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TRUMAN TOT SECRET 13. 2. As a deterrent. This is of outstanding importance. There is no question but that if the opposing strength is estimated to be so great that there would be little possibility of final fictory, the Russians will not deliberately resort to the use of armed force. On the other hend, excessive military weakness here and in western Europe might indeed create a factor which would operate to overcome the other reasons why the Soviet Government would not be inclined to use armed force, and might thus constitute a compelling invitation to aggression. There is no evidence that anything likely to occur in Russia within the foreseeable future will in any way alter this situation. We must reckon that the necessity for the maintenance of armed forces as a deterrent will continue un- diminished as long as the Soviet power, as we know it today, continues to be dominant in Russia, and probably even longer. 3. As a source of encouragement to nations endeavoring to re- sist Soviet political eggression. The peoples who consider themselves as lying between the U.S. S. R. and the U. S. and who are endeavoring to re- sist Soviet political pressures are strongly influenced by what may be called the shadows of the armed strength main- tained by the two great powers. If the shadow of the So- viet armed strength remains. too formidable, in comparison with ours, this may well have a paralyzing effect on the will to resist in western Europe and may become an import- ant factor in enabling the Russians to achieve their aims by political rather than military means. It is therefore necessary for this country to maintain the outward evidences of firm armed strength and resolution as a means of stiffen- ing the attitude of those peoples who would like to resist Soviet political pressures. Like the requirement of armed force as a deterrent, this requirement may be expected to endure at least as long as the communist party remains the dominant power in Russia. There is no reason to expect the achievement of any politi- - cal understanding with the Soviet leaders which could appre- ciably offset the need for strong U. S. forces as a. factor of encouragement to the peoples in western Europe. This necessity is not likely to pass even with the termination of the present Soviet regime. NSC 20/2 - 7 -- TOP SECRET

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    "ocrText": "TRUMAN\nTOT SECRET\n13.\n2. As a deterrent.\nThis is of outstanding importance. There is no question\nbut that if the opposing strength is estimated to be so great\nthat there would be little possibility of final fictory, the\nRussians will not deliberately resort to the use of armed\nforce. On the other hend, excessive military weakness here\nand in western Europe might indeed create a factor which\nwould operate to overcome the other reasons why the Soviet\nGovernment would not be inclined to use armed force, and\nmight thus constitute a compelling invitation to aggression.\nThere is no evidence that anything likely to occur in\nRussia within the foreseeable future will in any way alter\nthis situation. We must reckon that the necessity for the\nmaintenance of armed forces as a deterrent will continue un-\ndiminished as long as the Soviet power, as we know it today,\ncontinues to be dominant in Russia, and probably even longer.\n3. As a source of encouragement to nations endeavoring to re-\nsist Soviet political eggression.\nThe peoples who consider themselves as lying between\nthe U.S. S. R. and the U. S. and who are endeavoring to re-\nsist Soviet political pressures are strongly influenced by\nwhat may be called the shadows of the armed strength main-\ntained by the two great powers. If the shadow of the So-\nviet armed strength remains. too formidable, in comparison\nwith ours, this may well have a paralyzing effect on the\nwill to resist in western Europe and may become an import-\nant factor in enabling the Russians to achieve their aims\nby political rather than military means. It is therefore\nnecessary for this country to maintain the outward evidences\nof firm armed strength and resolution as a means of stiffen-\ning the attitude of those peoples who would like to resist\nSoviet political pressures.\nLike the requirement of armed force as a deterrent,\nthis requirement may be expected to endure at least as long\nas the communist party remains the dominant power in Russia.\nThere is no reason to expect the achievement of any politi- -\ncal understanding with the Soviet leaders which could appre-\nciably offset the need for strong U. S. forces as a. factor\nof encouragement to the peoples in western Europe. This\nnecessity is not likely to pass even with the termination\nof the present Soviet regime.\nNSC 20/2\n- 7 --\nTOP SECRET"
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