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    "label": "Central Intelligence Agency, Office of Reports and Estimates Report, Number 7-48, Possible Developments in Palestine",
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    "title": "Central Intelligence Agency, Office of Reports and Estimates Report, Number 7-48, Possible Developments in Palestine",
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        "President's Secretary's Files (Truman Administration)",
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    "productionDates": [
        {
            "day": 28,
            "logicalDate": "1948-02-28",
            "month": 2,
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{
    "seq": 9,
    "pageIndex": 0,
    "type": "photo",
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    "ocrText": "b. UN Attempts to Set Up a Jewish State.\n(1) Possible British Assistance.\nAn attempt might be made to persuade the UK to alter its current Pales-\ntine policy and to permit the formation of a Jewish militia, to agree to the \"progressive\ntransfer\" of authority, to allow the UN Commission to come to Palestine earlier than\n1 May, to open immediately a \"port and hinterland\" for Jewish immigration, and to\nsuppress Arab guerrilla activities. However, in view of the UK's serious economic\ndifficulties, its disinclination to antagonize the Arab world, and its consistently\n\"neutral\" policy since it turned the whole problem over to the UN last year, the British\ncannot be expected to change their stand between now and 1 August. Therefore,\na\nJewish state can be established only in the event that the UN Commission is given a\npolice force sufficiently strong to withstand Arab aggression or that the Jews in Pales-\ntine are provided with enough military support from outside to overcome Arab\nopposition.\n(2) Great Powers Police Force.\nAn international police force established by the Security Council may be\nof various types. Obviously, the most effective force would be one composed of units\nfrom the armed forces of the five great powers. The USSR can be expected to welcome\nan opportunity to send its troops to Palestine; France, also, would probably be pleased\nto set foot once again in the Near East; China, for reasons of prestige, would want to be\nrepresented on an international police force but could scarcely afford to spare any\ntroops from the civil war in China. The UK will almost certainly refuse to contribute.\nUS troops, according to President Truman, will not be sent to Palestine. The dispatch\nof a force composed only of contingents from the USSR, France, and possibly China\nwould present the UK and the US with the alternatives of exercising the veto or of\nopening Palestine to Soviet infiltration.\n(3) Medium Powers Police Force.\nA second possibility would be a force made up of contingents from the\nmedium powers, but here again the UK and the US would have to consider the danger\nof permitting Soviet Satellite troops to enter Palestine. The USSR would probably\nveto the formation of any force that did not include Satellite representatives. Even if\nthe great powers could agree on a force composed of contingents from the medium\npowers, it is unlikely that a sufficient number of nations would be willing to contribute\nadequate forces.\nThe formation of an international police force will depend, in the last\nanalysis, not on a mere decision of the Security Council but on the willingness of\nnations to contribute to such a force. It is extremely unlikely that any nation would\ndo so solely to maintain the prestige of the UN. In the present state of international\nsecurity, probably no nation will send its troops to fight the Arabs in Palestine for the\npurpose of establishing a Jewish state unless its national interests are threatened by\nthe failure of partition or unless it can hope to enlarge its sphere of influence. The\nUSSR is the only nation that would gain from sending troops into Palestine. Since\n7"
}