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ORE 14
COPY NO. 1
11 MARCH 1947
The Isaue of
FUTURE SOVIET PARTICIPATION IN
LONG - -RANGE INTERNATIONAL AIR TRANSPORT
alr care
riere
be
territory
all
This
alr
SUMMARY
The
policy
USSR
Provisional
no
part
in
Participation of the USSR in air transport operations of
a vorld-wide nature is being impeded at present by (a) Soviet se-cies
curity measures which prohibit the granting of landing rights in
the USSR to other nations in return for the use of foreign air bases,
and (b) deficiencies in technical equipment and lack of long-range
aircraft.
It is unlikely that in the immediate future the USSR will
permit the scheduled landing of foreign aircraft within Soviet ter-
ritory. Other concessions, however, may be offered to Western Pow-
ers in order to obtain technical and material assistance as well as
aviation rights on international air routes.
In about two years the USSR will be able to make a deter-
mined bid for a place among the international air carriers and may
be expected to do so for reasons of national prestige and in order
to obtain rapid Soviet-controlled communications with other parts
of the world.
S.
ARCHINESA
RELATIONAL
US
Factors Determining Soviet Air Policy.
SERVICES
The USSR probably desires to attain a strong position in
international air transport. Underlying this desire would be the
following aims: To increase national prestige, to obtain control
of rapid communications with other parts of the world as an aid to
political penetration, and to extend its foreign trade. Impediments
to the realization of this objective are (a) the strict Soviet policy
of guarding its political and military security against penetration
by foreign commercial air interests; (b) serious technical deficienc-
ies in the Civil Air Fleet, which lacks modern long-range aircraft;
and (c) the imperative requirements of internal reconstruction, which
include the development of a vast domestic air network essential to
the industrial and agricultural programs of the current Five-Year
Plan. The USSR, however, is not impelled to immediate participation
in world-wide international air transport by commercial incentives
as urgent as those that are driving the Western Powers to protect
their overseas interests.
through
Zurich.
control
The intelligence agencies of the State and Navy Departments and of
the Army Air Forces have concurred in this report. Comments by the
Intelligence Division of the War Department General Staff are con-
tained in Enclosure B hereto.
(2)
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"ocrText": "ORE 14\nCOPY NO. 1\n11 MARCH 1947\nThe Isaue of\nFUTURE SOVIET PARTICIPATION IN\nLONG - -RANGE INTERNATIONAL AIR TRANSPORT\nalr care\nriere\nbe\nterritory\nall\nThis\nalr\nSUMMARY\nThe\npolicy\nUSSR\nProvisional\nno\npart\nin\nParticipation of the USSR in air transport operations of\na vorld-wide nature is being impeded at present by (a) Soviet se-cies\ncurity measures which prohibit the granting of landing rights in\nthe USSR to other nations in return for the use of foreign air bases,\nand (b) deficiencies in technical equipment and lack of long-range\naircraft.\nIt is unlikely that in the immediate future the USSR will\npermit the scheduled landing of foreign aircraft within Soviet ter-\nritory. Other concessions, however, may be offered to Western Pow-\ners in order to obtain technical and material assistance as well as\naviation rights on international air routes.\nIn about two years the USSR will be able to make a deter-\nmined bid for a place among the international air carriers and may\nbe expected to do so for reasons of national prestige and in order\nto obtain rapid Soviet-controlled communications with other parts\nof the world.\nS.\nARCHINESA\nRELATIONAL\nUS\nFactors Determining Soviet Air Policy.\nSERVICES\nThe USSR probably desires to attain a strong position in\ninternational air transport. Underlying this desire would be the\nfollowing aims: To increase national prestige, to obtain control\nof rapid communications with other parts of the world as an aid to\npolitical penetration, and to extend its foreign trade. Impediments\nto the realization of this objective are (a) the strict Soviet policy\nof guarding its political and military security against penetration\nby foreign commercial air interests; (b) serious technical deficienc-\nies in the Civil Air Fleet, which lacks modern long-range aircraft;\nand (c) the imperative requirements of internal reconstruction, which\ninclude the development of a vast domestic air network essential to\nthe industrial and agricultural programs of the current Five-Year\nPlan. The USSR, however, is not impelled to immediate participation\nin world-wide international air transport by commercial incentives\nas urgent as those that are driving the Western Powers to protect\ntheir overseas interests.\nthrough\nZurich.\ncontrol\nThe intelligence agencies of the State and Navy Departments and of\nthe Army Air Forces have concurred in this report. Comments by the\nIntelligence Division of the War Department General Staff are con-\ntained in Enclosure B hereto.\n(2)"
}