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CLASSIFIED TOP SECRET TOP INCOMING DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMY MESSAGE STAFF COMMUNICATIONS OFFICE SECRET POP SECRET PARAPHRASE NOT REQUIRED OPERATIONAL IMMEDIATE FROM: CINCFE TOKYO JAAAN TO: DEPTAR WASH DC FOR CSUSA FOR JCS NR: C 68285 4 NOV 50 U msg WAR 95790. It is impossible at this time to authoritatively appraise the actualities of Chinese Communist intervention in North Korea. Various possibilities exist based upon the battle intelligence coming in from the front: First, that the Chinese Communist Government proposes to intervene with its full potential military forces, openly proclaiming such course at what it might determine as an appropriate time; second, that 1$ will covertly render mili- tary assistance, but will, so far as possible, conceal the fact for diplomatic reasons; third, that it S:s permitting and abetting a flow of more. or less voluntary personnel across the border to strengthen and assist the North Korean remnants in their struggle to retain a nominal foothold in Korea: fourth, that such intervention, as exists, has been in the belief that no UN Forces would be committed in the extreme northern reaches of Korea except those of South Korea. A realization that such forces were insufficient. for the pur- pose may well have furnished the concept of salvaging some- thing from the wreckage. The first contingency would represent a momentous decision of the gravest international importance. While it is a distinct possibility, and many foreign experts predict such action, there are many fundamental logical reasons against it and sufficient evidence has not yet come to hand to warrant its immediate acceptance. The last three contingencies or e combination thereof, seem to be most likely condition at the present moment, CM IN 8116 (H Nov 50) DECLASSIFIED E.O. 12065, Sec. 3-402 J.C.S. RECRADING MEMO 16.74 DOD Directive 5100.30, June 18, 1979 By NLT- HL NARS, Date 11.6-10 COPY NO. OCS FORM REPLACES DA SCO FORM 22-1 TOP SECRET M-g 1 AUG 50 331 15 JAN 49, WHICH MAY BE USED U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 1950-O-898688