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205716335
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Intelligence Report from the Naval Attache, Nanking, China
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205716335
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document
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Intelligence Report from the Naval Attache, Nanking, China
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President's Secretary's Files (Truman Administration)
Subject Files
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205716335
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12
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1947-09-12
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9
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1947
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E. O. 11652, Sec. 3(E) and 5(D) or (E)
Dept. of State letter, Aug. 9, 1973
By NLT
m
w , NARS Date 6.24.75
INTELLIGENCE REPORT
S
al:
36-S-47
ONI: 103-200
215-400
Source:
As stated.
BID: 3165.
Evaluation: Largely correct.
From:
U.S. Naval Attache, Nanking, China. 12 Sept. 1947
Subject: The Soviet Effort in China.
F5- 1067
BRIEF: The Soviet Union is proceeding, slowly and circumspectly,
towards eventual domination of China. Circumstances favoring
such a Soviet effort are: geographical propinquity; ethnic
similarities: the activity of anti-Chinese minority groups; the
corruption, ineptitude, and cynicism of the Central Government;
the poverty and ignorance of the masses; an increasingly strong
Chinese Communist Party; well-organized, well-trained, and
active official and unofficial Soviet representations in China;
and 55,000 Soviet citizens in Greater China. SINKIANG is
rapidly falling into Soviet orbit, almost by default. INNER
MONGOLIA is slowly drifting into the Soviet orbit, principally
due to the Central Government's ignorance and indifference.
MANCHURIA is under the control of the Soviet-oriented CCP, and
Soviet collusion and intransigence, together with the shameful
behavior of the Central Government S administration, is hastening
the decline and fall of the Central Government in Manchuria,
Although the bulk of the 15,000 Soviet citizens in China Proper,
and perhaps large numbers in Manchuria, will be repatriated to
the USSR within the next year, the nucleus of the community
organization and intelligence organization will remain. The
four overt Soviet missions in China (diplomatic, commercial,
military, and propaganda), and the two covert representations
which operate through the overt missions (MGB and Comintern)
have exploited their many resources with considerable success)
and it is probable that their successes will increase. Sino-
Soviet relations are seldom cordial (there is the exception of
their common view towards Japan) and often tense, and may become
severely strained. Soviet-American relations in China are not
frankly hostile, but they are far from amiable, and eppear to
be degenerating. The Soviets believe, and have stated their
belief, that in China time and the processes of history are on
their sidei
1.
Sometime in the next month, unless there is a sharp and
unanticipated change in the Soviet intention, the Soviet Am-
bassador to China, Appolon A. PETROV, will return to Nanking
from Moscow. It was commonly said, when PETROV departed China
in mid-June, that he was being removed for (a) failure in
effecting the Soviet aims in China, or (b) reasons of state,
i.e., a major change in policy which would necessitate the
appointment of a new Ambassador. This office did not believe
contention (a), , and, while conceding that contention (b) was
possible, believed it rather improbable. The return of Am-
bassador PETROV would appear to indicate that that viow was the
correct one. It is probable, then, that the Soviets will pro-
ceed for at least the next several months as they have proceeded
for the past two years. In the interest of presenting what is
believed to be a coherent picture of the Soviet effort in China,
DISTRIBUTION: CNI( 20) ; CinCPac(3) comNavWesPac( ; ComNavFE(3) ;
MA(1) ;AMA Changchun(1) AMA Shanghai (1) l cc direct
to Cdr. Joyce, Glenline Building, $hanghaitFile