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ORE 17 31 May 1947 COPY NO. 1 THE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC POSITION OF THE UNITED KINGDOM * 3. 'NATIONAL : ARCHIVES SERVICE* RECORDS AND SUMMARY For more than a century the people of the British Isles have imported annually from the rest of the world more commodities than they have exported. Imports have contributed greatly to British standards of living and have provided many of the essential raw materials for the notable and expanding industrial activity in that country during this period. This commodity trade deficit was financed from current returns on foreign invest- ments, returns from shipping and receipts for financial, insurance and other commercial services. Up to the time of the First World War the returns from such investments and services were adequate not only to meet the deficit in commodity trade but to provide in most years a balance for further foreign investment throughout the world by British agencies. During the century preceding the First World War, Great Britain was the leading international trading country in the world, the greatest creditor, and continued to in- crease its foreign investment position. During the decade following the Treaty of Versailles, economic activity between the United Kingdom and other countries of the world appeared, on the surface, to be similar in many respects to that which pre- ceded the War. The British continued to receive substantial returns from investments, shipping and commercial services. Net receipts on current account, however, were substantially smaller than in the pre-war years and Britain's capacity to extend credits to foreign borrowers was substantially curtailed. After 1930 the United Kingdom experienced a net credit in current international payments in only one year, 1938. In general terms, therefore, it is now clear that the First World War ended the period of active expansion in Britain's creditor position. The economic adjustments imposed by the circumstances in which the people of the United Kingdom now find themselves following their tremendous exertions during a long and devastating war include both internal and inter- national effects. Internal affairs are referred to in this report only briefly in their relation to the international situation. Some of the principal international effects of economic changes in the United Kingdom in recent years, particularly those of concern to the United States, are sum- marized below: 1. The United Kingdom no longer will serve as the steadying influence upon world trade and finance to the ex- tent that it has for a century or more. This report has the concurrence of the intelligence agencies of the War and Navy Departments and of the Army Air Forces. A statement of dissent by the Department of State is contined in Enclosure "B" hereto. - 1 -

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    "ocrText": "ORE 17\n31 May 1947\nCOPY NO.\n1\nTHE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC\nPOSITION OF THE UNITED KINGDOM *\n3.\n'NATIONAL\n: ARCHIVES SERVICE* RECORDS AND\nSUMMARY\nFor more than a century the people of the British Isles have\nimported annually from the rest of the world more commodities than they have\nexported. Imports have contributed greatly to British standards of living\nand have provided many of the essential raw materials for the notable and\nexpanding industrial activity in that country during this period. This\ncommodity trade deficit was financed from current returns on foreign invest-\nments, returns from shipping and receipts for financial, insurance and other\ncommercial services. Up to the time of the First World War the returns from\nsuch investments and services were adequate not only to meet the deficit in\ncommodity trade but to provide in most years a balance for further foreign\ninvestment throughout the world by British agencies. During the century\npreceding the First World War, Great Britain was the leading international\ntrading country in the world, the greatest creditor, and continued to in-\ncrease its foreign investment position.\nDuring the decade following the Treaty of Versailles, economic\nactivity between the United Kingdom and other countries of the world\nappeared, on the surface, to be similar in many respects to that which pre-\nceded the War. The British continued to receive substantial returns from\ninvestments, shipping and commercial services. Net receipts on current\naccount, however, were substantially smaller than in the pre-war years and\nBritain's capacity to extend credits to foreign borrowers was substantially\ncurtailed. After 1930 the United Kingdom experienced a net credit in\ncurrent international payments in only one year, 1938. In general terms,\ntherefore, it is now clear that the First World War ended the period of\nactive expansion in Britain's creditor position.\nThe economic adjustments imposed by the circumstances in which the\npeople of the United Kingdom now find themselves following their tremendous\nexertions during a long and devastating war include both internal and inter-\nnational effects. Internal affairs are referred to in this report only\nbriefly in their relation to the international situation. Some of the\nprincipal international effects of economic changes in the United Kingdom in\nrecent years, particularly those of concern to the United States, are sum-\nmarized below:\n1. The United Kingdom no longer will serve as the\nsteadying influence upon world trade and finance to the ex-\ntent that it has for a century or more.\nThis report has the concurrence of the intelligence agencies of the War and\nNavy Departments and of the Army Air Forces. A statement of dissent by the\nDepartment of State is contined in Enclosure \"B\" hereto.\n- 1 -"
}