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{
    "localId": "225248347",
    "label": "Central Intelligence Agency, Office of Reports and Estimates Report, Number 9-48, Cuban Political Trends",
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    "id": "225248347",
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    "contentType": "document",
    "title": "Central Intelligence Agency, Office of Reports and Estimates Report, Number 9-48, Cuban Political Trends",
    "citationUrl": "https://catalog.archives.gov/id/225248347",
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        "President's Secretary's Files (Truman Administration)",
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    "productionDates": [
        {
            "day": 26,
            "logicalDate": "1948-03-26",
            "month": 3,
            "year": 1948
        }
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{
    "seq": 9,
    "pageIndex": 0,
    "type": "photo",
    "url": "https://s3.amazonaws.com/NARAprodstorage/lz/presidential-libraries/truman/hst-psf/602196/875471/875471-04-09.jpg",
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    "ocrText": "SECRE\nENCLOSURE \"A\"\nDISSENT OF THE INTELLIGENCE ORGANIZATION\nDEPARTMENT OF STATE\nIt is believed that the somewhat alarming tone of the summary is not justified\nby the main text of the report nor by the known facts of the Cuban situation.\nAlthough there is developing nationalism and a growing spirit of independence in\nCuba which is tending in the long run to make it more difficult for the United States\nto deal with Cuba with regard to the interests of the United States in that country,\nthere appears to be little if anything in the present political situation which indicates\nthat the election of June 1948 will be critical as far as US security interests are con-\ncerned. It does not seem likely that the victorious party or coalition will be any less\ncooperative than the present administration. The Communists have been eliminated\nin the past year from the coalition supporting the present administration, and although\nit is possible that the Communists might be included in a coalition in the forthcoming\nelection, they are unlikely to have more influence than they have had until recently in\nthe Grau Administration. In any case, it appears that the strength of the Communists\nin Cuba is declining slightly rather than increasing. It seems unlikely that the nation-\nalistic Autenticos will be, if elected, substantially more nationalistic than they have\nbeen for the past four years.\nOf course any election in a foreign country in which the United States has such\nimportant interests as it has in Cuba will affect in some manner the relations between\nthe countries. If the more conservative, anti-administration forces should be success-\nful in the June election, it is altogether possible that the United States would find it\neasier to obtain concessions or negotiate agreements with the Cuban Government.\nSummation of the facts does not appear to justify statement that United States\nsecurity interests are in jeopardy in the coming election.\n7\nSECRET"
}