO so, EVEN IN THE ARGENCE OF ANY OTHER FACTON.) IN THE PERIOD LEADING OF TO THE CONGRESS WE EXPECT TO SEE A NARROWING SOVIET FUCUS ON A SHRINKING NUMBER OF HIGH PRIORITY AREA5, WITH SOVIET DECISION-MAKING EFFICIENCY DECLINING AS THE CONGRESS APPROACHES. SUCH a FREEZING OF THE OVERALL FOREIGN POLICY PROCESS KILL PROBABLY BE HEIGHTENED IF WE ARE INDRED IN A PRESUCCESSION PERIOD. AS POSTULATED IN REFTEL. 10. THE CREZHNEV FACTOR. ALTHOUGH WE HAVE BEEN IMPRESSED BY AT LEAST BOME OF THE EVIDENCE ADDUCED IN REFIEL CA FULLER EXPOSITION or OUR VIEWS WILL FULLOW BY SEPTEL), OUTWARD INDICATORS WERE ARE THAT BREZHNEV REMAINS NUMBER ONE FOR THE PRESENT. HUGE PHOTOS OF HIM HAVE BEEN MOUNTED ALL OVEH MJ8C06, FOR EXAMPLE, AS PART OF THE PREPARATION FOR THE 58TH OCTOBER AND HE CONTINUES TO RECEIVE DAILY ENCONIUMS IN ALL MEDIA. EVEN IF HE ,IS SHORTLY TO STEP DOWN FROM THE TOP SPOT, WE NEGAIN CONVINCED IT WOULD BE FOR HEALTH RATHER THAN FOR POLITICAL REASONS. HOWEVER, HIS RENOVAL FRUX THE SCENE WOULD OBVIOUSLY COMPLICATE PLANS FOR THE WASHINGTON SUMMIT AS WELL AS FOR THE PARTY CONGRESS ITSELF. ON NEITHER OCCASION WOULD IT BE USEFUL FOR THE CPSU TO HAVE A LAME DUCK PRESIDING AND MAKING VITAL DECISIONS. ME THEREFORE EXPECT THAT AT THE NEXT CPSU/CC PLENTH, PRESURABLY DECEMBER 1, THE SITUATION MSY BE SOMEWHAT CLARIFIED BY AMOUNCEMENT OF THE MAIN SPEAKER AT THE CONGRESS AND ITS AGENDA. THIS SHOULD BE A FIRM INDICATOR OF GREZHNEVIS PLANS, OR, CONCEIVABLY, THE PLANS BEING MADE BY OTHERS FOR BREZHNEV. 11. IN ANY CASE, ALTHOUGH THERE ARE DIFFERENCES OF NUANCE (SUSLOV AND PODGORNY, FOR EXAMPLE, SEEM TO TAKE A TOUGHER LIME THAN OTHERS TOWARD THE VALUE TO HE FORD DERIVED FROM DETENTE), NE HAVE THUS FAR DISCERNED NO & IDENTIFIABLE POLICY DIFFERENCES WITHIN THE POLITBURO WHICH WOULD SIGNIFY A LEADERSHIP STRUGGLE AND THEREFORE GERALD LIBRARY CONFIDENTIAL NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WJTHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DIPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State AMERICA TELEGRAM STATES OF CONF IDENTIAL PAGE 33 MOSCOW 16100 03 OF B3 0815462 CONTINUE TO ASSUME THAT IF BREZHNEV IS REPLACED FOR HEALTH REASONS IT WILL BF BY A COLLEGIUM OF PAPTY ELI 78 CONDISTING OF KIRILENRO, POOGORNY, KOSYGIN AND SUSLOV, RATHER THAN BY A YOUNDER LEADLR. WE ALSO CONTINUE TO BELIEVE THAT THERE HOULD BE 4 GOOD POSSIBILITY OF BREANWFY MOVING INTO SOME HOURDARY POSITION AS p. FACE-SAVING SAVING DEVICE WHEN THE TIME COMES FOR HIM TO STEP DOWN FROM OFFICE BUT THAT IF A REAL SHAKEUP TS IN STORE WE WOULD PRODABLY HAVE HAD SOME INKLING OF IT BY THIS TIME. In ANY CASE, HE HAS BAD A BUSY OCTOBER, AND THE SCHEDULE SHAPING UP FOR THE BALANCE of THE YEAR PROMISES TO BE EQUALLY BUSY (THE CENA KEFTING, THE POLISH CONGRESS OF DECEMBER 8, THE FIRST CUBAN CONGRESS AND POSSIBLY AN ECPO). HIS STAMINA, THEREFORE, IS LIKELY TO BL SUBJECTED TO A SEVERE TEST. 12. FUTURE PROSPECTS. IN THE CONTEXT OF OVERALL US-SOVIET RELATIONS, A FADING ANAY OF BREZHWEV AND HIS IMPLUENCE WOULD ALMOST CERTAINLY RESULT IN INCREASING CAUTION an THE PART OF THE SOVIET INTERAUCRACY DURING AN INTERIM PERIOD. TESTED AND THIED SOVIET BUREAUCRATS BOULD UNDOUBTEDLY WAIT TU SEE WHICH WAY THE WIND WAS BLOWING BEFORE MAKING LONG-TERM COMMITMENTS FOR WHICH THEY ROULD BE HEI.D ACCOUNTABLE LATER. THERE NOULD ALSO PROBABLY BR A MARKED ORDURACY WITHIN THE SOVIET BURRAUCRACY, WHICH MOULD RESIST SUBSTANTIVE CONCESSIONS DESIGNED TO ENHANCE THE HISTORIC IMPORTANCE OF A LAME DUCK. 13. IN FACT, WE HAVE NOTED JUST SUCH A MARGINAL, BUT STILL PERCEPTIBLE, CHANGE IN OUR RECENT CONTACTS WITH THE SOVIET BUREAUCRACY ON A SERTES OF MATTERS - MOST MINOR m OVER THE PAST SEVERAL WEEKS. DECISIONMARING, NURMALLY TORPID AT BEST, SEEMS TO BR EVEN SLOVER THAN USUAL AND IN SOME CASES WE HAVE RECEIVED NEGATIVE REFLIES WHEN WE EXPECTED POSITIVE ONES. THESE PHENOMENA COULD HE SATISFACTORILY EXPLAIMED AWAY AS HAVING NO SPECIAL SIGNIFICANCE TN AND OF THEMSELVES. ALTERNATIVELY, THEY COULD of ATTRIBUTED TO L SLIGHT COULING OF US-SOVIET RELATIONS, TO PRE-COMGRESS RIGOR NORT15, OR PERHAPS TO THE FACT THAT bit ARE IN 4 PRE-SUCCESSION PERIOD. WHILE ME SEEM FORD TO SE SOMEWAY LESS CONVINCED THAN THE DEPARTMENT THAT THE LAST HURRAH IS INCEDIATELY UPON US AND STRONGLY DOUBT THAT - GENERAL BEWARD 1444917 : DOWN OR MICHT "E MDVED UNT EVER REFURE THE CONGRESS, STEPPING BREZHNEY'S SECRETARY MIGHT PE CONF IDC OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM CONF PAGE 04 MOSCOW 16100 03 OF 03 081546Z AGE AND PHYSICAL CONDITION MAKE IT PROBABLE THAT 1976, HIS 76Tm YEAR, WILL BE HIS LAST IN POWER. THUS, EVEN IF IE DANCE OF SUCCESSION HAS NOT YET ACTUALLY BEGUN, ALL THE DANCERS CAN HEAR THE BUSIC PLAYING JUST OUTSIDE T.F. ROOM. THIS LENDS EVEN COSE IMPORTANCE, WE HOULD ARGUE, TO ACRIEVING A SATISFACTORY SAL AGREEMENT AND TO ARRANGING A SUCCESSFUL MASHINGTON SUMMIT PRILL THIS CURRENT LEADERSHIP IS IN A POSITION TO IMPLUENCE THE NEXT ONE, AND THE 25TH CPGU CONGRESS MAY BE CRUCIAL IN THIS RESPECT. 14, WF. ARE, IN ANY CASE, CLEARLY MOVING INTO A TIME OF TRANSITION. LINE ALL SUCH PERIODS, IT COULD EE ONE OF HISTORIC OPPORTUNITY. THUS, ARBATOVIS METAPHOR (MOSCOM 15952) THAT WE HAVE NOW REACHED 4 TIME WHFU A "WINDOW" MAY BE BRIEFLY OPENING IN OUR RELATIONS M 19 JUST AS h WINOOW OPENS FOR L PLANETARY PROBE AND THEN CLOSES AGAIN-MAY BF ENTIRELY APT. MATLOCK FORD H GERALD LUBRARY CONF NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY ACTION COPY DEPARTMENT OF STATE 10 DEC752 07 5 002476 Department of State LINE SECRET N00848 TELEGRAM STATES OF PAGE 01 MOSCOW 17689 01 OF 02 100719Z 11 ACTION NODS-00 COPY / OF 15 COPIES INFO OCT-01 ISD-00 1001 W 094357 R 100519Z DEC 75 FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW TO SECSTATE WASHDC 7608 SECRE 4 SECTION 1 OF 2 MOSCOW 17609 NODIS FOR THE SECRETARY E.O. 11652: GDS TAGS: UR. US, PFOR SUBJECT: THE MOOD IN MOSCOW REF: MOSCOW 17607 1. IN VIEW OF OUR MEETING IN LONDON AND, MORE IMPORTANT, YOUR POSSIBLE VISIT TO MOSCOW, IT MAY BE APPROPRIATE TO CONVEY OUR THOUGHTS ON SOME OF THE PROBLEMS YOU WILL BE DEALING WITH, SINCE YOU SAW GROMYKO IN SEPTEMBER, THE SOVIETS HAVE RUN INTO UNEXPECTEDLY HEAVY WEATHER IN BOTH DOMESTIC AND, TO A LESSER EXTENT, FOREIGN POLICY. THESE SETBACKS HAVE, IN ONE SENSE, INCREASED THE SOVIET INCENTIVE TO KEEP THE RELATIONSHIP WITH THE us ON TRACK. AT THE SAME TIME, HOWEVER, THEY MAY HAVE LIMITED THE FLEXIBILITY OF THE SOVIET LEADERSHIP IN MAKING THE NECESSARY COMPROMISES TO 00 SO. 2. OVER THE PAST THREE MONTHS THE SOVIET LEADERSHIP HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY PREOCCUPIED WITH PREPARATIONS FOR THEIR CONGRESS IN FEBRUARY. IT HAS BEEN CLEAR THAT BREZHNEV WISHED TO MAKE THIS CONGRESS A TRIUMPHANT RATIFICATION OF A DECADE OF SUCCESSFUL LEADERSHIP. BUT THE SECOND HARVEST DISASTER IN A FOUR YEAR PERIOD WILL UNQUESTIONABLY CAST A PALL OVER DOMESTIC PROSPECTS AND THE CONGRESS THEREFORE PROMISES TO BE HUMDRUM AFFAIR AT BEST. WHILE THE LEADERSHIP WILL CLAIM AN UNBROKEN RECORD OF DOMESTIC ACHIEVEMENT MARRED BY UNAVOIDABLE "NATURAL DISASTERS," THE ACTUAL STATE CF THE SEPRET FOHD 66 8/1/01 GERALO LIBRARY NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED OF THE TELEGRAM STATES SECRET PAGE 02 MOSCOW 17509 01 OF 02 100,197 ECONOMY AND THE MOOD OF THE COUNTRY IS FAR FROM EXUBERANT (REFTEL), S CONSEQUENTLY, THE SOVIET LEADERS MUST RUN ON THEIR FOREIGN POLICY RECORD EVEN MORE THAN BEFORE AND HERE TOO THERE IS A MIXED PICTURE'. 3, AT LEAST PARTLY IN PREPARATION FOR THE CONGRESS, THE SOVIETS HAVE BEEN GIVING MORE TIME AND ATTENTION TO CONSOLIDATING THE "SOCIALIST CAMP" AND PRESSING THEIR INFLUENCE IN THE THIRD WORLD. THE POST-HELSINKI SERIES N OF BILATERAL SUMMITS WITH WESTERN LEADERS--KEKKONEN, COSTA GOMES, GISCARD, SCHEEL, LEONE HAS BEEN MATCHED BY AN EVEN SPLASHIER SERIES OF MEETINGS WITH MEMBERS OF THEIR OWN CLUB--HONECKER, LAZAR, LE DUAN, HUSAK AND NOW GIEREK AND OTHERS AT THE POLISH CP CONGRESS. UPCOMING PARTY CONGRESSES IN HAVANA AND ELSEWHERE, AS WELL AS SOVIET EFFORTS TO ENGINEER A EUROPEAN COMMUNIST PARTY CONFERENCE AND POSSIBLY ALSO A COMECON SUMMIT, MAY PROVIDE SOMETHING MORE TO COME ON THE "SOCIALIST" SIDE. WHATEVER THE SPECIFIC SUBSTANCE OF THE INDIVIDUAL MEETINGS, ONE STRATEGIC PURPOSE OF THIS FLURRY OF ACTIVITY HAS BEEN TO BRING THE SOVIETS UP TO THE CONGRESS WITH A S "BALANCED" RECORD OF FOREIGN POLICY ACCOMPLISHMENT, 4. OVERALL, FROM A TEN YEAR PERSPECTIVE, IT SHOULD BE KEPT IN MIND THAT BREZHNEVIS RECORD IS IMPRESSIVE. THE ACHIEVEMENT OF DETENTE WITH THE CAPITALIST WORLD HAS BEEN BALANCED BY AN ENORMOUS INCREASE IN SOVIET ARMED STRENGTH AND INCREASING SOVIET INFLUENCE IN SOUTHEAST ASIA, SOUTH ASIA, AFRICA, AND EVEN LATIN AMERICA. THE VAGARIES OF THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION AND THE CONSEQUENCES OF THE VIETNAM WAR HAVE, IN THE INTERIM, WEAKENED THE USSRIS TWO MAJOR RIVALS. BREZHNEVIS PLATFORM OF FOREIGN POLICY SUCCESS AT THE CONGRESS MAY THEREFORE NOT BE AS RICKETY AS RECENT SETBACKS MIGHT SUGGEST. 5. THE RECORD IN RECENT MONTHS, HOWEVER, IS NOT IMPRESSIVE. THE EXPECTED POST-CSCE EUPHORIA NOT ONLY HAS NOT MATERIALIZED, BUT THE MOOD HAS TURNED EVEN MORE PARTICU- LARLY IN THE UNITED STATES. SINAI II IS SEEN HERE AS A CLEAR S FOREIGN POLICY REVERSAL. THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS IN PORTUGAL CANNOT BE PLEASING TO THE KREMLIN. AND AREAS WHICH PREVIOUSLY LOOKED MANAGEABLE WITH SOME EFFORT--THE EUROPEAN COMMUNIST SECRET GERALD LIBRARY NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY N DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM SECRET PAGE 03 MOSCOW 17609 01 OF 02 100719Z CONFERENCE, RELATIONS WITH YUGOSL AVIA AND ROMANIA--HAVE PROVEN UNEXPECTEDLY THORNY. 6, FACED WITH THESE DISAPPOINTMENTS, THE SOVIETS APPEAR TO HAVE REACTED MAINLY BY HUNKERING DOWN AROUND BREZHNEV AND "HIS" OVERALL FOREIGN POLICY LINE. IT HAS NOW BEEN ANNOUNCED THAT BREZHNEV AND KOSYGIN WILL GIVE THE KEY ADDRESSES AT THE CONGRESS, AND THE MOUNTING CHORUS OF PUBLIC PRAISE FOR BREZHNEV PERSONALLY (E.G., "THAT N FLAMING WARRIOR FOR PEACE, "THE MOST OUTSTANDING LEADER OF OUR TIME") ALSO EXTENDS TO DOMESTIC POLICIES ASSOCIATED WITH HIM. and 7. WE WILL THEREFORE BE DEALING WITH FAMILIAR LEADERS AND POLICIES AT LEAST UP TO THE CONGRESS AND PROBABLY IN ITS IMMEDIATE AFTERMATH AS WELL. BREZHNEV IS A DIMINISHED MAN PHYSI- CALLY, BUT HE DOES NOT YET SEEM TO BE A "LAME DUCK" IN SOVIET EYES AND DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE SERIOUSLY THREATENED AT THIS POINT. HE THEREFORE SEEMS TO HAVE RETAINED HIS CAPACITY FOR PREVAILING IN MOST INTERNAL INTRA-BUREAUCRATIC STRUGGLES S IN THE USSR AND, CONSEQUENTLY, FOR CONDUCTING SERIOUS NEGOTIATIONS WITH US ON THE MAJOR POINTS OF OUR RELATIONSHIP. SECRET FORD R GERALD LIBRARY NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT OF STATE 10 DEC 75Z 08.00 Department of State 002481 TELEGRAM STATES of SECRET N00851 PAGE 01 MOSCOW 17609 02 OF 02 100749Z 11 ACTION NODS-00 S INFO OCT-01 IS0-00 /001 W 094603 R 100619Z DEC 75 FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW TO SECSTATE WASHDC 7609 S SCRE SECTION 2 OF 2 MOSCOW 17609 NODIS FOR THE SECRETARY 8. THE "TOUGHENING" OF SOVIET POLICY IN RECENT MONTHS IS PARTLY OPTICAL: THE SOVIETS HAVE MOVED AHEAD MORE BRISKLY IN THEIR RELATIONS WITH THE "SOCIALIST CAMP" AND THE THIRD WORLD THAN THEY HAVE IN THEIR DEALINGS WITH US. BUT SINCE THE U.S.- SOVIET RELATIONSHIP HAS BEEN THE CENTERPIECE OF "BREZHNEV'S" FOREIGN POLICY, LAGGING PROGRESS WITH US STANDS OUT IN BOLDER RELIEF, AND PUTS MORE PRESSURE ON THE RELATIONSHIP. HOWEVER, THERE IS ALSO LITTLE DOUBT THAT THE SOVIET LEADERSHIP IS HONESTLY CONCERNED ABOUT THE POTENTIAL UNHAVELLING EFFECT ON THE DETENTE PROCESS OF CSCE BACKLASH IN THE WEST, AND ESPECIALLY IN THE UNITED STATES, AND FEELS THAT THE GROWING CHILL IN OUR RELATIONS IS PRIMARILY WASHINGTON'S FAULT. WHILE THEY ARE QUITE CAPABLE FOR BARGAINING PURPOSES OF EXAGGERATING THEIR DOUBTS ABOUT OUR CAPACITY TO DELIVER, THERE IS A HARD CORE OF REAL DISQUIET IN THE CRESCENDO OF RECENT MUSINGS ABOUT THE STRENGT OF "RIGHT-WING" FORCES IN WESTERN POLITICAL SYSTEMS. AND, WHILE THEY MAY WELL HAVE BEEN COMFORTED BY SCHLESINGER'S REMOVAL, IT WOULD BE STRETCHING THE EVIDENCE TO SAY THEIR BASIC DISQUIET HAS BEEN ALLAYED. IN FACT, ALTHOUGH THEY HAVE NOT SAID MUCH ABOUT IT. THEY WERE PROBABLY DIS-URSED BY THE PRESIDENT'S CHINA TRIP AND BY THE LIBERAL USE OF THE WORD "HEGEMONY"--TO THEM AN ANTI-SOVIET CATCHWORD. S FURTHERMORE, THE THREAT OF REAGAN-JACKSON "FORCES" DISMANTLING THE WHOLE STRUCTURE OF DETENTE IS DNF THAT THEY FORD SECRET LIBRARY 1 NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF AMERICA TELEGRAM SECRET PAGE 22 MOSCOW 17609 02 OF 02 1007497 DO NOT TAKE LIGHTLY. S 9 IN HIS MEETINGS WITH YOU, BREZHNEV WILL THEREFORE RE SEEKING EVIDENCE OF THE ADMINISTRATION!S INTENTION AND CAPACITY TO PROCEED WITH THE BASIC THRUST OF OUR RELATIONSHIP, ON BALANCE, THEREFORE, YOU WILL PROBABLY FIND THE SOVIETS WARY AND PERTURBED, BUT WILLING TO MOVE FORWARD WITH US IN SPECIFIC AREAS, AND MORE THAN WILLING TO LISTEN TO YOUR VIEWS ON WHERE THE RELATIONSHIP IS AND SHOULD BE HEADING. 10. AS FOR SPECIFICS, THE STRATEGIC RELATIONSHIP REMAINS PREEMINENT IN SOVIET THINKING, AND SALT WILL, OF COURSE, BE THE MAJOR FOCUS OF YOUR DISCUSSIONS' AS USUAL, WE CAN EXPECT TOUGH BARGAINING WITH ULTIMATE CONCESSIONS ONLY AT THE LAST POSSIBLE MINUTE, BUT I THINK SOME CONCESSIONS WILL COME. BREZHNEV WANTS AN AGREEMENT AND PROBABLY HAS A REALISTIC APPRECIATION OF THE DIFFI-ULTIES YOU WILL FACE IN OBTAINING CONGRESSIONAL APPROVAL IN AN ELECTION YEAR. THE FIXATIONS WHICH THE SOVIETS HAVE DEVELOPED CONCERNING CRUISE MISSILES MAY RESULT FROM REALIZATION THAT THEY ARE SO FAR BEHIND IN THIS FIELD. THESE WEAPONS PROBABLY REPRESENT THE SPECTER OF TECHNOLOGICAL BACK- WARDNESS WHICH DOMINATES so MUCH OF THEIR GENERAL STRATEGIC THINKING. HOWEVER, IT HAS PROBABLY NOT ESCAPED SOVIET STRATEGISTS THAT SOME LIMITATION ON OUR ABILITY AND DESIRE TO DEVELOP THIS WEAPON IS BETTER THAN NO LIMITATION AT ALL. THUS--TO TO GO OUT ON A LIMB--I TEND TO BE OPTIMISTIC ABOUT YOUR SALT NEGOTIATIONS, BUT THINK THERE WILL BE TOUGH SLEDDING ON ALL OTHER TOPICS. 11. WHILE THEY WILL NOT BE IN A PARTICULARLY RECEPTIVE MOOD, IT WILL BE IMPORTANT FOR YOUR INTERLOCUTORS TO CARRY AWAY SOME IMPRESSION OF THF RESULTS OF THE PRESIDENT'S TRIP TO CHINA AND OF THE NATO MINISTERIAL. THEY MAY HAVE BEEN COMFORTED BY OUR DISAGREEMENTS WITH THE CHINESE OVER DETENTE, BUT THEIR OWN STANCE VIS-A-VIS CHINA HAS HARDENED IN RECENT MONTHS, THEY ARE LOCKED IN STRUGGLE FOR POLITICAL INFLUENCE WITH THE PRC S NOT ONLY AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF ASIs BUT IN AFRICA AS FORD WELL, AND THEY ARE HIGHLY SUSPICIOUS OF CHINESE EFFORTS SECRET GERALD LIBRARY NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY OF STATE Department of State UNITED AMERICA TELEGRAM STATES OF SECRET PAGE 03 MOSCOW 17629 02 OF 02 1007497 TO SELL US AND THE EUROPEANS ON ANTI-SOVIETISM AND TO SELL THE THIRD WORLD ON THE NEED TC RESIST "GREAT POWER S HEGEMONY.' A PRESENTATION FROM YOU REMINDING THEM OF SOME OF THE BASIC VERITIES OF OUR FOREIGN POLICY WOULD BE A USEFUL FORM OF GENERAL REASSURANCES, EVEN IF CERTAIN ASPECTS WILL BE UNWELCOME. 12, THE MOST UNWELCOME OF THESE RELATE TO SOVIET CONDUCT IN THIRD AREAS, ESPECIALLY ANGOLA. A MODICUMI OF THE INJURED INNOCENCE THEY WILL SEEK TO PROJECT IS GENUINE, BUT IT WOULD STILL BE USEFUL TO REMIND THEM THAT WE SEE PURSUIT OF UNILATERAL ADVANTAGES IN THIRD AREAS FIRMLY WITHIN THE CONTEXT OF THE DECLARATION OF PRINCIPLES TO WHICH WE BOTH ADHERED IN 1972, AT THE SAME TIME, I BELIEVE YOU SHOULD TAKE WHATEVER ORPORTUNITY ARISES TO REAFFIRM OUR COMMITMENT TO WORK TOGETHER WITH THEM FOR A STABLE SETTLEMENT IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND ONCE MORE TO DISAVOW ANY INTENTION OF EXCLUDING THEM FROM THE PROCESS. AS WE REPORTED, OUR FEELING IS THAT THEIR NOVEMBER 9 PROPOSAL REPRESENTED PRIMARILY AN ATTEMPT TO ESCAPE FROM À DEAD END, RATHER THAN AN ATTEMPT TO MAKE TROUBLE FOR US. WE THEREFORE BELIEVE THAT WE CAN AFFORD TO ENGAGE IN SERIOUS BILATERAL CONSULTATIONS AT LITTLE COST TO OURSELVES AND SOME BENEFIT TO OUR RELATIONSHIP WITH THE SOVIETS. IT SEEMS TO ME THAT IF WE EXPECT THEM TO PLAY THE GAME, WE SHOULD TREAT THEM THEM--OR AT LEAST APPEAR TO TREAT THEM--AS AS A LEGITIMATE PLAYER. 13. DURING YOUR DISCUSSIONS, IT WILL BE USEFUL TO SUGGEST TO BREZHNEV THE DESIRABILITY OF SUPPLEMENTING WHATEVER PROGRESS WE CAN ACHIEVE ON SALT WITH A MORE SERIOUS APPROCH TO PNE AND MBFR. THE SOVIETS HAVE BEEN DILATORY IN THE PNE TALKS AND THEY ARE INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT ON MATTERS OF BASIC IMPORTANCE TO THE AGREEMENT WHICH, OF COURSE, HAS A MARCH 1976 DEADLINE. WITH REGARD TO MBFR, YOU SHOULD PROBABLY TAKE THE OCCASION TO MAKE CLEAR THAT IT WILL NOT BE POSSIBLE FOR THE WEST TO GO FURTHER THAN OPTION III IN SHORT ORDER, SQ THAT EXPEDITIOUS HANDLING WILL BE REQUIRED IF WE ARE TO MAKE RAPID PROGRESS IN VIENNA. WILLINGNESS TO ENGAGE IN BILATERAL DISCUSSIONS IN THE NEAR FUTURE ON MBFR WOULD PROBABLY BE HELL-RECEIVED. FORD SECRET & BERALD NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED of AMERICA TELEGRAM STATES SECRET PAGE 04 MOSCOW 17609 02 OF 02 100749Z 14. FINALLY, YOU MAY WISH TO MAKE THE POINT THAT OUR OVERALL RELATIONSHIP CANNOT MOVE FORWARD AS WE WOULD WISH IT TO IF S OUR DIRECT BILATERAL RELATIONSHIP IS IN POOR HEALTH, AND TO STRESS HOW MUCH TO DIRECT RELATIONSHIP DEPENDS ON CONTINUING PROGRESS IN SPECIFIC AREAS OF MUTUAL IMPORTANCE-- PARTICULARLY ON WHAT THE SOVIETS ARE ABLE TO DO IN PRACTICAL WAYS IN THE EMIGRATION FIELD. FOR OUR PART, WE WILL ALSO BE LOOKING AT WAYS TO MOVE AHEAD ON POINTS OF INTEREST TO THEM, IN THE TRADE FIELD AND ELSEWHERE, AND WE LOOK FORWARD TO SERIOUD AND PRAGMATIC TALKS ON CSCE IMPLEMENTATION. BUT WE NEED HARD EVIDENCE TO CONVINCE THE AMERICAN PUBLIC OF THE BENEFITS TO us OF THE BASKET III PROVIDIONS OF CSCE, AND HENCE OF CSCE ITSELF, AND IT IS HARD TO EXAGGERATE THE POSITIVE EFFECT THAT VISIBLE PROGRESS IN SUCH AREAS AS FAMILY REUNIFICATION MIGHT HAVE ON AMERICAN ATTITUDES IN THIS REGARD. STOESSEL SECRET FORD LIBRARY NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY 1.2 200-0 OF STATE 3 Department of State UNITED STATES OF SECRET NOD217 TELEGRAM PAGE 01 MOSCOW 17803 1218342 43 ACTION NODS-00 INFO OCT-01 ISO-00 /001 W 010525 R 21636Z DEC 75 FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW TO SECSTATE WASHDC 7754 STATE DEPT. DECLASSIFICATION REVIEW INFO AMEMBASSY KINSHASA Retain Class'n Change to Declassify in part and excise as shown N SECRET MOSCOW 17803 EO 12958, 25X( )( )( ) Declassify After NODIS With concurrence PS by PV (not)(obtained) Date 8/4/00 E.O. 11652: XGDS-2 TAGS: PFOR, UR, AD, CA SUBJECT: SOVIET FLEXIBILITY ON ANGOLA REF: KINSHASA 10492 1. ALTHOUGH THEY DO NOT YET REFLECT THE SPECIFICS S REPORTED REFTEL, HINTS OF SOVIET FLEXIBILITY ON ANGOLA HAVE ALSO BEGUN TO CIRCULATE IN MOSCOW. 2. AT QUADRIPARTITE MEETING DECEMBER 11, UK DCM SUTHERLAND (PROTECT) REPORTED THAT OUTGOING UK AMBASSADOR GARVEY HAD RAISED ANGOLA DURING FARREWELL CALL ON PODGONRY WEEK OF DECEMBER 2=6, NOTING THAT "MANY THINK" SOVIET CONDUCT THERE IS INCONSISTENT WITH PEACEFUL COEXISTENCE AND DETENTE. ACCORDING UK REPORT, PODGORNY REPLIED THAT PROBLEM IS PRINCIPALLY ONE FOR AFRICANS THEMSELVES TO SOLVE, BUT THAT 200-0 SOVIETS HAD RECGONIZED MPLA AS LEGITIMATE GOVERNMENT, THAT IT HAD RIGHT TO REQUEST THEIR ASSISTANCE, AND THAT SOVIETS HAD RIGHT TO PROVIDE IT. PODGORNY COMPLAINED THAT WESTERN PRESS HAS PRINTED A LOT ON THE SOVIETS AND LITTLE ON SOUTH AFRICAN INTERVENTION, AND SAID THAT "TEN OR TWENTY" SOVIET SPECIALISTS CANNOT BE CALLED "MASSIVE." PODGORNY SAID THE SOVIETS SAW "THE MPLA OR A COALITION AROUND THE MPLA" AS THE FUTURE OF ANGOLA. 3. COMMENT: WE PASS ON ABOVE IN VIEW OF PODGORNY'S RANK, AND SECOET DECLASSIFIED STATE DEPT, GUIDELINES, statevisit 8/4/00 E.O. 12968, SEC. 3.5 FORD & NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE TEGRALO SECRETARY BY life , MARA, DATE 8/1/01 LIBRARY 200-0 DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM SECRET PAGE 02 MOSeOW 17803 121834Z BECAUSE IT TENDS TO CORROBORATE SUGGESTIONS IN REFTEL REPORT THAT SOVIETS PREPARING THEMSELVES FOR POSSIBILITY OF COALITION BUILT AROUND MPLA. MATLOCK 200-0 200-0 FORD SECRET 4 GERALD LIBRARY NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY 4 ZOPIU OF STATE Department of State UNITED AMERICA JAN76Z15 TELEGRAM STATES OF SECRET NOD193 PAGE 01 MOSCOW 01436 311456Z ED-File 42 ACTION NODS-00 INFO OCT-01 ISO-00 /001 W 125617 0 311405Z JAN 76 FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9329 ZODIS & ECRE T MOSCOW 1436 NODIS CHEROKEE FOR THE SECRETARY FORD E.O. 116521. XGDS-3,4 4 TAGS: ASEC, US, UR SUBJ: MOSCOW SIGNAL: APPROACH TO GROMYKO GERALU REF: STATE 24166 1. GROMYKO RESPONDED WITHIN A FEW MINUTES TO MY URGENT REQUEST FOR A MEETING WITH HIM ON SATURDAY AND RECEIVED ME. AT 12:45 TODAY, JAN. 31. I WAS ACCOMPANIED BY DCM. KOMPLEKTOV, DEPUTY DIRECTOR, USA DIVISION IN MFA, AND SOVIET NOTE TAKER WERE N ALSO PRESENT. AFTER REFERRING TO PREVIOUS COMMUNICATIONS ON THIS SUBJECT. I COVERED TALKING POINTS PROVIDED IN PARA 2 REFTEL, O AND LEFT INFORMAL PAPER WITH GROMYKO WHICH CONTAINED FIRST EIGHT OF THESE POINTS (I.E., FROM "THE PRESIDENT ACCEPTEO... TO "WILL BE HIGHLY VISIBLE"). FOLLOWING THREE POINTS DELIVERED D ORALLY, BUT NOT IN ARITING. IN ADDITION, I LEFT WITH GROMYKO :- SUMMARY STATEMENT OF THE FINDINGS OF THE U.S. EXPERTS, TEXT OF WHICH IS BEING SENT IN SEPARATE MESSAGE, AND OFFERED TO SEND COMPLETE REPORT OF OUR SPECIALISTS MONDAY MORNING. 2, GROMYKO REPLIED AS FOLLOWS: S -- HE DID NOT WISH TO GET INTO TECHNICAL QUESTIONS, BUT WOULD DAY THAT IT SEEMED TO HIM THAT THIS QUESTION IS AN IMAGINARY ONE. IT IS DIFFICULT TO FERRET OUT THE REASONS IT IS RAISED. HE WOULD LIMIT SELF TO THREE OBSERVATIONS. DECLASSIFIED SECRET E.O. 12956, SEC. 8.5 STATE DEPT, GUIDELING BY as NADA DATE 8/1/01 NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY 200-0 OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF AMERICA TELEGRAM FORD & SECRET PAGE 02 MOSCOW 01436 311456Z GERALD LIBRARY -- FIRST, HE WOULD CONFIRM THE MESSAGE OF BREZHNEV TO PRESIDENT FORD, I.E., ANY RADIATIONS REACHING EMBASSY FROM OUTSIDE IS OF INDUSTRIAL ORIGIN. THERE IS NO NEW RADIATION. CONJECTURES OF U.S. SPECIALISTS CANNOT CHANGE THIS FACT. N -- SECOND ALLEGED HEALTH DANGER IS FABRICATION (IZOBRETENIE). SOVIET SPECIALISTS HAVE EXAMINED EVIDENCE AND SAY THAT DANGER IS O IMAGINED (VYDUMKA). us SPECIALISTS REFUSED TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT SOVIET STANDARDS FOR SAFE LEVEL OF RADIATION EXPOSURE. -- THIRD, AS FOR THE ALLUSION TO THE POSSIBILITY U.S. AND SOV EMBASSIES, OF STAFF REDUCTION AT OUR EMBASSY, THIS IS FOR U.S. TO DECIDE. BUT IF U.S. PROCEEDS IN THIS MANNER, SOVIETS WILL DRAW THE NECESSARY CONCLUSIONS. FURTHERMORE, IF US PUBLICIZES ALL OF THIS, THE SOVIETS WILL ALSO BRING THIS MATTER TO THE ATTENTION OF THE PUBLIC AND WILL PRESENT THE "TRUE FACTS. S - - GROMYKO THEN EXPRESSED HIS SUPPRISE THAT WE CONTINUE TO RAISE MATTER AND PROFESSED NOT TO UNDERSTAND WHY WE ARE DOING SO, AND CONCLUDED THAT HE COULD SAY NO MORE. OUR SCIENTISTS HAVE CONFIRMED JOINT READINGS IN U.S. EMBASSY AND AS FOR DIFFERING INTERPRETATIONS, THERE ARE NOT TWO "SCIENCES, BUT ONLY ONE. N 3. I POINTED OUT TO GROMYKO THAT THIS IS A SERIOUS MATTER WHICH. HAS IN NO WAY BEEN CREATED ARTIFICALLY. WE TOO WISH THAT IT HAD NOT COME UP, BUT OUR SPECIALISTS ARE OF FIRM OPINION THAT THERE O ARE INDEED DIRECTIONAL SIGNALS AND THAT MEDICAL RECORDS OF OUR PERSONNEL DISPLAY SUSPECT SYMPTOMS. I THEREFORE REITERATED OUR REQUEST THAT THE SOVIET HYGIENE SERVICE LOCATE THE SOURCES D AND HAVE THEM TURNED OFF. 4, GROMYKO OBSERVED THAT SOVIETS CANNOT ADOPT ATTITUDE OTHER THAN ONE BASED ON THE REAL SITUATION. KOMPLEKTOV MENTIONED INTERNAL RACIATION IN EMBASSY, AND GROMYKO REMARKED THAT THEIR S EXPERTS FOUND EVIDENCE THAT THERE ARE SOURCES OF RADIATION FROM INSIDE THE EMBASSY. I REPLIED THAT THESE LEVELS WERE MINIMAL, IF EXISTENT AT ALL, WHEREUPON GROMYKO OBSERVED THAT U.S. SPECIALISTS WISH TO SHIFT BLAME ENTIRELY TO SOVIET SIDE. 5. I CONCLUDED BY REMINDING HIM THAT, IN ANY EVENT, IF SIGNALS DO SECRET NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY 200-0 DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM SECRET PAGE 03 MOSCOW 01436 311456Z NOT GO OFF, WE MUST BRIEF OUR PERSONNEL ON FEBRUARY 4. 6. COMMENT: THROUGHOUT OUR DISCUSSION, GROMYKO WAS CALM AND MODERATE IN TONE, BUT COMPLETELY UNVIELDING. I DD NOT FIND HIS REACTION SURPRISING, SINCE HAVING SENT MESSAGE FROM BREZHNEV DENYING EXISTENCE OF ANY BEAMED RADIATION SOVIETS OBVIOUSLY CANNOT ADMIT THAT SUCH EXISTS, IF THEY DECIDE TO TURN OFF ZODIS SIGNALS, I ASSUME THAT THEY WILL SIMPLY SE TURNED OFF WITH NO EXPLANATION GIVEN, EITHER PRIVATELY OR OFFICIALLY. IT WOULD PROBABLY BE MOST HELPFUL IF APPROACH IS ALSO MADE TO DOBRYNIN AT THIS JUNCTURE, SINCE HE IS PROBABLY IN BETTER POSITION THAN MOST SOVIET OFFICIALS TO REALIZE DANGER TO OUR RELATIONSHIP AND TO THE OPERATIONS OF AIS OWN MISSION WHICH PUBLIC AIRING OF THIS MATTER WOULD INEVITABLY ENTAIL. FULL REPORT OF EXPERTS WILL BE FORWARDED THIS WEEKEND IN CASE YOU WISH TO PASS IT TO DOBRYNIN, STOESS EL ZODIS FORD GERALD LIBRARY SECRET NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY 5 ZODIU OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF MEMBER TELEGRAM FUND SECRET NOD197 GERALD LIBRARY PAGE 01 311544Z 42 ACTION NODS-00 INFO OCT=01 ISO=00 /001 W 126092 0 311450Z JAN 76 FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW TO SECSTATE WASHOC IMMEDIATE 9330 DECLASSIFIED ZODIU SECRET FEE MOSCOW 1437 E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 STATE DEPT, GUIDELINES NODIS CHEROKEE BY. 66 NARA, DATE 8/1/01 , E.O. 11652: XGDS-3,4 TAGS: ASEC, us, UR SUBJ: MOSCOW SIGNAL - APPROACH TO GROMYKO REF: MOSCOW 1436 1, FOLLOWING IS TEXT OF INFORMAL PAPER LEFT WITH GROMYKO, AS MENTIONED IN PARA ONE REFTEL. BEGIN QUOTE PRINCIPAL CONCLUSIONS OF U.S. EXPERTS --MEASUREMENTS OF RADIATION LEVELS TAKEN BY US SPECIALISTS IN 200-0 U.S. EMBASSY MOSCOW OVER PERIOD OF SEVERAL MONTHS INDICATE THAT EMBASSY IS RECEIVING TWO RADIATION BEAMS OF MICROWAVE ENERGY IN THE FREQUENCY RANGE ABOVE ONE GIGAMERZ. ONE COMES FROM A POINT TO THE EAST OF THE CHANCERY AND THE OTHER FROM A POINT TO THE SOUTH. THESE EMANATIONS ARE PRESENT, EITHER ALTERNATELY OR OCCASIONALLY SIMULTANEOUSLY, FOR PERIODS APPROXIMATING 18 HOURS PER DAY. THESE BEAMS HAVE RESULTED IN RADIATION DENSITIES WITHIN CHANGERY OFFICES AND SOME APARTMENTS OF PERSONNEL RANGING FROM 1 TO 15 MICROWATTS PER SQUARE CENTIMETER. --JOINT MEASUREMENTS CONDUCTED WITH SOVIET EXPERTS ON JANUAYR 28, SEGRET NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY 200-0 DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM SECRET PAGE 02 3115442 WHEN ONLY ONE OF THE PREVIOUSLY DETECTED SOURCES WAS EMITTING IN THE LOWER ENERGY RANGE OBSERVED PREVIOUSLY, WERE CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS u.s. MEASUREMENTS. IN PARTICULAR THEY CLEARLY REVEALED THE DIRECTIONALITY OF THE BEAM FROM THE EAST. N -THE LEVELS OF RADIATION IN THE EMBASSY BUILDING MEASURED OVER TIME BY U.S. TECHNICIANS, AND THOSE MEASURED JOINTLY WITH SOVIET TECHNICIANS, ARE SEVERAL ORDERS OF MAGNITUDE ABOVE THE TYPICAL O BACKGROUND LEVEL IN U.S. CITIES, AND ALSO ABOVE THE BACKGROUND LEVEL MEASURED IN U.S. RESIDENCES IN MOSCOW WHICH ARE AWAY FROM THE CHANCERY BUILDING. --OUR MEDICAL EXPERTS ARE OF THE CONSIDERED OPINION THAT PROLONGED EXPOSURE TO MICROWAVE RADIATION AT THE LEVELS MEASURED IN THE U.S. EMBASY CONSTITUTE A POTENTIAL HEALTH HAZARD. --NO LEVEL OF RADIATION IN THE U.S. EMBASSY WHICH IS SIGNIFICANTLY S ABOVE THE TYPICAL BACKGROUND LEVEL IN RESIDENTIAL AREAS OF LARCE INDUSTRIAL CITIES IS ACCEPTABLE TO US. END QUOTE. 2. SUMMARY OF FULL REPORT WILL BE TRANSMITTED AS SOON AS AVAILABLE, HOPEFULLY TODAY, AND TEXT FULL REPORT WILL BE SENT SO AS TO DE AVAILABLE IN WASHINGTON BY OPENING OF BUSINESS FEB. 2, STDESSEL 200-0 EOT FORD & GERALD LIBRARY SECRET NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY 6 DEPARTMENT OP STATE 2 FED 762 22 00 000260 Department of State UNITED STATES OF H AMERICA TELEGRAM SECRET N00497 MAGE 01 МОЗСОИ 01523 0221392 02 Up ACTION NOUS-00 INFO OCT-01 ISO-00 1002 W PAGE / OF 15. 014987 R 5216452 FEB 76 ZFF-4 FM AMENGASSY MOSCOW TO SECSTATE WASHDC 9393 The SECRET MOSCOW 1323 NODIS E.O. 11852 GDS TABS: PFOR, AO, UR, US SUBJECT: SOVIETS AND ANGOLA 1. DURING CALL ON GROMYKO ON ANOTHER MATTER JANUARY 31, HE REMARKED TO ME TOWARD END OF CONVERSATION THAT HE HAD JUST READ THE FULL TEXT OF YOUR TESTIMONY BEFORE CONGRESSIONAL COMMITTEE ON S ANGOLA. HE THEN SAIO THAT HE REGRETTED THAT YOU WERE SPENDING so MUCK TIME AND ENERGY ON THIS QUESTION AND ADDED THAT YOUR EXPOSITION "DOES NOT ACCORD WITH THE REAL SITUATION." 2. I REPLIED THAT HE HAD HEARD WHAT YOU SAID WHEN YOU WERE HERE, AND THAT THE POSITION YOU TOOK BEFORE CONGRESS WAS QUITE CONSISTENT. THE FACT REMAINS THAT SOVIET POLICY IN ANGOLA IS TL STRAINING THE FABRIC OF DETENTE. AT THIS HE DROPPED THE SUBJECT AND CONCLUDED THE CONVERSATION WITH A FEW REMARKS ABOUT THE WEATHER. STOESSEL @ FORD & SECRET GERALD LIBRARY bb 8/1/01 NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY 4 DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State STATES OF AMOUNT TELEGRAM SECRET NOD915 PAGE 01 MOSCOW 01756 051921Z 42 ACTION NODS INFO OCT-01 /001 W 069450 0 0517247 FEB 76 FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW TO SECSTATE WASHOC NIACT IMMEDIATE 9569 6 ECR ET MOSCOW 1756 NODIS CHERCKEE FOR DEPUTY UNDER SECRETARY EAGLEBURGER OC: PLEASE DESTROY ALL TAPES AND DELIVER SIX COPIES DIRECTLY TO EAGLEBURGER ONLY E.O. 11652: XG05-3,4 TAGS: ASEC, US, UR SUBJ: MOSCOW SIGNAL REF: MOSCOW 1696 1, I CALLED ON FIRST DEPUTY FOREIGN MINISTER KUZNETSOV ON HIS REQUEST AT 18:30 HOURS. AFTER BRIEF REFERENCE TO COLD WEATHER, HE READ STATEMENT FROM HANDWRITTEN TEXT, COVERING FOLLOWING POINTS. 2. HE SAID ME HAD FOLLOWING TO COMMUNICATE IN REFERENCE TO THE DUESTION RAISED BY ME WITH GROMYKO ON JANUARY 31. THE SOVIET SIDE HAS GIVEN CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE CONCERN EXPRESSED BY THE U.S. REGARDING THE LEVEL OF ELECTRO- MARNETIC FIELD INSIDE THE U.S. EMBASSY. THERE IS NO NEED TO SPELL OUT THE STEPS WHICH HAVE BEEN TAKEN. SOVIETS INVITED U.S. EXPERTS TO COME TO MOSCOW AND JOINT MEASUREMENTS WERE TAKEN ON THE 9TH AND 6TH FLOORS OF THE U.S. EMBASSY. HE MENTIONED MINTH FLOOR IN PARTICULAR BECAUSE FORD IN DOBRYNING CONVERSATION WITH HYLAND LATTER & SAID THAT THE SOVIET EXPERTS REFUSED TO MEASURE SECRET DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12956, SEC. 3.5 GERALD LIBRARY STATE DEPT, GUIDELINES MARA, DATE 8/1/01 NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION BY OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT OF STATE UNITED Department of State SERVICE TELEGRAM STATES OF SECRET PAGE 02 MOSCOW 01756 051921Z THE ELCTRO-MAGNETIC FIELD IN THE UPPER FLOORS. THEY DID IN FACT PARTICIPATE IN JOINT MEASUREMENTS ON NINTH FLOOR. 3. THESE JOINT MEASUREMENTS, KUZNETSOV CONTINUED, SNOWED THAT THE LEVEL OF THE "MAGNETIC POLE" IN THE EMBASSY IS LOWER THAN EXISTING SOVIET NORMS AND THAT THEY ARE NO DANGER TO HEALTH. NEVERTHELESS, DESPITE THESE FACTS, THE U.S. SIDE IS ATTEMPTING TO SHARPEN (OBOSTRIT!) THIS QUESTION. 4. THE MINISTER (GTOMYKO) HAD GIVEN HIS VIEWS ON THIS APPROACH. IT IS A TENDENTIOUS APPROACH WHICH GIVES THE APPEARANCE OF A TRHREAT. SUCH AN APPROACH CANNOT PRODUCE POSITIVE RESULTS. IF THE SOVIET UNION TOOK SUCH AN APPROACH THEN NATURALLY IT COULD EXPECT DIFFICULTIES IN OUR RELATIONS. BUT THE SOVIET UNION WILL NOT FOLLOW SUCH AN APPROACH. 5. THE SOVIET UNION WILL FIRMLY PURSUE THE APPROVED LINE OF IMPROVING RELATIONS WITH THE UNITED STATES AND STRENGTHENING WHAT HAS BEEN ACHIEVED IN OUR RELATIONSHIP. THE SOVIET UNION DOES NOT WANT ARITIFICAL IMPEDIMENTS AND EXPECTS THE GAME ATTITUDE FROM THE UNITED STATES. 6. GUIDED BY THIS AND TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION THE CONCERN OF THE UNITED STATES, THE SOVIET AUTHORITIES HAVE DIRECTED APPROPRIATE ORGANS TO REDUCE TO THE MAXIMUM DEGREE POSSIBLE THE INDUSTRIAL SOURCES OF THE ELECTRO-MAGNETIC FIELD INSIDE THE EMBASSY. SOVIET SPECIALISTS NOTED THE PRESENCE OF INTERNAL SOURCRES OF RADIATION DURING THE JOINT NEASUREMENTS. IF THE U.S. SIDE WOULD TAKE APPROPRIATE MEASUREST TO STOP THESE, THIS WOULD BRING ABOUT A CORRESPONDING REDUCTION OF THE ELECTRO-MAGNETIC FIELD INSIDE THE EMBASSY. IT IS HOPED THAT THE U.S. SIDE FORD WILL GIVE CONSIDERATION (RASSMOTRETI) THIS. & GERALD LIBRARY SECRET NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT OF STATE UNITED AMERICA Department of State TELEGRAM STATES OF SECRET PAGE 03 MOSCOW 01756 0519212 7. KUZNETSOV CONCLUDED BY SAYING THAT AMBASSADOR DOBRYNIN WILL BE SPEAKING TO HYLAND IN WASHINGTON TODAY ALONG THESE SAME LINES. 8, WHEN KUZNETSOV HAD FINISHED HIS STATEMENT, I MADE FOLLOWING COMMENTS: A. REGARDING THE PLACE OF THE JOINT MEASUREMENTS, WE OFFERED THE ROOFS OF THE WINGS OF THE EMBASSY. SOVIET SPECIALISTS DID NOT AGREE TO TAKE THEM THERE. THEY ALSO WOULD NOT AGREE TO MEASURE AMBIENT LEVELS OUTSIDE THE EMBASSY. THIS IS PROBABLY WHAT HYLAND REFERRED TO, B. AS I HAD EXPRESSED TO GROMYKO, OUR CONCERN IS THAT THE EMISSIONS WE ARE RECEIVING, WHILE LOWER THAN SOVIET STANDARDS MOST OF THE TIME, ARE HIGHER THAN THE AMBIENT LEVEL AND IN OUR VIEW POSE 4 HEALTH RISK. C, SINCE WE FEEL THAT THERE IS A HEALTH RISK, WE CONSIDERED IT NECESSARY TO EXPLAIN THE SITUATION TO OUR EMPLOYEES. THIS OF COURSE COULD RESULT IN SOME PUBLICITY. WE HAVE ABSOLUTELY NO DESIRE TO SHARPEN OR WORSEN RELATIONS WITH THE SOVIET UNION. IT IS THE SITUATION WHICH CONSTITUTES AN IMPEDIMENT TO OUR RELATIONS. D. I TOOK NOTE OF ThE STATEMENT THAT APPROPRIATE SOVIET AUTHORITIES WILL BE DIRECTED TO REDUCE TO THE MAXIMUM EXTENT THE INDUSTRIAL RADIATION REACHING OUR EMBASSY AND STATED THAT WE HOPE THESE EMISSIONS WILL BE ELIMINATED ENTIRELY AND TRUST THAT THIS WILL HAPPEN. 9, KUZNETSOV SAID THAT HE WAS NOT AN EXPERT, BUT FROM HIS EXPERIENCE AS AN ENGINEER IT SEEMED TO HIM THAT IT IS DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE UAD WHAT THE CONCENTRATION OF POLLUTANTS IS, FOR EXAMPLE, AS REGARDS AIR, POLLUTION, MORE Is CONCENTRATED GERALD THE AROUND TRAFFIC LIGHTS WHERE CARS START AND STOP THAN SECRET NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DIPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM SECRET PAGE 04 MOSCOW 61756 051921Z ELSEWHERE. THEREFORE, THERE ARE WIDE VARIATIONS IN A CITY, AND THIS MAY ALSO APPLY TO RADIATION: CONCENTRATIONS WILL DIFFER FROM ONE PLACE TO ANOTHER. 10. I POINTED OUT THAT THE JOINT MEASUREMENTS WHICH WERE TAKEN LAST WEEK SHOWED, IN THE VIEW OF OUR SPECIALISTS, THAT THE RADIATION IS DIRECTIONAL, AND ASKED WHEN THE DIRECTIVE HE HAD MENTIONED HOULO TAKE EFFECT. 11. KUZNETSOY REPLIED THAT HE COULD NOT SAY, BUT ADDED: "WE WILL DO OUR BEST." 12. Y ASKED WHETHER THE SOVIETS ANTICIPATED FURTHER TALKS IN WASHINGTON ON THIS MATTER. KUZNETSOV SAID HE KAD NO DIRECT INFORMATION ON THIS POINT, BUT DIO NOT EXCLUDE THE POSSIBILITY. THI3 MAY BE CLEARER, HE ADDED, FOLLOWING THE HYLAND- DOBRYNIN MEETING TODAY. 13. IN ENDING THE CONVERSATION, KUZNETSOV REMARKED THAT HE ROPED WE HOULD APPROACH THE MATTER WITH A BUSINESS-LIKE ATTITUDE. STOESSEL URD GERALD LIBRARY SEGRET NOT TO DE 8 6 OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM $ FED 787 14 12 001179 CONFIDENTIAL N00882 PAGE 01 MOSCOW 01696 0512397 41 ACTION NODS-00 INFO OCT-01 1001 W 063268 0 0512012 FEB 76 FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW TO SECSTATE WASHOC NIACT IMMEDIATE 9523 DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12956, SEC. 3.5 C 0 N F I 0 E N I A MOSCOW 1696 STATE DEPT, GUIDELINES BY GG , NARA, DATE 8/1/01 NODIS CHEROKEE FOR DEPUTY UNDER SECRETARY EAGLEBURGER DC: PLEASE DESTROY ALL TAPES AND DELIVER SIX COPIES DIRECTLY TO EAGLEBURGER ONLY E.O. 116521 XGDS-3,4 TAGS: ASEC, US, UR 1 SUBJ: MOSCOW SIGNAL REF1 STATE 27189 1, CANCELLATION OF EMBASSY BRIEFING HAS, AS ANTICIPATED, PRODUCED WIDESPREAD AND INTENSE SPECULATION WITHIN EMBASSY. THIS SI ATION AT MINIMUN, WILL LEAD TO SERIOUS MORALE PROBLEMS IF EXPLANATION NOT FORTHCOMING IN VERY NEAR FUTURE. FORD 2. AS FOR POSSIBILITY OF LEAKS, WE ARE TOTALLY CONFIDENT & THAT NO EMPLOYEE AND HAS BEEN PRIEFED ON PROBLEM IS ENGARING IN ANY SPECULATION OR GOSSIP WHATEVER. HONEVER, SITUATION IS SUCH THAT VAHIOUS UNBRIEFED MEMBERS OF STAFF GERALO LIBRARY ARE BEGINNING TO TAKE NOTE OF VARIOUS RECENT ANOMALITIES OF PROCEDURES AND ACTIVITIES HERE AND ARE SPECULATING ON THE BASIS OF THESE BITS AND PIECES. CANCELLATION OF UNPRECEDENTED SCHEDULED BRIEFING HAS IN ADDITION ALERTED ALL TO FACT THAT SOMETHING HIGHLY UNUSUAL 15 GUING ON ANU THAT THEY ARE NOT BEING INFORMED. CONFIGENTIAL DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF TELEGRAM CONFIDENTIAL PAGE 02 MOSCOW 01695 051239Z 3, FOLLOWING EXAMPLES ARE ILLUSTRATIVE OF GENERAL PROBLEM WHICH IS NOW SPREADING WITH SPEED OF PRAIRIE FIRE: ---GSO EMPLOYEE WHO WIFE IS NURSE HAS NOTED ARRIVAL OF SCREENING AND MEDICAL TECHNICIAN AND HAS CONVEYED TO SUPERVISOR SERIOUS CONCERN OF BOTH THAT OST FACING UNSTATED MEDICAL PROBLEMS. ***WIFE OF LOCAL CORRESPONDENT WHO IS LAB TECHNICIAN AND WORKS PART TIME IN DISPENSARY IS AWARE NOW THAT DOCTOR HAS CANCELLED, THEN REINSTATED, APPOINTMENTS TWO DAYS IN ROW AND THAT FULL-TIME MEDICAL TECHNICIAN MAS ARRIVED. ***TWO C&R EMPLOYEES WITH ELECTRONICS TRAINING HAVE EXPRESSED (TO SUPERVISOR) CONCERN OVER FIGURES SEEN IN SY CHANNEL MESSAGES 4. LOCAL PRESS IS AWARE THAT MEETING WAS CALLED FOR PRIEFING (PRESS ATTACHE WAS INUNDATED WITH CALLS EVENING OF FEB. 4 FOR EXPLANATION) AND ARE DOUBTLESS BY NOW AWARE THAT IT WAS CANCELLED. STORIES TO THIS EFFECT, WITH POSSIBLE SPECULATION BY CORRESPONDENTS, MAY WELL BE FILED SOON. 5. REGARDING CURRENT MEDICAL SITUATION, DR. POLLACK MAS PROVIDED FOLLOWING OBSERVATIONS. THERE ARE PREGNANT WOMEN LIVING IN EMBASSY COMPOUND WHU MAL BECOME PREGNANT SINCE EARLY DECEMBER. DELAYS IN BRIEFING INCREASE THE PROBLEMS OF RESPONSIBILITY IN THE EVENT OF GENETIC DEFECTS, REGARDLESS OF CAUSE. HE RECOMMENDS OUR ARRANGING WITH WIESBADEN FOR FACILITIES TO CARRY OUT TEST ON THESE WOMEN FOR CHROMOSONAL DEVIATIONS INAMNIUTIC FLUID. FURTHERMORE, MRS. DAVID FERGUSON, WHO RECENTLY DEPARTED MO9COW AND IS NOW IN WASHINGTON EN ROUTE TO NEW POST, IS ALSO PREGNANT, DR. POLLACK FORD UD SUGGESTS THAT AS SOON AS BRIEFINGS ARE COMPLETED a THAT SIMILAR STUDIES BE CARRIED OUT BY MEDICAL DIVISION. I STRONGLY URGE THAT IMMEDIATE ACTION BE TAKEN IN REGARD TO THESE PARTICULAR CASES. GERALD LIBRARY CONFIDENTIAL TO DC REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF STATE STATEMENT TELEGRAM CONF IDENTIAL PAGE 03 MOSCOW 01696 0512392 6. I HAVE CONSIDERED ALTERNATIVE OF PROCEEDING WITH SCREENING OF MOST EXPOSED OFFICES AND APARTMENTS, SIMPLY INFORMING THOSE DIRECTLY INVOLVED THAT THIS IS A SECURITY MEASURE. UPON RELPECTION, HOWEVER, I FEEL THAT THIS COURSE WOULD NOT BE ADVISABLE IN THE ABSENCE OF A GENERAL BRIEFING. IT WOULD BE VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE TO ACCOMPLISH WITHOUT THE KNOWLEDGE OF A FAIRLY WIDE CIRCLE OF EMPLOYEES AND IT WOULD OPEN US TO CHARGES LATER OF FAVORITISM, 7, RE PARA 2, STATE 27561, I ASSUME YOU ARE AWARE OF PLANS FOR SUPPORT FLIGHTS FEB. 21 AND MARCH 10. THESE WOULD INVOLVE USE, FOR FIRST TIME OF LARGER AIRCRAFT THAT HITHERTO. WHILE WE HAVE NO RECORD OF SOVIETS COMPLAINING HERE ABOUT TYPE OF CARGO, I WOULD NOTE THAT CARGO SCHEDULED FOR FEBRUARY AND MARCH IS MUCH GREATER VOLUME AND WEIGHT THAN ANY SHIPMENTS IN RECENT MEMORY. 8. IN SUM, I MUST STATE FRANKLY THAT WE MAY HAVE CRUSSED RUBICON IN ANNOUNCING BRIEFING, AND IN VIEW OF FACT THAT SIGNAL IS ON AGAIN TODAY, FURTHER DELAYS SEEM NORE LIKELY TO COMPLICATE THAN SOLVE PROBLEM. IN ANY EVENT, IT APPEARS MOST UNLIKELY THAT WE WILL BE ABLE TO WITHHOLD INFORMATION MUCH LONGER FROM OUR EMPLOYEES, WHETHER OR NOT SIGNALS ARE TURNED OFF. 9, MFA HAS JUST CALLED TO SET APPOINTMENT FOR ME WITH KUZNETSOV FOR 1830 HOURS LOCAL. ANY INSTRUCTIONS SHOULD ae SENT FLASH. STOESSEL FORD & CONFIDENTIAL GERALD LIBRARY NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY COPY OF 6 COPIES 9 PURKTMENT OF STATE -5 FEB76Z 03 21 001105 Department of State UNITED STATES OF AMERICA TELEGRAM SECRET NDD856 PAGE 01 MOSCOW 01605 0508027 11 ACTION NODS-00 INFO OCT-01 /001 W 059742 0 050743Z FEB 76 FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW TO SECSTATE WASHDC NIACT IMMEDIATE 9514 $ E C R E T MOSCOW 1685 NODIS CHEROKEE FOR DEPUTY UNDER SECRETARY EAGLEBURGER DC: PLEASE DESTROY ALL TAPES AND DELIVER SIX COPIES DIRECTLY TO EAGLEBURGER ONLY E.O. 116521 XGDS-3,4 TAGS: ASEC, UR, US SUBJ: MOSCOW SIGNAL REF: STATE 27189, STATE 27561 1. SCHEDULED BRIEFING CANCELLED. 2. KOMPLEKTOV TELEPHONED DCM AT 9120 THIS MORNING "REGARDING QUESTION WITH WHICH WE HAVE BEEN INVOLVED. 11 HE ASKED IF AMBASSADOR INFORMED OF DOBRYNIN-HYLAND MEETING YESTERDAY AND WAS TOLD THAT AMBASSADOR AWARE OF MEETING. KOMPLEKTOV THEN SAID THAT THEY WISHED TO MAKE SURE THAT EMBASSY UNDERSTANDS THAT "THIS QUESTION IS UNDER CONSIDERATION" (ETOT VOPROS RASSMATRIVAYETSYA). HE CONCLUDED CONVERSATION BY SAYING "THAT IS ALL." 3, KOMPLEKTOV TELEPHONED AGAIN AT 9:50 TO NOTIFY US THAT FIRST DEPUTY FOREIGN MINISTER KUZNETSOV WOULD PROBABLY REPEAT PROBABLY ASK AMBASSADOR TO COME FORD BY THIS AFTERNOON. 4 SECRET DECLASSIFIED GRAND LIBRARY E.O. 12958, SEC. 3.5 STATE DEPT, GUIDELINES BY Gh MARA, DATE 8/1/01 , NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED STATES OF AMERICA TELEGRAM SECRET PAGE 02 MOSCON 01685 050802Z 4, SIGNALS WENT OFF AT 1800 HOURS FEB, 4, WHICH IS UNUSUAL BUT NOT TOTALLY UNPRECEDENTED, BUT EAST SIGNAL REAPPEARED AT 0730 FEB. 5. STOESSEL CR FORD SECRET ? GERALD LIBRARY NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY ZODIS OF STATE 10 Department of State UNITED STATES OF HEALTH 3 MAR 70Z 10 07 TELEGRAM SECRET N00555 PAGE 01 MOSCOW 03251 031030Z 11 ACTION NODS-00 INFO OCT-01 ISO-00 /001 W 102506 0 0310087 MAR 76 FM AMEMBASSY MOSCOW TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 714 ZODIS S E C R E T MOSCOW 3251 CORRECTED COPY NODIS/CHEROKEE FOR THE SECRETARY FROM AMBASSADOR E.O. 11652: GDS: TAGS: PFOR, ETRD, UR, US SUBJECT: SCHEDULED MEETING OF US-USSR JOINT COMMERCIAL COMMISSION 1. I UNDERSTAND THAT A FINAL DECISION HAS NOT YET BEEN MADE REGARDING THE NEXT MEETING OF THE US=USSR JOINT COMMERCIAL COMMISSION. IF IT FOLLOWS THE ANTICIPATED SCHEDULE, IT WOULD BE HELD THIS SPRING IN WASHINGTON. 2. GIVEN THE UNACCEPTABLE SOVIET PERFORMANCE IN ANGOLA, THE STRESS IN BREZHNEV'S REPORT TO THE PARTY CONGRESS ON AID TO PNATIONAL-LIBERATION STRUGGLES" -- WHICH CAN BE USED TO EXPLAIN AWAY MORE OF THE SAME ELSEWHERE -- 200-0 AND ALSO THE SOVIET INTRANSIGENCE ON OTHER IMPORTANT BILATERAL MATTERS SUCH AS THE RADIATION ISSUE, IT SEEMS TO ME THAT THE TIME HAS COME TO MOVE FROM WORDS OF WARNING TO SOME SLOWING OF ACTIVITIES IMPORTANT TO THE SOVIETS. ONE OBVIGUS CANDIDATE IS THE MEETING OF THE JOINT COMMERCIAL COMMISSION, PARTICULARLY SINCE THE THRUST OF ThE ECONOMIC POLICY ENUNCIATED AT THE PARTY CONGRESS IMPLIES INCREASED RESORT TO THE IMPORT OF FOREIGN TECHNOLOGY. FORD 3. I THEREFORE URGE THAT THE SOVIETS BE TOLD THAT & THIS SPRING IS NOT A PROPITIOUS TIME FOR A MEETING OF SECRET GERALD LIBRARY THE JOINT COMMERCIAL COMMISSION. A POSTPONEMENT SINE DIE GG 8/1/01 NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY ZODIS DEPARTMENT OF STATE Department of State UNITED OF AMERICA TELEGRAM STATES SECRET PAGE 02 MOSCOW 03251 031030Z WOULD NOT OF COURSE COMMIT US TO ANY PARTICULAR COURSE OF ACTION IN THE TRADE FIELD, BUT WOULD BE A CLEAR SIGNAL THAT WE MAY IF NECESSARY BE FORCED TO CONSIDER STEPS WHICH WOULD AFFECT THEIR ABILITY TO IMPLEMENT A FEATURE OF THEIR CURRENT ECONOMIC POLICY TO WHICH THEY OBVIOUSLY ATTACH GREAT IMPORTANCE. STOESSEL ZODIS 200-0 FORD & GERALD LIBRARY SECRET NOT TO BE REPRODUCED WITHOUT THE AUTHORIZATION OF THE EXECUTIVE SECRETARY